I know nothing about this theme...
Newbie Student Mafia X
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Tictock
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I know nothing about this theme... | ||
Tictock
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Not really my style of game, but interesting to find out there are so many with a large fan base making spin off games. | ||
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I'm interested to see what kinda setup we end up with given all these roles. Assuming Early/Mid week start given the next spots fill up in a day or so. If so this will line up perfectly with my days off this week ^.^ | ||
Tictock
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##WatchWarmly | ||
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Tictock
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On May 22 2015 07:31 Bill Murray wrote: ##vote:27ninjabunnies the problem is it's barely too much ninja if it were 26 bunnies you'd be cool Humm this isn't a bad point, but seeing as how I often use the name Ninjunny I can't get on board this wagon. (Ninja Bunnies gotta stick together you understand. Also present and accounted for, though I admit I only skimmed the Day 1 flavor (I'm savoring it...) | ||
Tictock
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On May 22 2015 07:33 sicklucker wrote: (but lets not confuse the first timers) Holy.... a towny post from SL? Crap there goes my meta game plan to lynch him with fire... | ||
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On May 22 2015 07:42 batsnacks wrote: On a scale of 1 to 10 how relevant is this reading and which parts do you think best apply to the game or good town play in general? Before I answer, what was on your mind as you cast your sticks (or coins, w/e you used)? | ||
Tictock
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TM? | ||
Tictock
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On May 22 2015 07:40 Bill Murray wrote: My vote is completely serious. Oh? Why is he scum? | ||
Tictock
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On May 22 2015 07:53 batsnacks wrote: The lake isn't floating that wouldn't make any sense. It's just a lake at the top of a mountain like at the summit or something. Newbie Student Mafia X was on my mind. duh. Eh, more detail would be nice (like thinking of the game's resolution, general excitement for a new game, etc). Idk, it's a bit of a mixed reading imo. We have the promise of succeeds, but who's? By keeping still within while experiencing joy without, one can prevent the joy from going to excess and hold it within proper bounds. This is the meaning of, "Perseverance furthers." Suggests a sort of temperance to me, I'm reading this to mean we are in for a long game. Heaven and earth attract each other and thus all creatures come into being. From the attractions they exert we can learn the nature of all beings in heaven and on earth. All will be revealed, kindof a given since by the end of the game we will all know what people's roles are. I take this to further the notion of a long game, our "attractions" (read: interactions) will help us learn all things, something that is not likely to happen quickly. People soon give up counseling a man who thinks that he knows everything better than anyone else. Interesting line, not sure what to make of it just yet though. In movement, the calf of the leg follows the foot; by itself it can neither go forward nor stand still. Since the movement is not self-governed, it bodes ill. One should wait quietly until one is impelled to action by a real influence. Then one remains uninjured. I don't like the implications here. To me this is supporting scum... BS why does your reading support scum? | ||
Tictock
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Ah, does he open like this a lot? | ||
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On May 22 2015 07:42 batsnacks wrote: On a scale of 1 to 10 how relevant is this reading and which parts do you think best apply to the game or good town play in general? Sorry I got distracted just making my own interpretations of that, lol. I give it an 8. The image counsels that the mind should be kept humble and free, so that it may remain receptive to good advice. Not just good town advice, good advice in any discourse/argument/discussion. | ||
Tictock
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On May 22 2015 08:08 Breshke wrote: Oh yeah and SL is mafia ##Vote Sicklucker Besides him disappearing already what has you thinking this? | ||
Tictock
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On May 22 2015 08:18 batsnacks wrote: @tictok (is your screen name based on the novel by John Sladek btw?) I had a different opinion on the calf following the foot. I took it to mean that it is better to be quiet until there is a reason to speak than to just do meaningless things for no reason. Which isn't necessarily true in mafia but that's the meaning my mind seemed to wander after. I think there is a lot of value in vague words and how people interpret them so I post iching inspired stuff a lot in mafia games. Nope, it's just a name I liked as I was thinking of character/account names. I enjoy the connection to time the name has as well as it being onomatopoeia. I actually really dig your idea here, partially kus I have mad respect for I-ching. I dabbeled in all that stuff (tarot, astrology, etc) for awhile and I-ching always stood out to me as being the most interesting. | ||
Tictock
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Humm you have a point. He did post an handful of stuff pretty fast and then bounce. Seems to be have just made a weak townread and then the weak towny post about not confusing us newbies. Last game when he was town he never gave a shit about confusing us newbies. Now he's making this post defending newbies and town reading Dis, one of the newbies who was also in the last game with us. This does seem like he's scum motivated. | ||
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He is serious you know... | ||
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So far you have shown me that you have good taste in music. You practice I-Ching. And I'm pretty sure you are town. Can we be friends? | ||
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On May 22 2015 08:57 batsnacks wrote: @tictok what if you're mafia trying to pocket me with your overtly friendly wiles? I'm onto you mister you best be scared. Let's all vote SL though. I feel like town SL has close to zero chance of being lynched because he'd never let that happen. Putting pressure on SL and breshke's reads can only lead to good things. ##vote: sicklucker Fair enough good sir, however... you do realize this only makes me town read you harder. I don't know guys. SL looks like he is trying to me... I'm not sure what to make of it yet. I'm more worried about BM atm. That lurk mode... And where are the rest of the newbies? I was expecting to see scott around at least. | ||
Tictock
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On May 22 2015 07:31 Bill Murray wrote: ##vote:27ninjabunnies the problem is it's barely too much ninja if it were 26 bunnies you'd be cool See his whole case doesn't make sense. First 27 is clearly a better number than 26. Ends in a prime, multiple of nine AND 3... 2nd the 27 is CLEARLY attached to ninja more than bunnies, yet BM is asserting that there is too little Ninja. When is there ever too little Ninja? I mean the very absence of Ninja IS Ninja.... so yea... ##vote: Bill Murray | ||
Tictock
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"barely too much" caused my brain to misread that as too little. Idk I stand by what I said | ||
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On May 22 2015 10:09 Bill Murray wrote: I'm not lurking I'm playing via phone at the hospital I just got out if surgery a couple days ago but I get released tomorrow and will help more It might be unfair to hold this against you given that your health is your business, but I'd be willing to give you credit for this excuse if you had mentioned something pre-game. In other words not enough to convince me. Consider my vote a reminder of your promise here if you like. | ||
Tictock
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On May 22 2015 10:24 Sulfurus wrote: @sicklucker is it not normal for the mafia QT to be open during pregame b/c if it is you shouldn't have made that dumbtell also ##Vote: Breshke Welcome to the thread! Wth is this vote? @BM I'm just trying to get something a little more solid from ya since there is a bit of stuff to look over now. I feel you've satisfied that for now. ## Unvote | ||
Tictock
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Doesn't add up. Still I'm willing to give it a pass for now. On May 22 2015 10:45 Bill Murray wrote: ![]() Oh, all that was just for little old me? I'm flattered. I'm still more bothered by Smurfurus poping in making a statement against SL then voting Bre. I don't follow any lines of thinking there at all. | ||
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On May 22 2015 11:10 sicklucker wrote: the best vote in the thread imo. Was it a pocket attempt maybe? but hes new so I doubt it breske looks pretty bad so im not surprised Why is this the best vote? I mean Sul is just dropping it on us w/o any thought. I'll reread Bre's filter but I've just been seeing him tunnel SL, and has given some reasons why he is doing so. SL, if you are just saying this kus he is scumming the guy tunneling you.... | ||
Tictock
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On May 22 2015 11:43 sicklucker wrote: I said it was the best because he called breskes posts bullshit and they are. I still think hes town tho SL, Sul hadn't commented about Bre's posts till after you made that statement. Tell us what you really were thinking when posting that rather than retconning it with stuff you know now. Starting to see shades of red in ya. | ||
Tictock
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On May 22 2015 11:49 plotspot wrote: oh lawl game has started, but I have to go to sleep now, see you tomorrow *celebrate good times come on* This is just asking for Plynch, no? | ||
Tictock
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On May 22 2015 11:43 27ninjabunnies wrote: Sulfurus top town newbie read. Not lynching for entire game. Or maybe atleast 2 days You warmed up to him rather quickly... I'll admit this this is a pretty good post though. On May 22 2015 11:34 Sulfurus wrote: @NinjaBunnies the most important point in this game so far is when Breshke 1st stared pushing on Sicklucker since the conflict between the two has defined the entire game. Speaking of that, Breshke is my top scum since he continuously pushes against Sicklucker with very bad reasoning (#159 he complains that he has disappeared and hasn't thought critically only 3 hours into the game) I also scum read Murray due to his weak and untrue accusation against Dis in post #191 which made me think Sick is town since he tried Bandwagoning on him but he has since rescinded his vote. Yea looking over Bre's filter, I hadn't realized just how focused he is. Completely disregarding the other players in the thread. | ||
Tictock
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Ugh this is why I hate you. "I clearly knew what he ment, duh" Condescending and egomaniacal | ||
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It makes you hard to ever take seriously. Am I really alone in this opinion? | ||
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On May 22 2015 12:20 Bill Murray wrote: ##vote: plotspot. I don't like when people try to slip into the night phase for free off excuses . There are like no posts in this slow game he could easily have caught up. Policy lynch here is better than anything we have to go on. Something I can totally agree on. I'm close to heading to bed. I'm going to do some rereading while considering some of the points made here but unless I find something better to go on I'll join this vote for now. | ||
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On May 22 2015 12:30 sicklucker wrote: Plots one post was so null it hurts I think it falls more into a 2scum2Bscum category. As plenty of other people have stated this hasn't been a hugely active start, nobody is making giant walls of text, I mean you yourself have kept up with it really well. So posting "lol, games started? BBL" is pretty lazy. Actually, no lazy would just not post tonight and jump into the game whenever. This is actively excusing inactivity, that's pretty scummy. SL you also posted this. So I'm doubly sure I'm right. ## Vote: plotspot I'm off to bed. So far I'm forcing myself to null read sicklucker. Breshke is looking scum for his opening. On May 22 2015 12:19 Breshke wrote: Bunnies how can you think it is a bus without even knowing what I was pushing SL about? It was because of his early tow read on disinfo saying he was town because he wasn't stunned by a scum qt and was posting early which didn't make sense because Qts were given out 24 hours prior. He then went on to do nothing useful. Did I think this was scummy yes. As scummy as I made it seem I believed it to be no. I know SL can be lazy D1 so I thought some pressure would be good for him to get him involved hence why I liked bats post because it was the same thought process I was following so it likely makes bats town. I still am fairly unsure on SLs alignment but that's nothing new but it did give me a read on bats and SL isn't being lazy. @sulf you have a problem with me tunnelling SL for bad reasoning so does that mean you think his read on disinformation was a good one or? Could you explain why anything I've said that could make SL scum be wrong This is a decent explanation, but I don't like how much he disregarded while tunneling SL. Not a strong enough case for me to pursue but I'd like to see more from him. Hoping to see this pick up by the time I wake up. | ||
Tictock
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Rels looks pretty town. I like that he is keeping some pressure on SL and that he picked up on my strongest scum read on SL. So far I'm not sure I like boxerfred. He's definitely giving off that newbie vibe but I really don't like how he is going about his reads atm. I mean he starts off giving us 2 posts about how he doesn't know what to take seriously and that he doesn't know who to vote for. Then this pile of WIFOM leads him to a vote? On May 22 2015 19:32 boxerfred wrote: Barakos going the coach way :D I was just starting to ask my coach about that. However, thus far I think I'll go for the guy who voted 27ninjabunnies (which would be BM) since he did not really have a clue and just started with an accusation. That kinda points to the SK role or even a scum role. Can't really tell. However, since Breshke and batsnacks, as well as BM and tictock cast their votes for the same person, they might be somehow linked to each other in their roles, implying they are either scum or masons. Since a mason wouldn't have to cast his vote in a seemingly random/trolly kind of way, I'm going for Bill Murray. Especially since he is no newbie, so I can safely assume he didn't troll but instead made a random vote on purpose. So here we go: ##Vote Bill Murray @BF Your looking too hard for associations and possible role tells before we have any solid (such as flip) info. Based on post content alone, and not possible interactions, who would you read as scum? | ||
Tictock
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@Dis, what do you make of Barakos' stance against you? | ||
Tictock
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Ok BF, I'm more sold that you are just new now. Basically I was saying your logic/thinking there was pretty bad and circular because you are trying to make relational arguments rather than specific things people have said. In general it's bad/dangerous to make reads this way as your more likely to get stuck in your own back and forth thinking than find anything useful. On May 22 2015 21:55 disformation wrote: Last game I couldn't read the guy at all D1. And D2 he did stuff which made it a lot easier to do so. So I currently wouldn't lynch him, but look really hard at his D2 and see if it lines up with last game and D1 (looking for inconsistencies). Really? Last game his D2 was the most throwaway stuff ever, imo. I do like your case against 27nb, I had the same reaction to his post about Sul. What do you think about BM dis? I'm not sure I'm happy with how he responded to my pressure earlier. @plotspot your making my vote feel nice and comfy there buddy | ||
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On May 22 2015 22:52 disformation wrote: Haven't looked much at boxer yet, could you highlight some things that sprung out for you? I skimmed it and I didn't see anything that would strongly lead me in either direction. Though he could be mafia trying to play the newb card? If this was in response to me, I was asking about Bill Murray. I just posed my thoughts on boxerfred (who I've been abbreviating BF, fyi). | ||
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you put stuff like this {spoiler}See?{/spoiler} Just replace the { with [ + Show Spoiler + See? | ||
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On May 22 2015 22:57 disformation wrote: Nope, this wasn't my response to your BM question. Will reread him shortly. ![]() Actually got something to do at work, so that might take a moment. Ok, that bit at the end just felt out of place, wasn't sure if you were just typing what you were thinking or trying to respond. I'm gunna be around all day more or less. Going to save my deeper reading and efforts for a bit later on. Till then ![]() | ||
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On May 22 2015 23:00 Rels wrote: I have the opposite view actually. Before you started pressuring him, I was sure he was a newbie. Now that you made him post more I'm not so sure ... I will quote everytime he said he was newb or something like that in his filter. Everything in the spoiler: + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2015 19:17 boxerfred wrote: I have no idea who I should vote for :/ On May 22 2015 19:32 boxerfred wrote: Barakos going the coach way :D I was just starting to ask my coach about that. [...] On May 22 2015 22:23 boxerfred wrote: "WIFOM"? [...] Reading about "trying to pocket", [...] On May 22 2015 22:27 boxerfred wrote: [...] Thus far, I'm not understanding every point of your argumentation and I surely will require some time to iterate over the given posts and see them in context. That's 5 times for 13 posts. Good we have 2 sets of eyes on him then. I'm not totally letting him off the hook, but I'm buying the newbie sense I'm getting here. Idk it feels genuine to me. | ||
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What is your opinion of SL? You also made a comment on plots opening post, he's been more active today. What do you think about it? | ||
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We need more of this from you. On May 23 2015 00:43 plotspot wrote: "@plotspot: You stated that you think that mafia is/was already active in the thread trying to test the waters. Who would you pick out as Mafia?" To be honest I'm not quite sure. About Breshke: Initially I thought Breshke was scummy for his quick jumping on SL. But then I figured it was just his way of applying pressure on him to see his (SL's) true color. Breshke appears very townish. Breshke is like the NB VII game I played with him, very collected and professional. Though I have to point out, it didn't help us in the end since town still lost, when he couldn't figured out the real cuprits. About BM: he is always borderline provocative and scummy. But I think he is intelligent and a keen observer. These are the two that have given me some scum vibe so far. Last game (NV VIII) I was replaced due to illness. This was a game where I observed that scums are usually REACTIONARY and CAREFUL of some sorts. After having a first impression of the thread by having read it all, I will filter-read everyone now in order to find patterns of reactionary and careful behaviour. Yeah expect something in less than to 6 hours, I'm actually still at work and totally underestmiated to time it took for all this again. I'm lucky that my work load is rather flexible, but still, it's already out of plan here. As for questions. I'd really like to know who is scum in your mind. In the post I just quoted you both tell us that Bre and BM look scummy but give them town cred at the same time. So who do you think we should lynch today? | ||
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On May 23 2015 01:30 Tictock wrote: We need more like this from you. EBWOP I'd like to hear about other players from you now. | ||
Tictock
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He's defended plots about his opening. I could make an association read there since you are correct plots is still my #1 scum. Doing so feels a little WIFOM right now, but if we lynch Plots and he flips Red Bre will look pretty bad. At the same time SL also defended plots' opening though... Idk it's probably NAI. Worth keeping in mind though This is an interesting sheep by Bre On May 22 2015 17:09 Breshke wrote: Hey! I knew i remembered your name my first game was your first game barakos but lets not remember that game. You raise a good point. Looking through his filter he doesn't seem to draw conclusions from stuff like in your last quote he says a bunch of stuff about SL but doesn't really draw a conclusion from any of it. I do kind of like the reason he gave for the ticktock townread while the reason doesn't hold weight with me I think it is a good reason to town-read someone. It is good enough for me to change my vote though ##Unvote ##Vote disformation (totally thought his name was disinformation) I also kind of don't like this When scott leaves right after it after having only one other post. Feels scummy Overall I like his thinking this game though. On May 22 2015 09:05 Breshke wrote: I really like this post and not even because it's telling people to vote SL the thought process is spot on. I had kinda forgotten about this post. It actually kinda nullifies my reasons for suspecting Bre in the first place too. I'll move him to a slight town lean for now. So if Plots suddenly replaces or something, I'd be willing to get on a BM wagon. Scott is another good target right now I think, he really hasn't done mush more than plots. | ||
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To ask it another way. What has you so sure BF is town? | ||
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Who's getting lynched? BS, you still scumming SL? | ||
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Plots wasted one of his posts on it. | ||
Tictock
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SL actually raised some good points regarding 27nb's vote/push on him. May have to look through NB's filter again soon, but his interactions with Dis have been reading towny to me. I'd like to know more about why he's thinking Barakos is scum as well. I also second this On May 23 2015 09:36 sicklucker wrote: bill murray can you lead us to victory | ||
Tictock
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I'm trying to hold it off a bit though, giving the inactive people a little more time to post respond. I'm currently still liking my vote on plots, I'll expand on some things I picked up shortly. We really need more activity from scott, plots, and sul. BS is also slacking a little, and he is being overprotective of BF. Maybe they are Masons? I'm def leaning town on both of them atm or I'd be taking this as a scum association. I'm having a hard time following Dis's case on Sul. I'm not to happy that Sul has been lurking mostly, but his few posts contain a fair bit of quality. Enough for me to not want to lynch him today. Dis himself is earning some town cred for the push there though. 27nb, your point about a possible connection between Dis and BF is reaching a little imo. I have a hard time believing Mafia would be trying to start their own wagon today. Much more likely they are sheeping bad town votes. Rels is looking like some Super Town play. Dude is pushing other peoples questions for them? Right on! | ||
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I'll disregard my thoughts on you till I read this over carefully. | ||
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I'm fairly impressed. Yet... what does all this tell you? | ||
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On May 23 2015 10:46 sicklucker wrote: no one is allowed to vote plots today maybe ever Your not my Dad! | ||
Tictock
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The flashy graphics were nice and all, but it was really some decent reads here that have me sold. Though I think this is far too much work to keep up, or at least it's payoff is limited for the upkeep, I'd be interested to see more of this. Your point about SL jumping into the thread at regular intervals matches up with how I've perceived him to be playing, interesting to see points like that come from your charts. | ||
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+ Show Spoiler + First I just want to state that while pushing to lynch lurkers is considered policy lynching, I'd like to suggest to people that we not just give lurkers a pass D1 and rather try to put much more emphasis on what they ARE posting. So that's what I'm doing here. I already discussed my opinion of plots opening. On May 22 2015 12:50 Tictock wrote: I think it falls more into a 2scum2Bscum category. As plenty of other people have stated this hasn't been a hugely active start, nobody is making giant walls of text, I mean you yourself have kept up with it really well. So posting "lol, games started? BBL" is pretty lazy. Actually, no lazy would just not post tonight and jump into the game whenever. This is actively excusing inactivity, that's pretty scummy. His next few posts after his bad opening are complete garbage, discussing nothing in game. He throws out a few quotes with a comment about them but this all amounts to nothing. All of these spoilered posts are throwaway imo, and are just attempts to be looking active. + Show Spoiler + He responds to me in a VERY interesting way. On May 22 2015 23:20 plotspot wrote: Breshke got it right though. I was playing some video game for too long and it was already 4:49, so I decided I just post some sort of notice of action/activity. Is it better than not post something at all? It depends on the people obviously, reading up to here (p13/first post) you and BM thought it suspicious. If I didn't do anything, then other people would find it suspicious for other reasons. I find his choice in what post of mine to quote here quite telling actually. Notice this was right before my real reasons for voting plots and he picked the easier post to defend against. He is also telling us here that his opening post was to post some kind of action/activity but his opening post was literally "lol woops, game's started? I'll check it out later" There was no apologetic tone, no real promise to make it up, and certainly nothing active about it. Then we have the only post of note from plots here. Where he only really null reads Bre and BM. He says he's leaning scum on them both, but also makes points that they could be town. The fact that he says "Breshke appears very townish" and then still says he's scum leaning him, makes me think these reads are very forced. I was going to make another point regarding plots question here. It's more about content and sharing opinions then activity. Clearly you understand that at some level since you read me as one of the most active players yet can't decide where my alignment is. Activity can be a towny or a scummy trait, whats important is what results from actions and the overall content in posts. | ||
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Sul started by giving us strong reads, gives a little advice to SL, then votes BM. His only action since then is to read Bre town, then unvotes BM kus he misread a post and SL called him lynchbait... Scott opens giving SL super easy towncred, questions plots opening, then makes an ok post. He gives a few more easy townreads then starts to suspect BM but is unwilling to actually pressure. In fact he ends this post with this On May 23 2015 00:59 scott31337 wrote: BM would be at the top of my lynch list at the moment though - but we have plenty of time ![]() Anyone have any questions for me? That's a bit too casual for my tastes, especially since he hasn't posted since this. ## Vote: scott31337 | ||
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On May 23 2015 12:20 batsnacks wrote: Let's lynch SL seriously. Town SL takes being scum read way more personally than he has this game. Scott is a fine vote too and so is BM at this point but I'm really feeling SL if he thinks he can ignore pressure and do nothing. I also support this vote and reasoning. All I've seen from SL is "I could vote this or that" | ||
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On May 23 2015 05:50 sicklucker wrote: why is this entire thread talking about me I didnt do anything interesting. I would prefer it if we just shot.cop checked bill murray instead of lynching him so we have to acualy play the game and not policy lynch him like every other game hes in I think this is exactly why people are talking about you SL. You have one of the longest filters of anyone this game but haven't really done... anything. | ||
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On May 23 2015 11:50 sicklucker wrote: ya of course i ignore batsnacks lol On May 23 2015 12:03 batsnacks wrote: ##vote sicklucker ignore this it's nothing + Show Spoiler + but I'm probably not switching ![]() ![]() | ||
Tictock
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Spoilers contain the reasons for my reads. I've already given my views on scott31337. On May 23 2015 12:08 Tictock wrote: Scott opens giving SL super easy towncred, questions plots opening, then makes an ok post. He gives a few more easy townreads then starts to suspect BM but is unwilling to actually pressure. In fact he ends this post with this That's a bit too casual for my tastes, especially since he hasn't posted since this. ## Vote: scott31337 I'm not even sure I need to remind people where Rels sits. So this dude plotspots who was super inactive at first makes a crazy spreadsheet/timetable of everyones posts for the first few hours of the game, this is posted ~20something hours before EoD. He gives us a decent chunk of reads based on this (do keep in mind he's ignoring more than half the game in this analysis). The effort is impressive, though I know I'm not alone feeling it's misguided. I left some thoughts I had about him pre-graphics which I think still hold for the most part. + Show Spoiler + #NotAlone On May 23 2015 10:45 sicklucker wrote: im not sure that charts gonna be useful but i wont vote you for making it On May 23 2015 11:24 batsnacks wrote: I really hate the activity based reads but meh plot is never the lynch on effort alone. I also hate this disformation wagon. Scotts is the better place for any vote... but... again whatev because disformation doesn't need me to defend him. Boxerfred is a guy I'm just not sure how to read yet. My instincts tell me he is just a newer player here and is used to a different play-style. I'd really like to see him answer Bre's question about his typical mafia experience and will be looking for more on him in the future. Will take some work to get me to lynch the guy. There are a lot of votes on Dis while all the reads and cases on him are super weak. I expect much better reasoning than what I am seeing from people given the length of his filter. The guy is so clearly town that I'm scumming anyone who stays on that wagon without giving better reasoning. + Show Spoiler + Guy is clearly trying.. He starts some early pressure on Sul who got lots of town reads early, this also supports his current pressure on him. On May 22 2015 21:33 disformation wrote: Hey guys, glad more people are active now. Currently at work, so I am not at 100% capacity. Still found something I want to point out: Which made me think "what did BM accuse me of? And when I looked at #191: Accusation where? There is also nothing else regarding me in his filter. So... @Sulfurus: Can you point out what you mean with accusation? If this was accusation thing was a mistake, how does that change your view on BM? Does his filter still look scummy enough to lynch him? He gives evidence that he is reading other games to get meta reads or check stuff. On May 22 2015 09:11 disformation wrote: Fair enough. Still want his explanation for the vote. Or better yet: why I should support this wagon. ![]() Btw I was browsing the Mafia Database for your games to see if you did that Iching reading stuff in other games. Was only able to find one game, where you did a similar reading at the start of the game. (assassination mafia). You were town that game. Also liked your reaction here: And overall he has stuck with his gut and put pressure on the 27nb and has kept up interactions. His case on Sul is decent and since Sul hasn't given any response or anything else to go on Dis' vote makes sense. Barakos jumps in the thread with a read and vote on Dis. I like his open and next few posts especially his questioning what BS actually got out of his Iching stuff. He drops off his views on SL, a hot topic this game. That's about all I see in his filter (it's short! you should check it out), will be on the lookout for more from him. Sulfurus made a nice opening post, jumped right into the game giving opinions and reads. Since then he's been gone... Basically just not enough to go on here, I could easily start scum reading him. I initially liked 27ninja[/red]bunnies[/red] both for the opening posts and her reaction to Dis' push (the first one). Then this post happens and it's all downhill. I liked the stuff about BF, thought it was solid... but how does that lead her to voting Dis? Like there is a bunch of discussion about it yet somehow 27nb determines that this association is grounds to move Dis from being town to her top Scum. How do you focus so hard on Dis because of an association with BF while ignoring BF? Bill Murray I could easily vote for the guy but I think we have better options. It has been mentioned several times that his play is erratic and often gets himself lynched. I'm not happy about how much the guy is lurking, and that will need to change especially since we know he is around. On May 23 2015 09:11 Bill Murray wrote: im home and i have my computer set up at my new house score Breshke I wasn't sure about him early on but I see town motivations for his early push. His vote of Dis is a bit odd, was a quick sheep on Barakos, and then he never really explains why he drops it too well. I like that he has kept up some pressure on SL and am glad to see he's expanded his thoughts on more people. He might be more null than I'm giving him credit for, but I've liked the directions he's been taking. Almost done, and we get to sicklucker. I've been trying to keep an open mind about his play style and not scum his easily but I can't deny that I see scum in his play. I made this point early on about SL's play. What's really bugging me now about him is that he's really non-committal. He's mentioning people he'd like to vote but doesn't seem bothered to actually do that. Look at the series of posts he makes starting here. This is after he was pressured for not really doing much. In this series of posts SL is able to bold several peoples names and manages to double the number of people he'd lynch. Then he acts like he's proven some point. To top that off he starts OMGUS tunneling BS in response to an obvious troll vote. It seems to me that this SL is more desperate to save his own skin than lynching people. I def don't know SL well, but itsn't town!SL far more likely to respond to BS sudden vote with something like "Nope, still town" or "Wrong, you should join me on this Dis vote though"? I also don't get why SL was so willing to vote Dis before BS distracted him. This is his first mention of Dis being a good vote. On May 23 2015 06:01 sicklucker wrote: vote count? anyone voting disinfo? I might disinfo can you list your read. I have no idea what your reads are and you posted alot not a good sign Then after seeing Dis' reads said something about rereading Barakos and drops it. Only to suddenly start going after Dis a page or so later, never having mentioned Barakos again. SL has done a few things I like and they are the only things keeping me from voting SL atm. He makes some decent posts here On May 22 2015 17:27 sicklucker wrote: Like rels townread on barokos is given so easy and he posted like 6 minutes before he posted that huge list post. So were to believe he wrote that in 6 minutes or was nonstop pressing f5 to see if anyone posts as he made his list post? Potentially planned their stock as potential teammates went up On May 22 2015 17:28 sicklucker wrote: Rels voting a 0 poster is -ev. Better to vote someone you slightly suspect then a 0 poster that might be replaced or modkilled. Dont be afraid now Lastly batsnacks. Sorry I don't have great reasoning here, his train of thought just makes a lot of sense to me. I get a lot of the motives behind his actions. I dislike how strongly he states some reads based off rather little, but even those posts have reasoning I like. Maybe I'm caught up in my initial read of the guy, but no way and I lynching his anytime soon. Probably not getting too much more from me till near EoD as I need to sleep and then have an early shift. I'll be keeping an eye on things and am fairly willing to shift my vote onto any of my scum reads atm. I do like the voting variety we have right now, but I'm nervous since right now things could go a number of ways and I'd really like our first train to hit scum. | ||
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On May 23 2015 18:48 Barakos wrote: TicTock: Since you are hopefully still here and one of my townreads: Do you really think lynching into the inactives is a good thing? Of all the cases, that are floating around, don't you think there is one on one of the active players, that has a higher chance than voting a coinflip? I am still lurking though I should be asleep... I understand your conflict here, I've seen a lot of argument in these games against lynching inactive people and your notion of it being a coinflip makes sense from a theory standpoint. My problem is that reality does not match theory. In reality this notion makes it a good scum play to stay inactive D1. Town is likely to jump on each other early on and mafia can stay away while accusations are made and people build cases for them. In my last game there was a clearly inactive guy I voted for D1 and he did in fact flip scum when town followed through D2. So my advice, and what I am trying to do here, is to not focus on the fact that there is little content by the inactive players and instead focus on what they HAVE posted. Is there enough in the ~5 posts by those players to convince you they are town? | ||
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I'm tempted to say I want to read more and do this later, but I'm at work for a few more hours so screw it. ## Unvote ## Vote: 27ninjabunnies | ||
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Like Dis said he got D1 lynched last newbie game as well, but for very different reasons. Last game scott was much more active and did make multiple attemps at defending himself. Thats all till I get home... Mobile posting sucks | ||
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I already posted why I was scum reading her before this post. I really hate that post. The stuff about plots is ok, but has been said a few times before and same goes for the activity thing. Then she is trying to take the exchange between BS and SL from last night seriously when BS has himself said he was trolling SL (which I thought was obvious from the get go). I'm not even sure why she mentions Sul here, it looks so out of place I'd be willing to bet it was left over from editing the post multiple times. FInally, and this is the big thing to me. 27nb has said multiple times that she saw an association between BF, who she said was scummy at first, and Dis and has pushed Dis for it (never once directing pressure at BF, her actual scum read). This is basically her whole reasoning for tunneling Dis and now that she thinks BF is town she's still sure Dis is scum. The entire association thing never even made much sense. The idea that mafia!BF has a vote out and then mafia!Dis makes a case, so BF backs down? I don't see why a scum team would react to each other like that. Anyways judge for yourselves, here is all the posts 27nb has made to explain why she is voting Dis today. + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2015 23:04 27ninjabunnies wrote: So for me, it was weird how he entered into the thread. I don't like to use entrances as alignment indicative but I just don't understand why he would enter with this post here: It's as if he is trying to enter the thread in a funny way, but falled short. Again, random funny-ish second post. IT was mostly just these two posts that stood out to me as I was reading. As you further progress in his filter, he actually starts making reads, questioning, but Im not sure what to make of it. He pushes a bit on BM, but then unvotes after a case made by Dis on me. I'm not sure how this one case changes his read from BM is mafia to I am mafia over BM. HE doesn't really explain it. Just unvotes, and then says he'll read the case on me later. This makes me think there is a HIGH connection between Dis and BF, which makes me want to lynch them both. And makes me think I might be wrong on Dis.... On May 22 2015 23:18 27ninjabunnies wrote: My read hasn't changed. I'm reconsidering. Still think he is town. I don't necessarily understand your push on him, something I have to reread. I do want to see BF's response to why he suddenly switch his vote. So the way I'm looking at it in my head is this: BF as newb mafia votes on BM just to be voting on someone...tlaks a bit, doesnt really push on BM, then mafia partner comes out with a case on me (town), and BF is like, ooo this looks good. Lets unvote, and go with mafia partner here. Im a video mafia player. I try and see connections between people because we don't do flips. And i see a connection there. On May 23 2015 08:23 27ninjabunnies wrote: Why the distance from BF now, it seems? Like, when I ping you out for a connection you seem now to be so upset. The Ugh. Reread.... Basically when he is being pinged out for being scum. This is all just scummy from you Main dish huh? I've been told I'm pretty delectable ![]() As for the SL read, give me a few hours. Just got off of work, and been working for 8 of those hours between then, I forgot what I was even going to say on SL. Rereading a bit On May 23 2015 08:54 27ninjabunnies wrote: The connection between you and BF. So BF vote don BM right, but you come out with your case on me, and he unnvotes with just saying that he likes you post, but will reread late, right? With BF being a newbie, this just seems like, hey my mafia partner made a case, maybe I should follow it- type of thing to me. That is the connection I see. | ||
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On May 24 2015 05:46 sicklucker wrote: Ok i just read rels filter. I think he flips scum a bit more then scott I wouldnt mind lynching him. Hard to explian call it a feelin I'm not sure I trust your feelings. Certainly not enough to consider him in this last hour. Any thoughts about 27nb? | ||
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Barakos actually expanded his read on Dis, I still don't agree with it, but I do like the reads he was getting off the Iching stuff. I don't think it's enough to lynch anybody for and so I like BS's reaction to it as well. Basically at least he was able to backup his earlier read with clear thought, where as 27nb resends her reasoning but keeps the same conclusion. | ||
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And then BS said this On May 23 2015 20:11 batsnacks wrote: idk I was just drunk and messing around on my phone and was like "SL thinks he can ignore me eh, well let's see him ignore this." Then I thought about it some more and was like maybe that was a mistake. Then I thought about it even more and was like nah can't be that bad SL usually freaks out way more then he has when people scum read him for what he thinks are unreasonable reasons. I don't know how much more obvious it can be. | ||
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Like we played in the same game a week ago and I know your not new to these forums/games... | ||
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You really think it's scummy that BS doesn't think we should read too much from the Iching stuff? He made his stance pretty clear here. While I do like Barakos' attempt to glean something from the Iching stuff I too think it's a poor thing to base a read off of. | ||
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I'll admit, when you post stuff like this It rubs me the wrong way, but then I suppose I had a similar reaction to BS's vote on you. To me it was obv that he just wanted to bug you but you're very sure that he wants to lynch you (even though he moved his vote) | ||
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Or are you wanting to see scott flip? | ||
