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Mini Mafia IV - Page 12

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
January 23 2011 14:50 GMT
#221
On January 23 2011 23:50 GGQ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 23 2011 22:39 Jackal58 wrote:
On January 22 2011 12:54 Pandain wrote:
On January 22 2011 12:52 Hesmyrr wrote:
My case against him was:
1. Bandwagon vote that specifically states that he is bandwagoning (that's why I went for you in that game you were scum too).

2. Indirectly derailing discussion.

3. Not yet to offer opinions on anyone else.

4. Self-vote.

What is yours? Since I'm afraid of tie my vote is unfortunately frozen for moment til someone else joins in, I'd appreciate it if you quickly provide your arguments against LSB too.

1.Bad logic, which wouldn't normally be bad but he's not new at all
2.Contradictory statements

Not a great amount, but considering day 1 I think it's decent amount to lynch LSB.

Yet you switched.

On January 22 2011 12:58 Pandain wrote:
make a choice fast.
we can't have a tie

Why couldn't we have a tie? At the point you posted this it was painfully obvious we were going to have a modkill.

I'm just gonna keep sitting on you man.
We have a 37% chance of lynching a red today. Unless we lynch you. Then it goes up to 100%.


What is this? Is this just bluster? Over-confidence for humour's sake? Or do you really think that your post justify's calling Pandain 100% confirmed scum?


Damnit, justifies*
Jackal58
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4264 Posts
January 23 2011 15:03 GMT
#222
On January 23 2011 23:50 GGQ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 23 2011 22:39 Jackal58 wrote:
On January 22 2011 12:54 Pandain wrote:
On January 22 2011 12:52 Hesmyrr wrote:
My case against him was:
1. Bandwagon vote that specifically states that he is bandwagoning (that's why I went for you in that game you were scum too).

2. Indirectly derailing discussion.

3. Not yet to offer opinions on anyone else.

4. Self-vote.

What is yours? Since I'm afraid of tie my vote is unfortunately frozen for moment til someone else joins in, I'd appreciate it if you quickly provide your arguments against LSB too.

1.Bad logic, which wouldn't normally be bad but he's not new at all
2.Contradictory statements

Not a great amount, but considering day 1 I think it's decent amount to lynch LSB.

Yet you switched.

On January 22 2011 12:58 Pandain wrote:
make a choice fast.
we can't have a tie

Why couldn't we have a tie? At the point you posted this it was painfully obvious we were going to have a modkill.

I'm just gonna keep sitting on you man.
We have a 37% chance of lynching a red today. Unless we lynch you. Then it goes up to 100%.


What is this? Is this just bluster? Over-confidence for humour's sake? Or do you really think that your post justify's calling Pandain 100% confirmed scum?

All of the above.
Life can only kill you once.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
January 23 2011 15:10 GMT
#223
On January 24 2011 00:03 Jackal58 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 23 2011 23:50 GGQ wrote:
On January 23 2011 22:39 Jackal58 wrote:
On January 22 2011 12:54 Pandain wrote:
On January 22 2011 12:52 Hesmyrr wrote:
My case against him was:
1. Bandwagon vote that specifically states that he is bandwagoning (that's why I went for you in that game you were scum too).

2. Indirectly derailing discussion.

3. Not yet to offer opinions on anyone else.

4. Self-vote.

What is yours? Since I'm afraid of tie my vote is unfortunately frozen for moment til someone else joins in, I'd appreciate it if you quickly provide your arguments against LSB too.

1.Bad logic, which wouldn't normally be bad but he's not new at all
2.Contradictory statements

Not a great amount, but considering day 1 I think it's decent amount to lynch LSB.

Yet you switched.

On January 22 2011 12:58 Pandain wrote:
make a choice fast.
we can't have a tie

Why couldn't we have a tie? At the point you posted this it was painfully obvious we were going to have a modkill.

