WCS Predictor 2015 - Page 49

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OtherWorld

France17333 Posts

October 06 2015 12:22 GMT

#961

Congrats to everyone ! And thanks to D4E for WCS Wars^^

CruSaderSC

India11 Posts

October 06 2015 20:06 GMT

#962

Thanks to D4E for WCS Wars. Had a blast playing it and of course winning it in season 3 :D
As for the prize I would prefer TL+ please.
Hope to see you guys again next year!

sharkie

Austria18375 Posts

October 06 2015 20:43 GMT

#963

yeah WCS Wars is awesome

oGoZenob

France1503 Posts

October 06 2015 23:24 GMT

#964

i'm so sad that i didnt know wcs wars existed :'(

Die4Ever

United States17656 Posts

October 06 2015 23:38 GMT

#965

On October 07 2015 08:24 oGoZenob wrote:
i'm so sad that i didnt know wcs wars existed :'(

Look out for it next year! It might even start in November or December considering the 2015 WCS year started in November 2014 lol.

Silvana

3713 Posts

October 07 2015 01:30 GMT

#966

On October 07 2015 08:24 oGoZenob wrote:
i'm so sad that i didnt know wcs wars existed :'(

Die4Ever

United States17656 Posts

October 07 2015 03:25 GMT

#967

INnoVation Retrospective

#5 seed with 5325 WCS Points. Facing Zest in the WCS Global Finals ro16.
WCS match record - Total: 28-14, vsT: 7-4, vsZ: 10-3, vsP: 11-7

From GSL, Innovation got 600 points from an 8th place in season 1, 300 from a 32nd place in season 2, and 2000 points from winning season 3.
From SSL, he got 50 points season 2 Challenge, and 600 for an 8th place in season 3.
And from WCS Partner tournaments he got 250 from an 8th place in Hot6ix Cup, 400 from an 8th place in IEM World Championship, 750 from winning IEM Gamescom, and 375 from a 4th place in MSI Masters.
That adds up to 2900 WCS Points from GSL/SSL, and 1775 WCS Points from WCS Partner tournaments.

Innovation started the WCS year qualified for the Hot6ix Cup and at 38.12% Blizzcon Chances. He quickly went up to 51.55% when he won his ro16 group, where he lost to herO but then beat Stats and herO to advance (MarineKing advanced in 1st place from this group!). Innovation and Parting were both the first players to get over 50% and they did so on the same simulation.
Innovation then lost the quarterfinals vs sOs and dropped down to 42.78% on December 3rd.
When he qualified for SSL S1 he went up to 55.01%, and then he qualified for GSL S1 which put him up at 66.74%. He then lost to Stats in SSL Challenge and fell down to 45.71%.
Innovation winning his ro32 group in GSL brought him back up to 54.24%. Then he won his ro16 group in February, bringing him up to 66.35%.
Qualifying for IEM World Championship (Katowice) brought him up to 79.03%. Then he lost to Life in the GSL quarterfinals, dropping down to 70.58%.
At IEM Katowice in March, Innovation got revenge on Life in the ro16, but then lost to Zest in the quarterfinals, ending up at 67.6%.
+ Show Spoiler [Innovation vs Life] +

When Innovation was seeded into SSL S2 Challenge for being one of the top 4 players in Proleague, he went up to 78.37%. However his first match was against Byul where he lost 2-3, going down to 48.47%.
In May, Innovation won his GSL S2 ro32 group, bringing him up to 51.03%. Losing in the ro16 to Rain and Bbyong, he went back down to 27.34%.
Qualifying for SSL S3 brought him back up to 32.04%. Then qualifying for MSI Masters put him up at 43.79%.

In July, Innovation beat Snute in the SSL S3 Challenge match, qualified for IEM Gamescom, and beat Keen in GSL Code A S3 all to go up to 83.94%. Then at the end of July in his SSL S3 ro16 group, Innovation lost to herO, but then beat sOs and Life, going up to 93.15%.

In August at IEM Gamescom, Innovation won the tournament beating Ret, Lilbow, ForGG, MMA, and soO, only losing to Fantasy in the ro16 group. This made Innovation the 12th player to get over 99% Blizzcon Chances.
He got up to 99.99% by beating Flash and Curious to advance from the GSL S3 ro32, making him the 11th player to get over 99.99%.
Then he lost to Byul, again with a 2-3 score, in the SSL S3 quarterfinals, but he was still at 99.99%.
At the end of August in MSI Masters, Innovation beat Has, Hydra, and Hyun, but then lost to sOs in the semifinals. Innovation was still at 99.99% and now with 3625 WCS Points.

In September in GSL S3, Innovation beat Flash and Gumiho to advance from his ro16 group putting him at 100% Blizzcon Chances and 3925 WCS Points. Then he beat Zest in the quarterfinals with some innovative drilling claws widow mine drops, and then beat Maru in the semifinals, putting Innovation at 4,575 WCS Points.

In October he finished it off by beating Byul in the GSL S3 finals, with a 4-2 score, ending up with 5325 WCS Points.

+ Show Spoiler [Timeline] +

November 2014 - From 38.12% to 47.17%, 0 WCS Points to 250, 1,550 Median Points to 2,250
Chances November
[image loading]

Points November (the blue line is WCS Points, the black line is median WCS Points)
[image loading]

Nov 17 - 38.12% - WCS 2015 started with Hot6ix Cup
Nov 17 to Nov 18 - INnoVation lost to herO in Hot6ix Cup round of 16, INnoVation beat Stats in Hot6ix Cup round of 16, INnoVation beat herO in Hot6ix Cup round of 16 - going from 38.12% to 51.55%, min points from 0 to 250, median points from 1,550 to 2,025
Nov 22 to Nov 25 - WCS 2015 points distribution announced, Parting replacing Rain in Hot6ix Cup, Added IEM San Jose - going from 51.5% to 48.93%, min points 250, median points from 2,000 to 2,300

December 2014 - From 47.22% to 46.62%, 250 WCS Points to 400, 2,225 Median Points to 2,450
Chances December
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Points December
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Nov 30 to Dec 2 - Hot6ix Cup Quarterfinals Day 1, Swapped Hot6ix Cup bracket around - going from 47.17% to 47.22%, min points 250, median points from 2,250 to 2,225
Dec 2 to Dec 4 - INnoVation lost to sOs in Hot6ix Cup quarterfinals, Hot6ix Cup semifinals set, IEM San Jose Stage 1 - going from 47.22% to 40.81%, min points 250, median points from 2,225 to 2,000
Dec 9 - StarLeague format and seeds, Weighted StarLeague and GSL qualifiers more towards stronger players - going from 40.19% to 41.78%, min points 250, median points from 1,975 to 2,100
Dec 9 to Dec 11 - SSL Season 1 Ro32 matches set, SSL qualifiers now have a large Korean bias - going from 41.78% to 55.01%, min points 250, median points from 2,100 to 2,700
Dec 12 to Dec 15 - GSL Season 1 Qualifiers - going from 54.7% to 66.74%, min points from 250 to 400, median points from 2,700 to 3,250
Dec 23 to Dec 24 - INnoVation lost to Stats in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32, S2SL S1 Challenge Day 3, GSL S1 Ro32 Groups Drawn - going from 65.39% to 45.71%, min points 400, median points from 3,175 to 2,425

January 2015 - From 46.38% to 55.79%, 400 WCS Points to 600, 2,450 Median Points to 2,875
Chances January
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Points January
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Dec 31 to Jan 3 - going from 46.62% to 46.38%, min points 400, median points 2,450
Jan 3 to Jan 4 - Added IEM Taipei - going from 46.38% to 57.83%, min points from 400 to 525, median points from 2,450 to 2,850
Jan 16 - IEM Taipei groups and open brackets set, WCS S1 last chance EU qualifier, WCS S1 Latin America qualifier 2 - going from 55.73% to 46.98%, min points from 525 to 400, median points from 2,850 to 2,550
Jan 22 to Jan 23 - INnoVation beat Super in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, INnoVation beat Solar in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, Code S S1 ro32 group H, and WCS S1 Challenger TW, WCS S1 Challenger EU Day 2 - going from 46.11% to 54.24%, min points from 400 to 600, median points from 2,525 to 2,800

February 2015 - From 56.2% to 79.18%, 600 WCS Points to 1,250, 2,900 Median Points to 3,750
Chances February
[image loading]

Points February
[image loading]

