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WCS Predictor 2015 - Page 45

Forum Index > SC2 General
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Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17725 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-09-19 23:57:19
September 19 2015 23:57 GMT
#881
This match doesn't affect any Blizzcon Chances, but it does affect the seedings.

If herO wins then herO, Maru, and Parting are locked in for the top 3 seeds. Life, Polt, Zest, and Lilbow would all be above 70% chances for their seeds. In this case the most likely matches are Life vs Lilbow, Polt vs Hydra, Parting vs Rogue, Dream vs Classic, and Maru vs Rogue. The most likely matches for herO would be vs Fantasy, vs sOs, or vs Dark. The most likely matches for ByuL would be vs Innovation, vs Classic, vs Dream, vs Lilbow, or vs Polt.

If ByuL wins then the top 3 seeds are still up for grabs. Maru would have to win GSL to take the #1 seed from herO. #2 seed is most likely to be Maru, herO, or ByuL. The #3 seed would be Parting with 79% chance or Maru with 21% chance. The most likely matches would be Life vs Zest, Dream vs Classic, Byul vs Zest, Life vs Lilbow, and Maru vs Rogue. The most likely matches for herO would be vs sOs, vs Fantasy, vs Rogue, or vs Dark. The most likely matches for ByuL would be vs Zest, vs Lilbow, vs sOs, or vs Polt.

WCS Predictor 2015
StarLeague Season 3 Finals


kr ByuL vs kr herO
in

in StarLeague Season 3 finals.
ByuL has the #2 Headband.
ByuL is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.13% chance to win this match.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.87% chance to win this match.

If herO Wins
+ Show Spoiler [If herO Wins] +

Likely Blizzcon Seeds
kr herO has a 100% chance to be the #1 seed.
kr Maru has a 100% chance to be the #2 seed.
kr PartinG has a 100% chance to be the #3 seed.
kr Life has a 72.51% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 30.9% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Hydra has a 49.65% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr ByuL has a 46.15% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr Classic has a 44.28% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr Classic has a 55.72% chance to be the #9 seed.
kr Dream has a 55.72% chance to be the #10 seed.
kr Polt has a 92.35% chance to be the #11 seed.
kr Zest has a 92.35% chance to be the #12 seed.
fr Lilbow has a 82.97% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr Rogue has a 44.87% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Rogue has a 42.76% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 35.79% chance to be the #16 seed.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Seeds] +


Likely #1 Seeds
kr herO has a 100% chance to be the #1 seed.

Likely #2 Seeds
kr Maru has a 100% chance to be the #2 seed.

Likely #3 Seeds
kr PartinG has a 100% chance to be the #3 seed.

Likely #4 Seeds
kr Life has a 72.51% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr ByuL has a 20.99% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr Rain has a 6.5% chance to be the #4 seed.

Likely #5 Seeds
kr INnoVation has a 30.9% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Life has a 25.76% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Rain has a 22.82% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Hydra has a 20.51% chance to be the #5 seed.

Likely #6 Seeds
kr Hydra has a 49.65% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr Rain has a 38.98% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr ByuL has a 4.98% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 4.66% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr Life has a 1.73% chance to be the #6 seed.

Likely #7 Seeds
kr ByuL has a 46.15% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr Hydra has a 29.84% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr Rain has a 24.01% chance to be the #7 seed.

Likely #8 Seeds
kr Classic has a 44.28% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr ByuL has a 27.87% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 20.16% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr Rain has a 7.7% chance to be the #8 seed.

Likely #9 Seeds
kr Classic has a 55.72% chance to be the #9 seed.
kr Dream has a 44.28% chance to be the #9 seed.

Likely #10 Seeds
kr Dream has a 55.72% chance to be the #10 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 44.28% chance to be the #10 seed.

Likely #11 Seeds
kr Polt has a 92.35% chance to be the #11 seed.
kr sOs has a 7.65% chance to be the #11 seed.

Likely #12 Seeds
kr Zest has a 92.35% chance to be the #12 seed.
kr Polt has a 7.65% chance to be the #12 seed.

Likely #13 Seeds
fr Lilbow has a 82.97% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr Zest has a 7.65% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr sOs has a 4.75% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 4.63% chance to be the #13 seed.

Likely #14 Seeds
kr Rogue has a 44.87% chance to be the #14 seed.
fr Lilbow has a 16.78% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Dear has a 15.29% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr sOs has a 14.78% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Dark has a 5.96% chance to be the #14 seed.

Likely #15 Seeds
kr Rogue has a 42.76% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr sOs has a 39.47% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr Dark has a 5.07% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr Dear has a 4.45% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 4.16% chance to be the #15 seed.

Likely #16 Seeds
kr FanTaSy has a 35.79% chance to be the #16 seed.
kr sOs has a 25.03% chance to be the #16 seed.
kr Dark has a 18.85% chance to be the #16 seed.
kr Rogue has a 11.41% chance to be the #16 seed.
kr HyuN has a 5.54% chance to be the #16 seed.


Likely WCS Global Finals / Blizzcon First Round Matches
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 59.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr Hydra has a 47.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Rogue has a 44.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dream vs kr Classic has a 44.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 42.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr sOs has a 39.47% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 37.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 35.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 30.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr ByuL has a 28.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 28.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 27.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr herO has a 25.03% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 24.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 21.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 20.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dark vs kr herO has a 18.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Hydra vs kr Zest has a 18.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr Dream has a 17.48% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 17.42% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 16.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Dear has a 15.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 14.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Dream has a 14.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr Rogue has a 11.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr INnoVation has a 10.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Classic has a 7.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 7.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 6.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Dark has a 5.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Hydra has a 5.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 5.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr Dark has a 5.07% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr ByuL has a 4.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr Dear has a 4.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr FanTaSy has a 4.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr Hydra has a 3.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr FanTaSy has a 3.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 3.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 3.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 3.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ForGG vs kr herO has a 3.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr FanTaSy has a 2.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr HyuN vs kr Maru has a 2.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ForGG vs kr Maru has a 1.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 1.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 1.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr FanTaSy has a 0.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs fr Lilbow has a 0.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 0.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr Dear has a 0.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For herO] +

kr herO has a 100% chance to be the #1 seed.

kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 35.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr sOs has a 25.03% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr Dark has a 18.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr Rogue has a 11.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr HyuN has a 5.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr herO vs kr ForGG has a 3.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr Dear has a 0.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For ByuL] +

kr ByuL has a 20.99% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr ByuL has a 4.98% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr ByuL has a 46.15% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr ByuL has a 27.87% chance to be the #8 seed.

kr ByuL vs kr INnoVation has a 28.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 27.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr Dream has a 17.48% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 17.42% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr Polt has a 4.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 1.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 1.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr FanTaSy has a 0.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Maru] +

kr Maru has a 100% chance to be the #2 seed.

kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 42.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr sOs has a 39.47% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr Dark has a 5.07% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr Dear has a 4.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr FanTaSy has a 4.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr Maru vs kr HyuN has a 2.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr ForGG has a 1.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs fr Lilbow has a 0.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Parting] +

kr PartinG has a 100% chance to be the #3 seed.

kr PartinG vs kr Rogue has a 44.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 16.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Dear has a 15.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 14.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Dark has a 5.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr PartinG vs kr FanTaSy has a 2.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Life] +

kr Life has a 72.51% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr Life has a 25.76% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Life has a 1.73% chance to be the #6 seed.

kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 59.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 30.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr FanTaSy has a 3.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 3.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 3.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Hydra] +

kr Hydra has a 20.51% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Hydra has a 49.65% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr Hydra has a 29.84% chance to be the #7 seed.

kr Hydra vs kr Polt has a 47.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Hydra vs kr Dream has a 24.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Hydra vs kr Zest has a 18.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Hydra vs kr INnoVation has a 5.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Hydra vs kr sOs has a 3.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Rain] +

kr Rain has a 6.5% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr Rain has a 22.82% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Rain has a 38.98% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr Rain has a 24.01% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr Rain has a 7.7% chance to be the #8 seed.

kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 37.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 21.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Dream has a 14.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr INnoVation has a 10.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Classic has a 7.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 6.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 3.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Classic] +

kr Classic has a 44.28% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr Classic has a 55.72% chance to be the #9 seed.

kr Classic vs kr Dream has a 44.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Classic vs kr ByuL has a 27.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Classic vs kr INnoVation has a 20.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Classic vs kr Rain has a 7.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Dream] +

kr Dream has a 44.28% chance to be the #9 seed.
kr Dream has a 55.72% chance to be the #10 seed.

kr Dream vs kr Classic has a 44.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 24.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dream vs kr ByuL has a 17.48% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dream vs kr Rain has a 14.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For INnoVation] +

kr INnoVation has a 30.9% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 4.66% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 20.16% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 44.28% chance to be the #10 seed.

kr INnoVation vs kr ByuL has a 28.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 28.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 20.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Rain has a 10.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Polt has a 7.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr INnoVation vs kr Hydra has a 5.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 0.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Polt] +

kr Polt has a 92.35% chance to be the #11 seed.
kr Polt has a 7.65% chance to be the #12 seed.

kr Polt vs kr Hydra has a 47.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr Rain has a 37.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 7.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr ByuL has a 4.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr Life has a 3.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Zest] +

kr Zest has a 92.35% chance to be the #12 seed.
kr Zest has a 7.65% chance to be the #13 seed.

kr Zest vs kr Life has a 30.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Zest vs kr INnoVation has a 28.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Zest vs kr Rain has a 21.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Zest vs kr Hydra has a 18.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Zest vs kr ByuL has a 1.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Lilbow] +

fr Lilbow has a 82.97% chance to be the #13 seed.
fr Lilbow has a 16.78% chance to be the #14 seed.
fr Lilbow has a 0.25% chance to be the #15 seed.

fr Lilbow vs kr Life has a 59.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
fr Lilbow vs kr ByuL has a 17.42% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
fr Lilbow vs kr PartinG has a 16.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
fr Lilbow vs kr Rain has a 6.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
fr Lilbow vs kr Maru has a 0.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Rogue] +

kr Rogue has a 44.87% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Rogue has a 42.76% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr Rogue has a 11.41% chance to be the #16 seed.

kr Rogue vs kr PartinG has a 44.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rogue vs kr Maru has a 42.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rogue vs kr herO has a 11.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For sOs] +

kr sOs has a 7.65% chance to be the #11 seed.
kr sOs has a 4.75% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr sOs has a 14.78% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr sOs has a 39.47% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr sOs has a 25.03% chance to be the #16 seed.

kr sOs vs kr Maru has a 39.47% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr herO has a 25.03% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr PartinG has a 14.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr Hydra has a 3.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr Rain has a 3.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr sOs vs kr Life has a 3.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr ByuL has a 1.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr INnoVation has a 0.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For FanTaSy] +

kr FanTaSy has a 4.63% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 2.32% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 4.16% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 35.79% chance to be the #16 seed.

kr FanTaSy vs kr herO has a 35.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr FanTaSy vs kr Maru has a 4.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr FanTaSy vs kr Life has a 3.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr FanTaSy vs kr PartinG has a 2.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr FanTaSy vs kr ByuL has a 0.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Dark] +

kr Dark has a 5.96% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Dark has a 5.07% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr Dark has a 18.85% chance to be the #16 seed.

kr Dark vs kr herO has a 18.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dark vs kr PartinG has a 5.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dark vs kr Maru has a 5.07% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Dear] +

kr Dear has a 15.29% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Dear has a 4.45% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr Dear has a 0.12% chance to be the #16 seed.

kr Dear vs kr PartinG has a 15.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dear vs kr Maru has a 4.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dear vs kr herO has a 0.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For HyuN] +

kr HyuN has a 2.12% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr HyuN has a 5.54% chance to be the #16 seed.

kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 5.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr HyuN vs kr Maru has a 2.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [ Most Likely For ForGG] +

kr ForGG has a 1.73% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr ForGG has a 3.25% chance to be the #16 seed.

kr ForGG vs kr herO has a 3.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ForGG vs kr Maru has a 1.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.



If ByuL Wins
+ Show Spoiler [If ByuL Wins] +

Likely Blizzcon Seeds
kr herO has a 76.4% chance to be the #1 seed.
kr Maru has a 55.41% chance to be the #2 seed.
kr PartinG has a 79.01% chance to be the #3 seed.
kr Life has a 47.89% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr Life has a 48.18% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 30.91% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr Hydra has a 50.8% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr Classic has a 44.31% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr Classic has a 55.69% chance to be the #9 seed.
kr Dream has a 55.69% chance to be the #10 seed.
kr Polt has a 92.33% chance to be the #11 seed.
kr Zest has a 92.33% chance to be the #12 seed.
fr Lilbow has a 82.94% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr Rogue has a 44.81% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Rogue has a 42.82% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 35.76% chance to be the #16 seed.
+ Show Spoiler [More Seed Stats] +

Likely #1 Seeds
kr herO has a 76.4% chance to be the #1 seed.
kr Maru has a 23.6% chance to be the #1 seed.

Likely #2 Seeds
kr Maru has a 55.41% chance to be the #2 seed.
kr herO has a 23.6% chance to be the #2 seed.
kr ByuL has a 20.99% chance to be the #2 seed.

Likely #3 Seeds
kr PartinG has a 79.01% chance to be the #3 seed.
kr Maru has a 20.99% chance to be the #3 seed.

Likely #4 Seeds
kr Life has a 47.89% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr ByuL has a 26.85% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr PartinG has a 20.99% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr Rain has a 4.28% chance to be the #4 seed.

Likely #5 Seeds
kr Life has a 48.18% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr ByuL has a 45.35% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Rain has a 6.47% chance to be the #5 seed.

