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Dragon Ball Super Discussion - Page 167

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This is a thread that is dedicated to discussing Dragon Ball Super. Do not read this thread if you are not currently caught up as there are spoilers in here.

If a chapter or an episode has already been officially released, then it is not necessary to post using spoilers.

If you have knowledge on a chapter that has been released or a chapter/episode that has not been officially released yet, do NOT post it in this thread without spoilers. Ignoring this public note will result in a mod action.
ShAsTa
Profile Joined November 2002
Belgium2841 Posts
January 28 2018 21:07 GMT
#3321
On January 29 2018 02:12 LegalLord wrote:
We all know it's basically a farce until Ultra Instinct comes back.

Tbh it would be just as big a farce if Goku beats Jiren (with Ultra Instinct). Jiren has been shown to be miles and miles ahead of anyone but Goku manages to surpass him in 48 minutes? Maybe some day but not this fast.
U7 can still win but it should not happen by beating Jiren 1v1 imo.
If we hit that bull's eye, the rest of the dominoes will fall like a house of cards. Checkmate.
MyLovelyLurker
Profile Joined April 2007
France756 Posts
January 28 2018 21:49 GMT
#3322
On January 29 2018 05:48 RvB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2018 04:36 MyLovelyLurker wrote:
On January 29 2018 04:09 GoTuNk! wrote:
On January 29 2018 02:29 MyLovelyLurker wrote:
True, but now Hakai-shin Toppo and His Godly Moustache cannot be ignored anymore.

Also, to all who feared for Super's future, I've dug up Bandai/Namco's financial statements here www.bandainamco.co.jp

You can clearly see on page 2 DB's making a ton of money - it's litterally their golden goose. Between that and the fact Goku's been chosen as the mascot of the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, we gonna get some DB for years to come.


I hope you are right :'(


Thanks ! Let's put it this way : those earning numbers put the value of the Dragon Ball franchise somewhere between $5 and $15 billions. Last year, it made more money worldwide than One Piece, Naruto and Yo-Kai Watch combined. If they spun it off as an independent company, it would still be big enough to be in the bottom of the S&P 500 index. It's much bigger than any single person's decisions, except for Toriyama's, who is probably in the circa ~$100mln net worth range himself thanks to it, and now gives interviews in Forbes due to the show's popularity ( www.forbes.com ).

Bottom line is, DB as a business really is flourishing.

Where do you get the value from? All I see are yearly earnings of around 500m$ (60 billion yen).


Good point - I'm sticking a multiplier of 10 to 30 on those, in line with what the equity market currently prices for stable or growing cash flows, especially with a low cost structure (a ton of this comes from pure IP licencing, for instance to video game companies). This is totally in line with the probability-adjusted lifetime in years of the series, even with zero growth, given it's already been running for 35 years. Another way of getting to it is by simply looking at the lifetime value of merch sold so far - it's more than $5.3bn (source : en.wikipedia.org ), which means that balancing out remaining life expectancy of the series versus inflation of current dollars against the ones in the nineties to noughties (a very conservative assumption to make IMHO - especially since it doesn't price in future growth in international markets), the remaining value should be worth at least the past realized one.

DB appears, with this equivalent measure, in good position in this list of the most valuable media franchises from Wikipedia : en.wikipedia.org

Common business sense tells us it's not going anywhere.
"I just say, it doesn't matter win or lose, I just love Starcraft 2, I love this game, I love this stage, just play like in practice" - TIME/Oliveira
blade55555
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States17423 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-28 21:53:30
January 28 2018 21:51 GMT
#3323
On January 29 2018 05:24 DeepElemBlues wrote:
has it been two episodes since vegeta's last powerup yet?

must be time to give him another one then lol...

i dont think they've shown the peak of any of toppo, jiren, vegeta or goku.

beerus said that toppo hasn't mastered his GoD energy. duh he just tapped into it 2 seconds ago.

