Huge activity disclaimer though.
Liquidmania Qualifier #2
Forum Index > TL Mafia |
Hapahauli
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Huge activity disclaimer though. | ||
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##Vote: JustAnotherTownie How's it going Damdred? | ||
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##Vote LightningStrike | ||
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Don't take it personally LS. I'm just voting for your execution. | ||
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On January 16 2017 03:10 LightningStrike wrote: TBH though if Damdred keeps pushing all of Day 1 and thinks I scum then he pretty much will claim scum just fyi since he normally can read me well. Damdred, is this accurate? | ||
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It's like I have a knot within a knot on another knot. | ||
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On January 16 2017 03:22 Vivax wrote: So you're trying to remodel yourself into a rubberband? I was mostly alluding to you being psychologically tense though. I don't think I"m psychologically tense. However, there are a lot of mixed emotions coming back and playing my first game in a year and a half. That feeling of constantly looking forward to the next new post is nostalgic. I also know in the back of my mind how much I burned out from playing, and that I'm going to to have to manage my compulsive posting tendencies much better this game. | ||
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On January 16 2017 03:27 Vivax wrote: Your posts give me the impression that you sit in front of the computer screen with an attitude like "alright, I'm here, I need to do something, fucking give me something to do already". Bingo. I don't think that's tense though. It's a well-established part of my game to get people talking, even if I have to force the shit out of things. I found that sort of scummy but I'm still ruminating on it. I'll just keep observing for now ![]() Why scummy? Cause as scum posting early you'd be like. "What? Now I'm here to put in effort I don't have to actually put in and nobody's here?" and then you jump at things in a bit of an exaggerated manner to compensate for that. You can think what you like, but you know the solution to reading me is pretty simple. Either I keep up with my try-harding (and I'm town), or my activity drops off like a cliff (and I'm mafia). I'm self-aware of this tell for sure, but I haven't been able to fix it. | ||
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On January 16 2017 03:27 Vivax wrote: Your posts give me the impression that you sit in front of the computer screen with an attitude like "alright, I'm here, I need to do something, fucking give me something to do already". I found that sort of scummy but I'm still ruminating on it. I'll just keep observing for now ![]() Why scummy? Cause as scum posting early you'd be like. "What? Now I'm here to put in effort I don't have to actually put in and nobody's here?" and then you jump at things in a bit of an exaggerated manner to compensate for that. Actually, I find this analysis pretty weird, as well as the timing of it. Your posts give me the impression that you sit in front of the computer screen with an attitude like "alright, I'm here, I need to do something, fucking give me something to do already". I don't understand why this is a mafia tell. What makes it more likely to come from mafia then town? Also, what does the bolded thought process make more sense with: Town-Hapa or Mafia-Hapa? I found that sort of scummy but I'm still ruminating on it. I'll just keep observing for now ![]() It's pointless to bring it up if you have no conclusion about it. "I found that sort of kind of maybe possibly scummy but don't hold me accountable for it because I'm still thinking" isn't a very good or townie thought process. Why scummy? Cause as scum posting early you'd be like. "What? Now I'm here to put in effort I don't have to actually put in and nobody's here?" and then you jump at things in a bit of an exaggerated manner to compensate for that. This doesn't make much sense to me. What about my play is exaggerated? Any posts in particular? It's just a very weird adjective to be using when all early-game banter is inherently forced. ##Vote Vivax | ||
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On January 16 2017 03:41 LightningStrike wrote: I think Vivax might be town for his questioning onto Hapa or at least trying to draw a conclusion with his posts towards Hapa. Not really. If Vivax just came out and said: "How hapa is behaving is scummy" - I'd be totally OK with that. But he goes: On January 16 2017 03:27 Vivax wrote: ... I found that sort of scummy but I'm still ruminating on it. I'll just keep observing for now ![]() ... Which is very "ewwww". | ||
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On January 16 2017 03:51 Vivax wrote: whoa Hapa coming out with the big guns =O. Why so quick to jump the gun here? Seems a bit overreactive. Why not? I think what you did is scummy. I'm calling it out. | ||
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I think "x" is mafia because "reasons." I think "post" is scummy because "reasons." This was not the thought process here. On January 16 2017 03:27 Vivax wrote: ... I found that sort of scummy but I'm still ruminating on it. I'll just keep observing for now ![]() ... This isn't straightforward. You find what I was doing "sort of scummy", but immediately discredit your own observation by stating that "you're still ruminating." This very round-about thought process is scummy. | ||
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Why do you like that Vivax drew his conclusion if you thought it was weird? | ||
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On January 16 2017 04:12 Vivax wrote: Nah it just feels too early for me to jump to definite conclusions based on a single observation. Your attitude back then could also be explained from a townie point of view, and ultimately I'm not going to make a decision on your alignment just based on that single point as I don't feel it already warrants a scumread. You looked pretty cramped and I explained why I thought it was slightly more likely to come from scum. Or in a nutshell: I don't reason in absolutes. And I don't think you are right that only town reasons in absolutes. I can mention points that catch my interest without them necessarily leading to a confident conclusion. You're missing my point. "X post is scummy" isn't absolute reasoning. I don't care about what the reasoning is. The point is that the statement is direct. The statement is clear. It has a straightforward objective. Town have no reason to hide, and every reason to communicate clearly about their intentions. There's very little point in announcing "this post may be suspicious". It's indirect. It is unclear. What exactly is the objective of announcing something you aren't sure about? On January 16 2017 04:16 Vivax wrote: My turn: Why ask me about my meta read on you if the jist of all your points put together is that I discredited my own point? I don't think the meta point would have led to any good conversation. I'd rather you address the part of your post I considered scummy than something I considered more non-alignment indicative. | ||
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On January 16 2017 04:34 Holyflare wrote: I liked the process of reading what you were doing and making a remark on how it affected his thought on you. It was remarkably high level compared to what I'm used to seeing recently. So do you find Vivax's post weird for the reason I posted out? Ot because it is higher-level than what you're used to seeing? Or something else? | ||
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On January 16 2017 04:22 Damdred wrote: It is interesting as a side note that hapa was interested enough to ask me a question about ls reading but just disnt care enough to respond to me answering (feelings hurt). Really I did like that vivax had a sort of point he wanted to drive home. I disagree with him though. I liked hapa offensive capabilities but I sort of feel like it was misplaced it felt like. Fight seems off to me. There is nothing to discuss about you reading LS. At some point in this game, you'll make a read on him, and I'll judge for myself whether it makes sense or not. I just need to know what expectations I should have. On January 16 2017 04:32 LightningStrike wrote: I agree on the last portion. Also I not important to Hapa apparently lol. You're always welcome to scum-slip so I can tunnel you into the ground for the next 48 hours or so. | ||
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On January 16 2017 05:14 Vivax wrote: Town has no reason to hide et cetera is just an empty phrase in this context. A truism that everyone will agree with while unrelated to the context, as I hid nothing. Smells a bit like a rhetorical trick where you mix statements nobody can disagree with into the rest of the (debatable) argumentation. My objective was to point out your attitude in the thread, which I did. And argue why it could come from scum, which I did. But my objective is also to not make a decision too early based on too little. And I believe it is too little on its own to outright call you scum for it. So I still don't know what point you are trying to make besides that I should reason in absolutes as town. Is the point now that I tried to hide something? No additional points. That's fair. ##Unvote Your meta question just seems out of place to me. I literally have no idea why I should apply meta when I'm just having a conversation with someone scumreading me. So I'm wondering how it made it into your argumentation, which I still don't see explained. Maybe now you think that it's not important. But it's important to know what you were thinking at the time that you wrote that. At the exact moment I posted the meta thing, my though process was "why is Vivax using a thought process that I only really have as town to call me suspicious?" Which morphed into... "wait... is Vivax even calling me suspicious", and then followed "huh. what is even the point of that post?" I post what I think and refine my arguments over time. When I posted my followup vote, I thought the last two statements made for a better case than the first, since the first is just a very biased viewpoint of my own meta. | ||
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On January 16 2017 05:16 Damdred wrote: Here is the thing hapa I already have a pretty solid read on me currently. And that he is probably town at this point moving forward. How did I get here? Why thank you for asking! You see it starts with me having bad reasons that are correct. LS makes a meta point about my play and how I react to him, ( ie of I legit push him as scum and he flips town im scum as I read him like 100%). Town point. States things that are clear as day at points even jokes. Town point (really lacks much of this as scum). And seems to be able to give ok if not lower thought process on current events. So he's just town. And that went on longer than I wanted Okay. Is this a case you would make on other townies, or is there something meta-specific here about LS? How confident is this read, scale of 1 to 10? | ||
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On January 16 2017 05:25 Vivax wrote: I could use some feedback on the content of the whole discussion. Especially from HF cause he's been too neutral for my taste so far. Agree here. Damdred responded to events well. Not much to say about LS. Non-alignment indicative. I really dislike having to post an opinion on Hapa at this point cause it's always hard to seem credible/unbiased when being attacked, but the first oddity I noticed is the way he went about it. Is it townie that you instantly make a case (with that out of place question about meta, I might add) with questions mixed in it that you could simply have asked beforehand? My approach to the early-game is to throw around votes early and ask questions later, because why not? I've found I get more thread discussion out of forced votes than questioning. Were this 24 hours in the game, I probably would have asked you a ton of questions before voting. | ||
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Yes. #1 On January 16 2017 04:07 Holyflare wrote: I like that vivax drew his conclusion, I like that hapa called it weird because I felt the same. That is all. #2 On January 16 2017 04:34 Holyflare wrote: I liked the process of reading what you were doing and making a remark on how it affected his thought on you. It was remarkably high level compared to what I'm used to seeing recently. #2 is not a satisfying explanation of #1. It does not make much sense how HF can consider something "weird", yet "remarkably high level". | ||
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On Holyflare, I think your analysis is way too speculative. For example, even marv has demotivated scum-games. The goal right now isn't to have objective analysis. It is to make people talk so you have enough information to objectively analyze. | ||