Likely #6 Seeds
kr INnoVation has a 30.91% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr Hydra has a 30.42% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr Rain has a 27.92% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr ByuL has a 6.81% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr Life has a 3.93% chance to be the #6 seed.

Likely #7 Seeds
kr Hydra has a 50.8% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr Rain has a 44.54% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 4.65% chance to be the #7 seed.

Likely #8 Seeds
kr Classic has a 44.31% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 20.13% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr Hydra has a 18.77% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr Rain has a 16.79% chance to be the #8 seed.

Likely #9 Seeds
kr Classic has a 55.69% chance to be the #9 seed.
kr Dream has a 44.31% chance to be the #9 seed.

Likely #10 Seeds
kr Dream has a 55.69% chance to be the #10 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 44.31% chance to be the #10 seed.

Likely #11 Seeds
kr Polt has a 92.33% chance to be the #11 seed.
kr sOs has a 7.67% chance to be the #11 seed.

Likely #12 Seeds
kr Zest has a 92.33% chance to be the #12 seed.
kr Polt has a 7.67% chance to be the #12 seed.

Likely #13 Seeds
fr Lilbow has a 82.94% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr Zest has a 7.67% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr sOs has a 4.76% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 4.63% chance to be the #13 seed.

Likely #14 Seeds
kr Rogue has a 44.81% chance to be the #14 seed.
fr Lilbow has a 16.81% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Dear has a 15.28% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr sOs has a 14.79% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Dark has a 5.97% chance to be the #14 seed.

Likely #15 Seeds
kr Rogue has a 42.82% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr sOs has a 39.4% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr Dark has a 5.06% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr Dear has a 4.45% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 4.17% chance to be the #15 seed.

Likely #16 Seeds
kr FanTaSy has a 35.76% chance to be the #16 seed.
kr sOs has a 25.04% chance to be the #16 seed.
kr Dark has a 18.86% chance to be the #16 seed.
kr Rogue has a 11.41% chance to be the #16 seed.
kr HyuN has a 5.55% chance to be the #16 seed.


Likely WCS Global Finals / Blizzcon First Round Matches
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 48.51% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dream vs kr Classic has a 44.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 43.66% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 39.22% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 37.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Rogue has a 33.08% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 30.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr herO has a 30.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 28.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr sOs has a 28.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr Polt vs kr Hydra has a 27.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 27.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 26.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 25.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Dream has a 23.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Hydra has a 23.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 22.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr INnoVation has a 20.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 20.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr Rogue has a 19.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Classic vs kr Hydra has a 18.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Classic has a 16.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Dear has a 15.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dark vs kr herO has a 15.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr FanTaSy has a 12.88% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 11.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 10.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr ByuL has a 10.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr Dark has a 8.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr Rogue has a 8.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 7.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 6.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 4.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Dark has a 4.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Dream has a 4.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr Dear has a 4.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 4.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs fr Lilbow has a 3.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ForGG vs kr herO has a 2.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr FanTaSy has a 2.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 2.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 2.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr Hydra has a 2.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr FanTaSy has a 2.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr HyuN vs kr Maru has a 2.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 2.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr FanTaSy has a 2.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Zest has a 1.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ForGG vs kr Maru has a 1.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dark vs kr ByuL has a 1.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr HyuN vs kr ByuL has a 0.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ForGG vs kr ByuL has a 0.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr Dear has a 0.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For herO] +

kr herO has a 76.4% chance to be the #1 seed.
kr herO has a 23.6% chance to be the #2 seed.

kr herO vs kr sOs has a 30.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 26.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr Rogue has a 19.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr Dark has a 15.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr HyuN has a 4.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr herO vs kr ForGG has a 2.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr Dear has a 0.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For ByuL] +

kr ByuL has a 20.99% chance to be the #2 seed.
kr ByuL has a 26.85% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr ByuL has a 45.35% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr ByuL has a 6.81% chance to be the #6 seed.

kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 43.66% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 22.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 10.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr Polt has a 10.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr Rogue has a 8.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr ByuL vs kr FanTaSy has a 2.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr Dark has a 1.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr HyuN has a 0.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr ForGG has a 0.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Maru] +

kr Maru has a 23.6% chance to be the #1 seed.
kr Maru has a 55.41% chance to be the #2 seed.
kr Maru has a 20.99% chance to be the #3 seed.

kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 37.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr sOs has a 28.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr FanTaSy has a 12.88% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr Dark has a 8.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr Dear has a 4.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr Maru vs fr Lilbow has a 3.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr HyuN has a 2.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr ForGG has a 1.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Parting] +

kr PartinG has a 79.01% chance to be the #3 seed.
kr PartinG has a 20.99% chance to be the #4 seed.

kr PartinG vs kr Rogue has a 33.08% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 30.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Dear has a 15.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 11.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Dark has a 4.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr PartinG vs kr FanTaSy has a 2.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Zest has a 1.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Life] +

kr Life has a 47.89% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr Life has a 48.18% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Life has a 3.93% chance to be the #6 seed.

kr Life vs kr Zest has a 48.51% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 39.22% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 7.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr FanTaSy has a 2.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 2.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Hydra] +

kr Hydra has a 30.42% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr Hydra has a 50.8% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr Hydra has a 18.77% chance to be the #8 seed.

kr Hydra vs kr Polt has a 27.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Hydra vs kr Dream has a 27.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Hydra vs kr INnoVation has a 23.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Hydra vs kr Classic has a 18.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Hydra vs kr sOs has a 2.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Rain] +

kr Rain has a 4.28% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr Rain has a 6.47% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Rain has a 27.92% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr Rain has a 44.54% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr Rain has a 16.79% chance to be the #8 seed.

kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 25.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Dream has a 23.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr INnoVation has a 20.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Classic has a 16.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 6.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 4.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 2.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Classic] +

kr Classic has a 44.31% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr Classic has a 55.69% chance to be the #9 seed.

kr Classic vs kr Dream has a 44.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Classic vs kr INnoVation has a 20.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Classic vs kr Hydra has a 18.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Classic vs kr Rain has a 16.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Dream] +

kr Dream has a 44.31% chance to be the #9 seed.
kr Dream has a 55.69% chance to be the #10 seed.

kr Dream vs kr Classic has a 44.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 27.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dream vs kr Rain has a 23.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dream vs kr INnoVation has a 4.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For INnoVation] +

kr INnoVation has a 30.91% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 4.65% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 20.13% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 44.31% chance to be the #10 seed.

kr INnoVation vs kr Polt has a 28.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Hydra has a 23.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Rain has a 20.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 20.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Dream has a 4.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 2.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Polt] +

kr Polt has a 92.33% chance to be the #11 seed.
kr Polt has a 7.67% chance to be the #12 seed.

kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 28.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr Hydra has a 27.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr Rain has a 25.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr ByuL has a 10.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr Life has a 7.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Zest] +

kr Zest has a 92.33% chance to be the #12 seed.
kr Zest has a 7.67% chance to be the #13 seed.

