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Russo-Ukrainian War Thread - Page 350

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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
Dav1oN
Profile Joined January 2012
Ukraine3164 Posts
January 14 2023 14:34 GMT
#6981
If you have a politician in your country who is in charge of defensive decision making and this person is still in doubts whether collective West should provide more and better tech/equipment to Ukraine - just show a few pics from Dnipro residential high rise area after the recent terror attack with missiles...
In memory of Geoff "iNcontroL" Robinson 11.09.1985 - 21.07.2019 A tribute to incredible man, embodiment of joy, esports titan, starcraft community pillar all in one. You will always be remembered!
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
January 14 2023 15:01 GMT
#6982
On January 14 2023 23:34 Dav1oN wrote:
If you have a politician in your country who is in charge of defensive decision making and this person is still in doubts whether collective West should provide more and better tech/equipment to Ukraine - just show a few pics from Dnipro residential high rise area after the recent terror attack with missiles...

I will bike to the EU headquarters and yell at the Germans. Barely even exaggerating, Russia must be stopped immediately.
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
January 14 2023 15:42 GMT
#6983
Britain to transfer 12 Challenger 2 tanks immediately.

"The Prime Minister has been clear that the UK has to stand by its commitment to Ukraine, and that includes ensuring it has the critical equipment to defend itself and change the battlefield equation," the source notes.

"A group of four Challenger 2 tanks will be delivered to eastern Europe immediately, with a further eight following shortly afterwards," The Sun reports

Sunak is said to have held talks with defence and security officials this week, telling them that getting the tanks to Ukraine should be an operational priority.

Both Prime Minister Sunak and Defence Secretary Ben Wallace decided to send a full squadron after intense lobbying by President Zelenskyy, the publication said.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6213 Posts
January 14 2023 18:03 GMT
#6984
Challenger 2s are good tanks, but have one big downside in that their main gun isn't ammunition compatible with NATO standard. Still a really good move, don't let good be the enemy of perfect.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
January 14 2023 18:13 GMT
#6985
Update from Soledar.




Russia hit an apartment complex, warning NSFW as you can hear screams from under the rubble.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-01-14 21:32:51
January 14 2023 21:17 GMT
#6986
So apparently Soledar wasn't that much of a victory for Wagner, rather it resulted in it being bled out now needing a life line. That and they still haven't received any further supplies from Russia proper, while being even more at odds with the regulars of the Russian military.







"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
ZeroByte13
Profile Joined March 2022
767 Posts
January 14 2023 21:57 GMT
#6987
So this is what happens to people who refuse to be mobilized, or to fight if mobilized?
They will be sent to "penal battalions" which is another name for death battalions I guess? To replace convicts as cannon fodder? Damn.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-01-14 22:49:24
January 14 2023 22:47 GMT
#6988
Which begs the question, what 2-3 scenarios:

1.) They bring in the 500's, those that did not want to fight, and give them weapons and send them in to the attack. What is stopping them from simply surrendering to Ukraine, and handing over their weapons and the info they have. Or turning their weapons on to Wagner.

2.) Merging with the regular Russian army. Which will not end well.

3.) Wagner keeps attacking with what's left, which would make no sense.


edit: Update on the Apartment that was hit.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
January 14 2023 22:59 GMT
#6989
So if Russia's going to cut off supplies to Wagner, what can they do, if anything?
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5567 Posts
January 14 2023 23:14 GMT
#6990
@StealthBlue

Wagner was allegedly sending unarmed prisoners as recon units. They used them to probe the Ukrainian defences, just soaking bullets. Then the regular Wagner troops would have a clearer idea where and how to engage. Also, it's not easy to just surrender like that. You have Ukrainian troops in front of you, who might be unaware of your intentions, and Wagner troops who will kill you if you try to surrender.
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
January 14 2023 23:28 GMT
#6991
Have you ever considered that surrendering ain't that easy?

It's not like Ivan500 is given a rifle and then sent out alone on a trip through the forest, where he is suddenly greeted by a friendly Ukrainian soldier who asks him if they wanna fight or if he wants to surrender.

The reality is that Ivan500 has a decent chance to die before he even get to the front because some arty hits him way before.
But even if lucky Ivan500 made it and is now only 500m from the Ukrainian position... His friendly officer now tells him and his dozen friends to charge some Ukrainian position. Now the question: How much distance do you want to have from
a) the closest Ukrainians
b) your fellow 500s
c) the next non-500 Russian
to show your willingness to surrender. And how likely is it that any of those parties kill you before/after you made your intent clear? And how will you do it?

You can now repeat that thought experiment when tasked to defend a position. Most death rains down on you hours before the enemy even gets close. And during the initial contact, you won't have much luck with your surrender action either. You rarely get a chance to surrender before the battle is over.

