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Pinnacle voids ByuL vs MarineKing Match - Page 51

Forum Index > SC2 General
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inermis
Profile Joined September 2010
353 Posts
March 27 2015 09:23 GMT
#1001
no match fixing here guys, i miss things on the mini map like 90% of my bronze games, and yes if u miss it you lose, so MK lost, he had no glasses, it might be the reason
play hard go pro
Deleted User 26513
Profile Joined February 2007
2376 Posts
March 27 2015 09:25 GMT
#1002
On March 27 2015 18:23 maGicc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 27 2015 17:00 Pr0wler wrote:
Thank God, the justice system doesn't work like that. A couple of "relevant" people think that the match is fixed, so it has to be fixed... No other explanation exist. Case closed.



Thank god noone really cares that people like you declare the case "closed"

Oh, I did ? Thank God you told me. I didn't realize it.
Penev
Profile Joined October 2012
28475 Posts
March 27 2015 09:27 GMT
#1003
People, remember:
As usual: Post with respect. Don't bash other posters.
I Protoss winner, could it be?
bypLy
Profile Joined June 2013
757 Posts
March 27 2015 09:49 GMT
#1004
any news from the korean scene on this?
Penev
Profile Joined October 2012
28475 Posts
March 27 2015 09:50 GMT
#1005
On March 27 2015 18:49 bypLy wrote:
any news from the korean scene on this?

None
I Protoss winner, could it be?
showstealer1829
Profile Blog Joined May 2014
Australia3123 Posts
March 27 2015 10:09 GMT
#1006
On March 27 2015 18:23 maGicc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 27 2015 17:00 Pr0wler wrote:
Thank God, the justice system doesn't work like that. A couple of "relevant" people think that the match is fixed, so it has to be fixed... No other explanation exist. Case closed.



At this point noone is capable of providing the reasonable counter explanation that would stand any sort of rational analysis.


[image loading]



User was warned for this post
There is no understanding. There is only Choya. Choya is the way. Choya is Love. Choya is Life. Has is the Light in the Protoss Dark and Nightmare is his chosen Acolyte
sixfour
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
England11061 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-03-27 11:09:13
March 27 2015 11:08 GMT
#1007
On March 27 2015 05:35 Doodsmack wrote:
If sports betting were to go away, the world would be a better place.


If sports betting goes away, it just goes to illicit channels and we never have this topic in the first place, and the match fixing goes on regardless. If anything, sports betting needs legalising and regulating in more places (looking at America as well as Korea, if anything their stance is even more ridiculous) which'll give more security to everybody.

It wouldn't surprise me if Kespa's not actually co-operating with this in the hopes that Pinnacle moves out of the SC2 market because fixing is endemic, and then without the blatant evidence from line shifts, it can just be ignored in the future. Much easier to brush things under the carpet than actually clean it up.

edit - adjusting the prizepools for individual leagues so that lower players can actually get decent money might help a lot here
p: stats, horang2, free, jangbi z: soulkey, zero, shine, hydra t: leta, hiya, sea
maGicc
Profile Joined March 2015
Finland134 Posts
March 27 2015 11:12 GMT
#1008
On March 27 2015 18:50 Penev wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 27 2015 18:49 bypLy wrote:
any news from the korean scene on this?

None



I was really interested when Wolf promised to translate some korean comments. But its understanable that there is a chance he would never get to it since he is probably super busy atm.
Penev
Profile Joined October 2012
28475 Posts
March 27 2015 11:30 GMT
#1009
On March 27 2015 20:12 maGicc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 27 2015 18:50 Penev wrote:
On March 27 2015 18:49 bypLy wrote:
any news from the korean scene on this?

None



I was really interested when Wolf promised to translate some korean comments. But its understanable that there is a chance he would never get to it since he is probably super busy atm.