kr Zest vs kr Life has a 48.51% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Zest vs kr ByuL has a 43.66% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Zest vs kr Rain has a 6.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Zest vs kr PartinG has a 1.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Lilbow] +

fr Lilbow has a 82.94% chance to be the #13 seed.
fr Lilbow has a 16.81% chance to be the #14 seed.
fr Lilbow has a 0.25% chance to be the #15 seed.

fr Lilbow vs kr Life has a 39.22% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
fr Lilbow vs kr PartinG has a 30.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
fr Lilbow vs kr ByuL has a 22.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
fr Lilbow vs kr Rain has a 4.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
fr Lilbow vs kr Maru has a 3.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Rogue] +

kr Rogue has a 44.81% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Rogue has a 42.82% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr Rogue has a 11.41% chance to be the #16 seed.

kr Rogue vs kr Maru has a 37.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rogue vs kr PartinG has a 33.08% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rogue vs kr herO has a 19.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rogue vs kr ByuL has a 8.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For sOs] +

kr sOs has a 7.67% chance to be the #11 seed.
kr sOs has a 4.76% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr sOs has a 14.79% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr sOs has a 39.4% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr sOs has a 25.04% chance to be the #16 seed.

kr sOs vs kr herO has a 30.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr Maru has a 28.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr PartinG has a 11.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr ByuL has a 10.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr Rain has a 2.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr sOs vs kr INnoVation has a 2.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr Hydra has a 2.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr Life has a 2.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For FanTaSy] +

kr FanTaSy has a 4.63% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 2.33% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 4.17% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 35.76% chance to be the #16 seed.

kr FanTaSy vs kr herO has a 26.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr FanTaSy vs kr Maru has a 12.88% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr FanTaSy vs kr PartinG has a 2.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr FanTaSy vs kr Life has a 2.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr FanTaSy vs kr ByuL has a 2.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Dark] +

kr Dark has a 5.97% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Dark has a 5.06% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr Dark has a 18.86% chance to be the #16 seed.

kr Dark vs kr herO has a 15.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dark vs kr Maru has a 8.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dark vs kr PartinG has a 4.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dark vs kr ByuL has a 1.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For Dear] +

kr Dear has a 15.28% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Dear has a 4.45% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr Dear has a 0.12% chance to be the #16 seed.

kr Dear vs kr PartinG has a 15.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dear vs kr Maru has a 4.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dear vs kr herO has a 0.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely For HyuN] +

kr HyuN has a 2.13% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr HyuN has a 5.55% chance to be the #16 seed.

kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 4.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr HyuN vs kr Maru has a 2.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr HyuN vs kr ByuL has a 0.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

+ Show Spoiler [ Most Likely For ForGG] +

kr ForGG has a 1.72% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr ForGG has a 3.25% chance to be the #16 seed.

kr ForGG vs kr herO has a 2.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ForGG vs kr Maru has a 1.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ForGG vs kr ByuL has a 0.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17725 Posts
September 20 2015 10:54 GMT
#882
after the SSL finals

Most Likely Seeds
kr herO has a 100% chance to be the #1 seed.
kr Maru has a 100% chance to be the #2 seed.
kr PartinG has a 100% chance to be the #3 seed.
kr Life has a 72.51% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 30.89% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Hydra has a 49.66% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr ByuL has a 46.16% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr Classic has a 44.32% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr Classic has a 55.68% chance to be the #9 seed.
kr Dream has a 55.68% chance to be the #10 seed.
kr Polt has a 92.31% chance to be the #11 seed.
kr Zest has a 92.31% chance to be the #12 seed.
fr Lilbow has a 82.9% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr Rogue has a 44.82% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Rogue has a 42.76% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 35.71% chance to be the #16 seed.
+ Show Spoiler [More Seed Stats] +

Likely #1 Seeds
kr herO has a 100% chance to be the #1 seed.

Likely #2 Seeds
kr Maru has a 100% chance to be the #2 seed.

Likely #3 Seeds
kr PartinG has a 100% chance to be the #3 seed.

Likely #4 Seeds
kr Life has a 72.51% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr ByuL has a 21.01% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr Rain has a 6.48% chance to be the #4 seed.

Likely #5 Seeds
kr INnoVation has a 30.89% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Life has a 25.76% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Rain has a 22.83% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Hydra has a 20.53% chance to be the #5 seed.

Likely #6 Seeds
kr Hydra has a 49.66% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr Rain has a 38.98% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr ByuL has a 4.99% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 4.65% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr Life has a 1.73% chance to be the #6 seed.

Likely #7 Seeds
kr ByuL has a 46.16% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr Hydra has a 29.82% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr Rain has a 24.02% chance to be the #7 seed.

Likely #8 Seeds
kr Classic has a 44.32% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr ByuL has a 27.85% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 20.14% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr Rain has a 7.69% chance to be the #8 seed.

Likely #9 Seeds
kr Classic has a 55.68% chance to be the #9 seed.
kr Dream has a 44.32% chance to be the #9 seed.

Likely #10 Seeds
kr Dream has a 55.68% chance to be the #10 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 44.32% chance to be the #10 seed.
Likely #11 Seeds
kr Polt has a 92.31% chance to be the #11 seed.
kr sOs has a 7.69% chance to be the #11 seed.

Likely #12 Seeds
kr Zest has a 92.31% chance to be the #12 seed.
kr Polt has a 7.69% chance to be the #12 seed.

Likely #13 Seeds
fr Lilbow has a 82.9% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr Zest has a 7.69% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr sOs has a 4.77% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 4.64% chance to be the #13 seed.

Likely #14 Seeds
kr Rogue has a 44.82% chance to be the #14 seed.
fr Lilbow has a 16.85% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Dear has a 15.3% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr sOs has a 14.73% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Dark has a 5.99% chance to be the #14 seed.

Likely #15 Seeds
kr Rogue has a 42.76% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr sOs has a 39.4% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr Dark has a 5.07% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr Dear has a 4.48% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 4.17% chance to be the #15 seed.

Likely #16 Seeds
kr FanTaSy has a 35.71% chance to be the #16 seed.
kr sOs has a 25.07% chance to be the #16 seed.
kr Dark has a 18.85% chance to be the #16 seed.
kr Rogue has a 11.46% chance to be the #16 seed.
kr HyuN has a 5.54% chance to be the #16 seed.


