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The Shining
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The Shining
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The Shining
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I is ready. | ||
The Shining
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That's a pretty damn over the top entrance if you ask me. First post is already basically yelling IM TOWN, I WILL SCUMHUNT, MAFIA IM COMING FOR JOO!! Well shoot, you better, that's the whole point here. | ||
The Shining
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Its Valentines Day here in the states on a Saturday night. I don't expect posts to pick up until later tonight and tomorrow. | ||
The Shining
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RSo feels like townRSo. She's in like every game I've played recently, here and elsewhere, and I'm not picking up anything out of the norm. Direct questions and responses, scumhunting, engaging. However, see above for why I think you're wrong about Hier. Does scum, especially in a newbie game, have the balls to suggest something like that? I could see it being misguided town. | ||
The Shining
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Ely, what in my last post before yours made you think I was hinting at posting more? This post for clarification: On February 15 2015 10:30 The Shining wrote: Oh I remember, former teammate. And you led the openings again here. Confidently. Bah. Its Valentines Day here in the states on a Saturday night. I don't expect posts to pick up until later tonight and tomorrow. Obviously I did plan on posting more but this post was explaining expected INactivity, not activity. I like that you have given at least basic explanations for your early reads but I'd like to see more of you. What do you think of RSo's Hier push? | ||
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The Shining
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Zlefin has a couple of posts that lead nowhere and weak and unexplained reads. Mentions WIFOM, game voting rules, some parroting. Says Hier and RSo could both be town or both be scum but wont commit to his reads. Seems to be all for policy lynching inactives when there were only 2. How likely is it both scum members are inactive? Likely my leading candidate for a shot at D1 scum lynch. On that note, TSM VS CLG is starting so I'll be back in an hour ish if anyone has questions or wants to interact with me. | ||
The Shining
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K srsly I'm missing my League match. I'll be back. | ||
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The Shining
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Mime welcome to the thread. Don't be scared, we don't bite. Except RSo. Lol. Could you elaborate on your post? Which of my reads did you take into account? | ||
The Shining
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Jesus RSo. ROFL. | ||
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The Shining
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Thank you for answering me too, Ely. You parroted thoughts on it being a pressure vote. Looking forward to seeing your Hier response analysis. Hier, I dove RSo in response to your push to see how much weight your case holds. And eh. She is adamant about her read on you. She evolved from null to tonal town on Trfel. JJB was questioned, red flagged for something, immediately rescinded once it was explained. Looks like scumhunting and more than just nulls to me. Your oracle reply was nice and witty, too. So you have no other reads as they haven't come to completion yet? We have at least 5 pages of active posts. I find it a bit hard to believe. | ||
The Shining
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And watch JJB and Trfel closely. RSo's case is pretty convincing, imo. Trfel decided to post a wall of text solely addressing a method that is almost surely at this point not going to happen. In all that time, you could've read a filter, made a case, something other than that long post that told me absolutely nothing. Anyone other than Hier posting that much about it is a bit troublesome. | ||
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Would I bus my partner D1 while no one but me is pressuring him? He's my top scumread with what's been put into the thread so far. And it might be WIFOM to think I'd light pressure him so that if he does ever flip scum, it'd buy me town cred. But if that was the case, I wouldn't have later commented on the fact that no one else commented on my Zfelin case. I forced it. Scum Shining would just leave it be and if he does flip, I'd be able to go "oh look I called that D1." So I'm now waiting on Hiers defense, JJbs top scumread and Ely to swing by with a little more than that. I'm assuming you (ElyAs) dozing off now means you'll revisit the RSo Hier exchange with fresh eyes in the morning? BEFORE EoD? For what its worth, Ely's last post was just a summary of the Hier Rso exchange, a parrot of my questioning Hiers lack of other leads, and an excuse for not giving us more. Trfel, I really truly hate walls of text. I saw you do it as scum and so did I. I'd scum you for that entire post if I didn't actually read it lmao. And I made that point in the hopes that it would inspire you to do so, Trfel, so I'm glad you obliged. You can see how I was setting it up to see if you were really going to catch up or afk it. And eh, in a game where everyone is on opposite ends of the activity spectrum(very actively posting or lurking along, no mid ground), I feel its my best shot. Policy lynch talk and weak reads and no other talk of lynches shows a disinterest...I know I'd be a bit disinterested if I rolled scum in a newbie game. Oh wait, I did. And I was. Last game. Lol. | ||
The Shining
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Shining posts wall of text. Lmao I'm scum reading myself gg | ||
The Shining
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I guess the first part of my last post doesn't apply but you can still answer, I'd like that. | ||
The Shining
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Vote Zlefin That's in voting thread. I'll be here at EOD, I'm off of work tomorrow and I don't like the lack of response. Could be inactivity, IRL stuff or just lurking but...my vote is where it is at. | ||
The Shining
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lol I am male. He. Whatever. It's something so trivial and unimportant to finding scum that I don't bother taking away from the convo trying to correct it anymore. XD Yes, early, I'm suspicious of you, Trfel. You opened the game. Last game you opened, you were scum. However, you just scumread for me for why I was "lol scumreading" myself. Looking at myself and my filter objectively, I can see where you're coming from. However, it could come from town OR a scum taking advantage of a weak case. Now to address your case: - Your first bullet. I nulled you. The fact that you could make that opening as scum or town is WIFOM, but I believe Ely leaned town on you for it. Or at least said he wouldn't lynch you for it. I was simply saying I wouldn't town you for it. It isn't so much the fact that you rolled scum last game, but the fact that you rolled scum with me last game and I watched your play D1. Before my last post, I was seeing a few similarities in play but since then(your case on me included), your thoughts and pushes seem to be coming from town Trfel. - Your second bullet. RSo is the only person here except maybe JJB that I've played more than 1 or 2 games with. Quite a few on another site and she has been in each one I've been in here. I personally haven't seen her scum game here on TL yet so everything I have on her leads to a town RSo read. A scum RSo is a lot less confident in pushes and engaging. Not to mention, the emoticons, willingness to talk and engage and think things through, reads exactly like her other town games here, at least to me. - Your third bullet. Pressure push. I very clearly stated that I would be around before EoD and that my vote was where it was at for the time being. Zlefin was not talking and posting outside of those early posts. While I don't believe my case held enough water to be an actual D1 lynch, I do believe in the points I made and really wanted to see Zlef in the thread. The less people post, the less you have to analyze. I also did this to ElyAs, without the vote. I was trying to keep the lower activity players posting. Mentioning WIFOM and game voting rules are not alignment indicative. However, posts like that are not actively trying to solve the game, which is what I want to see more of. And thank you for answering your own question. There were no Zlefin posts between those 3 posts. A lurker will ignore posts if they're uncomfortable or don't know how to answer them. A vote might put some motivation into them. A vote can also be used as an information gathering tool and pressure instead of just a "I WANT TO KILL THIS GUY" vote. But if I don't push it as if it's real, it doesn't gain any traction and the play goes nowhere. And that last part of your case. My god, take a joke. "I'd scum you if I hadn't actually read the post." I actually did read the post and found a few townie points in it. It was a joke implying all walls of texts are scum-based when they are obviously not. I myself have a WOT playstyle. Also, bringing this over from the voting thread: ##Unvote Zlefin has a presence now and I haven't caught up on anything else since I saw Trfel's case on me so I'll be doing that now. | ||
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Yeah, you're going to be my filter dive before EoN, getting on that now. I'm here, questions for me? Other than who my top 2 scumreads are, which I won't divulge until after EoN? The question I did see towards me was who I was sheeping when I switched votes. That was RSoultin. And I still think she's town and believed in her case against him, as did I. Silver was the 2nd vote on him and although her posts are long and she seems active to engage, that does nothing for me alignment-wise and it doesn't escape me that vote analysis-wise, it could be scum helping push a mislynch. Not scumreading Silver but definitely want to look into her filter, too. It was an early vote that I feel came before she really had a presence in the thread. And yeah there's a LOT for me to still catch up on, I only read through everything once. Filter time. | ||
The Shining
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So what exactly changed your mind about me? You say things you brought up about me are scummy. But see some real scumhunting in my filter. At that point, it seems you may have been fishing to see general thread sentiment about me. Now Tere during night phase brings up the same thing and you're unsure about her scumreading me? Are you trying to distance yourself from a 2nd mislynch? Also, you were vocally against the Hier lynch. Trying to get some deniability for the inevitable mislynch you knew was coming? And you were really defensive about how suspicious I was of you from the very beginning of the game. You also seem to think you're invincible(one of your posts mentioned you'd never be lynched due to filter size) when all townies are equally likely to die. Yeah, I'll be back with thoughts on Tere and a possible case on Truffle. Rereading your filter better be super townie to me. | ||
The Shining
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And you, you haven't actually CLEARLY stated it, or I wouldn't be pinging on it. This was your reasoning: On February 17 2015 05:43 Trfel wrote: I guess I don't want to lynch The Shining at the moment. While I still believe that the things I brought up look scummy, as I stated at the time, several other parts of his filter look like real scumhunting. Were you actually mislynched twice on the same day??? I have some research to do. One of those was LYLO in Student Mafia V, right? So you guess you don't want to lynch me but things still look scummy but things look like real scumhunting, too. It just felt too inconsistent to me. | ||
The Shining
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Maybe I'm just weary that you're towning me for points that I've addressed that Tere is now scumreading me for. I have a tendency to believe scum give out free townreads in the hopes of earning some towncred from the free townread townie. Might need to stop being so paranoid. Moving on. On February 18 2015 02:45 ElyAs wrote: I also really want to hear from The Shining, I liked his opening, but he has been missing since EOD. I get that you didn't have a lot of time before EOD to share your reads, but I'd really like to read them. Also you started the zlefin wagon and unvoted before EOD, were you looking for someone in particular outside of zlefin / Hier ? My irl schedule and timing made it difficult to do, but I mentioned before that my vote on Zlefin was because of a lack of thread presence and wanting to see more from him. It really was just a pressure vote, something Trfel even commented on, but I wasn't able to get back in time to get any shenanies done. The fact that only JJB was on him and against a Hier lynch was another reason for my vote. Was scum going to protect Zlefin as scum or push him for a mislynch as town? In my experience, scum will keep 1 vote on the main wagon(Hier) and 1 off of it to avoid the blame of the mislynch. And I'm sure JJB would've looked slightly better at voting analysis time if we were both on Zlefin, instead of just him once I unvoted. Tere, my 2 shots? Ely for lacking content and thread presence, I don't see the scumhunting really coming out of him. And you. For the same reason. Willingness to engage and post looks good on the outside, but you haven't given me anything to work with except for...me? And ElyAs. If I'm right on ElyAs, you're setting yourself up to mislynch me as scum and either back off on your partner or bus him if his push picks up some speed. Next post is post-Tere filterdive. | ||