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On May 24 2015 06:26 Sulfurus wrote: @Tictock I think the Bats post you quoted is just straight up wrong. He literally cherry picked quotes to paint himself as a productive member of town when in reality it was people like Breshke and yourself who got the conversation started. And the reason I like Berakos's post so much is that it showed that Bat really didn't care about making reads off of his I-ching post like he said he would. Explain. In the post I linked to he's quoted a bunch of random super early posts. I never saw him claim his own early day stuff was "productive for town" in fact quite the opposite. Not sure where you are getting the idea he's trying to make himself look good. He's actually saying his own stuff is throwaway which seems like a very odd thing for Mafia to do. | ||
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On May 24 2015 06:36 Barakos wrote: @ tictock: I think my read a lot more solid than reads based on people not being in the thread / hardly posting, that's why I am sticking to it. It may not seem big to you, but what else do you want to base your reads on, if not on peoples mindset? I found disformations mindset to be suspicous and will keep my vote on him... not saying this won't change during the game, but I think he has atm the highest chance of flipping red at the end of the day. On the other question, why people who aren't voting inactives don't vote nb: I felt the small exchange I had with her ok... at least not suspicious @disformation: You're right, i fucked up with this sulfurus thing... dunno, what happened there, I must have mixed up some posts in sulfurus' filter. -.- sloppy by me. Sorry, disregard the part, where I say, sulfurus' post is too old. Still: my arguement, that a case based on tmi seems constructed to me and not very reasonable. I thought I said this somewhere already... I actually really liked your interpretations there. Looking at our responses to see our mindset is definitely a valid way to read us and I respect your read. I disagree with your conclusion that Dis is scum and I feel like your basing your reads a little TOO much based on the Iching stuff. I'd like it more if you had some evidence to show that Dis still has this mindset or something related to more recent posts. | ||
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Ok, I had missed that. I suppose that counts. I'm willing to look at BS more, but thus far I've had such a clear sense of his line of thought that I have a very hard time seeing him being scum. | ||
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I feel bad for scott, I had gathered he's roled scum most of his newbie games and hasn't had a good go of it. Better luck next time Scott! I'm going to take a nap as a reward for us lynching scum D1, and the freaking RB no less. | ||
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On May 24 2015 07:14 sicklucker wrote: If your a town veg and dont know who to shoot you can just hardclaim now and discuss it without a roleblocker. Confirmed not veg dont shoot me mafia. Out for the night in a few For the loveof god do not listen to SL. There is 0 reason for any roles to claim right now. Everyone should be discussing potential vig shots, cop checks, etc but this does not require a claim. | ||
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Also everything SL is saying here is misinformation. There are no guaranteed roles, if there is a vig there is no guarantee that there is a doc to save him. For all Town knows about the setup we could have any combination of Doc, Cop, Vig, Veterns, Masons, and w/e other roles I'm forgetting about. Claiming during night phase is like the stupidest thing a role could do, it just paints a target on their face for the mafia NK. Something SL seems to want to have happen here, though I'm sure he has some bull "I didn't see the setup" or "in the other 100 games I play...". I don't even care if you don't agree with me just think about it for yourself. I just don't want to see a newbie with a blue role get suckered in by this play. | ||
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Vig has only one shot so it should be a good one. With scum RB gone Vig can for sure get the shot off. I'm still not seeing what possible benefit comes from them claiming though. Besides this is all so reliant on the notion that there IS a vig this game. | ||
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On May 24 2015 11:02 27ninjabunnies wrote: Good cop checks/vig shots Dis BF Sulf(rather cop check) And Breshke (Cop check) What do we think of BM as a vig shot? BF? Wth you were reading him town EoD. Why are you suddenly suspecting him again? I'm having the hardest time following your thinking the past ~30 hours. Also regarding SL's notion. I was overreacting at the time, but literally moments after the flip suggesting a Blue claim was so WTF I had to jump on it. Also I don't like the tone of it, but I suppose it's what to expect from SL. On May 24 2015 07:14 sicklucker wrote: If your a town veg and dont know who to shoot you can just hardclaim now and discuss it without a roleblocker. Confirmed not veg dont shoot me mafia. Out for the night in a few Yea the tone of , "Vig claim so we can figure out your shot and you'll die for town, tnx bye" Is pretty bad. Still credit where credit is due, it's not a bad suggestion. Vig only has one shot so their role is fulfilled just by using it, and since RB is gone they can for sure use it. Vig sacrificing themselves to ensure no other blue roles get picked off tonight is also a decent plan of action. Roles like Doc and Cop are very valuable to keep alive, whereas Vig and Vet are more for gathering information for town. Just continuing my line of though regarding roles, Masons should almost never claim asfaik as they are VT with slightly more info than normal VT. No idea how to regard a potential SK. If we have 2 kills tonight and no Vig claim tonight/D2 then SK is real possibility... at the same time I could see that opening a window for Scum to claim Vig in that case and SK is happy with that since it keeps their role hidden from town... Ok no more on that since I'm pretty sure I'm almost lost in WIFOM. | ||
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Dude you are more than happy to remind us you have so much more experience than the rest of us and play 100s of games. Can you please keep in mind you signed up for a NEWBIE game here? Like just take the extra second to walk us through your thoughts. I get that you have this quick to the point style and you have lots of ideas about theory/mechanical plays but you need to get it through your head we cant see what your thinking so easily being that most people here are new. | ||
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I just realized the possibility of SK complicates this idea quite a lot doesn't it? Anyone who has more experience with games with a 3rd party especially an SK type party want to weigh in on that? | ||
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Idk I'll revist this later on but for now I'd personally use a shot on: BM SL 27nb Cop checks against these people would be nice: 27nb BF plots Dis BS Dis and BS I'm still reading town, but there is definitely confusion about them from several people. | ||
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On May 24 2015 14:06 Bill Murray wrote: wow scott just kinda made me look good/townie just iso'ed him would mafia be "unsure of an early vote" from other mafia? he is also dismissive of it like he actually wants to push me and is at the same time admitting im town with the "he unvoted tho" so honestly this looks good on me he then goes on to talk about other facets of the game which is typical scum behavior IIoA Tries to push me more Says im on top of his lynch list obviously (to me/what i know) im not mafia and this should make any of you lean town on me BM I don't even... You got some balls coming back into the thread after more than a day of silence, and try to use scum posts to defend yourself as town... | ||
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On May 24 2015 14:46 Sulfurus wrote: I predict that if cop receives a town check on SL people will accuse him of being GF/SK and lynch him anyway, so cop should not check him. A vigi shot on him is fine since the only way town doesn't kill him is if he claims a role. This is a fantastic post... | ||
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So I'm more sold on your idea for Vig. Still think the Claim is not necessary but I get what your point was. However SL, given the potential of a SK, do you still make the same play? Especially given this game was open setup (I believe that's the term where no detail about role assignments, such as doc/vig setup are given) and we aren't even sure there IS a vig. | ||
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On May 24 2015 15:34 sicklucker wrote: yes its going to always be 3 mafia in 13 player format but if theirs a sk then 2? im not getting many mafia reads so thats possible. Putting this into my possible drunken SL slips folder. | ||
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Off to play games, bbl. | ||
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On May 24 2015 16:26 sicklucker wrote: how mad is banks tho No idea if this is mispost or just typo. SL can I take you ignoring my questions that you still feel your suggestion with Vig is the best move tonight, even factoring in potential SK complications? Or are you just failing to read atm? | ||
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Like I don't even want to make a read here, I just want more posts like that. | ||
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SL maybe wait to post till your not drunk man... | ||
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Sorry, just too funny. | ||
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SL is easily the top target to shoot tonight. If he doesn't die tonight he is easily the most lynchable person going into D2. Theres tons of cases made against him already so I'll just reiterate what I see as the scummiest stuff about him. This game SL has been all over the place with his scum "reads" and has never really stuck with any of them. He's made a ton of posts suggesting people he thinks could be scum but never does anything on his own. I don't know SL that well, but IMO Town!SL makes pretty quick and easy reads and will stick with them. + Show Spoiler + Last point about SL, in fact I'd like to make this point 8 on Rel's list. He posts this, telling a potential Vig to claim so we can discuss his shot. On May 24 2015 07:14 sicklucker wrote: If your a town veg and dont know who to shoot you can just hardclaim now and discuss it without a roleblocker. Confirmed not veg dont shoot me mafia. Out for the night in a few Then never makes any suggestions about who to shoot. Between that and this post: On May 24 2015 15:34 sicklucker wrote: yes its going to always be 3 mafia in 13 player format but if theirs a sk then 2? im not getting many mafia reads so thats possible. SL is pretty much for sure scum based on all this. I don't own a hat, but I will go out and buy one to eat if he flips green. So, to me the real discussion now is... who Dies after SL? | ||
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I also want to point out that she is one of only a few players to be reading town on SL. On May 24 2015 00:36 27ninjabunnies wrote: I actually like this post on BS that SL has made. And that is her reasoning. Overall I just don't get the sense that she is trying to solve the game. 27nb is responding to stuff and making a few, extreamly weak, reads and in general is present in the thread. Yet has only applied a bit of pressure to SL early D1, who she now gives this weak townread on. If 27nb isn't scum she is my top suspect for being potential SK. | ||
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Plots is actually still a scum lean for me. He did a lot of work on those spreadsheets and all, but was never even able to give us a full set of reads before EoD. Since then he hasn't done much but update us on his progress catching up with reading. His graphics gave him a pass D1, but needs to step it up D2 to convince me he isn't scum. I was going to mention BF anyways, but Dis makes a point about him here in his votes analysis post that I had missed. There isn't much to read on the guy yet besides a few association reads he's thrown out. Another person who needs to step up their game. | ||
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SL 27nb plots BF Everyone else is town. | ||
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On May 25 2015 03:38 disformation wrote: 2) Since nobody else was in the thread at a time (look at the timestamps), there was no way to get a decent wagon starting. And throwing away votes (looking at ticktoc here) is not going to help. Lol I am making a habit out of this aren't I? Assuming I'm not night killed I'll answer any questions people have about that tomorrow. | ||
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Dis is confirmed town. Only reason I had left to suspect him was a possible pocket play. He'd been towning me pretty hard. His last few posts show that he is willing to cast me in a bad light and push against me a little. Between that and his pushes on Sul he is not afraid to speak his mind and go against the grain. He is asking and pushing his questions time and again. | ||
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Also yea. ## Vote: Sicklucker | ||
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BM if you think I could be scum please reread my posts regarding those two and tell me if I'm wrong. | ||
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On May 25 2015 10:31 Bill Murray wrote: i am kind of indifferent on who gets voted today including myself who started the scott wagon? You've already been inactive like half this game. If you truly feel this way, then just fucking replace. You made some good posts N1 but I haven't seen the same quality of posts from you today. Then you say your not even going to bother reading the stuff you missed and are just going to wing it from now on. Shit or get off the pot dude. | ||
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Though I'm not going to do it alone... I have our dearly departed VT Rels to help me out. On May 24 2015 17:53 Rels wrote: Hello, this is a message for the potentiel vig in this game. I want you to consider a sicklucker shot tonight. Please read this post and think about it. First please read Breshke post here or in spoiler: + Show Spoiler + On May 24 2015 14:07 Breshke wrote: Has a shitty push on disinfo doesn't explain anything or put any effort into getting him lynched just faking suspicion to seem town. Backs of his shitty read again with no reasoning when wagon seems to be going against his partner. Starts bussing to get towncred. Tries to push rels AGAIN with no reasoning. Does not put any effort into getting rels lynched instead of scott even though scott is just a policy lynch for him and rels he genuinely thinks is scum. SL is not trying to work out the game he mainly just posts to post. Probably started bussing his partner then tried to see if he could start a different wagon. When noone started biting he just drops it. We are lynching SL tomorrow. If that doesn't convince you I will take what I said about him here and add to it. First reason In a few of his posts he either says he's town or gives argument to why someone should read him town. Apparently SL is a good player, so that could be straight up subtile manipulation. It is the tactics from commercials; one can only see something so many times before one starts thinking it's true, not knowing where the thought came by. I'm talking about these posts: + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2015 07:22 sicklucker wrote: disinfo you gonna correctly read me town again? On May 22 2015 09:21 sicklucker wrote: well you should because thats how you read me town On May 22 2015 09:49 sicklucker wrote: town points for not realizing their was a scum qt up for 24 hours like any town should On May 22 2015 11:22 sicklucker wrote: oh I totally took that post out of context hes asking me a qeustion pretty poor writinng . Oh well easy to read me town off that On May 22 2015 11:37 sicklucker wrote: im so town it hurts On May 24 2015 07:14 sicklucker wrote: Confirmed not veg dont shoot me mafia. Out for the night in a few On May 24 2015 15:42 sicklucker wrote: infact I was the hammer of the mafia and batsnackss followed me. I the town hero come at me Second reason Straigth up this. I read student IX game, and SL was town and didn't give a shit about newbies. Third reason He says that BM is a lynch bait, but says this: That could be read as "lynch him if you want, when he flips green i'm going to be right". Seems to me like he almost want BM to be lynched without him on the train. Forth reason Until late in the last day he didn't vote scott and tried to push other people with no arguments. Really no arguments, just "I'm suspicious of XXX". Even after he voted scott, he still tried to push subtily other people without voting for them. I will list the posts where he does that. I will not post what he said on batsnacks because he actually made a case on him for once. + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2015 11:50 sicklucker wrote: i think disinfo could be scum On May 23 2015 13:14 sicklucker wrote: one of bunnies or disinfo are scum probably disinfo On May 23 2015 13:16 sicklucker wrote: bats disinfo or bunnies + one of bm or the new guys I havent bother to read at all outside of sulp Can we just vote bats your townread on him makes no sense breske On May 24 2015 05:46 sicklucker wrote: Ok i just read rels filter. I think he flips scum a bit more then scott I wouldnt mind lynching him. Hard to explian call it a feelin Fifth reason Lying. No I wasn't. Batsnacks then scott was your lynch. Aaaaaand that's it. sicklucker don't add anything useful, except one post: the one on batsnacks which amazingly I liked. Plus, apparently he plays like that every game, so no one can read him for sure. He really put chaos in the thread with how he posted: for example his defense post just above mine is only a gif. What do you do with people hard to read, scummy, and that does things that cause chaos ? That's right. You vigi'd them. Even if he turns out to be town, that will be less confusion on the thread. So vig, if you even exist in this setup and have not made your mind about shooting, shoot SL. On May 24 2015 17:58 Rels wrote: Two others point on SL: Sixth reason Then TT post some questions, and SL doesn't answer. Seventh reason I'd also pointed out before EoN... On May 25 2015 03:22 Tictock wrote: Last point about SL, in fact I'd like to make this point 8 on Rel's list. He posts this, telling a potential Vig to claim so we can discuss his shot. Then never makes any suggestions about who to shoot. Between that and this post: SL is pretty much for sure scum based on all this. I don't own a hat, but I will go out and buy one to eat if he flips green. So, to me the real discussion now is... who Dies after SL? Just in case that's STILL not enough for you. His posts so far D2 are just filled with lies and misinformation. This post was directed at Dis (proof) On May 25 2015 08:04 sicklucker wrote: I said I was considering voting you did I ever tho? no because before I voted you I read your filter and decided you were not a great vote and then I lynched scum. Oh really? On May 23 2015 13:14 sicklucker wrote: one of bunnies or disinfo are scum probably disinfo This was back when SL thought bolding peoples names was voting for them. Bre had to remind him this is not 2+2. On May 24 2015 06:09 sicklucker wrote: yes I did. I mentioned I played like 100 1 hour mafia games on another site. Alot of your questions are so pointless so maybe thats why I ignore you sometimes and rub you the wrong way I'd also like to point to one last thing. SL is quick to bring this up when it's used for his own defense... On May 25 2015 08:41 sicklucker wrote: Anyone still think im mafia. You have to find a possible partner for me I was one of the first to give townreads on sulp/ plot (everyone copied my townread on those two) and one of the first on tictock since people forget the reads I have made Yet clearly forgets that when posting reads and pushing BS. On May 25 2015 09:32 sicklucker wrote: 1) scott31337 - I Hammered him he was mafia! ticktock - annoying town dont think he would try to piss me off like this as mafia 5) boxerfred - no Idea I tend to ignore newer players 6) disformation- He was the counter wagon to a mafia so hes safe for today. I really dont read him well I would have to reread his last game. Not voting today 7) Barakos - green checked 8) Sulfurus - I had the same townread on him from his first post as 24/7 bunnies did . I know I was a little weird with that post timing but it was just me thinking out loud in thread. since i tr him i mostly ignored him which is probably not great but its what ive done 9) 27ninjabunnies - Was at first suspicious but leaned slightly town because I noticed we had same reads on people like sluf 10) Bill Murray - him getting soft pushed by a 3 post confirmed mafia is probably a great reason to keep him around 11) Breshke - been tring him but Think he has some mafia equity. Not gonna reread him now because I cant get him lynched anyway 13) batsnacks - Hes town when her pushes people. Here hes not pushing anyone he even backtracks on me Think hes scum | ||
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Plots has made 2 reads posts, he mentions SL both times. His first read: On May 23 2015 11:20 plotspot wrote: 1. sicklucker (SL): from the graphics I see he has a very scheduley style. Drops in, reads everything, make posts and replies. He has conversed mostly with Breshke. At around 4 hours into the game he seemed to have an hour where he dominates the thread with conversation. I lean towards SL as town-null. And his latest read: On May 25 2015 08:29 plotspot wrote: TOWN READ: Sicklucker: I admit I might be biased here, from his early posts on D1 4 hours into the game. I had the feeling he really thought about the game and was wondering how to progress it. From then on it was just his natural style, dropping in, posting in streaks, discussing stuff with people online and then vanishing again. I felt he was genuine, it was his style. Ok starting from post 357 (on my sheet) he starts to randomly scum leaning people without providing long-winded reasons. I guess he has me sold when he scumleaned Rels, who I admitted I thought was scum for reasons I posted. So yeah to D1 I think he is town. He highly stresses SL's play in the first 4 hours of the game as showing he really thought about the game and was wondering how to progress it. Just for Fun I'm leaving all the posts SL makes in the first 5 hours of the game. Do you agree with plots read? + Show Spoiler +Plots also says he's sold by SL scumleaning Rels. For refference lets look at where SL does that, On May 24 2015 05:46 sicklucker wrote: Ok i just read rels filter. I think he flips scum a bit more then scott I wouldnt mind lynching him. Hard to explian call it a feelin Now we have plots own reads on Rels. I think it's worth noting he never did give a read on Rel until AFTER he flipped green. On May 25 2015 07:10 plotspot wrote: How do you know Rels wasn't Vig shot? I was about to make a case on scumreading him hard for the following points I prepared: Rels: referring too much to others opinion, reading thread very carefully, the way RELS sets up lynch is also very comfortable (like lynch inactives), giving orders to others, thanks my post but posts no further thoughts, in comparison to Disinformation who displays overall anxiety in his reads and thoughts, Rels looks like he can handle any sudden change, there is nothing clouding his mind, others apparently have to do more than Rels, you bet if I was Vig I would have shot her. Quite an interesting read and an interesting timing on it as well. I've bolded a few of his points he mentions as to why he scums Rel. Do these points sound like anybody else we know? I'm also having a hard time understanding why a townie (a newbie btw) would post this after a green flip. Rels is not going "oh shit we just lost an active town", rather he's saying "yea I woulda shot this dude too, thought he was scum". I also can't help but notice he posts this an hour before he makes his read on SL, like he's making sure he has that statement out there before using it to support a read. His weak town reads on SL are also the start of my association case so keep them in mind. I have more to come, but that feels like enough for one post. | ||
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On May 25 2015 14:42 sicklucker wrote: no veg came forward (theres not one) so of course im not gonna waste my time discussing who to kill. Keep feeding me stuff to repost with proper emphasis SL. | ||
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Careful! It's a big one... + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2015 07:00 sicklucker wrote: 1st On May 22 2015 06:18 sicklucker wrote: ![]() On May 22 2015 07:07 sicklucker wrote: like wth is the theme of this game who are these cute lil anime girls and how are they not creepy disinfo you gonna correctly read me town again? On May 22 2015 07:24 sicklucker wrote: Im giving disinfo my classic cheap town read. Reasons hes in the thread asap and not basking in the wonders of seeing a scum qt for the first time. On May 22 2015 07:33 sicklucker wrote: im glad joke votes are stilll a thing On May 22 2015 07:33 sicklucker wrote: (but lets not confuse the first timers) On May 22 2015 08:37 sicklucker wrote: what? you say i dumbtelled then you vote me? what? On May 22 2015 08:38 sicklucker wrote: Breske realizes scum qt was given out 24 hours ago. Would he be this blatantly obv as scum? bunnies are you the veg because you might need to shoot him again On May 22 2015 09:21 sicklucker wrote: well you should because thats how you read me town On May 22 2015 09:22 sicklucker wrote: its really nothing special. And im already playing and trying so its pretty pointless On May 22 2015 09:49 sicklucker wrote: town points for not realizing their was a scum qt up for 24 hours like any town should On May 22 2015 11:09 sicklucker wrote: since when do you even have high standards from me? On May 22 2015 11:10 sicklucker wrote: the best vote in the thread imo. Was it a pocket attempt maybe? but hes new so I doubt it breske looks pretty bad so im not surprised On May 22 2015 11:11 sicklucker wrote: do you honestly think I ever read the op? like you know I dont comeon I dumbtell everygame and its always legit but you never accept it the next time it happen On May 22 2015 11:20 sicklucker wrote: actually I forgot their was coaches. It looks coached This was probably a pocket attempt. No one ever agrees with me unless they have a motive. Also I think breskes town because if his mafia game is to attack me of all people in a newbie game with really weak reasons I will berate him post game so hes probably town. Sulfurus Sulfurus I got a n0 red check no you what say you? On May 22 2015 11:22 sicklucker wrote: oh I totally took that post out of context hes asking me a qeustion pretty poor writinng . Oh well easy to read me town off that | ||
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A) Scum B) Town that cares more about defending themselves at all costs (including lie and spread disinformation) than finding scum B is not ideal, but I'd be ok with it. Thankfully that's not a worry since you are scum. | ||
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On May 25 2015 15:22 sicklucker wrote: Like why are you listing my posts whats the point? I already have a filter your just spamming the thread and being anti town If you bothered to read you'd know. You wont, since you don't care what town thinks this game. Unless they are targeting you of course. | ||
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I quoted his read on Rels before, and pointed out how his reasons for scumming Rels also applied to SL. Course since SL is his scum partner he can't see that. On May 25 2015 07:10 plotspot wrote: How do you know Rels wasn't Vig shot? I was about to make a case on scumreading him hard for the following points I prepared: Rels: referring too much to others opinion, reading thread very carefully, the way RELS sets up lynch is also very comfortable (like lynch inactives), giving orders to others, thanks my post but posts no further thoughts, in comparison to Disinformation who displays overall anxiety in his reads and thoughts, Rels looks like he can handle any sudden change, there is nothing clouding his mind, others apparently have to do more than Rels, you bet if I was Vig I would have shot her. This time I want to emphasis a different part. Plots mentions Dis here... and is using him as an example of town behavior. But wait... Didn't plots Vote to lynch Dis day 1? Now Dis is an example of town behavior? Humm... + Show Spoiler + On May 24 2015 06:49 cakepie wrote: ~ Vote Count ~ scott31337 (6) : Rels, disformation (3) : Barakos, plotspot (1) : Bill Murray, 27ninjabunnies (1) : batsnacks (1) : Bill Murray (0) : boxerfred (0) : Breshke (0) : sicklucker (0) : Sulfurus (0) : Not voting (1) : scott31337 Currently, scott31337 is set to be lynched! The cycle will end at Saturday, May 23 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00), only 10 minutes from this post!!! remain as you are reading this. Remember, voting is mandatory! Place your votes in this thread. If you see any vote out of place, holler at us and we will look into it. Interesting, I guess Dis went from most likely scum to epitomizing town behavior in plots eyes. Ok I promised some association stuff. Don't forget I already talked about Plots weak town reads on SL. Guess who else made a weak townread on SL? Hint: + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2015 11:44 scott31337 wrote: Dinner was good and now time to get to work... I'm unsure what to think of BM's early vote, maybe just to get some discussion started? He unvoted though. SL loves to fakeclaim as town. +1 SL has also been rather protective of plots since he(plots) started posting. On May 22 2015 12:30 sicklucker wrote: Plots one post was so null it hurts On May 22 2015 12:57 sicklucker wrote: plots post seemed legit. he forgot the game started as he was about ot go to bed. If your mafia you probably dont do that because you look bad. If your town you dont give a shit and your tired On May 23 2015 10:46 sicklucker wrote: no one is allowed to vote plots today maybe ever On May 23 2015 10:52 sicklucker wrote: plots never mafia here. like ill kill you if you try to kill him. It takes a very special kind of person to do this as mafia and hes not proven as one of them. I acualy see what hes trying to do with the chart. looking for who ignores who. But now that its out in the open mafia will spam their team mates That seems like quite a bit of defending from SL... Then we get to D2 when they actually interact a little. Bre pointed this out earlier but I'll repost it, On May 25 2015 08:32 sicklucker wrote: Lets say im mafia who here can even be my partner? 2) Tictock like never my partner he has too many petty arguments againt me and votes me 4) plotspot Pushing me today 5) boxerfred acual this one makes some sense good thing im not scum 6) disformation hes pushing/voting me 7) Barakos would I check my team mate? Also probably pushing me im not sure 8) Sulfurus Who cares hes town 9) 27ninjabunnies Dont think we would be that obv 10) Bill Murray Im his only push apparently. I think hes the vote today 11) Breshke woulda rage quit if he was my partner 13) batsnacks pretty sure hes trying to lynch me. I voted him he voted me The bolded part NEVER HAPPENED. Course SL is willing to just lie about that and he certaintly will never respond to and questions about it, rather plots does it for him. On May 25 2015 09:13 plotspot wrote: Previously I said I thought he was town for D1, but I also said that I will look into his actions N1. I think it's fair that he thinks I will push him D2 about his actions on N1. He thinks I cannot be his partner and when RIGHT NOW I'm in a state of considering looking into him N1. Just a minor thing Breshke, but I do think he read everything. Humm, even if plots thinks SL is town, why is he defending SL here? Shouldn't town!plots go "Hey wait, why is he saying that I'm pushing him when I just townread him" rather than "oh of course my buddy SL was thinking I was going to do this kus of stuff I said earlier" ? Plus there's this weird all too friendly/joking attitude between them starting here. It... feels forced. Like they realized they needed to interact since they've never really poked each other. Doing so in such a joking manner is liable to get overlooked, but it REALLY stuck out to me. I mean plots has never been so active in this game before that page of posts so why is he suddenly so comfortable interacting with SL? Sure they are townreading each other, but this is still way too casual imo. Last point. Look at plots last reads post one last time... On May 25 2015 08:29 plotspot wrote: TOWN READ: Sicklucker: I admit I might be biased here, from his early posts on D1 4 hours into the game. I had the feeling he really thought about the game and was wondering how to progress it. From then on it was just his natural style, dropping in, posting in streaks, discussing stuff with people online and then vanishing again. I felt he was genuine, it was his style. Ok starting from post 357 (on my sheet) he starts to randomly scum leaning people without providing long-winded reasons. I guess he has me sold when he scumleaned Rels, who I admitted I thought was scum for reasons I posted. So yeah to D1 I think he is town. Disformation: I originally scummed him for his first 3 hours, but as I went on reading more of him, I felt he had this sort of “I’m not sure about this or that”. He is one of the most active, but combine it anxiety for search and a slight bit of uncertainty lingering in his posts, I can only see him as town. Right now I am aware that he sort of has gotten into a battle with Boxerfred, so I will look into this more deeper. Bill Murray: I believe this guy. He just doesn’t give a crap, yeah he might not be a helpful town (though you never know, he might have a reason to stay more low-key), but mafia? I’ll consider if other options have run out. Tictock: oh yeah Tictock. I totally believe he is town. He is too active, too anxious. I feel he is almost to impatient to get results and reads in. In my opinion he would help town even more if he paced down a little bit. I believe mafia can use his wind to sailstab other townies if he isn’t careful. Just my opinion. But there, town. I’ve overcome his strangeness somewhat and believe it to be wrong chemistry if we misread eachother. Breshke: Do I need to elaborate on this case? He has a sharp mind and is noticing and questioning things I can only say in retrospect: yeah good point. If Breshke is mafia, we are all dead. Boxerfred: Is town because his stream-of-consiousness way of posting. I cannot imagine mafia being able to simulate this. He thinks:”hmm how can I solve this, oh right there was this thing I didn’t consider *posts*,… ah wait this thing too *post*. Beside that he had the slip about the coaching thread. I cannot imagine you would plan this as mafia. No way. The way I guess he is in some sort of heat with Disinformation is due to they both being uncertain and in a way naturally biased on how to perceive certain things. But I will look into N1 soon. Regarding 27ninjabunnies, Sulfurus, Batsnacks and Barakos, while I was able to “deeply” the others these were the ones I couldn’t confidently read. This is where I need to filter-read them. If you were to pin me down now, I’d say BS and BA slight town read. SU and 27 slight scum. But let’s see. Notice anything missing? Thats right, scum reads. He says Sul and 27nb are "slight scum" but that's it. Then the rest of his posts since are stuff with SL and then nothing... just another townread on me and responds to BS about his charts. This is another person who is very clearly not trying to find scum, in fact he spent more time explaining why he was GOING to scum read a confirmed town than he's spent trying to find scum today. | ||
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On May 25 2015 15:22 sicklucker wrote: Like why are you listing my posts whats the point? I already have a filter your just spamming the thread and being anti town If people would FING READ THE THREAD then I wouldn't need to do this stuff. But there's Someone who Likes to only read stuff when they are around. Oh and also BM does this too. I agree it's stupid, especially when this is posted in the OP of every Mafia game on this site. The game is typically very active, so the thread may grow large quickly. However, it is essential to read the thread to play the game. If you do not have the time or patience to read the whole thread, do not play. | ||
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On May 25 2015 04:39 boxerfred wrote: You start tryharding on me. I couldn't say too much on your argumentation before (when Rels started to call out my "I'm a newb" posts) because I saw myself in a bad light and thus tried to do better, which worked - you started to warm up on me. If you still lean me towards scum, I have to assume that you're actively trying to get me lynched, making you SK or scum. So far, I've been really defending myself in a passive way but by now I feel like you're way too aggressive towards other persons, while you keep defending yourself with lots of smileys, trying to make people think positive about you. You accept arguments from others with smiley faces too, acting like you're a gentleman who, even in disagreement, acknowledges the effort/quality/whatever in his opponent's post. You're not a newbie and thus far, you managed to not get yourself into the line of fire very well. @BF I totally get where you are coming from on this, and it's not a bad read. However if this is still an important point to you I'd suggest you breifly skim Dis's filter in the last newbie game here. He uses the simlies AND gets scum read for it in that game as well. However he was Town Doc that game. The smiles are simply a part of his writing style are are completely NAI (Not Alignment Indicative). | ||
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On May 25 2015 16:34 sicklucker wrote: she ninjaed that read on sulp is what got me. I mean I dont think my read on her matters im going to have to vote her for survival it looks like and i think shes a good vote and not in my poe list Whats you PoE list SL? Last I saw you were scumming exactly 1.5 people. | ||
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On May 25 2015 16:44 sicklucker wrote: ya well its hard to find scum when no one but the obv towns spam up the thread. I probably have the biggest filter too Oh you sexy beast, longest filter eh. Paired with your 100's of games of experience... Why are being shy? Show me that PoE list... | ||
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On May 25 2015 17:04 sicklucker wrote: Me You plot bm maybe? town roles Thats all i got need 1 more i think but roles have not claimed yet so making a poe list is meaningless unlike last game Decent list. Town wins... D4 then, assuming no SK nonsense of course. It could be more efficient, but I'm down with it. | ||
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+ Show Spoiler + First the nonsense... (never happened) On May 25 2015 17:22 sicklucker wrote: bunnies pushing scott makes more sense if shes with both scott and disinfo Followed by a dance of confusion On May 25 2015 17:24 sicklucker wrote: wait bunnies was pushing scott but never voted him. strange? she voted disinfo but you quote where she calls disinfo town yet voted him over a confirmed mafia Next, the all so important dash of truth... On May 25 2015 17:26 sicklucker wrote: so bunnies afks her vote on the second wagon. While still saying scotts a great lynch. Sounds like a likely scott partner tbh On May 25 2015 17:28 sicklucker wrote: shows up just at eod. Thats more likely as mafia then town from my experience And... the Crescendo! On May 25 2015 17:34 sicklucker wrote: this is interesting. This is the vote count right before bunnies voted. at the time she voted it was very close so her being in a mafia team makes so much sense I think im voting her today and never changing. So we have bunnies being the third vote on disinfo to scotts two votes. At this point of the game it didnt look like scott was the lynch so if shes partners with him getting the vote on the other guy with votes is your only play. ##vote bunnies That boys is how you make up a read in 5 minuets... SL you ARE sick | ||
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On May 22 2015 12:50 Tictock wrote: So far I'm forcing myself to null read sicklucker. | ||
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Maybe people should look at that last game... the one that I'm linking here. I think a quick look through filters shows SL being far more helpful to town in far fewer posts than this game. Also for reference, I started focusing him pretty hard on page 94. I wasn't nearly as funny as this game though, sorry. | ||
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She's fallen off my radar since EoD. Why aren't you back on this scott wagon? | ||
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SL wagon >.< | ||
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On May 25 2015 18:58 plotspot wrote: Are you trying to deliberately read me wrong? I clearly ranged the time from 4h00h to 5h00 (this is p11) where SL dominated the thread with conversation. This was a sign of town slip for me, like Boxerfred town-slipping when he mentions his coaching QT. At never a moment did I say “I stress SL’s play from 0h00 to 4:00” as my ground to read him, but you accuse me of doing that in your bolded part. Why? This was absolutely not clear from the post I quoted. Please show me the posts SL made that so impressed you. This will avoid me getting confused. On May 25 2015 18:58 plotspot wrote: It was not to posture up for the SL read later. It was just naturally that I mentioned Rels in combination with SL because at that time (before EoD1) only he and me thought Rels could flip scum. Your right, that part is just me filling in some gaps. Still felt freaking weird how you post all that while also not being convinced that mafia NK'd him. Just don't understand motive as town there. On May 25 2015 18:58 plotspot wrote: Also please specify here: “Do these points sound like anybody else we know?” Who do you mean? You pick out 2 points from this list and use it to compare a whole person, ignoring the rest of the points? What is that method? From what I can see you try too hard to read me, without really understanding how I roll, so you’re like ignoring 50% just only picking out the 50% that suits you. The two points I bolded, which you were scumming him for, also apply very strongly to SL. Any opinions? | ||
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Seriously, SL regardless of your alignment this game your just making it too easy to troll you. I've gotten some good laughs, hope you did too. @ Plots I'll respond to anything else you put up for me when I next have time. You should also look at the 2nd half of the case I made on you btw. Sorry, it's too late for me to keep lurking. I prob wont be around till a similar time tomorrow. | ||
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@Dis Reread that quote of me you made there. My whole point was the SL made a boldfaced lie that 3) never happened. | ||