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On January 16 2017 08:05 Holyflare wrote: ????????????????? Because town people generally care about what they think and have thought 2 hours previously. Because town people don't usually forget the person they thought was weird/scummy. Because town people don't try and retroactively defend themselves with lies when their answer is I forgot. Because town don't change their entire story to stop someone scum reading them. Because town don't then realise they've been caught out lying and try to retroactively undo their lie AGAIN! Wtf hapa it's not that hard to understand??? Because... On January 16 2017 07:43 Damdred wrote: Eh I see where the disconect is, my posting implies that hi had an earlier bad feeling and I don't talk about hapa in that posting. Ehhhhh, I can see it and understand your point. It's a mistake on my part, maybe I meant to type hhapa there instead of vivax. I'm not sure what I was thinking or if i wwa just in a hurry. Unfortunate but I doubt you believe my explanation anyway. ...the bolded makes sense, and is consistent with some other name typos that Damdred has made over the last 2 hours. (See: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=6#110) You switch out "vivax" for "hapa" there, and Damdred's thought process is entirely consistent. I believe the typo, or at the very least, I believe that the typo is equally likely to Damdred fucking up as mafia. | ||
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On January 16 2017 09:35 Holyflare wrote: If you can read it like this after reading the last 5 or so posts on the last page where he specifically responds to my case and acknowledges the points then you must be mafia. That's such a ridiculous defense on a person that doesn't even need defending and if it was truly an error on his part could quite easily vindicate himself later. The typos in this post you've linked are incredibly obvious phone auto corrects, for example, the name ls is extremely close to the letters M and E. I don't think the letters V I V A X are close to H A P A in the slightest and in no way, shape or form would it ever be auto corrected to switch around. Furthermore, to compound on your bull shittery, he mentions both your name and vivax as two separate paragraphs and points in his post. Two separate matters. It's not a typo at all and in fact is quite clearly talking about two people instead of "mistaking" the names. If it was a mistake it would be one paragraph. I've read your interaction with Damdred probably 5 times over the last two hours. I still don't see what you're getting at. The entire interaction makes perfect sense if Damdred makes a typo and doesn't understand that he made a mistake while answering your question. I've been in his position as town. Since you dropped Damdred, this is no longer an issue however. On January 16 2017 09:53 Holyflare wrote: I think hapa can absolutely be mafia. His vivax fight/unvote felt forced especially since in one of his posts his whole vivax criticism is that vivax is posting what's on his mind and it's weak accusations but then says we should be posting everything we can. His "suspicion" on me for what was blatantly troll posts but mimicry of what vivax was saying into nothing further about me (no follow up now I've posted). His drive by comments and non participation into really out of the blue defence based on clear phone auto corrects is really odd when he likes pressure being put on people. His whole push just takes the wind out of my sails and shuts down a discussion avenue. Weird post even if it's what he thinks. + Show Spoiler + but his words are nice and he could just as easily be town but shhhhh that's no fun The Vivax fight was absolutely forced. I'd 100000x force a fight while I'm around than just banter about pointless things. Your posts were not "blatantly troll posts" aside from the third. As for me "shutting down discussion" - I gave you 2 hours with Damdred. I didn't think it was going anywhere, so I chimed in with my actual thoughts on the matter. If I thought your case had promise, I would have pressured Damdred. I'll gladly participate in cases I feel I have to force. But I'm not going to completely fake pressure on someone. As for asking Vivax and LS to discuss - what's wrong with that? | ||
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On January 16 2017 10:14 Damdred wrote: ... I think outside that hapa should tell us how he reads vivax now. And how he actually reads the interchange between hf and myself. ... I read Vivax as town. He provided a very calm and objective breakdown of what was happening while I was questioning him, and was critically thinking of things at a much deeper level than I'd expect "mafia Vivax" to do. I read the interchange between you and hf as "meh." When HF started going off on you, I read it, understood the contradiction, but had the opposite gut feel about it. I read the interaction a couple of times to understand the feel, and reached the conclusion that Damdred was answering like he didn't realize he made a mistake. I have no significant reads on either you or HF. | ||
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On January 16 2017 10:37 Holyflare wrote: I don't have a problem with forcing a fight because that's what I do a lot of the time. Your fight seemed unnecessarily extended and since it was forced because you wanted more discussion about things you were quite dismissive when new points arose (damdred's ls points). I was dismissive about Damdred's LS points, because I was talking with Vivax at that moment and didn't want to distract myself. I do not multitask well. I also didn't consider it worth talking about Damdred's LS points, because it is essentially a meta-argument that I have to argue when I'm not familiar with LS's meta. And yes, the Vivax argument was unnecessarily extended. That is intended. I consider it much better to back off later than earlier. May as well try and squeeze out every drop from the interaction. It's incongruous to want more discussion but not be that interested when it occurs. To add to that you were quite keen to sit back and do nothing with regards to damdred and myself for quite a while only to give no opinion in regards to anything alignment indicative. There was no opinion because your argument did not sit well with me. Also, I'm very hesitant at giving out reads unless I think someone is either mafia or has done something suspicious. I have been more forthcoming with early-game town reads in the past, but I think they encourage me to make premature, shitty, and unnecessarily uninformed reads. Basically you want discussion but are shutting down discussion topics and not weighing in yourself. According to you, I "shut down" two discussion topics in this game: 1) Damdred's read on LS. I'm not sure how I "shut that down." I asked Damdred 2 questions, and then I stopped asking him questions. Where is the part where I shut it down? 2).Your tunnel on Damdred. I didn't agree with your case, and I'm not going to lie about finding him suspicious. I asked LS and Vivax after the fact to chime in precisely because I wanted to hear more on the topic. Just because a discussion doesn't go your way, doesn't mean it is shut down. What do we know about what you think of people currently? Absolutely nothing. Of course, because I don't have any concrete conclusions, Vivax aside. | ||
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On January 16 2017 10:40 Holyflare wrote: And the ls/vivax thing is strange because you want their thoughts on something: 1) you are quite resolute in calling pointless 2) you haven't given your thoughts on any person so it seems like you're fobbing off that job to them. How so? 1) Did I call your case "pointless"? Disagreeing with your case does not mean that I think the entire line of discussion is pointless. 2) I thought it was inferred that dropping my vote off Vivax = that I thought Vivax was townie. As for "fobbing off the job" to LS and Vivax, I clearly gave my thoughts on what I thought of your case beforehand. The conclusion was that the case didn't make much sense to me, and was harping on a non-alignment indicative thing. I'm not going to draw a conclusion from your case and call Damdred town, because that doesn't make a lick of sense. | ||
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On January 16 2017 10:48 Holyflare wrote: I'm just going to wait for the other half of the game to participate instead. There's only so much shit you can give, and only so much conversation you want to start, when 4-5 people have even bothered to check the thread. | ||
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On January 16 2017 07:43 Holyflare wrote: And hapa you can't just drive by drop a comment and peace out after I've stepped up. Gotta do that hardcore commitment you so badly wanted at the start now. | ||
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Good night folks, hopefully we get some more to join tomorrow morning. | ||
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Not all "bull shit", but certainly exaggerated. I took something that I thought was scummy (but not necessary lynchable) and played it up to get a reaction from Vivax. The reasons I listed are accurate. But the reason why I reacted in the way I reacted (vote, tunnel, etc) was because it was early game and I wanted to bait a reaction. I would have reacted very differently if that came up... now for example. "Forced" = "Bullshit" We are clearly defining the former differently. | ||
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On January 16 2017 05:39 Damdred wrote: It's something meta specific to ls. He's incredibly lazy, isn't really confrontational and lays super low as scum. He can get past these of his partner is someone he lives and pushed his buttons and rides him hard. I would give it an 7-8 atm. Probably halfway through the day I can lock in depending. But some nice meta things on ls. Damdred, update me on this. Right now, I'm seeing the bolded from LS. | ||
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On January 17 2017 00:58 Alakaslam wrote: Ya! HF is looking like a badass by running around discrediting people till he lynches them, and if they was town it's their fault for being bad, if scum it is because he is badass Hapa running around being high tier, and generally sheepable and conftown IMSO. Damdred and LS saying stuff that I think people putting too much stock in, u coming in here and being generally wise but also making too much of HF and Hapa, with regard to H8 HF just because he sez stuff that is aggro How am I sheepable when the only public read I've stuck with is a town read on Vivax? | ||
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Why are you reading me as town? Because that's the opposite conclusion that everyone else has reached. I've had a pretty awkward start to Day 1 so far, and the "Hapa conf town" thing is as if you didn't read the thread and already know my alignment. | ||
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On January 17 2017 01:07 Damdred wrote: I actually see differently after I looked at his filter and read the thread. Yeah hes not super in tune yet with his reads being present but hes going out of his way to find examples of previous games where certain situations have occured. Mainly dealing with me, but I think its a good sign that he is doing things like that. I think it shows the opposite of being lazy, not many people would bother to comb throughg ames to find examples of what hes talking about. Wouldn't lynch today at all, but i think hes pretty towny currently. I think many people would. Is that just a standard for LS? | ||
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New line of questioning. Rels - when you were reading the thread this morning, at what point in your readthrough did you start reading LS as mafia? | ||
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1) On January 16 2017 09:43 Damdred wrote: Eh I'm partial to people defending me tbh. I think it's it's non point though both ways as I have no reason to lie about mistaking something. Maybe hapa could be scum but I sont think it makes him scum here. 2) On January 16 2017 09:47 Damdred wrote: Eh if like to talk some actually hf. I don't like hapa post for a couple reasons. One I don't want to talk about as you kinda covered it. But he soft defended me and I hate soft defends. Like I think its a great mafia thing to do asbit leaves his options open which he does. 3) On January 16 2017 10:14 Damdred wrote: Ok fine with family time so I can make an actual good response. Vivax was pretty t owny from his first few posts (to this point). That was why the fight originally felt a bit strange and off to me, it seemed like hapa was going after vivax for no real reason except to have things to do I didn't question the unvotw because I felt like vivax was only getting more towny aas it went. (Vivax only real meh moment was his read on you). So it felt like at the time hapa just realized vivax was making sense to me. I think outside that hapa should tell us how he reads vivax now. And how he actually reads the interchange between hf and myself. You make all three of these posts last night basically back to back to back. - In post 1, you say you are "partial" to people defending you, which implies that you liked my defense of you. You ultimately conclude that my posting was at the very least non-alignment indicative. - In post 2, merely 4 minutes later, this you call me mafia for the same reasons as in post 1. - In post 3, 20 minutes later, you talk about me a ton, but waffle between calling my actions scummy and calling them excusable. I don't understand this train of thought at all. | ||
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On January 17 2017 01:07 Alakaslam wrote: Because for once, you are someone who has used reason over emotion here. This is just a generalization. What posts in particular involve "reason"? Holyflare and Vivax posted a ton too - is there not "reason over emotion" in their filters? | ||
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I'm not following the Rels stuff, particularly point #2 in your summary. Can you go in more detail? | ||
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On January 17 2017 01:55 Rels wrote: Don't see how that's scummy. Townie being unsure, especially early game, is not weird Discrepancy between Post 1 and 2 could absolutely be scummy. Though, I think Damdred's explanation is fine. | ||