The Shining
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RSo, in my scum game, I wasn't around. Like at all. I engaged maybe once after my back-n-forth with GB in Student Mafia. I'm not doing that here. It just never helps that EoD D1 on all these games lands on Mondays, which is the equivalent of my Saturday. Errands and family life catch up with me. Today is my Sunday, a bit slower. I can understand your bias towards me. I've been responsible for your mislynch on more than one occasion, from both alignments. Ask me something, let's talk, go for it. I like to think between other places and here, especially with last game, you can pick up on scum Shining. And no, Trfel is not my scumread. I was leaning scum, which is why I posted what I did earlier, but I also explained in my last post after why I accept and like his response. LET ME READ TERE DAMN IT. To answer you, if you can't pick it up off of my last post, my top scumreads are Tere - Ely. | ||
The Shining
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RSo, what I meant is I believe that both scum wouldn't be on the same wagon, normally. I know I am not scum. If I had stayed on the Zlefin wagon with JJB, someone could make the case that one of us was scum and JJB would look slightly better than I would, since I started the push. I even wanted to rail JJB for being the wasted vote but I liked his defense of his vote and I truly believe he believes he was right in his reasoning. | ||
The Shining
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I'm also having trouble with her last few reads. Pretty drunk off of WIFOM. Was she killed to immortalize your town read or frame me with her suspicions? In my experience, scum likes to kill a strong townie after they strong town a scum player. Student Mafia V, we killed GB right after he strong towned me. Trfel, you're not doing that again, are you? I'm taking a break to go eat dinner but something isn't sitting right with that RSo kill. I'll be back. | ||
The Shining
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I have a few questions to start you with. ElyAs and myself have been at the bottom of your list for a while. Now you've suddenly bumped him up to town. You also did the same with Zlefin. So who is my latest scum partner for today? You just gonna keep throwing names out there until someone doesn't defend themselves? And pinging on my defensiveness in my posts. I don't see how this is alignment indicative in any way. If you're saying only scum is defensive, the opposite of that is town just rolls right over and dies without putting up a fight. Am I the only one that sees how stupid that sounds? "Scum needs to survive, town doesn't." Really? REALLY? If town doesn't survive, how the hell does town win? I'm pretty sure dead town can't scumhunt. You posted a vote analysis in which every voter except the lynched and JJB were on the wagon. Although I do like the analysis in and of itself, its not necessarily accurate. First off, you misrepresent my push on Zlefin as anything other than a pressure vote, which I've already stated it was. At that time, Zlefin had little to no presence in the thread. You also conveniently made it sound like I just dropped my vote and addressed Trfel's case on me. If you had actually read my defense, my vote and the reasoning for dropping it was explained in that same response to Trfel. You also conveniently throw in a one-liner about my top townread being RSoultin, IRT the night kill, as if that has some sort of significance. Its been mentioned countless times how RSo was all but confirmed town and townread by basically everyone. Why does my read of her have any more significance than anyone else? Meh, WOT. Honestly I've been unmotivated this game. It happens any time someone goes AFK or punks out cuz of RNG and gets replaced. Last time(and the only time on TL) it happened to me was Scott replacing a lurker scum!Gumdrop in the last Newbie Mini. Limited experiences with replacements, who all replace unwilling scum members, is giving me a really bad bias here. If you're town, you're misguided. If you're scum, and I seem to be the only one realistically entertaining this possibility, WP. I'll go ahead and dive Silver, Zlef and ElyAs again for some insight before my mislynch today. Quite frankly, I don't even care if it happens. | ||
The Shining
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Townish: Trfel, me. Null:JJB, Silver, Zlef(diving these filters + Ely right now) Scummy: Tere rescinded Ely too fast off of one post, considering it was your other strong scumread besides me. So Tere - ElyAs | ||
The Shining
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Tere - ElyAs for endgame cred. | ||
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Don't see whose character or skill I was attacking, either. Simply stating in the only 2 Newbie games I've played, there have been replacements. It has ruined my experience, personally, so I will not participate in one again. Have to stick to Student/non-Newbie games. Its just a statistic. A lot of salt coming from you. Guilt getting to you? | ||
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On February 19 2015 07:58 ElyAs wrote: Wow. that's a lot of frustration. I've got a headache trying to figure out if you're doing this because you're scum and have nothing to lose or if you're town and frustrated to the bone. Right now you're just promoting chaos and I don't like that. Which do you think it is? | ||
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On February 19 2015 06:05 Tere wrote: This post feels as towny as fuck to me. It's enough to move him off my autolynch pile - before this I was going to place a vote as the best option. It comes from a real place of emotion that is horribly hard to fake, IMO. Moving Elyas up my town - scum pile towards town. Lurkers beware ![]() Are you able to explain to me how this post could be only coming from a town perspective? There's a disclaimer for only having a certain amount of time, leaving an open door in case an uncomfortable question gets asked. And an appeal to emotion instead of an actual reaction to your post. | ||
The Shining
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On February 19 2015 08:54 Tere wrote: I'm willing to die for a one for one, what about you? I'm reading "I'm willing to win the game for scum right now" if you are in fact town. I already stated earlier I don't care about me being mislynched anymore. My vote is on you. If town is onboard, they vote with me. Or they vote against me. When I flip town, they'll want to lynch you until you manage to WOT your way out of it and win for scum. I'll even go first, if that's what you want. Of course, town votes decide it. I just need the townies here to promise me they will reevaluate what little I have been able to give them after I flip. | ||
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On February 19 2015 08:48 ElyAs wrote: I don't know. I really don't. Your play has been consistent with what you said in the beginning (about voting analysis and hunting inconsistences) and your case on Tere is also consistent. But I'm not moving with my read on Tere, so you're either misguided town or scum in my eyes. For now I can't decide so slight scum. zlefin asked for a list of reads, here it is : Townish : Trfel, Tere, ElyAs Null : JJB (need to filter dive), zlefin (want to filter dive too, my earlier scumread on you feels misguided to me.) Slight scumread : The Shining Scummy : Silverarte. I really want to finish filter diving before casting my vote, but if I don't find a better lynch I'm okay with lynching Silver. It's getting late, I'll have more tomorrow. Something is off. Ely has an unwillingness to even consider the idea that his read on Tere might be wrong, whereas even now, I'm still weary I may mistakenly mislynch. Since you can't decide, you'll just go with scum since that's what your townread is going with, right? One of you is scum but you strong towning her so hard gives me pause. And I'd rather not get hung up on unflipped association. | ||
The Shining
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On February 19 2015 09:18 Tere wrote: OK. Either you are obvscum or completely misguided town at this point. I'm kinda insulted if you can read my play in any way as throwing the game for scum. Seriously. Something something (insert strong language as appropriate). If you are town, and that is what you are thinking and you think scum has won the argument, you need to wake up, stop sulking, get back to base , and stop sulking. Because, regardless of your perception, I'm on your side. Really. If your wincon is to win with town, I'm on your side. You don't have to trust me with this, but I need you to have a mode that can consider it... i'm town, and reaching out to you here. I think you are a smart and capable guy, I've read your town games, you are town to be proud of associating with. Don't check out. I'm on your side, and reaching out to you here. Don't lock down, OK? You can analyse me and decide I'm full of shit, but don't check out right now. I want town to win too. Come talk to me. You don't have to trust me right now (and I do need to sleep, it's bedtime here) but I want you to take some time out, take a deep breath, and if you are town, and want town to win, you need to come talk to me, OK? Because you are either locking down caught scum or passionate town without a lock and I have NFI right now. Just talk to me. I'm not Circe. There's no game mechanic to turn you into a pig. What harm can there be, right? Time out. I need to sleep. Talk to me, OK? I posted a post before the one you quoted here asking you a question, would you mind answering it for me? I am talking to you. I may be proud and have an ego, etc, but I'm not trying to throw here. I'm not locked down. I'm filter diving like I said I would. Threw a question out at you, threw one out at ElyAs, expect more as I read and reread. Honestly, the interaction today pissed me off. But it also gave me back the motivation I lost from being in another game with a replacement. But...why are you trying to feed my ego so much? Lol. I have NFI if it's a real call to reason and look at things objectively, or scum in sheep's clothing? I seriously need to take a breather from you and reread you objectively when I get home tonight. | ||
The Shining
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Can I also point out I'm somewhat reminded of how RSo and Geript went at it in Student Mafia V? Scum really likes hanging back when these kinds of interactions happen. I want everyone's reactions, please. | ||
The Shining
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On February 19 2015 08:56 The Shining wrote: Are you able to explain to me how this post could be only coming from a town perspective? There's a disclaimer for only having a certain amount of time, leaving an open door in case an uncomfortable question gets asked. And an appeal to emotion instead of an actual reaction to your post. Tere, this is what I was referring to. I can see Ely making this post from either alignment in a move to earn town cred, similar to what I thought you might be doing in talking to me like I'm a baby now. However, I'm going to actively talk to you right now and tomorrow when were both here before I pass anymore judgment on you. | ||
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On February 19 2015 10:02 Tere wrote: If you are reading me like I'm talking to you like a baby, you are reading me wrong. I respect you and your intelligence. However, I really need to go to bed. We can spar in the morning? Deal? ![]() Also quoting this to add to my filter as a reminder tomorrow. Have a goodnight Tere but I really do want to see a response to this when you wake up. | ||
The Shining
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ElyAs - there is an unanswered question for you in my filter, as well. | ||
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Trfel, enjoy. I'll be here. | ||
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Silver, basically all of that. Ely blatantly says he won't budge from his read on Tere. As town, I'm personally always inclined to keep at least a 5% of healthy doubt. The only townie is a confirmed townie, IMO. Especially in a newbie game. I have trouble believing Ely is really that dead set on his read that he'd refuse to budge or be open to a case. And because he can't decide whether I'm scum or misguided town, I'm scum. Wouldn't not bring able to decide be null? Just seems to want to scum me after I scumread Tere. And after leaning town on me and agreeing my play is consistent and so were my posts. | ||
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On February 19 2015 11:06 Silverarte wrote: That's what led me to eyeing her. It's not that she doesn't give good reads or doesn't seem to put work into it. I'd say everyone here is working really hard, learning and playing. It's just those massive shifts, the sudden jump at Shining with that argument and the otherwise lack of seeming willingness to provide information that...could be due to overall playfulness or mystery, but I'm reading it more as stepping away from reads and committing. (At least, until the Gladiator call with the Shining. Which, as town, is that something you really want to risk?) Agree on her being the polarizer. How the wagons form up come EoD should be very telling, when we seem to be split like this already. And that's why I'm on her as well, Silver. And right when I was washing the bad taste of her out of my mouth and ready to be willing to look at things objectively, she quotes the question she claims not to have seen. The unwillingness almost borders on taunting but idk, could be leftover feelings from the interaction earlier. Also, that last question is WIFOM, Silver. There is no way of knowing if it is a scum bluff or a townie truly sure of her scumread. I wasn't willing to risk it because I know I flip town and it leaves you guys with only one mislynch left, with everyone blaming her for my mislynch. If she IS misguided town, its already a loss. But she really seemed willing to go that route. And now I'm drunk of WIFOM. Lol. | ||
