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WCS Predictor 2015 - Page 44

Forum Index > SC2 General
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Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17738 Posts
September 16 2015 02:37 GMT
#861
WCS Predictor 2015
GSL Code S Season 3 Quarterfinals Day 1


kr Classic vs kr Dear in
in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals.
Dear must win this match!
Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.68% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Dear is at 8.52% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.32% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.63%, or 0% if they lose.

kr GuMiho vs kr ByuL in
in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals.
GuMiho must win this match!
ByuL has the #2 Headband.
GuMiho is at 10.59% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.87% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.32%, or 0.34% if they lose.
ByuL is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.13% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [GSL Quarterfinals Day 2] +

kr Rogue vs kr Maru in
in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals.
Maru has the #4 Headband.
Rogue is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.04% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.94% if they lose.
Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.96% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

kr INnoVation vs kr Zest in
in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals.
Zest has the #3 Headband.
INnoVation is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.79% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Zest is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.21% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [GSL Winning Chances] +

GuMiho and Dear must win this tournament!
kr INnoVation has a 24.68% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Classic has a 14.33% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Maru has a 13.87% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Zest has a 10.29% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr ByuL has a 10.23% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr GuMiho has a 9.68% chance to win
----going from 10.59% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.01% if they don't.
kr Rogue has a 8.84% chance to win
----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't.
kr Dear has a 8.08% chance to win
----going from 8.52% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 0.49% if they don't.

+ Show Spoiler [GSL Placements Table] +
[image loading]

"Expert" mods4ever.com
ShambhalaWar
Profile Joined August 2013
United States930 Posts
September 16 2015 03:19 GMT
#862
if lilbow doesn't to the globals they are ded to me
RiZu
Profile Joined February 2012
Singapore5715 Posts
September 16 2015 10:51 GMT
#863
Lilbrow should go DH just to spice things up and get just a little bit of points lol but I highly doubt he get overtake at this point.
chipmonklord17
Profile Joined February 2011
United States11944 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-09-16 16:27:14
September 16 2015 16:26 GMT
#864
On September 16 2015 19:51 RiZu wrote:
Lilbrow should go DH just to spice things up and get just a little bit of points lol but I highly doubt he get overtake at this point.


I'm pretty sure Gumiho losing locked in his spot. Assuming this DH gives the same 750 points for the winner that leaves dark fantasy sos and rogue as players who could pass him with a DH win. Dear winning the GSL wouldn't overtake him in points, both SSL guys are already locked in. If Rogue wins the GSL he'd pass him but I'm pretty sure that with just DH left sOs fantasy AND dark can't all pass him

EDIT: I'm pretty sure the only situation that would have knocked him out involves a Gumiho/Rogue GSL final with gumi winning and a DH final with Fanta and dark
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17738 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-09-16 16:33:28
September 16 2015 16:32 GMT
#865
On September 17 2015 01:26 chipmonklord17 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 16 2015 19:51 RiZu wrote:
Lilbrow should go DH just to spice things up and get just a little bit of points lol but I highly doubt he get overtake at this point.


I'm pretty sure Gumiho losing locked in his spot. Assuming this DH gives the same 750 points for the winner that leaves dark fantasy sos and rogue as players who could pass him with a DH win. Dear winning the GSL wouldn't overtake him in points, both SSL guys are already locked in. If Rogue wins the GSL he'd pass him but I'm pretty sure that with just DH left sOs fantasy AND dark can't all pass him

EDIT: I'm pretty sure the only situation that would have knocked him out involves a Gumiho/Rogue GSL final with gumi winning and a DH final with Fanta and dark


5. EITHER: Gumiho wins GSL which would put him tied with Lilbow; OR Dear wins GSL AND gets at least 8th place in DreamHack Stockholm.


Which is impossible unless GSL changes their schedule. WCS Predictor currently lists Lilbow at 99.9999% (24,999,984 / 25,000,000).

---------

BTW, I started making WCS Predictor automatically make a branch for every upcoming match. This means you can easily see what the median points or WCS Wars value would be if a player wins or loses. An example of something to watch out for is that herO does not go up in value if he wins the SSL finals, because he is already favored there and there's nothing else to benefit from, with only a binary choice a median will pick the favored side. So be careful with the end of the year! Also these branches let you see how the likely seedings and first round matches will be affected.

http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=branches
"Expert" mods4ever.com
oGoZenob
Profile Joined December 2011
France1503 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-09-17 13:19:15
September 17 2015 13:17 GMT
#866
so basically lilbow not making it to blizzcon is roughly on the same probability than me winning the next lottery
I like starcraft
oGoZenob
Profile Joined December 2011
France1503 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-09-17 13:18:50
September 17 2015 13:18 GMT
#867
-double post
I like starcraft
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17738 Posts
September 17 2015 17:01 GMT
#868
On September 17 2015 22:17 oGoZenob wrote:
so basically lilbow not making it to blizzcon is roughly on the same probability than me winning the next lottery

