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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 1248

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
May 25 2019 18:59 GMT
#24941
If we're bringing up low voter turnout in the context of anti-democratic politics, I'm not sure if a higher turnout would actually imply higher support for democratic parties. If anything it seems the biggest beneficiaries from higher turnout in recent elections are borderline anti-democratic, extremist parties on the right. I don't think Increasing turnout just to have people vote for the sake of voting is a cure for our current democratic problems.
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
May 26 2019 10:08 GMT
#24942
At 12:00, participation on the rise in France.

2019: 19,3%
2014: 15,7%
2009: 14,8%

This was the same participation rate in 2017 legislatives at 12:00, so if it follows the same trend the final participation might reach 47-48%. Doesn't sound good for Macron.
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5847 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-26 11:30:40
May 26 2019 10:59 GMT
#24943
On May 26 2019 01:34 Sent. wrote:
Low voter turnout doesn't directly hurt democracy, but entails a risk of all those usually uninterested ignorants coming to polling stations one day and electing someone that promises them whatever they think they want. It's not something bad, it's a sign that something else isn't working correctly.


What are you trying to say here? The alternative to low voter turnout is those disinterested people actually voting. How is the risk of it happening bad compared to its actually happening?

Also, just because someone has opinions on various matters and is eager to vote, doesn't mean he/she is informed. In my experience, the vast majority of voters are clueless about the more complicated matters that are subject of policy, such as how various institutions work, the economy, education and so on.
Silvanel
Profile Blog Joined March 2003
Poland4768 Posts
May 26 2019 11:38 GMT
#24944
Already voted, its nice weather currently (at least in my town) so i am hoping for higher turnout than the last time.
Pathetic Greta hater.
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9324 Posts
May 26 2019 12:33 GMT
#24945
On May 26 2019 19:59 maybenexttime wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 26 2019 01:34 Sent. wrote:
Low voter turnout doesn't directly hurt democracy, but entails a risk of all those usually uninterested ignorants coming to polling stations one day and electing someone that promises them whatever they think they want. It's not something bad, it's a sign that something else isn't working correctly.


What are you trying to say here? The alternative to low voter turnout is those disinterested people actually voting. How is the risk of it happening bad compared to its actually happening?

Also, just because someone has opinions on various matters and is eager to vote, doesn't mean he/she is informed. In my experience, the vast majority of voters are clueless about the more complicated matters that are subject of policy, such as how various institutions work, the economy, education and so on.


I wanted to say it's bad to have a lot of people who rarely vote, that it would be better if they voted regularly or not at all. Consistently high turnouts mean people are interested in politics, so you can expect their choices to be somewhat informed. They don't need to be fully informed (although that is an ideal we should strive toward), I just want them to do the bare minimum of following politics, discussing it with other people, maybe even researching something on their own once in a while. If someone can't bring themselves do that, they should leave the voting to someone who can.

I agree that people who are always eager to vote aren't automatically better informed.
You're now breathing manually
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12487 Posts
May 26 2019 13:42 GMT
#24946
Voted FI again. Still not a big fan of Mélenchon but hey.
No will to live, no wish to die
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-26 15:22:10
May 26 2019 15:04 GMT
#24947
France: the participation rate at 17:00 is 43,29% (+8 points compared with 2014).

The 12:00 turnout was the highest ever. The 17:00 turnout is second only to 1994.



The numbers at 12:00 showed that FN strongholds and various departments where the yellow vests were strong had a higher turnout than the average.

The participation at 17:00 is already higher than the final turnout in 2004, 2009 and 2014. Macron is going to be defeated hard.

Final participation should be somewhere between 50 and 52%.
Deleted User 26513
Profile Joined February 2007
2376 Posts
May 26 2019 15:20 GMT
#24948
The most pointless ellections ever. I didn't vote. I don't know who are Timmermans and Weber and I don't care. As for our representatives - 17 lucky people will earn 20 times the average salary in Bulgaria for doing what their "parties" told them to do. Good for them. I don't think that they will defend Bulgarian interests at all... Some of them even avoid speaking Bulgarian.
At the end of the day the lobbies are running the show and the so called "representatives" are just interchangable pawns.
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
12132 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-26 15:29:49
May 26 2019 15:29 GMT
#24949
On May 27 2019 00:20 Pr0wler wrote:
The most pointless ellections ever. I didn't vote. I don't know who are Timmermans and Weber and I don't care. As for our representatives - 17 lucky people will earn 20 times the average salary in Bulgaria for doing what their "parties" told them to do. Good for them. I don't think that they will defend Bulgarian interests at all... Some of them even avoid speaking Bulgarian.
At the end of the day the lobbies are running the show and the so called "representatives" are just interchangable pawns.


