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On July 09 2026 00:42 Jankisa wrote:
Russia has a very big stockpile of ballistics, they are getting increasingly desperate and it shows by the amount of crazy damage they are doing, unfortunately mostly to civilian infrastructure, but also military stuff. The one explosion in the Kyiv suburb where they blew up what looks to be a missile factory was extremely scary and it killed and injured a bunch of people.
We know that Russia has ran out of ballistic missiles sometime in 2023.
Practically all long range missiles hitting Ukraine are straight out of production lines.
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On July 09 2026 06:04 pmp10 wrote:Show nested quote +On July 09 2026 00:42 Jankisa wrote:
Russia has a very big stockpile of ballistics, they are getting increasingly desperate and it shows by the amount of crazy damage they are doing, unfortunately mostly to civilian infrastructure, but also military stuff. The one explosion in the Kyiv suburb where they blew up what looks to be a missile factory was extremely scary and it killed and injured a bunch of people.
We know that Russia has ran out of ballistic missiles sometime in 2023. Practically all long range missiles hitting Ukraine are straight out of production lines.
I believe the number is only 10 a week, and that was before the recent Ukrainian “sanctions.
That number seems true, one of the bloggers I follow tracks it and Russia doesn’t do any for a bit and he’s like expect a big attack soon, usually says it for a few days and then it happens.
10 might not seem like a lot but since Ukraine without patriots barely knocks any down and Russias love to target apartment buildings they do cause a lot of damage and casualties.
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Another 14 tankers today, which made me think how big is the Russian shadow fleet. AI says between 600-1000 so with 38 in 3 days it’s less than half a percent. That being said, they don’t need to take them all out to stop the flow, they just need to change the economics of the shipping enough. Also. Given the massive line ups and economic crunch, every tanker off the field is a big deal.
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Norway28915 Posts
38 isn't less than half a percent of 600-1000.
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On July 10 2026 07:51 Liquid`Drone wrote:
38 isn't less than half a percent of 600-1000.
That’s true, my brain failed, unlike Ukraines drones.
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Yeah, it'd be 3.8-6.3% using the 600-1000 range. That's a pretty sizeable chunk in 3 days. Think about what they could do with a "3 day military operation".
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Yes 3% but also imagine the psychology of this. It's much higher % of the shadow fleet in the black sea. So pretty much saying Crimea will never have oil.
In other news, Monaco bomber found dead in Ukraine.
Petrol gas lines are no news, but the impact is felt all the way to Kamchatka.
Also online troll activity has been diminishing, "useful idiots" aren't feeling useful anymore.
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I don’t see it slowing down. Easy slow moving targets, and if Russia try’s to escort then Ukraine gets a shot at taking out super expensive ships with cheap drones.
Now they can’t take gas to Crimean on the bridge because they are worried a strike will cause an explosion large enough to take the bridge out. Ships are easy targets and they are hammering the fuel trucks along the road of death.
Just last year it would have been unthinkable to think Ukraine could do better than a frozen line. Now Crimean back is realistic. Ukraine could get all their land back! (Not right away, but still this is a massive change).
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On July 10 2026 07:51 Liquid`Drone wrote:
38 isn't less than half a percent of 600-1000.
The real question is, how much of the shadow fleet is actually in the Sea of Azov and Black Sea. Because AFAIK they're spread all around the world and Ukraine won't have access to most of them.
The thing here is that what Ukraine is doing is cutting off one of the avenues for Russia to get revenue by skirting sanctions. Now if Russia would like to still sell this oil illegally they'll have to re-route it through other ports that Ukraine can't hit and that's a lot of logistical nightmare for them.
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12 more. Not slowing down so far.
To your logistics point. Without using the water to get gas to Crimean, they basically are out of options.
To Russia hitting gas stations, it sucks but Ukraine will probably take it over apartment buildings, especially when they are using their ballistic missiles to do it.
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United States44398 Posts
A lot of Ukraine is close to other countries that are out of bounds for Russia strikes. They can locate many things just over the border and still have it accessible to supply population centres. Russia can’t do the same.
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Extremely dumb strategy.
Hitting as far upstreams in the supply chain as possible is logistics disruption 101 for a reason.
For example, Russia has ~40 refineries and 30k plus gas stations.
