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WCS Predictor 2015 - Page 47

Forum Index > SC2 General
Post a Reply
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OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
September 25 2015 20:07 GMT
#921
Either ByuL wins GSL and I'm happy as fuck but Lilbow gets to play him and thus lose, or ByuL loses and I'm sad BUT then Lilbow has a lot of chances of playing against Life, which is a better MU. I'm torn.
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
[PkF] Wire
Profile Joined March 2013
France24192 Posts
September 25 2015 20:26 GMT
#922
thanks for all that work and the calculations Die4ever
opisska
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Poland8852 Posts
September 25 2015 21:12 GMT
#923
The fuck happened here? I was off the grid for a month and suddenly there is a new foreigner hope, moreover of the crispy pastry variety!
"Jeez, that's far from ideal." - Serral, the king of mild trashtalk
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17656 Posts
September 25 2015 21:59 GMT
#924
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DreamHack Stockholm Completed!
Friday, Sep 25 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4851)


With Fantasy getting 16th place, and Hyun getting 2nd place, there will be a best of 5 tie breaker match between them for the 16th seed into the WCS Global Finals! The winner will face herO in the ro16.
Biggest Winners and Losers since DH Stockholm player list set, before Byul vs Dear (Sim ID #4609 vs Sim ID #4851)
Biggest Winners
kr HyuN went up by 46.68%, going from 7.99% to 54.67%
kr sOs went up by 7.36%, going from 92.64% to 100%
kr Rogue went up by 1.25%, going from 98.75% to 100%

Biggest Losers
kr Dark went down by 32.33%, going from 32.33% to 0%
kr Dear went down by 19.92%, going from 19.92% to 0%
kr FanTaSy went down by 3.04%, going from 48.37% to 45.33%

+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +

  1. herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 7900, Median Points: 7900
  2. Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 6050, Median Points: 6050
  3. PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5850, Median Points: 5850
  4. Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5475, Median Points: 5475
  5. Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5175, Median Points: 5175
  6. Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5000, Median Points: 5000
  7. ByuL is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4975, Median Points: 4975
  8. INnoVation is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4575, Median Points: 5325
  9. Classic is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4550, Median Points: 4550
  10. Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4275, Median Points: 4275
  11. Polt is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3875, Median Points: 3875
  12. Zest is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3675, Median Points: 3675
  13. Lilbow is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3625, Median Points: 3625
  14. sOs is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3525, Median Points: 3525
  15. Rogue is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3325, Median Points: 3325
  16. HyuN is at 54.67%, 54.67% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3025, Median Points: 3025
  17. FanTaSy is at 45.33%, 45.33% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3025, Median Points: 3025
  18. Dark is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2925, Median Points: 2925
  19. Solar is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2700, Median Points: 2700
  20. TY is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2500, Median Points: 2500
  21. ForGG is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2425, Median Points: 2425
  22. Dear is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2425, Median Points: 2425
  23. Stats is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2350
  24. GuMiho is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2225, Median Points: 2225
  25. Curious is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2200, Median Points: 2200
  26. Snute is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2050, Median Points: 2050
  27. Bunny is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2025, Median Points: 2025
  28. Jaedong is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2000, Median Points: 2000
  29. MyuNgSiK is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2000, Median Points: 2000
  30. soO is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1850, Median Points: 1850
  31. TRUE is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1775, Median Points: 1775
  32. MaNa is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1775, Median Points: 1775
  33. Soulkey is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1725
  34. Bbyong is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 1650
  35. TLO is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median Points: 1550
  36. MMA is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1475, Median Points: 1475
  37. Leenock is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1400, Median Points: 1400
  38. MarineLorD is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median Points: 1375
  39. Patience is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median Points: 1375
  40. Trap is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1350
  41. Harstem is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median Points: 1250
  42. Bomber is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1225, Median Points: 1225
  43. Petraeus is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1125, Median Points: 1125
  44. ShoWTimE is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1100
  45. Terminator is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1100
  46. Zanster is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median Points: 1025
  47. Super is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median Points: 1025
  48. GunGFuBanDa is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median Points: 1000
  49. Flash is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 975
  50. FireCake is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 975
Full Player List


+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +

kr Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
kr herO is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
kr INnoVation is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
kr Maru is the current #4 Headband holder with 2 defenses!