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Ok it’s nice of you trying to read me, but do you have a feeling for time? Get your facts straight out first, maybe? I scumread Dis entirely based on the 6 hours, and I even emphasized it when I made that read. Why did I vote for him? I freakin ran out of time. I posted my first sheet with 6 hours game info 28 hours into D1 and had a hard time catching up. Somewhere between 28hours and EoD (48hours), as I continued with my sheet I was more and more townreading Dis. Why didn’t I bother switching? Because it didn’t matter, as Scott was clearly the lynch that day. This is a kind of philosophy that I know some people do not agree to, they consider voting as some sort of taking stance, even if doesn’t matter to the end result. They probably don’t want to face the shit of others asking them “meh if you think he is town why don’t you switch”. My response: it didn’t matter that time. My read progressed on Dis from scum to town. He is not in danger of getting lynched. It is fine as it is. Do you understand Tictock? Do you understand my reasoning, even if you think it’s strange or don’t agree to this sort of mentality? Can you accept this as some sort of logical sequence and not a ploy of ploy to be deceptive? Lol, my facts were straight, I simply broke my case up kus it would have been one giant wall of text. I posted and proded in between kus I felt like it. I did end my first post on you with I have more to come, but that feels like enough for one post. So you were reading Dis as town EoD and were just too lazy to switch your vote. Ok I get being lazy. However it doesn't seem like good logic as town to leave your vote on a townread though. Kus then some mean guy on the internet is gunna call you scum when you later try to say he was a townread. 1. the first time SL defended me: I feel like he isn’t really defending me that much. He is just pointing out the obvious, while he has his active phase in the thread. For you it was not obvious because you were suspicious of me. Besides, Breshke also figured out the obvious. You spun too much from a simple good night post from me. Yea, that's possible, but it was the only thing you had posted. I've said multiple times this game that I deal with inactive people by reading their posts twice as hard. 2. the second time SL “defended” me: I think he is overreacting in his natural way to the effort I made. Do you really think he wouldn’t vote me if he thinks I’m scum? Like he keeps forever to his caption: “never lynch PL never ever”? Do you think SL is that stupid? No possible way it was SL posting strategically for something? First good point I've seen you make. Yes of course SL is overstating things like he always does here. My point was that all those posted taken together is quite the amount of posts by him dedicated to you. Given that you've been doing this kind of analysis all game I thought you'd have picked up on that. 3. “That BOLDED PART never happened”: Yeah because I don’t have the time yet. I haven’t closely looked at him N1 yet. N1 something seemed to have happened why everyone thinks he is scum. As I posted earlier I’m willing to look at it. Nope sorry. There was a clear order to things. You read SL town D1. Said you might relook at his posts. Then posted your D2 reads once again Town reading SL, THEN he made that post. He had every sign that you were townreading him. The fact that you keep defending him on this makes me wonder why you are so protective of him. 4. “Humm, even if plots thinks SL is town, why is he defending SL here? Shouldn't town!plots go "Hey wait, why is he saying that I'm pushing him when I just townread him" rather than "oh of course my buddy SL was thinking I was going to do this kus of stuff I said earlier" ?” You again didn’t get your facts straight. Why would I be saying "Hey wait, why is he saying that I'm pushing him when I just townread him". That would make no sense. I said I was going to look on him closer N1 even though I townread him for D1. He reads it and says he expects me to push him. Why is this illogical? Because looking closer at someone =/= pushing them. Again your making a logical leap FOR SL. 5. Why did I “defend” him there when he could have resolved it himself: 2 reasons. I was in a posting streak. Plus it was Breshke who raises this point and not some noob. I was sure to correct Breshke as a valuable town member, preventing him from going off. I also corrected Breshke on a point earlier. Why the hostility to noobs here? I'm not reading into this, just... wierd. Oh is this against me? Again, why so defensive of SL? Why not let SL defend SL, you doing it for him suggests you have some connection to him. If the both of you are town, there is no way you 100% know SL is town. 6. My joking with SL: I explained about it very clearly here. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24311053 But I see. It’s a mentality problem. You’d never be able to do something like this so most likely you can’t wrap that concept around your head. It wasn’t forced at all. SL was the only one there and I had my fun. So this is your explanation, I did misread it before. I missed the bolded line This is why I think you're town TT. I can explain it, but will you believe me? I was relaxing from the stress and SL is the only one with the kind of posting style I can do it with. Posting crap like that with you would be impossible. I say please, please consider that you could be wrong. Please. Possibly because the next line (italics) caught my attn much more. I'll give you a pass on assuming I'm impossible to reason with or talk to. Though in my defense you've never tried. Yeah you probably noticed the reason by now. I was preparing for a scum read on Rels when the results blew up on my face. I wanted still to post some reading results based on the effort I did so far. Naturally containing no scumread. I asked for time to read 27ninjabunnies, Sulfurus, Batsnacks and Barakos. Why does it look like I’m not scum hunting, when I'm still willing to look into others but couldn't just do yet due to time reasons? Not sure why you bring up Rels again here but w/e. And to answer the bolded question, Kus your not finding scum! ![]() More seriously because you post that and haven't done much about it. Tbh you'd have sold me much better on you being town by having spent time doing that rather than responding to my case. | ||
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Yea stop it, that's something SL would never do! + Show Spoiler + On May 24 2015 07:14 sicklucker wrote: If your a town veg and dont know who to shoot you can just hardclaim now and discuss it without a roleblocker. Confirmed not veg dont shoot me mafia. Out for the night in a few @BF it's pretty WIFOM without claims having been made. That is to say, your having to make too many assumptions for that to be a solid theory. | ||
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On May 25 2015 21:09 plotspot wrote: What I think funny about this game in general is like some people thinking: “man I’m the king, I’m cryptic, I’m careful, I’m good. But if I catch some scum it’s because he is stupid, makes stupid mistakes I would never do, slips regularly on the easiest logics”. If you applied your logic to me would you make such a stupid mistake and be inconsistent saying one time in the first post and a completely different time in another post? Isn’t it a bit too easy to catch scum like this? Lol you really do have such a low opinion of me for scumming you, huh? I'm hunting for scum by pointing out inconsistencies, slips of logic, and things that don't make sense to me. I'm also putting pressure on people who say these things because I want to try and understand if they are just townies making plays I don't understand or are really motivated by being scum. So if my thinking is so bad, should I be trying this spreadsheet thing? Is that still working for you? What ways do you suggest we find scum? | ||
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Anyone around want to chat? Apparently I'm not sleeping tonight. | ||
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Going back to my thoughts on 27 nb, well.. it's still the same as what i was saying D1 and your own read is pretty in line with that. Basically there is very bad reasoning in how she starts to scum Dis because she scum read BF. Really my biggest concern there is that she scums BF, but ignores him and focus' Dis. It's a wierd play and she clings to it. Idk maybe she just got lazy like plots over there. If that's the case then I'm sure glad we have some active town, though I still miss Rels. Anyways, in my current theories with SL and Plots my most likely Scum, she would be the potential SK. I'm not sure I can back it up (maybe I'm getting lazy too) but I get the sense that she's rather disconnected from the game. Like, doesn't really want to find scum but is along for the ride. This isn't something that we should entertain much though since SK role wont be confirmed until we have 3 dead scum and an active game. If SL flips green and I've just been super tunneled on him then I'd say 27nb and BM are most likely our scum team. | ||
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It just helps when you talk to me that way. | ||
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On May 25 2015 22:05 Breshke wrote: oh shit tictok brought up my case basically before me. This guys town Your welcome! I def don't mind lynching bunnies, hell maybe I'd even get on board so that me and SL can shit storm each other tomorrow night as well. Nah still sticking to my own reads until somebody poke read holes in them or we get something more solid on 27nb. If she pulls a scott? Humm, I'll reconsider near EoD. | ||
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In my mind it's more about the pressure and interactions that come from that pressure. Not "Oh! I caught you using logical falicy!" Like I'm far more likely to resend my scum lean on you given some of your attempts to reason with me. I still think there are enough points to keep reading scum on you, but there is a reason I'm gunning for SL first. Maybe one day SL will learn he simply needs to use words and reason... it seems he likes the playstyle he has though, so I wont expect it to change. | ||
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Very helpful when filter diving and you feel like you are missing context. I'm 3rding this displeasure at the lack of activity today. I know it is a holiday weekend where I am, but still... I also dislike how many lurkers we still have this game. | ||
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Besides, I actually see some posts from SL I like today. On May 26 2015 09:37 sicklucker wrote: This is interesting. Barakos does not mention scott once day 1. Pretty strange for the lading mafia wagon. Then when day 2 starts he makes this post trying to discredit people who voted scott (classic mafia tactic) you dont say? ty for that qt info On May 26 2015 09:42 sicklucker wrote: ##vote barakos time to play the game G And then he reminds me why I always end up scumming him... On May 26 2015 10:04 sicklucker wrote: I see multiple scummy people now its great. Sorry for wanting a vote to be between them and not between a confirmed town with 12 pages of filter Oh well. | ||
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I'm really not liking your attempting to locate possible masons this game. You do realize that if you were to out any blue roles for Mafia thats a HUGE blow against town right? I suppose masons aren't a big power role though. My biggest issue here is that speculating on the game setup isn't very useful to talk about when we don't have any info to go on. Rather see you focusing that effort finding scum than looking at town and thinking about roles. | ||
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Hoping you didn't just drop that PoE list and leave. Care to talk about BS a little? I've had him as a town but he's been slipping more and more into inactive neutral territory. | ||
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On May 26 2015 01:14 Bill Murray wrote: omg tictock may have broken the game on page 46 hes so smart i didnt want to say anything though, ive been kind of wanting to watch how this plays out Is it weird that this post, more than any other, has me questioning my reads now? Really not happy with BM. He's made a couple really good posts, but mostly just doesn't seem to care. I want to call this a pocket attempt but it's too obvious. Come on BM you can do better, I'm sure of it. | ||
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oh yea I did read that post. It's just been so long since we heard from ya. I agree, I actually liked Barakos for the reads he made off BS' Iching thing. Is Barakos still your top town btw? I didn't mind BS response to Barakos here though. He's more or less saying that Barakos is basing his reads too much on this one thing. I don't mind BS not drawing much from his own D1 shinanigans as he clearly did it to get some discussion going not to get reads. Humm, I guess I'm still too on board with his thinking to get on board with him being scum. Still think he's being rather inactive now and he's not really reasoning out his votes or reads anymore. | ||
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I do like your PoE list besides having BS 2nd. Right now I'm thinking SL 27nb BM plots BF Plots and BF are pretty much interchangeable in that list right now though. | ||
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On May 26 2015 14:44 sicklucker wrote: Maybe I was right about barokos and sulp pre planning their entrances how awesome would that be. Like there giving 0 critical thinking here we probably wont here from them for another 48 hours Sul made a prepared entrance? On May 22 2015 10:24 Sulfurus wrote: @sicklucker is it not normal for the mafia QT to be open during pregame b/c if it is you shouldn't have made that dumbtell also ##Vote: Breshke On May 22 2015 11:34 Sulfurus wrote: @NinjaBunnies the most important point in this game so far is when Breshke 1st stared pushing on Sicklucker since the conflict between the two has defined the entire game. Speaking of that, Breshke is my top scum since he continuously pushes against Sicklucker with very bad reasoning (#159 he complains that he has disappeared and hasn't thought critically only 3 hours into the game) I also scum read Murray due to his weak and untrue accusation against Dis in post #191 which made me think Sick is town since he tried Bandwagoning on him but he has since rescinded his vote. What? God SL stop spewing shit for no reason other than to loot like shit. | ||
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I've proven your doing it time and again. It's terrible for town. If lynching you is the only way to get you to do this, then so be it. I honestly don't even care if you flip green, it will just mean town can finally focus on scum | ||
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Point 1: Could not vote on scott D1. So she makes up this read on Dis based on BF. Carries it through to the bitter end. This explains why she scums BF but makes some weak association on Dis. This has extra weight since Dis had been pushing her earlier and there was other pressure on Dis. Point 2: She was fairly active D1, interacting and making this push on BF and Dis. Soon as scott is clearly getting lynched, she knows it's over. Ok I lied, one quote. Last post of any meaning from her. She is pushing us to find mafia who voted scott. This is actually a very good subtle play here. Point 3: 27nb has CLEARLY been around today. Pops in makes a promise of a big push. I think she does that when she asks why BM lurker voted her. Then she pops in later to ask if we've solved the game, implying there is work yet to do. From this I am 100% certain 27 NB is scum. ## Unvote ## Vote: 27ninjabunnies | ||
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Remember this? On May 25 2015 08:07 sicklucker wrote: If im mafia whos my partner here? everyones voted me at some point of the game now. Me and bunnies would not be that obv. I sapose I could be with bm? why dont you just vote him first On May 25 2015 08:32 sicklucker wrote: Lets say im mafia who here can even be my partner? 2) Tictock like never my partner he has too many petty arguments againt me and votes me 4) plotspot Pushing me today 5) boxerfred acual this one makes some sense good thing im not scum 6) disformation hes pushing/voting me 7) Barakos would I check my team mate? Also probably pushing me im not sure 8) Sulfurus Who cares hes town 9) 27ninjabunnies Dont think we would be that obv 10) Bill Murray Im his only push apparently. I think hes the vote today 11) Breshke woulda rage quit if he was my partner 13) batsnacks pretty sure hes trying to lynch me. I voted him he voted me Wonder why SL is so defensive, yet so persistent that he is town? Why does he drone on about his HUGE filter of one liners and spam? Why does he tell us he is so experienced ans plays 100's of games? SL is the SK. | ||
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first off, I invite you to read his filter, or skim it, with the possibility that he is potential SK in mind. As you said I've been tunneled on SL pretty bad and to be honest I did already reach a conclusion on him. To me it just makes SL's play make too much sense for it to not be the case. And it explains all the points that people have posted about him being scummy. Pretty much until today SL has claimed that he doesn't know who is Mafia or has been unwilling to REALLY push a target. Of course he'll say that he hammered scott for us, but look back and you'll see SL never cared about scott till the moment he could push him into being the majority lynch. Now I'm not saying SL knew scott was Scum at this point, I think he just saw it as a better wagon than Dis and it turned out to hit Mafia. He keeps shoving this in our faces like it makes him the town hero. Main Case Wasn't it odd how N1 SL made that push to get Vig to claim so we could him him shoot? He keeps pushing this idea until I point out the potential of an SK. After that he never mentions it again, nor suggests shots for vig. Seems like now that I've mentioned an SK being possible he doesn't want to voice an opinion. Now put yourself in the shoes of SK given how N1 played out. You'd HAVE to shoot the target town wants here if you want to claim as Vig and ride the game out with town. Remember D1 ended with a mafia kill, if there is a SK they are under as much pressure now as the last scum. I think SL wanted to kill someone night 1 and claim Vig D2. However the majority view was that SL himself was the best target, obv SL cant do that so he doesn't kill. Then as we progress into D2 SL makes several posts related to the fact that there MUST be a mafia TEAM and uses the fact that he has no likely partners as a defense. He also clearly stated how there cannot be an SK because there was no 2nd kill N1. This is easily shown to not be confirmed by reading the SK role in the OP. | ||
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Also, in regards to your read on Dis. It's not bad, but to me he's been clearly trying to solve the game, and is just interested in pushing and reaching his own conclusions so stands out sometimes. I'll admit a large part of why I don't think your points on him are valid are because of my experience with Dis (was Town Doc) last game. The same posting traits applied there. He's on his 2nd game in these forums, it makes sense to me. | ||
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At this point given 27nb flips red, then NK's will continue as though they are mafia. SK simply has to survive at that point while making sure town chases Mafia. | ||
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SK waiting to kill is a valid option. Remember they don't want to kill town like scum does, they want the game to go as long as possible while they stay alive. They win with either side. So if someone is acting very close to the line of town/scum doesn't that match with SK goals? Not sure what you mean here On May 26 2015 21:07 plotspot wrote: Tictock is your reasoning that if he establishes himself too hard as town, mafia will just kill him? Wouldn't it better then just to scumhunt hard elimating this sort of threat, instead of playing "what am I?". Also yes Dis is right, I'm out on a limb here. I'm running with it because it makes a lot of sense for what I'm seeing in this game. | ||
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This is from the SK role PM. You can kill one person every night, but you don't have to. You win when you are the last player alive or nothing can prevent this from occurring. | ||
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On May 26 2015 21:41 sicklucker wrote: let me explain how to play sk. If towns already killed 1 mafia you dont fucking hold your shot. Mafias losing so you help them out by killing a obv town. As a sk your goal is to kill everyone so holding your shot is always bad. This acualy eliminates experienced players from being the sk if there is one. If there is an sk its going to be one of the new players. Those are also the people spamming that theirs an sk that could be tmi. Your right, I was mixing up with another 3rd party role I'd read where they won with either side. This is probably the first time you've ever bothered to try and explain something to me as well. Clearly I'm off in crazy town. I'll just excuse myself. | ||
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This is D1 all over again... Should be a good sign. | ||
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Like, I find it very funny that I posted this here. On May 26 2015 18:25 Tictock wrote: Point 3: 27nb has CLEARLY been around today. Pops in makes a promise of a big push. I think she does that when she asks why BM lurker voted her. Then she pops in later to ask if we've solved the game, implying there is work yet to do. | ||
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His latest read on SL. He starts by taking about a post SL make, says he likes Bre's and Barak's reaction to it, but still seems to support. Here are the reactions he likes even though he seems to be supporting SL's point. Says SL's point is the plausible way of doing things without risk. On May 24 2015 19:02 Breshke wrote: Honeslty noone cares about this. hy is rels mafia. Start scumhunting or just die honestly play the game. On May 24 2015 19:13 Barakos wrote: Pretty sure, he would have been warned, since he posted and this is a newbie-game but whatever... Your logic fails, since nobody would do this, if they actually thought, scott would be modkilled, since him flipping red would make the person pushing for lynching someone different really bad. He pretty weakly skips past Rel's massive case against SL. Makes a point about SL doing his usual cop claim stuff. I think we all know that's actually pretty NAI for SL. Finally admits that he sees SL isn’t paying attention or being deliberately confusing Agrees that the people who got pushed on or mentioned by scott get free town points. + Show Spoiler + Really people need to stop trying to use Scott mentioning them as proof they are town. Does anyone actually buy this point? Talks about SL giving up trying to convince me and SL joking about being masons. Not sure why these are points in his read. No idea what this is telling plots about SL. His last point about SL is also a null point related to Dis. Then his conclusion is a non-conclusion Ok to summarize why I used all this. Things about SL are very shifty. He is walking on the edge. Is there any reason for him to do it when he is not scum? Is there a reason anyone who is town deliberately tries to walk on the edge, when he could pose himself to look more towny? Think about it… Idk doesn't really seem like he's trying to read ans is more still defending SL like he has been, just in a fancier post. Just how I'm seeing this. Posts like this from plots also strike me as odd which is partially why I went back to look at him. On May 27 2015 01:04 plotspot wrote: SL and I might be town partners, but scum partners? + Show Spoiler + On May 27 2015 01:16 plotspot wrote: I think I can use this "partners" thing to explain quantum mechanics. "Hey, you see if someone accuses you of being partners with another person, the none of you can make excuses or both of you know it's ridiculous. There nothing in between like one thinks it's true and other thing thinks it's bs. That's quantum mechanics." Neither of those posts say anything of value. | ||
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Didn't know you were around. I've stated plenty of times that I think BM is looking pretty scummy for what he's been posting. Your first post, where you vote him, in pretty OMGUS. Then you talk about his one Big post. That post bought him some time, along with some of the other posts he made N1. I agree about all your other points, I'm pretty sure I've said pretty much the same about BM. So, I totally agree BM is likely scum. So @27nb if BM is scum, who do you think his last partner would be? | ||
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Other than being somewhat inactive. Why do you think Sul might be scum? Or is that more a PoE list there? 27nb BM Sul | ||
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What do you think about my last post regarding plots? I agree about BF, he seems to be sheeping the popular opinion today. I also really don't like him looking for masons. Like he seems to be thinking it would help town to know who is masons so we have more confirmed town. Yet his possible masons are all people largely being townread, so how is that thinking helpful? | ||
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Sorry I don't have time to go digging kus I have to leave for work really soon. | ||
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Like the fact that she tries to start a new wagon on BM rather than going the easy route of pushing for SL is making me reconsider things. | ||
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Sorry too many pages open >.< | ||
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It’s simply the more plausible way to do things, rather than risking it. Starting here: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24308265 I could swear this line is referring to SL, not the reactions of others. | ||
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care to focus on something that matters atm? I'm clearly not making a case about you anyways. Just pointing out stuff I think is strange. What do you think about BM and 27nb? | ||
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So like If we swap to BM here and he flips Red, great. If BM flips green then we pretty much HAVE to lynch 27nb tomorrow. Least that's how i see it. Ugh see my real issue is that I feel like i read BM just as poorly as SL. Sure he is being a duche and not playing the game, but is that enough to prove he's scum? Like he's been so obviuse about it... idk I guess it's 2scum to be scum territory. Which is a scummable offense. Can we please just lynch all 3 (27nb, BM and SL), this is giving me a headache, lol. | ||
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tbh man if I'm not reading you correctly, that's your own fault for not stating things more clearly | ||
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Lets see how this plays out. Have a feeling I might be kicking myself later for swinging this one. ##Unvote ##Vote: Bill Murray | ||
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I've done enough haven't I man? A man needs some rest | ||
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On the other hand, BM didnt seem to give a shit about this game so I'm not too bothered to have lost a useless town. Clearly stuff like "only play if you can read the whole thread" and "play to win" are just a formality in these games. (excuse me if I'm cross, it's been a shitty day for me) | ||
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Dude why are you blowing this way out of proportion? Your spending an inordinate amount of time talking about how I'm not reading or misreading what you said. Prob would be easier to simpler explain what you DID mean rather than attack me for how I interpreted it. | ||
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You posted On May 26 2015 11:04 plotspot wrote: I see SL is getting scumrpoints for some strange suggestions about how to handle Scott’s case to which Barakos and Breshke replied and I would have to agree to their opinion. It’s simply the more plausible way to do things, rather than risking it. Starting here: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24308265 I read this and it tells me that you agree with SL's point you linked On May 24 2015 18:59 sicklucker wrote: If i was mafia partners with scott heres what I would do. I would come into the thread near the vote, tell everyone that scott did not vote and will probably be mod killed ( which is acualy something that would have happened) and pushed the vote on a town 1) You say you like SL's reasoning because It’s simply the more plausible way to do things, rather than risking it. 2) You also say Barakos and Breshke replied and I would have to agree to their opinion. Correct? + Show Spoiler + If so, please reread what I said again. On May 27 2015 04:03 Tictock wrote: He starts by taking about a post SL make, says he likes Bre's and Barak's reaction to it, but still seems to support. Here are the reactions he likes even though he seems to be supporting SL's point. Says SL's point is the plausible way of doing things without risk. My point? You cannot agree with SL Bre and Barak here. Bre and Barak are clearly against SL'd logic. If not please explain where my reading comprehension falls apart. | ||
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Plots reaction to my suspicions mixed with the departed BM stating this On May 26 2015 01:14 Bill Murray wrote: omg tictock may have broken the game on page 46 hes so smart i didnt want to say anything though, ive been kind of wanting to watch how this plays out Has me thinking I might be onto something here... | ||
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I've seen several posts you made since I swapped to him that prob would have made me stay on 27nb. @Barak Inactive Mafia teams do happen. Last newb game was over D3 kus town lynched an inactive mafia then our Vig shot another mostly inactive mafia. Ended up being just eh GF left D3 and he was a newb in his first game. I felt pretty bad for y0su that game. Imagine your first mafia experience is being scum with mates who are mostly not there. Still I like your point about giving better scum players being able to stay active and ride out the people who just don't give a shit. I feel like at this stage of the game I'm willing to rethink anyone's position even if I was sure of my thinking before. Prob best move going forward. | ||
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Nah 27nb is still super likely scum. Shows me your willing to reevaluate. Her starting a ML wagon in the last ~6 hours of a day is pretty bad. I wouldn't have waffeled so hard about it and hammered BM if not for his shitty posting, I think his comment "hes so smart" about me really rubbed me the wrong way as well since he wasn't offering any thoughts. BM set himself up as perfect ML bait. | ||
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Ignoring my nonsense about SK theories. What did you think about my case on 27nb? | ||
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I don't mind Bara's thought about 27nb flipping red clearing Dis, but I'm not a fan of lynching someone for info. I'll reread Dis's filter and prob make some crazy long post processing my thinking. | ||
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Still working through Dis' filter myself. It's one of the longer ones. | ||
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Ok to summarize why I used all this. Things about SL are very shifty. He is walking on the edge. Is there any reason for him to do it when he is not scum? Is there a reason anyone who is town deliberately tries to walk on the edge, when he could pose himself to look more towny? Think about it… I literally don't care about your questions, SL plays like this every game. I find it far more interesting that you refuse to clearly state what YOU think. | ||
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1) To poke and get reads, SL himself claimed this 2) Keeps them from being clear target to Mafia, possible way to hide as a role 3) Playstyle choice, makes your scum game more in line with town game. #3 is my assessment of SL, though 1 is valid. I know SL is not a role this game, least not a town role... | ||
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Gunna take a lesson from BM and bugger off. Dis is still town and @ Dis about the waffling, me too.... | ||
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The whole SK thing was some tinfoil hat theory that I liked too much and took seriously. I suggest we go back to ignoring it until we at least find more scum. I get your thinking on Dis, but to me that's just a sign on him being a new player and not being sure of his own reads. You could probably make this argument about me, but I like pushing what I see pretty hard. Lets for a moment put aside our thoughts about Dis and SL. Who are you fairly confident is town? Where do you think we should look for scum in our shortening list of players? | ||
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Who are you fairly confident is town? Where do you think we should look for scum in our shortening list of players? | ||
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While I think 27nb is very likely scum, I don't mind the questions she posted so I'm posting them again. On May 27 2015 09:52 27ninjabunnies wrote: How does this make plots confirmed town? Mafia role blocker died day 1. If he got blocked n1 its a town sided roleblock Therefore it doesnt confirm him as town, just states he got clocked | ||
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On May 27 2015 21:06 sicklucker wrote: Being a role is still in my range here plz ![]() Almost missed this, made me laugh pretty good. Ok it's a remote possibility, I'd be a fool to say I understand SL's play. | ||
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+ Show Spoiler + I'm actually hard claiming Village Idiot here | ||
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The rest we can sort out after more flips. | ||
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How about, -your D1 vote had very poor reasoning behind it and you've refused to explain it -Since EoD1 you have never given any indication that you are trying to solve the game -The only thing you did since EoD1 of note was that you pushed for BM to save your own skin Would be interested to hear you explain your stance on Dis at this point in the game, and how you got there from your D1 reasoning. | ||
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First things first, farewell to Breshke one of our town masons. 2nd off, I really don't think town RB should claim, maybe I'm wrong here but wouldn't Town RB be the strongest role in a cop, mason, RB town setup? Town RB claiming will make them a sure fire target tonight, seems to me town RB will want to hold off claiming as long as possible to avoid being NK'd and allowing potential blocks of NKs. Masons seem like a weakish role. I don't see much reason why the remaining mason shouldn't claim as it will help confirm one more town. I notice SL and Dis are expecting me to claim mason. Honestly though, I feel like if I were a role wouldn't I be in the best position to not claim? Like most people are reading me as town anyway, if I were to claim a role it wouldn't really narrow things down at the moment. Also, why the hell is plots trying to No Lynch? | ||
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We just mislynched BM for being inactive and Sul has actually been more useful than BM, so why is he the best target? Bara also pointed out earlier that Mafia would love to keep using inactives to keep town off their tail... This really feels like that. | ||
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carried away by SK nonsense, that is clearly false now Ok we have Bre as the only confirmed role since he flipped mason. There is a strong possibility of a town role blocker, but I don't see why it would be impossible for mafia to have 2 RBs it's not very likely but I don't want to rule it out just yet. Bats claiming Cop is interesting, and it makes sense with how he's been playing. However, there is the (admittedly slim) possibility of Bats and 27nb being scum partners and them pushing inactives for their 3 needed mislynches. Also, if we assume that town has Masons, a Cop, and a RB it seems VERY likely that mafia would have a GF and means we can't trust the cop checks 100%. I know I'm getting a bit WIFOM here, but this is what is running through my head and are all things town needs to keep in mind. Town really needs to lynch Scum today because we are starting to loose our ground so I just want us to really think through the options now. | ||
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You still need to explain your thinking on Dis. I was not the only one who didn't like your reasoning D1, so telling me to reread it is not a valid deflection. | ||
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I'd rather try and figure stuff out. Besides didn't you fill up enough of your filter with that stuff? | ||
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Sul opens with his response to SL's QT stuff and 27nb's, immediately pushes Breshke for his pressure on SL. + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2015 10:24 Sulfurus wrote: @sicklucker is it not normal for the mafia QT to be open during pregame b/c if it is you shouldn't have made that dumbtell also ##Vote: Breshke On May 22 2015 11:34 Sulfurus wrote: @NinjaBunnies the most important point in this game so far is when Breshke 1st stared pushing on Sicklucker since the conflict between the two has defined the entire game. Speaking of that, Breshke is my top scum since he continuously pushes against Sicklucker with very bad reasoning (#159 he complains that he has disappeared and hasn't thought critically only 3 hours into the game) I also scum read Murray due to his weak and untrue accusation against Dis in post #191 which made me think Sick is town since he tried Bandwagoning on him but he has since rescinded his vote. Calls out SL for contradicting himself a little + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2015 11:39 Sulfurus wrote: @sicklucker I think you are executing this rxn test very poorly since you just congratulated me on having "the best post in the thread" which you probably wouldn't do to some1 you have a red on. Swaps vote from Bre to BM. Gives good reasons why he is swapping. + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2015 13:07 Sulfurus wrote: Unvote Breshke ##Vote: Bill Murray I am actually astonished at how Murray can make so many posts with out providing anything of value on top of the fact that he has pushed every one of his agenda's in a scummy manner. In posts 231 - 235 Breshke defends himself and Plotspot in a towny way and reading back Sicklucker is less towny than I thought so Breshke is no longer my top mafia. Gives more of a townread on Bre, then unvotes BM. His reasons here seem fairly poor + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2015 07:19 Sulfurus wrote: Breshke is definitely more town than I thought, he defended plotspot (I don't care how he did it just that he did at all) and I've realized that his tunnel on SL is pro-town since he got he put pressure on someone who is a hard read. I completely misunderstood what this post meant I thought it was BM saying the Dis hadn't done anything this game. That combined with what SL said about him being mislynch bait means that I'll rescind my vote off of him. ##Unvote Says he is unsure why 27nb is defending him, gives a super weak tonwread on me then claims Bara as top town. In fact he likes Bara's points about Bats opening so much he votes Bats. + Show Spoiler + On May 24 2015 06:04 Sulfurus wrote: I admit even I am confused as to why NinjaBunnies is defending me so hard; right now the only vote on her is Tictock (someone who I have had a townread on longer then anyone else) but she is definitely someone who needs to be looked at later. For me the the person with the most useful reads and my top town is Barakos; he was the one who helped me townread Breshke and scumread Disformation with this post, he has shown a healthy suspicion of NinjaBunnies, and he influenced me to un-vote BM, along with SL, with his coinflip argument (for the record I still think SL is town). My favorite Barakos post so far is this one right here especially the Batsnacks part which shows how scummy he truly is (Bat's overly defensive reactions in posts 538 & 539 don't help his case either) so while he won't get lynched today I'll definitely be pushing for his death tomorrow. ##Vote: Batsnacks Further explains about his vote on Bats + Show Spoiler + On May 24 2015 06:26 Sulfurus wrote: @Tictock I think the Bats post you quoted is just straight up wrong. He literally cherry picked quotes to paint himself as a productive member of town when in reality it was people like Breshke and yourself who got the conversation started. And the reason I like Berakos's post so much is that it showed that Bat really didn't care about making reads off of his I-ching post like he said he would. On May 24 2015 06:41 Sulfurus wrote: This is pretty much a textbook example of a humblebrag he is pretending to self-deprecate his contributions when in reality he is saying his actions are towny. Gives thoughts about Vig shooting SL being better than cop checking + Show Spoiler + On May 24 2015 14:46 Sulfurus wrote: I predict that if cop receives a town check on SL people will accuse him of being GF/SK and lynch him anyway, so cop should not check him. A vigi shot on him is fine since the only way town doesn't kill him is if he claims a role. Clarifies his stance on BM to Dis, he's saying BM is mislynch bait here... Also defends SL. + Show Spoiler + On May 25 2015 14:14 Sulfurus wrote: Whoops I believe that should be a link to post 264 IIRC your 'case' against me is that I called Bill Murray 'mislynch bait' which came off as TMI to you. TBH I don't actually know if Bill is town or not but I thought that term sounded better then 'lynch bait' since bait is usually a kind of trap you don't want to get caught in (think fishing) but we want to lynch mafia not avoid it (hopefully that makes sense). As for Sicklucker I feel he has been so busy defending himself that he hasn't been able to give any useful reads and Rels gave a very good accusation of him here so I don't think I will bother defending and I may even vote on him if it comes down to it. @Bill Murray I don't quite understand why you rescinded your vote off of SL. Can you please explain? Gives us a PoE list and votes SL + Show Spoiler + On May 26 2015 13:29 Sulfurus wrote: As of this moment my lynches are Sicklucker Batsnacks 27NinjaBunnies Bill Murray BoxerFred in that order I admit it's kinda weird that 3 of those names voted for confirmed mafia but considering how Scott was playing the idea of a bus isn't too far-fetched. ##Vote: Sicklucker Responds to a couple of questions from me, reminds me of his stance on Bats and disagrees with my stance on plots + Show Spoiler + On May 26 2015 13:52 Sulfurus wrote: @TicTock I actually already talked about Bats yesterday. It's mostly based off of what Barakos said and I think his points still stand. On May 26 2015 18:15 Sulfurus wrote: I town read Plots for the simple reason that he scumread Rels after he died. Like what incentive does he have to do that as mafia? There is no mislynch he can push there and I don't think he realized I would town read him for that. Even if that was the purpose he would have tried to 'get credit' for it at some point instead of letting people forget about that read. In general Plot's demeanor this game has been to try get information into the hands of town instead of trying to push any kind of malicious agenda. Pressures Bats to explain his switch to BM (i'd like to know this as well) + Show Spoiler + On May 27 2015 14:04 Sulfurus wrote: @Batsnacks please go in depth on why you changed your vote to Bill Murray. Agrees BF is speculating too much about roles, but says he is likely town. + Show Spoiler + On May 28 2015 06:38 Sulfurus wrote: I agree that BoxerFred should stop talking about roles since it only helps mafia but all his specualtion seems really genuine and I think if he was mafia he would save that stuff for their QT. Also I think he is extremely towny for going against the grain and voting Bunnies yesterday. Thinks it's likely bunnies is trying to pocket him + Show Spoiler + On May 28 2015 06:49 Sulfurus wrote: Also I agree with the logic that Bunnies was trying to pocket me because I am new only to change her read when she realized that wouldn't work. There's also his posts asking Bats why he is suddenly the #1 target and his pointing out that Bunnies could be potential GF, these were so recent I'm not bothering quoting. The Votes: Day 1 Sul left his vote on Bats. It's a throwaway vote but it is in line with his reads all game. Day 2 Again left his vote on SL. Sul's votes dont look great, but he's not around often to change his vote and he gives decent reasoning why he is voting as he does. His vote on SL is weak, but he never gave much indication he'd be willing to vote either bunnies or BM so it makes sense. To me the biggest point here is Sul calling out BM as mislynch bait, scum would not point out someone as a potential mislynch bait. I'm also not seeing anything here that indicates scum behavior. Given all this, you guys had better give some damed good reasons why Sul is scum. To me 27nb is still the clear target as nothing has actually cleared her of any of the reasons she was being lynched D2. Green check when there is a possibility of GF is not enough. | ||
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So far these are the only times I see you talking about why Sul could be scum. On May 27 2015 04:16 batsnacks wrote: I can't think of anything huge off the top of my head, I'm sure I could find stuff if I dig but the main thing is that everyone else just looks -much- better. I think sulfur wasted his vote d1 too (could be wrong about that) and is wasting his vote now so there's that too. On May 28 2015 10:34 batsnacks wrote:
I did the digging for you, and his votes being wasted is not really a scum tell. So why is Sul scum? | ||
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Dude, if you have a case on me bring it. This soft pushing and no lynch vote is a waste of time and effort. You look like a terrible townie atm. | ||
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##Vote: 27ninjabunnies | ||
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Even if 27nb is scum, that doesn't mean bats is though. So here is who I've got a fairly confident town read on atm Dis Bara Plots SL I'm not sure about: Bats Sul BF (I'm leaning town, but not sure yet) Prob the last post from me tonight. I have the day off tomorrow so I'll be around. @Plots Fine, I expect critical thinking sir! | ||
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You jumped on BM for no reason, and now offer up Sul as a target for no reason. I think I have valid reasons to be unsure of you right now. | ||