I'm just gonna keep sitting on you man.
We have a 37% chance of lynching a red today. Unless we lynch you. Then it goes up to 100%.


What is this? Is this just bluster? Over-confidence for humour's sake? Or do you really think that your post justify's calling Pandain 100% confirmed scum?

All of the above.


Answer seriously, please.
Jackal58
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4264 Posts
January 23 2011 15:24 GMT
#224
On January 24 2011 00:10 GGQ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 24 2011 00:03 Jackal58 wrote:
On January 23 2011 23:50 GGQ wrote:
On January 23 2011 22:39 Jackal58 wrote:
On January 22 2011 12:54 Pandain wrote:
On January 22 2011 12:52 Hesmyrr wrote:
My case against him was:
1. Bandwagon vote that specifically states that he is bandwagoning (that's why I went for you in that game you were scum too).

2. Indirectly derailing discussion.

3. Not yet to offer opinions on anyone else.

4. Self-vote.

What is yours? Since I'm afraid of tie my vote is unfortunately frozen for moment til someone else joins in, I'd appreciate it if you quickly provide your arguments against LSB too.

1.Bad logic, which wouldn't normally be bad but he's not new at all
2.Contradictory statements

Not a great amount, but considering day 1 I think it's decent amount to lynch LSB.

Yet you switched.

On January 22 2011 12:58 Pandain wrote:
make a choice fast.
we can't have a tie

Why couldn't we have a tie? At the point you posted this it was painfully obvious we were going to have a modkill.

I'm just gonna keep sitting on you man.
We have a 37% chance of lynching a red today. Unless we lynch you. Then it goes up to 100%.


What is this? Is this just bluster? Over-confidence for humour's sake? Or do you really think that your post justify's calling Pandain 100% confirmed scum?

All of the above.


Answer seriously, please.

I was.

His last minute rush to break a tie between in order to lynch Shockkey or LSB makes no sense with an obvious mod kill on the way. All 3 are town. The odds of that are reaching the point of being ridiculously improbable. I think he has to be aware of who the reds are and his rush to get a 2 for 1 deal is extremely scummy looking.
Life can only kill you once.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
January 23 2011 15:43 GMT
#225
On January 24 2011 00:24 Jackal58 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 24 2011 00:10 GGQ wrote:
On January 24 2011 00:03 Jackal58 wrote:
On January 23 2011 23:50 GGQ wrote:
On January 23 2011 22:39 Jackal58 wrote:
On January 22 2011 12:54 Pandain wrote:
On January 22 2011 12:52 Hesmyrr wrote:
My case against him was:
1. Bandwagon vote that specifically states that he is bandwagoning (that's why I went for you in that game you were scum too).

2. Indirectly derailing discussion.

3. Not yet to offer opinions on anyone else.

4. Self-vote.

What is yours? Since I'm afraid of tie my vote is unfortunately frozen for moment til someone else joins in, I'd appreciate it if you quickly provide your arguments against LSB too.

1.Bad logic, which wouldn't normally be bad but he's not new at all
2.Contradictory statements

Not a great amount, but considering day 1 I think it's decent amount to lynch LSB.

Yet you switched.

On January 22 2011 12:58 Pandain wrote:
make a choice fast.
we can't have a tie

Why couldn't we have a tie? At the point you posted this it was painfully obvious we were going to have a modkill.

I'm just gonna keep sitting on you man.
We have a 37% chance of lynching a red today. Unless we lynch you. Then it goes up to 100%.


What is this? Is this just bluster? Over-confidence for humour's sake? Or do you really think that your post justify's calling Pandain 100% confirmed scum?

All of the above.


Answer seriously, please.

I was.

His last minute rush to break a tie between in order to lynch Shockkey or LSB makes no sense with an obvious mod kill on the way. All 3 are town. The odds of that are reaching the point of being ridiculously improbable. I think he has to be aware of who the reds are and his rush to get a 2 for 1 deal is extremely scummy looking.