vegeta seems to be getting massive powerups every couple episodes now. i dont think he has actually achieved Perfect SSB yet but he will next episode or the episode after

goku hasn't perfected ultra instinct

jiren is nowhere near showing his 100%

jiren seemed like he wasn't very happy that toppo decided to go the GoD route, maybe something interesting will happen because of that? maybe they have goku and vegeta on the ropes but toppo goes too far and jiren eliminates him, robbing them of the chance to eliminate U7 before time runs out, and U11 loses with only jiren left but U7 still has vegeta and goku

we could still see both the kaioshins of U7 and U11 toss in their potaras as well

i think toppo will take out 17 and frieza next episode, the preview all but came out and said that was what is gonna happen. vegeta will get his final powerup and eliminate toppo. jiren will go to 100% and eliminate vegeta. then jiren will beat goku like a red headed stepchild for an episode or two before goku goes ultra instinct again. beerus or whis will say something that makes zero sense about how goku has perfected UI because something something and goku will win.

there's only what 5 episodes left? or 6? business is about to pick up


This doesn't appear to be Toppo's first time using this energy. This was not a random power up, he has been holding back due to confliction of justice and being a god of destruction, but has done it before, at least judging by what Belmod's Angel said "Time to see the results of his training (He being Toppo)".


It kinda surprised me that so many people forgot that Toppo wasn't using his full power against Goku during the exhibition match. Toppo was going to power up to full power, but was stopped by the grand priest. Neither one knew the full extent to each others powers, but it seemed obvious that Toppo was hiding a lot of his power. Being a candidate for god of destruction was another clue.
When I think of something else, something will go here
DeepElemBlues
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States5079 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-28 22:22:51
January 28 2018 22:22 GMT
#3324
On January 29 2018 06:51 blade55555 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2018 05:24 DeepElemBlues wrote:
has it been two episodes since vegeta's last powerup yet?

must be time to give him another one then lol...

i dont think they've shown the peak of any of toppo, jiren, vegeta or goku.

beerus said that toppo hasn't mastered his GoD energy. duh he just tapped into it 2 seconds ago.

vegeta seems to be getting massive powerups every couple episodes now. i dont think he has actually achieved Perfect SSB yet but he will next episode or the episode after

goku hasn't perfected ultra instinct

jiren is nowhere near showing his 100%

jiren seemed like he wasn't very happy that toppo decided to go the GoD route, maybe something interesting will happen because of that? maybe they have goku and vegeta on the ropes but toppo goes too far and jiren eliminates him, robbing them of the chance to eliminate U7 before time runs out, and U11 loses with only jiren left but U7 still has vegeta and goku

we could still see both the kaioshins of U7 and U11 toss in their potaras as well

i think toppo will take out 17 and frieza next episode, the preview all but came out and said that was what is gonna happen. vegeta will get his final powerup and eliminate toppo. jiren will go to 100% and eliminate vegeta. then jiren will beat goku like a red headed stepchild for an episode or two before goku goes ultra instinct again. beerus or whis will say something that makes zero sense about how goku has perfected UI because something something and goku will win.

there's only what 5 episodes left? or 6? business is about to pick up


This doesn't appear to be Toppo's first time using this energy. This was not a random power up, he has been holding back due to confliction of justice and being a god of destruction, but has done it before, at least judging by what Belmod's Angel said "Time to see the results of his training (He being Toppo)".


It kinda surprised me that so many people forgot that Toppo wasn't using his full power against Goku during the exhibition match. Toppo was going to power up to full power, but was stopped by the grand priest. Neither one knew the full extent to each others powers, but it seemed obvious that Toppo was hiding a lot of his power. Being a candidate for god of destruction was another clue.


well beerus said that toppo is vulnerable while gathering GoD energy for the hakai although he can still surround himself with GoD energy while charging the hakai to protect himself