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You guys need to fucking learn to read. On May 27 2015 04:09 Tictock wrote: @27nb Didn't know you were around. I've stated plenty of times that I think BM is looking pretty scummy for what he's been posting. Your first post, where you vote him, in pretty OMGUS. Then you talk about his one Big post. That post bought him some time, along with some of the other posts he made N1. I agree about all your other points, I'm pretty sure I've said pretty much the same about BM. So, I totally agree BM is likely scum. So @27nb if BM is scum, who do you think his last partner would be? On May 27 2015 04:32 Tictock wrote: So far I'm liking 27nb's posts. They are super late to the party though... Like the fact that she tries to start a new wagon on BM rather than going the easy route of pushing for SL is making me reconsider things. On May 27 2015 04:53 Tictock wrote: Ok I gotta head to work. Lets see how this plays out. Have a feeling I might be kicking myself later for swinging this one. ##Unvote ##Vote: Bill Murray I also talk about BM being shit for not posting thoughts anymore, and that I was thinking he mighta been trying to pocket me with his "hes so smart" comment. But if you guys never bothered to read me before why now? Town might deserve to lose this game if I'm the only one trying to solve it. | ||
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This was like the least important thing I said in the last few pages and you all are honing in on it What about the huge post I made looking at Sul are we just going to ignore that? | ||
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What about the question WHAT MAKES HIM SCUM? | ||
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Why he wastes his vote is a much better point. I think he mentioned something about it already though. | ||
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It's not a good reason, but it's likely | ||
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We really only know for sure that there is Cop and Masons for Town, and that both plots and Bara have said they were RB'd Everything else is pure speculation right? Granted there can be good logic from a balancing perspective, but is it reliable? | ||
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Do you have actual reasons to be scumming me yet? Or are you still relying on this OMGUS thing? | ||
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Sul has at least been consistently giving reasoning in his posts, not shitting up the thread | ||
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Also notice him looking for SL's approval here? On May 28 2015 11:14 plotspot wrote: My opinion, right SL?^^ + Show Spoiler + 1) scott31337 Mafia RB 2) Tictock Mafia Goon 3) Rels VT 4) plotspot VT 5) boxerfred Mason 6) disformation VT 7) Barakos VT 8) Sulfurus Mafia Godfather 9) 27ninjabunnies VT 10) Bill Murray VT 11) Breshke Mason 12) sicklucker RB 13) batsnacks Cop ##VOTE: NO LYNCH | ||
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##Unvote ##Vote: plotspot | ||
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Are you guys unable to try and solve this game without roles being thrown in your faces? Bre, my dead probably spinning in his grave, mason buddy would be ashamed that I'm having to claim to keep you all from letting this game get out of control. | ||
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+ Show Spoiler + I know, I'm not clever | ||
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You really need to get a handle on yourself man. | ||
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On May 28 2015 21:20 sicklucker wrote: So your hard claiming town roleblocker? and that you got roleblocked n1? wut? Tictock im taking that as a masonclaim You sir get a c+ for reading comprehension. + Show Spoiler + Actually you were the only one who seemed to be onto us yesterday, that extra credit bumps you to A+ | ||
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I also poked him a few times that he was ignoring me over his 27nb case. I was like "Dude, I voted for NB D1, why don't you care what I think in thread?" | ||
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Are you like convinced Sul is scum? I'd really rather not lynch an inactive again. But maybe you guys got him pegged better than me | ||
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Just wondering, you did read the post I made about Sul right? Did you reach a similar conclusion as bats? Plots seems like me when I was tunneling you, but on steroids. It's too weird a play for scum so I figure he's just pissed off town. | ||
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On May 28 2015 21:43 plotspot wrote: And I already explained why an RB, Mason and Cop is fair to Mafia RB, Mafia Godfather and Mafia Goon. Scumteam Tictock Sulfurus just had bad luck that we just hit Barakos (both me and Bats), Rels (me) and 27ninja. Or is there any doubt to whether 27ninja might be Godfather? Her cluelessness simply makes it extremely unlikely. You even see now that Tictock tries hard to deflect from voting for Sulfurus for whatever reason you want. And I posted a post about Sulfurus just somewhere above that gives her away as Mafia, especially if you know the setup now. If this setup is correct, I still say that 27nb is the best target once again today. Pretty much any possibility of GF being a mafia role means we cannot take Bats greencheck on her seriusly and haveto fall back on what we already know. Which is really just everything we were scumming her for D2. ## Unvote ## Vote: 27ninjabunnies + Show Spoiler + Hosts, I feel like this may be a horrid day of vote swapping. I apologize in advance | ||
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Your claim as Town RB was serious correct? | ||
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You've been clearly scumming me since much earlier than N2, why didn't you block me? | ||
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What was your reasoning RBing him in the first place? | ||
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On May 28 2015 22:13 Tictock wrote: So your logic here is that by roleblocking Bara you've proven him town? What was your reasoning RBing him in the first place? @Plots actually ignore the non bolded question | ||
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##Unvote | ||
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Thanks, that does make that setup idea seem too town heavy. I'll remember to try and break things down like that in the future. | ||
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I notice SL and Dis are expecting me to claim mason. Honestly though, I feel like if I were a role wouldn't I be in the best position to not claim? Like most people are reading me as town anyway, if I were to claim a role it wouldn't really narrow things down at the moment. I would have held to this thinking as well, but once the role speculation started to get too out of hand I realized it was in fact doing town more harm than good. And thanks to a thing known as "a flip" Bre is in fact the only confirmed blue role at this moment in the game. It's up to town to decide if the people claiming roles have been acting in line with that role, and to sniff out any fake claims that have inconsistencies. I think he still missed my question. PLOTSPOT!! What was your reasoning RBing him in the first place? The "him" = Barakos | ||
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##Vote: Plotspot On May 28 2015 22:52 plotspot wrote: If Sulfurus flips green feel free to lynch me next, because obviously then I haven't got the game solved and wasted all your time. Do we have a deal? 100% scum logic when we are 3 mislynches from a Mafia win. Town should not be willing to stake their lives like this as if they are in fact wrong it sets mafia up so well. | ||
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I'm a little biased here though, so I encourage Town to see if they think plots claim holds. I believe he is Mafia RB trying to fakeclaim Town RB. RB,RB, Goon vs Cop & Masons sounds fairly balanced, no? | ||
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On May 29 2015 06:28 batsnacks wrote: I would tell you this as either alignment: 4 blues in this setup is unusual. Meaning it wouldn't be terrible for you to be at least slightly suspicious of my claim. I think tiktok is objectively the most likely to be telling the truth. If you don't understand why you can ask. We should definitely -not- avoid talking about it. Mafia is never going to cc anything for the rest of the game it would be suicide at this point. If you don't understand why you can ask. Here is every possibility:
Assume anyone lying is mafia. Nothing else is possible. Bats is taking the right approach here. While it would be nice to just assume that all the claims are true and then focus on the people remaining it is also a suicide play for town. Once again town needs to avoid any more mislynchs and so we need to have solid reasoning as to why we believe and unfonfirmed role claim, otherwise this is too easy of a place for scum to hide. On May 29 2015 06:09 disformation wrote: Yeah, I agree that we should stop talking about roles and claims that much and just lynch the scummiest person around. I agree, to an extent (what i said above). I've also been asking town to critically think about this point all day. Even among the claims, is there somebody who is doing scummy things? Once again, I'm a bit biased so I'm not going to make a case here. But Town NEEDS to consider these points, we cannot afford to limit our pool of potential scum without good reason. | ||
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If you even have the slightest doubt that I am not Bre's partner. I'm here, ask away. I still need to look through your filter and double check that I believe your Cop claim. Besides that one slim point I made, I really was willing to believe it earlier. It matches up with your play being somewhat lurky and you not always giving us great reasoning for stuff. I also think you doubting your own checks now given unknown setups means you are more willing to look at this game critically, which makes you obv town. | ||
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@ BF You mention you brought up questions you wanted answered. I feel like i lost them in your like 20 post spam. Can you restate please? I also want to remind you that while i for a moment considered you and plots as potential scum team, I dismissed it the next post. It was only based on what plots has said, and if he is scum it could have been a move to push you into the limelight after he gets lynched. I'd also like you to critically look at the 3 claims made today, you've been wanting to do roles stuff for the past few phases, now is your chance. Look through each claim and tell me what makes you think the claim could be legit and what could not be legit. If you need to get more info to reach a conclusion, now is the time to ask. | ||
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Anything in particular? We had an almost 200 msg QT. Near EoN we both agreed he was likely the Night kill, so he left a bit of his legacy thoughts in there. He made some great points as to why you were likely town + Show Spoiler + through a similar line of thinking to why I'm suggesting Sul could be town Bre's point about Bats being very likely Town was that Bats supported and is reading Town pretty hard in SL. Again, scum needs mislynches at this point in the game. So by townreading SL you've made it harder to push him as a potential target without some grandiose flip of that read. By eliminating someone who is good mislynch material we can deduce you are very likely town. Also Bre helped me understand why SL was likely not a role. When I was tunneling him SL did in fact give up a bit and claim VT. If he was a role it seems very unlikely he would have done this. Linking that back to Bats being town, if Bats were scum he would know that SL is not a role from this and would be that much more likely to try and use him as a mislynch later. That was the heavier stuff we talked about last night phase. | ||
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27nb Sul Bara Plots Not 100% town, but very likely town, again in rough order Bats BF Dis SL This was obviusly before Bara said he got RB's and before | ||
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He said "Your not going to get much info tomorrow since everyone will pile 27nb" Today has actually been one of the most interesting days IMO | ||
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This was all me paraphrasing. | ||
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We didnt see a reason to claim, both of us were being heavily townread. In fact he suggested I prob should hold off claiming, but was my call. I did try and hold it off, but clearly town needs reassurances today. Bre stopped being careful about revealing our role after N1, and he's generally very awkward and unsure of how to approach me in game. If you notice he rarely tried to interact with me and just gives unreasoned town reads on me. I was trying to react to him more naturally, in fact this post On May 25 2015 18:00 Tictock wrote: @Bre She's fallen off my radar since EoD. Why aren't you back on this scott wagon? Was kinda a fabrication on my part, I thought he should be hard pushing for my opinions on 27nb and wanted things to look more natural between us. At this point I see why he wanted to leave a more obvious trail between us. | ||
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Thanks for your thoughts and reposting your questions. I'm around for a bit longer, but then i need to get some RL stuff done. Anything for me before I go? ^This is to everyone | ||
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27nb has still not done much of real value, and has not added much to the discussion today. She was willing to say that GF was a possibility and that Cop checks cant be 100%. That's about the only thing giving me pause atm, but I could see that coming from either alignment as it's an easy thing to state. My stance on plots is that he is Mafia RB trying to hide as Town RB. It's a bold move though, so it should be looked at critically. But when I do that his claim falls apart, him RBing Bara makes 0 sense as you can tell he hasn't liked me very much since I've been pressuring him so hard yet is fairly null about Bara. Who in their right mind as RB would not block Me if they felt as plots seems to N2? Not only that but his entire filter is his graphics and reads D1 and his whole OMGUS thing with me. I tried to give him a pass as misguided town but his persistence to fill the thread with nonsense along with the fact that I've pointed out he's pushing bad town logic (maybe you don't agree it's as strong as I think it is) tells me he is scum. I've given my reasons why I've been townreading Dis the whole game multiple times. He has shown clear and critical thinking, has been willing to admit he's wrong, doesn't deflect questions, pushes his own ideas... etc etc. I don't feel like restating my read on him, you can find it in my filter. | ||
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You really need to weigh in more critically man. Your skimming the issues here today which is making you fall into very likely scum territory. I did you a favor in looking through your filter and pointing out at least one decent reason why you are not the most likely scum. It's time that you give town your all and tell us what you think. | ||
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Looking through Bats filter, I can see pretty clear reasons why he would check Bara N1. Bara was pushing back on Bats for his Iching thing and Bats was thinking "Why do you care so much to read into my opening BS more than others?" I'm never seeing Bats leave anything to suggest Bara returned green on his check, unlees I'm missing something in the 2nd quote I'm leaving here. These were the more interesting posts from Bats on Bara, first is from before D2 and the 2nd quote is from N2. On May 23 2015 20:52 batsnacks wrote: Like baraka if you're mafia you are walking straight into something that can get you lynched. If you're town you are wasting your time because not only are your conclusions about me provably wrong, I will never get lynched today. On May 27 2015 07:29 batsnacks wrote: I wish this were a themed game so I could troll you all with my ##Dragon Emperor Soaring Destruction: Barakos Obv checking 27nb makes sense given how EoD went down. There is nothing to make me 100% believe Bats claim, but it does all add up. Anyone have anything more/better? | ||
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On May 29 2015 08:45 plotspot wrote: Ok let's just say this was the case, at that time when Breshke was killed, wouldn't that mean I'd not better RB the kill target like scum usually does, so how does Barakos get to be the target? This is like implying Barakos is scum coming out pretending to have been the target. That's kind of a stretch isn't it? We then already know that Barakos is the GF because he was already copchecked by bats. Looking at this do you still think I am Mafia RB? only possible if Barakos is GF. Would I as mafia point it out like this, or would I'd rather hide it? The most plausible thing is that I'm am Town RB, not Mafia RB neither in case that town had also a Town RB as well as do not have a Town RB? Did I not consider anything? @ Plots First the bolded question is one that I already posed to you, and is still one that you as Town RB need to answer in depth. Why did you think Bara was scum and block him? You've posted town or null reads on him before and after N2, so what did he do to make you think you had better block him? You also seem to suggest that Bara is potentially the GF here. Is that what you were thinking? You didn't like the green check on Bara so you figuered he was the Mafia GF and blocked him? | ||
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I realize you say Looking at this do you still think I am Mafia RB? only possible if Barakos is GF. I'm just not following your thinking there very clearly. Sorry. | ||
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You stated before On May 28 2015 13:33 27ninjabunnies wrote: The one time I can interact with people, no one is around. lame. I'm around Got anything for me? | ||
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The most important thing for Town to keep in mind: Scum needs Town to Mislynch 3 times to Win Right now there are votes on 3 people Sulfurus 27ninjabunnies plotspot At this point I can't imagine anyone holding onto a case on somebody not in that list. So Town needs to really think and consider, which of these 3 players is most likely scum? While some speculation on setup is fine, we should avoid trying to assume too much. We have a solid clue to the setup, one Scum RB, and one Mason have been flipped. Then we have 3 more blue roles for town being claimed today; 2nd Mason, Town RB, and Cop. Focus on these claims. The balance of the setup is a secondary concern here. Leaving my own Opinion like this, because I think what I said above is so much more important than my opinion. + Show Spoiler + Personally I am fine lynching either plotspot or 27nb today. Plotspot is my top choice because everything he has done today has caused confusion and his logic in suggesting people matches with scum goals. First I find his assertion that town has all 3 is odd. A setup like he suggests COULD be possible, but it doesn't really make sense when you break it down like Dis did here. Even considering this setup, it means that the cop checks are suspect due to the high likelyhood of GF on the mafia team. Yet plots reaches the same conclusion that Sul is scum regardless of the cop checks being possibly invalidated. Plots reads on Bara are important to his claim as Town RB. We also only have his word, and his post-morteum scum read on Rels to backup his first claim as RB. Neither of these hold up his claim on RB in my opinion. Thus I can only conclude that this is a fake claim. He is also consistently offering plans of action that involve 2 kills. He says, If Sulfurus flips green feel free to lynch me next, because obviously then I haven't got the game solved and wasted all your time. Do we have a deal? then he says Looking at this do you still think I am Mafia RB? only possible if Barakos is GF. He also only swaps to these tactics after his attempted, whatever the hell, on me fails and he can't push Sulf and I as a scum team. This type of thinking lines up with scum goals, trying to get a mislynch any way he can. 27nb had a full day phase of pressure to answer the questions and concerns people had about her. She showed up about 8 Hours before EoD and offered up BM as a better target. She has since stayed reclusive and not weighed in, not voted yet today. Her vote D1 was not on the wagon that got us one Scum RB, D2 her vote was to save her own skin. Now it looks like D3 she wants to wait till EoD again. 27nb is also doing the same thing as plots, offering no real plan of action or very well reasoned vote. She seems to be happy just randomly lynching her lowest 4 town reads. On May 28 2015 13:53 27ninjabunnies wrote: People We are not lynching: Ticktock Bats Barakos MAybe SL? Me People we lynch Everyone else. GG Town wins Regardless of if they are a team or not. Plots and 27nb are Easily my top 2 scum. We should at least lynch one of them today and re-evaluate tomorrow. Sul just doesn't seem to care. I don't like it, he might be scum for it... but that was also the line of thought that lead to the BM lynch. I have better reasons to lynch either plots or 27nb today. I could be wrong about plots, honestly his stuff is like way over the top and draws so much attention to it. If he is scum the whole thing is pretty Yolo swag and is based on the idea that town would never lynch someone claiming a blue role. To me the notion of him being Town RB doesn't make much sense, it doesn't sound like a balanced setup for town to have Masons, Cop, and RB. Plots claim also looks pretty flimsy when you start poking at it. I really tried to poke at the guy to get good reasoning why he would have RB'd Bara, at the time of this post he has only explained it here. In the world where plots is town, I have no choice but to return my vote to 27nb. While I believe bats claim, if the setup is how plots claims then GF is def a possibility and the greencheck on bunnies is not confirmed. | ||
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I wrote out my thoughts before I napped (wanted to watch GSL!). Was going to re-evaluate if anything new had been posted, but it's been a slow night again it looks like. I'll be lurking a bit and keeping an eye on things. My vote is not final, but for now I'm fine letting it ride. | ||
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On May 29 2015 16:49 Sulfurus wrote: If plots is mafia it will become apperant when he doesn't die in the night and Bunnies is more scummy anyway. ##Vote: 27NinjaBunnies I'm probably ok with this line of thinking. I'm still amazed at how little you choose to post when you are possibly getting lynched today... | ||
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Mafia could easily target Bats tonight, or even myself. | ||
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I'm not saying I don't think the guy could be scum, but I just want good reasoning behind our lynch today. I will give plots credit for at least try-harding today. ##Unvote Ok, convince me without relying on setup and role stuff, that Sul should be my vote over 27nb. | ||
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This game is Supposed to be about critical thinking and deception. Useing roles as a crutch means Mafia can abuse that to their advantage just as much as town can. GF role exist to counter Cop roles. So yes, without relying on the greencheck. Hell forget I'm mason and make a case on me. I dont care at this point, I just want thought put into our Fing lynch today. At least one of the players up for lynch today is town making life hard for the rest of town. BM was useless Town. I'm starting to think town deserves to lose this one. | ||
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Just Think outside them as well. | ||
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On May 29 2015 06:28 batsnacks wrote: I would tell you this as either alignment: 4 blues in this setup is unusual. Meaning it wouldn't be terrible for you to be at least slightly suspicious of my claim. I think tiktok is objectively the most likely to be telling the truth. If you don't understand why you can ask. We should definitely -not- avoid talking about it. Mafia is never going to cc anything for the rest of the game it would be suicide at this point. If you don't understand why you can ask. Here is every possibility:
Assume anyone lying is mafia. Nothing else is possible. Least I know Bats encourages thought. | ||
Tictock
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On May 29 2015 20:14 Barakos wrote: Why are you working so hard on not lynching sulfurus? Lynching plots would mean, lynching an confirmed rb on the off chance, there are 2 scum-rbs vs a single town-cop... sounds not convincing. Lynching bunnies means lynching into a green-check on the 1/6-chance that there is a godfather between all the claimed vt and bunnies is the gf Lynching sulfurus is a 2/4 scum, if you believe both greenchecks, 1/4 if you believe one of bunnies/me is the gf. He's pretty convinced that 2 RB on scum side is a unbelievable setup. He's also just willing to just sheep bats without telling us why he doesn't focus on his real scum reads. This is interesting to me since the RB claim he made is his biggest reason for being Townread atm. Thus plots being Town RB is his only major lag to stand on for town cred here. Also reminds me of this point which I didn't believe before, but now I'm reconsidering. On May 29 2015 11:38 Tictock wrote: @ Plots First the bolded question is one that I already posed to you, and is still one that you as Town RB need to answer in depth. Why did you think Bara was scum and block him? You've posted town or null reads on him before and after N2, so what did he do to make you think you had better block him? You also seem to suggest that Bara is potentially the GF here. Is that what you were thinking? You didn't like the green check on Bara so you figuered he was the Mafia GF and blocked him? Someone tell me if I'm getting too WIFOM here. | ||
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Is Cop + Masons vs RB, Goon, GF that wierd? | ||
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Nobody claimed RB until N2. This was well after I started an unhealthy discussion regarding setup speculation. | ||
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On May 29 2015 22:06 Barakos wrote: That would mean plots fakeclaimed having been rb'ed during N1. Incorrect! On May 27 2015 07:34 plotspot wrote: Okay, maybe it’s time we talk about this now. I have received a visit from the RB on N1. I have no idea who did this but, it must be someone who thought I might be scum and checked on it with his night action on N1. Who the hell might do that? Was posted N2. Here is the Link The rest of your post was based on this assertion so I disregard. | ||
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You've still never told us why you, as Town RB role blocked Bara N2 | ||
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On May 29 2015 22:12 Tictock wrote: Incorrect! Was posted N2. Here is the Link The rest of your post was based on this assertion so I disregard. Sorry this was a terrible post. I checked in during a dull moment in an otherwise great TvZ and misread the quote from Bara. So EBWOP? Correct! QUOTE! This also leads me to believe that you Bara are joining in with the fake claims to mislead town into thinking there is a 2nd Roleblocker this game. | ||
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On May 29 2015 22:12 plotspot wrote: No Tictock. You keep saying I’m the Mafia RB as a reason why you vote me. Then explain to me this? Why do I as Mafia RB block Barakos and not Breshke on N2, when I did block Rels on N1? Why do I as Mafia RB reveal to town that there is an RB, when Mafia is benefits more from keeping stuff like this hidden? Why do I as Mafia RB point out to you that the only way it is possible for me to be Mafia RB is if it leads town directly to my scumpartner, when I’m playing to win and not to lose? Yes, I admit I was wrong. Once again. You are in fact the Goon correct? You tried to invent a Town RB role by claiming yourself that you were RB's N1. This was after I had started speculation in thread that we COULD be playing an unusual setup for a newbie game by saying stuff about an SK. So: -You needed Bara to claim he was RB'd as well to solidify your claim -You "reveal" it to confuse town and setup towncred for you and your scumbuddie -Just one person claiming RB is really stupid, the two of you can both get towncred and invent a role to confuse town You really need to give some better reasons why you as Town RB would block Bara. | ||
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Really? you just don't care? | ||
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I know I can at least walk through plots filter and explain what scum!plots is thinking the whole game at this point. Bara I'd need to totally reread his filter. So Dis if you could focus him please? ##Vote: plotspot He flips mafia goon, then we the the GF next. Ok boys? Clearly everyone here just likes to sheep. | ||
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Notice any shifts in Bara's attitude when lynching inactives? @Plots You still haven't answered the question I've posed to you like 10 times now. As Town RB. Why would you RB Bara on N2? On May 28 2015 22:48 plotspot wrote: I couldn't read him that well. While I said he was town earlier, I had my doubts internally and not published. I wonder why batsnacks thought the same? That was not a good answer. @Everyone Mafia 100% kills Bats tonight to prevent any future checks. Plots is my vote today because I find him to be the scummiest person here today. Regardless of my theories regarding Bara. | ||
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On May 30 2015 01:33 plotspot wrote: ok, no problem: After I skimmed through the game Barakos posted, I realize that my read on him earlier is not good anymore. It was based on mostly his tone. In the link he posted where he wins as the last remaining mafia, he clearly shows an impressive deceiving style, while I felt he has the same tone as here. That’s the reason that made me reconsider the situation, although I didn’t post about it in the thread before I RBed him. So plots, you also agree it's odd that Bara was saying we shouldn't lynch inactives D1 when it was scott up for lynch, but D2 he was fine with BM? Also he is pretty happy sheeping bats to lynch inactive Sul today. | ||
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I think RB is invented and he's goon, catchup please | ||
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Plots is Mafia Goon. Bara is GF He was willing to play so crazy today because between the check from bats and his invented RB stuff, which we only have word of through plots and Bara, would give Bara plenty of towncred to ride out much of the game. Especially when Town is so willing to sit around lynching people not talking much. These 2 people are the only ones saying I made some crazy defense of Sul here, when it's at best a null read. They are also the only 2 clinging to this RB role, since it's what their towncred relies on. | ||
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This makes sense though. Town should at least be able to agree that plots looks just as bad is not worse than Sul or 27nb and be willing to hear me out for one day. I really don't want to lynch an inactive AGAIN over other decent targets. | ||
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On May 30 2015 01:49 batsnacks wrote: Dude, listen. Tonight force plot to roleblock you. If he doesn't obey, lynch him. Problem solved. I realize this is an option, but why not him today then asses Sul or 27nb tomorrow? I'd rather maximize our chance of catching Scum today. | ||
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I didn't believe plots RB claim long before I thought you could be his scum partner. I'm staying true to what I posted here. On May 29 2015 18:58 Tictock wrote: So Town has about 17hours left to reach a conclusion for today. The most important thing for Town to keep in mind: Scum needs Town to Mislynch 3 times to Win Right now there are votes on 3 people Sulfurus 27ninjabunnies plotspot At this point I can't imagine anyone holding onto a case on somebody not in that list. So Town needs to really think and consider, which of these 3 players is most likely scum? While some speculation on setup is fine, we should avoid trying to assume too much. We have a solid clue to the setup, one Scum RB, and one Mason have been flipped. Then we have 3 more blue roles for town being claimed today; 2nd Mason, Town RB, and Cop. Focus on these claims. The balance of the setup is a secondary concern here. Leaving my own Opinion like this, because I think what I said above is so much more important than my opinion. + Show Spoiler + Personally I am fine lynching either plotspot or 27nb today. Plotspot is my top choice because everything he has done today has caused confusion and his logic in suggesting people matches with scum goals. First I find his assertion that town has all 3 is odd. A setup like he suggests COULD be possible, but it doesn't really make sense when you break it down like Dis did here. Even considering this setup, it means that the cop checks are suspect due to the high likelyhood of GF on the mafia team. Yet plots reaches the same conclusion that Sul is scum regardless of the cop checks being possibly invalidated. Plots reads on Bara are important to his claim as Town RB. We also only have his word, and his post-morteum scum read on Rels to backup his first claim as RB. Neither of these hold up his claim on RB in my opinion. Thus I can only conclude that this is a fake claim. He is also consistently offering plans of action that involve 2 kills. He says, If Sulfurus flips green feel free to lynch me next, because obviously then I haven't got the game solved and wasted all your time. Do we have a deal? then he says Looking at this do you still think I am Mafia RB? only possible if Barakos is GF. He also only swaps to these tactics after his attempted, whatever the hell, on me fails and he can't push Sulf and I as a scum team. This type of thinking lines up with scum goals, trying to get a mislynch any way he can. 27nb had a full day phase of pressure to answer the questions and concerns people had about her. She showed up about 8 Hours before EoD and offered up BM as a better target. She has since stayed reclusive and not weighed in, not voted yet today. Her vote D1 was not on the wagon that got us one Scum RB, D2 her vote was to save her own skin. Now it looks like D3 she wants to wait till EoD again. 27nb is also doing the same thing as plots, offering no real plan of action or very well reasoned vote. She seems to be happy just randomly lynching her lowest 4 town reads. On May 28 2015 13:53 27ninjabunnies wrote: People We are not lynching: Ticktock Bats Barakos MAybe SL? Me People we lynch Everyone else. GG Town wins Regardless of if they are a team or not. Plots and 27nb are Easily my top 2 scum. We should at least lynch one of them today and re-evaluate tomorrow. Sul just doesn't seem to care. I don't like it, he might be scum for it... but that was also the line of thought that lead to the BM lynch. I have better reasons to lynch either plots or 27nb today. I could be wrong about plots, honestly his stuff is like way over the top and draws so much attention to it. If he is scum the whole thing is pretty Yolo swag and is based on the idea that town would never lynch someone claiming a blue role. To me the notion of him being Town RB doesn't make much sense, it doesn't sound like a balanced setup for town to have Masons, Cop, and RB. Plots claim also looks pretty flimsy when you start poking at it. I really tried to poke at the guy to get good reasoning why he would have RB'd Bara, at the time of this post he has only explained it here. In the world where plots is town, I have no choice but to return my vote to 27nb. While I believe bats claim, if the setup is how plots claims then GF is def a possibility and the greencheck on bunnies is not confirmed. | ||
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I'm not sheeping this weak as hell case on Sul. I'm more convinced 27nb just doesn't care at this point. I could be way out in WIFOM land but at least I'm trying. | ||
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so is anyone going to make a case on SL now? That quote epitomizes towns thinking to me right now. Do you guys remember the one thing I was REALLY pushing for yesterday? Hint: it wasn't a lynch on plots + Show Spoiler + It was critical thinking and good reasoning over why we were going to lynch someone Town deserves to lose this game IMO. | ||
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I've got a fairly good idea what I would do in his shoes, but speculating on it now does town no good. That's all from me, I'm too disappointed in people to keep playing right now. | ||
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I have no way to prove this, so it's really just for my own amusement, but I prepared these posts with the intent on putting them up more or less after D4 starts. Some predictions: + Show Spoiler + -plots and Bara have been pointing fingers at me for having given up since my "plot" (get it) didn't work -prob some accusations that I'm not even a Mason and that Bre was solo -plots RB was on Bats or myself, really it could be anyone though. I'm pretty sure plots RBs the kill target here, but really all plots has to do here is say that the person he RB'd is scum when they say they weren't -Idea is to have the whole D4 revolve around this argument. Remember, it doesn't matter if plots gets lynched as long as it happens in such a way to secure towncred for Bara Obv scum killed Bats. If they killed anyone else it was to protect plots RB claim. Can't see them leaving bats though, I'm sure he was trying to check plots N3 and they can't have that. Honestly I can't imagine town staying fooled by this after I pointed everything out before EoD, but I'd rather not drag things out anymore. So here I am unveiling my case. This will be a multi-post case, so be warned. I may leave a summary post depending on how long this gets or how motivated I stay. Main Points -Plots is scum. This is a short version of my scumread on him, but I'll expand on it.+ Show Spoiler + He's been Tryharding this whole game but never brings anything of worth to the game. D1 it's all the graphics. D2 defending SL from Me and getting all buddy buddy. He also blows up over nothing (claims I misunderstood a post) attacking my reading ability & fabricating all sorts of ways I'm not reading him right. He does all that instead of restating his thoughts like I ask him to. D3 total tunnel on me, is 100% convinced he can make me look like shit kus he doesn't think I'm mason (for some reason he's really sure he picked up Mason on BF). When that doesn't work he falls back on Sul but keeps pushing me. -Plots fabricates a 2nd RB role. He uses my own mistake of bringing up setup speculation to his teams advantage. -Setup is really RB, Goon, GF vs Masons(2) & Cop. This is a balanced setup and perfectly normal in a newbie game. -This RB invention isn't a solid idea until D2, which is why plots claims it then to "soft claim" his role. -Bara has to be N2 RB so that they can push this idea, AND! it gives them both instant towncred enough to force town to mislynch D3. -Scum plan going forward is to have Plots keep sticking his neck out and causing as much confusion as possible. Plots is expendable as long as he creates a good smokescreen for Bara. While Bara is safe to hold back and blend. At this point Bara can just keep sheeping town like he did D3, his cred is that solid as long as there isn't anyone crazy enough to thing a blue claim could be false and push it... | ||
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Let me walk you through plots play, as I see it. Indulge my thinking for just a little bit please, try it on for size. If you don't like it feel free to say so but it had better be more than just attacks on my character or ability. You have to target my reasoning here. Going mild on the quotes here, or at least I started out trying to go mild >.< Do your own Fing reading if you want to verify every little point I make. Also this got Big really fast. Spoilered to keep thread readable. + Show Spoiler + Plots if you recall, starts this game seeming to have forgotten he was playing. He then returns to the game so ready to go that he does some crazy spreadsheeting of everyone's posts. These look impressive, like they took a lot of time. In fact they took so much time plots is never able to do full reads on everyone. Finally D2 he finishes his analysis of D1 and posts all the results, along with helpful instructions on how to use the charts. That's a lot of work right? Like it really is impressive... but how likely is it to really give meaningful information? Plots used his analysis in detail in his reads D1, which only had the first 6? hours of the game involved (he posted these about MidDay btw). But look at his reads AFTER he finished his analysis, he posted them here just a little after he give us his finished charts. Huh, he sure doesn't use much of anything from the charts does he? Almost like he doesn't believe they are useful either. All that work, he doesn't even try to make a full set of reads on everybody from them? Plots then goes pretty carefree, like he's done his job. He has. Nobody, well almost nobody, would dare scum read someone with all that work under his belt. So he starts chatting with SL, being all jokey and chummy. A decent pocket attempt if i ever have seen one (I think it's actually my first ^.^), SL has been under constant pressure and def needs a friend at this point in the game. That is also likely why plots has been weakly townreading SL the whole game. This point always stood out to me as odd. Sl is a very hard player to read, especially early on. If plots is as tryhard noob as he looks from the charts, how is he SO sure SL is town? Here is where things start to get interesting. I blunder in, super scumming plots over this interaction with SL. Clearly my attention is focused on SL at this point, but the fact that I call out his pocket attempt is bad for plots. So he decides to try and undermine my townyness. Do note at this point plots had only posted 2 reads on me, one null and one as clear town. Plots starts to get super mad at my points against him. I first call him out for his read on Rels. Remember that? The first thing plots did D2 was give a full paragraph scum read on the guy who just flipped green. His reasoning, well I was working on this, might as well finish it and post it, shows people I'm trying. Why would town post a read like this after a flip? It adds nothing to be discussed, it wastes space, it gives slim towncred, and it's downright weird. Now I definitely read all plots posts here a few times already. While there are a few places where plots is right and I did misread his posts. + Show Spoiler + Honest question, who finds plots posts easy to read? Other stuff is going on in his filter right now as well. He gives a read on SL and 27nb. The reas on SL is not bad actually, plots gives lots of reasoning and takes into consideration other opinions, odd though that he now thinks SL is shifty when plots has been claiming he's pretty town up till now. His read ends with a bunch of questions, which plots later claims were trying to get people to think SL might be a role. His read on 27nb is total crap on the other hand. It is just sheeping everyone else's opinion. Yet plots is willing to vote 27nb, and then later swap to BM for no reason other than BM voting 27nb. Still, after the initial case I post, I do start to make efforts to talk to plots. I ask him to give details to backup his claims/defense, admit I might have been jumping the gun, and even admit that maybe I am just misunderstanding him. In this last point I especially admit, I mean it's really easy to have a misunderstanding. So there was a break in our exchanges and that let him get out those reads. Late in the day, I post about more things I don't like about plots. Again plots gets super defensive, this time really attacking my ability to read. The post that really stood out to me in this exchange was this one. That post is a bunch of garbled nonsense. The point of it is to suggest several different ways that I MUST have been misreading plots and is largely putting words into my mouth. Why does plots go through all this effort? Why not just tell me what he really meant not what I'm misreading from his post. I think hes trying to slander me, make me appear to be as unreliable as he can. This covers up to N2 and is less than Half! plots filter. N2 starts somewhere just after pg 4 in plots filter. Plots now decides to put out his RB claim, well he claims that HE was RB's N1. This is later said to be a "soft claim" for his RB role. In fact right after plots says he got RB'd he start talking about it like it HAD to have come from town. At first this looks strange, though it does fit with him later claiming RB. After this though, plots really starts to focus on me. He blows up once again about our misunderstanding (I did push him in not the most diplomatic way) but even though I'm CLEARLY asking him to clear things up, he posts this which is largely just what he already posted. Page 5 of plots filter starts with him responding to me answering his questions to me. He basically just calls me dumb and says I have no way to know that SL isn't a role. I had reached this conclusion on my own, however Bre helped me solidify it. Feel free to ask me why I thought this later, this post is big enough. Shortly after that Plots starts his spam posting for the day. Some of the tunnel on me starts, but breaks off to throw out some stuff about roles and keeps doing this Nolynch crap for literally no reason. The whole way Plots claims his role is a little weird. He doesn't come out with it, he slowly teases it, as though he's giving town some great secret. He also uses this to try and be "secretive" about his motives for RBing who he did. He does eventually offer this, On May 28 2015 21:36 plotspot wrote: I RBed Rels, but she died that night. Remember that I scumread her. I even said I would have shot her if I was vig. So I claimed that I was RBed by a roleblocker N2 to tell town that we have a RB, but there wasn't any discussion worthwhile about it, you also didn't see me press the issue there. What an odd choice to RB N1. Sure, ok Plots did scumread Rels and mentioned the Vig thing here, On May 25 2015 07:10 plotspot wrote: How do you know Rels wasn't Vig shot? I was about to make a case on scumreading him hard for the following points I prepared: Rels: referring too much to others opinion, reading thread very carefully, the way RELS sets up lynch is also very comfortable (like lynch inactives), giving orders to others, thanks my post but posts no further thoughts, in comparison to Disinformation who displays overall anxiety in his reads and thoughts, Rels looks like he can handle any sudden change, there is nothing clouding his mind, others apparently have to do more than Rels, you bet if I was Vig I would have shot her. Another odd post. First how in the hell does Plots think a Vig shot Rels, because plots would if he were vig? He is also so sure Rels is scum here, but are his reasons good? And... wait this is right at start of D2, before plots has even finished his charts... but I see no evidence of him using his charts in this read once again... Would a Town RB, who spends all D1 making charts on activity, use this reasoning to block Rels? Well THIS plots doesnt, rather than use the tool he's spent so much time making he throws out these NAI points about Rels to scum her and say she was a good target here. Still not convinced plots RB claim doesn't hold up? What about his N2 target, Barakos? Well as Dis points out in this post On May 28 2015 22:58 disformation wrote: That is basically the only mention of barakos in your filter... Why the fuck would you roleblock a null/town read over a scum read? Plots has only been town or nullreading Bara all game. I think plots reasons for his RB's is very much a good thing to be looking at. I spent a fair portion of D3 asking plots why Bara was his 2nd RB. He only ever mentions his RB on bara in these 2 posts one is his super weak answer to my question. On May 28 2015 21:58 plotspot wrote: Of course I RBed Rels and Barakos. Barakos non-chalantly mentions he has been RBed? Lol if he was mafia I believe he should hang out in the thread a bit instead of expressing it like this. On May 28 2015 22:48 plotspot wrote: I couldn't read him that well. While I said he was town earlier, I had my doubts internally and not published. I wonder why batsnacks thought the same? (he technically mentions the Bara RB in other posts as well, but they are just like that first quote. "Bara's RB claim proves I'm RB guys!" Now plots does post this On May 29 2015 00:38 plotspot wrote: Also it's impossible for a mafia to think of such a ploy. He would risk his fucking life making up being RB, when he didn't even know there was one. Guess what would happen to mafia if he makes up such a ploy, saying he was RB N1? I would crush him. It's too dangerous, no mafia will ever do that. I on the other hand could because only I knew I targeted Rels and "luckily" she died for that ploy to work. Imagine if I was to RB someone and he survives that Night. It would make this ploy impossible, it would have led to a fucking mess which mafia will have ultimately used to force me out. Which is true, and a valid point. Why would scum invent such a play? What does it benefit them? I will attempt to explain the scum logic here in another post, for now this is actually a good point. This does bring me to the one point that would destroy my theory. If there is a 3rd person who gets RB's then I'm absolutely wrong here. Starting here plots starts to push numbers to explain why votes should go certain ways. He also starts to bring back the possibility of me and Sul being the scum team. He is also continuing to post setup speculations, keeping them broad and only suggests more "oddball" setups. Towards EoD plots does more numbers to push votes on Sul, these make no sense though and are really just put out to keep town unsure of what is the best play. There is more in the filter, but it is more recent and this has ballooned to be an epic wall of text. Hopefully I've made my points clear. | ||