Defense History
kr INnoVation defended the #3 from kr Maru at GSL Code S Season 3
kr herO won the #2 from kr ByuL at StarLeague Season 3
kr INnoVation won the #3 from kr Zest at GSL Code S Season 3
+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] +

kr Maru defended the #4 from kr Rogue at GSL Code S Season 3
kr ByuL defended the #2 from kr GuMiho at GSL Code S Season 3
kr Zest won the #3 from kr Solar at GSL Code S Season 3
kr ByuL defended the #2 from kr Solar at GSL Code S Season 3
kr Solar won the #3 from kr Dark at GSL Code S Season 3
kr ByuL defended the #2 from kr Zest at GSL Code S Season 3
kr Maru defended the #4 from kr Classic at GSL Code S Season 3
kr Maru won the #4 from kr herO at GSL Code S Season 3
kr ByuL defended the #2 from kr TY at StarLeague Season 3
kr herO defended the #4 from kr MyuNgSiK at StarLeague Season 3
kr Dark defended the #3 from kr sKyHigh at GSL Code S Season 3
kr Dark defended the #3 from kr MMA at GSL Code S Season 3
kr ByuL won the #2 from kr INnoVation at StarLeague Season 3
kr INnoVation defended the #2 from kr Curious at GSL Code S Season 3
kr INnoVation defended the #2 from kr Flash at GSL Code S Season 3
kr herO defended the #4 from kr Losira at GSL Code S Season 3
kr herO defended the #4 from kr Hack at GSL Code S Season 3



+ Show Spoiler [Final Seed Stats] +


Likely #1 Seeds
kr herO has a 100% chance to be the #1 seed.

Likely #2 Seeds
kr Maru has a 100% chance to be the #2 seed.

Likely #3 Seeds
kr PartinG has a 100% chance to be the #3 seed.

Likely #4 Seeds
kr Life has a 62.35% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr ByuL has a 37.65% chance to be the #4 seed.

Likely #5 Seeds
kr INnoVation has a 62.35% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Life has a 37.65% chance to be the #5 seed.

Likely #6 Seeds
kr Rain has a 100% chance to be the #6 seed.

Likely #7 Seeds
kr Hydra has a 100% chance to be the #7 seed.

Likely #8 Seeds
kr ByuL has a 62.35% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr INnoVation has a 37.65% chance to be the #8 seed.

Likely #9 Seeds
kr Classic has a 100% chance to be the #9 seed.

Likely #10 Seeds
kr Dream has a 100% chance to be the #10 seed.

Likely #11 Seeds
kr Polt has a 100% chance to be the #11 seed.

Likely #12 Seeds
kr Zest has a 100% chance to be the #12 seed.

Likely #13 Seeds
fr Lilbow has a 100% chance to be the #13 seed.

Likely #14 Seeds
kr sOs has a 100% chance to be the #14 seed.

Likely #15 Seeds
kr Rogue has a 100% chance to be the #15 seed.

Likely #16 Seeds
kr HyuN has a 54.67% chance to be the #16 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 45.33% chance to be the #16 seed.


Here is how the bracket looks showing all the possible players for each slot.

[image loading]

The winner of the Hyun vs Fantasy tie breaker will face herO.
If Byul beats Innovation, then Byul faces Lilbow, Innovation faces Classic, and Life faces Zest.
If Innovation beats Byul, then Byul faces Classic, Innovation faces Zest, and Life faces Lilbow.

