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UK Politics Mega-thread - Page 84

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Posts containing only Tweets or articles adds nothing to the discussions. Therefore, when providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion.
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Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9847 Posts
June 11 2016 11:28 GMT
#1661
Corbyn is an outsider taking on a massively funded, well trained and entrenched political machine.
Not only that, he's doing so with a complete lack of any charisma, or allies with charisma.
I would say he's pretty brave.
RIP Meatloaf <3
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-11 11:55:28
June 11 2016 11:53 GMT
#1662
On June 11 2016 09:26 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
The point is remain is relying far more on the flakiest voters.The youth vote and the ethnic minority vote will always have far lower turnout than those 65+. Like you said look at the scottish result, decided by 65+ worried about losing their pension.


Questions
Who has the momentum?
Which side appears more enthusiastic?
What direction are those 65+ leaning?

What is your point? That the vote is determined by white 65+ therefore leave will be the result? But lets indulge you by answering your questions as related to the Scottish referendum.

1) Momentum is a meaningless metric for reality of voting on the day. It's only a buzzword for describing changes recorded by innacurate voting polls. Momentum was overwhelmingly described with being for "Yes".
2 )"Yes" was overwhelmingly more enthusiastic. To the point that in these forums, they were already celebrating, until the result came in.
3) The majority of 65+ voted "No".

Actual outcome was "No".

What can you learn from this? Pointless metrics will always be pointless.
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8081 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-11 12:01:41
June 11 2016 11:55 GMT
#1663
On June 11 2016 20:28 Jockmcplop wrote:
Corbyn is an outsider taking on a massively funded, well trained and entrenched political machine.
Not only that, he's doing so with a complete lack of any charisma, or allies with charisma.
I would say he's pretty brave.

I think the main problem is that the media somewhat decided to sabotage his leadership.

I really like Corbyn. He is rerouting the labour to the left, where it belongs. You don't need to be left yourself to recognize the need for a left and a right party in a functioning democracy, and since the New Labour, English people have the choice between right, centre right, a liberal right and now a far right party.

Also if Corbyn doesn't have the charisma a Johnson displays, he has a phenomenal integrity (maybe that's the problem?) which is really refreshing. He is principled, and says what he thinks.

I am quite pessimistic on the outcome, because when you have the tabloids, the Murdoch press and the BBC firing at you constantly with newspapers of your side such as the Guardian being for the least ambivalent, you are a bit fucked.

Like in most places, I think the media is not independent enough in the UK, and that it is an actual threat to a healthy political life.

Now maybe you are right, and the party is simply not ready to shift further to the left at the moment. Corbyn does seem isolated, and it also has to do with the fact that many in the Labour simply reject his leadership. In any case, the rebirth of a left wing voice in English politics will be a long road it seems, if it ever happens.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9847 Posts
June 11 2016 12:03 GMT
#1664
I agree with Corbyn on many things, especially the way he conducts himself personally, which to my mind is FAR superior to anyone else at this level in years (John Major was OK I guess).
I just think he needs allies who are able to captivate an audience when they speak. Someone who can sway undecideds. Someone young, intelligent and brilliant. These people are out there, but instead we're stuck with the likes of Diane Abbott, who might as well be constantly taking a massive shit on Corbyn's prospects with her reactionary, insane left wing shouting.
He needs a Mhairi Black, basically.
RIP Meatloaf <3
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
June 11 2016 13:15 GMT
#1665
Like in most places, I think the media is not independent enough in the UK, and that it is an actual threat to a healthy political life.


Yes and no. I think that the problem is that far too many people read (and believe) bullshitpapers like Daily Mail, Sun etc. Like, they're literally cancerous.
On track to MA1950A.
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9847 Posts
June 11 2016 13:30 GMT
#1666
Literally?
RIP Meatloaf <3
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4416 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-11 14:26:55
June 11 2016 14:21 GMT
#1667
On June 11 2016 20:53 Dangermousecatdog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 11 2016 09:26 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
The point is remain is relying far more on the flakiest voters.The youth vote and the ethnic minority vote will always have far lower turnout than those 65+. Like you said look at the scottish result, decided by 65+ worried about losing their pension.


