Would he be a good lynch for d3 or d4 ?
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Djodref
France3332 Posts
Would he be a good lynch for d3 or d4 ? | ||
Djodref
France3332 Posts
On November 16 2012 18:49 Clarity_nl wrote: I have issues, okay? I think I misunderstood this post. You didnt mean reading issues right ? | ||
Clarity_nl
Netherlands6826 Posts
I would reconsider a BH lynch D3, yes. | ||
Clarity_nl
Netherlands6826 Posts
First thing to look at is his "unintentional VT claim". On November 13 2012 10:02 strongandbig wrote: also fuck you zboson i wanted to fakeclaim miller as vt since then people couldn't say "oh he's fakeclaiming miller must mean he's scum" when i fakeclaim miller as scum but now if i did that people would be like "two millers what are the odds" and then probably lynch you so no good on that one People claim this post come across as natural, but going through the thinking process of it, I disagree. As town: Okay, so someone claimed miller when I wanted to, so I'll just make a little joke about it and move on. "Haha you guys, I was gonna totally fakeclaim miller that game!" Then you re-read your post.... wait a minute, don't I look scummy like this? I guess I better change that to "fakeclaim miller as vt" Okay, so far it makes sense, but here's my problem. In this scenario he added the vt on purpose, but later on he claims it was an accident. On November 13 2012 10:49 strongandbig wrote: lol On November 13 2012 10:52 strongandbig wrote: okay so that "lol" was when I was reading the thread and ppl were like "omg vote him he claimed vt" and then I was like, wtf are they talking about when did I claim vt? and then I was like, "oh." yeah so, oops? On November 13 2012 10:53 strongandbig wrote: well, I guess I did, but it wasn't on purpose As scum: Scum love implying they are town, as mentioned, and that's exactly what this post does. I do not see a way for this action to be town motivated, so it is scum motivated. Or SK, I guess. As for the rest of day one, just look at his filter. The first two pages are him trying to be funny, trying to be trolly and the closest he comes to playing mafia is calling things stupid/smart/wrong/right. No actual analysis, nothing that helps town. On November 14 2012 03:56 strongandbig wrote: this is much more like what i expect out of hapahauli, i guess it just took a little while for him to get into character. that said his case is pretty bad for reasons i explained above Wait, what reasons? Seriously I looked real hard to find them and couldn't. At this point of the game Strongandbig has succeeded in making us zone him out. We read his posts, but we don't really take them in. We don't care, he's that guy that did that stupid thing but it's not really scummy, right? On November 14 2012 04:02 strongandbig wrote: you're misinterpreting it, i think he's saying you're setting up to start a wagon without looking bad later because you started a wagon on a townie. this is true. not sure being hypocritical is a scum tell coming from bh. probably is but only a small one? agree so this is true but you and iamp have a very different character as players i haven't decided whether I agree with this or not. idk overall i feel kind of suspicious of bh right now, but it isn't because he's being 'hypocritical', it's just because his play this game has a different feel to it than last time - like, last time he was making a bajillion cases and yelling at everyone and it was pretty obvy he was town. that said, i was scum last time and knew he was town, so maybe it felt different to me. More noise. This is true, this is true, this might be true, I disagree with this. Overall null tell. This is posting for the sake of posting if I've ever seen it. Who posts for the sake of posting? Scum, because they know everyone is town so it's hard to make cases, so anything they can get away with that won't be noticed is great for them. On November 14 2012 22:43 strongandbig wrote: I can get behind this part (bolding by me) man though when will people start to realize - "you were inconsistent" is not sufficient to establish that someone is scum. You either have to show that their inconsistency has a scum motivation or you have to show that from a particular player, being inconsistent is a scum tell based on their meta. Townies change their mind too! Just saying "scum like to be inconsistent" is not sufficient! Scum motivations for being inconsistent are things like (-) going along with whatever the thread sentiment is at the time (-) buddying whoever has thread control (-) appearing to contribute without having to take strong positions (-) switching off of scum buddies or onto strong townies when a bandwagon goes further than they expected You can't just say "lol an inconsistency! Scum!" You have to do quite a bit more work than that. this is better - at least it's actually a real argument for him being scum. It's fundamentally a meta case, and therefore it would be better with quotes from other games by darthpunk or at least a guide for what other people should look for in his filter in specific games of his, but darthpunk is usually kind of a character so the case is easier to make here. Bolding by me - these are the central points of this case. This is #1 out of the two posts he's made all game that actually contribute, and in this case it's calling someone's case bad. Not bad as in, you're scum, just bad. The other post where he contributes is calling out hopeless on his list post, pointing out inconsistencies. Hopeless right now is confirmed to not be scum, coincidence? Maybe. Association with Cross None, nada, zilch. Normally I'd call this a big tell but strongandbig hasn't had interactions with a lot of people this game. Nothing to be