Jan 31 to Feb 1 - IEM Taipei semifinals, StarTale Life wins IEM Taipei over Jinair Maru - going from 55.79% to 56.2%, min points 600, median points from 2,875 to 2,900
Feb 10 to Feb 11 - INnoVation beat Terminator in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16, INnoVation lost to MMA in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16, INnoVation beat Terminator in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16, GSL S1 Code S ro16 Group A, Added IEM Katowice with 8 invites - going from 57.82% to 66.35%, min points from 600 to 1,000, median points from 2,950 to 3,250
Feb 23 to Feb 25 - IEM Katowice Qualifiers, Code S S1 ro16 Group C - going from 65.2% to 79.03%, min points from 1,000 to 1,250, median points from 3,200 to 3,750

March 2015 - From 79.08% to 73.99%, 1,250 WCS Points to 1,450, 3,750 Median Points to 3,475
Chances March
[image loading]

Points March
[image loading]

Feb 28 to Mar 1 - WCS S1 Premier ro32 Group H - going from 79.18% to 79.08%, min points 1,250, median points 3,750
Mar 5 to Mar 6 - INnoVation lost to Life in GSL Code S Season 1 quarterfinals, Code S S1 Quarterfinals Day 2 - going from 78.56% to 70.58%, min points 1,250, median points from 3,700 to 3,350
Mar 11 to Mar 12 - INnoVation beat Life in IEM Katowice round of 16, IEM Katowice Day 1 - going from 69.76% to 78.99%, min points from 1,250 to 1,400, median points from 3,300 to 3,650
Mar 13 to Mar 14 - INnoVation lost to Zest in IEM Katowice quarterfinals, IEM Katowice Quarterfinals, IEM Katowice Day 3 - going from 78.95% to 67.6%, min points 1,400, median points from 3,625 to 3,225
Mar 25 - NSSL S2 Challenger seeds set, Added Gfinity Spring 1 - going from 67.67% to 78.37%, min points from 1,400 to 1,450, median points from 3,225 to 3,725
Mar 25 to Mar 26 - NSSL S2 qualifiers - going from 78.37% to 75.32%, min points 1,450, median points from 3,725 to 3,600

April 2015 - From 73.91% to 45.97%, 1,450 WCS Points to 1,450, 3,500 Median Points to 2,850
Chances April
[image loading]

Points April
[image loading]

Mar 31 to Apr 1 - Code A S2 Day 1, Copenhagen Day 1, Added KeSPA Cup 1 with 6 invites, removed Placeholder #20 - going from 73.99% to 73.91%, min points 1,450, median points from 3,475 to 3,500
Apr 9 to Apr 10 - INnoVation lost to ByuL in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24, SSL S2 Challenger Day 4 and Code A S2 Day 6, DreamHack Tours first 84 players, KeSPA Cup 1 EU qualifiers, Jaedong moved to NA region, KeSPA Cup 1 AM qualifier - going from 69.21% to 48.47%, min points 1,450, median points from 3,500 to 2,900

May 2015 - From 44.85% to 49.59%, 1,450 WCS Points to 1,650, 2,825 Median Points to 2,925
Chances May
[image loading]

Points May
[image loading]

Apr 30 to May 1 - Code S S2 ro32 Group C, Gfinity Day 1 - going from 45.97% to 44.85%, min points 1,450, median points from 2,850 to 2,825
May 6 to May 7 - INnoVation beat Creator in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, INnoVation lost to Bomber in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, INnoVation beat Blaze in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, Code S S2 ro32 Group D - going from 44.06% to 51.03%, min points from 1,450 to 1,650, median points from 2,825 to 3,000

June 2015 - From 49.66% to 33.38%, 1,650 WCS Points to 1,700, 2,925 Median Points to 2,550
Chances June
[image loading]

Points June
[image loading]

May 31 to Jun 1 - going from 49.59% to 49.66%, min points 1,650, median points 2,925
Jun 4 to Jun 5 - INnoVation lost to Rain in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, INnoVation lost to Bbyong in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, Code S S2 Ro16 Group B - going from 49.05% to 27.34%, min points 1,650, median points from 2,925 to 2,500
Jun 24 to Jun 25 - SSL S3 qualifiers and seeds - going from 21.64% to 32.04%, min points from 1,650 to 1,700, median points from 2,450 to 2,700
Jun 29 to Jun 30 - Added ASUS Summer with 4 players qualified, added IEM Cologne and MSI, removed 10 Placeholder tournaments, down to 7 Placeholders now, Start of WCS Wars season 3, SSL S3 Challenger matches set - going from 33.13% to 33.42%, min points 1,700, median points from 2,700 to 2,550

July 2015 - From 33.41% to 93.56%, 1,700 WCS Points to 2,550, 2,550 Median Points to 3,925
Chances July
[image loading]

Points July
[image loading]

Jun 30 - WCS S3 AM Qualifier #1 - going from 33.38% to 33.41%, min points 1,700, median points 2,550
Jul 1 to Jul 2 - SSL S3 Challenger Day 1, KeSPA Cup 2 bracket set, MSI Korean qualifier, WCS S3 AM Qualifier #2 and LA Qualifier - going from 31.73% to 43.79%, min points 1,700, median points from 2,525 to 2,800
Jul 9 - MSI EU Qualifier, MSI reduced to 16 players and Gfinity 1+2 bug fixes, ASUS Qualifier #4, more bug fixes, removed WCS Points given to seeded players who lose in SSL Challenger, WCS S3 AM Qualifier #4 - going from 43.73% to 47.27%, min points from 1,700 to 1,825, median points from 2,800 to 2,900
Jul 9 to Jul 10 - INnoVation beat Snute in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24, SSL S3 Challenge Day 4, Code A S3 Day 3, WCS S3 EU Last Chance Qualifier - going from 47.27% to 61.97%, min points from 1,825 to 2,075, median points from 2,900 to 3,150
Jul 13 to Jul 14 - locked in player list for ASUS Summer with 16 invites, IEM Gamescom Asian Final Qualifier - going from 61.32% to 76.95%, min points from 2,075 to 2,200, median points from 3,150 to 3,500
Jul 14 to Jul 16 - INnoVation beat KeeN in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48, Code A S3 Day 4, DH Valencia and IEM Shenzhen finalized groups/brackets, IEM Shenzhen ro16 groups set, IEM Gamescom AM qualifier, Code A jjakji vs Trust - going from 76.95% to 83.94%, min points from 2,200 to 2,250, median points from 3,500 to 3,725
Jul 29 to Jul 30 - INnoVation lost to herO in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16, INnoVation beat sOs in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16, INnoVation beat Life in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16, SSL S3 Ro16 Group C, ASUS ROG Ro16 groups set, Rain forfeited IEM Gamescom, ASUS ROG Day 1 - going from 82.51% to 93.15%, AFK Chances from 0% to 3.34%, min points from 2,250 to 2,550, median points from 3,550 to 3,925

August 2015 - From 92.55% to 99.99%, 2,550 WCS Points to 3,625, 3,900 Median Points to 3,925
Chances August
[image loading]

Points August
[image loading]

Jul 31 to Aug 1 - MSI Masters 6 invites and player list locked - going from 93.56% to 92.55%, min points 2,550, median points from 3,925 to 3,900
Aug 3 to Aug 4 - Fixed ASUS ROG WCS Points, Removed KeSPA Cup 3 - going from 92.57% to 94.03%, AFK Chances from 2.39% to 4.65%, min points 2,550, median points from 3,900 to 3,875
Aug 5 to Aug 7 - INnoVation beat Ret in IEM Gamescom round of 16, INnoVation lost to FanTaSy in IEM Gamescom round of 16, INnoVation beat Lilbow in IEM Gamescom round of 16, SSL S3 ro16 Group B, IEM Gamescom day 2, SSL S3 bracket pattern set - going from 94.43% to 95.87%, AFK Chances from 4.99% to 20.06%, min points from 2,550 to 2,675, median points from 3,875 to 3,950
Aug 8 to Aug 9 - INnoVation beat ForGG in IEM Gamescom quarterfinals, IEM Gamescom Day 4, 4Gamers ro16 Day 2 - going from 95.54% to 97.85%, AFK Chances from 17.2% to 40.48%, min points from 2,675 to 2,800, median points from 3,900 to 4,025
Aug 9 - INnoVation beat MMA in IEM Gamescom semifinals, IEM Gamescom semifinals - going from 97.85% to 99.06%, AFK Chances from 40.48% to 71.36%, min points from 2,800 to 2,925, median points from 4,025 to 4,100
Aug 9 - INnoVation beat soO in IEM Gamescom finals, SKT T1 INnoVation wins IEM Gamescom over SKT T1 soO, 4Gamers quarterfinals - going from 99.06% to 99.84%, AFK Chances from 71.36% to 96.18%, min points from 2,925 to 3,175, median points from 4,100 to 4,325
Aug 13 to Aug 15 - INnoVation beat Flash in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, INnoVation beat Curious in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, Code S S3 ro32 Group E, MSI ro16 groups set, WCS S3 Ro32 Group B - going from 99.88% to 99.99%, min points from 3,175 to 3,375, median points from 4,250 to 4,600
Aug 19 to Aug 20 - INnoVation lost to ByuL in StarLeague Season 3 quarterfinals, SSL S3 Quarterfinals Day 1 - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points 3,375, median points from 4,600 to 4,100
Aug 29 to Aug 30 - INnoVation beat Has in MSI Masters round of 16, INnoVation beat Hydra in MSI Masters round of 16, MSI Masters Day 1 - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points from 3,375 to 3,500, median points from 4,050 to 4,100
Aug 30 to Aug 31 - INnoVation beat HyuN in MSI Masters quarterfinals, MSI Masters semifinals - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points from 3,500 to 3,625, median points from 4,100 to 3,925
Aug 31 - INnoVation lost to sOs in MSI Masters semifinals, Jin Air sOs wins MSI Masters over Samsung Solar - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points 3,625, median points 3,925

