Brackets for 2013 GSL Season 1 Up&Down Matches - Page 12

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Holgerius

Sweden16951 Posts

December 28 2012 12:42 GMT

#221

LeeSsang Rok coming up. :D

Lysanias

Netherlands8351 Posts

December 28 2012 12:43 GMT

#222

Looking forward to it already, also smart call on getting populair foreigners in there considering they wanne sell there season pass to those overseas.

Oh well they did like this every year so perhaps we should get used to it. Ticket prices could be better diffided though, not saying it's not worth it just the structure seems kinda off.

Nyvis

France284 Posts

December 28 2012 12:43 GMT

#223

DRG isn't "back". He barely won against an Mvp with more exploding wrists than ever before, barely won against HerO and Leenock is awfully overrated since his lategame is utter shite.

Wtf did I just read?
Leenock have the best infestor/broodlord control on earth, and proved it times and times, winning games with all odds against him (like 3 bases zerg vs 4 bases protoss) just by controlling his army better.

Waxangel

United States33592 Posts

December 28 2012 12:45 GMT

#224

wow, tough group for grubbs -_-

Olli

Austria24422 Posts

December 28 2012 12:48 GMT

#225

On December 28 2012 21:37 Elem wrote:

Show nested quote +

What? Don't bring in sarcasm if you cannot even read anything I said, you utter tool.

Great use of ad hominem but you did say Leenock is awfully overrated since his lategame is utter shit. Which is a completely fucking retarded thing to say, you utter tool.

Elem

Sweden4717 Posts

December 28 2012 12:54 GMT

#226

On December 28 2012 21:43 Nyvis wrote:

Show nested quote +

You're talking if 3 base zerg with BL infestor beating 4-5+ base protoss is something new and revolitionising. I do not understand what the world has come to if you call what he has "good lategame".

On December 28 2012 21:48 DarkLordOlli wrote:

Great use of ad hominem but you did say Leenock is awfully overrated since his lategame is utter shit. Which is completely fucking retarded thing to say, you utter tool.

Can you do anything but endlessly spout out small lines of sarcasm and repetition? I called you a tool because it is evident that you didn't even bother to read through my post but then began with your snarky comments which just makes you look silly.

Olli

Austria24422 Posts

December 28 2012 12:57 GMT

#227

On December 28 2012 21:54 Elem wrote:

Show nested quote +

You're talking if 3 base zerg with BL infestor beating 4-5+ base protoss is something new and revolitionising. I do not understand what the world has come to if you call what he has "good lategame".

Show nested quote +

Lol, I read your whole post 3 times trying to find anything that possibly makes your statement about Leenock's lategame any less ridiculous than it is but I didn't. If you're just looking to insult somebody, I'd recommend people who actually deserve it. You might try a mirror.

X3GoldDot

Malaysia3840 Posts

December 28 2012 13:02 GMT

#228

On December 28 2012 21:54 Elem wrote:

Show nested quote +

You're talking if 3 base zerg with BL infestor beating 4-5+ base protoss is something new and revolitionising. I do not understand what the world has come to if you call what he has "good lategame".

Show nested quote +

sir, check your brains out, its quite apparent there are some errors in it.

leenock has the best infestorbrood control BY FAR. while he might not have the best late game, his unit control of infestors is incredible, if you think otherwise you must be watching the wrong games because even as someone who doesnt like leenock, i acknowledge that he has incredible infestorbrood control and he is one of the only players capable of turning a game around incredibly just on his army control alone.

Shinespark

Chile843 Posts

December 28 2012 13:03 GMT

#229

Why did Huk get a seed? Did he do well in something I missed?