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At this point I want to point out that a NORMAL newbie setup is most likely, regardless of anything that has been said this game it is very unlikely that a bizarre setup would be used in a newbie game. At the time of me writing this Bre is the only confirmed Blue role, Bats will probably have been killed and confirmed Cop so D4 is going to be all about plots vs me. Mason vs Town RB, which role makes more sense? I propose that our game is setup like so: RB, Goon, and GF vs Masons & Cop Plots claim for RB is fake, and I poked holes in his claim in my last post. Ok now lets talk about how what I'm suggesting makes sense from a scum perspective as this may not look like a good play at first. - The Scum play D3 - Imagine you are scum. You lost your RB Day 1 thanks to a somewhat lucky train by town. Since then town has been sidetracked by suspecting inactive people, or focused on SL. D2 went ok since Town is still largely off your trail, but there is one guy who is bringing suspicion to one of your team. You know you need 3 more mislynches to secure a victory. It seems like it's the right time for a bold play. There has been some setup speculation in thread, since this game uses a semi-open setup scum!You knows just a little more than town, you know your own setup. What if there was a way to confuse town further about setup stuff, WHILE still getting info about the roles that are out there? Thus the fake RB role is born. This fake role serves to confuse town, forces other blues to claim (the info to town becomes too important now), AND manages to give towncred to the scum team since they can hide behind these claims. "But Tunneltoc? Doesn't this play fall apart the next night?" I know your asking that now, but hear me out. With this play Scum is almost guaranteed one of their mislynches (I did my best to stop it, but town wanted to believe all the blue claims too much), and gives them a solid shot at winning the game. D4 will start off with nobody claiming they got RB'd N3. What would you do as scum in this position? I know what i would do, pick a target D4 and say, "hey I roleblocked you!" when they deny it you go "ok well then your scum! clearly you want to confuse town and make them not believe my role!" Will plots do this to me? It seems like he HAS to. Plots and Bara as a team could not kill me N3 as it would give too much credence to my theories, besides that Bats could potentially check plots N3 so he needs to die. This is risky. It means that plots is very likely to get lynched at some point. But as Scum, do you care? Isn't it worth plots sticking his head out like that if it means 1 surefire mislynch and a potential 2nd one the next day if you can throw enough shit on a player to get them scummed? At the very least plots would go out in a fury of confusion and misinformation, all while Bara can freely gauge town safe behind a greencheck (I haven't pointed this out yet, Bara didn't claim he was RB'd until well after Bats said he had been greenchecked) and bus plots when needed. In other words the whole play is to spread misinformation for as long as possible while distracting Town from Bara so he can potentially ride out the game while town keeps lynching inactives. Last thought here, So then given all this, why would plots suggest Bara as GF? The whole play is built around the idea of protecting Bara. This might actually be the only flaw I see in my thinking. It could just be a slip, but it does seem like something plots would be very careful about in this position. Still he was responding to my pressure to explain why he would RB Bara N2. It is possible he let slip a bit of his own thinking when trying to deflect my pressure and questions. When plots mentions Bara as GF it's used to counter my thinking at the time, that plots was mafia RB. It's a hole, but it's not much compared to how well my theory holds up everywhere else. | ||
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This one addresses Plots and Bara's votes all 3 days and I do a little filter diving on Bara. Bara's filter is much shorter than plots so you should read it yourself, I'm just going to point out a few things I noticed in it. D1 Votes: Both Plots and Bara avoid voting with the majority. They keep their votes on Dis. Bara opens the game with his vote on Dis and lets it ride all day. His reasons are easy to find, it's like the first thing in his filter, they are all based off Bat's Iching. Bara never mentions scott, but he does suggest multiple times that he dislikes lynching inactives as it feels "coinflippy" Plots doesn't do much D1, but he does give reads on Dis (his vote) and scott. 3. disformation (DI): My scumread so far. He's fairly active in the first 3 hours, posting really in between the conversation of others with fine, careful, uncommiting. While others seem fairly focused on their conversation, he's kinda lurking and picking cherries. You have to go back, read and see what I mean. I'd vote for him. 9. scott31337 (SC): appears rather late to just talke about BM and SL, not really trying to drive some conversation. I need to see more. Nothing too convincing from these guys as to why they voted Dis over scott. D2 Votes: Reminder that we Lynched VT Bill Murray D2, votes prob mean less than D1 Bara does repeat that he dislikes voting inactives again, also similar to D1 he places his vote on SL and lets it ride all day. Plots gives us a read on 27nb here, but it's pretty useless and is all sheep just disguised as his own read. He then swaps his vote to BM On May 27 2015 05:22 plotspot wrote: Lol sorry, bunnies is right. BM is like totally ninjavoting her and has disappeared into the dust since then. That looks so bad. Unvote ##VOTE: Bill Murray Again clearly sheeping. D3 Votes: Bara, literally just sheeps Bats. No more mention of inactives being coinflippy, no real thought. Posts some numbers at one point to try and show there is much better chance to hit Mafia by voting 27nb or Sul over plots. Plots does some nonsense voting No Lynch at first, but later joins the vote on Sul. Unlike Bara he does show his reasoning, it's pathetic On May 28 2015 22:17 plotspot wrote: I will explain how this post will reveal Sulfurus as Mafia, and basically supports my case without the Tictock interaction. Sulfurus posted that question after clueless Batsnacks and disformation are hysterical about there being another Mafia RB. The right question would have been "How do you know Bunnies and Barakos are not the GF"? In her mind it was 100% technically perfect that Barakos cannot be mafia. She assumes that Batsnacks believed this lie. The truth his however it is totally possible for Barakos to be Godfather with the Town RB setup. He just automatically reads him town because he is mafia. Barakos & Plotspot: Scum Team? Clearly these 2 have some pretty poor reasoning in all of their votes. I found it particularly interesting how Bara drops his own thoughts on SL and just sheeps Bats. When I ask him near EoD why he still thinks SL and Dis could be scum he give me this On May 29 2015 20:43 Barakos wrote: Without any role-stuff I would still be onto sl/disfo, but that's not going to happen today... it's complete bs, to argue about what would happen without roles, when there are roles... you can argue, if they are valid claims or not, but pretending they don't exist and not using this information to your advantage is bad townplay... you need to use everything there is... i am willing to speculate with you about fake-claims and stuff, because that is the reality the game takes place in, but to speculate, what would be without all the claims is just shutting your eyes and ignoring the major things that happend in the past 30 hours. So I ask, well what do you find scummy about those 2? Why are they cleared by role stuff, they were never checked? On May 29 2015 20:47 Barakos wrote: I am not clearing them, but our claimed cop is onto sulfurus so why not do the same? I could of course waste a vote on sl again like last time but I got someone I can sheep atm. And I am sheeping our claimed cop and not the confirmed mason, because the confirmed mason wasn't making sense with his vote. :p By the way, this post from Bara is what got me onto the idea that he was teamed with plots On May 29 2015 20:14 Barakos wrote: Why are you working so hard on not lynching sulfurus? Lynching plots would mean, lynching an confirmed rb on the off chance, there are 2 scum-rbs vs a single town-cop... sounds not convincing. Lynching bunnies means lynching into a green-check on the 1/6-chance that there is a godfather between all the claimed vt and bunnies is the gf Lynching sulfurus is a 2/4 scum, if you believe both greenchecks, 1/4 if you believe one of bunnies/me is the gf. Notice how he gives literally no chance for plots to be scum, but some fraction chance of everyone else? Did anyone notice that D3 there were only 2 players to claim I was defending Sul? Bara thinks so in that last post, and plots did here On May 29 2015 01:17 plotspot wrote: EBWOP And I started scumreading Tictock even more when he defended Sulfurus heavily. Now my theory certainly sounds strange the longer we don't hear from boxerfred. Was my post on Sul here, really that much of a defense? Wasn't I really just asking for good reasons behind our lynch target, and saying I don't see those reasons in Sul? Plots and Bara were the only 2 people EoD3 to heavily post numbers to support voting Sul or bunnies. This point might be weaker, but did anyone notice how the 2 of them were lurking a lot around EoD? When I start posting my theories about them, they BOTH suddenly appeared in thread giving me shit for it. It seemed clear to me that they were reacting in panic since I had suddenly broken their ploy. Could just be coincidence, but these 2 were fairly active EoD, much morose than any other EoD. Actually filter Diving on Bara wasn't as revealing as I would have thought. I pulled up a few points that I already linked and quoted above. Bara makes a fair bit of towny posts throughout the days, his D1 vote and reasoning were crap but besides that his filter looks ok. As we got into EoD D3 and I throw out the notion that plots and Bara are the the scum team, Bara's posts start to look worse. It really wasn't until the post I quoted above that I started to suspect Bara. This is why I'm still pushing plots as my vote, and why I did so D3 as well. Plots is more clearly scum than Bara. However if plots does flip Goon like I think he will then Bara becomes confirmed GF. Plots flips anything else, and my case on Bara is broken. | ||
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I don't even know why you guys believe this bull still. | ||
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Why wait, there is plenty of evidence to support my ideas and only Bara to try and verify the RB. I thought you were getting interesteed in this game? | ||
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Time to get off your own ego man. Read my posts, i know you haven't yet. Read what I'm saying, then tell me why I'm wrong. | ||
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Compare her filter to BM. I see the same sort of town thinking from both of them. I've been mobile all day, so sorry most of my posts are short. I figuer I gave everyone enough to read already. | ||
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If plots is as tryhard as he has acted all game. Why does he consistently give terrible reasons for his Blocks? | ||
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##Vote: plotspot Bara needs to die as well. | ||
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I mean that is what a town RB does right, block mafia? | ||
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You never did explain, why did you block Bara N2? | ||
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What makes his claim so good? | ||
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I see plots making a fake claim, so I'm pushing him. | ||
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I Don't want to prove my case by a flip. I think I've given plenty of reasons to suspect plots. Even if plots was selecting his blocks at random, isn't it odd that he has now twice blocked the NK target? Why does the Town RB spend all D1 making charts, then not use any reasoning from his work in his read on Rels? It was clearly his best read if he was willing to use up his night action on him. Seems to me he is better at blocking those Mafia wants dead then mafia themselves. + Show Spoiler + Why am I the only person asking these questions? | ||
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On May 30 2015 07:37 plotspot wrote: they will kill bats, that's for sure, and then they will try to lynch me. It's ok, I said I'd be fine with that if Sulfurus was town. This is a depressing game. Bats was the clear NK target, and he agreed. So why does he offer this excuse? On May 31 2015 07:15 plotspot wrote: I can't prove it anymore, I decided to listen to SL and blocked him, because I did believe that we could actually have 2 Masons. Why does he suddenly throw away his own thinking, and just listen to SL? Why does Bara do the same D3, just sheeping Bats vote, when every other day he has given his own clear reasoning? | ||
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On May 29 2015 20:43 Barakos wrote: Without any role-stuff I would still be onto sl/disfo, but that's not going to happen today... it's complete bs, to argue about what would happen without roles, when there are roles... you can argue, if they are valid claims or not, but pretending they don't exist and not using this information to your advantage is bad townplay... you need to use everything there is... i am willing to speculate with you about fake-claims and stuff, because that is the reality the game takes place in, but to speculate, what would be without all the claims is just shutting your eyes and ignoring the major things that happend in the past 30 hours. So where is his case on SL or Dis? They are potential targets today... but no, he'd rather spend his time defending plots. The bolded part is a lie, he has never shown an once of thinking about plots claim being false, or any other role claim being false. This is obvious since he cant give good reasons why be believes plots claim. | ||
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So what evidence did you see to make you think Bats claim was false? Him vote switching is poor evidence. | ||
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Why did you block Bara N2? Why did you think he was Mafia? | ||
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I'm not impressed by your constantly dodging that question. | ||
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On May 31 2015 18:20 plotspot wrote: No, it is just in retrospect poor evidence because Bats was cop. A misslip is good evidence otherwise. No, you have to actually explain your thoughts. What did plots do that made you not believe his cop claim? What misslip? | ||
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On May 31 2015 18:22 plotspot wrote: I told you before, I read the game he posted where he was mafia, and I thought my read about him before was wrong. He posted a game where he played Mafia and you thought there were similarities? Which ones? Do go on... | ||
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Ok, that seems pretty flimsy to me but we'll go with it for now. Given that he DID flip cop, what do you think about that sequence of events now? Who do you think is scum today? | ||
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Do you really think I'm just tunneled here? My case has nothing of value? I feel like I'm talking to people with hands over their ears. | ||
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Bara is the only person to have said he was roleblocked, and is flashing his greencheck around to keep people from questioning him. How is plots so good at RBing the NK targets? 2/3 is more than just luck or random chance... | ||
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+ Show Spoiler + 27nb is godawful town. She keeps saying she will read stuff but doesn't. Clearly didn't think ahead and plan to put real time into this game. I find her to be almost exactly the same as BM. Bats said it best though... On May 30 2015 06:58 batsnacks wrote: shes here and doesn't give a shit. Mafia would give a shit. SL is a stubborn mule, and for how many games he likes to claim he's played.. he's still a shit mafia player. He wont look past his own ego, and is the 3rd vet this game to clearly not be reading. Dis is trying, hes a newbie who wants to do some good this game. His filter shows that he is willing to push people he thinks are scum till it is proven otherwise. BF very similar to Dis. Has his own ideas he wants to explore and tries to push them. Tbh I haven't filter dived him in awhile but he seems more willing to keep an open mind than most. Anyone else notice plots and Bara haven't shown much interest in casing scum today? They can't afford to start wagons now kus they don't know who they need on their side tomorrow. That's why they started to sheep town on the votes D3 they just want to blend as much as they can now. | ||
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I can't do anything about Town being full of ostriches + Show Spoiler + Everyones head is in the sand. Nobody has a better case, nor good reasons why they don't agree with mine. Yet you are all willing to ignore my case, interesting. I'm learning a lot this game. | ||
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I was, but stopped when people didn't want to listen to my ideas. Clearly town prefers to have no plan, than a solid case. Oh and good luck with plots, he's a dodgy one. I'd like to lynch mafia, so even though my case is on plots RB role being fake, I'm fine going with Bara first. Idk why people want to keep the worst Town RB in history around, but w/e. ##Unvote ##Vote: Barakos They both have | ||
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Well, you guys were probably right. I may have been focusing plots too hard. So I will make this case under the assumption that plots is Town RB. Greenchecked, but is he GF? So rather than tunnel him, I decided to follow his thinking. N2 plots blocked Bara becuase he thought he saw scum tendencies in his play. Having reviewed some things, I agree. I think plots backed off too early, Bara claiming the RB could easily be a ploy to keep people from guessing he is GF. Remember how he said it? On May 28 2015 07:57 Barakos wrote: Just saw it now... I was roleblocked. Didn't see the pm at first. Like an hour after Day phase had started. Remember the Day started with Bats claiming cop and stating his checks. On May 28 2015 07:04 batsnacks wrote: Alright. I'm the cop. Barakos and 27nb are town. We're lynching sulfur today. ##vote sulfurus Whats to stop GF!Bara from seeing his PM and seeing he got greenchecked as well? This gives him the perfect opportunity to fool not just one, but 2 blue roles, just by stating that he got RB'd. I know that in it self isn't enough to prove much, but it IS possible. Votes Remember Bara's votes D1 and D2? He voted Dis and then SL and gave pretty decent cases on them. Dis + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2015 16:49 Barakos wrote: Morning everyone! I'm here now and almost done to catching up. First thoughts: I like breschke pushing/tunneling sl, to prevent him from being lazy. Makes breschke look town in my eyes. What I didn't like was disformations filter. All he has done so far is posting fluff and agreeing to people but not contributing in any form, except a very weak and non-commiting push on bm for lurking. And then there are these 2 posts: In the bolded parts, he explains what good townplay should look like, and what he would like to have done. And that is all he does... he explains and doesn't follow up with anything, that would be good townplay... he just shows, that he knows, what town should do but does actually nothing. But since he shows, that he knows, what good townplay looks like, he is still "looking good" and tries to give the impression, that he is town but just hasn't had the opportunity to really do stuff. So for now my vote is on him. ##vote disformation SL + Show Spoiler + On May 26 2015 19:39 Barakos wrote: soo... reread the thread... one thing i found kinda funny: I make a post about the votes not meaning much, because it may very well have been planned to vote for unmotivated scum-scott and a few hours after disformation (my stongest scum-read at that moment) makes a huge post saying he analyzed the votes and stuff... it is almost as if you try to antagonize me, disfo.. Anyways... I doubt scum-disfo would do this, since i was the only one pushing him really hard and scum would at this point try to not draw more of my attention by actively trying to argue with me... so for now, disfo moves down from the top spot of my lynch-list. 27nb: looks not so good. was never under my suspicion, because I felt the exchange we had about sulfurus and her reaction to the case disformation made against her. Starts to look worse now. I like tictocks point, about her trying to draw attention to the people voting scott by asking, if there was mafia between them and her promising a big reads-post and not delivering also looks bad. sl: oh god, what a mess... it is almost as if he tries to confuse everybody... "i may or may not have a green check on barakos" "i may be cop or doctor" "i am vanilla town" Like wtf this play looks bad on so many levels. If you are vanilla town it is like the worst possible play to claim you have a green check on someone whose filter you haven't even read and you actually say, you can't read him properly... ok... he retracted in the end... i get that. Next thing, why this play was bad as it can be: He might very well have provoked a counter-claim by the real cop/doc... this is a newbie-game after all and if there were a actual cop/doc in the game an excited newbie might have very well counterclaimed right on the spot. So him going all "i am role x/y" and then after some hours of waiting and no counterclaims saying "lol, just kidding i trolled you all, i am a plain vt." looks very much like rolehunting and hoping someone actually bites and counterclaims. Also there is this quote by him going like "masons, i know who you are, you might as well come out and claim."... next occasion he is rolehunting. but when boxerfred has a theory about a cop having a redcheck and therefor trying to start a wagon, he instantly calls him out on in. So it's ok, when he does it... but only, when he does it. Other things I don't like about his spammy, mostly oneliner-filter: He trys to paint himself in a towny light with the most absurd reasons, like the votecount for example. He puts himself in the spot of a town hero by saying it was his vote and him persuading batsnacks to vote scott that finally swung the vote to lynch scott and not disformation, and when he is confronted with a reasonable arguement, that invalidates this arguement (my post that those votes may very well have been preplanned), his reaction is "lol you know, what mafia says in their qt? you are mafia!" You are not mafia for thinking about, what mafia would do in their qt, and what might be their plans... that's a natural thing for town to do - you try to figure them out and you are paranoid about everything that isn't actually confirmed. And this is one point where sl contradicts himself... see this quote: He refers to this post: Not only does he conveniantly forget, that he was throwing dirt at me for entering the thread at the same time as rels (a confirmed town, he also threw dirt at) and not sulfurus, he is also completely fine with speculating about mafia-qts, when it fits his agenda. Only, when it is not fitting for him, he devaluates it by saying the person speculating is mafia for knowing too much about the scum-qt. Also him disregarding the possibility of a serialkiller to devalue votes vs him again lacks critical thinking on his part and ignoring the possibility of a townaction, that negated one kp at night. the chance isn't the biggest, i will agree to that, but there is still a possibility, that something like this happened. So to sum it up: SLs behavior looks very anti-town to me + he has double standarts, when it comes to certain behaviours and lacks town-trades like a certain amount of paranoia and critical thinking. I am totally fine with lynching him today. ##vote sicklucker I even asked Bara why D3 he was voting Sul. He clearly stated, On May 29 2015 20:43 Barakos wrote: Without any role-stuff I would still be onto sl/disfo, but that's not going to happen today... it's complete bs, to argue about what would happen without roles, when there are roles... you can argue, if they are valid claims or not, but pretending they don't exist and not using this information to your advantage is bad townplay... you need to use everything there is... i am willing to speculate with you about fake-claims and stuff, because that is the reality the game takes place in, but to speculate, what would be without all the claims is just shutting your eyes and ignoring the major things that happend in the past 30 hours. On May 29 2015 20:47 Barakos wrote: I am not clearing them, but our claimed cop is onto sulfurus so why not do the same? I could of course waste a vote on sl again like last time but I got someone I can sheep atm. And I am sheeping our claimed cop and not the confirmed mason, because the confirmed mason wasn't making sense with his vote. :p So he has his own thoughts, but wants to sheep Bats? This seems odd from someone so attached to their own thoughts before. It makes sense if Bara is GF though, he wants to keep people thinking he's town and supports Bats to support his checks. Now D4 again, we see Bara isn't targeting SL, why? He said D3 he still thinks he's scum. I'm wondering if this post had anything to do with it. On May 30 2015 06:01 sicklucker wrote: Your green check is garbage because there a gf in the game like 90%+ of the time and barkos is 95%+ town Did he see SL town reading him and not want to piss him off? That's the only thing that makes sense to me. I find Bara pretty scummy here, his votes and cases especially. I also know I'm not the only one, plots RB'd Bara N2 because he saw similarities in Bara's play this game to a scum game of his. I don't like meta reads, but Bara has been a little too sensible when talking to people and interacting. Yet his cases tend to fall flat, like he's not putting in the same effort. So yea, Bara is a good lynch today. | ||
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I find Bara pretty scummy here, his votes and cases especially. I also know I'm not the only one, plots RB'd Bara N2 because he saw similarities in Bara's play this game to a scum game of his. I don't like meta reads, but Bara has been a little too sensible when talking to people and interacting. Yet his cases tend to fall flat, like he's not putting in the same effort. | ||
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Anyone care to rescan the posts today? Notice if anyone is posting alot, but not offering a clear target. In fact it might be fun to see how many possible scum targets people have suggested in the past 48hours or so. Scum will be trying to throw as much suspicion around as possible these last few days. | ||
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Her not paying attn to the game is much more indicative of town at this point in the game, not a sign of scum. Bats thought so On May 30 2015 06:58 batsnacks wrote: shes here and doesn't give a shit. Mafia would give a shit. Mafia is far more likely to be super involved now when they are only 2 mislynchs away from winning. Town on the other hand seems to be generally lost and confused. It would be no wonder then that Town might be de-modivated. After all there seems to be no clear direction for town to follow atm. I've also mentioned BM before. BM showed clear signs he didn't care much about this game, but he flipped green. Also I seem to recall Bara mentioning a few times D1 and D2 he doesn't like to lynch inactives. "it feels coinflippy" he said. Why was that not his opinion D3? If Bara is willing to ignore the check on bunnies, I don't see it being so hard to disbelieve the check on him either... Honestly, between Bara and Bunnies... who has more scum motivation in their play? Clearly they both were scummy enough to be checked by our Cop, but only one was also suspected by our Town RB as well as our Cop. | ||
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What do you think about my points that Plots and Bara have spent most of the day deflecting and not looking for scum? You keep promising to do reading and get back to us, care to make good on that offer? Can you check how many posts Bara and plots have made today which offers no signs of scum hunting? And when they do mention people being potential scum... is it consistent, or is it all over the place, like everyone could still be scum? | ||
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But if I've found scum, and have solid reasons that aren't shaken easily as to why they are scum, shouldn't I focus and push that? | ||
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Why do you have such a hard time with the green checks? I'd rather focus on why Bara was being checked in the first place, since there is a decent chance the check itself could mean nothing. | ||
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My issue with your statements is that you're not giving REASONS why my CASE is bad. Instead your just saying, if I'm wrong things are bad. Where are your reasons as to why my case doesn't hold up under scrutiny? | ||
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Imagine D5 the people left are Dis, BF, SL, Plots and Bara. If I'm right, and SL keeps being obstinate with his weak reads on Bara and Plots, then I see Mafia having a free win tomorrow. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
I've thought this thing out, it makes sense. That's why I'm so focused on it. In case you need a reminder and don't want to do more filter diving, here is all my posts today related to my cases. I really was hoping to see people at least giving me arguments why I could be wrong. Instead I just see people being afraid to check if a blue claim was false, and not being able to check if a Greencheck was false. Again I'm not talking about flips here, I'm talking about inconsistencies in peoples play. Main Case (plots and Bara) + Show Spoiler + On May 31 2015 08:02 Tictock wrote: Ok guys, I know you thought Crazy Tunneltoc had finally given up and was sulking somewhere in defeat or something. But you can never vanquish the Tunneltoc! I'm back and ready to blow your minds. I have no way to prove this, so it's really just for my own amusement, but I prepared these posts with the intent on putting them up more or less after D4 starts. Some predictions: + Show Spoiler + -plots and Bara have been pointing fingers at me for having given up since my "plot" (get it) didn't work -prob some accusations that I'm not even a Mason and that Bre was solo -plots RB was on Bats or myself, really it could be anyone though. I'm pretty sure plots RBs the kill target here, but really all plots has to do here is say that the person he RB'd is scum when they say they weren't -Idea is to have the whole D4 revolve around this argument. Remember, it doesn't matter if plots gets lynched as long as it happens in such a way to secure towncred for Bara Obv scum killed Bats. If they killed anyone else it was to protect plots RB claim. Can't see them leaving bats though, I'm sure he was trying to check plots N3 and they can't have that. Honestly I can't imagine town staying fooled by this after I pointed everything out before EoD, but I'd rather not drag things out anymore. So here I am unveiling my case. This will be a multi-post case, so be warned. I may leave a summary post depending on how long this gets or how motivated I stay. Main Points -Plots is scum. This is a short version of my scumread on him, but I'll expand on it.+ Show Spoiler + He's been Tryharding this whole game but never brings anything of worth to the game. D1 it's all the graphics. D2 defending SL from Me and getting all buddy buddy. He also blows up over nothing (claims I misunderstood a post) attacking my reading ability & fabricating all sorts of ways I'm not reading him right. He does all that instead of restating his thoughts like I ask him to. D3 total tunnel on me, is 100% convinced he can make me look like shit kus he doesn't think I'm mason (for some reason he's really sure he picked up Mason on BF). When that doesn't work he falls back on Sul but keeps pushing me. -Plots fabricates a 2nd RB role. He uses my own mistake of bringing up setup speculation to his teams advantage. -Setup is really RB, Goon, GF vs Masons(2) & Cop. This is a balanced setup and perfectly normal in a newbie game. -This RB invention isn't a solid idea until D2, which is why plots claims it then to "soft claim" his role. -Bara has to be N2 RB so that they can push this idea, AND! it gives them both instant towncred enough to force town to mislynch D3. -Scum plan going forward is to have Plots keep sticking his neck out and causing as much confusion as possible. Plots is expendable as long as he creates a good smokescreen for Bara. While Bara is safe to hold back and blend. At this point Bara can just keep sheeping town like he did D3, his cred is that solid as long as there isn't anyone crazy enough to thing a blue claim could be false and push it... Filter Dive on Plots + Show Spoiler + On May 31 2015 08:03 Tictock wrote: You guys didn't like my suspicions of plots. I don't blame you, I know I've gone overboard in many ways this game. That tunnel on SL, the proposition of SK being a thing when I clearly didn't understand what the goals of the role was. Maybe I have been tunneled on plots, but you know the saying "Being paranoid does not mean your wrong" Let me walk you through plots play, as I see it. Indulge my thinking for just a little bit please, try it on for size. If you don't like it feel free to say so but it had better be more than just attacks on my character or ability. You have to target my reasoning here. Going mild on the quotes here, or at least I started out trying to go mild >.< Do your own Fing reading if you want to verify every little point I make. Also this got Big really fast. Spoilered to keep thread readable. + Show Spoiler + Plots if you recall, starts this game seeming to have forgotten he was playing. He then returns to the game so ready to go that he does some crazy spreadsheeting of everyone's posts. These look impressive, like they took a lot of time. In fact they took so much time plots is never able to do full reads on everyone. Finally D2 he finishes his analysis of D1 and posts all the results, along with helpful instructions on how to use the charts. That's a lot of work right? Like it really is impressive... but how likely is it to really give meaningful information? Plots used his analysis in detail in his reads D1, which only had the first 6? hours of the game involved (he posted these about MidDay btw). But look at his reads AFTER he finished his analysis, he posted them here just a little after he give us his finished charts. Huh, he sure doesn't use much of anything from the charts does he? Almost like he doesn't believe they are useful either. All that work, he doesn't even try to make a full set of reads on everybody from them? Plots then goes pretty carefree, like he's done his job. He has. Nobody, well almost nobody, would dare scum read someone with all that work under his belt. So he starts chatting with SL, being all jokey and chummy. A decent pocket attempt if i ever have seen one (I think it's actually my first ^.