9 in 25,000,000 maybe that's not quite as low as the lottery lol idk
"Expert" mods4ever.com
[PkF] Wire
Profile Joined March 2013
France24239 Posts
September 17 2015 17:02 GMT
#869
Lilbow confirms his Gfinity participation
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17738 Posts
September 17 2015 17:09 GMT
#870
WCS Predictor 2015
GSL Code S Season 3 Quarterfinals Day 2


kr Maru vs kr Rogue in
in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals.
Maru has the #4 Headband.
Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.93% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Rogue is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.07% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.93% if they lose.

kr INnoVation vs kr Zest in
in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals.
Zest has the #3 Headband.
INnoVation is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.8% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Zest is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.2% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [Semifinals 1] +

kr ByuL vs kr Dear in
in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals.
Dear must win this match!
ByuL has the #2 Headband.
ByuL is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.84% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Dear is at 22.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.16% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 41.58%, or 0.79% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [GSL Winning Chances] +

Dear must win this tournament!
kr INnoVation has a 24.33% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr ByuL has a 21.32% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Dear has a 20.89% chance to win
----going from 22.07% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 1.5% if they don't.
kr Maru has a 13.28% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Zest has a 10.92% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Rogue has a 9.27% chance to win
----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.96% if they don't.

+ Show Spoiler [GSL Placements Table] +
[image loading]

"Expert" mods4ever.com
oGoZenob
Profile Joined December 2011
France1503 Posts
September 18 2015 13:21 GMT
#871
On September 18 2015 02:01 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 17 2015 22:17 oGoZenob wrote:
so basically lilbow not making it to blizzcon is roughly on the same probability than me winning the next lottery

9 in 25,000,000 maybe that's not quite as low as the lottery lol idk

the same order of magnitude bro
I like starcraft
addn1s
Profile Joined July 2015
Japan39 Posts
September 18 2015 13:55 GMT
#872
this is order now http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2015_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series/Standings
addn1s
Profile Joined July 2015
Japan39 Posts
September 18 2015 13:57 GMT
#873
WCS is good tournament Lilbow win
addn1s
Profile Joined July 2015
Japan39 Posts
September 18 2015 13:57 GMT
#874
now he is 13-th
SNSeigifried
Profile Joined April 2013
United States1640 Posts
September 18 2015 15:38 GMT
#875
Its good to see that the final dreamhack will live up to the hype like every year and it will be a fight for the death for many players as we approach the final matches of this year!
DH:FanTaSy/Dark/ForGG/HyuN/sOs
GSL:Dear
Fate out of his hands: Rogue
Icebound Esports
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17738 Posts
September 18 2015 17:51 GMT
#876
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DreamHack Stockholm Player List Set!
Friday, Sep 18 5:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4425)


We're now down to just 20 players over 0% Blizzcon Chances! Lilbow is 100% secured, and only has a 0.25% chance to be the #15 seed, he cannot be the #16 seed (more info here). With the DreamHack Stockholm player list set, Gumiho, TY and Stats were eliminated from the running.
Biggest Winners and Losers from DreamHack Stockholm confirming player list (Sim ID #4403 vs Sim ID #4411)
Biggest Winners
kr Dark went up by 26.81%, going from 3.07% to 29.89%
kr ForGG went up by 4.24%, going from 0.74% to 4.98%

Biggest Losers
kr FanTaSy went down by 23.74%, going from 70.52% to 46.78%
kr HyuN went down by 3.3%, going from 10.95% to 7.65%
kr Dear went down by 1.2%, going from 21.28% to 20.07%
kr Rogue went down by 0.91%, going from 99.93% to 99.02%
kr TY went down by 0.72%, going from 0.72% to 0%
kr sOs went down by 0.59%, going from 92.2% to 91.61%
kr Stats went down by 0.32%, going from 0.32% to 0%
kr GuMiho went down by 0.27%, going from 0.27% to 0%

