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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 3098

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
February 22 2021 23:55 GMT
#61941
I feel like Newsom might actually get recalled
Zambrah
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States7393 Posts
February 23 2021 00:00 GMT
#61942
I have a question for people, how long do we have to wait before we count Bidens promise of immediate stimulus checks broken? I'm wonder what people consider a fair timeline to pass stimulus checks through Congress in a reasonably hasty fashion
Incremental change is the Democrat version of Trickle Down economics.
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-02-23 00:06:33
February 23 2021 00:06 GMT
#61943
We're getting pretty close to that point, I'd say. The fact that unemployment runs out at the end of February means that there's a hard deadline : they can't delay past that point without the bottom falling out of the economy.

A lot of the (pointless, partisan, and bad faith) criticisms would most easily be avoided by just passing it, but instead he's defending it by saying there's not really anything to remove.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
February 23 2021 00:27 GMT
#61944
On February 23 2021 09:06 Nevuk wrote:
We're getting pretty close to that point, I'd say. The fact that unemployment runs out at the end of February means that there's a hard deadline : they can't delay past that point without the bottom falling out of the economy.

A lot of the (pointless, partisan, and bad faith) criticisms would most easily be avoided by just passing it, but instead he's defending it by saying there's not really anything to remove.

Are they delaying? I thought they were just trying to fly through but it takes a long time due to budget reconciliation being a lengthy process?
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23930 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-02-23 02:58:44
February 23 2021 02:41 GMT
#61945
On February 23 2021 09:00 Zambrah wrote:
I have a question for people, how long do we have to wait before we count Bidens promise of immediate stimulus checks broken? I'm wonder what people consider a fair timeline to pass stimulus checks through Congress in a reasonably hasty fashion


It's broken. Landlords simply don't take a January promise for an immediate $2k check to mean "maybe $1400 in March" Even if Democrat loyalists do.
On February 23 2021 09:27 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2021 09:06 Nevuk wrote:
We're getting pretty close to that point, I'd say. The fact that unemployment runs out at the end of February means that there's a hard deadline : they can't delay past that point without the bottom falling out of the economy.

A lot of the (pointless, partisan, and bad faith) criticisms would most easily be avoided by just passing it, but instead he's defending it by saying there's not really anything to remove.

Are they delaying? I thought they were just trying to fly through but it takes a long time due to budget reconciliation being a lengthy process?


They were on recess for the last week.

"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Zambrah
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States7393 Posts
February 23 2021 04:47 GMT
#61946
Oh, I almost forgot, Trump is planning to become the 2024 nominee and hes probably going to do it at CPAC.

America is trash and this is the future our politicians have laid out for us.

If I hadn't seen the last two elections Id laugh and say no chance he gets elected, but fuck, with a sufficiently Hillary Clinton nominee and if Biden decides to skimp on aid to people its totally feasible that Trump wins AGAIN.

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2021/feb/22/trump-stake-claim-presumptive-2024-gop-nominee-cpa/?utm_campaign=shareaholic&utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=socialnetwork
Incremental change is the Democrat version of Trickle Down economics.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
February 23 2021 04:54 GMT
#61947
On February 23 2021 13:47 Zambrah wrote:
Oh, I almost forgot, Trump is planning to become the 2024 nominee and hes probably going to do it at CPAC.

America is trash and this is the future our politicians have laid out for us.

If I hadn't seen the last two elections Id laugh and say no chance he gets elected, but fuck, with a sufficiently Hillary Clinton nominee and if Biden decides to skimp on aid to people its totally feasible that Trump wins AGAIN.