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On January 17 2017 01:56 Rels wrote: Hapa I might be tunneled. But again all of these questions seem pointless to me. They look good but won't add anything meaningful. Not the Vivax one, but the other two What I'm ultimately trying to get at with Damdred, is that I feel he's been a non-entity this game. The contributions he has made have not been of his own volition, but have been from his responses to people questioning him. The only thing he's been vocal about is a read on lightning strike (which he made in response to my various lines of questioning during the game). Other than that, his read on me last night sort of morphs and changes with whatever HolyFlare was posting at the time. The question on you was because I was looking into Vivax's case, which still doesn't make much sense to me. | ||
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On January 17 2017 02:01 Holyflare wrote: Do you think mafia simply forget what they've posted after 4 minutes and contradict themselves? I think it's plausible for mafia to passively agree with whatever an aggressive vocal player (you) is saying in the thread at the very moment. | ||
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The closest thing I have to a scumread is Slam, but I'm very wary of the lynchbait factor there. | ||
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On January 17 2017 04:24 Vivax wrote: I'm warming up to the idea of Damdred being scum, for one really simple reason: There's no bite, no desire to find scum or push the game forward. I have yet to see him make some good observation that's aimed at catching someone. Overall he looks waaaay to peaceful. Only townreads. And I wouldn't even complain that he doesn't have scumreads, but I believe he didn't even try to find one, when I look at his filter. This is what I was getting at earlier, but much more articulate. | ||
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Slam's opening was bad, but I liked the subsequent posts. He makes observations that are matter-of-fact and very self-aware. There's also a huge lynchbait factor here. In his own words, Slam is not a good communicator regardless of alignment. Onegu's vote on Slam is strange and scummy. I can't tell if it's policy, legitimate suspicion, or something in between. Slam has also been talking and interacting with the thread, and I don't like Onegu coming in and just shitting on his first 4 posts without even attempting to engage him. Damdred for the posts above. | ||
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I only have one vote, so I'll put it here. At the end of the day, I expect more from town-Damdred. If I could vote both players, I would. | ||
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On January 17 2017 05:38 Damdred wrote: Well as long as my death is peaceful. Honestly i probably just won't be here for lynch tomorrow so if we majority on me before I leave I kind of just have to accept it now. I basically have frmo now until 9 pm eastern to do things then i might dissapear until after lynch. Sadly not to have sex with my wife for 17 hours straight :'(. I'll try to find something thats interesting to me but its just not to interesting yet in thread i guess. You don't have any time at all whatsoever between now and lynch? | ||
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On January 17 2017 06:15 Damdred wrote: The only thing that is even remotely interesting to me is Onegu read on slam honestly. I thought slam said a couple of things that I could see come from town. Which makes his read of null but voting nad not commenting on anything in the thread else bad to me. Especially for Onegu. Besides that I am wafly on what I think, nothing else has piqued me right now. Is that all you got, or are you still actively reading? | ||
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On January 17 2017 07:07 Rels wrote: And this is weird. What were you "private" reads ? Nothing. I was just stating how the only read that I had on record in the thread was the Vivax one. | ||
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It's almost 9 and Damdred isn't back and still hasn't done anything. I guess I could feel good lynching him based on the uselessness. But it isn't satisfying by any means. It doesn't feel like something like this has a good chance of hitting mafia. Maybe going over some meta is the answer. Idunno. Expect a wall of text in the next hour or so. | ||
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##Unvote while I re-read again for the whateverth time. | ||
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On January 17 2017 11:01 Hapahauli wrote: ##Vote Holyflare I'll be up for a few hours to discuss this. The gist of this is the following: On January 17 2017 05:08 Holyflare wrote: I'm at a bit of an impasse because I think there could actually be too many scum :D On January 17 2017 05:14 Holyflare wrote: I'm really, really, really not a fan of LS since he's done shit all and then went on and on about how he NEEDED damdred's read on me/hapa to do anything and then just said fair enough and did absolutely nothing when damdred did post something relevant then I hate that damdred/rels KEEP making these lazy meta ls reads that aren't even true and then when presented with new information that should update their reads they don't even bother looking into it or fact checking it and damdred is playing lazzyyyy then I hate onegu's "catch up" but I don't know if that's extreme bias because I despise a million times over people that do page by page catch ups instead of just a summary but regardless his catch up that he's done so far is shit then there's Hapa who is seemingly calling out Onegu/damdred and even voting Damdred for EXACTLY what he was criticised of doing (having no reads, not pushing much) but Hapa doesn't acknowledge that LS has said that Damdred has never hard town read LS as mafia damdred: which I think I hate by far the most Holyflare is clearly suspicious of a lot of people, and in his mind has good reasons to be suspicious of a lot of people. He hasn't done anything other than dangle this out in thread, and plop his vote somewhat reluctantly on Damdred. On January 17 2017 05:26 Holyflare wrote: I'm just gonna sit on damdred and see where it goes, it's majority shit lynch anyway. It does not make a lot of sense for a player as aggressive as town-Holyflare to be so paralyzed by his multitude of scumreads that he doesn't act on them. Over today, he's just dangling his reads out there and waiting for someone to pick them up. His vote on Damdred is pretty pathetic, considering the list of suspicions he has. "But Hapa, aren't you doing this? Isn't everyone sort of paralyzed this game?" Yes, but for different reasons. A lot of players in this game are having a hard time finding any scum-reads. I mentioned earlier that I've had an extremely hard time finding reasons to call people mafia. Damdred as well. Look at LightningStrike's wafflefest. Vivax misreads things, thinks about them, realizes they could come from town, then stops pushing them. I suspect many other townies are in the same boat. Holyflare is in a very different position. It does not make sense for a guy struggling to find townies to struggle to find a place for his vote. | ||
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15 hours is enough time to finish Day 1 strong. @ Rels Your wrong about my alignment, but your suspicions are right in a sense. I'm playing badly as town, and I'm going about this game the very, very wrong way. I was lost, so I was trying to ask silly stupid questions to get a lead. That's not how you get leads. Game will be pushed forward, starting now. On January 17 2017 07:31 Rels wrote: hapa how would you rate your D1 scum lynching skill ? I have a good track record, albeit in more active towns. It's been a while since I've had my vote in the wrong place as town on Day 1. I'm not always there early on Day 1, but I'm there by the end of it. | ||
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I'll look at Rels. My impression of his play up till now was that I was disagreeing with a lot of what he said, but nothing he said was suspicious. | ||
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On January 17 2017 13:59 Onegu wrote: I have seen town HF have so many scum reads it was dumb. And I have seen town HF have very few scumreads day 1. That's not really the point. Does town-HF have that many scum reads (most of whom were active in the thread), and instead plop his vote on Damdred to "see where it goes"? His vote seems very half-hearted and uninterested, which is weird as shit considering how many people he was actually suspicious of. You'd think he'd find a target to passionately go after. I really just dont try to read him until later in the game. My thoughts is if he is town scum have to shoot him because he will figure things out eventually. And if he is scum is reads later in the game wont make as much sense and he will still be alive which under normal circumstances he wont. I have been in games where scum left him alive until mylo and he solved the game. It just takes time for me to form a read I am comfortable with on him. Just try. It's not that hard. | ||
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Nothing Holyflare has said changes my mind. If the best he can do today is an OMGUS case against me, he should hang. More specifically on this in a bit. On Rels My impression of his filter was that he was tunneled. Not that he was mafia. I really have no sense (like Onegu and Slam) that his reads are forced and whatnot. While his post "wanting to read Onegu town" was strange, I don't think that's independently enough to lynch him. On Slam On January 17 2017 22:24 Rels wrote: that's also waht I expect from Slam and what's missing from him. THere is no read, only no-content posts. It's like he's forcing himself to have no read. And he's lecturing people about it, saying stuff like "if you think I'm scum for having no scumreads you're bad". Weird mix of having no opinion, seemlingly having fun, but still teaching people about the game I don't think this makes him mafia. I spent a lot of time meta-ing him last night in drawing the conclusion that I did to vote Holyflare. His two most recent scum-games are Outlaw Mini and Mini Down Under 3. The former is quite useful, the latter he never really has any activity (and therefore not much to draw from it). http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/500627-outlaw-mini-mafia?user=Alakaslam Mafia Slam in "Outlaw" is very Bipolar. He has two moods: "TROLLY CHUZPAZI" (or however you pronounce that) and one-lined jabs at people calling them suspicious or mafia. There's actually very little emotionally in the middle of those two "modes". You'll notice he's perfectly capable of calling people suspicious and having reads as mafia. His town games are noticeably different. He has a lot of moments of introspection, self-awareness, good humor, and even "coaching" other players. I see a lot more of town-Slam so far than mafia-Slam. | ||
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a) You took a quote from Rayn describing my play from a game where I was a 3rd party on day 1 when I was actively looking for mafia and for all purposes town. I got lynched in that game on Day 2 when my objectives changed and therefore I stopped giving a shit about the game. b) I don't think you realize just how bad my game is as mafia. c) "All of Hapa's stuff is forced" is just some neublous general observation that I can't even address because there isn't any clarity to it. What is forced? This is a game in which I'm trying whatever I can to get people to talk, and no shit something like that will sound forced and manufactured, because it is. d) "Only scum say their play is forced and manufactured" is just a shit general tell, that you've probably just seen one mafia do and therefore assume that only mafia do it. You clearly cared enough about my meta to look into that Rayn post. Why not look into my last town game? Where I make some forced case on someone (DarthPunk) early in the game and get tunneled a bunch for it early. | ||
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They are just useless lazy cases that give no one ANY evidence for why we should lynch them. Whether you consider something "forced" or not is completely subjective, unless you give actual evidence. "Herp derp, so and so's posting is forced, ergo he's mafia" gives nothing to ANYONE. If that's the standard that this town will have for finding mafia, we will lose, because it provides perfect cover for people to be 1000000% useless. | ||
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It seems like Slam had an unusually high standard of posting last game as town. That's all that is. | ||
