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They are not going after military ships, just tankers , tugboats, a few commercial cargo and ferries.
Ukraine had Fedorov step down as defence minister. None of the guys I read or watch have anything good to say about the decision. They believe it is corruption winning. Most think he was great for the military and modernization of it. I guess we will see who replaces him and if he ends up somewhere.
Lots also think Fedorov will end up as a future leader of Ukraine.
Fedorov's removal is interesting. His appointment seems to have been good for damaging Russia itself with a large focus on logistics. It has also been a period where they cannot handle the Russian drone/missile attacks which I assume is very unpopular (though I don't see how they could do it).
I think the latter is simply the consequence of them running out of munitions for Patriot and other interceptors.
I think they have been excellent in shooting down drones, most of the recent big casualty events and explosions in Ukraine seem to have come from Iskanders and various KH- family anti ship + the new(ish) Zicron cruise missiles, plus they began leaning more on Garan family of jet powered drones that are much harder to intercept.
On July 16 2026 14:12 Yurie wrote: Fedorov's removal is interesting. His appointment seems to have been good for damaging Russia itself with a large focus on logistics. It has also been a period where they cannot handle the Russian drone/missile attacks which I assume is very unpopular (though I don't see how they could do it).
Nah he's extremely popular overall.
The more nuanced view is that he has his view of how things should be done and Syrski and the top military brass has their view. It's easy to dismiss the army as corrupt fossils but they also have points. Fedorov has not giving them what they have asked for and instead focused on things like long and medium range strike capability. It's easy to point at the recent success and say that's the correct move and that the current army leadership is set in outdated soviet style thinking.
However Syrski is also on record several times saying that he expects the endgame to be a Russian mobilisation of over a million men in September and the push that follows. Being a soviet era fossil has the advantage that he at least knows how Russia will make their moves. From that point of view improving mobilisation and providing things like artillery ammunition and options for counter attacks to plug holes has merit even if it's not useful now.
The problem is the two sides cannot reconcile and a decision had to be made. The army won out. I don't know if it's correct but if sacking Federov can still maintain the current drone momentum and it's positive for holding the lines post-September (or even maybe that it doesn't introduce a massive extra risk before that by reorganising the entire army command) things can still work out very well for Ukraine.
So it really seems, to me, from a very layman perspective that there was a big schism between Syrskyi and Fedorov over what the focus should be.
For Fedorov, he had all the big successes that have been hyped up in all the media, squeezing the Russian gas production, making Crimea an unlivable hellhole.
At the same time, the truly heroic and bloody efforts that the rest of the Ukrainian forces put in to hold off the Russian advances kind of seem to be buried and under appreciated, and usually, this means that money that might have been appropriated for ammo or new vehicles or whatever to reinforce those troops now might go to the drone program that has more visibility.
So my theory is that Syrski clashed with Fedorov over this and the conflict came down to "me or him" and given the relatively recent departure of Zaluzhnyi and genuinely good job Syrski's been doing, Zelenskii didn't really have any other option then to remove Fedorov.
Again, this is all speculation based on very surface level understanding of the military situation and Ukrainian politics, so take it with a ton of salt.
On July 17 2026 10:25 Billyboy wrote: Yes Russia is, wtf are you talking about?
They are not. If you follow military channels, beyond headlines Russia drones especially those jet powered drones like Geran 4 is extremely successful.
If you follow closely, even starlink drones from ukraine are getting interfere and needing edge AI to find their targets, it's all a next level drone warfare than headline success.
On July 17 2026 10:25 Billyboy wrote: Yes Russia is, wtf are you talking about?
They are not. If you follow military channels, beyond headlines Russia drones especially those jet powered drones like Geran 4 is extremely successful.
If you follow closely, even starlink drones from ukraine are getting interfere and needing edge AI to find their targets, it's all a next level drone warfare than headline success.
You are just wrong, and not following it closely, just arrogant. Ukraine tech is better, they are able to send out 3x as much. Their drone knock down rate is way higher, because they have interceptor drones. It’s like you are believing Russia on their terminator tank all over again and not noticing actual results.
Feel free to show all the medium and long strike hits Russia is hitting , then compare it to what Ukraine is doing and get back to me.