+ Show Spoiler [Final Match Stats] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 27.14%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 38.23%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 16.74%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 45.32%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 62.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 29.45%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 62.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 57.44%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 62.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 28.13%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 54.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 6.1%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 45.33% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 36.44%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 37.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 20.35%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 37.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 30.83%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 37.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 15.98%.

If Byul beats Innovation
+ Show Spoiler [If Byul beats Innovation] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr ByuL vs fr Lilbow has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.65%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Classic has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.65%.
kr Life vs kr Zest has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 37.65%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 54.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 54.67%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 45.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 45.33%.


If Innovation beats Byul
+ Show Spoiler [If Innovation beats Byul] +

kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr ByuL vs kr Classic has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 62.35%.
kr Maru vs kr Rogue has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr INnoVation vs kr Zest has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 62.35%.
kr Life vs fr Lilbow has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 62.35%.
kr Rain vs kr Polt has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr PartinG vs kr sOs has a 100% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, from 100%.
kr HyuN vs kr herO has a 54.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, down from 54.67%.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 45.35% chance for the first round of Blizzcon, up from 45.33%.



kr INnoVation vs kr ByuL in
in GSL Code S Season 3 finals.
INnoVation has the #3 Headband.
INnoVation is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.35% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
ByuL is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.65% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

End of WCS Wars Season 3 in ~
Die4Ever must win this tournament! (well this won't happen)

Check out the fantasy league WCS Wars!

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
"Expert" mods4ever.com
TheDougler
Profile Joined April 2010
Canada8302 Posts
September 25 2015 22:04 GMT
#925
Thanks for all the updates Die4Ever!

Believe the Hyunbelievable!
I root for Euro Zergs, NA Protoss* and Korean Terrans. (Any North American who has beat a Korean Pro as Protoss counts as NA Toss)
[PkF] Wire
Profile Joined March 2013
France24192 Posts
September 25 2015 22:06 GMT
#926
Thanks Die4ever ! This Blizzcon is shaping up to be really awesome !
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
September 25 2015 22:21 GMT
#927
And once again BlizzCon has one clearly stronger bracket over the other...
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
September 25 2015 22:27 GMT
#928
On September 26 2015 07:21 OtherWorld wrote:
And once again BlizzCon has one clearly stronger bracket over the other...

Meh, i think it isn't THAT bad
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
Silvana
Profile Blog Joined September 2013
3713 Posts
September 25 2015 23:25 GMT
#929
Ooooohhhh I'm gonna enjoy sOs vs Parting! :D

but god damn KT team kill :@ Although Zest getting revenge on Life could be cool.
Johan-ae
Profile Joined November 2013
Sweden58 Posts
September 26 2015 18:44 GMT
#930
On September 26 2015 07:21 OtherWorld wrote:
And once again BlizzCon has one clearly stronger bracket over the other...

Do you really think so??? I think everything looks super sick this year :O
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
September 26 2015 19:13 GMT
#931
On September 27 2015 03:44 Johan-ae wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2015 07:21 OtherWorld wrote:
And once again BlizzCon has one clearly stronger bracket over the other...

Do you really think so??? I think everything looks super sick this year :O

Yeah, the four scariest players atm (Zest, herO, ByuL, INno) are all in the top bracket. Ofc things could change and some of these four could lose momentum until BlizzCon happens.
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
September 26 2015 19:30 GMT
#932
It is hard to argue about Byul, herO and Innovation, but i wouldn't really put Zest necessarily in the top 4 tbh
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17656 Posts
September 27 2015 22:56 GMT
#933
Maru Retrospective

#2 Seed, 6050 WCS Points. Facing Rogue in the WCS Global Finals Round of 16.
WCS match record - Total: 29-14, vsT: 6-3, vsZ: 8-3, vsP: 15-8

