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WCS Predictor 2015 - Page 46

Forum Index > SC2 General
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[PkF] Wire
Profile Joined March 2013
France24209 Posts
September 24 2015 20:55 GMT
#901
yeah needs another simulation since Dark is not making it ^^
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
September 24 2015 21:13 GMT
#902
here is a quick update with half of the ro16 completed

If Hyun makes 2nd place then he ties with Fantasy for the 16th seed, and there would be a best of 5 tie breaker match to go to Blizzcon.

If Hyun makes 1st place then he is qualified and Fantasy is not.

+ Show Spoiler [Top Players] +

  1. herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 7900, Median Points: 7900
  2. Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 6050, Median Points: 6050
  3. PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5850, Median Points: 5850
  4. Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5475, Median Points: 5475
  5. Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5175, Median Points: 5300
  6. Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5000, Median Points: 5000
  7. ByuL is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4975, Median Points: 4975
  8. Classic is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4550, Median Points: 4550
  9. Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4275, Median Points: 4275
  10. INnoVation is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4225, Median Points: 4575
  11. Polt is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3875, Median Points: 3875
  12. Zest is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3675, Median Points: 3675
  13. Lilbow is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3625, Median Points: 3625
  14. Rogue is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3325, Median Points: 3325
  15. sOs is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3275, Median Points: 3400
  16. FanTaSy is at 80.39%, 80.39% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3025, Median Points: 3025
  17. HyuN is at 19.61%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2775, Median Points: 2775
  18. Dark is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2925, Median Points: 2925
  19. TY is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2500, Median Points: 2500
  20. ForGG is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2425, Median Points: 2425
  21. Dear is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2425, Median Points: 2425
  22. Stats is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2350
  23. GuMiho is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2225, Median Points: 2225
  24. Solar is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2075, Median Points: 2200
  25. Curious is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2075, Median Points: 2200
  26. Bunny is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2025, Median Points: 2025
  27. Jaedong is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2000, Median Points: 2000
  28. MyuNgSiK is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2000, Median Points: 2000
  29. Snute is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1925, Median Points: 2050
  30. soO is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1850, Median Points: 1850
  31. TRUE is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1775, Median Points: 1775
  32. MaNa is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1775, Median Points: 1775
  33. Soulkey is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1725
  34. Bbyong is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 1650
  35. TLO is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median Points: 1550
  36. MMA is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1475, Median Points: 1475
  37. Leenock is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1400, Median Points: 1525
  38. MarineLorD is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median Points: 1375
  39. Patience is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median Points: 1375
  40. Trap is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1350
  41. Harstem is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median Points: 1250
  42. Bomber is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1225, Median Points: 1225
  43. Petraeus is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1125, Median Points: 1125
  44. ShoWTimE is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1100
  45. Terminator is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1100
  46. Zanster is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median Points: 1025
  47. Super is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median Points: 1025
  48. GunGFuBanDa is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median Points: 1000
  49. Flash is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 975
  50. FireCake is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 975



Biggest Winners in the past 5 days
kr FanTaSy went up by 33.5%, going from 46.89% to 80.39%
kr HyuN went up by 11.93%, going from 7.67% to 19.61%
kr sOs went up by 8.32%, going from 91.68% to 100%
kr Rogue went up by 0.96%, going from 99.04% to 100%

Biggest Losers in the past 5 days
kr Dark went down by 29.88%, going from 29.88% to 0%
kr Dear went down by 19.85%, going from 19.85% to 0%
kr ForGG went down by 4.98%, going from 4.98% to 0%

+ Show Spoiler [Most Likely Seeds] +

kr herO has a 100% chance to be the #1 seed.
kr Maru has a 100% chance to be the #2 seed.
kr PartinG has a 100% chance to be the #3 seed.
kr Life has a 46.14% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr Life has a 45.6% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Rain has a 57.35% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr Hydra has a 77.56% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr Classic has a 43.26% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr Classic has a 56.74% chance to be the #9 seed.
kr Dream has a 56.74% chance to be the #10 seed.
kr Polt has a 86.17% chance to be the #11 seed.
kr Zest has a 86.17% chance to be the #12 seed.
fr Lilbow has a 77.01% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr sOs has a 44.38% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Rogue has a 67.37% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 80.39% chance to be the #16 seed.


