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Newbie Mini Mafia XXIX - Page 52

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Rad
Profile Joined May 2010
United States935 Posts
October 29 2012 02:09 GMT
#1021
@djo I'll look it over again and try to give my thoughts...
Inigmaticalism
Profile Joined May 2012
United States103 Posts
October 29 2012 02:11 GMT
#1022
On October 29 2012 11:07 Djodref wrote:
guys, I really would like to have some feedback on my last argument for a scum dandel. It's logical and damning as hell !



Its golden. Answer Djo Dandel. Why are you voting who you think is the SK? Its not even in towns win-con.
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 29 2012 02:17 GMT
#1023
On October 29 2012 11:03 Rad wrote:
/snip

So, I really don't understand why he's even bringing it up anymore, but again, don't know what that says. If there is an SK, what can we possibly do about it right now? Would lynching an SK even help at this point? We have to lynch a scum or we're screwed, right?
/snip


@ Rad

You have said it yourself ! It's not in town interest to lynch a possible SK at that point, it is even against the town. Yet dandel is pushing for it. And this one fits perfectly a mafia agenda. When you add on top of that the shitfest we had after Alsn case, it is almost confirmed that dandel is scum.
And yeah it's stupid from my side to bring back the possibility of a SK. But I have said a lot of stupid and useless things since the beginning of this game.
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 29 2012 02:38 GMT
#1024
On October 29 2012 11:11 Inigmaticalism wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 29 2012 11:07 Djodref wrote:
guys, I really would like to have some feedback on my last argument for a scum dandel. It's logical and damning as hell !



Its golden. Answer Djo Dandel. Why are you voting who you think is the SK? Its not even in towns win-con.


Um. Yeah it is. Now you are making up reasons/blatingly lieing. Game does not end for us until mafia and serial killer(if applicable) are dead.

Djo ill look over the early d2 posts
Inigmaticalism
Profile Joined May 2012
United States103 Posts
October 29 2012 03:05 GMT
#1025
On October 29 2012 11:38 debears wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 29 2012 11:11 Inigmaticalism wrote:
On October 29 2012 11:07 Djodref wrote:
guys, I really would like to have some feedback on my last argument for a scum dandel. It's logical and damning as hell !



Its golden. Answer Djo Dandel. Why are you voting who you think is the SK? Its not even in towns win-con.


Um. Yeah it is. Now you are making up reasons/blatingly lieing. Game does not end for us until mafia and serial killer(if applicable) are dead.

Djo ill look over the early d2 posts


It is stated twice.

On October 10 2012 10:11 thrawn2112 wrote:
The town's goal is to lynch all the members of the mafia.


On October 10 2012 10:11 thrawn2112 wrote:
Town wins by eliminating all mafia members.


No mention of killing 3rd party.
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 29 2012 03:06 GMT
#1026
......you have to kill the sk too......

Are you serious?
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
October 29 2012 03:07 GMT
#1027
Hey guys, I just got back and reading over the thread. Seems like a lot of people are considering a Dandel lynch. At this point, with no defense from him, I'm definitely considering switching my vote. I really want to see if Dandel can provide an adequate explanation. That said, Djodref is still my top scum read until I can get a chance to read Dandel's eventual rebuttal.
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 29 2012 03:10 GMT
#1028
Cheese. Look at what inig is saying this page.

Making up reasons to lynch someome after sheeping on a case
Dandel Ion
Profile Joined November 2010
Austria17960 Posts
October 29 2012 03:11 GMT
#1029
Okay, firstly, sorry for raging out in the thread. I shalt respond, entirely devoid of any insults.


Alsn's original case
+ Show Spoiler +
On October 28 2012 22:31 Alsn wrote:
Ok, I'm going to preface this by some WIFOM, although I think it's merited in this case.

Looking at the situation right now, the only one at risk of lynching seems to be Djodref. More importantly, he seems to be completely alone in his plight. I think he's scummy, but this fact alone leads me to believe that one of the following three options must be true:
  • Djod is not mafia and all of us suspecting him are all town.
  • Djod is not mafia and some of the people suspecting him are scum.
  • Djod is mafia and no scum is defending him, in fact, no one has defended him for the entire length of the game.