Yeah, I would like to hear from TL though, if they contacted KeSPA for this particular match (I know Lichter did for the other voided matches).
I Protoss winner, could it be?
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
March 27 2015 11:36 GMT
#1010
On March 27 2015 20:08 sixfour wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 27 2015 05:35 Doodsmack wrote:
If sports betting were to go away, the world would be a better place.


edit - adjusting the prizepools for individual leagues so that lower players can actually get decent money might help a lot here

I think that the issue is way more with salaries than with prize pool, no? I'm not sure that the ex-eSF teams pay salaries apart from Prime (and I doubt that Prime's salaries are very high compared to KT/SKT/JAGW/Khan/CJ)
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
TheSayo182
Profile Joined September 2012
Italy243 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-03-27 11:47:51
March 27 2015 11:47 GMT
#1011
On March 27 2015 20:36 OtherWorld wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 27 2015 20:08 sixfour wrote:
On March 27 2015 05:35 Doodsmack wrote:
If sports betting were to go away, the world would be a better place.


edit - adjusting the prizepools for individual leagues so that lower players can actually get decent money might help a lot here

I think that the issue is way more with salaries than with prize pool, no? I'm not sure that the ex-eSF teams pay salaries apart from Prime (and I doubt that Prime's salaries are very high compared to KT/SKT/JAGW/Khan/CJ)


i think we have a point here, moreover how those ex eSF teams kept themselves alive with barely any sponsor?

team mvp probably took big money from selling their LoL team, but the other two?

not an accusation just a reflection
"Remember: Probes & Pylons and when behind Dark Shrine!"
sixfour
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
England11061 Posts
March 27 2015 13:00 GMT
#1012
On March 27 2015 20:36 OtherWorld wrote:

I think that the issue is way more with salaries than with prize pool, no? I'm not sure that the ex-eSF teams pay salaries apart from Prime (and I doubt that Prime's salaries are very high compared to KT/SKT/JAGW/Khan/CJ)


This is possibly also a significant factor, and I don't know the internal working of progaming teams in terms of salaries or if individual prize money is distributed within the team at all, but just look at the upcoming code A - drop out of it and you win all of ₩400k, good luck, see you in four months. Win through that and you double your money - you don't even break $1k unless you make the top 16. At least now there's the SSL to give another way to make cash, but they only pay the top 16, people not making the top 8 didn't make a grand, and over half the total prize pool went to Maru.

If your sport is designed as such whereby such a huge proportion of prize money going into the system is going to a small amount of players, and salaries are low if they exist at all, then you really shouldn't be surprised that players either quit, move to easier markets, or be tempted to obtain money through other methods.
p: stats, horang2, free, jangbi z: soulkey, zero, shine, hydra t: leta, hiya, sea
NEEDZMOAR
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Sweden1277 Posts
March 27 2015 13:34 GMT
#1013
On March 27 2015 03:11 Grizvok wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 27 2015 03:07 Big J wrote:
On March 27 2015 02:58 BronzeKnee wrote:
On March 27 2015 02:48 Big J wrote:

And now Flash says he lost to the build today because he didn't have it on the radar. Even after all the scandal around it he didn't know...
Like others have already said, the game looks fishy in the context of the betting. But some of the conclusions drawn can have very simple other explanations.


So you can explain it with a simpler explanation than it was match fixing?

That was the whole point I was making earlier. We all have the information from the OP and the no one has any advantage in predictive power, so the explanation that makes the least assumptions (relies the most on the facts) is that the match was fixed.

Otherwise you go into crazy stories (assuming) and reasoning about why MK did what he did, and why the betting lines were such.

And you can't separate the betting lines from what happened, which is what you've been trying to do in this thread. They both happened and are correlated, you're taking the situation out of context when you separate them.

So please, where is that simple explanation for everything that happened?

Given the ratio of fixed matches to badly played matches, badly played is the simplest explanation.
With the betting stuff it may be not, but you know, if you dont have enough information it is often better to not decide upon what you want to believe until you know more.


Oh come on. You can't call this a "badly played match". This transcends that to an absurd degree.


are you kidding me? Do you even watch sc2? Do you know how many times pro players have fucked up beyond any reason? a lot of times. Just take Flash's game on Deadwing vs sOs, He threw it so hard that the only explanation for his actions wouldve been a) matchfixing or b) brainfart.

and for all you "I dont know how to read between the lines"-guys out there, no im not saying that Flash matchfixed, im saying that brainfarts happen, even to pro players, especially to emotional ones.
Penev
Profile Joined October 2012
28475 Posts
March 27 2015 13:43 GMT
#1014
On March 27 2015 22:34 NEEDZMOAR wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 27 2015 03:11 Grizvok wrote:
On March 27 2015 03:07 Big J wrote:
On March 27 2015 02:58 BronzeKnee wrote:
On March 27 2015 02:48 Big J wrote:

And now Flash says he lost to the build today because he didn't have it on the radar. Even after all the scandal around it he didn't know...
Like others have already said, the game looks fishy in the context of the betting. But some of the conclusions drawn can have very simple other explanations.