September 2015 - From 99.99% to 100%, 3,625 WCS Points to 4,575, 3,925 Median Points to 5,325
Chances September
[image loading]

Points September
[image loading]

Aug 31 to Sep 1 - Fixes for 50 points from WCS Challenger for uThermal and elfi - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points 3,625, median points 3,925
Sep 10 to Sep 11 - INnoVation beat Flash in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16, INnoVation beat GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16, Code S S3 Ro16 Group D - going from 99.99% to 100%, min points from 3,625 to 3,925, median points from 3,925 to 4,225
Sep 17 to Sep 19 - INnoVation beat Zest in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals, Code S S3 Quarterfinals Day 2, DH Stockholm player list set, Added ForGG to DreamHack Stockholm - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 3,925 to 4,225, median points from 4,225 to 4,575
Sep 24 to Sep 25 - INnoVation beat Maru in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals, Code S S3 Semfinal 2, Innovation beat Maru, DH Stockholm quarterfinals half completed, DH Stockholm quarterfinals completed, DH Stockholm semifinals completed, Samsung Solar wins DH Stockholm over ROCCAT HyuN - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,225 to 4,575, median points from 4,575 to 5,325

October 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,575 WCS Points to 5,325, 5,325 Median Points to 5,325
(Innovation's chances are already at 100%)
Points October
[image loading]

Sep 28 to Oct 3 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,575, median points 5,325
Oct 3 to Oct 4 - INnoVation beat ByuL in GSL Code S Season 3 finals, SKT T1 INoVation wins GSL S3 over CJ Entus ByuL - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,575 to 5,325, median points 5,325

+ Show Spoiler [Matches] +

Nov 18: INnoVation lost to herO in Hot6ix Cup round of 16
Nov 18: INnoVation beat Stats in Hot6ix Cup round of 16
Nov 18: INnoVation beat herO in Hot6ix Cup round of 16
Dec 3: INnoVation lost to sOs in Hot6ix Cup quarterfinals
Dec 24: INnoVation lost to Stats in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32
Jan 23: INnoVation beat Super in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32
Jan 23: INnoVation beat Solar in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32
Feb 11: INnoVation beat Terminator in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16
Feb 11: INnoVation lost to MMA in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16
Feb 11: INnoVation beat Terminator in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16
Mar 6: INnoVation lost to Life in GSL Code S Season 1 quarterfinals
Mar 12: INnoVation beat Life in IEM Katowice round of 16
Mar 14: INnoVation lost to Zest in IEM Katowice quarterfinals
Apr 10: INnoVation lost to ByuL in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24
May 6: INnoVation beat Creator in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32
May 6: INnoVation lost to Bomber in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32
May 6: INnoVation beat Blaze in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32
Jun 5: INnoVation lost to Rain in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16
Jun 5: INnoVation lost to Bbyong in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16
Jul 10: INnoVation beat Snute in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24
Jul 15: INnoVation beat KeeN in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48
Jul 30: INnoVation lost to herO in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16
Jul 30: INnoVation beat sOs in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16
Jul 30: INnoVation beat Life in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16
Aug 6: INnoVation beat Ret in IEM Gamescom round of 16
Aug 6: INnoVation lost to FanTaSy in IEM Gamescom round of 16
Aug 6: INnoVation beat Lilbow in IEM Gamescom round of 16
Aug 8: INnoVation beat ForGG in IEM Gamescom quarterfinals
Aug 9: INnoVation beat MMA in IEM Gamescom semifinals
Aug 9: INnoVation beat soO in IEM Gamescom finals
Aug 14: INnoVation beat Flash in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32
Aug 14: INnoVation beat Curious in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32
Aug 20: INnoVation lost to ByuL in StarLeague Season 3 quarterfinals
Aug 30: INnoVation beat Has in MSI Masters round of 16
Aug 30: INnoVation beat Hydra in MSI Masters round of 16
Aug 31: INnoVation beat HyuN in MSI Masters quarterfinals
Aug 31: INnoVation lost to sOs in MSI Masters semifinals
Sep 11: INnoVation beat Flash in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16
Sep 11: INnoVation beat GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16
Sep 18: INnoVation beat Zest in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals
Sep 25: INnoVation beat Maru in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals
Oct 4: INnoVation beat ByuL in GSL Code S Season 3 finals
Total: 28-14, vsT: 7-4, vsZ: 10-3, vsP: 11-7

Ultra wide overall chances graph
Ultra wide overall points graph

Die4Ever

United States17656 Posts

October 10 2015 04:42 GMT

#968

ByuL Retrospective

#8 seed with 4975 WCS Points. Facing Classic in the WCS Global Finals ro16.
WCS match record - Total: 24-10, vsT: 8-2, vsZ: 4-2, vsP: 12-6

From GSL, Byul got 1250 points from a 2nd place in season 2, and 1250 from another 2nd place in season 3.
From SSL, he got 600 points from an 8th place in SSL S2, and 1250 for a 2nd place in season 3.
And from WCS Partner tournaments he got 375 from a 4th place in KeSPA Cup 1, and 250 from an 8th place in KeSPA Cup 2.
That adds up to 4350 WCS Points from GSL/SSL, and 625 WCS Points from WCS Partner tournaments. He got 3750 points just from his 2nd places, that's a little over 75% of his points. Out of the 6 tournaments he got points from, he got 2nd place in half of them.

Byul had a slow start at the beginning of WCS 2015. He started off at 10.64% not being qualified for the Hot6ix Cup and not yet in peak form. His first match for WCS Points on December 26th, he lost to Super in SSL Challenge, earning him no points and bringing him down to 2.01% with him also not being qualified for GSL.
He didn't do anything else until he qualified for GSL Season 2 going from 1.38% up to 2.76% on March 4th. Then on March 26th he qualified for SSL S2 going up again to 6.42%.
His next WCS match wasn't until April 2nd when he beat YongHwa in GSL Code A Season 2, bringing him from 7.59% up to 10.71%.
Then, despite the unlucky draw, he beat Innovation in SSL S2 Challenge 3-2, bringing him up to 16.08%. And the very next day he beat Innovation 2-0 to qualify for KeSPA Cup 1 bringing him up further to 21.84%.

Byul had a busy week from May 3rd to the 8th. He beat Maru and Myungsik in KeSPA Cup 1, and lost to herO in the semifinals, putting Byul at 25.87%. Then he beat Trap and Life in his SSL S2 ro16 group, going up to 48.62%. And to finish the week, in his GSL ro32 group he lost to Maru, and then beat Liquid HerO (I had to do a double take!) and TY, going up to 59.41% and 1375 WCS Points.
+ Show Spoiler [Byul vs Trap] +

Unfortunately this was the only highlight video I could find for Byul.

On May 28th, Byul lost to Classic in the SSL S2 quarterfinals, dropping way down to 38.74%.

June 3rd in the GSL S2 ro16, Byul lost to Curious, beat Dream, and then beat herO, going up to 54.36%.
Then Byul went through the playoffs, beating Parting going up to 72.13%, then beating sOs going up to 88.44%.
In the GSL S2 finals on June 28th, against Rain, Byul lost 4-1, dropping down to 77.1% with 2375 WCS Points with his first 2nd place of the year.

Starting off July, Byul beat Shine in SSL S3 Challenge, going up to 91.74%.
Then in KeSPA Cup 2 he beat Pigbaby and lost to Dark for an 8th place, putting Nyul at 92.77% and 2875 WCS Points.
Back to SSL S3 in the ro16, Byul beat Stats and Zest, bringing him up to 98.27%.

In August, Byul won his GSL S3 ro32 group, beating Sleep, losing to Dear, and then beating Fantasy, going up to 99.97% and 3375 WCS Points.
Then he again beat Innovation, in the SSL S3 quarterfinals with a 3-2 score. This made Byul the 12th player to reach 99.99% and put him at 3675 WCS Points.

