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Coronavirus and You - Page 358

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Any and all updates regarding the COVID-19 will need a source provided. Please do your part in helping us to keep this thread maintainable and under control.

It is YOUR responsibility to fully read through the sources that you link, and you MUST provide a brief summary explaining what the source is about. Do not expect other people to do the work for you.

Conspiracy theories and fear mongering will absolutely not be tolerated in this thread. Expect harsh mod actions if you try to incite fear needlessly.

This is not a politics thread! You are allowed to post information regarding politics if it's related to the coronavirus, but do NOT discuss politics in here.

Added a disclaimer on page 662. Many need to post better.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
March 22 2021 21:51 GMT
#7141
--- Nuked ---
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
March 22 2021 22:01 GMT
#7142
--- Nuked ---
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6223 Posts
March 22 2021 22:01 GMT
#7143
Bend the curve hasn't been a great strategy for the long term. It works when the population is engaged, and it worked brilliantly early on in the pandemic. The problem is that as time has worn on, it's becoming increasingly hard to care. Lockdowns followed by hold-the-line strategies have worked out better for most places, because simply asking does not reduces cases.

In my province, we're getting around 340k doses of AZ, and we're going to strategically deploy them to ring outbreaks, and target key populations, while keeping the MRNA for age based vaccination, decreasing. Our cases are going up right now, which isn't boding well for avoiding further disruptions to normal life before the end.
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
March 22 2021 22:36 GMT
#7144
On March 23 2021 06:27 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2021 06:04 Mohdoo wrote:
On March 23 2021 05:12 GoTuNk! wrote:
So vaccines work, that's what I wanted to know. Basically we mock anti vaxxers and call them conspiracy theories, rightfuly so; however there is people saying vaccinted people need to continue wearking masks and social distancing, they belong to the same category of non sense and deserve the same mockery.

To add to the issue: With more than 123 million cases, suspected cases of re infection of covid is 30 something. This means people saying restrictions to former sick people are justified, are also crazy conspiracy theorists.

I disagree with you, the idea of perpetual lockdowns until herd inmunity is reached is beyond absurd. I do not care at all about cases, hospital beds (which are not collapsed) or any other metrics, when all vulnerable people have been vaccinated there is 0 excuse to justify lockdowns. This is not only a practical issue, because locking down and ruining healthy people's lives in the off chance the get a virus and a bigger off chance they have some serious complication from it is not justified, but more so because of a fundamental liberty issue.



So long as vaccinated people can spread covid, it is irresponsible for vaccinated people to not wear masks and distance.

Ideally we all lock ourselves inside until we can globally eliminate all infectious disease, lest we risk the off chance that we infect someone.

If you were putting forth something other than your own slight decline in comfort you might have an argument.
But stating that masks are too much is incredibly ridiculous as so many people in eastern countries do that stuff on the regular and nobody ever talks about surgeons during long operations complaining. Or medical personnel for that matter.
Whatever you mean by awkward social distancing, it doesn't sound like you're going crazy due to loneliness though.

It's fine to vent but that's the wrong way man.

Was it so bad wearing that mask so it's worth your father's death?
I don't think so and wear it when visiting family even though I do get headaches.
passive quaranstream fan
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
March 22 2021 22:51 GMT
#7145
On March 23 2021 07:36 Artisreal wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2021 06:27 LegalLord wrote:
On March 23 2021 06:04 Mohdoo wrote:
On March 23 2021 05:12 GoTuNk! wrote:
So vaccines work, that's what I wanted to know. Basically we mock anti vaxxers and call them conspiracy theories, rightfuly so; however there is people saying vaccinted people need to continue wearking masks and social distancing, they belong to the same category of non sense and deserve the same mockery.

To add to the issue: With more than 123 million cases, suspected cases of re infection of covid is 30 something. This means people saying restrictions to former sick people are justified, are also crazy conspiracy theorists.

I disagree with you, the idea of perpetual lockdowns until herd inmunity is reached is beyond absurd. I do not care at all about cases, hospital beds (which are not collapsed) or any other metrics, when all vulnerable people have been vaccinated there is 0 excuse to justify lockdowns. This is not only a practical issue, because locking down and ruining healthy people's lives in the off chance the get a virus and a bigger off chance they have some serious complication from it is not justified, but more so because of a fundamental liberty issue.



So long as vaccinated people can spread covid, it is irresponsible for vaccinated people to not wear masks and distance.

Ideally we all lock ourselves inside until we can globally eliminate all infectious disease, lest we risk the off chance that we infect someone.

