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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 3575

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
April 08 2016 18:03 GMT
#71481
We had a discussion before about the raw vote totals between Sanders and Clinton. 538 did the math on the raw Dem delegate count from today until the end of the Primary race. We discussed it already so I'll just post the relevant section. They once again start by assuming their original "race is tied" targets.

[image loading]

Source
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
April 08 2016 18:08 GMT
#71482
thanks obama

http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/275546-obama-warns-dems-against-tea-party-mentality
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
CannonsNCarriers
Profile Joined April 2010
United States638 Posts
April 08 2016 18:17 GMT
#71483
On April 09 2016 03:08 oneofthem wrote:
thanks obama

http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/275546-obama-warns-dems-against-tea-party-mentality


This is plainly a frontal assault on the #BernieOrBust fanatics demanding single payer and free college. Obama's call for realistic pragmatism is anathema to Bernie's claim that his revolution will flip Republicans into supporting social-democracy.
Dun tuch my cheezbrgr
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21963 Posts
April 08 2016 18:23 GMT
#71484
On April 09 2016 03:17 CannonsNCarriers wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2016 03:08 oneofthem wrote:
thanks obama

http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/275546-obama-warns-dems-against-tea-party-mentality


This is plainly a frontal assault on the #BernieOrBust fanatics demanding single payer and free college. Obama's call for realistic pragmatism is anathema to Bernie's claim that his revolution will flip Republicans into supporting social-democracy.

Republicans went full obstructionist because a black president could not be allowed to succeed.
How bad do you think they will react to a communist (I know he isnt, its the image) in the white house.

Not that I believe this should stop people from voting for a candidate they support, but you need to be realistic about what he could get done.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
April 08 2016 18:24 GMT
#71485
there is considerable space for strategic thinking towards an economy with less rentseeking and more equality and quality jobs. but this shit is hard and also not ready for prime time.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-04-08 18:32:18
April 08 2016 18:29 GMT
#71486
On April 09 2016 03:17 CannonsNCarriers wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2016 03:08 oneofthem wrote:
thanks obama

http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/275546-obama-warns-dems-against-tea-party-mentality


This is plainly a frontal assault on the #BernieOrBust fanatics demanding single payer and free college. Obama's call for realistic pragmatism is anathema to Bernie's claim that his revolution will flip Republicans into supporting social-democracy.


No matter how many times I hear it, I still can't understand how people think this is possible. It's just so interesting to see such an energetic group pay no consideration for people who hear them out and aren't convinced. I always see Bernistas talk about this and that as if it's just a matter of someone being able to hear what Bernie has to say. A big idea in the whole revolution thing is educating, reaching out etc. "If you can just call enough people on the phone, bernie will win!" and other similar nonsense.
CannonsNCarriers
Profile Joined April 2010
United States638 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-04-08 18:40:06
April 08 2016 18:32 GMT
#71487
On April 09 2016 03:29 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2016 03:17 CannonsNCarriers wrote:
On April 09 2016 03:08 oneofthem wrote:
thanks obama

http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/275546-obama-warns-dems-against-tea-party-mentality


This is plainly a frontal assault on the #BernieOrBust fanatics demanding single payer and free college. Obama's call for realistic pragmatism is anathema to Bernie's claim that his revolution will flip Republicans into supporting social-democracy.


No matter how many times I hear it, I still can't understand how people think this is possible. It's just so interesting to see such an energetic group pay no consideration for people who hear them out and aren't convinced. I always see Bernistas talk about this and that as if it's just a matter of someone being able to hear what Bernie has to say. A big idea in the whole revolution thing is educating, reaching out etc. "If you can just call enough people on the phone, bernie will win!" and other similar nonsense.


~"We are going to make them pay a heavy political price" ... "It is the monied interests" ...