^), SL has been under constant pressure and def needs a friend at this point in the game. That is also likely why plots has been weakly townreading SL the whole game. This point always stood out to me as odd. Sl is a very hard player to read, especially early on. If plots is as tryhard noob as he looks from the charts, how is he SO sure SL is town? Here is where things start to get interesting. I blunder in, super scumming plots over this interaction with SL. Clearly my attention is focused on SL at this point, but the fact that I call out his pocket attempt is bad for plots. So he decides to try and undermine my townyness. Do note at this point plots had only posted 2 reads on me, one null and one as clear town. Plots starts to get super mad at my points against him. I first call him out for his read on Rels. Remember that? The first thing plots did D2 was give a full paragraph scum read on the guy who just flipped green. His reasoning, well I was working on this, might as well finish it and post it, shows people I'm trying. Why would town post a read like this after a flip? It adds nothing to be discussed, it wastes space, it gives slim towncred, and it's downright weird. Now I definitely read all plots posts here a few times already. While there are a few places where plots is right and I did misread his posts. + Show Spoiler + Honest question, who finds plots posts easy to read? Other stuff is going on in his filter right now as well. He gives a read on SL and 27nb. The reas on SL is not bad actually, plots gives lots of reasoning and takes into consideration other opinions, odd though that he now thinks SL is shifty when plots has been claiming he's pretty town up till now. His read ends with a bunch of questions, which plots later claims were trying to get people to think SL might be a role. His read on 27nb is total crap on the other hand. It is just sheeping everyone else's opinion. Yet plots is willing to vote 27nb, and then later swap to BM for no reason other than BM voting 27nb. Still, after the initial case I post, I do start to make efforts to talk to plots. I ask him to give details to backup his claims/defense, admit I might have been jumping the gun, and even admit that maybe I am just misunderstanding him. In this last point I especially admit, I mean it's really easy to have a misunderstanding. So there was a break in our exchanges and that let him get out those reads. Late in the day, I post about more things I don't like about plots. Again plots gets super defensive, this time really attacking my ability to read. The post that really stood out to me in this exchange was this one. That post is a bunch of garbled nonsense. The point of it is to suggest several different ways that I MUST have been misreading plots and is largely putting words into my mouth. Why does plots go through all this effort? Why not just tell me what he really meant not what I'm misreading from his post. I think hes trying to slander me, make me appear to be as unreliable as he can. This covers up to N2 and is less than Half! plots filter. N2 starts somewhere just after pg 4 in plots filter. Plots now decides to put out his RB claim, well he claims that HE was RB's N1. This is later said to be a "soft claim" for his RB role. In fact right after plots says he got RB'd he start talking about it like it HAD to have come from town. At first this looks strange, though it does fit with him later claiming RB. After this though, plots really starts to focus on me. He blows up once again about our misunderstanding (I did push him in not the most diplomatic way) but even though I'm CLEARLY asking him to clear things up, he posts this which is largely just what he already posted. Page 5 of plots filter starts with him responding to me answering his questions to me. He basically just calls me dumb and says I have no way to know that SL isn't a role. I had reached this conclusion on my own, however Bre helped me solidify it. Feel free to ask me why I thought this later, this post is big enough. Shortly after that Plots starts his spam posting for the day. Some of the tunnel on me starts, but breaks off to throw out some stuff about roles and keeps doing this Nolynch crap for literally no reason. The whole way Plots claims his role is a little weird. He doesn't come out with it, he slowly teases it, as though he's giving town some great secret. He also uses this to try and be "secretive" about his motives for RBing who he did. He does eventually offer this, On May 28 2015 21:36 plotspot wrote: I RBed Rels, but she died that night. Remember that I scumread her. I even said I would have shot her if I was vig. So I claimed that I was RBed by a roleblocker N2 to tell town that we have a RB, but there wasn't any discussion worthwhile about it, you also didn't see me press the issue there. What an odd choice to RB N1. Sure, ok Plots did scumread Rels and mentioned the Vig thing here, On May 25 2015 07:10 plotspot wrote: How do you know Rels wasn't Vig shot? I was about to make a case on scumreading him hard for the following points I prepared: Rels: referring too much to others opinion, reading thread very carefully, the way RELS sets up lynch is also very comfortable (like lynch inactives), giving orders to others, thanks my post but posts no further thoughts, in comparison to Disinformation who displays overall anxiety in his reads and thoughts, Rels looks like he can handle any sudden change, there is nothing clouding his mind, others apparently have to do more than Rels, you bet if I was Vig I would have shot her. Another odd post. First how in the hell does Plots think a Vig shot Rels, because plots would if he were vig? He is also so sure Rels is scum here, but are his reasons good? And... wait this is right at start of D2, before plots has even finished his charts... but I see no evidence of him using his charts in this read once again... Would a Town RB, who spends all D1 making charts on activity, use this reasoning to block Rels? Well THIS plots doesnt, rather than use the tool he's spent so much time making he throws out these NAI points about Rels to scum her and say she was a good target here. Still not convinced plots RB claim doesn't hold up? What about his N2 target, Barakos? Well as Dis points out in this post On May 28 2015 22:58 disformation wrote: That is basically the only mention of barakos in your filter... Why the fuck would you roleblock a null/town read over a scum read? Plots has only been town or nullreading Bara all game. I think plots reasons for his RB's is very much a good thing to be looking at. I spent a fair portion of D3 asking plots why Bara was his 2nd RB. He only ever mentions his RB on bara in these 2 posts one is his super weak answer to my question. On May 28 2015 21:58 plotspot wrote: Of course I RBed Rels and Barakos. Barakos non-chalantly mentions he has been RBed? Lol if he was mafia I believe he should hang out in the thread a bit instead of expressing it like this. On May 28 2015 22:48 plotspot wrote: I couldn't read him that well. While I said he was town earlier, I had my doubts internally and not published. I wonder why batsnacks thought the same? (he technically mentions the Bara RB in other posts as well, but they are just like that first quote. "Bara's RB claim proves I'm RB guys!" Now plots does post this On May 29 2015 00:38 plotspot wrote: Also it's impossible for a mafia to think of such a ploy. He would risk his fucking life making up being RB, when he didn't even know there was one. Guess what would happen to mafia if he makes up such a ploy, saying he was RB N1? I would crush him. It's too dangerous, no mafia will ever do that. I on the other hand could because only I knew I targeted Rels and "luckily" she died for that ploy to work. Imagine if I was to RB someone and he survives that Night. It would make this ploy impossible, it would have led to a fucking mess which mafia will have ultimately used to force me out. Which is true, and a valid point. Why would scum invent such a play? What does it benefit them? I will attempt to explain the scum logic here in another post, for now this is actually a good point. This does bring me to the one point that would destroy my theory. If there is a 3rd person who gets RB's then I'm absolutely wrong here. Starting here plots starts to push numbers to explain why votes should go certain ways. He also starts to bring back the possibility of me and Sul being the scum team. He is also continuing to post setup speculations, keeping them broad and only suggests more "oddball" setups. Towards EoD plots does more numbers to push votes on Sul, these make no sense though and are really just put out to keep town unsure of what is the best play. There is more in the filter, but it is more recent and this has ballooned to be an epic wall of text. Hopefully I've made my points clear. Detailed look at how this Play makes sense from scum + Show Spoiler + On May 31 2015 08:03 Tictock wrote: Whew, still with me? At this point I want to point out that a NORMAL newbie setup is most likely, regardless of anything that has been said this game it is very unlikely that a bizarre setup would be used in a newbie game. At the time of me writing this Bre is the only confirmed Blue role, Bats will probably have been killed and confirmed Cop so D4 is going to be all about plots vs me. Mason vs Town RB, which role makes more sense? I propose that our game is setup like so: RB, Goon, and GF vs Masons & Cop Plots claim for RB is fake, and I poked holes in his claim in my last post. Ok now lets talk about how what I'm suggesting makes sense from a scum perspective as this may not look like a good play at first. - The Scum play D3 - Imagine you are scum. You lost your RB Day 1 thanks to a somewhat lucky train by town. Since then town has been sidetracked by suspecting inactive people, or focused on SL. D2 went ok since Town is still largely off your trail, but there is one guy who is bringing suspicion to one of your team. You know you need 3 more mislynches to secure a victory. It seems like it's the right time for a bold play. There has been some setup speculation in thread, since this game uses a semi-open setup scum!You knows just a little more than town, you know your own setup. What if there was a way to confuse town further about setup stuff, WHILE still getting info about the roles that are out there? Thus the fake RB role is born. This fake role serves to confuse town, forces other blues to claim (the info to town becomes too important now), AND manages to give towncred to the scum team since they can hide behind these claims. "But Tunneltoc? Doesn't this play fall apart the next night?" I know your asking that now, but hear me out. With this play Scum is almost guaranteed one of their mislynches (I did my best to stop it, but town wanted to believe all the blue claims too much), and gives them a solid shot at winning the game. D4 will start off with nobody claiming they got RB'd N3. What would you do as scum in this position? I know what i would do, pick a target D4 and say, "hey I roleblocked you!" when they deny it you go "ok well then your scum! clearly you want to confuse town and make them not believe my role!" Will plots do this to me? It seems like he HAS to. Plots and Bara as a team could not kill me N3 as it would give too much credence to my theories, besides that Bats could potentially check plots N3 so he needs to die. This is risky. It means that plots is very likely to get lynched at some point. But as Scum, do you care? Isn't it worth plots sticking his head out like that if it means 1 surefire mislynch and a potential 2nd one the next day if you can throw enough shit on a player to get them scummed? At the very least plots would go out in a fury of confusion and misinformation, all while Bara can freely gauge town safe behind a greencheck (I haven't pointed this out yet, Bara didn't claim he was RB'd until well after Bats said he had been greenchecked) and bus plots when needed. In other words the whole play is to spread misinformation for as long as possible while distracting Town from Bara so he can potentially ride out the game while town keeps lynching inactives. Last thought here, So then given all this, why would plots suggest Bara as GF? The whole play is built around the idea of protecting Bara. This might actually be the only flaw I see in my thinking. It could just be a slip, but it does seem like something plots would be very careful about in this position. Still he was responding to my pressure to explain why he would RB Bara N2. It is possible he let slip a bit of his own thinking when trying to deflect my pressure and questions. When plots mentions Bara as GF it's used to counter my thinking at the time, that plots was mafia RB. It's a hole, but it's not much compared to how well my theory holds up everywhere else. Vote analysis and 1st look at Bara + Show Spoiler + On May 31 2015 08:03 Tictock wrote: Last post in this series. This one addresses Plots and Bara's votes all 3 days and I do a little filter diving on Bara. Bara's filter is much shorter than plots so you should read it yourself, I'm just going to point out a few things I noticed in it. D1 Votes: Both Plots and Bara avoid voting with the majority. They keep their votes on Dis. Bara opens the game with his vote on Dis and lets it ride all day. His reasons are easy to find, it's like the first thing in his filter, they are all based off Bat's Iching. Bara never mentions scott, but he does suggest multiple times that he dislikes lynching inactives as it feels "coinflippy" Plots doesn't do much D1, but he does give reads on Dis (his vote) and scott. Nothing too convincing from these guys as to why they voted Dis over scott. D2 Votes: Reminder that we Lynched VT Bill Murray D2, votes prob mean less than D1 Bara does repeat that he dislikes voting inactives again, also similar to D1 he places his vote on SL and lets it ride all day. Plots gives us a read on 27nb here, but it's pretty useless and is all sheep just disguised as his own read. He then swaps his vote to BM Again clearly sheeping. D3 Votes: Bara, literally just sheeps Bats. No more mention of inactives being coinflippy, no real thought. Posts some numbers at one point to try and show there is much better chance to hit Mafia by voting 27nb or Sul over plots. Plots does some nonsense voting No Lynch at first, but later joins the vote on Sul. Unlike Bara he does show his reasoning, it's pathetic Barakos & Plotspot: Scum Team? Clearly these 2 have some pretty poor reasoning in all of their votes. I found it particularly interesting how Bara drops his own thoughts on SL and just sheeps Bats. When I ask him near EoD why he still thinks SL and Dis could be scum he give me this So I ask, well what do you find scummy about those 2? Why are they cleared by role stuff, they were never checked? By the way, this post from Bara is what got me onto the idea that he was teamed with plots Notice how he gives literally no chance for plots to be scum, but some fraction chance of everyone else? Did anyone notice that D3 there were only 2 players to claim I was defending Sul? Bara thinks so in that last post, and plots did here Was my post on Sul here, really that much of a defense? Wasn't I really just asking for good reasons behind our lynch target, and saying I don't see those reasons in Sul? Plots and Bara were the only 2 people EoD3 to heavily post numbers to support voting Sul or bunnies. This point might be weaker, but did anyone notice how the 2 of them were lurking a lot around EoD? When I start posting my theories about them, they BOTH suddenly appeared in thread giving me shit for it. It seemed clear to me that they were reacting in panic since I had suddenly broken their ploy. Could just be coincidence, but these 2 were fairly active EoD, much morose than any other EoD. Actually filter Diving on Bara wasn't as revealing as I would have thought. I pulled up a few points that I already linked and quoted above. Bara makes a fair bit of towny posts throughout the days, his D1 vote and reasoning were crap but besides that his filter looks ok. As we got into EoD D3 and I throw out the notion that plots and Bara are the the scum team, Bara's posts start to look worse. It really wasn't until the post I quoted above that I started to suspect Bara. This is why I'm still pushing plots as my vote, and why I did so D3 as well. Plots is more clearly scum than Bara. However if plots does flip Goon like I think he will then Bara becomes confirmed GF. Plots flips anything else, and my case on Bara is broken. 2nd look at Bara, this time assuming Plots is Town RB (untunneled) + Show Spoiler + On June 01 2015 20:04 Tictock wrote: Actually 27nb asks a fair question. Why am I switching my vote to Bara? Well, you guys were probably right. I may have been focusing plots too hard. So I will make this case under the assumption that plots is Town RB. Greenchecked, but is he GF? So rather than tunnel him, I decided to follow his thinking. N2 plots blocked Bara becuase he thought he saw scum tendencies in his play. Having reviewed some things, I agree. I think plots backed off too early, Bara claiming the RB could easily be a ploy to keep people from guessing he is GF. Remember how he said it? Like an hour after Day phase had started. Remember the Day started with Bats claiming cop and stating his checks. Whats to stop GF!Bara from seeing his PM and seeing he got greenchecked as well? This gives him the perfect opportunity to fool not just one, but 2 blue roles, just by stating that he got RB'd. I know that in it self isn't enough to prove much, but it IS possible. Votes Remember Bara's votes D1 and D2? He voted Dis and then SL and gave pretty decent cases on them. Dis + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2015 16:49 Barakos wrote: Morning everyone! I'm here now and almost done to catching up. First thoughts: I like breschke pushing/tunneling sl, to prevent him from being lazy. Makes breschke look town in my eyes. What I didn't like was disformations filter. All he has done so far is posting fluff and agreeing to people but not contributing in any form, except a very weak and non-commiting push on bm for lurking. And then there are these 2 posts: In the bolded parts, he explains what good townplay should look like, and what he would like to have done. And that is all he does... he explains and doesn't follow up with anything, that would be good townplay... he just shows, that he knows, what town should do but does actually nothing. But since he shows, that he knows, what good townplay looks like, he is still "looking good" and tries to give the impression, that he is town but just hasn't had the opportunity to really do stuff. So for now my vote is on him. ##vote disformation SL + Show Spoiler + On May 26 2015 19:39 Barakos wrote: soo... reread the thread... one thing i found kinda funny: I make a post about the votes not meaning much, because it may very well have been planned to vote for unmotivated scum-scott and a few hours after disformation (my stongest scum-read at that moment) makes a huge post saying he analyzed the votes and stuff... it is almost as if you try to antagonize me, disfo.. Anyways... I doubt scum-disfo would do this, since i was the only one pushing him really hard and scum would at this point try to not draw more of my attention by actively trying to argue with me... so for now, disfo moves down from the top spot of my lynch-list. 27nb: looks not so good. was never under my suspicion, because I felt the exchange we had about sulfurus and her reaction to the case disformation made against her. Starts to look worse now. I like tictocks point, about her trying to draw attention to the people voting scott by asking, if there was mafia between them and her promising a big reads-post and not delivering also looks bad. sl: oh god, what a mess... it is almost as if he tries to confuse everybody... "i may or may not have a green check on barakos" "i may be cop or doctor" "i am vanilla town" Like wtf this play looks bad on so many levels. If you are vanilla town it is like the worst possible play to claim you have a green check on someone whose filter you haven't even read and you actually say, you can't read him properly... ok... he retracted in the end... i get that. Next thing, why this play was bad as it can be: He might very well have provoked a counter-claim by the real cop/doc... this is a newbie-game after all and if there were a actual cop/doc in the game an excited newbie might have very well counterclaimed right on the spot. So him going all "i am role x/y" and then after some hours of waiting and no counterclaims saying "lol, just kidding i trolled you all, i am a plain vt." looks very much like rolehunting and hoping someone actually bites and counterclaims. Also there is this quote by him going like "masons, i know who you are, you might as well come out and claim."... next occasion he is rolehunting. but when boxerfred has a theory about a cop having a redcheck and therefor trying to start a wagon, he instantly calls him out on in. So it's ok, when he does it... but only, when he does it. Other things I don't like about his spammy, mostly oneliner-filter: He trys to paint himself in a towny light with the most absurd reasons, like the votecount for example. He puts himself in the spot of a town hero by saying it was his vote and him persuading batsnacks to vote scott that finally swung the vote to lynch scott and not disformation, and when he is confronted with a reasonable arguement, that invalidates this arguement (my post that those votes may very well have been preplanned), his reaction is "lol you know, what mafia says in their qt? you are mafia!" You are not mafia for thinking about, what mafia would do in their qt, and what might be their plans... that's a natural thing for town to do - you try to figure them out and you are paranoid about everything that isn't actually confirmed. And this is one point where sl contradicts himself... see this quote: He refers to this post: Not only does he conveniantly forget, that he was throwing dirt at me for entering the thread at the same time as rels (a confirmed town, he also threw dirt at) and not sulfurus, he is also completely fine with speculating about mafia-qts, when it fits his agenda. Only, when it is not fitting for him, he devaluates it by saying the person speculating is mafia for knowing too much about the scum-qt. Also him disregarding the possibility of a serialkiller to devalue votes vs him again lacks critical thinking on his part and ignoring the possibility of a townaction, that negated one kp at night. the chance isn't the biggest, i will agree to that, but there is still a possibility, that something like this happened. So to sum it up: SLs behavior looks very anti-town to me + he has double standarts, when it comes to certain behaviours and lacks town-trades like a certain amount of paranoia and critical thinking. I am totally fine with lynching him today. ##vote sicklucker I even asked Bara why D3 he was voting Sul. He clearly stated, So he has his own thoughts, but wants to sheep Bats? This seems odd from someone so attached to their own thoughts before. It makes sense if Bara is GF though, he wants to keep people thinking he's town and supports Bats to support his checks. Now D4 again, we see Bara isn't targeting SL, why? He said D3 he still thinks he's scum. I'm wondering if this post had anything to do with it. Did he see SL town reading him and not want to piss him off? That's the only thing that makes sense to me. I find Bara pretty scummy here, his votes and cases especially. I also know I'm not the only one, plots RB'd Bara N2 because he saw similarities in Bara's play this game to a scum game of his. I don't like meta reads, but Bara has been a little too sensible when talking to people and interacting. Yet his cases tend to fall flat, like he's not putting in the same effort. So yea, Bara is a good lynch today. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
Lol that was just one scenario. And you are the one set to be lynched atm... | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
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Tictock
United States6051 Posts
I've done a ton of reading and thinking putting my cases together. Yet everyone just dismisses it as some tunneled nonsense. My feelings that people aren't reading comes from the fact I don't see good reasoning as to why my case is wrong. Just fear that it COULD be wrong. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
On June 02 2015 01:24 27ninjabunnies wrote: Yeah t could be wrong, and that's what we are trying to avoid. Wrong lynches. I actually really like your reasoning on Bara. I'm wondering if im just being pocketed by the green checks on us. Bara coming out like he did with the whole- oh im rb. my bad.- thing is perfect opportune play. But consider this, Tictock. If bara is actually gf, why did he propose people lynching him today to confirm plots? He never thought I'd be able to bring a case on him while assuming Plots was Towb RB. In my honest opinion. He was trying to protect plots. Remember this post by him? On May 31 2015 19:05 Barakos wrote: Just to make this clear... lynching me here is a bad play, cause i have a greencheck on me and was blocked on a night of a kill and am town... Lynching me is the correct play, if you think i am scum and support your roleblock-fakeclaim with my fakeclaim of being blocked. We can confirm you on so many other ways, that there is no reason for sane people to lynch me. Lynching me just is the right play for tictock, cause he lives in lala-land. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
Here he is suggesting that the only was it makes sense to consider him scum is if you are crazy. Is that really True? If so then were Bats and plots crazy to use their night actions on him? They much have had solid reasons to suspect him, those night actions are important. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
At the same time, this could also have been a ploy to bury my case under several pages of posts. They started posting together near the end of D3, and keep doing it anytime I mention them both as a scum team. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
However I think Bara is clearly the more centered and reasoned of the 2. The point that it is safer to town to lynch him over plots, in the case that plots IS town RB, is also not bad. I dont buy it since I dont think plots is an RB, but lets roll with that. The biggest thing to me here, is that plots doesnt have a leg to stand on if Bara flips scum. In that case then we only have his word that he RB'd anyone and he looks really shitty. In the off chance that I'm wrong, and he doesn't RB someone tonight, and they claim it tomorrow then we've cleared plots. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
Bara flips green. Someone come forward having been RB's tonight. If tomorrow plots says he RB'd someone and they deny it (his only recourse if I'm right, and he isn't stupid enough to block the NK again) then we have to assume plots is lying as well. We'd also have a full extra day phase to discuss if his role claim holds at that point or if we have to lynch him. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
On June 02 2015 01:48 Tictock wrote: Do keep in mind, the only way we can 100% trust plots is if one of the following is true. Bara flips green. Someone come forward having been RB's tonight. If tomorrow plots says he RB'd someone and they deny it (his only recourse if I'm right, and he isn't stupid enough to block the NK again) then we have to assume plots is lying as well. We'd also have a full extra day phase to discuss if his role claim holds at that point or if we have to lynch him. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
On June 02 2015 01:46 Tictock wrote: Well tbh I would have said plos if you asked me that 20 hours ago. However I think Bara is clearly the more centered and reasoned of the 2. The point that it is safer to town to lynch him over plots, in the case that plots IS town RB, is also not bad. I dont buy it since I dont think plots is an RB, but lets roll with that. The biggest thing to me here, is that plots doesnt have a leg to stand on if Bara flips scum. In that case then we only have his word that he RB'd anyone and he looks really shitty. In the off chance that I'm wrong, and he does RB someone tonight, and they claim it tomorrow then we've cleared plots. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
I've got to leave for work in about 2 hours. Until then I'm more than happy to talk about possible holes in my case(s). I'll also promise to do a better job about keeping an open mind if anyone wants to discuss BF or anyone else being scummed today. I'm pretty sure everyone but plots and Bara are town, but I'm willing to entertain ideas. Also in regards to SL. I also dislike how he is not giving a shit these last 2 days now that the pressure is off him. However I find it to be overall in line with his play. Dis will remember how bad SL played as town last game, I see a lot of the same here. I could be wrong, but after tunneling SL most of D2 I felt fairly confident that he is town. Bre also helped talk some sense into me there, if people like i can dig up and paraphrase some of what he said to me. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
Starting pg6 in his filter (think that's about mid D3 or so) we see BF responding to Sul's post townreading him. From then on he pushes Dis (who have had a bit of a tug of war since D1) and there is clear exchange between the 2. Dis and BF are both suspecting each other and they come to a consensus. Later we see BF reacting to Dis's post suddenly scumming him again. There is other stuff going on (he's actually coming to the same notion as me about plots, but my tunnel on it turns him off the idea) but this exchange has been consistent. Why would BF as scum dismiss the clear target D3 Sul like this? Sul is a safe target to ride on, but instead he focuses the far more active Dis. The whole exchange between the 2 of them feels really towny to me. They have gone back and forth on suspecting each other all game, which tells me neither knows how to read the other and they just lack better targets. There is no way the exchange I see between the 2 of them happens between scum, there is too much poking and questioning going on. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
No, sorry. EoD is 4pm my time, which is great. Except I close my store regularly so I work 2-10pm pretty often. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
Have you read my latest case on Bara? It is tunnel free, I promise. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
I really want to know why you townread Bara and plots so easily. It had better not be because of RB and Cop check stuff... If you can't give decent reasons why someone is town without relying on Roles I question your ability to play this game... | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
tunneled has nothing to do if your right or wrong. Its when you ignore the rest of the game and dont think of other possiblitys hats what your doing here. The same to you sir. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
You got better case? bring it | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
Had Town followed his tunnel there (he never moved his vote) we would have lynched our Vig. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
I'm catching some lazyness and don't feel like filter diving. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
You lazy stubborn mule | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
Anyone agree? | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
How does tryhard Chart making Plots, think Rels is Scum? How does tryhard super tunneled (like so many of us) plots give such bad reasons for RBing Bara? How does ANYONE listen to you N3 and RB Bats? | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
That last post wasn't me arguing plots as scum. It is me arguing that his claim as Town RB is weak as hell. So I want to know why people believe it so badly and so easily. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
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Tictock
United States6051 Posts
They voted after you D1? And then you ask us to proved cases on them? Are you retarded, lazy, or just such an egomaniac your all 3 and don't know it? | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
On June 02 2015 02:45 Tictock wrote: So explain to me SL. How does tryhard Chart making Plots, think Rels is Scum? How does tryhard super tunneled (like so many of us) plots give such bad reasons for RBing Bara? How does ANYONE listen to you N3 and RB Bats? | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
It's the only way you actually get motivated it seems. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
You look at one vote and say you solve the game? I at least had a case to backup my claims. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
I seem to remember we had to convince you a bit. But now it's the only thing you bring up this game. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
Anyone recall Bara making posts like this? On May 23 2015 19:56 Barakos wrote: I get that logic... what i am/was asking was just, if there isn't any case on the more active people, that looks more convincing than the case on for example scott... since you know - variance... looking not good in 5 posts is not as telling as looking not good in 5 pages. He is just lightly implying that it is a bad vote kus it's "coinflippy" but wouldn't the same logic apply to Sul? Yet Bara had no issues sheeping bats D3 on that one. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
Sl being useless isn't evidence of him being scum SL is useless as town too. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
Sorry wrong quote >.< On June 02 2015 03:18 Tictock wrote: Speaking of the scott vote. Anyone recall Bara making posts like this? I get that logic... what i am/was asking was just, if there isn't any case on the more active people, that looks more convincing than the case on for example scott... since you know - variance... looking not good in 5 posts is not as telling as looking not good in 5 pages. He is just lightly implying that it is a bad vote kus it's "coinflippy" but wouldn't the same logic apply to Sul? Yet Bara had no issues sheeping bats D3 on that one.[/QUOTE] | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
Is that readable? | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
On June 02 2015 03:18 Tictock wrote: Speaking of the scott vote. Anyone recall Bara making posts like this? He is just lightly implying that it is a bad vote kus it's "coinflippy" but wouldn't the same logic apply to Sul? Yet Bara had no issues sheeping bats D3 on that one. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
On June 02 2015 02:43 Tictock wrote: I suggest SL is ignored the rest of the game for being unable to think. Or at least show his thinking. Anyone agree? | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
On June 02 2015 02:45 Tictock wrote: So explain to me SL. How does tryhard Chart making Plots, think Rels is Scum? How does tryhard super tunneled (like so many of us) plots give such bad reasons for RBing Bara? How does ANYONE listen to you N3 and RB Bats? | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
Try and answer those questions I just posted to SL. Tell me that you really think plots is an RB this game. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
On June 02 2015 02:45 Tictock wrote: So explain to me SL. How does tryhard Chart making Plots, think Rels is Scum? How does tryhard super tunneled (like so many of us) plots give such bad reasons for RBing Bara? How does ANYONE listen to you N3 and RB Bats? Again my Summary post for review + Show Spoiler + On June 02 2015 01:15 Tictock wrote: I really don't know how I can prove to you guys that I'm not just tunneled here. I've thought this thing out, it makes sense. That's why I'm so focused on it. In case you need a reminder and don't want to do more filter diving, here is all my posts today related to my cases. I really was hoping to see people at least giving me arguments why I could be wrong. Instead I just see people being afraid to check if a blue claim was false, and not being able to check if a Greencheck was false. Again I'm not talking about flips here, I'm talking about inconsistencies in peoples play. Main Case (plots and Bara) + Show Spoiler + On May 31 2015 08:02 Tictock wrote: Ok guys, I know you thought Crazy Tunneltoc had finally given up and was sulking somewhere in defeat or something. But you can never vanquish the Tunneltoc! I'm back and ready to blow your minds. I have no way to prove this, so it's really just for my own amusement, but I prepared these posts with the intent on putting them up more or less after D4 starts. Some predictions: + Show Spoiler + -plots and Bara have been pointing fingers at me for having given up since my "plot" (get it) didn't work -prob some accusations that I'm not even a Mason and that Bre was solo -plots RB was on Bats or myself, really it could be anyone though. I'm pretty sure plots RBs the kill target here, but really all plots has to do here is say that the person he RB'd is scum when they say they weren't -Idea is to have the whole D4 revolve around this argument. Remember, it doesn't matter if plots gets lynched as long as it happens in such a way to secure towncred for Bara Obv scum killed Bats. If they killed anyone else it was to protect plots RB claim. Can't see them leaving bats though, I'm sure he was trying to check plots N3 and they can't have that. Honestly I can't imagine town staying fooled by this after I pointed everything out before EoD, but I'd rather not drag things out anymore. So here I am unveiling my case. This will be a multi-post case, so be warned. I may leave a summary post depending on how long this gets or how motivated I stay. Main Points -Plots is scum. This is a short version of my scumread on him, but I'll expand on it.+ Show Spoiler + He's been Tryharding this whole game but never brings anything of worth to the game. D1 it's all the graphics. D2 defending SL from Me and getting all buddy buddy. He also blows up over nothing (claims I misunderstood a post) attacking my reading ability & fabricating all sorts of ways I'm not reading him right. He does all that instead of restating his thoughts like I ask him to. D3 total tunnel on me, is 100% convinced he can make me look like shit kus he doesn't think I'm mason (for some reason he's really sure he picked up Mason on BF). When that doesn't work he falls back on Sul but keeps pushing me. -Plots fabricates a 2nd RB role. He uses my own mistake of bringing up setup speculation to his teams advantage. -Setup is really RB, Goon, GF vs Masons(2) & Cop. This is a balanced setup and perfectly normal in a newbie game. -This RB invention isn't a solid idea until D2, which is why plots claims it then to "soft claim" his role. -Bara has to be N2 RB so that they can push this idea, AND! it gives them both instant towncred enough to force town to mislynch D3. -Scum plan going forward is to have Plots keep sticking his neck out and causing as much confusion as possible. Plots is expendable as long as he creates a good smokescreen for Bara. While Bara is safe to hold back and blend. At this point Bara can just keep sheeping town like he did D3, his cred is that solid as long as there isn't anyone crazy enough to thing a blue claim could be false and push it... Filter Dive on Plots + Show Spoiler + On May 31 2015 08:03 Tictock wrote: You guys didn't like my suspicions of plots. I don't blame you, I know I've gone overboard in many ways this game. That tunnel on SL, the proposition of SK being a thing when I clearly didn't understand what the goals of the role was. Maybe I have been tunneled on plots, but you know the saying "Being paranoid does not mean your wrong" Let me walk you through plots play, as I see it. Indulge my thinking for just a little bit please, try it on for size. If you don't like it feel free to say so but it had better be more than just attacks on my character or ability. You have to target my reasoning here. Going mild on the quotes here, or at least I started out trying to go mild >.< Do your own Fing reading if you want to verify every little point I make. Also this got Big really fast. Spoilered to keep thread readable. + Show Spoiler + Plots if you recall, starts this game seeming to have forgotten he was playing. He then returns to the game so ready to go that he does some crazy spreadsheeting of everyone's posts. These look impressive, like they took a lot of time. In fact they took so much time plots is never able to do full reads on everyone. Finally D2 he finishes his analysis of D1 and posts all the results, along with helpful instructions on how to use the charts. That's a lot of work right? Like it really is impressive... but how likely is it to really give meaningful information? Plots used his analysis in detail in his reads D1, which only had the first 6? hours of the game involved (he posted these about MidDay btw). But look at his reads AFTER he finished his analysis, he posted them here just a little after he give us his finished charts. Huh, he sure doesn't use much of anything from the charts does he? Almost like he doesn't believe they are useful either. All that work, he doesn't even try to make a full set of reads on everybody from them? Plots then goes pretty carefree, like he's done his job. He has. Nobody, well almost nobody, would dare scum read someone with all that work under his belt. So he starts chatting with SL, being all jokey and chummy. A decent pocket attempt if i ever have seen one (I think it's actually my first ^.^), SL has been under constant pressure and def needs a friend at this point in the game. That is also likely why plots has been weakly townreading SL the whole game. This point always stood out to me as odd. Sl is a very hard player to read, especially early on. If plots is as tryhard noob as he looks from the charts, how is he SO sure SL is town? Here is where things start to get interesting. I blunder in, super scumming plots over this interaction with SL. Clearly my attention is focused on SL at this point, but the fact that I call out his pocket attempt is bad for plots. So he decides to try and undermine my townyness. Do note at this point plots had only posted 2 reads on me, one null and one as clear town. Plots starts to get super mad at my points against him. I first call him out for his read on Rels. Remember that? The first thing plots did D2 was give a full paragraph scum read on the guy who just flipped green. His reasoning, well I was working on this, might as well finish it and post it, shows people I'm trying. Why would town post a read like this after a flip? It adds nothing to be discussed, it wastes space, it gives slim towncred, and it's downright weird. Now I definitely read all plots posts here a few times already. While there are a few places where plots is right and I did misread his posts. + Show Spoiler + Honest question, who finds plots posts easy to read? Other stuff is going on in his filter right now as well. He gives a read on SL and 27nb. The reas on SL is not bad actually, plots gives lots of reasoning and takes into consideration other opinions, odd though that he now thinks SL is shifty when plots has been claiming he's pretty town up till now. His read ends with a bunch of questions, which plots later claims were trying to get people to think SL might be a role. His read on 27nb is total crap on the other hand. It is just sheeping everyone else's opinion. Yet plots is willing to vote 27nb, and then later swap to BM for no reason other than BM voting 27nb. Still, after the initial case I post, I do start to make efforts to talk to plots. I ask him to give details to backup his claims/defense, admit I might have been jumping the gun, and even admit that maybe I am just misunderstanding him. In this last point I especially admit, I mean it's really easy to have a misunderstanding. So there was a break in our exchanges and that let him get out those reads. Late in the day, I post about more things I don't like about plots. Again plots gets super defensive, this time really attacking my ability to read. The post that really stood out to me in this exchange was this one. That post is a bunch of garbled nonsense. The point of it is to suggest several different ways that I MUST have been misreading plots and is largely putting words into my mouth. Why does plots go through all this effort? Why not just tell me what he really meant not what I'm misreading from his post. I think hes trying to slander me, make me appear to be as unreliable as he can. This covers up to N2 and is less than Half! plots filter. N2 starts somewhere just after pg 4 in plots filter. Plots now decides to put out his RB claim, well he claims that HE was RB's N1. This is later said to be a "soft claim" for his RB role. In fact right after plots says he got RB'd he start talking about it like it HAD to have come from town. At first this looks strange, though it does fit with him later claiming RB. After this though, plots really starts to focus on me. He blows up once again about our misunderstanding (I did push him in not the most diplomatic way) but even though I'm CLEARLY asking him to clear things up, he posts this which is largely just what he already posted. Page 5 of plots filter starts with him responding to me answering his questions to me. He basically just calls me dumb and says I have no way to know that SL isn't a role. I had reached this conclusion on my own, however Bre helped me solidify it. Feel free to ask me why I thought this later, this post is big enough. Shortly after that Plots starts his spam posting for the day. Some of the tunnel on me starts, but breaks off to throw out some stuff about roles and keeps doing this Nolynch crap for literally no reason. The whole way Plots claims his role is a little weird. He doesn't come out with it, he slowly teases it, as though he's giving town some great secret. He also uses this to try and be "secretive" about his motives for RBing who he did. He does eventually offer this, On May 28 2015 21:36 plotspot wrote: I RBed Rels, but she died that night. Remember that I scumread her. I even said I would have shot her if I was vig. So I claimed that I was RBed by a roleblocker N2 to tell town that we have a RB, but there wasn't any discussion worthwhile about it, you also didn't see me press the issue there. What an odd choice to RB N1. Sure, ok Plots did scumread Rels and mentioned the Vig thing here, On May 25 2015 07:10 plotspot wrote: How do you know Rels wasn't Vig shot? I was about to make a case on scumreading him hard for the following points I prepared: Rels: referring too much to others opinion, reading thread very carefully, the way RELS sets up lynch is also very comfortable (like lynch inactives), giving orders to others, thanks my post but posts no further thoughts, in comparison to Disinformation who displays overall anxiety in his reads and thoughts, Rels looks like he can handle any sudden change, there is nothing clouding his mind, others apparently have to do more than Rels, you bet if I was Vig I would have shot her. Another odd post. First how in the hell does Plots think a Vig shot Rels, because plots would if he were vig? He is also so sure Rels is scum here, but are his reasons good? And... wait this is right at start of D2, before plots has even finished his charts... but I see no evidence of him using his charts in this read once again... Would a Town RB, who spends all D1 making charts on activity, use this reasoning to block Rels? Well THIS plots doesnt, rather than use the tool he's spent so much time making he throws out these NAI points about Rels to scum her and say she was a good target here. Still not convinced plots RB claim doesn't hold up? What about his N2 target, Barakos? Well as Dis points out in this post On May 28 2015 22:58 disformation wrote: That is basically the only mention of barakos in your filter... Why the fuck would you roleblock a null/town read over a scum read? Plots has only been town or nullreading Bara all game. I think plots reasons for his RB's is very much a good thing to be looking at. I spent a fair portion of D3 asking plots why Bara was his 2nd RB. He only ever mentions his RB on bara in these 2 posts one is his super weak answer to my question. On May 28 2015 21:58 plotspot wrote: Of course I RBed Rels and Barakos. Barakos non-chalantly mentions he has been RBed? Lol if he was mafia I believe he should hang out in the thread a bit instead of expressing it like this. On May 28 2015 22:48 plotspot wrote: I couldn't read him that well. While I said he was town earlier, I had my doubts internally and not published. I wonder why batsnacks thought the same? (he technically mentions the Bara RB in other posts as well, but they are just like that first quote. "Bara's RB claim proves I'm RB guys!" Now plots does post this On May 29 2015 00:38 plotspot wrote: Also it's impossible for a mafia to think of such a ploy. He would risk his fucking life making up being RB, when he didn't even know there was one. Guess what would happen to mafia if he makes up such a ploy, saying he was RB N1? I would crush him. It's too dangerous, no mafia will ever do that. I on the other hand could because only I knew I targeted Rels and "luckily" she died for that ploy to work. Imagine if I was to RB someone and he survives that Night. It would make this ploy impossible, it would have led to a fucking mess which mafia will have ultimately used to force me out. Which is true, and a valid point. Why would scum invent such a play? What does it benefit them? I will attempt to explain the scum logic here in another post, for now this is actually a good point. This does bring me to the one point that would destroy my theory. If there is a 3rd person who gets RB's then I'm absolutely wrong here. Starting here plots starts to push numbers to explain why votes should go certain ways. He also starts to bring back the possibility of me and Sul being the scum team. He is also continuing to post setup speculations, keeping them broad and only suggests more "oddball" setups. Towards EoD plots does more numbers to push votes on Sul, these make no sense though and are really just put out to keep town unsure of what is the best play. There is more in the filter, but it is more recent