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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 882

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


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On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-10-30 14:29:16
October 30 2018 14:27 GMT
#17621
I hope he tries to end it unilaterally if only to watch the courts, including his recent SCOTUS picks, tear into him.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
October 30 2018 14:36 GMT
#17622
He wants the Democrats to respond and defend birthright citizenship. It is the political version of a troll post, only with very real consequences if it is somehow allowed.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-10-30 14:43:20
October 30 2018 14:42 GMT
#17623
My faith in the judiciary has not sunk so low (yet) as to think a single federal court would allow the unilateral usurpation of a Constitutional amendment. It's almost preferable to just rhetoric since we could get Republican judges turning him down.
ShoCkeyy
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
7815 Posts
October 30 2018 15:02 GMT
#17624
Doesn't it take 2/3's of Congress and 3/4ths of the states to even make an amendment into the constitution? The only other scenarios are A) the EO gets ruled upon in SC which I still think would have bad consequences, or B) this is just a way to get his based fired up for midterms due to all the negative press around him being tied to the "magabomber"...
Life?
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
October 30 2018 15:38 GMT
#17625
Trump knows the way republicans hold the house is by whispering "immigration" in the ears of rural folks over and over and hoping Democrats start REEEEE'ing over it.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
October 30 2018 15:43 GMT
#17626
It will turn out the base, which helped him win the last election. The only problem is that during that same election the Democrats picked up seats in the House and senate. If independent voter and more democrats show up this election, the base won’t be enough in close races.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-10-30 15:48:26
October 30 2018 15:48 GMT
#17627
I wonder if they'll actually have a competent draft of their first EO or they'll make a very stupid overreach/misunderstanding again-the only way this has even a shred of "not already been ruled on" is if it is written very clearly that it only applies to children of undocumented people and is built around a "the only 'people' in the Constitution are citizens and lawful residents and visitors,' and even then it's on shaky legal ground.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
October 30 2018 15:54 GMT
#17628
On October 31 2018 00:48 TheTenthDoc wrote:
I wonder if they'll actually have a competent draft of their first EO or they'll make a very stupid overreach/misunderstanding again-the only way this has even a shred of "not already been ruled on" is if it is written very clearly that it only applies to children of undocumented people and is built around a "the only 'people' in the Constitution are citizens and lawful residents and visitors,' and even then it's on shaky legal ground.


If they want to end birthright citizenship, there's a lot of ways they can do it. They could even just dismantle the offices that handle it and do some kinda disabling thing to just make it not happen.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
October 30 2018 16:01 GMT
#17629
On October 31 2018 00:54 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 31 2018 00:48 TheTenthDoc wrote:
I wonder if they'll actually have a competent draft of their first EO or they'll make a very stupid overreach/misunderstanding again-the only way this has even a shred of "not already been ruled on" is if it is written very clearly that it only applies to children of undocumented people and is built around a "the only 'people' in the Constitution are citizens and lawful residents and visitors,' and even then it's on shaky legal ground.


If they want to end birthright citizenship, there's a lot of ways they can do it. They could even just dismantle the offices that handle it and do some kinda disabling thing to just make it not happen.

You mean hospitals and local governments that give out birth certificates? Trump has a lot of reach, but that specific part of local goverment is beyond him. Amend the Constitution or GTFO.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44372 Posts
October 30 2018 16:24 GMT
#17630
On October 31 2018 01:01 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 31 2018 00:54 Mohdoo wrote:
On October 31 2018 00:48 TheTenthDoc wrote:
I wonder if they'll actually have a competent draft of their first EO or they'll make a very stupid overreach/misunderstanding again-the only way this has even a shred of "not already been ruled on" is if it is written very clearly that it only applies to children of undocumented people and is built around a "the only 'people' in the Constitution are citizens and lawful residents and visitors,' and even then it's on shaky legal ground.


If they want to end birthright citizenship, there's a lot of ways they can do it. They could even just dismantle the offices that handle it and do some kinda disabling thing to just make it not happen.

You mean hospitals and local governments that give out birth certificates? Trump has a lot of reach, but that specific part of local goverment is beyond him. Amend the Constitution or GTFO.