seen here I guess. Assocation with Hapa His posts pertaining hapa: nothing interesting, really. He calls Hapa off his game at one point, and he calls his case bad without explanation. + Show Spoiler + On November 14 2012 03:56 strongandbig wrote: this is much more like what i expect out of hapahauli, i guess it just took a little while for him to get into character. that said his case is pretty bad for reasons i explained above On November 14 2012 22:39 strongandbig wrote: lol hapa this post almost persuaded me to vote for BH On November 15 2012 08:21 strongandbig wrote: this is true like all that stuff about "not voting your top scumread" that's only important when votes actually matter, i don't get this obsession people have with who voted who for what reason during the first six hours of the day The only post that stood out to me was this: On November 15 2012 11:22 strongandbig wrote: man i wish i was here instead of playing dota that last minute vote switch was one for the ages Explaining where he was, and how awesome the voteswitch was. I would say this post is a null tell, if not for the fact that not once before has strongandbig explained where he was, but suddenly he needs an excuse? Why on earth is a townie playing dota at lynchtime, rather than f5ing the shit out of this thread like the rest of us? He wasn't "playing dota", he was here like the rest of us but didn't know what to say, his scumbuddy hapa was getting screwed over by impulse, best pretend to not be here! Not only is this a weird thing to say, he says it a full 10 minutes after he gets back, as if he realized "oh shit I gotta explain where I was" On November 15 2012 10:47 strongandbig wrote: this is stupid dont be voting dp ##unvote ##vote: zboson On November 15 2012 11:12 strongandbig wrote: lol lol You were playing dota for 20-25 minutes? Possible, I guess. Unlikely. Even if you were it shows a lack of caring what's going to happen at lynchtime. At the time it was Zbo or Darth, and strongandbig knows they're both town and he's safe, so time to go do something else! I don't know about you guys, but if I'm around as lynchtime and I'm town, I'm on the edge of my seat, spamming f5, waiting for the nightpost to go up. My final point is his last post, at time of writing: On November 16 2012 12:06 strongandbig wrote: Okay lol this is stupid meh, marv is gone so I guess I'll actually have to try tomorrow .... T_T Oh well, see y'all then. Oh and if anyone has a case other than "he's been trolling" pls post it so I can respond to it. If you're gonna lynch me for docking around day 1 then fine do it, cause I dicked around day 1. It was fun. Claiming he wasn't trying at all, but now he will!!! What made him so motivated to try, all of a sudden? The fact that marv died so town needs a leader? No. It's marv's post before getting nightkilled, where he says if cross flips red, strongandbig should be lynched next. Inaction until the spotlight is on you, is scummy. Strongandbig is scum. Lynch him today. | ||
Djodref
France3332 Posts
On November 16 2012 13:05 Z-BosoN wrote: Djodref, I want to hear your every thought. First off, why are you voting bh? I´m not sure about your reasoning. Do you agree with my post on the likelihood of scum being on my wagon? What do you make of that assessment? Also, besides blazinghand, who else would you say is scum, and why? Ok, I think it is a good time now to share my thoughts. Regarding my BH vote, I think that it is important for everyone to realize that it is possible for him to be scum. I don't want people to discard a BH lynch because his jailkeeper claim is undisputed and because he lynched Hapahauli. At least, I want him to be considered as a lynch candidate, hence my vote. Now I understand that it's unlikely that we lynch BH today but I'll keep on promoting his lynch. We have already 2 confirmed scum on your wagon when you have 8 votes 5 minutes before lynch time. If they wanted to push a mislynch on you, there was no need of a third scum. It's true that nobody switched back to you when people started to vote Hapa but some people were not present and/or not able to react in time. Regarding the players on the Hapa wagon, I don't see why they should be automatically town as BH and debears seem to think. Hapa lynch was unlikely to happen when you look at the situation 5 minutes before the lynch and it could have been a smart for a scum player move to jump on the Hapa wagon at this point (because I think that Z-bo would have flipped town) and to cast a distance vote on Bowser, if you were thinking that this wagon was going to fail anyway (as it should have been, imho). Now here are my thoughts on the remaining players Blazinghands Top Scumread I want the town to consider at least as a lynch candidate for today. S&B Scumread Given his D1/N1 play, I'm not opposed to a S&B lynch right now, even if he has not my preference. Nevertheless, I didn't have time to look really carefully at his filter nor the cases against him and that's the first thing I'm going to do after I finish this post. I think I'm going to have a lot of opportunities to discuss his case today and to reevaluate my read on him. DarthPunk Townread, not planning to spend some time on him today
Clarity Back to null read, need to look at him closely today I like Clarity posts and case so far but I've also noticed that he was against a Crossfire lynch after Crossfire case against BH and he tried to convince people not to swicth their votes at the last minute. Hopeless Confirmed town Confirmed vig at 95%, I'll reconsider if he survives until a LYLO situation or if we have a SK kill. Iamp Null read, need to evaluate him I didn't take the time to look at iamp yet. Nothing stroke me in his posts when I was out of the game but I'm not considering this as a good sign. I need to look at his filter today. Kickstart Town read, not planning to spend some time on him today Newbie town read on Kickstart so far. I've been quite good at these kind of reads so far so I'm not planning to spend some time on him yet. Z-Bo Top Townread, not planning to spend some time on him today