On September 3rd, Byul beat TY in the SSL S3 semifinals, locking in his 100% and going up to 4025 WCS Points.
In GSL S3, Byul beat Zest and Solar to advance from the ro16, and then beat Gumiho in the quarterfinals, going up to 4625 WCS Points.
On September 20th, Byul again lost in the finals, this time to teammate herO in the SSL S3 finals.
In the GSL semifinals, Byul beat Dear to pull off the miracle triple starleague finals, double finals in the same season, going up to his final 4975 WCS Points.
Then of course, on October 4th, Byul lost to Innovation in the GSL S3 finals.

If Byul had beaten Innovation in that finals, then he'd have the #4 seed with 5725 WCS Points and be facing Lilbow instead of Classic.

+ Show Spoiler [Timeline] +

November 2014 - From 10.64% to 8.55%, 0 WCS Points to 0, 750 Median Points to 875
Chances November
[image loading]

Points November (the blue line is WCS Points, the black line is median WCS Points)
[image loading]

Nov 17 - 10.64% - WCS 2015 started with Hot6ix Cup

December 2014 - From 8.52% to 2.75%, 0 WCS Points to 0, 875 Median Points to 750
Chances December
[image loading]

Points December
[image loading]

Nov 30 to Dec 2 - Hot6ix Cup Quarterfinals Day 1, Swapped Hot6ix Cup bracket around - going from 8.55% to 8.52%, min points 0, median points 875
Dec 9 to Dec 11 - SSL Season 1 Ro32 matches set, SSL qualifiers now have a large Korean bias - going from 7.76% to 14.72%, min points 0, median points from 875 to 1,250
Dec 12 to Dec 15 - GSL Season 1 Qualifiers - going from 14.68% to 10.33%, min points 0, median points from 1,250 to 1,125
Dec 25 to Dec 26 - ByuL lost to Super in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32, S2SL Challenge Day 5 - going from 8.37% to 2.01%, min points 0, median points from 1,050 to 700
Dec 28 to Dec 31 - going from 2.01% to 2.75%, min points 0, median points from 700 to 750

January 2015 - From 2.24% to 1.1%, 0 WCS Points to 0, 725 Median Points to 625
Chances January
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Points January
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Dec 31 to Jan 4 - Added IEM Taipei - going from 2.75% to 2.24%, min points 0, median points from 750 to 725

February 2015 - From 1.13% to 1.4%, 0 WCS Points to 0, 625 Median Points to 650
Chances February
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Points February
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Jan 31 to Feb 1 - IEM Taipei semifinals, StarTale Life wins IEM Taipei over Jinair Maru - going from 1.1% to 1.13%, min points 0, median points 625

March 2015 - From 1.4% to 7.74%, 0 WCS Points to 100, 650 Median Points to 1,175
Chances March
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Points March
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Feb 28 to Mar 1 - WCS S1 Premier ro32 Group H - going from 1.4% to 1.4%, min points 0, median points 650
Mar 3 to Mar 4 - GSL S2 Qualifiers and Code S S1 Quarterfinals Day 1 - going from 1.38% to 2.76%, min points from 0 to 50, median points from 650 to 825
Mar 25 to Mar 26 - NSSL S2 qualifiers - going from 2.79% to 6.42%, min points from 50 to 100, median points from 850 to 1,125

April 2015 - From 7.59% to 20.13%, 100 WCS Points to 450, 1,175 Median Points to 2,000
Chances April
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Points April
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Mar 31 to Apr 1 - Code A S2 Day 1, Copenhagen Day 1, Added KeSPA Cup 1 with 6 invites, removed Placeholder #20 - going from 7.74% to 7.59%, min points 100, median points 1,175
Apr 1 to Apr 2 - ByuL beat YongHwa in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48, Code A S2 Day 2, SSL Challenger S2 Day 1, Copenhagen Spring Day 2 - going from 7.59% to 10.71%, min points from 100 to 200, median points from 1,175 to 1,400
Apr 9 to Apr 10 - ByuL beat INnoVation in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24, SSL S2 Challenger Day 4 and Code A S2 Day 6, DreamHack Tours first 84 players, KeSPA Cup 1 EU qualifiers, Jaedong moved to NA region, KeSPA Cup 1 AM qualifier - going from 8.69% to 16.08%, min points from 200 to 450, median points from 1,425 to 1,850
Apr 10 to Apr 11 - KeSPA Cup Korean qualifier, WCS EU Qualifier #1 - going from 16.08% to 21.84%, min points from 450 to 575, median points from 1,850 to 2,100
Apr 27 to Apr 28 - KeSPA Cup 1 bracket set - going from 20.71% to 20.01%, min points from 575 to 450, median points from 2,075 to 2,000

May 2015 - From 19.7% to 38.62%, 450 WCS Points to 1,375, 2,000 Median Points to 2,700
Chances May
[image loading]

Points May
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Apr 30 to May 1 - Code S S2 ro32 Group C, Gfinity Day 1 - going from 20.13% to 19.7%, min points 450, median points 2,000
May 3 to May 4 - ByuL beat Maru in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16, ByuL beat MyuNgSiK in KeSPA Cup 1 quarterfinals, KeSPA Cup Day 2, WCS S2 ro32 groups drawn, Added Firecake, Welmu, Starnan, and Dayshi to DH Tours, removed Naniwa, Jaedong, Polt, Violet, and Showtime - going from 19.07% to 29.15%, min points from 450 to 825, median points from 2,000 to 2,350
May 4 to May 5 - ByuL lost to herO in KeSPA Cup 1 semifinals, CJ Entus herO wins KeSPA Cup 1 over SKT T1 Dark, DH Tours groups set - going from 29.15% to 25.87%, min points 825, median points from 2,350 to 2,250
May 7 - ByuL beat Trap in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16, ByuL beat Life in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16, SSL S2 ro16 Group C - going from 25.49% to 48.62%, min points from 825 to 1,175, median points from 2,250 to 2,925
May 8 - ByuL lost to Maru in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, ByuL beat HerO in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, ByuL beat TY in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, GSL ro32 Group E and DH Tours Group Stage 1, DH Tours ro32, DH Tours ro16 - going from 48.6% to 59.41%, min points from 1,175 to 1,375, median points from 2,925 to 3,200
May 27 to May 28 - ByuL lost to Classic in StarLeague Season 2 quarterfinals, SSL S2 Quarterfinals Day 2, WCS Premier S2 Ro32 Group E - going from 61.95% to 38.74%, min points 1,375, median points from 3,225 to 2,700

June 2015 - From 38.71% to 83.78%, 1,375 WCS Points to 2,375, 2,675 Median Points to 3,425
Chances June
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Points June
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May 31 to Jun 1 - going from 38.62% to 38.71%, min points 1,375, median points from 2,700 to 2,675
Jun 2 to Jun 3 - ByuL lost to Curious in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, ByuL beat Dream in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, ByuL beat herO in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, Code S S2 Ro16 Group C - going from 38.62% to 54.36%, min points from 1,375 to 1,725, median points from 2,675 to 3,050
Jun 9 to Jun 10 - ByuL beat PartinG in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals, Code S S2 quarterfinals day 1 - going from 53.71% to 72.13%, min points from 1,725 to 2,025, median points from 3,025 to 3,450
Jun 16 to Jun 17 - ByuL beat sOs in GSL Code S Season 2 semifinals, Code S S2 semifinals ByuL vs sOs - going from 70.81% to 88.44%, min points from 2,025 to 2,250, median points from 3,475 to 3,925
Jun 24 - Fixed bug with KeSPA Cup 2 - going from 86.47% to 88.42%, min points from 2,250 to 2,375, median points from 3,875 to 3,925
Jun 27 to Jun 28 - ByuL lost to Rain in GSL Code S Season 2 finals, mYinsanity Rain wins GSL S2 over CJ Entus ByuL, WCS S2 Quarterfinals, WCS S2 Semifinals, ROOT Hydra wins WCS S2 over Millenium Lilbow - going from 84.29% to 77.1%, min points 2,375, median points from 3,850 to 3,550
Jun 29 to Jun 30 - Added ASUS Summer with 4 players qualified, added IEM Cologne and MSI, removed 10 Placeholder tournaments, down to 7 Placeholders now, Start of WCS Wars season 3, SSL S3 Challenger matches set - going from 76.41% to 83.74%, min points 2,375, median points from 3,525 to 3,425

July 2015 - From 83.82% to 99.14%, 2,375 WCS Points to 3,175, 3,425 Median Points to 3,775
Chances July
[image loading]

