The website was completely rewritten, check it out NEW WEBSITE! Here is the FAQ.
Aside from the full redesign there are some new features. Here are the big ones.
AFK Chances - This shows what their Blizzcon Chances are if you assume they earn no more points, this would be helpful in looking at the situations we saw with sOs and Jaedong last year for example. Everyone is currently at 0% AFK Chances because they all need more points in order to make it.
Branched Simulations - This allows for the possibility of looking at really specific theoretical scenarios, read the FAQ on the website for more info about this.
WCS Wars - WCS Wars is a fantasy league based on the median WCS points as determined by WCS Predictor (Wikipedia link for median). You currently start the game with 18,000 WCS Points to buy players with (this starting number will need to be adjusted depending on the season). Each player's cost = median_wcs_points + base_cost, where the base_cost is currently 2000. Build a team of up to 5 players, hope that your players win to boost their Median WCS Points, and you can sell them to buy different players. Selling gives you 99% of their worth. Check the Leaderboard section at the bottom of the WCS Wars page!
Graphs in the Biggest Winners/Losers sections, and WCS Points Cutoffs graphs.
Tournaments in Upcoming section, with countdowns and stream links.
Events tables have default filters for "simple" and "is-likely", with buttons to change filters easily, and you can still type custom filters. The "i" icon next to the events shows their keywords. You can also filter by < (less than) and > (greater than) percentages, every whole number percent from 0 to 100 works. Examples of filtering by percentages are: "B<10%" for events that result in Blizzcon Chances worse than 10%, or "P>20%" for events that have a probability over 20%.
Also make sure to check the "More" dropdown on the top menu to see more pages, like the Tournaments page.
With Dreamhack Stockholm completed, the only points left to give out are from the GSL Finals in . Then the only thing left will be the tie breaker match between Fantasy and Hyun. But for most of our players, they are done for the year and know who they will be facing in the WCS Global Finals. Now we can start looking at the the journey these players took to qualify, and maybe some that almost qualified. I will be doing these in no particular order, and I hope to do at least 10 of them.
Congratulations to the season 3 champion CruSaderSC! Now you get a 2nd trophy next to your name, and your choice of TL+ or Reddit Gold. Our 2nd place is OtherWorld.
#8 Darkened's team is worth 20,471 WCS Points with GuMiho (4225), Jaedong (4000), ByuL (6975), Snute (4050), and 1221 unspent points.
#9 Solar424's team is worth 20,350 WCS Points with ForGG (4425), MaNa (3775), TRUE (3775), MarineLorD (3375), Dear (4425), and 575 unspent points.
#10 XPA's team is worth 20,317 WCS Points with Rain (7175), INnoVation (7325), Zest (5675), and 142 unspent points.
#11 Ejwoda's team is worth 20,229 WCS Points with FanTaSy (5025), Hydra (7000), Zest (5675), Ejwoda (2000), and 529 unspent points.
#12 DarkGamer's team is worth 19,925 WCS Points with INnoVation (7325), Hydra (7000), Solar (4700), and 900 unspent points.
#13 SoulRiM's team is worth 19,914 WCS Points with INnoVation (7325), herO (9900), SoulRiM (2000), and 689 unspent points.
#14 shid0x's team is worth 19,500 WCS Points with MMA (3475), Flash (2975), soO (3850), FanTaSy (5025), MarineLorD (3375), and 800 unspent points.
#15 Sargeo's team is worth 19,469 WCS Points with ByuL (6975), Classic (6550), Zest (5675), and 269 unspent points.
#16 Die4Ever's team is worth 19,206 WCS Points with Maru (8050), Dark (4925), sOs (5525), and 706 unspent points.
#17 lkyaugust's team is worth 19,025 WCS Points with Life (7475), Jaedong (4000), Snute (4050), Zanster (3025), and 475 unspent points.
#18 Nephrite's team is worth 18,900 WCS Points with INnoVation (7325), soO (3850), Zest (5675), and 2050 unspent points.
#19 ropespierre's team is worth 18,875 WCS Points with sOs (5525), and 13350 unspent points.
#20 patton's team is worth 18,513 WCS Points with viOLet (2850), Polt (5875), Maru (8050), and 1738 unspent points.
#21 Jolt1111's team is worth 18,447 WCS Points with Maru (8050), San (2850), sOs (5525), and 2022 unspent points.
#22 NecroPhagist's team is worth 18,325 WCS Points with HyuN (5025), Maru (8050), Dark (4925), and 325 unspent points.
#23 im0001's team is worth 18,250 WCS Points with elfi (2550), Snute (4050), TLO (3550), MaSa (2300), Kane (2800), and 3000 unspent points.
#24 BluFenix's team is worth 18,175 WCS Points with Polt (5875), Dear (4425), and 7875 unspent points.
#25 ChaosSmurf's team is worth 18,125 WCS Points with Life (7475), FanTaSy (5025), Lilbow (5625), and 0 unspent points.
#26 Poussin's team is worth 18,125 WCS Points with Dark (4925), and 13200 unspent points.
#27 YenFu's team is worth 18,000 WCS Points with sOs (5525), Classic (6550), Zest (5675), and 250 unspent points.
#28 Overmind's team is worth 18,000 WCS Points with Life (7475), Hydra (7000), and 3525 unspent points.
#29 Divain's team is worth 18,000 WCS Points with INnoVation (7325), ByuL (6975), and 3700 unspent points.
#30 The_Templar's team is worth 18,000 WCS Points with ByuL (6975), and 11025 unspent points.
#31 Cricketer's team is worth 18,000 WCS Points with ByuL (6975), and 11025 unspent points.
#32 nuzznard's team is worth 17,975 WCS Points with herO (9900), Lilbow (5625), and 2450 unspent points.
#33 ZAWGURN's team is worth 17,770 WCS Points with herO (9900), and 7870 unspent points.
#34 quinn123's team is worth 17,450 WCS Points with Polt (5875), Flash (2975), Snute (4050), Bunny (4025), and 525 unspent points.
#35 refuused's team is worth 17,400 WCS Points with ForGG (4425), GuMiho (4225), Maru (8050), and 700 unspent points.
And if we add up the points from all 3 seasons, it's no surprise that CruSaderSC; with his 2nd place in season 1, 17th place in season 2, and 1st place in season 3; is our champion of the whole year! These top 16 of the year will have their #prediction posts specially highlighted on the PASSIONBOARD for the WCS Global Finals LR threads! If you're in this top 16 and your username on WCS Wars does not match your username on TL then please let me know.
2015 Total Leaderboard
#1 CruSaderSC with 49344 points #2 karl1ok with 48433 points #3 lukasus with 47917 points #4 sharkie with 46402 points #5 OtherWorld with 45788 points #6 Darkened with 42806 points #7 Die4Ever with 41715 points #8 Sargeo with 40174 points #9 patton with 39655 points #10 The_Templar with 37267 points #11 Solar424 with 34100 points #12 KatatoniK with 32019 points #13 SoulRiM with 26902 points #14 GYM with 23202 points #15 Tofu33 with 23004 points #16 sadeiko with 21801 points + Show Spoiler [More] +
#17 Xithryl with 21463 points #18 Sephrenya with 21184 points #19 Deltia with 20517 points #20 XPA with 20317 points #21 Ejwoda with 20229 points #22 Darkdwarf with 20195 points #23 DarkGamer with 19925 points #24 shid0x with 19500 points #25 Magnuz with 19075 points #26 lkyaugust with 19025 points #27 Nephrite with 18900 points #28 ropespierre with 18875 points #29 Jolt1111 with 18447 points #30 SkyHigh with 18425 points #31 ch1ll1ng with 18350 points #32 NecroPhagist with 18325 points #33 im0001 with 18250 points #34 BluFenix with 18175 points #35 Poussin with 18125 points #36 ChaosSmurf with 18125 points #37 Divain with 18000 points #38 YenFu with 18000 points #39 Cricketer with 18000 points #40 Overmind with 18000 points #41 nuzznard with 17975 points #42 ZAWGURN with 17770 points #43 quinn123 with 17450 points #44 refuused with 17400 points #45 Topher with 16900 points #46 Sakat with 14453 points #47 FloW with 14125 points #48 samsungjackets with 14100 points #49 stardust with 13525 points #50 El DesMadre with 13449 points #51 loves_to_69 with 13250 points #52 Surfacing with 12925 points #53 80hd10 with 12800 points #54 Alurian with 12800 points #55 Bockwurst with 12713 points #56 lllllllllll Kappa with 12477 points #57 samsara with 12409 points #58 Universe with 12325 points #59 edwahn with 12132 points #60 LYLY with 12125 points #61 temponly with 12100 points #62 WaspVenoM with 11900 points #63 adalander with 11879 points #64 collo with 11775 points #65 daffe with 11575 points #66 Asmiran with 11225 points #67 Swisslink with 11175 points #68 seph with 11050 points #69 invisigoat with 10783 points #70 denon39 with 10750 points #71 BMKingPrime with 10675 points #72 Wedge with 10283 points #73 puCK with 10213 points #74 kasraman1000 with 9953 points #75 JackBeckman with 9800 points #76 AweesomeSauce with 9699 points #77 Darquess with 9650 points #78 MMi with 9625 points #79 t0rment with 9525 points #80 Lucrania with 9425 points #81 Totorosc2 with 9375 points #82 Trumpet with 9025 points #83 Kuchiki with 8900 points #84 Philouzy with 8562 points #85 YankoBzykant with 8525 points #86 oufanforever with 8474 points #87 Taari with 8375 points #88 feebleFanfare with 8338 points #89 Tarmil with 8325 points #90 KingofdaHipHop with 8275 points #91 badbeat with 8225 points #92 Nezgar with 8190 points #93 Supernopro with 7963 points #94 User15937 with 7950 points #95 Seigifried with 7875 points #96 belling with 7813 points #97 NotTrulyEvil with 7725 points #98 baxon with 7675 points #99 Flume with 7575 points #100 SPRX97 with 7500 points #101 showstealer1829 with 7455 points #102 Bentheboss with 7375 points #103 velimirg with 7313 points #104 Corvus with 7225 points #105 Newbish4life with 7150 points #106 TeHa with 7062 points #107 Pnissen with 6995 points #108 LastHope with 6475 points #109 Colouss with 6371 points #110 Hjax with 6325 points #111 qqmagnuz with 6300 points #112 codecrunsher with 6288 points
Stats time!
Best Trades
#1 karl1ok gained 2500 points from INnoVation, bought on Tuesday, Jul 07 10:27am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4825 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points.
#2 CruSaderSC gained 2500 points from INnoVation, bought on Sunday, Jul 05 8:33pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4825 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points.
#3 lukasus gained 1825 points from INnoVation, bought on Tuesday, Jul 14 7:12pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5500 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points.
#4 Ejwoda gained 1654 points from ByuL, bought on Tuesday, Jun 30 8:40am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5350 points, sold on Friday, Sep 11 9:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7004 points.
#5 Nephrite gained 1650 points from INnoVation, bought on Saturday, Jul 25 7:52am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5675 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points.
#6 CruSaderSC gained 1600 points from Lilbow, bought on Sunday, Jul 05 8:33pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4025 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5625 points.
#7 KatatoniK gained 1600 points from Lilbow, bought on Monday, Jul 06 3:38pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4025 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5625 points.
#8 Deltia gained 1550 points from ByuL, bought on Wednesday, Jul 01 7:09am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5425 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6975 points.
#9 lukasus gained 1518 points from Lilbow, bought on Tuesday, Aug 25 3:01pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4050 points, sold on Monday, Sep 21 2:56pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5568 points.
#10 Sargeo gained 1350 points from ByuL, bought on Sunday, Jul 12 7:03pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5625 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6975 points.
#11 sharkie gained 1275 points from INnoVation, bought on Friday, Aug 28 8:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6050 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points.
#12 OtherWorld gained 1218 points from Lilbow, bought on Friday, Sep 11 10:13pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4350 points, sold on Monday, Sep 14 3:56am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5568 points.
#13 KatatoniK gained 1200 points from ByuL, bought on Monday, Jul 06 3:38pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5775 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6975 points.
#14 DarkGamer gained 1050 points from INnoVation, bought on Tuesday, Aug 11 9:08am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6275 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points.
#15 sharkie gained 1033 points from ByuL, bought on Thursday, Jul 23 8:41am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5525 points, sold on Tuesday, Sep 08 6:52am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6558 points.
#16 Die4Ever gained 1009 points from INnoVation, bought on Wednesday, Jul 15 12:47am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5500 points, sold on Thursday, Sep 24 12:28pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6509 points.
#17 ropespierre gained 800 points from sOs, bought on Tuesday, Jun 30 4:08am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4725 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5525 points.
#18 Jolt1111 gained 800 points from sOs, bought on Tuesday, Jun 30 5:31am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4725 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5525 points.
#19 DarkGamer gained 750 points from Solar, bought on Tuesday, Aug 11 9:09am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3950 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4700 points.
#20 XPA gained 750 points from INnoVation, bought on Friday, Sep 25 8:22am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6575 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points.
#21 CruSaderSC gained 711 points from soO, bought on Sunday, Jul 05 8:35pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3100 points, sold on Friday, Aug 28 11:55pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3811 points.
#22 SoulRiM gained 703 points from Solar, bought on Saturday, Aug 29 12:35pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3950 points, sold on Saturday, Sep 26 2:36pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4653 points.
#23 karl1ok gained 700 points from ByuL, bought on Tuesday, Sep 01 10:26am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6275 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6975 points.
#24 SoulRiM gained 693 points from Lilbow, bought on Sunday, Sep 13 7:58am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4875 points, sold on Monday, Sep 21 5:20pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5568 points.
#25 karl1ok gained 693 points from Lilbow, bought on Sunday, Sep 13 12:03pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4875 points, sold on Friday, Sep 25 8:09am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5568 points.
Worst Trades
#1 Jolt1111 lost 625 points from San, bought on Tuesday, Jun 30 6:19am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3475 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2850 points.
#2 Nephrite lost 600 points from Zest, bought on Saturday, Jul 25 7:51am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6275 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5675 points.
#3 XPA lost 470 points from ByuL, bought on Saturday, Sep 19 11:35am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7375 points, sold on Friday, Sep 25 8:23am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6905 points.
#4 Nephrite lost 450 points from soO, bought on Saturday, Jul 25 7:50am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4300 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3850 points.
#5 sharkie lost 425 points from Dark, bought on Wednesday, Jul 08 10:35pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5350 points, sold on Thursday, Jul 09 3:11pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4925 points.
#6 OtherWorld lost 425 points from Dark, bought on Thursday, Jul 09 9:05am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5350 points, sold on Thursday, Jul 09 6:23pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4925 points.
#7 Darkened lost 400 points from ByuL, bought on Thursday, Sep 17 4:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7375 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6975 points.
#8 Die4Ever lost 395 points from ForGG, bought on Saturday, Sep 12 8:06pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4775 points, sold on Thursday, Sep 24 12:28pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4380 points.
#9 quinn123 lost 375 points from Bunny, bought on Tuesday, Jun 30 4:43am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4400 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4025 points.
#10 OtherWorld lost 372 points from Journey, bought on Thursday, Jul 02 8:04am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2525 points, sold on Friday, Jul 03 7:16am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2153 points.
#11 sharkie lost 370 points from Hydra, bought on Friday, Sep 11 8:49pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7300 points, sold on Saturday, Sep 12 7:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6930 points.
#12 lukasus lost 366 points from Classic, bought on Thursday, Aug 13 7:38am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6850 points, sold on Tuesday, Aug 25 3:01pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6484 points.
#13 lukasus lost 366 points from Classic, bought on Wednesday, Sep 16 9:22am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6850 points, sold on Monday, Sep 21 2:56pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6484 points.
#14 OtherWorld lost 360 points from Zest, bought on Wednesday, Aug 19 8:16pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6225 points, sold on Thursday, Aug 20 5:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5865 points.
#15 OtherWorld lost 356 points from soO, bought on Thursday, Jul 02 8:04am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3375 points, sold on Friday, Jul 03 7:16am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3019 points.
#16 lukasus lost 350 points from Dear, bought on Tuesday, Sep 22 1:44pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4775 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4425 points.
#17 refuused lost 350 points from ForGG, bought on Sunday, Sep 13 1:27am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4775 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4425 points.
#18 quinn123 lost 350 points from Snute, bought on Tuesday, Jun 30 4:43am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4400 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4050 points.
#19 karl1ok lost 344 points from HyuN, bought on Tuesday, Aug 11 12:20pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4675 points, sold on Friday, Aug 14 9:15am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4331 points.
#20 lukasus lost 343 points from Lilbow, bought on Tuesday, Jul 14 7:16pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4575 points, sold on Thursday, Aug 06 7:12am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4232 points.
#21 sharkie lost 332 points from Petraeus, bought on Friday, Sep 11 8:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3425 points, sold on Saturday, Sep 12 7:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3093 points.
#22 Darkened lost 332 points from Petraeus, bought on Friday, Sep 11 2:47pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3425 points, sold on Thursday, Sep 17 4:49pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3093 points.
#23 Darkened lost 314 points from soO, bought on Sunday, Aug 02 12:56pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4125 points, sold on Wednesday, Aug 26 3:14pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3811 points.
#24 Ejwoda lost 300 points from Hydra, bought on Friday, Sep 11 9:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7300 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7000 points.
#25 XPA lost 289 points from soO, bought on Tuesday, Aug 25 3:27pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4100 points, sold on Wednesday, Aug 26 2:21pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3811 points.
Quickest Profitable Sales
#1 XPA gained 92 points from Bomber over a span of 7 hours, bought on Wednesday, Jul 22 8:20am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3150 points, sold on Wednesday, Jul 22 4:04pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3242 points.
#2 OtherWorld gained 116 points from Zest over a span of 9 hours, bought on Thursday, Jul 09 9:05am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5725 points, sold on Thursday, Jul 09 6:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5841 points.
#3 OtherWorld gained 188 points from Polt over a span of 11 hours, bought on Thursday, Aug 13 4:54pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5875 points, sold on Friday, Aug 14 4:49am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6063 points.
#4 sharkie gained 266 points from FireCake over a span of 12 hours, bought on Thursday, Jul 09 7:02pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3100 points, sold on Friday, Jul 10 7:42am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3366 points.
#5 sharkie gained 70 points from iaguz over a span of 13 hours, bought on Saturday, Jul 11 10:36pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2850 points, sold on Sunday, Jul 12 11:44am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2920 points.
#6 OtherWorld gained 405 points from GuMiho over a span of 14 hours, bought on Friday, Sep 11 6:08am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4025 points, sold on Friday, Sep 11 8:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4430 points.
#7 OtherWorld gained 146 points from Rogue over a span of 14 hours, bought on Friday, Jul 03 7:22am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5200 points, sold on Friday, Jul 03 10:12pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5346 points.
#8 OtherWorld gained 275 points from sOs over a span of 14 hours, bought on Friday, Jul 03 7:19am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4650 points, sold on Friday, Jul 03 10:12pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4925 points.
#9 OtherWorld gained 143 points from ByuL over a span of 14 hours, bought on Friday, Jul 03 7:17am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5425 points, sold on Friday, Jul 03 10:12pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5568 points.
#10 sharkie gained 198 points from INnoVation over a span of 15 hours, bought on Friday, Jul 10 7:44am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4900 points, sold on Friday, Jul 10 11:12pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5098 points.
#11 Darkened gained 143 points from ByuL over a span of 16 hours, bought on Thursday, Jul 02 9:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5425 points, sold on Friday, Jul 03 1:33pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5568 points.
#12 Darkened gained 121 points from Rogue over a span of 16 hours, bought on Thursday, Jul 02 9:03pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5225 points, sold on Friday, Jul 03 1:33pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5346 points.
#13 OtherWorld gained 162 points from soO over a span of 18 hours, bought on Saturday, Jul 11 11:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3600 points, sold on Sunday, Jul 12 5:57pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3762 points.
#14 OtherWorld gained 167 points from soO over a span of 18 hours, bought on Sunday, Jul 05 8:45pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3100 points, sold on Monday, Jul 06 3:38pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3267 points.
#15 OtherWorld gained 42 points from ByuL over a span of 18 hours, bought on Sunday, Jul 05 8:44pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5675 points, sold on Monday, Jul 06 3:38pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5717 points.
#16 OtherWorld gained 227 points from Rain over a span of 19 hours, bought on Thursday, Aug 06 8:08am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6925 points, sold on Friday, Aug 07 3:19am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7152 points.
#17 Die4Ever gained 90 points from soO over a span of 19 hours, bought on Friday, Jul 10 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3300 points, sold on Friday, Jul 10 11:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3390 points.
#18 Darkened gained 143 points from uThermal over a span of 19 hours, bought on Tuesday, Jul 28 11:15am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3025 points, sold on Wednesday, Jul 29 7:04am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3168 points.
#19 Darkened gained 33 points from ForGG over a span of 19 hours, bought on Tuesday, Jul 28 11:15am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4050 points, sold on Wednesday, Jul 29 7:03am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4083 points.
#20 Darkened gained 138 points from TLO over a span of 19 hours, bought on Tuesday, Jul 28 11:15am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3500 points, sold on Wednesday, Jul 29 7:04am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3638 points.
#21 sharkie gained 95 points from Petraeus over a span of 20 hours, bought on Saturday, Jul 11 10:37pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2800 points, sold on Sunday, Jul 12 7:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2895 points.
#22 sharkie gained 47 points from sKyHigh over a span of 20 hours, bought on Wednesday, Jul 08 10:36pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2650 points, sold on Thursday, Jul 09 7:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2697 points.
#23 OtherWorld gained 145 points from iaguz over a span of 21 hours, bought on Sunday, Aug 16 7:52am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2775 points, sold on Monday, Aug 17 5:17am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2920 points.
#24 OtherWorld gained 244 points from Petraeus over a span of 21 hours, bought on Saturday, Jul 04 11:14pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2825 points, sold on Sunday, Jul 05 8:43pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3069 points.
#25 OtherWorld gained 164 points from MarineLorD over a span of 21 hours, bought on Sunday, Aug 16 7:47am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3375 points, sold on Monday, Aug 17 5:17am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3539 points.
Givers
#1 INnoVation gave 14026 points with 17 trades, for an average of 825 points per trade.
#2 ByuL gave 8120 points with 23 trades, for an average of 353 points per trade.
#3 Lilbow gave 7996 points with 17 trades, for an average of 470 points per trade.
#4 sOs gave 2587 points with 10 trades, for an average of 258 points per trade.
#5 Solar gave 1774 points with 4 trades, for an average of 443 points per trade.
#1 INnoVation gained 2825 points over 87 days, going from 4500 points on Tuesday, Jun 30 2:36am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 7325 points on Friday, Sep 25 11:14am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#2 ByuL gained 2025 points over 78 days, going from 5350 points on Tuesday, Jun 30 2:36am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 7375 points on Wednesday, Sep 16 12:09pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#3 Lilbow gained 1675 points over 64 days, going from 3950 points on Friday, Jul 10 10:42pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 5625 points on Sunday, Sep 13 5:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#4 Solar gained 1525 points over 79 days, going from 3175 points on Wednesday, Jul 08 5:09am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4700 points on Saturday, Sep 26 4:09am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#5 herO gained 1450 points over 48 days, going from 8450 points on Friday, Jul 24 12:17am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 9900 points on Thursday, Sep 10 10:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#6 HyuN gained 1250 points over 16 days, going from 3750 points on Tuesday, Jun 30 9:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 5000 points on Friday, Jul 17 7:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#7 soO gained 1250 points over 12 days, going from 3050 points on Friday, Jul 03 4:17am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4300 points on Wednesday, Jul 15 4:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#8 MaNa gained 1225 points over 50 days, going from 2800 points on Saturday, Jul 25 6:58am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4025 points on Sunday, Sep 13 5:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#9 Zest gained 1150 points over 31 days, going from 5250 points on Tuesday, Jun 30 2:36am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 6400 points on Friday, Jul 31 4:18pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#10 sOs gained 1025 points over 48 days, going from 4500 points on Friday, Aug 07 5:32am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 5525 points on Thursday, Sep 24 10:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#11 PartinG gained 950 points over 50 days, going from 7425 points on Saturday, Jul 11 1:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 8375 points on Monday, Aug 31 12:48am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#12 ForGG gained 950 points over 63 days, going from 3825 points on Saturday, Jul 11 1:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4775 points on Saturday, Sep 12 7:02pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#13 Dear gained 950 points over 28 days, going from 3825 points on Tuesday, Aug 18 9:03pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4775 points on Wednesday, Sep 16 12:09pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#14 Losira gained 875 points over 23 days, going from 2400 points on Wednesday, Jul 08 5:09am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3275 points on Friday, Jul 31 9:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#15 FanTaSy gained 875 points over 17 days, going from 4575 points on Monday, Jul 13 7:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 5450 points on Friday, Jul 31 2:54am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#16 Rain gained 850 points over 22 days, going from 6925 points on Thursday, Aug 06 2:49am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 7775 points on Friday, Aug 28 8:36pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#17 Rain gained 750 points over 11 days, going from 7075 points on Tuesday, Jun 30 2:36am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 7825 points on Sunday, Jul 12 12:27am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#18 Curious gained 750 points over 5 days, going from 3575 points on Wednesday, Jul 15 4:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4325 points on Tuesday, Jul 21 4:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#19 Patience gained 750 points over 10 days, going from 2900 points on Monday, Jul 06 10:13pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3650 points on Friday, Jul 17 7:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#20 TRUE gained 725 points over 4 days, going from 3400 points on Monday, Jul 13 7:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4125 points on Friday, Jul 17 9:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#21 Happy gained 700 points over 8 days, going from 2325 points on Monday, Jul 06 2:37pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3025 points on Tuesday, Jul 14 3:55pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#22 uThermal gained 675 points over 24 days, going from 2650 points on Sunday, Jul 05 9:57pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3325 points on Thursday, Jul 30 4:20pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#23 HyuN gained 650 points over 41 days, going from 4375 points on Friday, Aug 14 3:01pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 5025 points on Friday, Sep 25 1:29pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#24 Zanster gained 650 points over 64 days, going from 2375 points on Wednesday, Jul 08 5:09am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3025 points on Friday, Sep 11 3:10am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#25 Classic gained 625 points over 21 days, going from 6425 points on Thursday, Jul 16 1:33pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 7050 points on Friday, Aug 07 12:02am GMT (GMT+00:00).
Untapped Potential
#1 Losira gained 875 points over 23 days, going from 2400 points on Wednesday, Jul 08 5:09am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3275 points on Friday, Jul 31 9:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#2 Patience gained 750 points over 10 days, going from 2900 points on Monday, Jul 06 10:13pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3650 points on Friday, Jul 17 7:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#3 TY gained 600 points over 8 days, going from 4025 points on Tuesday, Aug 11 7:13pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4625 points on Thursday, Aug 20 1:54pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#4 Nerchio gained 525 points over 6 days, going from 2225 points on Monday, Jul 06 2:37pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2750 points on Sunday, Jul 12 8:48pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#5 StarDust gained 400 points over 65 hours, going from 3000 points on Monday, Jul 13 7:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3400 points on Thursday, Jul 16 1:33pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#6 Has gained 400 points over 19 days, going from 2675 points on Sunday, Jul 19 9:09am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3075 points on Saturday, Aug 08 5:53am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#7 Leenock gained 375 points over 43 hours, going from 3150 points on Wednesday, Sep 23 4:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3525 points on Friday, Sep 25 11:14am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#8 TaeJa gained 375 points over 15 days, going from 2275 points on Wednesday, Jul 01 4:07am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2650 points on Thursday, Jul 16 9:42pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#9 BBoongBBoong gained 375 points over 23 hours, going from 2125 points on Thursday, Jul 30 4:20pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2500 points on Friday, Jul 31 4:18pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#10 TY gained 375 points over 10 days, going from 4000 points on Wednesday, Jul 08 10:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4375 points on Sunday, Jul 19 4:13am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#11 Reality gained 375 points over 28 hours, going from 2000 points on Thursday, Sep 24 12:07pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2375 points on Friday, Sep 25 4:43pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#12 MyuNgSiK gained 375 points over 7 days, going from 3950 points on Wednesday, Jul 01 10:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4325 points on Thursday, Jul 09 9:43pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#13 NaNiwa gained 325 points over 7 days, going from 2325 points on Monday, Jul 06 2:37pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2650 points on Monday, Jul 13 7:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#14 MyuNgSiK gained 325 points over 22 hours, going from 3925 points on Wednesday, Aug 05 8:01pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4250 points on Thursday, Aug 06 6:11pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#15 neeb gained 300 points over 20 days, going from 2000 points on Thursday, Jul 02 1:44pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2300 points on Wednesday, Jul 22 11:17pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#16 DmC gained 300 points over 33 hours, going from 2000 points on Wednesday, Jul 08 2:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2300 points on Friday, Jul 10 12:24am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#17 MacSed gained 275 points over 10 days, going from 2450 points on Tuesday, Jul 28 7:45pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2725 points on Saturday, Aug 08 3:04am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#18 YongHwa gained 250 points over 21 hours, going from 2250 points on Wednesday, Jul 15 4:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2500 points on Thursday, Jul 16 1:49pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#19 Seed gained 250 points over 1 hours, going from 2150 points on Wednesday, Jul 15 4:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2400 points on Wednesday, Jul 15 6:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#20 KeeN gained 250 points over 7 hours, going from 2175 points on Thursday, Jul 30 2:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2425 points on Thursday, Jul 30 9:47pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#21 Sen gained 250 points over 23 hours, going from 2625 points on Saturday, Aug 15 7:49am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2875 points on Sunday, Aug 16 7:27am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#22 SuperNova gained 250 points over 1 hours, going from 2150 points on Wednesday, Jul 15 4:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2400 points on Wednesday, Jul 15 6:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#23 Alicia gained 250 points over 1 hours, going from 2000 points on Wednesday, Jul 15 4:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2250 points on Wednesday, Jul 15 6:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#24 MorroW gained 250 points over 3 days, going from 2275 points on Sunday, Jul 12 8:48pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2525 points on Thursday, Jul 16 6:23pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#25 TooDming gained 250 points over 8 hours, going from 2250 points on Tuesday, Jul 28 7:45pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2500 points on Wednesday, Jul 29 4:03am GMT (GMT+00:00).
Best Timing
#1 CruSaderSC with INnoVation gained 2500 points but could've gained 2825 points if bought 5 days earlier and sold 21 hours earlier.
#2 karl1ok with INnoVation gained 2500 points but could've gained 2825 points if bought 7 days earlier and sold 21 hours earlier.
#3 CruSaderSC with Lilbow gained 1600 points but could've gained 1675 points if bought 3 days later and sold 21 hours earlier.
#4 KatatoniK with Lilbow gained 1600 points but could've gained 1675 points if bought 2 days later and sold 21 hours earlier.
#5 Deltia with ByuL gained 1550 points but could've gained 1625 points if bought 21 hours earlier and sold 21 hours earlier.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The Biggest Surprises of WCS 2015 Thursday, Oct 01 5:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4857)
If you didn't read my previous articles, these stats are calculated by WCS Predictor, which simulates every match in every tournament that gives WCS Points millions of times. Blizzcon Chances are the chances to qualify in the top 16 for Blizzcon, as rated by WCS Predictor.
Tied at DreamHack
At DreamHack Stockholm, in the round of 16, we had Fantasy vs Hyun. Both players flew to the event to pick up their last WCS Points and secure their Blizzcon Chances. If Fantasy lost then he would be knocked down to just 36.09% Blizzcon Chances; if Fantasy lost and Dark had won his match, then Fantasy would've been down to 0%. If Hyun lost then he'd have been knocked down to 0% as he needed at least a 2nd place. Hyun getting a 2nd place would tie him with Fantasy, but Dark could still pass them, and a 1st place would've put Hyun at 100%. People have been counting out Hyun all year long, saying he only made it previously by competing in the easier WCS America. He made the SSL round of 16 twice this year, but still most of his points came from strong performances in international tournaments. Then Hyun defeated Fantasy 2-0, showing how much he wanted to make to Blizzcon. Dark lost to Leenock, and sOs beat Harstem, meaning only Fantasy and Hyun had uncertain Blizzcon Chances. Against Rain, again people counted out Hyun, until he won 3-1. Hyun was facing Reality in the semifinals. Fantasy knew that Hyun would tie him with a 2nd place, and knock him out of the WCS Global Finals if he got 1st place. Hyun again won 3-1. Hyun's killing spree was ended in the finals by Solar with a 3-1 score. Now both Hyun and Fantasy can only practice as hype builds for their tie breaker match to determine who goes to the WCS Global Finals and who watches from home.
WCS Global Finals Bracket
Here is how the bracket looks showing all the possible players for each slot. The winner of the Hyun vs Fantasy tie breaker will face herO.
The GSL finals between Innovation and Byul determines the rest. If Byul beats Innovation, then Byul faces Lilbow, Innovation faces Classic, and Life faces Zest. If Innovation beats Byul, then Byul faces Classic, Innovation faces Zest, and Life faces Lilbow.
Innovation is currently 27-14 in WCS matches this year; 9-3 vs Zerg, 7-4 vs Terran, and 11-7 vs Protoss; making his vs Zerg his strongest matchup as usual. Byul is currently 24-9 in WCS matches this year; with an incredible 8-1 vs Terran, 4-2 vs Zerg, and 12-6 vs Protoss; making his vs Terran his strongest matchup. This is also a rematch from the SSL quarterfinals on August 20th where Byul kept his composure to barely win 3-2 over Innovation's mech on Terraform.
WCS Year Recap
Biggest surprise qualifications of this WCS year #1 Dream started the WCS year at 3.06%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.7% on December 9th. His lowest point in season 2 was 78.44% on April 7th. He hit 100% in season 2 after he made his second consecutive SSL finals by beating herO in the semifinals on June 4th.
#2 Hydra started at 9.25%. His lowest point in season 1 was 7.32% on December 8th. In season 2 it was 64.11% on April 14th. He hit 100% in season 2 when he baat Lilbow in the WCS finals on June 28th.
#3 Byul started at 10.64%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.09% on January 30th. In season 2 it was 8.69% on April 9th. In season 3 it was 80.86% on June 29th. Byul hit 100% when he beat TY in the SSL Season 3 semifinals on September 3rd.
#4 Lilbow started at 11.52%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.1% on April 5th. In season 2 it was 0.32% on April 14th just before qualifying for WCS. In season 3 it was 9.23% on July 11th. Lilbow hit 100% after he beat Mana in the WCS Season 3 finals on September 13th and Rogue and Gumiho were defeated in GSL.
#5 Rogue started at 14.81%. His lowest point in season 1 was 11.84% on November 30th. In season 2 it was 42.67% on April 11th. In season 3 it was 62.21% on August 2nd. Rogue hit 100% on September 24th after Byul beat Dear in the GSL semifinals and the DreamHack Stockholm bracket was drawn.
#6 Classic started at 20.70%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.60% on March 15th. In season 2 it was 7.60% on April 7th. In season 3 it was 99.69% on July 3rd. Classic hit 100% after he beat Parting in the IEM Shenzhen finals on July 19th.
#7 Maru started at 21.27%. His lowest point in season 1 was 19.42% on December 9th. Maru hit 100% after he beat Dream in the SSL Season 1 finals on March 21st.
#8 Life started at 27.60%. His lowest point in season 1 was 27.60% on November 17th. Life hit 100% after he beat Parting in the GSL Season 1 finals on March 22nd.
#9 Polt started at 30.95%. His lowest point in season 1 was 13.76% on January 14th. In season 2 it was 89.59% on June 25th. In season 3 it was 97.39% on July 17th. Polt hit 100% after he advanced from the WCS Season 3 round of 16.
#10 sOs started at 31.86%. His lowest point in season 1 was 15.37% on March 3rd. In season 2 it was 17.32% on May 19th. In season 3 it was 20.99% on August 1st. sOs hit 100% after he advanced to the DreamHack Stockholm round of 16 and Fantasy was eliminated on September 24th.
#11 INnoVation started at 38.12%. His lowest point in season 1 was 38.12% on November 17th. In season 2 it was 21.64% on June 24th. In season 3 it was 31.73% on July 1st. Innovation hit 100% after he advanced from the GSL Season 3 round of 16 on September 11th.
#12 Zest started at 39.82%. His lowest point in season 1 was 8.28% on March 9th. In season 2 it was 65.78% on April 6th. In season 3 it was 74.66% on June 29th. Zest hit 100% after several players were eliminated in the WCS Season 3 round of 16 on September 10th.
#13 Rain started at 41.37%. His lowest point in season 1 was 35.47% on March 26th. In season 2 it was 43.74% on April 8th. Rain hit 100% after he beat Byul in the GSL Season 2 finals on June 28th.
#14 PartinG started at 43.89%. His lowest point in season 1 was 36.79% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 99.73% on April 9th. Parting hit 100% after he beat Gumiho in the DreamHack Tours finals on May 9th.
#15 herO started at 44.24%. His lowest point in season 1 was 40.71% on November 18th. In season 2 it was 99.95% on April 28th. herO hit 100% after he beat Dear in the KeSPA Cup round of 16 on May 3rd.
Fantasy started the WCS year at 2.92%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.47% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 25.27% on April 9th. In season 3 it was 23.45% on September 25th, just before Hyun lost the DreamHack Stockholm final to Solar. Hyun started at 19.48%. His lowest point in season 1 was 3.48% on March 25th. In season 2 it was 5.32% on June 10th. In season 3 it was 2% on September 7th, just before he was confirmed going to DreamHack Stockholm.
Biggest surprise failures of this WCS year #1 Flash started at 42.79%. His highest point in season 1 was 50.06% on November 19th. In season 2 it was 4.42% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 0.66% on July 25th.
#2 TaeJa started at 37.98%. His highest point in season 1 was 72.12% on December 15th. In season 2 it was 1.61% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.01% on July 1st.
#3 Solar started at 31.96%. His highest point in season 1 was 57.35% on December 17th. In season 2 it was 16.76% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 13.84% on August 5th.
#4 Stats started at 29.76%. His highest point in season 1 was 70.26% on February 26th. In season 2 it was 82.65% on June 2nd. In season 3 it was 43.67% on June 29th.
#5 MajOr started at 28.88%. His highest point in season 1 was 35.81% on December 3rd. In season 2 it was 6.96% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.45% on June 30th.
#6 soO started at 27.30%. His highest point in season 1 was 29.79% on November 18th. In season 2 it was 24.69% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 19.58% on August 9th.
#7 Scarlett started at 24.43%. Her highest point in season 1 was 31.71% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 0.21% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 0.02% on June 30th.
#8 Bbyong started at 23.38%. His highest point in season 1 was 50.02% on April 2nd. In season 2 it was 47.88% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 6.31% on August 7th.
#9 MMA started at 23.23%. His highest point in season 1 was 46.91% on March 4th. In season 2 it was 22.31% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 1.13% on August 9th.
#10 Cure started at 22.86%. His highest point in season 1 was 32.42% on December 12th. In season 2 it was 4.46% on April 6th. In season 3 it was 0.25% on June 30th.
#11 TY started at 22.77%. His highest point in season 1 was 70.05% on December 19th. In season 2 it was 25.89% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 32.60% on August 20th.
#12 Bomber started at 21.82%. His highest point in season 1 was 40.82% on December 15th. In season 2 it was 12.33% on May 7th. In season 3 it was 1.01% on June 30th.
#13 Jim started at 21.41%. His highest point in season 1 was 21.41% on November 17th. In season 2 it was 0.69% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.11% on July 11th.
#14 ForGG started at 20.91%. His highest point in season 1 was 81.26% on January 7th. In season 2 it was 62.73% on May 7th. In season 3 it was 34.50% on September 12th.
#15 San started at 19.33%. His highest point in season 1 was 40.64% on December 17th. In season 2 it was 4.38% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 4.15% on June 29th.
#16 GuMiho started at 19.16%. His highest point in season 1 was 79.76% on December 24th. In season 2 it was 42.19% on May 20th. In season 3 it was 16.84% on September 11th.
#17 Sacsri started at 18.84%. His highest point in season 1 was 20.68% on November 30th. In season 2 it was 6.83% on May 2nd. In season 3 it was 0.48% on July 16th.
#18 YoDa started at 18.72%. His highest point in season 1 was 25.97% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 4.59% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.05% on June 30th.
#19 Soulkey started at 18.41%. His highest point in season 1 was 55.28% on April 3rd. In season 2 it was 61.80% on April 13th. In season 3 it was 4.50% on June 30th.
#20 viOLet started at 18.00%. His highest point in season 1 was 18.39% on December 3rd. In season 2 it was 6.74% on April 29th. In season 3 it was 0.57% on July 1st.
In addition to these 20 I'd like to highlight some that didn't start with the highest chances, but built up to high chances and then failed to qualify.
#22 Dear started at 17.46%. His highest point in season 1 was 64.09% on December 31st. In season 2 it was 34.47% on April 15th. In season 3 it was 23.81% on July 9th.
#27 Bunny started at 12.91%. His highest point in season 1 was 40.84% on April 5th. In season 2 it was 42.82% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 29.16% on July 2nd.
#30 Jaedong started at 12.14%. His highest point in season 1 was 22.93% on December 7th. In season 2 it was 28.78% on June 23rd. In season 3 it was 14.47% on August 23rd.
#35 Leenock started at 9.79%. His highest point in season 1 was 31.24% on January 16th. In season 2 it was 10.40% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 1.36% on June 30th.
#37 Dark started at 9.61%. His highest point in season 1 was 61.29% on March 27th. In season 2 it was 67.26% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 79.44% on August 22nd.
#38 Snute started at 9.51%. His highest point in season 1 was 42.62% on March 11th. In season 2 it was 28.50% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 28.36% on June 29th.
#40 Trap started at 8.77%. His highest point in season 1 was 57.50% on March 27th. In season 2 it was 48.99% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 25.83% on June 29th.
With Fantasy getting 16th place, and Hyun getting 2nd place, there will be a best of 5 tie breaker match between them for the 16th seed into the WCS Global Finals! The winner will face herO in the ro16. Biggest Winners and Losers since DH Stockholm player list set, before Byul vs Dear (Sim ID #4609 vs Sim ID #4851) Biggest Winners HyuN went up by 46.68%, going from 7.99% to 54.67% sOs went up by 7.36%, going from 92.64% to 100% Rogue went up by 1.25%, going from 98.75% to 100%
Biggest Losers Dark went down by 32.33%, going from 32.33% to 0% Dear went down by 19.92%, going from 19.92% to 0% FanTaSy went down by 3.04%, going from 48.37% to 45.33%
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! herO is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! INnoVation is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Maru is the current #4 Headband holder with 2 defenses!
Likely #1 Seeds herO has a 100% chance to be the #1 seed.
Likely #2 Seeds Maru has a 100% chance to be the #2 seed.
Likely #3 Seeds PartinG has a 100% chance to be the #3 seed.
Likely #4 Seeds Life has a 62.35% chance to be the #4 seed. ByuL has a 37.65% chance to be the #4 seed.
Likely #5 Seeds INnoVation has a 62.35% chance to be the #5 seed. Life has a 37.65% chance to be the #5 seed.
Likely #6 Seeds Rain has a 100% chance to be the #6 seed.
Likely #7 Seeds Hydra has a 100% chance to be the #7 seed.
Likely #8 Seeds ByuL has a 62.35% chance to be the #8 seed. INnoVation has a 37.65% chance to be the #8 seed.
Likely #9 Seeds Classic has a 100% chance to be the #9 seed.
Likely #10 Seeds Dream has a 100% chance to be the #10 seed.
Likely #11 Seeds Polt has a 100% chance to be the #11 seed.
Likely #12 Seeds Zest has a 100% chance to be the #12 seed.
Likely #13 Seeds Lilbow has a 100% chance to be the #13 seed.
Likely #14 Seeds sOs has a 100% chance to be the #14 seed.
Likely #15 Seeds Rogue has a 100% chance to be the #15 seed.
Likely #16 Seeds HyuN has a 54.67% chance to be the #16 seed. FanTaSy has a 45.33% chance to be the #16 seed.
Here is how the bracket looks showing all the possible players for each slot.
The winner of the Hyun vs Fantasy tie breaker will face herO. If Byul beats Innovation, then Byul faces Lilbow, Innovation faces Classic, and Life faces Zest. If Innovation beats Byul, then Byul faces Classic, Innovation faces Zest, and Life faces Lilbow.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.14%. Rain vs Polt has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.23%. PartinG vs sOs has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.74%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 45.32%. ByuL vs Classic has a 62.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 29.45%. Life vs Lilbow has a 62.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 57.44%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 62.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.13%. HyuN vs herO has a 54.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.1%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 45.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 36.44%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 37.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 20.35%. Life vs Zest has a 37.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 30.83%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 37.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.98%.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.65%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.65%. Life vs Zest has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.65%. Rain vs Polt has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. PartinG vs sOs has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. HyuN vs herO has a 54.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 54.67%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 45.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 45.33%.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. ByuL vs Classic has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 62.35%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 62.35%. Life vs Lilbow has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 62.35%. Rain vs Polt has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. PartinG vs sOs has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. HyuN vs herO has a 54.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 54.67%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 45.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 45.33%.
INnoVation vs ByuLin in GSL Code S Season 3 finals. INnoVation has the #3 Headband. INnoVation is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. ByuL is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.65% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
If you didn't read my previous articles, these stats are calculated by WCS Predictor, which simulates every match in every tournament that gives WCS Points millions of times. Blizzcon Chances are the chances to qualify in the top 16 for Blizzcon, as rated by WCS Predictor.
Fighting Till the End
On Friday we had DreamHack Stockholm complete their player listing, which had some big effects on Blizzcon Chances. Since the last article, we've had TY, Stats, and Gumiho all eliminated from the running since they were confirmed to be not attending DreamHack Stockholm. We also had Lilbow securing his spot to Blizzcon. The current 100% secured players are herO, Maru, Parting, Life, Hydra, Rain, Byul, Classic, Dream, Innovation, Polt, Zest, and Lilbow, with Rogue being very close at 99.03%. Rogue is currently at #14 with 3325 WCS Points, so he can only be knocked out if 3 players out of sOs/Fantasy/Dark/Dear pass him.
sOs seems to have learned his lesson from last year when he peaked at 96.65% Blizzcon Chances in early August and still didn't make it. sOs has an 84.96% chance even if he wins no points from Dreamhack (32nd place or worse), but he decided not to leave it to luck and took it into his own hands by attending. A 16th place here would put sOs up at 93.73%, and an 8th place puts him up to 99.97%, any higher placement locks him in at 100%.
The other players fighting for Blizzcon Chances at DreamHack Stockholm are Fantasy, Dark, Hyun, and ForGG.
Fantasy is currently in 16th place in WCS standings with 2900 WCS Points, he can make it without gaining additional points as long as Dark, Hyun, Dear, or ForGG don't pass him, which means 29.15% if Fantasy gets 32nd or worse. A 4th place puts Fantasy at 84.68%.
Dark needs at least a 16th place, which would put him at 35.44%. A 2nd place would put him at 92.14%, and a 1st locks him in at 100%.
Hyun needs at least a 4th place, but that would only give him 10.23% Blizzcon Chances. A 2nd place would put Hyun at 34.44%, and a 1st place at 86.68%. If Hyun does win, he can still be knocked out if 2 out of sOs/Dear/Fantasy/Dark pass him.
ForGG must get at least 2nd place, which would put him at 24.03%, and a 1st place puts him at 80.23%. If ForGG wins then he has to worry about the same thing Hyun would, 2 players out of sOs/Dear/Fantasy/Dark passing him.
And let's not forget about Dear, who would be 100% with winning GSL, or 0% with anything less.
Looking Ahead to the WCS Global Finals
As far as the final standings for WCS points, we already have a few seeds locked in, and some close to being locked in. herO at #1, Maru at #2, and Parting at #3 are all locked in already. Life at #4, Polt at #11, Zest at #12, and Lilbow at #13 are all above 70% chances.
Here are the current 10 most likely matches for the first round of the WCS Global Finals. Life vs Lilbow has a 59.71% chance for the first round. Polt vs Hydra has a 47.51% chance for the first round. PartinG vs Rogue has a 44.68% chance for the first round. Dream vs Classic has a 44.3% chance for the first round. Maru vs Rogue has a 42.83% chance for the first round. Maru vs sOs has a 39.31% chance for the first round. Rain vs Polt has a 37.54% chance for the first round. herO vs FanTaSy has a 35.64% chance for the first round. Life vs Zest has a 29.89% chance for the first round. INnoVation vs ByuL has a 28.93% chance for the first round.
Of course Dreamhack will have a big effect on these. Let's look at some examples.
If sOs wins Dreamhack, then he's likely to face Hydra (at a 50.01% chance), instead of Maru or herO. Also Parting vs Lilbow would be locked in at 100%. Life vs Zest and Maru vs Rogue would both be around 75%. If sOs gets 2nd he's likely to face Life. If he gets 4th then he's likely to face Parting.
If Fantasy wins, then he's likely to face Life (75.41%) instead of herO. Parting vs Lilbow would be nearly locked in at 94.84%. Life vs Fantasy would be a 75.41% chance. Maru vs Rogue, sOs vs herO, and Polt vs Hydra would all be around 58% to 50%. If Fantasy gets 2nd in Dreamhack, then he's likely to face Parting or Maru.
If Hyun, Dark, or ForGG wins, then Life vs Lilbow is around a 75% chance.
If Hyun wins then he's likely to face herO (52.08%) or Maru (34.6%). Parting vs Rogue, Hyun vs herO, and Polt vs Hydra would be around 55% to 50%.
If Dark wins then he's very likely to face Parting (94.63%) instead of herO. Maru vs Rogue and sOs vs herO would both be around 53%. IF Dark gets 2nd then he's likely to face Maru.
If ForGG wins then he's likely to face herO (45.59%) or Maru (34.64%). Parting vs Rogue and Polt vs Hydra would be around 55% to 50%.
If Rain wins then we can see that his chances of facing Lilbow (75.35%) go up significantly instead of Polt or Zest. Life vs Zest and Rain vs Lilbow would be around 80% to 75%. Parting vs Rogue, Maru vs sOs, and Dream vs Hydra would be around 55% to 45%.
And then if someone not going to Blizzcon wins, such as Solar, then Life vs Lilbow would be a 74.93% chance. Parting vs Rogue, Polt vs Hydra, and Maru vs sOs would be about 55% to 49%. Dream vs Classic, herO vs Fantasy, and Rain vs Polt would be about 45% to 42%. Maru vs Rogue, Innovation vs Zest, and Innovation vs Byul would be about 39% to 28%.
DreamHack and the GSL semifinals between Dear and ByuL both kick off at Thursday, Sep 24 9:30am GMT (GMT+00:00), so we’re going to see the field narrowed down very quickly this week. DreamHack will have its finale at Friday, Sep 25 8:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00), if you want to tune in and see if ForGG or HyuN went all the way. DreamHack and GSL are the last opportunities for WCS Points before Blizzcon, so don't miss them!
After Dreamhack is complete, all that will be left is the GSL finals, and there will only 2 possible brackets for the WCS Global Finals! Look out for my next article where I'll be covering that.
Be sure to check the website for very frequent updates, the FAQ, and the fantasy league WCS Wars! WCS Predictor 2015 To get automatically generated checkups that are constantly updated, I have created the Checkup page on WCS Predictor Also check out my post on Blizzard's own WCS website!
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- DreamHack Stockholm Player List Set! Friday, Sep 18 5:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4425)
We're now down to just 20 players over 0% Blizzcon Chances! Lilbow is 100% secured, and only has a 0.25% chance to be the #15 seed, he cannot be the #16 seed (more info here). With the DreamHack Stockholm player list set, Gumiho, TY and Stats were eliminated from the running. Biggest Winners and Losers from DreamHack Stockholm confirming player list (Sim ID #4403 vs Sim ID #4411) Biggest Winners Dark went up by 26.81%, going from 3.07% to 29.89% ForGG went up by 4.24%, going from 0.74% to 4.98%
Biggest Losers FanTaSy went down by 23.74%, going from 70.52% to 46.78% HyuN went down by 3.3%, going from 10.95% to 7.65% Dear went down by 1.2%, going from 21.28% to 20.07% Rogue went down by 0.91%, going from 99.93% to 99.02% TY went down by 0.72%, going from 0.72% to 0% sOs went down by 0.59%, going from 92.2% to 91.61% Stats went down by 0.32%, going from 0.32% to 0% GuMiho went down by 0.27%, going from 0.27% to 0%
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! ByuL is the current #2 Headband holder with 4 defenses! INnoVation is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Maru is the current #4 Headband holder with 2 defenses!
0% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 16.51% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 33.98% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 40.48% of the time 3050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 67.11% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 87.5% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.02% of the time 3325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
0% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 16.51% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 24.08% of the time 2925 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 24.08% of the time 2950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 24.08% of the time 2975 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 24.08% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 33.98% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 40.48% of the time 3050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 40.48% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 40.48% of the time 3100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 40.48% of the time 3125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 67.11% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 73.33% of the time 3175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 73.33% of the time 3200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 73.33% of the time 3225 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 73.33% of the time 3250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 85.7% of the time 3275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 87.5% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.02% of the time 3325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.02% of the time 3350 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.02% of the time 3375 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.68% of the time 3400 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.68% of the time 3425 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.68% of the time 3450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.68% of the time 3475 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.68% of the time 3500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 100% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
herO has a 89.61% chance to be the #1 seed. Maru has a 80.05% chance to be the #2 seed. PartinG has a 90.43% chance to be the #3 seed. Life has a 61.27% chance to be the #4 seed. Life has a 35.99% chance to be the #5 seed. Hydra has a 40.89% chance to be the #6 seed. Hydra has a 39.44% chance to be the #7 seed. Classic has a 43.84% chance to be the #8 seed. Classic has a 56.16% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 56.16% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 92.28% chance to be the #11 seed. Zest has a 92.28% chance to be the #12 seed. Lilbow has a 82.85% chance to be the #13 seed. Rogue has a 44.66% chance to be the #14 seed. Rogue has a 42.84% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 35.63% chance to be the #16 seed.
Life vs Lilbow has a 50.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Classic has a 43.84% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Rogue has a 40.75% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Rogue has a 39.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Hydra has a 38.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Zest has a 38.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs sOs has a 34.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Polt has a 32.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs FanTaSy has a 31.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs herO has a 27.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
Dream vs Hydra has a 25.9% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Lilbow has a 23.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Zest has a 20.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs Classic has a 20.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 19.62% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Dream has a 18.48% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs herO has a 17.18% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs INnoVation has a 16.75% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs Zest has a 15.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs ByuL has a 15.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Dear has a 15.43% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Classic has a 15.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Rogue has a 15.18% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs INnoVation has a 14.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Zest has a 14.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs Hydra has a 13.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs sOs has a 13.4% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Classic has a 11.86% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Hydra vs Zest has a 10.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Dream has a 9.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Classic vs Hydra has a 8.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs FanTaSy has a 7.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs ByuL has a 7.11% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Dark has a 6.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs sOs has a 5.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Dark has a 5.42% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Polt has a 5.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Lilbow has a 5.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. HyuN vs herO has a 5.17% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Dear has a 4.52% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Rogue has a 3.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs Hydra has a 3.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs sOs has a 3.17% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs FanTaSy has a 3.11% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs herO has a 3.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs sOs has a 2.9% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs FanTaSy has a 2.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. HyuN vs Maru has a 2.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs Dream has a 2.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Lilbow has a 1.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs Maru has a 1.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs FanTaSy has a 1.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs sOs has a 1.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Zest has a 0.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs ByuL has a 0.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. HyuN vs ByuL has a 0.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs ByuL has a 0.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Dear has a 0.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
If you didn't read my previous articles, these stats are calculated by WCS Predictor, which simulates every match in every tournament that gives WCS Points millions of times. Blizzcon Chances are the chances to qualify in the top 16 for Blizzcon, as rated by WCS Predictor.
Last weekend with the WCS Playoffs finishing, we had the first foreigner since Naniwa qualify (nearly 100%, more on that later) for Blizzcon! Lilbow went from 21.63% Blizzcon Chances up to now 99.9992% with winning WCS over Mana. We also had a bunch of people go down recently with a bunch of eliminations mostly due to Lilbow and the WCS Playoffs.
Eliminations MaNa went down by 0.66%, going from 0.66% to 0% Petraeus went down by 0.11%, going from 0.11% to 0% GunGFuBanDa went down by 0.02%, going from 0.02% to 0%
Big Drops Dark went down by 28.51%, going from 31.59% to 3.09% ForGG went down by 16.89%, going from 17.6% to 0.71% FanTaSy went down by 15.98%, going from 88.32% to 72.34% GuMiho went down by 6.25%, going from 16.84% to 10.59% HyuN went down by 4.55%, going from 15.38% to 10.82% sOs went down by 4.43%, going from 97.33% to 92.9% TY went down by 0.41%, going from 1.13% to 0.72% Stats went down by 0.25%, going from 0.57% to 0.32%
Almost Guaranteed
There are some situations where Lilbow doesn't make it to Blizzcon, including a possible tie or even 3 way tie, but it's very unlikely and Lilbow still has a 99.9992% chance to qualify for Blizzcon. The following things must ALL happen in order for Lilbow to not make Blizzcon.
1. Fantasy wins DreamHack Stockholm. 2. sOs gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm. sOs is not yet confirmed going to DreamHack, we may find out soon that he is not going and this would put Lilbow at 100% Blizzcon Chances. 3. Lilbow does not win any points from DreamHack Stockholm. It seems he will probably not attend. 4. Rogue gets 4th or 2nd place in GSL. 4th place with no points from DreamHack would make him tied with Lilbow. 5. EITHER: Gumiho wins GSL which would put him tied with Lilbow; OR Dear wins GSL AND gets at least 8th place in DreamHack Stockholm.
Although, unless GSL changes their schedule to accomodate, it would be impossible to play in the GSL semifinals and go to DreamHack, which means Dear would not be able to pass or tie Lilbow, and Rogue would only tie with Lilbow if he gets 4th in GSL. So with those conditions, we can end up in one of these situtations.
1. No tie, Lilbow is #17 2. Tie between Lilbow and Rogue 3. Tie between Gumiho and Lilbow 4. Tie between Gumiho, Rogue, and Lilbow, with 2 winners of the tie breaker match going to Blizzcon and the single loser out
Keep in mind this is all very unlikely, Lilbow has a 99.9992% chance of making Blizzcon. I know I'd be hyped for a 3 way tie breaker for Blizzcon!
Here are Lilbow's current most likely first round opponents for the WCS Global Finals.
Lilbow vs Maru has a 31.92% chance for the first round. Lilbow vs Life has a 30.45% chance for the first round. Lilbow vs PartinG has a 26.25% chance for the first round. Lilbow vs ByuL has a 6.05% chance for the first round. Lilbow vs Classic has a 2.43% chance for the first round. Lilbow vs Hydra has a 1.2% chance for the first round.
Checkup Before GSL Quarterfinals
Let's do a checkup of all the players still in the running for Blizzcon. We are now down to only 23 players above 0% Blizzcon Chances. Keep in mind that playing in the GSL semifinals and going to DreamHack Stockholm cannot happen unless GSL adjusts their schedule for players wanting to do both.
sOs 92.9% with 3,150 WCS Points. sOs has plenty of points, he just has a few players to be worried about passing him. If Dark or Fantasy makes top 4 in DreamHack; or if ForGG, Hyun, or TY wins DreamHack; then sOs drops to around 67%. If Dear or Gumiho wins GSL, then sOs falls to about 70%.
FanTaSy 72.34% with 2,900 WCS Points. If Fantasy gets 8th in DreamHack then he goes up to 82.81%, however he would still have to worry about players passing him, a 4th place would be much safer at 98.19%. If Fantasy does get 8th place and Hyun, ForGG, TY, or Dark wins DreamHack, then Fantasy falls down to about 33%. If Fantasy gets 8th in DreamHack and Gumiho or Dear wins GSL, then Fantasy falls to about 36%.
Over 5% - 3 Players
HyuN 10.82% with 2,525 WCS Points. To get nearly secured HyuN needs to win DreamHack Stockholm, which would put him at 97.53%. An 8th place would put him at 0%, 4th place at 20.75%, and a 2nd place at 49.41%. But if TY, Dark, Stats, ForGG, or Fantasy wins DreamHack then HyuN cannot qualify for Blizzcon.
GuMiho 10.59% with 2,225 WCS Points. If Gumiho wins GSL then he is nearly secured at 99.99%. If he gets 2nd place in GSL, then he would need at least a 16th place in DreamHack to go with it to have any chance, putting him at 44.31%, but again that's unlikely due to the scheduling. If he gets 8th in GSL then the schedule should allow him the possiblity of going to DreamHack, he would need to win DreamHack to have any chance, and it would put him at 47.57%.
Dear 8.52% with 2,125 WCS Points. If Dear does not go to DreamHack, then he must win GSL, which would put him at 99.97%. If Dear manages to get 4th in GSL and win DreamHack then he goes up to 95.93%. A 2nd place in both GSL and DreamHack puts Dear at 99.18%.
Over 0% - 4 Players
Dark 3.09% with 2,800 WCS Points. Dark is not yet confirmed as going to DreamHack, but he needs to at least get a 16th place there to have any chance, which would put him at 37.34%. 4th place would put him at 94.03%.
TY 0.72% with 2,500 WCS Points. TY needs to get at least 2nd place at DreamHack, that would put him at 39.43%. 1st place would put him at 96.55%.
ForGG 0.71% with 2,425 WCS Points. ForGG is in a similar spot as TY, he needs at least a 2nd place in DreamHack to get 38.65%, and a 1st place would put him at 96.44%.
Stats 0.32% with 2,350 WCS Points. Stats needs to win DreamHack to have any chance at Blizzcon, this would put him at 60.63%. If Fantasy gets 8th place in DreamHack then Blizzcon is impossible for Stats.
Be sure to check the website for very frequent updates, the FAQ, and the fantasy league WCS Wars! WCS Predictor 2015 To get automatically generated checkups that are constantly updated, I have created the Checkup page on WCS Predictor Also check out my post on Blizzard's own WCS website!
If you didn't read my previous article, these stats are calculated by WCS Predictor, which simulates every match in every tournament that gives WCS Points millions of times. Blizzcon Chances are the chances to qualify in the top 16 for Blizzcon, as rated by WCS Predictor.
Yesterday in WCS we had some big eliminations from the Road to Blizzcon. MarineLord falling from 4.84% Blizzcon Chances down to 0%, Snute from 8.22% down to 0%, and Jaedong from 7.84% down to 0%. This morning in GSL we also had Flash go from 0.05% down to 0%. With these eliminations we are down to just 27 players who could still possibly make Blizzcon, including those already secured. This is down from 37 players on Monday. Players at 100% - herO, Parting, Maru, Life, Hydra, Rain, Classic, ByuL, Dream, Innovation, Polt, and Zest. Players over 95% - Rogue and sOs. Players over 10% - Fantasy, Dark, Lilbow, ForGG, Gumiho, and Hyun. Players over 1% - Dear and TY. Players over 0% - Mana, Stats, Petraeus, GungFuBanda, and Zanster.
WCS Movers and Shakers
After some upsets and some fan favorites getting knocked out, our WCS Quarterfinals ends up with Zanster, GunGFuBanDa, Lilbow, Hydra, Polt, ForGG, Petraeus, and MaNa. Out of those players, only Lilbow and ForGG have the opportunity to make a big improvement on their Blizzcon Chances this weekend. Mana would need to win WCS and then get at least top 4 in Dreamhack Stockholm to be able to make Blizzcon. For Petraeus, GungFuBanda, and Zanster, a 2nd place in WCS means 0% Blizzcon Chances, and even taking home the trophy they would still be below 1%.
Millenium Bros - Lilbow and ForGG
ForGG and Lilbow are the ones really looking at qualifying for Blizzcon this weekend, and I know Millenium is excited about the possibility of having a player at Blizzcon for the first time. Lilbow has been the top foreigner hope ever since his 2nd place in WCS Season 2, where he lost to Hydra. Unfortunately he drew Hydra as his quarterfinals opponent here, and he needs to win for there to be much hope left. Many expected ForGG to be secured a spot for Blizzcon by now with how strong he was looking at the end of 2014. In WCS Season 1 he was on a strong run that got stopped short by the eventual champion, Polt, in the quarterfinals with a close 3-2 score. Now they're paired up again in the quarterfinals for a revenge match with ForGG's Blizzcon dreams on the line.
The Millenium Bros can actually both qualify together, if they both make top 4 here and do well at Dreamhack, or if they make the finals. To get nearly secured (over 95%), ForGG would need to either win WCS; get 2nd place in both WCS and Dreamhack; or get 4th in WCS and win Dreamhack. For Lilbow, he has an extra 100 WCS Points, he needs to either win WCS; get 2nd in WCS and 4th in Dreamhack; or get 4th in WCS and win Dreamhack.
The players outside of WCS who can hurt Lilbow and ForGG the most are Dark, Gumiho, Hyun, and Fantasy. Especially Dark, who would put them both under 2% Blizzcon Chances if you assume Dark to qualify. This is huge in comparison to their next biggest threat, Gumiho, who would only bring them down to around 10.5% if you assume Gumiho qualifies. However the WCS championship is still enough to secure ForGG's or Lilbow's qualification.
Global Finals - Round of 16 Shaping Up
If Lilbow does qualify for Blizzcon, then his most likely first round matches in the Global Finals would be Life, herO, Parting, or Maru. ForGG's most likely first round Global Finals matches are Parting, Maru, and Life. For Polt, his most likely Global Finals matches are Hydra, Life, or Byul. Hydra's most likely Global Finals matches are Polt, Dream, and Zest. If Hydra loses his quarterfinals match to Lilbow, then Innovation replaces Zest as his third most likely matchup.
Here are the top 10 most likely first round matches of the Global Finals so far. Keep in mind that a lot can still happen to shake these up. herO vs FanTaSy has a 33.87% chance for the first round. Life vs Zest has a 30.46% chance for the first round. Maru vs sOs has a 30.28% chance for the first round. PartinG vs sOs has a 29.57% chance for the first round. Dark vs herO has a 28.39% chance for the first round. Rain vs Dream has a 28.14% chance for the first round. PartinG vs Rogue has a 27.69% chance for the first round. Maru vs Rogue has a 20.56% chance for the first round. ByuL vs Dream has a 20.43% chance for the first round. Life vs Rogue has a 20.16% chance for the first round.
I have removed all of the placeholder tournaments. All that is left is SSL (all those players are at 100% already, but it'll affect seeding), GSL, WCS, and Dreamhack Stockholm. I gifted back points lost in WCS Wars due to the removal of the Placeholder tournaments. Biggest Winners and Losers from removal of Placeholder tournaments (Sim ID #4110 vs Sim ID #4117) Biggest Winners FanTaSy went up by 5.87%, going from 51.83% to 57.7% sOs went up by 2.98%, going from 93.89% to 96.87% Dark went up by 2.95%, going from 69.47% to 72.42% MarineLorD went up by 0.63%, going from 4.08% to 4.72% Rogue went up by 0.18%, going from 99.75% to 99.94%
Biggest Losers HyuN went down by 2.58%, going from 4.58% to 2.01% TY went down by 2.1%, going from 3.69% to 1.58% Dear went down by 1.18%, going from 10.06% to 8.87% Stats went down by 1.13%, going from 1.93% to 0.8% ForGG went down by 1.03%, going from 13.76% to 12.74% Solar went down by 0.97%, going from 9.62% to 8.65% Lilbow went down by 0.95%, going from 13.64% to 12.68% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
GuMiho went down by 0.8%, going from 5.68% to 4.88% Jaedong went down by 0.48%, going from 8.2% to 7.72% Snute went down by 0.45%, going from 8.52% to 8.07% soO went down by 0.14%, going from 0.14% to 0% Petraeus went down by 0.13%, going from 0.23% to 0.1% MaNa went down by 0.12%, going from 0.21% to 0.09% Curious went down by 0.12%, going from 0.12% to 0%
We went from 59 players over 0%, down to just 37! I think it's still interesting to see the highest players with 0% chances so I will continue to show the full top 50.
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 26.6% down to 25.59% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 0.3% down to 0.13%
Top Foreigner Hopes Lilbow12.57% chance to be the only foreigner, 12.68% chance overall. Snute7.97% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.07% chance overall. MarineLorD4.68% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.72% chance overall. Petraeus0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. MaNa0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.09% chance overall. iaguz0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Sen0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. elfi0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Zanster0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Elazer0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! ByuL is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 4 defenses! Maru is the current #4 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
0% of the time 2775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 8.2% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 8.2% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 58.14% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 75.22% of the time 3100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 95.38% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.84% of the time 3375 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
The closest to 1% marker stayed at 2775. The closest to 50% marker went from 3000 down to 2900. The closest to 99% marker went from 3450 down to 3375.
herO has a 83.07% chance to be the #1 seed. PartinG has a 42.05% chance to be the #2 seed. Maru has a 37.64% chance to be the #3 seed. Life has a 33.15% chance to be the #4 seed. Life has a 43.96% chance to be the #5 seed. Rain has a 26.17% chance to be the #6 seed. Classic has a 26.48% chance to be the #7 seed. Classic has a 32.11% chance to be the #8 seed. Dream has a 43.36% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 34.07% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 29.25% chance to be the #11 seed. Polt has a 26.57% chance to be the #12 seed. Rogue has a 27.71% chance to be the #13 seed. sOs has a 30.56% chance to be the #14 seed. sOs has a 43.34% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 41.75% chance to be the #16 seed.
herO vs FanTaSy has a 36.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs sOs has a 28.98% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Dream has a 26.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs herO has a 25.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Classic has a 25.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs herO has a 24.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Rogue has a 22.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Polt has a 21.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs sOs has a 20.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Zest has a 20.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Zanster, MarineLorD, elfi, and MaNain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. MarineLorD must win this match! Zanster is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.62% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. elfi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 4.72% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.49%, or 0% if they lose. MaNa is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.16%, or 0% if they lose.
Sen, Snute, Petraeus, and GunGFuBanDain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. Snute must win this match! Sen is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0% if they lose. Petraeus is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0% if they lose. Snute is at 8.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.22% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.76%, or 0% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0% if they lose.
Elazer, Hydra, Polt, and viOLetin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.8% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Polt is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 72.8% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. viOLet is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.16%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Jaedong, iaguz, and Lilbowin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. ForGG, Jaedong, and Lilbow must win this match! ForGG is at 12.74% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 19.27%, or 0% if they lose. iaguz is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose. Jaedong is at 7.72% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.59% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.57%, or 0% if they lose. Lilbow is at 12.68% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.48%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Lilbow, Snute, Jaedong, and MarineLorD must win this tournament! Hydra has a 20.87% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ForGG has a 11.95% chance to win ----going from 12.74% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 0.89% if they don't. Lilbow has a 10.94% chance to win ----going from 12.68% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.96% if they don't. Polt has a 8.39% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Snute has a 7.75% chance to win ----going from 8.07% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Jaedong has a 7.36% chance to win ----going from 7.72% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. Petraeus has a 5.85% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 1.73% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 5.66% chance to win ----going from 4.72% to 82.74% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MaNa has a 5.6% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 1.62% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. viOLet has a 4.02% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 1.92% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Zanster has a 3.46% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 2.62% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.71% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. elfi has a 1.88% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.28% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Sen has a 1.45% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.72% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.34% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 1.42% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.84% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Dark, ByuL, Zest, and Solarin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. Solar must win this match! Dark has the #3 Headband.ByuL has the #2 Headband. Dark is at 72.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 95.09%, or 48.14% if they lose. Zest is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.94% if they lose. ByuL is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Solar is at 8.65% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 15.47%, or 0% if they lose.
PartinG, GuMiho, INnoVation, and Flashin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. GuMiho must win this match! PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. INnoVation is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. GuMiho is at 4.88% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.65% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.31%, or 0% if they lose. Flash is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0% if they lose.
Dear, Solar, and GuMiho must win this tournament! Classic has a 14.72% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. INnoVation has a 14.48% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Maru has a 13.73% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rogue has a 9.74% chance to win ----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.93% if they don't. PartinG has a 8.12% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Dear has a 7.98% chance to win ----going from 8.87% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 0.97% if they don't. Solar has a 7.35% chance to win ----going from 8.65% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.4% if they don't. Dark has a 7.19% chance to win ----going from 72.42% to 100% if they get 1st, or 70.28% if they don't. Zest has a 6.19% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't. ByuL has a 4.01% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. GuMiho has a 3.77% chance to win ----going from 4.88% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.15% if they don't. Flash has a 2.73% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 2.49% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Who will go to Blizzcon and who still needs to win more WCS Points? I'm Ray Carro, aka Die4Ever. I've created WCS Predictor, a complex piece of custom software, to calculate these statistics and more by simulating every WCS match millions of times over. For this post we will be looking at "Blizzcon Chances" which is the percentage probability of the player being in the top 16 for qualifying to Blizzcon. You will see a few cases of some players with more WCS Points having lower Blizzcon Chances than someone with less WCS Points. This is because of factors such as their Aligulac skill rating; the tournaments they are still in; and the skill ratings of their opponents.
Recently we had sOs replacing Zest for MSI Masters and then winning the whole tournament. sOs gained a massive 70.01% Blizzcon Chances, going from 27.66% up to 97.67%. Now after the results of GSL Ro16 Group A and the first SSL semifinal, sOs is at 97.32%. After losing to Byul, TY just fell from 20.89% down to 3.39%. TY losing has given other players a better chance, especially Fantasy and Dark who both rose by over 5% Blizzcon Chances. Let's consider over 95% to be nearly secured, and we can look at what it would take for players to get into that "nearly secured" bracket, along with what single event would hurt them the most.
Secured Players - 100% Blizzcon Chances - 9 Players These 9 players are locked in from strong performances throughout the year.
herO 100% with 6,700 WCS Points.
PartinG 100% with 5,850 WCS Points.
Life 100% with 5,475 WCS Points.
Maru 100% with 5,450 WCS Points.
Rain 100% with 4,925 WCS Points.
Hydra 100% with 4,700 WCS Points.
Dream 100% with 4,275 WCS Points.
Classic 100% with 4,250 WCS Points.
ByuL 100% with 4,025 WCS Points.
Nearly Secured Players - Over 95% - 5 Players These 5 players will almost certainly qualify.
INnoVation 99.99% with 3,625 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - INnoVation loses their next match in the GSL round of 16. This would bring INnoVation down to 99.99%.
Polt 99.99% with 3,575 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Polt loses their next match in the WCS round of 16. This would bring Polt down to 99.99%.
Zest 99.63% with 3,375 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Zest loses their next match in the GSL round of 16. This would bring Zest down to 99.27%.
Rogue 99.01% with 3,325 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Dear gets 1st in GSL. This would bring Rogue down to 95.44%.
sOs 97.32% with 3,150 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - FanTaSy gets 1st in DreamHack. This would bring sOs down to 87.48%.
Over 20% - 2 Players These players might qualify even if they don't earn any additional points, but they'll definitely want to in order to secure their chances.
Dark 69.03% with 2,800 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Solar gets 1st in GSL Code S Season 3. This would bring Dark down to 35.55%. To get nearly secured - A 16th in GSL with a 2nd in Dreamhack, an 8th in both GSL and Dreamhack, or a 4th in GSL with no points required from Dreamhack. If Dark loses his GSL round of 16 match and also gets 16th in Dreamhack then he's still in a decent spot at 74.99%.
FanTaSy 51.6% with 2,900 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - TY gets 1st in DreamHack. This would bring FanTaSy down to 16.99%. To get nearly secured - Fantasy is out of SSL and GSL, so he needs a 2nd in DreamHack to get up to 95.77%. However, even a 16th place at Dreamhack would put Fantasy at 61.39%.
Over 5% - 7 Players All 7 of these players can get nearly secured if they win their GSL/WCS and get no points from Dreamhack. Alternatively they can get 2nd in their GSL/WCS and win Dreamhack.
ForGG 13.82% with 1,825 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - ForGG loses their next match in the WCS round of 16. This would bring ForGG down to 0.11%. To get nearly secured - 1st in WCS and no points from DreamHack; this would bring ForGG up to 99.86%. 2nd in WCS and 1st in DreamHack; this would bring ForGG up to 99.52%.
Lilbow 13.31% with 1,925 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Lilbow loses their next match in the WCS round of 16. This would bring Lilbow down to 0.15%. To get nearly secured - 1st in WCS and no points from DreamHack; this would bring Lilbow up to 99.95%. 2nd in WCS and 1st in DreamHack; this would bring Lilbow up to 99.95%.
Dear 10.63% with 2,125 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Dear gets 8th in GSL. This would bring Dear down to 0.41%. To get nearly secured - 1st in GSL and no points from DreamHack; this would bring Dear up to 99.82%. 2nd in GSL and 1st in DreamHack; this would bring Dear up to 99.76%.
Solar 9.67% with 1,850 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Solar loses their next match in the GSL round of 16. This would bring Solar down to 0.14%. To get nearly secured - 1st in GSL and no points from DreamHack; this would bring Solar up to 99.82%. 2nd in GSL and 1st in DreamHack; this would bring Solar up to 99.86%.
Snute 8.47% with 1,700 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Snute loses their next match in the WCS round of 16. This would bring Snute down to 0.04%. To get nearly secured - 1st in WCS and no points from DreamHack; this would bring Snute up to 98.57%. 2nd in WCS and 1st in DreamHack; this would bring Snute up to 95.22%.
Jaedong 8.09% with 1,775 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Jaedong loses their next match in the WCS round of 16. This would bring Jaedong down to 0.05%. To get nearly secured - 1st in WCS and no points from DreamHack; this would bring Jaedong up to 99.71%. 2nd in WCS and 1st in DreamHack; this would bring Jaedong up to 99.03%.
GuMiho 5.63% with 1,925 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - GuMiho loses their next match in the GSL round of 16. This would bring GuMiho down to 0.19%. To get nearly secured - 1st in GSL and no points from DreamHack; this would bring GuMiho up to 99.98%. 2nd in GSL and 2nd in DreamHack; this would bring GuMiho up to 95.64%.
Over 1% - 4 Players These 4 players need to work some magic and get a little lucky.
MarineLorD 4.06% with 1,275 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - MarineLorD loses their next match in the WCS round of 16. This would bring MarineLorD down to 0.01%. To get nearly secured - MarineLord is still in WCS, but he doesn't have enough points for a win there to do it alone. He would need a 1st in WCS and 4th in DreamHack. This would bring MarineLorD up to 97.51%.
TY 3.38% with 2,500 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - TY gets no points from DreamHack. This would bring TY down to 1.96%. Since TY just lost to ByuL, he fell from 20.89% down to 3.39%. Now he only has Dreamhack left, a win there would put him at 82.56%. If Dark loses his GSL round of 16 match and TY wins Dreamhack, TY would go up to 89.44%.
HyuN 3.07% with 2,375 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - HyuN gets no points from DreamHack. This would bring HyuN down to 1.78%. HyuN is still in the 4Gamers tournament, however as a tier 3 it is offering less points than Dreamhack. A win at Dreamhack would put Hyun at 76.84%. A win at 4Gamers combined with a win at Dreamhack would put Hyun at 85.6%.
Stats 1.89% with 2,350 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Stats gets no points from DreamHack. This would bring Stats down to 1.04%. Stats only has Dreamhack left, a win there would put him at 66.11%. If Dark loses his GSL round of 16 match and Stats wins Dreamhack, then Stats goes up to 79.16%.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GSL Ro16 and WCS Ro16 Groups Drawn and Group of Death Analysis! Saturday, Aug 29 4:15am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4024)
Biggest Winners and Losers since Friday, Aug 21 2:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim ID #3701 vs Sim ID #4024) Biggest Winners sOs went up by 22.62%, going from 28.01% to 50.64% Rogue went up by 10.56%, going from 85.36% to 95.92% ForGG went up by 5.31%, going from 9.55% to 14.86% Snute went up by 3.07%, going from 5.39% to 8.46% GuMiho went up by 3.02%, going from 3.62% to 6.64% Lilbow went up by 0.96%, going from 11.98% to 12.94% Dear went up by 0.82%, going from 5.1% to 5.91% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Biggest Losers soO went down by 11.51%, going from 11.71% to 0.2% FanTaSy went down by 10.1%, going from 72.64% to 62.54% MyuNgSiK went down by 8.61%, going from 8.77% to 0.16% TY went down by 5.56%, going from 30.5% to 24.93% Dark went down by 4.41%, going from 79.29% to 74.89% Jaedong went down by 1.84%, going from 11.84% to 9.99% TLO went down by 1.23%, going from 1.23% to 0.01% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
MarineLorD went down by 1.01%, going from 5.46% to 4.46% HyuN went down by 0.95%, going from 9.77% to 8.82% Stats went down by 0.49%, going from 3.14% to 2.65% Bbyong went down by 0.38%, going from 4.54% to 4.16% Petraeus went down by 0.18%, going from 1.27% to 1.09% Zest went down by 0.11%, going from 99.99% to 99.89%
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 25.85% up to 27.15% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 0.44% up to 0.47%
Top Foreigner Hopes Lilbow12.53% chance to be the only foreigner, 12.94% chance overall. Snute8.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.46% chance overall. MarineLorD4.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.46% chance overall. Petraeus1.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.09% chance overall. MaNa0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.29% chance overall. Bunny0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.19% chance overall. iaguz0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
GunGFuBanDa0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. Sen0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. elfi0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Zanster0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. TLO0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Hitman0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. FireCake0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Harstem0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. ShoWTimE0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Has0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Kane0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Happy0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! ByuL is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 4 defenses! herO is the current #4 Headband holder with 3 defenses!
0.93% of the time 2625 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.94% of the time 2800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 18.18% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 55.23% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 74.58% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 90.15% of the time 3200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.04% of the time 3450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
herO has a 82.86% chance to be the #1 seed. PartinG has a 37.44% chance to be the #2 seed. PartinG has a 33.36% chance to be the #3 seed. Maru has a 29.09% chance to be the #4 seed. Life has a 39.82% chance to be the #5 seed. Hydra has a 24.82% chance to be the #6 seed. Classic has a 21.95% chance to be the #7 seed. Classic has a 29.56% chance to be the #8 seed. Dream has a 36.25% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 28.18% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 25.62% chance to be the #11 seed. Zest has a 25.36% chance to be the #12 seed. Zest has a 24.06% chance to be the #13 seed. Rogue has a 26.78% chance to be the #14 seed. Rogue has a 23.42% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 32.04% chance to be the #16 seed.
herO vs FanTaSy has a 29.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Classic has a 27.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Rogue has a 21.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Zest has a 19.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs herO has a 17.98% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Zest has a 17.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Dream has a 17.8% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Classic has a 16.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Rogue has a 15.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs INnoVation has a 15.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Zanster, MarineLorD, elfi, and MaNain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. MarineLorD must win this match! Zanster is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.68% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose. elfi is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 4.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. MaNa is at 0.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.51%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Sen, Snute, Petraeus, and GunGFuBanDain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. Snute and Petraeus must win this match! Sen is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0% if they lose. Petraeus is at 1.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.85%, or 0.01% if they lose. Snute is at 8.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.6%, or 0.06% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.14%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Hitman, Hydra, Polt, and viOLetin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Polt is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. viOLet is at 0.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.65%, or 0.01% if they lose.
ForGG, Jaedong, iaguz, and Lilbowin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. ForGG, Jaedong, and Lilbow must win this match! ForGG is at 14.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 22.3%, or 0.19% if they lose. iaguz is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.24%, or 0% if they lose. Jaedong is at 9.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.19% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.47%, or 0.25% if they lose. Lilbow is at 12.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 22.53%, or 0.26% if they lose.
Rogue, Dear, Bbyong, and Rainin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. Dear and Bbyong must win this match! Rain has the #1 Headband. Rogue is at 95.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.41% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.32%, or 93.2% if they lose. Bbyong is at 4.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 9.05%, or 0.04% if they lose. Dear is at 5.91% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.63%, or 0.16% if they lose. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.8% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Maru, sOs, Classic, and herOin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. herO has the #4 Headband. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. sOs is at 50.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 78.77%, or 27.11% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Solar, Zest, ByuL, and Darkin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. Solar must win this match! ByuL has the #2 Headband.Dark has the #3 Headband. Solar is at 9.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.81%, or 0.25% if they lose. ByuL is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. Zest is at 99.89% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.78% if they lose. Dark is at 74.89% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 96.34%, or 51.76% if they lose.
PartinG, GuMiho, INnoVation, and Flashin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. GuMiho must win this match! PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. INnoVation is at 99.98% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.96% if they lose. GuMiho is at 6.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.45% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 15.9%, or 0.34% if they lose. Flash is at 0.22% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.54%, or 0.01% if they lose.
GSL Ro16 Group of Death And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Group A Rogue has a 3.95% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Dear has a 4.18% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Bbyong has a 3.81% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Rain has a 8.95% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 20.8864
Group B Maru has a 6.47% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 sOs has a 4.72% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Classic has a 8.06% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 herO has a 6.5% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 25.7499
Group C Solar has a 7.61% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Zest has a 6.75% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 ByuL has a 4.7% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Dark has a 7.23% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 26.2846
Group D Flash has a 2.91% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 INnoVation has a 13.2% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 GuMiho has a 3.8% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 PartinG has a 7.17% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 27.0792
Group A Rogue has a 95.77% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dear has a 5.89% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Bbyong has a 4.15% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Rain has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 205.808
Group B Maru has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon sOs has a 50.45% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Classic has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon herO has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 350.449
Group C Solar has a 9.34% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Zest has a 99.88% chance to qualify for Blizzcon ByuL has a 99.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dark has a 74.54% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 283.767
Group D Flash has a 0.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon INnoVation has a 99.98% chance to qualify for Blizzcon GuMiho has a 6.61% chance to qualify for Blizzcon PartinG has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 206.811
Group A Rogue's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.08% Dear's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.39% Bbyong's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.1% Rain's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.215268
Group B Maru's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% sOs's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.68% Classic's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.682919
Group C Solar's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.19% Zest's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02% ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Dark's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.15836
Group D Flash's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02% INnoVation's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% GuMiho's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.5% PartinG's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.515591
Group A When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.52% When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.81% When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 5.69% When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 5.72% When Bbyong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 4.89% When Bbyong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.11% When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% Giving this match an Effects Score of 26.7311
Group B When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 28.1% When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 23.51% When Classic wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Classic loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% Giving this match an Effects Score of 51.6081
Group C When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.4% When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.09% When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.12% When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11% When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Dark wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 21.68% When Dark loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 23.37% Giving this match an Effects Score of 61.7762
Group D When Flash wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.31% When Flash loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.21% When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.02% When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.02% When GuMiho wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.23% When GuMiho loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 6.27% When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.0743
Group A Rogue has an Aligulac rating of 2126 Dear has an Aligulac rating of 2081 Bbyong has an Aligulac rating of 2143 Rain has an Aligulac rating of 2288 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8638
Group B Maru has an Aligulac rating of 2273 sOs has an Aligulac rating of 2123 Classic has an Aligulac rating of 2229 herO has an Aligulac rating of 2210 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8835
Group C Solar has an Aligulac rating of 2254 Zest has an Aligulac rating of 2190 ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 2149 Dark has an Aligulac rating of 2263 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8856
Group D Flash has an Aligulac rating of 2072 INnoVation has an Aligulac rating of 2468 GuMiho has an Aligulac rating of 2152 PartinG has an Aligulac rating of 2221 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8913
Final Placings Group A has one 3rd place, and four 4th places Group B has two 1st places, one 2nd place, and two 3rd places Group C has one 1st place, three 2nd places, and one 3rd place Group D has two 1st places, one 2nd place, one 3rd place, and one 4th place
Group B edges out Group D by having two 3rd places instead of a 3rd and a 4th place. Congrats to Maru, sOs, Classic, and herO for being the Group of Death! Group D is our 2nd place Group of Death with Flash, INnoVation, GuMiho, and PartinG.
WCS Ro16 Group of Death And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Group A Zanster has a 3.37% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 MarineLorD has a 5.59% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 elfi has a 1.78% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 MaNa has a 5.37% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 16.1129
Group B Sen has a 1.41% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Snute has a 7.34% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Petraeus has a 6.84% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 GunGFuBanDa has a 2.54% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 18.1266
Group C Hitman has a 0.87% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Hydra has a 20.73% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Polt has a 10.23% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 viOLet has a 3.73% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 35.5568
Group D ForGG has a 12.07% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Jaedong has a 7.78% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 iaguz has a 1.31% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Lilbow has a 9.05% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 30.2037
Group A Zanster has a 0.02% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MarineLorD has a 4.46% chance to qualify for Blizzcon elfi has a 0.02% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MaNa has a 0.29% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 4.78522
Group B Sen has a 0.03% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Snute has a 8.46% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Petraeus has a 1.09% chance to qualify for Blizzcon GunGFuBanDa has a 0.06% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 9.63772
Group C Hitman has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Hydra has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Polt has a 99.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon viOLet has a 0.29% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 200.294
Group D ForGG has a 14.86% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Jaedong has a 9.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon iaguz has a 0.07% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Lilbow has a 12.94% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 37.8643
Group A Zanster's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% MarineLorD's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.08% elfi's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% MaNa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.02% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.0949
Group B Sen's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Snute's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.82% Petraeus's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.07% GunGFuBanDa's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.885236
Group C Hitman's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Hydra's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Polt's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% viOLet's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.013224
Group D ForGG's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.94% Jaedong's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.46% iaguz's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02% Lilbow's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.21% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.741152
Group A When Zanster wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.02% When Zanster loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.02% When MarineLorD wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.56% When MarineLorD loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.46% When elfi wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.03% When elfi loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.02% When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.22% When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.29% Giving this match an Effects Score of 8.61053
Group B When Sen wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05% When Sen loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.03% When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 5.15% When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.4% When Petraeus wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.76% When Petraeus loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.09% When GunGFuBanDa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.08% When GunGFuBanDa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.06% Giving this match an Effects Score of 15.6145
Group C When Hitman wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Hitman loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When viOLet wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.36% When viOLet loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.29% Giving this match an Effects Score of 0.656312
Group D When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.44% When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 14.67% When Jaedong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.47% When Jaedong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.74% When iaguz wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.17% When iaguz loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.07% When Lilbow wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.59% When Lilbow loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 12.68% Giving this match an Effects Score of 64.8398
Group A Zanster has an Aligulac rating of 1843 MarineLorD has an Aligulac rating of 1898 elfi has an Aligulac rating of 1708 MaNa has an Aligulac rating of 1890 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7339
Group B Sen has an Aligulac rating of 1699 Snute has an Aligulac rating of 2005 Petraeus has an Aligulac rating of 1990 GunGFuBanDa has an Aligulac rating of 1800 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7494
Group C Hitman has an Aligulac rating of 1619 Hydra has an Aligulac rating of 2324 Polt has an Aligulac rating of 2117 viOLet has an Aligulac rating of 1877 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7937
Group D ForGG has an Aligulac rating of 2112 Jaedong has an Aligulac rating of 2055 iaguz has an Aligulac rating of 1669 Lilbow has an Aligulac rating of 2029 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7865
Final Placings Group A has two 3rd places, and three 4th places Group B has one 2nd place, three 3rd places, and one 4th place Group C has three 1st places, one 2nd place, and one 4th place Group D has two 1st places, and three 2nd places
With three 1st places, Group C is our Group of Death! Congrats to Hitman, Hydra, Polt, and viOLet! Group D is our 2nd place Group of Death with ForGG, Jaedong, iaguz, and Lilbow.
Biggest Winners and Losers since start of season 3 about 45 days ago (Sim ID #2114 vs Sim ID #3349) Biggest Winners INnoVation went up by 67.9%, going from 31.99% to 99.89% FanTaSy went up by 42.69%, going from 43.25% to 85.93% Zest went up by 25.34%, going from 74.66% to 99.99% ByuL went up by 18.72%, going from 80.86% to 99.58% Rogue went up by 13.25%, going from 73.66% to 86.92% soO went up by 7.57%, going from 5.54% to 13.11% Curious went up by 2.18%, going from 5.2% to 7.38% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
ShoWTimE went up by 2.06%, going from 0.42% to 2.48% Solar went up by 1.33%, going from 9.3% to 10.63% HyuN went up by 1.16%, going from 9.56% to 10.72% MarineLorD went up by 0.78%, going from 2.56% to 3.34% Petraeus went up by 0.33%, going from 0.65% to 0.98% Polt went up by 0.18%, going from 99.8% to 99.98% Has went up by 0.13%, going from 0.1% to 0.23% Classic went up by 0.13%, going from 99.87% to 100%
Biggest Losers Stats went down by 40.44%, going from 43.67% to 3.23% Trap went down by 25.81%, going from 25.83% to 0.02% Bunny went down by 23.33%, going from 23.74% to 0.41% Snute went down by 21.94%, going from 28.36% to 6.42% sOs went down by 10.86%, going from 43.01% to 32.15% Dark went down by 7.67%, going from 68.74% to 61.07% Dear went down by 6.76%, going from 10.18% to 3.42% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Jaedong went down by 6.12%, going from 13.23% to 7.11% Soulkey went down by 4.39%, going from 4.45% to 0.06% San went down by 4.15%, going from 4.15% to 0.01% ForGG went down by 3.93%, going from 15.96% to 12.04% StarDust went down by 3.59%, going from 3.59% to 0.01% GuMiho went down by 3.58%, going from 7.47% to 3.89% TRUE went down by 2.85%, going from 2.9% to 0.05% Lilbow went down by 2.81%, going from 16.49% to 13.69% TY went down by 2.37%, going from 19.14% to 16.77% MyuNgSiK went down by 1.36%, going from 9.53% to 8.16% Leenock went down by 1.36%, going from 1.36% to 0.01% MaNa went down by 1.29%, going from 1.67% to 0.37% FireCake went down by 1.21%, going from 1.21% to 0.01% Super went down by 1.19%, going from 1.19% to 0.01% Bomber went down by 1.01%, going from 1.01% to 0.01% Bbyong went down by 0.6%, going from 6.16% to 5.56% MajOr went down by 0.39%, going from 0.44% to 0.05% MaSa went down by 0.31%, going from 0.35% to 0.04% Sacsri went down by 0.29%, going from 0.29% to 0.01% Flash went down by 0.29%, going from 0.45% to 0.16% Heart went down by 0.28%, going from 0.28% to 0% GunGFuBanDa went down by 0.27%, going from 0.33% to 0.07% Hurricane went down by 0.26%, going from 0.28% to 0.02% Cure went down by 0.25%, going from 0.25% to 0.01% Ret went down by 0.24%, going from 0.24% to 0% iaguz went down by 0.22%, going from 0.29% to 0.07% elfi went down by 0.21%, going from 0.23% to 0.02% jjakji went down by 0.17%, going from 0.17% to 0% Sen went down by 0.17%, going from 0.19% to 0.03% Kane went down by 0.16%, going from 0.36% to 0.19% Impact went down by 0.16%, going from 0.16% to 0% First went down by 0.15%, going from 0.15% to 0% Patience went down by 0.12%, going from 0.12% to 0.01% Journey went down by 0.1%, going from 0.1% to 0% iAsonu went down by 0.1%, going from 0.12% to 0.02%
Innovaton, Zest, and Byul have all climbed from below 85% up to over 99%. Trap and Bunny both went from over 20% to under 1%.
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 63.96% down to 30.14% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 15.59% down to 0.74%
Top Foreigner Hopes Lilbow13.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 13.69% chance overall. Snute6.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.42% chance overall. MarineLorD3.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.34% chance overall. ShoWTimE2.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.48% chance overall. TLO1.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.48% chance overall. Petraeus0.94% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.98% chance overall. Harstem0.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.85% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
MaNa0.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.37% chance overall. Bunny0.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall. Has0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.23% chance overall. Kane0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.19% chance overall. iaguz0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. MajOr0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. MaSa0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. Kelazhur0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Jim0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Sen0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Zanster0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. elfi0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. iAsonu0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Elazer0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Starbuck0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Hitman0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. FireCake0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. XiGua0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. neeb0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. uThermal0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Shana0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! INnoVation is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses! herO is the current #4 Headband holder with 2 defenses!
1.06% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.66% of the time 2675 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 28.22% of the time 2825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 45.75% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 68.99% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.39% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.03% of the time 3400 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
The 99% line went from 3400 points to 3400 points. The 50% line went from 2900 points down to 2875 points. The 1% line went from 2500 points to 2500 points.
herO has a 77.93% chance to be the #1 seed. PartinG has a 29.39% chance to be the #2 seed. PartinG has a 29.4% chance to be the #3 seed. Life has a 29.1% chance to be the #4 seed. Life has a 36.92% chance to be the #5 seed. Rain has a 20.36% chance to be the #6 seed. Hydra has a 22.32% chance to be the #7 seed. Classic has a 26.62% chance to be the #8 seed. Dream has a 37.06% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 29.34% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 21.87% chance to be the #11 seed. Polt has a 20.92% chance to be the #12 seed. ByuL has a 18.47% chance to be the #13 seed. FanTaSy has a 19.04% chance to be the #14 seed. FanTaSy has a 23.13% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 18.49% chance to be the #16 seed.
Dream vs Classic has a 27.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs FanTaSy has a 19.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Polt has a 17.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs herO has a 17.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs FanTaSy has a 16.53% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs ByuL has a 16.22% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Rogue has a 15.86% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Rogue has a 14.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Hydra has a 14.15% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs ByuL has a 14.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
WCS S3 Ro32 There are many players who really need points from this tournament, unfortunately for most of them they'll need at least a 2nd place to really benefit in terms of Blizzcon Chances. Hydra is already at 100%, Polt is at 99.98%. The only other players who would be over 5% with a 4th place here are Lilbow, Jaedong, and ForGG. Snute would be at just 2.32% with a 4th place. 2nd place is a big jump for all of them, with Lilbow going up to 52.31%, ForGG going up to 31.52%, Jaedong up to 25.84%, Snute up to 15.82%, and TLO going up to 13.55%. With a 1st place Lilbow, ForGG, Jaedong, Snute, and TLO would all go above 98%. With a 1st place MarineLord would go up to 77.77%, Showtime up to 75.91%, Harstem up to 84.22%, Has up to 40.36%, Kane up to 24.82%, Petraeus up to 23.02%, violet up to 12.35%, and everyone else would be below 10%.
Ro32 Groups Week 1 Petraeus, Harstem, MajOr, and Poltin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Petraeus and Harstem must win this match! This is the Group of Death! Petraeus is at 0.98% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.84%, or 0.01% if they lose. MajOr is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0% if they lose. Harstem is at 0.84% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.44%, or 0.01% if they lose. Polt is at 99.98% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.94% if they lose.
elfi, Hydra, Starbuck, and Kelazhurin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. This is the 2nd place Group of Death! (or at least it was before uThermal was replaced by elfi) elfi is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose. Starbuck is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Kelazhur is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose.
ShoWTimE, HeRoMaRinE, Jaedong, and Senin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. ShoWTimE and Jaedong must win this match! ShoWTimE is at 2.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.4%, or 0.01% if they lose. Jaedong is at 7.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.94% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.2%, or 0.09% if they lose. HeRoMaRinE is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.94% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0% if they lose. Sen is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose.
MaSa, iaguz, MarineLorD, and Hasin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. MarineLorD must win this match! MaSa is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 3.35% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.87%, or 0.01% if they lose. iaguz is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0% if they lose. Has is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.54%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Shana, Lilbow, neeb, and GunGFuBanDain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Lilbow must win this match! Shana is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.14% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Lilbow is at 13.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 19.14%, or 0.12% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Kane, Zanster, and iAsonuin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. ForGG must win this match! ForGG is at 12.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.57%, or 0.07% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0% if they lose. Kane is at 0.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.51%, or 0.01% if they lose. iAsonu is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose.
Hitman, Elazer, Jim, and Snutein in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Snute must win this match! Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Jim is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0% if they lose. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Snute is at 6.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 9.46%, or 0.02% if they lose.
viOLet, MaNa, TLO, and XiGuain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. TLO must win this match! viOLet is at 0.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.71%, or 0.01% if they lose. TLO is at 1.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.19%, or 0.01% if they lose. MaNa is at 0.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.55%, or 0% if they lose. XiGua is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Snute, Jaedong, MarineLorD, Petraeus, ShoWTimE, TLO, Harstem, Kane, and Has must win this tournament! Hydra has a 18.61% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ForGG has a 9.19% chance to win ----going from 12.04% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 3.15% if they don't. Polt has a 8.86% chance to win ----going from 99.98% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't. Lilbow has a 8.75% chance to win ----going from 13.69% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 5.41% if they don't. Snute has a 5.24% chance to win ----going from 6.42% to 99.64% if they get 1st, or 1.26% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Jaedong has a 5.12% chance to win ----going from 7.11% to 98.55% if they get 1st, or 2.18% if they don't. MaNa has a 4.41% chance to win ----going from 0.38% to 8.4% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 4.19% chance to win ----going from 3.35% to 77.77% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Petraeus has a 4.13% chance to win ----going from 0.98% to 23.02% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.35% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 1.58% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. viOLet has a 3.31% chance to win ----going from 0.42% to 12.34% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 3.18% chance to win ----going from 2.48% to 75.91% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. MaSa has a 2.89% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 1.39% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.81% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 1.64% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 2.29% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.86% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 2.11% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 3.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jim has a 1.27% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 2.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 1.16% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 1.59% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 1.12% chance to win ----going from 1.48% to 99.62% if they get 1st, or 0.37% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.93% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 7.92% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 0.93% chance to win ----going from 0.84% to 84.2% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.9% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 3.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.85% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.68% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 0.77% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 24.83% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Starbuck has a 0.74% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 2.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 3.85% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Has has a 0.56% chance to win ----going from 0.23% to 40.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.5% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.17% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. neeb has a 0.34% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.09% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.84% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Shana has a 0.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WCS Ro32 Groups Set and Group of Death Analysis! Saturday, Aug 01 2:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2912)
Biggest Winners and Losers since (Sim ID #2901 vs Sim ID #2912) Biggest Winners Lilbow went up by 1.81%, going from 18.12% to 19.93% Snute went up by 1.27%, going from 6.94% to 8.21% MaNa went up by 0.18%, going from 1.08% to 1.26%
Biggest Losers ForGG went down by 0.72%, going from 16.29% to 15.57% Dark went down by 0.3%, going from 66.37% to 66.07% Jaedong went down by 0.27%, going from 7.54% to 7.26% Rogue went down by 0.26%, going from 64.99% to 64.74% Harstem went down by 0.26%, going from 1.21% to 0.95% FanTaSy went down by 0.22%, going from 79.34% to 79.12% Petraeus went down by 0.17%, going from 1.27% to 1.09% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
HyuN went down by 0.15%, going from 24.4% to 24.25% sOs went down by 0.13%, going from 22.68% to 22.56%
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 37.86% up to 40.09% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 2.53% up to 2.86%
Top Foreigner Hopes Lilbow17.66% chance to be the only foreigner, 19.93% chance overall. Snute7.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.21% chance overall. MarineLorD3.61% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.19% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.9% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.21% chance overall. TLO1.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.64% chance overall. Bunny1.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.57% chance overall. MaNa1.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.26% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Petraeus0.95% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.09% chance overall. Harstem0.81% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.95% chance overall. uThermal0.78% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.9% chance overall. Kane0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.2% chance overall. Has0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. iaguz0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. MajOr0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. MaSa0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall. Sen0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. Zanster0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. iAsonu0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Kelazhur0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Jim0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Elazer0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Starbuck0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. FireCake0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. PtitDrogo0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Hitman0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. XiGua0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. neeb0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Happy0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Ret0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Shana0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Nerchio0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Serral0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. NaNiwa0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Welmu0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Bly0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. MorroW0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. HuK0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. MacSed0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! soO is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses! herO is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
0.82% of the time 2550 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.85% of the time 2700 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 28.4% of the time 2850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 50.28% of the time 2975 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 67.38% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.54% of the time 3250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.99% of the time 3500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
herO has a 69.64% chance to be the #1 seed. herO has a 24.02% chance to be the #2 seed. Life has a 26.07% chance to be the #3 seed. Life has a 25.58% chance to be the #4 seed. Maru has a 21.84% chance to be the #5 seed. Hydra has a 16.71% chance to be the #6 seed. Hydra has a 17.5% chance to be the #7 seed. Dream has a 20.37% chance to be the #8 seed. Dream has a 23.08% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 16.39% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 18.83% chance to be the #11 seed. Polt has a 17.79% chance to be the #12 seed. ByuL has a 16.34% chance to be the #13 seed. FanTaSy has a 15.09% chance to be the #14 seed. FanTaSy has a 14.84% chance to be the #15 seed. Dark has a 14.75% chance to be the #16 seed.
Dream vs Classic has a 15.2% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs herO has a 14.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Rogue has a 13.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs FanTaSy has a 13.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs ByuL has a 13.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs ByuL has a 12.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Zest has a 12.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Dream has a 12.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs FanTaSy has a 12.51% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs ByuL has a 12.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Polt, MajOr, Harstem, and Petraeusin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Harstem and Petraeus must win this match! Polt is at 99.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.84% if they lose. Harstem is at 0.95% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.65%, or 0.01% if they lose. MajOr is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.19%, or 0.01% if they lose. Petraeus is at 1.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.14%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Kelazhur, Starbuck, Hydra, and uThermalin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. uThermal must win this match! Kelazhur is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0% if they lose. Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Starbuck is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.24% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. uThermal is at 0.9% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.92%, or 0.01% if they lose.
ShoWTimE, HeRoMaRinE, Jaedong, and Senin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. ShoWTimE and Jaedong must win this match! ShoWTimE is at 2.21% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.99%, or 0.01% if they lose. Jaedong is at 7.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.89%, or 0.06% if they lose. HeRoMaRinE is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.23%, or 0.01% if they lose. Sen is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.14%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MaSa, iaguz, MarineLorD, and Hasin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. MarineLorD must win this match! MaSa is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.15%, or 0.01% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 4.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.06%, or 0.01% if they lose. iaguz is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.23%, or 0.01% if they lose. Has is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.27%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Shana, Lilbow, neeb, and GunGFuBanDain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Lilbow must win this match! Shana is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Lilbow is at 19.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 27.27%, or 1.78% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.72% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.01% if they lose.
iAsonu, Zanster, Kane, and ForGGin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. ForGG must win this match! iAsonu is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose. Kane is at 0.2% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.52%, or 0.01% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose. ForGG is at 15.57% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.53%, or 0.9% if they lose.
Hitman, Elazer, Jim, and Snutein in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Snute must win this match! Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Jim is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.18% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose. Snute is at 8.21% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.53%, or 0.14% if they lose.
viOLet, MaNa, TLO, and XiGuain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. MaNa and TLO must win this match! viOLet is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.28%, or 0.01% if they lose. TLO is at 1.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.59%, or 0.05% if they lose. MaNa is at 1.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.84%, or 0.01% if they lose. XiGua is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Jaedong, Snute, MarineLorD, MaNa, Petraeus, ShoWTimE, uThermal, Harstem, TLO, Kane, and Has must win this tournament! Hydra has a 16.58% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Polt has a 9.87% chance to win ----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.93% if they don't. ForGG has a 9.24% chance to win ----going from 15.57% to 98.94% if they get 1st, or 7.08% if they don't. Lilbow has a 8.35% chance to win ----going from 19.94% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 12.65% if they don't. Jaedong has a 6.6% chance to win ----going from 7.26% to 94.7% if they get 1st, or 1.09% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Snute has a 5.66% chance to win ----going from 8.21% to 99.41% if they get 1st, or 2.74% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 5.04% chance to win ----going from 4.19% to 76.68% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't. MaNa has a 4.63% chance to win ----going from 1.26% to 25.54% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Petraeus has a 3.81% chance to win ----going from 1.09% to 27.09% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. viOLet has a 3.37% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 4.83% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 3.06% chance to win ----going from 2.21% to 67.4% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.06% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 3.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaSa has a 2.86% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 2.9% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.57% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 4.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 2.27% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 1.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.89% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 5.55% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. uThermal has a 1.68% chance to win ----going from 0.9% to 49.3% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Harstem has a 1.05% chance to win ----going from 0.95% to 78.37% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.01% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 10.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.94% chance to win ----going from 1.64% to 98.47% if they get 1st, or 0.73% if they don't. Starbuck has a 0.86% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.73% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.85% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 0.75% chance to win ----going from 0.2% to 25.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 0.73% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 6.67% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jim has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 4.29% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.53% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 4.66% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.49% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.42% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Has has a 0.43% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 24.64% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. neeb has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.09% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.82% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shana has a 0.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Group A Polt has a 9.87% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 MajOr has a 3.06% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Harstem has a 1.05% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Petraeus has a 3.81% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 17.7923
Group B Kelazhur has a 0.53% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Starbuck has a 0.86% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Hydra has a 16.58% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 uThermal has a 1.68% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 19.6512
Group C ShoWTimE has a 3.06% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 HeRoMaRinE has a 2.57% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Jaedong has a 6.6% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Sen has a 0.73% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.9616
Group D MaSa has a 2.86% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 iaguz has a 1.01% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 MarineLorD has a 5.04% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Has has a 0.43% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.33464
Group E Shana has a 0.07% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Lilbow has a 8.35% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 neeb has a 0.31% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 GunGFuBanDa has a 1.89% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 10.6203
Group F iAsonu has a 0.67% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Zanster has a 2.27% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Kane has a 0.75% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 ForGG has a 9.24% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.9353
Group G Hitman has a 0.49% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Elazer has a 0.85% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Jim has a 0.67% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Snute has a 5.66% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 7.66813
Group H viOLet has a 3.37% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 MaNa has a 4.63% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 TLO has a 0.94% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 XiGua has a 0.09% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.0366
Group A Polt has a 99.94% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MajOr has a 0.1% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Harstem has a 0.95% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Petraeus has a 1.09% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 102.079
Group B Kelazhur has a 0.03% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Starbuck has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Hydra has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon uThermal has a 0.9% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 100.936
Group C ShoWTimE has a 2.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon HeRoMaRinE has a 0.11% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Jaedong has a 7.26% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Sen has a 0.05% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 9.63489
Group D MaSa has a 0.08% chance to qualify for Blizzcon iaguz has a 0.1% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MarineLorD has a 4.19% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Has has a 0.11% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 4.48891
Group E Shana has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Lilbow has a 19.94% chance to qualify for Blizzcon neeb has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon GunGFuBanDa has a 0.11% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 20.0448
Group F iAsonu has a 0.03% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Zanster has a 0.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Kane has a 0.2% chance to qualify for Blizzcon ForGG has a 15.57% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 15.8337
Group G Hitman has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Elazer has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Jim has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Snute has a 8.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 8.24042
Group H viOLet has a 0.17% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MaNa has a 1.26% chance to qualify for Blizzcon TLO has a 1.64% chance to qualify for Blizzcon XiGua has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 3.07565
Group A Polt's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% MajOr's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Harstem's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.26% Petraeus's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.17% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.452967
Group B Kelazhur's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Starbuck's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Hydra's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% uThermal's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.06% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.0692
Group C ShoWTimE's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02% HeRoMaRinE's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02% Jaedong's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.28% Sen's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.323153
Group D MaSa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% iaguz's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% MarineLorD's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.09% Has's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.0938473
Group E Shana's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Lilbow's Blizzcon Chances changed by 1.81% neeb's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% GunGFuBanDa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.02% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.83316
Group F iAsonu's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Zanster's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Kane's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.03% ForGG's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.72% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.754969
Group G Hitman's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Elazer's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Jim's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Snute's Blizzcon Chances changed by 1.27% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.27017
Group H viOLet's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% MaNa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.18% TLO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% XiGua's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.178108
Group A When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.06% When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.1% When MajOr wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.09% When MajOr loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.1% When Harstem wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.69% When Harstem loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.95% When Petraeus wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.05% When Petraeus loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.09% Giving this match an Effects Score of 5.13618
Group B When Kelazhur wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05% When Kelazhur loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.03% When Starbuck wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Starbuck loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When uThermal wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.01% When uThermal loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.9% Giving this match an Effects Score of 2.00536
Group C When ShoWTimE wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.78% When ShoWTimE loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.21% When HeRoMaRinE wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.12% When HeRoMaRinE loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11% When Jaedong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 4.63% When Jaedong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.2% When Sen wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.09% When Sen loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.05% Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.192
Group D When MaSa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.07% When MaSa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08% When iaguz wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.13% When iaguz loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.1% When MarineLorD wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.87% When MarineLorD loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.18% When Has wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.16% When Has loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11% Giving this match an Effects Score of 7.70839
Group E When Shana wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Shana loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Lilbow wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.33% When Lilbow loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 18.16% When neeb wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When neeb loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When GunGFuBanDa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.06% When GunGFuBanDa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11% Giving this match an Effects Score of 25.665
Group F When iAsonu wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.04% When iAsonu loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.03% When Zanster wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.03% When Zanster loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.04% When Kane wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.32% When Kane loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.2% When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.96% When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 14.66% Giving this match an Effects Score of 23.291
Group G When Hitman wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Hitman loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Elazer wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Elazer loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Jim wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.02% When Jim loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.32% When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.07% Giving this match an Effects Score of 11.4545
Group H When viOLet wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.11% When viOLet loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.17% When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.58% When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.26% When TLO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.95% When TLO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.6% When XiGua wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When XiGua loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% Giving this match an Effects Score of 5.67346
Group A Polt has an Aligulac rating of 2144 MajOr has an Aligulac rating of 1851 Harstem has an Aligulac rating of 1716 Petraeus has an Aligulac rating of 1964 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7675
Group B Kelazhur has an Aligulac rating of 1596 Starbuck has an Aligulac rating of 1688 Hydra has an Aligulac rating of 2299 uThermal has an Aligulac rating of 1762 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7345
Group C ShoWTimE has an Aligulac rating of 1862 HeRoMaRinE has an Aligulac rating of 1838 Jaedong has an Aligulac rating of 2054 Sen has an Aligulac rating of 1686 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7440
Group D MaSa has an Aligulac rating of 1817 iaguz has an Aligulac rating of 1655 MarineLorD has an Aligulac rating of 1939 Has has an Aligulac rating of 1562 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6973
Group E Shana has an Aligulac rating of 1354 Lilbow has an Aligulac rating of 2038 neeb has an Aligulac rating of 1526 GunGFuBanDa has an Aligulac rating of 1750 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6668
Group F iAsonu has an Aligulac rating of 1656 Zanster has an Aligulac rating of 1818 Kane has an Aligulac rating of 1699 ForGG has an Aligulac rating of 2095 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7268
Group G Hitman has an Aligulac rating of 1579 Elazer has an Aligulac rating of 1678 Jim has an Aligulac rating of 1639 Snute has an Aligulac rating of 1999 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6895
Group H viOLet has an Aligulac rating of 1898 MaNa has an Aligulac rating of 1900 TLO has an Aligulac rating of 1694 XiGua has an Aligulac rating of 1443 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6935
Final Placings Group A has two 1st places, and two 2nd places Group B has one 1st place, one 2nd place, and one 3rd place Group C has one 2nd place, and three 3rd places Group D has one 4th place Group E has one 1st place, and one 3rd place Group F has one 1st place, one 2nd place, and three 4th places Group G has one 4th place Group H has no top 4 placements
With two 1st places and two 2nd places, Group A is our Group of Death! Congratulations to Polt, MajOr, Harstem, and Petraeus! The 2nd place Group of Death is Group B with Kelazhur, Starbuck, Hydra, and uThermal.
Biggest Winners and Losers from the Code S Ro32 Group Drawing (Sim ID #2730 vs Sim ID #2743) Biggest Winners Dark went up by 3.5%, going from 60.23% to 63.73% FanTaSy went up by 0.69%, going from 73.13% to 73.82% sOs went up by 0.62%, going from 44.53% to 45.15% INnoVation went up by 0.37%, going from 81.67% to 82.04% Bbyong went up by 0.17%, going from 3.99% to 4.16% Dear went up by 0.12%, going from 16.95% to 17.07% Curious went up by 0.1%, going from 9.57% to 9.67%
Biggest Losers Rogue went down by 2.12%, going from 65.39% to 63.27% MyuNgSiK went down by 1.17%, going from 7.37% to 6.21% GuMiho went down by 0.43%, going from 6.65% to 6.23% soO went down by 0.39%, going from 15.31% to 14.92% Solar went down by 0.28%, going from 3.61% to 3.33% MMA went down by 0.17%, going from 1.02% to 0.85% Bunny went down by 0.15%, going from 16.09% to 15.94% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
HyuN went down by 0.14%, going from 18.45% to 18.32% Bomber went down by 0.12%, going from 0.78% to 0.66% Lilbow went down by 0.11%, going from 15.8% to 15.69%
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 47.9% down to 47.6% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 6.11% down to 5.99% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.16% down to 0.16%
Top Foreigner Hopes Bunny12.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 15.94% chance overall. Lilbow12.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 15.69% chance overall. Snute7.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.36% chance overall. MarineLorD3.74% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.81% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.54% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.98% chance overall. Petraeus0.92% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.17% chance overall. FireCake0.86% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.12% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
MaNa0.72% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.91% chance overall. TLO0.5% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.67% chance overall. Harstem0.32% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall. uThermal0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.4% chance overall. Kane0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.19% chance overall. Nerchio0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.18% chance overall. Welmu0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.16% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. Has0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. MajOr0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. iaguz0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. MaSa0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.09% chance overall. Sen0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. elfi0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. Zanster0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. iAsonu0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Jim0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Kelazhur0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Bly0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Happy0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Elazer0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. XiGua0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Starbuck0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Hitman0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. SortOf0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. neeb0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. DnS0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Dayshi0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Ret0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! soO is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
0.69% of the time 2575 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 10.69% of the time 2775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 31.26% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 51.83% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 70.06% of the time 3125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 91.42% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.03% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
herO has a 49.14% chance to be the #1 seed. herO has a 31.99% chance to be the #2 seed. Life has a 22.95% chance to be the #3 seed. Maru has a 23.29% chance to be the #4 seed. Maru has a 23.19% chance to be the #5 seed. Rain has a 16.37% chance to be the #6 seed. Hydra has a 17.6% chance to be the #7 seed. Dream has a 22.22% chance to be the #8 seed. Dream has a 22.08% chance to be the #9 seed. Zest has a 14.6% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 15.29% chance to be the #11 seed. Polt has a 17.15% chance to be the #12 seed. Polt has a 15.65% chance to be the #13 seed. FanTaSy has a 11.97% chance to be the #14 seed. Dark has a 12.25% chance to be the #15 seed. Dark has a 13.2% chance to be the #16 seed.
Dream vs Classic has a 14.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Hydra has a 13.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Maru has a 13.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Zest has a 12.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Polt has a 12.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs herO has a 12.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs ByuL has a 12.17% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Rogue has a 11.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs ByuL has a 11.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs FanTaSy has a 11.38% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Zest, Cure, MyuNgSiK, and Solarin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Solar must win this match! Zest is at 99.88% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.7% if they lose. MyuNgSiK is at 6.21% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.38%, or 2.92% if they lose. Cure is at 0.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.28%, or 0.01% if they lose. Solar is at 3.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.28%, or 0.04% if they lose.
Bomber, Maru, Classic, and Trustin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Bomber must win this match! Bomber is at 0.66% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.58%, or 0.01% if they lose. Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Trust is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.41% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Life, sOs, Bbyong, and Storkin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Bbyong must win this match! sOs has the #4 Headband. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Bbyong is at 4.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.2%, or 0.12% if they lose. sOs is at 45.15% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 58.68%, or 24.53% if they lose. Stork is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Rain, Losira, Hack, and herOin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Rain has the #1 Headband. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 74.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Hack is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. Losira is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.01% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Curious, INnoVation, Flash, and Pigbabyin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Curious must win this match! Curious is at 9.67% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.18% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.3%, or 1.17% if they lose. Flash is at 0.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.95%, or 0.01% if they lose. INnoVation is at 82.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 90.25%, or 67.88% if they lose. Pigbaby is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.48% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Sleep, ByuL, FanTaSy, and Dearin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Sleep is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 73.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 86.31%, or 57.18% if they lose. ByuL is at 98.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.86%, or 97.12% if they lose. Dear is at 17.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.82%, or 7.41% if they lose.
PartinG, MMA, Dark, and sKyHighin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. MMA must win this match! Dark has the #3 Headband. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.48% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dark is at 63.73% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 79.06%, or 34.2% if they lose. MMA is at 0.85% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.46%, or 0.04% if they lose. sKyHigh is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose.
GuMiho, Hurricane, soO, and Roguein in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. GuMiho and soO must win this match! soO has the #2 Headband. GuMiho is at 6.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.25%, or 0.55% if they lose. soO is at 14.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 22.95%, or 1.8% if they lose. Hurricane is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.19%, or 0.01% if they lose. Rogue is at 63.27% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.39% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 81.1%, or 46.55% if they lose.
Solar, Bbyong, GuMiho, Flash, Bomber, and MMA must win this tournament! PartinG has a 9.9% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 7.96% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 7.33% chance to win ----going from 14.92% to 99.2% if they get 1st, or 8.26% if they don't. INnoVation has a 7.13% chance to win ----going from 82.04% to 100% if they get 1st, or 80.66% if they don't. Classic has a 5.97% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Dark has a 5.54% chance to win ----going from 63.73% to 100% if they get 1st, or 61.6% if they don't. Zest has a 5.4% chance to win ----going from 99.88% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.88% if they don't. Maru has a 5.13% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 4.99% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 4.29% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. sOs has a 4.15% chance to win ----going from 45.15% to 100% if they get 1st, or 42.77% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 3.53% chance to win ----going from 73.82% to 100% if they get 1st, or 72.86% if they don't. Solar has a 3.46% chance to win ----going from 3.33% to 79.67% if they get 1st, or 0.59% if they don't. Dear has a 3.15% chance to win ----going from 17.07% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 14.37% if they don't. ByuL has a 3.05% chance to win ----going from 98.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.75% if they don't. Bbyong has a 3.05% chance to win ----going from 4.16% to 95.36% if they get 1st, or 1.3% if they don't. Curious has a 2.58% chance to win ----going from 9.67% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 7.28% if they don't. GuMiho has a 2.32% chance to win ----going from 6.23% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 4.01% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.03% chance to win ----going from 63.27% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.5% if they don't. Flash has a 1.95% chance to win ----going from 0.46% to 21.52% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Cure has a 1.4% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 9.31% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Trust has a 1.06% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 3.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 1.05% chance to win ----going from 0.66% to 53.52% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.81% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 8.85% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 0.79% chance to win ----going from 6.21% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 5.46% if they don't. MMA has a 0.59% chance to win ----going from 0.85% to 85.21% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.77% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Losira has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 10.42% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 6.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Stork has a 0.12% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.55% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.52% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Group A Zest has a 5.4% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Cure has a 1.4% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 MyuNgSiK has a 0.79% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Solar has a 3.46% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.0535
Group B Bomber has a 1.05% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Maru has a 5.13% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Classic has a 5.97% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Trust has a 1.06% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.2059
Group C Life has a 4.29% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 sOs has a 4.15% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Bbyong has a 3.05% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Stork has a 0.12% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.6014
Group D Rain has a 7.96% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Losira has a 0.32% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Hack has a 0.22% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 herO has a 4.99% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.4904
Group E Curious has a 2.58% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 INnoVation has a 7.13% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Flash has a 1.95% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Pigbaby has a 0.44% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.1079
Group F Sleep has a 0.08% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 ByuL has a 3.05% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 FanTaSy has a 3.53% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Dear has a 3.15% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.80775
Group G PartinG has a 9.9% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 MMA has a 0.59% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Dark has a 5.54% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 sKyHigh has a 0.21% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 16.2428
Group H GuMiho has a 2.32% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Hurricane has a 0.81% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 soO has a 7.33% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Rogue has a 2.03% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.4903
Group A Zest has a 99.88% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Cure has a 0.14% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MyuNgSiK has a 6.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Solar has a 3.33% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 109.556
Group B Bomber has a 0.66% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Maru has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Classic has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Trust has a 0.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 200.697
Group C Life has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon sOs has a 45.15% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Bbyong has a 4.16% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Stork has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 149.31
Group D Rain has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Losira has a 0.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Hack has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon herO has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 200.042
Group E Curious has a 9.67% chance to qualify for Blizzcon INnoVation has a 82.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Flash has a 0.46% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Pigbaby has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 92.1885
Group F Sleep has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon ByuL has a 98.78% chance to qualify for Blizzcon FanTaSy has a 73.82% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dear has a 17.07% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 189.671
Group G PartinG has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MMA has a 0.85% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dark has a 63.73% chance to qualify for Blizzcon sKyHigh has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 164.597
Group H GuMiho has a 6.23% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Hurricane has a 0.08% chance to qualify for Blizzcon soO has a 14.92% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Rogue has a 63.27% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 84.4908
Group A Zest's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Cure's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% MyuNgSiK's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.17% Solar's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.28% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.43931
Group B Bomber's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.12% Maru's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Classic's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Trust's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.121084
Group C Life's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% sOs's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.62% Bbyong's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.17% Stork's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.785812
Group D Rain's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Losira's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Hack's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.01366
Group E Curious's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.1% INnoVation's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.37% Flash's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.03% Pigbaby's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.440548
Group F Sleep's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.06% FanTaSy's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.69% Dear's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.12% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.864052
Group G PartinG's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% MMA's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.17% Dark's Blizzcon Chances changed by 3.5% sKyHigh's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -3.32155
Group H GuMiho's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.43% Hurricane's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% soO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.39% Rogue's Blizzcon Chances changed by -2.12% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 2.94562
Group A When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.11% When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.18% When Cure wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.14% When Cure loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.14% When MyuNgSiK wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.17% When MyuNgSiK loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 3.29% When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.95% When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 3.29% Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.2735
Group B When Bomber wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.92% When Bomber loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.65% When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When Classic wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Classic loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When Trust wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05% When Trust loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.04% Giving this match an Effects Score of 1.66226
Group C When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 13.53% When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 20.62% When Bbyong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.03% When Bbyong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.05% When Stork wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Stork loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% Giving this match an Effects Score of 41.2319
Group D When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When Losira wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.09% When Losira loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.04% When Hack wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Hack loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% Giving this match an Effects Score of 0.14194
Group E When Curious wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.63% When Curious loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.5% When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.21% When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 14.16% When Flash wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.48% When Flash loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.46% When Pigbaby wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.03% When Pigbaby loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% Giving this match an Effects Score of 38.4754
Group F When Sleep wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Sleep loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.07% When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.66% When FanTaSy wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 12.49% When FanTaSy loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.64% When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.75% When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.66% Giving this match an Effects Score of 49.2669
Group G When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When MMA wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.61% When MMA loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.81% When Dark wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 15.33% When Dark loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 29.53% When sKyHigh wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.04% When sKyHigh loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% Giving this match an Effects Score of 47.3398
Group H When GuMiho wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.02% When GuMiho loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 5.67% When Hurricane wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.11% When Hurricane loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08% When soO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.03% When soO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 13.13% When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 17.84% When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.72% Giving this match an Effects Score of 67.5918
Group A Zest has an Aligulac rating of 2170 Cure has an Aligulac rating of 1998 MyuNgSiK has an Aligulac rating of 1882 Solar has an Aligulac rating of 2158 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8208
Group B Bomber has an Aligulac rating of 1964 Maru has an Aligulac rating of 2273 Classic has an Aligulac rating of 2239 Trust has an Aligulac rating of 1891 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8367
Group C Life has an Aligulac rating of 2206 sOs has an Aligulac rating of 2134 Bbyong has an Aligulac rating of 2129 Stork has an Aligulac rating of 1615 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8084
Group D Rain has an Aligulac rating of 2278 Losira has an Aligulac rating of 1794 Hack has an Aligulac rating of 1769 herO has an Aligulac rating of 2157 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7998
Group E Curious has an Aligulac rating of 2085 INnoVation has an Aligulac rating of 2335 Flash has an Aligulac rating of 2052 Pigbaby has an Aligulac rating of 1774 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8246
Group F Sleep has an Aligulac rating of 1611 ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 2104 FanTaSy has an Aligulac rating of 2171 Dear has an Aligulac rating of 2079 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7965
Group G PartinG has an Aligulac rating of 2334 MMA has an Aligulac rating of 1881 Dark has an Aligulac rating of 2247 sKyHigh has an Aligulac rating of 1763 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8225
Group H GuMiho has an Aligulac rating of 2099 Hurricane has an Aligulac rating of 1859 soO has an Aligulac rating of 2347 Rogue has an Aligulac rating of 2065 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8370
Final Placings Group A has one 2nd place Group B has one 1st place, one 2nd place, and two 3rd places Group C has one 4th place Group D has two 2nd places, and one 4th place Group E has one 3rd place Group F has one 2nd place, and one 3rd place Group G has one 1st place, one 3rd place, and two 4th places Group H has three 1st places, and one 4th place
Group H is our Group of Death! Congrats to GuMiho, Hurricane, soO, and Rogue! The 2nd place Group of Death is Group B with Bomber, Maru, Classic, and Trust.
Biggest Winners and Losers from Gfinity Summer 1 not giving WCS Points (Sim ID #2556 vs Sim ID #2563) Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 1.09%, going from 64.01% to 65.1% Dark went up by 1.04%, going from 60.18% to 61.23% FanTaSy went up by 0.91%, going from 40.06% to 40.97% sOs went up by 0.78%, going from 45.84% to 46.62% ByuL went up by 0.69%, going from 89.79% to 90.48% Stats went up by 0.69%, going from 29.51% to 30.19% INnoVation went up by 0.51%, going from 83.29% to 83.8% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Bunny went up by 0.42%, going from 15.62% to 16.04% Lilbow went up by 0.36%, going from 17.73% to 18.09% Zest went up by 0.31%, going from 96.31% to 96.63% Dear went up by 0.3%, going from 18.18% to 18.49% Curious went up by 0.3%, going from 11.31% to 11.62% soO went up by 0.28%, going from 18.11% to 18.39% TY went up by 0.26%, going from 11.37% to 11.63% Polt went up by 0.24%, going from 97.92% to 98.16% ForGG went up by 0.16%, going from 11.75% to 11.91%
Biggest Losers HyuN went down by 5.92%, going from 35.93% to 30.01% MyuNgSiK went down by 1.98%, going from 10.17% to 8.19% Snute went down by 0.71%, going from 5.47% to 4.76% TRUE went down by 0.58%, going from 1.55% to 0.97% Patience went down by 0.13%, going from 0.57% to 0.44%
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 45.05% up to 45.49% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 5.54% up to 5.62% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.15% down to 0.15%
Top Foreigner Hopes Lilbow14.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 18.09% chance overall. Bunny12.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 16.04% chance overall. Snute3.63% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.76% chance overall. MarineLorD2.55% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.31% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.69% chance overall. Petraeus0.99% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.28% chance overall. FireCake0.95% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.25% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Happy0.93% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.21% chance overall. TLO0.48% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.64% chance overall. Harstem0.47% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.62% chance overall. MaNa0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.3% chance overall. uThermal0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.3% chance overall. Nerchio0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.26% chance overall. Serral0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.18% chance overall. Welmu0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.18% chance overall. NaNiwa0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.15% chance overall. MajOr0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.14% chance overall. Ret0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.13% chance overall. iaguz0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.09% chance overall. Kane0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall. Sen0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. elfi0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. Zanster0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. MaSa0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. iAsonu0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. Jim0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. HuK0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Kelazhur0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Has0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Bly0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Bails0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! soO is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
0.81% of the time 2625 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.23% of the time 2800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 31.58% of the time 2950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 50.07% of the time 3050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 68.46% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 90.55% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.05% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
herO has a 34.4% chance to be the #1 seed. herO has a 31.97% chance to be the #2 seed. Life has a 21.42% chance to be the #3 seed. PartinG has a 21.76% chance to be the #4 seed. PartinG has a 23.11% chance to be the #5 seed. Rain has a 15.74% chance to be the #6 seed. Dream has a 18.54% chance to be the #7 seed. Dream has a 23.01% chance to be the #8 seed. Dream has a 18.93% chance to be the #9 seed. Zest has a 12.78% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 14.58% chance to be the #11 seed. Polt has a 15.35% chance to be the #12 seed. Polt has a 14.35% chance to be the #13 seed. Polt has a 11.61% chance to be the #14 seed. Rogue has a 9.79% chance to be the #15 seed. Dark has a 10.14% chance to be the #16 seed.
PartinG vs Polt has a 12.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Classic has a 11.37% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs ByuL has a 11.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Zest has a 10.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Hydra has a 10.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs ByuL has a 10.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Hydra vs Zest has a 10.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Polt has a 10.55% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Maru has a 10.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs ByuL has a 10.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Bomber vs Firstin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Bomber is at 0.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.77%, or 0.01% if they lose. First is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Symbol vs Hurricanein in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Symbol is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. Hurricane is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.11%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Sacsri vs Curein in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Sacsri is at 0.24% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.48%, or 0.01% if they lose. Cure is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0.01% if they lose.
FanTaSy vs Sanin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. FanTaSy is at 40.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 51.28%, or 26.21% if they lose. San is at 0.27% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.64%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Patience vs Zestin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Patience must win this match! Patience is at 0.44% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.48%, or 0.06% if they lose. Zest is at 96.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 97.95%, or 92.98% if they lose.
herO vs Armaniin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Armani is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.94% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.
GuMiho vs HyuNin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. GuMiho must win this match! GuMiho is at 3.74% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.18% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.16%, or 0.68% if they lose. HyuN is at 30.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.82% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 38.94%, or 20.01% if they lose.
Bails vs MaSain in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Bails is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. MaSa is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.31% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.11%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Jaedong vs Semperin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Jaedong must win this match! Jaedong is at 5.52% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.13%, or 0.09% if they lose. Semper is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
StarDust vs neebin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. StarDust must win this match! StarDust is at 2.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.35%, or 0.05% if they lose. neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG has a 81.53% chance to win ----going from 11.91% to 14.45% if they get 1st, or 0.69% if they don't. Polt has a 75.2% chance to win ----going from 98.16% to 99.14% if they get 1st, or 95.19% if they don't. Lilbow has a 71.89% chance to win ----going from 18.09% to 23.66% if they get 1st, or 3.83% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 71.51% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. StarDust has a 71.03% chance to win ----going from 2.39% to 3.35% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MarineLorD has a 67.85% chance to win ----going from 3.31% to 4.85% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Jaedong has a 67.44% chance to win ----going from 5.52% to 8.13% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. viOLet has a 64.74% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Snute has a 62.28% chance to win ----going from 4.76% to 7.57% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. Bunny has a 60.92% chance to win ----going from 16.04% to 23.59% if they get 1st, or 4.27% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 60.42% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HuK has a 56.23% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Happy has a 54.48% chance to win ----going from 1.21% to 2.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Nerchio has a 54.03% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 0.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Welmu has a 53.56% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Xenocider has a 53.28% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. uThermal has a 52.47% chance to win ----going from 0.3% to 0.57% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 51.15% chance to win ----going from 1.69% to 3.26% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. TLO has a 50.36% chance to win ----going from 0.64% to 1.25% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. MaSa has a 50.31% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FireCake has a 50.28% chance to win ----going from 1.25% to 2.46% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Zanster has a 49.72% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bails has a 49.69% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bly has a 49.64% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 48.85% chance to win ----going from 0.15% to 0.31% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 47.53% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 46.72% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Elazer has a 46.44% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 45.97% chance to win ----going from 0.62% to 1.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaNa has a 45.52% chance to win ----going from 0.3% to 0.66% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 43.77% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ret has a 39.58% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Starbuck has a 39.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Serral has a 37.72% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 0.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. qxc has a 35.26% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Semper has a 32.56% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DmC has a 32.15% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. neeb has a 28.97% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DnS has a 28.49% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. SortOf has a 28.11% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. JonSnow has a 24.8% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Dayshi has a 18.47% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Zest, Stats, ByuL, and Maruin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. Zest is at 96.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.7%, or 93.89% if they lose. ByuL is at 90.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.49%, or 83.23% if they lose. Stats is at 30.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 51.08%, or 12.59% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.64% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
herO, sOs, INnoVation, and Lifein in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. sOs has the #4 Headband. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. INnoVation is at 83.8% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 92.9%, or 72.34% if they lose. sOs is at 46.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 64.75%, or 30.03% if they lose. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.98% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
MyuNgSiK, Dear, Dream, and Rainin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. Rain has the #1 Headband. MyuNgSiK is at 8.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.05%, or 3.66% if they lose. Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dear is at 18.49% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 28.99%, or 8.18% if they lose. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
HyuN, TY, Classic, and Roguein in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. TY must win this match! HyuN is at 30.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 45.23%, or 14.93% if they lose. Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. TY is at 11.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.1%, or 2.22% if they lose. Rogue is at 65.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 83.6%, or 47.41% if they lose.
INnoVation has a 10.85% chance to win ----going from 83.8% to 100% if they get 1st, or 81.83% if they don't. Maru has a 9.98% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 9.15% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 8.68% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 7.11% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Dream has a 6.73% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 6.54% chance to win ----going from 96.63% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.39% if they don't. HyuN has a 5.69% chance to win ----going from 30.01% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 25.79% if they don't. sOs has a 5.53% chance to win ----going from 46.62% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 43.5% if they don't. herO has a 5.15% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dear has a 4.94% chance to win ----going from 18.49% to 99.19% if they get 1st, or 14.29% if they don't. ByuL has a 4.75% chance to win ----going from 90.48% to 100% if they get 1st, or 90.01% if they don't. Stats has a 4.62% chance to win ----going from 30.19% to 100% if they get 1st, or 26.82% if they don't. Rogue has a 4.34% chance to win ----going from 65.1% to 100% if they get 1st, or 63.52% if they don't. TY has a 4.28% chance to win ----going from 11.63% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 7.68% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.67% chance to win ----going from 8.19% to 99.11% if they get 1st, or 6.65% if they don't.
I also made a new branch for if Innovation wins SSL, ForGG wins WCS, and soO wins GSL. With the recent addition of Final Seed Stats and Final Match Stats, branches will get really interesting closer to the end of the year since we'll be able to look at how the different scenarios affect who plays who at Blizzcon. Be sure to keep an eye on the branches page and feel free to make requests for branches, they're easy for me to add!
Biggest Winners and Losers during DreamHack and IEM (Sim ID #2354 vs Sim ID #2507) Biggest Winners Curious went up by 8.85%, going from 1.93% to 10.78% HyuN went up by 8.67%, going from 27.47% to 36.14% FanTaSy went up by 4.33%, going from 35.96% to 40.29% TY went up by 1.63%, going from 9.82% to 11.45% TRUE went up by 1.12%, going from 0.46% to 1.59% Flash went up by 0.36%, going from 0.24% to 0.6% Patience went up by 0.32%, going from 0.26% to 0.58% MarineLorD went up by 0.26%, going from 3.02% to 3.28%
Biggest Losers Bunny went down by 10.74%, going from 26.51% to 15.77% Lilbow went down by 8.52%, going from 26.33% to 17.81% GuMiho went down by 1.44%, going from 5.12% to 3.68% Rogue went down by 0.69%, going from 64.86% to 64.16% Dark went down by 0.64%, going from 61.06% to 60.42% INnoVation went down by 0.46%, going from 83.69% to 83.23% sOs went down by 0.44%, going from 46.45% to 46.01% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Stats went down by 0.4%, going from 29.99% to 29.59% MaNa went down by 0.33%, going from 0.61% to 0.29% soO went down by 0.33%, going from 18.07% to 17.75% San went down by 0.21%, going from 0.47% to 0.26% TLO went down by 0.2%, going from 0.83% to 0.63% ByuL went down by 0.14%, going from 90.01% to 89.86% viOLet went down by 0.12%, going from 0.24% to 0.12% uThermal went down by 0.12%, going from 0.41% to 0.28% ForGG went down by 0.12%, going from 11.98% to 11.86% Zest went down by 0.12%, going from 96.48% to 96.36%
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 58.57% down to 44.71% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 11.11% down to 5.45% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.46% down to 0.14%
Lilbow14.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 17.81% chance overall. Bunny12.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 15.77% chance overall. Snute4.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.5% chance overall. MarineLorD2.52% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.28% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.64% chance overall. FireCake0.93% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.22% chance overall. Happy0.91% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.18% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
TLO0.47% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.63% chance overall. Harstem0.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.6% chance overall. Petraeus0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.43% chance overall. MaNa0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.29% chance overall. uThermal0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.28% chance overall. Nerchio0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.25% chance overall. Serral0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.18% chance overall. Welmu0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.17% chance overall. NaNiwa0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.15% chance overall. MajOr0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.13% chance overall. Ret0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.12% chance overall. iaguz0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall. Kane0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall. Sen0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. elfi0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. MaSa0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. Zanster0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. iAsonu0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. Jim0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. HuK0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Kelazhur0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Has0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Bly0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Bails0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! soO is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
1.18% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 10.29% of the time 2825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 28.39% of the time 2950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 51.91% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 71.21% of the time 3175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.28% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.86% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Final Seed Stats I also added the sections for Final Seed Stats and Final Match Stats, to show the chances of seeds for Blizzcon and the first round matches at Blizzcon. Here are the most likely players for each seed, you can see more likely seeds on the website. + Show Spoiler [Final Seed Stats] +
herO has a 33.25% chance to be the #1 seed. herO has a 31.46% chance to be the #2 seed. herO has a 21.58% chance to be the #3 seed. PartinG has a 22.71% chance to be the #4 seed. PartinG has a 20.99% chance to be the #5 seed. Rain has a 16.16% chance to be the #6 seed. Dream has a 18.64% chance to be the #7 seed. Dream has a 22.94% chance to be the #8 seed. Dream has a 18.91% chance to be the #9 seed. Zest has a 12.62% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 14.36% chance to be the #11 seed. Polt has a 15.14% chance to be the #12 seed. Polt has a 14.21% chance to be the #13 seed. Polt has a 11.66% chance to be the #14 seed. ByuL has a 9.59% chance to be the #15 seed. Dark has a 9.91% chance to be the #16 seed.
PartinG vs Polt has a 12.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Classic has a 11.48% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Zest has a 10.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs ByuL has a 10.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Polt has a 10.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Hydra has a 10.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Hydra vs Zest has a 10.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs ByuL has a 10.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Maru has a 10.55% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Zest has a 10.48% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Next up is more Code A, WCS Challenger, and then SSL begins the very important round of 16 (very thick red bars around all 4 of those upcoming matches). + Show Spoiler [Code A Matches] +
Bomber vs Firstin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Bomber is at 0.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.75%, or 0.01% if they lose. First is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Symbol vs Hurricanein in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Symbol is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. Hurricane is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.48% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Cure vs Sacsriin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Cure is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.01% if they lose. Sacsri is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.47%, or 0.01% if they lose.
San vs FanTaSyin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. San is at 0.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.62%, or 0.01% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 40.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 50.55%, or 25.6% if they lose.
Patience vs Zestin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Patience must win this match! Patience is at 0.58% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.68% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.86%, or 0.11% if they lose. Zest is at 96.36% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 97.77%, or 92.47% if they lose.
Armani vs herOin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Armani is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.93% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
HyuN vs GuMihoin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. GuMiho must win this match! HyuN is at 36.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 45.77%, or 25.34% if they lose. GuMiho is at 3.68% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.06%, or 0.67% if they lose.
Oops, I didn't load in the new schedule from Liquipedia in this update. I will post these again with the schedule when we get closer to the first day.
Polt vs JonSnowin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Polt is at 97.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.02%, or 94.56% if they lose. JonSnow is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Jaedong vs Semperin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Jaedong must win this match! Jaedong is at 5.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.45% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.05%, or 0.09% if they lose. Semper is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
StarDust vs neebin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. StarDust must win this match! StarDust is at 2.2% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.09%, or 0.04% if they lose. neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
qxc vs viOLetin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. qxc is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. viOLet is at 0.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.49% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MaSa vs Bailsin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. MaSa is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.31% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0.01% if they lose. Bails is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose.
Xenocider vs Hitmanin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Xenocider is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.72% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Kane vs HuKin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Kane is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.01% if they lose. HuK is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose.
SortOf vs Lilbowin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Lilbow must win this match! SortOf is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Lilbow is at 17.81% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.32%, or 3.73% if they lose.
Bunny vs Starbuckin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Bunny must win this match! Bunny is at 15.77% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.94% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.23%, or 4.12% if they lose. Starbuck is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Bly vs TLOin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. TLO must win this match! Bly is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose. TLO is at 0.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.22%, or 0.02% if they lose.
MarineLorD vs DmCin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. MarineLorD must win this match! MarineLorD is at 3.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.77%, or 0.05% if they lose. DmC is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
FireCake vs Zansterin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. FireCake must win this match! FireCake is at 1.22% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.4%, or 0.02% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0.01% if they lose.
DnS vs GunGFuBanDain in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. DnS is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.49% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.01% if they lose.
ForGG vs Dayshiin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. ForGG must win this match! ForGG is at 11.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 14.4%, or 0.67% if they lose. Dayshi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 18.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Nerchio vs Harstemin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Harstem must win this match! Nerchio is at 0.25% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.46%, or 0.01% if they lose. Harstem is at 0.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.29%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Ret vs HeRoMaRinEin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Ret is at 0.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.53% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.3%, or 0.01% if they lose. HeRoMaRinE is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose.
uThermal vs elfiin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. uThermal is at 0.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.54%, or 0.01% if they lose. elfi is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.62% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.13%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Welmu vs Elazerin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Welmu is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.32%, or 0.01% if they lose. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Snute vs Serralin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Snute must win this match! Snute is at 5.5% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.69%, or 0.24% if they lose. Serral is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.46%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MaNa vs Happyin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Happy must win this match! MaNa is at 0.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.63%, or 0.01% if they lose. Happy is at 1.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.16%, or 0.01% if they lose.
NaNiwa vs ShoWTimEin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. ShoWTimE must win this match! NaNiwa is at 0.15% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.3%, or 0.01% if they lose. ShoWTimE is at 1.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.16%, or 0.04% if they lose.
These matches are very important for Stats, sOs, INnoVation, MyuNgSiK, Dear, HyuN, TY, and Rogue.
Zest, Stats, ByuL, and Maruin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. Zest is at 96.36% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.66%, or 93.44% if they lose. ByuL is at 89.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.53% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.3%, or 82.2% if they lose. Stats is at 29.59% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 50.25%, or 12.22% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Life, INnoVation, sOs, and herOin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. sOs has the #4 Headband. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. sOs is at 46.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 63.99%, or 29.51% if they lose. INnoVation is at 83.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 92.53%, or 71.61% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.59% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
MyuNgSiK, Dear, Dream, and Rainin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. Rain has the #1 Headband. MyuNgSiK is at 10.57% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.15%, or 5.03% if they lose. Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dear is at 17.56% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 27.87%, or 7.7% if they lose. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
HyuN, TY, Classic, and Roguein in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. TY must win this match! HyuN is at 36.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 52.63%, or 19.81% if they lose. Classic is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. TY is at 11.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.75%, or 2.17% if they lose. Rogue is at 64.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 82.78%, or 46.36% if they lose.
INnoVation has a 10.65% chance to win ----going from 83.23% to 100% if they get 1st, or 81.24% if they don't. Maru has a 10.21% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 9.15% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Rain has a 8.68% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 7.15% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dream has a 6.73% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 6.52% chance to win ----going from 96.36% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.1% if they don't. HyuN has a 5.71% chance to win ----going from 36.14% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 32.27% if they don't. sOs has a 5.54% chance to win ----going from 46.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 42.84% if they don't. herO has a 5.17% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ByuL has a 4.78% chance to win ----going from 89.86% to 100% if they get 1st, or 89.35% if they don't. Dear has a 4.72% chance to win ----going from 17.56% to 99.02% if they get 1st, or 13.53% if they don't. Stats has a 4.61% chance to win ----going from 29.59% to 100% if they get 1st, or 26.19% if they don't. Rogue has a 4.35% chance to win ----going from 64.16% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.53% if they don't. TY has a 4.28% chance to win ----going from 11.45% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 7.5% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.75% chance to win ----going from 10.57% to 99.7% if they get 1st, or 8.98% if they don't.
Biggest Winners and Losers from SSL group selections (Sim ID #2341 vs Sim ID #2354) Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 1.86%, going from 63.01% to 64.86% HyuN went up by 0.33%, going from 27.13% to 27.46% Dark went up by 0.24%, going from 60.82% to 61.06% FanTaSy went up by 0.16%, going from 35.81% to 35.97% Dear went up by 0.11%, going from 17.41% to 17.52%
Biggest Losers Stats went down by 1.09%, going from 31.08% to 29.99% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.62%, going from 11.22% to 10.6% TY went down by 0.54%, going from 10.36% to 9.82% INnoVation went down by 0.38%, going from 84.07% to 83.69% Zest went down by 0.37%, going from 96.85% to 96.48% sOs went down by 0.33%, going from 46.77% to 46.45%
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 58.41% up to 58.57% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 11.01% up to 11.11% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.45% up to 0.46%
Bunny18.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 26.51% chance overall. Lilbow18.32% chance to be the only foreigner, 26.33% chance overall. Snute3.43% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.6% chance overall. MarineLorD1.89% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.01% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.64% chance overall. Happy0.75% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.19% chance overall. FireCake0.75% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.2% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
TLO0.5% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.83% chance overall. MaNa0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.61% chance overall. Harstem0.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.58% chance overall. Petraeus0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.4% chance overall. uThermal0.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall. Nerchio0.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.25% chance overall. Welmu0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.18% chance overall. Serral0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.17% chance overall. NaNiwa0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.15% chance overall. MajOr0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.14% chance overall. iaguz0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.12% chance overall. Zanster0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. Ret0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.09% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall. Kane0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. Jim0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. HuK0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. elfi0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. Sen0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. MaSa0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. Kelazhur0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. iAsonu0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. Has0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Bly0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Bails0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! soO is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
0.77% of the time 2625 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 11.12% of the time 2825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 29.35% of the time 2950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 52.37% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 71.23% of the time 3175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.23% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.91% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Maru, ByuL, Stats, and Zestin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Stats is at 29.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 50.75%, or 12.52% if they lose. ByuL is at 90.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.31%, or 82.48% if they lose. Zest is at 96.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.67%, or 93.66% if they lose.
Life, INnoVation, sOs, and herOin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. sOs has the #4 Headband. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. sOs is at 46.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 64.26%, or 29.7% if they lose. INnoVation is at 83.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 92.75%, or 72.27% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Rain, Dream, Dear, and MyuNgSiKin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. Rain has the #1 Headband. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dear is at 17.52% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 28.12%, or 7.78% if they lose. Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. MyuNgSiK is at 10.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.42%, or 5.09% if they lose.
HyuN, TY, Classic, and Roguein in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. TY must win this match! HyuN is at 27.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 41.34%, or 13.99% if they lose. Classic is at 99.95% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.82% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.87% if they lose. TY is at 9.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.6%, or 1.88% if they lose. Rogue is at 64.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 82.9%, or 47.19% if they lose.
INnoVation has a 10.56% chance to win ----going from 83.69% to 100% if they get 1st, or 81.77% if they don't. Rain has a 10.3% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 10.05% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 8.84% chance to win ----going from 99.95% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.94% if they don't. Dream has a 6.9% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Life has a 6.74% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 6.59% chance to win ----going from 96.48% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.23% if they don't. sOs has a 5.61% chance to win ----going from 46.45% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 43.26% if they don't. HyuN has a 5.37% chance to win ----going from 27.47% to 99.51% if they get 1st, or 23.38% if they don't. herO has a 4.97% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ByuL has a 4.69% chance to win ----going from 90.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 89.52% if they don't. Dear has a 4.68% chance to win ----going from 17.52% to 99.01% if they get 1st, or 13.52% if they don't. Stats has a 4.64% chance to win ----going from 29.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 26.58% if they don't. Rogue has a 4.3% chance to win ----going from 64.86% to 100% if they get 1st, or 63.28% if they don't. TY has a 4.02% chance to win ----going from 9.82% to 99.18% if they get 1st, or 6.08% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.74% chance to win ----going from 10.6% to 99.72% if they get 1st, or 9.03% if they don't.
SSL S3 Group of Death And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Group D Maru has a 10.05% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 ByuL has a 4.69% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Stats has a 4.64% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Zest has a 6.59% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 25.9668
Group C Life has a 6.74% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 INnoVation has a 10.56% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 sOs has a 5.61% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 herO has a 4.97% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 27.8832
Group B Rain has a 10.3% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Dream has a 6.9% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Dear has a 4.68% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 MyuNgSiK has a 1.74% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 23.6208
Group A HyuN has a 5.37% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 TY has a 4.02% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Classic has a 8.84% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Rogue has a 4.3% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 22.5292
Group D Maru has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon ByuL has a 90.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Stats has a 29.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Zest has a 96.48% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 316.473
Group C Life has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon INnoVation has a 83.69% chance to qualify for Blizzcon sOs has a 46.45% chance to qualify for Blizzcon herO has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 330.136
Group B Rain has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dream has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dear has a 17.52% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MyuNgSiK has a 10.6% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 228.128
Group A HyuN has a 27.47% chance to qualify for Blizzcon TY has a 9.82% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Classic has a 99.95% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Rogue has a 64.86% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 202.093
Group D Maru's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.04% Stats's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.09% Zest's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.37% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.41984
Group C Life's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% INnoVation's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.38% sOs's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.32% herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.699204
Group B Rain's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Dream's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Dear's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.11% MyuNgSiK's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.62% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.511313
Group A HyuN's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.34% TY's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.54% Classic's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Rogue's Blizzcon Chances changed by 1.85% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.65528
Group D When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.3% When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.53% When Stats wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 20.77% When Stats loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 17.46% When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.19% When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.82% Giving this match an Effects Score of 60.0686
Group C When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.06% When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 11.42% When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 17.81% When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.75% When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% Giving this match an Effects Score of 55.0382
Group B When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When Dream wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Dream loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.6% When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.75% When MyuNgSiK wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.82% When MyuNgSiK loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 5.52% Giving this match an Effects Score of 36.6752
Group A When HyuN wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 13.87% When HyuN loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 13.48% When TY wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.78% When TY loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.94% When Classic wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05% When Classic loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08% When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 18.04% When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 17.66% Giving this match an Effects Score of 81.9074
Group D Maru has an Aligulac rating of 2294 ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 2091 Stats has an Aligulac rating of 2071 Zest has an Aligulac rating of 2145 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8601
Group C Life has an Aligulac rating of 2196 INnoVation has an Aligulac rating of 2328 sOs has an Aligulac rating of 2134 herO has an Aligulac rating of 2131 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8789
Group B Rain has an Aligulac rating of 2341 Dream has an Aligulac rating of 2103 Dear has an Aligulac rating of 2068 MyuNgSiK has an Aligulac rating of 1888 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8400
Group A HyuN has an Aligulac rating of 2133 TY has an Aligulac rating of 2065 Classic has an Aligulac rating of 2229 Rogue has an Aligulac rating of 2065 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8492
Final Placings Group D has one 1st place, and four 2nd places Group C has three 1st places, one 2nd place, and one 3rd place Group B has three 3rd places, and two 4th places Group A has one 1st place, one 3rd place, and three 4th places
Group C is our Group of Death, congratulations to Life, INnoVation, sOs, and herO! Our 2nd place Group of Death is Group D with Maru, ByuL, Stats, and Zest.
Biggest Winners and Losers during Season 2 (Sim ID #2238 vs Sim ID #2245) Biggest Winners ForGG went up by 2.38%, going from 10.42% to 12.8% MyuNgSiK went up by 1.18%, going from 13.96% to 15.14% Lilbow went up by 0.83%, going from 9.23% to 10.06% Dark went up by 0.66%, going from 59.77% to 60.43% soO went up by 0.28%, going from 4.75% to 5.03% FireCake went up by 0.17%, going from 1.44% to 1.61% MarineLorD went up by 0.13%, going from 1.47% to 1.6%
Biggest Losers StarDust went down by 1.02%, going from 1.93% to 0.92% TY went down by 0.77%, going from 13.65% to 12.89% Snute went down by 0.71%, going from 7.17% to 6.45% Jaedong went down by 0.54%, going from 9.96% to 9.42% GuMiho went down by 0.4%, going from 7.25% to 6.85% ShoWTimE went down by 0.36%, going from 2.75% to 2.39% Bunny went down by 0.31%, going from 22.45% to 22.14% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
MaNa went down by 0.24%, going from 1.03% to 0.79% ByuL went down by 0.23%, going from 93.97% to 93.74% Stats went down by 0.23%, going from 40.44% to 40.21% FanTaSy went down by 0.19%, going from 27.72% to 27.52% sOs went down by 0.15%, going from 55.94% to 55.8% Dear went down by 0.1%, going from 21.74% to 21.64%
Right now we have 7 players locked in at 100% - herO, Life, Maru, Parting, Hydra, Dream, and Rain. And then Classic is up at 99.97%, with 97.95% AFK Chances. The Point Cutoff for 90% chances right now is 3275 WCS Points, so I'll use that this for analysis. Keep in mind that minimum points already counts future guaranteed points. Players who need 500 more points or less (2nd place at a Dreamhack or 8th at WCS for example) - Polt, Zest, and ByuL. Players who need 750 (1st at a Dreamhack or 4th at WCS) - Rogue. Players who need 1,400 (4th at WCS + 2nd at a Dreamhack) - Dark, Stats, sOs, INnoVation, FanTaSy, and Bunny. Players who need 1,650 (4th at WCS + 1st at a Dreamhack) - MyuNgSiK, Soulkey, TY, and Dear. Players who need 2,000 (1st at WCS or 2nd at WCS + 1st at a Dreamhack) - GuMiho, HyuN, Lilbow, Jaedong, Trap, ForGG, Snute, and Bbyong.
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 45.22% down to 44.73% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 5.46% down to 5.28% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.14% down to 0.13%
Bunny18.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 22.14% chance overall. Lilbow7.77% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.06% chance overall. Snute4.85% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.45% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.39% chance overall. MarineLorD1.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.6% chance overall. FireCake1.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.61% chance overall. MaNa0.61% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.79% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Harstem0.57% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.75% chance overall. TLO0.54% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.73% chance overall. uThermal0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.43% chance overall. Petraeus0.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall. Happy0.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall. NaNiwa0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.29% chance overall. Welmu0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.29% chance overall. MajOr0.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.27% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.17% chance overall. Nerchio0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.14% chance overall. Serral0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.13% chance overall. Kane0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.12% chance overall. iaguz0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. Zanster0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. Jim0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. MaSa0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. Sen0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. HuK0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.09% chance overall. Ret0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall. Kelazhur0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. iAsonu0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. elfi0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. Has0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Bails0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Bly0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Flash is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
0.87% of the time 2575 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 10.67% of the time 2775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 28.88% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 48.62% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 71.06% of the time 3125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 90.17% of the time 3275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.96% of the time 3475 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
ForGG has a 82.03% chance to win ----going from 12.8% to 15.48% if they get 1st, or 0.58% if they don't. Sen has a 76.56% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Polt has a 75.42% chance to win ----going from 98.95% to 99.53% if they get 1st, or 97.18% if they don't. Has has a 75.19% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Lilbow has a 72.71% chance to win ----going from 10.06% to 13.56% if they get 1st, or 0.74% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
StarDust has a 71.47% chance to win ----going from 0.91% to 1.28% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 69.76% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jaedong has a 67.79% chance to win ----going from 9.42% to 13.41% if they get 1st, or 1.04% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 67.42% chance to win ----going from 1.6% to 2.36% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Petraeus has a 63.36% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 0.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 62.92% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bunny has a 62.84% chance to win ----going from 22.14% to 30.86% if they get 1st, or 7.4% if they don't. viOLet has a 61.03% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 0.42% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Snute has a 60.49% chance to win ----going from 6.45% to 10.21% if they get 1st, or 0.71% if they don't. iaguz has a 59.48% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HuK has a 58.69% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Welmu has a 56.64% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 0.51% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. uThermal has a 55.6% chance to win ----going from 0.44% to 0.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Xenocider has a 54.8% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Nerchio has a 52.83% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 0.27% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Happy has a 52.47% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 0.61% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaSa has a 52.19% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.2% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 51.56% chance to win ----going from 0.73% to 1.38% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 50.76% chance to win ----going from 2.39% to 4.58% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Zanster has a 50.25% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 0.22% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FireCake has a 49.75% chance to win ----going from 1.61% to 3.16% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 49.24% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 0.58% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bly has a 48.44% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bails has a 47.81% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaNa has a 47.53% chance to win ----going from 0.79% to 1.65% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Harstem has a 47.17% chance to win ----going from 0.75% to 1.55% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Hitman has a 45.2% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. elfi has a 44.4% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 43.36% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 41.31% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 0.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Blysk has a 40.52% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Serral has a 39.51% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 0.34% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. qxc has a 38.97% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Starbuck has a 37.16% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Ret has a 37.08% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.23% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. NXZ has a 36.64% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DmC has a 32.58% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Semper has a 32.21% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DnS has a 30.24% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. neeb has a 28.53% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. SortOf has a 27.29% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. JonSnow has a 24.58% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Dayshi has a 17.97% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
KeSPA Cup 2in ~ Dark has a 35.53% chance to win ----going from 60.43% to 77.13% if they get 1st, or 51.23% if they don't. soO has a 30.2% chance to win ----going from 5.03% to 7.37% if they get 1st, or 4.02% if they don't. Dream has a 17.41% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Flash has a 16.87% chance to win ----going from 0.64% to 1.32% if they get 1st, or 0.5% if they don't.
WCS Premier Season 3in ~ ForGG, Lilbow, Jaedong, MarineLorD, Snute, StarDust, MaNa, ShoWTimE, FireCake, uThermal, Harstem, TLO, and Kane must win this tournament! Hydra has a 16.42% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ForGG has a 9.35% chance to win ----going from 12.8% to 97.18% if they get 1st, or 4.1% if they don't. Polt has a 7.57% chance to win ----going from 98.95% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.86% if they don't. Lilbow has a 5.9% chance to win ----going from 10.06% to 99.49% if they get 1st, or 4.45% if they don't. Jaedong has a 4.68% chance to win ----going from 9.42% to 99.39% if they get 1st, or 5.01% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MarineLorD has a 4.06% chance to win ----going from 1.59% to 34.37% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Bunny has a 3.93% chance to win ----going from 22.14% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 18.96% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.54% chance to win ----going from 0.27% to 7.17% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Snute has a 3.25% chance to win ----going from 6.46% to 98.65% if they get 1st, or 3.36% if they don't. Happy has a 3.13% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 9.48% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 2.93% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 9.15% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. StarDust has a 2.91% chance to win ----going from 0.92% to 27.85% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Nerchio has a 2.28% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 5.82% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Petraeus has a 2.08% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 13.99% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.08% chance to win ----going from 0.79% to 32.22% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 1.94% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 4.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 1.89% chance to win ----going from 2.39% to 83.58% if they get 1st, or 0.82% if they don't. viOLet has a 1.61% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 14.47% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Welmu has a 1.55% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 16.55% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MaSa has a 1.49% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 6.47% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.48% chance to win ----going from 1.61% to 77.52% if they get 1st, or 0.47% if they don't. uThermal has a 1.38% chance to win ----going from 0.44% to 27.41% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.38% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 11.53% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 1.03% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 9.75% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jim has a 0.93% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 10.49% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HuK has a 0.88% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 9.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 0.79% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 6.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 0.73% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 12.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.73% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 7.95% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bails has a 0.71% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 2.42% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 0.71% chance to win ----going from 0.75% to 71.59% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. Serral has a 0.62% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 19.03% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.61% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 16.57% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bly has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 2.99% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.51% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 11.45% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ret has a 0.46% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 16.17% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.73% to 94.58% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. Kane has a 0.37% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 29.93% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Starbuck has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.96% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. qxc has a 0.27% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.57% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. DnS has a 0.26% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.97% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. SortOf has a 0.25% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.57% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.23% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.47% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.34% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Has has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 9.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Semper has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.49% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.19% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. DmC has a 0.17% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.28% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Dayshi has a 0.16% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.35% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.65% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Blysk has a 0.1% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.38% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. NXZ has a 0.09% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. neeb has a 0.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shana has a 0.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.44% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. JonSnow has a 0.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.74% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Ian has a 0.01% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.82% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
GSL Code S Season 3 (unscheduled) soO, Solar, Trap, Bbyong, Curious, Flash, Sacsri, MMA, Bomber, San, Super, and Patience must win this tournament! Rain has a 10.45% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 8.83% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 7.21% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 6.69% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't. sOs has a 4.76% chance to win ----going from 55.79% to 100% if they get 1st, or 53.58% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
soO has a 4.59% chance to win ----going from 5.03% to 73.58% if they get 1st, or 1.73% if they don't. Zest has a 4.23% chance to win ----going from 98.22% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.14% if they don't. Solar has a 4.17% chance to win ----going from 5.1% to 83.8% if they get 1st, or 1.68% if they don't. INnoVation has a 4.05% chance to win ----going from 61.22% to 100% if they get 1st, or 59.58% if they don't. Dark has a 3.95% chance to win ----going from 60.43% to 100% if they get 1st, or 58.8% if they don't. Trap has a 3.89% chance to win ----going from 7.12% to 97.92% if they get 1st, or 3.45% if they don't. Dear has a 3.46% chance to win ----going from 21.64% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 18.84% if they don't. ByuL has a 3.04% chance to win ----going from 93.74% to 100% if they get 1st, or 93.54% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.59% chance to win ----going from 71.51% to 100% if they get 1st, or 70.75% if they don't. herO has a 2.55% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dream has a 2.38% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 2.29% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Bbyong has a 2.08% chance to win ----going from 3.99% to 96.31% if they get 1st, or 2.04% if they don't. HyuN has a 1.87% chance to win ----going from 31.99% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 30.7% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 1.86% chance to win ----going from 27.53% to 100% if they get 1st, or 26.15% if they don't. Curious has a 1.52% chance to win ----going from 2.58% to 87.27% if they get 1st, or 1.28% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.34% chance to win ----going from 15.14% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 13.99% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.24% chance to win ----going from 6.85% to 99.92% if they get 1st, or 5.68% if they don't. Flash has a 1.17% chance to win ----going from 0.64% to 39.67% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Sacsri has a 1.09% chance to win ----going from 0.43% to 29.92% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. MMA has a 0.86% chance to win ----going from 1.03% to 75.87% if they get 1st, or 0.38% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.79% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 9.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Cure has a 0.77% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 15.08% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.69% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 14.05% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Bomber has a 0.64% chance to win ----going from 0.58% to 60.52% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. San has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0.59% to 62.47% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. Losira has a 0.5% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 6.9% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Super has a 0.46% chance to win ----going from 0.5% to 73.12% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't. Trust has a 0.45% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 5.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Impact has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 6.22% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. jjakji has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 8.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. First has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 14.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.34% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 10.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Armani has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.2% to 57.33% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. aLive has a 0.19% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.79% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Stork has a 0.18% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.27% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 14.45% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.96% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Panic has a 0.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.67% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.89% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. KeeN has a 0.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.77% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
StarLeague Season 3 (unscheduled) Rain has a 11.41% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 9.64% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. INnoVation has a 8.49% chance to win ----going from 61.22% to 100% if they get 1st, or 57.62% if they don't. Classic has a 8.27% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't. Zest has a 7.67% chance to win ----going from 98.22% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.07% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Life has a 7.4% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dream has a 6.58% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. sOs has a 5.94% chance to win ----going from 55.79% to 100% if they get 1st, or 52.99% if they don't. herO has a 5.26% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. HyuN has a 5.21% chance to win ----going from 31.99% to 99.69% if they get 1st, or 28.28% if they don't. Stats has a 5.02% chance to win ----going from 40.21% to 100% if they get 1st, or 37.05% if they don't. Dear has a 4.67% chance to win ----going from 21.64% to 99.48% if they get 1st, or 17.83% if they don't. ByuL has a 4.58% chance to win ----going from 93.74% to 100% if they get 1st, or 93.44% if they don't. TY has a 3.99% chance to win ----going from 12.89% to 99.49% if they get 1st, or 9.28% if they don't. Rogue has a 3.92% chance to win ----going from 71.51% to 100% if they get 1st, or 70.34% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.96% chance to win ----going from 15.14% to 99.85% if they get 1st, or 13.45% if they don't.
WCS Wars Season 2 is now open! Starting points is now 18,000 and the base cost for a player has been increased to 2,000 to counter the increasing gap between top players and lower players. I just added ASUS Summer with 4 players qualified, added IEM Cologne and MSI, and removed 10 Placeholder tournaments (3 of those being for the tournaments added). Down to just 7 Placeholders now.
Biggest Winners and Losers during Season 2 (Sim ID #1339 vs Sim ID #2111) (from Tuesday, Apr 07 1:21am GMT (GMT+00:00) to Monday, Jun 29 10:51pm GMT (GMT+00:00)) Biggest Winners Classic went up by 92.25%, going from 7.62% to 99.87% ByuL went up by 71.87%, going from 8.99% to 80.86% Rain went up by 55.49%, going from 44.51% to 100% Dark went up by 32.08%, going from 36.68% to 68.76% Rogue went up by 27.07%, going from 46.6% to 73.67% Dream went up by 21.48%, going from 78.52% to 99.99% Hydra went up by 19.36%, going from 80.64% to 100% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
FanTaSy went up by 17.24%, going from 25.98% to 43.21% Lilbow went up by 15.72%, going from 0.78% to 16.5% Jaedong went up by 12.3%, going from 0.91% to 13.21% Zest went up by 8.88%, going from 65.78% to 74.66% MyuNgSiK went up by 7.36%, going from 2.15% to 9.51% Snute went up by 5.79%, going from 22.58% to 28.37% Polt went up by 5.07%, going from 94.73% to 99.8% sOs went up by 4.8%, going from 38.21% to 43.01% Curious went up by 4.52%, going from 0.67% to 5.19% Stats went up by 3.97%, going from 39.72% to 43.69% StarDust went up by 3.5%, going from 0.08% to 3.59% San went up by 2.71%, going from 1.45% to 4.16% MarineLorD went up by 1.98%, going from 0.59% to 2.56% TRUE went up by 1.75%, going from 1.15% to 2.9% HyuN went up by 1.3%, going from 8.25% to 9.55% Harstem went up by 0.57%, going from 0.21% to 0.78% Petraeus went up by 0.37%, going from 0.28% to 0.65% Ret went up by 0.18%, going from 0.06% to 0.25% PartinG went up by 0.18%, going from 99.82% to 100% elfi went up by 0.17%, going from 0.06% to 0.23% GunGFuBanDa went up by 0.13%, going from 0.2% to 0.34%
Biggest Losers Soulkey went down by 48.99%, going from 53.44% to 4.45% ForGG went down by 43.06%, going from 59.05% to 15.98% Bbyong went down by 41.64%, going from 47.81% to 6.16% INnoVation went down by 38.26%, going from 70.26% to 31.99% Trap went down by 22.85%, going from 48.68% to 25.83% MMA went down by 20.18%, going from 21.03% to 0.85% Dear went down by 19.67%, going from 29.85% to 10.18% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
soO went down by 18.63%, going from 24.16% to 5.53% ShoWTimE went down by 15.17%, going from 15.59% to 0.42% NaNiwa went down by 9.43%, going from 9.48% to 0.06% Leenock went down by 8.55%, going from 9.91% to 1.35% Terminator went down by 7.64%, going from 7.69% to 0.05% Bomber went down by 7.32%, going from 8.33% to 1.01% Solar went down by 7.29%, going from 16.61% to 9.31% Hurricane went down by 7.06%, going from 7.34% to 0.28% TY went down by 6.61%, going from 25.74% to 19.13% MajOr went down by 6.43%, going from 6.87% to 0.44% Super went down by 6.43%, going from 7.62% to 1.2% Happy went down by 5.63%, going from 5.7% to 0.07% viOLet went down by 4.58%, going from 5.01% to 0.42% TargA went down by 4.58%, going from 4.61% to 0.03% YoDa went down by 4.45%, going from 4.5% to 0.05% Cure went down by 4.21%, going from 4.46% to 0.25% FireCake went down by 3.67%, going from 4.88% to 1.2% Bunny went down by 3.52%, going from 27.26% to 23.73% GuMiho went down by 3.43%, going from 10.9% to 7.47% Kane went down by 3.29%, going from 3.65% to 0.36% PiG went down by 2.99%, going from 3.02% to 0.03% Serral went down by 2.8%, going from 2.83% to 0.03% MaNa went down by 2.79%, going from 4.45% to 1.67% MarineKing went down by 2.74%, going from 2.75% to 0.01% Creator went down by 2.54%, going from 2.56% to 0.02% Flash went down by 2.39%, going from 2.84% to 0.45% Welmu went down by 2.39%, going from 2.42% to 0.02% MacSed went down by 2.21%, going from 2.21% to 0.01% HuK went down by 1.81%, going from 1.81% to 0.01% Sacsri went down by 1.67%, going from 1.96% to 0.29% TaeJa went down by 1.59%, going from 1.6% to 0.01% Sen went down by 1.55%, going from 1.75% to 0.19% Losira went down by 1.41%, going from 1.42% to 0.01% Symbol went down by 1.25%, going from 1.28% to 0.03% Has went down by 1.13%, going from 1.23% to 0.1% Patience went down by 0.92%, going from 1.04% to 0.12% MorroW went down by 0.89%, going from 0.89% to 0.01% Trust went down by 0.84%, going from 0.88% to 0.03% uThermal went down by 0.78%, going from 0.83% to 0.05% SuperNova went down by 0.78%, going from 0.78% to 0.01% MC went down by 0.68%, going from 0.68% to 0.01% Jim went down by 0.6%, going from 0.67% to 0.06% Nerchio went down by 0.52%, going from 0.56% to 0.04%
Two more players have locked in for Blizzcon! Hydra from 80.64% to 100%, Rain from 44.51% to 100%. Three more players are now over 99% - Dream at 99.99%, Classic at 99.87% with 84.37% AFK Chances, and Polt at 99.8% with 97.38% AFK Chances.
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 82.49% down to 63.98% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 39.41% down to 15.59% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 9.04% down to 1.08% Chances of 4+ foreigners from 0.97% down to 0.01%
Snute17.58% chance to be the only foreigner, 28.37% chance overall. Bunny14.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 23.74% chance overall. Lilbow9.62% chance to be the only foreigner, 16.5% chance overall. MarineLorD1.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.56% chance overall. MaNa0.96% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.67% chance overall. TLO0.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.48% chance overall. FireCake0.69% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.21% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Harstem0.45% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall. Petraeus0.38% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.65% chance overall. MajOr0.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.44% chance overall. ShoWTimE0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.42% chance overall. Kane0.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.36% chance overall. MaSa0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.35% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.34% chance overall. iaguz0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.29% chance overall. Ret0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.25% chance overall. elfi0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.23% chance overall. Sen0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.19% chance overall. iAsonu0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.12% chance overall. Has0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. Happy0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. Jim0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. NaNiwa0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. uThermal0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. PtitDrogo0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. Nerchio0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. Kelazhur0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. TargA0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Serral0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. PiG0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Welmu0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Elazer0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Zanster0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Classic is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! ByuL is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
1.03% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 8.98% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 30.64% of the time 2800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 50.75% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 68.92% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 90.28% of the time 3175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.04% of the time 3400 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Closest to 99% went from 3425 points down to 3400 points. Closest to 50% went from 2925 points down to 2900 points. Closest to 1% stayed at 2500 points.
Korea 94.96% up from 91.75% Norway 1.78% up from 1.7% Denmark 1.48% down from 1.7% France 1.27% up from 0.41% Germany 0.14% down from 1.12% Poland 0.11% down from 0.31% Netherlands 0.07% from 0.07% Canada 0.05% down from 0.39% New Zealand 0.04% up from 0.02%
(Unfortunately WCS Predictor does not remember old teams for players.) SKT T1 19.15% up from 13.64% Jin Air 15.18% down from 15.44% KT 14.95% down from 15.13% CJ Entus 11.7% up from 9.89% Yoe 6.6% down from 7.03% mYinsanity 6.33% up from 3.33% ROOT 6.29% up from 5.18% CM Storm 6.24% up from 5.92% Liquid 3.47% down from 3.62% Dead Pixels 2.89% up from 1.76%
WCS Qualifiers Season 3starts in ~ Players who would go over 0.01% Blizzcon Chances if they qualify 12.03% of the time. ShoWTimE gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change ShoWTimE's chances from 0.42% to 2.33%
12.35% of the time. Happy gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Happy's chances from 0.07% to 0.53%
12.26% of the time. NaNiwa gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change NaNiwa's chances from 0.06% to 0.44%
11.85% of the time. uThermal gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change uThermal's chances from 0.05% to 0.37%
12.13% of the time. PtitDrogo gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change PtitDrogo's chances from 0.04% to 0.33% + Show Spoiler [More] +
12.31% of the time. Nerchio gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Nerchio's chances from 0.04% to 0.28%
12.03% of the time. TargA gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change TargA's chances from 0.03% to 0.27%
12.22% of the time. HeRoMaRinE gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change HeRoMaRinE's chances from 0.03% to 0.25%
11.85% of the time. Serral gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Serral's chances from 0.03% to 0.23%
12.42% of the time. PiG gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change PiG's chances from 0.03% to 0.21%
11.8% of the time. Welmu gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Welmu's chances from 0.02% to 0.19%
13.08% of the time. Scarlett gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Scarlett's chances from 0.02% to 0.13%
11.83% of the time. Zanster gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Zanster's chances from 0.02% to 0.13%
12.39% of the time. HuK gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change HuK's chances from 0.01% to 0.05%
11.62% of the time. Verdi gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Verdi's chances from 0.01% to 0.04%
11.6% of the time. Bly gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Bly's chances from 0.01% to 0.03%
11.36% of the time. Beastyqt gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Beastyqt's chances from 0.01% to 0.03%
12.01% of the time. KingKong gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change KingKong's chances from 0.01% to 0.03%
12.37% of the time. qxc gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change qxc's chances from 0.01% to 0.03%
11.39% of the time. Kas gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Kas's chances from 0.01% to 0.02%
11.31% of the time. Dayshi gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Dayshi's chances from 0.01% to 0.02%
12.12% of the time. puCK gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change puCK's chances from 0.01% to 0.02%
12.39% of the time. Bails gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Bails's chances from 0.01% to 0.02%
11.3% of the time. Boombox gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Boombox's chances from 0.01% to 0.02%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The WCS Wars Season 2 Awards!
Congratulations to karl1ok for winning the first place trophy! Let me know if you want the TL+ or Reddit Gold prize. And lukasus for winning the 2nd place trophy! These will stay next to your usernames forever!
#6 patton's team is worth 14,260 WCS Points with Rain (6325), ForGG (3175), Rogue (4400), and 360 unspent points.
#7 GYM's team is worth 14,225 WCS Points with Polt (5075), Hydra (6325), MarineLorD (2375), and 450 unspent points.
#8 Die4Ever's team is worth 14,127 WCS Points with Hydra (6325), and 7802 unspent points.
#9 FloW's team is worth 14,125 WCS Points with Rain (6325), Polt (5075), Kane (2125), and 600 unspent points.
#10 samsungjackets's team is worth 14,100 WCS Points with ByuL (4550), Dream (5925), soO (2600), and 1025 unspent points.
#11 Sephrenya's team is worth 14,086 WCS Points with PartinG (6900), Snute (3575), FireCake (2350), and 1261 unspent points.
#12 Solar424's team is worth 13,750 WCS Points with Jaedong (3175), soO (2600), MajOr (1850), Solar (2800), Lilbow (3325), and 0 unspent points.
#13 sharkie's team is worth 13,648 WCS Points with ForGG (3175), iaguz (1975), Hydra (6325), and 2173 unspent points.
#14 Darkened's team is worth 13,642 WCS Points with Curious (2925), Hydra (6325), and 4392 unspent points.
#15 stardust's team is worth 13,525 WCS Points with StarDust (2575), Hydra (6325), and 4625 unspent points.
#16 loves_to_69's team is worth 13,250 WCS Points with Polt (5075), elfi (1800), Hydra (6325), and 50 unspent points.
#17 Season 1 2nd PlaceCruSaderSC's team is worth 13,249 WCS Points with viOLet (1900), Jaedong (3175), Dark (4400), Snute (3575), and 199 unspent points.
#18 OtherWorld's team is worth 13,216 WCS Points with Lilbow (3325), and 9891 unspent points.
#19 SkyHigh's team is worth 12,950 WCS Points with MarineKing (2200), Flash (2000), Dark (4400), Bunny (3575), and 775 unspent points.
#20 Surfacing's team is worth 12,925 WCS Points with herO (7825), and 5100 unspent points.
#21 Alurian's team is worth 12,800 WCS Points with Rain (6325), NaNiwa (1575), elfi (1800), MorroW (1400), Zanster (1375), and 325 unspent points.
#22 80hd10's team is worth 12,800 WCS Points with Jaedong (3175), Snute (3575), Bunny (3575), and 2475 unspent points.
#1 karl1ok gained 3200 points from Classic, bought on Tuesday, Apr 07 8:14am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2500 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5700 points.
#2 sadeiko gained 3200 points from Classic, bought on Tuesday, Apr 07 4:43am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2500 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5700 points.
#3 FloW gained 2575 points from Rain, bought on Thursday, Apr 09 4:56am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3750 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#4 Darkdwarf gained 2575 points from Rain, bought on Tuesday, Apr 07 6:20pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3750 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#5 patton gained 2250 points from Rain, bought on Thursday, Apr 23 11:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4075 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#6 lukasus gained 2125 points from ByuL, bought on Wednesday, Apr 08 8:03pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2425 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4550 points.
#7 Alurian gained 1900 points from Rain, bought on Sunday, Apr 26 7:38pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4425 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#8 Solar424 gained 1775 points from Lilbow, bought on Thursday, Apr 09 1:32am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1550 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3325 points.
#9 Die4Ever gained 1725 points from Hydra, bought on Monday, Apr 20 2:28pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4600 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#10 Sakat gained 1550 points from ByuL, bought on Wednesday, Apr 29 7:27am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3000 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4550 points.
#11 GYM gained 1550 points from Hydra, bought on Thursday, Apr 09 3:48am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4775 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#12 samsungjackets gained 1450 points from ByuL, bought on Sunday, Apr 12 3:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3100 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4550 points.
#13 sharkie gained 1350 points from Hydra, bought on Friday, Jun 26 11:36am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4975 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#14 edwahn gained 1350 points from Hydra, bought on Monday, May 04 2:53am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4975 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#15 loves_to_69 gained 1325 points from Hydra, bought on Tuesday, May 05 9:03pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5000 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#16 Bockwurst gained 1325 points from Lilbow, bought on Saturday, Apr 25 10:28am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2000 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3325 points.
#17 Sakat gained 1325 points from Hydra, bought on Wednesday, Apr 29 7:26am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5000 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#18 lukasus gained 1286 points from Classic, bought on Wednesday, Apr 08 8:02pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2500 points, sold on Thursday, Jun 11 6:42am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3786 points.
#19 stardust gained 1150 points from Hydra, bought on Wednesday, Jun 03 8:38pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5175 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#20 Solar424 gained 1125 points from Jaedong, bought on Thursday, Apr 09 1:33am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2050 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
Worst Trades
#1 Darkened lost 1223 points from Life, bought on Thursday, May 21 5:58am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 8450 points, sold on Wednesday, May 27 7:55pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7227 points.
#2 Darkened lost 1074 points from herO, bought on Monday, Jun 01 5:40am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 8375 points, sold on Sunday, Jun 07 11:35am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7301 points.
#3 Xithryl lost 1050 points from ForGG, bought on Thursday, Apr 09 10:36pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4225 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
#4 JackBeckman lost 1050 points from ForGG, bought on Thursday, Apr 09 2:44am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4225 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
#5 daffe lost 1050 points from ForGG, bought on Tuesday, Apr 07 11:30am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4225 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
#6 denon39 lost 1050 points from ForGG, bought on Tuesday, Apr 07 8:26pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4225 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
#7 The_Templar lost 1050 points from ForGG, bought on Tuesday, Apr 07 3:51pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4225 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
#8 Darquess lost 1050 points from ForGG, bought on Tuesday, Apr 07 10:48pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4225 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
#9 sharkie lost 1025 points from herO, bought on Tuesday, Jun 02 11:12pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 8375 points, sold on Friday, Jun 05 12:18am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7350 points.
#10 edwahn lost 1000 points from ForGG, bought on Thursday, Jun 04 5:51am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4175 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
#11 seph lost 975 points from ForGG, bought on Monday, Jun 22 7:51pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4150 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
#12 Die4Ever lost 882 points from ForGG, bought on Monday, Apr 20 2:29pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4025 points, sold on Sunday, Jun 28 2:24am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3143 points.
#13 Sephrenya lost 875 points from PartinG, bought on Saturday, May 30 11:43am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7775 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6900 points.
#14 Topher lost 875 points from Life, bought on Wednesday, Apr 08 6:23pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7950 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7075 points.
#15 patton lost 850 points from ForGG, bought on Monday, Apr 20 12:58pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4025 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
#16 Tofu33 lost 850 points from NaNiwa, bought on Wednesday, Apr 08 4:54am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2425 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1575 points.
#17 Magnuz lost 850 points from Life, bought on Thursday, Apr 09 5:11pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7925 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7075 points.
#18 Swisslink lost 825 points from Life, bought on Tuesday, Apr 07 3:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7900 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7075 points.
#19 Darkdwarf lost 797 points from soO, bought on Friday, Apr 24 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2950 points, sold on Thursday, May 07 5:29pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2153 points.
#20 Topher lost 775 points from Soulkey, bought on Wednesday, Apr 08 6:23pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3975 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3200 points.
Quickest Profitable Sales
#1 Sephrenya gained 411 points from Classic over a span of 6 hours, bought on Thursday, May 28 8:31am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3375 points, sold on Thursday, May 28 2:37pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3786 points.
#2 Sephrenya gained 298 points from PartinG over a span of 7 hours, bought on Friday, May 29 8:23am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points, sold on Friday, May 29 3:41pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7623 points.
#3 OtherWorld gained 298 points from PartinG over a span of 7 hours, bought on Friday, May 29 6:46am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points, sold on Friday, May 29 2:39pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7623 points.
#4 sharkie gained 331 points from HeRoMaRinE over a span of 7 hours, bought on Saturday, Apr 11 3:16pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1550 points, sold on Saturday, Apr 11 11:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1881 points.
#5 Sephrenya gained 56 points from Kelazhur over a span of 8 hours, bought on Wednesday, Apr 29 10:39pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1825 points, sold on Thursday, Apr 30 6:52am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1881 points.
#6 Sephrenya gained 101 points from MajOr over a span of 8 hours, bought on Wednesday, Apr 29 10:38pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2225 points, sold on Thursday, Apr 30 6:52am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2326 points.
#7 sharkie gained 372 points from Maru over a span of 10 hours, bought on Thursday, Apr 23 7:30am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7275 points, sold on Thursday, Apr 23 5:46pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7647 points.
#8 Darkened gained 1075 points from Hydra over a span of 13 hours, bought on Sunday, Jun 28 1:27pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5250 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#9 Darkened gained 218 points from Jaedong over a span of 15 hours, bought on Sunday, May 31 2:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2925 points, sold on Monday, Jun 01 5:39am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3143 points.
#10 OtherWorld gained 173 points from Polt over a span of 15 hours, bought on Friday, May 29 2:39pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4900 points, sold on Saturday, May 30 6:15am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5073 points.
#11 sharkie gained 325 points from Jaedong over a span of 15 hours, bought on Sunday, Apr 12 2:23pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2125 points, sold on Monday, Apr 13 6:21am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2450 points.
#12 Die4Ever gained 374 points from Jaedong over a span of 16 hours, bought on Sunday, Apr 12 2:23pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2125 points, sold on Monday, Apr 13 6:45am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2499 points.
#13 sharkie gained 125 points from Kane over a span of 17 hours, bought on Monday, Apr 27 2:07pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2275 points, sold on Tuesday, Apr 28 7:44am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2400 points.
#14 sharkie gained 174 points from Hydra over a span of 17 hours, bought on Monday, Apr 27 2:06pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4800 points, sold on Tuesday, Apr 28 7:44am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4974 points.
#15 sharkie gained 24 points from herO over a span of 18 hours, bought on Sunday, May 03 8:41pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7475 points, sold on Monday, May 04 2:41pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7499 points.
#16 Sephrenya gained 199 points from TLO over a span of 20 hours, bought on Friday, May 29 3:41pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2325 points, sold on Saturday, May 30 11:43am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2524 points.
#17 Sephrenya gained 173 points from Polt over a span of 20 hours, bought on Friday, May 29 3:41pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4900 points, sold on Saturday, May 30 11:43am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5073 points.
#18 Die4Ever gained 282 points from elfi over a span of 20 hours, bought on Monday, Apr 13 6:45am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1425 points, sold on Tuesday, Apr 14 2:50am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1707 points.
#19 OtherWorld gained 170 points from herO over a span of 21 hours, bought on Thursday, May 14 7:33pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7750 points, sold on Friday, May 15 4:45pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7920 points.
#20 sharkie gained 194 points from Jaedong over a span of 22 hours, bought on Tuesday, Apr 28 8:08am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2850 points, sold on Wednesday, Apr 29 6:31am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3044 points.
Point Givers Players who gave the most points to users total
#1 Hydra gave 11520 points with 14 trades, for an average of 822 points per trade.
#2 Rain gave 9581 points with 5 trades, for an average of 1916 points per trade.
#3 Classic gave 8097 points with 4 trades, for an average of 2024 points per trade.
#4 ByuL gave 5701 points with 9 trades, for an average of 633 points per trade.
#5 Jaedong gave 5668 points with 14 trades, for an average of 404 points per trade.
Best Possible Trades This list uses a complex filter to reduce duplicates based on the player and the time period
#1 Classic gained 3250 points over 76 days, going from 2500 points on Wednesday, Apr 08 9:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 5750 points on Wednesday, Jun 24 8:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#2 Rain gained 2575 points over 80 days, going from 3750 points on Wednesday, Apr 08 9:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 6325 points on Sunday, Jun 28 4:59pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#3 ByuL gained 2500 points over 69 days, going from 2425 points on Thursday, Apr 09 9:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4925 points on Thursday, Jun 18 5:44pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#4 Lilbow gained 2225 points over 79 days, going from 1550 points on Friday, Apr 10 2:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3775 points on Sunday, Jun 28 7:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#5 herO gained 2125 points over 21 days, going from 6400 points on Wednesday, Apr 29 9:19pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 8525 points on Thursday, May 21 2:11pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#6 Hydra gained 2000 points over 74 days, going from 4325 points on Tuesday, Apr 14 11:26pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 6325 points on Sunday, Jun 28 10:43pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#7 Dream gained 1975 points over 68 days, going from 4575 points on Wednesday, Apr 08 9:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 6550 points on Tuesday, Jun 16 5:55pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#8 StarDust gained 1750 points over 80 days, going from 1000 points on Wednesday, Apr 08 12:16am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2750 points on Saturday, Jun 27 1:01am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#9 Jaedong gained 1500 points over 81 days, going from 2025 points on Tuesday, Apr 07 1:21am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3525 points on Sunday, Jun 28 12:37am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#10 PartinG gained 1425 points over 26 days, going from 6375 points on Monday, May 04 2:13pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 7800 points on Sunday, May 31 7:09am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#11 FanTaSy gained 1350 points over 23 days, going from 3300 points on Friday, Apr 10 2:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4650 points on Monday, May 04 12:14am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#12 Curious gained 1250 points over 66 days, going from 1825 points on Friday, Apr 10 7:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3075 points on Tuesday, Jun 16 5:55pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#13 Zest gained 1250 points over 15 days, going from 4225 points on Wednesday, Apr 08 9:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 5475 points on Friday, Apr 24 3:28pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#14 MarineLorD gained 1125 points over 75 days, going from 1550 points on Monday, Apr 13 3:28am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2675 points on Sunday, Jun 28 12:37am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#15 Harstem gained 1100 points over 44 days, going from 1550 points on Friday, Apr 10 2:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2650 points on Monday, May 25 6:48am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#16 Stats gained 1100 points over 54 days, going from 3600 points on Friday, Apr 10 7:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4700 points on Wednesday, Jun 03 10:45pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#17 sOs gained 1075 points over 28 days, going from 3075 points on Tuesday, May 19 5:06pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4150 points on Tuesday, Jun 16 5:55pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#18 GuMiho gained 1025 points over 40 days, going from 2750 points on Tuesday, Apr 07 4:48pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3775 points on Monday, May 18 2:39am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#19 MyuNgSiK gained 1000 points over 56 days, going from 2225 points on Friday, Apr 10 2:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3225 points on Friday, Jun 05 3:18pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#20 Petraeus gained 950 points over 36 days, going from 1425 points on Friday, Apr 10 2:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2375 points on Sunday, May 17 7:05am GMT (GMT+00:00).
Untapped Potential The best possible trades for players that no one ever bought
#1 MyuNgSiK gained 1000 points over 56 days, going from 2225 points on Friday, Apr 10 2:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3225 points on Friday, Jun 05 3:18pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#2 San gained 850 points over 31 days, going from 1800 points on Monday, May 25 6:48am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2650 points on Thursday, Jun 25 4:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#3 TRUE gained 850 points over 78 days, going from 1975 points on Tuesday, Apr 07 4:48pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2825 points on Wednesday, Jun 24 8:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#4 HyuN gained 825 points over 31 days, going from 2375 points on Tuesday, Apr 07 4:48pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3200 points on Saturday, May 09 4:27pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#5 Sacsri gained 575 points over 25 days, going from 1925 points on Tuesday, Apr 07 4:48pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2500 points on Saturday, May 02 6:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#6 TY gained 550 points over 7 days, going from 2850 points on Thursday, Jun 18 4:38am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3400 points on Thursday, Jun 25 4:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#7 Patience gained 525 points over 29 days, going from 1925 points on Thursday, Apr 09 9:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2450 points on Saturday, May 09 4:27pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#8 ByuN gained 500 points over 11 days, going from 1000 points on Friday, Apr 17 10:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1500 points on Wednesday, Apr 29 9:19pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#9 Impact gained 425 points over 12 days, going from 1425 points on Thursday, Jun 11 11:16pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1850 points on Wednesday, Jun 24 8:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#10 NXZ gained 425 points over 22 days, going from 1250 points on Sunday, Apr 12 2:04am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1675 points on Monday, May 04 4:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#11 jjakji gained 400 points over 56 days, going from 1575 points on Wednesday, Apr 29 5:14am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1975 points on Wednesday, Jun 24 8:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#12 Leenock gained 375 points over 19 days, going from 2325 points on Tuesday, May 26 1:52am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2700 points on Sunday, Jun 14 9:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#13 aLive gained 350 points over 13 days, going from 1250 points on Thursday, Jun 11 11:16pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1600 points on Thursday, Jun 25 4:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#14 Pigbaby gained 350 points over 12 days, going from 1350 points on Thursday, Jun 11 11:16pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1700 points on Wednesday, Jun 24 8:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#15 Shana gained 350 points over 11 days, going from 1000 points on Monday, May 18 10:01pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1350 points on Saturday, May 30 9:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#16 HyuN gained 325 points over 14 days, going from 2675 points on Thursday, Jun 11 2:49pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3000 points on Thursday, Jun 25 4:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#17 Creator gained 300 points over 15 hours, going from 1625 points on Wednesday, Apr 15 3:51am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1925 points on Wednesday, Apr 15 7:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#18 Bly gained 300 points over 23 hours, going from 1425 points on Saturday, Apr 11 2:59pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1725 points on Sunday, Apr 12 2:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#19 Cham gained 275 points over 4 days, going from 1000 points on Saturday, Apr 25 1:22am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1275 points on Wednesday, Apr 29 9:19pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#20 Sora gained 275 points over 20 hours, going from 1250 points on Wednesday, Jun 24 8:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1525 points on Thursday, Jun 25 4:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
Best Timing and what could've been
#1 sadeiko with Classic gained 3200 points but could've still gained 3200 points if sold 22 hours earlier.
#2 karl1ok with Classic gained 3200 points but could've still gained 3200 points if sold 22 hours earlier.
#3 FloW with Rain gained 2575 points but could've still gained 2575 points if bought 43 hours earlier and sold 8 hours earlier.
#4 Darkdwarf with Rain gained 2575 points but could've still gained 2575 points if bought 9 hours earlier and sold 8 hours earlier.
#5 patton with Rain gained 2250 points but could've gained 2400 points if bought 9 days earlier and sold 8 hours earlier.
Biggest Winners and Losers during Season 1 (Sim ID #1079 vs Sim ID #1338) (from Tuesday, Nov 18 5:22am GMT (GMT+00:00) to Monday, Apr 06 7:21pm GMT (GMT+00:00)) Biggest Winners Maru went up by 78.73%, going from 21.27% to 99.99% Dream went up by 75.45%, going from 3.06% to 78.51% Life went up by 72.4%, going from 27.6% to 100% Hydra went up by 71.36%, going from 9.25% to 80.61% Polt went up by 63.79%, going from 30.95% to 94.74% PartinG went up by 55.93%, going from 43.89% to 99.82% herO went up by 55.76%, going from 44.24% to 99.99% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Trap went up by 39.91%, going from 8.77% to 48.68% ForGG went up by 38.12%, going from 20.91% to 59.03% Soulkey went up by 35.04%, going from 18.41% to 53.45% INnoVation went up by 32.15%, going from 38.12% to 70.27% Rogue went up by 31.75%, going from 14.81% to 46.57% Dark went up by 27.07%, going from 9.61% to 36.68% Zest went up by 25.95%, going from 39.82% to 65.78% Bbyong went up by 24.41%, going from 23.38% to 47.78% FanTaSy went up by 23.07%, going from 2.92% to 25.99% Bunny went up by 14.38%, going from 12.91% to 27.29% Snute went up by 13.05%, going from 9.51% to 22.56% Dear went up by 12.39%, going from 17.46% to 29.86% Stats went up by 9.98%, going from 29.76% to 39.74% ShoWTimE went up by 9.97%, going from 5.62% to 15.59% sOs went up by 6.34%, going from 31.86% to 38.2% Terminator went up by 5.87%, going from 1.82% to 7.69% FireCake went up by 4.84%, going from 0.04% to 4.88% NaNiwa went up by 4.55%, going from 4.94% to 9.49% Rain went up by 3.16%, going from 41.37% to 44.52% TY went up by 2.95%, going from 22.77% to 25.72% PiG went up by 2.29%, going from 0.73% to 3.02% Has went up by 0.89%, going from 0.34% to 1.23% Sen went up by 0.87%, going from 0.88% to 1.75% Serral went up by 0.73%, going from 2.11% to 2.83% iaguz went up by 0.33%, going from 0.28% to 0.61% Leenock went up by 0.11%, going from 9.79% to 9.9%
Biggest Losers Flash went down by 39.95%, going from 42.79% to 2.84% TaeJa went down by 36.4%, going from 37.98% to 1.59% Scarlett went down by 24.25%, going from 24.43% to 0.18% MajOr went down by 21.99%, going from 28.88% to 6.88% Jim went down by 20.74%, going from 21.41% to 0.67% Cure went down by 18.39%, going from 22.86% to 4.47% San went down by 17.88%, going from 19.33% to 1.45% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
First went down by 17.23%, going from 17.64% to 0.41% Sacsri went down by 16.87%, going from 18.84% to 1.97% jjakji went down by 16.63%, going from 16.86% to 0.23% Solar went down by 15.35%, going from 31.96% to 16.61% YoDa went down by 14.22%, going from 18.72% to 4.5% MaSa went down by 13.95%, going from 14.6% to 0.66% VortiX went down by 13.69%, going from 13.88% to 0.18% Bomber went down by 13.5%, going from 21.82% to 8.32% Sora went down by 13.43%, going from 13.55% to 0.12% Classic went down by 13.09%, going from 20.7% to 7.62% viOLet went down by 12.99%, going from 17.99% to 5.01% KingKong went down by 11.4%, going from 11.81% to 0.41% HyuN went down by 11.23%, going from 19.48% to 8.25% Jaedong went down by 11.23%, going from 12.14% to 0.91% Losira went down by 10.88%, going from 12.3% to 1.43% Lilbow went down by 10.75%, going from 11.52% to 0.78% StarDust went down by 10.09%, going from 10.17% to 0.08% Patience went down by 9.46%, going from 10.5% to 1.04% Ourk went down by 9.17%, going from 9.21% to 0.03% DongRaeGu went down by 8.47%, going from 8.73% to 0.26% Impact went down by 8.34%, going from 8.75% to 0.42% GuMiho went down by 8.25%, going from 19.16% to 10.91% Mvp went down by 7.91%, going from 7.91% to 0% Pet went down by 7.66%, going from 7.75% to 0.08% Nerchio went down by 7.63%, going from 8.19% to 0.56% TooDming went down by 7.62%, going from 7.87% to 0.26% TRUE went down by 7.46%, going from 8.61% to 1.15% Center went down by 7.41%, going from 7.54% to 0.13% Journey went down by 7.22%, going from 7.26% to 0.04% Reality went down by 6.68%, going from 6.71% to 0.03% Pigbaby went down by 6.48%, going from 6.66% to 0.18% MC went down by 6.48%, going from 7.17% to 0.68% sKyHigh went down by 6.37%, going from 6.59% to 0.22% Top went down by 6.32%, going from 6.34% to 0.02% HeRoMaRinE went down by 6.3%, going from 6.78% to 0.49% HuK went down by 5.82%, going from 7.64% to 1.82% LucifroN went down by 5.74%, going from 5.74% to 0% XY went down by 5.72%, going from 5.72% to 0.01% Golden went down by 5.65%, going from 5.65% to 0% Heart went down by 5.63%, going from 6.08% to 0.44% XiGua went down by 5.57%, going from 5.71% to 0.14% Sorry went down by 5.38%, going from 5.9% to 0.52% Hurricane went down by 5.34%, going from 12.67% to 7.33%
There were big drops late last year with the point structure being announced and weighting SSL qualifiers towards high Korean attendance. Chances of 1+ foreigners from 99.72% down to 82.52% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 96.77% down to 39.44% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 84.78% down to 9.05% Chances of 4+ foreigners from 59.69% down to 0.97%
Bunny9.88% chance to be the only foreigner, 27.29% chance overall. Snute7.75% chance to be the only foreigner, 22.56% chance overall. ShoWTimE4.93% chance to be the only foreigner, 15.59% chance overall. NaNiwa3.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.49% chance overall. MajOr2.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.88% chance overall. Happy1.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.71% chance overall. FireCake1.48% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.88% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
TargA1.42% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.61% chance overall. MaNa1.38% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.46% chance overall. Kane1.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.64% chance overall. PiG0.92% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.02% chance overall. Serral0.85% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.83% chance overall. Welmu0.73% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.41% chance overall. MacSed0.6% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.21% chance overall. HuK0.55% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.82% chance overall. Sen0.53% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.75% chance overall. TLO0.48% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.66% chance overall. Has0.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.23% chance overall. MorroW0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.89% chance overall. uThermal0.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.83% chance overall. Lilbow0.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall. Jim0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.67% chance overall. MaSa0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.66% chance overall. iaguz0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.61% chance overall. MarineLorD0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.59% chance overall. Nerchio0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.56% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.49% chance overall. puCK0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.4% chance overall. Petraeus0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.28% chance overall. TooDming0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.26% chance overall. VortiX0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.18% chance overall. Boombox0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.21% chance overall. Harstem0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.21% chance overall. PtitDrogo0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.2% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.2% chance overall.
Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 2 defenses! PartinG is the current #2 Headband holder with 13 defenses! Zest is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
1.01% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.59% of the time 2675 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 31.04% of the time 2825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 50.66% of the time 2925 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 69.62% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 88.96% of the time 3175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.03% of the time 3425 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Korea 91.75% up from 73.37% Denmark 1.71% up from 0.81% Norway 1.7% up from 0.95% Germany 1.12% down from 1.34% Sweden 0.65% down from 0.8% Mexico 0.43% down from 1.93% France 0.41% down from 1.36% Canada 0.39% down from 3.44% Russia 0.36% down from 0.94% Finland 0.33% down from 0.42% Poland 0.32% down from 1.2% Australia 0.23% up from 0.07% China 0.21% down from 3.5% Taiwan 0.19% up from 0.08% Netherlands 0.07% down from 0.51% United States 0.05% down from 1.48% Ukraine 0.02% down from 0.76% New Zealand 0.02% down from 0.1% United Kingdom 0.02% down from 0.83% Spain 0.01% down from 0.91% Brazil 0.01% from 0.01%
(Unfortunately WCS Predictor does not remember old teams for players, so in this comparison it considers Life as part of KT before and now.) Jin Air 15.44% up from 7.51% KT 14.66% up from 11.46% SKT T1 13.61% up from 6.61% CJ Entus 9.89% up from 6.8% Yoe 7.03% up from 4.59% CM Storm 5.92% up from 2.08% ROOT 5.18% up from 2.28% Millenium 3.79% up from 3.51% Liquid 3.62% down from 4.74% Samsung 3.39% down from 5.52% mYinsanity 3.34% down from 5.49% TCM 3.34% up from 1.15% dPix 1.76% up from 1.38% Teamless 1.52% down from 9.65% Acer 1.37% down from 3.75% Invasion 1.17% down from 1.91% aTn 0.97% up from 0.35% prOperty 0.65% up from 0.5% Prime 0.58% down from 2.07% ROCCAT 0.52% down from 1.22%
On November 18 2014 16:36 SetGuitarsToKill wrote: Yay statistics! I'd probably appreciate this effort even more if I didn't suck at math and could understand how you do all this.
Also, we are getting a foreigner in this year, or else!
It's possible that with so much going on in Korea we might even get two foreigners. ^^
--------UPDATE Tuesday, Nov 18 9:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) Qualifiers Tweaks! (Sim #1079) I tweaked the qualifiers for WCS and GSL to be slightly weighted towards higher Aligulac rated players, which is similar to making the qualifiers bigger for increased stability.
Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 44.24 %, Min WCS Points: 125
Hot6ix Cup - INnoVation is at ~ 38.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 56.21 % of the time INnoVation wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 43.56 %. ~ 43.79 % of the time INnoVation loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 31.15 %. ------------------------------------------------- - herO is at ~ 44.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 55.79 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 48.12 %. ~ 44.21 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 39.34 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Stats is at ~ 29.76 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 49.89 % of the time Stats wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 33.68 %. ~ 50.11 % of the time Stats loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 25.86 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MarineKing is at ~ 6.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 38.11 % of the time MarineKing wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 7.91 %. ~ 61.89 % of the time MarineKing loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.06 %.
Hot6ix Cup - Rain is at ~ 41.37 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 57.24 % of the time Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 45.12 %. ~ 42.76 % of the time Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 36.34 %. ------------------------------------------------- - sOs is at ~ 31.86 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 49.99 % of the time sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.82 %. ~ 50.01 % of the time sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 27.9 %. ------------------------------------------------- - soO is at ~ 27.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 49.96 % of the time soO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 32.57 %. ~ 50.04 % of the time soO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 22.04 %. ------------------------------------------------- - TY is at ~ 22.77 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 42.8 % of the time TY wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 26.79 %. ~ 57.2 % of the time TY loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 19.76 %.
Hot6ix Cup - Flash is at ~ 42.79 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 66.23 % of the time Flash wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 47.1 %. ~ 33.77 % of the time Flash loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 34.34 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Classic is at ~ 20.7 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 48.32 % of the time Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 25.4 %. ~ 51.68 % of the time Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 16.31 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Soulkey is at ~ 18.41 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 47.49 % of the time Soulkey wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 21.38 %. ~ 52.51 % of the time Soulkey loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 15.72 %. ------------------------------------------------- - sKyHigh is at ~ 6.59 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 37.95 % of the time sKyHigh wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 8.36 %. ~ 62.05 % of the time sKyHigh loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.51 %.
Hot6ix Cup - Zest is at ~ 39.82 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 70.19 % of the time Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 43.47 %. ~ 29.81 % of the time Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 31.23 %. ------------------------------------------------- - PartinG is at ~ 43.89 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 63.69 % of the time PartinG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 48.43 %. ~ 36.31 % of the time PartinG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 35.92 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Bbyong is at ~ 23.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 48.83 % of the time Bbyong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 26.99 %. ~ 51.17 % of the time Bbyong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 19.92 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Terminator is at ~ 1.82 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 17.28 % of the time Terminator wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 2.7 %. ~ 82.72 % of the time Terminator loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.63 %.
Hot6ix Cup Winning Chances Flash has a ~ 12.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 42.79 % to ~ 59.63 % PartinG has a ~ 11.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 43.89 % to ~ 60.72 % Zest has a ~ 11.71 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 39.82 % to ~ 56.37 % Rain has a ~ 9.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 41.37 % to ~ 58.06 % INnoVation has a ~ 9.22 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 38.12 % to ~ 56.71 % herO has a ~ 8.96 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.24 % to ~ 60.81 % Stats has a ~ 6.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 29.76 % to ~ 47.86 % sOs has a ~ 5.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 31.86 % to ~ 50.18 % soO has a ~ 5.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 27.3 % to ~ 47.07 % Bbyong has a ~ 4.94 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 23.38 % to ~ 41.41 % Classic has a ~ 4.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 20.7 % to ~ 40.04 % Terminator has a ~ 0.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.82 % to ~ 8.83 %
The current headband holders are: #1 Life (due to winning Blizzcon) #2 MMA (due to 2nd place at Blizzcon) #3 TaeJa (due to semifinals losing to eventual champion) #4 Classic (due to semifinals losing to eventual 2nd place)
The #2, #3, and #4 headbands are all functionally equivalent. If Classic (#4) beat Life (#1) then Classic would get the #1 headband and Life would have the #4 headband. If TaeJa (#3) beat MMA (#2) then TaeJa would end up with the #2 headband, because the winner takes the lower number headband. -----------------------
On November 18 2014 12:34 Die4Ever wrote: Hot6ix Cup Winning Chances Flash has a ~ 12.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 42.79 % to ~ 59.63 % PartinG has a ~ 11.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 43.89 % to ~ 60.72 % Zest has a ~ 11.71 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 39.82 % to ~ 56.37 % Rain has a ~ 9.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 41.37 % to ~ 58.06 % INnoVation has a ~ 9.22 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 38.12 % to ~ 56.71 % herO has a ~ 8.96 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.24 % to ~ 60.81 % Stats has a ~ 6.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 29.76 % to ~ 47.86 % sOs has a ~ 5.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 31.86 % to ~ 50.18 % soO has a ~ 5.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 27.3 % to ~ 47.07 % Bbyong has a ~ 4.94 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 23.38 % to ~ 41.41 % Classic has a ~ 4.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 20.7 % to ~ 40.04 % Terminator has a ~ 0.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.82 % to ~ 8.83 %
There seem to be a few players missing- MarineKing, Soulkey, sKyHigH, and TY
On November 18 2014 12:34 Die4Ever wrote: Hot6ix Cup Winning Chances Flash has a ~ 12.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 42.79 % to ~ 59.63 % PartinG has a ~ 11.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 43.89 % to ~ 60.72 % Zest has a ~ 11.71 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 39.82 % to ~ 56.37 % Rain has a ~ 9.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 41.37 % to ~ 58.06 % INnoVation has a ~ 9.22 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 38.12 % to ~ 56.71 % herO has a ~ 8.96 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.24 % to ~ 60.81 % Stats has a ~ 6.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 29.76 % to ~ 47.86 % sOs has a ~ 5.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 31.86 % to ~ 50.18 % soO has a ~ 5.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 27.3 % to ~ 47.07 % Bbyong has a ~ 4.94 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 23.38 % to ~ 41.41 % Classic has a ~ 4.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 20.7 % to ~ 40.04 % Terminator has a ~ 0.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.82 % to ~ 8.83 %
There seem to be a few players missing- MarineKing, Soulkey, sKyHigH, and TY
On November 18 2014 12:34 Die4Ever wrote: Hot6ix Cup Winning Chances Flash has a ~ 12.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 42.79 % to ~ 59.63 % PartinG has a ~ 11.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 43.89 % to ~ 60.72 % Zest has a ~ 11.71 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 39.82 % to ~ 56.37 % Rain has a ~ 9.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 41.37 % to ~ 58.06 % INnoVation has a ~ 9.22 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 38.12 % to ~ 56.71 % herO has a ~ 8.96 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.24 % to ~ 60.81 % Stats has a ~ 6.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 29.76 % to ~ 47.86 % sOs has a ~ 5.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 31.86 % to ~ 50.18 % soO has a ~ 5.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 27.3 % to ~ 47.07 % Bbyong has a ~ 4.94 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 23.38 % to ~ 41.41 % Classic has a ~ 4.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 20.7 % to ~ 40.04 % Terminator has a ~ 0.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.82 % to ~ 8.83 %
There seem to be a few players missing- MarineKing, Soulkey, sKyHigH, and TY
On November 18 2014 12:34 Die4Ever wrote: Hot6ix Cup Winning Chances Flash has a ~ 12.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 42.79 % to ~ 59.63 % PartinG has a ~ 11.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 43.89 % to ~ 60.72 % Zest has a ~ 11.71 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 39.82 % to ~ 56.37 % Rain has a ~ 9.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 41.37 % to ~ 58.06 % INnoVation has a ~ 9.22 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 38.12 % to ~ 56.71 % herO has a ~ 8.96 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.24 % to ~ 60.81 % Stats has a ~ 6.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 29.76 % to ~ 47.86 % sOs has a ~ 5.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 31.86 % to ~ 50.18 % soO has a ~ 5.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 27.3 % to ~ 47.07 % Bbyong has a ~ 4.94 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 23.38 % to ~ 41.41 % Classic has a ~ 4.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 20.7 % to ~ 40.04 % Terminator has a ~ 0.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.82 % to ~ 8.83 %
There seem to be a few players missing- MarineKing, Soulkey, sKyHigH, and TY
yea I know, their chances were just too low lol
TY's chances were much better than Terminator's
yea TY had other events that overpowered it I guess, I just gave a boost to all events in Hot6ix Cup for now, and I nerfed events to placeholder tournaments since there are 25 of those lol
Why did you kill Snute between 2014 and 2015 )': Nah seriously thanks for doing this for this year again edit : Why are you taking into account retired players? (Naniwa, Lucifron)
On November 18 2014 20:43 OtherWorld wrote: Why did you kill Snute between 2014 and 2015 )': Nah seriously thanks for doing this for this year again edit : Why are you taking into account retired players? (Naniwa, Lucifron)
I need to make it ignore or nerf players that have been inactive for over 10 aligulac periods, thanks
I've always been curious. How do you make statistics when we don't know how many tournaments there will be or even player participation. Do you just make a forecast about how many tournaments there will be and assume all players will attempt at the qualifiers?
On November 19 2014 03:44 movac wrote: I've always been curious. How do you make statistics when we don't know how many tournaments there will be or even player participation. Do you just make a forecast about how many tournaments there will be and assume all players will attempt at the qualifiers?
Qualifiers with every player would take way too long to simulate. It uses a random selection of players to fill in the qualifiers, weighted towards players with Aligulac ratings over 1300. For regional qualifiers like WCS it only looks for players from the appropriate regions.
I forgot to answer your first question lol. At this stage the number of tournaments doesn't change much except adding a bit of stability. If I had 30 placeholder tournaments instead of 25 then the higher rated players would have slightly higher chances, it's kind of like going from a best of 5 to a best of 7 in that it adds stability. I chose 25 placeholder tournaments because last year there were 25 or 26 (I counted it but forgot now lol) WCS Partner tournaments.
On November 19 2014 04:22 Boucot wrote: Hahaha oh wow, didn't expect the predictor to be out that early :D
Neither did I lol. But this isn't even WCS Predictor 2015's final form, it's just WCS Predictor 2015-ish.
On November 19 2014 03:44 movac wrote: I've always been curious. How do you make statistics when we don't know how many tournaments there will be or even player participation. Do you just make a forecast about how many tournaments there will be and assume all players will attempt at the qualifiers?
Qualifiers with every player would take way too long to simulate. It uses a random selection of players to fill in the qualifiers, weighted towards players with Aligulac ratings over 1300. For regional qualifiers like WCS it only looks for players from the appropriate regions.
On November 19 2014 03:44 movac wrote: I've always been curious. How do you make statistics when we don't know how many tournaments there will be or even player participation. Do you just make a forecast about how many tournaments there will be and assume all players will attempt at the qualifiers?
Qualifiers with every player would take way too long to simulate. It uses a random selection of players to fill in the qualifiers, weighted towards players with Aligulac ratings over 1300. For regional qualifiers like WCS it only looks for players from the appropriate regions.
On November 19 2014 04:22 Boucot wrote: Hahaha oh wow, didn't expect the predictor to be out that early :D
Neither did I lol. But this isn't even WCS Predictor 2015's final form, it's just WCS Predictor 2015-ish.
So essentially, you have the most passion of anyone. ^_^
On November 19 2014 03:44 movac wrote: I've always been curious. How do you make statistics when we don't know how many tournaments there will be or even player participation. Do you just make a forecast about how many tournaments there will be and assume all players will attempt at the qualifiers?
Qualifiers with every player would take way too long to simulate. It uses a random selection of players to fill in the qualifiers, weighted towards players with Aligulac ratings over 1300. For regional qualifiers like WCS it only looks for players from the appropriate regions.
On November 19 2014 04:22 Boucot wrote: Hahaha oh wow, didn't expect the predictor to be out that early :D
Neither did I lol. But this isn't even WCS Predictor 2015's final form, it's just WCS Predictor 2015-ish.
So essentially, you have the most passion of anyone. ^_^
On November 19 2014 03:44 movac wrote: I've always been curious. How do you make statistics when we don't know how many tournaments there will be or even player participation. Do you just make a forecast about how many tournaments there will be and assume all players will attempt at the qualifiers?
Qualifiers with every player would take way too long to simulate. It uses a random selection of players to fill in the qualifiers, weighted towards players with Aligulac ratings over 1300. For regional qualifiers like WCS it only looks for players from the appropriate regions.
On November 19 2014 04:22 Boucot wrote: Hahaha oh wow, didn't expect the predictor to be out that early :D
Neither did I lol. But this isn't even WCS Predictor 2015's final form, it's just WCS Predictor 2015-ish.
So essentially, you have the most passion of anyone. ^_^
idk there are some passionate people around here
Perhaps some are more passionate, but most are far lazier than you are.
On November 19 2014 03:44 movac wrote: I've always been curious. How do you make statistics when we don't know how many tournaments there will be or even player participation. Do you just make a forecast about how many tournaments there will be and assume all players will attempt at the qualifiers?
Qualifiers with every player would take way too long to simulate. It uses a random selection of players to fill in the qualifiers, weighted towards players with Aligulac ratings over 1300. For regional qualifiers like WCS it only looks for players from the appropriate regions.
On November 19 2014 04:22 Boucot wrote: Hahaha oh wow, didn't expect the predictor to be out that early :D
Neither did I lol. But this isn't even WCS Predictor 2015's final form, it's just WCS Predictor 2015-ish.
So essentially, you have the most passion of anyone. ^_^
idk there are some passionate people around here
Perhaps some are more passionate, but most are far lazier than you are.
On November 19 2014 03:44 movac wrote: I've always been curious. How do you make statistics when we don't know how many tournaments there will be or even player participation. Do you just make a forecast about how many tournaments there will be and assume all players will attempt at the qualifiers?
Qualifiers with every player would take way too long to simulate. It uses a random selection of players to fill in the qualifiers, weighted towards players with Aligulac ratings over 1300. For regional qualifiers like WCS it only looks for players from the appropriate regions.
On November 19 2014 04:22 Boucot wrote: Hahaha oh wow, didn't expect the predictor to be out that early :D
Neither did I lol. But this isn't even WCS Predictor 2015's final form, it's just WCS Predictor 2015-ish.
So essentially, you have the most passion of anyone. ^_^
idk there are some passionate people around here
Perhaps some are more passionate, but most are far lazier than you are.
Even I'm lazier.
so lazy you don't copy-paste my stats into your LR OPs anymore
On November 19 2014 03:44 movac wrote: I've always been curious. How do you make statistics when we don't know how many tournaments there will be or even player participation. Do you just make a forecast about how many tournaments there will be and assume all players will attempt at the qualifiers?
Qualifiers with every player would take way too long to simulate. It uses a random selection of players to fill in the qualifiers, weighted towards players with Aligulac ratings over 1300. For regional qualifiers like WCS it only looks for players from the appropriate regions.
On November 19 2014 04:22 Boucot wrote: Hahaha oh wow, didn't expect the predictor to be out that early :D
Neither did I lol. But this isn't even WCS Predictor 2015's final form, it's just WCS Predictor 2015-ish.
So essentially, you have the most passion of anyone. ^_^
idk there are some passionate people around here
Perhaps some are more passionate, but most are far lazier than you are.
Even I'm lazier.
so lazy you don't copy-paste my stats into your LR OPs anymore
On November 19 2014 03:44 movac wrote: I've always been curious. How do you make statistics when we don't know how many tournaments there will be or even player participation. Do you just make a forecast about how many tournaments there will be and assume all players will attempt at the qualifiers?
Qualifiers with every player would take way too long to simulate. It uses a random selection of players to fill in the qualifiers, weighted towards players with Aligulac ratings over 1300. For regional qualifiers like WCS it only looks for players from the appropriate regions.
On November 19 2014 04:22 Boucot wrote: Hahaha oh wow, didn't expect the predictor to be out that early :D
Neither did I lol. But this isn't even WCS Predictor 2015's final form, it's just WCS Predictor 2015-ish.
So essentially, you have the most passion of anyone. ^_^
idk there are some passionate people around here
Perhaps some are more passionate, but most are far lazier than you are.
Even I'm lazier.
so lazy you don't copy-paste my stats into your LR OPs anymore
On November 20 2014 02:50 KillerDucky wrote: Why does it have Major above Scarlett? Scarlett's Aligulac rating is higher, what other factors are there right now?
I'm no expect, but I think there are a whole bunch of randomly generated variables that are affecting it right now since very few lineups have been announced. This list basically means nothing.
ignore my idiotic ramblings, Die4ever that makes a lot more sense
On November 20 2014 02:50 KillerDucky wrote: Why does it have Major above Scarlett? Scarlett's Aligulac rating is higher, what other factors are there right now?
it's because of the way region locking works, every season there will be 2 latin american players guaranteed in WCS Premier league, so that really helps Major a lot
Classic lost the #4 headband to Flash who lost it to Soulkey today, right? it doesnt show on the site, only for #1 and #2 So Soulkey has the #4 headband now
On November 20 2014 21:02 Koerage wrote: Classic lost the #4 headband to Flash who lost it to Soulkey today, right? it doesnt show on the site, only for #1 and #2 So Soulkey has the #4 headband now
You are correct. #1 is Life, #2 MMA, #3 Taeja, #4 is Soulkey. I still have to fix the website to show the 4 of them properly.
Biggest winners and losers since 3 days ago (Sim #1079), this includes changes to qualifiers and nerfing inactive players. Biggest Winners INnoVation went up by ~ 13.58 %, going from ~ 38.12 % to ~ 51.7 % Zest went up by ~ 11.12 %, going from ~ 39.82 % to ~ 50.94 % sOs went up by ~ 8.3 %, going from ~ 31.86 % to ~ 40.16 % Rain went up by ~ 8.28 %, going from ~ 41.37 % to ~ 49.65 % TaeJa went up by ~ 7.34 %, going from ~ 37.98 % to ~ 45.32 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
Solar went up by ~ 5.36 %, going from ~ 31.96 % to ~ 37.32 % Trust went up by ~ 4.93 %, going from ~ 4.86 % to ~ 9.79 % MMA went up by ~ 3.9 %, going from ~ 23.23 % to ~ 27.13 % Life went up by ~ 3.83 %, going from ~ 27.6 % to ~ 31.43 % Bbyong went up by ~ 3.55 %, going from ~ 23.38 % to ~ 26.92 % MajOr went up by ~ 3.34 %, going from ~ 28.88 % to ~ 32.22 % MarineKing went up by ~ 2.65 %, going from ~ 6.15 % to ~ 8.8 % Bomber went up by ~ 2.12 %, going from ~ 21.82 % to ~ 23.94 % Lilbow went up by ~ 2.1 %, going from ~ 11.52 % to ~ 13.62 % Soulkey went up by ~ 2.06 %, going from ~ 18.41 % to ~ 20.47 % ForGG went up by ~ 2.03 %, going from ~ 20.91 % to ~ 22.94 % Bunny went up by ~ 1.92 %, going from ~ 12.91 % to ~ 14.83 % jjakji went up by ~ 1.86 %, going from ~ 16.86 % to ~ 18.72 % Happy went up by ~ 1.76 %, going from ~ 10.53 % to ~ 12.29 % Maru went up by ~ 1.74 %, going from ~ 21.27 % to ~ 23.01 % Nerchio went up by ~ 1.72 %, going from ~ 8.19 % to ~ 9.91 % San went up by ~ 1.69 %, going from ~ 19.33 % to ~ 21.02 % Dear went up by ~ 1.66 %, going from ~ 17.46 % to ~ 19.12 % StarDust went up by ~ 1.64 %, going from ~ 10.17 % to ~ 11.81 % YoDa went up by ~ 1.54 %, going from ~ 18.72 % to ~ 20.26 % Scarlett went up by ~ 1.19 %, going from ~ 24.43 % to ~ 25.62 % ShoWTimE went up by ~ 1.15 %, going from ~ 5.62 % to ~ 6.77 % uThermal went up by ~ 1.07 %, going from ~ 3.77 % to ~ 4.84 % elfi went up by ~ 1.04 %, going from ~ 1.63 % to ~ 2.67 % Snute went up by ~ 0.92 %, going from ~ 9.51 % to ~ 10.44 % VortiX went up by ~ 0.92 %, going from ~ 13.88 % to ~ 14.8 % Ourk went up by ~ 0.92 %, going from ~ 9.21 % to ~ 10.13 % HyuN went up by ~ 0.86 %, going from ~ 19.48 % to ~ 20.34 % MC went up by ~ 0.86 %, going from ~ 7.17 % to ~ 8.03 % SortOf went up by ~ 0.78 %, going from ~ 1.37 % to ~ 2.16 % HeRoMaRinE went up by ~ 0.77 %, going from ~ 6.78 % to ~ 7.55 % Serral went up by ~ 0.69 %, going from ~ 2.11 % to ~ 2.8 % MarineLorD went up by ~ 0.62 %, going from ~ 4.01 % to ~ 4.63 % EnDerr went up by ~ 0.51 %, going from ~ 3.81 % to ~ 4.33 % Hurricane went up by ~ 0.51 %, going from ~ 12.67 % to ~ 13.18 % TLO went up by ~ 0.46 %, going from ~ 3.6 % to ~ 4.07 % Starbuck went up by ~ 0.43 %, going from ~ 3.39 % to ~ 3.83 % GunGFuBanDa went up by ~ 0.43 %, going from ~ 0.9 % to ~ 1.33 % Lillekanin went up by ~ 0.42 %, going from ~ 0.08 % to ~ 0.5 % Hush went up by ~ 0.41 %, going from ~ 0.68 % to ~ 1.09 % Cure went up by ~ 0.39 %, going from ~ 22.86 % to ~ 23.25 % Bly went up by ~ 0.35 %, going from ~ 4.08 % to ~ 4.43 % herO went up by ~ 0.34 %, going from ~ 44.24 % to ~ 44.58 % Strelok went up by ~ 0.34 %, going from ~ 2.27 % to ~ 2.61 % Stephano went up by ~ 0.33 %, going from ~ 2.96 % to ~ 3.29 %
Biggest Losers LucifroN went down by ~ 5.74 %, going from ~ 5.74 % to ~ 0 % Stats went down by ~ 5.26 %, going from ~ 29.76 % to ~ 24.5 % NaNiwa went down by ~ 4.94 %, going from ~ 4.94 % to ~ 0 % TY went down by ~ 3.76 %, going from ~ 22.77 % to ~ 19.01 % Classic went down by ~ 3.56 %, going from ~ 20.7 % to ~ 17.15 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
soO went down by ~ 3.41 %, going from ~ 27.3 % to ~ 23.89 % Sage went down by ~ 3.25 %, going from ~ 3.25 % to ~ 0 % Dark went down by ~ 2.25 %, going from ~ 9.61 % to ~ 7.36 % Rogue went down by ~ 2.25 %, going from ~ 14.81 % to ~ 12.56 % MyuNgSiK went down by ~ 2.22 %, going from ~ 6.69 % to ~ 4.48 % TooDming went down by ~ 2.16 %, going from ~ 7.87 % to ~ 5.71 % Sorry went down by ~ 2.15 %, going from ~ 5.9 % to ~ 3.75 % SuperNova went down by ~ 2.14 %, going from ~ 5.7 % to ~ 3.56 % Pigeon went down by ~ 2.12 %, going from ~ 2.12 % to ~ 0 % Journey went down by ~ 1.94 %, going from ~ 7.26 % to ~ 5.31 % Flash went down by ~ 1.9 %, going from ~ 42.79 % to ~ 40.88 % Ostojiy went down by ~ 1.75 %, going from ~ 1.75 % to ~ 0 % Heart went down by ~ 1.73 %, going from ~ 6.08 % to ~ 4.35 % Center went down by ~ 1.71 %, going from ~ 7.54 % to ~ 5.83 % ByuL went down by ~ 1.57 %, going from ~ 10.64 % to ~ 9.07 % Symbol went down by ~ 1.46 %, going from ~ 5.73 % to ~ 4.27 % Reality went down by ~ 1.39 %, going from ~ 6.71 % to ~ 5.31 % ThorZaIN went down by ~ 1.28 %, going from ~ 1.28 % to ~ 0 % LoveCD went down by ~ 1.24 %, going from ~ 1.24 % to ~ 0 % TRUE went down by ~ 1.21 %, going from ~ 8.61 % to ~ 7.4 % Armani went down by ~ 1.21 %, going from ~ 2.47 % to ~ 1.26 % Jim went down by ~ 1.18 %, going from ~ 21.41 % to ~ 20.23 % Pet went down by ~ 1.14 %, going from ~ 7.75 % to ~ 6.61 % CoCa went down by ~ 1.03 %, going from ~ 1.03 % to ~ 0 % FanTaSy went down by ~ 1.01 %, going from ~ 2.92 % to ~ 1.9 % Golden went down by ~ 1.01 %, going from ~ 5.65 % to ~ 4.63 % RorO went down by ~ 0.99 %, going from ~ 4.2 % to ~ 3.21 % XY went down by ~ 0.99 %, going from ~ 5.72 % to ~ 4.74 % EffOrt went down by ~ 0.98 %, going from ~ 4.18 % to ~ 3.2 % MacSed went down by ~ 0.96 %, going from ~ 3.78 % to ~ 2.82 % Pigbaby went down by ~ 0.91 %, going from ~ 6.66 % to ~ 5.75 % Mvp went down by ~ 0.89 %, going from ~ 7.91 % to ~ 7.02 % duckdeok went down by ~ 0.87 %, going from ~ 0.87 % to ~ 0 % Dream went down by ~ 0.87 %, going from ~ 3.06 % to ~ 2.19 % Avenge went down by ~ 0.85 %, going from ~ 4.74 % to ~ 3.89 % Hydra went down by ~ 0.83 %, going from ~ 9.25 % to ~ 8.42 % Top went down by ~ 0.81 %, going from ~ 6.34 % to ~ 5.53 % Squirtle went down by ~ 0.8 %, going from ~ 3.22 % to ~ 2.42 % SSanaEE went down by ~ 0.79 %, going from ~ 0.79 % to ~ 0 % HerO went down by ~ 0.79 %, going from ~ 3.17 % to ~ 2.38 % Curious went down by ~ 0.77 %, going from ~ 3.58 % to ~ 2.8 % Ryung went down by ~ 0.76 %, going from ~ 2.52 % to ~ 1.76 % aLive went down by ~ 0.73 %, going from ~ 1.69 % to ~ 0.97 % Action went down by ~ 0.72 %, going from ~ 1.56 % to ~ 0.84 % Hack went down by ~ 0.72 %, going from ~ 3.68 % to ~ 2.97 %
The current headband holders are - #1 Life #2 MMA #3 TaeJa #4 Soulkey
Hot6ix Cup - Rain is at ~ 49.65 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 61.47 % of the time Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 53.31 %. ~ 38.53 % of the time Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 43.8 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MarineKing is at ~ 8.8 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 38.53 % of the time MarineKing wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 11.44 %. ~ 61.47 % of the time MarineKing loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 7.15 %.
Hot6ix Cup - Zest is at ~ 50.94 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 61.45 % of the time Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 54.72 %. ~ 38.55 % of the time Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 44.9 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Soulkey is at ~ 20.46 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 38.55 % of the time Soulkey wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 24.97 %. ~ 61.45 % of the time Soulkey loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 17.64 %.
Hot6ix Cup - INnoVation is at ~ 51.7 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 53.88 % of the time INnoVation wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 56.82 %. ~ 46.12 % of the time INnoVation loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 45.71 %. ------------------------------------------------- - sOs is at ~ 40.16 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 46.12 % of the time sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 45.56 %. ~ 53.88 % of the time sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 35.54 %.
Hot6ix Cup - Bbyong is at ~ 26.92 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 67.09 % of the time Bbyong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 29.51 %. ~ 32.91 % of the time Bbyong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 21.64 %. ------------------------------------------------- - sKyHigh is at ~ 6.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 32.91 % of the time sKyHigh wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 8.04 %. ~ 67.09 % of the time sKyHigh loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.03 %.
Hot6ix Cup Winning Chances INnoVation has a ~ 20.42 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 51.7 % to ~ 64.67 % Zest has a ~ 18.68 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.94 % to ~ 63.58 % Rain has a ~ 17.55 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 49.65 % to ~ 62.69 % Bbyong has a ~ 14.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 26.92 % to ~ 40.4 % sOs has a ~ 12.97 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 40.16 % to ~ 55.15 % Soulkey has a ~ 7.36 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 20.46 % to ~ 35.3 % MarineKing has a ~ 5.68 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.8 % to ~ 19.51 % sKyHigh has a ~ 3.27 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.02 % to ~ 15.42 %
Trust (CJ Entus), is at ~ 10.72 %, Min WCS Points: 0
Biggest Winners and Losers since Hot6ix Quarterfinals were set about 4 days ago. (Sim #1086) This includes the announcements of WCS Points (see here http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/471913-wcs-2015-details-on-points-prizes-and-residency ), Parting replacing Rain, and IEM San Jose. Biggest Winners herO went up by ~ 8.62 %, going from ~ 44.56 % to ~ 53.18 % ForGG went up by ~ 7.42 %, going from ~ 22.93 % to ~ 30.35 % GuMiho went up by ~ 7.09 %, going from ~ 18.94 % to ~ 26.03 % PartinG went up by ~ 7.06 %, going from ~ 43.44 % to ~ 50.49 % Bomber went up by ~ 6.46 %, going from ~ 23.94 % to ~ 30.4 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
Jaedong went up by ~ 5.29 %, going from ~ 11.61 % to ~ 16.9 % Soulkey went up by ~ 3.5 %, going from ~ 20.46 % to ~ 23.97 % First went up by ~ 3.31 %, going from ~ 17.36 % to ~ 20.68 % MMA went up by ~ 3.25 %, going from ~ 27.14 % to ~ 30.39 % DongRaeGu went up by ~ 3.01 %, going from ~ 8.51 % to ~ 11.52 % Snute went up by ~ 2.99 %, going from ~ 10.44 % to ~ 13.43 % HyuN went up by ~ 2.61 %, going from ~ 20.34 % to ~ 22.95 % Trap went up by ~ 2.61 %, going from ~ 8.67 % to ~ 11.27 % Polt went up by ~ 2.59 %, going from ~ 31.08 % to ~ 33.66 % TY went up by ~ 2.14 %, going from ~ 19.03 % to ~ 21.17 % TRUE went up by ~ 2.11 %, going from ~ 7.4 % to ~ 9.51 % MajOr went up by ~ 1.91 %, going from ~ 32.23 % to ~ 34.14 % Bbyong went up by ~ 1.41 %, going from ~ 26.92 % to ~ 28.33 % Super went up by ~ 1.4 %, going from ~ 9.12 % to ~ 10.52 % Center went up by ~ 1.4 %, going from ~ 5.82 % to ~ 7.22 % TargA went up by ~ 1.18 %, going from ~ 5.54 % to ~ 6.72 % MyuNgSiK went up by ~ 1.14 %, going from ~ 4.48 % to ~ 5.63 % Bunny went up by ~ 1.06 %, going from ~ 14.84 % to ~ 15.91 % Maru went up by ~ 0.97 %, going from ~ 23.01 % to ~ 23.98 % Trust went up by ~ 0.93 %, going from ~ 9.8 % to ~ 10.73 % Cure went up by ~ 0.92 %, going from ~ 23.25 % to ~ 24.17 % Pigeon went up by ~ 0.88 %, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0.88 % Symbol went up by ~ 0.82 %, going from ~ 4.26 % to ~ 5.09 % Petraeus went up by ~ 0.76 %, going from ~ 1.12 % to ~ 1.88 % Revival went up by ~ 0.75 %, going from ~ 1.64 % to ~ 2.39 % ThorZaIN went up by ~ 0.73 %, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0.73 % Check went up by ~ 0.71 %, going from ~ 1.01 % to ~ 1.72 % Hydra went up by ~ 0.69 %, going from ~ 8.42 % to ~ 9.11 % TaeJa went up by ~ 0.69 %, going from ~ 45.31 % to ~ 45.99 % Rain went up by ~ 0.56 %, going from ~ 49.65 % to ~ 50.21 % San went up by ~ 0.56 %, going from ~ 21.02 % to ~ 21.58 % Life went up by ~ 0.55 %, going from ~ 31.43 % to ~ 31.98 % GunGFuBanDa went up by ~ 0.54 %, going from ~ 1.33 % to ~ 1.87 % Sora went up by ~ 0.52 %, going from ~ 13.58 % to ~ 14.1 %
Biggest Losers Flash went down by ~ 9.35 %, going from ~ 40.89 % to ~ 31.54 % Jim went down by ~ 7.3 %, going from ~ 20.23 % to ~ 12.92 % TooDming went down by ~ 3.58 %, going from ~ 5.73 % to ~ 2.14 % soO went down by ~ 3.14 %, going from ~ 23.9 % to ~ 20.76 % MaSa went down by ~ 2.84 %, going from ~ 14.55 % to ~ 11.71 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
INnoVation went down by ~ 2.78 %, going from ~ 51.7 % to ~ 48.92 % Dayshi went down by ~ 2.78 %, going from ~ 5.04 % to ~ 2.27 % Zest went down by ~ 2.56 %, going from ~ 50.94 % to ~ 48.37 % XiGua went down by ~ 2.01 %, going from ~ 5.85 % to ~ 3.84 % iAsonu went down by ~ 1.7 %, going from ~ 4.33 % to ~ 2.63 % XY went down by ~ 1.66 %, going from ~ 4.73 % to ~ 3.08 % Kas went down by ~ 1.56 %, going from ~ 4.99 % to ~ 3.43 % Kane went down by ~ 1.55 %, going from ~ 5.39 % to ~ 3.84 % HuK went down by ~ 1.52 %, going from ~ 7.38 % to ~ 5.86 % Lilbow went down by ~ 1.36 %, going from ~ 13.62 % to ~ 12.26 % MaNa went down by ~ 1.35 %, going from ~ 6.88 % to ~ 5.53 % jjakji went down by ~ 1.32 %, going from ~ 18.7 % to ~ 17.38 % TLO went down by ~ 1.32 %, going from ~ 4.07 % to ~ 2.75 % Bly went down by ~ 1.28 %, going from ~ 4.43 % to ~ 3.15 % Classic went down by ~ 1.19 %, going from ~ 17.15 % to ~ 15.96 % MarineKing went down by ~ 1.17 %, going from ~ 8.81 % to ~ 7.63 % HeRoMaRinE went down by ~ 1.17 %, going from ~ 7.56 % to ~ 6.39 % Serral went down by ~ 1.09 %, going from ~ 2.8 % to ~ 1.72 % StarDust went down by ~ 1.08 %, going from ~ 11.81 % to ~ 10.73 % viOLet went down by ~ 1.08 %, going from ~ 18.22 % to ~ 17.14 % uThermal went down by ~ 1.07 %, going from ~ 4.84 % to ~ 3.77 % MacSed went down by ~ 1.05 %, going from ~ 2.81 % to ~ 1.77 % Ourk went down by ~ 1.03 %, going from ~ 10.13 % to ~ 9.1 % ShoWTimE went down by ~ 0.99 %, going from ~ 6.77 % to ~ 5.77 % Hurricane went down by ~ 0.99 %, going from ~ 13.18 % to ~ 12.18 % Losira went down by ~ 0.98 %, going from ~ 11.87 % to ~ 10.89 % EnDerr went down by ~ 0.98 %, going from ~ 4.32 % to ~ 3.34 % sKyHigh went down by ~ 0.96 %, going from ~ 6.03 % to ~ 5.06 % MC went down by ~ 0.94 %, going from ~ 8.03 % to ~ 7.09 % MorroW went down by ~ 0.94 %, going from ~ 2.66 % to ~ 1.73 % Starbuck went down by ~ 0.91 %, going from ~ 3.82 % to ~ 2.91 % elfi went down by ~ 0.89 %, going from ~ 2.67 % to ~ 1.77 % Intense went down by ~ 0.87 %, going from ~ 2.39 % to ~ 1.52 % puCK went down by ~ 0.82 %, going from ~ 2.51 % to ~ 1.69 % Stephano went down by ~ 0.81 %, going from ~ 3.28 % to ~ 2.48 % Strelok went down by ~ 0.79 %, going from ~ 2.61 % to ~ 1.83 % Suppy went down by ~ 0.78 %, going from ~ 2.11 % to ~ 1.33 % sOs went down by ~ 0.77 %, going from ~ 40.15 % to ~ 39.37 % Welmu went down by ~ 0.77 %, going from ~ 3.24 % to ~ 2.47 % hendralisk went down by ~ 0.75 %, going from ~ 2.25 % to ~ 1.49 % CatZ went down by ~ 0.73 %, going from ~ 1.93 % to ~ 1.19 % SortOf went down by ~ 0.72 %, going from ~ 2.16 % to ~ 1.44 % Elazer went down by ~ 0.71 %, going from ~ 1.58 % to ~ 0.87 % JonnyREcco went down by ~ 0.68 %, going from ~ 2.41 % to ~ 1.73 % Cham went down by ~ 0.66 %, going from ~ 1.34 % to ~ 0.68 %
Rain went from about 53% chances down to about 44.8% chances with his forfeit in Hot6ix Cup, and then back up to about 50.2% when I added in IEM San Jose.
Hot6ix Cup - PartinG is at ~ 50.49 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 62.59 % of the time PartinG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 53.04 %. ~ 37.41 % of the time PartinG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 46.23 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MarineKing is at ~ 7.63 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 37.41 % of the time MarineKing wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 9.35 %. ~ 62.59 % of the time MarineKing loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 6.61 %.
Hot6ix Cup - Zest is at ~ 48.37 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 61.25 % of the time Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 51.15 %. ~ 38.75 % of the time Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 43.99 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Soulkey is at ~ 23.97 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 38.75 % of the time Soulkey wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 27.44 %. ~ 61.25 % of the time Soulkey loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 21.77 %.
Hot6ix Cup - INnoVation is at ~ 48.92 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 53.45 % of the time INnoVation wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 52.64 %. ~ 46.55 % of the time INnoVation loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 44.65 %. ------------------------------------------------- - sOs is at ~ 39.37 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 46.55 % of the time sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 43.21 %. ~ 53.45 % of the time sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 36.03 %.
Hot6ix Cup - Bbyong is at ~ 28.33 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 67.69 % of the time Bbyong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 30.21 %. ~ 32.31 % of the time Bbyong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 24.4 %. ------------------------------------------------- - sKyHigh is at ~ 5.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 32.31 % of the time sKyHigh wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.28 %. ~ 67.69 % of the time sKyHigh loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 4.48 %.
Hot6ix Cup Winning Chances INnoVation has a ~ 19.52 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 48.92 % to ~ 58.6 % PartinG has a ~ 18.12 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.49 % to ~ 59.74 % Zest has a ~ 17.67 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 48.37 % to ~ 57.76 % Bbyong has a ~ 15.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 28.33 % to ~ 37.65 % sOs has a ~ 12.79 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 39.37 % to ~ 49.96 % Soulkey has a ~ 8.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 23.97 % to ~ 34.61 % MarineKing has a ~ 5.35 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.63 % to ~ 14.23 % sKyHigh has a ~ 3.21 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.06 % to ~ 10.49 %
IEM San Jose Previews IEM San Jose Stage 1 Winning Chances GuMiho has a ~ 46.44 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 26.03 % to ~ 29.14 % viOLet has a ~ 43.72 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.14 % to ~ 18.95 % Revival has a ~ 40.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.39 % to ~ 2.95 % Symbol has a ~ 34.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.09 % to ~ 6.24 % Seed has a ~ 24.92 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.63 % to ~ 0.85 % Harstem has a ~ 21.3 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.84 % to ~ 2.29 % HuK has a ~ 18.58 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.86 % to ~ 7.14 % CatZ has a ~ 16.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.19 % to ~ 1.54 % hendralisk has a ~ 12.7 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.49 % to ~ 1.92 % puCK has a ~ 12.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.69 % to ~ 2.13 % phog has a ~ 9.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.05 % to ~ 0.07 % TOP has a ~ 6.35 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Caliber has a ~ 1.92 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
IEM San Jose - Rain is at ~ 50.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 62.79 % of the time Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 52.97 %. ~ 37.21 % of the time Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 45.55 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Snute is at ~ 13.43 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 51.83 % of the time Snute wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 15.46 %. ~ 48.17 % of the time Snute loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 11.25 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Scarlett is at ~ 24.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 47.81 % of the time Scarlett wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 27.16 %. ~ 52.19 % of the time Scarlett loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 23.01 %.
IEM San Jose - Polt is at ~ 33.66 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 58.94 % of the time Polt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.61 %. ~ 41.06 % of the time Polt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 30.88 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Jaedong is at ~ 16.9 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 52.38 % of the time Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 20.04 %. ~ 47.62 % of the time Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 13.45 %. ------------------------------------------------- - First is at ~ 20.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 51.34 % of the time First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 22.6 %. ~ 48.66 % of the time First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 18.65 %.
IEM San Jose - HyuN is at ~ 22.95 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 63.23 % of the time HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 25.11 %. ~ 36.77 % of the time HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 19.23 %. ------------------------------------------------- - ForGG is at ~ 30.35 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 61.57 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 32.79 %. ~ 38.43 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 26.45 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MajOr is at ~ 34.14 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 38.35 % of the time MajOr wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 37.29 %. ~ 61.65 % of the time MajOr loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 32.17 %.
IEM San Jose - herO is at ~ 53.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 72.69 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 55.34 %. ~ 27.31 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 47.44 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Bomber is at ~ 30.4 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 63.17 % of the time Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 33.59 %. ~ 36.83 % of the time Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 24.93 %. ------------------------------------------------- - qxc is at ~ 3.91 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 25.42 % of the time qxc wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 4.63 %. ~ 74.58 % of the time qxc loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.66 %.
IEM San Jose Winning Chances herO has a ~ 15.33 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 53.18 % to ~ 64.56 % Rain has a ~ 12.9 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.21 % to ~ 61.91 % HyuN has a ~ 9.46 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 22.95 % to ~ 32.08 % ForGG has a ~ 8.54 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 30.35 % to ~ 42.82 % Bomber has a ~ 8.41 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 30.4 % to ~ 44.09 % Polt has a ~ 8.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 33.66 % to ~ 43.04 % First has a ~ 6.86 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 20.68 % to ~ 29.55 % Scarlett has a ~ 5.45 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 24.99 % to ~ 34.53 % Jaedong has a ~ 5.33 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 16.9 % to ~ 29.53 % Snute has a ~ 4.95 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.43 % to ~ 21.58 % MajOr has a ~ 3.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 34.14 % to ~ 47.22 % Symbol has a ~ 0.81 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.09 % to ~ 13.62 % qxc has a ~ 0.63 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.91 % to ~ 8.65 % Revival has a ~ 0.57 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.39 % to ~ 8.39 % HuK has a ~ 0.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.86 % to ~ 13.18 % Harstem has a ~ 0.18 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.84 % to ~ 5.74 % Seed has a ~ 0.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.63 % to ~ 2.69 %
On December 02 2014 07:03 klipik12 wrote: And just like last year, the champion loses in the first tourney after blizzcon. #1 Headband Life -> forGG
nah, Dreamhack wasn't giving WCS Points, so no headband tracking, also ForGG didn't beat anyone that had a #2/3/4 headband so he wouldn't have gotten it anyways
--------UPDATE Wednesday, Dec 03 4:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00) IEM San Jose Stage 1 Previews and Hot6ix Cup Semifinals Set! (Sim #1098) Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
Biggest Winners and Losers since about 7 days ago. (Sim #1093) This includes the Hot6ix Cup Quarterfinals and the Aligulac rating changes from Dreamhack Winter. Biggest Winners First went up by ~ 10.84 %, going from ~ 20.69 % to ~ 31.53 % HyuN went up by ~ 7.44 %, going from ~ 22.95 % to ~ 30.39 % GuMiho went up by ~ 6.66 %, going from ~ 26.03 % to ~ 32.69 % YoDa went up by ~ 5.82 %, going from ~ 19.85 % to ~ 25.66 % ForGG went up by ~ 4.52 %, going from ~ 30.34 % to ~ 34.86 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
MarineKing went up by ~ 3.71 %, going from ~ 7.64 % to ~ 11.35 % DongRaeGu went up by ~ 3.02 %, going from ~ 11.53 % to ~ 14.55 % sOs went up by ~ 2.26 %, going from ~ 39.42 % to ~ 41.67 % Zest went up by ~ 2.26 %, going from ~ 48.37 % to ~ 50.63 % Life went up by ~ 2.18 %, going from ~ 31.98 % to ~ 34.16 % jjakji went up by ~ 2.12 %, going from ~ 17.39 % to ~ 19.51 % MaSa went up by ~ 1.85 %, going from ~ 11.7 % to ~ 13.55 % Snute went up by ~ 1.84 %, going from ~ 13.4 % to ~ 15.24 % TargA went up by ~ 1.7 %, going from ~ 6.73 % to ~ 8.43 % MajOr went up by ~ 1.68 %, going from ~ 34.14 % to ~ 35.82 % Top went up by ~ 1.56 %, going from ~ 5.3 % to ~ 6.86 % HerO went up by ~ 1.38 %, going from ~ 2.49 % to ~ 3.87 % Kas went up by ~ 1.37 %, going from ~ 3.42 % to ~ 4.79 % Scarlett went up by ~ 1.28 %, going from ~ 24.99 % to ~ 26.27 % viOLet went up by ~ 1.22 %, going from ~ 17.16 % to ~ 18.38 % Happy went up by ~ 1.18 %, going from ~ 12.18 % to ~ 13.37 % Stats went up by ~ 1.13 %, going from ~ 24.37 % to ~ 25.49 % PiG went up by ~ 1.03 %, going from ~ 0.97 % to ~ 2.01 %
Biggest Losers PartinG went down by ~ 13.25 %, going from ~ 50.47 % to ~ 37.22 % Solar went down by ~ 6.22 %, going from ~ 36.87 % to ~ 30.64 % INnoVation went down by ~ 6.11 %, going from ~ 48.93 % to ~ 42.82 % Bbyong went down by ~ 4.85 %, going from ~ 28.34 % to ~ 23.49 % Soulkey went down by ~ 4.69 %, going from ~ 23.96 % to ~ 19.26 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
Maru went down by ~ 4.22 %, going from ~ 23.98 % to ~ 19.76 % herO went down by ~ 3.96 %, going from ~ 53.19 % to ~ 49.23 % Bunny went down by ~ 3.8 %, going from ~ 15.91 % to ~ 12.12 % Impact went down by ~ 2.38 %, going from ~ 7.97 % to ~ 5.59 % Bomber went down by ~ 2.22 %, going from ~ 30.42 % to ~ 28.2 % Center went down by ~ 2.04 %, going from ~ 7.23 % to ~ 5.19 % TRUE went down by ~ 1.73 %, going from ~ 9.51 % to ~ 7.78 % Patience went down by ~ 1.67 %, going from ~ 10.71 % to ~ 9.04 % Hurricane went down by ~ 1.63 %, going from ~ 12.18 % to ~ 10.55 % soO went down by ~ 1.54 %, going from ~ 20.78 % to ~ 19.23 % Flash went down by ~ 1.51 %, going from ~ 31.55 % to ~ 30.04 % TY went down by ~ 1.29 %, going from ~ 21.15 % to ~ 19.86 % Dear went down by ~ 1.28 %, going from ~ 19.59 % to ~ 18.31 % Classic went down by ~ 1.28 %, going from ~ 15.99 % to ~ 14.71 % MMA went down by ~ 1.2 %, going from ~ 30.38 % to ~ 29.18 % Sora went down by ~ 1.13 %, going from ~ 14.06 % to ~ 12.93 % Trap went down by ~ 1.1 %, going from ~ 11.27 % to ~ 10.17 % KingKong went down by ~ 1.07 %, going from ~ 11.55 % to ~ 10.48 %
IEM San Jose Stage 1 - viOLet is at ~ 18.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 80.65 % of the time viOLet wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 18.64 %. ~ 19.35 % of the time viOLet loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 17.32 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Caliber is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 19.35 % of the time Caliber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 80.65 % of the time Caliber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
IEM San Jose Stage 1 - Super is at ~ 9.53 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 59.33 % of the time Super wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 9.94 %. ~ 40.67 % of the time Super loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 8.92 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Zanster is at ~ 1.54 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 40.67 % of the time Zanster wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.61 %. ~ 59.33 % of the time Zanster loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.49 %.
IEM San Jose Stage 1 - Hydra is at ~ 8.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 61.38 % of the time Hydra wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 8.6 %. ~ 38.62 % of the time Hydra loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 7.69 %. ------------------------------------------------- - puCK is at ~ 1.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 38.62 % of the time puCK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.74 %. ~ 61.38 % of the time puCK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.64 %.
IEM San Jose Stage 1 - GuMiho is at ~ 32.69 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 67.86 % of the time GuMiho wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 33.62 %. ~ 32.14 % of the time GuMiho loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 30.73 %. ------------------------------------------------- - HuK is at ~ 6.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 32.14 % of the time HuK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.81 %. ~ 67.86 % of the time HuK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 6.17 %.
IEM San Jose Stage 1 - TRUE is at ~ 7.78 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 74.88 % of the time TRUE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 8.02 %. ~ 25.12 % of the time TRUE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 7.05 %. ------------------------------------------------- - TOP is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 25.12 % of the time TOP wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 74.88 % of the time TOP loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
IEM San Jose Stage 1 - Symbol is at ~ 4.59 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 55.33 % of the time Symbol wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 4.86 %. ~ 44.67 % of the time Symbol loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 4.24 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Harstem is at ~ 2.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 44.67 % of the time Harstem wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 2.19 %. ~ 55.33 % of the time Harstem loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.99 %.
IEM San Jose Stage 1 - Seed is at ~ 0.7 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 55.81 % of the time Seed wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.75 %. ~ 44.19 % of the time Seed loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.64 %. ------------------------------------------------- - CatZ is at ~ 1.17 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 44.19 % of the time CatZ wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.23 %. ~ 55.81 % of the time CatZ loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.12 %.
IEM San Jose Stage 1 - Revival is at ~ 2.58 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 70.1 % of the time Revival wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 2.7 %. ~ 29.9 % of the time Revival loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.29 %. ------------------------------------------------- - phog is at ~ 0.05 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 29.9 % of the time phog wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.06 %. ~ 70.1 % of the time phog loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.05 %.
IEM San Jose Stage 1 Winning Chances GuMiho has a ~ 50.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 32.69 % to ~ 35.86 % TRUE has a ~ 46.71 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.78 % to ~ 9.04 % Revival has a ~ 40.64 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.58 % to ~ 3.16 % Symbol has a ~ 34.28 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.59 % to ~ 5.64 % Seed has a ~ 25.97 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.7 % to ~ 0.93 % Harstem has a ~ 21.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.08 % to ~ 2.55 % HuK has a ~ 17.42 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.38 % to ~ 7.69 % CatZ has a ~ 15.79 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.17 % to ~ 1.51 % Zanster has a ~ 15.18 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.54 % to ~ 1.93 % puCK has a ~ 11.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.68 % to ~ 2.14 % phog has a ~ 8.87 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.05 % to ~ 0.09 % TOP has a ~ 6.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Caliber has a ~ 1.95 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
IEM San Jose Winning Chances ForGG has a ~ 14.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 34.86 % to ~ 42.99 % herO has a ~ 13.8 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 49.23 % to ~ 60.91 % Rain has a ~ 12.65 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 49.43 % to ~ 60.99 % HyuN has a ~ 8.57 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 30.39 % to ~ 44.09 % Bomber has a ~ 7.6 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 28.2 % to ~ 41.65 % First has a ~ 7.04 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 31.53 % to ~ 44.61 % Polt has a ~ 6.93 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 33.83 % to ~ 43.32 % Jaedong has a ~ 5.35 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.42 % to ~ 30.12 % Scarlett has a ~ 4.93 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 26.27 % to ~ 36.18 % Snute has a ~ 4.79 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.24 % to ~ 23.66 % MajOr has a ~ 2.79 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 35.82 % to ~ 49.36 % Symbol has a ~ 0.73 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.59 % to ~ 13.03 % Revival has a ~ 0.57 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.58 % to ~ 8.66 % qxc has a ~ 0.55 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.29 % to ~ 9.07 % HuK has a ~ 0.22 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.38 % to ~ 14.2 % Seed has a ~ 0.17 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.7 % to ~ 3.16 % Harstem has a ~ 0.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.08 % to ~ 5.54 %
Zest won the #4 from Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup Soulkey won the #4 from Flash at Hot6ix Cup Flash won the #4 from Classic at Hot6ix Cup Life won the #1 from MMA at Blizzcon 2014 MMA won the #2 from Classic at Blizzcon 2014 Classic won the #4 from herO at Blizzcon 2014 TaeJa won the #3 from INnoVation at Blizzcon 2014
MarineKing (MVP), is at ~ 11.34 %, Min WCS Points: 375
Nerchio (Acer), is at ~ 10.94 %, Min WCS Points: 0
Trust (CJ Entus), is at ~ 10.64 %, Min WCS Points: 0
Biggest Winners and Losers since about 16 hours ago. (Sim #1098) This includes IEM San Jose Stage 1. Biggest Winners GuMiho went up by ~ 3.02 %, going from ~ 32.69 % to ~ 35.71 % sOs went up by ~ 2.51 %, going from ~ 41.66 % to ~ 44.17 % Super went up by ~ 2.16 %, going from ~ 9.53 % to ~ 11.69 % sKyHigh went up by ~ 1.5 %, going from ~ 5.91 % to ~ 7.41 % TRUE went up by ~ 1.42 %, going from ~ 7.79 % to ~ 9.21 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
HuK went up by ~ 1.25 %, going from ~ 6.38 % to ~ 7.63 % Symbol went up by ~ 1.02 %, going from ~ 4.59 % to ~ 5.61 % Lilbow went up by ~ 0.96 %, going from ~ 13.22 % to ~ 14.18 % Rain went up by ~ 0.62 %, going from ~ 49.44 % to ~ 50.06 % Nerchio went up by ~ 0.55 %, going from ~ 10.39 % to ~ 10.94 % Revival went up by ~ 0.55 %, going from ~ 2.57 % to ~ 3.12 % First went up by ~ 0.53 %, going from ~ 31.53 % to ~ 32.06 % Bly went up by ~ 0.3 %, going from ~ 2.47 % to ~ 2.78 % Bomber went up by ~ 0.21 %, going from ~ 28.22 % to ~ 28.42 % MMA went up by ~ 0.19 %, going from ~ 29.17 % to ~ 29.37 % TaeJa went up by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 45.01 % to ~ 45.19 % Polt went up by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 33.83 % to ~ 34.01 % Maru went up by ~ 0.14 %, going from ~ 19.74 % to ~ 19.88 % Flash went up by ~ 0.13 %, going from ~ 30.05 % to ~ 30.18 % Life went up by ~ 0.1 %, going from ~ 34.17 % to ~ 34.28 %
Biggest Losers MajOr went down by ~ 4.34 %, going from ~ 35.81 % to ~ 31.47 % Scarlett went down by ~ 3.85 %, going from ~ 26.27 % to ~ 22.42 % INnoVation went down by ~ 1.96 %, going from ~ 42.78 % to ~ 40.82 % HyuN went down by ~ 1.94 %, going from ~ 30.4 % to ~ 28.46 % Bbyong went down by ~ 1.43 %, going from ~ 23.49 % to ~ 22.06 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
viOLet went down by ~ 1.42 %, going from ~ 18.39 % to ~ 16.97 % Hydra went down by ~ 0.75 %, going from ~ 8.24 % to ~ 7.49 % herO went down by ~ 0.49 %, going from ~ 49.21 % to ~ 48.72 % ShoWTimE went down by ~ 0.49 %, going from ~ 5.81 % to ~ 5.32 % ForGG went down by ~ 0.4 %, going from ~ 34.87 % to ~ 34.46 % TargA went down by ~ 0.32 %, going from ~ 8.43 % to ~ 8.11 % eMotion went down by ~ 0.21 %, going from ~ 2.69 % to ~ 2.49 % Complain went down by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 0.21 % to ~ 0.04 % Jaedong went down by ~ 0.13 %, going from ~ 17.4 % to ~ 17.28 %
IEM San Jose - Rain is at ~ 50.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 69.28 % of the time Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 52.29 %. ~ 30.72 % of the time Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 45.01 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Snute is at ~ 15.28 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 53.79 % of the time Snute wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 17.31 %. ~ 46.21 % of the time Snute loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 12.92 %. ------------------------------------------------- - TRUE is at ~ 9.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 43.75 % of the time TRUE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 10.81 %. ~ 56.25 % of the time TRUE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 7.97 %. ------------------------------------------------- - HuK is at ~ 7.63 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 33.19 % of the time HuK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 8.88 %. ~ 66.81 % of the time HuK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 7.01 %.
