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UK Politics Mega-thread - Page 361

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In order to ensure that this thread meets TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we ask that everyone please adhere to this mod note.

Posts containing only Tweets or articles adds nothing to the discussions. Therefore, when providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion.
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Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
June 15 2017 14:59 GMT
#7201
On June 15 2017 23:58 KwarK wrote:
God help us if we get Boris.


The one rule in conservative leadership elections is the favourite never wins, he was favourite before and he is the favourite again so he won't win.
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9999 Posts
June 15 2017 15:56 GMT
#7202
Boris is a bit of an idiot but I'd rather have him than Rudd. She's just like May. Control freaks the pair of them, which isn't good for a PM.
RIP Meatloaf <3
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-15 19:21:17
June 15 2017 19:20 GMT
#7203
The thing about Boris is that he is a true believer in the benefits of the EU and became part of the leave campaign due to political opportunity. He looked devastated at the results of the referendum, as opposed to May who is a political opportunist who didn't support leave because she didn't think it would succeed and turned on a dime for political reasons. Kind of ironic.
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
June 15 2017 20:46 GMT
#7204
What specific event could trigger new elections?
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9999 Posts
June 15 2017 20:54 GMT
#7205
On June 16 2017 05:46 TheDwf wrote:
What specific event could trigger new elections?


It would be a process, but a vote of no confidence from MPs I think triggers an election. Failure for any party to get a Queen's Speech through might also trigger an election (ie if no-one is able to form a government).
Otherwise its 5 years of tory-DUP.
RIP Meatloaf <3
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44295 Posts
June 15 2017 20:57 GMT
#7206
Losing a vote on a manifesto promise would trigger an election because all manifesto promises are votes of no confidence by convention. However the manifestos have somewhat been suspended because no party won an outright majority, the Conservative Party didn't win, they formed a coalition.

If they were to hold a fox hunting vote, for example, and lost it then they would probably be forced to resign their government and ask for elections. But as they didn't win they have no need to call a fox hunting vote, they can simply say that policy didn't survive the shift to coalition government.

In practice there is only one vote they actually need to hold, the Brexit one, and they won't lose it. They're here for five years. May probably isn't but the Tories are.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-16 15:53:29
June 16 2017 15:52 GMT
#7207
Looks like protestors have just entered Kensington and Chealsea town hall. Hopefully now they will finally sort out their problems instead of just wishing they would go away now. Maybe they will give them temporary accomodation now that those rendered homeless are setting themselves up in the town hall.
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9999 Posts
June 16 2017 16:04 GMT
#7208
I think there'll probably be the promise of an inquiry that will last 12 months and by then public sympathy for the victims will have evaporated so they can carry on deregulating everything.
RIP Meatloaf <3
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44295 Posts
June 16 2017 16:15 GMT
#7209
It seems to me like this is a certification problem with the cladding. The building was designed to suppress fire and if the fire was being spread internally that ought to have worked. The problem was the cladding spread the fire. The cladding was certified as being fire proof but what they meant by that is that the incredibly flammable stuff was covered in fire proof aluminium so it wouldn't be directly exposed to the flame. Obviously it all went tits up.

Help the homeless, strip the cladding from other buildings it is used on, work out how flammable stuff covered in tin foil gets classified as fire proof and fix that.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
June 16 2017 17:03 GMT
#7210
So Lily Allen (yeah I know... the singer, but apparently she grew up in the area and still lives close to the tower and watched it burn and has been part of the community effort for 3 days now) is raising hell on twitter about why there is still no higher death count reported, saying they are trying slowly build up the real numbers because they are too horrific too release at once as it would spark huge outrage. Local rumors are 100+ it seems.

Do you think this could be true? I mean by now they should know have indexed who of the tenants hasn't reported in yet and have a pretty good view of who is not there right? Yes remains will be very hard to identify which is the reasoning the officials are using for not increasing the numbers stated but anyone who is still missing should pretty much be assumed dead by now. Do you think this could spark a major unrest if it's really so many dead? Feels like there is lots of slumbering anger.
Neosteel Enthusiast
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44295 Posts
June 16 2017 17:06 GMT
#7211
Disclaimer: I know nothing beyond the fact that it was the middle of the night on a weeknight and the fire started near the bottom in a building where hundreds lived.

100+ seems totally plausible. Someone has to know something more than we've been told. Even if they haven't found all the bodies they must surely know how many residents have been reported missing. Major unrest is unlikely though.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Reaps
Profile Joined June 2012
United Kingdom1280 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-16 17:11:09
June 16 2017 17:08 GMT
#7212
On June 17 2017 02:03 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
So Lily Allen (yeah I know... the singer, but apparently she grew up in the area and still lives close to the tower and watched it burn and has been part of the community effort for 3 days now) is raising hell on twitter about why there is still no higher death count reported, saying they are trying slowly build up the real numbers because they are too horrific too release at once as it would spark huge outrage. Local rumors are 100+ it seems.

Do you think this could be true? I mean by now they should know have indexed who of the tenants hasn't reported in yet and have a pretty good view of who is not there right? Yes remains will be very hard to identify which is the reasoning the officials are using for not increasing the numbers stated but anyone who is still missing should pretty much be assumed dead by now. Do you think this could spark a major unrest if it's really so many dead? Feels like there is lots of slumbering anger.