Likely First Round Matches
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 59.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr Hydra has a 47.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Rogue has a 44.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dream vs kr Classic has a 44.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 42.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr sOs has a 39.4% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 37.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 35.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 30.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr ByuL has a 28.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 28.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 27.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr herO has a 25.07% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 24.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 21.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 20.14% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dark vs kr herO has a 18.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Hydra vs kr Zest has a 18.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr Dream has a 17.47% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 17.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 16.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Dear has a 15.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 14.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Dream has a 13.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr Rogue has a 11.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr INnoVation has a 10.03% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Classic has a 7.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 7.04% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 6.14% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Dark has a 5.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr Hydra has a 5.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 5.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr Dark has a 5.07% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr ByuL has a 4.58% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr Dear has a 4.48% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr FanTaSy has a 4.17% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr sOs vs kr Hydra has a 3.86% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr FanTaSy has a 3.66% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 3.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 3.43% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 3.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ForGG vs kr herO has a 3.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr FanTaSy has a 2.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr HyuN vs kr Maru has a 2.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ForGG vs kr Maru has a 1.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 1.62% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 1.42% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr ByuL vs kr FanTaSy has a 0.98% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs fr Lilbow has a 0.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 0.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr Dear has a 0.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
[PkF] Wire
Profile Joined March 2013
France24238 Posts
September 20 2015 11:19 GMT
#883
Ha ha Polt vs Hydra likely to be the first round
Darkdwarf
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Sweden960 Posts
September 20 2015 12:08 GMT
#884
Maru with the teamkill matchups =/
Teams: IM, Jin Air, Invictus || Players: Maru, GuMiho, INnoVation, Ryung, sOs, Squirtle, NaNiwa, Has, Zoun, Life, Rogue, Dark
oGoZenob
Profile Joined December 2011
France1503 Posts
September 20 2015 15:45 GMT
#885
well I guess it could be worst for lilbow
I like starcraft
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
September 21 2015 23:32 GMT
#886
Weow so herO really got no points from his finals win. GUess I should really look into the rules of this thing one day d:
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
September 21 2015 23:53 GMT
#887
On September 22 2015 08:32 OtherWorld wrote:
Weow so herO really got no points from his finals win. GUess I should really look into the rules of this thing one day d:

Doesn't WCS Wars go by median points?
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
September 22 2015 00:06 GMT
#888
On September 22 2015 08:53 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2015 08:32 OtherWorld wrote:
Weow so herO really got no points from his finals win. GUess I should really look into the rules of this thing one day d:

Doesn't WCS Wars go by median points?

Yeah but logically median points go up when current points go up right?
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17725 Posts
September 22 2015 00:26 GMT
#889
On September 22 2015 09:06 OtherWorld wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2015 08:53 The_Templar wrote:
On September 22 2015 08:32 OtherWorld wrote:
Weow so herO really got no points from his finals win. GUess I should really look into the rules of this thing one day d:

Doesn't WCS Wars go by median points?

Yeah but logically median points go up when current points go up right?

his median was already at his max points
it was like 55% chance to win and 45% chance to lose, the win is more likely so that's what the median represents
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17725 Posts
September 22 2015 17:34 GMT
#890
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Last Chances at DreamHack
Tuesday, Sep 22 5:35pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4487)


(This is a cross post of my article on Blizzard's WCS Website)

If you didn't read my previous articles, these stats are calculated by WCS Predictor, which simulates every match in every tournament that gives WCS Points millions of times. Blizzcon Chances are the chances to qualify in the top 16 for Blizzcon, as rated by WCS Predictor.

Fighting Till the End

On Friday we had DreamHack Stockholm complete their player listing, which had some big effects on Blizzcon Chances. Since the last article, we've had TY, Stats, and Gumiho all eliminated from the running since they were confirmed to be not attending DreamHack Stockholm. We also had Lilbow securing his spot to Blizzcon. The current 100% secured players are herO, Maru, Parting, Life, Hydra, Rain, Byul, Classic, Dream, Innovation, Polt, Zest, and Lilbow, with Rogue being very close at 99.03%. Rogue is currently at #14 with 3325 WCS Points, so he can only be knocked out if 3 players out of sOs/Fantasy/Dark/Dear pass him.

sOs seems to have learned his lesson from last year when he peaked at 96.65% Blizzcon Chances in early August and still didn't make it. sOs has an 84.96% chance even if he wins no points from Dreamhack (32nd place or worse), but he decided not to leave it to luck and took it into his own hands by attending. A 16th place here would put sOs up at 93.73%, and an 8th place puts him up to 99.97%, any higher placement locks him in at 100%.

The other players fighting for Blizzcon Chances at DreamHack Stockholm are Fantasy, Dark, Hyun, and ForGG.

Fantasy is currently in 16th place in WCS standings with 2900 WCS Points, he can make it without gaining additional points as long as Dark, Hyun, Dear, or ForGG don't pass him, which means 29.15% if Fantasy gets 32nd or worse. A 4th place puts Fantasy at 84.68%.

Dark needs at least a 16th place, which would put him at 35.44%. A 2nd place would put him at 92.14%, and a 1st locks him in at 100%.

Hyun needs at least a 4th place, but that would only give him 10.23% Blizzcon Chances. A 2nd place would put Hyun at 34.44%, and a 1st place at 86.68%. If Hyun does win, he can still be knocked out if 2 out of sOs/Dear/Fantasy/Dark pass him.

ForGG must get at least 2nd place, which would put him at 24.03%, and a 1st place puts him at 80.23%. If ForGG wins then he has to worry about the same thing Hyun would, 2 players out of sOs/Dear/Fantasy/Dark passing him.

And let's not forget about Dear, who would be 100% with winning GSL, or 0% with anything less.

Looking Ahead to the WCS Global Finals

As far as the final standings for WCS points, we already have a few seeds locked in, and some close to being locked in. herO at #1, Maru at #2, and Parting at #3 are all locked in already. Life at #4, Polt at #11, Zest at #12, and Lilbow at #13 are all above 70% chances.

Here are the current 10 most likely matches for the first round of the WCS Global Finals.
Life vs Lilbow has a 59.71% chance for the first round.
Polt vs Hydra has a 47.51% chance for the first round.
PartinG vs Rogue has a 44.68% chance for the first round.
Dream vs Classic has a 44.3% chance for the first round.
Maru vs Rogue has a 42.83% chance for the first round.
Maru vs sOs has a 39.31% chance for the first round.
Rain vs Polt has a 37.54% chance for the first round.
herO vs FanTaSy has a 35.64% chance for the first round.
Life vs Zest has a 29.89% chance for the first round.
INnoVation vs ByuL has a 28.93% chance for the first round.

Of course Dreamhack will have a big effect on these. Let's look at some examples.

If sOs wins Dreamhack, then he's likely to face Hydra (at a 50.01% chance), instead of Maru or herO. Also Parting vs Lilbow would be locked in at 100%. Life vs Zest and Maru vs Rogue would both be around 75%.
If sOs gets 2nd he's likely to face Life. If he gets 4th then he's likely to face Parting.

If Fantasy wins, then he's likely to face Life (75.41%) instead of herO. Parting vs Lilbow would be nearly locked in at 94.84%. Life vs Fantasy would be a 75.41% chance. Maru vs Rogue, sOs vs herO, and Polt vs Hydra would all be around 58% to 50%.
If Fantasy gets 2nd in Dreamhack, then he's likely to face Parting or Maru.

If Hyun, Dark, or ForGG wins, then Life vs Lilbow is around a 75% chance.