IEM San Jose - First is at ~ 32.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 58.42 % of the time First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 34.7 %. ~ 41.58 % of the time First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 28.35 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Polt is at ~ 34.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 57.47 % of the time Polt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 36.01 %. ~ 42.53 % of the time Polt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 31.29 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Jaedong is at ~ 17.28 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 50.42 % of the time Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 20.62 %. ~ 49.58 % of the time Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 13.87 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Revival is at ~ 3.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 33.68 % of the time Revival wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 3.97 %. ~ 66.32 % of the time Revival loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.69 %.
IEM San Jose - ForGG is at ~ 34.46 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 59.56 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 36.61 %. ~ 40.44 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 31.3 %. ------------------------------------------------- - HyuN is at ~ 28.46 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 52.75 % of the time HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 32.59 %. ~ 47.25 % of the time HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 23.85 %. ------------------------------------------------- - GuMiho is at ~ 35.71 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 50.78 % of the time GuMiho wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 39.08 %. ~ 49.22 % of the time GuMiho loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 32.22 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Symbol is at ~ 5.61 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 36.91 % of the time Symbol wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.89 %. ~ 63.09 % of the time Symbol loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 4.87 %.
IEM San Jose - Bomber is at ~ 28.42 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 64.11 % of the time Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 31.34 %. ~ 35.89 % of the time Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 23.21 %. ------------------------------------------------- - herO is at ~ 48.72 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 63.92 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 51.52 %. ~ 36.08 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 43.76 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Super is at ~ 11.69 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 47.44 % of the time Super wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 13.5 %. ~ 52.56 % of the time Super loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 10.05 %. ------------------------------------------------- - qxc is at ~ 4.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 24.52 % of the time qxc wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 5.06 %. ~ 75.48 % of the time qxc loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 4.05 %.
IEM San Jose Winning Chances Rain has a ~ 14.17 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.06 % to ~ 61.08 % ForGG has a ~ 12.72 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 34.46 % to ~ 43.11 % herO has a ~ 12.12 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 48.72 % to ~ 61.16 % First has a ~ 8.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 32.06 % to ~ 44.71 % GuMiho has a ~ 7.95 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 35.71 % to ~ 49.07 % Bomber has a ~ 7.86 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 28.42 % to ~ 41.57 % Polt has a ~ 7.6 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 34.01 % to ~ 43.27 % HyuN has a ~ 7.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 28.46 % to ~ 42.78 % Snute has a ~ 5.03 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.28 % to ~ 23.79 % Jaedong has a ~ 4.97 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.28 % to ~ 30.23 % Super has a ~ 3.54 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.69 % to ~ 21.58 % TRUE has a ~ 2.97 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.21 % to ~ 18.32 % Symbol has a ~ 2.12 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.61 % to ~ 12.66 % Revival has a ~ 1.4 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.12 % to ~ 8.55 % HuK has a ~ 1.28 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.63 % to ~ 14.05 % qxc has a ~ 0.53 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.3 % to ~ 9.16 %
Biggest Winners GuMiho went up by ~ 1.76 %, going from ~ 35.74 % to ~ 37.5 % herO went up by ~ 1.61 %, going from ~ 48.66 % to ~ 50.27 % Bomber went up by ~ 1.41 %, going from ~ 28.42 % to ~ 29.83 % Rain went up by ~ 1.33 %, going from ~ 50.06 % to ~ 51.39 % HeRoMaRinE went up by ~ 1.17 %, going from ~ 7.1 % to ~ 8.26 % Polt went up by ~ 1.14 %, going from ~ 34.01 % to ~ 35.14 % SuperNova went up by ~ 1.07 %, going from ~ 3.48 % to ~ 4.55 % TRUE went up by ~ 0.74 %, going from ~ 9.18 % to ~ 9.92 % MaNa went up by ~ 0.7 %, going from ~ 6.43 % to ~ 7.12 % MajOr went up by ~ 0.69 %, going from ~ 31.45 % to ~ 32.15 % Symbol went up by ~ 0.54 %, going from ~ 5.6 % to ~ 6.15 % GunGFuBanDa went up by ~ 0.44 %, going from ~ 1.94 % to ~ 2.38 % Oz went up by ~ 0.44 %, going from ~ 0.43 % to ~ 0.88 % Revival went up by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 3.12 % to ~ 3.48 % Center went up by ~ 0.29 %, going from ~ 5.22 % to ~ 5.5 % Socke went up by ~ 0.1 %, going from ~ 0.53 % to ~ 0.64 %
Biggest Losers HyuN went down by ~ 2.33 %, going from ~ 28.46 % to ~ 26.13 % First went down by ~ 1.78 %, going from ~ 32.09 % to ~ 30.3 % Jaedong went down by ~ 1.75 %, going from ~ 17.23 % to ~ 15.48 % ForGG went down by ~ 1.66 %, going from ~ 34.54 % to ~ 32.88 % Patience went down by ~ 1.51 %, going from ~ 9.1 % to ~ 7.59 % Snute went down by ~ 1.16 %, going from ~ 15.29 % to ~ 14.13 % Super went down by ~ 0.65 %, going from ~ 11.68 % to ~ 11.03 % TargA went down by ~ 0.58 %, going from ~ 8.09 % to ~ 7.51 % jjakji went down by ~ 0.54 %, going from ~ 19.55 % to ~ 19.01 % EnDerr went down by ~ 0.4 %, going from ~ 4.16 % to ~ 3.76 % HuK went down by ~ 0.28 %, going from ~ 7.63 % to ~ 7.34 % Happy went down by ~ 0.27 %, going from ~ 13.37 % to ~ 13.1 % TLO went down by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 3.14 % to ~ 2.96 % Armani went down by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 1.31 % to ~ 1.14 % GoOdy went down by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 0.65 % to ~ 0.49 % CranK went down by ~ 0.12 %, going from ~ 0.91 % to ~ 0.78 % qxc went down by ~ 0.12 %, going from ~ 4.28 % to ~ 4.16 %
IEM San Jose - Rain is at ~ 51.39 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 85.12 % of the time Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 52.51 %. ~ 14.88 % of the time Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 44.97 %. ------------------------------------------------- - TRUE is at ~ 9.92 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 68.27 % of the time TRUE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 10.85 %. ~ 31.73 % of the time TRUE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 7.92 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Snute is at ~ 14.13 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 29.38 % of the time Snute wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 17.27 %. ~ 70.62 % of the time Snute loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 12.82 %. ------------------------------------------------- - HuK is at ~ 7.34 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 17.24 % of the time HuK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 8.84 %. ~ 82.76 % of the time HuK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 7.03 %.
IEM San Jose - Polt is at ~ 35.14 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 82.24 % of the time Polt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.98 %. ~ 17.76 % of the time Polt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 31.24 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Revival is at ~ 3.48 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 62.18 % of the time Revival wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 3.95 %. ~ 37.82 % of the time Revival loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.71 %. ------------------------------------------------- - First is at ~ 30.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 30.47 % of the time First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 34.64 %. ~ 69.53 % of the time First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 28.4 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Jaedong is at ~ 15.48 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 25.12 % of the time Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 20.28 %. ~ 74.88 % of the time Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 13.88 %.
IEM San Jose - GuMiho is at ~ 37.5 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 77.65 % of the time GuMiho wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 38.95 %. ~ 22.35 % of the time GuMiho loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 32.47 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Symbol is at ~ 6.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 64.95 % of the time Symbol wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.84 %. ~ 35.05 % of the time Symbol loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 4.87 %. ------------------------------------------------- - ForGG is at ~ 32.88 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 29.55 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 36.44 %. ~ 70.45 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 31.39 %. ------------------------------------------------- - HyuN is at ~ 26.13 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 27.85 % of the time HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 32.2 %. ~ 72.15 % of the time HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 23.79 %.
IEM San Jose - herO is at ~ 50.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 82.8 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 51.65 %. ~ 17.2 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 43.66 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Bomber is at ~ 29.83 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 78.57 % of the time Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 31.64 %. ~ 21.43 % of the time Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 23.22 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Super is at ~ 11.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 27.1 % of the time Super wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 13.61 %. ~ 72.9 % of the time Super loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 10.07 %. ------------------------------------------------- - qxc is at ~ 4.16 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 11.53 % of the time qxc wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 5.2 %. ~ 88.47 % of the time qxc loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 4.03 %.
IEM San Jose Winning Chances Rain has a ~ 18.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 51.39 % to ~ 61.11 % herO has a ~ 16.5 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.27 % to ~ 61.24 % GuMiho has a ~ 11.72 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 37.5 % to ~ 49.2 % Polt has a ~ 10.87 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 35.14 % to ~ 43.21 % Bomber has a ~ 10.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 29.83 % to ~ 41.88 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
ForGG has a ~ 6.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 32.88 % to ~ 43.2 % TRUE has a ~ 4.66 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.92 % to ~ 18.28 % First has a ~ 4.3 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 30.3 % to ~ 44.85 % HyuN has a ~ 3.54 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 26.13 % to ~ 42.98 % Symbol has a ~ 3.52 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.15 % to ~ 12.74 % Snute has a ~ 2.64 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 14.13 % to ~ 23.75 % Revival has a ~ 2.46 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.48 % to ~ 8.37 % Jaedong has a ~ 2.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.48 % to ~ 30.23 % Super has a ~ 2.18 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.03 % to ~ 22.03 % HuK has a ~ 0.64 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.34 % to ~ 14.59 % qxc has a ~ 0.28 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.16 % to ~ 9.29 %
Starts in Zest, MarineKing in Hot6ix Cup Zest has the #4 headband, this is a match for the #4 headband! - Zest is at ~ 50.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 53.67 % of the time Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 54.24 %. ~ 46.33 % of the time Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 46.32 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MarineKing is at ~ 11.26 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 46.33 % of the time MarineKing wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 13.38 %. ~ 53.67 % of the time MarineKing loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 9.44 %.
Starts in sOs, sKyHigh in Hot6ix Cup - sOs is at ~ 43.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 66.05 % of the time sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 46.33 %. ~ 33.95 % of the time sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 39.43 %. ------------------------------------------------- - sKyHigh is at ~ 7.35 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 33.95 % of the time sKyHigh wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 9.28 %. ~ 66.05 % of the time sKyHigh loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 6.36 %.
Hot6ix Cup Winning Chances Zest has a ~ 34.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.57 % to ~ 56.87 % sOs has a ~ 31.73 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 43.99 % to ~ 50.18 % MarineKing has a ~ 21.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.26 % to ~ 16.08 % sKyHigh has a ~ 13.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.35 % to ~ 11.67 %
Starts in Zest, MarineKing in Hot6ix Cup - Zest is at ~ 50.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 53.67 % of the time Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 54.24 %. ~ 46.33 % of the time Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 46.32 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MarineKing is at ~ 11.26 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 46.33 % of the time MarineKing wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 13.38 %. ~ 53.67 % of the time MarineKing loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 9.44 %.
Starts in sOs, sKyHigh in Hot6ix Cup - sOs is at ~ 43.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 66.05 % of the time sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 46.33 %. ~ 33.95 % of the time sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 39.43 %. ------------------------------------------------- - sKyHigh is at ~ 7.35 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 33.95 % of the time sKyHigh wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 9.28 %. ~ 66.05 % of the time sKyHigh loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 6.36 %.
Hot6ix Cup Winning Chances Zest has a ~ 34.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.57 % to ~ 56.87 % sOs has a ~ 31.73 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 43.99 % to ~ 50.18 % MarineKing has a ~ 21.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.26 % to ~ 16.08 % sKyHigh has a ~ 13.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.35 % to ~ 11.67 %
Yes, fine, I will add it to the OP of the Hot6iX thread.
Starts in Zest, MarineKing in Hot6ix Cup - Zest is at ~ 50.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 53.67 % of the time Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 54.24 %. ~ 46.33 % of the time Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 46.32 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MarineKing is at ~ 11.26 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 46.33 % of the time MarineKing wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 13.38 %. ~ 53.67 % of the time MarineKing loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 9.44 %.
Starts in sOs, sKyHigh in Hot6ix Cup - sOs is at ~ 43.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 66.05 % of the time sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 46.33 %. ~ 33.95 % of the time sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 39.43 %. ------------------------------------------------- - sKyHigh is at ~ 7.35 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 33.95 % of the time sKyHigh wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 9.28 %. ~ 66.05 % of the time sKyHigh loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 6.36 %.
Hot6ix Cup Winning Chances Zest has a ~ 34.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.57 % to ~ 56.87 % sOs has a ~ 31.73 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 43.99 % to ~ 50.18 % MarineKing has a ~ 21.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.26 % to ~ 16.08 % sKyHigh has a ~ 13.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.35 % to ~ 11.67 %
Yes, fine, I will add it to the OP of the Hot6iX thread.
(not too sure on this start time, Tastosis said in about 20 minutes, Liquipedia says in about an hour) Starts in sOs, MarineKing in Hot6ix Cup - sOs is at ~ 47.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 60.2 % of the time sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 50.17 %. ~ 39.8 % of the time sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 42.81 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MarineKing is at ~ 13.1 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 39.8 % of the time MarineKing wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 15.89 %. ~ 60.2 % of the time MarineKing loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 11.25 %.
On December 07 2014 19:37 Circumstance wrote: Only up to 50%? I'd figure the weirdness of the early-year algorithm would have him up to at least 70% right now.
--------UPDATE Sunday, Dec 07 10:50am GMT (GMT+00:00) Hot6ix Cup Completed and IEM San Jose Quarterfinals Previews! (Sim #1110) Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 52.35 %, Min WCS Points: 375
MarineKing (MVP), is at ~ 11.2 %, Min WCS Points: 500
Nerchio (Acer), is at ~ 10.91 %, Min WCS Points: 0
Trust (CJ Entus), is at ~ 10.55 %, Min WCS Points: 0
Biggest Winners and Losers since about 5 hours ago. (Sim #1108) This includes the Hot6ix Cup semifinals and finals. Biggest Winners sOs went up by ~ 6.24 %, going from ~ 44.02 % to ~ 50.26 % Snute went up by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 16.71 % to ~ 16.82 %
Biggest Losers Zest went down by ~ 4.29 %, going from ~ 50.51 % to ~ 46.22 % sKyHigh went down by ~ 1.05 %, going from ~ 7.37 % to ~ 6.31 %
Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! TaeJa is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
sOs won the #4 from MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup MarineKing won the #4 from Zest at Hot6ix Cup Zest won the #4 from Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup Soulkey won the #4 from Flash at Hot6ix Cup Flash won the #4 from Classic at Hot6ix Cup Life won the #1 from MMA at Blizzcon 2014 MMA won the #2 from Classic at Blizzcon 2014 Classic won the #4 from herO at Blizzcon 2014 TaeJa won the #3 from INnoVation at Blizzcon 2014
IEM San Jose - herO is at ~ 52.35 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 59.58 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 55.38 %. ~ 40.42 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 47.88 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Snute is at ~ 16.82 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 40.42 % of the time Snute wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 18.55 %. ~ 59.58 % of the time Snute loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 15.64 %.
IEM San Jose - GuMiho is at ~ 45.4 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 62.26 % of the time GuMiho wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 48.02 %. ~ 37.74 % of the time GuMiho loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 41.07 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Jaedong is at ~ 20.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 37.74 % of the time Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 23.82 %. ~ 62.26 % of the time Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 18.78 %.
IEM San Jose - Rain is at ~ 52.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 51.55 % of the time Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 55.78 %. ~ 48.45 % of the time Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 48.23 %. ------------------------------------------------- - ForGG is at ~ 36.65 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 48.45 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 39.56 %. ~ 51.55 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 33.92 %.
IEM San Jose - Bomber is at ~ 33.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 65.69 % of the time Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.01 %. ~ 34.31 % of the time Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 29.2 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Revival is at ~ 4.29 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 34.31 % of the time Revival wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 5.32 %. ~ 65.69 % of the time Revival loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.75 %.
IEM San Jose Winning Chances herO has a ~ 18.52 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 52.35 % to ~ 61.94 % ForGG has a ~ 18.28 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 36.65 % to ~ 43.73 % Rain has a ~ 17.92 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 52.12 % to ~ 61.45 % GuMiho has a ~ 16.4 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 45.4 % to ~ 55.04 % Bomber has a ~ 13.02 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 33.01 % to ~ 42.88 % Jaedong has a ~ 6.87 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 20.68 % to ~ 31.19 % Snute has a ~ 6.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 16.82 % to ~ 23.49 % Revival has a ~ 2.93 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.29 % to ~ 9.17 %
Biggest Winners GuMiho went up by ~ 9.65 %, going from ~ 35.74 % to ~ 45.39 % sOs went up by ~ 6.07 %, going from ~ 44.21 % to ~ 50.28 % Bomber went up by ~ 4.58 %, going from ~ 28.42 % to ~ 33.01 % herO went up by ~ 3.67 %, going from ~ 48.66 % to ~ 52.33 % Jaedong went up by ~ 3.45 %, going from ~ 17.23 % to ~ 20.68 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
ForGG went up by ~ 2.09 %, going from ~ 34.54 % to ~ 36.63 % Rain went up by ~ 2.08 %, going from ~ 50.06 % to ~ 52.14 % Snute went up by ~ 1.48 %, going from ~ 15.29 % to ~ 16.76 % HeRoMaRinE went up by ~ 1.17 %, going from ~ 7.1 % to ~ 8.26 % Revival went up by ~ 1.16 %, going from ~ 3.12 % to ~ 4.28 % SuperNova went up by ~ 0.98 %, going from ~ 3.48 % to ~ 4.45 % Super went up by ~ 0.79 %, going from ~ 11.68 % to ~ 12.47 % MajOr went up by ~ 0.7 %, going from ~ 31.45 % to ~ 32.15 % MaNa went up by ~ 0.7 %, going from ~ 6.43 % to ~ 7.13 % MacSed went up by ~ 0.57 %, going from ~ 1.91 % to ~ 2.48 % Jim went up by ~ 0.56 %, going from ~ 13.07 % to ~ 13.63 % GunGFuBanDa went up by ~ 0.44 %, going from ~ 1.94 % to ~ 2.38 % Oz went up by ~ 0.43 %, going from ~ 0.43 % to ~ 0.86 % puCK went up by ~ 0.29 %, going from ~ 1.6 % to ~ 1.89 % phog went up by ~ 0.28 %, going from ~ 0.05 % to ~ 0.33 % Center went up by ~ 0.22 %, going from ~ 5.22 % to ~ 5.44 % Socke went up by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 0.53 % to ~ 0.65 %
Biggest Losers First went down by ~ 8.06 %, going from ~ 32.09 % to ~ 24.03 % HyuN went down by ~ 7.75 %, going from ~ 28.46 % to ~ 20.71 % Polt went down by ~ 4.66 %, going from ~ 34.01 % to ~ 29.34 % Zest went down by ~ 4.44 %, going from ~ 50.7 % to ~ 46.26 % Patience went down by ~ 1.55 %, going from ~ 9.1 % to ~ 7.55 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
sKyHigh went down by ~ 1.13 %, going from ~ 7.44 % to ~ 6.31 % TRUE went down by ~ 0.99 %, going from ~ 9.18 % to ~ 8.19 % HuK went down by ~ 0.97 %, going from ~ 7.63 % to ~ 6.66 % qxc went down by ~ 0.89 %, going from ~ 4.28 % to ~ 3.39 % CatZ went down by ~ 0.72 %, going from ~ 1.1 % to ~ 0.38 % TargA went down by ~ 0.62 %, going from ~ 8.09 % to ~ 7.47 % jjakji went down by ~ 0.61 %, going from ~ 19.55 % to ~ 18.94 % Symbol went down by ~ 0.43 %, going from ~ 5.6 % to ~ 5.17 % Zanster went down by ~ 0.43 %, going from ~ 1.47 % to ~ 1.04 % EnDerr went down by ~ 0.38 %, going from ~ 4.16 % to ~ 3.77 % Top went down by ~ 0.38 %, going from ~ 6.85 % to ~ 6.47 % Happy went down by ~ 0.33 %, going from ~ 13.37 % to ~ 13.04 % Intense went down by ~ 0.31 %, going from ~ 1.58 % to ~ 1.27 % TooDming went down by ~ 0.29 %, going from ~ 2.32 % to ~ 2.02 % INnoVation went down by ~ 0.23 %, going from ~ 40.81 % to ~ 40.58 % TaeJa went down by ~ 0.2 %, going from ~ 45.13 % to ~ 44.93 % Flash went down by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 30.16 % to ~ 29.98 % Soulkey went down by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 19.28 % to ~ 19.1 % Trap went down by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 10.2 % to ~ 10.02 % Bbyong went down by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 22.08 % to ~ 21.9 % TLO went down by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 3.14 % to ~ 2.96 % Life went down by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 34.28 % to ~ 34.1 % Solar went down by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 30.67 % to ~ 30.5 % Armani went down by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 1.31 % to ~ 1.13 % Dear went down by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 18.33 % to ~ 18.16 % GoOdy went down by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 0.65 % to ~ 0.48 % MaSa went down by ~ 0.14 %, going from ~ 13.54 % to ~ 13.4 % Seed went down by ~ 0.14 %, going from ~ 0.62 % to ~ 0.48 % CranK went down by ~ 0.13 %, going from ~ 0.91 % to ~ 0.77 % TY went down by ~ 0.13 %, going from ~ 19.96 % to ~ 19.83 % Hurricane went down by ~ 0.13 %, going from ~ 10.56 % to ~ 10.43 % Scarlett went down by ~ 0.13 %, going from ~ 22.42 % to ~ 22.29 % Cure went down by ~ 0.13 %, going from ~ 23.25 % to ~ 23.13 % PartinG went down by ~ 0.12 %, going from ~ 37.28 % to ~ 37.16 % MarineKing went down by ~ 0.12 %, going from ~ 11.34 % to ~ 11.22 % DongRaeGu went down by ~ 0.12 %, going from ~ 14.56 % to ~ 14.44 % Stats went down by ~ 0.12 %, going from ~ 25.57 % to ~ 25.45 % Classic went down by ~ 0.12 %, going from ~ 14.74 % to ~ 14.62 % San went down by ~ 0.12 %, going from ~ 21.52 % to ~ 21.41 % MMA went down by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 29.32 % to ~ 29.22 %
IEM San Jose - herO is at ~ 52.35 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 59.58 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 55.38 %. ~ 40.42 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 47.88 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Snute is at ~ 16.82 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 40.42 % of the time Snute wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 18.55 %. ~ 59.58 % of the time Snute loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 15.64 %.
IEM San Jose - GuMiho is at ~ 45.4 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 62.26 % of the time GuMiho wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 48.02 %. ~ 37.74 % of the time GuMiho loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 41.07 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Jaedong is at ~ 20.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 37.74 % of the time Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 23.82 %. ~ 62.26 % of the time Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 18.78 %.
IEM San Jose - Rain is at ~ 52.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 51.55 % of the time Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 55.78 %. ~ 48.45 % of the time Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 48.23 %. ------------------------------------------------- - ForGG is at ~ 36.65 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 48.45 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 39.56 %. ~ 51.55 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 33.92 %.
IEM San Jose - Bomber is at ~ 33.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 65.69 % of the time Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.01 %. ~ 34.31 % of the time Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 29.2 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Revival is at ~ 4.29 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 34.31 % of the time Revival wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 5.32 %. ~ 65.69 % of the time Revival loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.75 %.
IEM San Jose Winning Chances herO has a ~ 18.52 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 52.35 % to ~ 61.94 % ForGG has a ~ 18.28 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 36.65 % to ~ 43.73 % Rain has a ~ 17.92 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 52.12 % to ~ 61.45 % GuMiho has a ~ 16.4 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 45.4 % to ~ 55.04 % Bomber has a ~ 13.02 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 33.01 % to ~ 42.88 % Jaedong has a ~ 6.87 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 20.68 % to ~ 31.19 % Snute has a ~ 6.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 16.82 % to ~ 23.49 % Revival has a ~ 2.93 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.29 % to ~ 9.17 %
Biggest Winners sOs went up by ~ 10.39 %, going from ~ 44.21 % to ~ 54.6 % herO went up by ~ 7.99 %, going from ~ 48.66 % to ~ 56.66 % Bomber went up by ~ 6.3 %, going from ~ 28.42 % to ~ 34.73 % Jaedong went up by ~ 5.68 %, going from ~ 17.23 % to ~ 22.91 % Rain went up by ~ 5.32 %, going from ~ 50.06 % to ~ 55.38 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
GuMiho went up by ~ 5.05 %, going from ~ 35.74 % to ~ 40.79 % ForGG went up by ~ 1.97 %, going from ~ 34.54 % to ~ 36.51 % HeRoMaRinE went up by ~ 1.19 %, going from ~ 7.1 % to ~ 8.28 % Jim went up by ~ 1.09 %, going from ~ 13.07 % to ~ 14.16 % GunGFuBanDa went up by ~ 0.97 %, going from ~ 1.94 % to ~ 2.9 % MMA went up by ~ 0.93 %, going from ~ 29.32 % to ~ 30.26 % SuperNova went up by ~ 0.93 %, going from ~ 3.48 % to ~ 4.41 % Revival went up by ~ 0.66 %, going from ~ 3.12 % to ~ 3.77 % Bunny went up by ~ 0.65 %, going from ~ 12.14 % to ~ 12.79 % MaNa went up by ~ 0.62 %, going from ~ 6.43 % to ~ 7.05 %
Biggest Losers First went down by ~ 8.15 %, going from ~ 32.09 % to ~ 23.94 % HyuN went down by ~ 7.88 %, going from ~ 28.46 % to ~ 20.59 % Polt went down by ~ 4.84 %, going from ~ 34.01 % to ~ 29.16 % Zest went down by ~ 4.59 %, going from ~ 50.7 % to ~ 46.11 % MajOr went down by ~ 2.05 %, going from ~ 31.45 % to ~ 29.4 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
Happy went down by ~ 1.97 %, going from ~ 13.37 % to ~ 11.4 % Patience went down by ~ 1.63 %, going from ~ 9.1 % to ~ 7.47 % Symbol went down by ~ 1.25 %, going from ~ 5.6 % to ~ 4.35 % TRUE went down by ~ 1.08 %, going from ~ 9.18 % to ~ 8.1 % sKyHigh went down by ~ 1.08 %, going from ~ 7.44 % to ~ 6.36 % HuK went down by ~ 0.96 %, going from ~ 7.63 % to ~ 6.66 % jjakji went down by ~ 0.92 %, going from ~ 19.55 % to ~ 18.62 % qxc went down by ~ 0.88 %, going from ~ 4.28 % to ~ 3.4 % MarineKing went down by ~ 0.83 %, going from ~ 11.34 % to ~ 10.52 % TargA went down by ~ 0.64 %, going from ~ 8.09 % to ~ 7.45 %
IEM San Jose Semifinals Previews Starts in herO, Jaedong in IEM San Jose - herO is at ~ 56.66 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 67.44 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 58.97 %. ~ 32.56 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 51.88 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Jaedong is at ~ 22.91 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 32.56 % of the time Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 26.67 %. ~ 67.44 % of the time Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 21.09 %.
Starts in Rain, Bomber in IEM San Jose - Rain is at ~ 55.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 56.51 % of the time Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 58.56 %. ~ 43.49 % of the time Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 51.26 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Bomber is at ~ 34.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 43.49 % of the time Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 38.36 %. ~ 56.51 % of the time Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 31.93 %.
IEM San Jose Winning Chances herO has a ~ 34.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 56.66 % to ~ 62.62 % Rain has a ~ 33.35 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 55.38 % to ~ 61.41 % Bomber has a ~ 19.61 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 34.73 % to ~ 42.43 % Jaedong has a ~ 12.88 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 22.91 % to ~ 30.93 %
MarineKing (MVP), is at ~ 10.45 %, Min WCS Points: 500
Biggest Winners and Losers since before the IEM San Jose groups were played. (Sim #1103) Biggest Winners herO went up by ~ 13.9 %, going from ~ 48.66 % to ~ 62.56 % sOs went up by ~ 10.22 %, going from ~ 44.21 % to ~ 54.43 % GuMiho went up by ~ 5.13 %, going from ~ 35.74 % to ~ 40.87 % Rain went up by ~ 4.31 %, going from ~ 50.06 % to ~ 54.37 % Jaedong went up by ~ 3.93 %, going from ~ 17.23 % to ~ 21.16 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
Bomber went up by ~ 3.43 %, going from ~ 28.42 % to ~ 31.85 % ForGG went up by ~ 2.04 %, going from ~ 34.54 % to ~ 36.58 % HeRoMaRinE went up by ~ 1.12 %, going from ~ 7.1 % to ~ 8.21 % Jim went up by ~ 1.08 %, going from ~ 13.07 % to ~ 14.15 % SuperNova went up by ~ 0.98 %, going from ~ 3.48 % to ~ 4.45 % GunGFuBanDa went up by ~ 0.95 %, going from ~ 1.94 % to ~ 2.89 % MMA went up by ~ 0.84 %, going from ~ 29.32 % to ~ 30.16 % Bunny went up by ~ 0.72 %, going from ~ 12.14 % to ~ 12.86 % MaNa went up by ~ 0.69 %, going from ~ 6.43 % to ~ 7.12 % Revival went up by ~ 0.64 %, going from ~ 3.12 % to ~ 3.76 %
Biggest Losers First went down by ~ 8.18 %, going from ~ 32.09 % to ~ 23.9 % HyuN went down by ~ 7.81 %, going from ~ 28.46 % to ~ 20.65 % Polt went down by ~ 4.87 %, going from ~ 34.01 % to ~ 29.14 % Zest went down by ~ 4.65 %, going from ~ 50.7 % to ~ 46.04 % MajOr went down by ~ 2.04 %, going from ~ 31.45 % to ~ 29.41 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
Happy went down by ~ 1.97 %, going from ~ 13.37 % to ~ 11.39 % Patience went down by ~ 1.66 %, going from ~ 9.1 % to ~ 7.44 % Symbol went down by ~ 1.26 %, going from ~ 5.6 % to ~ 4.34 % TRUE went down by ~ 1.11 %, going from ~ 9.18 % to ~ 8.08 % sKyHigh went down by ~ 1.03 %, going from ~ 7.44 % to ~ 6.41 % HuK went down by ~ 0.92 %, going from ~ 7.63 % to ~ 6.71 % MarineKing went down by ~ 0.89 %, going from ~ 11.34 % to ~ 10.45 % qxc went down by ~ 0.89 %, going from ~ 4.28 % to ~ 3.39 % jjakji went down by ~ 0.86 %, going from ~ 19.55 % to ~ 18.69 % TargA went down by ~ 0.61 %, going from ~ 8.09 % to ~ 7.48 %
Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! TaeJa is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
sOs won the #4 from MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup MarineKing won the #4 from Zest at Hot6ix Cup Zest won the #4 from Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup Soulkey won the #4 from Flash at Hot6ix Cup Flash won the #4 from Classic at Hot6ix Cup Life won the #1 from MMA at Blizzcon 2014 MMA won the #2 from Classic at Blizzcon 2014 Classic won the #4 from herO at Blizzcon 2014 TaeJa won the #3 from INnoVation at Blizzcon 2014
Make sure to look forward to the SPOTV Starleague in about 10 days!
--------UPDATE Tuesday, Dec 09 6:30am GMT (GMT+00:00) Hydra to NA, StarDust to KR! (Sim #1115) Currently the players playing in different regions are NA - Polt, violet, Hydra EU - ForGG Please let me know if there are any other players playing in different regions.
Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 63.74 %, Min WCS Points: 875
sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 54.45 %, Min WCS Points: 750
MarineKing (MVP), is at ~ 10.58 %, Min WCS Points: 500
Trust (CJ Entus), is at ~ 10.54 %, Min WCS Points: 0
Biggest Winners and Losers since before the region changes for Hydra and Stardust. (Sim #1114) Stardust went up slightly, which probably means that I need to make the simulated EU qualifiers a little bigger due the EU having so many players, I will try this tomorrow. However it should also be noted that EU doesn't really get that many premier league slots relative to how many good players they have, so that is also a large factor. Biggest Winners Hydra went up by ~ 6.68 %, going from ~ 7.34 % to ~ 14.02 % StarDust went up by ~ 0.28 %, going from ~ 11.4 % to ~ 11.67 %
Biggest Losers Polt went down by ~ 0.72 %, going from ~ 29.2 % to ~ 28.48 % Scarlett went down by ~ 0.54 %, going from ~ 22.22 % to ~ 21.69 % MaSa went down by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 13.33 % to ~ 12.97 % MajOr went down by ~ 0.35 %, going from ~ 29.44 % to ~ 29.1 % viOLet went down by ~ 0.34 %, going from ~ 16.87 % to ~ 16.53 % herO went down by ~ 0.22 %, going from ~ 63.95 % to ~ 63.74 % Cure went down by ~ 0.21 %, going from ~ 22.99 % to ~ 22.79 % Dear went down by ~ 0.2 %, going from ~ 18.1 % to ~ 17.9 % MC went down by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 7.77 % to ~ 7.6 % sOs went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 54.61 % to ~ 54.45 % HuK went down by ~ 0.14 %, going from ~ 6.67 % to ~ 6.52 % Kane went down by ~ 0.14 %, going from ~ 3.94 % to ~ 3.8 % YoDa went down by ~ 0.14 %, going from ~ 25.44 % to ~ 25.3 % San went down by ~ 0.13 %, going from ~ 21.39 % to ~ 21.26 % INnoVation went down by ~ 0.13 %, going from ~ 40.42 % to ~ 40.29 % Jaedong went down by ~ 0.13 %, going from ~ 21.83 % to ~ 21.7 % Jim went down by ~ 0.12 %, going from ~ 14.18 % to ~ 14.06 % PartinG went down by ~ 0.12 %, going from ~ 37.03 % to ~ 36.91 % HyuN went down by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 20.54 % to ~ 20.42 % qxc went down by ~ 0.1 %, going from ~ 3.35 % to ~ 3.25 % Sacsri went down by ~ 0.1 %, going from ~ 18.75 % to ~ 18.65 %
StarDust has a ~ 26.51 % chance to win GSL Code A Season 1. ---This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.67 % to ~ 24.5 % StarDust has a ~ 0.96 % chance to win GSL Code S Season 1. ---This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.67 % to ~ 93.97 %
Hydra has a ~ 17.48 % chance to win WCS Challenger Season 1. ---This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 14.02 % to ~ 45.4 % Hydra has a ~ 3.2 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1. ---This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 14.02 % to ~ 92.56 %
Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! TaeJa is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
sOs won the #4 from MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup MarineKing won the #4 from Zest at Hot6ix Cup Zest won the #4 from Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup Soulkey won the #4 from Flash at Hot6ix Cup Flash won the #4 from Classic at Hot6ix Cup Life won the #1 from MMA at Blizzcon 2014 MMA won the #2 from Classic at Blizzcon 2014 Classic won the #4 from herO at Blizzcon 2014 TaeJa won the #3 from INnoVation at Blizzcon 2014
Make sure to look forward to the SPOTV Starleague in about 9 days!
Seeing this thread finally reminded me to read that Aligulac paper on their ranking methods. Cool stuff. Do you tweak the Aligulac data at all before simulating? Quick question though - median WCS points seem a bit low so far. Is that because of the random pooling (i.e. it's not counting Hyun going to every single tournament because of the random weighting)?
A bit odd to see Major that high as well - sure he might get a relatively easy path into WCS, but it's not like that was his problem last year.
On December 09 2014 18:29 Circumstance wrote: Blizzard secures visas because it's good for their sport. But I see no wiggle room in their rules to make him eligible for WCS.
"Examples of acceptable identification Professional athlete visa Work visa Student visa Examples of non-acceptable identification Expired visa Working holiday visa General tourist/visitor visa"
I'm guessing that Hydra got an acceptable type of visa. Not sure, though.
On December 09 2014 18:29 Circumstance wrote: Blizzard secures visas because it's good for their sport. But I see no wiggle room in their rules to make him eligible for WCS.
Well ROOT probably got him an eligible visa just like Violet or Polt have.
On December 09 2014 16:00 thecrazymunchkin wrote: Seeing this thread finally reminded me to read that Aligulac paper on their ranking methods. Cool stuff. Do you tweak the Aligulac data at all before simulating? Quick question though - median WCS points seem a bit low so far. Is that because of the random pooling (i.e. it's not counting Hyun going to every single tournament because of the random weighting)?
A bit odd to see Major that high as well - sure he might get a relatively easy path into WCS, but it's not like that was his problem last year.
I don't tweak the aligulac ratings, but when I compare them I go more conservative so my predicted winrates are a little closer to 50%. Yea the low median WCS Points is mostly because placeholders and random player selections. Major is so high because he's basically guaranteed a spot in premier every season, he has a much better chance of making premier than Polt does.
On December 09 2014 16:00 thecrazymunchkin wrote: Seeing this thread finally reminded me to read that Aligulac paper on their ranking methods. Cool stuff. Do you tweak the Aligulac data at all before simulating? Quick question though - median WCS points seem a bit low so far. Is that because of the random pooling (i.e. it's not counting Hyun going to every single tournament because of the random weighting)?
A bit odd to see Major that high as well - sure he might get a relatively easy path into WCS, but it's not like that was his problem last year.
I don't tweak the aligulac ratings, but when I compare them I go more conservative so my predicted winrates are a little closer to 50%. Yea the low median WCS Points is mostly because placeholders and random player selections. Major is so high because he's basically guaranteed a spot in premier every season, he has a much better chance of making premier than Polt does.
Yeah - I was more questioning Major than the stats there to be honest. And on the other hand, let's face it - if you're worried about not qualifying for premier then chances are Blizzcon's probably a bit out of your grasp.
I was looking at the thread for last year, but I couldn't find any archived simulations (only links to the site). Did you save any to see how accurate your predictions were? I saw that pretty much within a couple of months you'd said San and herO were pretty nailed on.
On December 09 2014 16:00 thecrazymunchkin wrote: Seeing this thread finally reminded me to read that Aligulac paper on their ranking methods. Cool stuff. Do you tweak the Aligulac data at all before simulating? Quick question though - median WCS points seem a bit low so far. Is that because of the random pooling (i.e. it's not counting Hyun going to every single tournament because of the random weighting)?
A bit odd to see Major that high as well - sure he might get a relatively easy path into WCS, but it's not like that was his problem last year.
I don't tweak the aligulac ratings, but when I compare them I go more conservative so my predicted winrates are a little closer to 50%. Yea the low median WCS Points is mostly because placeholders and random player selections. Major is so high because he's basically guaranteed a spot in premier every season, he has a much better chance of making premier than Polt does.
Yeah - I was more questioning Major than the stats there to be honest. And on the other hand, let's face it - if you're worried about not qualifying for premier then chances are Blizzcon's probably a bit out of your grasp.
I was looking at the thread for last year, but I couldn't find any archived simulations (only links to the site). Did you save any to see how accurate your predictions were? I saw that pretty much within a couple of months you'd said San and herO were pretty nailed on.
This thread from 2014 has pretty much everything archived in it http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/436957-wcs-predictor-2014 however back then I didn't start with simulating the whole year, and I didn't think of the placeholder tournaments until later in the year, you should really read some of those retrospectives
as an example, I looked through the OP, found where I added the placeholder tournaments, here was the top 25 from that update on april 15th #1 MC is at ~ 100.00 %, Min WCS Points: 3125 #2 ROCCAT HyuN is at ~ 100.00 %, Min WCS Points: 2625 #3 Yoe San is at ~ 99.97 %, Min WCS Points: 2125 #4 KT Zest is at ~ 98.10 %, Min WCS Points: 2250 #5 CJ Entus herO is at ~ 97.21 %, Min WCS Points: 2200 #6 Jinair sOs is at ~ 95.61 %, Min WCS Points: 2150 #7 CM Storm Polt is at ~ 91.36 %, Min WCS Points: 1950 #8 mYinsanity jjakji is at ~ 89.12 %, Min WCS Points: 1925 #9 mYinsanity StarDust is at ~ 56.07 %, Min WCS Points: 1400 #10 StarTale Life is at ~ 53.69 %, Min WCS Points: 1550 #11 Acer MMA is at ~ 53.33 %, Min WCS Points: 1250 #12 Liquid TaeJa is at ~ 53.26 %, Min WCS Points: 1325 #13 Liquid HerO is at ~ 43.49 %, Min WCS Points: 1325 #14 SKT T1 Rain is at ~ 41.23 %, Min WCS Points: 1275 #15 Planetkey Oz is at ~ 40.31 %, Min WCS Points: 1500 #16 EG Jaedong is at ~ 26.07 %, Min WCS Points: 775 #17 Bomber is at ~ 24.71 %, Min WCS Points: 900 #18 Millenium ForGG is at ~ 24.11 %, Min WCS Points: 650 #19 Axiom Alicia is at ~ 23.10 %, Min WCS Points: 1025 #20 CM Storm Revival is at ~ 22.64 %, Min WCS Points: 1150 #21 SKT T1 PartinG is at ~ 22.32 %, Min WCS Points: 725 #22 mouz VortiX is at ~ 21.20 %, Min WCS Points: 650 #23 SKT T1 soO is at ~ 19.40 %, Min WCS Points: 1250 #24 Liquid Snute is at ~ 19.34 %, Min WCS Points: 775 #25 Acer INnoVation is at ~ 16.71 %, Min WCS Points: 450
12 of the Blizzcon players were already in that most likely top 16, not bad lol, 15 in that top 25
--------UPDATE Wednesday, Dec 10 4:55am GMT (GMT+00:00) SPOTV StarLeague Format and Seeds! (Sim #1123) Adjusted for the recently announced StarLeague format. Also added the seeds for Life, Scarlett, and Jim. I also made the WCS EU/AM, GSL, and StarLeague qualifiers favor higher rated players a little more. Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 64.8 %, Min WCS Points: 875
Nerchio (Acer), is at ~ 10.52 %, Min WCS Points: 0
Biggest Winners and Losers since before the StarLeague changes. (Sim #1115) Biggest Winners Life went up by ~ 19.51 %, going from ~ 33.78 % to ~ 53.29 % Scarlett went up by ~ 10.05 %, going from ~ 21.7 % to ~ 31.75 % ForGG went up by ~ 7.45 %, going from ~ 35.52 % to ~ 42.96 % Jim went up by ~ 4.44 %, going from ~ 14.08 % to ~ 18.52 % TaeJa went up by ~ 2.53 %, going from ~ 44.79 % to ~ 47.32 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
Lilbow went up by ~ 2.1 %, going from ~ 15.65 % to ~ 17.75 % VortiX went up by ~ 2.02 %, going from ~ 15.19 % to ~ 17.21 % Rain went up by ~ 1.72 %, going from ~ 54.18 % to ~ 55.9 % Snute went up by ~ 1.59 %, going from ~ 15.48 % to ~ 17.07 % INnoVation went up by ~ 1.51 %, going from ~ 40.31 % to ~ 41.81 % Zest went up by ~ 1.42 %, going from ~ 46.32 % to ~ 47.74 % Bunny went up by ~ 1.08 %, going from ~ 11.47 % to ~ 12.55 % GuMiho went up by ~ 1.07 %, going from ~ 36.57 % to ~ 37.64 % herO went up by ~ 1.06 %, going from ~ 63.74 % to ~ 64.8 % Flash went up by ~ 1.05 %, going from ~ 29.71 % to ~ 30.77 % Solar went up by ~ 1.04 %, going from ~ 30.31 % to ~ 31.35 % Happy went up by ~ 1.02 %, going from ~ 11.18 % to ~ 12.21 % MMA went up by ~ 0.99 %, going from ~ 28.76 % to ~ 29.75 % PartinG went up by ~ 0.98 %, going from ~ 36.92 % to ~ 37.9 % sOs went up by ~ 0.77 %, going from ~ 54.51 % to ~ 55.28 % Ourk went up by ~ 0.74 %, going from ~ 9.85 % to ~ 10.59 % Nerchio went up by ~ 0.72 %, going from ~ 9.8 % to ~ 10.52 % YoDa went up by ~ 0.65 %, going from ~ 25.31 % to ~ 25.96 % Bomber went up by ~ 0.46 %, going from ~ 33.16 % to ~ 33.62 % HeRoMaRinE went up by ~ 0.43 %, going from ~ 8.21 % to ~ 8.64 % Cure went up by ~ 0.35 %, going from ~ 22.81 % to ~ 23.16 % Stats went up by ~ 0.24 %, going from ~ 25.44 % to ~ 25.68 % MaNa went up by ~ 0.24 %, going from ~ 7.12 % to ~ 7.36 % TargA went up by ~ 0.2 %, going from ~ 6.85 % to ~ 7.05 % ShoWTimE went up by ~ 0.14 %, going from ~ 6.13 % to ~ 6.27 % San went up by ~ 0.12 %, going from ~ 21.22 % to ~ 21.34 %
Biggest Losers MajOr went down by ~ 3.11 %, going from ~ 29.13 % to ~ 26.02 % Hydra went down by ~ 1.81 %, going from ~ 14.06 % to ~ 12.25 % MaSa went down by ~ 1.78 %, going from ~ 12.97 % to ~ 11.19 % viOLet went down by ~ 1.75 %, going from ~ 16.51 % to ~ 14.75 % Top went down by ~ 1.44 %, going from ~ 6.46 % to ~ 5.02 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
HuK went down by ~ 1.31 %, going from ~ 6.54 % to ~ 5.22 % Polt went down by ~ 1.16 %, going from ~ 28.49 % to ~ 27.33 % XiGua went down by ~ 1.12 %, going from ~ 4.19 % to ~ 3.08 % MarineKing went down by ~ 1.06 %, going from ~ 10.55 % to ~ 9.48 % Kane went down by ~ 0.95 %, going from ~ 3.81 % to ~ 2.85 % iAsonu went down by ~ 0.93 %, going from ~ 2.94 % to ~ 2.01 % XY went down by ~ 0.92 %, going from ~ 2.91 % to ~ 1.99 % qxc went down by ~ 0.85 %, going from ~ 3.25 % to ~ 2.4 % sKyHigh went down by ~ 0.79 %, going from ~ 6.32 % to ~ 5.53 % MacSed went down by ~ 0.72 %, going from ~ 2.36 % to ~ 1.63 % TRUE went down by ~ 0.7 %, going from ~ 8.08 % to ~ 7.37 % Super went down by ~ 0.7 %, going from ~ 12.05 % to ~ 11.35 % ByuL went down by ~ 0.69 %, going from ~ 8.41 % to ~ 7.72 % Trap went down by ~ 0.67 %, going from ~ 10.03 % to ~ 9.36 % Patience went down by ~ 0.67 %, going from ~ 7.45 % to ~ 6.78 % TooDming went down by ~ 0.67 %, going from ~ 1.99 % to ~ 1.32 % Pet went down by ~ 0.64 %, going from ~ 6.04 % to ~ 5.4 % Impact went down by ~ 0.63 %, going from ~ 5.49 % to ~ 4.86 % Trust went down by ~ 0.63 %, going from ~ 10.51 % to ~ 9.88 % Dark went down by ~ 0.63 %, going from ~ 6.71 % to ~ 6.08 % Hurricane went down by ~ 0.62 %, going from ~ 10.39 % to ~ 9.77 % Leenock went down by ~ 0.62 %, going from ~ 8.88 % to ~ 8.26 % MC went down by ~ 0.62 %, going from ~ 7.63 % to ~ 7.01 % Pigbaby went down by ~ 0.62 %, going from ~ 4.82 % to ~ 4.21 % Mvp went down by ~ 0.61 %, going from ~ 6.69 % to ~ 6.08 % Reality went down by ~ 0.6 %, going from ~ 5.08 % to ~ 4.49 % Center went down by ~ 0.59 %, going from ~ 5.4 % to ~ 4.81 % Journey went down by ~ 0.59 %, going from ~ 5.1 % to ~ 4.52 % Revival went down by ~ 0.58 %, going from ~ 3.45 % to ~ 2.87 % StarDust went down by ~ 0.58 %, going from ~ 11.67 % to ~ 11.09 % puCK went down by ~ 0.58 %, going from ~ 1.85 % to ~ 1.27 % Symbol went down by ~ 0.58 %, going from ~ 4.32 % to ~ 3.75 % SuperNova went down by ~ 0.57 %, going from ~ 4.45 % to ~ 3.87 % Losira went down by ~ 0.56 %, going from ~ 11.19 % to ~ 10.63 % Sora went down by ~ 0.56 %, going from ~ 12.84 % to ~ 12.28 % Golden went down by ~ 0.55 %, going from ~ 4.17 % to ~ 3.61 % MyuNgSiK went down by ~ 0.55 %, going from ~ 5.59 % to ~ 5.04 % Creator went down by ~ 0.53 %, going from ~ 3.24 % to ~ 2.71 % Sorry went down by ~ 0.52 %, going from ~ 3.55 % to ~ 3.02 % Heart went down by ~ 0.52 %, going from ~ 4.13 % to ~ 3.61 % Rogue went down by ~ 0.52 %, going from ~ 12.61 % to ~ 12.09 % HerO went down by ~ 0.51 %, going from ~ 3.8 % to ~ 3.29 % Avenge went down by ~ 0.5 %, going from ~ 3.53 % to ~ 3.03 % KingKong went down by ~ 0.5 %, going from ~ 10.23 % to ~ 9.73 % hendralisk went down by ~ 0.49 %, going from ~ 1.53 % to ~ 1.04 %
StarLeague Qualifiers Season 1 Winning Chances ForGG has a ~ 26.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 42.96 % to ~ 61.88 % TaeJa has a ~ 26.02 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 47.32 % to ~ 65.55 % Rain has a ~ 25.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 55.9 % to ~ 72.3 % herO has a ~ 25.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 64.8 % to ~ 79.11 % Zest has a ~ 24.52 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 47.74 % to ~ 65.29 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
INnoVation has a ~ 24.18 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 41.81 % to ~ 60.24 % sOs has a ~ 23.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 55.28 % to ~ 71.39 % GuMiho has a ~ 23.45 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 37.64 % to ~ 56.12 % PartinG has a ~ 23.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 37.9 % to ~ 55.82 % Solar has a ~ 23.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 31.35 % to ~ 49.12 % Flash has a ~ 23.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 30.77 % to ~ 48.82 % MMA has a ~ 22.89 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 29.75 % to ~ 47.56 % YoDa has a ~ 22.3 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 25.96 % to ~ 43.52 % Bomber has a ~ 22.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 33.62 % to ~ 51.41 % Cure has a ~ 21.87 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 23.16 % to ~ 40.25 % Stats has a ~ 21.45 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 25.68 % to ~ 42.32 % San has a ~ 21.17 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.34 % to ~ 37.48 % First has a ~ 21.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 24.08 % to ~ 40.17 % Polt has a ~ 20.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 27.33 % to ~ 41.32 % HyuN has a ~ 20.88 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 20.5 % to ~ 36.47 % Maru has a ~ 20.79 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 19.59 % to ~ 35.21 % jjakji has a ~ 20.65 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 18.68 % to ~ 33.89 % soO has a ~ 20.51 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 18.96 % to ~ 34.4 % Dear has a ~ 20.36 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.75 % to ~ 32.17 % Lilbow has a ~ 20.29 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.75 % to ~ 30.45 % Sacsri has a ~ 20.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 18.58 % to ~ 33.57 % TY has a ~ 20.22 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 19.46 % to ~ 34.9 % Bbyong has a ~ 20.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.5 % to ~ 37.35 % VortiX has a ~ 19.87 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.21 % to ~ 29.65 % Jaedong has a ~ 19.62 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.26 % to ~ 37.12 % Soulkey has a ~ 19.35 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 18.34 % to ~ 33.1 % Classic has a ~ 19.22 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 14.1 % to ~ 26.84 % DongRaeGu has a ~ 19.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.75 % to ~ 26.5 % Snute has a ~ 18.83 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.07 % to ~ 28.98 % Rogue has a ~ 18.57 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.09 % to ~ 24.19 % Sora has a ~ 18.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.28 % to ~ 24.04 % StarDust has a ~ 18.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.09 % to ~ 22.43 % Losira has a ~ 18.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.63 % to ~ 22.09 % KingKong has a ~ 18.04 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.73 % to ~ 20.76 % Bunny has a ~ 18.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.55 % to ~ 21.89 % Hurricane has a ~ 17.82 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.77 % to ~ 20.31 % Happy has a ~ 17.8 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.21 % to ~ 21.5 % Trust has a ~ 17.78 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.88 % to ~ 20.47 % Super has a ~ 17.77 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.35 % to ~ 22.62 % Trap has a ~ 17.76 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.36 % to ~ 19.6 % MajOr has a ~ 17.66 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 26.02 % to ~ 36.43 % viOLet has a ~ 17.64 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 14.75 % to ~ 24.23 % Ourk has a ~ 17.18 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.59 % to ~ 18.93 % Leenock has a ~ 17.18 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.26 % to ~ 18.05 % Nerchio has a ~ 17.11 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.52 % to ~ 18.8 % ByuL has a ~ 16.9 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.72 % to ~ 16.9 %
Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! TaeJa is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
sOs won the #4 from MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup MarineKing won the #4 from Zest at Hot6ix Cup Zest won the #4 from Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup Soulkey won the #4 from Flash at Hot6ix Cup Flash won the #4 from Classic at Hot6ix Cup Life won the #1 from MMA at Blizzcon 2014 MMA won the #2 from Classic at Blizzcon 2014 Classic won the #4 from herO at Blizzcon 2014 TaeJa won the #3 from INnoVation at Blizzcon 2014
Biggest Winners and Losers from the SSL Qualifiers. (Sim #1123) Biggest Winners PartinG went up by ~ 17.56 %, going from ~ 37.89 % to ~ 55.45 % GuMiho went up by ~ 15.69 %, going from ~ 37.67 % to ~ 53.37 % TaeJa went up by ~ 15.27 %, going from ~ 47.33 % to ~ 62.6 % Maru went up by ~ 13.97 %, going from ~ 19.59 % to ~ 33.57 % Dear went up by ~ 13.7 %, going from ~ 17.73 % to ~ 31.43 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
Solar went up by ~ 12.67 %, going from ~ 31.37 % to ~ 44.04 % TY went up by ~ 12.11 %, going from ~ 19.47 % to ~ 31.58 % INnoVation went up by ~ 11.19 %, going from ~ 41.78 % to ~ 52.96 % Bbyong went up by ~ 11.1 %, going from ~ 21.52 % to ~ 32.61 % Flash went up by ~ 10.42 %, going from ~ 30.7 % to ~ 41.13 % herO went up by ~ 9.81 %, going from ~ 64.74 % to ~ 74.55 % Rogue went up by ~ 9.5 %, going from ~ 12.07 % to ~ 21.57 % Cure went up by ~ 9.14 %, going from ~ 23.21 % to ~ 32.35 % Stats went up by ~ 8.76 %, going from ~ 25.63 % to ~ 34.4 % Super went up by ~ 7.89 %, going from ~ 11.37 % to ~ 19.26 % Leenock went up by ~ 7.75 %, going from ~ 8.25 % to ~ 15.99 % San went up by ~ 7.58 %, going from ~ 21.34 % to ~ 28.92 % Classic went up by ~ 7.27 %, going from ~ 14.07 % to ~ 21.34 % Dark went up by ~ 7.23 %, going from ~ 6.06 % to ~ 13.29 % ByuL went up by ~ 7.19 %, going from ~ 7.76 % to ~ 14.95 % MyuNgSiK went up by ~ 6.58 %, going from ~ 5.01 % to ~ 11.59 % Soulkey went up by ~ 6.19 %, going from ~ 18.29 % to ~ 24.48 % MarineKing went up by ~ 4.85 %, going from ~ 9.51 % to ~ 14.36 % Patience went up by ~ 4.76 %, going from ~ 6.82 % to ~ 11.58 % FanTaSy went up by ~ 4.09 %, going from ~ 1.47 % to ~ 5.56 % Dream went up by ~ 4.08 %, going from ~ 1.7 % to ~ 5.77 % Terminator went up by ~ 3.09 %, going from ~ 0.69 % to ~ 3.78 % sKyHigh went up by ~ 2.54 %, going from ~ 5.52 % to ~ 8.06 % YongHwa went up by ~ 2.37 %, going from ~ 2.37 % to ~ 4.74 % roof went up by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.17 % BrAvO went up by ~ 0.1 %, going from ~ 0.05 % to ~ 0.15 %
Biggest Losers Zest went down by ~ 11.4 %, going from ~ 47.72 % to ~ 36.32 % sOs went down by ~ 10.44 %, going from ~ 55.3 % to ~ 44.86 % YoDa went down by ~ 9.89 %, going from ~ 25.96 % to ~ 16.07 % Bomber went down by ~ 9.07 %, going from ~ 33.6 % to ~ 24.53 % Rain went down by ~ 8.72 %, going from ~ 55.95 % to ~ 47.23 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
First went down by ~ 8.71 %, going from ~ 24.12 % to ~ 15.41 % MMA went down by ~ 8.39 %, going from ~ 29.7 % to ~ 21.31 % Life went down by ~ 7.96 %, going from ~ 53.29 % to ~ 45.33 % jjakji went down by ~ 7.75 %, going from ~ 18.69 % to ~ 10.94 % ForGG went down by ~ 7.21 %, going from ~ 42.97 % to ~ 35.76 % soO went down by ~ 5.93 %, going from ~ 18.96 % to ~ 13.03 % DongRaeGu went down by ~ 5.87 %, going from ~ 13.76 % to ~ 7.89 % Jaedong went down by ~ 4.98 %, going from ~ 21.28 % to ~ 16.29 % Hurricane went down by ~ 4.9 %, going from ~ 9.77 % to ~ 4.87 % Sora went down by ~ 4.75 %, going from ~ 12.29 % to ~ 7.55 % Snute went down by ~ 4.67 %, going from ~ 17.07 % to ~ 12.41 % Scarlett went down by ~ 4.65 %, going from ~ 31.71 % to ~ 27.06 % Sacsri went down by ~ 4.53 %, going from ~ 18.62 % to ~ 14.09 % Trap went down by ~ 4.05 %, going from ~ 9.38 % to ~ 5.33 % Jim went down by ~ 3.97 %, going from ~ 18.57 % to ~ 14.6 % Lilbow went down by ~ 3.95 %, going from ~ 17.76 % to ~ 13.81 % Trust went down by ~ 3.87 %, going from ~ 9.89 % to ~ 6.02 % Losira went down by ~ 3.81 %, going from ~ 10.61 % to ~ 6.79 % VortiX went down by ~ 3.79 %, going from ~ 17.16 % to ~ 13.36 % MC went down by ~ 3.57 %, going from ~ 7.02 % to ~ 3.45 % StarDust went down by ~ 3.29 %, going from ~ 11.12 % to ~ 7.83 % HyuN went down by ~ 3.28 %, going from ~ 20.53 % to ~ 17.24 % Polt went down by ~ 3.19 %, going from ~ 27.43 % to ~ 24.24 % KingKong went down by ~ 3.03 %, going from ~ 9.71 % to ~ 6.68 % MajOr went down by ~ 3.01 %, going from ~ 26.05 % to ~ 23.04 % Nerchio went down by ~ 2.87 %, going from ~ 10.52 % to ~ 7.65 % Bunny went down by ~ 2.67 %, going from ~ 12.53 % to ~ 9.86 % Happy went down by ~ 2.55 %, going from ~ 12.19 % to ~ 9.64 % Ourk went down by ~ 2.17 %, going from ~ 10.55 % to ~ 8.38 % Reality went down by ~ 2.14 %, going from ~ 4.51 % to ~ 2.36 % Pigbaby went down by ~ 2.14 %, going from ~ 4.23 % to ~ 2.09 % RorO went down by ~ 2.11 %, going from ~ 2.37 % to ~ 0.26 % Mvp went down by ~ 2.08 %, going from ~ 6.09 % to ~ 4.01 % Journey went down by ~ 1.94 %, going from ~ 4.51 % to ~ 2.58 % viOLet went down by ~ 1.85 %, going from ~ 14.72 % to ~ 12.87 % Heart went down by ~ 1.75 %, going from ~ 3.6 % to ~ 1.86 % HeRoMaRinE went down by ~ 1.74 %, going from ~ 8.66 % to ~ 6.92 % SuperNova went down by ~ 1.67 %, going from ~ 3.88 % to ~ 2.21 % Sorry went down by ~ 1.67 %, going from ~ 3.03 % to ~ 1.37 % MaNa went down by ~ 1.62 %, going from ~ 7.36 % to ~ 5.74 % uThermal went down by ~ 1.59 %, going from ~ 5.55 % to ~ 3.97 % Impact went down by ~ 1.58 %, going from ~ 4.87 % to ~ 3.28 % Hydra went down by ~ 1.42 %, going from ~ 12.27 % to ~ 10.84 % ShoWTimE went down by ~ 1.36 %, going from ~ 6.27 % to ~ 4.92 % Revival went down by ~ 1.31 %, going from ~ 2.88 % to ~ 1.57 %
StarLeague Season 1 - Soulkey is at ~ 24.48 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 52.31 % of the time Soulkey wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.31 %. ~ 47.69 % of the time Soulkey loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 12.61 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Rogue is at ~ 21.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 47.69 % of the time Rogue wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 33.13 %. ~ 52.31 % of the time Rogue loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 11.03 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - Classic is at ~ 21.34 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 51.53 % of the time Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 31.43 %. ~ 48.47 % of the time Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 10.62 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Cure is at ~ 32.35 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 48.47 % of the time Cure wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 47.46 %. ~ 51.53 % of the time Cure loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 18.14 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - TaeJa is at ~ 62.6 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 67.08 % of the time TaeJa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 73.81 %. ~ 32.92 % of the time TaeJa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 39.76 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Terminator is at ~ 3.78 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 32.92 % of the time Terminator wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 8.04 %. ~ 67.08 % of the time Terminator loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.69 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - Solar is at ~ 44.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 59.13 % of the time Solar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 57.05 %. ~ 40.87 % of the time Solar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 25.21 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Dream is at ~ 5.77 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 40.87 % of the time Dream wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 10.66 %. ~ 59.13 % of the time Dream loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.39 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - Life is at ~ 45.33 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 50.54 % of the time Life wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 61.93 %. ~ 49.46 % of the time Life loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 28.36 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Flash is at ~ 41.13 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 49.46 % of the time Flash wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 57.55 %. ~ 50.54 % of the time Flash loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 25.06 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - TY is at ~ 31.58 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 51.7 % of the time TY wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 44.85 %. ~ 48.3 % of the time TY loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 17.38 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Scarlett is at ~ 27.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 48.3 % of the time Scarlett wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 37.1 %. ~ 51.7 % of the time Scarlett loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 17.68 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - GuMiho is at ~ 53.37 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 63.37 % of the time GuMiho wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 65.34 %. ~ 36.63 % of the time GuMiho loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 32.65 %. ------------------------------------------------- - sKyHigh is at ~ 8.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 36.63 % of the time sKyHigh wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 15.21 %. ~ 63.37 % of the time sKyHigh loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.93 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - INnoVation is at ~ 52.96 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 57.21 % of the time INnoVation wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 67.43 %. ~ 42.79 % of the time INnoVation loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 33.62 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Stats is at ~ 34.4 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 42.79 % of the time Stats wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 51.74 %. ~ 57.21 % of the time Stats loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 21.43 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - Dear is at ~ 31.43 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 52.95 % of the time Dear wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 44.19 %. ~ 47.05 % of the time Dear loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 17.06 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Patience is at ~ 11.58 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 47.05 % of the time Patience wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 18.67 %. ~ 52.95 % of the time Patience loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.28 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - Maru is at ~ 33.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 61.75 % of the time Maru wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 44.2 %. ~ 38.25 % of the time Maru loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 16.4 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Jim is at ~ 14.6 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 38.25 % of the time Jim wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 21.63 %. ~ 61.75 % of the time Jim loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 10.25 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - PartinG is at ~ 55.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 60.81 % of the time PartinG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 68.29 %. ~ 39.19 % of the time PartinG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 35.53 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Dark is at ~ 13.29 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 39.19 % of the time Dark wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 23.44 %. ~ 60.81 % of the time Dark loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 6.76 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - San is at ~ 28.92 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 53.07 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 40.77 %. ~ 46.93 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 15.51 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MyuNgSiK is at ~ 11.59 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 46.93 % of the time MyuNgSiK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 18.74 %. ~ 53.07 % of the time MyuNgSiK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.27 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - ByuL is at ~ 14.95 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 52.22 % of the time ByuL wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 22.5 %. ~ 47.78 % of the time ByuL loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 6.7 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Super is at ~ 19.26 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 47.78 % of the time Super wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 29.44 %. ~ 52.22 % of the time Super loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 9.94 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - herO is at ~ 74.55 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 56.18 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 86.68 %. ~ 43.82 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 58.99 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Bbyong is at ~ 32.61 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 43.82 % of the time Bbyong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 48.93 %. ~ 56.18 % of the time Bbyong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 19.88 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - Leenock is at ~ 15.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 52.22 % of the time Leenock wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 24.06 %. ~ 47.78 % of the time Leenock loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 7.19 %. ------------------------------------------------- - YongHwa is at ~ 4.74 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 47.78 % of the time YongHwa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 7.99 %. ~ 52.22 % of the time YongHwa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.76 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - MarineKing is at ~ 14.36 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 50.76 % of the time MarineKing wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 21.89 %. ~ 49.24 % of the time MarineKing loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 6.6 %. ------------------------------------------------- - FanTaSy is at ~ 5.56 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 49.24 % of the time FanTaSy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 9.23 %. ~ 50.76 % of the time FanTaSy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.99 %.
SSL Season 1 Winning Chances TaeJa has a ~ 10.83 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 62.6 % to ~ 99.09 % herO has a ~ 7.86 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 74.55 % to ~ 99.99 % PartinG has a ~ 6.8 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 55.45 % to ~ 99.58 % GuMiho has a ~ 6.57 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 53.37 % to ~ 99.52 % INnoVation has a ~ 6.3 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 52.96 % to ~ 99.58 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
Solar has a ~ 5.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.04 % to ~ 98.15 % Life has a ~ 5.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 45.33 % to ~ 98.49 % Flash has a ~ 5.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 41.13 % to ~ 98.1 % Maru has a ~ 4.33 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 33.57 % to ~ 96.78 % Cure has a ~ 3.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 32.35 % to ~ 97.27 % Dear has a ~ 3.5 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 31.43 % to ~ 96.79 % TY has a ~ 3.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 31.58 % to ~ 97.99 % Stats has a ~ 3.27 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 34.4 % to ~ 98.45 % San has a ~ 3.04 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 28.92 % to ~ 96.34 % Bbyong has a ~ 2.9 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 32.61 % to ~ 98.96 % Rogue has a ~ 2.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.57 % to ~ 95.25 % Classic has a ~ 2.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.34 % to ~ 94.77 % Scarlett has a ~ 2.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 27.06 % to ~ 93.88 % Soulkey has a ~ 1.97 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 24.48 % to ~ 98.32 % Super has a ~ 1.78 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 19.26 % to ~ 96.31 % Leenock has a ~ 1.76 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.99 % to ~ 93.06 % ByuL has a ~ 1.61 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 14.95 % to ~ 92.27 % Dark has a ~ 1.27 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.29 % to ~ 93.04 % Patience has a ~ 1.22 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.58 % to ~ 90.88 % MyuNgSiK has a ~ 1.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.59 % to ~ 91.2 % MarineKing has a ~ 0.9 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 14.36 % to ~ 99.01 % FanTaSy has a ~ 0.67 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.56 % to ~ 85.14 % Dream has a ~ 0.63 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.77 % to ~ 86.17 % Jim has a ~ 0.6 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 14.6 % to ~ 89.95 % YongHwa has a ~ 0.58 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.74 % to ~ 83.02 % sKyHigh has a ~ 0.51 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.06 % to ~ 97.18 % Terminator has a ~ 0.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.78 % to ~ 87.78 %
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! TaeJa is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
sOs won the #4 from MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup MarineKing won the #4 from Zest at Hot6ix Cup Zest won the #4 from Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup Soulkey won the #4 from Flash at Hot6ix Cup Flash won the #4 from Classic at Hot6ix Cup Life won the #1 from MMA at Blizzcon 2014 MMA won the #2 from Classic at Blizzcon 2014 Classic won the #4 from herO at Blizzcon 2014 TaeJa won the #3 from INnoVation at Blizzcon 2014
--------UPDATE Thursday, Dec 11 11:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00) SSL Season 2 and 3 Qualifiers More Korean Favored! (Sim #1126) I felt like SSL was too open considering it's all offline in Korea. I made it so that at least half of the players are Koreans with over a 1300 Aligulac rating. Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 76.81 %, Min WCS Points: 875
TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 66.05 %, Min WCS Points: 0
PartinG (Yoe), is at ~ 58.15 %, Min WCS Points: 250
Biggest Winners and Losers from the SSL Qualifiers. (Sim #1125) Biggest Winners TaeJa went up by ~ 3.42 %, going from ~ 62.62 % to ~ 66.05 % Rain went up by ~ 2.97 %, going from ~ 47.24 % to ~ 50.21 % ForGG went up by ~ 2.95 %, going from ~ 35.75 % to ~ 38.7 % PartinG went up by ~ 2.65 %, going from ~ 55.5 % to ~ 58.15 % GuMiho went up by ~ 2.4 %, going from ~ 53.36 % to ~ 55.75 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
herO went up by ~ 2.29 %, going from ~ 74.52 % to ~ 76.81 % Zest went up by ~ 2.21 %, going from ~ 36.31 % to ~ 38.52 % sOs went up by ~ 2.16 %, going from ~ 44.84 % to ~ 47.01 % Solar went up by ~ 2.11 %, going from ~ 44.06 % to ~ 46.17 % INnoVation went up by ~ 2.03 %, going from ~ 52.99 % to ~ 55.02 % Life went up by ~ 1.42 %, going from ~ 45.32 % to ~ 46.74 % MMA went up by ~ 1.24 %, going from ~ 21.31 % to ~ 22.55 % HyuN went up by ~ 1.14 %, going from ~ 17.23 % to ~ 18.37 % Bomber went up by ~ 1.11 %, going from ~ 24.54 % to ~ 25.65 % Maru went up by ~ 1.04 %, going from ~ 33.57 % to ~ 34.6 % Sacsri went up by ~ 0.82 %, going from ~ 14.12 % to ~ 14.94 % First went up by ~ 0.77 %, going from ~ 15.4 % to ~ 16.18 % soO went up by ~ 0.7 %, going from ~ 13.02 % to ~ 13.72 % YoDa went up by ~ 0.68 %, going from ~ 16.06 % to ~ 16.74 % Flash went up by ~ 0.62 %, going from ~ 41.15 % to ~ 41.77 % Jaedong went up by ~ 0.61 %, going from ~ 16.28 % to ~ 16.89 % Polt went up by ~ 0.53 %, going from ~ 24.24 % to ~ 24.77 % Dear went up by ~ 0.49 %, going from ~ 31.45 % to ~ 31.94 % sLivko went up by ~ 0.37 %, going from ~ 0.9 % to ~ 1.27 % jjakji went up by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 10.93 % to ~ 11.29 % DongRaeGu went up by ~ 0.32 %, going from ~ 7.89 % to ~ 8.21 % San went up by ~ 0.24 %, going from ~ 28.88 % to ~ 29.12 % Losira went up by ~ 0.24 %, going from ~ 6.78 % to ~ 7.02 % Sora went up by ~ 0.23 %, going from ~ 7.54 % to ~ 7.77 % StarDust went up by ~ 0.19 %, going from ~ 7.83 % to ~ 8.02 % Trust went up by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 6.02 % to ~ 6.21 % KingKong went up by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 6.68 % to ~ 6.83 % TY went up by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 31.59 % to ~ 31.74 % TRUE went up by ~ 0.14 %, going from ~ 6.33 % to ~ 6.47 % Trap went up by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 5.33 % to ~ 5.44 % Soulkey went up by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 24.48 % to ~ 24.59 % Hurricane went up by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 4.88 % to ~ 4.99 % viOLet went up by ~ 0.1 %, going from ~ 12.89 % to ~ 12.99 %
Biggest Losers Scarlett went down by ~ 2.86 %, going from ~ 27.05 % to ~ 24.19 % Lilbow went down by ~ 2.31 %, going from ~ 13.83 % to ~ 11.53 % VortiX went down by ~ 2.23 %, going from ~ 13.37 % to ~ 11.14 % MajOr went down by ~ 2.03 %, going from ~ 23.03 % to ~ 21.01 % Snute went down by ~ 1.86 %, going from ~ 12.41 % to ~ 10.55 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
Jim went down by ~ 1.8 %, going from ~ 14.61 % to ~ 12.81 % Bunny went down by ~ 1.43 %, going from ~ 9.87 % to ~ 8.45 % Happy went down by ~ 1.22 %, going from ~ 9.62 % to ~ 8.41 % Ourk went down by ~ 1.22 %, going from ~ 8.38 % to ~ 7.16 % Nerchio went down by ~ 1.07 %, going from ~ 7.66 % to ~ 6.59 % MaSa went down by ~ 1.02 %, going from ~ 10.01 % to ~ 8.99 % TargA went down by ~ 0.97 %, going from ~ 7.05 % to ~ 6.08 % HeRoMaRinE went down by ~ 0.9 %, going from ~ 6.92 % to ~ 6.02 % sKyHigh went down by ~ 0.9 %, going from ~ 8.06 % to ~ 7.17 % Dark went down by ~ 0.87 %, going from ~ 13.28 % to ~ 12.41 % MaNa went down by ~ 0.84 %, going from ~ 5.74 % to ~ 4.91 % ShoWTimE went down by ~ 0.68 %, going from ~ 4.92 % to ~ 4.25 % Dream went down by ~ 0.66 %, going from ~ 5.77 % to ~ 5.11 % GunGFuBanDa went down by ~ 0.62 %, going from ~ 4.34 % to ~ 3.72 % Terminator went down by ~ 0.54 %, going from ~ 3.78 % to ~ 3.24 % MarineKing went down by ~ 0.54 %, going from ~ 14.39 % to ~ 13.85 % Bbyong went down by ~ 0.53 %, going from ~ 32.59 % to ~ 32.06 % MyuNgSiK went down by ~ 0.51 %, going from ~ 11.59 % to ~ 11.08 % Patience went down by ~ 0.48 %, going from ~ 11.59 % to ~ 11.11 % Bly went down by ~ 0.47 %, going from ~ 1.96 % to ~ 1.49 % uThermal went down by ~ 0.46 %, going from ~ 3.97 % to ~ 3.51 % FanTaSy went down by ~ 0.45 %, going from ~ 5.55 % to ~ 5.1 % HuK went down by ~ 0.44 %, going from ~ 4.62 % to ~ 4.17 % Top went down by ~ 0.41 %, going from ~ 4.34 % to ~ 3.93 % MarineLorD went down by ~ 0.4 %, going from ~ 3.83 % to ~ 3.43 % Super went down by ~ 0.39 %, going from ~ 19.26 % to ~ 18.86 % PiG went down by ~ 0.38 %, going from ~ 0.6 % to ~ 0.22 % Petraeus went down by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 0.56 % to ~ 0.2 % YongHwa went down by ~ 0.35 %, going from ~ 4.74 % to ~ 4.39 % EnDerr went down by ~ 0.32 %, going from ~ 2.91 % to ~ 2.59 % Rogue went down by ~ 0.29 %, going from ~ 21.58 % to ~ 21.29 % Kas went down by ~ 0.27 %, going from ~ 3.78 % to ~ 3.51 % Stats went down by ~ 0.26 %, going from ~ 34.41 % to ~ 34.15 % Starbuck went down by ~ 0.24 %, going from ~ 2.48 % to ~ 2.24 % Welmu went down by ~ 0.23 %, going from ~ 2.03 % to ~ 1.8 % Kane went down by ~ 0.23 %, going from ~ 2.5 % to ~ 2.27 % TLO went down by ~ 0.22 %, going from ~ 2.16 % to ~ 1.94 % ByuL went down by ~ 0.2 %, going from ~ 14.92 % to ~ 14.72 % Stephano went down by ~ 0.2 %, going from ~ 2.01 % to ~ 1.81 % XiGua went down by ~ 0.2 %, going from ~ 2.66 % to ~ 2.46 % Leenock went down by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 16.01 % to ~ 15.82 % qxc went down by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 2.16 % to ~ 1.99 % Harstem went down by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 1.38 % to ~ 1.21 % elfi went down by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 1.44 % to ~ 1.28 % Sen went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 0.25 % to ~ 0.09 %
StarLeague Season 1 - Soulkey is at ~ 24.59 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 53.25 % of the time Soulkey wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 34.66 %. ~ 46.75 % of the time Soulkey loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 13.13 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Rogue is at ~ 21.29 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 46.75 % of the time Rogue wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 32.33 %. ~ 53.25 % of the time Rogue loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 11.59 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - Classic is at ~ 21.19 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 52.1 % of the time Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 30.55 %. ~ 47.9 % of the time Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 11.02 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Cure is at ~ 32.39 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 47.9 % of the time Cure wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 46.81 %. ~ 52.1 % of the time Cure loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 19.13 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - TaeJa is at ~ 66.05 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 73.11 % of the time TaeJa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 74.64 %. ~ 26.89 % of the time TaeJa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 42.7 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Terminator is at ~ 3.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 26.89 % of the time Terminator wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 7.51 %. ~ 73.11 % of the time Terminator loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.67 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - Solar is at ~ 46.17 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 62.66 % of the time Solar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 57.46 %. ~ 37.34 % of the time Solar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 27.22 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Dream is at ~ 5.11 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 37.34 % of the time Dream wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 9.7 %. ~ 62.66 % of the time Dream loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.37 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - Life is at ~ 46.74 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 50.63 % of the time Life wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 62.49 %. ~ 49.37 % of the time Life loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 30.59 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Flash is at ~ 41.77 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 49.37 % of the time Flash wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 57.31 %. ~ 50.63 % of the time Flash loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 26.62 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - TY is at ~ 31.74 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 52.32 % of the time TY wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 44.14 %. ~ 47.68 % of the time TY loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 18.13 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Scarlett is at ~ 24.19 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 47.68 % of the time Scarlett wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 33.84 %. ~ 52.32 % of the time Scarlett loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 15.4 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - GuMiho is at ~ 55.75 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 68.28 % of the time GuMiho wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 65.64 %. ~ 31.72 % of the time GuMiho loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 34.48 %. ------------------------------------------------- - sKyHigh is at ~ 7.17 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 31.72 % of the time sKyHigh wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 14.27 %. ~ 68.28 % of the time sKyHigh loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.86 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - INnoVation is at ~ 55.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 60.02 % of the time INnoVation wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 67.79 %. ~ 39.98 % of the time INnoVation loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 35.84 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Stats is at ~ 34.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 39.98 % of the time Stats wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 51.37 %. ~ 60.02 % of the time Stats loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 22.68 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - Dear is at ~ 31.94 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 54.13 % of the time Dear wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 43.68 %. ~ 45.87 % of the time Dear loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 18.09 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Patience is at ~ 11.11 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 45.87 % of the time Patience wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 17.83 %. ~ 54.13 % of the time Patience loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.41 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - Maru is at ~ 34.6 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 66.14 % of the time Maru wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 43.48 %. ~ 33.86 % of the time Maru loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 17.26 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Jim is at ~ 12.81 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 33.86 % of the time Jim wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 19.74 %. ~ 66.14 % of the time Jim loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 9.26 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - PartinG is at ~ 58.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 64.98 % of the time PartinG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 69.02 %. ~ 35.02 % of the time PartinG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 37.98 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Dark is at ~ 12.41 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 35.02 % of the time Dark wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 22.48 %. ~ 64.98 % of the time Dark loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 6.98 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - San is at ~ 29.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 54.25 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 39.92 %. ~ 45.75 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 16.31 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MyuNgSiK is at ~ 11.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 45.75 % of the time MyuNgSiK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 17.8 %. ~ 54.25 % of the time MyuNgSiK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.42 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - ByuL is at ~ 14.72 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 53.1 % of the time ByuL wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 21.62 %. ~ 46.9 % of the time ByuL loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 6.91 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Super is at ~ 18.86 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 46.9 % of the time Super wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 28.54 %. ~ 53.1 % of the time Super loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 10.31 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - herO is at ~ 76.81 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 58.63 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 87.46 %. ~ 41.37 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 61.72 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Bbyong is at ~ 32.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 41.37 % of the time Bbyong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 48.13 %. ~ 58.63 % of the time Bbyong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 20.72 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - Leenock is at ~ 15.82 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 53.09 % of the time Leenock wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 23.19 %. ~ 46.91 % of the time Leenock loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 7.47 %. ------------------------------------------------- - YongHwa is at ~ 4.39 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 46.91 % of the time YongHwa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 7.38 %. ~ 53.09 % of the time YongHwa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.75 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - MarineKing is at ~ 13.85 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 51.05 % of the time MarineKing wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 20.84 %. ~ 48.95 % of the time MarineKing loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 6.55 %. ------------------------------------------------- - FanTaSy is at ~ 5.1 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 48.95 % of the time FanTaSy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 8.36 %. ~ 51.05 % of the time FanTaSy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.97 %.
SSL Season 1 Winning Chances TaeJa has a ~ 11.67 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 66.05 % to ~ 98.98 % herO has a ~ 8.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 76.81 % to ~ 99.99 % PartinG has a ~ 7.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 58.15 % to ~ 99.52 % GuMiho has a ~ 6.9 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 55.75 % to ~ 99.41 % INnoVation has a ~ 6.42 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 55.02 % to ~ 99.48 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
Solar has a ~ 5.67 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 46.17 % to ~ 97.84 % Life has a ~ 5.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 46.74 % to ~ 98.29 % Flash has a ~ 4.9 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 41.77 % to ~ 97.79 % Maru has a ~ 4.5 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 34.6 % to ~ 96.19 % Dear has a ~ 3.5 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 31.94 % to ~ 96.27 % Cure has a ~ 3.43 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 32.39 % to ~ 96.68 % TY has a ~ 3.3 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 31.74 % to ~ 97.45 % San has a ~ 3.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 29.12 % to ~ 95.77 % Stats has a ~ 2.96 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 34.15 % to ~ 98.07 % Bbyong has a ~ 2.66 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 32.06 % to ~ 98.67 % Classic has a ~ 2.19 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.19 % to ~ 93.8 % Rogue has a ~ 2.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.29 % to ~ 94.23 % Scarlett has a ~ 2.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 24.19 % to ~ 92.37 % Soulkey has a ~ 1.97 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 24.59 % to ~ 97.79 % Leenock has a ~ 1.74 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.82 % to ~ 91.46 % Super has a ~ 1.69 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 18.86 % to ~ 95.42 % ByuL has a ~ 1.57 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 14.72 % to ~ 91.19 % Patience has a ~ 1.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.11 % to ~ 89.11 % Dark has a ~ 1.11 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.41 % to ~ 91.41 % MyuNgSiK has a ~ 1.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.08 % to ~ 89.6 % MarineKing has a ~ 0.86 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.85 % to ~ 98.67 % FanTaSy has a ~ 0.63 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.1 % to ~ 81.93 % YongHwa has a ~ 0.55 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.39 % to ~ 80.76 % Dream has a ~ 0.54 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.11 % to ~ 84.24 % Jim has a ~ 0.51 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.81 % to ~ 87.84 % sKyHigh has a ~ 0.43 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.17 % to ~ 96.34 % Terminator has a ~ 0.29 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.24 % to ~ 85.68 %
Foreigner Hope (keep in mind these are without some possible Korean tournaments being announced like KeSPA Cup) Chances of 1+ foreigners ~ 96.95 % Chances of 2+ foreigners ~ 78.63 % Chances of 3+ foreigners ~ 42.21 % Chances of 4+ foreigners ~ 12.66 %
MajOr ~ 1.9 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 21.01 % chance overall. Scarlett ~ 1.89 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 24.19 % chance overall. Lilbow ~ 0.98 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 11.53 % chance overall. VortiX ~ 0.95 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 11.14 % chance overall. Jim ~ 0.92 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 12.81 % chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More] +
Snute ~ 0.84 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 10.55 % chance overall. MaSa ~ 0.7 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 8.99 % chance overall. Bunny ~ 0.7 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 8.45 % chance overall. Happy ~ 0.69 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 8.41 % chance overall. Ourk ~ 0.57 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 7.16 % chance overall. Nerchio ~ 0.53 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 6.59 % chance overall. TargA ~ 0.49 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 6.08 % chance overall. HeRoMaRinE ~ 0.48 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 6.02 % chance overall. MaNa ~ 0.37 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 4.91 % chance overall. ShoWTimE ~ 0.32 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 4.25 % chance overall. HuK ~ 0.3 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 4.17 % chance overall. Top ~ 0.29 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 3.93 % chance overall. GunGFuBanDa ~ 0.29 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 3.72 % chance overall. uThermal ~ 0.27 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 3.51 % chance overall. Kas ~ 0.27 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 3.51 % chance overall. MarineLorD ~ 0.26 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 3.43 % chance overall. EnDerr ~ 0.19 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.59 % chance overall. XiGua ~ 0.18 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.46 % chance overall. Starbuck ~ 0.17 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.24 % chance overall. Kane ~ 0.17 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.27 % chance overall. TLO ~ 0.15 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.94 % chance overall. qxc ~ 0.14 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.99 % chance overall. Welmu ~ 0.14 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.8 % chance overall. Stephano ~ 0.14 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.81 % chance overall. iAsonu ~ 0.13 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.67 % chance overall. XY ~ 0.13 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.65 % chance overall. Bly ~ 0.08 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.49 % chance overall. Strelok ~ 0.03 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.43 % chance overall. JonnyREcco ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.23 % chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! TaeJa is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
sOs won the #4 from MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup MarineKing won the #4 from Zest at Hot6ix Cup Zest won the #4 from Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup Soulkey won the #4 from Flash at Hot6ix Cup Flash won the #4 from Classic at Hot6ix Cup Life won the #1 from MMA at Blizzcon 2014 MMA won the #2 from Classic at Blizzcon 2014 Classic won the #4 from herO at Blizzcon 2014 TaeJa won the #3 from INnoVation at Blizzcon 2014
GSL Qualifiers Season 1in ~ TaeJa has a ~ 40.84 % chance to win ----going from ~ 66.04 % to ~ 79.55 % if they get 1st, or ~ 56.7 % if they don't. Rain has a ~ 40.11 % chance to win ----going from ~ 51.54 % to ~ 71.26 % if they get 1st, or ~ 38.33 % if they don't. herO has a ~ 39.9 % chance to win ----going from ~ 76.79 % to ~ 89.28 % if they get 1st, or ~ 68.49 % if they don't. PartinG has a ~ 38.16 % chance to win ----going from ~ 59.73 % to ~ 75.49 % if they get 1st, or ~ 50.01 % if they don't. Life has a ~ 37.28 % chance to win ----going from ~ 46.77 % to ~ 63.29 % if they get 1st, or ~ 36.96 % if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Zest has a ~ 36.87 % chance to win ----going from ~ 38.4 % to ~ 59.06 % if they get 1st, or ~ 26.34 % if they don't. INnoVation has a ~ 36.66 % chance to win ----going from ~ 54.7 % to ~ 71.39 % if they get 1st, or ~ 45.04 % if they don't. Solar has a ~ 36.33 % chance to win ----going from ~ 46.75 % to ~ 63.48 % if they get 1st, or ~ 37.21 % if they don't. sOs has a ~ 36.31 % chance to win ----going from ~ 46.92 % to ~ 68.77 % if they get 1st, or ~ 34.47 % if they don't. GuMiho has a ~ 36.28 % chance to win ----going from ~ 55.67 % to ~ 72.34 % if they get 1st, or ~ 46.18 % if they don't. Flash has a ~ 35.56 % chance to win ----going from ~ 41.65 % to ~ 58.79 % if they get 1st, or ~ 32.2 % if they don't. MMA has a ~ 33.89 % chance to win ----going from ~ 22.52 % to ~ 39.64 % if they get 1st, or ~ 13.75 % if they don't. Stats has a ~ 33.32 % chance to win ----going from ~ 34.11 % to ~ 51.96 % if they get 1st, or ~ 25.19 % if they don't. Dear has a ~ 32.32 % chance to win ----going from ~ 31.81 % to ~ 48.87 % if they get 1st, or ~ 23.67 % if they don't. Cure has a ~ 32.19 % chance to win ----going from ~ 32.42 % to ~ 49.42 % if they get 1st, or ~ 24.35 % if they don't. HyuN has a ~ 32.02 % chance to win ----going from ~ 17.41 % to ~ 32.82 % if they get 1st, or ~ 10.16 % if they don't. Bomber has a ~ 31.9 % chance to win ----going from ~ 25.64 % to ~ 45.28 % if they get 1st, or ~ 16.44 % if they don't. Maru has a ~ 31.48 % chance to win ----going from ~ 34.73 % to ~ 51.97 % if they get 1st, or ~ 26.82 % if they don't. San has a ~ 31.47 % chance to win ----going from ~ 29.08 % to ~ 46.14 % if they get 1st, or ~ 21.24 % if they don't. YoDa has a ~ 31.17 % chance to win ----going from ~ 16.58 % to ~ 31.98 % if they get 1st, or ~ 9.6 % if they don't. Bbyong has a ~ 31.06 % chance to win ----going from ~ 32.16 % to ~ 50.51 % if they get 1st, or ~ 23.9 % if they don't. TY has a ~ 30.94 % chance to win ----going from ~ 32.2 % to ~ 49.82 % if they get 1st, or ~ 24.31 % if they don't. First has a ~ 30.49 % chance to win ----going from ~ 16.15 % to ~ 32.07 % if they get 1st, or ~ 9.16 % if they don't. Sacsri has a ~ 30.39 % chance to win ----going from ~ 13.99 % to ~ 28.13 % if they get 1st, or ~ 7.82 % if they don't. soO has a ~ 30.22 % chance to win ----going from ~ 13.72 % to ~ 27.76 % if they get 1st, or ~ 7.63 % if they don't. Rogue has a ~ 28.99 % chance to win ----going from ~ 21.26 % to ~ 36.59 % if they get 1st, or ~ 14.99 % if they don't. Classic has a ~ 28.59 % chance to win ----going from ~ 21.19 % to ~ 36.82 % if they get 1st, or ~ 14.94 % if they don't. jjakji has a ~ 28.43 % chance to win ----going from ~ 11.42 % to ~ 24.56 % if they get 1st, or ~ 6.2 % if they don't. Jaedong has a ~ 27.97 % chance to win ----going from ~ 16.01 % to ~ 32.95 % if they get 1st, or ~ 9.44 % if they don't. Soulkey has a ~ 27.7 % chance to win ----going from ~ 24.71 % to ~ 42.17 % if they get 1st, or ~ 18.02 % if they don't. Super has a ~ 26.99 % chance to win ----going from ~ 18.85 % to ~ 34.54 % if they get 1st, or ~ 13.05 % if they don't. DongRaeGu has a ~ 26.56 % chance to win ----going from ~ 8.16 % to ~ 19.12 % if they get 1st, or ~ 4.2 % if they don't. StarDust has a ~ 26.39 % chance to win ----going from ~ 8.01 % to ~ 19.05 % if they get 1st, or ~ 4.04 % if they don't. Sora has a ~ 26.19 % chance to win ----going from ~ 7.75 % to ~ 18.57 % if they get 1st, or ~ 3.92 % if they don't. Leenock has a ~ 25.9 % chance to win ----going from ~ 15.83 % to ~ 29.68 % if they get 1st, or ~ 10.99 % if they don't. ByuL has a ~ 25.52 % chance to win ----going from ~ 14.68 % to ~ 28.25 % if they get 1st, or ~ 10.03 % if they don't. Dark has a ~ 25.48 % chance to win ----going from ~ 12.34 % to ~ 24.71 % if they get 1st, or ~ 8.11 % if they don't. Losira has a ~ 25.42 % chance to win ----going from ~ 6.98 % to ~ 17.03 % if they get 1st, or ~ 3.56 % if they don't. KingKong has a ~ 25.34 % chance to win ----going from ~ 6.84 % to ~ 16.89 % if they get 1st, or ~ 3.43 % if they don't. Trust has a ~ 24.73 % chance to win ----going from ~ 6.15 % to ~ 15.69 % if they get 1st, or ~ 3.02 % if they don't. Patience has a ~ 24.27 % chance to win ----going from ~ 11.69 % to ~ 24.09 % if they get 1st, or ~ 7.72 % if they don't. TRUE has a ~ 24.05 % chance to win ----going from ~ 6.48 % to ~ 16.62 % if they get 1st, or ~ 3.27 % if they don't. Trap has a ~ 23.91 % chance to win ----going from ~ 5.42 % to ~ 14.43 % if they get 1st, or ~ 2.59 % if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a ~ 23.84 % chance to win ----going from ~ 10.96 % to ~ 23.03 % if they get 1st, or ~ 7.18 % if they don't. Hurricane has a ~ 23.45 % chance to win ----going from ~ 4.95 % to ~ 13.45 % if they get 1st, or ~ 2.35 % if they don't. Pet has a ~ 22.82 % chance to win ----going from ~ 4.38 % to ~ 12.16 % if they get 1st, or ~ 2.07 % if they don't. Mvp has a ~ 21.77 % chance to win ----going from ~ 3.99 % to ~ 11.52 % if they get 1st, or ~ 1.9 % if they don't. Center has a ~ 21.41 % chance to win ----going from ~ 3.71 % to ~ 10.91 % if they get 1st, or ~ 1.74 % if they don't. Impact has a ~ 21.38 % chance to win ----going from ~ 3.33 % to ~ 9.96 % if they get 1st, or ~ 1.53 % if they don't. MC has a ~ 21.34 % chance to win ----going from ~ 3.49 % to ~ 10.41 % if they get 1st, or ~ 1.62 % if they don't. HerO has a ~ 20.66 % chance to win ----going from ~ 2.96 % to ~ 9.26 % if they get 1st, or ~ 1.32 % if they don't. Journey has a ~ 20.3 % chance to win ----going from ~ 3.02 % to ~ 9.47 % if they get 1st, or ~ 1.38 % if they don't. MarineKing has a ~ 19.99 % chance to win ----going from ~ 13.82 % to ~ 29.99 % if they get 1st, or ~ 9.78 % if they don't. Golden has a ~ 19.81 % chance to win ----going from ~ 2.44 % to ~ 7.91 % if they get 1st, or ~ 1.09 % if they don't. Symbol has a ~ 19.53 % chance to win ----going from ~ 2.9 % to ~ 9.36 % if they get 1st, or ~ 1.34 % if they don't. Dream has a ~ 19.05 % chance to win ----going from ~ 5.09 % to ~ 13.12 % if they get 1st, or ~ 3.2 % if they don't. Reality has a ~ 18.95 % chance to win ----going from ~ 2.33 % to ~ 7.8 % if they get 1st, or ~ 1.05 % if they don't. Pigbaby has a ~ 18.95 % chance to win ----going from ~ 2.09 % to ~ 7.2 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.89 % if they don't. Avenge has a ~ 18.81 % chance to win ----going from ~ 2.01 % to ~ 6.96 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.85 % if they don't. SuperNova has a ~ 18.79 % chance to win ----going from ~ 2.18 % to ~ 7.43 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.97 % if they don't. Creator has a ~ 18.29 % chance to win ----going from ~ 1.79 % to ~ 6.38 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.76 % if they don't. FanTaSy has a ~ 18.27 % chance to win ----going from ~ 5.13 % to ~ 13.13 % if they get 1st, or ~ 3.34 % if they don't. RagnaroK has a ~ 18.21 % chance to win ----going from ~ 1.73 % to ~ 6.17 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.75 % if they don't. sKyHigh has a ~ 18.13 % chance to win ----going from ~ 7.13 % to ~ 18.34 % if they get 1st, or ~ 4.64 % if they don't. YongHwa has a ~ 18.09 % chance to win ----going from ~ 4.39 % to ~ 11.7 % if they get 1st, or ~ 2.77 % if they don't. Heart has a ~ 17.88 % chance to win ----going from ~ 1.8 % to ~ 6.46 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.79 % if they don't. RorO has a ~ 17.71 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.25 % to ~ 1.22 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.04 % if they don't. Curious has a ~ 17.66 % chance to win ----going from ~ 1.49 % to ~ 5.51 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.63 % if they don't. Hack has a ~ 17.59 % chance to win ----going from ~ 1.66 % to ~ 6.05 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.73 % if they don't. EffOrt has a ~ 17.58 % chance to win ----going from ~ 1.5 % to ~ 5.52 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.64 % if they don't. Terminator has a ~ 16.79 % chance to win ----going from ~ 3.2 % to ~ 9.56 % if they get 1st, or ~ 1.91 % if they don't. Sorry has a ~ 16.65 % chance to win ----going from ~ 1.34 % to ~ 5.23 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.56 % if they don't. Revival has a ~ 16.42 % chance to win ----going from ~ 1.89 % to ~ 7.23 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.84 % if they don't. eMotion has a ~ 16.31 % chance to win ----going from ~ 1.16 % to ~ 4.67 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.47 % if they don't. Squirtle has a ~ 16.19 % chance to win ----going from ~ 1.12 % to ~ 4.54 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.46 % if they don't. Armani has a ~ 14.72 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.7 % to ~ 3.19 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.27 % if they don't. Spear has a ~ 14.63 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.8 % to ~ 3.54 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.33 % if they don't. KeeN has a ~ 14.23 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.71 % to ~ 3.25 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.29 % if they don't. CranK has a ~ 14.18 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.68 % to ~ 3.2 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.26 % if they don't. Ryung has a ~ 14.13 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.69 % to ~ 3.19 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.28 % if they don't. ParalyzE has a ~ 14.05 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.63 % to ~ 2.96 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.25 % if they don't. Hush has a ~ 13.74 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.56 % to ~ 2.73 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.21 % if they don't. Check has a ~ 13.65 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.53 % to ~ 2.59 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.2 % if they don't. Apocalypse has a ~ 13.2 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.52 % to ~ 2.57 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.2 % if they don't. Ruin has a ~ 13.01 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.45 % to ~ 2.34 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.17 % if they don't. Oz has a ~ 12.91 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.43 % to ~ 2.27 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.16 % if they don't. aLive has a ~ 12.77 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.45 % to ~ 2.35 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.17 % if they don't. Shine has a ~ 12.74 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.38 % to ~ 2.02 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.14 % if they don't. Daisy has a ~ 12.61 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.41 % to ~ 2.17 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.16 % if they don't. Stork has a ~ 12.57 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.39 % to ~ 2.05 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.15 % if they don't. Action has a ~ 12.07 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.32 % to ~ 1.76 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.12 % if they don't. Alicia has a ~ 12.03 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.32 % to ~ 1.79 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.12 % if they don't. Sleep has a ~ 11.86 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.29 % to ~ 1.64 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.11 % if they don't. Bunny has a ~ 11.45 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.3 % to ~ 1.71 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.11 % if they don't. BBoongBBoong has a ~ 11.43 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.25 % to ~ 1.47 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.09 % if they don't. DeParture has a ~ 10.47 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.17 % to ~ 1.1 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.06 % if they don't. Seed has a ~ 10.46 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 1.21 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.07 % if they don't. Billowy has a ~ 10.14 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.16 % to ~ 1.09 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.06 % if they don't. NAKSEO has a ~ 10.12 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 1.01 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.05 % if they don't. BrAvO has a ~ 9.62 % chance to win ----going from ~ 0.14 % to ~ 0.99 % if they get 1st, or ~ 0.05 % if they don't.
(Also looking for feedback on this new format. I made the %s all be colored by the same rules so 0-30 is red, 30-70 is blue, and 70-100 is green. Is this better or worse than the coloring scheme used before? I thought the old coloring scheme was a bit complicated where a player's Blizzcon Chances were colored compared to the 16th ranking player's chances, and resulting chances were colored compared to their current chances.)
Here's the old style listing
GSL Qualifiers Season 1 TaeJa has a ~ 40.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 66.04 % to ~ 79.55 % Rain has a ~ 40.11 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 51.54 % to ~ 71.26 % herO has a ~ 39.9 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 76.79 % to ~ 89.28 % PartinG has a ~ 38.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 59.73 % to ~ 75.49 % Life has a ~ 37.28 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 46.77 % to ~ 63.29 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
Zest has a ~ 36.87 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 38.4 % to ~ 59.06 % INnoVation has a ~ 36.66 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 54.7 % to ~ 71.39 % Solar has a ~ 36.33 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 46.75 % to ~ 63.48 % sOs has a ~ 36.31 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 46.92 % to ~ 68.77 % GuMiho has a ~ 36.28 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 55.67 % to ~ 72.34 % Flash has a ~ 35.56 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 41.65 % to ~ 58.79 % MMA has a ~ 33.89 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 22.52 % to ~ 39.64 % Stats has a ~ 33.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 34.11 % to ~ 51.96 % Dear has a ~ 32.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 31.81 % to ~ 48.87 % Cure has a ~ 32.19 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 32.42 % to ~ 49.42 % HyuN has a ~ 32.02 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.41 % to ~ 32.82 % Bomber has a ~ 31.9 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 25.64 % to ~ 45.28 % Maru has a ~ 31.48 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 34.73 % to ~ 51.97 % San has a ~ 31.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 29.08 % to ~ 46.14 % YoDa has a ~ 31.17 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 16.58 % to ~ 31.98 % Bbyong has a ~ 31.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 32.16 % to ~ 50.51 % TY has a ~ 30.94 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 32.2 % to ~ 49.82 % First has a ~ 30.49 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 16.15 % to ~ 32.07 % Sacsri has a ~ 30.39 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.99 % to ~ 28.13 % soO has a ~ 30.22 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.72 % to ~ 27.76 % Rogue has a ~ 28.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.26 % to ~ 36.59 % Classic has a ~ 28.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.19 % to ~ 36.82 % jjakji has a ~ 28.43 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.42 % to ~ 24.56 % Jaedong has a ~ 27.97 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 16.01 % to ~ 32.95 % Soulkey has a ~ 27.7 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 24.71 % to ~ 42.17 % Super has a ~ 26.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 18.85 % to ~ 34.54 % DongRaeGu has a ~ 26.56 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.16 % to ~ 19.12 % StarDust has a ~ 26.39 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.01 % to ~ 19.05 % Sora has a ~ 26.19 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.75 % to ~ 18.57 % Leenock has a ~ 25.9 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.83 % to ~ 29.68 % ByuL has a ~ 25.52 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 14.68 % to ~ 28.25 % Dark has a ~ 25.48 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.34 % to ~ 24.71 % Losira has a ~ 25.42 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.98 % to ~ 17.03 % KingKong has a ~ 25.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.84 % to ~ 16.89 % Trust has a ~ 24.73 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.15 % to ~ 15.69 % Patience has a ~ 24.27 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.69 % to ~ 24.09 % TRUE has a ~ 24.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.48 % to ~ 16.62 % Trap has a ~ 23.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.42 % to ~ 14.43 % MyuNgSiK has a ~ 23.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.96 % to ~ 23.03 % Hurricane has a ~ 23.45 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.95 % to ~ 13.45 % Pet has a ~ 22.82 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.38 % to ~ 12.16 % Mvp has a ~ 21.77 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.99 % to ~ 11.52 % Center has a ~ 21.41 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.71 % to ~ 10.91 % Impact has a ~ 21.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.33 % to ~ 9.96 % MC has a ~ 21.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.49 % to ~ 10.41 % HerO has a ~ 20.66 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.96 % to ~ 9.26 %
So sOs was at 95% multiple times after adding placeholders (mid April and early August) and didn't make it to Blizzcon. Were there any players below 5% at any time after adding placeholders who qualified?
On December 15 2014 08:00 Cheren wrote: So sOs was at 95% multiple times after adding placeholders (mid April and early August) and didn't make it to Blizzcon. Were there any players below 5% at any time after adding placeholders who qualified?
No, after that the lowest points were MMA at ~ 8.05 % around August 23rd, and Innovation at ~ 8.65 % around July 21st. Those were the only players who made it to Blizzcon that went below 10% after the addition of the placeholders.
Biggest Winners and Losers from the GSL Qualifiers. (Sim #1129) Biggest Winners TY went up by ~ 20.05 %, going from ~ 32.2 % to ~ 52.26 % PartinG went up by ~ 17.37 %, going from ~ 59.73 % to ~ 77.1 % Maru went up by ~ 15.71 %, going from ~ 34.73 % to ~ 50.45 % Bomber went up by ~ 15.19 %, going from ~ 25.64 % to ~ 40.83 % MarineKing went up by ~ 14.95 %, going from ~ 13.82 % to ~ 28.77 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
Rain went up by ~ 13.54 %, going from ~ 51.54 % to ~ 65.08 % Soulkey went up by ~ 12.49 %, going from ~ 24.71 % to ~ 37.21 % Dear went up by ~ 12.14 %, going from ~ 31.81 % to ~ 43.95 % INnoVation went up by ~ 12.05 %, going from ~ 54.7 % to ~ 66.75 % Super went up by ~ 11.75 %, going from ~ 18.85 % to ~ 30.6 % Terminator went up by ~ 11.59 %, going from ~ 3.2 % to ~ 14.79 % San went up by ~ 11.37 %, going from ~ 29.08 % to ~ 40.45 % GuMiho went up by ~ 11.3 %, going from ~ 55.67 % to ~ 66.97 % Solar went up by ~ 9.62 %, going from ~ 46.75 % to ~ 56.37 % Life went up by ~ 9.33 %, going from ~ 46.77 % to ~ 56.1 % First went up by ~ 8.54 %, going from ~ 16.15 % to ~ 24.69 % Dream went up by ~ 8.25 %, going from ~ 5.09 % to ~ 13.34 % Dark went up by ~ 8.09 %, going from ~ 12.34 % to ~ 20.43 % herO went up by ~ 7.52 %, going from ~ 76.79 % to ~ 84.31 % YoDa went up by ~ 7.31 %, going from ~ 16.58 % to ~ 23.89 % Rogue went up by ~ 6.95 %, going from ~ 21.26 % to ~ 28.21 % TaeJa went up by ~ 6.06 %, going from ~ 66.04 % to ~ 72.1 % MMA went up by ~ 5.96 %, going from ~ 22.52 % to ~ 28.48 % FanTaSy went up by ~ 4.85 %, going from ~ 5.13 % to ~ 9.98 % YongHwa went up by ~ 3.87 %, going from ~ 4.39 % to ~ 8.26 % MC went up by ~ 3.87 %, going from ~ 3.49 % to ~ 7.36 % Hack went up by ~ 3.65 %, going from ~ 1.66 % to ~ 5.31 % Heart went up by ~ 3.56 %, going from ~ 1.8 % to ~ 5.36 % Curious went up by ~ 2.88 %, going from ~ 1.49 % to ~ 4.37 % Nerchio went up by ~ 1.03 %, going from ~ 6.62 % to ~ 7.64 % Seed went up by ~ 0.81 %, going from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 0.99 % ShoWTimE went up by ~ 0.7 %, going from ~ 4.3 % to ~ 5.01 % Dayshi went up by ~ 0.62 %, going from ~ 1.46 % to ~ 2.08 % Panic went up by ~ 0.58 %, going from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 0.65 % Happy went up by ~ 0.31 %, going from ~ 8.48 % to ~ 8.79 % PtitDrogo went up by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 0.24 % to ~ 0.35 %
Biggest Losers sOs went down by ~ 21.28 %, going from ~ 46.92 % to ~ 25.64 % Zest went down by ~ 20.79 %, going from ~ 38.4 % to ~ 17.62 % Flash went down by ~ 16.72 %, going from ~ 41.65 % to ~ 24.93 % Stats went down by ~ 15.81 %, going from ~ 34.11 % to ~ 18.3 % Cure went down by ~ 12.79 %, going from ~ 32.42 % to ~ 19.62 % + Show Spoiler [More] +
Bbyong went down by ~ 11.53 %, going from ~ 32.16 % to ~ 20.63 % Classic went down by ~ 11.19 %, going from ~ 21.19 % to ~ 10.01 % HyuN went down by ~ 9.35 %, going from ~ 17.41 % to ~ 8.07 % Sacsri went down by ~ 9.32 %, going from ~ 13.99 % to ~ 4.67 % soO went down by ~ 8.69 %, going from ~ 13.72 % to ~ 5.02 % Jaedong went down by ~ 8.42 %, going from ~ 16.01 % to ~ 7.59 % Patience went down by ~ 6.63 %, going from ~ 11.69 % to ~ 5.06 % jjakji went down by ~ 6.39 %, going from ~ 11.42 % to ~ 5.03 % DongRaeGu went down by ~ 6.19 %, going from ~ 8.16 % to ~ 1.97 % Leenock went down by ~ 6.09 %, going from ~ 15.83 % to ~ 9.74 % MyuNgSiK went down by ~ 5.32 %, going from ~ 10.96 % to ~ 5.64 % Sora went down by ~ 5.05 %, going from ~ 7.75 % to ~ 2.7 % StarDust went down by ~ 4.84 %, going from ~ 8.01 % to ~ 3.16 % TRUE went down by ~ 4.49 %, going from ~ 6.48 % to ~ 1.99 % ByuL went down by ~ 4.34 %, going from ~ 14.68 % to ~ 10.33 % KingKong went down by ~ 4.24 %, going from ~ 6.84 % to ~ 2.6 % Trust went down by ~ 4.17 %, going from ~ 6.15 % to ~ 1.98 % Trap went down by ~ 4.08 %, going from ~ 5.42 % to ~ 1.35 % sKyHigh went down by ~ 4.04 %, going from ~ 7.13 % to ~ 3.09 % Losira went down by ~ 3.95 %, going from ~ 6.98 % to ~ 3.03 % Hurricane went down by ~ 3.46 %, going from ~ 4.95 % to ~ 1.49 % Pet went down by ~ 3.4 %, going from ~ 4.38 % to ~ 0.97 % Mvp went down by ~ 2.54 %, going from ~ 3.99 % to ~ 1.45 % Center went down by ~ 2.46 %, going from ~ 3.71 % to ~ 1.25 % Impact went down by ~ 2.45 %, going from ~ 3.33 % to ~ 0.88 % HerO went down by ~ 2.33 %, going from ~ 2.96 % to ~ 0.63 % Symbol went down by ~ 2.14 %, going from ~ 2.9 % to ~ 0.77 % Journey went down by ~ 2.13 %, going from ~ 3.02 % to ~ 0.89 % Scarlett went down by ~ 1.94 %, going from ~ 20.71 % to ~ 18.77 % ForGG went down by ~ 1.71 %, going from ~ 38.75 % to ~ 37.04 % Reality went down by ~ 1.7 %, going from ~ 2.33 % to ~ 0.63 % Pigbaby went down by ~ 1.67 %, going from ~ 2.09 % to ~ 0.42 % Lilbow went down by ~ 1.66 %, going from ~ 11.9 % to ~ 10.25 % Golden went down by ~ 1.65 %, going from ~ 2.44 % to ~ 0.79 % SuperNova went down by ~ 1.56 %, going from ~ 2.18 % to ~ 0.63 % Avenge went down by ~ 1.39 %, going from ~ 2.01 % to ~ 0.61 % Creator went down by ~ 1.34 %, going from ~ 1.79 % to ~ 0.45 % Revival went down by ~ 1.3 %, going from ~ 1.89 % to ~ 0.59 % RagnaroK went down by ~ 1.17 %, going from ~ 1.73 % to ~ 0.56 % Sorry went down by ~ 1.1 %, going from ~ 1.34 % to ~ 0.24 % Jim went down by ~ 1.06 %, going from ~ 12.33 % to ~ 11.27 % Polt went down by ~ 1.05 %, going from ~ 24.36 % to ~ 23.31 % EffOrt went down by ~ 1.05 %, going from ~ 1.5 % to ~ 0.45 % MajOr went down by ~ 0.99 %, going from ~ 21.2 % to ~ 20.21 % Snute went down by ~ 0.88 %, going from ~ 11.87 % to ~ 10.98 %
StarLeague Season 1 - Soulkey is at ~ 37.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 55.89 % of the time Soulkey wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 48.7 %. ~ 44.11 % of the time Soulkey loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 22.64 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Rogue is at ~ 28.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 44.11 % of the time Rogue wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 41.76 %. ~ 55.89 % of the time Rogue loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 17.51 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - Classic is at ~ 10.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 50.16 % of the time Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 16.4 %. ~ 49.84 % of the time Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.56 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Cure is at ~ 19.62 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 49.84 % of the time Cure wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 31.04 %. ~ 50.16 % of the time Cure loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 8.28 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - TaeJa is at ~ 72.1 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 68.07 % of the time TaeJa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 81.32 %. ~ 31.93 % of the time TaeJa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 52.44 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Terminator is at ~ 14.79 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 31.93 % of the time Terminator wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 26.21 %. ~ 68.07 % of the time Terminator loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 9.43 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - Solar is at ~ 56.37 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 60.04 % of the time Solar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 68.49 %. ~ 39.96 % of the time Solar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 38.17 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Dream is at ~ 13.34 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 39.96 % of the time Dream wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 22.29 %. ~ 60.04 % of the time Dream loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 7.39 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - Life is at ~ 56.1 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 53.45 % of the time Life wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 70.49 %. ~ 46.55 % of the time Life loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 39.58 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Flash is at ~ 24.93 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 46.55 % of the time Flash wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 40.07 %. ~ 53.45 % of the time Flash loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 11.75 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - TY is at ~ 52.26 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 57.84 % of the time TY wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 65.02 %. ~ 42.16 % of the time TY loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 34.75 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Scarlett is at ~ 18.77 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 42.16 % of the time Scarlett wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 27.4 %. ~ 57.84 % of the time Scarlett loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 12.47 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - GuMiho is at ~ 66.97 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 69.53 % of the time GuMiho wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 75.83 %. ~ 30.47 % of the time GuMiho loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 46.76 %. ------------------------------------------------- - sKyHigh is at ~ 3.09 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 30.47 % of the time sKyHigh wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 7.49 %. ~ 69.53 % of the time sKyHigh loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.16 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - INnoVation is at ~ 66.75 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 61.83 % of the time INnoVation wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 77.9 %. ~ 38.17 % of the time INnoVation loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 48.7 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Stats is at ~ 18.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 38.17 % of the time Stats wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 32.89 %. ~ 61.83 % of the time Stats loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 9.3 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - Dear is at ~ 43.95 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 55.42 % of the time Dear wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 56.53 %. ~ 44.58 % of the time Dear loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 28.31 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Patience is at ~ 5.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 44.58 % of the time Patience wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 9.31 %. ~ 55.42 % of the time Patience loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.65 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - Maru is at ~ 50.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 68.86 % of the time Maru wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 59.64 %. ~ 31.14 % of the time Maru loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 30.12 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Jim is at ~ 11.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 31.14 % of the time Jim wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 17.7 %. ~ 68.86 % of the time Jim loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 8.36 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - PartinG is at ~ 77.1 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 67.26 % of the time PartinG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 85.53 %. ~ 32.74 % of the time PartinG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 59.79 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Dark is at ~ 20.43 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 32.74 % of the time Dark wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.01 %. ~ 67.26 % of the time Dark loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 13.34 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - San is at ~ 40.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 55.06 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 52.69 %. ~ 44.94 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 25.45 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MyuNgSiK is at ~ 5.64 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 44.94 % of the time MyuNgSiK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 10.26 %. ~ 55.06 % of the time MyuNgSiK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.87 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - ByuL is at ~ 10.33 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 50.61 % of the time ByuL wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 16.97 %. ~ 49.39 % of the time ByuL loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.53 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Super is at ~ 30.6 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 49.39 % of the time Super wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 42.56 %. ~ 50.61 % of the time Super loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 18.93 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - herO is at ~ 84.31 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 58.56 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 92.43 %. ~ 41.44 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 72.84 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Bbyong is at ~ 20.63 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 41.44 % of the time Bbyong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.19 %. ~ 58.56 % of the time Bbyong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 10.33 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - Leenock is at ~ 9.74 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 54.47 % of the time Leenock wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 15.2 %. ~ 45.53 % of the time Leenock loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.21 %. ------------------------------------------------- - YongHwa is at ~ 8.26 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 45.53 % of the time YongHwa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 13.4 %. ~ 54.47 % of the time YongHwa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.97 %.
StarLeague Season 1 - FanTaSy is at ~ 9.98 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 50.19 % of the time FanTaSy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 15.39 %. ~ 49.81 % of the time FanTaSy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 4.53 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MarineKing is at ~ 28.77 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ~ 49.81 % of the time MarineKing wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 40.2 %. ~ 50.19 % of the time MarineKing loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 17.43 %.
SSL Season 1 Winning Chances TaeJa has a ~ 10.18 % chance to win ----going from ~ 72.1 % to ~ 99.73 % if they get 1st, or ~ 96.28 % if they get 2nd. PartinG has a ~ 9.76 % chance to win ----going from ~ 77.1 % to ~ 99.94 % if they get 1st, or ~ 98.04 % if they get 2nd. herO has a ~ 7.54 % chance to win ----going from ~ 84.31 % to ~ 99.99 % if they get 1st, or ~ 99.84 % if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a ~ 7.02 % chance to win ----going from ~ 66.97 % to ~ 99.87 % if they get 1st, or ~ 96.23 % if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a ~ 6.77 % chance to win ----going from ~ 66.75 % to ~ 99.9 % if they get 1st, or ~ 96.64 % if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Solar has a ~ 5.51 % chance to win ----going from ~ 56.37 % to ~ 99.42 % if they get 1st, or ~ 92.87 % if they get 2nd. Life has a ~ 5.29 % chance to win ----going from ~ 56.1 % to ~ 99.48 % if they get 1st, or ~ 93.4 % if they get 2nd. Maru has a ~ 5.19 % chance to win ----going from ~ 50.45 % to ~ 99.07 % if they get 1st, or ~ 89.67 % if they get 2nd. TY has a ~ 4.66 % chance to win ----going from ~ 52.26 % to ~ 99.57 % if they get 1st, or ~ 92.64 % if they get 2nd. Flash has a ~ 3.79 % chance to win ----going from ~ 24.93 % to ~ 94.86 % if they get 1st, or ~ 73.83 % if they get 2nd. Dear has a ~ 3.71 % chance to win ----going from ~ 43.95 % to ~ 98.87 % if they get 1st, or ~ 88.37 % if they get 2nd. San has a ~ 3.22 % chance to win ----going from ~ 40.45 % to ~ 98.7 % if they get 1st, or ~ 86.81 % if they get 2nd. Cure has a ~ 2.9 % chance to win ----going from ~ 19.62 % to ~ 92.98 % if they get 1st, or ~ 67.17 % if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a ~ 2.34 % chance to win ----going from ~ 20.63 % to ~ 97.18 % if they get 1st, or ~ 75.41 % if they get 2nd. Stats has a ~ 2.23 % chance to win ----going from ~ 18.3 % to ~ 95.3 % if they get 1st, or ~ 70.56 % if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a ~ 2.14 % chance to win ----going from ~ 37.21 % to ~ 99.52 % if they get 1st, or ~ 88.7 % if they get 2nd. Super has a ~ 1.96 % chance to win ----going from ~ 30.6 % to ~ 98.64 % if they get 1st, or ~ 83.14 % if they get 2nd. Rogue has a ~ 1.89 % chance to win ----going from ~ 28.21 % to ~ 97.97 % if they get 1st, or ~ 81.07 % if they get 2nd. ByuL has a ~ 1.7 % chance to win ----going from ~ 10.33 % to ~ 87.38 % if they get 1st, or ~ 52.44 % if they get 2nd. Leenock has a ~ 1.62 % chance to win ----going from ~ 9.74 % to ~ 86.23 % if they get 1st, or ~ 50.23 % if they get 2nd. Classic has a ~ 1.59 % chance to win ----going from ~ 10.01 % to ~ 87.34 % if they get 1st, or ~ 51.87 % if they get 2nd. Scarlett has a ~ 1.34 % chance to win ----going from ~ 18.77 % to ~ 88.64 % if they get 1st, or ~ 60.37 % if they get 2nd. Dark has a ~ 1.19 % chance to win ----going from ~ 20.43 % to ~ 97.12 % if they get 1st, or ~ 76.39 % if they get 2nd. MarineKing has a ~ 1.11 % chance to win ----going from ~ 28.77 % to ~ 99.79 % if they get 1st, or ~ 89.02 % if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a ~ 0.92 % chance to win ----going from ~ 5.64 % to ~ 82.54 % if they get 1st, or ~ 42.3 % if they get 2nd. Patience has a ~ 0.9 % chance to win ----going from ~ 5.06 % to ~ 81.52 % if they get 1st, or ~ 39.95 % if they get 2nd. Dream has a ~ 0.8 % chance to win ----going from ~ 13.34 % to ~ 95.12 % if they get 1st, or ~ 66.54 % if they get 2nd. Terminator has a ~ 0.71 % chance to win ----going from ~ 14.79 % to ~ 97.2 % if they get 1st, or ~ 72.02 % if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a ~ 0.71 % chance to win ----going from ~ 9.98 % to ~ 92.35 % if they get 1st, or ~ 57.79 % if they get 2nd. YongHwa has a ~ 0.57 % chance to win ----going from ~ 8.26 % to ~ 91.49 % if they get 1st, or ~ 54.26 % if they get 2nd. Jim has a ~ 0.42 % chance to win ----going from ~ 11.27 % to ~ 84.24 % if they get 1st, or ~ 50.71 % if they get 2nd. sKyHigh has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win ----going from ~ 3.09 % to ~ 92.35 % if they get 1st, or ~ 2.8 % if they don't.
Foreigner Hope (keep in mind these are without some possible Korean tournaments being announced like KeSPA Cup) Chances of 1+ foreigners ~ 95.83 % Chances of 2+ foreigners ~ 73.44 % Chances of 3+ foreigners ~ 35.09 % Chances of 4+ foreigners ~ 8.82 %
MajOr ~ 2.39 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 20.21 % chance overall. Scarlett ~ 1.89 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 18.77 % chance overall. VortiX ~ 1.17 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 10.47 % chance overall. Snute ~ 1.16 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 10.98 % chance overall. Lilbow ~ 1.15 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 10.25 % chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More] +
Jim ~ 1.08 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 11.27 % chance overall. Happy ~ 0.96 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 8.79 % chance overall. MaSa ~ 0.87 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 8.38 % chance overall. Nerchio ~ 0.83 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 7.64 % chance overall. Bunny ~ 0.72 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 6.74 % chance overall. Ourk ~ 0.71 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 6.68 % chance overall. TargA ~ 0.66 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 6.19 % chance overall. HeRoMaRinE ~ 0.56 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 5.29 % chance overall. ShoWTimE ~ 0.52 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 5.01 % chance overall. MaNa ~ 0.45 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 4.33 % chance overall. HuK ~ 0.38 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 3.94 % chance overall. Kas ~ 0.35 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 3.45 % chance overall. Top ~ 0.34 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 3.5 % chance overall. GunGFuBanDa ~ 0.32 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 3.19 % chance overall. uThermal ~ 0.32 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 3.18 % chance overall. Kane ~ 0.3 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 3.11 % chance overall. MarineLorD ~ 0.28 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.69 % chance overall. EnDerr ~ 0.25 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.48 % chance overall. XiGua ~ 0.23 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.32 % chance overall. Dayshi ~ 0.21 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.08 % chance overall. Starbuck ~ 0.2 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.04 % chance overall. qxc ~ 0.19 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.95 % chance overall. TLO ~ 0.18 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.77 % chance overall. Stephano ~ 0.16 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.63 % chance overall. Welmu ~ 0.16 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.65 % chance overall. XY ~ 0.15 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.51 % chance overall. iAsonu ~ 0.15 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.47 % chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! TaeJa is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
sOs won the #4 from MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup MarineKing won the #4 from Zest at Hot6ix Cup Zest won the #4 from Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup Soulkey won the #4 from Flash at Hot6ix Cup Flash won the #4 from Classic at Hot6ix Cup Life won the #1 from MMA at Blizzcon 2014 MMA won the #2 from Classic at Blizzcon 2014 Classic won the #4 from herO at Blizzcon 2014 TaeJa won the #3 from INnoVation at Blizzcon 2014
Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 22.2%, going from 28.2% to 50.4% Terminator went up by 11.22%, going from 14.8% to 26.02% Classic went up by 7.23%, going from 9.99% to 17.23% VortiX went up by 1.46%, going from 10.44% to 11.9% YoDa went up by 1.34%, going from 23.86% to 25.21% Solar went up by 0.94%, going from 56.4% to 57.35% jjakji went up by 0.74%, going from 5.03% to 5.77% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Nerchio went up by 0.62%, going from 7.64% to 8.25% Sacsri went up by 0.59%, going from 4.69% to 5.28% Dark went up by 0.54%, going from 20.44% to 20.98% Dear went up by 0.48%, going from 43.96% to 44.44% MarineKing went up by 0.46%, going from 28.77% to 29.22% Dream went up by 0.45%, going from 13.34% to 13.8% Super went up by 0.45%, going from 30.6% to 31.05% Flash went up by 0.44%, going from 24.92% to 25.37% Maru went up by 0.44%, going from 50.45% to 50.89% Scarlett went up by 0.42%, going from 18.76% to 19.18% Stats went up by 0.41%, going from 18.3% to 18.71% GuMiho went up by 0.4%, going from 66.99% to 67.39% ByuL went up by 0.4%, going from 10.33% to 10.73% Life went up by 0.37%, going from 56.07% to 56.44% Bbyong went up by 0.36%, going from 20.66% to 21.02% Leenock went up by 0.35%, going from 9.73% to 10.09% TY went up by 0.35%, going from 52.25% to 52.6% Jaedong went up by 0.34%, going from 7.59% to 7.93% INnoVation went up by 0.33%, going from 66.74% to 67.07% Dayshi went up by 0.31%, going from 2.07% to 2.38% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.27%, going from 5.64% to 5.91% Patience went up by 0.2%, going from 5.06% to 5.26% San went up by 0.17%, going from 40.47% to 40.63% Jim went up by 0.15%, going from 11.27% to 11.42% SuperNova went up by 0.11%, going from 0.63% to 0.74%
Biggest Losers TaeJa went down by 19.73%, going from 72.12% to 52.38% Soulkey went down by 18.85%, going from 37.21% to 18.36% Cure went down by 11.41%, going from 19.61% to 8.21% PartinG went down by 1.95%, going from 77.08% to 75.13% Lilbow went down by 0.82%, going from 10.26% to 9.43% Polt went down by 0.24%, going from 23.29% to 23.05% ForGG went down by 0.22%, going from 37.05% to 36.83% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
TargA went down by 0.19%, going from 6.19% to 5.99% TLO went down by 0.16%, going from 1.77% to 1.61% Bly went down by 0.16%, going from 0.81% to 0.65% Kane went down by 0.12%, going from 3.12% to 3.01% Majestic went down by 0.11%, going from 0.26% to 0.15%
Dream vs Solarin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Dream is at 13.8% Blizzcon Chances. 39.96% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.41%. 60.04% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.4%. Solar is at 57.35% Blizzcon Chances. 60.04% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.83%. 39.96% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.6%.
Life vs Flashin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Life is at 56.44% Blizzcon Chances. 53.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 71.14%. 46.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 39.59%. Flash is at 25.37% Blizzcon Chances. 46.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.94%. 53.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.78%.
Scarlett vs TYin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Scarlett is at 19.19% Blizzcon Chances. 42.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 28.44%. 57.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.44%. TY is at 52.6% Blizzcon Chances. 57.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 65.75%. 42.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.6%.
StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances in ~ PartinG has a 9.73% chance to win ----going from 75.12% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 97.76% if they get 2nd. herO has a 7.96% chance to win ----going from 84.33% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.83% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 7.79% chance to win ----going from 67.39% to 99.88% if they get 1st, or 96.23% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 7.42% chance to win ----going from 67.07% to 99.89% if they get 1st, or 96.62% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 6.36% chance to win ----going from 57.34% to 99.44% if they get 1st, or 92.89% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Rogue has a 6.01% chance to win ----going from 50.4% to 98.52% if they get 1st, or 85.25% if they get 2nd. Life has a 5.8% chance to win ----going from 56.44% to 99.47% if they get 1st, or 93.43% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 5.63% chance to win ----going from 50.89% to 99.06% if they get 1st, or 89.59% if they get 2nd. TY has a 5.07% chance to win ----going from 52.6% to 99.56% if they get 1st, or 92.65% if they get 2nd. Flash has a 4.1% chance to win ----going from 25.37% to 94.69% if they get 1st, or 73.7% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 4.1% chance to win ----going from 44.44% to 98.91% if they get 1st, or 88.18% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 3.64% chance to win ----going from 17.22% to 87.19% if they get 1st, or 51.62% if they get 2nd. San has a 3.52% chance to win ----going from 40.63% to 98.7% if they get 1st, or 86.66% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 2.68% chance to win ----going from 21.01% to 97.19% if they get 1st, or 74.78% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 2.62% chance to win ----going from 18.71% to 95.08% if they get 1st, or 70.4% if they get 2nd. Super has a 2.17% chance to win ----going from 31.05% to 98.66% if they get 1st, or 83.2% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 2.13% chance to win ----going from 26.02% to 97.22% if they get 1st, or 72.32% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 1.87% chance to win ----going from 10.73% to 87.56% if they get 1st, or 52.28% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 1.79% chance to win ----going from 10.09% to 86.63% if they get 1st, or 50.67% if they get 2nd. Scarlett has a 1.57% chance to win ----going from 19.19% to 88.91% if they get 1st, or 60.71% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 1.35% chance to win ----going from 20.98% to 97.18% if they get 1st, or 76.77% if they get 2nd. MarineKing has a 1.33% chance to win ----going from 29.22% to 99.81% if they get 1st, or 88.86% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 1.06% chance to win ----going from 5.91% to 82.86% if they get 1st, or 42.43% if they get 2nd. Patience has a 1.02% chance to win ----going from 5.26% to 81.61% if they get 1st, or 39.91% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 1.01% chance to win ----going from 13.8% to 94.92% if they get 1st, or 66.2% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 0.77% chance to win ----going from 10.04% to 92.53% if they get 1st, or 57.45% if they get 2nd. YongHwa has a 0.6% chance to win ----going from 8.25% to 91.38% if they get 1st, or 54.34% if they get 2nd. Jim has a 0.52% chance to win ----going from 11.42% to 84.45% if they get 1st, or 50.43% if they get 2nd. sKyHigh has a 0.37% chance to win ----going from 3.14% to 92.66% if they get 1st, or 2.82% if they don't.
--------UPDATE Thursday, Dec 18 10:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00) SSL Season 1 Challenge Day 1 and 2 Completed! (Sim #1133) Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
herO (CJ Entus), is at 83.66%, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median WCS Points: 4075
PartinG (Yoe), is at 77.6%, Min WCS Points: 400, Median WCS Points: 3925
Life (StarTale), is at 73.65%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 3600
GuMiho (Invasion), is at 70.39%, Min WCS Points: 400, Median WCS Points: 3425
TY (KT), is at 70.02%, Min WCS Points: 575, Median WCS Points: 3350
INnoVation (SKT T1), is at 65.62%, Min WCS Points: 400, Median WCS Points: 3200
Rain (mYinsanity), is at 63.89%, Min WCS Points: 650, Median WCS Points: 3075
Maru (Jinair), is at 49.76%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 2550
TaeJa (Liquid), is at 49.35%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 2550
Rogue (Jinair), is at 48.76%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 2525
Dear (Samsung), is at 43.6%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 2325
San (Yoe), is at 39.72%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 2200
Bomber, is at 39.71%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 2250
Dream (SKT T1), is at 39.65%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 2250
ForGG (Millenium), is at 36.45%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1900
Solar (Samsung), is at 36.3%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 2100
Terminator (Jinair), is at 36.13%, Min WCS Points: 575, Median WCS Points: 2175
Super (Invasion), is at 30.04%, Min WCS Points: 275, Median WCS Points: 1950
MarineKing (MVP), is at 29.54%, Min WCS Points: 650, Median WCS Points: 2025
First, is at 28.89%, Min WCS Points: 275, Median WCS Points: 1900
MMA (Acer), is at 27.58%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1825
sOs (Jinair), is at 25.21%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1875
YoDa (Prime), is at 23.45%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1700
Polt (CM Storm), is at 22.76%, Min WCS Points: 125, Median WCS Points: 1375
Bbyong (CJ Entus), is at 20.18%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1550
MajOr (ROOT), is at 20.01%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1275
Dark (SKT T1), is at 19.32%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1575
Stats (KT), is at 18.11%, Min WCS Points: 125, Median WCS Points: 1425
Classic (SKT T1), is at 17.35%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 1475
Soulkey (TCM), is at 17.3%, Min WCS Points: 400, Median WCS Points: 1625
Zest (KT), is at 17.29%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1525
Snute (Liquid), is at 11.93%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1025
viOLet, is at 11.9%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 925
VortiX (Millenium), is at 11.81%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 875
Jim (iG), is at 11.25%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1025
Scarlett (Acer), is at 11.09%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 875
Hydra (ROOT), is at 10.64%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 875
ByuL (CJ Entus), is at 9.94%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1100
Leenock (Yoe), is at 9.41%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1100
Lilbow (Millenium), is at 9.32%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 750
FanTaSy (Dead Pixels), is at 9.31%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1300
Happy, is at 8.64%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 750
MaSa (ROOT), is at 8.27%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 750
Nerchio (Acer), is at 8.18%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 750
YongHwa (MVP), is at 7.78%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1225
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at 7.72%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1000
Cure (Jinair), is at 7.7%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1000
Flash (KT), is at 7.65%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1000
Jaedong (EG), is at 7.17%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1225
MC, is at 6.91%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1150
Biggest Winners and Losers from SSL Season 1 Challenge Day 1 and 2. (Sim #1130) Biggest Winners Dream went up by 26.3%, going from 13.34% to 39.65% Terminator went up by 21.34%, going from 14.8% to 36.13% Rogue went up by 20.56%, going from 28.2% to 48.76% TY went up by 17.77%, going from 52.25% to 70.02% Life went up by 17.57%, going from 56.07% to 73.65% Classic went up by 7.36%, going from 9.99% to 17.35% First went up by 4.2%, going from 24.69% to 28.89% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
GuMiho went up by 3.4%, going from 66.99% to 70.39% VortiX went up by 1.37%, going from 10.44% to 11.81% Snute went up by 0.95%, going from 10.99% to 11.93% MarineKing went up by 0.78%, going from 28.77% to 29.54% Nerchio went up by 0.54%, going from 7.64% to 8.18% PartinG went up by 0.53%, going from 77.08% to 77.6% Sacsri went up by 0.32%, going from 4.69% to 5.01% Dayshi went up by 0.28%, going from 2.07% to 2.35% Harstem went up by 0.19%, going from 1.09% to 1.28% XiGua went up by 0.17%, going from 2.31% to 2.48% SuperNova went up by 0.15%, going from 0.63% to 0.78% Revolver went up by 0.12%, going from 0.18% to 0.3%
Biggest Losers TaeJa went down by 22.77%, going from 72.12% to 49.35% Solar went down by 20.11%, going from 56.4% to 36.3% Soulkey went down by 19.91%, going from 37.21% to 17.3% Flash went down by 17.28%, going from 24.92% to 7.65% Cure went down by 11.91%, going from 19.61% to 7.7% Scarlett went down by 7.67%, going from 18.76% to 11.09% Rain went down by 1.2%, going from 65.08% to 63.89% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Dark went down by 1.13%, going from 20.44% to 19.32% INnoVation went down by 1.13%, going from 66.74% to 65.62% Bomber went down by 1.11%, going from 40.82% to 39.71% Lilbow went down by 0.94%, going from 10.26% to 9.32% MMA went down by 0.92%, going from 28.5% to 27.58% San went down by 0.75%, going from 40.47% to 39.72% Maru went down by 0.69%, going from 50.45% to 49.76% FanTaSy went down by 0.68%, going from 9.99% to 9.31% herO went down by 0.65%, going from 84.31% to 83.66% ForGG went down by 0.6%, going from 37.05% to 36.45% Super went down by 0.56%, going from 30.6% to 30.04% Bly went down by 0.54%, going from 0.81% to 0.27% Heart went down by 0.54%, going from 5.37% to 4.83% Polt went down by 0.53%, going from 23.29% to 22.76% YongHwa went down by 0.48%, going from 8.26% to 7.78% Bbyong went down by 0.48%, going from 20.66% to 20.18% ShoWTimE went down by 0.44%, going from 4.99% to 4.55% MC went down by 0.44%, going from 7.35% to 6.91% sOs went down by 0.43%, going from 25.64% to 25.21% Jaedong went down by 0.42%, going from 7.59% to 7.17% YoDa went down by 0.41%, going from 23.86% to 23.45% ByuL went down by 0.39%, going from 10.33% to 9.94% HyuN went down by 0.36%, going from 8.08% to 7.72% Dear went down by 0.36%, going from 43.96% to 43.6% Zest went down by 0.34%, going from 17.63% to 17.29% Hack went down by 0.33%, going from 5.31% to 4.98% Curious went down by 0.33%, going from 4.37% to 4.04% Leenock went down by 0.33%, going from 9.73% to 9.41% soO went down by 0.26%, going from 5.01% to 4.74% HuK went down by 0.24%, going from 3.93% to 3.7% KingKong went down by 0.22%, going from 2.61% to 2.39% sKyHigh went down by 0.21%, going from 3.07% to 2.86% Losira went down by 0.2%, going from 3.02% to 2.82% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.2%, going from 5.64% to 5.44% Stats went down by 0.19%, going from 18.3% to 18.11% MajOr went down by 0.19%, going from 20.2% to 20.01% TLO went down by 0.18%, going from 1.77% to 1.59% Hydra went down by 0.18%, going from 10.82% to 10.64% viOLet went down by 0.18%, going from 12.08% to 11.9% Hurricane went down by 0.17%, going from 1.49% to 1.32% Elazer went down by 0.16%, going from 0.73% to 0.56% Ourk went down by 0.16%, going from 6.68% to 6.51% Happy went down by 0.16%, going from 8.8% to 8.64%
SSL Season 1 Round of 32 Previews Day 3, 4, and 5 INnoVation vs Statsin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. INnoVation is at 65.63% Blizzcon Chances. 61.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 76.95%. 38.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 47.3%. Stats is at 18.12% Blizzcon Chances. 38.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.06%. 61.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.88%.
Dear vs Patiencein in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Dear is at 43.6% Blizzcon Chances. 55.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 56.52%. 44.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.49%. Patience is at 5.02% Blizzcon Chances. 44.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.34%. 55.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.56%.
Maru vs Jimin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Maru is at 49.78% Blizzcon Chances. 68.88% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 59.11%. 31.12% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 29.13%. Jim is at 11.26% Blizzcon Chances. 31.12% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.84%. 68.88% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.28%.
PartinG vs Darkin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. PartinG is at 77.59% Blizzcon Chances. 67.96% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 85.96%. 32.04% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 59.85%. Dark is at 19.31% Blizzcon Chances. 32.04% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.65%. 67.96% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.56%.
MyuNgSiK vs Sanin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. MyuNgSiK is at 5.44% Blizzcon Chances. 44.83% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.99%. 55.17% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.75%. San is at 39.72% Blizzcon Chances. 55.17% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 51.98%. 44.83% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.63%.
ByuL vs Superin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. ByuL is at 9.94% Blizzcon Chances. 50.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 16.41%. 49.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.31%. Super is at 30.05% Blizzcon Chances. 49.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.18%. 50.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.23%.
Bbyong vs herOin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Bbyong is at 20.17% Blizzcon Chances. 41.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.72%. 58.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.86%. herO is at 83.66% Blizzcon Chances. 58.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 91.99%. 41.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 71.88%.
Leenock vs YongHwain in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Leenock is at 9.41% Blizzcon Chances. 54.53% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.74%. 45.47% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.01%. YongHwa is at 7.79% Blizzcon Chances. 45.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.69%. 54.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.7%.
MarineKing vs FanTaSyin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. MarineKing is at 29.54% Blizzcon Chances. 50.48% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.89%. 49.52% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.97%. FanTaSy is at 9.31% Blizzcon Chances. 49.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.54%. 50.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.18%.
SSL Season 1 Winning Chances Life has a 11.39% chance to win ----going from 73.65% to 99.54% if they get 1st, or 94.19% if they get 2nd. PartinG has a 10.48% chance to win ----going from 77.59% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 98.05% if they get 2nd. TY has a 9.93% chance to win ----going from 70.03% to 99.63% if they get 1st, or 93.9% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 8.39% chance to win ----going from 70.39% to 99.88% if they get 1st, or 96.74% if they get 2nd. herO has a 7.53% chance to win ----going from 83.66% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.81% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
INnoVation has a 6.8% chance to win ----going from 65.63% to 99.87% if they get 1st, or 96.39% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 5.47% chance to win ----going from 48.77% to 98.37% if they get 1st, or 84.43% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 5.27% chance to win ----going from 49.78% to 98.99% if they get 1st, or 89.24% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.32% chance to win ----going from 39.65% to 97.59% if they get 1st, or 79.09% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 3.91% chance to win ----going from 43.6% to 98.88% if they get 1st, or 87.99% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 3.58% chance to win ----going from 17.35% to 87.1% if they get 1st, or 52.15% if they get 2nd. San has a 3.28% chance to win ----going from 39.72% to 98.59% if they get 1st, or 86.3% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 3.09% chance to win ----going from 36.13% to 98.27% if they get 1st, or 79.86% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 2.46% chance to win ----going from 18.12% to 94.76% if they get 1st, or 69.67% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 2.43% chance to win ----going from 20.17% to 96.89% if they get 1st, or 73.77% if they get 2nd. Super has a 2.07% chance to win ----going from 30.05% to 98.59% if they get 1st, or 82.56% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 1.68% chance to win ----going from 9.94% to 86.4% if they get 1st, or 50.78% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 1.6% chance to win ----going from 9.41% to 85.81% if they get 1st, or 49.2% if they get 2nd. MarineKing has a 1.26% chance to win ----going from 29.54% to 99.8% if they get 1st, or 88.86% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 1.13% chance to win ----going from 19.31% to 96.82% if they get 1st, or 74.89% if they get 2nd. Patience has a 0.96% chance to win ----going from 5.02% to 80.6% if they get 1st, or 39.16% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 0.95% chance to win ----going from 5.44% to 82.07% if they get 1st, or 41.34% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 0.68% chance to win ----going from 9.31% to 92.2% if they get 1st, or 56.54% if they get 2nd. YongHwa has a 0.56% chance to win ----going from 7.79% to 90.82% if they get 1st, or 52.97% if they get 2nd. Jim has a 0.47% chance to win ----going from 11.26% to 84.14% if they get 1st, or 49.98% if they get 2nd. sKyHigh has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 2.86% to 92.35% if they get 1st, or 2.58% if they don't.
Foreigner Hope (keep in mind these are without some possible Korean tournaments being announced like KeSPA Cup) Chances of 1+ foreigners 95.2% Chances of 2+ foreigners 70.75% Chances of 3+ foreigners 31.42% Chances of 4+ foreigners 6.99%
MajOr2.67% chance to be the only foreigner, 20.01% chance overall. VortiX1.53% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.81% chance overall. Snute1.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.93% chance overall. Scarlett1.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.09% chance overall. Jim1.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.25% chance overall. Lilbow1.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.32% chance overall. Happy1.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.64% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Nerchio1.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.18% chance overall. MaSa0.97% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.27% chance overall. Bunny0.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.57% chance overall. Ourk0.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.51% chance overall. TargA0.75% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.2% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.62% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.19% chance overall. ShoWTimE0.53% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.55% chance overall. MaNa0.49% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.24% chance overall. HuK0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.7% chance overall. Kas0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.39% chance overall. Top0.38% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.44% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.14% chance overall. uThermal0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.07% chance overall. Kane0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.99% chance overall. MarineLorD0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.56% chance overall. EnDerr0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.4% chance overall. XiGua0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.48% chance overall. Dayshi0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.35% chance overall. Starbuck0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.99% chance overall. qxc0.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.92% chance overall. Welmu0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.61% chance overall. Stephano0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.61% chance overall. TLO0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.59% chance overall. iAsonu0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.44% chance overall. XY0.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.49% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Terminator is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
On December 19 2014 07:34 SetGuitarsToKill wrote: Might wanna take Vortix off your list dude.
You mean like Taeja and Stephano and Choya? Lol. His chances will fade over time, especially if he doesn't qualify for WCS Season 1. But he still has a chance even though he said he's taking a break, there's always the chance he changes his mind.
Even the post from Millenium says "He is however leaving the door open to a comeback in a few months if the passion comes back.", so even if he takes a break for a few months, he could theoretically kick ass in Seasons 2 and 3 and make it to Blizzcon.
I could just subtract 100 or 200 points from his Aligulac rating but that seems awfully subjective so I don't really like that. I could assume that he won't participate in the WCS Season 1 qualifiers, that wouldn't really be subjective it's just going off of what Millenium said so I kinda like that idea.
Biggest Winners Dream went up by 26.09%, going from 13.34% to 39.43% Terminator went up by 21.35%, going from 14.8% to 36.15% Rogue went up by 20.34%, going from 28.2% to 48.55% Life went up by 17.13%, going from 56.07% to 73.2% TY went up by 15.79%, going from 52.25% to 68.04% Classic went up by 7.32%, going from 9.99% to 17.32% GuMiho went up by 5.54%, going from 66.99% to 72.53% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
FanTaSy went up by 4.76%, going from 9.99% to 14.75% Hydra went up by 3.53%, going from 10.82% to 14.35% PartinG went up by 2.89%, going from 77.08% to 79.96% Dear went up by 2.52%, going from 43.96% to 46.48% First went up by 1.81%, going from 24.69% to 26.5% Hitman went up by 1.68%, going from 0.4% to 2.08% Patience went up by 1.57%, going from 5.06% to 6.63% VortiX went up by 1.29%, going from 10.44% to 11.73% Maru went up by 1.12%, going from 50.45% to 51.57% Snute went up by 0.88%, going from 10.99% to 11.87% Nerchio went up by 0.72%, going from 7.64% to 8.35% Hurricane went up by 0.63%, going from 1.49% to 2.12% Happy went up by 0.43%, going from 8.8% to 9.23% SuperNova went up by 0.36%, going from 0.63% to 0.99% sOs went up by 0.3%, going from 25.64% to 25.94% Dayshi went up by 0.29%, going from 2.07% to 2.36% souL went up by 0.28%, going from 0.01% to 0.29% Xenocider went up by 0.26%, going from 0.01% to 0.26% Strelok went up by 0.25%, going from 1.1% to 1.35% XiGua went up by 0.21%, going from 2.31% to 2.52% Armani went up by 0.19%, going from 0.17% to 0.36% Starbuck went up by 0.18%, going from 2.05% to 2.22% Revival went up by 0.18%, going from 0.59% to 0.76% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.14%, going from 5.64% to 5.78% Complain went up by 0.12%, going from 0.09% to 0.21% Rain went up by 0.12%, going from 65.08% to 65.2% eMotion went up by 0.11%, going from 0.29% to 0.4% qxc went up by 0.1%, going from 1.95% to 2.05%
Biggest Losers TaeJa went down by 22.85%, going from 72.12% to 49.27% Solar went down by 21.45%, going from 56.4% to 34.95% Soulkey went down by 19.93%, going from 37.21% to 17.28% Flash went down by 17.31%, going from 24.92% to 7.62% Cure went down by 12.01%, going from 19.61% to 7.61% Scarlett went down by 10.46%, going from 18.76% to 8.31% viOLet went down by 2.22%, going from 12.08% to 9.86% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
YoDa went down by 2.2%, going from 23.86% to 21.66% MMA went down by 2.03%, going from 28.5% to 26.47% Jim went down by 1.86%, going from 11.27% to 9.41% Bomber went down by 1.8%, going from 40.82% to 39.02% ByuL went down by 1.72%, going from 10.33% to 8.62% ForGG went down by 1.68%, going from 37.05% to 35.36% Lilbow went down by 1.44%, going from 10.26% to 8.82% INnoVation went down by 1.37%, going from 66.74% to 65.38% Dark went down by 1.36%, going from 20.44% to 19.08% Zest went down by 1.23%, going from 17.63% to 16.4% herO went down by 1.2%, going from 84.31% to 83.11% Sacsri went down by 1.16%, going from 4.69% to 3.54% Heart went down by 1.1%, going from 5.37% to 4.28% Curious went down by 1.08%, going from 4.37% to 3.29% YongHwa went down by 1.04%, going from 8.26% to 7.22% Bunny went down by 0.93%, going from 6.73% to 5.8% KingKong went down by 0.92%, going from 2.61% to 1.68% jjakji went down by 0.58%, going from 5.03% to 4.45% MC went down by 0.57%, going from 7.35% to 6.77% ShoWTimE went down by 0.57%, going from 4.99% to 4.42% Jaedong went down by 0.54%, going from 7.59% to 7.05% HuK went down by 0.5%, going from 3.93% to 3.44% MajOr went down by 0.39%, going from 20.2% to 19.81% uThermal went down by 0.38%, going from 3.18% to 2.8% Hack went down by 0.37%, going from 5.31% to 4.94% Super went down by 0.32%, going from 30.6% to 30.28% Losira went down by 0.31%, going from 3.02% to 2.71% sKyHigh went down by 0.29%, going from 3.07% to 2.78% soO went down by 0.29%, going from 5.01% to 4.72% MarineKing went down by 0.27%, going from 28.77% to 28.49% Elazer went down by 0.26%, going from 0.73% to 0.46% hendralisk went down by 0.25%, going from 0.78% to 0.53% Bly went down by 0.25%, going from 0.81% to 0.57% Bbyong went down by 0.23%, going from 20.66% to 20.42% Kane went down by 0.23%, going from 3.12% to 2.89% TLO went down by 0.2%, going from 1.77% to 1.57% sLivko went down by 0.2%, going from 0.98% to 0.78% puCK went down by 0.19%, going from 0.89% to 0.7% Stats went down by 0.19%, going from 18.3% to 18.12% Pet went down by 0.18%, going from 0.97% to 0.79% MaNa went down by 0.18%, going from 4.34% to 4.15% Ourk went down by 0.18%, going from 6.68% to 6.5% DongRaeGu went down by 0.15%, going from 1.96% to 1.81%
GuMiho vs sKyHighin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. GuMiho is at 72.53% Blizzcon Chances. 71.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 80.49%. 28.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 52.09%. sKyHigh is at 2.78% Blizzcon Chances. 28.03% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.15%. 71.97% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.07%.
INnoVation vs Statsin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. INnoVation is at 65.38% Blizzcon Chances. 61.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 76.65%. 38.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 47.15%. Stats is at 18.12% Blizzcon Chances. 38.22% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.96%. 61.78% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.94%.
Dear vs Patiencein in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Dear is at 46.48% Blizzcon Chances. 54.6% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 59.86%. 45.4% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.38%. Patience is at 6.63% Blizzcon Chances. 45.4% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.94%. 54.6% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.21%.
StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances in ~ PartinG has a 11.46% chance to win ----going from 79.96% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 98.37% if they get 2nd. Life has a 10.99% chance to win ----going from 73.2% to 99.52% if they get 1st, or 94.11% if they get 2nd. TY has a 9.12% chance to win ----going from 68.04% to 99.6% if they get 1st, or 93.36% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 8.9% chance to win ----going from 72.53% to 99.91% if they get 1st, or 97.08% if they get 2nd. herO has a 7.2% chance to win ----going from 83.11% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.8% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
INnoVation has a 6.62% chance to win ----going from 65.38% to 99.86% if they get 1st, or 96.33% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 5.51% chance to win ----going from 51.57% to 99.06% if they get 1st, or 89.88% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 5.3% chance to win ----going from 48.55% to 98.37% if they get 1st, or 84.65% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.19% chance to win ----going from 39.43% to 97.63% if they get 1st, or 79.42% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 4.15% chance to win ----going from 46.48% to 99.03% if they get 1st, or 89.68% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 3.55% chance to win ----going from 17.32% to 87.29% if they get 1st, or 52.35% if they get 2nd. San has a 3.35% chance to win ----going from 40.41% to 98.64% if they get 1st, or 86.87% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 3.09% chance to win ----going from 36.15% to 98.35% if they get 1st, or 79.88% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 2.44% chance to win ----going from 18.12% to 94.84% if they get 1st, or 69.65% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 2.39% chance to win ----going from 20.42% to 97.07% if they get 1st, or 74.53% if they get 2nd. Super has a 2.08% chance to win ----going from 30.28% to 98.56% if they get 1st, or 82.68% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 1.64% chance to win ----going from 9.83% to 86.11% if they get 1st, or 49.95% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 1.44% chance to win ----going from 8.62% to 85.57% if they get 1st, or 48.46% if they get 2nd. Patience has a 1.19% chance to win ----going from 6.63% to 83.56% if they get 1st, or 44.38% if they get 2nd. MarineKing has a 1.16% chance to win ----going from 28.49% to 99.77% if they get 1st, or 88.93% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 1.07% chance to win ----going from 19.08% to 96.92% if they get 1st, or 75.7% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 1.04% chance to win ----going from 14.75% to 94.85% if they get 1st, or 65.59% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 0.98% chance to win ----going from 5.78% to 82.59% if they get 1st, or 42.46% if they get 2nd. YongHwa has a 0.51% chance to win ----going from 7.22% to 90.48% if they get 1st, or 52.17% if they get 2nd. Jim has a 0.35% chance to win ----going from 9.41% to 81.98% if they get 1st, or 46.42% if they get 2nd. sKyHigh has a 0.29% chance to win ----going from 2.78% to 91.8% if they get 1st, or 2.51% if they don't.
Also includes the setting of the GSL Ro32 groups. Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 26.01%, going from 28.2% to 54.21% Dream went up by 25.37%, going from 13.34% to 38.71% Terminator went up by 19.69%, going from 14.8% to 34.48% Dear went up by 19.22%, going from 43.96% to 63.18% Life went up by 15.67%, going from 56.07% to 71.74% TY went up by 15.64%, going from 52.25% to 67.89% Stats went up by 14.72%, going from 18.3% to 33.03% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
GuMiho went up by 11.99%, going from 66.99% to 78.98% Classic went up by 7.03%, going from 9.99% to 17.03% PartinG went up by 5.82%, going from 77.08% to 82.9% FanTaSy went up by 5.32%, going from 9.99% to 15.31% Rain went up by 3.5%, going from 65.08% to 68.59% Hydra went up by 3.39%, going from 10.82% to 14.21% Hitman went up by 1.67%, going from 0.4% to 2.07% VortiX went up by 1.22%, going from 10.44% to 11.66% Snute went up by 0.8%, going from 10.99% to 11.78% Nerchio went up by 0.68%, going from 7.64% to 8.32% Hurricane went up by 0.67%, going from 1.49% to 2.16% MC went up by 0.65%, going from 7.35% to 7.99% Happy went up by 0.35%, going from 8.8% to 9.16% SuperNova went up by 0.33%, going from 0.63% to 0.96% Maru went up by 0.29%, going from 50.45% to 50.74% Dayshi went up by 0.29%, going from 2.07% to 2.35% souL went up by 0.27%, going from 0.01% to 0.28% Xenocider went up by 0.27%, going from 0.01% to 0.27% Strelok went up by 0.24%, going from 1.1% to 1.34% XiGua went up by 0.22%, going from 2.31% to 2.52% Starbuck went up by 0.18%, going from 2.05% to 2.22% Armani went up by 0.18%, going from 0.17% to 0.35% Revival went up by 0.15%, going from 0.59% to 0.74% Complain went up by 0.12%, going from 0.09% to 0.21% Polt went up by 0.11%, going from 23.29% to 23.39% eMotion went up by 0.1%, going from 0.29% to 0.39% qxc went up by 0.1%, going from 1.95% to 2.06%
Biggest Losers TaeJa went down by 24.29%, going from 72.12% to 47.83% Solar went down by 22.99%, going from 56.4% to 33.42% INnoVation went down by 21.04%, going from 66.74% to 45.7% Soulkey went down by 20.31%, going from 37.21% to 16.9% Flash went down by 18.71%, going from 24.92% to 6.22% Cure went down by 12.28%, going from 19.61% to 7.34% Scarlett went down by 11.29%, going from 18.76% to 7.47% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Patience went down by 3.11%, going from 5.06% to 1.95% MarineKing went down by 2.44%, going from 28.77% to 26.32% YoDa went down by 2.23%, going from 23.86% to 21.63% ByuL went down by 2.22%, going from 10.33% to 8.11% viOLet went down by 2.21%, going from 12.08% to 9.87% ForGG went down by 2.08%, going from 37.05% to 34.96% MMA went down by 2.06%, going from 28.5% to 26.44% Super went down by 1.99%, going from 30.6% to 28.6% sKyHigh went down by 1.97%, going from 3.07% to 1.1% Bomber went down by 1.96%, going from 40.82% to 38.86% herO went down by 1.92%, going from 84.31% to 82.38% Jim went down by 1.8%, going from 11.27% to 9.47% Zest went down by 1.51%, going from 17.63% to 16.12% YongHwa went down by 1.5%, going from 8.26% to 6.76% Lilbow went down by 1.48%, going from 10.26% to 8.77% Dark went down by 1.45%, going from 20.44% to 18.99% Curious went down by 1.41%, going from 4.37% to 2.96% Sacsri went down by 1.29%, going from 4.69% to 3.4% Heart went down by 1.28%, going from 5.37% to 4.09% KingKong went down by 0.97%, going from 2.61% to 1.63% Bunny went down by 0.95%, going from 6.73% to 5.78% Hack went down by 0.94%, going from 5.31% to 4.37% jjakji went down by 0.71%, going from 5.03% to 4.32% Jaedong went down by 0.71%, going from 7.59% to 6.88% San went down by 0.65%, going from 40.47% to 39.82% MajOr went down by 0.62%, going from 20.2% to 19.58% ShoWTimE went down by 0.6%, going from 4.99% to 4.39% HuK went down by 0.47%, going from 3.93% to 3.46% Bbyong went down by 0.47%, going from 20.66% to 20.19% Leenock went down by 0.44%, going from 9.73% to 9.29% soO went down by 0.43%, going from 5.01% to 4.57% Losira went down by 0.41%, going from 3.02% to 2.6% uThermal went down by 0.37%, going from 3.18% to 2.81% HyuN went down by 0.35%, going from 8.08% to 7.73% First went down by 0.28%, going from 24.69% to 24.41% Elazer went down by 0.27%, going from 0.73% to 0.45% hendralisk went down by 0.25%, going from 0.78% to 0.53% Bly went down by 0.24%, going from 0.81% to 0.57% StarDust went down by 0.23%, going from 3.17% to 2.94% Ourk went down by 0.22%, going from 6.68% to 6.45% TLO went down by 0.22%, going from 1.77% to 1.56% Kane went down by 0.21%, going from 3.12% to 2.91% DongRaeGu went down by 0.21%, going from 1.96% to 1.75%
Maru vs Jimin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Maru is at 50.74% Blizzcon Chances. 70.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 59.52%. 29.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 29.69%. Jim is at 9.47% Blizzcon Chances. 29.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.22%. 70.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.07%.
PartinG vs Darkin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. PartinG is at 82.9% Blizzcon Chances. 70.46% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 89.6%. 29.54% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 66.91%. Dark is at 18.99% Blizzcon Chances. 29.54% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.56%. 70.46% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.88%.
San vs MyuNgSiKin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. San is at 39.82% Blizzcon Chances. 54.94% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 51.95%. 45.06% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.03%. MyuNgSiK is at 5.56% Blizzcon Chances. 45.06% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.99%. 54.94% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.92%.
StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances in PartinG has a 12.73% chance to win ----going from 82.9% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 98.66% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 12.13% chance to win ----going from 78.98% to 99.89% if they get 1st, or 96.7% if they get 2nd. Life has a 10.31% chance to win ----going from 71.74% to 99.48% if they get 1st, or 93.64% if they get 2nd. TY has a 8.82% chance to win ----going from 67.89% to 99.6% if they get 1st, or 93.34% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 7.75% chance to win ----going from 63.18% to 99.28% if they get 1st, or 91.26% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
herO has a 6.58% chance to win ----going from 82.38% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.79% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 6.04% chance to win ----going from 33.03% to 95.11% if they get 1st, or 70.49% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 5.61% chance to win ----going from 54.21% to 98.93% if they get 1st, or 88.32% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 5.29% chance to win ----going from 50.74% to 99.02% if they get 1st, or 89.49% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.11% chance to win ----going from 38.71% to 97.55% if they get 1st, or 79.13% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 3.34% chance to win ----going from 17.03% to 87.2% if they get 1st, or 52.52% if they get 2nd. San has a 3.03% chance to win ----going from 39.82% to 98.65% if they get 1st, or 86.59% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 2.62% chance to win ----going from 34.48% to 98.25% if they get 1st, or 79.54% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 2.34% chance to win ----going from 20.19% to 96.95% if they get 1st, or 74.45% if they get 2nd. Super has a 1.86% chance to win ----going from 28.6% to 98.41% if they get 1st, or 81.38% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 1.47% chance to win ----going from 9.29% to 86.02% if they get 1st, or 49.58% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 1.3% chance to win ----going from 8.11% to 85.53% if they get 1st, or 47.9% if they get 2nd. MarineKing has a 1.03% chance to win ----going from 26.32% to 99.71% if they get 1st, or 87.71% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 0.99% chance to win ----going from 15.31% to 95.11% if they get 1st, or 67.27% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 0.97% chance to win ----going from 18.99% to 96.96% if they get 1st, or 75.92% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 0.9% chance to win ----going from 5.56% to 82.68% if they get 1st, or 41.92% if they get 2nd. YongHwa has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 6.76% to 89.99% if they get 1st, or 50.4% if they get 2nd. Jim has a 0.35% chance to win ----going from 9.47% to 81.41% if they get 1st, or 46.1% if they get 2nd.
Also includes the setting of the GSL Ro32 groups. Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 26.47%, going from 28.2% to 54.67% Dream went up by 25.06%, going from 13.34% to 38.41% Dark went up by 23.04%, going from 20.44% to 43.48% Terminator went up by 20.52%, going from 14.8% to 35.32% Dear went up by 19.77%, going from 43.96% to 63.73% Life went up by 16.23%, going from 56.07% to 72.31% TY went up by 16.07%, going from 52.25% to 68.33% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Stats went up by 14.92%, going from 18.3% to 33.22% GuMiho went up by 12.21%, going from 66.99% to 79.2% Maru went up by 10.77%, going from 50.45% to 61.22% Classic went up by 7.56%, going from 9.99% to 17.56% MyuNgSiK went up by 7.31%, going from 5.64% to 12.95% FanTaSy went up by 5.14%, going from 9.99% to 15.13% Hydra went up by 3.79%, going from 10.82% to 14.62% Rain went up by 3.69%, going from 65.08% to 68.77% Hitman went up by 1.63%, going from 0.4% to 2.04% VortiX went up by 1.2%, going from 10.44% to 11.64% Polt went up by 0.85%, going from 23.29% to 24.14% Snute went up by 0.72%, going from 10.99% to 11.7% Hurricane went up by 0.7%, going from 1.49% to 2.19% MC went up by 0.62%, going from 7.35% to 7.97% Top went up by 0.61%, going from 3.5% to 4.11% Nerchio went up by 0.61%, going from 7.64% to 8.25% SuperNova went up by 0.34%, going from 0.63% to 0.97% Happy went up by 0.26%, going from 8.8% to 9.07% souL went up by 0.26%, going from 0.01% to 0.27% Xenocider went up by 0.25%, going from 0.01% to 0.25% Dayshi went up by 0.2%, going from 2.07% to 2.27% MaSa went up by 0.18%, going from 8.39% to 8.57% Strelok went up by 0.18%, going from 1.1% to 1.28% Armani went up by 0.17%, going from 0.17% to 0.34% XiGua went up by 0.16%, going from 2.31% to 2.47% Revival went up by 0.16%, going from 0.59% to 0.74% sOs went up by 0.14%, going from 25.64% to 25.78% Complain went up by 0.11%, going from 0.09% to 0.2% eMotion went up by 0.11%, going from 0.29% to 0.39%
Biggest Losers TaeJa went down by 24.16%, going from 72.12% to 47.96% Solar went down by 23.07%, going from 56.4% to 33.34% INnoVation went down by 21.08%, going from 66.74% to 45.67% Soulkey went down by 20.36%, going from 37.21% to 16.85% PartinG went down by 19.54%, going from 77.08% to 57.53% San went down by 18.93%, going from 40.47% to 21.54% Flash went down by 18.62%, going from 24.92% to 6.3% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Cure went down by 12.1%, going from 19.61% to 7.51% Scarlett went down by 11.23%, going from 18.76% to 7.54% Jim went down by 4.26%, going from 11.27% to 7.01% Patience went down by 3.07%, going from 5.06% to 1.99% MarineKing went down by 2.92%, going from 28.77% to 25.85% MMA went down by 2.38%, going from 28.5% to 26.13% Bomber went down by 2.17%, going from 40.82% to 38.65% viOLet went down by 2.08%, going from 12.08% to 10.01% YoDa went down by 2.07%, going from 23.86% to 21.79% Super went down by 2.02%, going from 30.6% to 28.58% sKyHigh went down by 1.99%, going from 3.07% to 1.08% ByuL went down by 1.95%, going from 10.33% to 8.38% herO went down by 1.82%, going from 84.31% to 82.48% Lilbow went down by 1.59%, going from 10.26% to 8.67% ForGG went down by 1.54%, going from 37.05% to 35.5% Curious went down by 1.46%, going from 4.37% to 2.9% YongHwa went down by 1.44%, going from 8.26% to 6.81% Zest went down by 1.37%, going from 17.63% to 16.26% Heart went down by 1.31%, going from 5.37% to 4.06% Sacsri went down by 1.23%, going from 4.69% to 3.46% Bunny went down by 1.05%, going from 6.73% to 5.67% KingKong went down by 0.96%, going from 2.61% to 1.65% Hack went down by 0.92%, going from 5.31% to 4.39% ShoWTimE went down by 0.7%, going from 4.99% to 4.29% jjakji went down by 0.64%, going from 5.03% to 4.39% Jaedong went down by 0.64%, going from 7.59% to 6.96% HuK went down by 0.51%, going from 3.93% to 3.43% MajOr went down by 0.45%, going from 20.2% to 19.75% uThermal went down by 0.38%, going from 3.18% to 2.8% soO went down by 0.38%, going from 5.01% to 4.63% Losira went down by 0.36%, going from 3.02% to 2.65% Ourk went down by 0.31%, going from 6.68% to 6.36% iAsonu went down by 0.31%, going from 1.47% to 1.16% Elazer went down by 0.31%, going from 0.73% to 0.42% hendralisk went down by 0.28%, going from 0.78% to 0.5% Bly went down by 0.28%, going from 0.81% to 0.54% TLO went down by 0.27%, going from 1.77% to 1.5% MaNa went down by 0.27%, going from 4.34% to 4.07% sLivko went down by 0.25%, going from 0.98% to 0.72% Kas went down by 0.24%, going from 3.45% to 3.21% Illusion went down by 0.24%, going from 0.41% to 0.17% Kane went down by 0.23%, going from 3.12% to 2.89% DongRaeGu went down by 0.23%, going from 1.96% to 1.73%
ByuL vs Superin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. ByuL is at 8.38% Blizzcon Chances. 49.68% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.07%. 50.32% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.76%. Super is at 28.58% Blizzcon Chances. 50.32% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 39.96%. 49.68% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.06%.
Bbyong vs herOin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Bbyong is at 20.66% Blizzcon Chances. 41.76% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 35.36%. 58.24% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.12%. herO is at 82.48% Blizzcon Chances. 58.24% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 91.21%. 41.76% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 70.31%.
YongHwa vs Leenockin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. YongHwa is at 6.81% Blizzcon Chances. 44.38% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.36%. 55.62% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.18%. Leenock is at 9.58% Blizzcon Chances. 55.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.81%. 44.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.02%.
MarineKing vs FanTaSyin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. MarineKing is at 25.85% Blizzcon Chances. 47.22% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 36.92%. 52.78% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.95%. FanTaSy is at 15.13% Blizzcon Chances. 52.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.88%. 47.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.57%.
StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances in ~ GuMiho has a 12.98% chance to win ----going from 79.2% to 99.88% if they get 1st, or 96.55% if they get 2nd. Life has a 11.5% chance to win ----going from 72.31% to 99.46% if they get 1st, or 93.43% if they get 2nd. TY has a 9.61% chance to win ----going from 68.33% to 99.58% if they get 1st, or 93.19% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 8.79% chance to win ----going from 63.73% to 99.2% if they get 1st, or 91.15% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 8.59% chance to win ----going from 61.22% to 99.07% if they get 1st, or 89.69% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
herO has a 7.51% chance to win ----going from 82.48% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.77% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 6.2% chance to win ----going from 33.22% to 94.99% if they get 1st, or 70.59% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 6.14% chance to win ----going from 54.67% to 98.89% if they get 1st, or 87.92% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 4.66% chance to win ----going from 43.48% to 97.96% if they get 1st, or 81.96% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.2% chance to win ----going from 38.41% to 97.44% if they get 1st, or 78.39% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 3.69% chance to win ----going from 17.56% to 87.18% if they get 1st, or 52.39% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 3.2% chance to win ----going from 35.32% to 98.11% if they get 1st, or 79.43% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 2.7% chance to win ----going from 12.95% to 84.56% if they get 1st, or 46.94% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 2.52% chance to win ----going from 20.66% to 96.92% if they get 1st, or 74.52% if they get 2nd. Super has a 2.03% chance to win ----going from 28.58% to 98.36% if they get 1st, or 81.14% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 1.66% chance to win ----going from 9.58% to 86.06% if they get 1st, or 48.62% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 1.42% chance to win ----going from 8.38% to 85.03% if they get 1st, or 47.82% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 1.06% chance to win ----going from 15.13% to 95.02% if they get 1st, or 66.27% if they get 2nd. MarineKing has a 1.03% chance to win ----going from 25.85% to 99.74% if they get 1st, or 87.16% if they get 2nd. YongHwa has a 0.52% chance to win ----going from 6.81% to 90.29% if they get 1st, or 50.25% if they get 2nd.
On December 26 2014 05:56 vult wrote: It's weird to see that its not even 2015 yet but herO already has an >80% chance of making it.
yea, but 20% chance of not making it is still big
If he loses in both SSL and GSL
This happens ~ 16.86 % of the time herO loses their next match in GSL Code S Season 1 ro32 and herO loses their next match in StarLeague Season 1 ro32 This would change herO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 82.48 % to ~ 56.81 %
--------UPDATE Friday, Dec 26 8:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00) SSL Season 1 Challenge Completed! (Sim #1140) Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
herO (CJ Entus), is at 91.38%, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median WCS Points: 4625
GuMiho (Invasion), is at 78.84%, Min WCS Points: 700, Median WCS Points: 3850
Life (StarTale), is at 71.77%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 3500
Rain (mYinsanity), is at 68.67%, Min WCS Points: 650, Median WCS Points: 3300
TY (KT), is at 67.58%, Min WCS Points: 575, Median WCS Points: 3250
Dear (Samsung), is at 63.17%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 3075
Maru (Jinair), is at 60.27%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 2950
PartinG (Yoe), is at 57.49%, Min WCS Points: 400, Median WCS Points: 2850
Rogue (Jinair), is at 53.62%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 2700
TaeJa (Liquid), is at 47.82%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 2500
INnoVation (SKT T1), is at 45.38%, Min WCS Points: 400, Median WCS Points: 2425
Super (Invasion), is at 44.34%, Min WCS Points: 575, Median WCS Points: 2400
Dark (SKT T1), is at 42.87%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 2350
Bomber, is at 38.66%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 2225
Dream (SKT T1), is at 38.16%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 2200
ForGG (Millenium), is at 35.36%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1875
Terminator (Jinair), is at 34.57%, Min WCS Points: 575, Median WCS Points: 2125
Stats (KT), is at 33.28%, Min WCS Points: 425, Median WCS Points: 2000
Solar (Samsung), is at 33.18%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 2000
FanTaSy (Dead Pixels), is at 26.96%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 1900
MMA (Acer), is at 25.99%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1800
sOs (Jinair), is at 25.73%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1900
First, is at 24.51%, Min WCS Points: 275, Median WCS Points: 1775
Polt (CM Storm), is at 24.15%, Min WCS Points: 125, Median WCS Points: 1400
YoDa (Prime), is at 21.72%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1675
San (Yoe), is at 21.64%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1675
MajOr (ROOT), is at 20.56%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1300
Classic (SKT T1), is at 17.34%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 1475
Soulkey (TCM), is at 16.78%, Min WCS Points: 400, Median WCS Points: 1625
Zest (KT), is at 16.25%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1500
Leenock (Yoe), is at 15.83%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 1450
Hydra (ROOT), is at 14.59%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1025
MarineKing (MVP), is at 13.63%, Min WCS Points: 650, Median WCS Points: 1625
MyuNgSiK (Prime), is at 12.31%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 1325
Snute (Liquid), is at 11.7%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1025
VortiX (Millenium), is at 11.59%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 875
viOLet, is at 9.99%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 875
Bbyong (CJ Entus), is at 9.25%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1225
Happy, is at 9.03%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 750
Lilbow (Millenium), is at 8.71%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 750
MaSa (ROOT), is at 8.57%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 750
Nerchio (Acer), is at 8.21%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 750
MC, is at 7.84%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1225
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at 7.8%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1025
Scarlett (Acer), is at 7.54%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 750
Cure (Jinair), is at 7.42%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1000
Jim (iG), is at 6.97%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 825
Jaedong (EG), is at 6.89%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1200
Ourk (FM), is at 6.34%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 650
Flash (KT), is at 6.26%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 950
Biggest Winners and Losers from SSL Season 1 Challenge and GSL Season 1 Ro32 group draws. (Sim #1130) Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 25.41%, going from 28.2% to 53.62% Dream went up by 24.82%, going from 13.34% to 38.16% Dark went up by 22.43%, going from 20.44% to 42.87% Terminator went up by 19.77%, going from 14.8% to 34.57% Dear went up by 19.2%, going from 43.96% to 63.17% FanTaSy went up by 16.98%, going from 9.99% to 26.96% Life went up by 15.69%, going from 56.07% to 71.77% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
TY went up by 15.32%, going from 52.25% to 67.58% Stats went up by 14.98%, going from 18.3% to 33.28% Super went up by 13.74%, going from 30.6% to 44.34% GuMiho went up by 11.85%, going from 66.99% to 78.84% Maru went up by 9.82%, going from 50.45% to 60.27% Classic went up by 7.34%, going from 9.99% to 17.34% herO went up by 7.07%, going from 84.31% to 91.38% MyuNgSiK went up by 6.67%, going from 5.64% to 12.31% Leenock went up by 6.09%, going from 9.73% to 15.83% Hydra went up by 3.76%, going from 10.82% to 14.59% Rain went up by 3.59%, going from 65.08% to 68.67% Hitman went up by 1.64%, going from 0.4% to 2.04% VortiX went up by 1.15%, going from 10.44% to 11.59% Polt went up by 0.87%, going from 23.29% to 24.15% Snute went up by 0.71%, going from 10.99% to 11.7% Hurricane went up by 0.66%, going from 1.49% to 2.15% Top went up by 0.6%, going from 3.5% to 4.09% Nerchio went up by 0.57%, going from 7.64% to 8.21% MC went up by 0.49%, going from 7.35% to 7.84% MajOr went up by 0.36%, going from 20.2% to 20.56% SuperNova went up by 0.33%, going from 0.63% to 0.96% souL went up by 0.26%, going from 0.01% to 0.27% Xenocider went up by 0.25%, going from 0.01% to 0.25% Happy went up by 0.22%, going from 8.8% to 9.03% MaSa went up by 0.19%, going from 8.39% to 8.57% Armani went up by 0.18%, going from 0.17% to 0.35% Dayshi went up by 0.17%, going from 2.07% to 2.24% Strelok went up by 0.17%, going from 1.1% to 1.27% XiGua went up by 0.15%, going from 2.31% to 2.46% Revival went up by 0.14%, going from 0.59% to 0.73% Revolver went up by 0.13%, going from 0.18% to 0.31% Complain went up by 0.11%, going from 0.09% to 0.2% eMotion went up by 0.1%, going from 0.29% to 0.39%
Biggest Losers TaeJa went down by 24.3%, going from 72.12% to 47.82% Solar went down by 23.23%, going from 56.4% to 33.18% INnoVation went down by 21.36%, going from 66.74% to 45.38% Soulkey went down by 20.43%, going from 37.21% to 16.78% PartinG went down by 19.59%, going from 77.08% to 57.49% San went down by 18.82%, going from 40.47% to 21.64% Flash went down by 18.66%, going from 24.92% to 6.26% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
MarineKing went down by 15.14%, going from 28.77% to 13.63% Cure went down by 12.19%, going from 19.61% to 7.42% Bbyong went down by 11.41%, going from 20.66% to 9.25% Scarlett went down by 11.23%, going from 18.76% to 7.54% ByuL went down by 8.31%, going from 10.33% to 2.02% YongHwa went down by 5.75%, going from 8.26% to 2.51% Jim went down by 4.3%, going from 11.27% to 6.97% Patience went down by 3.08%, going from 5.06% to 1.98% MMA went down by 2.51%, going from 28.5% to 25.99% Bomber went down by 2.16%, going from 40.82% to 38.66% YoDa went down by 2.14%, going from 23.86% to 21.72% viOLet went down by 2.09%, going from 12.08% to 9.99% sKyHigh went down by 1.99%, going from 3.07% to 1.07% ForGG went down by 1.68%, going from 37.05% to 35.36% Lilbow went down by 1.54%, going from 10.26% to 8.71% Curious went down by 1.48%, going from 4.37% to 2.88% Heart went down by 1.38%, going from 5.37% to 3.99% Zest went down by 1.37%, going from 17.63% to 16.25% Sacsri went down by 1.31%, going from 4.69% to 3.38% Bunny went down by 1.04%, going from 6.73% to 5.68% KingKong went down by 0.98%, going from 2.61% to 1.63% Hack went down by 0.94%, going from 5.31% to 4.37% jjakji went down by 0.72%, going from 5.03% to 4.31% Jaedong went down by 0.7%, going from 7.59% to 6.89% ShoWTimE went down by 0.69%, going from 4.99% to 4.3% HuK went down by 0.49%, going from 3.93% to 3.44% soO went down by 0.4%, going from 5.01% to 4.61% Losira went down by 0.4%, going from 3.02% to 2.62% uThermal went down by 0.39%, going from 3.18% to 2.79% Ourk went down by 0.33%, going from 6.68% to 6.34% iAsonu went down by 0.33%, going from 1.47% to 1.14% MaNa went down by 0.31%, going from 4.34% to 4.03% Elazer went down by 0.3%, going from 0.73% to 0.43% hendralisk went down by 0.29%, going from 0.78% to 0.5% HyuN went down by 0.28%, going from 8.08% to 7.8% Bly went down by 0.28%, going from 0.81% to 0.53% TLO went down by 0.28%, going from 1.77% to 1.49% sLivko went down by 0.26%, going from 0.98% to 0.71% Kane went down by 0.25%, going from 3.12% to 2.87% DongRaeGu went down by 0.25%, going from 1.96% to 1.71% Kas went down by 0.24%, going from 3.45% to 3.2% Illusion went down by 0.23%, going from 0.41% to 0.17% Pet went down by 0.21%, going from 0.97% to 0.76%
SSL Season 1 Winning Chances herO has a 13.04% chance to win ----going from 91.38% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.78% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 12.19% chance to win ----going from 78.84% to 99.88% if they get 1st, or 96.61% if they get 2nd. Life has a 10.75% chance to win ----going from 71.77% to 99.45% if they get 1st, or 93.54% if they get 2nd. TY has a 8.81% chance to win ----going from 67.58% to 99.59% if they get 1st, or 93.19% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 8.33% chance to win ----going from 63.17% to 99.2% if they get 1st, or 90.98% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Maru has a 7.83% chance to win ----going from 60.27% to 99.01% if they get 1st, or 89.7% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 6.29% chance to win ----going from 33.28% to 94.93% if they get 1st, or 70.57% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 5.67% chance to win ----going from 53.62% to 98.85% if they get 1st, or 88.02% if they get 2nd. Super has a 4.56% chance to win ----going from 44.34% to 98.63% if they get 1st, or 83.79% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 4.25% chance to win ----going from 42.87% to 97.96% if they get 1st, or 81.99% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.04% chance to win ----going from 38.16% to 97.38% if they get 1st, or 78.77% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 3.56% chance to win ----going from 17.34% to 87.14% if they get 1st, or 52.65% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 2.92% chance to win ----going from 15.83% to 86.84% if they get 1st, or 51.77% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 2.89% chance to win ----going from 34.57% to 98.15% if they get 1st, or 79.15% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 2.52% chance to win ----going from 12.31% to 84.38% if they get 1st, or 46.65% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 2.34% chance to win ----going from 26.96% to 96.2% if they get 1st, or 72.16% if they get 2nd.
Foreigner Hope (keep in mind these are without some possible Korean tournaments being announced like KeSPA Cup) Chances of 1+ foreigners 94.18% Chances of 2+ foreigners 67.04% Chances of 3+ foreigners 27.53% Chances of 4+ foreigners 5.46%
MajOr3.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 20.56% chance overall. VortiX1.76% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.59% chance overall. Snute1.67% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.7% chance overall. Happy1.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.03% chance overall. Lilbow1.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.71% chance overall. Nerchio1.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.21% chance overall. MaSa1.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.57% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Scarlett1.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.54% chance overall. Jim0.94% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.97% chance overall. Ourk0.89% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.34% chance overall. TargA0.85% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.03% chance overall. Bunny0.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.68% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.7% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.09% chance overall. ShoWTimE0.58% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.3% chance overall. MaNa0.55% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.03% chance overall. Top0.54% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.09% chance overall. Kas0.44% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.2% chance overall. HuK0.43% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.44% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.41% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.05% chance overall. uThermal0.38% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.79% chance overall. Kane0.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.87% chance overall. MarineLorD0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.61% chance overall. XiGua0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.46% chance overall. EnDerr0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.29% chance overall. Dayshi0.3% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.24% chance overall. Starbuck0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.13% chance overall. Hitman0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.04% chance overall. qxc0.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.01% chance overall. Stephano0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.54% chance overall. Welmu0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.55% chance overall. TLO0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.49% chance overall. XY0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.35% chance overall. Strelok0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.27% chance overall.
oh I thought you were talking about WCS Predictor yea on Aligulac he doesn't show up on the current list cause his last match was oct 5th, lost to First in zotac
On December 27 2014 06:01 Yonnua wrote: How does herO already have a 90% chance to make Blizzcon? Surely that's whack?
well he won IEM, already has 1325 WCS Points, his aligulac rating is 2188, he's in SSL and GSL which both give tons of points and give seedings into next season if he makes it far enough
90% is only 9 out of 10, it's not like a guarantee
last year almost all of the WCS Partner champions made it to Blizzcon and some of the others were really close, and herO is still in SSL and GSL, even if he fails his next matches in those he still can do well in the next seasons and other tournaments
On December 27 2014 06:01 Yonnua wrote: How does herO already have a 90% chance to make Blizzcon? Surely that's whack?
I think it assumes he will keep a certain level of performance throughout the entire year, otherwise making predictions this early is impossible.
I wouldn't say it assumes, it just uses his aligulac rating to come up with his chances in future matches, but yea it doesn't try to predict hot streaks or slumps, although it predicts closer to 50/50 matches than aligulac does to give more of a chance for changing form, 50/50 is better for these long term predictions because of the chance of players changing in skill
--------UPDATE Sunday, Jan 04 8:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) NEW WEBSITE AND WCS WARS! (Sim #1143) The website was completely rewritten, check it out NEW WEBSITE! Here is the FAQ.
Aside from the full redesign there are some new features. Here are the big ones.
AFK Chances - This shows what their Blizzcon Chances are if you assume they earn no more points, this would be helpful in looking at the situations we saw with sOs and Jaedong last year for example. Everyone is currently at 0% AFK Chances because they all need more points in order to make it.
Branched Simulations (coming soon) - This allows for the possibility of looking at really specific theoretical scenarios, read the FAQ on the website for more info about this.
WCS Wars - WCS Wars is a fantasy league based on the median WCS points as determined by WCS Predictor. You currently start the game with 8,000 WCS Points to buy players with (this starting number will need to be adjusted depending on the season). Each player's cost = median_wcs_points + base_cost - (minimum_wcs_points / 2), where the base_cost is currently 200. Build a team of 5 players, hope that your players win to boost their Median WCS Points, and you can sell them to buy different players. Selling currently gives you 95% of their worth. Check the Leaderboard section at the bottom of the WCS Wars page!
Graphs in the Biggest Winners/Losers sections, and WCS Points Cutoffs graphs.
Tournaments in Upcoming section, with countdowns and stream links.
Events tables have default filters for "simple" and "is-likely", with buttons to change filters easily, and you can still type custom filters. The "i" icon next to the events shows their keywords. You can also filter by < (less than) and > (greater than) percentages, every whole number percent from 0 to 100 works. Examples of filtering by percentages are: "B<10%" for events that result in Blizzcon Chances worse than 10%, or "P>20%" for events that have a probability over 20%.
Also make sure to check the "More" dropdown on the top menu to see more pages, like the Tournaments page.
Make sure you make your WCS Wars team!
Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
herO (CJ Entus), is at 91.67%, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median WCS Points: 4675
GuMiho (Invasion), is at 75.35%, Min WCS Points: 700, Median WCS Points: 3625
Life (StarTale), is at 71.41%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 3475
TY (KT), is at 68.48%, Min WCS Points: 575, Median WCS Points: 3300
Rain (mYinsanity), is at 65.24%, Min WCS Points: 650, Median WCS Points: 3125
Maru (Jinair), is at 61.32%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 3000
Dear (Samsung), is at 59.95%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 2950
PartinG (Yoe), is at 59.5%, Min WCS Points: 400, Median WCS Points: 2950
Rogue (Jinair), is at 57.68%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 2850
Dark (SKT T1), is at 50.01%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 2575
TaeJa (Liquid), is at 47.67%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 2475
Super (Invasion), is at 47.13%, Min WCS Points: 575, Median WCS Points: 2475
INnoVation (SKT T1), is at 46.38%, Min WCS Points: 400, Median WCS Points: 2450
Dream (SKT T1), is at 38.71%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 2225
Bomber, is at 38.55%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 2225
Terminator (Jinair), is at 37.92%, Min WCS Points: 575, Median WCS Points: 2225
ForGG (Millenium), is at 35.3%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1875
Solar (Samsung), is at 33.34%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 2000
Stats (KT), is at 31.9%, Min WCS Points: 425, Median WCS Points: 1975
FanTaSy (dPix), is at 27.47%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 1925
MMA (Acer), is at 26.1%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1800
sOs (Jinair), is at 24.25%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1875
Polt (CM Storm), is at 23.93%, Min WCS Points: 125, Median WCS Points: 1400
San (Yoe), is at 21.6%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1675
First, is at 21.32%, Min WCS Points: 275, Median WCS Points: 1675
YoDa (Prime), is at 20.98%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1650
MajOr (ROOT), is at 20.35%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1300
Soulkey (TCM), is at 19.31%, Min WCS Points: 400, Median WCS Points: 1700
Hydra (ROOT), is at 16.54%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1125
Classic (SKT T1), is at 15.84%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 1450
Zest (KT), is at 15.21%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1475
MarineKing (MVP), is at 14.36%, Min WCS Points: 650, Median WCS Points: 1650
Leenock (Yoe), is at 13.76%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 1375
Snute (Liquid), is at 11.66%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1025
VortiX (Millenium), is at 11.57%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 875
viOLet, is at 9.93%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 875
Happy, is at 9.85%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 750
Bbyong (CJ Entus), is at 9.67%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1250
Lilbow (Millenium), is at 9.09%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 750
Cure (Jinair), is at 8.64%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1050
MaSa (ROOT), is at 8.45%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 750
Nerchio (Acer), is at 8.23%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 750
MyuNgSiK (Prime), is at 7.6%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 1175
Scarlett (Acer), is at 7.49%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 750
MC, is at 7.3%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1200
Jim (iG), is at 6.98%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 825
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at 6.49%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 950
Jaedong (EG), is at 6.49%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1175
Ourk (FM), is at 6.26%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 650
TargA (Imaginary), is at 6.05%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 625
Biggest Winners and Losers from adding IEM Taipei (Sim ID #1143 vs Sim ID #1144) Biggest Winners Maru went up by 12.05%, going from 61.32% to 73.37% INnoVation went up by 11.44%, going from 46.38% to 57.82% San went up by 10.71%, going from 21.61% to 32.32% ForGG went up by 9.74%, going from 35.31% to 45.04% Hydra went up by 6.61%, going from 16.55% to 23.16% Polt went up by 3.9%, going from 23.93% to 27.83% Kas went up by 0.87%, going from 2.84% to 3.71%
Biggest Losers PartinG went down by 3.79%, going from 59.5% to 55.71% Dark went down by 3.5%, going from 50.01% to 46.5% MMA went down by 3.21%, going from 26.1% to 22.89% TY went down by 1.87%, going from 68.48% to 66.61% Solar went down by 1.59%, going from 33.34% to 31.75% Rogue went down by 1.52%, going from 57.68% to 56.16% Cure went down by 1.39%, going from 8.64% to 7.25% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Dream went down by 1.37%, going from 38.71% to 37.34% Super went down by 1.37%, going from 47.13% to 45.76% Bomber went down by 1.31%, going from 38.55% to 37.24% Terminator went down by 1.28%, going from 37.93% to 36.64% Stats went down by 1.23%, going from 31.9% to 30.66% YoDa went down by 1.16%, going from 20.99% to 19.83% FanTaSy went down by 1.15%, going from 27.46% to 26.31% Snute went down by 1.14%, going from 11.66% to 10.52% Soulkey went down by 1.13%, going from 19.31% to 18.18% Rain went down by 1.08%, going from 65.24% to 64.16% TaeJa went down by 1.07%, going from 47.66% to 46.6% Dear went down by 1.01%, going from 59.95% to 58.95% EnDerr went down by 0.99%, going from 2.25% to 1.26% GuMiho went down by 0.96%, going from 75.35% to 74.39% MarineKing went down by 0.88%, going from 14.36% to 13.48% sOs went down by 0.84%, going from 24.25% to 23.41% Happy went down by 0.81%, going from 9.85% to 9.05% Leenock went down by 0.77%, going from 13.76% to 12.99% Zest went down by 0.67%, going from 15.21% to 14.53% First went down by 0.66%, going from 21.32% to 20.66% Bbyong went down by 0.66%, going from 9.67% to 9.01% MajOr went down by 0.66%, going from 20.35% to 19.69% MaNa went down by 0.63%, going from 4.02% to 3.39% Dayshi went down by 0.53%, going from 2.25% to 1.72% Jaedong went down by 0.53%, going from 6.5% to 5.97% VortiX went down by 0.47%, going from 11.57% to 11.1% Flash went down by 0.42%, going from 5.71% to 5.29% viOLet went down by 0.41%, going from 9.93% to 9.52% soO went down by 0.39%, going from 4.74% to 4.34% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.39%, going from 7.6% to 7.2% MC went down by 0.39%, going from 7.3% to 6.92% Nerchio went down by 0.35%, going from 8.23% to 7.88% Lilbow went down by 0.35%, going from 9.08% to 8.73% Impact went down by 0.33%, going from 1.16% to 0.83% Scarlett went down by 0.33%, going from 7.49% to 7.16% Jim went down by 0.31%, going from 6.98% to 6.67% Sacsri went down by 0.3%, going from 3.8% to 3.49% Curious went down by 0.3%, going from 3.16% to 2.86% TargA went down by 0.29%, going from 6.05% to 5.75% Heart went down by 0.28%, going from 3.21% to 2.93% herO went down by 0.28%, going from 91.66% to 91.38% jjakji went down by 0.27%, going from 4.26% to 3.99% Ourk went down by 0.27%, going from 6.26% to 5.99%
WCS China Qualifiers Season 1 Winning Chancesin ~ (this is with randomized player selection) Jim has a 28.12% chance to win ----going from 6.67% to 17.9% if they get 1st, or 2.28% if they don't. Top has a 26.31% chance to win ----going from 3.86% to 11.36% if they get 1st, or 1.18% if they don't. XiGua has a 24.63% chance to win ----going from 1.93% to 6.27% if they get 1st, or 0.52% if they don't. XY has a 23.57% chance to win ----going from 1.55% to 5.26% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't. iAsonu has a 23.06% chance to win ----going from 1.09% to 3.83% if they get 1st, or 0.26% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
TooDming has a 22.63% chance to win ----going from 0.94% to 3.38% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. MacSed has a 22.17% chance to win ----going from 0.86% to 3.13% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Mystery has a 9.84% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. XluoS has a 9.18% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.17% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shana has a 8.79% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ein has a 8.04% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Mayuki has a 7.76% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Courage has a 7.56% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. 老北京五开哥 has a 5.14% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. xxxxxxxxxx has a 4.94% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Clavie has a 4.9% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. 迷茫听雨 has a 4.77% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Banquet has a 4.65% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. rikka has a 4.45% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. 费施迪 has a 4.45% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. F91 has a 4.4% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. zazu has a 4.38% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DouDou has a 4.35% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. forGG has a 4.32% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 城之内 has a 4.16% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Knight has a 4.12% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Homura has a 4.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Angrybird has a 4.04% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 安南秀 has a 4.03% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. NucleaR has a 4.01% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. VeritaS has a 3.88% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Karl has a 3.85% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Szxy has a 3.82% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. BlueWater has a 3.62% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 庭哥 has a 3.61% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. QiYeeeeeee has a 3.55% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Random has a 3.55% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 妻妻菇凉 has a 3.42% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Andrew has a 3.41% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Cloudy has a 3.38% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. pylonLY has a 3.37% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. SCgoodman has a 3.34% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Elenry has a 3.28% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Gemini has a 3.24% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Manta has a 3.22% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. JoCeLyN has a 3.17% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Flower has a 3.11% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. wanted has a 3.11% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. CarsickZerg has a 3.11% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 上海人形 has a 3.08% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DyyS has a 3.08% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. CaptainAM has a 2.97% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MiCkey has a 2.96% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Coffee has a 2.96% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. CharAznable has a 2.84% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Ezrc has a 2.67% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. HunteR has a 2.56% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. YDForever has a 2.29% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. NeverSteam has a 2.21% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Sliky has a 2.21% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Sakya has a 2.18% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Zycart has a 1.93% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Lanfeng has a 1.76% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. ZKO has a 1.28% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Rushcrazy has a 1.13% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
IEM Taipei Winning Chancesin ~ ForGG has a 22.14% chance to win ----going from 45.04% to 52.99% if they get 1st, or 47.35% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 13.99% chance to win ----going from 57.83% to 70.78% if they get 1st, or 55.72% if they don't. Maru has a 12.38% chance to win ----going from 73.4% to 83.6% if they get 1st, or 71.96% if they don't. San has a 10.1% chance to win ----going from 32.33% to 46.33% if they get 1st, or 30.75% if they don't. Hydra has a 8.5% chance to win ----going from 23.16% to 31.27% if they get 1st, or 26.47% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Polt has a 7.51% chance to win ----going from 27.84% to 37.01% if they get 1st, or 31.62% if they get 2nd. Kas has a 2.3% chance to win ----going from 3.71% to 6.72% if they get 1st, or 3.64% if they don't. Rain has a 0.74% chance to win ----going from 64.18% to 84.05% if they get 1st, or 64.04% if they don't. PartinG has a 0.72% chance to win ----going from 55.72% to 76.16% if they get 1st, or 55.57% if they don't. herO has a 0.72% chance to win ----going from 91.38% to 98.59% if they get 1st, or 91.32% if they don't. TaeJa has a 0.63% chance to win ----going from 46.59% to 66.96% if they get 1st, or 46.46% if they don't. Life has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 71.46% to 87.14% if they get 1st, or 71.37% if they don't. GuMiho has a 0.46% chance to win ----going from 74.37% to 89.92% if they get 1st, or 74.3% if they don't. TY has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 66.64% to 84.48% if they get 1st, or 66.56% if they don't. sOs has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 23.41% to 49.81% if they get 1st, or 23.29% if they don't. Dear has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 58.95% to 79.1% if they get 1st, or 58.86% if they don't. Solar has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 31.78% to 53.66% if they get 1st, or 31.68% if they don't. Rogue has a 0.39% chance to win ----going from 56.16% to 77.6% if they get 1st, or 56.08% if they don't. Bomber has a 0.39% chance to win ----going from 37.24% to 62.97% if they get 1st, or 37.14% if they don't. HyuN has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 6.3% to 17.44% if they get 1st, or 6.26% if they don't. MMA has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 22.9% to 44.12% if they get 1st, or 22.82% if they don't. Super has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 45.72% to 70.47% if they get 1st, or 45.64% if they don't. Dark has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 46.5% to 69.92% if they get 1st, or 46.42% if they don't. Zest has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 14.52% to 32.32% if they get 1st, or 14.46% if they don't. VortiX has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 11.1% to 19.6% if they get 1st, or 11.07% if they don't. Stats has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 30.67% to 54.1% if they get 1st, or 30.6% if they don't. Cure has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 7.24% to 19.06% if they get 1st, or 7.21% if they don't. First has a 0.29% chance to win ----going from 20.64% to 42.77% if they get 1st, or 20.58% if they don't. YoDa has a 0.29% chance to win ----going from 19.83% to 41.2% if they get 1st, or 19.77% if they don't. Flash has a 0.28% chance to win ----going from 5.3% to 14.91% if they get 1st, or 5.27% if they don't. Terminator has a 0.27% chance to win ----going from 36.65% to 63.07% if they get 1st, or 36.57% if they don't. soO has a 0.26% chance to win ----going from 4.33% to 12.56% if they get 1st, or 4.31% if they don't. Sacsri has a 0.25% chance to win ----going from 3.49% to 10.46% if they get 1st, or 3.47% if they don't.
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 92.76% Chances of 2+ foreigners 62.74% Chances of 3+ foreigners 23.71% Chances of 4+ foreigners 4.27%
MajOr3.62% chance to be the only foreigner, 19.69% chance overall. VortiX1.96% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.1% chance overall. Snute1.75% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.52% chance overall. Happy1.57% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.05% chance overall. Lilbow1.48% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.73% chance overall. MaSa1.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.33% chance overall. Nerchio1.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.88% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Scarlett1.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.16% chance overall. Jim1.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.67% chance overall. Ourk0.98% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.99% chance overall. TargA0.96% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.75% chance overall. Bunny0.9% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.46% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.84% chance overall. Top0.6% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.85% chance overall. ShoWTimE0.58% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.66% chance overall. Kas0.56% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.71% chance overall. MaNa0.54% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.39% chance overall. HuK0.48% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.25% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.9% chance overall. Kane0.41% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.68% chance overall. uThermal0.38% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.43% chance overall. MarineLorD0.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.42% chance overall. Starbuck0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.99% chance overall. XiGua0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.93% chance overall. qxc0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.89% chance overall. Hitman0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.86% chance overall. Dayshi0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.72% chance overall. TLO0.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.56% chance overall. XY0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.55% chance overall. Welmu0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.46% chance overall. Stephano0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.43% chance overall. Harstem0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.43% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Terminator is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
On January 05 2015 09:48 LimeNade wrote: Flash not even on the list anymore and Jaedong in 48-49th
This early in the year, I wouldn't worry too much. There's plenty of time for comebacks, if they can just qualify and get deep runs in. A lot can happen over the year.
(That's also why I'm excited that MarineKing is even on the list, but not getting my hopes high enough to take three bases before planting a bunker or to defend banelings using two overstimmed marines and an SCV.)
Biggest Winners and Losers since Dec 31st (Sim ID #1142 vs Sim ID #1146) Biggest Winners Maru went up by 18.68%, going from 54.66% to 73.34% INnoVation went up by 12.47%, going from 46.62% to 59.08% San went up by 10.35%, going from 21.92% to 32.26% ForGG went up by 9.6%, going from 35.39% to 44.99% Dark went up by 7.04%, going from 39.56% to 46.6% Hydra went up by 6.31%, going from 16.73% to 23.04% Polt went up by 3.61%, going from 24.15% to 27.76% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Terminator went up by 1.29%, going from 35.34% to 36.63% Kas went up by 1.24%, going from 2.81% to 4.05% Soulkey went up by 1.04%, going from 17.1% to 18.14% Zest went up by 0.94%, going from 15.48% to 16.42% Bunny went up by 0.24%, going from 5.64% to 5.88% HerO went up by 0.23%, going from 0.6% to 0.84% sLivko went up by 0.23%, going from 0.55% to 0.78% TooDming went up by 0.15%, going from 0.79% to 0.94% Sora went up by 0.13%, going from 2.53% to 2.66% GoOdy went up by 0.11%, going from 0.25% to 0.36% Trap went up by 0.1%, going from 1.28% to 1.38%
Biggest Losers Dear went down by 5.12%, going from 64.09% to 58.97% MMA went down by 3.88%, going from 26.68% to 22.8% YoDa went down by 3.6%, going from 22.61% to 19.01% Leenock went down by 3.26%, going from 16.19% to 12.93% MyuNgSiK went down by 3.05%, going from 9.08% to 6.03% GuMiho went down by 2.56%, going from 76.91% to 74.35% TY went down by 2.34%, going from 68.87% to 66.53% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
PartinG went down by 2.33%, going from 58.05% to 55.72% Solar went down by 2.19%, going from 33.88% to 31.69% Rain went down by 2.17%, going from 66.35% to 64.18% First went down by 2.1%, going from 22.76% to 20.66% Bbyong went down by 2.06%, going from 10.55% to 8.49% TaeJa went down by 1.86%, going from 48.35% to 46.49% HyuN went down by 1.84%, going from 8.08% to 6.24% Bomber went down by 1.75%, going from 38.99% to 37.24% sOs went down by 1.51%, going from 24.86% to 23.35% Snute went down by 1.22%, going from 11.69% to 10.47% Super went down by 1.19%, going from 46.97% to 45.78% ByuL went down by 1.13%, going from 2.75% to 1.62% MC went down by 1.09%, going from 7.96% to 6.87% Hack went down by 1.08%, going from 3.51% to 2.43% Jaedong went down by 1.05%, going from 6.99% to 5.94% Flash went down by 1.05%, going from 5.81% to 4.75% EnDerr went down by 1.03%, going from 2.28% to 1.25% FanTaSy went down by 0.99%, going from 27.31% to 26.31% soO went down by 0.96%, going from 5.2% to 4.24% Dream went down by 0.81%, going from 38.13% to 37.32% Happy went down by 0.77%, going from 9.82% to 9.05% MajOr went down by 0.76%, going from 20.43% to 19.67% ShoWTimE went down by 0.75%, going from 4.39% to 3.64% Cure went down by 0.72%, going from 7.89% to 7.17% Classic went down by 0.7%, going from 16.27% to 15.56% MaNa went down by 0.65%, going from 4.03% to 3.38% DongRaeGu went down by 0.63%, going from 2.39% to 1.75% Stats went down by 0.61%, going from 33.21% to 32.6% Jim went down by 0.61%, going from 7.27% to 6.66% Life went down by 0.6%, going from 71.42% to 70.82% TargA went down by 0.56%, going from 6.12% to 5.57% Dayshi went down by 0.54%, going from 2.25% to 1.72% Rogue went down by 0.51%, going from 56.62% to 56.11% XiGua went down by 0.5%, going from 2.42% to 1.92% Losira went down by 0.49%, going from 2.84% to 2.35% viOLet went down by 0.49%, going from 9.96% to 9.47% VortiX went down by 0.47%, going from 11.56% to 11.09% jjakji went down by 0.41%, going from 4.38% to 3.97% Patience went down by 0.39%, going from 1.95% to 1.57% Lilbow went down by 0.39%, going from 9.1% to 8.71% Heart went down by 0.38%, going from 3.28% to 2.9% uThermal went down by 0.36%, going from 2.77% to 2.41% Scarlett went down by 0.35%, going from 7.51% to 7.16%
WCS Qualifiers Season 1 Winning Chancesin ~ (this is with randomized player selection) MajOr has a 32.73% chance to win ----going from 19.67% to 42.33% if they get 1st, or 8.64% if they don't. Jim has a 28.1% chance to win ----going from 6.66% to 17.89% if they get 1st, or 2.27% if they don't. Top has a 26.34% chance to win ----going from 3.84% to 11.29% if they get 1st, or 1.18% if they don't. XiGua has a 24.63% chance to win ----going from 1.92% to 6.22% if they get 1st, or 0.51% if they don't. XY has a 23.57% chance to win ----going from 1.53% to 5.21% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
iAsonu has a 23.06% chance to win ----going from 1.09% to 3.83% if they get 1st, or 0.27% if they don't. Cham has a 22.83% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 0.91% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. TooDming has a 22.61% chance to win ----going from 0.94% to 3.38% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. CatZ has a 22.12% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MacSed has a 22.11% chance to win ----going from 0.85% to 3.13% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Polt has a 21.52% chance to win ----going from 27.76% to 67.18% if they get 1st, or 16.95% if they don't. Hydra has a 21.17% chance to win ----going from 23.04% to 59.63% if they get 1st, or 13.21% if they don't. KiLLeR has a 20.74% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. JimRising has a 20.44% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. viOLet has a 19.77% chance to win ----going from 9.47% to 31.77% if they get 1st, or 3.98% if they don't. MaSa has a 19.66% chance to win ----going from 8.32% to 29.57% if they get 1st, or 3.11% if they don't. Scarlett has a 19.41% chance to win ----going from 7.16% to 25.98% if they get 1st, or 2.63% if they don't. Darkness has a 19.17% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. LsEbA has a 18.89% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 18.79% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.17% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. OdiN has a 17.62% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 17.44% chance to win ----going from 2.68% to 11.62% if they get 1st, or 0.79% if they don't. HuK has a 17.27% chance to win ----going from 3.22% to 13.7% if they get 1st, or 1.03% if they don't. Hitman has a 16.52% chance to win ----going from 1.86% to 8.6% if they get 1st, or 0.52% if they don't. Jarppi has a 16.42% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. qxc has a 16.17% chance to win ----going from 1.89% to 8.89% if they get 1st, or 0.54% if they don't. ForGG has a 15.01% chance to win ----going from 44.99% to 90.54% if they get 1st, or 36.95% if they don't. puCK has a 14.64% chance to win ----going from 0.65% to 3.57% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Suppy has a 14.54% chance to win ----going from 0.63% to 3.43% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. hendralisk has a 14.09% chance to win ----going from 0.47% to 2.67% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Intense has a 13.99% chance to win ----going from 0.48% to 2.78% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. VortiX has a 13.92% chance to win ----going from 11.09% to 47.94% if they get 1st, or 5.13% if they don't. Bails has a 13.79% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 2.31% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Sheep has a 13.53% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Snute has a 13.51% chance to win ----going from 10.47% to 46.2% if they get 1st, or 4.89% if they don't. Illusion has a 13.43% chance to win ----going from 0.15% to 1.02% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Happy has a 13.43% chance to win ----going from 9.05% to 42.35% if they get 1st, or 3.89% if they don't. Nerchio has a 13.38% chance to win ----going from 7.87% to 37.69% if they get 1st, or 3.27% if they don't. Lilbow has a 13.34% chance to win ----going from 8.71% to 40.84% if they get 1st, or 3.76% if they don't. neeb has a 13.29% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 1.96% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Guitarcheese has a 13.1% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 1.58% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. State has a 12.89% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 1.57% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Ourk has a 12.88% chance to win ----going from 5.98% to 30.92% if they get 1st, or 2.29% if they don't. TargA has a 12.88% chance to win ----going from 5.57% to 29.06% if they get 1st, or 2.09% if they don't. Bunny has a 12.81% chance to win ----going from 5.88% to 30.66% if they get 1st, or 2.24% if they don't. JonSnow has a 12.79% chance to win ----going from 0.24% to 1.52% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Xenocider has a 12.78% chance to win ----going from 0.24% to 1.51% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. XionS has a 12.69% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 12.5% chance to win ----going from 4.85% to 26.5% if they get 1st, or 1.75% if they don't. Minigun has a 12.36% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 1.25% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Astrea has a 12.23% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 1.04% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 12.11% chance to win ----going from 3.64% to 20.91% if they get 1st, or 1.26% if they don't. MaNa has a 11.98% chance to win ----going from 3.38% to 19.66% if they get 1st, or 1.16% if they don't. Capoch has a 11.88% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kas has a 11.88% chance to win ----going from 4.06% to 23.15% if they get 1st, or 1.48% if they don't. AreS has a 11.86% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 11.79% chance to win ----going from 2.9% to 17.4% if they get 1st, or 0.97% if they don't. NahuaL has a 11.66% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. goswser has a 11.6% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.68% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. uThermal has a 11.52% chance to win ----going from 2.41% to 15.19% if they get 1st, or 0.75% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 11.51% chance to win ----going from 2.43% to 15.3% if they get 1st, or 0.75% if they don't. Starbuck has a 11.5% chance to win ----going from 1.98% to 12.67% if they get 1st, or 0.59% if they don't. phog has a 11.36% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.61% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Bloody has a 11.31% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 11.16% chance to win ----going from 1.52% to 10.17% if they get 1st, or 0.43% if they don't. Stephano has a 11.15% chance to win ----going from 1.43% to 9.67% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't. Jig has a 11.03% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.6% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Dayshi has a 11.03% chance to win ----going from 1.72% to 11.59% if they get 1st, or 0.49% if they don't. EnDerr has a 10.95% chance to win ----going from 1.25% to 8.63% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't. Harstem has a 10.93% chance to win ----going from 1.39% to 9.52% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't. Welmu has a 10.86% chance to win ----going from 1.44% to 9.9% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't. Days has a 10.82% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Serral has a 10.65% chance to win ----going from 0.98% to 7.01% if they get 1st, or 0.26% if they don't. scv has a 10.62% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Strelok has a 10.54% chance to win ----going from 1.2% to 8.59% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. MorroW has a 10.51% chance to win ----going from 1.08% to 7.82% if they get 1st, or 0.29% if they don't. TerraN has a 10.47% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 10.44% chance to win ----going from 1.02% to 7.39% if they get 1st, or 0.28% if they don't. JonnyREcco has a 10.44% chance to win ----going from 0.79% to 5.84% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. sLivko has a 10.44% chance to win ----going from 0.78% to 5.8% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. SortOf has a 10.41% chance to win ----going from 0.84% to 6.2% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Kenshin has a 10.28% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Akroz has a 10.26% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. RasAlGhul has a 10.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ret has a 10.08% chance to win ----going from 0.58% to 4.5% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. NarO has a 9.94% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Supremo has a 9.94% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HasuObs has a 9.93% chance to win ----going from 0.68% to 5.29% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Bly has a 9.92% chance to win ----going from 0.48% to 3.83% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. Zanster has a 9.85% chance to win ----going from 0.51% to 4.06% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. Mystery has a 9.85% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. LiveZerg has a 9.82% chance to win ----going from 0.46% to 3.68% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Grubby has a 9.8% chance to win ----going from 0.61% to 4.8% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. CealeR has a 9.72% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Sjaak has a 9.63% chance to win ----going from 0.51% to 4.16% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. MewTwo has a 9.55% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 9.51% chance to win ----going from 0.36% to 2.99% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Dmega has a 9.49% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Blysk has a 9.47% chance to win ----going from 0.45% to 3.76% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Revolver has a 9.46% chance to win ----going from 0.34% to 2.87% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't.
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 92.78% Chances of 2+ foreigners 62.79% Chances of 3+ foreigners 23.78% Chances of 4+ foreigners 4.27%
MajOr3.6% chance to be the only foreigner, 19.67% chance overall. VortiX1.95% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.09% chance overall. Snute1.73% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.47% chance overall. Happy1.56% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.05% chance overall. Lilbow1.48% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.71% chance overall. MaSa1.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.32% chance overall. Nerchio1.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.87% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Scarlett1.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.16% chance overall. Jim1.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.66% chance overall. Ourk0.99% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.98% chance overall. Bunny0.97% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.88% chance overall. TargA0.92% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.57% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.78% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.85% chance overall. Kas0.62% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.05% chance overall. Top0.59% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.84% chance overall. ShoWTimE0.58% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.64% chance overall. MaNa0.53% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.38% chance overall. HuK0.47% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.22% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.9% chance overall. Kane0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.68% chance overall. uThermal0.38% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.41% chance overall. MarineLorD0.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.43% chance overall. Starbuck0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.98% chance overall. XiGua0.3% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.92% chance overall. qxc0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.89% chance overall. Hitman0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.86% chance overall. Dayshi0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.72% chance overall. TLO0.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.52% chance overall. XY0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.53% chance overall. Welmu0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.45% chance overall. Stephano0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.43% chance overall. Harstem0.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.39% chance overall. EnDerr0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.25% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Terminator is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
GSL Code S Season 1 Winning Chancesin ~ Rain has a 8.93% chance to win ----going from 64.18% to 99.63% if they get 1st, or 89.97% if they get 2nd. PartinG has a 8.07% chance to win ----going from 55.72% to 98.12% if they get 1st, or 83.53% if they get 2nd. herO has a 7.39% chance to win ----going from 91.69% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.86% if they get 2nd. TaeJa has a 6.94% chance to win ----going from 46.49% to 94.67% if they get 1st, or 75.16% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 6.27% chance to win ----going from 59.09% to 99.5% if they get 1st, or 89.4% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Life has a 5.47% chance to win ----going from 70.82% to 99.51% if they get 1st, or 92.42% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 4.84% chance to win ----going from 74.35% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 95.56% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 4.79% chance to win ----going from 73.34% to 99.88% if they get 1st, or 95.23% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 4.5% chance to win ----going from 58.97% to 99.06% if they get 1st, or 87.19% if they get 2nd. TY has a 4.48% chance to win ----going from 66.53% to 99.68% if they get 1st, or 91.97% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 4.17% chance to win ----going from 31.69% to 91.51% if they get 1st, or 64.26% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 3.82% chance to win ----going from 56.11% to 98.98% if they get 1st, or 85.92% if they get 2nd. Bomber has a 3.67% chance to win ----going from 37.24% to 98.12% if they get 1st, or 76.37% if they get 2nd. San has a 3.17% chance to win ----going from 32.26% to 95.81% if they get 1st, or 70.68% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 3.05% chance to win ----going from 22.8% to 88.5% if they get 1st, or 55.8% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 2.63% chance to win ----going from 46.59% to 98.54% if they get 1st, or 82.03% if they get 2nd. First has a 2.56% chance to win ----going from 20.66% to 91.09% if they get 1st, or 57.09% if they get 2nd. Super has a 2.46% chance to win ----going from 45.77% to 99.25% if they get 1st, or 84.27% if they get 2nd. YoDa has a 2.38% chance to win ----going from 19.01% to 87.04% if they get 1st, or 52.41% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 1.79% chance to win ----going from 37.33% to 97.94% if they get 1st, or 77.37% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 1.77% chance to win ----going from 36.63% to 98.84% if they get 1st, or 78.93% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 1.67% chance to win ----going from 18.14% to 93.52% if they get 1st, or 58.06% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 1.35% chance to win ----going from 26.31% to 96.47% if they get 1st, or 67.85% if they get 2nd. MC has a 1.19% chance to win ----going from 6.86% to 75.52% if they get 1st, or 30.86% if they get 2nd. MarineKing has a 0.8% chance to win ----going from 13.48% to 97.77% if they get 1st, or 61.2% if they get 2nd. Curious has a 0.45% chance to win ----going from 2.87% to 70.09% if they get 1st, or 2.56% if they don't. Heart has a 0.39% chance to win ----going from 2.9% to 71.09% if they get 1st, or 2.64% if they don't. YongHwa has a 0.38% chance to win ----going from 2.19% to 67.55% if they get 1st, or 1.94% if they don't. Hack has a 0.35% chance to win ----going from 2.43% to 69.15% if they get 1st, or 2.19% if they don't.
MC, FanTaSy, PenguiN, and Roguein in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32. MC is at 6.86% Blizzcon Chances. 60.88% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.51%. 39.12% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.75%. PenguiN is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances. 22.73% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.13%. 77.27% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. FanTaSy is at 26.31% Blizzcon Chances. 52.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.82%. 47.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.06%. Rogue is at 56.11% Blizzcon Chances. 64.06% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 62.96%. 35.94% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.91%.
YoDa, San, Soulkey, and MarineKingin in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32. YoDa is at 19.01% Blizzcon Chances. 53.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.05%. 46.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.03%. Soulkey is at 18.14% Blizzcon Chances. 49.38% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.93%. 50.62% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.55%. San is at 32.26% Blizzcon Chances. 55.72% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 41.4%. 44.28% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.76%. MarineKing is at 13.48% Blizzcon Chances. 41.76% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.53%. 58.24% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.71%.
Panic, GuMiho, Rain, and Lifein in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32. Panic is at 0.32% Blizzcon Chances. 19.75% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.04%. 80.25% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.14%. Rain is at 64.18% Blizzcon Chances. 68.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 71.53%. 31.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 48.05%. GuMiho is at 74.35% Blizzcon Chances. 54.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 81.61%. 45.57% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 65.68%. Life is at 70.82% Blizzcon Chances. 57.12% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 77.9%. 42.88% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 61.39%.
Bomber, YongHwa, TY, and Dreamin in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32. Bomber is at 37.24% Blizzcon Chances. 57.1% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 46.75%. 42.9% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.57%. TY is at 66.53% Blizzcon Chances. 58.67% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 73.98%. 41.33% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 55.95%. YongHwa is at 2.19% Blizzcon Chances. 34.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.46%. 65.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.97%. Dream is at 37.33% Blizzcon Chances. 49.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 46.55%. 50.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 28.35%.
Hack, Maru, First, and PartinGin in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32. Hack is at 2.43% Blizzcon Chances. 30.59% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.16%. 69.41% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.22%. First is at 20.66% Blizzcon Chances. 49.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 29.3%. 50.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.25%. Maru is at 73.34% Blizzcon Chances. 58.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 80.19%. 41.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 63.68%. PartinG is at 55.72% Blizzcon Chances. 61.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 64.83%. 38.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 41.11%.
TaeJa, Curious, herO, and Terminatorin in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32. TaeJa is at 46.49% Blizzcon Chances. 57.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 56.13%. 42.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.45%. herO is at 91.69% Blizzcon Chances. 60.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 95.19%. 39.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 86.37%. Curious is at 2.87% Blizzcon Chances. 33.32% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.81%. 66.68% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.4%. Terminator is at 36.63% Blizzcon Chances. 48.86% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 46.44%. 51.14% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.25%.
Dear, Dark, MMA, and Seedin in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32. Dear is at 58.97% Blizzcon Chances. 62.74% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 66.15%. 37.26% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 46.88%. MMA is at 22.8% Blizzcon Chances. 54.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.41%. 45.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.58%. Dark is at 46.59% Blizzcon Chances. 54.48% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 55.28%. 45.52% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 36.19%. Seed is at 0.62% Blizzcon Chances. 27.99% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.54%. 72.01% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.26%.
Heart, INnoVation, Super, and Solarin in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32. Heart is at 2.9% Blizzcon Chances. 34.64% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.67%. 65.36% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.44%. Super is at 45.77% Blizzcon Chances. 46.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 56.66%. 53.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 36.16%. INnoVation is at 59.09% Blizzcon Chances. 61.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.21%. 38.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.63%. Solar is at 31.69% Blizzcon Chances. 57.18% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.09%. 42.82% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.48%.
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together.
Group A MC has a 1.19% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 FanTaSy has a 1.35% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 PenguiN has a 0% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Rogue has a 3.82% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 6.36313
Group B MarineKing has a 0.81% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Soulkey has a 1.67% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 San has a 3.19% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 YoDa has a 2.37% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 8.02917
Group C Life has a 5.45% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Rain has a 8.93% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 GuMiho has a 4.84% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Panic has a 0% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 19.2202
Group D Bomber has a 3.68% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 YongHwa has a 0.38% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 TY has a 4.47% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Dream has a 1.78% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 10.3125
Group E PartinG has a 8.06% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 First has a 2.57% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Maru has a 4.79% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Hack has a 0.35% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 15.7636
Group F TaeJa has a 6.96% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Curious has a 0.46% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 herO has a 7.38% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Terminator has a 1.78% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 16.5759
Group G Seed has a 0% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 MMA has a 3.06% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Dark has a 2.62% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Dear has a 4.5% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 10.1846
Group H Heart has a 0.39% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 INnoVation has a 6.28% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Super has a 2.47% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Solar has a 4.17% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.3103
Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores C > F > E > H > D > G > B > A
Group A MC is at 6.85% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 FanTaSy is at 26.3% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 PenguiN is at 0.04% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Rogue is at 56.12% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 89.312
Group B MarineKing is at 13.5% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Soulkey is at 18.15% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 San is at 32.26% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 YoDa is at 19.01% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 82.9278
Group C Life is at 70.83% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Rain is at 64.18% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 GuMiho is at 74.33% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Panic is at 0.31% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 209.647
Group D Bomber is at 37.24% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 YongHwa is at 2.2% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 TY is at 66.5% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Dream is at 37.3% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 143.232
Group E PartinG is at 55.7% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 First is at 20.66% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Maru is at 73.35% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Hack is at 2.42% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 152.127
Group F TaeJa is at 46.47% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Curious is at 2.87% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 herO is at 91.69% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Terminator is at 36.65% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 177.678
Group G Seed is at 0.62% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MMA is at 22.81% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Dark is at 46.59% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Dear is at 58.98% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 128.993
Group H Heart is at 2.91% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 INnoVation is at 59.09% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Super is at 45.79% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Solar is at 31.74% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 139.526
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores C > F > E > D > H > G > A > B
Group A MC's Blizzcon chances changed by 1.1% FanTaSy's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.98% PenguiN's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.01% Rogue's Blizzcon chances changed by 1.64% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -3.71727
Group B MarineKing's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.14% Soulkey's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.03% San's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.25% YoDa's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.25% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.392
Group C Life's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.53% Rain's Blizzcon chances changed by 1.16% GuMiho's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.76% Panic's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.08% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.204067
Group D Bomber's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.21% YongHwa's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.11% TY's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.16% Dream's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.02% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.273
Group E PartinG's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.6% First's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.62% Maru's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.08% Hack's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.3% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.44377
Group F TaeJa's Blizzcon chances changed by -1.19% Curious's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.29% herO's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.26% Terminator's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.05% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.794
Group G Seed's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.05% MMA's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.15% Dark's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.32% Dear's Blizzcon chances changed by 1.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.43157
Group H Heart's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.17% INnoVation's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.04% Super's Blizzcon chances changed by -1.23% Solar's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.02% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.37717
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores F > E > H > C > D > B > G > A
Group A When MC wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 2.63% When MC loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 4.09% When FanTaSy wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 7.55% When FanTaSy loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 8.28% When PenguiN wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 0.09% When PenguiN loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 0.03% When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 6.82% When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 12.17% Giving this match an Effects Score of 41.6672
Group B When MarineKing wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 8.02% When MarineKing loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 5.76% When Soulkey wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 7.78% When Soulkey loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 7.59% When San wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 9.17% When San loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 11.51% When YoDa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 7.04% When YoDa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 7.99% Giving this match an Effects Score of 64.852
Group C When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 7.11% When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 9.47% When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 7.35% When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 16.13% When GuMiho wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 7.27% When GuMiho loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 8.69% When Panic wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 0.73% When Panic loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 0.18% Giving this match an Effects Score of 56.9232
Group D When Bomber wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 9.51% When Bomber loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 12.66% When YongHwa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 2.28% When YongHwa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 1.22% When TY wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 7.45% When TY loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 10.57% When Dream wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 9.19% When Dream loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 8.95% Giving this match an Effects Score of 61.8276
Group E When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 9.09% When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 14.61% When First wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 8.63% When First loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 8.39% When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 6.84% When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 9.65% When Hack wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 2.74% When Hack loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 1.21% Giving this match an Effects Score of 61.1589
Group F When TaeJa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 9.65% When TaeJa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 13.02% When Curious wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 2.95% When Curious loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 1.48% When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 3.49% When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 5.31% When Terminator wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 9.86% When Terminator loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 9.42% Giving this match an Effects Score of 55.1676
Group G When Seed wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 0.94% When Seed loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 0.37% When MMA wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 7.61% When MMA loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 9.22% When Dark wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 8.67% When Dark loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 10.37% When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 7.17% When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 12.08% Giving this match an Effects Score of 56.4173
Group H When Heart wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 2.75% When Heart loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 1.46% When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 9.1% When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 14.4% When Super wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 10.86% When Super loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 9.6% When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 8.4% When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 11.22% Giving this match an Effects Score of 67.7902
Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores H > B > D > E > C > G > F > A
Group A MC has an overall Aligulac rating of 1784 FanTaSy has an overall Aligulac rating of 1871 PenguiN has an overall Aligulac rating of 1391 Rogue has an overall Aligulac rating of 2071 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7117
Group B MarineKing has an overall Aligulac rating of 1806 Soulkey has an overall Aligulac rating of 1945 San has an overall Aligulac rating of 2022 YoDa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1989 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7762
Group C Life has an overall Aligulac rating of 2202 Rain has an overall Aligulac rating of 2214 GuMiho has an overall Aligulac rating of 2152 Panic has an overall Aligulac rating of 1508 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8076
Group D Bomber has an overall Aligulac rating of 2056 YongHwa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1669 TY has an overall Aligulac rating of 2109 Dream has an overall Aligulac rating of 1946 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7780
Group E PartinG has an overall Aligulac rating of 2213 First has an overall Aligulac rating of 1946 Maru has an overall Aligulac rating of 2127 Hack has an overall Aligulac rating of 1712 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7998
Group F TaeJa has an overall Aligulac rating of 2226 Curious has an overall Aligulac rating of 1740 herO has an overall Aligulac rating of 2204 Terminator has an overall Aligulac rating of 1908 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8078
Group G Seed has an overall Aligulac rating of 1552 MMA has an overall Aligulac rating of 2019 Dark has an overall Aligulac rating of 2022 Dear has an overall Aligulac rating of 2048 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7641
Group H Heart has an overall Aligulac rating of 1727 INnoVation has an overall Aligulac rating of 2189 Super has an overall Aligulac rating of 1952 Solar has an overall Aligulac rating of 2125 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7993
Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores F > C > E > H > D > B > G > A
(only counting top 4s) Group A has no top 4s Group B has a 2nd place Group C has two 1st places, a 2nd place, and a 4th place Group D has a 3rd place, and a 4th place Group E has a 2nd place, three 3rd places, and a 4th place Group F has two 1st places, and two 2nd places Group G has no top 4s Group H has a 1st place, a 3rd place, and two 4th places
Group F is our Group of Death! Congrats to TaeJa, Curious, herO, and Terminator! Group C is our 2nd place Group of Death with Life, Rain, GuMiho, and Panic!
What do you think?
Poll: Group of Death?
Group B (MarineKing, Soulkey, Yoda, San) (128)
34%
Group C (Gumiho, Life, Rain, Panic) (128)
34%
Group E (Maru, Hack, First, Parting) (34)
9%
Group F (Taeja, herO, Terminator, Curious) (25)
7%
Group D (TY, Bomber, Dream, YongHwa) (17)
5%
Group H (Heart, Solar, Super, Innovation) (16)
4%
Group G (Dark, MMA, Seed, Dear) (14)
4%
Group A (MC, Penguin, Rogue, Fantasy) (10)
3%
372 total votes
Your vote: Group of Death?
(Vote): Group A (MC, Penguin, Rogue, Fantasy) (Vote): Group B (MarineKing, Soulkey, Yoda, San) (Vote): Group C (Gumiho, Life, Rain, Panic) (Vote): Group D (TY, Bomber, Dream, YongHwa) (Vote): Group E (Maru, Hack, First, Parting) (Vote): Group F (Taeja, herO, Terminator, Curious) (Vote): Group G (Dark, MMA, Seed, Dear) (Vote): Group H (Heart, Solar, Super, Innovation)
Also check out user pages (click on usernames in the WCS Wars leaderboard), and the multi-player graphs I added to the tournament/team/country/race/user pages for the top 10 players of the set. You can also make your own custom player sets using their player IDs. For example http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=pset&pids=3 15 36 1813 shows the players Life, MC, HyuN, and Bunny. Try making one of your favorite players and bookmarking it.
On January 08 2015 11:54 sharkie wrote: aaahh I can't sell Kas because WCS AM is currently running?
yea, it'd be too easy to game the system if you could trade during matches, am quals are almost done though!
trading is now open again
Also I don't think I said before. WCS Wars is going to have a winner each season and all the teams will be reset. (Unless you guys convince me otherwise lol)
On January 08 2015 11:54 sharkie wrote: aaahh I can't sell Kas because WCS AM is currently running?
yea, it'd be too easy to game the system if you could trade during matches, am quals are almost done though!
trading is now open again
Also I don't think I said before. WCS Wars is going to have a winner each season and all the teams will be reset. (Unless you guys convince me otherwise lol)
aaahhhh, I bought herO because of long term investment! \o/ Now I have to hope he makes it far in his leagues THIS season
Biggest Winners and Losers since Monday, Jan 05 10:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim ID #1146 vs Sim ID #1157) Biggest Winners ForGG went up by 35.3%, going from 44.99% to 80.29% Hydra went up by 15.21%, going from 23.04% to 38.25% Lilbow went up by 13.9%, going from 8.71% to 22.61% HeRoMaRinE went up by 11.92%, going from 4.85% to 16.77% Bunny went up by 10.21%, going from 5.88% to 16.09% Kas went up by 7.25%, going from 4.06% to 11.31% StarDust went up by 6.07%, going from 2.74% to 8.81% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Super went up by 5.8%, going from 45.77% to 51.57% Rogue went up by 4.95%, going from 56.1% to 61.05% viOLet went up by 4.67%, going from 9.47% to 14.15% MC went up by 3.03%, going from 6.86% to 9.89% Starbuck went up by 3.01%, going from 1.98% to 4.99% Terminator went up by 2.33%, going from 36.63% to 38.96% Leenock went up by 1.35%, going from 12.93% to 14.28% PtitDrogo went up by 1.18%, going from 0.22% to 1.39% Beastyqt went up by 0.37%, going from 0.09% to 0.47% qxc went up by 0.29%, going from 1.89% to 2.18% Cure went up by 0.24%, going from 7.17% to 7.41% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.2%, going from 6.03% to 6.23%
Biggest Losers Life went down by 6.19%, going from 70.82% to 64.63% Polt went down by 4.89%, going from 27.76% to 22.88% VortiX went down by 3.82%, going from 11.09% to 7.27% Dream went down by 3.8%, going from 37.32% to 33.52% MaSa went down by 3.63%, going from 8.32% to 4.69% Happy went down by 3.63%, going from 9.05% to 5.42% FanTaSy went down by 3.6%, going from 26.31% to 22.71% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Snute went down by 3.45%, going from 10.47% to 7.02% MajOr went down by 3.45%, going from 19.67% to 16.22% Nerchio went down by 3.11%, going from 7.88% to 4.77% Scarlett went down by 3.03%, going from 7.16% to 4.14% herO went down by 2.91%, going from 91.69% to 88.78% Rain went down by 2.9%, going from 64.18% to 61.28% Ourk went down by 2.74%, going from 5.98% to 3.24% Dark went down by 2.72%, going from 46.6% to 43.88% TY went down by 2.68%, going from 66.53% to 63.85% Solar went down by 2.66%, going from 31.69% to 29.03% GuMiho went down by 2.5%, going from 74.35% to 71.85% TargA went down by 2.19%, going from 5.57% to 3.37% Jim went down by 2.06%, going from 6.66% to 4.6% Soulkey went down by 1.89%, going from 18.14% to 16.25% HuK went down by 1.67%, going from 3.22% to 1.55% MaNa went down by 1.67%, going from 3.38% to 1.71% Top went down by 1.56%, going from 3.84% to 2.29% Kane went down by 1.51%, going from 2.68% to 1.17% uThermal went down by 1.5%, going from 2.41% to 0.91% GunGFuBanDa went down by 1.44%, going from 2.9% to 1.46% Bomber went down by 1.4%, going from 37.24% to 35.84% jjakji went down by 1.37%, going from 3.97% to 2.6% MarineKing went down by 1.37%, going from 13.48% to 12.11% INnoVation went down by 1.33%, going from 59.08% to 57.75% ShoWTimE went down by 1.33%, going from 3.64% to 2.31% MarineLorD went down by 1.25%, going from 2.43% to 1.17% sOs went down by 1.15%, going from 23.35% to 22.2% Welmu went down by 1.11%, going from 1.44% to 0.33% Maru went down by 1.09%, going from 73.34% to 72.25% Hitman went down by 1.08%, going from 1.86% to 0.78% XiGua went down by 1.08%, going from 1.92% to 0.84% First went down by 1.08%, going from 20.65% to 19.57% TLO went down by 1.06%, going from 1.52% to 0.46% TaeJa went down by 0.99%, going from 46.49% to 45.49% MMA went down by 0.96%, going from 22.8% to 21.84% YoDa went down by 0.95%, going from 19.01% to 18.06% Strelok went down by 0.91%, going from 1.2% to 0.29% Stephano went down by 0.89%, going from 1.43% to 0.54% PartinG went down by 0.86%, going from 55.72% to 54.86% EnDerr went down by 0.81%, going from 1.25% to 0.44% San went down by 0.77%, going from 32.26% to 31.49% Harstem went down by 0.75%, going from 1.39% to 0.65% XY went down by 0.74%, going from 1.53% to 0.79%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 88.87% Chances of 2+ foreigners 53.42% Chances of 3+ foreigners 17.84% Chances of 4+ foreigners 3.08%
Lilbow5.52% chance to be the only foreigner, 22.61% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE3.85% chance to be the only foreigner, 16.77% chance overall. MajOr3.67% chance to be the only foreigner, 16.22% chance overall. Bunny3.64% chance to be the only foreigner, 16.09% chance overall. Kas2.38% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.31% chance overall. VortiX1.56% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.27% chance overall. Snute1.45% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.02% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Happy1.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.42% chance overall. Starbuck1.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.99% chance overall. Nerchio0.99% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.77% chance overall. MaSa0.94% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.69% chance overall. Jim0.92% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.6% chance overall. Scarlett0.83% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.14% chance overall. TargA0.7% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.37% chance overall. Ourk0.67% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.24% chance overall. ShoWTimE0.48% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.31% chance overall. Top0.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.29% chance overall. qxc0.42% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.18% chance overall. MaNa0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.71% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.46% chance overall. HuK0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.55% chance overall. PtitDrogo0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.39% chance overall. MarineLorD0.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.17% chance overall. Kane0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.17% chance overall. Dayshi0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.98% chance overall. uThermal0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.91% chance overall. XiGua0.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.84% chance overall. XY0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.79% chance overall. Hitman0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall. Harstem0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.65% chance overall. Stephano0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.54% chance overall. MorroW0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.54% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Terminator is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
WCS Qualifiers Season 1 Winning Chancesin ~ MajOr has a 58.08% chance to win ----going from 16.22% to 23.83% if they get 1st, or 5.68% if they don't. Jim has a 51.55% chance to win ----going from 4.6% to 7.6% if they get 1st, or 1.4% if they don't. Top has a 48.59% chance to win ----going from 2.29% to 4.01% if they get 1st, or 0.65% if they don't. Polt has a 47.67% chance to win ----going from 22.88% to 31.43% if they get 1st, or 15.08% if they don't. XiGua has a 46.19% chance to win ----going from 0.84% to 1.56% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
XY has a 45.21% chance to win ----going from 0.79% to 1.49% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. StarDust has a 45.14% chance to win ----going from 8.81% to 13.99% if they get 1st, or 4.55% if they don't. MaSa has a 44.22% chance to win ----going from 4.69% to 8.13% if they get 1st, or 1.96% if they don't. Cham has a 43.99% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. iAsonu has a 43.69% chance to win ----going from 0.44% to 0.86% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Scarlett has a 43.56% chance to win ----going from 4.14% to 7.3% if they get 1st, or 1.69% if they don't. TooDming has a 43.19% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 0.79% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. MacSed has a 42.38% chance to win ----going from 0.38% to 0.76% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. KiLLeR has a 40.71% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. JimRising has a 40.26% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 39.64% chance to win ----going from 1.17% to 2.31% if they get 1st, or 0.42% if they don't. HuK has a 39.41% chance to win ----going from 1.55% to 3.03% if they get 1st, or 0.58% if they don't. Darkness has a 38.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 37.95% chance to win ----going from 0.78% to 1.6% if they get 1st, or 0.27% if they don't. LsEbA has a 37.5% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 36.92% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. OdiN has a 35.37% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. puCK has a 34.05% chance to win ----going from 0.22% to 0.51% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Suppy has a 33.66% chance to win ----going from 0.2% to 0.48% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Jarppi has a 32.97% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Intense has a 32.95% chance to win ----going from 0.15% to 0.36% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. hendralisk has a 32.86% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. neeb has a 31.37% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Guitarcheese has a 30.74% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Xenocider has a 30.41% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. State has a 30.32% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. JonSnow has a 30.16% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Minigun has a 29.11% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Astrea has a 28.83% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. VortiX has a 28.1% chance to win ----going from 7.27% to 16.52% if they get 1st, or 3.66% if they don't. Snute has a 27.71% chance to win ----going from 7.02% to 15.81% if they get 1st, or 3.65% if they don't. goswser has a 27.48% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Nerchio has a 27.33% chance to win ----going from 4.77% to 11.63% if they get 1st, or 2.19% if they don't. Happy has a 27.29% chance to win ----going from 5.42% to 13.11% if they get 1st, or 2.54% if they don't. Sheep has a 27.16% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. phog has a 26.96% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TargA has a 26.66% chance to win ----going from 3.37% to 8.67% if they get 1st, or 1.45% if they don't. XionS has a 26.47% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Ourk has a 26.34% chance to win ----going from 3.24% to 8.44% if they get 1st, or 1.39% if they don't. Jig has a 26.25% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 25.39% chance to win ----going from 2.31% to 6.32% if they get 1st, or 0.95% if they don't. Capoch has a 25.23% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. AreS has a 24.93% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MaNa has a 24.57% chance to win ----going from 1.71% to 4.9% if they get 1st, or 0.67% if they don't. NahuaL has a 24.48% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 24.46% chance to win ----going from 1.46% to 4.22% if they get 1st, or 0.57% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 24.32% chance to win ----going from 1.17% to 3.46% if they get 1st, or 0.44% if they don't. Dayshi has a 24.17% chance to win ----going from 0.98% to 2.91% if they get 1st, or 0.37% if they don't. Bloody has a 23.96% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. uThermal has a 23.72% chance to win ----going from 0.91% to 2.76% if they get 1st, or 0.33% if they don't. Stephano has a 23.16% chance to win ----going from 0.54% to 1.73% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. Harstem has a 23.01% chance to win ----going from 0.65% to 2.03% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. Days has a 22.95% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. EnDerr has a 22.84% chance to win ----going from 0.44% to 1.41% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. TLO has a 22.74% chance to win ----going from 0.46% to 1.49% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't. MorroW has a 22.69% chance to win ----going from 0.54% to 1.74% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. Zanster has a 22.38% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 1.11% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. scv has a 22.3% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TerraN has a 22.04% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. JonnyREcco has a 21.99% chance to win ----going from 0.27% to 0.92% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Akroz has a 21.84% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. sLivko has a 21.75% chance to win ----going from 0.23% to 0.79% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Bly has a 21.68% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 0.65% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Serral has a 21.68% chance to win ----going from 0.24% to 0.85% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Kenshin has a 21.63% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. SortOf has a 21.58% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 0.86% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. RasAlGhul has a 21.56% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. elfi has a 21.53% chance to win ----going from 0.34% to 1.19% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Welmu has a 21.52% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 1.13% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Strelok has a 21.46% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 0.99% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Supremo has a 21.24% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. NarO has a 21.04% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Ret has a 20.98% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 0.49% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. HasuObs has a 20.77% chance to win ----going from 0.28% to 1.01% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. LiveZerg has a 20.74% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 0.5% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Grubby has a 20.71% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 0.69% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Mystery has a 20.58% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. CealeR has a 20.55% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MewTwo has a 20.49% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Dmega has a 20.36% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Sjaak has a 20.27% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 0.58% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Elazer has a 20.12% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.34% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. GoOdy has a 20.05% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 0.49% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Blysk has a 19.99% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 0.52% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. wiNgiAN has a 19.83% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Verdi has a 19.75% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 0.52% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Boombox has a 19.65% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 0.43% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Revolver has a 19.64% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.31% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. BrEnDaN has a 19.59% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Tefel has a 19.37% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.21% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. HaNfy has a 19.32% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.27% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Nero has a 19.29% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DaNa has a 19.1% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. XluoS has a 19.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. BlinG has a 18.9% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chancesin ~ herO has a 11.13% chance to win ----going from 88.78% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.67% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 10.14% chance to win ----going from 71.85% to 99.71% if they get 1st, or 94.82% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 9.6% chance to win ----going from 72.25% to 99.71% if they get 1st, or 94.83% if they get 2nd. Life has a 8.64% chance to win ----going from 64.63% to 99.14% if they get 1st, or 92.1% if they get 2nd. TY has a 8.39% chance to win ----going from 63.85% to 99.34% if they get 1st, or 91.69% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Dear has a 7.58% chance to win ----going from 58.57% to 98.73% if they get 1st, or 89.11% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 6.67% chance to win ----going from 32.43% to 92.97% if they get 1st, or 67.37% if they get 2nd. Super has a 6.61% chance to win ----going from 51.57% to 98.41% if they get 1st, or 84.42% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 6.43% chance to win ----going from 61.05% to 99.42% if they get 1st, or 91.65% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 4.83% chance to win ----going from 43.88% to 97.55% if they get 1st, or 81.79% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 4.17% chance to win ----going from 38.96% to 97.37% if they get 1st, or 77.3% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 3.7% chance to win ----going from 33.52% to 96.25% if they get 1st, or 75.73% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 3.66% chance to win ----going from 15.4% to 82.75% if they get 1st, or 47.22% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 3.36% chance to win ----going from 22.71% to 92.7% if they get 1st, or 62.35% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 3.27% chance to win ----going from 14.28% to 81.49% if they get 1st, or 44.52% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 1.81% chance to win ----going from 6.23% to 70.66% if they get 1st, or 29.39% if they get 2nd.
Leenock, Super, Terminator, and FanTaSyin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16. Leenock is at 14.28% Blizzcon Chances. 46.21% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.55%. 53.79% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.6%. Terminator is at 38.96% Blizzcon Chances. 52.66% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 54.01%. 47.34% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 22.21%. Super is at 51.57% Blizzcon Chances. 57.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 66.05%. 42.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 31.9%. FanTaSy is at 22.71% Blizzcon Chances. 43.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.77%. 56.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.35%.
Stats, herO, Classic, and Lifein in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16. Stats is at 32.43% Blizzcon Chances. 53.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 48.46%. 46.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.99%. Classic is at 15.4% Blizzcon Chances. 41.21% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 29.25%. 58.79% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.7%. herO is at 88.78% Blizzcon Chances. 54.58% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 96.21%. 45.42% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 79.85%. Life is at 64.63% Blizzcon Chances. 50.72% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 80.88%. 49.28% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 47.91%.
MyuNgSiK, Rogue, Dear, and GuMihoin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16. MyuNgSiK is at 6.23% Blizzcon Chances. 35.64% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.3%. 64.36% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.76%. Dear is at 58.57% Blizzcon Chances. 51.51% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 75.12%. 48.49% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.98%. Rogue is at 61.05% Blizzcon Chances. 53.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 76.58%. 46.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.4%. GuMiho is at 71.85% Blizzcon Chances. 59.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 84.42%. 40.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 53.27%.
Maru, TY, Dark, and Dreamin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16. Maru is at 72.25% Blizzcon Chances. 60.9% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 84.17%. 39.1% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 53.68%. Dark is at 43.88% Blizzcon Chances. 46.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 62.23%. 53.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.74%. TY is at 63.85% Blizzcon Chances. 55.48% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 78.82%. 44.52% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 45.2%. Dream is at 33.52% Blizzcon Chances. 36.84% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 54.62%. 63.16% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.21%.
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together.
Group A Leenock has a ~ 3.27 % chance to win StarLeague Season 1 Super has a ~ 6.61 % chance to win StarLeague Season 1 Terminator has a ~ 4.16 % chance to win StarLeague Season 1 FanTaSy has a ~ 3.36 % chance to win StarLeague Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 17.4006
Group B Life has a ~ 8.64 % chance to win StarLeague Season 1 Classic has a ~ 3.66 % chance to win StarLeague Season 1 herO has a ~ 11.12 % chance to win StarLeague Season 1 Stats has a ~ 6.69 % chance to win StarLeague Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 30.1109
Group C GuMiho has a ~ 10.12 % chance to win StarLeague Season 1 Dear has a ~ 7.57 % chance to win StarLeague Season 1 Rogue has a ~ 6.44 % chance to win StarLeague Season 1 MyuNgSiK has a ~ 1.81 % chance to win StarLeague Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 25.9417
Group D Maru has a ~ 9.61 % chance to win StarLeague Season 1 TY has a ~ 8.4 % chance to win StarLeague Season 1 Dark has a ~ 4.84 % chance to win StarLeague Season 1 Dream has a ~ 3.7 % chance to win StarLeague Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 26.5468
Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores B > D > C > A
Group A Leenock is at ~ 14.28 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Super is at ~ 51.59 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Terminator is at ~ 38.93 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 FanTaSy is at ~ 22.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 127.522
Group B Life is at ~ 64.58 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Classic is at ~ 15.4 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 herO is at ~ 88.8 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Stats is at ~ 32.42 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 201.202
Group C GuMiho is at ~ 71.81 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Dear is at ~ 58.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Rogue is at ~ 61.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MyuNgSiK is at ~ 6.23 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 197.684
Group D Maru is at ~ 72.28 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 TY is at ~ 63.88 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Dark is at ~ 43.87 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Dream is at ~ 33.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 213.555
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores D > B > C > A
Group A Leenock's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.7 % Super's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 2.48 % Terminator's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 2.56 % FanTaSy's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.23 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -5.51169
Group B Life's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -1.78 % Classic's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.94 % herO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.73 % Stats's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.59 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 2.859
Group C GuMiho's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.64 % Dear's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.8 % Rogue's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.77 % MyuNgSiK's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.23 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.3894
Group D Maru's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 1.6 % TY's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.16 % Dark's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.38 % Dream's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -3.41 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 2.03191
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores B > D > C > A
Group A When Leenock wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 11.26 % When Leenock loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.68 % When Super wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 14.49 % When Super loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 19.72 % When Terminator wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 15.06 % When Terminator loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 16.76 % When FanTaSy wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 16.06 % When FanTaSy loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.35 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 115.398
Group B When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 16.28 % When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 16.74 % When Classic wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 13.85 % When Classic loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.7 % When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 7.43 % When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 8.95 % When Stats wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 16.03 % When Stats loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 18.45 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 107.429
Group C When GuMiho wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 12.55 % When GuMiho loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 18.54 % When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 16.53 % When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 17.57 % When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 15.53 % When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 17.66 % When MyuNgSiK wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 8.09 % When MyuNgSiK loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.48 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 110.943
Group D When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 11.89 % When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 18.57 % When TY wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 14.96 % When TY loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 18.61 % When Dark wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 18.37 % When Dark loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 16.14 % When Dream wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 21.11 % When Dream loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.31 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 131.969
Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores D > A > C > B
Group A Leenock has an overall Aligulac rating of 1907 Super has an overall Aligulac rating of 1984 Terminator has an overall Aligulac rating of 1909 FanTaSy has an overall Aligulac rating of 1906 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7706
Group B Life has an overall Aligulac rating of 2198 Classic has an overall Aligulac rating of 1889 herO has an overall Aligulac rating of 2204 Stats has an overall Aligulac rating of 1996 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8287
Group C GuMiho has an overall Aligulac rating of 2152 Dear has an overall Aligulac rating of 2069 Rogue has an overall Aligulac rating of 2074 MyuNgSiK has an overall Aligulac rating of 1755 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8050
Group D Maru has an overall Aligulac rating of 2132 TY has an overall Aligulac rating of 2109 Dark has an overall Aligulac rating of 2023 Dream has an overall Aligulac rating of 1946 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8210
Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores B > D > C > A
Group A has a 2nd place, and four 4th places Group B has three 1st places, a 2nd place, and a 4th place Group C has five 3rd places Group D has two 1st places, and three 2nd places
Group B is our Group of Death! Congrats to Life, Classic, herO, and Stats! Group D is our very close 2nd place Group of Death with Maru, TY, Dark, and Dream!
What do you think?
Poll: Group of death?
Group B: Stats, Classic, Life, herO (43)
58%
Group D: TY, Dark, Dream, Maru (21)
28%
There is no group of death (6)
8%
Group A: Terminator, FanTaSy, Leenock, Super (2)
3%
Group C: Dear, GuMiho, Rogue, MyuNgSiK (2)
3%
74 total votes
Your vote: Group of death?
(Vote): Group A: Terminator, FanTaSy, Leenock, Super (Vote): Group B: Stats, Classic, Life, herO (Vote): Group C: Dear, GuMiho, Rogue, MyuNgSiK (Vote): Group D: TY, Dark, Dream, Maru (Vote): There is no group of death
On January 08 2015 11:54 sharkie wrote: aaahh I can't sell Kas because WCS AM is currently running?
yea, it'd be too easy to game the system if you could trade during matches, am quals are almost done though!
trading is now open again
Also I don't think I said before. WCS Wars is going to have a winner each season and all the teams will be reset. (Unless you guys convince me otherwise lol)
aaahhhh, I bought herO because of long term investment! \o/ Now I have to hope he makes it far in his leagues THIS season
--------UPDATE Friday, Jan 10 11:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) WCS Qualifiers Halfway Point and IEM Taipei 3 Invites! (Sim #1163) This includes WCS EU qualifiers 1, 2, and 3, and WCS AM qualifiers 1 and 2. Also includes CJ herO, Parting, and Life being invited to IEM Taipei. (Had to make a fix to not give the invites points if they lose in the first round). Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
herO (CJ Entus), is at 92.11%, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median WCS Points: 4775
ForGG (Millenium), is at 77.33%, Min WCS Points: 425, Median WCS Points: 4100
Maru (Jinair), is at 70.89%, Min WCS Points: 575, Median WCS Points: 3500
GuMiho (Invasion), is at 70.75%, Min WCS Points: 700, Median WCS Points: 3500
Life (StarTale), is at 70.12%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 3500
TY (KT), is at 63.3%, Min WCS Points: 575, Median WCS Points: 3175
PartinG (Yoe), is at 61.68%, Min WCS Points: 400, Median WCS Points: 3100
Rain (mYinsanity), is at 60.8%, Min WCS Points: 650, Median WCS Points: 3050
Rogue (Jinair), is at 60.73%, Min WCS Points: 650, Median WCS Points: 3050
Dear (Samsung), is at 57.98%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 2975
INnoVation (SKT T1), is at 55.93%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 2875
Super (Invasion), is at 51.07%, Min WCS Points: 575, Median WCS Points: 2700
TaeJa (Liquid), is at 44.85%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 2475
Dark (SKT T1), is at 43.64%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 2450
Terminator (Jinair), is at 38.35%, Min WCS Points: 575, Median WCS Points: 2325
Hydra (ROOT), is at 37.77%, Min WCS Points: 175, Median WCS Points: 2225
Bomber, is at 35.14%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 2225
Dream (SKT T1), is at 32.86%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 2125
Stats (KT), is at 31.97%, Min WCS Points: 425, Median WCS Points: 2050
Solar (Samsung), is at 28.65%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1950
YoDa (Prime), is at 25.17%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1925
Soulkey (TCM), is at 24.37%, Min WCS Points: 600, Median WCS Points: 1975
NaNiwa, is at 23.43%, Min WCS Points: 50, Median WCS Points: 1675
FanTaSy (dPix), is at 22.32%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 1825
sOs (Jinair), is at 21.74%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1875
MMA (Acer), is at 20.18%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1675
Lilbow (Millenium), is at 19.38%, Min WCS Points: 50, Median WCS Points: 1550
First, is at 19.06%, Min WCS Points: 275, Median WCS Points: 1675
TargA (Imaginary), is at 16.77%, Min WCS Points: 50, Median WCS Points: 1500
San (Yoe), is at 15.96%, Min WCS Points: 275, Median WCS Points: 1600
Zest (KT), is at 15.53%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1525
Polt (CM Storm), is at 15.25%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1400
Classic (SKT T1), is at 15.13%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 1475
viOLet, is at 14.31%, Min WCS Points: 50, Median WCS Points: 1425
Leenock (Yoe), is at 14.05%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 1450
HeRoMaRinE (mouz), is at 13.65%, Min WCS Points: 50, Median WCS Points: 1350
MajOr (ROOT), is at 13.43%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1325
Bunny (Liquid), is at 13.06%, Min WCS Points: 50, Median WCS Points: 1375
MaSa (ROOT), is at 11.2%, Min WCS Points: 50, Median WCS Points: 1350
MC, is at 9.64%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1450
Kas (Cascade), is at 8.71%, Min WCS Points: 175, Median WCS Points: 1300
Bbyong (CJ Entus), is at 7.96%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1225
Cure (Jinair), is at 7.2%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1050
MarineKing (MVP), is at 6.58%, Min WCS Points: 700, Median WCS Points: 1450
MarineLorD (Millenium), is at 6.53%, Min WCS Points: 50, Median WCS Points: 1125
MyuNgSiK (Prime), is at 6.03%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 1150
VortiX (Millenium), is at 5.87%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 750
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at 5.85%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 975
StarDust, is at 5.78%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 850
Snute (Liquid), is at 5.6%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1000
Biggest Winners and Losers since Tuesday, Jan 06 6:34am GMT (GMT+00:00) including all WCS Qualifiers so far (Sim ID #1148 vs Sim ID #1163) Biggest Winners ForGG went up by 28.29%, going from 49.04% to 77.33% NaNiwa went up by 23.43%, going from 0.01% to 23.43% Hydra went up by 12.01%, going from 25.76% to 37.77% TargA went up by 10.77%, going from 5.99% to 16.77% Lilbow went up by 9.6%, going from 9.78% to 19.38% HeRoMaRinE went up by 8.54%, going from 5.11% to 13.65% Soulkey went up by 7.2%, going from 17.17% to 24.37% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Bunny went up by 6.77%, going from 6.29% to 13.06% YoDa went up by 6.5%, going from 18.67% to 25.17% PartinG went up by 6.35%, going from 55.33% to 61.68% Rogue went up by 5.19%, going from 55.54% to 60.73% Kas went up by 4.61%, going from 4.1% to 8.71% viOLet went up by 4.29%, going from 10.03% to 14.31% MarineLorD went up by 4.18%, going from 2.35% to 6.53% StarDust went up by 3.12%, going from 2.66% to 5.78% uThermal went up by 3.09%, going from 2.35% to 5.43% MC went up by 2.98%, going from 6.66% to 9.64% MaSa went up by 2.31%, going from 8.88% to 11.2% Terminator went up by 2.16%, going from 36.19% to 38.35% Starbuck went up by 1.83%, going from 1.91% to 3.74% Super went up by 1.74%, going from 49.33% to 51.07% Leenock went up by 1.39%, going from 12.66% to 14.05% PtitDrogo went up by 0.87%, going from 0.16% to 1.03% herO went up by 0.68%, going from 91.44% to 92.11% Kane went up by 0.5%, going from 2.49% to 2.99% Bails went up by 0.46%, going from 0.31% to 0.77% puCK went up by 0.45%, going from 0.53% to 0.98% Astrea went up by 0.39%, going from 0.11% to 0.49% qxc went up by 0.38%, going from 1.7% to 2.08% Beastyqt went up by 0.25%, going from 0.06% to 0.32% Cure went up by 0.21%, going from 6.99% to 7.2% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.18%, going from 5.85% to 6.03%
Biggest Losers Polt went down by 16.01%, going from 31.26% to 15.25% San went down by 15.93%, going from 31.89% to 15.96% MajOr went down by 9.36%, going from 22.8% to 13.43% VortiX went down by 6.84%, going from 12.71% to 5.87% MarineKing went down by 6.52%, going from 13.11% to 6.58% Snute went down by 6.06%, going from 11.66% to 5.6% Happy went down by 5.73%, going from 10.2% to 4.47% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Scarlett went down by 5.33%, going from 7.47% to 2.14% Nerchio went down by 5.23%, going from 8.78% to 3.55% Ourk went down by 4.11%, going from 6.46% to 2.34% Dream went down by 3.93%, going from 36.78% to 32.86% FanTaSy went down by 3.51%, going from 25.83% to 22.32% GuMiho went down by 3.18%, going from 73.93% to 70.75% Jim went down by 2.95%, going from 6.65% to 3.7% TY went down by 2.76%, going from 66.06% to 63.3% Solar went down by 2.53%, going from 31.18% to 28.65% INnoVation went down by 2.52%, going from 58.45% to 55.93% HuK went down by 2.42%, going from 3.06% to 0.64% Dark went down by 2.36%, going from 45.99% to 43.64% MMA went down by 2.31%, going from 22.49% to 20.18% MaNa went down by 2.19%, going from 3.43% to 1.24% ShoWTimE went down by 2.15%, going from 3.72% to 1.57% Maru went down by 1.96%, going from 72.85% to 70.89% GunGFuBanDa went down by 1.9%, going from 2.9% to 1.01% Top went down by 1.84%, going from 3.65% to 1.81% Bomber went down by 1.66%, going from 36.8% to 35.14% Hitman went down by 1.32%, going from 1.67% to 0.36% sOs went down by 1.18%, going from 22.93% to 21.74% TLO went down by 1.18%, going from 1.42% to 0.24% Welmu went down by 1.18%, going from 1.33% to 0.15% TaeJa went down by 1.18%, going from 46.03% to 44.85% First went down by 1.17%, going from 20.22% to 19.06% EnDerr went down by 1.12%, going from 1.13% to 0.01% XiGua went down by 1.11%, going from 1.67% to 0.56% Dayshi went down by 1.03%, going from 1.58% to 0.56% Stephano went down by 1.01%, going from 1.32% to 0.32% Strelok went down by 0.95%, going from 1.07% to 0.12% Rain went down by 0.93%, going from 61.74% to 60.8% Harstem went down by 0.9%, going from 1.27% to 0.37% jjakji went down by 0.77%, going from 3.26% to 2.49% KingKong went down by 0.76%, going from 1.5% to 0.73% XY went down by 0.76%, going from 1.3% to 0.54% elfi went down by 0.72%, going from 0.91% to 0.19% MorroW went down by 0.72%, going from 0.96% to 0.24% Serral went down by 0.69%, going from 0.86% to 0.17% SortOf went down by 0.6%, going from 0.73% to 0.13% iAsonu went down by 0.6%, going from 0.9% to 0.3% Zest went down by 0.59%, going from 16.12% to 15.53% sLivko went down by 0.54%, going from 0.66% to 0.12% JonnyREcco went down by 0.53%, going from 0.68% to 0.15%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 92.53% Chances of 2+ foreigners 62.46% Chances of 3+ foreigners 24.63% Chances of 4+ foreigners 5.11%
NaNiwa4.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 23.43% chance overall. Lilbow3.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 19.38% chance overall. TargA2.84% chance to be the only foreigner, 16.77% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE2.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 13.65% chance overall. MajOr2.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 13.43% chance overall. Bunny2.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 13.06% chance overall. MaSa1.77% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.2% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Kas1.32% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.71% chance overall. MarineLorD1.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.53% chance overall. VortiX0.91% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.87% chance overall. Snute0.82% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.6% chance overall. uThermal0.82% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.43% chance overall. Happy0.7% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.47% chance overall. Starbuck0.57% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.74% chance overall. Jim0.55% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.7% chance overall. Nerchio0.54% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.55% chance overall. Kane0.44% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.99% chance overall. Ourk0.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.34% chance overall. Scarlett0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.14% chance overall. qxc0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.08% chance overall. Top0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.81% chance overall. ShoWTimE0.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.57% chance overall. MaNa0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.24% chance overall. PtitDrogo0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.03% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.01% chance overall. puCK0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.98% chance overall. Bails0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.77% chance overall. HuK0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.64% chance overall. Dayshi0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.56% chance overall. XiGua0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.56% chance overall. XY0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.54% chance overall. Astrea0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.49% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Terminator is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
WCS Qualifiers Season 1 Winning Chancesin ~ Top has a 48.61% chance to win ----going from 1.81% to 3.17% if they get 1st, or 0.53% if they don't. XiGua has a 46.19% chance to win ----going from 0.56% to 1.05% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. XY has a 45.23% chance to win ----going from 0.54% to 1.01% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Cham has a 43.99% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 43.65% chance to win ----going from 0.3% to 0.58% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
TooDming has a 43.21% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 0.52% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. MacSed has a 42.38% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 0.52% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Polt has a 41.51% chance to win ----going from 15.25% to 22.46% if they get 1st, or 10.14% if they don't. KiLLeR has a 40.77% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. JimRising has a 40.28% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. StarDust has a 39.78% chance to win ----going from 5.78% to 9.6% if they get 1st, or 3.26% if they don't. Scarlett has a 38.31% chance to win ----going from 2.14% to 3.96% if they get 1st, or 1.01% if they don't. Darkness has a 38.12% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 36.96% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. LsEbA has a 36.24% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. OdiN has a 35.36% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HuK has a 34.71% chance to win ----going from 0.64% to 1.29% if they get 1st, or 0.29% if they don't. Hitman has a 34.06% chance to win ----going from 0.36% to 0.75% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Jarppi has a 33.02% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Intense has a 30.24% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Guitarcheese has a 30.16% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. hendralisk has a 29.42% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Xenocider has a 29.33% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. VortiX has a 29.08% chance to win ----going from 5.87% to 12.58% if they get 1st, or 3.12% if they don't. Snute has a 28.67% chance to win ----going from 5.6% to 11.82% if they get 1st, or 3.1% if they don't. JonSnow has a 28.53% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. neeb has a 28.5% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sheep has a 28.47% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Happy has a 28.4% chance to win ----going from 4.47% to 10.04% if they get 1st, or 2.27% if they don't. Nerchio has a 28.2% chance to win ----going from 3.55% to 8.12% if they get 1st, or 1.75% if they don't. Suppy has a 28.18% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. State has a 27.88% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. goswser has a 27.57% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ourk has a 27.16% chance to win ----going from 2.34% to 5.69% if they get 1st, or 1.1% if they don't. XionS has a 26.47% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 26.21% chance to win ----going from 1.57% to 3.95% if they get 1st, or 0.72% if they don't. hale has a 25.79% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Minigun has a 25.78% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ViBE has a 25.7% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaNa has a 25.5% chance to win ----going from 1.24% to 3.26% if they get 1st, or 0.55% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 25.4% chance to win ----going from 1.01% to 2.64% if they get 1st, or 0.45% if they don't. Capoch has a 25.27% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. AreS has a 24.91% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Dayshi has a 24.9% chance to win ----going from 0.56% to 1.5% if they get 1st, or 0.24% if they don't. Stephano has a 24.05% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 0.91% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. Bloody has a 24.03% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Harstem has a 23.66% chance to win ----going from 0.37% to 1.05% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. TLO has a 23.49% chance to win ----going from 0.24% to 0.71% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. MorroW has a 23.17% chance to win ----going from 0.24% to 0.72% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Zanster has a 23.13% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 0.52% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Days has a 23.04% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Serral has a 22.94% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 0.53% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. JonnyREcco has a 22.77% chance to win ----going from 0.15% to 0.45% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Ret has a 22.73% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. sLivko has a 22.56% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 0.36% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. SortOf has a 22.38% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 0.41% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. scv has a 22.28% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. NahuaL has a 22.21% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. elfi has a 22.15% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 0.59% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Bly has a 22.15% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.27% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. TerraN has a 22.03% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Strelok has a 21.96% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 0.39% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Akroz has a 21.93% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Welmu has a 21.79% chance to win ----going from 0.15% to 0.46% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Kenshin has a 21.66% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. LiveZerg has a 21.61% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.24% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. RasAlGhul has a 21.6% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. HasuObs has a 21.58% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 0.56% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Grubby has a 21.55% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 0.34% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Supremo has a 21.3% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GoOdy has a 21.29% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. hOpe has a 21.28% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Sjaak has a 21.2% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.27% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. NarO has a 21.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Revolver has a 20.87% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Mystery has a 20.64% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 20.6% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. CealeR has a 20.58% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MewTwo has a 20.47% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. HaNfy has a 20.45% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Verdi has a 20.45% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.27% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Boombox has a 20.35% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.2% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Dmega has a 20.35% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Tefel has a 20.11% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MiNiMaTh has a 19.89% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. wiNgiAN has a 19.86% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DaNa has a 19.76% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. BlinG has a 19.6% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. BrEnDaN has a 19.58% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Adonminus has a 19.51% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. souL has a 19.48% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. fraer has a 19.48% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Complain has a 19.39% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Nero has a 19.33% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Lillekanin has a 19.22% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. XluoS has a 19.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zinho has a 18.91% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Deathwing has a 18.9% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Majestic has a 18.82% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. DieStar has a 18.78% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
WCS Wars trading is open again finally, it was locked for a while due to the split of the WCS EU qualifier. Go get ready for S2SL tonight! http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=gamehome
Leenock, Super, Terminator, and FanTaSyin in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16. Leenock is at 14.66% Blizzcon Chances. 46.64% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.06%. 53.36% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.68%. Terminator is at 37.73% Blizzcon Chances. 52.48% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 52.68%. 47.52% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.22%. Super is at 50.42% Blizzcon Chances. 57.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 65.15%. 42.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.53%. FanTaSy is at 21.88% Blizzcon Chances. 43.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.74%. 56.57% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.71%.
StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chancesin ~ Super has a 6.68% chance to win ----going from 50.42% to 98.17% if they get 1st, or 83.5% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 4.17% chance to win ----going from 37.73% to 96.97% if they get 1st, or 75.96% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 3.49% chance to win ----going from 14.66% to 81.18% if they get 1st, or 44.84% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 3.36% chance to win ----going from 21.88% to 92.29% if they get 1st, or 60.63% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Life has a 10.92% chance to win ----going from 82.83% to 99.92% if they get 1st, or 98.21% if they get 2nd. herO has a 10.67% chance to win ----going from 91.24% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.8% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 9.25% chance to win ----going from 69.35% to 99.58% if they get 1st, or 93.68% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 8.82% chance to win ----going from 57.41% to 99.27% if they get 1st, or 89.31% if they get 2nd. TY has a 7.78% chance to win ----going from 59.93% to 99.15% if they get 1st, or 90.23% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 7.24% chance to win ----going from 55.28% to 98.44% if they get 1st, or 87.4% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 6.71% chance to win ----going from 31.41% to 92.26% if they get 1st, or 66.02% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 6.61% chance to win ----going from 60.25% to 99.36% if they get 1st, or 91.27% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 4.97% chance to win ----going from 43.36% to 97.46% if they get 1st, or 81.3% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 3.86% chance to win ----going from 33.55% to 96.15% if they get 1st, or 75.45% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 3.68% chance to win ----going from 14.64% to 81.41% if they get 1st, or 45.15% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 1.8% chance to win ----going from 5.7% to 68.55% if they get 1st, or 27.5% if they get 2nd.
Biggest Winners and Losers since Tuesday, Jan 06 6:34am GMT (GMT+00:00) including all WCS Qualifiers (Sim ID #1148 vs Sim ID #1185) Biggest Winners ForGG went up by 21.52%, going from 49.04% to 70.56% Snute went up by 19.99%, going from 11.66% to 31.66% Leenock went up by 18.26%, going from 12.66% to 30.92% Rain went up by 14.82%, going from 61.74% to 76.56% Super went up by 13.64%, going from 49.33% to 62.97% NaNiwa went up by 12.25%, going from 0.01% to 12.25% Soulkey went up by 11.74%, going from 17.17% to 28.91% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Life went up by 11.61%, going from 70.52% to 82.12% PiG went up by 8.98%, going from 0.11% to 9.09% PartinG went up by 7.58%, going from 55.33% to 62.9% Happy went up by 6.8%, going from 10.2% to 16.99% Sen went up by 6.73%, going from 0.06% to 6.78% Rogue went up by 6.12%, going from 55.54% to 61.66% Hydra went up by 4.8%, going from 25.76% to 30.56% YoDa went up by 3.95%, going from 18.67% to 22.62% Classic went up by 3.8%, going from 15.26% to 19.06% TargA went up by 3.78%, going from 5.99% to 9.78% herO went up by 3.47%, going from 91.44% to 94.91% Bunny went up by 2.74%, going from 6.29% to 9.03% iaguz went up by 2.51%, going from 0.02% to 2.52% MC went up by 2.46%, going from 6.66% to 9.13% HeRoMaRinE went up by 2.24%, going from 5.11% to 7.36% Has went up by 1.78%, going from 0.03% to 1.81% ShoWTimE went up by 1.55%, going from 3.72% to 5.27% Starbuck went up by 0.84%, going from 1.91% to 2.75% MaNa went up by 0.81%, going from 3.43% to 4.24% HyuN went up by 0.52%, going from 6.1% to 6.62% Harstem went up by 0.5%, going from 1.27% to 1.77% Zest went up by 0.46%, going from 16.12% to 16.58% Ret went up by 0.39%, going from 0.47% to 0.86% uThermal went up by 0.37%, going from 2.35% to 2.71% Lilbow went up by 0.25%, going from 9.78% to 10.02% YongHwa went up by 0.21%, going from 2.11% to 2.33% PtitDrogo went up by 0.17%, going from 0.16% to 0.33% Bly went up by 0.17%, going from 0.39% to 0.56% HerO went up by 0.16%, going from 0.81% to 0.97% BlinG went up by 0.13%, going from 0.11% to 0.24% Petraeus went up by 0.12%, going from 0.15% to 0.27% Ian went up by 0.12%, going from 0.01% to 0.12% Bails went up by 0.11%, going from 0.31% to 0.42% Kas went up by 0.11%, going from 4.1% to 4.21%
Biggest Losers TaeJa went down by 20.35%, going from 46.03% to 25.68% FanTaSy went down by 17.54%, going from 25.83% to 8.29% San went down by 16.9%, going from 31.89% to 14.98% GuMiho went down by 11.68%, going from 73.93% to 62.25% INnoVation went down by 11.47%, going from 58.45% to 46.98% VortiX went down by 10.24%, going from 12.71% to 2.47% TY went down by 6.6%, going from 66.06% to 59.46% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
MarineKing went down by 6.48%, going from 13.11% to 6.62% Terminator went down by 6.38%, going from 36.19% to 29.82% Ourk went down by 5.9%, going from 6.46% to 0.56% Dear went down by 5.06%, going from 58.41% to 53.34% Solar went down by 5.02%, going from 31.18% to 26.16% Maru went down by 4.49%, going from 72.85% to 68.37% sOs went down by 4.24%, going from 22.93% to 18.69% Dream went down by 3.55%, going from 36.78% to 33.23% MaSa went down by 3.49%, going from 8.88% to 5.39% Top went down by 3.33%, going from 3.65% to 0.33% MMA went down by 3.11%, going from 22.49% to 19.38% Bomber went down by 2.94%, going from 36.8% to 33.86% Dark went down by 2.75%, going from 45.99% to 43.25% GunGFuBanDa went down by 2.68%, going from 2.9% to 0.23% Nerchio went down by 1.7%, going from 8.78% to 7.08% Hitman went down by 1.61%, going from 1.67% to 0.07% MajOr went down by 1.58%, going from 22.8% to 21.22% First went down by 1.57%, going from 20.22% to 18.65% Dayshi went down by 1.46%, going from 1.58% to 0.13% Kane went down by 1.35%, going from 2.49% to 1.14% XY went down by 1.26%, going from 1.3% to 0.04% Stephano went down by 1.23%, going from 1.32% to 0.08% Scarlett went down by 1.11%, going from 7.47% to 6.36% EnDerr went down by 1.07%, going from 1.13% to 0.06% Stats went down by 1.05%, going from 32.08% to 31.04% Strelok went down by 1.01%, going from 1.07% to 0.05% Curious went down by 1.01%, going from 2.78% to 1.77% Jim went down by 0.99%, going from 6.65% to 5.66% XiGua went down by 0.96%, going from 1.67% to 0.72% elfi went down by 0.88%, going from 0.91% to 0.03% Polt went down by 0.85%, going from 31.26% to 30.41% viOLet went down by 0.84%, going from 10.03% to 9.19% Welmu went down by 0.83%, going from 1.33% to 0.5% SortOf went down by 0.71%, going from 0.73% to 0.03% TooDming went down by 0.67%, going from 0.77% to 0.1% sLivko went down by 0.63%, going from 0.66% to 0.02% JonnyREcco went down by 0.63%, going from 0.68% to 0.05% Jaedong went down by 0.63%, going from 5.76% to 5.14% Hack went down by 0.56%, going from 2.4% to 1.84% HasuObs went down by 0.55%, going from 0.59% to 0.04% HuK went down by 0.53%, going from 3.06% to 2.53% TLO went down by 0.49%, going from 1.42% to 0.93% Grubby went down by 0.48%, going from 0.51% to 0.03%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners from 93.05% to 94.78% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 64.05% to 69.65% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 25.38% to 31.64% Chances of 4+ foreigners from 4.94% to 7.86%
Snute4.61% chance to be the only foreigner, 31.66% chance overall. MajOr2.78% chance to be the only foreigner, 21.22% chance overall. Happy2.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 16.99% chance overall. NaNiwa1.58% chance to be the only foreigner, 12.25% chance overall. Lilbow1.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.02% chance overall. TargA1.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.78% chance overall. PiG1.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.09% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Bunny1.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.03% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.88% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.36% chance overall. Nerchio0.87% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.08% chance overall. Sen0.75% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.78% chance overall. Scarlett0.72% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.36% chance overall. Jim0.63% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.66% chance overall. ShoWTimE0.62% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.27% chance overall. MaSa0.53% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.39% chance overall. MaNa0.49% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.24% chance overall. Kas0.48% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.21% chance overall. Starbuck0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.75% chance overall. uThermal0.3% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.71% chance overall. iaguz0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.52% chance overall. HuK0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.53% chance overall. VortiX0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.47% chance overall. Has0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.81% chance overall. Harstem0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.77% chance overall. MarineLorD0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.22% chance overall. qxc0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.24% chance overall. Kane0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.14% chance overall. TLO0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.93% chance overall. MorroW0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.88% chance overall. Ret0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.86% chance overall. iAsonu0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.75% chance overall. XiGua0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.72% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Leenock is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Headband History] +
Races Protoss went from 35.36% up to 36.1% Terran went from 41.01% down to 37.11% Zerg went from 23.22% up to 26.75% Random went from 0.4% down to 0.03%
Teams (just some highlights, if you want to see for yourself go here and mouse over the teams in the graph) JinAir went from 12.33% down to 11.71% SKT T1 went from 10.06% down to 9.18% KT went from 8.7% down to 8.13% Teamless went from 4.94% up to 5.47% StarTale went from 4.78% up to 5.39% Millenium went from 4.72% up to 5.34% mYinsanity went from 4.51% up to 5.3% Liquid went from 4.38% up to 4.59%
Countries (just some highlights, go here for more) Korea went from 88.25% down to 87.18% Norway went from 1.11% up to 2.59% Russia went from 0.74% up to 1.07% Canada went from 1.4% down to 0.97% Sweden went from 0.15% up to 0.83% USA went from 0.4% down to 0.19%
On January 21 2015 04:46 sharkie wrote: I have players from all regions in my team muahahaha
And you're currently #1, even with some points in the bank and an empty slot. You should probably buy a 200 pointer and hope they attend a tournament before the end of the season, they can't go down and can only gain you points, if you sell them then you get 190 points back at the worst.
--------UPDATE Sunday, Jan 26 6:30am GMT (GMT+00:00) WCS Challenger Completed and Premier Ro32 Groups Drawn! (Sim #1196) Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
Life (StarTale), is at 92.74%, Min WCS Points: 950, Median WCS Points: 5000
herO (CJ Entus), is at 90.69%, Min WCS Points: 1625, Median WCS Points: 4200
ForGG (Millenium), is at 75.63%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 3800
Rain (mYinsanity), is at 74.72%, Min WCS Points: 850, Median WCS Points: 3575
Maru (Jinair), is at 74.37%, Min WCS Points: 775, Median WCS Points: 3625
PartinG (Yoe), is at 71.46%, Min WCS Points: 600, Median WCS Points: 3500
GuMiho (Invasion), is at 61.34%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 3125
Rogue (Jinair), is at 60.81%, Min WCS Points: 650, Median WCS Points: 3075
TY (KT), is at 58.25%, Min WCS Points: 575, Median WCS Points: 2975
INnoVation (SKT T1), is at 56.38%, Min WCS Points: 600, Median WCS Points: 2900
Super (Invasion), is at 52.64%, Min WCS Points: 925, Median WCS Points: 2775
Dear (Samsung), is at 51.75%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 2750
Stats (KT), is at 47.93%, Min WCS Points: 725, Median WCS Points: 2625
Dark (SKT T1), is at 44.11%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 2475
Hydra (ROOT), is at 42.22%, Min WCS Points: 275, Median WCS Points: 2425
Snute (Liquid), is at 36.02%, Min WCS Points: 400, Median WCS Points: 2250
Polt (CM Storm), is at 35.15%, Min WCS Points: 400, Median WCS Points: 2225
Dream (SKT T1), is at 33.84%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 2175
Bomber, is at 32.49%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 2150
Solar (Samsung), is at 30.55%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 2075
Terminator (Jinair), is at 28.35%, Min WCS Points: 875, Median WCS Points: 2150
Leenock (Yoe), is at 26.87%, Min WCS Points: 600, Median WCS Points: 2000
TaeJa (Liquid), is at 24.86%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1775
Soulkey (TCM), is at 24.19%, Min WCS Points: 600, Median WCS Points: 1975
NaNiwa, is at 22.55%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1750
MajOr (ROOT), is at 22.44%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1775
YoDa (Prime), is at 20.86%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1800
MMA (Acer), is at 18.18%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1625
sOs (Jinair), is at 18.14%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1775
Zest (KT), is at 15.62%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1525
Happy, is at 15.56%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1500
viOLet, is at 13.25%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1475
TargA (Imaginary), is at 13.08%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1450
San (Yoe), is at 12.83%, Min WCS Points: 275, Median WCS Points: 1500
Bunny (Liquid), is at 12.25%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1450
ShoWTimE (aTn), is at 10.01%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1350
First (KT), is at 9.31%, Min WCS Points: 325, Median WCS Points: 1325
MC, is at 8.51%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1400
Sen (HKA), is at 8.46%, Min WCS Points: 275, Median WCS Points: 1400
FanTaSy (dPix), is at 7.83%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 1400
Bbyong (CJ Entus), is at 7.71%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1200
PiG (x5), is at 7.11%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1250
Cure (Jinair), is at 6.59%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1000
Classic (SKT T1), is at 6.48%, Min WCS Points: 425, Median WCS Points: 1325
MaNa (Liquid), is at 6.4%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1175
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at 6.36%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1050
Jim (iG), is at 5.99%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1225
MarineKing (MVP), is at 5.62%, Min WCS Points: 700, Median WCS Points: 1425
Jaedong (EG), is at 5.02%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1175
Flash (KT), is at 4.58%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 900
Biggest Winners and Losers from WCS Premier ro32 group drawing (Sim ID #1195 vs Sim ID #1196) Biggest Winners NaNiwa went up by 1.81%, going from 20.73% to 22.55% viOLet went up by 0.8%, going from 12.45% to 13.25% ShoWTimE went up by 0.8%, going from 9.21% to 10.01% Bunny went up by 0.61%, going from 11.64% to 12.25% Jim went up by 0.59%, going from 5.4% to 5.99% Snute went up by 0.44%, going from 35.58% to 36.02% uThermal went up by 0.14%, going from 3.38% to 3.52% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
HuK went up by 0.11%, going from 3.3% to 3.42% PiG went up by 0.11%, going from 7.01% to 7.11% Dark went up by 0.11%, going from 44.01% to 44.11%
Biggest Losers Polt went down by 2.35%, going from 37.5% to 35.15% Happy went down by 1.44%, going from 17.01% to 15.56% TargA went down by 0.77%, going from 13.85% to 13.08% Sen went down by 0.47%, going from 8.93% to 8.46% MajOr went down by 0.25%, going from 22.69% to 22.44% ForGG went down by 0.2%, going from 75.83% to 75.63% Serral went down by 0.15%, going from 0.88% to 0.74% MaNa went down by 0.11%, going from 6.51% to 6.4%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 93.58% Chances of 2+ foreigners 64.99% Chances of 3+ foreigners 26.55% Chances of 4+ foreigners 5.75%
Snute6.47% chance to be the only foreigner, 36.02% chance overall. NaNiwa3.56% chance to be the only foreigner, 22.55% chance overall. MajOr3.55% chance to be the only foreigner, 22.44% chance overall. Happy2.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 15.56% chance overall. TargA1.87% chance to be the only foreigner, 13.08% chance overall. Bunny1.7% chance to be the only foreigner, 12.25% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.01% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Sen1.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.46% chance overall. PiG0.97% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.11% chance overall. MaNa0.87% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.4% chance overall. Jim0.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.99% chance overall. uThermal0.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.52% chance overall. HuK0.44% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.42% chance overall. Has0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.59% chance overall. VortiX0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.23% chance overall. Kane0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.99% chance overall. iaguz0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.93% chance overall. TLO0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.69% chance overall. Lilbow0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.62% chance overall. MorroW0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.3% chance overall. Nerchio0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.97% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.94% chance overall. MaSa0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.9% chance overall. Serral0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.74% chance overall. Welmu0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.71% chance overall. puCK0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.6% chance overall. XiGua0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.58% chance overall. iAsonu0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.56% chance overall. MacSed0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.53% chance overall. Scarlett0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.56% chance overall. Astrea0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.47% chance overall. Ourk0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.43% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Leenock is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Headband History] +
puCK, MajOr, TargA, and MaNa (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. puCK is at 0.6% Blizzcon Chances. 33.23% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.14%. 66.77% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.33%. TargA is at 13.08% Blizzcon Chances. 52.34% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.72%. 47.66% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.99%. MajOr is at 22.44% Blizzcon Chances. 61.92% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.75%. 38.08% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.81%. MaNa is at 6.4% Blizzcon Chances. 52.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.05%. 47.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.47%.
Serral, Happy, ForGG, and Polt (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Serral is at 0.74% Blizzcon Chances. 27.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.56%. 72.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.43%. ForGG is at 75.63% Blizzcon Chances. 74.67% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 79.95%. 25.33% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 62.88%. Happy is at 15.56% Blizzcon Chances. 49.18% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.52%. 50.82% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.79%. Polt is at 35.15% Blizzcon Chances. 49.06% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.23%. 50.94% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.41%.
XiGua, uThermal, Bunny, and Astrea (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. XiGua is at 0.58% Blizzcon Chances. 40.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.98%. 59.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.31%. Bunny is at 12.25% Blizzcon Chances. 66.02% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.15%. 33.98% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.61%. uThermal is at 3.52% Blizzcon Chances. 53.51% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.98%. 46.49% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.83%. Astrea is at 0.47% Blizzcon Chances. 40.13% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.82%. 59.87% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.24%.
Has, ShoWTimE, FireCake, and HuK (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Has is at 2.59% Blizzcon Chances. 50.31% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.81%. 49.69% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.35%. FireCake is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances. 28.04% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.18%. 71.96% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%. ShoWTimE is at 10.01% Blizzcon Chances. 68.13% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.3%. 31.87% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.11%. HuK is at 3.42% Blizzcon Chances. 53.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.86%. 46.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.75%.
NaNiwa, Suppy, Jim, and Kelazhur (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. NaNiwa is at 22.55% Blizzcon Chances. 77.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.5%. 22.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.44%. Jim is at 5.99% Blizzcon Chances. 65.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.61%. 34.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.96%. Suppy is at 0.27% Blizzcon Chances. 34.79% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.51%. 65.21% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.14%. Kelazhur is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 22.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.03%. 77.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
Hydra, iaguz, Welmu, and Sen (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Hydra is at 42.22% Blizzcon Chances. 67.59% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 48.07%. 32.41% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.03%. Welmu is at 0.71% Blizzcon Chances. 39.84% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.24%. 60.16% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.36%. iaguz is at 1.93% Blizzcon Chances. 45.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.01%. 54.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.02%. Sen is at 8.46% Blizzcon Chances. 46.93% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.2%. 53.07% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.15%.
MorroW, MacSed, TLO, and viOLet (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. MorroW is at 1.3% Blizzcon Chances. 47.67% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.01%. 52.33% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.66%. TLO is at 1.69% Blizzcon Chances. 49.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.54%. 50.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.85%. MacSed is at 0.53% Blizzcon Chances. 35.77% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.96%. 64.23% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.29%. viOLet is at 13.25% Blizzcon Chances. 67.21% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 16.04%. 32.79% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.54%.
Snute, PiG, Kane, and iAsonu (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Snute is at 36.02% Blizzcon Chances. 68.13% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 41.66%. 31.87% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.95%. Kane is at 1.99% Blizzcon Chances. 41.21% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.27%. 58.79% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.09%. PiG is at 7.11% Blizzcon Chances. 57.12% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.55%. 42.88% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.87%. iAsonu is at 0.56% Blizzcon Chances. 33.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.04%. 66.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.32%.
WCS Premier Season 1 Winning Chances (unscheduled) ForGG has a 20.32% chance to win ----going from 75.61% to 98.83% if they get 1st, or 84.1% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 9.68% chance to win ----going from 42.22% to 92.59% if they get 1st, or 56.62% if they get 2nd. NaNiwa has a 8.6% chance to win ----going from 22.54% to 77.64% if they get 1st, or 31.09% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 8.45% chance to win ----going from 36.01% to 93.36% if they get 1st, or 30.71% if they don't. MajOr has a 6.26% chance to win ----going from 22.44% to 82.8% if they get 1st, or 35.4% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Polt has a 5.44% chance to win ----going from 35.14% to 94.93% if they get 1st, or 57.01% if they get 2nd. Happy has a 4.71% chance to win ----going from 15.56% to 75.33% if they get 1st, or 27.35% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 4.27% chance to win ----going from 12.25% to 71.9% if they get 1st, or 21.57% if they get 2nd. ShoWTimE has a 4.15% chance to win ----going from 10.01% to 66.48% if they get 1st, or 17.39% if they get 2nd. viOLet has a 4.09% chance to win ----going from 13.25% to 73.37% if they get 1st, or 23.61% if they get 2nd. TargA has a 4.03% chance to win ----going from 13.09% to 73.68% if they get 1st, or 23.73% if they get 2nd. MaNa has a 2.64% chance to win ----going from 6.4% to 61.67% if they get 1st, or 13.71% if they get 2nd. PiG has a 2.61% chance to win ----going from 7.12% to 65.7% if they get 1st, or 15.38% if they get 2nd. Jim has a 2.46% chance to win ----going from 5.98% to 63.52% if they get 1st, or 12.7% if they get 2nd. Sen has a 2.07% chance to win ----going from 8.47% to 78.67% if they get 1st, or 21.3% if they get 2nd. uThermal has a 1.58% chance to win ----going from 3.52% to 55.88% if they get 1st, or 2.68% if they don't. HuK has a 1.31% chance to win ----going from 3.42% to 63.16% if they get 1st, or 2.62% if they don't. Has has a 1.07% chance to win ----going from 2.59% to 57.15% if they get 1st, or 1.99% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.93% chance to win ----going from 1.93% to 49.81% if they get 1st, or 1.48% if they don't. Kane has a 0.9% chance to win ----going from 1.98% to 51.51% if they get 1st, or 1.53% if they don't. TLO has a 0.86% chance to win ----going from 1.68% to 49.66% if they get 1st, or 1.26% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.75% chance to win ----going from 1.3% to 44.24% if they get 1st, or 0.97% if they don't. Welmu has a 0.49% chance to win ----going from 0.71% to 39.31% if they get 1st, or 0.52% if they don't. Serral has a 0.39% chance to win ----going from 0.74% to 41.63% if they get 1st, or 0.58% if they don't. puCK has a 0.34% chance to win ----going from 0.6% to 41.87% if they get 1st, or 0.46% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.58% to 42.88% if they get 1st, or 0.44% if they don't. Astrea has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.47% to 40.01% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.56% to 40.55% if they get 1st, or 0.43% if they don't. MacSed has a 0.3% chance to win ----going from 0.53% to 42.01% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't.
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together.
Group 1 MaNa has a ~ 2.64 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 TargA has a ~ 4.02 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 MajOr has a ~ 6.27 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 puCK has a ~ 0.35 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.2821
Group 2 Polt has a ~ 5.43 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 ForGG has a ~ 20.34 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Happy has a ~ 4.71 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Serral has a ~ 0.39 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 30.8662
Group 3 XiGua has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 uThermal has a ~ 1.58 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Bunny has a ~ 4.27 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Astrea has a ~ 0.31 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 6.48123
Group 4 HuK has a ~ 1.31 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 FireCake has a ~ 0 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 ShoWTimE has a ~ 4.15 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Has has a ~ 1.08 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 6.5377
Group 5 NaNiwa has a ~ 8.61 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Suppy has a ~ 0 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Jim has a ~ 2.47 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Kelazhur has a ~ 0 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.0714
Group 6 Sen has a ~ 2.06 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Welmu has a ~ 0.49 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 iaguz has a ~ 0.94 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Hydra has a ~ 9.68 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.1678
Group 7 viOLet has a ~ 4.09 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 TLO has a ~ 0.86 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 MacSed has a ~ 0.3 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 MorroW has a ~ 0.75 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 6.00537
Group 8 Snute has a ~ 8.44 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 PiG has a ~ 2.61 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Kane has a ~ 0.9 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 iAsonu has a ~ 0.31 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.2688
Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores 2 > 1 > 6 > 8 > 5 > 4 > 3 > 7
Group 1 MaNa is at ~ 6.4 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 TargA is at ~ 13.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MajOr is at ~ 22.44 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 puCK is at ~ 0.6 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 42.5202
Group 2 Polt is at ~ 35.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ForGG is at ~ 75.63 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Happy is at ~ 15.56 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Serral is at ~ 0.74 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 127.075
Group 3 XiGua is at ~ 0.58 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 uThermal is at ~ 3.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Bunny is at ~ 12.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Astrea is at ~ 0.47 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 16.821
Group 4 HuK is at ~ 3.42 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 FireCake is at ~ 0.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ShoWTimE is at ~ 10.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Has is at ~ 2.59 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 16.0954
Group 5 NaNiwa is at ~ 22.55 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Suppy is at ~ 0.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Jim is at ~ 5.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Kelazhur is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 28.8135
Group 6 Sen is at ~ 8.46 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Welmu is at ~ 0.71 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 iaguz is at ~ 1.93 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Hydra is at ~ 42.22 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 53.3182
Group 7 viOLet is at ~ 13.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 TLO is at ~ 1.69 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MacSed is at ~ 0.53 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MorroW is at ~ 1.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 16.7694
Group 8 Snute is at ~ 36.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 PiG is at ~ 7.11 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Kane is at ~ 1.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 iAsonu is at ~ 0.56 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 45.6814
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores 2 > 6 > 8 > 1 > 5 > 3 > 7 > 4
Group 1 MaNa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.11 % TargA's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.77 % MajOr's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.25 % puCK's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.05 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.17684
Group 2 Polt's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -2.35 % ForGG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.2 % Happy's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -1.44 % Serral's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.15 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 4.14363
Group 3 XiGua's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % uThermal's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.14 % Bunny's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.61 % Astrea's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.02 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.777289
Group 4 HuK's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.11 % FireCake's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % ShoWTimE's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.8 % Has's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.09 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.999144
Group 5 NaNiwa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 1.81 % Suppy's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Jim's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.59 % Kelazhur's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -2.39971
Group 6 Sen's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.47 % Welmu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % iaguz's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Hydra's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.03 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.447556
Group 7 viOLet's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.8 % TLO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.09 % MacSed's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % MorroW's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.02 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.898033
Group 8 Snute's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.44 % PiG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.11 % Kane's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.05 % iAsonu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.470467
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores 2 > 1 > 6 > 8 > 3 > 7 > 4 > 5
Group 1 When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.65 % When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.93 % When TargA wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.64 % When TargA loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.09 % When MajOr wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.31 % When MajOr loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 8.63 % When puCK wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.55 % When puCK loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.27 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 30.0696
Group 2 When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 9.08 % When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 8.74 % When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.32 % When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.75 % When Happy wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.96 % When Happy loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.77 % When Serral wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.82 % When Serral loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.31 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 47.7452
Group 3 When XiGua wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.4 % When XiGua loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.27 % When uThermal wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.47 % When uThermal loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.69 % When Bunny wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.9 % When Bunny loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.64 % When Astrea wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.35 % When Astrea loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.23 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 12.9476
Group 4 When HuK wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.45 % When HuK loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.66 % When FireCake wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.1 % When FireCake loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.04 % When ShoWTimE wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.29 % When ShoWTimE loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.89 % When Has wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.22 % When Has loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.23 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 12.8789
Group 5 When NaNiwa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.95 % When NaNiwa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 10.11 % When Suppy wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.24 % When Suppy loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.13 % When Jim wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.62 % When Jim loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 3.02 % When Kelazhur wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.02 % When Kelazhur loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 18.0968
Group 6 When Sen wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.74 % When Sen loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 3.31 % When Welmu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.52 % When Welmu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.35 % When iaguz wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.09 % When iaguz loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.91 % When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.85 % When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.19 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 27.953
Group 7 When viOLet wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.79 % When viOLet loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.71 % When TLO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.86 % When TLO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.84 % When MacSed wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.43 % When MacSed loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.24 % When MorroW wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.71 % When MorroW loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.64 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 12.2157
Group 8 When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.65 % When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.07 % When PiG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.44 % When PiG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 3.25 % When Kane wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.28 % When Kane loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.9 % When iAsonu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.48 % When iAsonu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.24 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 26.2979
Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores 2 > 1 > 6 > 8 > 5 > 3 > 4 > 7
Group 1 MaNa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1765 TargA has an overall Aligulac rating of 1905 MajOr has an overall Aligulac rating of 1952 puCK has an overall Aligulac rating of 1490 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7112
Group 2 Polt has an overall Aligulac rating of 1974 ForGG has an overall Aligulac rating of 2281 Happy has an overall Aligulac rating of 1922 Serral has an overall Aligulac rating of 1571 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7748
Group 3 XiGua has an overall Aligulac rating of 1507 uThermal has an overall Aligulac rating of 1676 Bunny has an overall Aligulac rating of 1838 Astrea has an overall Aligulac rating of 1462 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6483
Group 4 HuK has an overall Aligulac rating of 1633 FireCake has an overall Aligulac rating of 1385 ShoWTimE has an overall Aligulac rating of 1809 Has has an overall Aligulac rating of 1609 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6436
Group 5 NaNiwa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1955 Suppy has an overall Aligulac rating of 1457 Jim has an overall Aligulac rating of 1716 Kelazhur has an overall Aligulac rating of 1278 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6406
Group 6 Sen has an overall Aligulac rating of 1777 Welmu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1526 iaguz has an overall Aligulac rating of 1603 Hydra has an overall Aligulac rating of 2080 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6986
Group 7 viOLet has an overall Aligulac rating of 1863 TLO has an overall Aligulac rating of 1616 MacSed has an overall Aligulac rating of 1476 MorroW has an overall Aligulac rating of 1568 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6523
Group 8 Snute has an overall Aligulac rating of 2047 PiG has an overall Aligulac rating of 1789 Kane has an overall Aligulac rating of 1654 iAsonu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1521 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7011
Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores 2 > 1 > 8 > 6 > 7 > 3 > 4 > 5
(only counting top 4s) Group 1 has has four 2nd places and a 4th place Group 2 has has five 1st places Group 3 has no top 4s Group 4 has no top 4s Group 5 has no top 4s Group 6 has a 2nd place, three 3rd places, and a 4th place Group 7 has no top 4s Group 8 has two 3rd places and three 4th places
The placings here were all unusually consistent with eachother. Group 2 is by far our Group of Death with a clean sweep in all 5 categories! Congrats to Polt, ForGG, Happy, and Serral! Likewise Group 1 is easily our 2nd place Group of Death with MaNa, TargA, MajOr, and puCK!
Come back soon for the IEM Taipei preview or check the website. IEM Taipei starts in about . Check out the fantasy league WCS Wars! -----------------------
On January 26 2015 15:36 sharkie wrote: If i sell forgg shortly before his group and he drops out I am a genius but if he makes it I will look like a fool. XD
yea, this stuff is hard, I still have Heart and San, thinking of selling them I'm really hoping Naniwa loses soon, but he got a pretty easy group I think T_T
On January 28 2015 09:02 sharkie wrote: Error! You cannot do this while the current simulation has less than 3000000 samples
you should be good now, it's over 3 million, sorry my laptop is slow at this and it's actually running 2 simulations at once to make it even worse lol, 1 for randomized WCS groups and another for the new set WCS groups, that way I can compare them against each other better
jjakji vs Impactin in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals. jjakji is at 3.15% Blizzcon Chances. 50.1% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.39%. 49.9% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.9%. Impact is at 0.91% Blizzcon Chances. 49.9% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.99%. 50.1% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.84%.
Leenock vs Sacsriin in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals. Leenock is at 25.63% Blizzcon Chances. 49.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.89%. 50.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.41%. Sacsri is at 3.32% Blizzcon Chances. 50.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.6%. 49.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.03%.
TRUE vs Soulkeyin in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals. TRUE is at 2.1% Blizzcon Chances. 45.79% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.33%. 54.21% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.91%. Soulkey is at 24.14% Blizzcon Chances. 54.21% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.47%. 45.79% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 22.57%.
HerO vs Hasin in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals. HerO is at 0.75% Blizzcon Chances. 55.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.8%. 44.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.68%. Has is at 2.59% Blizzcon Chances. 44.67% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.76%. 55.33% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.45%.
HyuN vs Checkin in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals. HyuN is at 6.33% Blizzcon Chances. 64.36% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.69%. 35.64% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.69%. Check is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances. 35.64% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%. 64.36% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.04%.
Revival vs DongRaeGuin in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals. Revival is at 0.41% Blizzcon Chances. 48.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.45%. 51.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.38%. DongRaeGu is at 1.62% Blizzcon Chances. 51.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.74%. 48.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.49%.
Ian vs Patiencein in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals. Ian is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances. 34.59% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%. 65.41% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%. Patience is at 1.21% Blizzcon Chances. 65.41% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.28%. 34.59% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.06%.
Daisy vs Snutein in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals. Daisy is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances. 37.73% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%. 62.27% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.07%. Snute is at 36.59% Blizzcon Chances. 62.27% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.88%. 37.73% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.45%.
IEM Taipei Stage 1 Winning Chancesin ~ Snute has a 43.63% chance to win ----going from 36.59% to 40.67% if they get 1st, or 33.43% if they don't. HyuN has a 39.93% chance to win ----going from 6.33% to 7.69% if they get 1st, or 5.43% if they don't. Soulkey has a 33.52% chance to win ----going from 24.14% to 28.57% if they get 1st, or 21.91% if they don't. Patience has a 30.44% chance to win ----going from 1.21% to 1.62% if they get 1st, or 1.02% if they don't. Sacsri has a 28.52% chance to win ----going from 3.32% to 4.32% if they get 1st, or 2.92% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Leenock has a 27.08% chance to win ----going from 25.63% to 30.25% if they get 1st, or 23.92% if they don't. TRUE has a 26.57% chance to win ----going from 2.1% to 2.82% if they get 1st, or 1.84% if they don't. jjakji has a 25.35% chance to win ----going from 3.15% to 4.16% if they get 1st, or 2.8% if they don't. DongRaeGu has a 23.94% chance to win ----going from 1.62% to 2.22% if they get 1st, or 1.42% if they don't. Impact has a 21.78% chance to win ----going from 0.91% to 1.28% if they get 1st, or 0.81% if they don't. HerO has a 21.6% chance to win ----going from 0.75% to 1.05% if they get 1st, or 0.66% if they don't. Revival has a 20.69% chance to win ----going from 0.41% to 0.61% if they get 1st, or 0.36% if they don't. Daisy has a 17.21% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Has has a 15.58% chance to win ----going from 2.59% to 3.51% if they get 1st, or 2.42% if they don't. Check has a 14.39% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Ian has a 9.79% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
Rain has a 13.21% chance to win ----going from 74.68% to 86.78% if they get 1st, or 80.64% if they get 2nd. PartinG has a 13.18% chance to win ----going from 71.24% to 83.46% if they get 1st, or 77.36% if they get 2nd. herO has a 10.99% chance to win ----going from 90.76% to 98.06% if they get 1st, or 95.27% if they get 2nd. Life has a 10.67% chance to win ----going from 92.8% to 97.31% if they get 1st, or 92.27% if they don't. ForGG has a 9.69% chance to win ----going from 76.26% to 85.5% if they get 1st, or 80.77% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 6.9% chance to win ----going from 74.56% to 86.16% if they get 1st, or 73.7% if they don't. Hydra has a 5.92% chance to win ----going from 45.75% to 60.39% if they get 1st, or 52.82% if they get 2nd. San has a 5.42% chance to win ----going from 12.74% to 23.06% if they get 1st, or 17.11% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 4.85% chance to win ----going from 38.42% to 55.33% if they get 1st, or 46.26% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 4.47% chance to win ----going from 6.51% to 14.14% if they get 1st, or 9.46% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 2.51% chance to win ----going from 36.59% to 57.97% if they get 1st, or 36.04% if they don't. HyuN has a 1.77% chance to win ----going from 6.33% to 14.76% if they get 1st, or 6.18% if they don't. Sen has a 1.76% chance to win ----going from 9.48% to 19.37% if they get 1st, or 13.98% if they get 2nd. Harstem has a 1.32% chance to win ----going from 0.22% to 0.89% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Soulkey has a 1.21% chance to win ----going from 24.14% to 49.01% if they get 1st, or 23.84% if they don't. Sacsri has a 0.97% chance to win ----going from 3.32% to 9.44% if they get 1st, or 3.26% if they don't. Leenock has a 0.85% chance to win ----going from 25.63% to 48.96% if they get 1st, or 25.43% if they don't. jjakji has a 0.81% chance to win ----going from 3.15% to 9.7% if they get 1st, or 3.09% if they don't. Patience has a 0.8% chance to win ----going from 1.21% to 4.42% if they get 1st, or 1.18% if they don't. TRUE has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 2.1% to 7.09% if they get 1st, or 2.06% if they don't. DongRaeGu has a 0.59% chance to win ----going from 1.62% to 5.85% if they get 1st, or 1.59% if they don't. HerO has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.75% to 3.64% if they get 1st, or 0.73% if they don't. Impact has a 0.39% chance to win ----going from 0.91% to 3.73% if they get 1st, or 0.9% if they don't.
Make sure to get your WCS Wars fantasy teams ready before the start!
Biggest Winners and Losers from random WCS groups to WCS Premier ro32 group drawing (Sim ID #1197 vs Sim ID #1198) Biggest Winners Polt went up by 1.27%, going from 37.15% to 38.42% Snute went up by 1.22%, going from 35.37% to 36.59% NaNiwa went up by 0.93%, going from 20.56% to 21.49% ForGG went up by 0.68%, going from 75.58% to 76.26% Sen went up by 0.63%, going from 8.84% to 9.48% uThermal went up by 0.22%, going from 3.33% to 3.55% Jim went up by 0.2%, going from 5.36% to 5.56% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
HuK went up by 0.13%, going from 3.3% to 3.43% Has went up by 0.11%, going from 2.48% to 2.59%
Biggest Losers MajOr went down by 1.09%, going from 22.44% to 21.35% viOLet went down by 0.97%, going from 13.1% to 12.13% Bunny went down by 0.68%, going from 11.48% to 10.8% Happy went down by 0.54%, going from 16.78% to 16.24% MaNa went down by 0.5%, going from 6.46% to 5.97% PiG went down by 0.3%, going from 6.98% to 6.68% Kane went down by 0.28%, going from 2.01% to 1.73% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
ShoWTimE went down by 0.23%, going from 9.15% to 8.92% Hydra went down by 0.16%, going from 45.91% to 45.75%
Biggest Winners and Losers from previous WCS groups to WCS Premier ro32 group drawing (also includes some Aligulac rating changes, mostly from Proleague) (Sim ID #1196 vs Sim ID #1198) Biggest Winners Hydra went up by 3.57%, going from 42.19% to 45.75% Polt went up by 3.33%, going from 35.09% to 38.42% Dark went up by 1.55%, going from 44.02% to 45.57% Stats went up by 1.11%, going from 47.92% to 49.03% Sen went up by 0.99%, going from 8.48% to 9.48% TY went up by 0.94%, going from 58.26% to 59.2% ForGG went up by 0.65%, going from 75.61% to 76.26% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
YoDa went up by 0.65%, going from 20.86% to 21.51% Happy went up by 0.64%, going from 15.6% to 16.24% Snute went up by 0.62%, going from 35.97% to 36.59% TargA went up by 0.57%, going from 13.12% to 13.68% INnoVation went up by 0.46%, going from 56.34% to 56.79% Zest went up by 0.44%, going from 15.62% to 16.06% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.41%, going from 3.66% to 4.07% Losira went up by 0.15%, going from 2.08% to 2.23% Maru went up by 0.14%, going from 74.41% to 74.55% Serral went up by 0.14%, going from 0.75% to 0.89%
Biggest Losers Rogue went down by 1.83%, going from 60.77% to 58.94% Dear went down by 1.76%, going from 51.82% to 50.06% Bunny went down by 1.44%, going from 12.24% to 10.8% Leenock went down by 1.24%, going from 26.88% to 25.64% viOLet went down by 1.1%, going from 13.23% to 12.13% MajOr went down by 1.09%, going from 22.44% to 21.35% ShoWTimE went down by 1.07%, going from 9.99% to 8.92% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
NaNiwa went down by 1.05%, going from 22.54% to 21.49% sOs went down by 0.99%, going from 18.12% to 17.13% MaNa went down by 0.45%, going from 6.42% to 5.97% PiG went down by 0.44%, going from 7.12% to 6.68% Jim went down by 0.44%, going from 5.99% to 5.56% Cure went down by 0.43%, going from 6.6% to 6.17% Bbyong went down by 0.42%, going from 7.74% to 7.32% MarineKing went down by 0.3%, going from 5.63% to 5.33% Flash went down by 0.28%, going from 4.61% to 4.33% Kane went down by 0.23%, going from 1.96% to 1.73% Hurricane went down by 0.22%, going from 1.7% to 1.48% Super went down by 0.17%, going from 52.6% to 52.43% PartinG went down by 0.15%, going from 71.39% to 71.24% Dream went down by 0.13%, going from 33.87% to 33.74% HerO went down by 0.13%, going from 0.88% to 0.75% Terminator went down by 0.13%, going from 28.37% to 28.24% ByuL went down by 0.11%, going from 1.26% to 1.15% MMA went down by 0.1%, going from 18.22% to 18.12%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 93.16% Chances of 2+ foreigners 63.69% Chances of 3+ foreigners 25.4% Chances of 4+ foreigners 5.35%
Snute6.9% chance to be the only foreigner, 36.59% chance overall. NaNiwa3.54% chance to be the only foreigner, 21.49% chance overall. MajOr3.49% chance to be the only foreigner, 21.35% chance overall. Happy2.52% chance to be the only foreigner, 16.24% chance overall. TargA2.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 13.68% chance overall. Bunny1.58% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.8% chance overall. Sen1.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.48% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
ShoWTimE1.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.92% chance overall. PiG0.95% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.68% chance overall. MaNa0.85% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.97% chance overall. Jim0.76% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.56% chance overall. uThermal0.49% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.55% chance overall. HuK0.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.43% chance overall. Has0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.59% chance overall. VortiX0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.22% chance overall. iaguz0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.01% chance overall. Kane0.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.73% chance overall. TLO0.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.57% chance overall. Lilbow0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.55% chance overall. MorroW0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.22% chance overall. Nerchio0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.97% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.95% chance overall. Serral0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.89% chance overall. MaSa0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.83% chance overall. Welmu0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.76% chance overall. puCK0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.6% chance overall. MacSed0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.58% chance overall. iAsonu0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.55% chance overall. XiGua0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.54% chance overall. Scarlett0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.56% chance overall. Astrea0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.42% chance overall. Ourk0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.43% chance overall. MarineLorD0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.42% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Leenock is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Headband History] +
Kane, PiG, TargA, and Happy (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Kane is at 1.73% Blizzcon Chances. 31.87% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.17%. 68.13% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.06%. TargA is at 13.68% Blizzcon Chances. 60.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.5%. 39.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.91%. PiG is at 6.68% Blizzcon Chances. 49.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.55%. 50.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.86%. Happy is at 16.24% Blizzcon Chances. 58.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.89%. 41.57% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.71%.
Bunny, MajOr, MaNa, and viOLet (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Bunny is at 10.8% Blizzcon Chances. 51.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.86%. 48.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.5%. MaNa is at 5.97% Blizzcon Chances. 44.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.07%. 55.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.45%. MajOr is at 21.35% Blizzcon Chances. 56.75% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.23%. 43.25% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.63%. viOLet is at 12.13% Blizzcon Chances. 47.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 16.94%. 52.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.87%.
Polt, TLO, Jim, and Kelazhur (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Polt is at 38.42% Blizzcon Chances. 72.07% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.09%. 27.93% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.38%. Jim is at 5.56% Blizzcon Chances. 57.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.5%. 42.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.91%. TLO is at 1.57% Blizzcon Chances. 44.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.51%. 55.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.82%. Kelazhur is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 25.92% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.03%. 74.08% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
FireCake, puCK, ForGG, and Sen (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. FireCake is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances. 24.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.18%. 75.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%. ForGG is at 76.26% Blizzcon Chances. 80.03% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 79.63%. 19.97% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 62.76%. puCK is at 0.6% Blizzcon Chances. 32.6% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.14%. 67.4% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.34%. Sen is at 9.48% Blizzcon Chances. 62.92% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.01%. 37.08% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.19%.
Snute, XiGua, uThermal, and Astrea (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Snute is at 36.59% Blizzcon Chances. 73.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 41.22%. 26.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.71%. uThermal is at 3.55% Blizzcon Chances. 58.1% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.83%. 41.9% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.78%. XiGua is at 0.54% Blizzcon Chances. 36.38% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.97%. 63.62% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.3%. Astrea is at 0.42% Blizzcon Chances. 31.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.82%. 68.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.24%.
iAsonu, ShoWTimE, Hydra, and MorroW (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. iAsonu is at 0.55% Blizzcon Chances. 35.06% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.02%. 64.94% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.3%. Hydra is at 45.75% Blizzcon Chances. 68.02% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 51.6%. 31.98% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.32%. ShoWTimE is at 8.92% Blizzcon Chances. 54.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.15%. 45.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.01%. MorroW is at 1.22% Blizzcon Chances. 42.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.01%. 57.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.64%.
Has, Serral, Suppy, and NaNiwa (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Has is at 2.59% Blizzcon Chances. 52.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.72%. 47.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.33%. Suppy is at 0.34% Blizzcon Chances. 31.82% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.67%. 68.18% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.19%. Serral is at 0.89% Blizzcon Chances. 44.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.44%. 55.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.44%. NaNiwa is at 21.49% Blizzcon Chances. 71.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.24%. 28.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.16%.
HuK, MacSed, Welmu, and iaguz (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. HuK is at 3.43% Blizzcon Chances. 53.67% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.85%. 46.33% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.79%. Welmu is at 0.76% Blizzcon Chances. 47.85% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.2%. 52.15% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.36%. MacSed is at 0.58% Blizzcon Chances. 44.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.95%. 55.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.29%. iaguz is at 2.01% Blizzcon Chances. 54.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.87%. 45.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.99%.
WCS Premier Season 1 Winning Chances (unscheduled) ForGG has a 21.46% chance to win ----going from 76.26% to 98.88% if they get 1st, or 84.07% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 10.58% chance to win ----going from 45.75% to 93.27% if they get 1st, or 59.78% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 8.87% chance to win ----going from 36.59% to 93.26% if they get 1st, or 31.07% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 7.86% chance to win ----going from 21.49% to 77.46% if they get 1st, or 30.92% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 7.23% chance to win ----going from 38.42% to 94.84% if they get 1st, or 56.49% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MajOr has a 5.46% chance to win ----going from 21.35% to 82.69% if they get 1st, or 35.2% if they get 2nd. Happy has a 5.16% chance to win ----going from 16.24% to 75.02% if they get 1st, or 27.26% if they get 2nd. TargA has a 4.5% chance to win ----going from 13.68% to 73.62% if they get 1st, or 24.01% if they get 2nd. ShoWTimE has a 3.3% chance to win ----going from 8.92% to 66.36% if they get 1st, or 17.43% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 3.23% chance to win ----going from 10.8% to 71.69% if they get 1st, or 21.56% if they get 2nd. viOLet has a 2.98% chance to win ----going from 12.13% to 74.27% if they get 1st, or 24.64% if they get 2nd. Sen has a 2.69% chance to win ----going from 9.48% to 78.51% if they get 1st, or 20.53% if they get 2nd. PiG has a 2.27% chance to win ----going from 6.68% to 65.04% if they get 1st, or 15.24% if they get 2nd. MaNa has a 2.24% chance to win ----going from 5.97% to 61.74% if they get 1st, or 13.68% if they get 2nd. Jim has a 2.1% chance to win ----going from 5.56% to 63.62% if they get 1st, or 12.71% if they get 2nd. uThermal has a 1.58% chance to win ----going from 3.55% to 56.25% if they get 1st, or 2.7% if they don't. HuK has a 1.27% chance to win ----going from 3.43% to 63.59% if they get 1st, or 2.66% if they don't. Has has a 1.06% chance to win ----going from 2.59% to 57.61% if they get 1st, or 1.99% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.02% chance to win ----going from 2.01% to 49.56% if they get 1st, or 1.52% if they don't. TLO has a 0.78% chance to win ----going from 1.57% to 48.87% if they get 1st, or 1.2% if they don't. Kane has a 0.68% chance to win ----going from 1.73% to 51.47% if they get 1st, or 1.39% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.65% chance to win ----going from 1.22% to 45.41% if they get 1st, or 0.93% if they don't. Serral has a 0.56% chance to win ----going from 0.89% to 41.71% if they get 1st, or 0.66% if they don't. Welmu has a 0.55% chance to win ----going from 0.76% to 39.77% if they get 1st, or 0.54% if they don't. MacSed has a 0.36% chance to win ----going from 0.58% to 41.52% if they get 1st, or 0.43% if they don't. puCK has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0.6% to 41.82% if they get 1st, or 0.46% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.55% to 41.31% if they get 1st, or 0.43% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.29% chance to win ----going from 0.54% to 41.72% if they get 1st, or 0.42% if they don't. Astrea has a 0.25% chance to win ----going from 0.42% to 38.21% if they get 1st, or 0.33% if they don't.
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together.
Group 1 Happy has a ~ 5.16 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 TargA has a ~ 4.5 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 PiG has a ~ 2.27 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Kane has a ~ 0.68 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.6092
Group 2 viOLet has a ~ 2.98 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 MaNa has a ~ 2.24 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 MajOr has a ~ 5.46 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Bunny has a ~ 3.23 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.914
Group 3 Polt has a ~ 7.23 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 TLO has a ~ 0.78 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Jim has a ~ 2.1 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Kelazhur has a ~ 0 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 10.1113
Group 4 Sen has a ~ 2.69 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 ForGG has a ~ 21.46 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 puCK has a ~ 0.33 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 FireCake has a ~ 0 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 24.48
Group 5 Snute has a ~ 8.87 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 XiGua has a ~ 0.29 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 uThermal has a ~ 1.58 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Astrea has a ~ 0.25 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.0032
Group 6 MorroW has a ~ 0.65 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Hydra has a ~ 10.58 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 ShoWTimE has a ~ 3.3 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 iAsonu has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 14.8518
Group 7 NaNiwa has a ~ 7.86 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Suppy has a ~ 0 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Serral has a ~ 0.56 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Has has a ~ 1.06 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.47947
Group 8 HuK has a ~ 1.27 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 MacSed has a ~ 0.36 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Welmu has a ~ 0.55 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 iaguz has a ~ 1.02 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 3.20031
Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores 4 > 6 > 2 > 1
Group 1 Happy is at ~ 16.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 TargA is at ~ 13.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 PiG is at ~ 6.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Kane is at ~ 1.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 38.3315
Group 2 viOLet is at ~ 12.13 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MaNa is at ~ 5.97 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MajOr is at ~ 21.35 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Bunny is at ~ 10.8 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 50.243
Group 3 Polt is at ~ 38.42 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 TLO is at ~ 1.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Jim is at ~ 5.56 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Kelazhur is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 45.5579
Group 4 Sen is at ~ 9.48 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ForGG is at ~ 76.26 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 puCK is at ~ 0.6 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 FireCake is at ~ 0.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 86.4154
Group 5 Snute is at ~ 36.59 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 XiGua is at ~ 0.54 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 uThermal is at ~ 3.55 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Astrea is at ~ 0.42 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 41.1041
Group 6 MorroW is at ~ 1.22 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Hydra is at ~ 45.75 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ShoWTimE is at ~ 8.92 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 iAsonu is at ~ 0.55 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 56.4465
Group 7 NaNiwa is at ~ 21.49 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Suppy is at ~ 0.34 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Serral is at ~ 0.89 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Has is at ~ 2.59 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 25.3021
Group 8 HuK is at ~ 3.43 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MacSed is at ~ 0.58 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Welmu is at ~ 0.76 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 iaguz is at ~ 2.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 6.78431
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores 4 > 6 > 2 > 5
Group 1 Happy's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.54 % TargA's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % PiG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.3 % Kane's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.28 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.13172
Group 2 viOLet's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.97 % MaNa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.5 % MajOr's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -1.09 % Bunny's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.68 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 3.24109
Group 3 Polt's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 1.27 % TLO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Jim's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.2 % Kelazhur's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.46564
Group 4 Sen's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.63 % ForGG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.68 % puCK's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.05 % FireCake's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.25768
Group 5 Snute's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 1.22 % XiGua's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % uThermal's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.22 % Astrea's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.03 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.38053
Group 6 MorroW's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Hydra's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.16 % ShoWTimE's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.23 % iAsonu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.03 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.44277
Group 7 NaNiwa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.93 % Suppy's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Serral's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.02 % Has's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.11 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.03466
Group 8 HuK's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.13 % MacSed's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.03 % Welmu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.05 % iaguz's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.09 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.309129
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores 2 > 1 > 6 > 8
Group 1 When Happy wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.65 % When Happy loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.53 % When TargA wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.82 % When TargA loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.77 % When PiG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.87 % When PiG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.82 % When Kane wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.44 % When Kane loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.68 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 28.5688
Group 2 When viOLet wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.81 % When viOLet loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.26 % When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.1 % When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.52 % When MajOr wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.88 % When MajOr loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 7.72 % When Bunny wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.06 % When Bunny loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.3 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 36.6495
Group 3 When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.67 % When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.04 % When TLO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.94 % When TLO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.75 % When Jim wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.94 % When Jim loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.64 % When Kelazhur wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.02 % When Kelazhur loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 23.0109
Group 4 When Sen wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.53 % When Sen loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.29 % When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.37 % When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 13.5 % When puCK wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.54 % When puCK loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.26 % When FireCake wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.1 % When FireCake loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.03 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 24.6255
Group 5 When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.63 % When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.88 % When XiGua wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.42 % When XiGua loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.24 % When uThermal wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.28 % When uThermal loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.77 % When Astrea wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.4 % When Astrea loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.19 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 21.8219
Group 6 When MorroW wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.79 % When MorroW loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.58 % When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.85 % When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.44 % When ShoWTimE wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.23 % When ShoWTimE loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 3.91 % When iAsonu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.47 % When iAsonu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.25 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 27.515
Group 7 When NaNiwa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.76 % When NaNiwa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.33 % When Suppy wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.33 % When Suppy loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.15 % When Serral wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.56 % When Serral loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.44 % When Has wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.14 % When Has loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.26 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.9668
Group 8 When HuK wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.42 % When HuK loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.64 % When MacSed wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.37 % When MacSed loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.3 % When Welmu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.44 % When Welmu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.4 % When iaguz wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.86 % When iaguz loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.01 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 6.43703
Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores 2 > 1 > 6 > 4
Group 1 Happy has an overall Aligulac rating of 1922 TargA has an overall Aligulac rating of 1905 PiG has an overall Aligulac rating of 1789 Kane has an overall Aligulac rating of 1654 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7270
Group 2 viOLet has an overall Aligulac rating of 1874 MaNa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1765 MajOr has an overall Aligulac rating of 1952 Bunny has an overall Aligulac rating of 1838 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7429
Group 3 Polt has an overall Aligulac rating of 1974 TLO has an overall Aligulac rating of 1616 Jim has an overall Aligulac rating of 1716 Kelazhur has an overall Aligulac rating of 1278 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6584
Group 4 Sen has an overall Aligulac rating of 1777 ForGG has an overall Aligulac rating of 2281 puCK has an overall Aligulac rating of 1490 FireCake has an overall Aligulac rating of 1385 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6933
Group 5 Snute has an overall Aligulac rating of 2047 XiGua has an overall Aligulac rating of 1507 uThermal has an overall Aligulac rating of 1676 Astrea has an overall Aligulac rating of 1462 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6692
Group 6 MorroW has an overall Aligulac rating of 1568 Hydra has an overall Aligulac rating of 2109 ShoWTimE has an overall Aligulac rating of 1809 iAsonu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1521 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7007
Group 7 NaNiwa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1955 Suppy has an overall Aligulac rating of 1483 Serral has an overall Aligulac rating of 1571 Has has an overall Aligulac rating of 1609 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6618
Group 8 HuK has an overall Aligulac rating of 1633 MacSed has an overall Aligulac rating of 1476 Welmu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1526 iaguz has an overall Aligulac rating of 1603 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6238
Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores 2 > 1 > 6 > 4
(only counting top 4s) Group 1 has a 1st place, two 2nd places, and a 4th place Group 2 has three 1st places and two 3rd places Group 3 has no top 4s Group 4 has two 1st places and two 4th places Group 5 has a 4th place Group 6 has two 2nd places and three 3rd places Group 7 has no top 4s Group 8 has a 4th place
Group 2 is still our Group of Death (with different players though)! Congrats to viOLet, MaNa, MajOr, and Bunny! Group 4 barely edges out Group 1 for the 2nd place Group of Death with Sen, ForGG, puCK, FireCake!
Simulation #1198 vs #1200 Biggest Winners Dark went up by 12.24%, going from 45.56% to 57.79% Soulkey went up by 6.2%, going from 24.15% to 30.35% HyuN went up by 4.25%, going from 6.33% to 10.58% MMA went up by 4.05%, going from 18.12% to 22.17% TRUE went up by 1.3%, going from 2.1% to 3.41% Solar went up by 0.99%, going from 30.53% to 31.52% Hurricane went up by 0.35%, going from 1.48% to 1.83% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Hydra went up by 0.34%, going from 45.75% to 46.09% Center went up by 0.26%, going from 0.84% to 1.1% NaNiwa went up by 0.24%, going from 21.52% to 21.76% TargA went up by 0.22%, going from 13.68% to 13.9% viOLet went up by 0.19%, going from 12.13% to 12.32% Bunny went up by 0.15%, going from 10.8% to 10.95% GuMiho went up by 0.14%, going from 61.41% to 61.55% Happy went up by 0.14%, going from 16.23% to 16.37% ShoWTimE went up by 0.12%, going from 8.93% to 9.05% Jim went up by 0.1%, going from 5.55% to 5.66% PiG went up by 0.1%, going from 6.69% to 6.79% Nerchio went up by 0.1%, going from 0.96% to 1.06%
Biggest Losers Dear went down by 14.96%, going from 50.06% to 35.1% Snute went down by 6.08%, going from 36.6% to 30.52% MajOr went down by 2.69%, going from 21.32% to 18.64% Leenock went down by 1.63%, going from 25.64% to 24.02% Sacsri went down by 1.52%, going from 3.33% to 1.81% jjakji went down by 0.65%, going from 3.14% to 2.49% Patience went down by 0.48%, going from 1.21% to 0.73% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Dream went down by 0.46%, going from 33.73% to 33.27% DongRaeGu went down by 0.43%, going from 1.62% to 1.19% TY went down by 0.39%, going from 59.18% to 58.79% Bomber went down by 0.38%, going from 32.47% to 32.09% Has went down by 0.32%, going from 2.59% to 2.28% Seed went down by 0.3%, going from 0.47% to 0.17% Maru went down by 0.27%, going from 74.58% to 74.31% PartinG went down by 0.23%, going from 71.25% to 71.01% Zest went down by 0.22%, going from 16.07% to 15.85% Super went down by 0.22%, going from 52.45% to 52.23% INnoVation went down by 0.21%, going from 56.78% to 56.57% Losira went down by 0.21%, going from 2.23% to 2.01% uThermal went down by 0.16%, going from 3.55% to 3.38% YoDa went down by 0.15%, going from 21.49% to 21.33% Impact went down by 0.13%, going from 0.9% to 0.77%
HyuN, Polt, Sen, and herOin in IEM Taipei round of 16. HyuN is at 10.58% Blizzcon Chances. 55.68% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.06%. 44.32% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.71%. Sen is at 9.57% Blizzcon Chances. 35.75% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.49%. 64.25% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.5%. Polt is at 38.42% Blizzcon Chances. 44.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.73%. 55.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 35.03%. herO is at 90.77% Blizzcon Chances. 64.46% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 93.52%. 35.54% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 85.77%.
Check, Harstem, Classic, and Rainin in IEM Taipei round of 16. Check is at 0.14% Blizzcon Chances. 37.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.19%. 62.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.11%. Classic is at 6.55% Blizzcon Chances. 55.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.67%. 44.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.14%. Harstem is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances. 37.36% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.3%. 62.64% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.18%. Rain is at 74.77% Blizzcon Chances. 68.87% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 78.27%. 31.13% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 67.04%.
Life, ForGG, Soulkey, and Sanin in IEM Taipei round of 16. Life is at 92.79% Blizzcon Chances. 56.81% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 94.59%. 43.19% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 90.42%. Soulkey is at 30.35% Blizzcon Chances. 38.84% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.95%. 61.16% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.43%. ForGG is at 76.26% Blizzcon Chances. 52.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 78.91%. 47.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 73.34%. San is at 12.74% Blizzcon Chances. 51.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.71%. 48.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.63%.
Hydra, TRUE, Maru, and PartinGin in IEM Taipei round of 16. Hydra is at 46.09% Blizzcon Chances. 47.76% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 49.64%. 52.24% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.84%. Maru is at 74.31% Blizzcon Chances. 54.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 77.1%. 45.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 70.97%. TRUE is at 3.41% Blizzcon Chances. 36.26% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.32%. 63.74% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.89%. PartinG is at 71.01% Blizzcon Chances. 61.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 75.17%. 38.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 64.38%.
IEM Taipei Winning Chancesin ~ Rain has a 13.51% chance to win ----going from 74.77% to 86.57% if they get 1st, or 80.52% if they get 2nd. PartinG has a 13.03% chance to win ----going from 71.01% to 83.27% if they get 1st, or 77.27% if they get 2nd. herO has a 11.24% chance to win ----going from 90.77% to 98.02% if they get 1st, or 95.26% if they get 2nd. Life has a 10.3% chance to win ----going from 92.79% to 97.27% if they get 1st, or 92.27% if they don't. ForGG has a 9.19% chance to win ----going from 76.26% to 85.58% if they get 1st, or 80.89% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Maru has a 6.71% chance to win ----going from 74.31% to 85.95% if they get 1st, or 73.47% if they don't. HyuN has a 5.99% chance to win ----going from 10.58% to 18.6% if they get 1st, or 13.76% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 5.72% chance to win ----going from 46.09% to 60.7% if they get 1st, or 53.11% if they get 2nd. San has a 5.53% chance to win ----going from 12.74% to 23.09% if they get 1st, or 17.09% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 4.71% chance to win ----going from 6.55% to 13.93% if they get 1st, or 9.32% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 4.64% chance to win ----going from 38.42% to 55.4% if they get 1st, or 46.42% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 3.27% chance to win ----going from 30.35% to 50.77% if they get 1st, or 40.4% if they get 2nd. TRUE has a 2.32% chance to win ----going from 3.41% to 8.64% if they get 1st, or 3.28% if they don't. Sen has a 1.6% chance to win ----going from 9.57% to 20.1% if they get 1st, or 14.25% if they get 2nd. Harstem has a 1.34% chance to win ----going from 0.23% to 0.87% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. Check has a 0.88% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 0.66% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't.
Simulation #1198 vs #1203 Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 16.64%, going from 58.95% to 75.58% Dark went up by 11.53%, going from 45.56% to 57.08% HyuN went up by 8.8%, going from 6.33% to 15.13% Dear went up by 6.51%, going from 50.06% to 56.57% Soulkey went up by 5.58%, going from 24.15% to 29.73% Rain went up by 3.72%, going from 74.69% to 78.41% MMA went up by 3.61%, going from 18.12% to 21.73% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
herO went up by 2.99%, going from 90.78% to 93.76% Classic went up by 1.49%, going from 6.52% to 8.02% TRUE went up by 1.19%, going from 2.1% to 3.29% Solar went up by 0.63%, going from 30.53% to 31.15% Hurricane went up by 0.31%, going from 1.48% to 1.79% Center went up by 0.22%, going from 0.84% to 1.05% NaNiwa went up by 0.17%, going from 21.52% to 21.69% TargA went up by 0.13%, going from 13.68% to 13.81%
Biggest Losers GuMiho went down by 28.98%, going from 61.41% to 32.42% Snute went down by 6.25%, going from 36.6% to 30.35% Polt went down by 3.89%, going from 38.42% to 34.54% MajOr went down by 2.82%, going from 21.32% to 18.5% MyuNgSiK went down by 2.72%, going from 4.08% to 1.36% Leenock went down by 2.46%, going from 25.64% to 23.18% Sen went down by 2.35%, going from 9.47% to 7.13% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Sacsri went down by 1.59%, going from 3.33% to 1.73% TY went down by 1.01%, going from 59.18% to 58.18% Bomber went down by 0.84%, going from 32.47% to 31.63% Maru went down by 0.83%, going from 74.58% to 73.75% Dream went down by 0.82%, going from 33.73% to 32.91% jjakji went down by 0.73%, going from 3.14% to 2.41% INnoVation went down by 0.72%, going from 56.78% to 56.06% Super went down by 0.72%, going from 52.45% to 51.73% PartinG went down by 0.52%, going from 71.25% to 70.72% YoDa went down by 0.52%, going from 21.49% to 20.97% Patience went down by 0.5%, going from 1.21% to 0.7% DongRaeGu went down by 0.48%, going from 1.62% to 1.14% TaeJa went down by 0.44%, going from 24.76% to 24.32% Has went down by 0.32%, going from 2.59% to 2.27% Seed went down by 0.3%, going from 0.47% to 0.17% Losira went down by 0.28%, going from 2.23% to 1.94% Life went down by 0.26%, going from 92.79% to 92.53% Zest went down by 0.25%, going from 16.07% to 15.82% sOs went down by 0.25%, going from 17.12% to 16.87% Terminator went down by 0.23%, going from 28.26% to 28.03% FanTaSy went down by 0.21%, going from 7.82% to 7.62% Bbyong went down by 0.19%, going from 7.31% to 7.12% Stats went down by 0.18%, going from 49.04% to 48.85% MarineKing went down by 0.18%, going from 5.32% to 5.14% ForGG went down by 0.18%, going from 76.25% to 76.07% uThermal went down by 0.18%, going from 3.55% to 3.37% Cure went down by 0.18%, going from 6.16% to 5.98% Flash went down by 0.18%, going from 4.32% to 4.15% Impact went down by 0.17%, going from 0.9% to 0.73% San went down by 0.17%, going from 12.75% to 12.58% First went down by 0.13%, going from 9.2% to 9.07% Jaedong went down by 0.13%, going from 5.04% to 4.91% soO went down by 0.11%, going from 3.76% to 3.64% Revival went down by 0.1%, going from 0.41% to 0.31%
Life, ForGG, Soulkey, and Sanin in IEM Taipei round of 16. Life is at 92.53% Blizzcon Chances. 56.79% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 94.34%. 43.21% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 90.16%. Soulkey is at 29.73% Blizzcon Chances. 38.88% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.17%. 61.12% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.91%. ForGG is at 76.07% Blizzcon Chances. 52.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 78.67%. 47.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 73.2%. San is at 12.58% Blizzcon Chances. 51.81% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.49%. 48.19% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.53%.
Hydra, TRUE, Maru, and PartinGin in IEM Taipei round of 16. Hydra is at 45.76% Blizzcon Chances. 47.74% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 49.18%. 52.26% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.63%. Maru is at 73.75% Blizzcon Chances. 54.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 76.48%. 45.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 70.48%. TRUE is at 3.29% Blizzcon Chances. 36.28% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.16%. 63.72% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.8%. PartinG is at 70.72% Blizzcon Chances. 61.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 74.81%. 38.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 64.19%.
IEM Taipei Winning Chancesin ~ Rain has a 19.44% chance to win ----going from 78.41% to 86.68% if they get 1st, or 80.63% if they get 2nd. herO has a 16.02% chance to win ----going from 93.76% to 98.16% if they get 1st, or 95.57% if they get 2nd. PartinG has a 12.03% chance to win ----going from 70.72% to 83.16% if they get 1st, or 77.04% if they get 2nd. Life has a 8.65% chance to win ----going from 92.53% to 97.16% if they get 1st, or 92.1% if they don't. Classic has a 8.22% chance to win ----going from 8.02% to 14.57% if they get 1st, or 9.73% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
HyuN has a 8.11% chance to win ----going from 15.13% to 23.12% if they get 1st, or 17.69% if they get 2nd. ForGG has a 7.73% chance to win ----going from 76.07% to 85.72% if they get 1st, or 80.74% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 5.64% chance to win ----going from 73.75% to 85.56% if they get 1st, or 73.05% if they don't. San has a 4.87% chance to win ----going from 12.58% to 22.82% if they get 1st, or 16.99% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 4.73% chance to win ----going from 45.76% to 60.52% if they get 1st, or 52.91% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 2.66% chance to win ----going from 29.73% to 50.2% if they get 1st, or 39.61% if they get 2nd. TRUE has a 1.91% chance to win ----going from 3.29% to 8.43% if they get 1st, or 3.19% if they don't.
(Simulation #1198 vs #1205) Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 16.3%, going from 58.95% to 75.24% Dark went up by 11.01%, going from 45.56% to 56.57% Soulkey went up by 10.21%, going from 24.15% to 34.36% TY went up by 9.44%, going from 59.18% to 68.62% HyuN went up by 8.66%, going from 6.33% to 14.98% PartinG went up by 6.7%, going from 71.25% to 77.94% Dear went up by 6.25%, going from 50.06% to 56.32% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Maru went up by 4.63%, going from 74.58% to 79.21% Rain went up by 3.38%, going from 74.69% to 78.07% MMA went up by 3.32%, going from 18.12% to 21.44% herO went up by 3.02%, going from 90.78% to 93.8% Dream went up by 2.96%, going from 33.73% to 36.69% Life went up by 2.41%, going from 92.79% to 95.2% Classic went up by 1.16%, going from 6.52% to 7.69% ShoWTimE went up by 0.89%, going from 8.93% to 9.82% PiG went up by 0.77%, going from 6.69% to 7.45% viOLet went up by 0.68%, going from 12.13% to 12.81% HuK went up by 0.56%, going from 3.43% to 3.99% Happy went up by 0.5%, going from 16.23% to 16.73% TargA went up by 0.44%, going from 13.68% to 14.12% Bunny went up by 0.34%, going from 10.8% to 11.14% NaNiwa went up by 0.33%, going from 21.52% to 21.85% Hurricane went up by 0.29%, going from 1.48% to 1.77% MaNa went up by 0.26%, going from 5.96% to 6.22% TLO went up by 0.21%, going from 1.57% to 1.78% Center went up by 0.2%, going from 0.84% to 1.04% TRUE went up by 0.16%, going from 2.1% to 2.26% puCK went up by 0.13%, going from 0.6% to 0.73% Solar went up by 0.12%, going from 30.53% to 30.65% iaguz went up by 0.12%, going from 2.01% to 2.13% MacSed went up by 0.11%, going from 0.58% to 0.7% Nerchio went up by 0.11%, going from 0.96% to 1.07%
Biggest Losers GuMiho went down by 29.33%, going from 61.41% to 32.08% Bomber went down by 14.9%, going from 32.47% to 17.57% ForGG went down by 10.23%, going from 76.25% to 66.03% Snute went down by 6.3%, going from 36.6% to 30.3% San went down by 5.25%, going from 12.75% to 7.5% Hydra went down by 3.07%, going from 45.75% to 42.68% Polt went down by 2.9%, going from 38.42% to 35.52% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
MyuNgSiK went down by 2.72%, going from 4.08% to 1.35% Sen went down by 2.68%, going from 9.47% to 6.79% Leenock went down by 2.64%, going from 25.64% to 23.01% MajOr went down by 2.33%, going from 21.32% to 18.99% Sacsri went down by 1.59%, going from 3.33% to 1.74% YongHwa went down by 1.11%, going from 2.09% to 0.99% INnoVation went down by 0.97%, going from 56.78% to 55.82% Super went down by 0.88%, going from 52.45% to 51.57% YoDa went down by 0.81%, going from 21.49% to 20.68% jjakji went down by 0.79%, going from 3.14% to 2.35% TaeJa went down by 0.72%, going from 24.76% to 24.04% Terminator went down by 0.61%, going from 28.26% to 27.64% Patience went down by 0.5%, going from 1.21% to 0.7% DongRaeGu went down by 0.49%, going from 1.62% to 1.13% Stats went down by 0.45%, going from 49.04% to 48.58% Zest went down by 0.37%, going from 16.07% to 15.71% sOs went down by 0.32%, going from 17.12% to 16.8% Seed went down by 0.31%, going from 0.47% to 0.16% Has went down by 0.31%, going from 2.59% to 2.29% Losira went down by 0.3%, going from 2.23% to 1.93% Cure went down by 0.29%, going from 6.16% to 5.86% FanTaSy went down by 0.29%, going from 7.82% to 7.54% Bbyong went down by 0.28%, going from 7.31% to 7.03% MC went down by 0.26%, going from 8.48% to 8.23% MarineKing went down by 0.2%, going from 5.32% to 5.12% Flash went down by 0.2%, going from 4.32% to 4.12% uThermal went down by 0.19%, going from 3.55% to 3.35% First went down by 0.19%, going from 9.2% to 9.01% Impact went down by 0.17%, going from 0.9% to 0.73% Jaedong went down by 0.12%, going from 5.04% to 4.92% Jim went down by 0.12%, going from 5.55% to 5.44% Revival went down by 0.11%, going from 0.41% to 0.31%
PartinG vs Classicin in IEM Taipei quarterfinals. PartinG is at 77.94% Blizzcon Chances. 62.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 80.42%. 37.57% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 73.83%. Classic is at 7.69% Blizzcon Chances. 37.57% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.54%. 62.43% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.57%.
Life vs HyuNin in IEM Taipei quarterfinals. Life is at 95.2% Blizzcon Chances. 56.56% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 96.07%. 43.44% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 94.06%. HyuN is at 14.98% Blizzcon Chances. 43.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.12%. 56.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.34%.
herO vs Maruin in IEM Taipei quarterfinals. herO is at 93.8% Blizzcon Chances. 58.99% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 95.36%. 41.01% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 91.54%. Maru is at 79.21% Blizzcon Chances. 41.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 82.36%. 58.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 77.02%.
Rain vs Soulkeyin in IEM Taipei quarterfinals. Rain is at 78.07% Blizzcon Chances. 62.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 80.76%. 37.57% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 73.61%. Soulkey is at 34.36% Blizzcon Chances. 37.57% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 39.06%. 62.43% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 31.53%.
IEM Taipei Winning Chancesin ~ PartinG has a 21.89% chance to win ----going from 77.94% to 85.2% if they get 1st, or 79.7% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 18.51% chance to win ----going from 78.07% to 86.47% if they get 1st, or 80.42% if they get 2nd. herO has a 15.86% chance to win ----going from 93.8% to 98.13% if they get 1st, or 95.55% if they get 2nd. Life has a 15.64% chance to win ----going from 95.19% to 97.65% if they get 1st, or 94.74% if they don't. Maru has a 9.08% chance to win ----going from 79.21% to 87.77% if they get 1st, or 78.35% if they don't. HyuN has a 7.55% chance to win ----going from 14.98% to 22.77% if they get 1st, or 17.41% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 6.27% chance to win ----going from 7.69% to 14.39% if they get 1st, or 9.8% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 5.2% chance to win ----going from 34.36% to 50.89% if they get 1st, or 40.53% if they get 2nd.
On January 31 2015 02:09 sharkie wrote: ouch, Sen, forgg and hydra's early losses all cost me quite a few points!
Gotta pray for herO to pull off a miracle XD
I got owned cause I forgot to sell ForGG and San before their group T_T went from #4 down to #9, stupid work distracting me lol
I was going to sell Sen before his group but someone (you) was blocking me And I was asleep when you fixed the error ^^
lol it wasn't an error, that's an intentional and automatic block, it usually passes much faster but my laptop doesn't run nearly as fast as my home pc
Yeah no problem! I mean I had chances to sell Sen after you fixed it but I had second thoughts which told me not to sell him. But during the block I clicked the button!
(Simulation #1198 vs #1207) Biggest Winners Soulkey went up by 16.54%, going from 24.15% to 40.7% Rogue went up by 16.33%, going from 58.95% to 75.28% Dark went up by 11.14%, going from 45.56% to 56.69% PartinG went up by 10.05%, going from 71.25% to 81.3% TY went up by 9.43%, going from 59.18% to 68.6% Maru went up by 9.18%, going from 74.58% to 83.76% Dear went up by 6.31%, going from 50.06% to 56.37% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
HyuN went up by 4.96%, going from 6.33% to 11.28% Life went up by 3.58%, going from 92.79% to 96.37% MMA went up by 3.4%, going from 18.12% to 21.52% Dream went up by 3.19%, going from 33.73% to 36.92% PiG went up by 2.67%, going from 6.69% to 9.36% ShoWTimE went up by 0.93%, going from 8.93% to 9.86% viOLet went up by 0.69%, going from 12.13% to 12.81% Hurricane went up by 0.62%, going from 1.48% to 2.1% HuK went up by 0.59%, going from 3.43% to 4.02% TargA went up by 0.39%, going from 13.68% to 14.07% NaNiwa went up by 0.37%, going from 21.52% to 21.89% Happy went up by 0.36%, going from 16.23% to 16.59% Bunny went up by 0.33%, going from 10.8% to 11.13% Solar went up by 0.31%, going from 30.53% to 30.84% herO went up by 0.29%, going from 90.78% to 91.07% MaNa went up by 0.24%, going from 5.96% to 6.2% Center went up by 0.2%, going from 0.84% to 1.04% TLO went up by 0.2%, going from 1.57% to 1.77% TRUE went up by 0.18%, going from 2.1% to 2.28% puCK went up by 0.13%, going from 0.6% to 0.73% MacSed went up by 0.13%, going from 0.58% to 0.71%
Biggest Losers GuMiho went down by 29.18%, going from 61.41% to 32.23% Bomber went down by 17.93%, going from 32.47% to 14.54% ForGG went down by 10.32%, going from 76.25% to 65.94% Snute went down by 6.26%, going from 36.6% to 30.34% San went down by 5.26%, going from 12.75% to 7.5% Rain went down by 3.99%, going from 74.69% to 70.7% Hydra went down by 2.94%, going from 45.75% to 42.81% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Polt went down by 2.92%, going from 38.42% to 35.5% MyuNgSiK went down by 2.72%, going from 4.08% to 1.35% Sen went down by 2.63%, going from 9.47% to 6.84% Leenock went down by 2.56%, going from 25.64% to 23.08% MajOr went down by 2.41%, going from 21.32% to 18.91% Sacsri went down by 1.6%, going from 3.33% to 1.73% Super went down by 1.06%, going from 52.45% to 51.39% INnoVation went down by 0.98%, going from 56.78% to 55.81% YongHwa went down by 0.91%, going from 2.09% to 1.18% jjakji went down by 0.78%, going from 3.14% to 2.36% YoDa went down by 0.76%, going from 21.49% to 20.73% TaeJa went down by 0.71%, going from 24.76% to 24.05% Terminator went down by 0.65%, going from 28.26% to 27.61% Patience went down by 0.49%, going from 1.21% to 0.71% DongRaeGu went down by 0.47%, going from 1.62% to 1.14% Zest went down by 0.46%, going from 16.07% to 15.61% Stats went down by 0.44%, going from 49.04% to 48.59% Classic went down by 0.38%, going from 6.52% to 6.14% sOs went down by 0.33%, going from 17.12% to 16.79% Has went down by 0.31%, going from 2.59% to 2.28% Seed went down by 0.31%, going from 0.47% to 0.16% Bbyong went down by 0.29%, going from 7.31% to 7.02% Losira went down by 0.28%, going from 2.23% to 1.95% MC went down by 0.27%, going from 8.48% to 8.21% First went down by 0.23%, going from 9.2% to 8.97% iaguz went down by 0.23%, going from 2.01% to 1.77% FanTaSy went down by 0.2%, going from 7.82% to 7.63% uThermal went down by 0.2%, going from 3.55% to 3.35% Cure went down by 0.18%, going from 6.16% to 5.97% Impact went down by 0.16%, going from 0.9% to 0.74% MarineKing went down by 0.16%, going from 5.32% to 5.17% Flash went down by 0.15%, going from 4.32% to 4.17% Ourk went down by 0.15%, going from 0.43% to 0.28% Jim went down by 0.12%, going from 5.55% to 5.43% Sora went down by 0.12%, going from 2.14% to 2.02%
Life vs PartinGin in IEM Taipei semifinals. Life has the #1 headband and Parting has the #3 headband! Winner takes the #1, loser takes the #3! Life is at 96.37% Blizzcon Chances. 46.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 97.34%. 53.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 95.53%. PartinG is at 81.3% Blizzcon Chances. 53.56% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 84.11%. 46.44% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 78.06%.
Soulkey vs Maruin in IEM Taipei semifinals. Soulkey is at 40.7% Blizzcon Chances. 40.99% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 45.42%. 59.01% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.41%. Maru is at 83.76% Blizzcon Chances. 59.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 85.69%. 40.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 80.98%.
IEM Taipei Winning Chancesin ~ PartinG has a 34.42% chance to win ----going from 81.3% to 86.02% if they get 1st, or 80.68% if they get 2nd. Life has a 29.34% chance to win ----going from 96.37% to 97.86% if they get 1st, or 95.75% if they don't. Maru has a 23.33% chance to win ----going from 83.76% to 88.51% if they get 1st, or 82.31% if they don't. Soulkey has a 12.91% chance to win ----going from 40.7% to 52.53% if they get 1st, or 38.94% if they don't.
(Sim #1198 vs #1208) Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 16.59%, going from 58.95% to 75.53% Soulkey went up by 13.45%, going from 24.15% to 37.6% Dark went up by 11.36%, going from 45.56% to 56.92% Maru went up by 11.28%, going from 74.58% to 85.86% TY went up by 9.73%, going from 59.18% to 68.91% Dear went up by 6.34%, going from 50.06% to 56.4% HyuN went up by 5.04%, going from 6.33% to 11.37% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Life went up by 4.75%, going from 92.79% to 97.54% MMA went up by 3.68%, going from 18.12% to 21.8% PartinG went up by 3.45%, going from 71.25% to 74.7% Dream went up by 3.27%, going from 33.73% to 37.01% PiG went up by 2.73%, going from 6.69% to 9.41% ShoWTimE went up by 1.04%, going from 8.93% to 9.97% viOLet went up by 0.75%, going from 12.13% to 12.88% HuK went up by 0.65%, going from 3.43% to 4.08% Hurricane went up by 0.62%, going from 1.48% to 2.1% Solar went up by 0.58%, going from 30.53% to 31.11% Happy went up by 0.47%, going from 16.23% to 16.7% TargA went up by 0.46%, going from 13.68% to 14.14% Bunny went up by 0.44%, going from 10.8% to 11.25% NaNiwa went up by 0.41%, going from 21.52% to 21.93% herO went up by 0.41%, going from 90.78% to 91.18% MaNa went up by 0.29%, going from 5.96% to 6.25% TRUE went up by 0.23%, going from 2.1% to 2.33% Center went up by 0.21%, going from 0.84% to 1.05% TLO went up by 0.2%, going from 1.57% to 1.77% MacSed went up by 0.15%, going from 0.58% to 0.73% puCK went up by 0.13%, going from 0.6% to 0.73% Nerchio went up by 0.1%, going from 0.96% to 1.06%
Biggest Losers GuMiho went down by 28.95%, going from 61.41% to 32.46% Bomber went down by 17.87%, going from 32.47% to 14.6% ForGG went down by 10.17%, going from 76.25% to 66.09% Snute went down by 6.08%, going from 36.6% to 30.52% San went down by 5.19%, going from 12.75% to 7.57% Rain went down by 3.84%, going from 74.69% to 70.85% Hydra went down by 2.85%, going from 45.75% to 42.89% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Polt went down by 2.79%, going from 38.42% to 35.64% MyuNgSiK went down by 2.71%, going from 4.08% to 1.37% Sen went down by 2.6%, going from 9.47% to 6.87% Leenock went down by 2.51%, going from 25.64% to 23.13% MajOr went down by 2.32%, going from 21.32% to 19.01% Sacsri went down by 1.58%, going from 3.33% to 1.75% Super went down by 1.02%, going from 52.45% to 51.43% YongHwa went down by 0.91%, going from 2.09% to 1.19% jjakji went down by 0.75%, going from 3.14% to 2.39% INnoVation went down by 0.66%, going from 56.78% to 56.12% YoDa went down by 0.64%, going from 21.49% to 20.85% TaeJa went down by 0.5%, going from 24.76% to 24.26% Patience went down by 0.49%, going from 1.21% to 0.72% DongRaeGu went down by 0.47%, going from 1.62% to 1.15% Stats went down by 0.44%, going from 49.04% to 48.6% Terminator went down by 0.38%, going from 28.26% to 27.88% Zest went down by 0.35%, going from 16.07% to 15.72% Seed went down by 0.3%, going from 0.47% to 0.17% Has went down by 0.28%, going from 2.59% to 2.32% Classic went down by 0.27%, going from 6.52% to 6.25% Losira went down by 0.27%, going from 2.23% to 1.96% iaguz went down by 0.22%, going from 2.01% to 1.78% MC went down by 0.21%, going from 8.48% to 8.27% Bbyong went down by 0.2%, going from 7.31% to 7.11% sOs went down by 0.2%, going from 17.12% to 16.92% First went down by 0.19%, going from 9.2% to 9.01% Impact went down by 0.16%, going from 0.9% to 0.74% Ourk went down by 0.13%, going from 0.43% to 0.3% uThermal went down by 0.13%, going from 3.55% to 3.41% MarineKing went down by 0.11%, going from 5.32% to 5.21% Sora went down by 0.11%, going from 2.14% to 2.03% Cure went down by 0.1%, going from 6.16% to 6.05%
Life vs Maruin in IEM Taipei finals. Life is at 97.54% Blizzcon Chances. 58.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 98.05%. 41.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 96.81%. Maru is at 85.86% Blizzcon Chances. 41.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 88.67%. 58.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 83.91%.
Biggest Winners and Losers during IEM Taipei (Sim ID #1198 vs Sim ID #1210) Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 16.68%, going from 58.95% to 75.63% Soulkey went up by 12.68%, going from 24.15% to 36.83% Dark went up by 11.4%, going from 45.56% to 56.96% Maru went up by 10.12%, going from 74.58% to 84.7% TY went up by 9.66%, going from 59.18% to 68.83% Dear went up by 6.33%, going from 50.06% to 56.39% Life went up by 5.22%, going from 92.79% to 98.01% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
HyuN went up by 5.05%, going from 6.33% to 11.38% MMA went up by 3.7%, going from 18.12% to 21.82% PartinG went up by 3.58%, going from 71.25% to 74.82% Dream went up by 3.4%, going from 33.73% to 37.13% PiG went up by 2.67%, going from 6.69% to 9.36% Welmu went up by 1.04%, going from 0.76% to 1.79% ShoWTimE went up by 0.98%, going from 8.93% to 9.91% viOLet went up by 0.9%, going from 12.13% to 13.03% Serral went up by 0.69%, going from 0.89% to 1.58% Hurricane went up by 0.63%, going from 1.48% to 2.11% Solar went up by 0.58%, going from 30.53% to 31.1% HuK went up by 0.56%, going from 3.43% to 3.99% TargA went up by 0.52%, going from 13.68% to 14.2% herO went up by 0.46%, going from 90.78% to 91.23% Happy went up by 0.39%, going from 16.23% to 16.61% Bunny went up by 0.34%, going from 10.8% to 11.14% NaNiwa went up by 0.32%, going from 21.52% to 21.84% TRUE went up by 0.22%, going from 2.1% to 2.32% TLO went up by 0.22%, going from 1.57% to 1.79% Center went up by 0.21%, going from 0.84% to 1.05% puCK went up by 0.14%, going from 0.6% to 0.74% Nerchio went up by 0.12%, going from 0.96% to 1.08% MacSed went up by 0.12%, going from 0.58% to 0.7% Kane went up by 0.12%, going from 1.73% to 1.85%
Biggest Losers GuMiho went down by 28.94%, going from 61.41% to 32.47% Bomber went down by 17.77%, going from 32.47% to 14.7% ForGG went down by 10.23%, going from 76.25% to 66.02% Snute went down by 6.11%, going from 36.6% to 30.49% San went down by 5.19%, going from 12.75% to 7.56% Rain went down by 3.88%, going from 74.69% to 70.81% Polt went down by 2.83%, going from 38.42% to 35.59% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
MyuNgSiK went down by 2.71%, going from 4.08% to 1.36% Hydra went down by 2.68%, going from 45.75% to 43.07% Sen went down by 2.63%, going from 9.47% to 6.84% Leenock went down by 2.44%, going from 25.64% to 23.2% MajOr went down by 2.36%, going from 21.32% to 18.96% Sacsri went down by 1.54%, going from 3.33% to 1.79% Super went down by 0.9%, going from 52.45% to 51.55% YongHwa went down by 0.89%, going from 2.09% to 1.2% jjakji went down by 0.76%, going from 3.14% to 2.38% INnoVation went down by 0.59%, going from 56.78% to 56.2% TaeJa went down by 0.57%, going from 24.76% to 24.19% Patience went down by 0.49%, going from 1.21% to 0.71% DongRaeGu went down by 0.47%, going from 1.62% to 1.15% YoDa went down by 0.44%, going from 21.49% to 21.04% Stats went down by 0.4%, going from 49.04% to 48.63% Terminator went down by 0.4%, going from 28.26% to 27.86% Classic went down by 0.32%, going from 6.52% to 6.2% Zest went down by 0.32%, going from 16.07% to 15.75% Has went down by 0.31%, going from 2.59% to 2.28% Seed went down by 0.31%, going from 0.47% to 0.17% iaguz went down by 0.26%, going from 2.01% to 1.75% Losira went down by 0.24%, going from 2.23% to 1.98% Bbyong went down by 0.2%, going from 7.31% to 7.1% sOs went down by 0.2%, going from 17.12% to 16.92% uThermal went down by 0.19%, going from 3.55% to 3.36% First went down by 0.18%, going from 9.2% to 9.02% MC went down by 0.17%, going from 8.48% to 8.31% Impact went down by 0.15%, going from 0.9% to 0.75% Ourk went down by 0.14%, going from 0.43% to 0.29% Cure went down by 0.12%, going from 6.16% to 6.04% Flash went down by 0.11%, going from 4.32% to 4.21% Jim went down by 0.11%, going from 5.55% to 5.44%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 92.6% Chances of 2+ foreigners 62.3% Chances of 3+ foreigners 24.24% Chances of 4+ foreigners 4.95%
Snute5.77% chance to be the only foreigner, 30.49% chance overall. NaNiwa3.87% chance to be the only foreigner, 21.84% chance overall. MajOr3.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 18.96% chance overall. Happy2.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 16.61% chance overall. TargA2.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 14.2% chance overall. Bunny1.77% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.14% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.54% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.91% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
PiG1.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.36% chance overall. Sen1.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.84% chance overall. MaNa0.89% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.93% chance overall. Jim0.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.44% chance overall. HuK0.58% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.99% chance overall. uThermal0.5% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.36% chance overall. Has0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.28% chance overall. VortiX0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.21% chance overall. Kane0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.85% chance overall. Welmu0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.79% chance overall. TLO0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.79% chance overall. iaguz0.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.75% chance overall. Serral0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.58% chance overall. Lilbow0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.55% chance overall. MorroW0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.21% chance overall. Nerchio0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.08% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.94% chance overall. MaSa0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.87% chance overall. puCK0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.74% chance overall. MacSed0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.7% chance overall. XiGua0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.61% chance overall. iAsonu0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.57% chance overall. Scarlett0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.59% chance overall. Astrea0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.51% chance overall. MarineLorD0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.43% chance overall. Suppy0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.39% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Dark is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! PartinG is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Headband History] +
GSL Code S Season 1 Winning Chances PartinG has a 13.33% chance to win ----going from 74.82% to 99.76% if they get 1st, or 91.88% if they get 2nd. Life has a 12.46% chance to win ----going from 98.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.95% if they get 2nd. herO has a 10.37% chance to win ----going from 91.23% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.92% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 10.11% chance to win ----going from 70.82% to 99.89% if they get 1st, or 92.05% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 8.82% chance to win ----going from 56.19% to 96.68% if they get 1st, or 78.67% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Maru has a 7.77% chance to win ----going from 84.7% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 97.22% if they get 2nd. TY has a 6.06% chance to win ----going from 68.83% to 99.27% if they get 1st, or 89.2% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 4.83% chance to win ----going from 31.1% to 86.82% if they get 1st, or 56.33% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 4.8% chance to win ----going from 75.63% to 99.81% if they get 1st, or 93.99% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 4.66% chance to win ----going from 56.96% to 97.92% if they get 1st, or 81.88% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 3.39% chance to win ----going from 21.82% to 82.87% if they get 1st, or 47.18% if they get 2nd. YoDa has a 3.27% chance to win ----going from 21.04% to 82.11% if they get 1st, or 46.46% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 2.88% chance to win ----going from 36.83% to 99.04% if they get 1st, or 75.28% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 2.86% chance to win ----going from 27.86% to 97.29% if they get 1st, or 64.79% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 2.6% chance to win ----going from 37.14% to 95.67% if they get 1st, or 69.11% if they get 2nd. MC has a 1.78% chance to win ----going from 8.31% to 69.82% if they get 1st, or 27.77% if they get 2nd.
Biggest Winners and Losers from GSL group selections (Sim ID #1212 vs Sim ID #1213) Biggest Winners Dark went up by 1.22%, going from 53.38% to 54.6% Dream went up by 1.22%, going from 35.17% to 36.39% INnoVation went up by 0.9%, going from 56.44% to 57.34% TY went up by 0.41%, going from 66.88% to 67.29% PartinG went up by 0.4%, going from 74.83% to 75.23% herO went up by 0.3%, going from 91.31% to 91.61% Terminator went up by 0.22%, going from 27.98% to 28.21% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Solar went up by 0.2%, going from 31.01% to 31.21% Life went up by 0.14%, going from 97.95% to 98.09% Lilbow went up by 0.1%, going from 1.51% to 1.61%
Biggest Losers MMA went down by 1.45%, going from 21.85% to 20.39% Maru went down by 1.21%, going from 84.94% to 83.73% MC went down by 0.96%, going from 8.37% to 7.41% Hydra went down by 0.64%, going from 42.84% to 42.2% Rain went down by 0.53%, going from 70.89% to 70.36% YoDa went down by 0.43%, going from 21.67% to 21.24% Rogue went down by 0.41%, going from 74.26% to 73.85% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Soulkey went down by 0.22%, going from 37.18% to 36.96%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 92.57% Chances of 2+ foreigners 62.36% Chances of 3+ foreigners 24.26% Chances of 4+ foreigners 4.98%
Snute5.68% chance to be the only foreigner, 30.22% chance overall. NaNiwa3.81% chance to be the only foreigner, 21.61% chance overall. MajOr3.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 18.65% chance overall. Happy2.77% chance to be the only foreigner, 16.57% chance overall. TargA2.43% chance to be the only foreigner, 14.8% chance overall. Bunny1.76% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.15% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.5% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.84% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
PiG1.43% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.2% chance overall. Sen0.99% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.7% chance overall. MaNa0.89% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.92% chance overall. Jim0.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.41% chance overall. HuK0.57% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.99% chance overall. uThermal0.56% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.76% chance overall. Serral0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.41% chance overall. Has0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.25% chance overall. VortiX0.3% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.14% chance overall. Welmu0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.83% chance overall. Kane0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.84% chance overall. TLO0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.75% chance overall. iaguz0.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.66% chance overall. Lilbow0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.61% chance overall. MorroW0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.22% chance overall. Nerchio0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.98% chance overall. MaSa0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.85% chance overall. puCK0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.73% chance overall. MacSed0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.7% chance overall. XiGua0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.6% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.64% chance overall. iAsonu0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.55% chance overall. Scarlett0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.57% chance overall. Astrea0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.51% chance overall. MarineLorD0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.42% chance overall. Suppy0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.38% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Dark is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! PartinG is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Headband History] +
Terminator, Dark, INnoVation, and MMAin in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16. Dark has the #2 Headband! Terminator is at 28.21% Blizzcon Chances. 43.81% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.79%. 56.19% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 16.05%. INnoVation is at 57.34% Blizzcon Chances. 59.87% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.42%. 40.13% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.82%. Dark is at 54.6% Blizzcon Chances. 51.81% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 66.19%. 48.19% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.14%. MMA is at 20.39% Blizzcon Chances. 44.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 31.3%. 55.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.65%.
Life, Soulkey, YoDa, and TYin in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16. Life has the #1 Headband! Life is at 98.09% Blizzcon Chances. 63.87% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.35%. 36.13% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 95.87%. YoDa is at 21.24% Blizzcon Chances. 42.64% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.05%. 57.36% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.47%. Soulkey is at 36.96% Blizzcon Chances. 41.6% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 54.67%. 58.4% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.34%. TY is at 67.29% Blizzcon Chances. 51.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 78.21%. 48.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 55.52%.
Solar, Rogue, Dream, and Rainin in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16. Solar is at 31.21% Blizzcon Chances. 49.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.13%. 50.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 19.47%. Dream is at 36.39% Blizzcon Chances. 46.95% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 48.9%. 53.05% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.31%. Rogue is at 73.85% Blizzcon Chances. 47.05% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 84.27%. 52.95% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 64.59%. Rain is at 70.36% Blizzcon Chances. 56.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 82.37%. 43.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 54.85%.
PartinG, MC, Maru, and herOin in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16. PartinG has the #3 Headband! PartinG is at 75.23% Blizzcon Chances. 63.73% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 84.15%. 36.27% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 59.54%. Maru is at 83.73% Blizzcon Chances. 45.9% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 92.29%. 54.1% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 76.47%. MC is at 7.41% Blizzcon Chances. 30.28% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.8%. 69.72% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.77%. herO is at 91.61% Blizzcon Chances. 60.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 97.26%. 39.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 83.11%.
GSL Code S Season 1 Winning Chancesin ~ PartinG has a 13.53% chance to win ----going from 75.23% to 99.74% if they get 1st, or 91.75% if they get 2nd. Life has a 13.06% chance to win ----going from 98.09% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.94% if they get 2nd. herO has a 10.91% chance to win ----going from 91.61% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.94% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 9.96% chance to win ----going from 70.36% to 99.9% if they get 1st, or 92.08% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 9.31% chance to win ----going from 57.34% to 96.72% if they get 1st, or 78.76% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Maru has a 7.23% chance to win ----going from 83.73% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 97.33% if they get 2nd. TY has a 5.82% chance to win ----going from 67.29% to 99.2% if they get 1st, or 88.56% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 4.89% chance to win ----going from 31.21% to 86.68% if they get 1st, or 56.26% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 4.39% chance to win ----going from 54.6% to 97.62% if they get 1st, or 79.99% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 4.36% chance to win ----going from 73.85% to 99.79% if they get 1st, or 93.55% if they get 2nd. YoDa has a 3.33% chance to win ----going from 21.24% to 82.66% if they get 1st, or 46.92% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 3.16% chance to win ----going from 20.39% to 82.04% if they get 1st, or 45.97% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 2.97% chance to win ----going from 36.96% to 99.13% if they get 1st, or 75.7% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 2.93% chance to win ----going from 28.21% to 97.5% if they get 1st, or 65.21% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 2.58% chance to win ----going from 36.39% to 95.53% if they get 1st, or 67.65% if they get 2nd. MC has a 1.56% chance to win ----going from 7.41% to 69.83% if they get 1st, or 27.49% if they get 2nd.
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together.
Group A MMA has a ~ 3.15 % chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 INnoVation has a ~ 9.3 % chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Dark has a ~ 4.39 % chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Terminator has a ~ 2.93 % chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 19.774
Group B Life has a ~ 13.07 % chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Soulkey has a ~ 2.96 % chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 YoDa has a ~ 3.33 % chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 TY has a ~ 5.84 % chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 25.1925
Group C Rain has a ~ 9.96 % chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Dream has a ~ 2.58 % chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Rogue has a ~ 4.35 % chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Solar has a ~ 4.89 % chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 21.7838
Group D PartinG has a ~ 13.55 % chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 MC has a ~ 1.56 % chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Maru has a ~ 7.24 % chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 herO has a ~ 10.91 % chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 33.2496
Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores D > B > C > A
Group A MMA is at ~ 20.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 INnoVation is at ~ 57.33 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Dark is at ~ 54.58 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Terminator is at ~ 28.22 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 160.515
Group B Life is at ~ 98.09 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Soulkey is at ~ 36.94 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 YoDa is at ~ 21.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 TY is at ~ 67.29 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 223.577
Group C Rain is at ~ 70.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Dream is at ~ 36.39 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Rogue is at ~ 73.89 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Solar is at ~ 31.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 211.891
Group D PartinG is at ~ 75.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MC is at ~ 7.41 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Maru is at ~ 83.74 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 herO is at ~ 91.62 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 258.023
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores D > B > C > A
Group A MMA's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -1.46 % INnoVation's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.89 % Dark's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 1.2 % Terminator's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.24 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.858684
Group B Life's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.14 % Soulkey's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.23 % YoDa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.42 % TY's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.41 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.099296
Group C Rain's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.52 % Dream's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 1.22 % Rogue's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.37 % Solar's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.23 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.56122
Group D PartinG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.43 % MC's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.96 % Maru's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -1.2 % herO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.3 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.42751
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores D > B > C > A
Group A When MMA wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 10.91 % When MMA loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 8.74 % When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 11.08 % When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 16.53 % When Dark wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 11.61 % When Dark loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.48 % When Terminator wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 15.56 % When Terminator loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.14 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 99.0593
Group B When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.26 % When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.23 % When Soulkey wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 17.71 % When Soulkey loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.6 % When YoDa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 11.78 % When YoDa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 8.76 % When TY wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 10.94 % When TY loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 11.81 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 77.0936
Group C When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 11.99 % When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 15.49 % When Dream wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 12.52 % When Dream loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 11.07 % When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 10.41 % When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.25 % When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 11.91 % When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 11.74 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 94.3876
Group D When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 8.92 % When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 15.68 % When MC wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 8.38 % When MC loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 3.64 % When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 8.55 % When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 7.26 % When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.64 % When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 8.49 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 66.564
Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores A > C > B > D
Group A MMA has an overall Aligulac rating of 1975 INnoVation has an overall Aligulac rating of 2225 Dark has an overall Aligulac rating of 2048 Terminator has an overall Aligulac rating of 1893 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8141
Group B Life has an overall Aligulac rating of 2343 Soulkey has an overall Aligulac rating of 1981 YoDa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1993 TY has an overall Aligulac rating of 2102 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8419
Group C Rain has an overall Aligulac rating of 2183 Dream has an overall Aligulac rating of 1928 Rogue has an overall Aligulac rating of 2073 Solar has an overall Aligulac rating of 2090 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8274
Group D PartinG has an overall Aligulac rating of 2264 MC has an overall Aligulac rating of 1805 Maru has an overall Aligulac rating of 2188 herO has an overall Aligulac rating of 2195 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8452
Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores D > B > C > A
Group A has a 1st place and four 4th places Group B has four 2nd places and a 3rd place Group C has a 2nd place and four 3rd places Group D has four 1st places and a 4th place
Group D is easily our Group of Death! Congrats to PartinG, MC, Maru, and herO! Group B is our 2nd place Group of Death with Life, Soulkey, YoDa, and TY!
What do you think?
Poll: Group of Death?
Group D: Maru, MC, herO, PartinG (445)
68%
There isn't one (85)
13%
Group A: INnoVation, Terminator, MMA, Dark (60)
9%
Group B: Life, YoDa, TY, Soulkey (47)
7%
Group C: Rain, Rogue, Dream, Solar (21)
3%
658 total votes
Your vote: Group of Death?
(Vote): There isn't one (Vote): Group A: INnoVation, Terminator, MMA, Dark (Vote): Group B: Life, YoDa, TY, Soulkey (Vote): Group C: Rain, Rogue, Dream, Solar (Vote): Group D: Maru, MC, herO, PartinG
Aligulac is insane with these predictions for GSL, for some reason Parting is insanely hot for it, probably due to a couple of foreign tournaments where he did well lately - in fact he has a terribly tough Ro16 group that in my opinion can completely not be predicted at all. There should be some penalization lowering the significance of any prediction that involves PvP
Biggest Winners and Losers from the addition of IEM Katowice and removal of Placeholder Tournament #24 (Sim ID #1221 vs Sim ID #1222) Biggest Winners Solar went up by 10.86%, going from 30.48% to 41.33% TaeJa went up by 10.78%, going from 24.49% to 35.28% Rain went up by 9.99%, going from 72.3% to 82.3% Zest went up by 8.45%, going from 14.46% to 22.91% herO went up by 4.17%, going from 91.52% to 95.68% Flash went up by 3.29%, going from 4.04% to 7.33% Maru went up by 2.58%, going from 94.14% to 96.72% Life went up by 1.04%, going from 97.96% to 99.01%
Biggest Losers Soulkey went down by 1.94%, going from 37.4% to 35.46% Super went down by 1.88%, going from 49.57% to 47.69% TY went down by 1.77%, going from 43.79% to 42.02% Dream went down by 1.75%, going from 65.36% to 63.62% MMA went down by 1.69%, going from 36.7% to 35.01% Stats went down by 1.64%, going from 50.34% to 48.7% Dear went down by 1.63%, going from 54.38% to 52.75% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
INnoVation went down by 1.53%, going from 67.92% to 66.39% Polt went down by 1.47%, going from 35.59% to 34.12% GuMiho went down by 1.43%, going from 32.94% to 31.51% Rogue went down by 1.42%, going from 73.46% to 72.05% PartinG went down by 1.38%, going from 75.2% to 73.82% Snute went down by 1.37%, going from 29.99% to 28.62% Hydra went down by 1.34%, going from 48.29% to 46.95% Leenock went down by 1.33%, going from 23.57% to 22.25% Terminator went down by 1.29%, going from 17.27% to 15.98% ForGG went down by 1.24%, going from 67.72% to 66.49% YoDa went down by 1.17%, going from 21.58% to 20.41% Dark went down by 1.15%, going from 18.96% to 17.81% sOs went down by 1.08%, going from 18.53% to 17.45% MajOr went down by 1.04%, going from 19.74% to 18.7% NaNiwa went down by 0.99%, going from 21.47% to 20.48% Bomber went down by 0.97%, going from 16.98% to 16.01% Happy went down by 0.92%, going from 16.32% to 15.4% TargA went down by 0.89%, going from 14.98% to 14.09% Bunny went down by 0.75%, going from 11.52% to 10.77% viOLet went down by 0.75%, going from 11.39% to 10.64% HyuN went down by 0.68%, going from 12.68% to 12.01% MC went down by 0.67%, going from 7.38% to 6.71% ShoWTimE went down by 0.64%, going from 9.95% to 9.32% FanTaSy went down by 0.6%, going from 7.86% to 7.26% PiG went down by 0.59%, going from 8.3% to 7.7% First went down by 0.58%, going from 9.1% to 8.52% San went down by 0.52%, going from 7.52% to 7.01% Bbyong went down by 0.52%, going from 7.7% to 7.19% MarineKing went down by 0.51%, going from 5.19% to 4.68% Classic went down by 0.49%, going from 6.29% to 5.8% Sen went down by 0.47%, going from 6.02% to 5.55% Jim went down by 0.44%, going from 5.3% to 4.86% MaNa went down by 0.42%, going from 5.77% to 5.35% Cure went down by 0.41%, going from 6.36% to 5.95% Jaedong went down by 0.4%, going from 5.09% to 4.69% HuK went down by 0.34%, going from 3.98% to 3.64% uThermal went down by 0.31%, going from 3.68% to 3.36% Serral went down by 0.28%, going from 3.22% to 2.93% soO went down by 0.28%, going from 3.92% to 3.64% TRUE went down by 0.25%, going from 2.71% to 2.46% Hurricane went down by 0.2%, going from 2.32% to 2.12% jjakji went down by 0.19%, going from 2.32% to 2.14% MorroW went down by 0.18%, going from 1.82% to 1.63%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 90.79% Chances of 2+ foreigners 57.5% Chances of 3+ foreigners 20.48% Chances of 4+ foreigners 3.77%
Snute6.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 28.62% chance overall. NaNiwa4.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 20.48% chance overall. MajOr3.77% chance to be the only foreigner, 18.7% chance overall. Happy3.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 15.4% chance overall. TargA2.73% chance to be the only foreigner, 14.09% chance overall. Bunny2.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.77% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.7% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.32% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
PiG1.41% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.7% chance overall. Sen0.96% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.55% chance overall. MaNa0.96% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.35% chance overall. Jim0.85% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.86% chance overall. HuK0.62% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.64% chance overall. uThermal0.59% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.36% chance overall. Serral0.51% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.93% chance overall. VortiX0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.09% chance overall. Kane0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.61% chance overall. Welmu0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.61% chance overall. MorroW0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.63% chance overall. Lilbow0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.54% chance overall. TLO0.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.48% chance overall. iaguz0.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.42% chance overall. Has0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.28% chance overall. Nerchio0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.1% chance overall. puCK0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.88% chance overall. MaSa0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.72% chance overall. MacSed0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.6% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.6% chance overall. XiGua0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.52% chance overall. iAsonu0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.48% chance overall. Scarlett0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.49% chance overall. Astrea0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.43% chance overall. MarineLorD0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.44% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Dream is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! PartinG is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Headband History] +
IEM Katowice Winning Chances Life has a 16.03% chance to win ----going from 99.01% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.79% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 13.13% chance to win ----going from 82.3% to 99.16% if they get 1st, or 90.64% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 12.74% chance to win ----going from 96.72% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 98.99% if they get 2nd. herO has a 12.3% chance to win ----going from 95.68% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.49% if they get 2nd. TaeJa has a 11.57% chance to win ----going from 35.28% to 68.13% if they get 1st, or 43.16% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Zest has a 7.87% chance to win ----going from 22.91% to 60.97% if they get 1st, or 31.28% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 7.48% chance to win ----going from 41.33% to 80.36% if they get 1st, or 54.08% if they get 2nd. Flash has a 5.06% chance to win ----going from 7.33% to 31.14% if they get 1st, or 11.79% if they get 2nd. PartinG has a 0.72% chance to win ----going from 73.82% to 98.97% if they get 1st, or 73.64% if they don't. ForGG has a 0.59% chance to win ----going from 66.49% to 96.01% if they get 1st, or 66.31% if they don't. INnoVation has a 0.56% chance to win ----going from 66.39% to 98.54% if they get 1st, or 66.21% if they don't. GuMiho has a 0.4% chance to win ----going from 31.51% to 87.56% if they get 1st, or 31.28% if they don't. Hydra has a 0.38% chance to win ----going from 46.95% to 88.21% if they get 1st, or 46.79% if they don't. TY has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 42.02% to 93.11% if they get 1st, or 41.85% if they don't. Stats has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 48.7% to 92.55% if they get 1st, or 48.56% if they don't. HyuN has a 0.3% chance to win ----going from 12.01% to 55.42% if they get 1st, or 11.87% if they don't. Dear has a 0.29% chance to win ----going from 52.75% to 95.2% if they get 1st, or 52.63% if they don't. Rogue has a 0.28% chance to win ----going from 72.05% to 98.98% if they get 1st, or 71.97% if they don't. sOs has a 0.28% chance to win ----going from 17.45% to 77.82% if they get 1st, or 17.29% if they don't. MMA has a 0.27% chance to win ----going from 35.01% to 90.64% if they get 1st, or 34.86% if they don't. Bomber has a 0.26% chance to win ----going from 16.01% to 69.54% if they get 1st, or 15.87% if they don't. Cure has a 0.24% chance to win ----going from 5.95% to 37.8% if they get 1st, or 5.87% if they don't. Snute has a 0.23% chance to win ----going from 28.62% to 82.94% if they get 1st, or 28.5% if they don't. YoDa has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 20.41% to 74.36% if they get 1st, or 20.29% if they don't. VortiX has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 2.09% to 20.48% if they get 1st, or 2.05% if they don't. Bbyong has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 7.19% to 47.02% if they get 1st, or 7.1% if they don't. Polt has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 34.12% to 86.94% if they get 1st, or 34.01% if they don't. Dark has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 17.81% to 78.86% if they get 1st, or 17.68% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 20.48% to 68.78% if they get 1st, or 20.38% if they don't. Super has a 0.2% chance to win ----going from 47.69% to 95.45% if they get 1st, or 47.59% if they don't.
NSSL Quarterfinals Leenock vs Maruin in StarLeague Season 1 quarterfinals. Leenock is at 22.25% Blizzcon Chances. 38.6% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 39.1%. 61.4% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.65%. Maru is at 96.72% Blizzcon Chances. 61.4% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.27%. 38.6% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 92.67%.
Stats vs Roguein in StarLeague Season 1 quarterfinals. Stats is at 48.7% Blizzcon Chances. 49.19% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 66.6%. 50.81% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 31.37%. Rogue is at 72.05% Blizzcon Chances. 50.81% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 86.55%. 49.19% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 57.07%.
Life vs Dearin in StarLeague Season 1 quarterfinals. Life is at 99.01% Blizzcon Chances. 57.96% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.89%. 42.04% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 97.77%. Dear is at 52.75% Blizzcon Chances. 42.04% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 72.94%. 57.96% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.11%.
Dream vs Superin in StarLeague Season 1 quarterfinals. Dream is at 63.62% Blizzcon Chances. 53.17% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 79.1%. 46.83% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 46.04%. Super is at 47.69% Blizzcon Chances. 46.83% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 66.54%. 53.17% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 31.09%.
StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances Life has a 23.4% chance to win ----going from 99.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.96% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 19.96% chance to win ----going from 96.72% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.57% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 11.64% chance to win ----going from 72.05% to 98.95% if they get 1st, or 88.72% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 10.87% chance to win ----going from 48.7% to 92.51% if they get 1st, or 68.33% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 10.03% chance to win ----going from 52.75% to 95.31% if they get 1st, or 74.41% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 9.65% chance to win ----going from 63.62% to 98.27% if they get 1st, or 83.25% if they get 2nd. Super has a 8.18% chance to win ----going from 47.69% to 95.59% if they get 1st, or 70.64% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 6.27% chance to win ----going from 22.25% to 77.1% if they get 1st, or 40.87% if they get 2nd.
--------UPDATE Friday, Feb 13 10:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00) WCS Premier Ro32 Preview! (Sim #1225) Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
Life (KT), is at 99.69%, Min WCS Points: 2100, Median WCS Points: 6625
Maru (Jin Air), is at 99.45%, Min WCS Points: 1750, Median WCS Points: 6075
herO (CJ Entus), is at 95.88%, Min WCS Points: 1875, Median WCS Points: 4625
Rain (mYinsanity), is at 82.75%, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median WCS Points: 3925
PartinG (Yoe), is at 74.1%, Min WCS Points: 975, Median WCS Points: 3625
Stats (KT), is at 69.69%, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median WCS Points: 3300
ForGG (Millenium), is at 66.34%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 3375
INnoVation (SKT T1), is at 64.78%, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median WCS Points: 3175
Dream (SKT T1), is at 63.9%, Min WCS Points: 950, Median WCS Points: 3100
TY (KT), is at 56.79%, Min WCS Points: 1175, Median WCS Points: 2875
Rogue (Jin Air), is at 54.2%, Min WCS Points: 950, Median WCS Points: 2825
Dear (Samsung), is at 52.88%, Min WCS Points: 800, Median WCS Points: 2800
Hydra (ROOT), is at 51.13%, Min WCS Points: 275, Median WCS Points: 2750
Super (Invasion), is at 48.15%, Min WCS Points: 925, Median WCS Points: 2650
Solar (Samsung), is at 41.58%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 2450
MMA (Acer), is at 35.63%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2325
TaeJa (Liquid), is at 35.5%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 2225
Polt (CM Storm), is at 34.29%, Min WCS Points: 400, Median WCS Points: 2200
GuMiho (Invasion), is at 31.25%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2150
Snute (Liquid), is at 29.24%, Min WCS Points: 400, Median WCS Points: 2050
Soulkey (TCM), is at 25.37%, Min WCS Points: 1075, Median WCS Points: 2100
Zest (KT), is at 22.98%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1900
MajOr, is at 20.64%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1725
NaNiwa, is at 20.6%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1675
Dark (SKT T1), is at 18.03%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1825
sOs (Jin Air), is at 17.73%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1775
Terminator (Jin Air), is at 16.3%, Min WCS Points: 975, Median WCS Points: 1875
Bomber, is at 16.11%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 1675
Happy, is at 15.01%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1500
TargA (Imaginary), is at 14.18%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1500
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at 12.05%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1375
Bunny (Liquid), is at 10.81%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1375
viOLet, is at 10.74%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1400
Leenock (Yoe), is at 10.52%, Min WCS Points: 600, Median WCS Points: 1525
YoDa (Prime), is at 9.72%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1375
ShoWTimE (aTn), is at 9.4%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1300
First (KT), is at 8.69%, Min WCS Points: 325, Median WCS Points: 1325
PiG (x5), is at 7.79%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1250
Flash (KT), is at 7.41%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1225
FanTaSy (dPix), is at 7.34%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 1375
Bbyong (CJ Entus), is at 7.27%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1200
San (Yoe), is at 7.04%, Min WCS Points: 275, Median WCS Points: 1225
MC, is at 6.82%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1300
Cure (Jin Air), is at 5.95%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1000
Classic (SKT T1), is at 5.92%, Min WCS Points: 550, Median WCS Points: 1300
Sen (HKA), is at 5.6%, Min WCS Points: 275, Median WCS Points: 1250
MaNa (Liquid), is at 5.42%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1125
Jim (iG), is at 4.93%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1150
MarineKing (MVP), is at 4.8%, Min WCS Points: 700, Median WCS Points: 1375
Jaedong (EG), is at 4.72%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1150
Full Player List Even though Life, Maru, and herO have such high chances, they're still at 0% AFK Chances (along with everyone else). This means that they do not yet have enough WCS points to have a chance to make it to Blizzcon and still need to win more points.
Biggest Winners and Losers since the addition of IEM Katowice and removal of Placeholder Tournament #24 (Sim ID #1222 vs Sim ID #1225) Biggest Winners Stats went up by 20.98%, going from 48.72% to 69.69% TY went up by 14.77%, going from 42.02% to 56.79% Hydra went up by 4.19%, going from 46.95% to 51.13% Maru went up by 2.73%, going from 96.72% to 99.45% MajOr went up by 1.98%, going from 18.66% to 20.64% Life went up by 0.69%, going from 98.99% to 99.69% MMA went up by 0.64%, going from 34.98% to 35.63% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Snute went up by 0.63%, going from 28.61% to 29.24% Super went up by 0.47%, going from 47.68% to 48.15% Rain went up by 0.47%, going from 82.28% to 82.75% Terminator went up by 0.34%, going from 15.96% to 16.3% Dream went up by 0.31%, going from 63.59% to 63.9% Heart went up by 0.29%, going from 0.75% to 1.04% sOs went up by 0.28%, going from 17.44% to 17.73% PartinG went up by 0.25%, going from 73.84% to 74.1% Solar went up by 0.25%, going from 41.33% to 41.58% Dark went up by 0.21%, going from 17.82% to 18.03% herO went up by 0.17%, going from 95.71% to 95.88% First went up by 0.17%, going from 8.52% to 8.69% TaeJa went up by 0.17%, going from 35.34% to 35.5% Polt went up by 0.15%, going from 34.14% to 34.29% NaNiwa went up by 0.13%, going from 20.48% to 20.6% Dear went up by 0.13%, going from 52.75% to 52.88% Classic went up by 0.12%, going from 5.8% to 5.92% Bomber went up by 0.12%, going from 15.99% to 16.11% MarineKing went up by 0.11%, going from 4.69% to 4.8% TRUE went up by 0.1%, going from 2.48% to 2.58%
Biggest Losers Rogue went down by 17.83%, going from 72.04% to 54.2% Leenock went down by 11.72%, going from 22.24% to 10.52% YoDa went down by 10.67%, going from 20.4% to 9.72% Soulkey went down by 10.1%, going from 35.47% to 25.37% INnoVation went down by 1.57%, going from 66.35% to 64.78% Happy went down by 0.41%, going from 15.41% to 15.01% GuMiho went down by 0.26%, going from 31.51% to 31.25% Lilbow went down by 0.15%, going from 1.54% to 1.39%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 91.27% Chances of 2+ foreigners 58.72% Chances of 3+ foreigners 21.4% Chances of 4+ foreigners 4.07%
Snute6.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 29.24% chance overall. MajOr4.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 20.64% chance overall. NaNiwa4.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 20.6% chance overall. Happy2.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 15.01% chance overall. TargA2.62% chance to be the only foreigner, 14.18% chance overall. Bunny1.94% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.81% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.65% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.4% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
PiG1.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.79% chance overall. Sen0.92% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.6% chance overall. MaNa0.92% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.42% chance overall. Jim0.82% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.93% chance overall. HuK0.6% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.69% chance overall. uThermal0.56% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.39% chance overall. Serral0.49% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.96% chance overall. VortiX0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.11% chance overall. Kane0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.63% chance overall. Welmu0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.63% chance overall. MorroW0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.64% chance overall. TLO0.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.51% chance overall. iaguz0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.44% chance overall. Lilbow0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.39% chance overall. Has0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.31% chance overall. Nerchio0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.12% chance overall. puCK0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.89% chance overall. MaSa0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.72% chance overall. MacSed0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.61% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.61% chance overall. XiGua0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.52% chance overall. iAsonu0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.48% chance overall. Scarlett0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.49% chance overall. Astrea0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.45% chance overall. MarineLorD0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.45% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Dream is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! PartinG is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Headband History] +
Snute, XiGua, uThermal, and Astreain in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Snute is at 29.24% Blizzcon Chances. 68.87% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.15%. 31.13% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.37%. uThermal is at 3.39% Blizzcon Chances. 53.04% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.85%. 46.96% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.75%. XiGua is at 0.52% Blizzcon Chances. 39.34% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.91%. 60.66% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.27%. Astrea is at 0.45% Blizzcon Chances. 38.74% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.79%. 61.26% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.23%.
Kelazhur, Jim, TLO, and Poltin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Kelazhur is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 25.27% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%. 74.73% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. TLO is at 1.51% Blizzcon Chances. 53.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.19%. 46.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.73%. Jim is at 4.93% Blizzcon Chances. 47.64% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.32%. 52.36% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.76%. Polt is at 34.29% Blizzcon Chances. 74.08% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.39%. 25.92% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 22.58%.
Bunny, MajOr, MaNa, and viOLetin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. This is the Group of Death! Bunny is at 10.81% Blizzcon Chances. 49.81% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.13%. 50.19% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.52%. MaNa is at 5.42% Blizzcon Chances. 44.59% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.29%. 55.41% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.12%. MajOr is at 20.64% Blizzcon Chances. 56.1% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.54%. 43.9% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.09%. viOLet is at 10.74% Blizzcon Chances. 49.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.79%. 50.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.78%.
Happy, TargA, PiG, and Kanein in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Happy is at 15.01% Blizzcon Chances. 56.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 19.66%. 43.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.97%. PiG is at 7.79% Blizzcon Chances. 51.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.89%. 48.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.47%. TargA is at 14.18% Blizzcon Chances. 60.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.06%. 39.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.14%. Kane is at 1.63% Blizzcon Chances. 31.04% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.04%. 68.96% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.01%.
FireCake, puCK, ForGG, and Senin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. This is the 2nd place Group of Death! FireCake is at 0.12% Blizzcon Chances. 30.31% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.24%. 69.69% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%. ForGG is at 66.34% Blizzcon Chances. 74.18% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 71.17%. 25.82% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 52.45%. puCK is at 0.89% Blizzcon Chances. 46.05% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.41%. 53.95% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.45%. Sen is at 5.6% Blizzcon Chances. 49.46% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.07%. 50.54% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.19%.
Has, Serral, Suppy, and NaNiwain in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Has is at 1.31% Blizzcon Chances. 42.72% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.13%. 57.28% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.69%. Suppy is at 0.33% Blizzcon Chances. 33.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.63%. 66.57% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.18%. Serral is at 2.96% Blizzcon Chances. 55.53% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.16%. 44.47% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.46%. NaNiwa is at 20.6% Blizzcon Chances. 68.32% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.68%. 31.68% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.81%.
iAsonu, ShoWTimE, Hydra, and MorroWin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. iAsonu is at 0.48% Blizzcon Chances. 30.03% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.96%. 69.97% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.28%. Hydra is at 51.13% Blizzcon Chances. 73.08% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 56.26%. 26.92% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.21%. ShoWTimE is at 9.4% Blizzcon Chances. 60.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.26%. 39.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.06%. MorroW is at 1.64% Blizzcon Chances. 36.69% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.86%. 63.31% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.93%.
HuK, MacSed, Welmu, and iaguzin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. HuK is at 3.69% Blizzcon Chances. 52.18% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.27%. 47.82% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.96%. Welmu is at 1.63% Blizzcon Chances. 52.54% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.41%. 47.46% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.78%. MacSed is at 0.61% Blizzcon Chances. 44.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.01%. 55.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.3%. iaguz is at 1.44% Blizzcon Chances. 50.93% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.15%. 49.07% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.7%.
WCS Premier Season 1 in ~ ForGG has a 17.53% chance to win ----going from 66.34% to 97.61% if they get 1st, or 76.17% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 13.98% chance to win ----going from 51.13% to 92.7% if they get 1st, or 61.78% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 7.68% chance to win ----going from 29.24% to 89.43% if they get 1st, or 43.39% if they get 2nd. NaNiwa has a 7.58% chance to win ----going from 20.6% to 76.1% if they get 1st, or 30.1% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 7.51% chance to win ----going from 34.29% to 92.12% if they get 1st, or 49.79% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MajOr has a 5.64% chance to win ----going from 20.64% to 80.88% if they get 1st, or 33.76% if they get 2nd. Happy has a 4.95% chance to win ----going from 15.01% to 72.84% if they get 1st, or 25.58% if they get 2nd. TargA has a 4.85% chance to win ----going from 14.18% to 72.7% if they get 1st, or 24.2% if they get 2nd. ShoWTimE has a 3.81% chance to win ----going from 9.4% to 65.18% if they get 1st, or 17.26% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 3.37% chance to win ----going from 10.81% to 70.36% if they get 1st, or 21.24% if they get 2nd. viOLet has a 2.88% chance to win ----going from 10.74% to 71.61% if they get 1st, or 21.92% if they get 2nd. PiG has a 2.78% chance to win ----going from 7.79% to 65.47% if they get 1st, or 16.29% if they get 2nd. MaNa has a 2.21% chance to win ----going from 5.42% to 59.19% if they get 1st, or 12.4% if they get 2nd. Jim has a 1.84% chance to win ----going from 4.93% to 61.57% if they get 1st, or 3.87% if they don't. Sen has a 1.79% chance to win ----going from 5.6% to 69.41% if they get 1st, or 14.16% if they get 2nd. uThermal has a 1.56% chance to win ----going from 3.39% to 54.24% if they get 1st, or 2.59% if they don't. Serral has a 1.51% chance to win ----going from 2.96% to 52.1% if they get 1st, or 2.21% if they don't. HuK has a 1.41% chance to win ----going from 3.69% to 62.68% if they get 1st, or 2.84% if they don't. Welmu has a 1.04% chance to win ----going from 1.63% to 44.51% if they get 1st, or 1.18% if they don't. TLO has a 0.87% chance to win ----going from 1.51% to 46.03% if they get 1st, or 1.11% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.86% chance to win ----going from 1.44% to 44.46% if they get 1st, or 1.07% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.79% chance to win ----going from 1.64% to 47.35% if they get 1st, or 1.27% if they don't. Has has a 0.66% chance to win ----going from 1.31% to 47.82% if they get 1st, or 0.99% if they don't. Kane has a 0.66% chance to win ----going from 1.63% to 49.74% if they get 1st, or 1.31% if they don't. puCK has a 0.55% chance to win ----going from 0.89% to 42.54% if they get 1st, or 0.66% if they don't. MacSed has a 0.41% chance to win ----going from 0.61% to 39.98% if they get 1st, or 0.45% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.52% to 40.49% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. Astrea has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.45% to 37.08% if they get 1st, or 0.33% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.28% chance to win ----going from 0.48% to 38.9% if they get 1st, or 0.38% if they don't. Suppy has a 0.23% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 34.71% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't.
On February 15 2015 12:00 sharkie wrote: I wonder how much money Snute is going to get me :0
I'm guessing he'll go up by about 200 points, maybe even 300 don't sell immediately though, aligulac ratings take a few hours to update -edit- he gained 100 points before the aligulac rating update it's pretty low because he was already favored to win the group at a very strong 68.88%
On February 15 2015 18:38 sharkie wrote: wow I really gained almost nothing, this sucks
we could sell him for a small profit, but we gotta hope Snute wins the ro16 to make a decent profit, or maybe he'll be announced for another tournament soon like Dreamhack
(Sim ID #1226 vs #1229) Biggest Winners Snute went up by 8.07%, going from 29.11% to 37.17% ShoWTimE went up by 0.72%, going from 9.34% to 10.06% TRUE went up by 0.52%, going from 2.56% to 3.09% Kane went up by 0.52%, going from 1.63% to 2.15% Hurricane went up by 0.37%, going from 2.16% to 2.52% Solar went up by 0.34%, going from 41.54% to 41.88% XiGua went up by 0.31%, going from 0.52% to 0.83% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Creator went up by 0.28%, going from 0.31% to 0.59% Super went up by 0.23%, going from 48.1% to 48.34% Rogue went up by 0.22%, going from 51.92% to 52.15% Soulkey went up by 0.19%, going from 24.94% to 25.14% MMA went up by 0.19%, going from 35.47% to 35.66% GuMiho went up by 0.18%, going from 31.13% to 31.32% Zest went up by 0.17%, going from 22.99% to 23.17% Lilbow went up by 0.16%, going from 1.38% to 1.54% Rain went up by 0.15%, going from 82.75% to 82.9% Nerchio went up by 0.15%, going from 1.11% to 1.26% Stats went up by 0.12%, going from 69.56% to 69.68% HyuN went up by 0.11%, going from 11.98% to 12.1% sOs went up by 0.11%, going from 17.59% to 17.7% Dream went up by 0.11%, going from 63.19% to 63.29% INnoVation went up by 0.11%, going from 64.68% to 64.79% Dear went up by 0.1%, going from 52.67% to 52.78% YoDa went up by 0.1%, going from 9.63% to 9.73% TY went up by 0.1%, going from 58.09% to 58.19%
Biggest Losers TaeJa went down by 5.65%, going from 35.4% to 29.75% PartinG went down by 3.75%, going from 74.08% to 70.33% uThermal went down by 2.01%, going from 3.37% to 1.37% TargA went down by 0.81%, going from 14.11% to 13.3% Happy went down by 0.54%, going from 14.94% to 14.4% Polt went down by 0.36%, going from 34.11% to 33.74% ForGG went down by 0.34%, going from 66.25% to 65.92% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
NaNiwa went down by 0.33%, going from 20.47% to 20.15% Heart went down by 0.32%, going from 1.04% to 0.71% Astrea went down by 0.28%, going from 0.44% to 0.16% MajOr went down by 0.16%, going from 20.54% to 20.38% Scarlett went down by 0.13%, going from 0.5% to 0.36% MaNa went down by 0.12%, going from 5.4% to 5.28%
Polt, TLO, Jim, and Kelazhurin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Polt is at 33.74% Blizzcon Chances. 73.96% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.75%. 26.04% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 22.35%. Jim is at 4.9% Blizzcon Chances. 47.77% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.24%. 52.23% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.76%. TLO is at 1.5% Blizzcon Chances. 53.1% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.18%. 46.9% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.74%. Kelazhur is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 25.16% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%. 74.84% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
ForGG has a 16.81% chance to win ----going from 65.92% to 97.55% if they get 1st, or 76.24% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 13.63% chance to win ----going from 51.03% to 92.75% if they get 1st, or 61.95% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 12.26% chance to win ----going from 37.17% to 90.16% if they get 1st, or 45.93% if they get 2nd. NaNiwa has a 7.11% chance to win ----going from 20.15% to 76.16% if they get 1st, or 29.82% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 7.1% chance to win ----going from 33.74% to 91.96% if they get 1st, or 49.78% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MajOr has a 5.54% chance to win ----going from 20.38% to 80.76% if they get 1st, or 33.33% if they get 2nd. Happy has a 4.67% chance to win ----going from 14.4% to 72.4% if they get 1st, or 24.79% if they get 2nd. TargA has a 4.48% chance to win ----going from 13.3% to 72.09% if they get 1st, or 23.18% if they get 2nd. ShoWTimE has a 3.97% chance to win ----going from 10.06% to 66.32% if they get 1st, or 18.16% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 3.3% chance to win ----going from 10.71% to 70.58% if they get 1st, or 21.22% if they get 2nd. viOLet has a 2.78% chance to win ----going from 10.65% to 71.56% if they get 1st, or 22.09% if they get 2nd. PiG has a 2.74% chance to win ----going from 7.73% to 65.58% if they get 1st, or 16.27% if they get 2nd. MaNa has a 2.05% chance to win ----going from 5.28% to 58.78% if they get 1st, or 12.44% if they get 2nd. Jim has a 1.79% chance to win ----going from 4.9% to 61.64% if they get 1st, or 3.86% if they don't. Sen has a 1.71% chance to win ----going from 5.48% to 69.64% if they get 1st, or 14.06% if they get 2nd. HuK has a 1.55% chance to win ----going from 4.18% to 64.3% if they get 1st, or 3.23% if they don't. Serral has a 1.41% chance to win ----going from 2.89% to 51.75% if they get 1st, or 2.19% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.96% chance to win ----going from 1.61% to 45.62% if they get 1st, or 1.19% if they don't. Welmu has a 0.93% chance to win ----going from 1.57% to 44.67% if they get 1st, or 1.16% if they don't. TLO has a 0.84% chance to win ----going from 1.5% to 46.29% if they get 1st, or 1.12% if they don't. Kane has a 0.77% chance to win ----going from 2.15% to 52.91% if they get 1st, or 1.76% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.76% chance to win ----going from 1.61% to 47.6% if they get 1st, or 1.26% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.71% chance to win ----going from 0.83% to 39.55% if they get 1st, or 0.55% if they don't. Has has a 0.63% chance to win ----going from 1.27% to 47.18% if they get 1st, or 0.98% if they don't. puCK has a 0.52% chance to win ----going from 0.84% to 42.17% if they get 1st, or 0.63% if they don't. MacSed has a 0.37% chance to win ----going from 0.6% to 40.18% if they get 1st, or 0.45% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.25% chance to win ----going from 0.47% to 38.63% if they get 1st, or 0.37% if they don't. Suppy has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 35.13% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't.
On February 16 2015 20:37 Dingodile wrote: Why has Life 2100pts here and 1950pts on Liquipedia?
Because he's seeded into Code S next season, if he loses that then it's 100 points and he's in challenger for season 3, and if he loses there then it's another 50 points. Liquipedia seems to not be showing any points for season 2 or 3 yet.
I'm thinking of increasing sell value for WCS Wars. 95% seems too punishing, especially early in the season with small point gains, or the partner tournaments giving less points. I was thinking 98% would be much better (or even 99%?). Is anyone super opposed to me changing this now in the middle of the season?
Also thinking about adding your bank to your team value, so unspent points help your standing. This would also make it easier to see who's on your tail and who's beating you, or will be once they make some trades and spend their points.
I have applied the change for sell value in WCS Wars up to 98% from 95%. I also show the unspent points in the leaderboard and count them for placement.
On February 27 2015 00:09 Darkdwarf wrote: WCS wars will reset after the season, right?
that is correct since we don't know the dates yet, I can't tell you when that is lol, but it can't be earlier than march 22nd since that's when GSL ends
--------UPDATE Thursday, Feb 26 9:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00) NSSL Quarterfinals and IEM Katowice Qualifiers Completed! (Sim #1247) Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
Life (KT), is at 99.98%, Min WCS Points: 2400, Median WCS Points: 7125
Maru (Jin Air), is at 99.16%, Min WCS Points: 1750, Median WCS Points: 5850
herO (CJ Entus), is at 94.98%, Min WCS Points: 1875, Median WCS Points: 4575
INnoVation (SKT T1), is at 79.48%, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median WCS Points: 3750
ForGG (Millenium), is at 71.18%, Min WCS Points: 625, Median WCS Points: 3575
Stats (KT), is at 70.25%, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median WCS Points: 3325
Dream (SKT T1), is at 65.58%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 3075
Rogue (Jin Air), is at 64.32%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 3075
PartinG (Yoe), is at 63.96%, Min WCS Points: 975, Median WCS Points: 3175
Hydra (ROOT), is at 63.89%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 3250
Rain (mYinsanity), is at 63.31%, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median WCS Points: 3100
TY (KT), is at 57.33%, Min WCS Points: 1175, Median WCS Points: 2900
Solar (Samsung), is at 56.43%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2900
Snute (Liquid), is at 38.13%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 2325
Dark (SKT T1), is at 36.95%, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median WCS Points: 2375
MMA (Acer), is at 36.86%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2350
Polt (CM Storm), is at 34.97%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 2250
Dear (Samsung), is at 34.01%, Min WCS Points: 800, Median WCS Points: 2250
Super (Invasion), is at 29.4%, Min WCS Points: 925, Median WCS Points: 2175
GuMiho (Invasion), is at 28.92%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2100
TaeJa (Liquid), is at 28.27%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1975
Bunny (Liquid), is at 24.01%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1850
Soulkey (TCM), is at 23.22%, Min WCS Points: 1075, Median WCS Points: 2075
Zest (KT), is at 20.07%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1775
FanTaSy (dPix), is at 18.49%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1850
sOs (Jin Air), is at 17.88%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1775
Terminator (Jin Air), is at 15.63%, Min WCS Points: 975, Median WCS Points: 1850
Bomber, is at 15.26%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 1650
Bbyong (CJ Entus), is at 14.18%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 1600
MaNa (Liquid), is at 12.89%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1475
Cure (Jin Air), is at 12.35%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1425
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at 11.63%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1325
PiG (x5), is at 11.01%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1450
MajOr, is at 9.79%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1300
Leenock (Yoe), is at 9.11%, Min WCS Points: 600, Median WCS Points: 1475
YoDa (Prime), is at 8.03%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1300
Happy, is at 8.01%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1200
ShoWTimE (aTn), is at 8.01%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1250
NaNiwa, is at 7.62%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1200
First (KT), is at 7.53%, Min WCS Points: 325, Median WCS Points: 1275
Trap (Jin Air), is at 6.76%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1200
Flash (KT), is at 6.4%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1125
TargA (Imaginary), is at 5.93%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1125
viOLet (EnVy), is at 5.81%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1175
San (Yoe), is at 5.36%, Min WCS Points: 275, Median WCS Points: 1150
Serral (mYinsanity), is at 5.14%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1225
MC (Trig), is at 4.96%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1225
MarineKing (MVP), is at 4.9%, Min WCS Points: 700, Median WCS Points: 1375
Kane (mYinsanity), is at 4.55%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1200
Classic (SKT T1), is at 4.31%, Min WCS Points: 550, Median WCS Points: 1225
Full Player List Even though Life, Maru, and herO have such high chances, they're still at 0% AFK Chances (along with everyone else). This means that they do not yet have enough WCS points to have a chance to make it to Blizzcon and still need to win more points.
Biggest Winners and Losers since before IEM Katowice Qualifiers (Sim ID #1242 vs Sim ID #1247) Biggest Winners INnoVation went up by 14.28%, going from 65.2% to 79.48% Hydra went up by 14.12%, going from 49.77% to 63.89% Dark went up by 14.02%, going from 22.94% to 36.95% Solar went up by 12.31%, going from 44.11% to 56.43% Rogue went up by 11.77%, going from 52.55% to 64.32% FanTaSy went up by 11.03%, going from 7.46% to 18.49% Bunny went up by 7.06%, going from 16.95% to 24.01% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Bbyong went up by 6.81%, going from 7.37% to 14.18% Cure went up by 6.63%, going from 5.72% to 12.35% Trap went up by 5.06%, going from 1.7% to 6.76% Dream went up by 2.07%, going from 63.51% to 65.58% Patience went up by 1.97%, going from 0.73% to 2.7% MMA went up by 1.48%, going from 35.38% to 36.86% Curious went up by 0.41%, going from 1.54% to 1.95% Stats went up by 0.36%, going from 69.88% to 70.25% Life went up by 0.28%, going from 99.7% to 99.98% Symbol went up by 0.27%, going from 0.48% to 0.75% MaNa went up by 0.24%, going from 12.65% to 12.89% Sacsri went up by 0.23%, going from 1.33% to 1.56% Welmu went up by 0.21%, going from 1.62% to 1.83% HeRoMaRinE went up by 0.18%, going from 0.61% to 0.79% Lilbow went up by 0.15%, going from 1.74% to 1.89% HerO went up by 0.14%, going from 0.67% to 0.81%
Biggest Losers Rain went down by 19.77%, going from 83.08% to 63.31% Super went down by 18.89%, going from 48.28% to 29.4% Dear went down by 18.85%, going from 52.85% to 34.01% PartinG went down by 4.64%, going from 68.6% to 63.96% Zest went down by 3.44%, going from 23.52% to 20.07% TaeJa went down by 3.24%, going from 31.51% to 28.27% ShoWTimE went down by 2.25%, going from 10.25% to 8.01% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Soulkey went down by 2.1%, going from 25.32% to 23.22% MC went down by 2.04%, going from 6.99% to 4.96% Polt went down by 1.92%, going from 36.9% to 34.97% San went down by 1.83%, going from 7.19% to 5.36% YoDa went down by 1.81%, going from 9.84% to 8.03% Jaedong went down by 1.78%, going from 4.82% to 3.04% Classic went down by 1.75%, going from 6.06% to 4.31% ForGG went down by 1.51%, going from 72.69% to 71.18% Leenock went down by 1.47%, going from 10.58% to 9.11% First went down by 1.27%, going from 8.8% to 7.53% TY went down by 1.22%, going from 58.55% to 57.33% GuMiho went down by 1.19%, going from 30.11% to 28.92% PiG went down by 1.19%, going from 12.2% to 11.01% Terminator went down by 1.15%, going from 16.78% to 15.63% Flash went down by 1.14%, going from 7.54% to 6.4% MajOr went down by 1.07%, going from 10.86% to 9.79% herO went down by 1.04%, going from 96.02% to 94.98% Bomber went down by 0.96%, going from 16.22% to 15.26% TRUE went down by 0.8%, going from 4.06% to 3.26% Losira went down by 0.73%, going from 2.01% to 1.27% HuK went down by 0.72%, going from 4.92% to 4.21% Happy went down by 0.7%, going from 8.71% to 8.01% TargA went down by 0.68%, going from 6.61% to 5.93% soO went down by 0.68%, going from 4.37% to 3.69% Serral went down by 0.65%, going from 5.79% to 5.14% HyuN went down by 0.63%, going from 12.25% to 11.63% viOLet went down by 0.59%, going from 6.4% to 5.81% Kane went down by 0.52%, going from 5.07% to 4.55% Hurricane went down by 0.51%, going from 2.57% to 2.06% Sora went down by 0.48%, going from 2.01% to 1.53% Trust went down by 0.47%, going from 1.4% to 0.93% uThermal went down by 0.42%, going from 1.36% to 0.93% Sen went down by 0.29%, going from 2.45% to 2.16% NaNiwa went down by 0.26%, going from 7.88% to 7.62% Has went down by 0.26%, going from 2.44% to 2.18% VortiX went down by 0.24%, going from 2.04% to 1.8% Hack went down by 0.24%, going from 0.73% to 0.48% Maru went down by 0.23%, going from 99.38% to 99.16% Jim went down by 0.23%, going from 2.2% to 1.98% TLO went down by 0.21%, going from 2.3% to 2.1% StarDust went down by 0.2%, going from 1.79% to 1.59% iaguz went down by 0.18%, going from 1.66% to 1.48% Heart went down by 0.18%, going from 1.24% to 1.06%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 90.03% Chances of 2+ foreigners 54.69% Chances of 3+ foreigners 17.95% Chances of 4+ foreigners 2.97%
Snute10.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 38.13% chance overall. Bunny5.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 24.01% chance overall. MaNa2.59% chance to be the only foreigner, 12.89% chance overall. PiG2.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.01% chance overall. MajOr1.94% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.79% chance overall. Happy1.56% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.01% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.54% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.01% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
NaNiwa1.5% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.62% chance overall. TargA1.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.93% chance overall. Serral0.95% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.14% chance overall. Kane0.84% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.55% chance overall. HuK0.78% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.21% chance overall. Sen0.41% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.16% chance overall. Has0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.18% chance overall. TLO0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.1% chance overall. Jim0.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.98% chance overall. Lilbow0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.89% chance overall. Welmu0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.83% chance overall. VortiX0.32% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.8% chance overall. MorroW0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.51% chance overall. iaguz0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.48% chance overall. Nerchio0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.02% chance overall. uThermal0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.93% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.79% chance overall. XiGua0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.76% chance overall. MarineLorD0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.67% chance overall. MacSed0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.54% chance overall. MaSa0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.49% chance overall. iAsonu0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.43% chance overall. puCK0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall. Boombox0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.34% chance overall. Scarlett0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall. Petraeus0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.28% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Solar is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! PartinG is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Headband History] +
StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chancesin ~ Life has a 38.52% chance to win ----going from 99.98% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 31.2% chance to win ----going from 99.16% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.52% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 18.06% chance to win ----going from 70.25% to 94.26% if they get 1st, or 73.32% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 12.22% chance to win ----going from 65.58% to 97.13% if they get 1st, or 73.16% if they get 2nd.
IEM Katowice Winning Chancesin ~ Life has a 12.3% chance to win ----going from 99.98% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 10.25% chance to win ----going from 99.16% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.95% if they get 2nd. herO has a 9.8% chance to win ----going from 94.98% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.55% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 9.37% chance to win ----going from 79.48% to 98.7% if they get 1st, or 88.49% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 9.13% chance to win ----going from 63.31% to 97.45% if they get 1st, or 79.08% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
TaeJa has a 7.49% chance to win ----going from 28.27% to 65.29% if they get 1st, or 39.07% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 6.8% chance to win ----going from 63.89% to 90.87% if they get 1st, or 73.52% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 5.4% chance to win ----going from 56.42% to 94.27% if they get 1st, or 74.3% if they get 2nd. Zest has a 5.12% chance to win ----going from 20.07% to 61.51% if they get 1st, or 31.52% if they get 2nd. Cure has a 4.56% chance to win ----going from 12.35% to 40.99% if they get 1st, or 18.41% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 4.37% chance to win ----going from 36.95% to 84.08% if they get 1st, or 52.23% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 3.83% chance to win ----going from 14.18% to 49.71% if they get 1st, or 22.14% if they get 2nd. Flash has a 3.51% chance to win ----going from 6.4% to 31.75% if they get 1st, or 11.87% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 3.19% chance to win ----going from 18.49% to 64.13% if they get 1st, or 30.2% if they get 2nd. Trap has a 3.07% chance to win ----going from 6.76% to 31.02% if they get 1st, or 11.58% if they get 2nd. Patience has a 1.8% chance to win ----going from 2.7% to 19.97% if they get 1st, or 2.39% if they don't.
I'll post full previews for those matches when we get closer to them.
We also have GSL finishing the round of 16 tonight, and WCS finishing the round of 32 this weekend.
herO, Maru, MC, and PartinGin in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16. herO is at 94.98% Blizzcon Chances. 61.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 98.51%. 38.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 89.45%. MC is at 4.96% Blizzcon Chances. 29.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.39%. 70.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.29%. Maru is at 99.16% Blizzcon Chances. 50.24% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.85%. 49.76% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 98.46%. PartinG is at 63.96% Blizzcon Chances. 59.46% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 75.21%. 40.54% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 47.46%.
GSL Code S Season 1 Winning Chancesin ~ Life has a 21.12% chance to win ----going from 99.98% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 13.65% chance to win ----going from 79.48% to 99.41% if they get 1st, or 89.56% if they get 2nd. herO has a 11.13% chance to win ----going from 94.98% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.95% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 10.57% chance to win ----going from 56.42% to 92.65% if they get 1st, or 69.44% if they get 2nd. TY has a 10.1% chance to win ----going from 57.32% to 96.87% if they get 1st, or 72.77% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
PartinG has a 8.96% chance to win ----going from 63.96% to 99.48% if they get 1st, or 86.91% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 8.37% chance to win ----going from 99.16% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 8.2% chance to win ----going from 36.86% to 83.49% if they get 1st, or 50.31% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 6.63% chance to win ----going from 64.32% to 99.18% if they get 1st, or 82.3% if they get 2nd. MC has a 1.28% chance to win ----going from 4.96% to 62.74% if they get 1st, or 4.21% if they don't.
iAsonu, ShoWTimE, Hydra, and MorroWin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. iAsonu is at 0.43% Blizzcon Chances. 30.41% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.84%. 69.59% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.25%. Hydra is at 63.89% Blizzcon Chances. 73.96% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.67%. 26.04% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 50.32%. ShoWTimE is at 8.01% Blizzcon Chances. 59.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.6%. 40.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.27%. MorroW is at 1.51% Blizzcon Chances. 36.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.63%. 63.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.86%.
HuK, MacSed, Welmu, and iaguzin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. HuK is at 4.21% Blizzcon Chances. 52.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.01%. 47.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.23%. Welmu is at 1.83% Blizzcon Chances. 53.93% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.62%. 46.07% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.9%. MacSed is at 0.54% Blizzcon Chances. 43.73% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.88%. 56.27% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.27%. iaguz is at 1.48% Blizzcon Chances. 50.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.24%. 49.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.71%.
WCS Premier Season 1 Winning Chancesin ~ ForGG has a 23.79% chance to win ----going from 71.18% to 97.48% if they get 1st, or 76.09% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 14.24% chance to win ----going from 63.89% to 97.96% if they get 1st, or 76.19% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 12.74% chance to win ----going from 38.12% to 90.07% if they get 1st, or 46.3% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 10.03% chance to win ----going from 24.01% to 76.56% if they get 1st, or 30.03% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 8.76% chance to win ----going from 34.97% to 91.06% if they get 1st, or 46.88% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MaNa has a 6.62% chance to win ----going from 12.89% to 64.66% if they get 1st, or 17.88% if they get 2nd. PiG has a 5.74% chance to win ----going from 11.01% to 64.24% if they get 1st, or 15.86% if they get 2nd. ShoWTimE has a 3.29% chance to win ----going from 8.01% to 62.45% if they get 1st, or 15.42% if they get 2nd. Serral has a 3.17% chance to win ----going from 5.14% to 53.63% if they get 1st, or 8.87% if they get 2nd. Kane has a 2.6% chance to win ----going from 4.55% to 54.35% if they get 1st, or 3.22% if they don't. TLO has a 1.6% chance to win ----going from 2.1% to 44.76% if they get 1st, or 1.4% if they don't. HuK has a 1.57% chance to win ----going from 4.21% to 63.21% if they get 1st, or 3.27% if they don't. Has has a 1.5% chance to win ----going from 2.18% to 47.6% if they get 1st, or 1.49% if they don't. Welmu has a 1.05% chance to win ----going from 1.83% to 45.4% if they get 1st, or 1.36% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.92% chance to win ----going from 1.48% to 43.57% if they get 1st, or 1.09% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.73% chance to win ----going from 1.51% to 46.12% if they get 1st, or 1.18% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.71% chance to win ----going from 0.76% to 37.41% if they get 1st, or 0.5% if they don't. MacSed has a 0.35% chance to win ----going from 0.54% to 38.03% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't. FireCake has a 0.34% chance to win ----going from 0.23% to 26.17% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.25% chance to win ----going from 0.43% to 37.09% if they get 1st, or 0.33% if they don't.
Because of all the tournaments he's already in and the placeholder tournaments, it is very unlikely that Life fails to earn any more WCS Points, so it didn't show up until the simulation had over 20 million samples. He's right now at 0.64% AFK Chances (1 out of just 156 samples). This means that if Life doesn't earn any more points, and just sits with his 2400 WCS Points, he has a 0.64% chance of still making it to Blizzcon.
Of course this stat isn't very useful yet, but it will help a lot towards the end of the year for similar situations as Jaedong and sOs had at the end of last year.
On February 16 2015 20:37 Dingodile wrote: Why has Life 2100pts here and 1950pts on Liquipedia?
Because he's seeded into Code S next season, if he loses that then it's 100 points and he's in challenger for season 3, and if he loses there then it's another 50 points. Liquipedia seems to not be showing any points for season 2 or 3 yet.
I understand you but it seems that GSL/NSSL changed that system. If you look WCS Ranking you will notice that WCS Unified is showing points for season 2.
On February 16 2015 20:37 Dingodile wrote: Why has Life 2100pts here and 1950pts on Liquipedia?
Because he's seeded into Code S next season, if he loses that then it's 100 points and he's in challenger for season 3, and if he loses there then it's another 50 points. Liquipedia seems to not be showing any points for season 2 or 3 yet.
I understand you but it seems that GSL/NSSL changed that system. If you look WCS Ranking you will notice that WCS Unified is showing points for season 2.
Reading on Liquipedia it says the seeding is the same as last year and seems to agree with how I do it for NSSL and GSL.
On February 28 2015 17:19 OtherWorld wrote: MC failed me, I'm so salty >.<
you thought MC was gonna win that group??? I love MC but...
I thought MC would win Code S back when the Ro32 groups were drawn. Everything was in line for it to happen. But then he joined dem Trig scammers instead of a Korean team >.<
This is tough now, with WCS going on such a huge break (after today) I need to buy players in GSL/NSSL/IEM, those are all tough to predict. I might just sell all my players and buy Life lol, but even that could go wrong.
--------UPDATE Sunday, Mar 01 11:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00) WCS Premier Ro32 Complete! (Sim #1253) Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
Life (KT), is at 99.98%, Min WCS Points: 2400, Median WCS Points: 7100
herO (CJ Entus), is at 98.53%, Min WCS Points: 2275, Median WCS Points: 4925
Maru (Jin Air), is at 98.41%, Min WCS Points: 1850, Median WCS Points: 5275
INnoVation (SKT T1), is at 79.08%, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median WCS Points: 3750
PartinG (Yoe), is at 77.43%, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median WCS Points: 3625
Stats (KT), is at 70.24%, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median WCS Points: 3325
ForGG (Millenium), is at 70.22%, Min WCS Points: 625, Median WCS Points: 3550
Hydra (ROOT), is at 67.62%, Min WCS Points: 625, Median WCS Points: 3400
Dream (SKT T1), is at 67.16%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 3150
Rogue (Jin Air), is at 65.76%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 3150
Rain (mYinsanity), is at 60.3%, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median WCS Points: 3025
TY (KT), is at 56.62%, Min WCS Points: 1175, Median WCS Points: 2875
Solar (Samsung), is at 55.77%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2900
Snute (Liquid), is at 38.25%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 2350
Dark (SKT T1), is at 36.73%, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median WCS Points: 2375
MMA (Acer), is at 36.08%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2325
Dear (Samsung), is at 35.97%, Min WCS Points: 800, Median WCS Points: 2300
Polt (CM Storm), is at 34.44%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 2250
GuMiho (Invasion), is at 24.54%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2000
TaeJa (Liquid), is at 24.18%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1850
Bunny (Liquid), is at 23.45%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1850
Super (Invasion), is at 23.05%, Min WCS Points: 925, Median WCS Points: 2025
Soulkey (TCM), is at 22.89%, Min WCS Points: 1075, Median WCS Points: 2075
Zest (KT), is at 19.56%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1750
FanTaSy (dPix), is at 17.33%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1825
sOs (Jin Air), is at 16.32%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1750
Terminator (Jin Air), is at 16.17%, Min WCS Points: 975, Median WCS Points: 1875
Bbyong (CJ Entus), is at 15.88%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 1675
Trap (Jin Air), is at 15.34%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1525
Bomber, is at 14.99%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 1650
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at 12.93%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1375
Cure (Jin Air), is at 12.39%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1425
PiG (x5), is at 10.91%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1450
ShoWTimE (aTn), is at 10.45%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1425
MajOr, is at 10.25%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1325
MaNa (Liquid), is at 9.72%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1375
Leenock (Yoe), is at 8.75%, Min WCS Points: 600, Median WCS Points: 1450
Happy, is at 7.91%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1200
YoDa (Prime), is at 7.79%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1300
NaNiwa, is at 7.52%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1200
Flash (KT), is at 6.28%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1125
TargA (Imaginary), is at 5.9%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1125
viOLet (EnVy), is at 5.89%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1175
First (KT), is at 5.54%, Min WCS Points: 325, Median WCS Points: 1200
San (Yoe), is at 4.64%, Min WCS Points: 275, Median WCS Points: 1125
Serral (mYinsanity), is at 4.64%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1200
Kane (mYinsanity), is at 4.6%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1200
MarineKing (MVP), is at 4.26%, Min WCS Points: 700, Median WCS Points: 1350
Classic (SKT T1), is at 4.23%, Min WCS Points: 550, Median WCS Points: 1225
soO (SKT T1), is at 3.61%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 850
Full Player List Life is at 1.04% AFK Chances, herO is at 0.48% AFK Chances.
Biggest Winners and Losers since before WCS Premier ro32 (Sim ID #1226 vs Sim ID #1253) Biggest Winners Hydra went up by 17.85%, going from 49.77% to 67.62% INnoVation went up by 13.88%, going from 65.2% to 79.08% Dark went up by 13.79%, going from 22.94% to 36.73% Trap went up by 13.64%, going from 1.7% to 15.34% Rogue went up by 13.21%, going from 52.55% to 65.76% Solar went up by 11.66%, going from 44.11% to 55.77% FanTaSy went up by 9.86%, going from 7.46% to 17.33% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
PartinG went up by 8.83%, going from 68.6% to 77.43% Bbyong went up by 8.51%, going from 7.37% to 15.88% Cure went up by 6.67%, going from 5.72% to 12.39% Bunny went up by 6.5%, going from 16.95% to 23.45% Dream went up by 3.65%, going from 63.51% to 67.16% herO went up by 2.51%, going from 96.02% to 98.53% Welmu went up by 1.86%, going from 1.62% to 3.48% Patience went up by 1.84%, going from 0.73% to 2.57% MMA went up by 0.7%, going from 35.38% to 36.08% HyuN went up by 0.68%, going from 12.25% to 12.93% Hack went up by 0.65%, going from 0.73% to 1.38% Sacsri went up by 0.62%, going from 1.33% to 1.95% sKyHigh went up by 0.39%, going from 0.58% to 0.97% Stats went up by 0.35%, going from 69.88% to 70.24% Life went up by 0.28%, going from 99.7% to 99.98% MacSed went up by 0.26%, going from 0.62% to 0.88% ShoWTimE went up by 0.19%, going from 10.25% to 10.45% HeRoMaRinE went up by 0.16%, going from 0.61% to 0.78% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.13%, going from 1.14% to 1.28% Curious went up by 0.12%, going from 1.54% to 1.66% YongHwa went up by 0.12%, going from 1.15% to 1.27% Lilbow went up by 0.1%, going from 1.74% to 1.85%
Biggest Losers Super went down by 25.24%, going from 48.28% to 23.05% Rain went down by 22.78%, going from 83.08% to 60.3% Dear went down by 16.89%, going from 52.85% to 35.97% TaeJa went down by 7.33%, going from 31.51% to 24.18% GuMiho went down by 5.57%, going from 30.11% to 24.54% MC went down by 4.8%, going from 6.99% to 2.2% Zest went down by 3.95%, going from 23.52% to 19.56% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
First went down by 3.26%, going from 8.8% to 5.54% HuK went down by 3.11%, going from 4.92% to 1.81% MaNa went down by 2.94%, going from 12.65% to 9.72% San went down by 2.54%, going from 7.19% to 4.64% ForGG went down by 2.47%, going from 72.69% to 70.22% Polt went down by 2.46%, going from 36.9% to 34.44% Soulkey went down by 2.43%, going from 25.32% to 22.89% YoDa went down by 2.06%, going from 9.84% to 7.79% TY went down by 1.93%, going from 58.55% to 56.62% Leenock went down by 1.84%, going from 10.58% to 8.75% Classic went down by 1.83%, going from 6.06% to 4.23% Jaedong went down by 1.76%, going from 4.82% to 3.07% sOs went down by 1.58%, going from 17.9% to 16.32% PiG went down by 1.28%, going from 12.2% to 10.91% Flash went down by 1.27%, going from 7.54% to 6.28% Bomber went down by 1.24%, going from 16.22% to 14.99% Serral went down by 1.15%, going from 5.79% to 4.64% Losira went down by 1.01%, going from 2.01% to 0.99% Maru went down by 0.97%, going from 99.38% to 98.41% iaguz went down by 0.96%, going from 1.66% to 0.7% Happy went down by 0.8%, going from 8.71% to 7.91% TRUE went down by 0.76%, going from 4.06% to 3.3% soO went down by 0.75%, going from 4.37% to 3.61% TargA went down by 0.71%, going from 6.61% to 5.9% MorroW went down by 0.66%, going from 1.67% to 1.01% Hurricane went down by 0.65%, going from 2.57% to 1.92% Terminator went down by 0.62%, going from 16.78% to 16.17% MajOr went down by 0.61%, going from 10.86% to 10.25% MarineKing went down by 0.6%, going from 4.86% to 4.26% Sora went down by 0.56%, going from 2.01% to 1.45% Trust went down by 0.55%, going from 1.4% to 0.85% viOLet went down by 0.51%, going from 6.4% to 5.89% jjakji went down by 0.51%, going from 2.23% to 1.73% Kane went down by 0.47%, going from 5.07% to 4.6% uThermal went down by 0.45%, going from 1.36% to 0.91% Has went down by 0.38%, going from 2.44% to 2.06% NaNiwa went down by 0.36%, going from 7.88% to 7.52% Sen went down by 0.33%, going from 2.45% to 2.12% iAsonu went down by 0.3%, going from 0.48% to 0.18% VortiX went down by 0.28%, going from 2.04% to 1.76% Heart went down by 0.27%, going from 1.24% to 0.97% Jim went down by 0.27%, going from 2.2% to 1.93% TLO went down by 0.26%, going from 2.3% to 2.05%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 89.44% Chances of 2+ foreigners 53.04% Chances of 3+ foreigners 16.72% Chances of 4+ foreigners 2.64%
Snute10.58% chance to be the only foreigner, 38.25% chance overall. Bunny5.5% chance to be the only foreigner, 23.45% chance overall. PiG2.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.91% chance overall. ShoWTimE2.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.45% chance overall. MajOr2.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.25% chance overall. MaNa1.99% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.72% chance overall. Happy1.63% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.91% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
NaNiwa1.57% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.52% chance overall. TargA1.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.9% chance overall. Serral0.91% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.64% chance overall. Kane0.9% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.6% chance overall. Welmu0.68% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.48% chance overall. Sen0.42% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.12% chance overall. Has0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.06% chance overall. TLO0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.05% chance overall. Jim0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.93% chance overall. HuK0.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.81% chance overall. Lilbow0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.85% chance overall. VortiX0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.76% chance overall. MorroW0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.01% chance overall. Nerchio0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.97% chance overall. uThermal0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.91% chance overall. MacSed0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.88% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall. XiGua0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.75% chance overall. iaguz0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.7% chance overall. MarineLorD0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.66% chance overall. MaSa0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.49% chance overall. puCK0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.4% chance overall. Boombox0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.34% chance overall. Scarlett0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall. Petraeus0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.29% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Solar is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! herO is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Headband History] +
WCS Point Cutoffs 0.9% of the time 2325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.18% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 30.92% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 51.04% of the time 2750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 70.44% of the time 2850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.84% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.97% of the time 3225 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
WCS Premier Season 1 Winning Chances ForGG has a 21.89% chance to win ----going from 70.22% to 97.37% if they get 1st, or 75.77% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 19.11% chance to win ----going from 67.61% to 97.81% if they get 1st, or 75.15% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 12.99% chance to win ----going from 38.25% to 89.73% if they get 1st, or 46.1% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 9.55% chance to win ----going from 23.45% to 76.08% if they get 1st, or 29.76% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 8.28% chance to win ----going from 34.44% to 90.83% if they get 1st, or 46.48% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
PiG has a 5.62% chance to win ----going from 10.91% to 63.78% if they get 1st, or 15.84% if they get 2nd. ShoWTimE has a 5.33% chance to win ----going from 10.44% to 62.16% if they get 1st, or 15.4% if they get 2nd. MaNa has a 4.88% chance to win ----going from 9.72% to 60.79% if they get 1st, or 14.62% if they get 2nd. Serral has a 2.88% chance to win ----going from 4.64% to 51.88% if they get 1st, or 3.24% if they don't. Kane has a 2.6% chance to win ----going from 4.61% to 53.85% if they get 1st, or 3.29% if they don't. Welmu has a 2.21% chance to win ----going from 3.49% to 48.08% if they get 1st, or 2.48% if they don't. TLO has a 1.54% chance to win ----going from 2.05% to 43.91% if they get 1st, or 1.39% if they don't. Has has a 1.36% chance to win ----going from 2.06% to 46.65% if they get 1st, or 1.45% if they don't. MacSed has a 0.74% chance to win ----going from 0.88% to 38.54% if they get 1st, or 0.6% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.7% chance to win ----going from 0.75% to 37.01% if they get 1st, or 0.49% if they don't. FireCake has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.22% to 25.11% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't.
Biggest Winners and Losers from drawing WCS Premier ro16 groups (Sim ID #1254 vs Sim ID #1255) Biggest Winners ForGG went up by 0.89%, going from 70.27% to 71.16% Snute went up by 0.77%, going from 38.11% to 38.88% Hydra went up by 0.48%, going from 67.64% to 68.12% Bunny went up by 0.26%, going from 21.94% to 22.2% Kane went up by 0.22%, going from 4.64% to 4.86% Serral went up by 0.12%, going from 4.67% to 4.79%
Biggest Losers PiG went down by 0.84%, going from 11.04% to 10.2% MaNa went down by 0.64%, going from 9.8% to 9.15% Polt went down by 0.25%, going from 34.44% to 34.19%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 89.18% Chances of 2+ foreigners 52.31% Chances of 3+ foreigners 16.17% Chances of 4+ foreigners 2.49%
Snute11.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 38.88% chance overall. Bunny5.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 22.2% chance overall. ShoWTimE2.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.53% chance overall. MajOr2.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.26% chance overall. PiG2.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.2% chance overall. MaNa1.88% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.15% chance overall. Happy1.67% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.92% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
NaNiwa1.61% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.56% chance overall. TargA1.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.92% chance overall. Kane0.97% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.86% chance overall. Serral0.93% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.79% chance overall. Welmu0.71% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.5% chance overall. Sen0.44% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.13% chance overall. Has0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.01% chance overall. Jim0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.93% chance overall. TLO0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.98% chance overall. HuK0.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.83% chance overall. Lilbow0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.76% chance overall. VortiX0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.74% chance overall. MorroW0.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.01% chance overall. uThermal0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.92% chance overall. Nerchio0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.89% chance overall. MacSed0.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall. XiGua0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.74% chance overall. iaguz0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.7% chance overall. MarineLorD0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.65% chance overall. MaSa0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.48% chance overall. puCK0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.39% chance overall. Boombox0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.34% chance overall. Scarlett0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall. Petraeus0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.28% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Solar is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! herO is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Headband History] +
WCS Point Cutoffs 0.87% of the time 2325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 8.92% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 30.36% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 50.36% of the time 2750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 69.81% of the time 2850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.48% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.91% of the time 3225 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Serral, XiGua, TLO, and ForGGin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Serral is at 4.79% Blizzcon Chances. 52.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.19%. 47.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.16%. TLO is at 1.98% Blizzcon Chances. 38.25% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.7%. 61.75% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.91%. XiGua is at 0.74% Blizzcon Chances. 33.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.54%. 66.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.33%. ForGG is at 71.19% Blizzcon Chances. 75.4% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 76.24%. 24.6% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 55.71%.
Snute, MacSed, PiG, and ShoWTimEin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Snute is at 38.87% Blizzcon Chances. 70.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 45.35%. 29.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.52%. PiG is at 10.21% Blizzcon Chances. 46.27% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.8%. 53.73% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.4%. MacSed is at 0.79% Blizzcon Chances. 27.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.8%. 72.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.4%. ShoWTimE is at 10.52% Blizzcon Chances. 55.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.69%. 44.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.29%.
Hydra, FireCake, MaNa, and Poltin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Hydra is at 68.12% Blizzcon Chances. 72.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 74.15%. 27.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 52.52%. MaNa is at 9.15% Blizzcon Chances. 44.04% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.34%. 55.96% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.05%. FireCake is at 0.21% Blizzcon Chances. 25.31% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.56%. 74.69% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.09%. Polt is at 34.17% Blizzcon Chances. 58.54% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.07%. 41.46% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.03%.
Welmu, Kane, Bunny, and Hasin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Welmu is at 3.49% Blizzcon Chances. 44.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.73%. 55.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.69%. Bunny is at 22.19% Blizzcon Chances. 63.15% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.99%. 36.85% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.25%. Kane is at 4.86% Blizzcon Chances. 53.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.2%. 46.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.2%. Has is at 2.02% Blizzcon Chances. 39.15% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.67%. 60.85% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.95%.
WCS Premier Season 1 Winning Chancesin ~ ForGG has a 23.1% chance to win ----going from 71.19% to 97.36% if they get 1st, or 75.7% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 19.59% chance to win ----going from 68.12% to 97.84% if they get 1st, or 75.21% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 13.51% chance to win ----going from 38.87% to 89.66% if they get 1st, or 45.78% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 9.02% chance to win ----going from 22.19% to 74.95% if they get 1st, or 28.34% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 8.01% chance to win ----going from 34.17% to 90.69% if they get 1st, or 46.42% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
ShoWTimE has a 5.29% chance to win ----going from 10.52% to 62.06% if they get 1st, or 15.48% if they get 2nd. PiG has a 4.9% chance to win ----going from 10.21% to 64.05% if they get 1st, or 15.96% if they get 2nd. MaNa has a 4.29% chance to win ----going from 9.15% to 61.04% if they get 1st, or 15.09% if they get 2nd. Serral has a 3.06% chance to win ----going from 4.79% to 51.61% if they get 1st, or 3.31% if they don't. Kane has a 2.8% chance to win ----going from 4.86% to 53.37% if they get 1st, or 3.46% if they don't. Welmu has a 2.14% chance to win ----going from 3.49% to 48.09% if they get 1st, or 2.52% if they don't. TLO has a 1.45% chance to win ----going from 1.98% to 44.19% if they get 1st, or 1.36% if they don't. Has has a 1.28% chance to win ----going from 2.02% to 46.44% if they get 1st, or 1.44% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 0.74% to 37.07% if they get 1st, or 0.5% if they don't. MacSed has a 0.6% chance to win ----going from 0.79% to 37.65% if they get 1st, or 0.56% if they don't. FireCake has a 0.29% chance to win ----going from 0.21% to 26.46% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't.
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together.
Group A ForGG has a ~ 23.11 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 TLO has a ~ 1.45 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 XiGua has a ~ 0.67 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Serral has a ~ 3.06 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 28.2849
Group B Snute has a ~ 13.5 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 MacSed has a ~ 0.6 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 PiG has a ~ 4.89 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 ShoWTimE has a ~ 5.29 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 24.2939
Group C Polt has a ~ 8.01 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 MaNa has a ~ 4.3 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 FireCake has a ~ 0.29 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Hydra has a ~ 19.57 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 32.1704
Group D Welmu has a ~ 2.14 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Kane has a ~ 2.81 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Bunny has a ~ 9.03 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Has has a ~ 1.27 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 15.2508
Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores C > A > B > D
Group A ForGG is at ~ 71.2 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 TLO is at ~ 1.98 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 XiGua is at ~ 0.74 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Serral is at ~ 4.79 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 78.7001
Group B Snute is at ~ 38.87 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MacSed is at ~ 0.79 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 PiG is at ~ 10.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ShoWTimE is at ~ 10.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 60.3839
Group C Polt is at ~ 34.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MaNa is at ~ 9.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 FireCake is at ~ 0.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Hydra is at ~ 68.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 111.66
Group D Welmu is at ~ 3.49 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Kane is at ~ 4.86 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Bunny is at ~ 22.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Has is at ~ 2.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 32.5444
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores C > A > B > D
Group A ForGG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.93 % TLO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.1 % XiGua's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Serral's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.12 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.934929
Group B Snute's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.75 % MacSed's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.09 % PiG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.84 % ShoWTimE's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.169419
Group C Polt's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.26 % MaNa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.64 % FireCake's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Hydra's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.48 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.440776
Group D Welmu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.04 % Kane's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.22 % Bunny's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.25 % Has's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.06 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.370657
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores C > B > D > A
Group A When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.04 % When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 15.45 % When TLO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.73 % When TLO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.07 % When XiGua wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.8 % When XiGua loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.41 % When Serral wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.39 % When Serral loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.63 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 29.5262
Group B When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 6.49 % When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 15.37 % When MacSed wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.01 % When MacSed loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.39 % When PiG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.58 % When PiG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.8 % When ShoWTimE wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.18 % When ShoWTimE loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.23 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 43.0593
Group C When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 7.88 % When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 11.14 % When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.21 % When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.11 % When FireCake wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.35 % When FireCake loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.12 % When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 6.03 % When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 15.58 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 50.4241
Group D When Welmu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.24 % When Welmu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.81 % When Kane wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.35 % When Kane loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.66 % When Bunny wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.79 % When Bunny loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.91 % When Has wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.64 % When Has loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.05 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 27.4612
Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores C > B > A > D
Group A ForGG has an overall Aligulac rating of 2247 TLO has an overall Aligulac rating of 1618 XiGua has an overall Aligulac rating of 1507 Serral has an overall Aligulac rating of 1731 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7103
Group B Snute has an overall Aligulac rating of 2074 MacSed has an overall Aligulac rating of 1494 PiG has an overall Aligulac rating of 1837 ShoWTimE has an overall Aligulac rating of 1810 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7215
Group C Polt has an overall Aligulac rating of 1963 MaNa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1813 FireCake has an overall Aligulac rating of 1431 Hydra has an overall Aligulac rating of 2190 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7397
Group D Welmu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1672 Kane has an overall Aligulac rating of 1726 Bunny has an overall Aligulac rating of 1946 Has has an overall Aligulac rating of 1574 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6918
Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores C > B > A > D
Group A has two 2nd places, two 3rd places, and a 4th place Group B has three 2nd places and two 3rd places Group C has five 1st places Group D has a 3rd place and four 4th placs
Group C is easily our Group of Death! Congrats to Polt, MaNa, FireCake, and Hydra! Group B is our 2nd place Group of Death with Snute, MacSed, PiG, and ShoWTimE!
GSL Qualifiers Season 2 in ~ Trap has a 55.85% chance to win ----going from 21.06% to 26.37% if they get 1st, or 14.34% if they don't. Stats has a 54.22% chance to win ----going from 69.72% to 75.15% if they get 1st, or 63.28% if they don't. HyuN has a 53.74% chance to win ----going from 12.73% to 16.72% if they get 1st, or 8.09% if they don't. Zest has a 52.41% chance to win ----going from 18.45% to 23.74% if they get 1st, or 12.63% if they don't. Bbyong has a 50.95% chance to win ----going from 16.17% to 20.89% if they get 1st, or 11.26% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Cure has a 50.81% chance to win ----going from 11.4% to 15.11% if they get 1st, or 7.56% if they don't. sOs has a 49.93% chance to win ----going from 15.37% to 20.66% if they get 1st, or 10.1% if they don't. soO has a 46.59% chance to win ----going from 3.56% to 5.29% if they get 1st, or 2.06% if they don't. Flash has a 46.41% chance to win ----going from 6.06% to 8.54% if they get 1st, or 3.91% if they don't. TRUE has a 43.17% chance to win ----going from 3.23% to 4.99% if they get 1st, or 1.89% if they don't. Sacsri has a 42.56% chance to win ----going from 1.92% to 3.06% if they get 1st, or 1.07% if they don't. Hurricane has a 41.75% chance to win ----going from 1.77% to 2.89% if they get 1st, or 0.97% if they don't. jjakji has a 41.68% chance to win ----going from 1.73% to 2.75% if they get 1st, or 0.99% if they don't. Classic has a 41.06% chance to win ----going from 4.15% to 6.53% if they get 1st, or 2.5% if they don't. Jaedong has a 40.9% chance to win ----going from 2.98% to 4.67% if they get 1st, or 1.81% if they don't. Leenock has a 40.77% chance to win ----going from 8.25% to 11.5% if they get 1st, or 6.01% if they don't. ByuL has a 40.45% chance to win ----going from 1.38% to 2.29% if they get 1st, or 0.76% if they don't. Sora has a 40.26% chance to win ----going from 1.42% to 2.41% if they get 1st, or 0.74% if they don't. DongRaeGu has a 39.16% chance to win ----going from 1.09% to 1.85% if they get 1st, or 0.59% if they don't. Patience has a 39.03% chance to win ----going from 2.54% to 4.1% if they get 1st, or 1.53% if they don't. Losira has a 37.81% chance to win ----going from 0.92% to 1.6% if they get 1st, or 0.51% if they don't. Armani has a 37.63% chance to win ----going from 0.83% to 1.43% if they get 1st, or 0.46% if they don't. Trust has a 37.16% chance to win ----going from 0.84% to 1.49% if they get 1st, or 0.46% if they don't. Mvp has a 36.31% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Center has a 36.01% chance to win ----going from 0.67% to 1.18% if they get 1st, or 0.38% if they don't. Pet has a 34.28% chance to win ----going from 0.46% to 0.86% if they get 1st, or 0.26% if they don't. Symbol has a 33.86% chance to win ----going from 0.58% to 1.08% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. Journey has a 33.77% chance to win ----going from 0.45% to 0.82% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. HerO has a 33.53% chance to win ----going from 0.44% to 0.85% if they get 1st, or 0.24% if they don't. Creator has a 33.31% chance to win ----going from 0.42% to 0.81% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 33.25% chance to win ----going from 1.06% to 1.93% if they get 1st, or 0.63% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 33.15% chance to win ----going from 0.97% to 1.7% if they get 1st, or 0.61% if they don't. Arthur has a 32.24% chance to win ----going from 0.35% to 0.68% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. Reality has a 31.9% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 0.62% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. SuperNova has a 31.88% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 0.6% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. Impact has a 31.31% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 0.52% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. eMotion has a 31.03% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 0.58% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't. Ruin has a 30.9% chance to win ----going from 0.27% to 0.54% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 30.15% chance to win ----going from 0.21% to 0.43% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 29.15% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 0.39% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. DeParture has a 28.84% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Revival has a 28.56% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 0.58% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. Sorry has a 27.82% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 0.29% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. aLive has a 27.8% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 0.29% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Apocalypse has a 27.04% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 0.24% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Oz has a 26.75% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. KeeN has a 26.52% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.22% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. ParalyzE has a 25.61% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.21% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Ryung has a 25.5% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Check has a 25.47% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 0.23% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Shine has a 25.14% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Spear has a 24.78% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Action has a 24.72% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Hush has a 24.61% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. CranK has a 23.59% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Bunny has a 22.57% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Sleep has a 21.39% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Stork has a 20.5% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. BBoongBBoong has a 20.42% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. BrAvO has a 20.04% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Billowy has a 19.92% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Tiger has a 19.06% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Daisy has a 19.01% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Alicia has a 18.78% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. JYP has a 16.22% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Miso has a 10.21% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Rain has a 10.11% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zoun has a 9.59% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. NesTea has a 9.41% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. SalvatioN has a 9.26% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. LabyRinth has a 9.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Balloon has a 8.99% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TerrOr has a 8.94% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TheStC has a 8.87% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TAiLS has a 8.03% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hunter has a 7.6% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. horror has a 5.84% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TurN has a 5.29% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Pentatonix has a 5.09% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Grid has a 4.91% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. SpeeD has a 4.56% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Dynamite has a 4.53% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TOP has a 4.38% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Gamja has a 3.87% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Nette has a 3.8% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. KellerMaN has a 3.79% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. FundManager has a 3.78% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Logotherapy has a 3.73% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. KIRA has a 3.69% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 자유의날개 has a 3.67% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 테란의최고 has a 3.47% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TIME has a 3.34% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Picasso has a 3.2% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 김정수 has a 3.19% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. NightMare has a 3.12% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Kan has a 3.06% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Mysticism has a 3.01% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. rapsody has a 2.99% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Mamuri has a 2.94% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. CharSiuBao has a 2.78% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
MMA vs TYin in GSL Code S Season 1 quarterfinals. MMA is at 34.32% Blizzcon Chances. 47.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 45.21%. 52.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.63%. TY is at 56.3% Blizzcon Chances. 52.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 67.5%. 47.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.73%.
Solar vs PartinGin in GSL Code S Season 1 quarterfinals. Solar has the #2 Headband! Solar is at 55.03% Blizzcon Chances. 51.12% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 65.89%. 48.88% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.67%. PartinG is at 78.84% Blizzcon Chances. 48.88% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 89.18%. 51.12% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.96%.
GSL Code S Season 1 Winning Chances Life has a 18.95% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. herO has a 17.53% chance to win ----going from 98.74% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.95% if they get 2nd. PartinG has a 17.13% chance to win ----going from 78.84% to 99.55% if they get 1st, or 89.14% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 12.84% chance to win ----going from 78.42% to 99.27% if they get 1st, or 88.75% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 10.65% chance to win ----going from 55.03% to 91.96% if they get 1st, or 67.93% if they get 2nd. TY has a 9.17% chance to win ----going from 56.3% to 96.65% if they get 1st, or 72.21% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 7.26% chance to win ----going from 34.32% to 82.19% if they get 1st, or 48.23% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 6.48% chance to win ----going from 66.46% to 99.22% if they get 1st, or 83.75% if they get 2nd.
Biggest Winners and Losers from GSL S2 qualifiers and Code S S1 quarterfinals day 1 (Sim ID #1256 vs Sim ID #1257) Biggest Winners Trap went up by 14.27%, going from 21.06% to 35.34% MMA went up by 12.56%, going from 34.32% to 46.88% PartinG went up by 10.86%, going from 78.84% to 89.71% Bbyong went up by 10.38%, going from 16.17% to 26.55% sOs went up by 6.34%, going from 15.37% to 21.71% Flash went up by 4.69%, going from 6.06% to 10.76% Sacsri went up by 3.66%, going from 1.92% to 5.58% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Cure went up by 3.04%, going from 11.38% to 14.42% soO went up by 2.04%, going from 3.56% to 5.61% Patience went up by 1.98%, going from 2.53% to 4.51% DongRaeGu went up by 1.4%, going from 1.09% to 2.49% ByuL went up by 1.39%, going from 1.38% to 2.77% Trust went up by 1.22%, going from 0.84% to 2.06% MyuNgSiK went up by 1.12%, going from 1.04% to 2.16% Snute went up by 1.06%, going from 39.11% to 40.18% PiG went up by 1.04%, going from 10.12% to 11.16% Impact went up by 0.87%, going from 0.27% to 1.14% Bunny went up by 0.84%, going from 22.05% to 22.89% Creator went up by 0.83%, going from 0.42% to 1.25% SuperNova went up by 0.67%, going from 0.32% to 0.99% Symbol went up by 0.67%, going from 0.58% to 1.25% HerO went up by 0.56%, going from 0.44% to 1.01% Rogue went up by 0.53%, going from 66.46% to 66.99% RagnaroK went up by 0.44%, going from 0.21% to 0.66% Pigbaby went up by 0.33%, going from 0.19% to 0.52% Polt went up by 0.32%, going from 34.03% to 34.35% YoDa went up by 0.3%, going from 7.68% to 7.99% FanTaSy went up by 0.3%, going from 16.83% to 17.13% viOLet went up by 0.24%, going from 5.86% to 6.1% Sorry went up by 0.23%, going from 0.14% to 0.37% MaNa went up by 0.23%, going from 9.04% to 9.27% ShoWTimE went up by 0.22%, going from 10.41% to 10.63% Ryung went up by 0.22%, going from 0.08% to 0.3% Shine went up by 0.19%, going from 0.07% to 0.26% ForGG went up by 0.19%, going from 71.03% to 71.22% TargA went up by 0.19%, going from 5.88% to 6.07% NaNiwa went up by 0.16%, going from 9.43% to 9.59% Serral went up by 0.15%, going from 4.82% to 4.97% Billowy went up by 0.14%, going from 0.02% to 0.16% BrAvO went up by 0.13%, going from 0.02% to 0.15% Happy went up by 0.13%, going from 7.85% to 7.98% Has went up by 0.12%, going from 1.97% to 2.09% Sen went up by 0.12%, going from 2.09% to 2.21% Welmu went up by 0.11%, going from 3.44% to 3.54%
Biggest Losers TY went down by 15.24%, going from 56.3% to 41.06% Stats went down by 14.72%, going from 69.72% to 54.99% Solar went down by 12.52%, going from 55.03% to 42.51% Zest went down by 9.96%, going from 18.44% to 8.48% HyuN went down by 6.77%, going from 12.71% to 5.95% Leenock went down by 3.02%, going from 8.26% to 5.24% GuMiho went down by 2.9%, going from 24.28% to 21.38% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Classic went down by 2.49%, going from 4.16% to 1.67% Hydra went down by 2.04%, going from 67.93% to 65.89% TaeJa went down by 1.61%, going from 23.47% to 21.86% MajOr went down by 1.37%, going from 10.22% to 8.85% Rain went down by 1.2%, going from 62.31% to 61.11% Jaedong went down by 1.11%, going from 2.98% to 1.87% jjakji went down by 1.07%, going from 1.73% to 0.66% Sora went down by 0.92%, going from 1.41% to 0.49% Hurricane went down by 0.79%, going from 1.78% to 0.99% TRUE went down by 0.68%, going from 3.23% to 2.55% Bomber went down by 0.67%, going from 14.81% to 14.13% Losira went down by 0.61%, going from 0.92% to 0.31% San went down by 0.59%, going from 4.28% to 3.68% Super went down by 0.49%, going from 22.82% to 22.33% Terminator went down by 0.49%, going from 16.02% to 15.53% Dark went down by 0.41%, going from 38.03% to 37.62% sKyHigh went down by 0.39%, going from 0.96% to 0.58% Soulkey went down by 0.37%, going from 22.67% to 22.31% Kane went down by 0.36%, going from 4.85% to 4.49% MarineKing went down by 0.31%, going from 4.79% to 4.48% Hack went down by 0.31%, going from 1.36% to 1.05% Center went down by 0.3%, going from 0.67% to 0.37% Armani went down by 0.29%, going from 0.83% to 0.54% Reality went down by 0.27%, going from 0.33% to 0.06% Journey went down by 0.26%, going from 0.45% to 0.19% First went down by 0.25%, going from 5.52% to 5.27% Dream went down by 0.23%, going from 66.97% to 66.74% Heart went down by 0.21%, going from 0.94% to 0.72% Pet went down by 0.2%, going from 0.46% to 0.26% Lilbow went down by 0.18%, going from 1.74% to 1.56% eMotion went down by 0.17%, going from 0.29% to 0.12% Curious went down by 0.16%, going from 1.73% to 1.57% Arthur went down by 0.15%, going from 0.35% to 0.2% Revival went down by 0.14%, going from 0.29% to 0.16% MC went down by 0.11%, going from 2.17% to 2.05% Ruin went down by 0.11%, going from 0.27% to 0.17%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 89.97% Chances of 2+ foreigners 54.11% Chances of 3+ foreigners 17.32% Chances of 4+ foreigners 2.77%
Snute10.99% chance to be the only foreigner, 40.18% chance overall. Bunny5.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 22.89% chance overall. PiG2.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.16% chance overall. ShoWTimE2.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.63% chance overall. NaNiwa1.95% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.59% chance overall. MaNa1.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.27% chance overall. MajOr1.77% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.85% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Happy1.59% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.98% chance overall. TargA1.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.07% chance overall. Serral0.92% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.97% chance overall. Kane0.84% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.49% chance overall. Welmu0.67% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.54% chance overall. Sen0.42% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.21% chance overall. Has0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.09% chance overall. Jim0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.01% chance overall. TLO0.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.04% chance overall. HuK0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.75% chance overall. VortiX0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.8% chance overall. Lilbow0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.56% chance overall. Nerchio0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.1% chance overall. MorroW0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.03% chance overall. MacSed0.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.81% chance overall. uThermal0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.75% chance overall. XiGua0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall. MarineLorD0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.68% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.68% chance overall. iaguz0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.64% chance overall. MaSa0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.48% chance overall. puCK0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall. Boombox0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.34% chance overall. Scarlett0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall. Petraeus0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.33% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 1 defenses! PartinG is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! herO is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Headband History] +
WCS Point Cutoffs 0.96% of the time 2325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.6% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 31.95% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 52.21% of the time 2750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 71.55% of the time 2850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 90.37% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.07% of the time 3225 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Don't forget about NSSL tonight!
Stats vs Maruin in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals. Stats is at 54.97% Blizzcon Chances. 42.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.55%. 57.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.25%. Maru is at 98.42% Blizzcon Chances. 57.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.6%. 42.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 96.82%.
Life vs Dreamin in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals. Life is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances. 66.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 33.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.91%. Dream is at 66.68% Blizzcon Chances. 33.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 83.26%. 66.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 58.44%.
StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances Life has a 39.05% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 31.25% chance to win ----going from 98.42% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.14% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 15.99% chance to win ----going from 55.01% to 88.53% if they get 1st, or 58.12% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 13.7% chance to win ----going from 66.74% to 97.16% if they get 1st, or 73.63% if they get 2nd.
Stats vs Maruin in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals. Stats is at 54.97% Blizzcon Chances. 42.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.55%. 57.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.25%. Maru is at 98.42% Blizzcon Chances. 57.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.6%. 42.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 96.82%.
Life vs Dreamin in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals. Life is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances. 66.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 33.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.91%. Dream is at 66.68% Blizzcon Chances. 33.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 83.26%. 66.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 58.44%.
StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances Life has a 39.05% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 31.3% chance to win ----going from 98.42% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.14% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 15.97% chance to win ----going from 54.97% to 88.49% if they get 1st, or 58.08% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 13.67% chance to win ----going from 66.68% to 97.15% if they get 1st, or 73.53% if they get 2nd.
#1 lllllllllll Kappa's team is worth 12,827 WCS Points with Life (5375), NaNiwa (1375), Suppy (675), puCK (825), Hydra (3188), and 1389 unspent points. #2 sharkie's team is worth 11,946 WCS Points with ForGG (3363), Dream (2800), Snute (2350), Hydra (3188), and 245 unspent points.
much closer now, and the aligulac rating will update in like 4 to 6 hours so that'll help you more, right now he's really unfavored against Maru in the finals though lol
Dream vs Maruin in StarLeague Season 1 finals. Dream is at 80.14% Blizzcon Chances. 26.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 97.26%. 73.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 73.93%. Maru is at 99.74% Blizzcon Chances. 73.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 26.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.02%.
Life vs INnoVationin in GSL Code S Season 1 quarterfinals. Life is at 99.9% Blizzcon Chances. 52.66% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 47.34% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.8%. INnoVation is at 78.56% Blizzcon Chances. 47.34% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 87.16%. 52.66% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 70.83%.
Rogue vs herOin in GSL Code S Season 1 quarterfinals. Rogue is at 66.81% Blizzcon Chances. 37.38% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 78.69%. 62.62% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 59.72%. herO is at 98.75% Blizzcon Chances. 62.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.66%. 37.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 97.23%.
PartinG vs MMAin in GSL Code S Season 1 semifinals. PartinG is at 89.61% Blizzcon Chances. 64.66% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 95.09%. 35.34% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 79.59%. MMA is at 46.71% Blizzcon Chances. 35.34% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 63.91%. 64.66% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.31%.
GSL Code S Season 1 PartinG has a 35.76% chance to win ----going from 89.61% to 99.56% if they get 1st, or 89.57% if they get 2nd. herO has a 16.34% chance to win ----going from 98.75% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.95% if they get 2nd. Life has a 15.35% chance to win ----going from 99.9% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 13.99% chance to win ----going from 46.71% to 83.41% if they get 1st, or 51.12% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 12.32% chance to win ----going from 78.56% to 99.28% if they get 1st, or 88.75% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 6.23% chance to win ----going from 66.81% to 99.24% if they get 1st, or 83.99% if they get 2nd.
Just saw this site and realized it had a fantasy 5 man team, so I immediately had to sign up for that!
My team now consists of (from most expensive to cheapest):
* Snute (2350 pts) - Can he take the final step and break through as a top 16 player around the World and make it to Blizzcon? He's usually a pretty consistent performer and racks up a lot of points throughout the year in different tournaments. Maybe he can also win a WCS Season this year. The sky is the limit, but it depends how much he improved from 2014.
* Taeja (1750 pts) - Weak start to 2015 after dominating much of 2014, especially during the summer. He definitely has the talent to be one of the top players in the World, the only question which remains is if he has the motivation and adaptability now that LotV will come out soon. A true star which needs to return to form.
* Bomber (1600 pts) - Same story with Bomber as with Taeja, weak start in 2015 but again the sky is the limit in terms of personal skill. Also needs to adapt to LotV since he is once of the older SC2 players at 27, so there is some risk. Hopefully he can deliver and score a number of good results throughout 2015, if he finds his inner motivation.
* Serral (1275 pts) - I was mightily impressed with this young Finn the last couple of months, especially in WCS lately. In my eyes he could be the next great foreigner, and 2015 might be his breakout year in the international SC2 scene. He's only 16 years old but still playing so well, he is indeed a young but fearless Zerg to watch out for in 2015.
* Pigbaby (575 pts) - For the last spot I had to find someone for under 800 points who I felt had a decent chance to deliver right away in 2015. It was between Pigbaby and jjakji. Pigbaby won 1 season of WCS America last year over Bomber 4-3 so he has proven he can win tournaments. He cost almost 200 more points than the aligulac median gave him, but I felt it was well worth to give him a shot even though he had to return to Korea. Maybe it will take him some time, but I think Pigbaby has the potential to be a Code S player in Korea, if everything goes right for him. At 22, he's a good mix of experience and talent.
I dont know if Liquipedia has this ranking but I like to see a "total WCS points" ranking. We have total earnings ranking (#1 MC), We have a total premier title ranking (#1 Taeja).
On March 07 2015 00:58 qqMagnuz wrote: Just saw this site and realized it had a fantasy 5 man team, so I immediately had to sign up for that!
My team now consists of (from most expensive to cheapest):
* Snute (2350 pts) - Can he take the final step and break through as a top 16 player around the World and make it to Blizzcon? He's usually a pretty consistent performer and racks up a lot of points throughout the year in different tournaments. Maybe he can also win a WCS Season this year. The sky is the limit, but it depends how much he improved from 2014.
* Taeja (1750 pts) - Weak start to 2015 after dominating much of 2014, especially during the summer. He definitely has the talent to be one of the top players in the World, the only question which remains is if he has the motivation and adaptability now that LotV will come out soon. A true star which needs to return to form.
* Bomber (1600 pts) - Same story with Bomber as with Taeja, weak start in 2015 but again the sky is the limit in terms of personal skill. Also needs to adapt to LotV since he is once of the older SC2 players at 27, so there is some risk. Hopefully he can deliver and score a number of good results throughout 2015, if he finds his inner motivation.
* Serral (1275 pts) - I was mightily impressed with this young Finn the last couple of months, especially in WCS lately. In my eyes he could be the next great foreigner, and 2015 might be his breakout year in the international SC2 scene. He's only 16 years old but still playing so well, he is indeed a young but fearless Zerg to watch out for in 2015.
* Pigbaby (575 pts) - For the last spot I had to find someone for under 800 points who I felt had a decent chance to deliver right away in 2015. It was between Pigbaby and jjakji. Pigbaby won 1 season of WCS America last year over Bomber 4-3 so he has proven he can win tournaments. He cost almost 200 more points than the aligulac median gave him, but I felt it was well worth to give him a shot even though he had to return to Korea. Maybe it will take him some time, but I think Pigbaby has the potential to be a Code S player in Korea, if everything goes right for him. At 22, he's a good mix of experience and talent.
Welcome! I just want to let you know that there will be a reset at the end of each season. So plan for just season 1 for now, you can reset your team to start fresh back at 8000 points if you want. Also you don't necessarily need to fill all 5 slots. (I should probably put some of this info on the website lol)
Or go to your own by going to WCS Wars and clicking on Team Stats, or you can click any of the usernames in the Leaderboard
You can mouse over the points on the graph to see more detail. The Red markers are sales, and the green markers are purchases, mouse over on them and it'll tell you what player was bought/sold and for how much. Click and drag to zoom in, often you will have to zoom in really far to see multiple trades done within minutes of each other.
I also added the Trade History list, for a text list of the trades made. This is right below the team value graph.
edit: And I also just added labels for key points of change on the graphs. Example http://sc2.4ever.tv/?p=p&pid=111#player-chances-history-section It's tough to balance between readability for the labels and the graph behind without cluttering, let me know what you guys think.
I added WCS Wars Value history to the WCS Points graphs for all players, and if you look at a user's team like sharkie's then you can see in the WCS Points Histories section that it defaults to show the WCS Wars Value for the first 3 players (more than 3 gets too crowded to be shown by default).
Also I have begun adding options for your user profiles, so you can set your usernames for TL, Reddit, Twitch, and Twitter. Open the dropdown for "More" at the top right of the page and click on Profile, or just click here.
Biggest Winners and Losers since before GSL Quarterfinals and GSL S2 Qualifiers (Sim ID #1256 vs Sim ID #1264) Biggest Winners Dream went up by 16.07%, going from 66.97% to 83.04% Trap went up by 14.27%, going from 21.06% to 35.34% MMA went up by 12.31%, going from 34.32% to 46.63% PartinG went up by 11.03%, going from 78.84% to 89.88% Bbyong went up by 10.5%, going from 16.17% to 26.67% sOs went up by 6.65%, going from 15.37% to 22.02% Flash went up by 4.75%, going from 6.06% to 10.81% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Snute went up by 3.34%, going from 39.11% to 42.45% MaNa went up by 3.29%, going from 9.04% to 12.34% Cure went up by 3.15%, going from 11.38% to 14.54% Soulkey went up by 2.83%, going from 22.67% to 25.5% Sacsri went up by 2.8%, going from 1.92% to 4.72% soO went up by 1.95%, going from 3.56% to 5.52% NaNiwa went up by 1.64%, going from 9.43% to 11.07% DongRaeGu went up by 1.41%, going from 1.09% to 2.5% ByuL went up by 1.38%, going from 1.38% to 2.77% Serral went up by 1.31%, going from 4.82% to 6.13% Maru went up by 1.27%, going from 98.48% to 99.75% Trust went up by 1.25%, going from 0.84% to 2.08% MyuNgSiK went up by 1.13%, going from 1.04% to 2.17% Patience went up by 1.04%, going from 2.53% to 3.57% PiG went up by 0.98%, going from 10.12% to 11.1% Impact went up by 0.97%, going from 0.27% to 1.24% herO went up by 0.95%, going from 98.74% to 99.69% Creator went up by 0.83%, going from 0.42% to 1.25% Rain went up by 0.8%, going from 62.31% to 63.11% Symbol went up by 0.68%, going from 0.58% to 1.26% Bunny went up by 0.68%, going from 22.05% to 22.73% SuperNova went up by 0.62%, going from 0.32% to 0.94% HerO went up by 0.54%, going from 0.44% to 0.98% RagnaroK went up by 0.45%, going from 0.21% to 0.66% ShoWTimE went up by 0.35%, going from 10.41% to 10.75% Ryung went up by 0.34%, going from 0.08% to 0.43% Pigbaby went up by 0.33%, going from 0.19% to 0.52% YoDa went up by 0.25%, going from 7.68% to 7.93% FanTaSy went up by 0.25%, going from 16.83% to 17.08% Sorry went up by 0.23%, going from 0.14% to 0.37% GunGFuBanDa went up by 0.21%, going from 0.15% to 0.36% Has went up by 0.2%, going from 1.97% to 2.16% Shine went up by 0.19%, going from 0.07% to 0.26% MaSa went up by 0.16%, going from 0.47% to 0.64% Billowy went up by 0.14%, going from 0.02% to 0.16% PtitDrogo went up by 0.13%, going from 0.09% to 0.22% Dear went up by 0.13%, going from 35.74% to 35.87% BrAvO went up by 0.12%, going from 0.02% to 0.14%
Biggest Losers Stats went down by 26.95%, going from 69.72% to 42.77% TY went down by 15.34%, going from 56.3% to 40.97% Solar went down by 12.46%, going from 55.03% to 42.57% Zest went down by 10.06%, going from 18.44% to 8.38% INnoVation went down by 7.9%, going from 78.42% to 70.53% HyuN went down by 6.7%, going from 12.71% to 6.01% Rogue went down by 6.52%, going from 66.46% to 59.94% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Leenock went down by 3.24%, going from 8.26% to 5.02% Classic went down by 2.48%, going from 4.16% to 1.68% ForGG went down by 2.29%, going from 71.03% to 68.74% MajOr went down by 2.02%, going from 10.22% to 8.2% Hydra went down by 1.49%, going from 67.93% to 66.44% TaeJa went down by 1.48%, going from 23.47% to 21.99% GuMiho went down by 1.39%, going from 24.28% to 22.89% jjakji went down by 1.11%, going from 1.73% to 0.61% Jaedong went down by 1.07%, going from 2.98% to 1.91% viOLet went down by 1.02%, going from 5.86% to 4.84% TRUE went down by 0.94%, going from 3.23% to 2.29% Sora went down by 0.9%, going from 1.41% to 0.51% San went down by 0.8%, going from 4.28% to 3.48% Hurricane went down by 0.79%, going from 1.78% to 0.99% Kane went down by 0.6%, going from 4.85% to 4.25% Losira went down by 0.6%, going from 0.92% to 0.32% TargA went down by 0.53%, going from 5.88% to 5.35% Super went down by 0.49%, going from 22.82% to 22.33% MarineKing went down by 0.43%, going from 4.79% to 4.36% Bomber went down by 0.41%, going from 14.81% to 14.39% sKyHigh went down by 0.38%, going from 0.96% to 0.58% Terminator went down by 0.32%, going from 16.02% to 15.7% Center went down by 0.29%, going from 0.67% to 0.38% Hack went down by 0.28%, going from 1.36% to 1.07% Armani went down by 0.28%, going from 0.83% to 0.55% Reality went down by 0.27%, going from 0.33% to 0.06% Journey went down by 0.26%, going from 0.45% to 0.19% First went down by 0.25%, going from 5.52% to 5.27% Dark went down by 0.22%, going from 38.03% to 37.81% Pet went down by 0.2%, going from 0.46% to 0.26% Polt went down by 0.18%, going from 34.03% to 33.85% eMotion went down by 0.17%, going from 0.29% to 0.13% YongHwa went down by 0.16%, going from 1.35% to 1.19% Arthur went down by 0.15%, going from 0.35% to 0.21% Nerchio went down by 0.14%, going from 1.06% to 0.92% Curious went down by 0.14%, going from 1.73% to 1.59% Revival went down by 0.13%, going from 0.29% to 0.16% HuK went down by 0.1%, going from 1.79% to 1.69% Ruin went down by 0.1%, going from 0.27% to 0.17%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 91.23% Chances of 2+ foreigners 57.03% Chances of 3+ foreigners 19.26% Chances of 4+ foreigners 3.24%
Snute10.9% chance to be the only foreigner, 42.45% chance overall. Bunny4.58% chance to be the only foreigner, 22.73% chance overall. MaNa2.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 12.34% chance overall. NaNiwa2.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.07% chance overall. PiG2.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.1% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.96% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.75% chance overall. MajOr1.48% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.2% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Happy1.41% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.9% chance overall. Serral1.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.13% chance overall. TargA0.95% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.35% chance overall. Kane0.72% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.25% chance overall. Welmu0.58% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.45% chance overall. Sen0.38% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.17% chance overall. Has0.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.16% chance overall. Jim0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.01% chance overall. TLO0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.01% chance overall. Lilbow0.3% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.8% chance overall. HuK0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.69% chance overall. VortiX0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.8% chance overall. MorroW0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.97% chance overall. Nerchio0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.92% chance overall. MacSed0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.79% chance overall. XiGua0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.76% chance overall. uThermal0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.7% chance overall. iaguz0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.7% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.69% chance overall. MarineLorD0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.65% chance overall. MaSa0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.64% chance overall. puCK0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.44% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.36% chance overall. Boombox0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.33% chance overall. Scarlett0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall. FireCake0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.29% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 1 defenses! PartinG is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! herO is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
WCS Point Cutoffs 1.07% of the time 2325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 10.36% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 28.52% of the time 2625 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 48.75% of the time 2725 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 68.6% of the time 2825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 91.08% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.87% of the time 3200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
GSL Code S Season 1 Winning Chances PartinG has a 35.3% chance to win ----going from 89.88% to 99.61% if they get 1st, or 89.95% if they get 2nd. herO has a 26.58% chance to win ----going from 99.69% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.95% if they get 2nd. Life has a 25.29% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 12.83% chance to win ----going from 46.63% to 83.86% if they get 1st, or 51.56% if they get 2nd.
MMA vs PartinGin in GSL Code S Season 1 semifinals. MMA is at 46.63% Blizzcon Chances. 35.24% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 63.32%. 64.76% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.56%. PartinG is at 89.88% Blizzcon Chances. 64.76% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 95.22%. 35.24% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 80.06%.
Life vs herOin in GSL Code S Season 1 semifinals. Life is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances. 45.76% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 54.24% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.97%. herO is at 99.69% Blizzcon Chances. 54.24% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.98%. 45.76% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.35%.
On March 09 2015 07:22 sharkie wrote: Thanks for keep using me as an example haha ^^
You're the highest placing user that actually trades lol, I'm cheering for you! I think my downfall is that I trade too much lol.
Thanks but I am so scared for this IEM now lol. All the matches are so ... well they could all go either way and no one would be surprised... I am almost inclined to just not trade and ignore IEM (but its so many points...)
On March 09 2015 07:22 sharkie wrote: Thanks for keep using me as an example haha ^^
You're the highest placing user that actually trades lol, I'm cheering for you! I think my downfall is that I trade too much lol.
Thanks but I am so scared for this IEM now lol. All the matches are so ... well they could all go either way and no one would be surprised... I am almost inclined to just not trade and ignore IEM (but its so many points...)
Yea I have no idea on IEM lol. After Parting vs MMA I'm probably gonna sell Parting, but idk who I would buy. And I do want at least 1 WCS player before that starts the ro16 again (25 days still left??? lol).
------ (Some technical stuff below, basically: Next season players should gain more points when winning, and lose less points when losing. WCS Wars Season 2 should be starting on April 6th)
I've been really thinking about changing the player valuing system for next season. Right now it's value = median_points - (min_points / 2) + base_cost With the base_cost being 200.
But this means that they go down a lot after losing and don't gain much after winning. I don't think it's very encouraging and really relies on correctly predicting underdogs to win instead of favorites or correctly predicting a player to win multiple matches in a row. Also as we get farther in the year, the min_points will grow more quickly than median_points because there will be less remaining tournaments to win points in. This is proven by the fact that right now median points are >= minimum points (usually much greater), and when the year is over and no matches remain, the minimum points will be the same as the median points.
For next season I think I'm gonna go with simply value = median_points + base_cost With base_cost being 1000. The increase in base_cost means that the escalation of points is slowed down (Life will only be worth ~8x as much as the lowest players, instead of ~30x as much), slowing down the escalation of points is why I subtracted half the min_points to begin with.
To go with the general increase of cost for all players, I'm thinking the starting points to buy players for Season 2 will probably be around 12,000 to 15,000, instead of the current 8,000.
If there's nothing else going on when the Season 1 WCS Finals are done (April 5th), then before that will be the last time to make any trades for Season 1 starting with the regular trade lock during matches. I will begin Season 2 and reset everyone's teams the day after. When we get closer to the date I'll be posting exact times and countdowns.
MMA vs PartinGin in GSL Code S Season 1 semifinals. PartinG has the #2 Headband! MMA is at 46.66% Blizzcon Chances. 35.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 63.37%. 64.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.59%. PartinG is at 89.86% Blizzcon Chances. 64.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 95.18%. 35.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 80.05%.
GSL Code S Season 1 Winning Chances PartinG has a 34.99% chance to win ----going from 89.86% to 99.62% if they get 1st, or 89.98% if they get 2nd. herO has a 26.5% chance to win ----going from 99.69% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.95% if they get 2nd. Life has a 25.71% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 12.8% chance to win ----going from 46.66% to 84.02% if they get 1st, or 51.57% if they get 2nd.
On March 07 2015 01:19 Dingodile wrote: I dont know if Liquipedia has this ranking but I like to see a "total WCS points" ranking. We have total earnings ranking (#1 MC), We have a total premier title ranking (#1 Taeja).
I have considered doing this manually, but it was too much work. Someone smarter than me needs to write a script.
On March 07 2015 01:19 Dingodile wrote: I dont know if Liquipedia has this ranking but I like to see a "total WCS points" ranking. We have total earnings ranking (#1 MC), We have a total premier title ranking (#1 Taeja).
I have considered doing this manually, but it was too much work. Someone smarter than me needs to write a script.
var players={}; var t=[]; var urls=['http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2015_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series/Standings','http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2014_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series/Standings','http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2013_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series/Standings']; for(var i in urls) { $.ajax({url:urls[i],success:function(data) {
var d=$(data); t.push($(d).find('table.sortable') );
if(t.length==urls.length) { for(var i in t) { readTable(t[i]); } output(); } }}); }
function readTable(t) { $(t).find('tbody tr').each(function(){ var name=$(this).find('td:nth-child(4)').text(); name=name.replace(/\s/g, ''); var points=$(this).find('td:nth-child(5)').text(); points=parseInt(points); if(points!=points) { points=$(this).find('td:nth-child(6)').text(); points=parseInt(points); } if(!players[name]) players[name]=0; players[name]+=points; }); }
function output() { var p=[]; for(var i in players) { if(players[i]>0) p.push({name:i,points:players[i]}); } p.sort(function(a,b){ return b.points-a.points; }); var o=''; for(var i in p) { o+=p[i].name+': '+p[i].points+'\n'; } console.log(o); }
On March 07 2015 01:19 Dingodile wrote: I dont know if Liquipedia has this ranking but I like to see a "total WCS points" ranking. We have total earnings ranking (#1 MC), We have a total premier title ranking (#1 Taeja).
I have considered doing this manually, but it was too much work. Someone smarter than me needs to write a script.
var players={}; var t=[]; var urls=['http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2015_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series/Standings','http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2014_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series/Standings','http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2013_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series/Standings']; for(var i in urls) { $.ajax({url:urls[i],success:function(data) {
var d=$(data); t.push($(d).find('table.sortable') );
if(t.length==urls.length) { for(var i in t) { readTable(t[i]; } output(); } }}); }
function readTable(t) { $(t).find('tbody tr').each(function(){ var name=$(this).find('td:nth-child(4)').text(); name=name.replace(/\s/g, ''); var points=$(this).find('td:nth-child(5)').text(); points=parseInt(points); if(points!=points) { points=$(this).find('td:nth-child(6)').text(); points=parseInt(points); } if(!players[name] players[name]=0; players[name]+=points; }); }
function output() { var p=[]; for(var i in players) { if(players[i]>0) p.push({name:i,points:players[i]}); } p.sort(function(a,b){ return b.points-a.points; }); var o=''; for(var i in p) { o+=p[i].name+': '+p[i].points+'\n'; } console.log(o); }
I think there's a mistake somewhere in your code. Polt has roughly 11k-12k points, not 17k. I'd guess that either 2013 och 2014 is counted twice instead of counting 2015?
(Btw, Polt got exactly 5625 points both 2013 and 2014. Illuminati confirmed.)
On March 07 2015 01:19 Dingodile wrote: I dont know if Liquipedia has this ranking but I like to see a "total WCS points" ranking. We have total earnings ranking (#1 MC), We have a total premier title ranking (#1 Taeja).
I have considered doing this manually, but it was too much work. Someone smarter than me needs to write a script.
var players={}; var t=[]; var urls=['http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2015_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series/Standings','http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2014_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series/Standings','http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2013_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series/Standings']; for(var i in urls) { $.ajax({url:urls[i],success:function(data) {
var d=$(data); t.push($(d).find('table.sortable') );
if(t.length==urls.length) { for(var i in t) { readTable(t[i]; } output(); } }}); }
function readTable(t) { $(t).find('tbody tr').each(function(){ var name=$(this).find('td:nth-child(4)').text(); name=name.replace(/\s/g, ''); var points=$(this).find('td:nth-child(5)').text(); points=parseInt(points); if(points!=points) { points=$(this).find('td:nth-child(6)').text(); points=parseInt(points); } if(!players[name] players[name]=0; players[name]+=points; }); }
function output() { var p=[]; for(var i in players) { if(players[i]>0) p.push({name:i,points:players[i]}); } p.sort(function(a,b){ return b.points-a.points; }); var o=''; for(var i in p) { o+=p[i].name+': '+p[i].points+'\n'; } console.log(o); }
I think there's a mistake somewhere in your code. Polt has roughly 11k-12k points, not 17k. I'd guess that either 2013 och 2014 is counted twice instead of counting 2015?
(Btw, Polt got exactly 5625 points both 2013 and 2014. Illuminati confirmed.)
Illuminati is only confirmed if he does it 3 years in a row!
On March 07 2015 01:19 Dingodile wrote: I dont know if Liquipedia has this ranking but I like to see a "total WCS points" ranking. We have total earnings ranking (#1 MC), We have a total premier title ranking (#1 Taeja).
I have considered doing this manually, but it was too much work. Someone smarter than me needs to write a script.
var players={}; var t=[]; var urls=['http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2015_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series/Standings','http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2014_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series/Standings','http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2013_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series/Standings']; for(var i in urls) { $.ajax({url:urls[i],success:function(data) {
var d=$(data); t.push($(d).find('table.sortable') );
if(t.length==urls.length) { for(var i in t) { readTable(t[i]; } output(); } }}); }
function readTable(t) { $(t).find('tbody tr').each(function(){ var name=$(this).find('td:nth-child(4)').text(); name=name.replace(/\s/g, ''); var points=$(this).find('td:nth-child(5)').text(); points=parseInt(points); if(points!=points) { points=$(this).find('td:nth-child(6)').text(); points=parseInt(points); } if(!players[name] players[name]=0; players[name]+=points; }); }
function output() { var p=[]; for(var i in players) { if(players[i]>0) p.push({name:i,points:players[i]}); } p.sort(function(a,b){ return b.points-a.points; }); var o=''; for(var i in p) { o+=p[i].name+': '+p[i].points+'\n'; } console.log(o); }
I think there's a mistake somewhere in your code. Polt has roughly 11k-12k points, not 17k. I'd guess that either 2013 och 2014 is counted twice instead of counting 2015?
(Btw, Polt got exactly 5625 points both 2013 and 2014. Illuminati confirmed.)
yea the 2013 table on liquipedia lists them twice :/ it was 5am when I made that lol here's the correct list
var players={}; var t=[]; var urls=['http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2015_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series/Standings','http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2014_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series/Standings','http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2013_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series/Standings']; for(var i in urls) { $.ajax({url:urls[i],success:function(data) {
var d=$(data); if(this.url==urls[2]) t.push(d.find('table.sortable')[1]); else t.push($(d).find('table.sortable') );
if(t.length==urls.length) { for(var i in t) { readTable(t[i]); } output(); } }}); }
function readTable(t) { $(t).find('tbody tr').each(function(){ var name=$(this).find('td:nth-child(4)').text(); name=name.replace(/\s/g, ''); var points=$(this).find('td:nth-child(5)').text(); points=parseInt(points); if(points!=points) { points=$(this).find('td:nth-child(6)').text(); points=parseInt(points); }if(name=='Polt')console.log(name,points); if(!players[name]) players[name]=0; players[name]+=points; }); }
function output() { var p=[]; for(var i in players) { if(players[i]>0) p.push({name:i,points:players[i]}); } p.sort(function(a,b){ return b.points-a.points; }); var o=''; for(var i in p) { o+=p[i].name+': '+p[i].points+'\n'; } console.log(o); }
Rain vs FanTaSyin in IEM Katowice round of 16. Rain is at 59.87% Blizzcon Chances. 61.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.11%. 38.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 45.41%. FanTaSy is at 20.93% Blizzcon Chances. 38.99% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.34%. 61.01% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 16.83%.
Dark vs TaeJain in IEM Katowice round of 16. Dark is at 37.15% Blizzcon Chances. 51.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.67%. 48.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.29%. TaeJa is at 22.1% Blizzcon Chances. 48.71% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 29.66%. 51.29% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.93%.
Hydra vs Zestin in IEM Katowice round of 16. Hydra is at 66.86% Blizzcon Chances. 56.34% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 70.94%. 43.66% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 61.6%. Zest is at 8.36% Blizzcon Chances. 43.66% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.84%. 56.34% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.89%.
Life vs INnoVationin in IEM Katowice round of 16. Life has the #1 Headband! Life is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances. 53.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 46.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.97%. INnoVation is at 69.76% Blizzcon Chances. 46.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 77.08%. 53.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 63.37%.
Maru vs Patiencein in IEM Katowice round of 16. Maru is at 99.78% Blizzcon Chances. 64.06% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.96%. 35.94% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.46%. Patience is at 3.57% Blizzcon Chances. 35.94% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.14%. 64.06% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.68%.
Bbyong vs Solarin in IEM Katowice round of 16. Bbyong is at 26.7% Blizzcon Chances. 56.91% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 31.09%. 43.09% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.89%. Solar is at 41.56% Blizzcon Chances. 43.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 53.26%. 56.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.71%.
herO vs Curein in IEM Katowice round of 16. herO has the #3 Headband! herO is at 99.7% Blizzcon Chances. 64.6% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 35.4% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.17%. Cure is at 15.44% Blizzcon Chances. 35.4% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.73%. 64.6% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.53%.
Trap vs Flashin in IEM Katowice round of 16. Trap is at 32.09% Blizzcon Chances. 54.87% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.24%. 45.13% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.84%. Flash is at 11.6% Blizzcon Chances. 45.13% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 16.83%. 54.87% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.29%.
IEM Katowice Winning Chances Maru has a 10.58% chance to win ----going from 99.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. herO has a 10.45% chance to win ----going from 99.7% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Life has a 9.79% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 8.58% chance to win ----going from 69.76% to 97.58% if they get 1st, or 81.68% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 8.54% chance to win ----going from 59.87% to 97.15% if they get 1st, or 76.54% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Trap has a 8.48% chance to win ----going from 32.09% to 64.49% if they get 1st, or 40.07% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 6.19% chance to win ----going from 66.86% to 93.08% if they get 1st, or 76.58% if they get 2nd. TaeJa has a 6.18% chance to win ----going from 22.1% to 60.05% if they get 1st, or 33.06% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 5.72% chance to win ----going from 26.7% to 65.5% if they get 1st, or 36.22% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 4.93% chance to win ----going from 37.15% to 83.87% if they get 1st, or 51.66% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 4.17% chance to win ----going from 41.56% to 89.55% if they get 1st, or 61.92% if they get 2nd. Flash has a 4.06% chance to win ----going from 11.6% to 44.9% if they get 1st, or 20.29% if they get 2nd. Cure has a 4.05% chance to win ----going from 15.44% to 48.42% if they get 1st, or 23.41% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 3.48% chance to win ----going from 20.93% to 67.14% if they get 1st, or 33.47% if they get 2nd. Zest has a 3.11% chance to win ----going from 8.36% to 45.59% if they get 1st, or 16.69% if they get 2nd. Patience has a 1.68% chance to win ----going from 3.57% to 25.41% if they get 1st, or 3.19% if they don't.
(Simulation #1270 vs #1271) Biggest Winners FanTaSy went up by 10.35%, going from 20.92% to 31.27% Dark went up by 9.48%, going from 37.15% to 46.63% INnoVation went up by 8.4%, going from 69.76% to 78.16% Bunny went up by 5.42%, going from 21.17% to 26.58% Zest went up by 5.37%, going from 8.36% to 13.73% ShoWTimE went up by 2.53%, going from 10.99% to 13.52% Welmu went up by 0.91%, going from 3.47% to 4.37% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Terminator went up by 0.46%, going from 15.67% to 16.13% PartinG went up by 0.22%, going from 95.18% to 95.4% Heart went up by 0.2%, going from 1.07% to 1.27% Jaedong went up by 0.16%, going from 1.93% to 2.09% TargA went up by 0.16%, going from 5.44% to 5.6% jjakji went up by 0.12%, going from 0.55% to 0.67%
Biggest Losers Rain went down by 17.08%, going from 59.87% to 42.8% TaeJa went down by 8.72%, going from 22.1% to 13.38% Hydra went down by 6.89%, going from 66.86% to 59.97% Snute went down by 2.66%, going from 42.61% to 39.95% MMA went down by 1.82%, going from 37.58% to 35.76% HyuN went down by 0.7%, going from 5.93% to 5.23% PiG went down by 0.55%, going from 11.29% to 10.74% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Has went down by 0.51%, going from 3.04% to 2.52% Stats went down by 0.4%, going from 44.11% to 43.71% Polt went down by 0.32%, going from 34.21% to 33.89% ForGG went down by 0.32%, going from 68.65% to 68.33% MajOr went down by 0.29%, going from 8.29% to 7.99% Super went down by 0.25%, going from 24.33% to 24.07% Dream went down by 0.25%, going from 83.01% to 82.77% Serral went down by 0.22%, going from 6.48% to 6.26% sOs went down by 0.2%, going from 20.89% to 20.7% Rogue went down by 0.19%, going from 64.9% to 64.71% Solar went down by 0.18%, going from 41.57% to 41.39% Kane went down by 0.15%, going from 4.28% to 4.13% Dear went down by 0.15%, going from 36.63% to 36.48% Bomber went down by 0.12%, going from 14.29% to 14.17% Happy went down by 0.11%, going from 7.59% to 7.48% Symbol went down by 0.11%, going from 1.23% to 1.12% TLO went down by 0.11%, going from 2.11% to 2.01% Bbyong went down by 0.11%, going from 26.7% to 26.59%
Patience vs Maruin in IEM Katowice round of 16. Patience is at 3.54% Blizzcon Chances. 35.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.13%. 64.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.64%. Maru is at 99.78% Blizzcon Chances. 64.03% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.96%. 35.97% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.46%.
Bbyong vs Solarin in IEM Katowice round of 16. Bbyong is at 26.59% Blizzcon Chances. 56.91% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.96%. 43.09% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.82%. Solar is at 41.39% Blizzcon Chances. 43.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 53.19%. 56.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.46%.
herO vs Curein in IEM Katowice round of 16. herO is at 99.69% Blizzcon Chances. 64.58% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 35.42% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.15%. Cure is at 15.53% Blizzcon Chances. 35.42% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.93%. 64.58% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.58%.
Flash vs Trapin in IEM Katowice round of 16. Flash is at 11.69% Blizzcon Chances. 45.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.1%. 54.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.24%. Trap is at 32.09% Blizzcon Chances. 54.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.35%. 45.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.69%.
IEM Katowice Winning Chances INnoVation has a 20.81% chance to win ----going from 78.16% to 97.6% if they get 1st, or 81.81% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 11.44% chance to win ----going from 99.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 11.09% chance to win ----going from 46.63% to 85.08% if they get 1st, or 53.78% if they get 2nd. herO has a 10.42% chance to win ----going from 99.69% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 10.31% chance to win ----going from 31.28% to 70.02% if they get 1st, or 37.05% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Trap has a 8.63% chance to win ----going from 32.09% to 64.55% if they get 1st, or 39.78% if they get 2nd. Zest has a 6.75% chance to win ----going from 13.73% to 47.38% if they get 1st, or 18.05% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 5.78% chance to win ----going from 26.59% to 65.55% if they get 1st, or 36.12% if they get 2nd. Flash has a 4.52% chance to win ----going from 11.69% to 45.06% if they get 1st, or 20.08% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 4.29% chance to win ----going from 41.39% to 89.47% if they get 1st, or 61.75% if they get 2nd. Cure has a 4.22% chance to win ----going from 15.53% to 48.75% if they get 1st, or 23.59% if they get 2nd. Patience has a 1.75% chance to win ----going from 3.54% to 25.24% if they get 1st, or 3.15% if they don't.
(Simulation #1270 vs #1275) Biggest Winners FanTaSy went up by 9.59%, going from 20.92% to 30.51% INnoVation went up by 9.19%, going from 69.76% to 78.95% Dark went up by 8.05%, going from 37.15% to 45.2% Bunny went up by 6.47%, going from 21.17% to 27.64% Trap went up by 5.96%, going from 32.09% to 38.05% Bbyong went up by 5.83%, going from 26.7% to 32.53% Zest went up by 5.4%, going from 8.36% to 13.76% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
ShoWTimE went up by 2.65%, going from 10.99% to 13.64% Welmu went up by 0.96%, going from 3.47% to 4.43% Terminator went up by 0.66%, going from 15.67% to 16.33% TY went up by 0.37%, going from 41.3% to 41.68% PartinG went up by 0.32%, going from 95.18% to 95.5% Soulkey went up by 0.32%, going from 25.67% to 25.98% herO went up by 0.29%, going from 99.7% to 99.99% GuMiho went up by 0.28%, going from 21.94% to 22.23% Heart went up by 0.22%, going from 1.07% to 1.29% Jaedong went up by 0.19%, going from 1.93% to 2.12% Maru went up by 0.18%, going from 99.78% to 99.97% MarineLorD went up by 0.12%, going from 0.69% to 0.81% jjakji went up by 0.12%, going from 0.55% to 0.67%
Biggest Losers Rain went down by 16.8%, going from 59.87% to 43.07% Solar went down by 10.12%, going from 41.57% to 31.44% TaeJa went down by 8.59%, going from 22.1% to 13.51% Hydra went down by 6.65%, going from 66.86% to 60.21% Flash went down by 4.49%, going from 11.59% to 7.1% Cure went down by 3.06%, going from 15.43% to 12.38% Snute went down by 2.4%, going from 42.61% to 40.21% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
MMA went down by 1.5%, going from 37.58% to 36.08% Patience went down by 1.1%, going from 3.56% to 2.46% HyuN went down by 0.65%, going from 5.93% to 5.28% Has went down by 0.47%, going from 3.04% to 2.56% TargA went down by 0.46%, going from 5.44% to 4.98% PiG went down by 0.43%, going from 11.29% to 10.86% MajOr went down by 0.18%, going from 8.29% to 8.11% Serral went down by 0.12%, going from 6.48% to 6.35%
Trap vs FanTaSyin in IEM Katowice quarterfinals. Trap is at 38.05% Blizzcon Chances. 57.34% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.97%. 42.66% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.09%. FanTaSy is at 30.51% Blizzcon Chances. 42.66% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 39.14%. 57.34% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.09%.
Dark vs Maruin in IEM Katowice quarterfinals. Dark is at 45.2% Blizzcon Chances. 43.05% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 54.5%. 56.95% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.17%. Maru is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances. 56.95% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 43.05% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.94%.
Bbyong vs herOin in IEM Katowice quarterfinals. herO has the #3 Headband! Bbyong is at 32.53% Blizzcon Chances. 44.13% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.29%. 55.87% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.4%. herO is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances. 55.87% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 44.13% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.97%.
INnoVation vs Zestin in IEM Katowice quarterfinals. INnoVation is at 78.95% Blizzcon Chances. 67.24% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 83.54%. 32.76% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.54%. Zest is at 13.76% Blizzcon Chances. 32.76% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.12%. 67.24% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.18%.
IEM Katowice Winning Chances INnoVation has a 19.7% chance to win ----going from 78.95% to 97.77% if they get 1st, or 82.78% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 17.11% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. herO has a 15.22% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Trap has a 14.79% chance to win ----going from 38.05% to 65.51% if they get 1st, or 40.96% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 9.65% chance to win ----going from 32.53% to 66.96% if they get 1st, or 38.12% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 8.61% chance to win ----going from 45.2% to 85.3% if they get 1st, or 54.06% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 8.48% chance to win ----going from 30.51% to 70.37% if they get 1st, or 37.5% if they get 2nd. Zest has a 6.44% chance to win ----going from 13.76% to 47.7% if they get 1st, or 18.29% if they get 2nd.
On March 14 2015 04:03 sharkie wrote: can I even gain any points with herO...? Since he is at 99.99% now
Since it's based on WCS Points, not % chances, even if he had 6000 WCS Points he would still be able to go up in value. It's tough though since he's favored in pretty much any match it means that his median doesn't go up that much when he wins. Check out his graphs for Median WCS Points and WCS Wars Value http://sc2.4ever.tv/?p=p&pid=233#player-wcspoints-history-section
(Simulation #1270 vs #1276) Biggest Winners Bbyong went up by 17.8%, going from 26.67% to 44.48% Dark went up by 16.21%, going from 37.81% to 54.02% Zest went up by 11.2%, going from 8.38% to 19.58% Trap went up by 9.19%, going from 35.34% to 44.52% FanTaSy went up by 6.54%, going from 17.08% to 23.62% PartinG went up by 5.44%, going from 89.88% to 95.31% Bunny went up by 4.53%, going from 22.73% to 27.26% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Rogue went up by 4.35%, going from 59.94% to 64.29% ShoWTimE went up by 2.61%, going from 10.75% to 13.36% Super went up by 1.46%, going from 22.33% to 23.8% Welmu went up by 0.85%, going from 3.45% to 4.29% Stats went up by 0.5%, going from 42.77% to 43.27% Has went up by 0.31%, going from 2.16% to 2.48% herO went up by 0.28%, going from 99.69% to 99.97% San went up by 0.27%, going from 3.48% to 3.74% Heart went up by 0.24%, going from 0.99% to 1.23% MaSa went up by 0.21%, going from 0.64% to 0.85% Terminator went up by 0.21%, going from 15.7% to 15.9% Dear went up by 0.2%, going from 35.87% to 36.07% Kelazhur went up by 0.19%, going from 0.03% to 0.22% Maru went up by 0.18%, going from 99.75% to 99.93% Jaedong went up by 0.14%, going from 1.91% to 2.05% MarineLorD went up by 0.14%, going from 0.65% to 0.78% FireCake went up by 0.13%, going from 0.29% to 0.42% ByuL went up by 0.12%, going from 2.77% to 2.88% DongRaeGu went up by 0.11%, going from 2.5% to 2.61%
Biggest Losers Rain went down by 20.61%, going from 63.11% to 42.5% Solar went down by 11.68%, going from 42.57% to 30.9% MMA went down by 11.13%, going from 46.63% to 35.5% TaeJa went down by 8.72%, going from 21.99% to 13.27% Hydra went down by 6.61%, going from 66.44% to 59.84% Flash went down by 3.87%, going from 10.81% to 6.94% Snute went down by 2.77%, going from 42.45% to 39.68% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Cure went down by 2.44%, going from 14.54% to 12.1% MaNa went down by 2.16%, going from 12.34% to 10.18% INnoVation went down by 1.52%, going from 70.53% to 69.01% sOs went down by 1.51%, going from 22.02% to 20.51% Patience went down by 1.19%, going from 3.57% to 2.38% GuMiho went down by 1.05%, going from 22.89% to 21.84% HyuN went down by 0.83%, going from 6.01% to 5.18% ForGG went down by 0.55%, going from 68.74% to 68.19% soO went down by 0.53%, going from 5.52% to 4.99% Dream went down by 0.51%, going from 83.04% to 82.53% Happy went down by 0.5%, going from 7.9% to 7.39% PiG went down by 0.5%, going from 11.1% to 10.6% TargA went down by 0.49%, going from 5.35% to 4.86% YoDa went down by 0.48%, going from 7.93% to 7.45% Bomber went down by 0.36%, going from 14.39% to 14.03% MajOr went down by 0.29%, going from 8.2% to 7.91% Polt went down by 0.2%, going from 33.85% to 33.66% Kane went down by 0.19%, going from 4.25% to 4.06% MarineKing went down by 0.18%, going from 4.36% to 4.18% Symbol went down by 0.17%, going from 1.26% to 1.09% Leenock went down by 0.17%, going from 5.02% to 4.86% Curious went down by 0.15%, going from 1.59% to 1.44% First went down by 0.14%, going from 5.27% to 5.12% uThermal went down by 0.14%, going from 0.7% to 0.56% Creator went down by 0.13%, going from 1.25% to 1.12% Sacsri went down by 0.13%, going from 4.72% to 4.59% HerO went down by 0.12%, going from 0.98% to 0.86% NaNiwa went down by 0.12%, going from 11.07% to 10.95% YongHwa went down by 0.11%, going from 1.19% to 1.08% Soulkey went down by 0.11%, going from 25.5% to 25.39%
Dark vs Trapin in IEM Katowice semifinals. Dark is at 54.02% Blizzcon Chances. 42.9% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.73%. 57.1% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.98%. Trap is at 44.52% Blizzcon Chances. 57.1% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 52.9%. 42.9% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.37%.
Bbyong vs Zestin in IEM Katowice semifinals. Bbyong has the #3 Headband! Bbyong is at 44.48% Blizzcon Chances. 63.04% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 53.07%. 36.96% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 29.83%. Zest is at 19.58% Blizzcon Chances. 36.96% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 31.92%. 63.04% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.35%.
IEM Katowice Winning Chances Bbyong has a 33.2% chance to win ----going from 44.48% to 66.92% if they get 1st, or 37.64% if they get 2nd. Trap has a 28.56% chance to win ----going from 44.52% to 65.35% if they get 1st, or 40.45% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 20.68% chance to win ----going from 54.02% to 85.24% if they get 1st, or 53.36% if they get 2nd. Zest has a 17.56% chance to win ----going from 19.58% to 47.38% if they get 1st, or 17.93% if they get 2nd.
(Simulation #1270 vs #1278) Biggest Winners Zest went up by 26.69%, going from 8.36% to 35.05% Trap went up by 20.37%, going from 32.09% to 52.47% Dark went up by 10.25%, going from 37.15% to 47.4% Bunny went up by 5.99%, going from 21.17% to 27.16% Bbyong went up by 5.19%, going from 26.7% to 31.89% FanTaSy went up by 2.47%, going from 20.92% to 23.39% ShoWTimE went up by 2.32%, going from 10.99% to 13.31% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Welmu went up by 0.79%, going from 3.47% to 4.26% herO went up by 0.27%, going from 99.7% to 99.97% Terminator went up by 0.19%, going from 15.67% to 15.86% Heart went up by 0.16%, going from 1.07% to 1.23% PartinG went up by 0.14%, going from 95.18% to 95.31% Jaedong went up by 0.13%, going from 1.93% to 2.06% Maru went up by 0.12%, going from 99.78% to 99.91% jjakji went up by 0.1%, going from 0.55% to 0.65%
Biggest Losers Rain went down by 17.61%, going from 59.87% to 42.26% Solar went down by 10.74%, going from 41.57% to 30.83% TaeJa went down by 8.86%, going from 22.1% to 13.25% Hydra went down by 7.17%, going from 66.86% to 59.69% Flash went down by 4.68%, going from 11.59% to 6.91% Cure went down by 3.34%, going from 15.43% to 12.09% Snute went down by 3.04%, going from 42.61% to 39.58% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
MMA went down by 2.21%, going from 37.58% to 35.37% INnoVation went down by 2.16%, going from 69.76% to 67.6% Patience went down by 1.17%, going from 3.56% to 2.39% Stats went down by 1.16%, going from 44.11% to 42.95% Rogue went down by 0.82%, going from 64.9% to 64.08% HyuN went down by 0.76%, going from 5.93% to 5.16% PiG went down by 0.71%, going from 11.29% to 10.57% Polt went down by 0.63%, going from 34.21% to 33.58% TargA went down by 0.63%, going from 5.44% to 4.81% Super went down by 0.59%, going from 24.33% to 23.74% Has went down by 0.58%, going from 3.04% to 2.46% Dear went down by 0.55%, going from 36.63% to 36.08% TY went down by 0.51%, going from 41.3% to 40.79% sOs went down by 0.49%, going from 20.89% to 20.4% MajOr went down by 0.44%, going from 8.29% to 7.85% ForGG went down by 0.39%, going from 68.65% to 68.26% Serral went down by 0.37%, going from 6.48% to 6.11% Soulkey went down by 0.35%, going from 25.67% to 25.32% Dream went down by 0.34%, going from 83.01% to 82.67% Bomber went down by 0.33%, going from 14.29% to 13.96% NaNiwa went down by 0.26%, going from 11.13% to 10.87% Kane went down by 0.25%, going from 4.28% to 4.03% Happy went down by 0.24%, going from 7.59% to 7.35% MaNa went down by 0.21%, going from 10.34% to 10.13% Leenock went down by 0.16%, going from 5.02% to 4.86% soO went down by 0.15%, going from 5.13% to 4.98% Sacsri went down by 0.15%, going from 4.74% to 4.59% viOLet went down by 0.15%, going from 4.93% to 4.78% First went down by 0.15%, going from 5.27% to 5.12% GuMiho went down by 0.15%, going from 21.94% to 21.79% TLO went down by 0.14%, going from 2.11% to 1.97% YoDa went down by 0.14%, going from 7.56% to 7.42% Symbol went down by 0.14%, going from 1.23% to 1.09% ByuL went down by 0.13%, going from 2.99% to 2.87% VortiX went down by 0.12%, going from 1.82% to 1.7% Lilbow went down by 0.12%, going from 1.93% to 1.81% MarineKing went down by 0.12%, going from 4.29% to 4.17% San went down by 0.11%, going from 3.87% to 3.76%
Trap vs Zestin in IEM Katowice finals. Zest has the #3 Headband! Trap is at 52.47% Blizzcon Chances. 50.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 64.84%. 49.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.04%. Zest is at 35.05% Blizzcon Chances. 49.91% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 49.82%. 50.09% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.33%.
Biggest Winners and Losers since before IEM Katowice (Sim ID #1270 vs Sim ID #1280) Biggest Winners Zest went up by 43.36%, going from 8.36% to 51.72% Trap went up by 12.37%, going from 32.09% to 44.46% Dark went up by 9.21%, going from 37.15% to 46.36% Bunny went up by 5.82%, going from 21.17% to 26.99% Bbyong went up by 3.02%, going from 26.7% to 29.72% FanTaSy went up by 2.24%, going from 20.92% to 23.16% ShoWTimE went up by 2.23%, going from 10.99% to 13.22% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Welmu went up by 0.76%, going from 3.47% to 4.23% herO went up by 0.27%, going from 99.7% to 99.97% Heart went up by 0.14%, going from 1.07% to 1.22% Maru went up by 0.12%, going from 99.78% to 99.9%
Biggest Losers Rain went down by 17.73%, going from 59.87% to 42.14% Solar went down by 10.95%, going from 41.57% to 30.61% TaeJa went down by 8.93%, going from 22.1% to 13.17% Hydra went down by 7.31%, going from 66.86% to 59.55% Flash went down by 4.74%, going from 11.59% to 6.85% Cure went down by 3.44%, going from 15.43% to 11.99% Snute went down by 3.13%, going from 42.61% to 39.48% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
MMA went down by 2.42%, going from 37.58% to 35.16% INnoVation went down by 2.4%, going from 69.76% to 67.36% Stats went down by 1.34%, going from 44.11% to 42.77% Patience went down by 1.2%, going from 3.56% to 2.36% Rogue went down by 1.05%, going from 64.9% to 63.84% HyuN went down by 0.87%, going from 5.93% to 5.06% Dear went down by 0.81%, going from 36.63% to 35.82% Polt went down by 0.75%, going from 34.21% to 33.45% PiG went down by 0.75%, going from 11.29% to 10.54% Super went down by 0.71%, going from 24.33% to 23.62% TargA went down by 0.66%, going from 5.44% to 4.78% TY went down by 0.64%, going from 41.3% to 40.67% Has went down by 0.6%, going from 3.04% to 2.43% sOs went down by 0.6%, going from 20.89% to 20.3% Soulkey went down by 0.53%, going from 25.67% to 25.13% MajOr went down by 0.5%, going from 8.29% to 7.79% ForGG went down by 0.5%, going from 68.65% to 68.16% Dream went down by 0.48%, going from 83.01% to 82.53% Bomber went down by 0.43%, going from 14.29% to 13.86% Serral went down by 0.41%, going from 6.48% to 6.07% GuMiho went down by 0.34%, going from 21.94% to 21.6% NaNiwa went down by 0.32%, going from 11.13% to 10.8% Happy went down by 0.29%, going from 7.59% to 7.3% Kane went down by 0.28%, going from 4.28% to 4.01% MaNa went down by 0.26%, going from 10.34% to 10.08% soO went down by 0.24%, going from 5.13% to 4.9% Leenock went down by 0.23%, going from 5.02% to 4.8% YoDa went down by 0.21%, going from 7.56% to 7.35% Sacsri went down by 0.2%, going from 4.74% to 4.54% viOLet went down by 0.19%, going from 4.93% to 4.74% First went down by 0.17%, going from 5.27% to 5.1% ByuL went down by 0.16%, going from 2.99% to 2.83% TLO went down by 0.16%, going from 2.11% to 1.95% MarineKing went down by 0.16%, going from 4.29% to 4.13% San went down by 0.16%, going from 3.87% to 3.71% Symbol went down by 0.15%, going from 1.23% to 1.07% VortiX went down by 0.13%, going from 1.82% to 1.69% Lilbow went down by 0.13%, going from 1.93% to 1.8% DongRaeGu went down by 0.13%, going from 2.71% to 2.58% Sen went down by 0.12%, going from 2.18% to 2.07% TRUE went down by 0.11%, going from 2.3% to 2.2% Jim went down by 0.1%, going from 2.02% to 1.92%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 91.1% Chances of 2+ foreigners 56.91% Chances of 3+ foreigners 19.21% Chances of 4+ foreigners 3.23%
Snute9.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 39.48% chance overall. Bunny5.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 26.99% chance overall. ShoWTimE2.49% chance to be the only foreigner, 13.22% chance overall. NaNiwa2.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.8% chance overall. PiG1.94% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.54% chance overall. MaNa1.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.09% chance overall. MajOr1.41% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.79% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Happy1.32% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.3% chance overall. Serral1.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.07% chance overall. TargA0.86% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.78% chance overall. Welmu0.73% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.23% chance overall. Kane0.68% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.01% chance overall. Has0.41% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.43% chance overall. Sen0.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.06% chance overall. Jim0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.92% chance overall. TLO0.32% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.95% chance overall. HuK0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.78% chance overall. Lilbow0.3% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.8% chance overall. VortiX0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.69% chance overall. MorroW0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.89% chance overall. Nerchio0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.91% chance overall. MacSed0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.76% chance overall. MaSa0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.81% chance overall. MarineLorD0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall. XiGua0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.7% chance overall. iaguz0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.67% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.66% chance overall. uThermal0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.54% chance overall. puCK0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.45% chance overall. FireCake0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall. Boombox0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.31% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall. Scarlett0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.31% chance overall. Harstem0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.28% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 1 defenses! PartinG is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Zest is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
WCS Point Cutoffs 0.89% of the time 2325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.63% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 32.39% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 47.57% of the time 2725 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 67.84% of the time 2825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 90.93% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.87% of the time 3200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Upcoming GSL Code S Season 1in ~ PartinG has a 55.06% chance to win ----going from 95.26% to 99.6% if they get 1st, or 89.94% if they get 2nd. Life has a 22.65% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. herO has a 22.29% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd.
Life vs herOin in GSL Code S Season 1 semifinals. Life is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances. 45.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 54.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.95%. herO is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances. 54.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 45.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.93%.
Maru vs Dreamin in StarLeague Season 1 finals. Maru is at 99.9% Blizzcon Chances. 71.34% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 28.66% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.67%. Dream is at 82.53% Blizzcon Chances. 28.66% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 97.66%. 71.34% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 76.45%.
Life vs herOin in GSL Code S Season 1 semifinals. Life has the #1 Headband! Life is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances. 45.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 54.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.94%. herO is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances. 54.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 45.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.93%.
GSL Code S Season 1 Winning Chances PartinG has a 55.04% chance to win ----going from 95.26% to 99.59% if they get 1st, or 89.96% if they get 2nd. Life has a 22.66% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. herO has a 22.3% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd.
Life vs herOin in GSL Code S Season 1 semifinals. Life has the #1 Headband! Life is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances. 45.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 54.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.94%. herO is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances. 54.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 45.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.93%.
YES! GSL finals will be a #1 vs #2 headband match! The real prize for winning GSL is obviously the #1 headband, way more important than the money, WCS Points, fame, or w/e
17.01% of the time. Dream gets 1st place in GSL Code A Season 2 and Dream gets 1st place in StarLeague Season 1 This would change Dream's chances from 83.64% to 99.06%
16.28% of the time. Dream gets 12th place in StarLeague Season 2 and Dream loses their next match in the StarLeague Season 1 finals This would change Dream's chances from 83.64% to 69.35%
4.55% of the time. Dream gets 1st place in GSL Code A Season 2 and Dream gets 20th place in StarLeague Season 2 and Dream loses their next match in the StarLeague Season 1 finals This would change Dream's chances from 83.64% to 58.52%
2.61% of the time. Dream gets 4th place in GSL Code S Season 2 and Dream loses their next match in the StarLeague Season 1 finals This would change Dream's chances from 83.64% to 99.25%
1.06% of the time. Dream gets 1st place in GSL Code S Season 3 and Dream loses their next match in the StarLeague Season 1 finals This would change Dream's chances from 83.64% to 100 %
4.64% of the time. Dream gets 1st place in GSL Code A Season 2 and Dream gets 12th place in StarLeague Season 3 and Dream loses their next match in the StarLeague Season 1 finals This would change Dream's chances from 83.64% to 97.56%
40.45% of the time. Dream gets 1st place in GSL Code A Season 2 and Dream loses their next match in the StarLeague Season 1 finals This would change Dream's chances from 83.64% to 84.63%
0.83% of the time. Dream gets 1st place in GSL Code S Season 3 and Dream gets 1st place in GSL Code A Season 2 and Dream loses their next match in the StarLeague Season 1 finals This would change Dream's chances from 83.64% to 100 %
0.52% of the time. Dream gets 1st place in GSL Code A Season 2 and Dream gets 2nd place in GSL Code S Season 2 and Dream wins their next match in the StarLeague Season 1 finals This would change Dream's chances from 83.64% to 100 %
45.71% of the time. Maru gets 1st place in GSL Code A Season 2 and Maru wins their next match in the StarLeague Season 1 finals This would change Maru's chances from 99.9% to 100 %
4.89% of the time. Dream gets 1st place in StarLeague Qualifiers Season 3 and Dream gets 12th place in StarLeague Season 2 and Dream loses their next match in the StarLeague Season 1 finals This would change Dream's chances from 83.64% to 78.59%
14.37% of the time. Maru gets 1st place in GSL Qualifiers Season 3 and Maru gets 1st place in StarLeague Season 1 This would change Maru's chances from 99.9% to 100 %
12.97% of the time. Maru gets 1st place in StarLeague Season 1 and Maru gets 8th place in StarLeague Season 3 This would change Maru's chances from 99.9% to 100 %
Maru vs Dreamin in StarLeague Season 1 finals. Maru is at 99.9% Blizzcon Chances. 70.42% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 29.58% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.67%. Dream is at 83.64% Blizzcon Chances. 29.58% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 97.8%. 70.42% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 77.7%.
Life vs PartinGin in GSL Code S Season 1 finals. Life has the #1 Headband and PartinG has the #2 Headband! Life is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances. 50.84% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 100%. 49.16% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. PartinG is at 94.72% Blizzcon Chances. 49.16% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.6%. 50.84% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 90.01%.
--------UPDATE Sunday, Mar 22 10:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00) NSSL Season 1 AND GSL Season 1 Completed! (Sim #1294) Also added 7 more notable participants for Capenhagen Spring. The WCS Point Cutoffs seem a little low, especially if there are 3 KeSPA Cups and if they end up all being Tier 1s. After WCS Wars Season 1 I might add more Placeholder Tournaments. It's possible that change might bring Life down from 100%, maybe down to like 99.99%.
Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
Life (KT), is at 100%, Min WCS Points: 3800, Median WCS Points: 6975
Maru (Jin Air), is at 99.99%, Min WCS Points: 3350, Median WCS Points: 5850
herO (CJ Entus), is at 99.93%, Min WCS Points: 2975, Median WCS Points: 4700
PartinG (Yoe), is at 92.5%, Min WCS Points: 2025, Median WCS Points: 4175
Dream (SKT T1), is at 76.61%, Min WCS Points: 1700, Median WCS Points: 3350
ForGG (Millenium), is at 68.05%, Min WCS Points: 625, Median WCS Points: 3425
INnoVation (SKT T1), is at 67.43%, Min WCS Points: 1400, Median WCS Points: 3225
Rogue (Jin Air), is at 64.19%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 3100
Hydra (ROOT), is at 60.76%, Min WCS Points: 625, Median WCS Points: 3125
Zest (KT), is at 55.68%, Min WCS Points: 1875, Median WCS Points: 2800
Dark (SKT T1), is at 46.32%, Min WCS Points: 1300, Median WCS Points: 2625
Rain (mYinsanity), is at 43.72%, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median WCS Points: 2550
Stats (KT), is at 41.87%, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median WCS Points: 2525
TY (KT), is at 40.58%, Min WCS Points: 1175, Median WCS Points: 2475
Trap (Jin Air), is at 40.1%, Min WCS Points: 850, Median WCS Points: 2400
Snute (Liquid), is at 36.92%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 2300
Dear (Samsung), is at 36.56%, Min WCS Points: 800, Median WCS Points: 2325
MMA (Acer), is at 35.15%, Min WCS Points: 1050, Median WCS Points: 2350
Polt (CM Storm), is at 33.32%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 2200
Solar (Samsung), is at 30.64%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2150
Bbyong (CJ Entus), is at 29.88%, Min WCS Points: 850, Median WCS Points: 2125
Bunny (Liquid), is at 27.35%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1950
FanTaSy (dPix), is at 26.98%, Min WCS Points: 900, Median WCS Points: 2125
Soulkey (TCM), is at 25.23%, Min WCS Points: 1075, Median WCS Points: 2100
Super (Invasion), is at 23.55%, Min WCS Points: 925, Median WCS Points: 2025
GuMiho (Invasion), is at 21.17%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1900
sOs (Jin Air), is at 21.09%, Min WCS Points: 800, Median WCS Points: 1900
Terminator (Jin Air), is at 15.76%, Min WCS Points: 975, Median WCS Points: 1850
Bomber, is at 14.06%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 1600
ShoWTimE (aTn), is at 14.01%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1550
TaeJa (Liquid), is at 13.14%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1400
NaNiwa, is at 12.2%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1400
Cure (Jin Air), is at 12.01%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 1425
PiG (x5), is at 10.42%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1425
MaNa (Liquid), is at 9.57%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1350
MajOr, is at 7.79%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1250
Happy, is at 7.12%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1200
viOLet (EnVy), is at 6.85%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1200
Flash (KT), is at 6.82%, Min WCS Points: 50, Median WCS Points: 1075
YoDa (Prime), is at 6.73%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1250
Serral (mYinsanity), is at 5.66%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1250
soO (SKT T1), is at 5.32%, Min WCS Points: 50, Median WCS Points: 1000
TargA (Imaginary), is at 5.27%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1150
Sacsri (mYinsanity), is at 5.26%, Min WCS Points: 50, Median WCS Points: 1000
Welmu, is at 4.87%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1175
First (KT), is at 4.77%, Min WCS Points: 325, Median WCS Points: 1125
Leenock (Yoe), is at 4.69%, Min WCS Points: 600, Median WCS Points: 1275
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at 4.64%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1025
Kane (mYinsanity), is at 3.96%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1175
MarineKing (MVP), is at 3.78%, Min WCS Points: 700, Median WCS Points: 1325
Biggest Winners and Losers since before NSSL Finals and GSL Finals (Sim ID #1288 vs Sim ID #1294) Biggest Winners Rain went up by 6.45%, going from 37.27% to 43.72% viOLet went up by 2.18%, going from 4.67% to 6.85% Patience went up by 0.46%, going from 2.35% to 2.81% FanTaSy went up by 0.3%, going from 26.68% to 26.98% SuperNova went up by 0.17%, going from 0.87% to 1.04% HuK went up by 0.17%, going from 1.73% to 1.9% ShoWTimE went up by 0.16%, going from 13.85% to 14.01% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
jjakji went up by 0.15%, going from 0.71% to 0.86% Flash went up by 0.1%, going from 6.71% to 6.82% Zest went up by 0.1%, going from 55.58% to 55.68%
Biggest Losers Dream went down by 7.03%, going from 83.64% to 76.61% PartinG went down by 2.13%, going from 94.63% to 92.5% Snute went down by 0.99%, going from 37.92% to 36.92% Bunny went down by 0.45%, going from 27.8% to 27.35% MaNa went down by 0.25%, going from 9.82% to 9.57% NaNiwa went down by 0.15%, going from 12.35% to 12.2%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 90.88% Chances of 2+ foreigners 56.73% Chances of 3+ foreigners 19.29% Chances of 4+ foreigners 3.31%
Snute8.93% chance to be the only foreigner, 36.92% chance overall. Bunny5.99% chance to be the only foreigner, 27.35% chance overall. ShoWTimE2.69% chance to be the only foreigner, 14.01% chance overall. NaNiwa2.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 12.2% chance overall. PiG1.94% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.42% chance overall. MaNa1.71% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.57% chance overall. MajOr1.44% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.79% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Happy1.3% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.12% chance overall. Serral0.97% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.66% chance overall. TargA0.95% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.27% chance overall. Welmu0.86% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.87% chance overall. Kane0.69% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.96% chance overall. Has0.41% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.37% chance overall. Sen0.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.05% chance overall. Jim0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.89% chance overall. HuK0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.9% chance overall. Lilbow0.32% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.87% chance overall. TLO0.32% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.92% chance overall. VortiX0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.68% chance overall. Nerchio0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.86% chance overall. MarineLorD0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.83% chance overall. MacSed0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.74% chance overall. MorroW0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.72% chance overall. uThermal0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.7% chance overall. MaSa0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.73% chance overall. iaguz0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.67% chance overall. XiGua0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.69% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.57% chance overall. puCK0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.44% chance overall. FireCake0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.47% chance overall. Bly0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.34% chance overall. Boombox0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall. Harstem0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.31% chance overall. Scarlett0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.31% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.3% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 2 defenses! PartinG is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Zest is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
WCS Point Cutoffs 1.14% of the time 2350 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 8.81% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 31.12% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 52.24% of the time 2750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 71.86% of the time 2850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 90.93% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.92% of the time 3200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Upcoming GSL Code A Season 2in ~ Maru has a 65.28% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Trap has a 65.04% chance to win ----going from 40.1% to 48.19% if they get 1st, or 25.04% if they don't. Dark has a 63.38% chance to win ----going from 46.33% to 55.34% if they get 1st, or 30.73% if they don't. Rain has a 63.37% chance to win ----going from 43.72% to 52.61% if they get 1st, or 28.33% if they don't.