Points July
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Jun 30 - WCS S3 AM Qualifier #1 - going from 83.78% to 83.82%, min points 2,375, median points 3,425
Jul 2 to Jul 3 - ByuL beat Shine in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24, SSL S3 Challenger Day 2, GSL S3 Code A matches set - going from 82.84% to 91.74%, AFK Chances from 0.2% to 6.72%, min points from 2,375 to 2,625, median points from 3,425 to 3,675
Jul 5 to Jul 6 - ByuL beat Pigbaby in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16, KeSPA Cup Day 1, WCS S3 EU Qualifier 2, fixed Petraeus seed - going from 91.79% to 96.51%, AFK Chances from 6.56% to 46.71%, min points from 2,625 to 2,875, median points from 3,675 to 3,775
Jul 10 to Jul 12 - ByuL lost to Dark in KeSPA Cup 2 quarterfinals, KeSPA Cup 2 Day 2, WCS EU/AM Challenger matches set, IEM Shenzhen groups set with Stardust replaced by Kelazhur, WCS S3 SEA/OCE Challenger - going from 95.89% to 93.77%, min points 2,875, median points from 3,750 to 3,625
Jul 22 to Jul 23 - ByuL beat Stats in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16, ByuL beat Zest in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16, SSL S3 Group D, WCS S3 Challenger NA Day 2 - going from 89.68% to 98.27%, AFK Chances from 30.18% to 85.47%, min points from 2,875 to 3,175, median points from 3,525 to 3,850

August 2015 - From 98.97% to 99.99%, 3,175 WCS Points to 3,675, 3,775 Median Points to 4,275
Chances August
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Points August
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Jul 31 to Aug 1 - MSI Masters 6 invites and player list locked - going from 99.14% to 98.97%, min points 3,175, median points 3,775
Aug 18 to Aug 19 - ByuL beat Sleep in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, ByuL lost to Dear in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, ByuL beat FanTaSy in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, Code S S3 Ro32 Group F - going from 99.62% to 99.97%, min points from 3,175 to 3,375, median points from 3,675 to 3,775
Aug 19 to Aug 20 - ByuL beat INnoVation in StarLeague Season 3 quarterfinals, SSL S3 Quarterfinals Day 1 - going from 99.97% to 99.99%, min points from 3,375 to 3,675, median points from 3,775 to 4,275

September 2015 - From 99.99% to 100%, 3,675 WCS Points to 4,975, 4,275 Median Points to 4,975
Chances September
[image loading]

Points September
[image loading]

Aug 31 to Sep 1 - Fixes for 50 points from WCS Challenger for uThermal and elfi - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points 3,675, median points 4,275
Sep 2 to Sep 3 - ByuL beat TY in StarLeague Season 3 semifinals, SSL S3 semifinals ByuL beat TY - going from 99.99% to 100%, min points from 3,675 to 4,025, median points from 4,275 to 4,625
Sep 8 to Sep 9 - ByuL beat Zest in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16, ByuL beat Solar in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16, Code S S3 Ro16 Group C, WCS S3 Ro16 Day 2 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,025 to 4,325, median points from 4,625 to 4,975
Sep 14 to Sep 16 - ByuL beat GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals, Code S S3 Quarterfinals Day 1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,325 to 4,625, median points from 5,075 to 5,375
Sep 19 to Sep 20 - ByuL lost to herO in StarLeague Season 3 finals, CJ Entus herO wins SSL S3 over CJ Entus ByuL - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,625, median points from 5,375 to 4,625
Sep 23 to Sep 24 - ByuL beat Dear in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals, Code S S3 Semifinal 1 ByuL beats Dear, DH Stockholm ro32 completed, DH Stockholm ro16 half complete, DH Stockholm ro16 completed - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,625 to 4,975, median points from 4,625 to 4,975

October 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,975 WCS Points to 4,975, 4,975 Median Points to 4,975
Sep 28 to Oct 3 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,975, median points 4,975
Oct 3 to Oct 4 - ByuL lost to INnoVation in GSL Code S Season 3 finals, SKT T1 INoVation wins GSL S3 over CJ Entus ByuL - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,975, median points 4,975

+ Show Spoiler [Matches] +

Dec 26: ByuL lost to Super in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32
Apr 2: ByuL beat YongHwa in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48
Apr 10: ByuL beat INnoVation in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24
May 4: ByuL beat Maru in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16
May 4: ByuL beat MyuNgSiK in KeSPA Cup 1 quarterfinals
May 5: ByuL lost to herO in KeSPA Cup 1 semifinals
May 7: ByuL beat Trap in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16
May 7: ByuL beat Life in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16
May 8: ByuL lost to Maru in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32
May 8: ByuL beat HerO in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32
May 8: ByuL beat TY in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32
May 28: ByuL lost to Classic in StarLeague Season 2 quarterfinals
Jun 3: ByuL lost to Curious in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16
Jun 3: ByuL beat Dream in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16
Jun 3: ByuL beat herO in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16
Jun 10: ByuL beat PartinG in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals
Jun 17: ByuL beat sOs in GSL Code S Season 2 semifinals
Jun 28: ByuL lost to Rain in GSL Code S Season 2 finals
Jul 3: ByuL beat Shine in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24
Jul 6: ByuL beat Pigbaby in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16
Jul 11: ByuL lost to Dark in KeSPA Cup 2 quarterfinals
Jul 23: ByuL beat Stats in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16
Jul 23: ByuL beat Zest in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16
Aug 19: ByuL beat Sleep in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32
Aug 19: ByuL lost to Dear in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32
Aug 19: ByuL beat FanTaSy in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32
Aug 20: ByuL beat INnoVation in StarLeague Season 3 quarterfinals
Sep 3: ByuL beat TY in StarLeague Season 3 semifinals
Sep 9: ByuL beat Zest in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16
Sep 9: ByuL beat Solar in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16
Sep 16: ByuL beat GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals
Sep 20: ByuL lost to herO in StarLeague Season 3 finals
Sep 24: ByuL beat Dear in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals
Oct 4: ByuL lost to INnoVation in GSL Code S Season 3 finals
Total: 24-10, vsT: 8-2, vsZ: 4-2, vsP: 12-6

Ultra wide overall chances graph
Ultra wide overall points graph

Die4Ever

United States17656 Posts

October 13 2015 05:43 GMT

#969

FanTaSy Retrospective

#16 seed with 3025 WCS Points. Facing herO in the WCS Global Finals ro16.
WCS match record - Total: 31-20, vsT: 5-1, vsZ: 14-11, vsP: 12-8

From GSL, Fantasy got 150 points from a 24th place in season 1, 400 points from a 12th place in season 2, and 150 points from a 24th place in season 3.
From SSL, 300 points from a 16th place in season 1, and 0 points from seasons 2 and 3.
And from WCS Partner tournaments he got 400 points from IEM World Championship, 75 from Gfinity Spring 1, 200 from Copenhagen games, 250 from KeSPA Cup 1, 125 from DreamHack Tours, 125 from KeSPA Cup 2, 250 from DreamHack Valencia, 100 from ASUS ROG, 375 from IEM Gamescom, and 125 from DreamHack Stockholm.
That adds up to 1000 points from GSL/SSL, and 2025 points from WCS Partner tournaments. With a whopping 10 WCS Partners that he won points from, that's more than Parting who had 9, Hyun who had 8, herO who had 7, and Rain who also had 7.

Not being qualified for the Hot6ix Cup, Fantasy started the year at 2.92% Blizzcon Chances. He went up to 5.11% by qualified for SSL S1, and again up to 9.99% by qualifying for GSL S1. Fantasy beat MarineKing in SSL Challenge, which brought him up to 26.96%.

In his GSL group he beat Rogue, but then lost to MC and Rogue, which brought Fantasy down to 20.95%.
Then in his SSL group he lost to Terminator and Super, bringing him down to 9.1%.

Qualifying for IEM Katowice World Championship brought him up to 17.85%.

At IEM Katowice, Fantasy beat Rain in the ro16, going up to 31.22%, but then he lost to Trap in the quarterfinals, going down to 23.41%.
+ Show Spoiler [Fantasy vs Trap] +

At Gfinity Spring 1 in the ro16, Fantasy lost to Rain, beat Bunny, and then lost to Hydra, which brought Fantasy down to 22.58%.

In Copenhagen Spring, Fantasy beat POX and Jaedong in the ro32, and then beat Miniraser and Ret in the ro16. Then he beat Jaedong again in the quarterfinals, and Rain in the semifinals. But then he lost to Parting in the finals, ending up at 26.14% Blizzcon Chances.

When Fantasy was confirmed for DreamHack Tours, and he qualified for KeSPA Cup 1 through the EU Qualifier, he went up to 36.74%. Fantasy then beat Pigbaby in GSL S2 Code A, going up to 51.19%.