Questions
Who has the momentum?
Which side appears more enthusiastic?
What direction are those 65+ leaning?

What is your point? That the vote is determined by white 65+ therefore leave will be the result? But lets indulge you by answering your questions as related to the Scottish referendum.

1) Momentum is a meaningless metric for reality of voting on the day. It's only a buzzword for describing changes recorded by innacurate voting polls. Momentum was overwhelmingly described with being for "Yes".
2 )"Yes" was overwhelmingly more enthusiastic. To the point that in these forums, they were already celebrating, until the result came in.
3) The majority of 65+ voted "No".

Actual outcome was "No".

What can you learn from this? Pointless metrics will always be pointless.

My point is, if you're relying on the flakiest voters to win you a referendum you're in for disappointment.I wouldn't be calling the 53% turnout for 18-24s in the scottish poll enthusiasm, compared to the 92% turnout for over 85s?

Good luck getting the youth energised enough to vote because we all know the old timers will be out in numbers.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
MoonfireSpam
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom1153 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-11 16:51:03
June 11 2016 16:43 GMT
#1668
Haven't really seen a convincing argument to vote either way. Seems to be standard PR from two sides of the same turd with a garnish of random anti immigration / terrorism. Colour me a member of the disenfranchised youth and mostly still too pissed off at the whole Hunt vs All Doctor shit that has been swept back under the carpet.

Admittedly my only real life experience is when a vote leave person said I should vote leave because they don't want immigrants in the UK to me (who happens to be ethnically Chinese) because then more Brits wouldn't have to compete for jobs, terrorists would have a harder time getting in, and houses would get cheaper. And my only media exposure has been snippets of various televised debates, which judging by Jeremy Hunt's "interpretation" of evidence means they are on the "make anything up to suit my own agenda" tier of evidence.
bardtown
Profile Joined June 2011
England2313 Posts
June 11 2016 17:19 GMT
#1669
On June 12 2016 01:43 MoonfireSpam wrote:
Haven't really seen a convincing argument to vote either way. Seems to be standard PR from two sides of the same turd with a garnish of random anti immigration / terrorism. Colour me a member of the disenfranchised youth and mostly still too pissed off at the whole Hunt vs All Doctor shit that has been swept back under the carpet.

Admittedly my only real life experience is when a vote leave person said I should vote leave because they don't want immigrants in the UK to me (who happens to be ethnically Chinese) because then more Brits wouldn't have to compete for jobs, terrorists would have a harder time getting in, and houses would get cheaper. And my only media exposure has been snippets of various televised debates, which judging by Jeremy Hunt's "interpretation" of evidence means they are on the "make anything up to suit my own agenda" tier of evidence.


Plenty of arguments for both sides. Remain has an edge on short term economics, Leave on immigration and democracy. But surely you have some instinct as to your political stance on the EU? As far as I'm concerned it's either a vote to encourage an undemocratic institution with aims of creating a superstate regardless of the cost, or a vote to topple it, assuming, or at least hoping, that other EU countries follow us out.
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
June 11 2016 17:46 GMT
#1670
On June 11 2016 22:30 Jockmcplop wrote:
Literally?


Yes, literally. Read up what cancerous means. Hint: there's more to that word than a pathological condition.
On track to MA1950A.
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
June 11 2016 17:51 GMT
#1671
On June 11 2016 23:21 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 11 2016 20:53 Dangermousecatdog wrote:
On June 11 2016 09:26 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
The point is remain is relying far more on the flakiest voters.The youth vote and the ethnic minority vote will always have far lower turnout than those 65+. Like you said look at the scottish result, decided by 65+ worried about losing their pension.


Questions
Who has the momentum?
Which side appears more enthusiastic?
What direction are those 65+ leaning?

What is your point? That the vote is determined by white 65+ therefore leave will be the result? But lets indulge you by answering your questions as related to the Scottish referendum.

1) Momentum is a meaningless metric for reality of voting on the day. It's only a buzzword for describing changes recorded by innacurate voting polls. Momentum was overwhelmingly described with being for "Yes".
2 )"Yes" was overwhelmingly more enthusiastic. To the point that in these forums, they were already celebrating, until the result came in.
3) The majority of 65+ voted "No".