that implies toppo hasn't opened the GoD energy floodgates all the way which makes sense since he isn't a full-fledged GoD at the moment, just close (i guess?)
no place i'd rather be than the satellite of love
Dark_Chill
Profile Joined May 2011
Canada3353 Posts
January 28 2018 22:36 GMT
#3325
I'm now really confused about what God of Destruction means. Like, I thought all of the Gods were strong as shit and maybe chosen by the Angels. Like, the Angels bestow that title and power onto you if you accept. I feel like we were also lead to believe that you can't have two Gods of Destruction in the same universe.
And I'm definitely sure Gods of Destruction aren't allowed to participate in the tournament. That seems fairly broken.
CUTE MAKES RIGHT
DeepElemBlues
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States5079 Posts
January 28 2018 22:42 GMT
#3326
On January 29 2018 07:36 Dark_Chill wrote:
I'm now really confused about what God of Destruction means. Like, I thought all of the Gods were strong as shit and maybe chosen by the Angels. Like, the Angels bestow that title and power onto you if you accept. I feel like we were also lead to believe that you can't have two Gods of Destruction in the same universe.
And I'm definitely sure Gods of Destruction aren't allowed to participate in the tournament. That seems fairly broken.


the rules of the tournament of power are:

1. break the rules
2. the zen-ohs SQUEEEEEEEEEEEEEE over it because what you're doing to break the rules is SO KEWL
3. grand priest says it's okay
no place i'd rather be than the satellite of love
blade55555
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States17423 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-29 00:17:25
January 29 2018 00:17 GMT
#3327
On January 29 2018 07:36 Dark_Chill wrote:
I'm now really confused about what God of Destruction means. Like, I thought all of the Gods were strong as shit and maybe chosen by the Angels. Like, the Angels bestow that title and power onto you if you accept. I feel like we were also lead to believe that you can't have two Gods of Destruction in the same universe.
And I'm definitely sure Gods of Destruction aren't allowed to participate in the tournament. That seems fairly broken.


It's because he's not a God of Destruction yet. He's a candidate, so he's not breaking any rules. Just like how Goku/Vegeta train under Whis and have god power, but are allowed to participate.
When I think of something else, something will go here
Nakajin
Profile Blog Joined September 2014
Canada8990 Posts
January 29 2018 01:09 GMT
#3328
On January 29 2018 06:07 ShAsTa wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2018 02:12 LegalLord wrote:
We all know it's basically a farce until Ultra Instinct comes back.

Tbh it would be just as big a farce if Goku beats Jiren (with Ultra Instinct). Jiren has been shown to be miles and miles ahead of anyone but Goku manages to surpass him in 48 minutes? Maybe some day but not this fast.
U7 can still win but it should not happen by beating Jiren 1v1 imo.


It would be funny if DBS ended without a single Goku victory (lost to berrus, lost to frieza, lost to hit, lost to black and finaly lost to Jiren)
Writerhttp://i.imgur.com/9p6ufcB.jpg
andrewlt
Profile Joined August 2009
United States7702 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-29 03:29:48
January 29 2018 03:28 GMT
#3329
Looks like Vegeta is being set up to actually do something useful for once. I'm guessing that he's either going to win vs Toppo or it's going to be a double elimination. Even Dragon Ball Super isn't going to have Goku beat Toppo and Jiren 1 vs 2. Then again, we'll never know with these guys.

On January 29 2018 04:37 blade55555 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2018 01:58 Mun_Su wrote:
Is 17 that loved by fan ? I really don't like him why did they gave him so much screentime '--


He appears to be. I actually really like him. Out of all the fighters for Universe 7, he seems to be the one with the most common sense. He's not even trying to defeat Toppo, just trying to buy as much time so that they win when time runs out.

At first I didn't care for him to be added, but he's grown on me a lot this arc. I loved how he interrupted a transformation because the people were wide open (rebrienne and other girls), I really enjoy how he's doing everything as smart as he can. Really impressed with how the writers made him this arc.


He's pretty much doing the job that Gohan was hyped up and supposed to do.
andrewlt
Profile Joined August 2009
United States7702 Posts
January 29 2018 03:52 GMT
#3330
On January 29 2018 06:49 MyLovelyLurker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2018 05:48 RvB wrote:
On January 29 2018 04:36 MyLovelyLurker wrote:
On January 29 2018 04:09 GoTuNk! wrote:
On January 29 2018 02:29 MyLovelyLurker wrote:
True, but now Hakai-shin Toppo and His Godly Moustache cannot be ignored anymore.