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On January 17 2017 18:07 Holyflare wrote: I'll draw you a pretty picture of where I'm at when I finish work. Hapa how come you think I'm mafia when my list of potential mafia are everyone you've been calling out? Ls, you've said he starts to fit damdred's meta of being lazy but never follow that up further and "at a stretch" he's not even in your list of, now 3, mafia suspects. You wanted to lynch damdred for what reason? That he's playing the same as you and that's it? Onegu? Not doing anything? Me? Not pushing stuff? This list of people is incredibly superficial and you have no actual reasons, despite there being ACTUAL reasons to scum read these people or town read them. Missing the point. Me and a lot of other people this game have had problems finding suspicious people. Ergo, lynch lurkers. You apparently think everyone is mafia. Ergo... lynch lurkers? Very much not the same. I and others have reached my conclusions based on how lost we have felt with the game. You are seemingly sitting on a trove of information and leads and are not doing anything wiht them. Ergo, mafia. Damdred there's a tonne to weigh up. Him being demotivated, not doing much and rolling over is normally what I consider town damdred to be. You may not know that but if you're town he's playing the exact same way you're criticising 3 (and include yourself) people for. What made him mafia over everyone else? Why ignore the LS meta read that damdred has never hard town read LS as mafia? Then there's also him just rolling with the thread/whatever I have said, ignoring his meta read on ls being wrong multiple times and the afk excuse that just pops up out of nowhere. None of the above feature in your thoughts whatsoever (maybe 1 does) but you never bother pushing it or enquiring more or conversing with other people. You're not thinking critically about the game, you're throwing out names of people for lazy/low activity/no content and hoping something sticks. What the actual fuck does Damdred have to do anything with? How in the actual fuck does the bolded make any sense towards me being mafia? I had my vote on Damdred. I didn't' like it. I posted in detail at the top of 26 why. Then I voted you because I'm more suspicious of you. And how do you call me mafia for throwing out lazy/low activity names AFTER I MAKE MY CASE ON YOU?!! You are not this thick as town. | ||
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What you call "forced posting" is me being lost, and trying anything to get someone to talk in an inactive game. No shit that will sound forced. No shit the questions will not be pretty. Why don't you talk to me about my non-forced case on HolyFlare instead? I get the impression you're not actually paying attention to anything that me and Holyflare have actually been saying over the past 2 pages. | ||
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1) It is extremely unlikely this is a mafia lynch with literally nothing else in the thread being pushed or considered in a stupidly inactive town. 2) The roll-over-and-die defense seems unlike town-Damdred, but I also think it's MORE mafia-Damdred. There's no self-preservation instinct there. 3) Holyflare is mafia. | ||
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2) The roll-over-and-die defense seems unlike town-Damdred, but I also think it's MORE mafia-Damdred. There's no self-preservation instinct there. Should read 2) The roll-over-and-die defense seems unlike town-Damdred, but I also think it's MORE unlike mafia-Damdred. There's no self-preservation instinct there. | ||
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On January 17 2017 23:13 Rels wrote: I read your case. I talked about it. I feel the opposite. HF having "too many scumreads" and being lazy about them don't make him scum. I don't feel like he's faking it. You realize that you're speaking about one of the better town players on this site, right? | ||
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[QUOTE]On January 17 2017 23:12 Hapahauli wrote: I unvoted Damdred for 3 reasons: 1) It is extremely unlikely this is a mafia lynch with literally nothing else in the thread being pushed or considered in a stupidly inactive town. 2) The roll-over-and-die defense seems unlike town-Damdred, but I also think it's MORE mafia-Damdred. There's no self-preservation instinct there. 3) Holyflare is mafia. [/QUOTE] So what if HF is mafia? Do you really put any weight whatsoever behind that vote on Damdred that doesn't say anything about either of them even if one flips?[Quote] Explain? [Quote]And I don't know how you think mafia can't be pulling the strings somewhere, cause I was believing you were on the table for them, but posts like this do make me wonder.[/Quote] This town's activity is on life support. Damdred is the lynch of least resistance. [Quote]The roll over reaction is contrary to what HF said not like town Damdred and is anyway, a very narrow perspective. The main point is still that Damdred doesn't seem to have any interest in scumhunting and the drive to solve the game is what differentiates town from mafia. Looking at a single reaction is mediocre at best.[/QUOTE] I get the impression from Damdred's filter that he is lost. Not that he isn't trying. Again, finding ANYTHING worth posting about on this early Day 1 was extremely difficult. If I were posting my unfiltered mind on Day 1, it would end up a lot like Damdred's filter. | ||
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On January 17 2017 23:18 Vivax wrote: So what if HF is mafia? Do you really put any weight whatsoever behind that vote on Damdred that doesn't say anything about either of them even if one flips? Explain? And I don't know how you think mafia can't be pulling the strings somewhere, cause I was believing you were on the table for them, but posts like this do make me wonder. This town's activity is on life support. Damdred is the lynch of least resistance. The roll over reaction is contrary to what HF said not like town Damdred and is anyway, a very narrow perspective. The main point is still that Damdred doesn't seem to have any interest in scumhunting and the drive to solve the game is what differentiates town from mafia. Looking at a single reaction is mediocre at best. I get the impression from Damdred's filter that he is lost. Not that he isn't trying. Again, finding ANYTHING worth posting about on this early Day 1 was extremely difficult. If I were posting my unfiltered mind on Day 1, it would end up a lot like Damdred's filter. | ||
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It's almost like HF is mafia throwing shade at everything he can in that post and seeing what sticks. It's almost like that's a fucking mafia tell. | ||
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MEANINGLESS! | ||
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On January 17 2017 23:27 Rels wrote: But at the same time HF is voting Damdred just after that post. When he just criticized Hapa for scumreading Damdred without scumreading LS DINGDINGDINGDINGDINGDINGDING WINARRRRRRRR | ||
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a) HF is suspicious of the entire thread. b) HF sees myself (hapa) and Vivax vote Damdred. c) HF is lazy, votes Damdred, and "sees where it goes." d) HF sees a case against him in the morning, attacks the player who made the case because he hated that player's vote on Damdred, despite HF having made the exact same vote?!?!? From HF himself: Damdred there's a tonne to weigh up. Him being demotivated, not doing much and rolling over is normally what I consider town damdred to be. You may not know that but if you're town he's playing the exact same way you're criticising 3 (and include yourself) people for. What made him mafia over everyone else? Why ignore the LS meta read that damdred has never hard town read LS as mafia? Then there's also him just rolling with the thread/whatever I have said, ignoring his meta read on ls being wrong multiple times and the afk excuse that just pops up out of nowhere. | ||
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I'll be around for another half hour. Then driving my dad to the hospital for an appointment. I'll be back around 10:45est ish, and will be in thread until deadline. | ||
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On January 17 2017 23:36 Vivax wrote: Explain what? You are afraid that Damdred is HFs designated mislynch. How can you know for sure that HF isn't voting his scumbuddy off? Just, please don't use that method. It won't work with HF. I'm being inarticulate. The point I've been trying to make is that I think Damdred is a coinflip at best. And using the thread direction as indicator for whether the main lynch is town is also very dangerous. I use this almost only in lylo and then it doesn't lead me to conclusions, only to trying to dig other reads up and scramble the game around a bit if I feel like mafia is about to win. I've used this many times successfully. It's worked for me pretty well as town. I've swung quite a few last-minute lynches on mafia in my time on TL, starting from gut feels about thread direction. | ||
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On January 17 2017 23:34 Rels wrote: This never comes back. It's a kinda weird thing to think, but I could accept town!HF taking that into account for solving the game. BUT IT NEVER COMES BACK. He votes Damdred after that. He talks about Damdred without talking about LS: It is the thing "he hates the most by far" and he's forgetting it afterwards. That works. | ||
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We can swing a vote if LightningStrike and Damdred come back. We should have 5-6 people active in-thread to do something by deadline. | ||
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On January 18 2017 01:23 Holyflare wrote: ok i'm going to try something new outline a few key points on why hapa is town for me i'll outline a few on why he's mafia we'll meet in the middle Have you ever read any of my scumgames? Like honestly. I cannot imagine that you are this unfamiliar with my scum meta and how fucking awful I am as mafia. | ||
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On January 18 2017 01:44 Holyflare wrote: what do you mean too lazy to give an accurate read? I can't access teamliquid at work and I don't have internet in my office the only reason I can play is because I take breaks in the top floor toilet and can only use tl hearthstone as a janky work around or like now where I've got home I haven't read filters for like the past 8 games maybe you have a higher opinion of the old me than the new me but that doesn't make me mafia as many people have told you I can be lazy or I can be try hard prove to me that I'm wrong my friend I definitely have a higher opinion of you. However I think even lazy-town HF would have looked much much different than what you're doign. | ||
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On January 18 2017 01:50 Holyflare wrote: if you care then link me your mafia games with a liquid hearthstone filter link please You asked me to do this 10 mintues before deadline, really? It never occured to you to do this before? I"ll grab some. It's too late probalby. | ||
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http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/392955-dessert-mini-mafia?user=Hapahauli http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/398360-this-town-aint-big-enough-mafia?user=Hapahauli http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/381440-mario-mini-mafia?user=Hapahauli My last 3 mafia games, most recent first. Lynched Day 4 in the most recent. I was lurkery past Day 1, and just gave up later in the game. Entire Obs QT had me nailed as mafia. Thread... not so much. Lynched Day 3 in "This Town Ain't Big Enough". I had to double-bus my inactive teammates which gave me some cover, then just gave up Day 3 when town sentiment swung against me. Lynched Day 1 in Mario trying to spam and failing miserably scum-slipping everywhere. | ||
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On January 18 2017 01:59 Vivax wrote: The thought just occurred to me that mafia isn't trying to lynch Damdred. Hapa doesn't want to lynch Damdred. Rels doesn't. HF doesn't. These are the guys I'm wondering about being scum mostly for the moment. Nobody except me seems to do. I'm like an open arms invitation to a Damdred mislynch since any scummer will know I'm supporting it and will try to put as much weight as possible behind it. And that's fishy. And LS looks fishy too cause he simply isn't around. I think everyone in the thread would "settle" for a Damdred lynch, which I dislike a lot. I don't think mafia has been pushing much of anything, mostly because they haven't had to. | ||
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What do you make of my push on you? You obviously disagree with it as either alignment. But is the push likely to come from town me or mafia me? | ||
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On January 18 2017 02:06 Vivax wrote: Why would you dislike it if it's obvious that mafia isn't pushing him, as I am the only one? If HF is mafia and Damdred isn't, why is nobody besides me trying to bring more attention to Damdred? HF himself not trying to deflect the lynch off himself onto Damdred looks townie at glance but I treat it as wifom. It's too early to say where HF will ultimately have his vote after today. Because Damdred is an inactive coinflip. I've said this earlier. And based on how the thread direction was before the Holyflare stuff, there was nothing else being pushed except for Damdred. As if mafia was comfortable letting that happen. That's no bueno to me. | ||
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I'm obviously not getting lynched today - who else should hang? | ||
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On January 18 2017 02:20 Vivax wrote: You're doing it for the third time I can count. You're ignoring new evidence. What evidence. | ||
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So what you said earlier as if it had any meaning suddenly is all made up cause the guy you had an opinion on became an inactive coinflip cause reasons? Damdred posted quite a bit between those two posts you quoted. My read progressed from seeing him as a non-entity, to seeing him as an inactive coinflip after his responses to pressure and his subsequent inactivity until now. | ||
