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Newbie Mini Mafia XXIX - Page 50

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Alsn
Profile Joined February 2008
Sweden995 Posts
October 28 2012 18:26 GMT
#981
The last sentence of my post however still applies:
That being said, Inig did say he wanted to try and find a different lynch target for today. Seeing as kush is dead and we can't possibly lynch him, I'm waiting with great interest to see who exactly he would prefer to lynch.
Machina improba! Vel mihi ede potum vel mihi redde nummos meos!
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
October 28 2012 18:32 GMT
#982
I misread both of the posts at first, not just the second one. He is very confusing in his reasons and wording much the same. As I said they were very wall-of-texty to me, almost to the point where I wanted to go TL;DR.

And me too, I really want him to come out of hiding and tell us his opinions on recent occurrences.
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 28 2012 18:49 GMT
#983
Also, looking into Inig next. Taking a break first after killing my eyes lol
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 28 2012 18:50 GMT
#984
wtf did my djo case post?
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
October 28 2012 18:50 GMT
#985
What djo case o.o
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 28 2012 18:51 GMT
#986
wow lol posted it in the last newbie. Thrawn we did the same thing :/ fuck me lol

A Second case on Djo

Since my first case, Djo hasn't done much to help my read on him. In fact, after rereading his filter again, I'd say my scumread on him is even stronger.

Points in the original case/cases

1) Stated and Acted as though he had a town read on me day 1, then denies it when pressured by Rad
2) His two scumslips (slips as he calls them) - Dau0d town comment and the slip when talking about Alsn's fOS
3) Wanting me to "Take care of Rad" day 1

The Day 1 lynch

First, I want to point out his indecisiveness and apparent apathy to who he wanted lynched.

Djo's first actual pursuit was Inig. He was pressing on Inig pretty well. However, when asked who he would want to lynch, he says Sylver (with his vote on Inig)

On October 27 2012 00:51 Djodref wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2012 00:42 kushm4sta wrote:
More on daoud:
He seems much more careful about what he says this game than last game.
Last games his posts were like WTF is this weird guy talking about.
This game they look like he doesn't want to catch anyone's attention.

Why we shouldn't lynch djodref today:
He does look pretty scummy. But I don't see how anyone can have a lot of certainty in that read.
Combination of high activity and low certainty means he should not lynch him.
Also realize that djodref is in a position where he NEEDS to evolve his meta whether he is town or scum.
His first game he played as a noob, understandable because it was his first game. His second game, he pretended to be a noob as a scum strat. I think showing that he is better than the newb he pretended to be last game would be the natural play for town djodref, and also scum djodref trying to appear as town djodref.

Djo: who out of the active players seems scummiest to you? Also why did you bring up how you want to lynch a lurker without even trying to pressure your scumreads?


@Kush

Debears and Rad are looking quite ok. I'm leaning town for both of them. I'm waiting for Cheese to post what he has to say about me because I'm still null on him.

I didn't like some posts from sylver but he had some nice reactions during our latest fight.
I need some time to look at dandel. I didn't like the way he voted Inig, but he said he was not sure even.

I would say sylver right now...

But I've been spending too much time defending myself. I need to calm down and re-read some filters for a while.


A couple of posts later, he unvotes and states why he doesn't want to lynch Inig suddenly.

On October 27 2012 01:03 Djodref wrote:
Regarding an Inig's lynch, I'm not comfortable with it...

In my opinion, he had a positive response after my case against him. I doubt that he could be a scum after that. His role claim was looking really sincere. If he can improve his presence in the thread and his scumhunting, I don't want to lynch him. I'm going to unvote him.
I would cast my vote on Roco or imcasey if they magically reappear. I'll wake up early tomorrow to see if the bandwagon is still against me or not.

If you are town, do not sheep and cast your vote against me. Read my filter and make your own opinion by yourself.
You are going to feel some heat if you cast your vote too lightly because I'm going to flip green.

I'm sorry but I need some sleep guys

## Unvote




That's quite the turnaround after the pressure and vote

On October 27 2012 08:20 Djodref wrote:
@debears

No, I'm not comfortable with any of the lynches to be honest. I'm looking at their filter over and over again and try to find some little clues...
Regarding Inig, I should vote him if I was only a rational machine (no scumhunting at the beginning, wishy washy on Cheese, voting imcasey unexpectedly, the slip you have found, etc...) but I feel him as sincere in his posts.a

Not sure why he claimed though.