Looking at these scenarios, and I'm convinced they're the only ones possible, I find the last one to be extremely unlikely. While myself and others have at times at least questioned whether or not Djod was all that super scummy, no one that I know has ever diverted a hypothetical Djod lynch unless it was done very subtly. In fact, the only argument that I feel can be made that he is scum and other scum has diverted attention away from him is the lynches against Inig and da0ud. Kush(and admittedly to a lesser extent myself) were responsible for the latter, while the lynch against Inig was Djod himself in tandem with debears(and possibly someone else, I don't remember, please correct me here if I'm wrong). Lastly, Djod actually switched his vote from Inig to da0ud and was the last one to do so IIRC. To me, scum "securing" a lynch on a townie makes no sense whatsoever. The only ones at risk of actually vote switching near a lynch are actual scum, so protecting themselves against a switch is meaningless.

That to me leaves the first two options and in both of them Djod is not scum. Sure, he could be SK and his actions don't really dispute that but to be honest, I would rather have a possible SK(and I'm not convinced he is) left alone and actually try and lynch mafia. Mostly because an SK isn't that worrisome if we still have a pretty good town vs scum majority.

For that reason, I looked at the possibilities left. Either scum is keeping really quiet and all of us accusing Djod are town, or scum are in fact trying to get Djod lynched. I find the latter more likely, although unfortunately I don't really have a good explanation for why I think that is, it's basically just a hunch, although not an insignificant one.

With that in mind, I went through both Mr. Cheese' and Dandel's filters and lo and behold, upon closer inspection I can't really find any good reasons to think that they are town. Sure, Cheese hasn't done anything particularly scummy but looking at his behaviour as a whole he hasn't done anything particularly town either.

Basically, Cheese's actions amount to suspecting Djod and... well, that's pretty much it. Apart from arguing semantics and policy, that's pretty much his entire contribution.

On the other hand, Dandel is in the same boat, with added baggage in fact. His contributions also amount to pretty much only suspecting Djod but with the added bonus that he said several times that he would tunnel kush, seemingly for no apparent reason. In fact I think the SK/vig(whoever it may be) killing kush actually messed things up quite a bit as I'm now thinking Dandel's entire plan was to tunnel kush simply because he's not a very hard target to attack(for those of you who are new, kush has a... let's say "vivid", reputation). Especially since he got a townie lynched.

Finally, almost every single post of Dandel so far in the game has been fluffy at best, scummy at worst. He kept bringing up policy voting well after most people had started talking about it, as if he wanted the discussion to continue. His so called "case" on Inig was pure OMGUS and finally, his unwillingness to actually switch from that OMGUS case even though he actually admitted himself that it wasn't a very good case. In fact, the two people that could have actually been switched to were either Djod(who he at the time had said he wasn't convinced was scummy) and da0ud(for reasons I now suspect he didn't want to be associated with vote flipping onto a townie).

So, to sum up my case for why Dandel Ion is scum
  • Lots of useless posts, particularly lots of posts nitpicking on people's arguments instead of entirely disagreeing with them.
  • Not wanting to switch from Inig even though his reasons for voting him were weak and OMGUS.
  • His absolutely ridiculous strategy of tunnelling kush no matter what for no apparent reason whatsoever.
  • The context of the last point revealing kush to be green but supposedly killed by an SK and not scum.


I'd like to hear people's thoughts on this matter, since I'm feeling pretty good about my case at this point.
Oh and, ##Vote: Dandel Ion


So, he not only prefaces, but pretty much BASES his case on WIFOM. Not the most optimal strategy to start with. So, the first half of the post is complete fluff and only makes it look like that case has more content/base than it actually has.

Then, he says Cheese and I are similar in that we only suspect Djo and nobody else, but I somehow have "added baggage". I have no idea what this is supposed to mean, but okay. Had he read my filter properly though, he would've been able to see that me only suspecting Djo is far from the truth.
Oh wait, in fact, he does see that it's far from the truth. In the SAME paragraph where he says I only suspect Djo, he even aknowledges that I also suspected Kush. (I also supect(ed) Inig btw.) This is a blatant contradiction and I stopped reading here the first time I saw it.

Then, he determines that "every" post I made was either fluff or scummy. I made some posts that could be considered fluff for most people, I suppose. So, okay, whatever. But he states no reason for calling "every" other post I ever made scummy. In fact, he doesn't even point out a single one.
If you think my play is "scummy" overall, then say that. If you come out with things like "all his posts are scummy", and can't even point out a single one, then this signals to me that you can't do so, BUT you want your words to have stronger impact. And there is no reason to look for that, unless you know yourself that your case is not as good as you'd like it to be.


"The-guy-that-is-always-the-second-one-to-go-after-somebody" debears:
+ Show Spoiler +
On October 29 2012 00:23 debears wrote:
@Dandel

Flame fest is anti-town. If you think Alsn's case isn't good, actually argue against his points. Otherwise, your actions so far imply that you think you are guilty and you can't refute his case.

