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UK Politics Mega-thread - Page 497

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In order to ensure that this thread meets TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we ask that everyone please adhere to this mod note.

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https://www.registertovote.service.gov.uk
solidbebe
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Netherlands4921 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-03-21 20:29:29
March 21 2019 20:28 GMT
#9921
On March 22 2019 03:58 Zaros wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
https://twitter.com/adamfleming/status/1108803953897148416

not sure what this means

Please no dear lord
That's the 2nd time in a week I've seen someone sig a quote from this GD and I have never witnessed a sig quote happen in my TL history ever before. -Najda
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11739 Posts
March 21 2019 20:41 GMT
#9922
I still hope that one way or another, this charade will be over in slightly over a week. An extension just so the brits can have two more months of this nonsense is utterly pointless.
Longshank
Profile Joined March 2010
1648 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-03-21 21:00:19
March 21 2019 20:59 GMT
#9923
On March 22 2019 04:57 Oukka wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 22 2019 03:58 Zaros wrote:


not sure what this means


I have a hunch that EU is hoping for the deal to be accepted now. Second best option for them is to incite a change in the UK either through the second vote becoming a policy or general election. They're not ready to drop UK out without a deal yet, but eventually that has to end, prolonging the inevitable if nothing changes in London does not help anyone.


In the meanwhile both businesses and unions were writing to May urging her to change the approach to Brexit
.

The reports I've read/seen says that the EU, after May's speach and the reaction among MPs, accepts that the deal won't go through next week. Pressure was put on May to lay out her plan in case of defeat but she refused to give any answers. The UK will have to decide by April 11 if they're going to hold european election which would mean a longer extension. Basically they can't mess around until May 7, there need to be a decission by April 11. That's the theory anyway. It sounds like they're sidestepping May and gives parliament one last chance to sort it out.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22083 Posts
March 21 2019 21:02 GMT
#9924
On March 22 2019 05:59 Longshank wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 22 2019 04:57 Oukka wrote:
On March 22 2019 03:58 Zaros wrote:
https://twitter.com/adamfleming/status/1108803953897148416

not sure what this means


I have a hunch that EU is hoping for the deal to be accepted now. Second best option for them is to incite a change in the UK either through the second vote becoming a policy or general election. They're not ready to drop UK out without a deal yet, but eventually that has to end, prolonging the inevitable if nothing changes in London does not help anyone.


In the meanwhile both businesses and unions were writing to May urging her to change the approach to Brexit
.

The reports I've read/seen says that the EU, after May's speach and the reaction among MPs, accepts that the deal won't go through next week. Pressure was put on May to lay out her plan in case of defeat but she refused to give any answers. The UK will have to decide by April 11 if they're going to hold european election which would mean a longer extension. Basically they can't mess around until May 7, there need to be a decission by April 11. That's the theory anyway. It sounds like they're sidestepping May and gives parliament one last chance to sort it out.
The original draft of an extension until May 22nd if Parliament passes the deal next week accomplished that well enough imo without stretching on this pointless time waste any longer then necessary.

An unconditional extension just means this exact same situation will play out a week before the next deadline. And heaven forbid it all gets moved to the end of the year....

It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Oukka
Profile Blog Joined September 2012
Finland1683 Posts
March 21 2019 21:09 GMT
#9925
The best part about a long extension at this point would be May's resignation. That could actually break the current deadlock. Short delays are more than likely not enough to solve the underlying issues with parliamentary arithmetics and internal tory splits.
I play children's card games and watch a lot of dota, CS and HS
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10845 Posts
March 21 2019 21:16 GMT
#9926
What exactly would May's resignation do at this point? From all that we hear, dealmaking is over... What would a new face do?
Oukka
Profile Blog Joined September 2012
Finland1683 Posts
March 21 2019 21:22 GMT
#9927
Revoke article 50 in order to try with different terms? As in change the UK stance fundamentally, either via another referendum, or loosen the red lines over issues such as customs union.
I play children's card games and watch a lot of dota, CS and HS
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10845 Posts
March 21 2019 21:28 GMT
#9928
There are no diffrent terms... Wtf is so hard to understand about this.

Freedom of movement and all the stuff the Brexit really want is non negotiable for the EU. The Backstop is allready the idea with the most "british" outcome. W T F do you want to renegotiate?
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-03-21 21:31:39
March 21 2019 21:30 GMT
#9929
There's not enough time even if May did resign right now. There is no time for another referendum. There is no time for another general election. (How does that even work? She will have to call a new election before she resigns, and it would be a Conservative suicide move). There is no time for another internal Conservative election. Though admittedly this one could be pretty quick judging by the backstabbing that went on last time.

There is no time to try with different terms to see what can be acceptable and pass through parliament. Theresa May has made certain of that. Even if she resigns is a quick conservative leadership contest occurs, it's either immediately revoke Article 50, which is unlikely unless a conservative remainer wins the internal leadership contest, or hard brexit.
Pandemona *
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Charlie Sheens House51493 Posts
March 21 2019 21:45 GMT
#9930
Will be fascinating in what parliament does now, they have two choices either demand to revoke Article 50 which i highly doubt passes in parliament now at all or agree to May's deal which was soundly beaten on every occasion.