Most Likely Matches
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 80.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 31.69%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 67.37% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 40.59%.
kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 56.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 25.67%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 52.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 32.24%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 47.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.47%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 44.38% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.49%.
kr Dream vs kr Classic has a 43.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 44.29%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 35.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 50.29%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 34.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.29%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 33.04% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.63%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr Maru vs kr sOs has a 32.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 34.43%.
kr PartinG vs kr Rogue has a 32.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 39.55%.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 27.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 14.34%.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 22.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 23.06%.
kr INnoVation vs kr ByuL has a 22.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.73%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 22.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 20.14%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Hydra has a 20.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.63%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 19.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.18%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 19.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.55%.
kr Polt vs kr Hydra has a 19.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.67%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 14.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.26%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 13.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.67%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 11.27% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.14%.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 8.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.21%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 5.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 20.58%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 3.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 5.68%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 3.19% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 2.89%.
kr sOs vs kr Hydra has a 3.14% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 3.23%.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 1.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.25%.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
September 24 2015 22:32 GMT
#903
we have our first 100% guaranteed first round match! and it's a team kill! with sOs passing Rogue, Maru vs Rogue is now locked in

Most Likely Matches
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 40.59%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 80.8% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 31.69%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 70.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.49%.
kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 56.75% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 25.67%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 52.04% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 32.24%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 47.9% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.47%.
kr Dream vs kr Classic has a 43.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 44.29%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 34.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.29%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 32.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 50.29%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 30.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.63%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 29.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 23.06%.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 25.94% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 14.34%.
kr INnoVation vs kr ByuL has a 22.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.73%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 22.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 20.14%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Hydra has a 20.8% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.63%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 19.2% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.18%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 18.51% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.55%.
kr Polt vs kr Hydra has a 18.43% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.67%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 15.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.26%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 14.58% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.14%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 14.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.67%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 7.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 20.58%.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 7.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.21%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 5.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 5.68%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 4.09% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 2.89%.
kr sOs vs kr Hydra has a 4.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.23%.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 1.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.25%.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
September 24 2015 22:35 GMT
#904
Ah cmon, that sucks -.-
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
September 24 2015 22:45 GMT
#905
What needs to happen for Lilbow to face Life in the first round?
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-09-24 22:57:53
September 24 2015 22:50 GMT
#906
On September 25 2015 07:45 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
What needs to happen for Lilbow to face Life in the first round?


sOs needs to not make the finals, otherwise he passes Lilbow; and Byul needs to not win the GSL cause that would make him pass Life.

some of these are easy

herO vs Fantasy, or Hyun if Hyun wins Dreamhack, or gets 2nd and wins the tie breaker

Parting vs sOs, or Lilbow if sOs makes the finals in Dreamhack passing Lilbow

Dream vs Hydra, or Classic if Innovation beats Maru
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
September 24 2015 23:14 GMT
#907
Mm, thanks!

Some other interesting stats you could consider adding (no idea about technical feasibility/effort, but throwing it out there);

% everyone had of making Blizzcon at the very start of the year
Players with the highest % of making it at some point that didn't end up making it
Players with the lowest % of making it at some point that did make it

Think it'd be cool to see those
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
September 24 2015 23:35 GMT
#908
On September 25 2015 08:14 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Mm, thanks!

Some other interesting stats you could consider adding (no idea about technical feasibility/effort, but throwing it out there);

% everyone had of making Blizzcon at the very start of the year
Players with the highest % of making it at some point that didn't end up making it
Players with the lowest % of making it at some point that did make it

Think it'd be cool to see those

Yep I did one of those for last year actually. I'll do it after Dreamhack.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-09-25 03:02:59
September 25 2015 03:02 GMT
#909
If we're going to figure out the entire top 16 tomorrow, what are we supposed to do for the 2-3 weeks before I get the blizzcon thread up?
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
September 25 2015 03:13 GMT
#910
On September 25 2015 12:02 The_Templar wrote:
If we're going to figure out the entire top 16 tomorrow, what are we supposed to do for the 2-3 weeks before I get the blizzcon thread up?

Well I have lots of things to write for this thread, and WCS Wars ending on the 5th after the GSL finals. And there are some proleague threads in between.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
September 25 2015 03:29 GMT
#911
WCS Predictor 2015
GSL Code S Season 3 Semifinals 2


kr INnoVation vs kr Maru in
in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals.
INnoVation has the #3 Headband. Maru has the #4 Headband.
INnoVation is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.74% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.26% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [GSL Winning Chances] +

GSL Code S Season 3 in ~
kr ByuL has a 42.8% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr INnoVation has a 34.73% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Maru has a 22.47% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.