Why would you not vote for someone that you consider to be 100% scum?
Jackal58
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4264 Posts
January 23 2011 15:59 GMT
#226
On January 24 2011 00:43 GGQ wrote:Why would you not vote for someone that you consider to be 100% scum?

I'm not sure I understand your question.
Life can only kill you once.
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
January 23 2011 16:32 GMT
#227
Let's all just step back for a moment. Jackal, I think you're misunderstand the events of the day. Pandain had initially voted Shockey and then switched to LSB when it seemed like "no one was defending shockey on day 1". Pandain thought he was "green" and so switched. Now, if Pandain was actually mafia, do you think he would switch? We now know that both LSB and Shockey are townies. It doesn't make sense for mafia to switch between the two, especially so late in the day. Mafia is usually content on sticking to one vote and sitting on it. If Pandain was actually mafia, he could have avoided the tie situation all together by just sitting on his vote of shockey. This makes me less suspicious of Pandain now than before.

So the thing that make me think Pandain isn't [r]red[/r]:
1) Both Shockey and LSB were green, why would mafia switch from one to the other? It makes no sense since a dead townie is still a dead townie.

At first I thought like you too, but stepping back, I noticed it was a weird thing that happened last night. What do others think? Might be wrong lol.
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
Hesmyrr
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Canada5776 Posts
January 23 2011 16:36 GMT
#228
Once again probably will return in about ~24 hrs with individual iso analysis to bandwagon the hell out of someone, which hopefully should be more convincing than my earlier efforts.

Shockeyy flipping green might seem favourable to Pandain and Barunder, but note that given choice between inactive, highly suspected townie and somewhat-active townie mafia obviously is going to aim for the latter.

I also admit to being clueless about Pandain, maybe I'll try to iso him before I have to leave for today.
"If watching the MSL finals makes you a progamer, then anyone in Korea can do it." - Ha Tae Ki
Jackal58
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4264 Posts
January 23 2011 16:38 GMT
#229
On January 24 2011 01:32 chaoser wrote:
Let's all just step back for a moment. Jackal, I think you're misunderstand the events of the day. Pandain had initially voted Shockey and then switched to LSB when it seemed like "no one was defending shockey on day 1". Pandain thought he was "green" and so switched. Now, if Pandain was actually mafia, do you think he would switch? We now know that both LSB and Shockey are townies. It doesn't make sense for mafia to switch between the two, especially so late in the day. Mafia is usually content on sticking to one vote and sitting on it. If Pandain was actually mafia, he could have avoided the tie situation all together by just sitting on his vote of shockey. This makes me less suspicious of Pandain now than before.

So the thing that make me think Pandain isn't [r]red[/r]:
1) Both Shockey and LSB were green, why would mafia switch from one to the other? It makes no sense since a dead townie is still a dead townie.

At first I thought like you too, but stepping back, I noticed it was a weird thing that happened last night. What do others think? Might be wrong lol.

He would switch in order to guarantee a lynch. You're right of course a dead townie is a dead townie but his last minute change ensured that there would be a dead townie.
Life can only kill you once.
Jackal58
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4264 Posts
January 23 2011 16:41 GMT
#230
I have to go out for a while. If I make it back before football starts I'll get caught up and post some more. If I don't I won't be back on until tomorrow morning.
Life can only kill you once.
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
January 23 2011 16:56 GMT
#231
He would switch in order to guarantee a lynch.


There was already a guaranteed lynch though. At that point I think it was like 4 on Shockey and 1 of LSB. It was only because of Pandain's switch that caused the "tie". Which is why I'm so confused.
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
January 23 2011 19:20 GMT
#232
Really hope there's more activity soon guys...it's 5-3 right now...
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
Jackal58
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4264 Posts
January 23 2011 19:32 GMT
#233
On January 24 2011 01:56 chaoser wrote:
Show nested quote +
He would switch in order to guarantee a lynch.