The Shining
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On February 19 2015 11:07 Trfel wrote: Oh, and I'm wondering, are people interested in me posting an analysis on the argument between The Shining and Tere? (warning, it would be rather long...) I'd rather not, and just focus on figuring out their alignments, but if multiple people (particularly The Shining and/or Tere) want me to chime in, I could do so. This goes for you as well as everyone else. Personally, I'd be happy on people clearly stating whether they believe it was town v townie if one of us is scum, post-interaction. Obviously, if one of us is scum after that in your eyes, I'd appreciate reasoning as to why. From there, go as in depth as you feel necessary. And we are all allowed to have a Lil fun, Trfel, I'm just resident scrooge tonight lol. As for Ely idk, I just don't feel right when "town" use absolutes like that. I can understand someone trying to be firm in their read and their points but if you're not allowing any wiggle room at all, and using an unproven read to then scum someone else, it doesn't feel genuine. | ||
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On February 19 2015 11:16 Silverarte wrote: Ahhhh, I see what you're saying. Just as a question (because yes, last game you all taught me the benefit of that healthy doubt), how much of this do you think is because of being new to the game? Actually being new is why this worried me so much. I still have not encountered someone new to the game who has been so sure of a town read D2. My first newbie game, we had all but confirmed townies that I was still questioning due to newbie paranoia. | ||
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On February 19 2015 11:26 Trfel wrote: Oh, and The Shining, do you still want to quit playing? Newbie games are extremely difficult. You should have known that before you signed up. People afk'ing sucks. But this game is still winnable, we have capable players here, and we have 50 pages of information to work with. Any townie who lets up now, or quits, basically dooms town despite what everyone else does. Sorry, no, to make it clear, it was a reaction test out of sheer frustration. Tere responded to my reply on her WOT and chalked it up to a defensive post, didn't bother replying or addressing it. Got frustrated. But like I said to JJB before, I'm not quitting. I'm still posting. Still reading filters and responding. And, thanks to Tere, I've actually regained the motivation I last yesterday. | ||
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On February 19 2015 11:35 Trfel wrote: Wait, The Shining, you refer to this post? You're right, this doesn't look very good. Still, it's not bad enough that this post alone will have a major affect on my read on ElyAs. Yeah, that post. To be clear when you're catching up, Ely, I'd like to know how being unable to decide between alignments for me becomes an automatic scum instead of null? Please explain my scumread. Something other than "you're scumming my top townread so you're scum" would help. This is the same player who has also felt almost forgettable, and personally, although he did rescind afterward, he misrepresented one of my posts to make it seem like I hinted at contributing more, then AFKing thread. It was a red flag that I let go because he quickly backed off but I'll be giving a concrete on him once he returns with the results of his JJB and Zlefin filterdives. | ||
The Shining
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On February 19 2015 11:20 Trfel wrote: Tere Can I get clarification as to why you moved Silverarte to a scum read? Interested in this, as well. As far as I could tell, she moved ElyAs up her list and by default it dropped Silver. She posted right afterwards too that lurkers should beware. Tere, please clarify. Lurker push or something more? | ||
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On February 18 2015 07:50 The Shining wrote: Yeah but in it you posted a bit where you said I mentioned my push on Zlef was "slight" as if I were trying to distance myself from the lynch? Which is exactly what you did in that same post by saying you were sleepy and might need to revisit it. And you, you haven't actually CLEARLY stated it, or I wouldn't be pinging on it. This was your reasoning: So you guess you don't want to lynch me but things still look scummy but things look like real scumhunting, too. It just felt too inconsistent to me. + Show Spoiler + On February 18 2015 07:58 Trfel wrote: Is it not wrong to allow for the possibility that being sleepy could negatively affect my play? In the past, I've usually played fine while extremely tired, but in my last game I made a terrible blunder at about 4:30 AM. I don't see sleepiness as being a problem to hold back my reads for, but it would be silly to not mention it as a possibility. As for distancing myself from my scumread of you, it was NOT a scumread. I found a few things I felt were suspicious, and I wanted to hear thoughts from you and other people. Believe me, if I am scumreading someone, I will make it absolutely sure that everyone knows. Some things you did looked scummy, some things you did looked fine. I concluded that the result didn't make me want to lynch you at that time. Is that a problem? The first spoiler was a post in which I was still suspicious of you. In the second spoiler is your response which I ultimately liked and gave you some town cred in my eyes. Since that post, I've been reading you as town due to your thread presence, your willingness to address literally everything in the thread and also still having a conviction in your questioning. Scum Trfel last game was wishy washy, not very committed but not very weary of who he was lynching. I'm seeing the opposite here. Strong stances with a healthy paranoia of who we may be lynching. So kudos to you if this is your scum game, its completely diff from the last one and notably so. | ||
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I leave work in 45 mins so ask away, I'll do my best to respond before I leave. I'll let you know if something else crosses my mind concerning you but I'm also going to hold out hope that I'll get to see JJB, Zlefin and Ely again before I go to bed. Still need to read Silver and reread Tere too but I'm honestly pushing that until I get home | ||
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On February 19 2015 12:37 Trfel wrote: The Shining But you didn't townread me for my opening. And I was scum and put myself in the spotlight in the last game you were in. If you answered this already, I'm sorry. I got bored reading your filter (not because it was boring, but because I think you are town and there are other things I want to look in to!), so if you have answered this already, please forgive me. If not, it would be nice to know. If this really was a pressure push, why didn't you vote right away? Thanks. Like I said, I think you're town, I had little problem with your filter before, and your recent argument with Tere strengthens that, if anything. Are you asking why I towned Hier but not you? You missed the last part of the sentence. "With a strategy that unwittingly favors scum.". You put yourself in the spotlight, yes, but not with a huge thought out strategy that makes the game easier for scum. It was so obviously scum-favored, at least in my opinion, that scum putting it up was tantamount to suicide. And would you look at that, we lynched him for it. Mislynched, to be exact. With you, it might be a little misguided but you have been in all of my TL games to date. Openings to push conversation is your play style, regardless of your alignment. And I had to keep extra caution because you were scum last time you did it. And I have always been cautious with my votes. Pressure voting isn't my strong suit, and I guess it showed here in this game. I didn't even want to vote to start with, but after 3 posts and no response, I wasn't sure I was going to get one without voting. | ||
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Imo, it's a pretty blatant example of either unwillingness to read or avoiding the question. | ||
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On February 19 2015 10:10 The Shining wrote: Also quoting this to add to my filter as a reminder tomorrow. Have a goodnight Tere but I really do want to see a response to this when you wake up. | ||
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Would you mind elaborating? Do you like Ely's post in a town context? | ||
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Would I be correct in assuming that by you towning myself, yourself, Tere and Ely, your lynch candidate will be between Silver, Z and JJB? | ||
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On February 19 2015 14:17 Trfel wrote: I do like the post, but I would mind elaborating. It's a question for Tere, and not for me. If I answer, then Tere's answer holds no value at all. I mean, I guess I could answer, but I'd rather not. I see what you're getting at. Alright, I'll let it go until Tere is back. | ||
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And this next lynch will either bag us scum or put us into Lylo. I hope you can see, objectively, why I'm worried about you preemptively giving an EoD excuse for the second time in as many Day phases. I hope you manage to use the time you do have before EoD productively. | ||
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Alright, I'm out for a little bit. Just got home, time to make good on these dives. | ||
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I just promised dives on certain people and the last thing I want is someone trying to use a lack of reading to try and push me tomorrow. If we lose because of my mislynch, I obviously need to work on my town game. | ||
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Me - Leaning scum on Tere for what seems to me to be scatter shot suspicions, a lack of explanations on certain reads(most importantly, Silver's drop to scum and Ely's rise to town) and plays, what seemed to be hinting at either a blue role or some spectacular D2 play to catch scum, neither of which was the case...unless the case on me was the spectacular play. You - Town on Tere. I'm not going to spit back your own filter at you. Silver - Scumming Tere. Case here:http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/476143-newbie-mini-mafia-lxi?page=49#966 Summary: One liners and an aloof attitude, parrots me on Tere's reaction to my RAGEQUIT reaction test, provides a lot of tonal reads and in the vein of tonal reads, Silver notes that Tere's tone today changed drastically when I came back at her for the first time this game. ElyAs - Apparently won't be back until 2 hours before EoD, like Trfel. But left a lot earlier in the day. I'm not sure how he intends to find a good read with such little time, plus respond to what's been directed at him, unless he decides to push Silverarte, which at first glance seems to be his biggest scumread. Anyway, he originally claimed Tere was one of the 2 he would kill if he had the opportunity yesterday, though he did cite a weak read based on her voting timing and sheeping the Hier reads from others. Admits in a later post it was weak reasoning. Then, after the WOTs from Tere, he switches to a STRONG townread without explaining why: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/476143-newbie-mini-mafia-lxi?page=42#830 I hate pre-flip association but these 2 seem to be banding together after more than 1 person have 1 or both of them down as scum. | ||
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JJB - Leaned town on Tere early, citing tonal similarities between her and RSo. After the NK, tried to distance himself from Tere, said he should've treated her how he treated myself and Trfel. Actually, I need to stop here. JJB, inconsistencies are my thing. You scummed me early and didn't rescind it until that post. And yet...almost an hour before that post, am I wrong in assuming you were still leaning scum on me? On February 17 2015 04:11 jarjarbinks wrote: ##Vote Zlefin You voted with one of your top scumread BEFORE you townread me. Did you realize that after the fact, realize you messed up and switched to a town read on me hoping no one would notice? | ||
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I should've clicked quote on both posts and posted them here before I said anything. I didn't realize times change from local to TL Time when quoting. On February 16 2015 12:00 jarjarbinks wrote: I retract my position on the shining. Has scumhunted/given reads a lot. I like a lot of the posts too. Solid filter, despite not having many posts. Probably one of my strongest townreads right now. On February 17 2015 04:11 jarjarbinks wrote: ##Vote Zlefin I got confused on the times, please ignore that. | ||