debears Slight Townread, need to reevaluate I globally liked debears participation and contribution when I was reading the game (i.e not playing). Nevertheless, I don't like how he states that all the players on the Hapa wagon are town. I don't like how he defends BH neither. Need to re-evaluate. | ||
Clarity_nl
Netherlands6826 Posts
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Clarity_nl
Netherlands6826 Posts
You don't get a town read off of iamp? | ||
Djodref
France3332 Posts
This is your second game right ? So we just have your previous scum game for comparisons I had a slight town read on you because you don't have the same behavior than last game, I've mentioned it in this post + Show Spoiler + On November 16 2012 13:20 Djodref wrote: Let me start with some quick post about my town reads. Hopeless is as close as possible to be a confirmed vig. I have played with him in Looney and I don't feel him being very different from the town Hopeless I know. His breadcrumbs make sense and I don't see the SK wanting to shot one more scummy player after bowser lynch on D1. Town reads on zbo and DP confirmed by the fact that they were likely to be mislynches pushed by the mafia. Slight town reads on Clarity and debears because I know them both quite well and I didn't get bad vibes from their posts so far. Newbie town read on Kickstart. I didn’t look into his filter much because. So I usually get good reads on newbies I was reading the thread before replacing but not following it very closely. I need more time to check iamp and you... | ||
debears
United States2516 Posts
On November 16 2012 18:09 Djodref wrote: I don't think it is as unlikely as it seems. I have good arguments to support this but I'm phone posting from my car so I'm not in the best position to explain them in details but here are a few hints. First things first, BH play is not town-like. Could we at least agree on this one ? Secondly, when you look at C9++, from which the setup of our game is derived from, the roles of the mafia team are given after that the roles for the town are decided. So the mafia team have more info than us about the roles. My point is that for a goon, goon, GF scumteam, it is not so risky for a troll goon to claim JK, as it is less likely to have a real JK. Thirdly, voting against Hapa could have been a soft bus vote rather than a real bus vote because a Hapa lynch was unlikely to happen. Nobody could have foresaw it, especially with the Kickstart switch coming from nowhere. Does the type of roles on one side affect the roles on the other side in this setup type? Or are they independent of each other? | ||
Clarity_nl
Netherlands6826 Posts
This game uses a semi-open modified C9++ setup. Namely, there are no Innocent Children (Changed to millers), docs are changed to jailkeepers (because I think they are more interesting mechanics wise), nor are there single shot cops/Jailers/roleblockers, and any vigis are single shot variety. No role is guaranteed, and the presence of one role doesn't guarantee or preclude the existance of any other. The way I read that is no. | ||
debears
United States2516 Posts
On November 16 2012 18:17 Djodref wrote: It pisses me off that you don't want to consider a BH lynch given his prestation for all D1/N1. I understand that it is not likely for him to be scum given the circumstances but I think that he has taken advantge of it to auto proclaim himself ”confirmed town” when his play shows the opposite. I don't like this at all and I'm not dropping this case until people start to realize that he is likely to be a goon after all. It's still early D2 so I'll get some time to consider other players so please don't try to shush by stating that a BH lynch is not going to happen. Are you sure you aren't scum? | ||
debears
United States2516 Posts
nj clarity | ||
debears
United States2516 Posts
On November 16 2012 19:18 Djodref wrote: But would yOu agree thatwe have to lynch him sooner or later? Would he be a good lynch for d3 or d4 ? Wow are you setting up for future lynches? Holy shit we can catch the last scum and end it today, unless you are the SK trying get rid of the jk | ||
iamperfection
United States9635 Posts
On November 16 2012 19:18 Djodref wrote: But would yOu agree thatwe have to lynch him sooner or later? Would he be a good lynch for d3 or d4 ? no | ||
Clarity_nl
Netherlands6826 Posts
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iamperfection
United States9635 Posts
On November 16 2012 22:59 debears wrote: Does the type of roles on one side affect the roles on the other side in this setup type? Or are they independent of each other? They do wish marv was still here hes good at that stuff ill see what i can dig up. | ||
iamperfection
United States9635 Posts
for reference by the way if anyone wants to figure stuff out with me. I think keri changes some things around though. | ||
debears
United States2516 Posts
On November 16 2012 23:09 iamperfection wrote: They do wish marv was still here hes good at that stuff ill see what i can dig up. Yeah inexperience is a bitch. @Clarity You forgot to add the part where SnB goes around screaming "kenpachi rule" for most of d1. And the fact that he hasn't shown up for night or today | ||
Clarity_nl
Netherlands6826 Posts
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debears
United States2516 Posts
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