There was already a guaranteed lynch though. At that point I think it was like 4 on Shockey and 1 of LSB. It was only because of Pandain's switch that caused the "tie". Which is why I'm so confused.

GGQ's vote on LSB created the tie.
Life can only kill you once.
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
January 23 2011 20:01 GMT
#234
On January 24 2011 04:32 Jackal58 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 24 2011 01:56 chaoser wrote:
He would switch in order to guarantee a lynch.


There was already a guaranteed lynch though. At that point I think it was like 4 on Shockey and 1 of LSB. It was only because of Pandain's switch that caused the "tie". Which is why I'm so confused.

GGQ's vote on LSB created the tie.


Yeah but if Pandain hadn't switched to LSB/posted about it GGQ's vote would have meant nothing and no tie would have happened.
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
GMarshal
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States22154 Posts
January 23 2011 20:47 GMT
#235
Ok, so here is a post by post analysis of Pandain, I'll be putting the quotes in spoilers as usual, with my comments in italics inside the quotes

+ Show Spoiler +
Hello everyone its Pandain the Panda, hoping he won't ruin town again for everyone. And as Pandain always learned when young, the best way to get from A to B when theres a brick wall in front of you is to not go around the wall, but keep on running into it until it breaks!

This is mildly amusing but not all that relevant

In other news, just some general thoughts:
1.Blue's dont claim unless you are about to be lynched. If you find a red, don't claim. Instead prepare an analysis on him and get him lynched without claiming. If you find green, and they're about to be lynched, express support for him, but don't claim unless its near lylo.

This is more of the generic advice for blues, its really not very useful as we all already know this, but since I was kind of giving the same type of advice I can't really be all that judgmental about it, still I expected more from a vet

2.I agree we should not let inactives survive in this town. But considering we've hardly started, "inactives" is hardly the word to call them. So let's get things moving.

The traditional pressure inactive status, common early game, nothing out of the ordinary with this

##Vote Nemesis


+ Show Spoiler +
On January 20 2011 22:08 Nemesis wrote:
@Jackal I wouldn't say that lynching actives is a big mistake. I wasn't paying attention to what happened in XXXVI, but we should lynch scum, and mafia is not always inactive.

And I guess back to the usual first day topic. Lynching inactives. Since lynching a scum is very hard in the very first day. Lynching inactives would be a very good start as it would prevent mafia from lurking.

I'm going to wait a bit for people to talk since the game has just started.


What is this? Clarify this for me, because as I understand right now you just said we should lynch scum, and then say we should lynch inactives.

This feels like nitpicking to me, as far as I could tell, Nemesis' message was pretty clear, "our real goal is to hang scum, but for now pressuring inactives is a good strategy"


Plus I want to see more contribution.


Come on people, pressure is pointless if only one person votes. Let's get things moving.

this post is not all that suspicious all considered, it just seems to be a townie putting on some pressure


Post 2
+ Show Spoiler +

~quote snipped~
The problem with abstaining is that we basically let mafia have a free turn. Rather than voting, and therefore collecting vital information and discussion, no one is lynched, and we end up on day 2 being none the wiser. It's basically as if we started on day 2.

This is the expected reaction to the no lynch idea, a majorly negative one, its a appropriate reaction for a townie, and not at all suspicious


Whether it postpones lylo for one night cycle is really irrelevant, as losing that vital lynch just for an extra night cycle(which won't mean anything if we don't get through that without town getting hurt), is not even an even trade.

More of the same


Speaking of which: Vigi's do NOT use your ability until town declares a consensus on that. We don't need a townie dead because you decided to be a "hero."

Generic town advice, this is self evident and to me at least feels like a piece of common sense masquerading as advice


Speaking of, I want people to start voting Shockkey as well as nemesis. Shockkey has barely contributed with a real post, I want to see that from him.