+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +

  1. herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 7150, Median Points: 7900
  2. Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 6050, Median Points: 6050
  3. PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5850, Median Points: 5850
  4. Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5475, Median Points: 5475
  5. Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5000, Median Points: 5000
  6. Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4925, Median Points: 5050
  7. ByuL is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4625, Median Points: 5375
  8. Classic is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4550, Median Points: 4550
  9. Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4275, Median Points: 4275
  10. INnoVation is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4225, Median Points: 4575
  11. Polt is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3875, Median Points: 3875
  12. Zest is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3675, Median Points: 3675
  13. Lilbow is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3625, Median Points: 3625
  14. Rogue is at 99.02%, 99.02% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3325, Median Points: 3325
  15. sOs is at 91.61%, 84.98% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3150, Median Points: 3275
  16. FanTaSy is at 46.78%, 29.34% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2900, Median Points: 2900
  17. Dark is at 29.89%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2800, Median Points: 2800
  18. Dear is at 20.07%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2425, Median Points: 2775
  19. HyuN is at 7.65%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2525, Median Points: 2525
  20. ForGG is at 4.98%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2425, Median Points: 2425
  21. TY is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2500, Median Points: 2500
  22. Stats is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2350
  23. GuMiho is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2225, Median Points: 2225
  24. Bunny is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2025, Median Points: 2025
  25. MyuNgSiK is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2000, Median Points: 2000
  26. Solar is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1950, Median Points: 2075
  27. Curious is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1950, Median Points: 1950
  28. Jaedong is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1875, Median Points: 1875
  29. soO is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1850, Median Points: 1850
  30. Snute is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1800, Median Points: 1800
  31. MaNa is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1775, Median Points: 1775
  32. Soulkey is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1725
  33. Bbyong is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 1650
  34. TRUE is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 1650
  35. TLO is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median Points: 1550
  36. MMA is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1475, Median Points: 1475
  37. MarineLorD is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median Points: 1375
  38. Patience is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median Points: 1375
  39. Trap is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1350
  40. Bomber is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1225, Median Points: 1225
  41. Leenock is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1150, Median Points: 1150
  42. Petraeus is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1125, Median Points: 1125
  43. Harstem is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1125, Median Points: 1125
  44. ShoWTimE is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1100
  45. Terminator is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1100
  46. Zanster is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median Points: 1025
  47. Super is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median Points: 1025
  48. GunGFuBanDa is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median Points: 1000
  49. Flash is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 975
  50. FireCake is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 975
Full Player List


+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +

kr Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
kr ByuL is the current #2 Headband holder with 4 defenses!
kr INnoVation is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
kr Maru is the current #4 Headband holder with 2 defenses!

Defense History
kr INnoVation won the #3 from kr Zest at GSL Code S Season 3
kr Maru defended the #4 from kr Rogue at GSL Code S Season 3
kr ByuL defended the #2 from kr GuMiho at GSL Code S Season 3
+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] +

kr Zest won the #3 from kr Solar at GSL Code S Season 3
kr ByuL defended the #2 from kr Solar at GSL Code S Season 3
kr Solar won the #3 from kr Dark at GSL Code S Season 3
kr ByuL defended the #2 from kr Zest at GSL Code S Season 3
kr Maru defended the #4 from kr Classic at GSL Code S Season 3
kr Maru won the #4 from kr herO at GSL Code S Season 3
kr ByuL defended the #2 from kr TY at StarLeague Season 3
kr herO defended the #4 from kr MyuNgSiK at StarLeague Season 3
kr Dark defended the #3 from kr sKyHigh at GSL Code S Season 3
kr Dark defended the #3 from kr MMA at GSL Code S Season 3
kr ByuL won the #2 from kr INnoVation at StarLeague Season 3
kr INnoVation defended the #2 from kr Curious at GSL Code S Season 3
kr INnoVation defended the #2 from kr Flash at GSL Code S Season 3
kr herO defended the #4 from kr Losira at GSL Code S Season 3
kr herO defended the #4 from kr Hack at GSL Code S Season 3
kr INnoVation won the #2 from kr soO at IEM Gamescom
kr soO defended the #2 from kr FanTaSy at IEM Gamescom
kr soO defended the #2 from de Lambo at IEM Gamescom
kr soO defended the #2 from kr MMA at IEM Gamescom
kr soO defended the #2 from de HeRoMaRinE at IEM Gamescom
kr herO won the #4 from kr Life at StarLeague Season 3
kr Life won the #4 from kr sOs at StarLeague Season 3



+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +

0% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
16.51% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
33.98% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
40.48% of the time 3050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
67.11% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
87.5% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.02% of the time 3325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon

+ Show Spoiler [Full List] +

0% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
16.51% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
24.08% of the time 2925 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
24.08% of the time 2950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
24.08% of the time 2975 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
24.08% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
33.98% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
40.48% of the time 3050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
40.48% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
40.48% of the time 3100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
40.48% of the time 3125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
67.11% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
73.33% of the time 3175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
73.33% of the time 3200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
73.33% of the time 3225 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
73.33% of the time 3250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
85.7% of the time 3275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
87.5% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.02% of the time 3325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.02% of the time 3350 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.02% of the time 3375 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.68% of the time 3400 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.68% of the time 3425 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.68% of the time 3450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.68% of the time 3475 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.68% of the time 3500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
100% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon



+ Show Spoiler [Final Seed Stats] +

kr herO has a 89.61% chance to be the #1 seed.
kr Maru has a 80.05% chance to be the #2 seed.
kr PartinG has a 90.43% chance to be the #3 seed.
kr Life has a 61.27% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr Life has a 35.99% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Hydra has a 40.89% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr Hydra has a 39.44% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr Classic has a 43.84% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr Classic has a 56.16% chance to be the #9 seed.
kr Dream has a 56.16% chance to be the #10 seed.
kr Polt has a 92.28% chance to be the #11 seed.
kr Zest has a 92.28% chance to be the #12 seed.
fr Lilbow has a 82.85% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr Rogue has a 44.66% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Rogue has a 42.84% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 35.63% chance to be the #16 seed.

Click here for more


+ Show Spoiler [Final Match Stats] +

kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 50.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dream vs kr Classic has a 43.84% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 40.75% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Rogue has a 39.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr Hydra has a 38.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 38.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr sOs has a 34.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 32.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 31.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr herO has a 27.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 25.9% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 23.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 20.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 20.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 19.62% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Dream has a 18.48% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dark vs kr herO has a 17.18% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 16.75% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 15.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr ByuL has a 15.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Dear has a 15.43% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 15.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr Rogue has a 15.18% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr INnoVation has a 14.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 14.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Hydra has a 13.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 13.4% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Classic has a 11.86% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Hydra vs kr Zest has a 10.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr Dream has a 9.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Classic vs kr Hydra has a 8.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr FanTaSy has a 7.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr ByuL has a 7.11% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr Dark has a 6.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 5.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Dark has a 5.42% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 5.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 5.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 5.17% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr Dear has a 4.52% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr Rogue has a 3.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr Hydra has a 3.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 3.17% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr FanTaSy has a 3.11% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ForGG vs kr herO has a 3.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 2.9% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr FanTaSy has a 2.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr HyuN vs kr Maru has a 2.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Dream has a 2.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs fr Lilbow has a 1.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ForGG vs kr Maru has a 1.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr FanTaSy has a 1.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 1.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Zest has a 0.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dark vs kr ByuL has a 0.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr HyuN vs kr ByuL has a 0.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ForGG vs kr ByuL has a 0.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr Dear has a 0.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.



DreamHack Stockholm Placements Table
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sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18678 Posts
September 18 2015 19:36 GMT
#877
On September 19 2015 00:38 SNSeigifried wrote:
Its good to see that the final dreamhack will live up to the hype like every year and it will be a fight for the death for many players as we approach the final matches of this year!
DH:FanTaSy/Dark/ForGG/HyuN/sOs
GSL:Dear
Fate out of his hands: Rogue


Why does DH matter for sOs and not for Rogue? :o
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17738 Posts
September 18 2015 19:42 GMT
#878
On September 19 2015 04:36 sharkie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 19 2015 00:38 SNSeigifried wrote:
Its good to see that the final dreamhack will live up to the hype like every year and it will be a fight for the death for many players as we approach the final matches of this year!
DH:FanTaSy/Dark/ForGG/HyuN/sOs
GSL:Dear
Fate out of his hands: Rogue


Why does DH matter for sOs and not for Rogue? :o

well it does, but Rogue isn't in control of what happens there I guess is the point

Some Dreamhack events that affect Rogue

6.33% of the time.
Dark gets 1st place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Rogue's chances
from 99.02% to 92.62%

4.06% of the time.
FanTaSy gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Rogue's chances
from 99.02% to 91.22%

12.73% of the time.
sOs gets 8th place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Rogue's chances
from 99.02% to 96.47%

24.53% of the time.
sOs gets 32nd place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Rogue's chances
from 99.02% to 99.93%

4.9% of the time.
FanTaSy gets 1st place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Rogue's chances
from 99.02% to 94.39%

25.62% of the time.
FanTaSy gets 32nd place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Rogue's chances
from 99.02% to 99.62%

8.26% of the time.
sOs gets 4th place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Rogue's chances
from 99.02% to 96.48%

18.38% of the time.
sOs gets 16th place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Rogue's chances
from 99.02% to 99.93%

25.11% of the time.
Dark gets 32nd place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Rogue's chances
from 99.02% to 99.42%

18.31% of the time.
FanTaSy gets 16th place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change Rogue's chances
from 99.02% to 99.61%
"Expert" mods4ever.com
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18678 Posts
September 18 2015 19:44 GMT
#879
Is it 100% confirmed that Rogue won't be attending?
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17738 Posts
September 18 2015 19:46 GMT
#880
On September 19 2015 04:44 sharkie wrote:
Is it 100% confirmed that Rogue won't be attending?

According to Dreamhack he is not going. I guess anything can happen last minute though.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
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