Also, to all who feared for Super's future, I've dug up Bandai/Namco's financial statements here www.bandainamco.co.jp

You can clearly see on page 2 DB's making a ton of money - it's litterally their golden goose. Between that and the fact Goku's been chosen as the mascot of the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, we gonna get some DB for years to come.


I hope you are right :'(


Thanks ! Let's put it this way : those earning numbers put the value of the Dragon Ball franchise somewhere between $5 and $15 billions. Last year, it made more money worldwide than One Piece, Naruto and Yo-Kai Watch combined. If they spun it off as an independent company, it would still be big enough to be in the bottom of the S&P 500 index. It's much bigger than any single person's decisions, except for Toriyama's, who is probably in the circa ~$100mln net worth range himself thanks to it, and now gives interviews in Forbes due to the show's popularity ( www.forbes.com ).

Bottom line is, DB as a business really is flourishing.

Where do you get the value from? All I see are yearly earnings of around 500m$ (60 billion yen).


Good point - I'm sticking a multiplier of 10 to 30 on those, in line with what the equity market currently prices for stable or growing cash flows, especially with a low cost structure (a ton of this comes from pure IP licencing, for instance to video game companies). This is totally in line with the probability-adjusted lifetime in years of the series, even with zero growth, given it's already been running for 35 years. Another way of getting to it is by simply looking at the lifetime value of merch sold so far - it's more than $5.3bn (source : en.wikipedia.org ), which means that balancing out remaining life expectancy of the series versus inflation of current dollars against the ones in the nineties to noughties (a very conservative assumption to make IMHO - especially since it doesn't price in future growth in international markets), the remaining value should be worth at least the past realized one.

DB appears, with this equivalent measure, in good position in this list of the most valuable media franchises from Wikipedia : en.wikipedia.org

Common business sense tells us it's not going anywhere.


Definitely not going anywhere but it did have a bit of a hiatus in terms of having new content until the past few years. The entire company is only worth $7.3 billion USD, though, so that puts a ceiling on your estimates. Of course, Japanese companies aren't managed like western companies but it doesn't look like there's a lot of money losers among their IPs.

Interesting that toys and hobbies are almost as big as network content (which I assume are tv and movies). Both are roughly double the revenue of the video game business. The Bandai part is still much bigger than the Namco part.
MyLovelyLurker
Profile Joined April 2007
France756 Posts
January 29 2018 09:19 GMT
#3331
On January 29 2018 12:52 andrewlt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2018 06:49 MyLovelyLurker wrote:
On January 29 2018 05:48 RvB wrote:
On January 29 2018 04:36 MyLovelyLurker wrote:
On January 29 2018 04:09 GoTuNk! wrote:
On January 29 2018 02:29 MyLovelyLurker wrote:
True, but now Hakai-shin Toppo and His Godly Moustache cannot be ignored anymore.

Also, to all who feared for Super's future, I've dug up Bandai/Namco's financial statements here www.bandainamco.co.jp

You can clearly see on page 2 DB's making a ton of money - it's litterally their golden goose. Between that and the fact Goku's been chosen as the mascot of the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, we gonna get some DB for years to come.


I hope you are right :'(


Thanks ! Let's put it this way : those earning numbers put the value of the Dragon Ball franchise somewhere between $5 and $15 billions. Last year, it made more money worldwide than One Piece, Naruto and Yo-Kai Watch combined. If they spun it off as an independent company, it would still be big enough to be in the bottom of the S&P 500 index. It's much bigger than any single person's decisions, except for Toriyama's, who is probably in the circa ~$100mln net worth range himself thanks to it, and now gives interviews in Forbes due to the show's popularity ( www.forbes.com ).

Bottom line is, DB as a business really is flourishing.

Where do you get the value from? All I see are yearly earnings of around 500m$ (60 billion yen).


Good point - I'm sticking a multiplier of 10 to 30 on those, in line with what the equity market currently prices for stable or growing cash flows, especially with a low cost structure (a ton of this comes from pure IP licencing, for instance to video game companies). This is totally in line with the probability-adjusted lifetime in years of the series, even with zero growth, given it's already been running for 35 years. Another way of getting to it is by simply looking at the lifetime value of merch sold so far - it's more than $5.3bn (source : en.wikipedia.org ), which means that balancing out remaining life expectancy of the series versus inflation of current dollars against the ones in the nineties to noughties (a very conservative assumption to make IMHO - especially since it doesn't price in future growth in international markets), the remaining value should be worth at least the past realized one.

