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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

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Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22661 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-03-26 00:26:45
March 26 2021 00:26 GMT
#62501
On March 26 2021 09:24 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 26 2021 09:05 StasisField wrote:
On March 26 2021 05:13 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On March 26 2021 03:58 JimmiC wrote:
It would have been shocking if Biden didn't say that. Has anyone ever announced they won't be running again in their first press conference?

Lots can happen in 3 years, I'm with Nevek in someone else as the front runner. But if he's popular and the Reps are going to run it back with Trump, I could see the Dems running it back.


In unrelated news I'm watching parks and rec and the Biden cameo was last night, (Leslie the main character has a huge crush on Biden, gets to meet him and hits of him super hard) was extra funny given he's now the president and everything that has gone on.


Her interaction with Michelle Obama is amazing too

If Biden continues to wrangle in this pandemic, I could see him beating Trump / the next Republican nominee, as long as he also does a few other things that liberals/progressives would like to see, like helping Congress pass universal healthcare.

Biden said on the campaign trail that he would veto UHC if it made it to his desk. There's no chance it even gets that far but even if it does it's not happening while he's in office.


I thought that was specifically M4A, not other possible universal healthcare proposals?
I don't see Biden vetoing any form of UHC if it makes its way to his desk by some miracle.
No matter what he may or may not have specifically adressed.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18869 Posts
March 26 2021 00:28 GMT
#62502
On March 26 2021 09:26 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 26 2021 09:24 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On March 26 2021 09:05 StasisField wrote:
On March 26 2021 05:13 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On March 26 2021 03:58 JimmiC wrote:
It would have been shocking if Biden didn't say that. Has anyone ever announced they won't be running again in their first press conference?

Lots can happen in 3 years, I'm with Nevek in someone else as the front runner. But if he's popular and the Reps are going to run it back with Trump, I could see the Dems running it back.


In unrelated news I'm watching parks and rec and the Biden cameo was last night, (Leslie the main character has a huge crush on Biden, gets to meet him and hits of him super hard) was extra funny given he's now the president and everything that has gone on.


Her interaction with Michelle Obama is amazing too

If Biden continues to wrangle in this pandemic, I could see him beating Trump / the next Republican nominee, as long as he also does a few other things that liberals/progressives would like to see, like helping Congress pass universal healthcare.

Biden said on the campaign trail that he would veto UHC if it made it to his desk. There's no chance it even gets that far but even if it does it's not happening while he's in office.


I thought that was specifically M4A, not other possible universal healthcare proposals?
I don't see Biden vetoing any form of UHC if it makes its way to his desk by some miracle.
No matter what he may or may not have specifically adressed.

Agreed, if that were to somehow happen he'd sign it without hesitation.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
RenSC2
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States1098 Posts
March 26 2021 00:50 GMT
#62503
Yes, for better or worse, Biden has always been a party man. If the Democrats can get nearly unanimously behind a UHC bill in the Senate, I can’t see Biden vetoing it when it gets to his desk.

The flip side is that I don’t see his administration pushing UHC and whipping the votes for it.
Playing better than standard requires deviation. This divergence usually results in sub-standard play.
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32755 Posts
March 26 2021 01:02 GMT
#62504
I'd like to think most federal Democrats are behind some form of UHC. My uneducated view from afar is that the contention is over whether they take the single-payer M4A route prescribed by Bernie and progressives, or the less sexy but realistic path of a public option attached to the ACA. Biden's in favour of a public option on the ACA, so if there was some kind of UHC bill on his table in that flavour I'm sure he'd sign it. But any major healthcare reform towards this public option doesn't seem likely right now, unless there is some way with reconciliation I'm not aware of or there is a massive breakthrough on the filibuster.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18869 Posts
March 26 2021 01:10 GMT
#62505
It's still very much up in the air, but I'm guessing that the filibuster gets reverted to its talking form or abolished altogether by this time next year. I find that more likely than Republicans making concessions on the legislative items Democrats want and need to pass.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States46512 Posts
March 26 2021 01:21 GMT
#62506
On March 26 2021 10:10 farvacola wrote:
It's still very much up in the air, but I'm guessing that the filibuster gets reverted to its talking form or abolished altogether by this time next year. I find that more likely than Republicans making concessions on the legislative items Democrats want and need to pass.


Are there any Dems that aren't on board with reforming the filibuster? I guess that's what really matters, in terms of having the votes.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
March 26 2021 01:24 GMT
#62507
--- Nuked ---
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18869 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-03-26 01:44:19
March 26 2021 01:30 GMT
#62508
On March 26 2021 10:21 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 26 2021 10:10 farvacola wrote:
It's still very much up in the air, but I'm guessing that the filibuster gets reverted to its talking form or abolished altogether by this time next year. I find that more likely than Republicans making concessions on the legislative items Democrats want and need to pass.


Are there any Dems that aren't on board with reforming the filibuster? I guess that's what really matters, in terms of having the votes.