Bernie has this Communist mindset that the Republicans are deluded about what they believe by monied interests. Republicans really do believe in limited government (when it helps people that don't look like Republicans). Yeah, some of it is being tricked by the Donor Class, but not all of it. I think Marx or the Marxists called it "false consciousness".
Dun tuch my cheezbrgr
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
April 08 2016 18:42 GMT
#71488
this situation on the left is broader than sandernistas' affection for bernie. it is rather their distrust of the system, including government, law and economic institutions. this distrust is also from an outside perspective which means it is not expressed in terms of policy details but at the group entity level.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
April 08 2016 18:49 GMT
#71489
On April 09 2016 03:42 oneofthem wrote:
this situation on the left is broader than sandernistas' affection for bernie. it is rather their distrust of the system, including government, law and economic institutions. this distrust is also from an outside perspective which means it is not expressed in terms of policy details but at the group entity level.


Yeah, and I think it is important to consider. However, the disconnect comes from when they say "If someone isn't in favor of ___ or ____, then they are supporting corruption and business as usual". But lots of people want money out of politics *and* disagree with a federal $15 minimum wage. They see their position as the ONLY possible conclusion someone against corruption could come to.

An interesting study: Have a group watch a Bernie Sanders speech and then also watch a similar length of Clinton's Benghazi hearing. Ask people who they want to be president. Anyone who watches that Benghazi hearing without an insane respect for Clinton is nuts. That hearing highlighted why that hearing even existed to begin with. She's so formidable.
Yoav
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1874 Posts
April 08 2016 19:09 GMT
#71490
On April 09 2016 03:32 CannonsNCarriers wrote:
Bernie has this Communist mindset that the Republicans are deluded about what they believe by monied interests. Republicans really do believe in limited government (when it helps people that don't look like Republicans). Yeah, some of it is being tricked by the Donor Class, but not all of it.


This is kind of an outdated debate. Le Donald has proven that about 35% of GOP voters don't give a shit about conservative ideas or limited government or any of that and are just going to sign on to the most authoritarian, nativist (and maybe a little racist) party/candidate. That's a significant chunk (more than most Republicans used to admit), but not a majority (less than Dems like to think). The other two thirds are basically evenly divided among the Huckabee crowd and the Romney crowd, both ideological but in differing ways.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
April 08 2016 19:14 GMT
#71491
On April 09 2016 04:09 Yoav wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2016 03:32 CannonsNCarriers wrote:
Bernie has this Communist mindset that the Republicans are deluded about what they believe by monied interests. Republicans really do believe in limited government (when it helps people that don't look like Republicans). Yeah, some of it is being tricked by the Donor Class, but not all of it.


This is kind of an outdated debate. Le Donald has proven that about 35% of GOP voters don't give a shit about conservative ideas or limited government or any of that and are just going to sign on to the most authoritarian, nativist (and maybe a little racist) party/candidate. That's a significant chunk (more than most Republicans used to admit), but not a majority (less than Dems like to think). The other two thirds are basically evenly divided among the Huckabee crowd and the Romney crowd, both ideological but in differing ways.


I think this is a great analysis of the current GOP demographic.
cLutZ
Profile Joined November 2010
United States19574 Posts
April 08 2016 19:30 GMT
#71492
On April 09 2016 03:24 oneofthem wrote:
there is considerable space for strategic thinking towards an economy with less rentseeking and more equality and quality jobs. but this shit is hard and also not ready for prime time.

Rentseeking is basically Bernie's platform...
Freeeeeeedom
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23489 Posts
April 08 2016 19:35 GMT
#71493
Love how every time there's a piece critical of Bernie it get's posted multiple times lately.

As for the 538 thing I'm going to have to start taking more screen shots, somehow since the last WA delegates were added, Bernie has lost a delegate and Hillary gained one.

Not sure if that's Missouri or something else? 1.5 million for New York turn out seems low too. That's just a few hundred thousand more than WI even though there's more than 3x the people.

