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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 888

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28797 Posts
June 11 2017 18:07 GMT
#17741
Nyxisto objects to the word 'rig'. Rigging election is more specific, my understanding is that it entails directly influencing vote tallys, not indirectly through media pushing a particular narrative. There can still be many ways to rig an election to be fair, but media pushing a certain narrative does not constitute election rigging.
Moderator
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
June 11 2017 18:14 GMT
#17742
I'm not just objecting to the word rigged in some technical sense, I object to the whole idea. Decades ago socialists had to run door to door campaigns handing you pamphlets to get their message across. Nowadays you can get fake stories about the pope endorsing Trump shared by millions on facebook in an hour. It wasn't ever easier to fight the evil mainstream press.

So if you believe that the system is rigged... unrig it? The mainstream media isn't going to stop being the mainstream media

Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22369 Posts
June 11 2017 18:16 GMT
#17743
On June 12 2017 03:05 Nyxisto wrote:
the 'mainstream media' has always favoured certain candidates and derided others, that's true since the printing press exists. Obviously candidates with broad appeal or more moderate positions will have an easier time with established institutions. This weird obsession about 'rigging' is new. What exactly has changed?

People need to shake off the victim complex, losing an election doesn't mean that it's rigged

The people voting have changed? Or maybe its that a new wave of voters has come of age and they have a stronger feeling of their sides being the correct side, so them losing must mean its rigged?

This being a gaming forum one might draw parallels to the feeling that new modern gamers are entitled folk who demand instant gratification.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-11 18:27:00
June 11 2017 18:21 GMT
#17744
Democratic catastrophe:

+ Show Spoiler [Abstention] +
[image loading]

+ Show Spoiler [Votes] +
[image loading]


(Counted FI + PCF for Mélenchon, PS + EELV for Hamon.)

Macron, the most badly elected president of the Vth, will now get the largest majority with the weakest legitimity:

+ Show Spoiler [% of registered voters for the first p…] +
[image loading]


+ Show Spoiler [First estimations] +
[image loading]

+ Show Spoiler [Seat projection] +
[image loading]
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
June 11 2017 18:25 GMT
#17745
On June 12 2017 03:21 TheDwf wrote:
Democratic catastrophe:

+ Show Spoiler [Abstention] +
[image loading]

+ Show Spoiler [Votes] +
[image loading]


(Counted FI + PCF for Mélenchon, PS + EELV for Hamon.)

Macron, the most badly elected president of the Vth, will now get the largest majorities with the weakest legitimity:

+ Show Spoiler [% of registered voters for the first p…] +
[image loading]


+ Show Spoiler [First estimations] +
[image loading]

+ Show Spoiler [Seat projection] +
[image loading]


... because everyone else failed to show up and was more busy counting abstentions.
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
June 11 2017 18:28 GMT
#17746
On June 12 2017 03:25 mahrgell wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 12 2017 03:21 TheDwf wrote:
Democratic catastrophe:

+ Show Spoiler [Abstention] +
[image loading]

+ Show Spoiler [Votes] +
[image loading]


(Counted FI + PCF for Mélenchon, PS + EELV for Hamon.)

Macron, the most badly elected president of the Vth, will now get the largest majorities with the weakest legitimity:

+ Show Spoiler [% of registered voters for the first p…] +
[image loading]


+ Show Spoiler [First estimations] +
[image loading]

+ Show Spoiler [Seat projection] +
[image loading]


... because everyone else failed to show up and was more busy counting abstentions.

People also abstain because of an absurd system, abstention DOUBLED in the span of a single month
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-11 18:40:37
June 11 2017 18:39 GMT
#17747
can't change the system by not participating. Politics is made by determined organisations and not by indifferent majorities. And taking it to the streets is unproductive and will create animosity within the general population. En Marche is actually a good case study to show that organised political action can in fact work.