X3GoldDot

Malaysia3840 Posts

December 28 2012 13:03 GMT

#230

On December 28 2012 21:57 DarkLordOlli wrote:

Show nested quote +

Lol, I read your whole post 3 times trying to find anything that possibly makes your statement about Leenock's lategame any less ridiculous than it is but I didn't. If you're just looking to insult somebody, I'd recommend people who actually deserve it. You might try a mirror.

thats an incredible quote im going to use next time lol, also for the first time i agree with you...... i cant believe he thinks leenock isnt good

X3GoldDot

Malaysia3840 Posts

December 28 2012 13:05 GMT

#231

On December 28 2012 21:31 sciserr wrote:
It's a fucking shame that out-dated players like Grubby and HuK are prioritized over the likes of badasses like GLSnute (4-0 Symbol, 2-1 Life, 4-0 Grubby, 3-2 Stephano) and Acer.Nerchio/Scarlett

Get it together GSL!

they invite players willing to stay in korea for a season long, and since TL/EG is in proleague theyre players are willing to do so

Schelim

Austria11528 Posts

December 28 2012 13:08 GMT

#232

Get it together GSL!

not everybody they might want to invite will accept the invitation, for various reasons. also i realize you're Norwegian, and Snute was very impressive at HSC, but i don't know that one foreign tournament is enough of a justifaction for a GSL seed. if Snute gets a few more results like that, i'll consider him worthy. there's still another seed to go though, so maybe it will be one of the names you mentioned. and Grubby isn't out dated, he's looking better than he ever has in sc2. if anything he's not quite at the level for GSL just yet, i'll give you that.

TheSir

1830 Posts

December 28 2012 13:09 GMT

#233

i think Grubby can surprise, the fact that he can study and analyze his opponents for weeks on a specific map gives him a extra edge i feel. he has nothing to loose and hey, BO1.... far from impossible.

cbRRRR

Germany179 Posts

December 28 2012 13:12 GMT

#234

Really nice to see Grubby in the up&downs. Looking forward to see him play!

fightout

Singapore35 Posts

December 28 2012 13:19 GMT

#235

Holy shit! Groups A, C and D are stacked!! Hoping Grubby can get through. Would love to see him in Code S.

Nyvis

France284 Posts

December 28 2012 13:32 GMT

#236

On December 28 2012 22:03 Shinespark wrote:
Why did Huk get a seed? Did he do well in something I missed?

Code S seeds are rewards for doing well outside of GSL (Stephano ...). Code A seeds are more "try doing well here, if you don't, you'll be out quickly anyway" for people who aren't in the korean circuit for a while and won't compete in code A qualifiers. Like a trial by fire. We'll see if HuK survive it (staying in code A would be an big win, seeing how it's stacked now).

TheBB

Switzerland5133 Posts

December 28 2012 13:33 GMT

#237

Surprising lack of clear favourites this time. If anyone is it, it might be DongRaeGu, Squirtle or Bomber. On the other end, Genius, Grubby and Dream might have a hard time.

+ Show Spoiler [Group A] +

Group A

Flash
      Expected score: 2.90-2.10 (sets: 2.90-2.10)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 45.03%
      Most likely place: 1st (24.93%)

Yonghwa
      Expected score: 2.68-2.32 (sets: 2.68-2.32)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 38.08%
      Most likely place: 1st (19.54%)

MC
      Expected score: 2.67-2.33 (sets: 2.67-2.33)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 37.61%
      Most likely place: 1st (19.12%)

Jaedong
      Expected score: 2.60-2.40 (sets: 2.60-2.40)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 35.95%
      Most likely place: 2nd (18.01%)

Vampire
      Expected score: 2.18-2.82 (sets: 2.18-2.82)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 24.04%
      Most likely place: 6th (22.78%)

YoDa
      Expected score: 1.97-3.03 (sets: 1.97-3.03)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 19.28%
      Most likely place: 6th (28.58%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     6th      5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
          YoDa:   28.58%   20.78%   17.49%   13.87%   11.34%    7.95%
       Yonghwa:   12.44%   15.19%   16.48%   17.80%   18.54%   19.54%
            MC:   12.75%   15.33%   16.55%   17.77%   18.49%   19.12%
       Jaedong:   14.07%   15.95%   16.64%   17.39%   18.01%   17.94%
       Vampire:   22.78%   19.93%   17.86%   15.39%   13.52%   10.52%
         Flash:    9.38%   12.82%   14.98%   17.78%   20.11%   24.93%