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On February 16 2015 11:39 jarjarbinks wrote: lol angry because you scared away the newbie! Hmm you have a point there. I don't have a legitimate scumread that I would be confident in voting on right now. Let me go reread and see if I can pick up something xD Initially I would be worried about Zfelin and Shining (although I really liked Shining's last post about me and Trf). Silver still hasn't posted, so hopefully that happens soon. I didn't like Trf's pocket comment/joke (was it a joke?). While I thought that making a weird strategy was townie, it would be nice for Hiel to answer all of the questions people asked him. I have like Elyas's posts so far to a degree. Much better than my first game on here that's for sure lol Very soft scum lean, even mentions liking my last post as he does so. He was skeptical of attaching himself to a scum lean on me from get-go and after my posts, went full town. I think I can see where his read progressed, too. | ||
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Zlefin - Null on Tere, healthy suspicion but seems to be more set on pushing Ely or Silver. Speaking of Silver...you got me interested in the exercise I just did with Tere. As far as I see, Trfel is leaning scum or at least willing to lynch Silver. Tere dropped her to being scum with me. Ely and Zlef both see Silver as scummish, as per the lists they posted. JJB is calling her forgettable up until now, but points out that she did take the effort to scumread Tere, although he is incorrect in saying Tere's being accepted as a townread. Did you miss the part where we got at eachother? lol. Also, definitive answer for Silver, please. You leaning scum or town? | ||
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Regardless, EVERYONE minus myself scumming Silver is raising red flags for me. I was null on her but now I truly have to dive her. I did mention that Tere's suspicions seemed pretty scattershot, with the only constant being her scumread on me. But that read when she first entered the game was a slight town lean, too. Also, I believe that was somewhat original on Silver's part. Trfel did comment that people seemed to pick up on his reads and analysis but did not specify which ones, I think. And I pinged on the fact that Tere rescinded her Ely read for a town read off of 1 post that, IMO, could come from either alignment. It could just be a coincidence that Tere decided to replace Ely with Silver following Trfel's analysis of her but it is a good point to look into. | ||
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On February 19 2015 15:44 Trfel wrote: Is this directed at me? Anyway, thanks a bunch for digging up all of this. I don't think I see any strong reasons to scumread Tere that I missed, but I'll take another look. I could just be wrong on Tere, but I won't be able to get a good feel on it for sure until I see her at EoD. And no prob. | ||
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On February 19 2015 15:48 jarjarbinks wrote: I'm not done with the filter, sorry. Posting thoughts in segments lol I did see that. Are you still that suspicious of her? It seems like you are less. Trf seems less. Of who, Tere? | ||
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In other words, I'm concentrating my efforts on finding the other scum. That will, imo, either give her away as the 2nd scum or exonerate her, depending on who flips. Once she interacts with me tomorrow, and of course post lynch flip, I'll have a more definitive answer. And I agree with the fact that holding back reads or thoughts sometimes forces others to put original thoughts into the thread. It is how we interpret those original thoughts that makes the strategy useful. And please, once you're done with Silver, a read either way would be helpful. Trfel WIFOM? It's a newbie game, we could have first time scummers or scum team could be the most experienced in the game. Do you really think it would be such a seamless bus that we wouldn't be able to pick up on who was least committed to the Silver scumread? You're either putting a lot of faith into the scum team or little to no faith in your/our scumhunting abilities as town. Also, am I wrong in thinking that with this much time left in the day, a counter wagon would be at least attempted before scum buses a partner in a game this small? | ||
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We had this many willing to lynch Hier. He flipped town. I don't want that happening again. | ||
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On February 19 2015 07:37 The Shining wrote: For Zlefin: Townish: Trfel, me. Null:JJB, Silver, Zlef(diving these filters + Ely right now) Scummy: Tere rescinded Ely too fast off of one post, considering it was your other strong scumread besides me. So Tere - ElyAs Ely - Just getting into thread and want to cross check some things but I've honestly been waffling on whether the Godfather is Trfel or Tere myself, since the game started. I'll see which of those options I like best, or if it is just a ploy to deflect suspicion off of you. Tere - The question that was never answered. It's a new day. I'm here. Answer it pl0x. WTF makes Ely's one post you claim to town read him off of so special that you towned him so hard for it? You have a vote up on Trfel of all people. It doesn't escape me that my only 2 scumreads are now setting up to push Trfel together. Explain your Trfel vote or it'll garner no support. And do it earlier than a few minutes before EoD, please. | ||
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On February 19 2015 02:27 ElyAs wrote: It really took an hour to write this ? Holy hell. I don't want to leave this post alone but I won't have the time to do another one of these right now. [b]I'll be back for 11PM CET for follow-up.[b] 11:00 PM Thursday, Central European Time (CET) is 5:00 PM Thursday, Eastern Time (ET). Okay nevermind, I made another time mistake. You actually said you'd be back AT EoD, not before it. I guess I misunderstood this post as saying you would not be back before then, but obviously you're here, so point is moot. | ||
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For Trfel, I can understand why he is done with Tere's breadcrumbing, I noticed it myself and it hasn't stopped me from scumming her. It could come from either alignment. And distancing himself from easy lynches? He cased Silver, who arguably has given us less content this game than you have. For me, I'm just going to be clear and say I'm not scum at all, let alone the godfather. For Tere, this is pretty much exactly the problem I had with her. She seemed to breadcrumb which led us to nothing and although there's a lot of time and effort in her WOTs, nothing has been really consistent. Scumreads keep becoming townreads while town and nulls get dropped to scum. | ||
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I need to get on my tablet, on phone right now. | ||
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With a player with a filter this big, with valid scumhunting, are you still null on him? If so, how? If not, where are you leaning on him? | ||
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Didn't Tere also bump Zlefin up a couple of notches on her town list? Defends his wanting to lynch Trfel for info as a Newbie play. Suspicious of him then bumps him up to new townie finding his voice once he says he'll give her slot a pass. | ||
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Wow, Tere, that's a case. Let me get through it, shouldn't be more than 10 mins. On the surface, it looks pretty damning, as some of it echoes thoughts I had on Trfel with my early suspicions. | ||
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And if your case is to be believed, plus your thoughts on Silver, you're saying our only 2 wagons are both scum? | ||
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JJB, Silver, not voting. Seems to be a big tell on Silver here, not really sure why JJB is afk. I need to see those votes. | ||
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Zlefin I was just explaining why I asked where you stand on Trfel. If you thought he was scum, you'd be voting with your scum read but you don't. Just wanted to make that clear. | ||
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On February 20 2015 06:44 kitaman27 wrote: The countdown that says "2 hours left" is really tough to interpret sometimes ![]() Rofl I play on mobile/tablet at work. The coding won't display on my phone, they just stay blank. =P and I can't pull my tablet for another hour. | ||
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On February 20 2015 07:18 Silverarte wrote: ## Vote Trfel OK. You're here. Stop lurking | ||
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Right now, depending on JJB's votes and any last minute shenanies, you're set to be lynched. Trfel has given us a few goodbye posts and insights to look into, should he be lynched and flip town. I would like the same from you, please. | ||
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On February 20 2015 07:22 jarjarbinks wrote: Just saw the votes. Why is everyone voting Trf? Scum slip? I should read. I have an hour and a half right? Ya. You should read. Tere mega WOT case on Trfel. Trfel defended. Ely claimed Doc, seems to suspect Trfel, amongst other theories. Almost eryone seems to think Silver is scummy. | ||
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On February 20 2015 07:21 Silverarte wrote: At work. Forgot to vote. Well, if I survive I'll explain votes. If not, oh well! I'll duck back in later. (Also wow activity. You guys are amazing to read) Doesn't seem worried at all about being lynched/mislynched. Just afkd a vote with the caveat that it'll be explained...if she lives. This isn't the post of a town about to get mislynched. | ||
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And fwiw, simply googling "Tere Mafia Forum" pulled up a few different sites with the name Tere and active or past Mafia games. I'm not a fan of using meta in a Newbie game, since none of us really have any big meta examples to go off of, but if I could easily find games on other sites with players named Tere, I can't immediately accept Trfel is lying. I'd have to dive these non-TL games for Tere's meta and I don't think anyone here really needs that here. | ||
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On February 20 2015 07:46 zlefin wrote: I wonder who you're talking to, by my data, trfel is townread by exactly one person, elyas; scumread by 3 people, and one neutral with a slight scum leaning (me) and I don't have jarjar's data yet, but hope to soon. Um, last thing I saw from ElyAs makes me think he's scumming Trfel, considering he believed "option 1" in his setup cases was most likely. Option 1 had Trfel as Godfather. I think I'm actually the only one towning Trfel right now... | ||
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On February 20 2015 07:48 zlefin wrote: no, in fact I encourage you to. Getting enough sleep is very important for activites like this, and all you need to say for this thread you've already said. Go, rest, relax, recover. With the understanding that you come back before EoD, right?? Or did you really just tell Trfel to AFK EoD because he said all he had to say. | ||
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On February 20 2015 07:52 jarjarbinks wrote: I'm voting Trfel right now. I think I have an hour...right? lol Shining you are really townreading Trf? Because of filter length? It is more than filter length. We have an hour. I'll find some examples of things that made lean town on him, VS overall play. | ||
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On February 20 2015 08:46 Tere wrote: OK, sure. Can we kill Trfel tomorrow if I do it? ![]() Not what I was hoping for. Figured you'd continue your Trfel push. But if Silver flips scum, sure. If not, I have an idea that I'll withhold until after EoD, since it doesn't hold together without the Silver flip. | ||
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On February 20 2015 08:51 ElyAs wrote: 10 minutes before EoD, damn. Tere, sorry but you claimed VT and not Vig ? Abort mission, lynch Silver. Actually really glad you made it. And rescinded the Tere stance over her not claiming vig. So as far as I'm aware, Ely's claim looks better now. Either he is doc, or false claiming and our blue roles have screwed us. The only Doc setup means ONLY Doc or Doc/Vig so if you're something that ISNT VIG, now is the time to out Ely. | ||
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On February 20 2015 09:05 Tere wrote: Set up is: Mafia Roleblocker, Mafia Goon, Town Doctor, 6 Vanilla Townie (from first post) Scum slip? Only scum knows set up. Yes, you could argue the RB flip confirms it but Ely is still not confirmed Doc. He might as well be but he isn't. I'm not really sure why you posted this, since its a point we could have all made on our own. Only 2 total setups with both a role blocker and Doctor. No Vigi claim and no N1 shot. | ||
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On February 20 2015 09:00 Tere wrote: If I'm obvscum, and the last one, why would you have an issue with Gladiating me? Why would I even offer it as an option. Gladiating makes no sense for scum. Because of WIFOM. It makes no sense so why would you offer it? But you're scum and offering it under the defense of thinking scum wouldn't offer it? This is N2 now. No time for WIFOM. We have vote analysis and another NK coming. And I've went from suspicious to getting some townreads today. I don't expect to live through tonight. Scum can't kill Tere, as it helps confirm Trfel. Can't kill Trfel either, as it confirms Tere. Sure, that's also WIFOM but still worth mentioning. The only other viable kill is Ely to get rid of confirmed town, but they could leave him to make us doubt his claim. Risky play though IMO. | ||