If Hyun wins then he's likely to face herO (52.08%) or Maru (34.6%). Parting vs Rogue, Hyun vs herO, and Polt vs Hydra would be around 55% to 50%.

If Dark wins then he's very likely to face Parting (94.63%) instead of herO. Maru vs Rogue and sOs vs herO would both be around 53%. IF Dark gets 2nd then he's likely to face Maru.

If ForGG wins then he's likely to face herO (45.59%) or Maru (34.64%). Parting vs Rogue and Polt vs Hydra would be around 55% to 50%.

If Rain wins then we can see that his chances of facing Lilbow (75.35%) go up significantly instead of Polt or Zest. Life vs Zest and Rain vs Lilbow would be around 80% to 75%. Parting vs Rogue, Maru vs sOs, and Dream vs Hydra would be around 55% to 45%.

And then if someone not going to Blizzcon wins, such as Solar, then Life vs Lilbow would be a 74.93% chance. Parting vs Rogue, Polt vs Hydra, and Maru vs sOs would be about 55% to 49%. Dream vs Classic, herO vs Fantasy, and Rain vs Polt would be about 45% to 42%. Maru vs Rogue, Innovation vs Zest, and Innovation vs Byul would be about 39% to 28%.


DreamHack and the GSL semifinals between Dear and ByuL both kick off at Thursday, Sep 24 9:30am GMT (GMT+00:00), so we’re going to see the field narrowed down very quickly this week. DreamHack will have its finale at Friday, Sep 25 8:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00), if you want to tune in and see if ForGG or HyuN went all the way. DreamHack and GSL are the last opportunities for WCS Points before Blizzcon, so don't miss them!

After Dreamhack is complete, all that will be left is the GSL finals, and there will only 2 possible brackets for the WCS Global Finals! Look out for my next article where I'll be covering that.


Be sure to check the website for very frequent updates, the FAQ, and the fantasy league WCS Wars! WCS Predictor 2015
To get automatically generated checkups that are constantly updated, I have created the Checkup page on WCS Predictor
Also check out my post on Blizzard's own WCS website!
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
"Expert" mods4ever.com
[PkF] Wire
Profile Joined March 2013
France24238 Posts
September 22 2015 18:18 GMT
#891
Wow, the fight is not over, and still exciting. Thanks for the detailed analysis.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17725 Posts
September 23 2015 21:55 GMT
#892
If Dear wins GSL then he's 100%, otherwise he's 0%.

WCS Predictor 2015
GSL Code S Season 3 Semifinal 1


kr ByuL vs kr Dear in
in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals.
Dear must win this match!
ByuL is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.27% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Dear is at 19.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.73% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 37.78%, or 0% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [Semifinal 2] +

kr INnoVation vs kr Maru in
in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals.
INnoVation has the #3 Headband. Maru has the #4 Headband.
INnoVation is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.71% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.29% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [GSL Winning Chances] +

Dear must win this tournament!
kr INnoVation has a 36.35% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Maru has a 23.7% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr ByuL has a 20.02% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Dear has a 19.92% chance to win
----going from 19.92% to 100% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

+ Show Spoiler [If Dear Wins This Match] +

kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 71.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 57.44%.
kr Polt vs kr Hydra has a 49.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 46.13%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 46.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 45.32%.
kr Dream vs kr Classic has a 43.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 43.29%.
kr INnoVation vs kr ByuL has a 43.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 29.07%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 41.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.23%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 37.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 29.45%.
kr Maru vs kr sOs has a 34.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.07%.
kr PartinG vs kr Rogue has a 31.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 40.05%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 29.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 36.44%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 29.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 22.75%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 29.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.13%.
kr PartinG vs kr Dear has a 27.8% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 14.66%.
kr sOs vs kr herO has a 26.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 22.85%.
kr Hydra vs kr Zest has a 23.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.39%.
kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 21.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 27.14%.
kr herO vs kr Rogue has a 20.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.38%.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 19.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 19.83%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 19.09% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 20.35%.
kr ByuL vs kr Dream has a 19.09% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.97%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 18.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 30.83%.
kr Dark vs kr herO has a 17.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 21.07%.
kr Rain vs kr Dream has a 15.72% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 12.59%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 13.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.74%.
kr Maru vs kr Dear has a 9.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.11%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 8.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 8.01%.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 8.03% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.42%.
kr PartinG vs kr Dark has a 6.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.28%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 5.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.1%.
kr Life vs kr FanTaSy has a 5.19% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.15%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 4.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.97%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 4.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.54%.
kr sOs vs kr Hydra has a 4.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.68%.
kr Maru vs kr Dark has a 3.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.98%.
kr Maru vs kr FanTaSy has a 3.94% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.31%.
kr PartinG vs kr FanTaSy has a 1.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 2.44%.
kr HyuN vs kr Maru has a 1.47% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 1.89%.
kr Maru vs fr Lilbow has a 0.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 0.33%.
kr herO vs kr Dear has a 0.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 0.15%.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 0.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 0.23%.


+ Show Spoiler [If ByuL Wins This Match] +

kr PartinG vs kr Rogue has a 49.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 40.05%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 45.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 30.83%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 44.17% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 45.32%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 43.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 36.44%.
kr Dream vs kr Classic has a 43.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 43.29%.
kr Maru vs kr sOs has a 42.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.07%.
kr Polt vs kr Hydra has a 42.03% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 46.13%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 41.38% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 57.44%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 34.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.23%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 33.8% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.98%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 33.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.14%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 27.04% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 28.13%.
kr Dark vs kr herO has a 24.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 21.07%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 21.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 20.35%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 20.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.74%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 20.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 29.45%.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 19.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.83%.
kr sOs vs kr herO has a 18.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 22.85%.
kr Rain vs kr INnoVation has a 18.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 8.56%.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 15.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 22.75%.
kr Rain vs kr Classic has a 14.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.91%.
kr ByuL vs kr Dream has a 14.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.97%.
kr INnoVation vs kr ByuL has a 13.2% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 29.07%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Hydra has a 11.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.66%.
kr Rain vs kr Dream has a 9.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 12.59%.
kr Polt vs kr ByuL has a 8.52% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.03%.
kr Hydra vs kr Zest has a 8.52% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.39%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 7.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 8.01%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 7.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.61%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 6.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.1%.
kr PartinG vs kr Dark has a 6.27% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.28%.
kr Maru vs kr Dark has a 6.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.98%.
kr herO vs kr Rogue has a 5.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.38%.
kr Maru vs kr FanTaSy has a 4.72% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.31%.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 4.62% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.42%.
kr sOs vs kr Hydra has a 4.47% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.68%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 4.15% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.54%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 4.03% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.9%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 3.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.56%.
kr Life vs kr FanTaSy has a 2.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.15%.
kr PartinG vs kr FanTaSy has a 2.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 2.44%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 2.86% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 3.97%.
kr HyuN vs kr Maru has a 2.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.89%.
kr ByuL vs kr FanTaSy has a 2.2% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.04%.
kr Maru vs fr Lilbow has a 0.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 0.33%.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 0.22% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 0.23%.