I am now in month 22 of waiting for my replacement green card application to be processed. Legal rights won’t help if there is no system through which you can exercise them. A deported citizen may not have a decade to wait for a judge to rule they should be let back in, nor the money or time to fight it.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-10-30 16:37:08
October 30 2018 16:33 GMT
#17631
On October 31 2018 00:54 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 31 2018 00:48 TheTenthDoc wrote:
I wonder if they'll actually have a competent draft of their first EO or they'll make a very stupid overreach/misunderstanding again-the only way this has even a shred of "not already been ruled on" is if it is written very clearly that it only applies to children of undocumented people and is built around a "the only 'people' in the Constitution are citizens and lawful residents and visitors,' and even then it's on shaky legal ground.


If they want to end birthright citizenship, there's a lot of ways they can do it. They could even just dismantle the offices that handle it and do some kinda disabling thing to just make it not happen.


Lindsey Graham just tweeted that he is putting forward legislation to end BRC. I doubt it will matter since the Dems should take back the house and they wont have the votes in the Senate during the lame duck session most likely, but it's shameful all the same


Source:
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
October 30 2018 16:33 GMT
#17632
On October 31 2018 01:01 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 31 2018 00:54 Mohdoo wrote:
On October 31 2018 00:48 TheTenthDoc wrote:
I wonder if they'll actually have a competent draft of their first EO or they'll make a very stupid overreach/misunderstanding again-the only way this has even a shred of "not already been ruled on" is if it is written very clearly that it only applies to children of undocumented people and is built around a "the only 'people' in the Constitution are citizens and lawful residents and visitors,' and even then it's on shaky legal ground.


If they want to end birthright citizenship, there's a lot of ways they can do it. They could even just dismantle the offices that handle it and do some kinda disabling thing to just make it not happen.

You mean hospitals and local governments that give out birth certificates? Trump has a lot of reach, but that specific part of local goverment is beyond him. Amend the Constitution or GTFO.

I imagine there is some way to assess whether a birth certificate is valid or legitimate. If they are entirely shameless, they ate certainly capable of effectively haulting, or delaying, birthright citizenship.

They have quite a few tools at their disposal. Just a matter of how aggressively they want to pursue it.

Birthright citizenship is also just a great fight for them to want to have. How many people do you know who passionately believe we must allow people born here from non citizen parents to be citizens? A great deal of people just don't care that much, myself included. I am not concerned with whether or not an anchor baby is a citizen. It is kind of a sham system in my eyes. More of a romantic ideal than something effective and necessary or whatever.

I would by no means say I support removing birthright citizenship. But it's definitely not a fight I'd ever have. People on the right who believe anchor babies are an attack on American culture are wayyyyyy more concerned.

It's just like this stupid caravan. People aren't protesting in the streets to allow them to come here. But people are definitely frothing at the mouth, concerned this is an attack on our way of life on the right. This is just a good political play. The left doesn't care, but the right sure does.
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-10-30 16:47:26
October 30 2018 16:41 GMT
#17633
Anything they do that hinders citizenship for children of lawful residents is going to be immediately stayed, no questions asked, and most of the easy levers to pull will do that. Hitting them will kill this policy as surely as the first 145 iterations of the travel ban, and they are definitely dumb enough to just put "noncitizen" in any EO.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
October 30 2018 16:42 GMT
#17634
On October 31 2018 01:24 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 31 2018 01:01 Plansix wrote:
On October 31 2018 00:54 Mohdoo wrote:
On October 31 2018 00:48 TheTenthDoc wrote:
I wonder if they'll actually have a competent draft of their first EO or they'll make a very stupid overreach/misunderstanding again-the only way this has even a shred of "not already been ruled on" is if it is written very clearly that it only applies to children of undocumented people and is built around a "the only 'people' in the Constitution are citizens and lawful residents and visitors,' and even then it's on shaky legal ground.


If they want to end birthright citizenship, there's a lot of ways they can do it. They could even just dismantle the offices that handle it and do some kinda disabling thing to just make it not happen.