This is interesting, Panadian is starting to lead the discussion away from Nemesis and towards Shockkey...however he'll reverse this opinion soon enough


Post 3
+ Show Spoiler +

~nemesis post suggesting lynching Shockeyy~
I don't like this post either. Let's take a look at it.

ohhh, an analysis, this should be revealing


First off, lynching inactives itself is a bad strategy. I shall be lenient to him because even I make this mistake, but lynching inactives is a horrible thing to do.

Didn't Panadian say earlier that it was a working strategy? ah yes, he said "Lynching inactives. Since lynching a scum is very hard in the very first day. Lynching inactives would be a very good start as it would prevent mafia from lurking." so is it a good start? or is it a horrible thing to do? Still though since Shokeyy turned out to be a townie and this is essentially a defense of him I can forgive it, although on the flip side it could be part of the mafia strategy in earlier games of killing off the active players first (note how Panadian accuses LSB one of the most active players later)


When we say "lynch inactives", we mean "lynch lurkers." We want to differentiate the lurkers from the inactives/bored.

This feels like nitpicking

If we say we'll lynch the inactives, the inactives won't respond.
IF we say we'll lynch the inactives, the bored won't really respond.

Only the mafia will respond if we say lynch the inactives. Which is why you never want to end up LYNCHING an inactive, just pressuring all of them to post.

I actually agree with this, but iirc that wasn't his attitude in other games, also, allowing inactive to survive simply seems to make a nice little nest for mafia to hide in

Furthormore, he just repeated information without actually adding anything to it. Finally he goes for the "easy" kill.

again, going straight for the throat, if Panadian flips green then I would take a good look at Nemesis while if Nemesis flips green then I would take a look at Panadian

This is typical mafia to me.

I now offer Nemesis as a viable option for a real lynch.

this seems a little rushed, but I guess its one way to apply pressure


Post 4
+ Show Spoiler +

~post of chaoser saying "I disagree with this post. While lynching inactives is suboptimal as a strategy when compared to lynching mafia, I wouldn't say it's a bad strat."~

Again, we want to pressure people to POST, not lynch the inactives. There is a HUGE difference between those two. We want to pressure the inactives and lynch the lurkers, not lynch the inactives themselves. Remember, mafia aren't inactive, they're lurking.

Here Panadian insists with his distinction between "lurking" and "inactive", my main issue with this is that he fails to provide a way to distinguish between the two. However this is consistent with his earlier post in regard to lynching inactive, this attitude is either pro town (dosn't want to risk killing townies) or pro mafia (wants a nice little lurker nest), atm I feel like its more of a mafia strategy since inactive townies aren't all that useful. Still not a tell either way


Inactives are those who are bored, who don't care about the game, who don't have time.
Lurkers are the ones who are watching yet don't contribute.

Differentiating between those will make or break it for the town. We can't just lynch all the inactives and hope for the best.

I agree, but he provides no method to distinguish, so its just essentially saying "lynch mafia not town" not a great contribution, but at least he defines his terms


As of right now, I want Shockkey to post, but am giving him time. Meanwhile there is someone who might be scum and slipped up. There's no point not pressuring the person at the very least.

Pressuring people is always good, and as I said earlier its vital to point out any perceived scummieness


Post 5
+ Show Spoiler +
I didn't think I'd have to go in detail about this, but I guess here it goes.

In mafia, there are two different extremes of people. Those who don't post, and those who do. The active, and the inactive. Mafia will usually end up taking either one of those extremes, either posting alot but not contributing(bill murray for instance), or not posting really at all(most lurking mafia.)

This is something we should all know, but I guess there is no harm in pointing it out

There is a vital different between lurkers and inactives. Most inactives are town. Usually when people are inactive they are bored/don't have time. They didn't get a "fun" role, so just have decided to play SC2 instead of play mafia. You will NOT find mafia in the inactive category. Mafia aren't inactive, they are paying plenty of attention to the game. As you will see, they simply decide to lurk, which is different from being inactive.