My preview for DreamHack Stockholm http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24884922
ForGG cancelled and so is now out of the running for Blizzcon.

WCS Predictor 2015
DreamHack Stockholm Day 1


Starting in ~
[image loading]

+ Show Spoiler [DreamHack Winning Chances] +

HyuN must win this tournament!
kr sOs has a 9.49% chance to win
----going from 92.64% to 100% if they get 1st, or 91.87% if they don't.
kr Rain has a 8.54% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Solar has a 8.42% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr HyuN has a 6.73% chance to win
----going from 7.99% to 83.96% if they get 1st, or 2.51% if they don't.
kr Dark has a 6.7% chance to win
----going from 32.33% to 100% if they get 1st, or 27.47% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr FanTaSy has a 5.52% chance to win
----going from 48.37% to 100% if they get 1st, or 45.36% if they don't.
kr TRUE has a 4.77% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Curious has a 4.62% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Jaedong has a 4.45% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
no Snute has a 4.42% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Leenock has a 3.97% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Sacsri has a 3.1% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
pl MaNa has a 2.84% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
fr PtitDrogo has a 2.71% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
se Zanster has a 2.7% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Apocalypse has a 2.24% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Reality has a 2.13% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Armani has a 2.02% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Hurricane has a 1.93% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
fi Serral has a 1.62% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr HerO has a 1.61% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
fi elfi has a 1.11% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
fi Welmu has a 1.11% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
ca HuK has a 1.05% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
nl Harstem has a 1.05% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
pl Elazer has a 1.02% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
au iaguz has a 0.91% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
se MorroW has a 0.54% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
se SortOf has a 0.41% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
uk DeMusliM has a 0.33% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Gamja has a 0.32% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
de Lambo has a 0.28% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
se Miniraser has a 0.22% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
nl Jona has a 0.17% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
dk Snovski has a 0.16% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
pl Basior has a 0.12% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
pl Guru has a 0.1% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
se Namshar has a 0.08% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
se StarNaN has a 0.08% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
fi ZhuGeLiang has a 0.05% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
hr CheeseKing has a 0.05% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
dk SpaceMarine has a 0.04% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
fr hino has a 0.03% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
ch FunK has a 0.03% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
se Mekar has a 0.03% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
pl Miszu has a 0.02% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
no SolO has a 0.02% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
ch Zervas has a 0.02% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
ch Elroye has a 0.01% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.


+ Show Spoiler [Ro64 Groups] +

se Miniraser vs kr TRUE in
in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64.
Miniraser is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.74% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
TRUE is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 88.87% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

kr Apocalypse vs kr Sacsri in
in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64.
Apocalypse is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 77.77% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Sacsri is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 83.46% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

kr Dark vs fi Serral in
in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64.
Dark must win this match!
Dark is at 32.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 87.83% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 36.81%, or 0% if they lose.
Serral is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.34% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

kr HyuN vs pl Elazer in
in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64.
HyuN must win this match!
HyuN is at 7.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 88.79% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.99%, or 0% if they lose.
Elazer is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.12% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

pl MaNa vs kr Rain in
in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64.
Rain has the #1 Headband.
MaNa is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 78.46% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 87.89% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

kr HerO vs kr Hurricane in
in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64.
HerO is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.1% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Hurricane is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 77.97% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

ca HuK vs kr Armani in
in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64.
HuK is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.24% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Armani is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 79.15% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

uk DeMusliM vs kr Leenock in
in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64.
DeMusliM is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.75% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Leenock is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 86.76% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

kr Solar vs fr PtitDrogo in
in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64.
Solar is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 88.59% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
PtitDrogo is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 77.9% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

de Lambo vs kr Reality in
in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64.
Lambo is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.26% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Reality is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.76% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

kr sOs vs se MorroW in
in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64.
sOs is at 92.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 90.64% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 93.4%, or 85.24% if they lose.
MorroW is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.78% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

no Snute vs fi Welmu in
in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64.
Snute is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 86.92% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Welmu is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.24% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

kr Jaedong vs nl Harstem in
in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64.
Jaedong is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 85.3% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Harstem is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.47% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

au iaguz vs kr Curious in
in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64.
iaguz is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.36% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Curious is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 85.85% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

fi elfi vs kr FanTaSy in
in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64.
elfi is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.93% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
FanTaSy is at 48.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 86.72% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 51.42%, or 28.48% if they lose.

se Zanster vs kr Gamja in
in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64.
Zanster is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 83.7% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Gamja is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.28% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

"Expert" mods4ever.com
fezvez
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
France3021 Posts
September 24 2015 00:15 GMT
#893
Hi Die4Ever

In your prediction section, some matches are right, and when you sum both player probability to win, you get 100%. But for most of the games, it's not the case

Example : [image loading]

Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17725 Posts
September 24 2015 00:18 GMT
#894
On September 24 2015 09:15 fezvez wrote:
Hi Die4Ever

In your prediction section, some matches are right, and when you sum both player probability to win, you get 100%. But for most of the games, it's not the case

Example : [image loading]


Those are 4 player groups with the top 2 advancing, but only 2 players of each group are currently known. When all 4 players are known then you will see that the probabilities to win will add up to 200% since it's 2 players advancing.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
fezvez
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
France3021 Posts
September 24 2015 00:28 GMT
#895
On September 24 2015 09:18 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 24 2015 09:15 fezvez wrote:
Hi Die4Ever

In your prediction section, some matches are right, and when you sum both player probability to win, you get 100%. But for most of the games, it's not the case

Example : [image loading]


Those are 4 player groups with the top 2 advancing, but only 2 players of each group are currently known. When all 4 players are known then you will see that the probabilities to win will add up to 200% since it's 2 players advancing.


Oooooh, OK

Honestly, it's nontrivial to guess, and I don't even think it's anywhere in the FAQ

But thanks a lot for you job!
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17725 Posts
September 24 2015 12:30 GMT
#896
with the result of GSL Byul vs Dear...