So you can explain it with a simpler explanation than it was match fixing?

That was the whole point I was making earlier. We all have the information from the OP and the no one has any advantage in predictive power, so the explanation that makes the least assumptions (relies the most on the facts) is that the match was fixed.

Otherwise you go into crazy stories (assuming) and reasoning about why MK did what he did, and why the betting lines were such.

And you can't separate the betting lines from what happened, which is what you've been trying to do in this thread. They both happened and are correlated, you're taking the situation out of context when you separate them.

So please, where is that simple explanation for everything that happened?

Given the ratio of fixed matches to badly played matches, badly played is the simplest explanation.
With the betting stuff it may be not, but you know, if you dont have enough information it is often better to not decide upon what you want to believe until you know more.


Oh come on. You can't call this a "badly played match". This transcends that to an absurd degree.


are you kidding me? Do you even watch sc2? Do you know how many times pro players have fucked up beyond any reason? a lot of times. Just take Flash's game on Deadwing vs sOs, He threw it so hard that the only explanation for his actions wouldve been a) matchfixing or b) brainfart.

and for all you "I dont know how to read between the lines"-guys out there, no im not saying that Flash matchfixed, im saying that brainfarts happen, even to pro players, especially to emotional ones.

He scouted a Zerg with no natural and late pool and reacted the way he did (on top of the spine wihin vision etc).. Dude, that's really too much. Not that it matters considering we should assume people knew he was going too lose.. Face it, it's highly unlikely he didn't match fix :/
I Protoss winner, could it be?
sc2_FeaR
Profile Joined March 2015
Canada48 Posts
March 27 2015 13:54 GMT
#1015
Has anyone said anything about this yet besides MarineKing's absolutely ridiculous facebook post? MVP? Kespa?
Penev
Profile Joined October 2012
28475 Posts
March 27 2015 13:54 GMT
#1016
On March 27 2015 22:54 sc2_FeaR wrote:
Has anyone said anything about this yet besides MarineKing's absolutely ridiculous facebook post? MVP? Kespa?

Nope
I Protoss winner, could it be?
Grizvok
Profile Joined August 2014
United States711 Posts
March 27 2015 14:23 GMT
#1017
On March 27 2015 22:34 NEEDZMOAR wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 27 2015 03:11 Grizvok wrote:
On March 27 2015 03:07 Big J wrote:
On March 27 2015 02:58 BronzeKnee wrote:
On March 27 2015 02:48 Big J wrote:

And now Flash says he lost to the build today because he didn't have it on the radar. Even after all the scandal around it he didn't know...
Like others have already said, the game looks fishy in the context of the betting. But some of the conclusions drawn can have very simple other explanations.


So you can explain it with a simpler explanation than it was match fixing?

That was the whole point I was making earlier. We all have the information from the OP and the no one has any advantage in predictive power, so the explanation that makes the least assumptions (relies the most on the facts) is that the match was fixed.

Otherwise you go into crazy stories (assuming) and reasoning about why MK did what he did, and why the betting lines were such.

And you can't separate the betting lines from what happened, which is what you've been trying to do in this thread. They both happened and are correlated, you're taking the situation out of context when you separate them.

So please, where is that simple explanation for everything that happened?

Given the ratio of fixed matches to badly played matches, badly played is the simplest explanation.
With the betting stuff it may be not, but you know, if you dont have enough information it is often better to not decide upon what you want to believe until you know more.


Oh come on. You can't call this a "badly played match". This transcends that to an absurd degree.


are you kidding me? Do you even watch sc2? Do you know how many times pro players have fucked up beyond any reason? a lot of times. Just take Flash's game on Deadwing vs sOs, He threw it so hard that the only explanation for his actions wouldve been a) matchfixing or b) brainfart.

and for all you "I dont know how to read between the lines"-guys out there, no im not saying that Flash matchfixed, im saying that brainfarts happen, even to pro players, especially to emotional ones.