"Now that the prisons are empty, they [Russia] are going for the university students. I bet those history majors will appreciate wielding museum pieces into combat."
The stories there are pretty crazy too. Apparently when drones were approaching there were anti-air alarms at the facilities but employees were forbidden to leave their posts. Management was also confiscating employee phones as they were filming what was going on.
This is a pretty good talk about the drone warfare and how it evolved over the years and how it's influencing everything now. I didn't know the cartels were sending sicarios as mercenaries to conflict zones to get hands on experience with drones in a real combat scenario.
On July 17 2026 10:25 Billyboy wrote: Yes Russia is, wtf are you talking about?
They are not. If you follow military channels, beyond headlines Russia drones especially those jet powered drones like Geran 4 is extremely successful.
If you follow closely, even starlink drones from ukraine are getting interfere and needing edge AI to find their targets, it's all a next level drone warfare than headline success.
You are just wrong, and not following it closely, just arrogant. Ukraine tech is better, they are able to send out 3x as much. Their drone knock down rate is way higher, because they have interceptor drones. It’s like you are believing Russia on their terminator tank all over again and not noticing actual results.
Feel free to show all the medium and long strike hits Russia is hitting , then compare it to what Ukraine is doing and get back to me.
I didn't say Russia is ahead, I said they are not far behind at all.
It’s an active arms race with both participants pressing advantages and rapidly copying the innovations of the other but Russians were ahead on the fiber optic and jet propelled shaheds. There’s no rule that only one side can innovate and even if there were, Russia is perfectly capable of copying whatever they see that works. We tend to focus on Ukrainian victories but this war isn’t a single player game.
Russia is the aggressor. It is expected they are ahead in some areas, else why wouldn't they sue for peace? Russia can freeze the war within a week and end it within 3 months any time they choose. They just have to state openly in a UN session that they want to end the war with 2010 borders and no restrictions on Ukraine.
They can also end it slightly slower by pushing for 2015 borders and promises of peace + accepting peace keeping forces etc. US/EU would force Ukraine to accept that deal.
Right now and for a long time they have been ahead in tanks, air force, ground based anti air, missiles and especially soldiers.
They probably still have more artillery but it matters less than it used to.
Navy does matter a bit if they want to run total interdiction by using subs to just sink anything entering Ukrainian waters. (Bad idea from a political standpoint.)
Drones keeps flipping with various advantages over time and as the importance of them climbs the other Russian advantages matter less and less. Which is why we are seeing Russian logistics suffering a lot now when they didn't before the drones on the Ukrainian side become as good as they are. Previously it was HIMARS and similar that already caused a lot of issues but nothing compared to the current ones.
On July 17 2026 10:25 Billyboy wrote: Yes Russia is, wtf are you talking about?
They are not. If you follow military channels, beyond headlines Russia drones especially those jet powered drones like Geran 4 is extremely successful.
If you follow closely, even starlink drones from ukraine are getting interfere and needing edge AI to find their targets, it's all a next level drone warfare than headline success.
You are just wrong, and not following it closely, just arrogant. Ukraine tech is better, they are able to send out 3x as much. Their drone knock down rate is way higher, because they have interceptor drones. It’s like you are believing Russia on their terminator tank all over again and not noticing actual results.
Feel free to show all the medium and long strike hits Russia is hitting , then compare it to what Ukraine is doing and get back to me.
I didn't say Russia is ahead, I said they are not far behind at all.
Ukraine has jet powered drones as well. Russia is behind and trying to catch up. It is going to constantly happen that way. But right now they are very far behind in drones, that is just factual. I watch interception rates daily, it’s near 90% on drones for Ukraine. They don’t have the ability to steer their drones from much of a distance and they do not have very effective machine targeting. Ukraine has both. Russia will eventually get these things and Ukraine needs to keep innovating to keep ahead.
This is why you couldn’t answer my question and to write something else that confirms what you made up in your head. People who are actually following this war closely can see the effectiveness and volume daily, it is not close. Do not die on another dumb hill.
Even if they were even on drone tech Russia is a lot more vulnerable due to the much larger area they need to defend. Ukraine would naturally be better at defending from them.
Expecially as we know that russia likes targeting civilians and infrastructure like hospitals, so their defence can be concentrated around cities.