And "why they don't turn on Wagner" is even funnier. You can rest assured that those people unwilling to fight usually do this for reasons of self-preservation. And trying to shoot your superior in the midst of a base is never the optimal play there.
Russia has a long history of penal battalions and knows how to make it so that self-preservation dictates their soldiers to face the enemy instead of their own because their own side is more dangerous than the enemy.

ZeroByte13
Profile Joined March 2022
767 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-01-14 23:51:01
January 14 2023 23:48 GMT
#6992
On January 15 2023 08:28 mahrgell wrote:
You can rest assured that those people unwilling to fight usually do this for reasons of self-preservation
I'd guess many are pacifist or at least really not willing to fight at this war in particular.
Not that many people actually are ready to fight/kill in general, and especially for reasons they don't support.
But all of this doesn't matter, of course - AFU soldiers can't know who's ready to surrender and who isn't, so...
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-01-15 00:10:43
January 15 2023 00:08 GMT
#6993
So the UK will start training Ukrainians on the Challenger 2 Tanks in the coming days... no word on the "supposed" Apache's that are to be sent sent as well. Which I would imagine require a LOT more training than say a Tank.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Hvvacha
Profile Joined April 2018
82 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-01-15 06:50:22
January 15 2023 06:39 GMT
#6994
On January 15 2023 06:17 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
So apparently Soledar wasn't that much of a victory for Wagner, rather it resulted in it being bled out now needing a life line. That and they still haven't received any further supplies from Russia proper, while being even more at odds with the regulars of the Russian military.


https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1614335367230128128
https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1614335371344502785
https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1614335374771249153
https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1614335378005049344
https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1614335382216396800
https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1614335385525538816


Like previous 5 big cities that Ukraine promised to never surrender? wonder how the loss of Bakhmut will be spun



Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
11847 Posts
January 15 2023 08:49 GMT
#6995
On January 15 2023 15:39 Hvvacha wrote:
Like previous 5 big cities that Ukraine promised to never surrender? wonder how the loss of Bakhmut will be spun


Will probably be spun as a long and bitter fight that they lost. While referring to other gains in that the war is still going well overall even with localized losses. Seems reasonable to me.

It is still not certain Bakhmut will be lost, though by this point it requires an offensive at some other front to pull troops away. The city isn't the most defensible or strategically important, so while they are trying to keep it they should not defend after it becomes too costly.
schaf
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany1326 Posts
January 15 2023 09:31 GMT
#6996
On January 15 2023 15:39 Hvvacha wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 15 2023 06:17 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
So apparently Soledar wasn't that much of a victory for Wagner, rather it resulted in it being bled out now needing a life line. That and they still haven't received any further supplies from Russia proper, while being even more at odds with the regulars of the Russian military.


https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1614335367230128128
https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1614335371344502785
https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1614335374771249153
https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1614335378005049344
https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1614335382216396800
https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1614335385525538816


Like previous 5 big cities that Ukraine promised to never surrender? wonder how the loss of Bakhmut will be spun

https://twitter.com/ArthurM40330824/status/1602599983840391169
https://twitter.com/TpyxaNews/status/1527939625825845248


I don't think it's set in stone that Bakhmut will fall. And a lot can and will happen until this is all over, it's not like Ukraine didn't have success so far. Also, Soledar is definitely not a big city. It had 10k people pre-war and Bakhmut 72k. Both not comparable to Mariupol. Besides, it's quite the stretch to say Mariupol was surrendered with how long it took Russia to secure what was left of the city.
Axiom wins more than it loses. Most viewers don't. - <3 TB
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17268 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-01-15 16:33:55
January 15 2023 16:33 GMT
#6997

Show nested quote +
On January 15 2023 18:31 schaf wrote:
Like previous 5 big cities that Ukraine promised to never surrender? wonder how the loss of Bakhmut will be spun


I don't think it's set in stone that Bakhmut will fall. And a lot can and will happen until this is all over, it's not like Ukraine didn't have success so far. Also, Soledar is definitely not a big city. It had 10k people pre-war and Bakhmut 72k. Both not comparable to Mariupol. Besides, it's quite the stretch to say Mariupol was surrendered with how long it took Russia to secure what was left of the city.


Bakhmut is not big and as far as Mariupol goes we have to remember that it was effectively surrounded at the beginning of the war, when Russia had all its might and fresh troops and it held for a month without any aid from the outside.

We have to wait and see what the spring will bring us. In my personal opinion Ukraine will make some big counter-offensive, probably in the Kherson region to cut out the Crimea completely. Especially now that Russia has significant manpower and resources tied around Bakhmut.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
January 15 2023 19:07 GMT
#6998
NATO to deliver more heavy weapons to Ukraine soon.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17268 Posts
January 15 2023 22:10 GMT
#6999
Does anyone know why Turkey and Hungary are blocking Finland's and Sweden's NATO access?
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
ZeroByte13
Profile Joined March 2022
767 Posts
January 15 2023 22:16 GMT
#7000
Btw, this week is over, and I don't remember any "powerful domestic news".
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