and this has ballooned to be an epic wall of text. Hopefully I've made my points clear. Detailed look at how this Play makes sense from scum + Show Spoiler + On May 31 2015 08:03 Tictock wrote: Whew, still with me? At this point I want to point out that a NORMAL newbie setup is most likely, regardless of anything that has been said this game it is very unlikely that a bizarre setup would be used in a newbie game. At the time of me writing this Bre is the only confirmed Blue role, Bats will probably have been killed and confirmed Cop so D4 is going to be all about plots vs me. Mason vs Town RB, which role makes more sense? I propose that our game is setup like so: RB, Goon, and GF vs Masons & Cop Plots claim for RB is fake, and I poked holes in his claim in my last post. Ok now lets talk about how what I'm suggesting makes sense from a scum perspective as this may not look like a good play at first. - The Scum play D3 - Imagine you are scum. You lost your RB Day 1 thanks to a somewhat lucky train by town. Since then town has been sidetracked by suspecting inactive people, or focused on SL. D2 went ok since Town is still largely off your trail, but there is one guy who is bringing suspicion to one of your team. You know you need 3 more mislynches to secure a victory. It seems like it's the right time for a bold play. There has been some setup speculation in thread, since this game uses a semi-open setup scum!You knows just a little more than town, you know your own setup. What if there was a way to confuse town further about setup stuff, WHILE still getting info about the roles that are out there? Thus the fake RB role is born. This fake role serves to confuse town, forces other blues to claim (the info to town becomes too important now), AND manages to give towncred to the scum team since they can hide behind these claims. "But Tunneltoc? Doesn't this play fall apart the next night?" I know your asking that now, but hear me out. With this play Scum is almost guaranteed one of their mislynches (I did my best to stop it, but town wanted to believe all the blue claims too much), and gives them a solid shot at winning the game. D4 will start off with nobody claiming they got RB'd N3. What would you do as scum in this position? I know what i would do, pick a target D4 and say, "hey I roleblocked you!" when they deny it you go "ok well then your scum! clearly you want to confuse town and make them not believe my role!" Will plots do this to me? It seems like he HAS to. Plots and Bara as a team could not kill me N3 as it would give too much credence to my theories, besides that Bats could potentially check plots N3 so he needs to die. This is risky. It means that plots is very likely to get lynched at some point. But as Scum, do you care? Isn't it worth plots sticking his head out like that if it means 1 surefire mislynch and a potential 2nd one the next day if you can throw enough shit on a player to get them scummed? At the very least plots would go out in a fury of confusion and misinformation, all while Bara can freely gauge town safe behind a greencheck (I haven't pointed this out yet, Bara didn't claim he was RB'd until well after Bats said he had been greenchecked) and bus plots when needed. In other words the whole play is to spread misinformation for as long as possible while distracting Town from Bara so he can potentially ride out the game while town keeps lynching inactives. Last thought here, So then given all this, why would plots suggest Bara as GF? The whole play is built around the idea of protecting Bara. This might actually be the only flaw I see in my thinking. It could just be a slip, but it does seem like something plots would be very careful about in this position. Still he was responding to my pressure to explain why he would RB Bara N2. It is possible he let slip a bit of his own thinking when trying to deflect my pressure and questions. When plots mentions Bara as GF it's used to counter my thinking at the time, that plots was mafia RB. It's a hole, but it's not much compared to how well my theory holds up everywhere else. Vote analysis and 1st look at Bara + Show Spoiler + On May 31 2015 08:03 Tictock wrote: Last post in this series. This one addresses Plots and Bara's votes all 3 days and I do a little filter diving on Bara. Bara's filter is much shorter than plots so you should read it yourself, I'm just going to point out a few things I noticed in it. D1 Votes: Both Plots and Bara avoid voting with the majority. They keep their votes on Dis. Bara opens the game with his vote on Dis and lets it ride all day. His reasons are easy to find, it's like the first thing in his filter, they are all based off Bat's Iching. Bara never mentions scott, but he does suggest multiple times that he dislikes lynching inactives as it feels "coinflippy" Plots doesn't do much D1, but he does give reads on Dis (his vote) and scott. Nothing too convincing from these guys as to why they voted Dis over scott. D2 Votes: Reminder that we Lynched VT Bill Murray D2, votes prob mean less than D1 Bara does repeat that he dislikes voting inactives again, also similar to D1 he places his vote on SL and lets it ride all day. Plots gives us a read on 27nb here, but it's pretty useless and is all sheep just disguised as his own read. He then swaps his vote to BM Again clearly sheeping. D3 Votes: Bara, literally just sheeps Bats. No more mention of inactives being coinflippy, no real thought. Posts some numbers at one point to try and show there is much better chance to hit Mafia by voting 27nb or Sul over plots. Plots does some nonsense voting No Lynch at first, but later joins the vote on Sul. Unlike Bara he does show his reasoning, it's pathetic Barakos & Plotspot: Scum Team? Clearly these 2 have some pretty poor reasoning in all of their votes. I found it particularly interesting how Bara drops his own thoughts on SL and just sheeps Bats. When I ask him near EoD why he still thinks SL and Dis could be scum he give me this So I ask, well what do you find scummy about those 2? Why are they cleared by role stuff, they were never checked? By the way, this post from Bara is what got me onto the idea that he was teamed with plots Notice how he gives literally no chance for plots to be scum, but some fraction chance of everyone else? Did anyone notice that D3 there were only 2 players to claim I was defending Sul? Bara thinks so in that last post, and plots did here Was my post on Sul here, really that much of a defense? Wasn't I really just asking for good reasons behind our lynch target, and saying I don't see those reasons in Sul? Plots and Bara were the only 2 people EoD3 to heavily post numbers to support voting Sul or bunnies. This point might be weaker, but did anyone notice how the 2 of them were lurking a lot around EoD? When I start posting my theories about them, they BOTH suddenly appeared in thread giving me shit for it. It seemed clear to me that they were reacting in panic since I had suddenly broken their ploy. Could just be coincidence, but these 2 were fairly active EoD, much morose than any other EoD. Actually filter Diving on Bara wasn't as revealing as I would have thought. I pulled up a few points that I already linked and quoted above. Bara makes a fair bit of towny posts throughout the days, his D1 vote and reasoning were crap but besides that his filter looks ok. As we got into EoD D3 and I throw out the notion that plots and Bara are the the scum team, Bara's posts start to look worse. It really wasn't until the post I quoted above that I started to suspect Bara. This is why I'm still pushing plots as my vote, and why I did so D3 as well. Plots is more clearly scum than Bara. However if plots does flip Goon like I think he will then Bara becomes confirmed GF. Plots flips anything else, and my case on Bara is broken. 2nd look at Bara, this time assuming Plots is Town RB (untunneled) + Show Spoiler + On June 01 2015 20:04 Tictock wrote: Actually 27nb asks a fair question. Why am I switching my vote to Bara? Well, you guys were probably right. I may have been focusing plots too hard. So I will make this case under the assumption that plots is Town RB. Greenchecked, but is he GF? So rather than tunnel him, I decided to follow his thinking. N2 plots blocked Bara becuase he thought he saw scum tendencies in his play. Having reviewed some things, I agree. I think plots backed off too early, Bara claiming the RB could easily be a ploy to keep people from guessing he is GF. Remember how he said it? Like an hour after Day phase had started. Remember the Day started with Bats claiming cop and stating his checks. Whats to stop GF!Bara from seeing his PM and seeing he got greenchecked as well? This gives him the perfect opportunity to fool not just one, but 2 blue roles, just by stating that he got RB'd. I know that in it self isn't enough to prove much, but it IS possible. Votes Remember Bara's votes D1 and D2? He voted Dis and then SL and gave pretty decent cases on them. Dis + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2015 16:49 Barakos wrote: Morning everyone! I'm here now and almost done to catching up. First thoughts: I like breschke pushing/tunneling sl, to prevent him from being lazy. Makes breschke look town in my eyes. What I didn't like was disformations filter. All he has done so far is posting fluff and agreeing to people but not contributing in any form, except a very weak and non-commiting push on bm for lurking. And then there are these 2 posts: In the bolded parts, he explains what good townplay should look like, and what he would like to have done. And that is all he does... he explains and doesn't follow up with anything, that would be good townplay... he just shows, that he knows, what town should do but does actually nothing. But since he shows, that he knows, what good townplay looks like, he is still "looking good" and tries to give the impression, that he is town but just hasn't had the opportunity to really do stuff. So for now my vote is on him. ##vote disformation SL + Show Spoiler + On May 26 2015 19:39 Barakos wrote: soo... reread the thread... one thing i found kinda funny: I make a post about the votes not meaning much, because it may very well have been planned to vote for unmotivated scum-scott and a few hours after disformation (my stongest scum-read at that moment) makes a huge post saying he analyzed the votes and stuff... it is almost as if you try to antagonize me, disfo.. Anyways... I doubt scum-disfo would do this, since i was the only one pushing him really hard and scum would at this point try to not draw more of my attention by actively trying to argue with me... so for now, disfo moves down from the top spot of my lynch-list. 27nb: looks not so good. was never under my suspicion, because I felt the exchange we had about sulfurus and her reaction to the case disformation made against her. Starts to look worse now. I like tictocks point, about her trying to draw attention to the people voting scott by asking, if there was mafia between them and her promising a big reads-post and not delivering also looks bad. sl: oh god, what a mess... it is almost as if he tries to confuse everybody... "i may or may not have a green check on barakos" "i may be cop or doctor" "i am vanilla town" Like wtf this play looks bad on so many levels. If you are vanilla town it is like the worst possible play to claim you have a green check on someone whose filter you haven't even read and you actually say, you can't read him properly... ok... he retracted in the end... i get that. Next thing, why this play was bad as it can be: He might very well have provoked a counter-claim by the real cop/doc... this is a newbie-game after all and if there were a actual cop/doc in the game an excited newbie might have very well counterclaimed right on the spot. So him going all "i am role x/y" and then after some hours of waiting and no counterclaims saying "lol, just kidding i trolled you all, i am a plain vt." looks very much like rolehunting and hoping someone actually bites and counterclaims. Also there is this quote by him going like "masons, i know who you are, you might as well come out and claim."... next occasion he is rolehunting. but when boxerfred has a theory about a cop having a redcheck and therefor trying to start a wagon, he instantly calls him out on in. So it's ok, when he does it... but only, when he does it. Other things I don't like about his spammy, mostly oneliner-filter: He trys to paint himself in a towny light with the most absurd reasons, like the votecount for example. He puts himself in the spot of a town hero by saying it was his vote and him persuading batsnacks to vote scott that finally swung the vote to lynch scott and not disformation, and when he is confronted with a reasonable arguement, that invalidates this arguement (my post that those votes may very well have been preplanned), his reaction is "lol you know, what mafia says in their qt? you are mafia!" You are not mafia for thinking about, what mafia would do in their qt, and what might be their plans... that's a natural thing for town to do - you try to figure them out and you are paranoid about everything that isn't actually confirmed. And this is one point where sl contradicts himself... see this quote: He refers to this post: Not only does he conveniantly forget, that he was throwing dirt at me for entering the thread at the same time as rels (a confirmed town, he also threw dirt at) and not sulfurus, he is also completely fine with speculating about mafia-qts, when it fits his agenda. Only, when it is not fitting for him, he devaluates it by saying the person speculating is mafia for knowing too much about the scum-qt. Also him disregarding the possibility of a serialkiller to devalue votes vs him again lacks critical thinking on his part and ignoring the possibility of a townaction, that negated one kp at night. the chance isn't the biggest, i will agree to that, but there is still a possibility, that something like this happened. So to sum it up: SLs behavior looks very anti-town to me + he has double standarts, when it comes to certain behaviours and lacks town-trades like a certain amount of paranoia and critical thinking. I am totally fine with lynching him today. ##vote sicklucker I even asked Bara why D3 he was voting Sul. He clearly stated, So he has his own thoughts, but wants to sheep Bats? This seems odd from someone so attached to their own thoughts before. It makes sense if Bara is GF though, he wants to keep people thinking he's town and supports Bats to support his checks. Now D4 again, we see Bara isn't targeting SL, why? He said D3 he still thinks he's scum. I'm wondering if this post had anything to do with it. Did he see SL town reading him and not want to piss him off? That's the only thing that makes sense to me. I find Bara pretty scummy here, his votes and cases especially. I also know I'm not the only one, plots RB'd Bara N2 because he saw similarities in Bara's play this game to a scum game of his. I don't like meta reads, but Bara has been a little too sensible when talking to people and interacting. Yet his cases tend to fall flat, like he's not putting in the same effort. So yea, Bara is a good lynch today. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
I have to start getting ready for work. If you have not responded to my questions I posed to you by the time I'm ready to post my last thoughts for EoD I will have to assume you are ignoring me. Last chance to give me a read opinion. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
| ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
At this point you have to choices on how to deal with me. You can 1) Disregard my case/ignore me - Which means you either think I'm scum. Or that my points have no validity to them because I'm so tunneled. 2) Take a look at my case(s) - You think I'm town and and MIGHT be onto something. Sure I could be wrong, but as Town you owe it to yourself to check out any ideas and judge for yourself. I'm not scum, I don't think I need to prove that. I might have been tunneled, so I LISTENED. I really did, I saw everyone saying "you're too tunneled on plots" or "it makes sense to push Bara first" and decided to review my thinking. That lead me to this post. + Show Spoiler + On June 01 2015 20:04 Tictock wrote: Actually 27nb asks a fair question. Why am I switching my vote to Bara? Well, you guys were probably right. I may have been focusing plots too hard. So I will make this case under the assumption that plots is Town RB. Greenchecked, but is he GF? So rather than tunnel him, I decided to follow his thinking. N2 plots blocked Bara becuase he thought he saw scum tendencies in his play. Having reviewed some things, I agree. I think plots backed off too early, Bara claiming the RB could easily be a ploy to keep people from guessing he is GF. Remember how he said it? Like an hour after Day phase had started. Remember the Day started with Bats claiming cop and stating his checks. Whats to stop GF!Bara from seeing his PM and seeing he got greenchecked as well? This gives him the perfect opportunity to fool not just one, but 2 blue roles, just by stating that he got RB'd. I know that in it self isn't enough to prove much, but it IS possible. Votes Remember Bara's votes D1 and D2? He voted Dis and then SL and gave pretty decent cases on them. Dis + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2015 16:49 Barakos wrote: Morning everyone! I'm here now and almost done to catching up. First thoughts: I like breschke pushing/tunneling sl, to prevent him from being lazy. Makes breschke look town in my eyes. What I didn't like was disformations filter. All he has done so far is posting fluff and agreeing to people but not contributing in any form, except a very weak and non-commiting push on bm for lurking. And then there are these 2 posts: In the bolded parts, he explains what good townplay should look like, and what he would like to have done. And that is all he does... he explains and doesn't follow up with anything, that would be good townplay... he just shows, that he knows, what town should do but does actually nothing. But since he shows, that he knows, what good townplay looks like, he is still "looking good" and tries to give the impression, that he is town but just hasn't had the opportunity to really do stuff. So for now my vote is on him. ##vote disformation SL + Show Spoiler + On May 26 2015 19:39 Barakos wrote: soo... reread the thread... one thing i found kinda funny: I make a post about the votes not meaning much, because it may very well have been planned to vote for unmotivated scum-scott and a few hours after disformation (my stongest scum-read at that moment) makes a huge post saying he analyzed the votes and stuff... it is almost as if you try to antagonize me, disfo.. Anyways... I doubt scum-disfo would do this, since i was the only one pushing him really hard and scum would at this point try to not draw more of my attention by actively trying to argue with me... so for now, disfo moves down from the top spot of my lynch-list. 27nb: looks not so good. was never under my suspicion, because I felt the exchange we had about sulfurus and her reaction to the case disformation made against her. Starts to look worse now. I like tictocks point, about her trying to draw attention to the people voting scott by asking, if there was mafia between them and her promising a big reads-post and not delivering also looks bad. sl: oh god, what a mess... it is almost as if he tries to confuse everybody... "i may or may not have a green check on barakos" "i may be cop or doctor" "i am vanilla town" Like wtf this play looks bad on so many levels. If you are vanilla town it is like the worst possible play to claim you have a green check on someone whose filter you haven't even read and you actually say, you can't read him properly... ok... he retracted in the end... i get that. Next thing, why this play was bad as it can be: He might very well have provoked a counter-claim by the real cop/doc... this is a newbie-game after all and if there were a actual cop/doc in the game an excited newbie might have very well counterclaimed right on the spot. So him going all "i am role x/y" and then after some hours of waiting and no counterclaims saying "lol, just kidding i trolled you all, i am a plain vt." looks very much like rolehunting and hoping someone actually bites and counterclaims. Also there is this quote by him going like "masons, i know who you are, you might as well come out and claim."... next occasion he is rolehunting. but when boxerfred has a theory about a cop having a redcheck and therefor trying to start a wagon, he instantly calls him out on in. So it's ok, when he does it... but only, when he does it. Other things I don't like about his spammy, mostly oneliner-filter: He trys to paint himself in a towny light with the most absurd reasons, like the votecount for example. He puts himself in the spot of a town hero by saying it was his vote and him persuading batsnacks to vote scott that finally swung the vote to lynch scott and not disformation, and when he is confronted with a reasonable arguement, that invalidates this arguement (my post that those votes may very well have been preplanned), his reaction is "lol you know, what mafia says in their qt? you are mafia!" You are not mafia for thinking about, what mafia would do in their qt, and what might be their plans... that's a natural thing for town to do - you try to figure them out and you are paranoid about everything that isn't actually confirmed. And this is one point where sl contradicts himself... see this quote: He refers to this post: Not only does he conveniantly forget, that he was throwing dirt at me for entering the thread at the same time as rels (a confirmed town, he also threw dirt at) and not sulfurus, he is also completely fine with speculating about mafia-qts, when it fits his agenda. Only, when it is not fitting for him, he devaluates it by saying the person speculating is mafia for knowing too much about the scum-qt. Also him disregarding the possibility of a serialkiller to devalue votes vs him again lacks critical thinking on his part and ignoring the possibility of a townaction, that negated one kp at night. the chance isn't the biggest, i will agree to that, but there is still a possibility, that something like this happened. So to sum it up: SLs behavior looks very anti-town to me + he has double standarts, when it comes to certain behaviours and lacks town-trades like a certain amount of paranoia and critical thinking. I am totally fine with lynching him today. ##vote sicklucker I even asked Bara why D3 he was voting Sul. He clearly stated, So he has his own thoughts, but wants to sheep Bats? This seems odd from someone so attached to their own thoughts before. It makes sense if Bara is GF though, he wants to keep people thinking he's town and supports Bats to support his checks. Now D4 again, we see Bara isn't targeting SL, why? He said D3 he still thinks he's scum. I'm wondering if this post had anything to do with it. Did he see SL town reading him and not want to piss him off? That's the only thing that makes sense to me. I find Bara pretty scummy here, his votes and cases especially. I also know I'm not the only one, plots RB'd Bara N2 because he saw similarities in Bara's play this game to a scum game of his. I don't like meta reads, but Bara has been a little too sensible when talking to people and interacting. Yet his cases tend to fall flat, like he's not putting in the same effort. So yea, Bara is a good lynch today. Here I make a fully isolated case on Bara. I even ASSUME that plots is Town RB in this case. In it I'm saying that a Bara lynch is a solid option for today. Clearly I haven't given up on my original case. But I DID LISTEN! I've agreed that it does make sense that Bara should be the first lynch, just in the off chance that plots is in fact a Town RB. My case on Bara stands even if you still think plots is the town RB. So this is not just the same tunnel I was on before. I really feel like these questions are very pertinent though, and I really want people to try and answer them. If you can answer these questions solidly to yourself then you clearly believe and have evidence that these actions make sense as Town RB. PLEASE SHARE THOSE THOUGHTS! On June 02 2015 02:45 Tictock wrote: So explain to me SL. How does tryhard Chart making Plots, think Rels is Scum? How does tryhard super tunneled (like so many of us) plots give such bad reasons for RBing Bara? How does ANYONE listen to you N3 and RB Bats? I'd really like to hear good answers to those questions, regardless of if you agree with me overall or not. Please at least consider my case here. It might sound like a crazy risky play by Scum, and it might seem hard to believe we'd see it in a newbie game. But it is possible! I've explained every angle of this case that i can think of. Please give me a fair read. Summary Post one last time. + Show Spoiler + On June 02 2015 01:15 Tictock wrote: I really don't know how I can prove to you guys that I'm not just tunneled here. I've thought this thing out, it makes sense. That's why I'm so focused on it. In case you need a reminder and don't want to do more filter diving, here is all my posts today related to my cases. I really was hoping to see people at least giving me arguments why I could be wrong. Instead I just see people being afraid to check if a blue claim was false, and not being able to check if a Greencheck was false. Again I'm not talking about flips here, I'm talking about inconsistencies in peoples play. Main Case (plots and Bara) + Show Spoiler + On May 31 2015 08:02 Tictock wrote: Ok guys, I know you thought Crazy Tunneltoc had finally given up and was sulking somewhere in defeat or something. But you can never vanquish the Tunneltoc! I'm back and ready to blow your minds. I have no way to prove this, so it's really just for my own amusement, but I prepared these posts with the intent on putting them up more or less after D4 starts. Some predictions: + Show Spoiler + -plots and Bara have been pointing fingers at me for having given up since my "plot" (get it) didn't work -prob some accusations that I'm not even a Mason and that Bre was solo -plots RB was on Bats or myself, really it could be anyone though. I'm pretty sure plots RBs the kill target here, but really all plots has to do here is say that the person he RB'd is scum when they say they weren't -Idea is to have the whole D4 revolve around this argument. Remember, it doesn't matter if plots gets lynched as long as it happens in such a way to secure towncred for Bara Obv scum killed Bats. If they killed anyone else it was to protect plots RB claim. Can't see them leaving bats though, I'm sure he was trying to check plots N3 and they can't have that. Honestly I can't imagine town staying fooled by this after I pointed everything out before EoD, but I'd rather not drag things out anymore. So here I am unveiling my case. This will be a multi-post case, so be warned. I may leave a summary post depending on how long this gets or how motivated I stay. Main Points -Plots is scum. This is a short version of my scumread on him, but I'll expand on it.+ Show Spoiler + He's been Tryharding this whole game but never brings anything of worth to the game. D1 it's all the graphics. D2 defending SL from Me and getting all buddy buddy. He also blows up over nothing (claims I misunderstood a post) attacking my reading ability & fabricating all sorts of ways I'm not reading him right. He does all that instead of restating his thoughts like I ask him to. D3 total tunnel on me, is 100% convinced he can make me look like shit kus he doesn't think I'm mason (for some reason he's really sure he picked up Mason on BF). When that doesn't work he falls back on Sul but keeps pushing me. -Plots fabricates a 2nd RB role. He uses my own mistake of bringing up setup speculation to his teams advantage. -Setup is really RB, Goon, GF vs Masons(2) & Cop. This is a balanced setup and perfectly normal in a newbie game. -This RB invention isn't a solid idea until D2, which is why plots claims it then to "soft claim" his role. -Bara has to be N2 RB so that they can push this idea, AND! it gives them both instant towncred enough to force town to mislynch D3. -Scum plan going forward is to have Plots keep sticking his neck out and causing as much confusion as possible. Plots is expendable as long as he creates a good smokescreen for Bara. While Bara is safe to hold back and blend. At this point Bara can just keep sheeping town like he did D3, his cred is that solid as long as there isn't anyone crazy enough to thing a blue claim could be false and push it... Filter Dive on Plots + Show Spoiler + On May 31 2015 08:03 Tictock wrote: You guys didn't like my suspicions of plots. I don't blame you, I know I've gone overboard in many ways this game. That tunnel on SL, the proposition of SK being a thing when I clearly didn't understand what the goals of the role was. Maybe I have been tunneled on plots, but you know the saying "Being paranoid does not mean your wrong" Let me walk you through plots play, as I see it. Indulge my thinking for just a little bit please, try it on for size. If you don't like it feel free to say so but it had better be more than just attacks on my character or ability. You have to target my reasoning here. Going mild on the quotes here, or at least I started out trying to go mild >.< Do your own Fing reading if you want to verify every little point I make. Also this got Big really fast. Spoilered to keep thread readable. + Show Spoiler + Plots if you recall, starts this game seeming to have forgotten he was playing. He then returns to the game so ready to go that he does some crazy spreadsheeting of everyone's posts. These look impressive, like they took a lot of time. In fact they took so much time plots is never able to do full reads on everyone. Finally D2 he finishes his analysis of D1 and posts all the results, along with helpful instructions on how to use the charts. That's a lot of work right? Like it really is impressive... but how likely is it to really give meaningful information? Plots used his analysis in detail in his reads D1, which only had the first 6? hours of the game involved (he posted these about MidDay btw). But look at his reads AFTER he finished his analysis, he posted them here just a little after he give us his finished charts. Huh, he sure doesn't use much of anything from the charts does he? Almost like he doesn't believe they are useful either. All that work, he doesn't even try to make a full set of reads on everybody from them? Plots then goes pretty carefree, like he's done his job. He has. Nobody, well almost nobody, would dare scum read someone with all that work under his belt. So he starts chatting with SL, being all jokey and chummy. A decent pocket attempt if i ever have seen one (I think it's actually my first ^.^), SL has been under constant pressure and def needs a friend at this point in the game. That is also likely why plots has been weakly townreading SL the whole game. This point always stood out to me as odd. Sl is a very hard player to read, especially early on. If plots is as tryhard noob as he looks from the charts, how is he SO sure SL is town? Here is where things start to get interesting. I blunder in, super scumming plots over this interaction with SL. Clearly my attention is focused on SL at this point, but the fact that I call out his pocket attempt is bad for plots. So he decides to try and undermine my townyness. Do note at this point plots had only posted 2 reads on me, one null and one as clear town. Plots starts to get super mad at my points against him. I first call him out for his read on Rels. Remember that? The first thing plots did D2 was give a full paragraph scum read on the guy who just flipped green. His reasoning, well I was working on this, might as well finish it and post it, shows people I'm trying. Why would town post a read like this after a flip? It adds nothing to be discussed, it wastes space, it gives slim towncred, and it's downright weird. Now I definitely read all plots posts here a few times already. While there are a few places where plots is right and I did misread his posts. + Show Spoiler + Honest question, who finds plots posts easy to read? Other stuff is going on in his filter right now as well. He gives a read on SL and 27nb. The reas on SL is not bad actually, plots gives lots of reasoning and takes into consideration other opinions, odd though that he now thinks SL is shifty when plots has been claiming he's pretty town up till now. His read ends with a bunch of questions, which plots later claims were trying to get people to think SL might be a role. His read on 27nb is total crap on the other hand. It is just sheeping everyone else's opinion. Yet plots is willing to vote 27nb, and then later swap to BM for no reason other than BM voting 27nb. Still, after the initial case I post, I do start to make efforts to talk to plots. I ask him to give details to backup his claims/defense, admit I might have been jumping the gun, and even admit that maybe I am just misunderstanding him. In this last point I especially admit, I mean it's really easy to have a misunderstanding. So there was a break in our exchanges and that let him get out those reads. Late in the day, I post about more things I don't like about plots. Again plots gets super defensive, this time really attacking my ability to read. The post that really stood out to me in this exchange was this one. That post is a bunch of garbled nonsense. The point of it is to suggest several different ways that I MUST have been misreading plots and is largely putting words into my mouth. Why does plots go through all this effort? Why not just tell me what he really meant not what I'm misreading from his post. I think hes trying to slander me, make me appear to be as unreliable as he can. This covers up to N2 and is less than Half! plots filter. N2 starts somewhere just after pg 4 in plots filter. Plots now decides to put out his RB claim, well he claims that HE was RB's N1. This is later said to be a "soft claim" for his RB role. In fact right after plots says he got RB'd he start talking about it like it HAD to have come from town. At first this looks strange, though it does fit with him later claiming RB. After this though, plots really starts to focus on me. He blows up once again about our misunderstanding (I did push him in not the most diplomatic way) but even though I'm CLEARLY asking him to clear things up, he posts this which is largely just what he already posted. Page 5 of plots filter starts with him responding to me answering his questions to me. He basically just calls me dumb and says I have no way to know that SL isn't a role. I had reached this conclusion on my own, however Bre helped me solidify it. Feel free to ask me why I thought this later, this post is big enough. Shortly after that Plots starts his spam posting for the day. Some of the tunnel on me starts, but breaks off to throw out some stuff about roles and keeps doing this Nolynch crap for literally no reason. The whole way Plots claims his role is a little weird. He doesn't come out with it, he slowly teases it, as though he's giving town some great secret. He also uses this to try and be "secretive" about his motives for RBing who he did. He does eventually offer this, On May 28 2015 21:36 plotspot wrote: I RBed Rels, but she died that night. Remember that I scumread her. I even said I would have shot her if I was vig. So I claimed that I was RBed by a roleblocker N2 to tell town that we have a RB, but there wasn't any discussion worthwhile about it, you also didn't see me press the issue there. What an odd choice to RB N1. Sure, ok Plots did scumread Rels and mentioned the Vig thing here, On May 25 2015 07:10 plotspot wrote: How do you know Rels wasn't Vig shot? I was about to make a case on scumreading him hard for the following points I prepared: Rels: referring too much to others opinion, reading thread very carefully, the way RELS sets up lynch is also very comfortable (like lynch inactives), giving orders to others, thanks my post but posts no further thoughts, in comparison to Disinformation who displays overall anxiety in his reads and thoughts, Rels looks like he can handle any sudden change, there is nothing clouding his mind, others apparently have to do more than Rels, you bet if I was Vig I would have shot her. Another odd post. First how in the hell does Plots think a Vig shot Rels, because plots would if he were vig? He is also so sure Rels is scum here, but are his reasons good? And... wait this is right at start of D2, before plots has even finished his charts... but I see no evidence of him using his charts in this read once again... Would a Town RB, who spends all D1 making charts on activity, use this reasoning to block Rels? Well THIS plots doesnt, rather than use the tool he's spent so much time making he throws out these NAI points about Rels to scum her and say she was a good target here. Still not convinced plots RB claim doesn't hold up? What about his N2 target, Barakos? Well as Dis points out in this post On May 28 2015 22:58 disformation wrote: That is basically the only mention of barakos in your filter... Why the fuck would you roleblock a null/town read over a scum read? Plots has only been town or nullreading Bara all game. I think plots reasons for his RB's is very much a good thing to be looking at. I spent a fair portion of D3 asking plots why Bara was his 2nd RB. He only ever mentions his RB on bara in these 2 posts one is his super weak answer to my question. On May 28 2015 21:58 plotspot wrote: Of course I RBed Rels and Barakos. Barakos non-chalantly mentions he has been RBed? Lol if he was mafia I believe he should hang out in the thread a bit instead of expressing it like this. On May 28 2015 22:48 plotspot wrote: I couldn't read him that well. While I said he was town earlier, I had my doubts internally and not published. I wonder why batsnacks thought the same? (he technically mentions the Bara RB in other posts as well, but they are just like that first quote. "Bara's RB claim proves I'm RB guys!" Now plots does post this On May 29 2015 00:38 plotspot wrote: Also it's impossible for a mafia to think of such a ploy. He would risk his fucking life making up being RB, when he didn't even know there was one. Guess what would happen to mafia if he makes up such a ploy, saying he was RB N1? I would crush him. It's too dangerous, no mafia will ever do that. I on the other hand could because only I knew I targeted Rels and "luckily" she died for that ploy to work. Imagine if I was to RB someone and he survives that Night. It would make this ploy impossible, it would have led to a fucking mess which mafia will have ultimately used to force me out. Which is true, and a valid point. Why would scum invent such a play? What does it benefit them? I will attempt to explain the scum logic here in another post, for now this is actually a good point. This does bring me to the one point that would destroy my theory. If there is a 3rd person who gets RB's then I'm absolutely wrong here. Starting here plots starts to push numbers to explain why votes should go certain ways. He also starts to bring back the possibility of me and Sul being the scum team. He is also continuing to post setup speculations, keeping them broad and only suggests more "oddball" setups. Towards EoD plots does more numbers to push votes on Sul, these make no sense though and are really just put out to keep town unsure of what is the best play. There is more in the filter, but it is more recent and this has ballooned to be an epic wall of text. Hopefully I've made my points clear. Detailed look at how this Play makes sense from scum + Show Spoiler + On May 31 2015 08:03 Tictock wrote: Whew, still with me? At this point I want to point out that a NORMAL newbie setup is most likely, regardless of anything that has been said this game it is very unlikely that a bizarre setup would be used in a newbie game. At the time of me writing this Bre is the only confirmed Blue role, Bats will probably have been killed and confirmed Cop so D4 is going to be all about plots vs me. Mason vs Town RB, which role makes more sense? I propose that our game is setup like so: RB, Goon, and GF vs Masons & Cop Plots claim for RB is fake, and I poked holes in his claim in my last post. Ok now lets talk about how what I'm suggesting makes sense from a scum perspective as this may not look like a good play at first. - The Scum play D3 - Imagine you are scum. You lost your RB Day 1 thanks to a somewhat lucky train by town. Since then town has been sidetracked by suspecting inactive people, or focused on SL. D2 went ok since Town is still largely off your trail, but there is one guy who is bringing suspicion to one of your team. You know you need 3 more mislynches to secure a victory. It seems like it's the right time for a bold play. There has been some setup speculation in thread, since this game uses a semi-open setup scum!You knows just a little more than town, you know your own setup. What if there was a way to confuse town further about setup stuff, WHILE still getting info about the roles that are out there? Thus the fake RB role is born. This fake role serves to confuse town, forces other blues to claim (the info to town becomes too important now), AND manages to give towncred to the scum team since they can hide behind these claims. "But Tunneltoc? Doesn't this play fall apart the next night?" I know your asking that now, but hear me out. With this play Scum is almost guaranteed one of their mislynches (I did my best to stop it, but town wanted to believe all the blue claims too much), and gives them a solid shot at winning the game. D4 will start off with nobody claiming they got RB'd N3. What would you do as scum in this position? I know what i would do, pick a target D4 and say, "hey I roleblocked you!" when they deny it you go "ok well then your scum! clearly you want to confuse town and make them not believe my role!" Will plots do this to me? It seems like he HAS to. Plots and Bara as a team could not kill me N3 as it would give too much credence to my theories, besides that Bats could potentially check plots N3 so he needs to die. This is risky. It means that plots is very likely to get lynched at some point. But as Scum, do you care? Isn't it worth plots sticking his head out like that if it means 1 surefire mislynch and a potential 2nd one the next day if you can throw enough shit on a player to get them scummed? At the very least plots would go out in a fury of confusion and misinformation, all while Bara can freely gauge town safe behind a greencheck (I haven't pointed this out yet, Bara didn't claim he was RB'd until well after Bats said he had been greenchecked) and bus plots when needed. In other words the whole play is to spread misinformation for as long as possible while distracting Town from Bara so he can potentially ride out the game while town keeps lynching inactives. Last thought here, So then given all this, why would plots suggest Bara as GF? The whole play is built around the idea of protecting Bara. This might actually be the only flaw I see in my thinking. It could just be a slip, but it does seem like something plots would be very careful about in this position. Still he was responding to my pressure to explain why he would RB Bara N2. It is possible he let slip a bit of his own thinking when trying to deflect my pressure and questions. When plots mentions Bara as GF it's used to counter my thinking at the time, that plots was mafia RB. It's a hole, but it's not much compared to how well my theory holds up everywhere else. Vote analysis and 1st look at Bara + Show Spoiler + On May 31 2015 08:03 Tictock wrote: Last post in this series. This one addresses Plots and Bara's votes all 3 days and I do a little filter diving on Bara. Bara's filter is much shorter than plots so you should read it yourself, I'm just going to point out a few things I noticed in it. D1 Votes: Both Plots and Bara avoid voting with the majority. They keep their votes on Dis. Bara opens the game with his vote on Dis and lets it ride all day. His reasons are easy to find, it's like the first thing in his filter, they are all based off Bat's Iching. Bara never mentions scott, but he does suggest multiple times that he dislikes lynching inactives as it feels "coinflippy" Plots doesn't do much D1, but he does give reads on Dis (his vote) and scott. Nothing too convincing from these guys as to why they voted Dis over scott. D2 Votes: Reminder that we Lynched VT Bill Murray D2, votes prob mean less than D1 Bara does repeat that he dislikes voting inactives again, also similar to D1 he places his vote on SL and lets it ride all day. Plots gives us a read on 27nb here, but it's pretty useless and is all sheep just disguised as his own read. He then swaps his vote to BM Again clearly sheeping. D3 Votes: Bara, literally just sheeps Bats. No more mention of inactives being coinflippy, no real thought. Posts some numbers at one point to try and show there is much better chance to hit Mafia by voting 27nb or Sul over plots. Plots does some nonsense voting No Lynch at first, but later joins the vote on Sul. Unlike Bara he does show his reasoning, it's pathetic Barakos & Plotspot: Scum Team? Clearly these 2 have some pretty poor reasoning in all of their votes. I found it particularly interesting how Bara drops his own thoughts on SL and just sheeps Bats. When I ask him near EoD why he still thinks SL and Dis could be scum he give me this So I ask, well what do you find scummy about those 2? Why are they cleared by role stuff, they were never checked? By the way, this post from Bara is what got me onto the idea that he was teamed with plots Notice how he gives literally no chance for plots to be scum, but some fraction chance of everyone else? Did anyone notice that D3 there were only 2 players to claim I was defending Sul? Bara thinks so in that last post, and plots did here Was my post on Sul here, really that much of a defense? Wasn't I really just asking for good reasons behind our lynch target, and saying I don't see those reasons in Sul? Plots and Bara were the only 2 people EoD3 to heavily post numbers to support voting Sul or bunnies. This point might be weaker, but did anyone notice how the 2 of them were lurking a lot around EoD? When I start posting my theories about them, they BOTH suddenly appeared in thread giving me shit for it. It seemed clear to me that they were reacting in panic since I had suddenly broken their ploy. Could just be coincidence, but these 2 were fairly active EoD, much morose than any other EoD. Actually filter Diving on Bara wasn't as revealing as I would have thought. I pulled up a few points that I already linked and quoted above. Bara makes a fair bit of towny posts throughout the days, his D1 vote and reasoning were crap but besides that his filter looks ok. As we got into EoD D3 and I throw out the notion that plots and Bara are the the scum team, Bara's posts start to look worse. It really wasn't until the post I quoted above that I started to suspect Bara. This is why I'm still pushing plots as my vote, and why I did so D3 as well. Plots is more clearly scum than Bara. However if plots does flip Goon like I think he will then Bara becomes confirmed GF. Plots flips anything else, and my case on Bara is broken. 