The EU is right to deny more time at this moment so hopefully now the UK MPs understand what is going on here and that the fairytale deals they want do not exist. Well they do if you offer the EU money etc which then defeats the point of leaving in the first place.

Another referendum has been shut down, extending the deadline has been shutdown by the EU. Its time to put up or shut up MPs!
ModeratorTeam Liquid Football Thread Guru! - Chelsea FC ♥
pmh
Profile Joined March 2016
1401 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-03-21 21:49:32
March 21 2019 21:46 GMT
#9931
May resigning would buy a lot of time,then it would be a 2 year delay of the sorts. Lots can change in that time.
Maybe May is kinda stuck in her position,beeing in this position for so long now. A change could help (not saying it would and personally I do like may)
Then they can try to leave on different terms,a milder sort of brexit like Norway option. (what oukka also said basicly and I agree with his vieuwpoint)
If the deal doesn't get through next week then what other options does May have besides resigning? A hard brexit is off the table and Mays resignation seems the only way to go forward if the deal fails again.
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10845 Posts
March 21 2019 21:50 GMT
#9932
How is May resigning directly linked to an extension for 2 years?
Longshank
Profile Joined March 2010
1648 Posts
March 21 2019 21:50 GMT
#9933
Let's wait to hear from the EU27 first no? If they're talking right now about a longer extension, as is being reported, that means they at least think there's time for other options.
pmh
Profile Joined March 2016
1401 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-03-21 21:59:38
March 21 2019 21:51 GMT
#9934
On March 22 2019 06:50 Velr wrote:
How is May resigning directly linked to an extension for 2 years?


Well if May resigns and there has to be new elections while a hard brexit has already been voted out by parliament then the only option is a long delay? (or revoke but that seems unlikely for now).

1 week or 2 weeks,maybe even 4 till april I don't think it matters all that much anymore. This is where its at,maybe parliament will bent under pressure and vote to accept the deal but I doubt that.
Anyway:all this will continue for a long time to come and I doubt we will have any clarity in 1 month,other then maybe a long delay.
Belisarius
Profile Joined November 2010
Australia6233 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-03-21 22:08:49
March 21 2019 22:05 GMT
#9935
The vote against leave does nothing. If they do not vote for something by the deadline, the UK will leave with no deal. The UK has no power to give itself an extension, except by revoking A50. How is this still not clear by now?

May resigning would not change that, unless it convinced the EU to extend. Which I doubt, because all the other dumb factions would still be there.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22083 Posts
March 21 2019 22:05 GMT
#9936
On March 22 2019 06:51 pmh wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 22 2019 06:50 Velr wrote:
How is May resigning directly linked to an extension for 2 years?


Well if May resigns and there has to be new elections while a hard brexit has already been voted out by parliament then the only option is a long delay? (or revoke but that seems unlikely for now).

1 week or 2 weeks,maybe even 4 till april I don't think it matters all that much anymore. This is where its at,maybe parliament will bent under pressure and vote to accept the deal but I doubt that.
Anyway:all this will continue for a long time to come and I doubt we will have any clarity in 1 month,other then maybe a long delay.
Parliament did not 'vote out' no deal.
No deal is the default, it happens if parliament does nothing. They have to do something to not have it happen, and voting "we don't want no-deal" is not worth anything on its own.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Deleted User 26513
Profile Joined February 2007
2376 Posts
March 21 2019 22:11 GMT
#9937
Idk about that longer extension. Some EU leaders said that they really don't want UK to participate in the EU elections, if they are leaving. That means that the absolute end of this circus should come before the end of April.
Longshank
Profile Joined March 2010
1648 Posts
March 21 2019 22:46 GMT
#9938
Over at The Guardian:
According to the Press Association, EU leaders are set to offer the UK a plan that would delay Brexit from 29 March to 22 May on condition that MPs approve Theresa May’s withdrawal deal.
If the deal is rejected in its third “meaningful vote” in the Commons, the UK would be given until 12 April to come to the European Council with its proposals for the way forward.
If the UK agreed to take part in European Parliament elections in May, the possibility would be open for a further extension of several months.
Tusk has not officially confirmed what the bloc’s offer will be but is meeting May right now to communicate it to her.

It's worth noting that May never asked for or even mentioned a longer delay in her letter. If accurate, this is the EU27 speaking directly to the parliament.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22083 Posts
March 21 2019 22:49 GMT
#9939
*head hitting desk*

Why give them an extension with nothing to show for it, sigh.

So deal rejected next week then shitshow until mid april where the UK once again comes begging for more time to do nothing in.

"maybe they will understand its serious now"
it was serious the last time and the time before that....
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15736 Posts
March 21 2019 23:11 GMT
#9940
On March 22 2019 07:49 Gorsameth wrote:
*head hitting desk*

Why give them an extension with nothing to show for it, sigh.

So deal rejected next week then shitshow until mid april where the UK once again comes begging for more time to do nothing in.

"maybe they will understand its serious now"
it was serious the last time and the time before that....


The longer it is delayed, the higher chance of cancelling Brexit. Time is on the side of people wanting it cancelled. Delay indefinitely until the whole thing just fizzles.
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