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On February 20 2015 09:15 jarjarbinks wrote: Was that really a Trf bus? He seemed oddly desperate to kill his own teammate. Granted she was being scumread by a lot of people lol Tere on the other hand went after Trf randomly after people started noticing Silver was in the game. +1. I just really like this post, planned on posting one similar. | ||
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On February 20 2015 09:15 ElyAs wrote: Nope, sorry but you're wrong. It is the only possible setup from my PoV. You're the only one who can know if you're confirmed Doctor, friend. I have no reason to doubt your claim. However, I just find it funny that she was the one who pointed out setup to us. | ||
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On February 20 2015 09:18 Tere wrote: You can fisticuff me tomorrow if you want, the Shining, that was invigorating ![]() It was hehehehe you singlehandedly brought me back into this game. Which I thank you for. | ||
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Vote Analysis: On February 19 2015 21:57 Half the Sky wrote: Day 2: Counting Down ElyAs (1): zlefin Silverarte (1): Trfel Tere (1): Trfel (1): Tere Not Voting (3): Silverarte, ElyAs, jarjarbinks Currently, ElyAs is set to be expelled from South Park Elementary. Day 2 ends in at 00:00 GMT (+00:00). Reminder to make sure to unvote before voting, if you have already voted someone. Remember, voting is Mandatory. You may NOT abstain. Preliminary votes of the day. Scum Silver only has 1 vote on her. Its Trfel. That's a really bad bus. But it gets better. On February 20 2015 06:03 Half the Sky wrote: Day 2: Counting Down Trfel (2): Tere, ElyAs Silverarte (2): Trfel, zlefin Tere (1): ElyAs (0): Not Voting (3): Silverarte, jarjarbinks Currently, Trfel is set to be expelled from South Park Elementary. Day 2 ends in at 00:00 GMT (+00:00). Reminder to make sure to unvote before voting, if you have already voted someone. Remember, voting is Mandatory. You may NOT abstain. So Tere was on Trfel. Stays on Trfel. Keeps pushing him. Continuously leaves herself an open leeway stating Silver is also scum. But really seems dead set and intent on pushing Trfel first. Now at this point, I could maybe still believe Trfel bussing Silver. Until he actively pushes Silver as an alternate lynch to himself instead of Tere. I'm sorry, I don't see scum Trfel bussing his partner AS ROLEBLOCKER WITH A CLAIMED DOC. I would expect scum Trfel to push Tere. Hard. Especially with the early case and suspicions on her. On February 20 2015 08:02 Half the Sky wrote: Day 2: This Final Hour Trfel (4): Tere, ElyAs, Silverarte, jarjarbinks Silverarte (3): Trfel, zlefin, The Shining Tere (0): ElyAs (0): Currently, Trfel is set to be expelled from South Park Elementary. Day 2 ends in at 00:00 GMT (+00:00). Reminder to make sure to unvote before voting, if you have already voted someone. Remember, voting is Mandatory. You may NOT abstain. At this point, scum Trfel IMO would've conceded. Tere got cocky and started throwing gladiating out there once more. Was probably 100% confident in the mislynch going through. What happens? 10 mins before EoD, ElyAs shows up and screws everything up for her. Switches to Silver. JJB goes through Trfels filter, compares it to Silver, she is objectively a much better lynch. Now she's the only one besides Silver on Trfel. If she stays there, the scum team looks so damn obvious they should just concede right then. So she busses Silver. But its too late. Damage is done. IMO, one of the last 2 votes on a scum flip is usually scum bussing to screw vote analysis. Unfortunately for scum Tere, the other of the last 2 votes is claimed Doc. I'm sorry this looks so bad but I'm on a tablet, getting posts out is difficult. Getting them to look pretty is hard. But this needed to be posted before the NK. If town really feels like obliging the Gladiating between Tere and Trfel, I say Tere goes first. | ||
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Meh, JJB, I could've easily voted Trfel instead of Silver. I never changed my vote, either. I was more concerned with EoD and last minute shenanies then filter diving yet again my strongest townread. And I'm very well aware of that, Zlefin. If you look, at one point in my filter, I mention that if someone is reading the post and is anything other than Vigi, CLAIM IT. THIS IS BASICALLY MY WAY OF REITERATING THAT. Call it town paranoia but the only things confirmed to me are NK and lynch flips. I've seen bad plays in which a CC that could win town the game never happens and we lose because of it. Now if you look at my vote analysis and reaction to Ely's claim in general, I'm acting and pushing on the belief he is in fact the Doctor. For exactly the reasons you just posted. | ||
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I made a play in agreeing to kill Trfel tomorrow after Silver today. I wanted to see if that would be enough for Tere to back off of her Trfel push. And it was. Which is odd because she seemed very damn adamant about pushing him first. Once she rrealized there was no way out of Silver being caught, she finally bussed on the agreement that I'd mislynch Trfel tomorrow. Bad bad bad. | ||
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And Trfel. Lol. At this point, I wouldn't. I'm pretty sure I hammered it in with the vote analysis, willing to go more in depth if necessary. I want to see reactions to it, because AFAIC, Tere is tomorrow's lynch. | ||
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Honestly, with the way its looking, I won't case her unless I'm asked to. I just feel my stance on her has always been pretty clear. | ||
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Bus too stronk. | ||
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Objectively, my vote has just as much likelihood of ending up on Trfel as it did on Silver. However, Trfel was my townread. I couldn't cite a particular post at that moment for why he's giving me warm town fuzzies and it still is somewhat difficult but I'm stuck in the same boat RSo was D1. When he echoes a bunch of thoughts that I have had this game(like the case on Tere) while expanding on them with original points that I didn't make, it shows me its coming from a genuine place. And his best defense, imo, was bringing up the fact that a good majority, if not all, of the parts of Tere's case on him could be equally applied to her. Solid reasonable doubt. But with an hour or less left at EoD, I thought it was better to be around and watching votes, shenanies, and reactions instead of wasting time being distracted diving Trfel for a "townie" post and coming back to a mislynch or a horrible wagon I couldn't fix. | ||
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On February 20 2015 12:04 jarjarbinks wrote: Shining, makes sense. Reading through Tere's filter, it seems like she brings up silverarte regularly in the early game. Her reads went from slight townread to slight scum to thinking silver was in the mafia team. I could see a scum partner doing this, given the lack of posts from silver in the game. Question in her defense: Do you think silver in her mainish and really only scumread of the game, would go after her mafia partner? If she was struggling to make reads because she mafia, I could see it. But I wouldn't think that would be the smartest strategy for the mafia team there, when I believe the votes were still relatively split. It was a progressive read that tanked as time went on and she noticed her activity had waned, not improved. And I fully believe that scum!Tere would tell Silver to have her one made case be on her for this exact reason. Its WIFOM. In the game I scummed with Trfel, he scummed me in his last dying post. We were both scum. Meh, like I said. Wifom. I don't wanna run myself in circles too much over it. But I do note that Tere's tone is one of confidence and aggression. I believe 100% she is proud enough to think she could win without Silver. | ||
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And Trfel makes a good point about Silver going back to lurking and not pushing once she realized she was actually more at risk than Trfel was. She could quite possibly have been told to stop bussing her partner for fear of giving away too much. | ||
The Shining
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Next vote? Me. Votes were tied 2-2. Trfel/Zlef on Silver. Tere/Silver on Trfel. If I'm scum, which I'm not, I just pushed my partner into the lynch lead with that vote. Horribad. I am not scum. Next vote: You! You were the deciding vote and voted Trfel! Immediately, Tere becomes aggressive. Wants to gladiate Trfel. Super cocky. You come back with saying Trfel reads town to you and the filter is too big. Her tone changes. Immediately wants you to believe big filter isn't alignment indicative. It isn't the size of the filter for Trfel, it is the content. You could have saved your scum partner here if you are scum. But you saved Trfel and lynched Silver. Town move. Last vote? I ask Tere to lynch Silver and we'll lynch Trfel tomorrow. She obliges. Her scum partner is already dead. Why be the only one voting with her when she flips? Tere is literally the most and only logical explanation for a bus here. | ||
The Shining
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On February 20 2015 12:20 Trfel wrote: I don't mind Tere's silence. Pretty sure she would go to sleep, it's late in Europe. Maybe an argument could be made for it, but there are so many other strong arguments, why use a question mark? Fair point. I should be scumread for all my time zone and timing issues this game ROFL. | ||
The Shining
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Logic dictates if I'm wrong on her, I'd be wrong on you, as well. It could very well be you, and I'm not intentionally trying to put you two in a Gladiator scenario. But she is scum so point is moot. | ||
The Shining
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Your Hier vote seemed a bit scummy. You seemed to try to distance yourself from it while trying to give Hier some town cred but not really pushing anyone else. Then again, I was busy and sheeped a vote from RSo on him so I have no right to judge anyone's Hier vote. You did try to engage him and feel his thought process out, it really felt like you wanted him to help us decide if he was scum or town, instead of just reading him as scum, which is easiest for a scum agenda. | ||
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And welcome, Palmar. I'm totally sorry about the hand you just got dealt. I'll parrot Trfel, though. I will wait for your entry post before putting my vote down. Unless you'd like to concede? Trfel, stellar case. Granted, it felt pretty much open and shut here but your willingness to go in depth in that case and make such cohesive points and examples anyway, and during Night, pretty much erased what little anxiety I had over you. And you successfully pocketed the hell out of me if by some disastrous act of God you flip scum because I literally see no way that happens anymore. Sorry for my absence last night. I'm going to be completely honest in that I invested a lot, emotionally, into D2, especially in my interaction with Tere. Revisiting it after such a clear cut case from Trfel just feels like overkill for me, even more so now that Tere has been replaced. If you really, REALLY want me to do so, I can but I'm not sure what we can get from it, since the player is no longer a part of the game. Tere, regardless of alignment, well played. If it was something I did or that deception I pulled concerning Silver's lynch(promising to lynch Trfel next to guarantee scumSilver being lynched), I apologize but I was just playing to my wincon. You obviously have a lot of mafia experience and I'd love to see you in another game here. Preferably one where you can start from the beginning. Replacing is never easy, from keeping up with the thread to dedicating time to playing. Thank you for the obvious effort you put in while you were here. | ||
The Shining
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Ely couldn't either. He was NK. Presumably because scum doesn't want us having a confirmed town around but... Palmar. If you really are town and this has all been one town v town v town feud, the sooner you post, the better. I have a theory I'm toying with but I won't post it until I can dive and verify it. | ||
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Thread temperature check. We still have more than 1 real life day worth of time to reassess and reanalyze anything that may have felt amiss. Red flag: no one is even remotely thinking about doing this. Ely hinted at it but yeah, he's gone. Been rereading and rereading both Tere's case on Trfel and Trfel's case on Tere. They are both very strong, very well thought out cases. The more I look into and cross check each one, the more each one feels markedly more Townie to me. Yes, Trfel basically responded to and picked apart Tere's case on him. But I wanna win this damn game. And I won't do that taking the easiest way out. A wrong case is not alignment indicative. Trfel - Tere is no longer playing. Little to nothing to go on regarding Palmar. I honestly have to ask you if you could see yourself lynching anyone other than Palmar. Because I'm going to spend the next 24 on a case that I think is key to winning. And it will be even more important should Palmar still end up being lynched and flipped town. I want you all to put tunneling aside. One of us that is still alive has contributed quite literally nothing in this game. And there were wayyyyyyyy too many things regarding this player that got lost in the shuffle over Tere v Shining, Trfel v Tere, etc. I'm on a tablet(double shift at work tonight) but once I get some time on a computer at home tomorrow, I'll work on getting it up. | ||