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On January 18 2017 02:23 Vivax wrote: How would that invalidate your former points? His inactivity and phone posting gave a plausible explanation for him being a "non-entity". That would make the "non-entity" portion non allignment indicative. I also had a lot of sympathy for him being "lost" and not opinionated, as I felt the same way. | ||
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On January 18 2017 02:24 Vivax wrote: No shenannies. I didn't sign up to discuss shit for 48 hours and then throw it all away in 5 minutes You voted me 10 minutes before the deadline, and now you want non shenanies? | ||
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## Vote LS If we have to lynch, we ahve to lynch. But god fucking dmanit. | ||
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On January 18 2017 02:29 Vivax wrote: Mafia is guaranteed to be on LS, just numerically. Where's Hapa "oh shit the thread direction is wrong" now? FUCK YOU YOU CAUSED THIS YOU )#$(%*(#$*&%(*!@&$(*@&#($*&#$(*%&@# | ||
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On January 18 2017 02:15 Vivax wrote: ##Unvote ##Vote HapaHauli On January 18 2017 02:24 Vivax wrote: No shenannies. I didn't sign up to discuss shit for 48 hours and then throw it all away in 5 minutes Explain this Vivax. | ||
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And you're either dumb or mafia. How does any of what just transpired at the end of the day make sense for this "cold logical Vivax" persona? Do you even think HF is town? You moved your vote over to me for this shit? http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=39#767 Like how is that even a mafia tell? That I changed my my opinion over the course of half a day makes you unvote someone you think you caught cold as mafia in a contradiction, and vote me, and then fucking claim that you want NO SHENNANIES 15 minutes before the deadline!??!?! | ||
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On January 18 2017 02:37 Holyflare wrote: and hapa we need some real talk at some point because I did actually read your games and they are pretty shitty but they're all very old I wanna talk through a lot. We have time yes. I'M JUST SO FUCKING ANGRY GODDAMNIT. | ||
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a) That I bussed my teammate this hard and b) That my plan was to solo-carry this mafia game when I haven't survived to the end of a mafia game in 5 years? | ||
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Obviously there is 1 more mafia to fish out in the rest of the player list. When there are only two mafia in this game. #VivaxLogic | ||
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Explain how this makes sense to you. Shennanies 15 mintues before deadline OK? 5 minutes no? 7 minutes and 52 seconds OK? | ||
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30 minutes before EoD, you think HF is mafia: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=34#679 Then, you say you're looking into HF, Me, and Rels for not considering Damdred mafia. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=37#728 15 minutes before EoD... therefore, vote... me? http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=39#772 5 minutes before EoD... complain about last minute shennanies, when your vote is sitting on a wagon wtih 3 votes and you tried to shennanie yourself? http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=41#814 This is astronomically nonsensical, ESPECIALLY from someone with your style of play. | ||
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On January 18 2017 03:05 Vivax wrote: And of course now they tried to play tag team with me and when Damdred even suggested that LS is scum they both snatched the opportunity to lynch him immediately after making cases on each other all day long. Then Hapa tried to accuse me of being hypocritical in that regard. But I'm not, cause I did discuss Hapa and HF all day long. I didn't discuss LS at all, I only mentioned his absence being noticeable once, but I still wouldn't have lynched him off that single observation. So I see no reason why I should see a Hapa lynch as shenannie, but not a LS one. I discussed Hapa and HF for 48 hours. I wasn't going to throw that away for a few minutes of induced paranoia. Of course you numbskull. Do you forget what you post? You yourself were talking about how disasterous a no lynch would be for town. AND YOU ALMOST CAUSED ONE!!>!!!!#!@E<M!@E<M!>@<ME!!! | ||
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On January 18 2017 00:52 Vivax wrote: No lynching is catastrophical by the way. This game you will have to vote even if you don't believe that the possible wagon is the right one. Basically if you allow a no lynch to happen it's extremely anti town. On January 18 2017 00:52 Vivax wrote: No lynching is catastrophical by the way. This game you will have to vote even if you don't believe that the possible wagon is the right one. Basically if you allow a no lynch to happen it's extremely anti town. On January 18 2017 00:52 Vivax wrote: No lynching is catastrophical by the way. This game you will have to vote even if you don't believe that the possible wagon is the right one. Basically if you allow a no lynch to happen it's extremely anti town. On January 18 2017 00:52 Vivax wrote: No lynching is catastrophical by the way. This game you will have to vote even if you don't believe that the possible wagon is the right one. Basically if you allow a no lynch to happen it's extremely anti town. | ||
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1) "No lynching is a disaster for town!" 2) "Alright, let's try to swing a last minute lynch on Hapa!" 3) "No one is following the wagon on Hapa... it's 5 minutes until EoD... don't lynch lightningstrike, don't throw away everything we did today!" 4) "HF and Hapa are obviously mafia for voting LS to prevent a no lynch." | ||
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On January 18 2017 03:14 Holyflare wrote: Actually, no, I posted about the lightningstrike switch first after reading hapa's games because I became unsure. You say you spent 48 hours discussing hf/hapa but the entirety of the time it was you going for the lynch on me the last half of the cycle so you switching to hapa is NOT 48 hours of discussed time, it's almost 0. Please, explain why you were keen to jump on hapa for that ONE post but when I delved and delivered 2-3 posts that were contradictory from LS you called us tools for switching? Not done. Bolded x1000000. Switching vote to me in a bubble, whatever that's fine. Switching vote to me for the reasons that Vivax had, sketchy. Switching vote to me when he thought he found something nonsensical and damning in HF's filter, all while he was scumreading HF, nonfuckingsensical. Scumreading HF and me, and DERAILING the lynch from HF and almost causing a no lynch. Get lynched with fire. | ||
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Is Vivax bad or mafia? | ||
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When I look back through Vivax's filter, a lot of the cases I thought were analytical and looked good look much worse in retrospect. Him going after Rels for example seemed like him being really thick and for wahtever reason not acknowledging that Rels was just posting reads as he went along with the thread. | ||
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I have played with him a few times before, and from what I remember, this is uncharacteristic for him as mafia or town. | ||
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a) Vivax didn't make the most pro-mafia voting moves I've ever seen, and b) railing on Vivax didn't make me feel buddy-buddy with you Questions I still have for you are: 1) Why so lazy? 2) Why the vote on Damdred, when you were clearly suspicious of a bunch of other people for non-coinflippy reasons? 3) Was I really your only scumread leading up to the lynch? | ||
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On January 18 2017 03:28 Holyflare wrote: but I told you it's completely characteristic of his town game and even explained I've had the same reservation beforehand in another game but then you went and meta read slam instead...? why? Oh. Then I completely missed that. It's hard to take the posts of someone you're tunneling seriously, ya know? | ||
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I'm always going to try to read you based on the quality of your analysis and opinions, and not how you can answer a bunch of softball questions I throw at you. | ||
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I feel like there should be enough information in the thread to draw more concrete conclusions about Slam/Onegu/BM/Damdred other than "i need to talk to them more". I'll take your word on that similar town Damdred game to mean that his early D1 play was non-alignment indicative, but I'll need you to link that game to me sooner rather than later. As for Vivax... on the one hand, I feel like it's a very attention drawing move and therefore is unlikely mafia. On the other hand, it's objectively such a huge pro-mafia move, and there are some contradictions I cannot make sense of from a town perspective. For example, him thinking you're confirmed mafia (currently), yet being happy moving his vote off you. T I still hated how you played D1, and I think it was very pro mafia to just let a bunch of suspicions float out there. Vivax being standoffish answering questions doesn't mean much. | ||
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Before I start filter diving myself, I need to sort this out: On January 17 2017 23:34 Rels wrote: This never comes back. It's a kinda weird thing to think, but I could accept town!HF taking that into account for solving the game. BUT IT NEVER COMES BACK. He votes Damdred after that. He talks about Damdred without talking about LS: It is the thing "he hates the most by far" and he's forgetting it afterwards. 1) Reading me as mafia for ignoring that "Damdred never reads LS as town when he's mafia" thing is pretty bleh. How does that even make me mafia? It's a very convoluted reason in the first place, since it doesn't preclude Damdred from just doing something new. 2) How do you vote Damdred in spite of this information, which suggests that you were reading Damdred as town for said wierd meta-information thing? | ||
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On January 18 2017 04:34 Holyflare wrote: so let me try and break down this damdred thing so I can get into your head: 1. you thought damdred was scummy because he was sheeping everything I said 2. you thought damdred was scummy because he had no scum reads or posts that said anything 3. you thought damdred was a coin flip instead because he gave up 4. you thought damdred wasn't scummy because nobody was pushing anywhere else? 5. you jump to me being mafia because I posted a summary with no follow up correct? This is how my mind was last night leading up to the case I posted on you. 1) I was reading Damdred as scummy because he was a non-entity. His reads seemed to shift based on what you were arguing at the time. In my head during this time is a waffle-fest between a) that I may as well push him to be mafia because something needs to be done in thread and b) overall, I was very sympathetic towards where his reads were because that "lost, I can't find reasons to scumread people" feeling is what I was feeling. 2) When I voted Damdred, I was in this "waffle." I felt that it was the best place for my vote in both pressure and not having a better place to put it. 3) When Damdred gets less active, I begin to get more coinflippy, and leaning more town. As I mentioned before, I expect more of a self-preservation instinct from mafia, and it didn't seem like Damdred had it. 4) Re-reading the thread last night, I was at a loss of what to do. There was no information in the thread, the level of discussion in the town was shit, and it seemed really off that so much suspicion would be piled on Damdred without a peep from the mafia team (if Damdred was mafia of course). 5) Re-reading the thread, I finally arrived at you. I wasn't planning on reading you very seriously until later in the game, because I thought the most reliable way to catch you was through the quality of your analysis and the objectives you were pushing. I arrived at these three posts: On January 16 2017 23:43 Holyflare wrote: Waste of time tbh. Hapa iffy Slam iffy Damdred still not vindicated but don't hate after seeing the light Rels pending but didn't actually mind his posts Vivax cool Ls mediocre but his damdred lust seems legitimate for now so dunno what to make of it Bm who? Onegu iffy content promise into nothing Shape up scrubs On January 17 2017 05:08 Holyflare wrote: I'm at a bit of an impasse because I think there could actually be too many scum :D On January 17 2017 05:14 Holyflare wrote: I'm really, really, really not a fan of LS since he's done shit all and then went on and on about how he NEEDED damdred's read on me/hapa to do anything and then just said fair enough and did absolutely nothing when damdred did post something relevant then I hate that damdred/rels KEEP making these lazy meta ls reads that aren't even true and then when presented with new information that should update their reads they don't even bother looking into it or fact checking it and damdred is playing lazzyyyy then I hate onegu's "catch up" but I don't know if that's extreme bias because I despise a million times over people that do page by page catch ups instead of just a summary but regardless his catch up that he's done so far is shit then there's Hapa who is seemingly calling out Onegu/damdred and even voting Damdred for EXACTLY what he was criticised of doing (having no reads, not pushing much) but Hapa doesn't acknowledge that LS has said that Damdred has never hard town read LS as mafia damdred: which I think I hate by far the most I can usually identify the alignment of more experienced players by how they think about the game. These three posts were suspicious to me, because it was the opposite of how I was thinking. I was having trouble finding mafia candidates. You were seemingly full of them. The lists also read as an attempt to shovel suspicion at multiple players without taking any stances of your own. My conclusion was that I thought you were vocal, but you weren't taking any risks or sticking your neck out with your play. Ergo, a mafia archtype for a more experienced player. I waffled on posting the case quite a bit, because I wasn't sure I could swing a lynch on you. Ultimately, I decided that it was going to be good for town discussion whether or not I could swing the lynch, and posted it. | ||
