Actually fuck it.
##Unvote Sheth
##Vote ChaoserBitch got greedy, now bitch gonna pay.
Let's consider all the possible scenarios involving Radfield, Chaoser and Sheth. I am ignoring the scenarios where Radfield is lying about the DT check, because Sheth will flip sooner or later, and if he flips neither Scum nor Miller, Radfield is fucked. That makes no sense no matter what Radfield's alignment is.
So, the possibilities are:
1. Sheth is scum, Chaoser is scumLooking at the interactions here, I don't think this is the case. If it is it's surprisingly good scum play from both of them. Chaosers direct push to actually lynch Sheth while keeping open the possibility of Sheth flipping miller would be a ridiculously powerful play to absolve him of any "knowledge" about the flip. I have almost no reason to believe this is the case.
2. Sheth is scum, Chaoser is townThis is a possibility, but why on earth is Chaoser focusing so hard on creating later opportunities for lynches? Why would he write something like this:
Either Sheth flips mafia or he doesn't and then we kill radfield/you/rg. No big problem lol.
If he thinks Sheth will actually flip scum??? If sheth flips scum shouldn't the people campaigning for his death day 1 (me) and bringing in the DT check from day 2 (Radfield) be the last people you want to lynch? Most townies in this game feel good lynching Sheth because they believe Radfield's DT claim, because... well... it makes sense to believe it.
It's okay to consider the possibility, But if chaoser is town, he would have to take a stance. a) I think sheth is town, and thus I won't vote for him or b) I think sheth is scum and thus I will vote for him.
Sheth is Miller, Chaoser is townSurprisingly, this is EXACTLY the same scenario as the one before. If chaoser is town he has no reason to distrust Radfield's DT claim, it's simply not logical to think Radfield is lying. Thus the ONLY reason one would ever not lynch Sheth is if you have a strong reason to believe he's town, and thus miller.
Chaoser hasn't produced any such reasons. He seems to be perfectly happy with lynching Sheth. this is a contradiction because if he had a strong reason to believe Sheth will flip miller, he'd also have a strong reason to try and turn his wagon around. But he's fine with Sheth dying, he just wants to make sure the wrong people get incriminated for it.
Incidentally, I now have a real strong reason to believe Sheth will flip town. Chaoser kindly provided me with it.
Sheth is Miller, Chaoser is ScumThis is what's going on.
Chaoser, as I've stated is perfectly fine with killing Sheth. But for some reason, he seems to be particularly interested what happens if he flips Miller.
Only in this situation does it make sense for chaoser to try to incriminate for example Radfield (not to mention myself, who has nothing to do with the situation, except telling people Radfield isn't scum).
Why would Radfield need to be lynched, but only if sheth flips miller? Chaoser says this straight up here:
On February 10 2012 23:00 chaoser wrote:
If Sheth doesn't flip mafia then the scenario you've been pushing as the real narrative all falls down.
Either Sheth flips mafia or he doesn't and then we kill radfield/you/rg. No big problem lol.
Please read this. Chaoser is literally putting the burden of telling apart millers and scum on Radfield's shoulders, and threatening a lynch if he fails. And somehow I'm in there too, probably because I gave the information Radfield is not scum (but 3rd party).
Because I can't stress this enough:
Sheth flipping scum or miller cannot have any impact on reads on Radfield (and me or other people pushing his lynch). We're lynching him based on a DT check we have a reason to believe. That DT check makes no difference between millers and scum, thus him flipping miller says nothing about the people who want him dead.and yet Chaoser is perfectly fine with pushing that terrible logic.
This makes no sense if he's town. If he's town, he's just as responsible as me or Radfield or anyone else voting for sheth for killing sheth. If he thinks Sheth will flip scum, he should be supporting me and radfield. If he doesn't he should be opposing us. He's doing neither.
He's supporting killing sheth, while setting Radfield and I up for a lynch later in the game, based on sheth flipping miller.
This is not a difficult decision.
I think I've proven beyond any reasonable doubt that Chaoser is scum. I will die tonight. Batman will shoot me. Please, please, please follow my lead and kill chaoser off instead of sheth.
This will be a hard lynch. The mafia will be actively fighting it. But we _need_ to get it right.
Don't allow fear to stop you. The lines will be drawn here. Don't be the sheep town that goes with the easy lynch. If every townie reads this, realizes I'm fucking right, and then makes a stand. It will be VERY easy to pick out the mafia.
Do the right thing.
Chaoser is scum##Vote Chaoser