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2021/feb/22/trump-stake-claim-presumptive-2024-gop-nominee-cpa/?utm_campaign=shareaholic&utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=socialnetwork

My view is that Trump is extremely momentum dependent and it might be difficult for him to beat an incumbent. The other thing is that he might end up in a ton of legal or medical trouble. I’m not worried yet but if he escapes unscathed and in good shape in 2024 he may win
Zambrah
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States7393 Posts
February 23 2021 06:37 GMT
#61948
As long as hes not literally in jail or dead I think he'll have a fundamental level of enthusiasm behind him for 2024, given that so many don't even believe he lost 2020 I dont think its possible for him to lose momentum in the eyes of many Republican voters. If he wins they'll go, "ONLY PRESIDENT TO WIN THREE TIMES!" (I know its not true. :p)

I'm not particularly worried yet, but god help me if Democrats aren't just exceptionally talented at taking what should be sure fire easy wins and making them scrape-through nailbiters. And letting Donald Trump incite an insurrection, face no consequences, and then proceed to actually gain power back would be... so, so, so very modern America.
Incremental change is the Democrat version of Trickle Down economics.
EnDeR_
Profile Blog Joined May 2004
Spain2878 Posts
February 23 2021 10:10 GMT
#61949
On February 22 2021 23:27 Slydie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 22 2021 22:19 EnDeR_ wrote:
After about 1 year from the start of the pandemic, the US has just passed a major grim milestone, 500k deaths from coronavirus.

www.washingtonpost.com

Twice as many as the next one on the list (Brazil, at 246k).

Now that Biden is president, the anti-mask movement seems to have died down somewhat, is this your experience as well?

Edit: Looks like the modelling is starting to become more accurate www.nature.com. These guys looked at different scenarios and found that without a mask mandate from September 2020:

cumulatively, 511,373 (469,578–578,347) lives could be lost to COVID-19 across the United States by 28 February 2021.


While with a mask mandate, 130k lives could have been saved:

We find that achieving universal mask use (95% mask use in public) could be sufficient to ameliorate the worst effects of epidemic resurgences in many states. Universal mask use could save an additional 129,574 (85,284–170,867) lives from September 22, 2020 through the end of February 2021, or an additional 95,814 (60,731–133,077) lives assuming a lesser adoption of mask wearing (85%), when compared to the reference scenario.


This one is on Trump.

Edit2: More people have died of covid in the US since september because of the anti-mask movement than all US military casualties combined since WW2, which includes 5 major wars. en.wikipedia.org

It really didn't have to be this bad.


I think this desire to single out Masks is a distraction, and Trump bears a lot of the blame. Neither wearing nor not wearing masks should be a political symbol, just as any other measure should not be.

I saw a mask model in December predicting Norway would have astronomic death tolls at this time without "universal masks", needless to say, it did not turn out like that, at all... You should be very careful making calculations like that.


I think everyone in this thread agrees that making mask-wearing a political stance was a ridiculously stupid thing to do, but I disagree that it is a distraction. It is literally the easiest and lowest cost intervention with the lowest social impact that we have and it has proven to work in a whole load of countries. We should keep hammering this until not wearing a mask makes you socially unacceptable.

I am, however, curious about that study for Norway. Do you have a source for that mask model? I'd like to check the details.
estás más desubicao q un croissant en un plato de nécoras
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26764 Posts
February 23 2021 11:49 GMT
#61950
On February 23 2021 13:54 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2021 13:47 Zambrah wrote:
Oh, I almost forgot, Trump is planning to become the 2024 nominee and hes probably going to do it at CPAC.

America is trash and this is the future our politicians have laid out for us.

If I hadn't seen the last two elections Id laugh and say no chance he gets elected, but fuck, with a sufficiently Hillary Clinton nominee and if Biden decides to skimp on aid to people its totally feasible that Trump wins AGAIN.

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2021/feb/22/trump-stake-claim-presumptive-2024-gop-nominee-cpa/?utm_campaign=shareaholic&utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=socialnetwork

My view is that Trump is extremely momentum dependent and it might be difficult for him to beat an incumbent. The other thing is that he might end up in a ton of legal or medical trouble. I’m not worried yet but if he escapes unscathed and in good shape in 2024 he may win

We’re a fair while out here, I’d be pretty worried. I’d presume that in the medium term the effects of the pandemic are going to bite pretty hard economically for many people and it’s going to take some skill to navigate these waters. Given the delay on the 1400 dollar cheques, the most immediate but also not the largest of hurdles to clear, I’m not too optimistic.