In GSL S2 ro32, Fantasy beat soO and Rogue to go up to 65.91%.
+ Show Spoiler [Fantasy vs soO] +

In KeSPA Cup 1, Fantasy beat Zest in the ro16, then lost to Dark, ending up to 70.73%.

At DreamHack Tours, Fantasy beat SbR and Psionic in the ro64, Bunny in the ro32, and then lost to Hyun in the ro16 to end up at 68.86%.

In GSL S2 ro16, Fantasy lost to Rogue, beat Gumiho, and then lost to Rogue again, going down to 51.1%.

With Fantasy qualified for KeSPA Cup 2, he went up to 55.98%. But then he failed to qualify for SSL S2, bringing him down to 41.56%.

At KeSPA Cup 2 in the ro16, Fantasy once again lost to Dark, going down to 35.07%.

Getting invited to ASUS Summer brought Fantasy up to 35.93%.

At DreamHack Valencia, Fantasy beat Mana in the ro32 and Ret in the ro16, which brought him up to 52.59%. Then he lost to Patience in the quarterfinals, putting Fantasy at 39.94%.

In GSL S3 Code A, Fantasy beat San, going up to 52.43%.

With the IEM Gamescom groups and open bracket set, and the ASUS ROG Summer groups set, Fantasy went up to 72.12%.

At ASUS ROG Summer, Fantasy beat Namshar, lost to Keen, beat Serral, beat Lilbow, and beat TRUE, advancing to the quarterfinals and going up to 88.13%. Then he lost to BBoongBBoong, bringing him down to 79.12%.

At IEM Gamescom, Fantasy beat Lilbow again, beat Innovation, and beat Patience to advance to the semifinals and go up to 88.78%. Then he lost to soO in the semifinals, ending up at 83.96%.
+ Show Spoiler [Fantasy vs Patience] +

In GSL S3 ro32, Fantasy lost to Dear, beat Sleep, and lost to Byul, falling down to 80.24%.

With TY beating Zest in the SSL S3 quarterfinals and Dark advancing from his GSL S3 ro32 group, brought Fantasy down to 72.64%.

With sOs replacing Zest for MSI Masters and then winning the tournament, Fantasy dropped from 69.52% down to 46.96%.

Solar and Dark losing their GSL S3 ro16 group brough Fantasy from 65.16% up to 86.84%.

Lilbow going from the quaterfinals to winning WCS S3 brought Fantasy down to 72.59%.

ForGG being added to DreamHack Stockholm brought Fantasy down to 46.8%. When the groups were set with Fantasy's threats spread out, and ForGG cancelled, Fantasy went up slightly to 48.37%.
When Byul beat Dear in the GSL S3 semifinals, Fantasy went up to 56.7%.

At DreamHack Stockholm, Fantasy beat Welmu in the ro32, then lost to Hyun again in the ro16 2-0, but to make up for that Dark lost to Leenock in the ro16, putting Fantasy at 80.34%.
At this point, the only thing Fantasy had to worry about was Hyun winning the tournament or Hyun getting 2nd to tie Fantasy. When Hyun beat Rain, Fantasy fell to 57.01%. When Hyun beat Reality in the semifinals, Fantasy fell to 23.45%. Then when Hyun lost to Solar in the finals he tied with Fantasy, leaving it to a tie breaker match giving Fantasy a 45.33% chance.

Fantasy won the tie breaker match against Hyun in a tense 3-2, getting him into the WCS Global Finals where he'll face herO in the first round.

+ Show Spoiler [Timeline] +

November 2014 - From 2.92% to 1.86%, 0 WCS Points to 0, 500 Median Points to 525
November Chances
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November Points (blue line is WCS Points, black line is median points)
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Nov 17 - 2.92% - WCS 2015 started with Hot6ix Cup
Nov 18 - going from 2.96% to 1.89%, min points 0, median points from 500 to 525

December 2014 - From 1.85% to 27.31%, 0 WCS Points to 450, 525 Median Points to 1,900
December Chances
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December Points
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Nov 30 to Dec 2 - Hot6ix Cup Quarterfinals Day 1, Swapped Hot6ix Cup bracket around - going from 1.86% to 1.85%, min points 0, median points 525
Dec 9 to Dec 11 - SSL Season 1 Ro32 matches set, SSL qualifiers now have a large Korean bias - going from 1.47% to 5.11%, min points 0, median points from 550 to 900
Dec 12 to Dec 15 - GSL Season 1 Qualifiers - going from 5.13% to 9.99%, min points from 0 to 150, median points from 900 to 1,300
Dec 21 to Dec 23 - going from 9.52% to 14.76%, min points 150, median points from 1,300 to 1,475
Dec 25 to Dec 26 - FanTaSy beat MarineKing in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32, S2SL Challenge Day 5 - going from 15.13% to 26.96%, min points from 150 to 450, median points from 1,500 to 1,900

January 2015 - From 26.3% to 7.63%, 450 WCS Points to 500, 1,900 Median Points to 1,375
January Chances
[image loading]

January Points
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Dec 31 to Jan 4 - Added IEM Taipei - going from 27.31% to 26.3%, min points 450, median points 1,900
Jan 6 to Jan 8 - FanTaSy beat Rogue in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, FanTaSy lost to MC in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, FanTaSy lost to Rogue in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, GSL Group A, WCS EU Season 1 Qualifier 2, WCS AM Season 1 Qualifier 1 - going from 25.54% to 20.95%, min points from 450 to 500, median points from 1,900 to 1,750
Jan 14 to Jan 15 - FanTaSy lost to Terminator in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16, FanTaSy lost to Super in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16, NSSL ro16 group A - going from 21.86% to 9.1%, min points 500, median points from 1,800 to 1,425

February 2015 - From 7.73% to 17.44%, 500 WCS Points to 750, 1,375 Median Points to 1,825
February Chances
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February Points
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Jan 31 to Feb 1 - IEM Taipei semifinals, StarTale Life wins IEM Taipei over Jinair Maru - going from 7.63% to 7.73%, min points 500, median points 1,375
Feb 23 to Feb 25 - IEM Katowice Qualifiers, Code S S1 ro16 Group C - going from 7.46% to 17.85%, min points from 500 to 750, median points from 1,375 to 1,850

March 2015 - From 17.33% to 20.21%, 750 WCS Points to 975, 1,825 Median Points to 2,025
March Chances
[image loading]

March Points
[image loading]

Feb 28 to Mar 1 - WCS S1 Premier ro32 Group H - going from 17.44% to 17.33%, min points 750, median points 1,825
Mar 11 to Mar 12 - FanTaSy beat Rain in IEM Katowice round of 16, IEM Katowice Day 1 - going from 20.92% to 31.22%, min points from 750 to 900, median points from 1,900 to 2,200
Mar 13 to Mar 14 - FanTaSy lost to Trap in IEM Katowice quarterfinals, IEM Katowice Quarterfinals, IEM Katowice Day 3 - going from 30.51% to 23.41%, min points 900, median points from 2,175 to 2,000
Mar 18 to Mar 19 - Added Copenhagen Spring notable participants - going from 23.33% to 26.68%, min points 900, median points from 2,000 to 2,125
Mar 25 to Mar 26 - Added Gfinity Spring 1, NSSL S2 qualifiers - going from 25.13% to 23.49%, min points from 900 to 975, median points from 2,100 to 2,125
Mar 27 to Mar 28 - FanTaSy lost to Rain in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16, FanTaSy beat Bunny in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16, FanTaSy lost to Hydra in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16, Gfinity Spring 1 Day 1 - going from 22.67% to 22.58%, min points 975, median points from 2,125 to 2,100

April 2015 - From 20.36% to 50.48%, 975 WCS Points to 1,275, 2,050 Median Points to 2,950
April Chances
[image loading]