You mean hospitals and local governments that give out birth certificates? Trump has a lot of reach, but that specific part of local goverment is beyond him. Amend the Constitution or GTFO.

I am now in month 22 of waiting for my replacement green card application to be processed. Legal rights won’t help if there is no system through which you can exercise them. A deported citizen may not have a decade to wait for a judge to rule they should be let back in, nor the money or time to fight it.

Oh, I agree that what Trump and the republicans are doing is terrifying. It is their decent into White Nationalism that they have been playing with for since the 1990s and the Contract with America. Even farther back if we want to look to Nixon. It is upsetting and can make people feel powerless.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
October 30 2018 16:43 GMT
#17635
As is always, all that is needed is a tiny minority that beleive in a cause utterly, over the disinterested majority for that cause to succeed. Trump may not be able to change the constitution, but a few people in the "right" places including Trump himself can make it effectively succeed in all but in name.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18462 Posts
October 30 2018 16:49 GMT
#17636
On October 31 2018 01:41 TheTenthDoc wrote:
Anything they do that hinders citizenship for children of lawful residents is going to be immediately stayed, no questions asked, and most of the easy levers to pull will do that. Hitting them will kill this policy as surely as the first 145 iterations of the travel ban.

It doesn't matter to them. They're doing this for the midterms. It riles up their base, and democrats can't really punch back on this. It also shifts the focus away from blaming Trump and the republicans for the magabomber.

It's quite horrific the things the republicans are willing to turn into political footballs, but welcome to politics in the 2010s.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
October 30 2018 17:01 GMT
#17637
It is all going to depend on turn out, which isn't a good sign for Trump's base centered plan. The signs are showing that this could be the highest midterm turn out in decades. The polling is showing that 30-40% of young voters could turn out to vote, which would be a 15-25 point bump. Trumps popularity ends at his base, which was able to just barely win him a low turn out election.

Voter Turnout Could Hit 50-Year Record For Midterm Elections

I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18462 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-10-30 17:16:28
October 30 2018 17:15 GMT
#17638
On October 31 2018 02:01 Plansix wrote:
It is all going to depend on turn out, which isn't a good sign for Trump's base centered plan. The signs are showing that this could be the highest midterm turn out in decades. The polling is showing that 30-40% of young voters could turn out to vote, which would be a 15-25 point bump. Trumps popularity ends at his base, which was able to just barely win him a low turn out election.

Voter Turnout Could Hit 50-Year Record For Midterm Elections


Well, a high mid-term turnout is probably still far lower than for a presidential election? So... maybe it's Trump's base that is getting riled up and bringing up the turnout?

I mean, leading up to the presidential elections there was also no chance Trump would win it, right?
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
October 30 2018 17:22 GMT
#17639
In other news, an anti-Semitic TV ad on a federal funding Spanish broadcast network has gotten some attention. Specifically because of its connection to the conservative group Judicial Watch and a bunch of other threads that are sort of hard to follow. I give Jeff Flake credit for instantly pushing for a full investigation once this surfaced.

The collision of antisemitism and the Conservative Republicans is only surprising to people who have not been paying attention.

@Acrofales: There was always a chance Trump would win. I think the polls had it at like 35% or something.

The U.S. Agency for Global Media has launched an investigation into an anti-Semitic television segment attacking George Soros that aired on a federally funded Spanish-language broadcaster.

The 15-minute segment, which Radio and Television Martí broadcast in May, calls the billionaire philanthropist a "multimillionaire Jew" who uses his profits to "finance anti-system [political] movements that fill his pockets."

The video resurfaced Friday, just days after a package containing an explosive device turned up at Soros' home in New York — and one day before a gunman opened fire at a synagogue in Pittsburgh, murdering 11 worshippers in what a local prosecutor described as a "terrible and unspeakable act of hate."

The video that aired in May "is inconsistent with our professional standards and ethics," USAGM chief John Lansing said in a statement released Monday.

His agency oversees the Office of Cuba Broadcasting, which directs Radio and Television Martí and — according to its website — aims "to promote freedom and democracy by providing the people of Cuba with objective news and information programming."

