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@mkfuba I don't like the fact that you're content watching everyone argue while you ask a few questions here and there from the sidelines. The apathy is strong with you. Care to jump into the action?
What are your thoughts on the Rayn/Koshi situation? Who do you think is our best lynch for Day 2?
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On August 24 2013 15:34 FirmTofu wrote:Show nested quote +On August 24 2013 15:27 Onegu wrote:On August 24 2013 15:22 FirmTofu wrote: The way I see it: 1) Koshi is SAM and claims SAM OR 2) Koshi is scum and claims SAM
BOTH are unlikely. There is no realize reason to claim in both scenarios, so it is clear that Koshi made a bad play. However, I do not think the play was alignment indicative. Bad town play is synonymous with bad scum play in that neither alignment want to be doing it. If you can explain to me why scum Koshi would claim SAM, I may consider your theory. To give him protection against red checks. 3 scum GF goon framer, framer claims SAM and frames goon every night you habe complete protection from red checks on every scum player. I can see that happening, but I still don't think it's as likely as Koshi being idiot town. We can look into a Koshi lynch if rayn doesn't get shot tonight. I'm not totally against lynching him.
I dont want to lynch him, if you think it is most likely he is town why would you be okmwith his lynch. While I believe rayne is town also, how koshi made his check makes me believe he is SAM, so it is much more important to shoot rayne because he has nothing to say he isnt scum while koshi does and we cant just leave a red check.
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@Crazometer: What happened to your suspicions of geript? Current thoughts on johnny?
@Onegu: When you say "town" do you mean SAM, or a VT who is decidedly not SAM? I'd agree that random VTs would never claim SAM, because that's 100% nonsensical. There's absolutely no reason for it. Given the situation this game, where Koshi claimed before everyone else in the thread posted, do you think it's more likely that he is scum?
@FT: First of all, if you're SAM and someone counter-claims you, then they're scum. You've just gotten a 1-for-1 trade (at worst). Pretty good deal. Second, if you are town and know that you will show red to cop checks, you should tell town that. It avoids the really shitty situation where someone checks you, you come up red, and THEN claim SAM. I've actually never been in a game where someone has said it doesn't make sense to claim when you're SAM, so I'm really confused as to why that idea seems so prevalent this game.
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Slightly OT, but doe people play these games with more of a 'I'd die for the town' mentality or is it more of a 'I want to get to the end and have the town win too' mentality. I tend to take these games too literally and start to hover towards the later which is why I would understand a SAM claim bc it means scum wont bother with you.
Regardless of that I still don't really get the line you are trying to push. If someone counterclaims then we know something is rotten between 1 of 2 people (cop doesnt have to check either of them, bodyguard probably shouldn't protect either of them). In the case of no counterclaim you become a 'semi-safe' townie. If as scum you claim then there is a town counterclaim you are in for a bad time.
As for drawing attention to yourself, that didn't seem to make any impact this thread.
To be adventurous let's investigate an alternate reality -No SAM claim -Rayn and Koshi return same
What does Koshi now do? Start pushing a case against Rayn with no evidence?
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On August 24 2013 15:47 Onegu wrote:Show nested quote +On August 24 2013 15:34 FirmTofu wrote:On August 24 2013 15:27 Onegu wrote:On August 24 2013 15:22 FirmTofu wrote: The way I see it: 1) Koshi is SAM and claims SAM OR 2) Koshi is scum and claims SAM
BOTH are unlikely. There is no realize reason to claim in both scenarios, so it is clear that Koshi made a bad play. However, I do not think the play was alignment indicative. Bad town play is synonymous with bad scum play in that neither alignment want to be doing it. If you can explain to me why scum Koshi would claim SAM, I may consider your theory. To give him protection against red checks. 3 scum GF goon framer, framer claims SAM and frames goon every night you habe complete protection from red checks on every scum player. I can see that happening, but I still don't think it's as likely as Koshi being idiot town. We can look into a Koshi lynch if rayn doesn't get shot tonight. I'm not totally against lynching him. I dont want to lynch him, if you think it is most likely he is town why would you be okmwith his lynch. While I believe rayne is town also, how koshi made his check makes me believe he is SAM, so it is much more important to shoot rayne because he has nothing to say he isnt scum while koshi does and we cant just leave a red check. I was null on koshi, not most likely town. I agree that rayn should be shot, but in the event that he isn't shot, who is your top lynch target?