Match score

                     0-5      1-4      2-3      3-2      4-1      5-0
          YoDa:    7.99%   26.50%   34.78%   22.57%    7.24%    0.92%
       Yonghwa:    2.00%   12.17%   28.94%   33.59%   19.06%    4.24%
            MC:    2.06%   12.43%   29.25%   33.51%   18.69%    4.06%
       Jaedong:    2.42%   13.57%   30.08%   32.80%   17.51%    3.63%
       Vampire:    5.54%   22.08%   34.48%   26.44%    9.98%    1.48%
         Flash:    1.22%    8.85%   25.08%   34.82%   23.70%    6.33%

Set score

                      -5       -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4        5
          YoDa:    7.99%            26.50%            34.78%            22.57%             7.24%             0.92%
       Yonghwa:    2.00%            12.17%            28.94%            33.59%            19.06%             4.24%
            MC:    2.06%            12.43%            29.25%            33.51%            18.69%             4.06%
       Jaedong:    2.42%            13.57%            30.08%            32.80%            17.51%             3.63%
       Vampire:    5.54%            22.08%            34.48%            26.44%             9.98%             1.48%
         Flash:    1.22%             8.85%            25.08%            34.82%            23.70%             6.33%

+ Show Spoiler [Group B] +

Group B

Squirtle
      Expected score: 3.40-1.60 (sets: 3.40-1.60)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 61.00%
      Most likely place: 1st (37.57%)

Trap
      Expected score: 2.98-2.02 (sets: 2.98-2.02)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 46.74%
      Most likely place: 1st (24.12%)

TaeJa
      Expected score: 2.94-2.06 (sets: 2.94-2.06)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 43.39%
      Most likely place: 2nd (22.64%)

Shine
      Expected score: 2.20-2.80 (sets: 2.20-2.80)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 22.73%
      Most likely place: 5th (20.68%)

Happy
      Expected score: 1.71-3.29 (sets: 1.71-3.29)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 13.08%
      Most likely place: 6th (33.80%)

Dream
      Expected score: 1.76-3.24 (sets: 1.76-3.24)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 13.07%
      Most likely place: 6th (30.22%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     6th      5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
         Happy:   33.80%   23.36%   17.55%   12.21%    8.59%    4.49%
         Shine:   18.81%   20.68%   20.53%   17.25%   13.99%    8.74%
         TaeJa:    6.30%   11.95%   16.69%   21.68%   22.64%   20.75%
          Trap:    7.23%   11.89%   15.05%   19.09%   22.62%   24.12%
      Squirtle:    3.65%    7.39%   11.20%   16.76%   23.43%   37.57%
         Dream:   30.22%   24.72%   18.99%   13.00%    8.73%    4.34%

Match score

                     0-5      1-4      2-3      3-2      4-1      5-0
         Happy:   11.78%   32.16%   34.05%   17.38%    4.24%    0.39%
         Shine:    4.79%   21.27%   35.36%   27.34%    9.89%    1.35%
         TaeJa:    0.74%    7.21%   24.86%   37.32%   24.28%    5.58%
          Trap:    0.95%    7.56%   23.48%   35.32%   25.60%    7.09%
      Squirtle:    0.29%    3.35%   14.98%   32.62%   34.55%   14.20%
         Dream:   10.32%   31.69%   35.17%   18.06%    4.37%    0.40%

Set score

                      -5       -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4        5
         Happy:   11.78%            32.16%            34.05%            17.38%             4.24%             0.39%
         Shine:    4.79%            21.27%            35.36%            27.34%             9.89%             1.35%
         TaeJa:    0.74%             7.21%            24.86%            37.32%            24.28%             5.58%
          Trap:    0.95%             7.56%            23.48%            35.32%            25.60%             7.09%
      Squirtle:    0.29%             3.35%            14.98%            32.62%            34.55%            14.20%
         Dream:   10.32%            31.69%            35.17%            18.06%             4.37%             0.40%

+ Show Spoiler [Group C] +

Group C

DongRaeGu
      Expected score: 3.72-1.28 (sets: 3.72-1.28)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 72.05%
      Most likely place: 1st (50.81%)

Symbol
      Expected score: 2.95-2.05 (sets: 2.95-2.05)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 45.41%
      Most likely place: 2nd (25.98%)