The Shining
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On February 21 2015 19:54 zlefin wrote: I've been well aware of that possibility. But I still think the Tere slot is the best lynch for today. If that lynch turns town, then I'll do a serious reconsideration of things. You have more than 24 hours left in this day phase. Why not start doing so like I am? Scum would love for us to chalk this up as an easy win, walk away and then go full panic mode with nothing to show if we get screwed with a town flip. | ||
The Shining
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On February 21 2015 23:08 Palmar wrote: Shining, do you intend to vote for me? As of this moment, yes. But I've been up all night at work, home now, I'll be back in a few hours after sleep. Give me a reason not to vote you. If you're town, you should be less concerned on where I'm voting and more concerned with scumhunting and finding an alternate lynch instead of yourself. | ||
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I was thinking we could lynch Palmar and if its a mislynch, I could run this case but being one of the apparent universal townreads right now, I probably wouldn't be around D4 in the case of a mislynch today. Something about Palmar mentioning the "best lynch" really gave me some pause. Tere really honestly wasn't going to be the best lynch today. All you have to do is look at her filter. But with no one pressuring or diving JJB, or anyone else, and town being so ready to settle on a lynch, no one was going to realize that. Let me state this clearly. The worst thing Town can do today is settle on a lynch based on one case, albeit a good one, BEFORE EON EVEN HAPPENS. ESPECIALLY AFTER A SCUM FLIP. Look at ALL interactions with the flipped scum. I'm just as guilty as the rest of you when it comes to tunneling Tere and believing she is scum. Trfel's case pretty much hammered that and everyone seems content to follow it. SO, not only will I be casing Jar Jar Bink's as the Mafia Goon but I will also be following up with why Tere is more likely to flip Town. JJB has done a stellar job of being under the radar, this entire game. With the Silver scum flip, I decided to re-evaluate his entire play from D1 on. I will do my best to keep this case easily readable and concise. DAY 1 + Show Spoiler + D1 - His entrance to the game is very quiet and forgettable, opening with a question that doesn't need to be asked or answered here.. Looks like he just wants to look active and contributing early. Throws out useless reads that say nothing here.. Summary: Trfel is either scum or town(duh), my reaction was expected, even though RSo and Trfel both felt off on it. From there, we get more nothing posts, one of which is him clearly stating his insights are trash. If your wincon is to lynch scum as town, I don't care how trash you think your reads are. You share them, you push them, you let other town tell you where you are right or wrong. Especially in a newbie game. This is how you learn. You dont just sit back and let other Townies carry you to a win. Next up is the Hier Bridges reaction. Almost everyone decided that it was a bad idea for town and would take away from two main scumhunting tools: vote analysis and analysis of intehelpful s. I say almost because there was one person very onboard with it. Jar Jar. Next few posts he talks about nothing BUT until RSo and "excel testing" convince him it isn't helpful here. He claims to see that the Bridges Method is scum-favored in that post. If that is the case, why are his next few posts STILL ABOUT THE BRIDGES METHOD AND TRYING HIS HARDEST TO GET HIER TO CONVINCE US TO USE IT. Makes no sense. He towns Hier for most of the reasons we all scummed Hier. At one point, Trfel clearly states he will not town read Hier off of the Bridges strategy alone, which is exactly what JJB did. Keeping in mind scum know exactly who is town, it looks like JJB knows Hiers mislynch is picking up traction. So he does his best to make sure everyone knows he is the one Townreading Hier.Proof JJB follows that up with sheeping thread sentiment. He wants to see more from Zlefin's reads(I pushed that) and ElyAs. He is continuosly sheeping and gauging thread temperature on where his next mislynch wagon can go, in case Hier defends himself out of his. At one point, without anyone asking him, he switches my read from null/suspicious to STRONG TOWNREAD here. PLEASE READ THIS POST AND ALL OTHERS IN HIS FILTER BEFORE IT. It is a rather weak explanation, no progression, no examples of where or how I scumhunted. But I'm strongest townread now! There is no explanation or prompting for this post...except that a few posts before that one, I posted this. I clearly call for the thread, namely town, to keep a close eye on Trfel and JJB. Bam, his next post concerning me is a strong townread. Scum like to give free townreads to town for towncred. I really wish I had caught this unwarranted strong read earlier. Might I add that on D1, most people had me as suspicious or null. So JJB's reads are pretty original in that everyone else believes the contrary Moving on, ElyAs scumreads JJB. JJB's stance on ElyAs is "I like his posts.". RSo picks up on this and JJB responds to it here.. Note that JJB can't clearly explain why he likes Ely's posts as town. As scum, you can't come out and say you like someone's posts because you know they're town. So he comes up with yet another painfully weak townread, though not as strong. He asked 2 questions(scum can do this too) and he scumread JJB. He had a reason to, if he remembers correctly. UM, WHAT? If someone is scum reading me as town, you better believe I know damn well exactly what post and what point was used against me. And personally, I will never, ever like a persons posts if they're scumming me(see: my Tere reaction). Not until I can explain objectively if I understand why they read me that way. IRONICALLY ENOUGH, JJB KNOWS THIS. He says so as he takes up my gauntlet and defends me from Trfel questioning. Post.. He defends my being weary of Trfel's opening. He sort of lies in the next point. He points out his scum game and says I probably haven't read it. Feels like a temp check if JJB is already thinking about NKs. Who can spot a JJB scum meta? RSo(killed N1) and apparently myself, if I read his other scum game. I wonder if I would've died N1 had I said I did in fact read that game. Whatever, wifom. He says I'm damn good at catching him on out other forum. Thanks for the ego boost, bro, but I'm really not. I'm almost positive I've mislynched you more than that 1 time I caught you. 3rd point is he disagrees with my Zlefin case. Won't scum me for it but it is weak. OK. That's pretty null. But 4th point. My defensiveness could be scum like. But he uses meta to explain that I normally play this way, which is true. Its proven in my interactions with Trfel and Tere. The main red flag is, why is he coming to my aid? I realize Trfel asked everyone their thoughts, but before this, JJB's read on me was weak. Strong townread but no support. It isn't lost on me that he knows I'm suspicious of him now. Him white knighting me feels like he's trying his damndest to pocket me. FML I HAVE TO LEAVE WORK NOW. JJB's filter was worst than I expected. Trfel, I might bump you for largest case this game. There are a few other small things on D1 worth mentioning but I really think D2 is where he messed up. I will finish the D2 portion, vote analysis on D1 and D2(better vote analysis, please disregard my last one, looking back it feels a bit rushed) and explanation of my Tere/Palmar townread when I get home from work. | ||
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On February 22 2015 13:02 Trfel wrote: My main worry about lynching jarjarbinks is that he always looks scummy. It's sort of like sicklucker, I have a really hard time trying to get a read on them because of this. Rsoultin has said multiple times that jarjarbinks always gets scumread, and she usually has to defend jarjarbinks really forcefully. So my main request for your case isn't to show that jarjarbinks looks scummy, I would want you to show that jarjarbinks looks more scummy than normal, and why that means that he can't be town. And I don't really know how it's possible to prove that, which would make me really uncomfortable lynching jarjarbinks. Again, I'll take a look, and I'll read jarjarbinks' filter, but it's a hard lynch to be confident about just by its nature. The voting analysis and D2 analysis will help with that. If not, and Palmar lynch goes through and flips town, one of us will die tonight. The other HAS to push JJB. Look at Zlefin filter compared to JJb. Look at Tere's compared to his. Just wait, I'll put it all together. | ||
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I've just never scumread JJB this badly before. K I'm oiutmtil I get home, later | ||
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Alright, I'm home. I won't be responding to JJB's defense or Trfel's analysis of the first part of my case until the rest of it is up. I purposely posted that first half to see what the reaction would be and it's exactly as I expected. Trfel is looking at it critically, and JJB...well, I'll add JJB's defense to the end of the case. | ||
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N1 This one's short and sweet. JJB has 5 posts throughout the night phase. Throws out that due to votes, he would be most suspicious of Trfel, Ely, Silver, Tere. Hints at possibly being NK'd because "mafia might not like Star Wars" which is off, because he was far from universally townread. Note that out of these 4 names, Silver is there but is not one of the 2 shots he later comes back with to answer Tere's question. He prefers shooting Ely and Tere. Cases Ely, Cases Tere. JJB said himself his reads are bad, right? So the logical conclusion is he is wrong on these. And Ely flipped Doc. I think Tere flips VT. This leads into D2, as his posting was just minutes before EoN. Kind of convenient, since general town consensus was that RSo would be best at reading JJB and he posted reads on Ely and Tere right after. NK is WIFOM but I can't help but find it worth mentioning that a Silver-JJB scumteam is most threatened by RSoultin. D2/Interactions With Silverarte + Show Spoiler + After the reads on Ely and Tere, JJB proceeds, once more, to defend his strongest townread in me. Defends my Hier vote. I can't shake the feeling that if JJB's reads are all bad according to him, how am I his only correct one? I didn't really find my play leaning strong Town until post-Tere interaction. WHY IS HE TRYING TO DEFEND ME SO HARD? I'm not even in any immediate danger here. Then this post right here just screamed red flag in my brain upon rereading it. Banding together lynch deaths and night deaths? They have two totally different significances when it comes to vote analysis. Especially since it is generally accepted that NKs are WIFOM. Seems like a scumtell that all deaths look the same. But mostly, for D2, I want to ping on his case on Silver. When it came to Ely and Tere, he had 3-4 bullets on each one, thought out, pretty solid. He was asked for a Silver read and forgot it for a while, even says so himself. Then he finally does and its so weak and non-committed, considering how weak Silver's stance was at that point. Here is the post. Calls her forgettable(parroting RSo), feels everyone else's case on her was good and she didn't really have any good cases herself. Hints that the most we'll get from Silver is from these recent posts. Gives her cred for a lot of effort in scumreading town, "which is odd because everyone was leaning town on her until then." He is still trying to give her BoD. He eventually summarizes here. He makes excuses for her, then calls them excuses. Asks anyone scumreading Silver to ignore her early posts and read her based on her content post. And that first line of that last paragraph sounds funny. "I had Tere #2 in my lynch list before but I think Silver is more lynchable." So your #2 is still your #2 instead of replacing your #1. But now that Silver is pressured, he is setting up to bus. I'd also like to note that Silver N1 dropped this gem. Just chiming in to make sure people know he's been scumread as town before. It looks like she's trying to deflect off of Jar Jar. The next post of interest is his response to me wanting him to give me a read on Silver. He never does. And the post makes no sense, I wish I would've noticed sooner. Post. He asked me if I'm still that suspicious of Tere. I respond saying I will get nowhere pushing her after my argument with her and would rather look for the other, more obvious scum. His response? I am right. She is the most inactive, it'll be easy to mislynch her if she's town. Later flips could determine if she's scum. WTF IS HE TALKING ABOUT HERE? He is panicking. His scumpartner Silver is outed. Now he is Silver-centric, bus-centric and no longer trying to scumhunt. He forgot HIS OWN LINE OF QUESTIONING TO ME ABOUT BEING SUSPICIOUS OF TERE. He's THAT concerned with agreeing with someone else thinking Silver could be a mislynch. 2 mins later, he must've realized his mistake because he leaves the thread. NEVER GAVE ME A READ ON SILVER. At this point, we go into D2 EoD and his vote on Trfel over Silver. He comes in, wonders why people are voting Trfel, hints that he hasn't read thread(scumtell). Says defensive Trfel looks scum. READS ARE NOT CONSISTENT. I'M DEFENSIVE D1 AND I'M TOWNED FOR IT. Then another post hinting at Silver being a mislynch. BUT, give him time. He might just kill the lurker. He's torn. He can't decide if he pushes the mislynch and outs himself, or buses his partner for towncred. Finally decides he can't get away with mislynching Trfel due to content, filter size...huh. Before doing that, he asked me if I townread Trfel for his filter size. Interesting. I'm still not done but gawd, this thing is so damn long. But it's worth it. I just really hope that you read this, Town. | ||