##Vote Dandel

This vote is staying put unless you explain yourself and the case of Alsn and do some scumhunting


I don't think that could've been called a "flame fest" yet, but opinions vary I suppose. Yes, that's my contentless response to a contentless sheeping.


Because he asks for it all the time:
+ Show Spoiler +
On October 29 2012 00:54 Mr. Cheesecake wrote:
@ Dandel

Show nested quote +
On October 28 2012 23:27 Mr. Cheesecake wrote:
@ Dandel

What's all this stuff about you being confused and unsure? Yeah, the thread is jampacked with goodies concerning multiple participants, but that's to be expected. Don't try to play the "confused" card. It's almost as bad as the "noobie-card"


I also want an answer to this question you so conveniently avoided. Why playing the confused card? I thought you were against the noobie card, which is basically the same?


I was not actively trying to play the newbie card, and I can't do much more than say that.
I WAS confused, which is why I acted confused. I think I may have even said that I was, and I honestly didn't think about how it would "look" to others.
I can't say much more than that on this matter. Take it or leave it.


"Hey-guys-we-didn't-do-any-NK-speculations-yet" Djodref:
+ Show Spoiler +

[QUOTE]On October 29 2012 10:14 Djodref wrote:
Regarding dandel, I've found him very quick to accuse me as a SK at the beginning of D2. I know that he is saying that I'm SK or scum but his posts strongly imply that I'm more SK than scum (he brings thrawn meta in and says I'm more likely to be SK than scum). It makes a lot of sense from a mafia point of view.

It's true that I didn't consider the fact that Kush could have been killed by the mafia and that I have found a possible reason for the mafia to have targeted sylverfire quite fast. It was obvious for me that mafia would never had killed Kush because of my experience of the last game. Correct me if I'm wrong but Kush is never NKed by the mafia when he rolls town.

Anyway, I should have looked like I had some extra information about the night kills. So, from a mafia point of view, I really should be looking like a SK. I find it very strange that dandel didn't wait that long for a vig to claim. Getting a SK lynched is good for the image I guess so he comes at me very fast with a weird meta argument to support the fact that could be SK.

[u]To sum up[u]

Scum dandel knows that I'm not going to flip scum. Reacting to an apparent extra information about the NKs from my side, he comes at me very fast saying that I'm SK (not waiting for a claim, backing it up with poor arguments). He doesn't have the time to go through 18 pages of Thrawn's filter. Seriously, it makes so much sense !

Town dandel would have reacted slower to an apparent extra information about the NKs from my side. It doesn't tell if I'm scum or SK (please check Cheese reaction to see the difference). His reaction could have been possible but it makes less sense.

##Unvote
##Vote Dandel

You keep implying that I came after you "very fast", but that is a straight up lie. I gave you EASILY enough time to claim.
I ask: "Is there something you want to tell us?"
You seem to not want to tell us anything out of your own accord, so OVER 10 HOURS LATER, I make my post where I accuse you of being scum/SK.
(This could've been avoided if Rad was faster at claiming, but better late than never.)
You, Djo, will be happy to hear that I don't think you're the SK anymore, and you went back to being only Scum to me.

You somehow arrive at how I "don't have the time to look through thrawn's filter", and I don't even know how you got to that assumption, or how it's relevant at all. But it's now redundant anyways. Honestly though, I probably couldn't point out a single collection of posts and point at it saying "this is where I got my scum/SK read on him", because he didn't have any obvious slips in there. He just posted a metric shitton and I always got a scummy feel off his posts. Which is pretty much what I get from you, only you post things that are slips, or at least look like them to me.

Your "case", or post, or however you want to call it, is oddly similar to Alsn's too, in that 50% of it is speculation and WIFOM, which should have no place in there, and which I suspect is there only so that it makes it look like you had anything to actually base your read on. But I haven't seen anything.

Oh, and I'm going to say this again, I was pushing for your lynch because you were either scum or SK. The chance of you flipping town are and were incredibly slim in my mind.
A backwards poet writes inverse.
Dandel Ion
Profile Joined November 2010
Austria17960 Posts
October 29 2012 03:13 GMT
#1030
And Inig tries to tell people that town doesn't need to lynch SKs...
This game, man.
I'm going to sleep.
A backwards poet writes inverse.
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 29 2012 03:20 GMT
#1031
I'm sorry but town doesn't lynch SK at 5vs3vs1. I know that my first post is not good, especially because I was wrong on the time frame. But this one still holds...
If you are town, you do not lynch the SK in this configuration and you believed I was the SK.
Rad
Profile Joined May 2010
United States935 Posts
October 29 2012 03:25 GMT
#1032
On October 29 2012 12:20 Djodref wrote:
I'm sorry but town doesn't lynch SK at 5vs3vs1. I know that my first post is not good, especially because I was wrong on the time frame. But this one still holds...
If you are town, you do not lynch the SK in this configuration and you believed I was the SK.