DB appears, with this equivalent measure, in good position in this list of the most valuable media franchises from Wikipedia : en.wikipedia.org

Common business sense tells us it's not going anywhere.


Definitely not going anywhere but it did have a bit of a hiatus in terms of having new content until the past few years. The entire company is only worth $7.3 billion USD, though, so that puts a ceiling on your estimates. Of course, Japanese companies aren't managed like western companies but it doesn't look like there's a lot of money losers among their IPs.

Interesting that toys and hobbies are almost as big as network content (which I assume are tv and movies). Both are roughly double the revenue of the video game business. The Bandai part is still much bigger than the Namco part.


Agree with your objection and the objection to your objection - granted, American valuation levels are undergoing a bit of a Kaioken phase :-) Yet, I did not fully comprehend the sheer size of the DB franchise until I looked numbers up. For instance, it made more money last year than Terminator Genisys grossed in box office (sure, not the best in the series, but still the second highest grossing at $440mill +- budget and DVD sales), or The Matrix Revolutions ($427mill). That is not your average anime, and I wouldn't have put such a high price tag on my 15 minutes of Sunday morning youtubing, maybe because of the show's goofiness.

So, with that in mind, and the same feeling as you regarding inconsistencies (Goku even sold Gohan's smarts to Beerus) and improvisation in storytelling, where does that leave us ? Bandai probably has as many financial and strategy analysts dedicated to making '18 earning forecasts happen as Toei has storyboard screenwriters (at least judging by the horrendous quality of ToP filler material). A hiatus is necessary and will most likely happen, but too many people have incentives to keep it very short lived.
"I just say, it doesn't matter win or lose, I just love Starcraft 2, I love this game, I love this stage, just play like in practice" - TIME/Oliveira
blade55555
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States17423 Posts
January 29 2018 15:09 GMT
#3332
On January 29 2018 10:09 Nakajin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2018 06:07 ShAsTa wrote:
On January 29 2018 02:12 LegalLord wrote:
We all know it's basically a farce until Ultra Instinct comes back.

Tbh it would be just as big a farce if Goku beats Jiren (with Ultra Instinct). Jiren has been shown to be miles and miles ahead of anyone but Goku manages to surpass him in 48 minutes? Maybe some day but not this fast.
U7 can still win but it should not happen by beating Jiren 1v1 imo.


It would be funny if DBS ended without a single Goku victory (lost to berrus, lost to frieza, lost to hit, lost to black and finaly lost to Jiren)


Hey he's had victories! Just not against any of the big bads. Although, Goku did beat Freeza before getting cheap shotted by a minion (Sorbet I think his name was) and if you still count that as a loss, he killed Freeza for good thanks to time travel. So I don't count that as a loss personally.

I do think he's going to beat Jiren though, whether it turns out to be a tie or barely winning, I would be surprised if Jiren was the one to win.
When I think of something else, something will go here
andrewlt
Profile Joined August 2009
United States7702 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-29 20:36:35
January 29 2018 16:14 GMT
#3333
On January 29 2018 18:19 MyLovelyLurker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2018 12:52 andrewlt wrote:
On January 29 2018 06:49 MyLovelyLurker wrote:
On January 29 2018 05:48 RvB wrote:
On January 29 2018 04:36 MyLovelyLurker wrote:
On January 29 2018 04:09 GoTuNk! wrote:
On January 29 2018 02:29 MyLovelyLurker wrote:
True, but now Hakai-shin Toppo and His Godly Moustache cannot be ignored anymore.

Also, to all who feared for Super's future, I've dug up Bandai/Namco's financial statements here www.bandainamco.co.jp

You can clearly see on page 2 DB's making a ton of money - it's litterally their golden goose. Between that and the fact Goku's been chosen as the mascot of the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, we gonna get some DB for years to come.