She got axed from newsnight for saying the death count is closer to 150.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
June 16 2017 17:15 GMT
#7213
I believe there is a general reluctance to speculate about how many are dead in any disaster. I don't think it is anything sinister, just that the people on the scene want accurate information. But I understand the thought process that it might be something sinister.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-16 19:06:48
June 16 2017 18:39 GMT
#7214
I don't understand why the media is going after the contractors. If they operated to within building regulations, then it is the building regulations at fault. If the council and their managing company decided to not install fire sprinklers and fire exits, then it is hardly the contracting company's fault that none were installed. Still though, the estimates of fire sprinkler are something like £120 000 for the entire block, when the cladding costed £2.6m, really makes you wonder.

I can understand the reluctance to place numbers, but still there is a massive difference between officially 17 and over 100 dead. It does seem true that the council just seems to reek of disdain to the people it is has a duty of care towards.
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9999 Posts
June 16 2017 19:17 GMT
#7215
On June 17 2017 03:39 Dangermousecatdog wrote:
I don't understand why the media is going after the contractors. If they operated to within building regulations, then it is the building regulations at fault. If the council and their managing company decided to not install fire sprinklers and fire exits, then it is hardly the contracting company's fault that none were installed. Still though, the estimates of fire sprinkler are something like £120 000 for the entire block, when the cladding costed £2.6m, really makes you wonder.


Robert Peston's facebook post regarding this is quote insightful:
https://www.facebook.com/pestonitv/posts/1866052683719468
One reason why the Grenfell tragedy has shaken so many of us is because it exposes so much of what's wrong with the way this place has been run for years.
We'll have to wait for a forensic examination of all the many decisions that turned a series of risks into an appalling catastrophe.
But although the trigger may still be unclear, it is reasonable to identify a number of underlying causes.
Part of the background is austerity that has been particularly acute for local government.
But austerity seems to have become particularly toxic in a system where responsibility for vital safety decisions is so diffuse: we have ministers in charge of regulations, councillors funding an arms length management company, and a management company placing a refurbishment contract with the cheapest bidder.
There is naturally huge anger that the government didn't ban the kind of cladding used at Grenfell, when such cladding is illegal for use on high rise structures in the US (as the Times reports today).
Similarly there is horror that the government never made it obligatory for the fire safety standards that apply to new buildings to be enforced at older blocks - that such improvements are only recommended, not obligatory.
But such lax or light touch regulation only becomes fatal in a system - such as we have - designed to drive down costs and save money, not to put the safety of people first.
It is a system in which those working for all the interconnected bodies that made the refurbishment decisions and gave the wrong safety advice to tenants are able to say - as if that makes it alright - "we followed the rules".
It is a system in which identifying anyone who can be proved to be ultimately responsible for what happened may be impossible.
And as we saw in the banks before the financial crisis, when people can take reckless decisions safe in the knowledge they can't be held to account, reckless decisions get taken.
The horrific corollary of a faceless, irresponsible system of public-housing governance is that many of the poor and vulnerable people who died in the fire are not even being given the respect of formal identification as victims - because they live on the fringes of the state, and the authorities seem unable to be confident they even existed, let alone that they have died.
There is a social contract between those of us lucky enough to have voices that are heard and those who don't that we should not put them in harms way. Grenfell seems the most grotesque breach of that contract in my lifetime. It shames us all.
RIP Meatloaf <3
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24354 Posts
June 17 2017 08:19 GMT
#7216
I'm so envious you guys have Corbyn...

"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
MoonfireSpam
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom1153 Posts
June 17 2017 10:17 GMT
#7217
The stuff around contractors and building regs is just the end product of politics and management practice all over the public sector (maybe its just how business works in general, I don't know). Cut cut cut, until someone disasterous happens, no single person is actually accountable because everyone collectively caused harm.

Other spin for the Corbyn thing is "only 28%" oppose his idea.
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-17 10:39:48
June 17 2017 10:39 GMT
#7218
On June 17 2017 19:17 MoonfireSpam wrote:
The stuff around contractors and building regs is just the end product of politics and management practice all over the public sector (maybe its just how business works in general, I don't know). Cut cut cut, until someone disasterous happens, no single person is actually accountable because everyone collectively caused harm.

Other spin for the Corbyn thing is "only 28%" oppose his idea.

We also learn that 13% of the population is fairly cold-hearted lol
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6322 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-17 11:16:42
June 17 2017 11:16 GMT
#7219
Because they're not for requisitioning buildings? There are more ways to help these people...
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18869 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-17 11:24:31
June 17 2017 11:20 GMT
#7220
The primacy of property rights, particularly in a country like the UK, will go on to be one of the truly difficult to solve problems moving forward. Frankly, Corbyn's view as represented in that poll would only require a few minor waste doctrine tweaks in order to be a legally cognizable basis for useful seizure of real property. Wealthy people sitting on unused land should not necessarily have a first-in-line right to use of that land in all circumstances.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
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