I think people are realizing it's not a good idea to send someone with net unfavorables and who more people find dishonest than honest into a general.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 08 2016 19:38 GMT
#71494
GH underestimates the apathy of NY.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-04-08 19:40:29
April 08 2016 19:39 GMT
#71495
Dem party is almost as fucked as the Republican one when it comes to quality presidential candidates. I could see they were in trouble when the DNC last year was a wash when it came to promoting good future candidates.

Hillary is just the default choice because they have no one better. She wouldn't win in the primary against some promising candidate similar to Obama.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
April 08 2016 19:43 GMT
#71496
On April 09 2016 03:49 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2016 03:42 oneofthem wrote:
this situation on the left is broader than sandernistas' affection for bernie. it is rather their distrust of the system, including government, law and economic institutions. this distrust is also from an outside perspective which means it is not expressed in terms of policy details but at the group entity level.


Yeah, and I think it is important to consider. However, the disconnect comes from when they say "If someone isn't in favor of ___ or ____, then they are supporting corruption and business as usual". But lots of people want money out of politics *and* disagree with a federal $15 minimum wage. They see their position as the ONLY possible conclusion someone against corruption could come to.

An interesting study: Have a group watch a Bernie Sanders speech and then also watch a similar length of Clinton's Benghazi hearing. Ask people who they want to be president. Anyone who watches that Benghazi hearing without an insane respect for Clinton is nuts. That hearing highlighted why that hearing even existed to begin with. She's so formidable.

i have in mind the guilt by association attacks vs people that leftists use. not only vs hillary but vs all kinds of people.

We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23489 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-04-08 19:50:38
April 08 2016 19:44 GMT
#71497
On April 09 2016 04:38 Plansix wrote:
GH underestimates the apathy of NY.


Pretty sure the turnout will be larger, despite lines/problems that make WI look like a well run primary. I'm not going to buy the "we were surprised by the large turnout" line yet again this election.

I mean here's when Democrats that didn't want to suppress the vote should of started talking solutions in future states. Surprised ticklish didn't know about this.

"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
April 08 2016 19:47 GMT
#71498
On April 09 2016 04:39 LegalLord wrote:
Dem party is almost as fucked as the Republican one when it comes to quality presidential candidates. I could see they were in trouble when the DNC last year was a wash when it came to promoting good future candidates.

It depends on what you mean by "quality presidential candidates". Personally, I consider a quality presidential candidate someone's who's competent, knowledgeable, experienced, and is the closest match between aligning with my views as much as possible and being sufficiently electable to win the election. Hillary fits the bill perfectly.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-04-08 19:52:12
April 08 2016 19:49 GMT
#71499
On April 09 2016 03:49 Mohdoo wrote:
An interesting study: Have a group watch a Bernie Sanders speech and then also watch a similar length of Clinton's Benghazi hearing. Ask people who they want to be president. Anyone who watches that Benghazi hearing without an insane respect for Clinton is nuts. That hearing highlighted why that hearing even existed to begin with. She's so formidable.

I can't disagree with that. But on the other hand, if you watch her play identity politics or flip-flop on issues (e.g. in one of those video compilations) you might feel pretty disgusted and annoyed by it.

Not that Hillary is bad, but people don't dislike her without reason.

On April 09 2016 04:47 kwizach wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2016 04:39 LegalLord wrote:
Dem party is almost as fucked as the Republican one when it comes to quality presidential candidates. I could see they were in trouble when the DNC last year was a wash when it came to promoting good future candidates.

It depends on what you mean by "quality presidential candidates". Personally, I consider a quality presidential candidate someone's who's competent, knowledgeable, experienced, and is the closest match between aligning with my views as much as possible and being sufficiently electable to win the election. Hillary fits the bill perfectly.

If Hillary were fighting against a genuinely strong Republican challenger she would have a lot of trouble winning, and she most certainly will breed resentment that won't help in the midterm elections. Some other, stronger, candidate might have had a better chance at remedying that.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
April 08 2016 19:54 GMT
#71500
only clueless people think hillary is a weak candidate on ability. many are clueless though.

idk who i would want instead. daron acemoglu? lol
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
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