I hope you are right :'(


Thanks ! Let's put it this way : those earning numbers put the value of the Dragon Ball franchise somewhere between $5 and $15 billions. Last year, it made more money worldwide than One Piece, Naruto and Yo-Kai Watch combined. If they spun it off as an independent company, it would still be big enough to be in the bottom of the S&P 500 index. It's much bigger than any single person's decisions, except for Toriyama's, who is probably in the circa ~$100mln net worth range himself thanks to it, and now gives interviews in Forbes due to the show's popularity ( www.forbes.com ).

Bottom line is, DB as a business really is flourishing.

Where do you get the value from? All I see are yearly earnings of around 500m$ (60 billion yen).


Good point - I'm sticking a multiplier of 10 to 30 on those, in line with what the equity market currently prices for stable or growing cash flows, especially with a low cost structure (a ton of this comes from pure IP licencing, for instance to video game companies). This is totally in line with the probability-adjusted lifetime in years of the series, even with zero growth, given it's already been running for 35 years. Another way of getting to it is by simply looking at the lifetime value of merch sold so far - it's more than $5.3bn (source : en.wikipedia.org ), which means that balancing out remaining life expectancy of the series versus inflation of current dollars against the ones in the nineties to noughties (a very conservative assumption to make IMHO - especially since it doesn't price in future growth in international markets), the remaining value should be worth at least the past realized one.

DB appears, with this equivalent measure, in good position in this list of the most valuable media franchises from Wikipedia : en.wikipedia.org

Common business sense tells us it's not going anywhere.


Definitely not going anywhere but it did have a bit of a hiatus in terms of having new content until the past few years. The entire company is only worth $7.3 billion USD, though, so that puts a ceiling on your estimates. Of course, Japanese companies aren't managed like western companies but it doesn't look like there's a lot of money losers among their IPs.

Interesting that toys and hobbies are almost as big as network content (which I assume are tv and movies). Both are roughly double the revenue of the video game business. The Bandai part is still much bigger than the Namco part.


Agree with your objection and the objection to your objection - granted, American valuation levels are undergoing a bit of a Kaioken phase :-) Yet, I did not fully comprehend the sheer size of the DB franchise until I looked numbers up. For instance, it made more money last year than Terminator Genisys grossed in box office (sure, not the best in the series, but still the second highest grossing at $440mill +- budget and DVD sales), or The Matrix Revolutions ($427mill). That is not your average anime, and I wouldn't have put such a high price tag on my 15 minutes of Sunday morning youtubing, maybe because of the show's goofiness.

So, with that in mind, and the same feeling as you regarding inconsistencies (Goku even sold Gohan's smarts to Beerus) and improvisation in storytelling, where does that leave us ? Bandai probably has as many financial and strategy analysts dedicated to making '18 earning forecasts happen as Toei has storyboard screenwriters (at least judging by the horrendous quality of ToP filler material). A hiatus is necessary and will most likely happen, but too many people have incentives to keep it very short lived.


I'm too lazy to look it up but I do wonder how much money the DB franchise was making during their previous hiatus. Granted, it did occur during Naruto's peak and DBS started right around when that series was ending. A short hiatus wouldn't hurt sales of toys and merchandising that much and they do have a newly released videogame to help keep a bit of awareness on the franchise.

It may also explain why the series has so many transformation. Somewhere in Japan, a parent sees a new transformation and painfully reaches for their wallet.

I'm also surprised that Gundam is DB's competition as their company's top franchise. I haven't been followed that series at all in a long time but I have to imagine that that franchise is heavy on toys and merchandising.
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6294 Posts
January 29 2018 17:32 GMT
#3334
On January 29 2018 18:19 MyLovelyLurker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2018 12:52 andrewlt wrote:
On January 29 2018 06:49 MyLovelyLurker wrote:
On January 29 2018 05:48 RvB wrote:
On January 29 2018 04:36 MyLovelyLurker wrote:
On January 29 2018 04:09 GoTuNk! wrote:
On January 29 2018 02:29 MyLovelyLurker wrote:
True, but now Hakai-shin Toppo and His Godly Moustache cannot be ignored anymore.