Regarding daoud, I have no reasons to vote for him at the exception of his hasty vote.


His only reason for not voting Inig was that Inig seemed "sincere". In fact, he said that it would be rational to lynch Inig based on his posting. That one post is a huge contradiction. Notice how during his time, he puts suspicion on Sylver.

Also, notice the timing of the unvote. He unvoted when there were other people agreeing with his case. That's really weird combined with the "he's sincere" reasoning on Inig.

Djo's approach on Dau0d

Despite Djo's suspicions on Inig and Sylver, he ends up voting Dau0d. Why? Lets see

On October 27 2012 08:56 Djodref wrote:
## Vote daoud

Because his involvement in this game has not been great so far...


Not the greatest reasoning. He does provide some reasoning right after though.

On October 27 2012 08:56 Mr. Cheesecake wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2012 08:46 debears wrote:
Bad word choice on my part. Bad = weak in my post.

And the same points on inig and dauod.
1) semi lurker
2) town reads/ percent town reads
3) generally blending in

Give me


Allow me to ameliorate for you, sir.

1.) Inig was a semi lurker to begin with. As of late, he has been posting more and with greater content. Da0ud, on the other hand, has contributed much less and is still lurking.

2.) Let's look at both of their percentage town reads.
Inigs:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2012 16:17 Inigmaticalism wrote:
I would label Djo as like 70% town. Hes been consistent and contributing. I think hes gone after me too long to be mafia. He has talked an awful lot though. Its probably more likely, with all his questions and style of scumhunting, thats hes a vigi or SK or something like that, seeing who he can get lynched (who he thinks is scum if hes vigi, etc), and then who he cant hes found his night targets. Just a thought.


Da0ud's:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2012 22:41 da0ud wrote:
Talking about smileyDjo he has put a lot of pressure on people. Asking open questions etc. For having played a game with him where he played to nice lovable newbie card, I believe he is trying to step up and actually be a leader for town. I put him 90% town.


Inig has more reason for considering Djo town, and puts it at 70% (leaning town). He says he's been consistent, obviously posting alot, and going after him of all people. He likes this, and even offers some counter-roles that he could be instead of mafia.

Da0ud on the other hand only says "hey, he's asking questions, must be 90% (almost definitely town)" I find Da0uds reasons for thinking Djo town less plausible than Inigs, and he almost considers him town.

3.) Inig has been more distinguished in asking questions / contributing. His theory on Dandel is intriguing and unique, and something I may want to follow up on in the future. His vote of imcasey and Dandel is anything BUT blending in.



Notice his reasoning. It's literally almost the same for Inig. Yet, he feels that Inig was "more distinguished in asking questions/contributing". I don't get it. Also, he didn't think Dau0d's meta was different than Dau0d's town game when he posted this earlier.

On October 27 2012 00:53 Djodref wrote:
Regarding daoud, I don't want to lynch him because he has reacted quite fast and naturally to my slip.
Him posting some nonsense about the possibility of a SK just after totally fits his meta.


He needs to post a lot more though...


He flip-flopped onto Dau0d after kush's case while spreading suspicion onto 2 other plays (slyverfyre and Inig). His reasoning for moving his suspicion around was poor at the best. To me, it seems like he didn't care who got lynched

Hammering CheeseCake for the Switched Vote

This was posted after the lynch

On October 27 2012 17:53 Djodref wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2012 08:20 Mr. Cheesecake wrote:
Okay I just got back, and will be here pre and post lynch.

My thoughts on the current state of affairs. It seems the lynch is in favor of Inig, but Da0ud following close behind. My vote on Djo is obviously not doing any good. I still consider him suspicious, and he is by no means off the hook. My efforts right now are better spent deciding who is a better lynch candidate: Da0ud or Inig.

/snip


@ Cheese

At this point, were you considering that daoud and Inig were better candidate than me ?
You have been suspecting me for quite a long time D1 and you suddenly prefer to lynch daoud because some replacement came in and told you he was scummy ?
You alsmost didn't consider him at all until that point yet you have no problem with lynching him instead of your top scumread (which was me) ?

I'm pretty surprised that you didn't try to push my lynch.


Isn't this similar to what Djo did? Yet Djo is calling him out for it? Djo had no considerations of Dau0d until the kush case was posted.

On October 27 2012 23:19 Djodref wrote:
"That being said, you were my best scum read at the time; but there was no chance of you being lynched."