It's just that too many young voters apparently feel to special to join a party.
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
June 11 2017 18:50 GMT
#17748
HAHAHAHA

Farida Amrani (FI) 35%
Manuel Valls (DVG) 30%
Michel Nouaille (PCF) 15%

BYE BYE VALLS
No vote reserves, gone next week barring surprises
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
June 11 2017 18:51 GMT
#17749
Good riddance. He needed to disappear a long time ago.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
June 11 2017 19:06 GMT
#17750
The other good news is that the FN was crushed

So funny to hear those PS and UMP-LR idiots snivel about the "unique party" in the Assemblée, they had 30 years to change the voting system, they were so happy to block any proportional all those years to get artificially large majorities, now reap what you sow
nojok
Profile Joined May 2011
France15846 Posts
June 11 2017 19:39 GMT
#17751
Damn, it's a ridiculous level of abstention. Not voting is stupid, it's like the 2 minutes in the year when you're about as powerful as anyone else in the country, use it.
"Back then teams that won were credited, now it's called throw. I think it's sad." - Kuroky - Flap Flap Wings!
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-11 20:46:50
June 11 2017 20:36 GMT
#17752
Well I mean, it's a bit easy to complain about democracy only when you lose. There are rules, that are far from being perfect, but that allow any party to be democratically represented in Parliament. If FI/FN voters didn't show up, that's their problem. If FI is unhappy with its score, maybe they should show some introspection and look at the way they appear to many voters.

They should examine how terrible it looks when the only text on FI's official leaflet (the thingie they send to you by mail before the election) is from JLM himself, while there isn't a single sentence from the would-be MP, contrarily to all other candidates (expect the fucking UPR). They should consider the message it sends when the would-be MP's picture is in a 5cm circle behind a 50% opacity blue filter, while Mélenchon's head occupies a quarter of the page. A great way to prove the "Mélenchon is an authoritarian messiah" critics wrong and to show that what really matters is "the program", right ?

They should consider what people understand when Mélenchon does what he himself denounced many times, by auto-dropping in a favourable area in order to get an easy seat to Parliament, thus showing once more that he's a master of the "do what I say, not what I do" philosophy. What it means when Mélenchon simplifies the world in a quite extreme way of "the people vs the oligarchy", thus using a classical far-right method of indoctrination, or when he goes from "France has no future without the Arabs and Berbers from the Maghreb" in 2012 to "Anyone should be able to live in its own country" in 2017. "Dégagisme" ? Yes, but not applied to himself, apparently. Will he even resign after this failure, as would happen in any real and half-democratic party or movement, or will he keep being at the head of a movement that only rests on his shoulders ?

Mélenchon went all-in on the Presidential election, with a very successful marketing campaign ; he went for a heavily nationalistic stance, dropping symbols of the far-left/left, trying to use cheap rethoric to bring in people who aren't interested in politics in the first place and only vote for the Presidential election. By doing all that he essentially killed the left, and killed it again with his campaign strategy for the Législatives of trying to be the only left-wing opposition instead of fighting directly against LRM or the FN. Yes, he's a major actor of left-wing opposition, now. But now, left-wing opposition as a whole is less than 20% of the votes. You reap what you sow. But yeah, keep blaming the "mediacrats", the "oligarchy", the "system", that'll get you very far.
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12461 Posts
June 11 2017 20:48 GMT
#17753
On June 12 2017 05:36 OtherWorld wrote:
By doing all that he essentially killed the left.


I didn't take time to think about everything you wrote so I won't oppose your entire message, but people really need to do away with this whole "the far left kills the left" that seems to pop up just about anywhere these days. The notion can be attacked on the principle of honesty alone cause more centrist leftwingers can change their position left or right on the political scale without ever being accused of anything like that. It takes more to kill a powerful party than someone on their left saying some stuff that people want, and if you don't know that already, you should.
No will to live, no wish to die
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-11 20:59:07
June 11 2017 20:51 GMT
#17754
On June 12 2017 05:48 Nebuchad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 12 2017 05:36 OtherWorld wrote:
By doing all that he essentially killed the left.


I didn't take time to think about everything you wrote so I won't oppose your entire message, but people really need to do away with this whole "the far left kills the left" that seems to pop up just about anywhere these days. The notion can be attacked on the principle of honesty alone cause more centrist leftwingers can change their position left or right on the political scale without ever being accused of anything like that. It takes more to kill a powerful party than someone on their left saying some stuff that people want, and if you don't know that already, you should.

I'm not saying the far-left killed the left at all. I'm precisely saying that Mélenchon had his part in killing the left because he tried to be "outside the left/right divide" (like any bland politican tries to be these days, from Le Pen to Macron) instead of assuming his leftism. I mean for fuck's sake, the guy even called some people "gauchistes" as an insult. You read that right, a presumably far-left candidate used "leftist" in a negative way to characterize people who were criticizing him. In what world ? Mélenchon didn't try to unite the left, he tried to conquer the left. What a surprise that he failed.
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12461 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-11 20:59:35
June 11 2017 20:58 GMT
#17755
On June 12 2017 05:51 OtherWorld wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 12 2017 05:48 Nebuchad wrote:
On June 12 2017 05:36 OtherWorld wrote:
By doing all that he essentially killed the left.