The centrists like Manchin and Sinema have postured against filibuster repeal, but I think they can be plied by circumstance when Republican intransigence gums up their legislative initiatives. For example, Manchin has thrown his weight behind heavy infrastructure investment and that'd be a great foil for his cozying up to filibuster reform.
On March 26 2021 10:24 JimmiC wrote:
I think it is a long way off, because first you have to get enough people to agree on having UHC and then you have to decide how to do that. The easiest would be some sort of insurance for all funded by the gov and keeping the private system in place. The issue is on a per person basis that would make the US government paying over double what the Can gov does and our system is a big tax burden. Making the whole system public would make the costs way less for the tax payer, but buying all the private companies would be bonkers expensive and a government take over of the businesses would be so "anti American" you might actually get a revolution.

I guess with how massive the deficit is and how that does not seem to matter any more maybe they just pay and don't care?

I'm also not sure how popular UHC will be if it will be tax funded. US people seem to hate taxes more than almost anything.

Given how many ways Medicare and Medicaid are designed to limit their influence on the healthcare market, I don't think reform that heads toward UHC would be as difficult as it seems. For example, Medicare Part D is statutorily prohibited from negotiating drug prices and either contracts with private insurers straight up or instead utilizes prices set by a basket of private insurers (known as an ASP). Fixing that takes simple legislative majorities.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
March 26 2021 01:59 GMT
#62509
--- Nuked ---
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
March 26 2021 04:00 GMT
#62510
--- Nuked ---
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States46512 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-03-26 04:08:56
March 26 2021 04:08 GMT
#62511
On March 26 2021 13:00 JimmiC wrote:
This is confusing me. I understand that Republicans are saying that they are making the elections more secure with these rules, but what is with the no food and water stuff?

Show nested quote +
The Georgia law will make it a misdemeanor crime to give food or drinks to voters waiting in long lines. It also will set up a fraud hotline, forbid local county elections offices from taking breaks while counting ballots and shorten the runoff election cycle from nine weeks to four weeks. It will allow the state election board the power to replace local county election boards and permit challenges to voting eligibility.


Is that not just mean to voters? Is the thought that more dem voters go after work and will be hungry, or hotter at that point? What is the security concern?

It almost feels like they are moving the rules to more like a car dealership who does a competition on who can keep their hand on the car the longest wins it. I must be missing something because it just makes no sense to me.

https://ca.yahoo.com/news/georgia-state-lawmakers-approve-restrictions-174647820.html


Long voting lines are more likely to occur in urban areas, due to higher population densities, and urban areas tend to lean liberal. This is just another way to specifically screw with polling stations that would otherwise have higher Democratic turnout: if the voters get too hungry or thirsty, then maybe they'll leave before they cast their votes.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27464 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-03-26 04:20:46
March 26 2021 04:19 GMT
#62512
Come the fuck on, there’s no justification whatsoever for criminalising giving a drink to someone waiting in line to vote, utterly preposterous.

Even though I think they’re transparently targeted attempts to suppress turnout, at least there’s some rationale for things like photo IDs for voters and the likes.

There is absolutely nothing even in wild hypothetical land that giving a queuing voter a bottle of water could possibly impact fraud.

They’re not even hiding what they’re trying to do here, no doubt this will be enthusiastically cheered on by the same people who complain that a rapist skunk has been cancelled as evidence of their freedoms being curtailed.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
TL+ Member
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany12026 Posts
March 26 2021 05:00 GMT
#62513
On March 26 2021 13:19 WombaT wrote:
Come the fuck on, there’s no justification whatsoever for criminalising giving a drink to someone waiting in line to vote, utterly preposterous.

Even though I think they’re transparently targeted attempts to suppress turnout, at least there’s some rationale for things like photo IDs for voters and the likes.

There is absolutely nothing even in wild hypothetical land that giving a queuing voter a bottle of water could possibly impact fraud.

They’re not even hiding what they’re trying to do here, no doubt this will be enthusiastically cheered on by the same people who complain that a rapist skunk has been cancelled as evidence of their freedoms being curtailed.


You make the mistake of assuming that republicans have any sort of shame or decency. They do not.

A very good predictive algorithm for republican behaviour is:
Will it increase their chance of winning elections? If yes, they do it.
Will it take money from the poor and give it to the rich? If yes, they do it.
Is it generally evil? If yes, they do it.

I like to call this the "What Would Darth Vader Do" algorithm. Though i guess Darth Vader didn't try to steal money from the poor to give it to the superrich, so he has that going for him.

If ever you wonder what republicans will do in a given situation, simply ask yourself: "WWDVD?"
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27464 Posts
March 26 2021 05:13 GMT
#62514
On March 26 2021 14:00 Simberto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 26 2021 13:19 WombaT wrote:
Come the fuck on, there’s no justification whatsoever for criminalising giving a drink to someone waiting in line to vote, utterly preposterous.

Even though I think they’re transparently targeted attempts to suppress turnout, at least there’s some rationale for things like photo IDs for voters and the likes.

There is absolutely nothing even in wild hypothetical land that giving a queuing voter a bottle of water could possibly impact fraud.

They’re not even hiding what they’re trying to do here, no doubt this will be enthusiastically cheered on by the same people who complain that a rapist skunk has been cancelled as evidence of their freedoms being curtailed.