LosirA
      Expected score: 2.41-2.59 (sets: 2.41-2.59)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 28.17%
      Most likely place: 3rd (19.81%)

First
      Expected score: 2.30-2.70 (sets: 2.30-2.70)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 25.38%
      Most likely place: 4th (19.82%)

Bbyong
      Expected score: 1.91-3.09 (sets: 1.91-3.09)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 16.12%
      Most likely place: 6th (26.09%)

Grubby
      Expected score: 1.70-3.30 (sets: 1.70-3.30)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 12.88%
      Most likely place: 6th (34.20%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     6th      5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
        LosirA:   14.41%   17.94%   19.67%   19.81%   17.88%   10.28%
         First:   16.63%   19.68%   19.82%   18.49%   15.65%    9.73%
        Bbyong:   26.09%   23.31%   19.53%   14.95%   10.55%    5.57%
        Symbol:    6.54%   11.62%   15.64%   20.78%   25.98%   19.43%
        Grubby:   34.20%   22.78%   17.40%   12.74%    8.71%    4.17%
     DongRaeGu:    2.13%    4.67%    7.94%   13.22%   21.24%   50.81%

Match score

                     0-5      1-4      2-3      3-2      4-1      5-0
        LosirA:    2.98%   16.46%   33.72%   31.65%   13.29%    1.89%
         First:    3.84%   19.11%   34.72%   29.22%   11.44%    1.67%
        Bbyong:    7.94%   27.98%   36.18%   21.42%    5.88%    0.61%
        Symbol:    0.79%    7.13%   24.09%   37.24%   25.32%    5.43%
        Grubby:   12.16%   32.46%   33.75%   17.05%    4.18%    0.40%
     DongRaeGu:    0.11%    1.59%    9.31%   27.09%   39.25%   22.65%

Set score

                      -5       -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4        5
        LosirA:    2.98%            16.46%            33.72%            31.65%            13.29%             1.89%
         First:    3.84%            19.11%            34.72%            29.22%            11.44%             1.67%
        Bbyong:    7.94%            27.98%            36.18%            21.42%             5.88%             0.61%
        Symbol:    0.79%             7.13%            24.09%            37.24%            25.32%             5.43%
        Grubby:   12.16%            32.46%            33.75%            17.05%             4.18%             0.40%
     DongRaeGu:    0.11%             1.59%             9.31%            27.09%            39.25%            22.65%

+ Show Spoiler [Group D] +

Group D

Bomber
      Expected score: 3.66-1.34 (sets: 3.66-1.34)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 69.73%
      Most likely place: 1st (46.71%)

HerO
      Expected score: 2.89-2.11 (sets: 2.89-2.11)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 43.04%
      Most likely place: 2nd (23.30%)

ByuL
      Expected score: 2.59-2.41 (sets: 2.59-2.41)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 35.09%
      Most likely place: 2nd (19.05%)

sOs
      Expected score: 2.17-2.83 (sets: 2.17-2.83)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 21.68%
      Most likely place: 5th (20.72%)

Byun
      Expected score: 2.10-2.90 (sets: 2.10-2.90)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 20.32%
      Most likely place: 5th (22.62%)

Genius
      Expected score: 1.60-3.40 (sets: 1.60-3.40)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 10.14%
      Most likely place: 6th (36.97%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     6th      5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
          HerO:    7.68%   12.63%   16.19%   20.47%   23.30%   19.74%
          Byun:   21.00%   22.62%   19.73%   16.34%   12.66%    7.66%
        Bomber:    1.67%    4.71%    8.86%   15.04%   23.02%   46.71%
        Genius:   36.97%   22.95%   17.72%   12.22%    7.57%    2.56%
          ByuL:   13.08%   16.38%   17.22%   18.24%   19.05%   16.04%
           sOs:   19.61%   20.72%   20.29%   17.70%   14.39%    7.29%