Hitting the end stage of the supply chain means you need to take out orders of magnitude more targets.
Also the army has its own fuel supply and it's mobile. Because when you think about it the only thing a gas station is are fuel tanks with a pump. Which is exactly the same thing the fuel truck is.
And really, you don't even need a fuel truck specifically designed for it all you need is is a tank you can put on some kind of truck and a pump. They are really easy to make. Replacing a gas station takes like 10 minutes in war time.
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And also you want to keep a maximum amount of gas station open, to create this mad pressure queues etc. there is no value scaring Russians out of those queues.
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28 more ships!!! Holy shit.
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On July 11 2026 22:34 Billyboy wrote:
28 more ships!!! Holy shit.
I have somewhat lost count, but roughly estimating, does that mean that Ukraine has sunk about 10% of the russian shadow fleet in about a week?
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On July 11 2026 22:40 Simberto wrote:I have somewhat lost count, but roughly estimating, does that mean that Ukraine has sunk about 10% of the russian shadow fleet in about a week?
78 ships in 5 days. Today 3 were tugboats trying to pull the shit tankers and 25 tankers.
Yeah about 10% given the exact number of shadows unknown. But I’m guessing what ever ones that Russia is paying and not owning themselves are going to stop participating. Clearly Russia has not answer as the number of ships getting his is growing everyday.
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So Lindsey Graham was in Ukraine yesterday, all smiles getting a tour of a 'secret drone making facility' in Kiev
US Senator Lindsey Graham has visited a production facility belonging to Ukrainian defence company SkyFall as part of his trip to Ukraine. The company manufactures many well-known drone models for various purposes.
Details: SkyFall said on 11 July that during his visit to the company's facilities, Graham was shown the development and manufacturing processes for the heavy Vampire bomber drone, various modifications of the Shrike FPV drone, and P1-SUN Shahed interceptors.
Lindsey Graham was also shown new technological solutions soon to appear on the battlefield, and was briefed on the company's training programme, which prepares pilots, technicians and instructors to work with unmanned systems.
Graham described the production facility he saw as one of the most advanced in the world, and said it "would be a big mistake" for the US not to cooperate with Ukraine on drones.
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/07/11/8043595/
Pro Russian sources also talked yesterday about these facilities being immediately bombed according to the Russian MoD, who presumably worked out the location of the drone plant by following Graham
And today he died of a mysterious sudden illness:
Oh well, these things happen. The World is a safer place now in any case
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United States44398 Posts
The infants in the maternity ward that was slated for a ballistic missile strike before the missile was reassigned to a drone factory can breathe a sigh of relief.
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On July 12 2026 17:10 zeo wrote:So Lindsey Graham was in Ukraine yesterday, all smiles getting a tour of a 'secret drone making facility' in Kiev Show nested quote +US Senator Lindsey Graham has visited a production facility belonging to Ukrainian defence company SkyFall as part of his trip to Ukraine. The company manufactures many well-known drone models for various purposes.
Details: SkyFall said on 11 July that during his visit to the company's facilities, Graham was shown the development and manufacturing processes for the heavy Vampire bomber drone, various modifications of the Shrike FPV drone, and P1-SUN Shahed interceptors.
Lindsey Graham was also shown new technological solutions soon to appear on the battlefield, and was briefed on the company's training programme, which prepares pilots, technicians and instructors to work with unmanned systems.
Graham described the production facility he saw as one of the most advanced in the world, and said it "would be a big mistake" for the US not to cooperate with Ukraine on drones. https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/07/11/8043595/https://twitter.com/ZelenskyyUa/status/2075622796819128501Pro Russian sources also talked yesterday about these facilities being immediately bombed according to the Russian MoD, who presumably worked out the location of the drone plant by following Graham https://twitter.com/Alex_Oloyede2/status/2075928451979039101And today he died of a mysterious sudden illness: https://twitter.com/LindseyGrahamSC/status/2076185414721847673Oh well, these things happen. The World is a safer place now in any case
Unfortunately for the infants in the maternity ward, I can't find any evidence that the Skyfall factory that Lindsay graham visited was stuck.
Nevertheless, for once I agree with him. The world is a safer place with Graham's passing. May the hypocritic scumbag rest in peace.
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EPT