Maru was the 2nd player to hit 100% after Life won GSL. Maru hit 100% on March 25th when the SSL Season 2 seeds and format were announced, just 3 days after his championship. Maru started the year at 21.27% on November 17th, and quickly passed 50% on Dec 15th when he qualified for GSL and never went back.
Maru's highest placements are a 1st in SSL S1, and a 2nd in IEM Taipei, but he had many other strong placements. Even without the 2000 points from his SSL win, he would've had 4050 WCS Points, more than the final #11 seed Polt.
In SSL he got a 1st place for 2000 WCS Points, an 8th place for 600 WCS Points, and a 12th place for 400 WCS Points.
In GSL he got a 12th place for 400 points, 8th place for 600 points, and a 4th place for 900 points.
And from WCS Partner tournaments, he got 500 points for his 2nd place at IEM Taipei, 400 at the IEM World Championships for an 8th place, and 250 points for an 8th place in KeSPA Cup 2.

I'm gonna sprinkle in some Youtube videos from SC2HL where I can, cause they're awesome.

November 2014 - From 21.27% to 22.57%, 0 WCS Points to 0, 1,050 Median Points to 1,350
Maru was not qualified for the Hot6ix Cup, so his Blizzcon Chances started off relatively low at 21.27% on November 17th.

December 2014 - From 19.73% to 54.66%, 0 WCS Points to 450, 1,250 Median Points to 2,725
Qualifying for SSL S1 took him from 19.59% to 34.6%.
Then he qualified for GSL S1 going to 50.45%.
Because of Maru's consistency, he did not need to qualify for SSL or GSL again for the rest of the year.
When he beat Jim in SSL S1 Challenge, he went up to 61.17%.

January 2015 - From 61.32% to 83.75%, 450 WCS Points to 1,025, 3,000 Median Points to 4,125
Adding IEM Taipei with Maru confirmed to attend brought him to 73.39%.
In his GSL S1 Ro32 group he beat Hack, lost to Parting, and beat First, bringing to 75.14%.
At IEM Taipei he beat TRUE, Hydra, herO, and Soulkey, losing to only Parting in the ro16 and Life in an epic 4-3 finals for a 2nd place finish on February 1st, going up to 84.7%.
+ Show Spoiler [Maru vs Life Finals highlights] +
SC2HL didn't have a video for this so it's kind of a long video, but what else would you expect from these 2 players.


February 2015 - From 85.83% to 98.42%, 1,150 WCS Points to 1,850, 4,225 Median Points to 5,275
In SSL S1 ro16 he lost to Dream, and then beat TY and Dark, going up to 93.77%.
On the 11th I added IEM Katowice, with Maru being invited he went to 96.72%.
In the SSL quarterfinals Maru beat Leenock, going up to 99.44%.
In the GSL ro16 he beat Parting and then lost to herO and Parting, taking him down to 98.6%.
+ Show Spoiler [Maru vs herO base trade] +


March 2015 - From 98.41% to 100%, 1,850 WCS Points to 3,650, 5,275 Median Points to 5,725
In the SSL semifinals, Maru beat Stats, going up to 99.74%.
+ Show Spoiler [Maru drops Stats] +

At IEM Katowice, Maru beat Patience in the ro16, but then lost to Dark in the quarterfinals, putting him at 99.91%.
On March 22nd, Maru took his only championship this year, beating Dream in the SSL S1 finals, putting Maru at 99.99% and 3350 WCS Points. That's more WCS Points than the final #15 seed, Rogue, who just happens to be Maru's first opponent for the WCS Global Finals.
On the 25th, Maru went up to 100% when the SSL S2 format was announced and Maru went from 3350 WCS Points up to 3650.

April 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 3,650 WCS Points to 3,975, 5,975 Median Points to 6,650
In April, Maru beat Billowy to advance to Code S, and in his SSL S2 ro16 group he beat Hurricane and Zest, bringing him up to 4100 WCS Points.
On April 28th when I set the KeSPA Cup 1 bracket, I mistankenly took away 125 points for losing in the first round. This was fixed on July 8th when it was noticed.