I didn't take time to think about everything you wrote so I won't oppose your entire message, but people really need to do away with this whole "the far left kills the left" that seems to pop up just about anywhere these days. The notion can be attacked on the principle of honesty alone cause more centrist leftwingers can change their position left or right on the political scale without ever being accused of anything like that. It takes more to kill a powerful party than someone on their left saying some stuff that people want, and if you don't know that already, you should.

I'm not saying the far-left killed the left at all. I'm precisely saying that Mélenchon had his part in killing the left because he tried to be "outside the left/right divide" (like any bland politican tries to be these days, from Le Pen to Macron) instead of assuming his leftism.


Had his part I can go with, that's certainly true; but it's true in a not particulary interesting fashion. His part was massively overshadowed by things like Hollande deciding to go with a Loi-Travail that displeases record amounts of people on the left, his own base, or Hamon running a very poor campaign (despite having, in my opinion, a much better program and a much better strategy than Mélenchon on one side and Valls on the other). And despite that it's not really common to hear that those ideas or those people killed the left - not that I want to see it become common, mind you, cause it's not really an interesting murder to discuss, I'd rather talk about the resurrection.
No will to live, no wish to die
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
June 11 2017 21:00 GMT
#17756
Ah damn, the scores about Valls were a hoax, it seems he's actually leading; but he still has decent chances to lose next week

Mélenchon wiped the floor with the local fauxcialist and will face some Macron candidate. He has good chances but an "accident" isn't excluded

Le Pen arrives first with 46% (+4 compared with 2012) and will face some Macron candidate. The most idiotic left in the world was divided between 3 candidates at the left of the PS, so the EM candidate gets second... There's a very small chance that Le Pen loses next week but I don't think she will.

Hamon eliminated rofl, as useless as in the presidential

Filipetti, former minister, left-wing of the PS, eliminated

Cambadélis, first secretary of the PS, eliminated, apparently not even 10% of the votes lol (42% in 2012)

Pascale Boistard, former minister and former député, arrives... fifth! in her district, haha

Karine Berger, pseudo-left-wing of the PS who sabotaged the separation of deposit & investment banks bill, beaten as well, excellent

Malek Boutih, Valls' opportunist minion who wanted to get the EM investiture, was denied, then was still candidate for the PS, eliminated, hahaha

Emmanuelle Cosse (Green), former minister, the very face of opportunism in politics, eliminated

Not everything is lost tonight, so much fun seeing all the social-democrats destroyed
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
June 11 2017 21:03 GMT
#17757
On June 12 2017 05:58 Nebuchad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 12 2017 05:51 OtherWorld wrote:
On June 12 2017 05:48 Nebuchad wrote:
On June 12 2017 05:36 OtherWorld wrote:
By doing all that he essentially killed the left.


I didn't take time to think about everything you wrote so I won't oppose your entire message, but people really need to do away with this whole "the far left kills the left" that seems to pop up just about anywhere these days. The notion can be attacked on the principle of honesty alone cause more centrist leftwingers can change their position left or right on the political scale without ever being accused of anything like that. It takes more to kill a powerful party than someone on their left saying some stuff that people want, and if you don't know that already, you should.

I'm not saying the far-left killed the left at all. I'm precisely saying that Mélenchon had his part in killing the left because he tried to be "outside the left/right divide" (like any bland politican tries to be these days, from Le Pen to Macron) instead of assuming his leftism.


Had his part I can go with, that's certainly true; but it's true in a not particulary interesting fashion. His part was massively overshadowed by things like Hollande deciding to go with a Loi-Travail that displeases record amounts of people on the left, his own base, or Hamon running a very poor campaign (despite having, in my opinion, a much better program and a much better strategy than Mélenchon on one side and Valls on the other). And despite that it's not really common to hear that those ideas or those people killed the left - not that I want to see it become common, mind you, cause it's not really an interesting murder to discuss, I'd rather talk about the resurrection.

Fair enough. I guess we can say that he gave the last stabs in a dying body, then ?

