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UK Politics Mega-thread - Page 83

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In order to ensure that this thread meets TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we ask that everyone please adhere to this mod note.

Posts containing only Tweets or articles adds nothing to the discussions. Therefore, when providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments will be actioned upon.

All in all, please continue to enjoy posting in TL General and partake in discussions as much as you want! But please be respectful when posting or replying to someone. There is a clear difference between constructive criticism/discussion and just plain being rude and insulting.

https://www.registertovote.service.gov.uk
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-05-24 15:20:28
May 24 2016 15:19 GMT
#1641
But i thought the UK paid farmers to grow certain type of crops to prevent such problems (i.e. Subsidized What which will always be low) that and why doesn't Cameron offer tax breaks to farmers who hire domestically to court their vote?
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-05-24 15:48:24
May 24 2016 15:31 GMT
#1642
Why would he need to court their vote? Farmers are a very small population. Since it's a referundum instead of a normal regional FPTP system, what counts are numbers. Most farmers are essentially reliant of seasonal low paid immigrant labour from the EU, even if they weren't massively subsidised, so as the article rather badly posits, the vast majority of farmers would like to remain in the EU. In any case it is likely that no matter what happens, such matters will stay the same. And how would David Cameron offer tax breaks or any other incentive? A significan't amount of Conservative backbenchers will rebel, and most likely the everybody else who isn't a famer will deliberately vote to leave in disgust.

Anyways, that article is a confused mish mash. It has a lot of words that doesn't say much to a British observer.
Shield
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
Bulgaria4824 Posts
May 27 2016 19:10 GMT
#1643
I thought it was fair that I can't vote in EU referendum because I'm not British, but then I've heard about some Australians who live in the UK and are able to vote just because they're from the Commonwealth countries or something like that. How are Australians even remotely European? They shouldn't have a say just like the rest of us who aren't British.
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
June 01 2016 06:45 GMT
#1644
On May 28 2016 04:10 Shield wrote:
I thought it was fair that I can't vote in EU referendum because I'm not British, but then I've heard about some Australians who live in the UK and are able to vote just because they're from the Commonwealth countries or something like that. How are Australians even remotely European? They shouldn't have a say just like the rest of us who aren't British.


Because in British law people from other commonwealth countries technically are not foreigners, but I don't think they are automatically allowed to vote, I think they must have to have been in the UK for quite a while.
jello_biafra
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
United Kingdom6641 Posts
June 01 2016 21:51 GMT
#1645
On June 01 2016 15:45 Zaros wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 28 2016 04:10 Shield wrote:
I thought it was fair that I can't vote in EU referendum because I'm not British, but then I've heard about some Australians who live in the UK and are able to vote just because they're from the Commonwealth countries or something like that. How are Australians even remotely European? They shouldn't have a say just like the rest of us who aren't British.


Because in British law people from other commonwealth countries technically are not foreigners, but I don't think they are automatically allowed to vote, I think they must have to have been in the UK for quite a while.

I believe people from the commonwealth, Ireland and Malta can vote if they're resident in the UK, which could technically be the day they arrive.
The road to hell is paved with good intentions | aka Probert[PaiN] @ iccup / godlikeparagon @ twitch | my BW stream: http://www.teamliquid.net/video/streams/jello_biafra
DrCooper
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany261 Posts
June 04 2016 09:37 GMT
#1646
As someone from Germany, this strikes me as very odd. People blame the EU for domestic issues instead of the parties in power. This is like a football team who isn't doing so well blaming the premier league instead of the coach and management.
I don't see why Britain would want to leave, "take back control" - over what?
Immigration? They already have a great deal of control, and if Britain left it's not like there would be no immigrantion to and from Britain. Trade? Britain will still have to comply with EU regulations if they want to sell goods to Europe, which they will.
If somebody wants to give me a few points I'd be glad, I genuinely don't know why there are so many advocates for Brexit.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43989 Posts
June 04 2016 09:58 GMT
#1647
On June 04 2016 18:37 DrCooper wrote:
As someone from Germany, this strikes me as very odd. People blame the EU for domestic issues instead of the parties in power. This is like a football team who isn't doing so well blaming the premier league instead of the coach and management.
I don't see why Britain would want to leave, "take back control" - over what?
Immigration? They already have a great deal of control, and if Britain left it's not like there would be no immigrantion to and from Britain. Trade? Britain will still have to comply with EU regulations if they want to sell goods to Europe, which they will.
If somebody wants to give me a few points I'd be glad, I genuinely don't know why there are so many advocates for Brexit.

Regarding immigration, the common market intrinsically means free movement of EU citizens. A lot of people are upset by a lot of non European immigrants and get confused about the difference between Bangladeshis and Poles and think that leaving the EU will stop the Bangladeshis. There's also a "they're stealing our benefits aspect". Again, not necessarily true but still a factor in the decision for many people.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
June 06 2016 03:51 GMT
#1648
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4416 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-08 10:07:00
June 08 2016 10:02 GMT
#1649
Fact is, even if they remain now they've set a precedent by having the vote.In Italy now for example 48% would vote to leave the EU right now http://www.thelocal.it/20160509/almost-half-of-all-italians-want-to-leave-eu-poll

The EU experiment has been a monumental failure for all bar Germany (no other EU country can match Germanys manufacturing productivity and Germany keeps the Euro currency too strong for them to compete) and now even Germany is seeing severe strain with the migrant issue.

Anti EU parties are rising all over Europe, more countries will have this vote.The debt problems in Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain have not been solved, nor will they ever be under the Euro.We are watching the dying days of the EU experiment.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4416 Posts
June 08 2016 10:53 GMT
#1650
UK trade balance with Europe widened to RECORD 24 GBP in Q1 2016.And Cameron is running an economics based scare campaign?