May 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 3,975 WCS Points to 4,525, 6,650 Median Points to 6,400
In May, in the GSL S2 ro32, Maru beat Byul and TY, putting Maru at 4300 WCS Points (listed below as 4175 due to the bug). Then he lost to herO in the SSL S2 quarterfinals, then beat Bomber and Myungsik in the GSL ro16, going up to 4300 WCS Points.

June 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,525 WCS Points to 4,525, 6,400 Median Points to 5,900
Maru lost to Rain in the GSL S2 quarterfinals.

July 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,525 WCS Points to 5,250, 5,900 Median Points to 5,575
Maru beat Sora in SSL S3 Challenge, going up to 4900 WCS Points.
On the 8th I fixed the bug with the KeSPA Cup 1 ro16.
In the KeSPA Cup 2 ro16, Maru beat Impact, and then lost to Dream in the quarterfinals, bringing Maru up to 5150 WCS Points.
In his SSL S3 ro16 group, Maru lost to Zest, beat Stats, and then lost to Zest again.

August 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 5,250 WCS Points to 5,450, 5,550 Median Points to 5,750
Maru won his GSL S3 ro32 group by beating Classic and Bomber, bringing him up to 5450 WCS Points.
+ Show Spoiler [Maru vs Classic] +


September 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 5,450 WCS Points to 6,050, 5,750 Median Points to 6,050
In the GSL S3 ro16, Maru beat hero and then Classic again, going up to 5750 WCS Points.
Beating Rogue in the quarterfinals took him up to his final 6050 points, and then he lost to Innovation in the semifinals.

Maru will once again be facing Rogue in his first match of the WCS Global Finals. He will then go on to face the winner of Dream vs Hydra in the quarterfinals at Blizzcon, and is likely to face a Protoss in the semifinals.

+ Show Spoiler [Stats Dump] +

November 2014 - From 21.27% to 22.57%, 0 WCS Points to 0, 1,050 Median Points to 1,350
Chances November
[image loading]
WCS Points November (the blue line is Maru's WCS Points, the black line is his median points)
[image loading]
Nov 17 - 21.27% - WCS 2015 started with Hot6ix Cup
Nov 18 - going from 21.99% to 22.94%, min points 0, median points from 1,100 to 1,225
Nov 22 to Nov 25 - WCS 2015 points distribution announced, Parting replacing Rain in Hot6ix Cup, Added IEM San Jose - going from 22.97% to 23.98%, min points 0, median points from 1,225 to 1,375

December 2014 - From 19.73% to 54.66%, 0 WCS Points to 450, 1,250 Median Points to 2,725
Chances December
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WCS Points December
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Nov 30 to Dec 2 - Hot6ix Cup Quarterfinals Day 1, Swapped Hot6ix Cup bracket around - going from 22.57% to 19.73%, min points 0, median points from 1,350 to 1,250
Dec 9 to Dec 11 - SSL Season 1 Ro32 matches set, SSL qualifiers now have a large Korean bias - going from 19.59% to 34.6%, min points 0, median points from 1,300 to 1,900
Dec 12 to Dec 15 - GSL Season 1 Qualifiers - going from 34.73% to 50.45%, min points from 0 to 150, median points from 1,925 to 2,575
Dec 24 to Dec 25 - Maru beat Jim in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32, S2SL Challenge Day 4 - going from 50.73% to 61.17%, min points from 150 to 450, median points from 2,600 to 3,000
Dec 28 to Dec 31 - going from 60.26% to 54.66%, min points 450, median points from 2,950 to 2,725

