Night 2
Trfel the Scum Goon is dead!
Night ends in 24 hours from this post at 22:00 GMT (+00:00). Get all actions into me and my cohost by that time.
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Blazinghand
United States25550 Posts
Night 2 Trfel the Scum Goon is dead! Night ends in 24 hours from this post at 22:00 GMT (+00:00). Get all actions into me and my cohost by that time. | ||
LightningStrike
United States14276 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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Breshke
Australia3749 Posts
This leads me to think my PoE was shiter than i thought it was. On January 21 2015 22:40 LoneMeow wrote: Breshke is scum. There's a clear avoidance of committing to any reads, and it's quite scummy how he wants to lynch me without considering other options. Show nested quote + On January 20 2015 08:53 Breshke wrote: So GB flipping town makes damdred fairly townie for what was going on with the wagons between the two. Also rsoultin is also fairly townie for how hard she was going against trfel especially at times when she seemed to be the only one doing it. For me that leaves two mafia within the following players given no cc's occur and trfel actually flips mafia 5) DarthPunk (filter) 6) The Shining (filter) 8) LoneMeow (filter) 10) geript (filter) So for auto i only need one more town read and that would probably be geript for a couple reasons the biggest one being that I don't really see the scum motivation to lead the wagon off of GB (a town) onto warwaffle (another town). So for next day phase i want to lynch one of the three remaining players and if i was to choose it would probably be LM. I realize i could easily be wrong on any of my town reads as some of it is fairly weak reasoning so that makes this type of analysis maybe not the best but for now it is the world im living in. Out of this list of 4 people, I can understand why he would not consider geript or DarthPunk at the time of this post, but he makes no explanation of why he picked me over The Shining. In fact, nowhere in his filter does he take any kind of stance on The Shining or analyze him. The only reason he gives for wanting to lynch me is where my vote ended up - he does not analyze why it ended up there, nor try to use the rest of my posting to validate his read in the slightest. There's also a certain lack of going anywhere with his posts, he's content to discuss whether LightningStrike might have fake claimed (as if) and ask questions that don't really go anywhere instead of posting his own analysis. Currently he's by far my best lynch after Trfel. LM could you explain the bolded to me? | ||
LightningStrike
United States14276 Posts
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LightningStrike
United States14276 Posts
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Breshke
Australia3749 Posts
Hahaha true, still that wasnt entirely your fault we shouldn't have lynched you. LS have you looked much at trfels filter our insight would be fairly useful as you are basically confirmed. | ||
jarjarbinks
569 Posts
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LightningStrike
United States14276 Posts
On January 22 2015 07:39 Breshke wrote: Already am LS! Hahaha true, still that wasnt entirely your fault we shouldn't have lynched you. LS have you looked much at trfels filter our insight would be fairly useful as you are basically confirmed. He "Scumread" LoneMeow and GlowingBear had his vote on them until the WarWaffle wagon happened at Day 1. I think it could of been a potential bus on to LoneMeow by him to get some town cred and tried to bus him at today before we lynched him. We know that GlowingBear was Town by his flip so he wasn't busing a scum there but ironically GlowingBear called him out at Day 1 after he had reread Tfrel's filter. He said to lynch LoneMEow after lynching me which could be him trying to bus LoneMeow again. I think we should look into LoneMeow being our best suspect for our Day 3 lynch of scum. | ||
LightningStrike
United States14276 Posts
On January 22 2015 07:48 jarjarbinks wrote: Trf why couldn't you be the RB? ITS ALL YOUR FAULT If he was the Roleblocker than the scum would of made a bunch of noise over his lynch. | ||
jarjarbinks
569 Posts
Should we both pick the same person tonight? One of us will probably be blocked but one of us will definitely go through. | ||
geript
10024 Posts
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LightningStrike
United States14276 Posts
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geript
10024 Posts
On January 22 2015 07:51 LightningStrike wrote: Show nested quote + On January 22 2015 07:39 Breshke wrote: Already am LS! Hahaha true, still that wasnt entirely your fault we shouldn't have lynched you. LS have you looked much at trfels filter our insight would be fairly useful as you are basically confirmed. He "Scumread" LoneMeow and GlowingBear had his vote on them until the WarWaffle wagon happened at Day 1. I think it could of been a potential bus on to LoneMeow by him to get some town cred and tried to bus him at today before we lynched him. We know that GlowingBear was Town by his flip so he wasn't busing a scum there but ironically GlowingBear called him out at Day 1 after he had reread Tfrel's filter. He said to lynch LoneMEow after lynching me which could be him trying to bus LoneMeow again. I think we should look into LoneMeow being our best suspect for our Day 3 lynch of scum. If you like this line of thinking then go find reasons for Alan being mafia. | ||