Can you explain why?
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
October 29 2012 03:28 GMT
#1033
@Inig

I find your vote on Dandel to be exceedingly odd. Your first post in D2, and you look at the thread and go "Hey, Alsn has a case on Dandel. I had suspicions of him before, better instantly agree with everything he says." You haven't said anything about Dandel since d1. It seems like you're actively lurking, and waiting for someone to bring up a case so you can sheep off of it. Admittedly, I find Dandel is to be scummy, but not as scummy as I find Djodref. Your post also conveniently avoids my concerns about the two posts being "walls of text" that don't contribute anything.

In regards to the SK thing... I don't see why lynching the SK is ever a bad thing. What's the issue? It is most definitely in towns wincon.
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
Inigmaticalism
Profile Joined May 2012
United States103 Posts
October 29 2012 03:30 GMT
#1034
k fine im absolutely horrible. Which means rad, debears, Mr CC and/or alsn are the mafia. Good job.
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 29 2012 03:30 GMT
#1035
@ Rad

Check this out, I have already posted it but w/e...

On October 29 2012 11:04 Djodref wrote:
There is no town player wanting to lynch a SK in a 5vs3vs1 situation because it brings you to a 4vs3 situation the following day. 4vs3 is the worst situation you can ever get for town. Lylo situation are always tricky but on this one the 4 town players have to vote for the same mafia player or else town loses. I would be surprised that town dandel did not consider that.

Conclusion, dandel is scum


It's not dandel first game. I guess he knows about the risks of a lylo.
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
October 29 2012 03:32 GMT
#1036
On October 29 2012 12:30 Inigmaticalism wrote:
k fine im absolutely horrible. Which means rad, debears, Mr CC and/or alsn are the mafia. Good job.


What are you even trying to say here?
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 29 2012 03:34 GMT
#1037
On October 29 2012 12:28 Mr. Cheesecake wrote:
@Inig

I find your vote on Dandel to be exceedingly odd. Your first post in D2, and you look at the thread and go "Hey, Alsn has a case on Dandel. I had suspicions of him before, better instantly agree with everything he says." You haven't said anything about Dandel since d1. It seems like you're actively lurking, and waiting for someone to bring up a case so you can sheep off of it. Admittedly, I find Dandel is to be scummy, but not as scummy as I find Djodref. Your post also conveniently avoids my concerns about the two posts being "walls of text" that don't contribute anything.

In regards to the SK thing... I don't see why lynching the SK is ever a bad thing. What's the issue? It is most definitely in towns wincon.


@ Cheese

Lynching a possible SK today would be terribad. Check my previous posts about it, it makes you go from 5vs3vs1 to 4vs3. If you want me to detail you why 4vs3 is the worst situation ever, I can elaborate.
And I would like to remind you that we are not even sure that Roco is going to survive and he could also be town ad far as we know.
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
October 29 2012 03:36 GMT
#1038
Oh I see a lylo situation... I get it. Scratch that then. I didn't realize we were in that situation.
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
Rad
Profile Joined May 2010
United States935 Posts
October 29 2012 03:36 GMT
#1039
On October 29 2012 12:30 Djodref wrote:
@ Rad

Check this out, I have already posted it but w/e...

Show nested quote +
On October 29 2012 11:04 Djodref wrote:
There is no town player wanting to lynch a SK in a 5vs3vs1 situation because it brings you to a 4vs3 situation the following day. 4vs3 is the worst situation you can ever get for town. Lylo situation are always tricky but on this one the 4 town players have to vote for the same mafia player or else town loses. I would be surprised that town dandel did not consider that.

Conclusion, dandel is scum


It's not dandel first game. I guess he knows about the risks of a lylo.


Ok so let's say we have 5v3v1.

Town lynches town, SK kills town.

3v3v1

Is that a better situation than 4v3 with no SK?
Rad
Profile Joined May 2010
United States935 Posts
October 29 2012 03:39 GMT
#1040
@debears if you're around, could you chime in on this too?
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