Then I have a very different experience here, which is nice. I had 2 parties that was hard to pick between (since both were good) and can do a person vote for that party as well.
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-26 16:26:26
May 26 2019 16:24 GMT
#24950
German exit polls:

CDU/CSU: 27.9 (-7.4) - Conservatives
SPD: 15.6 (-11.7) - Social Democrats
Greens: 21.8 (+11.1)
Linke: 5.5 (-1.9) - Left
AfD: 10.5 (+3.4) - Right
FDP: 5.5 (+2.1) - Liberals
Other: 13.2 (+4.4)

Or in Seats:
CDU/CSU: 28
SPD: 16
Green: 22
Linke: 5
AfD: 10
FDP: 5
Die Partei: 3
Freie Wähler: 2
ÖDP: 1
Familie: 1
Volt: 1
Tierschutzpartei: 1
Piraten: 1

Oh, and the biggest winner of the day was: Participation! 59%, up from 48%
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9324 Posts
May 26 2019 16:32 GMT
#24951
You can do exit polls before elections are over in Germany?
You're now breathing manually
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-26 16:35:32
May 26 2019 16:33 GMT
#24952
On May 27 2019 01:32 Sent. wrote:
You can do exit polls before elections are over in Germany?


The election ended at 1800 in Germany.

And if you mean, the entire election in Europe is over.... This was often criticized, but so far the ruling in Euope has been, that exit polls can be released in each country, once the election is over there. Only the official results have to wait until the entire thing is over. That's why the Dutch exit polls have been out there in the public since Thursday
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9236 Posts
May 26 2019 16:35 GMT
#24953
Nice to see the Greens so high in Germany, our Greens didn't even get enough signatures to be on the ballot.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18866 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-26 16:39:06
May 26 2019 16:38 GMT
#24954
Based on the shakeout of these polling results, is it fair to say that Germany’s political situation is at least marginally more stable than some other EU nations? Those results are promising in the eyes of this far away foreigner.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
opisska
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Poland8852 Posts
May 26 2019 16:40 GMT
#24955
Lately we don't even get exit polls for most "normal" elections, not to mention the EP ones that nobody cares about at al... It's simply not profitable for anyone to employ so many people for that. Nice to see that some countries still care enough about the elections to have results just a couple of hours earlier.
"Jeez, that's far from ideal." - Serral, the king of mild trashtalk
TL+ Member
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-26 16:45:12
May 26 2019 16:44 GMT
#24956
On May 27 2019 01:35 Dan HH wrote:
Nice to see the Greens so high in Germany, our Greens didn't even get enough signatures to be on the ballot.

The greens are way past being a one trick pony, a single issue party, in Germany. Idk if that's the same in Romania?

I guess the other (big) parties being rather bland and sometimes indistinguishable as well as lots of infighting during the coalition (conservatives and socialists) did help them. Also being the most stable with regards to their political positions, apart from the one issue right wing parties (whose position has been consistent as it has been shit through and through) surely helped similarly to having a mildly successful, more importantly mostly scandal free and pretty Conservative local government in a rich federal state.
passive quaranstream fan
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-26 17:20:06
May 26 2019 17:17 GMT
#24957
On May 27 2019 01:38 farvacola wrote:
Based on the shakeout of these polling results, is it fair to say that Germany’s political situation is at least marginally more stable than some other EU nations? Those results are promising in the eyes of this far away foreigner.


I think that is true. While we certainly are not left out of the rise of populism as you can see by the AfD inreasing a bit further I think Germany is one of the countries where it's the least pronounced. We've voted Merkel in for 16 years so I think it's fair to say a bunch of us are conversative, not in the political sense of the word but in "if it ain't broken" kind of way.
I expect it to be more extreme in France and Italy.

On the results so far, voted Greens myself, so I'm happy with how things turned out more or less. Obviously AfD getting more votes is a shame but can't have everything.
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5299 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-26 17:39:28
May 26 2019 17:29 GMT
#24958
there are no Greens here: we have nationalists, ex-nationalists, liberals(in name only), constitutional activists, minorities &other exes that have fallen from grace in years past(presidents, prime ministers etc).
46,66% turnout 25 min ago; in 35 min it'll be closed.
- there were massive lines of people waiting to vote(it took ~4 hours in London for most of the people); it's blamed on the ruling party(PSD) and seen as badly organized on purpose.

thing is, we had another referendum here at the same time; it was more of a constitutional consultation on matters regarding corruption and gov. abilities(through ordinances) to interfere with the justice(~40% turnout).
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-26 17:35:31
May 26 2019 17:34 GMT
#24959
i literally walked 200meters down the street, found two other people who got in the building at the same time as me, we had 3 places to fill out your votes at the same time so everyone got his space for himself and I was done in 10 minutes. Probably less than 30 seconds if you exclude the walking time

Bless voting on Sundays
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
TheNewEra
Profile Joined March 2011
Germany3128 Posts
May 26 2019 17:38 GMT
#24960
Die PARTEI stronger with the under 30 year olds than the AFD. Nice
Midas <3 Casy <3 BeSt <3 | Pray to Doh-men, heathens! | Zwischen Harz und Heideland
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