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UK Politics Mega-thread - Page 350

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In order to ensure that this thread meets TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we ask that everyone please adhere to this mod note.

Posts containing only Tweets or articles adds nothing to the discussions. Therefore, when providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments will be actioned upon.

All in all, please continue to enjoy posting in TL General and partake in discussions as much as you want! But please be respectful when posting or replying to someone. There is a clear difference between constructive criticism/discussion and just plain being rude and insulting.

https://www.registertovote.service.gov.uk
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43538 Posts
June 09 2017 03:40 GMT
#6981
Looks like May will limp on as the head of a minority government until someone is ready to make a move.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
June 09 2017 03:43 GMT
#6982
On June 09 2017 12:40 KwarK wrote:
Looks like May will limp on as the head of a minority government until someone is ready to make a move.


She will be gone before Monday definitely
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43538 Posts
June 09 2017 03:47 GMT
#6983
On June 09 2017 12:43 Zaros wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 09 2017 12:40 KwarK wrote:
Looks like May will limp on as the head of a minority government until someone is ready to make a move.


She will be gone before Monday definitely

Who will get her? Not Corbyn, it'll be one of her own. But who?
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23617 Posts
June 09 2017 03:57 GMT
#6984
Am I understanding that this is a rather large surprise as far as how bad conservatives are performing and how good labor is doing?

At least among many popular political outlets in the UK?
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-09 04:08:08
June 09 2017 04:00 GMT
#6985
not that surprising I think, just still a really shitty situation for her
The last prediction by SkyNews for example was for them to get somewhere between 315 to 325 seats and they ended up with 318.
Or well, not "ended up", the 318 is the forecast
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
June 09 2017 04:08 GMT
#6986
some prediction had the tories down to 314. They definitely need 312 to form a minority government with the Irish support, correct?
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43538 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-09 04:22:16
June 09 2017 04:20 GMT
#6987
On June 09 2017 12:57 GreenHorizons wrote:
Am I understanding that this is a rather large surprise as far as how bad conservatives are performing and how good labor is doing?

At least among many popular political outlets in the UK?

Given the polls a few weeks ago, yes, it's s colossal upset. The results match the exit polls but the exit polls defy the polls from earlier in the campaign.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43538 Posts
June 09 2017 04:23 GMT
#6988
On June 09 2017 13:08 Nyxisto wrote:
some prediction had the tories down to 314. They definitely need 312 to form a minority government with the Irish support, correct?

No other party can form a government and do a minority government or second election are inevitable.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
June 09 2017 04:42 GMT
#6989
On June 09 2017 10:32 FlaShFTW wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 09 2017 10:25 Danglars wrote:
First Tory seat pickup of the night this late in the game.

May only gets a majority if conservatives do well in Scotland, land of remain.

I mean right now they're doing extremely well. the SNP is basically dead and there's still about 5-6 potential seats for CON to grab from the SNP. Southport just went to Conservatives over from the Lib Dems.

Going from an outright majority with an election far away, to thoughts that May is out and the tories might have to form a coalition for government? This is very shaky.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4381 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-09 04:46:53
June 09 2017 04:43 GMT
#6990
Considering where the polls were six weeks ago i honestly think May deliberately threw the election.She was always a remainer.Lets see what happens with Brexit after this unprecedented result.Negotiations start in just 10 days.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
June 09 2017 04:47 GMT
#6991
Gotta say, May really done fucked up with the way she ran this campaign. I, as a British person, might just have voted Labour just to spite her given the way she ran things here.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
June 09 2017 04:47 GMT
#6992
On June 09 2017 13:43 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
Considering where the polls were six weeks ago i honestly think May deliberately threw the election.She was always a remainer.Lets see what happens with Brexit after this unprecedented result.

nah, that's just they british spirit at work imo

First they have Cameron with his "I'm going to hold a referendum because that'll make my hand stronger!" and now the same with May. Brits just need to chill a little with all that unnecessary yolo

Also to follow up on the GH question, wikipedia has a nice summary of what "people" thought it would be like: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_United_Kingdom_general_election,_2017
so like Kwark said, yes a couple weeks ago it looked like a landslide (early may, mid april?) but them not getting enough votes to rule alone was written on the wall
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
June 09 2017 05:03 GMT
#6993


So if Corbyn and the Lib Dems ally does that mean she is no longer PM?
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
June 09 2017 05:08 GMT
#6994
On June 09 2017 14:03 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/873041300030865408

So if Corbyn and the Lib Dems ally does that mean she is no longer PM?


No she has a majority with the DUP but she will probably be replaced by another conservative
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-09 05:30:36
June 09 2017 05:14 GMT
#6995
If it's Boris Johnson we can have some matching twinsies for US-U.K. leadership.

Edit: fuck autocorrect
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
June 09 2017 05:19 GMT
#6996
If a minority government led by Johnson happens we should do TL bets on the next election date

This is a truly bizarre situation. What exactly is the Brexit position now? Soft Brexit, hard brexit? The latter seems to have been rejected to a degree.
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-09 05:30:18
June 09 2017 05:29 GMT
#6997
On June 09 2017 14:19 Nyxisto wrote:
If a minority government led by Johnson happens we should do TL bets on the next election date

This is a truly bizarre situation. What exactly is the Brexit position now? Soft Brexit, hard brexit? The latter seems to have been rejected to a degree.


I can't believe i'd say this, but i'd rather have a Maybot than Boris Johnson.

He's the epitome of incompetence, has proven that over and over again. Yeah, he got a victory by mobilising the racist and old fucks in the country (by straight up lying and on top admitting it), but that's about it. His track record as foreign minister is less than stellar (and that's still being very generous) - upside being, he'd get along great with the great ape, it's roughly the same level of "how does the world perceive us".
On track to MA1950A.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-09 05:30:49
June 09 2017 05:29 GMT
#6998
My guess is months more of deadlock since there's no way that there will be any meaningful consensus on how to move forward on Brexit.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Reaps
Profile Joined June 2012
United Kingdom1280 Posts
June 09 2017 05:31 GMT
#6999
Terrifying how close Corbyn came, but that's more to do with May being a bad PM i guess.

Next few months going to be interesting
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-09 05:39:31
June 09 2017 05:33 GMT
#7000
On June 09 2017 14:31 Reaps wrote:
Terrifying how close Corbyn came, but that's more to do with May being a bad PM i guess.

Next few months going to be interesting


Appealing to voters can't really be handed to the opposition. There's no argument that May is the biggest failure since, well.. Cameron, i guess (okay not that impressive of a timeline), but Corbyn did a good job, like him/it or not.

Sidenote: with Boris Johnson you'd have the next "i don't really wanna brexit" candidate, so i'm not sure how that's supposed to work out. People seem to have already forgotten that while he was the "flagship" of the brexiters, he also was the first one to piss off when they won, taking no responsibility for the mess he created. He certainly will be the right guy to negotiate with the EU, lol.
On track to MA1950A.
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