+ Show Spoiler [If Maru Wins This Match] +

Most Likely Seeds
kr herO has a 100% chance to be the #1 seed.
kr Maru has a 100% chance to be the #2 seed.
kr PartinG has a 100% chance to be the #3 seed.
kr ByuL has a 48.05% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr Rain has a 51.27% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Hydra has a 51.95% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr ByuL has a 51.95% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr Classic has a 100% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr Dream has a 100% chance to be the #9 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 100% chance to be the #10 seed.
kr Polt has a 82.71% chance to be the #11 seed.
kr Zest has a 82.71% chance to be the #12 seed.
fr Lilbow has a 71.04% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr sOs has a 71.04% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Rogue has a 100% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 80.72% chance to be the #16 seed.

Most Likely Matches
kr Dream vs kr Classic has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 43.26%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 80.72% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 80.71%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 71.04% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.06%.
kr INnoVation vs kr ByuL has a 51.95% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 22.47%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 49.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 47.78%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Hydra has a 48.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 20.79%.
kr Polt vs kr Hydra has a 42.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 18.59%.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 42.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 25.96%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 40.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 52.57%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 34.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 30.4%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 30.19% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 33.25%.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 28.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.94%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 19.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 19.29%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 16.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 14.84%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 10.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 14.06%.
kr sOs vs kr Hydra has a 8.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.89%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 8.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 7.4%.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 6.72% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 7.41%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 5.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.99%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 3.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.13%.


+ Show Spoiler [If Innovation Wins This Match] +

Most Likely Seeds
kr herO has a 100% chance to be the #1 seed.
kr Maru has a 100% chance to be the #2 seed.
kr PartinG has a 100% chance to be the #3 seed.
kr Life has a 50.56% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr Life has a 42.7% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Rain has a 72.56% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr Hydra has a 100% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr ByuL has a 61.2% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr Classic has a 100% chance to be the #9 seed.
kr Dream has a 100% chance to be the #10 seed.
kr Polt has a 82.72% chance to be the #11 seed.
kr Zest has a 82.72% chance to be the #12 seed.
fr Lilbow has a 71.07% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr sOs has a 71.07% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Rogue has a 100% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 80.71% chance to be the #16 seed.

Most Likely Matches
kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 56.74%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 80.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 80.71%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 71.07% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 71.06%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 61.86% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 52.57%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 61.2% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 34.72%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 46.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 47.78%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 38.8% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 22.02%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 35.58% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 33.25%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 33.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 18.85%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 28.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 28.94%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 27.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 30.4%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 24.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 14.01%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 19.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.29%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 16.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 14.06%.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 13.51% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 25.96%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 13.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 14.84%.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 7.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 7.41%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 6.72% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 7.4%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 4.52% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.99%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 4.42% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.13%.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 3.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.87%.


"Expert" mods4ever.com
KingofdaHipHop
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
United States25602 Posts
September 25 2015 04:39 GMT
#912
booooooooo maru vs rogue booooooooooooooooooooooooo so anti hype
Rain | herO | sOs | Dear | Neeb | ByuN | INnoVation | Dream | ForGG | Maru | ByuL | Golden | Solar | Soulkey | Scarlett!!!
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
September 25 2015 11:33 GMT
#913
HYPE

Only thing left for Blizzcon qualifications is
if Hyun doesn't make the finals, then Fantasy is safe and Hyun is out
if Hyun gets 2nd place then it's a bo5 tie breaker match with Fantasy for 16th seed
if Hyun wins then Fantasy is out and Hyun is in 100%

updated after Innovation vs Maru
Likely Matches
kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 24.23%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 42.76%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 80.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 35.75%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 71.09% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 14.76%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 61.84% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.55%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 61.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.86%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 46.55% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 30.21%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 38.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 20.15%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 35.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 59.37%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 33.18% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.34%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 28.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.82%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 27.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 17.41%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 24.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 7.05%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 19.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.54%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 16.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.59%.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 13.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 21.01%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 13.47% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.34%.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 7.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.15%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 6.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.61%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 4.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.41%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 4.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.42%.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 3.27% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 0.16%.


herO will face Fantasy or Hyun.

+ Show Spoiler [If Hyun beats Rain] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 82.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.84%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 71.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.09%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 61.17% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.13%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 57.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 80.64%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 50.47% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 33.18%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 43.51% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 35.56%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 42.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 46.55%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 42.37% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.36%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 38.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.87%.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 28.94% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.91%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 27.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 27.6%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 17.55% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.73%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 10.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 24.68%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 6.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.41%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 6.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.47%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 6.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.76%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 4.43% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.5%.


+ Show Spoiler [If Rain beats Hyun] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 80.64%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 71.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 71.09%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 61.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 61.13%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 49.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 46.55%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 44.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 61.84%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 38.9% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.87%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 36.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 24.68%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 28.88% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 35.56%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 28.88% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 28.91%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 27.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.6%.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 24.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.5%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 19.04% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.47%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 18.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 33.18%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 16.03% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.73%.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 14.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 7.93%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 6.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.76%.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 6.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.27%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 4.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.5%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 2.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.41%.