Also, to all who feared for Super's future, I've dug up Bandai/Namco's financial statements here www.bandainamco.co.jp

You can clearly see on page 2 DB's making a ton of money - it's litterally their golden goose. Between that and the fact Goku's been chosen as the mascot of the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, we gonna get some DB for years to come.


I hope you are right :'(


Thanks ! Let's put it this way : those earning numbers put the value of the Dragon Ball franchise somewhere between $5 and $15 billions. Last year, it made more money worldwide than One Piece, Naruto and Yo-Kai Watch combined. If they spun it off as an independent company, it would still be big enough to be in the bottom of the S&P 500 index. It's much bigger than any single person's decisions, except for Toriyama's, who is probably in the circa ~$100mln net worth range himself thanks to it, and now gives interviews in Forbes due to the show's popularity ( www.forbes.com ).

Bottom line is, DB as a business really is flourishing.

Where do you get the value from? All I see are yearly earnings of around 500m$ (60 billion yen).


Good point - I'm sticking a multiplier of 10 to 30 on those, in line with what the equity market currently prices for stable or growing cash flows, especially with a low cost structure (a ton of this comes from pure IP licencing, for instance to video game companies). This is totally in line with the probability-adjusted lifetime in years of the series, even with zero growth, given it's already been running for 35 years. Another way of getting to it is by simply looking at the lifetime value of merch sold so far - it's more than $5.3bn (source : en.wikipedia.org ), which means that balancing out remaining life expectancy of the series versus inflation of current dollars against the ones in the nineties to noughties (a very conservative assumption to make IMHO - especially since it doesn't price in future growth in international markets), the remaining value should be worth at least the past realized one.

DB appears, with this equivalent measure, in good position in this list of the most valuable media franchises from Wikipedia : en.wikipedia.org

Common business sense tells us it's not going anywhere.


Definitely not going anywhere but it did have a bit of a hiatus in terms of having new content until the past few years. The entire company is only worth $7.3 billion USD, though, so that puts a ceiling on your estimates. Of course, Japanese companies aren't managed like western companies but it doesn't look like there's a lot of money losers among their IPs.

Interesting that toys and hobbies are almost as big as network content (which I assume are tv and movies). Both are roughly double the revenue of the video game business. The Bandai part is still much bigger than the Namco part.


Agree with your objection and the objection to your objection - granted, American valuation levels are undergoing a bit of a Kaioken phase :-) Yet, I did not fully comprehend the sheer size of the DB franchise until I looked numbers up. For instance, it made more money last year than Terminator Genisys grossed in box office (sure, not the best in the series, but still the second highest grossing at $440mill +- budget and DVD sales), or The Matrix Revolutions ($427mill). That is not your average anime, and I wouldn't have put such a high price tag on my 15 minutes of Sunday morning youtubing, maybe because of the show's goofiness.

So, with that in mind, and the same feeling as you regarding inconsistencies (Goku even sold Gohan's smarts to Beerus) and improvisation in storytelling, where does that leave us ? Bandai probably has as many financial and strategy analysts dedicated to making '18 earning forecasts happen as Toei has storyboard screenwriters (at least judging by the horrendous quality of ToP filler material). A hiatus is necessary and will most likely happen, but too many people have incentives to keep it very short lived.

The multiplier you're using is meant for profit. You're using it on total revenue. If you look at sales compared to profits you see that net profit is only like a tenth of sales.

Gundam being so big isn't that surprising. Has a huge market for merchandise with gunpla etc. It's a huge series as well.
NewSunshine
Profile Joined July 2011
United States5938 Posts
January 30 2018 00:23 GMT
#3335
I enjoyed this episode greatly. We finally get to see Toppo's true power, and for the manga readers in the room it's what we suspected all along. Seeing him release his Energy of Destruction and cracking the fighting stage in half was a timely reminder that we're down to the final battle. And seeing the intersection of his immense power as GoD and Frieza's hubris was very satisfying. Frieza thought because he handled the energy once that he had it licked, and he was wrong. We can see a clear pattern in his behavior too, looking back to his fight with Goku on Namek. He's arrogant to a fault, even more so than Vegeta. Even when he's clearly outclassed by his opponent, he will refuse to admit or acknowledge it, and it nearly got him knocked off the stage. It's DB Super though, so obviously since he didn't fall he can come back at any time. We'll see.