Lurkers are a portion of the inactives, but different in a vital way. While inactives don't pay attention to the thread, lurkers do. Lurkers just choose NOT to post because one of mafia's favorite things to do is let each day go by, while no one has said anything. Lurkers is where you will find mafia.

I think this definition makes sense, however it still dosn't provide us with a way to distinguish between the two


Being inactive, while anti town, is not a "scummy" thing to do. Lurking, however is. That is where we must analyze. And that is where Nemesis strikes me as scummy.

Repeats old information, went for the easy lynch, and just overall strikes me as scummy. I'm not saying by any means he's 100% scum, but we should at the VERY least pressure him.

I agree with the idea to pressure, but for some reason I feel as if this massive post hasn't contributed much at all



Post 6

+ Show Spoiler +

99% of time mafia do not fall into the realm of inactives. We want to find lurkers, not inactives.

Note I have always been ferevent about getting town talking, and this game should be no different. While we should pressure inactives to TALK, we should be VOTING lurkers.

For example as of now almost everyone has given a good post with the exception of shockkey. Do you really think(given 3 mafia), that mafia are going for the "inactive" role if town always says "lynch inactives."

We want to find those who seem to contribute but don't, not those who don't contribute and don't seem to either.

This is a rehash of what he said earlier, "find lurkers, pressure inactives, scum is spotted because they seem to contribute without contributing"



Post 7
+ Show Spoiler +
Mafia will never go inactive if we threaten to lynch inactives. They really never do. Instead they will go "Just above" the threshhold of "contribution", while not really contributing.
As for examples?

Lurkers: Obviously paying attention, talking about unrelated stuff/not topic of debate, repeating same stuff(can fall under inactives too though so be careful), bad reasoning/mafia tells(wishy washy ness, other stuff)

This is another post talking about lurkers, talk about beating a dead horse, this post in its entirety feels like a non-contributing contribution



Post 7


+ Show Spoiler +

Because mafia will never go inactive.

As for pressuring them....
For example, we can threaten to lynch people. When for 2 days in a row you only say "I'm busy", that's unnacceptable, and we lynch them. As of now though there is no one I would consider truly "inactive inactive." There really the only way to differentiate is by lynching them, such as soulfire and george clooney, who wouldn't talk even if pressured.

But no one is doing that now. So for now, lynching "inactives" is not what we should be doing.

Says that our current strategy isn't working but does not offer any alternate suggestions, still its not a bad point, except when you consider the amount of games that an inactive/lurking mafia have cost us, in which case it comes out under a more suspicious light



Post 8
+ Show Spoiler +

~LSB mentions how inactives have cost us games before~


No LSB, I lost town the game. And I was really active that game.

And you can't say "it doesn't matter". Again, we want to pressure inactives to vote, not lynch them.

Let me ask you some questions:
1.Do you think mafia will lurk, or be inactive, and why?
2.Would you rather lynch a lurker or an inactive, and why?
3.You said you had opinions on Nemesis, what is that?

Forcing LSB to answer questions and fostering discussion is not a bad thing, but questions 1 and 2 seem rather forced to me, they are self evident and #2 in particular has the obvious answer everyone who doesn't want to look suspicious will give, #3 is good though, this almost feels like a non-contributing contribution to me, but I think it has enough to squeak by



Post 9 (god Panadian, could you post less, you are making me do all this work )
+ Show Spoiler +
Panadian analyzes Hesmyrr, since this one is full of quotes and I really dont want to mess with the format, I'll just write my opinions here, you guys can go look up the post if you wish, essentially Panadian argues that Hesmyrr hasn't posted much and then proceeds to tell us that we should pressure him


Post 10
+ Show Spoiler +

~Snipped irrelevant top part~
~snipped quote of Barundar saying Panadian is all over the place with his pressure and asks why he switched off nemesis~

I got enough out of him, the point is to pressure as many people as possible in a limited amount of time. Speaking of which, why is chaoser still voting me since I've obviously spoken.

a fair explanation of why he is switching votes, although personally I would have piled on more pressure to see nemesis' reaction

And BC, I'm expecting alot out of you this game. You're certainly the most experienced one here, yet as of now have hardly said anything of real substance.