If you were putting forth something other than your own slight decline in comfort you might have an argument.
But stating that masks are too much is incredibly ridiculous as so many people in eastern countries do that stuff on the regular and nobody ever talks about surgeons during long operations complaining. Or medical personnel for that matter.
Whatever you mean by awkward social distancing, it doesn't sound like you're going crazy due to loneliness though.

It's fine to vent but that's the wrong way man.

Was it so bad wearing that mask so it's worth your father's death?
I don't think so and wear it when visiting family even though I do get headaches.

Your canned mask spiel is noted, but doesn't really reflect any meaningful view of reality. Seems like just a recycled speech from a year ago that doesn't really apply to a situation where the vaccines are becoming widespread.

There is no medical reason for vaccinated people to have to continue to wear masks and have to live under lockdown conditions. The risk is minimal and the only justification seems to be that it's a good signaling mechanism that masks are still important. Nah, ain't worth locking down for that.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
March 22 2021 22:56 GMT
#7146
--- Nuked ---
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27207 Posts
March 22 2021 23:18 GMT
#7147
I’m more concerned about the upcoming, heavily advertised push for foreign recreational travel down the line.

Considering the strategy has been containment and have the vaccine(s) save the day is it particularly wise to open up in this capacity prior to the endgame being reached? Or if you do allow it for the undoubted morale and economic benefit surely you need mandatory quarantining at each end of a journey at least?
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22476 Posts
March 22 2021 23:41 GMT
#7148
On March 23 2021 08:18 WombaT wrote:
I’m more concerned about the upcoming, heavily advertised push for foreign recreational travel down the line.

Considering the strategy has been containment and have the vaccine(s) save the day is it particularly wise to open up in this capacity prior to the endgame being reached? Or if you do allow it for the undoubted morale and economic benefit surely you need mandatory quarantining at each end of a journey at least?
The quarantine is probably not going to happen because the typical duration of a vacation doesn't mesh well with spending 2 weeks in quarantine on either end.

I expect such a push to happen purely for an economic standpoint of not wanting to lose 2 summers in a row despite it being a massive risk.
Could be supported by quick tests or some form of vaccine pasports, but the latter is going to cause a lot of social problems if people want to go but can't because RNG hasn't had their name up for vaccination yet.

Personally I'm not counting on things 'going back to normal' until past the summer and more like the end of the year.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Slydie
Profile Joined August 2013
1987 Posts
March 22 2021 23:58 GMT
#7149
So everybody "knows" that lockdowns are important and effective, and the tougher they are, the better they are?

I just came over this article, which sites a large number of articles questioning how much impact hard lockdowns really had, and how it was really a giant experiment with little to no scientific basis. I don't think history will be kind with how march 2020 was handled in Europe.
Some quotes:
Comparing weekly mortality in 24 European countries, the findings in this paper suggest that more severe lockdown policies have not been associated with lower mortality. In other words, the lockdowns have not worked as intended.

(About regional lockdowns in Northen Jutland, Denmark): Our analysis shows that while infection levels decreased, they did so before lockdown was effective, and infection numbers also decreased in neighbour municipalities without mandates. Direct spill-over to neighbour municipalities or the simultaneous mass testing do not explain this. Instead, control of infection pockets possibly together with voluntary social behaviour was apparently effective before the mandate, explaining why the infection decline occurred before and in both the mandated and non-mandated areas. The data suggest that efficient infection surveillance and voluntary compliance make full lockdowns unnecessary at least in some circumstances.”

https://www.aier.org/article/lockdowns-do-not-control-the-coronavirus-the-evidence/

I have seen this in practice too, after the initial no-brainers like closing bars, limiting travel and social gatherings, there are diminishing returns for things like closing non-essential businesses. As angry as I am with Spanish over-the-top first lockdown, the country actually managed the 2nd and 3rd waves while keeping both schools, stores and hairdressers open. If you say the mask mandates helped, they didn't really, as the 2nd and 3rd waves also STARTED with the mask mandates in place.

There are also other ways of making sure you don't infect your father than wearing masks. I wish people would stop being so obsessed with covering their face up. We have 43 facial muscles and a brain specifically designed to recognice faces for a reason. Mask are uncomofortable, but the worst is that they make us socially and emotionally blind. We are humans, not Protoss or dogs. I can't way to burn them all and get my life back.
Buff the siegetank
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18866 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-03-23 00:03:31
March 23 2021 00:03 GMT
#7150
That’s a terrible, discredited source.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4429 Posts
March 23 2021 00:28 GMT
#7151
On March 23 2021 09:03 farvacola wrote:
That’s a terrible, discredited source.