Copenhagen Springin ~ PartinG has a 20.75% chance to win ----going from 92.5% to 95.52% if they get 1st, or 91.71% if they don't. Rain has a 14.12% chance to win ----going from 43.72% to 50.7% if they get 1st, or 42.57% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 10.39% chance to win ----going from 26.98% to 33.07% if they get 1st, or 26.27% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 8.95% chance to win ----going from 12.2% to 15.37% if they get 1st, or 11.89% if they don't.
WCS Premier Season 1in ~ ForGG has a 21.23% chance to win ----going from 68.05% to 97.05% if they get 1st, or 73.49% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 18.27% chance to win ----going from 60.76% to 96.38% if they get 1st, or 67.88% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 12.81% chance to win ----going from 36.93% to 89.1% if they get 1st, or 44.05% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 10.88% chance to win ----going from 27.34% to 78.17% if they get 1st, or 33.24% if they get 2nd.
Biggest Winners and Losers since before Code A S2 matches set (Sim ID #1296 vs Sim ID #1299) Biggest Winners Trap went up by 3.53%, going from 38.91% to 42.44% Dark went up by 1.51%, going from 46.41% to 47.92% FanTaSy went up by 0.94%, going from 27.01% to 27.95% Bomber went up by 0.91%, going from 13.86% to 14.76% Dear went up by 0.83%, going from 37.6% to 38.43% TaeJa went up by 0.81%, going from 13.21% to 14.02% sOs went up by 0.68%, going from 21.78% to 22.47% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
soO went up by 0.67%, going from 5.36% to 6.03% First went up by 0.47%, going from 4.77% to 5.24% Symbol went up by 0.37%, going from 1.01% to 1.38% Trust went up by 0.28%, going from 1.96% to 2.24% INnoVation went up by 0.27%, going from 67.5% to 67.78% ByuL went up by 0.24%, going from 2.91% to 3.15% MarineKing went up by 0.13%, going from 3.78% to 3.91%
Biggest Losers Rain went down by 1.64%, going from 43.96% to 42.32% Cure went down by 1.42%, going from 11.44% to 10.03% Dream went down by 1.35%, going from 77.02% to 75.67% Super went down by 1.27%, going from 23.56% to 22.29% Bbyong went down by 0.75%, going from 29.96% to 29.21% Zest went down by 0.52%, going from 54.83% to 54.31% GuMiho went down by 0.49%, going from 21.16% to 20.68% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Terminator went down by 0.45%, going from 15.8% to 15.35% Heart went down by 0.31%, going from 2.04% to 1.72% San went down by 0.3%, going from 3.71% to 3.41% Sacsri went down by 0.27%, going from 5.25% to 4.97% MC went down by 0.24%, going from 1.99% to 1.75% Flash went down by 0.23%, going from 6.41% to 6.18% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.21%, going from 1.88% to 1.67% Stats went down by 0.21%, going from 42.77% to 42.56% MMA went down by 0.17%, going from 35.2% to 35.02% ForGG went down by 0.16%, going from 68.25% to 68.08% Soulkey went down by 0.16%, going from 22.89% to 22.73% Hydra went down by 0.14%, going from 60.93% to 60.79% Creator went down by 0.14%, going from 1.02% to 0.88% DongRaeGu went down by 0.14%, going from 2.59% to 2.45% TY went down by 0.14%, going from 40.71% to 40.57% YoDa went down by 0.13%, going from 6.31% to 6.18%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 90.81% Chances of 2+ foreigners 56.5% Chances of 3+ foreigners 19.15% Chances of 4+ foreigners 3.25%
Snute8.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 34.53% chance overall. Bunny6.88% chance to be the only foreigner, 30.15% chance overall. ShoWTimE2.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 14.37% chance overall. NaNiwa2.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 12.31% chance overall. PiG1.74% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.3% chance overall. MaNa1.73% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.61% chance overall. MajOr1.45% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.73% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Happy1.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.49% chance overall. Serral1.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.75% chance overall. TargA0.96% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.33% chance overall. Welmu0.82% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.64% chance overall. Kane0.63% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.59% chance overall. Has0.42% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.43% chance overall. Sen0.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.06% chance overall. HuK0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.89% chance overall. TLO0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.94% chance overall. Jim0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.87% chance overall. Lilbow0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.79% chance overall. VortiX0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.69% chance overall. FireCake0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.12% chance overall. MarineLorD0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.82% chance overall. MorroW0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall. Nerchio0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.83% chance overall. MacSed0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.76% chance overall. uThermal0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.71% chance overall. XiGua0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.72% chance overall. MaSa0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.71% chance overall. iaguz0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.67% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.52% chance overall. puCK0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.52% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.38% chance overall. Harstem0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall. Boombox0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.31% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 2 defenses! PartinG is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Zest is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
WCS Point Cutoffs 1.19% of the time 2350 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.18% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 31.91% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 47.43% of the time 2725 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 68.07% of the time 2825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.06% of the time 2975 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.95% of the time 3200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Upcoming GSL Code A Season 2in ~ Trap has a 80.74% chance to win ----going from 42.44% to 46.82% if they get 1st, or 24.08% if they don't. Maru has a 71.32% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Symbol has a 70.97% chance to win ----going from 1.38% to 1.8% if they get 1st, or 0.36% if they don't. TaeJa has a 69.28% chance to win ----going from 14.02% to 17.34% if they get 1st, or 6.52% if they don't.
YoDa vs DongRaeGuin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. YoDa is at 6.18% Blizzcon Chances. 51.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.31%. 48.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.85%. DongRaeGu is at 2.45% Blizzcon Chances. 48.48% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.03%. 51.52% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.96%.
Seed vs soOin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Seed is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances. 31.88% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.15%. 68.12% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%. soO is at 6.03% Blizzcon Chances. 68.12% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.8%. 31.88% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.27%.
ByuL vs YongHwain in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. ByuL is at 3.15% Blizzcon Chances. 56.08% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.67%. 43.92% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.21%. YongHwa is at 1.03% Blizzcon Chances. 43.92% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.88%. 56.08% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.36%.
TaeJa vs Sorryin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. TaeJa is at 14.02% Blizzcon Chances. 69.28% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.34%. 30.72% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.52%. Sorry is at 0.37% Blizzcon Chances. 30.72% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.85%. 69.28% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.15%.
Trap vs Panicin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Trap is at 42.44% Blizzcon Chances. 80.74% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 46.82%. 19.26% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.08%. Panic is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances. 19.26% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.13%. 80.74% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
Copenhagen Springin ~ PartinG has a 20.67% chance to win ----going from 92.47% to 95.5% if they get 1st, or 91.67% if they don't. Rain has a 14.21% chance to win ----going from 42.32% to 49.02% if they get 1st, or 41.21% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 10.34% chance to win ----going from 27.95% to 33.99% if they get 1st, or 27.25% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 8.92% chance to win ----going from 12.31% to 15.59% if they get 1st, or 11.99% if they don't.
Hack vs Bbyongin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Hack is at 0.92% Blizzcon Chances. 43.27% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.68%. 56.73% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.34%. Bbyong is at 29.21% Blizzcon Chances. 56.73% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.75%. 43.27% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.02%.
Heart vs sOsin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Heart is at 1.72% Blizzcon Chances. 35.71% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.4%. 64.29% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.79%. sOs is at 22.47% Blizzcon Chances. 64.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 28.53%. 35.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.55%.
Symbol vs PenguiNin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Symbol is at 1.38% Blizzcon Chances. 70.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.8%. 29.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.36%. PenguiN is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 29.03% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 70.97% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
WCS Premier Season 1in ~ ForGG has a 21.14% chance to win ----going from 68.08% to 97.11% if they get 1st, or 73.7% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 18.25% chance to win ----going from 60.79% to 96.44% if they get 1st, or 68.1% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 12.03% chance to win ----going from 34.53% to 88.35% if they get 1st, or 42.13% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 11.87% chance to win ----going from 30.15% to 79.83% if they get 1st, or 35.61% if they get 2nd.
ForGG, TLO, XiGua, and Serralin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. ForGG is at 68.08% Blizzcon Chances. 73.84% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 73.61%. 26.16% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 52.48%. XiGua is at 0.72% Blizzcon Chances. 33.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.52%. 66.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.31%. TLO is at 1.94% Blizzcon Chances. 38.41% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.62%. 61.59% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.89%. Serral is at 5.75% Blizzcon Chances. 54.38% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.39%. 45.62% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.59%.
ShoWTimE, PiG, MacSed, and Snutein in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. ShoWTimE is at 14.37% Blizzcon Chances. 59.02% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 19.18%. 40.98% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.44%. MacSed is at 0.76% Blizzcon Chances. 27.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.72%. 72.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.39%. PiG is at 9.3% Blizzcon Chances. 44.96% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.68%. 55.04% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.91%. Snute is at 34.53% Blizzcon Chances. 68.05% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 41.18%. 31.95% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.36%.
MyuNgSiK vs Firstin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MyuNgSiK is at 1.67% Blizzcon Chances. 36.75% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.33%. 63.25% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.7%. First is at 5.24% Blizzcon Chances. 63.25% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.19%. 36.75% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.89%.
Hydra, FireCake, MaNa, and Poltin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Hydra is at 60.79% Blizzcon Chances. 69.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 67.65%. 30.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 45.11%. MaNa is at 9.61% Blizzcon Chances. 42.57% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.29%. 57.43% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.4%. FireCake is at 1.12% Blizzcon Chances. 32.59% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.33%. 67.41% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.53%. Polt is at 33.02% Blizzcon Chances. 55.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 41.62%. 44.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 22.38%.
Welmu, Kane, Bunny, and Hasin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Welmu is at 4.64% Blizzcon Chances. 45.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.39%. 54.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.35%. Bunny is at 30.15% Blizzcon Chances. 65.51% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 36.67%. 34.49% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.78%. Kane is at 3.59% Blizzcon Chances. 48.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.66%. 51.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.65%. Has is at 2.43% Blizzcon Chances. 40.56% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.27%. 59.44% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.18%.
RagnaroK vs Dearin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. RagnaroK is at 0.54% Blizzcon Chances. 33.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.19%. 66.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.21%. Dear is at 38.43% Blizzcon Chances. 66.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 45.09%. 33.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.43%.
Bomber vs Shinein in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Bomber is at 14.76% Blizzcon Chances. 66.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.71%. 33.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.92%. Shine is at 0.28% Blizzcon Chances. 33.53% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.63%. 66.47% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.1%.
San vs Sacsriin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. San is at 3.41% Blizzcon Chances. 48.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.55%. 51.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.4%. Sacsri is at 4.97% Blizzcon Chances. 51.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.64%. 48.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.13%.
Dream vs SuperNovain in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Dream is at 75.67% Blizzcon Chances. 48.9% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 84.17%. 51.1% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 67.53%. SuperNova is at 1.56% Blizzcon Chances. 51.1% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.52%. 48.9% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.55%.
Maru vs Billowyin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Maru is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances. 71.32% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 100%. 28.68% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. Billowy is at 0.13% Blizzcon Chances. 28.68% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.34%. 71.32% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%.
Rain vs Curein in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Rain is at 42.32% Blizzcon Chances. 57.92% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 52.74%. 42.08% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.99%. Cure is at 10.03% Blizzcon Chances. 42.08% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 16.15%. 57.92% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.58%.
Ryung vs Darkin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Ryung is at 0.41% Blizzcon Chances. 31.83% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.93%. 68.17% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.16%. Dark is at 47.92% Blizzcon Chances. 68.17% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 55.85%. 31.83% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.92%.
Impact vs GuMihoin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Impact is at 0.91% Blizzcon Chances. 43.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.68%. 56.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.32%. GuMiho is at 20.68% Blizzcon Chances. 56.91% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.54%. 43.09% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.61%.
Flash vs Superin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Flash is at 6.18% Blizzcon Chances. 52.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.26%. 47.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.77%. Super is at 22.29% Blizzcon Chances. 47.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.8%. 52.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.59%.
WCS Qualifiers Season 2in ~ Ian has a 35.47% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Slam has a 30.44% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Top has a 30.09% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 0.48% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. TooDming has a 29.44% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.26% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
FanTaSy vs Pigbabyin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. FanTaSy is at 27.95% Blizzcon Chances. 64.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.74%. 35.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.79%. Pigbaby is at 0.37% Blizzcon Chances. 35.86% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.79%. 64.14% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.13%.
HerO vs Terminatorin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. HerO is at 0.63% Blizzcon Chances. 47.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.1%. 52.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.19%. Terminator is at 15.35% Blizzcon Chances. 52.03% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 22.16%. 47.97% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.97%.
Soulkey vs Creatorin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Soulkey is at 22.73% Blizzcon Chances. 62.19% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 29.31%. 37.81% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.91%. Creator is at 0.88% Blizzcon Chances. 37.81% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.79%. 62.19% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.33%.
WCS Challenger Season 2in ~ Polt has a 87.69% chance to win ----going from 33.02% to 35.99% if they get 1st, or 11.81% if they don't. ForGG has a 87.68% chance to win ----going from 68.08% to 72.21% if they get 1st, or 38.69% if they don't. Hydra has a 86.97% chance to win ----going from 60.79% to 64.99% if they get 1st, or 32.69% if they don't. MajOr has a 86.47% chance to win ----going from 7.73% to 8.79% if they get 1st, or 0.99% if they don't.
MarineKing vs Patiencein in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MarineKing is at 3.91% Blizzcon Chances. 53.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.95%. 46.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.56%. Patience is at 2.73% Blizzcon Chances. 46.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.63%. 53.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.08%.
Curious vs BrAvOin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Curious is at 1.33% Blizzcon Chances. 58.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.98%. 41.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.4%. BrAvO is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances. 41.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.35%. 58.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%.
MC vs Trustin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MC is at 1.75% Blizzcon Chances. 37.74% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.42%. 62.26% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.73%. Trust is at 2.24% Blizzcon Chances. 62.26% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.18%. 37.74% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.7%.
DreamHack Toursin ~ Life has a 1.87% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 1.84% chance to win ----going from 92.47% to 99.77% if they get 1st, or 92.33% if they don't. INnoVation has a 1.75% chance to win ----going from 67.78% to 90.23% if they get 1st, or 67.37% if they don't. Maru has a 1.68% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.
WCS Premier Season 2in ~ ForGG has a 15.75% chance to win ----going from 68.08% to 99.51% if they get 1st, or 82.79% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 12.46% chance to win ----going from 60.79% to 99.32% if they get 1st, or 78.46% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 8.2% chance to win ----going from 30.15% to 91.01% if they get 1st, or 46.94% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 7.1% chance to win ----going from 34.53% to 96.9% if they get 1st, or 56.26% if they get 2nd.
DreamHack Valenciain ~ Life has a 1.9% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 1.83% chance to win ----going from 92.47% to 99.86% if they get 1st, or 92.33% if they don't. INnoVation has a 1.77% chance to win ----going from 67.78% to 89.95% if they get 1st, or 67.38% if they don't. Maru has a 1.67% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.
DreamHack Stocholmin ~ Life has a 1.86% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 1.82% chance to win ----going from 92.47% to 99.77% if they get 1st, or 92.33% if they don't. INnoVation has a 1.77% chance to win ----going from 67.78% to 90.53% if they get 1st, or 67.37% if they don't. ForGG has a 1.67% chance to win ----going from 68.08% to 85.05% if they get 1st, or 67.8% if they don't.
Biggest Winners and Losers since before Code A S2 matches set (Sim ID #1300 vs Sim ID #1302) Biggest Winners Zest went up by 16.3%, going from 54.26% to 70.56% INnoVation went up by 11.4%, going from 67.65% to 79.05% Cure went up by 10.03%, going from 10.02% to 20.06% Super went up by 4.8%, going from 22.31% to 27.11% Dream went up by 4.05%, going from 75.61% to 79.66% Stats went up by 3.93%, going from 42.46% to 46.39% Leenock went up by 2.9%, going from 4.63% to 7.54% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Losira went up by 2.33%, going from 0.56% to 2.89% Dear went up by 2.01%, going from 38.18% to 40.19% Rogue went up by 1.21%, going from 65.29% to 66.5% MacSed went up by 1.1%, going from 0.63% to 1.73%
Biggest Losers Trap went down by 4.82%, going from 42.34% to 37.52% Dark went down by 4.41%, going from 47.79% to 43.38% Rain went down by 4.12%, going from 42.21% to 38.09% Bbyong went down by 3.97%, going from 29.11% to 25.13% Solar went down by 3.61%, going from 30.45% to 26.84% TY went down by 3.45%, going from 40.5% to 37.05% ForGG went down by 3.43%, going from 68.13% to 64.7% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Hydra went down by 3.34%, going from 60.89% to 57.55% MMA went down by 3.07%, going from 34.95% to 31.88% GuMiho went down by 2.85%, going from 22.19% to 19.34% FanTaSy went down by 2.79%, going from 27.94% to 25.15% TaeJa went down by 2.25%, going from 13.97% to 11.72% sOs went down by 2.22%, going from 22.44% to 20.22% Soulkey went down by 1.74%, going from 22.76% to 21.02% Bomber went down by 1.53%, going from 14.75% to 13.22% PartinG went down by 1.49%, going from 92.4% to 90.9% Polt went down by 1.32%, going from 32.97% to 31.65% Terminator went down by 1.12%, going from 15.36% to 14.24% HyuN went down by 0.97%, going from 4.58% to 3.61% Snute went down by 0.95%, going from 34.7% to 33.76% Bunny went down by 0.93%, going from 30.19% to 29.26% Flash went down by 0.63%, going from 6.14% to 5.51% soO went down by 0.59%, going from 6.05% to 5.46% YoDa went down by 0.5%, going from 6.13% to 5.64% Sacsri went down by 0.46%, going from 4.93% to 4.47% NaNiwa went down by 0.45%, going from 12.29% to 11.84% ShoWTimE went down by 0.41%, going from 14.41% to 13.99% viOLet went down by 0.4%, going from 6.9% to 6.5% First went down by 0.31%, going from 5.24% to 4.93% MajOr went down by 0.28%, going from 7.72% to 7.44% PiG went down by 0.23%, going from 9.43% to 9.19% MaNa went down by 0.22%, going from 9.64% to 9.42% ByuL went down by 0.21%, going from 3.13% to 2.92% Happy went down by 0.2%, going from 6.52% to 6.32% TRUE went down by 0.2%, going from 1.87% to 1.67% TargA went down by 0.19%, going from 5.34% to 5.16% San went down by 0.16%, going from 3.38% to 3.22% Jaedong went down by 0.16%, going from 1.98% to 1.83% VortiX went down by 0.15%, going from 1.69% to 1.54% Serral went down by 0.15%, going from 5.74% to 5.6% DongRaeGu went down by 0.15%, going from 2.46% to 2.31% Lilbow went down by 0.12%, going from 1.79% to 1.67%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 90.08% Chances of 2+ foreigners 54.83% Chances of 3+ foreigners 17.99% Chances of 4+ foreigners 2.97%
Snute8.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 33.76% chance overall. Bunny7.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 29.26% chance overall. ShoWTimE2.87% chance to be the only foreigner, 13.99% chance overall. NaNiwa2.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.84% chance overall. PiG1.81% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.19% chance overall. MaNa1.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.42% chance overall. MajOr1.45% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.44% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Happy1.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.32% chance overall. Serral1.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.6% chance overall. TargA0.99% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.16% chance overall. Welmu0.86% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.55% chance overall. Kane0.65% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.55% chance overall. Has0.44% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.36% chance overall. Sen0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.02% chance overall. HuK0.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.86% chance overall. TLO0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.87% chance overall. Lilbow0.3% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.67% chance overall. VortiX0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.54% chance overall. MacSed0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.73% chance overall. Jim0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.45% chance overall. FireCake0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.1% chance overall. Nerchio0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.8% chance overall. MorroW0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.77% chance overall. MarineLorD0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.77% chance overall. uThermal0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.69% chance overall. XiGua0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.68% chance overall. iaguz0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.65% chance overall. MaSa0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.69% chance overall. puCK0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.5% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.52% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.37% chance overall. Boombox0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall. Harstem0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.31% chance overall. Petraeus0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.3% chance overall. Scarlett0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.3% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 2 defenses! PartinG is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Zest is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
WCS Point Cutoffs 0.92% of the time 2350 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.64% of the time 2525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 28.11% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 48.77% of the time 2750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 69.07% of the time 2850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.43% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.01% of the time 3225 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Upcoming GSL Code A Season 2in ~ Trap has a 80.72% chance to win ----going from 37.52% to 41.98% if they get 1st, or 18.87% if they don't. Maru has a 71.32% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Symbol has a 70.96% chance to win ----going from 1.4% to 1.82% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. TaeJa has a 69.25% chance to win ----going from 11.72% to 14.76% if they get 1st, or 4.88% if they don't.
YoDa vs DongRaeGuin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. YoDa is at 5.64% Blizzcon Chances. 51.51% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.54%. 48.49% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.55%. DongRaeGu is at 2.31% Blizzcon Chances. 48.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.79%. 51.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.91%.
Seed vs soOin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Seed is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances. 31.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.17%. 68.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.03%. soO is at 5.46% Blizzcon Chances. 68.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.11%. 31.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.95%.
ByuL vs YongHwain in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. ByuL is at 2.92% Blizzcon Chances. 56.18% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.35%. 43.82% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.09%. YongHwa is at 1.08% Blizzcon Chances. 43.82% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.92%. 56.18% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.42%.
TaeJa vs Sorryin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. TaeJa is at 11.72% Blizzcon Chances. 69.25% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.76%. 30.75% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.88%. Sorry is at 0.41% Blizzcon Chances. 30.75% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.91%. 69.25% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.19%.
Trap vs Panicin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Trap is at 37.52% Blizzcon Chances. 80.72% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 41.98%. 19.28% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.87%. Panic is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances. 19.28% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.14%. 80.72% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%.
Copenhagen Springin ~ PartinG has a 20.74% chance to win ----going from 90.9% to 94.52% if they get 1st, or 89.96% if they don't. Rain has a 14.13% chance to win ----going from 38.09% to 45.09% if they get 1st, or 36.94% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 10.29% chance to win ----going from 25.15% to 31.27% if they get 1st, or 24.44% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 8.9% chance to win ----going from 11.84% to 15.08% if they get 1st, or 11.52% if they don't.
Hack vs Bbyongin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Hack is at 0.97% Blizzcon Chances. 43.27% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.72%. 56.73% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.4%. Bbyong is at 25.13% Blizzcon Chances. 56.73% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.45%. 43.27% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.23%.
Heart vs sOsin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Heart is at 1.72% Blizzcon Chances. 35.75% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.32%. 64.25% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.83%. sOs is at 20.22% Blizzcon Chances. 64.25% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.06%. 35.75% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.73%.
Symbol vs PenguiNin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Symbol is at 1.4% Blizzcon Chances. 70.96% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.82%. 29.04% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.39%. PenguiN is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 29.04% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 70.96% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
WCS Premier Season 1in ~ ForGG has a 21.13% chance to win ----going from 64.7% to 96.51% if they get 1st, or 69.94% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 18.25% chance to win ----going from 57.55% to 95.85% if they get 1st, or 64.43% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 12.11% chance to win ----going from 33.76% to 87.61% if they get 1st, or 40.67% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 11.83% chance to win ----going from 29.26% to 78.76% if they get 1st, or 34.73% if they get 2nd.
ForGG, TLO, XiGua, and Serralin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. ForGG is at 64.7% Blizzcon Chances. 73.9% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 70.51%. 26.1% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 48.24%. XiGua is at 0.68% Blizzcon Chances. 33.28% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.43%. 66.72% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.3%. TLO is at 1.87% Blizzcon Chances. 38.38% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.49%. 61.62% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.87%. Serral is at 5.6% Blizzcon Chances. 54.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.15%. 45.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.54%.
ShoWTimE, PiG, MacSed, and Snutein in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. ShoWTimE is at 13.99% Blizzcon Chances. 59.17% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.67%. 40.83% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.21%. MacSed is at 1.73% Blizzcon Chances. 26.68% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.47%. 73.32% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.1%. PiG is at 9.19% Blizzcon Chances. 45.48% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.41%. 54.52% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.84%. Snute is at 33.76% Blizzcon Chances. 68.66% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.17%. 31.34% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 19.71%.
MyuNgSiK vs Firstin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MyuNgSiK is at 1.71% Blizzcon Chances. 36.71% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.37%. 63.29% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.75%. First is at 4.93% Blizzcon Chances. 63.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.76%. 36.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.78%.
Hydra, FireCake, MaNa, and Poltin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Hydra is at 57.55% Blizzcon Chances. 69.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 64.77%. 30.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 41.02%. MaNa is at 9.42% Blizzcon Chances. 42.6% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.98%. 57.4% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.3%. FireCake is at 1.1% Blizzcon Chances. 32.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.3%. 67.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.53%. Polt is at 31.65% Blizzcon Chances. 55.32% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.03%. 44.68% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.27%.
Welmu, Kane, Bunny, and Hasin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Welmu is at 4.55% Blizzcon Chances. 45.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.28%. 54.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.28%. Bunny is at 29.26% Blizzcon Chances. 65.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 35.66%. 34.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.1%. Kane is at 3.55% Blizzcon Chances. 48.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.59%. 51.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.63%. Has is at 2.36% Blizzcon Chances. 40.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.16%. 59.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.14%.
RagnaroK vs Dearin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. RagnaroK is at 0.57% Blizzcon Chances. 33.9% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.21%. 66.1% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.24%. Dear is at 40.19% Blizzcon Chances. 66.1% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 46.86%. 33.9% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.17%.
Bomber vs Shinein in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Bomber is at 13.22% Blizzcon Chances. 66.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 16.94%. 33.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.83%. Shine is at 0.31% Blizzcon Chances. 33.51% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.66%. 66.49% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.12%.
San vs Sacsriin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. San is at 3.22% Blizzcon Chances. 48.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.25%. 51.57% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.31%. Sacsri is at 4.47% Blizzcon Chances. 51.57% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.91%. 48.43% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.88%.
Dream vs SuperNovain in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Dream is at 79.66% Blizzcon Chances. 48.91% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 87.29%. 51.09% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 72.35%. SuperNova is at 1.57% Blizzcon Chances. 51.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.5%. 48.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.61%.
Maru vs Billowyin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances. 71.32% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 100%. 28.68% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 100%. Billowy is at 0.15% Blizzcon Chances. 28.68% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.35%. 71.32% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.07%.
Rain vs Curein in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Rain is at 38.09% Blizzcon Chances. 57.92% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 48.74%. 42.08% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.43%. Cure is at 20.06% Blizzcon Chances. 42.08% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 28.11%. 57.92% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.21%.
Ryung vs Darkin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Ryung is at 0.45% Blizzcon Chances. 31.83% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.98%. 68.17% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.21%. Dark is at 43.38% Blizzcon Chances. 68.17% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 51.53%. 31.83% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.94%.
Impact vs GuMihoin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Impact is at 1.01% Blizzcon Chances. 42.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.85%. 57.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.39%. GuMiho is at 19.34% Blizzcon Chances. 57.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.12%. 42.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.2%.
Flash vs Superin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Flash is at 5.51% Blizzcon Chances. 52.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.33%. 47.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.4%. Super is at 27.11% Blizzcon Chances. 47.56% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 35.92%. 52.44% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 19.13%.
WCS Qualifiers Season 2in ~ Ian has a 35.55% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Slam has a 30.51% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Top has a 30.02% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 0.46% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. TooDming has a 29.44% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.26% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
FanTaSy vs Pigbabyin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. FanTaSy is at 25.15% Blizzcon Chances. 64.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 31.78%. 35.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.32%. Pigbaby is at 0.41% Blizzcon Chances. 35.91% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.85%. 64.09% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.16%.
HerO vs Terminatorin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. HerO is at 0.67% Blizzcon Chances. 48.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.14%. 51.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.23%. Terminator is at 14.24% Blizzcon Chances. 51.99% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.76%. 48.01% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.18%.
Soulkey vs Creatorin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Soulkey is at 21.02% Blizzcon Chances. 62.19% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.39%. 37.81% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.54%. Creator is at 0.94% Blizzcon Chances. 37.81% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.88%. 62.19% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.38%.
WCS Challenger Season 2in ~ Polt has a 87.71% chance to win ----going from 31.65% to 34.56% if they get 1st, or 10.83% if they don't. ForGG has a 87.64% chance to win ----going from 64.7% to 69.08% if they get 1st, or 33.61% if they don't. Hydra has a 87.08% chance to win ----going from 57.55% to 61.89% if they get 1st, or 28.34% if they don't. MajOr has a 86.43% chance to win ----going from 7.44% to 8.47% if they get 1st, or 0.92% if they don't.
MarineKing vs Patiencein in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MarineKing is at 3.95% Blizzcon Chances. 53.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.96%. 46.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.64%. Patience is at 2.73% Blizzcon Chances. 46.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.6%. 53.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.1%.
Curious vs BrAvOin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Curious is at 1.34% Blizzcon Chances. 58.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.98%. 41.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.44%. BrAvO is at 0.21% Blizzcon Chances. 41.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.39%. 58.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%.
MC vs Trustin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MC is at 1.76% Blizzcon Chances. 37.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.4%. 62.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.77%. Trust is at 2.19% Blizzcon Chances. 62.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.08%. 37.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.71%.
DreamHack Toursin ~ Life has a 1.89% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 1.85% chance to win ----going from 90.9% to 99.77% if they get 1st, or 90.74% if they don't. INnoVation has a 1.74% chance to win ----going from 79.05% to 95.13% if they get 1st, or 78.77% if they don't. ForGG has a 1.67% chance to win ----going from 64.7% to 82.69% if they get 1st, or 64.39% if they don't.
WCS Premier Season 2in ~ ForGG has a 15.79% chance to win ----going from 64.7% to 99.4% if they get 1st, or 80.4% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 12.54% chance to win ----going from 57.55% to 99.15% if they get 1st, or 75.91% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 8.18% chance to win ----going from 29.26% to 90.18% if they get 1st, or 45.59% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 7.11% chance to win ----going from 33.76% to 96.63% if they get 1st, or 55.21% if they get 2nd.
DreamHack Valenciain ~ Life has a 1.88% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 1.83% chance to win ----going from 90.9% to 99.75% if they get 1st, or 90.74% if they don't. INnoVation has a 1.75% chance to win ----going from 79.05% to 95.11% if they get 1st, or 78.76% if they don't. ForGG has a 1.66% chance to win ----going from 64.7% to 82.56% if they get 1st, or 64.4% if they don't.
DreamHack Stocholmin ~ Life has a 1.89% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 1.84% chance to win ----going from 90.9% to 99.77% if they get 1st, or 90.74% if they don't. INnoVation has a 1.76% chance to win ----going from 79.05% to 95.13% if they get 1st, or 78.76% if they don't. ForGG has a 1.67% chance to win ----going from 64.7% to 82.76% if they get 1st, or 64.39% if they don't.
Biggest Winners and Losers since before Gfinity Spring 1 added (Sim ID #1302 vs Sim ID #1303) Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 3.6%, going from 66.51% to 70.11% FanTaSy went up by 2.72%, going from 25.13% to 27.84% Hydra went up by 2.66%, going from 57.55% to 60.21% Rain went up by 2.47%, going from 38.07% to 40.55% PartinG went up by 1.72%, going from 90.9% to 92.62% Snute went up by 1.71%, going from 33.75% to 35.46% Soulkey went up by 1.64%, going from 21.06% to 22.7% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Terminator went up by 1.45%, going from 14.25% to 15.7% Bunny went up by 1.24%, going from 29.27% to 30.51% TargA went up by 0.69%, going from 5.15% to 5.84% Sacsri went up by 0.55%, going from 4.48% to 5.03% Heart went up by 0.29%, going from 1.72% to 2.01% TRUE went up by 0.28%, going from 1.67% to 1.95% Jaedong went up by 0.18%, going from 1.82% to 2.01% jjakji went up by 0.15%, going from 0.83% to 0.98% MC went up by 0.14%, going from 1.75% to 1.9%
Biggest Losers Zest went down by 1.18%, going from 70.56% to 69.38% Dark went down by 0.98%, going from 43.38% to 42.4% Stats went down by 0.97%, going from 46.38% to 45.41% Dream went down by 0.93%, going from 79.65% to 78.72% TY went down by 0.92%, going from 37.05% to 36.14% MMA went down by 0.85%, going from 31.88% to 31.02% Dear went down by 0.82%, going from 40.19% to 39.37% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Trap went down by 0.78%, going from 37.54% to 36.76% Super went down by 0.72%, going from 27.07% to 26.35% INnoVation went down by 0.68%, going from 79.06% to 78.37% Bbyong went down by 0.67%, going from 25.13% to 24.46% Polt went down by 0.67%, going from 31.64% to 30.97% Solar went down by 0.66%, going from 26.85% to 26.19% ForGG went down by 0.61%, going from 64.69% to 64.09% GuMiho went down by 0.6%, going from 19.33% to 18.73% Cure went down by 0.53%, going from 20.08% to 19.54% sOs went down by 0.53%, going from 20.24% to 19.7% ShoWTimE went down by 0.48%, going from 14.02% to 13.53% TaeJa went down by 0.41%, going from 11.72% to 11.31% Bomber went down by 0.4%, going from 13.24% to 12.84% PiG went down by 0.35%, going from 9.2% to 8.85% MaNa went down by 0.34%, going from 9.41% to 9.07% NaNiwa went down by 0.33%, going from 11.84% to 11.5% Leenock went down by 0.31%, going from 7.54% to 7.23% MajOr went down by 0.29%, going from 7.45% to 7.16% Happy went down by 0.26%, going from 6.31% to 6.05% Serral went down by 0.23%, going from 5.6% to 5.37% viOLet went down by 0.22%, going from 6.49% to 6.27% YoDa went down by 0.21%, going from 5.64% to 5.43% soO went down by 0.21%, going from 5.44% to 5.23% Welmu went down by 0.21%, going from 4.55% to 4.34% First went down by 0.2%, going from 4.94% to 4.73% MarineKing went down by 0.2%, going from 3.95% to 3.75% Flash went down by 0.18%, going from 5.49% to 5.31% Patience went down by 0.15%, going from 2.73% to 2.58% Kane went down by 0.15%, going from 3.55% to 3.4% HyuN went down by 0.13%, going from 3.61% to 3.48% ByuL went down by 0.13%, going from 2.92% to 2.79% Losira went down by 0.12%, going from 2.89% to 2.77% San went down by 0.12%, going from 3.21% to 3.09% Sen went down by 0.12%, going from 2.03% to 1.91% Has went down by 0.11%, going from 2.36% to 2.25% TLO went down by 0.11%, going from 1.88% to 1.78%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 90.16% Chances of 2+ foreigners 54.77% Chances of 3+ foreigners 17.79% Chances of 4+ foreigners 2.87%
Snute8.91% chance to be the only foreigner, 35.46% chance overall. Bunny7.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 30.51% chance overall. ShoWTimE2.76% chance to be the only foreigner, 13.53% chance overall. NaNiwa2.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.5% chance overall. PiG1.74% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.85% chance overall. MaNa1.73% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.07% chance overall. MajOr1.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.16% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Happy1.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.05% chance overall. TargA1.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.84% chance overall. Serral0.99% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.37% chance overall. Welmu0.81% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.34% chance overall. Kane0.63% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.4% chance overall. Has0.42% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.25% chance overall. Sen0.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.91% chance overall. HuK0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.77% chance overall. TLO0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.78% chance overall. Lilbow0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.6% chance overall. VortiX0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.47% chance overall. MacSed0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.65% chance overall. Jim0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.38% chance overall. FireCake0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.04% chance overall. Nerchio0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.75% chance overall. MarineLorD0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.74% chance overall. MorroW0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.73% chance overall. uThermal0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.66% chance overall. iaguz0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.62% chance overall. XiGua0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.65% chance overall. MaSa0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.67% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.48% chance overall. puCK0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.47% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.35% chance overall. Boombox0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.3% chance overall. Harstem0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.29% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 2 defenses! PartinG is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Zest is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
WCS Point Cutoffs 0.93% of the time 2375 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 10.05% of the time 2550 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 28.34% of the time 2675 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 48.53% of the time 2775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 68.62% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.31% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.97% of the time 3250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Upcoming StarLeague Qualifiers Season 2in ~ PartinG has a 36.79% chance to win ----going from 92.62% to 94.75% if they get 1st, or 91.38% if they don't. ForGG has a 34.99% chance to win ----going from 64.09% to 70.28% if they get 1st, or 60.75% if they don't. herO has a 34.7% chance to win ----going from 99.88% to 99.92% if they get 1st, or 99.85% if they don't. Trap has a 34.4% chance to win ----going from 36.76% to 45.92% if they get 1st, or 31.96% if they don't.
Gfinity Spring 1in ~ PartinG has a 15.89% chance to win ----going from 92.62% to 96.16% if they get 1st, or 94.57% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 9.94% chance to win ----going from 40.55% to 48.84% if they get 1st, or 44.96% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 9.41% chance to win ----going from 60.21% to 65.38% if they get 1st, or 62.47% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 8.44% chance to win ----going from 70.11% to 76.59% if they get 1st, or 72.85% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 7.02% chance to win ----going from 35.46% to 41.94% if they get 1st, or 38.72% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
FanTaSy has a 6.49% chance to win ----going from 27.84% to 34.23% if they get 1st, or 30.77% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 6.43% chance to win ----going from 30.51% to 36.49% if they get 1st, or 30.1% if they don't. Terminator has a 6.36% chance to win ----going from 15.7% to 21.54% if they get 1st, or 18.5% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 5.24% chance to win ----going from 22.7% to 30.29% if they get 1st, or 26.45% if they get 2nd. Sacsri has a 4.53% chance to win ----going from 5.03% to 6.74% if they get 1st, or 4.95% if they don't. Jaedong has a 4.15% chance to win ----going from 2.01% to 3.02% if they get 1st, or 1.96% if they don't. TRUE has a 3.43% chance to win ----going from 1.95% to 2.82% if they get 1st, or 1.92% if they don't. Heart has a 3.41% chance to win ----going from 2.01% to 2.85% if they get 1st, or 1.98% if they don't. jjakji has a 3.36% chance to win ----going from 0.98% to 1.49% if they get 1st, or 0.96% if they don't. TargA has a 3.04% chance to win ----going from 5.84% to 8.01% if they get 1st, or 6.84% if they get 2nd. MC has a 2.86% chance to win ----going from 1.9% to 3.13% if they get 1st, or 1.86% if they don't.
PartinG, Snute, TargA, and TRUEin in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. PartinG is at 92.62% Blizzcon Chances. 64.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 93.9%. 35.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 90.28%. TargA is at 5.84% Blizzcon Chances. 41.17% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.24%. 58.83% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.56%. Snute is at 35.46% Blizzcon Chances. 54.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.37%. 45.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.14%. TRUE is at 1.95% Blizzcon Chances. 39.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.11%. 60.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.85%.
Bunny, Hydra, FanTaSy, and Rainin in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. Bunny is at 30.51% Blizzcon Chances. 46.28% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.65%. 53.72% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 28.68%. FanTaSy is at 27.84% Blizzcon Chances. 46.83% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 29.24%. 53.17% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.62%. Hydra is at 60.21% Blizzcon Chances. 52.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 61.39%. 47.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 58.89%. Rain is at 40.55% Blizzcon Chances. 54.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.35%. 45.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.24%.
Rogue, Sacsri, Soulkey, and MCin in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. Rogue is at 70.11% Blizzcon Chances. 59.04% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 71.27%. 40.96% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.44%. Soulkey is at 22.7% Blizzcon Chances. 52.24% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.76%. 47.76% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.44%. Sacsri is at 5.03% Blizzcon Chances. 47.58% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.33%. 52.42% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.75%. MC is at 1.9% Blizzcon Chances. 41.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.23%. 58.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.67%.
jjakji, Heart, Jaedong, and Terminatorin in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. jjakji is at 0.98% Blizzcon Chances. 48.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.04%. 51.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.92%. Jaedong is at 2.01% Blizzcon Chances. 46.79% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.3%. 53.21% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.74%. Heart is at 2.01% Blizzcon Chances. 48.32% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.13%. 51.68% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.9%. Terminator is at 15.7% Blizzcon Chances. 56.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.21%. 43.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.71%.
GSL Code A Season 2in ~ Trap has a 80.72% chance to win ----going from 36.76% to 41.2% if they get 1st, or 18.17% if they don't. Maru has a 71.28% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Symbol has a 70.96% chance to win ----going from 1.32% to 1.71% if they get 1st, or 0.38% if they don't. TaeJa has a 69.31% chance to win ----going from 11.31% to 14.24% if they get 1st, or 4.7% if they don't.
DongRaeGu vs YoDain in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. DongRaeGu is at 2.24% Blizzcon Chances. 48.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.67%. 51.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.89%. YoDa is at 5.43% Blizzcon Chances. 51.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.25%. 48.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.43%.
soO vs Seedin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. soO is at 5.23% Blizzcon Chances. 68.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.82%. 31.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.84%. Seed is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances. 31.91% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.16%. 68.09% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%.
ByuL vs YongHwain in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. ByuL is at 2.79% Blizzcon Chances. 56.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.17%. 43.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.03%. YongHwa is at 1.01% Blizzcon Chances. 43.86% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.81%. 56.14% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.38%.
TaeJa vs Sorryin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. TaeJa is at 11.31% Blizzcon Chances. 69.31% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.24%. 30.69% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.7%. Sorry is at 0.38% Blizzcon Chances. 30.69% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.84%. 69.31% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.18%.
Trap vs Panicin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Trap is at 36.76% Blizzcon Chances. 80.72% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 41.2%. 19.28% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.17%. Panic is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances. 19.28% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.13%. 80.72% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%.
Copenhagen Springin ~ PartinG has a 20.72% chance to win ----going from 92.62% to 95.85% if they get 1st, or 91.78% if they don't. Rain has a 14.14% chance to win ----going from 40.55% to 47.56% if they get 1st, or 39.39% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 10.37% chance to win ----going from 27.84% to 34.48% if they get 1st, or 27.08% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 8.91% chance to win ----going from 11.5% to 14.59% if they get 1st, or 11.2% if they don't.
Hack vs Bbyongin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Hack is at 0.91% Blizzcon Chances. 43.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.62%. 56.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.37%. Bbyong is at 24.46% Blizzcon Chances. 56.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.61%. 43.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.79%.
Heart vs sOsin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Heart is at 2.01% Blizzcon Chances. 35.75% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.86%. 64.25% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.98%. sOs is at 19.7% Blizzcon Chances. 64.25% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.42%. 35.75% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.43%.
PenguiN vs Symbolin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. PenguiN is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 29.04% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 70.96% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. Symbol is at 1.32% Blizzcon Chances. 70.96% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.71%. 29.04% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.38%.
WCS Premier Season 1in ~ ForGG has a 21.11% chance to win ----going from 64.09% to 96.2% if they get 1st, or 69.26% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 18.2% chance to win ----going from 60.21% to 97.14% if they get 1st, or 68.12% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 12.13% chance to win ----going from 35.46% to 89.61% if they get 1st, or 43.19% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 11.87% chance to win ----going from 30.51% to 80.59% if they get 1st, or 36.34% if they get 2nd.
Serral, XiGua, TLO, and ForGGin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Serral is at 5.37% Blizzcon Chances. 54.41% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.86%. 45.59% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.4%. TLO is at 1.78% Blizzcon Chances. 38.36% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.34%. 61.64% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.8%. XiGua is at 0.65% Blizzcon Chances. 33.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.37%. 66.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.29%. ForGG is at 64.09% Blizzcon Chances. 73.88% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.92%. 26.12% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 47.58%.
ShoWTimE, PiG, MacSed, and Snutein in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. ShoWTimE is at 13.53% Blizzcon Chances. 59.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.1%. 40.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.91%. MacSed is at 1.65% Blizzcon Chances. 26.66% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.34%. 73.34% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.03%. PiG is at 8.85% Blizzcon Chances. 45.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.93%. 54.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.61%. Snute is at 35.46% Blizzcon Chances. 68.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.07%. 31.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.99%.
First vs MyuNgSiKin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. First is at 4.73% Blizzcon Chances. 63.32% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.5%. 36.68% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.69%. MyuNgSiK is at 1.63% Blizzcon Chances. 36.68% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.17%. 63.32% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.73%.
Polt, MaNa, FireCake, and Hydrain in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Polt is at 30.97% Blizzcon Chances. 55.31% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 39.23%. 44.69% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.75%. FireCake is at 1.04% Blizzcon Chances. 32.54% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.19%. 67.46% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.49%. MaNa is at 9.07% Blizzcon Chances. 42.6% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.46%. 57.4% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.07%. Hydra is at 60.21% Blizzcon Chances. 69.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 67.45%. 30.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.66%.
Has, Bunny, Kane, and Welmuin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Has is at 2.25% Blizzcon Chances. 40.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.97%. 59.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.08%. Kane is at 3.4% Blizzcon Chances. 48.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.34%. 51.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.58%. Bunny is at 30.51% Blizzcon Chances. 65.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.02%. 34.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.09%. Welmu is at 4.34% Blizzcon Chances. 45.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.96%. 54.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.16%.
Dear vs RagnaroKin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Dear is at 39.37% Blizzcon Chances. 66.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 45.99%. 33.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.46%. RagnaroK is at 0.54% Blizzcon Chances. 33.91% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.15%. 66.09% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.23%.
Bomber vs Shinein in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Bomber is at 12.84% Blizzcon Chances. 66.51% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 16.47%. 33.49% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.63%. Shine is at 0.29% Blizzcon Chances. 33.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.62%. 66.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.12%.
San vs Sacsriin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. San is at 3.09% Blizzcon Chances. 48.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.07%. 51.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.23%. Sacsri is at 5.03% Blizzcon Chances. 51.53% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.75%. 48.47% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.14%.
Dream vs SuperNovain in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Dream is at 78.72% Blizzcon Chances. 48.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 86.55%. 51.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 71.24%. SuperNova is at 1.5% Blizzcon Chances. 51.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.4%. 48.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.56%.
Maru vs Billowyin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances. 71.28% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 100%. 28.72% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 100%. Billowy is at 0.14% Blizzcon Chances. 28.72% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.34%. 71.28% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%.
Cure vs Rainin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Cure is at 19.54% Blizzcon Chances. 42.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.51%. 57.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.75%. Rain is at 40.55% Blizzcon Chances. 57.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 51.42%. 42.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.6%.
Ryung vs Darkin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Ryung is at 0.42% Blizzcon Chances. 31.82% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.93%. 68.18% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.19%. Dark is at 42.4% Blizzcon Chances. 68.18% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 50.5%. 31.82% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.05%.
GuMiho vs Impactin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. GuMiho is at 18.73% Blizzcon Chances. 57.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.35%. 42.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.81%. Impact is at 0.96% Blizzcon Chances. 42.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.76%. 57.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.37%.
Super vs Flashin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Super is at 26.35% Blizzcon Chances. 47.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 35.04%. 52.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.47%. Flash is at 5.31% Blizzcon Chances. 52.48% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.02%. 47.52% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.33%.
WCS Qualifiers Season 2in ~ Ian has a 35.51% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Slam has a 30.46% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Top has a 30.05% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 0.43% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. TooDming has a 29.47% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
FanTaSy vs Pigbabyin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. FanTaSy is at 27.84% Blizzcon Chances. 64.03% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.93%. 35.97% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.23%. Pigbaby is at 0.39% Blizzcon Chances. 35.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.81%. 64.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.15%.
Terminator vs HerOin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Terminator is at 15.7% Blizzcon Chances. 51.98% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 22.7%. 48.02% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.13%. HerO is at 0.63% Blizzcon Chances. 48.02% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.09%. 51.98% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.21%.
Creator vs Soulkeyin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Creator is at 0.89% Blizzcon Chances. 37.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.75%. 62.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.37%. Soulkey is at 22.7% Blizzcon Chances. 62.22% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 29.34%. 37.78% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.75%.
WCS Challenger Season 2in ~ Polt has a 87.73% chance to win ----going from 30.97% to 33.84% if they get 1st, or 10.44% if they don't. ForGG has a 87.66% chance to win ----going from 64.09% to 68.47% if they get 1st, or 32.94% if they don't. Hydra has a 87.09% chance to win ----going from 60.21% to 64.54% if they get 1st, or 30.99% if they don't. MajOr has a 86.45% chance to win ----going from 7.16% to 8.13% if they get 1st, or 0.93% if they don't.
MarineKing vs Patiencein in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MarineKing is at 3.75% Blizzcon Chances. 53.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.64%. 46.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.56%. Patience is at 2.58% Blizzcon Chances. 46.48% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.36%. 53.52% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.04%.
Curious vs BrAvOin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Curious is at 1.29% Blizzcon Chances. 58.75% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.9%. 41.25% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.41%. BrAvO is at 0.19% Blizzcon Chances. 41.25% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.36%. 58.75% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.07%.
MC vs Trustin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MC is at 1.9% Blizzcon Chances. 37.72% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.66%. 62.28% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.83%. Trust is at 2.1% Blizzcon Chances. 62.28% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.95%. 37.72% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.7%.
DreamHack Toursin ~ Life has a 1.87% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 1.83% chance to win ----going from 92.62% to 99.82% if they get 1st, or 92.49% if they don't. INnoVation has a 1.76% chance to win ----going from 78.37% to 94.67% if they get 1st, or 78.08% if they don't. ForGG has a 1.67% chance to win ----going from 64.09% to 82.1% if they get 1st, or 63.78% if they don't.
WCS Premier Season 2in ~ ForGG has a 15.8% chance to win ----going from 64.09% to 99.3% if they get 1st, or 79.74% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 12.52% chance to win ----going from 60.21% to 99.52% if they get 1st, or 79.26% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 8.22% chance to win ----going from 30.51% to 91.47% if they get 1st, or 47.47% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 7.16% chance to win ----going from 35.46% to 97.33% if they get 1st, or 58.05% if they get 2nd.
DreamHack Valenciain ~ Life has a 1.89% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 1.84% chance to win ----going from 92.62% to 99.85% if they get 1st, or 92.49% if they don't. INnoVation has a 1.76% chance to win ----going from 78.37% to 94.56% if they get 1st, or 78.08% if they don't. ForGG has a 1.67% chance to win ----going from 64.09% to 82.21% if they get 1st, or 63.78% if they don't.
DreamHack Stocholmin ~ Life has a 1.89% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 1.83% chance to win ----going from 92.62% to 99.85% if they get 1st, or 92.49% if they don't. INnoVation has a 1.75% chance to win ----going from 78.37% to 94.84% if they get 1st, or 78.08% if they don't. ForGG has a 1.68% chance to win ----going from 64.09% to 82.32% if they get 1st, or 63.77% if they don't.
Biggest Winners and Losers since before NSSL S2 qualifiers completed (Sim ID #1303 vs Sim ID #1304) Biggest Winners Trap went up by 15.71%, going from 36.78% to 52.48% Dark went up by 15.48%, going from 42.34% to 57.83% Bbyong went up by 14.65%, going from 24.47% to 39.13% Soulkey went up by 13.4%, going from 22.66% to 36.06% sOs went up by 12.3%, going from 19.67% to 31.97% Flash went up by 5.89%, going from 5.29% to 11.18% HyuN went up by 5.76%, going from 3.48% to 9.24% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
soO went up by 5.7%, going from 5.25% to 10.95% PartinG went up by 3.67%, going from 92.65% to 96.33% ByuL went up by 3.62%, going from 2.79% to 6.41% Classic went up by 3.52%, going from 1.69% to 5.21% Symbol went up by 2.01%, going from 1.32% to 3.33% Hurricane went up by 1.98%, going from 0.85% to 2.83% Creator went up by 1.56%, going from 0.88% to 2.45%
Biggest Losers Rain went down by 5.09%, going from 40.54% to 35.45% TY went down by 4.62%, going from 36.13% to 31.51% MMA went down by 4.41%, going from 31.03% to 26.62% FanTaSy went down by 4.38%, going from 27.87% to 23.5% Solar went down by 4.37%, going from 26.18% to 21.81% Dear went down by 4.02%, going from 39.41% to 35.39% GuMiho went down by 3.93%, going from 18.74% to 14.81% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
ForGG went down by 3.79%, going from 64.08% to 60.29% Rogue went down by 3.69%, going from 70.13% to 66.43% Hydra went down by 3.69%, going from 60.25% to 56.56% Super went down by 3.46%, going from 26.32% to 22.85% Cure went down by 3.3%, going from 19.54% to 16.24% Zest went down by 3.16%, going from 69.37% to 66.21% Polt went down by 3.08%, going from 30.96% to 27.88% TaeJa went down by 3.08%, going from 11.33% to 8.26% Bomber went down by 3.04%, going from 12.82% to 9.79% INnoVation went down by 3.03%, going from 78.37% to 75.34% Terminator went down by 2.92%, going from 15.69% to 12.77% Stats went down by 2.72%, going from 45.36% to 42.64% Dream went down by 1.96%, going from 78.7% to 76.74% Leenock went down by 1.8%, going from 7.23% to 5.43% YoDa went down by 1.65%, going from 5.43% to 3.78% Sacsri went down by 1.61%, going from 5.07% to 3.46% First went down by 1.32%, going from 4.74% to 3.42% viOLet went down by 1.17%, going from 6.26% to 5.08% Snute went down by 1.09%, going from 35.42% to 34.33% Bunny went down by 1.04%, going from 30.48% to 29.44% MarineKing went down by 1.01%, going from 3.74% to 2.74% TRUE went down by 0.99%, going from 1.94% to 0.94% Jaedong went down by 0.99%, going from 2.01% to 1.01% San went down by 0.97%, going from 3.08% to 2.11% Losira went down by 0.87%, going from 2.77% to 1.9% DongRaeGu went down by 0.81%, going from 2.23% to 1.42% Patience went down by 0.78%, going from 2.58% to 1.8% Heart went down by 0.75%, going from 2.02% to 1.27% Trust went down by 0.7%, going from 2.09% to 1.39% NaNiwa went down by 0.68%, going from 11.48% to 10.8% ShoWTimE went down by 0.63%, going from 13.58% to 12.95% MC went down by 0.62%, going from 1.89% to 1.27% jjakji went down by 0.56%, going from 0.98% to 0.42% SuperNova went down by 0.55%, going from 1.5% to 0.96% StarDust went down by 0.54%, going from 1.31% to 0.78% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.53%, going from 1.63% to 1.1% MajOr went down by 0.45%, going from 7.17% to 6.72% Center went down by 0.44%, going from 0.7% to 0.26% MaNa went down by 0.44%, going from 9.09% to 8.65% Curious went down by 0.43%, going from 1.28% to 0.85% TargA went down by 0.4%, going from 5.85% to 5.45% PiG went down by 0.39%, going from 8.86% to 8.47% sKyHigh went down by 0.39%, going from 0.7% to 0.31%
Lots of recent updates, so here are the biggest winners and losers over the past ~36 hours, including Code A S2 matches set, NSSL S2 Challenger seeds, added Gfinity Spring 1, and the NSSL S2 qualifiers (Sim ID #1296 vs Sim ID #1304) Biggest Winners (click the link to see the graphs) Trap went up by 13.58%, going from 38.91% to 52.48% Soulkey went up by 13.16%, going from 22.89% to 36.05% Dark went up by 11.42%, going from 46.41% to 57.82% Zest went up by 11.39%, going from 54.83% to 66.22% sOs went up by 10.18%, going from 21.78% to 31.96% Bbyong went up by 9.16%, going from 29.96% to 39.12% INnoVation went up by 7.84%, going from 67.5% to 75.34% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
soO went up by 5.59%, going from 5.36% to 10.96% Cure went up by 4.78%, going from 11.44% to 16.23% Flash went up by 4.78%, going from 6.41% to 11.19% HyuN went up by 4.57%, going from 4.67% to 9.24% PartinG went up by 3.77%, going from 92.55% to 96.32% ByuL went up by 3.5%, going from 2.91% to 6.41% Classic went up by 3.4%, going from 1.81% to 5.21% Symbol went up by 2.31%, going from 1.01% to 3.32% Hurricane went up by 1.89%, going from 0.93% to 2.83% Creator went up by 1.43%, going from 1.02% to 2.45% Losira went up by 1.28%, going from 0.62% to 1.9% Rogue went up by 1.06%, going from 65.38% to 66.44% Leenock went up by 0.76%, going from 4.68% to 5.44% MacSed went up by 0.51%, going from 0.76% to 1.27% TargA went up by 0.14%, going from 5.31% to 5.46%
Biggest Losers (click the link to see the graphs) TY went down by 9.2%, going from 40.71% to 31.5% Solar went down by 8.72%, going from 30.54% to 21.82% MMA went down by 8.58%, going from 35.2% to 26.62% Rain went down by 8.49%, going from 43.96% to 35.46% ForGG went down by 7.97%, going from 68.25% to 60.28% GuMiho went down by 6.35%, going from 21.16% to 14.81% Polt went down by 5.2%, going from 33.08% to 27.88% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
TaeJa went down by 4.95%, going from 13.21% to 8.25% Hydra went down by 4.38%, going from 60.93% to 56.55% Bomber went down by 4.07%, going from 13.86% to 9.78% FanTaSy went down by 3.53%, going from 27.01% to 23.49% Terminator went down by 3.04%, going from 15.8% to 12.76% YoDa went down by 2.52%, going from 6.31% to 3.78% Dear went down by 2.21%, going from 37.6% to 35.39% viOLet went down by 1.81%, going from 6.9% to 5.09% Sacsri went down by 1.78%, going from 5.25% to 3.47% San went down by 1.6%, going from 3.71% to 2.11% NaNiwa went down by 1.43%, going from 12.24% to 10.8% ShoWTimE went down by 1.38%, going from 14.34% to 12.96% First went down by 1.36%, going from 4.77% to 3.41% DongRaeGu went down by 1.16%, going from 2.59% to 1.42% MarineKing went down by 1.04%, going from 3.78% to 2.75% Patience went down by 1.03%, going from 2.83% to 1.8% MaNa went down by 1.02%, going from 9.67% to 8.65% Jaedong went down by 1.01%, going from 2.02% to 1.01% MajOr went down by 0.99%, going from 7.71% to 6.72% TRUE went down by 0.95%, going from 1.9% to 0.94% Happy went down by 0.88%, going from 6.56% to 5.68% PiG went down by 0.88%, going from 9.35% to 8.46% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.78%, going from 1.88% to 1.1% Bunny went down by 0.77%, going from 30.21% to 29.44% Heart went down by 0.77%, going from 2.04% to 1.27% Super went down by 0.72%, going from 23.56% to 22.84% MC went down by 0.72%, going from 1.99% to 1.27% StarDust went down by 0.65%, going from 1.42% to 0.77% Serral went down by 0.63%, going from 5.73% to 5.1% Jim went down by 0.6%, going from 1.88% to 1.28% Trust went down by 0.57%, going from 1.96% to 1.39% Center went down by 0.52%, going from 0.78% to 0.26% SuperNova went down by 0.52%, going from 1.48% to 0.96% Welmu went down by 0.5%, going from 4.63% to 4.13% VortiX went down by 0.49%, going from 1.68% to 1.19% Lilbow went down by 0.47%, going from 1.8% to 1.33% KingKong went down by 0.44%, going from 0.9% to 0.46% Curious went down by 0.42%, going from 1.27% to 0.85% YongHwa went down by 0.42%, going from 1.07% to 0.66% Kane went down by 0.41%, going from 3.63% to 3.21% jjakji went down by 0.4%, going from 0.82% to 0.42% Armani went down by 0.38%, going from 0.58% to 0.2% Hack went down by 0.38%, going from 0.94% to 0.57%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 88.64% Chances of 2+ foreigners 50.89% Chances of 3+ foreigners 14.98% Chances of 4+ foreigners 2.07%
Snute9.59% chance to be the only foreigner, 34.33% chance overall. Bunny7.94% chance to be the only foreigner, 29.44% chance overall. ShoWTimE2.96% chance to be the only foreigner, 12.95% chance overall. NaNiwa2.45% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.8% chance overall. PiG1.87% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.47% chance overall. MaNa1.85% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.65% chance overall. MajOr1.49% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.72% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Happy1.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.68% chance overall. TargA1.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.45% chance overall. Serral1.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.1% chance overall. Welmu0.89% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.12% chance overall. Kane0.67% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.21% chance overall. Has0.45% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.13% chance overall. Sen0.38% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.78% chance overall. HuK0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.66% chance overall. TLO0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.68% chance overall. Lilbow0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.33% chance overall. Jim0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.28% chance overall. VortiX0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.19% chance overall. MacSed0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.27% chance overall. FireCake0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.98% chance overall. MorroW0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.67% chance overall. Nerchio0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.62% chance overall. MarineLorD0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.61% chance overall. uThermal0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.61% chance overall. XiGua0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.61% chance overall. iaguz0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.58% chance overall. MaSa0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.56% chance overall. puCK0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.44% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.29% chance overall. Boombox0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.24% chance overall. Harstem0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.25% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 2 defenses! PartinG is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Zest is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
WCS Point Cutoffs 1.16% of the time 2400 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 11.07% of the time 2575 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 30.44% of the time 2700 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 51.32% of the time 2800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 70.85% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 90.24% of the time 3050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.07% of the time 3275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Upcoming Gfinity Spring 1in ~ PartinG has a 15.9% chance to win ----going from 96.33% to 98.28% if they get 1st, or 97.42% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 9.96% chance to win ----going from 35.45% to 43.77% if they get 1st, or 39.64% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 9.42% chance to win ----going from 56.56% to 61.79% if they get 1st, or 58.98% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 8.44% chance to win ----going from 66.43% to 73.21% if they get 1st, or 69.39% if they get 2nd.
PartinG, Snute, TargA, and TRUEin in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. PartinG is at 96.33% Blizzcon Chances. 64.71% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 97.05%. 35.29% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 94.99%. TargA is at 5.45% Blizzcon Chances. 41.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.8%. 58.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.21%. Snute is at 34.33% Blizzcon Chances. 54.84% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 36.21%. 45.16% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.05%. TRUE is at 0.94% Blizzcon Chances. 39.31% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.04%. 60.69% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.88%.
Bunny, Hydra, FanTaSy, and Rainin in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. Bunny is at 29.44% Blizzcon Chances. 46.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 31.52%. 53.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.65%. FanTaSy is at 23.5% Blizzcon Chances. 46.84% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.85%. 53.16% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 22.3%. Hydra is at 56.56% Blizzcon Chances. 52.75% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 57.78%. 47.25% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 55.2%. Rain is at 35.45% Blizzcon Chances. 54.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.21%. 45.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.2%.
Rogue, Sacsri, Soulkey, and MCin in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. Rogue is at 66.43% Blizzcon Chances. 59.02% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 67.65%. 40.98% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 64.68%. Soulkey is at 36.06% Blizzcon Chances. 52.22% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.58%. 47.78% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.3%. Sacsri is at 3.46% Blizzcon Chances. 47.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.7%. 52.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.25%. MC is at 1.27% Blizzcon Chances. 41.15% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.52%. 58.85% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.09%.
jjakji, Heart, Jaedong, and Terminatorin in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. jjakji is at 0.42% Blizzcon Chances. 48.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.45%. 51.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.38%. Jaedong is at 1.01% Blizzcon Chances. 46.76% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.21%. 53.24% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.83%. Heart is at 1.27% Blizzcon Chances. 48.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.36%. 51.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.18%. Terminator is at 12.77% Blizzcon Chances. 56.87% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.1%. 43.13% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.02%.
GSL Code A Season 2in ~ Trap has a 80.72% chance to win ----going from 52.48% to 56.78% if they get 1st, or 34.48% if they don't. Maru has a 71.3% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Symbol has a 71.03% chance to win ----going from 3.33% to 4.1% if they get 1st, or 1.43% if they don't. TaeJa has a 69.3% chance to win ----going from 8.26% to 10.86% if they get 1st, or 2.39% if they don't.
DongRaeGu vs YoDain in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. DongRaeGu is at 1.42% Blizzcon Chances. 48.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.57%. 51.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.35%. YoDa is at 3.78% Blizzcon Chances. 51.53% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.21%. 48.47% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.21%.
soO vs Seedin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. soO is at 10.95% Blizzcon Chances. 68.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.51%. 31.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.48%. Seed is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances. 31.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.1%. 68.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
ByuL vs YongHwain in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. ByuL is at 6.41% Blizzcon Chances. 56.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.8%. 43.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.34%. YongHwa is at 0.66% Blizzcon Chances. 43.86% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.3%. 56.14% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.16%.
TaeJa vs Sorryin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. TaeJa is at 8.26% Blizzcon Chances. 69.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.86%. 30.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.39%. Sorry is at 0.21% Blizzcon Chances. 30.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.56%. 69.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%.
Trap vs Panicin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Trap is at 52.48% Blizzcon Chances. 80.72% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 56.78%. 19.28% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.48%. Panic is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances. 19.28% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.1%. 80.72% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
Copenhagen Springin ~ PartinG has a 20.72% chance to win ----going from 96.33% to 98.1% if they get 1st, or 95.86% if they don't. Rain has a 14.18% chance to win ----going from 35.45% to 42.55% if they get 1st, or 34.28% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 10.32% chance to win ----going from 23.5% to 29.78% if they get 1st, or 22.77% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 8.9% chance to win ----going from 10.8% to 13.82% if they get 1st, or 10.51% if they don't.
Hack vs Bbyongin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Hack is at 0.57% Blizzcon Chances. 43.25% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.14%. 56.75% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.14%. Bbyong is at 39.13% Blizzcon Chances. 56.75% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 47.71%. 43.25% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.87%.
Heart vs sOsin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Heart is at 1.27% Blizzcon Chances. 35.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.8%. 64.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.42%. sOs is at 31.97% Blizzcon Chances. 64.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.58%. 35.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.1%.
PenguiN vs Symbolin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. PenguiN is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 28.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 71.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. Symbol is at 3.33% Blizzcon Chances. 71.03% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.1%. 28.97% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.43%.
WCS Premier Season 1in ~ ForGG has a 21.15% chance to win ----going from 60.29% to 95.33% if they get 1st, or 65.18% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 18.25% chance to win ----going from 56.56% to 96.48% if they get 1st, or 64.33% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 12.1% chance to win ----going from 34.33% to 88.84% if they get 1st, or 41.85% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 11.82% chance to win ----going from 29.44% to 79.74% if they get 1st, or 35.06% if they get 2nd.
Serral, XiGua, TLO, and ForGGin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Serral is at 5.1% Blizzcon Chances. 54.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.51%. 45.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.22%. TLO is at 1.68% Blizzcon Chances. 38.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.16%. 61.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.76%. XiGua is at 0.61% Blizzcon Chances. 33.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.29%. 66.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.26%. ForGG is at 60.29% Blizzcon Chances. 73.94% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 66.46%. 26.06% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.79%.
ShoWTimE, PiG, MacSed, and Snutein in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. ShoWTimE is at 12.95% Blizzcon Chances. 59.18% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.39%. 40.82% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.52%. MacSed is at 1.27% Blizzcon Chances. 26.64% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.66%. 73.36% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.77%. PiG is at 8.47% Blizzcon Chances. 45.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.43%. 54.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.33%. Snute is at 34.33% Blizzcon Chances. 68.71% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.89%. 31.29% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 19.93%.
First vs MyuNgSiKin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. First is at 3.42% Blizzcon Chances. 63.24% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.92%. 36.76% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.83%. MyuNgSiK is at 1.1% Blizzcon Chances. 36.76% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.4%. 63.24% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.34%.
Polt, MaNa, FireCake, and Hydrain in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Polt is at 27.88% Blizzcon Chances. 55.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 36.01%. 44.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.81%. FireCake is at 0.98% Blizzcon Chances. 32.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.07%. 67.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.46%. MaNa is at 8.65% Blizzcon Chances. 42.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.89%. 57.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.77%. Hydra is at 56.56% Blizzcon Chances. 69.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 64.13%. 30.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 39.21%.
Has, Bunny, Kane, and Welmuin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Has is at 2.13% Blizzcon Chances. 40.48% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.78%. 59.52% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.01%. Kane is at 3.21% Blizzcon Chances. 48.51% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.09%. 51.49% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.44%. Bunny is at 29.44% Blizzcon Chances. 65.54% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 35.91%. 34.46% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.13%. Welmu is at 4.12% Blizzcon Chances. 45.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.67%. 54.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.99%.
Dear vs RagnaroKin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Dear is at 35.39% Blizzcon Chances. 66.08% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 41.95%. 33.92% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 22.61%. RagnaroK is at 0.31% Blizzcon Chances. 33.92% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.76%. 66.08% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%.
Bomber vs Shinein in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Bomber is at 9.79% Blizzcon Chances. 66.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.1%. 33.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.21%. Shine is at 0.16% Blizzcon Chances. 33.51% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.42%. 66.49% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.04%.
San vs Sacsriin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. San is at 2.11% Blizzcon Chances. 48.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.73%. 51.58% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.58%. Sacsri is at 3.46% Blizzcon Chances. 51.58% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.77%. 48.43% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.01%.
Dream vs SuperNovain in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Dream is at 76.74% Blizzcon Chances. 48.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 85.09%. 51.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.76%. SuperNova is at 0.96% Blizzcon Chances. 51.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.66%. 48.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.22%.
Maru vs Billowyin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances. 71.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 100%. 28.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 100%. Billowy is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances. 28.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.23%. 71.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%.
Cure vs Rainin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Cure is at 16.24% Blizzcon Chances. 42.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.65%. 57.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.86%. Rain is at 35.45% Blizzcon Chances. 57.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 46.6%. 42.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.13%.
Ryung vs Darkin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Ryung is at 0.24% Blizzcon Chances. 31.82% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.62%. 68.18% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%. Dark is at 57.83% Blizzcon Chances. 68.18% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 65.06%. 31.82% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.33%.
GuMiho vs Impactin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. GuMiho is at 14.81% Blizzcon Chances. 57.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.09%. 42.57% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.34%. Impact is at 0.59% Blizzcon Chances. 42.57% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.21%. 57.43% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.13%.
Super vs Flashin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Super is at 22.85% Blizzcon Chances. 47.53% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 31.22%. 52.47% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.27%. Flash is at 11.18% Blizzcon Chances. 52.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.41%. 47.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.52%.
WCS Qualifiers Season 2in ~ Ian has a 35.56% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Slam has a 30.48% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Top has a 30.01% chance to win ----going from 0.15% to 0.4% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. TooDming has a 29.5% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.21% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
FanTaSy vs Pigbabyin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. FanTaSy is at 23.5% Blizzcon Chances. 64.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.47%. 35.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.06%. Pigbaby is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances. 35.91% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.56%. 64.09% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%.
Terminator vs HerOin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Terminator is at 12.77% Blizzcon Chances. 52.04% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 19.34%. 47.96% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.64%. HerO is at 0.4% Blizzcon Chances. 47.96% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.75%. 52.04% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%.
Creator vs Soulkeyin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Creator is at 2.45% Blizzcon Chances. 37.76% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.2%. 62.24% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.39%. Soulkey is at 36.06% Blizzcon Chances. 62.24% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.36%. 37.76% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.02%.
WCS Challenger Season 2in ~ Polt has a 87.72% chance to win ----going from 27.88% to 30.66% if they get 1st, or 8.04% if they don't. ForGG has a 87.64% chance to win ----going from 60.29% to 64.95% if they get 1st, or 27.23% if they don't. Hydra has a 87.13% chance to win ----going from 56.56% to 61.05% if they get 1st, or 26.16% if they don't. MajOr has a 86.49% chance to win ----going from 6.72% to 7.66% if they get 1st, or 0.69% if they don't.
MarineKing vs Patiencein in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MarineKing is at 2.74% Blizzcon Chances. 53.51% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.4%. 46.49% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.83%. Patience is at 1.8% Blizzcon Chances. 46.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.3%. 53.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.5%.
Curious vs BrAvOin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Curious is at 0.85% Blizzcon Chances. 58.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.34%. 41.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.16%. BrAvO is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances. 41.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.23%. 58.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%.
MC vs Trustin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MC is at 1.27% Blizzcon Chances. 37.66% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.72%. 62.34% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.39%. Trust is at 1.39% Blizzcon Chances. 62.34% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.07%. 37.66% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.27%.
DreamHack Toursin ~ Life has a 1.88% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 1.83% chance to win ----going from 96.33% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 96.26% if they don't. INnoVation has a 1.76% chance to win ----going from 75.34% to 93.43% if they get 1st, or 75.02% if they don't. ForGG has a 1.67% chance to win ----going from 60.29% to 79.53% if they get 1st, or 59.96% if they don't.
WCS Premier Season 2in ~ ForGG has a 15.77% chance to win ----going from 60.29% to 99.06% if they get 1st, or 76.38% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 12.53% chance to win ----going from 56.56% to 99.41% if they get 1st, or 76.26% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 8.2% chance to win ----going from 29.44% to 90.86% if they get 1st, or 46.18% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 7.13% chance to win ----going from 34.33% to 97.01% if they get 1st, or 56.64% if they get 2nd.
DreamHack Valenciain ~ Life has a 1.87% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 1.83% chance to win ----going from 96.33% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 96.26% if they don't. INnoVation has a 1.76% chance to win ----going from 75.34% to 93.58% if they get 1st, or 75.01% if they don't. ForGG has a 1.68% chance to win ----going from 60.29% to 79.53% if they get 1st, or 59.96% if they don't.
DreamHack Stocholmin ~ Life has a 1.88% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 1.84% chance to win ----going from 96.33% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 96.26% if they don't. INnoVation has a 1.76% chance to win ----going from 75.34% to 93.68% if they get 1st, or 75.01% if they don't. ForGG has a 1.68% chance to win ----going from 60.29% to 79.8% if they get 1st, or 59.96% if they don't.
PartinG, Snute, TargA, and TRUEin in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. PartinG has the #2 Headband! PartinG is at 96.34% Blizzcon Chances. 64.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 97.07%. 35.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 94.99%. TargA is at 5.44% Blizzcon Chances. 41.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.8%. 58.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.19%. Snute is at 34.34% Blizzcon Chances. 54.83% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 36.22%. 45.17% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.06%. TRUE is at 0.94% Blizzcon Chances. 39.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.04%. 60.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.88%.
Bunny, Hydra, FanTaSy, and Rainin in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. Bunny is at 29.47% Blizzcon Chances. 46.28% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 31.57%. 53.72% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.67%. FanTaSy is at 23.51% Blizzcon Chances. 46.84% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.87%. 53.16% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 22.31%. Hydra is at 56.56% Blizzcon Chances. 52.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 57.76%. 47.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 55.21%. Rain is at 35.49% Blizzcon Chances. 54.1% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.25%. 45.9% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.23%.
Rogue, Sacsri, Soulkey, and MCin in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. Rogue is at 66.41% Blizzcon Chances. 58.99% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 67.67%. 41.01% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 64.58%. Soulkey is at 36.04% Blizzcon Chances. 52.25% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.54%. 47.75% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.31%. Sacsri is at 3.46% Blizzcon Chances. 47.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.7%. 52.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.25%. MC is at 1.27% Blizzcon Chances. 41.13% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.51%. 58.87% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.1%.
jjakji, Heart, Jaedong, and Terminatorin in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. jjakji is at 0.42% Blizzcon Chances. 48.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.46%. 51.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.38%. Jaedong is at 1.01% Blizzcon Chances. 46.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.2%. 53.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.84%. Heart is at 1.27% Blizzcon Chances. 48.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.37%. 51.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.17%. Terminator is at 12.78% Blizzcon Chances. 56.84% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.08%. 43.16% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.06%.
Gfinity Spring 1 Winning Chances PartinG has a 15.93% chance to win ----going from 96.34% to 98.29% if they get 1st, or 97.45% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 9.96% chance to win ----going from 35.49% to 43.81% if they get 1st, or 39.71% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 9.42% chance to win ----going from 56.56% to 61.82% if they get 1st, or 58.99% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 8.43% chance to win ----going from 66.41% to 73.26% if they get 1st, or 69.45% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 6.99% chance to win ----going from 34.34% to 40.72% if they get 1st, or 37.64% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
FanTaSy has a 6.46% chance to win ----going from 23.51% to 29.85% if they get 1st, or 26.47% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 6.43% chance to win ----going from 29.47% to 35.52% if they get 1st, or 32.66% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 6.35% chance to win ----going from 12.78% to 17.78% if they get 1st, or 15.31% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 5.24% chance to win ----going from 36.04% to 44.83% if they get 1st, or 40.51% if they get 2nd. Sacsri has a 4.55% chance to win ----going from 3.46% to 4.81% if they get 1st, or 3.4% if they don't. Jaedong has a 4.14% chance to win ----going from 1.01% to 1.76% if they get 1st, or 0.97% if they don't. TRUE has a 3.42% chance to win ----going from 0.94% to 1.55% if they get 1st, or 0.92% if they don't. Heart has a 3.42% chance to win ----going from 1.27% to 1.93% if they get 1st, or 1.25% if they don't. jjakji has a 3.38% chance to win ----going from 0.42% to 0.7% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't. TargA has a 3.01% chance to win ----going from 5.44% to 7.38% if they get 1st, or 6.39% if they get 2nd. MC has a 2.86% chance to win ----going from 1.27% to 2.21% if they get 1st, or 1.24% if they don't.
(Sim ID #1306 vs #1309) Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 1.89%, going from 66.06% to 67.96% Snute went up by 1.74%, going from 34.37% to 36.11% Hydra went up by 1.32%, going from 56.49% to 57.82% GuMiho went up by 0.57%, going from 12.43% to 12.99% Heart went up by 0.41%, going from 1.19% to 1.6% MacSed went up by 0.35%, going from 1.26% to 1.61%
Biggest Losers Bunny went down by 3.53%, going from 29.46% to 25.93% Jim went down by 0.47%, going from 1.28% to 0.82% MC went down by 0.4%, going from 1.13% to 0.74% sOs went down by 0.32%, going from 33.78% to 33.47% Jaedong went down by 0.28%, going from 0.99% to 0.72% Losira went down by 0.18%, going from 1.81% to 1.63% Rain went down by 0.14%, going from 36.21% to 36.06% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
INnoVation went down by 0.13%, going from 74.76% to 74.63% TY went down by 0.12%, going from 28.65% to 28.52% Trap went down by 0.12%, going from 57.5% to 57.38% TargA went down by 0.11%, going from 5.44% to 5.32% Dear went down by 0.11%, going from 34.91% to 34.8% FanTaSy went down by 0.11%, going from 22.67% to 22.56%
PartinG, Snute, TargA, and TRUEin in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. PartinG has the #2 Headband! PartinG is at 96.8% Blizzcon Chances. 67.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 97.43%. 32.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 95.52%. TargA is at 5.32% Blizzcon Chances. 19.59% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.83%. 80.41% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.2%. Snute is at 36.11% Blizzcon Chances. 77.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.09%. 22.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.82%. TRUE is at 0.69% Blizzcon Chances. 36.1% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.77%. 63.9% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.64%.
Bunny, Hydra, FanTaSy, and Rainin in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. Bunny is at 25.93% Blizzcon Chances. 21.95% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 28.8%. 78.05% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.12%. FanTaSy is at 22.56% Blizzcon Chances. 46.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.86%. 53.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.42%. Hydra is at 57.82% Blizzcon Chances. 76.72% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 58.42%. 23.28% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 55.83%. Rain is at 36.06% Blizzcon Chances. 54.68% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.77%. 45.32% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.79%.
Rogue, Sacsri, Soulkey, and MCin in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. Rogue is at 67.96% Blizzcon Chances. 81.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.54%. 18.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 65.38%. Soulkey is at 37.68% Blizzcon Chances. 54.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.04%. 45.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.9%. Sacsri is at 2.9% Blizzcon Chances. 46.56% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.09%. 53.44% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.73%. MC is at 0.74% Blizzcon Chances. 17.98% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.96%. 82.02% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.69%.
jjakji, Heart, Jaedong, and Terminatorin in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. jjakji is at 0.33% Blizzcon Chances. 47.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.36%. 52.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.3%. Jaedong is at 0.72% Blizzcon Chances. 21.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.95%. 78.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.65%. Heart is at 1.6% Blizzcon Chances. 74.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.65%. 25.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.43%. Terminator is at 11.8% Blizzcon Chances. 56.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.04%. 43.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.2%.
Gfinity Spring 1 Winning Chances PartinG has a 16.58% chance to win ----going from 96.8% to 98.5% if they get 1st, or 97.74% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 13.4% chance to win ----going from 57.82% to 62.44% if they get 1st, or 59.51% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 11.72% chance to win ----going from 67.96% to 74.16% if they get 1st, or 70.26% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 9.73% chance to win ----going from 36.11% to 41.53% if they get 1st, or 38.38% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 9.57% chance to win ----going from 36.06% to 44.42% if they get 1st, or 40.43% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
FanTaSy has a 6.06% chance to win ----going from 22.56% to 28.72% if they get 1st, or 25.52% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 5.64% chance to win ----going from 11.8% to 16.85% if they get 1st, or 14.13% if they get 2nd. Heart has a 5.62% chance to win ----going from 1.6% to 2.26% if they get 1st, or 1.56% if they don't. Soulkey has a 5.39% chance to win ----going from 37.68% to 46.07% if they get 1st, or 42.25% if they get 2nd. Sacsri has a 3.83% chance to win ----going from 2.9% to 4.01% if they get 1st, or 2.85% if they don't. jjakji has a 2.91% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 0.53% if they get 1st, or 0.33% if they don't. Bunny has a 2.73% chance to win ----going from 25.93% to 32.81% if they get 1st, or 30.2% if they get 2nd. TRUE has a 2.67% chance to win ----going from 0.69% to 1.16% if they get 1st, or 0.68% if they don't. Jaedong has a 1.74% chance to win ----going from 0.72% to 1.49% if they get 1st, or 0.7% if they don't. TargA has a 1.4% chance to win ----going from 5.32% to 7.32% if they get 1st, or 6.52% if they get 2nd. MC has a 1.01% chance to win ----going from 0.74% to 1.41% if they get 1st, or 0.73% if they don't.
(Sim ID #1306 vs #1310) Biggest Winners Rain went up by 4.35%, going from 36.21% to 40.56% Hydra went up by 4.19%, going from 56.49% to 60.69% Soulkey went up by 3.83%, going from 37.67% to 41.5% Rogue went up by 3.3%, going from 66.06% to 69.36% PartinG went up by 0.93%, going from 96.83% to 97.75% Heart went up by 0.54%, going from 1.19% to 1.73% GuMiho went up by 0.54%, going from 12.43% to 12.97% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
MacSed went up by 0.39%, going from 1.26% to 1.65% TRUE went up by 0.37%, going from 0.7% to 1.08% ShoWTimE went up by 0.34%, going from 12.96% to 13.3% PiG went up by 0.26%, going from 8.47% to 8.73% MaNa went up by 0.21%, going from 8.65% to 8.87% Serral went up by 0.19%, going from 5.11% to 5.3% NaNiwa went up by 0.18%, going from 10.8% to 10.98% Polt went up by 0.18%, going from 27.85% to 28.02% ForGG went up by 0.15%, going from 60.19% to 60.34% Kane went up by 0.14%, going from 3.22% to 3.36% Welmu went up by 0.14%, going from 4.14% to 4.28% Zest went up by 0.11%, going from 65.68% to 65.79%
Biggest Losers Snute went down by 5.38%, going from 34.37% to 28.99% Bunny went down by 5.27%, going from 29.46% to 24.2% FanTaSy went down by 2.72%, going from 22.67% to 19.95% Terminator went down by 2.64%, going from 11.89% to 9.25% TargA went down by 0.92%, going from 5.44% to 4.51% Sacsri went down by 0.68%, going from 2.91% to 2.22% MC went down by 0.44%, going from 1.13% to 0.69% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
sOs went down by 0.43%, going from 33.78% to 33.35% Jim went down by 0.43%, going from 1.28% to 0.86% Jaedong went down by 0.34%, going from 0.99% to 0.65% Losira went down by 0.21%, going from 1.81% to 1.61% soO went down by 0.18%, going from 11.8% to 11.62% Dear went down by 0.16%, going from 34.91% to 34.75% Cure went down by 0.15%, going from 15.59% to 15.44% Trap went down by 0.14%, going from 57.5% to 57.36% Flash went down by 0.11%, going from 10.09% to 9.98% Super went down by 0.1%, going from 22.53% to 22.43%
PartinG vs Soulkeyin in Gfinity Spring 1 quarterfinals. PartinG has the #2 Headband! PartinG is at 97.75% Blizzcon Chances. 57.94% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 98.18%. 42.06% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 97.17%. Soulkey is at 41.5% Blizzcon Chances. 42.06% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.74%. 57.94% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 39.88%.
Rain vs jjakjiin in Gfinity Spring 1 quarterfinals. Rain is at 40.56% Blizzcon Chances. 57.98% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.37%. 42.02% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.06%. jjakji is at 0.35% Blizzcon Chances. 42.02% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.4%. 57.98% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.32%.
Rogue vs TRUEin in Gfinity Spring 1 quarterfinals. Rogue is at 69.36% Blizzcon Chances. 55.87% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 70.99%. 44.13% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 67.29%. TRUE is at 1.08% Blizzcon Chances. 44.13% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.21%. 55.87% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.98%.
Heart vs Hydrain in Gfinity Spring 1 quarterfinals. Heart is at 1.73% Blizzcon Chances. 41.26% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.92%. 58.74% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.6%. Hydra is at 60.69% Blizzcon Chances. 58.74% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 61.94%. 41.26% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 58.9%.
Gfinity Spring 1 Winning Chances PartinG has a 24.1% chance to win ----going from 97.75% to 98.69% if they get 1st, or 98.09% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 17.64% chance to win ----going from 60.69% to 64.64% if they get 1st, or 61.78% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 16.52% chance to win ----going from 40.56% to 46.28% if they get 1st, or 42.18% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 14.05% chance to win ----going from 69.36% to 74.61% if they get 1st, or 70.91% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 9.43% chance to win ----going from 41.5% to 47.56% if they get 1st, or 43.76% if they get 2nd. TRUE has a 7.24% chance to win ----going from 1.08% to 1.62% if they get 1st, or 1.04% if they don't. Heart has a 6.14% chance to win ----going from 1.73% to 2.33% if they get 1st, or 1.69% if they don't. jjakji has a 4.86% chance to win ----going from 0.35% to 0.56% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't.
--------UPDATE Monday, Mar 30 2:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) Gfinity Spring 1 Completed! (Sim #1313) Trying out a new format for these update posts. Biggest Winners and Losers since before Gfinity Spring 1 (Sim ID #1306 vs Sim ID #1313) Biggest Winners Hydra went up by 5.36%, going from 56.49% to 61.85% Rain went up by 5.29%, going from 36.21% to 41.49% Rogue went up by 2.95%, going from 66.06% to 69.02% PartinG went up by 2.08%, going from 96.83% to 98.91% Soulkey went up by 1.44%, going from 37.67% to 39.11% GuMiho went up by 0.53%, going from 12.43% to 12.96% TargA went up by 0.49%, going from 5.44% to 5.92% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
MacSed went up by 0.39%, going from 1.26% to 1.65% ShoWTimE went up by 0.35%, going from 12.96% to 13.32% Arthur went up by 0.32%, going from 0.14% to 0.46% Zest went up by 0.28%, going from 65.68% to 65.95% MaNa went up by 0.24%, going from 8.65% to 8.9% PiG went up by 0.24%, going from 8.47% to 8.71% Dream went up by 0.17%, going from 76.44% to 76.61% NaNiwa went up by 0.17%, going from 10.8% to 10.97% Serral went up by 0.15%, going from 5.11% to 5.26% TRUE went up by 0.15%, going from 0.7% to 0.85% Welmu went up by 0.14%, going from 4.14% to 4.28% Kane went up by 0.11%, going from 3.22% to 3.33% Heart went up by 0.1%, going from 1.19% to 1.29%
Biggest Losers Snute went down by 5.82%, going from 34.37% to 28.54% Bunny went down by 5.14%, going from 29.46% to 24.32% Terminator went down by 2.92%, going from 11.89% to 8.98% FanTaSy went down by 2.83%, going from 22.67% to 19.84% Sacsri went down by 0.96%, going from 2.91% to 1.95% Jim went down by 0.44%, going from 1.28% to 0.84% Jaedong went down by 0.39%, going from 0.99% to 0.61% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Cure went down by 0.36%, going from 15.59% to 15.23% MC went down by 0.29%, going from 1.13% to 0.84% Bbyong went down by 0.24%, going from 38.73% to 38.49% soO went down by 0.23%, going from 11.8% to 11.58% Losira went down by 0.22%, going from 1.81% to 1.59% HyuN went down by 0.2%, going from 9.23% to 9.03% Solar went down by 0.17%, going from 20.14% to 19.97% ByuL went down by 0.17%, going from 7.86% to 7.69% Dark went down by 0.16%, going from 61.29% to 61.13% Bomber went down by 0.14%, going from 9.57% to 9.43% sOs went down by 0.14%, going from 33.78% to 33.65% TaeJa went down by 0.13%, going from 8.04% to 7.91% TY went down by 0.13%, going from 28.65% to 28.52% Trap went down by 0.12%, going from 57.5% to 57.38% Flash went down by 0.12%, going from 10.09% to 9.97%
Chances of 1+ foreigners 86.61% Chances of 2+ foreigners 47.05% Chances of 3+ foreigners 12.99% Chances of 4+ foreigners 1.71%
Snute8.56% chance to be the only foreigner, 28.54% chance overall. Bunny7.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 24.32% chance overall. ShoWTimE3.5% chance to be the only foreigner, 13.32% chance overall. NaNiwa2.87% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.97% chance overall. PiG2.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.71% chance overall. MaNa2.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.9% chance overall. MajOr1.73% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.79% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
TargA1.49% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.92% chance overall. Happy1.45% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.74% chance overall. Serral1.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.26% chance overall. Welmu1.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.28% chance overall. Kane0.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.33% chance overall. Has0.53% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.23% chance overall. Sen0.45% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.86% chance overall. TLO0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.77% chance overall. HuK0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.64% chance overall. MacSed0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.65% chance overall. Lilbow0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.34% chance overall. VortiX0.3% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.19% chance overall. FireCake0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.03% chance overall. Jim0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.84% chance overall. MorroW0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.69% chance overall. MaSa0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.65% chance overall. Nerchio0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.62% chance overall. iaguz0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.62% chance overall. MarineLorD0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.6% chance overall. XiGua0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.64% chance overall. uThermal0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.63% chance overall. puCK0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.46% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.4% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.28% chance overall. Boombox0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.24% chance overall. Harstem0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.25% chance overall. Petraeus0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.22% chance overall. Scarlett0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.23% chance overall.
Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 2 defenses! PartinG is the current #2 Headband holder with 6 defenses! Zest is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] +
1.02% of the time 2375 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 10.47% of the time 2550 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 28.83% of the time 2675 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 48.91% of the time 2775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 68.68% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.01% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.87% of the time 3250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
GSL Code A Season 2in ~ Trap has a 82.74% chance to win ----going from 57.38% to 61.36% if they get 1st, or 38.27% if they don't. Maru has a 72.57% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Symbol has a 72.56% chance to win ----going from 4.93% to 5.98% if they get 1st, or 2.14% if they don't. Dark has a 69.61% chance to win ----going from 61.13% to 68.14% if they get 1st, or 45.08% if they don't.
YoDa vs DongRaeGuin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. YoDa is at 3.17% Blizzcon Chances. 50.48% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.31%. 49.52% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.98%. DongRaeGu is at 1.49% Blizzcon Chances. 49.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.64%. 50.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.35%.
Seed vs soOin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Seed is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances. 32.17% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.1%. 67.83% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. soO is at 11.58% Blizzcon Chances. 67.83% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.31%. 32.17% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.82%.
ByuL vs YongHwain in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. ByuL is at 7.69% Blizzcon Chances. 57.82% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.39%. 42.18% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.99%. YongHwa is at 0.59% Blizzcon Chances. 42.18% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.21%. 57.82% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.14%.
TaeJa vs Sorryin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. TaeJa is at 7.91% Blizzcon Chances. 69.42% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.4%. 30.58% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.23%. Sorry is at 0.19% Blizzcon Chances. 30.58% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.52%. 69.42% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%.
Trap vs Panicin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Trap is at 57.38% Blizzcon Chances. 82.74% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 61.36%. 17.26% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.27%. Panic is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 17.26% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%. 82.74% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
Copenhagen Springin ~ PartinG has a 24.79% chance to win ----going from 98.91% to 99.57% if they get 1st, or 98.69% if they don't. Rain has a 14.89% chance to win ----going from 41.49% to 48.92% if they get 1st, or 40.19% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 9.02% chance to win ----going from 19.84% to 25.87% if they get 1st, or 19.24% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 8.39% chance to win ----going from 10.97% to 13.98% if they get 1st, or 10.69% if they don't.
Hack vs Bbyongin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Hack is at 0.52% Blizzcon Chances. 43.02% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.04%. 56.98% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.13%. Bbyong is at 38.49% Blizzcon Chances. 56.98% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 47.15%. 43.02% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.03%.
Heart vs sOsin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Heart is at 1.29% Blizzcon Chances. 35.32% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.87%. 64.68% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.42%. sOs is at 33.65% Blizzcon Chances. 64.68% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.44%. 35.32% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.21%.
Symbol vs PenguiNin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Symbol is at 4.93% Blizzcon Chances. 72.56% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.98%. 27.44% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.14%. PenguiN is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 27.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 72.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
WCS Premier Season 1in ~ ForGG has a 21.07% chance to win ----going from 60.26% to 95.41% if they get 1st, or 65.32% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 20.06% chance to win ----going from 61.85% to 97.94% if they get 1st, or 69.65% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 10.75% chance to win ----going from 28.54% to 84.81% if they get 1st, or 35.38% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 10.46% chance to win ----going from 24.32% to 74.97% if they get 1st, or 29.66% if they get 2nd.
ForGG, TLO, XiGua, and Serralin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. ForGG is at 60.26% Blizzcon Chances. 73.95% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 66.4%. 26.05% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.84%. XiGua is at 0.64% Blizzcon Chances. 33.28% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.36%. 66.72% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.27%. TLO is at 1.77% Blizzcon Chances. 38.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.34%. 61.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.79%. Serral is at 5.26% Blizzcon Chances. 54.4% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.74%. 45.6% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.31%.
ShoWTimE, PiG, MacSed, and Snutein in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. ShoWTimE is at 13.32% Blizzcon Chances. 59.28% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.89%. 40.72% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.67%. MacSed is at 1.65% Blizzcon Chances. 28.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.3%. 71.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.99%. PiG is at 8.71% Blizzcon Chances. 45.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.76%. 54.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.47%. Snute is at 28.54% Blizzcon Chances. 66.41% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.91%. 33.59% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.97%.
MyuNgSiK vs Firstin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MyuNgSiK is at 0.99% Blizzcon Chances. 37.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.2%. 62.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.29%. First is at 2.94% Blizzcon Chances. 62.99% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.27%. 37.01% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.68%.
Hydra, FireCake, MaNa, and Poltin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Hydra is at 61.85% Blizzcon Chances. 70.27% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.37%. 29.73% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.09%. MaNa is at 8.9% Blizzcon Chances. 42.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.28%. 57.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.9%. FireCake is at 1.03% Blizzcon Chances. 32.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.15%. 67.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.49%. Polt is at 27.87% Blizzcon Chances. 54.79% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 36.16%. 45.21% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.82%.
Welmu, Kane, Bunny, and Hasin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Welmu is at 4.28% Blizzcon Chances. 45.99% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.89%. 54.01% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.06%. Bunny is at 24.32% Blizzcon Chances. 64.36% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.29%. 35.64% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.54%. Kane is at 3.33% Blizzcon Chances. 48.92% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.26%. 51.08% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.49%. Has is at 2.23% Blizzcon Chances. 40.72% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.95%. 59.28% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.05%.
RagnaroK vs Dearin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. RagnaroK is at 0.27% Blizzcon Chances. 33.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.68%. 66.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%. Dear is at 34.85% Blizzcon Chances. 66.56% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 41.35%. 33.44% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.91%.
Bomber vs Shinein in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Bomber is at 9.43% Blizzcon Chances. 66.6% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.64%. 33.4% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.04%. Shine is at 0.13% Blizzcon Chances. 33.4% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.32%. 66.6% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.03%.
San vs Sacsriin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. San is at 1.92% Blizzcon Chances. 50.58% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.31%. 49.42% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.5%. Sacsri is at 1.95% Blizzcon Chances. 49.42% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.42%. 50.58% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.51%.
Dream vs SuperNovain in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Dream is at 76.61% Blizzcon Chances. 49.24% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 85.04%. 50.76% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.42%. SuperNova is at 0.84% Blizzcon Chances. 50.76% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.48%. 49.24% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.19%.
Maru vs Billowyin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Maru is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances. 72.57% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 100%. 27.43% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. Billowy is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances. 27.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.16%. 72.57% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
Rain vs Curein in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Rain is at 41.49% Blizzcon Chances. 59.85% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 52.99%. 40.15% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.36%. Cure is at 15.23% Blizzcon Chances. 40.15% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 22.75%. 59.85% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.18%.
Ryung vs Darkin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Ryung is at 0.21% Blizzcon Chances. 30.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.56%. 69.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%. Dark is at 61.13% Blizzcon Chances. 69.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.14%. 30.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 45.08%.
Impact vs GuMihoin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Impact is at 0.51% Blizzcon Chances. 44.38% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.02%. 55.62% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.11%. GuMiho is at 12.96% Blizzcon Chances. 55.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.96%. 44.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.44%.
Flash vs Superin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Flash is at 9.97% Blizzcon Chances. 51.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.02%. 48.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.68%. Super is at 22.57% Blizzcon Chances. 48.51% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.77%. 51.49% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.85%.
WCS Qualifiers Season 2in ~ Ian has a 35.53% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Slam has a 30.48% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Top has a 30.44% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 0.5% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. TooDming has a 29.35% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.24% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
FanTaSy vs Pigbabyin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. FanTaSy is at 19.84% Blizzcon Chances. 62.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.34%. 37.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.81%. Pigbaby is at 0.24% Blizzcon Chances. 37.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.56%. 62.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%.
HerO vs Terminatorin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. HerO is at 0.36% Blizzcon Chances. 49.36% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.67%. 50.64% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%. Terminator is at 8.98% Blizzcon Chances. 50.64% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.19%. 49.36% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.63%.
Soulkey vs Creatorin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Soulkey is at 39.11% Blizzcon Chances. 62.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 46.86%. 37.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.26%. Creator is at 3.03% Blizzcon Chances. 37.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.18%. 62.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.73%.
WCS Challenger Season 2in ~ Polt has a 87.71% chance to win ----going from 27.87% to 30.66% if they get 1st, or 7.95% if they don't. ForGG has a 87.69% chance to win ----going from 60.26% to 64.9% if they get 1st, or 27.25% if they don't. Hydra has a 87.41% chance to win ----going from 61.85% to 66.35% if they get 1st, or 30.61% if they don't. MajOr has a 86.57% chance to win ----going from 6.79% to 7.74% if they get 1st, or 0.68% if they don't.
MarineKing vs Patiencein in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MarineKing is at 2.4% Blizzcon Chances. 53.15% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.88%. 46.85% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.71%. Patience is at 1.68% Blizzcon Chances. 46.85% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.06%. 53.15% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.45%.
Curious vs BrAvOin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Curious is at 0.86% Blizzcon Chances. 59.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.35%. 40.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.16%. BrAvO is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances. 40.86% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.2%. 59.14% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%.
MC vs Trustin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MC is at 0.84% Blizzcon Chances. 35.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.93%. 64.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.24%. Trust is at 1.07% Blizzcon Chances. 64.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.56%. 35.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.19%.
DreamHack Toursin ~ PartinG has a 2.22% chance to win ----going from 98.91% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 98.88% if they don't. Life has a 1.85% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Trap has a 1.72% chance to win ----going from 57.38% to 79.52% if they get 1st, or 56.99% if they don't. INnoVation has a 1.72% chance to win ----going from 74.67% to 93.55% if they get 1st, or 74.34% if they don't.
WCS Premier Season 2in ~ ForGG has a 15.72% chance to win ----going from 60.26% to 99.14% if they get 1st, or 76.66% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 13.93% chance to win ----going from 61.85% to 99.76% if they get 1st, or 80.87% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 7.09% chance to win ----going from 24.32% to 87.89% if they get 1st, or 40.19% if they get 2nd. NaNiwa has a 6.3% chance to win ----going from 10.97% to 71.97% if they get 1st, or 19.16% if they get 2nd.
DreamHack Valenciain ~ PartinG has a 2.21% chance to win ----going from 98.91% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 98.88% if they don't. Life has a 1.85% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Trap has a 1.73% chance to win ----going from 57.38% to 79.44% if they get 1st, or 56.99% if they don't. INnoVation has a 1.71% chance to win ----going from 74.67% to 93.58% if they get 1st, or 74.34% if they don't.
DreamHack Stocholmin ~ PartinG has a 2.22% chance to win ----going from 98.91% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 98.88% if they don't. Life has a 1.85% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Trap has a 1.72% chance to win ----going from 57.38% to 79.56% if they get 1st, or 56.99% if they don't. INnoVation has a 1.72% chance to win ----going from 74.67% to 93.35% if they get 1st, or 74.34% if they don't.
YoDa vs DongRaeGuin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. YoDa is at 2.92% Blizzcon Chances. 49.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.98%. 50.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.9%. DongRaeGu is at 1.54% Blizzcon Chances. 50.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.7%. 49.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.36%.
Seed vs soOin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Seed is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances. 32.03% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.11%. 67.97% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. soO is at 12.56% Blizzcon Chances. 67.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.49%. 32.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.34%.
TaeJa vs Sorryin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. TaeJa is at 8.07% Blizzcon Chances. 69.42% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.62%. 30.58% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.27%. Sorry is at 0.2% Blizzcon Chances. 30.58% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.54%. 69.42% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%.
Copenhagen Springin ~ PartinG has a 26.72% chance to win ----going from 99.35% to 99.76% if they get 1st, or 99.2% if they don't. Rain has a 16.46% chance to win ----going from 42.22% to 49.46% if they get 1st, or 40.8% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 9.28% chance to win ----going from 20.34% to 26.35% if they get 1st, or 19.72% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 9.23% chance to win ----going from 11.09% to 14.08% if they get 1st, or 10.78% if they don't. TargA has a 5.68% chance to win ----going from 5.97% to 8.1% if they get 1st, or 5.84% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Jaedong has a 5.39% chance to win ----going from 0.8% to 1.36% if they get 1st, or 0.77% if they don't. Patience has a 5.26% chance to win ----going from 1.76% to 2.78% if they get 1st, or 1.71% if they don't. SuperNova has a 4.19% chance to win ----going from 0.89% to 1.44% if they get 1st, or 0.87% if they don't. Ret has a 2.83% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 0.2% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Ryung has a 2.61% chance to win ----going from 0.22% to 0.4% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. uThermal has a 1.79% chance to win ----going from 0.64% to 1.08% if they get 1st, or 0.63% if they don't. MorroW has a 1.74% chance to win ----going from 0.71% to 1.24% if they get 1st, or 0.7% if they don't. elfi has a 1.66% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Zanster has a 1.58% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Revolver has a 1.01% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Miniraser has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Snovski has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Namshar has a 0.39% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Lillekanin has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
Leenock vs Flashin in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24. Leenock is at 6.12% Blizzcon Chances. 48.69% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.35%. 51.31% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.15%. Flash is at 11.06% Blizzcon Chances. 51.31% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.94%. 48.69% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.81%.
Hurricane vs Roguein in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24. Hurricane is at 3.07% Blizzcon Chances. 41.31% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.74%. 58.69% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.48%. Rogue is at 70.69% Blizzcon Chances. 58.69% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 82.09%. 41.31% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 54.49%.
Symbol vs herOin in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24. Symbol is at 3.15% Blizzcon Chances. 28.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.02%. 71.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.21%. herO is at 99.98% Blizzcon Chances. 71.56% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 28.44% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.92%.
Hack vs Bbyongin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Hack is at 0.55% Blizzcon Chances. 43.86% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.09%. 56.14% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.13%. Bbyong is at 38.2% Blizzcon Chances. 56.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 46.96%. 43.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.98%.
YongHwa vs ByuLin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. YongHwa is at 0.65% Blizzcon Chances. 41.94% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.33%. 58.06% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.15%. ByuL is at 7.73% Blizzcon Chances. 58.06% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.48%. 41.94% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.93%.
Trap vs Panicin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Trap is at 56.4% Blizzcon Chances. 81.27% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 60.8%. 18.73% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.3%. Panic is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances. 18.73% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.1%. 81.27% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
Heart vs sOsin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Heart is at 1.48% Blizzcon Chances. 35.59% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.27%. 64.41% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.48%. sOs is at 33.66% Blizzcon Chances. 64.41% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.66%. 35.59% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.01%.
Symbol vs PenguiNin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Symbol is at 1.08% Blizzcon Chances. 69.18% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.48%. 30.82% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.18%. PenguiN is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 30.82% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 69.18% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
MyuNgSiK vs Firstin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MyuNgSiK is at 1.02% Blizzcon Chances. 37.05% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.25%. 62.95% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.31%. First is at 3.04% Blizzcon Chances. 62.95% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.4%. 37.05% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.73%.
GSL Code A Season 2 Winning Chances Maru has a 72.77% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Symbol has a 69.18% chance to win ----going from 1.08% to 1.48% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Dark has a 67.08% chance to win ----going from 56.13% to 64.17% if they get 1st, or 39.74% if they don't. Dear has a 66.76% chance to win ----going from 34.43% to 40.96% if they get 1st, or 21.32% if they don't. Bomber has a 66.53% chance to win ----going from 9.76% to 13.09% if they get 1st, or 3.13% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
FanTaSy has a 64.6% chance to win ----going from 26.36% to 33.94% if they get 1st, or 12.52% if they don't. sOs has a 64.41% chance to win ----going from 33.66% to 40.66% if they get 1st, or 21.01% if they don't. Trust has a 64.31% chance to win ----going from 1.12% to 1.64% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. First has a 62.95% chance to win ----going from 3.04% to 4.4% if they get 1st, or 0.73% if they don't. Soulkey has a 62.39% chance to win ----going from 36.81% to 44.65% if they get 1st, or 23.8% if they don't. Rain has a 61.3% chance to win ----going from 48.8% to 60.54% if they get 1st, or 30.19% if they don't. Curious has a 59.37% chance to win ----going from 0.9% to 1.41% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't. GuMiho has a 55.95% chance to win ----going from 13.35% to 19.48% if they get 1st, or 5.57% if they don't. MarineKing has a 53.47% chance to win ----going from 2.45% to 3.95% if they get 1st, or 0.73% if they don't. SuperNova has a 52.96% chance to win ----going from 1.22% to 2.06% if they get 1st, or 0.28% if they don't. Flash has a 51.5% chance to win ----going from 3.35% to 5.59% if they get 1st, or 0.96% if they don't. Terminator has a 50.68% chance to win ----going from 9.29% to 14.73% if they get 1st, or 3.7% if they don't. San has a 50.18% chance to win ----going from 1.86% to 3.26% if they get 1st, or 0.46% if they don't. Sacsri has a 49.82% chance to win ----going from 2.05% to 3.58% if they get 1st, or 0.53% if they don't. HerO has a 49.32% chance to win ----going from 0.38% to 0.71% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Super has a 48.5% chance to win ----going from 23.16% to 31.56% if they get 1st, or 15.24% if they don't. Dream has a 47.04% chance to win ----going from 82.69% to 89.79% if they get 1st, or 76.38% if they don't. Patience has a 46.53% chance to win ----going from 1.37% to 2.55% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't. Impact has a 44.05% chance to win ----going from 0.54% to 1.09% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. BrAvO has a 40.63% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.2% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Cure has a 38.7% chance to win ----going from 17.32% to 26.01% if they get 1st, or 11.84% if they don't. Creator has a 37.61% chance to win ----going from 3.27% to 5.6% if they get 1st, or 1.87% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 37.05% chance to win ----going from 1.02% to 2.25% if they get 1st, or 0.31% if they don't. MC has a 35.69% chance to win ----going from 0.91% to 2.09% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. Heart has a 35.59% chance to win ----going from 1.48% to 3.27% if they get 1st, or 0.48% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 35.4% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 0.6% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Shine has a 33.47% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 33.24% chance to win ----going from 0.27% to 0.7% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Ryung has a 32.92% chance to win ----going from 0.38% to 0.95% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. PenguiN has a 30.82% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Billowy has a 27.23% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.17% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
Super vs soOin in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24. Super is at 23.14% Blizzcon Chances. 47.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 36.21%. 52.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.35%. soO is at 15.99% Blizzcon Chances. 52.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.48%. 47.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.58%.
Soulkey vs Curein in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24. Soulkey is at 36.8% Blizzcon Chances. 41.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 55.51%. 58.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.74%. Cure is at 17.31% Blizzcon Chances. 58.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.13%. 41.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.11%.
Trap vs Darkin in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24. Trap is at 33.59% Blizzcon Chances. 56.17% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 48.59%. 43.83% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.38%. Dark is at 56.11% Blizzcon Chances. 43.83% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 74.29%. 56.17% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 41.93%.
StarLeague Season 2 Winning Chances PartinG has a 13.11% chance to win ----going from 99.84% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Life has a 11.69% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. herO has a 9.49% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 9.11% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 6.05% chance to win ----going from 44.06% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 93.42% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
INnoVation has a 5.53% chance to win ----going from 74.44% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.94% if they get 2nd. Trap has a 4.97% chance to win ----going from 33.59% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 90.56% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.66% chance to win ----going from 82.69% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 4.09% chance to win ----going from 50.02% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 97.28% if they get 2nd. Hurricane has a 3.19% chance to win ----going from 8.03% to 74.75% if they get 1st, or 30.01% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 3.18% chance to win ----going from 56.11% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.71% if they get 2nd. Zest has a 2.99% chance to win ----going from 71.08% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 2.72% chance to win ----going from 34.43% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 92.02% if they get 2nd. Cure has a 2.66% chance to win ----going from 17.31% to 95.37% if they get 1st, or 63.77% if they get 2nd. sOs has a 2.65% chance to win ----going from 33.69% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 91.83% if they get 2nd. HyuN has a 2.38% chance to win ----going from 9.77% to 90.73% if they get 1st, or 48.94% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 2.05% chance to win ----going from 12.23% to 98.36% if they get 1st, or 57.99% if they get 2nd. soO has a 2.02% chance to win ----going from 15.99% to 94.12% if they get 1st, or 63.04% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 1.72% chance to win ----going from 36.8% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.27% if they get 2nd. Super has a 1.49% chance to win ----going from 23.14% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 90.58% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 1.45% chance to win ----going from 8.65% to 97.99% if they get 1st, or 58.2% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 1.3% chance to win ----going from 10.68% to 92.61% if they get 1st, or 57.4% if they get 2nd. Creator has a 0.73% chance to win ----going from 3.28% to 77.42% if they get 1st, or 2.73% if they don't. Losira has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 1.67% to 67.15% if they get 1st, or 1.23% if they don't.
PartinG vs elfiin in Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals. PartinG is at 99.84% Blizzcon Chances. 71.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.88%. 28.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.74%. elfi is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances. 28.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%. 71.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%.
SuperNova vs Ryungin in Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals. SuperNova is at 1.23% Blizzcon Chances. 53.1% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.31%. 46.9% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.13%. Ryung is at 0.38% Blizzcon Chances. 46.9% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.41%. 53.1% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.35%.
FanTaSy vs Jaedongin in Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals. FanTaSy is at 26.37% Blizzcon Chances. 58.71% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.65%. 41.29% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.54%. Jaedong is at 1.41% Blizzcon Chances. 41.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.62%. 58.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.27%.
Rain vs Miniraserin in Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals. Rain is at 48.81% Blizzcon Chances. 69.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 50.21%. 30.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 45.62%. Miniraser is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 30.53% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 69.47% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
Copenhagen Spring Winning Chances PartinG has a 39.63% chance to win ----going from 99.84% to 99.92% if they get 1st, or 99.85% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 24.8% chance to win ----going from 48.81% to 53.72% if they get 1st, or 49.42% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 13.28% chance to win ----going from 26.37% to 31.26% if they get 1st, or 27.61% if they get 2nd. Jaedong has a 7.04% chance to win ----going from 1.41% to 2.09% if they get 1st, or 1.36% if they don't. SuperNova has a 5.8% chance to win ----going from 1.23% to 1.72% if they get 1st, or 1.2% if they don't. elfi has a 4.15% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Ryung has a 3.86% chance to win ----going from 0.38% to 0.56% if they get 1st, or 0.37% if they don't. Miniraser has a 1.43% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
Serral, XiGua, TLO, and ForGGin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Serral is at 5.02% Blizzcon Chances. 54.46% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.4%. 45.54% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.19%. TLO is at 1.67% Blizzcon Chances. 38.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.14%. 61.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.75%. XiGua is at 0.59% Blizzcon Chances. 33.26% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.24%. 66.74% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.26%. ForGG is at 60.58% Blizzcon Chances. 73.93% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 66.77%. 26.07% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.05%.
Snute, MacSed, PiG, and ShoWTimEin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. This is the 2nd place Group of Death! Snute is at 27.63% Blizzcon Chances. 65.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.99%. 34.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.29%. PiG is at 8.14% Blizzcon Chances. 44.82% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.03%. 55.18% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.16%. MacSed is at 1.33% Blizzcon Chances. 28.21% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.73%. 71.79% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.78%. ShoWTimE is at 15.51% Blizzcon Chances. 61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.37%. 39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.92%.
Hydra, FireCake, MaNa, and Poltin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. This is the Group of Death! Hydra is at 61.68% Blizzcon Chances. 70.26% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.21%. 29.74% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.89%. MaNa is at 8.63% Blizzcon Chances. 42.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.88%. 57.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.72%. FireCake is at 0.98% Blizzcon Chances. 32.26% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.1%. 67.74% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.45%. Polt is at 28.07% Blizzcon Chances. 54.85% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 36.39%. 45.15% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.95%.
Welmu, Kane, Bunny, and Hasin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Welmu is at 4.99% Blizzcon Chances. 47.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.84%. 52.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.44%. Bunny is at 23.7% Blizzcon Chances. 64.18% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 29.6%. 35.82% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.12%. Kane is at 3.13% Blizzcon Chances. 48.4% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.98%. 51.6% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.4%. Has is at 2.12% Blizzcon Chances. 40.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.8%. 59.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.98%.
WCS Premier Season 1 Winning Chances ForGG has a 20.88% chance to win ----going from 60.58% to 95.62% if they get 1st, or 66.01% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 19.72% chance to win ----going from 61.68% to 98.04% if they get 1st, or 69.61% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 10.56% chance to win ----going from 27.63% to 84.39% if they get 1st, or 34.15% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 10.33% chance to win ----going from 23.7% to 74.15% if they get 1st, or 28.78% if they get 2nd. ShoWTimE has a 8.09% chance to win ----going from 15.51% to 65.03% if they get 1st, or 19.72% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Polt has a 7.5% chance to win ----going from 28.07% to 87.94% if they get 1st, or 39.67% if they get 2nd. PiG has a 4.5% chance to win ----going from 8.14% to 58.65% if they get 1st, or 12.87% if they get 2nd. MaNa has a 4.41% chance to win ----going from 8.63% to 58.17% if they get 1st, or 13.77% if they get 2nd. Serral has a 3.58% chance to win ----going from 5.02% to 49.36% if they get 1st, or 3.38% if they don't. Welmu has a 3.12% chance to win ----going from 4.99% to 49.83% if they get 1st, or 8.39% if they get 2nd. Kane has a 2.23% chance to win ----going from 3.13% to 45.57% if they get 1st, or 2.17% if they don't. Has has a 1.49% chance to win ----going from 2.12% to 44.35% if they get 1st, or 1.48% if they don't. TLO has a 1.43% chance to win ----going from 1.67% to 39.42% if they get 1st, or 1.12% if they don't. FireCake has a 0.89% chance to win ----going from 0.98% to 35.43% if they get 1st, or 0.67% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.64% chance to win ----going from 0.59% to 31.41% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. MacSed has a 0.61% chance to win ----going from 1.33% to 44.65% if they get 1st, or 1.06% if they don't.
Die4Ever: If one of my players win WCS and the other three obviously don't. Do I gain more points or lose more of them?
Maybe a clearer question: whats better: having only the winner in my team or having the winner and three others who obviously lost at some point in the bracket?
I had a mistake in the simulation where WCS was still giving points like last year (only 1000 points for 2nd place etc). I will make a little script to compare the minimum WCS points with what Liquipedia lists them as so I can spot these things right away in the future, it'll need to take into account that WCS Predictor already gives points for GSL S3 Code A and Liquipedia doesn't but it'll work.
On April 04 2015 07:22 sharkie wrote: Die4Ever: If one of my players win WCS and the other three obviously don't. Do I gain more points or lose more of them?
Maybe a clearer question: whats better: having only the winner in my team or having the winner and three others who obviously lost at some point in the bracket?
The 2% loss on selling isn't that much, if you could know that a player was going to lose then you would definitely sell them. However the whole bracket, from the quarterfinals and on, is all played in the same day and there might not be enough time to sell in between matches.
If a player is an underdog then they don't drop many points when they lose. Your players are heavy favorites though. I think you should sell some players after the ro16 is done tomorrow, unless you think there will be time between rounds to sell and they get good ro8 draws. With the way the formula is right now, if you bought both finalists after they make the finals you would lose points for sure. Though this effect will be lessened since you would gain from their wins in ro16, ro8, and ro4. I think the best bet would be to keep 2 players after the ro16 is done.
On April 04 2015 07:22 sharkie wrote: Die4Ever: If one of my players win WCS and the other three obviously don't. Do I gain more points or lose more of them?
Maybe a clearer question: whats better: having only the winner in my team or having the winner and three others who obviously lost at some point in the bracket?
The 2% loss on selling isn't that much, if you could know that a player was going to lose then you would definitely sell them. However the whole bracket, from the quarterfinals and on, is all played in the same day and there might not be enough time to sell in between matches.
If a player is an underdog then they don't drop many points when they lose. Your players are heavy favorites though. I think you should sell some players after the ro16 is done tomorrow, unless you think there will be time between rounds to sell and they get good ro8 draws. With the way the formula is right now, if you bought both finalists after they make the finals you would lose points for sure. Though this effect will be lessened since you would gain from their wins in ro16, ro8, and ro4. I think the best bet would be to keep 2 players after the ro16 is done.
Yeah that was my plan as well since I know the brackets after tomorrow's groups are finished. Thanks for clarifying! I feel like I am the only one taking this seriously haha!
On April 04 2015 07:22 sharkie wrote: Die4Ever: If one of my players win WCS and the other three obviously don't. Do I gain more points or lose more of them?
Maybe a clearer question: whats better: having only the winner in my team or having the winner and three others who obviously lost at some point in the bracket?
The 2% loss on selling isn't that much, if you could know that a player was going to lose then you would definitely sell them. However the whole bracket, from the quarterfinals and on, is all played in the same day and there might not be enough time to sell in between matches.
If a player is an underdog then they don't drop many points when they lose. Your players are heavy favorites though. I think you should sell some players after the ro16 is done tomorrow, unless you think there will be time between rounds to sell and they get good ro8 draws. With the way the formula is right now, if you bought both finalists after they make the finals you would lose points for sure. Though this effect will be lessened since you would gain from their wins in ro16, ro8, and ro4. I think the best bet would be to keep 2 players after the ro16 is done.
Yeah that was my plan as well since I know the brackets after tomorrow's groups are finished. Thanks for clarifying! I feel like I am the only one taking this seriously haha!
There are a few of us. I would be doing way better if IEM Katowice didn't kick my ass so bad lol. I think next season we'll get more activity.
ForGG, TLO, XiGua, and Serralin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. ForGG is at 70.85% Blizzcon Chances. 88.53% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 73.37%. 11.47% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 51.39%. XiGua is at 0.41% Blizzcon Chances. 15.12% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.28%. 84.88% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.25%. TLO is at 1.57% Blizzcon Chances. 22.42% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.72%. 77.58% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.95%. Serral is at 8.75% Blizzcon Chances. 73.93% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.51%. 26.07% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.77%.
ShoWTimE, PiG, MacSed, and Snutein in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. This is the 2nd place Group of Death! ShoWTimE is at 21.39% Blizzcon Chances. 79.54% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.14%. 20.46% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.73%. MacSed is at 1.46% Blizzcon Chances. 14.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.65%. 85.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.09%. PiG is at 8.15% Blizzcon Chances. 25.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 16.05%. 74.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.45%. Snute is at 34.92% Blizzcon Chances. 80.58% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.57%. 19.42% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 19.75%.
Polt, MaNa, FireCake, and Hydrain in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. This is the Group of Death! Polt is at 39.5% Blizzcon Chances. 74.56% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.31%. 25.44% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.4%. FireCake is at 0.85% Blizzcon Chances. 14.86% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.46%. 85.14% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.57%. MaNa is at 8.18% Blizzcon Chances. 23.79% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.97%. 76.21% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.75%. Hydra is at 71.6% Blizzcon Chances. 86.79% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 74.59%. 13.21% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 51.91%.
Has, Bunny, Kane, and Welmuin in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Has is at 2.03% Blizzcon Chances. 18.79% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.89%. 81.21% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.37%. Kane is at 5.21% Blizzcon Chances. 70.58% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.47%. 29.42% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.19%. Bunny is at 31.68% Blizzcon Chances. 84.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.38%. 15.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.2%. Welmu is at 5.01% Blizzcon Chances. 26.34% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.85%. 73.66% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.27%.
WCS Premier Season 1 Winning Chances ForGG has a 24.41% chance to win ----going from 70.85% to 97.99% if they get 1st, or 77.21% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 22.67% chance to win ----going from 71.6% to 99.16% if they get 1st, or 80.3% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 11.34% chance to win ----going from 31.68% to 81.88% if they get 1st, or 40.85% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 10.36% chance to win ----going from 34.92% to 89.78% if they get 1st, or 47.58% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 8.74% chance to win ----going from 39.5% to 92.42% if they get 1st, or 55.85% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
ShoWTimE has a 8.52% chance to win ----going from 21.39% to 75.32% if they get 1st, or 29.77% if they get 2nd. Serral has a 4.2% chance to win ----going from 8.75% to 61.96% if they get 1st, or 15.73% if they get 2nd. Kane has a 2.52% chance to win ----going from 5.21% to 55.4% if they get 1st, or 11.76% if they get 2nd. PiG has a 2.11% chance to win ----going from 8.15% to 67.96% if they get 1st, or 21.74% if they get 2nd. MaNa has a 1.93% chance to win ----going from 8.18% to 67.99% if they get 1st, or 21.2% if they get 2nd. Welmu has a 1.36% chance to win ----going from 5.01% to 61.46% if they get 1st, or 4.22% if they don't. TLO has a 0.61% chance to win ----going from 1.57% to 47.75% if they get 1st, or 1.29% if they don't. Has has a 0.52% chance to win ----going from 2.03% to 51.09% if they get 1st, or 1.77% if they don't. FireCake has a 0.29% chance to win ----going from 0.85% to 42.9% if they get 1st, or 0.73% if they don't. MacSed has a 0.23% chance to win ----going from 1.46% to 51.37% if they get 1st, or 1.34% if they don't.
On April 04 2015 07:50 sharkie wrote: I hope so! It's a lot of fun. Thanks for creating WCS Wars!
Thanks for playing Also remember if you're going to sell after the ro16 it might be best to wait for the update a few hours after when Aligulac ratings are updated (if you expect the player's rating to go up).
On April 05 2015 07:14 sharkie wrote: oh my god, what a horrible bracket for me to predict the winner x.x
Omg yea this bracket sucks lol. Hydra is the only one I feel comfortable betting on. Even if I could predict the Snute vs Bunny teamkill, they'd have to face ForGG or Polt, and I'm not sure how comfortable I feel with ForGG over Polt. I might just go with Hydra and ForGG.
On April 05 2015 09:05 sharkie wrote: How did my team lose points O.O
Snute and Bunny both went down during day 2. Part of it is because they were already strongly expected to advance, especially since they had won their matches on day 1, and their bad bracket draw, and Bunny advancing in 2nd instead of in 1st wasn't expected. I think mostly being on the same side of the bracket as Polt and ForGG hurts them.
Snute's median went up by 25 points from 2400 to 2425, so even with the season 2 formula that still would've only been a 25 point gain, but when you subtract half of the min points that he gained it results in a loss. Keep in mind you're predicting against WCS Predictor here, it already expected Snute to advance.
Bunny's median actually went down cause he was really expected to advance in first and his bracket draw. He lost 50 median points from 2250 down to 2200 median. His WCS Wars value went from 2225 down to 2075.
Polt also dropped 25 points for me on day 2.
Depending on how up to date the aligulac ratings are (Aligulac updates their ratings every 6 hours) they might have factored in Bunny's loss to Kane but not his win vs Has, so maybe that'll help a little.
TLO vs Hydrain in WCS Premier Season 1 quarterfinals. TLO is at 4.43% Blizzcon Chances. 27.21% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.15%. 72.79% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.29%. Hydra is at 76.65% Blizzcon Chances. 72.79% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 83.63%. 27.21% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 57.98%.
Kane vs ShoWTimEin in WCS Premier Season 1 quarterfinals. Kane is at 7.69% Blizzcon Chances. 39.72% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.02%. 60.28% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.18%. ShoWTimE is at 23.24% Blizzcon Chances. 60.28% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.45%. 39.72% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.29%.
Snute vs Bunnyin in WCS Premier Season 1 quarterfinals. Snute is at 35.84% Blizzcon Chances. 44.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 48.6%. 55.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.55%. Bunny is at 29.19% Blizzcon Chances. 55.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.1%. 44.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 19.38%.
ForGG vs Poltin in WCS Premier Season 1 quarterfinals. ForGG is at 75.95% Blizzcon Chances. 67.88% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 83.89%. 32.12% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 59.15%. Polt is at 41.58% Blizzcon Chances. 32.12% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 60.13%. 67.88% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.81%.
WCS Premier Season 1 Winning Chances ForGG has a 28.76% chance to win ----going from 75.95% to 98.2% if they get 1st, or 78.79% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 28.42% chance to win ----going from 76.65% to 99.14% if they get 1st, or 80.11% if they get 2nd. ShoWTimE has a 10.36% chance to win ----going from 23.24% to 73.36% if they get 1st, or 27.5% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 9.04% chance to win ----going from 35.84% to 90.1% if they get 1st, or 48.76% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 8.76% chance to win ----going from 29.19% to 80.54% if they get 1st, or 38.3% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 8.5% chance to win ----going from 41.58% to 92.96% if they get 1st, or 57.7% if they get 2nd. Kane has a 3.53% chance to win ----going from 7.69% to 58.13% if they get 1st, or 13.82% if they get 2nd. TLO has a 2.63% chance to win ----going from 4.43% to 50.92% if they get 1st, or 3.17% if they don't.
Polt vs Hydrain in WCS Premier Season 1 finals. Polt is at 72.99% Blizzcon Chances. 34.86% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 93.8%. 65.14% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 61.85%. Hydra is at 93.07% Blizzcon Chances. 65.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.21%. 34.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 81.6%.
On April 06 2015 07:29 CruSaderSC wrote: Looks like a not buying NaNiwa was a huge mistake on my part. He was only 200 now 1500. Anyway do I get something for finishing 2nd? ;P
I'm going to put a permanent trophy icon next to the winner and 2nd place. If anyone can find good and free icons for gold and silver trophies or something to that effect, that would work well on the page next to the text for the username, that'd be nice
So far these are the best I've found, but they're too big, they might not look as good when shrunk down
Also look out for some analysis after WCS Wars season 1 is closed, countdown is
On April 03 2015 03:51 Die4Ever wrote: Official cutoffs for WCS Wars
End of WCS Wars Season 1in ~ (Monday, Apr 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00))
Start of WCS Wars Season 2in ~ (Tuesday, Apr 07 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00))
These are also shown in the Upcoming section on WCS Predictor. Make sure you're ready for the team resets!
Just realized these times were off from what was on the website :O Those are the fixed times above. It won't make a difference because nothing WCS related is happening in that 1 hour I was off by, mostly just pay attention to the season 2 starting time!
Congratulations to El DesMadre for winning the first place trophy, and CruSaderSC for winning the 2nd place trophy! These will stay next to your usernames forever!
Honorable mention goes to sharkie for being the highest ranked user with over 7 sales (18 sales!), especially considering the semi-broken player value system of season 1 that hurt trading. #4 sharkie's team is worth 11,748 WCS Points with ForGG (2838), Snute (1850), soO (1975), Hydra (3013), and 2072 unspent points.
Best Trades
#1 puCK gained 2063 points from PartinG, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 11:06pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2800 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4863 points.
#2 El DesMadre gained 2063 points from PartinG, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 11:16pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2800 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4863 points.
#3 Xithryl gained 1613 points from PartinG, bought on Thursday, Jan 15 5:29pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3250 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4863 points.
#4 BMKingPrime gained 1612 points from Polt, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 5:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1538 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3150 points.
#5 Wedge gained 1612 points from Polt, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 4:45pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1538 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3150 points. + Show Spoiler [More Best Trades] +
#6 lukasus gained 1612 points from Polt, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 6:07pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1538 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3150 points.
#7 CruSaderSC gained 1612 points from Polt, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 8:01pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1538 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3150 points.
#8 kasraman1000 gained 1525 points from Life, bought on Tuesday, Jan 06 4:56am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3450 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4975 points.
#9 Lucrania gained 1525 points from Life, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 6:23pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3450 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4975 points.
#10 t0rment gained 1525 points from Life, bought on Monday, Jan 05 11:11pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3450 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4975 points.
#11 The_Templar gained 1525 points from Life, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 4:29pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3450 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4975 points.
#12 CruSaderSC gained 1525 points from Life, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 7:58pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3450 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4975 points.
#13 Die4Ever gained 1502 points from PartinG, bought on Thursday, Mar 26 4:16am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3288 points, sold on Friday, Apr 03 3:21am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4790 points.
#14 lllllllllll Kappa gained 1475 points from Life, bought on Monday, Jan 05 6:55am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3500 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4975 points.
#15 MMi gained 1475 points from Life, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 11:28pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3500 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4975 points.
#16 Die4Ever gained 1419 points from ForGG, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 8:05am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1950 points, sold on Sunday, Mar 01 11:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3369 points.
#17 AweesomeSauce gained 1400 points from Polt, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 10:55pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1750 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3150 points.
#18 El DesMadre gained 1400 points from Polt, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 11:16pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1750 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3150 points.
#19 Tofu33 gained 1400 points from Polt, bought on Tuesday, Jan 06 5:18am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1750 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3150 points.
#20 lllllllllll Kappa gained 1375 points from Hydra, bought on Monday, Jan 05 6:55am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1638 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3013 points.
#21 Kuchiki gained 1375 points from Hydra, bought on Monday, Jan 05 3:12am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1638 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3013 points.
#22 BMKingPrime gained 1350 points from Maru, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 5:39pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2975 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4325 points.
#23 Flume gained 1350 points from Maru, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 9:26pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2975 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4325 points.
#24 belling gained 1250 points from Polt, bought on Tuesday, Jan 06 2:13pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1900 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3150 points.
#25 Sargeo gained 1250 points from Polt, bought on Tuesday, Jan 06 6:53am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1900 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3150 points.
Worst Trades
#1 codecrunsher lost 1600 points from TaeJa, bought on Tuesday, Jan 06 5:19am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2600 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1000 points.
#2 belling lost 1600 points from TaeJa, bought on Tuesday, Jan 06 2:14pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2600 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1000 points.
#3 BMKingPrime lost 1600 points from TaeJa, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 5:38pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2600 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1000 points.
#4 LastHope lost 1600 points from TaeJa, bought on Monday, Jan 05 1:15am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2600 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1000 points.
#5 Hjax lost 1600 points from TaeJa, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 7:12pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2600 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1000 points. + Show Spoiler [More Worst Trades] +
#6 SPRX97 lost 1600 points from TaeJa, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 6:37pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2600 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1000 points.
#7 NotTrulyEvil lost 1275 points from TY, bought on Monday, Jan 05 1:01am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3163 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1888 points.
#8 KingofdaHipHop lost 1175 points from Rain, bought on Wednesday, Jan 28 2:34am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3350 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2175 points.
#9 User15937 lost 1175 points from TaeJa, bought on Sunday, Feb 15 7:45pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2175 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1000 points.
#10 Bentheboss lost 1150 points from San, bought on Wednesday, Jan 07 9:24am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2138 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 988 points.
#11 Flume lost 1150 points from San, bought on Wednesday, Jan 07 7:19am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2138 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 988 points.
#12 Newbish4life lost 1125 points from San, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 11:04pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2113 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 988 points.
#13 Bentheboss lost 1100 points from Lilbow, bought on Wednesday, Jan 07 9:24am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1825 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 725 points.
#14 Nezgar lost 1047 points from San, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 11:39pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2113 points, sold on Monday, Mar 09 7:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1066 points.
#15 SoulRiM lost 975 points from Solar, bought on Sunday, Mar 01 8:03am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2700 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1725 points.
#16 AweesomeSauce lost 975 points from ForGG, bought on Sunday, Jan 25 9:35pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3813 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2838 points.
#17 sadeiko lost 918 points from Rain, bought on Monday, Jan 05 12:34am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3000 points, sold on Wednesday, Apr 01 5:47am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2082 points.
#18 ch1ll1ng lost 900 points from TaeJa, bought on Wednesday, Jan 28 2:38am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1900 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1000 points.
#19 Darkdwarf lost 883 points from Dark, bought on Saturday, Jan 10 9:34am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2450 points, sold on Friday, Feb 13 11:44pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1567 points.
#20 qqmagnuz lost 875 points from TaeJa, bought on Friday, Mar 06 3:35pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1875 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1000 points.
#21 SkyHigh lost 875 points from First, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 6:35pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1738 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 863 points.
#22 Sephrenya lost 851 points from San, bought on Monday, Jan 05 1:16pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2113 points, sold on Friday, Feb 20 3:26pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1262 points.
#23 Die4Ever lost 833 points from Life, bought on Sunday, Mar 01 11:16pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6100 points, sold on Thursday, Mar 05 6:49pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5267 points.
#24 SPRX97 lost 825 points from Rain, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 6:37pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3000 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2175 points.
#25 codecrunsher lost 825 points from Rain, bought on Tuesday, Jan 06 5:18am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3000 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2175 points.
Quickest Profitable Sales The most important award for sure
#1 Die4Ever gained 723 points from KingKong over a span of 9 hours, bought on Saturday, Jan 10 10:07pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 725 points, sold on Sunday, Jan 11 8:02am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1448 points.
#2 sharkie gained 216 points from Dream over a span of 33 hours, bought on Thursday, Mar 05 9:09am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2650 points, sold on Friday, Mar 06 6:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2866 points.
#3 Die4Ever gained 129 points from MyuNgSiK over a span of 34 hours, bought on Tuesday, Mar 03 5:59pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 900 points, sold on Thursday, Mar 05 4:45am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1029 points.
#4 Die4Ever gained 261 points from Bbyong over a span of 34 hours, bought on Tuesday, Mar 03 5:55pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1625 points, sold on Thursday, Mar 05 4:45am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1886 points.
#5 sharkie gained 63 points from FanTaSy over a span of 38 hours, bought on Wednesday, Apr 01 5:13pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1738 points, sold on Friday, Apr 03 7:51am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1801 points. + Show Spoiler [More Quickest Profits] +
#6 SoulRiM gained 95 points from ShoWTimE over a span of 42 hours, bought on Thursday, Feb 26 2:56pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1375 points, sold on Saturday, Feb 28 9:09am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1470 points.
#7 sharkie gained 54 points from Jaedong over a span of 2 days, bought on Wednesday, Apr 01 7:44am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 963 points, sold on Friday, Apr 03 7:51am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1017 points.
#8 sharkie gained 83 points from Bunny over a span of 2 days, bought on Friday, Apr 03 7:51am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1950 points, sold on Sunday, Apr 05 8:50am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2033 points.
#9 Die4Ever gained 253 points from Polt over a span of 2 days, bought on Friday, Apr 03 3:22am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2050 points, sold on Sunday, Apr 05 4:27am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2303 points.
#10 patton gained 358 points from Zest over a span of 2 days, bought on Saturday, Mar 14 6:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1663 points, sold on Monday, Mar 16 8:39pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2021 points.
#11 Megafather gained 224 points from ByuL over a span of 2 days, bought on Tuesday, Mar 24 5:18pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1025 points, sold on Thursday, Mar 26 7:54pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1249 points.
#12 Die4Ever gained 59 points from Hydra over a span of 2 days, bought on Friday, Feb 27 8:03pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3163 points, sold on Sunday, Mar 01 11:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3222 points.
#13 Die4Ever gained 59 points from Bbyong over a span of 2 days, bought on Wednesday, Mar 11 4:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1925 points, sold on Saturday, Mar 14 6:22am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1984 points.
#14 sharkie gained 50 points from Hydra over a span of 2 days, bought on Friday, Apr 03 7:54am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2963 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3013 points.
#15 Die4Ever gained 50 points from Hydra over a span of 3 days, bought on Friday, Apr 03 3:22am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2963 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3013 points.
#16 Megafather gained 32 points from Rogue over a span of 3 days, bought on Thursday, Mar 26 7:55pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2663 points, sold on Sunday, Mar 29 9:37pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2695 points.
#17 AweesomeSauce gained 15 points from Happy over a span of 3 days, bought on Thursday, Jan 22 3:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1600 points, sold on Sunday, Jan 25 9:35pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1615 points.
#18 sharkie gained 642 points from Kas over a span of 3 days, bought on Sunday, Jan 04 9:04pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 700 points, sold on Thursday, Jan 08 8:26am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1342 points.
#19 SoulRiM gained 102 points from Has over a span of 3 days, bought on Sunday, Feb 22 4:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1025 points, sold on Thursday, Feb 26 2:54pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1127 points.
#20 sharkie gained 425 points from soO over a span of 4 days, bought on Wednesday, Apr 01 7:46am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1550 points, sold on Monday, Apr 06 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1975 points.
#21 OtherWorld gained 126 points from Welmu over a span of 5 days, bought on Friday, Feb 27 6:17am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1050 points, sold on Wednesday, Mar 04 7:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1176 points.
#22 Darkdwarf gained 3 points from TRUE over a span of 6 days, bought on Monday, Feb 16 9:41pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1075 points, sold on Monday, Feb 23 3:47pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1078 points.
#23 sharkie gained 207 points from Harstem over a span of 7 days, bought on Thursday, Jan 08 8:29am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 600 points, sold on Thursday, Jan 15 9:35am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 807 points.
#24 Die4Ever gained 145 points from Life over a span of 7 days, bought on Sunday, Mar 15 12:25am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5000 points, sold on Sunday, Mar 22 5:01am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5145 points.
#25 Die4Ever gained 1502 points from PartinG over a span of 7 days, bought on Thursday, Mar 26 4:16am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3288 points, sold on Friday, Apr 03 3:21am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4790 points.
Point Givers Players who gave the most points to users total
#1 Polt gave 18674 points with 17 trades, for an average of 1098 points per trade. #2 Life gave 9687 points with 11 trades, for an average of 880 points per trade. #3 PartinG gave 7362 points with 6 trades, for an average of 1227 points per trade. #4 NaNiwa gave 6677 points with 15 trades, for an average of 445 points per trade. #5 Snute gave 5847 points with 20 trades, for an average of 292 points per trade. + Show Spoiler [More Givers] +
#6 soO gave 5610 points with 7 trades, for an average of 801 points per trade. #7 Maru gave 5461 points with 9 trades, for an average of 606 points per trade. #8 Bunny gave 5158 points with 10 trades, for an average of 515 points per trade. #9 Hydra gave 4209 points with 13 trades, for an average of 323 points per trade. #10 sOs gave 3921 points with 8 trades, for an average of 490 points per trade. #11 ForGG gave 3340 points with 8 trades, for an average of 417 points per trade. #12 Soulkey gave 3239 points with 5 trades, for an average of 647 points per trade. #13 Zest gave 2904 points with 6 trades, for an average of 484 points per trade. #14 MacSed gave 1378 points with 4 trades, for an average of 344 points per trade. #15 puCK gave 1364 points with 9 trades, for an average of 151 points per trade. #16 Welmu gave 953 points with 5 trades, for an average of 190 points per trade. #17 INnoVation gave 893 points with 10 trades, for an average of 89 points per trade. #18 Bbyong gave 869 points with 5 trades, for an average of 173 points per trade. #19 KingKong gave 723 points with 1 trade, for an average of 723 points per trade. #20 HyuN gave 700 points with 4 trades, for an average of 175 points per trade. #21 Kane gave 700 points with 4 trades, for an average of 175 points per trade. #22 Dream gave 660 points with 5 trades, for an average of 132 points per trade. #23 Kas gave 642 points with 1 trade, for an average of 642 points per trade. #24 TLO gave 550 points with 1 trade, for an average of 550 points per trade. #25 ShoWTimE gave 520 points with 3 trades, for an average of 173 points per trade.
Point Takers Players who lost the most points for users total
#1 TaeJa took 13074 points with 11 trades, for an average of -1188 points per trade. #2 San took 6980 points with 8 trades, for an average of -872 points per trade. #3 MC took 5959 points with 15 trades, for an average of -397 points per trade. #4 Rain took 4361 points with 5 trades, for an average of -872 points per trade. #5 Dark took 2492 points with 6 trades, for an average of -415 points per trade. + Show Spoiler [More Takers] +
#6 Bomber took 2488 points with 7 trades, for an average of -355 points per trade. #7 Dear took 2000 points with 3 trades, for an average of -666 points per trade. #8 Lilbow took 1825 points with 3 trades, for an average of -608 points per trade. #9 Solar took 1655 points with 4 trades, for an average of -413 points per trade. #10 Scarlett took 1537 points with 5 trades, for an average of -307 points per trade. #11 MarineKing took 1503 points with 5 trades, for an average of -300 points per trade. #12 MMA took 1415 points with 8 trades, for an average of -176 points per trade. #13 Jim took 1293 points with 7 trades, for an average of -184 points per trade. #14 TY took 1275 points with 1 trade, for an average of -1275 points per trade. #15 Jaedong took 1157 points with 9 trades, for an average of -128 points per trade. #16 Rogue took 1096 points with 3 trades, for an average of -365 points per trade. #17 Classic took 1084 points with 4 trades, for an average of -271 points per trade. #18 Happy took 889 points with 4 trades, for an average of -222 points per trade. #19 First took 875 points with 1 trade, for an average of -875 points per trade. #20 Heart took 769 points with 3 trades, for an average of -256 points per trade. #21 StarDust took 750 points with 1 trade, for an average of -750 points per trade. #22 herO took 481 points with 11 trades, for an average of -43 points per trade. #23 Serral took 475 points with 9 trades, for an average of -52 points per trade. #24 MajOr took 475 points with 2 trades, for an average of -237 points per trade. #25 GuMiho took 475 points with 1 trade, for an average of -475 points per trade.
#6 Life with 22 buys #7 TaeJa with 22 buys #8 herO with 22 buys #9 Bunny with 20 buys #10 INnoVation with 20 buys #11 Jaedong with 18 buys #12 Serral with 18 buys #13 puCK with 18 buys #14 Maru with 18 buys #15 San with 16 buys #16 sOs with 16 buys #17 MMA with 16 buys #18 ForGG with 16 buys #19 Jim with 14 buys #20 soO with 14 buys #21 HuK with 14 buys #22 Bomber with 14 buys #23 Zest with 12 buys #24 Flash with 12 buys #25 PartinG with 12 buys
Best Possible Trades This list uses a complex filter to reduce duplicates based on the player and the time period
#1 Life gained 2875 points over 47 days, going from 3250 points on Saturday, Jan 10 8:45am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 6125 points on Thursday, Feb 26 6:19pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#2 Maru gained 2450 points over 39 days, going from 2975 points on Sunday, Jan 04 5:09am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 5425 points on Thursday, Feb 12 7:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#3 ForGG gained 2438 points over 3 days, going from 1950 points on Sunday, Jan 04 5:09am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4388 points on Wednesday, Jan 07 2:57pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#4 Hydra gained 2388 points over 91 days, going from 1325 points on Sunday, Jan 04 5:09am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3713 points on Sunday, Apr 05 5:58pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#5 PartinG gained 2138 points over 85 days, going from 2800 points on Thursday, Jan 08 4:44pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4938 points on Saturday, Apr 04 1:08am GMT (GMT+00:00). + Show Spoiler [More Best Possible Trades] +
#6 Trap gained 1950 points over 62 days, going from 825 points on Friday, Jan 23 11:21pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2775 points on Friday, Mar 27 8:47pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#7 Polt gained 1700 points over 81 days, going from 1450 points on Wednesday, Jan 14 11:43pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3150 points on Monday, Apr 06 3:04am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#8 NaNiwa gained 1675 points over 16 days, going from 200 points on Friday, Jan 09 3:11pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1875 points on Monday, Jan 26 5:16am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#9 Bunny gained 1475 points over 88 days, going from 825 points on Wednesday, Jan 07 12:13am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2300 points on Sunday, Apr 05 3:03pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#10 Snute gained 1325 points over 55 days, going from 1075 points on Monday, Jan 12 3:17pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2400 points on Sunday, Mar 08 6:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#11 ShoWTimE gained 1275 points over 78 days, going from 700 points on Friday, Jan 16 3:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1975 points on Sunday, Apr 05 3:03pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#12 Bbyong gained 1200 points over 39 days, going from 1250 points on Sunday, Feb 22 9:46am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2450 points on Friday, Apr 03 2:40am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#13 herO gained 1100 points over 7 days, going from 3288 points on Wednesday, Mar 25 11:19pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4388 points on Thursday, Apr 02 10:49pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#14 Stats gained 1075 points over 51 days, going from 1938 points on Sunday, Jan 04 9:41pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3013 points on Wednesday, Feb 25 12:35am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#15 Serral gained 1075 points over 77 days, going from 450 points on Friday, Jan 16 3:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1525 points on Friday, Apr 03 10:07pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#16 Zest gained 1050 points over 14 days, going from 1388 points on Wednesday, Mar 11 4:58pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2438 points on Wednesday, Mar 25 6:19pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#17 Dark gained 975 points over 41 days, going from 1650 points on Friday, Feb 13 5:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2625 points on Friday, Mar 27 5:04pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#18 PiG gained 975 points over 41 days, going from 575 points on Saturday, Jan 10 10:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1550 points on Saturday, Feb 21 8:32am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#19 Sen gained 963 points over 16 days, going from 575 points on Saturday, Jan 10 10:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1538 points on Tuesday, Jan 27 10:21pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#20 soO gained 950 points over 33 days, going from 1025 points on Sunday, Mar 01 3:01am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1975 points on Saturday, Apr 04 1:08am GMT (GMT+00:00).
Untapped Potential The best possible trades for players that no one ever bought
#1 PiG gained 975 points over 41 days, going from 575 points on Saturday, Jan 10 10:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1550 points on Saturday, Feb 21 8:32am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#2 HeRoMaRinE gained 825 points over 41 hours, going from 825 points on Tuesday, Jan 06 6:34am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1650 points on Wednesday, Jan 07 11:38pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#3 MarineLorD gained 675 points over 63 hours, going from 625 points on Thursday, Jan 08 7:24am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1300 points on Saturday, Jan 10 10:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#4 iaguz gained 650 points over 8 days, going from 450 points on Thursday, Jan 08 7:24am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1100 points on Saturday, Jan 17 5:08am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#5 Kelazhur gained 600 points over 54 days, going from 200 points on Friday, Jan 16 8:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 800 points on Thursday, Mar 12 6:47pm GMT (GMT+00:00). + Show Spoiler [More Untapped Potential] +
#6 Hurricane gained 575 points over 7 days, going from 750 points on Wednesday, Mar 25 11:19pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1325 points on Thursday, Apr 02 10:49pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#7 Super gained 550 points over 10 days, going from 2363 points on Sunday, Jan 04 9:41pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2913 points on Thursday, Jan 15 3:37pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#8 uThermal gained 550 points over 41 hours, going from 675 points on Friday, Jan 09 4:47am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1225 points on Saturday, Jan 10 10:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#9 Starbuck gained 550 points over 27 hours, going from 625 points on Wednesday, Jan 07 2:57pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1175 points on Thursday, Jan 08 6:38pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#10 Symbol gained 500 points over 23 days, going from 763 points on Tuesday, Mar 03 5:09pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1263 points on Friday, Mar 27 5:04pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#11 Nerchio gained 500 points over 10 hours, going from 800 points on Wednesday, Jan 14 5:53pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1300 points on Thursday, Jan 15 4:44am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#12 Tiger gained 500 points over 34 hours, going from 0 points on Sunday, Feb 01 9:20am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 500 points on Monday, Feb 02 7:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#13 Rain gained 450 points over 40 hours, going from 0 points on Saturday, Jan 10 10:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 450 points on Monday, Jan 12 3:17pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#14 MorroW gained 450 points over 27 days, going from 575 points on Tuesday, Jan 13 6:25am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1025 points on Tuesday, Feb 10 1:08am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#15 Astrea gained 425 points over 17 days, going from 450 points on Thursday, Jan 08 7:24am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 875 points on Monday, Jan 26 4:08am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#16 Boombox gained 425 points over 46 days, going from 200 points on Wednesday, Jan 07 12:13am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 625 points on Sunday, Feb 22 9:39pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#17 Semper gained 400 points over 7 days, going from 200 points on Thursday, Jan 08 6:38pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 600 points on Friday, Jan 16 2:52pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#18 Ret gained 375 points over 6 days, going from 450 points on Thursday, Jan 08 4:44pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 825 points on Thursday, Jan 15 3:37pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#19 qxc gained 375 points over 3 days, going from 688 points on Monday, Jan 05 10:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1063 points on Friday, Jan 09 3:11pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#20 Ian gained 375 points over 9 days, going from 325 points on Saturday, Jan 10 10:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 700 points on Tuesday, Jan 20 4:36pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
Biggest Winners and Losers during Season 1 (Sim ID #1079 vs Sim ID #1338) (from Tuesday, Nov 18 5:22am GMT (GMT+00:00) to Monday, Apr 06 7:21pm GMT (GMT+00:00)) Biggest Winners Maru went up by 78.73%, going from 21.27% to 99.99% Dream went up by 75.45%, going from 3.06% to 78.51% Life went up by 72.4%, going from 27.6% to 100% Hydra went up by 71.36%, going from 9.25% to 80.61% Polt went up by 63.79%, going from 30.95% to 94.74% PartinG went up by 55.93%, going from 43.89% to 99.82% herO went up by 55.76%, going from 44.24% to 99.99% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Trap went up by 39.91%, going from 8.77% to 48.68% ForGG went up by 38.12%, going from 20.91% to 59.03% Soulkey went up by 35.04%, going from 18.41% to 53.45% INnoVation went up by 32.15%, going from 38.12% to 70.27% Rogue went up by 31.75%, going from 14.81% to 46.57% Dark went up by 27.07%, going from 9.61% to 36.68% Zest went up by 25.95%, going from 39.82% to 65.78% Bbyong went up by 24.41%, going from 23.38% to 47.78% FanTaSy went up by 23.07%, going from 2.92% to 25.99% Bunny went up by 14.38%, going from 12.91% to 27.29% Snute went up by 13.05%, going from 9.51% to 22.56% Dear went up by 12.39%, going from 17.46% to 29.86% Stats went up by 9.98%, going from 29.76% to 39.74% ShoWTimE went up by 9.97%, going from 5.62% to 15.59% sOs went up by 6.34%, going from 31.86% to 38.2% Terminator went up by 5.87%, going from 1.82% to 7.69% FireCake went up by 4.84%, going from 0.04% to 4.88% NaNiwa went up by 4.55%, going from 4.94% to 9.49% Rain went up by 3.16%, going from 41.37% to 44.52% TY went up by 2.95%, going from 22.77% to 25.72% PiG went up by 2.29%, going from 0.73% to 3.02% Has went up by 0.89%, going from 0.34% to 1.23% Sen went up by 0.87%, going from 0.88% to 1.75% Serral went up by 0.73%, going from 2.11% to 2.83% iaguz went up by 0.33%, going from 0.28% to 0.61% Leenock went up by 0.11%, going from 9.79% to 9.9%
Biggest Losers Flash went down by 39.95%, going from 42.79% to 2.84% TaeJa went down by 36.4%, going from 37.98% to 1.59% Scarlett went down by 24.25%, going from 24.43% to 0.18% MajOr went down by 21.99%, going from 28.88% to 6.88% Jim went down by 20.74%, going from 21.41% to 0.67% Cure went down by 18.39%, going from 22.86% to 4.47% San went down by 17.88%, going from 19.33% to 1.45% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
First went down by 17.23%, going from 17.64% to 0.41% Sacsri went down by 16.87%, going from 18.84% to 1.97% jjakji went down by 16.63%, going from 16.86% to 0.23% Solar went down by 15.35%, going from 31.96% to 16.61% YoDa went down by 14.22%, going from 18.72% to 4.5% MaSa went down by 13.95%, going from 14.6% to 0.66% VortiX went down by 13.69%, going from 13.88% to 0.18% Bomber went down by 13.5%, going from 21.82% to 8.32% Sora went down by 13.43%, going from 13.55% to 0.12% Classic went down by 13.09%, going from 20.7% to 7.62% viOLet went down by 12.99%, going from 17.99% to 5.01% KingKong went down by 11.4%, going from 11.81% to 0.41% HyuN went down by 11.23%, going from 19.48% to 8.25% Jaedong went down by 11.23%, going from 12.14% to 0.91% Losira went down by 10.88%, going from 12.3% to 1.43% Lilbow went down by 10.75%, going from 11.52% to 0.78% StarDust went down by 10.09%, going from 10.17% to 0.08% Patience went down by 9.46%, going from 10.5% to 1.04% Ourk went down by 9.17%, going from 9.21% to 0.03% DongRaeGu went down by 8.47%, going from 8.73% to 0.26% Impact went down by 8.34%, going from 8.75% to 0.42% GuMiho went down by 8.25%, going from 19.16% to 10.91% Mvp went down by 7.91%, going from 7.91% to 0% Pet went down by 7.66%, going from 7.75% to 0.08% Nerchio went down by 7.63%, going from 8.19% to 0.56% TooDming went down by 7.62%, going from 7.87% to 0.26% TRUE went down by 7.46%, going from 8.61% to 1.15% Center went down by 7.41%, going from 7.54% to 0.13% Journey went down by 7.22%, going from 7.26% to 0.04% Reality went down by 6.68%, going from 6.71% to 0.03% Pigbaby went down by 6.48%, going from 6.66% to 0.18% MC went down by 6.48%, going from 7.17% to 0.68% sKyHigh went down by 6.37%, going from 6.59% to 0.22% Top went down by 6.32%, going from 6.34% to 0.02% HeRoMaRinE went down by 6.3%, going from 6.78% to 0.49% HuK went down by 5.82%, going from 7.64% to 1.82% LucifroN went down by 5.74%, going from 5.74% to 0% XY went down by 5.72%, going from 5.72% to 0.01% Golden went down by 5.65%, going from 5.65% to 0% Heart went down by 5.63%, going from 6.08% to 0.44% XiGua went down by 5.57%, going from 5.71% to 0.14% Sorry went down by 5.38%, going from 5.9% to 0.52% Hurricane went down by 5.34%, going from 12.67% to 7.33%
There were big drops late last year with the point structure being announced and weighting SSL qualifiers towards high Korean attendance. Chances of 1+ foreigners from 99.72% down to 82.52% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 96.77% down to 39.44% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 84.78% down to 9.05% Chances of 4+ foreigners from 59.69% down to 0.97%
Bunny9.88% chance to be the only foreigner, 27.29% chance overall. Snute7.75% chance to be the only foreigner, 22.56% chance overall. ShoWTimE4.93% chance to be the only foreigner, 15.59% chance overall. NaNiwa3.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.49% chance overall. MajOr2.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.88% chance overall. Happy1.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.71% chance overall. FireCake1.48% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.88% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
TargA1.42% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.61% chance overall. MaNa1.38% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.46% chance overall. Kane1.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.64% chance overall. PiG0.92% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.02% chance overall. Serral0.85% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.83% chance overall. Welmu0.73% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.41% chance overall. MacSed0.6% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.21% chance overall. HuK0.55% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.82% chance overall. Sen0.53% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.75% chance overall. TLO0.48% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.66% chance overall. Has0.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.23% chance overall. MorroW0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.89% chance overall. uThermal0.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.83% chance overall. Lilbow0.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall. Jim0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.67% chance overall. MaSa0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.66% chance overall. iaguz0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.61% chance overall. MarineLorD0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.59% chance overall. Nerchio0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.56% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.49% chance overall. puCK0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.4% chance overall. Petraeus0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.28% chance overall. TooDming0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.26% chance overall. VortiX0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.18% chance overall. Boombox0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.21% chance overall. Harstem0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.21% chance overall. PtitDrogo0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.2% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.2% chance overall.
Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 2 defenses! PartinG is the current #2 Headband holder with 13 defenses! Zest is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
1.01% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.59% of the time 2675 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 31.04% of the time 2825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 50.66% of the time 2925 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 69.62% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 88.96% of the time 3175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.03% of the time 3425 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Korea 91.75% up from 73.37% Denmark 1.71% up from 0.81% Norway 1.7% up from 0.95% Germany 1.12% down from 1.34% Sweden 0.65% down from 0.8% Mexico 0.43% down from 1.93% France 0.41% down from 1.36% Canada 0.39% down from 3.44% Russia 0.36% down from 0.94% Finland 0.33% down from 0.42% Poland 0.32% down from 1.2% Australia 0.23% up from 0.07% China 0.21% down from 3.5% Taiwan 0.19% up from 0.08% Netherlands 0.07% down from 0.51% United States 0.05% down from 1.48% Ukraine 0.02% down from 0.76% New Zealand 0.02% down from 0.1% United Kingdom 0.02% down from 0.83% Spain 0.01% down from 0.91% Brazil 0.01% from 0.01%
(Unfortunately WCS Predictor does not remember old teams for players, so in this comparison it considers Life as part of KT before and now.) Jin Air 15.44% up from 7.51% KT 14.66% up from 11.46% SKT T1 13.61% up from 6.61% CJ Entus 9.89% up from 6.8% Yoe 7.03% up from 4.59% CM Storm 5.92% up from 2.08% ROOT 5.18% up from 2.28% Millenium 3.79% up from 3.51% Liquid 3.62% down from 4.74% Samsung 3.39% down from 5.52% mYinsanity 3.34% down from 5.49% TCM 3.34% up from 1.15% dPix 1.76% up from 1.38% Teamless 1.52% down from 9.65% Acer 1.37% down from 3.75% Invasion 1.17% down from 1.91% aTn 0.97% up from 0.35% prOperty 0.65% up from 0.5% Prime 0.58% down from 2.07% ROCCAT 0.52% down from 1.22%
Check out the fantasy league WCS Wars! ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WCS Wars Season 2 Has Begun! With a Prize! Tuesday, Apr 07 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #1339)
WCS Wars fantasy league season 2 now open, with a prize for 1st place and new and improved formula!
Starting with 12,000 points, buy players who you think will win, and sell a player if you think they're going to lose. You can have up to 5 players at a time. Pick from over 3000 players! At the end of WCS Season 2 (should be around June 28th) the winner will get their choice of TL+ or Reddit Gold. Make sure you edit your profile to set your Team Liquid ID and/or your Reddit ID in order to claim your prize, these will not be shown publicly and are not required unless you want to claim your prize.
Season 2 uses a new formula to buff trading and reward wins more. Player values are based on the Median WCS Points as calculated by WCS Predictor. Wikipedia link for how medians work http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Median The new formula is very simple: player value = median points + 1000
Median points means that if a player is favored to win then they will gain less points if they do win and lose more points if they lose, so properly predicting underdogs(according to WCS Predictor) to win can be very beneficial. Just like in SC2 idle money can be bad, if a player isn't playing for a while you might want to sell them to use the points for another player to gain points sooner. When selling a player there is a 1% tax, so if you buy a player and immediately sell them you'll lose some points. If you ever mess up you can reset your team to go back to just the 12,000 starting points.
On April 08 2015 00:25 Die4Ever wrote: Hey guys we're still only at 9 players on WCS Wars season 2 (at least those who have bought players already). We need more!
On April 08 2015 00:25 Die4Ever wrote: Hey guys we're still only at 9 players on WCS Wars season 2 (at least those who have bought players already). We need more!
Don't want to spend all money before WCS matchups are announced.
So Jaedong and Stardust are confirmed to be playing in the WCS qualifiers this weekend? I'm gonna have to sell Dear once he (hopefully) beats Ragnarok and get Stardust.
RagnaroK vs Dearin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. RagnaroK is at 0.2% Blizzcon Chances. 33.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.51%. 66.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%. Dear is at 29.73% Blizzcon Chances. 66.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 35.77%. 33.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.82%.
Bomber vs Shinein in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Bomber is at 8.3% Blizzcon Chances. 66.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.18%. 33.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.57%. Shine is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances. 33.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.23%. 66.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%.
Sacsri vs Sanin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Sacsri is at 1.96% Blizzcon Chances. 50.79% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.38%. 49.21% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.49%. San is at 1.45% Blizzcon Chances. 49.21% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.59%. 50.79% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.34%.
Maru has a 73.4% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Bomber has a 66.55% chance to win ----going from 8.3% to 11.18% if they get 1st, or 2.57% if they don't. Dark has a 66.42% chance to win ----going from 36.63% to 45.41% if they get 1st, or 19.26% if they don't. Dear has a 66.37% chance to win ----going from 29.73% to 35.77% if they get 1st, or 17.82% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 64.96% chance to win ----going from 25.95% to 33.27% if they get 1st, or 12.37% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Trust has a 64.32% chance to win ----going from 0.87% to 1.27% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Soulkey has a 63.49% chance to win ----going from 53.37% to 61.12% if they get 1st, or 39.9% if they don't. Rain has a 61.46% chance to win ----going from 44.28% to 55.54% if they get 1st, or 26.32% if they don't. Curious has a 59.34% chance to win ----going from 0.67% to 1.05% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. MarineKing has a 55.23% chance to win ----going from 2.75% to 4.3% if they get 1st, or 0.83% if they don't. GuMiho has a 55.17% chance to win ----going from 10.87% to 16.14% if they get 1st, or 4.37% if they don't. Flash has a 53.25% chance to win ----going from 2.83% to 4.65% if they get 1st, or 0.77% if they don't. SuperNova has a 51.59% chance to win ----going from 0.78% to 1.34% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. Sacsri has a 50.79% chance to win ----going from 1.96% to 3.38% if they get 1st, or 0.49% if they don't. Terminator has a 50.65% chance to win ----going from 7.69% to 12.33% if they get 1st, or 2.92% if they don't. HerO has a 49.35% chance to win ----going from 0.28% to 0.52% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. San has a 49.21% chance to win ----going from 1.45% to 2.59% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't. Dream has a 48.41% chance to win ----going from 78.44% to 86.2% if they get 1st, or 71.16% if they don't. Super has a 46.75% chance to win ----going from 7.6% to 12.78% if they get 1st, or 3.06% if they don't. Impact has a 44.83% chance to win ----going from 0.42% to 0.83% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Patience has a 44.77% chance to win ----going from 1.04% to 2.01% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. BrAvO has a 40.66% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Cure has a 38.54% chance to win ----going from 4.27% to 8.49% if they get 1st, or 1.63% if they don't. Creator has a 36.51% chance to win ----going from 2.55% to 4.52% if they get 1st, or 1.41% if they don't. MC has a 35.68% chance to win ----going from 0.68% to 1.59% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 35.04% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 0.44% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 33.63% chance to win ----going from 0.2% to 0.51% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Ryung has a 33.58% chance to win ----going from 0.34% to 0.84% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Shine has a 33.45% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.23% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Billowy has a 26.6% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
PartinG has a 16.07% chance to win ----going from 99.81% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Life has a 9.42% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. herO has a 8.65% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 6.32% chance to win ----going from 70.18% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 96.7% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 4.45% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Rogue has a 4.35% chance to win ----going from 47.96% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 93.79% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 4.25% chance to win ----going from 44.28% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 94.09% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 4.17% chance to win ----going from 47.67% to 99.17% if they get 1st, or 83.63% if they get 2nd. sOs has a 4.06% chance to win ----going from 38.55% to 98.47% if they get 1st, or 76.69% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 3.35% chance to win ----going from 16.57% to 90.63% if they get 1st, or 49.74% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 3.11% chance to win ----going from 36.63% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 90.95% if they get 2nd. soO has a 2.92% chance to win ----going from 24.11% to 87.31% if they get 1st, or 55.9% if they get 2nd. TY has a 2.72% chance to win ----going from 25.7% to 99.39% if they get 1st, or 73.66% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 2.61% chance to win ----going from 21.03% to 98.19% if they get 1st, or 65.32% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 2.33% chance to win ----going from 29.73% to 98.23% if they get 1st, or 75.12% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 2.21% chance to win ----going from 25.95% to 99.81% if they get 1st, or 81.9% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 1.82% chance to win ----going from 8.96% to 65.5% if they get 1st, or 29.51% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 1.7% chance to win ----going from 53.37% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 97.22% if they get 2nd. Bomber has a 1.62% chance to win ----going from 8.3% to 84.02% if they get 1st, or 40.5% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 1.39% chance to win ----going from 10.87% to 93.8% if they get 1st, or 53.83% if they get 2nd. YoDa has a 1.32% chance to win ----going from 4.49% to 67.99% if they get 1st, or 3.64% if they don't. Flash has a 1.07% chance to win ----going from 2.83% to 56.55% if they get 1st, or 2.26% if they don't. Dream has a 0.95% chance to win ----going from 78.44% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Cure has a 0.93% chance to win ----going from 4.27% to 74.6% if they get 1st, or 3.61% if they don't. Sacsri has a 0.82% chance to win ----going from 1.96% to 53.24% if they get 1st, or 1.53% if they don't. Terminator has a 0.72% chance to win ----going from 7.69% to 97.72% if they get 1st, or 57.32% if they get 2nd. Super has a 0.7% chance to win ----going from 7.6% to 97.92% if they get 1st, or 57.59% if they get 2nd. Symbol has a 0.65% chance to win ----going from 1.28% to 48.37% if they get 1st, or 0.97% if they don't. Trust has a 0.56% chance to win ----going from 0.87% to 39.75% if they get 1st, or 0.65% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 0.56% chance to win ----going from 1.76% to 64.86% if they get 1st, or 1.41% if they don't. San has a 0.53% chance to win ----going from 1.45% to 57.65% if they get 1st, or 1.15% if they don't. Sorry has a 0.39% chance to win ----going from 0.52% to 33.85% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. Patience has a 0.37% chance to win ----going from 1.04% to 56.72% if they get 1st, or 0.83% if they don't. MarineKing has a 0.35% chance to win ----going from 2.75% to 86.2% if they get 1st, or 2.45% if they don't. SuperNova has a 0.35% chance to win ----going from 0.78% to 46.59% if they get 1st, or 0.62% if they don't. Curious has a 0.34% chance to win ----going from 0.67% to 45.03% if they get 1st, or 0.51% if they don't. Creator has a 0.34% chance to win ----going from 2.55% to 58.26% if they get 1st, or 2.36% if they don't. Impact has a 0.29% chance to win ----going from 0.42% to 36.15% if they get 1st, or 0.31% if they don't. MC has a 0.24% chance to win ----going from 0.68% to 57.1% if they get 1st, or 0.55% if they don't. HerO has a 0.23% chance to win ----going from 0.28% to 32.32% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't.
Bbyong vs Zestin in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24. Zest has the #3 Headband. Bbyong is at 47.8% Blizzcon Chances. 59.54% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 60.82%. 40.46% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 28.64%. Zest is at 66.09% Blizzcon Chances. 40.46% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 84.88%. 59.54% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 53.31%.
Losira vs HyuNin in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24. Losira is at 1.44% Blizzcon Chances. 42.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.17%. 57.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.17%. HyuN is at 10.82% Blizzcon Chances. 57.71% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.01%. 42.29% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.38%.
Creator vs Classicin in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24. Creator is at 2.57% Blizzcon Chances. 44.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.01%. 55.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.65%. Classic is at 7.67% Blizzcon Chances. 55.86% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.57%. 44.14% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.47%.
Life has a 11.61% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. PartinG has a 10.86% chance to win ----going from 99.76% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Trap has a 9.91% chance to win ----going from 48.72% to 99.86% if they get 1st, or 87.76% if they get 2nd. herO has a 9.47% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 9.02% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Stats has a 6.03% chance to win ----going from 40.31% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 89.02% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 5.32% chance to win ----going from 70.28% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.8% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.75% chance to win ----going from 78.67% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 4.44% chance to win ----going from 53.71% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 96.83% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 4.32% chance to win ----going from 47.8% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 95.52% if they get 2nd. soO has a 4.3% chance to win ----going from 24.69% to 91.57% if they get 1st, or 60.47% if they get 2nd. Hurricane has a 3.33% chance to win ----going from 7.43% to 68.64% if they get 1st, or 26.99% if they get 2nd. Zest has a 2.99% chance to win ----going from 66.09% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. sOs has a 2.75% chance to win ----going from 39.1% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 93.37% if they get 2nd. HyuN has a 2.59% chance to win ----going from 10.82% to 90.19% if they get 1st, or 50.4% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 2.14% chance to win ----going from 15.8% to 99.51% if they get 1st, or 76.04% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 1.94% chance to win ----going from 10.08% to 95.54% if they get 1st, or 49.63% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 1.48% chance to win ----going from 7.67% to 94.8% if they get 1st, or 51.65% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 1.24% chance to win ----going from 9.2% to 88.46% if they get 1st, or 51.71% if they get 2nd. Losira has a 0.69% chance to win ----going from 1.44% to 58.72% if they get 1st, or 1.04% if they don't. Creator has a 0.68% chance to win ----going from 2.57% to 69.01% if they get 1st, or 2.11% if they don't.
SuperNova vs Dreamin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. SuperNova is at 0.7% Blizzcon Chances. 51.12% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.23%. 48.88% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.15%. Dream is at 78.67% Blizzcon Chances. 48.88% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 86.29%. 51.12% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 71.38%.
Maru vs Billowyin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Maru is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances. 73.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 100%. 26.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. Billowy is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances. 26.56% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.1%. 73.44% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
Rain vs Curein in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Rain is at 43.74% Blizzcon Chances. 61.32% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 55.04%. 38.68% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.83%. Cure is at 4.4% Blizzcon Chances. 38.68% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.74%. 61.32% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.66%.
Maru has a 73.44% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Dark has a 66.39% chance to win ----going from 36.99% to 45.91% if they get 1st, or 19.37% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 64.98% chance to win ----going from 26.14% to 33.56% if they get 1st, or 12.37% if they don't. Trust has a 64.3% chance to win ----going from 0.87% to 1.27% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Soulkey has a 63.49% chance to win ----going from 53.71% to 61.52% if they get 1st, or 40.13% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Rain has a 61.32% chance to win ----going from 43.74% to 55.04% if they get 1st, or 25.83% if they don't. Curious has a 59.31% chance to win ----going from 0.69% to 1.09% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. GuMiho has a 56.01% chance to win ----going from 11.91% to 17.44% if they get 1st, or 4.87% if they don't. MarineKing has a 55.41% chance to win ----going from 2.76% to 4.31% if they get 1st, or 0.83% if they don't. Flash has a 53.25% chance to win ----going from 2.86% to 4.68% if they get 1st, or 0.78% if they don't. SuperNova has a 51.12% chance to win ----going from 0.7% to 1.23% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Terminator has a 50.21% chance to win ----going from 7.74% to 12.51% if they get 1st, or 2.93% if they don't. HerO has a 49.79% chance to win ----going from 0.3% to 0.56% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Dream has a 48.88% chance to win ----going from 78.67% to 86.29% if they get 1st, or 71.38% if they don't. Super has a 46.75% chance to win ----going from 7.61% to 12.75% if they get 1st, or 3.09% if they don't. Patience has a 44.59% chance to win ----going from 0.99% to 1.93% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. Impact has a 43.99% chance to win ----going from 0.46% to 0.94% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. BrAvO has a 40.69% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Cure has a 38.68% chance to win ----going from 4.4% to 8.74% if they get 1st, or 1.66% if they don't. Creator has a 36.51% chance to win ----going from 2.57% to 4.54% if they get 1st, or 1.44% if they don't. MC has a 35.7% chance to win ----going from 0.72% to 1.68% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 35.02% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 0.43% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Ryung has a 33.61% chance to win ----going from 0.35% to 0.87% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Billowy has a 26.56% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
PartinG has a 13.81% chance to win ----going from 99.76% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Life has a 9.92% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. herO has a 9.09% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 6.43% chance to win ----going from 70.28% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 96.71% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 4.63% chance to win ----going from 48.48% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 93.9% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Maru has a 4.6% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 4.24% chance to win ----going from 47.8% to 99.27% if they get 1st, or 83.69% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 4.2% chance to win ----going from 43.74% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 94.04% if they get 2nd. sOs has a 4.15% chance to win ----going from 39.1% to 98.57% if they get 1st, or 77.2% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 3.42% chance to win ----going from 16.76% to 90.94% if they get 1st, or 49.73% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 3.29% chance to win ----going from 36.99% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 91.12% if they get 2nd. soO has a 3.12% chance to win ----going from 24.69% to 87.5% if they get 1st, or 56.24% if they get 2nd. TY has a 2.8% chance to win ----going from 25.83% to 99.45% if they get 1st, or 73.82% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 2.66% chance to win ----going from 21.14% to 98.29% if they get 1st, or 65.43% if they get 2nd. Bomber has a 2.42% chance to win ----going from 10.88% to 83.88% if they get 1st, or 39.95% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 2.32% chance to win ----going from 26.14% to 99.83% if they get 1st, or 81.91% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 1.92% chance to win ----going from 9.2% to 65.98% if they get 1st, or 29.56% if they get 2nd. Sacsri has a 1.82% chance to win ----going from 4.54% to 60.85% if they get 1st, or 3.5% if they don't. Soulkey has a 1.77% chance to win ----going from 53.71% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 97.23% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 1.54% chance to win ----going from 11.91% to 94.27% if they get 1st, or 55.47% if they get 2nd. YoDa has a 1.39% chance to win ----going from 4.59% to 68.37% if they get 1st, or 3.69% if they don't. Flash has a 1.09% chance to win ----going from 2.86% to 56.35% if they get 1st, or 2.27% if they don't. Cure has a 0.99% chance to win ----going from 4.4% to 74.74% if they get 1st, or 3.69% if they don't. Dream has a 0.93% chance to win ----going from 78.67% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.98% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 0.76% chance to win ----going from 7.74% to 97.84% if they get 1st, or 57.45% if they get 2nd. Super has a 0.7% chance to win ----going from 7.61% to 97.99% if they get 1st, or 57.74% if they get 2nd. Symbol has a 0.69% chance to win ----going from 1.33% to 48.78% if they get 1st, or 1.01% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0.71% to 34.48% if they get 1st, or 0.51% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 0.57% chance to win ----going from 1.78% to 65.15% if they get 1st, or 1.42% if they don't. Trust has a 0.56% chance to win ----going from 0.87% to 39.98% if they get 1st, or 0.65% if they don't. Sorry has a 0.39% chance to win ----going from 0.52% to 33.34% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. Patience has a 0.36% chance to win ----going from 0.99% to 56.6% if they get 1st, or 0.79% if they don't. Curious has a 0.36% chance to win ----going from 0.69% to 46.47% if they get 1st, or 0.53% if they don't. MarineKing has a 0.35% chance to win ----going from 2.76% to 86.8% if they get 1st, or 2.46% if they don't. Creator has a 0.35% chance to win ----going from 2.57% to 58.81% if they get 1st, or 2.38% if they don't. SuperNova has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0.7% to 45.71% if they get 1st, or 0.55% if they don't. Impact has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.46% to 36.72% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't. MC has a 0.27% chance to win ----going from 0.72% to 57.49% if they get 1st, or 0.57% if they don't. HerO has a 0.24% chance to win ----going from 0.3% to 32.77% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. Panic has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 29.54% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't.
Ryung vs Darkin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Ryung is at 0.33% Blizzcon Chances. 33.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.81%. 66.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%. Dark is at 36.02% Blizzcon Chances. 66.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.77%. 33.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.74%.
GuMiho vs Impactin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. GuMiho is at 11.22% Blizzcon Chances. 55.23% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 16.58%. 44.77% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.6%. Impact is at 0.43% Blizzcon Chances. 44.77% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.87%. 55.23% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%.
Flash vs Superin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Flash is at 2.7% Blizzcon Chances. 53.27% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.42%. 46.73% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.74%. Super is at 7.15% Blizzcon Chances. 46.73% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.01%. 53.27% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.88%.
Dark has a 66.39% chance to win ----going from 36.02% to 44.77% if they get 1st, or 18.74% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 64.95% chance to win ----going from 25.25% to 32.49% if they get 1st, or 11.84% if they don't. Trust has a 64.34% chance to win ----going from 0.79% to 1.15% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Soulkey has a 64.09% chance to win ----going from 52.7% to 60.28% if they get 1st, or 39.18% if they don't. Curious has a 59.32% chance to win ----going from 0.65% to 1.02% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MarineKing has a 55.42% chance to win ----going from 2.59% to 4.05% if they get 1st, or 0.78% if they don't. GuMiho has a 55.23% chance to win ----going from 11.22% to 16.58% if they get 1st, or 4.6% if they don't. Flash has a 53.27% chance to win ----going from 2.7% to 4.42% if they get 1st, or 0.74% if they don't. Terminator has a 50.77% chance to win ----going from 7.35% to 11.8% if they get 1st, or 2.77% if they don't. HerO has a 49.23% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 0.49% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Super has a 46.73% chance to win ----going from 7.15% to 12.01% if they get 1st, or 2.88% if they don't. Impact has a 44.77% chance to win ----going from 0.43% to 0.87% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Patience has a 44.58% chance to win ----going from 0.92% to 1.77% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. BrAvO has a 40.68% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Creator has a 35.91% chance to win ----going from 0.52% to 1.23% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. MC has a 35.66% chance to win ----going from 0.64% to 1.49% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 35.05% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 0.38% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Ryung has a 33.61% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 0.81% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't.
PartinG has a 13.14% chance to win ----going from 99.73% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Life has a 9.62% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. herO has a 8.52% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 6.83% chance to win ----going from 54.77% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 93.81% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 6.48% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
INnoVation has a 6.2% chance to win ----going from 69.23% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 96.45% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 4.47% chance to win ----going from 47.23% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 93.29% if they get 2nd. sOs has a 3.9% chance to win ----going from 37.55% to 98.33% if they get 1st, or 75.94% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 3.73% chance to win ----going from 25.9% to 97.75% if they get 1st, or 67.52% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 3.31% chance to win ----going from 16.12% to 90.11% if they get 1st, or 48.69% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 3.19% chance to win ----going from 36.02% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 90.31% if they get 2nd. soO has a 3.02% chance to win ----going from 23.62% to 86.63% if they get 1st, or 55.01% if they get 2nd. TY has a 2.69% chance to win ----going from 24.82% to 99.26% if they get 1st, or 72.57% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 2.55% chance to win ----going from 20.24% to 97.9% if they get 1st, or 64.33% if they get 2nd. Bomber has a 2.32% chance to win ----going from 10.34% to 82.66% if they get 1st, or 38.68% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 2.22% chance to win ----going from 25.25% to 99.74% if they get 1st, or 81.07% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 2.03% chance to win ----going from 86.67% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.98% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 1.84% chance to win ----going from 8.69% to 64.56% if they get 1st, or 28.63% if they get 2nd. Sacsri has a 1.78% chance to win ----going from 4.36% to 59.36% if they get 1st, or 3.36% if they don't. Soulkey has a 1.74% chance to win ----going from 52.7% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 96.92% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 1.46% chance to win ----going from 11.22% to 93.61% if they get 1st, or 53.77% if they get 2nd. YoDa has a 1.32% chance to win ----going from 4.31% to 66.85% if they get 1st, or 3.47% if they don't. Flash has a 1.06% chance to win ----going from 2.7% to 55.21% if they get 1st, or 2.14% if they don't. Terminator has a 0.71% chance to win ----going from 7.35% to 97.45% if they get 1st, or 55.76% if they get 2nd. Symbol has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 1.25% to 47.58% if they get 1st, or 0.94% if they don't. Super has a 0.65% chance to win ----going from 7.15% to 97.54% if they get 1st, or 56.26% if they get 2nd. RagnaroK has a 0.55% chance to win ----going from 0.66% to 33.48% if they get 1st, or 0.47% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 0.52% chance to win ----going from 1.62% to 63.47% if they get 1st, or 1.3% if they don't. Trust has a 0.52% chance to win ----going from 0.79% to 38.41% if they get 1st, or 0.6% if they don't. Sorry has a 0.37% chance to win ----going from 0.47% to 32.3% if they get 1st, or 0.36% if they don't. Curious has a 0.35% chance to win ----going from 0.65% to 43.92% if they get 1st, or 0.49% if they don't. Patience has a 0.34% chance to win ----going from 0.92% to 54.89% if they get 1st, or 0.73% if they don't. MarineKing has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 2.59% to 85.44% if they get 1st, or 2.32% if they don't. Impact has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.43% to 35.89% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. Creator has a 0.28% chance to win ----going from 0.52% to 41.47% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't. MC has a 0.23% chance to win ----going from 0.64% to 55.71% if they get 1st, or 0.51% if they don't. HerO has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 31.2% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't.
ByuL vs INnoVationin in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24. ByuL is at 8.69% Blizzcon Chances. 42.56% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.68%. 57.44% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.51%. INnoVation is at 69.23% Blizzcon Chances. 57.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 81.2%. 42.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 53.07%.
sOs vs Dearin in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24. sOs has the #4 Headband. sOs is at 37.55% Blizzcon Chances. 51.71% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 51.26%. 48.29% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 22.87%. Dear is at 15.04% Blizzcon Chances. 48.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.88%. 51.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.92%.
PartinG vs MacSedin in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24. PartinG has the #2 Headband. PartinG is at 99.73% Blizzcon Chances. 76.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.94%. 23.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.05%. MacSed is at 2.17% Blizzcon Chances. 23.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.49%. 76.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.15%.
Life has a 11.26% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. PartinG has a 10.06% chance to win ----going from 99.73% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Trap has a 9.78% chance to win ----going from 48.61% to 99.82% if they get 1st, or 87.51% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 8.97% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. herO has a 8.65% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Zest has a 8.52% chance to win ----going from 86.74% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 5.75% chance to win ----going from 38.99% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 88.11% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 5.19% chance to win ----going from 86.67% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 5.18% chance to win ----going from 69.23% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.75% if they get 2nd. HyuN has a 4.78% chance to win ----going from 18.08% to 90.26% if they get 1st, or 51.63% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 4.35% chance to win ----going from 52.7% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 96.46% if they get 2nd. soO has a 4.12% chance to win ----going from 23.62% to 90.84% if they get 1st, or 59.24% if they get 2nd. Hurricane has a 3.06% chance to win ----going from 6.81% to 66.88% if they get 1st, or 25.86% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 2.69% chance to win ----going from 12.87% to 94.53% if they get 1st, or 51.81% if they get 2nd. sOs has a 2.5% chance to win ----going from 37.55% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 92.68% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 1.97% chance to win ----going from 15.04% to 99.37% if they get 1st, or 75.01% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 1.85% chance to win ----going from 9.51% to 94.87% if they get 1st, or 48.28% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 1.17% chance to win ----going from 8.69% to 87.45% if they get 1st, or 50.07% if they get 2nd.
On April 13 2015 15:21 sharkie wrote: Jaedong pretty easy points for anyone who is active in WCS Wars heh
you sold him too early, he just went up another 50 points from the Aligulac rating updating, remember Aligulac only updates every 6 hours, nothing I can do about that
I usually run an update immediately after a thing is done, and then a few hours after to grab the updated Aligulac ratings.
On April 13 2015 15:21 sharkie wrote: Jaedong pretty easy points for anyone who is active in WCS Wars heh
Grrrrrr at D4E who starts simulation minutes AFTER I sold JD lol...
I think JD might get DQ'd as he was playing the NA qualifiers from Korea. Really wanted to see the dong do well again
Wtf really? Stupid JD and EG...
Sounds unlikely to me. The handbook states that the player should be in his country of residence for every part of the tournament, BUT that he can be in another country as long as it has been discussed with the organizers and that the organizers agree. And I can't believe EG would take the risk of doing it the shady way instead of talking to Blizz/ESL before.
On April 14 2015 07:16 Die4Ever wrote: Thank you Elfi and MarineLord! Now I just need Stardust, Petraeus, and Lilbow to qualify! I might also buy Soulkey and Terminator for Code A
You picked Elfi? haha what a random pick, he hasn't performed for months XD
WAIT WHERE IS NERCHIO ON MY team;_; ;_; ;_; ;_; I bought him after I sold JD this morning :'(
On April 14 2015 07:16 Die4Ever wrote: Thank you Elfi and MarineLord! Now I just need Stardust, Petraeus, and Lilbow to qualify! I might also buy Soulkey and Terminator for Code A
You picked Elfi? haha what a random pick, he hasn't performed for months XD
WAIT WHERE IS NERCHIO ON MY team;_; ;_; ;_; ;_; I bought him after I sold JD this morning :'(
I think you mistakenly didn't read an error message about not enough samples in the simulation? Cause the timing seems to work out in my logs, unfortunately I wasn't logging the exact error output. I'll give you the retroactive benefit of the doubt this time, since I can clearly see your attempt to buy Nerchio on the logs.
On April 14 2015 07:16 Die4Ever wrote: Thank you Elfi and MarineLord! Now I just need Stardust, Petraeus, and Lilbow to qualify! I might also buy Soulkey and Terminator for Code A
You picked Elfi? haha what a random pick, he hasn't performed for months XD
WAIT WHERE IS NERCHIO ON MY team;_; ;_; ;_; ;_; I bought him after I sold JD this morning :'(
I think you mistakenly didn't read an error message about not enough samples in the simulation? Cause the timing seems to work out in my logs, unfortunately I wasn't logging the exact error output. I'll give you the retroactive benefit of the doubt this time, since I can clearly see your attempt to buy Nerchio on the logs.
Omg how kind of you :'( Thank you a lot D4E but it wasn't really necessary, thanks again!
FanTaSy vs Pigbabyin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. FanTaSy is at 41.01% Blizzcon Chances. 68.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 49.2%. 31.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.31%. Pigbaby is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances. 31.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.28%. 68.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%.
HerO vs Terminatorin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. HerO is at 0.19% Blizzcon Chances. 47.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.37%. 52.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.03%. Terminator is at 10.72% Blizzcon Chances. 52.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 16.43%. 47.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.36%.
Creator vs Soulkeyin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Creator is at 0.28% Blizzcon Chances. 33.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.71%. 66.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%. Soulkey is at 61.58% Blizzcon Chances. 66.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.68%. 33.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 47.49%.
FanTaSy has a 68.35% chance to win ----going from 41.01% to 49.2% if they get 1st, or 23.31% if they don't. Soulkey has a 66.5% chance to win ----going from 61.58% to 68.68% if they get 1st, or 47.49% if they don't. Trust has a 63.47% chance to win ----going from 0.52% to 0.77% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Curious has a 60.34% chance to win ----going from 0.71% to 1.11% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. MarineKing has a 53.54% chance to win ----going from 1.11% to 1.83% if they get 1st, or 0.28% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Terminator has a 52.7% chance to win ----going from 10.72% to 16.43% if they get 1st, or 4.36% if they don't. HerO has a 47.3% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 0.37% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Patience has a 46.46% chance to win ----going from 0.85% to 1.59% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. BrAvO has a 39.66% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MC has a 36.53% chance to win ----going from 0.67% to 1.53% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Creator has a 33.5% chance to win ----going from 0.28% to 0.71% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 31.65% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.28% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
PartinG has a 13.11% chance to win ----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Life has a 9.64% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. herO has a 8.28% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 6.3% chance to win ----going from 49.37% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 91.53% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 6.25% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Dark has a 5.64% chance to win ----going from 56.57% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 95.99% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 5.21% chance to win ----going from 45.84% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 89.37% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 4.32% chance to win ----going from 43.25% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 91.26% if they get 2nd. sOs has a 4.01% chance to win ----going from 21.05% to 95.67% if they get 1st, or 58.6% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 3.56% chance to win ----going from 23.1% to 96.95% if they get 1st, or 63.61% if they get 2nd. soO has a 3.24% chance to win ----going from 23.35% to 85.09% if they get 1st, or 53.14% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 3.04% chance to win ----going from 13.56% to 87.16% if they get 1st, or 43.55% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 2.82% chance to win ----going from 41.01% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 92.7% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 2.56% chance to win ----going from 17.66% to 94.24% if they get 1st, or 56.43% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 2.41% chance to win ----going from 20.86% to 97.9% if they get 1st, or 65.67% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 2.17% chance to win ----going from 21.38% to 89.46% if they get 1st, or 55.94% if they get 2nd. Flash has a 2.01% chance to win ----going from 3.98% to 51.35% if they get 1st, or 3.01% if they don't. Soulkey has a 1.96% chance to win ----going from 61.58% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.9% if they get 2nd. TY has a 1.95% chance to win ----going from 17.96% to 98.77% if they get 1st, or 65.27% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 1.77% chance to win ----going from 83.75% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.96% if they get 2nd. Sacsri has a 1.73% chance to win ----going from 4.54% to 60.95% if they get 1st, or 3.54% if they don't. Bomber has a 1.47% chance to win ----going from 5.87% to 75.92% if they get 1st, or 29.31% if they get 2nd. YoDa has a 1.09% chance to win ----going from 3.06% to 60.73% if they get 1st, or 2.43% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.05% chance to win ----going from 4.82% to 80.35% if they get 1st, or 4.02% if they don't. Terminator has a 0.83% chance to win ----going from 10.72% to 99.23% if they get 1st, or 67.55% if they get 2nd. Symbol has a 0.56% chance to win ----going from 1.08% to 47.91% if they get 1st, or 0.82% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 0.54% chance to win ----going from 0.55% to 30.85% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. Trust has a 0.43% chance to win ----going from 0.52% to 32.84% if they get 1st, or 0.38% if they don't. Curious has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 0.71% to 41.9% if they get 1st, or 0.54% if they don't.
On April 17 2015 06:47 sharkie wrote: why is trading locked?
Dreamhack announcement, will be able to update it soon but at work lol. If you want to buy or sell unrelated players I can put them in manually, since WCS quals is about to start. (maybe I didn't need to lock for it though)
On April 17 2015 06:47 sharkie wrote: why is trading locked?
Dreamhack announcement, will be able to update it soon but at work lol. If you want to buy or sell unrelated players I can put them in manually, since WCS quals is about to start.
On April 17 2015 06:47 sharkie wrote: why is trading locked?
Dreamhack announcement, will be able to update it soon but at work lol. If you want to buy or sell unrelated players I can put them in manually, since WCS quals is about to start.
On April 17 2015 06:47 sharkie wrote: why is trading locked?
Dreamhack announcement, will be able to update it soon but at work lol. If you want to buy or sell unrelated players I can put them in manually, since WCS quals is about to start.
SSL Season 2 Round of 16 Group of Death We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Group A Zest has a 9.58% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Hurricane has a 3.13% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Maru has a 9.17% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Leenock has a 1.82% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 23.7055
Group B HyuN has a 5.29% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Soulkey has a 4.62% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Dream has a 4.79% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Classic has a 2.76% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 17.4571
Group C Trap has a 9.95% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 soO has a 4.12% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 ByuL has a 2.57% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Life has a 11.44% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 28.0786
Group D PartinG has a 13.02% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 herO has a 6.81% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Stats has a 6.49% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Dear has a 4.45% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 30.7589
Group A Zest has a 86.93% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Hurricane has a 6.3% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Maru has a 99.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Leenock has a 9.71% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 202.944
Group B HyuN has a 21.02% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Soulkey has a 48.34% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dream has a 83.2% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Classic has a 11.95% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 164.504
Group C Trap has a 46.61% chance to qualify for Blizzcon soO has a 21.83% chance to qualify for Blizzcon ByuL has a 18.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Life has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 187.446
Group D PartinG has a 99.94% chance to qualify for Blizzcon herO has a 99.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Stats has a 49.22% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dear has a 33.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 282.159
Group A Zest's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.89% Hurricane's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.14% Maru's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Leenock's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.15% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.905428
Group B HyuN's Blizzcon Chances changed by 2.01% Soulkey's Blizzcon Chances changed by 2.81% Dream's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.47% Classic's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.17% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -4.50959
Group C Trap's Blizzcon Chances changed by 2.58% soO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.2% ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by -2.15% Life's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.76496
Group D PartinG's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Stats's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.33% Dear's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.43% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.76156
Group A When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.58% When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 13.75% When Hurricane wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.04% When Hurricane loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 5.17% When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Leenock wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 11.6% When Leenock loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.48% Giving this match an Effects Score of 54.6229
Group B When HyuN wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 11.93% When HyuN loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 15.41% When Soulkey wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 21.31% When Soulkey loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 24.19% When Dream wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 12.26% When Dream loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 11.42% When Classic wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 12.58% When Classic loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.21% Giving this match an Effects Score of 118.29
Group C When Trap wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 16.42% When Trap loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 26.95% When soO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 15.54% When soO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 11.77% When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 17.89% When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.52% When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% Giving this match an Effects Score of 98.0923
Group D When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05% When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08% When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Stats wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 21.21% When Stats loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 24.09% When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 23.01% When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 18.22% Giving this match an Effects Score of 86.6748
Group A Zest has an Aligulac rating of 2165 Hurricane has an Aligulac rating of 1960 Maru has an Aligulac rating of 2241 Leenock has an Aligulac rating of 1872 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8238
Group B HyuN has an Aligulac rating of 2099 Soulkey has an Aligulac rating of 2043 Dream has an Aligulac rating of 1994 Classic has an Aligulac rating of 1915 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8051
Group C Trap has an Aligulac rating of 2221 soO has an Aligulac rating of 2071 ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 1995 Life has an Aligulac rating of 2328 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8615
Group D PartinG has an Aligulac rating of 2372 herO has an Aligulac rating of 2239 Stats has an Aligulac rating of 2080 Dear has an Aligulac rating of 2042 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8733
Final Placings Group A has one 2nd place, three 3rd places, and one 4th place Group B has one 1st place, and four 4th places Group C has four 2nd places, and one 3rd place Group D has four 1st places, and one 3rd place
Group D is our Group of Death! Congrats to PartinG, herO, Stats, and Dear! Group C is our 2nd place Group of Death with Trap, soO, ByuL, and Life!
What do you think?
Poll: Group of Death?
Group D (Stats, Dear, PartinG, herO) (165)
55%
Group C (Life, ByuL, soO, Trap) (98)
33%
Group A (Maru, Hurricane, Zest, Leenock) (24)
8%
Group B (Dream, Soulkey, HyuN, Classic) (14)
5%
301 total votes
Your vote: Group of Death?
(Vote): Group A (Maru, Hurricane, Zest, Leenock) (Vote): Group B (Dream, Soulkey, HyuN, Classic) (Vote): Group C (Life, ByuL, soO, Trap) (Vote): Group D (Stats, Dear, PartinG, herO)
MarineKing vs Patiencein in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MarineKing is at 1.01% Blizzcon Chances. 51.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.7%. 48.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.26%. Patience is at 1.24% Blizzcon Chances. 48.53% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.21%. 51.47% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.32%.
Curious vs BrAvOin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Curious is at 0.68% Blizzcon Chances. 60.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.05%. 39.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.11%. BrAvO is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances. 39.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.12%. 60.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
MC vs Trustin in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MC is at 0.64% Blizzcon Chances. 36.58% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.47%. 63.42% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.16%. Trust is at 0.49% Blizzcon Chances. 63.42% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.73%. 36.58% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%.
PartinG has a 12.9% chance to win ----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Life has a 9.68% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. herO has a 8.27% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 6.35% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 6.32% chance to win ----going from 55.72% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 94.27% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Dark has a 5.69% chance to win ----going from 56.71% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 95.8% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 5.21% chance to win ----going from 45.89% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 89.17% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 4.37% chance to win ----going from 51.55% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 94.84% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 4.33% chance to win ----going from 50.93% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 93.17% if they get 2nd. sOs has a 4.05% chance to win ----going from 21.18% to 95.26% if they get 1st, or 58.65% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 3.52% chance to win ----going from 23.01% to 96.83% if they get 1st, or 62.98% if they get 2nd. soO has a 3.25% chance to win ----going from 21.44% to 83.75% if they get 1st, or 50.31% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 3.06% chance to win ----going from 13.54% to 86.86% if they get 1st, or 43.28% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 2.43% chance to win ----going from 21.03% to 97.95% if they get 1st, or 65.85% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 2.36% chance to win ----going from 16.6% to 93.67% if they get 1st, or 55.25% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 2.26% chance to win ----going from 18.63% to 87.14% if they get 1st, or 50.79% if they get 2nd. Flash has a 2.03% chance to win ----going from 3.91% to 50.76% if they get 1st, or 2.94% if they don't. TY has a 1.97% chance to win ----going from 17.71% to 98.63% if they get 1st, or 64.43% if they get 2nd. Sacsri has a 1.92% chance to win ----going from 5.11% to 61.65% if they get 1st, or 22.08% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 1.76% chance to win ----going from 82.68% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.96% if they get 2nd. Bomber has a 1.49% chance to win ----going from 5.78% to 75.54% if they get 1st, or 28.55% if they get 2nd. YoDa has a 1.08% chance to win ----going from 2.91% to 59.2% if they get 1st, or 2.3% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.05% chance to win ----going from 4.66% to 79.16% if they get 1st, or 3.87% if they don't. Creator has a 0.78% chance to win ----going from 0.94% to 35.5% if they get 1st, or 0.67% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.75% chance to win ----going from 1.36% to 48.76% if they get 1st, or 1.01% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 0.54% chance to win ----going from 0.51% to 28.77% if they get 1st, or 0.36% if they don't. Curious has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.67% to 40.34% if they get 1st, or 0.5% if they don't. Trust has a 0.43% chance to win ----going from 0.49% to 31.36% if they get 1st, or 0.36% if they don't. HerO has a 0.41% chance to win ----going from 0.35% to 26.62% if they get 1st, or 0.24% if they don't. Patience has a 0.37% chance to win ----going from 1.23% to 62.1% if they get 1st, or 1.01% if they don't. Sorry has a 0.3% chance to win ----going from 0.28% to 25.13% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. MC has a 0.24% chance to win ----going from 0.64% to 55.19% if they get 1st, or 0.51% if they don't.
PiG vs NXZin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. PiG is at 1.85% Blizzcon Chances. 68.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.68%. 31.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%. NXZ is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances. 31.99% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.11%. 68.01% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
iaguz vs Blyskin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. iaguz is at 0.45% Blizzcon Chances. 54.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.82%. 45.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%. Blysk is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances. 45.86% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.12%. 54.14% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
Courage vs iAsonuin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Courage is at 0% Blizzcon Chances. 31.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0%. 68.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0%. iAsonu is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances. 68.48% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.16%. 31.52% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
Jim vs Cyanin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Jim is at 0.49% Blizzcon Chances. 82.57% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.58%. 17.43% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.04%. Cyan is at 0% Blizzcon Chances. 17.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0%. 82.57% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0%.
TooDming vs XiGuain in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. TooDming is at 0.19% Blizzcon Chances. 55.08% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.33%. 44.92% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%. XiGua is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances. 44.92% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.14%. 55.08% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
MacSed vs Mysteryin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. MacSed is at 0.76% Blizzcon Chances. 67.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.09%. 32.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%. Mystery is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 32.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 67.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
MajOr has a 85.51% chance to win ----going from 5.84% to 6.74% if they get 1st, or 0.53% if they don't. Jim has a 82.57% chance to win ----going from 0.49% to 0.58% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Hydra has a 76.29% chance to win ----going from 75.29% to 85.19% if they get 1st, or 43.41% if they don't. Has has a 75.28% chance to win ----going from 0.86% to 1.11% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 75.25% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
ForGG has a 72.72% chance to win ----going from 52.12% to 65.49% if they get 1st, or 16.49% if they don't. Sen has a 72.44% chance to win ----going from 1.32% to 1.74% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. iAsonu has a 68.48% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. PiG has a 68.01% chance to win ----going from 1.85% to 2.68% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. MacSed has a 67.37% chance to win ----going from 0.76% to 1.09% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Bunny has a 64.15% chance to win ----going from 22.96% to 33.59% if they get 1st, or 3.95% if they don't. viOLet has a 63.86% chance to win ----going from 3.7% to 5.62% if they get 1st, or 0.3% if they don't. Jaedong has a 60.62% chance to win ----going from 9.93% to 15.53% if they get 1st, or 1.31% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 60.4% chance to win ----going from 7.85% to 12.6% if they get 1st, or 0.6% if they don't. HuK has a 60.3% chance to win ----going from 1.8% to 2.93% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Snute has a 59.99% chance to win ----going from 15.85% to 24.71% if they get 1st, or 2.58% if they don't. Happy has a 59.58% chance to win ----going from 4.18% to 6.85% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. Kane has a 59.58% chance to win ----going from 2.14% to 3.5% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 56.52% chance to win ----going from 10.26% to 17.08% if they get 1st, or 1.39% if they don't. StarDust has a 56.2% chance to win ----going from 1.73% to 2.99% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. TargA has a 55.29% chance to win ----going from 3.56% to 6.23% if they get 1st, or 0.26% if they don't. TooDming has a 55.08% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. iaguz has a 54.14% chance to win ----going from 0.45% to 0.82% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Nerchio has a 53.92% chance to win ----going from 2.98% to 5.37% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. Lilbow has a 53.89% chance to win ----going from 4.34% to 7.8% if they get 1st, or 0.3% if they don't. puCK has a 52.92% chance to win ----going from 0.21% to 0.4% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 52.34% chance to win ----going from 3.08% to 5.74% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't. MaNa has a 51.73% chance to win ----going from 2.69% to 5.01% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. uThermal has a 51.44% chance to win ----going from 1.8% to 3.39% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 51.12% chance to win ----going from 3.24% to 6.14% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Suppy has a 50.36% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 0.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FireCake has a 50.28% chance to win ----going from 1.88% to 3.61% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. Serral has a 49.55% chance to win ----going from 1.78% to 3.44% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Petraeus has a 49.21% chance to win ----going from 1.5% to 2.98% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 49.08% chance to win ----going from 1.47% to 2.92% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Astrea has a 47.97% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 47.61% chance to win ----going from 1.98% to 4.01% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Welmu has a 47.51% chance to win ----going from 1.06% to 2.17% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. MorroW has a 46.46% chance to win ----going from 0.49% to 1.02% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Blysk has a 45.86% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bly has a 45.65% chance to win ----going from 0.74% to 1.58% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. XiGua has a 44.92% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 44.16% chance to win ----going from 0.68% to 1.51% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. qxc has a 43.17% chance to win ----going from 0.23% to 0.53% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Xenocider has a 42.01% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 0.28% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 41.8% chance to win ----going from 0.7% to 1.59% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Zanster has a 41.55% chance to win ----going from 0.38% to 0.88% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Ret has a 41.06% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 0.79% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Elazer has a 36.72% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. PiLiPiLi has a 35.6% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Beastyqt has a 34.85% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Mystery has a 32.63% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. NXZ has a 31.99% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Courage has a 31.52% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. souL has a 31.4% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zeal has a 31.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Ian has a 21.7% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Cyan has a 17.43% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Slam has a 15.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ReasoN has a 7.62% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. JimRising has a 5.87% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. CatZ has a 4.52% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. SoftBall has a 3.22% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Cham has a 1.44% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Jarppi has a 1.39% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GogojOey has a 1.18% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. LsEbA has a 1.16% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Rex has a 1.15% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. OdiN has a 1.07% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Vanilla has a 1.02% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. cheetos has a 0.99% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. AK has a 0.83% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Tonho has a 0.81% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. AreS has a 0.78% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Shang has a 0.75% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. VirTues has a 0.74% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. KnOx has a 0.73% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TeeNagerYO has a 0.73% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Shakti has a 0.72% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Erik has a 0.71% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Sheep has a 0.68% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TerraN has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Bush has a 0.6% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. scv has a 0.6% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Nice has a 0.59% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Azure has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. JIN has a 0.57% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Duolonn has a 0.54% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. IMMvp has a 0.51% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.47% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.22% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. State has a 0.46% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.2% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bails has a 0.45% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Guitarcheese has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. KoNtiNuE has a 0.43% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. neeb has a 0.43% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Semper has a 0.43% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Cristiger has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Illusion has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Eren has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DARKING has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
ForGG has a 14.39% chance to win ----going from 52.12% to 99.72% if they get 1st, or 85.28% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 11.11% chance to win ----going from 94.08% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 10.98% chance to win ----going from 75.29% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.69% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 5.16% chance to win ----going from 22.96% to 98.49% if they get 1st, or 64.75% if they get 2nd. NaNiwa has a 4.36% chance to win ----going from 7.85% to 68.3% if they get 1st, or 24.73% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MajOr has a 4.31% chance to win ----going from 5.84% to 54.05% if they get 1st, or 15.58% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 3.31% chance to win ----going from 15.86% to 97.37% if they get 1st, or 56.95% if they get 2nd. Jaedong has a 3.09% chance to win ----going from 9.93% to 84.84% if they get 1st, or 36.43% if they get 2nd. Happy has a 3.04% chance to win ----going from 4.18% to 57.61% if they get 1st, or 2.51% if they don't. Lilbow has a 2.94% chance to win ----going from 4.34% to 58.33% if they get 1st, or 2.7% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.61% chance to win ----going from 3.08% to 50.59% if they get 1st, or 1.81% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 2.51% chance to win ----going from 10.26% to 96.72% if they get 1st, or 45.88% if they get 2nd. Nerchio has a 2.5% chance to win ----going from 2.98% to 50.09% if they get 1st, or 1.77% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 2.25% chance to win ----going from 3.24% to 55.82% if they get 1st, or 2.03% if they don't. viOLet has a 2.08% chance to win ----going from 3.7% to 59.93% if they get 1st, or 2.51% if they don't. TargA has a 1.84% chance to win ----going from 3.56% to 64.55% if they get 1st, or 2.42% if they don't. StarDust has a 1.6% chance to win ----going from 1.73% to 41.79% if they get 1st, or 1.08% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.55% chance to win ----going from 1.47% to 40.78% if they get 1st, or 0.85% if they don't. MaNa has a 1.49% chance to win ----going from 2.69% to 65.25% if they get 1st, or 1.75% if they don't. Petraeus has a 1.33% chance to win ----going from 1.5% to 45.07% if they get 1st, or 0.92% if they don't. PiG has a 1.31% chance to win ----going from 1.85% to 55.24% if they get 1st, or 1.14% if they don't. Harstem has a 1.28% chance to win ----going from 1.98% to 56.46% if they get 1st, or 1.28% if they don't. HuK has a 1.21% chance to win ----going from 1.8% to 54.82% if they get 1st, or 1.16% if they don't. Sen has a 1.1% chance to win ----going from 1.32% to 46.17% if they get 1st, or 0.82% if they don't. uThermal has a 1.04% chance to win ----going from 1.8% to 61.36% if they get 1st, or 1.18% if they don't. FireCake has a 0.97% chance to win ----going from 1.88% to 63.89% if they get 1st, or 1.27% if they don't. Serral has a 0.86% chance to win ----going from 1.78% to 67.69% if they get 1st, or 1.2% if they don't. Kane has a 0.84% chance to win ----going from 2.14% to 77.03% if they get 1st, or 1.5% if they don't. Welmu has a 0.81% chance to win ----going from 1.06% to 52.91% if they get 1st, or 0.64% if they don't. Bly has a 0.8% chance to win ----going from 0.74% to 37.74% if they get 1st, or 0.44% if they don't. elfi has a 0.77% chance to win ----going from 0.68% to 38.48% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. Jim has a 0.68% chance to win ----going from 0.48% to 30.66% if they get 1st, or 0.28% if they don't. Has has a 0.57% chance to win ----going from 0.86% to 52.57% if they get 1st, or 0.57% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.54% chance to win ----going from 0.45% to 35.31% if they get 1st, or 0.26% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.5% chance to win ----going from 0.49% to 41.43% if they get 1st, or 0.28% if they don't. MacSed has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.76% to 56.39% if they get 1st, or 0.51% if they don't. Zanster has a 0.43% chance to win ----going from 0.38% to 36.36% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. Ret has a 0.39% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 34.6% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. TooDming has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 23.68% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. qxc has a 0.29% chance to win ----going from 0.23% to 33.27% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. puCK has a 0.29% chance to win ----going from 0.21% to 30.15% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. TLO has a 0.25% chance to win ----going from 0.69% to 74.5% if they get 1st, or 0.51% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 21.95% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.2% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 24.43% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't.
I was looking at Gfinity Spring 2 and DreamHack Tours and noticed that in both tournaments Naniwa has better chances to win than Snute. Brief Aligulac research shows me that Snute has better stats than Naniwa, better chances in head-to-head match and better chances to win against highest ranked players in both tournaments. It looks wrong, isn't it?
On April 19 2015 05:42 Hatchet_man wrote: So please explain me a few things:
I was looking at Gfinity Spring 2 and DreamHack Tours and noticed that in both tournaments Naniwa has better chances to win than Snute. Brief Aligulac research shows me that Snute has better stats than Naniwa, better chances in head-to-head match and better chances to win against highest ranked players in both tournaments. It looks wrong, isn't it?
I think the difference is that Naniwa has the much stronger vs Terran rating, while Snute has the stronger vs Protoss, and there are more threatening Terrans than Protosses at these tournaments. They're pretty close vs Zerg. Also remember that it matters what races the other players are strong and weak against. Like for Dreamhack, Parting is the #1 most likely winner, and he has a better rating vs Zerg than vs Protoss, same thing for Hyun with Gfinity.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Code S Ro32 Groups Set With Group of Death Analysis and WCS EU/AM Challenger Set Tuesday, Apr 21 6:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #1393)
Biggest Winners and Losers (Sim ID #1391 vs Sim ID #1393) (from Tuesday, Apr 21 1:06pm GMT (GMT+00:00) to Tuesday, Apr 21 6:02pm GMT (GMT+00:00)) Biggest Winners Hydra went up by 4.88%, going from 73.04% to 77.91% ForGG went up by 4.63%, going from 51.95% to 56.58% Jaedong went up by 1.96%, going from 10.75% to 12.71% INnoVation went up by 1.27%, going from 44.69% to 45.96% sOs went up by 0.97%, going from 20.9% to 21.88% ShoWTimE went up by 0.94%, going from 9.52% to 10.46% Bomber went up by 0.51%, going from 5.69% to 6.2% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Lilbow went up by 0.41%, going from 3.7% to 4.11% MaSa went up by 0.37%, going from 3.03% to 3.41% Nerchio went up by 0.31%, going from 2.89% to 3.2% Kane went up by 0.26%, going from 1.75% to 2.01% Flash went up by 0.25%, going from 3.71% to 3.95% GuMiho went up by 0.17%, going from 16.49% to 16.66% Petraeus went up by 0.16%, going from 1.89% to 2.05% ByuL went up by 0.11%, going from 18.63% to 18.74%
Biggest Losers NaNiwa went down by 1.38%, going from 7.78% to 6.4% Snute went down by 1.33%, going from 14.62% to 13.29% Trap went down by 1.2%, going from 45.78% to 44.57% Rogue went down by 1.08%, going from 51.41% to 50.33% MMA went down by 1.06%, going from 20.73% to 19.66% Rain went down by 0.84%, going from 55.48% to 54.64% Stats went down by 0.77%, going from 51.54% to 50.77% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Zest went down by 0.77%, going from 86.34% to 85.57% soO went down by 0.73%, going from 21.45% to 20.72% FanTaSy went down by 0.48%, going from 58.37% to 57.89% Bunny went down by 0.44%, going from 22.49% to 22.05% MajOr went down by 0.42%, going from 5.72% to 5.3% Dark went down by 0.42%, going from 56.95% to 56.53% HeRoMaRinE went down by 0.39%, going from 3.01% to 2.62% Dream went down by 0.38%, going from 82.71% to 82.33% HuK went down by 0.34%, going from 1.69% to 1.35% Solar went down by 0.33%, going from 12.94% to 12.61% Soulkey went down by 0.28%, going from 47.13% to 46.84% Polt went down by 0.28%, going from 93.88% to 93.6% Happy went down by 0.27%, going from 4.08% to 3.8% FireCake went down by 0.27%, going from 1.85% to 1.58% Serral went down by 0.25%, going from 1.82% to 1.57% MarineLorD went down by 0.21%, going from 3.08% to 2.87% TLO went down by 0.21%, going from 0.69% to 0.48% Bbyong went down by 0.21%, going from 22.91% to 22.7% Symbol went down by 0.2%, going from 1.35% to 1.15% HyuN went down by 0.18%, going from 20.99% to 20.82% Patience went down by 0.17%, going from 2.46% to 2.29% Dear went down by 0.16%, going from 32.03% to 31.87% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.14%, going from 4.13% to 3.99% TY went down by 0.14%, going from 17.49% to 17.36% uThermal went down by 0.13%, going from 1.96% to 1.82% Sen went down by 0.13%, going from 1.43% to 1.3% Bly went down by 0.13%, going from 0.71% to 0.59% TargA went down by 0.12%, going from 3.48% to 3.36% Classic went down by 0.12%, going from 11.23% to 11.11% Hurricane went down by 0.11%, going from 6.04% to 5.93%
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 75.26% down to 73.47% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 29.51% down to 27.63% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 5.24% down to 4.71% Chances of 4+ foreigners from 0.42% down to 0.37%
Bunny10.32% chance to be the only foreigner, 22.05% chance overall. Snute5.64% chance to be the only foreigner, 13.29% chance overall. ShoWTimE4.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.46% chance overall. NaNiwa2.76% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.4% chance overall. MajOr2.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.3% chance overall. Lilbow1.77% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.11% chance overall. Happy1.63% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.8% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
MaSa1.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.41% chance overall. TargA1.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.36% chance overall. Nerchio1.38% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.2% chance overall. MarineLorD1.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.87% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE1.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.62% chance overall. MaNa1.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.67% chance overall. Petraeus0.86% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.05% chance overall. Harstem0.81% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.95% chance overall. Kane0.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.01% chance overall. uThermal0.75% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.82% chance overall. Serral0.64% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.57% chance overall. FireCake0.64% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.58% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.57% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.32% chance overall. HuK0.55% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.35% chance overall. Sen0.54% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.3% chance overall. Welmu0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.97% chance overall. iaguz0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.82% chance overall. Has0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.74% chance overall. Bly0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.59% chance overall. elfi0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.6% chance overall. TLO0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.48% chance overall. Jim0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.42% chance overall. iAsonu0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall. MorroW0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall. Zanster0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.39% chance overall.
Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 2 defenses! PartinG is the current #2 Headband holder with 14 defenses! Zest is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses! Dear is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
0.92% of the time 2550 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 8.88% of the time 2725 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 29.37% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 48.9% of the time 2975 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 68.23% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 90.45% of the time 3250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.96% of the time 3475 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Post was too long for the upcoming matches, check the OP or the website
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Group A Rain has a 6.06% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 GuMiho has a 2.42% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Solar has a 2.83% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Sorry has a 0.29% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.5945
Group B MyuNgSiK has a 0.9% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 RagnaroK has a 0.45% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Dark has a 5.77% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 PartinG has a 11.78% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 18.8918
Group C soO has a 3.02% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 FanTaSy has a 5.83% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Rogue has a 4.2% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Trust has a 0.6% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.6498
Group D Panic has a 0% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 INnoVation has a 5.38% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Bomber has a 1.7% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Creator has a 0.81% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 7.8994
Group E HerO has a 0.39% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Maru has a 6.39% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 TY has a 1.92% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 ByuL has a 2.31% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.0048
Group F Bbyong has a 3.51% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 YoDa has a 1.06% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Symbol has a 0.61% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Life has a 9.95% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 15.1393
Group G Patience has a 0.75% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 herO has a 7.83% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Dream has a 1.7% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Flash has a 2.13% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.4044
Group H Curious has a 0.92% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 MMA has a 2.19% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 sOs has a 4.19% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Sacsri has a 1.96% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.26078
Group A Rain has a 54.98% chance to qualify for Blizzcon GuMiho has a 16.83% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Solar has a 12.74% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Sorry has a 0.26% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 84.8122
Group B MyuNgSiK has a 4.05% chance to qualify for Blizzcon RagnaroK has a 0.43% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dark has a 56.88% chance to qualify for Blizzcon PartinG has a 99.93% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 161.306
Group C soO has a 20.83% chance to qualify for Blizzcon FanTaSy has a 58.25% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Rogue has a 50.69% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Trust has a 0.67% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 130.436
Group D Panic has a 0.1% chance to qualify for Blizzcon INnoVation has a 46.3% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Bomber has a 6.29% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Creator has a 0.97% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 53.6628
Group E HerO has a 0.34% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Maru has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon TY has a 17.34% chance to qualify for Blizzcon ByuL has a 18.87% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 136.553
Group F Bbyong has a 22.9% chance to qualify for Blizzcon YoDa has a 2.87% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Symbol has a 1.16% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Life has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 126.923
Group G Patience has a 2.29% chance to qualify for Blizzcon herO has a 99.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dream has a 82.51% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Flash has a 3.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 188.781
Group H Curious has a 1.48% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MMA has a 19.94% chance to qualify for Blizzcon sOs has a 21.66% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Sacsri has a 5.23% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 48.3159
Group A Rain's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.5% GuMiho's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.35% Solar's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.2% Sorry's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.351708
Group B MyuNgSiK's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.08% RagnaroK's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.07% Dark's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.06% PartinG's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.20986
Group C soO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.62% FanTaSy's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.12% Rogue's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.72% Trust's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.05% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.51524
Group D Panic's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% INnoVation's Blizzcon Chances changed by 1.61% Bomber's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.6% Creator's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.05% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -2.26435
Group E HerO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Maru's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% TY's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.15% ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.24% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.09074
Group F Bbyong's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% YoDa's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Symbol's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.19% Life's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.201764
Group G Patience's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.16% herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Dream's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.2% Flash's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.28% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.08266
Group H Curious's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.03% MMA's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.78% sOs's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.76% Sacsri's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.11% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.063264
Group A When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 12.44% When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 17.02% When GuMiho wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.75% When GuMiho loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.62% When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.1% When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.37% When Sorry wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.35% When Sorry loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.19% Giving this match an Effects Score of 59.8421
Group B When MyuNgSiK wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.58% When MyuNgSiK loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.48% When RagnaroK wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.7% When RagnaroK loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.31% When Dark wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 12.04% When Dark loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 17.47% When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.06% When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.13% Giving this match an Effects Score of 36.7497
Group C When soO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.1% When soO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.87% When FanTaSy wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 11.67% When FanTaSy loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.67% When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 12.81% When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.94% When Trust wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.89% When Trust loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.48% Giving this match an Effects Score of 75.4157
Group D When Panic wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.14% When Panic loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08% When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.58% When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 18.44% When Bomber wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.36% When Bomber loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.05% When Creator wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.91% When Creator loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.72% Giving this match an Effects Score of 37.2892
Group E When HerO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.45% When HerO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.25% When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When TY wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.56% When TY loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.76% When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.84% When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.47% Giving this match an Effects Score of 32.3324
Group F When Bbyong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.12% When Bbyong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 10.92% When YoDa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.43% When YoDa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.87% When Symbol wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.61% When Symbol loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.78% When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% Giving this match an Effects Score of 26.7346
Group G When Patience wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.42% When Patience loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.45% When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Dream wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.93% When Dream loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 6.84% When Flash wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.26% When Flash loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.74% Giving this match an Effects Score of 23.6598
Group H When Curious wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.47% When Curious loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.06% When MMA wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.72% When MMA loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.28% When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.1% When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 11.56% When Sacsri wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.31% When Sacsri loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 3.4% Giving this match an Effects Score of 47.902
Group A Rain has an Aligulac rating of 2180 GuMiho has an Aligulac rating of 2034 Solar has an Aligulac rating of 2050 Sorry has an Aligulac rating of 1703 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7967
Group B MyuNgSiK has an Aligulac rating of 1820 RagnaroK has an Aligulac rating of 1770 Dark has an Aligulac rating of 2201 PartinG has an Aligulac rating of 2335 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8126
Group C soO has an Aligulac rating of 2071 FanTaSy has an Aligulac rating of 2226 Rogue has an Aligulac rating of 2121 Trust has an Aligulac rating of 1770 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8188
Group D Panic has an Aligulac rating of 1567 INnoVation has an Aligulac rating of 2176 Bomber has an Aligulac rating of 1939 Creator has an Aligulac rating of 1785 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7467
Group E HerO has an Aligulac rating of 1701 Maru has an Aligulac rating of 2262 TY has an Aligulac rating of 1982 ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 1995 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7940
Group F Bbyong has an Aligulac rating of 2117 YoDa has an Aligulac rating of 1888 Symbol has an Aligulac rating of 1809 Life has an Aligulac rating of 2320 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8134
Group G Patience has an Aligulac rating of 1798 herO has an Aligulac rating of 2239 Dream has an Aligulac rating of 1994 Flash has an Aligulac rating of 1986 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8017
Group H Curious has an Aligulac rating of 1849 MMA has an Aligulac rating of 2017 sOs has an Aligulac rating of 2078 Sacsri has an Aligulac rating of 1974 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7918
Final Placings Group A has two 2nd places Group B has one 1st place, one 2nd place, and two 3rd places Group C has three 1st places, one 3rd place, and one 4th place Group D has one 4th place Group E has one 3rd place Group F has two 2nd places, and one 4th place Group G has one 1st place, and two 4th places Group H has one 3rd place
Group C is our Group of Death! Congrats to soO, FanTaSy, Rogue, and Trust! Group B is our 2nd place Group of Death with MyuNgSiK, RagnaroK, Dark, and PartinG!
What do you think?
Poll: Group of Death?
Group A: Solar / Sorry / Rain / GuMiho (5)
1%
Group B: PartinG / Ragnarok / Dark / MyuNgSiK (7)
2%
Group C: Rogue / Trust / FanTaSy / soO (6)
1%
Group D: INnoVation / Creator / Bomber / Panic (8)
2%
Group E: TY / HerO / Maru / ByuL (119)
26%
Group F: Life / Symbol / YoDa / Bbyong (7)
2%
Group G: herO / Patience / Dream / Flash (80)
18%
Group H: MMA / Sacsri / Curious / sOs (7)
2%
No Group of Death (215)
47%
454 total votes
Your vote: Group of Death?
(Vote): Group A: Solar / Sorry / Rain / GuMiho (Vote): Group B: PartinG / Ragnarok / Dark / MyuNgSiK (Vote): Group C: Rogue / Trust / FanTaSy / soO (Vote): Group D: INnoVation / Creator / Bomber / Panic (Vote): Group E: TY / HerO / Maru / ByuL (Vote): Group F: Life / Symbol / YoDa / Bbyong (Vote): Group G: herO / Patience / Dream / Flash (Vote): Group H: MMA / Sacsri / Curious / sOs (Vote): No Group of Death
Zest, Hurricane, Maru, and Leenockin in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16. Zest has the #3 Headband. Zest is at 85.58% Blizzcon Chances. 58.17% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 96.06%. 41.83% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 71.01%. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances. 60.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 100%. 39.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 100%. Hurricane is at 5.92% Blizzcon Chances. 41.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.74%. 58.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.02%. Leenock is at 9.86% Blizzcon Chances. 39.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.55%. 60.57% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.24%.
PartinG has a 11.87% chance to win ----going from 99.93% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Life has a 11.32% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 9.99% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Trap has a 9.69% chance to win ----going from 44.58% to 99.65% if they get 1st, or 82.21% if they get 2nd. Zest has a 9.24% chance to win ----going from 85.58% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Stats has a 7.19% chance to win ----going from 50.68% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 94.49% if they get 2nd. herO has a 6.89% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. HyuN has a 5.39% chance to win ----going from 20.84% to 90.69% if they get 1st, or 52.99% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.84% chance to win ----going from 82.32% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 4.6% chance to win ----going from 46.85% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 96.26% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 4.45% chance to win ----going from 31.85% to 99.84% if they get 1st, or 83.69% if they get 2nd. soO has a 4.18% chance to win ----going from 20.73% to 87.82% if they get 1st, or 54.05% if they get 2nd. Hurricane has a 3.11% chance to win ----going from 5.92% to 62.03% if they get 1st, or 22.4% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 2.69% chance to win ----going from 11.1% to 92.61% if they get 1st, or 46.04% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 2.64% chance to win ----going from 18.74% to 92.84% if they get 1st, or 59.9% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 1.9% chance to win ----going from 9.86% to 94.71% if they get 1st, or 48.45% if they get 2nd.
Rain, GuMiho, Solar, and Sorryin in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32. Rain is at 55.89% Blizzcon Chances. 58.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.23%. 41.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.65%. Solar is at 12.56% Blizzcon Chances. 54.51% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.65%. 45.49% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.26%. GuMiho is at 16.61% Blizzcon Chances. 52.41% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.3%. 47.59% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.15%. Sorry is at 0.25% Blizzcon Chances. 34.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.61%. 65.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.07%.
PartinG has a 11.69% chance to win ----going from 99.93% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Life has a 9.58% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. herO has a 7.72% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 7.12% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 6.31% chance to win ----going from 55.89% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 94.46% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
FanTaSy has a 5.76% chance to win ----going from 58.01% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 94.75% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 5.73% chance to win ----going from 56.57% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 95.85% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 5.33% chance to win ----going from 46.03% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 88.92% if they get 2nd. sOs has a 4.28% chance to win ----going from 21.81% to 95.46% if they get 1st, or 58.34% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 4.18% chance to win ----going from 50.38% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 94.77% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 3.47% chance to win ----going from 22.66% to 96.7% if they get 1st, or 62.69% if they get 2nd. soO has a 2.99% chance to win ----going from 20.28% to 83.88% if they get 1st, or 50.29% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 2.82% chance to win ----going from 12.56% to 86.72% if they get 1st, or 42.37% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 2.38% chance to win ----going from 16.61% to 93.82% if they get 1st, or 55.44% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 2.29% chance to win ----going from 18.49% to 87.34% if they get 1st, or 50.73% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 2.16% chance to win ----going from 19.71% to 98.01% if they get 1st, or 65.55% if they get 2nd. Flash has a 2.11% chance to win ----going from 3.93% to 49.97% if they get 1st, or 2.94% if they don't. Sacsri has a 1.95% chance to win ----going from 5.53% to 65.04% if they get 1st, or 23.68% if they get 2nd. TY has a 1.91% chance to win ----going from 17.37% to 98.63% if they get 1st, or 64.2% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 1.68% chance to win ----going from 82.41% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.96% if they get 2nd. Bomber has a 1.68% chance to win ----going from 6.21% to 75.37% if they get 1st, or 28.12% if they get 2nd. YoDa has a 1.04% chance to win ----going from 2.81% to 59.54% if they get 1st, or 2.21% if they don't. Curious has a 0.92% chance to win ----going from 1.45% to 43.76% if they get 1st, or 1.05% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 0.88% chance to win ----going from 3.97% to 78.94% if they get 1st, or 3.3% if they don't. Creator has a 0.81% chance to win ----going from 0.96% to 35.35% if they get 1st, or 0.68% if they don't. Patience has a 0.74% chance to win ----going from 2.52% to 66.82% if they get 1st, or 2.04% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.61% chance to win ----going from 1.3% to 52.57% if they get 1st, or 0.98% if they don't. Trust has a 0.59% chance to win ----going from 0.65% to 31.95% if they get 1st, or 0.46% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 0.45% chance to win ----going from 0.43% to 28.59% if they get 1st, or 0.3% if they don't. HerO has a 0.39% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 25.81% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. Sorry has a 0.28% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 25.29% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't.
On April 24 2015 08:36 felisconcolori wrote: I can't help but notice that Life seems to have 100% chance to win no matter where he shows up. Has Zealously been at your code?
Haha, he has a 100% chance to make it to Blizzcon now, unless some huge changes are made to the WCS system of course (like 10 new Dreamhacks being announced for this year lol). His chances for winning just the match is are below that number. Like here's an example
Life, ByuL, soO, and Trapin in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16. Life has the #1 Headband. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances. 59.83% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 100%. 40.17% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 100%. soO is at 20.28% Blizzcon Chances. 43.32% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.79%. 56.68% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.18%. ByuL is at 18.49% Blizzcon Chances. 34.99% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 35.75%. 65.01% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.2%. Trap is at 43.58% Blizzcon Chances. 61.85% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 59.45%. 38.15% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.86%.
It says Life has a 100% chance of going to Blizzcon, and a 59.83% chance to win the match.
Snute vs Blyin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Snute is at 13.18% Blizzcon Chances. 59.99% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.55%. 40.01% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.12%. Bly is at 0.5% Blizzcon Chances. 40.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.22%. 59.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.03%.
Welmu vs Retin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Welmu is at 1.08% Blizzcon Chances. 45.28% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.32%. 54.72% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%. Ret is at 0.36% Blizzcon Chances. 54.72% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.65%. 45.28% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
Nerchio vs TLOin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Nerchio is at 3.14% Blizzcon Chances. 67.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.61%. 32.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.15%. TLO is at 0.47% Blizzcon Chances. 32.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.34%. 67.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%.
Lilbow vs uThermalin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Lilbow is at 4.03% Blizzcon Chances. 50.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.7%. 49.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.28%. uThermal is at 1.95% Blizzcon Chances. 49.38% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.81%. 50.62% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.14%.
Beastyqt vs Bunnyin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Beastyqt is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances. 31.75% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.21%. 68.25% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. Bunny is at 24.25% Blizzcon Chances. 68.25% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.45%. 31.75% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.48%.
Elazer vs ShoWTimEin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Elazer is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances. 33.68% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.18%. 66.32% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. ShoWTimE is at 10.45% Blizzcon Chances. 66.32% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.17%. 33.68% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.14%.
FireCake vs Zansterin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. FireCake is at 1.55% Blizzcon Chances. 49.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.03%. 50.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.11%. Zanster is at 0.37% Blizzcon Chances. 50.51% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.71%. 49.49% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%.
NaNiwa vs GunGFuBanDain in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. NaNiwa is at 6.01% Blizzcon Chances. 50.87% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.31%. 49.13% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.51%. GunGFuBanDa is at 1.15% Blizzcon Chances. 49.13% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.28%. 50.87% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%.
HeRoMaRinE vs MaNain in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. HeRoMaRinE is at 2.87% Blizzcon Chances. 48.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.74%. 51.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.16%. MaNa is at 2.57% Blizzcon Chances. 51.51% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.83%. 48.49% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.18%.
Happy vs MarineLorDin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Happy is at 3.65% Blizzcon Chances. 56.6% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.29%. 43.4% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.2%. MarineLorD is at 2.77% Blizzcon Chances. 43.4% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.13%. 56.6% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.2%.
souL vs ForGGin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. souL is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 14.02% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.1%. 85.98% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. ForGG is at 56.11% Blizzcon Chances. 85.98% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 62.71%. 14.02% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.66%.
elfi vs TargAin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. elfi is at 0.6% Blizzcon Chances. 42.74% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.37%. 57.26% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.03%. TargA is at 3.29% Blizzcon Chances. 57.26% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.58%. 42.74% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.22%.
MorroW vs Petraeusin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. MorroW is at 0.44% Blizzcon Chances. 41.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.03%. 58.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%. Petraeus is at 2.01% Blizzcon Chances. 58.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.35%. 41.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.1%.
Serral vs Harstemin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Serral is at 1.56% Blizzcon Chances. 45.81% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.25%. 54.19% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.13%. Harstem is at 1.91% Blizzcon Chances. 54.19% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.41%. 45.81% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.12%.
HuK vs StarDustin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. HuK is at 1.29% Blizzcon Chances. 42.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.93%. 57.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.09%. StarDust is at 1.57% Blizzcon Chances. 57.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.66%. 42.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.09%.
PiLiPiLi vs Kanein in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. PiLiPiLi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 33.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 66.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. Kane is at 1.94% Blizzcon Chances. 66.67% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.86%. 33.33% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.11%.
Hydra vs Zealin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Hydra is at 80.8% Blizzcon Chances. 83.74% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 87.2%. 16.26% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 47.9%. Zeal is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 16.26% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 83.74% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0%.
viOLet vs qxcin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. viOLet is at 4.06% Blizzcon Chances. 64.06% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.15%. 35.94% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.34%. qxc is at 0.16% Blizzcon Chances. 35.94% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.43%. 64.06% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
Xenocider vs puCKin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Xenocider is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances. 52.07% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.2%. 47.93% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. puCK is at 0.15% Blizzcon Chances. 47.93% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.3%. 52.07% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
MaSa vs Astreain in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. MaSa is at 3.23% Blizzcon Chances. 69.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.56%. 30.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.12%. Astrea is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances. 30.03% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.09%. 69.97% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
Jaedong vs Suppyin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Jaedong is at 14.35% Blizzcon Chances. 75.71% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.4%. 24.29% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.72%. Suppy is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances. 24.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.25%. 75.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
Sen vs Slamin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Sen is at 1.22% Blizzcon Chances. 71.42% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.63%. 28.58% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.18%. Slam is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 28.58% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 71.42% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
Has vs cheetosin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Has is at 0.73% Blizzcon Chances. 78.22% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.91%. 21.78% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.09%. cheetos is at 0% Blizzcon Chances. 21.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0%. 78.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0%.
ForGG has a 86.03% chance to win ----going from 56.18% to 62.77% if they get 1st, or 15.65% if they don't. MajOr has a 85.23% chance to win ----going from 5.18% to 6.01% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't. Hydra has a 83.39% chance to win ----going from 80.43% to 87.01% if they get 1st, or 47.44% if they don't. Has has a 78.22% chance to win ----going from 0.73% to 0.91% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 77.81% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 0.22% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Jaedong has a 75.82% chance to win ----going from 15.07% to 19.29% if they get 1st, or 1.85% if they don't. Sen has a 71.42% chance to win ----going from 1.22% to 1.63% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. viOLet has a 70.48% chance to win ----going from 4.56% to 6.32% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't. MaSa has a 69.64% chance to win ----going from 3.04% to 4.32% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. Bunny has a 67.5% chance to win ----going from 22.6% to 31.5% if they get 1st, or 4.09% if they don't. Kane has a 66.74% chance to win ----going from 1.97% to 2.9% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 66.32% chance to win ----going from 10.43% to 15.13% if they get 1st, or 1.16% if they don't. Nerchio has a 65.1% chance to win ----going from 3.61% to 5.45% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Snute has a 61.92% chance to win ----going from 13.83% to 20.99% if they get 1st, or 2.18% if they don't. StarDust has a 60.68% chance to win ----going from 1.64% to 2.65% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Petraeus has a 59.46% chance to win ----going from 2.42% to 3.99% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Happy has a 57.49% chance to win ----going from 3.7% to 6.29% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. TargA has a 56.9% chance to win ----going from 3.18% to 5.44% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Xenocider has a 55.67% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 0.28% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ret has a 55.08% chance to win ----going from 0.41% to 0.74% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Harstem has a 53.13% chance to win ----going from 1.67% to 3.05% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Lilbow has a 51.82% chance to win ----going from 4.15% to 7.74% if they get 1st, or 0.28% if they don't. MaNa has a 51.79% chance to win ----going from 2.63% to 4.9% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 51.44% chance to win ----going from 6.52% to 12.15% if they get 1st, or 0.55% if they don't. FireCake has a 50.13% chance to win ----going from 1.6% to 3.08% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Zanster has a 49.87% chance to win ----going from 0.36% to 0.7% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 48.56% chance to win ----going from 1.13% to 2.28% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 48.21% chance to win ----going from 2.85% to 5.74% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't. uThermal has a 48.18% chance to win ----going from 1.58% to 3.17% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Serral has a 46.87% chance to win ----going from 1.6% to 3.28% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. Welmu has a 44.92% chance to win ----going from 1.04% to 2.25% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. puCK has a 44.33% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 43.1% chance to win ----going from 0.6% to 1.36% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 42.51% chance to win ----going from 2.46% to 5.56% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. MorroW has a 40.54% chance to win ----going from 0.42% to 1.02% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. HuK has a 39.32% chance to win ----going from 0.64% to 1.57% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Bly has a 38.08% chance to win ----going from 0.35% to 0.9% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. TLO has a 34.9% chance to win ----going from 0.84% to 2.24% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Elazer has a 33.68% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. PiLiPiLi has a 33.26% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Beastyqt has a 32.5% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.22% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Astrea has a 30.36% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. qxc has a 29.52% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Slam has a 28.58% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Suppy has a 24.18% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.26% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. cheetos has a 21.78% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Zeal has a 16.61% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. souL has a 13.97% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ReasoN has a 6.24% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. JimRising has a 4.95% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Cham has a 3.93% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. CatZ has a 3.45% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jarppi has a 1.08% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. LsEbA has a 0.86% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Shakti has a 0.7% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. OdiN has a 0.66% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Erik has a 0.63% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. AreS has a 0.6% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. PenetraTHOR has a 0.52% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Tonho has a 0.5% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
ForGG has a 16.59% chance to win ----going from 56.18% to 99.65% if they get 1st, or 83.29% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 11.13% chance to win ----going from 80.44% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.84% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 10.12% chance to win ----going from 93.31% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 4.56% chance to win ----going from 22.6% to 99.02% if they get 1st, or 65.91% if they get 2nd. Jaedong has a 4.13% chance to win ----going from 15.07% to 89.42% if they get 1st, or 44.02% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MajOr has a 3.97% chance to win ----going from 5.18% to 52.08% if they get 1st, or 14.49% if they get 2nd. NaNiwa has a 3.68% chance to win ----going from 6.52% to 66.96% if they get 1st, or 24.01% if they get 2nd. Nerchio has a 3.18% chance to win ----going from 3.61% to 49.6% if they get 1st, or 2.1% if they don't. Snute has a 2.98% chance to win ----going from 13.82% to 96.67% if they get 1st, or 52.29% if they get 2nd. Lilbow has a 2.79% chance to win ----going from 4.15% to 57.32% if they get 1st, or 2.62% if they don't. MaSa has a 2.7% chance to win ----going from 3.04% to 45.99% if they get 1st, or 1.84% if they don't. Happy has a 2.64% chance to win ----going from 3.7% to 55.06% if they get 1st, or 2.3% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 2.6% chance to win ----going from 10.42% to 96.17% if they get 1st, or 43.4% if they get 2nd. viOLet has a 2.52% chance to win ----going from 4.56% to 60.71% if they get 1st, or 3.11% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.37% chance to win ----going from 2.85% to 49.65% if they get 1st, or 1.71% if they don't. Petraeus has a 1.98% chance to win ----going from 2.42% to 47.26% if they get 1st, or 1.52% if they don't. TargA has a 1.73% chance to win ----going from 3.19% to 62.46% if they get 1st, or 2.14% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 1.68% chance to win ----going from 2.46% to 53.77% if they get 1st, or 1.59% if they don't. StarDust has a 1.57% chance to win ----going from 1.65% to 38.96% if they get 1st, or 1.05% if they don't. MaNa has a 1.4% chance to win ----going from 2.63% to 63.03% if they get 1st, or 1.77% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.25% chance to win ----going from 1.13% to 37.72% if they get 1st, or 0.67% if they don't. Harstem has a 1.16% chance to win ----going from 1.67% to 53.12% if they get 1st, or 1.07% if they don't. Sen has a 1.05% chance to win ----going from 1.22% to 44.9% if they get 1st, or 0.75% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.96% chance to win ----going from 0.77% to 34.48% if they get 1st, or 0.45% if they don't. FireCake has a 0.91% chance to win ----going from 1.59% to 61.91% if they get 1st, or 1.04% if they don't. Kane has a 0.81% chance to win ----going from 1.97% to 74.18% if they get 1st, or 1.38% if they don't. uThermal has a 0.78% chance to win ----going from 1.59% to 62.52% if they get 1st, or 1.1% if they don't. Serral has a 0.78% chance to win ----going from 1.6% to 66.23% if they get 1st, or 1.09% if they don't. Welmu has a 0.75% chance to win ----going from 1.04% to 51.08% if they get 1st, or 0.66% if they don't. elfi has a 0.69% chance to win ----going from 0.6% to 36.25% if they get 1st, or 0.36% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.65% chance to win ----going from 0.41% to 27.48% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. Jim has a 0.55% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 26.17% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. Has has a 0.51% chance to win ----going from 0.74% to 50.06% if they get 1st, or 0.48% if they don't. HuK has a 0.48% chance to win ----going from 0.64% to 46.35% if they get 1st, or 0.42% if they don't. Ret has a 0.48% chance to win ----going from 0.41% to 33.66% if they get 1st, or 0.26% if they don't. Zanster has a 0.46% chance to win ----going from 0.36% to 33.34% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Bly has a 0.45% chance to win ----going from 0.35% to 33.21% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. TooDming has a 0.43% chance to win ----going from 0.2% to 20.76% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.41% chance to win ----going from 0.42% to 40.56% if they get 1st, or 0.26% if they don't. NXZ has a 0.35% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 17.01% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. TLO has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.84% to 75.2% if they get 1st, or 0.61% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.28% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 25.28% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.26% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 25.05% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't.
I totally don't understand what this "competition" is supposed to mean and what is to point of having "matches" instead of a single poll for the most liked guy, but sure as hell I can click on "die4ever" everytime someone shows me a link to a poll.
On April 27 2015 03:40 opisska wrote: I totally don't understand what this "competition" is supposed to mean and what is to point of having "matches" instead of a single poll for the most liked guy, but sure as hell I can click on "die4ever" everytime someone shows me a link to a poll.
It would certainly be quicker to do it as fewer polls lol but not as fun. The competition is the "Team Liquid Community Member Awesomeness Tournament", I was one of the 64 people to be nominated into it. Thanks for voting
Snute vs Blyin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Snute is at 13.64% Blizzcon Chances. 62.08% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.66%. 37.92% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.15%. Bly is at 0.32% Blizzcon Chances. 37.92% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.83%. 62.08% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%.
Welmu vs Retin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Welmu is at 1.04% Blizzcon Chances. 44.95% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.25%. 55.05% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%. Ret is at 0.4% Blizzcon Chances. 55.05% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.72%. 44.95% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
Nerchio vs TLOin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Nerchio is at 3.41% Blizzcon Chances. 65.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.14%. 34.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.17%. TLO is at 0.82% Blizzcon Chances. 34.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.19%. 65.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%.
Lilbow vs uThermalin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Lilbow is at 4.64% Blizzcon Chances. 52.99% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.46%. 47.01% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.33%. uThermal is at 1.36% Blizzcon Chances. 47.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.8%. 52.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.09%.
HuK vs StarDustin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. HuK is at 0.58% Blizzcon Chances. 38.82% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.44%. 61.18% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.03%. StarDust is at 1.62% Blizzcon Chances. 61.18% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.6%. 38.82% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%.
PiLiPiLi vs Kanein in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. PiLiPiLi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 36.16% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%. 63.84% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. Kane is at 1.85% Blizzcon Chances. 63.84% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.84%. 36.16% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.11%.
Hydra vs Zealin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Hydra is at 80.08% Blizzcon Chances. 83.38% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 86.67%. 16.62% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 47.05%. Zeal is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 16.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 83.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0%.
ForGG has a 85.99% chance to win ----going from 55.86% to 62.41% if they get 1st, or 15.62% if they don't. MajOr has a 85.2% chance to win ----going from 5.17% to 5.99% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. Hydra has a 83.38% chance to win ----going from 80.08% to 86.67% if they get 1st, or 47.05% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 79.75% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 0.4% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jaedong has a 75.76% chance to win ----going from 14.74% to 18.89% if they get 1st, or 1.8% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
viOLet has a 70.47% chance to win ----going from 4.42% to 6.14% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't. MaSa has a 69.61% chance to win ----going from 2.98% to 4.23% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Bunny has a 67.57% chance to win ----going from 22.38% to 31.19% if they get 1st, or 4.02% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 66.32% chance to win ----going from 13.93% to 19.91% if they get 1st, or 2.17% if they don't. Nerchio has a 65.11% chance to win ----going from 3.41% to 5.14% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. Kane has a 63.84% chance to win ----going from 1.85% to 2.84% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Snute has a 62.08% chance to win ----going from 13.64% to 20.66% if they get 1st, or 2.15% if they don't. StarDust has a 61.18% chance to win ----going from 1.62% to 2.6% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Petraeus has a 59.47% chance to win ----going from 2.35% to 3.87% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. Happy has a 57.44% chance to win ----going from 3.65% to 6.21% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. TargA has a 56.89% chance to win ----going from 3.08% to 5.26% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Xenocider has a 55.63% chance to win ----going from 0.15% to 0.27% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ret has a 55.05% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 0.72% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 53.14% chance to win ----going from 1.63% to 2.97% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Lilbow has a 52.99% chance to win ----going from 4.64% to 8.46% if they get 1st, or 0.33% if they don't. MaNa has a 51.75% chance to win ----going from 2.56% to 4.79% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 51.5% chance to win ----going from 6.44% to 12.01% if they get 1st, or 0.54% if they don't. FireCake has a 50.07% chance to win ----going from 1.56% to 3.01% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Zanster has a 49.93% chance to win ----going from 0.35% to 0.68% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 48.5% chance to win ----going from 1.12% to 2.24% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 48.25% chance to win ----going from 2.82% to 5.68% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't. uThermal has a 47.01% chance to win ----going from 1.36% to 2.8% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Serral has a 46.86% chance to win ----going from 1.56% to 3.18% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. Welmu has a 44.95% chance to win ----going from 1.04% to 2.25% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. puCK has a 44.37% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 43.11% chance to win ----going from 0.59% to 1.33% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 42.56% chance to win ----going from 2.41% to 5.43% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. MorroW has a 40.53% chance to win ----going from 0.41% to 0.99% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. HuK has a 38.82% chance to win ----going from 0.58% to 1.44% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Bly has a 37.92% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 0.83% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. PiLiPiLi has a 36.16% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 34.89% chance to win ----going from 0.82% to 2.19% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Elazer has a 33.68% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Beastyqt has a 32.43% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Astrea has a 30.39% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. qxc has a 29.53% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Suppy has a 24.24% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.26% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zeal has a 16.62% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. souL has a 14.01% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ReasoN has a 6.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. JimRising has a 4.74% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Cham has a 3.75% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. CatZ has a 3.29% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jarppi has a 1.03% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. LsEbA has a 0.81% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Shakti has a 0.66% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. OdiN has a 0.62% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Erik has a 0.59% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. AreS has a 0.57% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
ForGG has a 16.46% chance to win ----going from 55.85% to 99.64% if they get 1st, or 83.02% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 10.96% chance to win ----going from 80.09% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.84% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 10.1% chance to win ----going from 93.15% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 4.54% chance to win ----going from 22.38% to 99.02% if they get 1st, or 65.3% if they get 2nd. Jaedong has a 4.07% chance to win ----going from 14.75% to 89.07% if they get 1st, or 43.39% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MajOr has a 3.99% chance to win ----going from 5.16% to 51.98% if they get 1st, or 14.48% if they get 2nd. NaNiwa has a 3.67% chance to win ----going from 6.44% to 66.44% if they get 1st, or 23.94% if they get 2nd. Lilbow has a 3.07% chance to win ----going from 4.64% to 58.5% if they get 1st, or 2.93% if they don't. Nerchio has a 3.05% chance to win ----going from 3.41% to 48.66% if they get 1st, or 1.98% if they don't. Snute has a 2.96% chance to win ----going from 13.64% to 96.73% if they get 1st, or 51.38% if they get 2nd. MaSa has a 2.66% chance to win ----going from 2.98% to 45.54% if they get 1st, or 1.81% if they don't. Happy has a 2.64% chance to win ----going from 3.65% to 54.59% if they get 1st, or 2.27% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 2.59% chance to win ----going from 13.94% to 98.47% if they get 1st, or 55.95% if they get 2nd. viOLet has a 2.48% chance to win ----going from 4.42% to 59.84% if they get 1st, or 3.02% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.37% chance to win ----going from 2.82% to 49.49% if they get 1st, or 1.69% if they don't. Petraeus has a 1.94% chance to win ----going from 2.35% to 46.57% if they get 1st, or 1.48% if they don't. TargA has a 1.7% chance to win ----going from 3.08% to 61.59% if they get 1st, or 2.07% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 1.68% chance to win ----going from 2.41% to 52.94% if they get 1st, or 1.55% if they don't. Sen has a 1.61% chance to win ----going from 1.83% to 45.74% if they get 1st, or 1.11% if they don't. StarDust has a 1.57% chance to win ----going from 1.63% to 39.05% if they get 1st, or 1.03% if they don't. MaNa has a 1.38% chance to win ----going from 2.56% to 62.66% if they get 1st, or 1.72% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.23% chance to win ----going from 1.12% to 37.77% if they get 1st, or 0.66% if they don't. Harstem has a 1.16% chance to win ----going from 1.63% to 52.25% if they get 1st, or 1.03% if they don't. FireCake has a 0.87% chance to win ----going from 1.56% to 61.69% if they get 1st, or 1.03% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.87% chance to win ----going from 0.68% to 32.79% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't. Serral has a 0.77% chance to win ----going from 1.56% to 66.12% if they get 1st, or 1.06% if they don't. Welmu has a 0.75% chance to win ----going from 1.04% to 51.76% if they get 1st, or 0.66% if they don't. Kane has a 0.75% chance to win ----going from 1.85% to 73.96% if they get 1st, or 1.3% if they don't. uThermal has a 0.69% chance to win ----going from 1.36% to 61.34% if they get 1st, or 0.94% if they don't. elfi has a 0.69% chance to win ----going from 0.59% to 36.05% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't. Has has a 0.69% chance to win ----going from 0.99% to 50.52% if they get 1st, or 0.65% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.64% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 27.26% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. Jim has a 0.54% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 25.88% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Ret has a 0.47% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 33.52% if they get 1st, or 0.24% if they don't. HuK has a 0.45% chance to win ----going from 0.58% to 45.76% if they get 1st, or 0.38% if they don't. Zanster has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.35% to 32.53% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.43% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 28.73% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. Bly has a 0.43% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 32.02% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.41% chance to win ----going from 0.41% to 39.75% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. TooDming has a 0.41% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 20.44% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. NXZ has a 0.34% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 16.85% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. TLO has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.82% to 76.34% if they get 1st, or 0.59% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.26% chance to win ----going from 0.15% to 25.31% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. puCK has a 0.18% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 25.9% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Beastyqt has a 0.16% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 22.01% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 18.86% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Suppy has a 0.11% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 24.44% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't.
On April 27 2015 23:30 sharkie wrote: I can't predict EU, I don't know which players are focusing now too much on LotV and which are still preparing for WCS...
Yeah same. I think Snute is the safest pick, but I'm always scared of Bly killing all my favorites so I didn't buy him.
viOLet vs qxcin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. viOLet is at 4.35% Blizzcon Chances. 70.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.02%. 29.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.35%. qxc is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances. 29.53% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.14%. 70.47% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
Xenocider vs puCKin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Xenocider is at 0.14% Blizzcon Chances. 55.66% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.26%. 44.34% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. puCK is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances. 44.34% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.24%. 55.66% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
MaSa vs Astreain in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. MaSa is at 2.84% Blizzcon Chances. 69.32% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.06%. 30.68% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.1%. Astrea is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances. 30.68% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.09%. 69.32% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
Jaedong vs Suppyin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Jaedong is at 14.64% Blizzcon Chances. 75.84% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.73%. 24.16% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.82%. Suppy is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances. 24.16% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.23%. 75.84% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
ForGG has a 86.1% chance to win ----going from 55.54% to 61.99% if they get 1st, or 15.62% if they don't. MajOr has a 85.29% chance to win ----going from 5.08% to 5.89% if they get 1st, or 0.38% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 79.84% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 0.42% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jaedong has a 75.84% chance to win ----going from 14.64% to 18.73% if they get 1st, or 1.82% if they don't. viOLet has a 70.47% chance to win ----going from 4.35% to 6.02% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MaSa has a 69.32% chance to win ----going from 2.84% to 4.06% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Bunny has a 67.62% chance to win ----going from 22.34% to 31.07% if they get 1st, or 4.11% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 66.15% chance to win ----going from 13.8% to 19.72% if they get 1st, or 2.21% if they don't. Petraeus has a 60.69% chance to win ----going from 2.81% to 4.53% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. TargA has a 57.28% chance to win ----going from 2.75% to 4.66% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Happy has a 56.94% chance to win ----going from 3.57% to 6.12% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. Xenocider has a 55.66% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 0.26% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 53.11% chance to win ----going from 1.58% to 2.88% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. MaNa has a 51.84% chance to win ----going from 2.45% to 4.56% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 51.51% chance to win ----going from 6.21% to 11.55% if they get 1st, or 0.53% if they don't. FireCake has a 50.1% chance to win ----going from 1.49% to 2.88% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Zanster has a 49.9% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 0.65% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 48.49% chance to win ----going from 1.07% to 2.15% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 48.16% chance to win ----going from 2.59% to 5.21% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Serral has a 46.89% chance to win ----going from 1.51% to 3.08% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. puCK has a 44.34% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 0.24% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 43.06% chance to win ----going from 2.6% to 5.78% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. elfi has a 42.72% chance to win ----going from 0.54% to 1.24% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MorroW has a 39.31% chance to win ----going from 0.39% to 0.96% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Elazer has a 33.85% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.17% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Beastyqt has a 32.38% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.2% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Astrea has a 30.68% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. qxc has a 29.53% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Suppy has a 24.16% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.23% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. souL has a 13.9% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ReasoN has a 5.95% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. JimRising has a 4.66% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Cham has a 3.69% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. CatZ has a 3.21% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jarppi has a 1.01% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. LsEbA has a 0.78% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Shakti has a 0.66% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. OdiN has a 0.61% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Erik has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. AreS has a 0.56% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
ForGG has a 15.87% chance to win ----going from 55.54% to 99.66% if they get 1st, or 83.36% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 12.91% chance to win ----going from 87.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.87% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 9.81% chance to win ----going from 93.23% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Lilbow has a 5.74% chance to win ----going from 8.6% to 59.15% if they get 1st, or 18.91% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 4.68% chance to win ----going from 20.96% to 96.98% if they get 1st, or 52.74% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Bunny has a 4.43% chance to win ----going from 22.34% to 99.1% if they get 1st, or 65.98% if they get 2nd. Jaedong has a 3.92% chance to win ----going from 14.64% to 89.42% if they get 1st, or 43.59% if they get 2nd. MajOr has a 3.84% chance to win ----going from 5.08% to 52.27% if they get 1st, or 14.54% if they get 2nd. NaNiwa has a 3.43% chance to win ----going from 6.21% to 66.69% if they get 1st, or 23.71% if they get 2nd. MaSa has a 2.53% chance to win ----going from 2.84% to 45.21% if they get 1st, or 1.74% if they don't. Happy has a 2.52% chance to win ----going from 3.57% to 55.47% if they get 1st, or 2.23% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 2.46% chance to win ----going from 13.8% to 98.56% if they get 1st, or 56.41% if they get 2nd. StarDust has a 2.45% chance to win ----going from 2.57% to 39.31% if they get 1st, or 1.65% if they don't. viOLet has a 2.35% chance to win ----going from 4.35% to 60.24% if they get 1st, or 3.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.16% chance to win ----going from 2.59% to 48.75% if they get 1st, or 1.57% if they don't. Petraeus has a 2.15% chance to win ----going from 2.81% to 49.22% if they get 1st, or 1.79% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 1.76% chance to win ----going from 2.6% to 53.97% if they get 1st, or 1.68% if they don't. TargA has a 1.48% chance to win ----going from 2.75% to 61.11% if they get 1st, or 1.87% if they don't. Sen has a 1.48% chance to win ----going from 1.74% to 46.1% if they get 1st, or 1.07% if they don't. MaNa has a 1.27% chance to win ----going from 2.45% to 63.11% if they get 1st, or 1.67% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.16% chance to win ----going from 1.07% to 37.52% if they get 1st, or 0.64% if they don't. Harstem has a 1.09% chance to win ----going from 1.58% to 52.69% if they get 1st, or 1.02% if they don't. Kane has a 1.07% chance to win ----going from 2.72% to 74.38% if they get 1st, or 1.94% if they don't. TLO has a 0.95% chance to win ----going from 2.63% to 77.61% if they get 1st, or 1.91% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.87% chance to win ----going from 0.71% to 34.06% if they get 1st, or 0.42% if they don't. FireCake has a 0.81% chance to win ----going from 1.49% to 62.64% if they get 1st, or 0.99% if they don't. Ret has a 0.79% chance to win ----going from 0.67% to 33.44% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't. Serral has a 0.72% chance to win ----going from 1.51% to 66.19% if they get 1st, or 1.04% if they don't. Has has a 0.64% chance to win ----going from 0.95% to 51.39% if they get 1st, or 0.62% if they don't. elfi has a 0.61% chance to win ----going from 0.54% to 36.01% if they get 1st, or 0.33% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0.38% to 27.66% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. Jim has a 0.51% chance to win ----going from 0.31% to 26.32% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 29.71% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. Zanster has a 0.41% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 33.32% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.38% chance to win ----going from 0.39% to 40.44% if they get 1st, or 0.24% if they don't. TooDming has a 0.37% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 20.26% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. NXZ has a 0.35% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 17.89% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.24% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 25.05% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. puCK has a 0.17% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 26.1% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.14% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 19.88% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Beastyqt has a 0.13% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 21.9% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Suppy has a 0.1% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 24.13% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
MyuNgSiK, RagnaroK, Dark, and PartinGin in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32. PartinG has the #2 Headband. MyuNgSiK is at 3.59% Blizzcon Chances. 40.84% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.78%. 59.16% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.39%. Dark is at 54.56% Blizzcon Chances. 59.25% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 66.38%. 40.75% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.37%. RagnaroK is at 0.41% Blizzcon Chances. 30.76% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.07%. 69.24% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.12%. PartinG is at 99.82% Blizzcon Chances. 69.15% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.96%. 30.85% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.51%.
PartinG has a 11.65% chance to win ----going from 99.82% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 11.4% chance to win ----going from 68.81% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 94.44% if they get 2nd. Life has a 9.26% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. herO has a 7.16% chance to win ----going from 99.95% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 6.44% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Dark has a 5.52% chance to win ----going from 54.56% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 94.19% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 5.18% chance to win ----going from 45.29% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 88.33% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 4.51% chance to win ----going from 50.02% to 99.91% if they get 1st, or 91.05% if they get 2nd. sOs has a 4.23% chance to win ----going from 24.5% to 97.37% if they get 1st, or 64.09% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 4.23% chance to win ----going from 22.74% to 93.18% if they get 1st, or 53.24% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 4.01% chance to win ----going from 48.37% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 92.47% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 3.22% chance to win ----going from 21.56% to 96.51% if they get 1st, or 61.38% if they get 2nd. soO has a 2.9% chance to win ----going from 20.07% to 83.36% if they get 1st, or 49.77% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 2.62% chance to win ----going from 19.95% to 85.61% if they get 1st, or 51.05% if they get 2nd. Sacsri has a 2.1% chance to win ----going from 5.99% to 65.3% if they get 1st, or 24.37% if they get 2nd. Flash has a 2.05% chance to win ----going from 3.81% to 49.33% if they get 1st, or 2.85% if they don't. MMA has a 2.03% chance to win ----going from 18.83% to 97.75% if they get 1st, or 64.3% if they get 2nd. TY has a 1.8% chance to win ----going from 16.76% to 98.57% if they get 1st, or 63.22% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 1.65% chance to win ----going from 80.32% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.88% if they get 2nd. Bomber has a 1.61% chance to win ----going from 5.98% to 74.39% if they get 1st, or 27.55% if they get 2nd. YoDa has a 0.98% chance to win ----going from 2.7% to 58.63% if they get 1st, or 2.15% if they don't. Curious has a 0.87% chance to win ----going from 1.39% to 43.51% if they get 1st, or 1.02% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 0.85% chance to win ----going from 3.59% to 73.6% if they get 1st, or 2.99% if they don't. Creator has a 0.8% chance to win ----going from 0.93% to 34.66% if they get 1st, or 0.66% if they don't. Patience has a 0.72% chance to win ----going from 2.41% to 65.5% if they get 1st, or 1.95% if they don't. Trust has a 0.6% chance to win ----going from 0.63% to 30.62% if they get 1st, or 0.45% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.59% chance to win ----going from 1.26% to 51.86% if they get 1st, or 0.96% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 0.43% chance to win ----going from 0.41% to 27.93% if they get 1st, or 0.29% if they don't. HerO has a 0.41% chance to win ----going from 0.34% to 25.7% if they get 1st, or 0.24% if they don't. Panic has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 20.25% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't.