+ Show Spoiler [After Byul vs Dear] +

Biggest Winners
kr FanTaSy went up by 8.37%, going from 48.37% to 56.74%
kr Dark went up by 4.97%, going from 32.33% to 37.3%
kr sOs went up by 4.27%, going from 92.64% to 96.91%
kr HyuN went up by 1.17%, going from 7.99% to 9.16%
kr Rogue went up by 1.14%, going from 98.75% to 99.89%

Biggest Losers
kr Dear went down by 19.92%, going from 19.92% to 0%

Most Likely Blizzcon/WCS Global Finals first round matches
kr PartinG vs kr Rogue has a 50.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 40.05%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 45.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 30.83%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 44.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 45.32%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 43.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 36.44%.
kr Dream vs kr Classic has a 43.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 43.29%.
kr Maru vs kr sOs has a 42.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.07%.
kr Polt vs kr Hydra has a 42.04% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 46.13%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 41.37% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 57.44%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 34.09% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.23%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 33.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.98%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 32.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.14%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 27.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 28.13%.
kr Dark vs kr herO has a 24.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 21.07%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 21.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 20.35%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 20.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.74%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 20.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 29.45%.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 19.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 19.83%.
kr sOs vs kr herO has a 18.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 22.85%.
kr Rain vs kr INnoVation has a 18.08% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 8.56%.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 15.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 22.75%.
kr Rain vs kr Classic has a 14.58% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.91%.
kr ByuL vs kr Dream has a 14.58% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.97%.
kr INnoVation vs kr ByuL has a 13.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 29.07%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Hydra has a 12.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.66%.
kr Rain vs kr Dream has a 9.09% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 12.59%.
kr Polt vs kr ByuL has a 8.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.03%.
kr Hydra vs kr Zest has a 8.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.39%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 7.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 8.01%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 7.66% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.61%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 6.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.1%.
kr PartinG vs kr Dark has a 6.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.28%.
kr Maru vs kr Dark has a 6.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.98%.
kr herO vs kr Rogue has a 5.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.38%.
kr Maru vs kr FanTaSy has a 4.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.31%.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 4.66% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.42%.
kr sOs vs kr Hydra has a 4.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.68%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 4.15% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.54%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 4.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.9%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 3.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.56%.
kr Life vs kr FanTaSy has a 2.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.15%.
kr PartinG vs kr FanTaSy has a 2.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 2.44%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 2.86% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 3.97%.
kr HyuN vs kr Maru has a 2.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.89%.
kr ByuL vs kr FanTaSy has a 2.19% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.04%.
kr Maru vs fr Lilbow has a 0.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 0.33%.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 0.22% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 0.23%.


[image loading]
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17725 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-09-24 20:11:17
September 24 2015 19:52 GMT
#897
I did a quick update with the DH ro32 results, not with the ro16 results yet

[image loading]

here are the events for if Fantasy gets 16th place
+ Show Spoiler [If Fantasy Gets 16th] +

50.92% of the time.
FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 55.83% to 36.14%

27.77% of the time.
FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and
Dark wins their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 55.83% to 0%

24.01% of the time.
FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and
Dark qualifies for Blizzcon
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 55.83% to 0%

11.9% of the time.
FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and
Dark gets 8th place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 55.83% to 0%

8.07% of the time.
FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and
Dark gets 4th place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 55.83% to 0%

23.15% of the time.
FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and
Leenock wins their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 55.83% to 79.49%

13.03% of the time.
FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and
Rain gets 8th place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 55.83% to 26.1%

4.19% of the time.
FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and
Dark gets 1st place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 55.83% to 0%

11.63% of the time.
FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and
TRUE gets 8th place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 55.83% to 26.36%

3.61% of the time.
FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and
Dark gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 55.83% to 0%

11.59% of the time.
FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and
Leenock gets 8th place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 55.83% to 79.83%

2.69% of the time.
FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and
Leenock gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 55.83% to 100 %

2.42% of the time.
FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and
Leenock gets 1st place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 55.83% to 100 %


Actually this is better, copied from the branch where Hyun beats Fantasy
+ Show Spoiler [Hyun beats Fantasy] +

54.57% of the time.
Dark wins their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 36.07% to 0%

47.19% of the time.
Dark qualifies for Blizzcon
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 36.07% to 0%

23.41% of the time.
Dark gets 8th place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 36.07% to 0%

16.74% of the time.
HyuN qualifies for Blizzcon
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 36.07% to 0%

15.89% of the time.
Dark gets 4th place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 36.07% to 0%

13.83% of the time.
HyuN gets 1st place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 36.07% to 0%

8.11% of the time.
Dark gets 1st place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 36.07% to 0%

7.15% of the time.
Dark gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change FanTaSy's chances
from 36.07% to 0%


also Rogue is 100% now since Fantasy, Hyun, and Dark are on the same side of the bracket
sOs is also 100% since Fantasy got eliminated
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17725 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-09-24 20:47:18
September 24 2015 20:44 GMT
#898
So our last player for Blizzcon will either be Fantasy, or Hyun. Hyun needs to make the finals.
Hyun getting 2nd place would tie with Fantasy. If Hyun gets 1st place then he's 100% in.

The other 15 are
herO, Maru, Parting, Life, Rain, Hydra, Byul, Classic, Dream, Innovation, Polt, Zest, Lilbow, Rogue, sOs
"Expert" mods4ever.com
[PkF] Wire
Profile Joined March 2013
France24238 Posts
September 24 2015 20:47 GMT
#899
On September 25 2015 05:44 Die4Ever wrote:
So our last player for Blizzcon will either be Fantasy, or Hyun. Hyun needs to make the finals.

The other 15 are
herO, Maru, Parting, Life, Rain, Hydra, Byul, Classic, Dream, Innovation, Polt, Zest, Lilbow, Rogue, sOs

great line up. What do the first rounds likelihoods look like ?
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17725 Posts
September 24 2015 20:51 GMT
#900
On September 25 2015 05:47 [PkF] Wire wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 25 2015 05:44 Die4Ever wrote:
So our last player for Blizzcon will either be Fantasy, or Hyun. Hyun needs to make the finals.

The other 15 are
herO, Maru, Parting, Life, Rain, Hydra, Byul, Classic, Dream, Innovation, Polt, Zest, Lilbow, Rogue, sOs

great line up. What do the first rounds likelihoods look like ?

I don't have a branch specifically for all the results that have happened and I haven't done a full update since the ro32 completed. I'll have all that once the ro16 is done today.

But this is just with Fantasy losing to Hyun, which was the biggest thing I'd say.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 64.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 60.69%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 60.95% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 60.67%.
kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 56.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 56.7%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 46.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 46.3%.
kr Dream vs kr Classic has a 43.27% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 43.3%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 40.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.66%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 39.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 36.22%.
kr Dark vs kr herO has a 36.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 25.59%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 36.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 43.86%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 34.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 34.69%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 33.07% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 30.83%.
kr Maru vs kr sOs has a 31.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 30.37%.
kr PartinG vs kr Rogue has a 29.84% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 25.81%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 24.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 24.28%.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 23.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 23.58%.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 22.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 26.97%.
kr INnoVation vs kr ByuL has a 22.43% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 22.45%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 22.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 22.01%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Hydra has a 20.84% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 20.84%.
kr Polt vs kr Hydra has a 19.38% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 19.39%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 16.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 8.54%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 10.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 10.87%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 10.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 10.33%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 9.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 9.61%.
kr PartinG vs kr Dark has a 6.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.82%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 5.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 5.84%.
kr herO vs kr Rogue has a 5.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.5%.
kr sOs vs kr herO has a 4.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 8.51%.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 4.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.88%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 4.27% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.2%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 3.98% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.98%.
kr Maru vs kr Dark has a 3.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 3.8%.
kr sOs vs kr Hydra has a 3.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 3.07%.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 0.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 0.8%.
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