The Shining
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Gives her cred for a lot of effort in scumreading Tere(I originally wrote town), "which is odd because everyone was leaning town on her until then." He is still trying to give her BoD. | ||
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On February 22 2015 16:47 Trfel wrote: I think that I'll have to go to bed after I get through that post. I'm really tired. But seriously, thanks a bunch for being willing to go through all this filter diving and case making. No problem. I want to win. I'll do a better D2 vote analysis here shortly, as well as get around to responding to your concerns regarding JJB's D1. And I'll get to his emotionally charged defensive post, as well. His tone and posting this Day Phase in particular has changed quite markedly. | ||
The Shining
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My ORIGINAL D2 voting analysis is in the spoiler for reference. It needed to be expanded on. I let JJB fly under the radar on this again. + Show Spoiler + On February 20 2015 09:40 The Shining wrote: As much as I don't feel this is necessary, I did this N2 in the last Newbie Mini and I'm doing it here. Vote Analysis: Preliminary votes of the day. Scum Silver only has 1 vote on her. Its Trfel. That's a really bad bus. But it gets better. So Tere was on Trfel. Stays on Trfel. Keeps pushing him. Continuously leaves herself an open leeway stating Silver is also scum. But really seems dead set and intent on pushing Trfel first. Now at this point, I could maybe still believe Trfel bussing Silver. Until he actively pushes Silver as an alternate lynch to himself instead of Tere. I'm sorry, I don't see scum Trfel bussing his partner AS ROLEBLOCKER WITH A CLAIMED DOC. I would expect scum Trfel to push Tere. Hard. Especially with the early case and suspicions on her. At this point, scum Trfel IMO would've conceded. Tere got cocky and started throwing gladiating out there once more. Was probably 100% confident in the mislynch going through. What happens? 10 mins before EoD, ElyAs shows up and screws everything up for her. Switches to Silver. JJB goes through Trfels filter, compares it to Silver, she is objectively a much better lynch. Now she's the only one besides Silver on Trfel. If she stays there, the scum team looks so damn obvious they should just concede right then. So she busses Silver. But its too late. Damage is done. IMO, one of the last 2 votes on a scum flip is usually scum bussing to screw vote analysis. Unfortunately for scum Tere, the other of the last 2 votes is claimed Doc. I'm sorry this looks so bad but I'm on a tablet, getting posts out is difficult. Getting them to look pretty is hard. But this needed to be posted before the NK. If town really feels like obliging the Gladiating between Tere and Trfel, I say Tere goes first. Notice how in the early voting, neither JJB nor Silver had voted yet. This is an important lynch for scum. If JJB begins to swap votes back and forth, it becomes suspicious. Silver doesn't vote yet because all 3 wagons besides hers are mislynches and only have 1 vote. She isn't sure which one she wants to hammer, so she holds back her vote until one gains traction. JJB is also hanging back. Moving on, we see votes after Ely's Doc claim. He's no longer a viable wagon. Now everyone is voting. Except the scumteam. They see my wasted vote on Tere and know I'm town. They wait to see if my vote is going to stay there or if it moves to see if saving Silver is possible. Lastly, we have the ultimate vote count. The Trfel wagon. Tere, ElyAs, Silver, JJB. Boom. Scum is hammering the mislynch. But immediately afterwards, both Tere and Trfel case Silver. Hard. Alarms go off. He has to bus, which he does 4 minutes after Tere's case in the voting thread and the same minute Trfel posts his case. And he is so flustered he unvotes Silver to vote Trf again to then unvote Trf and vote Silver again. That's just off. He's jumpy. That's it for vote analysis expansion. Coming up next, responses and if I'm not sleepy yet, Tere's filter dive. If not, that happens tomorrow. | ||
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On February 22 2015 07:48 Palmar wrote: Anyway, tomorrow's mission is to figure out who screwed up ![]()
We'll discover the answer tomorrow! 1) No. Those things alone are why I have him as town, along with tons of original reads, strong pushes, not only discussing but leading it. But also thinking critically of anything else discussed instead of dismissing it. 2) Yes. Because I can't seem to give up this case on JJB and keep seeing clues to it everywhere. He starts D3 with a nice goodbye to Tere. Generally I like the friendly tone but here, I could see it coming from guilty feelings as scum. Sheeps the Trfel case and says he's going to point out everything he likes/agrees with. But then immediately rescinds this on the basis of sparing Tere's feelings. I don't feel that's a good enough reason to stop giving your thoughts and contributing to the thread on the case involving the day's lynch. And that one post. It feels too calculated. I'm not sure I can chalk it up to more than a tonal read but that's not the JJB I'm used to playing with. For one thing, WoT is not really his style. Take, for example, his reactions to Trfel's Tere case, to Silver's case. He quotes them in sections. This one is just...too different. It's in the spoiler. + Show Spoiler + On February 22 2015 01:44 jarjarbinks wrote: I think Palmar is trying to get us to tell him our biggest points on him so he can properly defend himself without addressing every single thing that's been put on him. It makes sense, and I think it's fair considering the condition he started this game in. I honestly don't want to go to far into this because I want Tere to come back and play more games. You do deserve to know what points are the most important to defend yourself though. The point that struck home for me the most was Tere's switch on Trf when Silver was looking worse and worse. In Tere's reads, she clearly has Silver as very scummy and part of the mafia team with Trf. I think town Tere would have gone after Silver first, while telling people to look at Trf's filter and make her case on Trf the next day. Instead, she goes after a mostly townread (by everyone I believe) Trf with her case while the other scum is literally at the chopping block. The mafia Tere is much more likely to try to go after Trf to save silver for another round, while at the same time taking down one of the more active towns. Shining, I think your idea is a good one. We have time to relook at things just in case Tere/Palmar is town. I'm really struggling to do this because Tere looks so mafia right now, but I put down my thoughts. Trf has been making most of the strongest cases in this game, which really strengthens the argument that he is town. I think Tere's case showed how it might be possible that he is mafia, but his last mafia game is nothing compared to this one if he actually is mafia. He's been carrying the team on this game. I have been mostly townreading you throughout this game, and looking back through your filter, it's hard for me to see you being the mafia. If you were mafia, the activity you showed in Day1 to your rant is drastically different from your rant-now which would definitely help your end game which poses a red flag? The lack of people really scumreading you late game could also be a red flag. But I definitely believe your reasoning behind your activity change and your play throughout the game has been towny to me. Zlefin appears towny since D1. Looking back through his Day1 filter, I can see how town zlefin played D1 as well. I guess my only concern here would be that nobody has scumread him since D1 really (besides silver I guess). Most people have kind of left him alone. As a new player, you would think mafia would look at him. But he has looked very towny since D1 I believe. As far as carrying town, I think he has done the least out of the three (besides me) yet still appears very towny, so I think I would consider him very suspicious after a relook if Tere/Palmar actually turns town. I could see myself being mafia if I was any of yall lol I always get voted for in these games because of my play and I haven't yet. I had an outlier D1. I waffled on Trf D2. A lot of my reads were not original. My voting analysis has me as primary suspect after day 1 and still suspicious play in D2. And yet I haven't been scumread much lol So he decides to tell us his thoughts on Tere, after all. And as I read it now, I find it interesting that he fits into the exact same scenario. JJB's vote switch and initial vote look just as bad, if not worse, as I showed in my vote analysis. I think Tere was tunneled on Trfel. JJB says that she was always suspicious of Silver and town Tere would've pushed her before Trfel. However, look at the difference in content and contribution between Silver and Tere. If Tere is playing for town and really believing her case, Trfel is a much bigger threat as scum to keep alive another day. Silverarte is just easy cleanup. In my experience, tunneling that hard on a player such as Trfel(almost universally townread, large filter, lots of content) is suicide for scum. It is much more likely that misguided town believes their case wholeheartedly and tunnels. In short, I don't like why he likes Tere as the lynch. There could be so many other reasons. Trfel had a case full. He likes my idea of stepping back and looking at everything fresh. And gives us this big WoT post for it. But nothing has changed. So it's a bunch of nothing. He's been towning me but seems to raise a red flag on me for having a different rant. When did I rant outside of the Tere argument? He says Zlefin is towny because he sees how he can be town. Notices no one has scumread him since D1. That's a decent point, besides my early pressure vote on him. But he also says besides Silver. Huh. Why is that important? It's WIFOM. Does she scum him early to keep bussing options open as scum or to see if she can push him to a mislynch? It wants to lead you right down into the rabbit hole. Not helpful. JJB repeats himself and says he looks towny since D1 again. He's trying to appeal to the free townread towncred point I've mentioned before. Also mentions Zlefin hasn't "carried" town so he'd be a suspect if Palmar flips town. JJB falls right into that category, as well, but he acknowledges it. JJB tends to acknowledge his scummy moments a lot this game. It's as if he's watching his every move and making jokes about it to deflect. He even goes a step further and lightly and jokingly cases himself. More WIFOM for Town to drown in. Finishes it off with he hasnt been scumread much. It's almost a challenge. | ||
The Shining
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4) There is something very plain and honest in the way Zlefin is sure of the Tere lynch and not willing to engage with the Tere/Palmar slot. I personally can relate to being a bit unsure of how to respond to replacements, especially when they replace the player that was in your eyes a clear cut lynch decision. It's similar to the tunneling I saw in Tere regarding Trfel. Zlefin has put what effort he can into this game, his filter has clear cut scumhunting examples and he actually directed us onto the Silver lynch quite early in voting. | ||
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On February 22 2015 13:40 jarjarbinks wrote: Saw that case on me by the Shining. I'll let him finish his case, but there were a few notes I would make mostly for the Shining: 1. This is confusing coming from you about my previous games. You've been in all my previous games. I don't have a "meta scum game". Oy. I just caught what happened here. I was victim to formatting error, FFS. THIS IS WHY FORMATTING POSTS IS IMPORTANT. This is the only part of my case I'll rescind. Upon looking into it, I was talking about a post where it says your last scum game was Horn. That was Trfel's post I see now, not yours, but the formatting error confused the hell out of me. PLEASE DISREGARD THAT PARAGRAPH. 2. You calling my Day 1 reads weak is also confusing coming from you. YOUVE BEEN IN ALL MY PREVIOUS GAMES. Think of a read I had that was actually strong in your opinion. See, I don't like this. You're trying to appeal to a meta read from me instead of providing examples of consistent weak D1 reads. One thing I've learned here is that meta reads are inconsistent, especially in Newbie Games. Sure, it can help, but I personally do not invest much in it. Like you said, I've never seen a scum game of yours here on TL. You could very well play it exactly how you play Town. The point is, I DON'T KNOW and I'm not nearly confident enough to trust that alone. 3. This is sappy, be warned. I defended Hier mostly because I empathized with him. He came out with a strategy that say wasn't the best but it was different. He obviously was trying. Everyone comes down on him and makes him feel like trash. At one point I could have sworn you guys were going to get him to quit. And don't even think that he wouldn't, you guys already got two others to quit. In my first game on here, IN A NEWBIE GAME, you guys literally made me feel like crap. Fair point. This can still come from either alignment and I've mentioned before that guilt in scum is not unheard of. This is an appeal to emotion and damn good guilt trip. But mafia is a game of deception in nature. This alone is far from alignment indicative. 4. In some places in your case, you insult my intelligence. In others, you make act like I can actually have a decent strategy. Please pick one. More nothing. I never tried to paint you as "stupid" scum or "smart" scum. Just scum. This is an oddly defensive tone for things I didn't outright say. 5. I have played with you for 3 games. I've seen you constantly scumread anyone that scumreads you, especially day one. Granted, you can change your behavior, but that is why I defended you. Ok, relying on meta again. Do you have any other concrete way of townreading me this game besides knowing exactly who is town as scum? 6. YOU'VE BEEN IN ALL MY GAMES! I ALWAYS CALL MY READS CRAP! Do you just ignore me in all my games? I just don't get it. More meta referral. It's as if, in a Newbie Game, the third one we played together, he really thinks I'm confident enough to be sold on his town meta already. The other forum does not count. It is a completely different paced game, different meta, much slower pace. If you saw my posts over there, you wouldn't know it was me. It is very possible that scum JJB went in with the sole intention of trying to play exactly like town JJB. I can't use any of these meta points alone to townread you the way you can with me, sorry. I'm sure you have a great case that you will spend hours on, and I'm glad you are scumhunting that much. But please think objectively. Stop trying to sell your case and post what you actually think about it. I do, at least in my opinion. And you can see the hours spent on it from start to finish. Like I told Trfel, I want to win. And I have been thinking objectively. This took so long because I spent the first 24 hours running Zlefin, Trfel and Tere's filters through this same microscope. Yours came up dirtiest, by a long shot. And believe it or not, I believe in what I'm selling. Realistically, I did all of this knowing it was a damn hard longshot to not see Palmar lynched today. However, the longer this sits here readily available for eyes to see should that mislynch occur, the better chances Town has of winning. | ||
