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Russo-Ukrainian War Thread - Page 916

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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17795 Posts
February 06 2026 02:55 GMT
#18301
News from the front:
  • Russians around Pokrovsk might be exhausted. Ukrainian commander reports that their attacks are losing intensity as the defenders hold northern parts of the city.
  • Intercepted calls reveal that hunger is ravaging Russian frontline units. Deteriorating logistics mean that there's food and water shortages and people are losing weight rapidly.
  • Starlink now requires terminal registration which is not available in Russia so they've effectively lost access to it, severely degrading their communications and coordination capabilities.

Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Jankisa
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Croatia1487 Posts
February 06 2026 13:12 GMT
#18302
I wonder why the Starlink method they just used recently wasn't done before, could have prevented a lot of shitty things if it was, oh well, better late then ever and, gasp, good on Musk for letting SpaceX do it, a rare W in his column.

The temperatures in Kyiv are still below -5 during the day, from people I talk to even in Lviv it's not a great situation, but, then again, I don't hear people despairing, they are used to it by now, still, obligatory fuck those war criminal Russian pieces of shit and admiration to the Ukrainian civilian population, they really suffered immensely and haven't budged, amazing people.

Russia does slowly seem to be running out of options, it seems like they, once again, used the winter period of lul in combat operations to intensify their terrorist activities.

So, are you a pessimist? - On my better days. Are you a nihilist? - Not as much as I should be.
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8270 Posts
Last Edited: 2026-02-06 14:13:35
February 06 2026 14:12 GMT
#18303
One of the reasons, as I understand it, was simply that Ukraine had no control over their own Starlinks. A lot of the purchases hadn't even gone through official channels. Since the front lines are so close, it wasn't really possible to turn off only one side's before they could collect a whitelist

Musk, or even Starlink, wasn't the one who chose this. They deliberately gave up control to the US gov in this matter. And they've been working closely with Ukraine to make this happen for a while now
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
2023 Posts
February 06 2026 15:14 GMT
#18304
It is pretty crazy how little is changing on the front lines these days. I mean it has been not much for a long time but now it has basically stopped. The bloggers almost don't talk about the front lines anymore. It is just the drone strikes from Ukraine and Missiles from Russia.
Jankisa
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Croatia1487 Posts
February 06 2026 15:30 GMT
#18305
Well, considering the temperatures hitting Ukraine over the last month or so (well, more or less the whole northern hemisphere) it's very hard to maintain any sort of offensive operations.

It's not just the men who can't really fight for a long time in -10 or worse cold, I'd be willing to bet that the fuel in a lot of the engines on both sides freezes over, so mechanized attacks can't really be done too much either.

Yes, the ground freezes over so tanks and APCs can move over it again, however, I believe that most of these winter months have not seen much movement during this war, this one even more so since the temperatures have been so unforgiving.
So, are you a pessimist? - On my better days. Are you a nihilist? - Not as much as I should be.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44195 Posts
February 06 2026 16:06 GMT
#18306
I agree. APCs are in short supply at this point, ground is mostly taken by infantry rushing and digging in. Frozen ground is a problem there.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17795 Posts
February 07 2026 05:43 GMT
#18307
On February 06 2026 23:12 Excludos wrote:
One of the reasons, as I understand it, was simply that Ukraine had no control over their own Starlinks. A lot of the purchases hadn't even gone through official channels. Since the front lines are so close, it wasn't really possible to turn off only one side's before they could collect a whitelist

Musk, or even Starlink, wasn't the one who chose this. They deliberately gave up control to the US gov in this matter. And they've been working closely with Ukraine to make this happen for a while now


Yes, it wasn't Musk. US MoD has taken over the control of Starlinks in this area after the whole debacle where Musk was checking out Ukrainian positions via Starlink while on the phone with Putin and turning off their connection during military operations.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17795 Posts
February 09 2026 11:44 GMT
#18308
Heh, it seems that Russians are now hating on Europe even more. It turns out that most European consulates even don't grant Russians visas at all or they only get 1-time visas with very limited time it's valid (up to 10-15 days).

On one hand they hate Europe, on the other they really want to go there...
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
ZeroByte13
Profile Joined March 2022
799 Posts
Last Edited: 2026-02-09 12:34:24
February 09 2026 12:15 GMT
#18309
On February 09 2026 20:44 Manit0u wrote:
On one hand they hate Europe, on the other they really want to go there...
It could be different groups of people who hate Europe and who want to visit Europe (or move there).
With some overlap, of course, but they might be two largely different groups.
Jankisa
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Croatia1487 Posts
February 09 2026 13:44 GMT
#18310
I've worked with quite a few Russian, Belarus and Ukrainian dudes starting 6 months after the war started.