"Those deemed responsible for this production will be immediately placed on administrative leave pending an investigation into their apparent misconduct," Lansing said. "Disciplinary action appropriate under federal law may then be proposed, including the potential removal of those responsible, depending on the outcome of that investigation."

The Cuban Triangle blog first called attention to the segment, which has since been removed from the Radio and Television Martí website — though portions of it can still be found on YouTube. The Cuban Triangle laid out some of the most striking elements of the full segment, including calling Soros:

"The architect of the 2018 financial collapse."
"A non-practicing Jewish financial speculator with flexible morals."
A financier of groups that "do nothing more than destabilize societies and cultures."
"George Soros has his eye on Latin America," the narrator says over an ominous score. "But Judicial Watch, a legal research group in the United States, has its eye on Soros, and on what it views as his lethal influence in undermining democracies."

Judicial Watch, a conservative activist group, has attracted scrutiny in recent weeks for its own full-throated campaign against Soros. It has been raising money on Facebook with ads featuring the face of the liberal Hungarian philanthropist, circled in red with a call to action: "Expose Soros!"

Fox Business recently condemned statements made by the organization's director of investigations and research, Chris Farrell, who pushed a conspiracy theory about Soros during his appearance on Lou Dobbs Tonight. Farrell baselessly claimed that a caravan of Central American migrants is funded by the "Soros-occupied State Department."

Straight out of the Protocols of the Elders of Zion. Just moments ago, Lou Dobbs guest Chris Farrell (head of Judicial Watch) says Caravan is being funded/directed by the "Soros-occupied State Department". pic.twitter.com/QBSong7uk1

— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) October 27, 2018
The suspect in the Pittsburgh shooting — which unfolded hours before Fox Business re-aired Farrell's appearance — appeared to push similar theories on social media prior to his attack, claiming that Jews were behind the caravan's movements.

But the Pittsburgh suspect's beliefs have not been an aberration. The Anti-Defamation League and others noted that anti-Semitic incidents leaped nearly 60 percent during President Trump's first year in office. The ADL says it's the largest such jump on record.

Not long after the Radio and Television Martí video resurfaced, Arizona GOP Sen. Jeff Flake denounced it as "taxpayer-funded anti-semitism" and called for an investigation.

"At a time when hate-filled rhetoric is having a devastating impact inside the United States, it is irresponsible for any agency of the federal government to perpetuate unfounded conspiracy theories that, far from supporting U.S. foreign policy goals, work against them," Flake said in a letter sent Monday to Lansing.

He also called the Television Martí program a "waste of taxpayer money" that fails to persuade — or, in many cases, even reach — its intended Cuban audience.

Radio Martí was founded in 1985 and joined five years later by its sister TV broadcaster. Its parent agency, the Office of Cuba Broadcasting, received nearly $30 million in federal money in fiscal 2017.

"The rise of anti-Semitism inside the United States is bad enough," Flake added. "American taxpayers should not be funding its dissemination."

Soros' Open Society Foundations has supported NPR in the past.

Source
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
NewSunshine
Profile Joined July 2011
United States5938 Posts
October 30 2018 17:24 GMT
#17640
On October 31 2018 02:15 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 31 2018 02:01 Plansix wrote:
It is all going to depend on turn out, which isn't a good sign for Trump's base centered plan. The signs are showing that this could be the highest midterm turn out in decades. The polling is showing that 30-40% of young voters could turn out to vote, which would be a 15-25 point bump. Trumps popularity ends at his base, which was able to just barely win him a low turn out election.

Voter Turnout Could Hit 50-Year Record For Midterm Elections


Well, a high mid-term turnout is probably still far lower than for a presidential election? So... maybe it's Trump's base that is getting riled up and bringing up the turnout?

I mean, leading up to the presidential elections there was also no chance Trump would win it, right?

There's also never been a midterm that was directly preceded by 2 years with someone as stupid and harmful as Trump manning the ship. People are getting motivated, and tons of people have seen this as a wake-up call. Your vote matters, and good leadership is important.
"If you find yourself feeling lost, take pride in the accuracy of your feelings." - Night Vale
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