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On January 18 2017 04:47 Holyflare wrote: all right hapa I'm gonna try a thing where I treat you like confirmed town and I hope you can do the same to me and I'll try and figure out the game from that perspective it seems best because I don't handle criticism well ![]() I can't treat you as confirmed town, but I can take a fresh look at the game. At the end of the day, I made a Day 1 case on you in a super inactive town. Now, there's much more information to parse through. | ||
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On January 18 2017 04:16 Holyflare wrote: it's not just one game it's many damdred games Can you link some of these? | ||
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Vivax Onegu Holyflare BillMurray Slam Damdred Rels --------- The 3 in the middle are not so much null, as I haven't filtered them in detail yet. | ||
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Mostly scummy, with a small chance of derp townie. Why he's mafia: I've posted quite a bit on Vivax. The strongest points I believe are as follows: 1) Vivax thinks myself and HF are mafia. It does not make sense to try to swing the lynch away from HF at the end of Day 1 knowing this. 2) Vivax reminded town that no lynching was a disaster. However, his move to lynch me increased the chance of a no lynch substantially. He didn't push town much to lynch me at all. He very calmly voted me, didn't lobby for consolidation, and stated: On January 18 2017 02:24 Vivax wrote: No shenannies. I didn't sign up to discuss shit for 48 hours and then throw it all away in 5 minutes 3) Vivax reminded town that no lynching was a disaster. Yet he calls myself and holyflare mafia for last-minute switching to LS, when it is clear as day it was necessary to avoid a no lynch. 4) His move to me at the end of the day used pretty shit reasoning compared to the reasons why he thought HF was mafia. Why he could be derp townie: His votes can be viewed as very attention seeking and risky, ergo town. He was being town-read pretty early on and strongly by most of the thread. Why I think on-balance, he is mafia: There's just no good town explanation for his vote shenanigans. I've listed why above. In addition, I think a lot of the reasons to call him town in the early game fall apart under closer scrutiny. 1) People read him as town for his interaction with me. Mafia can defend themselves against an early D1 case. I think it's pretty null here. 2) People thought he was "reading deep" into people's filters. I disagree enitrely on a second look. Vivax was largely looking through filters and being extremely difficult to people about non-scum tells. The entire Rels/Vivax exchange looks like Vivax nitpicked something in his filter and was extremely obstinate about it for way too long. The more I think about his case on Holyflare, the more it begins to form a pattern. 3) A lot of Vivax's analysis is very "narrow." His read on Damdred for example is very shallow. Useless = mafia. He's ignoring a lot of the good points that Damdred could be town (thread atmosphere, very genuine thought process, etc). He's not really looking for the totality of people's actions. He's diving through filters and trying to find individual contradictions. There's no weighing, balancing, or critical thinking. | ||
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Partly scummy, partly lynchbait. From how the lynch went down, I'd argue Onegu looks the worst. Why Onegu is mafia: On January 17 2017 12:32 Onegu wrote: Rels is my biggest read right now. The call out on damdred seems really forced and fake. His read on me seemed fake. Then when called out on it he went from giving me a town read down into scummy would lynch pile. Honestly I wouldnt lynch you or HF today. I normally stray away from trying to get a read on him early. Because when I do I am usually wrong but when we get to lylo and he is still around I can usually get a read on him either by does he have a reason to be alive and if he does have a reason does his shit make sense. I would lynch you over him at this point and it hurts me to say this. Not really sure how between slams first posts and my vote on him did he do anything useful and yet you think he looks ok and my vote on him is scummy. But again I would prefer not to lynch you or holyflare day 1. I really believe trying to get reads on you day 1 are pointless. I would never lynch Vivax. He is by far my top town at this point. He saw the same thing I saw about rels. LS/Damdred I am fairly meh on. Really think rels is a much better lynch over them. Also for rels calling out slam do something seemed like a way for him to try to gain town cred for calling out a player who wasnt doing much even though it is slam and he plays wilder than I do game from game. Rels knows this. ##Unvote ##Vote Rels Firstly, this case is a very typical mafia case. It looks all nice and pretty, but it doesn't hold up to a closer look. The entire post reads as a way for Onegu to take a stance, without actually providing any useful things to town. 1) The analysis is useless. His case boils down to "I think Rels play looks forced", which is unhelpful to say the least. It's a completely subjective tell. Hell, 75% of the post talks about people other than his main scum-read. 2) Onegu talks about Vivax being top town, and "seeing the same thing as Vivax saw about Rels." But it doesn't make a lot of sense for him to do this. Vivax's case on Rels was based on not understanding that Rels was actively catching up in thread and updating his reads while he was posting. Onegu did the same thing this game, and mentions that he does it frequently. Yet for some reason, Onegu doesn't understand what's wrong with vivax's read. 3) The timing is weird. It's a very typical mafia play to bomb a case on a player that no one is really talking about to create chaos. At this point, I had just posted my case on Holyflare, and HF/Vivax votes were on Damdred. On January 18 2017 02:11 Onegu wrote: Would let you lynch me over HF. I think he is a coin flip at best and the chance that he is town and wins it for me would give him mvp and me the second most points for saving him. Im willing to risk it. This is just a weird martyr post that feels very forced. It's like he's trying to play up his desire not to lynch HF, knowing full well that he himself (Onegu) wasn't at risk of being lynched. Why he could be Lynchbait? Onegu is notoriously hard to read, and somewhat of an inactive player. He also has molded his playstyle to be unreadable on meta, or so he has said in the past. On balance? Mafia Onegu seems to be pushing mafia objectives. His push of Rels was very useless. The Holyflare martyr stuff seems very fake. It's one of those things that looks like you're sticking your neck out, but you're really not. | ||
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Mostly townie, with a slight chance of demotivated scum. Why townie? Genuine thought process. You can tell he's lost, confused, and doesn't have a lot of time to play. On January 17 2017 02:03 Damdred wrote: Sure you do if you read what I say Town: LS Vivax HF Gut feeling: Slam not in any order Null leaning: Happa Rels Onegu BM I probably could move hapa to town if i really squinted but i'd rather him squirm under the ire of the storm. This list looks bad at first glance, but who the actual fuck does this as mafia with town sentiment against them? Damdred is lost, and is not trying to overcompensate by forcing a scum-read. Usually scum will feel some pressure to look good here. This post also highlights another major point: lack of self-preservation instinct. It doesn't seem like Damdred is trying to look good. He's just posting what he's thinking, and that is extremely townie. Why he could be demotivated mafia... Demotivated mafia aren't going to have a self preservation instinct. He could see some pressure on him, and give up right away expecting to die. You could read his end of the day sheep of Vivax as Damdred actually being around and pushing mafia objectives, but playing the pity card. On Balance... town I think the thought process is very hard to fake. I sympathize a lot, because that is how I was feeling in-game. I also highly value lack of self-preservation instinct very highly. Generally scum at least feel obligated to try to please their teammates. There is zero sense that Damdred is trying to look good or please anyone. | ||
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Mostly townie, with a slight chance of exceptionally good mafia game Why townie? Activity. Very open about his mindset. If you read his filter (especially towards the end of day chaos), you can see what enters his mind in real time. It's very genuine and townie. I liked his switch off of tunneling me into tunneling HF. It shows a healthy mix of confirmation bias against me (townie trait), followed by critically reading Vivax's posts to make a conclusion on HF, followed by not really taking my alignment for granted. Why exceptionally good mafia game? Rels is an excellent mafia player. See Liquimania #1 for a great example. He is definitely capable of faking emotion and looking like a normal townie through the chaos of the day. It seems like he was caught in this game more because of pushing mafia objectives than some scumtell he was giving off. On balance... town I don't see him faking the waffle and the productivity to this extent as mafia. Any case I could make on him would be entirely based on paranoia, not facts. | ||
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On January 18 2017 05:54 Holyflare wrote: oh my god so everything I found you scummy for and you not evaluating damdred at all and him looking just like you but you scum reading him and you now think he's town for that exact reason??????????????????????????? Exactly. I think I was looking at Damdred the completely wrong way. I was framing his actions as useless, which was extremely superficial. In there is a very genuine thought process, and I've talked about this with the thread several times since I've stopped voting him. | ||
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When I take the context of his play (unsure, waffly, not confident), his behavior begins to make a lot of sense. If you don't have confidence, you are going to latch on to people who do, subconsciously or not. | ||
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On January 18 2017 06:01 Onegu wrote: 1) Yeah it talks about other things than my scum read so what. I still scum read rels and I gave my reasons for doing so. Why is it subjective? Because whether you consider something "forced" or not is subjective, unless you explain why it isn't. There is no explanation. 2) I agreed with vivax and liked how he pointed the rels thing out. I still dont want to lynch him and think you are trying to force 2 town lynches. The point I'm trying to make, is that Vivax pointed something out that made no sense. And you latched onto it. 3) Why is the timing weird and why does this even matter. I pointed out something I didnt like, who cares what the timing is. You want me to not point something out hapa? Also its not true. I wasnt much behind what I wrote that Vivax pointed out what I was talking about, and shortly after that Slam agreed with me. Just an observation. The timing is a red flag in my mind, because I've seen it happen from mafia several times before. I don't expect you to have a good argument against it. Just an observation that wouldn't mean much if not for #1 and #2. The martyr post. You are wrong. It was just posted right before that Rels would lynch me if not HF. It was in response to that post that I would rather be lynched than HF. It doesn't matter who you posted it in response to. It is still martyr'y. It's one of those posts that makes you look like you're sticking your neck out, when you really aren't taking any risks at all. | ||
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When you get back, I'd like an explanation for this: 1) You take a pretty hard line that you don't want to lynch either myself or Holyflare. That's all fine. Notable is the bolded, where you say you're going to find your own scum-read. On January 18 2017 00:58 Alakaslam wrote: I have caught up and. Prices something earlier, that coupled with recent events makes Rels town. I will invite- However, if HF flips green we have to lynch Hapa. I think this is just a terrible idea day1. But ultimately, I'd rather lose HF than Hapa. HF is not the best player here, he is the other of the greats. I will not lynch him today. If you all do that fine, I will find who I think is scum. 2) You state that you struggle to read Damdred. On January 18 2017 01:12 Alakaslam wrote: TBH I struggle to read Damdred. He was most active during a time when I was inactive, then left the site on my return. I mostly read by meta tbh.the capability I have for logic other than on-the-spot is pretty time consuming, and I just don't have it. 3) You state that you still want to lynch Damdred anyway. On January 18 2017 01:13 Alakaslam wrote: I would far rather lynch Damdred but in majority I have to compromise to get a lynch. This sequence doesn't read like you're trying to find mafia. | ||