+ Show Spoiler [If Leenock beats Reality] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 80.94% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 80.64%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 71.09% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.09%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 64.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.84%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 61.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 61.13%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 46.15% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 46.55%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 38.88% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.87%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 36.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 35.56%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 34.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 33.18%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 28.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.91%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 27.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.6%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 23.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 24.68%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 19.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 19.36%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 16.14% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.73%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 12.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.47%.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 12.53% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.5%.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 7.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 7.93%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 6.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.76%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 5.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.41%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 4.75% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.5%.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 3.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 3.27%.


+ Show Spoiler [If Reality beats Leenock] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 80.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 80.64%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 71.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 71.09%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 61.15% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.13%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 59.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 61.84%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 46.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 46.55%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 38.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.87%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 34.94% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 35.56%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 31.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 33.18%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 28.9% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 28.91%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 27.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 27.6%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 26.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 24.68%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 19.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.36%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 17.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.73%.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 14.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.5%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 14.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.47%.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 8.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 7.93%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 7.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.76%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 4.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.5%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 3.75% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.41%.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 3.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.27%.


+ Show Spoiler [If sOs beats Curious] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 80.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 80.64%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 61.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 61.13%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 54.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 61.84%.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 51.18% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.91%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 49.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 46.55%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 48.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.09%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 38.88% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.87%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 29.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.73%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 27.72% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 24.68%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 27.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 33.18%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 24.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 35.56%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 19.11% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 19.36%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 18.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 27.6%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 18.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.47%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 11.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.76%.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 11.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.5%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 7.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.5%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 7.8% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.41%.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 5.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.27%.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 5.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 7.93%.


+ Show Spoiler [If Curious beats sOs] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 71.09%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 80.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 80.64%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 71.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.84%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 61.15% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.13%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 49.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 35.56%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 43.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 46.55%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 40.4% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 33.18%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 38.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.6%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 38.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.87%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 20.75% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 24.68%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 19.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.36%.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 16.55% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.5%.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 11.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 7.93%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 7.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.47%.


+ Show Spoiler [If Solar beats Snute] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 80.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 80.64%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 71.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 71.09%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 62.22% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.84%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 61.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 61.13%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 46.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 46.55%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 38.95% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.87%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 36.09% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 35.56%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 33.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 33.18%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 28.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 28.91%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 27.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.6%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 24.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 24.68%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 19.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 19.36%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 16.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.73%.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 13.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.5%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 13.2% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.47%.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 7.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 7.93%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 6.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.76%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 4.37% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.5%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 4.27% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.41%.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 3.2% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 3.27%.


+ Show Spoiler [If Snute beats Solar] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 80.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 80.64%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 70.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.09%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 61.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 61.84%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 61.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.13%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 46.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 46.55%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 38.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.87%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 34.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 35.56%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 33.04% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 33.18%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 29.88% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.91%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 27.15% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 27.6%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 24.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 24.68%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 19.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.36%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 17.27% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.73%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 13.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.47%.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 13.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.5%.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 8.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 7.93%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 6.95% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.76%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 4.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.5%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 4.58% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.41%.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 3.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.27%.



And the GSL finals cause why not (won't say who is facing Byul)
+ Show Spoiler [If Byul wins] +

kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.87%.
kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 80.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 80.64%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 71.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.09%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 71.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.6%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 65.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.84%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 65.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 46.55%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 34.66% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.47%.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 28.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.91%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 19.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 19.36%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 17.4% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.73%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 17.4% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.76%.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 17.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.5%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 11.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.5%.


+ Show Spoiler [If Byul loses AGAIN] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.13%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 80.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 80.64%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 71.14% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 71.09%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 59.62% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 61.84%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 58.18% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 35.56%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 54.27% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 33.18%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 40.38% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 24.68%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 34.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 46.55%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 28.86% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 28.91%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 19.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.36%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 16.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.73%.
kr Rain vs fr Lilbow has a 12.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 7.93%.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 11.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.5%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 7.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.41%.
kr INnoVation vs kr sOs has a 5.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.27%.

"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-09-25 13:42:48
September 25 2015 13:40 GMT
#914
after Hyun vs Rain and Leenock vs Reality

Most Likely Matches (compared to earlier today after Maru vs Innovation)
kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 81.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.84%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 71.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.08%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 62.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.18%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 57.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 80.69%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 50.84% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 33.2%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 44.27% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 35.58%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 42.98% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.31%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 42.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 46.54%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 37.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.82%.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 28.95% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.92%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 26.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 27.59%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 18.4% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.7%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 11.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 24.7%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 6.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.46%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 6.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.71%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 6.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.42%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 3.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.51%.