jarjarbinks
569 Posts
On January 22 2015 07:52 LightningStrike wrote: Show nested quote + On January 22 2015 07:48 jarjarbinks wrote: Trf why couldn't you be the RB? ITS ALL YOUR FAULT If he was the Roleblocker than the scum would of made a bunch of noise over his lynch. Actually I feel like if Trf was RB and cop finds him there wouldn't have been any mafia defending him. It would just convict them too right? | ||
Breshke
Australia3749 Posts
On January 22 2015 07:57 jarjarbinks wrote: Hmm good call. Should we both pick the same person tonight? One of us will probably be blocked but one of us will definitely go through. One will probably be blocked the other might be killed so it probably wont matter. If they weren't going to do that i think theyd block LS then kill whoever because if you are the tracker which is more and more likely your role isn't as strong as cop and a green report from you or whatever doesn't mean as much. That being said it isnt really worth talking about this stuff or deciding who you are both going to use your roles on because it is giving mafia more information just use your best judgement. | ||
jarjarbinks
569 Posts
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jarjarbinks
569 Posts
http://englishmafiaclub.com/strategy-for-red-day1.html So I guess on this site red players are good and black players are bad in comparison to red players being bad here and green/blue being good. I think my analysis might be hogwash because I couldn't factor how prior votes would affect peoples voting accuracy later on. For example, for a VT on day one in a game like this, there would be a 1/12 chance they vote right. On day 2 with two kills, then it would be 1/10 + cop/tracker influence. I didn't have a general "will have a better vote based on information read" factor and I feel like it is vital. Especially in this game. We have 62 pages of information right now, and I would hope at least some of it would help the VT make more accurate votes. So in conclusion (if you care/reading still) I think all my work I did on the no lynch thing was dumb and you guys were right. I was just mad D1 I had to claim with a Waffle death and N1 you died. | ||
jarjarbinks
569 Posts
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Breshke
Australia3749 Posts
On January 21 2015 22:40 LoneMeow wrote: Breshke is scum. There's a clear avoidance of committing to any reads, and it's quite scummy how he wants to lynch me without considering other options. Show nested quote + On January 20 2015 08:53 Breshke wrote: So GB flipping town makes damdred fairly townie for what was going on with the wagons between the two. Also rsoultin is also fairly townie for how hard she was going against trfel especially at times when she seemed to be the only one doing it. For me that leaves two mafia within the following players given no cc's occur and trfel actually flips mafia 5) DarthPunk (filter) 6) The Shining (filter) 8) LoneMeow (filter) 10) geript (filter) So for auto i only need one more town read and that would probably be geript for a couple reasons the biggest one being that I don't really see the scum motivation to lead the wagon off of GB (a town) onto warwaffle (another town). So for next day phase i want to lynch one of the three remaining players and if i was to choose it would probably be LM. I realize i could easily be wrong on any of my town reads as some of it is fairly weak reasoning so that makes this type of analysis maybe not the best but for now it is the world im living in. Out of this list of 4 people, I can understand why he would not consider geript or DarthPunk at the time of this post, but he makes no explanation of why he picked me over The Shining. In fact, nowhere in his filter does he take any kind of stance on The Shining or analyze him. The only reason he gives for wanting to lynch me is where my vote ended up - he does not analyze why it ended up there, nor try to use the rest of my posting to validate his read in the slightest. There's also a certain lack of going anywhere with his posts, he's content to discuss whether LightningStrike might have fake claimed (as if) and ask questions that don't really go anywhere instead of posting his own analysis. Currently he's by far my best lynch after Trfel. The bolded part gives me an impression that LM can see reason as to why i wouldn't have wanted to lynched geript or DP. This means that he must agree that they have done something townie or he is reading them town or whatever. But if you look at the reads list he just posted DP and Geript are both in his null category the same as the shining so from his PoV this doesn't make sense. | ||
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