Crucially Trump’s innumerable failings don’t seem to hurt him much with his base, whereas if the Biden administration fails to deliver it really will hurt it, especially with the left leaning Dems whose support is more conditional. I mean they won’t flip to Trump but they won’t necessarily turn out for Biden if he doesn’t deliver.

I mean there’s still plenty that would keep Trump out but I fear running against an incumbent who’s got the medium term effects of a pandemic to deal with is precisely the kind of scenario where Trump could generate the requisite momentum sniping from the sidelines.

I would very much couch this in terms that almost the worst possible scenario for Trump is running as the incumbent with some kind of external crisis laying bare his most glaring failings and we’ve already had that and even then it wasn’t a total whitewash. If he’s still competitive under a near worst case scenario for him I basically wouldn’t rule anything out.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26764 Posts
February 23 2021 12:10 GMT
#61951
On February 22 2021 23:27 Slydie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 22 2021 22:19 EnDeR_ wrote:
After about 1 year from the start of the pandemic, the US has just passed a major grim milestone, 500k deaths from coronavirus.

www.washingtonpost.com

Twice as many as the next one on the list (Brazil, at 246k).

Now that Biden is president, the anti-mask movement seems to have died down somewhat, is this your experience as well?

Edit: Looks like the modelling is starting to become more accurate www.nature.com. These guys looked at different scenarios and found that without a mask mandate from September 2020:

cumulatively, 511,373 (469,578–578,347) lives could be lost to COVID-19 across the United States by 28 February 2021.


While with a mask mandate, 130k lives could have been saved:

We find that achieving universal mask use (95% mask use in public) could be sufficient to ameliorate the worst effects of epidemic resurgences in many states. Universal mask use could save an additional 129,574 (85,284–170,867) lives from September 22, 2020 through the end of February 2021, or an additional 95,814 (60,731–133,077) lives assuming a lesser adoption of mask wearing (85%), when compared to the reference scenario.


This one is on Trump.

Edit2: More people have died of covid in the US since september because of the anti-mask movement than all US military casualties combined since WW2, which includes 5 major wars. en.wikipedia.org

It really didn't have to be this bad.


I think this desire to single out Masks is a distraction, and Trump bears a lot of the blame. Neither wearing nor not wearing masks should be a political symbol, just as any other measure should not be.

I saw a mask model in December predicting Norway would have astronomic death tolls at this time without "universal masks", needless to say, it did not turn out like that, at all... You should be very careful making calculations like that.

They can’t be a neutral apolitical measure if one side of the aisle chooses to make a political and symbolic side opposing them. When that happens even neutral scientific observations take on a political flavour.

Doesn’t really matter who does it or why, once it’s a matter of political and ideological stances you can’t push back against that without becoming entangled in it.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
February 23 2021 15:12 GMT
#61952
--- Nuked ---
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22332 Posts
February 23 2021 16:04 GMT
#61953
On February 24 2021 00:12 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2021 21:10 WombaT wrote:
On February 22 2021 23:27 Slydie wrote:
On February 22 2021 22:19 EnDeR_ wrote:
After about 1 year from the start of the pandemic, the US has just passed a major grim milestone, 500k deaths from coronavirus.

www.washingtonpost.com

Twice as many as the next one on the list (Brazil, at 246k).

Now that Biden is president, the anti-mask movement seems to have died down somewhat, is this your experience as well?

Edit: Looks like the modelling is starting to become more accurate www.nature.com. These guys looked at different scenarios and found that without a mask mandate from September 2020:

cumulatively, 511,373 (469,578–578,347) lives could be lost to COVID-19 across the United States by 28 February 2021.


While with a mask mandate, 130k lives could have been saved:

We find that achieving universal mask use (95% mask use in public) could be sufficient to ameliorate the worst effects of epidemic resurgences in many states. Universal mask use could save an additional 129,574 (85,284–170,867) lives from September 22, 2020 through the end of February 2021, or an additional 95,814 (60,731–133,077) lives assuming a lesser adoption of mask wearing (85%), when compared to the reference scenario.