+ Show Spoiler [If sOs beats Curious] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 67.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 81.6%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 62.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 62.29%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 57.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 57.05%.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 51.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.96%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 48.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.04%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 45.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 42.3%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 42.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 42.95%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 42.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 50.79%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 37.66% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 37.71%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 32.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 18.4%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 30.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 44.24%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 20.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 11.5%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 18.38% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 26.8%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 12.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.9%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 12.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.9%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 11.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.55%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 7.08% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.01%.


+ Show Spoiler [If Curious beats sOs] +

kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 81.6%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 71.04%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 62.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 50.79%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 62.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 44.24%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 62.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 62.29%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 56.38% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 57.05%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 43.62% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 42.95%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 37.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 26.8%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 37.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.71%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 37.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 42.3%.


Solar vs Snute doesn't have any large effects
+ Show Spoiler [If Hyun beats Reality] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 83.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 81.6%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 76.75% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 42.95%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 71.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 71.04%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 62.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 62.29%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 52.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 50.79%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 44.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 44.24%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 41.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 42.3%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 37.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 37.71%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 28.95% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 28.96%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 26.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 26.8%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 23.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 57.05%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 16.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 18.4%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 10.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 11.5%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 7.9% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.55%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 6.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.9%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 6.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.9%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 4.8% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.01%.


+ Show Spoiler [If Reality beats Hyun] +

kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 57.05%.
kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 78.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 81.6%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 71.03% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.04%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 62.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 62.29%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 49.09% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 50.79%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 44.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 44.24%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 42.98% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 42.3%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 37.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.71%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 28.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.96%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 26.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 26.8%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 21.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 18.4%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 13.2% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 11.5%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 7.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.9%.
kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 7.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.9%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 4.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.55%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 2.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.01%.



GSL finals
+ Show Spoiler [If Byul wins] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.71%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 81.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 81.6%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 81.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 42.3%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 71.08% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 71.04%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 71.08% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 26.8%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 57.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 57.05%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 42.98% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 42.95%.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 28.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 28.96%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr ByuL vs kr Zest has a 18.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.9%.
kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 18.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 18.4%.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 18.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.9%.
kr ByuL vs kr sOs has a 10.62% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.01%.


+ Show Spoiler [If Byul loses AGAIN] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 62.29%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 81.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 50.79%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 81.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 81.6%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 71.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.04%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 71.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 44.24%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 57.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 57.05%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 42.94% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 42.95%.
kr PartinG vs fr Lilbow has a 28.98% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.96%.
+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +

kr Rain vs kr sOs has a 18.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 18.4%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 18.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 42.3%.
kr Polt vs kr INnoVation has a 18.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 11.5%.
kr Life vs kr sOs has a 10.52% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.55%.

"Expert" mods4ever.com
graNite
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Germany4434 Posts
September 25 2015 13:57 GMT
#915
is there a way to see or calculate how good the predictions were so far?
"Oink oink, bitches" - Tasteless on Pigbaby winning a map against Flash
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
September 25 2015 14:00 GMT
#916
On September 25 2015 22:57 graNite wrote:
is there a way to see or calculate how good the predictions were so far?

sure, look forward to the retrospectives
also I guess you could look at how much numbers changed just by messing with the comp_days parameter
http://sc2.4ever.tv/?comp_days=100#biggest-winners-section
"Expert" mods4ever.com
HelpMeGetBetter
Profile Blog Joined November 2012
United States764 Posts
September 25 2015 14:02 GMT
#917
has it been confirmed that the first games are on Sunday November 1st?
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
September 25 2015 14:14 GMT
#918
On September 25 2015 23:02 HelpMeGetBetter wrote:
has it been confirmed that the first games are on Sunday November 1st?

yep http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2015_WCS_Global_Finals
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-09-25 14:31:14
September 25 2015 14:22 GMT
#919
WCS Global Finals bracket so far
[image loading]

+ Show Spoiler [some guy on reddit made this] +

I didn't check it fully for accuracy, but looks good at a glance
[image loading]
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
September 25 2015 19:46 GMT
#920
WCS Global Final bracket so far, updated after Hyun vs Reality and sOs vs Solar
[image loading]

Most Likely Matches (compared to before the semifinals)
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 50.26%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 68.38%.
kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 76.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 42.09%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 62.37% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 42.64%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 62.37% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 31.34%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 62.37% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 62.36%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 37.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 37.64%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 37.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 45.47%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 37.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 18.92%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 23.43% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 57.91%.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
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