Beastyqt vs Bunnyin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Beastyqt is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances. 32.38% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.19%. 67.62% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. Bunny is at 22.21% Blizzcon Chances. 67.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.86%. 32.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.17%.
Elazer vs ShoWTimEin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Elazer is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances. 33.84% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.16%. 66.16% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. ShoWTimE is at 13.7% Blizzcon Chances. 66.16% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 19.56%. 33.84% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.25%.
MaNa vs HeRoMaRinEin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. MaNa is at 2.41% Blizzcon Chances. 51.88% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.49%. 48.12% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.17%. HeRoMaRinE is at 2.56% Blizzcon Chances. 48.12% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.16%. 51.88% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.15%.
NaNiwa vs GunGFuBanDain in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. NaNiwa is at 6.15% Blizzcon Chances. 51.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.45%. 48.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.54%. GunGFuBanDa is at 1.04% Blizzcon Chances. 48.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.09%. 51.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%.
FireCake vs Zansterin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. FireCake is at 1.43% Blizzcon Chances. 50.12% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.76%. 49.88% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.1%. Zanster is at 0.32% Blizzcon Chances. 49.88% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.62%. 50.12% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
ForGG has a 86.07% chance to win ----going from 55.48% to 61.91% if they get 1st, or 15.79% if they don't. MajOr has a 83.31% chance to win ----going from 4.87% to 5.77% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 76.69% chance to win ----going from 0.31% to 0.4% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bunny has a 67.62% chance to win ----going from 22.21% to 30.86% if they get 1st, or 4.17% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 66.16% chance to win ----going from 13.7% to 19.56% if they get 1st, or 2.25% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Petraeus has a 60.67% chance to win ----going from 2.73% to 4.41% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. TargA has a 57.34% chance to win ----going from 2.68% to 4.54% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. Happy has a 56.9% chance to win ----going from 3.51% to 6.02% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. Harstem has a 53.14% chance to win ----going from 1.55% to 2.83% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. MaNa has a 51.88% chance to win ----going from 2.41% to 4.49% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 51.45% chance to win ----going from 6.15% to 11.45% if they get 1st, or 0.54% if they don't. FireCake has a 50.12% chance to win ----going from 1.43% to 2.76% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Zanster has a 49.88% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 0.62% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 48.55% chance to win ----going from 1.04% to 2.09% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 48.12% chance to win ----going from 2.56% to 5.16% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Serral has a 46.86% chance to win ----going from 1.46% to 2.97% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 43.1% chance to win ----going from 2.61% to 5.79% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. elfi has a 42.66% chance to win ----going from 0.54% to 1.22% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MorroW has a 39.33% chance to win ----going from 0.38% to 0.95% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Elazer has a 33.84% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Beastyqt has a 32.38% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Cham has a 22.22% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. CatZ has a 17.78% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. souL has a 13.93% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ForGG has a 15.63% chance to win ----going from 55.49% to 99.7% if they get 1st, or 83.58% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 12.42% chance to win ----going from 87.14% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.9% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 9.44% chance to win ----going from 93.3% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Lilbow has a 5.62% chance to win ----going from 8.54% to 59.23% if they get 1st, or 18.9% if they get 2nd. Jaedong has a 5.36% chance to win ----going from 19.85% to 90.32% if they get 1st, or 45.44% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Snute has a 4.39% chance to win ----going from 20.54% to 97.13% if they get 1st, or 52.91% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 4.29% chance to win ----going from 22.22% to 99.15% if they get 1st, or 66.56% if they get 2nd. MaSa has a 3.73% chance to win ----going from 4.29% to 46.6% if they get 1st, or 2.65% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.64% chance to win ----going from 4.87% to 52.33% if they get 1st, or 3.08% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 3.36% chance to win ----going from 6.15% to 66.75% if they get 1st, or 23.99% if they get 2nd. viOLet has a 3.36% chance to win ----going from 6.38% to 61.76% if they get 1st, or 17.98% if they get 2nd. Happy has a 2.44% chance to win ----going from 3.51% to 55.36% if they get 1st, or 2.22% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 2.37% chance to win ----going from 13.7% to 98.74% if they get 1st, or 57.2% if they get 2nd. StarDust has a 2.36% chance to win ----going from 2.52% to 40.01% if they get 1st, or 1.62% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.09% chance to win ----going from 2.56% to 49.46% if they get 1st, or 1.56% if they don't. Petraeus has a 2.04% chance to win ----going from 2.73% to 49.56% if they get 1st, or 1.75% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 1.71% chance to win ----going from 2.61% to 55.01% if they get 1st, or 1.7% if they don't. Sen has a 1.41% chance to win ----going from 1.71% to 46.52% if they get 1st, or 1.07% if they don't. TargA has a 1.39% chance to win ----going from 2.68% to 61.52% if they get 1st, or 1.85% if they don't. MaNa has a 1.22% chance to win ----going from 2.41% to 63.53% if they get 1st, or 1.66% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.11% chance to win ----going from 1.04% to 37.93% if they get 1st, or 0.63% if they don't. Harstem has a 1.04% chance to win ----going from 1.55% to 53.32% if they get 1st, or 1.01% if they don't. Kane has a 0.99% chance to win ----going from 2.65% to 75.47% if they get 1st, or 1.92% if they don't. TLO has a 0.89% chance to win ----going from 2.56% to 78.22% if they get 1st, or 1.88% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.85% chance to win ----going from 0.7% to 34.59% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't. FireCake has a 0.75% chance to win ----going from 1.43% to 62.57% if they get 1st, or 0.97% if they don't. Ret has a 0.72% chance to win ----going from 0.62% to 32.74% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. Serral has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 1.46% to 66.99% if they get 1st, or 1.02% if they don't. Has has a 0.61% chance to win ----going from 0.93% to 51.46% if they get 1st, or 0.62% if they don't. elfi has a 0.6% chance to win ----going from 0.54% to 36.65% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.55% chance to win ----going from 0.37% to 28.21% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.41% chance to win ----going from 0.24% to 24.62% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.4% chance to win ----going from 0.31% to 30.52% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. Zanster has a 0.38% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 33.61% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. Jim has a 0.38% chance to win ----going from 0.23% to 24.86% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.36% chance to win ----going from 0.39% to 41.04% if they get 1st, or 0.24% if they don't. TooDming has a 0.34% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 20.53% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. NXZ has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 17.9% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Beastyqt has a 0.13% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 21.92% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.13% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 19.85% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
(Sim ID #1410 vs Sim ID #1425) Biggest Winners Bunny went up by 8.23%, going from 22.49% to 30.71% Hydra went up by 6.94%, going from 79.43% to 86.37% MyuNgSiK went up by 5.33%, going from 3.74% to 9.08% Jaedong went up by 4.94%, going from 14.54% to 19.47% viOLet went up by 2.41%, going from 4.33% to 6.74% MaNa went up by 2.01%, going from 2.51% to 4.52% INnoVation went up by 1.57%, going from 44.69% to 46.26% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
MaSa went up by 1.53%, going from 2.97% to 4.5% FireCake went up by 1.37%, going from 1.5% to 2.87% Rain went up by 1.21%, going from 68.3% to 69.52% Trap went up by 1.14%, going from 41.17% to 42.31% Kane went up by 1.03%, going from 1.77% to 2.8% GunGFuBanDa went up by 1.01%, going from 1.1% to 2.1% StarDust went up by 0.97%, going from 1.6% to 2.56% MMA went up by 0.96%, going from 18.46% to 19.42% Bbyong went up by 0.9%, going from 21.17% to 22.07% TY went up by 0.87%, going from 16.51% to 17.38% GuMiho went up by 0.73%, going from 22.39% to 23.12% TLO went up by 0.67%, going from 2.04% to 2.71% soO went up by 0.62%, going from 19.74% to 20.37% Classic went up by 0.58%, going from 10.2% to 10.78% Snute went up by 0.55%, going from 20.64% to 21.19% Polt went up by 0.52%, going from 93.06% to 93.57% Bomber went up by 0.45%, going from 5.86% to 6.31% ForGG went up by 0.4%, going from 55.68% to 56.07% Lilbow went up by 0.37%, going from 8.46% to 8.82% Flash went up by 0.29%, going from 3.71% to 4.01% MarineLorD went up by 0.27%, going from 2.45% to 2.71% YoDa went up by 0.19%, going from 2.62% to 2.81% Leenock went up by 0.13%, going from 1.66% to 1.79% ByuN went up by 0.13%, going from 0.02% to 0.15% TargA went up by 0.12%, going from 2.73% to 2.85% Super went up by 0.12%, going from 1.2% to 1.32% Sacsri went up by 0.12%, going from 5.87% to 5.99% sOs went up by 0.12%, going from 24.11% to 24.23% Xenocider went up by 0.11%, going from 0.15% to 0.26% Elazer went up by 0.11%, going from 0.06% to 0.17%
Biggest Losers Dark went down by 16.98%, going from 55.3% to 38.33% ShoWTimE went down by 11.85%, going from 13.8% to 1.95% NaNiwa went down by 5.76%, going from 6.3% to 0.55% FanTaSy went down by 2.71%, going from 53.59% to 50.88% HeRoMaRinE went down by 2.47%, going from 2.62% to 0.15% Soulkey went down by 2.36%, going from 45.43% to 43.07% Stats went down by 1.68%, going from 49.05% to 47.37% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Zest went down by 1.3%, going from 96.16% to 94.86% HyuN went down by 0.69%, going from 20.65% to 19.96% Dear went down by 0.63%, going from 30.4% to 29.76% HuK went down by 0.54%, going from 0.58% to 0.03% ByuL went down by 0.44%, going from 20.81% to 20.37% Zanster went down by 0.31%, going from 0.33% to 0.01% RagnaroK went down by 0.31%, going from 0.4% to 0.09% Rogue went down by 0.31%, going from 49.11% to 48.8% TRUE went down by 0.31%, going from 1.84% to 1.53% Petraeus went down by 0.27%, going from 3.14% to 2.86% Terminator went down by 0.14%, going from 3.76% to 3.62% Symbol went down by 0.12%, going from 1.22% to 1.11% Solar went down by 0.11%, going from 4.27% to 4.16% puCK went down by 0.1%, going from 0.11% to 0.01%
CatZ vs Kelazhurin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. CatZ is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 20.84% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 79.16% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. Kelazhur is at 0.34% Blizzcon Chances. 79.16% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.43%. 20.84% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%.
MajOr vs Chamin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. MajOr is at 5.07% Blizzcon Chances. 81.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.15%. 18.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.39%. Cham is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 18.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 81.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
ForGG has a 86.07% chance to win ----going from 56.07% to 62.55% if they get 1st, or 16.04% if they don't. MajOr has a 81.35% chance to win ----going from 5.07% to 6.15% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 79.16% chance to win ----going from 0.34% to 0.43% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Petraeus has a 60.69% chance to win ----going from 2.86% to 4.62% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. TargA has a 57.36% chance to win ----going from 2.85% to 4.83% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Happy has a 56.9% chance to win ----going from 3.66% to 6.28% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Harstem has a 53.11% chance to win ----going from 1.56% to 2.85% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Serral has a 46.89% chance to win ----going from 1.56% to 3.17% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 43.1% chance to win ----going from 2.72% to 6.03% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. elfi has a 42.64% chance to win ----going from 0.54% to 1.23% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MorroW has a 39.31% chance to win ----going from 0.41% to 1.01% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. CatZ has a 20.84% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Cham has a 18.65% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. souL has a 13.93% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ForGG has a 15.93% chance to win ----going from 56.07% to 99.73% if they get 1st, or 83.82% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 12.85% chance to win ----going from 86.36% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.76% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 9.55% chance to win ----going from 93.58% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 6.74% chance to win ----going from 30.71% to 98.63% if they get 1st, or 64.53% if they get 2nd. Lilbow has a 5.74% chance to win ----going from 8.82% to 60.21% if they get 1st, or 19.36% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Jaedong has a 5.72% chance to win ----going from 19.47% to 88.08% if they get 1st, or 43.25% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 4.53% chance to win ----going from 21.19% to 97.39% if they get 1st, or 53.96% if they get 2nd. MaSa has a 3.89% chance to win ----going from 4.5% to 47.12% if they get 1st, or 2.78% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.69% chance to win ----going from 5.07% to 53.19% if they get 1st, or 15.22% if they get 2nd. viOLet has a 3.57% chance to win ----going from 6.74% to 62.49% if they get 1st, or 18.53% if they get 2nd. Happy has a 2.51% chance to win ----going from 3.66% to 56.37% if they get 1st, or 2.3% if they don't. StarDust has a 2.37% chance to win ----going from 2.57% to 40.35% if they get 1st, or 1.65% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.33% chance to win ----going from 4.52% to 64.35% if they get 1st, or 3.09% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 2.25% chance to win ----going from 2.1% to 38.34% if they get 1st, or 1.27% if they don't. Petraeus has a 2.1% chance to win ----going from 2.86% to 50.23% if they get 1st, or 1.85% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 1.76% chance to win ----going from 2.72% to 55.93% if they get 1st, or 1.76% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.55% chance to win ----going from 2.88% to 63.52% if they get 1st, or 1.92% if they don't. Sen has a 1.48% chance to win ----going from 1.83% to 47.35% if they get 1st, or 1.15% if they don't. TargA has a 1.48% chance to win ----going from 2.85% to 62.74% if they get 1st, or 1.95% if they don't. Kane has a 1.04% chance to win ----going from 2.8% to 76.54% if they get 1st, or 2.03% if they don't. Harstem has a 1.04% chance to win ----going from 1.56% to 53.98% if they get 1st, or 1.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.94% chance to win ----going from 2.71% to 79.2% if they get 1st, or 1.98% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.9% chance to win ----going from 0.76% to 35.25% if they get 1st, or 0.45% if they don't. Ret has a 0.74% chance to win ----going from 0.66% to 34.41% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't. Serral has a 0.71% chance to win ----going from 1.56% to 67.86% if they get 1st, or 1.08% if they don't. Has has a 0.61% chance to win ----going from 0.95% to 52.61% if they get 1st, or 0.63% if they don't. elfi has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0.54% to 36.8% if they get 1st, or 0.33% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.57% chance to win ----going from 0.39% to 29.04% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.34% to 31.1% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 25.81% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Jim has a 0.4% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 26.45% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.39% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 19.76% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.38% chance to win ----going from 0.41% to 41.48% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. TooDming has a 0.36% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 21.11% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. NXZ has a 0.34% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 18.88% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't.
PartinG, herO, Stats, and Dearin in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16. This is the Group of Death! Dear has the #4 Headband. PartinG is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances. 57.54% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 42.46% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.93%. Stats is at 47.42% Blizzcon Chances. 54.77% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 67.15%. 45.23% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.52%. herO is at 99.96% Blizzcon Chances. 43.48% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 56.52% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.94%. Dear is at 29.82% Blizzcon Chances. 44.21% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 51.29%. 55.79% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.81%.
Maru has a 16.35% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Zest has a 15.84% chance to win ----going from 94.85% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they get 2nd. PartinG has a 10.76% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Life has a 10.38% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Trap has a 8.05% chance to win ----going from 42.32% to 99.66% if they get 1st, or 81.82% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Stats has a 6.3% chance to win ----going from 47.42% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 91.61% if they get 2nd. herO has a 5.93% chance to win ----going from 99.96% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. HyuN has a 4.95% chance to win ----going from 20.04% to 90.26% if they get 1st, or 52.07% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.38% chance to win ----going from 81.28% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 4.12% chance to win ----going from 43.09% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 93.7% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 3.96% chance to win ----going from 29.82% to 99.53% if they get 1st, or 80.66% if they get 2nd. soO has a 3.79% chance to win ----going from 20.41% to 88.2% if they get 1st, or 54.61% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 2.84% chance to win ----going from 20.37% to 91.84% if they get 1st, or 60.26% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 2.35% chance to win ----going from 10.81% to 93.17% if they get 1st, or 46.58% if they get 2nd.
(Sim ID #1410 vs Sim ID #1445) Biggest Winners Stats went up by 18.88%, going from 49.05% to 67.93% Bunny went up by 7.84%, going from 22.49% to 30.33% Hydra went up by 6.73%, going from 79.43% to 86.16% MyuNgSiK went up by 5.32%, going from 3.74% to 9.06% Jaedong went up by 4.61%, going from 14.54% to 19.15% viOLet went up by 2.24%, going from 4.33% to 6.57% MaNa went up by 2.08%, going from 2.51% to 4.59% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Kane went up by 1.78%, going from 1.77% to 3.55% FireCake went up by 1.77%, going from 1.5% to 3.27% MaSa went up by 1.45%, going from 2.97% to 4.42% INnoVation went up by 1.43%, going from 44.69% to 46.12% Trap went up by 1.27%, going from 41.17% to 42.44% Rain went up by 1.14%, going from 68.3% to 69.45% GunGFuBanDa went up by 1.06%, going from 1.1% to 2.16% MMA went up by 0.92%, going from 18.46% to 19.38% MajOr went up by 0.91%, going from 5.16% to 6.07% StarDust went up by 0.89%, going from 1.6% to 2.49% Bbyong went up by 0.86%, going from 21.17% to 22.03% TY went up by 0.79%, going from 16.51% to 17.3% GuMiho went up by 0.67%, going from 22.39% to 23.07% Classic went up by 0.61%, going from 10.2% to 10.81% TLO went up by 0.6%, going from 2.04% to 2.64% soO went up by 0.49%, going from 19.74% to 20.24% Polt went up by 0.41%, going from 93.06% to 93.46% Bomber went up by 0.41%, going from 5.86% to 6.27% Flash went up by 0.29%, going from 3.71% to 4.01% MarineLorD went up by 0.19%, going from 2.45% to 2.64% Snute went up by 0.16%, going from 20.64% to 20.8% YoDa went up by 0.16%, going from 2.62% to 2.78% Lilbow went up by 0.14%, going from 8.46% to 8.6% ByuN went up by 0.12%, going from 0.02% to 0.14% Leenock went up by 0.12%, going from 1.66% to 1.78% Elazer went up by 0.12%, going from 0.06% to 0.18% Sacsri went up by 0.11%, going from 5.87% to 5.99% Super went up by 0.11%, going from 1.2% to 1.31% Kelazhur went up by 0.11%, going from 0.31% to 0.42% Xenocider went up by 0.1%, going from 0.15% to 0.25%
Biggest Losers Dear went down by 18.85%, going from 30.4% to 11.55% Dark went down by 17.08%, going from 55.3% to 38.22% ShoWTimE went down by 12.22%, going from 13.8% to 1.58% NaNiwa went down by 5.81%, going from 6.3% to 0.49% FanTaSy went down by 2.87%, going from 53.59% to 50.72% Soulkey went down by 2.54%, going from 45.43% to 42.89% HeRoMaRinE went down by 2.48%, going from 2.62% to 0.15% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Zest went down by 1.3%, going from 96.16% to 94.86% HyuN went down by 0.69%, going from 20.65% to 19.96% HuK went down by 0.54%, going from 0.58% to 0.03% ByuL went down by 0.48%, going from 20.81% to 20.32% Rogue went down by 0.37%, going from 49.11% to 48.73% Petraeus went down by 0.35%, going from 3.14% to 2.78% TRUE went down by 0.32%, going from 1.84% to 1.52% Zanster went down by 0.32%, going from 0.33% to 0.01% RagnaroK went down by 0.31%, going from 0.4% to 0.09% Dream went down by 0.17%, going from 81.36% to 81.19% Terminator went down by 0.16%, going from 3.76% to 3.6% Solar went down by 0.13%, going from 4.27% to 4.14% Symbol went down by 0.12%, going from 1.22% to 1.1% puCK went down by 0.1%, going from 0.11% to 0.01%
Happy vs MarineLorDin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Happy is at 3.57% Blizzcon Chances. 56.87% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.12%. 43.13% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.21%. MarineLorD is at 2.63% Blizzcon Chances. 43.13% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.84%. 56.87% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.2%.
souL vs ForGGin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. souL is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 13.93% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%. 86.07% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. ForGG is at 55.77% Blizzcon Chances. 86.07% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 62.21%. 13.93% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.97%.
elfi vs TargAin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. elfi is at 0.53% Blizzcon Chances. 42.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.21%. 57.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%. TargA is at 2.78% Blizzcon Chances. 57.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.71%. 42.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.19%.
MorroW vs Petraeusin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. MorroW is at 0.39% Blizzcon Chances. 39.27% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.97%. 60.73% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%. Petraeus is at 2.78% Blizzcon Chances. 60.73% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.49%. 39.27% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.15%.
Harstem vs Serralin in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Harstem is at 1.52% Blizzcon Chances. 53.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.78%. 46.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.1%. Serral is at 1.51% Blizzcon Chances. 46.86% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.07%. 53.14% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.13%.
ForGG has a 15.86% chance to win ----going from 55.77% to 99.72% if they get 1st, or 83.87% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 12.69% chance to win ----going from 86.16% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.78% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 9.43% chance to win ----going from 93.46% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 6.65% chance to win ----going from 30.33% to 98.56% if they get 1st, or 64.29% if they get 2nd. Lilbow has a 5.62% chance to win ----going from 8.6% to 59.8% if they get 1st, or 19.12% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Jaedong has a 5.58% chance to win ----going from 19.15% to 88.02% if they get 1st, or 43.13% if they get 2nd. MajOr has a 4.47% chance to win ----going from 6.07% to 53.01% if they get 1st, or 15.2% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 4.42% chance to win ----going from 20.8% to 97.27% if they get 1st, or 53.48% if they get 2nd. MaSa has a 3.83% chance to win ----going from 4.42% to 47.12% if they get 1st, or 2.71% if they don't. viOLet has a 3.49% chance to win ----going from 6.57% to 62.28% if they get 1st, or 18.47% if they get 2nd. Happy has a 2.47% chance to win ----going from 3.58% to 55.8% if they get 1st, or 2.26% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.37% chance to win ----going from 4.59% to 64.11% if they get 1st, or 3.15% if they don't. StarDust has a 2.31% chance to win ----going from 2.49% to 40.14% if they get 1st, or 1.6% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 2.28% chance to win ----going from 2.16% to 38.44% if they get 1st, or 1.32% if they don't. Petraeus has a 2.07% chance to win ----going from 2.78% to 49.83% if they get 1st, or 1.79% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.74% chance to win ----going from 3.27% to 64.66% if they get 1st, or 2.18% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 1.71% chance to win ----going from 2.64% to 55.13% if they get 1st, or 1.72% if they don't. Sen has a 1.45% chance to win ----going from 1.77% to 46.89% if they get 1st, or 1.1% if they don't. TargA has a 1.44% chance to win ----going from 2.79% to 62.25% if they get 1st, or 1.92% if they don't. Kane has a 1.29% chance to win ----going from 3.55% to 77.56% if they get 1st, or 2.58% if they don't. Harstem has a 1.01% chance to win ----going from 1.52% to 53.87% if they get 1st, or 0.99% if they don't. TLO has a 0.92% chance to win ----going from 2.64% to 78.94% if they get 1st, or 1.93% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.87% chance to win ----going from 0.73% to 35.06% if they get 1st, or 0.43% if they don't. Ret has a 0.72% chance to win ----going from 0.64% to 34.18% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't. Serral has a 0.7% chance to win ----going from 1.51% to 67.14% if they get 1st, or 1.05% if they don't. Has has a 0.6% chance to win ----going from 0.93% to 52.54% if they get 1st, or 0.62% if they don't. elfi has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0.53% to 36.82% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.55% chance to win ----going from 0.38% to 28.52% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.54% chance to win ----going from 0.42% to 30.92% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 25.71% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.4% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 20.4% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Jim has a 0.39% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 25.98% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.37% chance to win ----going from 0.39% to 41.03% if they get 1st, or 0.24% if they don't. TooDming has a 0.35% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 20.49% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. NXZ has a 0.34% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 19.33% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't.
Trust, Rogue, FanTaSy, and soOin in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32. This is the Group of Death! Trust is at 0.68% Blizzcon Chances. 35.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.57%. 64.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.18%. FanTaSy is at 50.48% Blizzcon Chances. 56.59% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 62.45%. 43.41% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.87%. Rogue is at 48.91% Blizzcon Chances. 57.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 61.07%. 42.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.45%. soO is at 20.13% Blizzcon Chances. 50.34% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.78%. 49.66% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.37%.
PartinG has a 16.41% chance to win ----going from 99.95% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.94% if they don't. Rain has a 11.19% chance to win ----going from 69.35% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 94.81% if they get 2nd. Life has a 9.01% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 7.32% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Maru has a 6.42% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
INnoVation has a 5.22% chance to win ----going from 45.97% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 89.03% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 4.37% chance to win ----going from 50.48% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 91.53% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 4.18% chance to win ----going from 22.86% to 93.52% if they get 1st, or 53.92% if they get 2nd. sOs has a 4.17% chance to win ----going from 24.11% to 96.65% if they get 1st, or 63.51% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 3.95% chance to win ----going from 48.91% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 92.78% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 3.21% chance to win ----going from 21.92% to 96.74% if they get 1st, or 62.24% if they get 2nd. soO has a 2.79% chance to win ----going from 20.13% to 83.86% if they get 1st, or 50.39% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 2.63% chance to win ----going from 20.13% to 86.02% if they get 1st, or 51.62% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 2.54% chance to win ----going from 9.01% to 77.27% if they get 1st, or 29.43% if they get 2nd. Sacsri has a 2.18% chance to win ----going from 5.93% to 64.24% if they get 1st, or 24.06% if they get 2nd. Flash has a 2.11% chance to win ----going from 3.94% to 50.27% if they get 1st, or 2.94% if they don't. MMA has a 2.03% chance to win ----going from 19.19% to 97.92% if they get 1st, or 65.22% if they get 2nd. TY has a 1.8% chance to win ----going from 17.18% to 98.77% if they get 1st, or 64.44% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 1.74% chance to win ----going from 80.89% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.91% if they get 2nd. Bomber has a 1.62% chance to win ----going from 6.19% to 75.41% if they get 1st, or 28.33% if they get 2nd. YoDa has a 0.95% chance to win ----going from 2.75% to 59.8% if they get 1st, or 2.21% if they don't. Curious has a 0.85% chance to win ----going from 1.42% to 44.42% if they get 1st, or 1.05% if they don't. Creator has a 0.8% chance to win ----going from 0.95% to 35.7% if they get 1st, or 0.67% if they don't. Patience has a 0.72% chance to win ----going from 2.19% to 62.02% if they get 1st, or 1.76% if they don't. Trust has a 0.63% chance to win ----going from 0.68% to 31.95% if they get 1st, or 0.48% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.59% chance to win ----going from 1.09% to 47.14% if they get 1st, or 0.82% if they don't. HerO has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 0.36% to 26.31% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. Panic has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 20.88% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't.
I finally completed the rewrite of the simulator program, and this is one of the benefits of that. Branched Simulations allow me to filter through the samples of the normal simulation only picking out certain scenarios and calculating all the normal stats for them. This way we can look at what the stats would be if for example Bunny wins Gfinity, or Maru beats Life in the KeSPA Cup Finals. Check the branches page to see all the branches off of the current simulation http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=branches
Be careful to note the low sample counts for extremely specific branches, such as the branch for "MC wins Gfinity over Jaedong, Snute gets 8th at Dreamhack Tours, and INnoVation wins GSL S3", with only 353 samples the statistics here are fairly inaccurate. 353 out of 25,000,000 means that specific scenario only has a 0.001412% chance of happening!
When you go to a branch page you will see the Simulation Info bar is red and the background is more pink to alert you that these are not the actual current stats. You will also see everything from the Top 25 Players to the Foreigner Hopes and Upcoming Matches are affected. All stats that do comparisons (the graphs, and the biggest winners/losers) will compare the branch against the base simulation that it is based on.
Let's look at how this branch affects the upcoming match preview for Bunny's ro16 group. Here are the actual numbers for it
Bunny, Patience, Heart, and MCin in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. Bunny is at 29.92% Blizzcon Chances. 55.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.05%. 44.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.98%. Heart is at 0.51% Blizzcon Chances. 46.85% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.62%. 53.15% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.42%. Patience is at 2.19% Blizzcon Chances. 54.22% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.5%. 45.78% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.83%. MC is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances. 43.13% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.25%. 56.88% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.13%.
And here are the numbers inside the branch which assumes Bunny will be the champion
Bunny, Patience, Heart, and MCin in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. Bunny is at 38.37% Blizzcon Chances. Heart is at 0.45% Blizzcon Chances. 24.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.53%. 75.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.42%. Patience is at 2.05% Blizzcon Chances. 43.82% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.38%. 56.18% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.8%. MC is at 0.16% Blizzcon Chances. 31.88% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.25%. 68.12% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.12%.
You can see everyone else's chances to win the group go down, since Bunny is assumed to take one of the advancing spots.
Now let's look at the Biggest Winners section to see how the assumptions of this branch help/hurt everyone Bunny went up by 8.44%, going from 29.92% to 38.37%
It helped Bunny by a significant amount. Here's the Biggest Losers Hydra went down by 1.06%, going from 85.99% to 84.93% sOs went down by 1.05%, going from 24.11% to 23.06% HyuN went down by 0.69%, going from 19.96% to 19.28% Jaedong went down by 0.39%, going from 18.66% to 18.28% Dark went down by 0.35%, going from 38.05% to 37.7% Rain went down by 0.29%, going from 69.35% to 69.05% Dream went down by 0.28%, going from 80.89% to 80.6% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
INnoVation went down by 0.28%, going from 45.97% to 45.69% Rogue went down by 0.27%, going from 48.91% to 48.65% Sacsri went down by 0.26%, going from 5.93% to 5.66% FanTaSy went down by 0.25%, going from 50.48% to 50.23% ForGG went down by 0.22%, going from 62.23% to 62.01% Stats went down by 0.19%, going from 69.53% to 69.34% Soulkey went down by 0.19%, going from 43.02% to 42.83% Solar went down by 0.15%, going from 4.08% to 3.93% Dear went down by 0.14%, going from 10.46% to 10.32% Patience went down by 0.14%, going from 2.19% to 2.05% Trap went down by 0.14%, going from 42.65% to 42.51% MMA went down by 0.13%, going from 19.19% to 19.06% Polt went down by 0.12%, going from 93.37% to 93.25% Snute went down by 0.12%, going from 20.66% to 20.55%
Here it mostly hurt the other participants of Gfinity.
And of course, Bunny winning helps the Foreigner Hope ratings. Chances of 1+ foreigners goes from 74.18% up to 77.5% Chances of 2+ foreigners goes from 27.76% up to 31.17%
Biggest Winners Rain went up by 0.8%, going from 69.35% to 70.14% Bbyong went up by 0.75%, going from 21.92% to 22.67% ForGG went up by 0.64%, going from 62.23% to 62.88% INnoVation went up by 0.61%, going from 45.97% to 46.58% GuMiho went up by 0.6%, going from 22.86% to 23.46% Snute went up by 0.57%, going from 20.66% to 21.24% sOs went up by 0.55%, going from 24.11% to 24.66% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Bunny went up by 0.53%, going from 29.92% to 30.45% TY went up by 0.48%, going from 17.18% to 17.66% MMA went up by 0.47%, going from 19.19% to 19.66% Trap went up by 0.44%, going from 42.65% to 43.09% soO went up by 0.41%, going from 20.13% to 20.54% Jaedong went up by 0.41%, going from 18.66% to 19.07% Hydra went up by 0.39%, going from 85.99% to 86.38% MajOr went up by 0.33%, going from 5.24% to 5.57% Lilbow went up by 0.33%, going from 8.19% to 8.52% Soulkey went up by 0.33%, going from 43.02% to 43.35% Polt went up by 0.32%, going from 93.37% to 93.69% Classic went up by 0.28%, going from 10.78% to 11.06% MarineLorD went up by 0.23%, going from 5.62% to 5.85% Zest went up by 0.22%, going from 94.87% to 95.09% MaNa went up by 0.21%, going from 4.39% to 4.6% Kane went up by 0.2%, going from 3.49% to 3.7% HyuN went up by 0.2%, going from 19.96% to 20.16% YoDa went up by 0.19%, going from 2.75% to 2.94% Bomber went up by 0.17%, going from 6.19% to 6.36% Solar went up by 0.17%, going from 4.08% to 4.25% MaSa went up by 0.14%, going from 4.2% to 4.34% Sen went up by 0.13%, going from 1.7% to 1.84% Petraeus went up by 0.13%, going from 4.46% to 4.6% Leenock went up by 0.12%, going from 1.77% to 1.89% ShoWTimE went up by 0.12%, going from 1.55% to 1.67% Sacsri went up by 0.11%, going from 5.93% to 6.04% TRUE went up by 0.11%, going from 1.54% to 1.65%
You can see it helped a lot of players. Since Maru and Life are already locked in for Blizzcon, them gaining points means other players aren't gaining those points, so this would be good for the players not in the tournament.
Biggest Losers Rogue went down by 3.61%, going from 48.91% to 45.3% ByuL went down by 3.27%, going from 20.13% to 16.86% Stats went down by 1.91%, going from 69.53% to 67.62% Dark went down by 1.56%, going from 38.05% to 36.49% Terminator went down by 1.1%, going from 3.61% to 2.5% FanTaSy went down by 0.61%, going from 50.48% to 49.87% Dream went down by 0.48%, going from 80.89% to 80.4% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Dear went down by 0.36%, going from 10.46% to 10.1% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.3%, going from 9.01% to 8.71%
These players are all in the KeSPA Cup and would obviously want to make it to the finals instead of Maru/Life.
Maru and Life making the finals also means that the point cutoffs go down slightly. Closest to 50% chances goes from 2975 WCS Points down to 2950. Closest to 99% chances goes from 3475 WCS Points down to 3450.
And them denying the other Korean players from making the finals ironically helps the Foreigner Hope ratings. Chances of 1+ foreigners goes from 74.18% up to 75.47%. Chances of 2+ foreigners goes from 27.76% up to 29.33%.
Branched simulations will help me do previews for big matches and tournaments, answer those crazy "what if" questions, and also possibly write FanFics!
HyuN, Jaedong, TRUE, and ShoWTimEin in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. HyuN is at 19.56% Blizzcon Chances. 51.98% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.27%. 48.02% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.71%. TRUE is at 1.48% Blizzcon Chances. 47.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.74%. 52.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.25%. Jaedong is at 18.14% Blizzcon Chances. 53.96% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.44%. 46.04% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.44%. ShoWTimE is at 1.49% Blizzcon Chances. 46.54% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.97%. 53.46% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.06%.
Bunny, Patience, Heart, and MCin in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. Bunny is at 29.26% Blizzcon Chances. 55.82% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.28%. 44.18% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.45%. Heart is at 0.49% Blizzcon Chances. 46.86% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.59%. 53.14% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.4%. Patience is at 2.09% Blizzcon Chances. 54.17% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.37%. 45.83% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.76%. MC is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances. 43.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.24%. 56.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.12%.
sOs, BlinG, uThermal, and Sacsriin in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. sOs is at 23.66% Blizzcon Chances. 66.54% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.73%. 33.46% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 19.53%. uThermal is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances. 40.36% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.07%. 59.64% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.04%. BlinG is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. 19.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0%. 80.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. Sacsri is at 5.67% Blizzcon Chances. 73.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.03%. 26.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.69%.
Solar, Hydra, San, and Symbolin in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. Solar is at 3.92% Blizzcon Chances. 55.26% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.7%. 44.74% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.94%. San is at 0.33% Blizzcon Chances. 44.19% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.4%. 55.81% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.27%. Hydra is at 85.47% Blizzcon Chances. 64.25% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 88.08%. 35.75% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 80.78%. Symbol is at 1.04% Blizzcon Chances. 36.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.26%. 63.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.91%.
Hydra has a 14.57% chance to win ----going from 85.47% to 91.55% if they get 1st, or 84.44% if they don't. sOs has a 12.11% chance to win ----going from 23.66% to 29.86% if they get 1st, or 22.8% if they don't. HyuN has a 9.07% chance to win ----going from 19.56% to 24.66% if they get 1st, or 19.05% if they don't. Sacsri has a 8.75% chance to win ----going from 5.67% to 7.68% if they get 1st, or 5.48% if they don't. Jaedong has a 8.04% chance to win ----going from 18.14% to 24.24% if they get 1st, or 17.61% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Bunny has a 7.77% chance to win ----going from 29.26% to 37.86% if they get 1st, or 28.54% if they don't. Solar has a 7.47% chance to win ----going from 3.92% to 6.24% if they get 1st, or 3.73% if they don't. TRUE has a 6.05% chance to win ----going from 1.48% to 2.39% if they get 1st, or 1.42% if they don't. Heart has a 4.78% chance to win ----going from 0.49% to 0.91% if they get 1st, or 0.47% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 4.76% chance to win ----going from 1.49% to 2.92% if they get 1st, or 1.42% if they don't. Patience has a 4.44% chance to win ----going from 2.09% to 3.29% if they get 1st, or 2.03% if they don't. San has a 4.27% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 0.58% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. MC has a 3.07% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 0.38% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. Symbol has a 2.55% chance to win ----going from 1.04% to 1.77% if they get 1st, or 1.02% if they don't. uThermal has a 2.04% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. BlinG has a 0.26% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
Hey guys, what do you think of this new idea I have for the match preview formatting?
HyuN, Jaedong, TRUE, and ShoWTimEin in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. HyuN is at 19.56% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.98% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.27%, or 17.71% if they lose. TRUE is at 1.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.52% chance to win this match. If they win this match their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.74%, or 1.25% if they lose. Jaedong is at 18.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.96% chance to win this match. If they win this match their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.44%, or 15.44% if they lose. ShoWTimE is at 1.49% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.54% chance to win this match. If they win this match their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.97%, or 1.06% if they lose.
HyuN, Jaedong, TRUE, and ShoWTimEin in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. HyuN is at 19.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.34%, or 17.72% if they lose. TRUE is at 1.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.74%, or 1.23% if they lose. Jaedong is at 18.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.93% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.47%, or 15.39% if they lose. ShoWTimE is at 1.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.96%, or 1.06% if they lose.
Bunny, Patience, Heart, and MCin in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. Bunny is at 29.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 32.32%, or 25.38% if they lose. Heart is at 0.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.59%, or 0.39% if they lose. Patience is at 2.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.39%, or 1.75% if they lose. MC is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.24%, or 0.12% if they lose.
sOs, BlinG, uThermal, and Sacsriin in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. sOs is at 23.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 25.68%, or 19.56% if they lose. uThermal is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.04% if they lose. BlinG is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 19.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Sacsri is at 5.65% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.31% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.01%, or 4.66% if they lose.
Solar, Hydra, San, and Symbolin in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. Solar is at 3.93% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.71%, or 2.96% if they lose. San is at 0.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.21% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.41%, or 0.27% if they lose. Hydra is at 85.5% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 88.1%, or 80.82% if they lose. Symbol is at 1.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.26%, or 0.9% if they lose.
Hydra has a 14.59% chance to win ----going from 85.5% to 91.48% if they get 1st, or 84.47% if they don't. sOs has a 12.12% chance to win ----going from 23.64% to 29.85% if they get 1st, or 22.78% if they don't. HyuN has a 9.03% chance to win ----going from 19.6% to 24.89% if they get 1st, or 19.08% if they don't. Sacsri has a 8.78% chance to win ----going from 5.65% to 7.65% if they get 1st, or 5.45% if they don't. Jaedong has a 8.02% chance to win ----going from 18.13% to 24.22% if they get 1st, or 17.6% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Bunny has a 7.74% chance to win ----going from 29.26% to 37.54% if they get 1st, or 28.56% if they don't. Solar has a 7.48% chance to win ----going from 3.93% to 6.16% if they get 1st, or 3.75% if they don't. TRUE has a 6.06% chance to win ----going from 1.47% to 2.38% if they get 1st, or 1.41% if they don't. Heart has a 4.77% chance to win ----going from 0.48% to 0.86% if they get 1st, or 0.47% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 4.76% chance to win ----going from 1.48% to 2.91% if they get 1st, or 1.41% if they don't. Patience has a 4.45% chance to win ----going from 2.1% to 3.34% if they get 1st, or 2.04% if they don't. San has a 4.29% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 0.61% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. MC has a 3.06% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 0.37% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't. Symbol has a 2.54% chance to win ----going from 1.03% to 1.77% if they get 1st, or 1.02% if they don't. uThermal has a 2.04% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. BlinG has a 0.26% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
(Sim ID #1485 vs #1493) Biggest Winners FanTaSy went up by 4.07%, going from 61.84% to 65.91% Bunny went up by 2.79%, going from 29.26% to 32.05% Jaedong went up by 2.53%, going from 18.14% to 20.66% Solar went up by 0.99%, going from 3.93% to 4.92% Sacsri went up by 0.54%, going from 5.65% to 6.19% sOs went up by 0.46%, going from 23.64% to 24.1% Patience went up by 0.38%, going from 2.1% to 2.48% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
TRUE went up by 0.35%, going from 1.47% to 1.82% San went up by 0.12%, going from 0.33% to 0.45%
Biggest Losers Hydra went down by 3.13%, going from 85.5% to 82.37% HyuN went down by 3.07%, going from 19.6% to 16.53% soO went down by 2.26%, going from 11.75% to 9.49% ShoWTimE went down by 0.38%, going from 1.48% to 1.1% Rain went down by 0.32%, going from 68.58% to 68.26% Symbol went down by 0.26%, going from 1.04% to 0.77% INnoVation went down by 0.26%, going from 45.08% to 44.81% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Dark went down by 0.26%, going from 37.3% to 37.04% Rogue went down by 0.25%, going from 60.68% to 60.43% MMA went down by 0.21%, going from 18.61% to 18.41% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.15%, going from 8.64% to 8.49% TY went down by 0.15%, going from 16.65% to 16.51% Stats went down by 0.13%, going from 68.93% to 68.8% Zest went down by 0.13%, going from 94.65% to 94.52% GuMiho went down by 0.12%, going from 22.88% to 22.76% Heart went down by 0.12%, going from 0.48% to 0.37% Snute went down by 0.1%, going from 20.1% to 19.99%
HyuN, Jaedong, TRUE, and ShoWTimEin in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. HyuN is at 16.53% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.95%, or 15.63% if they lose. TRUE is at 1.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.98%, or 1.42% if they lose. Jaedong is at 20.66% Blizzcon Chances, with a 79.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.75%, or 16.5% if they lose. ShoWTimE is at 1.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 21.94% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.73%, or 0.92% if they lose.
sOs, BlinG, uThermal, and Sacsriin in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. sOs is at 24.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 82.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 25.15%, or 19.14% if they lose. uThermal is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 23.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.04% if they lose. BlinG is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 10.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Sacsri is at 6.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 84.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.42%, or 4.98% if they lose.
Bunny, Patience, Heart, and MCin in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. Bunny is at 32.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 79.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 33.46%, or 26.45% if they lose. Heart is at 0.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 22.65% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.49%, or 0.33% if they lose. Patience is at 2.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.65%, or 1.96% if they lose. MC is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 22.14% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.19%, or 0.09% if they lose.
Solar, Hydra, San, and Symbolin in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. Solar is at 4.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 77.49% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.35%, or 3.44% if they lose. San is at 0.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.5%, or 0.33% if they lose. Hydra is at 82.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 87.1%, or 79.54% if they lose. Symbol is at 0.77% Blizzcon Chances, with a 14.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.02%, or 0.73% if they lose.
sOs has a 14.29% chance to win ----going from 24.1% to 29.36% if they get 1st, or 23.23% if they don't. Jaedong has a 11.81% chance to win ----going from 20.66% to 25.5% if they get 1st, or 20.02% if they don't. Bunny has a 11.48% chance to win ----going from 32.05% to 38.74% if they get 1st, or 31.18% if they don't. Solar has a 10.96% chance to win ----going from 4.92% to 6.99% if they get 1st, or 4.66% if they don't. Sacsri has a 10.05% chance to win ----going from 6.19% to 8.08% if they get 1st, or 5.98% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
TRUE has a 9.12% chance to win ----going from 1.82% to 2.69% if they get 1st, or 1.73% if they don't. Hydra has a 7.67% chance to win ----going from 82.37% to 90.83% if they get 1st, or 81.67% if they don't. San has a 6.75% chance to win ----going from 0.45% to 0.74% if they get 1st, or 0.43% if they don't. Patience has a 6.1% chance to win ----going from 2.48% to 3.69% if they get 1st, or 2.4% if they don't. HyuN has a 4.14% chance to win ----going from 16.53% to 22.47% if they get 1st, or 16.28% if they don't. Heart has a 2.17% chance to win ----going from 0.37% to 0.75% if they get 1st, or 0.36% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 1.99% chance to win ----going from 1.1% to 2.65% if they get 1st, or 1.07% if they don't. MC has a 1.32% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 0.35% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. uThermal has a 1.13% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.91% chance to win ----going from 0.77% to 1.47% if they get 1st, or 0.77% if they don't. BlinG has a 0.12% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
FanTaSy vs Zestin in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16. FanTaSy is at 65.49% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 73.1%, or 56.95% if they lose. Zest is at 94.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.49%, or 90.74% if they lose.
Losira vs Darkin in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16. Losira is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.19%, or 0.05% if they lose. Dark is at 36.68% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.64% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 27.01% if they lose.
Terminator vs Lifein in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16. Life has the #1 Headband. Terminator is at 3.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.88%, or 2.19% if they lose. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Dream vs Statsin in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16. Stats has the #4 Headband. Dream is at 80.27% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 88.75%, or 70.56% if they lose. Stats is at 68.52% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 77.12%, or 61.02% if they lose.
PartinG vs Soulkeyin in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16. PartinG is at 99.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.93% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.85% if they lose. Soulkey is at 42.51% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 51.11%, or 99.99% if they lose.
Dear vs herOin in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16. Dear is at 9.95% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.3%, or 6.75% if they lose. herO is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.19% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose.
Rogue vs MyuNgSiKin in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16. MyuNgSiK has the #2 Headband. Rogue is at 59.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.45% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 70.95%, or 47.79% if they lose. MyuNgSiK is at 8.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.09%, or 5.82% if they lose.
Maru vs ByuLin in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16. Maru has the #3 Headband. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.45% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. ByuL is at 19.51% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.6%, or 15.95% if they lose.
PartinG has a 11.79% chance to win ----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.93% if they don't. Life has a 10.61% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 8.94% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 8.61% chance to win ----going from 94.39% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 99.43% if they get 2nd. herO has a 8.51% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
FanTaSy has a 8.35% chance to win ----going from 65.49% to 86.07% if they get 1st, or 77.42% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 7.66% chance to win ----going from 36.68% to 62.44% if they get 1st, or 48.92% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 6.96% chance to win ----going from 68.52% to 89.42% if they get 1st, or 81.52% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 5.68% chance to win ----going from 59.94% to 87.21% if they get 1st, or 76.86% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.69% chance to win ----going from 80.27% to 97.99% if they get 1st, or 93.28% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 4.56% chance to win ----going from 9.95% to 25.64% if they get 1st, or 16.58% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 3.69% chance to win ----going from 42.51% to 69.81% if they get 1st, or 57.91% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 3.68% chance to win ----going from 19.51% to 35.13% if they get 1st, or 27.45% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 2.69% chance to win ----going from 8.33% to 21.41% if they get 1st, or 14.16% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 2.3% chance to win ----going from 3.37% to 12.55% if they get 1st, or 3.15% if they don't. Losira has a 1.28% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.63% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't.
(Sim ID #1485 vs #1539) Biggest Winners Bunny went up by 4.17%, going from 29.26% to 33.43% FanTaSy went up by 3.65%, going from 61.84% to 65.49% sOs went up by 3.14%, going from 23.64% to 26.77% Jaedong went up by 3.06%, going from 18.14% to 21.19% Solar went up by 1.7%, going from 3.93% to 5.63% Hydra went up by 1.59%, going from 85.5% to 87.08% Sacsri went up by 1.19%, going from 5.65% to 6.83% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
TRUE went up by 0.7%, going from 1.47% to 2.17% Patience went up by 0.66%, going from 2.1% to 2.75% Snute went up by 0.65%, going from 20.1% to 20.75% Soulkey went up by 0.17%, going from 42.35% to 42.52%
Biggest Losers HyuN went down by 7.29%, going from 19.6% to 12.32% soO went down by 2.3%, going from 11.75% to 9.45% Rain went down by 0.77%, going from 68.58% to 67.81% Rogue went down by 0.72%, going from 60.68% to 59.96% MMA went down by 0.66%, going from 18.61% to 17.96% ShoWTimE went down by 0.62%, going from 1.48% to 0.86% INnoVation went down by 0.61%, going from 45.08% to 44.47% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Dark went down by 0.61%, going from 37.3% to 36.69% GuMiho went down by 0.55%, going from 22.88% to 22.33% ForGG went down by 0.45%, going from 62.51% to 62.06% TY went down by 0.42%, going from 16.65% to 16.24% Stats went down by 0.39%, going from 68.93% to 68.53% Symbol went down by 0.38%, going from 1.04% to 0.66% Polt went down by 0.36%, going from 93.01% to 92.64% Bbyong went down by 0.31%, going from 21.23% to 20.91% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.3%, going from 8.64% to 8.34% Zest went down by 0.27%, going from 94.65% to 94.39% Lilbow went down by 0.24%, going from 7.87% to 7.64% Trap went down by 0.24%, going from 42.13% to 41.89% Dear went down by 0.23%, going from 10.18% to 9.95% Heart went down by 0.18%, going from 0.48% to 0.3% Bomber went down by 0.18%, going from 5.95% to 5.77% MajOr went down by 0.18%, going from 5.63% to 5.45% viOLet went down by 0.17%, going from 6.15% to 5.99% ByuL went down by 0.16%, going from 19.67% to 19.51% MaNa went down by 0.14%, going from 4.21% to 4.07% Flash went down by 0.13%, going from 3.78% to 3.65% Petraeus went down by 0.13%, going from 4.7% to 4.58% Terminator went down by 0.11%, going from 3.48% to 3.37% MaSa went down by 0.1%, going from 4.01% to 3.91%
Jaedong vs Patiencein in Gfinity Spring 2 quarterfinals. Jaedong is at 21.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 22.31%, or 19.95% if they lose. Patience is at 2.75% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.01%, or 2.53% if they lose.
sOs vs Hydrain in Gfinity Spring 2 quarterfinals. sOs is at 26.77% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.62% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 28.49%, or 25.15% if they lose. Hydra is at 87.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 88.68%, or 85.4% if they lose.
TRUE vs Bunnyin in Gfinity Spring 2 quarterfinals. TRUE is at 2.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.4%, or 1.93% if they lose. Bunny is at 33.43% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 35.17%, or 31.77% if they lose.
Solar vs Sacsriin in Gfinity Spring 2 quarterfinals. Solar is at 5.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.09%, or 5.11% if they lose. Sacsri is at 6.83% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.39%, or 6.34% if they lose.
Hydra has a 18.48% chance to win ----going from 87.08% to 90.94% if they get 1st, or 86.21% if they don't. sOs has a 15.47% chance to win ----going from 26.77% to 31.28% if they get 1st, or 25.95% if they don't. Jaedong has a 13.38% chance to win ----going from 21.19% to 25.06% if they get 1st, or 20.6% if they don't. Bunny has a 12.29% chance to win ----going from 33.43% to 38.72% if they get 1st, or 32.69% if they don't. Solar has a 12.24% chance to win ----going from 5.63% to 7.28% if they get 1st, or 5.4% if they don't. TRUE has a 11.47% chance to win ----going from 2.17% to 2.96% if they get 1st, or 2.07% if they don't. Sacsri has a 9.93% chance to win ----going from 6.83% to 8.7% if they get 1st, or 6.63% if they don't. Patience has a 6.74% chance to win ----going from 2.75% to 3.77% if they get 1st, or 2.68% if they don't.
Currently your site seems completely broken, I would say:
Losira is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0.19% if they lose. VS Dark is at 36.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 42.72% if they lose.
So Losira improves his chances by losing, but they worsen if he wins? And no matter, whether Dark wins or loses, his chances after the game will be certainly better then before? Actually, he is now basically qualified, as he won the game? I doubt it.
And not just this match, but all matches look broken.
On May 03 2015 22:45 mahrgell wrote: Currently your site seems completely broken, I would say:
Losira is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0.19% if they lose. VS Dark is at 36.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 42.72% if they lose.
So Losira improves his chances by losing, but they worsen if he wins? And no matter, whether Dark wins or loses, his chances after the game will be certainly better then before? Actually, he is now basically qualified, as he won the game? I doubt it.
And not just this match, but all matches look broken.
That's what I get for messing with things while tired, thanks it's fixed now
So I'm working on the fanfic, just be warned it's gonna be terrible cause I'm not a good writer lol. edit: sorry guys, taking a long time to find the right balance between the stats and the story, having to rerun the stats a bunch of times for tweaking...
(Sim ID #1539 vs #1573) Biggest Winners Soulkey went up by 13.77%, going from 42.52% to 56.28% FanTaSy went up by 11.3%, going from 65.49% to 76.79% Dream went up by 7.79%, going from 80.26% to 88.05% Rogue went up by 6.22%, going from 59.96% to 66.18% Rain went up by 5.73%, going from 67.81% to 73.54% Dark went up by 5.63%, going from 36.69% to 42.32% Solar went up by 1.43%, going from 5.63% to 7.06% ShoWTimE went up by 0.14%, going from 0.86% to 1.01%
Biggest Losers Stats went down by 10.85%, going from 68.53% to 57.68% Bunny went down by 9.04%, going from 33.43% to 24.39% sOs went down by 7.21%, going from 26.77% to 19.57% Dear went down by 4.24%, going from 9.95% to 5.7% Zest went down by 4.24%, going from 94.39% to 90.15% Jaedong went down by 3.65%, going from 21.19% to 17.54% Sacsri went down by 2.5%, going from 6.83% to 4.33% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Terminator went down by 1.29%, going from 3.37% to 2.07% Patience went down by 1.22%, going from 2.75% to 1.53% INnoVation went down by 0.72%, going from 44.47% to 43.75% Trap went down by 0.72%, going from 41.89% to 41.17% GuMiho went down by 0.49%, going from 22.33% to 21.83% Bbyong went down by 0.49%, going from 20.91% to 20.42% Classic went down by 0.45%, going from 10.49% to 10.04% TY went down by 0.44%, going from 16.24% to 15.8% ByuL went down by 0.43%, going from 19.51% to 19.08% HyuN went down by 0.39%, going from 12.32% to 11.92% Polt went down by 0.34%, going from 92.64% to 92.31% ForGG went down by 0.32%, going from 62.06% to 61.74% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.26%, going from 8.34% to 8.08% soO went down by 0.25%, going from 9.45% to 9.2% MMA went down by 0.25%, going from 17.96% to 17.71% Kane went down by 0.23%, going from 3.26% to 3.03% Bomber went down by 0.19%, going from 5.77% to 5.58% Lilbow went down by 0.17%, going from 7.64% to 7.47% Flash went down by 0.13%, going from 3.65% to 3.52% MaNa went down by 0.12%, going from 4.07% to 3.95% Snute went down by 0.12%, going from 20.75% to 20.64%
Rogue vs MyuNgSiKin in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16. MyuNgSiK has the #2 Headband. Rogue is at 66.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.45% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 77.11%, or 54.12% if they lose. MyuNgSiK is at 8.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 10.81%, or 5.61% if they lose.
Maru vs ByuLin in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16. Maru has the #3 Headband. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. ByuL is at 19.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.07%, or 15.61% if they lose.
Dark vs FanTaSyin in KeSPA Cup 1 quarterfinals. Dark is at 42.32% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 49.01%, or 36.44% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 76.79% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.19% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 81.47%, or 71.47% if they lose.
Dream vs Lifein in KeSPA Cup 1 quarterfinals. Dream has the #4 Headband. Life has the #1 Headband. Dream is at 88.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.48% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 91.66%, or 85.88% if they lose. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Soulkey vs herOin in KeSPA Cup 1 quarterfinals. Soulkey is at 56.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.49% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 62.81%, or 52.37% if they lose. herO is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose.
herO has a 22.07% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Life has a 18.32% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 15.62% chance to win ----going from 76.79% to 88.83% if they get 1st, or 81.12% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 11.76% chance to win ----going from 42.32% to 62.15% if they get 1st, or 48.69% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 8.3% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Soulkey has a 6.99% chance to win ----going from 56.28% to 75.34% if they get 1st, or 63.69% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 5.72% chance to win ----going from 88.05% to 97.86% if they get 1st, or 93.29% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 5.33% chance to win ----going from 66.18% to 91.78% if they get 1st, or 82.83% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 3.18% chance to win ----going from 19.08% to 34.35% if they get 1st, or 26.86% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 2.7% chance to win ----going from 8.08% to 21.03% if they get 1st, or 13.9% if they get 2nd.
Jens "Snute" Aasgaard and the Road to Blizzcon 2015 (a fan fiction piece)
On the flight to Tours, France for Dreamhack, Snute was thinking about how he needed to do well here to qualify for Blizzcon. "Snute has a 2.78% chance to win, going from 20.65% to 43.6% if they get 1st, or 32.86% if they get 2nd." Snute had memorized this stat from Die4Ever's WCS Predictor. (Vote for Die4Ever here when the next round starts to get a fanfic visual novel game!)
But there were many other strong players going to stand in his way such as Parting, MMA, ForGG, and Jaedong. "Heh, '2.78% chance to win'... maybe if I still had the old swarmhosts" thinks Snute, "If I only get 8th place then I go down to 24.28% Blizzcon Chances."
When he gets to the venue he easily wins his ro64 group. In the round of 32 he faces Lilbow and wins 2-1. This puts Snute at 25.49% Blizzcon Chances, now with a 7.62% chance to win the tournament. But there was a problem with that theory: he had to face Jaedong. The one who denied him Blizzcon last year. Snute has only beaten Jaedong once and lost to him 6 times, this would be a tough challenge. And if he loses here then he gets 16th place and his Blizzcon Chances fall to 20.8%.
Smix gathers up Snute and Jaedong to get them ready for the pregame interview, it's time. Snute and Jaedong are standing behind the curtain, waiting to be called out to the stage. Jaedong can see how nervous Snute is and he senses weakness. They get called out to stage, do a quick interview, Snute says he has great respect for Jaedong, and Jaedong says he's going to destroy Snute. The crowd cheers for the two fan favorites as they shake hands and enter their booths. Snute thinks "this is only a best of 3, no room for mistakes", as Jaedong is thinking something I couldn't understand because he thinks in Korean.
First game starts. Jaedong opens pool first to capitalize on Snute's nerves while Snute opens hatch first. Jaedong goes in early with zerglings and banelings soon to follow. Snute loses his queens and a bunch of drones and is forced to gg.
Game 2, both open hatch first and go into a roach vs roach macro game. Jaedong is thinking about Snute's nerves, so he focuses on burrow movement roach harass but eventually loses as Snute builds hydras and static defense. The score is now 1-1.
Game 3, Jaedong goes for the 6 pool, Snute goes hatch first as in the previous game. Jaedong's micro is too much and Snute loses the match.
Snute feels regret thinking about how he should've 10-pooled while he checks his stats on WCS Predictor, he sees that he's now at 20.7% Blizzcon Chances. He's going to have to 10 pool more or rekindle the passionhosts if he wants to make it to Blizzcon.
In the WCS S2 round of 32 he is put in a group withs Has, Petraeus, and Xenocider. He advances 1st place in his group, with Xenocider as 2nd, now putting Snute at 28.27% Blizzcon Chances. In the round of 16 Jim, MarineLord, and ForGG. First match he loses 0-2 to ForGG with the typical ForGG hellions. Snute beats Jim in the loser's match 2-0 with a strong macro game and good defense against a cannon rush.
Then he faces MarineLord in the final match. First map Snute loses to mech unable to figure out the new swarmhosts. Game two Snute wins ling/bling/muta. In game 3 MarineLord actually goes for proxy BCs. And for some reason it works and beats Snute, putting him at a measly 13.92% Blizzcon Chances. Snute says to Bunny "What a stupid build, I can't believe I lost to that!" Bunny replies "If it's stupid and it works, it ain't stupid." as he contemplates using the build in his own matches.
Between his loss in season 2 and the start of season 3 he picks up 500 more WCS Points from various tournaments while trying to get back to his peak skill.
Then one night, Snute is laying in bed thinking about a game he lost on ladder to some stupid build, and he remembers what Bunny had said, and he has a revelation. He figured out how to turn the new apathyhosts back into passionhosts!
For the WCS Challenger picks, Snute gets a late pick due to being a lower seed, so he picks Naniwa. Snute beats Naniwa 3-0 making his new passionhost style look unbeatable.
At DreamHack Stockholm, Snute easily wins his ro64 group and ro32 match, it was so one-sided it's not even worth mentioning.
He continues to beat Showtime in the ro16, MC in the quarterfinals, all with his new swarmhost style, he's feeling confident. Now that he's made it to the semifinals he checks WCS Predictor again "Snute has a 32.27% chance to win, going from 36.68% to 46.26% if they get 1st, or 33.36% if they don't." Snute knows that he already made great gains but he still needs this win.
Now Snute vs MMA in the semifinals. Snute feels no more jitters, he believes in his swarmhosts again. Strong play from both players but Snute edges out the win with great defense against MMA's drops for a 3-2 victory.
Now all that's left is Snute and Curious to fight in a best of 5 over the trophy, the money, the glory, and 250 more WCS Points to add onto Snute's current 2375 points. Curious and Snute both lean towards heavy macro as many swarmhosts and broodlords are lost on both sides. The score is now 2-2. Last game, Curious tries to take a page out of Jaedong's book from when he previously beat Snute and goes for a 6 pool, but Snute can feel it this time and opens with a 10 pool for an easy win. The crowd goes wild as the new foreigner hope is crowned, but Snute's mission is not done yet.
Now he's at 46.26% Blizzcon Chances, with 2625 WCS Points. That's not enough points, he's going to need at least 3000 points by the end of the year to have a good chance to make Blizzcon, a top 16 finish in WCS S3 at least.
WCS Premier League Season 3 begins, Snute gets drawn into a ro32 group with Kane, FireCake, and his teammate Mana, the typical Liquid team-kill. Snute beats Mana and Kane to advance in 1st place. Mana beats FireCake 2-1 in a 3 hour best of 3, and then beats Kane to advance in 2nd place.
In the round of 16 Snute is grouped with Stardust, Jaedong, and Xigua, facing Jaedong first match. Snute is no longer afraid, he says he will crush Jaedong. And so he does, winning 2-0 in the first match. He faces Stardust in the winner's match but with Stardust as strong as ever Snute loses 1-2. In the final match it is once again Snute vs Jaedong, Snute wins the first game with macro play, Jaedong wins game 2 with a weird gold base build. In game 3 Jaedong thinks about going 6 pool but realizes Snute will probably expect it so he thinks a 10 pool will be safer, but they both open 10 pool. The micro is furious but Snute comes out on top. Snute is now at 3225 WCS Points, putting him at 84.86% AFK Chances and 95.41% Blizzcon Chances.
In the quarterfinals he had to face Polt. Snute took a 2-0 lead over Polt, but as always Polt was able to use his massive intellect to adapt to win from behind in 3 exciting games in a row and Polt went on to win the tournament. But it's not so bad for Snute, Polt winning the tournament denied points for other players and secured Snute's #12 seed for Blizzcon where he would face Rain. Snute would train hard as the sole foreigner hope for Blizzcon, where just winning a single match would be a great achievement.
#1 - Life with 8,000 points #2 - Maru with 6,775 points #3 - PartinG with 6,400 points #4 - herO with 5,750 points #5 - Rain with 5,500 points #6 - Polt with 5,225 points #7 - INnoVation with 4,775 points #8 - Stats with 4,300 points #9 - Zest with 4,175 points #10 - Hydra with 3,875 points #11 - FanTaSy with 3,300 points #12 - Snute with 3,225 points #13 - Rogue with 3,125 points #14 - Bbyong with 2,925 points #15 - MMA with 2,775 points #16 - ByuL with 2,750 points #17 - Patience with 2,725 points #18 - Kane with 2,700 points #19 - HyuN with 2,650 points #20 - Dream with 2,650 points #21 - Bunny with 2,650 points #22 - Solar with 2,575 points #23 - ForGG with 2,525 points #24 - GuMiho with 2,475 points #25 - Dark with 2,425 points
Note that this list does not include every event for all tournaments without confirmed player listings. Also keep in mind these were taken from just a single sample as a reference for me, they are a bit random looking in some places.
Rogue won upcoming match in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16 MyuNgSiK lost upcoming match in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16 Maru won upcoming match in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16 ByuL lost upcoming match in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16
Panic lost upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 Bomber won upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 Creator won upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 INnoVation lost upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 ByuL won upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 Maru won upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 TY lost upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 HerO lost upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 Bbyong won upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 Symbol won upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 YoDa lost upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 Life lost upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 Patience won upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 Flash won upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 herO lost upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 Dream lost upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 Sacsri won upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 sOs lost upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 MMA won upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32 Curious lost upcoming match in Code S 2 round of 32
HyuN won upcoming match in SSL S2 round of 16 Classic lost upcoming match in SSL S2 round of 16 Soulkey won upcoming match in SSL S2 round of 16 Dream lost upcoming match in SSL S2 round of 16 ByuL won upcoming match in SSL S2 round of 16 Life won upcoming match in SSL S2 round of 16 Trap lost upcoming match in SSL S2 round of 16 soO lost upcoming match in SSL S2 round of 16
Rogue got 16 place in Code S 2 Bbyong got 16 place in Code S 2 ByuL got 2 place in Code S 2 Flash got 8 place in Code S 2 PartinG got 8 place in Code S 2 GuMiho got 8 place in Code S 2 MyuNgSiK got 8 place in Code S 2 Maru got 16 place in Code S 2 MMA got 16 place in Code S 2 Symbol got 16 place in Code S 2 Sacsri got 16 place in Code S 2 Creator got 4 place in Code S 2 Bomber got 16 place in Code S 2 FanTaSy got 16 place in Code S 2 Patience got 4 place in Code S 2 Rain got 1 place in Code S 2
Jaedong got 32 place in WCS Premier 2 Mystery got 32 place in WCS Premier 2 Elazer got 32 place in WCS Premier 2 Has got 32 place in WCS Premier 2 MaSa got 4 place in WCS Premier 2 NXZ got 32 place in WCS Premier 2 TLO got 8 place in WCS Premier 2 Kelazhur got 32 place in WCS Premier 2 Petraeus got 32 place in WCS Premier 2 FireCake got 32 place in WCS Premier 2 Lilbow got 2 place in WCS Premier 2 Bunny got 32 place in WCS Premier 2 StarDust got 32 place in WCS Premier 2 Xenocider got 16 place in WCS Premier 2 Kane got 1 place in WCS Premier 2 TooDming got 32 place in WCS Premier 2 Snute got 16 place in WCS Premier 2 Jim got 16 place in WCS Premier 2 iaguz got 16 place in WCS Premier 2 MarineLorD got 8 place in WCS Premier 2 elfi got 16 place in WCS Premier 2 MaNa got 32 place in WCS Premier 2 Harstem got 16 place in WCS Premier 2 Ret got 16 place in WCS Premier 2 Sen got 32 place in WCS Premier 2 Polt got 32 place in WCS Premier 2 iAsonu got 32 place in WCS Premier 2 viOLet got 32 place in WCS Premier 2 Hydra got 8 place in WCS Premier 2 ForGG got 8 place in WCS Premier 2 MajOr got 16 place in WCS Premier 2 GunGFuBanDa got 4 place in WCS Premier 2
Life got 1 place in SSL S2 Stats got 4 place in SSL S2 Maru got 8 place in SSL S2 Zest got 2 place in SSL S2 ByuL got 8 place in SSL S2 Soulkey got 8 place in SSL S2 HyuN got 8 place in SSL S2 herO got 4 place in SSL S2
Shine got 1 place in Code B 3 Impact got 1 place in Code B 3 Dear got 1 place in Code B 3 ParalyzE got 1 place in Code B 3 Hush got 1 place in Code B 3 TRUE got 1 place in Code B 3 Terminator got 1 place in Code B 3 horror got 1 place in Code B 3 Pet got 1 place in Code B 3 Arthur got 1 place in Code B 3 Trap got 1 place in Code B 3 aLive got 1 place in Code B 3 Revival got 1 place in Code B 3 Alicia got 1 place in Code B 3 San got 1 place in Code B 3 ByuN got 1 place in Code B 3 Soulkey got 1 place in Code B 3 Ryung got 1 place in Code B 3 SuperNova got 1 place in Code B 3 MarineKing got 1 place in Code B 3 Leenock got 1 place in Code B 3 Pigbaby got 1 place in Code B 3 Armani got 1 place in Code B 3 Cure got 1 place in Code B 3
ParalyzE got 1 place in Code A 3 Life got 1 place in Code A 3 Bomber got 1 place in Code A 3 ByuN got 1 place in Code A 3 Terminator got 1 place in Code A 3 Maru got 1 place in Code A 3 Armani got 1 place in Code A 3 Arthur got 1 place in Code A 3 San got 1 place in Code A 3 YoDa got 1 place in Code A 3 soO got 1 place in Code A 3 Sacsri got 1 place in Code A 3 Pet got 1 place in Code A 3 TY got 1 place in Code A 3 TRUE got 1 place in Code A 3 Solar got 1 place in Code A 3 Bbyong got 1 place in Code A 3 Dark got 1 place in Code A 3 sOs got 1 place in Code A 3 Leenock got 1 place in Code A 3 Impact got 1 place in Code A 3 Cure got 1 place in Code A 3 Dear got 1 place in Code A 3 Sorry got 1 place in Code A 3
Creator got 32 place in Code S 3 San got 16 place in Code S 3 Life got 16 place in Code S 3 Leenock got 16 place in Code S 3 Patience got 4 place in Code S 3 Pet got 32 place in Code S 3 Sorry got 32 place in Code S 3 MyuNgSiK got 32 place in Code S 3 Cure got 32 place in Code S 3 Impact got 32 place in Code S 3 Dear got 32 place in Code S 3 Armani got 8 place in Code S 3 Arthur got 8 place in Code S 3 ParalyzE got 32 place in Code S 3 ByuL got 8 place in Code S 3 Rain got 8 place in Code S 3 Solar got 2 place in Code S 3 TRUE got 32 place in Code S 3 Terminator got 32 place in Code S 3 Sacsri got 4 place in Code S 3 PartinG got 1 place in Code S 3 Bbyong got 16 place in Code S 3 soO got 16 place in Code S 3 Dark got 32 place in Code S 3 TY got 32 place in Code S 3 YoDa got 32 place in Code S 3 Maru got 32 place in Code S 3 ByuN got 32 place in Code S 3 sOs got 16 place in Code S 3 Bomber got 32 place in Code S 3 GuMiho got 16 place in Code S 3 Flash got 16 place in Code S 3
Intense got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 NaNiwa got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 玩瘋 got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 Slam got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 InZaNe got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 WArchief got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 NeutronX got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 BLord got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 DnS got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 Minato got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 BluEiCEs got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 EnDerr got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 Shana got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 KoNtiNuE got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 desRow got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 DaNa got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 Tefel got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 Zanster got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 XiGua got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 Boumki got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 King got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 Araneae got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 neeb got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 SaroVati got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 shogun got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 TerraN got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 Courage got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 HaNfy got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 denver got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 Six got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 Arium got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3 PtitDrogo got 1 place in WCS Qualifiers 3
StarDust got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 MajOr got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 Has got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 iaguz got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 Kelazhur got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 TLO got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 Petraeus got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 XiGua got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 Sen got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 GunGFuBanDa got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 TooDming got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 Minato got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 Hydra got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 elfi got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 Elazer got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 NaNiwa got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 KoNtiNuE got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 Jaedong got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 Kane got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 MaNa got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 MarineLorD got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 Bunny got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 Jim got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 Harstem got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 Snute got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 ForGG got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 Polt got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 MaSa got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 NXZ got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 viOLet got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 FireCake got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3 Mystery got 1 place in WCS Challenger 3
Minato got 32 place in WCS Premier 3 Elazer got 32 place in WCS Premier 3 viOLet got 8 place in WCS Premier 3 NXZ got 32 place in WCS Premier 3 GunGFuBanDa got 32 place in WCS Premier 3 Kelazhur got 32 place in WCS Premier 3 Kane got 32 place in WCS Premier 3 MarineLorD got 32 place in WCS Premier 3 Sen got 2 place in WCS Premier 3 KoNtiNuE got 32 place in WCS Premier 3 Hydra got 32 place in WCS Premier 3 MaNa got 16 place in WCS Premier 3 iaguz got 32 place in WCS Premier 3 MajOr got 32 place in WCS Premier 3 NaNiwa got 16 place in WCS Premier 3 TooDming got 32 place in WCS Premier 3 elfi got 32 place in WCS Premier 3 ForGG got 32 place in WCS Premier 3 Has got 16 place in WCS Premier 3 Mystery got 32 place in WCS Premier 3 Bunny got 16 place in WCS Premier 3 TLO got 32 place in WCS Premier 3 Petraeus got 4 place in WCS Premier 3 MaSa got 8 place in WCS Premier 3 Polt got 1 place in WCS Premier 3 FireCake got 16 place in WCS Premier 3 Jim got 16 place in WCS Premier 3 Harstem got 8 place in WCS Premier 3 Snute got 8 place in WCS Premier 3 StarDust got 4 place in WCS Premier 3 XiGua got 16 place in WCS Premier 3 Jaedong got 16 place in WCS Premier 3
INnoVation got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers MaNa got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers Hydra got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers Heart got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers Kas got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers First got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers TRUE got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers ForGG got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers Trap got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers Bbyong got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers Losira got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers MMA got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers soO got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers TY got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers mOOnGLaDe got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers Symbol got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers Sora got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers Bomber got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers Solar got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers Impact got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers Rain got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers Super got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers Boombox got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers Revival got 1 place in SSL S3 Qualifiers
Zest got 16 place in SSL S3 Rain got 4 place in SSL S3 MaNa got 8 place in SSL S3 MMA got 12 place in SSL S3 Bomber got 16 place in SSL S3 Life got 16 place in SSL S3 Hydra got 12 place in SSL S3 Stats got 1 place in SSL S3 TY got 8 place in SSL S3 INnoVation got 12 place in SSL S3 Maru got 4 place in SSL S3 Super got 8 place in SSL S3 Bbyong got 8 place in SSL S3 herO got 2 place in SSL S3 soO got 12 place in SSL S3 Kas got 16 place in SSL S3
HuK got 16 place in DreamHack Tours ShoWTimE got 16 place in DreamHack Tours MarineLorD got 16 place in DreamHack Tours Jaedong got 8 place in DreamHack Tours HyuN got 2 place in DreamHack Tours Petraeus got 8 place in DreamHack Tours Harstem got 8 place in DreamHack Tours FanTaSy got 1 place in DreamHack Tours Jack got 16 place in DreamHack Tours WidowMaker got 16 place in DreamHack Tours LittlePanda got 16 place in DreamHack Tours Hydra got 16 place in DreamHack Tours Snute got 16 place in DreamHack Tours MaNa got 8 place in DreamHack Tours Rain got 4 place in DreamHack Tours Polt got 4 place in DreamHack Tours
Bbyong got 2 place in DreamHack Valencia Ret got 1 place in DreamHack Valencia
Shine got 16 place in DreamHack Stockholm ShoWTimE got 16 place in DreamHack Stockholm MorroW got 16 place in DreamHack Stockholm Panic got 8 place in DreamHack Stockholm Rain got 16 place in DreamHack Stockholm Snute got 1 place in DreamHack Stockholm Armax got 16 place in DreamHack Stockholm 락지 got 4 place in DreamHack Stockholm MC got 8 place in DreamHack Stockholm Flash got 8 place in DreamHack Stockholm MMA got 4 place in DreamHack Stockholm Curious got 2 place in DreamHack Stockholm MarineLorD got 16 place in DreamHack Stockholm Armani got 8 place in DreamHack Stockholm Revival got 16 place in DreamHack Stockholm Bbyong got 16 place in DreamHack Stockholm
Dark got 1 place in KeSPA Cup 1 Rogue got 2 place in KeSPA Cup 1
Maru got 1 place in Gfinity Summer 1 Patience got 1 place in Gfinity Summer 2
MarineLorD got 1 place in Placeholder #1 DeParture got 1 place in Placeholder #2 Heart got 1 place in Placeholder #3 INnoVation got 1 place in Placeholder #4 Trust got 1 place in Placeholder #5 HyuN got 1 place in Placeholder #6 Ryung got 1 place in Placeholder #7 Life got 1 place in Placeholder #8 MacSed got 1 place in Placeholder #9 TargA got 1 place in Placeholder #10 PartinG got 1 place in Placeholder #11 HasuObs got 1 place in Placeholder #12 KrasS got 1 place in Placeholder #13 GuMiho got 1 place in Placeholder #14 Dear got 1 place in Placeholder #15 FireCake got 1 place in Placeholder #16 MaSa got 1 place in Placeholder #17 ForGG got 1 place in Placeholder #18 ByuN got 1 place in Placeholder #19 INnoVation got 1 place in Placeholder #20
Wow this ended up longer than I thought it would lol. The stats got a bit tough to work out towards the end with the increasing specificity but they're decently accurate. Look out for the #1 Headband match tonight, Life vs Dream! And Maru vs Byul is a match for the #3 Headband!
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WCS Ro32 Groups Set With Group of Death Analysis Monday, May 04 5:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #1575)
Biggest Winners and Losers from WCS group selections (this also caught some Aliuglac rating updates from KeSPA Cup) (Sim ID #1574 vs Sim ID #1575) (from Monday, May 04 2:13pm GMT (GMT+00:00) to Monday, May 04 4:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00)) Biggest Winners ByuL went up by 1.77%, going from 27.26% to 29.04% Dark went up by 0.78%, going from 48.67% to 49.45% Soulkey went up by 0.63%, going from 52.53% to 53.16% MarineLorD went up by 0.5%, going from 5.75% to 6.25% Harstem went up by 0.4%, going from 2.64% to 3.04% MaNa went up by 0.37%, going from 4.03% to 4.4% HyuN went up by 0.35%, going from 12.11% to 12.46% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
viOLet went up by 0.34%, going from 6.08% to 6.42% Rogue went up by 0.29%, going from 53.47% to 53.76% MajOr went up by 0.24%, going from 5.48% to 5.72% INnoVation went up by 0.2%, going from 44.1% to 44.3% GunGFuBanDa went up by 0.19%, going from 1.89% to 2.09% Kane went up by 0.19%, going from 3.08% to 3.27% StarDust went up by 0.17%, going from 2.16% to 2.33% soO went up by 0.15%, going from 9.35% to 9.49% Jaedong went up by 0.14%, going from 17.72% to 17.87% GuMiho went up by 0.14%, going from 22.07% to 22.2% Polt went up by 0.12%, going from 92.54% to 92.65% Ret went up by 0.11%, going from 0.59% to 0.7% TY went up by 0.11%, going from 16.03% to 16.15% Bbyong went up by 0.1%, going from 20.69% to 20.79%
Biggest Losers Snute went down by 2.12%, going from 20.89% to 18.77% FanTaSy went down by 1.61%, going from 71.89% to 70.28% Hydra went down by 1.44%, going from 87.36% to 85.92% Dream went down by 0.93%, going from 86.11% to 85.18% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.83%, going from 9.76% to 8.93% ForGG went down by 0.5%, going from 62.03% to 61.53% Lilbow went down by 0.16%, going from 7.57% to 7.41% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
TLO went down by 0.16%, going from 2.39% to 2.23% Trap went down by 0.14%, going from 41.46% to 41.31% Sen went down by 0.12%, going from 1.59% to 1.47%
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 70.97% down to 70.57% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 24.27% down to 24.03% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 3.52% down to 3.51% Chances of 4+ foreigners from 0.22% down to 0.22%
Bunny12.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 24.67% chance overall. Snute9.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 18.77% chance overall. Lilbow3.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.41% chance overall. MarineLorD2.85% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.25% chance overall. MajOr2.62% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.72% chance overall. Petraeus2.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.71% chance overall. MaNa1.96% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.4% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
MaSa1.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.95% chance overall. Kane1.45% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.27% chance overall. Harstem1.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.04% chance overall. FireCake1.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.05% chance overall. TLO0.94% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.23% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.94% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.09% chance overall. Sen0.65% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.47% chance overall. elfi0.51% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.14% chance overall. ShoWTimE0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.03% chance overall. Ret0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.7% chance overall. Has0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.72% chance overall. iaguz0.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.54% chance overall. Kelazhur0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall. iAsonu0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.39% chance overall. NaNiwa0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.42% chance overall. Xenocider0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.24% chance overall. Jim0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.19% chance overall. TargA0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.2% chance overall. Happy0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.16% chance overall. Elazer0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.13% chance overall. NXZ0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.12% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.13% chance overall. TooDming0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. Nerchio0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. Serral0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall.
Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 3 defenses! ByuL is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MyuNgSiK is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Dream is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
1.03% of the time 2575 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.48% of the time 2750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 30.44% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 50.07% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 68.93% of the time 3100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 90.68% of the time 3275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.02% of the time 3500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Bunny, Kane, Petraeus, and Jimin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 32. Bunny is at 24.67% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 32.88%, or 11.97% if they lose. Petraeus is at 4.71% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.22% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.2%, or 1.39% if they lose. Kane is at 3.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.43%, or 1.1% if they lose. Jim is at 0.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.49%, or 0.05% if they lose.
Sen, ForGG, TooDming, and StarDustin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 32. Sen is at 1.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.97%, or 0.42% if they lose. TooDming is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.61% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.3%, or 0.03% if they lose. ForGG is at 61.52% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 69.94%, or 40.53% if they lose. StarDust is at 2.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.64%, or 0.63% if they lose.
Mystery, MarineLorD, Ret, and viOLetin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 32. Mystery is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 19.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Ret is at 0.71% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.61% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.17%, or 0.15% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 6.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.86% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.59%, or 1.76% if they lose. viOLet is at 6.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.41% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 9.22%, or 2.15% if they lose.
Harstem, Xenocider, NXZ, and iAsonuin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 32. Harstem is at 3.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.4%, or 0.79% if they lose. NXZ is at 0.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.61% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.26%, or 0.02% if they lose. Xenocider is at 0.24% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.46%, or 0.05% if they lose. iAsonu is at 0.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.2% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.7%, or 0.08% if they lose.
Lilbow, Kelazhur, Hydra, and Snutein in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 32. Lilbow is at 7.41% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.11%, or 2.39% if they lose. Hydra is at 85.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 93.07%, or 75.33% if they lose. Kelazhur is at 0.41% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.94%, or 0.11% if they lose. Snute is at 18.79% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 28.74%, or 9.84% if they lose.
Polt, TLO, MajOr, and Elazerin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 32. Polt is at 92.66% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 96.71%, or 84.46% if they lose. MajOr is at 5.73% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.34%, or 1.58% if they lose. TLO is at 2.24% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.4%, or 0.83% if they lose. Elazer is at 0.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.35%, or 0.03% if they lose.
iaguz, FireCake, MaSa, and MaNain in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 32. iaguz is at 0.55% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.31% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.25%, or 0.15% if they lose. MaSa is at 3.95% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.12%, or 1.05% if they lose. FireCake is at 3.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.28%, or 0.97% if they lose. MaNa is at 4.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.55%, or 1.36% if they lose.
Jaedong, elfi, GunGFuBanDa, and Hasin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 32. Jaedong is at 17.87% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.72% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.97%, or 8.04% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 2.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.2% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.19%, or 0.49% if they lose. elfi is at 1.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.25%, or 0.31% if they lose. Has is at 0.72% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.56%, or 0.24% if they lose.
ForGG has a 18.49% chance to win ----going from 61.52% to 99.63% if they get 1st, or 82.88% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 9.99% chance to win ----going from 85.92% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.95% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 9.5% chance to win ----going from 92.66% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 5.76% chance to win ----going from 24.67% to 97.8% if they get 1st, or 56.72% if they get 2nd. Jaedong has a 5.74% chance to win ----going from 17.87% to 84.89% if they get 1st, or 39.27% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Lilbow has a 4.98% chance to win ----going from 7.41% to 56.86% if they get 1st, or 17.64% if they get 2nd. MarineLorD has a 4.61% chance to win ----going from 6.26% to 53.34% if they get 1st, or 14.85% if they get 2nd. MajOr has a 4.56% chance to win ----going from 5.73% to 50.42% if they get 1st, or 14.07% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 3.97% chance to win ----going from 18.79% to 96.68% if they get 1st, or 52.09% if they get 2nd. Petraeus has a 3.76% chance to win ----going from 4.71% to 48.91% if they get 1st, or 2.99% if they don't. viOLet has a 3.73% chance to win ----going from 6.42% to 59.17% if they get 1st, or 17.11% if they get 2nd. MaSa has a 3.65% chance to win ----going from 3.95% to 44.02% if they get 1st, or 2.43% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.49% chance to win ----going from 4.39% to 60.62% if they get 1st, or 2.96% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 2.45% chance to win ----going from 2.09% to 35.62% if they get 1st, or 1.24% if they don't. StarDust has a 2.36% chance to win ----going from 2.33% to 37.52% if they get 1st, or 1.48% if they don't. Harstem has a 2.31% chance to win ----going from 3.04% to 51.01% if they get 1st, or 1.91% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.74% chance to win ----going from 3.05% to 61.51% if they get 1st, or 2.01% if they don't. Kane has a 1.34% chance to win ----going from 3.28% to 74.06% if they get 1st, or 2.32% if they don't. Sen has a 1.31% chance to win ----going from 1.48% to 43.94% if they get 1st, or 0.91% if they don't. elfi has a 1.3% chance to win ----going from 1.14% to 35.16% if they get 1st, or 0.69% if they don't. Ret has a 0.95% chance to win ----going from 0.71% to 31.32% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't. TLO has a 0.83% chance to win ----going from 2.24% to 74.97% if they get 1st, or 1.63% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.68% chance to win ----going from 0.55% to 32.91% if they get 1st, or 0.33% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.65% chance to win ----going from 0.39% to 25.69% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.53% chance to win ----going from 0.41% to 29.33% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. Has has a 0.49% chance to win ----going from 0.72% to 47.77% if they get 1st, or 0.49% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.47% chance to win ----going from 0.24% to 22.71% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. NXZ has a 0.36% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 16.56% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.35% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 17.95% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Jim has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 23.6% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. TooDming has a 0.27% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 17.51% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Mystery has a 0.03% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 5.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
Group of Death And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Group A Bunny has a 5.76% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Kane has a 1.34% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Petraeus has a 3.76% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Jim has a 0.33% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.1799
Group B Sen has a 1.31% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 ForGG has a 18.49% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 TooDming has a 0.27% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 StarDust has a 2.36% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 22.429
Group C Mystery has a 0.03% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 MarineLorD has a 4.61% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Ret has a 0.95% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 viOLet has a 3.73% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.32026
Group D Harstem has a 2.31% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Xenocider has a 0.47% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 NXZ has a 0.36% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 iAsonu has a 0.65% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 3.79374
Group E Lilbow has a 4.98% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Kelazhur has a 0.53% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Hydra has a 9.99% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Snute has a 3.97% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 19.4869
Group F Polt has a 9.5% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 TLO has a 0.83% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 MajOr has a 4.56% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Elazer has a 0.35% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 15.2407
Group G iaguz has a 0.68% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 FireCake has a 1.74% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 MaSa has a 3.65% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 MaNa has a 2.49% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 8.55703
Group H Jaedong has a 5.74% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 elfi has a 1.3% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 GunGFuBanDa has a 2.45% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Has has a 0.49% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.99243
Group A Bunny has a 24.67% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Kane has a 3.28% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Petraeus has a 4.71% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Jim has a 0.19% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 32.8461
Group B Sen has a 1.48% chance to qualify for Blizzcon ForGG has a 61.52% chance to qualify for Blizzcon TooDming has a 0.11% chance to qualify for Blizzcon StarDust has a 2.33% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 65.4367
Group C Mystery has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MarineLorD has a 6.26% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Ret has a 0.71% chance to qualify for Blizzcon viOLet has a 6.42% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 13.3887
Group D Harstem has a 3.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Xenocider has a 0.24% chance to qualify for Blizzcon NXZ has a 0.12% chance to qualify for Blizzcon iAsonu has a 0.39% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 3.78911
Group E Lilbow has a 7.41% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Kelazhur has a 0.41% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Hydra has a 85.92% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Snute has a 18.79% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 112.521
Group F Polt has a 92.66% chance to qualify for Blizzcon TLO has a 2.24% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MajOr has a 5.73% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Elazer has a 0.13% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 100.758
Group G iaguz has a 0.55% chance to qualify for Blizzcon FireCake has a 3.05% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MaSa has a 3.95% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MaNa has a 4.39% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 11.9384
Group H Jaedong has a 17.87% chance to qualify for Blizzcon elfi has a 1.14% chance to qualify for Blizzcon GunGFuBanDa has a 2.09% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Has has a 0.72% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 21.8225
Group A Bunny's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.02% Kane's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.2% Petraeus's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.07% Jim's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.04% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.247391
Group B Sen's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.11% ForGG's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.51% TooDming's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% StarDust's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.17% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.467045
Group C Mystery's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% MarineLorD's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.51% Ret's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.12% viOLet's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.35% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.96839
Group D Harstem's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.4% Xenocider's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.04% NXZ's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% iAsonu's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.05% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.49873
Group E Lilbow's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.16% Kelazhur's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.05% Hydra's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.44% Snute's Blizzcon Chances changed by -2.1% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 3.75775
Group F Polt's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.12% TLO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.16% MajOr's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.25% Elazer's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.196475
Group G iaguz's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.06% FireCake's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.06% MaSa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.04% MaNa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.37% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.290744
Group H Jaedong's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.15% elfi's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.07% GunGFuBanDa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.19% Has's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.05% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.221255
Group A When Bunny wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.21% When Bunny loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 12.7% When Kane wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.15% When Kane loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.18% When Petraeus wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.49% When Petraeus loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 3.33% When Jim wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.3% When Jim loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.14% Giving this match an Effects Score of 31.4979
Group B When Sen wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.5% When Sen loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.06% When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.42% When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 20.99% When TooDming wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.19% When TooDming loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08% When StarDust wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.31% When StarDust loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.71% Giving this match an Effects Score of 35.2619
Group C When Mystery wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Mystery loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When MarineLorD wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.33% When MarineLorD loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.5% When Ret wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.46% When Ret loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.55% When viOLet wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.8% When viOLet loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.27% Giving this match an Effects Score of 14.9279
Group D When Harstem wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.36% When Harstem loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.25% When Xenocider wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.22% When Xenocider loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.19% When NXZ wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.14% When NXZ loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.1% When iAsonu wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.31% When iAsonu loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.3% Giving this match an Effects Score of 4.87686
Group E When Lilbow wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.7% When Lilbow loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 5.02% When Kelazhur wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.54% When Kelazhur loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.29% When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.15% When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 10.58% When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.95% When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.95% Giving this match an Effects Score of 46.1945
Group F When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 4.05% When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.2% When TLO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.17% When TLO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.41% When MajOr wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.61% When MajOr loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.14% When Elazer wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.22% When Elazer loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.1% Giving this match an Effects Score of 22.902
Group G When iaguz wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.7% When iaguz loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.4% When FireCake wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.23% When FireCake loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.07% When MaSa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.17% When MaSa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.9% When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.16% When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 3.03% Giving this match an Effects Score of 15.662
Group H When Jaedong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.1% When Jaedong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.83% When elfi wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.11% When elfi loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.83% When GunGFuBanDa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.1% When GunGFuBanDa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.6% When Has wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.84% When Has loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.48% Giving this match an Effects Score of 21.8892
Group A Bunny has an Aligulac rating of 1963 Kane has an Aligulac rating of 1740 Petraeus has an Aligulac rating of 1925 Jim has an Aligulac rating of 1567 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7195
Group B Sen has an Aligulac rating of 1747 ForGG has an Aligulac rating of 2279 TooDming has an Aligulac rating of 1546 StarDust has an Aligulac rating of 1788 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7360
Group C Mystery has an Aligulac rating of 1313 MarineLorD has an Aligulac rating of 1895 Ret has an Aligulac rating of 1672 viOLet has an Aligulac rating of 1900 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6780
Group D Harstem has an Aligulac rating of 1777 Xenocider has an Aligulac rating of 1529 NXZ has an Aligulac rating of 1553 iAsonu has an Aligulac rating of 1622 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6481
Group E Lilbow has an Aligulac rating of 1946 Kelazhur has an Aligulac rating of 1575 Hydra has an Aligulac rating of 2182 Snute has an Aligulac rating of 1988 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7691
Group F Polt has an Aligulac rating of 2092 TLO has an Aligulac rating of 1683 MajOr has an Aligulac rating of 1891 Elazer has an Aligulac rating of 1585 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7251
Group G iaguz has an Aligulac rating of 1609 FireCake has an Aligulac rating of 1803 MaSa has an Aligulac rating of 1851 MaNa has an Aligulac rating of 1800 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7063
Group H Jaedong has an Aligulac rating of 2002 elfi has an Aligulac rating of 1722 GunGFuBanDa has an Aligulac rating of 1803 Has has an Aligulac rating of 1589 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7116
Final Placings Group A has one 3rd place, and three 4th places Group B has one 1st place, three 2nd places, and one 3rd place Group C has no top 4 placements Group D has no top 4 placements Group E has four 1st places, and one 2nd place Group F has one 2nd place, three 3rd places, and one 4th place Group G has no top 4 placements Group H has one 4th place
Group E is our Group of Death! Congrats to Lilbow, Hydra, Snute, and Kelazhur! Group B is our 2nd place Group of Death with TooDming, StarDust, ForGG, and Sen!
(Sim ID #1539 vs #1596) Biggest Winners Dark went up by 12.92%, going from 36.69% to 49.61% Soulkey went up by 10.75%, going from 42.52% to 53.27% ByuL went up by 9.63%, going from 19.51% to 29.14% Rain went up by 6.56%, going from 67.81% to 74.37% FanTaSy went up by 5.24%, going from 65.49% to 70.73% Dream went up by 5.07%, going from 80.26% to 85.34% Solar went up by 1.67%, going from 5.63% to 7.3% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Petraeus went up by 0.68%, going from 4.58% to 5.26% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.65%, going from 8.34% to 8.99% FireCake went up by 0.63%, going from 3.06% to 3.69% MarineLorD went up by 0.6%, going from 5.75% to 6.36% Harstem went up by 0.42%, going from 2.66% to 3.08% MMA went up by 0.38%, going from 17.96% to 18.34% MaNa went up by 0.38%, going from 4.07% to 4.44% TRUE went up by 0.3%, going from 2.17% to 2.47% HyuN went up by 0.3%, going from 12.32% to 12.61% MajOr went up by 0.26%, going from 5.45% to 5.71% GuMiho went up by 0.24%, going from 22.33% to 22.56% GunGFuBanDa went up by 0.18%, going from 1.91% to 2.09% Ret went up by 0.14%, going from 0.58% to 0.72% StarDust went up by 0.13%, going from 2.2% to 2.33%
Biggest Losers Stats went down by 10.25%, going from 68.53% to 58.28% Bunny went down by 8.62%, going from 33.43% to 24.81% sOs went down by 6.82%, going from 26.77% to 19.96% Rogue went down by 6.02%, going from 59.96% to 53.94% Jaedong went down by 5.71%, going from 21.19% to 15.49% Dear went down by 4.09%, going from 9.95% to 5.85% Zest went down by 3.91%, going from 94.39% to 90.47% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Sacsri went down by 2.25%, going from 6.83% to 4.58% Polt went down by 2.24%, going from 92.64% to 90.4% Patience went down by 1.69%, going from 2.75% to 1.06% Snute went down by 1.65%, going from 20.75% to 19.1% Terminator went down by 1.22%, going from 3.37% to 2.15% viOLet went down by 0.58%, going from 5.99% to 5.41% Lilbow went down by 0.47%, going from 7.64% to 7.17% Trap went down by 0.47%, going from 41.89% to 41.42% ForGG went down by 0.31%, going from 62.06% to 61.75% Classic went down by 0.25%, going from 10.49% to 10.24% NaNiwa went down by 0.14%, going from 0.43% to 0.28% ShoWTimE went down by 0.14%, going from 0.86% to 0.72% Hydra went down by 0.12%, going from 87.08% to 86.97%
Life vs Darkin in KeSPA Cup 1 semifinals. Life has the #1 Headband. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dark is at 49.61% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.53% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 56.74%, or 43.89% if they lose.
ByuL vs herOin in KeSPA Cup 1 semifinals. ByuL has the #2 Headband. ByuL is at 29.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 32.78%, or 26.87% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
KeSPA Cup 1 Winning Chances herO has a 34.27% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 31.21% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dark has a 22.16% chance to win ----going from 49.61% to 63.46% if they get 1st, or 45.67% if they don't. ByuL has a 12.35% chance to win ----going from 29.14% to 38.12% if they get 1st, or 27.87% if they don't.
Biggest Winners Soulkey went up by 0.27%, going from 53.27% to 53.54% Rain went up by 0.25%, going from 74.36% to 74.62% Rogue went up by 0.23%, going from 53.94% to 54.17% INnoVation went up by 0.22%, going from 44.42% to 44.64% FanTaSy went up by 0.21%, going from 70.74% to 70.95% ForGG went up by 0.21%, going from 61.75% to 61.96% GuMiho went up by 0.17%, going from 22.57% to 22.73% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Trap went up by 0.17%, going from 41.42% to 41.58% Dream went up by 0.16%, going from 85.34% to 85.5% Polt went up by 0.16%, going from 90.41% to 90.57% Stats went up by 0.16%, going from 58.28% to 58.44% TY went up by 0.15%, going from 16.21% to 16.36% MMA went up by 0.15%, going from 18.34% to 18.48% sOs went up by 0.14%, going from 19.95% to 20.09% Hydra went up by 0.13%, going from 86.96% to 87.09% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.11%, going from 8.99% to 9.1% Snute went up by 0.11%, going from 19.1% to 19.22% Zest went up by 0.11%, going from 90.47% to 90.58% Bbyong went up by 0.11%, going from 20.85% to 20.95% Bunny went up by 0.1%, going from 24.81% to 24.92%
Biggest Losers Dark went down by 2.63%, going from 49.62% to 46.99% ByuL went down by 2.19%, going from 29.14% to 26.95%
Biggest Winners Stats went up by 0.32%, going from 58.28% to 58.6% Soulkey went up by 0.28%, going from 53.27% to 53.55% INnoVation went up by 0.28%, going from 44.42% to 44.69% Rogue went up by 0.28%, going from 53.94% to 54.22% Dream went up by 0.26%, going from 85.34% to 85.6% FanTaSy went up by 0.26%, going from 70.74% to 70.99% Rain went up by 0.24%, going from 74.36% to 74.6% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
GuMiho went up by 0.22%, going from 22.57% to 22.79% Bunny went up by 0.21%, going from 24.81% to 25.02% MMA went up by 0.2%, going from 18.34% to 18.54% Bbyong went up by 0.2%, going from 20.85% to 21.05% Hydra went up by 0.19%, going from 86.96% to 87.16% ForGG went up by 0.19%, going from 61.75% to 61.94% Trap went up by 0.19%, going from 41.42% to 41.6% Snute went up by 0.19%, going from 19.1% to 19.29% Zest went up by 0.18%, going from 90.47% to 90.64% sOs went up by 0.17%, going from 19.95% to 20.12% Polt went up by 0.17%, going from 90.41% to 90.57% Jaedong went up by 0.15%, going from 15.48% to 15.63% TY went up by 0.14%, going from 16.21% to 16.35% Solar went up by 0.13%, going from 7.3% to 7.43% Classic went up by 0.11%, going from 10.24% to 10.35% soO went up by 0.1%, going from 9.47% to 9.57%
Biggest Losers Dark went down by 5.71%, going from 49.62% to 43.91% ByuL went down by 0.44%, going from 29.14% to 28.7%
Biggest Winners Dark went up by 13.84%, going from 49.62% to 63.46%
Biggest Losers ByuL went down by 1.01%, going from 29.14% to 28.13% Soulkey went down by 0.66%, going from 53.27% to 52.61% INnoVation went down by 0.61%, going from 44.42% to 43.81% Stats went down by 0.58%, going from 58.28% to 57.7% Rogue went down by 0.55%, going from 53.94% to 53.39% FanTaSy went down by 0.54%, going from 70.74% to 70.2% Rain went down by 0.53%, going from 74.36% to 73.83% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Dream went down by 0.49%, going from 85.34% to 84.85% GuMiho went down by 0.47%, going from 22.57% to 22.1% ForGG went down by 0.46%, going from 61.75% to 61.28% MMA went down by 0.43%, going from 18.34% to 17.91% Trap went down by 0.43%, going from 41.42% to 40.99% Bunny went down by 0.39%, going from 24.81% to 24.43% Polt went down by 0.38%, going from 90.41% to 90.03% Hydra went down by 0.38%, going from 86.96% to 86.59% Snute went down by 0.37%, going from 19.1% to 18.73% sOs went down by 0.37%, going from 19.95% to 19.58% Bbyong went down by 0.36%, going from 20.85% to 20.49% Zest went down by 0.34%, going from 90.47% to 90.13% TY went down by 0.32%, going from 16.21% to 15.89% Jaedong went down by 0.29%, going from 15.48% to 15.19% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.25%, going from 8.99% to 8.74% Classic went down by 0.24%, going from 10.24% to 10.01% Solar went down by 0.2%, going from 7.3% to 7.1% HyuN went down by 0.19%, going from 12.61% to 12.42% soO went down by 0.19%, going from 9.47% to 9.28% Lilbow went down by 0.18%, going from 7.17% to 6.99% viOLet went down by 0.15%, going from 5.41% to 5.25% Dear went down by 0.15%, going from 5.85% to 5.7% MarineLorD went down by 0.14%, going from 6.36% to 6.22% Bomber went down by 0.13%, going from 5.77% to 5.63% MajOr went down by 0.12%, going from 5.71% to 5.59% MaSa went down by 0.12%, going from 3.94% to 3.82% Petraeus went down by 0.12%, going from 5.26% to 5.14% Sacsri went down by 0.11%, going from 4.58% to 4.48%
Biggest Winners ByuL went up by 8.99%, going from 29.14% to 38.13%
Biggest Losers Dark went down by 3.11%, going from 49.62% to 46.5% Rain went down by 0.35%, going from 74.36% to 74.01% Rogue went down by 0.33%, going from 53.94% to 53.61% FanTaSy went down by 0.28%, going from 70.74% to 70.46% Soulkey went down by 0.28%, going from 53.27% to 52.99% ForGG went down by 0.24%, going from 61.75% to 61.5% Dream went down by 0.24%, going from 85.34% to 85.09% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
INnoVation went down by 0.23%, going from 44.42% to 44.19% Stats went down by 0.2%, going from 58.28% to 58.08% TY went down by 0.19%, going from 16.21% to 16.02% Polt went down by 0.19%, going from 90.41% to 90.22% GuMiho went down by 0.18%, going from 22.57% to 22.39% Trap went down by 0.18%, going from 41.42% to 41.24% Hydra went down by 0.18%, going from 86.96% to 86.79% sOs went down by 0.15%, going from 19.95% to 19.8% HyuN went down by 0.15%, going from 12.61% to 12.46% Bbyong went down by 0.15%, going from 20.85% to 20.7% MMA went down by 0.14%, going from 18.34% to 18.2% Zest went down by 0.14%, going from 90.47% to 90.33% Bomber went down by 0.13%, going from 5.77% to 5.64% Solar went down by 0.13%, going from 7.3% to 7.17% Snute went down by 0.12%, going from 19.1% to 18.98% Petraeus went down by 0.12%, going from 5.26% to 5.14% Bunny went down by 0.11%, going from 24.81% to 24.7% Classic went down by 0.11%, going from 10.24% to 10.14% Jaedong went down by 0.1%, going from 15.48% to 15.38%
Creator, Bomber, INnoVation, and Panicin in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32. Creator is at 0.85% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.66%, or 0.21% if they lose. INnoVation is at 44.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 53.37%, or 26.14% if they lose. Bomber is at 5.7% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.73%, or 2.01% if they lose. Panic is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.2%, or 0.01% if they lose.
PartinG has a 15.57% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Rain has a 11.23% chance to win ----going from 75.55% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 97.61% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 8.94% chance to win ----going from 71.95% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 96.83% if they get 2nd. Life has a 7.83% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 7.74% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Rogue has a 6.71% chance to win ----going from 53.58% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 90.83% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 5.85% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. INnoVation has a 4.99% chance to win ----going from 44.08% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 87.45% if they get 2nd. sOs has a 3.98% chance to win ----going from 19.85% to 94.21% if they get 1st, or 55.38% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 3.86% chance to win ----going from 21.79% to 92.94% if they get 1st, or 52.77% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 3.03% chance to win ----going from 20.67% to 95.9% if they get 1st, or 59.82% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 2.84% chance to win ----going from 25.88% to 93.75% if they get 1st, or 61.58% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 2.4% chance to win ----going from 8.92% to 81.78% if they get 1st, or 30.4% if they get 2nd. Flash has a 2.03% chance to win ----going from 3.61% to 47.72% if they get 1st, or 2.7% if they don't. MMA has a 1.94% chance to win ----going from 18.63% to 97.66% if they get 1st, or 64.17% if they get 2nd. Sacsri has a 1.91% chance to win ----going from 4.68% to 59.25% if they get 1st, or 3.62% if they don't. TY has a 1.72% chance to win ----going from 15.97% to 98.23% if they get 1st, or 61.6% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 1.58% chance to win ----going from 84.91% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Bomber has a 1.56% chance to win ----going from 5.7% to 72.61% if they get 1st, or 26.69% if they get 2nd. YoDa has a 0.9% chance to win ----going from 2.5% to 56.81% if they get 1st, or 2.01% if they don't. Curious has a 0.87% chance to win ----going from 1.34% to 41.97% if they get 1st, or 0.99% if they don't. Creator has a 0.78% chance to win ----going from 0.85% to 33.25% if they get 1st, or 0.6% if they don't. Patience has a 0.69% chance to win ----going from 1.68% to 53.98% if they get 1st, or 1.31% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.48% chance to win ----going from 0.66% to 37.57% if they get 1st, or 0.48% if they don't. HerO has a 0.41% chance to win ----going from 0.31% to 24.11% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. Panic has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 18.85% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't.
Life, ByuL, soO, and Trapin in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16. This is the 2nd place Group of Death! Life has the #1 Headband. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. soO is at 9.49% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.41% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 19.2%, or 2.34% if they lose. ByuL is at 25.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.45% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 44.97%, or 13.3% if they lose. Trap is at 41.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 56.98%, or 16.19% if they lose.
Maru has a 16.89% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 15.88% chance to win ----going from 90.04% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.92% if they get 2nd. herO has a 14.92% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Stats has a 11.95% chance to win ----going from 57.52% to 99.89% if they get 1st, or 84.43% if they get 2nd. Life has a 9.62% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Trap has a 8.27% chance to win ----going from 41.1% to 99.47% if they get 1st, or 79.67% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 4.83% chance to win ----going from 52.41% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.5% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.78% chance to win ----going from 84.43% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. HyuN has a 3.8% chance to win ----going from 12.55% to 82.4% if they get 1st, or 38.96% if they get 2nd. soO has a 3.36% chance to win ----going from 9.49% to 74.47% if they get 1st, or 32.94% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 3.29% chance to win ----going from 25.48% to 96.9% if they get 1st, or 69.42% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 2.42% chance to win ----going from 10.01% to 90.93% if they get 1st, or 42.92% if they get 2nd.
On May 08 2015 06:46 sharkie wrote: Byul would have won so much money if one had chosen him heh
from the Best Possible Trades list "#1 ByuL gained 1500 points over 27 days, going from 2425 points on Thu 4/9/2015, 4:05:44 PM, to 3925 points on Thu 5/7/2015, 2:56:51 PM."
On May 08 2015 06:46 sharkie wrote: Byul would have won so much money if one had chosen him heh
from the Best Possible Trades list "#1 ByuL gained 1500 points over 27 days, going from 2425 points on Thu 4/9/2015, 4:05:44 PM, to 3925 points on Thu 5/7/2015, 2:56:51 PM."
only if I had not reset my team by accident, I had Byul from the start of season 2
HerO, Maru, TY, and ByuLin in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32. HerO is at 0.3% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.7%, or 0.08% if they lose. TY is at 15.84% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.65% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.88%, or 7.91% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. ByuL is at 48.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.39% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 58.75%, or 36.05% if they lose.
PartinG has a 15.12% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Rain has a 10.67% chance to win ----going from 75.08% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 97.64% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 8.73% chance to win ----going from 71.76% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 96.84% if they get 2nd. herO has a 7.59% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 7.39% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
INnoVation has a 6.8% chance to win ----going from 51.51% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 87.14% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 6.6% chance to win ----going from 53.28% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 90.93% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 5.64% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Bomber has a 3.87% chance to win ----going from 12.3% to 76.27% if they get 1st, or 31.87% if they get 2nd. sOs has a 3.83% chance to win ----going from 19.6% to 94.3% if they get 1st, or 55.49% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 3.6% chance to win ----going from 21.31% to 93.03% if they get 1st, or 52.88% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 3.18% chance to win ----going from 48.62% to 99.64% if they get 1st, or 87.6% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 2.84% chance to win ----going from 20.35% to 96.01% if they get 1st, or 59.83% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 2.18% chance to win ----going from 8.54% to 81.87% if they get 1st, or 30.3% if they get 2nd. Flash has a 1.97% chance to win ----going from 3.55% to 47.6% if they get 1st, or 2.66% if they don't. MMA has a 1.94% chance to win ----going from 19.17% to 97.77% if they get 1st, or 65.09% if they get 2nd. Sacsri has a 1.8% chance to win ----going from 4.55% to 59.57% if they get 1st, or 3.54% if they don't. TY has a 1.65% chance to win ----going from 15.84% to 98.3% if they get 1st, or 62.05% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 1.4% chance to win ----going from 84.79% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. YoDa has a 0.87% chance to win ----going from 2.46% to 56.64% if they get 1st, or 1.99% if they don't. Curious has a 0.85% chance to win ----going from 1.32% to 41.54% if they get 1st, or 0.98% if they don't. Patience has a 0.65% chance to win ----going from 1.62% to 54.12% if they get 1st, or 1.28% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.48% chance to win ----going from 0.66% to 37.51% if they get 1st, or 0.48% if they don't. HerO has a 0.37% chance to win ----going from 0.3% to 24.11% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't.
Nepou, Invictus, Miniraser, and Soyhiin in DreamHack Tours round of 96. Nepou is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Miniraser is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Invictus is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Soyhi is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Crunchy, Silent, PengWin, and Markin in DreamHack Tours round of 96. Crunchy is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.86% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. PengWin is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 23.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Silent is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Mark is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.68% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Grumpy, VeniVidiVins, StarNaN, and Narcoticin in DreamHack Tours round of 96. Grumpy is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. StarNaN is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. VeniVidiVins is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.82% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Narcotic is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Spearline, jeysen, Kirwa, and zMkin in DreamHack Tours round of 96. Spearline is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.59% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Kirwa is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.14% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. jeysen is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. zMk is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 17.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Konekosan, Totoro, Kafar, and Revolverin in DreamHack Tours round of 96. Konekosan is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Kafar is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Totoro is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Revolver is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 82.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
FrostMind, Mekar, Rotab, and HINOIPLin in DreamHack Tours round of 96. FrostMind is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Rotab is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.1% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Mekar is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.41% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. HINOIPL is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Symphoniaa, StarEagle, Dylayn, and Chubzin in DreamHack Tours round of 96. Symphoniaa is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Dylayn is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. StarEagle is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Chubz is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 69.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Muyfresh, Harstem, FunK, and LittlePandain in DreamHack Tours round of 96. Muyfresh is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. FunK is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Harstem is at 2.87% Blizzcon Chances, with a 89.86% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.92%, or 2.48% if they lose. LittlePanda is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
PsiOniC, Behemoth, Gannicus, and Davdouin in DreamHack Tours round of 96. PsiOniC is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 93.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Gannicus is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 23.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Behemoth is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Davdou is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Bly, Mraptor, Kenjo, and Odelayin in DreamHack Tours round of 96. Bly is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 87.05% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. Kenjo is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Mraptor is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Odelay is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.62% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
WidowMaker, Jona, Jack, and BreakYain in DreamHack Tours round of 96. WidowMaker is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Jack is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Jona is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. BreakYa is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Scarlett, VacSaint, SuperHofmann, and GoGoGadgetoin in DreamHack Tours round of 96. Scarlett is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 91.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0.06% if they lose. SuperHofmann is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. VacSaint is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. GoGoGadgeto is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
MacZerguey, SbR, JackO, and Zervasin in DreamHack Tours round of 96. MacZerguey is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. JackO is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. SbR is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Zervas is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Godu, GerichRail, Srilo, and orosin in DreamHack Tours round of 96. Godu is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Srilo is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.2% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. GerichRail is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 90.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. oros is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.19% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Sapty, White-Ra, Dayshi, and Deborahin in DreamHack Tours round of 96. Sapty is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.1% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Dayshi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 88.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. White-Ra is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Deborah is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 20.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Poucky, Quent, PtitDrogo, and Imrein in DreamHack Tours round of 96. Poucky is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 20.86% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. PtitDrogo is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 91.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0.06% if they lose. Quent is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Imre is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.8% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
FireCake vs Hydrain in DreamHack Tours round of 64. FireCake is at 3.66% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.61% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.93%, or 2.99% if they lose. Hydra is at 87.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 85.86% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 88.41%, or 82.99% if they lose.
HyuN vs Lilbowin in DreamHack Tours round of 64. HyuN is at 13.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 78.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.68%, or 10.77% if they lose. Lilbow is at 7.25% Blizzcon Chances, with a 79.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.62%, or 5.76% if they lose.
MC vs MarineLorDin in DreamHack Tours round of 64. MC is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.07% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 6.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 79.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.71%, or 5.12% if they lose.
HuK vs Sacsriin in DreamHack Tours round of 64. HuK is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. Sacsri is at 4.55% Blizzcon Chances, with a 80.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.8%, or 3.53% if they lose.
GuMiho vs Serralin in DreamHack Tours round of 64. GuMiho is at 21.31% Blizzcon Chances, with a 83.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 22.11%, or 17.19% if they lose. Serral is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.11%, or 0.07% if they lose.
MMA vs MaNain in DreamHack Tours round of 64. MMA is at 19.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.02%, or 15.37% if they lose. MaNa is at 4.44% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.18% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.74%, or 3.62% if they lose.
ForGG vs Snutein in DreamHack Tours round of 64. ForGG is at 62.67% Blizzcon Chances, with a 87.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 63.55%, or 56.8% if they lose. Snute is at 19.85% Blizzcon Chances, with a 77.14% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.78%, or 16.72% if they lose.
Patience vs Ruinin in DreamHack Tours round of 64. Patience is at 1.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.74%, or 1.23% if they lose. Ruin is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 69.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Leenock vs TargAin in DreamHack Tours round of 64. Leenock is at 1.67% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.85%, or 1.19% if they lose. TargA is at 0.2% Blizzcon Chances, with a 77.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.22%, or 0.13% if they lose.
TLO vs FanTaSyin in DreamHack Tours round of 64. TLO is at 2.24% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.43%, or 1.87% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 71.76% Blizzcon Chances, with a 88.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 72.75%, or 64.14% if they lose.
MarineKing vs Bunnyin in DreamHack Tours round of 64. MarineKing is at 0.27% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.3%, or 0.18% if they lose. Bunny is at 25.24% Blizzcon Chances, with a 82.49% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 26.06%, or 21.39% if they lose.
Heart vs Petraeusin in DreamHack Tours round of 64. Heart is at 0.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 77.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.41%, or 0.25% if they lose. Petraeus is at 4.75% Blizzcon Chances, with a 77.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.03%, or 3.79% if they lose.
PartinG vs uThermalin in DreamHack Tours round of 64. PartinG is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 88.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.99% if they lose. uThermal is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0.02% if they lose.
Rain vs Welmuin in DreamHack Tours round of 64. Rain is at 75.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 86.61% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 76.17%, or 68.07% if they lose. Welmu is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.04% if they lose.
San vs Xenociderin in DreamHack Tours round of 64. San is at 0.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 78.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.28%, or 0.17% if they lose. Xenocider is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.26%, or 0.19% if they lose.
TRUE vs Zansterin in DreamHack Tours round of 64. TRUE is at 2.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.26%, or 1.48% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
DreamHack Tours Winning Chances PartinG has a 10.11% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. ForGG has a 8.65% chance to win ----going from 62.67% to 79.85% if they get 1st, or 72.01% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 8.04% chance to win ----going from 75.08% to 93.52% if they get 1st, or 86.72% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 7.85% chance to win ----going from 71.76% to 91.86% if they get 1st, or 84.14% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 6.6% chance to win ----going from 87.64% to 98.98% if they get 1st, or 96.06% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
GuMiho has a 3.99% chance to win ----going from 21.31% to 44.48% if they get 1st, or 33.03% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 3.95% chance to win ----going from 19.17% to 41.27% if they get 1st, or 30.31% if they get 2nd. TRUE has a 3.72% chance to win ----going from 2.12% to 6.74% if they get 1st, or 1.94% if they don't. HyuN has a 3.42% chance to win ----going from 13.04% to 27.68% if they get 1st, or 20.62% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 3.29% chance to win ----going from 25.24% to 48.97% if they get 1st, or 37.33% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 3.18% chance to win ----going from 19.85% to 41.2% if they get 1st, or 30.6% if they get 2nd. Lilbow has a 3.18% chance to win ----going from 7.25% to 17.22% if they get 1st, or 12.33% if they get 2nd. Sacsri has a 2.94% chance to win ----going from 4.55% to 12.44% if they get 1st, or 4.31% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 2.49% chance to win ----going from 6.39% to 16.06% if they get 1st, or 11.34% if they get 2nd. Petraeus has a 2.43% chance to win ----going from 4.75% to 12.64% if they get 1st, or 4.55% if they don't. Heart has a 1.92% chance to win ----going from 0.37% to 1.94% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't. San has a 1.89% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 1.41% if they get 1st, or 0.24% if they don't. Leenock has a 1.8% chance to win ----going from 1.67% to 7.89% if they get 1st, or 1.56% if they don't. TargA has a 1.77% chance to win ----going from 0.2% to 1.19% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Patience has a 1.72% chance to win ----going from 1.62% to 6.2% if they get 1st, or 1.54% if they don't. MaNa has a 1.65% chance to win ----going from 4.44% to 13.09% if they get 1st, or 4.3% if they don't. Scarlett has a 1.39% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.57% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.36% chance to win ----going from 3.66% to 11.48% if they get 1st, or 3.55% if they don't. PtitDrogo has a 1.35% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.53% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. MC has a 1.14% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.71% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Harstem has a 1.05% chance to win ----going from 2.87% to 9.67% if they get 1st, or 2.8% if they don't. Serral has a 1.05% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.74% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Welmu has a 1.01% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.5% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. MarineKing has a 0.97% chance to win ----going from 0.27% to 2.11% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. Ruin has a 0.96% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. TLO has a 0.73% chance to win ----going from 2.24% to 9.21% if they get 1st, or 2.19% if they don't. HuK has a 0.66% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.22% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. uThermal has a 0.66% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.22% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Zanster has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bly has a 0.54% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. GerichRail has a 0.49% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Dayshi has a 0.41% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0.23% to 1.56% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. PsiOniC has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jona has a 0.14% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Miniraser has a 0.1% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Revolver has a 0.1% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Chubz has a 0.02% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. jeysen has a 0.02% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. StarNaN has a 0.01% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Branch Sim ID #1632 Biggest Winners Dark went up by 0.6%, going from 52.91% to 53.51% INnoVation went up by 0.54%, going from 51.51% to 52.05% Rogue went up by 0.5%, going from 53.28% to 53.78% Soulkey went up by 0.49%, going from 53.08% to 53.57% ByuL went up by 0.41%, going from 48.62% to 49.04% Stats went up by 0.41%, going from 57.23% to 57.64% Dream went up by 0.33%, going from 84.79% to 85.12% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Bbyong went up by 0.3%, going from 20.35% to 20.65% Trap went up by 0.3%, going from 15.34% to 15.64% sOs went up by 0.3%, going from 19.6% to 19.9% TY went up by 0.26%, going from 15.84% to 16.1% Polt went up by 0.25%, going from 90.18% to 90.43% Bomber went up by 0.22%, going from 12.3% to 12.52% Zest went up by 0.22%, going from 90.1% to 90.31% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.2%, going from 8.54% to 8.74% Jaedong went up by 0.17%, going from 15.36% to 15.54% Classic went up by 0.16%, going from 9.97% to 10.13% Dear went up by 0.13%, going from 5.74% to 5.87% MajOr went up by 0.11%, going from 5.61% to 5.72% Solar went up by 0.11%, going from 7.18% to 7.28% Flash went up by 0.1%, going from 3.55% to 3.65%
Biggest Losers ForGG went down by 1.11%, going from 62.67% to 61.56% Rain went down by 1.1%, going from 75.08% to 73.98% FanTaSy went down by 1.03%, going from 71.76% to 70.74% GuMiho went down by 0.61%, going from 21.31% to 20.69% MMA went down by 0.5%, going from 19.17% to 18.66% Snute went down by 0.5%, going from 19.85% to 19.35% Bunny went down by 0.43%, going from 25.24% to 24.81% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Hydra went down by 0.42%, going from 87.64% to 87.22% HyuN went down by 0.33%, going from 13.04% to 12.72% Lilbow went down by 0.18%, going from 7.25% to 7.06% Sacsri went down by 0.16%, going from 4.55% to 4.39% MarineLorD went down by 0.13%, going from 6.39% to 6.26% TRUE went down by 0.12%, going from 2.12% to 2.01%
Biggest Losers Rain went down by 1.96%, going from 75.08% to 73.12% FanTaSy went down by 1.83%, going from 71.76% to 69.94% GuMiho went down by 1.1%, going from 21.31% to 20.2% MMA went down by 1.07%, going from 19.17% to 18.09% Hydra went down by 0.95%, going from 87.64% to 86.69% Bunny went down by 0.92%, going from 25.24% to 24.32% Snute went down by 0.81%, going from 19.85% to 19.04% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
HyuN went down by 0.7%, going from 13.04% to 12.35% Dark went down by 0.52%, going from 52.91% to 52.39% Soulkey went down by 0.45%, going from 53.08% to 52.63% Lilbow went down by 0.39%, going from 7.25% to 6.86% Rogue went down by 0.35%, going from 53.28% to 52.93% MarineLorD went down by 0.3%, going from 6.39% to 6.09% ByuL went down by 0.3%, going from 48.62% to 48.32% Petraeus went down by 0.29%, going from 4.75% to 4.46% Stats went down by 0.28%, going from 57.23% to 56.95% INnoVation went down by 0.28%, going from 51.51% to 51.24% TY went down by 0.27%, going from 15.84% to 15.56% Sacsri went down by 0.27%, going from 4.55% to 4.28% Bbyong went down by 0.25%, going from 20.35% to 20.1% Dream went down by 0.24%, going from 84.79% to 84.55% MaNa went down by 0.23%, going from 4.44% to 4.21% sOs went down by 0.23%, going from 19.6% to 19.37% Jaedong went down by 0.2%, going from 15.36% to 15.17% TRUE went down by 0.2%, going from 2.12% to 1.93% Polt went down by 0.18%, going from 90.18% to 89.99% FireCake went down by 0.18%, going from 3.66% to 3.48% Leenock went down by 0.16%, going from 1.67% to 1.51% Harstem went down by 0.16%, going from 2.87% to 2.71% Dear went down by 0.16%, going from 5.74% to 5.58% Zest went down by 0.15%, going from 90.1% to 89.95% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.13%, going from 8.54% to 8.41% Bomber went down by 0.13%, going from 12.3% to 12.17% Trap went down by 0.12%, going from 15.34% to 15.21% Patience went down by 0.12%, going from 1.62% to 1.5% Classic went down by 0.11%, going from 9.97% to 9.86%
Biggest Losers FanTaSy went down by 2.5%, going from 71.76% to 69.26% ForGG went down by 2.3%, going from 62.67% to 60.37% Rain went down by 1.9%, going from 75.08% to 73.18% GuMiho went down by 1.4%, going from 21.31% to 19.9% Bunny went down by 1.2%, going from 25.24% to 24.04% MMA went down by 1.17%, going from 19.17% to 17.99% Hydra went down by 1.13%, going from 87.64% to 86.51% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
HyuN went down by 0.67%, going from 13.04% to 12.37% Rogue went down by 0.56%, going from 53.28% to 52.71% INnoVation went down by 0.55%, going from 51.51% to 50.97% Soulkey went down by 0.54%, going from 53.08% to 52.55% Stats went down by 0.45%, going from 57.23% to 56.78% Lilbow went down by 0.43%, going from 7.25% to 6.81% Dark went down by 0.4%, going from 52.91% to 52.5% MarineLorD went down by 0.33%, going from 6.39% to 6.06% ByuL went down by 0.31%, going from 48.62% to 48.32% sOs went down by 0.29%, going from 19.6% to 19.3% Dream went down by 0.28%, going from 84.79% to 84.51% Petraeus went down by 0.26%, going from 4.75% to 4.49% MaNa went down by 0.26%, going from 4.44% to 4.18% Sacsri went down by 0.25%, going from 4.55% to 4.3% Zest went down by 0.24%, going from 90.1% to 89.86% Classic went down by 0.22%, going from 9.97% to 9.75% TRUE went down by 0.21%, going from 2.12% to 1.91% FireCake went down by 0.21%, going from 3.66% to 3.45% Polt went down by 0.2%, going from 90.18% to 89.98% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.18%, going from 8.54% to 8.37% Jaedong went down by 0.17%, going from 15.36% to 15.19% Trap went down by 0.16%, going from 15.34% to 15.18% Bbyong went down by 0.15%, going from 20.35% to 20.2% TY went down by 0.15%, going from 15.84% to 15.69% MajOr went down by 0.14%, going from 5.61% to 5.47% Leenock went down by 0.14%, going from 1.67% to 1.53% MaSa went down by 0.13%, going from 3.87% to 3.74% soO went down by 0.13%, going from 2.31% to 2.18% Harstem went down by 0.12%, going from 2.87% to 2.75% YoDa went down by 0.12%, going from 2.46% to 2.34% Bomber went down by 0.11%, going from 12.3% to 12.19% Dear went down by 0.11%, going from 5.74% to 5.63%
Biggest Losers FanTaSy went down by 2.32%, going from 71.76% to 69.44% ForGG went down by 2.07%, going from 62.67% to 60.6% Rain went down by 1.91%, going from 75.08% to 73.17% GuMiho went down by 1.31%, going from 21.31% to 19.99% MMA went down by 1.27%, going from 19.17% to 17.89% Hydra went down by 1.27%, going from 87.64% to 86.37% Snute went down by 0.95%, going from 19.85% to 18.9% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
HyuN went down by 0.84%, going from 13.04% to 12.21% Rogue went down by 0.72%, going from 53.28% to 52.56% INnoVation went down by 0.69%, going from 51.51% to 50.82% Dark went down by 0.66%, going from 52.91% to 52.25% Dream went down by 0.6%, going from 84.79% to 84.19% Soulkey went down by 0.52%, going from 53.08% to 52.56% Stats went down by 0.49%, going from 57.23% to 56.75% ByuL went down by 0.47%, going from 48.62% to 48.16% Polt went down by 0.44%, going from 90.18% to 89.74% Bbyong went down by 0.41%, going from 20.35% to 19.94% Lilbow went down by 0.41%, going from 7.25% to 6.84% sOs went down by 0.38%, going from 19.6% to 19.22% MarineLorD went down by 0.36%, going from 6.39% to 6.03% TY went down by 0.36%, going from 15.84% to 15.47% Sacsri went down by 0.36%, going from 4.55% to 4.19% Trap went down by 0.36%, going from 15.34% to 14.98% Bomber went down by 0.34%, going from 12.3% to 11.96% Zest went down by 0.28%, going from 90.1% to 89.82% Jaedong went down by 0.28%, going from 15.36% to 15.09% Petraeus went down by 0.27%, going from 4.75% to 4.48% FireCake went down by 0.25%, going from 3.66% to 3.4% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.25%, going from 8.54% to 8.29% MaNa went down by 0.25%, going from 4.44% to 4.19% TRUE went down by 0.24%, going from 2.12% to 1.88% Classic went down by 0.17%, going from 9.97% to 9.8% MajOr went down by 0.17%, going from 5.61% to 5.44% Leenock went down by 0.17%, going from 1.67% to 1.5% viOLet went down by 0.13%, going from 5.35% to 5.22% Solar went down by 0.13%, going from 7.18% to 7.05% Harstem went down by 0.12%, going from 2.87% to 2.75% MaSa went down by 0.1%, going from 3.87% to 3.77% TLO went down by 0.1%, going from 2.24% to 2.14%
I'm going on a cruise in about 24 hours, and there will be very limited internet access on the ship. I have WCS Predictor running itself automatically and I will remote into my computer when I can to check on it. If you guys see anything wrong please let me know here.
(Sim ID #1641 vs #1661) Biggest Winners ByuL went up by 10.61%, going from 48.6% to 59.21% Rain went up by 3.91%, going from 75.13% to 79.04% FanTaSy went up by 3.42%, going from 71.74% to 75.15% Snute went up by 3.32%, going from 20.25% to 23.58% GuMiho went up by 3.32%, going from 21.32% to 24.64% Hydra went up by 3.03%, going from 87.58% to 90.61% HyuN went up by 1.84%, going from 13.05% to 14.9% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Harstem went up by 1.52%, going from 2.87% to 4.39% Lilbow went up by 1.38%, going from 7.22% to 8.6% Sacsri went up by 0.99%, going from 4.56% to 5.55% MaNa went up by 0.96%, going from 4.41% to 5.36% TRUE went up by 0.42%, going from 2.14% to 2.56% Patience went up by 0.4%, going from 1.63% to 2.03% MarineKing went up by 0.14%, going from 0.26% to 0.4% Heart went up by 0.14%, going from 0.37% to 0.51%
Biggest Losers TY went down by 7.77%, going from 15.84% to 8.07% ForGG went down by 6.33%, going from 62.66% to 56.33% MMA went down by 4.38%, going from 19.17% to 14.79% Bunny went down by 4.09%, going from 24.59% to 20.5% MarineLorD went down by 1.36%, going from 6.4% to 5.04% INnoVation went down by 1.11%, going from 51.57% to 50.46% Petraeus went down by 1.04%, going from 4.77% to 3.74% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Rogue went down by 0.77%, going from 53.3% to 52.53% FireCake went down by 0.69%, going from 3.65% to 2.96% Bbyong went down by 0.55%, going from 20.37% to 19.82% Bomber went down by 0.55%, going from 12.32% to 11.77% Leenock went down by 0.53%, going from 1.67% to 1.14% sOs went down by 0.52%, going from 19.59% to 19.07% Dark went down by 0.49%, going from 52.92% to 52.43% Stats went down by 0.48%, going from 57.29% to 56.8% Dream went down by 0.45%, going from 84.81% to 84.37% TLO went down by 0.36%, going from 2.04% to 1.68% Trap went down by 0.36%, going from 15.35% to 14.99% Soulkey went down by 0.35%, going from 53.12% to 52.77% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.32%, going from 8.55% to 8.23% Polt went down by 0.3%, going from 90.27% to 89.97% Zest went down by 0.28%, going from 90.09% to 89.81% HerO went down by 0.25%, going from 0.3% to 0.05% Flash went down by 0.21%, going from 3.56% to 3.34% Jaedong went down by 0.2%, going from 15.37% to 15.17% Dear went down by 0.18%, going from 5.74% to 5.56% Solar went down by 0.13%, going from 7.18% to 7.05% Classic went down by 0.13%, going from 9.98% to 9.84% YoDa went down by 0.12%, going from 2.46% to 2.34% MajOr went down by 0.1%, going from 5.64% to 5.53%
GuMiho vs Heartin in DreamHack Tours round of 16. GuMiho is at 24.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 28.72%, or 19.82% if they lose. Heart is at 0.51% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.72%, or 0.33% if they lose.
PartinG vs MaNain in DreamHack Tours round of 16. PartinG is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. MaNa is at 5.36% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.78%, or 4.53% if they lose.
Rain vs Sanin in DreamHack Tours round of 16. Rain is at 79.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 82.54%, or 72.69% if they lose. San is at 0.32% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.53% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.48%, or 0.23% if they lose.
MarineKing vs Lilbowin in DreamHack Tours round of 16. MarineKing is at 0.4% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.56%, or 0.25% if they lose. Lilbow is at 8.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.62% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 10.16%, or 6.94% if they lose.
HyuN vs FanTaSyin in DreamHack Tours round of 16. HyuN is at 14.9% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.81%, or 12.63% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 75.15% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 80.15%, or 68.74% if they lose.
Sacsri vs Patiencein in DreamHack Tours round of 16. Sacsri is at 5.55% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.46%, or 4.29% if they lose. Patience is at 2.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.62%, or 1.6% if they lose.
Snute vs Harstemin in DreamHack Tours round of 16. Snute is at 23.58% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.65% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 26.44%, or 19.69% if they lose. Harstem is at 4.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.49%, or 3.58% if they lose.
TRUE vs Hydrain in DreamHack Tours round of 16. TRUE is at 2.56% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.46%, or 1.83% if they lose. Hydra is at 90.61% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 93.69%, or 86.81% if they lose.
DH Tours Winning Chances PartinG has a 13.19% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Rain has a 11.69% chance to win ----going from 79.04% to 93.25% if they get 1st, or 86.57% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 10.55% chance to win ----going from 75.15% to 91.49% if they get 1st, or 83.7% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 10.2% chance to win ----going from 90.61% to 98.97% if they get 1st, or 95.91% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 7.31% chance to win ----going from 24.64% to 43.68% if they get 1st, or 32.25% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Snute has a 6.1% chance to win ----going from 23.58% to 41.23% if they get 1st, or 30.6% if they get 2nd. TRUE has a 5.96% chance to win ----going from 2.56% to 6.61% if they get 1st, or 2.3% if they don't. Sacsri has a 5.64% chance to win ----going from 5.55% to 12.16% if they get 1st, or 8.03% if they get 2nd. Lilbow has a 5.62% chance to win ----going from 8.6% to 17.1% if they get 1st, or 12.07% if they get 2nd. HyuN has a 5.2% chance to win ----going from 14.9% to 27.72% if they get 1st, or 20.38% if they get 2nd. Heart has a 3.98% chance to win ----going from 0.51% to 1.8% if they get 1st, or 0.45% if they don't. Harstem has a 3.24% chance to win ----going from 4.39% to 10.52% if they get 1st, or 4.18% if they don't. Patience has a 3.1% chance to win ----going from 2.03% to 5.96% if they get 1st, or 1.9% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.95% chance to win ----going from 5.36% to 12.88% if they get 1st, or 8.67% if they get 2nd. San has a 2.68% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 1.44% if they get 1st, or 0.29% if they don't. MarineKing has a 2.59% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 2.06% if they get 1st, or 0.36% if they don't.
Biggest Winners Dark went up by 0.58%, going from 53.02% to 53.6% INnoVation went up by 0.56%, going from 51.07% to 51.62% Soulkey went up by 0.54%, going from 53.26% to 53.8% Rogue went up by 0.48%, going from 53.16% to 53.64% ByuL went up by 0.42%, going from 59.02% to 59.45% Stats went up by 0.38%, going from 57.4% to 57.78% Dream went up by 0.33%, going from 84.9% to 85.23% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Bbyong went up by 0.3%, going from 20.12% to 20.42% Polt went up by 0.29%, going from 90.38% to 90.67% sOs went up by 0.27%, going from 19.4% to 19.68% Trap went up by 0.24%, going from 15.29% to 15.53% Zest went up by 0.24%, going from 90.23% to 90.47% Jaedong went up by 0.2%, going from 15.43% to 15.63% Bomber went up by 0.19%, going from 12.06% to 12.24% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.18%, going from 8.45% to 8.63% Classic went up by 0.15%, going from 10.02% to 10.18% TY went up by 0.13%, going from 8.21% to 8.34% Solar went up by 0.13%, going from 7.19% to 7.32%
Biggest Losers Rain went down by 1.21%, going from 75.62% to 74.4% ForGG went down by 1.17%, going from 62.7% to 61.53% FanTaSy went down by 0.99%, going from 71.43% to 70.43% GuMiho went down by 0.6%, going from 21.19% to 20.59% Hydra went down by 0.47%, going from 87.76% to 87.29% MMA went down by 0.38%, going from 18.22% to 17.83% Bunny went down by 0.34%, going from 24.33% to 23.99% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
HyuN went down by 0.32%, going from 13.3% to 12.97% Lilbow went down by 0.22%, going from 7.34% to 7.13% Snute went down by 0.18%, going from 18.94% to 18.76% MarineLorD went down by 0.15%, going from 6.45% to 6.3% Sacsri went down by 0.14%, going from 4.46% to 4.32% TRUE went down by 0.13%, going from 2.15% to 2.02%
Biggest Winners Snute went up by 22.94%, going from 18.94% to 41.89%
Biggest Losers ForGG went down by 2.84%, going from 62.7% to 59.86% FanTaSy went down by 2.36%, going from 71.43% to 69.07% Rain went down by 2.25%, going from 75.62% to 73.37% GuMiho went down by 1.37%, going from 21.19% to 19.82% MMA went down by 1.25%, going from 18.22% to 16.97% Hydra went down by 1.24%, going from 87.76% to 86.52% Bunny went down by 1.01%, going from 24.33% to 23.33% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Soulkey went down by 0.66%, going from 53.26% to 52.6% HyuN went down by 0.66%, going from 13.3% to 12.64% Dream went down by 0.56%, going from 84.9% to 84.34% ByuL went down by 0.55%, going from 59.02% to 58.47% INnoVation went down by 0.54%, going from 51.07% to 50.52% Dark went down by 0.54%, going from 53.02% to 52.49% MarineLorD went down by 0.53%, going from 6.45% to 5.92% Stats went down by 0.48%, going from 57.4% to 56.93% Lilbow went down by 0.44%, going from 7.34% to 6.9% Bbyong went down by 0.41%, going from 20.12% to 19.71% Rogue went down by 0.37%, going from 53.16% to 52.8% Polt went down by 0.32%, going from 90.38% to 90.06% Petraeus went down by 0.3%, going from 4.68% to 4.37% Trap went down by 0.26%, going from 15.29% to 15.02% TY went down by 0.26%, going from 8.21% to 7.95% TRUE went down by 0.25%, going from 2.15% to 1.9% Sacsri went down by 0.23%, going from 4.46% to 4.22% Bomber went down by 0.23%, going from 12.06% to 11.83% Leenock went down by 0.21%, going from 1.68% to 1.47% Jaedong went down by 0.2%, going from 15.43% to 15.22% FireCake went down by 0.2%, going from 3.69% to 3.49% MaSa went down by 0.16%, going from 3.89% to 3.73% TLO went down by 0.15%, going from 2.04% to 1.89% viOLet went down by 0.13%, going from 5.39% to 5.26% Dear went down by 0.13%, going from 5.75% to 5.62% YoDa went down by 0.12%, going from 2.43% to 2.31% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.12%, going from 8.45% to 8.33% Terminator went down by 0.12%, going from 2.13% to 2.01% MaNa went down by 0.11%, going from 4.15% to 4.04% Harstem went down by 0.11%, going from 3.09% to 2.98% sOs went down by 0.1%, going from 19.4% to 19.3%
(Sim ID #1651 vs #1671) Biggest Winners GuMiho went up by 8.21%, going from 21.19% to 29.4% Rain went up by 6.86%, going from 75.62% to 82.48% HyuN went up by 4.6%, going from 13.3% to 17.89% Harstem went up by 2.53%, going from 3.09% to 5.62% TRUE went up by 1.34%, going from 2.15% to 3.49% Patience went up by 1.08%, going from 1.61% to 2.69% Snute went up by 0.84%, going from 18.94% to 19.78% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
ByuL went up by 0.4%, going from 59.02% to 59.43% MaNa went up by 0.39%, going from 4.15% to 4.54% MarineKing went up by 0.33%, going from 0.26% to 0.59%
Biggest Losers ForGG went down by 6.22%, going from 62.7% to 56.48% Bunny went down by 3.64%, going from 24.33% to 20.69% MMA went down by 3.24%, going from 18.22% to 14.97% FanTaSy went down by 2.6%, going from 71.43% to 68.83% MarineLorD went down by 1.38%, going from 6.45% to 5.07% Hydra went down by 0.91%, going from 87.76% to 86.85% Petraeus went down by 0.91%, going from 4.68% to 3.77% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
FireCake went down by 0.71%, going from 3.69% to 2.98% Leenock went down by 0.48%, going from 1.68% to 1.2% Stats went down by 0.45%, going from 57.4% to 56.95% Lilbow went down by 0.42%, going from 7.34% to 6.93% Dark went down by 0.4%, going from 53.02% to 52.63% Rogue went down by 0.36%, going from 53.16% to 52.81% INnoVation went down by 0.35%, going from 51.07% to 50.72% TLO went down by 0.32%, going from 2.04% to 1.72% Soulkey went down by 0.32%, going from 53.26% to 52.94% Dream went down by 0.3%, going from 84.9% to 84.6% sOs went down by 0.28%, going from 19.4% to 19.12% Polt went down by 0.24%, going from 90.38% to 90.14% Zest went down by 0.24%, going from 90.23% to 89.99% Bbyong went down by 0.22%, going from 20.12% to 19.9% Bomber went down by 0.21%, going from 12.06% to 11.84% Sacsri went down by 0.18%, going from 4.46% to 4.28% Trap went down by 0.18%, going from 15.29% to 15.11% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.16%, going from 8.45% to 8.29% Jaedong went down by 0.15%, going from 15.43% to 15.28% Classic went down by 0.14%, going from 10.02% to 9.88%
PartinG vs Rainin in DreamHack Tours quarterfinals. PartinG is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.49% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. Rain is at 82.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 87.31%, or 77.93% if they lose.
HyuN vs Harstemin in DreamHack Tours quarterfinals. HyuN is at 17.89% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.32%, or 15.05% if they lose. Harstem is at 5.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.87%, or 4.55% if they lose.
MarineKing vs GuMihoin in DreamHack Tours quarterfinals. MarineKing is at 0.59% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.9%, or 0.39% if they lose. GuMiho is at 29.4% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 33.05%, or 23.71% if they lose.
Patience vs TRUEin in DreamHack Tours quarterfinals. Patience is at 2.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.5%, or 2.06% if they lose. TRUE is at 3.49% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.3%, or 2.45% if they lose.
PartinG has a 20.42% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Rain has a 17.83% chance to win ----going from 82.48% to 93.38% if they get 1st, or 86.64% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 14.83% chance to win ----going from 29.4% to 43.85% if they get 1st, or 32.43% if they get 2nd. TRUE has a 13.76% chance to win ----going from 3.49% to 6.68% if they get 1st, or 2.98% if they don't. HyuN has a 11.97% chance to win ----going from 17.89% to 27.63% if they get 1st, or 20.51% if they get 2nd. Harstem has a 7.89% chance to win ----going from 5.62% to 10.56% if they get 1st, or 7.1% if they get 2nd. Patience has a 7.51% chance to win ----going from 2.69% to 5.96% if they get 1st, or 2.42% if they don't. MarineKing has a 5.79% chance to win ----going from 0.59% to 2.1% if they get 1st, or 0.5% if they don't.
Branch Sim ID #1672 Biggest Winners Dark went up by 0.48%, going from 52.61% to 53.09% Stats went up by 0.47%, going from 56.97% to 57.44% Soulkey went up by 0.47%, going from 52.95% to 53.42% FanTaSy went up by 0.39%, going from 68.84% to 69.23% INnoVation went up by 0.37%, going from 50.73% to 51.1% Rogue went up by 0.36%, going from 52.82% to 53.18% ByuL went up by 0.33%, going from 59.41% to 59.74% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
ForGG went up by 0.31%, going from 56.5% to 56.81% Polt went up by 0.31%, going from 90.15% to 90.46% Bbyong went up by 0.3%, going from 19.92% to 20.22% Dream went up by 0.26%, going from 84.59% to 84.85% Trap went up by 0.25%, going from 15.12% to 15.37% Zest went up by 0.22%, going from 89.99% to 90.21% MMA went up by 0.21%, going from 14.97% to 15.18% TY went up by 0.19%, going from 8.15% to 8.35% Jaedong went up by 0.19%, going from 15.27% to 15.46% Hydra went up by 0.19%, going from 86.83% to 87.02% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.19%, going from 8.3% to 8.49% sOs went up by 0.17%, going from 19.13% to 19.3% Bunny went up by 0.17%, going from 20.69% to 20.85% Snute went up by 0.16%, going from 19.78% to 19.94% Dear went up by 0.16%, going from 5.69% to 5.85% Classic went up by 0.16%, going from 9.86% to 10.02% Solar went up by 0.14%, going from 7.09% to 7.23% MarineLorD went up by 0.12%, going from 5.07% to 5.19% Bomber went up by 0.11%, going from 11.86% to 11.97%
Biggest Losers Rain went down by 4.37%, going from 82.47% to 78.1% GuMiho went down by 1.63%, going from 29.38% to 27.75% HyuN went down by 1.31%, going from 17.89% to 16.57% Harstem went down by 0.39%, going from 5.62% to 5.24% TRUE went down by 0.32%, going from 3.49% to 3.17% Patience went down by 0.12%, going from 2.7% to 2.58%
Branch Sim ID #1673 Biggest Winners Harstem went up by 5.01%, going from 5.62% to 10.63% Rogue went up by 0.27%, going from 52.82% to 53.09% Dark went up by 0.22%, going from 52.61% to 52.83% Bbyong went up by 0.22%, going from 19.92% to 20.14% ForGG went up by 0.21%, going from 56.5% to 56.71% Stats went up by 0.21%, going from 56.97% to 57.18% Bunny went up by 0.19%, going from 20.69% to 20.87% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Zest went up by 0.16%, going from 89.99% to 90.16% Bomber went up by 0.15%, going from 11.86% to 12.01% Dream went up by 0.14%, going from 84.59% to 84.73% Jaedong went up by 0.12%, going from 15.27% to 15.38% ByuL went up by 0.11%, going from 59.41% to 59.52% TY went up by 0.11%, going from 8.15% to 8.26% Soulkey went up by 0.1%, going from 52.95% to 53.06%
Biggest Losers HyuN went down by 2.65%, going from 17.89% to 15.24% Rain went down by 2.28%, going from 82.47% to 80.19% GuMiho went down by 1.97%, going from 29.38% to 27.41% TRUE went down by 0.39%, going from 3.49% to 3.1% Classic went down by 0.15%, going from 9.86% to 9.71% FanTaSy went down by 0.11%, going from 68.84% to 68.74%
Branch Sim ID #1674 Biggest Winners MarineKing went up by 1.51%, going from 0.59% to 2.1% Dark went up by 0.41%, going from 52.61% to 53.02% Rogue went up by 0.4%, going from 52.82% to 53.22% sOs went up by 0.38%, going from 19.13% to 19.51% ByuL went up by 0.37%, going from 59.41% to 59.78% INnoVation went up by 0.37%, going from 50.73% to 51.09% Polt went up by 0.34%, going from 90.15% to 90.49% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Zest went up by 0.33%, going from 89.99% to 90.32% Snute went up by 0.31%, going from 19.78% to 20.09% Hydra went up by 0.3%, going from 86.83% to 87.14% MMA went up by 0.29%, going from 14.97% to 15.26% Soulkey went up by 0.29%, going from 52.95% to 53.25% Stats went up by 0.29%, going from 56.97% to 57.26% FanTaSy went up by 0.26%, going from 68.84% to 69.11% Bomber went up by 0.25%, going from 11.86% to 12.11% Classic went up by 0.2%, going from 9.86% to 10.06% Jaedong went up by 0.19%, going from 15.27% to 15.46% Bbyong went up by 0.15%, going from 19.92% to 20.08% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.14%, going from 8.3% to 8.45% Bunny went up by 0.14%, going from 20.69% to 20.83% Sen went up by 0.11%, going from 1.44% to 1.55%
Biggest Losers GuMiho went down by 5.83%, going from 29.38% to 23.55% Rain went down by 0.87%, going from 82.47% to 81.6% HyuN went down by 0.84%, going from 17.89% to 17.05% TRUE went down by 0.63%, going from 3.49% to 2.86% Patience went down by 0.18%, going from 2.7% to 2.52% Trap went down by 0.11%, going from 15.12% to 15.01%
Bunny, Kane, Petraeus, and Jimin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 32. Bunny is at 22.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 29.49%, or 10.07% if they lose. Petraeus is at 3.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.14%, or 0.83% if they lose. Kane is at 3.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.33%, or 1.09% if they lose. Jim is at 0.2% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.51%, or 0.05% if they lose.
ForGG has a 15.91% chance to win ----going from 52.23% to 99.34% if they get 1st, or 75.65% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 10.3% chance to win ----going from 87.3% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 9.6% chance to win ----going from 90.64% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Jaedong has a 6.98% chance to win ----going from 19.09% to 83.45% if they get 1st, or 38.13% if they get 2nd. Lilbow has a 5.94% chance to win ----going from 9.27% to 61.6% if they get 1st, or 20.12% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Bunny has a 5.9% chance to win ----going from 22.12% to 97.09% if they get 1st, or 50.88% if they get 2nd. MajOr has a 4.44% chance to win ----going from 5.53% to 50.25% if they get 1st, or 13.51% if they get 2nd. MarineLorD has a 4.41% chance to win ----going from 4.92% to 47.25% if they get 1st, or 2.97% if they don't. Snute has a 4.27% chance to win ----going from 20.36% to 98.35% if they get 1st, or 55.32% if they get 2nd. MaSa has a 3.52% chance to win ----going from 3.87% to 44.62% if they get 1st, or 2.38% if they don't. MaNa has a 3.45% chance to win ----going from 6.79% to 69.36% if they get 1st, or 19.1% if they get 2nd. viOLet has a 3.33% chance to win ----going from 4.79% to 52.83% if they get 1st, or 3.14% if they don't. Petraeus has a 3.24% chance to win ----going from 3.23% to 41.57% if they get 1st, or 1.95% if they don't. Harstem has a 3.1% chance to win ----going from 5.78% to 68.18% if they get 1st, or 16.57% if they get 2nd. GunGFuBanDa has a 2.36% chance to win ----going from 2.02% to 36.02% if they get 1st, or 1.2% if they don't. StarDust has a 1.96% chance to win ----going from 1.82% to 35.25% if they get 1st, or 1.15% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.72% chance to win ----going from 3.13% to 62.76% if they get 1st, or 2.08% if they don't. Kane has a 1.3% chance to win ----going from 3.23% to 74.97% if they get 1st, or 2.29% if they don't. Sen has a 1.28% chance to win ----going from 1.48% to 44.65% if they get 1st, or 0.92% if they don't. elfi has a 1.27% chance to win ----going from 1.13% to 35.72% if they get 1st, or 0.69% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.91% chance to win ----going from 0.84% to 36.4% if they get 1st, or 0.51% if they don't. Ret has a 0.9% chance to win ----going from 0.68% to 31.86% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't. TLO has a 0.78% chance to win ----going from 1.81% to 72.96% if they get 1st, or 1.26% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.63% chance to win ----going from 0.37% to 26.13% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Has has a 0.49% chance to win ----going from 0.73% to 49.23% if they get 1st, or 0.49% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.34% to 29.22% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.39% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 18.82% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Jim has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0.2% to 24.84% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. NXZ has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 16.14% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. TooDming has a 0.27% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 18.14% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.26% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 16.6% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Mystery has a 0.03% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 6.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
StarDust is at 1.75% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.24% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.79%, or 0.47% if they lose. ForGG is at 51.93% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 60.65%, or 31.41% if they lose. TooDming is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.27%, or 0.03% if they lose. Sen is at 1.41% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.74%, or 0.42% if they lose.
On May 18 2015 02:30 sharkie wrote: I cant buy or sell D:
Sorry I'm still on vacation and didn't notice until just now, it's fixed hurry up And I gave a little extra time for trading when WCS starts, I'll keep it unlocked until the games actually start
On May 19 2015 00:48 OtherWorld wrote: When trying to buy sOs it tells me that I can't buy when there is less than 2,000,000 samples, yet I was able to buy MMA just before, why is that?
A new simulation just started now, just give it a couple of minutes and it'll build up the accuracy that I feel comfortable with for WCS Wars.
On May 19 2015 00:48 OtherWorld wrote: When trying to buy sOs it tells me that I can't buy when there is less than 2,000,000 samples, yet I was able to buy MMA just before, why is that?
A new simulation just started now, just give it a couple of minutes and it'll build up the accuracy that I feel comfortable with for WCS Wars.
Curious, MMA, sOs, and Sacsriin in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32. Curious is at 1.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.24%, or 0.37% if they lose. sOs is at 17.32% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.81%, or 7.94% if they lose. MMA is at 10.73% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.35%, or 5.34% if they lose. Sacsri is at 3.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.29%, or 1.39% if they lose.
PartinG has a 14.07% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 11.53% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 9.19% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 9.01% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 8.23% chance to win ----going from 75.56% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.18% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
FanTaSy has a 7.68% chance to win ----going from 68.39% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 97.08% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 5.71% chance to win ----going from 49.35% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 86.99% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 5.42% chance to win ----going from 51.77% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 91.17% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 5.22% chance to win ----going from 30.58% to 96.44% if they get 1st, or 62.71% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 4.89% chance to win ----going from 42.15% to 99.82% if they get 1st, or 81.24% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 4.56% chance to win ----going from 57.82% to 99.69% if they get 1st, or 88.1% if they get 2nd. Bomber has a 3.36% chance to win ----going from 11.66% to 76.24% if they get 1st, or 31.79% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 3.35% chance to win ----going from 99.16% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.13% if they don't. sOs has a 2.91% chance to win ----going from 17.32% to 94.07% if they get 1st, or 53.95% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 1.66% chance to win ----going from 7.55% to 81.72% if they get 1st, or 30.02% if they get 2nd. Sacsri has a 1.42% chance to win ----going from 3.97% to 59.52% if they get 1st, or 3.17% if they don't. MMA has a 1.16% chance to win ----going from 10.73% to 95.53% if they get 1st, or 51.76% if they get 2nd. Curious has a 0.66% chance to win ----going from 1.18% to 42.01% if they get 1st, or 0.91% if they don't.
Maru vs herOin in StarLeague Season 2 quarterfinals. herO has the #2 Headband. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.21% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Life vs Dreamin in StarLeague Season 2 quarterfinals. Life has the #1 Headband. Dream has the #4 Headband. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dream is at 99.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 98.44% if they lose.
Life has a 17.16% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 15.64% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 15.2% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 14.58% chance to win ----going from 89.48% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.95% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 10.52% chance to win ----going from 54.9% to 99.92% if they get 1st, or 85.05% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 10.21% chance to win ----going from 59.87% to 99.41% if they get 1st, or 83.08% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 9.71% chance to win ----going from 99.08% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 6.98% chance to win ----going from 26.95% to 92.82% if they get 1st, or 49.38% if they get 2nd.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GSL Ro16 Groups Set With Group of Death Analysis Friday, May 22 4:20pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #1781)
Biggest Winners and Losers from GSL group selections (Sim ID #1780 vs Sim ID #1781) Biggest Winners ByuL went up by 0.88%, going from 59.78% to 60.67% INnoVation went up by 0.38%, going from 49.03% to 49.41% Stats went up by 0.23%, going from 54.88% to 55.11% Dark went up by 0.22%, going from 52.05% to 52.27% Classic went up by 0.17%, going from 26.85% to 27.02% Bbyong went up by 0.16%, going from 28.77% to 28.93% Soulkey went up by 0.16%, going from 21.23% to 21.39% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Hydra went up by 0.14%, going from 86.17% to 86.31% Polt went up by 0.13%, going from 90.18% to 90.31% Zest went up by 0.12%, going from 89.39% to 89.51% ForGG went up by 0.11%, going from 60.34% to 60.45%
Biggest Losers GuMiho went down by 1.93%, going from 41.84% to 39.91% Rogue went down by 0.89%, going from 50.76% to 49.87% FanTaSy went down by 0.63%, going from 68.5% to 67.87% Rain went down by 0.38%, going from 75.41% to 75.03% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.17%, going from 7.54% to 7.37%
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 73.46% up to 73.71% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 26.17% up to 26.42% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 3.82% up to 3.89% Chances of 4+ foreigners from 0.23% up to 0.23%
Bunny15.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 29.82% chance overall. Snute10.84% chance to be the only foreigner, 23.46% chance overall. Lilbow3.95% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.99% chance overall. MaNa2.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.46% chance overall. MarineLorD2.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.36% chance overall. MajOr2.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.18% chance overall. Petraeus2.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.72% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Harstem1.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.36% chance overall. MaSa1.52% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.6% chance overall. FireCake1.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.83% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.77% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.84% chance overall. TLO0.63% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.62% chance overall. elfi0.44% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.05% chance overall. iaguz0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.96% chance overall. Kane0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.68% chance overall. Has0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.65% chance overall. Ret0.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.58% chance overall. ShoWTimE0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.64% chance overall. iAsonu0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall. Kelazhur0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.29% chance overall. Sen0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.23% chance overall. Happy0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.19% chance overall. NaNiwa0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.15% chance overall. Xenocider0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.13% chance overall. Nerchio0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.12% chance overall. TargA0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.12% chance overall. Elazer0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. NXZ0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.09% chance overall. Serral0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.09% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall. Scarlett0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. PtitDrogo0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. Jim0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall.
Dream is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! herO is the current #2 Headband holder with 4 defenses! MyuNgSiK is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Life is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
1.19% of the time 2575 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 10.49% of the time 2750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 28.07% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 52.54% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 70.96% of the time 3100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.78% of the time 3250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.14% of the time 3500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Life, Bomber, Maru, and MyuNgSiKin in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16. Life has the #4 Headband. MyuNgSiK has the #3 Headband. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Bomber is at 11.55% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.65% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 19.77%, or 4.92% if they lose. MyuNgSiK is at 7.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.18% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 14.94%, or 3.07% if they lose.
Bbyong, sOs, INnoVation, and Rainin in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16. Bbyong is at 28.93% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 43.33%, or 15.56% if they lose. INnoVation is at 49.41% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 66.51%, or 31.82% if they lose. sOs is at 25.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.39% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 38.91%, or 12.01% if they lose. Rain is at 75.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 89.34%, or 59.05% if they lose.
herO, Dream, ByuL, and Curiousin in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16. herO has the #2 Headband. Dream has the #1 Headband. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.82% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. ByuL is at 60.67% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 73.34%, or 47.6% if they lose. Dream is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. Curious is at 2.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.79%, or 0.89% if they lose.
PartinG, GuMiho, FanTaSy, and Roguein in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.22% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 67.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 83.9%, or 51.24% if they lose. GuMiho is at 39.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 59.84%, or 25.87% if they lose. Rogue is at 49.87% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 69.89%, or 33.15% if they lose.
PartinG has a 14.23% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 11.49% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 9.11% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 8.96% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 8.05% chance to win ----going from 75.03% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.18% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 7.56% chance to win ----going from 67.86% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 97.2% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 5.65% chance to win ----going from 49.41% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 86.9% if they get 2nd. sOs has a 5.25% chance to win ----going from 25.03% to 94.41% if they get 1st, or 55.29% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 5.05% chance to win ----going from 49.87% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 91.05% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 4.81% chance to win ----going from 28.93% to 96.32% if they get 1st, or 61.6% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 4.61% chance to win ----going from 60.67% to 99.69% if they get 1st, or 89.08% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 4.49% chance to win ----going from 39.92% to 99.83% if they get 1st, or 80.93% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.04% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Bomber has a 3.28% chance to win ----going from 11.55% to 75.9% if they get 1st, or 31.51% if they get 2nd. Curious has a 1.75% chance to win ----going from 2.82% to 44.12% if they get 1st, or 2.08% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.66% chance to win ----going from 7.37% to 81.21% if they get 1st, or 29.53% if they get 2nd.
Group of Death And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Group A Life has a 8.96% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Bomber has a 3.28% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Maru has a 9.11% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 MyuNgSiK has a 1.66% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 23.0124
Group B Bbyong has a 4.81% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 sOs has a 5.25% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 INnoVation has a 5.65% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Rain has a 8.05% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 23.7615
Group C herO has a 11.49% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Dream has a 4.04% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 ByuL has a 4.61% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Curious has a 1.75% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 21.8951
Group D PartinG has a 14.23% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 GuMiho has a 4.49% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 FanTaSy has a 7.56% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Rogue has a 5.05% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 31.331
Group A Life has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Bomber has a 11.55% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Maru has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MyuNgSiK has a 7.37% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 218.919
Group B Bbyong has a 28.93% chance to qualify for Blizzcon sOs has a 25.03% chance to qualify for Blizzcon INnoVation has a 49.41% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Rain has a 75.03% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 178.397
Group C herO has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dream has a 99.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon ByuL has a 60.67% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Curious has a 2.82% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 263.483
Group D PartinG has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon GuMiho has a 39.92% chance to qualify for Blizzcon FanTaSy has a 67.86% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Rogue has a 49.87% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 257.655
Group A Life's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Bomber's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.04% Maru's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% MyuNgSiK's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.18% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.131409
Group B Bbyong's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.16% sOs's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.07% INnoVation's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.37% Rain's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.38% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.22348
Group C herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Dream's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.88% Curious's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.06% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.944042
Group D PartinG's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% GuMiho's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.92% FanTaSy's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.63% Rogue's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.89% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 3.44073
Group A When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When Bomber wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.22% When Bomber loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 6.63% When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When MyuNgSiK wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.57% When MyuNgSiK loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.29% Giving this match an Effects Score of 26.7108
Group B When Bbyong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 14.4% When Bbyong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 13.37% When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 13.88% When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 13.01% When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 17.1% When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 17.58% When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 14.31% When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 15.98% Giving this match an Effects Score of 119.636
Group C When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When Dream wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Dream loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 12.67% When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 13.07% When Curious wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.98% When Curious loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.93% Giving this match an Effects Score of 30.6457
Group D When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When GuMiho wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 19.92% When GuMiho loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 14.05% When FanTaSy wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 16.04% When FanTaSy loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.63% When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 20.02% When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.73% Giving this match an Effects Score of 103.377
Group A Life has an Aligulac rating of 2258 Bomber has an Aligulac rating of 2013 Maru has an Aligulac rating of 2259 MyuNgSiK has an Aligulac rating of 1860 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8390
Group B Bbyong has an Aligulac rating of 2130 sOs has an Aligulac rating of 2069 INnoVation has an Aligulac rating of 2150 Rain has an Aligulac rating of 2194 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8543
Group C herO has an Aligulac rating of 2292 Dream has an Aligulac rating of 2098 ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 2074 Curious has an Aligulac rating of 1888 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8352
Group D PartinG has an Aligulac rating of 2341 GuMiho has an Aligulac rating of 2125 FanTaSy has an Aligulac rating of 2235 Rogue has an Aligulac rating of 2121 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8822
Final Placings Group A has one 2nd place, three 3rd places, and one 4th place Group B has one 1st place, two 2nd places, one 3rd place, and one 4th place Group C has one 1st place, one 3rd place, and three 4th places Group D has three 1st places, and two 2nd places
Group D is our Group of Death! Congrats to PartinG, GuMiho, FanTaSy, and Rogue! Group B is our 2nd place Group of Death with Bbyong, sOs, INnoVation, and Rain!
What do you think?
Poll: Group of Death?
Group A (Life, MyuNgSiK, Bomber, Maru) (190)
38%
Group C (herO, Dream, Curious, ByuL) (130)
26%
Group B (INnoVation, Rain, sOs, Bbyong) (111)
22%
There is no Group of Death (49)
10%
Group D (PartinG, GuMiho, Rogue, FanTaSy) (15)
3%
495 total votes
Your vote: Group of Death?
(Vote): Group A (Life, MyuNgSiK, Bomber, Maru) (Vote): Group B (INnoVation, Rain, sOs, Bbyong) (Vote): Group C (herO, Dream, Curious, ByuL) (Vote): Group D (PartinG, GuMiho, Rogue, FanTaSy) (Vote): There is no Group of Death
Mystery, MarineLorD, Ret, and viOLetin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 32. Mystery is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 18.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Ret is at 0.58% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.65% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.95%, or 0.14% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 5.35% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.25%, or 1.43% if they lose. viOLet is at 4.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.49% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.22%, or 1.37% if they lose.
ForGG has a 22.17% chance to win ----going from 60.42% to 99.33% if they get 1st, or 75.41% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 9.19% chance to win ----going from 30.25% to 97.15% if they get 1st, or 52.16% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 9.18% chance to win ----going from 86.61% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.98% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 8.65% chance to win ----going from 90.3% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Jaedong has a 5.64% chance to win ----going from 16.99% to 82.39% if they get 1st, or 36.52% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Lilbow has a 5.27% chance to win ----going from 8.97% to 61.38% if they get 1st, or 20.43% if they get 2nd. Petraeus has a 5.1% chance to win ----going from 4.72% to 40.9% if they get 1st, or 2.78% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 4.28% chance to win ----going from 5.35% to 48.46% if they get 1st, or 12.84% if they get 2nd. MajOr has a 3.9% chance to win ----going from 5.15% to 49.6% if they get 1st, or 13.44% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 3.83% chance to win ----going from 22.93% to 99.08% if they get 1st, or 61.99% if they get 2nd. StarDust has a 3.25% chance to win ----going from 2.9% to 35.79% if they get 1st, or 1.8% if they don't. MaSa has a 3.09% chance to win ----going from 3.6% to 43.86% if they get 1st, or 2.31% if they don't. viOLet has a 2.75% chance to win ----going from 4.26% to 52.01% if they get 1st, or 2.9% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.68% chance to win ----going from 5.48% to 67.23% if they get 1st, or 17.36% if they get 2nd. Harstem has a 2.17% chance to win ----going from 4.33% to 65.6% if they get 1st, or 2.97% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.86% chance to win ----going from 1.63% to 34.17% if they get 1st, or 1.01% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.46% chance to win ----going from 2.84% to 61.89% if they get 1st, or 1.96% if they don't. elfi has a 1.14% chance to win ----going from 1.05% to 35.02% if they get 1st, or 0.66% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.85% chance to win ----going from 0.91% to 37.18% if they get 1st, or 0.6% if they don't. Ret has a 0.71% chance to win ----going from 0.58% to 30.43% if they get 1st, or 0.37% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.63% chance to win ----going from 0.42% to 27.14% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. TLO has a 0.62% chance to win ----going from 1.61% to 71.64% if they get 1st, or 1.17% if they don't. Has has a 0.41% chance to win ----going from 0.65% to 48.52% if they get 1st, or 0.46% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.34% chance to win ----going from 0.3% to 28.42% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 17.75% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.26% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 17.22% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. NXZ has a 0.25% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 15.73% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Mystery has a 0.02% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 5.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
Harstem, Xenocider, NXZ, and iAsonuin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 32. Harstem is at 4.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.18% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.88%, or 1.3% if they lose. NXZ is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.2%, or 0.02% if they lose. Xenocider is at 0.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.64% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.26%, or 0.03% if they lose. iAsonu is at 0.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.73%, or 0.1% if they lose.
ForGG has a 22.63% chance to win ----going from 60.76% to 99.34% if they get 1st, or 75.49% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 9.23% chance to win ----going from 86.68% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 9.22% chance to win ----going from 30.35% to 97.16% if they get 1st, or 52.29% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 8.71% chance to win ----going from 90.34% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. MarineLorD has a 6.06% chance to win ----going from 6.73% to 47.29% if they get 1st, or 12.18% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Jaedong has a 5.59% chance to win ----going from 17.02% to 82.34% if they get 1st, or 36.67% if they get 2nd. Petraeus has a 5.13% chance to win ----going from 4.76% to 40.91% if they get 1st, or 2.81% if they don't. Lilbow has a 5.11% chance to win ----going from 8.9% to 61.51% if they get 1st, or 20.61% if they get 2nd. MajOr has a 3.94% chance to win ----going from 5.22% to 49.85% if they get 1st, or 13.49% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 3.8% chance to win ----going from 23.04% to 99.04% if they get 1st, or 61.98% if they get 2nd. StarDust has a 3.19% chance to win ----going from 2.88% to 35.7% if they get 1st, or 1.79% if they don't. MaSa has a 3.1% chance to win ----going from 3.61% to 43.94% if they get 1st, or 2.32% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.68% chance to win ----going from 5.51% to 67.26% if they get 1st, or 17.38% if they get 2nd. Harstem has a 2.09% chance to win ----going from 4.28% to 65.58% if they get 1st, or 2.97% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.83% chance to win ----going from 1.62% to 33.99% if they get 1st, or 1.01% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.47% chance to win ----going from 2.85% to 61.91% if they get 1st, or 1.97% if they don't. Ret has a 1.45% chance to win ----going from 1.16% to 32.57% if they get 1st, or 0.69% if they don't. elfi has a 1.14% chance to win ----going from 1.05% to 35.21% if they get 1st, or 0.66% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.83% chance to win ----going from 0.9% to 36.98% if they get 1st, or 0.6% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.63% chance to win ----going from 0.42% to 27.35% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. TLO has a 0.62% chance to win ----going from 1.62% to 71.84% if they get 1st, or 1.19% if they don't. Has has a 0.4% chance to win ----going from 0.65% to 48.35% if they get 1st, or 0.46% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.3% to 28.76% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 18.01% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.26% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 17.38% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. NXZ has a 0.25% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 15.95% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't.
Gfinity Summer 1 in ~ 10 days and 19 hours PartinG has a 23.48% chance to win, going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. TRUE has a 13.35% chance to win, going from 6.69% to 9.04% if they get 1st, or 7.67% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 10.57% chance to win, going from 22.91% to 28.88% if they get 1st, or 22.2% if they don't. First has a 5.46% chance to win, going from 0.42% to 0.72% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't.
Same happens with DH Valencia. This is mildly confusing, either show for all player what happens, when they get 1st/2nd or show for all what happens if 1st/not 1st. But jumping between makes this weird to read.
On May 26 2015 04:36 mahrgell wrote: Gfinity Summer 1 in ~ 10 days and 19 hours PartinG has a 23.48% chance to win, going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. TRUE has a 13.35% chance to win, going from 6.69% to 9.04% if they get 1st, or 7.67% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 10.57% chance to win, going from 22.91% to 28.88% if they get 1st, or 22.2% if they don't. First has a 5.46% chance to win, going from 0.42% to 0.72% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't.
Same happens with DH Valencia. This is mildly confusing, either show for all player what happens, when they get 1st/2nd or show for all what happens if 1st/not 1st. But jumping between makes this weird to read.
Yea maybe I'll make it always show 1st/not 1st, and then I still need to reimplement the table of placements to Blizzcon Chances anyways.
The table I'm talking about is like this one from last year
On May 26 2015 04:36 mahrgell wrote: Gfinity Summer 1 in ~ 10 days and 19 hours PartinG has a 23.48% chance to win, going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. TRUE has a 13.35% chance to win, going from 6.69% to 9.04% if they get 1st, or 7.67% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 10.57% chance to win, going from 22.91% to 28.88% if they get 1st, or 22.2% if they don't. First has a 5.46% chance to win, going from 0.42% to 0.72% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't.
Same happens with DH Valencia. This is mildly confusing, either show for all player what happens, when they get 1st/2nd or show for all what happens if 1st/not 1st. But jumping between makes this weird to read.
Gfinity Summer 1 is not longer in 10 days. It's been moved to August 7th to 9th.
MyuNgSiK, Maru, Bomber, and Lifein in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16. MyuNgSiK has the #3 Headband. Life has the #4 Headband. MyuNgSiK is at 7.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 14.42%, or 2.89% if they lose. Bomber is at 10.59% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.49%, or 4.41% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
PartinG has a 14.81% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 10.52% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 9.3% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 9.28% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 7.97% chance to win ----going from 75.1% to 100% if they get 1st, or 72.95% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
FanTaSy has a 7.51% chance to win ----going from 67.82% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 65.21% if they don't. INnoVation has a 5.72% chance to win ----going from 49.69% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 46.64% if they don't. sOs has a 5.25% chance to win ----going from 24.99% to 94.86% if they get 1st, or 21.13% if they don't. Rogue has a 4.99% chance to win ----going from 49.79% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 47.15% if they don't. ByuL has a 4.83% chance to win ----going from 62.01% to 99.76% if they get 1st, or 60.09% if they don't. Bbyong has a 4.78% chance to win ----going from 28.72% to 96.66% if they get 1st, or 25.3% if they don't. GuMiho has a 4.5% chance to win ----going from 40.04% to 99.86% if they get 1st, or 37.22% if they don't. Dream has a 4.21% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Bomber has a 3.04% chance to win ----going from 10.59% to 75.86% if they get 1st, or 8.54% if they don't. Curious has a 1.72% chance to win ----going from 2.75% to 44.31% if they get 1st, or 2.03% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.57% chance to win ----going from 7.01% to 81.95% if they get 1st, or 5.81% if they don't.
ByuL vs Classicin in StarLeague Season 2 quarterfinals. ByuL is at 61.95% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 79.66%, or 42.23% if they lose. Classic is at 26.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 43.03%, or 11.03% if they lose.
Stats vs Zestin in StarLeague Season 2 quarterfinals. Stats is at 55.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 79.77%, or 35.33% if they lose. Zest is at 89.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.25%, or 78.13% if they lose.
Dream has a 29.66% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. herO has a 25.54% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 15.55% chance to win ----going from 89.69% to 100% if they get 1st, or 87.79% if they don't. Stats has a 11.33% chance to win ----going from 55.46% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 49.78% if they don't. ByuL has a 11.17% chance to win ----going from 61.95% to 99.59% if they get 1st, or 57.21% if they don't. Classic has a 6.74% chance to win ----going from 26.18% to 93.25% if they get 1st, or 21.33% if they don't.
Lilbow, Kelazhur, Hydra, and Snutein in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 32. This is the Group of Death! Lilbow is at 8.43% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.98% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.29%, or 2.89% if they lose. Hydra is at 85.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 93.26%, or 74.89% if they lose. Kelazhur is at 0.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.66%, or 0.08% if they lose. Snute is at 24.71% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 35.44%, or 13.92% if they lose.
ForGG has a 22.1% chance to win ----going from 59.47% to 99.35% if they get 1st, or 48.16% if they don't. Bunny has a 9.11% chance to win ----going from 29.35% to 97.17% if they get 1st, or 22.55% if they don't. Polt has a 8.57% chance to win ----going from 89.82% to 100% if they get 1st, or 88.86% if they don't. Hydra has a 8.56% chance to win ----going from 85.46% to 100% if they get 1st, or 84.1% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 6.02% chance to win ----going from 6.39% to 46.14% if they get 1st, or 3.85% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Jaedong has a 5.48% chance to win ----going from 16.31% to 81.77% if they get 1st, or 12.51% if they don't. Petraeus has a 5.01% chance to win ----going from 4.5% to 39.71% if they get 1st, or 2.64% if they don't. Lilbow has a 4.98% chance to win ----going from 8.43% to 60.49% if they get 1st, or 5.7% if they don't. Snute has a 4.35% chance to win ----going from 24.71% to 99.17% if they get 1st, or 21.32% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.81% chance to win ----going from 4.89% to 48.63% if they get 1st, or 3.15% if they don't. Harstem has a 3.64% chance to win ----going from 6.53% to 66.43% if they get 1st, or 4.27% if they don't. StarDust has a 3.06% chance to win ----going from 2.69% to 35.04% if they get 1st, or 1.67% if they don't. MaSa has a 3.01% chance to win ----going from 3.37% to 42.9% if they get 1st, or 2.15% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.97% chance to win ----going from 6.17% to 68.07% if they get 1st, or 4.28% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.63% chance to win ----going from 1.35% to 32.15% if they get 1st, or 0.84% if they don't. Ret has a 1.43% chance to win ----going from 1.08% to 31.51% if they get 1st, or 0.64% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.4% chance to win ----going from 2.66% to 61.15% if they get 1st, or 1.83% if they don't. iAsonu has a 1.4% chance to win ----going from 0.85% to 28.33% if they get 1st, or 0.46% if they don't. elfi has a 1.07% chance to win ----going from 0.96% to 34.13% if they get 1st, or 0.61% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.81% chance to win ----going from 0.83% to 35.71% if they get 1st, or 0.55% if they don't. TLO has a 0.59% chance to win ----going from 1.5% to 71.37% if they get 1st, or 1.08% if they don't. Has has a 0.38% chance to win ----going from 0.62% to 47.68% if they get 1st, or 0.44% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.28% to 28.09% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.3% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 18.14% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't.
PartinG, GuMiho, FanTaSy, and Roguein in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16. This is the Group of Death! PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.59% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 67.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 83.49%, or 50.12% if they lose. GuMiho is at 39.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 59.47%, or 25.27% if they lose. Rogue is at 48.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 69.25%, or 32.14% if they lose.
Maru has a 17.2% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 15.15% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 10.37% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 7.98% chance to win ----going from 74.37% to 100% if they get 1st, or 72.14% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 7.58% chance to win ----going from 67.06% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 64.36% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
INnoVation has a 6.19% chance to win ----going from 49.5% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 46.17% if they don't. sOs has a 5.38% chance to win ----going from 24.69% to 94.46% if they get 1st, or 20.73% if they don't. Bbyong has a 4.99% chance to win ----going from 28.53% to 96.34% if they get 1st, or 24.97% if they don't. Rogue has a 4.99% chance to win ----going from 48.94% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 46.26% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 4.87% chance to win ----going from 16.65% to 82.89% if they get 1st, or 13.25% if they don't. GuMiho has a 4.62% chance to win ----going from 39.42% to 99.84% if they get 1st, or 36.5% if they don't. ByuL has a 4.46% chance to win ----going from 38.74% to 99.35% if they get 1st, or 35.91% if they don't. Dream has a 4.46% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Curious has a 1.77% chance to win ----going from 2.7% to 43.59% if they get 1st, or 1.96% if they don't.
Elazer, MajOr, TLO, and Poltin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 32. Elazer is at 0.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.32%, or 0.03% if they lose. TLO is at 1.51% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.97%, or 0.6% if they lose. MajOr is at 4.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.99%, or 1.44% if they lose. Polt is at 90.25% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 95.3%, or 79.87% if they lose.
ForGG has a 20.35% chance to win ----going from 58.93% to 99.4% if they get 1st, or 48.59% if they don't. Hydra has a 14.91% chance to win ----going from 93.72% to 100% if they get 1st, or 92.61% if they don't. Lilbow has a 8.94% chance to win ----going from 13.6% to 62.4% if they get 1st, or 8.81% if they don't. Bunny has a 8.51% chance to win ----going from 29.18% to 97.38% if they get 1st, or 22.83% if they don't. Polt has a 8.12% chance to win ----going from 90.25% to 100% if they get 1st, or 89.38% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MarineLorD has a 5.62% chance to win ----going from 6.33% to 46.82% if they get 1st, or 3.92% if they don't. Jaedong has a 5.15% chance to win ----going from 16.31% to 82.39% if they get 1st, or 12.73% if they don't. Petraeus has a 4.71% chance to win ----going from 4.47% to 40.61% if they get 1st, or 2.68% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.48% chance to win ----going from 4.82% to 49.17% if they get 1st, or 3.22% if they don't. Harstem has a 3.21% chance to win ----going from 5.84% to 66.16% if they get 1st, or 3.84% if they don't. StarDust has a 2.96% chance to win ----going from 2.73% to 35.71% if they get 1st, or 1.72% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.82% chance to win ----going from 6.2% to 68.86% if they get 1st, or 4.38% if they don't. MaSa has a 2.73% chance to win ----going from 3.33% to 43.74% if they get 1st, or 2.2% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.6% chance to win ----going from 1.39% to 32.67% if they get 1st, or 0.88% if they don't. Ret has a 1.37% chance to win ----going from 1.09% to 32.11% if they get 1st, or 0.65% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.32% chance to win ----going from 2.67% to 61.93% if they get 1st, or 1.88% if they don't. iAsonu has a 1.29% chance to win ----going from 0.84% to 28.82% if they get 1st, or 0.47% if they don't. elfi has a 1.01% chance to win ----going from 0.97% to 34.69% if they get 1st, or 0.63% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.73% chance to win ----going from 0.83% to 37.12% if they get 1st, or 0.56% if they don't. TLO has a 0.55% chance to win ----going from 1.51% to 72.35% if they get 1st, or 1.12% if they don't. Has has a 0.36% chance to win ----going from 0.62% to 48.49% if they get 1st, or 0.45% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.28% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 18.66% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't.
On May 31 2015 00:30 Darkened2 wrote: Do you update GPL results before qualifiers for other WCS regions start?
I left IAsonu in my WCS wars roster after his WCS RO32 matches - will I get points for hin requalifying for season 3?
Yea I'm gonna update them today. The thing I don't get is though, what if a Chinese player were to win this season of WCS that didn't make it in GPL? I know it's impossible now but doesn't that ruin the whole GPL straight into premier league thing? Lol, they would either have to deny one of the 4 players that were supposed to make it or deny the champion his seed.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WCS Premier S2 Ro16 Groups Set With Group of Death Analysis Monday, Jun 01 12:30am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #1800)
Biggest Winners and Losers from WCS group drawing (Sim ID #1799 vs Sim ID #1800) Biggest Winners Lilbow went up by 2.11%, going from 13.43% to 15.54% Jaedong went up by 1.31%, going from 22.13% to 23.44% Polt went up by 0.59%, going from 95.14% to 95.73% iaguz went up by 0.23%, going from 1.9% to 2.13% StarDust went up by 0.13%, going from 2.6% to 2.73%
Biggest Losers Bunny went down by 2.93%, going from 29.58% to 26.65% ForGG went down by 1.07%, going from 58.76% to 57.69% Harstem went down by 0.63%, going from 5.35% to 4.72% Hydra went down by 0.36%, going from 93.55% to 93.19% GunGFuBanDa went down by 0.29%, going from 2.07% to 1.78% FireCake went down by 0.1%, going from 6.04% to 5.93%
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 69.53% down to 68.56% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 21.94% down to 21.39% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 2.76% down to 2.68% Chances of 4+ foreigners from 0.14% down to 0.14%
Bunny14.81% chance to be the only foreigner, 26.65% chance overall. Lilbow8.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 15.54% chance overall. Snute6.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 12.78% chance overall. MarineLorD3.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.38% chance overall. FireCake2.83% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.93% chance overall. Harstem2.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.72% chance overall. TLO1.87% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.04% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Petraeus1.83% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.82% chance overall. iaguz1.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.13% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.85% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.78% chance overall. MaNa0.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.67% chance overall. iAsonu0.53% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.09% chance overall. Ret0.5% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.07% chance overall. MajOr0.44% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.92% chance overall. Kane0.32% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.67% chance overall. MaSa0.3% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.63% chance overall. Sen0.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.52% chance overall. ShoWTimE0.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.56% chance overall. elfi0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.31% chance overall. Happy0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.16% chance overall. Has0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.15% chance overall. Jim0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.13% chance overall. NaNiwa0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.14% chance overall. Kelazhur0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. Nerchio0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. TargA0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. Serral0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. Scarlett0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. PiG0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. PtitDrogo0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. Welmu0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall.
Dream is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! herO is the current #2 Headband holder with 4 defenses! Maru is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MyuNgSiK is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
0.9% of the time 2550 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.06% of the time 2725 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 30.95% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 51.17% of the time 2975 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 70.71% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.64% of the time 3225 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.96% of the time 3450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
GunGFuBanDa, Bunny, Hydra, and ForGG (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 16. GunGFuBanDa is at 1.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.28%, or 0.65% if they lose. Hydra is at 93.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 97.86%, or 86.18% if they lose. Bunny is at 26.65% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.59% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 41.2%, or 14.94% if they lose. ForGG is at 57.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.22% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 69.05%, or 37.31% if they lose.
Polt, Harstem, FireCake, and MarineLorD (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 16. Polt is at 95.73% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.31% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.7%, or 89.63% if they lose. FireCake is at 5.93% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 10.26%, or 2.35% if they lose. Harstem is at 4.72% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 9.77%, or 2.07% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 6.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 10.15%, or 2.13% if they lose.
iAsonu, Lilbow, iaguz, and TLO (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 16. iAsonu is at 1.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.41% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.42%, or 0.4% if they lose. iaguz is at 2.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.56%, or 0.6% if they lose. Lilbow is at 15.53% Blizzcon Chances, with a 72.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 19.47%, or 5.29% if they lose. TLO is at 4.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.51%, or 1.58% if they lose.
Jaedong, StarDust, Ret, and Petraeus (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 16. Jaedong is at 23.44% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 30.11%, or 11.07% if they lose. Ret is at 1.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.13%, or 0.34% if they lose. StarDust is at 2.73% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.68% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.71%, or 0.92% if they lose. Petraeus is at 3.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.68%, or 1.29% if they lose.
ForGG has a 19.19% chance to win ----going from 57.69% to 99.39% if they get 1st, or 47.79% if they don't. Hydra has a 13.5% chance to win ----going from 93.18% to 100% if they get 1st, or 92.12% if they don't. Polt has a 12.88% chance to win ----going from 95.73% to 100% if they get 1st, or 95.1% if they don't. Lilbow has a 10.92% chance to win ----going from 15.53% to 62.05% if they get 1st, or 9.83% if they don't. Jaedong has a 9.33% chance to win ----going from 23.44% to 82.55% if they get 1st, or 17.36% if they don't. Bunny has a 7.2% chance to win ----going from 26.65% to 97.44% if they get 1st, or 21.16% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 5.69% chance to win ----going from 6.38% to 46.67% if they get 1st, or 3.95% if they don't. Petraeus has a 3.96% chance to win ----going from 3.82% to 38.95% if they get 1st, or 2.37% if they don't. FireCake has a 3.22% chance to win ----going from 5.93% to 64.37% if they get 1st, or 3.99% if they don't. StarDust has a 2.91% chance to win ----going from 2.73% to 35.18% if they get 1st, or 1.75% if they don't. iaguz has a 2.43% chance to win ----going from 2.13% to 37.01% if they get 1st, or 1.26% if they don't. Harstem has a 2.39% chance to win ----going from 4.72% to 64.97% if they get 1st, or 3.24% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 2.08% chance to win ----going from 1.78% to 33.15% if they get 1st, or 1.12% if they don't. TLO has a 1.75% chance to win ----going from 4.04% to 73.64% if they get 1st, or 2.8% if they don't. Ret has a 1.28% chance to win ----going from 1.06% to 31.62% if they get 1st, or 0.67% if they don't. iAsonu has a 1.26% chance to win ----going from 1.09% to 29.25% if they get 1st, or 0.73% if they don't.
Group of Death And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Group A GunGFuBanDa has a 2.08% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Bunny has a 7.2% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Hydra has a 13.5% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 ForGG has a 19.19% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 41.9638
Group B Polt has a 12.88% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Harstem has a 2.39% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 FireCake has a 3.22% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 MarineLorD has a 5.69% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 24.1765
Group C iAsonu has a 1.26% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Lilbow has a 10.92% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 iaguz has a 2.43% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 TLO has a 1.75% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 16.3726
Group D Jaedong has a 9.33% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 StarDust has a 2.91% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Ret has a 1.28% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Petraeus has a 3.96% chance to win WCS Premier Season 2 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 17.4872
Group A GunGFuBanDa has a 1.78% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Bunny has a 26.65% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Hydra has a 93.18% chance to qualify for Blizzcon ForGG has a 57.69% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 179.309
Group B Polt has a 95.73% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Harstem has a 4.72% chance to qualify for Blizzcon FireCake has a 5.93% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MarineLorD has a 6.38% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 112.757
Group C iAsonu has a 1.09% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Lilbow has a 15.53% chance to qualify for Blizzcon iaguz has a 2.13% chance to qualify for Blizzcon TLO has a 4.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 22.8029
Group D Jaedong has a 23.44% chance to qualify for Blizzcon StarDust has a 2.73% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Ret has a 1.06% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Petraeus has a 3.82% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 31.0507
Group A GunGFuBanDa's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.29% Bunny's Blizzcon Chances changed by -2.93% Hydra's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.37% ForGG's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.07% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 4.65386
Group B Polt's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.59% Harstem's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.63% FireCake's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.1% MarineLorD's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.03% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.119179
Group C iAsonu's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.06% Lilbow's Blizzcon Chances changed by 2.11% iaguz's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.23% TLO's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.05% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -2.33045
Group D Jaedong's Blizzcon Chances changed by 1.31% StarDust's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.13% Ret's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.03% Petraeus's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.1% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.3761
Group A When GunGFuBanDa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.5% When GunGFuBanDa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.13% When Bunny wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 14.55% When Bunny loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 11.71% When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 4.68% When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.01% When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 11.36% When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 20.38% Giving this match an Effects Score of 73.3218
Group B When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.96% When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 6.1% When Harstem wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 5.06% When Harstem loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.65% When FireCake wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 4.33% When FireCake loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 3.58% When MarineLorD wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.77% When MarineLorD loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.25% Giving this match an Effects Score of 32.7065
Group C When iAsonu wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.33% When iAsonu loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.7% When Lilbow wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.93% When Lilbow loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 10.24% When iaguz wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.43% When iaguz loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.53% When TLO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.47% When TLO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.47% Giving this match an Effects Score of 25.0943
Group D When Jaedong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.66% When Jaedong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 12.37% When StarDust wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.98% When StarDust loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.8% When Ret wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.07% When Ret loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.72% When Petraeus wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.86% When Petraeus loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.53% Giving this match an Effects Score of 30.0008
Group A GunGFuBanDa has an Aligulac rating of 1778 Bunny has an Aligulac rating of 1993 Hydra has an Aligulac rating of 2204 ForGG has an Aligulac rating of 2226 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8201
Group B Polt has an Aligulac rating of 2088 Harstem has an Aligulac rating of 1791 FireCake has an Aligulac rating of 1857 MarineLorD has an Aligulac rating of 1893 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7629
Group C iAsonu has an Aligulac rating of 1681 Lilbow has an Aligulac rating of 2017 iaguz has an Aligulac rating of 1683 TLO has an Aligulac rating of 1725 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7106
Group D Jaedong has an Aligulac rating of 2048 StarDust has an Aligulac rating of 1775 Ret has an Aligulac rating of 1690 Petraeus has an Aligulac rating of 1891 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7404
Final Placings Group A has five 1st places Group B has five 2nd places Group C has five 4th places Group D has five 3rd places
This is the most straightforward result possible, Group A is easily our Group of Death! Congrats to GunGFuBanDa, Bunny, Hydra, and ForGG! Group B is our 2nd place Group of Death with Polt, Harstem, FireCake, and MarineLorD!
What do you think?
Poll: Group of Death?
Group A: ForGG, GunGFuBanDa, Bunny, Hydra (421)
84%
There is no group of death. (28)
6%
Group D: Ret, StarDust, Jaedong, Petraeus (26)
5%
Group B: Harstem, Polt, FireCake, MarineLorD (20)
4%
Group C: Lilbow, iAsonu, TLO, iaguz (7)
1%
502 total votes
Your vote: Group of Death?
(Vote): Group A: ForGG, GunGFuBanDa, Bunny, Hydra (Vote): Group B: Harstem, Polt, FireCake, MarineLorD (Vote): Group C: Lilbow, iAsonu, TLO, iaguz (Vote): Group D: Ret, StarDust, Jaedong, Petraeus (Vote): There is no group of death.
herO, Dream, ByuL, and Curiousin in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16. herO has the #2 Headband. Dream has the #1 Headband. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. ByuL is at 38.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.19% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 53.04%, or 24.09% if they lose. Dream is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.99% if they lose. Curious is at 2.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.32%, or 0.84% if they lose.
PartinG has a 25.54% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 15.63% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rogue has a 10.65% chance to win ----going from 71.59% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 68.2% if they don't. herO has a 9.63% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 7.67% chance to win ----going from 74.84% to 100% if they get 1st, or 72.75% if they don't. INnoVation has a 5.82% chance to win ----going from 50.37% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 47.31% if they don't. Dream has a 5.15% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. sOs has a 4.96% chance to win ----going from 24.72% to 94.84% if they get 1st, or 21.07% if they don't. Bbyong has a 4.77% chance to win ----going from 28.63% to 96.62% if they get 1st, or 25.23% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 4.71% chance to win ----going from 16.6% to 83.29% if they get 1st, or 13.3% if they don't. ByuL has a 3.95% chance to win ----going from 38.62% to 99.4% if they get 1st, or 36.12% if they don't. Curious has a 1.51% chance to win ----going from 2.6% to 44.36% if they get 1st, or 1.96% if they don't.
Dream vs herOin in StarLeague Season 2 semifinals. herO has the #2 Headband. Dream is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.2% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.99% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.8% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Classic vs Statsin in StarLeague Season 2 semifinals. Classic is at 44.67% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 67.32%, or 29.64% if they lose. Stats is at 81.81% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 92.74%, or 65.34% if they lose.
SSL Winning Chances Dream has a 31.58% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Stats has a 29.72% chance to win ----going from 81.81% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 74.15% if they don't. herO has a 22.13% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 16.56% chance to win ----going from 44.67% to 92.85% if they get 1st, or 35.11% if they don't.
Branch ID #1805 Biggest Winners FanTaSy went up by 0.68%, going from 49.4% to 50.08% Dark went up by 0.62%, going from 49.79% to 50.41% Zest went up by 0.6%, going from 76.32% to 76.92% ByuL went up by 0.58%, going from 54.36% to 54.94% Rogue went up by 0.58%, going from 73.57% to 74.15% INnoVation went up by 0.51%, going from 48.92% to 49.43% Rain went up by 0.51%, going from 73.62% to 74.13% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Soulkey went up by 0.45%, going from 19.96% to 20.41% GuMiho went up by 0.41%, going from 21.96% to 22.37% Bbyong went up by 0.38%, going from 28.37% to 28.76% ForGG went up by 0.36%, going from 56.61% to 56.97% sOs went up by 0.36%, going from 24.78% to 25.13% Jaedong went up by 0.34%, going from 22.78% to 23.12% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.33%, going from 16.36% to 16.7% Bunny went up by 0.31%, going from 26.15% to 26.47% Hydra went up by 0.3%, going from 93.03% to 93.33% Trap went up by 0.28%, going from 14.42% to 14.7% Polt went up by 0.27%, going from 95.24% to 95.51% Lilbow went up by 0.25%, going from 14.82% to 15.07% Snute went up by 0.19%, going from 11.76% to 11.96% TY went up by 0.17%, going from 7.61% to 7.78% Curious went up by 0.17%, going from 6.58% to 6.74% Solar went up by 0.14%, going from 7.52% to 7.66% MarineLorD went up by 0.13%, going from 6.03% to 6.16% Dear went up by 0.13%, going from 5.85% to 5.98% TRUE went up by 0.13%, going from 5.59% to 5.72% HyuN went up by 0.12%, going from 5.47% to 5.6% FireCake went up by 0.11%, going from 5.66% to 5.77% Bomber went up by 0.11%, going from 4.2% to 4.31% MMA went up by 0.1%, going from 3.75% to 3.86%
Biggest Losers Classic went down by 6.83%, going from 44.67% to 37.84% Stats went down by 3.99%, going from 81.81% to 77.82%
Branch ID #1806 Biggest Winners Stats went up by 18.11%, going from 81.81% to 99.93%
Biggest Losers Classic went down by 15.37%, going from 44.67% to 29.3% ByuL went down by 0.15%, going from 54.36% to 54.2% Zest went down by 0.15%, going from 76.32% to 76.17% FanTaSy went down by 0.14%, going from 49.4% to 49.26% Dark went down by 0.13%, going from 49.79% to 49.65% Rogue went down by 0.13%, going from 73.57% to 73.44% INnoVation went down by 0.13%, going from 48.92% to 48.79% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Rain went down by 0.13%, going from 73.62% to 73.49% GuMiho went down by 0.13%, going from 21.96% to 21.84% Soulkey went down by 0.12%, going from 19.96% to 19.84% Jaedong went down by 0.12%, going from 22.78% to 22.66% Hydra went down by 0.12%, going from 93.03% to 92.91% Bunny went down by 0.12%, going from 26.15% to 26.04% Bbyong went down by 0.1%, going from 28.37% to 28.27%
Branch ID #1807 Biggest Winners Zest went up by 0.68%, going from 76.32% to 77.01% Dark went up by 0.64%, going from 49.79% to 50.43% FanTaSy went up by 0.59%, going from 49.4% to 49.99% ByuL went up by 0.59%, going from 54.36% to 54.95% Rogue went up by 0.56%, going from 73.57% to 74.14% INnoVation went up by 0.54%, going from 48.92% to 49.46% Rain went up by 0.52%, going from 73.62% to 74.14% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Soulkey went up by 0.45%, going from 19.96% to 20.42% Bbyong went up by 0.41%, going from 28.37% to 28.78% GuMiho went up by 0.4%, going from 21.96% to 22.36% ForGG went up by 0.4%, going from 56.61% to 57.01% Bunny went up by 0.38%, going from 26.15% to 26.53% sOs went up by 0.37%, going from 24.78% to 25.14% Jaedong went up by 0.33%, going from 22.78% to 23.11% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.33%, going from 16.36% to 16.69% Hydra went up by 0.31%, going from 93.03% to 93.34% Polt went up by 0.28%, going from 95.24% to 95.52% Trap went up by 0.22%, going from 14.42% to 14.64% Lilbow went up by 0.22%, going from 14.82% to 15.04% Snute went up by 0.2%, going from 11.76% to 11.96% TY went up by 0.18%, going from 7.61% to 7.79% Solar went up by 0.17%, going from 7.52% to 7.69% Curious went up by 0.13%, going from 6.58% to 6.71% Dear went up by 0.13%, going from 5.85% to 5.98% FireCake went up by 0.12%, going from 5.66% to 5.78% TRUE went up by 0.11%, going from 5.59% to 5.71% TLO went up by 0.11%, going from 3.83% to 3.94% Bomber went up by 0.1%, going from 4.2% to 4.31%
Biggest Losers Classic went down by 5.66%, going from 44.67% to 39.01% Stats went down by 5.12%, going from 81.81% to 76.69%
Biggest Losers Stats went down by 18.06%, going from 81.81% to 63.75% FanTaSy went down by 1.83%, going from 49.4% to 47.57% Dark went down by 1.8%, going from 49.79% to 47.99% Zest went down by 1.8%, going from 76.32% to 74.52% ByuL went down by 1.62%, going from 54.36% to 52.74% Rogue went down by 1.61%, going from 73.57% to 71.96% INnoVation went down by 1.48%, going from 48.92% to 47.44% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Rain went down by 1.44%, going from 73.62% to 72.18% Soulkey went down by 1.24%, going from 19.96% to 18.73% ForGG went down by 1.12%, going from 56.61% to 55.48% GuMiho went down by 1.09%, going from 21.96% to 20.87% Bbyong went down by 1.09%, going from 28.37% to 27.29% sOs went down by 0.99%, going from 24.78% to 23.78% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.93%, going from 16.36% to 15.43% Bunny went down by 0.9%, going from 26.15% to 25.25% Jaedong went down by 0.88%, going from 22.78% to 21.9% Hydra went down by 0.77%, going from 93.03% to 92.26% Polt went down by 0.71%, going from 95.24% to 94.53% Trap went down by 0.7%, going from 14.42% to 13.72% Lilbow went down by 0.67%, going from 14.82% to 14.15% Snute went down by 0.57%, going from 11.76% to 11.19% TY went down by 0.48%, going from 7.61% to 7.13% Solar went down by 0.42%, going from 7.52% to 7.1% Curious went down by 0.42%, going from 6.58% to 6.16% MarineLorD went down by 0.36%, going from 6.03% to 5.67% Dear went down by 0.36%, going from 5.85% to 5.49% HyuN went down by 0.32%, going from 5.47% to 5.15% TRUE went down by 0.31%, going from 5.59% to 5.28% FireCake went down by 0.31%, going from 5.66% to 5.35% Bomber went down by 0.28%, going from 4.2% to 3.93% MMA went down by 0.28%, going from 3.75% to 3.48% TLO went down by 0.27%, going from 3.83% to 3.56% Harstem went down by 0.25%, going from 3.94% to 3.69% Petraeus went down by 0.23%, going from 3.63% to 3.4% StarDust went down by 0.18%, going from 2.54% to 2.37% iaguz went down by 0.16%, going from 1.98% to 1.82% Leenock went down by 0.16%, going from 1.86% to 1.71% Terminator went down by 0.15%, going from 1.69% to 1.54% soO went down by 0.14%, going from 2.28% to 2.14% MaNa went down by 0.14%, going from 1.57% to 1.43% GunGFuBanDa went down by 0.11%, going from 1.68% to 1.57%
On June 04 2015 17:41 sharkie wrote: Dream is favoured against herO? o.O
no, herO is favored to win against Dream, but Dream is favored to win the whole tournament cause his TvP is rated high, and herO's PvP isn't rated as high
On June 04 2015 20:08 OtherWorld wrote: Man since Zest and ByuL both lost their quarterfinals while I'd bought them, everything's been going bad for me in WCS Wars
On June 04 2015 20:08 OtherWorld wrote: Man since Zest and ByuL both lost their quarterfinals while I'd bought them, everything's been going bad for me in WCS Wars
You're still ahead of me.
Yeah but look at that downfall, I'm back to where I was at the beginning of the season ): + Show Spoiler +
Bbyong, sOs, INnoVation, and Rainin in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16. This is the 2nd place Group of Death! Bbyong is at 28.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 43.12%, or 14.92% if they lose. INnoVation is at 49.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 66.47%, or 30.89% if they lose. sOs is at 24.87% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 38.82%, or 11.72% if they lose. Rain is at 73.72% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 88.66%, or 57.3% if they lose.
PartinG has a 26.14% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 15.32% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rogue has a 13.73% chance to win ----going from 73.68% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 69.49% if they don't. ByuL has a 9.05% chance to win ----going from 54.62% to 99.37% if they get 1st, or 50.16% if they don't. Rain has a 8.69% chance to win ----going from 73.72% to 100% if they get 1st, or 71.22% if they don't. INnoVation has a 5.82% chance to win ----going from 49.05% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 45.9% if they don't. sOs has a 5.62% chance to win ----going from 24.87% to 94.23% if they get 1st, or 20.74% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 5.49% chance to win ----going from 16.44% to 81.86% if they get 1st, or 12.64% if they don't. Bbyong has a 5.15% chance to win ----going from 28.47% to 96.14% if they get 1st, or 24.8% if they don't. Curious has a 4.98% chance to win ----going from 6.62% to 45.33% if they get 1st, or 4.59% if they don't.
Biggest Winners and Losers during ~10 days of GSL Ro16 (Sim ID #1790 vs Sim ID #1831) (from Tuesday, May 26 5:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) to Friday, Jun 05 5:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00)) Biggest Winners Stats went up by 25.14%, going from 55.68% to 80.82% Rogue went up by 23.29%, going from 49.79% to 73.08% Classic went up by 16.86%, going from 26.37% to 43.23% sOs went up by 15.43%, going from 24.99% to 40.42% Rain went up by 14.97%, going from 75.1% to 90.07% MyuNgSiK went up by 10.58%, going from 7.01% to 17.59% Hydra went up by 6.36%, going from 86.82% to 93.18% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Lilbow went up by 6.18%, going from 8.78% to 14.96% Jaedong went up by 6.12%, going from 16.8% to 22.92% Polt went up by 4.86%, going from 90.53% to 95.39% Curious went up by 3.52%, going from 2.75% to 6.27% FireCake went up by 2.91%, going from 2.83% to 5.74% TLO went up by 2.29%, going from 1.61% to 3.9% iaguz went up by 1.12%, going from 0.89% to 2.01% Leenock went up by 0.33%, going from 1.65% to 1.98% San went up by 0.19%, going from 0.31% to 0.49% Sen went up by 0.13%, going from 0.35% to 0.48% iAsonu went up by 0.12%, going from 0.92% to 1.04% GunGFuBanDa went up by 0.11%, going from 1.6% to 1.71%
Biggest Losers INnoVation went down by 22.35%, going from 49.69% to 27.34% FanTaSy went down by 18.19%, going from 67.82% to 49.63% GuMiho went down by 17.96%, going from 40.04% to 22.08% Zest went down by 13.11%, going from 89.8% to 76.69% Bbyong went down by 12.85%, going from 28.72% to 15.87% Snute went down by 10.94%, going from 22.83% to 11.89% ByuL went down by 7.27%, going from 62.01% to 54.74% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Bomber went down by 6.4%, going from 10.59% to 4.19% MajOr went down by 4.26%, going from 5.13% to 0.87% MaNa went down by 3.85%, going from 5.4% to 1.55% Bunny went down by 3.71%, going from 30.08% to 26.36% ForGG went down by 3.34%, going from 60.15% to 56.81% MaSa went down by 2.96%, going from 3.54% to 0.58% Harstem went down by 2.86%, going from 6.82% to 3.95% Dark went down by 2.07%, going from 52.17% to 50.09% Soulkey went down by 1.02%, going from 21.22% to 20.21% Petraeus went down by 0.99%, going from 4.67% to 3.68% TRUE went down by 0.89%, going from 6.55% to 5.66% elfi went down by 0.75%, going from 1.03% to 0.28% MarineLorD went down by 0.55%, going from 6.65% to 6.1% TY went down by 0.54%, going from 8.19% to 7.65% MMA went down by 0.51%, going from 4.28% to 3.77% Has went down by 0.48%, going from 0.66% to 0.18% Trap went down by 0.42%, going from 14.97% to 14.56% StarDust went down by 0.25%, going from 2.82% to 2.57% Terminator went down by 0.22%, going from 1.93% to 1.71% Kelazhur went down by 0.2%, going from 0.3% to 0.1% HyuN went down by 0.15%, going from 5.67% to 5.52% Ret went down by 0.15%, going from 1.16% to 1.01% Flash went down by 0.13%, going from 1.02% to 0.89% Dear went down by 0.12%, going from 6.05% to 5.93%
Polt, Hydra, and Rain look like they have high percentages, but their AFK Chances are actually pretty low so they still need more points. Polt's AFK Chances are at 3.12%, Hydra at 0.62%, and Rain is at 0.34%.
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 75.22% down to 66.76% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 28.05% down to 19.68% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 4.34% down to 2.28% Chances of 4+ foreigners from 0.27% down to 0.11%
Bunny15.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 26.36% chance overall. Lilbow8.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 14.96% chance overall. Snute5.98% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.89% chance overall. MarineLorD3.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.1% chance overall. FireCake2.85% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.74% chance overall. Harstem1.94% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.95% chance overall. TLO1.89% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.9% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Petraeus1.84% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.68% chance overall. iaguz1.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.01% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.85% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.71% chance overall. MaNa0.77% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.55% chance overall. iAsonu0.52% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.04% chance overall. Ret0.5% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.01% chance overall. MajOr0.43% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.87% chance overall. Kane0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.66% chance overall. MaSa0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.58% chance overall. Sen0.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.48% chance overall. ShoWTimE0.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.54% chance overall. elfi0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.28% chance overall. Has0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.18% chance overall. Happy0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.15% chance overall. NaNiwa0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.13% chance overall. Jim0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.12% chance overall. Nerchio0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. Kelazhur0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. TargA0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. Serral0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. Scarlett0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. PiG0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. Welmu0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. PtitDrogo0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall.
ByuL is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Dream is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Maru is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MyuNgSiK is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
1.07% of the time 2575 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.81% of the time 2750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 32.35% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 52.44% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 70.93% of the time 3100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 90.09% of the time 3250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.92% of the time 3475 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Rain vs Maruin in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals. Maru has the #3 Headband. Rain is at 90.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 97.42%, or 82.01% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Curious vs Roguein in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals. Curious is at 6.27% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.93% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.62%, or 3.01% if they lose. Rogue is at 73.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 83.11%, or 56.68% if they lose.
MyuNgSiK vs sOsin in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals. MyuNgSiK has the #4 Headband. MyuNgSiK is at 17.59% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 28.91%, or 8.78% if they lose. sOs is at 40.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 52.97%, or 24.29% if they lose.
PartinG vs ByuLin in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals. ByuL has the #1 Headband. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. ByuL is at 54.74% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 72.71%, or 43.53% if they lose.
PartinG has a 25.77% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 18.89% chance to win ----going from 90.07% to 100% if they get 1st, or 87.76% if they don't. Maru has a 13.05% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rogue has a 11.82% chance to win ----going from 73.08% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 69.48% if they don't. sOs has a 11.64% chance to win ----going from 40.42% to 94.54% if they get 1st, or 33.3% if they don't. ByuL has a 8.44% chance to win ----going from 54.74% to 99.39% if they get 1st, or 50.62% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 6.13% chance to win ----going from 17.59% to 82.04% if they get 1st, or 13.38% if they don't. Curious has a 4.27% chance to win ----going from 6.27% to 45.59% if they get 1st, or 4.52% if they don't.
MyuNgSiK vs sOsin in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals. MyuNgSiK has the #4 Headband. MyuNgSiK is at 17.8% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.94% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 29.21%, or 8.87% if they lose. sOs is at 39.81% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 52.41%, or 23.75% if they lose.
PartinG vs ByuLin in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals. ByuL has the #1 Headband. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. ByuL is at 53.71% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 71.97%, or 42.55% if they lose.
Rain vs Maruin in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals. Maru has the #3 Headband. Rain is at 90.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 97.53%, or 82.29% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Curious vs Roguein in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals. Curious is at 6.7% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.62% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.08%, or 3.17% if they lose. Rogue is at 71.27% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 81.99%, or 54.92% if they lose.
PartinG has a 26.05% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 19.26% chance to win ----going from 90.28% to 100% if they get 1st, or 87.96% if they don't. Maru has a 13.3% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. sOs has a 11.48% chance to win ----going from 39.81% to 94.52% if they get 1st, or 32.72% if they don't. Rogue has a 10.9% chance to win ----going from 71.27% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 67.75% if they don't. ByuL has a 8.22% chance to win ----going from 53.71% to 99.39% if they get 1st, or 49.61% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 6.2% chance to win ----going from 17.8% to 82.3% if they get 1st, or 13.54% if they don't. Curious has a 4.59% chance to win ----going from 6.7% to 46.33% if they get 1st, or 4.79% if they don't.
Classic vs Statsin in StarLeague Season 2 semifinals. Classic is at 41.89% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 61.83%, or 28.68% if they lose. Stats is at 79.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 89.93%, or 64.26% if they lose.
StarLeague Season 2 Winning Chances Dream has a 66.72% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Stats has a 20.67% chance to win ----going from 79.69% to 99.9% if they get 1st, or 74.43% if they don't. Classic has a 12.62% chance to win ----going from 41.89% to 91.95% if they get 1st, or 34.67% if they don't.
Branch #1869 Biggest Winners FanTaSy went up by 0.53%, going from 48.16% to 48.69% Zest went up by 0.5%, going from 75.55% to 76.05% Dark went up by 0.49%, going from 49.04% to 49.53% Rogue went up by 0.49%, going from 69.97% to 70.46% sOs went up by 0.44%, going from 55.52% to 55.96% ByuL went up by 0.43%, going from 72.13% to 72.55% INnoVation went up by 0.35%, going from 27.31% to 27.66% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Soulkey went up by 0.34%, going from 19.37% to 19.72% ForGG went up by 0.32%, going from 55.85% to 56.17% GuMiho went up by 0.31%, going from 21.4% to 21.71% Rain went up by 0.28%, going from 89.49% to 89.76% Jaedong went up by 0.27%, going from 22.31% to 22.58% Bunny went up by 0.26%, going from 24.38% to 24.64% Bbyong went up by 0.24%, going from 15.41% to 15.64% Hydra went up by 0.23%, going from 93.26% to 93.48% Polt went up by 0.21%, going from 94.89% to 95.1% Trap went up by 0.19%, going from 14.35% to 14.54% Snute went up by 0.19%, going from 11.44% to 11.63% Lilbow went up by 0.18%, going from 14.35% to 14.53% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.15%, going from 7.48% to 7.63% TY went up by 0.14%, going from 7.68% to 7.83% Curious went up by 0.11%, going from 6.64% to 6.75% Solar went up by 0.11%, going from 6.9% to 7.01%
Biggest Losers Classic went down by 5.22%, going from 41.89% to 36.67% Stats went down by 2.98%, going from 79.69% to 76.71%
Branch #1870 Biggest Winners Stats went up by 20.2%, going from 79.69% to 99.9%
Biggest Losers Classic went down by 13.69%, going from 41.89% to 28.21% FanTaSy went down by 0.43%, going from 48.16% to 47.74% Rogue went down by 0.41%, going from 69.97% to 69.56% Zest went down by 0.37%, going from 75.55% to 75.18% Dark went down by 0.36%, going from 49.04% to 48.67% sOs went down by 0.35%, going from 55.52% to 55.18% ByuL went down by 0.34%, going from 72.13% to 71.79% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Soulkey went down by 0.26%, going from 19.37% to 19.11% INnoVation went down by 0.25%, going from 27.31% to 27.06% ForGG went down by 0.24%, going from 55.85% to 55.61% GuMiho went down by 0.24%, going from 21.4% to 21.16% Jaedong went down by 0.24%, going from 22.31% to 22.08% Bbyong went down by 0.22%, going from 15.41% to 15.19% Bunny went down by 0.22%, going from 24.38% to 24.16% Rain went down by 0.21%, going from 89.49% to 89.28% Hydra went down by 0.21%, going from 93.26% to 93.05% Polt went down by 0.19%, going from 94.89% to 94.69% Snute went down by 0.18%, going from 11.44% to 11.27% Lilbow went down by 0.16%, going from 14.35% to 14.19% Trap went down by 0.15%, going from 14.35% to 14.2% TY went down by 0.12%, going from 7.68% to 7.56% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.11%, going from 7.48% to 7.37% Solar went down by 0.1%, going from 6.9% to 6.8%
Branch #1871 Biggest Winners Classic went up by 50.05%, going from 41.89% to 91.95%
Biggest Losers Stats went down by 17.32%, going from 79.69% to 62.37% FanTaSy went down by 2.09%, going from 48.16% to 46.07% Zest went down by 2.05%, going from 75.55% to 73.5% Dark went down by 2.01%, going from 49.04% to 47.03% Rogue went down by 1.91%, going from 69.97% to 68.07% sOs went down by 1.76%, going from 55.52% to 53.76% ByuL went down by 1.69%, going from 72.13% to 70.44% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
INnoVation went down by 1.43%, going from 27.31% to 25.88% Soulkey went down by 1.39%, going from 19.37% to 17.98% ForGG went down by 1.32%, going from 55.85% to 54.53% GuMiho went down by 1.25%, going from 21.4% to 20.15% Rain went down by 1.11%, going from 89.49% to 88.37% Jaedong went down by 1.02%, going from 22.31% to 21.29% Bunny went down by 1.01%, going from 24.38% to 23.37% Bbyong went down by 0.9%, going from 15.41% to 14.5% Hydra went down by 0.86%, going from 93.26% to 92.4% Polt went down by 0.82%, going from 94.89% to 94.07% Trap went down by 0.75%, going from 14.35% to 13.6% Lilbow went down by 0.7%, going from 14.35% to 13.65% Snute went down by 0.69%, going from 11.44% to 10.75% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.6%, going from 7.48% to 6.88% TY went down by 0.56%, going from 7.68% to 7.12% Curious went down by 0.47%, going from 6.64% to 6.17% Solar went down by 0.4%, going from 6.9% to 6.5% FireCake went down by 0.37%, going from 5.43% to 5.06% HyuN went down by 0.36%, going from 5.34% to 4.97% Dear went down by 0.35%, going from 5.26% to 4.9% MarineLorD went down by 0.35%, going from 5.98% to 5.63% Bomber went down by 0.33%, going from 4.33% to 3.99% TRUE went down by 0.31%, going from 4.93% to 4.61% TLO went down by 0.29%, going from 3.71% to 3.42% MMA went down by 0.26%, going from 3.38% to 3.12% Harstem went down by 0.25%, going from 3.47% to 3.22% Petraeus went down by 0.22%, going from 3.19% to 2.97% StarDust went down by 0.2%, going from 2.42% to 2.22% soO went down by 0.19%, going from 2.39% to 2.2% Leenock went down by 0.18%, going from 2.13% to 1.95% MaNa went down by 0.15%, going from 1.88% to 1.72% Terminator went down by 0.15%, going from 1.61% to 1.46% GunGFuBanDa went down by 0.15%, going from 1.61% to 1.46% iaguz went down by 0.14%, going from 1.65% to 1.51% viOLet went down by 0.1%, going from 1.12% to 1.01%
Rain vs Maruin in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals. Maru has the #3 Headband. Rain is at 89.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 97.14%, or 80.8% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Rogue vs Curiousin in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals. Rogue is at 68.89% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 80.09%, or 52.12% if they lose. Curious is at 6.61% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.05% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.09%, or 2.96% if they lose.
sOs has a 25.22% chance to win ----going from 55.32% to 94.14% if they get 1st, or 42.22% if they don't. ByuL has a 21.46% chance to win ----going from 71.87% to 99.34% if they get 1st, or 64.37% if they don't. Rain has a 21.38% chance to win ----going from 89.37% to 100% if they get 1st, or 86.47% if they don't. Maru has a 14.15% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rogue has a 12.42% chance to win ----going from 68.89% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 64.48% if they don't. Curious has a 5.37% chance to win ----going from 6.61% to 44.72% if they get 1st, or 4.45% if they don't.
WCS Predictor 2015 GSL Qualifiers Season 3 Winning Chances Trap has a 60.66% chance to win ----going from 14.38% to 18.3% if they get 1st, or 8.34% if they don't. Zest has a 59.38% chance to win ----going from 75.22% to 79.82% if they get 1st, or 68.49% if they don't. Stats has a 57.47% chance to win ----going from 62.36% to 67.99% if they get 1st, or 54.74% if they don't. HyuN has a 55.04% chance to win ----going from 5.72% to 7.88% if they get 1st, or 3.08% if they don't. Classic has a 53.95% chance to win ----going from 64.34% to 69.26% if they get 1st, or 58.59% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
TRUE has a 53.77% chance to win ----going from 4.16% to 5.84% if they get 1st, or 2.2% if they don't. Dear has a 53.29% chance to win ----going from 5.26% to 7.3% if they get 1st, or 2.92% if they don't. TaeJa has a 53.04% chance to win ----going from 0.72% to 1.08% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. Soulkey has a 52.08% chance to win ----going from 19.25% to 24.27% if they get 1st, or 13.78% if they don't. Hurricane has a 50.53% chance to win ----going from 0.9% to 1.4% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. Cure has a 49.96% chance to win ----going from 0.87% to 1.32% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't. DongRaeGu has a 45.13% chance to win ----going from 0.15% to 0.26% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Leenock has a 44.82% chance to win ----going from 2.13% to 3.23% if they get 1st, or 1.23% if they don't. First has a 44.63% chance to win ----going from 0.37% to 0.61% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. Terminator has a 43.63% chance to win ----going from 1.6% to 2.52% if they get 1st, or 0.89% if they don't. jjakji has a 43.09% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 0.31% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Armani has a 42.87% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. San has a 41.94% chance to win ----going from 0.46% to 0.79% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. Super has a 40.41% chance to win ----going from 0.93% to 1.51% if they get 1st, or 0.53% if they don't. Journey has a 40.4% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. ByuN has a 40.23% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Arthur has a 39.73% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Sora has a 38.89% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Heart has a 38.23% chance to win ----going from 0.2% to 0.34% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Losira has a 37.16% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. SuperNova has a 36.91% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Pet has a 35.41% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Impact has a 35.21% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 34.93% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.17% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Hack has a 34.51% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. MarineKing has a 33.91% chance to win ----going from 0.43% to 0.72% if they get 1st, or 0.28% if they don't. Center has a 33.5% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Apocalypse has a 33.45% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. DeParture has a 31.8% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MC has a 30.91% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Reality has a 30.88% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ryung has a 30.42% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ruin has a 30.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. YongHwa has a 29.93% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shine has a 29.79% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 29.73% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. eMotion has a 28.59% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ValuE has a 27.48% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Check has a 25.88% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Revival has a 25.64% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hush has a 25.54% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. BrAvO has a 24.31% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bunny has a 23.97% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Alicia has a 23.4% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Seed has a 23.34% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Spear has a 23.04% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. aLive has a 23.04% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Billowy has a 21.39% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. KeeN has a 21.03% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Action has a 20.27% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. inori has a 19.39% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Miso has a 19.35% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 18.68% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Tiger has a 18.66% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. CranK has a 18.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. BBoongBBoong has a 17.14% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zoun has a 16.72% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Stork has a 16.51% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. SalvatioN has a 16.33% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TheStC has a 13.92% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Daisy has a 13.27% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hunter has a 12.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. PenguiN has a 8.31% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. horror has a 7.62% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TerrOr has a 7.03% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. LabyRinth has a 6.91% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TOP has a 6.57% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Gamja has a 6.55% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TAiLS has a 6.27% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Quiet has a 4.88% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. SpeeD has a 4.65% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. KellerMaN has a 3.92% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 권오건 has a 3.75% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Quiet has a 3.72% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TurN has a 3.15% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GuemChi has a 3.06% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Grid has a 2.95% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Kan has a 2.91% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Dynamite has a 2.85% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Choya has a 2.79% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Mysticism has a 2.67% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Picasso has a 2.54% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. maker has a 2.53% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Soloist has a 2.48% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. VIP has a 2.48% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GooLA has a 2.47% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TANGTANG has a 2.47% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Strength has a 2.45% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Ruler has a 2.4% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. finale has a 2.37% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Fancy has a 2.34% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Just has a 2.31% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 날개달린코로네로 has a 2.27% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Muizz has a 2.26% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 하루한번신문투척 has a 2.23% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GSL Season 3 Qualifiers and Season 2 Quarterfinals Completed Friday, Jun 12 5:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #1891)
Biggest Winners and Losers from GSL S3 qualifiers and S2 quarterfinals day 2 (Sim ID #1886 vs Sim ID #1891) (from Thursday, Jun 11 11:16pm GMT (GMT+00:00) to Friday, Jun 12 12:07pm GMT (GMT+00:00)) Biggest Winners Rain went up by 8.14%, going from 89.37% to 97.51% Classic went up by 5.28%, going from 64.34% to 69.63% Zest went up by 4.98%, going from 75.22% to 80.2% Curious went up by 4.04%, going from 6.61% to 10.66% Trap went up by 3.97%, going from 14.38% to 18.34% Dear went up by 2.94%, going from 5.26% to 8.19% Super went up by 2.1%, going from 0.93% to 3.03% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
HyuN went up by 1.73%, going from 5.72% to 7.45% Leenock went up by 1.46%, going from 2.13% to 3.58% TRUE went up by 0.87%, going from 4.16% to 5.03% Cure went up by 0.63%, going from 0.87% to 1.5% Hurricane went up by 0.49%, going from 0.9% to 1.39% San went up by 0.4%, going from 0.46% to 0.86% First went up by 0.16%, going from 0.37% to 0.53% Jaedong went up by 0.15%, going from 21.04% to 21.19% ForGG went up by 0.14%, going from 55.74% to 55.88% Polt went up by 0.13%, going from 94.76% to 94.89% Bunny went up by 0.12%, going from 24.27% to 24.39% jjakji went up by 0.12%, going from 0.19% to 0.31% Hydra went up by 0.11%, going from 93.14% to 93.26% Lilbow went up by 0.1%, going from 14.27% to 14.37%
Biggest Losers Rogue went down by 17.96%, going from 68.89% to 50.93% Stats went down by 7.73%, going from 62.36% to 54.62% Soulkey went down by 5.45%, going from 19.25% to 13.79% FanTaSy went down by 0.99%, going from 47.98% to 46.98% Dark went down by 0.91%, going from 48.86% to 47.96% INnoVation went down by 0.8%, going from 27.21% to 26.42% Terminator went down by 0.71%, going from 1.6% to 0.9% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
GuMiho went down by 0.63%, going from 21.33% to 20.7% Bbyong went down by 0.5%, going from 15.38% to 14.88% ByuL went down by 0.41%, going from 71.87% to 71.46% TaeJa went down by 0.41%, going from 0.72% to 0.32% TY went down by 0.36%, going from 7.65% to 7.29% sOs went down by 0.26%, going from 55.32% to 55.05% Bomber went down by 0.26%, going from 4.32% to 4.06% MarineKing went down by 0.24%, going from 0.43% to 0.19% MMA went down by 0.21%, going from 3.37% to 3.16% Solar went down by 0.2%, going from 6.88% to 6.67% soO went down by 0.15%, going from 2.37% to 2.22% Heart went down by 0.1%, going from 0.2% to 0.09%
Rain, Polt, and Hydra look like they have high percentages, but their AFK Chances are actually pretty low so they still need more points. Rain's AFK Chances are at 11.52%, Polt at 2.28%, and Hydra at 0.3%.
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 63.99% up to 64.31% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 17.48% up to 17.76% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 1.85% up to 1.9% Chances of 4+ foreigners from 0.08% up to 0.08%
Bunny14.59% chance to be the only foreigner, 24.39% chance overall. Lilbow8.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 14.37% chance overall. Snute6.38% chance to be the only foreigner, 12.01% chance overall. MarineLorD3.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.98% chance overall. FireCake2.84% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.44% chance overall. TLO1.85% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.61% chance overall. Harstem1.78% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.45% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Petraeus1.7% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.23% chance overall. MaNa0.98% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.85% chance overall. iaguz0.87% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.65% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.83% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.59% chance overall. iAsonu0.52% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.99% chance overall. Ret0.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.9% chance overall. MajOr0.42% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.8% chance overall. Kane0.3% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.57% chance overall. MaSa0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.53% chance overall. ShoWTimE0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.59% chance overall. Sen0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.44% chance overall. elfi0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.26% chance overall. Has0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.16% chance overall. Happy0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.13% chance overall. Nerchio0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.13% chance overall. NaNiwa0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.12% chance overall. Jim0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. Kelazhur0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. TargA0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. Serral0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. Scarlett0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. PiG0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. PtitDrogo0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. Welmu0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. XiGua0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Elazer0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Verdi0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall.
ByuL is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Dream is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Rain is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
1.01% of the time 2600 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.32% of the time 2775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 30.94% of the time 2925 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 51.09% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 70.28% of the time 3125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.8% of the time 3275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.98% of the time 3500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Dream vs Classicin in StarLeague Season 2 finals. Dream has the #2 Headband. Dream is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. Classic is at 69.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 95.08%, or 57.02% if they lose.
Rain vs Curiousin in GSL Code S Season 2 semifinals. Rain has the #3 Headband. Rain is at 97.51% Blizzcon Chances, with a 72.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.59%, or 92.02% if they lose. Curious is at 10.66% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.2%, or 5.5% if they lose.
sOs vs ByuLin in GSL Code S Season 2 semifinals. sOs has the #4 Headband. ByuL has the #1 Headband. sOs is at 55.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 74.1%, or 35.26% if they lose. ByuL is at 71.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 86.78%, or 56.72% if they lose.
Rain has a 42.88% chance to win ----going from 97.51% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 95.63% if they don't. sOs has a 25.01% chance to win ----going from 55.05% to 94.19% if they get 1st, or 42.01% if they don't. ByuL has a 20.79% chance to win ----going from 71.46% to 99.34% if they get 1st, or 64.14% if they don't. Curious has a 11.33% chance to win ----going from 10.66% to 43.58% if they get 1st, or 6.45% if they don't.
ByuL vs sOsin in GSL Code S Season 2 semifinals. ByuL has the #1 Headband. sOs has the #4 Headband. ByuL is at 70.81% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.65% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 87.72%, or 54.8% if they lose. sOs is at 56.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 76.83%, or 34.05% if they lose.
Rain vs Curiousin in GSL Code S Season 2 semifinals. Rain has the #3 Headband. Rain is at 97.15% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.5%, or 91.45% if they lose. Curious is at 14.66% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.24% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 33.37%, or 6.92% if they lose.
GSL Code S Season 2 Winning Chances Rain has a 42.63% chance to win ----going from 97.15% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 95.03% if they don't. sOs has a 24.56% chance to win ----going from 56.02% to 94.04% if they get 1st, or 43.64% if they don't. ByuL has a 19.61% chance to win ----going from 70.81% to 98.92% if they get 1st, or 63.96% if they don't. Curious has a 13.2% chance to win ----going from 14.66% to 53.35% if they get 1st, or 8.77% if they don't.
Branch #1978 Biggest Winners ByuL went up by 28.11%, going from 70.81% to 98.92% Dark went up by 0.14%, going from 55.79% to 55.93%
Biggest Losers sOs went down by 22.33%, going from 56.02% to 33.69% Curious went down by 4.01%, going from 14.66% to 10.66% Rain went down by 0.86%, going from 97.15% to 96.29% ForGG went down by 0.11%, going from 55.47% to 55.36%
Branch #1977 Biggest Winners sOs went up by 38.02%, going from 56.02% to 94.04%
Biggest Losers ByuL went down by 16.81%, going from 70.81% to 54.01% Curious went down by 4.44%, going from 14.66% to 10.21% Stats went down by 1.18%, going from 53.23% to 52.05% Rain went down by 1.11%, going from 97.15% to 96.04% Rogue went down by 1.08%, going from 45.67% to 44.59% Dark went down by 1.05%, going from 55.79% to 54.74% FanTaSy went down by 1.03%, going from 45.96% to 44.93% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Zest went down by 0.88%, going from 78.78% to 77.9% Classic went down by 0.8%, going from 74.66% to 73.86% INnoVation went down by 0.69%, going from 25.42% to 24.74% GuMiho went down by 0.58%, going from 19.33% to 18.75% ForGG went down by 0.57%, going from 55.47% to 54.89% Soulkey went down by 0.57%, going from 13.04% to 12.47% Snute went down by 0.56%, going from 21.42% to 20.85% Bunny went down by 0.53%, going from 24.3% to 23.76% Jaedong went down by 0.49%, going from 20.57% to 20.08% Trap went down by 0.45%, going from 18.41% to 17.96% Hydra went down by 0.44%, going from 92.34% to 91.9% Polt went down by 0.4%, going from 94.36% to 93.96% Bbyong went down by 0.36%, going from 14.25% to 13.89% Lilbow went down by 0.34%, going from 12.84% to 12.5% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.26%, going from 6.86% to 6.6% TY went down by 0.25%, going from 6.81% to 6.56% Dear went down by 0.24%, going from 7.26% to 7.02% HyuN went down by 0.22%, going from 7.17% to 6.95% Solar went down by 0.18%, going from 5.9% to 5.72% MarineLorD went down by 0.18%, going from 5.48% to 5.3% TRUE went down by 0.17%, going from 4.81% to 4.64% Leenock went down by 0.16%, going from 3.83% to 3.68% Bomber went down by 0.15%, going from 3.77% to 3.62% FireCake went down by 0.15%, going from 4.48% to 4.34% TLO went down by 0.14%, going from 3.23% to 3.08% Harstem went down by 0.13%, going from 3.34% to 3.21% Petraeus went down by 0.12%, going from 3.25% to 3.13% MMA went down by 0.1%, going from 2.71% to 2.6% Super went down by 0.1%, going from 2.81% to 2.71%
Branch #1975 Biggest Winners Rain went up by 2.85%, going from 97.15% to 99.99% Stats went up by 1.15%, going from 53.23% to 54.38% Rogue went up by 1.09%, going from 45.67% to 46.76% FanTaSy went up by 0.98%, going from 45.96% to 46.94% Zest went up by 0.9%, going from 78.78% to 79.67% Dark went up by 0.82%, going from 55.79% to 56.61% Classic went up by 0.74%, going from 74.66% to 75.41% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
INnoVation went up by 0.68%, going from 25.42% to 26.1% ForGG went up by 0.61%, going from 55.47% to 56.07% Soulkey went up by 0.56%, going from 13.04% to 13.6% Snute went up by 0.55%, going from 21.42% to 21.97% GuMiho went up by 0.55%, going from 19.33% to 19.87% Bunny went up by 0.48%, going from 24.3% to 24.78% Jaedong went up by 0.46%, going from 20.57% to 21.03% Trap went up by 0.45%, going from 18.41% to 18.86% Hydra went up by 0.43%, going from 92.34% to 92.77% Polt went up by 0.41%, going from 94.36% to 94.76% Bbyong went up by 0.36%, going from 14.25% to 14.61% Lilbow went up by 0.33%, going from 12.84% to 13.17% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.27%, going from 6.86% to 7.12% TY went up by 0.25%, going from 6.81% to 7.06% Dear went up by 0.23%, going from 7.26% to 7.49% HyuN went up by 0.22%, going from 7.17% to 7.38% Solar went up by 0.18%, going from 5.9% to 6.08% MarineLorD went up by 0.18%, going from 5.48% to 5.66% TRUE went up by 0.16%, going from 4.81% to 4.97% FireCake went up by 0.16%, going from 4.48% to 4.64% Bomber went up by 0.15%, going from 3.77% to 3.92% Leenock went up by 0.14%, going from 3.83% to 3.98% TLO went up by 0.14%, going from 3.23% to 3.36% Petraeus went up by 0.13%, going from 3.25% to 3.38% Harstem went up by 0.12%, going from 3.34% to 3.46% Super went up by 0.12%, going from 2.81% to 2.93% MMA went up by 0.1%, going from 2.71% to 2.81%
Biggest Losers sOs went down by 8.32%, going from 56.02% to 47.7% Curious went down by 7.58%, going from 14.66% to 7.08% ByuL went down by 2.11%, going from 70.81% to 68.71%
Branch #1976 Biggest Winners Curious went up by 38.69%, going from 14.66% to 53.35%
Biggest Losers sOs went down by 10.72%, going from 56.02% to 45.3% Rain went down by 5.87%, going from 97.15% to 91.28% ByuL went down by 3.67%, going from 70.81% to 67.14% Stats went down by 1.41%, going from 53.23% to 51.82% Rogue went down by 1.37%, going from 45.67% to 44.3% Zest went down by 1.19%, going from 78.78% to 77.58% FanTaSy went down by 1.15%, going from 45.96% to 44.81% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Dark went down by 0.89%, going from 55.79% to 54.9% Classic went down by 0.86%, going from 74.66% to 73.8% INnoVation went down by 0.84%, going from 25.42% to 24.58% ForGG went down by 0.73%, going from 55.47% to 54.74% Snute went down by 0.69%, going from 21.42% to 20.73% Soulkey went down by 0.67%, going from 13.04% to 12.37% GuMiho went down by 0.67%, going from 19.33% to 18.66% Trap went down by 0.56%, going from 18.41% to 17.85% Bunny went down by 0.52%, going from 24.3% to 23.77% Jaedong went down by 0.52%, going from 20.57% to 20.05% Hydra went down by 0.49%, going from 92.34% to 91.85% Bbyong went down by 0.48%, going from 14.25% to 13.78% Polt went down by 0.45%, going from 94.36% to 93.91% Lilbow went down by 0.45%, going from 12.84% to 12.39% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.34%, going from 6.86% to 6.52% TY went down by 0.27%, going from 6.81% to 6.53% MarineLorD went down by 0.25%, going from 5.48% to 5.23% HyuN went down by 0.25%, going from 7.17% to 6.91% Dear went down by 0.24%, going from 7.26% to 7.02% FireCake went down by 0.22%, going from 4.48% to 4.26% Solar went down by 0.21%, going from 5.9% to 5.69% TRUE went down by 0.19%, going from 4.81% to 4.61% Bomber went down by 0.17%, going from 3.77% to 3.6% Petraeus went down by 0.17%, going from 3.25% to 3.08% Leenock went down by 0.16%, going from 3.83% to 3.67% TLO went down by 0.16%, going from 3.23% to 3.07% Harstem went down by 0.15%, going from 3.34% to 3.19% Super went down by 0.14%, going from 2.81% to 2.68% MMA went down by 0.13%, going from 2.71% to 2.58% StarDust went down by 0.11%, going from 2.03% to 1.92%
Rain vs Curiousin in GSL Code S Season 2 semifinals. Rain has the #3 Headband. Rain is at 97.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.65% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.57%, or 91.59% if they lose. Curious is at 15.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 34.82%, or 6.99% if they lose.
GSL Code S Season 2 Winning Chances Rain has a 44.63% chance to win ----going from 97.23% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 94.99% if they don't. ByuL has a 41.1% chance to win ----going from 88.37% to 98.99% if they get 1st, or 80.96% if they don't. Curious has a 14.27% chance to win ----going from 15.16% to 53.4% if they get 1st, or 8.79% if they don't.
Branch #2002 Biggest Winners ByuL went up by 10.62%, going from 88.37% to 98.99%
Biggest Winners Curious went down by 4.5%, going from 15.16% to 10.66% Rain went down by 0.96%, going from 97.23% to 96.27% Stats went down by 0.4%, going from 53.47% to 53.06% Rogue went down by 0.36%, going from 45.94% to 45.58% Zest went down by 0.33%, going from 78.96% to 78.63% FanTaSy went down by 0.3%, going from 46.34% to 46.04% sOs went down by 0.27%, going from 32.65% to 32.38% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
INnoVation went down by 0.23%, going from 25.59% to 25.36% Dark went down by 0.22%, going from 56.17% to 55.95% Classic went down by 0.21%, going from 76.13% to 75.92% GuMiho went down by 0.19%, going from 19.53% to 19.34% Snute went down by 0.19%, going from 21.04% to 20.85% Soulkey went down by 0.18%, going from 13.17% to 12.99% Bunny went down by 0.16%, going from 24.33% to 24.17% ForGG went down by 0.16%, going from 55.54% to 55.38% Hydra went down by 0.16%, going from 92.52% to 92.37% Trap went down by 0.15%, going from 18.92% to 18.77% Polt went down by 0.13%, going from 94.43% to 94.3% Jaedong went down by 0.12%, going from 20.55% to 20.43% Bbyong went down by 0.11%, going from 14.79% to 14.68% Lilbow went down by 0.11%, going from 12.99% to 12.88%
Branch #2001 Biggest Winners Curious went up by 38.24%, going from 15.16% to 53.4%
Biggest Losers ByuL went down by 8.72%, going from 88.37% to 79.65% Rain went down by 5.91%, going from 97.23% to 91.31% Stats went down by 1.69%, going from 53.47% to 51.78% Rogue went down by 1.63%, going from 45.94% to 44.31% FanTaSy went down by 1.48%, going from 46.34% to 44.86% Zest went down by 1.33%, going from 78.96% to 77.63% sOs went down by 1.27%, going from 32.65% to 31.38% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Classic went down by 1.11%, going from 76.13% to 75.03% Dark went down by 1.1%, going from 56.17% to 55.07% INnoVation went down by 1.03%, going from 25.59% to 24.56% Snute went down by 0.86%, going from 21.04% to 20.17% ForGG went down by 0.84%, going from 55.54% to 54.7% GuMiho went down by 0.81%, going from 19.53% to 18.72% Soulkey went down by 0.75%, going from 13.17% to 12.42% Bunny went down by 0.69%, going from 24.33% to 23.65% Jaedong went down by 0.67%, going from 20.55% to 19.88% Trap went down by 0.63%, going from 18.92% to 18.29% Polt went down by 0.6%, going from 94.43% to 93.82% Hydra went down by 0.6%, going from 92.52% to 91.93% Bbyong went down by 0.58%, going from 14.79% to 14.22% Lilbow went down by 0.56%, going from 12.99% to 12.43% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.38%, going from 7.31% to 6.93% TY went down by 0.34%, going from 7.66% to 7.31% HyuN went down by 0.33%, going from 7.21% to 6.88% Dear went down by 0.31%, going from 7.01% to 6.7% MarineLorD went down by 0.31%, going from 6.05% to 5.74% FireCake went down by 0.25%, going from 4.5% to 4.25% TRUE went down by 0.24%, going from 4.82% to 4.57% Solar went down by 0.24%, going from 5.1% to 4.86% Bomber went down by 0.21%, going from 3.82% to 3.61% Leenock went down by 0.21%, going from 3.86% to 3.65% Harstem went down by 0.18%, going from 3.26% to 3.08% TLO went down by 0.17%, going from 2.53% to 2.36% Petraeus went down by 0.16%, going from 2.9% to 2.74% MMA went down by 0.15%, going from 2.75% to 2.59% Super went down by 0.15%, going from 2.74% to 2.59% soO went down by 0.13%, going from 2.32% to 2.19% StarDust went down by 0.12%, going from 1.98% to 1.86% Ret went down by 0.11%, going from 1.53% to 1.43%
Branch #2000 Biggest Winners Rain went up by 2.77%, going from 97.23% to 99.99% Stats went up by 0.91%, going from 53.47% to 54.38% Rogue went up by 0.86%, going from 45.94% to 46.8% FanTaSy went up by 0.75%, going from 46.34% to 47.1% Zest went up by 0.73%, going from 78.96% to 79.69% sOs went up by 0.65%, going from 32.65% to 33.3% Dark went up by 0.55%, going from 56.17% to 56.72% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Classic went up by 0.55%, going from 76.13% to 76.68% INnoVation went up by 0.54%, going from 25.59% to 26.13% Snute went up by 0.45%, going from 21.04% to 21.48% GuMiho went up by 0.43%, going from 19.53% to 19.96% ForGG went up by 0.42%, going from 55.54% to 55.96% Soulkey went up by 0.4%, going from 13.17% to 13.57% Bunny went up by 0.37%, going from 24.33% to 24.7% Trap went up by 0.34%, going from 18.92% to 19.26% Hydra went up by 0.34%, going from 92.52% to 92.86% Jaedong went up by 0.33%, going from 20.55% to 20.88% Polt went up by 0.31%, going from 94.43% to 94.74% Bbyong went up by 0.29%, going from 14.79% to 15.08% Lilbow went up by 0.28%, going from 12.99% to 13.27% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.2%, going from 7.31% to 7.5% TY went up by 0.2%, going from 7.66% to 7.85% HyuN went up by 0.17%, going from 7.21% to 7.38% Dear went up by 0.17%, going from 7.01% to 7.18% MarineLorD went up by 0.16%, going from 6.05% to 6.21% TRUE went up by 0.13%, going from 4.82% to 4.95% Leenock went up by 0.12%, going from 3.86% to 3.98% FireCake went up by 0.11%, going from 4.5% to 4.61% Bomber went up by 0.11%, going from 3.82% to 3.93% Solar went up by 0.11%, going from 5.1% to 5.2%
Biggest Losers Curious went down by 8.08%, going from 15.16% to 7.08% ByuL went down by 6.99%, going from 88.37% to 81.38%
Dream vs Classicin in StarLeague Season 2 finals. Dream has the #2 Headband. Dream is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. Classic is at 76.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 95.5%, or 66.15% if they lose.
Branch #2007 Biggest Winners Classic went up by 19.08%, going from 76.42% to 95.5%
Biggest Losers Stats went down by 1.32%, going from 53.85% to 52.53% Rogue went down by 1.31%, going from 46.32% to 45.01% FanTaSy went down by 1.13%, going from 46.67% to 45.54% Dark went down by 1.13%, going from 56.32% to 55.19% Zest went down by 1.02%, going from 79.31% to 78.3% sOs went down by 0.95%, going from 32.93% to 31.98% INnoVation went down by 0.8%, going from 25.8% to 25.01% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
ForGG went down by 0.69%, going from 55.7% to 55.02% GuMiho went down by 0.64%, going from 19.71% to 19.06% ByuL went down by 0.64%, going from 87.86% to 87.21% Soulkey went down by 0.64%, going from 13.31% to 12.67% Snute went down by 0.64%, going from 21.86% to 21.22% Bunny went down by 0.59%, going from 24.49% to 23.89% Trap went down by 0.57%, going from 19.03% to 18.47% Jaedong went down by 0.51%, going from 20.52% to 20.01% Hydra went down by 0.5%, going from 92.66% to 92.15% Polt went down by 0.49%, going from 94.57% to 94.08% Bbyong went down by 0.47%, going from 14.93% to 14.46% Lilbow went down by 0.42%, going from 13.92% to 13.5% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.34%, going from 7.38% to 7.05% TY went down by 0.3%, going from 7.74% to 7.44% Curious went down by 0.29%, going from 6.97% to 6.68% Dear went down by 0.29%, going from 7.09% to 6.81% HyuN went down by 0.27%, going from 7.26% to 6.99% MarineLorD went down by 0.21%, going from 6.16% to 5.95% TRUE went down by 0.2%, going from 4.88% to 4.69% Bomber went down by 0.18%, going from 3.89% to 3.7% Solar went down by 0.18%, going from 5.17% to 4.98% Leenock went down by 0.18%, going from 3.91% to 3.73% FireCake went down by 0.17%, going from 4.51% to 4.34% Harstem went down by 0.14%, going from 3.27% to 3.13% MMA went down by 0.14%, going from 2.79% to 2.65% Super went down by 0.14%, going from 2.78% to 2.64% TLO went down by 0.12%, going from 2.54% to 2.43% Petraeus went down by 0.12%, going from 2.91% to 2.79%
Branch #2006 Biggest Winners Stats went up by 0.71%, going from 53.85% to 54.55% Rogue went up by 0.71%, going from 46.32% to 47.03% FanTaSy went up by 0.61%, going from 46.67% to 47.28% Dark went up by 0.61%, going from 56.32% to 56.93% Zest went up by 0.55%, going from 79.31% to 79.86% sOs went up by 0.51%, going from 32.93% to 33.44% INnoVation went up by 0.43%, going from 25.8% to 26.23% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
ForGG went up by 0.37%, going from 55.7% to 56.07% GuMiho went up by 0.35%, going from 19.71% to 20.05% ByuL went up by 0.35%, going from 87.86% to 88.2% Soulkey went up by 0.34%, going from 13.31% to 13.65% Snute went up by 0.34%, going from 21.86% to 22.2% Bunny went up by 0.32%, going from 24.49% to 24.8% Trap went up by 0.3%, going from 19.03% to 19.34% Jaedong went up by 0.28%, going from 20.52% to 20.8% Hydra went up by 0.27%, going from 92.66% to 92.93% Polt went up by 0.26%, going from 94.57% to 94.83% Bbyong went up by 0.25%, going from 14.93% to 15.18% Lilbow went up by 0.22%, going from 13.92% to 14.14% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.18%, going from 7.38% to 7.57% TY went up by 0.16%, going from 7.74% to 7.9% Curious went up by 0.16%, going from 6.97% to 7.13% Dear went up by 0.16%, going from 7.09% to 7.25% HyuN went up by 0.14%, going from 7.26% to 7.41% MarineLorD went up by 0.11%, going from 6.16% to 6.27% TRUE went up by 0.11%, going from 4.88% to 4.99%
Biggest Losers Classic went down by 10.27%, going from 76.42% to 66.15%
I'm currently looking at closing season 2 of WCS Wars either late on June 28th or on June 29th, should be after GSL finals and WCS finals but before all the qualifiers and KeSPA Cup. Season 3 would start 24 hours after the closing of season 2. And remember the winner gets their choice of a month of TL+ or Reddit Gold! Make sure to set your TL or Reddit username here http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=login so I know who to give the prize to.
End of WCS Wars Season 2 in ~ Start of WCS Wars Season 3 in ~
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- KeSPA Cup 2 Qualifiers, SSL S3 Qualifiers, and WCS Ro16 Preview Thursday, Jun 25 9:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2048)
Biggest Winners and Losers from KeSPA Cup and SSL qualifiers and seeds (Sim ID #2307 vs Sim ID #2048) (from Wednesday, Jun 24 5:02pm GMT (GMT+00:00) to Thursday, Jun 25 4:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00)) Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 12.18%, going from 55.33% to 67.51% Dark went up by 11.32%, going from 54.35% to 65.67% sOs went up by 10.29%, going from 27.21% to 37.49% INnoVation went up by 9.89%, going from 22.15% to 32.05% Snute went up by 9.41%, going from 18.49% to 27.9% Trap went up by 8.37%, going from 18.54% to 26.91% TY went up by 7.59%, going from 11.41% to 18.99% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Solar went up by 5.25%, going from 4.22% to 9.48% Dear went up by 4.87%, going from 5.6% to 10.47% HyuN went up by 3.83%, going from 6.04% to 9.87% MyuNgSiK went up by 3.7%, going from 5.4% to 9.1% San went up by 2.8%, going from 1.33% to 4.13% soO went up by 2.59%, going from 3.1% to 5.69% Rain went up by 0.26%, going from 99.37% to 99.63% Heart went up by 0.24%, going from 0.06% to 0.3% Classic went up by 0.11%, going from 99.33% to 99.44% Journey went up by 0.1%, going from 0.02% to 0.13%
Biggest Losers FanTaSy went down by 12.25%, going from 53.8% to 41.55% ForGG went down by 7.73%, going from 52.36% to 44.63% GuMiho went down by 6.33%, going from 14.76% to 8.43% Stats went down by 6.19%, going from 47.37% to 41.18% Zest went down by 6.16%, going from 75.76% to 69.6% Jaedong went down by 5.74%, going from 27.67% to 21.94% Soulkey went down by 5.34%, going from 10.87% to 5.53% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Bbyong went down by 5.27%, going from 12.64% to 7.37% Hydra went down by 4.92%, going from 90.87% to 85.95% Polt went down by 3.68%, going from 93.27% to 89.6% Curious went down by 3.29%, going from 8.7% to 5.41% TRUE went down by 2.67%, going from 5.83% to 3.15% Bunny went down by 2.54%, going from 23.02% to 20.47% Lilbow went down by 1.99%, going from 14.63% to 12.64% ByuL went down by 1.97%, going from 86.47% to 84.5% Leenock went down by 1.69%, going from 3.17% to 1.49% Bomber went down by 1.61%, going from 2.7% to 1.1% StarDust went down by 1.4%, going from 5.17% to 3.78% MMA went down by 1.15%, going from 2.09% to 0.94% MarineLorD went down by 0.9%, going from 5.48% to 4.58% Super went down by 0.82%, going from 2.06% to 1.25% Cure went down by 0.7%, going from 1.01% to 0.31% Flash went down by 0.69%, going from 1.22% to 0.53% FireCake went down by 0.67%, going from 3.79% to 3.11% Hurricane went down by 0.55%, going from 0.87% to 0.32% Harstem went down by 0.5%, going from 2.91% to 2.41% MaNa went down by 0.49%, going from 2.11% to 1.62% Petraeus went down by 0.48%, going from 2.5% to 2.02% TLO went down by 0.4%, going from 2.2% to 1.79% Sacsri went down by 0.39%, going from 0.72% to 0.33% viOLet went down by 0.36%, going from 0.79% to 0.42% jjakji went down by 0.32%, going from 0.51% to 0.19% Terminator went down by 0.29%, going from 0.4% to 0.11% Ret went down by 0.28%, going from 1.41% to 1.12% iaguz went down by 0.24%, going from 1.21% to 0.97% Impact went down by 0.24%, going from 0.42% to 0.18% GunGFuBanDa went down by 0.23%, going from 1.13% to 0.91% First went down by 0.2%, going from 0.36% to 0.16% MajOr went down by 0.17%, going from 0.63% to 0.45% iAsonu went down by 0.16%, going from 0.74% to 0.58% ShoWTimE went down by 0.13%, going from 0.4% to 0.27% MaSa went down by 0.12%, going from 0.48% to 0.35% Patience went down by 0.12%, going from 0.2% to 0.08% YoDa went down by 0.12%, going from 0.17% to 0.05% TaeJa went down by 0.12%, going from 0.13% to 0.01%
Rain, Classic, Polt, Hydra, and ByuL look like they have high percentages, but their AFK Chances are actually pretty low so they still need more points. Rain's AFK Chances are at 62.74%, Classic at 39.42%, Polt at 0.38%, Hydra at 0.04%, and ByuL at 0%.
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 64.02% down to 63.79% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 17.26% down to 17.1% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 1.71% down to 1.62% Chances of 4+ foreigners from 0.06% down to 0.05%
Snute16.6% chance to be the only foreigner, 27.9% chance overall. Bunny11.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 20.47% chance overall. Lilbow7.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 12.64% chance overall. MarineLorD2.44% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.58% chance overall. FireCake1.61% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.11% chance overall. Harstem1.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.41% chance overall. Petraeus1.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.02% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
TLO0.91% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.79% chance overall. MaNa0.86% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.62% chance overall. Ret0.58% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.12% chance overall. iaguz0.51% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.97% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.47% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.91% chance overall. iAsonu0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.58% chance overall. MajOr0.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.45% chance overall. MaSa0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.35% chance overall. Kane0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.27% chance overall. ShoWTimE0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.27% chance overall. elfi0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.23% chance overall. Sen0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.16% chance overall. Has0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.09% chance overall. Happy0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. NaNiwa0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. Jim0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. Nerchio0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. uThermal0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. TargA0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Kelazhur0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Serral0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. PiG0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Scarlett0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Welmu0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Elazer0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. PtitDrogo0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall.
ByuL is the current #1 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Classic is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Rain is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
0.92% of the time 2700 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 10.81% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 27.94% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 52.12% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 70.07% of the time 3250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.37% of the time 3400 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.1% of the time 3650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Closest to 1% went from 2625 points up to 2700 points. Closest to 50% went from 3075 points up to 3150 points. Closest to 99% went from 3575 points up to 3650 points.
ForGG, Hydra, Bunny, and GunGFuBanDain in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 16. ForGG is at 44.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 56.13%, or 23.88% if they lose. Bunny is at 20.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 33.08%, or 10.31% if they lose. Hydra is at 85.95% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 93.94%, or 73.46% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.91% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.38%, or 0.27% if they lose.
MarineLorD, FireCake, Harstem, and Poltin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 16. MarineLorD is at 4.58% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.39% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.27%, or 1.26% if they lose. Harstem is at 2.41% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.45%, or 0.9% if they lose. FireCake is at 3.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.82%, or 1.05% if they lose. Polt is at 89.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 95.29%, or 77.44% if they lose.
iAsonu, Lilbow, iaguz, and TLOin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 16. iAsonu is at 0.58% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.32%, or 0.18% if they lose. iaguz is at 0.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.69%, or 0.22% if they lose. Lilbow is at 12.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 15.82%, or 3.64% if they lose. TLO is at 1.79% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.2% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.56%, or 0.6% if they lose.
Jaedong, StarDust, Ret, and Petraeusin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 16. Jaedong is at 21.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.05% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 29.03%, or 9.83% if they lose. Ret is at 1.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.15%, or 0.31% if they lose. StarDust is at 3.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.31%, or 1.22% if they lose. Petraeus is at 2.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.64% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.95%, or 0.58% if they lose.
ForGG has a 18.52% chance to win ----going from 44.63% to 96.61% if they get 1st, or 32.81% if they don't. Hydra has a 14.32% chance to win ----going from 85.95% to 100% if they get 1st, or 83.6% if they don't. Polt has a 12.53% chance to win ----going from 89.59% to 100% if they get 1st, or 88.1% if they don't. Lilbow has a 12.14% chance to win ----going from 12.64% to 50.84% if they get 1st, or 7.37% if they don't. Jaedong has a 9.09% chance to win ----going from 21.94% to 83.26% if they get 1st, or 15.81% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Bunny has a 7.15% chance to win ----going from 20.47% to 91.77% if they get 1st, or 14.98% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 6.1% chance to win ----going from 4.59% to 35.1% if they get 1st, or 2.6% if they don't. StarDust has a 3.81% chance to win ----going from 3.78% to 39.92% if they get 1st, or 2.35% if they don't. Petraeus has a 3.44% chance to win ----going from 2.02% to 26.33% if they get 1st, or 1.15% if they don't. FireCake has a 2.67% chance to win ----going from 3.11% to 46.99% if they get 1st, or 1.91% if they don't. Harstem has a 2.01% chance to win ----going from 2.41% to 47.09% if they get 1st, or 1.5% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.99% chance to win ----going from 0.97% to 22.9% if they get 1st, or 0.52% if they don't. Ret has a 1.88% chance to win ----going from 1.12% to 24.93% if they get 1st, or 0.67% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.86% chance to win ----going from 0.91% to 21.21% if they get 1st, or 0.52% if they don't. TLO has a 1.3% chance to win ----going from 1.79% to 53.43% if they get 1st, or 1.11% if they don't. iAsonu has a 1.2% chance to win ----going from 0.58% to 18.1% if they get 1st, or 0.37% if they don't.
ForGG, Hydra, Bunny, and GunGFuBanDain in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 16. This is the Group of Death! ForGG is at 44.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 56.11%, or 23.88% if they lose. Bunny is at 20.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.62% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 33.06%, or 10.32% if they lose. Hydra is at 85.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 93.95%, or 73.48% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.91% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.38%, or 0.27% if they lose.
MarineLorD, FireCake, Harstem, and Poltin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 16. This is the 2nd place Group of Death! MarineLorD is at 4.59% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.39% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.27%, or 1.25% if they lose. Harstem is at 2.41% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.45%, or 0.9% if they lose. FireCake is at 3.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.24% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.82%, or 1.05% if they lose. Polt is at 89.59% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 95.3%, or 77.41% if they lose.
iAsonu, Lilbow, iaguz, and TLOin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 16. iAsonu is at 0.58% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.33%, or 0.18% if they lose. iaguz is at 0.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.7%, or 0.22% if they lose. Lilbow is at 12.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 15.82%, or 3.64% if they lose. TLO is at 1.79% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.19% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.57%, or 0.6% if they lose.
Jaedong, StarDust, Ret, and Petraeusin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 16. Jaedong is at 21.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 29.04%, or 9.81% if they lose. Ret is at 1.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.15%, or 0.31% if they lose. StarDust is at 3.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.32%, or 1.21% if they lose. Petraeus is at 2.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.96%, or 0.58% if they lose.
ForGG has a 18.52% chance to win ----going from 44.62% to 96.6% if they get 1st, or 32.8% if they don't. Hydra has a 14.32% chance to win ----going from 85.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 83.62% if they don't. Polt has a 12.53% chance to win ----going from 89.59% to 100% if they get 1st, or 88.1% if they don't. Lilbow has a 12.14% chance to win ----going from 12.64% to 50.85% if they get 1st, or 7.36% if they don't. Jaedong has a 9.08% chance to win ----going from 21.94% to 83.3% if they get 1st, or 15.81% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Bunny has a 7.15% chance to win ----going from 20.47% to 91.79% if they get 1st, or 14.98% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 6.1% chance to win ----going from 4.59% to 35.12% if they get 1st, or 2.6% if they don't. StarDust has a 3.81% chance to win ----going from 3.78% to 39.95% if they get 1st, or 2.34% if they don't. Petraeus has a 3.44% chance to win ----going from 2.02% to 26.31% if they get 1st, or 1.16% if they don't. FireCake has a 2.67% chance to win ----going from 3.11% to 47.09% if they get 1st, or 1.91% if they don't. Harstem has a 2.01% chance to win ----going from 2.41% to 47.05% if they get 1st, or 1.5% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.99% chance to win ----going from 0.97% to 22.95% if they get 1st, or 0.52% if they don't. Ret has a 1.88% chance to win ----going from 1.12% to 24.93% if they get 1st, or 0.67% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.86% chance to win ----going from 0.91% to 21.26% if they get 1st, or 0.52% if they don't. TLO has a 1.3% chance to win ----going from 1.79% to 53.5% if they get 1st, or 1.11% if they don't. iAsonu has a 1.2% chance to win ----going from 0.58% to 18.2% if they get 1st, or 0.37% if they don't.