2nd look at Bara, this time assuming Plots is Town RB (untunneled) + Show Spoiler + On June 01 2015 20:04 Tictock wrote: Actually 27nb asks a fair question. Why am I switching my vote to Bara? Well, you guys were probably right. I may have been focusing plots too hard. So I will make this case under the assumption that plots is Town RB. Greenchecked, but is he GF? So rather than tunnel him, I decided to follow his thinking. N2 plots blocked Bara becuase he thought he saw scum tendencies in his play. Having reviewed some things, I agree. I think plots backed off too early, Bara claiming the RB could easily be a ploy to keep people from guessing he is GF. Remember how he said it? Like an hour after Day phase had started. Remember the Day started with Bats claiming cop and stating his checks. Whats to stop GF!Bara from seeing his PM and seeing he got greenchecked as well? This gives him the perfect opportunity to fool not just one, but 2 blue roles, just by stating that he got RB'd. I know that in it self isn't enough to prove much, but it IS possible. Votes Remember Bara's votes D1 and D2? He voted Dis and then SL and gave pretty decent cases on them. Dis + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2015 16:49 Barakos wrote: Morning everyone! I'm here now and almost done to catching up. First thoughts: I like breschke pushing/tunneling sl, to prevent him from being lazy. Makes breschke look town in my eyes. What I didn't like was disformations filter. All he has done so far is posting fluff and agreeing to people but not contributing in any form, except a very weak and non-commiting push on bm for lurking. And then there are these 2 posts: In the bolded parts, he explains what good townplay should look like, and what he would like to have done. And that is all he does... he explains and doesn't follow up with anything, that would be good townplay... he just shows, that he knows, what town should do but does actually nothing. But since he shows, that he knows, what good townplay looks like, he is still "looking good" and tries to give the impression, that he is town but just hasn't had the opportunity to really do stuff. So for now my vote is on him. ##vote disformation SL + Show Spoiler + On May 26 2015 19:39 Barakos wrote: soo... reread the thread... one thing i found kinda funny: I make a post about the votes not meaning much, because it may very well have been planned to vote for unmotivated scum-scott and a few hours after disformation (my stongest scum-read at that moment) makes a huge post saying he analyzed the votes and stuff... it is almost as if you try to antagonize me, disfo.. Anyways... I doubt scum-disfo would do this, since i was the only one pushing him really hard and scum would at this point try to not draw more of my attention by actively trying to argue with me... so for now, disfo moves down from the top spot of my lynch-list. 27nb: looks not so good. was never under my suspicion, because I felt the exchange we had about sulfurus and her reaction to the case disformation made against her. Starts to look worse now. I like tictocks point, about her trying to draw attention to the people voting scott by asking, if there was mafia between them and her promising a big reads-post and not delivering also looks bad. sl: oh god, what a mess... it is almost as if he tries to confuse everybody... "i may or may not have a green check on barakos" "i may be cop or doctor" "i am vanilla town" Like wtf this play looks bad on so many levels. If you are vanilla town it is like the worst possible play to claim you have a green check on someone whose filter you haven't even read and you actually say, you can't read him properly... ok... he retracted in the end... i get that. Next thing, why this play was bad as it can be: He might very well have provoked a counter-claim by the real cop/doc... this is a newbie-game after all and if there were a actual cop/doc in the game an excited newbie might have very well counterclaimed right on the spot. So him going all "i am role x/y" and then after some hours of waiting and no counterclaims saying "lol, just kidding i trolled you all, i am a plain vt." looks very much like rolehunting and hoping someone actually bites and counterclaims. Also there is this quote by him going like "masons, i know who you are, you might as well come out and claim."... next occasion he is rolehunting. but when boxerfred has a theory about a cop having a redcheck and therefor trying to start a wagon, he instantly calls him out on in. So it's ok, when he does it... but only, when he does it. Other things I don't like about his spammy, mostly oneliner-filter: He trys to paint himself in a towny light with the most absurd reasons, like the votecount for example. He puts himself in the spot of a town hero by saying it was his vote and him persuading batsnacks to vote scott that finally swung the vote to lynch scott and not disformation, and when he is confronted with a reasonable arguement, that invalidates this arguement (my post that those votes may very well have been preplanned), his reaction is "lol you know, what mafia says in their qt? you are mafia!" You are not mafia for thinking about, what mafia would do in their qt, and what might be their plans... that's a natural thing for town to do - you try to figure them out and you are paranoid about everything that isn't actually confirmed. And this is one point where sl contradicts himself... see this quote: He refers to this post: Not only does he conveniantly forget, that he was throwing dirt at me for entering the thread at the same time as rels (a confirmed town, he also threw dirt at) and not sulfurus, he is also completely fine with speculating about mafia-qts, when it fits his agenda. Only, when it is not fitting for him, he devaluates it by saying the person speculating is mafia for knowing too much about the scum-qt. Also him disregarding the possibility of a serialkiller to devalue votes vs him again lacks critical thinking on his part and ignoring the possibility of a townaction, that negated one kp at night. the chance isn't the biggest, i will agree to that, but there is still a possibility, that something like this happened. So to sum it up: SLs behavior looks very anti-town to me + he has double standarts, when it comes to certain behaviours and lacks town-trades like a certain amount of paranoia and critical thinking. I am totally fine with lynching him today. ##vote sicklucker I even asked Bara why D3 he was voting Sul. He clearly stated, So he has his own thoughts, but wants to sheep Bats? This seems odd from someone so attached to their own thoughts before. It makes sense if Bara is GF though, he wants to keep people thinking he's town and supports Bats to support his checks. Now D4 again, we see Bara isn't targeting SL, why? He said D3 he still thinks he's scum. I'm wondering if this post had anything to do with it. Did he see SL town reading him and not want to piss him off? That's the only thing that makes sense to me. I find Bara pretty scummy here, his votes and cases especially. I also know I'm not the only one, plots RB'd Bara N2 because he saw similarities in Bara's play this game to a scum game of his. I don't like meta reads, but Bara has been a little too sensible when talking to people and interacting. Yet his cases tend to fall flat, like he's not putting in the same effort. So yea, Bara is a good lynch today. | ||
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Inquisitive but unsure natures, implies a newbie. Someone who isn't sure of their own opinions, but is trying to figure things out. Inactivity is more than likely a sign of town, or being busy. Than a clear scum tell. Uselessness. Is a mixed bag. Obviusly I'm talking about SL now. I did give you a chance SL. This defines SL. He just doesn't seem to really care about these games. How can he? His brain is probably so rattled with the 100's of games he's played or is playing that one lose is a write off. When he wins it's great, but ONE lose in 100 isn't too bad eh? Take for evidence his play last newbie game where he was town, day two. Link, for reference. Here SL goes on to suggest an "auto-play" that he thinks gives town a 75% chance of getting scum. Had town listened we would have lynched our Vig, who went on that night to shoot our 2nd scum. SL makes questionable plays and shows no thinking as either alignment. I think his arguments, are throw away. Unless you think Mafia would in fact be so awed by the Hammer of SL on scott that they felt forced to show themselves and sheep him... | ||
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I still feel like there is something weird going on this game. I've been bothered by the whole RB thing this whole time kus the setup is so weird with that in. Probably why I fell in love with the idea of Plots and Bara, it made the setup normal. You're all going to hate me here... and I don't care... but I still think plots could be scum here. Mafia having 2 RB makes as much sense to me as Town having RB, Cop, and Masons. I'm prob being silly here, it's just that his claim really was weak and his RB targets have been so bad. I'd be willing to let the idea go if people were actually able to help me explain his thinking as Town RB. I still think my questions about his RB's I posed at EoD are valid. + Show Spoiler + I've stated several times that without good reasoning I have a hard time buying his claim. Still haven't seen that reasoning, just a bunch of fairly weak arguments that don't make much sense given plots overall play. Anyways, Good Job town for getting scum today. I am very happy with this result ^.^ | ||
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You're going to get yourself modkilled dude. Your lucky cake is going easy on ya. | ||
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27nb stayed FAR away from my theories when I was tunneled on plots, yet when I switch to Bara she is all over pushing my case. If both plots and Bara were town, wouldn't she have supported my WHOLE case? Instead she is only willing to talk to me about it when I suggest Bara as a target over plots. Call me tunneled if you want, but I will never stop asking questions. I don't believe this game ever has "auto-lynch" conditions (maybe in some rare cases when you get the right combo of blue roles), I'd much rather keep thinking than be lazy and try and find ways to play the game without reasoning. I mean... whats the point of the game if not to challenge our thinking? | ||
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Anyone care to share their current thoughts on Dis and BF? I'm not seeing scum on them, but my own thinking is clearly biased. SL as always plays that fine line between shitty town with bad ideas and scum pushing bad ideas. Honestly I don't think my views on him will ever change at this point, even beyond the scope of this one game ... | ||
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I was first attracted to Mafia for the idea of a game that revolves around critical thought. The very notion of a game that revolves around discussion and deception caught my attention. Clearly I am a argumentative person, I enjoy a good exchange of thoughts. When 2 people argue with each other, as long as they do not get lost in personal attacks, they each learn about the other. That is the essence of Mafia to me. An exchange of ideas leading to conclusions about others motivations in the game. It is also why I have been constantly asking town for it's thoughts and ideas, and most especially reasoning behind things. Something which I find very few people here willing to share. That's been a real letdown to me, and is the main reason why I've been getting frustrated this game. I honestly don't care if you think I'm right or wrong, I am always capable of both, what I am interested is what YOU think about my ideas. You can tell me my ideas are shit, and you don't like them. That's valid, but it also shows no thinking. In a game like this, a lack of thinking will always lead you down the wrong path. I need to remember these things as well. We all can get tunneled and fall in love with our own thinking to the point where we see nothing else. That is always a danger. However, in my mind, tunneling is still better than abandoning thinking at all. That is why I have been pushing for Reasoning, and Thought for so much of the last 2 days. It is my firm belief, that in a game of mafia, a town that stops thinking is a town that is doomed to be picked apart. Maybe you can get away with it once and awhile, but it is a dangerous habit to fall into. Just for fun, some quotes that have always stuck with me in my life and are why I put such value into reasoning. + Show Spoiler + Thinking isn't agreeing or disagreeing. That's voting. -Robert Frost (a poet I've enjoyed reading since 1st grade) If everyone is thinking alike, then somebody isn't thinking. -George S. Patton All the problems of the world could be settled easily if men were only willing to think. The trouble is that men very often resort to all sorts of devices in order not to think, because thinking is such hard work. -Thomas J. Watson (actually I'm not sure if I really agree with this one, but I do find the 2nd line to be true) Any man who reads too much and uses his own brain too little falls into lazy habits of thinking. -Albert Einstein (how can I not quote the Big Man of Thought?) -End Rant- | ||
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I figured I'd look through 27nb's filter and see if there was anything telling about it now that we know she was scum. At first I didn't see a whole lot worthwhile. I mean that's kinda why she was being scumread D2, and most of her filter is from D3 onwards anyways. Most of D3 she just restates thoughts stated before her, and I did notice she talks a lot about plots. At first I started thinking, well she'd never scum her own partner like this so plots has to be town. However I remembered 27 making this post as well. On May 28 2015 09:51 27ninjabunnies wrote: Would there be 2 mafia prs in a roleblocker and godfather? If so, then yeah, you cant believe the cop checks. She is willing to risk outing herself, to look more towny. That's actually fairly telling. It shows desperation. I also noticed early D3 27nb was going along with the thread in speculation on roles. She actually hits the idea of of plots being a possible Mafia RB a few times in her posts and while she goes back and forth on the idea she seems to not quite believe plots claim. Again, I think well geez there she goes proving he's not her partner, why would she push him if they were the scum team?. So yea my stuff on plots looks pretty bad at this point. Someone who is now confirmed scum was sheeping my thoughts about plots being scummy. However... when it came to EoD this is what 27nb posts. On May 29 2015 22:55 27ninjabunnies wrote: So I actually Wa,t to lynch Sulfurus. I filter dived, and when I reached the surface I came back up with nothing. Sulf later play has lacked highly. The day 1 was ok, but not enough for a town read. ##Vote:Sulfurus I'm posti,g from my,phone but I can't really quote anything atm. I remember getting really pissed off at her for this post, and told her she clearly didn't give a shit. On May 30 2015 00:03 27ninjabunnies wrote: Lol how is what I posted not caring? At the time I didn't know why I cared so much, but now I'm realizing it was kus I thought she was town at this point in the game and had shared my opinions. So the fact that she just dropped that line of thinking so suddenly served to further my frustration about people not taking my reads seriously. Then D4 I see her posting stuff like this again. On May 31 2015 07:18 27ninjabunnies wrote: Are you dumb? Why would block someone who asked to be blocked?! If he is mafia, he just has his partner do kp instead of him. The whole point of a town rb is to rb mafia from delivering KP. You have failed your job. And I really want to lynch you because you very well might be another mafia RB. Again, shes showing that they could not be partners since she clearly agrees with my thinking about plots' weak as hell blocks. Like the block against bats was super bad, I can't believe anyone would have suddenly thought he might have been scum over everyone else. Finally after all of D4, 27nb finally agrees to sheep my vote, like she's been sheeping my thinking... but ONLY when I switch to Bara! Most of the past 2 day phases 27nb was saying On May 30 2015 05:59 27ninjabunnies wrote: Im not defendng because i have to go to work, and im kinda worn out by this game. If you lynch me, you lynch me, but you are lynching a green check, which is dumb. I've repeatedly said to lynch outside of greens and look into other people outside of blues. but nooooooooooooo. Lynch the greencheck dumb or something along those lines. Suddenly she drops this thinking when she votes on Bara. That was actually a move that got a few of you to vote for her. It was risky as hell when you think about it, why did she do it then? I can't help but note that while 27nb clearly suggests my line of thinking on plots was good, she never was willing to vote him. If plots was town, and I made my case, wouldn't 27nb have kept pushing it with me? Possibly even helping convince more people to my case, kinda like how she did EoD4? Yet she only made that move when I swapped to Bara, even though I clearly still held my thoughts about plots. It never made sense to me that I should target Bara if my case was about plots. I really only made my case about Bara to show that I was willing to think outside of plots being scum. I thought my case on Bara was far weaker then what I've been saying on plots, yet that was the case scum was willing to push. | ||
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Hows that? | ||
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Tell me what Town RB plots is thinking... On June 02 2015 02:45 Tictock wrote: So explain to me SL. How does tryhard Chart making Plots, think Rels is Scum? How does tryhard super tunneled (like so many of us) plots give such bad reasons for RBing Bara? How does ANYONE listen to you N3 and RB Bats? | ||
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Just like I'm doing with plots. This is a two way street. | ||
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Give me thoughts or arguments. Otherwise I will ignore you. Your ego is not up for discussion. | ||
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On June 02 2015 19:05 sicklucker wrote: na your case is just so wild that she would look scummy for supporting it . (and she kind of did to some extent) She did support it, that's my point. But she was only willing to vote with my arguments against Bara, even though she stated similar thoughts to me against plots. | ||
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Let me clarify my question to you. How is it that plots is confirmed town? Also do you honestly believe I'm failing to think here? See my post regarding 27nb's filter on pg 121. | ||
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So help me! Tell me WHY I'm wrong. Not just that I'm wrong. I know i could be wrong, but i want to know why. What is Town RB plots thinking? How does tryhard Chart making Plots, think Rels is Scum? How does tryhard super tunneled (like so many of us) plots give such bad reasons for RBing Bara? How does ANYONE listen to you N3 and RB Bats? | ||
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On June 02 2015 19:27 Barakos wrote: You are tunneling on plots that's not thinking, that's bending posts to your case. Same way you ignored the flaws in your predictions about what would happen N3/D4, same way you managed to see similarities between my game here and my scumgame few months ago, which read totally different... I could go on with that list. I actually never read that game ^.^ I was completely using plots own argument as to why he was reading scum on you and RB'd you. What do you think about that? If plots was mafia it is rb, rb, gf vs a single cop + masons. 3 roles, that render cop useless, out of which 1 doesn't even need to target the cop... no way, anybody lets such a setup get through balance-approval. If you don't believe me, look at the setups of some of the other 13p-games on this site, or maybe read some setup-generator-theroy here, to get an idea, what a balanced setup looks like. Will stop talking to you about this. I admit that I dont really know how setup stuff work, especially when balancing. Is a setup like this: Masons, Cop, RB vs Goon, RB, GF any more likely than what you are suggesting? I honestly don't know when the setup gets wonky like that. Thats why I was so keen on the idea of you being GF. Kus then town was just Cop and Masons, with a normal scum team. | ||
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What if plots used his only real RB on you to allow him to claim Town RB? That looks like a balanced setup according to that link. This is the stuff we need to consider if the setup is weird. | ||
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On June 02 2015 19:36 Tictock wrote: Like, what if it's 2 mafia RBs, who are weak. 1shot RB's? What if plots used his only real RB on you to allow him to claim Town RB? That looks like a balanced setup according to that link. This is the stuff we need to consider if the setup is weird. N/m double checked OP. It doesn't look like RBs can be weak this game. | ||
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I'm trying to understand how to use that site. If I'm reading it right, if our game got rolled into having 2 RBs, either 2 for Mafia or 1 for each side, then that means one of those RB's has to be weak right? It also seems to suggest that a single mason setup is considered the same as an Innocent Child role. That would suggest Bre has to have a partner mason. So following what we know, there are 2 RBs this game, a GF, a Cop, and 2 Masons. That would mean that the likely setup for Scum is (according to that link) T = Goon + Roleblocker + Godfather, Serial Killer (Investigation Immune OR 1-Shot Bulletproof) Am I using that right? | ||
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This setup uses a Daystart Our game used a N0 start, right? | ||
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Thanks for the info though. That helps me out a bit not feeling so lost with setup stuff. @plots Isn't there 2 B's though? So a single T setup. | ||
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I'd still like more responses to those questions I posted. Also Bara. You called my read on you weak since it was based on an old scum game of yours. In case you missed my response. I never read that game, I was just using plots reasoning to RB you as a reason to scum you. I personally dislike meta reads. I thought it was really interesting plots used that as a reason to scum you though. | ||
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On June 02 2015 20:06 Barakos wrote: It's just one B - two B would be rb + oneshot rb. God I hate this stuff. It's actually 3B, but it's a moot point kus that just lands us back at a normal Mafia team. Ok so I guess plots is pretty much confirmed town RB then. | ||
Tictock
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On June 02 2015 20:17 Barakos wrote: yeah, didn't see that response. Saw you mentioning it in one of your cases and since you used that reasoning to scumread me and build a case on it, you kind of adopted it... which you shouldn't do, because if it's not your own logic, it kinda doesn't belong in your case, if you didn't at least check it. Pretty sure I said something in that case about not believing meta reads actually. Still find it odd that 27nb suddenly was willing to sheep my vote after that case though, not the others. Prob over-thinking it, I guess. Like I said, I thought it was the far weaker case.. | ||
Tictock
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So going forward with thinking Bara, plots, and myself as confirmed town. That leaves Dis, SL, and BF. At this point I'd prob go with BF as top scum, could go either way on SL, and Dis last. I'll try and get on reading some of those filters again when/as we move into day phase. | ||
Tictock
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On June 02 2015 20:16 plotspot wrote: I have no idea about this one shot cop or one shot RB thingy, because we don't even have that here. But if CCMMBTT is considered a fair option, than it's exactly what we have so far. No, the B thing is just for Town RB. Mafia setup (+SK) entirely depends on the number of Ts. Your right, I was misreading that still. Really not a fan of these semi-open setups. Maybe I'm just too new here to have a solid feel on it. | ||
Tictock
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Would she be willing to throw a vote on her partner yesturday? I really don't think she would given how close the votes were. They could have swung so easily. | ||
Tictock
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On June 02 2015 18:49 boxerfred wrote: SL, why do you get so hard on me now? In case you're wondering if I am bunnies potential scum ally, here you go: D2: I voted bunnies. My vote would have gotten her lynched (it gave her the majority at this point). Bats switched. D3: I voted bunnies. My vote would help kill a scum member. I didn't switch although the claimed cop gave me an easy excuse to switch (if I was scum a member that is). Disinformation switched though, claiming he "flipped a coin". D4: I unvote bunnies, making no difference at all, not even trying to (since it was literally a last minute change). Barakos is a green check, Tictocks. Only case where he'd be scum would be in a GF + GF + RB scenario. However, you tryharding really makes me reconsider the idea of having two masons by now. I PM'ed the host, it's possible there's only one mason is. I want Plots to RB me this night. If nothing happens, boom I'm scum. If someone dies, oh look I'm not scum and we can go for auto in between SL and Disinformation. If it turns out that there is only one mason in (in breshke), well fuck. But tbh I don't think so. I really want to be confirmed as town. It's between Disinfo and SL (it's not like I said this on D2 and D3). I recalled BF making this post. I figured I'd do the same and ask if a mafia setup of RB, RB, GF would be possible. The only thing we can confirm, however, is that we do not know the # of each role. This game... I REALLY have a hard time believing Bunnies would be willing to vote her partner. So BF is prob not scum since she voted him yesterday. So from that logic, 27nb never voted for plots, myself, or Dis... | ||
Tictock
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She did vote Dis D1, and it was in effort to stay off of the scott wagon. Dis is prob not her partner here either... This... kinda leads me back to plots... I mean it is REALLY unlikely that 27nb would vote Dis like she did D1 if he was her partner. No way does she vote on her 3rd teammate when scott is already looking to get lynched. Similarly D4 the votes are too close and can swing too easily for her to be able to risk voting her partner. Sure I get the idea of bussing, but that wouldn't happen unless scum was already being heavily targeted by town. Somebody... is there a flaw in my thinking here? | ||
Tictock
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On June 03 2015 03:26 disformation wrote: well. bunnies voted me day1 of a constructed connection between boxer and me. boxerfred and sicklucker both voted her d2 and d3. though that could have been attempts to bus... D2 votes could be Bus, your right. D3... nah 27nb was not really the top target. Scum has no reason to bus their partners unless it is highly likely that they are getting lynched that day already. You are right though, the way she targeted you over BF D1 when she "reads" an association between you two is odd. The same kinda odd how she supported my ideas on plots yet never voted him, but was totally willing to jump on Bara. | ||
Tictock
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SL is probably one of the hardest people to read in these newbie games. + Show Spoiler + Another reason I've been suspecting plots. How does he not have that issue? What do you think about my thoughts based on 27nb's filter? Is there much to glean from there? | ||
Tictock
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Tictock im a really easy read your just stubborn... Why else would Bats and Bre pressure you so much D1 to get decent reads on you? | ||
Tictock
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How you state, "this is so obviously true" In a NEWBIE game where there WILL be people to whom it is Not obvious. You really contribute little to nothing in these games. | ||
Tictock
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On June 03 2015 04:02 sicklucker wrote: This whole game does revolve around me currently stop being arrogant. If we dont lynch me town wins. So as a good town player its my job to make this entire game about me Lol, you actually made those 2 statements in the same sentence... | ||
Tictock
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On June 03 2015 06:53 Barakos wrote: I'll go full tinfoilhat right now and propose this: You wanted to give up but weren't allowed, because there is a SK in the game, who hasn't shown up yet. So when you wanted to give up cake was all like "no can do, got 3rd party in the game" and now you need to fight to not get lynched. + Show Spoiler + Also it's funny watching you try again... I'm a dick sometimes, i guess. Bara... I'm so sorry I ever doubted you now, lol. I also like those hats ^.^ | ||
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Welp, I'm gunna need to clear my head and try to come back to this game with fresh thinking. Way too tunneled. | ||
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So he literally used a RB twice on the NK target, then throws away his last chance to use his RB to help town? | ||
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On June 03 2015 07:15 sicklucker wrote: I doubt the mafia is gonna cc. There already mathematically elimated I doubt this changes anything. There just a stubborn newb dragging this out Why do I feel like this is a subtle jab at me... ![]() | ||
Tictock
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On June 03 2015 07:18 Barakos wrote: Since he is in both possible matchups: vote: boxerfred for now... will be probably changed, when boxer says something. ^^ If he doesn't show up, we just lynch him anyways and if the game doesn't end there we get rid of disfo, i guess. I'll go ahead and sheep Bara for now. + Show Spoiler + Pretty sure I should avoid my own thinking atm >.< I want to re-read his filter as I felt like my read on him was fairly weak. I do still read Dis as pretty likely town though, so BF seems like a good lynch. ##Vote: boxerfred | ||
Tictock
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On June 03 2015 07:31 boxerfred wrote: Thanks. SL is fakeclaiming. I was blocked, just as I asked Plots to do. SL delivered the kill. ##vote Sicklucker Crap now I really have to reread your filter... I will say this though. I think SL is more likely to be scum here and not concede. If BF was scum given his play this game I dont think he'd be confident enough to try and keep on with this game... That's probably a little bit WIFOM, so I'm not switching my vote just yet. Least not till I read your filter more BF. | ||
Tictock
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Well, I'll at least do this for now then. ##Unvote | ||
Tictock
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Sorry, didn't mean to insult you or anything. | ||
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On June 03 2015 07:53 Barakos wrote: Tictock: Plots' last post before he announced, he would random his block said, he would block bf. Is it possible, that he tried to randomize, got told, that wasn't possible and then switched to sl without telling us? Totally... Is it likely? I'll give this a 2%-chance, given plots' play the entire game. Maybe he thought, we would figure it out, that he wasn't allowed to random and thought it was funny, to shock us one last time with his... astonishing... townplay, I don't know. But our best bet is to believe he didn't switch without telling and just played one last trick on us, so I'll just go with his last call he actually stated in the thread and believe he blocked bf, therefor sl lies. Else we have to blame plots for prolonging the game for 3 more days, cause that's all it really does. Humm I like your reasoning here Bara... And I still hate how SL posts garbage like this, On June 03 2015 07:57 sicklucker wrote: lol im not even dealing with this now. Boxerfred what your doing here is way out of line. your just trying to lynch me here for stats. If I didnt have a huge streak of never getting mislynched I would just ignore it but ill come back later to own you and teach you a lesson As usual, he only cares about the game when it's his own life at stake or when he can make statements about him being the most important person in the game. Well guess what SL, you just got your wish. Welcome to popularity, where you get all the votes. ##Vote: sicklucker | ||
Tictock
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On June 03 2015 08:57 sicklucker wrote: Like barakos are you this dumb? Like how sick would it be if theres really two mafia left. like holy fuck I think there might be thats the only way this makes any sense On June 03 2015 09:01 sicklucker wrote: but then your another gf. wth screw this. I have given complete logic as to why im confirmed town and never partnered with bunnies. Bf is clearly salty I killed his two mafia team mates and is trying to swag on me even tho he cant win. All you need to know is that I would have conceded. I would not bm bf in a newbie game and swag on him like this in a game where everyones confirmed town but him and me. Thats all you need to know as a veteran of this site I would not embarras myself by wasting 24 hours to lynch a newbie for no reason. As to the bolded statement. SL the only reason I'm still here is because I'm truely hoping you DON'T represent this community. Thankfully with all my talking with Bre before and stuff from last game I know your not typical here. However if I do give you a fair shake and read your post. Wouldn't Dis be likely scum? He's the only one not being scummed atm. If he is mafia he is sitting pretty, no way does he consider conceding right now. | ||
Tictock
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On June 03 2015 09:55 disformation wrote: Um... Since only one of those two could have been roleblocked one is lying. Why would town lie about having been roleblocked? One of those two has to be the last mafia. Unless I am a second mafia roleblocker that has never used his ability in the entire game until now... so sicklucker is 100% refering to boxerfred, who he thinks is not surrendering despite 100% having lost the game. Why 100% win? We lynch either boxerfred and sicklucker today and the other one tomorrow. town wins. Yea I agree today has to be about those 2 kus of that. That made sense about you for a second when I took SL's post seriously in regards to the conceding logic. Just another reason why it's dangerous to do that... | ||
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I'm starting to work through BF's filter but am realizing I prob wont have some fantastic analysis at the end of it. I'll try to keep my conclusions short and to the point. | ||
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It scares me that I'm agreeing with SL, but that was a nice find Dis. Also having reviewed BF's filter, I can totally see him being scum here. I'm willing to put my opinions about SL aside, besides I have been town reading him most of the game. If BF being lynched doesn't end the game I'll likely re-evaluate, but for now. ##Unvote ##Vote: boxerfred Actually decided to re look at how EoD went yesterday before I pushed post. BF is obv scum, I can't believe I missed it before (I really was that tunneled huh?). He tried to hold his vote on 27nb till the last second and have the day end in a draw. It's actually cakes mod post that makes me think he did this as scum believeing ties worked differently here... Not sure how i feel about that actually, but yea BF is scum here. | ||
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On June 03 2015 11:40 Tictock wrote: He tried to hold his vote on 27nb till the last second and have the day end in a draw. It's actually cakes mod post that makes me think he did this as scum believeing ties worked differently here... Not sure how i feel about that actually, but yea BF is scum here. Eh even ignoring the mod post, his switch EoD off of 27nb, and then his first post today seals it enough for me. On June 02 2015 07:32 boxerfred wrote: wow my D2 and D3 votes finally made sense. so now confirm one out of SL/Dis by roleblocking, and we're done. On June 02 2015 07:36 boxerfred wrote: I think the strongest things that speak for me are my votes. Day 2: I voted bunnies, thus making the difference. Check the vote log, when I voted bunnies I swapped the majority onto her. Day 3: same, I voted her till the end, but look who switched: disinfo. Now, when the vote cannot be changed, look at who claims that he proudly voted bunnies: SL. Blocking Dis, hanging SL (or the other way round) should do the trick. He's trying to show that he had been voting 27nb all along and then throw scum on Dis and SL. Yet you really can't make these claims after you try and swap your vote like BF did EoD off of 27nb. That clearly shows you didn't want her lynched. | ||
Tictock
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I'm not dismissing what you said, but honestly at this point. Who the hell knows what the hell plots was thinking with his RB's? I mean, he obv was Town RB but I think I had good reasons to be scumming him given his RB choices all game. I'm not going to use his logic to make my decisions. | ||
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That is such an asshole move SL, I didnt think you'd stoop that low... That really pisses me off | ||
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On June 03 2015 16:43 Rels wrote: When I play werewolf IRL, it's considered BM to push someone to concede. I think it's way cooler to watch the almost confirmed mafia struggle ... and when he wins 1% of the time, the entire group lose its shit and calls him gosu. So I think all your "don't concede=idiot" were BM. And of course PM was rule breaking. A shame 'cause you're super funny and your posts made me laugh all game long )= I agree with this 100%. Btw Rels you were quite impressive for a newbie D1. No idea why plots decided to RB you, I do see why mafia NK'd you. GG everyone. Sorry to plots for the tunnel. I was pretty rough on you all game long. I really just never understood your thinking which made me keep coming back to you as possible scum. Hopefully no hard feelings? I know I wasn't offended by your tunnel on me D3. Special thanks to Bre for helping me break out of my tunnel on SL and see that he was probably town for the rest of the game. | ||
Tictock
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To the "Veterans" who sign up for these newbie games. You need to keep in mind that when you play in these games you are representing your community. You are giving people their first impressions of what it would be like to play on these forums regularly. I know y0su decided to stop playing here after last newbie game (he sent me a PM), and I wouldn't blame BF for doing the same. There were plenty of times that I was super pissed off at BM for just going "Nah not going to read old posts" and other times when I felt like i was just getting ignored + Show Spoiler + granted that was because I was tunneled, but nobody bothered to do anything but tell me I was wrong until I started screaming for people to help me untunnel. I'm not really trying to judge anyone's playstyle here or w/e, but do keep in mind that acting shitty or like you just don't care in these games will scare people away from this community pretty easily. | ||
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On June 03 2015 17:00 Breshke wrote: I want to be a mason every game I was pretty fun wasn't it? I really missed our QT, lol. Like I started treating my coach QT the same way... Thankfully i don't think HTS minded. Which reminds me, special shoutout to HTS for being a kickass coach. I told her right off the bat that I liked to play and figure things out on my own (plus i had Bre to chat with about stuff I didn't understand), but she still was posting stuff in the QT trying to offer any advice she thought would be useful, just in case I came back to read it. Sorry I get so frustrated in that QT near the end of the game HTS. | ||
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On June 04 2015 00:14 plotspot wrote: As soon as he CCed SL, his chances of winning the game is 0% imo. His chances to make the vote between him and Dis, and people going for Dis is about 1%, especially since Tictock, Bara, SL and Dis read him scum. After Dis dies, his chance of getting SL lynched is about 1% too. Originally I thought of sticking to the plan too, but then I saw Tictcok was still not out of his tunnel, despite his claim. He has done said to let it off 3 times, but his huge post where he imagined in detail as to what a scum!plots was doing, just indicates to me that he will come back and scumread me again. I'm not mad about him for doing this; but I have to take this into consideration. If I announced I RB SL to confirm him town, BF was very likely to kill SL, to use his chances with Tictock. He indicated that in his Scum QT. Tictock would be more like WTF? This guy blocked 3 times the NK? Something is wrong here, again. We could have deflected it and point it out to him again why if Barakos is town than I'm Town RB, but since that night he also had a new reason: I was still Mafia RB, who blocked the 3 NK, but made an exception for Barakos because we were sure Breshke was not a Vet and hence doesn't need to be RBed. It's totally low risk to just kill someone without blocking him. I basically had to do it like this, this plan only worked if I had Tictock's support 100%, because it included me still living in some scenarios. If he was still tunneled and believed I was some masterplan mafia, it would have been too dangerous, or at least inconvenient to me again. Plus Barakos and Tictock showed some uncertainty about SL that night. So I thought I'd rather clear him and let him deal with whoever is CCing him. A pity really, I'd love to see a flavour where nothing happened at night. I'm glad to hear your not upset by my tunnel on you, it was a fairly bad one. There were quite a few things that pushed me down that line of thought + Show Spoiler + between the way you danced around your claim, your RB's not making any sense, your tunnel on me at the time, and just a not getting where your head was at all game I wasn't too worried about the situation your talking about here though. I think you were 100% the NK target as Town RB and a play like you are suggesting would have been rather risky for Scum since your RB power gets pretty important at that stage of the game. Course, HAD you blocked BF that last night, you would have confirmed him as mafia. Even my doubts about you would have been challenged if there was no NK. Anyways, nice to hear some of your thoughts post-game as they make much more sense to me now. I still can't believe you decided to block bats because of some random thing SL said though... lol. | ||
Tictock
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On June 04 2015 08:03 batsnacks wrote: thx for hosting a 2hu flavored game cakepie all the small details like ##watch warmly and the loading screen were adorable. Zun would be proud. I'll second this. I'm not into 2hu so most of the flavor and stuff went over my head, but I appreciated the obv effort you were putting in cake. You did a great job putting in flavor and small things throughout the game, like that one vote in (I assume?) Japanese. I'll likely have more thoughts after your postmortem. | ||
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