@ Cheese

Here is a quote from you.

Show nested quote +
On October 26 2012 12:50 Mr. Cheesecake wrote:
/snip
The constant asking for info on Ingi / diverting attention, his useless "are you mafia?" question that I pointed out earlier, the inability to adequately answer some of the accusations/questions thrown at him. It doesn't add up. Actually, it does add up. I'm thinking he's scum. I've had a FoS on you for quite some time now, Djodref. Time to upgrade it.

##Vote: Djodref


As you can see, I was a little more than your best scumread. Nevertheless, you gave little to no protest about lynching daoud or ini over me. Big scumtell in my book.
Have a look at debears reactions when people started to vote daoud. He was trying to push his case until the end.This commitment is a big towntell.
Where was your reaction when you came back to thhe tread and realized that a lynch on me was "not possible" ?
No protest, no comments about other people being stupid or whatever, not trying to push my lynch.

And you proceeding to compare the percentage daoud and Ini were giving for their townread on me to decide who to lynch between the two... do you have any comments to do on this ?

FoS Cheese




Yet again, a FOS for hypocritical reasoning. Not only did Djo drop his top scumread for poor reasoning, he voted for Dau0d for poor reasoning. And now he's spreading suspicion on CheeseCake.

This post, however, is the kicker

On October 27 2012 08:00 Djodref wrote:
@ Cheese

What the fuck are you doing with your vote still on my back ?
Come in the thread and choose who you want to lynch today between daoud and Ini. Tell us your reasons about it
!


Djo told him to change his vote in the first place!!!!!!!!!!
Then, he tries to accuse Cheese of scum since Cheese did it???? Wow.

Meta

Djo has little meta to go on with only 2 games. However, there are differences from his town game and scum game. These differences, related to this game, are not damning by any means, but do support that Djo could be scum.

1) Djo is capable of being active as scum. His filter was roughly 9 pgs as scum in Looney

2)His case format this game compared to his other games

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=372945&currentpage=58#1147 - Game as scum
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=374466&currentpage=23#441 - this game

Look at the shocking similarities. Now, this could be how he likes to post now, since this is only his 3rd game.

However, in looking at his first newbie as cop, no posts have the same format (Correct me if I'm wrong on this Djo)

3) Personality - Djo's personality this game is similar to his other games as cop and mafia. Take out the newbie card play, and he sounds the same in all 3. Thus, his personality is a null tell, but it mean that he can be mafia

A Common Fallacy

I think this game has fallen into the trap of activity = town. That is not always the case. Take a long hard look at Djo's filter and this case. His filter is huge and it was a bitch to go through. Mafia can hide in a big filter.

Djo is my number 2 scum read besides Dandel right now. I still need to see if Dandel even comes back (and defends himself properly + has something to contribute) before I would think of voting Djo.

Let me know if you need clarification on anything. Reading Djo's filter + writing out the case = sucks
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
October 28 2012 18:59 GMT
#987
@Debears
Why is my percentage post in a case about Djodref?
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 28 2012 19:00 GMT
#988
Huh?
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
October 28 2012 19:03 GMT
#989
On October 29 2012 03:51 debears wrote:

Djo's approach on Dau0d

Despite Djo's suspicions on Inig and Sylver, he ends up voting Dau0d. Why? Lets see

Show nested quote +
On October 27 2012 08:56 Djodref wrote:
## Vote daoud

Because his involvement in this game has not been great so far...


Not the greatest reasoning. He does provide some reasoning right after though.

Show nested quote +
On October 27 2012 08:56 Mr. Cheesecake wrote:
On October 27 2012 08:46 debears wrote:
Bad word choice on my part. Bad = weak in my post.

And the same points on inig and dauod.
1) semi lurker
2) town reads/ percent town reads
3) generally blending in

Give me


Allow me to ameliorate for you, sir.

1.) Inig was a semi lurker to begin with. As of late, he has been posting more and with greater content. Da0ud, on the other hand, has contributed much less and is still lurking.

2.) Let's look at both of their percentage town reads.
Inigs:
On October 26 2012 16:17 Inigmaticalism wrote:
I would label Djo as like 70% town. Hes been consistent and contributing. I think hes gone after me too long to be mafia. He has talked an awful lot though. Its probably more likely, with all his questions and style of scumhunting, thats hes a vigi or SK or something like that, seeing who he can get lynched (who he thinks is scum if hes vigi, etc), and then who he cant hes found his night targets. Just a thought.