ForGG, Hydra, Bunny, and GunGFuBanDain in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 16. This is the Group of Death! ForGG is at 32.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 49.69%, or 21.01% if they lose. Bunny is at 14.25% Blizzcon Chances, with a 23.21% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 30.42%, or 9.36% if they lose. Hydra is at 94.26% Blizzcon Chances. --------------- GunGFuBanDa is at 0.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.09%, or 0.31% if they lose.
MarineLorD, FireCake, Harstem, and Poltin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 16. This is the 2nd place Group of Death! MarineLorD is at 4.53% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.64% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.73%, or 1.42% if they lose. Harstem is at 1.56% Blizzcon Chances, with a 19.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.65%, or 0.83% if they lose. FireCake is at 1.96% Blizzcon Chances, with a 22.19% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.33%, or 0.99% if they lose. Polt is at 96.07% Blizzcon Chances. ---------------
iAsonu, Lilbow, iaguz, and TLOin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 16. iAsonu is at 0.35% Blizzcon Chances, with a 22.39% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.04%, or 0.16% if they lose. iaguz is at 1.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.65%, or 0.29% if they lose. Lilbow is at 16.11% Blizzcon Chances. --------------- TLO is at 1.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 21.94% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.8%, or 0.5% if they lose.
Jaedong, StarDust, Ret, and Petraeusin in WCS Premier Season 2 round of 16. Jaedong is at 20.8% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 27.26%, or 10.53% if they lose. Ret is at 0.54% Blizzcon Chances, with a 17.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.85%, or 0.25% if they lose. StarDust is at 6.7% Blizzcon Chances. --------------- Petraeus is at 1.22% Blizzcon Chances, with a 20.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.71%, or 0.56% if they lose.
Hydra has a 23.21% chance to win ----going from 94.26% to 100% if they get 1st, or 92.53% if they don't. Polt has a 20.64% chance to win ----going from 96.07% to 100% if they get 1st, or 95.05% if they don't. Lilbow has a 15.47% chance to win ----going from 16.11% to 51.75% if they get 1st, or 9.58% if they don't. ForGG has a 8.39% chance to win ----going from 32.01% to 96.09% if they get 1st, or 26.13% if they don't. Jaedong has a 7.39% chance to win ----going from 20.8% to 83.09% if they get 1st, or 15.84% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
StarDust has a 7.08% chance to win ----going from 6.7% to 41.36% if they get 1st, or 4.06% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 5.55% chance to win ----going from 4.53% to 34.87% if they get 1st, or 2.75% if they don't. Bunny has a 3.13% chance to win ----going from 14.25% to 91.19% if they get 1st, or 11.77% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.99% chance to win ----going from 0.99% to 20.52% if they get 1st, or 0.6% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.84% chance to win ----going from 1.04% to 23.4% if they get 1st, or 0.63% if they don't. Petraeus has a 1.48% chance to win ----going from 1.22% to 26.13% if they get 1st, or 0.84% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.19% chance to win ----going from 1.96% to 46.4% if they get 1st, or 1.42% if they don't. Harstem has a 0.92% chance to win ----going from 1.56% to 45.8% if they get 1st, or 1.15% if they don't. Ret has a 0.66% chance to win ----going from 0.54% to 23.88% if they get 1st, or 0.38% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.54% chance to win ----going from 0.35% to 17.33% if they get 1st, or 0.26% if they don't. TLO has a 0.52% chance to win ----going from 1.01% to 51.95% if they get 1st, or 0.74% if they don't.
44.84% of the time. Lilbow gets 8th place in WCS Premier Season 2 This would change Lilbow's chances from 16.11% to 6.36% 0.083017 This happens 39.02% of the time. Hydra gets 8th place in WCS Premier Season 2 This would change Hydra's chances from 94.26% to 87.16%
55.22% of the time. StarDust gets 8th place in WCS Premier Season 2 This would change StarDust's chances from 6.7% to 2.59%
40.02% of the time. Polt gets 8th place in WCS Premier Season 2 This would change Polt's chances from 96.07% to 91.07%
30.09% of the time. Jaedong gets 8th place in WCS Premier Season 2 This would change Jaedong's chances from 20.8% to 14.14%
30.05% of the time. MarineLorD gets 8th place in WCS Premier Season 2 This would change MarineLorD's chances from 4.53% to 2.28%
15.05% of the time. ForGG gets 8th place in WCS Premier Season 2 This would change ForGG's chances from 32.01% to 27.91%
35.5% of the time. iaguz gets 8th place in WCS Premier Season 2 This would change iaguz's chances from 1.04% to 0.54%
Branch #2064 Biggest Winners Hydra went up by 5.74%, going from 94.26% to 100% FanTaSy went up by 1.57%, going from 41.77% to 43.35% Stats went up by 1.57%, going from 41.45% to 43.02% Rogue went up by 1.51%, going from 67.82% to 69.34% Zest went up by 1.44%, going from 69.91% to 71.35% Dark went up by 1.26%, going from 65.92% to 67.18% sOs went up by 1.25%, going from 37.79% to 39.04% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
INnoVation went up by 1.06%, going from 32.17% to 33.23% Snute went up by 0.92%, going from 28.04% to 28.96% ByuL went up by 0.89%, going from 84.7% to 85.6% TY went up by 0.76%, going from 19.12% to 19.89% Trap went up by 0.73%, going from 26.99% to 27.73% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.46%, going from 9.22% to 9.68% GuMiho went up by 0.46%, going from 8.46% to 8.92% Dear went up by 0.42%, going from 10.53% to 10.95% Soulkey went up by 0.41%, going from 5.59% to 6.01% HyuN went up by 0.4%, going from 9.92% to 10.32% Solar went up by 0.34%, going from 9.53% to 9.87% Curious went up by 0.33%, going from 5.45% to 5.78% Bbyong went up by 0.3%, going from 7.39% to 7.69% soO went up by 0.26%, going from 5.73% to 5.99% San went up by 0.22%, going from 4.16% to 4.38% TRUE went up by 0.19%, going from 3.18% to 3.37% MaNa went up by 0.1%, going from 1.63% to 1.73%
Biggest Losers Lilbow went down by 6.34%, going from 16.11% to 9.76% Jaedong went down by 4.74%, going from 20.8% to 16.07% ForGG went down by 4.52%, going from 32.01% to 27.49% StarDust went down by 2.47%, going from 6.7% to 4.24% Bunny went down by 1.79%, going from 14.25% to 12.46% MarineLorD went down by 1.61%, going from 4.53% to 2.93% FireCake went down by 0.42%, going from 1.96% to 1.54% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
iaguz went down by 0.38%, going from 1.04% to 0.66% Harstem went down by 0.33%, going from 1.56% to 1.24% GunGFuBanDa went down by 0.31%, going from 0.99% to 0.68% Petraeus went down by 0.27%, going from 1.22% to 0.94% TLO went down by 0.21%, going from 1.01% to 0.79% Ret went down by 0.11%, going from 0.54% to 0.43%
Branch #2065 Biggest Winners Polt went up by 3.93%, going from 96.07% to 100% Stats went up by 1.71%, going from 41.45% to 43.16% Rogue went up by 1.68%, going from 67.82% to 69.51% FanTaSy went up by 1.67%, going from 41.77% to 43.44% Zest went up by 1.62%, going from 69.91% to 71.53% Dark went up by 1.38%, going from 65.92% to 67.3% sOs went up by 1.35%, going from 37.79% to 39.14% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
INnoVation went up by 1.12%, going from 32.17% to 33.29% ByuL went up by 1.01%, going from 84.7% to 85.71% Snute went up by 0.98%, going from 28.04% to 29.02% Trap went up by 0.9%, going from 26.99% to 27.9% TY went up by 0.89%, going from 19.12% to 20.01% GuMiho went up by 0.53%, going from 8.46% to 8.99% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.52%, going from 9.22% to 9.74% Dear went up by 0.49%, going from 10.53% to 11.02% Soulkey went up by 0.49%, going from 5.59% to 6.08% HyuN went up by 0.45%, going from 9.92% to 10.37% Solar went up by 0.43%, going from 9.53% to 9.96% Bbyong went up by 0.4%, going from 7.39% to 7.79% Curious went up by 0.33%, going from 5.45% to 5.77% soO went up by 0.29%, going from 5.73% to 6.02% San went up by 0.24%, going from 4.16% to 4.4% TRUE went up by 0.21%, going from 3.18% to 3.39% Leenock went up by 0.12%, going from 1.51% to 1.62% MaNa went up by 0.11%, going from 1.63% to 1.74%
Biggest Losers Lilbow went down by 5.79%, going from 16.11% to 10.31% ForGG went down by 5.39%, going from 32.01% to 26.62% Jaedong went down by 4.33%, going from 20.8% to 16.48% StarDust went down by 2.3%, going from 6.7% to 4.41% Bunny went down by 1.52%, going from 14.25% to 12.73% MarineLorD went down by 1.48%, going from 4.53% to 3.06% Hydra went down by 1.02%, going from 94.26% to 93.25% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
FireCake went down by 0.43%, going from 1.96% to 1.53% iaguz went down by 0.35%, going from 1.04% to 0.7% Petraeus went down by 0.31%, going from 1.22% to 0.9% GunGFuBanDa went down by 0.3%, going from 0.99% to 0.69% Harstem went down by 0.27%, going from 1.56% to 1.3% TLO went down by 0.2%, going from 1.01% to 0.8%
Branch #2066 Biggest Winners Lilbow went up by 35.64%, going from 16.11% to 51.75%
Biggest Losers ForGG went down by 5.77%, going from 32.01% to 26.23% Jaedong went down by 4.75%, going from 20.8% to 16.05% StarDust went down by 2.85%, going from 6.7% to 3.85% Bunny went down by 2.57%, going from 14.25% to 11.68% MarineLorD went down by 1.91%, going from 4.53% to 2.63% Hydra went down by 1.57%, going from 94.26% to 92.69% Polt went down by 1.48%, going from 96.07% to 94.59% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
FanTaSy went down by 1.1%, going from 41.77% to 40.68% Stats went down by 1.03%, going from 41.45% to 40.43% Rogue went down by 0.99%, going from 67.82% to 66.83% Zest went down by 0.98%, going from 69.91% to 68.93% Dark went down by 0.84%, going from 65.92% to 65.08% sOs went down by 0.81%, going from 37.79% to 36.98% INnoVation went down by 0.63%, going from 32.17% to 31.54% ByuL went down by 0.61%, going from 84.7% to 84.09% Snute went down by 0.59%, going from 28.04% to 27.45% FireCake went down by 0.55%, going from 1.96% to 1.41% TY went down by 0.54%, going from 19.12% to 18.59% Trap went down by 0.49%, going from 26.99% to 26.5% Harstem went down by 0.46%, going from 1.56% to 1.11% iaguz went down by 0.44%, going from 1.04% to 0.61% GunGFuBanDa went down by 0.43%, going from 0.99% to 0.57% Petraeus went down by 0.39%, going from 1.22% to 0.83% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.35%, going from 9.22% to 8.87% GuMiho went down by 0.33%, going from 8.46% to 8.13% Dear went down by 0.3%, going from 10.53% to 10.23% TLO went down by 0.29%, going from 1.01% to 0.72% Soulkey went down by 0.26%, going from 5.59% to 5.33% HyuN went down by 0.24%, going from 9.92% to 9.68% Bbyong went down by 0.23%, going from 7.39% to 7.17% Solar went down by 0.22%, going from 9.53% to 9.32% Curious went down by 0.21%, going from 5.45% to 5.24% Ret went down by 0.18%, going from 0.54% to 0.36% soO went down by 0.18%, going from 5.73% to 5.56% San went down by 0.16%, going from 4.16% to 4.01% TRUE went down by 0.13%, going from 3.18% to 3.05%
Branch #2067 Biggest Winners StarDust went up by 34.66%, going from 6.7% to 41.36%
Biggest Losers Lilbow went down by 6.64%, going from 16.11% to 9.47% ForGG went down by 5.7%, going from 32.01% to 26.31% Jaedong went down by 4.83%, going from 20.8% to 15.97% Bunny went down by 2.47%, going from 14.25% to 11.78% MarineLorD went down by 1.89%, going from 4.53% to 2.64% Hydra went down by 1.85%, going from 94.26% to 92.42% Polt went down by 1.38%, going from 96.07% to 94.69% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Stats went down by 0.66%, going from 41.45% to 40.79% Rogue went down by 0.63%, going from 67.82% to 67.2% Zest went down by 0.6%, going from 69.91% to 69.31% FanTaSy went down by 0.57%, going from 41.77% to 41.2% FireCake went down by 0.54%, going from 1.96% to 1.42% Dark went down by 0.51%, going from 65.92% to 65.41% sOs went down by 0.47%, going from 37.79% to 37.32% iaguz went down by 0.42%, going from 1.04% to 0.63% GunGFuBanDa went down by 0.41%, going from 0.99% to 0.59% Harstem went down by 0.4%, going from 1.56% to 1.16% Petraeus went down by 0.37%, going from 1.22% to 0.84% TY went down by 0.36%, going from 19.12% to 18.76% INnoVation went down by 0.35%, going from 32.17% to 31.82% ByuL went down by 0.32%, going from 84.7% to 84.38% Trap went down by 0.31%, going from 26.99% to 26.69% Snute went down by 0.29%, going from 28.04% to 27.76% TLO went down by 0.28%, going from 1.01% to 0.73% GuMiho went down by 0.26%, going from 8.46% to 8.2% HyuN went down by 0.22%, going from 9.92% to 9.7% Soulkey went down by 0.21%, going from 5.59% to 5.38% Dear went down by 0.2%, going from 10.53% to 10.33% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.16%, going from 9.22% to 9.06% Ret went down by 0.16%, going from 0.54% to 0.38% Solar went down by 0.14%, going from 9.53% to 9.39% Bbyong went down by 0.13%, going from 7.39% to 7.26% Curious went down by 0.13%, going from 5.45% to 5.32% San went down by 0.11%, going from 4.16% to 4.06% soO went down by 0.11%, going from 5.73% to 5.63%
Rain vs ByuLin in GSL Code S Season 2 finals. Rain has the #3 Headband. ByuL has the #1 Headband. Rain is at 99.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 98.92% if they lose. ByuL is at 84.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.22% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.73%, or 76.43% if they lose.
Branch #2074 Biggest Winners ByuL went up by 14.45%, going from 84.28% to 98.73%
Biggest Losers Stats went down by 0.98%, going from 40.75% to 39.77% FanTaSy went down by 0.96%, going from 41.09% to 40.13% Rogue went down by 0.93%, going from 67.35% to 66.42% Zest went down by 0.86%, going from 69.25% to 68.39% Dark went down by 0.81%, going from 65.35% to 64.54% sOs went down by 0.79%, going from 37.13% to 36.34% Rain went down by 0.7%, going from 99.62% to 98.92% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
INnoVation went down by 0.63%, going from 31.69% to 31.06% Bunny went down by 0.57%, going from 32.14% to 31.58% Snute went down by 0.56%, going from 27.14% to 26.58% Jaedong went down by 0.55%, going from 27.79% to 27.24% TY went down by 0.49%, going from 18.75% to 18.26% Trap went down by 0.48%, going from 26.63% to 26.15% Hydra went down by 0.42%, going from 92.68% to 92.26% Lilbow went down by 0.36%, going from 14.9% to 14.54% ForGG went down by 0.33%, going from 16.62% to 16.29% Dear went down by 0.3%, going from 10.32% to 10.02% Polt went down by 0.3%, going from 96.51% to 96.21% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.3%, going from 9.02% to 8.72% GuMiho went down by 0.28%, going from 8.28% to 8.01% HyuN went down by 0.27%, going from 9.76% to 9.49% Solar went down by 0.25%, going from 9.37% to 9.12% Soulkey went down by 0.25%, going from 5.42% to 5.17% Bbyong went down by 0.22%, going from 7.25% to 7.03% StarDust went down by 0.21%, going from 7.29% to 7.09% MarineLorD went down by 0.21%, going from 7.41% to 7.2% Curious went down by 0.18%, going from 5.32% to 5.14% soO went down by 0.17%, going from 5.63% to 5.46% San went down by 0.13%, going from 4.06% to 3.93% TRUE went down by 0.12%, going from 3.11% to 2.99% TLO went down by 0.11%, going from 3.26% to 3.15%
Branch #2073 Biggest Winners Stats went up by 0.53%, going from 40.75% to 41.29% FanTaSy went up by 0.52%, going from 41.09% to 41.61% Rogue went up by 0.5%, going from 67.35% to 67.85% Zest went up by 0.47%, going from 69.25% to 69.72% Dark went up by 0.44%, going from 65.35% to 65.78% sOs went up by 0.43%, going from 37.13% to 37.56% Rain went up by 0.38%, going from 99.62% to 99.99% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
INnoVation went up by 0.34%, going from 31.69% to 32.04% Bunny went up by 0.31%, going from 32.14% to 32.45% Snute went up by 0.3%, going from 27.14% to 27.44% Jaedong went up by 0.3%, going from 27.79% to 28.09% TY went up by 0.27%, going from 18.75% to 19.01% Trap went up by 0.26%, going from 26.63% to 26.89% Hydra went up by 0.23%, going from 92.68% to 92.91% Lilbow went up by 0.2%, going from 14.9% to 15.09% ForGG went up by 0.18%, going from 16.62% to 16.8% Dear went up by 0.16%, going from 10.32% to 10.49% Polt went up by 0.16%, going from 96.51% to 96.67% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.16%, going from 9.02% to 9.18% GuMiho went up by 0.15%, going from 8.28% to 8.43% HyuN went up by 0.15%, going from 9.76% to 9.9% Solar went up by 0.14%, going from 9.37% to 9.51% Soulkey went up by 0.13%, going from 5.42% to 5.55% Bbyong went up by 0.12%, going from 7.25% to 7.37% StarDust went up by 0.11%, going from 7.29% to 7.41% MarineLorD went up by 0.11%, going from 7.41% to 7.52%
Biggest Losers ByuL went down by 7.86%, going from 84.28% to 76.43%
(Sim ID #2048 vs #2077) Thursday, Jun 25 4:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00) to Sunday, Jun 28 8:12am GMT (GMT+00:00) Biggest Winners Bunny went up by 11.99%, going from 20.47% to 32.46% Polt went up by 6.98%, going from 89.59% to 96.57% Hydra went up by 6.97%, going from 85.97% to 92.94% Jaedong went up by 6.19%, going from 21.94% to 28.13% StarDust went up by 3.64%, going from 3.78% to 7.41% MarineLorD went up by 2.91%, going from 4.59% to 7.5% Lilbow went up by 2.42%, going from 12.64% to 15.06% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
TLO went up by 1.77%, going from 1.79% to 3.56% Rain went up by 0.37%, going from 99.63% to 99.99% Rogue went up by 0.36%, going from 67.5% to 67.86% Zest went up by 0.16%, going from 69.6% to 69.76% Stats went up by 0.1%, going from 41.18% to 41.28%
Biggest Losers ForGG went down by 27.81%, going from 44.62% to 16.81% ByuL went down by 8.13%, going from 84.5% to 76.36% FireCake went down by 2.08%, going from 3.11% to 1.03% Harstem went down by 1.77%, going from 2.41% to 0.65% Petraeus went down by 1.37%, going from 2.02% to 0.65% Ret went down by 0.9%, going from 1.12% to 0.22% iaguz went down by 0.74%, going from 0.97% to 0.23% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
GunGFuBanDa went down by 0.58%, going from 0.91% to 0.32% iAsonu went down by 0.48%, going from 0.58% to 0.1% Snute went down by 0.35%, going from 27.88% to 27.53%
StarDust vs Bunnyin in WCS Premier Season 2 quarterfinals. StarDust is at 7.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.71%, or 3.01% if they lose. Bunny is at 32.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 44.89%, or 14.72% if they lose.
MarineLorD vs Lilbowin in WCS Premier Season 2 quarterfinals. MarineLorD is at 7.5% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.72%, or 2.59% if they lose. Lilbow is at 15.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.3%, or 6.33% if they lose.
Jaedong vs Hydrain in WCS Premier Season 2 quarterfinals. Jaedong is at 28.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.53% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 41.89%, or 14.61% if they lose. Hydra is at 92.93% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.01%, or 86.74% if they lose.
Polt vs TLOin in WCS Premier Season 2 quarterfinals. Polt is at 96.58% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.24%, or 91.09% if they lose. TLO is at 3.57% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.64% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.82%, or 1.5% if they lose.
Polt has a 20.09% chance to win ----going from 96.58% to 100% if they get 1st, or 95.72% if they don't. Hydra has a 19.78% chance to win ----going from 92.93% to 100% if they get 1st, or 91.18% if they don't. Bunny has a 14.29% chance to win ----going from 32.45% to 91.47% if they get 1st, or 22.61% if they don't. Lilbow has a 13.83% chance to win ----going from 15.08% to 51.79% if they get 1st, or 9.19% if they don't. Jaedong has a 12.55% chance to win ----going from 28.12% to 83.71% if they get 1st, or 20.15% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MarineLorD has a 9.95% chance to win ----going from 7.5% to 36.75% if they get 1st, or 4.27% if they don't. StarDust has a 7.05% chance to win ----going from 7.42% to 44.34% if they get 1st, or 4.62% if they don't. TLO has a 2.46% chance to win ----going from 3.57% to 55.92% if they get 1st, or 2.25% if they don't.
Branch #2078 Biggest Winners Hydra went up by 7.07%, going from 92.93% to 100% Stats went up by 1.98%, going from 41.27% to 43.25% Zest went up by 1.89%, going from 69.73% to 71.62% Rogue went up by 1.88%, going from 67.83% to 69.71% FanTaSy went up by 1.81%, going from 41.59% to 43.4% ByuL went up by 1.6%, going from 76.38% to 77.99% sOs went up by 1.52%, going from 37.58% to 39.1% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Dark went up by 1.46%, going from 65.74% to 67.21% INnoVation went up by 1.22%, going from 32.06% to 33.29% Snute went up by 0.99%, going from 27.51% to 28.5% TY went up by 0.94%, going from 18.95% to 19.89% Trap went up by 0.82%, going from 26.92% to 27.74% GuMiho went up by 0.61%, going from 8.41% to 9.02% ForGG went up by 0.56%, going from 16.8% to 17.36% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.55%, going from 9.14% to 9.69% HyuN went up by 0.54%, going from 9.87% to 10.41% Dear went up by 0.51%, going from 10.49% to 11.01% Soulkey went up by 0.51%, going from 5.53% to 6.04% Solar went up by 0.47%, going from 9.51% to 9.98% Bbyong went up by 0.39%, going from 7.39% to 7.78% Curious went up by 0.34%, going from 5.41% to 5.75% soO went up by 0.32%, going from 5.7% to 6.02% TRUE went up by 0.26%, going from 3.17% to 3.43% San went up by 0.24%, going from 4.15% to 4.39% Leenock went up by 0.13%, going from 1.49% to 1.62%
Biggest Losers Jaedong went down by 13.16%, going from 28.12% to 14.96% Bunny went down by 6.38%, going from 32.46% to 26.08% Lilbow went down by 4.68%, going from 15.08% to 10.4% MarineLorD went down by 2.4%, going from 7.5% to 5.1% StarDust went down by 2.05%, going from 7.42% to 5.37% TLO went down by 1.32%, going from 3.56% to 2.24%
Branch #2079 Biggest Winners Polt went up by 3.42%, going from 96.58% to 100% FanTaSy went up by 1.91%, going from 41.59% to 43.5% Stats went up by 1.87%, going from 41.27% to 43.14% Rogue went up by 1.87%, going from 67.83% to 69.7% Zest went up by 1.75%, going from 69.73% to 71.49% ByuL went up by 1.66%, going from 76.38% to 78.04% Dark went up by 1.6%, going from 65.74% to 67.34% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
sOs went up by 1.51%, going from 37.58% to 39.09% INnoVation went up by 1.31%, going from 32.06% to 33.37% Trap went up by 1.08%, going from 26.92% to 27.99% Snute went up by 1.06%, going from 27.51% to 28.57% TY went up by 0.92%, going from 18.95% to 19.87% ForGG went up by 0.67%, going from 16.8% to 17.47% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.59%, going from 9.14% to 9.73% Soulkey went up by 0.52%, going from 5.53% to 6.05% Dear went up by 0.51%, going from 10.49% to 10.99% GuMiho went up by 0.5%, going from 8.41% to 8.91% HyuN went up by 0.48%, going from 9.87% to 10.35% Solar went up by 0.45%, going from 9.51% to 9.96% Bbyong went up by 0.37%, going from 7.39% to 7.76% Curious went up by 0.36%, going from 5.41% to 5.76% soO went up by 0.29%, going from 5.7% to 5.99% San went up by 0.27%, going from 4.15% to 4.43% TRUE went up by 0.18%, going from 3.17% to 3.35% Leenock went up by 0.13%, going from 1.49% to 1.61% MaNa went up by 0.11%, going from 1.64% to 1.75% Super went up by 0.11%, going from 1.25% to 1.36% Bomber went up by 0.11%, going from 1.09% to 1.2% FireCake went up by 0.11%, going from 1.03% to 1.14% Classic went up by 0.11%, going from 99.46% to 99.56%
Biggest Losers Jaedong went down by 8.41%, going from 28.12% to 19.71% Bunny went down by 7.16%, going from 32.46% to 25.3% Lilbow went down by 4.45%, going from 15.08% to 10.63% MarineLorD went down by 2.41%, going from 7.5% to 5.09% TLO went down by 1.95%, going from 3.56% to 1.61% StarDust went down by 1.92%, going from 7.42% to 5.5% Hydra went down by 0.4%, going from 92.93% to 92.53%
Branch #2080 Biggest Winners Lilbow went up by 36.75%, going from 15.08% to 51.83%
Biggest Losers Bunny went down by 13.47%, going from 32.46% to 18.99% Jaedong went down by 5.15%, going from 28.12% to 22.97% MarineLorD went down by 4.91%, going from 7.5% to 2.59% StarDust went down by 3.28%, going from 7.42% to 4.15% TLO went down by 0.94%, going from 3.56% to 2.62% FanTaSy went down by 0.68%, going from 41.59% to 40.9% Polt went down by 0.62%, going from 96.58% to 95.96% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
ByuL went down by 0.61%, going from 76.38% to 75.77% Rogue went down by 0.61%, going from 67.83% to 67.22% Stats went down by 0.6%, going from 41.27% to 40.67% Hydra went down by 0.58%, going from 92.93% to 92.34% Dark went down by 0.56%, going from 65.74% to 65.18% Zest went down by 0.55%, going from 69.73% to 69.18% sOs went down by 0.47%, going from 37.58% to 37.11% INnoVation went down by 0.42%, going from 32.06% to 31.65% Snute went down by 0.39%, going from 27.51% to 27.11% TY went down by 0.33%, going from 18.95% to 18.62% Trap went down by 0.33%, going from 26.92% to 26.59% GuMiho went down by 0.24%, going from 8.41% to 8.17% Soulkey went down by 0.21%, going from 5.53% to 5.32% ForGG went down by 0.2%, going from 16.8% to 16.59% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.19%, going from 9.14% to 8.95% Dear went down by 0.16%, going from 10.49% to 10.33% Solar went down by 0.16%, going from 9.51% to 9.35% HyuN went down by 0.13%, going from 9.87% to 9.74% soO went down by 0.12%, going from 5.7% to 5.58% Curious went down by 0.11%, going from 5.41% to 5.29% Bbyong went down by 0.11%, going from 7.39% to 7.28%
Branch #2081 Biggest Winners StarDust went up by 36.9%, going from 7.42% to 44.31% Snute went up by 0.23%, going from 27.49% to 27.72% Bbyong went up by 0.12%, going from 7.39% to 7.51%
Biggest Losers Bunny went down by 17.96%, going from 32.45% to 14.49% Lilbow went down by 6.52%, going from 15.07% to 8.55% Jaedong went down by 4.57%, going from 28.13% to 23.56% MarineLorD went down by 3.73%, going from 7.5% to 3.76% TLO went down by 0.79%, going from 3.56% to 2.77% Polt went down by 0.59%, going from 96.58% to 95.99% Hydra went down by 0.57%, going from 92.92% to 92.35% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
FanTaSy went down by 0.37%, going from 41.59% to 41.22% Zest went down by 0.36%, going from 69.71% to 69.35% Stats went down by 0.32%, going from 41.26% to 40.94% ByuL went down by 0.23%, going from 76.4% to 76.17% sOs went down by 0.22%, going from 37.59% to 37.37% Solar went down by 0.14%, going from 9.51% to 9.37% ForGG went down by 0.13%, going from 16.81% to 16.68% Curious went down by 0.11%, going from 5.41% to 5.29% Dark went down by 0.11%, going from 65.74% to 65.63% Rogue went down by 0.1%, going from 67.84% to 67.74%
Branch #2082 Biggest Winners Bunny went up by 59.02%, going from 32.45% to 91.47%
Biggest Losers Lilbow went down by 7.38%, going from 15.07% to 7.69% Jaedong went down by 6.56%, going from 28.13% to 21.57% StarDust went down by 4.64%, going from 7.42% to 2.78% MarineLorD went down by 4.01%, going from 7.5% to 3.49% Stats went down by 2.68%, going from 41.26% to 38.58% FanTaSy went down by 2.63%, going from 41.59% to 38.96% Rogue went down by 2.59%, going from 67.84% to 65.25% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Zest went down by 2.52%, going from 69.71% to 67.19% Dark went down by 2.22%, going from 65.74% to 63.52% ByuL went down by 2.13%, going from 76.4% to 74.27% sOs went down by 2.03%, going from 37.59% to 35.55% INnoVation went down by 1.82%, going from 32.07% to 30.26% Hydra went down by 1.71%, going from 92.92% to 91.21% Snute went down by 1.62%, going from 27.49% to 25.87% Trap went down by 1.37%, going from 26.91% to 25.54% TY went down by 1.3%, going from 18.96% to 17.66% TLO went down by 1.19%, going from 3.56% to 2.38% Polt went down by 1.02%, going from 96.58% to 95.56% ForGG went down by 0.89%, going from 16.81% to 15.92% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.8%, going from 9.14% to 8.34% Dear went down by 0.8%, going from 10.49% to 9.69% HyuN went down by 0.76%, going from 9.87% to 9.11% GuMiho went down by 0.69%, going from 8.42% to 7.73% Soulkey went down by 0.68%, going from 5.54% to 4.85% Solar went down by 0.64%, going from 9.51% to 8.87% Bbyong went down by 0.61%, going from 7.39% to 6.78% Curious went down by 0.48%, going from 5.41% to 4.92% soO went down by 0.42%, going from 5.7% to 5.29% San went down by 0.36%, going from 4.15% to 3.79% TRUE went down by 0.31%, going from 3.18% to 2.87% MaNa went down by 0.2%, going from 1.64% to 1.44% Classic went down by 0.19%, going from 99.46% to 99.27% Leenock went down by 0.16%, going from 1.49% to 1.33% Super went down by 0.13%, going from 1.25% to 1.12% Harstem went down by 0.12%, going from 0.64% to 0.52% FireCake went down by 0.12%, going from 1.03% to 0.91% Bomber went down by 0.11%, going from 1.09% to 0.99%
Branch #2083 Biggest Winners MarineLorD went up by 29.27%, going from 7.5% to 36.77% FanTaSy went up by 0.28%, going from 41.59% to 41.87% Dark went up by 0.24%, going from 65.74% to 65.98% Zest went up by 0.17%, going from 69.71% to 69.88% Trap went up by 0.13%, going from 26.91% to 27.04% Dear went up by 0.11%, going from 10.49% to 10.59% ForGG went up by 0.11%, going from 16.81% to 16.91%
Biggest Losers Bunny went down by 13.4%, going from 32.45% to 19.04% Lilbow went down by 8.79%, going from 15.07% to 6.29% Jaedong went down by 4.62%, going from 28.13% to 23.51% StarDust went down by 3.02%, going from 7.42% to 4.4% TLO went down by 0.8%, going from 3.56% to 2.76% Polt went down by 0.45%, going from 96.58% to 96.14% Hydra went down by 0.22%, going from 92.92% to 92.7%
Branch #2084 Biggest Winners Jaedong went up by 55.55%, going from 28.13% to 83.68%
Biggest Losers Bunny went down by 8.51%, going from 32.45% to 23.94% Hydra went down by 7.23%, going from 92.92% to 85.69% Lilbow went down by 5.87%, going from 15.07% to 9.21% MarineLorD went down by 2.93%, going from 7.5% to 4.57% StarDust went down by 2.61%, going from 7.42% to 4.8% Rogue went down by 2.05%, going from 67.84% to 65.79% Stats went down by 2.02%, going from 41.26% to 39.24% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Zest went down by 2.01%, going from 69.71% to 67.7% FanTaSy went down by 1.9%, going from 41.59% to 39.69% ByuL went down by 1.85%, going from 76.4% to 74.56% Polt went down by 1.73%, going from 96.58% to 94.85% Dark went down by 1.66%, going from 65.74% to 64.08% sOs went down by 1.64%, going from 37.59% to 35.95% TLO went down by 1.57%, going from 3.56% to 1.99% INnoVation went down by 1.43%, going from 32.07% to 30.64% Snute went down by 1.12%, going from 27.49% to 26.37% TY went down by 1.06%, going from 18.96% to 17.9% Trap went down by 1.04%, going from 26.91% to 25.88% ForGG went down by 0.64%, going from 16.81% to 16.17% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.62%, going from 9.14% to 8.52% GuMiho went down by 0.61%, going from 8.42% to 7.8% HyuN went down by 0.58%, going from 9.87% to 9.29% Soulkey went down by 0.57%, going from 5.54% to 4.97% Dear went down by 0.55%, going from 10.49% to 9.93% Solar went down by 0.5%, going from 9.51% to 9.01% Bbyong went down by 0.43%, going from 7.39% to 6.96% Curious went down by 0.35%, going from 5.41% to 5.05% soO went down by 0.3%, going from 5.7% to 5.4% San went down by 0.28%, going from 4.15% to 3.86% TRUE went down by 0.23%, going from 3.18% to 2.94% Leenock went down by 0.16%, going from 1.49% to 1.33% MaNa went down by 0.12%, going from 1.64% to 1.52% FireCake went down by 0.12%, going from 1.03% to 0.91% Classic went down by 0.11%, going from 99.46% to 99.35% Super went down by 0.1%, going from 1.25% to 1.15%
Branch #2085 Biggest Winners TLO went up by 52.39%, going from 3.56% to 55.95%
Biggest Losers Jaedong went down by 10.24%, going from 28.13% to 17.89% Bunny went down by 8.38%, going from 32.45% to 24.07% Polt went down by 6.21%, going from 96.58% to 90.37% Lilbow went down by 5.52%, going from 15.07% to 9.56% MarineLorD went down by 2.87%, going from 7.5% to 4.63% StarDust went down by 2.42%, going from 7.42% to 4.99% sOs went down by 1.52%, going from 37.59% to 36.07% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
FanTaSy went down by 1.49%, going from 41.59% to 40.1% Stats went down by 1.24%, going from 41.26% to 40.02% Zest went down by 1.22%, going from 69.71% to 68.49% Hydra went down by 1.19%, going from 92.92% to 91.73% Rogue went down by 1.18%, going from 67.84% to 66.66% ByuL went down by 1.1%, going from 76.4% to 75.3% Dark went down by 1.06%, going from 65.74% to 64.68% Trap went down by 0.7%, going from 26.91% to 26.21% TY went down by 0.66%, going from 18.96% to 18.3% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.46%, going from 9.14% to 8.68% Dear went down by 0.44%, going from 10.49% to 10.04% INnoVation went down by 0.44%, going from 32.07% to 31.63% Soulkey went down by 0.44%, going from 5.54% to 5.1% Snute went down by 0.43%, going from 27.49% to 27.06% GuMiho went down by 0.41%, going from 8.42% to 8.01% San went down by 0.33%, going from 4.15% to 3.82% Bbyong went down by 0.31%, going from 7.39% to 7.08% ForGG went down by 0.28%, going from 16.81% to 16.52% HyuN went down by 0.28%, going from 9.87% to 9.59% Solar went down by 0.21%, going from 9.51% to 9.3% TRUE went down by 0.2%, going from 3.18% to 2.97% Curious went down by 0.13%, going from 5.41% to 5.27% MaNa went down by 0.11%, going from 1.64% to 1.53%
(Sim ID #2048 vs #2095) (Thursday, Jun 25 4:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00) to Sunday, Jun 28 7:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00)) Biggest Winners Lilbow went up by 22.22%, going from 12.64% to 34.86% Hydra went up by 13.97%, going from 85.97% to 99.94% Polt went up by 9.16%, going from 89.59% to 98.75% Bunny went up by 3.59%, going from 20.47% to 24.06% Rogue went up by 0.94%, going from 67.5% to 68.44% Stats went up by 0.67%, going from 41.18% to 41.85% Zest went up by 0.66%, going from 69.6% to 70.26% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
FanTaSy went up by 0.61%, going from 41.56% to 42.17% Dark went up by 0.5%, going from 65.67% to 66.17% sOs went up by 0.46%, going from 37.5% to 37.96% Rain went up by 0.37%, going from 99.63% to 99.99% INnoVation went up by 0.37%, going from 32.04% to 32.41% TY went up by 0.29%, going from 18.99% to 19.29% Trap went up by 0.23%, going from 26.9% to 27.13% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.21%, going from 9.11% to 9.32% Soulkey went up by 0.17%, going from 5.53% to 5.7% Dear went up by 0.17%, going from 10.47% to 10.64% GuMiho went up by 0.17%, going from 8.43% to 8.59% HyuN went up by 0.11%, going from 9.87% to 9.98%
Biggest Losers ForGG went down by 27.74%, going from 44.62% to 16.88% ByuL went down by 8.55%, going from 84.5% to 75.95% Jaedong went down by 8.47%, going from 21.94% to 13.47% MarineLorD went down by 2.17%, going from 4.59% to 2.42% FireCake went down by 2.08%, going from 3.11% to 1.04% Harstem went down by 1.77%, going from 2.41% to 0.65% Petraeus went down by 1.37%, going from 2.02% to 0.65% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Ret went down by 0.9%, going from 1.12% to 0.22% iaguz went down by 0.73%, going from 0.97% to 0.24% GunGFuBanDa went down by 0.57%, going from 0.91% to 0.33% iAsonu went down by 0.48%, going from 0.58% to 0.1% StarDust went down by 0.43%, going from 3.78% to 3.35% TLO went down by 0.29%, going from 1.79% to 1.5% Snute went down by 0.22%, going from 27.88% to 27.66%
Hydra vs Lilbowin in WCS Premier Season 2 finals. Hydra is at 99.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.68% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.87% if they lose. Lilbow is at 34.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 52.47%, or 18.41% if they lose.
Branch #2096 Biggest Winners Stats went up by 1.23%, going from 41.84% to 43.07% Rogue went up by 1.16%, going from 68.43% to 69.59% FanTaSy went up by 1.16%, going from 42.18% to 43.34% Zest went up by 1.14%, going from 70.25% to 71.39% ByuL went up by 1.08%, going from 75.94% to 77.03% Dark went up by 1.05%, going from 66.18% to 67.23% sOs went up by 0.96%, going from 37.96% to 38.92% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
INnoVation went up by 0.83%, going from 32.42% to 33.25% Bunny went up by 0.7%, going from 24.05% to 24.75% Snute went up by 0.66%, going from 27.65% to 28.31% TY went up by 0.6%, going from 19.29% to 19.89% Trap went up by 0.6%, going from 27.14% to 27.74% Jaedong went up by 0.42%, going from 13.47% to 13.9% ForGG went up by 0.36%, going from 16.88% to 17.24% Dear went up by 0.36%, going from 10.63% to 10.99% GuMiho went up by 0.35%, going from 8.59% to 8.95% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.33%, going from 9.32% to 9.65% Soulkey went up by 0.32%, going from 5.7% to 6.02% HyuN went up by 0.31%, going from 9.98% to 10.3% Solar went up by 0.28%, going from 9.58% to 9.86% Bbyong went up by 0.28%, going from 7.47% to 7.75% Curious went up by 0.24%, going from 5.5% to 5.74% Polt went up by 0.19%, going from 98.75% to 98.95% soO went up by 0.18%, going from 5.79% to 5.97% San went up by 0.16%, going from 4.21% to 4.37% TRUE went up by 0.15%, going from 3.22% to 3.37% StarDust went up by 0.14%, going from 3.35% to 3.49% MarineLorD went up by 0.1%, going from 2.42% to 2.52%
Biggest Losers Lilbow went down by 16.46%, going from 34.86% to 18.4%
Branch #2098 Biggest Winners Lilbow went up by 17.62%, going from 34.86% to 52.48%
Biggest Losers Stats went down by 1.31%, going from 41.84% to 40.53% FanTaSy went down by 1.25%, going from 42.17% to 40.92% Rogue went down by 1.24%, going from 68.44% to 67.2% Zest went down by 1.21%, going from 70.25% to 69.04% ByuL went down by 1.15%, going from 75.95% to 74.8% Dark went down by 1.13%, going from 66.18% to 65.05% sOs went down by 1.03%, going from 37.95% to 36.92% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
INnoVation went down by 0.89%, going from 32.41% to 31.52% Bunny went down by 0.75%, going from 24.05% to 23.3% Snute went down by 0.7%, going from 27.66% to 26.97% TY went down by 0.65%, going from 19.28% to 18.63% Trap went down by 0.64%, going from 27.14% to 26.49% Jaedong went down by 0.46%, going from 13.47% to 13.01% ForGG went down by 0.38%, going from 16.88% to 16.5% GuMiho went down by 0.38%, going from 8.59% to 8.21% Dear went down by 0.38%, going from 10.64% to 10.26% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.35%, going from 9.32% to 8.97% Soulkey went down by 0.35%, going from 5.7% to 5.35% HyuN went down by 0.34%, going from 9.98% to 9.64% Solar went down by 0.31%, going from 9.58% to 9.27% Bbyong went down by 0.3%, going from 7.47% to 7.17% Curious went down by 0.26%, going from 5.5% to 5.24% Polt went down by 0.21%, going from 98.75% to 98.55% soO went down by 0.2%, going from 5.79% to 5.59% San went down by 0.17%, going from 4.21% to 4.05% TRUE went down by 0.16%, going from 3.22% to 3.06% StarDust went down by 0.14%, going from 3.35% to 3.21% MarineLorD went down by 0.11%, going from 2.42% to 2.31%
Congratulations to karl1ok for winning the first place trophy! Let me know if you want the TL+ or Reddit Gold prize. And lukasus for winning the 2nd place trophy! These will stay next to your usernames forever!
#6 patton's team is worth 14,260 WCS Points with Rain (6325), ForGG (3175), Rogue (4400), and 360 unspent points.
#7 GYM's team is worth 14,225 WCS Points with Polt (5075), Hydra (6325), MarineLorD (2375), and 450 unspent points.
#8 Die4Ever's team is worth 14,127 WCS Points with Hydra (6325), and 7802 unspent points.
#9 FloW's team is worth 14,125 WCS Points with Rain (6325), Polt (5075), Kane (2125), and 600 unspent points.
#10 samsungjackets's team is worth 14,100 WCS Points with ByuL (4550), Dream (5925), soO (2600), and 1025 unspent points.
#11 Sephrenya's team is worth 14,086 WCS Points with PartinG (6900), Snute (3575), FireCake (2350), and 1261 unspent points.
#12 Solar424's team is worth 13,750 WCS Points with Jaedong (3175), soO (2600), MajOr (1850), Solar (2800), Lilbow (3325), and 0 unspent points.
#13 sharkie's team is worth 13,648 WCS Points with ForGG (3175), iaguz (1975), Hydra (6325), and 2173 unspent points.
#14 Darkened's team is worth 13,642 WCS Points with Curious (2925), Hydra (6325), and 4392 unspent points.
#15 stardust's team is worth 13,525 WCS Points with StarDust (2575), Hydra (6325), and 4625 unspent points.
#16 loves_to_69's team is worth 13,250 WCS Points with Polt (5075), elfi (1800), Hydra (6325), and 50 unspent points.
#17 Season 1 2nd PlaceCruSaderSC's team is worth 13,249 WCS Points with viOLet (1900), Jaedong (3175), Dark (4400), Snute (3575), and 199 unspent points.
#18 OtherWorld's team is worth 13,216 WCS Points with Lilbow (3325), and 9891 unspent points.
#19 SkyHigh's team is worth 12,950 WCS Points with MarineKing (2200), Flash (2000), Dark (4400), Bunny (3575), and 775 unspent points.
#20 Surfacing's team is worth 12,925 WCS Points with herO (7825), and 5100 unspent points.
#21 Alurian's team is worth 12,800 WCS Points with Rain (6325), NaNiwa (1575), elfi (1800), MorroW (1400), Zanster (1375), and 325 unspent points.
#22 80hd10's team is worth 12,800 WCS Points with Jaedong (3175), Snute (3575), Bunny (3575), and 2475 unspent points.
#1 karl1ok gained 3200 points from Classic, bought on Tuesday, Apr 07 8:14am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2500 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5700 points.
#2 sadeiko gained 3200 points from Classic, bought on Tuesday, Apr 07 4:43am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2500 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5700 points.
#3 FloW gained 2575 points from Rain, bought on Thursday, Apr 09 4:56am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3750 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#4 Darkdwarf gained 2575 points from Rain, bought on Tuesday, Apr 07 6:20pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3750 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#5 patton gained 2250 points from Rain, bought on Thursday, Apr 23 11:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4075 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#6 lukasus gained 2125 points from ByuL, bought on Wednesday, Apr 08 8:03pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2425 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4550 points.
#7 Alurian gained 1900 points from Rain, bought on Sunday, Apr 26 7:38pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4425 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#8 Solar424 gained 1775 points from Lilbow, bought on Thursday, Apr 09 1:32am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1550 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3325 points.
#9 Die4Ever gained 1725 points from Hydra, bought on Monday, Apr 20 2:28pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4600 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#10 Sakat gained 1550 points from ByuL, bought on Wednesday, Apr 29 7:27am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3000 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4550 points.
#11 GYM gained 1550 points from Hydra, bought on Thursday, Apr 09 3:48am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4775 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#12 samsungjackets gained 1450 points from ByuL, bought on Sunday, Apr 12 3:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3100 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4550 points.
#13 sharkie gained 1350 points from Hydra, bought on Friday, Jun 26 11:36am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4975 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#14 edwahn gained 1350 points from Hydra, bought on Monday, May 04 2:53am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4975 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#15 loves_to_69 gained 1325 points from Hydra, bought on Tuesday, May 05 9:03pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5000 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#16 Bockwurst gained 1325 points from Lilbow, bought on Saturday, Apr 25 10:28am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2000 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3325 points.
#17 Sakat gained 1325 points from Hydra, bought on Wednesday, Apr 29 7:26am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5000 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#18 lukasus gained 1286 points from Classic, bought on Wednesday, Apr 08 8:02pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2500 points, sold on Thursday, Jun 11 6:42am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3786 points.
#19 stardust gained 1150 points from Hydra, bought on Wednesday, Jun 03 8:38pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5175 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#20 Solar424 gained 1125 points from Jaedong, bought on Thursday, Apr 09 1:33am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2050 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
Worst Trades
#1 Darkened lost 1223 points from Life, bought on Thursday, May 21 5:58am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 8450 points, sold on Wednesday, May 27 7:55pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7227 points.
#2 Darkened lost 1074 points from herO, bought on Monday, Jun 01 5:40am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 8375 points, sold on Sunday, Jun 07 11:35am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7301 points.
#3 Xithryl lost 1050 points from ForGG, bought on Thursday, Apr 09 10:36pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4225 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
#4 JackBeckman lost 1050 points from ForGG, bought on Thursday, Apr 09 2:44am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4225 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
#5 daffe lost 1050 points from ForGG, bought on Tuesday, Apr 07 11:30am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4225 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
#6 denon39 lost 1050 points from ForGG, bought on Tuesday, Apr 07 8:26pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4225 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
#7 The_Templar lost 1050 points from ForGG, bought on Tuesday, Apr 07 3:51pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4225 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
#8 Darquess lost 1050 points from ForGG, bought on Tuesday, Apr 07 10:48pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4225 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
#9 sharkie lost 1025 points from herO, bought on Tuesday, Jun 02 11:12pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 8375 points, sold on Friday, Jun 05 12:18am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7350 points.
#10 edwahn lost 1000 points from ForGG, bought on Thursday, Jun 04 5:51am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4175 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
#11 seph lost 975 points from ForGG, bought on Monday, Jun 22 7:51pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4150 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
#12 Die4Ever lost 882 points from ForGG, bought on Monday, Apr 20 2:29pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4025 points, sold on Sunday, Jun 28 2:24am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3143 points.
#13 Sephrenya lost 875 points from PartinG, bought on Saturday, May 30 11:43am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7775 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6900 points.
#14 Topher lost 875 points from Life, bought on Wednesday, Apr 08 6:23pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7950 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7075 points.
#15 patton lost 850 points from ForGG, bought on Monday, Apr 20 12:58pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4025 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3175 points.
#16 Tofu33 lost 850 points from NaNiwa, bought on Wednesday, Apr 08 4:54am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2425 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1575 points.
#17 Magnuz lost 850 points from Life, bought on Thursday, Apr 09 5:11pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7925 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7075 points.
#18 Swisslink lost 825 points from Life, bought on Tuesday, Apr 07 3:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7900 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7075 points.
#19 Darkdwarf lost 797 points from soO, bought on Friday, Apr 24 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2950 points, sold on Thursday, May 07 5:29pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2153 points.
#20 Topher lost 775 points from Soulkey, bought on Wednesday, Apr 08 6:23pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3975 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3200 points.
Quickest Profitable Sales
#1 Sephrenya gained 411 points from Classic over a span of 6 hours, bought on Thursday, May 28 8:31am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3375 points, sold on Thursday, May 28 2:37pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3786 points.
#2 Sephrenya gained 298 points from PartinG over a span of 7 hours, bought on Friday, May 29 8:23am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points, sold on Friday, May 29 3:41pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7623 points.
#3 OtherWorld gained 298 points from PartinG over a span of 7 hours, bought on Friday, May 29 6:46am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points, sold on Friday, May 29 2:39pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7623 points.
#4 sharkie gained 331 points from HeRoMaRinE over a span of 7 hours, bought on Saturday, Apr 11 3:16pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1550 points, sold on Saturday, Apr 11 11:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1881 points.
#5 Sephrenya gained 56 points from Kelazhur over a span of 8 hours, bought on Wednesday, Apr 29 10:39pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1825 points, sold on Thursday, Apr 30 6:52am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1881 points.
#6 Sephrenya gained 101 points from MajOr over a span of 8 hours, bought on Wednesday, Apr 29 10:38pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2225 points, sold on Thursday, Apr 30 6:52am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2326 points.
#7 sharkie gained 372 points from Maru over a span of 10 hours, bought on Thursday, Apr 23 7:30am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7275 points, sold on Thursday, Apr 23 5:46pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7647 points.
#8 Darkened gained 1075 points from Hydra over a span of 13 hours, bought on Sunday, Jun 28 1:27pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5250 points, sold on Monday, Jun 29 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6325 points.
#9 Darkened gained 218 points from Jaedong over a span of 15 hours, bought on Sunday, May 31 2:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2925 points, sold on Monday, Jun 01 5:39am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3143 points.
#10 OtherWorld gained 173 points from Polt over a span of 15 hours, bought on Friday, May 29 2:39pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4900 points, sold on Saturday, May 30 6:15am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5073 points.
#11 sharkie gained 325 points from Jaedong over a span of 15 hours, bought on Sunday, Apr 12 2:23pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2125 points, sold on Monday, Apr 13 6:21am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2450 points.
#12 Die4Ever gained 374 points from Jaedong over a span of 16 hours, bought on Sunday, Apr 12 2:23pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2125 points, sold on Monday, Apr 13 6:45am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2499 points.
#13 sharkie gained 125 points from Kane over a span of 17 hours, bought on Monday, Apr 27 2:07pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2275 points, sold on Tuesday, Apr 28 7:44am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2400 points.
#14 sharkie gained 174 points from Hydra over a span of 17 hours, bought on Monday, Apr 27 2:06pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4800 points, sold on Tuesday, Apr 28 7:44am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4974 points.
#15 sharkie gained 24 points from herO over a span of 18 hours, bought on Sunday, May 03 8:41pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7475 points, sold on Monday, May 04 2:41pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7499 points.
#16 Sephrenya gained 199 points from TLO over a span of 20 hours, bought on Friday, May 29 3:41pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2325 points, sold on Saturday, May 30 11:43am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2524 points.
#17 Sephrenya gained 173 points from Polt over a span of 20 hours, bought on Friday, May 29 3:41pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4900 points, sold on Saturday, May 30 11:43am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5073 points.
#18 Die4Ever gained 282 points from elfi over a span of 20 hours, bought on Monday, Apr 13 6:45am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1425 points, sold on Tuesday, Apr 14 2:50am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 1707 points.
#19 OtherWorld gained 170 points from herO over a span of 21 hours, bought on Thursday, May 14 7:33pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7750 points, sold on Friday, May 15 4:45pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7920 points.
#20 sharkie gained 194 points from Jaedong over a span of 22 hours, bought on Tuesday, Apr 28 8:08am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2850 points, sold on Wednesday, Apr 29 6:31am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3044 points.
Point Givers Players who gave the most points to users total
#1 Hydra gave 11520 points with 14 trades, for an average of 822 points per trade.
#2 Rain gave 9581 points with 5 trades, for an average of 1916 points per trade.
#3 Classic gave 8097 points with 4 trades, for an average of 2024 points per trade.
#4 ByuL gave 5701 points with 9 trades, for an average of 633 points per trade.
#5 Jaedong gave 5668 points with 14 trades, for an average of 404 points per trade.
Best Possible Trades This list uses a complex filter to reduce duplicates based on the player and the time period
#1 Classic gained 3250 points over 76 days, going from 2500 points on Wednesday, Apr 08 9:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 5750 points on Wednesday, Jun 24 8:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#2 Rain gained 2575 points over 80 days, going from 3750 points on Wednesday, Apr 08 9:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 6325 points on Sunday, Jun 28 4:59pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#3 ByuL gained 2500 points over 69 days, going from 2425 points on Thursday, Apr 09 9:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4925 points on Thursday, Jun 18 5:44pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#4 Lilbow gained 2225 points over 79 days, going from 1550 points on Friday, Apr 10 2:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3775 points on Sunday, Jun 28 7:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#5 herO gained 2125 points over 21 days, going from 6400 points on Wednesday, Apr 29 9:19pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 8525 points on Thursday, May 21 2:11pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#6 Hydra gained 2000 points over 74 days, going from 4325 points on Tuesday, Apr 14 11:26pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 6325 points on Sunday, Jun 28 10:43pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#7 Dream gained 1975 points over 68 days, going from 4575 points on Wednesday, Apr 08 9:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 6550 points on Tuesday, Jun 16 5:55pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#8 StarDust gained 1750 points over 80 days, going from 1000 points on Wednesday, Apr 08 12:16am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2750 points on Saturday, Jun 27 1:01am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#9 Jaedong gained 1500 points over 81 days, going from 2025 points on Tuesday, Apr 07 1:21am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3525 points on Sunday, Jun 28 12:37am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#10 PartinG gained 1425 points over 26 days, going from 6375 points on Monday, May 04 2:13pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 7800 points on Sunday, May 31 7:09am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#11 FanTaSy gained 1350 points over 23 days, going from 3300 points on Friday, Apr 10 2:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4650 points on Monday, May 04 12:14am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#12 Curious gained 1250 points over 66 days, going from 1825 points on Friday, Apr 10 7:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3075 points on Tuesday, Jun 16 5:55pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#13 Zest gained 1250 points over 15 days, going from 4225 points on Wednesday, Apr 08 9:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 5475 points on Friday, Apr 24 3:28pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#14 MarineLorD gained 1125 points over 75 days, going from 1550 points on Monday, Apr 13 3:28am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2675 points on Sunday, Jun 28 12:37am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#15 Harstem gained 1100 points over 44 days, going from 1550 points on Friday, Apr 10 2:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2650 points on Monday, May 25 6:48am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#16 Stats gained 1100 points over 54 days, going from 3600 points on Friday, Apr 10 7:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4700 points on Wednesday, Jun 03 10:45pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#17 sOs gained 1075 points over 28 days, going from 3075 points on Tuesday, May 19 5:06pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4150 points on Tuesday, Jun 16 5:55pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#18 GuMiho gained 1025 points over 40 days, going from 2750 points on Tuesday, Apr 07 4:48pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3775 points on Monday, May 18 2:39am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#19 MyuNgSiK gained 1000 points over 56 days, going from 2225 points on Friday, Apr 10 2:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3225 points on Friday, Jun 05 3:18pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#20 Petraeus gained 950 points over 36 days, going from 1425 points on Friday, Apr 10 2:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2375 points on Sunday, May 17 7:05am GMT (GMT+00:00).
Untapped Potential The best possible trades for players that no one ever bought
#1 MyuNgSiK gained 1000 points over 56 days, going from 2225 points on Friday, Apr 10 2:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3225 points on Friday, Jun 05 3:18pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#2 San gained 850 points over 31 days, going from 1800 points on Monday, May 25 6:48am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2650 points on Thursday, Jun 25 4:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#3 TRUE gained 850 points over 78 days, going from 1975 points on Tuesday, Apr 07 4:48pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2825 points on Wednesday, Jun 24 8:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#4 HyuN gained 825 points over 31 days, going from 2375 points on Tuesday, Apr 07 4:48pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3200 points on Saturday, May 09 4:27pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#5 Sacsri gained 575 points over 25 days, going from 1925 points on Tuesday, Apr 07 4:48pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2500 points on Saturday, May 02 6:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#6 TY gained 550 points over 7 days, going from 2850 points on Thursday, Jun 18 4:38am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3400 points on Thursday, Jun 25 4:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#7 Patience gained 525 points over 29 days, going from 1925 points on Thursday, Apr 09 9:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2450 points on Saturday, May 09 4:27pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#8 ByuN gained 500 points over 11 days, going from 1000 points on Friday, Apr 17 10:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1500 points on Wednesday, Apr 29 9:19pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#9 Impact gained 425 points over 12 days, going from 1425 points on Thursday, Jun 11 11:16pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1850 points on Wednesday, Jun 24 8:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#10 NXZ gained 425 points over 22 days, going from 1250 points on Sunday, Apr 12 2:04am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1675 points on Monday, May 04 4:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#11 jjakji gained 400 points over 56 days, going from 1575 points on Wednesday, Apr 29 5:14am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1975 points on Wednesday, Jun 24 8:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#12 Leenock gained 375 points over 19 days, going from 2325 points on Tuesday, May 26 1:52am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2700 points on Sunday, Jun 14 9:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#13 aLive gained 350 points over 13 days, going from 1250 points on Thursday, Jun 11 11:16pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1600 points on Thursday, Jun 25 4:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#14 Pigbaby gained 350 points over 12 days, going from 1350 points on Thursday, Jun 11 11:16pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1700 points on Wednesday, Jun 24 8:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#15 Shana gained 350 points over 11 days, going from 1000 points on Monday, May 18 10:01pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1350 points on Saturday, May 30 9:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#16 HyuN gained 325 points over 14 days, going from 2675 points on Thursday, Jun 11 2:49pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3000 points on Thursday, Jun 25 4:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#17 Creator gained 300 points over 15 hours, going from 1625 points on Wednesday, Apr 15 3:51am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1925 points on Wednesday, Apr 15 7:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#18 Bly gained 300 points over 23 hours, going from 1425 points on Saturday, Apr 11 2:59pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1725 points on Sunday, Apr 12 2:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#19 Cham gained 275 points over 4 days, going from 1000 points on Saturday, Apr 25 1:22am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1275 points on Wednesday, Apr 29 9:19pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#20 Sora gained 275 points over 20 hours, going from 1250 points on Wednesday, Jun 24 8:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 1525 points on Thursday, Jun 25 4:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
Best Timing and what could've been
#1 sadeiko with Classic gained 3200 points but could've still gained 3200 points if sold 22 hours earlier.
#2 karl1ok with Classic gained 3200 points but could've still gained 3200 points if sold 22 hours earlier.
#3 FloW with Rain gained 2575 points but could've still gained 2575 points if bought 43 hours earlier and sold 8 hours earlier.
#4 Darkdwarf with Rain gained 2575 points but could've still gained 2575 points if bought 9 hours earlier and sold 8 hours earlier.
#5 patton with Rain gained 2250 points but could've gained 2400 points if bought 9 days earlier and sold 8 hours earlier.
Yay 2 times in the top10 of quickest profit, that's the style of play I tried to do. Sadly it didn't turn out well ): but grats to everyone (and thanks to D4E for proposing this ofc), I'll try to show good trades next season~~
Quite lucky that I won. Basically bought Classic out of pure trust and forgot about my team for a month or more xD Lets see if season 3 will be just as competetive
I feel the battles for being top16 is far less exciting than last year and 2 years ago.
Last season it felt like 12 players had to fight about the 13- 16th spots few weeks before blizzcon. I think this time only ~4 players in the same case.
Players who would go over 0.01% Blizzcon Chances if they qualify 12.03% of the time. ShoWTimE gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change ShoWTimE's chances from 0.42% to 2.33%
12.35% of the time. Happy gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Happy's chances from 0.07% to 0.53%
12.26% of the time. NaNiwa gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change NaNiwa's chances from 0.06% to 0.44%
11.85% of the time. uThermal gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change uThermal's chances from 0.05% to 0.37%
12.13% of the time. PtitDrogo gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change PtitDrogo's chances from 0.04% to 0.33% + Show Spoiler [More] +
12.31% of the time. Nerchio gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Nerchio's chances from 0.04% to 0.28%
12.03% of the time. TargA gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change TargA's chances from 0.03% to 0.27%
12.22% of the time. HeRoMaRinE gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change HeRoMaRinE's chances from 0.03% to 0.25%
11.85% of the time. Serral gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Serral's chances from 0.03% to 0.23%
12.42% of the time. PiG gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change PiG's chances from 0.03% to 0.21%
11.8% of the time. Welmu gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Welmu's chances from 0.02% to 0.19%
13.08% of the time. Scarlett gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Scarlett's chances from 0.02% to 0.13%
11.83% of the time. Zanster gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Zanster's chances from 0.02% to 0.13%
12.39% of the time. HuK gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change HuK's chances from 0.01% to 0.05%
11.62% of the time. Verdi gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Verdi's chances from 0.01% to 0.04%
11.6% of the time. Bly gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Bly's chances from 0.01% to 0.03%
11.36% of the time. Beastyqt gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Beastyqt's chances from 0.01% to 0.03%
12.01% of the time. KingKong gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change KingKong's chances from 0.01% to 0.03%
12.37% of the time. qxc gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change qxc's chances from 0.01% to 0.03%
11.39% of the time. Kas gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Kas's chances from 0.01% to 0.02%
11.31% of the time. Dayshi gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Dayshi's chances from 0.01% to 0.02%
12.12% of the time. puCK gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change puCK's chances from 0.01% to 0.02%
12.39% of the time. Bails gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Bails's chances from 0.01% to 0.02%
11.3% of the time. Boombox gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Boombox's chances from 0.01% to 0.02%
On June 29 2015 16:34 karl1ok wrote: Quite lucky that I won. Basically bought Classic out of pure trust and forgot about my team for a month or more xD Lets see if season 3 will be just as competetive
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Season 2 Recap! Tuesday, Jun 30 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2111)
WCS Wars Season 2 is now open! Starting points is now 18,000 and the base cost for a player has been increased to 2,000 to counter the increasing gap between top players and lower players. I just added ASUS Summer with 4 players qualified, added IEM Cologne and MSI, and removed 10 Placeholder tournaments (3 of those being for the tournaments added). Down to just 7 Placeholders now.
Biggest Winners and Losers during Season 2 (Sim ID #1339 vs Sim ID #2111) (from Tuesday, Apr 07 1:21am GMT (GMT+00:00) to Monday, Jun 29 10:51pm GMT (GMT+00:00)) Biggest Winners Classic went up by 92.25%, going from 7.62% to 99.87% ByuL went up by 71.87%, going from 8.99% to 80.86% Rain went up by 55.49%, going from 44.51% to 100% Dark went up by 32.08%, going from 36.68% to 68.76% Rogue went up by 27.07%, going from 46.6% to 73.67% Dream went up by 21.48%, going from 78.52% to 99.99% Hydra went up by 19.36%, going from 80.64% to 100% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
FanTaSy went up by 17.24%, going from 25.98% to 43.21% Lilbow went up by 15.72%, going from 0.78% to 16.5% Jaedong went up by 12.3%, going from 0.91% to 13.21% Zest went up by 8.88%, going from 65.78% to 74.66% MyuNgSiK went up by 7.36%, going from 2.15% to 9.51% Snute went up by 5.79%, going from 22.58% to 28.37% Polt went up by 5.07%, going from 94.73% to 99.8% sOs went up by 4.8%, going from 38.21% to 43.01% Curious went up by 4.52%, going from 0.67% to 5.19% Stats went up by 3.97%, going from 39.72% to 43.69% StarDust went up by 3.5%, going from 0.08% to 3.59% San went up by 2.71%, going from 1.45% to 4.16% MarineLorD went up by 1.98%, going from 0.59% to 2.56% TRUE went up by 1.75%, going from 1.15% to 2.9% HyuN went up by 1.3%, going from 8.25% to 9.55% Harstem went up by 0.57%, going from 0.21% to 0.78% Petraeus went up by 0.37%, going from 0.28% to 0.65% Ret went up by 0.18%, going from 0.06% to 0.25% PartinG went up by 0.18%, going from 99.82% to 100% elfi went up by 0.17%, going from 0.06% to 0.23% GunGFuBanDa went up by 0.13%, going from 0.2% to 0.34%
Biggest Losers Soulkey went down by 48.99%, going from 53.44% to 4.45% ForGG went down by 43.06%, going from 59.05% to 15.98% Bbyong went down by 41.64%, going from 47.81% to 6.16% INnoVation went down by 38.26%, going from 70.26% to 31.99% Trap went down by 22.85%, going from 48.68% to 25.83% MMA went down by 20.18%, going from 21.03% to 0.85% Dear went down by 19.67%, going from 29.85% to 10.18% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
soO went down by 18.63%, going from 24.16% to 5.53% ShoWTimE went down by 15.17%, going from 15.59% to 0.42% NaNiwa went down by 9.43%, going from 9.48% to 0.06% Leenock went down by 8.55%, going from 9.91% to 1.35% Terminator went down by 7.64%, going from 7.69% to 0.05% Bomber went down by 7.32%, going from 8.33% to 1.01% Solar went down by 7.29%, going from 16.61% to 9.31% Hurricane went down by 7.06%, going from 7.34% to 0.28% TY went down by 6.61%, going from 25.74% to 19.13% MajOr went down by 6.43%, going from 6.87% to 0.44% Super went down by 6.43%, going from 7.62% to 1.2% Happy went down by 5.63%, going from 5.7% to 0.07% viOLet went down by 4.58%, going from 5.01% to 0.42% TargA went down by 4.58%, going from 4.61% to 0.03% YoDa went down by 4.45%, going from 4.5% to 0.05% Cure went down by 4.21%, going from 4.46% to 0.25% FireCake went down by 3.67%, going from 4.88% to 1.2% Bunny went down by 3.52%, going from 27.26% to 23.73% GuMiho went down by 3.43%, going from 10.9% to 7.47% Kane went down by 3.29%, going from 3.65% to 0.36% PiG went down by 2.99%, going from 3.02% to 0.03% Serral went down by 2.8%, going from 2.83% to 0.03% MaNa went down by 2.79%, going from 4.45% to 1.67% MarineKing went down by 2.74%, going from 2.75% to 0.01% Creator went down by 2.54%, going from 2.56% to 0.02% Flash went down by 2.39%, going from 2.84% to 0.45% Welmu went down by 2.39%, going from 2.42% to 0.02% MacSed went down by 2.21%, going from 2.21% to 0.01% HuK went down by 1.81%, going from 1.81% to 0.01% Sacsri went down by 1.67%, going from 1.96% to 0.29% TaeJa went down by 1.59%, going from 1.6% to 0.01% Sen went down by 1.55%, going from 1.75% to 0.19% Losira went down by 1.41%, going from 1.42% to 0.01% Symbol went down by 1.25%, going from 1.28% to 0.03% Has went down by 1.13%, going from 1.23% to 0.1% Patience went down by 0.92%, going from 1.04% to 0.12% MorroW went down by 0.89%, going from 0.89% to 0.01% Trust went down by 0.84%, going from 0.88% to 0.03% uThermal went down by 0.78%, going from 0.83% to 0.05% SuperNova went down by 0.78%, going from 0.78% to 0.01% MC went down by 0.68%, going from 0.68% to 0.01% Jim went down by 0.6%, going from 0.67% to 0.06% Nerchio went down by 0.52%, going from 0.56% to 0.04%
Two more players have locked in for Blizzcon! Hydra from 80.64% to 100%, Rain from 44.51% to 100%. Three more players are now over 99% - Dream at 99.99%, Classic at 99.87% with 84.37% AFK Chances, and Polt at 99.8% with 97.38% AFK Chances.
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 82.49% down to 63.98% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 39.41% down to 15.59% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 9.04% down to 1.08% Chances of 4+ foreigners from 0.97% down to 0.01%
Snute17.58% chance to be the only foreigner, 28.37% chance overall. Bunny14.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 23.74% chance overall. Lilbow9.62% chance to be the only foreigner, 16.5% chance overall. MarineLorD1.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.56% chance overall. MaNa0.96% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.67% chance overall. TLO0.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.48% chance overall. FireCake0.69% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.21% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Harstem0.45% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall. Petraeus0.38% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.65% chance overall. MajOr0.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.44% chance overall. ShoWTimE0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.42% chance overall. Kane0.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.36% chance overall. MaSa0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.35% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.34% chance overall. iaguz0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.29% chance overall. Ret0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.25% chance overall. elfi0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.23% chance overall. Sen0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.19% chance overall. iAsonu0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.12% chance overall. Has0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. Happy0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. Jim0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. NaNiwa0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. uThermal0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. PtitDrogo0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. Nerchio0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. Kelazhur0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. TargA0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Serral0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. PiG0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Welmu0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Elazer0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Zanster0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Classic is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! ByuL is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
1.03% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 8.98% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 30.64% of the time 2800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 50.75% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 68.92% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 90.28% of the time 3175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.04% of the time 3400 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Closest to 99% went from 3425 points down to 3400 points. Closest to 50% went from 2925 points down to 2900 points. Closest to 1% stayed at 2500 points.
Korea 94.96% up from 91.75% Norway 1.78% up from 1.7% Denmark 1.48% down from 1.7% France 1.27% up from 0.41% Germany 0.14% down from 1.12% Poland 0.11% down from 0.31% Netherlands 0.07% from 0.07% Canada 0.05% down from 0.39% New Zealand 0.04% up from 0.02%
(Unfortunately WCS Predictor does not remember old teams for players.) SKT T1 19.15% up from 13.64% Jin Air 15.18% down from 15.44% KT 14.95% down from 15.13% CJ Entus 11.7% up from 9.89% Yoe 6.6% down from 7.03% mYinsanity 6.33% up from 3.33% ROOT 6.29% up from 5.18% CM Storm 6.24% up from 5.92% Liquid 3.47% down from 3.62% Dead Pixels 2.89% up from 1.76%
WCS Qualifiers Season 3starts in ~ Players who would go over 0.01% Blizzcon Chances if they qualify 12.03% of the time. ShoWTimE gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change ShoWTimE's chances from 0.42% to 2.33%
12.35% of the time. Happy gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Happy's chances from 0.07% to 0.53%
12.26% of the time. NaNiwa gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change NaNiwa's chances from 0.06% to 0.44%
11.85% of the time. uThermal gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change uThermal's chances from 0.05% to 0.37%
12.13% of the time. PtitDrogo gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change PtitDrogo's chances from 0.04% to 0.33% + Show Spoiler [More] +
12.31% of the time. Nerchio gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Nerchio's chances from 0.04% to 0.28%
12.03% of the time. TargA gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change TargA's chances from 0.03% to 0.27%
12.22% of the time. HeRoMaRinE gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change HeRoMaRinE's chances from 0.03% to 0.25%
11.85% of the time. Serral gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Serral's chances from 0.03% to 0.23%
12.42% of the time. PiG gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change PiG's chances from 0.03% to 0.21%
11.8% of the time. Welmu gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Welmu's chances from 0.02% to 0.19%
13.08% of the time. Scarlett gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Scarlett's chances from 0.02% to 0.13%
11.83% of the time. Zanster gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Zanster's chances from 0.02% to 0.13%
12.39% of the time. HuK gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change HuK's chances from 0.01% to 0.05%
11.62% of the time. Verdi gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Verdi's chances from 0.01% to 0.04%
11.6% of the time. Bly gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Bly's chances from 0.01% to 0.03%
11.36% of the time. Beastyqt gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Beastyqt's chances from 0.01% to 0.03%
12.01% of the time. KingKong gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change KingKong's chances from 0.01% to 0.03%
12.37% of the time. qxc gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change qxc's chances from 0.01% to 0.03%
11.39% of the time. Kas gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Kas's chances from 0.01% to 0.02%
11.31% of the time. Dayshi gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Dayshi's chances from 0.01% to 0.02%
12.12% of the time. puCK gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change puCK's chances from 0.01% to 0.02%
12.39% of the time. Bails gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Bails's chances from 0.01% to 0.02%
11.3% of the time. Boombox gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Boombox's chances from 0.01% to 0.02%
On June 29 2015 19:52 Dingodile wrote: I feel the battles for being top16 is far less exciting than last year and 2 years ago.
Last season it felt like 12 players had to fight about the 13- 16th spots few weeks before blizzcon. I think this time only ~4 players in the same case.
On June 29 2015 19:52 Dingodile wrote: I feel the battles for being top16 is far less exciting than last year and 2 years ago.
Last season it felt like 12 players had to fight about the 13- 16th spots few weeks before blizzcon. I think this time only ~4 players in the same case.
There are still 4 months to go.
I just checked. Last year, June 28th 2015, there were 9 players above 90% +----------+----------+ | name | chances | +----------+----------+ | San | 100.0000 | | HyuN | 100.0000 | | MC | 100.0000 | | TaeJa | 99.9996 | | Classic | 99.9008 | | Zest | 99.8693 | | Polt | 99.8569 | | Life | 92.9074 | | soO | 90.5682 | +----------+----------+
Right now there are also 9 players above 90%, although they're also all above 99% +---------+----------+ | name | chances | +---------+----------+ | Life | 100.0000 | | PartinG | 100.0000 | | Rain | 100.0000 | | Maru | 100.0000 | | Dream | 100.0000 | | herO | 100.0000 | | Hydra | 100.0000 | | Classic | 99.8698 | | Polt | 99.7996 | +---------+----------+
MyuNgSiK vs Journeyin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. MyuNgSiK is at 8.41% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.19% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 14.82%, or 3.53% if they lose. Journey is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.2%, or 0.01% if they lose.
soO vs Dearin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. soO is at 4.8% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.2%, or 1.5% if they lose. Dear is at 9.34% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 15.11%, or 3.41% if they lose.
Maru vs Sorain in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Sora is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Rogue vs Heartin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. Rogue is at 76.2% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 87.13%, or 56.28% if they lose. Heart is at 0.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.52%, or 0.01% if they lose.
ByuL vs Shinein in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. ByuL has the #3 Headband. ByuL is at 82.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 92.23%, or 67.2% if they lose. Shine is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose.
sOs vs Solarin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. sOs has the #4 Headband. sOs is at 36.76% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 55.48%, or 22.99% if they lose. Solar is at 8.8% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.39%, or 2.56% if they lose.
Zest vs Sanin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. Zest is at 78.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.14% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 89.44%, or 53.84% if they lose. San is at 4.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.86% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 9.3%, or 1.68% if they lose.
HyuN vs Darkin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. HyuN is at 10.4% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.68%, or 4.3% if they lose. Dark is at 66.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 80.8%, or 47.38% if they lose.
TY vs Trapin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. TY is at 16.52% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 28.46%, or 7.24% if they lose. Trap is at 24.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 34.61%, or 10.58% if they lose.
Snute vs INnoVationin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. Snute is at 23.98% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 38.47%, or 14.43% if they lose. INnoVation is at 31.73% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 43.65%, or 13.63% if they lose.
Rain vs TooDmingin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. Rain has the #1 Headband. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 85.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. TooDming is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 14.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Life vs aLivein in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. aLive is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.28%, or 0.02% if they lose.
Classic has a 10.11% chance to win ----going from 99.85% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.83% if they don't. Rain has a 10.01% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 6.97% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dream has a 6.58% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 6.5% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Stats has a 5.57% chance to win ----going from 40.59% to 100% if they get 1st, or 37.08% if they don't. Trap has a 5.55% chance to win ----going from 24.11% to 99.72% if they get 1st, or 19.66% if they don't. Zest has a 5.39% chance to win ----going from 78.1% to 100% if they get 1st, or 76.85% if they don't. Life has a 5.14% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dark has a 4.82% chance to win ----going from 66.62% to 100% if they get 1st, or 64.93% if they don't. INnoVation has a 4.55% chance to win ----going from 31.73% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 28.47% if they don't. Solar has a 4.27% chance to win ----going from 8.8% to 77.76% if they get 1st, or 5.73% if they don't. ByuL has a 2.77% chance to win ----going from 82.45% to 100% if they get 1st, or 81.95% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.73% chance to win ----going from 76.2% to 100% if they get 1st, or 75.53% if they don't. sOs has a 2.61% chance to win ----going from 36.76% to 100% if they get 1st, or 35.07% if they don't. soO has a 2.5% chance to win ----going from 4.8% to 64.12% if they get 1st, or 3.28% if they don't. Dear has a 2.28% chance to win ----going from 9.34% to 97.79% if they get 1st, or 7.28% if they don't. TY has a 2.08% chance to win ----going from 16.52% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 14.75% if they don't. HyuN has a 2.04% chance to win ----going from 10.4% to 98.08% if they get 1st, or 8.58% if they don't. Snute has a 1.93% chance to win ----going from 23.98% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 22.48% if they don't. Journey has a 1.51% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 6.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. San has a 1.07% chance to win ----going from 4.11% to 85.4% if they get 1st, or 3.23% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 0.9% chance to win ----going from 8.41% to 99.83% if they get 1st, or 7.57% if they don't. Heart has a 0.57% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 25.43% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Sora has a 0.53% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 4.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. aLive has a 0.53% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 9.75% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Shine has a 0.46% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 5.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TooDming has a 0.02% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.44% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
On June 29 2015 19:52 Dingodile wrote: I feel the battles for being top16 is far less exciting than last year and 2 years ago.
Last season it felt like 12 players had to fight about the 13- 16th spots few weeks before blizzcon. I think this time only ~4 players in the same case.
There are still 4 months to go.
I just checked. Last year, June 28th 2015, there were 9 players above 90% +----------+----------+ | name | chances | +----------+----------+ | San | 100.0000 | | HyuN | 100.0000 | | MC | 100.0000 | | TaeJa | 99.9996 | | Classic | 99.9008 | | Zest | 99.8693 | | Polt | 99.8569 | | Life | 92.9074 | | soO | 90.5682 | +----------+----------+
Right now there are also 9 players above 90%, although they're also all above 99% +---------+----------+ | name | chances | +---------+----------+ | Life | 100.0000 | | PartinG | 100.0000 | | Rain | 100.0000 | | Maru | 100.0000 | | Dream | 100.0000 | | herO | 100.0000 | | Hydra | 100.0000 | | Classic | 99.8698 | | Polt | 99.7996 | +---------+----------+
So it's pretty close actually lol.
If you don't mind the effort, how does the comparison look when you go down the list? Were there as many candidates (20+% or something)?
On June 29 2015 19:52 Dingodile wrote: I feel the battles for being top16 is far less exciting than last year and 2 years ago.
Last season it felt like 12 players had to fight about the 13- 16th spots few weeks before blizzcon. I think this time only ~4 players in the same case.
There are still 4 months to go.
I just checked. Last year, June 28th 2015, there were 9 players above 90% +----------+----------+ | name | chances | +----------+----------+ | San | 100.0000 | | HyuN | 100.0000 | | MC | 100.0000 | | TaeJa | 99.9996 | | Classic | 99.9008 | | Zest | 99.8693 | | Polt | 99.8569 | | Life | 92.9074 | | soO | 90.5682 | +----------+----------+
Right now there are also 9 players above 90%, although they're also all above 99% +---------+----------+ | name | chances | +---------+----------+ | Life | 100.0000 | | PartinG | 100.0000 | | Rain | 100.0000 | | Maru | 100.0000 | | Dream | 100.0000 | | herO | 100.0000 | | Hydra | 100.0000 | | Classic | 99.8698 | | Polt | 99.7996 | +---------+----------+
So it's pretty close actually lol.
If you don't mind the effort, how does the comparison look when you go down the list? Were there as many candidates (20+% or something)?
comparing the top 50 (these are just sorted by chances, not fully sorted with the points, so the 100%s aren't in order, but that's not relevant for this anyways) + Show Spoiler +
So this time last year was 19 players over 20%, right now we're at 20 players over 20%. But this year does seem a little more settled overall. Last year was 3 players at 100%, now we're at 7. Also the 50th spot last year was at 1.3%, which is higher than this year's 50th spot at 0.3%. I didn't check to compare how many tournaments were completed or how far along they were in season 2 or anything like that.
I feel like the disparity between top performers and bottom performers has grown this year compared to last year. It feels natural, though, with the addition of KeSPA Cup/SSL and removal of HSC/etc.
On July 03 2015 06:53 Darkdwarf wrote: I feel like the disparity between top performers and bottom performers has grown this year compared to last year. It feels natural, though, with the addition of KeSPA Cup/SSL and removal of HSC/etc.
Yeah I think that has contributed to the top players having higher staying power.
Are there fewer tournaments this year as well? It seems like I've only seen Polt play in WCS and in a couple of IEMs.
On July 03 2015 06:53 Darkdwarf wrote: I feel like the disparity between top performers and bottom performers has grown this year compared to last year. It feels natural, though, with the addition of KeSPA Cup/SSL and removal of HSC/etc.
Yeah I think that has contributed to the top players having higher staying power.
Are there fewer tournaments this year as well? It seems like I've only seen Polt play in WCS and in a couple of IEMs.
-Less DreamHacks (dunno exactly how many less - we probably lost 3 or 4 DH) -HSC doesn't give WCS points anymore -No RedBull events -Didnt we have one or two MLG last year that aren't scheduled for this year too? Or were they part of the RB events? -However we gained GFinity events
On July 03 2015 06:53 Darkdwarf wrote: I feel like the disparity between top performers and bottom performers has grown this year compared to last year. It feels natural, though, with the addition of KeSPA Cup/SSL and removal of HSC/etc.
Yeah I think that has contributed to the top players having higher staying power.
Are there fewer tournaments this year as well? It seems like I've only seen Polt play in WCS and in a couple of IEMs.
Heart vs Roguein in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. Heart is at 0.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.45%, or 0.01% if they lose. Rogue is at 71.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 83.38%, or 50.76% if they lose.
Shine vs ByuLin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. ByuL has the #3 Headband. Shine is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0% if they lose. ByuL is at 82.87% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 92.42%, or 67.96% if they lose.
sOs vs Solarin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. sOs has the #4 Headband. sOs is at 35.83% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 53.92%, or 22.2% if they lose. Solar is at 8.84% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.52%, or 2.63% if they lose.
San vs Zestin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. San is at 3.71% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.05% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.41%, or 1.59% if they lose. Zest is at 86.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 94.42%, or 69.24% if they lose.
Dark vs HyuNin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. Dark is at 63.85% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.48% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 78.06%, or 44.65% if they lose. HyuN is at 9.61% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.32%, or 3.91% if they lose.
TY vs Trapin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. TY is at 15.43% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.45% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 26.39%, or 6.66% if they lose. Trap is at 22.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 32.08%, or 9.67% if they lose.
Snute vs INnoVationin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. Snute is at 21.79% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.49% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 35.37%, or 12.92% if they lose. INnoVation is at 43.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 57.36%, or 23.08% if they lose.
Rain vs TooDmingin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. Rain has the #1 Headband. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 86.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. TooDming is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 13.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Life vs aLivein in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. aLive is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.21%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Maru has a 10.92% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 10.14% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 9.48% chance to win ----going from 99.79% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.77% if they don't. Dream has a 6.4% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 6.03% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Zest has a 5.64% chance to win ----going from 86.6% to 100% if they get 1st, or 85.8% if they don't. Stats has a 5.61% chance to win ----going from 38.87% to 100% if they get 1st, or 35.24% if they don't. Trap has a 5.04% chance to win ----going from 22.12% to 99.62% if they get 1st, or 18.01% if they don't. Life has a 4.9% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. INnoVation has a 4.86% chance to win ----going from 43.82% to 100% if they get 1st, or 40.96% if they don't. Dark has a 4.51% chance to win ----going from 63.85% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.15% if they don't. Dear has a 4.46% chance to win ----going from 14.58% to 97.14% if they get 1st, or 10.73% if they don't. Solar has a 4.34% chance to win ----going from 8.84% to 75.64% if they get 1st, or 5.81% if they don't. ByuL has a 2.68% chance to win ----going from 82.87% to 100% if they get 1st, or 82.4% if they don't. sOs has a 2.61% chance to win ----going from 35.83% to 100% if they get 1st, or 34.1% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.43% chance to win ----going from 71.63% to 100% if they get 1st, or 70.92% if they don't. TY has a 1.98% chance to win ----going from 15.43% to 99.88% if they get 1st, or 13.73% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.96% chance to win ----going from 13.97% to 99.76% if they get 1st, or 12.25% if they don't. HyuN has a 1.91% chance to win ----going from 9.61% to 97.33% if they get 1st, or 7.91% if they don't. Snute has a 1.7% chance to win ----going from 21.79% to 99.9% if they get 1st, or 20.44% if they don't. San has a 0.96% chance to win ----going from 3.71% to 82.99% if they get 1st, or 2.94% if they don't. Heart has a 0.53% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 23.73% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. aLive has a 0.46% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 8.47% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Shine has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 4.27% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TooDming has a 0.02% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.6% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
Curious vs Flashin in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16. Curious is at 5.49% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.15%, or 3.25% if they lose. Flash is at 0.24% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.35%, or 0.16% if they lose.
Classic vs Roguein in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16. Classic has the #2 Headband. Classic is at 99.73% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.98%, or 99.33% if they lose. Rogue is at 81.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 89.64%, or 76.47% if they lose.
soO vs Sanin in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16. soO is at 1.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.8% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.21%, or 0.78% if they lose. San is at 3.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.2% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.81%, or 2.26% if they lose.
jjakji vs herOin in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16. jjakji is at 0.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0.09% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
ByuL vs Pigbabyin in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16. ByuL has the #3 Headband. ByuL is at 91.79% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 96.41%, or 83.83% if they lose. Pigbaby is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.72% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0.05% if they lose.
FanTaSy vs Darkin in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16. FanTaSy is at 43.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.8% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 54.24%, or 34.41% if they lose. Dark is at 63.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.2% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 74.5%, or 49.48% if they lose.
Maru vs Impactin in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Impact is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.19% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.11%, or 0.05% if they lose.
Dream vs TRUEin in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16. Dream is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. TRUE is at 2.41% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.19%, or 1.73% if they lose.
Classic has a 13.67% chance to win ----going from 99.73% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.69% if they don't. Maru has a 12.55% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dark has a 11.3% chance to win ----going from 63.29% to 90.95% if they get 1st, or 59.77% if they don't. herO has a 9.81% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ByuL has a 7.09% chance to win ----going from 91.79% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 91.17% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
soO has a 6.9% chance to win ----going from 1.47% to 4.34% if they get 1st, or 1.26% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 6.22% chance to win ----going from 43.29% to 81.75% if they get 1st, or 40.74% if they don't. Dream has a 5.35% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. San has a 4.85% chance to win ----going from 3.06% to 7.9% if they get 1st, or 2.81% if they don't. Rogue has a 4.81% chance to win ----going from 81.47% to 99.34% if they get 1st, or 80.57% if they don't. Curious has a 4.19% chance to win ----going from 5.49% to 17.14% if they get 1st, or 4.98% if they don't. TRUE has a 4.16% chance to win ----going from 2.41% to 7.86% if they get 1st, or 2.17% if they don't. Flash has a 3.07% chance to win ----going from 0.24% to 1.05% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. Impact has a 2.41% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.4% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. jjakji has a 2.13% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 0.61% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 1.52% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.44% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't.
Players who would go over 0.01% Blizzcon Chances if they qualify for WCS 6.43% of the time. PtitDrogo gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change PtitDrogo's chances from 0.04% to 0.55%
6.33% of the time. Happy gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Happy's chances from 0.03% to 0.4%
6.54% of the time. uThermal gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change uThermal's chances from 0.02% to 0.31%
6.43% of the time. NaNiwa gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change NaNiwa's chances from 0.02% to 0.29%
6.55% of the time. TargA gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change TargA's chances from 0.02% to 0.28%
6.61% of the time. Serral gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Serral's chances from 0.01% to 0.16%
So this is confusing. Petraeus was in Premier last season, but he qualified through Europe. This season he qualified through SEA, even though he would've been seeded into Challenger as a European for making Premier last season. Idk why he did that, but I guess now it means there's an extra slot open for European qualifiers, and I have to void Petraeus's seed.
On July 07 2015 06:48 Die4Ever wrote: So this is confusing. Petraeus was in Premier last season, but he qualified through Europe. This season he qualified through SEA, even though he would've been seeded into Challenger as a European for making Premier last season. Idk why he did that, but I guess now it means there's an extra slot open for European qualifiers, and I have to void Petraeus's seed.
I think that's a smart move from him, if he doesn't draw iaguz (which happened) his WCS place is guaranteed for eternity.
Hey guys, it's the last season of the year, so I just added "must win" text for matches and tournaments. Here's how they look -
TRUE vs Solarin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. TRUE and Solar must win this match! TRUE is at 2.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.88%, or 0.64% if they lose. Solar is at 2.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.31% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.86%, or 0.11% if they lose.
Zest vs Sanin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. San must win this match! Zest is at 87.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 94.29%, or 70.45% if they lose. San is at 1.7% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.26%, or 0.62% if they lose.
WCS Premier Season 3in ~ ForGG, Jaedong, MarineLorD, StarDust, MaNa, ShoWTimE, FireCake, uThermal, Ret, Harstem, TLO, Kane, TargA, and Serral must win this tournament! Hydra has a 16.54% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ForGG has a 8.49% chance to win ----going from 12.52% to 97.87% if they get 1st, or 4.6% if they don't. Polt has a 8.26% chance to win ----going from 99.31% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.25% if they don't. Lilbow has a 5.92% chance to win ----going from 11.05% to 99.59% if they get 1st, or 5.47% if they don't. Jaedong has a 5.55% chance to win ----going from 10.08% to 97.86% if they get 1st, or 4.93% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Bunny has a 4.77% chance to win ----going from 23.21% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 19.37% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 4.41% chance to win ----going from 2.03% to 39.61% if they get 1st, or 0.29% if they don't. Snute has a 4.36% chance to win ----going from 18.11% to 99.52% if they get 1st, or 14.4% if they don't. Happy has a 3.26% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 11.24% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. StarDust has a 3.13% chance to win ----going from 2.45% to 61.12% if they get 1st, or 0.55% if they don't. MaNa has a 3.03% chance to win ----going from 1.36% to 37.01% if they get 1st, or 0.24% if they don't. MajOr has a 2.66% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 8.63% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 2.6% chance to win ----going from 0.3% to 10.57% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 2.35% chance to win ----going from 3.15% to 85.59% if they get 1st, or 1.16% if they don't. Petraeus has a 2.12% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 16.85% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. MaSa has a 2.11% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 8.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Nerchio has a 2.09% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 7.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. viOLet has a 2.05% chance to win ----going from 0.41% to 17.45% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. elfi has a 1.36% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 8.35% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.33% chance to win ----going from 0.84% to 52.56% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Welmu has a 1.27% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 19.77% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.19% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 13.99% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. uThermal has a 1.11% chance to win ----going from 0.3% to 23.38% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Ret has a 0.86% chance to win ----going from 0.2% to 20.3% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Jim has a 0.85% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 5.87% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 0.82% chance to win ----going from 0.51% to 49.24% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Sen has a 0.75% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 14.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.7% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 10.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bails has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 3.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.65% chance to win ----going from 1.2% to 95.7% if they get 1st, or 0.58% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.65% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 19.91% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 0.56% chance to win ----going from 0.23% to 35.19% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Bly has a 0.56% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 4.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. SortOf has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.81% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 5.65% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. qxc has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 4.85% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.29% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.27% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.35% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Has has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 11.59% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.16% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 4.94% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Blysk has a 0.11% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.49% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. neeb has a 0.1% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.92% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. NXZ has a 0.1% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ReasoN has a 0.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.83% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shana has a 0.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. JonSnow has a 0.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. PtitDrogo has a 0.05% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 19.4% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 0.04% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 5.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TargA has a 0.03% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 20.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 0.02% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 9.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Scarlett has a 0.02% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 4.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Verdi has a 0.02% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.83% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Serral has a 0.02% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 23.52% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kas has a 0.02% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.31% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Beastyqt has a 0.01% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ian has a 0.01% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.93% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HuK has a 0.01% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 10.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Dayshi has a 0.01% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.72% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Boombox has a 0.01% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.28% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ourk has a 0.01% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.77% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
Also I just added the Must Win Players page, this shows the matches and tournaments that have "must win" text, and for tournaments it only shows those players that must win the tournament. http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=must_wins
I tried to keep the criteria simple. The criteria for being "must win" for matches is it needs to put them at least at 1% Blizzcon Chances if they win, and their chances if they win need to be at least 5 times higher than if they lose. The criteria for a must win tournament is that winning needs to them at least at 20% Blizzcon Chances if they win, and their chances if they win need to be at least 20 times higher than if they don't win.
And I made the red side borders on important matches dynamically sized according to how impactful they are. For example on the Must Win Players page you can see that TRUE vs Solar does not have as thick borders as Zest vs San.
Players who would go over 0.01% Blizzcon Chances if they qualify for WCS 2.37% of the time. PtitDrogo gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change PtitDrogo's chances from 0.02% to 0.51%
2.64% of the time. TargA gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change TargA's chances from 0.01% to 0.28%
2.94% of the time. Serral gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Serral's chances from 0.01% to 0.18%
1.96% of the time. HuK gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change HuK's chances from 0.01% to 0.11%
2.86% of the time. Zanster gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Zanster's chances from 0.01% to 0.09%
Creator vs Pigbabyin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Creator is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0.01% if they lose. Pigbaby is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0.01% if they lose.
TRUE vs Solarin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. TRUE and Solar must win this match! TRUE is at 2.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.98% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.75%, or 0.6% if they lose. Solar is at 1.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.84%, or 0.07% if they lose.
TY vs Losirain in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. TY is at 13.31% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.67%, or 7.71% if they lose. Losira is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Zest has a 73.62% chance to win ----going from 86.81% to 90.18% if they get 1st, or 77.42% if they don't. Classic has a 71.48% chance to win ----going from 99.98% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.95% if they don't. INnoVation has a 69.78% chance to win ----going from 44.31% to 50.71% if they get 1st, or 29.52% if they don't. Dark has a 69.49% chance to win ----going from 73.91% to 79.91% if they get 1st, or 60.24% if they don't. Dear has a 66.32% chance to win ----going from 16.24% to 20.22% if they get 1st, or 8.41% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
herO has a 65.75% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 63.85% chance to win ----going from 2.41% to 3.69% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Hurricane has a 60.75% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 0.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bbyong has a 60.28% chance to win ----going from 4.42% to 6.9% if they get 1st, or 0.65% if they don't. MMA has a 59.18% chance to win ----going from 0.71% to 1.16% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Trap has a 58.65% chance to win ----going from 20.18% to 27.01% if they get 1st, or 10.48% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 58.01% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 57.19% chance to win ----going from 34.49% to 44.4% if they get 1st, or 21.26% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 56.43% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Dream has a 55.43% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Solar has a 55.02% chance to win ----going from 1.6% to 2.84% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. HyuN has a 51.9% chance to win ----going from 15.86% to 22.07% if they get 1st, or 9.17% if they don't. Cure has a 51.36% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TY has a 51.12% chance to win ----going from 13.31% to 18.67% if they get 1st, or 7.71% if they don't. Panic has a 50.67% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 50.47% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. jjakji has a 50.43% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Impact has a 50.36% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 50.27% chance to win ----going from 0.68% to 1.3% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. First has a 49.73% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Flash has a 49.64% chance to win ----going from 0.46% to 0.91% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Trust has a 49.57% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. YoDa has a 49.53% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 49.33% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Losira has a 48.88% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sacsri has a 48.64% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 0.8% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. GuMiho has a 48.1% chance to win ----going from 8.19% to 13.71% if they get 1st, or 3.07% if they don't. TRUE has a 44.98% chance to win ----going from 2.47% to 4.75% if they get 1st, or 0.6% if they don't. Hack has a 44.57% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Creator has a 43.57% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. San has a 42.81% chance to win ----going from 1.67% to 3.01% if they get 1st, or 0.68% if they don't. Stork has a 41.99% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Life has a 41.35% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. YongHwa has a 40.82% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Super has a 39.72% chance to win ----going from 0.59% to 1.41% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Symbol has a 39.25% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Leenock has a 36.15% chance to win ----going from 0.75% to 1.92% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Armani has a 34.25% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sorry has a 33.68% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. aLive has a 30.51% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. KeeN has a 30.22% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. HerO has a 28.52% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 26.38% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 0.62% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
soO, Solar, Bbyong, Curious, Flash, Sacsri, TRUE, Bomber, San, MMA, Super, Leenock, and Patience must win this tournament! Rain has a 11.14% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 9.41% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 7.5% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 5.31% chance to win ----going from 99.98% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.98% if they don't. sOs has a 5.1% chance to win ----going from 52.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 50.47% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Trap has a 4.46% chance to win ----going from 20.18% to 99.26% if they get 1st, or 16.48% if they don't. Dark has a 4.3% chance to win ----going from 73.91% to 100% if they get 1st, or 72.74% if they don't. Zest has a 4.16% chance to win ----going from 86.81% to 100% if they get 1st, or 86.24% if they don't. INnoVation has a 3.76% chance to win ----going from 44.31% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 42.13% if they don't. ByuL has a 3.52% chance to win ----going from 96.44% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.31% if they don't. herO has a 3.07% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.79% chance to win ----going from 76.33% to 100% if they get 1st, or 75.65% if they don't. soO has a 2.74% chance to win ----going from 2.41% to 59.69% if they get 1st, or 0.8% if they don't. Dear has a 2.48% chance to win ----going from 16.24% to 99.82% if they get 1st, or 14.11% if they don't. Life has a 2.29% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Solar has a 2.28% chance to win ----going from 1.6% to 52.03% if they get 1st, or 0.42% if they don't. Bbyong has a 2.1% chance to win ----going from 4.42% to 97.01% if they get 1st, or 2.43% if they don't. Dream has a 1.98% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 1.9% chance to win ----going from 34.49% to 100% if they get 1st, or 33.22% if they don't. HyuN has a 1.71% chance to win ----going from 15.86% to 98.93% if they get 1st, or 14.42% if they don't. Curious has a 1.63% chance to win ----going from 2.98% to 89.13% if they get 1st, or 1.55% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.38% chance to win ----going from 8.19% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 6.9% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.27% chance to win ----going from 14.89% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 13.8% if they don't. TY has a 1.22% chance to win ----going from 13.31% to 99.74% if they get 1st, or 12.24% if they don't. Flash has a 1.08% chance to win ----going from 0.46% to 31.3% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. Sacsri has a 1.01% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 29.39% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.9% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 17.31% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. TRUE has a 0.88% chance to win ----going from 2.47% to 92.19% if they get 1st, or 1.67% if they don't. Cure has a 0.8% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 17.03% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Bomber has a 0.68% chance to win ----going from 0.68% to 64.06% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. San has a 0.66% chance to win ----going from 1.67% to 68.43% if they get 1st, or 1.23% if they don't. MMA has a 0.52% chance to win ----going from 0.71% to 78.65% if they get 1st, or 0.3% if they don't. Impact has a 0.52% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 10.82% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Super has a 0.49% chance to win ----going from 0.59% to 76.38% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Trust has a 0.49% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 6.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Leenock has a 0.47% chance to win ----going from 0.75% to 88.41% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't. First has a 0.45% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 15.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. jjakji has a 0.43% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 12.67% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 10.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Losira has a 0.29% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.23% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Armani has a 0.28% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 0.24% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 46.81% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.58% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Creator has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 4.79% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. aLive has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 12.57% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. YoDa has a 0.2% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 13.31% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.16% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 13.27% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 11.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.14% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 4.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HerO has a 0.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 6.41% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sorry has a 0.12% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 4.81% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. YongHwa has a 0.11% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 4.64% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Panic has a 0.09% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 5.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Stork has a 0.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.79% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. KeeN has a 0.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.43% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
Dear vs Sorryin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Dear is at 18.88% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.39%, or 10.01% if they lose. Sorry is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.
YoDa vs sKyHighin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. YoDa is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose. sKyHigh is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.45% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose.
RagnaroK vs Storkin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. RagnaroK is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. Stork is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Zest has a 73.63% chance to win ----going from 91.09% to 93.64% if they get 1st, or 83.96% if they don't. Classic has a 71.51% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.93% if they don't. INnoVation has a 69.81% chance to win ----going from 43.46% to 49.82% if they get 1st, or 28.76% if they don't. Dark has a 69.49% chance to win ----going from 73.01% to 79.09% if they get 1st, or 59.17% if they don't. Dear has a 66.33% chance to win ----going from 18.88% to 23.39% if they get 1st, or 10.01% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
herO has a 65.76% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 63.84% chance to win ----going from 2.31% to 3.53% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Hurricane has a 60.78% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 0.28% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bbyong has a 60.27% chance to win ----going from 4.35% to 6.82% if they get 1st, or 0.61% if they don't. MMA has a 59.23% chance to win ----going from 0.69% to 1.12% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Trap has a 58.68% chance to win ----going from 19.81% to 26.6% if they get 1st, or 10.19% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 58.01% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 57.17% chance to win ----going from 33.5% to 43.33% if they get 1st, or 20.37% if they don't. Dream has a 55.43% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. HyuN has a 51.86% chance to win ----going from 15.33% to 21.39% if they get 1st, or 8.81% if they don't. Cure has a 51.4% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Panic has a 50.66% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 50.45% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. jjakji has a 50.39% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Impact has a 50.36% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 50.21% chance to win ----going from 0.65% to 1.24% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. First has a 49.79% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Flash has a 49.64% chance to win ----going from 0.44% to 0.86% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Trust has a 49.61% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. YoDa has a 49.55% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 49.34% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sacsri has a 48.6% chance to win ----going from 0.38% to 0.77% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. GuMiho has a 48.14% chance to win ----going from 7.93% to 13.35% if they get 1st, or 2.9% if they don't. Hack has a 44.57% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. San has a 42.83% chance to win ----going from 1.58% to 2.86% if they get 1st, or 0.63% if they don't. Stork has a 41.99% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Life has a 41.32% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. YongHwa has a 40.77% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Super has a 39.73% chance to win ----going from 0.56% to 1.35% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Symbol has a 39.22% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Leenock has a 36.16% chance to win ----going from 0.72% to 1.85% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Armani has a 34.24% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sorry has a 33.67% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. aLive has a 30.51% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. KeeN has a 30.19% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HerO has a 28.49% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 26.37% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 0.57% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
Solar, soO, Bbyong, Curious, Flash, Sacsri, Bomber, San, MMA, Super, Leenock, and Patience must win this tournament! Rain has a 11.01% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 9.25% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 7.5% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 5.29% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't. sOs has a 5.03% chance to win ----going from 51.89% to 100% if they get 1st, or 49.34% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Trap has a 4.49% chance to win ----going from 19.82% to 99.15% if they get 1st, or 16.09% if they don't. Solar has a 4.33% chance to win ----going from 2.85% to 50.19% if they get 1st, or 0.71% if they don't. Dark has a 4.29% chance to win ----going from 73.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 71.8% if they don't. Zest has a 4.15% chance to win ----going from 91.08% to 100% if they get 1st, or 90.7% if they don't. INnoVation has a 3.8% chance to win ----going from 43.46% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 41.23% if they don't. ByuL has a 3.45% chance to win ----going from 96.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 95.86% if they don't. herO has a 3.02% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 2.74% chance to win ----going from 2.31% to 57.71% if they get 1st, or 0.75% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.73% chance to win ----going from 83.76% to 100% if they get 1st, or 83.3% if they don't. Dear has a 2.45% chance to win ----going from 18.88% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 16.84% if they don't. Life has a 2.29% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Bbyong has a 2.15% chance to win ----going from 4.35% to 96.37% if they get 1st, or 2.33% if they don't. Dream has a 2.01% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 1.93% chance to win ----going from 33.5% to 100% if they get 1st, or 32.19% if they don't. HyuN has a 1.68% chance to win ----going from 15.33% to 98.78% if they get 1st, or 13.91% if they don't. Curious has a 1.61% chance to win ----going from 2.85% to 87.65% if they get 1st, or 1.46% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.41% chance to win ----going from 7.93% to 99.9% if they get 1st, or 6.62% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.26% chance to win ----going from 14.32% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 13.23% if they don't. Flash has a 1.08% chance to win ----going from 0.44% to 29.74% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. Sacsri has a 0.99% chance to win ----going from 0.38% to 28.74% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.89% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 16.19% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.85% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 9.88% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Cure has a 0.82% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 16.34% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Bomber has a 0.68% chance to win ----going from 0.65% to 61.77% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. San has a 0.66% chance to win ----going from 1.58% to 66.86% if they get 1st, or 1.15% if they don't. Losira has a 0.6% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 3.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MMA has a 0.53% chance to win ----going from 0.69% to 76.76% if they get 1st, or 0.28% if they don't. Impact has a 0.52% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 10.44% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Super has a 0.49% chance to win ----going from 0.56% to 74.19% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. Trust has a 0.48% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 6.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Leenock has a 0.46% chance to win ----going from 0.72% to 86.91% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. First has a 0.45% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 13.79% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. jjakji has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 12.24% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Armani has a 0.28% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 0.23% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 45.18% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.53% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. aLive has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 11.63% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. YoDa has a 0.2% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 12.71% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.16% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 12.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 10.87% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.14% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 4.59% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HerO has a 0.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 5.54% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sorry has a 0.12% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 4.81% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. YongHwa has a 0.11% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 4.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Panic has a 0.09% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 4.55% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Stork has a 0.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. KeeN has a 0.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
San vs Zestin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. San must win this match! San is at 1.58% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.96%, or 0.59% if they lose. Zest is at 91.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 96.73%, or 77.59% if they lose.
HyuN vs Darkin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. HyuN is at 15.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.22% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 26.42%, or 7.23% if they lose. Dark is at 73.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 86.64%, or 54.36% if they lose.
Trap vs TYin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. TY must win this match! Trap is at 19.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 28.75%, or 8.44% if they lose. TY is at 6.91% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.85%, or 1.45% if they lose.
San must win this tournament! Rain has a 11.54% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 9.82% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 9.28% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't. Dream has a 6.3% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. sOs has a 6.16% chance to win ----going from 51.89% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 48.73% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
herO has a 5.74% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 5.6% chance to win ----going from 91.08% to 100% if they get 1st, or 90.56% if they don't. Stats has a 5.44% chance to win ----going from 42.79% to 100% if they get 1st, or 39.5% if they don't. Dear has a 5.03% chance to win ----going from 18.88% to 98.8% if they get 1st, or 14.65% if they don't. Trap has a 4.97% chance to win ----going from 19.82% to 99.14% if they get 1st, or 15.67% if they don't. INnoVation has a 4.9% chance to win ----going from 43.46% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 40.55% if they don't. ByuL has a 4.65% chance to win ----going from 96.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 95.81% if they don't. Life has a 4.47% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dark has a 4.32% chance to win ----going from 73.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 71.79% if they don't. Rogue has a 3.68% chance to win ----going from 83.76% to 100% if they get 1st, or 83.13% if they don't. HyuN has a 1.93% chance to win ----going from 15.33% to 99.02% if they get 1st, or 13.69% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.85% chance to win ----going from 14.32% to 99.7% if they get 1st, or 12.72% if they don't. TY has a 1.64% chance to win ----going from 6.91% to 99.52% if they get 1st, or 5.36% if they don't. Snute has a 1.48% chance to win ----going from 16.22% to 99.68% if they get 1st, or 14.97% if they don't. San has a 0.69% chance to win ----going from 1.58% to 65.31% if they get 1st, or 1.14% if they don't. aLive has a 0.51% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 7.08% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
nope http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=61 I just didn't put the qualifiers as upcoming. Gonna update the player list for this and ASUS once both the qualifiers are done.
nope http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=61 I just didn't put the qualifiers as upcoming. Gonna update the player list for this and ASUS once both the qualifiers are done.
Oh ok, I just thought it because your Zest is missing 125 points compared to Liquipedia's. And somehow your Parting has loads more WCS points? :o
nope http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=61 I just didn't put the qualifiers as upcoming. Gonna update the player list for this and ASUS once both the qualifiers are done.
Oh ok, I just thought it because your Zest is missing 125 points compared to Liquipedia's. And somehow your Parting has loads more WCS points? :o
I didn't realize MSI is only a 16 player tournament, that's why Zest is missing those points. I'm checking on Parting now.
Does Toodming (or snute for that matter) get points for SSL? If Snute loses to innovation then neither toodming nor snute will have advanced a round in the tournament which used to be the qualifier for getting WCS points at an event.
On July 10 2015 06:25 chipmonklord17 wrote: Does Toodming (or snute for that matter) get points for SSL? If Snute loses to innovation then neither toodming nor snute will have advanced a round in the tournament which used to be the qualifier for getting WCS points at an event.
Correct, so Snute does not get any points if he loses, just as Jim, MacSed, and Scarlett did not get points after losing their SSL Challenger matches.
On July 10 2015 06:25 chipmonklord17 wrote: Does Toodming (or snute for that matter) get points for SSL? If Snute loses to innovation then neither toodming nor snute will have advanced a round in the tournament which used to be the qualifier for getting WCS points at an event.
Correct, so Snute does not get any points if he loses, just as Jim, MacSed, and Scarlett did not get points after losing their SSL Challenger matches.
On July 10 2015 06:25 chipmonklord17 wrote: Does Toodming (or snute for that matter) get points for SSL? If Snute loses to innovation then neither toodming nor snute will have advanced a round in the tournament which used to be the qualifier for getting WCS points at an event.
Correct, so Snute does not get any points if he loses, just as Jim, MacSed, and Scarlett did not get points after losing their SSL Challenger matches.
On July 10 2015 06:25 chipmonklord17 wrote: Does Toodming (or snute for that matter) get points for SSL? If Snute loses to innovation then neither toodming nor snute will have advanced a round in the tournament which used to be the qualifier for getting WCS points at an event.
Correct, so Snute does not get any points if he loses, just as Jim, MacSed, and Scarlett did not get points after losing their SSL Challenger matches.
Jim however did not get points for being a Global Seed for SSL season 1.... I have no clue why not lol
BTW, I fixed some of the WCS points, wrote a script to compare mine vs liquipedia's, now only Rain and FireCake are off, working on those now. Fixed all of the WCS points issues (FireCake was just cause Liquipedia hadn't updated with the MSI qualifier yet). I'll continue to use this script to verify WCS Points discrepancies against Liquipedia.
On July 10 2015 06:25 chipmonklord17 wrote: Does Toodming (or snute for that matter) get points for SSL? If Snute loses to innovation then neither toodming nor snute will have advanced a round in the tournament which used to be the qualifier for getting WCS points at an event.
Correct, so Snute does not get any points if he loses, just as Jim, MacSed, and Scarlett did not get points after losing their SSL Challenger matches.
Jim however did not get points for being a Global Seed for SSL season 1.... I have no clue why not lol
BTW, I fixed some of the WCS points, wrote a script to compare mine vs liquipedia's, now only Rain and FireCake are off, working on those now. Fixed all of the WCS points issues (FireCake was just cause Liquipedia hadn't updated with the MSI qualifier yet). I'll continue to use this script to verify WCS Points discrepancies against Liquipedia.
Weirdly Toodming isn't updated for his season 3 challenger nor SSL so I can't figure out if he's also been given the points
On July 10 2015 06:25 chipmonklord17 wrote: Does Toodming (or snute for that matter) get points for SSL? If Snute loses to innovation then neither toodming nor snute will have advanced a round in the tournament which used to be the qualifier for getting WCS points at an event.
Correct, so Snute does not get any points if he loses, just as Jim, MacSed, and Scarlett did not get points after losing their SSL Challenger matches.
Jim however did not get points for being a Global Seed for SSL season 1.... I have no clue why not lol
BTW, I fixed some of the WCS points, wrote a script to compare mine vs liquipedia's, now only Rain and FireCake are off, working on those now. Fixed all of the WCS points issues (FireCake was just cause Liquipedia hadn't updated with the MSI qualifier yet). I'll continue to use this script to verify WCS Points discrepancies against Liquipedia.
Good job! Yeah I've already updated FireCake's points but my changes always have to be approved so it doesn't show them yet. ^^
Toodming will not be gaining points for SSL this season. I just fixed both of these on WCS Predictor, MacSed is now at 450 points, and Toodming is at 250.
Snute vs INnoVationin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. Snute is at 16.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 28.3%, or 8.4% if they lose. INnoVation is at 47.27% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 60.55%, or 25.9% if they lose.
Life vs aLivein in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. aLive is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Rain has a 11.76% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 10.02% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 9.24% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't. Zest has a 8.19% chance to win ----going from 98.33% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.18% if they don't. sOs has a 6.22% chance to win ----going from 57.38% to 100% if they get 1st, or 54.55% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Dream has a 6.08% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. herO has a 5.9% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. HyuN has a 5.4% chance to win ----going from 33.08% to 99.7% if they get 1st, or 29.28% if they don't. Stats has a 5.33% chance to win ----going from 41.75% to 100% if they get 1st, or 38.48% if they don't. ByuL has a 5.09% chance to win ----going from 95.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 95.72% if they don't. INnoVation has a 4.93% chance to win ----going from 47.27% to 100% if they get 1st, or 44.53% if they don't. Dear has a 4.92% chance to win ----going from 22.8% to 99.47% if they get 1st, or 18.84% if they don't. Life has a 4.78% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. TY has a 4.14% chance to win ----going from 14.4% to 99.53% if they get 1st, or 10.73% if they don't. Rogue has a 4.06% chance to win ----going from 72.79% to 100% if they get 1st, or 71.64% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.85% chance to win ----going from 14.81% to 99.83% if they get 1st, or 13.21% if they don't. Snute has a 1.57% chance to win ----going from 16.03% to 99.83% if they get 1st, or 14.69% if they don't. aLive has a 0.52% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 6.99% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
HerO vs Classicin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Classic has the #2 Headband. HerO is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0.01% if they lose. Classic is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.93% if they lose.
soO vs Leenockin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. soO and Leenock must win this match! soO is at 2.25% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.45%, or 0.13% if they lose. Leenock is at 0.7% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.82%, or 0.08% if they lose.
YongHwa vs MMAin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. MMA must win this match! YongHwa is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. MMA is at 0.66% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.19% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.09%, or 0.05% if they lose.
Zest has a 73.99% chance to win ----going from 98.33% to 99.03% if they get 1st, or 96.34% if they don't. Classic has a 71.5% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.93% if they don't. INnoVation has a 69.78% chance to win ----going from 47.27% to 53.84% if they get 1st, or 32.08% if they don't. Dark has a 68.62% chance to win ----going from 50.82% to 59.76% if they get 1st, or 31.27% if they don't. herO has a 65.69% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
soO has a 63.89% chance to win ----going from 2.25% to 3.45% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. Hurricane has a 60.78% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 0.27% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bbyong has a 60.32% chance to win ----going from 4.23% to 6.64% if they get 1st, or 0.57% if they don't. MMA has a 59.19% chance to win ----going from 0.66% to 1.09% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Trap has a 57.95% chance to win ----going from 7.53% to 12.24% if they get 1st, or 1.06% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 57.58% chance to win ----going from 28.5% to 37.54% if they get 1st, or 16.23% if they don't. Dream has a 55.42% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. HyuN has a 53.02% chance to win ----going from 33.08% to 41.94% if they get 1st, or 23.08% if they don't. Cure has a 51.43% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 0.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Panic has a 50.64% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. jjakji has a 50.41% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Impact has a 50.39% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 50.24% chance to win ----going from 0.63% to 1.21% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. First has a 49.76% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Flash has a 49.61% chance to win ----going from 0.43% to 0.84% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Trust has a 49.59% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 49.36% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Sacsri has a 48.57% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 0.8% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. GuMiho has a 46.98% chance to win ----going from 7.57% to 13.08% if they get 1st, or 2.69% if they don't. Hack has a 44.58% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. San has a 42.42% chance to win ----going from 0.65% to 1.44% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Life has a 42.05% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. YongHwa has a 40.81% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Super has a 39.68% chance to win ----going from 0.54% to 1.3% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Symbol has a 39.22% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Leenock has a 36.11% chance to win ----going from 0.7% to 1.82% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Armani has a 34.31% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. aLive has a 31.38% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. KeeN has a 30.22% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HerO has a 28.5% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 26.01% chance to win ----going from 0.23% to 0.78% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
Solar, Trap, soO, Bbyong, Curious, Flash, Sacsri, Bomber, San, MMA, Super, Leenock, and Patience must win this tournament! Rain has a 10.79% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 9.14% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 7.49% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 5.26% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't. sOs has a 4.98% chance to win ----going from 57.38% to 100% if they get 1st, or 55.14% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Zest has a 4.45% chance to win ----going from 98.33% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.25% if they don't. Solar has a 4.37% chance to win ----going from 5.45% to 84.39% if they get 1st, or 1.84% if they don't. Trap has a 4.07% chance to win ----going from 7.54% to 97.91% if they get 1st, or 3.7% if they don't. INnoVation has a 3.83% chance to win ----going from 47.26% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 45.16% if they don't. Dark has a 3.75% chance to win ----going from 50.82% to 100% if they get 1st, or 48.9% if they don't. Dear has a 3.62% chance to win ----going from 22.8% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 19.9% if they don't. ByuL has a 3.46% chance to win ----going from 95.95% to 100% if they get 1st, or 95.8% if they don't. herO has a 2.95% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 2.72% chance to win ----going from 2.25% to 57.24% if they get 1st, or 0.71% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.7% chance to win ----going from 72.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 72.02% if they don't. Life has a 2.32% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Bbyong has a 2.14% chance to win ----going from 4.23% to 96.46% if they get 1st, or 2.21% if they don't. Dream has a 2.05% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. HyuN has a 1.94% chance to win ----going from 33.08% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 31.76% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 1.92% chance to win ----going from 28.5% to 100% if they get 1st, or 27.1% if they don't. Curious has a 1.6% chance to win ----going from 2.78% to 87.91% if they get 1st, or 1.39% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.36% chance to win ----going from 7.57% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 6.3% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.24% chance to win ----going from 14.8% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 13.73% if they don't. Flash has a 1.08% chance to win ----going from 0.43% to 29.66% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Sacsri has a 0.99% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 29.99% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.88% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 15.5% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.85% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 9.66% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Cure has a 0.81% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 15.74% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Bomber has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 0.63% to 62.32% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. San has a 0.61% chance to win ----going from 0.65% to 63.36% if they get 1st, or 0.26% if they don't. Losira has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 7.54% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MMA has a 0.52% chance to win ----going from 0.66% to 77.03% if they get 1st, or 0.26% if they don't. Impact has a 0.51% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 10.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Super has a 0.48% chance to win ----going from 0.54% to 74.18% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Trust has a 0.47% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 5.85% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Leenock has a 0.46% chance to win ----going from 0.7% to 87.11% if they get 1st, or 0.3% if they don't. First has a 0.45% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 14.59% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. jjakji has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 8.41% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.36% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 11.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Armani has a 0.28% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 0.23% chance to win ----going from 0.23% to 58.9% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. aLive has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 11.64% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Stork has a 0.19% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.36% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.16% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 15.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.14% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 4.6% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HerO has a 0.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 5.52% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. YongHwa has a 0.1% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 4.53% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Panic has a 0.09% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 4.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. KeeN has a 0.04% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.65% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
Players who would go over 0.01% Blizzcon Chances if they qualify for WCS 1.02% of the time. PtitDrogo gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change PtitDrogo's chances from 0.01% to 0.43%
1.11% of the time. TargA gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change TargA's chances from 0.01% to 0.2%
1.38% of the time. Verdi gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Verdi's chances from 0.01% to 0.02%
Ah crap, Maru is probably gonna face Dream, and that match is going to be played tonight so I might not have time between rounds to sell Dream before then lol.
Maru vs Impactin in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Impact is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.21% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0.04% if they lose.
Dream vs TRUEin in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16. Dream is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. TRUE is at 0.65% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.01%, or 0.33% if they lose.
Classic vs Flashin in KeSPA Cup 2 quarterfinals. Classic has the #2 Headband. Classic is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.98% if they lose. Flash is at 0.41% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.58%, or 0.29% if they lose.
soO vs herOin in KeSPA Cup 2 quarterfinals. soO is at 3.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.62%, or 2.5% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.72% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Dark vs ByuLin in KeSPA Cup 2 quarterfinals. ByuL has the #3 Headband. Dark is at 50.74% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 58.34%, or 38.94% if they lose. ByuL is at 95.89% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.19% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.69%, or 94.09% if they lose.
Classic has a 20.22% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Dark has a 17.52% chance to win ----going from 50.74% to 76.62% if they get 1st, or 45.24% if they don't. herO has a 14.13% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 12.2% chance to win ----going from 3.48% to 7.05% if they get 1st, or 2.98% if they don't. Maru has a 10.63% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ByuL has a 9.13% chance to win ----going from 95.89% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 95.48% if they don't. Flash has a 6.33% chance to win ----going from 0.41% to 1.21% if they get 1st, or 0.36% if they don't. Dream has a 4.29% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. TRUE has a 3.52% chance to win ----going from 0.65% to 3.84% if they get 1st, or 0.54% if they don't. Impact has a 2.03% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.34% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't.
-If Flash wins this and also wins Code S then he goes up to 73.83% -If Flash wins this and gets 2nd in Code S then he goes up to 11.08% -If Flash wins this and Dreamhack Stockholm then he goes up to 5.8%
Biggest Winners Flash went up by 0.81%, going from 0.41% to 1.22% Rogue went up by 0.49%, going from 72.39% to 72.88% Stats went up by 0.44%, going from 41.25% to 41.69% sOs went up by 0.31%, going from 56.72% to 57.03% FanTaSy went up by 0.29%, going from 28.35% to 28.64% INnoVation went up by 0.26%, going from 61.97% to 62.23% HyuN went up by 0.25%, going from 32.55% to 32.8% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Bunny went up by 0.24%, going from 22.96% to 23.2% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.2%, going from 14.35% to 14.55% Dear went up by 0.18%, going from 22.17% to 22.35% TY went up by 0.16%, going from 14.02% to 14.18% Jaedong went up by 0.14%, going from 10.16% to 10.29% ByuL went up by 0.12%, going from 95.89% to 96.01% Trap went up by 0.11%, going from 7.34% to 7.45%
Biggest Losers Dark went down by 4.2%, going from 50.74% to 46.54% soO went down by 0.54%, going from 3.48% to 2.93%
-If Dark wins this and gets 8th place in Code S then he goes up to 98.97% -If Dark wins this and gets 16th place in Code S then he goes up to 89.57% -If Dark wins this and Dreamhack Stockholm then he goes up to 99.98% -If Dark wins this and gets 8th place at IEM Shenzhen then he goes up to 92.7%
Biggest Winners Dark went up by 25.87%, going from 50.74% to 76.61%
Biggest Losers ByuL went down by 2.58%, going from 95.89% to 93.31% Rogue went down by 2.4%, going from 72.39% to 69.99% Stats went down by 2.37%, going from 41.25% to 38.89% sOs went down by 2.06%, going from 56.72% to 54.66% INnoVation went down by 1.91%, going from 61.97% to 60.06% FanTaSy went down by 1.74%, going from 28.35% to 26.6% HyuN went down by 1.55%, going from 32.55% to 30.99% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Bunny went down by 1.33%, going from 22.96% to 21.62% Dear went down by 1.13%, going from 22.17% to 21.04% MyuNgSiK went down by 1.03%, going from 14.35% to 13.32% TY went down by 0.93%, going from 14.02% to 13.09% GuMiho went down by 0.58%, going from 7.45% to 6.87% Jaedong went down by 0.53%, going from 10.16% to 9.63% soO went down by 0.52%, going from 3.48% to 2.95% Snute went down by 0.45%, going from 7.31% to 6.86% Lilbow went down by 0.42%, going from 9.39% to 8.97% ForGG went down by 0.37%, going from 10.55% to 10.18% Trap went down by 0.35%, going from 7.34% to 6.99% Zest went down by 0.34%, going from 98.32% to 97.98% Solar went down by 0.33%, going from 5.24% to 4.92% Bbyong went down by 0.26%, going from 4.1% to 3.85% Polt went down by 0.23%, going from 99.01% to 98.78% Soulkey went down by 0.22%, going from 1.62% to 1.4% Curious went down by 0.2%, going from 2.66% to 2.45% TRUE went down by 0.2%, going from 0.65% to 0.45% StarDust went down by 0.18%, going from 1.99% to 1.8% ShoWTimE went down by 0.17%, going from 2.82% to 2.65% MarineLorD went down by 0.17%, going from 1.52% to 1.35% MaNa went down by 0.1%, going from 1.06% to 0.96%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WCS Challenger Matches Selected and IEM Shenzhen Groups Set! Sunday, Jul 12 1:45am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2245)
Biggest Winners and Losers during Season 2 (Sim ID #2238 vs Sim ID #2245) Biggest Winners ForGG went up by 2.38%, going from 10.42% to 12.8% MyuNgSiK went up by 1.18%, going from 13.96% to 15.14% Lilbow went up by 0.83%, going from 9.23% to 10.06% Dark went up by 0.66%, going from 59.77% to 60.43% soO went up by 0.28%, going from 4.75% to 5.03% FireCake went up by 0.17%, going from 1.44% to 1.61% MarineLorD went up by 0.13%, going from 1.47% to 1.6%
Biggest Losers StarDust went down by 1.02%, going from 1.93% to 0.92% TY went down by 0.77%, going from 13.65% to 12.89% Snute went down by 0.71%, going from 7.17% to 6.45% Jaedong went down by 0.54%, going from 9.96% to 9.42% GuMiho went down by 0.4%, going from 7.25% to 6.85% ShoWTimE went down by 0.36%, going from 2.75% to 2.39% Bunny went down by 0.31%, going from 22.45% to 22.14% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
MaNa went down by 0.24%, going from 1.03% to 0.79% ByuL went down by 0.23%, going from 93.97% to 93.74% Stats went down by 0.23%, going from 40.44% to 40.21% FanTaSy went down by 0.19%, going from 27.72% to 27.52% sOs went down by 0.15%, going from 55.94% to 55.8% Dear went down by 0.1%, going from 21.74% to 21.64%
Right now we have 7 players locked in at 100% - herO, Life, Maru, Parting, Hydra, Dream, and Rain. And then Classic is up at 99.97%, with 97.95% AFK Chances. The Point Cutoff for 90% chances right now is 3275 WCS Points, so I'll use that this for analysis. Keep in mind that minimum points already counts future guaranteed points. Players who need 500 more points or less (2nd place at a Dreamhack or 8th at WCS for example) - Polt, Zest, and ByuL. Players who need 750 (1st at a Dreamhack or 4th at WCS) - Rogue. Players who need 1,400 (4th at WCS + 2nd at a Dreamhack) - Dark, Stats, sOs, INnoVation, FanTaSy, and Bunny. Players who need 1,650 (4th at WCS + 1st at a Dreamhack) - MyuNgSiK, Soulkey, TY, and Dear. Players who need 2,000 (1st at WCS or 2nd at WCS + 1st at a Dreamhack) - GuMiho, HyuN, Lilbow, Jaedong, Trap, ForGG, Snute, and Bbyong.
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 45.22% down to 44.73% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 5.46% down to 5.28% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.14% down to 0.13%
Bunny18.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 22.14% chance overall. Lilbow7.77% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.06% chance overall. Snute4.85% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.45% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.39% chance overall. MarineLorD1.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.6% chance overall. FireCake1.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.61% chance overall. MaNa0.61% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.79% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Harstem0.57% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.75% chance overall. TLO0.54% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.73% chance overall. uThermal0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.43% chance overall. Petraeus0.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall. Happy0.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall. NaNiwa0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.29% chance overall. Welmu0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.29% chance overall. MajOr0.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.27% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.17% chance overall. Nerchio0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.14% chance overall. Serral0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.13% chance overall. Kane0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.12% chance overall. iaguz0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. Zanster0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. Jim0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. MaSa0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. Sen0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. HuK0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.09% chance overall. Ret0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall. Kelazhur0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. iAsonu0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. elfi0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. Has0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Bails0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Bly0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Flash is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
0.87% of the time 2575 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 10.67% of the time 2775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 28.88% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 48.62% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 71.06% of the time 3125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 90.17% of the time 3275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.96% of the time 3475 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
ForGG has a 82.03% chance to win ----going from 12.8% to 15.48% if they get 1st, or 0.58% if they don't. Sen has a 76.56% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Polt has a 75.42% chance to win ----going from 98.95% to 99.53% if they get 1st, or 97.18% if they don't. Has has a 75.19% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Lilbow has a 72.71% chance to win ----going from 10.06% to 13.56% if they get 1st, or 0.74% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
StarDust has a 71.47% chance to win ----going from 0.91% to 1.28% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 69.76% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jaedong has a 67.79% chance to win ----going from 9.42% to 13.41% if they get 1st, or 1.04% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 67.42% chance to win ----going from 1.6% to 2.36% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Petraeus has a 63.36% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 0.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 62.92% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bunny has a 62.84% chance to win ----going from 22.14% to 30.86% if they get 1st, or 7.4% if they don't. viOLet has a 61.03% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 0.42% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Snute has a 60.49% chance to win ----going from 6.45% to 10.21% if they get 1st, or 0.71% if they don't. iaguz has a 59.48% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HuK has a 58.69% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Welmu has a 56.64% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 0.51% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. uThermal has a 55.6% chance to win ----going from 0.44% to 0.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Xenocider has a 54.8% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Nerchio has a 52.83% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 0.27% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Happy has a 52.47% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 0.61% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaSa has a 52.19% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.2% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 51.56% chance to win ----going from 0.73% to 1.38% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 50.76% chance to win ----going from 2.39% to 4.58% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Zanster has a 50.25% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 0.22% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FireCake has a 49.75% chance to win ----going from 1.61% to 3.16% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 49.24% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 0.58% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bly has a 48.44% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bails has a 47.81% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaNa has a 47.53% chance to win ----going from 0.79% to 1.65% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Harstem has a 47.17% chance to win ----going from 0.75% to 1.55% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Hitman has a 45.2% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. elfi has a 44.4% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 43.36% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 41.31% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 0.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Blysk has a 40.52% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Serral has a 39.51% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 0.34% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. qxc has a 38.97% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Starbuck has a 37.16% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Ret has a 37.08% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.23% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. NXZ has a 36.64% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DmC has a 32.58% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Semper has a 32.21% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DnS has a 30.24% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. neeb has a 28.53% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. SortOf has a 27.29% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. JonSnow has a 24.58% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Dayshi has a 17.97% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
KeSPA Cup 2in ~ Dark has a 35.53% chance to win ----going from 60.43% to 77.13% if they get 1st, or 51.23% if they don't. soO has a 30.2% chance to win ----going from 5.03% to 7.37% if they get 1st, or 4.02% if they don't. Dream has a 17.41% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Flash has a 16.87% chance to win ----going from 0.64% to 1.32% if they get 1st, or 0.5% if they don't.
WCS Premier Season 3in ~ ForGG, Lilbow, Jaedong, MarineLorD, Snute, StarDust, MaNa, ShoWTimE, FireCake, uThermal, Harstem, TLO, and Kane must win this tournament! Hydra has a 16.42% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ForGG has a 9.35% chance to win ----going from 12.8% to 97.18% if they get 1st, or 4.1% if they don't. Polt has a 7.57% chance to win ----going from 98.95% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.86% if they don't. Lilbow has a 5.9% chance to win ----going from 10.06% to 99.49% if they get 1st, or 4.45% if they don't. Jaedong has a 4.68% chance to win ----going from 9.42% to 99.39% if they get 1st, or 5.01% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MarineLorD has a 4.06% chance to win ----going from 1.59% to 34.37% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Bunny has a 3.93% chance to win ----going from 22.14% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 18.96% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.54% chance to win ----going from 0.27% to 7.17% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Snute has a 3.25% chance to win ----going from 6.46% to 98.65% if they get 1st, or 3.36% if they don't. Happy has a 3.13% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 9.48% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 2.93% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 9.15% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. StarDust has a 2.91% chance to win ----going from 0.92% to 27.85% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Nerchio has a 2.28% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 5.82% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Petraeus has a 2.08% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 13.99% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.08% chance to win ----going from 0.79% to 32.22% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 1.94% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 4.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 1.89% chance to win ----going from 2.39% to 83.58% if they get 1st, or 0.82% if they don't. viOLet has a 1.61% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 14.47% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Welmu has a 1.55% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 16.55% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MaSa has a 1.49% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 6.47% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.48% chance to win ----going from 1.61% to 77.52% if they get 1st, or 0.47% if they don't. uThermal has a 1.38% chance to win ----going from 0.44% to 27.41% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.38% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 11.53% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 1.03% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 9.75% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jim has a 0.93% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 10.49% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HuK has a 0.88% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 9.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 0.79% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 6.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 0.73% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 12.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.73% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 7.95% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bails has a 0.71% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 2.42% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 0.71% chance to win ----going from 0.75% to 71.59% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. Serral has a 0.62% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 19.03% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.61% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 16.57% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bly has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 2.99% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.51% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 11.45% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ret has a 0.46% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 16.17% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.73% to 94.58% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. Kane has a 0.37% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 29.93% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Starbuck has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.96% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. qxc has a 0.27% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.57% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. DnS has a 0.26% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.97% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. SortOf has a 0.25% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.57% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.23% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.47% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.34% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Has has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 9.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Semper has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.49% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.19% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. DmC has a 0.17% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.28% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Dayshi has a 0.16% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.35% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.65% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Blysk has a 0.1% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.38% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. NXZ has a 0.09% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. neeb has a 0.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shana has a 0.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.44% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. JonSnow has a 0.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.74% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Ian has a 0.01% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.82% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
GSL Code S Season 3 (unscheduled) soO, Solar, Trap, Bbyong, Curious, Flash, Sacsri, MMA, Bomber, San, Super, and Patience must win this tournament! Rain has a 10.45% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 8.83% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 7.21% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 6.69% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't. sOs has a 4.76% chance to win ----going from 55.79% to 100% if they get 1st, or 53.58% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
soO has a 4.59% chance to win ----going from 5.03% to 73.58% if they get 1st, or 1.73% if they don't. Zest has a 4.23% chance to win ----going from 98.22% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.14% if they don't. Solar has a 4.17% chance to win ----going from 5.1% to 83.8% if they get 1st, or 1.68% if they don't. INnoVation has a 4.05% chance to win ----going from 61.22% to 100% if they get 1st, or 59.58% if they don't. Dark has a 3.95% chance to win ----going from 60.43% to 100% if they get 1st, or 58.8% if they don't. Trap has a 3.89% chance to win ----going from 7.12% to 97.92% if they get 1st, or 3.45% if they don't. Dear has a 3.46% chance to win ----going from 21.64% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 18.84% if they don't. ByuL has a 3.04% chance to win ----going from 93.74% to 100% if they get 1st, or 93.54% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.59% chance to win ----going from 71.51% to 100% if they get 1st, or 70.75% if they don't. herO has a 2.55% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dream has a 2.38% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 2.29% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Bbyong has a 2.08% chance to win ----going from 3.99% to 96.31% if they get 1st, or 2.04% if they don't. HyuN has a 1.87% chance to win ----going from 31.99% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 30.7% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 1.86% chance to win ----going from 27.53% to 100% if they get 1st, or 26.15% if they don't. Curious has a 1.52% chance to win ----going from 2.58% to 87.27% if they get 1st, or 1.28% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.34% chance to win ----going from 15.14% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 13.99% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.24% chance to win ----going from 6.85% to 99.92% if they get 1st, or 5.68% if they don't. Flash has a 1.17% chance to win ----going from 0.64% to 39.67% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Sacsri has a 1.09% chance to win ----going from 0.43% to 29.92% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. MMA has a 0.86% chance to win ----going from 1.03% to 75.87% if they get 1st, or 0.38% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.79% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 9.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Cure has a 0.77% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 15.08% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.69% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 14.05% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Bomber has a 0.64% chance to win ----going from 0.58% to 60.52% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. San has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0.59% to 62.47% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. Losira has a 0.5% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 6.9% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Super has a 0.46% chance to win ----going from 0.5% to 73.12% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't. Trust has a 0.45% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 5.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Impact has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 6.22% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. jjakji has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 8.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. First has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 14.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.34% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 10.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Armani has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.2% to 57.33% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. aLive has a 0.19% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.79% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Stork has a 0.18% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.27% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 14.45% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.96% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Panic has a 0.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.67% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.89% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. KeeN has a 0.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.77% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
StarLeague Season 3 (unscheduled) Rain has a 11.41% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 9.64% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. INnoVation has a 8.49% chance to win ----going from 61.22% to 100% if they get 1st, or 57.62% if they don't. Classic has a 8.27% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't. Zest has a 7.67% chance to win ----going from 98.22% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.07% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Life has a 7.4% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dream has a 6.58% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. sOs has a 5.94% chance to win ----going from 55.79% to 100% if they get 1st, or 52.99% if they don't. herO has a 5.26% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. HyuN has a 5.21% chance to win ----going from 31.99% to 99.69% if they get 1st, or 28.28% if they don't. Stats has a 5.02% chance to win ----going from 40.21% to 100% if they get 1st, or 37.05% if they don't. Dear has a 4.67% chance to win ----going from 21.64% to 99.48% if they get 1st, or 17.83% if they don't. ByuL has a 4.58% chance to win ----going from 93.74% to 100% if they get 1st, or 93.44% if they don't. TY has a 3.99% chance to win ----going from 12.89% to 99.49% if they get 1st, or 9.28% if they don't. Rogue has a 3.92% chance to win ----going from 71.51% to 100% if they get 1st, or 70.34% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.96% chance to win ----going from 15.14% to 99.85% if they get 1st, or 13.45% if they don't.
Flash vs soOin in KeSPA Cup 2 semifinals. Flash has the #2 Headband. Flash is at 0.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.92%, or 0.45% if they lose. soO is at 5.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.02%, or 3.55% if they lose.
Dark vs Dreamin in KeSPA Cup 2 semifinals. Dark has the #3 Headband. Dark is at 60.43% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 68.9%, or 47.92% if they lose. Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Dark has a 35.52% chance to win ----going from 60.43% to 77.12% if they get 1st, or 51.24% if they don't. soO has a 30.2% chance to win ----going from 5.03% to 7.37% if they get 1st, or 4.02% if they don't. Dream has a 17.41% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Flash has a 16.87% chance to win ----going from 0.64% to 1.32% if they get 1st, or 0.5% if they don't.
Branch #2248 -If Flash wins this and Dreamhack Stockholm he goes up to 6.11% -If Flash wins this and Code S he goes up to 73.9% -If Flash wins this and gets 2nd in Code S he goes up to 11.13%
Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 0.95%, going from 71.51% to 72.46% Stats went up by 0.92%, going from 40.21% to 41.12% sOs went up by 0.81%, going from 55.79% to 56.59% FanTaSy went up by 0.72%, going from 27.53% to 28.25% INnoVation went up by 0.7%, going from 61.21% to 61.92% Flash went up by 0.68%, going from 0.64% to 1.32% Bunny went up by 0.58%, going from 22.14% to 22.72% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
HyuN went up by 0.55%, going from 31.98% to 32.53% ByuL went up by 0.44%, going from 93.74% to 94.18% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.43%, going from 15.15% to 15.57% Dear went up by 0.42%, going from 21.65% to 22.07% TY went up by 0.36%, going from 12.89% to 13.25% GuMiho went up by 0.2%, going from 6.85% to 7.05% Lilbow went up by 0.16%, going from 10.06% to 10.23% ForGG went up by 0.15%, going from 12.8% to 12.95% Snute went up by 0.15%, going from 6.46% to 6.61% Zest went up by 0.15%, going from 98.22% to 98.36% Jaedong went up by 0.15%, going from 9.43% to 9.57% Solar went up by 0.14%, going from 5.1% to 5.24% Trap went up by 0.13%, going from 7.12% to 7.25% Polt went up by 0.1%, going from 98.95% to 99.05%
Biggest Losers Dark went down by 8.36%, going from 60.43% to 52.08% soO went down by 1.36%, going from 5.03% to 3.67%
Branch #2249 -If Dark wins this and Code A he goes up to 84.59% -If Dark wins this and gets 2nd in Dreamhack Stockholm he goes up to 99.14% -If Dark wins this and gets 8th place in Code S he goes up to 99.03%
Biggest Winners Dark went up by 16.69%, going from 60.43% to 77.12%
Biggest Losers Rogue went down by 1.58%, going from 71.51% to 69.92% Stats went down by 1.56%, going from 40.21% to 38.65% sOs went down by 1.38%, going from 55.79% to 54.41% INnoVation went down by 1.22%, going from 61.21% to 59.99% FanTaSy went down by 1.18%, going from 27.53% to 26.35% soO went down by 1.05%, going from 5.03% to 3.98% HyuN went down by 0.99%, going from 31.98% to 30.99% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Bunny went down by 0.95%, going from 22.14% to 21.2% Dear went down by 0.72%, going from 21.65% to 20.93% ByuL went down by 0.72%, going from 93.74% to 93.02% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.71%, going from 15.15% to 14.44% TY went down by 0.59%, going from 12.89% to 12.3% GuMiho went down by 0.37%, going from 6.85% to 6.48% Jaedong went down by 0.32%, going from 9.43% to 9.11% ForGG went down by 0.3%, going from 12.8% to 12.5% Lilbow went down by 0.28%, going from 10.06% to 9.78% Zest went down by 0.24%, going from 98.22% to 97.97% Trap went down by 0.24%, going from 7.12% to 6.88% Snute went down by 0.23%, going from 6.46% to 6.22% Solar went down by 0.21%, going from 5.1% to 4.89% Polt went down by 0.19%, going from 98.95% to 98.76% Bbyong went down by 0.15%, going from 3.99% to 3.84% Flash went down by 0.13%, going from 0.64% to 0.51% Curious went down by 0.13%, going from 2.58% to 2.45% Soulkey went down by 0.13%, going from 1.48% to 1.36% MarineLorD went down by 0.11%, going from 1.59% to 1.48% ShoWTimE went down by 0.1%, going from 2.39% to 2.29%
Branch #2250 -If Dream wins this and Dark gets 8th in Code S then Dark goes up to 80.52% -If Dream wins this and soO wins Code S then soO goes up to 69.72% -If Dream wins this and Flash wins Code S then Flash goes up to 36.33%
Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 1.35%, going from 71.51% to 72.86% Stats went up by 1.28%, going from 40.21% to 41.48% sOs went up by 1.16%, going from 55.79% to 56.95% INnoVation went up by 1.09%, going from 61.21% to 62.31% FanTaSy went up by 0.95%, going from 27.53% to 28.48% HyuN went up by 0.86%, going from 31.98% to 32.85% Bunny went up by 0.79%, going from 22.14% to 22.93% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
ByuL went up by 0.62%, going from 93.74% to 94.36% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.6%, going from 15.15% to 15.75% Dear went up by 0.58%, going from 21.65% to 22.23% TY went up by 0.48%, going from 12.89% to 13.37% GuMiho went up by 0.31%, going from 6.85% to 7.16% Jaedong went up by 0.31%, going from 9.43% to 9.74% ForGG went up by 0.23%, going from 12.8% to 13.03% Zest went up by 0.21%, going from 98.22% to 98.42% Lilbow went up by 0.21%, going from 10.06% to 10.27% Snute went up by 0.21%, going from 6.46% to 6.66% Trap went up by 0.2%, going from 7.12% to 7.32% Polt went up by 0.17%, going from 98.95% to 99.11% Bbyong went up by 0.16%, going from 3.99% to 4.16% Solar went up by 0.16%, going from 5.1% to 5.26% Curious went up by 0.11%, going from 2.58% to 2.7%
Biggest Losers Dark went down by 12.4%, going from 60.43% to 48.03% soO went down by 0.58%, going from 5.03% to 4.45%
Branch #2251 -If soO wins this and Code S then he goes up to 94.89% -If soO wins this and gets 2nd in Code S then he goes up to 24.43% -If soO wins this and wins Dreamhack Stockholm then he goes up to 24.45% -If soO wins this and gets 2nd in Dreamhack Stockholm then he goes up to 15.41%
Biggest Winners soO went up by 2.34%, going from 5.03% to 7.37% Stats went up by 0.58%, going from 40.21% to 40.79% Rogue went up by 0.56%, going from 71.51% to 72.06% sOs went up by 0.5%, going from 55.79% to 56.29% FanTaSy went up by 0.44%, going from 27.53% to 27.97% INnoVation went up by 0.41%, going from 61.21% to 61.62% HyuN went up by 0.35%, going from 31.98% to 32.34% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Bunny went up by 0.34%, going from 22.14% to 22.48% Dear went up by 0.28%, going from 21.65% to 21.93% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.24%, going from 15.15% to 15.39% ByuL went up by 0.24%, going from 93.74% to 93.98% TY went up by 0.22%, going from 12.89% to 13.11% GuMiho went up by 0.15%, going from 6.85% to 6.99% ForGG went up by 0.13%, going from 12.8% to 12.93% Lilbow went up by 0.13%, going from 10.06% to 10.19% Jaedong went up by 0.12%, going from 9.43% to 9.54%
Biggest Losers Dark went down by 7.81%, going from 60.43% to 52.62% Flash went down by 0.17%, going from 0.64% to 0.47%
On July 13 2015 02:57 OtherWorld wrote: soO gained only 200 points from KeSPA Cup semifinalist to winner? ):
2nd place vs 1st place is only a difference of 250 points, between 4th place and 1st place is only a difference of 375 points. 200 points seems reasonable. Maybe he'll go up a bit more when I run the update today with his updated Aligulac rating.
I need to start slowly removing placeholder tournaments as the year comes to an end, right now there are 7 placeholders. I plan to remove 1 today, and 1 about every 2 weeks after that. I'm going to give back points lost because of this in WCS Wars so you don't get punished for having players on your team.
I'm going to have a 1% chance that no placeholders exist and make a branch to show the stats for when no placeholders exist.
Also I'm going to add KeSPA Cup 3, and since it hasn't been announced to be giving WCS Points I'm going to make it just have a ~25% chance to exist.
I added KeSPA Cup 3 with a 25% chance to exist, removed placeholder #7, and made all placeholders exist 99% of the time instead of 100% of the time. Also I added the 4 qualified players for IEM Gamescom.
I also made a branch for when the placeholders don't exist, and a branch for when KeSPA Cup 3 exists.
Here is what happens if we assume that the placeholders won't exist http://sc2.4ever.tv/?sim_id=2280#biggest-winners-section The WCS Points Cutoffs fall by about 200 points, so players mostly past 50% chances had some gains. Strong players who were expected to do well in the placeholders and have low number of points (like Fantasy) lose chances.
Here is what happens if we assume that KeSPA Cup 3 does exist and gives WCS Points for 2015 http://sc2.4ever.tv/?sim_id=2281#biggest-winners-section Dark and soO would see some gains from it since they would be seeded into KeSPA Cup 3. Players with a good chance to make the finals of SSL or GSL that need the points would also see good gains.
Sleep vs Panicin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Sleep is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Panic is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
KeeN vs INnoVationin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. KeeN is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. INnoVation is at 76.95% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.31% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 81.99%, or 64.42% if they lose.
Dark vs aLivein in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Dark has the #3 Headband. Dark is at 51.9% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 60.95%, or 29.99% if they lose. aLive is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.22% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Zest has a 74.17% chance to win ----going from 97.19% to 98.29% if they get 1st, or 94.03% if they don't. INnoVation has a 71.31% chance to win ----going from 76.95% to 81.99% if they get 1st, or 64.42% if they don't. Dark has a 70.78% chance to win ----going from 51.9% to 60.95% if they get 1st, or 29.99% if they don't. herO has a 64.6% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Bbyong has a 60.13% chance to win ----going from 3.17% to 5.14% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Hurricane has a 59.22% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 57.37% chance to win ----going from 35.93% to 45.29% if they get 1st, or 23.32% if they don't. Trap has a 57.25% chance to win ----going from 5.59% to 9.47% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't. Dream has a 56.79% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. HyuN has a 53.48% chance to win ----going from 27.27% to 35.26% if they get 1st, or 18.09% if they don't. Impact has a 51.19% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Panic has a 50.66% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Cure has a 50.55% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 0.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. jjakji has a 50.46% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 50.18% chance to win ----going from 0.45% to 0.88% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. First has a 49.82% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Trust has a 49.54% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sacsri has a 49.45% chance to win ----going from 0.36% to 0.72% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 49.34% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Flash has a 48.81% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 0.59% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GuMiho has a 46.52% chance to win ----going from 5.3% to 9.69% if they get 1st, or 1.48% if they don't. Hack has a 43.21% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Life has a 42.75% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. San has a 42.63% chance to win ----going from 0.48% to 1.09% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Symbol has a 40.78% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Super has a 39.87% chance to win ----going from 0.43% to 1.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Armani has a 35.4% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. aLive has a 29.22% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. KeeN has a 28.69% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 25.83% chance to win ----going from 0.27% to 0.92% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't.
Solar, Trap, Bbyong, Curious, GuMiho, Sacsri, Flash, MMA, Bomber, San, Super, and Patience must win this tournament! Rain has a 10.34% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 8.68% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 7.09% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 6.68% chance to win ----going from 16.21% to 99.28% if they get 1st, or 10.27% if they don't. Classic has a 6.6% chance to win ----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.94% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
sOs has a 4.68% chance to win ----going from 49.27% to 100% if they get 1st, or 46.78% if they don't. INnoVation has a 4.53% chance to win ----going from 76.95% to 100% if they get 1st, or 75.85% if they don't. Zest has a 4.15% chance to win ----going from 97.19% to 100% if they get 1st, or 97.07% if they don't. Solar has a 4.1% chance to win ----going from 4.3% to 79.93% if they get 1st, or 1.07% if they don't. Trap has a 3.63% chance to win ----going from 5.59% to 97.11% if they get 1st, or 2.15% if they don't. Dark has a 3.59% chance to win ----going from 51.9% to 100% if they get 1st, or 50.11% if they don't. Dear has a 3.4% chance to win ----going from 18.49% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 15.62% if they don't. ByuL has a 2.97% chance to win ----going from 90.82% to 100% if they get 1st, or 90.54% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.54% chance to win ----going from 64.72% to 100% if they get 1st, or 63.8% if they don't. herO has a 2.52% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 2.28% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dream has a 2.04% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Bbyong has a 2.03% chance to win ----going from 3.17% to 95.41% if they get 1st, or 1.26% if they don't. HyuN has a 1.84% chance to win ----going from 27.27% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 25.9% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 1.79% chance to win ----going from 35.93% to 100% if they get 1st, or 34.76% if they don't. Curious has a 1.43% chance to win ----going from 2.03% to 84.34% if they get 1st, or 0.83% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.29% chance to win ----going from 11.99% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 10.85% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.22% chance to win ----going from 5.3% to 99.88% if they get 1st, or 4.13% if they don't. Sacsri has a 1.06% chance to win ----going from 0.36% to 27.34% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Flash has a 0.97% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 25.28% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. MMA has a 0.83% chance to win ----going from 0.8% to 71.11% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.77% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 7.87% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Cure has a 0.76% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 12.26% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.64% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 11.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 0.63% chance to win ----going from 0.45% to 54.8% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. San has a 0.57% chance to win ----going from 0.48% to 57.9% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Losira has a 0.51% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 5.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Super has a 0.49% chance to win ----going from 0.43% to 67.98% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Impact has a 0.45% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 4.53% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Trust has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 4.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. jjakji has a 0.41% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 6.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. First has a 0.41% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 11.54% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.34% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 7.94% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Armani has a 0.3% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.22% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 0.2% chance to win ----going from 0.27% to 67.81% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Stork has a 0.17% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.9% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. aLive has a 0.17% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.65% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 12.82% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.96% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Panic has a 0.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.82% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.96% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. KeeN has a 0.04% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.73% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
This year is quite different from the last one with the big WCS change and two big leagues in Korea. Foreigners are basically screwed and the top 16 is mostly people doing just well in Korea with the expections of Polt and ForGG reaping the WCS, Parting winning every possible foreinger event and Zest somehow being there only because of the IEM WC. On one hand it is probably much more fair and we get the highest possible level of competition for Blizzcon, on the other it seems much less exciting.
On July 16 2015 01:59 opisska wrote: This year is quite different from the last one with the big WCS change and two big leagues in Korea. Foreigners are basically screwed and the top 16 is mostly people doing just well in Korea with the expections of Polt and ForGG reaping the WCS, Parting winning every possible foreinger event and Zest somehow being there only because of the IEM WC. On one hand it is probably much more fair and we get the highest possible level of competition for Blizzcon, on the other it seems much less exciting.
Surely you mean Polt and Hydra, ForGG (assuming he keeps on playing like he did recently) has little to no chance to get to the top16 (and even if he starts playing godly, he'd still have to win WCS to begin with). But yeah the battle for the last spots feel less exciting/close than last year, although I have the feeling Lilbow and Bunny will bring in some excitement with WCS S3
On July 16 2015 02:52 sharkie wrote: Polt is the only one in the top16 undeserving imo. Hydra definitely has the skill to contend with the top Koreans, Polt - not anymore
In one season Polt defeated Hydra, in the other it was the other way around. That doesn't look to me like Hydra was so much better. Polt always seems weak against weak oponents, it has been like that since forever. That doesn't mean he can't do well in big competition.
On July 16 2015 02:52 sharkie wrote: Polt is the only one in the top16 undeserving imo. Hydra definitely has the skill to contend with the top Koreans, Polt - not anymore
In one season Polt defeated Hydra, in the other it was the other way around. That doesn't look to me like Hydra was so much better. Polt always seems weak against weak oponents, it has been like that since forever. That doesn't mean he can't do well in big competition.
If you watched that final you'd know that hydra lost the series several times.
On July 16 2015 02:52 sharkie wrote: Polt is the only one in the top16 undeserving imo. Hydra definitely has the skill to contend with the top Koreans, Polt - not anymore
In one season Polt defeated Hydra, in the other it was the other way around. That doesn't look to me like Hydra was so much better. Polt always seems weak against weak oponents, it has been like that since forever. That doesn't mean he can't do well in big competition.
If you watched that final you'd know that hydra lost the series several times.
I watched the final live yet I have no idea what point are you trying to make.
On July 16 2015 02:52 sharkie wrote: Polt is the only one in the top16 undeserving imo. Hydra definitely has the skill to contend with the top Koreans, Polt - not anymore
In one season Polt defeated Hydra, in the other it was the other way around. That doesn't look to me like Hydra was so much better. Polt always seems weak against weak oponents, it has been like that since forever. That doesn't mean he can't do well in big competition.
If you watched that final you'd know that hydra lost the series several times.
I watched the final live yet I have no idea what point are you trying to make.
That hydra was a lot better and Polt only got lucky hydra totally threw the series several times? Hell, Polt should have lost to Bunny in the semis. If Bunny were Korean, Polt would have never sniffed the final.
On July 16 2015 02:52 sharkie wrote: Polt is the only one in the top16 undeserving imo. Hydra definitely has the skill to contend with the top Koreans, Polt - not anymore
In one season Polt defeated Hydra, in the other it was the other way around. That doesn't look to me like Hydra was so much better. Polt always seems weak against weak oponents, it has been like that since forever. That doesn't mean he can't do well in big competition.
If you watched that final you'd know that hydra lost the series several times.
I watched the final live yet I have no idea what point are you trying to make.
That hydra was a lot better and Polt only got lucky hydra totally threw the series several times? Hell, Polt should have lost to Bunny in the semis. If Bunny were Korean, Polt would have never sniffed the final.
I don't subscribe to this notion of "being better". If you lose 3 games in a row, you are clearly not commandingly better than your oponent. Throwing games is not a sign of a good player.
On July 16 2015 01:59 opisska wrote: This year is quite different from the last one with the big WCS change and two big leagues in Korea. Foreigners are basically screwed and the top 16 is mostly people doing just well in Korea with the expections of Polt and ForGG reaping the WCS, Parting winning every possible foreinger event and Zest somehow being there only because of the IEM WC. On one hand it is probably much more fair and we get the highest possible level of competition for Blizzcon, on the other it seems much less exciting.
I said this when the format was first announced. The regional requirements for WCS SOUND good until you realize that with 2 Korean leagues (which for the sake of the Korean scene I'm glad they exist) its completely pointless. No foreigner was going to make it threw, hell no one from WCS will likely make it in outside of the champions.
Here's hoping for an even more improved format in 2016
On July 16 2015 01:59 opisska wrote: This year is quite different from the last one with the big WCS change and two big leagues in Korea. Foreigners are basically screwed and the top 16 is mostly people doing just well in Korea with the expections of Polt and ForGG reaping the WCS, Parting winning every possible foreinger event and Zest somehow being there only because of the IEM WC. On one hand it is probably much more fair and we get the highest possible level of competition for Blizzcon, on the other it seems much less exciting.
I said this when the format was first announced. The regional requirements for WCS SOUND good until you realize that with 2 Korean leagues (which for the sake of the Korean scene I'm glad they exist) its completely pointless. No foreigner was going to make it threw, hell no one from WCS will likely make it in outside of the champions.
Here's hoping for an even more improved format in 2016
WCS EU/US format is fine. It's the foreigner's own fault if they can not stay consistent. They get enough points from all the tournaments for at least one of them to make Blizzcon but each of Bunny, Snute and Lilbow start to fail suddenly.
On July 16 2015 01:59 opisska wrote: This year is quite different from the last one with the big WCS change and two big leagues in Korea. Foreigners are basically screwed and the top 16 is mostly people doing just well in Korea with the expections of Polt and ForGG reaping the WCS, Parting winning every possible foreinger event and Zest somehow being there only because of the IEM WC. On one hand it is probably much more fair and we get the highest possible level of competition for Blizzcon, on the other it seems much less exciting.
I said this when the format was first announced. The regional requirements for WCS SOUND good until you realize that with 2 Korean leagues (which for the sake of the Korean scene I'm glad they exist) its completely pointless. No foreigner was going to make it threw, hell no one from WCS will likely make it in outside of the champions.
Here's hoping for an even more improved format in 2016
WCS EU/US format is fine. It's the foreigner's own fault if they can not stay consistent. They get enough points from all the tournaments for at least one of them to make Blizzcon but each of Bunny, Snute and Lilbow start to fail suddenly.
The format is absolutely not fine. There is no reason why exclusively the champion gets seeded into the next season when neither Korean league follow that format. It artificially inflates the Korean's points for no reason. Also all of the regions need a better challenger system. One best of 5 isn't enough to decide your fate for an entire season, when one season basically changes your entire year. The return of groups or a full tournament/up and downs should be the standard across all regions. Hell there should BE a standard across all regions. Like if the league has X players than Y amount need to be seeded into the next season.
And WCS (read WCS + SSL + GSL) need to be weighed even more than WCS partnered tournaments. I like Zest/Dark and they're probably much better than most players than most below them, but their WCS performances aren't good and they shouldn't be ranked so highly in the system off of partnered events when you have a player like Bunny who has multiple ro4 performances and is in jeopardy of not being at Blizzcon
IEM Shenzhen Open Bracketin ~ Losira has a 88.76% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. YongHwa has a 85.02% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Alicia has a 75.51% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. SuperNova has a 73.67% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Seed has a 72.98% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Cyan has a 50.74% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Saber has a 27.84% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Bistork has a 25.49% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Heart vs TYin in IEM Shenzhen round of 16. Heart is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.65% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. TY is at 10.96% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.32%, or 7.51% if they lose.
Rain, Snute, and Classicin in IEM Shenzhen round of 16. Rain has the #1 Headband. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Classic is at 99.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.85% if they lose. Snute is at 5.57% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.9%, or 4.48% if they lose.
herO, Jim, and uThermalin in IEM Shenzhen round of 16. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. uThermal is at 0.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.49%, or 0.22% if they lose. Jim is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.86% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.02% if they lose.
PartinG, XY, and Kelazhurin in IEM Shenzhen round of 16. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 85.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Kelazhur is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.82% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.02% if they lose. XY is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
PartinG has a 23.29% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 17.8% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 17.09% chance to win ----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.93% if they don't. herO has a 11.48% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. TY has a 8.74% chance to win ----going from 10.96% to 24.43% if they get 1st, or 9.68% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Snute has a 6.28% chance to win ----going from 5.57% to 12.35% if they get 1st, or 5.12% if they don't. uThermal has a 3.47% chance to win ----going from 0.38% to 1.39% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't. Heart has a 2.5% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Losira has a 2.33% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.39% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Jim has a 1.88% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.56% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. SuperNova has a 1.37% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. YongHwa has a 1.25% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Seed has a 1.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Alicia has a 0.68% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.55% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. XY has a 0.16% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
DreamHack Valenciain ~ FanTaSy has a 7.97% chance to win ----going from 35.68% to 78.01% if they get 1st, or 32.01% if they don't. GuMiho has a 6.91% chance to win ----going from 5.11% to 17.57% if they get 1st, or 4.18% if they don't. Lilbow has a 6.5% chance to win ----going from 26.03% to 57.9% if they get 1st, or 23.82% if they don't. HyuN has a 6.47% chance to win ----going from 26.94% to 56.7% if they get 1st, or 24.88% if they don't. Bunny has a 4.93% chance to win ----going from 26.34% to 66.4% if they get 1st, or 24.26% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MarineLorD has a 4.91% chance to win ----going from 3.01% to 8.01% if they get 1st, or 2.75% if they don't. TaeJa has a 4.84% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sacsri has a 4.55% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 1.39% if they get 1st, or 0.28% if they don't. PtitDrogo has a 4.09% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaNa has a 4.04% chance to win ----going from 0.59% to 2.56% if they get 1st, or 0.51% if they don't. San has a 4.01% chance to win ----going from 0.45% to 1.67% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't. TRUE has a 3.79% chance to win ----going from 0.46% to 3.87% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. Curious has a 3.53% chance to win ----going from 1.91% to 6.9% if they get 1st, or 1.73% if they don't. Leenock has a 2.77% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.87% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Patience has a 2.72% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 1.44% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 2.68% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.52% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Terminator has a 2.64% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.48% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. viOLet has a 2.39% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 1.32% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Zanster has a 1.88% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.72% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Harstem has a 1.82% chance to win ----going from 0.57% to 2.32% if they get 1st, or 0.53% if they don't. HuK has a 1.77% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.68% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. HerO has a 1.75% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ryung has a 1.7% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Serral has a 1.58% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 0.93% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Symbol has a 1.39% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.2% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Verdi has a 1.3% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Ret has a 1.29% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.59% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. TLO has a 0.99% chance to win ----going from 0.82% to 5.53% if they get 1st, or 0.77% if they don't. Dayshi has a 0.92% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.74% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. PsiOniC has a 0.64% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DnS has a 0.63% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Blysk has a 0.51% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Jona has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Majestic has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Arium has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Lambo has a 0.19% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MiNiMaTh has a 0.1% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. jeysen has a 0.06% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Botvinnik has a 0.03% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Chubz has a 0.02% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. FeaR has a 0.01% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
viOLet vs Ryungin in DreamHack Valencia round of 64. viOLet is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 80.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.2%, or 0.09% if they lose. Ryung is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 77.22% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
MorroW vs FanTaSyin in DreamHack Valencia round of 64. MorroW is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.61% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 35.68% Blizzcon Chances, with a 89.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 37.08%, or 23.68% if they lose.
Verdi vs Sacsriin in DreamHack Valencia round of 64. Verdi is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Sacsri is at 0.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 85.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.36%, or 0.18% if they lose.
Bunny vs Lilbowin in DreamHack Valencia round of 64. Bunny is at 26.34% Blizzcon Chances, with a 83.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 27.8%, or 18.78% if they lose. Lilbow is at 26.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 84.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 27.31%, or 18.82% if they lose.
Symbol vs Serralin in DreamHack Valencia round of 64. Symbol is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. Serral is at 0.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 79.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0.11% if they lose.
MaNa vs Pigbabyin in DreamHack Valencia round of 64. MaNa is at 0.59% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.65%, or 0.31% if they lose. Pigbaby is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 80.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.03% if they lose.
San vs PtitDrogoin in DreamHack Valencia round of 64. San is at 0.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 82.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.49%, or 0.28% if they lose. PtitDrogo is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 82.39% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
HerO vs MarineLorDin in DreamHack Valencia round of 64. HerO is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 3.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 85.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.19%, or 1.96% if they lose.
GuMiho vs Harstemin in DreamHack Valencia round of 64. GuMiho is at 5.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 88.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.4%, or 2.88% if they lose. Harstem is at 0.57% Blizzcon Chances, with a 74.72% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.62%, or 0.41% if they lose.
Dayshi vs TRUEin in DreamHack Valencia round of 64. Dayshi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.05% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. TRUE is at 0.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 84.19% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.51%, or 0.15% if they lose.
TLO vs Terminatorin in DreamHack Valencia round of 64. TLO is at 0.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.89%, or 0.62% if they lose. Terminator is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Curious vs Jonain in DreamHack Valencia round of 64. Curious is at 1.91% Blizzcon Chances, with a 85.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.01%, or 1.34% if they lose. Jona is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
TaeJa vs Retin in DreamHack Valencia round of 64. TaeJa is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 85.53% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Ret is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0.06% if they lose.
Leenock vs HuKin in DreamHack Valencia round of 64. Leenock is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0.02% if they lose. HuK is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 77.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.03% if they lose.
HyuN vs Blyskin in DreamHack Valencia round of 64. HyuN is at 26.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 87.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 27.89%, or 20.07% if they lose. Blysk is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Patience vs Zansterin in DreamHack Valencia round of 64. Patience is at 0.25% Blizzcon Chances, with a 80.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.28%, or 0.15% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 78.41% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.11%, or 0.05% if they lose.
On July 16 2015 06:09 opisska wrote: Where did aligulac get so much confidence in Fanta? There are like five players I would think to win the thing before him.
On July 16 2015 06:09 opisska wrote: Where did aligulac get so much confidence in Fanta? There are like five players I would think to win the thing before him.
Who? Fantasy is my top pick too.
Really, the guy who never won anything in SC2 and whose unbeliavble position in WCS points is based only upon doing rounds of all possible tournaments and never getting anywhere (except for one finals). My question stands, how the hell does Aligulac and you think about him so highly? I haven't seem him play so much, but at every occasion he seemed pretty lost and died to dumb things.
From the player lineup, I would definitely rate HyuN, Curious and Gumiho above him and there is like ten another Koreans who can reasonably beat him on any day (and then there is MarineKing ...), not to mention that the foreigner lineup ain't that bad edither.
On July 16 2015 06:09 opisska wrote: Where did aligulac get so much confidence in Fanta? There are like five players I would think to win the thing before him.
Who? Fantasy is my top pick too.
Really, the guy who never won anything in SC2 and whose unbeliavble position in WCS points is based only upon doing rounds of all possible tournaments and never getting anywhere (except for one finals). My question stands, how the hell does Aligulac and you think about him so highly? I haven't seem him play so much, but at every occasion he seemed pretty lost and died to dumb things.
From the player lineup, I would definitely rate HyuN, Curious and Gumiho above him and there is like ten another Koreans who can reasonably beat him on any day (and then there is MarineKing ...), not to mention that the foreigner lineup ain't that bad edither.
MarineKing isn't going. Curious, Hyun, Gumiho, and TRUE make sense though. Lilbow and Bunny I guess it's possible. I still put Fantasy at least at top 3 here. Not like these other players have accomplished much more than Fantasy lately.
Curious got Ro4 GSL not long ago, that's nothing to ignore. The rest are not current champions, but there are so many players who have been to so many DH-like tourneys and they just know their business. And for example Gumi can imho beat absolutely anyone if he decides to fo so.
And I just noticed that Taeja is apparently coming, that would be hilarious if he won that out of the blue, just because it is in July
On July 16 2015 06:36 opisska wrote: Curious got Ro4 GSL not long ago, that's nothing to ignore. The rest are not current champions, but there are so many players who have been to so many DH-like tourneys and they just know their business. And for example Gumi can imho beat absolutely anyone if he decides to fo so.
And I just noticed that Taeja is apparently coming, that would be hilarious if he won that out of the blue, just because it is in July
Curious yea. I don't have much faith in Taeja right now lol but I'd love to see him win again. Gumiho can beat anyone, but he often doesn't.
jjakji vs Trustin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. jjakji is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0.01% if they lose. Trust is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Super vs Bbyongin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Bbyong must win this match! Super is at 0.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.92%, or 0.01% if they lose. Bbyong is at 2.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.75%, or 0.18% if they lose.
Life vs Trapin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Trap must win this match! Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Trap is at 5.24% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.81%, or 0.34% if they lose.
Zest has a 74.48% chance to win ----going from 96.74% to 97.98% if they get 1st, or 93.14% if they don't. herO has a 63.94% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Bbyong has a 60.11% chance to win ----going from 2.92% to 4.75% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Hurricane has a 59.26% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Trap has a 57.85% chance to win ----going from 5.24% to 8.81% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
FanTaSy has a 57.35% chance to win ----going from 35.68% to 45.02% if they get 1st, or 23.11% if they don't. Dream has a 57.18% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. HyuN has a 53.47% chance to win ----going from 26.95% to 34.81% if they get 1st, or 17.92% if they don't. Impact has a 51.16% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Cure has a 50.56% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. jjakji has a 50.46% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 50.17% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 0.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. First has a 49.83% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Trust has a 49.54% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sacsri has a 49.44% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 0.66% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Flash has a 48.84% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 0.51% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GuMiho has a 46.53% chance to win ----going from 5.11% to 9.35% if they get 1st, or 1.41% if they don't. Hack has a 42.82% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. San has a 42.65% chance to win ----going from 0.45% to 1.03% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Life has a 42.15% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Symbol has a 40.74% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Super has a 39.89% chance to win ----going from 0.37% to 0.92% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Armani has a 36.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 25.52% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 0.86% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't.
Solar, Trap, Bbyong, Curious, GuMiho, Sacsri, Flash, MMA, Bomber, San, Super, and Patience must win this tournament! Rain has a 8.92% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 8.22% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 7.94% chance to win ----going from 17.88% to 99.24% if they get 1st, or 10.87% if they don't. INnoVation has a 7.59% chance to win ----going from 83.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 82.45% if they don't. Maru has a 6.73% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Classic has a 6.43% chance to win ----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.94% if they don't. Dark has a 5.37% chance to win ----going from 60.5% to 100% if they get 1st, or 58.26% if they don't. sOs has a 4.26% chance to win ----going from 46.54% to 100% if they get 1st, or 44.17% if they don't. Solar has a 3.88% chance to win ----going from 3.91% to 77.7% if they get 1st, or 0.93% if they don't. Zest has a 3.73% chance to win ----going from 96.74% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.61% if they don't. Trap has a 3.5% chance to win ----going from 5.24% to 96.67% if they get 1st, or 1.92% if they don't. Dear has a 3.19% chance to win ----going from 17.39% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 14.67% if they don't. ByuL has a 2.81% chance to win ----going from 89.69% to 100% if they get 1st, or 89.39% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.42% chance to win ----going from 62.62% to 100% if they get 1st, or 61.7% if they don't. herO has a 2.38% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 2.03% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Bbyong has a 1.93% chance to win ----going from 2.92% to 94.69% if they get 1st, or 1.12% if they don't. Dream has a 1.81% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. HyuN has a 1.78% chance to win ----going from 26.95% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 25.63% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 1.71% chance to win ----going from 35.68% to 100% if they get 1st, or 34.56% if they don't. Curious has a 1.35% chance to win ----going from 1.92% to 84.32% if they get 1st, or 0.79% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.2% chance to win ----going from 11.14% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 10.06% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.15% chance to win ----going from 5.11% to 99.88% if they get 1st, or 4.01% if they don't. Sacsri has a 0.99% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 27.23% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Flash has a 0.91% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 23.4% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. MMA has a 0.78% chance to win ----going from 0.72% to 68.69% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Cure has a 0.73% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 11.26% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.71% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 7.6% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.6% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 10.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 0.6% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 51.82% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. San has a 0.54% chance to win ----going from 0.45% to 57.69% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Losira has a 0.48% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 11.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Super has a 0.45% chance to win ----going from 0.37% to 65.05% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Impact has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 4.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Trust has a 0.4% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 3.63% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. jjakji has a 0.39% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 5.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. First has a 0.37% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 10.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Armani has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 7.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 0.18% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 67.48% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. Stork has a 0.16% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.73% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.14% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 12.97% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.12% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.1% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.58% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
Have you ever thought about measuring how good these aligulac matchup predictions are? Of course they are probabilities, so you just can't say "it gave >50% to the guy who lost, so it was utterly wrong", but one could think about a way to test the compatibility of the model and the reality, right? The most rudimentary think would really be to see in what fraction of cases the guy with >50% wins, the next step then to make so bins in predicted probablities and see how the distributions for the results are compactible with expectations and the ultimat goal would be some Bayesian monstrosity with a proper p-value that I have absolutely no idea nor intention to think about. But you already have something like that, don't you?
On July 16 2015 07:01 opisska wrote: Have you ever thought about measuring how good these aligulac matchup predictions are? Of course they are probabilities, so you just can't say "it gave >50% to the guy who lost, so it was utterly wrong", but one could think about a way to test the compatibility of the model and the reality, right? The most rudimentary think would really be to see in what fraction of cases the guy with >50% wins, the next step then to make so bins in predicted probablities and see how the distributions for the results are compactible with expectations and the ultimat goal would be some Bayesian monstrosity with a proper p-value that I have absolutely no idea nor intention to think about. But you already have something like that, don't you?
No that sounds more like something Aligulac themselves would do. They talk a little bit about it here http://aligulac.com/about/faq/
On July 16 2015 07:01 opisska wrote: Have you ever thought about measuring how good these aligulac matchup predictions are? Of course they are probabilities, so you just can't say "it gave >50% to the guy who lost, so it was utterly wrong", but one could think about a way to test the compatibility of the model and the reality, right? The most rudimentary think would really be to see in what fraction of cases the guy with >50% wins, the next step then to make so bins in predicted probablities and see how the distributions for the results are compactible with expectations and the ultimat goal would be some Bayesian monstrosity with a proper p-value that I have absolutely no idea nor intention to think about. But you already have something like that, don't you?
No that sounds more like something Aligulac themselves would do. They talk a little bit about it here http://aligulac.com/about/faq/
Biggest Winners and Losers from SSL group selections (Sim ID #2341 vs Sim ID #2354) Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 1.86%, going from 63.01% to 64.86% HyuN went up by 0.33%, going from 27.13% to 27.46% Dark went up by 0.24%, going from 60.82% to 61.06% FanTaSy went up by 0.16%, going from 35.81% to 35.97% Dear went up by 0.11%, going from 17.41% to 17.52%
Biggest Losers Stats went down by 1.09%, going from 31.08% to 29.99% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.62%, going from 11.22% to 10.6% TY went down by 0.54%, going from 10.36% to 9.82% INnoVation went down by 0.38%, going from 84.07% to 83.69% Zest went down by 0.37%, going from 96.85% to 96.48% sOs went down by 0.33%, going from 46.77% to 46.45%
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 58.41% up to 58.57% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 11.01% up to 11.11% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.45% up to 0.46%
Bunny18.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 26.51% chance overall. Lilbow18.32% chance to be the only foreigner, 26.33% chance overall. Snute3.43% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.6% chance overall. MarineLorD1.89% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.01% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.64% chance overall. Happy0.75% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.19% chance overall. FireCake0.75% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.2% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
TLO0.5% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.83% chance overall. MaNa0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.61% chance overall. Harstem0.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.58% chance overall. Petraeus0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.4% chance overall. uThermal0.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall. Nerchio0.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.25% chance overall. Welmu0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.18% chance overall. Serral0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.17% chance overall. NaNiwa0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.15% chance overall. MajOr0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.14% chance overall. iaguz0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.12% chance overall. Zanster0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. Ret0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.09% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall. Kane0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. Jim0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. HuK0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. elfi0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. Sen0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. MaSa0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. Kelazhur0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. iAsonu0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. Has0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Bly0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Bails0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! soO is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
0.77% of the time 2625 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 11.12% of the time 2825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 29.35% of the time 2950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 52.37% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 71.23% of the time 3175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.23% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.91% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Maru, ByuL, Stats, and Zestin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Stats is at 29.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 50.75%, or 12.52% if they lose. ByuL is at 90.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.31%, or 82.48% if they lose. Zest is at 96.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.67%, or 93.66% if they lose.
Life, INnoVation, sOs, and herOin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. sOs has the #4 Headband. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. sOs is at 46.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 64.26%, or 29.7% if they lose. INnoVation is at 83.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 92.75%, or 72.27% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Rain, Dream, Dear, and MyuNgSiKin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. Rain has the #1 Headband. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dear is at 17.52% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 28.12%, or 7.78% if they lose. Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. MyuNgSiK is at 10.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.42%, or 5.09% if they lose.
HyuN, TY, Classic, and Roguein in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. TY must win this match! HyuN is at 27.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 41.34%, or 13.99% if they lose. Classic is at 99.95% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.82% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.87% if they lose. TY is at 9.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.6%, or 1.88% if they lose. Rogue is at 64.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 82.9%, or 47.19% if they lose.
INnoVation has a 10.56% chance to win ----going from 83.69% to 100% if they get 1st, or 81.77% if they don't. Rain has a 10.3% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 10.05% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 8.84% chance to win ----going from 99.95% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.94% if they don't. Dream has a 6.9% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Life has a 6.74% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 6.59% chance to win ----going from 96.48% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.23% if they don't. sOs has a 5.61% chance to win ----going from 46.45% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 43.26% if they don't. HyuN has a 5.37% chance to win ----going from 27.47% to 99.51% if they get 1st, or 23.38% if they don't. herO has a 4.97% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ByuL has a 4.69% chance to win ----going from 90.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 89.52% if they don't. Dear has a 4.68% chance to win ----going from 17.52% to 99.01% if they get 1st, or 13.52% if they don't. Stats has a 4.64% chance to win ----going from 29.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 26.58% if they don't. Rogue has a 4.3% chance to win ----going from 64.86% to 100% if they get 1st, or 63.28% if they don't. TY has a 4.02% chance to win ----going from 9.82% to 99.18% if they get 1st, or 6.08% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.74% chance to win ----going from 10.6% to 99.72% if they get 1st, or 9.03% if they don't.
SSL S3 Group of Death And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Group D Maru has a 10.05% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 ByuL has a 4.69% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Stats has a 4.64% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Zest has a 6.59% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 25.9668
Group C Life has a 6.74% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 INnoVation has a 10.56% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 sOs has a 5.61% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 herO has a 4.97% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 27.8832
Group B Rain has a 10.3% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Dream has a 6.9% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Dear has a 4.68% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 MyuNgSiK has a 1.74% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 23.6208
Group A HyuN has a 5.37% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 TY has a 4.02% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Classic has a 8.84% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Rogue has a 4.3% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 22.5292
Group D Maru has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon ByuL has a 90.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Stats has a 29.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Zest has a 96.48% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 316.473
Group C Life has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon INnoVation has a 83.69% chance to qualify for Blizzcon sOs has a 46.45% chance to qualify for Blizzcon herO has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 330.136
Group B Rain has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dream has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dear has a 17.52% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MyuNgSiK has a 10.6% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 228.128
Group A HyuN has a 27.47% chance to qualify for Blizzcon TY has a 9.82% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Classic has a 99.95% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Rogue has a 64.86% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 202.093
Group D Maru's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.04% Stats's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.09% Zest's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.37% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.41984
Group C Life's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% INnoVation's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.38% sOs's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.32% herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.699204
Group B Rain's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Dream's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Dear's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.11% MyuNgSiK's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.62% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.511313
Group A HyuN's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.34% TY's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.54% Classic's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Rogue's Blizzcon Chances changed by 1.85% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.65528
Group D When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.3% When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.53% When Stats wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 20.77% When Stats loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 17.46% When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.19% When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.82% Giving this match an Effects Score of 60.0686
Group C When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.06% When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 11.42% When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 17.81% When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.75% When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% Giving this match an Effects Score of 55.0382
Group B When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When Dream wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Dream loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.6% When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.75% When MyuNgSiK wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.82% When MyuNgSiK loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 5.52% Giving this match an Effects Score of 36.6752
Group A When HyuN wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 13.87% When HyuN loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 13.48% When TY wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.78% When TY loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.94% When Classic wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05% When Classic loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08% When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 18.04% When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 17.66% Giving this match an Effects Score of 81.9074
Group D Maru has an Aligulac rating of 2294 ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 2091 Stats has an Aligulac rating of 2071 Zest has an Aligulac rating of 2145 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8601
Group C Life has an Aligulac rating of 2196 INnoVation has an Aligulac rating of 2328 sOs has an Aligulac rating of 2134 herO has an Aligulac rating of 2131 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8789
Group B Rain has an Aligulac rating of 2341 Dream has an Aligulac rating of 2103 Dear has an Aligulac rating of 2068 MyuNgSiK has an Aligulac rating of 1888 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8400
Group A HyuN has an Aligulac rating of 2133 TY has an Aligulac rating of 2065 Classic has an Aligulac rating of 2229 Rogue has an Aligulac rating of 2065 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8492
Final Placings Group D has one 1st place, and four 2nd places Group C has three 1st places, one 2nd place, and one 3rd place Group B has three 3rd places, and two 4th places Group A has one 1st place, one 3rd place, and three 4th places
Group C is our Group of Death, congratulations to Life, INnoVation, sOs, and herO! Our 2nd place Group of Death is Group D with Maru, ByuL, Stats, and Zest.
DH Valencia Winning Chances FanTaSy has a 7.14% chance to win ----going from 35.14% to 78.88% if they get 1st, or 31.78% if they don't. HyuN has a 6.97% chance to win ----going from 28.04% to 57.95% if they get 1st, or 25.8% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 6.91% chance to win ----going from 3.47% to 8.25% if they get 1st, or 3.12% if they don't. GuMiho has a 6.72% chance to win ----going from 5.17% to 17.91% if they get 1st, or 4.25% if they don't. TRUE has a 5.82% chance to win ----going from 0.64% to 4.11% if they get 1st, or 0.42% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Bunny has a 5.62% chance to win ----going from 27.87% to 67.46% if they get 1st, or 25.51% if they don't. Sacsri has a 5.31% chance to win ----going from 0.36% to 1.37% if they get 1st, or 0.31% if they don't. TaeJa has a 5.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Curious has a 4.13% chance to win ----going from 2.06% to 7.08% if they get 1st, or 1.85% if they don't. PtitDrogo has a 4.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. San has a 3.85% chance to win ----going from 0.45% to 1.62% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't. MaNa has a 3.73% chance to win ----going from 0.6% to 2.83% if they get 1st, or 0.52% if they don't. Leenock has a 3.54% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.99% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Patience has a 3.48% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 1.47% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 2.94% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.5% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Verdi has a 2.93% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Terminator has a 2.48% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.61% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Harstem has a 2.36% chance to win ----going from 0.65% to 2.55% if they get 1st, or 0.61% if they don't. Zanster has a 2.15% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 0.81% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Symbol has a 2.05% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. HerO has a 1.99% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ryung has a 1.84% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Serral has a 1.77% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 1.02% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. TLO has a 1.27% chance to win ----going from 0.9% to 5.47% if they get 1st, or 0.84% if they don't. Ret has a 1.14% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.61% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Dayshi has a 1.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.98% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Arium has a 0.81% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Blysk has a 0.61% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Lambo has a 0.55% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Jona has a 0.53% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Mzrk has a 0.02% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
GuMiho vs Terminatorin in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. GuMiho is at 5.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.21% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.81%, or 2.97% if they lose. Terminator is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Blysk vs Patiencein in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. Blysk is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.21% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Patience is at 0.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.37%, or 0.16% if they lose.
MaNa vs FanTaSyin in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. MaNa is at 0.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.94%, or 0.32% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 35.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 44.07%, or 24.56% if they lose.
Ret vs PtitDrogoin in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. Ret is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.15%, or 0.06% if they lose. PtitDrogo is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Verdi vs Mzrkin in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. Verdi is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 80.65% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Mzrk is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 19.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
MarineLorD vs Lamboin in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. MarineLorD is at 3.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.09%, or 2.1% if they lose. Lambo is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.1% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Serral vs Bunnyin in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. Serral is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.28%, or 0.11% if they lose. Bunny is at 27.87% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 33.86%, or 19.37% if they lose.
Curious vs Dayshiin in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. Curious is at 2.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.56%, or 1.38% if they lose. Dayshi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
TRUE vs Jonain in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. TRUE is at 0.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.86%, or 0.16% if they lose. Jona is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Symbol vs Ariumin in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. Symbol is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0.01% if they lose. Arium is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Leenock vs HerOin in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. Leenock is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.14%, or 0.02% if they lose. HerO is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Ryung vs Sacsriin in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. Ryung is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.39% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Sacsri is at 0.36% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.61% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.49%, or 0.18% if they lose.
TaeJa vs Sanin in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. TaeJa is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. San is at 0.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.64%, or 0.29% if they lose.
MorroW vs Pigbabyin in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. MorroW is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Pigbaby is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0.03% if they lose.
HyuN vs Zansterin in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. HyuN is at 28.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 33.2%, or 20.79% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.19%, or 0.06% if they lose.
TLO vs Harstemin in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. TLO is at 0.9% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.21%, or 0.64% if they lose. Harstem is at 0.65% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.81%, or 0.45% if they lose.
Biggest Winners FanTaSy went up by 8.82%, going from 35.96% to 44.79% HyuN went up by 5.39%, going from 27.47% to 32.86% GuMiho went up by 1.21%, going from 5.12% to 6.33% MarineLorD went up by 0.94%, going from 3.02% to 3.95% Curious went up by 0.52%, going from 1.93% to 2.45% TRUE went up by 0.37%, going from 0.46% to 0.83% Harstem went up by 0.2%, going from 0.58% to 0.78% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Sacsri went up by 0.16%, going from 0.33% to 0.48% Bbyong went up by 0.14%, going from 4.82% to 4.96%
Biggest Losers Bunny went down by 7.96%, going from 26.51% to 18.55% Lilbow went down by 7.47%, going from 26.33% to 18.86% sOs went down by 0.32%, going from 46.45% to 46.13% MaNa went down by 0.3%, going from 0.61% to 0.31% TLO went down by 0.21%, going from 0.83% to 0.62% Stats went down by 0.21%, going from 29.99% to 29.78% Rogue went down by 0.19%, going from 64.86% to 64.67% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
San went down by 0.19%, going from 0.47% to 0.28% Dark went down by 0.17%, going from 61.06% to 60.89% Dear went down by 0.15%, going from 17.52% to 17.37% viOLet went down by 0.12%, going from 0.24% to 0.12% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.1%, going from 10.6% to 10.5%
Chances of 1+ Foreigners from 58.57% down to 48.49% Chances of 2+ Foreigners from 11.11% down to 6.65%
DH Valencia Winning Chances FanTaSy has a 13.01% chance to win ----going from 44.8% to 79.08% if they get 1st, or 39.68% if they don't. HyuN has a 11.91% chance to win ----going from 32.88% to 57.62% if they get 1st, or 29.54% if they don't. GuMiho has a 9.71% chance to win ----going from 6.32% to 17.74% if they get 1st, or 5.1% if they don't. Sacsri has a 9.09% chance to win ----going from 0.48% to 1.32% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't. TaeJa has a 9.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MarineLorD has a 8.68% chance to win ----going from 3.95% to 8.07% if they get 1st, or 3.56% if they don't. TRUE has a 8.41% chance to win ----going from 0.82% to 3.96% if they get 1st, or 0.53% if they don't. Curious has a 6.65% chance to win ----going from 2.47% to 6.99% if they get 1st, or 2.15% if they don't. Patience has a 4.65% chance to win ----going from 0.35% to 1.48% if they get 1st, or 0.29% if they don't. HerO has a 3.62% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Serral has a 3.48% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 0.9% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. Harstem has a 3.33% chance to win ----going from 0.78% to 2.4% if they get 1st, or 0.73% if they don't. Verdi has a 3.1% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Ret has a 2.19% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 0.64% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. MorroW has a 1.75% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Arium has a 1.38% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
GuMiho vs Patiencein in DreamHack Valencia round of 16. GuMiho is at 6.32% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.72% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.23%, or 3.82% if they lose. Patience is at 0.35% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.51%, or 0.22% if they lose.
Ret vs FanTaSyin in DreamHack Valencia round of 16. Ret is at 0.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.23%, or 0.09% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 44.8% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 50.97%, or 31.14% if they lose.
Verdi vs MarineLorDin in DreamHack Valencia round of 16. Verdi is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 3.95% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.1% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.8%, or 2.73% if they lose.
Curious vs Serralin in DreamHack Valencia round of 16. Curious is at 2.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.65% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.09%, or 1.74% if they lose. Serral is at 0.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.36%, or 0.17% if they lose.
TRUE vs Ariumin in DreamHack Valencia round of 16. TRUE is at 0.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.17%, or 0.27% if they lose. Arium is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
HerO vs Sacsriin in DreamHack Valencia round of 16. HerO is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.41% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Sacsri is at 0.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.59% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.63%, or 0.26% if they lose.
TaeJa vs MorroWin in DreamHack Valencia round of 16. TaeJa is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. MorroW is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
HyuN vs Harstemin in DreamHack Valencia round of 16. HyuN is at 32.88% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.82% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 38.87%, or 24.67% if they lose. Harstem is at 0.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.18% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.04%, or 0.59% if they lose.
On July 17 2015 03:33 Die4Ever wrote: Biggest Losers Bunny went down by 7.96%, going from 26.51% to 18.55% Lilbow went down by 7.47%, going from 26.33% to 18.86%
I made some improvements to branches, now you can click on links like player names and tournament names and stuff and it'll remember what branch you were looking at. Likewise it'll remember the fields sim_id, comp_sim_id, comp_days, and comp_hours. Clicking on the home link at the top of the page will clear all of the fields.
Today with Lilbow and Bunny getting knocked out of Dreamhack, the chances of 1+ foreigners making it to Blizzcon fell below 50%, from 58.41% after Code A down to 47.68% after DH Valencia Day 1.
With the power of branches we can see that if Snute wins IEM Shenzhen, then the chances of 1+ foreigners qualifying for Blizzcon go back up over 50%, to 51.55%. If MarineLord wins DH Valencia then it goes up to 50.81%.
Losira, SuperNova, Heart, and TYin in IEM Shenzhen round of 16. Losira is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0.04% if they lose. Heart is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. SuperNova is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. TY is at 9.58% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.2% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.47%, or 6.95% if they lose.
Rain, YongHwa, Snute, and Classicin in IEM Shenzhen round of 16. Rain has the #1 Headband. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Snute is at 5.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.41% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.77%, or 4.46% if they lose. YongHwa is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Classic is at 99.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.84% if they lose.
herO, Jim, uThermal, and Cyanin in IEM Shenzhen round of 16. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. uThermal is at 0.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.49%, or 0.21% if they lose. Jim is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.02% if they lose. Cyan is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 12.05% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
PartinG, XY, Kelazhur, and Bistorkin in IEM Shenzhen round of 16. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 90.65% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Kelazhur is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.02% if they lose. XY is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Bistork is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 12.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
PartinG has a 24.79% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 17.5% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 16.6% chance to win ----going from 99.94% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.93% if they don't. herO has a 13.64% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. TY has a 7.14% chance to win ----going from 9.58% to 22.83% if they get 1st, or 8.57% if they don't. Snute has a 5.93% chance to win ----going from 5.48% to 12.22% if they get 1st, or 5.06% if they don't. uThermal has a 4.19% chance to win ----going from 0.39% to 1.27% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't. Losira has a 2.25% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Jim has a 2.22% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.55% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Heart has a 1.91% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. SuperNova has a 1.65% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. YongHwa has a 1.14% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.76% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.35% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. XY has a 0.28% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Cyan has a 0.02% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
TY Branch #2394 -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 22.84% -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and his SSL ro16 group, then he goes up to 42.67% -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and makes top 16 in IEM Gamescom, he goes up to 41.45% -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 80.66% -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 2nd at DH Stockholm, he goes up to 55.34%
Snute Branch #2395 -If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 12.24% -If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and his WCS Challenger match, he goes up to 18.65% -If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and makes top 16 at IEM Gamesom, he goes up to 21.51% -If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and DH Stockholm, he goes up to 49.06% -If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 2nd at DH Stockholm, he goes up to 30.63%
Hack vs Dreamin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Hack is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.82% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.18% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Flash vs Impactin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Flash is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.47%, or 0.01% if they lose. Impact is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Zest has a 74.45% chance to win ----going from 96.15% to 97.59% if they get 1st, or 91.97% if they don't. herO has a 63.94% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Hurricane has a 59.25% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 57.37% chance to win ----going from 50.35% to 60.37% if they get 1st, or 36.87% if they don't. Dream has a 57.18% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
HyuN has a 53.47% chance to win ----going from 37.78% to 47.09% if they get 1st, or 27.09% if they don't. Impact has a 51.17% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Cure has a 50.55% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 50.19% chance to win ----going from 0.38% to 0.75% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. First has a 49.81% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sacsri has a 49.45% chance to win ----going from 0.24% to 0.49% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Flash has a 48.83% chance to win ----going from 0.23% to 0.47% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GuMiho has a 46.53% chance to win ----going from 3.66% to 7.11% if they get 1st, or 0.65% if they don't. Hack has a 42.82% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. San has a 42.63% chance to win ----going from 0.27% to 0.63% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Symbol has a 40.75% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Armani has a 36.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 25.55% chance to win ----going from 0.47% to 1.5% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't.
Solar, Bbyong, Curious, GuMiho, Sacsri, Flash, MMA, Bomber, San, and Patience must win this tournament! Rain has a 9.06% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 8.13% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 8.01% chance to win ----going from 17.64% to 99.16% if they get 1st, or 10.54% if they don't. INnoVation has a 7.5% chance to win ----going from 83.08% to 100% if they get 1st, or 81.71% if they don't. Maru has a 6.63% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Classic has a 6.37% chance to win ----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.93% if they don't. Dark has a 5.4% chance to win ----going from 59.75% to 100% if they get 1st, or 57.45% if they don't. Life has a 4.87% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. sOs has a 4.23% chance to win ----going from 45.33% to 100% if they get 1st, or 42.92% if they don't. Solar has a 3.84% chance to win ----going from 3.78% to 76.43% if they get 1st, or 0.88% if they don't. Zest has a 3.55% chance to win ----going from 96.15% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.01% if they don't. Bbyong has a 3.37% chance to win ----going from 4.88% to 94.38% if they get 1st, or 1.76% if they don't. Dear has a 3.14% chance to win ----going from 17.1% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 14.41% if they don't. ByuL has a 2.8% chance to win ----going from 89.26% to 100% if they get 1st, or 88.95% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.42% chance to win ----going from 63.59% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.69% if they don't. herO has a 2.41% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. HyuN has a 1.79% chance to win ----going from 37.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 36.65% if they don't. Dream has a 1.71% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 1.71% chance to win ----going from 50.35% to 100% if they get 1st, or 49.49% if they don't. Curious has a 1.34% chance to win ----going from 2.93% to 97.54% if they get 1st, or 1.64% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.2% chance to win ----going from 10.22% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 9.13% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.13% chance to win ----going from 3.66% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 2.55% if they don't. Sacsri has a 0.98% chance to win ----going from 0.24% to 21.49% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Trust has a 0.98% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 3.79% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Flash has a 0.88% chance to win ----going from 0.23% to 22.43% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MMA has a 0.77% chance to win ----going from 0.68% to 66.86% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. Cure has a 0.74% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 10.85% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.68% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 3.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 0.6% chance to win ----going from 0.38% to 50.13% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.59% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 10.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. San has a 0.55% chance to win ----going from 0.27% to 40.89% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Losira has a 0.49% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 11.39% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Impact has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 3.92% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. First has a 0.35% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 10.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 6.86% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Armani has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.88% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 0.18% chance to win ----going from 0.47% to 88.83% if they get 1st, or 0.31% if they don't. Stork has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.74% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.14% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 6.82% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.12% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.6% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.1% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
Biggest Winners FanTaSy went up by 16.63%, going from 35.96% to 52.59% HyuN went up by 13.85%, going from 27.47% to 41.32% Curious went up by 1.86%, going from 1.93% to 3.79% MarineLorD went up by 1.61%, going from 3.02% to 4.62% Snute went up by 1.54%, going from 5.6% to 7.14% TY went up by 1.11%, going from 9.82% to 10.93% TRUE went up by 0.67%, going from 0.46% to 1.13% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Patience went up by 0.36%, going from 0.26% to 0.62% Flash went up by 0.21%, going from 0.24% to 0.46%
Biggest Losers Bunny went down by 11.44%, going from 26.51% to 15.07% Lilbow went down by 9.24%, going from 26.33% to 17.09% Dark went down by 2.22%, going from 61.06% to 58.84% Rogue went down by 2.06%, going from 64.86% to 62.8% GuMiho went down by 1.64%, going from 5.12% to 3.49% Stats went down by 1.62%, going from 29.99% to 28.37% sOs went down by 1.54%, going from 46.45% to 44.9% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
ByuL went down by 1.4%, going from 90.01% to 88.6% INnoVation went down by 1.21%, going from 83.69% to 82.48% Zest went down by 0.7%, going from 96.48% to 95.78% soO went down by 0.65%, going from 18.07% to 17.42% Polt went down by 0.54%, going from 97.92% to 97.38% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.47%, going from 10.6% to 10.13% ForGG went down by 0.41%, going from 11.98% to 11.58% MaNa went down by 0.35%, going from 0.61% to 0.26% Dear went down by 0.33%, going from 17.52% to 17.19% TLO went down by 0.23%, going from 0.83% to 0.6% San went down by 0.23%, going from 0.47% to 0.24% Solar went down by 0.18%, going from 3.91% to 3.72% StarDust went down by 0.13%, going from 2.21% to 2.08% viOLet went down by 0.13%, going from 0.24% to 0.11% Jaedong went down by 0.1%, going from 5.39% to 5.29% Sacsri went down by 0.1%, going from 0.33% to 0.22%
FanTaSy vs Patiencein in DreamHack Valencia quarterfinals. FanTaSy is at 52.58% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 61.69%, or 40.93% if they lose. Patience is at 0.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.9%, or 0.4% if they lose.
MarineLorD vs Curiousin in DreamHack Valencia quarterfinals. MarineLorD is at 4.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.59%, or 3.58% if they lose. Curious is at 3.79% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.83%, or 2.83% if they lose.
HerO vs TRUEin in DreamHack Valencia quarterfinals. HerO is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. TRUE is at 1.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.65%, or 0.5% if they lose.
TaeJa vs HyuNin in DreamHack Valencia quarterfinals. TaeJa is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. HyuN is at 41.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 46.94%, or 32.83% if they lose.
HyuN has a 18.88% chance to win ----going from 41.33% to 60.28% if they get 1st, or 36.93% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 18.19% chance to win ----going from 52.58% to 79.64% if they get 1st, or 46.56% if they don't. TRUE has a 12.18% chance to win ----going from 1.13% to 3.88% if they get 1st, or 0.75% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 11.77% chance to win ----going from 4.63% to 8.12% if they get 1st, or 4.16% if they don't. Curious has a 11.4% chance to win ----going from 3.79% to 8.16% if they get 1st, or 3.23% if they don't. TaeJa has a 10.31% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 9.37% chance to win ----going from 0.62% to 1.79% if they get 1st, or 0.5% if they don't. HerO has a 7.91% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
Biggest Winners HyuN went up by 20.54%, going from 27.47% to 48.01% FanTaSy went up by 4.46%, going from 35.96% to 40.42% Curious went up by 3.01%, going from 1.93% to 4.93% Snute went up by 1.64%, going from 5.6% to 7.23% TRUE went up by 1.24%, going from 0.46% to 1.71% TY went up by 1.24%, going from 9.82% to 11.06% MarineLorD went up by 0.62%, going from 3.02% to 3.63% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Patience went up by 0.6%, going from 0.26% to 0.85% Flash went up by 0.21%, going from 0.24% to 0.46%
Biggest Losers Bunny went down by 11.19%, going from 26.51% to 15.31% Lilbow went down by 9.06%, going from 26.33% to 17.28% Dark went down by 1.76%, going from 61.06% to 59.3% Rogue went down by 1.62%, going from 64.86% to 63.23% GuMiho went down by 1.57%, going from 5.12% to 3.56% Stats went down by 1.2%, going from 29.99% to 28.79% sOs went down by 1.13%, going from 46.45% to 45.32% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
ByuL went down by 0.99%, going from 90.01% to 89.01% INnoVation went down by 0.94%, going from 83.69% to 82.76% Zest went down by 0.52%, going from 96.48% to 95.96% soO went down by 0.44%, going from 18.07% to 17.64% MaNa went down by 0.35%, going from 0.61% to 0.26% Polt went down by 0.35%, going from 97.92% to 97.57% ForGG went down by 0.29%, going from 11.98% to 11.69% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.29%, going from 10.6% to 10.32% TLO went down by 0.22%, going from 0.83% to 0.61% San went down by 0.22%, going from 0.47% to 0.25% Dear went down by 0.21%, going from 17.52% to 17.32% viOLet went down by 0.13%, going from 0.24% to 0.11% Solar went down by 0.13%, going from 3.91% to 3.78% StarDust went down by 0.12%, going from 2.21% to 2.09% Sacsri went down by 0.1%, going from 0.33% to 0.22%
Curious vs Patiencein in DreamHack Valencia semifinals. Curious is at 4.93% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.16%, or 3.57% if they lose. Patience is at 0.85% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.22% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.18%, or 0.56% if they lose.
TRUE vs HyuNin in DreamHack Valencia semifinals. TRUE is at 1.71% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.84%, or 0.81% if they lose. HyuN is at 48.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 54.99%, or 39.22% if they lose.
HyuN has a 32.96% chance to win ----going from 48.01% to 61.08% if they get 1st, or 41.58% if they don't. Curious has a 23.51% chance to win ----going from 4.93% to 8.22% if they get 1st, or 3.92% if they don't. TRUE has a 23.32% chance to win ----going from 1.71% to 4.03% if they get 1st, or 1.01% if they don't. Patience has a 20.22% chance to win ----going from 0.85% to 1.71% if they get 1st, or 0.64% if they don't.
Branch #2430 -If Curious wins DH Valencia, then he goes up to 8.22% -If Curious wins DH Valencia and gets 16th place in GSL, he goes down to 3.69% -If Curious wins DH Valencia and DH Stockholm, he goes up to 41.52%
Branch #2429 -If TRUE wins DH Valencia, then he goes up to 4.03% -If TRUE wins DH Valencia and ASUS ROG Summer, he goes up to 22.93% -If TRUE wins DH Valencia and DH Stockholm, he goes up to 38.16%
Branch #2426 -If Hyun wins DH Valencia, then he goes up to 61.08% -If Hyun wins DH Valencia and his Code A match, he goes up to 70.99% -If Hyun wins DH Valencia and ASUS ROG Summer, he goes up to 94.51%
Biggest Winners HyuN went up by 11.76%, going from 27.47% to 39.23% FanTaSy went up by 5.06%, going from 35.96% to 41.02% Curious went up by 4.42%, going from 1.93% to 6.35% TRUE went up by 2.25%, going from 0.46% to 2.71% Snute went up by 1.7%, going from 5.6% to 7.29% TY went up by 1.49%, going from 9.82% to 11.31% MarineLorD went up by 0.66%, going from 3.02% to 3.68% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Patience went up by 0.33%, going from 0.26% to 0.59% Flash went up by 0.22%, going from 0.24% to 0.47%
Biggest Losers Bunny went down by 10.94%, going from 26.51% to 15.57% Lilbow went down by 8.72%, going from 26.33% to 17.61% GuMiho went down by 1.53%, going from 5.12% to 3.6% Dark went down by 1.08%, going from 61.06% to 59.98% Rogue went down by 0.82%, going from 64.86% to 64.04% sOs went down by 0.68%, going from 46.45% to 45.76% Stats went down by 0.68%, going from 29.99% to 29.31% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
ByuL went down by 0.57%, going from 90.01% to 89.43% INnoVation went down by 0.56%, going from 83.69% to 83.13% MaNa went down by 0.33%, going from 0.61% to 0.28% Zest went down by 0.3%, going from 96.48% to 96.18% San went down by 0.21%, going from 0.47% to 0.25% TLO went down by 0.21%, going from 0.83% to 0.62% ForGG went down by 0.17%, going from 11.98% to 11.81% soO went down by 0.17%, going from 18.07% to 17.9% Polt went down by 0.16%, going from 97.92% to 97.76% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.16%, going from 10.6% to 10.45% viOLet went down by 0.13%, going from 0.24% to 0.11%
Curious vs TRUEin in DreamHack Valencia finals. Curious is at 6.35% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.2%, or 4.58% if they lose. TRUE is at 2.71% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.22% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.92%, or 1.44% if they lose.
Branch #2454 -If Curious wins, then he goes up to 8.2% -If Curious wins this and DH Stockholm, he goes up to 43.52% -If Curious wins this and gets 4th place in GSL, he goes up to 24.81%
Branch #2453 -If TRUE wins, then he goes up to 3.92% -If TRUE wins this and DH Stockholm, he goes up to 36.84% -If TRUE wins this and gets 2nd place in DH Stockholm, he goes up to 18.28%
Also including DreamHack and Code A in the same time period. Biggest Winners Curious went up by 5.29%, going from 2.93% to 8.22% Snute went up by 1.83%, going from 5.47% to 7.3% TY went up by 1.67%, going from 9.58% to 11.26% HyuN went up by 1.41%, going from 37.78% to 39.19% Dear went up by 0.44%, going from 17.1% to 17.53% sOs went up by 0.42%, going from 45.33% to 45.75% TRUE went up by 0.38%, going from 1.1% to 1.48% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Rogue went up by 0.36%, going from 63.59% to 63.96% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.25%, going from 10.22% to 10.47% Flash went up by 0.24%, going from 0.23% to 0.47% Dark went up by 0.21%, going from 59.75% to 59.97% ByuL went up by 0.18%, going from 89.26% to 89.44% soO went up by 0.16%, going from 17.64% to 17.8% Stats went up by 0.15%, going from 29.07% to 29.22% Patience went up by 0.12%, going from 0.47% to 0.59% Polt went up by 0.11%, going from 97.67% to 97.77%
Biggest Losers FanTaSy went down by 9.35%, going from 50.35% to 40.99% Bunny went down by 2.52%, going from 18.06% to 15.54% Lilbow went down by 0.85%, going from 18.4% to 17.54% MarineLorD went down by 0.82%, going from 4.53% to 3.7%
herO, Jim, uThermal, and Cyanin in IEM Shenzhen round of 16. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. uThermal is at 0.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.48%, or 0.2% if they lose. Jim is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.02% if they lose. Cyan is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 12.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Bistork, Kelazhur, XY, and PartinGin in IEM Shenzhen round of 16. Bistork is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 12.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. XY is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Kelazhur is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0.02% if they lose. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 90.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Classic has a 26.48% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. PartinG has a 23.18% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 13.04% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Snute has a 12.9% chance to win ----going from 7.3% to 13.33% if they get 1st, or 6.41% if they don't. TY has a 12.71% chance to win ----going from 11.26% to 22.21% if they get 1st, or 9.66% if they don't. Losira has a 4.73% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.39% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. uThermal has a 3.99% chance to win ----going from 0.38% to 1.28% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't. Jim has a 1.87% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.57% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.83% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.34% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. XY has a 0.25% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Cyan has a 0.01% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Branch #2460 -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 22.21% -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 16th place in SSL, he goes down to 8.2% -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 4th place in SSL, he goes up to 47.97% -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 80.74%
Branch #2461 -If TY gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen, then he goes down to 8.13% -If TY gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 34.3% -If TY gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and 8th place in SSL, he goes down to 3.6%
Branch #2462 -If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 13.33% -If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and WCS Challenger, he goes up to 20.01% -If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and wins Gfinity Summer 1, he goes up to 18.58% -If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 4th place in WCS, he goes up to 39.92% -If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 8th place in WCS, he goes up to 15.94%
Branch #2463 -If Snute gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen, then he goes down to 5.73% -If Snute gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and wins in WCS Challenger, he goes up to 9.02% -If Snute gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 20.31%
Branch #2464 -If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 8.4% -If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and wins in WCS Challenger, he goes up to 12.99% -If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and wins Gfinity Summer 1, he goes up to 11.53% -If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and 16th place in WCS, he goes down to 2.72% -If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and 4th place in WCS, he goes up to 18.48%
Biggest Winners Curious went up by 6.96%, going from 3.79% to 10.75% Rogue went up by 1.6%, going from 62.79% to 64.4% Dark went up by 1.28%, going from 58.79% to 60.08% ByuL went up by 0.98%, going from 88.62% to 89.6% Stats went up by 0.98%, going from 28.4% to 29.38% sOs went up by 0.92%, going from 44.92% to 45.84% INnoVation went up by 0.67%, going from 82.49% to 83.16% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Bunny went up by 0.62%, going from 15.05% to 15.68% Lilbow went up by 0.59%, going from 17.1% to 17.69% Zest went up by 0.46%, going from 95.76% to 96.22% Polt went up by 0.44%, going from 97.39% to 97.83% TRUE went up by 0.44%, going from 1.13% to 1.56% Dear went up by 0.41%, going from 17.16% to 17.57% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.38%, going from 10.14% to 10.53% soO went up by 0.3%, going from 17.43% to 17.73% ForGG went up by 0.28%, going from 11.57% to 11.85% GuMiho went up by 0.21%, going from 3.49% to 3.7% TY went up by 0.18%, going from 10.94% to 11.12% Jaedong went up by 0.16%, going from 5.29% to 5.45% Flash went up by 0.15%, going from 0.46% to 0.6% Snute went up by 0.12%, going from 7.14% to 7.25% Solar went up by 0.1%, going from 3.73% to 3.83% StarDust went up by 0.1%, going from 2.07% to 2.17%
Biggest Losers FanTaSy went down by 12.56%, going from 52.59% to 40.03% HyuN went down by 4.99%, going from 41.33% to 36.33% MarineLorD went down by 1.37%, going from 4.63% to 3.25%
herO vs XYin in IEM Shenzhen quarterfinals. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 85.64% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. XY is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 14.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Losira vs Classicin in IEM Shenzhen quarterfinals. Losira is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.07% if they lose. Classic is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 72.31% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.97% if they lose.
uThermal vs PartinGin in IEM Shenzhen quarterfinals. uThermal is at 0.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.6%, or 0.3% if they lose. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
TY vs Snutein in IEM Shenzhen quarterfinals. TY is at 11.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.64%, or 8.3% if they lose. Snute is at 7.25% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.21% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.9%, or 5.78% if they lose.
PartinG has a 25.79% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 24.77% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. herO has a 20.57% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Snute has a 11.29% chance to win ----going from 7.25% to 13.46% if they get 1st, or 6.46% if they don't. TY has a 10.29% chance to win ----going from 11.12% to 22.52% if they get 1st, or 9.81% if they don't. Losira has a 3.73% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.39% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. uThermal has a 3.29% chance to win ----going from 0.39% to 1.24% if they get 1st, or 0.36% if they don't. XY has a 0.27% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Branch #2481 -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 22.52% -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 16th place in SSL, he goes down to 8.29% -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 4th place in SSL, he goes up to 48.04% -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 80.75% -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 55.31%
Branch #2482 -If TY gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen, then he goes down to 8.3% -If TY gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 35.09% -If TY gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and 8th place in SSL, he goes down to 3.63% -If TY gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and 2nd place in SSL, he goes up to 36.76%
Branch #2483 -If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 13.46% -If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and WCS Challenger, he goes up to 20.19% -If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and wins Gfinity Summer 1, he goes up to 18.54% -If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 4th place in WCS, he goes up to 40.48% -If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 8th place in WCS, he goes up to 15.87% -If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 2nd place in WCS, he goes up to 85.53%
Branch #2484 -If Snute gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen, then he goes down to 5.78% -If Snute gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and wins in WCS Challenger, he goes up to 9.1% -If Snute gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 20.29% -If Snute gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and gets 2nd place in WCS, he goes up to 25.46% -If Snute gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and wins WCS, he goes up to 98.89%
Branch #2485 -If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 8.48% -If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and wins in WCS Challenger, he goes up to 13.12% -If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and wins Gfinity Summer 1, he goes up to 11.43% -If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and 16th place in WCS, he goes down to 2.8% -If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and 4th place in WCS, he goes up to 18.42% -If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and 2nd place in WCS, he goes up to 54.42% -If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and wins WCS, he goes up to 99.97%
Branch #2486 (If Snute loses to the eventual champion before the finals) -If Snute blessing, PartinG has a 48.63% chance to win IEM Shenzhen -If Snute blessing, TY has a 44.15% chance to win IEM Shenzhen -If Snute blessing, uThermal has a 7.22% chance to win IEM Shenzhen -If Snute blessing, then Snute goes down to 6.41% -If Snute blessing and Snute wins WCS Challenger, he goes up to 10.05% -If Snute blessing and Snute gets 2nd place in WCS, he goes up to 32.12%
Biggest Winners TY went up by 3.34%, going from 11.12% to 14.46%
Biggest Losers Snute went down by 1.79%, going from 7.25% to 5.47% Rogue went down by 0.61%, going from 64.4% to 63.78% HyuN went down by 0.34%, going from 36.33% to 35.99% uThermal went down by 0.11%, going from 0.39% to 0.28%
Classic vs herOin in IEM Shenzhen semifinals. Classic is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.1% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.99% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
PartinG vs TYin in IEM Shenzhen semifinals. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.53% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. TY is at 14.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.99%, or 11.87% if they lose.
IEM Shenzhen Winning Chances PartinG has a 35.8% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 30.27% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. herO has a 18.3% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. TY has a 15.63% chance to win ----going from 14.46% to 24.43% if they get 1st, or 12.62% if they don't.
Branch #2492 -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 24.43% -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 4th place in SSL, he goes up to 49.48% -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 8th place in SSL, he goes up to 20.11% -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 82.45% -If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 57.7%
Branch #2493 -If TY gets 2nd place at IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 14.88% -If TY gets 2nd place at IEM Shenzhen and gets 4th place at SSL, he goes up to 23.36% -If TY gets 2nd place at IEM Shenzhen and gets 8th place at SSL, he goes down to 9.77% -If TY gets 2nd place at IEM Shenzhen and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 58.29%
Biggest Winners and Losers during DreamHack and IEM (Sim ID #2354 vs Sim ID #2507) Biggest Winners Curious went up by 8.85%, going from 1.93% to 10.78% HyuN went up by 8.67%, going from 27.47% to 36.14% FanTaSy went up by 4.33%, going from 35.96% to 40.29% TY went up by 1.63%, going from 9.82% to 11.45% TRUE went up by 1.12%, going from 0.46% to 1.59% Flash went up by 0.36%, going from 0.24% to 0.6% Patience went up by 0.32%, going from 0.26% to 0.58% MarineLorD went up by 0.26%, going from 3.02% to 3.28%
Biggest Losers Bunny went down by 10.74%, going from 26.51% to 15.77% Lilbow went down by 8.52%, going from 26.33% to 17.81% GuMiho went down by 1.44%, going from 5.12% to 3.68% Rogue went down by 0.69%, going from 64.86% to 64.16% Dark went down by 0.64%, going from 61.06% to 60.42% INnoVation went down by 0.46%, going from 83.69% to 83.23% sOs went down by 0.44%, going from 46.45% to 46.01% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Stats went down by 0.4%, going from 29.99% to 29.59% MaNa went down by 0.33%, going from 0.61% to 0.29% soO went down by 0.33%, going from 18.07% to 17.75% San went down by 0.21%, going from 0.47% to 0.26% TLO went down by 0.2%, going from 0.83% to 0.63% ByuL went down by 0.14%, going from 90.01% to 89.86% viOLet went down by 0.12%, going from 0.24% to 0.12% uThermal went down by 0.12%, going from 0.41% to 0.28% ForGG went down by 0.12%, going from 11.98% to 11.86% Zest went down by 0.12%, going from 96.48% to 96.36%
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 58.57% down to 44.71% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 11.11% down to 5.45% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.46% down to 0.14%
Lilbow14.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 17.81% chance overall. Bunny12.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 15.77% chance overall. Snute4.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.5% chance overall. MarineLorD2.52% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.28% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.64% chance overall. FireCake0.93% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.22% chance overall. Happy0.91% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.18% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
TLO0.47% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.63% chance overall. Harstem0.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.6% chance overall. Petraeus0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.43% chance overall. MaNa0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.29% chance overall. uThermal0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.28% chance overall. Nerchio0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.25% chance overall. Serral0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.18% chance overall. Welmu0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.17% chance overall. NaNiwa0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.15% chance overall. MajOr0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.13% chance overall. Ret0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.12% chance overall. iaguz0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall. Kane0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall. Sen0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. elfi0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. MaSa0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. Zanster0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. iAsonu0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. Jim0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. HuK0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Kelazhur0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Has0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Bly0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Bails0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! soO is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
1.18% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 10.29% of the time 2825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 28.39% of the time 2950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 51.91% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 71.21% of the time 3175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.28% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.86% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Final Seed Stats I also added the sections for Final Seed Stats and Final Match Stats, to show the chances of seeds for Blizzcon and the first round matches at Blizzcon. Here are the most likely players for each seed, you can see more likely seeds on the website. + Show Spoiler [Final Seed Stats] +
herO has a 33.25% chance to be the #1 seed. herO has a 31.46% chance to be the #2 seed. herO has a 21.58% chance to be the #3 seed. PartinG has a 22.71% chance to be the #4 seed. PartinG has a 20.99% chance to be the #5 seed. Rain has a 16.16% chance to be the #6 seed. Dream has a 18.64% chance to be the #7 seed. Dream has a 22.94% chance to be the #8 seed. Dream has a 18.91% chance to be the #9 seed. Zest has a 12.62% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 14.36% chance to be the #11 seed. Polt has a 15.14% chance to be the #12 seed. Polt has a 14.21% chance to be the #13 seed. Polt has a 11.66% chance to be the #14 seed. ByuL has a 9.59% chance to be the #15 seed. Dark has a 9.91% chance to be the #16 seed.
PartinG vs Polt has a 12.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Classic has a 11.48% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Zest has a 10.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs ByuL has a 10.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Polt has a 10.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Hydra has a 10.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Hydra vs Zest has a 10.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs ByuL has a 10.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Maru has a 10.55% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Zest has a 10.48% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Next up is more Code A, WCS Challenger, and then SSL begins the very important round of 16 (very thick red bars around all 4 of those upcoming matches). + Show Spoiler [Code A Matches] +
Bomber vs Firstin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Bomber is at 0.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.75%, or 0.01% if they lose. First is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Symbol vs Hurricanein in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Symbol is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. Hurricane is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.48% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Cure vs Sacsriin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Cure is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.01% if they lose. Sacsri is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.47%, or 0.01% if they lose.
San vs FanTaSyin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. San is at 0.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.62%, or 0.01% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 40.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 50.55%, or 25.6% if they lose.
Patience vs Zestin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Patience must win this match! Patience is at 0.58% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.68% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.86%, or 0.11% if they lose. Zest is at 96.36% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 97.77%, or 92.47% if they lose.
Armani vs herOin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Armani is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.93% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
HyuN vs GuMihoin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. GuMiho must win this match! HyuN is at 36.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 45.77%, or 25.34% if they lose. GuMiho is at 3.68% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.06%, or 0.67% if they lose.
Oops, I didn't load in the new schedule from Liquipedia in this update. I will post these again with the schedule when we get closer to the first day.
Polt vs JonSnowin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Polt is at 97.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.02%, or 94.56% if they lose. JonSnow is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Jaedong vs Semperin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Jaedong must win this match! Jaedong is at 5.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.45% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.05%, or 0.09% if they lose. Semper is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
StarDust vs neebin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. StarDust must win this match! StarDust is at 2.2% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.09%, or 0.04% if they lose. neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
qxc vs viOLetin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. qxc is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. viOLet is at 0.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.49% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MaSa vs Bailsin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. MaSa is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.31% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0.01% if they lose. Bails is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose.
Xenocider vs Hitmanin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Xenocider is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.72% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Kane vs HuKin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Kane is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.01% if they lose. HuK is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose.
SortOf vs Lilbowin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Lilbow must win this match! SortOf is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Lilbow is at 17.81% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.32%, or 3.73% if they lose.
Bunny vs Starbuckin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Bunny must win this match! Bunny is at 15.77% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.94% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.23%, or 4.12% if they lose. Starbuck is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Bly vs TLOin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. TLO must win this match! Bly is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose. TLO is at 0.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.22%, or 0.02% if they lose.
MarineLorD vs DmCin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. MarineLorD must win this match! MarineLorD is at 3.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.77%, or 0.05% if they lose. DmC is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
FireCake vs Zansterin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. FireCake must win this match! FireCake is at 1.22% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.4%, or 0.02% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0.01% if they lose.
DnS vs GunGFuBanDain in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. DnS is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.49% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.01% if they lose.
ForGG vs Dayshiin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. ForGG must win this match! ForGG is at 11.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 14.4%, or 0.67% if they lose. Dayshi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 18.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Nerchio vs Harstemin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Harstem must win this match! Nerchio is at 0.25% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.46%, or 0.01% if they lose. Harstem is at 0.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.29%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Ret vs HeRoMaRinEin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Ret is at 0.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.53% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.3%, or 0.01% if they lose. HeRoMaRinE is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose.
uThermal vs elfiin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. uThermal is at 0.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.54%, or 0.01% if they lose. elfi is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.62% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.13%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Welmu vs Elazerin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Welmu is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.32%, or 0.01% if they lose. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Snute vs Serralin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Snute must win this match! Snute is at 5.5% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.69%, or 0.24% if they lose. Serral is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.46%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MaNa vs Happyin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Happy must win this match! MaNa is at 0.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.63%, or 0.01% if they lose. Happy is at 1.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.16%, or 0.01% if they lose.
NaNiwa vs ShoWTimEin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. ShoWTimE must win this match! NaNiwa is at 0.15% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.3%, or 0.01% if they lose. ShoWTimE is at 1.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.16%, or 0.04% if they lose.
These matches are very important for Stats, sOs, INnoVation, MyuNgSiK, Dear, HyuN, TY, and Rogue.
Zest, Stats, ByuL, and Maruin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. Zest is at 96.36% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.66%, or 93.44% if they lose. ByuL is at 89.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.53% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.3%, or 82.2% if they lose. Stats is at 29.59% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 50.25%, or 12.22% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Life, INnoVation, sOs, and herOin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. sOs has the #4 Headband. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. sOs is at 46.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 63.99%, or 29.51% if they lose. INnoVation is at 83.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 92.53%, or 71.61% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.59% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
MyuNgSiK, Dear, Dream, and Rainin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. Rain has the #1 Headband. MyuNgSiK is at 10.57% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.15%, or 5.03% if they lose. Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dear is at 17.56% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 27.87%, or 7.7% if they lose. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
HyuN, TY, Classic, and Roguein in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. TY must win this match! HyuN is at 36.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 52.63%, or 19.81% if they lose. Classic is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. TY is at 11.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.75%, or 2.17% if they lose. Rogue is at 64.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 82.78%, or 46.36% if they lose.
INnoVation has a 10.65% chance to win ----going from 83.23% to 100% if they get 1st, or 81.24% if they don't. Maru has a 10.21% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 9.15% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Rain has a 8.68% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 7.15% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dream has a 6.73% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 6.52% chance to win ----going from 96.36% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.1% if they don't. HyuN has a 5.71% chance to win ----going from 36.14% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 32.27% if they don't. sOs has a 5.54% chance to win ----going from 46.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 42.84% if they don't. herO has a 5.17% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ByuL has a 4.78% chance to win ----going from 89.86% to 100% if they get 1st, or 89.35% if they don't. Dear has a 4.72% chance to win ----going from 17.56% to 99.02% if they get 1st, or 13.53% if they don't. Stats has a 4.61% chance to win ----going from 29.59% to 100% if they get 1st, or 26.19% if they don't. Rogue has a 4.35% chance to win ----going from 64.16% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.53% if they don't. TY has a 4.28% chance to win ----going from 11.45% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 7.5% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.75% chance to win ----going from 10.57% to 99.7% if they get 1st, or 8.98% if they don't.
Just wanted to say how much I love the site and appreciate what you've done. The final spot grabbing isn't as exciting as 2013 but will be interesting, I hope Jaedong pulls off a miracle but I doubt it so instead I have some hopes that Hyun will make it his Roach style is different and refreshing
I just added placement tables to the tournament pages and player pages. These show the Blizzcon Chances if a player gets a certain placement in a tournament.
On July 20 2015 06:27 Ovid wrote: Just wanted to say how much I love the site and appreciate what you've done. The final spot grabbing isn't as exciting as 2013 but will be interesting, I hope Jaedong pulls off a miracle but I doubt it so instead I have some hopes that Hyun will make it his Roach style is different and refreshing
Thanks It's hard to beat 2013 considering a foreigner tied a korean only because of last minute replacements at the last tournament of the year lol.
On July 20 2015 18:03 Hatchet_man wrote: Classic currently has 99.99% chances for Blizzcon, while his AFK chances are on 100%.
So basically Predictor says that Classic is so bad, that it's better not to touch keyboard at all once he climbed so high
Lol. It's because he has a very low chance to go AFK, so the accuracy on that is lower, and he has a very low chance of not making it so combined with the smaller sample size of him going AFK means it missed that.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gfinity Summer 1 No Longer Giving Points! Tuesday, Jun 30 10:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2563)
Biggest Winners and Losers from Gfinity Summer 1 not giving WCS Points (Sim ID #2556 vs Sim ID #2563) Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 1.09%, going from 64.01% to 65.1% Dark went up by 1.04%, going from 60.18% to 61.23% FanTaSy went up by 0.91%, going from 40.06% to 40.97% sOs went up by 0.78%, going from 45.84% to 46.62% ByuL went up by 0.69%, going from 89.79% to 90.48% Stats went up by 0.69%, going from 29.51% to 30.19% INnoVation went up by 0.51%, going from 83.29% to 83.8% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Bunny went up by 0.42%, going from 15.62% to 16.04% Lilbow went up by 0.36%, going from 17.73% to 18.09% Zest went up by 0.31%, going from 96.31% to 96.63% Dear went up by 0.3%, going from 18.18% to 18.49% Curious went up by 0.3%, going from 11.31% to 11.62% soO went up by 0.28%, going from 18.11% to 18.39% TY went up by 0.26%, going from 11.37% to 11.63% Polt went up by 0.24%, going from 97.92% to 98.16% ForGG went up by 0.16%, going from 11.75% to 11.91%
Biggest Losers HyuN went down by 5.92%, going from 35.93% to 30.01% MyuNgSiK went down by 1.98%, going from 10.17% to 8.19% Snute went down by 0.71%, going from 5.47% to 4.76% TRUE went down by 0.58%, going from 1.55% to 0.97% Patience went down by 0.13%, going from 0.57% to 0.44%
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 45.05% up to 45.49% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 5.54% up to 5.62% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.15% down to 0.15%
Top Foreigner Hopes Lilbow14.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 18.09% chance overall. Bunny12.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 16.04% chance overall. Snute3.63% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.76% chance overall. MarineLorD2.55% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.31% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.69% chance overall. Petraeus0.99% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.28% chance overall. FireCake0.95% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.25% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Happy0.93% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.21% chance overall. TLO0.48% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.64% chance overall. Harstem0.47% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.62% chance overall. MaNa0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.3% chance overall. uThermal0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.3% chance overall. Nerchio0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.26% chance overall. Serral0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.18% chance overall. Welmu0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.18% chance overall. NaNiwa0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.15% chance overall. MajOr0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.14% chance overall. Ret0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.13% chance overall. iaguz0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.09% chance overall. Kane0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall. Sen0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. elfi0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. Zanster0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. MaSa0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. iAsonu0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. Jim0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. HuK0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Kelazhur0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Has0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Bly0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Bails0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! soO is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
0.81% of the time 2625 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.23% of the time 2800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 31.58% of the time 2950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 50.07% of the time 3050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 68.46% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 90.55% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.05% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
herO has a 34.4% chance to be the #1 seed. herO has a 31.97% chance to be the #2 seed. Life has a 21.42% chance to be the #3 seed. PartinG has a 21.76% chance to be the #4 seed. PartinG has a 23.11% chance to be the #5 seed. Rain has a 15.74% chance to be the #6 seed. Dream has a 18.54% chance to be the #7 seed. Dream has a 23.01% chance to be the #8 seed. Dream has a 18.93% chance to be the #9 seed. Zest has a 12.78% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 14.58% chance to be the #11 seed. Polt has a 15.35% chance to be the #12 seed. Polt has a 14.35% chance to be the #13 seed. Polt has a 11.61% chance to be the #14 seed. Rogue has a 9.79% chance to be the #15 seed. Dark has a 10.14% chance to be the #16 seed.
PartinG vs Polt has a 12.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Classic has a 11.37% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs ByuL has a 11.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Zest has a 10.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Hydra has a 10.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs ByuL has a 10.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Hydra vs Zest has a 10.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Polt has a 10.55% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Maru has a 10.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs ByuL has a 10.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Bomber vs Firstin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Bomber is at 0.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.77%, or 0.01% if they lose. First is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Symbol vs Hurricanein in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Symbol is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. Hurricane is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.11%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Sacsri vs Curein in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Sacsri is at 0.24% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.48%, or 0.01% if they lose. Cure is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0.01% if they lose.
FanTaSy vs Sanin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. FanTaSy is at 40.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 51.28%, or 26.21% if they lose. San is at 0.27% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.64%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Patience vs Zestin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Patience must win this match! Patience is at 0.44% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.48%, or 0.06% if they lose. Zest is at 96.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 97.95%, or 92.98% if they lose.
herO vs Armaniin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Armani is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.94% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.
GuMiho vs HyuNin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. GuMiho must win this match! GuMiho is at 3.74% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.18% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.16%, or 0.68% if they lose. HyuN is at 30.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.82% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 38.94%, or 20.01% if they lose.
Bails vs MaSain in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Bails is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. MaSa is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.31% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.11%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Jaedong vs Semperin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Jaedong must win this match! Jaedong is at 5.52% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.13%, or 0.09% if they lose. Semper is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
StarDust vs neebin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. StarDust must win this match! StarDust is at 2.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.35%, or 0.05% if they lose. neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG has a 81.53% chance to win ----going from 11.91% to 14.45% if they get 1st, or 0.69% if they don't. Polt has a 75.2% chance to win ----going from 98.16% to 99.14% if they get 1st, or 95.19% if they don't. Lilbow has a 71.89% chance to win ----going from 18.09% to 23.66% if they get 1st, or 3.83% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 71.51% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. StarDust has a 71.03% chance to win ----going from 2.39% to 3.35% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MarineLorD has a 67.85% chance to win ----going from 3.31% to 4.85% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Jaedong has a 67.44% chance to win ----going from 5.52% to 8.13% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. viOLet has a 64.74% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Snute has a 62.28% chance to win ----going from 4.76% to 7.57% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. Bunny has a 60.92% chance to win ----going from 16.04% to 23.59% if they get 1st, or 4.27% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 60.42% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HuK has a 56.23% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Happy has a 54.48% chance to win ----going from 1.21% to 2.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Nerchio has a 54.03% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 0.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Welmu has a 53.56% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Xenocider has a 53.28% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. uThermal has a 52.47% chance to win ----going from 0.3% to 0.57% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 51.15% chance to win ----going from 1.69% to 3.26% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. TLO has a 50.36% chance to win ----going from 0.64% to 1.25% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. MaSa has a 50.31% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FireCake has a 50.28% chance to win ----going from 1.25% to 2.46% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Zanster has a 49.72% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bails has a 49.69% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bly has a 49.64% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 48.85% chance to win ----going from 0.15% to 0.31% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 47.53% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 46.72% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Elazer has a 46.44% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 45.97% chance to win ----going from 0.62% to 1.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaNa has a 45.52% chance to win ----going from 0.3% to 0.66% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 43.77% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ret has a 39.58% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Starbuck has a 39.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Serral has a 37.72% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 0.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. qxc has a 35.26% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Semper has a 32.56% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DmC has a 32.15% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. neeb has a 28.97% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DnS has a 28.49% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. SortOf has a 28.11% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. JonSnow has a 24.8% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Dayshi has a 18.47% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Zest, Stats, ByuL, and Maruin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. Zest is at 96.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.7%, or 93.89% if they lose. ByuL is at 90.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.49%, or 83.23% if they lose. Stats is at 30.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 51.08%, or 12.59% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.64% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
herO, sOs, INnoVation, and Lifein in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. sOs has the #4 Headband. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. INnoVation is at 83.8% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 92.9%, or 72.34% if they lose. sOs is at 46.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 64.75%, or 30.03% if they lose. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.98% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
MyuNgSiK, Dear, Dream, and Rainin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. Rain has the #1 Headband. MyuNgSiK is at 8.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.05%, or 3.66% if they lose. Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dear is at 18.49% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 28.99%, or 8.18% if they lose. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
HyuN, TY, Classic, and Roguein in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. TY must win this match! HyuN is at 30.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 45.23%, or 14.93% if they lose. Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. TY is at 11.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.1%, or 2.22% if they lose. Rogue is at 65.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 83.6%, or 47.41% if they lose.
INnoVation has a 10.85% chance to win ----going from 83.8% to 100% if they get 1st, or 81.83% if they don't. Maru has a 9.98% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 9.15% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 8.68% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 7.11% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Dream has a 6.73% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 6.54% chance to win ----going from 96.63% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.39% if they don't. HyuN has a 5.69% chance to win ----going from 30.01% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 25.79% if they don't. sOs has a 5.53% chance to win ----going from 46.62% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 43.5% if they don't. herO has a 5.15% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dear has a 4.94% chance to win ----going from 18.49% to 99.19% if they get 1st, or 14.29% if they don't. ByuL has a 4.75% chance to win ----going from 90.48% to 100% if they get 1st, or 90.01% if they don't. Stats has a 4.62% chance to win ----going from 30.19% to 100% if they get 1st, or 26.82% if they don't. Rogue has a 4.34% chance to win ----going from 65.1% to 100% if they get 1st, or 63.52% if they don't. TY has a 4.28% chance to win ----going from 11.63% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 7.68% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.67% chance to win ----going from 8.19% to 99.11% if they get 1st, or 6.65% if they don't.
I also made a new branch for if Innovation wins SSL, ForGG wins WCS, and soO wins GSL. With the recent addition of Final Seed Stats and Final Match Stats, branches will get really interesting closer to the end of the year since we'll be able to look at how the different scenarios affect who plays who at Blizzcon. Be sure to keep an eye on the branches page and feel free to make requests for branches, they're easy for me to add!
Bomber vs Firstin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Bomber is at 0.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.77%, or 0.01% if they lose. First is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Symbol vs Hurricanein in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Symbol is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. Hurricane is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.11%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Sacsri vs Curein in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Sacsri is at 0.24% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.48%, or 0.01% if they lose. Cure is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0.01% if they lose.
FanTaSy vs Sanin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. FanTaSy is at 40.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 51.28%, or 26.21% if they lose. San is at 0.27% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.64%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Zest has a 73.3% chance to win ----going from 96.63% to 97.95% if they get 1st, or 92.98% if they don't. herO has a 64.06% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Hurricane has a 60.34% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 58.87% chance to win ----going from 40.97% to 51.28% if they get 1st, or 26.21% if they don't. HyuN has a 52.82% chance to win ----going from 30.01% to 38.94% if they get 1st, or 20.01% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Cure has a 50.4% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 50.23% chance to win ----going from 0.39% to 0.77% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. First has a 49.77% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sacsri has a 49.6% chance to win ----going from 0.24% to 0.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GuMiho has a 47.18% chance to win ----going from 3.74% to 7.16% if they get 1st, or 0.68% if they don't. San has a 41.13% chance to win ----going from 0.27% to 0.64% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Symbol has a 39.66% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Armani has a 35.94% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 26.7% chance to win ----going from 0.44% to 1.48% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't.
Solar, Bbyong, Flash, GuMiho, Sacsri, MMA, Bomber, San, and Patience must win this tournament! PartinG has a 9.23% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 8.18% chance to win ----going from 18.39% to 99.39% if they get 1st, or 11.17% if they don't. INnoVation has a 7.4% chance to win ----going from 83.8% to 100% if they get 1st, or 82.51% if they don't. Rain has a 7.36% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 6.72% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Maru has a 6.27% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dark has a 5.32% chance to win ----going from 61.23% to 100% if they get 1st, or 59.05% if they don't. Life has a 4.78% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. sOs has a 4.29% chance to win ----going from 46.62% to 100% if they get 1st, or 44.23% if they don't. Solar has a 3.64% chance to win ----going from 3.75% to 79.36% if they get 1st, or 0.89% if they don't. Zest has a 3.51% chance to win ----going from 96.63% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.5% if they don't. Dear has a 3.34% chance to win ----going from 18.49% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 15.67% if they don't. Bbyong has a 3.23% chance to win ----going from 4.84% to 95.68% if they get 1st, or 1.81% if they don't. Curious has a 2.94% chance to win ----going from 11.62% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 8.94% if they don't. ByuL has a 2.76% chance to win ----going from 90.48% to 100% if they get 1st, or 90.21% if they don't. herO has a 2.52% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.38% chance to win ----going from 65.1% to 100% if they get 1st, or 64.25% if they don't. Flash has a 2.11% chance to win ----going from 0.61% to 24.82% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 1.97% chance to win ----going from 40.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 39.78% if they don't. HyuN has a 1.83% chance to win ----going from 30.01% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 28.7% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.16% chance to win ----going from 8.19% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 7.11% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.09% chance to win ----going from 3.74% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 2.67% if they don't. Trust has a 0.99% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 4.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sacsri has a 0.91% chance to win ----going from 0.24% to 22.63% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MMA has a 0.73% chance to win ----going from 0.69% to 70.71% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Cure has a 0.7% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 11.62% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.6% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 3.43% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 10.38% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 0.57% chance to win ----going from 0.39% to 53.6% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. San has a 0.51% chance to win ----going from 0.27% to 43.52% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Losira has a 0.47% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 11.99% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. First has a 0.36% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 7.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.81% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 7.46% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Armani has a 0.3% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 0.25% chance to win ----going from 0.44% to 89.07% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. Stork has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.11% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 7.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.1% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.55% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
Finally I was able to find a time where no game is running so i could create my team for wcs wars. Now I have something that makes me chear for players like fpl. Thank you Die4Ever!
MaSa vs Bailsin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. MaSa is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.31% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0.01% if they lose. Bails is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose.
Jaedong vs Semperin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Jaedong must win this match! Jaedong is at 5.44% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.03%, or 0.09% if they lose. Semper is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
StarDust vs neebin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. StarDust must win this match! StarDust is at 2.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.27%, or 0.05% if they lose. neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG has a 81.52% chance to win ----going from 11.77% to 14.28% if they get 1st, or 0.66% if they don't. Polt has a 75.22% chance to win ----going from 97.99% to 99.05% if they get 1st, or 94.78% if they don't. Lilbow has a 71.89% chance to win ----going from 17.78% to 23.3% if they get 1st, or 3.67% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 71.52% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. StarDust has a 71.03% chance to win ----going from 2.33% to 3.27% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MarineLorD has a 67.85% chance to win ----going from 3.24% to 4.75% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Jaedong has a 67.43% chance to win ----going from 5.44% to 8.03% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. viOLet has a 64.75% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Snute has a 62.28% chance to win ----going from 4.71% to 7.48% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. Bunny has a 60.93% chance to win ----going from 15.7% to 23.15% if they get 1st, or 4.07% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 60.42% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HuK has a 56.23% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Happy has a 54.48% chance to win ----going from 1.18% to 2.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Nerchio has a 54.04% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 0.46% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Welmu has a 53.56% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Xenocider has a 53.29% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. uThermal has a 52.45% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 0.54% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 51.15% chance to win ----going from 1.65% to 3.18% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. TLO has a 50.36% chance to win ----going from 0.62% to 1.22% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. MaSa has a 50.31% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FireCake has a 50.29% chance to win ----going from 1.22% to 2.41% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Zanster has a 49.71% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bails has a 49.69% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Bly has a 49.64% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 48.85% chance to win ----going from 0.15% to 0.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 47.55% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 46.71% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Elazer has a 46.44% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Harstem has a 45.96% chance to win ----going from 0.6% to 1.29% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaNa has a 45.52% chance to win ----going from 0.28% to 0.62% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 43.77% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ret has a 39.58% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 0.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Starbuck has a 39.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Serral has a 37.72% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 0.46% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. qxc has a 35.25% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Semper has a 32.57% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DmC has a 32.15% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. neeb has a 28.97% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DnS has a 28.48% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. SortOf has a 28.11% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. JonSnow has a 24.78% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Dayshi has a 18.48% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
ForGG, Jaedong, Petraeus, MarineLorD, Snute, Happy, StarDust, ShoWTimE, FireCake, uThermal, Harstem, Serral, Ret, and TLO must win this tournament! Hydra has a 16.57% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ForGG has a 7.62% chance to win ----going from 11.77% to 97.77% if they get 1st, or 4.67% if they don't. Polt has a 7.32% chance to win ----going from 97.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 97.83% if they don't. Lilbow has a 5.56% chance to win ----going from 17.78% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 12.94% if they don't. Jaedong has a 4.84% chance to win ----going from 5.44% to 92.18% if they get 1st, or 1.03% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Petraeus has a 4.47% chance to win ----going from 1.24% to 25.36% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 3.78% chance to win ----going from 3.24% to 69.55% if they get 1st, or 0.63% if they don't. Snute has a 3.67% chance to win ----going from 4.71% to 96.9% if they get 1st, or 1.19% if they don't. Happy has a 3.49% chance to win ----going from 1.18% to 29.56% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.46% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 3.69% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bunny has a 2.99% chance to win ----going from 15.7% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 13.1% if they don't. StarDust has a 2.99% chance to win ----going from 2.33% to 61.32% if they get 1st, or 0.52% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 2.89% chance to win ----going from 0.15% to 4.85% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Nerchio has a 2.49% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 9.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. viOLet has a 2.07% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 5.51% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.04% chance to win ----going from 0.28% to 13.19% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 1.79% chance to win ----going from 1.65% to 72.9% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 1.72% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 2.17% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.51% chance to win ----going from 1.22% to 67.23% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. MaSa has a 1.5% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 3.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.29% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 6.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Welmu has a 1.28% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 12.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.06% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 9.53% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 0.99% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 6.67% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 0.98% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 4.95% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. uThermal has a 0.96% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 26.62% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Jim has a 0.9% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 2.29% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.85% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 4.35% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 0.82% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 7.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bails has a 0.76% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 0.71% chance to win ----going from 0.6% to 70.34% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. HuK has a 0.69% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 2.86% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Serral has a 0.65% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 24.45% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Bly has a 0.62% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ret has a 0.52% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 20.89% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.62% to 92.81% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.43% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 3.72% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 0.38% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 19.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Starbuck has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.75% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Has has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 4.88% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. SortOf has a 0.25% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.62% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.24% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.43% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Semper has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.64% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. qxc has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.63% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. DnS has a 0.18% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.8% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. DmC has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.88% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Dayshi has a 0.14% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.53% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. neeb has a 0.09% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shana has a 0.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. JonSnow has a 0.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.26% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Maru, ByuL, Stats, and Zestin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. This is the 2nd place Group of Death! Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.45% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Stats is at 29.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.61% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 49.71%, or 11.94% if they lose. ByuL is at 89.68% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.26%, or 81.98% if they lose. Zest is at 96.41% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.66%, or 93.45% if they lose.
INnoVation has a 10.88% chance to win ----going from 83.23% to 100% if they get 1st, or 81.18% if they don't. Maru has a 9.95% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 9.15% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 8.69% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 7.46% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Dream has a 6.73% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 6.7% chance to win ----going from 96.41% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.15% if they don't. HyuN has a 5.67% chance to win ----going from 29.33% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 25.09% if they don't. sOs has a 5.52% chance to win ----going from 45.77% to 100% if they get 1st, or 42.6% if they don't. herO has a 4.95% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dear has a 4.93% chance to win ----going from 18.07% to 99.07% if they get 1st, or 13.87% if they don't. ByuL has a 4.63% chance to win ----going from 89.68% to 100% if they get 1st, or 89.18% if they don't. Stats has a 4.48% chance to win ----going from 29.16% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 25.84% if they don't. Rogue has a 4.33% chance to win ----going from 63.91% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.28% if they don't. TY has a 4.27% chance to win ----going from 11.34% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 7.38% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.67% chance to win ----going from 7.89% to 99.01% if they get 1st, or 6.35% if they don't.
Chances of final Blizzcon seeds Stats has a 1.4% chance to be the #5 seed. Stats has a 3.87% chance to be the #6 seed. Stats has a 7.23% chance to be the #7 seed. Stats has a 11.19% chance to be the #8 seed. Stats has a 22.56% chance to be the #9 seed. Stats has a 27.61% chance to be the #10 seed. Stats has a 17.85% chance to be the #11 seed. Stats has a 6.37% chance to be the #12 seed. Stats has a 1.31% chance to be the #13 seed.
Chances of first round Blizzcon Matches Stats vs Dream has a 20.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Stats vs Classic has a 16.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Stats vs Hydra has a 14.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Stats vs Rain has a 14.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Stats vs Zest has a 4.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Kane vs HuKin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Kane is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0.01% if they lose. HuK is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Polt vs JonSnowin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Polt is at 97.8% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.96%, or 94.28% if they lose. JonSnow is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
viOLet vs qxcin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. viOLet is at 0.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.19%, or 0.01% if they lose. qxc is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Xenocider vs Hitmanin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Xenocider is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Jaedong, Petraeus, MarineLorD, Snute, Happy, ShoWTimE, FireCake, uThermal, Harstem, Serral, Ret, TLO, and Kane must win this tournament! Hydra has a 16.3% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ForGG has a 7.71% chance to win ----going from 11.99% to 97.5% if they get 1st, or 4.84% if they don't. Jaedong has a 7.3% chance to win ----going from 8.16% to 91.43% if they get 1st, or 1.61% if they don't. Polt has a 7.22% chance to win ----going from 97.8% to 100% if they get 1st, or 97.63% if they don't. Lilbow has a 5.69% chance to win ----going from 18.17% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 13.24% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Petraeus has a 4.41% chance to win ----going from 1.27% to 26.34% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 3.79% chance to win ----going from 3.3% to 70.16% if they get 1st, or 0.66% if they don't. Snute has a 3.55% chance to win ----going from 4.6% to 96.28% if they get 1st, or 1.23% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.52% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 3.83% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Happy has a 3.49% chance to win ----going from 1.21% to 30.11% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't. MaSa has a 3.06% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 3.53% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bunny has a 2.98% chance to win ----going from 16.01% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 13.43% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 2.97% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 5.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Nerchio has a 2.48% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 9.95% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.08% chance to win ----going from 0.31% to 14.01% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. viOLet has a 2.05% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 5.77% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 1.77% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 2.41% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 1.72% chance to win ----going from 1.6% to 72.96% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.45% chance to win ----going from 1.2% to 67.74% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. Welmu has a 1.3% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 12.91% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.12% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 6.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.07% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 10.36% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 0.99% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 7.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 0.97% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 5.35% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. uThermal has a 0.93% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 27.69% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Jim has a 0.89% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 2.51% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 0.85% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 7.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.85% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 4.71% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HuK has a 0.72% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 3.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 0.71% chance to win ----going from 0.61% to 70.34% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Serral has a 0.64% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 25.47% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Bly has a 0.6% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ret has a 0.5% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 22.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.48% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 4.45% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.63% to 92.09% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. neeb has a 0.39% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.38% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 0.37% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 20.46% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Starbuck has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.91% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Has has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 5.6% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.28% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. SortOf has a 0.25% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.7% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.24% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.53% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.28% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. qxc has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.74% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. DnS has a 0.19% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.49% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. DmC has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.92% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Dayshi has a 0.14% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.59% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shana has a 0.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. JonSnow has a 0.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.22% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Patience vs Zestin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Patience must win this match! Patience is at 0.5% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.22% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.62%, or 0.08% if they lose. Zest is at 99.59% Blizzcon Chances, with a 72.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.79%, or 99.06% if they lose.
herO vs Armaniin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.86% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Armani is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.14% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.
HyuN vs GuMihoin in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. GuMiho must win this match! HyuN is at 30.15% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 38.83%, or 20.42% if they lose. GuMiho is at 3.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.05%, or 0.69% if they lose.
Solar, Bbyong, Flash, Bomber, GuMiho, MMA, and Patience must win this tournament! PartinG has a 9.37% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 7.83% chance to win ----going from 17.87% to 99.07% if they get 1st, or 10.97% if they don't. Rain has a 7.36% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. INnoVation has a 7.19% chance to win ----going from 83.66% to 100% if they get 1st, or 82.4% if they don't. Classic has a 6.63% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Maru has a 5.82% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dark has a 5.22% chance to win ----going from 61.03% to 100% if they get 1st, or 58.88% if they don't. Life has a 4.83% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. sOs has a 4.27% chance to win ----going from 46.36% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 43.97% if they don't. Solar has a 3.78% chance to win ----going from 3.88% to 78.22% if they get 1st, or 0.96% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 3.6% chance to win ----going from 53.31% to 100% if they get 1st, or 51.57% if they don't. Zest has a 3.43% chance to win ----going from 99.59% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.58% if they don't. Dear has a 3.27% chance to win ----going from 18.26% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 15.5% if they don't. Bbyong has a 2.92% chance to win ----going from 4.44% to 94.3% if they get 1st, or 1.74% if they don't. ByuL has a 2.87% chance to win ----going from 98.27% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.22% if they don't. Curious has a 2.8% chance to win ----going from 11.32% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 8.76% if they don't. herO has a 2.42% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.34% chance to win ----going from 64.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 64.15% if they don't. Flash has a 2.15% chance to win ----going from 0.64% to 25.15% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. HyuN has a 1.77% chance to win ----going from 30.15% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 28.89% if they don't. Cure has a 1.46% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 11.76% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Bomber has a 1.24% chance to win ----going from 0.86% to 53.95% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. Trust has a 1.14% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 4.55% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.12% chance to win ----going from 8.12% to 99.88% if they get 1st, or 7.08% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.05% chance to win ----going from 3.69% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 2.66% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.94% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 10.6% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MMA has a 0.73% chance to win ----going from 0.68% to 69.4% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.57% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 3.68% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Losira has a 0.43% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 11.91% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.3% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 7.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Armani has a 0.28% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 0.28% chance to win ----going from 0.5% to 87.16% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. Stork has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.79% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.09% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.74% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
MarineLorD vs DmCin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. MarineLorD must win this match! MarineLorD is at 3.25% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.77%, or 0.03% if they lose. DmC is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
MaNa vs Happyin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Happy must win this match! MaNa is at 0.44% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.98%, or 0.01% if they lose. Happy is at 0.98% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.94% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.78%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Snute vs Serralin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Snute must win this match! Snute is at 6.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 9.5%, or 0.35% if they lose. Serral is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.47%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Ret vs HeRoMaRinEin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Ret is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.65% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.42%, or 0.01% if they lose. HeRoMaRinE is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0.01% if they lose.
NaNiwa vs ShoWTimEin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. ShoWTimE must win this match! NaNiwa is at 0.31% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.63%, or 0.01% if they lose. ShoWTimE is at 1.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.06%, or 0.01% if they lose.
ForGG has a 81.52% chance to win ----going from 11.95% to 14.54% if they get 1st, or 0.53% if they don't. Lilbow has a 71.9% chance to win ----going from 16.21% to 21.48% if they get 1st, or 2.74% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 71.01% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 67.84% chance to win ----going from 3.25% to 4.77% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Snute has a 62.29% chance to win ----going from 6.05% to 9.5% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Bunny has a 60.93% chance to win ----going from 16.3% to 24.17% if they get 1st, or 4.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 60.35% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Nerchio has a 54.98% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 0.35% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Happy has a 54.94% chance to win ----going from 0.98% to 1.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Welmu has a 53.57% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 0.31% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. uThermal has a 52.43% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 0.77% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 51.08% chance to win ----going from 1.05% to 2.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FireCake has a 50.28% chance to win ----going from 1.16% to 2.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 50.24% chance to win ----going from 0.7% to 1.37% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Bly has a 49.76% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Zanster has a 49.72% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 48.92% chance to win ----going from 0.31% to 0.63% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 47.57% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 46.43% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MaNa has a 45.06% chance to win ----going from 0.44% to 0.98% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 45.02% chance to win ----going from 0.44% to 0.97% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ret has a 39.65% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 0.42% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Starbuck has a 39.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Serral has a 37.71% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 0.47% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. DmC has a 32.16% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DnS has a 28.99% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. SortOf has a 28.1% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Dayshi has a 18.48% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Jaedong, ForGG, Petraeus, MarineLorD, Snute, Happy, MaNa, ShoWTimE, FireCake, Kane, uThermal, Serral, Harstem, Ret, Has, and TLO must win this tournament! Hydra has a 15.99% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Polt has a 9.84% chance to win ----going from 99.31% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.24% if they don't. Jaedong has a 7.47% chance to win ----going from 8.06% to 92.89% if they get 1st, or 1.21% if they don't. ForGG has a 7.31% chance to win ----going from 11.95% to 98.55% if they get 1st, or 5.12% if they don't. Lilbow has a 5.35% chance to win ----going from 16.21% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 11.48% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Petraeus has a 4.46% chance to win ----going from 1.23% to 26.01% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 3.63% chance to win ----going from 3.25% to 75.15% if they get 1st, or 0.54% if they don't. Snute has a 3.47% chance to win ----going from 6.05% to 98.93% if they get 1st, or 2.71% if they don't. Happy has a 3.34% chance to win ----going from 0.98% to 26.61% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.32% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 2.95% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. viOLet has a 3.21% chance to win ----going from 0.15% to 4.61% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaSa has a 3.14% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 2.82% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bunny has a 2.81% chance to win ----going from 16.3% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 13.87% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 2.76% chance to win ----going from 0.31% to 10.66% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Nerchio has a 2.4% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 7.74% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaNa has a 1.82% chance to win ----going from 0.44% to 22.76% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 1.65% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 3.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 1.57% chance to win ----going from 1.05% to 62.19% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.39% chance to win ----going from 1.16% to 71.71% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. Welmu has a 1.17% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 13.2% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.02% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 9.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 0.99% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 5.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 0.95% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 4.64% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 0.92% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 6.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 0.89% chance to win ----going from 0.2% to 21.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. uThermal has a 0.86% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 40.68% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Jim has a 0.83% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 1.96% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.82% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 3.97% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 0.77% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 6.86% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Serral has a 0.62% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 26.83% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bly has a 0.59% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 0.51% chance to win ----going from 0.44% to 74.06% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.5% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.38% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ret has a 0.48% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 31.01% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Has has a 0.45% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 22.31% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.43% chance to win ----going from 0.7% to 95.33% if they get 1st, or 0.3% if they don't. neeb has a 0.4% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.4% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 3.77% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Starbuck has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.69% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.29% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. SortOf has a 0.24% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. DnS has a 0.17% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.36% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.14% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.7% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Dayshi has a 0.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. DmC has a 0.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shana has a 0.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
On July 28 2015 06:50 sharkie wrote: Trading is currently locked :o
Yep, I had to run 2 updates, with WCS EU Challenger, and another for the Code S groups, no trading between! Trading is open now though. Group of Death analysis coming soon.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GSL Code S Ro32 Groups Drawn! Tuesday, Jul 28 1:40am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2743)
Biggest Winners and Losers from the Code S Ro32 Group Drawing (Sim ID #2730 vs Sim ID #2743) Biggest Winners Dark went up by 3.5%, going from 60.23% to 63.73% FanTaSy went up by 0.69%, going from 73.13% to 73.82% sOs went up by 0.62%, going from 44.53% to 45.15% INnoVation went up by 0.37%, going from 81.67% to 82.04% Bbyong went up by 0.17%, going from 3.99% to 4.16% Dear went up by 0.12%, going from 16.95% to 17.07% Curious went up by 0.1%, going from 9.57% to 9.67%
Biggest Losers Rogue went down by 2.12%, going from 65.39% to 63.27% MyuNgSiK went down by 1.17%, going from 7.37% to 6.21% GuMiho went down by 0.43%, going from 6.65% to 6.23% soO went down by 0.39%, going from 15.31% to 14.92% Solar went down by 0.28%, going from 3.61% to 3.33% MMA went down by 0.17%, going from 1.02% to 0.85% Bunny went down by 0.15%, going from 16.09% to 15.94% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
HyuN went down by 0.14%, going from 18.45% to 18.32% Bomber went down by 0.12%, going from 0.78% to 0.66% Lilbow went down by 0.11%, going from 15.8% to 15.69%
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 47.9% down to 47.6% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 6.11% down to 5.99% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.16% down to 0.16%
Top Foreigner Hopes Bunny12.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 15.94% chance overall. Lilbow12.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 15.69% chance overall. Snute7.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.36% chance overall. MarineLorD3.74% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.81% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.54% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.98% chance overall. Petraeus0.92% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.17% chance overall. FireCake0.86% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.12% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
MaNa0.72% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.91% chance overall. TLO0.5% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.67% chance overall. Harstem0.32% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall. uThermal0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.4% chance overall. Kane0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.19% chance overall. Nerchio0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.18% chance overall. Welmu0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.16% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. Has0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. MajOr0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. iaguz0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. MaSa0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.09% chance overall. Sen0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. elfi0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. Zanster0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. iAsonu0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Jim0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Kelazhur0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Bly0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Happy0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Elazer0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. XiGua0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Starbuck0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Hitman0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. SortOf0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. neeb0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. DnS0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Dayshi0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Ret0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! soO is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
0.69% of the time 2575 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 10.69% of the time 2775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 31.26% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 51.83% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 70.06% of the time 3125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 91.42% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.03% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
herO has a 49.14% chance to be the #1 seed. herO has a 31.99% chance to be the #2 seed. Life has a 22.95% chance to be the #3 seed. Maru has a 23.29% chance to be the #4 seed. Maru has a 23.19% chance to be the #5 seed. Rain has a 16.37% chance to be the #6 seed. Hydra has a 17.6% chance to be the #7 seed. Dream has a 22.22% chance to be the #8 seed. Dream has a 22.08% chance to be the #9 seed. Zest has a 14.6% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 15.29% chance to be the #11 seed. Polt has a 17.15% chance to be the #12 seed. Polt has a 15.65% chance to be the #13 seed. FanTaSy has a 11.97% chance to be the #14 seed. Dark has a 12.25% chance to be the #15 seed. Dark has a 13.2% chance to be the #16 seed.
Dream vs Classic has a 14.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Hydra has a 13.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Maru has a 13.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Zest has a 12.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Polt has a 12.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs herO has a 12.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs ByuL has a 12.17% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Rogue has a 11.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs ByuL has a 11.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs FanTaSy has a 11.38% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Zest, Cure, MyuNgSiK, and Solarin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Solar must win this match! Zest is at 99.88% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.7% if they lose. MyuNgSiK is at 6.21% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.38%, or 2.92% if they lose. Cure is at 0.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.28%, or 0.01% if they lose. Solar is at 3.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.28%, or 0.04% if they lose.