If you follow the link it's an amalgamation of 31 study links.
All he is doing is drawing an incredibly basic analysis based on those studies.
If you're claiming these studies are discredited, post proof.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
aseq
Profile Joined January 2003
Netherlands4009 Posts
March 23 2021 00:29 GMT
#7152
I can kind of understand why a big part of the population doesn't care much about the restrictions (anymore). It's easy to liken this to a heavy flu year, and when presented the right numbers, things don't look all that bad. One one-sided argument a populist political leader has been advocating over here is that we're doing all this for a handful of people. About 1k people under 65yo died so far in NL, 80 something % of which had underlying health problems, which leaves about 150 non-old healthy ppl dead. For a year of 'lockdown'! Of course this terrible reasoning and shouldn't lead to lifting restrictions, but I can see people buying this. Too bad hospitals are coping but are still relatively full, and triage and trauma aren't very far apart.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27207 Posts
March 23 2021 00:39 GMT
#7153
On March 23 2021 08:41 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2021 08:18 WombaT wrote:
I’m more concerned about the upcoming, heavily advertised push for foreign recreational travel down the line.

Considering the strategy has been containment and have the vaccine(s) save the day is it particularly wise to open up in this capacity prior to the endgame being reached? Or if you do allow it for the undoubted morale and economic benefit surely you need mandatory quarantining at each end of a journey at least?
The quarantine is probably not going to happen because the typical duration of a vacation doesn't mesh well with spending 2 weeks in quarantine on either end.

I expect such a push to happen purely for an economic standpoint of not wanting to lose 2 summers in a row despite it being a massive risk.
Could be supported by quick tests or some form of vaccine pasports, but the latter is going to cause a lot of social problems if people want to go but can't because RNG hasn't had their name up for vaccination yet.

Personally I'm not counting on things 'going back to normal' until past the summer and more like the end of the year.

It just seems to me a needless risk, but hey people need their foreign holidays...

It would seem one of the remaining potential roadblocks to a return to normality is some intermingling of regional variants and a mutation that renders current vaccines ineffective and then it’s a big reset, worst case scenario.

I think the South are lagging behind even our reopening timetable, which is less ambitious than the U.K, but it’s quite conceivable that many of the denizens of Ireland still won’t be able to enjoy a regular beer with their friends like in the ‘before times’ come at least early summer, but be able to fly out and back from places with close to no restrictions whatsoever.

I think domestic freedom of a summer, or close to it is such a step up from the current state of affairs that really it should be blooming enough.

I’ve known people who’ve taken their own lives due to the effects of lockdown on their livelihoods and subsequently their mental health, provision of mental health support be it formal or informal has been hugely impacted, it’s not been an easy time for many but we’ll have gone through all that and people just have to have their foreign holiday? That can’t be sacced? Or at least require some hoops to jump through?

Anyway I mean it may work out fine and I’m overreacting on this specific point, and if it does then people will have had good experiences and bolstered struggling tourist areas and that’s a net gain, I just do worry that the risks really don’t outweigh that reward on this.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27207 Posts
March 23 2021 00:53 GMT
#7154
On March 23 2021 09:28 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2021 09:03 farvacola wrote:
That’s a terrible, discredited source.

If you follow the link it's an amalgamation of 31 study links.
All he is doing is drawing an incredibly basic analysis based on those studies.
If you're claiming these studies are discredited, post proof.

How do you as a layman disprove 31 separate studies in a manner that would be satisfactory?

From how the preface was worded more as political spiel than some neutral attempt to look at this particular issue, I’d have concerns that the source went looking for studies that backed a base position then crammed as many of them in as could be found.

The language is pretty loaded throughout, in a manner that’s pretty atypical of any attempt to write up aggregation of scientific findings and present said findings.

Doesn’t necessarily mean it’s wrong but many a red flag is before me.

I think there’s plenty of scope to discuss lockdowns vs keeping freedoms and where the cost/benefit in doing so falls and if it’s worth the trade-off, both numerically as well as on some philosophical level.

This seems to be making the case that lockdowns have no appreciable effect at all which just doesn’t seem to pass a basic logical smell test.

'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
March 23 2021 00:59 GMT
#7155
On March 23 2021 09:28 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2021 09:03 farvacola wrote:
That’s a terrible, discredited source.

If you follow the link it's an amalgamation of 31 study links.
All he is doing is drawing an incredibly basic analysis based on those studies.
If you're claiming these studies are discredited, post proof.