April Points
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Mar 31 to Apr 1 - Code A S2 Day 1, Copenhagen Day 1, Added KeSPA Cup 1 with 6 invites, removed Placeholder #20 - going from 20.21% to 20.36%, min points 975, median points from 2,025 to 2,050
Apr 1 to Apr 2 - FanTaSy beat POX in Copenhagen Spring round of 32, FanTaSy beat Jaedong in Copenhagen Spring round of 32, Code A S2 Day 2, SSL Challenger S2 Day 1 - going from 20.36% to 21.05%, min points 975, median points 2,050
Apr 2 - FanTaSy beat Miniraser in Copenhagen Spring round of 16, FanTaSy beat Ret in Copenhagen Spring round of 16, Copenhagen Spring Day 2 - going from 21.05% to 26.35%, min points from 975 to 1,075, median points from 2,050 to 2,175
Apr 2 to Apr 3 - FanTaSy beat Jaedong in Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals, Code A S2 Day 3, SSL S2 Challenger Day 2 - going from 26.35% to 25.99%, min points 1,075, median points 2,175
Apr 3 - Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals - going from 25.99% to 26.8%, min points from 1,075 to 1,125, median points from 2,175 to 2,200
Apr 3 - FanTaSy beat Rain in Copenhagen Spring semifinals, FanTaSy lost to PartinG in Copenhagen Spring finals, WCS S1 ro16 Day 1 and Yoe Parting wins Copenhagen Spring over dPix Fantasy, Fixed points distribution for WCS, WCS Champion seeded into Premier - going from 26.8% to 26.14%, min points from 1,125 to 1,175, median points from 2,200 to 2,250
Apr 10 - DreamHack Tours first 84 players, KeSPA Cup 1 EU qualifiers, Jaedong moved to NA region, KeSPA Cup 1 AM qualifier - going from 25.37% to 36.74%, min points from 1,175 to 1,300, median points from 2,300 to 2,650
Apr 14 to Apr 15 - FanTaSy beat Pigbaby in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48, Code A Day 7, KeSPA Cup Proleague seeds set, WCS S2 EU Qualifier 3, Made qualifiers more stable, WCS S2 Challenger matches set for China and OCE/SEA - going from 41.01% to 51.19%, min points from 1,300 to 1,400, median points from 2,725 to 2,950
Apr 18 to Apr 19 - WCS S2 AM Qualifiers completed - going from 51.06% to 56.59%, min points 1,400, median points from 2,975 to 3,100
Apr 27 to Apr 28 - KeSPA Cup 1 bracket set - going from 53.37% to 50.55%, min points from 1,400 to 1,275, median points from 3,050 to 2,950

May 2015 - From 65.91% to 50.87%, 1,475 WCS Points to 2,025, 3,350 Median Points to 2,950
May Chances
[image loading]

May Points
[image loading]

Apr 30 to May 1 - FanTaSy beat soO in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, FanTaSy beat Rogue in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, Code S S2 ro32 Group C, Gfinity Day 1 - going from 50.48% to 65.91%, min points from 1,275 to 1,475, median points from 2,950 to 3,350
May 2 to May 3 - FanTaSy beat Zest in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16, KeSPA Cup Day 1 and Gfinity Spring 2 completed - going from 65.49% to 76.79%, min points from 1,475 to 1,800, median points from 3,350 to 3,650
May 3 to May 4 - FanTaSy lost to Dark in KeSPA Cup 1 quarterfinals, KeSPA Cup Day 2, WCS S2 ro32 groups drawn, Added Firecake, Welmu, Starnan, and Dayshi to DH Tours, removed Naniwa, Jaedong, Polt, Violet, and Showtime - going from 76.79% to 70.73%, min points 1,800, median points from 3,650 to 3,450
May 8 - FanTaSy beat SbR in DreamHack Tours round of 64, FanTaSy beat PsiOniC in DreamHack Tours round of 64, GSL ro32 Group E and DH Tours Group Stage 1 - going from 71.74% to 71.43%, min points 1,800, median points from 3,500 to 3,475
May 8 - FanTaSy beat Bunny in DreamHack Tours round of 32, DH Tours ro32 - going from 71.43% to 75.17%, min points from 1,800 to 1,925, median points from 3,475 to 3,575
May 8 to May 9 - FanTaSy lost to HyuN in DreamHack Tours round of 16, DH Tours ro16 - going from 75.17% to 68.86%, min points 1,925, median points from 3,575 to 3,400
May 28 to May 29 - FanTaSy lost to Rogue in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, FanTaSy beat GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, FanTaSy lost to Rogue in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, Code S S2 Ro16 Group D, WCS Premier S2 Ro32 Group F - going from 67.06% to 51.1%, min points from 1,925 to 2,025, median points from 3,325 to 2,950

June 2015 - From 50.97% to 43.45%, 2,025 WCS Points to 2,150, 2,950 Median Points to 2,775
June Chances
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June Points
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May 31 to Jun 1 - going from 50.87% to 50.97%, min points 2,025, median points 2,950
Jun 23 to Jun 24 - KeSPA Cup 2 players finalized - going from 43.23% to 53.8%, min points 2,025, median points from 2,900 to 3,075
Jun 24 - Fixed bug with KeSPA Cup 2 - going from 53.8% to 55.98%, min points from 2,025 to 2,150, median points from 3,075 to 3,150
Jun 24 to Jun 25 - SSL S3 qualifiers and seeds - going from 55.98% to 41.56%, min points 2,150, median points from 3,150 to 2,950
Jun 29 to Jun 30 - Added ASUS Summer with 4 players qualified, added IEM Cologne and MSI, removed 10 Placeholder tournaments, down to 7 Placeholders now, Start of WCS Wars season 3, SSL S3 Challenger matches set - going from 43.23% to 43.44%, min points 2,150, median points from 2,950 to 2,775

July 2015 - From 43.53% to 79.12%, 2,150 WCS Points to 2,625, 2,775 Median Points to 3,250
July Chances
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July Points
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Jun 30 - WCS S3 AM Qualifier #1 - going from 43.45% to 43.53%, min points 2,150, median points 2,775
Jun 30 to Jul 2 - WCS S3 EU Qualifier #1, added first 80 players for DH Valencia, SSL S3 Challenger Day 1, KeSPA Cup 2 bracket set, MSI Korean qualifier - going from 43.53% to 49.86%, min points 2,150, median points from 2,775 to 2,900
Jul 5 to Jul 6 - FanTaSy lost to Dark in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16, KeSPA Cup Day 1, WCS S3 EU Qualifier 2, fixed Petraeus seed - going from 43.31% to 35.07%, min points 2,150, median points from 2,850 to 2,700
Jul 9 to Jul 10 - MSI EU Qualifier, MSI reduced to 16 players and Gfinity 1+2 bug fixes, ASUS Qualifier #4, more bug fixes, removed WCS Points given to seeded players who lose in SSL Challenger, WCS S3 AM Qualifier #4, SSL S3 Challenge Day 4, Code A S3 Day 3 - going from 33.75% to 28.16%, min points from 2,150 to 2,075, median points from 2,700 to 2,625
Jul 13 to Jul 14 - locked in player list for ASUS Summer with 16 invites, IEM Gamescom Asian Final Qualifier - going from 25.6% to 35.93%, min points 2,075, median points from 2,575 to 2,825
Jul 16 - FanTaSy beat MaNa in DreamHack Valencia round of 32, DH Valencia ro32 - going from 35.1% to 44.8%, min points from 2,075 to 2,200, median points from 2,800 to 2,950
Jul 16 to Jul 17 - FanTaSy beat Ret in DreamHack Valencia round of 16, DH Valencia Day 1, IEM Shenzhen Day 2, Code A S3 Day 6 - going from 44.8% to 52.59%, min points from 2,200 to 2,325, median points from 2,950 to 3,075
Jul 17 to Jul 18 - FanTaSy lost to Patience in DreamHack Valencia quarterfinals, DH Valencia Quarterfinals, DH Valencia semifinals, IEM Shenzhen fixed WCS Points for open bracket players, SBENU Curious wins DreamHack Valencia over dPix TRUE, IEM Shenzhen Day 3 - going from 52.59% to 39.94%, min points 2,325, median points from 3,075 to 2,875
Jul 21 to Jul 22 - FanTaSy beat San in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48, Code A S3 Day 7, WCS Challenger S3 NA Day 1 - going from 40.97% to 52.43%, min points from 2,325 to 2,375, median points from 2,875 to 3,050
Jul 25 - IEM Gamescom groups and open bracket set, ASUS ROG Summer ro32 groups set, Yoe Has qualified for MSI Masters - going from 54.23% to 72.12%, min points 2,375, median points from 3,050 to 3,300
Jul 29 to Jul 30 - FanTaSy beat Namshar in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32, FanTaSy lost to KeeN in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32, FanTaSy beat Serral in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32, SSL S3 Ro16 Group C - going from 74.32% to 75.56%, min points 2,375, median points 3,250
Jul 30 - ASUS ROG Ro16 groups set, Rain forfeited IEM Gamescom - going from 75.56% to 78.29%, min points from 2,375 to 2,500, median points from 3,250 to 3,300
Jul 30 - FanTaSy beat Lilbow in ASUS ROG Summer round of 16, FanTaSy beat TRUE in ASUS ROG Summer round of 16, ASUS ROG Day 1 - going from 78.29% to 88.13%, AFK Chances from 1.14% to 9.26%, min points from 2,500 to 2,625, median points from 3,300 to 3,450
Jul 30 to Jul 31 - FanTaSy lost to BBoongBBoong in ASUS ROG Summer quarterfinals, Code S S3 Ro32 Group A, ASUS ROG Quarterfinals, ASUS ROG Semifinals, MVP Losira won ASUS ROG over mYinsanity PtitDrogo, WCS S3 Premier ro32 groups set - going from 88.13% to 79.12%, min points 2,625, median points from 3,450 to 3,250