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My previous post was directed at FT btw. In regards to geript and johnny I'm having trouble associating the two of them as a single entity mentally, so I wanted to take some more time to see how the new guy behaves. I do find it of interest that he is continuing down a similar path to geript though. It may be out of necessity, convenience or just unsure of what to do? Who knows.
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On August 24 2013 15:48 mkfuba07 wrote: @FT: First of all, if you're SAM and someone counter-claims you, then they're scum. You've just gotten a 1-for-1 trade (at worst). Pretty good deal. Second, if you are town and know that you will show red to cop checks, you should tell town that. It avoids the really shitty situation where someone checks you, you come up red, and THEN claim SAM. I've actually never been in a game where someone has said it doesn't make sense to claim when you're SAM, so I'm really confused as to why that idea seems so prevalent this game. So you're saying Koshi is probably town? I'm only saying that Koshi is equally likely to be scum or town. I don't think people understand where I stand on the issue.
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On August 24 2013 15:48 mkfuba07 wrote: @Crazometer: What happened to your suspicions of geript? Current thoughts on johnny?
@Onegu: When you say "town" do you mean SAM, or a VT who is decidedly not SAM? I'd agree that random VTs would never claim SAM, because that's 100% nonsensical. There's absolutely no reason for it. Given the situation this game, where Koshi claimed before everyone else in the thread posted, do you think it's more likely that he is scum?
@FT: First of all, if you're SAM and someone counter-claims you, then they're scum. You've just gotten a 1-for-1 trade (at worst). Pretty good deal. Second, if you are town and know that you will show red to cop checks, you should tell town that. It avoids the really shitty situation where someone checks you, you come up red, and THEN claim SAM. I've actually never been in a game where someone has said it doesn't make sense to claim when you're SAM, so I'm really confused as to why that idea seems so prevalent this game.
Yes sorry I mean vt
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I'll start quoting my posts I'm not used to the thread moving so fast -.-
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I really hope we have a vig in this game, otherwise this Koshi/rayn thing is going clog up discussion for Day 2.
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On August 24 2013 15:47 FirmTofu wrote: @mkfuba I don't like the fact that you're content watching everyone argue while you ask a few questions here and there from the sidelines. The apathy is strong with you. Care to jump into the action?
What are your thoughts on the Rayn/Koshi situation? Who do you think is our best lynch for Day 2? My thoughts on the rayn/koshi situation are that anyone saying rayn is definitely scum is suspicious. Especially when they emphasize the red check more than actual evidence. I generally agree with Oats (I believe) when he said that scum rarely so diehard-ly push for a mislynch. As for Koshi, I've had him set as town shortly after he claimed SAM. It really makes no sense for him to have claimed it at that time as scum. They would have needed to be really sure there was no SAM in the game, as well as have strong fears of Koshi being checked that night (otherwise the only impact would be to draw attention to himself). It's all too much risk for too little reward.
As far as day 2 lynches are concerned, I'm not sure. I imagine I'll have some idea around 4 hours from now.
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Hey everyone, I'm handling the nightpost. Make sure you send your night actions to both Sylencia and I!
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On August 23 2013 10:29 WaveofShadow wrote: Another thing I realized while looking through his massive fucking filter---he never ONCE considers the town perspective of anything I do. He immediately and ALWAYS fits everything I say and do into his 'WoS is scum' theories. This is shit play for town, and I truly and honestly believe that Rayn is purposefully tunneling me into oblivion because he believes that everyone will assume he is crazy and no scum would ever tunnel that hard.
Again the BH example in CCM proves that completely untrue. This is the one possibility that's really bothering me. I've seen plenty of townies blindly pursue their 100% scumreads only to have them flip town, but I'm afraid of the possibility that it was all an act. However, while rayn's vote ended up on WoS at the end of the day, he did give his input on plenty of players, as well as behave exactly as I would have expected him to if he really strongly believed WoS was scum.
Pretty sure I'm sticking with town rayn.
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hey am i gonna die? i think so. you know town is in a bad place when kush is the nk
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^What makes you think that? If I go down kill vayne lol
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everyone else is scummy as fuck lol
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I'm gonna get some sleep. I think my reads are pretty transparent so far so make sure you read my filter if I die. I'm pretty sure I've nailed at least 3/4 scum.
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fts got this game in the bag
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11589 Posts
Kush, motivate me to play.
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