Match score

                     0-5      1-4      2-3      3-2      4-1      5-0
          HerO:    1.01%    8.33%   25.67%   36.37%   23.28%    5.33%
          Byun:    5.54%   23.80%   36.22%   25.23%    8.20%    1.00%
        Bomber:    0.06%    1.36%    9.78%   29.52%   39.64%   19.64%
        Genius:   13.39%   34.79%   33.86%   14.99%    2.83%    0.14%
          ByuL:    2.42%   13.75%   30.43%   32.74%   17.16%    3.50%
           sOs:    4.97%   21.73%   35.86%   27.28%    9.16%    1.00%

Set score

                      -5       -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4        5
          HerO:    1.01%             8.33%            25.67%            36.37%            23.28%             5.33%
          Byun:    5.54%            23.80%            36.22%            25.23%             8.20%             1.00%
        Bomber:    0.06%             1.36%             9.78%            29.52%            39.64%            19.64%
        Genius:   13.39%            34.79%            33.86%            14.99%             2.83%             0.14%
          ByuL:    2.42%            13.75%            30.43%            32.74%            17.16%             3.50%
           sOs:    4.97%            21.73%            35.86%            27.28%             9.16%             1.00%

+ Show Spoiler [Group E] +

Group E

finale
      Expected score: 2.93-2.07 (sets: 2.93-2.07)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 45.91%
      Most likely place: 1st (25.57%)

NesTea
      Expected score: 2.92-2.08 (sets: 2.92-2.08)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 45.79%
      Most likely place: 1st (25.33%)

HuK
      Expected score: 2.55-2.45 (sets: 2.55-2.45)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 33.50%
      Most likely place: 3rd (18.19%)

FanTaSy
      Expected score: 2.38-2.62 (sets: 2.38-2.62)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 29.73%
      Most likely place: 5th (18.27%)

Center
      Expected score: 2.27-2.73 (sets: 2.27-2.73)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 26.42%
      Most likely place: 6th (20.51%)

Flying
      Expected score: 1.95-3.05 (sets: 1.95-3.05)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 18.66%
      Most likely place: 6th (28.97%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     6th      5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
        NesTea:    9.09%   12.65%   14.70%   17.77%   20.46%   25.33%
        Center:   20.51%   19.14%   17.91%   16.02%   14.66%   11.76%
       FanTaSy:   18.24%   18.27%   17.35%   16.41%   15.77%   13.96%
        finale:    9.11%   12.44%   14.77%   17.78%   20.33%   25.57%
        Flying:   28.97%   20.93%   17.61%   13.83%   11.06%    7.60%
           HuK:   14.08%   16.58%   17.65%   18.19%   17.72%   15.78%

Match score

                     0-5      1-4      2-3      3-2      4-1      5-0
        NesTea:    1.07%    8.36%   24.88%   35.32%   24.04%    6.32%
        Center:    4.38%   19.90%   34.39%   28.39%   11.23%    1.71%
       FanTaSy:    3.70%   17.74%   33.02%   29.96%   13.28%    2.31%
        finale:    1.18%    8.55%   24.54%   34.74%   24.28%    6.71%
        Flying:    8.20%   27.00%   34.87%   22.15%    6.93%    0.85%
           HuK:    2.39%   14.08%   31.53%   33.14%   16.07%    2.79%

Set score

                      -5       -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4        5
        NesTea:    1.07%             8.36%            24.88%            35.32%            24.04%             6.32%
        Center:    4.38%            19.90%            34.39%            28.39%            11.23%             1.71%
       FanTaSy:    3.70%            17.74%            33.02%            29.96%            13.28%             2.31%
        finale:    1.18%             8.55%            24.54%            34.74%            24.28%             6.71%
        Flying:    8.20%            27.00%            34.87%            22.15%             6.93%             0.85%
           HuK:    2.39%            14.08%            31.53%            33.14%            16.07%             2.79%

nooboon

2602 Posts

December 28 2012 14:01 GMT

#238

On December 28 2012 22:32 Nyvis wrote:

Show nested quote +

Oh i thought this was code S groups. Since it's code A it's okay to have Huk and Grubby there as it's more of a test then anything. But yeah, it is a trial by fire as the skill level in Code A nowadays are just loaded with great players.

Jaedong vs Flash group A o.o

chesshaha

United States1117 Posts

December 28 2012 14:02 GMT

#239

Jaedong and flash in the same group?

I'm hyped for JD vs Flash!