Da0ud's:
On October 26 2012 22:41 da0ud wrote:
Talking about smileyDjo he has put a lot of pressure on people. Asking open questions etc. For having played a game with him where he played to nice lovable newbie card, I believe he is trying to step up and actually be a leader for town. I put him 90% town.


Inig has more reason for considering Djo town, and puts it at 70% (leaning town). He says he's been consistent, obviously posting alot, and going after him of all people. He likes this, and even offers some counter-roles that he could be instead of mafia.

Da0ud on the other hand only says "hey, he's asking questions, must be 90% (almost definitely town)" I find Da0uds reasons for thinking Djo town less plausible than Inigs, and he almost considers him town.

3.) Inig has been more distinguished in asking questions / contributing. His theory on Dandel is intriguing and unique, and something I may want to follow up on in the future. His vote of imcasey and Dandel is anything BUT blending in.



Notice his reasoning. It's literally almost the same for Inig. Yet, he feels that Inig was "more distinguished in asking questions/contributing". I don't get it. Also, he didn't think Dau0d's meta was different than Dau0d's town game when he posted this earlier.


The second post is my post, not Djo's. Why is it in there? I'll gladly reiterate my reasoning behind my vote on Da0ud over Inig if you wish.
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 28 2012 19:04 GMT
#990
............wow fuck me sideways again.

Mb cheese.

Ok refering to my post before. Remove the quote from Cheese. I gotta relook at Djo's filter about that point since I fucked up :/
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 28 2012 19:06 GMT
#991
Ok well, turns out he looks scummier without that quote that I thought was his. Here's Djo's actual post

On October 27 2012 09:00 Djodref wrote:
I don't know how daoud came up with this 90% gauge on me. Maybe because of my posting style.
If you check my filter last game where I was mafia last game and my filter in this game,I bet that they really look different.


Djo voted for Dau0d for literally 2 sentences of reasoning. Wow.
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 28 2012 19:06 GMT
#992
Ebwop

3 sentences including the quote in my case
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
October 28 2012 19:15 GMT
#993
@Debears

You say that "The Common Fallacy" of this game is that activity = town. Are you considering at least one of the lurkers to be mafia at this point? (Considering Inig to be a lurker, in this case)

Also, on an unrelated note, am I the only one that finds it ironic that the replacement of the lurker is also a lurker? Lurkception.
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 28 2012 19:19 GMT
#994
@Cheese

Yes I am considering the lurkers. That includes Roco, Nackht, and Inig

However, there isn't much to say on them. They aren't contributing (possibly at threat of modkill). They are not helping weed out scum at all.
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 28 2012 19:28 GMT
#995
@Cheese

I agree with the nature on Inig's posting. After skimming his filter, I feel like he has been just dropping in with a couple of posts and then leaving without actively discussing matters at hand (I'll check his posts in context later). Do you get the same feel from it?
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
October 28 2012 19:37 GMT
#996
I somewhat agree with that theory, and it's easy to confirm simply because he is not a consistent poster. It could be IRL issues (did he mention any? I can't recall) or, perhaps, active lurking? Is there anything to suggest that? I'll look more into it later.
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
Rad
Profile Joined May 2010
United States935 Posts
October 28 2012 19:40 GMT
#997
I think I remember inig claiming he'd be more active starting monday.
nackhtjogger
Profile Joined June 2012
Germany105 Posts
October 28 2012 19:40 GMT
#998
I can't/don't want to keep up with this thread right now, feeling like I've been date rape drugged shifting in and out of consciousness. I'm going to attack it again tomorrow. Have patience, or don't .. i don't care
Alsn
Profile Joined February 2008
Sweden995 Posts
October 28 2012 19:41 GMT
#999
I have a question though, if Djod is scum as your case suggests debears, what does that make Inig? Djod has been on him from the very beginning of the game. Pretty much his entire D1 play consisted of asking people to look at Inig.
Machina improba! Vel mihi ede potum vel mihi redde nummos meos!
Alsn
Profile Joined February 2008
Sweden995 Posts
October 28 2012 19:42 GMT
#1000
Wow, so I guess we won't be getting anything out of nackh...

If you're still here nackh, I don't even know if you've read the thread so far, but who would you like to lynch and why? You can be brief if you want.
Machina improba! Vel mihi ede potum vel mihi redde nummos meos!
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