You make the mistake of assuming that republicans have any sort of shame or decency. They do not.

A very good predictive algorithm for republican behaviour is:
Will it increase their chance of winning elections? If yes, they do it.
Will it take money from the poor and give it to the rich? If yes, they do it.
Is it generally evil? If yes, they do it.

I like to call this the "What Would Darth Vader Do" algorithm. Though i guess Darth Vader didn't try to steal money from the poor to give it to the superrich, so he has that going for him.

If ever you wonder what republicans will do in a given situation, simply ask yourself: "WWDVD?"

I always had Darth down more as an enforcer than the guy making the calls, but indeed.

I’m confused by this particular one as I’m not sure it even increases their chances in elections. All sorts of other dubious voter suppression you can package as cutting fraud, or ‘if you value your vote you should free up the time’ and people will lap it up.

Criminalising hydrating people just seems so shitty and without rationale that even some Republicans, never mind those on the fence must surely be thinking ‘wait a second here...’

I’m not under any particular illusions about the Republicans but there’s a difference between say, shitting on the poor via a combination of policy and bootstrap rhetoric, and going around and kicking homeless people in the face on the sidewalk for all to see.

This seems to stray a little towards the latter, but hey maybe it plays well to their crowd, I sure as fuck can’t predict which way they bend on all sorts of seemingly contradictory stances.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
TL+ Member
Husyelt
Profile Blog Joined May 2020
United States839 Posts
March 26 2021 07:01 GMT
#62515
Well what’s the actual reason for the not “giving water to voters in line.”

Because it sounds low iq, but is there an actual talking point that Republicans can point towards?
You're getting cynical and that won't do I'd throw the rose tint back on the exploded view
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27464 Posts
March 26 2021 07:57 GMT
#62516
On March 26 2021 16:01 Husyelt wrote:
Well what’s the actual reason for the not “giving water to voters in line.”

Because it sounds low iq, but is there an actual talking point that Republicans can point towards?

The greatest generation didn’t die on the fields of France for your freedomTM so that a bunch of snowflake gen xers can’t handle voting without staying hydrated, my grandpappy didn’t drink his own piss on Iwo Jima to see America turn this soft. Or something.

I am genuinely baffled by this one though.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
TL+ Member
Slydie
Profile Joined August 2013
2014 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-03-26 08:05:13
March 26 2021 08:04 GMT
#62517
On March 26 2021 16:01 Husyelt wrote:
Well what’s the actual reason for the not “giving water to voters in line.”

Because it sounds low iq, but is there an actual talking point that Republicans can point towards?


That it can be used as last-minute campaigning, "buying" votes. That the waiting line should never be long enough for that to be an issue at all is another question.

I find it very puzzling that voterlaws is even such a big topic in the US. Everywhere else, thera are fair and functional voter laws, and the parties focus on getting as many votes as possible rather than keeping people from voting.

Texas had a record turnout, but Trump won the state comfortably anyway. The Republicans might not even gain that much from their bullshit...
Buff the siegetank
RenSC2
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States1098 Posts
March 26 2021 09:01 GMT
#62518
On March 26 2021 17:04 Slydie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 26 2021 16:01 Husyelt wrote:
Well what’s the actual reason for the not “giving water to voters in line.”

Because it sounds low iq, but is there an actual talking point that Republicans can point towards?


That it can be used as last-minute campaigning, "buying" votes. That the waiting line should never be long enough for that to be an issue at all is another question.

I find it very puzzling that voterlaws is even such a big topic in the US. Everywhere else, thera are fair and functional voter laws, and the parties focus on getting as many votes as possible rather than keeping people from voting.

Texas had a record turnout, but Trump won the state comfortably anyway. The Republicans might not even gain that much from their bullshit...

If you look at a map of the US where they separate Red/Blue counties. It's almost always City = Blue, Everywhere Else = Red. Even in crazy red or blue states, that still pretty much holds. Mississippi has approximately the same demographics as Georgia. Georgia was able to bust through some of the suppression and eked out a Blue victory. Mississippi didn't even come close.

Limiting the number of voting places in cities, and then making standing in line worse, very much favors the Red side. It very likely can and has led to states being flipped. Michigan 2016 may be one of those examples. People saw long lines in the cities, heard that it was a clear Clinton victory anyways, so didn't bother to stand in multi-hour long lines. That likely cost her the state. Do that again in a few other states, and you swing the whole election... which happened. 4 years of Trump.

Playing better than standard requires deviation. This divergence usually results in sub-standard play.
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8760 Posts
March 26 2021 09:54 GMT
#62519
On March 26 2021 16:01 Husyelt wrote:
Well what’s the actual reason for the not “giving water to voters in line.”

Because it sounds low iq, but is there an actual talking point that Republicans can point towards?


it's just the logical conclusion to making it a crime giving foreigners ("brown people") water as they try to cross the border/desert into the US. the next best "unamerican thing" are Democrat city dwellers.
Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8201 Posts
March 26 2021 10:55 GMT
#62520
Just read that China is attempting to rewrite history in a version where the pandemic started in the United States.

Gotta love dictatorships.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
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