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IF you think HF and I are mafia, why would you risk a no lynch to try to lynch me, if the alternative is HF (your other mafia read)? The progression from voting HF because you're convinced he is mafia, to voting me because you're convinced I'm mafia and risking a no lynch makes no sense. Why not just sit on HF? You could have not done anything the last 15 minutes of the cycle and lynched someone you are calling confirmed mafia. | ||
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You answer them well, you prove yourself town, giving you more leverage to push your lynch on me and HF. What exactly is there to lose there? | ||
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On January 18 2017 07:24 Vivax wrote: Wrong, the town would still have lynched LS no matter whether my vote was on HF or you. My vote would have gone back to HF if nobody else agreed with me on your Damdred read progression making no sense. And your personal attacks specifically directed at me were something with an entirely different purpose than me raging at the entire town, for example. You mixed them in between accusations while HF was also doing the same along with stating a lot of false facts, like me voting for LS. So I said, no thanks, peace out until I see if my townreads actually buy your junk. Ok Damdred read progression. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=47#936 What's wrong with this explanation? You took my two reads on Damdred, which were made almost 24 hours apart. It should make sense that my read would change over that period of time, no? | ||
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Why not just sit tight on HF? HF would have died had you not moved to try to lynch me with 15 minutes to go. | ||
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"I think HF is mafia. But the BEST idea I can think of is to switch to another of my mafia reads with 15 minutes left to go..." does not make a lot of sense, considering the risk of the play. The risk of course, being what happened. | ||
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On January 18 2017 07:33 Vivax wrote: You are giving me the fault for lynching LS by saying this. How is it justified? What does my vote have to do with the entire town just going ham and lynching a guy it has never seriously put up for scum before? I'm blaming you for not lynching HF, not for lynching LS. You can call them the same thing if you like. If the guy you think is mafia is set to be lynched, why switch off of him? I think this is a very reasonable question. You should have been very happy with how the game was going with HF on the block, and for some reason you decided to change it. I do not understand that reason and I'm trying to figure it out. LS said to lynch you, HF, and Damdred. If the victim here didn't notice the most who was pulling the strings behind his lynch, who else? Rest of town just got cold feet and followed you and HF like a fucking herd with no discussion whatsoever involved. Listening to the reads of a dead townie isn't scumhunting. LS being confirmed town does not mean he's confirmed right. Look at the game from my perspective. With 5 minutes to go, the HF wagon falls apart. You are voting me with Damdred and it isn't going anywhere. I see a bunch of quick votes go on LS. You never communicated that you were willing to go switch back to Holyflare. And the backdrop to all of this: a no lynch is a disaster for town. What else do I do here? My only option for town to avoid a no lynch is to lynch LS. I hated every second of it, but it was my only option. And post lynch your suspicions on each other just seemed to vanish and both focus on the only guy who didn't fall for your bullshit with personal attacks and wrong statements and shit. If the lynch guy you were pushing for mafia all of yesterday fell apart in 15 minutes, wouldn't you be angry? Also, point out exactly what I said in my post-lynch rants that are factually wrong. | ||
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On January 18 2017 07:36 Vivax wrote: And now I peace out again cause even thinking about it is driving more swearing into my posts. Oh come on. This is a perfectly calm conversation. Hell if you think I am mafia, why are you angry? | ||
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On January 18 2017 07:46 Vivax wrote: The reason is simple. One does not simply go from thinking he has a valid reason to suspect someone, to thinking he is a coinflip cause he stops posting. The other way around works, but not this way. It's like when people catch me as mafia. If I actually bother I can appear townie early I believe most of the time, but when I fall off even for half a day I'm fucked and maybe I can buy one more day by putting in a binge effort. But how do you actually manage to believe Damdred is suspicious for something, then make up reasons about thread direction when only HF and me were the other voters besides you in order to unvote him, THEN go on to call him a coinflip cause he stopped posting? Let's say you're 100 % sure someone is mafia for something HE POSTED, then he says he has some important appointment and disappears. Who in a townie mind would then call it a coinflip? Because I am capable of stepping back from the thread, re-reading, and reaching new conclusions from the same information. It is silly to make up your mind about what something means right away, and literally never reconsider it. | ||
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But how do you actually manage to believe Damdred is suspicious for something, then make up reasons about thread direction when only HF and me were the other voters besides you in order to unvote him, THEN go on to call him a coinflip cause he stopped posting? I want to break this down in particular. But how do you actually manage to believe Damdred is suspicious for something As I posted a few hours ago, my first read of Damdred's AFK behavior was that he was suspicious for being a non-entity. Also a large motive for my vote here was that I had no better place for it. then make up reasons about thread direction when only HF and me were the other voters besides you in order to unvote him Because the "thread sentiment" stuff were a large part of my reasons. The Damdred wagon didn't seem right. That feeling was what encouraged me to re-read and place my vote on Holyflare. THEN go on to call him a coinflip cause he stopped posting? The inactivity is new information! It is confirmation and supports the story that he did not have time to play and concurrently felt lost, which led me to believe it was a "coinflip" lynch. I use "coinflip" as a generic term for lurker lynches. | ||
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When Damdred's posting is lackluster on early D1, I read it as scummy. AT this point, I'm not really buying his inactivity excuse, and he's behaving like a "non-entity" Damdred's continued activity was additional information that made me buy his inactivity excuse. It did not make a lot of sense for "mafia-Damdred" to put up as little of a fight defending himself as he did. Or at the very least, it gave me considerable pause lynching him. Hence "coinflip". | ||
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Then he just stopped. This paints his defense in a much different picture. When you take away the assumption that he would post more, his defense really lacks self-preservation instinct and is more townie. | ||
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There wasn't any new particular insight on Damdred that would show you reconsidered when you said he was a coinflip, otherwise it wouldn't be a coinflip. Last thing Vivax. My priority at the end of this day was "LYNCH HOLYFLARE" not "I need to make sure my read on Damdred was perfectly documented and publicly consistent." I definitely could have explained my read on Damdred much better at the time. But I lost track of my thought in the chaos. I don't think that makes me mafia. | ||
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The emotions post-lynch check out very well with a confirmation-biased, tilted townie. Now that I have an explanation for post-lynch, it makes sense. I hate the play, but I think Vivax legitimately did not understand the possible consequences of switching his vote when he did. | ||
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http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=49#971 | ||
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Slam. Go. | ||
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Talk about Slam. What do you make of the post I linked above? | ||
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On January 18 2017 12:20 Holyflare wrote: For instance if we are both town and we were vivax's strategy of winning by lynching us back to back I wouldn't put it past him to be just as annoyed that we suddenly ask him questions instead of jumping all over each other again. It's a reactionary post, sure, but still follows his long term strategy. It's possible that it's a mafia strategy. But holy shit is that unlikely. | ||
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Next two posts were 15-10 or so. Anyway here are the series of posts he has at deadline. Keep in mind the first post (particularly the underlined/bolded part) as you read the rest of it. On January 18 2017 00:58 Alakaslam wrote: I have caught up and. Prices something earlier, that coupled with recent events makes Rels town. I will invite- However, if HF flips green we have to lynch Hapa. I think this is just a terrible idea day1. But ultimately, I'd rather lose HF than Hapa. HF is not the best player here, he is the other of the greats. I will not lynch him today. If you all do that fine, I will find who I think is scum. On January 18 2017 01:03 Alakaslam wrote: This is actually serious play. It's selfish to work within my own means rather than just sheep? Please tell me why; it would take far less effort to go "whoooo let's lynch HF" Like isn't that what I'd usually do anyway? Your reaction is confusing me big time: On January 18 2017 01:06 Alakaslam wrote: The reason is that if Hapa is scum and he is lynching Holyflare, he will dominate. End of story. But we would have to wait for him to survive night I just realized this is more wifom then I had thought. Vivax is right. Dammit I hate this situation so bad On January 18 2017 01:08 Alakaslam wrote: Aaand I forgot it was this type. If HF is the only wagon, and needs a vote to be lynched, I will hammer. On January 18 2017 01:12 Alakaslam wrote: TBH I struggle to read Damdred. He was most active during a time when I was inactive, then left the site on my return. I mostly read by meta tbh.the capability I have for logic other than on-the-spot is pretty time consuming, and I just don't have it. On January 18 2017 01:13 Alakaslam wrote: I would far rather lynch Damdred but in majority I have to compromise to get a lynch. He makes a bunch of posts, he's clearly active. Does it look to you like he's trying to find mafia (as he said he would early on)? He just waffles around, posts a bunch, does nothing, and arrives at the conclusion that he'd support a Damdred lynch despite having misgivings on Damdred. That's not scumhunting. | ||
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Onegu... I think I hate his play more than I think he's mafia. | ||
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On January 19 2017 02:11 Bill Murray wrote: if thats true, and slam's mafia, then HF/Rels/..i almost typed LS... are all town obviously LS is town ... lol i just didnt know that 24 hours ago HF could definitely still be mafia in that list. Slam at least tries to resist lynching him a bit. Regardless, I don't do associations until there's a flip to associate with. | ||
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##Vote Alakaslam | ||
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While active over the next 20-25 minutes, he posts a lot of waffly things, concludes he reads Damdred poorly, then says he would support a Damdred lynch. He finishes the day without voting. | ||
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I had been reading Slam town on meta, but given how old his last few mafia games are, I don't think it's a strong enough reason to think he's town over his thread behavior. | ||
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The last few pages are a bit hellish to read. | ||
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On January 19 2017 03:05 Alakaslam wrote: I am a late game player. If you aren't willing to let me reach the late game to then be able to appropriately read anyone that is fine and foolish Go for it but I'll have better time and reception after tomorrow. OK, but why does you being a late-game player excuse your actions EoD? | ||
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Anyway more relevant question: Why were you supporting a Damdred lynch EoD? | ||
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On January 19 2017 04:31 Holyflare wrote: misguided but towny It took you way too long to reach that conclusion. There's this je ne sais quoi about your play this game, where you're being very obstinate about things you shouldn't be. | ||
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On January 19 2017 03:14 Hapahauli wrote: You were clearly active EoD though? Anyway more relevant question: Why were you supporting a Damdred lynch EoD? | ||
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Damdred being my "margin of error" read. Onegu/HF being my top two scumreads. ##Unvote | ||