This one is on Trump.

Edit2: More people have died of covid in the US since september because of the anti-mask movement than all US military casualties combined since WW2, which includes 5 major wars. en.wikipedia.org

It really didn't have to be this bad.


I think this desire to single out Masks is a distraction, and Trump bears a lot of the blame. Neither wearing nor not wearing masks should be a political symbol, just as any other measure should not be.

I saw a mask model in December predicting Norway would have astronomic death tolls at this time without "universal masks", needless to say, it did not turn out like that, at all... You should be very careful making calculations like that.

They can’t be a neutral apolitical measure if one side of the aisle chooses to make a political and symbolic side opposing them. When that happens even neutral scientific observations take on a political flavour.

Doesn’t really matter who does it or why, once it’s a matter of political and ideological stances you can’t push back against that without becoming entangled in it.

It is super strange that it became a political issue and even stranger which side Trump picked. Whether it is women being forced to wear tops on hot days at beaches, hats off when come inside(much older), no shirt no shoes no service, all these sort of rules around what you have to wear and when were all conservative. It was not the hippie's that were making these rules!

Then all the sudden with something you have to wear that actually matters from a health perspective and all the sudden it is about "freedom". No consistency.
I'm inclined to blame Kushner and his stance of 'let the Democrats in NY die, why would we care' for that.
They actively downplayed the virus because their political opponents were being hit hardest at the time.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Archeon
Profile Joined May 2011
3265 Posts
February 23 2021 21:00 GMT
#61954
On February 24 2021 00:12 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2021 21:10 WombaT wrote:
On February 22 2021 23:27 Slydie wrote:
On February 22 2021 22:19 EnDeR_ wrote:
After about 1 year from the start of the pandemic, the US has just passed a major grim milestone, 500k deaths from coronavirus.

www.washingtonpost.com

Twice as many as the next one on the list (Brazil, at 246k).

Now that Biden is president, the anti-mask movement seems to have died down somewhat, is this your experience as well?

Edit: Looks like the modelling is starting to become more accurate www.nature.com. These guys looked at different scenarios and found that without a mask mandate from September 2020:

cumulatively, 511,373 (469,578–578,347) lives could be lost to COVID-19 across the United States by 28 February 2021.


While with a mask mandate, 130k lives could have been saved:

We find that achieving universal mask use (95% mask use in public) could be sufficient to ameliorate the worst effects of epidemic resurgences in many states. Universal mask use could save an additional 129,574 (85,284–170,867) lives from September 22, 2020 through the end of February 2021, or an additional 95,814 (60,731–133,077) lives assuming a lesser adoption of mask wearing (85%), when compared to the reference scenario.


This one is on Trump.

Edit2: More people have died of covid in the US since september because of the anti-mask movement than all US military casualties combined since WW2, which includes 5 major wars. en.wikipedia.org

It really didn't have to be this bad.


I think this desire to single out Masks is a distraction, and Trump bears a lot of the blame. Neither wearing nor not wearing masks should be a political symbol, just as any other measure should not be.

I saw a mask model in December predicting Norway would have astronomic death tolls at this time without "universal masks", needless to say, it did not turn out like that, at all... You should be very careful making calculations like that.

They can’t be a neutral apolitical measure if one side of the aisle chooses to make a political and symbolic side opposing them. When that happens even neutral scientific observations take on a political flavour.

Doesn’t really matter who does it or why, once it’s a matter of political and ideological stances you can’t push back against that without becoming entangled in it.

It is super strange that it became a political issue and even stranger which side Trump picked. Whether it is women being forced to wear tops on hot days at beaches, hats off when come inside(much older), no shirt no shoes no service, all these sort of rules around what you have to wear and when were all conservative. It was not the hippie's that were making these rules!

Then all the sudden with something you have to wear that actually matters from a health perspective and all the sudden it is about "freedom". No consistency.