Bomber, Maru, Classic, and Trustin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Bomber must win this match! Bomber is at 0.66% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.58%, or 0.01% if they lose. Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Trust is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.41% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Life, sOs, Bbyong, and Storkin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Bbyong must win this match! sOs has the #4 Headband. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Bbyong is at 4.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.2%, or 0.12% if they lose. sOs is at 45.15% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 58.68%, or 24.53% if they lose. Stork is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Rain, Losira, Hack, and herOin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Rain has the #1 Headband. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 74.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Hack is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. Losira is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.01% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Curious, INnoVation, Flash, and Pigbabyin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Curious must win this match! Curious is at 9.67% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.18% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.3%, or 1.17% if they lose. Flash is at 0.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.95%, or 0.01% if they lose. INnoVation is at 82.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 90.25%, or 67.88% if they lose. Pigbaby is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.48% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Sleep, ByuL, FanTaSy, and Dearin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Sleep is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 73.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 86.31%, or 57.18% if they lose. ByuL is at 98.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.86%, or 97.12% if they lose. Dear is at 17.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.82%, or 7.41% if they lose.
PartinG, MMA, Dark, and sKyHighin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. MMA must win this match! Dark has the #3 Headband. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.48% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dark is at 63.73% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 79.06%, or 34.2% if they lose. MMA is at 0.85% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.46%, or 0.04% if they lose. sKyHigh is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose.
GuMiho, Hurricane, soO, and Roguein in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. GuMiho and soO must win this match! soO has the #2 Headband. GuMiho is at 6.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.25%, or 0.55% if they lose. soO is at 14.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 22.95%, or 1.8% if they lose. Hurricane is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.19%, or 0.01% if they lose. Rogue is at 63.27% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.39% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 81.1%, or 46.55% if they lose.
Solar, Bbyong, GuMiho, Flash, Bomber, and MMA must win this tournament! PartinG has a 9.9% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 7.96% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 7.33% chance to win ----going from 14.92% to 99.2% if they get 1st, or 8.26% if they don't. INnoVation has a 7.13% chance to win ----going from 82.04% to 100% if they get 1st, or 80.66% if they don't. Classic has a 5.97% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Dark has a 5.54% chance to win ----going from 63.73% to 100% if they get 1st, or 61.6% if they don't. Zest has a 5.4% chance to win ----going from 99.88% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.88% if they don't. Maru has a 5.13% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 4.99% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 4.29% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. sOs has a 4.15% chance to win ----going from 45.15% to 100% if they get 1st, or 42.77% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 3.53% chance to win ----going from 73.82% to 100% if they get 1st, or 72.86% if they don't. Solar has a 3.46% chance to win ----going from 3.33% to 79.67% if they get 1st, or 0.59% if they don't. Dear has a 3.15% chance to win ----going from 17.07% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 14.37% if they don't. ByuL has a 3.05% chance to win ----going from 98.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.75% if they don't. Bbyong has a 3.05% chance to win ----going from 4.16% to 95.36% if they get 1st, or 1.3% if they don't. Curious has a 2.58% chance to win ----going from 9.67% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 7.28% if they don't. GuMiho has a 2.32% chance to win ----going from 6.23% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 4.01% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.03% chance to win ----going from 63.27% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.5% if they don't. Flash has a 1.95% chance to win ----going from 0.46% to 21.52% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Cure has a 1.4% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 9.31% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Trust has a 1.06% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 3.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 1.05% chance to win ----going from 0.66% to 53.52% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.81% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 8.85% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 0.79% chance to win ----going from 6.21% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 5.46% if they don't. MMA has a 0.59% chance to win ----going from 0.85% to 85.21% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.77% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Losira has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 10.42% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 6.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Stork has a 0.12% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.55% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.52% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Group A Zest has a 5.4% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Cure has a 1.4% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 MyuNgSiK has a 0.79% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Solar has a 3.46% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.0535
Group B Bomber has a 1.05% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Maru has a 5.13% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Classic has a 5.97% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Trust has a 1.06% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.2059
Group C Life has a 4.29% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 sOs has a 4.15% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Bbyong has a 3.05% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Stork has a 0.12% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.6014
Group D Rain has a 7.96% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Losira has a 0.32% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Hack has a 0.22% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 herO has a 4.99% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.4904
Group E Curious has a 2.58% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 INnoVation has a 7.13% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Flash has a 1.95% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Pigbaby has a 0.44% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.1079
Group F Sleep has a 0.08% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 ByuL has a 3.05% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 FanTaSy has a 3.53% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Dear has a 3.15% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.80775
Group G PartinG has a 9.9% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 MMA has a 0.59% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Dark has a 5.54% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 sKyHigh has a 0.21% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 16.2428
Group H GuMiho has a 2.32% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Hurricane has a 0.81% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 soO has a 7.33% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Rogue has a 2.03% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.4903
Group A Zest has a 99.88% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Cure has a 0.14% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MyuNgSiK has a 6.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Solar has a 3.33% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 109.556
Group B Bomber has a 0.66% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Maru has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Classic has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Trust has a 0.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 200.697
Group C Life has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon sOs has a 45.15% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Bbyong has a 4.16% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Stork has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 149.31
Group D Rain has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Losira has a 0.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Hack has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon herO has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 200.042
Group E Curious has a 9.67% chance to qualify for Blizzcon INnoVation has a 82.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Flash has a 0.46% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Pigbaby has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 92.1885
Group F Sleep has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon ByuL has a 98.78% chance to qualify for Blizzcon FanTaSy has a 73.82% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dear has a 17.07% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 189.671
Group G PartinG has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MMA has a 0.85% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dark has a 63.73% chance to qualify for Blizzcon sKyHigh has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 164.597
Group H GuMiho has a 6.23% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Hurricane has a 0.08% chance to qualify for Blizzcon soO has a 14.92% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Rogue has a 63.27% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 84.4908
Group A Zest's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Cure's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% MyuNgSiK's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.17% Solar's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.28% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.43931
Group B Bomber's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.12% Maru's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Classic's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Trust's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.121084
Group C Life's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% sOs's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.62% Bbyong's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.17% Stork's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.785812
Group D Rain's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Losira's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Hack's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.01366
Group E Curious's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.1% INnoVation's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.37% Flash's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.03% Pigbaby's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.440548
Group F Sleep's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.06% FanTaSy's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.69% Dear's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.12% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.864052
Group G PartinG's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% MMA's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.17% Dark's Blizzcon Chances changed by 3.5% sKyHigh's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -3.32155
Group H GuMiho's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.43% Hurricane's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% soO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.39% Rogue's Blizzcon Chances changed by -2.12% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 2.94562
Group A When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.11% When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.18% When Cure wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.14% When Cure loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.14% When MyuNgSiK wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.17% When MyuNgSiK loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 3.29% When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.95% When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 3.29% Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.2735
Group B When Bomber wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.92% When Bomber loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.65% When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When Classic wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Classic loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When Trust wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05% When Trust loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.04% Giving this match an Effects Score of 1.66226
Group C When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 13.53% When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 20.62% When Bbyong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.03% When Bbyong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.05% When Stork wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Stork loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% Giving this match an Effects Score of 41.2319
Group D When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When Losira wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.09% When Losira loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.04% When Hack wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Hack loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% Giving this match an Effects Score of 0.14194
Group E When Curious wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.63% When Curious loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.5% When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.21% When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 14.16% When Flash wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.48% When Flash loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.46% When Pigbaby wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.03% When Pigbaby loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% Giving this match an Effects Score of 38.4754
Group F When Sleep wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Sleep loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.07% When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.66% When FanTaSy wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 12.49% When FanTaSy loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.64% When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.75% When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.66% Giving this match an Effects Score of 49.2669
Group G When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When MMA wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.61% When MMA loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.81% When Dark wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 15.33% When Dark loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 29.53% When sKyHigh wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.04% When sKyHigh loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% Giving this match an Effects Score of 47.3398
Group H When GuMiho wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.02% When GuMiho loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 5.67% When Hurricane wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.11% When Hurricane loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08% When soO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.03% When soO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 13.13% When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 17.84% When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.72% Giving this match an Effects Score of 67.5918
Group A Zest has an Aligulac rating of 2170 Cure has an Aligulac rating of 1998 MyuNgSiK has an Aligulac rating of 1882 Solar has an Aligulac rating of 2158 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8208
Group B Bomber has an Aligulac rating of 1964 Maru has an Aligulac rating of 2273 Classic has an Aligulac rating of 2239 Trust has an Aligulac rating of 1891 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8367
Group C Life has an Aligulac rating of 2206 sOs has an Aligulac rating of 2134 Bbyong has an Aligulac rating of 2129 Stork has an Aligulac rating of 1615 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8084
Group D Rain has an Aligulac rating of 2278 Losira has an Aligulac rating of 1794 Hack has an Aligulac rating of 1769 herO has an Aligulac rating of 2157 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7998
Group E Curious has an Aligulac rating of 2085 INnoVation has an Aligulac rating of 2335 Flash has an Aligulac rating of 2052 Pigbaby has an Aligulac rating of 1774 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8246
Group F Sleep has an Aligulac rating of 1611 ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 2104 FanTaSy has an Aligulac rating of 2171 Dear has an Aligulac rating of 2079 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7965
Group G PartinG has an Aligulac rating of 2334 MMA has an Aligulac rating of 1881 Dark has an Aligulac rating of 2247 sKyHigh has an Aligulac rating of 1763 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8225
Group H GuMiho has an Aligulac rating of 2099 Hurricane has an Aligulac rating of 1859 soO has an Aligulac rating of 2347 Rogue has an Aligulac rating of 2065 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8370
Final Placings Group A has one 2nd place Group B has one 1st place, one 2nd place, and two 3rd places Group C has one 4th place Group D has two 2nd places, and one 4th place Group E has one 3rd place Group F has one 2nd place, and one 3rd place Group G has one 1st place, one 3rd place, and two 4th places Group H has three 1st places, and one 4th place
Group H is our Group of Death! Congrats to GuMiho, Hurricane, soO, and Rogue! The 2nd place Group of Death is Group B with Bomber, Maru, Classic, and Trust.
ForGG vs Dayshiin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. ForGG must win this match! ForGG is at 11.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 14.43%, or 0.52% if they lose. Dayshi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 18.48% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Starbuck vs Bunnyin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Bunny must win this match! Starbuck is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Bunny is at 15.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.93% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.7%, or 3.84% if they lose.
Bly vs TLOin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. TLO must win this match! Bly is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose. TLO is at 0.67% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.3%, or 0.03% if they lose.
SortOf vs Lilbowin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Lilbow must win this match! SortOf is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Lilbow is at 15.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.79%, or 2.63% if they lose.
elfi vs uThermalin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. elfi is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.11%, or 0.01% if they lose. uThermal is at 0.4% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.76%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Welmu vs Elazerin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Welmu is at 0.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.29%, or 0.01% if they lose. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
GunGFuBanDa vs DnSin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose. DnS is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Nerchio vs Harstemin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Nerchio is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.98% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.33%, or 0.01% if they lose. Harstem is at 0.41% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.91%, or 0.01% if they lose.
FireCake vs Zansterin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. FireCake must win this match! FireCake is at 1.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.22%, or 0.01% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0.01% if they lose.
ForGG, Jaedong, Snute, MarineLorD, Petraeus, MaNa, ShoWTimE, FireCake, uThermal, Kane, Harstem, Has, and TLO must win this tournament! Hydra has a 15.67% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Polt has a 10.01% chance to win ----going from 99.24% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.15% if they don't. ForGG has a 7.39% chance to win ----going from 11.86% to 98.51% if they get 1st, or 4.95% if they don't. Jaedong has a 7.23% chance to win ----going from 7.76% to 92.58% if they get 1st, or 1.14% if they don't. Snute has a 5.53% chance to win ----going from 9.36% to 98.88% if they get 1st, or 4.12% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MarineLorD has a 5.47% chance to win ----going from 4.81% to 74.55% if they get 1st, or 0.77% if they don't. Lilbow has a 5.18% chance to win ----going from 15.69% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 11.08% if they don't. Petraeus has a 4.33% chance to win ----going from 1.17% to 25.48% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. MaNa has a 3.84% chance to win ----going from 0.91% to 22.33% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.35% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 2.86% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaSa has a 3.14% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 2.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. viOLet has a 3.11% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 4.49% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 2.99% chance to win ----going from 1.98% to 61.57% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Bunny has a 2.85% chance to win ----going from 15.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 13.47% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.81% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 3.4% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Nerchio has a 2.32% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 7.58% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.35% chance to win ----going from 1.12% to 71.14% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't. Welmu has a 1.13% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 12.95% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.01% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 9.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 0.96% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 4.97% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 0.91% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 4.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 0.89% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 5.91% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. uThermal has a 0.87% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 40.23% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Kane has a 0.87% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 21.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jim has a 0.8% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 1.9% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.79% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 3.79% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 0.74% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 6.73% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bly has a 0.57% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.98% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 0.48% chance to win ----going from 0.41% to 73.35% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.47% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.4% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Has has a 0.43% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 21.67% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.41% chance to win ----going from 0.67% to 95.1% if they get 1st, or 0.28% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.4% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.59% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. neeb has a 0.38% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.27% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Starbuck has a 0.3% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.65% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.28% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. SortOf has a 0.23% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.45% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. DnS has a 0.17% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.34% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.66% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Dayshi has a 0.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.41% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shana has a 0.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Welmu vs Elazerin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Welmu is at 0.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.29%, or 0.01% if they lose. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
GunGFuBanDa vs DnSin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose. DnS is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Nerchio vs Harstemin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Nerchio is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.98% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.33%, or 0.01% if they lose. Harstem is at 0.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.92%, or 0.01% if they lose.
FireCake vs Zansterin in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. FireCake must win this match! FireCake is at 1.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.22%, or 0.01% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.72% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Jaedong, Snute, MarineLorD, Petraeus, MaNa, ShoWTimE, uThermal, FireCake, Kane, TLO, Harstem, and Has must win this tournament! Hydra has a 15.44% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Polt has a 9.76% chance to win ----going from 99.92% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.91% if they don't. ForGG has a 8.98% chance to win ----going from 14.41% to 98.57% if they get 1st, or 6.11% if they don't. Lilbow has a 7.31% chance to win ----going from 21.29% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 15.09% if they don't. Jaedong has a 7.12% chance to win ----going from 7.69% to 93.29% if they get 1st, or 1.13% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Snute has a 5.75% chance to win ----going from 9.73% to 98.81% if they get 1st, or 4.3% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 5.61% chance to win ----going from 5.03% to 76.06% if they get 1st, or 0.81% if they don't. Petraeus has a 4.25% chance to win ----going from 1.17% to 25.81% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. MaNa has a 3.95% chance to win ----going from 0.97% to 23.02% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.24% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 2.89% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 3.06% chance to win ----going from 2.08% to 63.5% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. viOLet has a 3.05% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 4.54% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaSa has a 3.04% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 2.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.82% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 3.55% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Nerchio has a 2.27% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 7.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. uThermal has a 1.62% chance to win ----going from 0.76% to 41.47% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.33% chance to win ----going from 1.12% to 72.71% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Welmu has a 1.12% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 13.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.99% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 9.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 0.96% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 4.96% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 0.89% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 4.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 0.86% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 6.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 0.84% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 22.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.79% chance to win ----going from 1.29% to 95.53% if they get 1st, or 0.54% if they don't. Starbuck has a 0.74% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.62% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jim has a 0.74% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.81% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.7% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 3.83% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 0.48% chance to win ----going from 0.42% to 74.77% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.47% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Has has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 22.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.39% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 3.44% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. neeb has a 0.38% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.28% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. DnS has a 0.16% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.1% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.66% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shana has a 0.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Life, INnoVation, sOs, and herOin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. sOs has the #4 Headband. This is the Group of Death! Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. sOs is at 44.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 64.05%, or 27.47% if they lose. INnoVation is at 82.53% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 92.49%, or 69.83% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Rain, Dream, Dear, and MyuNgSiKin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. MyuNgSiK must win this match! Rain has the #1 Headband. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dear is at 17.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 27.39%, or 7.07% if they lose. Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.61% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. MyuNgSiK is at 6.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.86%, or 2.29% if they lose.
HyuN, TY, Classic, and Roguein in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. HyuN and TY must win this match! HyuN is at 17.41% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.98% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 31.8%, or 4.13% if they lose. Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. TY is at 10.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.63%, or 1.25% if they lose. Rogue is at 63.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 83.64%, or 44.44% if they lose.
MyuNgSiK must win this tournament! Zest has a 14.99% chance to win ----going from 99.88% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.86% if they don't. INnoVation has a 11.48% chance to win ----going from 82.53% to 100% if they get 1st, or 80.27% if they don't. ByuL has a 10.49% chance to win ----going from 98.95% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.82% if they don't. Classic has a 9.37% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 8.7% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 7.64% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dream has a 7.02% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 5.24% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. HyuN has a 5.11% chance to win ----going from 17.41% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 12.97% if they don't. sOs has a 5.1% chance to win ----going from 44.69% to 100% if they get 1st, or 41.72% if they don't. Dear has a 4.84% chance to win ----going from 17.09% to 98.99% if they get 1st, or 12.92% if they don't. Rogue has a 4.26% chance to win ----going from 63.63% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.01% if they don't. TY has a 4.12% chance to win ----going from 10.09% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 6.23% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.66% chance to win ----going from 6.19% to 98.83% if they get 1st, or 4.63% if they don't.
ASUS ROG Summerin ~ FanTaSy has a 10.98% chance to win ----going from 74.32% to 98.27% if they get 1st, or 71.37% if they don't. HyuN has a 8.33% chance to win ----going from 17.39% to 45.08% if they get 1st, or 14.88% if they don't. Lilbow has a 7.83% chance to win ----going from 21.73% to 48.69% if they get 1st, or 19.44% if they don't. TRUE has a 7.68% chance to win ----going from 0.9% to 5.71% if they get 1st, or 0.5% if they don't. Snute has a 6.43% chance to win ----going from 9.78% to 23.72% if they get 1st, or 8.82% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
MarineLorD has a 5.7% chance to win ----going from 5.12% to 10.85% if they get 1st, or 4.78% if they don't. Happy has a 5.64% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bunny has a 5.31% chance to win ----going from 3.38% to 23.19% if they get 1st, or 2.27% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 5.23% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. PtitDrogo has a 4.2% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 4.08% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 1.15% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. StarDust has a 3.89% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.23% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Welmu has a 3.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Apocalypse has a 2.92% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. uThermal has a 2.59% chance to win ----going from 0.91% to 3.13% if they get 1st, or 0.85% if they don't. Zanster has a 2.56% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 1.14% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Losira has a 2.4% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.29% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Serral has a 2.09% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 2.01% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ret has a 1.83% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. KeeN has a 1.48% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TLO has a 1.39% chance to win ----going from 1.42% to 7.82% if they get 1st, or 1.33% if they don't. BBoongBBoong has a 0.63% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Gamja has a 0.48% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MiNiMaTh has a 0.35% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Guru has a 0.29% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Namshar has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. StarNaN has a 0.19% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. denver has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. ZhuGeLiang has a 0.06% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Fuzer has a 0.05% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
HyuN, elfi, Apocalypse, and denverin in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32. HyuN is at 17.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 78.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 19.4%, or 10.09% if they lose. Apocalypse is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. elfi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.86% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. denver is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 21.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
TRUE, MarineLorD, Zanster, and Caltin in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32. TRUE must win this match! TRUE is at 0.9% Blizzcon Chances, with a 77.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.12%, or 0.16% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.16%, or 0.03% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 5.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.87%, or 3.5% if they lose. Calt is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 1.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Welmu, StarNaN, Bunny, and Gamjain in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32. Bunny must win this match! Welmu is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Bunny is at 3.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 74.59% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.25%, or 0.81% if they lose. StarNaN is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Gamja is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
NaNiwa, Ret, ZhuGeLiang, and Lilbowin in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32. NaNiwa is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.98% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. ZhuGeLiang is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 16.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Ret is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.68% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Lilbow is at 21.73% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.37%, or 14.52% if they lose.
KeeN, FanTaSy, Serral, and Namsharin in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32. KeeN is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Serral is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 74.32% Blizzcon Chances, with a 80.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 78.45%, or 57.66% if they lose. Namshar is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 20.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
BBoongBBoong, uThermal, Patience, and Guruin in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32. BBoongBBoong is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Patience is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.15%, or 0.02% if they lose. uThermal is at 0.91% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.2%, or 0.51% if they lose. Guru is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Snute, StarDust, Fuzer, and PtitDrogoin in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32. Snute is at 9.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 10.93%, or 6.99% if they lose. Fuzer is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 15.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. StarDust is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.93% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0.01% if they lose. PtitDrogo is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Losira, Happy, TLO, and MiNiMaThin in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32. Losira is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0.01% if they lose. TLO is at 1.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.87%, or 1.06% if they lose. Happy is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. MiNiMaTh is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Solar, MyuNgSiK, Cure, and Zestin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Solar must win this match! Solar is at 3.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.4%, or 0.03% if they lose. Cure is at 0.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.27%, or 0.01% if they lose. MyuNgSiK is at 5.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.49% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.13%, or 2.73% if they lose. Zest is at 99.88% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.2% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.69% if they lose.
Bomber, Maru, Classic, and Trustin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Bomber must win this match! This is the Group of Death! Bomber is at 0.66% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.58%, or 0.01% if they lose. Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.93% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Trust is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0% if they lose.
Stork, Bbyong, sOs, and Lifein in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Bbyong and sOs must win this match! Stork is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.14% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. sOs is at 22.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 34.04%, or 5.24% if they lose. Bbyong is at 4.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.48% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.98%, or 0.1% if they lose. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
herO, Hack, Losira, and Rainin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. herO has the #4 Headband.Rain has the #1 Headband. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.39% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Losira is at 0.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.41%, or 0.01% if they lose. Hack is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 74.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Curious, INnoVation, Flash, and Pigbabyin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Curious must win this match! Curious is at 9.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.03%, or 1.13% if they lose. Flash is at 0.43% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.48% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.89%, or 0.01% if they lose. INnoVation is at 93.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 97.24%, or 85.75% if they lose. Pigbaby is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Dear, FanTaSy, ByuL, and Sleepin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Dear is at 16.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.37%, or 7.13% if they lose. ByuL is at 98.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.85%, or 97.51% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 88.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 95.57%, or 77.84% if they lose. Sleep is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.53% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
PartinG, MMA, Dark, and sKyHighin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. MMA must win this match! Dark has the #3 Headband. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dark is at 64.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 79.78%, or 34.92% if they lose. MMA is at 0.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.49% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.5%, or 0.04% if they lose. sKyHigh is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Rogue, soO, Hurricane, and GuMihoin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. soO and GuMiho must win this match! soO has the #2 Headband. This is the Group of Death! Rogue is at 63.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.86% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 81.34%, or 46.81% if they lose. Hurricane is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.01% if they lose. soO is at 15.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.67%, or 1.81% if they lose. GuMiho is at 6.34% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.05% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.39%, or 0.51% if they lose.
Solar, Bbyong, GuMiho, Flash, Bomber, MyuNgSiK, MMA, and Losira must win this tournament! PartinG has a 9.77% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 8.18% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. INnoVation has a 7.75% chance to win ----going from 93.14% to 100% if they get 1st, or 92.57% if they don't. soO has a 7.56% chance to win ----going from 15.46% to 99.11% if they get 1st, or 8.62% if they don't. Classic has a 6.11% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Dark has a 5.44% chance to win ----going from 64.46% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.42% if they don't. herO has a 5.31% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 5.28% chance to win ----going from 99.88% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.87% if they don't. Maru has a 4.88% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 4.19% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 3.69% chance to win ----going from 88.12% to 100% if they get 1st, or 87.67% if they don't. Solar has a 3.55% chance to win ----going from 3.42% to 80.61% if they get 1st, or 0.58% if they don't. sOs has a 3.51% chance to win ----going from 22.26% to 100% if they get 1st, or 19.43% if they don't. Dear has a 3.09% chance to win ----going from 16.6% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 13.95% if they don't. Bbyong has a 2.99% chance to win ----going from 4.06% to 95.48% if they get 1st, or 1.23% if they don't. ByuL has a 2.97% chance to win ----going from 98.92% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.89% if they don't. Curious has a 2.52% chance to win ----going from 9.45% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 7.11% if they don't. GuMiho has a 2.4% chance to win ----going from 6.34% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 4.04% if they don't. Rogue has a 1.9% chance to win ----going from 63.33% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.62% if they don't. Flash has a 1.9% chance to win ----going from 0.43% to 20.72% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Cure has a 1.38% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 9.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Trust has a 1.04% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 3.36% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 1.03% chance to win ----going from 0.66% to 54.79% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 0.78% chance to win ----going from 5.97% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 5.23% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.74% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 8.65% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MMA has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0.86% to 86.04% if they get 1st, or 0.36% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.43% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Losira has a 0.39% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 28.6% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 6.35% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Stork has a 0.12% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.54% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.53% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Branch #2865 -If Flash makes top 8 in GSL, then he goes up to 1.9% -If Flash gets 8th place in GSL, he goes down to 0.02% -If Flash gets 4th place in GSL, he goes down to 0.13% -If Flash gets 2nd place in GSL, he goes up to 1.1% -If Flash wins GSL, he goes up to 20.73% -If Flash wins GSL and DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 97.04% -If Flash wins GSL and gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 67.55%
Biggest Winners HyuN went up by 6.56%, going from 17.78% to 24.34% Solar went up by 3.86%, going from 3.57% to 7.43% FanTaSy went up by 3.8%, going from 75.56% to 79.35% ForGG went up by 0.66%, going from 15.62% to 16.28% INnoVation went up by 0.46%, going from 93.16% to 93.62% Dark went up by 0.25%, going from 66.17% to 66.42% GuMiho went up by 0.21%, going from 6.38% to 6.6% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Losira went up by 0.19%, going from 0.04% to 0.23% soO went up by 0.18%, going from 15.73% to 15.91% TLO went up by 0.17%, going from 1.47% to 1.64%
Biggest Losers Lilbow went down by 4.19%, going from 22.32% to 18.13% MyuNgSiK went down by 3.05%, going from 6.28% to 3.23% Snute went down by 3.01%, going from 9.99% to 6.99% Bunny went down by 2.02%, going from 3.62% to 1.59% sOs went down by 1.7%, going from 24.43% to 22.73% MarineLorD went down by 1.02%, going from 5.29% to 4.28% Dear went down by 0.57%, going from 17.39% to 16.82% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
TRUE went down by 0.41%, going from 0.97% to 0.56% Rogue went down by 0.23%, going from 65.26% to 65.03% Cure went down by 0.14%, going from 0.14% to 0% TY went down by 0.13%, going from 10.32% to 10.18%
Losira vs PtitDrogoin in ASUS ROG Summer finals. Losira is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.35%, or 0.18% if they lose. PtitDrogo is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WCS Ro32 Groups Set and Group of Death Analysis! Saturday, Aug 01 2:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2912)
Biggest Winners and Losers since (Sim ID #2901 vs Sim ID #2912) Biggest Winners Lilbow went up by 1.81%, going from 18.12% to 19.93% Snute went up by 1.27%, going from 6.94% to 8.21% MaNa went up by 0.18%, going from 1.08% to 1.26%
Biggest Losers ForGG went down by 0.72%, going from 16.29% to 15.57% Dark went down by 0.3%, going from 66.37% to 66.07% Jaedong went down by 0.27%, going from 7.54% to 7.26% Rogue went down by 0.26%, going from 64.99% to 64.74% Harstem went down by 0.26%, going from 1.21% to 0.95% FanTaSy went down by 0.22%, going from 79.34% to 79.12% Petraeus went down by 0.17%, going from 1.27% to 1.09% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
HyuN went down by 0.15%, going from 24.4% to 24.25% sOs went down by 0.13%, going from 22.68% to 22.56%
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 37.86% up to 40.09% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 2.53% up to 2.86%
Top Foreigner Hopes Lilbow17.66% chance to be the only foreigner, 19.93% chance overall. Snute7.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.21% chance overall. MarineLorD3.61% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.19% chance overall. ShoWTimE1.9% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.21% chance overall. TLO1.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.64% chance overall. Bunny1.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.57% chance overall. MaNa1.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.26% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Petraeus0.95% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.09% chance overall. Harstem0.81% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.95% chance overall. uThermal0.78% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.9% chance overall. Kane0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.2% chance overall. Has0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. iaguz0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. MajOr0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. MaSa0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall. Sen0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. Zanster0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. iAsonu0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Kelazhur0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Jim0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Elazer0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Starbuck0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. FireCake0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. PtitDrogo0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Hitman0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. XiGua0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. neeb0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Happy0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Ret0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Shana0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Nerchio0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Serral0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. NaNiwa0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Welmu0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Bly0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. MorroW0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. HuK0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. MacSed0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! soO is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses! herO is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
0.82% of the time 2550 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.85% of the time 2700 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 28.4% of the time 2850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 50.28% of the time 2975 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 67.38% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.54% of the time 3250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.99% of the time 3500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
herO has a 69.64% chance to be the #1 seed. herO has a 24.02% chance to be the #2 seed. Life has a 26.07% chance to be the #3 seed. Life has a 25.58% chance to be the #4 seed. Maru has a 21.84% chance to be the #5 seed. Hydra has a 16.71% chance to be the #6 seed. Hydra has a 17.5% chance to be the #7 seed. Dream has a 20.37% chance to be the #8 seed. Dream has a 23.08% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 16.39% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 18.83% chance to be the #11 seed. Polt has a 17.79% chance to be the #12 seed. ByuL has a 16.34% chance to be the #13 seed. FanTaSy has a 15.09% chance to be the #14 seed. FanTaSy has a 14.84% chance to be the #15 seed. Dark has a 14.75% chance to be the #16 seed.
Dream vs Classic has a 15.2% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs herO has a 14.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Rogue has a 13.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs FanTaSy has a 13.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs ByuL has a 13.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs ByuL has a 12.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Zest has a 12.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Dream has a 12.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs FanTaSy has a 12.51% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs ByuL has a 12.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Polt, MajOr, Harstem, and Petraeusin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Harstem and Petraeus must win this match! Polt is at 99.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.84% if they lose. Harstem is at 0.95% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.65%, or 0.01% if they lose. MajOr is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.19%, or 0.01% if they lose. Petraeus is at 1.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.14%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Kelazhur, Starbuck, Hydra, and uThermalin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. uThermal must win this match! Kelazhur is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0% if they lose. Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Starbuck is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.24% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. uThermal is at 0.9% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.92%, or 0.01% if they lose.
ShoWTimE, HeRoMaRinE, Jaedong, and Senin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. ShoWTimE and Jaedong must win this match! ShoWTimE is at 2.21% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.99%, or 0.01% if they lose. Jaedong is at 7.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.89%, or 0.06% if they lose. HeRoMaRinE is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.23%, or 0.01% if they lose. Sen is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.14%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MaSa, iaguz, MarineLorD, and Hasin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. MarineLorD must win this match! MaSa is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.15%, or 0.01% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 4.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.06%, or 0.01% if they lose. iaguz is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.23%, or 0.01% if they lose. Has is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.27%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Shana, Lilbow, neeb, and GunGFuBanDain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Lilbow must win this match! Shana is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Lilbow is at 19.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 27.27%, or 1.78% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.72% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.01% if they lose.
iAsonu, Zanster, Kane, and ForGGin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. ForGG must win this match! iAsonu is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose. Kane is at 0.2% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.52%, or 0.01% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose. ForGG is at 15.57% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.53%, or 0.9% if they lose.
Hitman, Elazer, Jim, and Snutein in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Snute must win this match! Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Jim is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.18% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose. Snute is at 8.21% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.53%, or 0.14% if they lose.
viOLet, MaNa, TLO, and XiGuain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. MaNa and TLO must win this match! viOLet is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.28%, or 0.01% if they lose. TLO is at 1.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.59%, or 0.05% if they lose. MaNa is at 1.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.84%, or 0.01% if they lose. XiGua is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Jaedong, Snute, MarineLorD, MaNa, Petraeus, ShoWTimE, uThermal, Harstem, TLO, Kane, and Has must win this tournament! Hydra has a 16.58% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Polt has a 9.87% chance to win ----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.93% if they don't. ForGG has a 9.24% chance to win ----going from 15.57% to 98.94% if they get 1st, or 7.08% if they don't. Lilbow has a 8.35% chance to win ----going from 19.94% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 12.65% if they don't. Jaedong has a 6.6% chance to win ----going from 7.26% to 94.7% if they get 1st, or 1.09% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Snute has a 5.66% chance to win ----going from 8.21% to 99.41% if they get 1st, or 2.74% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 5.04% chance to win ----going from 4.19% to 76.68% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't. MaNa has a 4.63% chance to win ----going from 1.26% to 25.54% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Petraeus has a 3.81% chance to win ----going from 1.09% to 27.09% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. viOLet has a 3.37% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 4.83% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 3.06% chance to win ----going from 2.21% to 67.4% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.06% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 3.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaSa has a 2.86% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 2.9% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.57% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 4.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 2.27% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 1.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.89% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 5.55% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. uThermal has a 1.68% chance to win ----going from 0.9% to 49.3% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Harstem has a 1.05% chance to win ----going from 0.95% to 78.37% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.01% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 10.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.94% chance to win ----going from 1.64% to 98.47% if they get 1st, or 0.73% if they don't. Starbuck has a 0.86% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.73% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.85% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 0.75% chance to win ----going from 0.2% to 25.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 0.73% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 6.67% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jim has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 4.29% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.53% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 4.66% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.49% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.42% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Has has a 0.43% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 24.64% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. neeb has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.09% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.82% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shana has a 0.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Group A Polt has a 9.87% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 MajOr has a 3.06% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Harstem has a 1.05% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Petraeus has a 3.81% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 17.7923
Group B Kelazhur has a 0.53% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Starbuck has a 0.86% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Hydra has a 16.58% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 uThermal has a 1.68% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 19.6512
Group C ShoWTimE has a 3.06% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 HeRoMaRinE has a 2.57% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Jaedong has a 6.6% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Sen has a 0.73% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.9616
Group D MaSa has a 2.86% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 iaguz has a 1.01% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 MarineLorD has a 5.04% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Has has a 0.43% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.33464
Group E Shana has a 0.07% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Lilbow has a 8.35% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 neeb has a 0.31% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 GunGFuBanDa has a 1.89% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 10.6203
Group F iAsonu has a 0.67% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Zanster has a 2.27% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Kane has a 0.75% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 ForGG has a 9.24% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.9353
Group G Hitman has a 0.49% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Elazer has a 0.85% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Jim has a 0.67% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Snute has a 5.66% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 7.66813
Group H viOLet has a 3.37% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 MaNa has a 4.63% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 TLO has a 0.94% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 XiGua has a 0.09% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.0366
Group A Polt has a 99.94% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MajOr has a 0.1% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Harstem has a 0.95% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Petraeus has a 1.09% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 102.079
Group B Kelazhur has a 0.03% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Starbuck has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Hydra has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon uThermal has a 0.9% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 100.936
Group C ShoWTimE has a 2.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon HeRoMaRinE has a 0.11% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Jaedong has a 7.26% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Sen has a 0.05% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 9.63489
Group D MaSa has a 0.08% chance to qualify for Blizzcon iaguz has a 0.1% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MarineLorD has a 4.19% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Has has a 0.11% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 4.48891
Group E Shana has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Lilbow has a 19.94% chance to qualify for Blizzcon neeb has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon GunGFuBanDa has a 0.11% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 20.0448
Group F iAsonu has a 0.03% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Zanster has a 0.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Kane has a 0.2% chance to qualify for Blizzcon ForGG has a 15.57% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 15.8337
Group G Hitman has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Elazer has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Jim has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Snute has a 8.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 8.24042
Group H viOLet has a 0.17% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MaNa has a 1.26% chance to qualify for Blizzcon TLO has a 1.64% chance to qualify for Blizzcon XiGua has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 3.07565
Group A Polt's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% MajOr's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Harstem's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.26% Petraeus's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.17% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.452967
Group B Kelazhur's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Starbuck's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Hydra's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% uThermal's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.06% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.0692
Group C ShoWTimE's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02% HeRoMaRinE's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02% Jaedong's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.28% Sen's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.323153
Group D MaSa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% iaguz's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% MarineLorD's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.09% Has's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.0938473
Group E Shana's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Lilbow's Blizzcon Chances changed by 1.81% neeb's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% GunGFuBanDa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.02% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.83316
Group F iAsonu's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Zanster's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Kane's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.03% ForGG's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.72% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.754969
Group G Hitman's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Elazer's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Jim's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Snute's Blizzcon Chances changed by 1.27% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.27017
Group H viOLet's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% MaNa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.18% TLO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% XiGua's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.178108
Group A When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.06% When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.1% When MajOr wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.09% When MajOr loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.1% When Harstem wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.69% When Harstem loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.95% When Petraeus wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.05% When Petraeus loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.09% Giving this match an Effects Score of 5.13618
Group B When Kelazhur wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05% When Kelazhur loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.03% When Starbuck wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Starbuck loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When uThermal wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.01% When uThermal loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.9% Giving this match an Effects Score of 2.00536
Group C When ShoWTimE wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.78% When ShoWTimE loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.21% When HeRoMaRinE wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.12% When HeRoMaRinE loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11% When Jaedong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 4.63% When Jaedong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.2% When Sen wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.09% When Sen loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.05% Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.192
Group D When MaSa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.07% When MaSa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08% When iaguz wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.13% When iaguz loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.1% When MarineLorD wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.87% When MarineLorD loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.18% When Has wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.16% When Has loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11% Giving this match an Effects Score of 7.70839
Group E When Shana wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Shana loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Lilbow wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.33% When Lilbow loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 18.16% When neeb wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When neeb loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When GunGFuBanDa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.06% When GunGFuBanDa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11% Giving this match an Effects Score of 25.665
Group F When iAsonu wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.04% When iAsonu loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.03% When Zanster wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.03% When Zanster loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.04% When Kane wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.32% When Kane loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.2% When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.96% When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 14.66% Giving this match an Effects Score of 23.291
Group G When Hitman wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Hitman loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Elazer wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Elazer loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Jim wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.02% When Jim loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.32% When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.07% Giving this match an Effects Score of 11.4545
Group H When viOLet wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.11% When viOLet loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.17% When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.58% When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.26% When TLO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.95% When TLO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.6% When XiGua wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When XiGua loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% Giving this match an Effects Score of 5.67346
Group A Polt has an Aligulac rating of 2144 MajOr has an Aligulac rating of 1851 Harstem has an Aligulac rating of 1716 Petraeus has an Aligulac rating of 1964 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7675
Group B Kelazhur has an Aligulac rating of 1596 Starbuck has an Aligulac rating of 1688 Hydra has an Aligulac rating of 2299 uThermal has an Aligulac rating of 1762 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7345
Group C ShoWTimE has an Aligulac rating of 1862 HeRoMaRinE has an Aligulac rating of 1838 Jaedong has an Aligulac rating of 2054 Sen has an Aligulac rating of 1686 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7440
Group D MaSa has an Aligulac rating of 1817 iaguz has an Aligulac rating of 1655 MarineLorD has an Aligulac rating of 1939 Has has an Aligulac rating of 1562 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6973
Group E Shana has an Aligulac rating of 1354 Lilbow has an Aligulac rating of 2038 neeb has an Aligulac rating of 1526 GunGFuBanDa has an Aligulac rating of 1750 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6668
Group F iAsonu has an Aligulac rating of 1656 Zanster has an Aligulac rating of 1818 Kane has an Aligulac rating of 1699 ForGG has an Aligulac rating of 2095 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7268
Group G Hitman has an Aligulac rating of 1579 Elazer has an Aligulac rating of 1678 Jim has an Aligulac rating of 1639 Snute has an Aligulac rating of 1999 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6895
Group H viOLet has an Aligulac rating of 1898 MaNa has an Aligulac rating of 1900 TLO has an Aligulac rating of 1694 XiGua has an Aligulac rating of 1443 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6935
Final Placings Group A has two 1st places, and two 2nd places Group B has one 1st place, one 2nd place, and one 3rd place Group C has one 2nd place, and three 3rd places Group D has one 4th place Group E has one 1st place, and one 3rd place Group F has one 1st place, one 2nd place, and three 4th places Group G has one 4th place Group H has no top 4 placements
With two 1st places and two 2nd places, Group A is our Group of Death! Congratulations to Polt, MajOr, Harstem, and Petraeus! The 2nd place Group of Death is Group B with Kelazhur, Starbuck, Hydra, and uThermal.
On August 05 2015 05:47 OtherWorld wrote: Why did PtitDrogo lose so many WW points lately? Oo
Sorry I had to do a fix for the ASUS ROG points.
But now he's worth less than before the ASUS ROG playoffs? D:
Yea unfortunately I can't think of a good way around this. The tournament was treated as a tier 2 but was actually only a tier 3. If you sell him then I'll adjust the sale to make it for a 100 point profit, which is probably about what it would've been considering when you bought him.
On August 05 2015 05:47 OtherWorld wrote: Why did PtitDrogo lose so many WW points lately? Oo
Sorry I had to do a fix for the ASUS ROG points.
But now he's worth less than before the ASUS ROG playoffs? D:
Yea unfortunately I can't think of a good way around this. The tournament was treated as a tier 2 but was actually only a tier 3. If you sell him then I'll adjust the sale to make it for a 100 point profit, which is probably about what it would've been considering when you bought him.
I plan to only sell him after the open bracket of IEM gamescom, but yeah that would be a cool move from you (:
On August 05 2015 05:47 OtherWorld wrote: Why did PtitDrogo lose so many WW points lately? Oo
Sorry I had to do a fix for the ASUS ROG points.
But now he's worth less than before the ASUS ROG playoffs? D:
Yea unfortunately I can't think of a good way around this. The tournament was treated as a tier 2 but was actually only a tier 3. If you sell him then I'll adjust the sale to make it for a 100 point profit, which is probably about what it would've been considering when you bought him.
I plan to only sell him after the open bracket of IEM gamescom, but yeah that would be a cool move from you (:
Then I'll put in the sale for him and rebuy him for you. Cause it's already complicated as-is, and delaying it would make it more complicated lol. There won't be any loss from selling since I'm adjusting the sale amount.
edit: Done. Had to do some work to fix up the WCS Wars graphs lol, things get complicated with refunds and stuff.
Trust, Classic, Maru, and Bomberin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Bomber must win this match! This is the 2nd place Group of Death! Trust is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.82% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Bomber is at 0.68% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.63%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Solar, Bbyong, GuMiho, Bomber, and MMA must win this tournament! Solar has a 8.52% chance to win ----going from 12.14% to 93.91% if they get 1st, or 4.52% if they don't. PartinG has a 8.31% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 7.7% chance to win ----going from 14.51% to 99.49% if they get 1st, or 7.42% if they don't. INnoVation has a 7.66% chance to win ----going from 94.03% to 100% if they get 1st, or 93.54% if they don't. Zest has a 7.4% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Rain has a 7.38% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 5.73% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dark has a 5.42% chance to win ----going from 64.77% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.75% if they don't. herO has a 4.83% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 4.78% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 4.21% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 3.16% chance to win ----going from 67.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 66.73% if they don't. sOs has a 3.16% chance to win ----going from 23.47% to 100% if they get 1st, or 20.97% if they don't. Bbyong has a 3.14% chance to win ----going from 4.2% to 97.31% if they get 1st, or 1.17% if they don't. ByuL has a 3.03% chance to win ----going from 99.46% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.45% if they don't. Dear has a 2.82% chance to win ----going from 16.95% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 14.55% if they don't. Curious has a 2.5% chance to win ----going from 10.12% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 7.82% if they don't. GuMiho has a 2.03% chance to win ----going from 5.87% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 3.92% if they don't. Rogue has a 1.85% chance to win ----going from 67.69% to 100% if they get 1st, or 67.08% if they don't. Flash has a 1.81% chance to win ----going from 0.37% to 18.54% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Bomber has a 0.99% chance to win ----going from 0.68% to 60.22% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Trust has a 0.89% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 2.74% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.66% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 7.31% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MMA has a 0.55% chance to win ----going from 0.88% to 90.46% if they get 1st, or 0.38% if they don't. Losira has a 0.5% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 16.91% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.38% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.41% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.92% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.21% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 5.79% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Stork has a 0.1% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.57% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.41% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
IEM Gamescom Open Bracketin ~ PtitDrogo has a 58.16% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaNa has a 50.67% chance to win ----going from 1.32% to 2.02% if they get 1st, or 0.61% if they don't. uThermal has a 43.75% chance to win ----going from 0.84% to 1.08% if they get 1st, or 0.65% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 43.01% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 0.21% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Patience has a 40.37% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Ret has a 37.6% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 34.38% chance to win ----going from 1.62% to 1.97% if they get 1st, or 1.44% if they don't. Bly has a 29.57% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Rail has a 27.32% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GoOdy has a 15.32% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Tarrantius has a 5.18% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Jade has a 3.85% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Ziggy has a 3.72% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. CPU has a 3.22% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. InZaNe has a 3.17% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. BlackCat has a 0.7% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Patience vs InZaNein in IEM Gamescom Open Bracket quarterfinals. Patience is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 78.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. InZaNe is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 21.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Bly vs Railin in IEM Gamescom Open Bracket quarterfinals. Bly is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Rail is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.64% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Tarrantius vs HeRoMaRinEin in IEM Gamescom Open Bracket quarterfinals. Tarrantius is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. HeRoMaRinE is at 0.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.13%, or 0.08% if they lose.
MaNa vs BlackCatin in IEM Gamescom Open Bracket quarterfinals. MaNa is at 1.32% Blizzcon Chances, with a 89.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.38%, or 0.83% if they lose. BlackCat is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 10.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
TLO vs CPUin in IEM Gamescom Open Bracket quarterfinals. TLO is at 1.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.7%, or 1.37% if they lose. CPU is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Jade vs PtitDrogoin in IEM Gamescom Open Bracket quarterfinals. Jade is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 20.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. PtitDrogo is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 79.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
GoOdy vs uThermalin in IEM Gamescom Open Bracket quarterfinals. GoOdy is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. uThermal is at 0.84% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.95%, or 0.63% if they lose.
Ret vs Ziggyin in IEM Gamescom Open Bracket quarterfinals. Ret is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Ziggy is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
soO, Happy, and MMAin in IEM Gamescom round of 16. soO has the #2 Headband. soO is at 14.51% Blizzcon Chances, with a 69.45% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.4%, or 10.21% if they lose. MMA is at 0.88% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.23%, or 0.54% if they lose. Happy is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
INnoVation, FanTaSy, and Lilbowin in IEM Gamescom round of 16. INnoVation is at 94.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.45% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 96.72%, or 88.72% if they lose. Lilbow is at 19.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.54%, or 14.59% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 67.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 82.63%, or 46.43% if they lose.
Lambo, State, and ForGGin in IEM Gamescom round of 16. Lambo is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. ForGG is at 15.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.04%, or 10.6% if they lose. State is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Nerchio vs StarDustin in IEM Gamescom round of 16. Nerchio is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. StarDust is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
IEM Gamescomin ~ INnoVation has a 19.17% chance to win ----going from 94.03% to 99.84% if they get 1st, or 92.66% if they don't. soO has a 17.3% chance to win ----going from 14.51% to 25.78% if they get 1st, or 12.15% if they don't. ForGG has a 12.63% chance to win ----going from 15.94% to 29.05% if they get 1st, or 14.05% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 11.05% chance to win ----going from 67.78% to 98.79% if they get 1st, or 63.93% if they don't. Lilbow has a 6.88% chance to win ----going from 19.02% to 42.88% if they get 1st, or 17.26% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Nerchio has a 5.17% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. StarDust has a 4.49% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Happy has a 4.34% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MMA has a 4.33% chance to win ----going from 0.88% to 3.55% if they get 1st, or 0.76% if they don't. PtitDrogo has a 3.43% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.47% chance to win ----going from 1.32% to 5.38% if they get 1st, or 1.22% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 1.52% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 1.63% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. uThermal has a 1.5% chance to win ----going from 0.84% to 2.68% if they get 1st, or 0.81% if they don't. Patience has a 1.36% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.41% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ret has a 0.92% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. State has a 0.89% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.82% chance to win ----going from 1.62% to 9.26% if they get 1st, or 1.56% if they don't. Lambo has a 0.69% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Rail has a 0.57% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Bly has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GoOdy has a 0.05% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Branch #3019 -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL (32nd place in GSL and 8th place in SSL), then he goes down to 73.22% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and IEM ro16, he goes down to 52.67% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and advances from his IEM ro16 group, he goes to 83.59% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 2nd place in IEM, he goes to 91.49% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 1st place in IEM, he goes up to 98.99%
Branch #3014 -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 22.66% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and wins his WCS ro32 group, he goes up to 31.1% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 4th place in WCS, he goes up to 42.49% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 2nd place in WCS, he goes up to 90.4% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 2nd place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 50.53% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 1st place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 74.32%
Branch #3015 -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 42.88% -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 8th place in WCS, he goes up to 56.04% -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 4th place in WCS, he goes up to 92.07% -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 16th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 50.3% -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 4th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 74.45%
Branch #3016 -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 83.78% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and loses his GSL ro32 group, he goes to 68.7% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and wins his GSL ro32 group, he goes up to 95.51% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and gets 16th place in GSL, he goes up to 91.42% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 8th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 96.29%
Branch #3020 -If Fantasy loses in GSL, then he goes down to 47.41% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 8th in IEM Gamescom, he goes to 68.7% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 2nd in IEM Gamescom, he goes to 83.51% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 1st in IEM Gamescom, he goes up to 97.35%
Branch #3017 -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 17.13% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and wins his GSL ro32 group, he goes up to 26.39% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd place in GSL, he goes up to 74.63% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and gets 2nd place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 35.17% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and gets 4th place in GSL, he goes up to 23.89%
Branch #3018 -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 16.27% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and wins his WCS ro32 group, he goes up to 24.76% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and loses his WCS ro32 group, he goes down to 0.61% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 4th in WCS, he goes to 15.95% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in WCS, he goes up to 61.88% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 33.09%
I feel like the important part for Gamesom is having the best weekend warrior on your team, and I feel like only soO, Inno, MMA and Fantasy has any chance. I have no idea about ForGG's form, but I think Inno will go far, depending on bracket luck and soO
Rain, Dream, Dear, and MyuNgSiKin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. MyuNgSiK must win this match! Rain has the #1 Headband. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dear is at 16.61% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.22% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 26.99%, or 6.55% if they lose. Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. MyuNgSiK is at 3.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.69%, or 0.26% if they lose.
Rogue, Classic, TY, and HyuNin in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. TY must win this match! Rogue is at 68.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 88.07%, or 49.59% if they lose. TY is at 10.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.86%, or 1.4% if they lose. Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. HyuN is at 26.56% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 44.73%, or 9.18% if they lose.
StarLeague Season 3in ~ MyuNgSiK must win this tournament! INnoVation has a 20.22% chance to win ----going from 94.43% to 100% if they get 1st, or 93.02% if they don't. Zest has a 13.78% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. herO has a 11.52% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ByuL has a 10.53% chance to win ----going from 99.49% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.43% if they don't. Classic has a 9.66% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Rain has a 8.35% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dream has a 6.33% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. HyuN has a 5.35% chance to win ----going from 26.56% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 22.41% if they don't. Dear has a 4.61% chance to win ----going from 16.61% to 99.24% if they get 1st, or 12.61% if they don't. Rogue has a 4.16% chance to win ----going from 68.16% to 100% if they get 1st, or 66.78% if they don't. TY has a 3.82% chance to win ----going from 10.11% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 6.54% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.66% chance to win ----going from 3.18% to 99.23% if they get 1st, or 1.55% if they don't.
MMA, Happy, soO, and HeRoMaRinEin in IEM Gamescom round of 16. soO has the #2 Headband. MMA is at 0.8% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.19% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.15%, or 0.49% if they lose. soO is at 14.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 69.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 15.95%, or 9.67% if they lose. Happy is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. HeRoMaRinE is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.41%, or 0.12% if they lose.
Lilbow, FanTaSy, Ret, and INnoVationin in IEM Gamescom round of 16. Lilbow is at 19.31% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.21% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.67%, or 14.52% if they lose. Ret is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 66.81% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 82.5%, or 45.99% if they lose. INnoVation is at 94.43% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 96.66%, or 88.75% if they lose.
Lambo, uThermal, State, and ForGGin in IEM Gamescom round of 16. Lambo is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. State is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. uThermal is at 1.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.29%, or 0.71% if they lose. ForGG is at 15.93% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.86% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.81%, or 10.6% if they lose.
Nerchio, TLO, StarDust, and Patiencein in IEM Gamescom round of 16. Nerchio is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. StarDust is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. TLO is at 2.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.44%, or 1.84% if they lose. Patience is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose.
INnoVation has a 20.01% chance to win ----going from 94.43% to 99.85% if they get 1st, or 93.07% if they don't. soO has a 17.95% chance to win ----going from 14.07% to 25.3% if they get 1st, or 11.61% if they don't. ForGG has a 12.28% chance to win ----going from 15.93% to 29.12% if they get 1st, or 14.08% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 10.33% chance to win ----going from 66.81% to 98.81% if they get 1st, or 63.13% if they don't. Lilbow has a 6.95% chance to win ----going from 19.31% to 43.43% if they get 1st, or 17.51% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Nerchio has a 5.96% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Happy has a 4.24% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MMA has a 4.05% chance to win ----going from 0.8% to 3.4% if they get 1st, or 0.69% if they don't. StarDust has a 4.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 3.98% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.4% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.96% chance to win ----going from 0.23% to 1.94% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. uThermal has a 2.7% chance to win ----going from 1.04% to 2.41% if they get 1st, or 1.01% if they don't. TLO has a 2.03% chance to win ----going from 2.48% to 10.29% if they get 1st, or 2.32% if they don't. Ret has a 1.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Lambo has a 0.72% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. State has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Branch #3065 -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL (32nd place in GSL and 8th place in SSL), then he goes down to 74.84% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and IEM ro16, he goes down to 53.03% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and advances from his IEM ro16 group, he goes to 83.43% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 2nd place in IEM, he goes to 91.62% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 1st place in IEM, he goes up to 99.08%
Branch #3060 -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 22.97% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and loses his WCS ro32 group, he goes down to 2.14% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and wins his WCS ro32 group, he goes up to 31.52% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 4th place in WCS, he goes up to 43.94% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 2nd place in WCS, he goes up to 91.06% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 2nd place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 51.38% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 1st place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 75.09%
Branch #3061 -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 43.43% -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 8th place in WCS, he goes up to 57.69% -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 4th place in WCS, he goes up to 92.59% -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 16th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 51.14% -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 4th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 74.5%
Branch #3062 -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 83.96% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and loses his GSL ro32 group, he goes to 69.17% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and wins his GSL ro32 group, he goes up to 95.46% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and gets 16th place in GSL, he goes up to 91.53% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 8th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 96.56%
Branch #3066 -If Fantasy loses in GSL, then he goes down to 46.37% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 8th in IEM Gamescom, he goes to 49.32% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 2nd in IEM Gamescom, he goes to 83.74% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 1st in IEM Gamescom, he goes up to 97.38%
Branch #3063 -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 16.63% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and wins his GSL ro32 group, he goes up to 25.49% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd place in GSL, he goes up to 74.8% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and gets 2nd place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 35.54% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and gets 4th place in GSL, he goes up to 24.19%
Branch #3064 -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 16.3% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and wins his WCS ro32 group, he goes up to 24.83% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and loses his WCS ro32 group, he goes down to 0.62% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 4th in WCS, he goes to 16.11% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in WCS, he goes up to 62.34% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 33.34% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 1st in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 50.36%
Stork, Bbyong, sOs, and Lifein in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Bbyong and sOs must win this match! Stork is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.19% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. sOs is at 22.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 34.02%, or 5.49% if they lose. Bbyong is at 3.87% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.59%, or 0.1% if they lose. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.59% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Rain, Losira, Hack, and herOin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Rain has the #1 Headband.herO has the #4 Headband. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Hack is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Losira is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.23%, or 0.01% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 69.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Pigbaby, Flash, INnoVation, and Curiousin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Curious must win this match! Pigbaby is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.61% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose. INnoVation is at 95.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.74%, or 90.81% if they lose. Flash is at 0.3% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.63%, or 0.01% if they lose. Curious is at 10.34% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.21%, or 1.28% if they lose.
Sleep, ByuL, FanTaSy, and Dearin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Dear must win this match! Sleep is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 84.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 94.74%, or 70.07% if they lose. ByuL is at 99.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.92%, or 98.53% if they lose. Dear is at 4.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.47%, or 0.26% if they lose.
sKyHigh, Dark, MMA, and PartinGin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. MMA must win this match! Dark has the #3 Headband. sKyHigh is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose. MMA is at 1.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.22% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.07%, or 0.08% if they lose. Dark is at 64.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 80.21%, or 31.19% if they lose. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.93% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
GuMiho, Hurricane, soO, and Roguein in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. GuMiho and soO must win this match! soO has the #2 Headband. GuMiho is at 5.22% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 10.71%, or 0.45% if they lose. soO is at 16.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.62%, or 1.65% if they lose. Hurricane is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.01% if they lose. Rogue is at 66.51% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 84.31%, or 50.04% if they lose.
Solar, Bbyong, Dear, GuMiho, and MMA must win this tournament! Classic has a 9.79% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 9.01% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 7.95% chance to win ----going from 16.37% to 99.83% if they get 1st, or 9.15% if they don't. Solar has a 7.55% chance to win ----going from 10.87% to 93.07% if they get 1st, or 4.15% if they don't. INnoVation has a 7.55% chance to win ----going from 95.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 95.6% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Rain has a 7.44% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 6.85% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. PartinG has a 6.62% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dark has a 5.12% chance to win ----going from 64.26% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.33% if they don't. herO has a 4.42% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 3.62% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 3.25% chance to win ----going from 84.38% to 100% if they get 1st, or 83.85% if they don't. sOs has a 2.91% chance to win ----going from 22.39% to 100% if they get 1st, or 20.06% if they don't. Bbyong has a 2.88% chance to win ----going from 3.87% to 96.82% if they get 1st, or 1.11% if they don't. ByuL has a 2.79% chance to win ----going from 99.39% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.37% if they don't. Curious has a 2.64% chance to win ----going from 10.34% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 7.91% if they don't. Dear has a 2.09% chance to win ----going from 4.64% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 2.6% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.75% chance to win ----going from 5.22% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 3.53% if they don't. Rogue has a 1.73% chance to win ----going from 66.51% to 100% if they get 1st, or 65.92% if they don't. Flash has a 1.58% chance to win ----going from 0.3% to 17.59% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.66% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 7.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MMA has a 0.48% chance to win ----going from 1.07% to 97.96% if they get 1st, or 0.6% if they don't. Losira has a 0.45% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 15.65% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.18% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.18% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 5.4% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Stork has a 0.09% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.49% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.36% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
Biggest Winners FanTaSy went up by 16.59%, going from 67.78% to 84.38% MyuNgSiK went up by 5.68%, going from 3.16% to 8.84% INnoVation went up by 1.9%, going from 94.03% to 95.94% soO went up by 1.86%, going from 14.51% to 16.37% TLO went up by 0.72%, going from 1.62% to 2.34% Curious went up by 0.22%, going from 10.12% to 10.34% MMA went up by 0.19%, going from 0.88% to 1.07% uThermal went up by 0.16%, going from 0.84% to 0.99%
Biggest Losers Dear went down by 12.32%, going from 16.95% to 4.64% Lilbow went down by 4.25%, going from 19.02% to 14.78% HyuN went down by 1.66%, going from 27.01% to 25.35% Solar went down by 1.27%, going from 12.14% to 10.87% Rogue went down by 1.18%, going from 67.69% to 66.51% sOs went down by 1.08%, going from 23.47% to 22.39% MaNa went down by 0.8%, going from 1.32% to 0.52% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Bomber went down by 0.67%, going from 0.68% to 0.01% TY went down by 0.65%, going from 10.16% to 9.5% GuMiho went down by 0.65%, going from 5.87% to 5.22% Dark went down by 0.5%, going from 64.77% to 64.26% ForGG went down by 0.45%, going from 15.94% to 15.5% Bbyong went down by 0.33%, going from 4.2% to 3.87% Stats went down by 0.29%, going from 7.34% to 7.06% Jaedong went down by 0.24%, going from 10.18% to 9.94% Harstem went down by 0.21%, going from 0.99% to 0.79% Snute went down by 0.16%, going from 7.83% to 7.67%
Chances of 1+ foreigners at Blizzcon went from 39.12% down to 35.15% Chances of 2+ foreigners at Blizzcon went from 2.68% down to 1.76%
ForGG, State, uThermal, and Lamboin in IEM Gamescom round of 16. ForGG is at 15.5% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.25%, or 10.53% if they lose. uThermal is at 0.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.24%, or 0.67% if they lose. State is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Lambo is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Patience, StarDust, TLO, and Nerchioin in IEM Gamescom round of 16. Patience is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose. TLO is at 2.34% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.22%, or 1.77% if they lose. StarDust is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Nerchio is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
soO has a 23.85% chance to win ----going from 16.37% to 26.07% if they get 1st, or 13.33% if they don't. INnoVation has a 22.94% chance to win ----going from 95.94% to 99.83% if they get 1st, or 94.78% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 17.59% chance to win ----going from 84.38% to 98.91% if they get 1st, or 81.28% if they don't. ForGG has a 10.77% chance to win ----going from 15.5% to 28.62% if they get 1st, or 13.91% if they don't. MMA has a 7.45% chance to win ----going from 1.07% to 3.25% if they get 1st, or 0.89% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Nerchio has a 5.34% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 3.56% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.37% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. StarDust has a 3.51% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. uThermal has a 2.08% chance to win ----going from 0.99% to 2.29% if they get 1st, or 0.97% if they don't. TLO has a 1.78% chance to win ----going from 2.34% to 9.84% if they get 1st, or 2.21% if they don't. Lambo has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. State has a 0.56% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Branch #3091 -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL (32nd place in GSL and 8th place in SSL), then he goes down to 79.98% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 8th place in IEM, he goes to 67.8% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 4th place in IEM, he goes to 81.85% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 2nd place in IEM, he goes to 90.99% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 1st place in IEM, he goes up to 98.92%
Branch #3088 -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 85.28% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and loses his GSL ro32 group, he goes to 70.94% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and wins his GSL ro32 group, he goes up to 95.68% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and gets 16th place in GSL, he goes up to 91.81% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and gets 8th place in GSL, he goes up to 98.97% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 8th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 96.66%
Branch #3092 -If Fantasy loses in GSL, then he goes down to 70.07% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 8th in IEM Gamescom, he goes down to 51.73% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 2nd in IEM Gamescom, he goes to 85.01% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 1st in IEM Gamescom, he goes up to 97.53% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 8th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 91.22%
Branch #3089 -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 17.37% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and wins his GSL ro32 group, he goes up to 26.31% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd place in GSL, he goes up to 71.72% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and gets 2nd place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 35.45% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and gets 4th place in GSL, he goes up to 23.52%
Branch #3090 -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 15.99% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and wins his WCS ro32 group, he goes up to 24.36% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and loses his WCS ro32 group, he goes down to 0.59% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 4th in WCS, he goes to 15.29% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in WCS, he goes up to 59.11% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 1st in WCS, he goes up to 99.98% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 32.14% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 1st in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 48.32%
Bomber vs AKin in 4Gamers round of 16. Bomber is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 88.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. AK is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 11.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Rex vs Jimin in 4Gamers round of 16. Rex is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 18.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Jim is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0.02% if they lose.
Rushcrazy vs cheetosin in 4Gamers round of 16. Rushcrazy is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. cheetos is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
MacSed vs Ianin in 4Gamers round of 16. MacSed is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Ian is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.05% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Pet vs HyuNin in 4Gamers quarterfinals. Pet is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.62% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. HyuN is at 33.21% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 35.44%, or 28.4% if they lose.
PartinG vs Hasin in 4Gamers quarterfinals. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Has is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 23.1% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.23%, or 0.16% if they lose.
4Gamers Winning Chances PartinG has a 37.3% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. HyuN has a 24.1% chance to win ----going from 33.21% to 41.53% if they get 1st, or 30.57% if they don't. Bomber has a 17.45% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jim has a 7.61% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Pet has a 5.98% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Has has a 3.18% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 0.35% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. Ian has a 2.18% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MacSed has a 1.78% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. cheetos has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. AK has a 0.04% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Rex has a 0.04% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Rushcrazy has a 0.02% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Biggest Winners FanTaSy went up by 14.42%, going from 67.78% to 82.2% sOs went up by 8.8%, going from 23.47% to 32.27% HyuN went up by 6.2%, going from 27.01% to 33.21% MyuNgSiK went up by 5.26%, going from 3.16% to 8.42% soO went up by 2.48%, going from 14.51% to 16.99% Bbyong went up by 1.8%, going from 4.2% to 5.99% INnoVation went up by 1.52%, going from 94.03% to 95.55%
Biggest Losers Dear went down by 12.84%, going from 16.95% to 4.11% Lilbow went down by 5.22%, going from 19.02% to 13.8% Rogue went down by 3.94%, going from 67.69% to 63.76% Dark went down by 3.92%, going from 64.77% to 60.84% Solar went down by 2.15%, going from 12.14% to 9.99% Stats went down by 2.07%, going from 7.34% to 5.27% TY went down by 1.88%, going from 10.16% to 8.27% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
GuMiho went down by 1.37%, going from 5.87% to 4.5% Curious went down by 1.02%, going from 10.12% to 9.1% MaNa went down by 0.92%, going from 1.32% to 0.4% Jaedong went down by 0.83%, going from 10.18% to 9.35% Bomber went down by 0.67%, going from 0.68% to 0.01% Snute went down by 0.66%, going from 7.83% to 7.17% Bunny went down by 0.5%, going from 1.32% to 0.83% ForGG went down by 0.32%, going from 15.94% to 15.62% MarineLorD went down by 0.28%, going from 4.14% to 3.86% Harstem went down by 0.25%, going from 0.99% to 0.75% uThermal went down by 0.23%, going from 0.84% to 0.61% Petraeus went down by 0.21%, going from 1.22% to 1.01% ShoWTimE went down by 0.18%, going from 2.39% to 2.21% Soulkey went down by 0.14%, going from 0.31% to 0.16% ByuL went down by 0.12%, going from 99.46% to 99.34% TRUE went down by 0.12%, going from 0.26% to 0.14% Flash went down by 0.12%, going from 0.37% to 0.24% viOLet went down by 0.11%, going from 0.57% to 0.45%
Chances of 1+ foreigners at Blizzcon went from 39.12% down to 31.94% Chances of 2+ foreigners at Blizzcon went from 2.68% down to 1.2%
soO vs Lamboin in IEM Gamescom quarterfinals. soO has the #2 Headband. soO is at 16.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 87.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.8%, or 11.06% if they lose. Lambo is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 12.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
FanTaSy vs Patiencein in IEM Gamescom quarterfinals. FanTaSy is at 82.2% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 89.33%, or 71.73% if they lose. Patience is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.49% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MMA vs Nerchioin in IEM Gamescom quarterfinals. MMA is at 0.89% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.17%, or 0.67% if they lose. Nerchio is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
ForGG vs INnoVationin in IEM Gamescom quarterfinals. ForGG is at 15.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.96%, or 12.76% if they lose. INnoVation is at 95.55% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.14%, or 92.51% if they lose.
soO has a 34.29% chance to win ----going from 16.99% to 23.68% if they get 1st, or 13.49% if they don't. INnoVation has a 20.45% chance to win ----going from 95.55% to 99.8% if they get 1st, or 94.46% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 14.72% chance to win ----going from 82.2% to 98.82% if they get 1st, or 79.34% if they don't. ForGG has a 11.37% chance to win ----going from 15.62% to 26.78% if they get 1st, or 14.19% if they don't. Nerchio has a 7.67% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MMA has a 5.51% chance to win ----going from 0.89% to 2.67% if they get 1st, or 0.79% if they don't. Patience has a 5.21% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.22% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Lambo has a 0.78% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Branch #3091 -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL (32nd place in GSL and 8th place in SSL), then he goes down to 79.98% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 8th place in IEM, he goes to 67.8% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 4th place in IEM, he goes to 81.85% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 2nd place in IEM, he goes to 90.99% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 1st place in IEM, he goes up to 98.92%
Branch #3127 -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 83.5% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and loses his GSL ro32 group, he goes to 67.54% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and wins his GSL ro32 group, he goes up to 95.07% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and gets 16th place in GSL, he goes up to 90.72% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and gets 8th place in GSL, he goes up to 98.84% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 8th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 96.31%
Branch #3131 -If Fantasy loses in GSL, then he goes down to 66.01% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 8th in IEM Gamescom, he goes down to 47.29% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 2nd in IEM Gamescom, he goes to 83.93% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 1st in IEM Gamescom, he goes up to 97.32% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 8th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 89.99%
Branch #3128 -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes down to 15.86% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and wins his GSL ro32 group, he goes up to 24.29% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd place in GSL, he goes up to 71.87% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and gets 2nd place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 33.04% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and gets 4th place in GSL, he goes up to 19.12%
Branch #3129 -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes down to 15.19% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and wins his WCS ro32 group, he goes up to 23.27% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and loses his WCS ro32 group, he goes down to 0.34% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 4th in WCS, he goes down to 12.25% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in WCS, he goes up to 58.09% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 1st in WCS, he goes up to 99.99% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 30.85% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 1st in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 46.98%
Biggest Winners FanTaSy went up by 20.99%, going from 67.78% to 88.78% sOs went up by 8.25%, going from 23.47% to 31.72% HyuN went up by 5.43%, going from 27.01% to 32.44% MyuNgSiK went up by 5.1%, going from 3.16% to 8.26% INnoVation went up by 3.83%, going from 94.03% to 97.86% soO went up by 2.54%, going from 14.51% to 17.05% Bbyong went up by 1.73%, going from 4.2% to 5.93% MMA went up by 0.25%, going from 0.88% to 1.13%
Biggest Losers Dear went down by 12.98%, going from 16.95% to 3.97% Lilbow went down by 5.49%, going from 19.02% to 13.54% Dark went down by 4.95%, going from 64.77% to 59.82% Rogue went down by 4.74%, going from 67.69% to 62.96% ForGG went down by 3.4%, going from 15.94% to 12.54% Solar went down by 2.33%, going from 12.14% to 9.81% Stats went down by 2.26%, going from 7.34% to 5.08% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
TY went down by 2.11%, going from 10.16% to 8.05% GuMiho went down by 1.91%, going from 5.87% to 3.96% Curious went down by 1.26%, going from 10.12% to 8.87% Jaedong went down by 0.99%, going from 10.18% to 9.19% MaNa went down by 0.93%, going from 1.32% to 0.39% Snute went down by 0.9%, going from 7.83% to 6.93% Bomber went down by 0.67%, going from 0.68% to 0.01% Bunny went down by 0.55%, going from 1.32% to 0.78% MarineLorD went down by 0.4%, going from 4.14% to 3.74% uThermal went down by 0.28%, going from 0.84% to 0.56% Harstem went down by 0.26%, going from 0.99% to 0.74% ShoWTimE went down by 0.25%, going from 2.39% to 2.13% Petraeus went down by 0.22%, going from 1.22% to 0.99% ByuL went down by 0.21%, going from 99.46% to 99.26% Soulkey went down by 0.15%, going from 0.31% to 0.16% Flash went down by 0.13%, going from 0.37% to 0.23% TRUE went down by 0.13%, going from 0.26% to 0.13% viOLet went down by 0.13%, going from 0.57% to 0.44%
Chances of 1+ foreigners at Blizzcon went from 39.12% down to 31.18% Chances of 2+ foreigners at Blizzcon went from 2.68% down to 1.05%
soO vs FanTaSyin in IEM Gamescom semifinals. soO has the #2 Headband. soO is at 17.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.4%, or 12.83% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 88.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 95.4%, or 83.51% if they lose.
MMA vs INnoVationin in IEM Gamescom semifinals. MMA is at 1.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.63%, or 0.84% if they lose. INnoVation is at 97.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.01%, or 95.9% if they lose.
INnoVation has a 34.07% chance to win ----going from 97.86% to 99.78% if they get 1st, or 96.87% if they don't. soO has a 33.13% chance to win ----going from 17.05% to 23.48% if they get 1st, or 13.86% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 21.53% chance to win ----going from 88.78% to 98.76% if they get 1st, or 86.04% if they don't. MMA has a 11.28% chance to win ----going from 1.13% to 2.63% if they get 1st, or 0.94% if they don't.
Branch #3166 -If soO wins IEM Gamescom, he goes up to 23.48% -If soO wins IEM Gamescom and gets 8th in GSL, he goes down to 15.88% -If soO wins IEM Gamescom and gets 4th in GSL, he goes up to 50.05% -If soO wins IEM Gamescom and gets 2nd in GSL, he goes up to 95.12% -If soO wins IEM Gamescom and gets 2nd in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 49.46%
Branch #3172 -If soO gets 2nd in IEM Gamescom, he goes down to 15.88% -If soO gets 2nd in IEM Gamescom and 4th in GSL, he goes up to 19.03% -If soO gets 2nd in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in GSL, he goes up to 70.64% -If soO gets 2nd in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 31.92%
Branch #3172 -If soO gets 4th in IEM Gamescom, he goes down to 12.83% -If soO gets 4th in IEM Gamescom and 4nd in GSL, he goes down to 12.12% -If soO gets 4th in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in GSL, he goes up to 45.39% -If soO gets 4th in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 26.55%
Branch #3170 -If Fantasy gets 4th in IEM Gamescom, then he goes down to 83.51% -If Fantasy gets 4th in IEM Gamescom and 32nd in GSL, he goes down to 67.72% -If Fantasy gets 4th in IEM Gamescom and 16th in GSL, he goes to 90.47% -If Fantasy gets 4th in IEM Gamescom and 8th in GSL, he goes up to 98.75 -If Fantasy gets 4th in IEM Gamescom and 4th in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 98.52%
Branch #3175 -If Fantasy gets 32nd in GSL, then he goes down to 77.77% -If Fantasy gets 32nd in GSL and 4th in IEM Gamescom, he goes down to 67.72 -If Fantasy gets 32nd in GSL and 2nd in IEM Gamescom, he goes to 83.97% -If Fantasy gets 32nd in GSL and 1st in IEM Gamescom, he goes up to 97.21% -If Fantasy gets 32nd in GSL and 8th in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 94.77%
Branch #3168 -If MMA wins IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 2.63% -If MMA wins IEM Gamescom and gets 8th in GSL, he goes up to 4.13% -If MMA wins IEM Gamescom and gets 4th in GSL, he goes up to 18.64% -If MMA wins IEM Gamescom and gets 2nd in GSL, he goes up to 75.74% -If MMA wins IEM Gamescom and wins GSL, he goes up to 100% -If MMA wins IEM Gamescom and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 27.76%
Branch #3174 -If Innovation loses in IEM, GSL, and SSL, then he goes down to 79.43% -If Innovation loses in IEM, GSL, and SSL and gets 16th place in MSI Masters, he goes down to 60.32% -If Innovation loses in IEM, GSL, and SSL and gets 4th in MSI Masters, he goes to 90.95% -If Innovation loses in IEM, GSL, and SSL and gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes to 98.42%
It would be interesting to complete the page with a % of chances of winning blizzcon. Like Hyun and Fantasy have good chances of qualifying but maybe soO has better chances of winning...
On August 09 2015 21:14 10bulgares wrote: It would be interesting to complete the page with a % of chances of winning blizzcon. Like Hyun and Fantasy have good chances of qualifying but maybe soO has better chances of winning...
Yea I had that at the end of last year. Maybe it's time to add it in again.
Biggest Winners FanTaSy went up by 15.56%, going from 67.78% to 83.34% sOs went up by 8.27%, going from 23.47% to 31.74% HyuN went up by 7.44%, going from 27.01% to 34.45% MyuNgSiK went up by 5.13%, going from 3.16% to 8.29% INnoVation went up by 5.04%, going from 94.03% to 99.07% soO went up by 5.01%, going from 14.51% to 19.52% Bbyong went up by 1.74%, going from 4.2% to 5.94% MMA went up by 0.18%, going from 0.88% to 1.06%
Biggest Losers Dear went down by 12.97%, going from 16.95% to 3.99% Dark went down by 5.59%, going from 64.77% to 59.18% Lilbow went down by 5.41%, going from 19.02% to 13.62% Rogue went down by 4.73%, going from 67.69% to 62.97% ForGG went down by 3.42%, going from 15.94% to 12.52% Solar went down by 2.29%, going from 12.14% to 9.85% Stats went down by 2.24%, going from 7.34% to 5.1% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
TY went down by 2.07%, going from 10.16% to 8.09% GuMiho went down by 1.86%, going from 5.87% to 4.01% Curious went down by 1.18%, going from 10.12% to 8.95% Jaedong went down by 0.94%, going from 10.18% to 9.24% MaNa went down by 0.94%, going from 1.32% to 0.38% Snute went down by 0.87%, going from 7.83% to 6.96% Bomber went down by 0.67%, going from 0.68% to 0.01% Bunny went down by 0.57%, going from 1.32% to 0.76% uThermal went down by 0.4%, going from 0.84% to 0.44% MarineLorD went down by 0.31%, going from 4.14% to 3.83% Harstem went down by 0.25%, going from 0.99% to 0.75% Petraeus went down by 0.23%, going from 1.22% to 0.98% ShoWTimE went down by 0.22%, going from 2.39% to 2.17% Soulkey went down by 0.15%, going from 0.31% to 0.15% Flash went down by 0.14%, going from 0.37% to 0.23% viOLet went down by 0.14%, going from 0.57% to 0.43% TRUE went down by 0.13%, going from 0.26% to 0.14% TLO went down by 0.12%, going from 1.62% to 1.5% ByuL went down by 0.11%, going from 99.46% to 99.36%
Chances of 1+ foreigners at Blizzcon went from 39.12% down to 31.16% Chances of 2+ foreigners at Blizzcon went from 2.68% down to 1.09%
INnoVation vs soOin in IEM Gamescom finals. soO has the #2 Headband. INnoVation is at 99.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.94% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.81%, or 98.3% if they lose. soO is at 19.52% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.33%, or 15.85% if they lose.
I removed Placeholder #3 and reduced the probability of Placeholder tournaments happening from 99% down to 75%. I also gifted back the WCS Wars points for it so no one lost any from these changes.
Biggest Winners FanTaSy went up by 3.11%, going from 83.7% to 86.81% Rogue went up by 2.11%, going from 64.21% to 66.32% Dark went up by 1.85%, going from 60.03% to 61.87% ByuL went up by 0.25%, going from 99.38% to 99.63% MarineLorD went up by 0.2%, going from 3.19% to 3.4% ShoWTimE went up by 0.17%, going from 2.29% to 2.46%
Biggest Losers Stats went down by 1.75%, going from 5.22% to 3.47% soO went down by 0.97%, going from 15.04% to 14.06% TY went down by 0.58%, going from 8.03% to 7.45% Curious went down by 0.55%, going from 8.52% to 7.97% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.46%, going from 8.27% to 7.81% Bbyong went down by 0.4%, going from 6.05% to 5.65% Solar went down by 0.39%, going from 10.88% to 10.49% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Lilbow went down by 0.35%, going from 13.84% to 13.49% ForGG went down by 0.34%, going from 12.87% to 12.53% GuMiho went down by 0.32%, going from 4.05% to 3.73% sOs went down by 0.32%, going from 32.59% to 32.27% Dear went down by 0.3%, going from 4.03% to 3.72% Bunny went down by 0.25%, going from 0.72% to 0.47% Snute went down by 0.21%, going from 6.69% to 6.48% Jaedong went down by 0.15%, going from 7.48% to 7.34%
Also you can check out the branch of if there are no placeholder tournaments (which now has more samples due to this being much more likely) http://sc2.4ever.tv/?sim_id=3227
herO, Hack, Losira, and Rainin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. herO has the #4 Headband. Rain has the #1 Headband. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.98% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Losira is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.01% if they lose. Hack is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.18% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Pigbaby, Flash, INnoVation, and Curiousin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Curious must win this match! INnoVation has the #2 Headband. Pigbaby is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. INnoVation is at 99.9% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.71% if they lose. Flash is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.18% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.36%, or 0.01% if they lose. Curious is at 7.96% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.88%, or 0.47% if they lose.
Sleep, ByuL, FanTaSy, and Dearin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Dear must win this match! Sleep is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 86.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.41% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 96.3%, or 73.95% if they lose. ByuL is at 99.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.96%, or 99.1% if they lose. Dear is at 3.68% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.81%, or 0.05% if they lose.
sKyHigh, Dark, MMA, and PartinGin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. MMA must win this match! Dark has the #3 Headband. sKyHigh is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose. MMA is at 0.89% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.53%, or 0.01% if they lose. Dark is at 62.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.39% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 80.43%, or 25.69% if they lose. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
GuMiho, Hurricane, soO, and Roguein in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. GuMiho and soO must win this match! This is the Group of Death! GuMiho is at 3.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.93%, or 0.1% if they lose. soO is at 14.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.71%, or 0.35% if they lose. Hurricane is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0% if they lose. Rogue is at 66.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 85.14%, or 48.25% if they lose.
Solar, Bbyong, Dear, GuMiho, and MMA must win this tournament! Classic has a 9.78% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. INnoVation has a 9.22% chance to win ----going from 99.9% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.89% if they don't. Solar has a 8.72% chance to win ----going from 11.13% to 94.66% if they get 1st, or 3.15% if they don't. Maru has a 8.48% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 7.24% chance to win ----going from 14.05% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 7.34% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Rain has a 7.15% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 6.99% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. PartinG has a 6.4% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dark has a 5.01% chance to win ----going from 62.03% to 100% if they get 1st, or 60.03% if they don't. sOs has a 4.95% chance to win ----going from 32.08% to 100% if they get 1st, or 28.54% if they don't. Bbyong has a 4.86% chance to win ----going from 5.59% to 97.94% if they get 1st, or 0.87% if they don't. herO has a 4.14% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 2.93% chance to win ----going from 86.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 86.38% if they don't. ByuL has a 2.66% chance to win ----going from 99.63% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.62% if they don't. Curious has a 2.36% chance to win ----going from 7.96% to 100% if they get 1st, or 5.74% if they don't. Dear has a 2.04% chance to win ----going from 3.68% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 1.68% if they don't. Rogue has a 1.79% chance to win ----going from 66.33% to 100% if they get 1st, or 65.72% if they don't. Flash has a 1.45% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 11.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.43% chance to win ----going from 3.63% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 2.23% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.64% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 3.9% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MMA has a 0.57% chance to win ----going from 0.89% to 99.59% if they get 1st, or 0.33% if they don't. Losira has a 0.48% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 11.87% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.17% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.94% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.15% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.66% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.24% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
WCS Wars is a fantasy league based on the median WCS points as determined by WCS Predictor (Wikipedia link for median). You currently start the game with 18,000 WCS Points to buy players with (this starting number will need to be adjusted depending on the season). Each player's value = median_wcs_points + base_cost, where the base_cost is currently 2000. Build a team of up to 5 players, hope that your players win to boost their Median WCS Points, and you can sell them to buy different players. Selling gives you 99% of their worth. There will be a winner each season and the teams will all be reset. Check the Leaderboard section at the bottom of the WCS Wars page!
-----------------------------
Can I gain points in WCS Wars even if the player is already locked in for Blizzcon?
Absolutely! Since WCS Wars value is based on median WCS Points every win helps, as opposed to % Blizzcon Chances which caps out at 100%. Their value can go up from winning a match and gaining more WCS Points, being seeded/invited into a tournament, qualifying for a tournament, a strong player being knocked out, their Aligulac rating going up, even winning in an unrelated tournament could boost their Aligulac rating enough to increase their value.
This group is very important for 3 players that people really haven't been talking about going to Blizzcon.
TY must win here or he's almost certainly not going to Blizzcon. What he really wants is a 2nd or 1st place here to have a good chance for Blizzcon, 4th place would only put him at 7.26%, but 2nd gives him a huge boost up to 53.26%.
If Rogue wins here then he'd be going from 2525 WCS Points up to 2825 WCS Points, which put him only 25 points behind Fantasy and give him some decent AFK Chances around 40% to 60% (I didn't make a branch for this, woops) and would put him nearly at 90% Blizzcon Chances.
Seems like people have been trying to pretend that Hyun doesn't have a chance of qualifying for Blizzcon. Well if he wins here then it's time to stop pretending as he'll shoot up to above the 50% mark up to 57.39%. Even if he loses in the next round for an 8th place finish, that still puts him at 36.5% Blizzcon Chances. From an 8th place in SSL, he would just need a 4th place at Dreamhack to get him up to 77.77%. An 8th in SSL and a 4th at the smaller MSI Masters would put him at 57.85% before even going to Dreamhack.
If you look at the winning chances, you can see that whoever wins SSL is almost surely going to Blizzcon. The same can't be said about GSL or WCS, at least not yet.
HyuN, TY, Classic, and Roguein in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. TY must win this match! HyuN is at 35.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.94% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 57.39%, or 15.06% if they lose. Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. TY is at 7.31% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.75%, or 0.47% if they lose. Rogue is at 66.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 87.57%, or 46.47% if they lose.
MyuNgSiK and TY must win this tournament! INnoVation has a 22.17% chance to win ----going from 99.9% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.87% if they don't. Rain has a 16.2% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 13.54% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. herO has a 13.46% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 9.58% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ByuL has a 8.51% chance to win ----going from 99.64% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.61% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 5.18% chance to win ----going from 7.78% to 99.33% if they get 1st, or 2.77% if they don't. HyuN has a 4.6% chance to win ----going from 35.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 32.68% if they don't. Rogue has a 3.55% chance to win ----going from 66.42% to 100% if they get 1st, or 65.19% if they don't. TY has a 3.21% chance to win ----going from 7.31% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 4.23% if they don't.
Branch #3320 -If Rogue gets 8th in SSL and 16th in GSL, then he goes up to 91.71% -If Rogue gets 8th in SSL and 16th in GSL and 4th in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 99.83%
Branch #3321 -If Hyun gets 16th in SSL, then he goes down to 15.05% -If Hyun gets 16th in SSL and 4th in 4Gamers, he goes down to 12.09% -If Hyun gets 16th in SSL and 4th in MSI Masters, he goes to 17.32% -If Hyun gets 16th in SSL and 4th in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 45.16% -If Hyun gets 16th in SSL and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 87.32% -If Hyun gets 16th in SSL and 16th in MSI Masters and 4th in 4Gamers, he goes down to 2.35%
Branch #3322 -If Hyun gets 8th in SSL, then he goes up to 36.5% -If Hyun gets 8th in SSL and 8th in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 64.05% -If Hyun gets 8th in SSL and 4th in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 77.77% -If Hyun gets 8th in SSL and 2nd in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 89.26% -If Hyun gets 8th in SSL and 4th in 4Gamers, he goes to 31.42% -If Hyun gets 8th in SSL and 1st in 4Gamers, he goes up to 46.25% -If Hyun gets 8th in SSL and 4th in MSI Masters, he goes up to 57.85% -If Hyun gets 8th in SSL and 1st in MSI Masters, he goes up to 96.54%
Biggest Winners and Losers since start of season 3 about 45 days ago (Sim ID #2114 vs Sim ID #3349) Biggest Winners INnoVation went up by 67.9%, going from 31.99% to 99.89% FanTaSy went up by 42.69%, going from 43.25% to 85.93% Zest went up by 25.34%, going from 74.66% to 99.99% ByuL went up by 18.72%, going from 80.86% to 99.58% Rogue went up by 13.25%, going from 73.66% to 86.92% soO went up by 7.57%, going from 5.54% to 13.11% Curious went up by 2.18%, going from 5.2% to 7.38% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
ShoWTimE went up by 2.06%, going from 0.42% to 2.48% Solar went up by 1.33%, going from 9.3% to 10.63% HyuN went up by 1.16%, going from 9.56% to 10.72% MarineLorD went up by 0.78%, going from 2.56% to 3.34% Petraeus went up by 0.33%, going from 0.65% to 0.98% Polt went up by 0.18%, going from 99.8% to 99.98% Has went up by 0.13%, going from 0.1% to 0.23% Classic went up by 0.13%, going from 99.87% to 100%
Biggest Losers Stats went down by 40.44%, going from 43.67% to 3.23% Trap went down by 25.81%, going from 25.83% to 0.02% Bunny went down by 23.33%, going from 23.74% to 0.41% Snute went down by 21.94%, going from 28.36% to 6.42% sOs went down by 10.86%, going from 43.01% to 32.15% Dark went down by 7.67%, going from 68.74% to 61.07% Dear went down by 6.76%, going from 10.18% to 3.42% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Jaedong went down by 6.12%, going from 13.23% to 7.11% Soulkey went down by 4.39%, going from 4.45% to 0.06% San went down by 4.15%, going from 4.15% to 0.01% ForGG went down by 3.93%, going from 15.96% to 12.04% StarDust went down by 3.59%, going from 3.59% to 0.01% GuMiho went down by 3.58%, going from 7.47% to 3.89% TRUE went down by 2.85%, going from 2.9% to 0.05% Lilbow went down by 2.81%, going from 16.49% to 13.69% TY went down by 2.37%, going from 19.14% to 16.77% MyuNgSiK went down by 1.36%, going from 9.53% to 8.16% Leenock went down by 1.36%, going from 1.36% to 0.01% MaNa went down by 1.29%, going from 1.67% to 0.37% FireCake went down by 1.21%, going from 1.21% to 0.01% Super went down by 1.19%, going from 1.19% to 0.01% Bomber went down by 1.01%, going from 1.01% to 0.01% Bbyong went down by 0.6%, going from 6.16% to 5.56% MajOr went down by 0.39%, going from 0.44% to 0.05% MaSa went down by 0.31%, going from 0.35% to 0.04% Sacsri went down by 0.29%, going from 0.29% to 0.01% Flash went down by 0.29%, going from 0.45% to 0.16% Heart went down by 0.28%, going from 0.28% to 0% GunGFuBanDa went down by 0.27%, going from 0.33% to 0.07% Hurricane went down by 0.26%, going from 0.28% to 0.02% Cure went down by 0.25%, going from 0.25% to 0.01% Ret went down by 0.24%, going from 0.24% to 0% iaguz went down by 0.22%, going from 0.29% to 0.07% elfi went down by 0.21%, going from 0.23% to 0.02% jjakji went down by 0.17%, going from 0.17% to 0% Sen went down by 0.17%, going from 0.19% to 0.03% Kane went down by 0.16%, going from 0.36% to 0.19% Impact went down by 0.16%, going from 0.16% to 0% First went down by 0.15%, going from 0.15% to 0% Patience went down by 0.12%, going from 0.12% to 0.01% Journey went down by 0.1%, going from 0.1% to 0% iAsonu went down by 0.1%, going from 0.12% to 0.02%
Innovaton, Zest, and Byul have all climbed from below 85% up to over 99%. Trap and Bunny both went from over 20% to under 1%.
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 63.96% down to 30.14% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 15.59% down to 0.74%
Top Foreigner Hopes Lilbow13.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 13.69% chance overall. Snute6.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.42% chance overall. MarineLorD3.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.34% chance overall. ShoWTimE2.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.48% chance overall. TLO1.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.48% chance overall. Petraeus0.94% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.98% chance overall. Harstem0.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.85% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
MaNa0.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.37% chance overall. Bunny0.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall. Has0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.23% chance overall. Kane0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.19% chance overall. iaguz0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. MajOr0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. MaSa0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. Kelazhur0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Jim0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Sen0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Zanster0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. elfi0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. iAsonu0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Elazer0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Starbuck0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Hitman0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. FireCake0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. XiGua0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. neeb0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. uThermal0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Shana0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! INnoVation is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses! herO is the current #4 Headband holder with 2 defenses!
1.06% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.66% of the time 2675 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 28.22% of the time 2825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 45.75% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 68.99% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.39% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.03% of the time 3400 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
The 99% line went from 3400 points to 3400 points. The 50% line went from 2900 points down to 2875 points. The 1% line went from 2500 points to 2500 points.
herO has a 77.93% chance to be the #1 seed. PartinG has a 29.39% chance to be the #2 seed. PartinG has a 29.4% chance to be the #3 seed. Life has a 29.1% chance to be the #4 seed. Life has a 36.92% chance to be the #5 seed. Rain has a 20.36% chance to be the #6 seed. Hydra has a 22.32% chance to be the #7 seed. Classic has a 26.62% chance to be the #8 seed. Dream has a 37.06% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 29.34% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 21.87% chance to be the #11 seed. Polt has a 20.92% chance to be the #12 seed. ByuL has a 18.47% chance to be the #13 seed. FanTaSy has a 19.04% chance to be the #14 seed. FanTaSy has a 23.13% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 18.49% chance to be the #16 seed.
Dream vs Classic has a 27.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs FanTaSy has a 19.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Polt has a 17.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs herO has a 17.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs FanTaSy has a 16.53% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs ByuL has a 16.22% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Rogue has a 15.86% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Rogue has a 14.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Hydra has a 14.15% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs ByuL has a 14.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
WCS S3 Ro32 There are many players who really need points from this tournament, unfortunately for most of them they'll need at least a 2nd place to really benefit in terms of Blizzcon Chances. Hydra is already at 100%, Polt is at 99.98%. The only other players who would be over 5% with a 4th place here are Lilbow, Jaedong, and ForGG. Snute would be at just 2.32% with a 4th place. 2nd place is a big jump for all of them, with Lilbow going up to 52.31%, ForGG going up to 31.52%, Jaedong up to 25.84%, Snute up to 15.82%, and TLO going up to 13.55%. With a 1st place Lilbow, ForGG, Jaedong, Snute, and TLO would all go above 98%. With a 1st place MarineLord would go up to 77.77%, Showtime up to 75.91%, Harstem up to 84.22%, Has up to 40.36%, Kane up to 24.82%, Petraeus up to 23.02%, violet up to 12.35%, and everyone else would be below 10%.
Ro32 Groups Week 1 Petraeus, Harstem, MajOr, and Poltin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Petraeus and Harstem must win this match! This is the Group of Death! Petraeus is at 0.98% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.84%, or 0.01% if they lose. MajOr is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0% if they lose. Harstem is at 0.84% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.44%, or 0.01% if they lose. Polt is at 99.98% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.94% if they lose.
elfi, Hydra, Starbuck, and Kelazhurin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. This is the 2nd place Group of Death! (or at least it was before uThermal was replaced by elfi) elfi is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose. Starbuck is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Kelazhur is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose.
ShoWTimE, HeRoMaRinE, Jaedong, and Senin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. ShoWTimE and Jaedong must win this match! ShoWTimE is at 2.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.4%, or 0.01% if they lose. Jaedong is at 7.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.94% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.2%, or 0.09% if they lose. HeRoMaRinE is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.94% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0% if they lose. Sen is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose.
MaSa, iaguz, MarineLorD, and Hasin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. MarineLorD must win this match! MaSa is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 3.35% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.87%, or 0.01% if they lose. iaguz is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0% if they lose. Has is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.54%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Shana, Lilbow, neeb, and GunGFuBanDain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Lilbow must win this match! Shana is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.14% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Lilbow is at 13.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 19.14%, or 0.12% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Kane, Zanster, and iAsonuin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. ForGG must win this match! ForGG is at 12.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.57%, or 0.07% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0% if they lose. Kane is at 0.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.51%, or 0.01% if they lose. iAsonu is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose.
Hitman, Elazer, Jim, and Snutein in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Snute must win this match! Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Jim is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0% if they lose. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Snute is at 6.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 9.46%, or 0.02% if they lose.
viOLet, MaNa, TLO, and XiGuain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. TLO must win this match! viOLet is at 0.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.71%, or 0.01% if they lose. TLO is at 1.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.19%, or 0.01% if they lose. MaNa is at 0.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.55%, or 0% if they lose. XiGua is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Snute, Jaedong, MarineLorD, Petraeus, ShoWTimE, TLO, Harstem, Kane, and Has must win this tournament! Hydra has a 18.61% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ForGG has a 9.19% chance to win ----going from 12.04% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 3.15% if they don't. Polt has a 8.86% chance to win ----going from 99.98% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't. Lilbow has a 8.75% chance to win ----going from 13.69% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 5.41% if they don't. Snute has a 5.24% chance to win ----going from 6.42% to 99.64% if they get 1st, or 1.26% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Jaedong has a 5.12% chance to win ----going from 7.11% to 98.55% if they get 1st, or 2.18% if they don't. MaNa has a 4.41% chance to win ----going from 0.38% to 8.4% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 4.19% chance to win ----going from 3.35% to 77.77% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Petraeus has a 4.13% chance to win ----going from 0.98% to 23.02% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.35% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 1.58% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. viOLet has a 3.31% chance to win ----going from 0.42% to 12.34% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 3.18% chance to win ----going from 2.48% to 75.91% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. MaSa has a 2.89% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 1.39% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.81% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 1.64% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 2.29% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.86% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 2.11% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 3.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jim has a 1.27% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 2.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 1.16% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 1.59% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 1.12% chance to win ----going from 1.48% to 99.62% if they get 1st, or 0.37% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.93% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 7.92% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 0.93% chance to win ----going from 0.84% to 84.2% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.9% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 3.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.85% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.68% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 0.77% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 24.83% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Starbuck has a 0.74% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 2.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 3.85% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Has has a 0.56% chance to win ----going from 0.23% to 40.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.5% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.17% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. neeb has a 0.34% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.09% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.84% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Shana has a 0.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Here in GSL Ro32 Group E, Curious is the only one who can make a big change to his Blizzcon Chances. Innovation is mostly locked with over 99% chance even if he loses, and 97.72% AFK Chances.
Pigbaby is only at 275 WCS Points, he would need to win GSL and Dreamhack just to get to 2925 points and then have a good chance, but even that would still put him at just 72.95% chances.
And then we have Flash. Flash is at 675 WCS Points, with a GSL win putting him at 2575 points it's very unlikely that will be enough. A 1st place in GSL and 4th place in Dreamhack Stockholm would put him at 75.53% and the double championship would put him at 98.4%.
Curious, on the other hand, actually has a realistic chance. At 1900 WCS Points, an 8th place in GSL would put him at 2400 points, a 4th place at 2700 points, a 2nd place up to 3050, and a 1st place would guarantee his Blizzcon spot with 3800 points. A 4th place in GSL and a 4th in Dreamhack would put him in a really good spot with 3075 points and 82.26% chances.
Pigbaby, Flash, INnoVation, and Curiousin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Curious must win this match! INnoVation has the #2 Headband. Pigbaby is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. INnoVation is at 99.88% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.68% if they lose. Flash is at 0.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.64% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.35%, or 0.01% if they lose. Curious is at 7.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.8% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.95%, or 0.44% if they lose.
Sleep, ByuL, FanTaSy, and Dearin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Dear must win this match! Sleep is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.21% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 86.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 95.97%, or 72.71% if they lose. ByuL is at 99.57% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.94%, or 98.97% if they lose. Dear is at 3.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.64% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.4%, or 0.05% if they lose.
sKyHigh, Dark, MMA, and PartinGin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. MMA must win this match! Dark has the #3 Headband. sKyHigh is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. MMA is at 0.83% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.05% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.35%, or 0.01% if they lose. Dark is at 61.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 79.03%, or 25.88% if they lose. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
GuMiho, Hurricane, soO, and Roguein in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. GuMiho and soO must win this match! This is the Group of Death! GuMiho is at 3.93% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.32%, or 0.11% if they lose. soO is at 13.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.48%, or 0.37% if they lose. Hurricane is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.94% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0.01% if they lose. Rogue is at 87.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 97.27%, or 78.11% if they lose.
Solar, Bbyong, Dear, GuMiho, and MMA must win this tournament! INnoVation has a 8.83% chance to win ----going from 99.88% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.87% if they don't. Classic has a 8.74% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 8.62% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Solar has a 8.46% chance to win ----going from 10.7% to 94.37% if they get 1st, or 2.97% if they don't. Maru has a 8.1% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Zest has a 7.07% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. soO has a 6.7% chance to win ----going from 13.06% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 6.82% if they don't. herO has a 6.41% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 5.87% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. sOs has a 5.43% chance to win ----going from 32.3% to 100% if they get 1st, or 28.41% if they don't. Bbyong has a 4.88% chance to win ----going from 5.59% to 97.58% if they get 1st, or 0.88% if they don't. Dark has a 4.76% chance to win ----going from 61.26% to 100% if they get 1st, or 59.32% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 2.76% chance to win ----going from 86.03% to 100% if they get 1st, or 85.63% if they don't. ByuL has a 2.54% chance to win ----going from 99.57% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.56% if they don't. Curious has a 2.2% chance to win ----going from 7.42% to 100% if they get 1st, or 5.34% if they don't. Rogue has a 1.99% chance to win ----going from 87.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 87.53% if they don't. Dear has a 1.98% chance to win ----going from 3.46% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 1.51% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.63% chance to win ----going from 3.93% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 2.33% if they don't. Flash has a 1.43% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 11.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.55% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 3.62% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MMA has a 0.53% chance to win ----going from 0.83% to 99.51% if they get 1st, or 0.3% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.14% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.68% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
Biggest Winners Dark went up by 2.23%, going from 61.07% to 63.3% Rogue went up by 1.86%, going from 86.94% to 88.8% FanTaSy went up by 1.43%, going from 85.92% to 87.36% TY went up by 1.26%, going from 16.77% to 18.03% sOs went up by 1.01%, going from 32.14% to 33.14% HyuN went up by 0.84%, going from 10.71% to 11.55% Petraeus went up by 0.78%, going from 0.97% to 1.75% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
GuMiho went up by 0.42%, going from 3.89% to 4.31% Stats went up by 0.16%, going from 3.23% to 3.39% Flash went up by 0.16%, going from 0.16% to 0.32% INnoVation went up by 0.1%, going from 99.89% to 99.99%
Biggest Losers Curious went down by 6.87%, going from 7.38% to 0.51% Harstem went down by 0.84%, going from 0.84% to 0.01% ForGG went down by 0.56%, going from 12.05% to 11.5% Bbyong went down by 0.47%, going from 5.56% to 5.09% soO went down by 0.35%, going from 13.11% to 12.76% Lilbow went down by 0.34%, going from 13.69% to 13.34% ShoWTimE went down by 0.2%, going from 2.48% to 2.28% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
MarineLorD went down by 0.19%, going from 3.34% to 3.15% Snute went down by 0.18%, going from 6.41% to 6.23%
Kelazhur, Starbuck, Hydra, and elfiin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. This is the 2nd place Group of Death! (or at least it was before uThermal was replaced by elfi) Kelazhur is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose. Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Starbuck is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. elfi is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Sen, Jaedong, HeRoMaRinE, and ShoWTimEin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Jaedong and ShoWTimE must win this match! Sen is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.86% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose. HeRoMaRinE is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0% if they lose. Jaedong is at 7.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.06%, or 0.09% if they lose. ShoWTimE is at 2.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.06%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Has, MarineLorD, iaguz, and MaSain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. MarineLorD must win this match! Has is at 0.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.44%, or 0% if they lose. iaguz is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 3.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.54%, or 0.01% if they lose. MaSa is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose.
GunGFuBanDa, neeb, Lilbow, and Shanain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Lilbow must win this match! GunGFuBanDa is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0% if they lose. Lilbow is at 13.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.64%, or 0.13% if they lose. neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Shana is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
iAsonu, Zanster, Kane, and ForGGin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. ForGG must win this match! iAsonu is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.14% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose. Kane is at 0.2% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.51%, or 0.01% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose. ForGG is at 11.51% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.75%, or 0.07% if they lose.
Hitman, Elazer, Jim, and Snutein in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Snute must win this match! Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Jim is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.31% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0% if they lose. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Snute is at 6.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 9.19%, or 0.02% if they lose.
viOLet, MaNa, TLO, and XiGuain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. TLO must win this match! viOLet is at 0.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.65%, or 0.01% if they lose. TLO is at 1.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.19%, or 0.01% if they lose. MaNa is at 0.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.54%, or 0% if they lose. XiGua is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Petraeus, Jaedong, Snute, MarineLorD, ShoWTimE, TLO, Kane, and Has must win this tournament! Hydra has a 18.59% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Polt has a 14.5% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. ForGG has a 8.47% chance to win ----going from 11.51% to 99.91% if they get 1st, or 3.33% if they don't. Lilbow has a 8.11% chance to win ----going from 13.33% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 5.68% if they don't. Petraeus has a 7.51% chance to win ----going from 1.75% to 22.68% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Jaedong has a 4.98% chance to win ----going from 7.03% to 98.53% if they get 1st, or 2.23% if they don't. Snute has a 4.94% chance to win ----going from 6.23% to 99.57% if they get 1st, or 1.38% if they don't. MaNa has a 3.99% chance to win ----going from 0.37% to 9.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 3.87% chance to win ----going from 3.16% to 79.37% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. viOLet has a 3.18% chance to win ----going from 0.38% to 11.72% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 2.85% chance to win ----going from 2.28% to 77.68% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. MaSa has a 2.68% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 1.44% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.53% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 1.68% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 2.23% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.91% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.82% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 3.26% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jim has a 1.11% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 2.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 1.08% chance to win ----going from 1.48% to 99.56% if they get 1st, or 0.42% if they don't. elfi has a 1.02% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 1.72% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.85% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 8.88% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.81% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 3.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.8% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.71% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 0.71% chance to win ----going from 0.2% to 27.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Starbuck has a 0.69% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.34% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.64% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 2.38% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 0.64% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 4.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Has has a 0.49% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 37.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.45% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. neeb has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.2% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.09% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.94% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Shana has a 0.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
In this group we can see the Jaedong and Showtime have a lot to gain in Blizzcon Chances. Showtime really just needs to win WCS to have a good chance putting him at 77.8% chances (with 74.9% AFK Chances) instead of 1.46% chances for a 2nd place. If Showtime does win WCS, then Myungsik or TY winning SSL would drop him below 53%. Similarly if Bbyong or Solar wins GSL, or sOs makes the semifinals in GSL, that would drop Showtime below 60%. Winning WCS and getting 8th place in Dreamhack Stockholm would put Showtime up at 96.03%.
Jaedong has a bit more leniency here, partly because he's also in MSI Masters. With a WCS win he'd go up to 98.65% chances. A 2nd place would put him at a 27.24%, and with a 4th at MSI he'd be at 47.02%. A WCS 2nd place along with a 4th at Dreamhack Stockholm and he'd go up to 69.6%. Even with a 4th place in WCS he can still do it with a 6.31% chance, but below 4th place would mean less than 2% chances. A 4th place in WCS with a win at Dreamhack puts him at 74.41%, if he instead wins MSI then he goes up to 55.2%. A 4th place at WCS with a 2nd at MSI and a 4th at Dreamhack would put him at 73.84%.
MSI seems to help Jaedong much less than Dreamhack since he's already confirmed to be attending MSI, so his expected placements there are already naturally a bigger part of his overall chances.
Biggest Winners Dark went up by 2.8%, going from 61.07% to 63.87% Rogue went up by 2.16%, going from 86.94% to 89.09% FanTaSy went up by 1.86%, going from 85.92% to 87.79% TY went up by 1.36%, going from 16.77% to 18.14% sOs went up by 1.28%, going from 32.14% to 33.41% HyuN went up by 1.21%, going from 10.71% to 11.93% Petraeus went up by 0.66%, going from 0.97% to 1.63% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
GuMiho went up by 0.39%, going from 3.89% to 4.28% Flash went up by 0.23%, going from 0.16% to 0.39% Stats went up by 0.22%, going from 3.23% to 3.45% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.13%, going from 8.16% to 8.29% INnoVation went up by 0.1%, going from 99.89% to 99.99%
Biggest Losers Curious went down by 6.87%, going from 7.38% to 0.51% ForGG went down by 1.32%, going from 12.05% to 10.73% Harstem went down by 0.84%, going from 0.84% to 0.01% Lilbow went down by 0.83%, going from 13.69% to 12.85% Bbyong went down by 0.45%, going from 5.56% to 5.11% MarineLorD went down by 0.43%, going from 3.34% to 2.91% ShoWTimE went down by 0.35%, going from 2.48% to 2.13% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Snute went down by 0.34%, going from 6.41% to 6.08% soO went down by 0.31%, going from 13.11% to 12.8% Jaedong went down by 0.29%, going from 7.11% to 6.82% Solar went down by 0.11%, going from 10.63% to 10.52%
Chances of 1+ foreigners went from 30.12% down to 27.83% Chances of 2+ foreigners went from 0.74% down to 0.65%
ShoWTimE, HeRoMaRinE, Jaedong, and Senin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. ShoWTimE and Jaedong must win this match! ShoWTimE is at 2.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.79%, or 0.01% if they lose. Jaedong is at 6.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.93% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.71%, or 0.1% if they lose. HeRoMaRinE is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0% if they lose. Sen is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose.
MaSa, iaguz, MarineLorD, and Hasin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. MarineLorD must win this match! MaSa is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 2.91% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.1%, or 0.01% if they lose. iaguz is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.16%, or 0% if they lose. Has is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.4%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Shana, Lilbow, neeb, and GunGFuBanDain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Lilbow must win this match! Shana is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Lilbow is at 12.85% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.96%, or 0.13% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Kane, Zanster, and iAsonuin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. ForGG must win this match! ForGG is at 10.73% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.55%, or 0.07% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0% if they lose. Kane is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.47%, or 0.01% if they lose. iAsonu is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose.
Hitman, Elazer, Jim, and Snutein in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Snute must win this match! Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Jim is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0% if they lose. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Snute is at 6.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.96%, or 0.02% if they lose.
viOLet, MaNa, TLO, and XiGuain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. TLO must win this match! viOLet is at 0.35% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.6%, or 0.01% if they lose. TLO is at 1.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.99%, or 0.01% if they lose. MaNa is at 0.34% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.5%, or 0.01% if they lose. XiGua is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Petraeus, Snute, Jaedong, MarineLorD, ShoWTimE, TLO, Kane, and Has must win this tournament! Hydra has a 25.15% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Polt has a 13.22% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. ForGG has a 7.62% chance to win ----going from 10.73% to 99.91% if they get 1st, or 3.37% if they don't. Lilbow has a 7.59% chance to win ----going from 12.85% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 5.69% if they don't. Petraeus has a 7.02% chance to win ----going from 1.63% to 22.6% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Snute has a 4.76% chance to win ----going from 6.08% to 99.6% if they get 1st, or 1.41% if they don't. Jaedong has a 4.74% chance to win ----going from 6.82% to 98.65% if they get 1st, or 2.25% if they don't. MaNa has a 3.71% chance to win ----going from 0.34% to 9.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 3.54% chance to win ----going from 2.91% to 79.51% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. viOLet has a 2.96% chance to win ----going from 0.35% to 11.67% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 2.65% chance to win ----going from 2.13% to 77.82% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. MaSa has a 2.38% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 1.46% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.26% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 1.73% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 2.07% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.89% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 2.02% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 1.7% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.68% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 3.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jim has a 1.05% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 2.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.98% chance to win ----going from 1.39% to 99.57% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.76% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 8.79% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.74% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 0.65% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 27.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 2.59% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 4.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Has has a 0.44% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 37.93% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.41% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.2% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. neeb has a 0.28% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.17% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shana has a 0.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
This is the last group of week 1, and it features our current #3 foreigner hope MarineLord. MarineLord currently has 1075 WCS Points secured for himself. A 1st place would put him at 79.23% chances and 76.33% AFK Chances with 2975 points. A 2nd place would put him at 1.7% with 2250 points. If MarineLord gets 2nd place then he would basically need to get another 750 points, right now the only way he could do that is winning DreamHack unless another tournament is announced to be giving WCS Points. If he does get 1st place in WCS, then even just a 16th place at DreamHack Stockholm would put him over 90%, and an 8th place at 96.95%.
If MarineLord does get 1st place then there are a few things that can interfere with his Blizzcon Chances. Stats winning DreamHack Stockholm, Myungsik winning SSL, TY winning SSL, or Bbyong winning GSL would put MarineLord below 60% chances. sOs getting 2nd or 4th in GSL, Solar winning GSL, or soO winning GSL would also put MarineLord around 60% chances.
We also have Has in this group, with 825 WCS Points. If Has gets 2nd place then he only goes to 0.31% with 1975 points, but if he gets 1st then he shoots up to 37.64% with 2725 points. Even if he does win WCS, he'd still need about 250 more points which would be an 8th place at Dreamhack, the 125 points from a 16th place would help a bit but he wouldn't be very secure.
Biggest Winners Jaedong went up by 5.04%, going from 7.11% to 12.15% Dark went up by 2.03%, going from 61.07% to 63.1% Rogue went up by 1.72%, going from 86.94% to 88.66% FanTaSy went up by 1.33%, going from 85.92% to 87.26% TY went up by 1.13%, going from 16.77% to 17.91% HyuN went up by 0.93%, going from 10.71% to 11.64% sOs went up by 0.67%, going from 32.14% to 32.81% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Petraeus went up by 0.62%, going from 0.97% to 1.59% GuMiho went up by 0.32%, going from 3.89% to 4.21% Flash went up by 0.22%, going from 0.16% to 0.38% Stats went up by 0.13%, going from 3.23% to 3.36% INnoVation went up by 0.1%, going from 99.89% to 99.99%
Biggest Losers Curious went down by 6.89%, going from 7.38% to 0.49% ShoWTimE went down by 2.48%, going from 2.48% to 0.01% ForGG went down by 1.53%, going from 12.05% to 10.52% Harstem went down by 0.84%, going from 0.84% to 0.01% Bbyong went down by 0.48%, going from 5.56% to 5.08% soO went down by 0.46%, going from 13.11% to 12.65% Snute went down by 0.44%, going from 6.41% to 5.97% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
MarineLorD went down by 0.3%, going from 3.34% to 3.04% Lilbow went down by 0.26%, going from 13.69% to 13.42% Solar went down by 0.21%, going from 10.63% to 10.42%
Chances of 1+ foreigners went from 30.12% down to 26.33% Chances of 2+ foreigners went from 0.74% down to 0.56%
MaSa, iaguz, MarineLorD, and Hasin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. MarineLorD must win this match! MaSa is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 3.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.33%, or 0.01% if they lose. iaguz is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.16%, or 0% if they lose. Has is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.43%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Shana, Lilbow, neeb, and GunGFuBanDain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Lilbow must win this match! Shana is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Lilbow is at 13.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.76%, or 0.12% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Kane, Zanster, and iAsonuin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. ForGG must win this match! ForGG is at 10.52% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.68% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.22%, or 0.07% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.05% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0% if they lose. Kane is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.44%, or 0.01% if they lose. iAsonu is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose.
Hitman, Elazer, Jim, and Snutein in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Snute must win this match! Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Jim is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0% if they lose. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Snute is at 5.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.8%, or 0.02% if they lose.
viOLet, MaNa, TLO, and XiGuain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. TLO must win this match! viOLet is at 0.35% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.59%, or 0.01% if they lose. TLO is at 1.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.41% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.99%, or 0.01% if they lose. MaNa is at 0.36% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.52%, or 0.01% if they lose. XiGua is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Jaedong, ForGG, Petraeus, Snute, MarineLorD, TLO, Kane, and Has must win this tournament! Hydra has a 24.78% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Polt has a 12.77% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Jaedong has a 8.52% chance to win ----going from 12.15% to 98.63% if they get 1st, or 4.09% if they don't. Lilbow has a 8.1% chance to win ----going from 13.42% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 5.79% if they don't. ForGG has a 7.5% chance to win ----going from 10.52% to 99.91% if they get 1st, or 3.27% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Petraeus has a 6.9% chance to win ----going from 1.59% to 22.4% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Snute has a 4.68% chance to win ----going from 5.97% to 99.59% if they get 1st, or 1.37% if they don't. MaNa has a 3.93% chance to win ----going from 0.36% to 8.9% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 3.72% chance to win ----going from 3.04% to 79.23% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. viOLet has a 2.94% chance to win ----going from 0.35% to 11.58% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaSa has a 2.49% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 1.44% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 2.11% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.9% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 2.09% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 1.65% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.7% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 3.29% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 1.53% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 3.97% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jim has a 1.11% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 2.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.99% chance to win ----going from 1.39% to 99.59% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.82% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 8.43% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.73% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.73% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 0.61% chance to win ----going from 0.17% to 26.69% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.59% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 2.59% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Has has a 0.47% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 37.64% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.46% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. neeb has a 0.31% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shana has a 0.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
I just made a little change to the old summed percentages graphs for teams/races/countries. I think they were a bit confusing before showing a percentage, which was the sum of the Blizzcon Chances for all the players in the grouping, divided by 16 to make it on a 0-100 scale (this was by popular demand).
I now made them simply "Estimated Representatives", which is the same data but now it's presented on a 0-16 scale. For example, Korea has 15.71 estimated representatives, Protoss has 5.62, and SKT T1 has 3.76. Keep in mind this is not a perfect statistic, the simulation does not count these as it goes, and these are estimated after the fact, however I still think they're a pretty good indicator.
In this group we have a mix of Blizzcon Chances. ByuL with a basically secure 99.62% (98.06% AFK), Fantasy with a strong 87.47%, Dear with only 3.25% (better than he was in Season 3 of 2013 when he made it!), and Sleep at 0.01% needing at least 2 championships and even still some luck on top of that.
While Fantasy isn't secure yet, he actually is up to a pretty good 64.25% AFK Chances. If he loses here then he goes down to 75.34% Blizzcon Chances, but if he advances just one round and loses in the round of 16 then that shoots him up to 93.6%, and an 8th place would put him up at 98.98%. If he does lose here and gets 8th at DreamHack Stockholm then he goes up to 94.5%.
Dear on the other hand, really needs a strong placement in GSL, an 8th place would only put him at 1.42%, a 4th would be 5.05%, a 2nd up to 33.76%, and 1st place would put him at 99.95%.
If Dear gets 4th in GSL, then a 2nd place in Dreamhack Stockholm would put him at 73.29%, but the 4th in GSL with a 1st at Dreamhack would mean 94.92%. A 2nd place in GSL along with a 4th in Dreamhack would put him at 93.36%.
Dear, FanTaSy, ByuL, and Sleepin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Dear must win this match! Dear is at 3.25% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.09%, or 0.05% if they lose. ByuL is at 99.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.95%, or 99.07% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 87.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 96.4%, or 75.34% if they lose. Sleep is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.53% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
PartinG, MMA, Dark, and sKyHighin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. MMA must win this match! Dark has the #3 Headband. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 72.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dark is at 63.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 80.58%, or 28.25% if they lose. MMA is at 0.85% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.37%, or 0.01% if they lose. sKyHigh is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.61% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Rogue, soO, Hurricane, and GuMihoin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. soO and GuMiho must win this match! This is the Group of Death! Rogue is at 88.91% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 97.68%, or 79.96% if they lose. Hurricane is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.82% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0% if they lose. soO is at 12.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 19.45%, or 0.37% if they lose. GuMiho is at 4.58% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 9.26%, or 0.13% if they lose.
Solar, Bbyong, GuMiho, Dear, and MMA must win this tournament! INnoVation has a 14.9% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Rain has a 8.61% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 8.01% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 7.67% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 6.79% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Solar has a 6.75% chance to win ----going from 9.14% to 95.63% if they get 1st, or 2.87% if they don't. herO has a 6.59% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 5.84% chance to win ----going from 12.01% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 6.54% if they don't. PartinG has a 5.26% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. sOs has a 4.96% chance to win ----going from 32.31% to 100% if they get 1st, or 28.77% if they don't. Dark has a 4.69% chance to win ----going from 63.05% to 100% if they get 1st, or 61.23% if they don't. Bbyong has a 4.22% chance to win ----going from 4.93% to 97.54% if they get 1st, or 0.85% if they don't. Flash has a 3.32% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 11.55% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ByuL has a 2.67% chance to win ----going from 99.62% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.6% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 2.65% chance to win ----going from 87.47% to 100% if they get 1st, or 87.13% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.12% chance to win ----going from 88.91% to 100% if they get 1st, or 88.67% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.92% chance to win ----going from 4.58% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 2.71% if they don't. Dear has a 1.77% chance to win ----going from 3.25% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 1.5% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.54% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 3.73% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MMA has a 0.53% chance to win ----going from 0.85% to 99.49% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.17% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Fantasy getting 3rd place instead of 4th place looks like it was pretty good for him. His AFK Chances went from 64.25% up to 77.19%, just because of those 50 points! Currently his Blizzcon Chances are 80.2%.
Now if he gets 8th at DreamHack Stockholm then he goes up to 95.65%, 32nd place would be 78.82%, 16th would be 89.59%, 4th would be 97.56%, 2nd 99.31%, 1st 99.99%. If you take out the placeholder tournaments then a 1st place at Dreamhack would put him at 100%.
Finally we've reached the bracket stage of SSL. Of the 8 players that remain, 5 of them are already over 99.9% Blizzcon Chances. After that we have Rogue at 89.21%, TY at 17.71%, and Myungsik at 8.19%, with TY playing today while Rogue and Myungsik are playing on day 2 seven days after. Whoever wins this tournament will almost certainly be going to Blizzcon.
TY has a pretty complicated situation being at 2200 points. Even if he loses here, he'll still get over 80% if he wins Dreamhack Stockholm or any other tournament offering 750 points to the winner if one is announced. A 4th place in SSL would mean that he'd only need a 2nd place at Dreamhack to get over 85%, and a 2nd place here would mean he just needs a 16th place in Dreamhack to get over 82%. If he wants to shoot for over 90% that'd mean 2nd in SSL and 8th in Dreamhack, 4th in SSL and 1st in Dreamhack, or if he loses here then he'd need a combination of about 1050 points from Dreamhack and another unannounced tournament.
Myungsik is currently at 2000 WCS Points. If he loses here then he's way down to 0.46%. To get over 90% he's going to need a 4th here and a win at Dreamhack, or win SSL. A 2nd here and a 2nd at Dreamhack isn't quite enough for 90% but should put him over 80%.
Rogue is currently at 2825 points and also currently in the GSL round of 32 vs soO, Hurricane, and Gumiho. He needs to be careful not to lose in this and GSL. If he loses in both then he goes down to 67.27%. However a win in one and a loss in the other would put him over 98% either way. A win in both would put him at 99.87%.
TY vs Zestin in StarLeague Season 3 quarterfinals. TY must win this match! TY is at 17.71% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 31.96%, or 2.72% if they lose. Zest is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose.
INnoVation vs ByuLin in StarLeague Season 3 quarterfinals. INnoVation has the #2 Headband. INnoVation is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.99% if they lose. ByuL is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.96% if they lose.
Rogue vs Rainin in StarLeague Season 3 quarterfinals. Rain has the #1 Headband. Rogue is at 89.21% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.35%, or 82.92% if they lose. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
herO vs MyuNgSiKin in StarLeague Season 3 quarterfinals. MyuNgSiK must win this match! herO has the #4 Headband. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.22% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. MyuNgSiK is at 8.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 19.4%, or 0.46% if they lose.
MyuNgSiK must win this tournament! INnoVation has a 23.73% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Rain has a 17.9% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 14.54% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 12.46% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. ByuL has a 9.23% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't. TY has a 8.54% chance to win ----going from 17.71% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 10.03% if they don't. Rogue has a 8.18% chance to win ----going from 89.21% to 100% if they get 1st, or 88.24% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 5.43% chance to win ----going from 8.19% to 99.62% if they get 1st, or 2.94% if they don't.
On August 21 2015 02:59 Dingodile wrote: only lilbow has a chance to blizzcon from now?
Snute's got a decent chance. I can definitely see him in the Ro16 unless Hitman and Jim knock him out.
I think luck of the draw will have to do with it as well. Like if Lilbow (or Snute or MLord) gets seeded so that he has to play only koreans on the way to the finals he's got no chance. If he's up against a soft bracket and makes second, his chances are going to skyrocket.
In this group we have Parting, Dark, MMA and Skyhigh. Parting is locked in and Skyhigh is almost locked out, however this match is important for MMA's and Dark's Blizzcon Chances.
Dark has a huge spread of going up to 79.35% if he wins or down to 23.52% if he loses here. With 2600 WCS Points already he has 11.37% AFK Chances, he only needs an 8th place in GSL to get over 90% Blizzcon Chances, and a 16th place would still put him at a decent 59.88%. If Dark loses in this group and gets a 16th in Dreamhack then he goes to 35.56%, while a loss here and a 4th place in Dreamhack would put him at 89.3%. If he gets 16th in GSL and 16th in Dreamhack that'd be 87.27%.
Meanwhile MMA, last Blizzcon's runner-up, is in a much tougher spot with just 1475 WCS Points and 0.78% Blizzcon Chances. If MMA gets 4th in GSL then he still only ends up at 2.19%, a 2nd would be 13.73%, and taking home the gold would put him at 99.42%. If MMA gets 2nd in GSL and 8th in Dreamhack then he goes up to 52.26%, but with a 4th at Dreamhack that quickly goes up to 86.92%. An 8th place in GSL and a win at Dreamhack would put him at 24.54% Blizzcon Chances.
sKyHigh, Dark, MMA, and PartinGin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. MMA must win this match! Dark has the #3 Headband. sKyHigh is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. MMA is at 0.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.68% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.16%, or 0.01% if they lose. Dark is at 60.71% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.62% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 79.35%, or 23.52% if they lose. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 72.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Rogue, soO, Hurricane, and GuMihoin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. soO and GuMiho must win this match! This is the Group of Death! Rogue is at 87.36% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.44%, or 75.93% if they lose. Hurricane is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0% if they lose. soO is at 12.25% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 19.76%, or 0.33% if they lose. GuMiho is at 3.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.94% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.22%, or 0.11% if they lose.
Solar, Bbyong, Dear, GuMiho, and MMA must win this tournament! INnoVation has a 14.83% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.98% if they don't. Rain has a 8.42% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 8.01% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 7.48% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 7.31% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Solar has a 7.01% chance to win ----going from 9.33% to 97.01% if they get 1st, or 2.72% if they don't. herO has a 6.39% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 5.96% chance to win ----going from 12.25% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 6.69% if they don't. PartinG has a 5.08% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. sOs has a 4.88% chance to win ----going from 30.83% to 100% if they get 1st, or 27.28% if they don't. Dark has a 4.66% chance to win ----going from 60.71% to 100% if they get 1st, or 58.79% if they don't. ByuL has a 4.3% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Bbyong has a 4.08% chance to win ----going from 4.71% to 97.78% if they get 1st, or 0.75% if they don't. Dear has a 3.34% chance to win ----going from 5.69% to 99.88% if they get 1st, or 2.43% if they don't. Flash has a 3.22% chance to win ----going from 0.34% to 10.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.11% chance to win ----going from 87.36% to 100% if they get 1st, or 87.08% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.75% chance to win ----going from 3.99% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 2.29% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.53% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 3.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MMA has a 0.51% chance to win ----going from 0.78% to 99.42% if they get 1st, or 0.27% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.12% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.41% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
The only player in this group over 0.1% Blizzcon Chances is Lilbow, with GungFuBanda only going to 2.46% if he wins this season of WCS while Shana and Neeb would still be below 0.2% even if they win.
Lilbow can realistically make it if he gets another 2nd place, putting him at 40.35% chances, combine with even just a 16th place at DreamHack would put him at 77.96% or an 8th at Dreamhack giving him 90.14%. A 1st place in WCS would put him way up at 99.98%. A 4th in WCS would only put him at 6.79% requiring a matching 4th place in Dreamhack to get to 54.74% or with a 2nd in Dreamhack instead would be 81.8%.
Shana, Lilbow, neeb, and GunGFuBanDain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Lilbow must win this match! Shana is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Lilbow is at 11.76% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.51%, or 0.09% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose.
iAsonu, Zanster, Kane, and ForGGin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. ForGG must win this match! iAsonu is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0% if they lose. Kane is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.25%, or 0.01% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose. ForGG is at 9.56% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 14.73%, or 0.05% if they lose.
Hitman, Elazer, Jim, and Snutein in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Snute must win this match! Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.94% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Jim is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Snute is at 5.44% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.08%, or 0.01% if they lose.
viOLet, MaNa, TLO, and XiGuain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. TLO must win this match! viOLet is at 0.25% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.43%, or 0% if they lose. TLO is at 1.25% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.67%, or 0.01% if they lose. MaNa is at 0.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.98% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.42%, or 0.01% if they lose. XiGua is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Jaedong, Lilbow, ForGG, MarineLorD, Snute, and TLO must win this tournament! Hydra has a 21.99% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Polt has a 11.9% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Jaedong has a 10.62% chance to win ----going from 13.9% to 98.71% if they get 1st, or 3.82% if they don't. Lilbow has a 7.91% chance to win ----going from 11.76% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 4.18% if they don't. ForGG has a 7.55% chance to win ----going from 9.56% to 99.85% if they get 1st, or 2.19% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Petraeus has a 7.47% chance to win ----going from 1.4% to 18.32% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 6.49% chance to win ----going from 5.51% to 82.85% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Snute has a 4.61% chance to win ----going from 5.44% to 99.42% if they get 1st, or 0.9% if they don't. MaNa has a 4.03% chance to win ----going from 0.28% to 6.94% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. viOLet has a 2.73% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 8.91% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 2.15% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 1.27% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iaguz has a 2.14% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 6.59% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 1.83% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 2.69% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 1.83% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.59% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.74% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 2.46% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jim has a 1.16% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 1.68% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 1.01% chance to win ----going from 1.25% to 99.39% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.72% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 0.62% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 15.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.61% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.77% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.45% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. neeb has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.59% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Shana has a 0.04% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
This is a pretty crazy group for Blizzcon Chances considering it's only the round of 32. Rogue, soO, and Gumiho will all be greatly affected by this, although Hurricane is stuck below 0.05% chances even if he wins here. Flash and Hurricane are the only players in GSL remaining that wouldn't go over 96% chances if they win GSL, both would still be below 10%.
Rogue currently sits at 84.28% Blizzcon Chances with 2825 WCS Points and 40.08% AFK Chances. Rogue is currently in both GSL and SSL, and could still attend Dreamhack Stockholm. If he loses both this group and his upcoming quarterfinals match in SSL against Rain then he'd fall down to 54.09%. If he gets 16th in GSL and 8th in SSL, then he still goes up to a strong 94.39%. If he gets 32nd in GSL and 4th in SSL, then he goes up to 95.93%, so as long as he advances another round in either tournament then he's looking really good to go to Blizzcon.
soO is only at 11.51% Blizzcon Chances with 1800 WCS Points. A 4th in GSL for soO would only put him at 11.34%, a 2nd would be 77.33%, and a 1st would be 99.99%. A 2nd in GSL and an 8th in Dreamhack Stockholm would bring him up to 95.03%, and a 2nd in Dreamhack with a 4th in GSL would mean 88.54% Blizzcon Chances.
Gumiho is at 3.32% Blizzcon Chances and 1725 WCS Points. A 4th place in GSL would put him at 7.35%, a 2nd 43.19%, and a 1st at 99.99%. A 4th in GSL with a 2nd at Dreamhack Stockholm would bring him up to 83.26%, or an 8th in GSL and a win in Dreamhack would put him at 76.66%.
Rogue, soO, Hurricane, and GuMihoin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. soO and GuMiho must win this match! This is the Group of Death! Rogue is at 84.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 97.79%, or 70.62% if they lose. Hurricane is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose. soO is at 11.51% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.45%, or 0.28% if they lose. GuMiho is at 3.32% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.89%, or 0.09% if they lose.
Solar, Bbyong, Dear, and GuMiho must win this tournament! INnoVation has a 13.11% chance to win ----going from 99.98% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't. Rain has a 8.09% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Solar has a 7.53% chance to win ----going from 9.56% to 96.16% if they get 1st, or 2.51% if they don't. Classic has a 7.53% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 7.33% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Dark has a 7.09% chance to win ----going from 78.42% to 100% if they get 1st, or 76.78% if they don't. Maru has a 6.67% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 6.6% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 6.17% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 5.86% chance to win ----going from 11.51% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 6.01% if they don't. sOs has a 4.66% chance to win ----going from 27.33% to 100% if they get 1st, or 23.78% if they don't. ByuL has a 4.57% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Bbyong has a 3.97% chance to win ----going from 4.47% to 97.15% if they get 1st, or 0.64% if they don't. Dear has a 3.86% chance to win ----going from 5.8% to 99.83% if they get 1st, or 2.03% if they don't. Flash has a 3.03% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 9.2% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Rogue has a 1.85% chance to win ----going from 84.28% to 100% if they get 1st, or 83.98% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.55% chance to win ----going from 3.32% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.8% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.53% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 2.9% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
The only player in this group that's over 0.1% is ForGG, at 9.14% with 1625 WCS Points. He's a lot lower in the rankings than people were expecting, especially with the region lock on WCS. A 4th place in WCS would put him at 4.31%, a 2nd at 21.83%, and a 1st at 99.81%. A 2nd place in WCS and a 4th in Dreamhack would bring him up to 91.26%, a 4th in WCS and a 1st in Dreamhack would put him at 92.16%. If ForGG does get 2nd place in WCS, then his AFK Chances go up to 11.01%.
Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 13.2%, going from 84.76% to 97.96% Lilbow went up by 3.55%, going from 11.76% to 15.31% GuMiho went up by 3.14%, going from 3.38% to 6.52% Dear went up by 0.17%, going from 5.73% to 5.9%
Biggest Losers soO went down by 11.34%, going from 11.62% to 0.28% FanTaSy went down by 3.91%, going from 71.6% to 67.69% TY went down by 1.01%, going from 29.35% to 28.34% Dark went down by 0.77%, going from 78.98% to 78.22% Jaedong went down by 0.76%, going from 13.9% to 13.14% HyuN went down by 0.56%, going from 10.41% to 9.85% MarineLorD went down by 0.45%, going from 5.5% to 5.05% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
ForGG went down by 0.42%, going from 9.56% to 9.14% sOs went down by 0.31%, going from 27.65% to 27.34% Snute went down by 0.14%, going from 5.44% to 5.3% Stats went down by 0.12%, going from 3.03% to 2.91%
iAsonu, Zanster, Kane, and ForGGin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. ForGG must win this match! iAsonu is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.59% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose. Kane is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.24%, or 0.01% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. ForGG is at 9.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 14.09%, or 0.05% if they lose.
Hitman, Elazer, Jim, and Snutein in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Snute must win this match! Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Jim is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Snute is at 5.3% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.87%, or 0.02% if they lose.
viOLet, MaNa, TLO, and XiGuain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. TLO must win this match! viOLet is at 0.24% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.41%, or 0.01% if they lose. TLO is at 1.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.49%, or 0.01% if they lose. MaNa is at 0.27% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.98% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.4%, or 0.01% if they lose. XiGua is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Jaedong, ForGG, MarineLorD, Snute, and TLO must win this tournament! Hydra has a 21.3% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Polt has a 11.72% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Lilbow has a 10.44% chance to win ----going from 15.31% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 5.44% if they don't. Jaedong has a 10.15% chance to win ----going from 13.14% to 98.31% if they get 1st, or 3.52% if they don't. ForGG has a 7.22% chance to win ----going from 9.14% to 99.81% if they get 1st, or 2.08% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Petraeus has a 7.14% chance to win ----going from 1.31% to 17.95% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 6.18% chance to win ----going from 5.05% to 79.71% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. Snute has a 4.51% chance to win ----going from 5.3% to 99.29% if they get 1st, or 0.86% if they don't. MaNa has a 3.8% chance to win ----going from 0.27% to 7.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 3.2% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 2.57% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. viOLet has a 2.6% chance to win ----going from 0.24% to 8.97% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 1.99% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 1.26% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.99% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 6.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 1.71% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 1.69% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 2.71% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jim has a 1.09% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 1.6% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.94% chance to win ----going from 1.16% to 99.2% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.68% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 0.59% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 15.54% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.56% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.49% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Because of Rogue's big win yesterday, Myungsik is now the only player here below 97%, being at 8.53% with 2000 WCS Points. A 2nd place in SSL would only put him at 9.18% where he would still need a 4th place in Dreamhack just to get up to 70.76%. A 1st place in SSL would put him at 98.97%.
Rain vs Roguein in StarLeague Season 3 quarterfinals. Rain has the #1 Headband. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Rogue is at 97.91% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.72%, or 96.75% if they lose.
herO vs MyuNgSiKin in StarLeague Season 3 quarterfinals. MyuNgSiK must win this match! herO has the #4 Headband. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. MyuNgSiK is at 8.53% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.74%, or 0.24% if they lose.
MyuNgSiK must win this tournament! ByuL has a 26.54% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Rain has a 21.58% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 17.86% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. TY has a 16.61% chance to win ----going from 28.03% to 99.89% if they get 1st, or 13.72% if they don't. Rogue has a 10.28% chance to win ----going from 97.91% to 100% if they get 1st, or 97.67% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 7.13% chance to win ----going from 8.53% to 98.97% if they get 1st, or 1.58% if they don't.
Snuuuuuute! Snute's the only one in this group over 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, currently at 4.94% with 1500 WCS Points. An 8th place in WCS would put him at only 0.26%, combined with winning Dreamhack it'd still only be 12.59%. A 4th place here puts him at 2.08%, combined with winning Dreamhack that'd put him at 85.31%, but combined with a 2nd at Dreamhack it's only 19.27%. A 2nd place in WCS brings him up to 11.67%, where a 2nd place in Dreamhack would again bring him up to 92.85%, or a 4th place in Dreamhack would be 80.67%, or combined with an 8th place at Dreamhack would be 50.59%. Winning WCS would put Snute up to 99.67%.
Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 12.6%, going from 84.76% to 97.36% ForGG went up by 5.38%, going from 9.56% to 14.94% GuMiho went up by 4.51%, going from 3.38% to 7.89% Lilbow went up by 3.11%, going from 11.76% to 14.87% Dark went up by 0.35%, going from 78.98% to 79.33% Dear went up by 0.18%, going from 5.73% to 5.91%
Biggest Losers soO went down by 11.34%, going from 11.62% to 0.28% MyuNgSiK went down by 8.53%, going from 8.76% to 0.24% TY went down by 1.67%, going from 29.35% to 27.68% FanTaSy went down by 1.44%, going from 71.6% to 70.16% Jaedong went down by 1.42%, going from 13.9% to 12.48% MarineLorD went down by 0.71%, going from 5.5% to 4.79% Snute went down by 0.5%, going from 5.44% to 4.94% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
TLO went down by 0.17%, going from 1.25% to 1.08% HyuN went down by 0.16%, going from 10.41% to 10.25% Petraeus went down by 0.1%, going from 1.4% to 1.29%
Hitman, Elazer, Jim, and Snutein in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Snute must win this match! Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Jim is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Snute is at 4.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.33%, or 0.01% if they lose.
viOLet, MaNa, TLO, and XiGuain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. TLO must win this match! viOLet is at 0.22% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.38%, or 0.01% if they lose. TLO is at 1.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.3%, or 0.01% if they lose. MaNa is at 0.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.98% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.4%, or 0.01% if they lose. XiGua is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Jaedong, MarineLorD, Snute, and TLO must win this tournament! Hydra has a 20.36% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ForGG has a 11.74% chance to win ----going from 14.94% to 99.91% if they get 1st, or 3.64% if they don't. Polt has a 11.14% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Lilbow has a 9.92% chance to win ----going from 14.86% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 5.48% if they don't. Jaedong has a 9.39% chance to win ----going from 12.48% to 99.01% if they get 1st, or 3.51% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Petraeus has a 6.68% chance to win ----going from 1.29% to 18.87% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 5.67% chance to win ----going from 4.79% to 82.4% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. Snute has a 4.13% chance to win ----going from 4.94% to 99.67% if they get 1st, or 0.86% if they don't. Zanster has a 3.81% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.64% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaNa has a 3.58% chance to win ----going from 0.28% to 7.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 3.01% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 2.68% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. viOLet has a 2.39% chance to win ----going from 0.22% to 9.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 1.9% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 1.35% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.8% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 7.49% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 1.55% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 2.81% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jim has a 1.01% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 1.62% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.85% chance to win ----going from 1.08% to 99.64% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.61% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.38% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.67% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
MSI Masters hasn't had a lot of buzz, but these WCS Points could be very important for Jaedong, Solar, Hyun, and sOs since he replaced Zest.
sOs, currently at 2400 WCS Points, got a huge boost just by replacing Zest, he went from 27.48% Blizzcon Chances up to 51.13%. However, if sOs loses in the first round then he goes 27.38%. Just advancing a single round (8th place) would put sOs at 50.41%, and a 1st place would put him at 97.4%. If he gets 8th in MSI and 16th in GSL then he goes down to 16.87%. If he gets an 8th in MSI, GSL, and Dreamhack, then he goes up to 94.96%.
Jaedong is at 11.82% with 1525 WCS Points. He's not really on the edge yet, so a 16th place here wouldn't hurt him too badly, bringing him down to 9.45%, and similarly a 1st place would only bring him up to 24.2%. Jaedong really needs to make the WCS finals to have a decent chance, even a 4th place in WCS would put him at just 4.17%.
Solar is in a similar position as Jaedong, at 9.15% Blizzcon Chances and 1350 WCS Points. A 16th place here puts him at 6.58% while a 1st place puts him at 17.13%. Solar needs to focus on GSL where a 4th place would put him at 3.58%, 2nd place at 17.62%, and 1st place at 94.39%.
Hyun is different as he doesn't have a WCS primary tournament (WCS/GSL/SSL) left but he has more WCS Points at 2125, and 8.67% Blizzcon Chances. Because he's relying on partner tournaments now, this tournament can give him a huge swing, between 16th place bringing him down to 1.51%, 2nd place to 11.6%, and 1st place bringing him up to 50.64%. He's also still in the 4Gamers tournament where he's facing Parting next, if he loses there then that's 4th place and puts him at 5.63%. If he wins 1st place in both MSI and 4Gamers then he goes up to 77.15%. 8th in MSI and 4th in 4Gamers would put him down at 3.18%. A 1st place win in MSI and a 4th place in 4Gamers is still only 30.32%. A 2nd place in MSI, 2nd place in Dreamhack, and 4th place in 4Gamers would put him up at 87.05%.
Biggest Winners sOs went up by 23.65%, going from 27.48% to 51.13%
Biggest Losers FanTaSy went down by 8.03%, going from 69.52% to 61.49% Dark went down by 4.44%, going from 78.99% to 74.55% TY went down by 2.67%, going from 27.35% to 24.68% HyuN went down by 1.42%, going from 10.09% to 8.67% Rogue went down by 1.38%, going from 97.23% to 95.85% Lilbow went down by 0.94%, going from 14.42% to 13.48% GuMiho went down by 0.7%, going from 7.81% to 7.11% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
ForGG went down by 0.63%, going from 14.85% to 14.22% Jaedong went down by 0.53%, going from 12.34% to 11.82% Solar went down by 0.45%, going from 9.61% to 9.15% Dear went down by 0.38%, going from 5.87% to 5.5% Stats went down by 0.37%, going from 2.99% to 2.62% Snute went down by 0.32%, going from 7.71% to 7.4% MarineLorD went down by 0.29%, going from 4.79% to 4.5% Petraeus went down by 0.22%, going from 1.27% to 1.04% Bbyong went down by 0.15%, going from 4.39% to 4.25%
INnoVation, MacSed, Hydra, and Hasin in MSI Masters round of 16. INnoVation is at 99.98% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.92% if they lose. Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 78.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. MacSed is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 14.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Has is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
FireCake, Ian, HyuN, and PartinGin in MSI Masters round of 16. HyuN must win this match! FireCake is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. HyuN is at 8.67% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.39%, or 1.51% if they lose. Ian is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 22.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
sOs, TooDming, Harstem, and Solarin in MSI Masters round of 16. sOs is at 51.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 63.46%, or 27.38% if they lose. Harstem is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.45% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. TooDming is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Solar is at 9.15% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 10.19%, or 6.58% if they lose.
Petraeus, Jaedong, Polt, and viOLetin in MSI Masters round of 16. Petraeus is at 1.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.79%, or 0.38% if they lose. Polt is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. Jaedong is at 11.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.8% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.61%, or 9.45% if they lose. viOLet is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.37%, or 0.04% if they lose.
INnoVation has a 19.39% chance to win ----going from 99.98% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.98% if they don't. Hydra has a 14.08% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Solar has a 11.44% chance to win ----going from 9.15% to 17.13% if they get 1st, or 8.12% if they don't. PartinG has a 10.6% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. HyuN has a 9.2% chance to win ----going from 8.67% to 50.64% if they get 1st, or 4.42% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
sOs has a 8.52% chance to win ----going from 51.13% to 97.4% if they get 1st, or 46.82% if they don't. Jaedong has a 6.6% chance to win ----going from 11.82% to 24.2% if they get 1st, or 10.94% if they don't. Polt has a 5.95% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Petraeus has a 4.37% chance to win ----going from 1.04% to 6.62% if they get 1st, or 0.79% if they don't. viOLet has a 3.09% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 2.16% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. FireCake has a 2.73% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 1.52% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TooDming has a 0.96% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Has has a 0.94% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ian has a 0.45% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MacSed has a 0.17% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Biggest Winners sOs went up by 23.48%, going from 27.65% to 51.13% Rogue went up by 11.09%, going from 84.76% to 95.85% ForGG went up by 4.66%, going from 9.56% to 14.22% GuMiho went up by 3.74%, going from 3.38% to 7.11% Snute went up by 1.96%, going from 5.44% to 7.4% Lilbow went up by 1.72%, going from 11.76% to 13.48%
Biggest Losers soO went down by 11.42%, going from 11.62% to 0.2% FanTaSy went down by 10.11%, going from 71.6% to 61.49% MyuNgSiK went down by 8.61%, going from 8.76% to 0.16% TY went down by 4.68%, going from 29.35% to 24.68% Dark went down by 4.43%, going from 78.98% to 74.55% Jaedong went down by 2.09%, going from 13.9% to 11.82% HyuN went down by 1.73%, going from 10.41% to 8.67% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
MarineLorD went down by 0.99%, going from 5.5% to 4.5% Solar went down by 0.49%, going from 9.65% to 9.15% Stats went down by 0.41%, going from 3.03% to 2.62% Petraeus went down by 0.35%, going from 1.4% to 1.04% TLO went down by 0.25%, going from 1.25% to 1.01% Dear went down by 0.24%, going from 5.73% to 5.5% Bbyong went down by 0.14%, going from 4.38% to 4.25% MaNa went down by 0.1%, going from 0.29% to 0.18%
viOLet, MaNa, TLO, and XiGuain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. TLO must win this match! viOLet is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.32%, or 0.01% if they lose. TLO is at 1.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.14%, or 0.01% if they lose. MaNa is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.27%, or 0% if they lose. XiGua is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Lilbow, Jaedong, Snute, MarineLorD, and TLO must win this tournament! Hydra has a 20.19% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ForGG has a 11.71% chance to win ----going from 14.22% to 99.91% if they get 1st, or 2.85% if they don't. Polt has a 11.07% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Lilbow has a 9.65% chance to win ----going from 13.48% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 4.24% if they don't. Jaedong has a 9.3% chance to win ----going from 11.82% to 98.57% if they get 1st, or 2.92% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Petraeus has a 6.59% chance to win ----going from 1.04% to 15.47% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Snute has a 6.45% chance to win ----going from 7.4% to 99.6% if they get 1st, or 1.04% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 5.67% chance to win ----going from 4.5% to 77.64% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Zanster has a 3.78% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.47% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaNa has a 3.46% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 5.24% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 2.87% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 2.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. viOLet has a 2.37% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 7.65% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 1.82% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 1.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.8% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 4.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 1.53% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 2.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.84% chance to win ----going from 1.01% to 99.58% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.84% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.47% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GSL Ro16 and WCS Ro16 Groups Drawn and Group of Death Analysis! Saturday, Aug 29 4:15am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4024)
Biggest Winners and Losers since Friday, Aug 21 2:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim ID #3701 vs Sim ID #4024) Biggest Winners sOs went up by 22.62%, going from 28.01% to 50.64% Rogue went up by 10.56%, going from 85.36% to 95.92% ForGG went up by 5.31%, going from 9.55% to 14.86% Snute went up by 3.07%, going from 5.39% to 8.46% GuMiho went up by 3.02%, going from 3.62% to 6.64% Lilbow went up by 0.96%, going from 11.98% to 12.94% Dear went up by 0.82%, going from 5.1% to 5.91% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Biggest Losers soO went down by 11.51%, going from 11.71% to 0.2% FanTaSy went down by 10.1%, going from 72.64% to 62.54% MyuNgSiK went down by 8.61%, going from 8.77% to 0.16% TY went down by 5.56%, going from 30.5% to 24.93% Dark went down by 4.41%, going from 79.29% to 74.89% Jaedong went down by 1.84%, going from 11.84% to 9.99% TLO went down by 1.23%, going from 1.23% to 0.01% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
MarineLorD went down by 1.01%, going from 5.46% to 4.46% HyuN went down by 0.95%, going from 9.77% to 8.82% Stats went down by 0.49%, going from 3.14% to 2.65% Bbyong went down by 0.38%, going from 4.54% to 4.16% Petraeus went down by 0.18%, going from 1.27% to 1.09% Zest went down by 0.11%, going from 99.99% to 99.89%
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 25.85% up to 27.15% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 0.44% up to 0.47%
Top Foreigner Hopes Lilbow12.53% chance to be the only foreigner, 12.94% chance overall. Snute8.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.46% chance overall. MarineLorD4.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.46% chance overall. Petraeus1.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.09% chance overall. MaNa0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.29% chance overall. Bunny0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.19% chance overall. iaguz0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
GunGFuBanDa0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall. Sen0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. elfi0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Zanster0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. TLO0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Hitman0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. FireCake0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Harstem0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. ShoWTimE0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Has0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Kane0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Happy0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! ByuL is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 4 defenses! herO is the current #4 Headband holder with 3 defenses!
0.93% of the time 2625 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.94% of the time 2800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 18.18% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 55.23% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 74.58% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 90.15% of the time 3200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.04% of the time 3450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
herO has a 82.86% chance to be the #1 seed. PartinG has a 37.44% chance to be the #2 seed. PartinG has a 33.36% chance to be the #3 seed. Maru has a 29.09% chance to be the #4 seed. Life has a 39.82% chance to be the #5 seed. Hydra has a 24.82% chance to be the #6 seed. Classic has a 21.95% chance to be the #7 seed. Classic has a 29.56% chance to be the #8 seed. Dream has a 36.25% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 28.18% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 25.62% chance to be the #11 seed. Zest has a 25.36% chance to be the #12 seed. Zest has a 24.06% chance to be the #13 seed. Rogue has a 26.78% chance to be the #14 seed. Rogue has a 23.42% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 32.04% chance to be the #16 seed.
herO vs FanTaSy has a 29.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Classic has a 27.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Rogue has a 21.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Zest has a 19.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs herO has a 17.98% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Zest has a 17.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Dream has a 17.8% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Classic has a 16.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Rogue has a 15.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs INnoVation has a 15.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Zanster, MarineLorD, elfi, and MaNain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. MarineLorD must win this match! Zanster is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.68% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose. elfi is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 4.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. MaNa is at 0.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.51%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Sen, Snute, Petraeus, and GunGFuBanDain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. Snute and Petraeus must win this match! Sen is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0% if they lose. Petraeus is at 1.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.85%, or 0.01% if they lose. Snute is at 8.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.6%, or 0.06% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.14%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Hitman, Hydra, Polt, and viOLetin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Polt is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. viOLet is at 0.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.65%, or 0.01% if they lose.
ForGG, Jaedong, iaguz, and Lilbowin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. ForGG, Jaedong, and Lilbow must win this match! ForGG is at 14.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 22.3%, or 0.19% if they lose. iaguz is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.24%, or 0% if they lose. Jaedong is at 9.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.19% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.47%, or 0.25% if they lose. Lilbow is at 12.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 22.53%, or 0.26% if they lose.
Rogue, Dear, Bbyong, and Rainin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. Dear and Bbyong must win this match! Rain has the #1 Headband. Rogue is at 95.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.41% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.32%, or 93.2% if they lose. Bbyong is at 4.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 9.05%, or 0.04% if they lose. Dear is at 5.91% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.63%, or 0.16% if they lose. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.8% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Maru, sOs, Classic, and herOin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. herO has the #4 Headband. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. sOs is at 50.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 78.77%, or 27.11% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Solar, Zest, ByuL, and Darkin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. Solar must win this match! ByuL has the #2 Headband.Dark has the #3 Headband. Solar is at 9.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.81%, or 0.25% if they lose. ByuL is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. Zest is at 99.89% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.78% if they lose. Dark is at 74.89% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 96.34%, or 51.76% if they lose.
PartinG, GuMiho, INnoVation, and Flashin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. GuMiho must win this match! PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. INnoVation is at 99.98% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.96% if they lose. GuMiho is at 6.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.45% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 15.9%, or 0.34% if they lose. Flash is at 0.22% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.54%, or 0.01% if they lose.
GSL Ro16 Group of Death And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Group A Rogue has a 3.95% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Dear has a 4.18% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Bbyong has a 3.81% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Rain has a 8.95% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 20.8864
Group B Maru has a 6.47% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 sOs has a 4.72% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Classic has a 8.06% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 herO has a 6.5% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 25.7499
Group C Solar has a 7.61% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Zest has a 6.75% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 ByuL has a 4.7% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Dark has a 7.23% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 26.2846
Group D Flash has a 2.91% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 INnoVation has a 13.2% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 GuMiho has a 3.8% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 PartinG has a 7.17% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 27.0792
Group A Rogue has a 95.77% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dear has a 5.89% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Bbyong has a 4.15% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Rain has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 205.808
Group B Maru has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon sOs has a 50.45% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Classic has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon herO has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 350.449
Group C Solar has a 9.34% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Zest has a 99.88% chance to qualify for Blizzcon ByuL has a 99.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dark has a 74.54% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 283.767
Group D Flash has a 0.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon INnoVation has a 99.98% chance to qualify for Blizzcon GuMiho has a 6.61% chance to qualify for Blizzcon PartinG has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 206.811
Group A Rogue's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.08% Dear's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.39% Bbyong's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.1% Rain's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.215268
Group B Maru's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% sOs's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.68% Classic's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.682919
Group C Solar's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.19% Zest's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02% ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Dark's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.15836
Group D Flash's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02% INnoVation's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% GuMiho's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.5% PartinG's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.515591
Group A When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.52% When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.81% When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 5.69% When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 5.72% When Bbyong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 4.89% When Bbyong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.11% When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% Giving this match an Effects Score of 26.7311
Group B When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 28.1% When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 23.51% When Classic wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Classic loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% Giving this match an Effects Score of 51.6081
Group C When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.4% When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.09% When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.12% When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11% When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Dark wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 21.68% When Dark loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 23.37% Giving this match an Effects Score of 61.7762
Group D When Flash wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.31% When Flash loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.21% When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.02% When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.02% When GuMiho wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.23% When GuMiho loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 6.27% When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.0743
Group A Rogue has an Aligulac rating of 2126 Dear has an Aligulac rating of 2081 Bbyong has an Aligulac rating of 2143 Rain has an Aligulac rating of 2288 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8638
Group B Maru has an Aligulac rating of 2273 sOs has an Aligulac rating of 2123 Classic has an Aligulac rating of 2229 herO has an Aligulac rating of 2210 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8835
Group C Solar has an Aligulac rating of 2254 Zest has an Aligulac rating of 2190 ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 2149 Dark has an Aligulac rating of 2263 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8856
Group D Flash has an Aligulac rating of 2072 INnoVation has an Aligulac rating of 2468 GuMiho has an Aligulac rating of 2152 PartinG has an Aligulac rating of 2221 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8913
Final Placings Group A has one 3rd place, and four 4th places Group B has two 1st places, one 2nd place, and two 3rd places Group C has one 1st place, three 2nd places, and one 3rd place Group D has two 1st places, one 2nd place, one 3rd place, and one 4th place
Group B edges out Group D by having two 3rd places instead of a 3rd and a 4th place. Congrats to Maru, sOs, Classic, and herO for being the Group of Death! Group D is our 2nd place Group of Death with Flash, INnoVation, GuMiho, and PartinG.
WCS Ro16 Group of Death And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Group A Zanster has a 3.37% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 MarineLorD has a 5.59% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 elfi has a 1.78% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 MaNa has a 5.37% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 16.1129
Group B Sen has a 1.41% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Snute has a 7.34% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Petraeus has a 6.84% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 GunGFuBanDa has a 2.54% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 18.1266
Group C Hitman has a 0.87% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Hydra has a 20.73% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Polt has a 10.23% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 viOLet has a 3.73% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 35.5568
Group D ForGG has a 12.07% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Jaedong has a 7.78% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 iaguz has a 1.31% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Lilbow has a 9.05% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 30.2037
Group A Zanster has a 0.02% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MarineLorD has a 4.46% chance to qualify for Blizzcon elfi has a 0.02% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MaNa has a 0.29% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 4.78522
Group B Sen has a 0.03% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Snute has a 8.46% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Petraeus has a 1.09% chance to qualify for Blizzcon GunGFuBanDa has a 0.06% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 9.63772
Group C Hitman has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Hydra has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Polt has a 99.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon viOLet has a 0.29% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 200.294
Group D ForGG has a 14.86% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Jaedong has a 9.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon iaguz has a 0.07% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Lilbow has a 12.94% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 37.8643
Group A Zanster's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% MarineLorD's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.08% elfi's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% MaNa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.02% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.0949
Group B Sen's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Snute's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.82% Petraeus's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.07% GunGFuBanDa's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.885236
Group C Hitman's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Hydra's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Polt's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% viOLet's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.013224
Group D ForGG's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.94% Jaedong's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.46% iaguz's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02% Lilbow's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.21% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.741152
Group A When Zanster wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.02% When Zanster loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.02% When MarineLorD wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.56% When MarineLorD loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.46% When elfi wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.03% When elfi loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.02% When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.22% When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.29% Giving this match an Effects Score of 8.61053
Group B When Sen wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05% When Sen loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.03% When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 5.15% When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.4% When Petraeus wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.76% When Petraeus loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.09% When GunGFuBanDa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.08% When GunGFuBanDa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.06% Giving this match an Effects Score of 15.6145
Group C When Hitman wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Hitman loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When viOLet wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.36% When viOLet loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.29% Giving this match an Effects Score of 0.656312
Group D When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.44% When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 14.67% When Jaedong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.47% When Jaedong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.74% When iaguz wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.17% When iaguz loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.07% When Lilbow wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.59% When Lilbow loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 12.68% Giving this match an Effects Score of 64.8398
Group A Zanster has an Aligulac rating of 1843 MarineLorD has an Aligulac rating of 1898 elfi has an Aligulac rating of 1708 MaNa has an Aligulac rating of 1890 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7339
Group B Sen has an Aligulac rating of 1699 Snute has an Aligulac rating of 2005 Petraeus has an Aligulac rating of 1990 GunGFuBanDa has an Aligulac rating of 1800 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7494
Group C Hitman has an Aligulac rating of 1619 Hydra has an Aligulac rating of 2324 Polt has an Aligulac rating of 2117 viOLet has an Aligulac rating of 1877 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7937
Group D ForGG has an Aligulac rating of 2112 Jaedong has an Aligulac rating of 2055 iaguz has an Aligulac rating of 1669 Lilbow has an Aligulac rating of 2029 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7865
Final Placings Group A has two 3rd places, and three 4th places Group B has one 2nd place, three 3rd places, and one 4th place Group C has three 1st places, one 2nd place, and one 4th place Group D has two 1st places, and three 2nd places
With three 1st places, Group C is our Group of Death! Congrats to Hitman, Hydra, Polt, and viOLet! Group D is our 2nd place Group of Death with ForGG, Jaedong, iaguz, and Lilbow.
Biggest Winners sOs went up by 13.11%, going from 50.65% to 63.76% Solar went up by 2.05%, going from 9.35% to 11.4% HyuN went up by 0.33%, going from 8.82% to 9.14% viOLet went up by 0.23%, going from 0.28% to 0.51%
Biggest Losers FanTaSy went down by 5.13%, going from 62.57% to 57.44% Dark went down by 3.44%, going from 74.9% to 71.45% TY went down by 1.66%, going from 24.93% to 23.27% Jaedong went down by 1.34%, going from 10.01% to 8.66% Rogue went down by 1.11%, going from 95.93% to 94.82% Petraeus went down by 0.85%, going from 1.1% to 0.24% GuMiho went down by 0.58%, going from 6.63% to 6.05% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Dear went down by 0.42%, going from 5.9% to 5.48% Lilbow went down by 0.24%, going from 12.93% to 12.69% Stats went down by 0.22%, going from 2.65% to 2.43% Bbyong went down by 0.22%, going from 4.16% to 3.94% ForGG went down by 0.12%, going from 14.84% to 14.72%
viOLet vs sOsin in MSI Masters quarterfinals. viOLet is at 0.51% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.99%, or 0.18% if they lose. sOs is at 63.76% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 73.49%, or 49.46% if they lose.
HyuN vs INnoVationin in MSI Masters quarterfinals. HyuN is at 9.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.21% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.07%, or 3.81% if they lose. INnoVation is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.99% if they lose.
PartinG vs Solarin in MSI Masters semifinals. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Solar is at 11.4% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.21% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.56%, or 9.04% if they lose.
Solar has a 26.1% chance to win ----going from 11.4% to 16.84% if they get 1st, or 9.48% if they don't. PartinG has a 25.46% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. INnoVation has a 21.31% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. sOs has a 12.28% chance to win ----going from 63.76% to 97.47% if they get 1st, or 59.04% if they don't. HyuN has a 9.86% chance to win ----going from 9.14% to 47.39% if they get 1st, or 4.95% if they don't. viOLet has a 4.99% chance to win ----going from 0.51% to 3.74% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't.
While Rain is sitting comfortably at 100% Blizzcon Chances, this match is important for Rogue, and Dear and Bbyong must win this match. This group contains 2 out of the 4 players who "must win" GSL. Out of the 16 players remaining, Flash is the only one who would not get over 90% Blizzcon Chances if he won GSL, he would only end up at 5.15%. So it's very likely this season's champion will also be at Blizzcon.
Rogue is currently at 91.68%, with 3025 WCS Points and an AFK Chances of 80.24%. If he wins here then he goes up to 98.39%, virtually secured for Blizzcon. If he loses then he goes down to a still strong 86.12%. But other players can still pass him. If Rogue loses this match and Dear goes on to win GSL, then Rogue falls down to 64.83%. If Rogue loses this and Bbyong goes on to win GSL, then Rogue goes down to 65.73%. Also if Rogue loses this match and TY wins SSL, then Rogue goes down to 64.55%.
Dear is currently at 4.78% with 1825 WCS Points. A loss here would basically eliminate him, putting him down to 0.09% (without placeholder tournaments it would be 0%). A 2nd place in GSL puts Dear at 9.97% and a 1st place would put him at 99.8%. A 2nd in GSL along with a 4th at Dreamhack would put him at 85.42%. A 4th in GSL and 1st in Dreamhack would be 87.92%. 4th in GSL with a 2nd in Dreamhack would be 45.45%. A 4th place in both would only be 7.82% though.
Bbyong is a little behind Dear at 3.48% with 1550 WCS Points. A loss here would put him at 0.03%, or 0% if you take out the placeholder tournaments. A 1st place in GSL would put him up at 91.31%. A 2nd place in GSL would be just 3.82%, paired with a 2nd place in Dreamhack that'd be 52.07%. 2nd in GSL with 1st in Dreamhack would be 89.22%. 2nd in GSL with a 4th in Dreamhack is just 12.43%.
Rogue, Dear, Bbyong, and Rainin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. Dear and Bbyong must win this match! Rain has the #1 Headband. Rogue is at 91.68% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.39%, or 86.12% if they lose. Bbyong is at 3.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.2% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.67%, or 0.03% if they lose. Dear is at 4.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 9.59%, or 0.09% if they lose. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
herO, Classic, sOs, and Maruin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. herO has the #4 Headband. This is the Group of Death! herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. sOs is at 97.66% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.64% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.64%, or 95.63% if they lose. Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Solar, Zest, ByuL, and Darkin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. Solar must win this match! ByuL has the #2 Headband.Dark has the #3 Headband. Solar is at 9.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.1%, or 0.14% if they lose. ByuL is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. Zest is at 99.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.25% if they lose. Dark is at 66.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.68% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 91.49%, or 38.95% if they lose.
PartinG, GuMiho, INnoVation, and Flashin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. GuMiho must win this match! This is the 2nd place Group of Death! PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.19% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. INnoVation is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. GuMiho is at 5.4% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.24%, or 0.19% if they lose. Flash is at 0.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.36%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Solar, Dear, GuMiho, and Bbyong must win this tournament! INnoVation has a 14.06% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Rain has a 8.54% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 7.99% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 7.74% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. sOs has a 7.47% chance to win ----going from 97.66% to 100% if they get 1st, or 97.47% if they don't. Solar has a 7.04% chance to win ----going from 9.05% to 99.8% if they get 1st, or 2.18% if they don't. Zest has a 6.9% chance to win ----going from 99.62% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.59% if they don't. Dark has a 6.67% chance to win ----going from 66.1% to 100% if they get 1st, or 63.68% if they don't. herO has a 6.38% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 6.03% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ByuL has a 3.83% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Rogue has a 3.8% chance to win ----going from 91.68% to 100% if they get 1st, or 91.35% if they don't. Dear has a 3.75% chance to win ----going from 4.78% to 99.8% if they get 1st, or 1.09% if they don't. GuMiho has a 3.6% chance to win ----going from 5.4% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 1.86% if they don't. Bbyong has a 3.47% chance to win ----going from 3.48% to 91.29% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. Flash has a 2.72% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 5.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
On September 02 2015 21:35 Eyx wrote: The final seeds and match stats are a little hard to get info from in a way. Who is rain likely to play? He isn't actually in either!
In the SSL semifinals we have 3 players already over 99.99%, and then we have TY at 20.89% with 2500 WCS Points.
If TY loses here then he cannot make it to Blizzcon unless he gets a 4th place or better at Dreamhack or a new tournament is announced. A loss here and a 2nd at Dreamhack puts him at 55.18%, a 1st instead of that 2nd would be 82.51%. A 2nd place in SSL means that he just needs a 16th in Dreamhack to get over 50%, with a 52.58%.
TY vs ByuLin in StarLeague Season 3 semifinals. TY must win this match! ByuL has the #2 Headband. TY is at 20.89% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.1% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 47.04%, or 3.38% if they lose. ByuL is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose.
herO vs Rainin in StarLeague Season 3 semifinals. herO has the #4 Headband.Rain has the #1 Headband. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Rain has a 32.39% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 29.21% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ByuL has a 23.52% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. TY has a 14.88% chance to win ----going from 20.89% to 99.74% if they get 1st, or 7.1% if they don't.
Who will go to Blizzcon and who still needs to win more WCS Points? I'm Ray Carro, aka Die4Ever. I've created WCS Predictor, a complex piece of custom software, to calculate these statistics and more by simulating every WCS match millions of times over. For this post we will be looking at "Blizzcon Chances" which is the percentage probability of the player being in the top 16 for qualifying to Blizzcon. You will see a few cases of some players with more WCS Points having lower Blizzcon Chances than someone with less WCS Points. This is because of factors such as their Aligulac skill rating; the tournaments they are still in; and the skill ratings of their opponents.
Recently we had sOs replacing Zest for MSI Masters and then winning the whole tournament. sOs gained a massive 70.01% Blizzcon Chances, going from 27.66% up to 97.67%. Now after the results of GSL Ro16 Group A and the first SSL semifinal, sOs is at 97.32%. After losing to Byul, TY just fell from 20.89% down to 3.39%. TY losing has given other players a better chance, especially Fantasy and Dark who both rose by over 5% Blizzcon Chances. Let's consider over 95% to be nearly secured, and we can look at what it would take for players to get into that "nearly secured" bracket, along with what single event would hurt them the most.
Secured Players - 100% Blizzcon Chances - 9 Players These 9 players are locked in from strong performances throughout the year.
herO 100% with 6,700 WCS Points.
PartinG 100% with 5,850 WCS Points.
Life 100% with 5,475 WCS Points.
Maru 100% with 5,450 WCS Points.
Rain 100% with 4,925 WCS Points.
Hydra 100% with 4,700 WCS Points.
Dream 100% with 4,275 WCS Points.
Classic 100% with 4,250 WCS Points.
ByuL 100% with 4,025 WCS Points.
Nearly Secured Players - Over 95% - 5 Players These 5 players will almost certainly qualify.
INnoVation 99.99% with 3,625 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - INnoVation loses their next match in the GSL round of 16. This would bring INnoVation down to 99.99%.
Polt 99.99% with 3,575 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Polt loses their next match in the WCS round of 16. This would bring Polt down to 99.99%.
Zest 99.63% with 3,375 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Zest loses their next match in the GSL round of 16. This would bring Zest down to 99.27%.
Rogue 99.01% with 3,325 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Dear gets 1st in GSL. This would bring Rogue down to 95.44%.
sOs 97.32% with 3,150 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - FanTaSy gets 1st in DreamHack. This would bring sOs down to 87.48%.
Over 20% - 2 Players These players might qualify even if they don't earn any additional points, but they'll definitely want to in order to secure their chances.
Dark 69.03% with 2,800 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Solar gets 1st in GSL Code S Season 3. This would bring Dark down to 35.55%. To get nearly secured - A 16th in GSL with a 2nd in Dreamhack, an 8th in both GSL and Dreamhack, or a 4th in GSL with no points required from Dreamhack. If Dark loses his GSL round of 16 match and also gets 16th in Dreamhack then he's still in a decent spot at 74.99%.
FanTaSy 51.6% with 2,900 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - TY gets 1st in DreamHack. This would bring FanTaSy down to 16.99%. To get nearly secured - Fantasy is out of SSL and GSL, so he needs a 2nd in DreamHack to get up to 95.77%. However, even a 16th place at Dreamhack would put Fantasy at 61.39%.
Over 5% - 7 Players All 7 of these players can get nearly secured if they win their GSL/WCS and get no points from Dreamhack. Alternatively they can get 2nd in their GSL/WCS and win Dreamhack.
ForGG 13.82% with 1,825 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - ForGG loses their next match in the WCS round of 16. This would bring ForGG down to 0.11%. To get nearly secured - 1st in WCS and no points from DreamHack; this would bring ForGG up to 99.86%. 2nd in WCS and 1st in DreamHack; this would bring ForGG up to 99.52%.
Lilbow 13.31% with 1,925 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Lilbow loses their next match in the WCS round of 16. This would bring Lilbow down to 0.15%. To get nearly secured - 1st in WCS and no points from DreamHack; this would bring Lilbow up to 99.95%. 2nd in WCS and 1st in DreamHack; this would bring Lilbow up to 99.95%.
Dear 10.63% with 2,125 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Dear gets 8th in GSL. This would bring Dear down to 0.41%. To get nearly secured - 1st in GSL and no points from DreamHack; this would bring Dear up to 99.82%. 2nd in GSL and 1st in DreamHack; this would bring Dear up to 99.76%.
Solar 9.67% with 1,850 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Solar loses their next match in the GSL round of 16. This would bring Solar down to 0.14%. To get nearly secured - 1st in GSL and no points from DreamHack; this would bring Solar up to 99.82%. 2nd in GSL and 1st in DreamHack; this would bring Solar up to 99.86%.
Snute 8.47% with 1,700 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Snute loses their next match in the WCS round of 16. This would bring Snute down to 0.04%. To get nearly secured - 1st in WCS and no points from DreamHack; this would bring Snute up to 98.57%. 2nd in WCS and 1st in DreamHack; this would bring Snute up to 95.22%.
Jaedong 8.09% with 1,775 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Jaedong loses their next match in the WCS round of 16. This would bring Jaedong down to 0.05%. To get nearly secured - 1st in WCS and no points from DreamHack; this would bring Jaedong up to 99.71%. 2nd in WCS and 1st in DreamHack; this would bring Jaedong up to 99.03%.
GuMiho 5.63% with 1,925 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - GuMiho loses their next match in the GSL round of 16. This would bring GuMiho down to 0.19%. To get nearly secured - 1st in GSL and no points from DreamHack; this would bring GuMiho up to 99.98%. 2nd in GSL and 2nd in DreamHack; this would bring GuMiho up to 95.64%.
Over 1% - 4 Players These 4 players need to work some magic and get a little lucky.
MarineLorD 4.06% with 1,275 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - MarineLorD loses their next match in the WCS round of 16. This would bring MarineLorD down to 0.01%. To get nearly secured - MarineLord is still in WCS, but he doesn't have enough points for a win there to do it alone. He would need a 1st in WCS and 4th in DreamHack. This would bring MarineLorD up to 97.51%.
TY 3.38% with 2,500 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - TY gets no points from DreamHack. This would bring TY down to 1.96%. Since TY just lost to ByuL, he fell from 20.89% down to 3.39%. Now he only has Dreamhack left, a win there would put him at 82.56%. If Dark loses his GSL round of 16 match and TY wins Dreamhack, TY would go up to 89.44%.
HyuN 3.07% with 2,375 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - HyuN gets no points from DreamHack. This would bring HyuN down to 1.78%. HyuN is still in the 4Gamers tournament, however as a tier 3 it is offering less points than Dreamhack. A win at Dreamhack would put Hyun at 76.84%. A win at 4Gamers combined with a win at Dreamhack would put Hyun at 85.6%.
Stats 1.89% with 2,350 WCS Points. Most hurtful event - Stats gets no points from DreamHack. This would bring Stats down to 1.04%. Stats only has Dreamhack left, a win there would put him at 66.11%. If Dark loses his GSL round of 16 match and Stats wins Dreamhack, then Stats goes up to 79.16%.
Well this group matters slightly for sOs. And the winner of the group gets the #4 Headband! Also herO is at 6700 WCS Points, if he advances from this group then he goes up to 7000!
1.15% of the time. FanTaSy gets 1st place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change sOs's chances from 97.32% to 87.68%
8.52% of the time. Dear gets 1st place in GSL Code S Season 3 This would change sOs's chances from 97.32% to 89.69%
7.49% of the time. Solar gets 1st place in GSL Code S Season 3 This would change sOs's chances from 97.32% to 92.46%
13.37% of the time. Dark gets 4th place in GSL Code S Season 3 This would change sOs's chances from 97.32% to 93.38%
12.1% of the time. ForGG gets 1st place in WCS Premier Season 3 This would change sOs's chances from 97.32% to 93.93%
4.23% of the time. sOs loses their next match in the GSL Code S Season 3 Round of 16 and Dear gets 1st place in GSL Code S Season 3 This would change sOs's chances from 97.32% to 81.21%
6.53% of the time. sOs loses their next match in the GSL Code S Season 3 Round of 16 and Dark gets 4th place in GSL Code S Season 3 This would change sOs's chances from 97.32% to 86.92%
25.55% of the time. sOs loses their next match in the GSL Code S Season 3 Round of 16 and Dark wins their next match in the GSL Code S Season 3 Round of 16 This would change sOs's chances from 97.32% to 92.71%
19.72% of the time. sOs loses their next match in the GSL Code S Season 3 Round of 16 and GuMiho wins their next match in the GSL Code S Season 3 Round of 16 This would change sOs's chances from 97.32% to 93.95%
herO, Classic, sOs, and Maruin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. herO has the #4 Headband. This is the Group of Death! herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. sOs is at 97.32% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.61% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.64%, or 94.93% if they lose. Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Solar, Zest, ByuL, and Darkin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. Solar must win this match! ByuL has the #2 Headband.Dark has the #3 Headband. Solar is at 9.66% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.16%, or 0.14% if they lose. ByuL is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Zest is at 99.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.27% if they lose. Dark is at 69.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 91.8%, or 44.63% if they lose.
PartinG, GuMiho, INnoVation, and Flashin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. GuMiho must win this match! This is the 2nd place Group of Death! PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. INnoVation is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.2% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. GuMiho is at 5.68% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.93% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.94%, or 0.19% if they lose. Flash is at 0.15% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.38%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Dear, Solar, and GuMiho must win this tournament! INnoVation has a 14.38% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Rogue has a 8.88% chance to win ----going from 99.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.91% if they don't. Dear has a 8.52% chance to win ----going from 10.62% to 99.83% if they get 1st, or 2.31% if they don't. Classic has a 8.06% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 8.05% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
sOs has a 7.78% chance to win ----going from 97.32% to 100% if they get 1st, or 97.09% if they don't. Solar has a 7.49% chance to win ----going from 9.66% to 99.9% if they get 1st, or 2.36% if they don't. Zest has a 7.02% chance to win ----going from 99.63% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.6% if they don't. Dark has a 6.88% chance to win ----going from 69.02% to 100% if they get 1st, or 66.73% if they don't. herO has a 6.58% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 6.08% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ByuL has a 3.82% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. GuMiho has a 3.79% chance to win ----going from 5.68% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 1.97% if they don't. Flash has a 2.68% chance to win ----going from 0.15% to 5.41% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
PartinG vs HyuNin in 4Gamers semifinals. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.31% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. HyuN is at 3.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.29%, or 2.34% if they lose.
Bomber vs Ianin in 4Gamers semifinals. Bomber is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Ian is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 23.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
PartinG has a 42.98% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. HyuN has a 30.08% chance to win ----going from 3.23% to 4.58% if they get 1st, or 2.65% if they don't. Bomber has a 23.76% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ian has a 3.18% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
I have removed all of the placeholder tournaments. All that is left is SSL (all those players are at 100% already, but it'll affect seeding), GSL, WCS, and Dreamhack Stockholm. I gifted back points lost in WCS Wars due to the removal of the Placeholder tournaments. Biggest Winners and Losers from removal of Placeholder tournaments (Sim ID #4110 vs Sim ID #4117) Biggest Winners FanTaSy went up by 5.87%, going from 51.83% to 57.7% sOs went up by 2.98%, going from 93.89% to 96.87% Dark went up by 2.95%, going from 69.47% to 72.42% MarineLorD went up by 0.63%, going from 4.08% to 4.72% Rogue went up by 0.18%, going from 99.75% to 99.94%
Biggest Losers HyuN went down by 2.58%, going from 4.58% to 2.01% TY went down by 2.1%, going from 3.69% to 1.58% Dear went down by 1.18%, going from 10.06% to 8.87% Stats went down by 1.13%, going from 1.93% to 0.8% ForGG went down by 1.03%, going from 13.76% to 12.74% Solar went down by 0.97%, going from 9.62% to 8.65% Lilbow went down by 0.95%, going from 13.64% to 12.68% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
GuMiho went down by 0.8%, going from 5.68% to 4.88% Jaedong went down by 0.48%, going from 8.2% to 7.72% Snute went down by 0.45%, going from 8.52% to 8.07% soO went down by 0.14%, going from 0.14% to 0% Petraeus went down by 0.13%, going from 0.23% to 0.1% MaNa went down by 0.12%, going from 0.21% to 0.09% Curious went down by 0.12%, going from 0.12% to 0%
We went from 59 players over 0%, down to just 37! I think it's still interesting to see the highest players with 0% chances so I will continue to show the full top 50.
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 26.6% down to 25.59% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 0.3% down to 0.13%
Top Foreigner Hopes Lilbow12.57% chance to be the only foreigner, 12.68% chance overall. Snute7.97% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.07% chance overall. MarineLorD4.68% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.72% chance overall. Petraeus0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. MaNa0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.09% chance overall. iaguz0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
Sen0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. elfi0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Zanster0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Elazer0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! ByuL is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 4 defenses! Maru is the current #4 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
0% of the time 2775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 8.2% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 8.2% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 58.14% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 75.22% of the time 3100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 95.38% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.84% of the time 3375 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
The closest to 1% marker stayed at 2775. The closest to 50% marker went from 3000 down to 2900. The closest to 99% marker went from 3450 down to 3375.
herO has a 83.07% chance to be the #1 seed. PartinG has a 42.05% chance to be the #2 seed. Maru has a 37.64% chance to be the #3 seed. Life has a 33.15% chance to be the #4 seed. Life has a 43.96% chance to be the #5 seed. Rain has a 26.17% chance to be the #6 seed. Classic has a 26.48% chance to be the #7 seed. Classic has a 32.11% chance to be the #8 seed. Dream has a 43.36% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 34.07% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 29.25% chance to be the #11 seed. Polt has a 26.57% chance to be the #12 seed. Rogue has a 27.71% chance to be the #13 seed. sOs has a 30.56% chance to be the #14 seed. sOs has a 43.34% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 41.75% chance to be the #16 seed.
herO vs FanTaSy has a 36.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs sOs has a 28.98% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Dream has a 26.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs herO has a 25.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Classic has a 25.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs herO has a 24.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Rogue has a 22.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Polt has a 21.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs sOs has a 20.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Zest has a 20.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Zanster, MarineLorD, elfi, and MaNain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. MarineLorD must win this match! Zanster is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.62% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. elfi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 4.72% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.49%, or 0% if they lose. MaNa is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.16%, or 0% if they lose.
Sen, Snute, Petraeus, and GunGFuBanDain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. Snute must win this match! Sen is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0% if they lose. Petraeus is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0% if they lose. Snute is at 8.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.22% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.76%, or 0% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0% if they lose.
Elazer, Hydra, Polt, and viOLetin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.8% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Polt is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 72.8% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. viOLet is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.16%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Jaedong, iaguz, and Lilbowin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. ForGG, Jaedong, and Lilbow must win this match! ForGG is at 12.74% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 19.27%, or 0% if they lose. iaguz is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose. Jaedong is at 7.72% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.59% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.57%, or 0% if they lose. Lilbow is at 12.68% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.48%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Lilbow, Snute, Jaedong, and MarineLorD must win this tournament! Hydra has a 20.87% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ForGG has a 11.95% chance to win ----going from 12.74% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 0.89% if they don't. Lilbow has a 10.94% chance to win ----going from 12.68% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.96% if they don't. Polt has a 8.39% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Snute has a 7.75% chance to win ----going from 8.07% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Jaedong has a 7.36% chance to win ----going from 7.72% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. Petraeus has a 5.85% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 1.73% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 5.66% chance to win ----going from 4.72% to 82.74% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MaNa has a 5.6% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 1.62% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. viOLet has a 4.02% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 1.92% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Zanster has a 3.46% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 2.62% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.71% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. elfi has a 1.88% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.28% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Sen has a 1.45% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.72% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.34% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 1.42% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.84% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Dark, ByuL, Zest, and Solarin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. Solar must win this match! Dark has the #3 Headband.ByuL has the #2 Headband. Dark is at 72.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 95.09%, or 48.14% if they lose. Zest is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.94% if they lose. ByuL is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Solar is at 8.65% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 15.47%, or 0% if they lose.
PartinG, GuMiho, INnoVation, and Flashin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. GuMiho must win this match! PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. INnoVation is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. GuMiho is at 4.88% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.65% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.31%, or 0% if they lose. Flash is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0% if they lose.
Dear, Solar, and GuMiho must win this tournament! Classic has a 14.72% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. INnoVation has a 14.48% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Maru has a 13.73% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rogue has a 9.74% chance to win ----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.93% if they don't. PartinG has a 8.12% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Dear has a 7.98% chance to win ----going from 8.87% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 0.97% if they don't. Solar has a 7.35% chance to win ----going from 8.65% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.4% if they don't. Dark has a 7.19% chance to win ----going from 72.42% to 100% if they get 1st, or 70.28% if they don't. Zest has a 6.19% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't. ByuL has a 4.01% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. GuMiho has a 3.77% chance to win ----going from 4.88% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.15% if they don't. Flash has a 2.73% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 2.49% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
The only player in Group A above 0.1% chances is MarineLord at 4.85% chances with 1275 WCS Points. If he gets 2nd place then he goes down to 0.41%, and a 1st place would put him at 82.72%.
In Group B we have Snute at 8.22% with 1700 WCS Points. For Snute, a 2nd place would mean 2.7% Blizzcon Chances, and a 1st place puts him at 99.93%. A 2nd place in WCS with a 4th place in Dreamhack would put him at 65.35%.
Zanster, MarineLorD, elfi, and MaNain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. MarineLorD must win this match! Zanster is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. elfi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 4.84% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.71%, or 0% if they lose. MaNa is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.1% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.16%, or 0% if they lose.
Sen, Snute, Petraeus, and GunGFuBanDain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. Snute must win this match! Sen is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.38% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0% if they lose. Petraeus is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0% if they lose. Snute is at 8.22% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.22% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.01%, or 0% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose.
Elazer, Hydra, Polt, and viOLetin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. This is the Group of Death! Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Polt is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. viOLet is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.16%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Jaedong, iaguz, and Lilbowin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. ForGG, Jaedong, and Lilbow must win this match! This is the 2nd place Group of Death! ForGG is at 13.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 19.71%, or 0% if they lose. iaguz is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose. Jaedong is at 7.84% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.59% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.83%, or 0% if they lose. Lilbow is at 12.79% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.66%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Lilbow, Snute, Jaedong, and MarineLorD must win this tournament! Hydra has a 19.26% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ForGG has a 12.25% chance to win ----going from 13.03% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 0.89% if they don't. Lilbow has a 11.06% chance to win ----going from 12.79% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.95% if they don't. Polt has a 8.65% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Snute has a 7.9% chance to win ----going from 8.22% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Jaedong has a 7.49% chance to win ----going from 7.84% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. Petraeus has a 5.97% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 1.72% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 5.81% chance to win ----going from 4.84% to 82.72% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MaNa has a 5.67% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 1.59% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. viOLet has a 4.11% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 1.92% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Zanster has a 3.52% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 2.66% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.69% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. elfi has a 1.91% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.29% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Sen has a 1.49% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.7% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.38% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 1.41% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.87% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Die4Ever do you know if Kespa Cup 3 is still on for WCS Points after GSL/SSL are finished or are they just gotta play it with no WCS Points since its been confirmed there will be a 3rd Kespa Cup???
On September 08 2015 12:46 SNSeigifried wrote: Die4Ever do you know if Kespa Cup 3 is still on for WCS Points after GSL/SSL are finished or are they just gotta play it with no WCS Points since its been confirmed there will be a 3rd Kespa Cup???
I can say that it won't be giving WCS Points. All tournaments are locked in for points now because time is running out. KeSPA Cup 3 wouldn't be able to start until the GSL and SSL finalists are known for the seeding, and that's way too late.
The first 70 players for Dreamhack Stockholm had some effects on Blizzcon Chances (this might also include some small Aligulac rating updates)
Biggest Winners HyuN went up by 8.68%, going from 2.01% to 10.69% FanTaSy went up by 7.69%, going from 57.47% to 65.16% Jaedong went up by 1.48%, going from 7.72% to 9.2% Snute went up by 1.18%, going from 7.28% to 8.46% MaNa went up by 0.14%, going from 0.04% to 0.18%
Biggest Losers Dark went down by 8.49%, going from 72.37% to 63.88% sOs went down by 4.74%, going from 96.84% to 92.11% MarineLorD went down by 2.07%, going from 5.02% to 2.94% TY went down by 0.86%, going from 1.67% to 0.81% Lilbow went down by 0.54%, going from 13.2% to 12.66% Solar went down by 0.49%, going from 8.78% to 8.3% ForGG went down by 0.47%, going from 12.64% to 12.17% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Dear went down by 0.44%, going from 8.94% to 8.5% Stats went down by 0.43%, going from 0.8% to 0.38% GuMiho went down by 0.41%, going from 4.97% to 4.57% Petraeus went down by 0.1%, going from 0.17% to 0.07%
This group is very important for Dark and Solar. Also if Zest wins here then he goes up to 100% Blizzcon Chances, although a loss still puts him at 99.88%.
Dark is currently at 63.89% Blizzcon Chanceswith 2800 WCS Points, and 23.42% AFK Chances. If he loses here then he goes down to 36.9%, but if he then gets 4th at Dreamhack then he goes up to 97.38% although he wasn't in the first batch of players announced for Dreamhack. An 8th place in GSL puts him at 76.96%, combined with a 16th at Dreamhack that'd be 97.04%. And then a 4th place in GSL puts him at 99.68%. If Solar or Gumiho wins GSL, then Dark falls below 33%. If Hyun wins Dreamhack then Dark falls down to 40.84%. If Dear, ForGG, Snute, Lilbow, or Jaedong wins their GSL/WCS then Dark falls below 50%.
Solar is at 8.29% with 1850 WCS Points. If he loses here then he falls to 0%, and even if he gets 4th place in GSL then that's still only 1.09%. 2nd in GSL puts him at 8.66%, 1st in GSL puts him at 99.99%. Solar is not yet confirmed to be going to Dreamhack Stockholm, but maybe he'll end up going, especially if he needs the WCS Points. If he gets 2nd place in GSL and even just 16th in Dreamhack, that boosts him up to 51.12%. 2nd in GSL with a 4th at Dreamhack puts him at 95.79%.
Dark, ByuL, Zest, and Solarin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. Solar must win this match! Dark has the #3 Headband.ByuL has the #2 Headband. Dark is at 63.89% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 89.04%, or 36.9% if they lose. Zest is at 99.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.88% if they lose. ByuL is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Solar is at 8.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 14.81%, or 0% if they lose.
PartinG, GuMiho, INnoVation, and Flashin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. GuMiho must win this match! This is the 2nd place Group of Death! PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. INnoVation is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.68% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. GuMiho is at 4.55% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.31%, or 0% if they lose. Flash is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0% if they lose.
Dear, Solar, and GuMiho must win this tournament! Classic has a 14.82% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. INnoVation has a 14.65% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Maru has a 13.86% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rogue has a 9.87% chance to win ----going from 99.86% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.85% if they don't. Dear has a 8.06% chance to win ----going from 8.49% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 0.48% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Solar has a 7.47% chance to win ----going from 8.29% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 0.89% if they don't. Dark has a 7.32% chance to win ----going from 63.89% to 100% if they get 1st, or 61.04% if they don't. PartinG has a 7.15% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 6.41% chance to win ----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.93% if they don't. ByuL has a 3.89% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. GuMiho has a 3.84% chance to win ----going from 4.55% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 0.74% if they don't. Flash has a 2.66% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 1.14% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
In Group D we have ForGG, Jaedong, and Lilbow all fighting for a spot at Blizzcon. Jaedong is also already confirmed to be going to Dreamhack Stockholm, but I would expect Lilbow and ForGG to be going as well. iaguz can make still make it too, but winning WCS would still only put him at 7.59%, and a 2nd place would put him at 0%. Any player that loses in Group D is going down to 0%.
Lilbow is at 15.38% Blizzcon Chances with 1925 WCS Points. He needs a 4th place or better just to get over 1%, while a 1st place would put him at 99.99%. A 2nd in WCS with a 16th in Dreamhack would put him at 73.17%, but a 2nd in WCS with no points from Dreamhack puts him down to 40.62%.
ForGG is at 12.32% with 1825 WCS Points. A 4th place in WCS for ForGG would mean just 0.96%, and a 2nd place would still just be 3.42%. A 2nd in WCS and a 16th in Dreamhack puts him at 58.3%.
Jaedong is at 10.3% with 1775 WCS Points, and he's already confirmed for Dreamhack Stockholm. A 4th place in WCS puts him at 5.67%, but if he gets 4th in WCS and no points from Dreamhack then he's out at 0%. A 4th place in WCS means Jaedong needs a 2nd place at Dreamhack to have any chance at all, and it would put him at 40.78%. A 2nd place in WCS would mean Jaedong needs at least a 16th in Dreamhack to have any chance, and it would put him at 37.75%.
Elazer, Hydra, Polt, and viOLetin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. This is the Group of Death! Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose. Polt is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. viOLet is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Jaedong, iaguz, and Lilbowin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. ForGG, Jaedong, and Lilbow must win this match! This is the 2nd place Group of Death! ForGG is at 12.32% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.64%, or 0% if they lose. iaguz is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.38%, or 0% if they lose. Jaedong is at 10.3% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 22.1%, or 0% if they lose. Lilbow is at 15.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 26.05%, or 0% if they lose.
Zanster, MarineLorD, elfi, and MaNain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. MarineLorD must win this match! Zanster is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances. --------------- elfi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 19.62% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 4.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.12%, or 0% if they lose. MaNa is at 0.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.59% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.93%, or 0% if they lose.
Sen, Snute, Petraeus, and GunGFuBanDain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. Snute must win this match! Sen is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 18.49% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose. Petraeus is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances. --------------- Snute is at 8.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.61% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 14.32%, or 0% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 19.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Lilbow, Jaedong, Snute, and MarineLorD must win this tournament! Hydra has a 18.48% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ForGG has a 11.77% chance to win ----going from 12.32% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 0.62% if they don't. Lilbow has a 11.43% chance to win ----going from 15.38% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 4.45% if they don't. Petraeus has a 10.74% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.98% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Zanster has a 8.86% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Polt has a 7.86% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Jaedong has a 7.4% chance to win ----going from 10.3% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 3.13% if they don't. Snute has a 6.83% chance to win ----going from 8.82% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 2.14% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 5.1% chance to win ----going from 4.29% to 83.8% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. viOLet has a 3.97% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 1.09% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.69% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 9.59% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.43% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 7.59% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.35% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. elfi has a 0.82% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.1% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.78% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.6% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Sen has a 0.7% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.4% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
All 3 players remaining in SSL are at 100% Blizzcon Chances and these matches don't affect anyone's Blizzcon Chances. However we can still look at how this tournament can affect the likely first round matches of Blizzcon (or the WCS Global Finals if it's separate again this year). Keep in mind that it's very early to be looking at this, and these matches are still moving around a lot with no matches over 40% chances yet.
herO goes from 85.48% to be #1 seed up to 99.86% chance to be #1 seed. Byul goes from 19.16% chance to be the #8 seed up to 27.23%. Byul goes from 17.89% chance to be the #9 seed up to 30.25%. Rain goes from 24.65% chance to be the #6 seed up to 40.23%.
herO vs Fantasy goes from 36.52% down to 36.35%. At first it seems like herO nearly securing his #1 seed should make his match vs Fantasy more likely. But actually, Fantasy has a nearly even chance to be the #16 or #15 seed, so herO being #2 seed or #1 seed is nearly the same for this. herO vs Dark goes from 21.91% up to 25.91%. Byul vs Dream goes from 19.8% up to 22.95%. Byul vs Polt goes from 14.6% down to 10/76%. Byul vs Classic goes from 12.01% up to 16.43%. Byul vs Rain goes from 2.26% up to 8.77%. Rain vs Dream goes from 16.98% up to 24.06%. Rain vs Polt goes from 15.41% up to 22.21%. Rain vs Innovation goes from 12.1% up to 15.7%. Rain vs Zest goes from 12.04% up to 16.98%.
Rain goes from a 48.25% chance to get the #6 or #7 seed down to 0.06%. Rain goes from a 24.96% chance to get the #3 or #4 seed up to 76.69%. herO goes from an 85.47% chance to be the #1 seed down to 77.6%. Byul goes from a 37.05% chance to be the #8 or #9 seed up to 60.25%.
Parting vs sOs goes from 32.72% down to 26.23%. Life vs Zest goes from 26.03% up to 31.71%. Rain vs Rogue goes from 11.38% up to 25.68%. Rain vs sOs goes from 7.94% up to 24.58%. Rain vs Fantasy goes from 4.2% up to 12.93%. Rain vs Lilbow goes from 2.81% up to 7.97%. Rain vs Polt goes from 15.41% down to 0.89%. Rain vs Innovation goes from 12.1% down to 4.72%. Rain vs Zest goes from 12.04% down to 2.86%. Rain vs Byul goes from 2.66% down to below 0.5%. (untracked) Byul vs Dream goes from 19.79% up to 24.22%. Byul vs Polt goes from 14.6% down to 13.56%. Byul vs Innovation goes from 13.13% down to 10.7%. Byul vs Classic goes from 12.01% up to 19.97%. Byul vs Hydra goes from 8.98% up to 14.82%.
Byul goes from a 37.05% chance to be the #8 or #9 seed down to 2.08%. Byul goes from 29.02% chance to be the #5 or #6 seed up to 62.01%. herO goes from 85.47% chance to be the #1 seed up to 87.63%. Rain goes from 10.35% chance to be the #4 seed down to 0.46%. Rain goes from 23.6% chance to be the #7 seed up to 42.31%. Rain goes from 9.53% chance to be the #8 seed up to 27.62%.
Rain vs Dream goes from 16.98% up to 27.79%. Rain vs Polt goes from 15.41% up to 18.82%. Byul vs Dream goes form 19.79% down to 12.54%. Byul vs Polt goes from 14.6% up to 18.82%. Byul vs Zest goes from 13.83% up to 20.18%. Byul vs Innovation goes from 13.13% up to 18.9%. Byul vs Rain goes from 2.66% down to 1.53%.
herO goes from 85.47% chance to be the #1 seed down to 77.41%. Byul goes from a 37.05% chance to be the #8 or #9 seed down to 12.63%. Byul goes from a 28.72% chance to be the #6 or #7 seed up to 47.73%. Rain goes from a 9.13% chance to be the #5 seed up to 20.57%. Rain goes from a 24.65% chance to be the #6 seed up to 45.54%. Rain goes from a 23.6% chance to be the #7 seed up to 26.36%.
Rain vs Polt goes from 15.41% up to 25.46%. herO vs sOs goes from 21.65% up to 24.06%. Classic vs Hydra goes from 11.92% up to 20.9%. Rain vs Innovation goes from 12.1% up to 19.11%. Byul vs Dream goes from 19.79% down to 16.62%. Rain vs Dream goes from 16.98% up to 22.78%. Rain vs Zest goes from 12.04% up to 19.43%. Rain vs Rogue goes from 11.38% down to 5.22%. Byul vs Polt goes from 14.6% up to 16.62%. Byul vs Zest goes from 13.83% up to 16.46%. Byul vs Innovation goes from 13.13% up to 16.33%. Byul vs Rain goes from 2.66% down to 0.31%.
Rain vs herOin in StarLeague Season 3 semifinals. Rain has the #1 Headband. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
ByuL has a 42.45% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 31.67% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 25.88% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
Zanster, MarineLorD, elfi, and MaNain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. MarineLorD must win this match! elfi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 19.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 4.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.74%, or 0% if they lose. MaNa is at 0.24% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.59% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.86%, or 0% if they lose.
Sen, Snute, Petraeus, and GunGFuBanDain in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. Snute must win this match! Sen is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 18.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Snute is at 8.84% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.68% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 14.34%, or 0% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 19.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose.
Elazer, Hydra, Polt, and viOLetin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0% if they lose. Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. viOLet is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 22.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Jaedong, iaguz, and Lilbowin in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16. ForGG and Jaedong must win this match! ForGG is at 11.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 19.58%, or 0% if they lose. iaguz is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 12.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.33%, or 0% if they lose. Jaedong is at 5.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.66%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG, Snute, MarineLorD, and Jaedong must win this tournament! Lilbow has a 18.6% chance to win ----going from 25.24% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 8.15% if they don't. Polt has a 16.64% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ForGG has a 11.43% chance to win ----going from 11.92% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 0.55% if they don't. Petraeus has a 11.07% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 1.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Hydra has a 9.49% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
Zanster has a 8.29% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Snute has a 6.9% chance to win ----going from 8.84% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 2.09% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 4.84% chance to win ----going from 4.09% to 84.22% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jaedong has a 3.94% chance to win ----going from 5.45% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.58% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.48% chance to win ----going from 0.24% to 9.6% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. viOLet has a 1.85% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 1.06% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Elazer has a 1.3% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.78% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.14% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. elfi has a 0.78% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 1.09% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Sen has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.37% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.58% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 7.27% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Here are the effects of just the WCS quarterfinals bracket draw
Biggest Winners ForGG went up by 0.69%, going from 16.26% to 16.95% Lilbow went up by 0.08%, going from 23.21% to 23.29%
Biggest Losers FanTaSy went down by 0.36%, going from 90.54% to 90.18% Dark went down by 0.15%, going from 37.58% to 37.43% HyuN went down by 0.11%, going from 15.83% to 15.72% sOs went down by 0.09%, going from 98.03% to 97.94% GuMiho went down by 0.03%, going from 6.75% to 6.71% TY went down by 0.02%, going from 1.2% to 1.18%
Look forward to the preview for tonight's GSL group soon, and a full preview for the WCS quarterfinals tomorrow.
Parting, Gumiho, Flash, and Innovation. This should be a fun group! Parting is already at 100% and Innovation is at 99.99%, or 100% if he advances here. Flash and Gumiho still do have some shot at making Blizzcon. The only other player left in the GSL still fighting for Blizzcon is Dear.
Flash is currently at just 0.05% Blizzcon Chances and 875 WCS Points. Flash is the only player left in the GSL that would not be able to make it with a GSL win alone. He cannot make it without a 1st place in GSL and at least an 8th place in Dreamhack Stockholm, and even then that only puts him at 37.3%. 1st in GSL and 4th in Dreamhack puts him at 75.95%, 1st in GSL with a 2nd in Dreamhack puts him at 86.5%, and the double championship puts him at 100%.
Gumiho is currently at 6.71% with 1925 WCS Points. If Gumiho loses here then he's down to 0%, and even a 4th place only puts him at 1.45%. 2nd place in GSL puts him at 43.32%, but a 1st place gives him 99.99%. If Gumiho gets 2nd in GSL and earns no points from Dreamhack that still leaves him at 41.53% with 2875 WCS Points. 2nd in GSL and even just 16th in Dreamhack shoots him up to 72.86%. 2nd in GSL and 4th in Dreamhack puts him at 98.49%. Let's not forget he can also make it with a 4th in GSL, but he needs at least a 4th in Dreamhack for that to happen putting him at 57.2%. 4th in GSL and 2nd in Dreamhack puts him at 76.93%, and 4th in GSL with a 1st in Dreamhack nearly secures him with a 99.46%. If he gets an 8th place in GSL then he needs to win Dreamhack to have any chance, but it'd put him up at 77.31%.
PartinG, GuMiho, INnoVation, and Flashin in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16. GuMiho must win this match! This is the 2nd place Group of Death! PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.64% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. INnoVation is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.53% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. GuMiho is at 6.71% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 15.91%, or 0% if they lose. Flash is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.13%, or 0% if they lose.
Classic vs Dearin in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals. Dear must win this match! Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dear is at 9.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.05% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.73%, or 0.26% if they lose.
Maru vs Roguein in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals. Maru has the #4 Headband. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Rogue is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.05% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose.
Dear and GuMiho must win this tournament! INnoVation has a 15.56% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Classic has a 15.32% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 14.97% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 12.67% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ByuL has a 11.08% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rogue has a 10.33% chance to win ----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Dear has a 8.32% chance to win ----going from 9.08% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 0.82% if they don't. PartinG has a 4.63% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. GuMiho has a 4.12% chance to win ----going from 6.71% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 2.7% if they don't. Flash has a 3.01% chance to win ----going from 0.05% to 1.72% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
If you didn't read my previous article, these stats are calculated by WCS Predictor, which simulates every match in every tournament that gives WCS Points millions of times. Blizzcon Chances are the chances to qualify in the top 16 for Blizzcon, as rated by WCS Predictor.
Yesterday in WCS we had some big eliminations from the Road to Blizzcon. MarineLord falling from 4.84% Blizzcon Chances down to 0%, Snute from 8.22% down to 0%, and Jaedong from 7.84% down to 0%. This morning in GSL we also had Flash go from 0.05% down to 0%. With these eliminations we are down to just 27 players who could still possibly make Blizzcon, including those already secured. This is down from 37 players on Monday. Players at 100% - herO, Parting, Maru, Life, Hydra, Rain, Classic, ByuL, Dream, Innovation, Polt, and Zest. Players over 95% - Rogue and sOs. Players over 10% - Fantasy, Dark, Lilbow, ForGG, Gumiho, and Hyun. Players over 1% - Dear and TY. Players over 0% - Mana, Stats, Petraeus, GungFuBanda, and Zanster.
WCS Movers and Shakers
After some upsets and some fan favorites getting knocked out, our WCS Quarterfinals ends up with Zanster, GunGFuBanDa, Lilbow, Hydra, Polt, ForGG, Petraeus, and MaNa. Out of those players, only Lilbow and ForGG have the opportunity to make a big improvement on their Blizzcon Chances this weekend. Mana would need to win WCS and then get at least top 4 in Dreamhack Stockholm to be able to make Blizzcon. For Petraeus, GungFuBanda, and Zanster, a 2nd place in WCS means 0% Blizzcon Chances, and even taking home the trophy they would still be below 1%.
Millenium Bros - Lilbow and ForGG
ForGG and Lilbow are the ones really looking at qualifying for Blizzcon this weekend, and I know Millenium is excited about the possibility of having a player at Blizzcon for the first time. Lilbow has been the top foreigner hope ever since his 2nd place in WCS Season 2, where he lost to Hydra. Unfortunately he drew Hydra as his quarterfinals opponent here, and he needs to win for there to be much hope left. Many expected ForGG to be secured a spot for Blizzcon by now with how strong he was looking at the end of 2014. In WCS Season 1 he was on a strong run that got stopped short by the eventual champion, Polt, in the quarterfinals with a close 3-2 score. Now they're paired up again in the quarterfinals for a revenge match with ForGG's Blizzcon dreams on the line.
The Millenium Bros can actually both qualify together, if they both make top 4 here and do well at Dreamhack, or if they make the finals. To get nearly secured (over 95%), ForGG would need to either win WCS; get 2nd place in both WCS and Dreamhack; or get 4th in WCS and win Dreamhack. For Lilbow, he has an extra 100 WCS Points, he needs to either win WCS; get 2nd in WCS and 4th in Dreamhack; or get 4th in WCS and win Dreamhack.
The players outside of WCS who can hurt Lilbow and ForGG the most are Dark, Gumiho, Hyun, and Fantasy. Especially Dark, who would put them both under 2% Blizzcon Chances if you assume Dark to qualify. This is huge in comparison to their next biggest threat, Gumiho, who would only bring them down to around 10.5% if you assume Gumiho qualifies. However the WCS championship is still enough to secure ForGG's or Lilbow's qualification.
Global Finals - Round of 16 Shaping Up
If Lilbow does qualify for Blizzcon, then his most likely first round matches in the Global Finals would be Life, herO, Parting, or Maru. ForGG's most likely first round Global Finals matches are Parting, Maru, and Life. For Polt, his most likely Global Finals matches are Hydra, Life, or Byul. Hydra's most likely Global Finals matches are Polt, Dream, and Zest. If Hydra loses his quarterfinals match to Lilbow, then Innovation replaces Zest as his third most likely matchup.
Here are the top 10 most likely first round matches of the Global Finals so far. Keep in mind that a lot can still happen to shake these up. herO vs FanTaSy has a 33.87% chance for the first round. Life vs Zest has a 30.46% chance for the first round. Maru vs sOs has a 30.28% chance for the first round. PartinG vs sOs has a 29.57% chance for the first round. Dark vs herO has a 28.39% chance for the first round. Rain vs Dream has a 28.14% chance for the first round. PartinG vs Rogue has a 27.69% chance for the first round. Maru vs Rogue has a 20.56% chance for the first round. ByuL vs Dream has a 20.43% chance for the first round. Life vs Rogue has a 20.16% chance for the first round.
Zanster vs GunGFuBanDain in WCS Premier Season 3 quarterfinals. Zanster is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.53% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0% if they lose.
Hydra vs Lilbowin in WCS Premier Season 3 quarterfinals. Lilbow must win this match! Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Lilbow is at 21.65% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 44.32%, or 0.46% if they lose.
Polt vs ForGGin in WCS Premier Season 3 quarterfinals. ForGG must win this match! Polt is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. ForGG is at 17.59% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 30.74%, or 0.28% if they lose.
MaNa vs Petraeusin in WCS Premier Season 3 quarterfinals. MaNa must win this match! MaNa is at 0.66% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.39%, or 0% if they lose. Petraeus is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.2%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG must win this tournament! Hydra has a 23.94% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ForGG has a 16.69% chance to win ----going from 17.59% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.08% if they don't. Lilbow has a 15.77% chance to win ----going from 21.65% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 6.98% if they don't. Polt has a 12.76% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Petraeus has a 10.63% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.99% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MaNa has a 7.08% chance to win ----going from 0.66% to 9.31% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Zanster has a 6.88% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 6.25% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.37% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
We are now down to just 25 players above 0% Blizzcon Chances! Between 100% and 0% we have sOs, Fantasy, Lilbow, ForGG, Gumiho, Hyun, Dark, Dear, Mana, TY, Stats, and Zanster!
Here are the changes from just today Biggest Winners Lilbow went up by 23.35%, going from 21.63% to 44.99% ForGG went up by 16.93%, going from 17.6% to 34.53% MaNa went up by 0.98%, going from 0.66% to 1.64%
Biggest Losers Dark went down by 20.64%, going from 31.59% to 10.95% FanTaSy went down by 10.08%, going from 88.32% to 78.24% GuMiho went down by 4.09%, going from 16.84% to 12.75% sOs went down by 2.91%, going from 97.33% to 94.42% HyuN went down by 2.83%, going from 15.38% to 12.54% TY went down by 0.25%, going from 1.13% to 0.88% Dear went down by 0.18%, going from 8.81% to 8.63% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
Stats went down by 0.16%, going from 0.57% to 0.41% Petraeus went down by 0.11%, going from 0.11% to 0% GunGFuBanDa went down by 0.02%, going from 0.02% to 0% Rogue went down by 0.01%, going from 99.99% to 99.98%
I'll update these stats again later tonight when the Aligulac ratings update, but for now here they are
Zanster vs Lilbowin in WCS Premier Season 3 semifinals. Lilbow must win this match! Zanster is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0% if they lose. Lilbow is at 44.95% Blizzcon Chances, with a 72.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 61.6%, or 1.23% if they lose.
ForGG vs MaNain in WCS Premier Season 3 semifinals. ForGG and MaNa must win this match! ForGG is at 34.53% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 56.33%, or 0.91% if they lose. MaNa is at 1.65% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.18%, or 0% if they lose.
WCS Winning Chances ForGG must win this tournament! Lilbow has a 38.14% chance to win ----going from 44.95% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 11.01% if they don't. ForGG has a 33.45% chance to win ----going from 34.53% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.62% if they don't. MaNa has a 17.88% chance to win ----going from 1.65% to 9.2% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Zanster has a 10.53% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
On September 13 2015 04:36 The_Templar wrote: Even though Lilbow/ForGG/sOs aren't scheduled to go to Dreamhack yet, that doesn't seem like a 1 in 5000 chance. Meh.
Lilbow or ForGG have to WIN Dreamhack. That is a very slim chance. If in your scenario sOs goes to Dreamhack, how do you fancy either one's chances ?
On September 13 2015 04:36 The_Templar wrote: Even though Lilbow/ForGG/sOs aren't scheduled to go to Dreamhack yet, that doesn't seem like a 1 in 5000 chance. Meh.
Lilbow or ForGG have to WIN Dreamhack. That is a very slim chance. If in your scenario sOs goes to Dreamhack, how do you fancy either one's chances ?
On September 13 2015 04:36 The_Templar wrote: Even though Lilbow/ForGG/sOs aren't scheduled to go to Dreamhack yet, that doesn't seem like a 1 in 5000 chance. Meh.
Lilbow or ForGG have to WIN Dreamhack. That is a very slim chance. If in your scenario sOs goes to Dreamhack, how do you fancy either one's chances ?
Not too badly.
seriously ? I would rate sOs at 99-1 vs ForGG and 90-10 vs Lilbow in a bo3.
On September 13 2015 04:36 The_Templar wrote: Even though Lilbow/ForGG/sOs aren't scheduled to go to Dreamhack yet, that doesn't seem like a 1 in 5000 chance. Meh.
I mean, first they have to both make the finals, then Rogue has to lose the match vs Maru (probable, but it's still only like 60% not 100%), then the 2nd placer and sOs have to be confirmed to be going to Dreamhack, then sOs and Fantasy and the WCS 2nd placer all have to basically dominate it
that's a lot of stacking probabilities, it cuts down fast, I'm just gonna guess numbers to demonstrate how quickly this stuff piles up
50% * 50% (for the WCS semifinals matches) * 60% (for Rogue losing to Maru) * 10% * 10% * 10% (for the 3 Dreamhack confirmations) * 10% (for the WCS 2nd placer to win) * 10% (for Fantasy to get 2nd) * 20% (for sOs to get top 8)
that multiplied out to 0.00003% or about 1 in 33,333
I may just be a little out of the loop, but has there been any word on whether or not another edition of the KESPA Cup may be hitting (and if so would that be before the WCS cut off), or have those plans been abandoned?
On September 13 2015 04:56 5izzler wrote: I may just be a little out of the loop, but has there been any word on whether or not another edition of the KESPA Cup may be hitting (and if so would that be before the WCS cut off), or have those plans been abandoned?
There will not be any more tournaments offering WCS points for this year's Blizzcon, these lists are both complete
On September 13 2015 04:36 The_Templar wrote: Even though Lilbow/ForGG/sOs aren't scheduled to go to Dreamhack yet, that doesn't seem like a 1 in 5000 chance. Meh.
I mean, first they have to both make the finals, then Rogue has to lose the match vs Maru (probable, but it's still only like 60% not 100%), then the 2nd placer and sOs have to be confirmed to be going to Dreamhack, then sOs and Fantasy and the WCS 2nd placer all have to basically dominate it
that's a lot of stacking probabilities, it cuts down fast, I'm just gonna guess numbers to demonstrate how quickly this stuff piles up
50% * 50% (for the WCS semifinals matches) * 60% (for Rogue losing to Maru) * 10% * 10% * 10% (for the 3 Dreamhack confirmations) * 10% (for the WCS 2nd placer to win) * 10% (for Fantasy to get 2nd) * 20% (for sOs to get top 8)
that multiplied out to 0.00003% or about 1 in 33,333
That's 1 in 3,333,333, not 33,333
I actually ran the numbers myself since some of yours are really bad or weird and got 1/20k. So I guess 1/5000 is fine
On September 13 2015 04:36 The_Templar wrote: Even though Lilbow/ForGG/sOs aren't scheduled to go to Dreamhack yet, that doesn't seem like a 1 in 5000 chance. Meh.
I mean, first they have to both make the finals, then Rogue has to lose the match vs Maru (probable, but it's still only like 60% not 100%), then the 2nd placer and sOs have to be confirmed to be going to Dreamhack, then sOs and Fantasy and the WCS 2nd placer all have to basically dominate it
that's a lot of stacking probabilities, it cuts down fast, I'm just gonna guess numbers to demonstrate how quickly this stuff piles up
50% * 50% (for the WCS semifinals matches) * 60% (for Rogue losing to Maru) * 10% * 10% * 10% (for the 3 Dreamhack confirmations) * 10% (for the WCS 2nd placer to win) * 10% (for Fantasy to get 2nd) * 20% (for sOs to get top 8)
that multiplied out to 0.00003% or about 1 in 33,333
That's 1 in 3,333,333, not 33,333
I actually ran the numbers myself since some of yours are really bad or weird and got 1/20k. So I guess 1/5000 is fine
On September 13 2015 04:36 The_Templar wrote: Even though Lilbow/ForGG/sOs aren't scheduled to go to Dreamhack yet, that doesn't seem like a 1 in 5000 chance. Meh.
I mean, first they have to both make the finals, then Rogue has to lose the match vs Maru (probable, but it's still only like 60% not 100%), then the 2nd placer and sOs have to be confirmed to be going to Dreamhack, then sOs and Fantasy and the WCS 2nd placer all have to basically dominate it
that's a lot of stacking probabilities, it cuts down fast, I'm just gonna guess numbers to demonstrate how quickly this stuff piles up
50% * 50% (for the WCS semifinals matches) * 60% (for Rogue losing to Maru) * 10% * 10% * 10% (for the 3 Dreamhack confirmations) * 10% (for the WCS 2nd placer to win) * 10% (for Fantasy to get 2nd) * 20% (for sOs to get top 8)
that multiplied out to 0.00003% or about 1 in 33,333
That's 1 in 3,333,333, not 33,333
I actually ran the numbers myself since some of yours are really bad or weird and got 1/20k. So I guess 1/5000 is fine
haha ok, but you see the point
Yeah, in my original post I mentally gave FanTaSy/sOs/WCS person a much better chance.
On September 13 2015 04:56 5izzler wrote: I may just be a little out of the loop, but has there been any word on whether or not another edition of the KESPA Cup may be hitting (and if so would that be before the WCS cut off), or have those plans been abandoned?
There will not be any more tournaments offering WCS points for this year's Blizzcon, these lists are both complete
Thanks for the clarification! Two seems like a bit of an odd number (here), but it's probably for the best, taking into consideration how much it would shake things up all of a sudden.
On September 13 2015 05:11 OtherWorld wrote: So, putting my balls on the table was the good choice. Now I'll go all-in with Lilbow, as he'll prob win it all.
On September 13 2015 04:56 5izzler wrote: I may just be a little out of the loop, but has there been any word on whether or not another edition of the KESPA Cup may be hitting (and if so would that be before the WCS cut off), or have those plans been abandoned?
There will not be any more tournaments offering WCS points for this year's Blizzcon, these lists are both complete
Thanks for the clarification! Two seems like a bit of an odd number (here), but it's probably for the best, taking into consideration how much it would shake things up all of a sudden.
There will probably still be a 3rd KeSPA Cup, it's just that the scheduling won't work out in time before Blizzcon and before they need to finalize the players qualified for it.
KeSPA Cup 3 would still need to wait to figure out the GSL finalists for their seeding, the semifinals finish sept 25th, and they also need to do their own qualifiers. They also probably don't want to run their tournament on the same weekend as the GSL finals on Oct 4th, so they probably wouldn't be able to finish until at least like Oct 10th.
EDIT: Could it possible be done the same was as HOTS CUP? Points goes to WCS 2016 if there is no time to do it before Blizzcon since they are busy with Proleague finals and much?
On September 13 2015 05:22 WrathSCII wrote: Is there KeSPA Cup S3?
EDIT: Could it possible be done the same was as HOTS CUP? Points goes to WCS 2016 if there is no time to do it before Blizzcon since they are busy with Proleague finals and much?
I don't have any information on that. But if they do it before Blizzcon then I kind of doubt they'll be giving 2016 WCS Points already.
On September 13 2015 06:18 mahrgell wrote: Didnt Lilbow already mention, that he won't attend Dreamhack? I thought he said it in the interview during the groupstage.
That would quite surprising given that BlizzCon is at stake
On September 13 2015 06:18 mahrgell wrote: Didnt Lilbow already mention, that he won't attend Dreamhack? I thought he said it in the interview during the groupstage.
That would quite surprising given that BlizzCon is at stake
I think he's pretty confident he'll win, and in that case he doesn't need to attend DH to be guaranteed Blizzcon (or does he ?). I'm sure he'll go there if somehow ForGG wins WCS, playing Blizzcon is a once in a lifetime chance even if you end up pulling off a jjakji or a San.
On September 13 2015 06:18 mahrgell wrote: Didnt Lilbow already mention, that he won't attend Dreamhack? I thought he said it in the interview during the groupstage.
That would quite surprising given that BlizzCon is at stake
I think he's pretty confident he'll win, and in that case he doesn't need to attend DH to be guaranteed Blizzcon (or does he ?). I'm sure he'll go there if somehow ForGG wins WCS, playing Blizzcon is a once in a lifetime chance even if you end up pulling off a jjakji or a San.
He is very nearly guaranteed if he wins WCS, but I think there is a super tiny chance that he could be passed?
On September 13 2015 06:18 mahrgell wrote: Didnt Lilbow already mention, that he won't attend Dreamhack? I thought he said it in the interview during the groupstage.
That would quite surprising given that BlizzCon is at stake
I think he's pretty confident he'll win, and in that case he doesn't need to attend DH to be guaranteed Blizzcon (or does he ?). I'm sure he'll go there if somehow ForGG wins WCS, playing Blizzcon is a once in a lifetime chance even if you end up pulling off a jjakji or a San.
He is very nearly guaranteed if he wins WCS, but I think there is a super tiny chance that he could be passed?
Winning WCS puts him at 99.9994%, I could list some situations in which he wins WCS and doesn't qualify if anyone wants it (or anything similar? I'm bored anyways lol), will take a few minutes to simulate
On September 13 2015 08:54 HelpMeGetBetter wrote: is there any scenario where Lilbow and Mana can make Top 16?
yes, these Blizzcon Qualifications don't drop Mana down to 0%, but it would be unlikely
45.01% of the time. Lilbow qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 0.05%
34.5% of the time. ForGG qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 0.01%
78.24% of the time. FanTaSy qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 1.71%
Also
0.4% of the time. MaNa gets 1st place in WCS Premier Season 3 and MaNa gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm and FanTaSy qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 87.38%
0.01% of the time. MaNa gets 1st place in WCS Premier Season 3 and MaNa gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm and Lilbow qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 62.77%
On September 13 2015 08:54 HelpMeGetBetter wrote: is there any scenario where Lilbow and Mana can make Top 16?
yes, these Blizzcon Qualifications don't drop Mana down to 0%, but it would be unlikely
45.01% of the time. Lilbow qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 0.05%
34.5% of the time. ForGG qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 0.01%
78.24% of the time. FanTaSy qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 1.71%
Also
0.4% of the time. MaNa gets 1st place in WCS Premier Season 3 and MaNa gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm and FanTaSy qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 87.38%
0.01% of the time. MaNa gets 1st place in WCS Premier Season 3 and MaNa gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm and Lilbow qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 62.77%
On September 13 2015 08:54 HelpMeGetBetter wrote: is there any scenario where Lilbow and Mana can make Top 16?
yes, these Blizzcon Qualifications don't drop Mana down to 0%, but it would be unlikely
45.01% of the time. Lilbow qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 0.05%
34.5% of the time. ForGG qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 0.01%
78.24% of the time. FanTaSy qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 1.71%
Also
0.4% of the time. MaNa gets 1st place in WCS Premier Season 3 and MaNa gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm and FanTaSy qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 87.38%
0.01% of the time. MaNa gets 1st place in WCS Premier Season 3 and MaNa gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm and Lilbow qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 62.77%
I mean both. could two foreigners be at blizzon?
Yes, you can see that the event of Lilbow qualifying for Blizzcon does not put Mana at 0% Blizzcon Chances, it instead puts him at 0.05%.
The chances of having any 2 foreigners qualify for Blizzcon is 0.02%.
On September 13 2015 08:54 HelpMeGetBetter wrote: is there any scenario where Lilbow and Mana can make Top 16?
yes, these Blizzcon Qualifications don't drop Mana down to 0%, but it would be unlikely
45.01% of the time. Lilbow qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 0.05%
34.5% of the time. ForGG qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 0.01%
78.24% of the time. FanTaSy qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 1.71%
Also
0.4% of the time. MaNa gets 1st place in WCS Premier Season 3 and MaNa gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm and FanTaSy qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 87.38%
0.01% of the time. MaNa gets 1st place in WCS Premier Season 3 and MaNa gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm and Lilbow qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 62.77%
On September 13 2015 08:54 HelpMeGetBetter wrote: is there any scenario where Lilbow and Mana can make Top 16?
yes, these Blizzcon Qualifications don't drop Mana down to 0%, but it would be unlikely
45.01% of the time. Lilbow qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 0.05%
34.5% of the time. ForGG qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 0.01%
78.24% of the time. FanTaSy qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 1.71%
Also
0.4% of the time. MaNa gets 1st place in WCS Premier Season 3 and MaNa gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm and FanTaSy qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 87.38%
0.01% of the time. MaNa gets 1st place in WCS Premier Season 3 and MaNa gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm and Lilbow qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 62.77%
I mean both. could two foreigners be at blizzon?
That last one suggests yes.
As long as it's not 0% that means it's possible.
45.01% of the time. Lilbow qualifies for Blizzcon This would change MaNa's chances from 1.66% to 0.05%
So if Lilbow qualifies for Blizzcon then Mana still has a chance, though a small chance at 0.05%.
If Mana wins WCS and Dreamhack, that puts him at 99.94% in general. If you assume that Lilbow does qualify and Mana wins WCS and Mana wins Dreamhack, that still puts Mana at 99.88%.
Lilbow and ForGG both go up to 99.99% if they win WCS, but they aren't eliminated if they get 2nd or even 4th place. Mana and Zanster, on the other hand, require a WCS win just to have a small chance at making Blizzcon.
If Zanster wins WCS, then he still needs to win Dreamhack Stockholm to get up to 58.74% Blizzcon Chances, otherwise Zanster will not be making Blizzcon.
Mana needs to win WCS and get at least 4th in Dreamhack to have any chance. When combined with the WCS win, a 4th in Dreamhack puts him at 70.56%, 2nd at 88.04%, and 1st at 99.95%.
Lilbow can make it with a 4th in WCS and a 4th at Dreamhack, which would put him at 50.28%. A 2nd in WCS with no points from Dreamhack puts him at 16.24%. A 2nd in WCS and a 16th in Dreamhack puts him at 51.56%. A 2nd in WCS and a 4th in Dreamhack puts him at 95.88%.
If ForGG loses here in the semifinals, then he needs at least a 4th in Dreamhack to have any chance, putting him at 6.8%, but a 2nd place at Dreamhack instead puts him much higher at 64.57%. If ForGG gets 2nd in WCS then he needs to win at least some points from Dreamhack, 16th place puts him at 27.9%. 2nd in WCS and 8th in Dreamhack puts him at 53.47%. 2nd in WCS and 4th in Dreamhack puts him at 80.97%.
You can get more details from looking at the branches page here http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=branches Click on the branch you want to look at, and then click on a player to see what they need to do given the assumptions of the branch.
Here are the most likely first round matches of Blizzard/Global Finals for ForGG and Lilbow. (Zanster and Mana were too low to be tracked for this) ForGG ForGG vs PartinG has a 12.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs Maru has a 9.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs Life has a 8.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs ByuL has a 1.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs Classic has a 0.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Lilbow Lilbow vs Life has a 14.04% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Lilbow vs PartinG has a 10.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Lilbow vs Maru has a 9.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Lilbow vs herO has a 5.9% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Lilbow vs ByuL has a 2.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Biggest Winners Lilbow went up by 54.98%, going from 45.01% to 99.99%
Biggest Losers ForGG went down by 32.85%, going from 34.49% to 1.64% Dark went down by 7.87%, going from 10.96% to 3.09% FanTaSy went down by 6.37%, going from 78.24% to 71.86% GuMiho went down by 2.1%, going from 12.72% to 10.62% sOs went down by 1.96%, going from 94.43% to 92.47% HyuN went down by 1.82%, going from 12.6% to 10.78% MaNa went down by 1.66%, going from 1.66% to 0% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
TY went down by 0.14%, going from 0.88% to 0.74% Dear went down by 0.1%, going from 8.61% to 8.51% Stats went down by 0.08%, going from 0.41% to 0.33% Zanster went down by 0.02%, going from 0.02% to 0%
Biggest Winners ForGG went up by 65.51%, going from 34.49% to 99.99%
Biggest Losers Lilbow went down by 42.82%, going from 45.01% to 2.19% Dark went down by 7.89%, going from 10.96% to 3.07% FanTaSy went down by 6.75%, going from 78.24% to 71.49% GuMiho went down by 2.09%, going from 12.72% to 10.63% sOs went down by 2.06%, going from 94.43% to 92.37% HyuN went down by 1.86%, going from 12.6% to 10.74% MaNa went down by 1.66%, going from 1.66% to 0% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
TY went down by 0.15%, going from 0.88% to 0.73% Dear went down by 0.12%, going from 8.61% to 8.49% Stats went down by 0.09%, going from 0.41% to 0.33% Zanster went down by 0.02%, going from 0.02% to 0% Rogue went down by 0.01%, going from 99.98% to 99.97%
Biggest Winners FanTaSy went up by 15.84%, going from 78.24% to 94.07% Dark went up by 7.77%, going from 10.96% to 18.73% MaNa went up by 7.6%, going from 1.66% to 9.26% sOs went up by 5.01%, going from 94.43% to 99.44% HyuN went up by 4.46%, going from 12.6% to 17.06% GuMiho went up by 3.89%, going from 12.72% to 16.61% TY went up by 0.29%, going from 0.88% to 1.17% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Dear went up by 0.23%, going from 8.61% to 8.84% Stats went up by 0.17%, going from 0.41% to 0.58% Rogue went up by 0.02%, going from 99.98% to 99.99%
Biggest Losers ForGG went down by 33.47%, going from 34.49% to 1.02% Lilbow went down by 11.8%, going from 45.01% to 33.22% Zanster went down by 0.02%, going from 0.02% to 0%
Biggest Winners Dark went up by 40.43%, going from 10.96% to 51.39% FanTaSy went up by 17.63%, going from 78.24% to 95.87% GuMiho went up by 7.66%, going from 12.72% to 20.38% sOs went up by 5.14%, going from 94.43% to 99.57% HyuN went up by 4.91%, going from 12.6% to 17.51% TY went up by 0.48%, going from 0.88% to 1.36% Dear went up by 0.36%, going from 8.61% to 8.97% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Stats went up by 0.29%, going from 0.41% to 0.71% Zanster went up by 0.13%, going from 0.02% to 0.14% Rogue went up by 0.02%, going from 99.98% to 99.99%
Biggest Losers Lilbow went down by 43.57%, going from 45.01% to 1.45% ForGG went down by 31.84%, going from 34.49% to 2.65% MaNa went down by 1.66%, going from 1.66% to 0%
Zanster vs Lilbowin in WCS Premier Season 3 semifinals. Lilbow must win this match! Zanster is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.53% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0% if they lose. Lilbow is at 45.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 72.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 61.64%, or 1.23% if they lose.
ForGG vs MaNain in WCS Premier Season 3 semifinals. ForGG and MaNa must win this match! ForGG is at 34.49% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 56.27%, or 0.92% if they lose. MaNa is at 1.66% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.21%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG must win this tournament! Lilbow has a 38.18% chance to win ----going from 45.01% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 11.04% if they don't. ForGG has a 33.41% chance to win ----going from 34.49% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.63% if they don't. MaNa has a 17.9% chance to win ----going from 1.66% to 9.26% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Zanster has a 10.52% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
On September 13 2015 18:07 sharkie wrote: Did I gain no points for Zanster because its impossible for him to qualify?
You can actually gain points from players who cannot qualify, Zanster has a slight chance anyways. It's because WCS Predictor expected him to beat GungFuBanda and expects him to lose to Lilbow. If Zanster beats Lilbow then you'll gain a those points (I think it's 350 points, idk Proleague is on lol). The end of the last tournament for a player can get weird because of this because of the way medians work. ForGG's median points right now is expecting him to finish in 2nd place.
Median works in steps according to what the possibilities are, and there aren't a lot of possibilities left for these players and getting points from Dreamhack isn't very likely unless they at least confirm their attendance. Not a lot of possibilities means not a lot of steps for the median.
On September 13 2015 20:45 shin ken wrote: If Lilbow wins WCS Season 3 and Mana gets second and Mana gets to the Dreamhack finals, both have a good chance to go to Blizzcon doesn't they?
On September 13 2015 09:30 The_Red_Viper wrote: Damn i hope no foreigner makes it, hehe
Same... It is horrible for Blizzcon if they made it through, it is bad enough with having Polt and Hydra there.
Yeah, because Polt and other "runners" like MMA or Taeja totally got 0-3'd in the first round last year -.-"
We'll see how Polt and Hydra do this year, but if they play like they did in this last season they'll get trashed. I'm confident they'll prepare well though, Polt especially. That guy is just too smart.
It's hard to compare the situations of Polt, Hydra and Lilbow/ForGG to the likes of MMA, Taeja, MC, Polt from last year because in the previous system WCS AM and WCS EU were full of Koreans, so they were insanely competitive, less than WCS KR, but still very hard. With the region lock (that was needed to sustain a foreign scene) the level of WCS has dropped quite a bit, that's great for foreign hype and all, but let's not lie to ourselves.
Biggest Winners Lilbow went up by 33.91%, going from 45.01% to 78.93% FanTaSy went up by 3.21%, going from 78.24% to 81.45% MaNa went up by 2.34%, going from 1.66% to 3.99% sOs went up by 1.03%, going from 94.43% to 95.46% HyuN went up by 0.78%, going from 12.6% to 13.38% Dear went up by 0.04%, going from 8.61% to 8.65%
Biggest Losers ForGG went down by 33.66%, going from 34.49% to 0.83% Dark went down by 7.38%, going from 10.96% to 3.59% GuMiho went down by 0.26%, going from 12.72% to 12.46% Zanster went down by 0.02%, going from 0.02% to 0%
MaNa vs Lilbowin in WCS Premier Season 3 finals. MaNa must win this match! MaNa is at 3.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 9.57%, or 0% if they lose. Lilbow is at 78.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 49.5% if they lose.
So we have the finals of Starleague, the remainder of Code S, and a Dreamhack with only a partially complete player list. Rogue seems pretty safe at 14, Fantasy is at great risk on the bubble. Where exactly does sOs stand, all in all?
I'm working on fixing up my tie breaker code to make it perfectly accurate, then I'll output some specific scenarios where Lilbow doesn't qualify for Blizzcon
On September 14 2015 05:09 Die4Ever wrote: I'm working on fixing up my tie breaker code to make it perfectly accurate, then I'll output some specific scenarios where Lilbow doesn't qualify for Blizzcon
On September 14 2015 05:09 Die4Ever wrote: I'm working on fixing up my tie breaker code to make it perfectly accurate, then I'll output some specific scenarios where Lilbow doesn't qualify for Blizzcon
What??????? thats possible?
he's very safe, even if he doesn't earn any additional points he's still at about 99.9992%
On September 14 2015 05:09 Die4Ever wrote: I'm working on fixing up my tie breaker code to make it perfectly accurate, then I'll output some specific scenarios where Lilbow doesn't qualify for Blizzcon
What??????? thats possible?
it's like extremely extremely unlikely. First you have to imagine Dear or Gumiho win GSL. Lol.
Ok so here we go lol. Keep in mind that it is extremely unlikely that any of this happens, Lilbow still has a ~99.9992% chance to qualify for Blizzcon even if he doesn't win any more points.
It looks like almost every single time that Lilbow does not qualify, it is due to having a tie breaker match with Gumiho for the 16th/17th spot at 3625 WCS Points. Gumiho wins GSL, Rogue gets 4th or 2nd in GSL, Fantasy wins Dreamhack, and sOs gets 2nd at Dreamhack.
Rogue will also tie with Lilbow and Gumiho if he gets 4th in GSL, no idea how a 3 way tie for 16th would be handled lol.
There is also a chance for it to happen without the tie breaker match if the same thing happens as above except Gumiho earns some points from Dreamhack, like a 16th or 8th place. However with the current GSL scheduling, that seems impossible.
Also keep in mind that sOs is not yet confirmed for Dreamhack, so he may not be going.
Dear wins GSL and gets 8th in DH, Rogue gets 4th (should work with 2nd as well but without the tie breaker) in GSL, Fantasy wins DH, sOs gets 2nd in DH. This way Lilbow and Rogue tie at 3625 points.
On September 14 2015 07:28 [PkF] Wire wrote: I think we can safely conclude from that that Lilbow is confirmed for Blizzcon
Do we have any idea if he's going to go to Stockholm to try for a better seeding ?
Rumor I've heard is that he was probably going to if he had gotten 2nd in WCS, but now he's not going and might be training in Korea for Blizzcon.
I think he'll pray for Life to stay at this place then, it's probably his best (unlikely) shot
Life's gonna go into god-mode at Blizzcon again just like last year.
I think so too but : 1- maybe Life doesn't show good form after all 2- PvZ is probably the mu where Lilbow's peak is the higher so yeah, Life isn't an opponent I would like to face as Lilbow, but I'd definitely rather have him than herO or Maru.
On September 14 2015 08:45 usopsama wrote: Whoa. BaBy still has a chance if he can win DreamHack Stockholm. Please win, BaBy.
The final KT vs. Jin Air match is on the 23rd (if needed), so alas it seems unlikely that players from either team go to Sthlm. Oh how I wish TY and Stats would make it somehow, but I'd rather have KT win and prepare for CJ.
If you didn't read my previous articles, these stats are calculated by WCS Predictor, which simulates every match in every tournament that gives WCS Points millions of times. Blizzcon Chances are the chances to qualify in the top 16 for Blizzcon, as rated by WCS Predictor.
Last weekend with the WCS Playoffs finishing, we had the first foreigner since Naniwa qualify (nearly 100%, more on that later) for Blizzcon! Lilbow went from 21.63% Blizzcon Chances up to now 99.9992% with winning WCS over Mana. We also had a bunch of people go down recently with a bunch of eliminations mostly due to Lilbow and the WCS Playoffs.
Eliminations MaNa went down by 0.66%, going from 0.66% to 0% Petraeus went down by 0.11%, going from 0.11% to 0% GunGFuBanDa went down by 0.02%, going from 0.02% to 0%
Big Drops Dark went down by 28.51%, going from 31.59% to 3.09% ForGG went down by 16.89%, going from 17.6% to 0.71% FanTaSy went down by 15.98%, going from 88.32% to 72.34% GuMiho went down by 6.25%, going from 16.84% to 10.59% HyuN went down by 4.55%, going from 15.38% to 10.82% sOs went down by 4.43%, going from 97.33% to 92.9% TY went down by 0.41%, going from 1.13% to 0.72% Stats went down by 0.25%, going from 0.57% to 0.32%
Almost Guaranteed
There are some situations where Lilbow doesn't make it to Blizzcon, including a possible tie or even 3 way tie, but it's very unlikely and Lilbow still has a 99.9992% chance to qualify for Blizzcon. The following things must ALL happen in order for Lilbow to not make Blizzcon.
1. Fantasy wins DreamHack Stockholm. 2. sOs gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm. sOs is not yet confirmed going to DreamHack, we may find out soon that he is not going and this would put Lilbow at 100% Blizzcon Chances. 3. Lilbow does not win any points from DreamHack Stockholm. It seems he will probably not attend. 4. Rogue gets 4th or 2nd place in GSL. 4th place with no points from DreamHack would make him tied with Lilbow. 5. EITHER: Gumiho wins GSL which would put him tied with Lilbow; OR Dear wins GSL AND gets at least 8th place in DreamHack Stockholm.
Although, unless GSL changes their schedule to accomodate, it would be impossible to play in the GSL semifinals and go to DreamHack, which means Dear would not be able to pass or tie Lilbow, and Rogue would only tie with Lilbow if he gets 4th in GSL. So with those conditions, we can end up in one of these situtations.
1. No tie, Lilbow is #17 2. Tie between Lilbow and Rogue 3. Tie between Gumiho and Lilbow 4. Tie between Gumiho, Rogue, and Lilbow, with 2 winners of the tie breaker match going to Blizzcon and the single loser out
Keep in mind this is all very unlikely, Lilbow has a 99.9992% chance of making Blizzcon. I know I'd be hyped for a 3 way tie breaker for Blizzcon!
Here are Lilbow's current most likely first round opponents for the WCS Global Finals.
Lilbow vs Maru has a 31.92% chance for the first round. Lilbow vs Life has a 30.45% chance for the first round. Lilbow vs PartinG has a 26.25% chance for the first round. Lilbow vs ByuL has a 6.05% chance for the first round. Lilbow vs Classic has a 2.43% chance for the first round. Lilbow vs Hydra has a 1.2% chance for the first round.
Checkup Before GSL Quarterfinals
Let's do a checkup of all the players still in the running for Blizzcon. We are now down to only 23 players above 0% Blizzcon Chances. Keep in mind that playing in the GSL semifinals and going to DreamHack Stockholm cannot happen unless GSL adjusts their schedule for players wanting to do both.
sOs 92.9% with 3,150 WCS Points. sOs has plenty of points, he just has a few players to be worried about passing him. If Dark or Fantasy makes top 4 in DreamHack; or if ForGG, Hyun, or TY wins DreamHack; then sOs drops to around 67%. If Dear or Gumiho wins GSL, then sOs falls to about 70%.
FanTaSy 72.34% with 2,900 WCS Points. If Fantasy gets 8th in DreamHack then he goes up to 82.81%, however he would still have to worry about players passing him, a 4th place would be much safer at 98.19%. If Fantasy does get 8th place and Hyun, ForGG, TY, or Dark wins DreamHack, then Fantasy falls down to about 33%. If Fantasy gets 8th in DreamHack and Gumiho or Dear wins GSL, then Fantasy falls to about 36%.
Over 5% - 3 Players
HyuN 10.82% with 2,525 WCS Points. To get nearly secured HyuN needs to win DreamHack Stockholm, which would put him at 97.53%. An 8th place would put him at 0%, 4th place at 20.75%, and a 2nd place at 49.41%. But if TY, Dark, Stats, ForGG, or Fantasy wins DreamHack then HyuN cannot qualify for Blizzcon.
GuMiho 10.59% with 2,225 WCS Points. If Gumiho wins GSL then he is nearly secured at 99.99%. If he gets 2nd place in GSL, then he would need at least a 16th place in DreamHack to go with it to have any chance, putting him at 44.31%, but again that's unlikely due to the scheduling. If he gets 8th in GSL then the schedule should allow him the possiblity of going to DreamHack, he would need to win DreamHack to have any chance, and it would put him at 47.57%.
Dear 8.52% with 2,125 WCS Points. If Dear does not go to DreamHack, then he must win GSL, which would put him at 99.97%. If Dear manages to get 4th in GSL and win DreamHack then he goes up to 95.93%. A 2nd place in both GSL and DreamHack puts Dear at 99.18%.
Over 0% - 4 Players
Dark 3.09% with 2,800 WCS Points. Dark is not yet confirmed as going to DreamHack, but he needs to at least get a 16th place there to have any chance, which would put him at 37.34%. 4th place would put him at 94.03%.
TY 0.72% with 2,500 WCS Points. TY needs to get at least 2nd place at DreamHack, that would put him at 39.43%. 1st place would put him at 96.55%.
ForGG 0.71% with 2,425 WCS Points. ForGG is in a similar spot as TY, he needs at least a 2nd place in DreamHack to get 38.65%, and a 1st place would put him at 96.44%.
Stats 0.32% with 2,350 WCS Points. Stats needs to win DreamHack to have any chance at Blizzcon, this would put him at 60.63%. If Fantasy gets 8th place in DreamHack then Blizzcon is impossible for Stats.
Be sure to check the website for very frequent updates, the FAQ, and the fantasy league WCS Wars! WCS Predictor 2015 To get automatically generated checkups that are constantly updated, I have created the Checkup page on WCS Predictor Also check out my post on Blizzard's own WCS website!
I think you need to consider that it's impossible for someone to go to both the semi finals of GSL and dreamhack stockholm at the same time since they both take place at Sept 24-25. Therefore scenarios where a player is required to have a specific performance at both GSL and stockholm is not possible and should be removed from the percentage chance. Not sure if your calculations can take match schedules into consideration.
On September 16 2015 07:26 movac wrote: I think you need to consider that it's impossible for someone to go to both the semi finals of GSL and dreamhack stockholm at the same time since they both take place at Sept 24-25. Therefore scenarios where a player is required to have a specific performance at both GSL and stockholm is not possible and should be removed from the percentage chance. Not sure if your calculations can take match schedules into consideration.
Well GSL has adjusted their schedule before so I wouldn't say it's impossible. It would make a pretty small difference anyways, the GSL players only have about a 5% chance of going to Dreamhack in the simulation. And I cover the players who need to go to Dreamhack or not, and in the article I do point out those scenarios and the issues with scheduling, so you're not missing anything.
Classic vs Dearin in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals. Dear must win this match! Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.68% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dear is at 8.52% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.63%, or 0% if they lose.
GuMiho vs ByuLin in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals. GuMiho must win this match! ByuL has the #2 Headband. GuMiho is at 10.59% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.32%, or 0.34% if they lose. ByuL is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Rogue vs Maruin in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals. Maru has the #4 Headband. Rogue is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.94% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
INnoVation vs Zestin in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals. Zest has the #3 Headband. INnoVation is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Zest is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.21% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
GuMiho and Dear must win this tournament! INnoVation has a 24.68% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 14.33% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 13.87% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 10.29% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ByuL has a 10.23% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. GuMiho has a 9.68% chance to win ----going from 10.59% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.01% if they don't. Rogue has a 8.84% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't. Dear has a 8.08% chance to win ----going from 8.52% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 0.49% if they don't.
On September 16 2015 19:51 RiZu wrote: Lilbrow should go DH just to spice things up and get just a little bit of points lol but I highly doubt he get overtake at this point.
I'm pretty sure Gumiho losing locked in his spot. Assuming this DH gives the same 750 points for the winner that leaves dark fantasy sos and rogue as players who could pass him with a DH win. Dear winning the GSL wouldn't overtake him in points, both SSL guys are already locked in. If Rogue wins the GSL he'd pass him but I'm pretty sure that with just DH left sOs fantasy AND dark can't all pass him
EDIT: I'm pretty sure the only situation that would have knocked him out involves a Gumiho/Rogue GSL final with gumi winning and a DH final with Fanta and dark
On September 16 2015 19:51 RiZu wrote: Lilbrow should go DH just to spice things up and get just a little bit of points lol but I highly doubt he get overtake at this point.
I'm pretty sure Gumiho losing locked in his spot. Assuming this DH gives the same 750 points for the winner that leaves dark fantasy sos and rogue as players who could pass him with a DH win. Dear winning the GSL wouldn't overtake him in points, both SSL guys are already locked in. If Rogue wins the GSL he'd pass him but I'm pretty sure that with just DH left sOs fantasy AND dark can't all pass him
EDIT: I'm pretty sure the only situation that would have knocked him out involves a Gumiho/Rogue GSL final with gumi winning and a DH final with Fanta and dark
5. EITHER: Gumiho wins GSL which would put him tied with Lilbow; OR Dear wins GSL AND gets at least 8th place in DreamHack Stockholm.
Which is impossible unless GSL changes their schedule. WCS Predictor currently lists Lilbow at 99.9999% (24,999,984 / 25,000,000).
---------
BTW, I started making WCS Predictor automatically make a branch for every upcoming match. This means you can easily see what the median points or WCS Wars value would be if a player wins or loses. An example of something to watch out for is that herO does not go up in value if he wins the SSL finals, because he is already favored there and there's nothing else to benefit from, with only a binary choice a median will pick the favored side. So be careful with the end of the year! Also these branches let you see how the likely seedings and first round matches will be affected.
On September 17 2015 22:17 oGoZenob wrote: so basically lilbow not making it to blizzcon is roughly on the same probability than me winning the next lottery
9 in 25,000,000 maybe that's not quite as low as the lottery lol idk
Maru vs Roguein in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals. Maru has the #4 Headband. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.93% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Rogue is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.93% if they lose.
INnoVation vs Zestin in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals. Zest has the #3 Headband. INnoVation is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.8% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Zest is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.2% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
ByuL vs Dearin in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals. Dear must win this match! ByuL has the #2 Headband. ByuL is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dear is at 22.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 41.58%, or 0.79% if they lose.
Dear must win this tournament! INnoVation has a 24.33% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ByuL has a 21.32% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dear has a 20.89% chance to win ----going from 22.07% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 1.5% if they don't. Maru has a 13.28% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 10.92% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rogue has a 9.27% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.96% if they don't.
On September 17 2015 22:17 oGoZenob wrote: so basically lilbow not making it to blizzcon is roughly on the same probability than me winning the next lottery
9 in 25,000,000 maybe that's not quite as low as the lottery lol idk
Its good to see that the final dreamhack will live up to the hype like every year and it will be a fight for the death for many players as we approach the final matches of this year! DH:FanTaSy/Dark/ForGG/HyuN/sOs GSL:Dear Fate out of his hands: Rogue
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- DreamHack Stockholm Player List Set! Friday, Sep 18 5:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4425)
We're now down to just 20 players over 0% Blizzcon Chances! Lilbow is 100% secured, and only has a 0.25% chance to be the #15 seed, he cannot be the #16 seed (more info here). With the DreamHack Stockholm player list set, Gumiho, TY and Stats were eliminated from the running. Biggest Winners and Losers from DreamHack Stockholm confirming player list (Sim ID #4403 vs Sim ID #4411) Biggest Winners Dark went up by 26.81%, going from 3.07% to 29.89% ForGG went up by 4.24%, going from 0.74% to 4.98%
Biggest Losers FanTaSy went down by 23.74%, going from 70.52% to 46.78% HyuN went down by 3.3%, going from 10.95% to 7.65% Dear went down by 1.2%, going from 21.28% to 20.07% Rogue went down by 0.91%, going from 99.93% to 99.02% TY went down by 0.72%, going from 0.72% to 0% sOs went down by 0.59%, going from 92.2% to 91.61% Stats went down by 0.32%, going from 0.32% to 0% GuMiho went down by 0.27%, going from 0.27% to 0%
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! ByuL is the current #2 Headband holder with 4 defenses! INnoVation is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Maru is the current #4 Headband holder with 2 defenses!
0% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 16.51% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 33.98% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 40.48% of the time 3050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 67.11% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 87.5% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.02% of the time 3325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
0% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 16.51% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 24.08% of the time 2925 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 24.08% of the time 2950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 24.08% of the time 2975 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 24.08% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 33.98% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 40.48% of the time 3050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 40.48% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 40.48% of the time 3100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 40.48% of the time 3125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 67.11% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 73.33% of the time 3175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 73.33% of the time 3200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 73.33% of the time 3225 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 73.33% of the time 3250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 85.7% of the time 3275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 87.5% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.02% of the time 3325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.02% of the time 3350 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.02% of the time 3375 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.68% of the time 3400 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.68% of the time 3425 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.68% of the time 3450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.68% of the time 3475 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.68% of the time 3500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 100% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
herO has a 89.61% chance to be the #1 seed. Maru has a 80.05% chance to be the #2 seed. PartinG has a 90.43% chance to be the #3 seed. Life has a 61.27% chance to be the #4 seed. Life has a 35.99% chance to be the #5 seed. Hydra has a 40.89% chance to be the #6 seed. Hydra has a 39.44% chance to be the #7 seed. Classic has a 43.84% chance to be the #8 seed. Classic has a 56.16% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 56.16% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 92.28% chance to be the #11 seed. Zest has a 92.28% chance to be the #12 seed. Lilbow has a 82.85% chance to be the #13 seed. Rogue has a 44.66% chance to be the #14 seed. Rogue has a 42.84% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 35.63% chance to be the #16 seed.
Life vs Lilbow has a 50.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Classic has a 43.84% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Rogue has a 40.75% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Rogue has a 39.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Hydra has a 38.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Zest has a 38.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs sOs has a 34.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Polt has a 32.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs FanTaSy has a 31.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs herO has a 27.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
Dream vs Hydra has a 25.9% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Lilbow has a 23.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Zest has a 20.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs Classic has a 20.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 19.62% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Dream has a 18.48% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs herO has a 17.18% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs INnoVation has a 16.75% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs Zest has a 15.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs ByuL has a 15.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Dear has a 15.43% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Classic has a 15.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Rogue has a 15.18% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs INnoVation has a 14.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Zest has a 14.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs Hydra has a 13.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs sOs has a 13.4% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Classic has a 11.86% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Hydra vs Zest has a 10.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Dream has a 9.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Classic vs Hydra has a 8.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs FanTaSy has a 7.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs ByuL has a 7.11% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Dark has a 6.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs sOs has a 5.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Dark has a 5.42% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Polt has a 5.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Lilbow has a 5.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. HyuN vs herO has a 5.17% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Dear has a 4.52% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Rogue has a 3.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs Hydra has a 3.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs sOs has a 3.17% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs FanTaSy has a 3.11% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs herO has a 3.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs sOs has a 2.9% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs FanTaSy has a 2.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. HyuN vs Maru has a 2.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs Dream has a 2.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Lilbow has a 1.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs Maru has a 1.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs FanTaSy has a 1.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs sOs has a 1.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Zest has a 0.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs ByuL has a 0.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. HyuN vs ByuL has a 0.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs ByuL has a 0.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Dear has a 0.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
On September 19 2015 00:38 SNSeigifried wrote: Its good to see that the final dreamhack will live up to the hype like every year and it will be a fight for the death for many players as we approach the final matches of this year! DH:FanTaSy/Dark/ForGG/HyuN/sOs GSL:Dear Fate out of his hands: Rogue
On September 19 2015 00:38 SNSeigifried wrote: Its good to see that the final dreamhack will live up to the hype like every year and it will be a fight for the death for many players as we approach the final matches of this year! DH:FanTaSy/Dark/ForGG/HyuN/sOs GSL:Dear Fate out of his hands: Rogue
Why does DH matter for sOs and not for Rogue? :o
well it does, but Rogue isn't in control of what happens there I guess is the point
Some Dreamhack events that affect Rogue
6.33% of the time. Dark gets 1st place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change Rogue's chances from 99.02% to 92.62%
4.06% of the time. FanTaSy gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change Rogue's chances from 99.02% to 91.22%
12.73% of the time. sOs gets 8th place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change Rogue's chances from 99.02% to 96.47%
24.53% of the time. sOs gets 32nd place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change Rogue's chances from 99.02% to 99.93%
4.9% of the time. FanTaSy gets 1st place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change Rogue's chances from 99.02% to 94.39%
25.62% of the time. FanTaSy gets 32nd place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change Rogue's chances from 99.02% to 99.62%
8.26% of the time. sOs gets 4th place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change Rogue's chances from 99.02% to 96.48%
18.38% of the time. sOs gets 16th place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change Rogue's chances from 99.02% to 99.93%
25.11% of the time. Dark gets 32nd place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change Rogue's chances from 99.02% to 99.42%
18.31% of the time. FanTaSy gets 16th place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change Rogue's chances from 99.02% to 99.61%
This match doesn't affect any Blizzcon Chances, but it does affect the seedings.
If herO wins then herO, Maru, and Parting are locked in for the top 3 seeds. Life, Polt, Zest, and Lilbow would all be above 70% chances for their seeds. In this case the most likely matches are Life vs Lilbow, Polt vs Hydra, Parting vs Rogue, Dream vs Classic, and Maru vs Rogue. The most likely matches for herO would be vs Fantasy, vs sOs, or vs Dark. The most likely matches for ByuL would be vs Innovation, vs Classic, vs Dream, vs Lilbow, or vs Polt.
If ByuL wins then the top 3 seeds are still up for grabs. Maru would have to win GSL to take the #1 seed from herO. #2 seed is most likely to be Maru, herO, or ByuL. The #3 seed would be Parting with 79% chance or Maru with 21% chance. The most likely matches would be Life vs Zest, Dream vs Classic, Byul vs Zest, Life vs Lilbow, and Maru vs Rogue. The most likely matches for herO would be vs sOs, vs Fantasy, vs Rogue, or vs Dark. The most likely matches for ByuL would be vs Zest, vs Lilbow, vs sOs, or vs Polt.
ByuL vs herO in in StarLeague Season 3 finals. ByuL has the #2 Headband. ByuL is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.13% chance to win this match. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.87% chance to win this match.
Likely Blizzcon Seeds herO has a 100% chance to be the #1 seed. Maru has a 100% chance to be the #2 seed. PartinG has a 100% chance to be the #3 seed. Life has a 72.51% chance to be the #4 seed. INnoVation has a 30.9% chance to be the #5 seed. Hydra has a 49.65% chance to be the #6 seed. ByuL has a 46.15% chance to be the #7 seed. Classic has a 44.28% chance to be the #8 seed. Classic has a 55.72% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 55.72% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 92.35% chance to be the #11 seed. Zest has a 92.35% chance to be the #12 seed. Lilbow has a 82.97% chance to be the #13 seed. Rogue has a 44.87% chance to be the #14 seed. Rogue has a 42.76% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 35.79% chance to be the #16 seed. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Seeds] +
Likely #1 Seeds herO has a 100% chance to be the #1 seed.
Likely #2 Seeds Maru has a 100% chance to be the #2 seed.
Likely #3 Seeds PartinG has a 100% chance to be the #3 seed.
Likely #4 Seeds Life has a 72.51% chance to be the #4 seed. ByuL has a 20.99% chance to be the #4 seed. Rain has a 6.5% chance to be the #4 seed.
Likely #5 Seeds INnoVation has a 30.9% chance to be the #5 seed. Life has a 25.76% chance to be the #5 seed. Rain has a 22.82% chance to be the #5 seed. Hydra has a 20.51% chance to be the #5 seed.
Likely #6 Seeds Hydra has a 49.65% chance to be the #6 seed. Rain has a 38.98% chance to be the #6 seed. ByuL has a 4.98% chance to be the #6 seed. INnoVation has a 4.66% chance to be the #6 seed. Life has a 1.73% chance to be the #6 seed.
Likely #7 Seeds ByuL has a 46.15% chance to be the #7 seed. Hydra has a 29.84% chance to be the #7 seed. Rain has a 24.01% chance to be the #7 seed.
Likely #8 Seeds Classic has a 44.28% chance to be the #8 seed. ByuL has a 27.87% chance to be the #8 seed. INnoVation has a 20.16% chance to be the #8 seed. Rain has a 7.7% chance to be the #8 seed.
Likely #9 Seeds Classic has a 55.72% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 44.28% chance to be the #9 seed.
Likely #10 Seeds Dream has a 55.72% chance to be the #10 seed. INnoVation has a 44.28% chance to be the #10 seed.
Likely #11 Seeds Polt has a 92.35% chance to be the #11 seed. sOs has a 7.65% chance to be the #11 seed.
Likely #12 Seeds Zest has a 92.35% chance to be the #12 seed. Polt has a 7.65% chance to be the #12 seed.
Likely #13 Seeds Lilbow has a 82.97% chance to be the #13 seed. Zest has a 7.65% chance to be the #13 seed. sOs has a 4.75% chance to be the #13 seed. FanTaSy has a 4.63% chance to be the #13 seed.
Likely #14 Seeds Rogue has a 44.87% chance to be the #14 seed. Lilbow has a 16.78% chance to be the #14 seed. Dear has a 15.29% chance to be the #14 seed. sOs has a 14.78% chance to be the #14 seed. Dark has a 5.96% chance to be the #14 seed.
Likely #15 Seeds Rogue has a 42.76% chance to be the #15 seed. sOs has a 39.47% chance to be the #15 seed. Dark has a 5.07% chance to be the #15 seed. Dear has a 4.45% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 4.16% chance to be the #15 seed.
Likely #16 Seeds FanTaSy has a 35.79% chance to be the #16 seed. sOs has a 25.03% chance to be the #16 seed. Dark has a 18.85% chance to be the #16 seed. Rogue has a 11.41% chance to be the #16 seed. HyuN has a 5.54% chance to be the #16 seed.
Likely WCS Global Finals / Blizzcon First Round Matches Life vs Lilbow has a 59.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Hydra has a 47.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Rogue has a 44.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Classic has a 44.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Rogue has a 42.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs sOs has a 39.47% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Polt has a 37.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs FanTaSy has a 35.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Zest has a 30.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs ByuL has a 28.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
INnoVation vs Zest has a 28.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Classic has a 27.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs herO has a 25.03% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Hydra has a 24.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Zest has a 21.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs Classic has a 20.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs herO has a 18.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Hydra vs Zest has a 18.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Dream has a 17.48% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 17.42% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Lilbow has a 16.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Dear has a 15.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs sOs has a 14.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Dream has a 14.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Rogue has a 11.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs INnoVation has a 10.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Classic has a 7.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs INnoVation has a 7.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Lilbow has a 6.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Dark has a 5.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs Hydra has a 5.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. HyuN vs herO has a 5.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Dark has a 5.07% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs ByuL has a 4.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Dear has a 4.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs FanTaSy has a 4.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs Hydra has a 3.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs FanTaSy has a 3.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs sOs has a 3.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs sOs has a 3.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Polt has a 3.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs herO has a 3.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs FanTaSy has a 2.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. HyuN vs Maru has a 2.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs Maru has a 1.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Zest has a 1.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs sOs has a 1.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs FanTaSy has a 0.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Lilbow has a 0.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs sOs has a 0.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Dear has a 0.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
herO vs FanTaSy has a 35.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs sOs has a 25.03% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Dark has a 18.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Rogue has a 11.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs HyuN has a 5.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
herO vs ForGG has a 3.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Dear has a 0.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
ByuL has a 20.99% chance to be the #4 seed. ByuL has a 4.98% chance to be the #6 seed. ByuL has a 46.15% chance to be the #7 seed. ByuL has a 27.87% chance to be the #8 seed.
ByuL vs INnoVation has a 28.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Classic has a 27.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Dream has a 17.48% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 17.42% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Polt has a 4.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
ByuL vs Zest has a 1.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs sOs has a 1.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs FanTaSy has a 0.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Maru vs Rogue has a 42.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs sOs has a 39.47% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Dark has a 5.07% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Dear has a 4.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs FanTaSy has a 4.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
Maru vs HyuN has a 2.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs ForGG has a 1.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Lilbow has a 0.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Life has a 72.51% chance to be the #4 seed. Life has a 25.76% chance to be the #5 seed. Life has a 1.73% chance to be the #6 seed.
Life vs Lilbow has a 59.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Zest has a 30.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs FanTaSy has a 3.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs sOs has a 3.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Polt has a 3.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Hydra has a 20.51% chance to be the #5 seed. Hydra has a 49.65% chance to be the #6 seed. Hydra has a 29.84% chance to be the #7 seed.