Though, to be fair, Hollande didn't really kill the left, as his contested measures gave rise a quite big wave of frondeurs (49.3 and the rest is history), who could have been the renaissance of the French left. But two things failed them : many of them not uniting fully behind Hamon while the PS itself was ambivalent, and failing to ally with Mélenchon and/or attract his voters.
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
stilt
Profile Joined October 2012
France2755 Posts
June 11 2017 21:11 GMT
#17758
On June 12 2017 03:50 TheDwf wrote:
HAHAHAHA

Farida Amrani (FI) 35%
Manuel Valls (DVG) 30%
Michel Nouaille (PCF) 15%

BYE BYE VALLS
No vote reserves, gone next week barring surprises


And El Khomri?
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
June 11 2017 21:13 GMT
#17759
On June 12 2017 06:11 stilt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 12 2017 03:50 TheDwf wrote:
HAHAHAHA

Farida Amrani (FI) 35%
Manuel Valls (DVG) 30%
Michel Nouaille (PCF) 15%

BYE BYE VALLS
No vote reserves, gone next week barring surprises


And El Khomri?

Advances and faces the other right-wing candidate in the second round Idiotic Caroline de Haas with her "union of the left" blocked the FI candidate, who arrives third but can't advance

Anyway they would have united to make the FI candidate lose, but still...
stilt
Profile Joined October 2012
France2755 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-11 21:25:33
June 11 2017 21:23 GMT
#17760
On June 12 2017 05:36 OtherWorld wrote:
Well I mean, it's a bit easy to complain about democracy only when you lose. There are rules, that are far from being perfect, but that allow any party to be democratically represented in Parliament. If FI/FN voters didn't show up, that's their problem. If FI is unhappy with its score, maybe they should show some introspection and look at the way they appear to many voters.

They should examine how terrible it looks when the only text on FI's official leaflet (the thingie they send to you by mail before the election) is from JLM himself, while there isn't a single sentence from the would-be MP, contrarily to all other candidates (expect the fucking UPR). They should consider the message it sends when the would-be MP's picture is in a 5cm circle behind a 50% opacity blue filter, while Mélenchon's head occupies a quarter of the page. A great way to prove the "Mélenchon is an authoritarian messiah" critics wrong and to show that what really matters is "the program", right ?

They should consider what people understand when Mélenchon does what he himself denounced many times, by auto-dropping in a favourable area in order to get an easy seat to Parliament, thus showing once more that he's a master of the "do what I say, not what I do" philosophy. What it means when Mélenchon simplifies the world in a quite extreme way of "the people vs the oligarchy", thus using a classical far-right method of indoctrination, or when he goes from "France has no future without the Arabs and Berbers from the Maghreb" in 2012 to "Anyone should be able to live in its own country" in 2017. "Dégagisme" ? Yes, but not applied to himself, apparently. Will he even resign after this failure, as would happen in any real and half-democratic party or movement, or will he keep being at the head of a movement that only rests on his shoulders ?

Mélenchon went all-in on the Presidential election, with a very successful marketing campaign ; he went for a heavily nationalistic stance, dropping symbols of the far-left/left, trying to use cheap rethoric to bring in people who aren't interested in politics in the first place and only vote for the Presidential election. By doing all that he essentially killed the left, and killed it again with his campaign strategy for the Législatives of trying to be the only left-wing opposition instead of fighting directly against LRM or the FN. Yes, he's a major actor of left-wing opposition, now. But now, left-wing opposition as a whole is less than 20% of the votes. You reap what you sow. But yeah, keep blaming the "mediacrats", the "oligarchy", the "system", that'll get you very far.


You're funny, but you have no idea of what you're saying. The left is dead long ago with the fall of the communist party, (In fact, the liberal event that is mai 68 was a huge blow (yes despite the enormous soicla progress, it is a pyrhus victory for me) for the left because the power switched from the factories to the universities and the desinstrualisation has increased it, at this time, the elite took fully the grasp of the political force named the left in France. However, despite this blow, it seems like it"s begin to come back nowadays, unless the left for you is represented by the ps but hey, this party created by a collabo and helped by collabos like Rene Bousquet which is only good for the carrierist and commited a shitons of betrays and corruptions is the "left" for you. Macron presidence should reinforce it despite the help of the mainstream medias who every days say how he is sooo great just because the mass licencements that will permit this law will make ppl quite sad while the Philippot-"leftist"-axis of the fn is crumbling against the more liberal and racist part of the party.
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