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/may/10/uk-trade-deficit-hits-new-record-of-24bn-pounds-eu-referendum-brexit
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43989 Posts
June 08 2016 14:45 GMT
#1651
The primary and most important role of the EU experiment has always been to entangle the economies of France and Germany so as to make another European war undesirable. That was the stated aim of the foundation of the EU back when it was the European Coal and Steel Community. These days the idea that we'd need an organization to keep Germany and France from each others' throats is laughable, the two countries don't really have any cause for conflict. But 70 years ago they seemed destined to clash over and over again, tearing Europe apart each time. The prevailing thought was that Germany would always seek to dominate Europe militarily and only foreign occupation (which incidentally is still ongoing) and demilitarization would forcibly prevent it. It is within that context that the ECSC was founded and with the aim of ending that cycle, not increasing economic growth or anything else.

So as outdated as it may seem the true test for "has the EU failed" is really "are the Germans goosestepping across the Rhine?". If they're not, well, that's a good day. Similarly on the economy, "are we devoting most of our economic output to defeating Germany?". If no, well, that's a great day.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4416 Posts
June 08 2016 22:42 GMT
#1652
On June 08 2016 23:45 KwarK wrote:
The primary and most important role of the EU experiment has always been to entangle the economies of France and Germany so as to make another European war undesirable. That was the stated aim of the foundation of the EU back when it was the European Coal and Steel Community. These days the idea that we'd need an organization to keep Germany and France from each others' throats is laughable, the two countries don't really have any cause for conflict. But 70 years ago they seemed destined to clash over and over again, tearing Europe apart each time. The prevailing thought was that Germany would always seek to dominate Europe militarily and only foreign occupation (which incidentally is still ongoing) and demilitarization would forcibly prevent it. It is within that context that the ECSC was founded and with the aim of ending that cycle, not increasing economic growth or anything else.

So as outdated as it may seem the true test for "has the EU failed" is really "are the Germans goosestepping across the Rhine?". If they're not, well, that's a good day. Similarly on the economy, "are we devoting most of our economic output to defeating Germany?". If no, well, that's a great day.

NATO does the same thing surely but i would argue NATOs sabre rattling toward Russia is a far more serious threat than any possible internal war between nations in Europe.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4416 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-08 22:45:59
June 08 2016 22:42 GMT
#1653
double post
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
June 10 2016 17:12 GMT
#1654
I sense that Leave has really gained momentum the past couple of weeks especially with Purdah. Most of the debates seem to be going reasonably well and now the labour vote is turning to leave as well as a large amount of the conservative vote. I wouldn't be suprised if Leave ended up winning which seemed almost impossible few months ago.







Shield
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
Bulgaria4824 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-10 18:28:41
June 10 2016 18:21 GMT
#1655
On June 04 2016 18:37 DrCooper wrote:
As someone from Germany, this strikes me as very odd. People blame the EU for domestic issues instead of the parties in power. This is like a football team who isn't doing so well blaming the premier league instead of the coach and management.
I don't see why Britain would want to leave, "take back control" - over what?
Immigration? They already have a great deal of control, and if Britain left it's not like there would be no immigrantion to and from Britain. Trade? Britain will still have to comply with EU regulations if they want to sell goods to Europe, which they will.
If somebody wants to give me a few points I'd be glad, I genuinely don't know why there are so many advocates for Brexit.


I've always had great respect for Germany, and I think Germany should be the example here. Do you really want to tell me EU is bad for the UK? Let me point out that Germany is strong EU supporter, it has higher GDP than the UK and is not having a referendum to leave. Just please don't mention refugees in Germany because they're not even European! Yes, some EU leaders made mistakes last summer but you still have border control over non-EU immigration.



I honestly don't trust such polls when they're so close. You saw what happened to the Scottish referendum. I guess we just need to wait until 23rd June.
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
June 10 2016 19:42 GMT
#1656
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9847 Posts
June 10 2016 20:59 GMT
#1657
I still think people will vote to stay. There's always a good number of undecideds who end up keeping to the status quo.
RIP Meatloaf <3
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4416 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-11 00:27:31
June 11 2016 00:26 GMT
#1658
The point is remain is relying far more on the flakiest voters.The youth vote and the ethnic minority vote will always have far lower turnout than those 65+.Like you said look at the scottish result, decided by 65+ worried about losing their pension.


Questions
Who has the momentum?
Which side appears more enthusiastic?
What direction are those 65+ leaning?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4416 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-11 01:35:58
June 11 2016 01:31 GMT
#1659
On June 11 2016 02:12 Zaros wrote:
now the labour vote is turning to leave as well


Hardly surprising.What is sad though is how spineless Corbyn is by now publicly backing remain.Observe this HuffPost article he wrote last year....

http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/jeremy-corbyn/greece-economy_b_7688576.html

“[If] Greece leaves both the eurozone and the EU its future would be uncertain, but at least it could be its own. … There is no future for a usurious Europe that turns its smaller nations into colonies of debt peonage.”


And again, this time from 1993....

http://www.theyworkforyou.com/debates/?id=1993-05-20a.389.4

“I am sure that [Labour MPs] will vote against the Maastricht treaty again tonight, primarily because it takes away from national Parliaments the power to set economic policy and hands it over to an unelected set of bankers”



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
kollin
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United Kingdom8380 Posts
June 11 2016 11:26 GMT
#1660
Corbyn is many things but I'm pretty sure spineless is not one of them, he's the leader of his party not a dictator. Boris Johnson on the other hand, who over the past two or three years has said multiple times how Britain is stronger in the EU and has now changed his tune...
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