August 2015 - From 75.61% to 46.96%, 2,625 WCS Points to 2,900, 3,175 Median Points to 2,900
August Chances
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August Points
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Jul 31 to Aug 1 - MSI Masters 6 invites and player list locked - going from 79.12% to 75.61%, min points 2,625, median points from 3,250 to 3,175
Aug 3 to Aug 4 - Fixed ASUS ROG WCS Points, Removed KeSPA Cup 3 - going from 75.75% to 67.78%, AFK Chances from 7.51% to 1.47%, min points from 2,625 to 2,475, median points from 3,175 to 3,025
Aug 5 to Aug 7 - FanTaSy beat Lilbow in IEM Gamescom round of 16, FanTaSy beat INnoVation in IEM Gamescom round of 16, SSL S3 ro16 Group B, IEM Gamescom day 2, SSL S3 bracket pattern set - going from 66.84% to 84.45%, AFK Chances from 1.45% to 31.36%, min points from 2,475 to 2,725, median points from 3,025 to 3,225
Aug 8 to Aug 9 - FanTaSy beat Patience in IEM Gamescom quarterfinals, IEM Gamescom Day 4, 4Gamers ro16 Day 2 - going from 82.21% to 88.78%, AFK Chances from 29.44% to 52.09%, min points from 2,725 to 2,850, median points from 3,225 to 3,275
Aug 9 - FanTaSy lost to soO in IEM Gamescom semifinals, IEM Gamescom semifinals, SKT T1 INnoVation wins IEM Gamescom over SKT T1 soO, 4Gamers quarterfinals - going from 88.78% to 83.96%, min points 2,850, median points from 3,275 to 3,150
Aug 18 to Aug 19 - FanTaSy lost to Dear in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, FanTaSy beat Sleep in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, FanTaSy lost to ByuL in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, Code S S3 Ro32 Group F - going from 87.47% to 80.24%, min points from 2,850 to 2,900, median points from 3,100 to 2,900

September 2015 - From 47.26% to 45.97%, 2,900 WCS Points to 3,025, 2,900 Median Points to 3,025
September Chances
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September Points
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Aug 31 to Sep 1 - Fixes for 50 points from WCS Challenger for uThermal and elfi - going from 46.96% to 47.26%, min points 2,900, median points 2,900
Sep 8 to Sep 9 - Code S S3 Ro16 Group C, WCS S3 Ro16 Day 2 - going from 65.16% to 86.84%, AFK Chances from 50.04% to 80.71%, min points 2,900, median points 2,900
Sep 18 to Sep 19 - DH Stockholm player list set, Added ForGG to DreamHack Stockholm - going from 70.52% to 46.9%, AFK Chances from 59.52% to 29.5%, min points 2,900, median points 2,900
Sep 23 to Sep 24 - DH Stockhom groups set, ForGG cancelled, Code S S3 Semifinal 1 ByuL beats Dear - going from 46.81% to 56.7%, min points 2,900, median points from 2,900 to 3,025
Sep 24 to Sep 25 - FanTaSy beat Welmu in DreamHack Stockholm round of 32, FanTaSy lost to HyuN in DreamHack Stockholm round of 16, DH Stockholm ro32 completed, DH Stockholm ro16 half complete, DH Stockholm ro16 completed, Code S S3 Semfinal 2, Innovation beat Maru, DH Stockholm quarterfinals half completed - going from 56.7% to 57.01%, AFK Chances from 34.73% to 57.01%, min points from 2,900 to 3,025, median points 3,025
Sep 25 - DH Stockholm semifinals completed, Samsung Solar wins DH Stockholm over ROCCAT HyuN - going from 57.91% to 45.97%, min points 3,025, median points 3,025

October 2015 - From 46.55% to 100%, 3,025 WCS Points to 3,025, 3,025 Median Points to 3,025
Sep 28 to Oct 4 - SKT T1 INoVation wins GSL S3 over CJ Entus ByuL - going from 45.97% to 46.55%, min points 3,025, median points 3,025
Oct 5 to Oct 6 - Fantasy vs Hyun tie breaker - going from 46.56% to 100%, AFK Chances from 46.56% to 100%, min points 3,025, median points 3,025

+ Show Spoiler [Matches] +

Dec 26: FanTaSy beat MarineKing in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32
Jan 7: FanTaSy beat Rogue in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32
Jan 7: FanTaSy lost to MC in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32
Jan 7: FanTaSy lost to Rogue in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32
Jan 15: FanTaSy lost to Terminator in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16
Jan 15: FanTaSy lost to Super in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16
Mar 12: FanTaSy beat Rain in IEM Katowice round of 16
Mar 14: FanTaSy lost to Trap in IEM Katowice quarterfinals
Mar 27: FanTaSy lost to Rain in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16
Mar 27: FanTaSy beat Bunny in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16
Mar 27: FanTaSy lost to Hydra in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16
Apr 2: FanTaSy beat POX in Copenhagen Spring round of 32
Apr 2: FanTaSy beat Jaedong in Copenhagen Spring round of 32
Apr 2: FanTaSy beat Miniraser in Copenhagen Spring round of 16
Apr 2: FanTaSy beat Ret in Copenhagen Spring round of 16
Apr 3: FanTaSy beat Jaedong in Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals
Apr 3: FanTaSy beat Rain in Copenhagen Spring semifinals
Apr 3: FanTaSy lost to PartinG in Copenhagen Spring finals
Apr 15: FanTaSy beat Pigbaby in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48
May 1: FanTaSy beat soO in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32
May 1: FanTaSy beat Rogue in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32
May 3: FanTaSy beat Zest in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16
May 4: FanTaSy lost to Dark in KeSPA Cup 1 quarterfinals
May 8: FanTaSy beat SbR in DreamHack Tours round of 64
May 8: FanTaSy beat PsiOniC in DreamHack Tours round of 64
May 8: FanTaSy beat Bunny in DreamHack Tours round of 32
May 8: FanTaSy lost to HyuN in DreamHack Tours round of 16
May 29: FanTaSy lost to Rogue in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16
May 29: FanTaSy beat GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16
May 29: FanTaSy lost to Rogue in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16
Jul 6: FanTaSy lost to Dark in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16
Jul 16: FanTaSy beat MaNa in DreamHack Valencia round of 32
Jul 16: FanTaSy beat Ret in DreamHack Valencia round of 16
Jul 17: FanTaSy lost to Patience in DreamHack Valencia quarterfinals
Jul 22: FanTaSy beat San in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48
Jul 30: FanTaSy beat Namshar in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32
Jul 30: FanTaSy lost to KeeN in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32
Jul 30: FanTaSy beat Serral in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32
Jul 30: FanTaSy beat Lilbow in ASUS ROG Summer round of 16
Jul 30: FanTaSy beat TRUE in ASUS ROG Summer round of 16
Jul 31: FanTaSy lost to BBoongBBoong in ASUS ROG Summer quarterfinals
Aug 6: FanTaSy beat Lilbow in IEM Gamescom round of 16
Aug 6: FanTaSy beat INnoVation in IEM Gamescom round of 16
Aug 8: FanTaSy beat Patience in IEM Gamescom quarterfinals
Aug 9: FanTaSy lost to soO in IEM Gamescom semifinals
Aug 19: FanTaSy lost to Dear in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32
Aug 19: FanTaSy beat Sleep in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32
Aug 19: FanTaSy lost to ByuL in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32
Sep 24: FanTaSy beat Welmu in DreamHack Stockholm round of 32
Sep 24: FanTaSy lost to HyuN in DreamHack Stockholm round of 16
Oct 6: FanTaSy beat to HyuN in WCS Tie Breaker
Total: 31-20, vsT: 5-1, vsZ: 14-11, vsP: 12-8

Ultra wide overall chances graph
Ultra wide overall points graph

Die4Ever

United States17656 Posts

October 13 2015 05:46 GMT

#970

I haven't decided on the next retrospectives yet, so feel free to suggest players

rotta

5585 Posts

October 13 2015 06:06 GMT

#971

On October 13 2015 14:46 Die4Ever wrote:
I haven't decided on the next retrospectives yet, so feel free to suggest players

Life!

outscar

2832 Posts

October 25 2015 13:03 GMT

#972

Biggest surprise failures of this WCS year
#1 Flash started at 42.79%. His highest point in season 1 was 50.06% on November 19th. In season 2 it was 4.42% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 0.66% on July 25th.

God, how could you fuck up that bad. LotV will break game even more, no more UItimate Weapon hype, he missed his last hooray. -_-

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