I don't think Trump is a typical conservative in that regard. And conservatives have a glorified image in their head how man are supposed to be and how women are supposed to be and masks aren't part of the picture. They care about what's "proper" in their mind, not what's actually useful or helps anyone.

And the anti-maskers are more liberals than conservatives really. Like minimum state liberal. But they mostly vote GOP because they share the economic aspects.
low gravity, yes-yes!
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43971 Posts
February 23 2021 21:15 GMT
#61955
You’re describing virtue signaling. People who don’t want to wear a mask because they’re afraid that a visible sign of consideration of others could be interpreted as weakness. They’re desperately trying to convey ideas of masculinity, independence, and toughness but as they don’t possess any of those traits they’re not really sure how to do it.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26764 Posts
February 23 2021 22:34 GMT
#61956
On February 24 2021 00:12 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2021 21:10 WombaT wrote:
On February 22 2021 23:27 Slydie wrote:
On February 22 2021 22:19 EnDeR_ wrote:
After about 1 year from the start of the pandemic, the US has just passed a major grim milestone, 500k deaths from coronavirus.

www.washingtonpost.com

Twice as many as the next one on the list (Brazil, at 246k).

Now that Biden is president, the anti-mask movement seems to have died down somewhat, is this your experience as well?

Edit: Looks like the modelling is starting to become more accurate www.nature.com. These guys looked at different scenarios and found that without a mask mandate from September 2020:

cumulatively, 511,373 (469,578–578,347) lives could be lost to COVID-19 across the United States by 28 February 2021.


While with a mask mandate, 130k lives could have been saved:

We find that achieving universal mask use (95% mask use in public) could be sufficient to ameliorate the worst effects of epidemic resurgences in many states. Universal mask use could save an additional 129,574 (85,284–170,867) lives from September 22, 2020 through the end of February 2021, or an additional 95,814 (60,731–133,077) lives assuming a lesser adoption of mask wearing (85%), when compared to the reference scenario.


This one is on Trump.

Edit2: More people have died of covid in the US since september because of the anti-mask movement than all US military casualties combined since WW2, which includes 5 major wars. en.wikipedia.org

It really didn't have to be this bad.


I think this desire to single out Masks is a distraction, and Trump bears a lot of the blame. Neither wearing nor not wearing masks should be a political symbol, just as any other measure should not be.

I saw a mask model in December predicting Norway would have astronomic death tolls at this time without "universal masks", needless to say, it did not turn out like that, at all... You should be very careful making calculations like that.

They can’t be a neutral apolitical measure if one side of the aisle chooses to make a political and symbolic side opposing them. When that happens even neutral scientific observations take on a political flavour.

Doesn’t really matter who does it or why, once it’s a matter of political and ideological stances you can’t push back against that without becoming entangled in it.

It is super strange that it became a political issue and even stranger which side Trump picked. Whether it is women being forced to wear tops on hot days at beaches, hats off when come inside(much older), no shirt no shoes no service, all these sort of rules around what you have to wear and when were all conservative. It was not the hippie's that were making these rules!

Then all the sudden with something you have to wear that actually matters from a health perspective and all the sudden it is about "freedom". No consistency.

Most of it does kind of make sense in the framing that freedom or the lack thereof only really matters if it’s maintaining the orthodox hierarchy of both people and behaviours.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-02-24 01:26:00
February 24 2021 00:47 GMT
#61957
On February 23 2021 08:55 Mohdoo wrote:
I feel like Newsom might actually get recalled


It might go on the ballot, but he isnt going to actually lose that vote
Something witty
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
February 24 2021 01:05 GMT
#61958
--- Nuked ---
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
February 24 2021 01:26 GMT
#61959
On February 24 2021 10:05 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 24 2021 09:47 IyMoon wrote:
On February 23 2021 08:55 Mohdoo wrote:
I feel like Newsom might actually get recalled


It might go on the ballet, but he isnt going to actually lose that vote

That is a ballet I would be interested in seeing!🤣




I don't know what you are talking about.....
Something witty
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
February 24 2021 01:33 GMT
#61960
--- Nuked ---
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