Just wanted to point out the irony of BC being modkilled after this post

Finally, I've decided that I don't think Shockkey is scum. He's playing his norm, in fact, even has contributed more with a semi analysis of Nemesis. I think Hesmyrr is a far better person to vote considering he has barely talked at all.

This in my mind gives Panadian some townie points, as he decides against continuing to pressure/bandwagon Shockkey, its pretty common for for mafia to just stick with the easy target



Post 11
+ Show Spoiler +

~snip chaoser justifying his vote against Panadian~
I'm not just going to say "If someone does this: then I suspect them as mafia". Should I? It just seems to me that would enable mafia to easily hide from me even more.

And me thinks I've gotten town active. By accusing two people, I started discussion, got people talking, and so forth.

Sounds pretty logical and is a fair defense, nothing suspicious, and it is true he has promoted discussion


Tevo made a very long post, and actually was quite content-full when he actually contributed. Then he died on day 2. We don't know what would've happened with his activity. Furthormore, Brockett was lurking, not inactive. I'm unsure about Tevo, he may have just been inactive as well.

Discussion of a previous game, no comment

But as a very consistent trend those who are inactive are not mafia. While you can name two(and only really one might be inactive mafia), I can name at least 4. George clooney, soulfire, DTA, treehugger.

Pointing out that inactivity == mafia its pretty consistent with his whole lurker/inactive stance from earlier, and its not necessarily a bad thing



Seeing as I doubt I'll get any more from Hesmyrr seeing as he's going to be gone, it's time to pressure a more seasoned player.

Ok

I'm going to be voting Bloody Cobblar. He actually hasn't played anti town. But the thing is he hasn't contributed at all really to the discussion of who to lynch. He's talked about "forced activity" and "watch out for lurkers", but then hasn't done anything. I know your in another game, but you need to start posting more.

##Vote BC

Again a fair target for pressure, but at this point I'm going to throw out there that 3/5 people Panadian has accused have flipped pro town, if either of the other two flip green then that will make me really suspicious of Panadian.



Post 12

+ Show Spoiler +

Alright, didn't know you were purposely going to not be as active as you were in pyp3.

Dosn't seem like a good reason to stop pressuring a lurker, but ok I guess


Since I really don't know who to lynch, I'm just going to stick with the Shockkey lynch. Because while I don't think he's mafia, I'm unsure about everyone. And at the very least, there is merit in lynching lurkers, as he has himself addmitted to be one. I think he's been to "I'm town screw off", but as for right now no one else comes to mind.

And this is supicious in my mind, suspicious as hell, as Panadian said earlier he was pretty sure Shockkey was not mafia, as Panadian said earlier its not our goal to kill inactive but rather to kill mafia, also he calls Shockkey a lurker, while under his definition he is more of an inactive, thats quite a mistake for someone who insisted that it was an important distinction


Post 13
+ Show Spoiler +
its full of quotes again, so here are my thoughts, here Pandain switches froms Shockkey to LSB claiming he is sure that Shockkey isn't mafia and accuses LSB of being inconsistent, its ironic that because of this the final tie comes down to two targets, both of which are town, both of which Pandain pushed for at one time or another


Post 14
+ Show Spoiler +

~in reference to LSB~
1.Bad logic, which wouldn't normally be bad but he's not new at all
2.Contradictory statements

Not a great amount, but considering day 1 I think it's decent amount to lynch LSB.
This is actually what I thought too, so I can't really be judgmental about it, although I did not think it enough for a lynch


Post 15 + Show Spoiler +
Fadoodle
##Unvote LSB
##Vote Shockkey

seeing as how Panadian was sure Shockkey was not mafia, would it not be better to go ahead and have a tie? (Im actually unsure about what the answer to that is)


+ Show Spoiler +
While Hesmyrr is a good choice for medic protection, having only one possibility for medics to protect is a very bad idea. Medic, you should RNG between Hesmyrr and another person you think is blue/going to get hit.