That isn't how arguments on data work. When you are the one insisting you know more than experts, it is on you to prove it. Right now, there is no reason to believe a discredited source.
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
March 23 2021 07:41 GMT
#7156
On March 23 2021 07:51 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2021 07:36 Artisreal wrote:
On March 23 2021 06:27 LegalLord wrote:
On March 23 2021 06:04 Mohdoo wrote:
On March 23 2021 05:12 GoTuNk! wrote:
So vaccines work, that's what I wanted to know. Basically we mock anti vaxxers and call them conspiracy theories, rightfuly so; however there is people saying vaccinted people need to continue wearking masks and social distancing, they belong to the same category of non sense and deserve the same mockery.

To add to the issue: With more than 123 million cases, suspected cases of re infection of covid is 30 something. This means people saying restrictions to former sick people are justified, are also crazy conspiracy theorists.

I disagree with you, the idea of perpetual lockdowns until herd inmunity is reached is beyond absurd. I do not care at all about cases, hospital beds (which are not collapsed) or any other metrics, when all vulnerable people have been vaccinated there is 0 excuse to justify lockdowns. This is not only a practical issue, because locking down and ruining healthy people's lives in the off chance the get a virus and a bigger off chance they have some serious complication from it is not justified, but more so because of a fundamental liberty issue.



So long as vaccinated people can spread covid, it is irresponsible for vaccinated people to not wear masks and distance.

Ideally we all lock ourselves inside until we can globally eliminate all infectious disease, lest we risk the off chance that we infect someone.

If you were putting forth something other than your own slight decline in comfort you might have an argument.
But stating that masks are too much is incredibly ridiculous as so many people in eastern countries do that stuff on the regular and nobody ever talks about surgeons during long operations complaining. Or medical personnel for that matter.
Whatever you mean by awkward social distancing, it doesn't sound like you're going crazy due to loneliness though.

It's fine to vent but that's the wrong way man.

Was it so bad wearing that mask so it's worth your father's death?
I don't think so and wear it when visiting family even though I do get headaches.

Your canned mask spiel is noted, but doesn't really reflect any meaningful view of reality. Seems like just a recycled speech from a year ago that doesn't really apply to a situation where the vaccines are becoming widespread.

There is no medical reason for vaccinated people to have to continue to wear masks and have to live under lockdown conditions. The risk is minimal and the only justification seems to be that it's a good signaling mechanism that masks are still important. Nah, ain't worth locking down for that.

What part of you can still spread covid after being vaccinated is unclear to you? Just wear the goddamn mask.

I do agree that a robust system with advantages for vaccinated and tested people so that they can do stuff like go to the gym, pool, shop around would be nice. But unfortunately I don't think we can trust people to not game the system and at least here in Germany the sudden data security scepticism of probably the same people who are using card payments and payback programmes was a bit weird. And forget data security if you want accountability.
passive quaranstream fan
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
March 23 2021 08:23 GMT
#7157
Nah. Vaccine is the last time I’m going to bother with any of the quarantine/mask procedures to any extent beyond required compliance. Especially since the prevalent vaccine in the US is a damn sight better than that AstraZeneca garbage and indeed provides significant immunity from spreading the disease.

Some people think we have to continue to live under quarantine for another year “just to be safe” after the threat has been quite thoroughly been mitigated. I have little sympathy for that position or the vapid moralizing that accompanies it. It’s certainly not backed by any meaningful rationale beyond “but you might infect those elderly people that were first to be vaccinated anyways!”
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
March 23 2021 08:57 GMT
#7158
I mean, nobody argues that being careful equals a complete lockdown but you.
passive quaranstream fan
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8760 Posts
March 23 2021 10:57 GMT
#7159
AZ garbage guys. LL last authority on this, forget FDA, forget EMA and all the other studies showing the opposite. the UK basically going all in on garbage! ^_^

for a change, I kinda like what our government in Austria is trying to do - regional lockdowns based on how infection/incidence rates etc. you cross a threshold, you go into lockdown. basic precautions like ffp2 masks in shops remain across the board, but in Vorarlberg for example coffee shops and restaurants can open and some do, and some vaccinated people enjoy sitting alone in there lol

the problem is that the national government has achieved the impossible, their terrible messaging and then crumbling under the pressure of reality and/or special interest groups (tourism!) split public opinion into 3 parts. one third wishes for stricter lockdowns, one wants to open fully, and another is kinda in the middle lol.

then you have average people mixed in with idiots/right wingers and conspiracy nuts using their new found time at home to poison their minds on social media and going to anti mask and anti lockdown protests fuelled by idiocy and fear of a dictatorship. tu felix Austria indeed!
Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
Silvanel
Profile Blog Joined March 2003
Poland4768 Posts
March 23 2021 11:08 GMT
#7160
Poland tried regional restrcitions/lockdowns but it didnt work out. However our COVID related policies are mess, so maybe it will work out for other countries.
Pathetic Greta hater.
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