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On January 18 2017 12:29 Holyflare wrote: Well that's different. You only linked 2 posts before, pretty much the same as onegu but more waffle. Would lynch. He's also being really, really thick about certain things, and I don't think OMGUS explains all of that away. Lastly, I think Rels really hit the nail on the head here: On January 19 2017 01:26 Rels wrote: leaving work. I've said what I think. Only thing new is that HF seems prone to try and shitfight while claiming he wanna end the fight. Maybe. See you tomorrow if I'm alive Each is probably individually excusable. All together points to mafia HF IMO. | ||
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Onegu is lynchbaity I guess, but I also feel he's pushing mafia objectives. He's active but not contributing. His Rels case was pretty shit. On January 19 2017 23:45 Onegu wrote: Damdreds read flip on LS, and then Rels death. ##Vote: Damdred. Him voting Damdred currently for these reasons is pretty silly. I don't' care how LS and Damdred pitched it - getting a read wrong does not make someone mafia. Also, Rels' death equally implicates Onegu. | ||
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On January 20 2017 02:25 Vivax wrote: Hapa what's your opinion of this game so far. I'm pretty confident you're town. I'm reasonably confident Bill Murray is town. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=59#1180 Posts like these show a very good thought process. He seems to be invested in the game and caring what happens. My gut is screaming that I was wrong on my Slam read. I've been going over his scum-games for the past hour, and they feel very different. His emotions are very simplistic in those - either outright trolling or calling someone mafia. He's much more nuanced here. Also his travel schedule and inactivity basically explains all his actions. Hard to find mafia when you have to filter on a phone. Also the idea that Slam finishes D1 without voting looks like he's not overly concerned with covering his tracks. Not hard to just drop a vote on Damdred or HF or someone at EoD if you're mafia to look good. That leaves the other three above. | ||
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I have the information that I have, and I do the best with what I have. I agree the game is a shitshow. At the same time, it is 10000x better than D1, so for that I'm hopeful. | ||
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If you step back and take a look at my filter, it should be pretty clear that I am too. You should have in-depth experience with how I play mafia. Do you remember this? http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/392955-dessert-mini-mafia?page=109 https://www.quicktopic.com/49/H/XzeY3JALfAC You caught me dead to rights in Dessert Mini Mafia D1 in the Obs QT. Does my play look remotely like htat? | ||
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On January 20 2017 02:50 Vivax wrote: ... So when you see me cursing at HF and HF gnawing at my patience, I can guarantee you that I'm actually having fun, at the very least in retrospect. I'm glad. <3 | ||
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On January 20 2017 02:59 Vivax wrote: The shiny nice posts do remind me. What just caught my eye is that you keep making them against these odds instead of standing up and shouting "yo get your shit together we didn't sign up for this". I could compare filters if I wanted and try to find differences or similarities but the questions remain: Do I have to do that to think you're mafia, and who's going to read it anyway? Isn't this what I basically did shifting my vote off Damdred and moving it to Holyflare mid Day 1? I've also done thread police in the past. It doesn't really work. It just gets me super tilted and biased in favor of lynching lurkers. What exactly is your standard for my town play? I feel like you don't really know, or it's inhumanly high. | ||
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Just keep in mind that no one's filter will ever be perfect as town. | ||
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Also, "he was the most likely alternative" doesn't mean very much. You thought he was mafia? You thought he was a non-HF candidate that could plausibly be lynched? | ||
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What are your reads on the game right now? Who's above suspicion? Who would you lynch? | ||
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My point is that you have no initiative. | ||
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On January 20 2017 04:13 Alakaslam wrote: I have to read more closely. I remember flipping my read on Rels. Btw Hapa did anyone say "the dead hate slam" or anything like that? I felt this NK was to set up for my lynch. I was going to see if that metric worked. Mmmm no. Rels died being suspicious of Onegu/Damdred, whilst being pretty "meh" on Holyflare. | ||
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Yesterday you post a case on Onegu, based on a tell that Rels had already pointed out (the "martyr" thing). I come in, post a case on Slam, and you literally go "looks wishy washy, would lynch." Today, not a peep about Onegu, and 100% on Slam. Onegu's even been in the thread, and you haven't bothered to ask him anything, or even post anything about him beyond asking other people what they think about his alignment. | ||
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On January 20 2017 04:20 Holyflare wrote: And by the way. I take back my town read of you. The more I think about a hapa mind the more I dislike that you can even call me mafia after literally saving your life. Unlucky. You already explained in your filter why the bolded doesn't make any sense. | ||
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That doesn't change the rest. Why even bide your time on Onegu anyway, if you think the guy is mafia? Ooops again. You posted earlier: On January 19 2017 02:16 Holyflare wrote: there's no way I'm mafia and divert the lynch off a town hapa onto an easy later mislynch ls -.- Then subsequently after: On January 19 2017 02:28 Holyflare wrote: Ah okay it was wayyyyyyyyyy after I already pointed out LS so yeah in retrospect not as great as I thought. Damdred returns, votes hapa when vivax switches. I call out some points on ls and damdred switches before I've got enough consensus to switch. At no point were myself or hapa a majority wagon though and there were 8 minutes to go. A hapa lynch seemed likely with consensus so it's plausible he switches to save but I'm not so sure when the LS points were pretty good. I thought for some reason the second post was discounting the first. That being said, you're presenting these facts as if you somehow "saved my life", when it's pretty far from the case. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=40 A quick read of page 40 makes it very clear that I wasn't in danger. BOTH Damdred AND Rels express their desire to lynch LS before you do. LS was dying no matter where you placed your vote at that time. | ||
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You weren't even the first vote. It was very clear what the thread sentiment was at the time you voted. | ||
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On January 20 2017 04:46 Holyflare wrote: You are crazy if you think at that point in the game you wouldn't have got lynched if I decided to pick you. You are crazy or mafia if this is a serious opinion. I read that page. | ||
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Or he's not taking his read on you seriously. | ||
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On January 20 2017 04:49 Holyflare wrote: What the hell damdred and rels? Are you kidding me? We lynched ls because I said so. LOL WHAT. | ||
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http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=39#763 12:15 EST. Vivax Votes me http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=39#772 12:17 EST. Damdred Sheep. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=39#780 You do not have any anti-LS posts in this gap. 12:20 EST. Rels suggests LS lynch. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=40#790 12:20 EST. Holyflare says "die bitch" in reference to killing me (hapa) 12:21 EST. Damdred "scum LS detected" http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=40#797 12:21. Holyflare "I will switch to LS so I can torment hapa some more" http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=40#800 [b]12:23. Damdred calls LS scum for holyflare vote. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=41#807 12:23. Rels makes the call to swing on LS http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=41#809 [b]12:24. Holyflare votes LS, citing that he read my scumgames. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=41#811 The idea you can take credit for the LS lynch is absurd. The idea that you can have read my scumgames and made a decision not to lynch me in a span of 3 minutes is also absurd. | ||
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For emphasis. The idea that you can have read my scumgames and made a decision not to lynch me in a span of 3 minutes is also absurd. Screaming "LOL MISREP" doesn't make a case. Displaying how you were clearly taking credit for an LS lynch you had little responsibility for post by post, and showing how your vote siwtch off me is bonkers is a case. | ||
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I guarenfucking-tee you that the mafia team is HF/Onegu. | ||
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http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=35#691 11:32 - Lynch Hapa http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=35#695 11:33 - Lynch Hapa http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=35#697 11:35 - Lynch Hapa http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=35#699 11:41 - Lynch Hapa http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=36#706 11:44 - Lynch Hapa http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=36#709 11:44 - Lynch Hapa http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=36#710 11:49 - Lynch Hapa http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=36#714 11:50 - Link me your scumgames Hapa http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=36#716 12:02 - REALLY Lynch Hapa http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=37#733 12:07 - "Why is no one talking about LS?" http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=38#741[/b] 12:09 - Lynch Hapa http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=38#748 12:10 - Lynch Hapa http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=38#750 12:11 - "Talk to me LS" http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=38#754 12:12 - Lynch Hapa http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=39#763 12:13 - LS is Hapa's mafia partner http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=39#773 12:17 - Hapa association theory with LS http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/517873-liquidmania-qualifier-2?page=40#781 12:20 EST. "Die bitch" (After this, Rels and Damdred begin pushing for the LS lynch). Read page 40 and it's pretty clear. | ||
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Rels and Damdred sheeped my case on LS which led to his lynch. Therefore I saved Hapa. This is a huge misrepresentation of what happened. You can see from the posts above. 1) Holyflare is all abord the Lynch Hapa train. 2) Holyflare points out that LS has been sitting back and doing nothing. 3) Holyflare entertains ideas that LS is my mafia partner. 4) at 12:20 EST, Holyflare doubles down on lynching me. 5) Rels and Damdred support a LS lynch. 6) After this, HF switches. This makes it very clear that while HF pointed out what LS was doing, it was clear he was not pushing the LS lynch (his priority was me) until it was very clear that Rels and Damdred were going to LS with their votes. | ||
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a) You lynch me. b) I flip confirmed town. c) You lynch Onegu and Holyflare back to back. hapaout ##Vote Hapahauli | ||
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Did you expect a baby seal here? There isn't one. | ||
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I'm an idiot for signing up for this game. I hate playing on TL. I can either super tryhard to get a bunch of lurkers to come back into the thread while dealing with Vivax-the-most-paranoid-townie-in-the-world or I can just die and confirm my alignment. You lynch Holyflare and Onegu. Holyflare. Onegu. I'm done for good. It's been real. I have my regrets that my last town game ended up this way. But my sanity is more important. Good luck. You'll all need it. Hapa | ||
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BillMurray get in here and finish the job. I know I can count on you. | ||
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Fact 2: It's kinda insane that my name is being floated out there for best player. I suppose I can pat myself on the back for being accurate, but knowing is not even half the battle. I self-voted. Period. Fact 3: It takes two townies to lynch at LYLO. If you have to give out an MVP to town, give it to Bill Murray. He clearly established himself as town, was correct about most of his reads, and was also a part of lynching HF. I'll post more when I finish working. However, you should all know that this argument is inane. Since when do we care about e-penis points more than having a good game of mafia? That game was disgraceful by any standard, and I probably wouldn't give out any points for it. | ||
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