You are an idiot comparing this match to really any game out there. If you can't see the difference than I'm sorry.
TronJovolta
Profile Joined April 2013
United States323 Posts
March 27 2015 14:34 GMT
#1018
On March 27 2015 23:23 Grizvok wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 27 2015 22:34 NEEDZMOAR wrote:
On March 27 2015 03:11 Grizvok wrote:
On March 27 2015 03:07 Big J wrote:
On March 27 2015 02:58 BronzeKnee wrote:
On March 27 2015 02:48 Big J wrote:

And now Flash says he lost to the build today because he didn't have it on the radar. Even after all the scandal around it he didn't know...
Like others have already said, the game looks fishy in the context of the betting. But some of the conclusions drawn can have very simple other explanations.


So you can explain it with a simpler explanation than it was match fixing?

That was the whole point I was making earlier. We all have the information from the OP and the no one has any advantage in predictive power, so the explanation that makes the least assumptions (relies the most on the facts) is that the match was fixed.

Otherwise you go into crazy stories (assuming) and reasoning about why MK did what he did, and why the betting lines were such.

And you can't separate the betting lines from what happened, which is what you've been trying to do in this thread. They both happened and are correlated, you're taking the situation out of context when you separate them.

So please, where is that simple explanation for everything that happened?

Given the ratio of fixed matches to badly played matches, badly played is the simplest explanation.
With the betting stuff it may be not, but you know, if you dont have enough information it is often better to not decide upon what you want to believe until you know more.


Oh come on. You can't call this a "badly played match". This transcends that to an absurd degree.


are you kidding me? Do you even watch sc2? Do you know how many times pro players have fucked up beyond any reason? a lot of times. Just take Flash's game on Deadwing vs sOs, He threw it so hard that the only explanation for his actions wouldve been a) matchfixing or b) brainfart.

and for all you "I dont know how to read between the lines"-guys out there, no im not saying that Flash matchfixed, im saying that brainfarts happen, even to pro players, especially to emotional ones.


You are an idiot comparing this match to really any game out there. If you can't see the difference than I'm sorry.


lol too true. and he poses, "do you even watch sc2?". my question to this kid is do you even play sc2? any plat and above scouts what MK did and goes defensive. PERIOD.
Saechiis
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Netherlands4989 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-03-27 16:22:00
March 27 2015 16:04 GMT
#1019
On March 27 2015 18:00 Caihead wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 27 2015 16:47 Disarmed wrote:
Thanks Swoopae,

this is really insightful. I had no idea that there are times where you are sure to make a profit from betting on the less favourable player in a boX series.

but does that mean....if the odds were at 11-1 when the line was taken down, wouldnt it be more reasonable to bet on MK?

Like... shouldnt there logically be a massive counter-trend to bet on Mk as soon as the odds become that absurd? (aka as soon as there were the huge amounts dumped on Byul?)

Shouldnt everybody immediately jump on MK? (nvm if its match fixed or not)


That's why the line movement is so absurd, because it is being moved that far despite people who should normally behave by putting money on MK.


These huge sums of money were last minute right?

Anyways, despite how ridiculous it sounds Kespa might just try and ignore this. The SC2 scene has never been widely supported in Korea. Acknowledgement of a match fixing scandal would likely dissipate the little support the game still has. It is unlikely Proleague would survive, putting all the teams' players and staff out of a job, not to mention void the sponsor deals that were pretty difficult to come by in the first place. Kespa has the responsibility to keep their leagues clean, but they also have the responsibility to protect their teams and employees.

I feel the need to protect the SC2 scene overrules the cleanliness of the scene at this point, at least until LotV arrives and SC2 can get some new traction. I predict they'll let this blow over and come with a statement when things have a better chance of stabilising (aka not exploding).
I think esports is pretty nice.
pretender58
Profile Joined August 2013
Germany713 Posts
March 27 2015 16:12 GMT
#1020
On March 28 2015 01:04 Saechiis wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 27 2015 18:00 Caihead wrote:
On March 27 2015 16:47 Disarmed wrote:
Thanks Swoopae,

this is really insightful. I had no idea that there are times where you are sure to make a profit from betting on the less favourable player in a boX series.

but does that mean....if the odds were at 11-1 when the line was taken down, wouldnt it be more reasonable to bet on MK?

Like... shouldnt there logically be a massive counter-trend to bet on Mk as soon as the odds become that absurd? (aka as soon as there were the huge amounts dumped on Byul?)

Shouldnt everybody immediately jump on MK? (nvm if its match fixed or not)


That's why the line movement is so absurd, because it is being moved that far despite people who should normally behave by putting money on MK.


These huge sums of money were last minute right?

Yes.
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