As for the DT check list, here's my list:

Barundar-I agree, that vote switch did catch my attention. Something about him just isn't right. However, he has been performing analysis, but his playstyle has been off(for example, doesn't post as much.)
LSB Has been playing suspiciously
Jackal This guy really catches my eyes. Either he is just showing how he's new, or he's mafia. It's somewhat consistent with the previous game so that helps him a little, but as of now i think he's a good check.

Nothing all that odd here, plus Im getting tired of all this reading


Post 16 + Show Spoiler +
And I changed my vote so we didn't have a tie.
Note if I was mafia, then if I had not done so, there would'be been no lynch.

Im not sure if knowing there was going to be a modkill and being sure of the innocence of the target, that a tie wouldn't have been better for the town, so this argument is pretty much null


Ok thats the lot of them, In conclusion right now Panadian is only coming off as slightly scummy in my eyes, here's hoping some one will catch something I missed, also note how continent it is that LSB who suspected Panadian drops dead (then again LSB did push for the Shockkey lynch)
Moderator
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12985 Posts
January 23 2011 20:59 GMT
#236
Okay sorry for not posting. I wanted to see a couple things beforehand.

First off, this is very bad for town. From now on we need to get every lynch right unless there is a medic protection/they hit a vet.

In defense of myself, there are a plethora of reasons which show I am not mafia:
1.LSB died-why would, if I'm mafia, I shoot him. It would only bring suspicion upon myself
2.Why would I be frantically changing between two townies. Why not just stick with one?


Furthormore, we need to band together and this next vote. Since its 5 v3, if even 1 other person sides with who the mafia want to get lynched, then its going to at least be a tie, which is not good for us.

My top suspect is Nemesis. Note how he hasn't been contributing at all this day, when its so important. Yet in previous games when he's town he contributes a lot, making analysis and the such. Along with going for the "easy lynch" in Shockkey, he's hardly contributed to the game. He's a classic "contributing without really contributing".

##Vote Nemesis
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12985 Posts
January 23 2011 21:00 GMT
#237
##Vote Nemesis
and Gmarshal, for the love of god its Pandain, not Panadian.
GMarshal
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States22154 Posts
January 23 2011 21:17 GMT
#238
My apologies for getting your name wrong, In my mind its Paladian (which is nothing like Pandain) for some reason, I'll try to get it right in the future.
Moderator
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
January 23 2011 23:31 GMT
#239
We can't allow discussion to die out like this. Nemesus was one of the lurkers that came out of hiding during yesterdays voting, and gmarshal didn't comment at all. I find it really strange that noone seemed to give attention to the posts against gmarshal.

Gmarshal i apreciate your analysis on pandain, but what are your thoughts on tonights lynch?

Nemesus whats with the lurking?
Bartundar
GMarshal
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States22154 Posts
January 24 2011 01:33 GMT
#240
Gahh, an inactive town is a soon to be dead town. Alright, as far as tonight lynch goes there are two major people I suspect, one is Jackal, I feel like he hasn't contributed anything at all and has been rather aggressive, the other person I suspect is you Barundar, I see you posts as somewhat flipflopy, I need to look more at you, but I think someone else said they were going to do an analysis of you at some point. Also it just hit me that there are 3 scum left out of 8 people which means we need to get mafia today or we are royaly screwed. anyway, I'll check here again before I go to bed.

Pandain (I got it right this time!) given your current track record with accusing people and them turning out to be town, I'm not sure weather to trust your thoughts on Nemesis, when I have time (read chem lecture tomorrow) I'll go over his behavior in past game and compare it to his current behavior to see if I agree with you.
Moderator
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