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Also, I mentioned before JJB's tone changed today. Just look at that post responding to my case, trying to head it off before I could continue with it. It's defensive and panicky. There is still a decent amount of time left before EoD, practically another irl day, and as far as thread sentiment, Zlefin doesn't look like he'll budge off of Palmar. JJB wasn't really at risk of being lynched today and is pretty jumpy about it. | ||
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This is rushed, I'll try to answer what I can and felt was most relevant. JJB's defense is horrible. I really find it telling that Trfel can find better defenses for JJB than Trfel can. And I hate hate hate newbie meta cases. Maybe this is Geript rubbing off on me from last Student game but it is too weak of a point for me to give any credit. BUT, objectively, JJB did link his filter to the last 2 town games. Meta wise, he has a bigger filter this game with less content. Take a look at that game where we lynched him D3 and lost. Trfel made a point that JJB was asked for a Silver read and therefore may not have been committed to it for that reason. In his interactions with others in these other town games, his responses are much more in depth when people ask him for his opinion compared to the flimsy Silver read IN WHICH HE NEVER FLATLY STATES HER ALIGNMENT. This makes me think all of JJb's meta case appeals are just BS. He could very well knowingly have emulated his town play, and pretty well at that, except for his interactions with Silver. | ||
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I agree with the anti-town Zlefin attitude likely being more town than scum. Or it could just all be wifom. And JJB is sure there is no tomorrow. Even now, Trfel is critically thinking and playing with possibilities should Palmar be a mislynch. It looks like you guys are going to lynch Palmar, after all. Regardless, my vote stays. | ||
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On February 23 2015 08:07 jarjarbinks wrote: lol there won't be a tomorrow! You are showing that you are trying, which draws confusion. After some analysis you go ahead and sheep shining's read because it is your only way out from getting lynched. And don't even think I missed that feel question from you before you decided to finally vote for me. You were definitely checking to see if I thought about voting shining, so you can change the way you are making your reads. This point is bad. I am not in any danger of being mislynched at this point. Trfel seems to still be leaning strong town on me, Zlefin is very obstinate about us all being town and Palmar being scum, and you and Palmar alone cannot lynch me. And Palmar is only slightly suspicious. Also, being original in being the only one being suspicious of me. So why would he think about you voting me? Its a wasted vote, and a weird point for you to bring up. | ||
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Pretty sure that's what Palmar was getting at in one of his last posts. Also Trfel, that's not alignment indicative. Town has more of a reason to be interested in a flip here to see if he won the game. He didn't but since he is here, he posts anyway. Not the best post but he posted. Unless it happened during me typing up this post, the only one not reacting is JJB. | ||
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On February 23 2015 09:38 zlefin wrote: I'm annoyed at you about this. Please don't misrepresent my position. I stated my position VERY clearly and repeatedly in thread. I never said you were all town and tere was scum. I said it was the best lynch by a sufficiently large margin that that wasn't going to change with more analysis. WTF is this post?! If you feel she's the best lynch, you think she's scum. By poe, you think everyone not her is town. If that's not true, you don't think she's scum. IF YOU DONT THINK SHES SCUM, WTF WERE YOU VOTING HER?! OK. Be annoyed. I'm not here to coddle you. I'm sorry you feel I misrepresented you. I don't feel that way. | ||
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On February 23 2015 09:39 zlefin wrote: You only knew that you were right after the fact, before that it was an educated guess only. I'm done sparing feelings. Bad post is bad. I capitalized the word KNOW for the exact reason you made this post. The sentence is a very clear "I feel stronger about it now that I KNOW I'm right" inferring I didn't know I was right beforehand. Thank you for paraphrasing what I said but wording it so that it reflects negatively on me. Trfel, you casing Zlefin? You seem to think JJB isn't the lynch here. You are who I least suspect. If you stick by your hints, I assume you'll be looking into Zlefin. | ||
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I'd be making a huge mistake in not listening to anything and everything you have to say, Trfel, especially in regards to lylo and me being tunneled. I'll consider everything and anything put into this thread from anyone, at this point. I asked you to do the same with my JJB case. I don't like your reaction to it, but that's ego and me thinking I'm right, nothing else. JJB, you know what? I might be. And you've been the lylo mislynch before. As you mentioned, I mislynched you. I really don't want to be put into this same position again. To answer you, if my reads on you are wrong, I lose. I want to win. This sucks. So if you are indeed town, I'm about to ask you, actually beg you, to come back with something useful and start reading town to me. Honestly, I don't see myself diving JJB's filter after all the time I spent on it last night. I'll be looking into Zlefin tonight. This could be a fatal mistake but I don't care, there is no way I'm lynching Trfel tomorrow. At all. I may skim your filter after I'm done with Zlefin but I'm pretty sure I won't come up with anything on you, especially anything new. To me, JJB's filter looked more damning than Zlefin's, but Zlefin's wasn't THAT much better. I might just case Zlefin with a full filter analysis like I did JJB. It'll be helpful to compare the two, and see you compare the two. This is why I asked you if you planned on casing Zlefin. If you are, would you rather I wait or go first? Or set an agreed upon time to post it? I leave work in 2 hours. I'll probably be looking at the same timeframe as I did for last night's JJB case. Understand that I am only doing this because in lylo, with or without me, I want to see town win and want to give you the best chances. And like I said yesterday, worst thing Town can do is start a Day already decided on a lynch. I was right because that led to a Palmer mislynch. I'm taking my own advice here. | ||
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List the 4 of us from most likely to be scum to least likely to be scum, objectively, and be as honest as possible. I will view statements such as "I know I'm town so I'm least likely to be scum" as an unwillingness to discuss and cooperate and taking the easy way out. The more examples you can provide, the better. | ||
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On February 23 2015 11:29 Trfel wrote: Here's where we stand. I am town. I am very confident that The Shining is town, and I think that assuming I die tonight, I will need to be willing to accept losing to mafia!The Shining (The Shining, if you are mafia, your play has been truly inspired). If I don't die tonight, maybe I can find some time to reread him, but I will play assuming that I die tonight. Fortunately, we will have at least one very likely town alive for LYLO, so our chances of RNG lynching scum are about 50%. I think that jarjarbinks is town and that zlefin is scum. The Shining thinks that zlefin is town and jarjarbinks is scum. This is the perfect opportunity for mafia night kill WIFOM, and therefore at least The Shining and I (Trfel) need to take into full consideration the reads of the dead player. And to be honest, if we can set this lynch before the end of the night, I don't think that's bad. I don't think we will be able to, as we don't have enough time, but that would be ideal to me. I'm going to go reread the entire thread. I don't know if I am going to case zlefin. While it would be good to case both zlefin and jarjarbinks and see what is stronger, I don't think I have the luxury of that. I would prefer to figure out conclusively which of them is scum, and then they actually won't even need to be cased. The likely scenario is that one of me (Trfel) or The Shining dies. Zlefin and jarjarbinks will probably vote for each other, leaving whichever of me and The Shining is alive to choose the lynch, so really a case isn't entirely necessary. Just saw this post. Heh. I honestly feel flattered that you really believe I could improve my scum game that immensely from one game to the next. I've also had these exact thoughts, BTW. If you're mafia, you pocketed the hell out of me N2 and I never looked back. That's how good your town read is. Also agree with the night kill wifom point. I think I actually mentioned that in a recent post. Its why I think I die tonight. NK = wifom. Me as NK after JJB case = ultimate wifom. JJB kills the person most set on lynching him? Or Zlefin kills the person most likely to mislynch JJB to frame JJB? I don't see it being very likely that we agree on a lynch tonight. I think I'll do that, too(reread the game from D1 up to now). And Trfel, it would be ideal to have you case both and compare but it is a bit extreme given time restraints and I already have a JJB case up. Feel free to compare mine instead after I do Zlefin. Also agree with that being the most likely lynch scenario. Hence my question last post. Their answers will be useful, to say the least. | ||
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Zlefin really picked up on his post count and effort tonight right before lylo, huh? That is a bit suspect. His filter and play today, along with the points Trfel put out on him, actually look pretty bad. There will be 48 more hours after EoN to decide on it but first impression, Zlefin does seem to be very cool and calculated. Trfel brought up a few interesting points and I think from them I can see where he sees some of JJB's posting as coming from somewhere genuine and townie, whereas Zlefin has a certain detachment and caution in everything he says and does. | ||
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Overall very very fun game, I learned a lot and was impressed with a lot of people's play. I am also 100% cosigning everything Palmar said lol. GG 10/10 would newbtown again | ||
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On March 02 2015 09:51 Fecalfeast wrote: This insult? D'awwww. You should also avoid robik, rayn, geript... Honestly just avoid all the vets. QFT. I have read a rayn game, played with Geript, not sure on Robik but I'll trust FF here. Sorry you were offended by it. I've learned that things can get heated here, especially when townies have a scum read and are actively trying to solve the game. Just gotta try to have thick skin. And avoid all the vets lol. | ||
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On March 04 2015 16:19 GlowingBear wrote: I want to sincerely apologise Shining for my absence in the coaching qt. It was carnival here and I had some IRL stuff that kept me away from my PC. I am very, very sorry for it. Also, congratulations on your read on JJB. RL stuff is always first, especially if its Carnival =P I hold no grudge or ill will at all, thank you for helping out when you could and giving me some good tips. And thanks for the grats but town still lost </3 I think someone mentioned it before but being right is only half the battle lol | ||
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