Quite a few of the Russians came as soon as the invasion started, none of them were supportive of it or hateful of Ukrainians, still, in my talks with them they still held a lot of pride for Russia and were basically convinced that Russia winning and Putin getting what he wants is just a matter of time.

Even for young, smart and tech savvy (this was a gaming company and the guys were mostly programmers and level designers) it was hard to accept how they are being viewed as a country and how badly the invasion is going. There were never fights or arguments between them, but I attribute that mostly to both sides not wanting to go there.

Russians who have money and live in places like Moscow and St. Petersburg have lives pretty comparable to European standards, the oppressive parts of the state don't go after them, they have all the amenities we do, and that allows them to still retain their sense of superiority when they come here, the hate, I believe comes from decades of propaganda depicting Europe as soft, gay, woke or whatever you want, this shit is effective everywhere, including many EU countries so it's no wonder it's effective there.

In other news, Ukrainians found (it was known they are using this before but they didn't have an intact one) a Gerbera drone (basically Shahed clone) being used as a carrier for a FPV drone, apparently they've been deploying these since 2024 but it's fascinating to see how janky, yet effective it is:

[image loading]
So, are you a pessimist? - On my better days. Are you a nihilist? - Not as much as I should be.
pmp10
Profile Joined April 2012
3398 Posts
February 10 2026 07:35 GMT
#18311
On February 07 2026 00:14 Billyboy wrote:
It is pretty crazy how little is changing on the front lines these days. I mean it has been not much for a long time but now it has basically stopped.

If there is a slow-down in Russian advances it's a minor one.
[image loading]

The Russian ground gains are still steady enough to capture Donetsk in 2-3 years of fighting.


Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany7320 Posts
February 10 2026 10:35 GMT
#18312
F16 destroying Shahed drone with video

https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/1qzihpy/ukrainian_f16_shoots_down_a_shahed136_using_its/
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10924 Posts
February 10 2026 14:10 GMT
#18313
On February 10 2026 16:35 pmp10 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 07 2026 00:14 Billyboy wrote:
It is pretty crazy how little is changing on the front lines these days. I mean it has been not much for a long time but now it has basically stopped.

If there is a slow-down in Russian advances it's a minor one.
[image loading]

The Russian ground gains are still steady enough to capture Donetsk in 2-3 years of fighting.





Being slower would mean walking backwards.
Jankisa
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Croatia1487 Posts
February 10 2026 15:09 GMT
#18314
That estimate would make sense if all the gains were in Donetsk and if all of Donetsk had the same level of difficulty.

Getting tree lines, fields and forests under your control is one thing, getting actual towns and cities is quite another, see Avdiivka and Pokrovsk.

Russians, if they decide and are able to keep up the pace of losses that come with the intensity of attacks they have been having will have to pay an insane price, their war chest is basically empty, they sold off 70 % of their gold reserves and they are borrowing money under terrible conditions, they don't have 2-3 years of doing this left.
So, are you a pessimist? - On my better days. Are you a nihilist? - Not as much as I should be.
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
2023 Posts
February 10 2026 16:05 GMT
#18315
You would also take out the outliers in making a trend line which would lead to a much less optimistic outlook.

The recent slowdown due to starlink is also not takin into account yet.
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
2023 Posts
February 11 2026 16:58 GMT
#18316
Russia restricting and looking to ban telegram is interesting. Russians often use this even on the front line. And it is pretty much the biggest platform for the pro Russian blogging. I have heard some of these bloggers are becoming frustrated enough so they are stepping away from the party line more than in the past. Seems like Russia is looking for information control at Chinese levels.
Jankisa
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Croatia1487 Posts
February 11 2026 20:37 GMT
#18317
Them shooting themselves in the foot like that might be a sign of bigger things.

Of course, this is snorting hopium and likely overly optimistic, but, it does track with other authoritarian regimes trying to limit the means of communication in order to snuff out resistance movements.

Best case scenario, there are too many fires of dissent happening to arrest everyone so they are trying to go after the means of organizing.
So, are you a pessimist? - On my better days. Are you a nihilist? - Not as much as I should be.
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
12122 Posts
Last Edited: 2026-02-12 16:01:37
February 12 2026 16:01 GMT
#18318
Well Russia is worried about internal dissent. The budget for this year raised more money in increases for internal security than for the war they are in. (I didn't read it, just second hand reporting.)
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17795 Posts
February 15 2026 16:48 GMT
#18319
Perun dropped a new video:

Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17795 Posts
February 16 2026 23:53 GMT
#18320
Russian problem's with communication have given Ukrainians a window of opportunity and they're supposedly taking back territory and pushing on multiple fronts, basically undoing months of Russian progress in a span of one week.

Siversk, Chasiv Yar, Hulaipole has Ukrainians retaking territory. Fights are still ongoing in Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad. There are even reports of Ukrainians recapturing settlements in Zaporizhia.

Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
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