Actual outcome was "No".

What can you learn from this? Pointless metrics will always be pointless.

My point is, if you're relying on the flakiest voters to win you a referendum you're in for disappointment.I wouldn't be calling the 53% turnout for 18-24s in the scottish poll enthusiasm, compared to the 92% turnout for over 85s?

Good luck getting the youth energised enough to vote because we all know the old timers will be out in numbers.
You seem very emotionallycharged for someone purporting to give a prediction on the referendum. You should calm down a little. You also seem rather fixated on the word "flakiest". Those who will vote will vote. Also who exactly is this "you" which you keep refering to?
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-11 17:54:05
June 11 2016 17:53 GMT
#1672
On June 12 2016 02:46 m4ini wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 11 2016 22:30 Jockmcplop wrote:
Literally?


Yes, literally. Read up what cancerous means. Hint: there's more to that word than a pathological condition.

No, not when use "literally cancerous". It doesn't mean what you think it means, no matter what linguistical hurdles you leap through. Otherwise you would use "cancerous" alone.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
June 11 2016 18:01 GMT
#1673
Literally is the new figuratively for like ten years now, come on
kollin
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United Kingdom8380 Posts
June 11 2016 18:30 GMT
#1674
I wonder if all the people arguing that the EU is I democratic will be so passionate about removing both the House of Lords and the monarchy after the referendum - especially as they both give us far fewer benefits than the EU
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43989 Posts
June 11 2016 18:35 GMT
#1675
On June 12 2016 03:30 kollin wrote:
I wonder if all the people arguing that the EU is I democratic will be so passionate about removing both the House of Lords and the monarchy after the referendum - especially as they both give us far fewer benefits than the EU

The monarchy has been a democratic institution for over a hundred years at this point. As for the House of Lords, reform is already on the table and has been being implemented for decades.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
kollin
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United Kingdom8380 Posts
June 11 2016 18:50 GMT
#1676
If a member of any other democratic institution turned up to a party in a Nazi uniform (except the Nazi party admittedly), then they would not remain a member of it for long. I'll admit my understanding of the constitutional monarchy is limited, but I don't see how the monarchy can ever be truly democratic or representative of the people.
Also while House of Lords reform is being put in place, I was more highlighting the wilful ignorance of a lot of Leave supporters to the problems in our own democracy as well as to the extent that the EU is democratic.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43989 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-11 19:52:42
June 11 2016 19:52 GMT
#1677
He was a kid at a fucking fancy dress party. It was poor judgement but it was also in his private life and he's not the monarch, the heir to the monarch or the heir to the heir to the monarch. I have no idea how fancy dress parties are meant to be breaking democracy but I'm pretty sure you don't either.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
kollin
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United Kingdom8380 Posts
June 11 2016 20:07 GMT
#1678
What about Prince Charles using his position of power to lobby the cabinet?
http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/ng-interactive/2015/may/13/read-the-prince-charles-black-spider-memos-in-full
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43989 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-11 20:37:23
June 11 2016 20:36 GMT
#1679
On June 12 2016 05:07 kollin wrote:
What about Prince Charles using his position of power to lobby the cabinet?
http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/ng-interactive/2015/may/13/read-the-prince-charles-black-spider-memos-in-full

And which powers did he use to lobby them? Out of curiousity, which powers do you think Prince Charles has? It looks to me a lot like he used the power of words to lobby them. I have that power too. Did he offer them perks at his disposal as prince? Or to use his influence to damage them or help them? You seem to be intent on attacking the monarchy as undemocratic but writing letters as a private citizen or wearing fancy dress costumes just aren't ammunition for the case you're making.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
kollin
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United Kingdom8380 Posts
June 11 2016 20:53 GMT
#1680
You can use the power of words yes, but you can't invite the prime minister over for afternoon tea. To say that Prince Charles has no more ability to influence the government as you or I pretty clearly isn't true, and he certainly wasn't elected into the position he holds. The fact our head of state is chosen by accident of birth is inherently undemocratic, and while it's hard to imagine the current queen using any of the powers that she does theoretically hold, but the fact she holds them in the first time just underlines my point.
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