Hydra vs Polt has a 47.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Hydra vs Dream has a 24.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Hydra vs Zest has a 18.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Hydra vs INnoVation has a 5.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Hydra vs sOs has a 3.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Rain has a 6.5% chance to be the #4 seed. Rain has a 22.82% chance to be the #5 seed. Rain has a 38.98% chance to be the #6 seed. Rain has a 24.01% chance to be the #7 seed. Rain has a 7.7% chance to be the #8 seed.
Rain vs Polt has a 37.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Zest has a 21.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Dream has a 14.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs INnoVation has a 10.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Classic has a 7.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
Rain vs Lilbow has a 6.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs sOs has a 3.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Classic has a 44.28% chance to be the #8 seed. Classic has a 55.72% chance to be the #9 seed.
Classic vs Dream has a 44.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Classic vs ByuL has a 27.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Classic vs INnoVation has a 20.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Classic vs Rain has a 7.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Dream has a 44.28% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 55.72% chance to be the #10 seed.
Dream vs Classic has a 44.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Hydra has a 24.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs ByuL has a 17.48% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Rain has a 14.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
INnoVation has a 30.9% chance to be the #5 seed. INnoVation has a 4.66% chance to be the #6 seed. INnoVation has a 20.16% chance to be the #8 seed. INnoVation has a 44.28% chance to be the #10 seed.
Polt has a 92.35% chance to be the #11 seed. Polt has a 7.65% chance to be the #12 seed.
Polt vs Hydra has a 47.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Rain has a 37.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs INnoVation has a 7.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs ByuL has a 4.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Life has a 3.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Zest has a 92.35% chance to be the #12 seed. Zest has a 7.65% chance to be the #13 seed.
Zest vs Life has a 30.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Zest vs INnoVation has a 28.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Zest vs Rain has a 21.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Zest vs Hydra has a 18.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Zest vs ByuL has a 1.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Lilbow has a 82.97% chance to be the #13 seed. Lilbow has a 16.78% chance to be the #14 seed. Lilbow has a 0.25% chance to be the #15 seed.
Lilbow vs Life has a 59.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Lilbow vs ByuL has a 17.42% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Lilbow vs PartinG has a 16.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Lilbow vs Rain has a 6.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Lilbow vs Maru has a 0.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Rogue has a 44.87% chance to be the #14 seed. Rogue has a 42.76% chance to be the #15 seed. Rogue has a 11.41% chance to be the #16 seed.
Rogue vs PartinG has a 44.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rogue vs Maru has a 42.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rogue vs herO has a 11.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
sOs has a 7.65% chance to be the #11 seed. sOs has a 4.75% chance to be the #13 seed. sOs has a 14.78% chance to be the #14 seed. sOs has a 39.47% chance to be the #15 seed. sOs has a 25.03% chance to be the #16 seed.
sOs vs Maru has a 39.47% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs herO has a 25.03% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs PartinG has a 14.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs Hydra has a 3.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs Rain has a 3.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
sOs vs Life has a 3.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs ByuL has a 1.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs INnoVation has a 0.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
FanTaSy has a 4.63% chance to be the #13 seed. FanTaSy has a 2.32% chance to be the #14 seed. FanTaSy has a 4.16% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 35.79% chance to be the #16 seed.
FanTaSy vs herO has a 35.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. FanTaSy vs Maru has a 4.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. FanTaSy vs Life has a 3.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. FanTaSy vs PartinG has a 2.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. FanTaSy vs ByuL has a 0.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Dark has a 5.96% chance to be the #14 seed. Dark has a 5.07% chance to be the #15 seed. Dark has a 18.85% chance to be the #16 seed.
Dark vs herO has a 18.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs PartinG has a 5.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs Maru has a 5.07% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Dear has a 15.29% chance to be the #14 seed. Dear has a 4.45% chance to be the #15 seed. Dear has a 0.12% chance to be the #16 seed.
Dear vs PartinG has a 15.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dear vs Maru has a 4.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dear vs herO has a 0.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Likely Blizzcon Seeds herO has a 76.4% chance to be the #1 seed. Maru has a 55.41% chance to be the #2 seed. PartinG has a 79.01% chance to be the #3 seed. Life has a 47.89% chance to be the #4 seed. Life has a 48.18% chance to be the #5 seed. INnoVation has a 30.91% chance to be the #6 seed. Hydra has a 50.8% chance to be the #7 seed. Classic has a 44.31% chance to be the #8 seed. Classic has a 55.69% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 55.69% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 92.33% chance to be the #11 seed. Zest has a 92.33% chance to be the #12 seed. Lilbow has a 82.94% chance to be the #13 seed. Rogue has a 44.81% chance to be the #14 seed. Rogue has a 42.82% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 35.76% chance to be the #16 seed. + Show Spoiler [More Seed Stats] +
Likely #1 Seeds herO has a 76.4% chance to be the #1 seed. Maru has a 23.6% chance to be the #1 seed.
Likely #2 Seeds Maru has a 55.41% chance to be the #2 seed. herO has a 23.6% chance to be the #2 seed. ByuL has a 20.99% chance to be the #2 seed.
Likely #3 Seeds PartinG has a 79.01% chance to be the #3 seed. Maru has a 20.99% chance to be the #3 seed.
Likely #4 Seeds Life has a 47.89% chance to be the #4 seed. ByuL has a 26.85% chance to be the #4 seed. PartinG has a 20.99% chance to be the #4 seed. Rain has a 4.28% chance to be the #4 seed.
Likely #5 Seeds Life has a 48.18% chance to be the #5 seed. ByuL has a 45.35% chance to be the #5 seed. Rain has a 6.47% chance to be the #5 seed.
Likely #6 Seeds INnoVation has a 30.91% chance to be the #6 seed. Hydra has a 30.42% chance to be the #6 seed. Rain has a 27.92% chance to be the #6 seed. ByuL has a 6.81% chance to be the #6 seed. Life has a 3.93% chance to be the #6 seed.
Likely #7 Seeds Hydra has a 50.8% chance to be the #7 seed. Rain has a 44.54% chance to be the #7 seed. INnoVation has a 4.65% chance to be the #7 seed.
Likely #8 Seeds Classic has a 44.31% chance to be the #8 seed. INnoVation has a 20.13% chance to be the #8 seed. Hydra has a 18.77% chance to be the #8 seed. Rain has a 16.79% chance to be the #8 seed.
Likely #9 Seeds Classic has a 55.69% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 44.31% chance to be the #9 seed.
Likely #10 Seeds Dream has a 55.69% chance to be the #10 seed. INnoVation has a 44.31% chance to be the #10 seed.
Likely #11 Seeds Polt has a 92.33% chance to be the #11 seed. sOs has a 7.67% chance to be the #11 seed.
Likely #12 Seeds Zest has a 92.33% chance to be the #12 seed. Polt has a 7.67% chance to be the #12 seed.
Likely #13 Seeds Lilbow has a 82.94% chance to be the #13 seed. Zest has a 7.67% chance to be the #13 seed. sOs has a 4.76% chance to be the #13 seed. FanTaSy has a 4.63% chance to be the #13 seed.
Likely #14 Seeds Rogue has a 44.81% chance to be the #14 seed. Lilbow has a 16.81% chance to be the #14 seed. Dear has a 15.28% chance to be the #14 seed. sOs has a 14.79% chance to be the #14 seed. Dark has a 5.97% chance to be the #14 seed.
Likely #15 Seeds Rogue has a 42.82% chance to be the #15 seed. sOs has a 39.4% chance to be the #15 seed. Dark has a 5.06% chance to be the #15 seed. Dear has a 4.45% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 4.17% chance to be the #15 seed.
Likely #16 Seeds FanTaSy has a 35.76% chance to be the #16 seed. sOs has a 25.04% chance to be the #16 seed. Dark has a 18.86% chance to be the #16 seed. Rogue has a 11.41% chance to be the #16 seed. HyuN has a 5.55% chance to be the #16 seed.
Likely WCS Global Finals / Blizzcon First Round Matches Life vs Zest has a 48.51% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Classic has a 44.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Zest has a 43.66% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Lilbow has a 39.22% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Rogue has a 37.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Rogue has a 33.08% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Lilbow has a 30.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs herO has a 30.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs INnoVation has a 28.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs sOs has a 28.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
Polt vs Hydra has a 27.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Hydra has a 27.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs FanTaSy has a 26.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Polt has a 25.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Dream has a 23.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs Hydra has a 23.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 22.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs INnoVation has a 20.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs Classic has a 20.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Rogue has a 19.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Classic vs Hydra has a 18.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Classic has a 16.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Dear has a 15.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs herO has a 15.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs FanTaSy has a 12.88% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs sOs has a 11.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs sOs has a 10.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs ByuL has a 10.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Dark has a 8.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Rogue has a 8.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Polt has a 7.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Zest has a 6.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. HyuN vs herO has a 4.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Dark has a 4.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs Dream has a 4.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Dear has a 4.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Lilbow has a 4.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Lilbow has a 3.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs herO has a 2.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs FanTaSy has a 2.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs sOs has a 2.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs sOs has a 2.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs Hydra has a 2.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs FanTaSy has a 2.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. HyuN vs Maru has a 2.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs sOs has a 2.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs FanTaSy has a 2.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Zest has a 1.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs Maru has a 1.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs ByuL has a 1.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. HyuN vs ByuL has a 0.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs ByuL has a 0.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Dear has a 0.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
herO has a 76.4% chance to be the #1 seed. herO has a 23.6% chance to be the #2 seed.
herO vs sOs has a 30.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs FanTaSy has a 26.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Rogue has a 19.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Dark has a 15.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs HyuN has a 4.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
herO vs ForGG has a 2.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Dear has a 0.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
ByuL has a 20.99% chance to be the #2 seed. ByuL has a 26.85% chance to be the #4 seed. ByuL has a 45.35% chance to be the #5 seed. ByuL has a 6.81% chance to be the #6 seed.
ByuL vs Zest has a 43.66% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 22.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs sOs has a 10.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Polt has a 10.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Rogue has a 8.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
ByuL vs FanTaSy has a 2.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Dark has a 1.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs HyuN has a 0.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs ForGG has a 0.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Maru has a 23.6% chance to be the #1 seed. Maru has a 55.41% chance to be the #2 seed. Maru has a 20.99% chance to be the #3 seed.
Maru vs Rogue has a 37.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs sOs has a 28.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs FanTaSy has a 12.88% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Dark has a 8.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Dear has a 4.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
Maru vs Lilbow has a 3.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs HyuN has a 2.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs ForGG has a 1.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Life has a 47.89% chance to be the #4 seed. Life has a 48.18% chance to be the #5 seed. Life has a 3.93% chance to be the #6 seed.
Life vs Zest has a 48.51% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Lilbow has a 39.22% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Polt has a 7.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs FanTaSy has a 2.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs sOs has a 2.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Hydra has a 30.42% chance to be the #6 seed. Hydra has a 50.8% chance to be the #7 seed. Hydra has a 18.77% chance to be the #8 seed.
Hydra vs Polt has a 27.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Hydra vs Dream has a 27.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Hydra vs INnoVation has a 23.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Hydra vs Classic has a 18.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Hydra vs sOs has a 2.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Rain has a 4.28% chance to be the #4 seed. Rain has a 6.47% chance to be the #5 seed. Rain has a 27.92% chance to be the #6 seed. Rain has a 44.54% chance to be the #7 seed. Rain has a 16.79% chance to be the #8 seed.
Rain vs Polt has a 25.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Dream has a 23.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs INnoVation has a 20.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Classic has a 16.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Zest has a 6.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
Rain vs Lilbow has a 4.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs sOs has a 2.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Classic has a 44.31% chance to be the #8 seed. Classic has a 55.69% chance to be the #9 seed.
Classic vs Dream has a 44.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Classic vs INnoVation has a 20.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Classic vs Hydra has a 18.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Classic vs Rain has a 16.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Dream has a 44.31% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 55.69% chance to be the #10 seed.
Dream vs Classic has a 44.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Hydra has a 27.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Rain has a 23.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs INnoVation has a 4.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
INnoVation has a 30.91% chance to be the #6 seed. INnoVation has a 4.65% chance to be the #7 seed. INnoVation has a 20.13% chance to be the #8 seed. INnoVation has a 44.31% chance to be the #10 seed.
Polt has a 92.33% chance to be the #11 seed. Polt has a 7.67% chance to be the #12 seed.
Polt vs INnoVation has a 28.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Hydra has a 27.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Rain has a 25.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs ByuL has a 10.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Life has a 7.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Zest has a 92.33% chance to be the #12 seed. Zest has a 7.67% chance to be the #13 seed.
Zest vs Life has a 48.51% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Zest vs ByuL has a 43.66% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Zest vs Rain has a 6.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Zest vs PartinG has a 1.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Lilbow has a 82.94% chance to be the #13 seed. Lilbow has a 16.81% chance to be the #14 seed. Lilbow has a 0.25% chance to be the #15 seed.
Lilbow vs Life has a 39.22% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Lilbow vs PartinG has a 30.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Lilbow vs ByuL has a 22.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Lilbow vs Rain has a 4.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Lilbow vs Maru has a 3.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Rogue has a 44.81% chance to be the #14 seed. Rogue has a 42.82% chance to be the #15 seed. Rogue has a 11.41% chance to be the #16 seed.
Rogue vs Maru has a 37.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rogue vs PartinG has a 33.08% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rogue vs herO has a 19.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rogue vs ByuL has a 8.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
sOs has a 7.67% chance to be the #11 seed. sOs has a 4.76% chance to be the #13 seed. sOs has a 14.79% chance to be the #14 seed. sOs has a 39.4% chance to be the #15 seed. sOs has a 25.04% chance to be the #16 seed.
sOs vs herO has a 30.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs Maru has a 28.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs PartinG has a 11.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs ByuL has a 10.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs Rain has a 2.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
sOs vs INnoVation has a 2.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs Hydra has a 2.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs Life has a 2.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
FanTaSy has a 4.63% chance to be the #13 seed. FanTaSy has a 2.33% chance to be the #14 seed. FanTaSy has a 4.17% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 35.76% chance to be the #16 seed.
FanTaSy vs herO has a 26.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. FanTaSy vs Maru has a 12.88% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. FanTaSy vs PartinG has a 2.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. FanTaSy vs Life has a 2.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. FanTaSy vs ByuL has a 2.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Dark has a 5.97% chance to be the #14 seed. Dark has a 5.06% chance to be the #15 seed. Dark has a 18.86% chance to be the #16 seed.
Dark vs herO has a 15.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs Maru has a 8.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs PartinG has a 4.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs ByuL has a 1.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Dear has a 15.28% chance to be the #14 seed. Dear has a 4.45% chance to be the #15 seed. Dear has a 0.12% chance to be the #16 seed.
Dear vs PartinG has a 15.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dear vs Maru has a 4.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dear vs herO has a 0.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
HyuN has a 2.13% chance to be the #15 seed. HyuN has a 5.55% chance to be the #16 seed.
HyuN vs herO has a 4.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. HyuN vs Maru has a 2.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. HyuN vs ByuL has a 0.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
ForGG has a 1.72% chance to be the #15 seed. ForGG has a 3.25% chance to be the #16 seed.
ForGG vs herO has a 2.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs Maru has a 1.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs ByuL has a 0.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Most Likely Seeds herO has a 100% chance to be the #1 seed. Maru has a 100% chance to be the #2 seed. PartinG has a 100% chance to be the #3 seed. Life has a 72.51% chance to be the #4 seed. INnoVation has a 30.89% chance to be the #5 seed. Hydra has a 49.66% chance to be the #6 seed. ByuL has a 46.16% chance to be the #7 seed. Classic has a 44.32% chance to be the #8 seed. Classic has a 55.68% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 55.68% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 92.31% chance to be the #11 seed. Zest has a 92.31% chance to be the #12 seed. Lilbow has a 82.9% chance to be the #13 seed. Rogue has a 44.82% chance to be the #14 seed. Rogue has a 42.76% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 35.71% chance to be the #16 seed. + Show Spoiler [More Seed Stats] +
Likely #1 Seeds herO has a 100% chance to be the #1 seed.
Likely #2 Seeds Maru has a 100% chance to be the #2 seed.
Likely #3 Seeds PartinG has a 100% chance to be the #3 seed.
Likely #4 Seeds Life has a 72.51% chance to be the #4 seed. ByuL has a 21.01% chance to be the #4 seed. Rain has a 6.48% chance to be the #4 seed.
Likely #5 Seeds INnoVation has a 30.89% chance to be the #5 seed. Life has a 25.76% chance to be the #5 seed. Rain has a 22.83% chance to be the #5 seed. Hydra has a 20.53% chance to be the #5 seed.
Likely #6 Seeds Hydra has a 49.66% chance to be the #6 seed. Rain has a 38.98% chance to be the #6 seed. ByuL has a 4.99% chance to be the #6 seed. INnoVation has a 4.65% chance to be the #6 seed. Life has a 1.73% chance to be the #6 seed.
Likely #7 Seeds ByuL has a 46.16% chance to be the #7 seed. Hydra has a 29.82% chance to be the #7 seed. Rain has a 24.02% chance to be the #7 seed.
Likely #8 Seeds Classic has a 44.32% chance to be the #8 seed. ByuL has a 27.85% chance to be the #8 seed. INnoVation has a 20.14% chance to be the #8 seed. Rain has a 7.69% chance to be the #8 seed.
Likely #9 Seeds Classic has a 55.68% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 44.32% chance to be the #9 seed.
Likely #10 Seeds Dream has a 55.68% chance to be the #10 seed. INnoVation has a 44.32% chance to be the #10 seed. Likely #11 Seeds Polt has a 92.31% chance to be the #11 seed. sOs has a 7.69% chance to be the #11 seed.
Likely #12 Seeds Zest has a 92.31% chance to be the #12 seed. Polt has a 7.69% chance to be the #12 seed.
Likely #13 Seeds Lilbow has a 82.9% chance to be the #13 seed. Zest has a 7.69% chance to be the #13 seed. sOs has a 4.77% chance to be the #13 seed. FanTaSy has a 4.64% chance to be the #13 seed.
Likely #14 Seeds Rogue has a 44.82% chance to be the #14 seed. Lilbow has a 16.85% chance to be the #14 seed. Dear has a 15.3% chance to be the #14 seed. sOs has a 14.73% chance to be the #14 seed. Dark has a 5.99% chance to be the #14 seed.
Likely #15 Seeds Rogue has a 42.76% chance to be the #15 seed. sOs has a 39.4% chance to be the #15 seed. Dark has a 5.07% chance to be the #15 seed. Dear has a 4.48% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 4.17% chance to be the #15 seed.
Likely #16 Seeds FanTaSy has a 35.71% chance to be the #16 seed. sOs has a 25.07% chance to be the #16 seed. Dark has a 18.85% chance to be the #16 seed. Rogue has a 11.46% chance to be the #16 seed. HyuN has a 5.54% chance to be the #16 seed.
Likely First Round Matches Life vs Lilbow has a 59.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Hydra has a 47.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Rogue has a 44.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Classic has a 44.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Rogue has a 42.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs sOs has a 39.4% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Polt has a 37.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs FanTaSy has a 35.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Zest has a 30.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs ByuL has a 28.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
INnoVation vs Zest has a 28.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Classic has a 27.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs herO has a 25.07% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Hydra has a 24.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Zest has a 21.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs Classic has a 20.14% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs herO has a 18.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Hydra vs Zest has a 18.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Dream has a 17.47% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 17.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Lilbow has a 16.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Dear has a 15.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs sOs has a 14.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Dream has a 13.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Rogue has a 11.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs INnoVation has a 10.03% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Classic has a 7.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs INnoVation has a 7.04% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Lilbow has a 6.14% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Dark has a 5.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs Hydra has a 5.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. HyuN vs herO has a 5.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Dark has a 5.07% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs ByuL has a 4.58% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Dear has a 4.48% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs FanTaSy has a 4.17% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. sOs vs Hydra has a 3.86% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs FanTaSy has a 3.66% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs sOs has a 3.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs sOs has a 3.43% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs Polt has a 3.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs herO has a 3.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs FanTaSy has a 2.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. HyuN vs Maru has a 2.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ForGG vs Maru has a 1.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs Zest has a 1.62% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs sOs has a 1.42% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. ByuL vs FanTaSy has a 0.98% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs Lilbow has a 0.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. INnoVation vs sOs has a 0.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Dear has a 0.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
On September 22 2015 08:32 OtherWorld wrote: Weow so herO really got no points from his finals win. GUess I should really look into the rules of this thing one day d:
On September 22 2015 08:32 OtherWorld wrote: Weow so herO really got no points from his finals win. GUess I should really look into the rules of this thing one day d:
Doesn't WCS Wars go by median points?
Yeah but logically median points go up when current points go up right?
On September 22 2015 08:32 OtherWorld wrote: Weow so herO really got no points from his finals win. GUess I should really look into the rules of this thing one day d:
Doesn't WCS Wars go by median points?
Yeah but logically median points go up when current points go up right?
his median was already at his max points it was like 55% chance to win and 45% chance to lose, the win is more likely so that's what the median represents
If you didn't read my previous articles, these stats are calculated by WCS Predictor, which simulates every match in every tournament that gives WCS Points millions of times. Blizzcon Chances are the chances to qualify in the top 16 for Blizzcon, as rated by WCS Predictor.
Fighting Till the End
On Friday we had DreamHack Stockholm complete their player listing, which had some big effects on Blizzcon Chances. Since the last article, we've had TY, Stats, and Gumiho all eliminated from the running since they were confirmed to be not attending DreamHack Stockholm. We also had Lilbow securing his spot to Blizzcon. The current 100% secured players are herO, Maru, Parting, Life, Hydra, Rain, Byul, Classic, Dream, Innovation, Polt, Zest, and Lilbow, with Rogue being very close at 99.03%. Rogue is currently at #14 with 3325 WCS Points, so he can only be knocked out if 3 players out of sOs/Fantasy/Dark/Dear pass him.
sOs seems to have learned his lesson from last year when he peaked at 96.65% Blizzcon Chances in early August and still didn't make it. sOs has an 84.96% chance even if he wins no points from Dreamhack (32nd place or worse), but he decided not to leave it to luck and took it into his own hands by attending. A 16th place here would put sOs up at 93.73%, and an 8th place puts him up to 99.97%, any higher placement locks him in at 100%.
The other players fighting for Blizzcon Chances at DreamHack Stockholm are Fantasy, Dark, Hyun, and ForGG.
Fantasy is currently in 16th place in WCS standings with 2900 WCS Points, he can make it without gaining additional points as long as Dark, Hyun, Dear, or ForGG don't pass him, which means 29.15% if Fantasy gets 32nd or worse. A 4th place puts Fantasy at 84.68%.
Dark needs at least a 16th place, which would put him at 35.44%. A 2nd place would put him at 92.14%, and a 1st locks him in at 100%.
Hyun needs at least a 4th place, but that would only give him 10.23% Blizzcon Chances. A 2nd place would put Hyun at 34.44%, and a 1st place at 86.68%. If Hyun does win, he can still be knocked out if 2 out of sOs/Dear/Fantasy/Dark pass him.
ForGG must get at least 2nd place, which would put him at 24.03%, and a 1st place puts him at 80.23%. If ForGG wins then he has to worry about the same thing Hyun would, 2 players out of sOs/Dear/Fantasy/Dark passing him.
And let's not forget about Dear, who would be 100% with winning GSL, or 0% with anything less.
Looking Ahead to the WCS Global Finals
As far as the final standings for WCS points, we already have a few seeds locked in, and some close to being locked in. herO at #1, Maru at #2, and Parting at #3 are all locked in already. Life at #4, Polt at #11, Zest at #12, and Lilbow at #13 are all above 70% chances.
Here are the current 10 most likely matches for the first round of the WCS Global Finals. Life vs Lilbow has a 59.71% chance for the first round. Polt vs Hydra has a 47.51% chance for the first round. PartinG vs Rogue has a 44.68% chance for the first round. Dream vs Classic has a 44.3% chance for the first round. Maru vs Rogue has a 42.83% chance for the first round. Maru vs sOs has a 39.31% chance for the first round. Rain vs Polt has a 37.54% chance for the first round. herO vs FanTaSy has a 35.64% chance for the first round. Life vs Zest has a 29.89% chance for the first round. INnoVation vs ByuL has a 28.93% chance for the first round.
Of course Dreamhack will have a big effect on these. Let's look at some examples.
If sOs wins Dreamhack, then he's likely to face Hydra (at a 50.01% chance), instead of Maru or herO. Also Parting vs Lilbow would be locked in at 100%. Life vs Zest and Maru vs Rogue would both be around 75%. If sOs gets 2nd he's likely to face Life. If he gets 4th then he's likely to face Parting.
If Fantasy wins, then he's likely to face Life (75.41%) instead of herO. Parting vs Lilbow would be nearly locked in at 94.84%. Life vs Fantasy would be a 75.41% chance. Maru vs Rogue, sOs vs herO, and Polt vs Hydra would all be around 58% to 50%. If Fantasy gets 2nd in Dreamhack, then he's likely to face Parting or Maru.
If Hyun, Dark, or ForGG wins, then Life vs Lilbow is around a 75% chance.
If Hyun wins then he's likely to face herO (52.08%) or Maru (34.6%). Parting vs Rogue, Hyun vs herO, and Polt vs Hydra would be around 55% to 50%.
If Dark wins then he's very likely to face Parting (94.63%) instead of herO. Maru vs Rogue and sOs vs herO would both be around 53%. IF Dark gets 2nd then he's likely to face Maru.
If ForGG wins then he's likely to face herO (45.59%) or Maru (34.64%). Parting vs Rogue and Polt vs Hydra would be around 55% to 50%.
If Rain wins then we can see that his chances of facing Lilbow (75.35%) go up significantly instead of Polt or Zest. Life vs Zest and Rain vs Lilbow would be around 80% to 75%. Parting vs Rogue, Maru vs sOs, and Dream vs Hydra would be around 55% to 45%.
And then if someone not going to Blizzcon wins, such as Solar, then Life vs Lilbow would be a 74.93% chance. Parting vs Rogue, Polt vs Hydra, and Maru vs sOs would be about 55% to 49%. Dream vs Classic, herO vs Fantasy, and Rain vs Polt would be about 45% to 42%. Maru vs Rogue, Innovation vs Zest, and Innovation vs Byul would be about 39% to 28%.
DreamHack and the GSL semifinals between Dear and ByuL both kick off at Thursday, Sep 24 9:30am GMT (GMT+00:00), so we’re going to see the field narrowed down very quickly this week. DreamHack will have its finale at Friday, Sep 25 8:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00), if you want to tune in and see if ForGG or HyuN went all the way. DreamHack and GSL are the last opportunities for WCS Points before Blizzcon, so don't miss them!
After Dreamhack is complete, all that will be left is the GSL finals, and there will only 2 possible brackets for the WCS Global Finals! Look out for my next article where I'll be covering that.
Be sure to check the website for very frequent updates, the FAQ, and the fantasy league WCS Wars! WCS Predictor 2015 To get automatically generated checkups that are constantly updated, I have created the Checkup page on WCS Predictor Also check out my post on Blizzard's own WCS website!
ByuL vs Dearin in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals. Dear must win this match! ByuL is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dear is at 19.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 37.78%, or 0% if they lose.
INnoVation vs Maruin in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals. INnoVation has the #3 Headband. Maru has the #4 Headband. INnoVation is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Dear must win this tournament! INnoVation has a 36.35% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 23.7% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ByuL has a 20.02% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dear has a 19.92% chance to win ----going from 19.92% to 100% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Life vs Lilbow has a 71.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 57.44%. Polt vs Hydra has a 49.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 46.13%. Maru vs Rogue has a 46.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 45.32%. Dream vs Classic has a 43.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 43.29%. INnoVation vs ByuL has a 43.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 29.07%. Rain vs Polt has a 41.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.23%. ByuL vs Classic has a 37.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 29.45%. Maru vs sOs has a 34.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.07%. PartinG vs Rogue has a 31.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 40.05%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 29.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 36.44%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
Rain vs Zest has a 29.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 22.75%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 29.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.13%. PartinG vs Dear has a 27.8% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 14.66%. sOs vs herO has a 26.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 22.85%. Hydra vs Zest has a 23.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.39%. Dream vs Hydra has a 21.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 27.14%. herO vs Rogue has a 20.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.38%. PartinG vs Lilbow has a 19.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 19.83%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 19.09% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 20.35%. ByuL vs Dream has a 19.09% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.97%. Life vs Zest has a 18.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 30.83%. Dark vs herO has a 17.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 21.07%. Rain vs Dream has a 15.72% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 12.59%. PartinG vs sOs has a 13.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.74%. Maru vs Dear has a 9.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.11%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 8.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 8.01%. Rain vs Lilbow has a 8.03% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.42%. PartinG vs Dark has a 6.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.28%. HyuN vs herO has a 5.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.1%. Life vs FanTaSy has a 5.19% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.15%. Life vs sOs has a 4.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.97%. Rain vs sOs has a 4.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.54%. sOs vs Hydra has a 4.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.68%. Maru vs Dark has a 3.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.98%. Maru vs FanTaSy has a 3.94% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.31%. PartinG vs FanTaSy has a 1.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 2.44%. HyuN vs Maru has a 1.47% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 1.89%. Maru vs Lilbow has a 0.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 0.33%. herO vs Dear has a 0.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 0.15%. INnoVation vs sOs has a 0.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 0.23%.
PartinG vs Rogue has a 49.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 40.05%. Life vs Zest has a 45.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 30.83%. Maru vs Rogue has a 44.17% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 45.32%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 43.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 36.44%. Dream vs Classic has a 43.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 43.29%. Maru vs sOs has a 42.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.07%. Polt vs Hydra has a 42.03% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 46.13%. Life vs Lilbow has a 41.38% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 57.44%. Rain vs Polt has a 34.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.23%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 33.8% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.98%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
Dream vs Hydra has a 33.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.14%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 27.04% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 28.13%. Dark vs herO has a 24.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 21.07%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 21.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 20.35%. PartinG vs sOs has a 20.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.74%. ByuL vs Classic has a 20.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 29.45%. PartinG vs Lilbow has a 19.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.83%. sOs vs herO has a 18.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 22.85%. Rain vs INnoVation has a 18.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 8.56%. Rain vs Zest has a 15.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 22.75%. Rain vs Classic has a 14.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.91%. ByuL vs Dream has a 14.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.97%. INnoVation vs ByuL has a 13.2% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 29.07%. INnoVation vs Hydra has a 11.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.66%. Rain vs Dream has a 9.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 12.59%. Polt vs ByuL has a 8.52% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.03%. Hydra vs Zest has a 8.52% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.39%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 7.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 8.01%. Life vs Polt has a 7.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.61%. HyuN vs herO has a 6.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.1%. PartinG vs Dark has a 6.27% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.28%. Maru vs Dark has a 6.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.98%. herO vs Rogue has a 5.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.38%. Maru vs FanTaSy has a 4.72% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.31%. Rain vs Lilbow has a 4.62% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.42%. sOs vs Hydra has a 4.47% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.68%. Rain vs sOs has a 4.15% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.54%. ByuL vs Zest has a 4.03% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.9%. ByuL vs sOs has a 3.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.56%. Life vs FanTaSy has a 2.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.15%. PartinG vs FanTaSy has a 2.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 2.44%. Life vs sOs has a 2.86% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 3.97%. HyuN vs Maru has a 2.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.89%. ByuL vs FanTaSy has a 2.2% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.04%. Maru vs Lilbow has a 0.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 0.33%. INnoVation vs sOs has a 0.22% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 0.23%.
HyuN must win this tournament! sOs has a 9.49% chance to win ----going from 92.64% to 100% if they get 1st, or 91.87% if they don't. Rain has a 8.54% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Solar has a 8.42% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. HyuN has a 6.73% chance to win ----going from 7.99% to 83.96% if they get 1st, or 2.51% if they don't. Dark has a 6.7% chance to win ----going from 32.33% to 100% if they get 1st, or 27.47% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
FanTaSy has a 5.52% chance to win ----going from 48.37% to 100% if they get 1st, or 45.36% if they don't. TRUE has a 4.77% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Curious has a 4.62% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Jaedong has a 4.45% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Snute has a 4.42% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Leenock has a 3.97% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Sacsri has a 3.1% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.84% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. PtitDrogo has a 2.71% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Zanster has a 2.7% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Apocalypse has a 2.24% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Reality has a 2.13% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Armani has a 2.02% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Hurricane has a 1.93% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Serral has a 1.62% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. HerO has a 1.61% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. elfi has a 1.11% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Welmu has a 1.11% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. HuK has a 1.05% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Harstem has a 1.05% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Elazer has a 1.02% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.91% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.54% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. SortOf has a 0.41% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DeMusliM has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Gamja has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Lambo has a 0.28% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Miniraser has a 0.22% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Jona has a 0.17% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Snovski has a 0.16% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Basior has a 0.12% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Guru has a 0.1% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Namshar has a 0.08% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. StarNaN has a 0.08% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. ZhuGeLiang has a 0.05% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. CheeseKing has a 0.05% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. SpaceMarine has a 0.04% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. hino has a 0.03% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. FunK has a 0.03% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Mekar has a 0.03% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Miszu has a 0.02% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. SolO has a 0.02% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Zervas has a 0.02% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Elroye has a 0.01% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
Miniraser vs TRUEin in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64. Miniraser is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. TRUE is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 88.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Apocalypse vs Sacsriin in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64. Apocalypse is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 77.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Sacsri is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 83.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Dark vs Serralin in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64. Dark must win this match! Dark is at 32.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 87.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 36.81%, or 0% if they lose. Serral is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.34% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
HyuN vs Elazerin in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64. HyuN must win this match! HyuN is at 7.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 88.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.99%, or 0% if they lose. Elazer is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
MaNa vs Rainin in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64. Rain has the #1 Headband. MaNa is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 78.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 87.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
HerO vs Hurricanein in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64. HerO is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.1% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Hurricane is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 77.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
HuK vs Armaniin in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64. HuK is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.24% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Armani is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 79.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
DeMusliM vs Leenockin in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64. DeMusliM is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Leenock is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 86.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Solar vs PtitDrogoin in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64. Solar is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 88.59% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. PtitDrogo is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 77.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Lambo vs Realityin in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64. Lambo is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Reality is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
sOs vs MorroWin in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64. sOs is at 92.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 90.64% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 93.4%, or 85.24% if they lose. MorroW is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Snute vs Welmuin in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64. Snute is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 86.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Welmu is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.24% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Jaedong vs Harstemin in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64. Jaedong is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 85.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Harstem is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
iaguz vs Curiousin in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64. iaguz is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Curious is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 85.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
elfi vs FanTaSyin in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64. elfi is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.93% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 48.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 86.72% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 51.42%, or 28.48% if they lose.
Zanster vs Gamjain in DreamHack Stockholm round of 64. Zanster is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 83.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Gamja is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
In your prediction section, some matches are right, and when you sum both player probability to win, you get 100%. But for most of the games, it's not the case
On September 24 2015 09:15 fezvez wrote: Hi Die4Ever
In your prediction section, some matches are right, and when you sum both player probability to win, you get 100%. But for most of the games, it's not the case
Example :
Those are 4 player groups with the top 2 advancing, but only 2 players of each group are currently known. When all 4 players are known then you will see that the probabilities to win will add up to 200% since it's 2 players advancing.
On September 24 2015 09:15 fezvez wrote: Hi Die4Ever
In your prediction section, some matches are right, and when you sum both player probability to win, you get 100%. But for most of the games, it's not the case
Example :
Those are 4 player groups with the top 2 advancing, but only 2 players of each group are currently known. When all 4 players are known then you will see that the probabilities to win will add up to 200% since it's 2 players advancing.
Oooooh, OK
Honestly, it's nontrivial to guess, and I don't even think it's anywhere in the FAQ
Biggest Winners FanTaSy went up by 8.37%, going from 48.37% to 56.74% Dark went up by 4.97%, going from 32.33% to 37.3% sOs went up by 4.27%, going from 92.64% to 96.91% HyuN went up by 1.17%, going from 7.99% to 9.16% Rogue went up by 1.14%, going from 98.75% to 99.89%
Biggest Losers Dear went down by 19.92%, going from 19.92% to 0%
Most Likely Blizzcon/WCS Global Finals first round matches PartinG vs Rogue has a 50.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 40.05%. Life vs Zest has a 45.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 30.83%. Maru vs Rogue has a 44.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 45.32%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 43.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 36.44%. Dream vs Classic has a 43.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 43.29%. Maru vs sOs has a 42.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.07%. Polt vs Hydra has a 42.04% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 46.13%. Life vs Lilbow has a 41.37% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 57.44%. Rain vs Polt has a 34.09% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.23%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 33.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.98%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
Dream vs Hydra has a 32.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.14%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 27.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 28.13%. Dark vs herO has a 24.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 21.07%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 21.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 20.35%. PartinG vs sOs has a 20.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.74%. ByuL vs Classic has a 20.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 29.45%. PartinG vs Lilbow has a 19.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 19.83%. sOs vs herO has a 18.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 22.85%. Rain vs INnoVation has a 18.08% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 8.56%. Rain vs Zest has a 15.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 22.75%. Rain vs Classic has a 14.58% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.91%. ByuL vs Dream has a 14.58% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.97%. INnoVation vs ByuL has a 13.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 29.07%. INnoVation vs Hydra has a 12.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.66%. Rain vs Dream has a 9.09% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 12.59%. Polt vs ByuL has a 8.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.03%. Hydra vs Zest has a 8.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.39%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 7.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 8.01%. Life vs Polt has a 7.66% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.61%. HyuN vs herO has a 6.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.1%. PartinG vs Dark has a 6.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.28%. Maru vs Dark has a 6.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.98%. herO vs Rogue has a 5.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.38%. Maru vs FanTaSy has a 4.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.31%. Rain vs Lilbow has a 4.66% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.42%. sOs vs Hydra has a 4.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.68%. Rain vs sOs has a 4.15% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.54%. ByuL vs Zest has a 4.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.9%. ByuL vs sOs has a 3.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.56%. Life vs FanTaSy has a 2.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.15%. PartinG vs FanTaSy has a 2.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 2.44%. Life vs sOs has a 2.86% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 3.97%. HyuN vs Maru has a 2.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.89%. ByuL vs FanTaSy has a 2.19% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.04%. Maru vs Lilbow has a 0.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 0.33%. INnoVation vs sOs has a 0.22% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 0.23%.
50.92% of the time. FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 This would change FanTaSy's chances from 55.83% to 36.14%
27.77% of the time. FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and Dark wins their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 This would change FanTaSy's chances from 55.83% to 0%
24.01% of the time. FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and Dark qualifies for Blizzcon This would change FanTaSy's chances from 55.83% to 0%
11.9% of the time. FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and Dark gets 8th place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change FanTaSy's chances from 55.83% to 0%
8.07% of the time. FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and Dark gets 4th place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change FanTaSy's chances from 55.83% to 0%
23.15% of the time. FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and Leenock wins their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 This would change FanTaSy's chances from 55.83% to 79.49%
13.03% of the time. FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and Rain gets 8th place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change FanTaSy's chances from 55.83% to 26.1%
4.19% of the time. FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and Dark gets 1st place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change FanTaSy's chances from 55.83% to 0%
11.63% of the time. FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and TRUE gets 8th place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change FanTaSy's chances from 55.83% to 26.36%
3.61% of the time. FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and Dark gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change FanTaSy's chances from 55.83% to 0%
11.59% of the time. FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and Leenock gets 8th place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change FanTaSy's chances from 55.83% to 79.83%
2.69% of the time. FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and Leenock gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change FanTaSy's chances from 55.83% to 100 %
2.42% of the time. FanTaSy loses their next match in the DreamHack Stockholm Round of 16 and Leenock gets 1st place in DreamHack Stockholm This would change FanTaSy's chances from 55.83% to 100 %
So our last player for Blizzcon will either be Fantasy, or Hyun. Hyun needs to make the finals. Hyun getting 2nd place would tie with Fantasy. If Hyun gets 1st place then he's 100% in.
The other 15 are herO, Maru, Parting, Life, Rain, Hydra, Byul, Classic, Dream, Innovation, Polt, Zest, Lilbow, Rogue, sOs
On September 25 2015 05:44 Die4Ever wrote: So our last player for Blizzcon will either be Fantasy, or Hyun. Hyun needs to make the finals.
The other 15 are herO, Maru, Parting, Life, Rain, Hydra, Byul, Classic, Dream, Innovation, Polt, Zest, Lilbow, Rogue, sOs
great line up. What do the first rounds likelihoods look like ?
I don't have a branch specifically for all the results that have happened and I haven't done a full update since the ro32 completed. I'll have all that once the ro16 is done today.
But this is just with Fantasy losing to Hyun, which was the biggest thing I'd say. Maru vs Rogue has a 64.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 60.69%. Rain vs Polt has a 60.95% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 60.67%. Dream vs Hydra has a 56.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 56.7%. Life vs Zest has a 46.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 46.3%. Dream vs Classic has a 43.27% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 43.3%. PartinG vs sOs has a 40.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.66%. Life vs Lilbow has a 39.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 36.22%. Dark vs herO has a 36.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 25.59%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 36.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 43.86%. ByuL vs Classic has a 34.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 34.69%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
ByuL vs Lilbow has a 33.07% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 30.83%. Maru vs sOs has a 31.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 30.37%. PartinG vs Rogue has a 29.84% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 25.81%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 24.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 24.28%. Rain vs Zest has a 23.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 23.58%. PartinG vs Lilbow has a 22.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 26.97%. INnoVation vs ByuL has a 22.43% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 22.45%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 22.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 22.01%. INnoVation vs Hydra has a 20.84% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 20.84%. Polt vs Hydra has a 19.38% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 19.39%. HyuN vs herO has a 16.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 8.54%. Rain vs sOs has a 10.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 10.87%. Life vs Polt has a 10.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 10.33%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 9.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 9.61%. PartinG vs Dark has a 6.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.82%. ByuL vs Zest has a 5.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 5.84%. herO vs Rogue has a 5.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.5%. sOs vs herO has a 4.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 8.51%. Rain vs Lilbow has a 4.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.88%. Life vs sOs has a 4.27% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.2%. ByuL vs sOs has a 3.98% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.98%. Maru vs Dark has a 3.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 3.8%. sOs vs Hydra has a 3.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 3.07%. INnoVation vs sOs has a 0.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 0.8%.
herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 7900, Median Points: 7900
Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 6050, Median Points: 6050
PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5850, Median Points: 5850
Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5475, Median Points: 5475
Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5175, Median Points: 5300
Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5000, Median Points: 5000
ByuL is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4975, Median Points: 4975
Classic is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4550, Median Points: 4550
Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4275, Median Points: 4275
INnoVation is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4225, Median Points: 4575
Polt is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3875, Median Points: 3875
Zest is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3675, Median Points: 3675
Lilbow is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3625, Median Points: 3625
Rogue is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3325, Median Points: 3325
sOs is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3275, Median Points: 3400
FanTaSy is at 80.39%, 80.39% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3025, Median Points: 3025
HyuN is at 19.61%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2775, Median Points: 2775
Dark is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2925, Median Points: 2925
TY is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2500, Median Points: 2500
ForGG is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2425, Median Points: 2425
Dear is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2425, Median Points: 2425
Stats is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2350
GuMiho is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2225, Median Points: 2225
Solar is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2075, Median Points: 2200
Curious is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2075, Median Points: 2200
Bunny is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2025, Median Points: 2025
Jaedong is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2000, Median Points: 2000
MyuNgSiK is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2000, Median Points: 2000
Snute is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1925, Median Points: 2050
soO is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1850, Median Points: 1850
TRUE is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1775, Median Points: 1775
MaNa is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1775, Median Points: 1775
Soulkey is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1725
Bbyong is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 1650
TLO is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median Points: 1550
MMA is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1475, Median Points: 1475
Leenock is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1400, Median Points: 1525
MarineLorD is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median Points: 1375
Patience is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median Points: 1375
Trap is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1350
Harstem is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median Points: 1250
Bomber is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1225, Median Points: 1225
Petraeus is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1125, Median Points: 1125
ShoWTimE is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1100
Terminator is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1100
Zanster is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median Points: 1025
Super is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median Points: 1025
GunGFuBanDa is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median Points: 1000
Flash is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 975
FireCake is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 975
Biggest Winners in the past 5 days FanTaSy went up by 33.5%, going from 46.89% to 80.39% HyuN went up by 11.93%, going from 7.67% to 19.61% sOs went up by 8.32%, going from 91.68% to 100% Rogue went up by 0.96%, going from 99.04% to 100%
Biggest Losers in the past 5 days Dark went down by 29.88%, going from 29.88% to 0% Dear went down by 19.85%, going from 19.85% to 0% ForGG went down by 4.98%, going from 4.98% to 0%
herO has a 100% chance to be the #1 seed. Maru has a 100% chance to be the #2 seed. PartinG has a 100% chance to be the #3 seed. Life has a 46.14% chance to be the #4 seed. Life has a 45.6% chance to be the #5 seed. Rain has a 57.35% chance to be the #6 seed. Hydra has a 77.56% chance to be the #7 seed. Classic has a 43.26% chance to be the #8 seed. Classic has a 56.74% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 56.74% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 86.17% chance to be the #11 seed. Zest has a 86.17% chance to be the #12 seed. Lilbow has a 77.01% chance to be the #13 seed. sOs has a 44.38% chance to be the #14 seed. Rogue has a 67.37% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 80.39% chance to be the #16 seed.
Most Likely Matches herO vs FanTaSy has a 80.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 31.69%. Maru vs Rogue has a 67.37% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 40.59%. Dream vs Hydra has a 56.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 25.67%. Rain vs Polt has a 52.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 32.24%. Life vs Zest has a 47.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.47%. PartinG vs sOs has a 44.38% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.49%. Dream vs Classic has a 43.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 44.29%. Life vs Lilbow has a 35.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 50.29%. ByuL vs Classic has a 34.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.29%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 33.04% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.63%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
Maru vs sOs has a 32.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 34.43%. PartinG vs Rogue has a 32.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 39.55%. Rain vs Zest has a 27.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 14.34%. PartinG vs Lilbow has a 22.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 23.06%. INnoVation vs ByuL has a 22.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.73%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 22.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 20.14%. INnoVation vs Hydra has a 20.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.63%. HyuN vs herO has a 19.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.18%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 19.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.55%. Polt vs Hydra has a 19.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.67%. Life vs Polt has a 14.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.26%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 13.78% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.67%. Rain vs sOs has a 11.27% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.14%. Rain vs Lilbow has a 8.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.21%. ByuL vs Zest has a 5.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 20.58%. ByuL vs sOs has a 3.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 5.68%. Life vs sOs has a 3.19% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 2.89%. sOs vs Hydra has a 3.14% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 3.23%. INnoVation vs sOs has a 1.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.25%.
we have our first 100% guaranteed first round match! and it's a team kill! with sOs passing Rogue, Maru vs Rogue is now locked in
Most Likely Matches Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 40.59%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 80.8% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 31.69%. PartinG vs sOs has a 70.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.49%. Dream vs Hydra has a 56.75% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 25.67%. Rain vs Polt has a 52.04% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 32.24%. Life vs Zest has a 47.9% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.47%. Dream vs Classic has a 43.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 44.29%. ByuL vs Classic has a 34.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.29%. Life vs Lilbow has a 32.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 50.29%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 30.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.63%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
PartinG vs Lilbow has a 29.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 23.06%. Rain vs Zest has a 25.94% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 14.34%. INnoVation vs ByuL has a 22.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.73%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 22.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 20.14%. INnoVation vs Hydra has a 20.8% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.63%. HyuN vs herO has a 19.2% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.18%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 18.51% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.55%. Polt vs Hydra has a 18.43% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.67%. Life vs Polt has a 15.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.26%. Rain vs sOs has a 14.58% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.14%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 14.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.67%. ByuL vs Zest has a 7.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 20.58%. Rain vs Lilbow has a 7.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.21%. ByuL vs sOs has a 5.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 5.68%. Life vs sOs has a 4.09% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 2.89%. sOs vs Hydra has a 4.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.23%. INnoVation vs sOs has a 1.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.25%.
Some other interesting stats you could consider adding (no idea about technical feasibility/effort, but throwing it out there);
% everyone had of making Blizzcon at the very start of the year Players with the highest % of making it at some point that didn't end up making it Players with the lowest % of making it at some point that did make it
On September 25 2015 08:14 Artanis[Xp] wrote: Mm, thanks!
Some other interesting stats you could consider adding (no idea about technical feasibility/effort, but throwing it out there);
% everyone had of making Blizzcon at the very start of the year Players with the highest % of making it at some point that didn't end up making it Players with the lowest % of making it at some point that did make it
Think it'd be cool to see those
Yep I did one of those for last year actually. I'll do it after Dreamhack.
On September 25 2015 12:02 The_Templar wrote: If we're going to figure out the entire top 16 tomorrow, what are we supposed to do for the 2-3 weeks before I get the blizzcon thread up?
Well I have lots of things to write for this thread, and WCS Wars ending on the 5th after the GSL finals. And there are some proleague threads in between.
INnoVation vs Maruin in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals. INnoVation has the #3 Headband. Maru has the #4 Headband. INnoVation is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
GSL Code S Season 3in ~ ByuL has a 42.8% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. INnoVation has a 34.73% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 22.47% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
Most Likely Seeds herO has a 100% chance to be the #1 seed. Maru has a 100% chance to be the #2 seed. PartinG has a 100% chance to be the #3 seed. ByuL has a 48.05% chance to be the #4 seed. Rain has a 51.27% chance to be the #5 seed. Hydra has a 51.95% chance to be the #6 seed. ByuL has a 51.95% chance to be the #7 seed. Classic has a 100% chance to be the #8 seed. Dream has a 100% chance to be the #9 seed. INnoVation has a 100% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 82.71% chance to be the #11 seed. Zest has a 82.71% chance to be the #12 seed. Lilbow has a 71.04% chance to be the #13 seed. sOs has a 71.04% chance to be the #14 seed. Rogue has a 100% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 80.72% chance to be the #16 seed.
Most Likely Matches Dream vs Classic has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 43.26%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 80.72% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 80.71%. PartinG vs sOs has a 71.04% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.06%. INnoVation vs ByuL has a 51.95% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 22.47%. Life vs Zest has a 49.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 47.78%. INnoVation vs Hydra has a 48.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 20.79%. Polt vs Hydra has a 42.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 18.59%. Rain vs Zest has a 42.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 25.96%. Rain vs Polt has a 40.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 52.57%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
ByuL vs Lilbow has a 34.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 30.4%. Life vs Lilbow has a 30.19% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 33.25%. PartinG vs Lilbow has a 28.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.94%. HyuN vs herO has a 19.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 19.29%. Life vs Polt has a 16.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 14.84%. Rain vs sOs has a 10.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 14.06%. sOs vs Hydra has a 8.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.89%. ByuL vs Zest has a 8.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 7.4%. Rain vs Lilbow has a 6.72% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 7.41%. ByuL vs sOs has a 5.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.99%. Life vs sOs has a 3.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.13%.
Most Likely Seeds herO has a 100% chance to be the #1 seed. Maru has a 100% chance to be the #2 seed. PartinG has a 100% chance to be the #3 seed. Life has a 50.56% chance to be the #4 seed. Life has a 42.7% chance to be the #5 seed. Rain has a 72.56% chance to be the #6 seed. Hydra has a 100% chance to be the #7 seed. ByuL has a 61.2% chance to be the #8 seed. Classic has a 100% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 100% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 82.72% chance to be the #11 seed. Zest has a 82.72% chance to be the #12 seed. Lilbow has a 71.07% chance to be the #13 seed. sOs has a 71.07% chance to be the #14 seed. Rogue has a 100% chance to be the #15 seed. FanTaSy has a 80.71% chance to be the #16 seed.
Most Likely Matches Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 56.74%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 80.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 80.71%. PartinG vs sOs has a 71.07% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 71.06%. Rain vs Polt has a 61.86% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 52.57%. ByuL vs Classic has a 61.2% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 34.72%. Life vs Zest has a 46.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 47.78%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 38.8% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 22.02%. Life vs Lilbow has a 35.58% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 33.25%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 33.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 18.85%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
PartinG vs Lilbow has a 28.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 28.94%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 27.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 30.4%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 24.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 14.01%. HyuN vs herO has a 19.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.29%. Rain vs sOs has a 16.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 14.06%. Rain vs Zest has a 13.51% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 25.96%. Life vs Polt has a 13.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 14.84%. Rain vs Lilbow has a 7.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 7.41%. ByuL vs Zest has a 6.72% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 7.4%. ByuL vs sOs has a 4.52% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.99%. Life vs sOs has a 4.42% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.13%. INnoVation vs sOs has a 3.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.87%.
Only thing left for Blizzcon qualifications is if Hyun doesn't make the finals, then Fantasy is safe and Hyun is out if Hyun gets 2nd place then it's a bo5 tie breaker match with Fantasy for 16th seed if Hyun wins then Fantasy is out and Hyun is in 100%
updated after Innovation vs Maru Likely Matches Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 24.23%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 42.76%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 80.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 35.75%. PartinG vs sOs has a 71.09% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 14.76%. Rain vs Polt has a 61.84% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.55%. ByuL vs Classic has a 61.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.86%. Life vs Zest has a 46.55% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 30.21%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 38.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 20.15%. Life vs Lilbow has a 35.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 59.37%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 33.18% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.34%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
PartinG vs Lilbow has a 28.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.82%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 27.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 17.41%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 24.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 7.05%. HyuN vs herO has a 19.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 5.54%. Rain vs sOs has a 16.73% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.59%. Rain vs Zest has a 13.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 21.01%. Life vs Polt has a 13.47% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.34%. Rain vs Lilbow has a 7.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.15%. ByuL vs Zest has a 6.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.61%. ByuL vs sOs has a 4.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 1.41%. Life vs sOs has a 4.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.42%. INnoVation vs sOs has a 3.27% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 0.16%.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Rain vs Polt has a 82.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.84%. PartinG vs sOs has a 71.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.09%. ByuL vs Classic has a 61.17% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.13%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 57.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 80.64%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 50.47% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 33.18%. Life vs Lilbow has a 43.51% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 35.56%. Life vs Zest has a 42.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 46.55%. HyuN vs herO has a 42.37% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.36%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
INnoVation vs Classic has a 38.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.87%. PartinG vs Lilbow has a 28.94% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.91%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 27.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 27.6%. Rain vs sOs has a 17.55% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.73%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 10.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 24.68%. Life vs sOs has a 6.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.41%. Life vs Polt has a 6.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.47%. ByuL vs Zest has a 6.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.76%. ByuL vs sOs has a 4.43% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.5%.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 80.64%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. PartinG vs sOs has a 71.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 71.09%. ByuL vs Classic has a 61.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 61.13%. Life vs Zest has a 49.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 46.55%. Rain vs Polt has a 44.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 61.84%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 38.9% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.87%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 36.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 24.68%. Life vs Lilbow has a 28.88% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 35.56%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
PartinG vs Lilbow has a 28.88% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 28.91%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 27.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.6%. Rain vs Zest has a 24.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.5%. Life vs Polt has a 19.04% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.47%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 18.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 33.18%. Rain vs sOs has a 16.03% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.73%. Rain vs Lilbow has a 14.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 7.93%. ByuL vs Zest has a 6.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.76%. INnoVation vs sOs has a 6.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.27%. ByuL vs sOs has a 4.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.5%. Life vs sOs has a 2.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.41%.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 80.94% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 80.64%. PartinG vs sOs has a 71.09% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.09%. Rain vs Polt has a 64.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.84%. ByuL vs Classic has a 61.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 61.13%. Life vs Zest has a 46.15% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 46.55%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 38.88% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.87%. Life vs Lilbow has a 36.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 35.56%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 34.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 33.18%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
PartinG vs Lilbow has a 28.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.91%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 27.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.6%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 23.28% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 24.68%. HyuN vs herO has a 19.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 19.36%. Rain vs sOs has a 16.14% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.73%. Life vs Polt has a 12.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.47%. Rain vs Zest has a 12.53% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.5%. Rain vs Lilbow has a 7.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 7.93%. ByuL vs Zest has a 6.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.76%. Life vs sOs has a 5.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.41%. ByuL vs sOs has a 4.75% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.5%. INnoVation vs sOs has a 3.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 3.27%.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 80.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 80.64%. PartinG vs sOs has a 71.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 71.09%. ByuL vs Classic has a 61.15% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.13%. Rain vs Polt has a 59.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 61.84%. Life vs Zest has a 46.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 46.55%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 38.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.87%. Life vs Lilbow has a 34.94% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 35.56%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 31.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 33.18%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
PartinG vs Lilbow has a 28.9% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 28.91%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 27.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 27.6%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 26.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 24.68%. HyuN vs herO has a 19.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.36%. Rain vs sOs has a 17.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.73%. Rain vs Zest has a 14.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.5%. Life vs Polt has a 14.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.47%. Rain vs Lilbow has a 8.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 7.93%. ByuL vs Zest has a 7.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.76%. ByuL vs sOs has a 4.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.5%. Life vs sOs has a 3.75% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.41%. INnoVation vs sOs has a 3.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.27%.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 80.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 80.64%. ByuL vs Classic has a 61.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 61.13%. Rain vs Polt has a 54.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 61.84%. PartinG vs Lilbow has a 51.18% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.91%. Life vs Zest has a 49.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 46.55%. PartinG vs sOs has a 48.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.09%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 38.88% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.87%. Rain vs sOs has a 29.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.73%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
Polt vs INnoVation has a 27.72% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 24.68%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 27.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 33.18%. Life vs Lilbow has a 24.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 35.56%. HyuN vs herO has a 19.11% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 19.36%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 18.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 27.6%. Life vs Polt has a 18.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.47%. ByuL vs Zest has a 11.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.76%. Rain vs Zest has a 11.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.5%. ByuL vs sOs has a 7.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.5%. Life vs sOs has a 7.8% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.41%. INnoVation vs sOs has a 5.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.27%. Rain vs Lilbow has a 5.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 7.93%.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. PartinG vs sOs has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 71.09%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 80.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 80.64%. Rain vs Polt has a 71.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.84%. ByuL vs Classic has a 61.15% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.13%. Life vs Lilbow has a 49.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 35.56%. Life vs Zest has a 43.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 46.55%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 40.4% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 33.18%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 38.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.6%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
INnoVation vs Classic has a 38.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.87%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 20.75% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 24.68%. HyuN vs herO has a 19.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.36%. Rain vs Zest has a 16.55% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.5%. Rain vs Lilbow has a 11.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 7.93%. Life vs Polt has a 7.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.47%.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 80.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 80.64%. PartinG vs sOs has a 71.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 71.09%. Rain vs Polt has a 62.22% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.84%. ByuL vs Classic has a 61.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 61.13%. Life vs Zest has a 46.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 46.55%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 38.95% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.87%. Life vs Lilbow has a 36.09% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 35.56%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 33.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 33.18%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
PartinG vs Lilbow has a 28.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 28.91%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 27.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.6%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 24.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 24.68%. HyuN vs herO has a 19.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 19.36%. Rain vs sOs has a 16.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.73%. Rain vs Zest has a 13.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.5%. Life vs Polt has a 13.2% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.47%. Rain vs Lilbow has a 7.82% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 7.93%. ByuL vs Zest has a 6.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.76%. ByuL vs sOs has a 4.37% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.5%. Life vs sOs has a 4.27% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.41%. INnoVation vs sOs has a 3.2% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 3.27%.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 80.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 80.64%. PartinG vs sOs has a 70.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.09%. Rain vs Polt has a 61.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 61.84%. ByuL vs Classic has a 61.23% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.13%. Life vs Zest has a 46.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 46.55%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 38.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.87%. Life vs Lilbow has a 34.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 35.56%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 33.04% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 33.18%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
PartinG vs Lilbow has a 29.88% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.91%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 27.15% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 27.6%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 24.83% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 24.68%. HyuN vs herO has a 19.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.36%. Rain vs sOs has a 17.27% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.73%. Life vs Polt has a 13.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.47%. Rain vs Zest has a 13.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.5%. Rain vs Lilbow has a 8.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 7.93%. ByuL vs Zest has a 6.95% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.76%. ByuL vs sOs has a 4.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.5%. Life vs sOs has a 4.58% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.41%. INnoVation vs sOs has a 3.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.27%.
INnoVation vs Classic has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.87%. Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 80.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 80.64%. PartinG vs sOs has a 71.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.09%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 71.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.6%. Rain vs Polt has a 65.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.84%. Life vs Zest has a 65.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 46.55%. Life vs Polt has a 34.66% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.47%. PartinG vs Lilbow has a 28.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.91%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
HyuN vs herO has a 19.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 19.36%. Rain vs sOs has a 17.4% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.73%. ByuL vs Zest has a 17.4% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.76%. Rain vs Zest has a 17.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 13.5%. ByuL vs sOs has a 11.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.5%.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. ByuL vs Classic has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.13%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 80.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 80.64%. PartinG vs sOs has a 71.14% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 71.09%. Rain vs Polt has a 59.62% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 61.84%. Life vs Lilbow has a 58.18% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 35.56%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 54.27% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 33.18%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 40.38% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 24.68%. Life vs Zest has a 34.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 46.55%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
PartinG vs Lilbow has a 28.86% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 28.91%. HyuN vs herO has a 19.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.36%. Rain vs sOs has a 16.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 16.73%. Rain vs Lilbow has a 12.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 7.93%. Rain vs Zest has a 11.12% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.5%. Life vs sOs has a 7.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.41%. INnoVation vs sOs has a 5.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 3.27%.
Most Likely Matches (compared to earlier today after Maru vs Innovation) Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Rain vs Polt has a 81.6% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.84%. PartinG vs sOs has a 71.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.08%. ByuL vs Classic has a 62.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 61.18%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 57.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 80.69%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 50.84% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 33.2%. Life vs Lilbow has a 44.27% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 35.58%. HyuN vs herO has a 42.98% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 19.31%. Life vs Zest has a 42.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 46.54%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
INnoVation vs Classic has a 37.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 38.82%. PartinG vs Lilbow has a 28.95% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.92%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 26.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 27.59%. Rain vs sOs has a 18.4% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.7%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 11.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 24.7%. Life vs Polt has a 6.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 13.46%. ByuL vs Zest has a 6.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.71%. Life vs sOs has a 6.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.42%. ByuL vs sOs has a 3.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.51%.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Rain vs Polt has a 67.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 81.6%. ByuL vs Classic has a 62.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 62.29%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 57.56% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 57.05%. PartinG vs Lilbow has a 51.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.96%. PartinG vs sOs has a 48.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.04%. Life vs Zest has a 45.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 42.3%. HyuN vs herO has a 42.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 42.95%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 42.01% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 50.79%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
INnoVation vs Classic has a 37.66% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 37.71%. Rain vs sOs has a 32.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 18.4%. Life vs Lilbow has a 30.41% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 44.24%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 20.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 11.5%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 18.38% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 26.8%. ByuL vs Zest has a 12.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.9%. Life vs Polt has a 12.21% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.9%. Life vs sOs has a 11.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.55%. ByuL vs sOs has a 7.08% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.01%.
Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Rain vs Polt has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 81.6%. PartinG vs sOs has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 71.04%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 62.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 50.79%. Life vs Lilbow has a 62.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 44.24%. ByuL vs Classic has a 62.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 62.29%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 56.38% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 57.05%. HyuN vs herO has a 43.62% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 42.95%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 37.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 26.8%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
INnoVation vs Classic has a 37.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.71%. Life vs Zest has a 37.76% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 42.3%.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Rain vs Polt has a 83.74% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 81.6%. HyuN vs herO has a 76.75% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 42.95%. PartinG vs sOs has a 71.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 71.04%. ByuL vs Classic has a 62.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 62.29%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 52.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 50.79%. Life vs Lilbow has a 44.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 44.24%. Life vs Zest has a 41.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 42.3%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 37.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 37.71%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
PartinG vs Lilbow has a 28.95% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 28.96%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 26.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 26.8%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 23.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 57.05%. Rain vs sOs has a 16.26% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 18.4%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 10.16% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 11.5%. Life vs sOs has a 7.9% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.55%. ByuL vs Zest has a 6.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.9%. Life vs Polt has a 6.1% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.9%. ByuL vs sOs has a 4.8% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.01%.
herO vs FanTaSy has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 57.05%. Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Rain vs Polt has a 78.87% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 81.6%. PartinG vs sOs has a 71.03% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.04%. ByuL vs Classic has a 62.29% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 62.29%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 49.09% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 50.79%. Life vs Lilbow has a 44.24% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 44.24%. Life vs Zest has a 42.98% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 42.3%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 37.71% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.71%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
PartinG vs Lilbow has a 28.97% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.96%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 26.79% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 26.8%. Rain vs sOs has a 21.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 18.4%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 13.2% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 11.5%. Life vs Polt has a 7.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.9%. ByuL vs Zest has a 7.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.9%. Life vs sOs has a 4.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 6.55%. ByuL vs sOs has a 2.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 4.01%.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.71%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Rain vs Polt has a 81.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 81.6%. Life vs Zest has a 81.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 42.3%. PartinG vs sOs has a 71.08% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 71.04%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 71.08% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 26.8%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 57.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 57.05%. HyuN vs herO has a 42.98% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 42.95%. PartinG vs Lilbow has a 28.92% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 28.96%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
ByuL vs Zest has a 18.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.9%. Rain vs sOs has a 18.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 18.4%. Life vs Polt has a 18.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.9%. ByuL vs sOs has a 10.62% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 4.01%.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. ByuL vs Classic has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 62.29%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 81.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 50.79%. Rain vs Polt has a 81.54% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 81.6%. PartinG vs sOs has a 71.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 71.04%. Life vs Lilbow has a 71.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 44.24%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 57.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 57.05%. HyuN vs herO has a 42.94% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 42.95%. PartinG vs Lilbow has a 28.98% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.96%. + Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
Rain vs sOs has a 18.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 18.4%. Life vs Zest has a 18.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 42.3%. Polt vs INnoVation has a 18.46% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 11.5%. Life vs sOs has a 10.52% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.55%.
WCS Global Final bracket so far, updated after Hyun vs Reality and sOs vs Solar
Most Likely Matches (compared to before the semifinals) Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. PartinG vs sOs has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 50.26%. Rain vs Polt has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 68.38%. Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. HyuN vs herO has a 76.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 42.09%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 62.37% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 42.64%. Life vs Lilbow has a 62.37% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 31.34%. ByuL vs Classic has a 62.37% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 62.36%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 37.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 37.64%. Life vs Zest has a 37.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 45.47%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 37.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 18.92%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 23.43% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 57.91%.
Either ByuL wins GSL and I'm happy as fuck but Lilbow gets to play him and thus lose, or ByuL loses and I'm sad BUT then Lilbow has a lot of chances of playing against Life, which is a better MU. I'm torn.
With Fantasy getting 16th place, and Hyun getting 2nd place, there will be a best of 5 tie breaker match between them for the 16th seed into the WCS Global Finals! The winner will face herO in the ro16. Biggest Winners and Losers since DH Stockholm player list set, before Byul vs Dear (Sim ID #4609 vs Sim ID #4851) Biggest Winners HyuN went up by 46.68%, going from 7.99% to 54.67% sOs went up by 7.36%, going from 92.64% to 100% Rogue went up by 1.25%, going from 98.75% to 100%
Biggest Losers Dark went down by 32.33%, going from 32.33% to 0% Dear went down by 19.92%, going from 19.92% to 0% FanTaSy went down by 3.04%, going from 48.37% to 45.33%
Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! herO is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! INnoVation is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Maru is the current #4 Headband holder with 2 defenses!
Likely #1 Seeds herO has a 100% chance to be the #1 seed.
Likely #2 Seeds Maru has a 100% chance to be the #2 seed.
Likely #3 Seeds PartinG has a 100% chance to be the #3 seed.
Likely #4 Seeds Life has a 62.35% chance to be the #4 seed. ByuL has a 37.65% chance to be the #4 seed.
Likely #5 Seeds INnoVation has a 62.35% chance to be the #5 seed. Life has a 37.65% chance to be the #5 seed.
Likely #6 Seeds Rain has a 100% chance to be the #6 seed.
Likely #7 Seeds Hydra has a 100% chance to be the #7 seed.
Likely #8 Seeds ByuL has a 62.35% chance to be the #8 seed. INnoVation has a 37.65% chance to be the #8 seed.
Likely #9 Seeds Classic has a 100% chance to be the #9 seed.
Likely #10 Seeds Dream has a 100% chance to be the #10 seed.
Likely #11 Seeds Polt has a 100% chance to be the #11 seed.
Likely #12 Seeds Zest has a 100% chance to be the #12 seed.
Likely #13 Seeds Lilbow has a 100% chance to be the #13 seed.
Likely #14 Seeds sOs has a 100% chance to be the #14 seed.
Likely #15 Seeds Rogue has a 100% chance to be the #15 seed.
Likely #16 Seeds HyuN has a 54.67% chance to be the #16 seed. FanTaSy has a 45.33% chance to be the #16 seed.
Here is how the bracket looks showing all the possible players for each slot.
The winner of the Hyun vs Fantasy tie breaker will face herO. If Byul beats Innovation, then Byul faces Lilbow, Innovation faces Classic, and Life faces Zest. If Innovation beats Byul, then Byul faces Classic, Innovation faces Zest, and Life faces Lilbow.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.14%. Rain vs Polt has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.23%. PartinG vs sOs has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.74%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 45.32%. ByuL vs Classic has a 62.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 29.45%. Life vs Lilbow has a 62.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 57.44%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 62.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.13%. HyuN vs herO has a 54.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.1%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 45.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 36.44%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 37.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 20.35%. Life vs Zest has a 37.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 30.83%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 37.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.98%.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. ByuL vs Lilbow has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.65%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. INnoVation vs Classic has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.65%. Life vs Zest has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.65%. Rain vs Polt has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. PartinG vs sOs has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. HyuN vs herO has a 54.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 54.67%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 45.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 45.33%.
Dream vs Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. ByuL vs Classic has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 62.35%. Maru vs Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. INnoVation vs Zest has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 62.35%. Life vs Lilbow has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 62.35%. Rain vs Polt has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. PartinG vs sOs has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%. HyuN vs herO has a 54.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 54.67%. herO vs FanTaSy has a 45.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 45.33%.
INnoVation vs ByuLin in GSL Code S Season 3 finals. INnoVation has the #3 Headband. INnoVation is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. ByuL is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.65% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
On September 26 2015 07:21 OtherWorld wrote: And once again BlizzCon has one clearly stronger bracket over the other...
Do you really think so??? I think everything looks super sick this year :O
Yeah, the four scariest players atm (Zest, herO, ByuL, INno) are all in the top bracket. Ofc things could change and some of these four could lose momentum until BlizzCon happens.
#2 Seed, 6050 WCS Points. Facing Rogue in the WCS Global Finals Round of 16. WCS match record - Total: 29-14, vsT: 6-3, vsZ: 8-3, vsP: 15-8
Maru was the 2nd player to hit 100% after Life won GSL. Maru hit 100% on March 25th when the SSL Season 2 seeds and format were announced, just 3 days after his championship. Maru started the year at 21.27% on November 17th, and quickly passed 50% on Dec 15th when he qualified for GSL and never went back. Maru's highest placements are a 1st in SSL S1, and a 2nd in IEM Taipei, but he had many other strong placements. Even without the 2000 points from his SSL win, he would've had 4050 WCS Points, more than the final #11 seed Polt. In SSL he got a 1st place for 2000 WCS Points, an 8th place for 600 WCS Points, and a 12th place for 400 WCS Points. In GSL he got a 12th place for 400 points, 8th place for 600 points, and a 4th place for 900 points. And from WCS Partner tournaments, he got 500 points for his 2nd place at IEM Taipei, 400 at the IEM World Championships for an 8th place, and 250 points for an 8th place in KeSPA Cup 2.
I'm gonna sprinkle in some Youtube videos from SC2HL where I can, cause they're awesome.
November 2014 - From 21.27% to 22.57%, 0 WCS Points to 0, 1,050 Median Points to 1,350 Maru was not qualified for the Hot6ix Cup, so his Blizzcon Chances started off relatively low at 21.27% on November 17th.
December 2014 - From 19.73% to 54.66%, 0 WCS Points to 450, 1,250 Median Points to 2,725 Qualifying for SSL S1 took him from 19.59% to 34.6%. Then he qualified for GSL S1 going to 50.45%. Because of Maru's consistency, he did not need to qualify for SSL or GSL again for the rest of the year. When he beat Jim in SSL S1 Challenge, he went up to 61.17%.
January 2015 - From 61.32% to 83.75%, 450 WCS Points to 1,025, 3,000 Median Points to 4,125 Adding IEM Taipei with Maru confirmed to attend brought him to 73.39%. In his GSL S1 Ro32 group he beat Hack, lost to Parting, and beat First, bringing to 75.14%. At IEM Taipei he beat TRUE, Hydra, herO, and Soulkey, losing to only Parting in the ro16 and Life in an epic 4-3 finals for a 2nd place finish on February 1st, going up to 84.7%. + Show Spoiler [Maru vs Life Finals highlights] +
SC2HL didn't have a video for this so it's kind of a long video, but what else would you expect from these 2 players.
February 2015 - From 85.83% to 98.42%, 1,150 WCS Points to 1,850, 4,225 Median Points to 5,275 In SSL S1 ro16 he lost to Dream, and then beat TY and Dark, going up to 93.77%. On the 11th I added IEM Katowice, with Maru being invited he went to 96.72%. In the SSL quarterfinals Maru beat Leenock, going up to 99.44%. In the GSL ro16 he beat Parting and then lost to herO and Parting, taking him down to 98.6%. + Show Spoiler [Maru vs herO base trade] +
March 2015 - From 98.41% to 100%, 1,850 WCS Points to 3,650, 5,275 Median Points to 5,725 In the SSL semifinals, Maru beat Stats, going up to 99.74%. + Show Spoiler [Maru drops Stats] +
At IEM Katowice, Maru beat Patience in the ro16, but then lost to Dark in the quarterfinals, putting him at 99.91%. On March 22nd, Maru took his only championship this year, beating Dream in the SSL S1 finals, putting Maru at 99.99% and 3350 WCS Points. That's more WCS Points than the final #15 seed, Rogue, who just happens to be Maru's first opponent for the WCS Global Finals. On the 25th, Maru went up to 100% when the SSL S2 format was announced and Maru went from 3350 WCS Points up to 3650.
April 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 3,650 WCS Points to 3,975, 5,975 Median Points to 6,650 In April, Maru beat Billowy to advance to Code S, and in his SSL S2 ro16 group he beat Hurricane and Zest, bringing him up to 4100 WCS Points. On April 28th when I set the KeSPA Cup 1 bracket, I mistankenly took away 125 points for losing in the first round. This was fixed on July 8th when it was noticed.
May 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 3,975 WCS Points to 4,525, 6,650 Median Points to 6,400 In May, in the GSL S2 ro32, Maru beat Byul and TY, putting Maru at 4300 WCS Points (listed below as 4175 due to the bug). Then he lost to herO in the SSL S2 quarterfinals, then beat Bomber and Myungsik in the GSL ro16, going up to 4300 WCS Points.
June 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,525 WCS Points to 4,525, 6,400 Median Points to 5,900 Maru lost to Rain in the GSL S2 quarterfinals.
July 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,525 WCS Points to 5,250, 5,900 Median Points to 5,575 Maru beat Sora in SSL S3 Challenge, going up to 4900 WCS Points. On the 8th I fixed the bug with the KeSPA Cup 1 ro16. In the KeSPA Cup 2 ro16, Maru beat Impact, and then lost to Dream in the quarterfinals, bringing Maru up to 5150 WCS Points. In his SSL S3 ro16 group, Maru lost to Zest, beat Stats, and then lost to Zest again.
August 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 5,250 WCS Points to 5,450, 5,550 Median Points to 5,750 Maru won his GSL S3 ro32 group by beating Classic and Bomber, bringing him up to 5450 WCS Points. + Show Spoiler [Maru vs Classic] +
September 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 5,450 WCS Points to 6,050, 5,750 Median Points to 6,050 In the GSL S3 ro16, Maru beat hero and then Classic again, going up to 5750 WCS Points. Beating Rogue in the quarterfinals took him up to his final 6050 points, and then he lost to Innovation in the semifinals.
Maru will once again be facing Rogue in his first match of the WCS Global Finals. He will then go on to face the winner of Dream vs Hydra in the quarterfinals at Blizzcon, and is likely to face a Protoss in the semifinals.
November 2014 - From 21.27% to 22.57%, 0 WCS Points to 0, 1,050 Median Points to 1,350 Chances November WCS Points November (the blue line is Maru's WCS Points, the black line is his median points) Nov 17 - 21.27% - WCS 2015 started with Hot6ix Cup Nov 18 - going from 21.99% to 22.94%, min points 0, median points from 1,100 to 1,225 Nov 22 to Nov 25 - WCS 2015 points distribution announced, Parting replacing Rain in Hot6ix Cup, Added IEM San Jose - going from 22.97% to 23.98%, min points 0, median points from 1,225 to 1,375
December 2014 - From 19.73% to 54.66%, 0 WCS Points to 450, 1,250 Median Points to 2,725 Chances December WCS Points December Nov 30 to Dec 2 - Hot6ix Cup Quarterfinals Day 1, Swapped Hot6ix Cup bracket around - going from 22.57% to 19.73%, min points 0, median points from 1,350 to 1,250 Dec 9 to Dec 11 - SSL Season 1 Ro32 matches set, SSL qualifiers now have a large Korean bias - going from 19.59% to 34.6%, min points 0, median points from 1,300 to 1,900 Dec 12 to Dec 15 - GSL Season 1 Qualifiers - going from 34.73% to 50.45%, min points from 0 to 150, median points from 1,925 to 2,575 Dec 24 to Dec 25 - Maru beat Jim in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32, S2SL Challenge Day 4 - going from 50.73% to 61.17%, min points from 150 to 450, median points from 2,600 to 3,000 Dec 28 to Dec 31 - going from 60.26% to 54.66%, min points 450, median points from 2,950 to 2,725
January 2015 - From 61.32% to 83.75%, 450 WCS Points to 1,025, 3,000 Median Points to 4,125 Chances January WCS Points January Dec 31 to Jan 3 - going from 54.66% to 61.32%, min points 450, median points from 2,725 to 3,000 Jan 3 to Jan 4 - Added IEM Taipei - going from 61.32% to 73.39%, min points from 450 to 575, median points from 3,000 to 3,525 Jan 20 to Jan 21 - Maru beat Hack in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, Maru lost to PartinG in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, Maru beat First in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, Code S S1 ro32 group E, Harstem replacing Kas at IEM Taipei - going from 68.37% to 75.14%, min points from 575 to 775, median points from 3,375 to 3,650 Jan 29 to Jan 30 - Maru beat TRUE in IEM Taipei round of 16, Maru lost to PartinG in IEM Taipei round of 16, Maru beat Hydra in IEM Taipei round of 16, IEM Taipei Day 3 with ro16 completed, GSL S1 ro32 group D with ro32 completed - going from 73.76% to 79.2%, min points from 775 to 900, median points from 3,625 to 3,875 Jan 30 to Jan 31 - Maru beat herO in IEM Taipei quarterfinals, IEM Taipei Day 4 with quarterfinals completed - going from 79.2% to 83.75%, min points from 900 to 1,025, median points from 3,875 to 4,125
February 2015 - From 85.83% to 98.42%, 1,150 WCS Points to 1,850, 4,225 Median Points to 5,275 Chances February WCS Points February Jan 31 to Feb 1 - Maru beat Soulkey in IEM Taipei semifinals, IEM Taipei semifinals - going from 83.75% to 85.83%, min points from 1,025 to 1,150, median points from 4,125 to 4,225 Feb 1 - Maru lost to Life in IEM Taipei finals, StarTale Life wins IEM Taipei over Jinair Maru - going from 85.83% to 84.7%, min points 1,150, median points from 4,225 to 4,200 Feb 4 to Feb 5 - Maru lost to Dream in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16, Maru beat TY in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16, Maru beat Dark in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16, NSSL S1 ro16 completed and quarterfinals bracket set - going from 83.73% to 93.77%, min points from 1,150 to 1,450, median points from 4,125 to 4,875 Feb 11 - Added IEM Katowice with 8 invites - going from 94.15% to 96.72%, min points 1,450, median points from 4,950 to 5,425 Feb 11 to Feb 12 - Maru beat Leenock in StarLeague Season 1 quarterfinals, SSL S1 quaterfinals day 1 - going from 96.72% to 99.44%, min points from 1,450 to 1,750, median points from 5,425 to 6,100 Feb 13 to Feb 15 - WCS S1 Premier ro32 Group A - going from 99.45% to 99.36%, min points 1,750, median points from 6,075 to 5,950 Feb 26 to Feb 27 - Maru beat PartinG in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16, Maru lost to herO in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16, Maru lost to PartinG in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16, Code S S1 ro16 Group D, WCS Premier S1 ro32 Group G - going from 99.16% to 98.6%, min points from 1,750 to 1,850, median points from 5,850 to 5,375
March 2015 - From 98.41% to 100%, 1,850 WCS Points to 3,650, 5,275 Median Points to 5,725 Chances March WCS Points March Feb 28 to Mar 1 - WCS S1 Premier ro32 Group H - going from 98.42% to 98.41%, min points 1,850, median points 5,275 Mar 4 to Mar 5 - Maru beat Stats in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals, NSSL S1 semifinals - going from 98.42% to 99.74%, min points from 1,850 to 2,200, median points from 5,250 to 5,750 Mar 12 to Mar 13 - Maru beat Patience in IEM Katowice round of 16, IEM Katowice Day 2 - going from 99.78% to 99.97%, AFK Chances from 0.06% to 28.52%, min points from 2,200 to 2,600, median points from 5,800 to 6,100 Mar 13 to Mar 14 - Maru lost to Dark in IEM Katowice quarterfinals, IEM Katowice Quarterfinals, IEM Katowice Day 3 - going from 99.97% to 99.91%, min points 2,600, median points from 6,100 to 5,600 Mar 20 to Mar 21 - Maru beat Dream in StarLeague Season 1 finals, Jin Air Maru wins NSSL over SKT T1 Dream - going from 99.9% to 99.99%, AFK Chances from 23.81% to 99.95%, min points from 2,600 to 3,350, median points from 5,600 to 5,850 Mar 25 - NSSL S2 Challenger seeds set, Added Gfinity Spring 1 - going from 99.99% to 100%, min points from 3,350 to 3,650, median points from 5,925 to 5,875 Mar 25 to Mar 26 - NSSL S2 qualifiers - going from 100% to 100%, min points 3,650, median points from 5,875 to 5,750
April 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 3,650 WCS Points to 3,975, 5,975 Median Points to 6,650 (Maru's Blizzcon Chances graph is just a straight line now) WCS Points April Mar 31 to Apr 1 - Code A S2 Day 1, Copenhagen Day 1, Added KeSPA Cup 1 with 6 invites, removed Placeholder #20 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 3,650, median points from 5,725 to 5,975 Apr 8 to Apr 9 - Maru beat Billowy in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48, Code A S2 Day 5 and SSL S2 Challenger Day 3 - going from 99.99% to 100%, min points from 3,650 to 3,750, median points from 6,025 to 6,250 Apr 22 to Apr 23 - Maru beat Hurricane in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16, Maru beat Zest in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16, SSL S2 ro16 Group A, MC and Jaedong invited to Gfinity Spring 2, Gfinity Spring 2 added 5 more invited players - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 3,750 to 4,100, median points from 6,275 to 6,775 Apr 27 to Apr 28 - KeSPA Cup 1 bracket set - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,100 to 3,975, median points from 6,700 to 6,625
May 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 3,975 WCS Points to 4,525, 6,650 Median Points to 6,400 WCS Points May Apr 30 to May 1 - Code S S2 ro32 Group C, Gfinity Day 1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 3,975, median points 6,650 May 3 to May 4 - Maru lost to ByuL in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16, KeSPA Cup Day 2, WCS S2 ro32 groups drawn, Added Firecake, Welmu, Starnan, and Dayshi to DH Tours, removed Naniwa, Jaedong, Polt, Violet, and Showtime - going from 100% to 100%, min points 3,975, median points from 6,650 to 6,325 May 8 - Maru beat ByuL in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, Maru beat TY in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, GSL ro32 Group E and DH Tours Group Stage 1, DH Tours ro32, DH Tours ro16 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 3,975 to 4,175, median points from 6,300 to 6,575 May 20 - SSL S2 quarterfinals set - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,175, median points from 6,625 to 6,500 May 20 to May 21 - Maru lost to herO in StarLeague Season 2 quarterfinals, SSL S2 Quarterfinals Day 1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,175, median points from 6,500 to 6,000 May 26 to May 27 - Maru beat Bomber in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, Maru beat MyuNgSiK in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, Code S S2 ro16 Group A - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,175 to 4,525, median points from 6,000 to 6,350
June 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,525 WCS Points to 4,525, 6,400 Median Points to 5,900 WCS Points June May 31 to Jun 1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,525, median points 6,400 Jun 11 to Jun 12 - Maru lost to Rain in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals, Code S S2 quarterfinals day 2, GSL S3 qualifiers - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,525, median points from 6,325 to 5,950 Jun 23 to Jun 24 - KeSPA Cup 2 players finalized - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,525 to 4,400, median points from 5,925 to 6,075 Jun 24 - Fixed bug with KeSPA Cup 2 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,400 to 4,525, median points from 6,075 to 6,125 Jun 29 to Jun 30 - Added ASUS Summer with 4 players qualified, added IEM Cologne and MSI, removed 10 Placeholder tournaments, down to 7 Placeholders now, Start of WCS Wars season 3, SSL S3 Challenger matches set - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,525, median points from 6,075 to 5,900
July 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,525 WCS Points to 5,250, 5,900 Median Points to 5,575 WCS Points July Jun 30 - WCS S3 AM Qualifier #1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,525, median points 5,900 Jul 1 to Jul 2 - Maru beat Sora in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24, SSL S3 Challenger Day 1, KeSPA Cup 2 bracket set, MSI Korean qualifier, WCS S3 AM Qualifier #2 and LA Qualifier - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,525 to 4,775, median points from 5,875 to 6,150 Jul 8 - GSL S3 Code A Day 1, Fixed bug with KeSPA Cup 1 first round points, WCS S3 EU Qualifier #3, WCS S3 LA Challenger - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,775 to 4,900, median points from 6,125 to 6,250 Jul 10 to Jul 12 - Maru beat Impact in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16, Maru lost to Dream in KeSPA Cup 2 quarterfinals, KeSPA Cup 2 Day 2, WCS EU/AM Challenger matches set, IEM Shenzhen groups set with Stardust replaced by Kelazhur, WCS S3 SEA/OCE Challenger - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,900 to 5,150, median points from 6,200 to 6,175 Jul 22 to Jul 23 - Maru lost to Zest in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16, Maru beat Stats in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16, Maru lost to Zest in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16, SSL S3 Group D, WCS S3 Challenger NA Day 2 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 5,150 to 5,250, median points from 6,075 to 5,750
August 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 5,250 WCS Points to 5,450, 5,550 Median Points to 5,750 WCS Points August Jul 31 to Aug 1 - MSI Masters 6 invites and player list locked - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,250, median points from 5,575 to 5,550 Aug 4 to Aug 5 - Maru beat Classic in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, Maru beat Bomber in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, Code S S3 ro32 group b, IEM Gamescom Open Bracket - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 5,250 to 5,450, median points from 5,550 to 5,750
September 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 5,450 WCS Points to 6,050, 5,750 Median Points to 6,050 WCS Points September Aug 31 to Sep 1 - Fixes for 50 points from WCS Challenger for uThermal and elfi - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,450, median points 5,750 Sep 3 to Sep 4 - Maru beat herO in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16, Maru beat Classic in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16, Code S S3 Ro16 Group B - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 5,450 to 5,750, median points from 5,750 to 6,050 Sep 17 to Sep 19 - Maru beat Rogue in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals, Code S S3 Quarterfinals Day 2, DH Stockholm player list set, Added ForGG to DreamHack Stockholm - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 5,750 to 6,050, median points 6,050 Sep 24 to Sep 25 - Maru lost to INnoVation in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals, Code S S3 Semfinal 2, Innovation beat Maru, DH Stockholm quarterfinals half completed, DH Stockholm quarterfinals completed, DH Stockholm semifinals completed, Samsung Solar wins DH Stockholm over ROCCAT HyuN - going from 100% to 100%, min points 6,050, median points 6,050
Dec 25: Maru beat Jim in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32 Jan 21: Maru beat Hack in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32 Jan 21: Maru lost to PartinG in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32 Jan 21: Maru beat First in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32 Jan 29: Maru beat TRUE in IEM Taipei round of 16 Jan 29: Maru lost to PartinG in IEM Taipei round of 16 Jan 29: Maru beat Hydra in IEM Taipei round of 16 Jan 30: Maru beat herO in IEM Taipei quarterfinals Jan 31: Maru beat Soulkey in IEM Taipei semifinals Feb 1: Maru lost to Life in IEM Taipei finals Feb 5: Maru lost to Dream in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16 Feb 5: Maru beat TY in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16 Feb 5: Maru beat Dark in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16 Feb 12: Maru beat Leenock in StarLeague Season 1 quarterfinals Feb 27: Maru beat PartinG in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16 Feb 27: Maru lost to herO in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16 Feb 27: Maru lost to PartinG in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16 Mar 5: Maru beat Stats in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals Mar 13: Maru beat Patience in IEM Katowice round of 16 Mar 14: Maru lost to Dark in IEM Katowice quarterfinals Mar 21: Maru beat Dream in StarLeague Season 1 finals Apr 9: Maru beat Billowy in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48 Apr 23: Maru beat Hurricane in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16 Apr 23: Maru beat Zest in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16 May 4: Maru lost to ByuL in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16 May 8: Maru beat ByuL in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32 May 8: Maru beat TY in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32 May 21: Maru lost to herO in StarLeague Season 2 quarterfinals May 27: Maru beat Bomber in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16 May 27: Maru beat MyuNgSiK in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16 Jun 12: Maru lost to Rain in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals Jul 2: Maru beat Sora in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24 Jul 11: Maru beat Impact in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16 Jul 11: Maru lost to Dream in KeSPA Cup 2 quarterfinals Jul 23: Maru lost to Zest in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16 Jul 23: Maru beat Stats in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16 Jul 23: Maru lost to Zest in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16 Aug 5: Maru beat Classic in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32 Aug 5: Maru beat Bomber in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32 Sep 4: Maru beat herO in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16 Sep 4: Maru beat Classic in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16 Sep 18: Maru beat Rogue in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals Sep 25: Maru lost to INnoVation in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals
#3 Seed, 5850 WCS Points. Facing sOs in the WCS Global Finals Round of 16. WCS match record - Total: 50-18, vsT: 18-6, vsZ: 17-7, vsP: 15-5
Parting was the 4th player to hit 100%, doing so by winning DreamHack Tours over Gumiho on May 9th. Parting passed the 50% mark when he qualified for SSL and never fell below it again, since by the time he lost in SSL he had already qualified for GSL. In GSL Parting got a 2nd place for 1250 WCS Points, an 8th place for 600 points, and a 16th place for 300 points along with his Parting award for 10 consecutive seasons of top 16 in GSL. In SSL he got a 32nd place for no points in season 1, a 12th place for 400 points, and he did not qualify for season 3. For WCS Partner tournaments, Parting got 250 points from 8th place at Hot6ix Cup, 375 from his 4th place at IEM Taipei, 300 from winning Gfinity 1, 300 from winning Copenhagen Games, 750 from winning DreamHack Tours, 300 from winning 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament, 500 from a 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen, 150 from a 4th place in 4Gamers, and 375 from 4th place at MSI Masters. That's 3300 WCS Points from WCS Partners, and 2550 from GSL/SSL. Even without his 2nd place in GSL he'd still be at 4600 WCS Points, still more than the current #8 seed Innovation (Innovation could go up with his finals match vs Byul). In fact he would've qualified ahead of Fantasy/Hyun even without any points from GSL/SSL, and even if you take away his 250 points from Hot6ix Cup on top of that.
November 2014 - From 43.89% to 47.64%, 0 WCS Points to 250, 1,725 Median Points to 2,250 Parting started up at 43.89%, partly because he was invited into the Hot6ix Cup. When Parting lost his Hot6ix group to Bbyong and Zest, only beating Terminator, he went from 52.18% down to 43.44%. Then Rain forfeited his spot, with Parting as his replacement he went back up to 50.47%.
December 2014 - From 37.17% to 58.05%, 250 WCS Points to 400, 1,875 Median Points to 2,875 Parting wasn't able to do much with Rain's spot though, and he lost to his old rival MarineKing in the quarterfinals, falling down to 37.17%. When he qualified for SSL, with an easy 2-0 rematch over MarineKing, he went up to 58.13%. And then his GSL qualification, over Rogue and soO, took him up to 77.08%. In SSL Challenge, Parting lost to Dark and went down to 57.54%.
January 2015 - From 55.73% to 81.3%, 400 WCS Points to 975, 2,800 Median Points to 3,975 Parting was invited to IEM Taipei, going up to 65.82%. Parting advanced from his GSL ro32 group beating First and Maru, now up to 73.37%. Then at IEM Taipei, he advanced from the ro16 by beating Hydra and Maru again, up to 77.95%. In the IEM Taipei quarterfinals, he beat Classic and went up to 81.3%, and then in the semifinals he lost to Life and went back down to 74.82%. + Show Spoiler [Parting vs Classic] +
February 2015 - From 74.82% to 77.42%, 975 WCS Points to 1,375, 3,625 Median Points to 3,625 At the end of February, Parting lost to Maru in GSL S1 ro16, but then came back beating MC and Maru, going from 63.96% to 74.86%.
March 2015 - From 77.43% to 99.35%, 1,375 WCS Points to 2,375, 3,625 Median Points to 5,425 In the GSL quarterfinals, Parting beat Solar 3-2, going up to 89.73%. Then Parting beat the surprise semifinalist, MMA, 4-1, bringing Parting to 95.18% Blizzcon Chances. Parting lost in a tense finals against Life 3-4, going back down to 92.51%. On the 26th, Parting qualified for SSL S2, bringing him up to 96.32%. At Gfinity Spring, Parting won the tournament while going undefeated, beating TRUE, Snute, Soulkey, Rain, and Hydra, with a 13-4 map score total. This brought him up to 98.91%.
April 2015 - From 99.75% to 99.95%, 2,325 WCS Points to 3,225, 5,750 Median Points to 5,450 Parting's seeding into KeSPA Cup 1 brought him up to 99.75%. In Copenhagen Spring, Parting won another tournament going undefeated. This time with a 17-1 map score beating PappiJoe, Ryung, Targa, SuperNova, elfi, Ryung again, and then Fantasy in the finals, with the only map dropped being to Ryung in the semifinals. This makes another trophy and another 300 WCS Points in less than a week since he won Gfinity, and brought him up to 99.87% Blizzcon Chances. For Parting's SSL S2 "Challenge" match, he beat MacSed 3-0, going up to 99.95%. As before in the Maru retrospective, on April 28th I introducted the bug with KeSPA Cup 1 that subtracted extra WCS Points from the first round losers. Parting's chances were high enough that this did not have a huge effect on him, bringing him down to 99.83%. In his GSL ro32 group, Parting beat Ragnarok, lost to Myungsik, then beat Dark. This brought him up to 99.97% and 3225 WCS Points (showed as 3000 due to the KeSPA Cup bug). + Show Spoiler [Parting losing crazy game to Myungsik] +
In SSL Parting lost his ro16 PvP group, losing to herO, beating Dear, and then losing to herO again. This brought him down to 99.95% and 3225 WCS Points.
May 2015 - From 99.94% to 100%, 3,225 WCS Points to 4,475, 5,450 Median Points to 6,775 Parting lost to Soulkey in the first round of KeSPA Cup 1 2-3. Due to a bug that mixed up Gfinity Spring 1 and 2, Parting went up to 99.99% and 3400 WCS Points, when it should've been 3225 WCS Points. At DreamHack Tours, Parting again went undefeated beating White-Ra, uThermal, Zanster, Mana, Rain, Hyun, and then Gumiho in the finals, for a total 17-3 map score. This brought Parting up to 100% and 3975 WCS Points. + Show Spoiler [Parting at DreamHack Tours] +
Back in GSL for the ro16, Parting beat Gumiho and Rogue, bringing him up to 4400 WCS Points. In the 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament, Parting beat cheetos in the ro16, and Bistork in the quarterfinals, going up to 4475 WCS Points.
June 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,475 WCS Points to 4,625, 6,775 Median Points to 5,675 In the GSL S2 quarterfinals, Parting lost a close 2-3 to Byul, staying at 4475 WCS Points. Then in the 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament, Parting beat San in the semifinals and Leenock in the finals, going up to 4625 WCS Points.
July 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,625 WCS Points to 5,125, 5,675 Median Points to 5,625 Early in July I fixed the bugs with KeSPA Cup 1 and Gfinity, putting Parting back at his proper 4625 WCS Points. At IEM Shenzhen Parting Kelazhur, XY, uThermal, and TY, then lost to Classic in the finals. This put Parting at 5125 WCS Points.
August 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 5,125 WCS Points to 5,850, 5,925 Median Points to 6,225 At 4Gamers Parting beat Nado in the ro16 and Has in the quarterfinals, now up to 5275 WCS Points. In GSL S3 ro32 he lost to sKyHigh, but then came back beating MMA and sKyHigh to advance, going up to 5475 WCS Points. At MSI Masters, Parting beat Ian and FireCake in the ro16, then beat Hydra in the quarterfinals, and lost to Solar in the semifinals, ending up to 5850 WCS Points.
September 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 5,850 WCS Points to 5,850, 6,225 Median Points to 5,850 In the 4Gamers semifinals, Parting lost to Hyun. Then in his GSL ro16 group he lost to Gumiho and Flash, ending the year at 5850 WCS Points.
November 2014 - From 43.89% to 47.64%, 0 WCS Points to 250, 1,725 Median Points to 2,250 Chances November WCS Points November (the blue line is Parting's WCS Points, the black line is his median points) Nov 17 - 43.89% - WCS 2015 started with Hot6ix Cup Nov 18 - going from 45.63% to 51.86%, min points 0, median points from 1,750 to 2,050 Nov 20 to Nov 21 - PartinG lost to Bbyong in Hot6ix Cup round of 16, PartinG beat Terminator in Hot6ix Cup round of 16, PartinG lost to Zest in Hot6ix Cup round of 16, Hot6ix Cup Quarterfinals set - going from 52.18% to 43.44%, min points 0, median points from 2,050 to 1,750 Nov 22 to Nov 25 - WCS 2015 points distribution announced, Parting replacing Rain in Hot6ix Cup, Added IEM San Jose - going from 41.32% to 50.47%, min points from 0 to 250, median points from 1,700 to 2,350
December 2014 - From 37.17% to 58.05%, 250 WCS Points to 400, 1,875 Median Points to 2,875 Chances December WCS Points December Nov 30 to Dec 2 - PartinG lost to MarineKing in Hot6ix Cup quarterfinals, Hot6ix Cup Quarterfinals Day 1, Swapped Hot6ix Cup bracket around - going from 47.64% to 37.17%, min points 250, median points from 2,250 to 1,875 Dec 9 to Dec 11 - SSL Season 1 Ro32 matches set, SSL qualifiers now have a large Korean bias - going from 37.89% to 58.13%, min points 250, median points from 1,975 to 2,850 Dec 12 to Dec 15 - GSL Season 1 Qualifiers - going from 59.73% to 77.08%, min points from 250 to 400, median points from 2,925 to 3,850 Dec 17 to Dec 18 - SSL S1 Challenge Day 2 - going from 75.12% to 77.59%, min points 400, median points from 3,750 to 3,925 Dec 19 to Dec 21 - going from 77.65% to 82.61%, min points 400, median points from 3,925 to 4,325 Dec 21 to Dec 23 - going from 82.61% to 79.96%, min points 400, median points from 4,325 to 4,100 Dec 23 to Dec 24 - S2SL S1 Challenge Day 3, GSL S1 Ro32 Groups Drawn - going from 79.96% to 82.9%, min points 400, median points from 4,100 to 4,375 Dec 24 to Dec 25 - PartinG lost to Dark in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32, S2SL Challenge Day 4 - going from 82.9% to 57.54%, min points 400, median points from 4,375 to 2,850
January 2015 - From 55.73% to 81.3%, 400 WCS Points to 975, 2,800 Median Points to 3,975 Chances January WCS Points January Dec 31 to Jan 4 - Added IEM Taipei - going from 58.05% to 55.73%, min points 400, median points from 2,875 to 2,800 Jan 10 to Jan 11 - Added 3 wildcards for IEM Taipei, WCS S1 SEA/OCE Qualifier - going from 54.62% to 65.82%, min points 400, median points from 2,850 to 3,300 Jan 20 to Jan 21 - PartinG beat First in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, PartinG beat Maru in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, Code S S1 ro32 group E, Harstem replacing Kas at IEM Taipei - going from 62.89% to 73.37%, min points from 400 to 600, median points from 3,150 to 3,575 Jan 29 to Jan 30 - PartinG beat Hydra in IEM Taipei round of 16, PartinG beat Maru in IEM Taipei round of 16, IEM Taipei Day 3 with ro16 completed, GSL S1 ro32 group D with ro32 completed - going from 70.76% to 77.95%, min points from 600 to 850, median points from 3,475 to 3,800 Jan 30 to Jan 31 - PartinG beat Classic in IEM Taipei quarterfinals, IEM Taipei Day 4 with quarterfinals completed - going from 77.95% to 81.3%, min points from 850 to 975, median points from 3,800 to 3,975
February 2015 - From 74.82% to 77.42%, 975 WCS Points to 1,375, 3,625 Median Points to 3,625 Chances February WCS Points February Jan 31 to Feb 1 - PartinG lost to Life in IEM Taipei semifinals, IEM Taipei semifinals, StarTale Life wins IEM Taipei over Jinair Maru - going from 81.3% to 74.82%, min points 975, median points from 3,975 to 3,625 Feb 23 to Feb 25 - IEM Katowice Qualifiers, Code S S1 ro16 Group C - going from 68.6% to 63.47%, min points 975, median points from 3,325 to 3,175 Feb 26 to Feb 27 - PartinG lost to Maru in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16, PartinG beat MC in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16, PartinG beat Maru in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16, Code S S1 ro16 Group D, WCS Premier S1 ro32 Group G - going from 63.96% to 74.86%, min points from 975 to 1,375, median points from 3,175 to 3,500 Feb 27 to Feb 28 - going from 74.86% to 77.42%, min points 1,375, median points from 3,500 to 3,625
March 2015 - From 77.43% to 99.35%, 1,375 WCS Points to 2,375, 3,625 Median Points to 5,425 Chances March WCS Points March Feb 28 to Mar 1 - WCS S1 Premier ro32 Group H - going from 77.42% to 77.43%, min points 1,375, median points 3,625 Mar 3 to Mar 4 - PartinG beat Solar in GSL Code S Season 1 quarterfinals, GSL S2 Qualifiers and Code S S1 Quarterfinals Day 1 - going from 78.84% to 89.73%, min points from 1,375 to 1,675, median points from 3,725 to 4,175 Mar 10 to Mar 11 - PartinG beat MMA in GSL Code S Season 1 semifinals, After Code S S1 Semifinals Day 1 - going from 89.85% to 95.18%, min points from 1,675 to 2,025, median points from 4,175 to 4,425 Mar 21 to Mar 22 - PartinG lost to Life in GSL Code S Season 1 finals, KT Life wins Code S S1 over Yoe Parting, Added 7 more notable participants for Copenhagen Spring - going from 94.72% to 92.51%, min points 2,025, median points from 4,425 to 4,175 Mar 25 - NSSL S2 Challenger seeds set, Added Gfinity Spring 1 - going from 92.39% to 92.65%, min points 2,025, median points from 4,175 to 4,100 Mar 25 to Mar 26 - NSSL S2 qualifiers - going from 92.65% to 96.32%, min points from 2,025 to 2,075, median points from 4,100 to 4,650 Mar 26 to Mar 27 - going from 96.32% to 96.83%, min points 2,075, median points from 4,650 to 4,775 Mar 27 to Mar 28 - PartinG beat TRUE in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16, PartinG beat Snute in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16, Gfinity Spring 1 Day 1 - going from 96.83% to 96.82%, min points 2,075, median points from 4,775 to 4,750 Mar 28 to Mar 29 - Gfinity Spring 1 Day 2 - going from 96.82% to 97.75%, min points from 2,075 to 2,175, median points from 4,750 to 4,950 Mar 29 - PartinG beat Soulkey in Gfinity Spring 1 quarterfinals, PartinG beat Rain in Gfinity Spring 1 semifinals, PartinG beat Hydra in Gfinity Spring 1 finals, Yoe Parting wins Gfinity Spring 1 over ROOT Hydra - going from 97.75% to 98.91%, AFK Chances from 0% to 1.39%, min points from 2,175 to 2,375, median points from 4,950 to 5,225 Mar 30 - NSSL S2 Challenger matches set - going from 98.91% to 99.32%, min points 2,375, median points from 5,225 to 5,425
April 2015 - From 99.75% to 99.95%, 2,375 WCS Points to 3,100, 5,750 Median Points to 5,450 Chances April WCS Points April Mar 31 to Apr 1 - Code A S2 Day 1, Copenhagen Day 1, Added KeSPA Cup 1 with 6 invites, removed Placeholder #20 - going from 99.35% to 99.75%, min points 2,375, median points from 5,425 to 5,750 Apr 1 to Apr 2 - PartinG beat PappiJoe in Copenhagen Spring round of 32, PartinG beat Ryung in Copenhagen Spring round of 32, Code A S2 Day 2, SSL Challenger S2 Day 1 - going from 99.75% to 99.77%, min points 2,375, median points 5,750 Apr 2 - PartinG beat TargA in Copenhagen Spring round of 16, PartinG beat SuperNova in Copenhagen Spring round of 16, Copenhagen Spring Day 2 - going from 99.77% to 99.84%, AFK Chances from 1.86% to 4.54%, min points from 2,375 to 2,475, median points from 5,750 to 5,925 Apr 2 to Apr 3 - PartinG beat elfi in Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals, Code A S2 Day 3, SSL S2 Challenger Day 2 - going from 99.84% to 99.83%, min points 2,475, median points 5,925 Apr 3 - Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals - going from 99.83% to 99.87%, min points from 2,475 to 2,525, median points from 5,925 to 5,950 Apr 3 - PartinG beat Ryung in Copenhagen Spring semifinals, PartinG beat FanTaSy in Copenhagen Spring finals, WCS S1 ro16 Day 1 and Yoe Parting wins Copenhagen Spring over dPix Fantasy, Fixed points distribution for WCS, WCS Champion seeded into Premier - going from 99.87% to 99.87%, AFK Chances from 7.87% to 21.33%, min points from 2,525 to 2,675, median points from 5,950 to 6,075 Apr 5 to Apr 6 - Added 3 Gfinity tournaments, set WCS S2 China qualified players, Added Placeholder #20, Start of WCS Wars Season 2 - going from 99.83% to 99.82%, AFK Chances from 18.72% to 11.68%, min points 2,675, median points from 6,000 to 6,100 Apr 7 to Apr 8 - Code A S2 Day 4, First 4 qualified players for Gfinity Spring 2 - going from 99.81% to 99.76%, min points 2,675, median points from 6,100 to 5,850 Apr 9 to Apr 10 - PartinG beat MacSed in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24, SSL S2 Challenger Day 4 and Code A S2 Day 6, DreamHack Tours first 84 players, KeSPA Cup 1 EU qualifiers, Jaedong moved to NA region, KeSPA Cup 1 AM qualifier - going from 99.73% to 99.95%, AFK Chances from 11.83% to 45%, min points from 2,675 to 2,925, median points from 5,800 to 6,225 Apr 27 to Apr 28 - KeSPA Cup 1 bracket set - going from 99.91% to 99.83%, AFK Chances from 45.34% to 18.93%, min points from 2,925 to 2,800, median points from 5,950 to 5,900 Apr 29 - PartinG beat RagnaroK in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, PartinG lost to MyuNgSiK in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, PartinG beat Dark in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, Code S S2 ro32 Group B, Gfinity Spring 2 groups set, WCS S2 EU Challenger Day 2, WCS S2 LA Challenger - going from 99.82% to 99.97%, AFK Chances from 23.35% to 63.43%, min points from 2,800 to 3,000, median points from 5,900 to 6,175 Apr 29 to Apr 30 - PartinG lost to herO in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16, PartinG beat Dear in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16, PartinG lost to herO in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16, SSL S2 ro16 Group D, WCS S2 EU Challenger Day 3, New simulator - going from 99.97% to 99.95%, AFK Chances from 63.43% to 82.48%, min points from 3,000 to 3,100, median points from 6,175 to 5,450
May 2015 - From 99.94% to 100%, 3,100 WCS Points to 4,575, 5,450 Median Points to 6,775 Chances May WCS Points May Apr 30 to May 1 - Code S S2 ro32 Group C, Gfinity Day 1 - going from 99.95% to 99.94%, min points 3,100, median points 5,450 May 2 to May 3 - PartinG lost to Soulkey in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16, KeSPA Cup Day 1 and Gfinity Spring 2 completed - going from 99.94% to 99.99%, min points from 3,100 to 3,400, median points from 5,450 to 5,375 May 8 - PartinG beat White-Ra in DreamHack Tours round of 64, PartinG beat uThermal in DreamHack Tours round of 64, GSL ro32 Group E and DH Tours Group Stage 1 - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points 3,400, median points 5,425 May 8 - PartinG beat Zanster in DreamHack Tours round of 32, DH Tours ro32 - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points from 3,400 to 3,525, median points from 5,425 to 5,500 May 8 to May 9 - PartinG beat MaNa in DreamHack Tours round of 16, DH Tours ro16 - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points from 3,525 to 3,650, median points from 5,500 to 5,600 May 9 - PartinG beat Rain in DreamHack Tours quarterfinals - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points from 3,650 to 3,775, median points from 5,600 to 5,750 May 9 to May 10 - PartinG beat HyuN in DreamHack Tours semifinals, PartinG beat GuMiho in DreamHack Tours finals - going from 99.99% to 100%, min points from 3,775 to 4,150, median points from 5,750 to 6,025 May 18 - Added first 5 players for Gfinity Summer 1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,150 to 4,075, median points from 6,000 to 6,100 May 25 to May 26 - Added 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament, removed Placeholder Tournament #20 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,075 to 4,150, median points from 6,125 to 6,300 May 28 to May 29 - PartinG beat GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, PartinG beat Rogue in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, Code S S2 Ro16 Group D, WCS Premier S2 Ro32 Group F - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,150 to 4,500, median points from 6,325 to 6,775 May 30 to May 31 - PartinG beat cheetos in 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament round of 16, PartinG beat Bistork in 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament quarterfinals, 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament Quarterfinals, WCS S2 Premier Ro32 Group H, WCS Premier S2 Ro16 Groups Drawn - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,500 to 4,575, median points 6,775
June 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,575 WCS Points to 4,725, 6,775 Median Points to 5,675 (Parting's Blizzcon Chances is just a straight line at 100% now) WCS Points June May 31 to Jun 1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,575, median points 6,775 Jun 9 to Jun 10 - PartinG lost to ByuL in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals, Code S S2 quarterfinals day 1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,575, median points from 6,750 to 6,125 Jun 12 to Jun 13 - PartinG beat San in 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament semifinals, PartinG beat Leenock in 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament finals, Yoe Parting wins HK Esports Tournament 3 over Yoe Leenock - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,575 to 4,725, median points from 6,125 to 6,175 Jun 24 to Jun 25 - SSL S3 qualifiers and seeds - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,725, median points from 6,125 to 5,900 Jun 29 to Jun 30 - Added ASUS Summer with 4 players qualified, added IEM Cologne and MSI, removed 10 Placeholder tournaments, down to 7 Placeholders now, Start of WCS Wars season 3, SSL S3 Challenger matches set - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,725, median points from 5,900 to 5,675
July 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,725 WCS Points to 5,125, 5,675 Median Points to 5,625 WCS Points July Jun 30 - WCS S3 AM Qualifier #1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,725, median points 5,675 Jul 8 - GSL S3 Code A Day 1, Fixed bug with KeSPA Cup 1 first round points, WCS S3 EU Qualifier #3, WCS S3 LA Challenger - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,725 to 4,850, median points from 5,600 to 5,725 Jul 9 to Jul 10 - MSI EU Qualifier, MSI reduced to 16 players and Gfinity 1+2 bug fixes, ASUS Qualifier #4, more bug fixes, removed WCS Points given to seeded players who lose in SSL Challenger, WCS S3 AM Qualifier #4, SSL S3 Challenge Day 4, Code A S3 Day 3 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,850 to 4,625, median points from 5,725 to 5,425 Jul 11 to Jul 12 - WCS EU/AM Challenger matches set, IEM Shenzhen groups set with Stardust replaced by Kelazhur, WCS S3 SEA/OCE Challenger, KeSPA Cup 2 semifinals, SKT T1 soO wins KeSPA Cup 2 over SKT T1 Dark - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,625, median points from 5,425 to 5,800 Jul 17 to Jul 18 - PartinG beat Kelazhur in IEM Shenzhen round of 16, PartinG beat XY in IEM Shenzhen round of 16, IEM Shenzhen Day 3 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,625 to 4,875, median points from 5,750 to 5,800 Jul 18 - PartinG beat uThermal in IEM Shenzhen quarterfinals, IEM Shenzhen quarterfinals - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,875 to 5,000, median points from 5,800 to 5,900 Jul 18 to Jul 19 - PartinG beat TY in IEM Shenzhen semifinals, IEM Shenzhen semifinals - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 5,000 to 5,125, median points from 5,900 to 5,975 Jul 19 - PartinG lost to Classic in IEM Shenzhen finals, SKT T1 Classic wins IEM Shenzhen over Yoe PartinG, WCS S3 TW Qualifier, WCS S3 TW Challenger - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,125, median points from 5,975 to 5,850 Jul 21 - Gfinity Summer 1 no longer giving WCS Points - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,125, median points from 5,850 to 5,675
August 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 5,125 WCS Points to 5,850, 5,925 Median Points to 6,225 WCS Points August Jul 31 to Aug 1 - MSI Masters 6 invites and player list locked - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,125, median points from 5,625 to 5,925 Aug 7 - PartinG beat Nado in 4Gamers round of 16, Code S S3 ro32 Group C, IEM Gamescom Day 3 and quarterfinals bracket set - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,125, median points 5,875 Aug 7 to Aug 8 - Added 4Gamers tournament, removed Placeholder #4, IEM Gamescom Day 4, 4Gamers ro16 Day 2 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 5,125 to 5,225, median points from 5,875 to 6,025 Aug 9 - PartinG beat Has in 4Gamers quarterfinals, IEM Gamescom semifinals, SKT T1 INnoVation wins IEM Gamescom over SKT T1 soO, 4Gamers quarterfinals - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 5,225 to 5,275, median points from 6,025 to 6,050 Aug 20 to Aug 22 - PartinG lost to sKyHigh in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, PartinG beat MMA in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, PartinG beat sKyHigh in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, Code S S3 Ro32 Group G - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 5,275 to 5,475, median points from 6,000 to 6,125 Aug 29 to Aug 30 - PartinG beat Ian in MSI Masters round of 16, PartinG beat FireCake in MSI Masters round of 16, PartinG beat Hydra in MSI Masters quarterfinals, MSI Masters Day 1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 5,475 to 5,850, median points from 6,150 to 6,375 Aug 30 to Aug 31 - PartinG lost to Solar in MSI Masters semifinals, MSI Masters semifinals, Jin Air sOs wins MSI Masters over Samsung Solar - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,850, median points from 6,375 to 6,225
September 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 5,850 WCS Points to 5,850, 6,225 Median Points to 5,850 WCS Points September Aug 31 to Sep 1 - Fixes for 50 points from WCS Challenger for uThermal and elfi - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,850, median points 6,225 Sep 4 to Sep 5 - PartinG lost to HyuN in 4Gamers semifinals, ROCCAT HyuN wins 4Gamers over SBENU Bomber, Elazer replacing Hitman in WCS S3 Ro16, Removed all Placeholder tournaments - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,850, median points from 6,200 to 6,150 Sep 10 to Sep 11 - PartinG lost to GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16, PartinG lost to Flash in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16, Code S S3 Ro16 Group D - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,850, median points from 6,150 to 5,850
Nov 21: PartinG lost to Bbyong in Hot6ix Cup round of 16 Nov 21: PartinG beat Terminator in Hot6ix Cup round of 16 Nov 21: PartinG lost to Zest in Hot6ix Cup round of 16 Dec 2: PartinG lost to MarineKing in Hot6ix Cup quarterfinals Dec 25: PartinG lost to Dark in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32 Jan 21: PartinG beat First in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32 Jan 21: PartinG beat Maru in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32 Jan 29: PartinG beat Hydra in IEM Taipei round of 16 Jan 29: PartinG beat Maru in IEM Taipei round of 16 Jan 30: PartinG beat Classic in IEM Taipei quarterfinals Jan 31: PartinG lost to Life in IEM Taipei semifinals Feb 27: PartinG lost to Maru in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16 Feb 27: PartinG beat MC in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16 Feb 27: PartinG beat Maru in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16 Mar 4: PartinG beat Solar in GSL Code S Season 1 quarterfinals Mar 11: PartinG beat MMA in GSL Code S Season 1 semifinals Mar 22: PartinG lost to Life in GSL Code S Season 1 finals Mar 27: PartinG beat TRUE in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16 Mar 27: PartinG beat Snute in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16 Mar 29: PartinG beat Soulkey in Gfinity Spring 1 quarterfinals Mar 29: PartinG beat Rain in Gfinity Spring 1 semifinals Mar 29: PartinG beat Hydra in Gfinity Spring 1 finals Apr 2: PartinG beat PappiJoe in Copenhagen Spring round of 32 Apr 2: PartinG beat Ryung in Copenhagen Spring round of 32 Apr 2: PartinG beat TargA in Copenhagen Spring round of 16 Apr 2: PartinG beat SuperNova in Copenhagen Spring round of 16 Apr 3: PartinG beat elfi in Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals Apr 3: PartinG beat Ryung in Copenhagen Spring semifinals Apr 3: PartinG beat FanTaSy in Copenhagen Spring finals Apr 10: PartinG beat MacSed in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24 Apr 29: PartinG beat RagnaroK in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32 Apr 29: PartinG lost to MyuNgSiK in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32 Apr 29: PartinG beat Dark in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32 Apr 30: PartinG lost to herO in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16 Apr 30: PartinG beat Dear in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16 Apr 30: PartinG lost to herO in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16 May 3: PartinG lost to Soulkey in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16 May 8: PartinG beat White-Ra in DreamHack Tours round of 64 May 8: PartinG beat uThermal in DreamHack Tours round of 64 May 8: PartinG beat Zanster in DreamHack Tours round of 32 May 8: PartinG beat MaNa in DreamHack Tours round of 16 May 9: PartinG beat Rain in DreamHack Tours quarterfinals May 9: PartinG beat HyuN in DreamHack Tours semifinals May 9: PartinG beat GuMiho in DreamHack Tours finals May 29: PartinG beat GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16 May 29: PartinG beat Rogue in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16 May 31: PartinG beat cheetos in 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament round of 16 May 31: PartinG beat Bistork in 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament quarterfinals Jun 10: PartinG lost to ByuL in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals Jun 13: PartinG beat San in 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament semifinals Jun 13: PartinG beat Leenock in 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament finals Jul 17: PartinG beat Kelazhur in IEM Shenzhen round of 16 Jul 17: PartinG beat XY in IEM Shenzhen round of 16 Jul 18: PartinG beat uThermal in IEM Shenzhen quarterfinals Jul 19: PartinG beat TY in IEM Shenzhen semifinals Jul 19: PartinG lost to Classic in IEM Shenzhen finals Aug 7: PartinG beat Nado in 4Gamers round of 16 Aug 9: PartinG beat Has in 4Gamers quarterfinals Aug 21: PartinG lost to sKyHigh in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32 Aug 21: PartinG beat MMA in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32 Aug 21: PartinG beat sKyHigh in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32 Aug 30: PartinG beat Ian in MSI Masters round of 16 Aug 30: PartinG beat FireCake in MSI Masters round of 16 Aug 30: PartinG beat Hydra in MSI Masters quarterfinals Aug 31: PartinG lost to Solar in MSI Masters semifinals Sep 5: PartinG lost to HyuN in 4Gamers semifinals Sep 11: PartinG lost to GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16 Sep 11: PartinG lost to Flash in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The Biggest Surprises of WCS 2015 Thursday, Oct 01 5:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4857)
If you didn't read my previous articles, these stats are calculated by WCS Predictor, which simulates every match in every tournament that gives WCS Points millions of times. Blizzcon Chances are the chances to qualify in the top 16 for Blizzcon, as rated by WCS Predictor.
Tied at DreamHack
At DreamHack Stockholm, in the round of 16, we had Fantasy vs Hyun. Both players flew to the event to pick up their last WCS Points and secure their Blizzcon Chances. If Fantasy lost then he would be knocked down to just 36.09% Blizzcon Chances; if Fantasy lost and Dark had won his match, then Fantasy would've been down to 0%. If Hyun lost then he'd have been knocked down to 0% as he needed at least a 2nd place. Hyun getting a 2nd place would tie him with Fantasy, but Dark could still pass them, and a 1st place would've put Hyun at 100%. People have been counting out Hyun all year long, saying he only made it previously by competing in the easier WCS America. He made the SSL round of 16 twice this year, but still most of his points came from strong performances in international tournaments. Then Hyun defeated Fantasy 2-0, showing how much he wanted to make to Blizzcon. Dark lost to Leenock, and sOs beat Harstem, meaning only Fantasy and Hyun had uncertain Blizzcon Chances. Against Rain, again people counted out Hyun, until he won 3-1. Hyun was facing Reality in the semifinals. Fantasy knew that Hyun would tie him with a 2nd place, and knock him out of the WCS Global Finals if he got 1st place. Hyun again won 3-1. Hyun's killing spree was ended in the finals by Solar with a 3-1 score. Now both Hyun and Fantasy can only practice as hype builds for their tie breaker match to determine who goes to the WCS Global Finals and who watches from home.
WCS Global Finals Bracket
Here is how the bracket looks showing all the possible players for each slot. The winner of the Hyun vs Fantasy tie breaker will face herO.
The GSL finals between Innovation and Byul determines the rest. If Byul beats Innovation, then Byul faces Lilbow, Innovation faces Classic, and Life faces Zest. If Innovation beats Byul, then Byul faces Classic, Innovation faces Zest, and Life faces Lilbow.
Innovation is currently 27-14 in WCS matches this year; 9-3 vs Zerg, 7-4 vs Terran, and 11-7 vs Protoss; making his vs Zerg his strongest matchup as usual. Byul is currently 24-9 in WCS matches this year; with an incredible 8-1 vs Terran, 4-2 vs Zerg, and 12-6 vs Protoss; making his vs Terran his strongest matchup. This is also a rematch from the SSL quarterfinals on August 20th where Byul kept his composure to barely win 3-2 over Innovation's mech on Terraform.
WCS Year Recap
Biggest surprise qualifications of this WCS year #1 Dream started the WCS year at 3.06%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.7% on December 9th. His lowest point in season 2 was 78.44% on April 7th. He hit 100% in season 2 after he made his second consecutive SSL finals by beating herO in the semifinals on June 4th.
#2 Hydra started at 9.25%. His lowest point in season 1 was 7.32% on December 8th. In season 2 it was 64.11% on April 14th. He hit 100% in season 2 when he baat Lilbow in the WCS finals on June 28th.
#3 Byul started at 10.64%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.09% on January 30th. In season 2 it was 8.69% on April 9th. In season iy was 80.86% on June 29th. Byul hit 100% when he beat TY in the SSL Season 3 semifinals on September 3rd.
#4 Lilbow started at 11.52%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.1% on April 5th. In season 2 it was 0.32% on April 14th just before qualifying for WCS. In season 3 it was 9.23% on July 11th. Lilbow hit 100% after he beat Mana in the WCS Season 3 finals on September 13th and Rogue and Gumiho were defeated in GSL.
#5 Rogue started at 14.81%. His lowest point in season 1 was 11.84% on November 30th. In season 2 it was 42.67% on April 11th. In season 3 it was 62.21% on August 2nd. Rogue hit 100% on September 24th after Byul beat Dear in the GSL semifinals and the DreamHack Stockholm bracket was drawn.
#6 Classic started at 20.70%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.60% on March 15th. In season 2 it was 7.60% on April 7th. In season 3 it was 99.69% on July 3rd. Classic hit 100% after he beat Parting in the IEM Shenzhen finals on July 19th.
#7 Maru started at 21.27%. His lowest point in season 1 was 19.42% on December 9th. Maru hit 100% after he beat Dream in the SSL Season 1 finals on March 21st.
#8 Life started at 27.60%. His lowest point in season 1 was 27.60% on November 17th. Life hit 100% after he beat Parting in the GSL Season 1 finals on March 22nd.
#9 Polt started at 30.95%. His lowest point in season 1 was 13.76% on January 14th. In season 2 it was 89.59% on June 25th. In season 3 it was 97.39% on July 17th. Polt hit 100% after he advanced from the WCS Season 3 round of 16.
#10 sOs started at 31.86%. His lowest point in season 1 was 15.37% on March 3rd. In season 2 it was 17.32% on May 19th. In season 3 it was 20.99% on August 1st. sOs hit 100% after he advanced to the DreamHack Stockholm round of 16 and Fantasy was eliminated on September 24th.
#11 INnoVation started at 38.12%. His lowest point in season 1 was 38.12% on November 17th. In season 2 it was 21.64% on June 24th. In season 3 it was 31.73% on July 1st. Innovation hit 100% after he advanced from the GSL Season 3 round of 16 on September 11th.
#12 Zest started at 39.82%. His lowest point in season 1 was 8.28% on March 9th. In season 2 it was 65.78% on April 6th. In season 3 it was 74.66% on June 29th. Zest hit 100% after several players were eliminated in the WCS Season 3 round of 16 on September 10th.
#13 Rain started at 41.37%. His lowest point in season 1 was 35.47% on March 26th. In season 2 it was 43.74% on April 8th. Rain hit 100% after he beat Byul in the GSL Season 2 finals on June 28th.
#14 PartinG started at 43.89%. His lowest point in season 1 was 36.79% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 99.73% on April 9th. Parting hit 100% after he beat Gumiho in the DreamHack Tours finals on May 9th.
#15 herO started at 44.24%. His lowest point in season 1 was 40.71% on November 18th. In season 2 it was 99.95% on April 28th. herO hit 100% after he beat Dear in the KeSPA Cup round of 16 on May 3rd.
Fantasy started the WCS year at 2.92%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.47% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 25.27% on April 9th. In season 3 it was 23.45% on September 25th, just before Hyun lost the DreamHack Stockholm final to Solar. Hyun started at 19.48%. His lowest point in season 1 was 3.48% on March 25th. In season 2 it was 5.32% on June 10th. In season 3 it was 2% on September 7th, just before he was confirmed going to DreamHack Stockholm.
Biggest surprise failures of this WCS year #1 Flash started at 42.79%. His highest point in season 1 was 50.06% on November 19th. In season 2 it was 4.42% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 0.66% on July 25th.
#2 TaeJa started at 37.98%. His highest point in season 1 was 72.12% on December 15th. In season 2 it was 1.61% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.01% on July 1st.
#3 Solar started at 31.96%. His highest point in season 1 was 57.35% on December 17th. In season 2 it was 16.76% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 13.84% on August 5th.
#4 Stats started at 29.76%. His highest point in season 1 was 70.26% on February 26th. In season 2 it was 82.65% on June 2nd. In season 3 it was 43.67% on June 29th.
#5 MajOr started at 28.88%. His highest point in season 1 was 35.81% on December 3rd. In season 2 it was 6.96% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.45% on June 30th.
#6 soO started at 27.30%. His highest point in season 1 was 29.79% on November 18th. In season 2 it was 24.69% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 19.58% on August 9th.
#7 Scarlett started at 24.43%. Her highest point in season 1 was 31.71% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 0.21% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 0.02% on June 30th.
#8 Bbyong started at 23.38%. His highest point in season 1 was 50.02% on April 2nd. In season 2 it was 47.88% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 6.31% on August 7th.
#9 MMA started at 23.23%. His highest point in season 1 was 46.91% on March 4th. In season 2 it was 22.31% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 1.13% on August 9th.
#10 Cure started at 22.86%. His highest point in season 1 was 32.42% on December 12th. In season 2 it was 4.46% on April 6th. In season 3 it was 0.25% on June 30th.
#11 TY started at 22.77%. His highest point in season 1 was 70.05% on December 19th. In season 2 it was 25.89% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 32.60% on August 20th.
#12 Bomber started at 21.82%. His highest point in season 1 was 40.82% on December 15th. In season 2 it was 12.33% on May 7th. In season 3 it was 1.01% on June 30th.
#13 Jim started at 21.41%. His highest point in season 1 was 21.41% on November 17th. In season 2 it was 0.69% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.11% on July 11th.
#14 ForGG started at 20.91%. His highest point in season 1 was 81.26% on January 7th. In season 2 it was 62.73% on May 7th. In season 3 it was 34.50% on September 12th.
#15 San started at 19.33%. His highest point in season 1 was 40.64% on December 17th. In season 2 it was 4.38% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 4.15% on June 29th.
#16 GuMiho started at 19.16%. His highest point in season 1 was 79.76% on December 24th. In season 2 it was 42.19% on May 20th. In season 3 it was 16.84% on September 11th.
#17 Sacsri started at 18.84%. His highest point in season 1 was 20.68% on November 30th. In season 2 it was 6.83% on May 2nd. In season 3 it was 0.48% on July 16th.
#18 YoDa started at 18.72%. His highest point in season 1 was 25.97% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 4.59% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.05% on June 30th.
#19 Soulkey started at 18.41%. His highest point in season 1 was 55.28% on April 3rd. In season 2 it was 61.80% on April 13th. In season 3 it was 4.50% on June 30th.
#20 viOLet started at 18.00%. His highest point in season 1 was 18.39% on December 3rd. In season 2 it was 6.74% on April 29th. In season 3 it was 0.57% on July 1st.
In addition to these 20 I'd like to highlight some that didn't start with the highest chances, but built up to high chances and then failed to qualify.
#22 Dear started at 17.46%. His highest point in season 1 was 64.09% on December 31st. In season 2 it was 34.47% on April 15th. In season 3 it was 23.81% on July 9th.
#27 Bunny started at 12.91%. His highest point in season 1 was 40.84% on April 5th. In season 2 it was 42.82% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 29.16% on July 2nd.
#30 Jaedong started at 12.14%. His highest point in season 1 was 22.93% on December 7th. In season 2 it was 28.78% on June 23rd. In season 3 it was 14.47% on August 23rd.
#35 Leenock started at 9.79%. His highest point in season 1 was 31.24% on January 16th. In season 2 it was 10.40% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 1.36% on June 30th.
#37 Dark started at 9.61%. His highest point in season 1 was 61.29% on March 27th. In season 2 it was 67.26% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 79.44% on August 22nd.
#38 Snute started at 9.51%. His highest point in season 1 was 42.62% on March 11th. In season 2 it was 28.50% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 28.36% on June 29th.
#40 Trap started at 8.77%. His highest point in season 1 was 57.50% on March 27th. In season 2 it was 48.99% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 25.83% on June 29th.
On October 02 2015 02:59 EvilsPresley wrote: Great! You might want to use "Her" instead of "His" for Scarlett :-)
Arg I had that correct in a previous draft, and then I redid the formatting on all those stats and I guess that's when I screwed it up. It's because they were mostly auto-generated, no way I could write all that by hand lol. Thanks.
On October 02 2015 03:19 Dingodile wrote: I really like your articles! I hope you do one article when they reached 100% or >99% Blizzcon chances. Maru got it already in March is very early.
Thanks! I'm still working on the retrospectives which cover this, like how I did Maru and Parting. Although I might change up the format a bit for the retrospectives, but I will definitely cover when they hit 100%, maybe I should be more focused on when they hit 99.99% though because 100% is very finicky.
#14 seed with 3525 WCS Points. Facing Parting in the WCS Global Finals ro16. WCS match record - Total: 24-9, vsT: 9-1, vsZ: 9-5, vsP: 6-3
sOs was the 15th player to hit 100%. Advancing to the ro16 in DreamHack Stockholm took him up to 99.46%, then Dark and Fantasy getting knocked out in the ro16 sealed the deal. In GSL sOs got 900 points for 4th place in GSL S2, and 300 points for a 16th in GSL S3. In SSL sOs got 50 points for SSL S2 Challenge, and 300 points for a 16th in SSL S3. From WCS Partner tournaments sOs got 750 points for winning the Hot6ix Cup, 100 for an 8th place in Gfinity Spring 2, 750 points for winning MSI Masters, and 375 points for 4th place at DreamHack Stockholm. That's 1550 from GSL/SSL and 1975 from WCS Partner tournaments.
sOs first passed the 50% mark by beating MarineKing in the Hot6ix Cup finals on December 7th. Unfortunately he failed to qualify for SSL and GSL, bringing him down to 25.64% on December 15th. His lowest point was 15.37% on March 3rd, right before he qualified for GSL Season 2 which brought him up to 21.72%. He passed the 50% mark again when he made the GSL semifinals in season 2, but it didn't last long as he fell back to 34.03% when he lost to Byul. He again went over 50% by beating Solar 3-2 in SSL S3 Challenge, but he gradually fell until he lost his difficult SSL S3 ro16 group with Life, Innovation, and herO dropping him down to 24.43%.
When it was announced that sOs would be replacing Zest at MSI Masters, this brought sOs from 27.48% up to 51.13%. However that was just the announcement. Beating Toodming and Solar in his ro16 group brought him up to 63.76%. The next day he beat violet in the quarterfinals and Innovation in the semifinals, now bringing sOs up to 89.16%. Then sOs beat Solar 3-0 in the finals to go up to 97.42%. sOs went 11-1 in maps for the whole tournament, with his only map loss being to Solar in the ro16 group. Without these 750 WCS Points, sOs would not have qualified for Blizzcon, so he should thank Zest for the spot! In his GSL ro16 group with Maru, Classic, and herO, he fell out in last place with a 2-4 map score. Bringing him from 97.34% down to 94.2%. + Show Spoiler [sOs vs herO] +
From here, sOs dipped as low as 92% with the threatening attendees going to DreamHack Stockholm and players like Lilbow and Dear doing well. When Dear lost the GSL semifinals to Byul, sOs went from 92.64% up to 96.9%. At DreamHack Stockholm, sOs went up to 99.46% by advancing to the ro32. As said before, what sealed the deal for him was actually Fantasy and Dark losing in the ro16, but sOs didn't stop there. sOs beat Harstem and Curious to advance to the semifinals, where eventual champion Solar put an end to his strong run with a 3-2 victory. + Show Spoiler [sOs vs Solar] +
November 2014 - From 31.86% to 37.49%, 125 WCS Points to 250, 1,375 Median Points to 1,900 Chances November Points November (the blue line is WCS Points, the black line is median WCS Points) Nov 17 - 31.86% - WCS 2015 started with Hot6ix Cup Nov 18 - going from 33.06% to 35.67%, min points 125, median points from 1,425 to 1,600 Nov 18 to Nov 19 - sOs beat Rain in Hot6ix Cup round of 16, sOs beat TY in Hot6ix Cup round of 16 - going from 35.67% to 40.02%, min points from 125 to 250, median points from 1,600 to 1,725 Nov 22 to Nov 25 - WCS 2015 points distribution announced, Parting replacing Rain in Hot6ix Cup, Added IEM San Jose - going from 41.21% to 39.42%, min points 250, median points from 1,750 to 1,975
December 2014 - From 37.21% to 24.86%, 250 WCS Points to 750, 1,900 Median Points to 1,875 Chances December Points December Nov 30 to Dec 2 - Hot6ix Cup Quarterfinals Day 1, Swapped Hot6ix Cup bracket around - going from 37.49% to 37.21%, min points 250, median points 1,900 Dec 2 to Dec 4 - sOs beat INnoVation in Hot6ix Cup quarterfinals, Hot6ix Cup semifinals set, IEM San Jose Stage 1 - going from 37.21% to 44.21%, min points from 250 to 375, median points from 1,900 to 2,125 Dec 6 to Dec 7 - sOs beat sKyHigh in Hot6ix Cup semifinals, Hot6ix Semifinals completed - going from 44.02% to 47.29%, min points from 375 to 500, median points from 2,125 to 2,250 Dec 7 - sOs beat MarineKing in Hot6ix Cup finals, JirAir sOs wins Hot6ix Cup over MVP MarineKing, IEM San Jose Quarterfinals, IEM San Jose Semifinals - going from 47.29% to 54.52%, min points from 500 to 750, median points from 2,250 to 2,500 Dec 9 - StarLeague format and seeds, Weighted StarLeague and GSL qualifiers more towards stronger players - going from 54.34% to 55.3%, min points 750, median points from 2,500 to 2,625 Dec 9 to Dec 11 - SSL Season 1 Ro32 matches set, SSL qualifiers now have a large Korean bias - going from 55.3% to 46.98%, min points 750, median points from 2,625 to 2,400 Dec 12 to Dec 15 - GSL Season 1 Qualifiers - going from 46.92% to 25.64%, min points 750, median points from 2,400 to 1,875
January 2015 - From 23.41% to 16.78%, 750 WCS Points to 750, 1,850 Median Points to 1,750 Chances January Points January Dec 31 to Jan 4 - Added IEM Taipei - going from 24.86% to 23.41%, min points 750, median points from 1,875 to 1,850
February 2015 - From 16.93% to 16.99%, 750 WCS Points to 750, 1,750 Median Points to 1,750 Chances February Points February Jan 31 to Feb 1 - IEM Taipei semifinals, StarTale Life wins IEM Taipei over Jinair Maru - going from 16.78% to 16.93%, min points 750, median points 1,750
March 2015 - From 16.32% to 33.54%, 750 WCS Points to 850, 1,750 Median Points to 2,250 Chances March Points March Feb 28 to Mar 1 - WCS S1 Premier ro32 Group H - going from 16.99% to 16.32%, min points 750, median points 1,750 Mar 3 to Mar 4 - GSL S2 Qualifiers and Code S S1 Quarterfinals Day 1 - going from 15.37% to 21.72%, min points from 750 to 800, median points from 1,725 to 1,925 Mar 25 to Mar 26 - NSSL S2 qualifiers - going from 19.67% to 31.94%, min points from 800 to 850, median points from 1,900 to 2,250
April 2015 - From 33.37% to 24.11%, 850 WCS Points to 875, 2,275 Median Points to 2,250 Chances April Points April Mar 31 to Apr 1 - Code A S2 Day 1, Copenhagen Day 1, Added KeSPA Cup 1 with 6 invites, removed Placeholder #20 - going from 33.54% to 33.37%, min points 850, median points from 2,250 to 2,275 Apr 2 to Apr 3 - sOs beat Heart in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48, Code A S2 Day 3, SSL S2 Challenger Day 2, Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals, WCS S1 ro16 Day 1 and Yoe Parting wins Copenhagen Spring over dPix Fantasy, Fixed points distribution for WCS, WCS Champion seeded into Premier - going from 33.73% to 38.57%, min points from 850 to 950, median points from 2,275 to 2,500 Apr 9 to Apr 10 - sOs lost to Dear in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24, SSL S2 Challenger Day 4 and Code A S2 Day 6, DreamHack Tours first 84 players, KeSPA Cup 1 EU qualifiers, Jaedong moved to NA region, KeSPA Cup 1 AM qualifier - going from 37.56% to 20.15%, min points 950, median points from 2,550 to 2,125 Apr 23 to Apr 24 - Gfinity Spring 2 added 5 more invited players, Code S S2 ro32 Group A - going from 21.81% to 24.29%, min points from 950 to 1,000, median points from 2,175 to 2,275 Apr 29 - Gfinity Spring 2 groups set, WCS S2 EU Challenger Day 2, WCS S2 LA Challenger - going from 24.78% to 24.25%, min points from 1,000 to 875, median points from 2,275 to 2,250
May 2015 - From 23.64% to 24.7%, 875 WCS Points to 1,150, 2,250 Median Points to 2,300 Chances May Points May Apr 30 to May 1 - Code S S2 ro32 Group C - going from 24.11% to 23.64%, min points 875, median points 2,250 May 1 - sOs beat BlinG in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16, sOs beat Sacsri in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16, Gfinity Day 1 - going from 23.64% to 24.11%, min points 875, median points from 2,250 to 2,275 May 1 to May 2 - Gfinity Spring 2 Day 2, Added MarineKing to DH Tours - going from 24.11% to 26.77%, min points from 875 to 1,050, median points from 2,275 to 2,350 May 2 to May 3 - sOs lost to Hydra in Gfinity Spring 2 quarterfinals, KeSPA Cup Day 1 and Gfinity Spring 2 completed - going from 26.77% to 19.56%, min points from 1,050 to 950, median points from 2,350 to 2,125 May 19 to May 20 - sOs lost to Curious in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, sOs beat MMA in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, sOs beat Sacsri in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, Code S S2 ro32 Group H, ro32 completed, SSL S2 quarterfinals set - going from 17.32% to 24.95%, min points from 950 to 1,150, median points from 2,075 to 2,325
June 2015 - From 24.73% to 38.56%, 1,150 WCS Points to 1,850, 2,300 Median Points to 2,650 Chances June Points June May 31 to Jun 1 - going from 24.7% to 24.73%, min points 1,150, median points 2,300 Jun 4 to Jun 5 - sOs beat Bbyong in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, sOs beat Rain in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, Code S S2 Ro16 Group B - going from 24.87% to 40.42%, min points from 1,150 to 1,500, median points from 2,300 to 2,725 Jun 9 to Jun 10 - sOs beat MyuNgSiK in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals, Code S S2 quarterfinals day 1 - going from 39.81% to 55.52%, min points from 1,500 to 1,800, median points from 2,725 to 3,100 Jun 16 to Jun 17 - sOs lost to ByuL in GSL Code S Season 2 semifinals, Code S S2 semifinals ByuL vs sOs - going from 56.02% to 32.79%, min points 1,800, median points from 3,150 to 2,675 Jun 24 to Jun 25 - SSL S3 qualifiers and seeds - going from 26.55% to 37.5%, min points from 1,800 to 1,850, median points from 2,600 to 2,850 Jun 29 to Jun 30 - Added ASUS Summer with 4 players qualified, added IEM Cologne and MSI, removed 10 Placeholder tournaments, down to 7 Placeholders now, Start of WCS Wars season 3, SSL S3 Challenger matches set - going from 42.68% to 38.56%, min points 1,850, median points from 2,900 to 2,650
July 2015 - From 38.59% to 22.55%, 1,850 WCS Points to 2,200, 2,650 Median Points to 2,500 Chances July Points July Jun 30 - WCS S3 AM Qualifier #1 - going from 38.56% to 38.59%, min points 1,850, median points 2,650 Jul 2 to Jul 3 - sOs beat Solar in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24, SSL S3 Challenger Day 2, GSL S3 Code A matches set - going from 35.84% to 53.85%, min points from 1,850 to 2,100, median points from 2,650 to 3,000 Jul 9 to Jul 10 - MSI EU Qualifier, MSI reduced to 16 players and Gfinity 1+2 bug fixes, ASUS Qualifier #4, more bug fixes, removed WCS Points given to seeded players who lose in SSL Challenger, WCS S3 AM Qualifier #4, SSL S3 Challenge Day 4, Code A S3 Day 3 - going from 52.16% to 56.6%, min points from 2,100 to 2,200, median points from 2,975 to 3,050 Jul 29 to Jul 30 - sOs lost to Life in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16, sOs lost to INnoVation in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16, SSL S3 Ro16 Group C, ASUS ROG Ro16 groups set, Rain forfeited IEM Gamescom, ASUS ROG Day 1 - going from 44.69% to 22.26%, min points 2,200, median points from 2,800 to 2,500
August 2015 - From 20.99% to 97.42%, 2,200 WCS Points to 3,150, 2,500 Median Points to 3,450 Chances August Points August Jul 31 to Aug 1 - MSI Masters 6 invites and player list locked - going from 22.55% to 20.99%, min points 2,200, median points 2,500 Aug 7 to Aug 8 - sOs beat Stork in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, sOs beat Bbyong in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, Code S S3 ro32 Group C, IEM Gamescom Day 3 and quarterfinals bracket set, Added 4Gamers tournament, removed Placeholder #4 - going from 22.46% to 32.29%, min points from 2,200 to 2,400, median points from 2,500 to 2,700 Aug 27 to Aug 28 - sOs replacing Zest in MSI Masters, Code S S3 Ro16 Group Selections - going from 27.48% to 50.45%, min points 2,400, median points from 2,700 to 2,900 Aug 29 to Aug 30 - sOs beat TooDming in MSI Masters round of 16, sOs beat Solar in MSI Masters round of 16, MSI Masters Day 1 - going from 50.65% to 63.76%, AFK Chances from 0% to 5.34%, min points from 2,400 to 2,650, median points from 2,900 to 3,025 Aug 30 to Aug 31 - sOs beat viOLet in MSI Masters quarterfinals, MSI Masters semifinals - going from 63.76% to 89.16%, AFK Chances from 5.34% to 53.83%, min points from 2,650 to 2,900, median points from 3,025 to 3,250 Aug 31 - sOs beat INnoVation in MSI Masters semifinals, sOs beat Solar in MSI Masters finals, Jin Air sOs wins MSI Masters over Samsung Solar - going from 89.16% to 97.42%, AFK Chances from 53.83% to 94.02%, min points from 2,900 to 3,150, median points from 3,250 to 3,450
September 2015 - From 97.66% to 100%, 3,150 WCS Points to 3,525, 3,450 Median Points to 3,525 Chances September Points September Aug 31 to Sep 1 - Fixes for 50 points from WCS Challenger for uThermal and elfi - going from 97.42% to 97.66%, min points 3,150, median points 3,450 Sep 3 to Sep 4 - sOs lost to Classic in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16, sOs lost to herO in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16, Code S S3 Ro16 Group B - going from 97.32% to 94.2%, min points 3,150, median points from 3,450 to 3,150 Sep 18 to Sep 19 - DH Stockholm player list set, Added ForGG to DreamHack Stockholm - going from 92.2% to 91.67%, min points 3,150, median points from 3,150 to 3,275 Sep 24 - sOs beat Lambo in DreamHack Stockholm round of 32, DH Stockholm ro32 completed, DH Stockholm ro16 half complete - going from 96.9% to 100%, min points from 3,150 to 3,275, median points from 3,275 to 3,400 Sep 24 to Sep 25 - sOs beat Harstem in DreamHack Stockholm round of 16, DH Stockholm ro16 completed, Code S S3 Semfinal 2, Innovation beat Maru, DH Stockholm quarterfinals half completed - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 3,275 to 3,400, median points from 3,400 to 3,525 Sep 25 - sOs beat Curious in DreamHack Stockholm quarterfinals, DH Stockholm quarterfinals completed - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 3,400 to 3,525, median points 3,525 Sep 25 - sOs lost to Solar in DreamHack Stockholm semifinals, DH Stockholm semifinals completed, Samsung Solar wins DH Stockholm over ROCCAT HyuN - going from 100% to 100%, min points 3,525, median points 3,525
Nov 19: sOs beat Rain in Hot6ix Cup round of 16 Nov 19: sOs beat TY in Hot6ix Cup round of 16 Dec 3: sOs beat INnoVation in Hot6ix Cup quarterfinals Dec 7: sOs beat sKyHigh in Hot6ix Cup semifinals Dec 7: sOs beat MarineKing in Hot6ix Cup finals Apr 3: sOs beat Heart in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48 Apr 10: sOs lost to Dear in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24 May 1: sOs beat BlinG in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16 May 1: sOs beat Sacsri in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16 May 3: sOs lost to Hydra in Gfinity Spring 2 quarterfinals May 20: sOs lost to Curious in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32 May 20: sOs beat MMA in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32 May 20: sOs beat Sacsri in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32 Jun 5: sOs beat Bbyong in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16 Jun 5: sOs beat Rain in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16 Jun 10: sOs beat MyuNgSiK in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals Jun 17: sOs lost to ByuL in GSL Code S Season 2 semifinals Jul 3: sOs beat Solar in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24 Jul 30: sOs lost to Life in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16 Jul 30: sOs lost to INnoVation in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16 Aug 7: sOs beat Stork in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32 Aug 7: sOs beat Bbyong in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32 Aug 30: sOs beat TooDming in MSI Masters round of 16 Aug 30: sOs beat Solar in MSI Masters round of 16 Aug 31: sOs beat viOLet in MSI Masters quarterfinals Aug 31: sOs beat INnoVation in MSI Masters semifinals Aug 31: sOs beat Solar in MSI Masters finals Sep 4: sOs lost to Classic in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16 Sep 4: sOs lost to herO in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16 Sep 24: sOs beat Lambo in DreamHack Stockholm round of 32 Sep 24: sOs beat Harstem in DreamHack Stockholm round of 16 Sep 25: sOs beat Curious in DreamHack Stockholm quarterfinals Sep 25: sOs lost to Solar in DreamHack Stockholm semifinals Total: 24-9, vsT: 9-1, vsZ: 9-5, vsP: 6-3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The Biggest Surprises of WCS 2015 Thursday, Oct 01 5:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4857)
If you didn't read my previous articles, these stats are calculated by WCS Predictor, which simulates every match in every tournament that gives WCS Points millions of times. Blizzcon Chances are the chances to qualify in the top 16 for Blizzcon, as rated by WCS Predictor.
Tied at DreamHack
At DreamHack Stockholm, in the round of 16, we had Fantasy vs Hyun. Both players flew to the event to pick up their last WCS Points and secure their Blizzcon Chances. If Fantasy lost then he would be knocked down to just 36.09% Blizzcon Chances; if Fantasy lost and Dark had won his match, then Fantasy would've been down to 0%. If Hyun lost then he'd have been knocked down to 0% as he needed at least a 2nd place. Hyun getting a 2nd place would tie him with Fantasy, but Dark could still pass them, and a 1st place would've put Hyun at 100%. People have been counting out Hyun all year long, saying he only made it previously by competing in the easier WCS America. He made the SSL round of 16 twice this year, but still most of his points came from strong performances in international tournaments. Then Hyun defeated Fantasy 2-0, showing how much he wanted to make to Blizzcon. Dark lost to Leenock, and sOs beat Harstem, meaning only Fantasy and Hyun had uncertain Blizzcon Chances. Against Rain, again people counted out Hyun, until he won 3-1. Hyun was facing Reality in the semifinals. Fantasy knew that Hyun would tie him with a 2nd place, and knock him out of the WCS Global Finals if he got 1st place. Hyun again won 3-1. Hyun's killing spree was ended in the finals by Solar with a 3-1 score. Now both Hyun and Fantasy can only practice as hype builds for their tie breaker match to determine who goes to the WCS Global Finals and who watches from home.
WCS Global Finals Bracket
Here is how the bracket looks showing all the possible players for each slot. The winner of the Hyun vs Fantasy tie breaker will face herO.
The GSL finals between Innovation and Byul determines the rest. If Byul beats Innovation, then Byul faces Lilbow, Innovation faces Classic, and Life faces Zest. If Innovation beats Byul, then Byul faces Classic, Innovation faces Zest, and Life faces Lilbow.
Innovation is currently 27-14 in WCS matches this year; 9-3 vs Zerg, 7-4 vs Terran, and 11-7 vs Protoss; making his vs Zerg his strongest matchup as usual. Byul is currently 24-9 in WCS matches this year; with an incredible 8-1 vs Terran, 4-2 vs Zerg, and 12-6 vs Protoss; making his vs Terran his strongest matchup. This is also a rematch from the SSL quarterfinals on August 20th where Byul kept his composure to barely win 3-2 over Innovation's mech on Terraform.
WCS Year Recap
Biggest surprise qualifications of this WCS year #1 Dream started the WCS year at 3.06%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.7% on December 9th. His lowest point in season 2 was 78.44% on April 7th. He hit 100% in season 2 after he made his second consecutive SSL finals by beating herO in the semifinals on June 4th.
#2 Hydra started at 9.25%. His lowest point in season 1 was 7.32% on December 8th. In season 2 it was 64.11% on April 14th. He hit 100% in season 2 when he baat Lilbow in the WCS finals on June 28th.
#3 Byul started at 10.64%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.09% on January 30th. In season 2 it was 8.69% on April 9th. In season iy was 80.86% on June 29th. Byul hit 100% when he beat TY in the SSL Season 3 semifinals on September 3rd.
#4 Lilbow started at 11.52%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.1% on April 5th. In season 2 it was 0.32% on April 14th just before qualifying for WCS. In season 3 it was 9.23% on July 11th. Lilbow hit 100% after he beat Mana in the WCS Season 3 finals on September 13th and Rogue and Gumiho were defeated in GSL.
#5 Rogue started at 14.81%. His lowest point in season 1 was 11.84% on November 30th. In season 2 it was 42.67% on April 11th. In season 3 it was 62.21% on August 2nd. Rogue hit 100% on September 24th after Byul beat Dear in the GSL semifinals and the DreamHack Stockholm bracket was drawn.
#6 Classic started at 20.70%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.60% on March 15th. In season 2 it was 7.60% on April 7th. In season 3 it was 99.69% on July 3rd. Classic hit 100% after he beat Parting in the IEM Shenzhen finals on July 19th.
#7 Maru started at 21.27%. His lowest point in season 1 was 19.42% on December 9th. Maru hit 100% after he beat Dream in the SSL Season 1 finals on March 21st.
#8 Life started at 27.60%. His lowest point in season 1 was 27.60% on November 17th. Life hit 100% after he beat Parting in the GSL Season 1 finals on March 22nd.
#9 Polt started at 30.95%. His lowest point in season 1 was 13.76% on January 14th. In season 2 it was 89.59% on June 25th. In season 3 it was 97.39% on July 17th. Polt hit 100% after he advanced from the WCS Season 3 round of 16.
#10 sOs started at 31.86%. His lowest point in season 1 was 15.37% on March 3rd. In season 2 it was 17.32% on May 19th. In season 3 it was 20.99% on August 1st. sOs hit 100% after he advanced to the DreamHack Stockholm round of 16 and Fantasy was eliminated on September 24th.
#11 INnoVation started at 38.12%. His lowest point in season 1 was 38.12% on November 17th. In season 2 it was 21.64% on June 24th. In season 3 it was 31.73% on July 1st. Innovation hit 100% after he advanced from the GSL Season 3 round of 16 on September 11th.
#12 Zest started at 39.82%. His lowest point in season 1 was 8.28% on March 9th. In season 2 it was 65.78% on April 6th. In season 3 it was 74.66% on June 29th. Zest hit 100% after several players were eliminated in the WCS Season 3 round of 16 on September 10th.
#13 Rain started at 41.37%. His lowest point in season 1 was 35.47% on March 26th. In season 2 it was 43.74% on April 8th. Rain hit 100% after he beat Byul in the GSL Season 2 finals on June 28th.
#14 PartinG started at 43.89%. His lowest point in season 1 was 36.79% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 99.73% on April 9th. Parting hit 100% after he beat Gumiho in the DreamHack Tours finals on May 9th.
#15 herO started at 44.24%. His lowest point in season 1 was 40.71% on November 18th. In season 2 it was 99.95% on April 28th. herO hit 100% after he beat Dear in the KeSPA Cup round of 16 on May 3rd.
Fantasy started the WCS year at 2.92%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.47% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 25.27% on April 9th. In season 3 it was 23.45% on September 25th, just before Hyun lost the DreamHack Stockholm final to Solar. Hyun started at 19.48%. His lowest point in season 1 was 3.48% on March 25th. In season 2 it was 5.32% on June 10th. In season 3 it was 2% on September 7th, just before he was confirmed going to DreamHack Stockholm.
Biggest surprise failures of this WCS year #1 Flash started at 42.79%. His highest point in season 1 was 50.06% on November 19th. In season 2 it was 4.42% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 0.66% on July 25th.
#2 TaeJa started at 37.98%. His highest point in season 1 was 72.12% on December 15th. In season 2 it was 1.61% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.01% on July 1st.
#3 Solar started at 31.96%. His highest point in season 1 was 57.35% on December 17th. In season 2 it was 16.76% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 13.84% on August 5th.
#4 Stats started at 29.76%. His highest point in season 1 was 70.26% on February 26th. In season 2 it was 82.65% on June 2nd. In season 3 it was 43.67% on June 29th.
#5 MajOr started at 28.88%. His highest point in season 1 was 35.81% on December 3rd. In season 2 it was 6.96% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.45% on June 30th.
#6 soO started at 27.30%. His highest point in season 1 was 29.79% on November 18th. In season 2 it was 24.69% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 19.58% on August 9th.
#7 Scarlett started at 24.43%. Her highest point in season 1 was 31.71% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 0.21% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 0.02% on June 30th.
#8 Bbyong started at 23.38%. His highest point in season 1 was 50.02% on April 2nd. In season 2 it was 47.88% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 6.31% on August 7th.
#9 MMA started at 23.23%. His highest point in season 1 was 46.91% on March 4th. In season 2 it was 22.31% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 1.13% on August 9th.
#10 Cure started at 22.86%. His highest point in season 1 was 32.42% on December 12th. In season 2 it was 4.46% on April 6th. In season 3 it was 0.25% on June 30th.
#11 TY started at 22.77%. His highest point in season 1 was 70.05% on December 19th. In season 2 it was 25.89% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 32.60% on August 20th.
#12 Bomber started at 21.82%. His highest point in season 1 was 40.82% on December 15th. In season 2 it was 12.33% on May 7th. In season 3 it was 1.01% on June 30th.
#13 Jim started at 21.41%. His highest point in season 1 was 21.41% on November 17th. In season 2 it was 0.69% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.11% on July 11th.
#14 ForGG started at 20.91%. His highest point in season 1 was 81.26% on January 7th. In season 2 it was 62.73% on May 7th. In season 3 it was 34.50% on September 12th.
#15 San started at 19.33%. His highest point in season 1 was 40.64% on December 17th. In season 2 it was 4.38% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 4.15% on June 29th.
#16 GuMiho started at 19.16%. His highest point in season 1 was 79.76% on December 24th. In season 2 it was 42.19% on May 20th. In season 3 it was 16.84% on September 11th.
#17 Sacsri started at 18.84%. His highest point in season 1 was 20.68% on November 30th. In season 2 it was 6.83% on May 2nd. In season 3 it was 0.48% on July 16th.
#18 YoDa started at 18.72%. His highest point in season 1 was 25.97% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 4.59% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.05% on June 30th.
#19 Soulkey started at 18.41%. His highest point in season 1 was 55.28% on April 3rd. In season 2 it was 61.80% on April 13th. In season 3 it was 4.50% on June 30th.
#20 viOLet started at 18.00%. His highest point in season 1 was 18.39% on December 3rd. In season 2 it was 6.74% on April 29th. In season 3 it was 0.57% on July 1st.
In addition to these 20 I'd like to highlight some that didn't start with the highest chances, but built up to high chances and then failed to qualify.
#22 Dear started at 17.46%. His highest point in season 1 was 64.09% on December 31st. In season 2 it was 34.47% on April 15th. In season 3 it was 23.81% on July 9th.
#27 Bunny started at 12.91%. His highest point in season 1 was 40.84% on April 5th. In season 2 it was 42.82% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 29.16% on July 2nd.
#30 Jaedong started at 12.14%. His highest point in season 1 was 22.93% on December 7th. In season 2 it was 28.78% on June 23rd. In season 3 it was 14.47% on August 23rd.
#35 Leenock started at 9.79%. His highest point in season 1 was 31.24% on January 16th. In season 2 it was 10.40% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 1.36% on June 30th.
#37 Dark started at 9.61%. His highest point in season 1 was 61.29% on March 27th. In season 2 it was 67.26% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 79.44% on August 22nd.
#38 Snute started at 9.51%. His highest point in season 1 was 42.62% on March 11th. In season 2 it was 28.50% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 28.36% on June 29th.
#40 Trap started at 8.77%. His highest point in season 1 was 57.50% on March 27th. In season 2 it was 48.99% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 25.83% on June 29th.
Honestly from the top players, Life is probably one of the most likely to be taken down by a foreigner, because he sometimes has these weird brainfarts when he looks completely off. Still, I wouldn't hold my breath too much (and even if it happens, then what - Inno or Zest ...) We really should draw the line now, celebrate the great achievement of Lilbow getting to Blizzcon, joining Naniwa in his lonely hall of fame no matter what happens next.
The season ended right? Where's my trophy? :D Jokes aside I think INnoVation played to perfection. As a zerg player myself watching ByuL so helpless was very painful.
On October 05 2015 21:23 CruSaderSC wrote: The season ended right? Where's my trophy? :D Jokes aside I think INnoVation played to perfection. As a zerg player myself watching ByuL so helpless was very painful.
poor byul, he deserve a solo win after all these finals
On October 05 2015 21:23 CruSaderSC wrote: The season ended right? Where's my trophy? :D Jokes aside I think INnoVation played to perfection. As a zerg player myself watching ByuL so helpless was very painful.
poor byul, he deserve a solo win after all these finals
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WCS Wars Season 3 Awards! Tuesday, Oct 06 4:50am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4865)
Congratulations to the season 3 champion CruSaderSC! Now you get a 2nd trophy next to your name, and your choice of TL+ or Reddit Gold. Our 2nd place is OtherWorld.
#8 Darkened's team is worth 20,471 WCS Points with GuMiho (4225), Jaedong (4000), ByuL (6975), Snute (4050), and 1221 unspent points.
#9 Solar424's team is worth 20,350 WCS Points with ForGG (4425), MaNa (3775), TRUE (3775), MarineLorD (3375), Dear (4425), and 575 unspent points.
#10 XPA's team is worth 20,317 WCS Points with Rain (7175), INnoVation (7325), Zest (5675), and 142 unspent points.
#11 Ejwoda's team is worth 20,229 WCS Points with FanTaSy (5025), Hydra (7000), Zest (5675), Ejwoda (2000), and 529 unspent points.
#12 DarkGamer's team is worth 19,925 WCS Points with INnoVation (7325), Hydra (7000), Solar (4700), and 900 unspent points.
#13 SoulRiM's team is worth 19,914 WCS Points with INnoVation (7325), herO (9900), SoulRiM (2000), and 689 unspent points.
#14 shid0x's team is worth 19,500 WCS Points with MMA (3475), Flash (2975), soO (3850), FanTaSy (5025), MarineLorD (3375), and 800 unspent points.
#15 Sargeo's team is worth 19,469 WCS Points with ByuL (6975), Classic (6550), Zest (5675), and 269 unspent points.
#16 Die4Ever's team is worth 19,206 WCS Points with Maru (8050), Dark (4925), sOs (5525), and 706 unspent points.
#17 lkyaugust's team is worth 19,025 WCS Points with Life (7475), Jaedong (4000), Snute (4050), Zanster (3025), and 475 unspent points.
#18 Nephrite's team is worth 18,900 WCS Points with INnoVation (7325), soO (3850), Zest (5675), and 2050 unspent points.
#19 ropespierre's team is worth 18,875 WCS Points with sOs (5525), and 13350 unspent points.
#20 patton's team is worth 18,513 WCS Points with viOLet (2850), Polt (5875), Maru (8050), and 1738 unspent points.
#21 Jolt1111's team is worth 18,447 WCS Points with Maru (8050), San (2850), sOs (5525), and 2022 unspent points.
#22 NecroPhagist's team is worth 18,325 WCS Points with HyuN (5025), Maru (8050), Dark (4925), and 325 unspent points.
#23 im0001's team is worth 18,250 WCS Points with elfi (2550), Snute (4050), TLO (3550), MaSa (2300), Kane (2800), and 3000 unspent points.
#24 BluFenix's team is worth 18,175 WCS Points with Polt (5875), Dear (4425), and 7875 unspent points.
#25 ChaosSmurf's team is worth 18,125 WCS Points with Life (7475), FanTaSy (5025), Lilbow (5625), and 0 unspent points.
#26 Poussin's team is worth 18,125 WCS Points with Dark (4925), and 13200 unspent points.
#27 YenFu's team is worth 18,000 WCS Points with sOs (5525), Classic (6550), Zest (5675), and 250 unspent points.
#28 Overmind's team is worth 18,000 WCS Points with Life (7475), Hydra (7000), and 3525 unspent points.
#29 Divain's team is worth 18,000 WCS Points with INnoVation (7325), ByuL (6975), and 3700 unspent points.
#30 The_Templar's team is worth 18,000 WCS Points with ByuL (6975), and 11025 unspent points.
#31 Cricketer's team is worth 18,000 WCS Points with ByuL (6975), and 11025 unspent points.
#32 nuzznard's team is worth 17,975 WCS Points with herO (9900), Lilbow (5625), and 2450 unspent points.
#33 ZAWGURN's team is worth 17,770 WCS Points with herO (9900), and 7870 unspent points.
#34 quinn123's team is worth 17,450 WCS Points with Polt (5875), Flash (2975), Snute (4050), Bunny (4025), and 525 unspent points.
#35 refuused's team is worth 17,400 WCS Points with ForGG (4425), GuMiho (4225), Maru (8050), and 700 unspent points.
And if we add up the points from all 3 seasons, it's no surprise that CruSaderSC; with his 2nd place in season 1, 17th place in season 2, and 1st place in season 3; is our champion of the whole year! These top 16 of the year will have their #prediction posts specially highlighted on the PASSIONBOARD for the WCS Global Finals LR threads! If you're in this top 16 and your username on WCS Wars does not match your username on TL then please let me know.
2015 Total Leaderboard
#1 CruSaderSC with 49344 points #2 karl1ok with 48433 points #3 lukasus with 47917 points #4 sharkie with 46402 points #5 OtherWorld with 45788 points #6 Darkened with 42806 points #7 Die4Ever with 41715 points #8 Sargeo with 40174 points #9 patton with 39655 points #10 The_Templar with 37267 points #11 Solar424 with 34100 points #12 KatatoniK with 32019 points #13 SoulRiM with 26902 points #14 GYM with 23202 points #15 Tofu33 with 23004 points #16 sadeiko with 21801 points + Show Spoiler [More] +
#17 Xithryl with 21463 points #18 Sephrenya with 21184 points #19 Deltia with 20517 points #20 XPA with 20317 points #21 Ejwoda with 20229 points #22 Darkdwarf with 20195 points #23 DarkGamer with 19925 points #24 shid0x with 19500 points #25 Magnuz with 19075 points #26 lkyaugust with 19025 points #27 Nephrite with 18900 points #28 ropespierre with 18875 points #29 Jolt1111 with 18447 points #30 SkyHigh with 18425 points #31 ch1ll1ng with 18350 points #32 NecroPhagist with 18325 points #33 im0001 with 18250 points #34 BluFenix with 18175 points #35 Poussin with 18125 points #36 ChaosSmurf with 18125 points #37 Divain with 18000 points #38 YenFu with 18000 points #39 Cricketer with 18000 points #40 Overmind with 18000 points #41 nuzznard with 17975 points #42 ZAWGURN with 17770 points #43 quinn123 with 17450 points #44 refuused with 17400 points #45 Topher with 16900 points #46 Sakat with 14453 points #47 FloW with 14125 points #48 samsungjackets with 14100 points #49 stardust with 13525 points #50 El DesMadre with 13449 points #51 loves_to_69 with 13250 points #52 Surfacing with 12925 points #53 80hd10 with 12800 points #54 Alurian with 12800 points #55 Bockwurst with 12713 points #56 lllllllllll Kappa with 12477 points #57 samsara with 12409 points #58 Universe with 12325 points #59 edwahn with 12132 points #60 LYLY with 12125 points #61 temponly with 12100 points #62 WaspVenoM with 11900 points #63 adalander with 11879 points #64 collo with 11775 points #65 daffe with 11575 points #66 Asmiran with 11225 points #67 Swisslink with 11175 points #68 seph with 11050 points #69 invisigoat with 10783 points #70 denon39 with 10750 points #71 BMKingPrime with 10675 points #72 Wedge with 10283 points #73 puCK with 10213 points #74 kasraman1000 with 9953 points #75 JackBeckman with 9800 points #76 AweesomeSauce with 9699 points #77 Darquess with 9650 points #78 MMi with 9625 points #79 t0rment with 9525 points #80 Lucrania with 9425 points #81 Totorosc2 with 9375 points #82 Trumpet with 9025 points #83 Kuchiki with 8900 points #84 Philouzy with 8562 points #85 YankoBzykant with 8525 points #86 oufanforever with 8474 points #87 Taari with 8375 points #88 feebleFanfare with 8338 points #89 Tarmil with 8325 points #90 KingofdaHipHop with 8275 points #91 badbeat with 8225 points #92 Nezgar with 8190 points #93 Supernopro with 7963 points #94 User15937 with 7950 points #95 Seigifried with 7875 points #96 belling with 7813 points #97 NotTrulyEvil with 7725 points #98 baxon with 7675 points #99 Flume with 7575 points #100 SPRX97 with 7500 points #101 showstealer1829 with 7455 points #102 Bentheboss with 7375 points #103 velimirg with 7313 points #104 Corvus with 7225 points #105 Newbish4life with 7150 points #106 TeHa with 7062 points #107 Pnissen with 6995 points #108 LastHope with 6475 points #109 Colouss with 6371 points #110 Hjax with 6325 points #111 qqmagnuz with 6300 points #112 codecrunsher with 6288 points
Stats time!
Best Trades
#1 karl1ok gained 2500 points from INnoVation, bought on Tuesday, Jul 07 10:27am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4825 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points.
#2 CruSaderSC gained 2500 points from INnoVation, bought on Sunday, Jul 05 8:33pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4825 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points.
#3 lukasus gained 1825 points from INnoVation, bought on Tuesday, Jul 14 7:12pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5500 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points.
#4 Ejwoda gained 1654 points from ByuL, bought on Tuesday, Jun 30 8:40am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5350 points, sold on Friday, Sep 11 9:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7004 points.
#5 Nephrite gained 1650 points from INnoVation, bought on Saturday, Jul 25 7:52am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5675 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points.
#6 CruSaderSC gained 1600 points from Lilbow, bought on Sunday, Jul 05 8:33pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4025 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5625 points.
#7 KatatoniK gained 1600 points from Lilbow, bought on Monday, Jul 06 3:38pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4025 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5625 points.
#8 Deltia gained 1550 points from ByuL, bought on Wednesday, Jul 01 7:09am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5425 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6975 points.
#9 lukasus gained 1518 points from Lilbow, bought on Tuesday, Aug 25 3:01pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4050 points, sold on Monday, Sep 21 2:56pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5568 points.
#10 Sargeo gained 1350 points from ByuL, bought on Sunday, Jul 12 7:03pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5625 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6975 points.
#11 sharkie gained 1275 points from INnoVation, bought on Friday, Aug 28 8:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6050 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points.
#12 OtherWorld gained 1218 points from Lilbow, bought on Friday, Sep 11 10:13pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4350 points, sold on Monday, Sep 14 3:56am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5568 points.
#13 KatatoniK gained 1200 points from ByuL, bought on Monday, Jul 06 3:38pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5775 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6975 points.
#14 DarkGamer gained 1050 points from INnoVation, bought on Tuesday, Aug 11 9:08am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6275 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points.
#15 sharkie gained 1033 points from ByuL, bought on Thursday, Jul 23 8:41am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5525 points, sold on Tuesday, Sep 08 6:52am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6558 points.
#16 Die4Ever gained 1009 points from INnoVation, bought on Wednesday, Jul 15 12:47am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5500 points, sold on Thursday, Sep 24 12:28pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6509 points.
#17 ropespierre gained 800 points from sOs, bought on Tuesday, Jun 30 4:08am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4725 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5525 points.
#18 Jolt1111 gained 800 points from sOs, bought on Tuesday, Jun 30 5:31am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4725 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5525 points.
#19 DarkGamer gained 750 points from Solar, bought on Tuesday, Aug 11 9:09am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3950 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4700 points.
#20 XPA gained 750 points from INnoVation, bought on Friday, Sep 25 8:22am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6575 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points.
#21 CruSaderSC gained 711 points from soO, bought on Sunday, Jul 05 8:35pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3100 points, sold on Friday, Aug 28 11:55pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3811 points.
#22 SoulRiM gained 703 points from Solar, bought on Saturday, Aug 29 12:35pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3950 points, sold on Saturday, Sep 26 2:36pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4653 points.
#23 karl1ok gained 700 points from ByuL, bought on Tuesday, Sep 01 10:26am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6275 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6975 points.
#24 SoulRiM gained 693 points from Lilbow, bought on Sunday, Sep 13 7:58am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4875 points, sold on Monday, Sep 21 5:20pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5568 points.
#25 karl1ok gained 693 points from Lilbow, bought on Sunday, Sep 13 12:03pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4875 points, sold on Friday, Sep 25 8:09am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5568 points.
Worst Trades
#1 Jolt1111 lost 625 points from San, bought on Tuesday, Jun 30 6:19am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3475 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2850 points.
#2 Nephrite lost 600 points from Zest, bought on Saturday, Jul 25 7:51am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6275 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5675 points.
#3 XPA lost 470 points from ByuL, bought on Saturday, Sep 19 11:35am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7375 points, sold on Friday, Sep 25 8:23am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6905 points.
#4 Nephrite lost 450 points from soO, bought on Saturday, Jul 25 7:50am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4300 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3850 points.
#5 sharkie lost 425 points from Dark, bought on Wednesday, Jul 08 10:35pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5350 points, sold on Thursday, Jul 09 3:11pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4925 points.
#6 OtherWorld lost 425 points from Dark, bought on Thursday, Jul 09 9:05am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5350 points, sold on Thursday, Jul 09 6:23pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4925 points.
#7 Darkened lost 400 points from ByuL, bought on Thursday, Sep 17 4:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7375 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6975 points.
#8 Die4Ever lost 395 points from ForGG, bought on Saturday, Sep 12 8:06pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4775 points, sold on Thursday, Sep 24 12:28pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4380 points.
#9 quinn123 lost 375 points from Bunny, bought on Tuesday, Jun 30 4:43am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4400 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4025 points.
#10 OtherWorld lost 372 points from Journey, bought on Thursday, Jul 02 8:04am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2525 points, sold on Friday, Jul 03 7:16am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2153 points.
#11 sharkie lost 370 points from Hydra, bought on Friday, Sep 11 8:49pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7300 points, sold on Saturday, Sep 12 7:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6930 points.
#12 lukasus lost 366 points from Classic, bought on Thursday, Aug 13 7:38am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6850 points, sold on Tuesday, Aug 25 3:01pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6484 points.
#13 lukasus lost 366 points from Classic, bought on Wednesday, Sep 16 9:22am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6850 points, sold on Monday, Sep 21 2:56pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6484 points.
#14 OtherWorld lost 360 points from Zest, bought on Wednesday, Aug 19 8:16pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6225 points, sold on Thursday, Aug 20 5:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5865 points.
#15 OtherWorld lost 356 points from soO, bought on Thursday, Jul 02 8:04am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3375 points, sold on Friday, Jul 03 7:16am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3019 points.
#16 lukasus lost 350 points from Dear, bought on Tuesday, Sep 22 1:44pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4775 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4425 points.
#17 refuused lost 350 points from ForGG, bought on Sunday, Sep 13 1:27am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4775 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4425 points.
#18 quinn123 lost 350 points from Snute, bought on Tuesday, Jun 30 4:43am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4400 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4050 points.
#19 karl1ok lost 344 points from HyuN, bought on Tuesday, Aug 11 12:20pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4675 points, sold on Friday, Aug 14 9:15am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4331 points.
#20 lukasus lost 343 points from Lilbow, bought on Tuesday, Jul 14 7:16pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4575 points, sold on Thursday, Aug 06 7:12am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4232 points.
#21 sharkie lost 332 points from Petraeus, bought on Friday, Sep 11 8:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3425 points, sold on Saturday, Sep 12 7:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3093 points.
#22 Darkened lost 332 points from Petraeus, bought on Friday, Sep 11 2:47pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3425 points, sold on Thursday, Sep 17 4:49pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3093 points.
#23 Darkened lost 314 points from soO, bought on Sunday, Aug 02 12:56pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4125 points, sold on Wednesday, Aug 26 3:14pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3811 points.
#24 Ejwoda lost 300 points from Hydra, bought on Friday, Sep 11 9:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7300 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7000 points.
#25 XPA lost 289 points from soO, bought on Tuesday, Aug 25 3:27pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4100 points, sold on Wednesday, Aug 26 2:21pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3811 points.
Quickest Profitable Sales
#1 XPA gained 92 points from Bomber over a span of 7 hours, bought on Wednesday, Jul 22 8:20am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3150 points, sold on Wednesday, Jul 22 4:04pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3242 points.
#2 OtherWorld gained 116 points from Zest over a span of 9 hours, bought on Thursday, Jul 09 9:05am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5725 points, sold on Thursday, Jul 09 6:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5841 points.
#3 OtherWorld gained 188 points from Polt over a span of 11 hours, bought on Thursday, Aug 13 4:54pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5875 points, sold on Friday, Aug 14 4:49am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6063 points.
#4 sharkie gained 266 points from FireCake over a span of 12 hours, bought on Thursday, Jul 09 7:02pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3100 points, sold on Friday, Jul 10 7:42am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3366 points.
#5 sharkie gained 70 points from iaguz over a span of 13 hours, bought on Saturday, Jul 11 10:36pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2850 points, sold on Sunday, Jul 12 11:44am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2920 points.
#6 OtherWorld gained 405 points from GuMiho over a span of 14 hours, bought on Friday, Sep 11 6:08am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4025 points, sold on Friday, Sep 11 8:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4430 points.
#7 OtherWorld gained 146 points from Rogue over a span of 14 hours, bought on Friday, Jul 03 7:22am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5200 points, sold on Friday, Jul 03 10:12pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5346 points.
#8 OtherWorld gained 275 points from sOs over a span of 14 hours, bought on Friday, Jul 03 7:19am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4650 points, sold on Friday, Jul 03 10:12pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4925 points.
#9 OtherWorld gained 143 points from ByuL over a span of 14 hours, bought on Friday, Jul 03 7:17am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5425 points, sold on Friday, Jul 03 10:12pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5568 points.
#10 sharkie gained 198 points from INnoVation over a span of 15 hours, bought on Friday, Jul 10 7:44am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4900 points, sold on Friday, Jul 10 11:12pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5098 points.
#11 Darkened gained 143 points from ByuL over a span of 16 hours, bought on Thursday, Jul 02 9:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5425 points, sold on Friday, Jul 03 1:33pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5568 points.
#12 Darkened gained 121 points from Rogue over a span of 16 hours, bought on Thursday, Jul 02 9:03pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5225 points, sold on Friday, Jul 03 1:33pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5346 points.
#13 OtherWorld gained 162 points from soO over a span of 18 hours, bought on Saturday, Jul 11 11:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3600 points, sold on Sunday, Jul 12 5:57pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3762 points.
#14 OtherWorld gained 167 points from soO over a span of 18 hours, bought on Sunday, Jul 05 8:45pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3100 points, sold on Monday, Jul 06 3:38pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3267 points.
#15 OtherWorld gained 42 points from ByuL over a span of 18 hours, bought on Sunday, Jul 05 8:44pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5675 points, sold on Monday, Jul 06 3:38pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5717 points.
#16 OtherWorld gained 227 points from Rain over a span of 19 hours, bought on Thursday, Aug 06 8:08am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 6925 points, sold on Friday, Aug 07 3:19am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7152 points.
#17 Die4Ever gained 90 points from soO over a span of 19 hours, bought on Friday, Jul 10 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3300 points, sold on Friday, Jul 10 11:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3390 points.
#18 Darkened gained 143 points from uThermal over a span of 19 hours, bought on Tuesday, Jul 28 11:15am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3025 points, sold on Wednesday, Jul 29 7:04am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3168 points.
#19 Darkened gained 33 points from ForGG over a span of 19 hours, bought on Tuesday, Jul 28 11:15am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4050 points, sold on Wednesday, Jul 29 7:03am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4083 points.
#20 Darkened gained 138 points from TLO over a span of 19 hours, bought on Tuesday, Jul 28 11:15am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3500 points, sold on Wednesday, Jul 29 7:04am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3638 points.
#21 sharkie gained 95 points from Petraeus over a span of 20 hours, bought on Saturday, Jul 11 10:37pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2800 points, sold on Sunday, Jul 12 7:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2895 points.
#22 sharkie gained 47 points from sKyHigh over a span of 20 hours, bought on Wednesday, Jul 08 10:36pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2650 points, sold on Thursday, Jul 09 7:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2697 points.
#23 OtherWorld gained 145 points from iaguz over a span of 21 hours, bought on Sunday, Aug 16 7:52am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2775 points, sold on Monday, Aug 17 5:17am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2920 points.
#24 OtherWorld gained 244 points from Petraeus over a span of 21 hours, bought on Saturday, Jul 04 11:14pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 2825 points, sold on Sunday, Jul 05 8:43pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3069 points.
#25 OtherWorld gained 164 points from MarineLorD over a span of 21 hours, bought on Sunday, Aug 16 7:47am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3375 points, sold on Monday, Aug 17 5:17am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 3539 points.
Givers
#1 INnoVation gave 14026 points with 17 trades, for an average of 825 points per trade.
#2 ByuL gave 8120 points with 23 trades, for an average of 353 points per trade.
#3 Lilbow gave 7996 points with 17 trades, for an average of 470 points per trade.
#4 sOs gave 2587 points with 10 trades, for an average of 258 points per trade.
#5 Solar gave 1774 points with 4 trades, for an average of 443 points per trade.
#1 INnoVation gained 2825 points over 87 days, going from 4500 points on Tuesday, Jun 30 2:36am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 7325 points on Friday, Sep 25 11:14am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#2 ByuL gained 2025 points over 78 days, going from 5350 points on Tuesday, Jun 30 2:36am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 7375 points on Wednesday, Sep 16 12:09pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#3 Lilbow gained 1675 points over 64 days, going from 3950 points on Friday, Jul 10 10:42pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 5625 points on Sunday, Sep 13 5:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#4 Solar gained 1525 points over 79 days, going from 3175 points on Wednesday, Jul 08 5:09am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4700 points on Saturday, Sep 26 4:09am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#5 herO gained 1450 points over 48 days, going from 8450 points on Friday, Jul 24 12:17am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 9900 points on Thursday, Sep 10 10:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#6 HyuN gained 1250 points over 16 days, going from 3750 points on Tuesday, Jun 30 9:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 5000 points on Friday, Jul 17 7:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#7 soO gained 1250 points over 12 days, going from 3050 points on Friday, Jul 03 4:17am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4300 points on Wednesday, Jul 15 4:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#8 MaNa gained 1225 points over 50 days, going from 2800 points on Saturday, Jul 25 6:58am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4025 points on Sunday, Sep 13 5:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#9 Zest gained 1150 points over 31 days, going from 5250 points on Tuesday, Jun 30 2:36am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 6400 points on Friday, Jul 31 4:18pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#10 sOs gained 1025 points over 48 days, going from 4500 points on Friday, Aug 07 5:32am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 5525 points on Thursday, Sep 24 10:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#11 PartinG gained 950 points over 50 days, going from 7425 points on Saturday, Jul 11 1:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 8375 points on Monday, Aug 31 12:48am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#12 ForGG gained 950 points over 63 days, going from 3825 points on Saturday, Jul 11 1:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4775 points on Saturday, Sep 12 7:02pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#13 Dear gained 950 points over 28 days, going from 3825 points on Tuesday, Aug 18 9:03pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4775 points on Wednesday, Sep 16 12:09pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#14 Losira gained 875 points over 23 days, going from 2400 points on Wednesday, Jul 08 5:09am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3275 points on Friday, Jul 31 9:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#15 FanTaSy gained 875 points over 17 days, going from 4575 points on Monday, Jul 13 7:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 5450 points on Friday, Jul 31 2:54am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#16 Rain gained 850 points over 22 days, going from 6925 points on Thursday, Aug 06 2:49am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 7775 points on Friday, Aug 28 8:36pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#17 Rain gained 750 points over 11 days, going from 7075 points on Tuesday, Jun 30 2:36am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 7825 points on Sunday, Jul 12 12:27am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#18 Curious gained 750 points over 5 days, going from 3575 points on Wednesday, Jul 15 4:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4325 points on Tuesday, Jul 21 4:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#19 Patience gained 750 points over 10 days, going from 2900 points on Monday, Jul 06 10:13pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3650 points on Friday, Jul 17 7:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#20 TRUE gained 725 points over 4 days, going from 3400 points on Monday, Jul 13 7:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4125 points on Friday, Jul 17 9:31pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#21 Happy gained 700 points over 8 days, going from 2325 points on Monday, Jul 06 2:37pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3025 points on Tuesday, Jul 14 3:55pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#22 uThermal gained 675 points over 24 days, going from 2650 points on Sunday, Jul 05 9:57pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3325 points on Thursday, Jul 30 4:20pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#23 HyuN gained 650 points over 41 days, going from 4375 points on Friday, Aug 14 3:01pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 5025 points on Friday, Sep 25 1:29pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#24 Zanster gained 650 points over 64 days, going from 2375 points on Wednesday, Jul 08 5:09am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3025 points on Friday, Sep 11 3:10am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#25 Classic gained 625 points over 21 days, going from 6425 points on Thursday, Jul 16 1:33pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 7050 points on Friday, Aug 07 12:02am GMT (GMT+00:00).
Untapped Potential
#1 Losira gained 875 points over 23 days, going from 2400 points on Wednesday, Jul 08 5:09am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3275 points on Friday, Jul 31 9:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#2 Patience gained 750 points over 10 days, going from 2900 points on Monday, Jul 06 10:13pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3650 points on Friday, Jul 17 7:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#3 TY gained 600 points over 8 days, going from 4025 points on Tuesday, Aug 11 7:13pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4625 points on Thursday, Aug 20 1:54pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#4 Nerchio gained 525 points over 6 days, going from 2225 points on Monday, Jul 06 2:37pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2750 points on Sunday, Jul 12 8:48pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#5 StarDust gained 400 points over 65 hours, going from 3000 points on Monday, Jul 13 7:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3400 points on Thursday, Jul 16 1:33pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#6 Has gained 400 points over 19 days, going from 2675 points on Sunday, Jul 19 9:09am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3075 points on Saturday, Aug 08 5:53am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#7 Leenock gained 375 points over 43 hours, going from 3150 points on Wednesday, Sep 23 4:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 3525 points on Friday, Sep 25 11:14am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#8 TaeJa gained 375 points over 15 days, going from 2275 points on Wednesday, Jul 01 4:07am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2650 points on Thursday, Jul 16 9:42pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#9 BBoongBBoong gained 375 points over 23 hours, going from 2125 points on Thursday, Jul 30 4:20pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2500 points on Friday, Jul 31 4:18pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#10 TY gained 375 points over 10 days, going from 4000 points on Wednesday, Jul 08 10:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4375 points on Sunday, Jul 19 4:13am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#11 Reality gained 375 points over 28 hours, going from 2000 points on Thursday, Sep 24 12:07pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2375 points on Friday, Sep 25 4:43pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#12 MyuNgSiK gained 375 points over 7 days, going from 3950 points on Wednesday, Jul 01 10:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4325 points on Thursday, Jul 09 9:43pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#13 NaNiwa gained 325 points over 7 days, going from 2325 points on Monday, Jul 06 2:37pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2650 points on Monday, Jul 13 7:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#14 MyuNgSiK gained 325 points over 22 hours, going from 3925 points on Wednesday, Aug 05 8:01pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 4250 points on Thursday, Aug 06 6:11pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#15 neeb gained 300 points over 20 days, going from 2000 points on Thursday, Jul 02 1:44pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2300 points on Wednesday, Jul 22 11:17pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#16 DmC gained 300 points over 33 hours, going from 2000 points on Wednesday, Jul 08 2:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2300 points on Friday, Jul 10 12:24am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#17 MacSed gained 275 points over 10 days, going from 2450 points on Tuesday, Jul 28 7:45pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2725 points on Saturday, Aug 08 3:04am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#18 YongHwa gained 250 points over 21 hours, going from 2250 points on Wednesday, Jul 15 4:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2500 points on Thursday, Jul 16 1:49pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#19 Seed gained 250 points over 1 hours, going from 2150 points on Wednesday, Jul 15 4:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2400 points on Wednesday, Jul 15 6:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#20 KeeN gained 250 points over 7 hours, going from 2175 points on Thursday, Jul 30 2:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2425 points on Thursday, Jul 30 9:47pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#21 Sen gained 250 points over 23 hours, going from 2625 points on Saturday, Aug 15 7:49am GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2875 points on Sunday, Aug 16 7:27am GMT (GMT+00:00).
#22 SuperNova gained 250 points over 1 hours, going from 2150 points on Wednesday, Jul 15 4:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2400 points on Wednesday, Jul 15 6:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#23 Alicia gained 250 points over 1 hours, going from 2000 points on Wednesday, Jul 15 4:24pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2250 points on Wednesday, Jul 15 6:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#24 MorroW gained 250 points over 3 days, going from 2275 points on Sunday, Jul 12 8:48pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2525 points on Thursday, Jul 16 6:23pm GMT (GMT+00:00).
#25 TooDming gained 250 points over 8 hours, going from 2250 points on Tuesday, Jul 28 7:45pm GMT (GMT+00:00), to 2500 points on Wednesday, Jul 29 4:03am GMT (GMT+00:00).
Best Timing
#1 CruSaderSC with INnoVation gained 2500 points but could've gained 2825 points if bought 5 days earlier and sold 21 hours earlier.
#2 karl1ok with INnoVation gained 2500 points but could've gained 2825 points if bought 7 days earlier and sold 21 hours earlier.
#3 CruSaderSC with Lilbow gained 1600 points but could've gained 1675 points if bought 3 days later and sold 21 hours earlier.
#4 KatatoniK with Lilbow gained 1600 points but could've gained 1675 points if bought 2 days later and sold 21 hours earlier.
#5 Deltia with ByuL gained 1550 points but could've gained 1625 points if bought 21 hours earlier and sold 21 hours earlier.
3rd place this season, 2nd place this year, as well as best buy in season 2 and 3. I feel content with this. Shame I dont get my 2nd trophy next to my name. GG anyways!
Thanks to D4E for WCS Wars. Had a blast playing it and of course winning it in season 3 :D As for the prize I would prefer TL+ please. Hope to see you guys again next year!
#5 seed with 5325 WCS Points. Facing Zest in the WCS Global Finals ro16. WCS match record - Total: 28-14, vsT: 7-4, vsZ: 10-3, vsP: 11-7
From GSL, Innovation got 600 points from an 8th place in season 1, 300 from a 32nd place in season 2, and 2000 points from winning season 3. From SSL, he got 50 points season 2 Challenge, and 600 for an 8th place in season 3. And from WCS Partner tournaments he got 250 from an 8th place in Hot6ix Cup, 400 from an 8th place in IEM World Championship, 750 from winning IEM Gamescom, and 375 from a 4th place in MSI Masters. That adds up to 2900 WCS Points from GSL/SSL, and 1775 WCS Points from WCS Partner tournaments.
Innovation started the WCS year qualified for the Hot6ix Cup and at 38.12% Blizzcon Chances. He quickly went up to 51.55% when he won his ro16 group, where he lost to herO but then beat Stats and herO to advance (MarineKing advanced in 1st place from this group!). Innovation and Parting were both the first players to get over 50% and they did so on the same simulation. Innovation then lost the quarterfinals vs sOs and dropped down to 42.78% on December 3rd. When he qualified for SSL S1 he went up to 55.01%, and then he qualified for GSL S1 which put him up at 66.74%. He then lost to Stats in SSL Challenge and fell down to 45.71%. Innovation winning his ro32 group in GSL brought him back up to 54.24%. Then he won his ro16 group in February, bringing him up to 66.35%. Qualifying for IEM World Championship (Katowice) brought him up to 79.03%. Then he lost to Life in the GSL quarterfinals, dropping down to 70.58%. At IEM Katowice in March, Innovation got revenge on Life in the ro16, but then lost to Zest in the quarterfinals, ending up at 67.6%. + Show Spoiler [Innovation vs Life] +
When Innovation was seeded into SSL S2 Challenge for being one of the top 4 players in Proleague, he went up to 78.37%. However his first match was against Byul where he lost 2-3, going down to 48.47%. In May, Innovation won his GSL S2 ro32 group, bringing him up to 51.03%. Losing in the ro16 to Rain and Bbyong, he went back down to 27.34%. Qualifying for SSL S3 brought him back up to 32.04%. Then qualifying for MSI Masters put him up at 43.79%.
In July, Innovation beat Snute in the SSL S3 Challenge match, qualified for IEM Gamescom, and beat Keen in GSL Code A S3 all to go up to 83.94%. Then at the end of July in his SSL S3 ro16 group, Innovation lost to herO, but then beat sOs and Life, going up to 93.15%.
In August at IEM Gamescom, Innovation won the tournament beating Ret, Lilbow, ForGG, MMA, and soO, only losing to Fantasy in the ro16 group. This made Innovation the 12th player to get over 99% Blizzcon Chances. He got up to 99.99% by beating Flash and Curious to advance from the GSL S3 ro32, making him the 11th player to get over 99.99%. Then he lost to Byul, again with a 2-3 score, in the SSL S3 quarterfinals, but he was still at 99.99%. At the end of August in MSI Masters, Innovation beat Has, Hydra, and Hyun, but then lost to sOs in the semifinals. Innovation was still at 99.99% and now with 3625 WCS Points.
In September in GSL S3, Innovation beat Flash and Gumiho to advance from his ro16 group putting him at 100% Blizzcon Chances and 3925 WCS Points. Then he beat Zest in the quarterfinals with some innovative drilling claws widow mine drops, and then beat Maru in the semifinals, putting Innovation at 4,575 WCS Points.
In October he finished it off by beating Byul in the GSL S3 finals, with a 4-2 score, ending up with 5325 WCS Points.
November 2014 - From 38.12% to 47.17%, 0 WCS Points to 250, 1,550 Median Points to 2,250 Chances November Points November (the blue line is WCS Points, the black line is median WCS Points) Nov 17 - 38.12% - WCS 2015 started with Hot6ix Cup Nov 17 to Nov 18 - INnoVation lost to herO in Hot6ix Cup round of 16, INnoVation beat Stats in Hot6ix Cup round of 16, INnoVation beat herO in Hot6ix Cup round of 16 - going from 38.12% to 51.55%, min points from 0 to 250, median points from 1,550 to 2,025 Nov 22 to Nov 25 - WCS 2015 points distribution announced, Parting replacing Rain in Hot6ix Cup, Added IEM San Jose - going from 51.5% to 48.93%, min points 250, median points from 2,000 to 2,300
December 2014 - From 47.22% to 46.62%, 250 WCS Points to 400, 2,225 Median Points to 2,450 Chances December Points December Nov 30 to Dec 2 - Hot6ix Cup Quarterfinals Day 1, Swapped Hot6ix Cup bracket around - going from 47.17% to 47.22%, min points 250, median points from 2,250 to 2,225 Dec 2 to Dec 4 - INnoVation lost to sOs in Hot6ix Cup quarterfinals, Hot6ix Cup semifinals set, IEM San Jose Stage 1 - going from 47.22% to 40.81%, min points 250, median points from 2,225 to 2,000 Dec 9 - StarLeague format and seeds, Weighted StarLeague and GSL qualifiers more towards stronger players - going from 40.19% to 41.78%, min points 250, median points from 1,975 to 2,100 Dec 9 to Dec 11 - SSL Season 1 Ro32 matches set, SSL qualifiers now have a large Korean bias - going from 41.78% to 55.01%, min points 250, median points from 2,100 to 2,700 Dec 12 to Dec 15 - GSL Season 1 Qualifiers - going from 54.7% to 66.74%, min points from 250 to 400, median points from 2,700 to 3,250 Dec 23 to Dec 24 - INnoVation lost to Stats in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32, S2SL S1 Challenge Day 3, GSL S1 Ro32 Groups Drawn - going from 65.39% to 45.71%, min points 400, median points from 3,175 to 2,425
January 2015 - From 46.38% to 55.79%, 400 WCS Points to 600, 2,450 Median Points to 2,875 Chances January Points January Dec 31 to Jan 3 - going from 46.62% to 46.38%, min points 400, median points 2,450 Jan 3 to Jan 4 - Added IEM Taipei - going from 46.38% to 57.83%, min points from 400 to 525, median points from 2,450 to 2,850 Jan 16 - IEM Taipei groups and open brackets set, WCS S1 last chance EU qualifier, WCS S1 Latin America qualifier 2 - going from 55.73% to 46.98%, min points from 525 to 400, median points from 2,850 to 2,550 Jan 22 to Jan 23 - INnoVation beat Super in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, INnoVation beat Solar in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, Code S S1 ro32 group H, and WCS S1 Challenger TW, WCS S1 Challenger EU Day 2 - going from 46.11% to 54.24%, min points from 400 to 600, median points from 2,525 to 2,800
February 2015 - From 56.2% to 79.18%, 600 WCS Points to 1,250, 2,900 Median Points to 3,750 Chances February Points February Jan 31 to Feb 1 - IEM Taipei semifinals, StarTale Life wins IEM Taipei over Jinair Maru - going from 55.79% to 56.2%, min points 600, median points from 2,875 to 2,900 Feb 10 to Feb 11 - INnoVation beat Terminator in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16, INnoVation lost to MMA in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16, INnoVation beat Terminator in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16, GSL S1 Code S ro16 Group A, Added IEM Katowice with 8 invites - going from 57.82% to 66.35%, min points from 600 to 1,000, median points from 2,950 to 3,250 Feb 23 to Feb 25 - IEM Katowice Qualifiers, Code S S1 ro16 Group C - going from 65.2% to 79.03%, min points from 1,000 to 1,250, median points from 3,200 to 3,750
March 2015 - From 79.08% to 73.99%, 1,250 WCS Points to 1,450, 3,750 Median Points to 3,475 Chances March Points March Feb 28 to Mar 1 - WCS S1 Premier ro32 Group H - going from 79.18% to 79.08%, min points 1,250, median points 3,750 Mar 5 to Mar 6 - INnoVation lost to Life in GSL Code S Season 1 quarterfinals, Code S S1 Quarterfinals Day 2 - going from 78.56% to 70.58%, min points 1,250, median points from 3,700 to 3,350 Mar 11 to Mar 12 - INnoVation beat Life in IEM Katowice round of 16, IEM Katowice Day 1 - going from 69.76% to 78.99%, min points from 1,250 to 1,400, median points from 3,300 to 3,650 Mar 13 to Mar 14 - INnoVation lost to Zest in IEM Katowice quarterfinals, IEM Katowice Quarterfinals, IEM Katowice Day 3 - going from 78.95% to 67.6%, min points 1,400, median points from 3,625 to 3,225 Mar 25 - NSSL S2 Challenger seeds set, Added Gfinity Spring 1 - going from 67.67% to 78.37%, min points from 1,400 to 1,450, median points from 3,225 to 3,725 Mar 25 to Mar 26 - NSSL S2 qualifiers - going from 78.37% to 75.32%, min points 1,450, median points from 3,725 to 3,600
April 2015 - From 73.91% to 45.97%, 1,450 WCS Points to 1,450, 3,500 Median Points to 2,850 Chances April Points April Mar 31 to Apr 1 - Code A S2 Day 1, Copenhagen Day 1, Added KeSPA Cup 1 with 6 invites, removed Placeholder #20 - going from 73.99% to 73.91%, min points 1,450, median points from 3,475 to 3,500 Apr 9 to Apr 10 - INnoVation lost to ByuL in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24, SSL S2 Challenger Day 4 and Code A S2 Day 6, DreamHack Tours first 84 players, KeSPA Cup 1 EU qualifiers, Jaedong moved to NA region, KeSPA Cup 1 AM qualifier - going from 69.21% to 48.47%, min points 1,450, median points from 3,500 to 2,900
May 2015 - From 44.85% to 49.59%, 1,450 WCS Points to 1,650, 2,825 Median Points to 2,925 Chances May Points May Apr 30 to May 1 - Code S S2 ro32 Group C, Gfinity Day 1 - going from 45.97% to 44.85%, min points 1,450, median points from 2,850 to 2,825 May 6 to May 7 - INnoVation beat Creator in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, INnoVation lost to Bomber in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, INnoVation beat Blaze in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, Code S S2 ro32 Group D - going from 44.06% to 51.03%, min points from 1,450 to 1,650, median points from 2,825 to 3,000
June 2015 - From 49.66% to 33.38%, 1,650 WCS Points to 1,700, 2,925 Median Points to 2,550 Chances June Points June May 31 to Jun 1 - going from 49.59% to 49.66%, min points 1,650, median points 2,925 Jun 4 to Jun 5 - INnoVation lost to Rain in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, INnoVation lost to Bbyong in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, Code S S2 Ro16 Group B - going from 49.05% to 27.34%, min points 1,650, median points from 2,925 to 2,500 Jun 24 to Jun 25 - SSL S3 qualifiers and seeds - going from 21.64% to 32.04%, min points from 1,650 to 1,700, median points from 2,450 to 2,700 Jun 29 to Jun 30 - Added ASUS Summer with 4 players qualified, added IEM Cologne and MSI, removed 10 Placeholder tournaments, down to 7 Placeholders now, Start of WCS Wars season 3, SSL S3 Challenger matches set - going from 33.13% to 33.42%, min points 1,700, median points from 2,700 to 2,550
July 2015 - From 33.41% to 93.56%, 1,700 WCS Points to 2,550, 2,550 Median Points to 3,925 Chances July Points July Jun 30 - WCS S3 AM Qualifier #1 - going from 33.38% to 33.41%, min points 1,700, median points 2,550 Jul 1 to Jul 2 - SSL S3 Challenger Day 1, KeSPA Cup 2 bracket set, MSI Korean qualifier, WCS S3 AM Qualifier #2 and LA Qualifier - going from 31.73% to 43.79%, min points 1,700, median points from 2,525 to 2,800 Jul 9 - MSI EU Qualifier, MSI reduced to 16 players and Gfinity 1+2 bug fixes, ASUS Qualifier #4, more bug fixes, removed WCS Points given to seeded players who lose in SSL Challenger, WCS S3 AM Qualifier #4 - going from 43.73% to 47.27%, min points from 1,700 to 1,825, median points from 2,800 to 2,900 Jul 9 to Jul 10 - INnoVation beat Snute in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24, SSL S3 Challenge Day 4, Code A S3 Day 3, WCS S3 EU Last Chance Qualifier - going from 47.27% to 61.97%, min points from 1,825 to 2,075, median points from 2,900 to 3,150 Jul 13 to Jul 14 - locked in player list for ASUS Summer with 16 invites, IEM Gamescom Asian Final Qualifier - going from 61.32% to 76.95%, min points from 2,075 to 2,200, median points from 3,150 to 3,500 Jul 14 to Jul 16 - INnoVation beat KeeN in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48, Code A S3 Day 4, DH Valencia and IEM Shenzhen finalized groups/brackets, IEM Shenzhen ro16 groups set, IEM Gamescom AM qualifier, Code A jjakji vs Trust - going from 76.95% to 83.94%, min points from 2,200 to 2,250, median points from 3,500 to 3,725 Jul 29 to Jul 30 - INnoVation lost to herO in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16, INnoVation beat sOs in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16, INnoVation beat Life in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16, SSL S3 Ro16 Group C, ASUS ROG Ro16 groups set, Rain forfeited IEM Gamescom, ASUS ROG Day 1 - going from 82.51% to 93.15%, AFK Chances from 0% to 3.34%, min points from 2,250 to 2,550, median points from 3,550 to 3,925
August 2015 - From 92.55% to 99.99%, 2,550 WCS Points to 3,625, 3,900 Median Points to 3,925 Chances August Points August Jul 31 to Aug 1 - MSI Masters 6 invites and player list locked - going from 93.56% to 92.55%, min points 2,550, median points from 3,925 to 3,900 Aug 3 to Aug 4 - Fixed ASUS ROG WCS Points, Removed KeSPA Cup 3 - going from 92.57% to 94.03%, AFK Chances from 2.39% to 4.65%, min points 2,550, median points from 3,900 to 3,875 Aug 5 to Aug 7 - INnoVation beat Ret in IEM Gamescom round of 16, INnoVation lost to FanTaSy in IEM Gamescom round of 16, INnoVation beat Lilbow in IEM Gamescom round of 16, SSL S3 ro16 Group B, IEM Gamescom day 2, SSL S3 bracket pattern set - going from 94.43% to 95.87%, AFK Chances from 4.99% to 20.06%, min points from 2,550 to 2,675, median points from 3,875 to 3,950 Aug 8 to Aug 9 - INnoVation beat ForGG in IEM Gamescom quarterfinals, IEM Gamescom Day 4, 4Gamers ro16 Day 2 - going from 95.54% to 97.85%, AFK Chances from 17.2% to 40.48%, min points from 2,675 to 2,800, median points from 3,900 to 4,025 Aug 9 - INnoVation beat MMA in IEM Gamescom semifinals, IEM Gamescom semifinals - going from 97.85% to 99.06%, AFK Chances from 40.48% to 71.36%, min points from 2,800 to 2,925, median points from 4,025 to 4,100 Aug 9 - INnoVation beat soO in IEM Gamescom finals, SKT T1 INnoVation wins IEM Gamescom over SKT T1 soO, 4Gamers quarterfinals - going from 99.06% to 99.84%, AFK Chances from 71.36% to 96.18%, min points from 2,925 to 3,175, median points from 4,100 to 4,325 Aug 13 to Aug 15 - INnoVation beat Flash in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, INnoVation beat Curious in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, Code S S3 ro32 Group E, MSI ro16 groups set, WCS S3 Ro32 Group B - going from 99.88% to 99.99%, min points from 3,175 to 3,375, median points from 4,250 to 4,600 Aug 19 to Aug 20 - INnoVation lost to ByuL in StarLeague Season 3 quarterfinals, SSL S3 Quarterfinals Day 1 - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points 3,375, median points from 4,600 to 4,100 Aug 29 to Aug 30 - INnoVation beat Has in MSI Masters round of 16, INnoVation beat Hydra in MSI Masters round of 16, MSI Masters Day 1 - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points from 3,375 to 3,500, median points from 4,050 to 4,100 Aug 30 to Aug 31 - INnoVation beat HyuN in MSI Masters quarterfinals, MSI Masters semifinals - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points from 3,500 to 3,625, median points from 4,100 to 3,925 Aug 31 - INnoVation lost to sOs in MSI Masters semifinals, Jin Air sOs wins MSI Masters over Samsung Solar - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points 3,625, median points 3,925
September 2015 - From 99.99% to 100%, 3,625 WCS Points to 4,575, 3,925 Median Points to 5,325 Chances September Points September Aug 31 to Sep 1 - Fixes for 50 points from WCS Challenger for uThermal and elfi - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points 3,625, median points 3,925 Sep 10 to Sep 11 - INnoVation beat Flash in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16, INnoVation beat GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16, Code S S3 Ro16 Group D - going from 99.99% to 100%, min points from 3,625 to 3,925, median points from 3,925 to 4,225 Sep 17 to Sep 19 - INnoVation beat Zest in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals, Code S S3 Quarterfinals Day 2, DH Stockholm player list set, Added ForGG to DreamHack Stockholm - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 3,925 to 4,225, median points from 4,225 to 4,575 Sep 24 to Sep 25 - INnoVation beat Maru in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals, Code S S3 Semfinal 2, Innovation beat Maru, DH Stockholm quarterfinals half completed, DH Stockholm quarterfinals completed, DH Stockholm semifinals completed, Samsung Solar wins DH Stockholm over ROCCAT HyuN - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,225 to 4,575, median points from 4,575 to 5,325
October 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,575 WCS Points to 5,325, 5,325 Median Points to 5,325 (Innovation's chances are already at 100%) Points October Sep 28 to Oct 3 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,575, median points 5,325 Oct 3 to Oct 4 - INnoVation beat ByuL in GSL Code S Season 3 finals, SKT T1 INoVation wins GSL S3 over CJ Entus ByuL - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,575 to 5,325, median points 5,325
Nov 18: INnoVation lost to herO in Hot6ix Cup round of 16 Nov 18: INnoVation beat Stats in Hot6ix Cup round of 16 Nov 18: INnoVation beat herO in Hot6ix Cup round of 16 Dec 3: INnoVation lost to sOs in Hot6ix Cup quarterfinals Dec 24: INnoVation lost to Stats in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32 Jan 23: INnoVation beat Super in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32 Jan 23: INnoVation beat Solar in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32 Feb 11: INnoVation beat Terminator in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16 Feb 11: INnoVation lost to MMA in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16 Feb 11: INnoVation beat Terminator in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16 Mar 6: INnoVation lost to Life in GSL Code S Season 1 quarterfinals Mar 12: INnoVation beat Life in IEM Katowice round of 16 Mar 14: INnoVation lost to Zest in IEM Katowice quarterfinals Apr 10: INnoVation lost to ByuL in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24 May 6: INnoVation beat Creator in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32 May 6: INnoVation lost to Bomber in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32 May 6: INnoVation beat Blaze in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32 Jun 5: INnoVation lost to Rain in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16 Jun 5: INnoVation lost to Bbyong in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16 Jul 10: INnoVation beat Snute in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24 Jul 15: INnoVation beat KeeN in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48 Jul 30: INnoVation lost to herO in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16 Jul 30: INnoVation beat sOs in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16 Jul 30: INnoVation beat Life in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16 Aug 6: INnoVation beat Ret in IEM Gamescom round of 16 Aug 6: INnoVation lost to FanTaSy in IEM Gamescom round of 16 Aug 6: INnoVation beat Lilbow in IEM Gamescom round of 16 Aug 8: INnoVation beat ForGG in IEM Gamescom quarterfinals Aug 9: INnoVation beat MMA in IEM Gamescom semifinals Aug 9: INnoVation beat soO in IEM Gamescom finals Aug 14: INnoVation beat Flash in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32 Aug 14: INnoVation beat Curious in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32 Aug 20: INnoVation lost to ByuL in StarLeague Season 3 quarterfinals Aug 30: INnoVation beat Has in MSI Masters round of 16 Aug 30: INnoVation beat Hydra in MSI Masters round of 16 Aug 31: INnoVation beat HyuN in MSI Masters quarterfinals Aug 31: INnoVation lost to sOs in MSI Masters semifinals Sep 11: INnoVation beat Flash in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16 Sep 11: INnoVation beat GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16 Sep 18: INnoVation beat Zest in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals Sep 25: INnoVation beat Maru in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals Oct 4: INnoVation beat ByuL in GSL Code S Season 3 finals Total: 28-14, vsT: 7-4, vsZ: 10-3, vsP: 11-7
#8 seed with 4975 WCS Points. Facing Classic in the WCS Global Finals ro16. WCS match record - Total: 24-10, vsT: 8-2, vsZ: 4-2, vsP: 12-6
From GSL, Byul got 1250 points from a 2nd place in season 2, and 1250 from another 2nd place in season 3. From SSL, he got 600 points from an 8th place in SSL S2, and 1250 for a 2nd place in season 3. And from WCS Partner tournaments he got 375 from a 4th place in KeSPA Cup 1, and 250 from an 8th place in KeSPA Cup 2. That adds up to 4350 WCS Points from GSL/SSL, and 625 WCS Points from WCS Partner tournaments. He got 3750 points just from his 2nd places, that's a little over 75% of his points. Out of the 6 tournaments he got points from, he got 2nd place in half of them.
Byul had a slow start at the beginning of WCS 2015. He started off at 10.64% not being qualified for the Hot6ix Cup and not yet in peak form. His first match for WCS Points on December 26th, he lost to Super in SSL Challenge, earning him no points and bringing him down to 2.01% with him also not being qualified for GSL. He didn't do anything else until he qualified for GSL Season 2 going from 1.38% up to 2.76% on March 4th. Then on March 26th he qualified for SSL S2 going up again to 6.42%. His next WCS match wasn't until April 2nd when he beat YongHwa in GSL Code A Season 2, bringing him from 7.59% up to 10.71%. Then, despite the unlucky draw, he beat Innovation in SSL S2 Challenge 3-2, bringing him up to 16.08%. And the very next day he beat Innovation 2-0 to qualify for KeSPA Cup 1 bringing him up further to 21.84%.
Byul had a busy week from May 3rd to the 8th. He beat Maru and Myungsik in KeSPA Cup 1, and lost to herO in the semifinals, putting Byul at 25.87%. Then he beat Trap and Life in his SSL S2 ro16 group, going up to 48.62%. And to finish the week, in his GSL ro32 group he lost to Maru, and then beat Liquid HerO (I had to do a double take!) and TY, going up to 59.41% and 1375 WCS Points. + Show Spoiler [Byul vs Trap] +
Unfortunately this was the only highlight video I could find for Byul.
On May 28th, Byul lost to Classic in the SSL S2 quarterfinals, dropping way down to 38.74%.
June 3rd in the GSL S2 ro16, Byul lost to Curious, beat Dream, and then beat herO, going up to 54.36%. Then Byul went through the playoffs, beating Parting going up to 72.13%, then beating sOs going up to 88.44%. In the GSL S2 finals on June 28th, against Rain, Byul lost 4-1, dropping down to 77.1% with 2375 WCS Points with his first 2nd place of the year.
Starting off July, Byul beat Shine in SSL S3 Challenge, going up to 91.74%. Then in KeSPA Cup 2 he beat Pigbaby and lost to Dark for an 8th place, putting Nyul at 92.77% and 2875 WCS Points. Back to SSL S3 in the ro16, Byul beat Stats and Zest, bringing him up to 98.27%.
In August, Byul won his GSL S3 ro32 group, beating Sleep, losing to Dear, and then beating Fantasy, going up to 99.97% and 3375 WCS Points. Then he again beat Innovation, in the SSL S3 quarterfinals with a 3-2 score. This made Byul the 12th player to reach 99.99% and put him at 3675 WCS Points.
On September 3rd, Byul beat TY in the SSL S3 semifinals, locking in his 100% and going up to 4025 WCS Points. In GSL S3, Byul beat Zest and Solar to advance from the ro16, and then beat Gumiho in the quarterfinals, going up to 4625 WCS Points. On September 20th, Byul again lost in the finals, this time to teammate herO in the SSL S3 finals. In the GSL semifinals, Byul beat Dear to pull off the miracle triple starleague finals, double finals in the same season, going up to his final 4975 WCS Points. Then of course, on October 4th, Byul lost to Innovation in the GSL S3 finals.
If Byul had beaten Innovation in that finals, then he'd have the #4 seed with 5725 WCS Points and be facing Lilbow instead of Classic.
November 2014 - From 10.64% to 8.55%, 0 WCS Points to 0, 750 Median Points to 875 Chances November Points November (the blue line is WCS Points, the black line is median WCS Points) Nov 17 - 10.64% - WCS 2015 started with Hot6ix Cup
December 2014 - From 8.52% to 2.75%, 0 WCS Points to 0, 875 Median Points to 750 Chances December Points December Nov 30 to Dec 2 - Hot6ix Cup Quarterfinals Day 1, Swapped Hot6ix Cup bracket around - going from 8.55% to 8.52%, min points 0, median points 875 Dec 9 to Dec 11 - SSL Season 1 Ro32 matches set, SSL qualifiers now have a large Korean bias - going from 7.76% to 14.72%, min points 0, median points from 875 to 1,250 Dec 12 to Dec 15 - GSL Season 1 Qualifiers - going from 14.68% to 10.33%, min points 0, median points from 1,250 to 1,125 Dec 25 to Dec 26 - ByuL lost to Super in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32, S2SL Challenge Day 5 - going from 8.37% to 2.01%, min points 0, median points from 1,050 to 700 Dec 28 to Dec 31 - going from 2.01% to 2.75%, min points 0, median points from 700 to 750
January 2015 - From 2.24% to 1.1%, 0 WCS Points to 0, 725 Median Points to 625 Chances January Points January Dec 31 to Jan 4 - Added IEM Taipei - going from 2.75% to 2.24%, min points 0, median points from 750 to 725
February 2015 - From 1.13% to 1.4%, 0 WCS Points to 0, 625 Median Points to 650 Chances February Points February Jan 31 to Feb 1 - IEM Taipei semifinals, StarTale Life wins IEM Taipei over Jinair Maru - going from 1.1% to 1.13%, min points 0, median points 625
March 2015 - From 1.4% to 7.74%, 0 WCS Points to 100, 650 Median Points to 1,175 Chances March Points March Feb 28 to Mar 1 - WCS S1 Premier ro32 Group H - going from 1.4% to 1.4%, min points 0, median points 650 Mar 3 to Mar 4 - GSL S2 Qualifiers and Code S S1 Quarterfinals Day 1 - going from 1.38% to 2.76%, min points from 0 to 50, median points from 650 to 825 Mar 25 to Mar 26 - NSSL S2 qualifiers - going from 2.79% to 6.42%, min points from 50 to 100, median points from 850 to 1,125
April 2015 - From 7.59% to 20.13%, 100 WCS Points to 450, 1,175 Median Points to 2,000 Chances April Points April Mar 31 to Apr 1 - Code A S2 Day 1, Copenhagen Day 1, Added KeSPA Cup 1 with 6 invites, removed Placeholder #20 - going from 7.74% to 7.59%, min points 100, median points 1,175 Apr 1 to Apr 2 - ByuL beat YongHwa in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48, Code A S2 Day 2, SSL Challenger S2 Day 1, Copenhagen Spring Day 2 - going from 7.59% to 10.71%, min points from 100 to 200, median points from 1,175 to 1,400 Apr 9 to Apr 10 - ByuL beat INnoVation in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24, SSL S2 Challenger Day 4 and Code A S2 Day 6, DreamHack Tours first 84 players, KeSPA Cup 1 EU qualifiers, Jaedong moved to NA region, KeSPA Cup 1 AM qualifier - going from 8.69% to 16.08%, min points from 200 to 450, median points from 1,425 to 1,850 Apr 10 to Apr 11 - KeSPA Cup Korean qualifier, WCS EU Qualifier #1 - going from 16.08% to 21.84%, min points from 450 to 575, median points from 1,850 to 2,100 Apr 27 to Apr 28 - KeSPA Cup 1 bracket set - going from 20.71% to 20.01%, min points from 575 to 450, median points from 2,075 to 2,000
May 2015 - From 19.7% to 38.62%, 450 WCS Points to 1,375, 2,000 Median Points to 2,700 Chances May Points May Apr 30 to May 1 - Code S S2 ro32 Group C, Gfinity Day 1 - going from 20.13% to 19.7%, min points 450, median points 2,000 May 3 to May 4 - ByuL beat Maru in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16, ByuL beat MyuNgSiK in KeSPA Cup 1 quarterfinals, KeSPA Cup Day 2, WCS S2 ro32 groups drawn, Added Firecake, Welmu, Starnan, and Dayshi to DH Tours, removed Naniwa, Jaedong, Polt, Violet, and Showtime - going from 19.07% to 29.15%, min points from 450 to 825, median points from 2,000 to 2,350 May 4 to May 5 - ByuL lost to herO in KeSPA Cup 1 semifinals, CJ Entus herO wins KeSPA Cup 1 over SKT T1 Dark, DH Tours groups set - going from 29.15% to 25.87%, min points 825, median points from 2,350 to 2,250 May 7 - ByuL beat Trap in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16, ByuL beat Life in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16, SSL S2 ro16 Group C - going from 25.49% to 48.62%, min points from 825 to 1,175, median points from 2,250 to 2,925 May 8 - ByuL lost to Maru in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, ByuL beat HerO in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, ByuL beat TY in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, GSL ro32 Group E and DH Tours Group Stage 1, DH Tours ro32, DH Tours ro16 - going from 48.6% to 59.41%, min points from 1,175 to 1,375, median points from 2,925 to 3,200 May 27 to May 28 - ByuL lost to Classic in StarLeague Season 2 quarterfinals, SSL S2 Quarterfinals Day 2, WCS Premier S2 Ro32 Group E - going from 61.95% to 38.74%, min points 1,375, median points from 3,225 to 2,700
June 2015 - From 38.71% to 83.78%, 1,375 WCS Points to 2,375, 2,675 Median Points to 3,425 Chances June Points June May 31 to Jun 1 - going from 38.62% to 38.71%, min points 1,375, median points from 2,700 to 2,675 Jun 2 to Jun 3 - ByuL lost to Curious in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, ByuL beat Dream in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, ByuL beat herO in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, Code S S2 Ro16 Group C - going from 38.62% to 54.36%, min points from 1,375 to 1,725, median points from 2,675 to 3,050 Jun 9 to Jun 10 - ByuL beat PartinG in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals, Code S S2 quarterfinals day 1 - going from 53.71% to 72.13%, min points from 1,725 to 2,025, median points from 3,025 to 3,450 Jun 16 to Jun 17 - ByuL beat sOs in GSL Code S Season 2 semifinals, Code S S2 semifinals ByuL vs sOs - going from 70.81% to 88.44%, min points from 2,025 to 2,250, median points from 3,475 to 3,925 Jun 24 - Fixed bug with KeSPA Cup 2 - going from 86.47% to 88.42%, min points from 2,250 to 2,375, median points from 3,875 to 3,925 Jun 27 to Jun 28 - ByuL lost to Rain in GSL Code S Season 2 finals, mYinsanity Rain wins GSL S2 over CJ Entus ByuL, WCS S2 Quarterfinals, WCS S2 Semifinals, ROOT Hydra wins WCS S2 over Millenium Lilbow - going from 84.29% to 77.1%, min points 2,375, median points from 3,850 to 3,550 Jun 29 to Jun 30 - Added ASUS Summer with 4 players qualified, added IEM Cologne and MSI, removed 10 Placeholder tournaments, down to 7 Placeholders now, Start of WCS Wars season 3, SSL S3 Challenger matches set - going from 76.41% to 83.74%, min points 2,375, median points from 3,525 to 3,425
July 2015 - From 83.82% to 99.14%, 2,375 WCS Points to 3,175, 3,425 Median Points to 3,775 Chances July Points July Jun 30 - WCS S3 AM Qualifier #1 - going from 83.78% to 83.82%, min points 2,375, median points 3,425 Jul 2 to Jul 3 - ByuL beat Shine in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24, SSL S3 Challenger Day 2, GSL S3 Code A matches set - going from 82.84% to 91.74%, AFK Chances from 0.2% to 6.72%, min points from 2,375 to 2,625, median points from 3,425 to 3,675 Jul 5 to Jul 6 - ByuL beat Pigbaby in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16, KeSPA Cup Day 1, WCS S3 EU Qualifier 2, fixed Petraeus seed - going from 91.79% to 96.51%, AFK Chances from 6.56% to 46.71%, min points from 2,625 to 2,875, median points from 3,675 to 3,775 Jul 10 to Jul 12 - ByuL lost to Dark in KeSPA Cup 2 quarterfinals, KeSPA Cup 2 Day 2, WCS EU/AM Challenger matches set, IEM Shenzhen groups set with Stardust replaced by Kelazhur, WCS S3 SEA/OCE Challenger - going from 95.89% to 93.77%, min points 2,875, median points from 3,750 to 3,625 Jul 22 to Jul 23 - ByuL beat Stats in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16, ByuL beat Zest in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16, SSL S3 Group D, WCS S3 Challenger NA Day 2 - going from 89.68% to 98.27%, AFK Chances from 30.18% to 85.47%, min points from 2,875 to 3,175, median points from 3,525 to 3,850
August 2015 - From 98.97% to 99.99%, 3,175 WCS Points to 3,675, 3,775 Median Points to 4,275 Chances August Points August Jul 31 to Aug 1 - MSI Masters 6 invites and player list locked - going from 99.14% to 98.97%, min points 3,175, median points 3,775 Aug 18 to Aug 19 - ByuL beat Sleep in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, ByuL lost to Dear in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, ByuL beat FanTaSy in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, Code S S3 Ro32 Group F - going from 99.62% to 99.97%, min points from 3,175 to 3,375, median points from 3,675 to 3,775 Aug 19 to Aug 20 - ByuL beat INnoVation in StarLeague Season 3 quarterfinals, SSL S3 Quarterfinals Day 1 - going from 99.97% to 99.99%, min points from 3,375 to 3,675, median points from 3,775 to 4,275
September 2015 - From 99.99% to 100%, 3,675 WCS Points to 4,975, 4,275 Median Points to 4,975 Chances September Points September Aug 31 to Sep 1 - Fixes for 50 points from WCS Challenger for uThermal and elfi - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points 3,675, median points 4,275 Sep 2 to Sep 3 - ByuL beat TY in StarLeague Season 3 semifinals, SSL S3 semifinals ByuL beat TY - going from 99.99% to 100%, min points from 3,675 to 4,025, median points from 4,275 to 4,625 Sep 8 to Sep 9 - ByuL beat Zest in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16, ByuL beat Solar in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16, Code S S3 Ro16 Group C, WCS S3 Ro16 Day 2 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,025 to 4,325, median points from 4,625 to 4,975 Sep 14 to Sep 16 - ByuL beat GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals, Code S S3 Quarterfinals Day 1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,325 to 4,625, median points from 5,075 to 5,375 Sep 19 to Sep 20 - ByuL lost to herO in StarLeague Season 3 finals, CJ Entus herO wins SSL S3 over CJ Entus ByuL - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,625, median points from 5,375 to 4,625 Sep 23 to Sep 24 - ByuL beat Dear in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals, Code S S3 Semifinal 1 ByuL beats Dear, DH Stockholm ro32 completed, DH Stockholm ro16 half complete, DH Stockholm ro16 completed - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,625 to 4,975, median points from 4,625 to 4,975
October 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,975 WCS Points to 4,975, 4,975 Median Points to 4,975 Sep 28 to Oct 3 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,975, median points 4,975 Oct 3 to Oct 4 - ByuL lost to INnoVation in GSL Code S Season 3 finals, SKT T1 INoVation wins GSL S3 over CJ Entus ByuL - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,975, median points 4,975
Dec 26: ByuL lost to Super in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32 Apr 2: ByuL beat YongHwa in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48 Apr 10: ByuL beat INnoVation in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24 May 4: ByuL beat Maru in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16 May 4: ByuL beat MyuNgSiK in KeSPA Cup 1 quarterfinals May 5: ByuL lost to herO in KeSPA Cup 1 semifinals May 7: ByuL beat Trap in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16 May 7: ByuL beat Life in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16 May 8: ByuL lost to Maru in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32 May 8: ByuL beat HerO in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32 May 8: ByuL beat TY in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32 May 28: ByuL lost to Classic in StarLeague Season 2 quarterfinals Jun 3: ByuL lost to Curious in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16 Jun 3: ByuL beat Dream in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16 Jun 3: ByuL beat herO in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16 Jun 10: ByuL beat PartinG in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals Jun 17: ByuL beat sOs in GSL Code S Season 2 semifinals Jun 28: ByuL lost to Rain in GSL Code S Season 2 finals Jul 3: ByuL beat Shine in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24 Jul 6: ByuL beat Pigbaby in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16 Jul 11: ByuL lost to Dark in KeSPA Cup 2 quarterfinals Jul 23: ByuL beat Stats in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16 Jul 23: ByuL beat Zest in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16 Aug 19: ByuL beat Sleep in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32 Aug 19: ByuL lost to Dear in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32 Aug 19: ByuL beat FanTaSy in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32 Aug 20: ByuL beat INnoVation in StarLeague Season 3 quarterfinals Sep 3: ByuL beat TY in StarLeague Season 3 semifinals Sep 9: ByuL beat Zest in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16 Sep 9: ByuL beat Solar in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16 Sep 16: ByuL beat GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals Sep 20: ByuL lost to herO in StarLeague Season 3 finals Sep 24: ByuL beat Dear in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals Oct 4: ByuL lost to INnoVation in GSL Code S Season 3 finals Total: 24-10, vsT: 8-2, vsZ: 4-2, vsP: 12-6
#16 seed with 3025 WCS Points. Facing herO in the WCS Global Finals ro16. WCS match record - Total: 31-20, vsT: 5-1, vsZ: 14-11, vsP: 12-8
From GSL, Fantasy got 150 points from a 24th place in season 1, 400 points from a 12th place in season 2, and 150 points from a 24th place in season 3. From SSL, 300 points from a 16th place in season 1, and 0 points from seasons 2 and 3. And from WCS Partner tournaments he got 400 points from IEM World Championship, 75 from Gfinity Spring 1, 200 from Copenhagen games, 250 from KeSPA Cup 1, 125 from DreamHack Tours, 125 from KeSPA Cup 2, 250 from DreamHack Valencia, 100 from ASUS ROG, 375 from IEM Gamescom, and 125 from DreamHack Stockholm. That adds up to 1000 points from GSL/SSL, and 2025 points from WCS Partner tournaments. With a whopping 10 WCS Partners that he won points from, that's more than Parting who had 9, Hyun who had 8, herO who had 7, and Rain who also had 7.
Not being qualified for the Hot6ix Cup, Fantasy started the year at 2.92% Blizzcon Chances. He went up to 5.11% by qualified for SSL S1, and again up to 9.99% by qualifying for GSL S1. Fantasy beat MarineKing in SSL Challenge, which brought him up to 26.96%.
In his GSL group he beat Rogue, but then lost to MC and Rogue, which brought Fantasy down to 20.95%. Then in his SSL group he lost to Terminator and Super, bringing him down to 9.1%.
Qualifying for IEM Katowice World Championship brought him up to 17.85%.
At IEM Katowice, Fantasy beat Rain in the ro16, going up to 31.22%, but then he lost to Trap in the quarterfinals, going down to 23.41%. + Show Spoiler [Fantasy vs Trap] +
At Gfinity Spring 1 in the ro16, Fantasy lost to Rain, beat Bunny, and then lost to Hydra, which brought Fantasy down to 22.58%.
In Copenhagen Spring, Fantasy beat POX and Jaedong in the ro32, and then beat Miniraser and Ret in the ro16. Then he beat Jaedong again in the quarterfinals, and Rain in the semifinals. But then he lost to Parting in the finals, ending up at 26.14% Blizzcon Chances.
When Fantasy was confirmed for DreamHack Tours, and he qualified for KeSPA Cup 1 through the EU Qualifier, he went up to 36.74%. Fantasy then beat Pigbaby in GSL S2 Code A, going up to 51.19%.
In KeSPA Cup 1, Fantasy beat Zest in the ro16, then lost to Dark, ending up to 70.73%.
At DreamHack Tours, Fantasy beat SbR and Psionic in the ro64, Bunny in the ro32, and then lost to Hyun in the ro16 to end up at 68.86%.
In GSL S2 ro16, Fantasy lost to Rogue, beat Gumiho, and then lost to Rogue again, going down to 51.1%.
With Fantasy qualified for KeSPA Cup 2, he went up to 55.98%. But then he failed to qualify for SSL S2, bringing him down to 41.56%.
At KeSPA Cup 2 in the ro16, Fantasy once again lost to Dark, going down to 35.07%.
Getting invited to ASUS Summer brought Fantasy up to 35.93%.
At DreamHack Valencia, Fantasy beat Mana in the ro32 and Ret in the ro16, which brought him up to 52.59%. Then he lost to Patience in the quarterfinals, putting Fantasy at 39.94%.
In GSL S3 Code A, Fantasy beat San, going up to 52.43%.
With the IEM Gamescom groups and open bracket set, and the ASUS ROG Summer groups set, Fantasy went up to 72.12%.
At ASUS ROG Summer, Fantasy beat Namshar, lost to Keen, beat Serral, beat Lilbow, and beat TRUE, advancing to the quarterfinals and going up to 88.13%. Then he lost to BBoongBBoong, bringing him down to 79.12%.
At IEM Gamescom, Fantasy beat Lilbow again, beat Innovation, and beat Patience to advance to the semifinals and go up to 88.78%. Then he lost to soO in the semifinals, ending up at 83.96%. + Show Spoiler [Fantasy vs Patience] +
In GSL S3 ro32, Fantasy lost to Dear, beat Sleep, and lost to Byul, falling down to 80.24%.
With TY beating Zest in the SSL S3 quarterfinals and Dark advancing from his GSL S3 ro32 group, brought Fantasy down to 72.64%.
With sOs replacing Zest for MSI Masters and then winning the tournament, Fantasy dropped from 69.52% down to 46.96%.
Solar and Dark losing their GSL S3 ro16 group brough Fantasy from 65.16% up to 86.84%.
Lilbow going from the quaterfinals to winning WCS S3 brought Fantasy down to 72.59%.
ForGG being added to DreamHack Stockholm brought Fantasy down to 46.8%. When the groups were set with Fantasy's threats spread out, and ForGG cancelled, Fantasy went up slightly to 48.37%. When Byul beat Dear in the GSL S3 semifinals, Fantasy went up to 56.7%.
At DreamHack Stockholm, Fantasy beat Welmu in the ro32, then lost to Hyun again in the ro16 2-0, but to make up for that Dark lost to Leenock in the ro16, putting Fantasy at 80.34%. At this point, the only thing Fantasy had to worry about was Hyun winning the tournament or Hyun getting 2nd to tie Fantasy. When Hyun beat Rain, Fantasy fell to 57.01%. When Hyun beat Reality in the semifinals, Fantasy fell to 23.45%. Then when Hyun lost to Solar in the finals he tied with Fantasy, leaving it to a tie breaker match giving Fantasy a 45.33% chance.
Fantasy won the tie breaker match against Hyun in a tense 3-2, getting him into the WCS Global Finals where he'll face herO in the first round.
November 2014 - From 2.92% to 1.86%, 0 WCS Points to 0, 500 Median Points to 525 November Chances November Points (blue line is WCS Points, black line is median points) Nov 17 - 2.92% - WCS 2015 started with Hot6ix Cup Nov 18 - going from 2.96% to 1.89%, min points 0, median points from 500 to 525
December 2014 - From 1.85% to 27.31%, 0 WCS Points to 450, 525 Median Points to 1,900 December Chances December Points Nov 30 to Dec 2 - Hot6ix Cup Quarterfinals Day 1, Swapped Hot6ix Cup bracket around - going from 1.86% to 1.85%, min points 0, median points 525 Dec 9 to Dec 11 - SSL Season 1 Ro32 matches set, SSL qualifiers now have a large Korean bias - going from 1.47% to 5.11%, min points 0, median points from 550 to 900 Dec 12 to Dec 15 - GSL Season 1 Qualifiers - going from 5.13% to 9.99%, min points from 0 to 150, median points from 900 to 1,300 Dec 21 to Dec 23 - going from 9.52% to 14.76%, min points 150, median points from 1,300 to 1,475 Dec 25 to Dec 26 - FanTaSy beat MarineKing in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32, S2SL Challenge Day 5 - going from 15.13% to 26.96%, min points from 150 to 450, median points from 1,500 to 1,900
January 2015 - From 26.3% to 7.63%, 450 WCS Points to 500, 1,900 Median Points to 1,375 January Chances January Points Dec 31 to Jan 4 - Added IEM Taipei - going from 27.31% to 26.3%, min points 450, median points 1,900 Jan 6 to Jan 8 - FanTaSy beat Rogue in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, FanTaSy lost to MC in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, FanTaSy lost to Rogue in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, GSL Group A, WCS EU Season 1 Qualifier 2, WCS AM Season 1 Qualifier 1 - going from 25.54% to 20.95%, min points from 450 to 500, median points from 1,900 to 1,750 Jan 14 to Jan 15 - FanTaSy lost to Terminator in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16, FanTaSy lost to Super in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16, NSSL ro16 group A - going from 21.86% to 9.1%, min points 500, median points from 1,800 to 1,425
February 2015 - From 7.73% to 17.44%, 500 WCS Points to 750, 1,375 Median Points to 1,825 February Chances February Points Jan 31 to Feb 1 - IEM Taipei semifinals, StarTale Life wins IEM Taipei over Jinair Maru - going from 7.63% to 7.73%, min points 500, median points 1,375 Feb 23 to Feb 25 - IEM Katowice Qualifiers, Code S S1 ro16 Group C - going from 7.46% to 17.85%, min points from 500 to 750, median points from 1,375 to 1,850
March 2015 - From 17.33% to 20.21%, 750 WCS Points to 975, 1,825 Median Points to 2,025 March Chances March Points Feb 28 to Mar 1 - WCS S1 Premier ro32 Group H - going from 17.44% to 17.33%, min points 750, median points 1,825 Mar 11 to Mar 12 - FanTaSy beat Rain in IEM Katowice round of 16, IEM Katowice Day 1 - going from 20.92% to 31.22%, min points from 750 to 900, median points from 1,900 to 2,200 Mar 13 to Mar 14 - FanTaSy lost to Trap in IEM Katowice quarterfinals, IEM Katowice Quarterfinals, IEM Katowice Day 3 - going from 30.51% to 23.41%, min points 900, median points from 2,175 to 2,000 Mar 18 to Mar 19 - Added Copenhagen Spring notable participants - going from 23.33% to 26.68%, min points 900, median points from 2,000 to 2,125 Mar 25 to Mar 26 - Added Gfinity Spring 1, NSSL S2 qualifiers - going from 25.13% to 23.49%, min points from 900 to 975, median points from 2,100 to 2,125 Mar 27 to Mar 28 - FanTaSy lost to Rain in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16, FanTaSy beat Bunny in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16, FanTaSy lost to Hydra in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16, Gfinity Spring 1 Day 1 - going from 22.67% to 22.58%, min points 975, median points from 2,125 to 2,100
April 2015 - From 20.36% to 50.48%, 975 WCS Points to 1,275, 2,050 Median Points to 2,950 April Chances April Points Mar 31 to Apr 1 - Code A S2 Day 1, Copenhagen Day 1, Added KeSPA Cup 1 with 6 invites, removed Placeholder #20 - going from 20.21% to 20.36%, min points 975, median points from 2,025 to 2,050 Apr 1 to Apr 2 - FanTaSy beat POX in Copenhagen Spring round of 32, FanTaSy beat Jaedong in Copenhagen Spring round of 32, Code A S2 Day 2, SSL Challenger S2 Day 1 - going from 20.36% to 21.05%, min points 975, median points 2,050 Apr 2 - FanTaSy beat Miniraser in Copenhagen Spring round of 16, FanTaSy beat Ret in Copenhagen Spring round of 16, Copenhagen Spring Day 2 - going from 21.05% to 26.35%, min points from 975 to 1,075, median points from 2,050 to 2,175 Apr 2 to Apr 3 - FanTaSy beat Jaedong in Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals, Code A S2 Day 3, SSL S2 Challenger Day 2 - going from 26.35% to 25.99%, min points 1,075, median points 2,175 Apr 3 - Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals - going from 25.99% to 26.8%, min points from 1,075 to 1,125, median points from 2,175 to 2,200 Apr 3 - FanTaSy beat Rain in Copenhagen Spring semifinals, FanTaSy lost to PartinG in Copenhagen Spring finals, WCS S1 ro16 Day 1 and Yoe Parting wins Copenhagen Spring over dPix Fantasy, Fixed points distribution for WCS, WCS Champion seeded into Premier - going from 26.8% to 26.14%, min points from 1,125 to 1,175, median points from 2,200 to 2,250 Apr 10 - DreamHack Tours first 84 players, KeSPA Cup 1 EU qualifiers, Jaedong moved to NA region, KeSPA Cup 1 AM qualifier - going from 25.37% to 36.74%, min points from 1,175 to 1,300, median points from 2,300 to 2,650 Apr 14 to Apr 15 - FanTaSy beat Pigbaby in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48, Code A Day 7, KeSPA Cup Proleague seeds set, WCS S2 EU Qualifier 3, Made qualifiers more stable, WCS S2 Challenger matches set for China and OCE/SEA - going from 41.01% to 51.19%, min points from 1,300 to 1,400, median points from 2,725 to 2,950 Apr 18 to Apr 19 - WCS S2 AM Qualifiers completed - going from 51.06% to 56.59%, min points 1,400, median points from 2,975 to 3,100 Apr 27 to Apr 28 - KeSPA Cup 1 bracket set - going from 53.37% to 50.55%, min points from 1,400 to 1,275, median points from 3,050 to 2,950
May 2015 - From 65.91% to 50.87%, 1,475 WCS Points to 2,025, 3,350 Median Points to 2,950 May Chances May Points Apr 30 to May 1 - FanTaSy beat soO in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, FanTaSy beat Rogue in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, Code S S2 ro32 Group C, Gfinity Day 1 - going from 50.48% to 65.91%, min points from 1,275 to 1,475, median points from 2,950 to 3,350 May 2 to May 3 - FanTaSy beat Zest in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16, KeSPA Cup Day 1 and Gfinity Spring 2 completed - going from 65.49% to 76.79%, min points from 1,475 to 1,800, median points from 3,350 to 3,650 May 3 to May 4 - FanTaSy lost to Dark in KeSPA Cup 1 quarterfinals, KeSPA Cup Day 2, WCS S2 ro32 groups drawn, Added Firecake, Welmu, Starnan, and Dayshi to DH Tours, removed Naniwa, Jaedong, Polt, Violet, and Showtime - going from 76.79% to 70.73%, min points 1,800, median points from 3,650 to 3,450 May 8 - FanTaSy beat SbR in DreamHack Tours round of 64, FanTaSy beat PsiOniC in DreamHack Tours round of 64, GSL ro32 Group E and DH Tours Group Stage 1 - going from 71.74% to 71.43%, min points 1,800, median points from 3,500 to 3,475 May 8 - FanTaSy beat Bunny in DreamHack Tours round of 32, DH Tours ro32 - going from 71.43% to 75.17%, min points from 1,800 to 1,925, median points from 3,475 to 3,575 May 8 to May 9 - FanTaSy lost to HyuN in DreamHack Tours round of 16, DH Tours ro16 - going from 75.17% to 68.86%, min points 1,925, median points from 3,575 to 3,400 May 28 to May 29 - FanTaSy lost to Rogue in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, FanTaSy beat GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, FanTaSy lost to Rogue in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, Code S S2 Ro16 Group D, WCS Premier S2 Ro32 Group F - going from 67.06% to 51.1%, min points from 1,925 to 2,025, median points from 3,325 to 2,950
June 2015 - From 50.97% to 43.45%, 2,025 WCS Points to 2,150, 2,950 Median Points to 2,775 June Chances June Points May 31 to Jun 1 - going from 50.87% to 50.97%, min points 2,025, median points 2,950 Jun 23 to Jun 24 - KeSPA Cup 2 players finalized - going from 43.23% to 53.8%, min points 2,025, median points from 2,900 to 3,075 Jun 24 - Fixed bug with KeSPA Cup 2 - going from 53.8% to 55.98%, min points from 2,025 to 2,150, median points from 3,075 to 3,150 Jun 24 to Jun 25 - SSL S3 qualifiers and seeds - going from 55.98% to 41.56%, min points 2,150, median points from 3,150 to 2,950 Jun 29 to Jun 30 - Added ASUS Summer with 4 players qualified, added IEM Cologne and MSI, removed 10 Placeholder tournaments, down to 7 Placeholders now, Start of WCS Wars season 3, SSL S3 Challenger matches set - going from 43.23% to 43.44%, min points 2,150, median points from 2,950 to 2,775
July 2015 - From 43.53% to 79.12%, 2,150 WCS Points to 2,625, 2,775 Median Points to 3,250 July Chances July Points Jun 30 - WCS S3 AM Qualifier #1 - going from 43.45% to 43.53%, min points 2,150, median points 2,775 Jun 30 to Jul 2 - WCS S3 EU Qualifier #1, added first 80 players for DH Valencia, SSL S3 Challenger Day 1, KeSPA Cup 2 bracket set, MSI Korean qualifier - going from 43.53% to 49.86%, min points 2,150, median points from 2,775 to 2,900 Jul 5 to Jul 6 - FanTaSy lost to Dark in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16, KeSPA Cup Day 1, WCS S3 EU Qualifier 2, fixed Petraeus seed - going from 43.31% to 35.07%, min points 2,150, median points from 2,850 to 2,700 Jul 9 to Jul 10 - MSI EU Qualifier, MSI reduced to 16 players and Gfinity 1+2 bug fixes, ASUS Qualifier #4, more bug fixes, removed WCS Points given to seeded players who lose in SSL Challenger, WCS S3 AM Qualifier #4, SSL S3 Challenge Day 4, Code A S3 Day 3 - going from 33.75% to 28.16%, min points from 2,150 to 2,075, median points from 2,700 to 2,625 Jul 13 to Jul 14 - locked in player list for ASUS Summer with 16 invites, IEM Gamescom Asian Final Qualifier - going from 25.6% to 35.93%, min points 2,075, median points from 2,575 to 2,825 Jul 16 - FanTaSy beat MaNa in DreamHack Valencia round of 32, DH Valencia ro32 - going from 35.1% to 44.8%, min points from 2,075 to 2,200, median points from 2,800 to 2,950 Jul 16 to Jul 17 - FanTaSy beat Ret in DreamHack Valencia round of 16, DH Valencia Day 1, IEM Shenzhen Day 2, Code A S3 Day 6 - going from 44.8% to 52.59%, min points from 2,200 to 2,325, median points from 2,950 to 3,075 Jul 17 to Jul 18 - FanTaSy lost to Patience in DreamHack Valencia quarterfinals, DH Valencia Quarterfinals, DH Valencia semifinals, IEM Shenzhen fixed WCS Points for open bracket players, SBENU Curious wins DreamHack Valencia over dPix TRUE, IEM Shenzhen Day 3 - going from 52.59% to 39.94%, min points 2,325, median points from 3,075 to 2,875 Jul 21 to Jul 22 - FanTaSy beat San in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48, Code A S3 Day 7, WCS Challenger S3 NA Day 1 - going from 40.97% to 52.43%, min points from 2,325 to 2,375, median points from 2,875 to 3,050 Jul 25 - IEM Gamescom groups and open bracket set, ASUS ROG Summer ro32 groups set, Yoe Has qualified for MSI Masters - going from 54.23% to 72.12%, min points 2,375, median points from 3,050 to 3,300 Jul 29 to Jul 30 - FanTaSy beat Namshar in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32, FanTaSy lost to KeeN in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32, FanTaSy beat Serral in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32, SSL S3 Ro16 Group C - going from 74.32% to 75.56%, min points 2,375, median points 3,250 Jul 30 - ASUS ROG Ro16 groups set, Rain forfeited IEM Gamescom - going from 75.56% to 78.29%, min points from 2,375 to 2,500, median points from 3,250 to 3,300 Jul 30 - FanTaSy beat Lilbow in ASUS ROG Summer round of 16, FanTaSy beat TRUE in ASUS ROG Summer round of 16, ASUS ROG Day 1 - going from 78.29% to 88.13%, AFK Chances from 1.14% to 9.26%, min points from 2,500 to 2,625, median points from 3,300 to 3,450 Jul 30 to Jul 31 - FanTaSy lost to BBoongBBoong in ASUS ROG Summer quarterfinals, Code S S3 Ro32 Group A, ASUS ROG Quarterfinals, ASUS ROG Semifinals, MVP Losira won ASUS ROG over mYinsanity PtitDrogo, WCS S3 Premier ro32 groups set - going from 88.13% to 79.12%, min points 2,625, median points from 3,450 to 3,250
August 2015 - From 75.61% to 46.96%, 2,625 WCS Points to 2,900, 3,175 Median Points to 2,900 August Chances August Points Jul 31 to Aug 1 - MSI Masters 6 invites and player list locked - going from 79.12% to 75.61%, min points 2,625, median points from 3,250 to 3,175 Aug 3 to Aug 4 - Fixed ASUS ROG WCS Points, Removed KeSPA Cup 3 - going from 75.75% to 67.78%, AFK Chances from 7.51% to 1.47%, min points from 2,625 to 2,475, median points from 3,175 to 3,025 Aug 5 to Aug 7 - FanTaSy beat Lilbow in IEM Gamescom round of 16, FanTaSy beat INnoVation in IEM Gamescom round of 16, SSL S3 ro16 Group B, IEM Gamescom day 2, SSL S3 bracket pattern set - going from 66.84% to 84.45%, AFK Chances from 1.45% to 31.36%, min points from 2,475 to 2,725, median points from 3,025 to 3,225 Aug 8 to Aug 9 - FanTaSy beat Patience in IEM Gamescom quarterfinals, IEM Gamescom Day 4, 4Gamers ro16 Day 2 - going from 82.21% to 88.78%, AFK Chances from 29.44% to 52.09%, min points from 2,725 to 2,850, median points from 3,225 to 3,275 Aug 9 - FanTaSy lost to soO in IEM Gamescom semifinals, IEM Gamescom semifinals, SKT T1 INnoVation wins IEM Gamescom over SKT T1 soO, 4Gamers quarterfinals - going from 88.78% to 83.96%, min points 2,850, median points from 3,275 to 3,150 Aug 18 to Aug 19 - FanTaSy lost to Dear in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, FanTaSy beat Sleep in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, FanTaSy lost to ByuL in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, Code S S3 Ro32 Group F - going from 87.47% to 80.24%, min points from 2,850 to 2,900, median points from 3,100 to 2,900
September 2015 - From 47.26% to 45.97%, 2,900 WCS Points to 3,025, 2,900 Median Points to 3,025 September Chances September Points Aug 31 to Sep 1 - Fixes for 50 points from WCS Challenger for uThermal and elfi - going from 46.96% to 47.26%, min points 2,900, median points 2,900 Sep 8 to Sep 9 - Code S S3 Ro16 Group C, WCS S3 Ro16 Day 2 - going from 65.16% to 86.84%, AFK Chances from 50.04% to 80.71%, min points 2,900, median points 2,900 Sep 18 to Sep 19 - DH Stockholm player list set, Added ForGG to DreamHack Stockholm - going from 70.52% to 46.9%, AFK Chances from 59.52% to 29.5%, min points 2,900, median points 2,900 Sep 23 to Sep 24 - DH Stockhom groups set, ForGG cancelled, Code S S3 Semifinal 1 ByuL beats Dear - going from 46.81% to 56.7%, min points 2,900, median points from 2,900 to 3,025 Sep 24 to Sep 25 - FanTaSy beat Welmu in DreamHack Stockholm round of 32, FanTaSy lost to HyuN in DreamHack Stockholm round of 16, DH Stockholm ro32 completed, DH Stockholm ro16 half complete, DH Stockholm ro16 completed, Code S S3 Semfinal 2, Innovation beat Maru, DH Stockholm quarterfinals half completed - going from 56.7% to 57.01%, AFK Chances from 34.73% to 57.01%, min points from 2,900 to 3,025, median points 3,025 Sep 25 - DH Stockholm semifinals completed, Samsung Solar wins DH Stockholm over ROCCAT HyuN - going from 57.91% to 45.97%, min points 3,025, median points 3,025
October 2015 - From 46.55% to 100%, 3,025 WCS Points to 3,025, 3,025 Median Points to 3,025 Sep 28 to Oct 4 - SKT T1 INoVation wins GSL S3 over CJ Entus ByuL - going from 45.97% to 46.55%, min points 3,025, median points 3,025 Oct 5 to Oct 6 - Fantasy vs Hyun tie breaker - going from 46.56% to 100%, AFK Chances from 46.56% to 100%, min points 3,025, median points 3,025
Dec 26: FanTaSy beat MarineKing in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32 Jan 7: FanTaSy beat Rogue in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32 Jan 7: FanTaSy lost to MC in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32 Jan 7: FanTaSy lost to Rogue in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32 Jan 15: FanTaSy lost to Terminator in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16 Jan 15: FanTaSy lost to Super in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16 Mar 12: FanTaSy beat Rain in IEM Katowice round of 16 Mar 14: FanTaSy lost to Trap in IEM Katowice quarterfinals Mar 27: FanTaSy lost to Rain in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16 Mar 27: FanTaSy beat Bunny in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16 Mar 27: FanTaSy lost to Hydra in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16 Apr 2: FanTaSy beat POX in Copenhagen Spring round of 32 Apr 2: FanTaSy beat Jaedong in Copenhagen Spring round of 32 Apr 2: FanTaSy beat Miniraser in Copenhagen Spring round of 16 Apr 2: FanTaSy beat Ret in Copenhagen Spring round of 16 Apr 3: FanTaSy beat Jaedong in Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals Apr 3: FanTaSy beat Rain in Copenhagen Spring semifinals Apr 3: FanTaSy lost to PartinG in Copenhagen Spring finals Apr 15: FanTaSy beat Pigbaby in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48 May 1: FanTaSy beat soO in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32 May 1: FanTaSy beat Rogue in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32 May 3: FanTaSy beat Zest in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16 May 4: FanTaSy lost to Dark in KeSPA Cup 1 quarterfinals May 8: FanTaSy beat SbR in DreamHack Tours round of 64 May 8: FanTaSy beat PsiOniC in DreamHack Tours round of 64 May 8: FanTaSy beat Bunny in DreamHack Tours round of 32 May 8: FanTaSy lost to HyuN in DreamHack Tours round of 16 May 29: FanTaSy lost to Rogue in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16 May 29: FanTaSy beat GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16 May 29: FanTaSy lost to Rogue in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16 Jul 6: FanTaSy lost to Dark in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16 Jul 16: FanTaSy beat MaNa in DreamHack Valencia round of 32 Jul 16: FanTaSy beat Ret in DreamHack Valencia round of 16 Jul 17: FanTaSy lost to Patience in DreamHack Valencia quarterfinals Jul 22: FanTaSy beat San in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48 Jul 30: FanTaSy beat Namshar in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32 Jul 30: FanTaSy lost to KeeN in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32 Jul 30: FanTaSy beat Serral in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32 Jul 30: FanTaSy beat Lilbow in ASUS ROG Summer round of 16 Jul 30: FanTaSy beat TRUE in ASUS ROG Summer round of 16 Jul 31: FanTaSy lost to BBoongBBoong in ASUS ROG Summer quarterfinals Aug 6: FanTaSy beat Lilbow in IEM Gamescom round of 16 Aug 6: FanTaSy beat INnoVation in IEM Gamescom round of 16 Aug 8: FanTaSy beat Patience in IEM Gamescom quarterfinals Aug 9: FanTaSy lost to soO in IEM Gamescom semifinals Aug 19: FanTaSy lost to Dear in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32 Aug 19: FanTaSy beat Sleep in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32 Aug 19: FanTaSy lost to ByuL in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32 Sep 24: FanTaSy beat Welmu in DreamHack Stockholm round of 32 Sep 24: FanTaSy lost to HyuN in DreamHack Stockholm round of 16 Oct 6: FanTaSy beat to HyuN in WCS Tie Breaker Total: 31-20, vsT: 5-1, vsZ: 14-11, vsP: 12-8
Biggest surprise failures of this WCS year #1 Flash started at 42.79%. His highest point in season 1 was 50.06% on November 19th. In season 2 it was 4.42% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 0.66% on July 25th.
God, how could you fuck up that bad. LotV will break game even more, no more UItimate Weapon hype, he missed his last hooray. -_-
EPT![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/RGHCBq7.png)
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-icon.png){kind=icon}
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png){kind=icon}
CruSaderSC's team is worth 23,243 WCS Points with Polt (5875), INnoVation (7325), Jaedong (4000), Lilbow (5625), and 418 unspent points.
INnoVation, bought on Tuesday, Jul 07 10:27am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4825 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7325 points.
ByuL, bought on Tuesday, Jun 30 8:40am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5350 points, sold on Friday, Sep 11 9:22pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 7004 points.
Lilbow, bought on Sunday, Jul 05 8:33pm GMT (GMT+00:00) for 4025 points, sold on Tuesday, Oct 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) for 5625 points.
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/1bvLcaB.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/6yDfm4F.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/jDINQy5.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/l0xvDfj.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/yLSOuNI.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/IQpQcZ6.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/Gx0Nndx.png)
Ourk went down by 9.17%, going from 9.21% to 0.03%
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/9skX8Q0.png?1)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/OnmWhty.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/RtAtDd6.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/Gx4T5hY.png)
![[image loading]](http://i61.tinypic.com/m8o654.jpg)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/MqracxV.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/PoyMxke.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/k1cKgjy.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/mPBX5dv.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/wHJL4Z2.png)
;![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/ZsgDTGo.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/cu19T7c.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/cuhzEGd.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/hySqtjD.png)
![[image loading]](http://icons.iconarchive.com/icons/custom-icon-design/pretty-office-7/48/Trophy-gold-icon.png){kind=icon}
![[image loading]](http://icons.iconarchive.com/icons/custom-icon-design/pretty-office-7/48/Trophy-silver-icon.png){kind=icon}
![[image loading]](http://icons.iconarchive.com/icons/led24.de/led/16/trophy-icon.png){kind=icon}
![[image loading]](http://icons.iconarchive.com/icons/led24.de/led/16/trophy-silver-icon.png){kind=icon}
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/eGSThz6.png?1)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/ArfEbPA.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/NFhoFl4.png?1)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/CT3WOTv.png?2)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/A7VnTww.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/YmOOukN.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/m0GOz5U.png?1)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/o0YJHv4.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/t0gg0JU.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/VeS09Em.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/LItqvYs.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/I0tfK6J.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/0NzVdOk.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/tvgMIJq.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/bi8daRq.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/2yTJxzm.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/XZAalwo.png?1)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/ojFbMQE.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/ZuNaYml.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/09FJhT4.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/PHtVgYl.png?1)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/OBgRhoO.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/URtYHxU.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/PeuSYQM.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/ioplVSF.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/uaKjEaR.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/bFcAZva.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/1YbweQ0.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/S5FGnUB.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/V3WpNIP.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/STu0Tww.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/XUevbxY.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/LUGOKrj.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/HYxB4hO.png?1)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/PM7sZOg.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/VO66zHP.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/g3kcHdn.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/N2hLCdu.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/uhoifmy.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/yvwKN3d.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/puGAVon.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/2v08qsZ.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/bKIJUHM.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/iiWHdUY.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/9MF8PmP.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/FkUWnAJ.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/LfRD1Fr.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/mD3sr0z.png)
![[image loading]](https://i.imgur.com/F2q92Ef.jpg)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/TqzXofs.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/baEAeO5.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/Jz6evKg.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/QZD9bLc.png)
![[image loading]](https://i.imgur.com/nV00YtD.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/bIlQnYl.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/23QDyxT.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/GNZSsQZ.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/rEMfsAp.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/CJqPCbM.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/wY78ZHg.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/PVe9sm0.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/9lhHX2G.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/81nJD2P.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/myiSXWQ.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/k6NwAUV.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/jj4BNbj.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/qJQ575w.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/3i3Ik4h.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/pO5W6T9.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/nyylsn3.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/gWRHxkj.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/VdNscgc.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/l1WWLpd.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/51fRmz9.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/gf6Iu2R.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/6bVq7ji.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/fxRHmni.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/4qnzZqd.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/TdVSZIB.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/RJhbfby.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/asyOuuJ.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/NCibhE8.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/FXwVfZs.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/69rlUYc.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/Ky9AGLa.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/1oFWpv4.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/purdzZ8.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/HZDDvno.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/wSumA8k.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/bZCXd3m.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/utPe2B5.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/5ZlHLAt.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/TzgPrCb.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/2Fb554N.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/aqxvpLz.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/jSSjGVd.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/EAyTVix.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/2bfPkpj.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/IdlUTDx.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/CUxprVL.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/ZTjaxzJ.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/H3aM2Fo.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/Mu9Dnic.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/F1iTFaY.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/2h6gzJt.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/irUStxL.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/TqS14dI.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/2MVXtVb.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/rBJuF0Y.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/XTABO3s.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/TsI8I7B.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/m3YS4Gb.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/jWhIipj.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/48ogFtf.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/N8JOkyX.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/Q3D5kvK.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/9MviCp8.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/zE67o0k.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/3ThV4mJ.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/4f0Roys.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/kdfQq8Z.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/0xYWfW1.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/nQIENVa.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/2bGoQut.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/eSVWxWk.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/Fhme7Y3.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/QJwgPkg.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/X3blrqB.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/bTwZ7qd.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/PXVOI7Z.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/dkiGXB5.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/aLxiL79.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/Zwgn7Ks.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/7g2naOS.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/iuAwGRN.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/hWOTmiG.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/acXxk6z.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/NlyEhRg.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/g23N2Ly.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/DJYVxp9.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/V9Dhcqb.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/2kZGsEa.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/iEAJ6E3.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/kXCl6Zn.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/MkC0cgX.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/UD6A13d.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/0UWMvxr.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/ymStnEF.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/BbPMqhW.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/1nD3tlt.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/cjZToYJ.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/u0Xqjql.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/zOkOVsA.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/IYbow7v.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/3iIhWF1.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/swZZEqf.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/rswuhJD.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/Jxm90C1.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/i0EqeLp.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/ruyq5Xh.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/zDe5fvZ.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/6zXB6Pv.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/wYmfB9t.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/p9TR5yT.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/ZFreUbP.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/eNZKdjk.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/Xcu8Nzu.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/CYUd1iN.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/6patiHG.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/E3NBPLO.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/YejRdWH.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/fDpnvGe.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/YENyWej.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/JjyVyu4.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/9KpCsKb.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/NS17TLa.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/402SBmo.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/9LTqIUw.png)
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/DqHpTXn.png)