This episode got me excited because it goes back to the roots of the thing: there are Gods of Destruction out there, and they're truly on another level. U11 now has 2 fighters who are at least on the level of GoD, which presents the almost problematic question of how Goku and Vegeta actually manage to win. Nonetheless, I'm hyped, not only for the fight against Toppo, but also beginning to see Jiren's true power, and how deep it really goes. As yet, we don't know.
"If you find yourself feeling lost, take pride in the accuracy of your feelings." - Night Vale
MoneyHypeMike
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada305 Posts
January 30 2018 03:29 GMT
#3336
Great episode.
I was discussing this with a friend at work...
Seeing how Jiren & Toppo seems to be OP (along with Goku & Vegeta), what do the top 3 universes look like?
Are they filled with Jiren/Toppo !?
Slaughter
Profile Blog Joined November 2003
United States20255 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-30 03:38:44
January 30 2018 03:38 GMT
#3337
Well its based on overall mortal level so it doesn't mean they have all Jiren level fighters. Jiren can still be an outlier among all the universes. I think it would be troublesome if there were multiple mortals running around at or above the level of the Gods of Destruction.
Never Knows Best.
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-30 03:45:32
January 30 2018 03:41 GMT
#3338
Honestly, they wrote themselves into a huge ass corner. How the hell is Goku and Vegeta going to beat back Jiren and Toppo? Jiren by himself is taking on Goku and Vegeta at the height of their power and with Toppo having that cloak of destruction, nothing can touch it. Even if Goku gets UI and somehow defeats Jiren, there is absolutely no way to go up against Toppo right after that. Vegeta is also nowhere near powerful enough to be on Toppo's level imo and 17 is smart but a scrub when it comes to power levels.

Forget about freiza, he's out atm. Maybe he'll wake up in time for it to be 3 vs 2 in U7's favour. I'll still be watching and enjoying but ya, even Toppo by himself might be able to match both Goku and Vegeta haha.
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
[Phantom]
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
Mexico2170 Posts
January 30 2018 08:09 GMT
#3339
That's what logic would tell you, with how strong God's of destruction are. However what will probably happen is that they'll say that toppo has not mastered that power yet, and seeing how Vegeta is fighting him next exp and I don't think they'll have a 2vsGoku (cause I don't know if 17 will last much longer) I think Vegeta will find a way to kick toppo out of the stage, maybe as it's all broken and they can't Technically fly. Or maybe toppo will go crazy and try to erase someone and Jiren will stop him or something.
WriterTeamLiquid Staff writer since 2014 @Mortal_Phantom
Mun_Su
Profile Joined December 2012
France2063 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-30 08:49:47
January 30 2018 08:43 GMT
#3340
On January 29 2018 07:42 DeepElemBlues wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2018 07:36 Dark_Chill wrote:
I'm now really confused about what God of Destruction means. Like, I thought all of the Gods were strong as shit and maybe chosen by the Angels. Like, the Angels bestow that title and power onto you if you accept. I feel like we were also lead to believe that you can't have two Gods of Destruction in the same universe.
And I'm definitely sure Gods of Destruction aren't allowed to participate in the tournament. That seems fairly broken.


the rules of the tournament of power are:

1. break the rules
2. the zen-ohs SQUEEEEEEEEEEEEEE over it because what you're doing to break the rules is SO KEWL
3. grand priest says it's okay



still can't believe that Goku's team was forbidden to take a senzu, then Caulifa and Kale just use fucking potala ><

They could have say "everyone got to take an item" It would have even be better because Goku took so many beat-up in 48 minutes and he is still standing this is a non sense even by dragon ball standing... or at least Kefla could have been a metamol induced fusion, the little dance just take 5 secondes... but no they HAD to be incoherent with themselves.
INno <3 - TY - Maru - Taeja - Rain <3 - Classic <3 - Stephano <3 - soO <3 - Soulkey - Dark - SERRAL =O / END REGION LOCK
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