January 2015 - From 61.32% to 83.75%, 450 WCS Points to 1,025, 3,000 Median Points to 4,125
Chances January
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WCS Points January
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Dec 31 to Jan 3 - going from 54.66% to 61.32%, min points 450, median points from 2,725 to 3,000
Jan 3 to Jan 4 - Added IEM Taipei - going from 61.32% to 73.39%, min points from 450 to 575, median points from 3,000 to 3,525
Jan 20 to Jan 21 - Maru beat Hack in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, Maru lost to PartinG in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, Maru beat First in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, Code S S1 ro32 group E, Harstem replacing Kas at IEM Taipei - going from 68.37% to 75.14%, min points from 575 to 775, median points from 3,375 to 3,650
Jan 29 to Jan 30 - Maru beat TRUE in IEM Taipei round of 16, Maru lost to PartinG in IEM Taipei round of 16, Maru beat Hydra in IEM Taipei round of 16, IEM Taipei Day 3 with ro16 completed, GSL S1 ro32 group D with ro32 completed - going from 73.76% to 79.2%, min points from 775 to 900, median points from 3,625 to 3,875
Jan 30 to Jan 31 - Maru beat herO in IEM Taipei quarterfinals, IEM Taipei Day 4 with quarterfinals completed - going from 79.2% to 83.75%, min points from 900 to 1,025, median points from 3,875 to 4,125

February 2015 - From 85.83% to 98.42%, 1,150 WCS Points to 1,850, 4,225 Median Points to 5,275
Chances February
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WCS Points February
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Jan 31 to Feb 1 - Maru beat Soulkey in IEM Taipei semifinals, IEM Taipei semifinals - going from 83.75% to 85.83%, min points from 1,025 to 1,150, median points from 4,125 to 4,225
Feb 1 - Maru lost to Life in IEM Taipei finals, StarTale Life wins IEM Taipei over Jinair Maru - going from 85.83% to 84.7%, min points 1,150, median points from 4,225 to 4,200
Feb 4 to Feb 5 - Maru lost to Dream in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16, Maru beat TY in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16, Maru beat Dark in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16, NSSL S1 ro16 completed and quarterfinals bracket set - going from 83.73% to 93.77%, min points from 1,150 to 1,450, median points from 4,125 to 4,875
Feb 11 - Added IEM Katowice with 8 invites - going from 94.15% to 96.72%, min points 1,450, median points from 4,950 to 5,425
Feb 11 to Feb 12 - Maru beat Leenock in StarLeague Season 1 quarterfinals, SSL S1 quaterfinals day 1 - going from 96.72% to 99.44%, min points from 1,450 to 1,750, median points from 5,425 to 6,100
Feb 13 to Feb 15 - WCS S1 Premier ro32 Group A - going from 99.45% to 99.36%, min points 1,750, median points from 6,075 to 5,950
Feb 26 to Feb 27 - Maru beat PartinG in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16, Maru lost to herO in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16, Maru lost to PartinG in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16, Code S S1 ro16 Group D, WCS Premier S1 ro32 Group G - going from 99.16% to 98.6%, min points from 1,750 to 1,850, median points from 5,850 to 5,375

March 2015 - From 98.41% to 100%, 1,850 WCS Points to 3,650, 5,275 Median Points to 5,725
Chances March
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WCS Points March
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Feb 28 to Mar 1 - WCS S1 Premier ro32 Group H - going from 98.42% to 98.41%, min points 1,850, median points 5,275
Mar 4 to Mar 5 - Maru beat Stats in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals, NSSL S1 semifinals - going from 98.42% to 99.74%, min points from 1,850 to 2,200, median points from 5,250 to 5,750
Mar 12 to Mar 13 - Maru beat Patience in IEM Katowice round of 16, IEM Katowice Day 2 - going from 99.78% to 99.97%, AFK Chances from 0.06% to 28.52%, min points from 2,200 to 2,600, median points from 5,800 to 6,100
Mar 13 to Mar 14 - Maru lost to Dark in IEM Katowice quarterfinals, IEM Katowice Quarterfinals, IEM Katowice Day 3 - going from 99.97% to 99.91%, min points 2,600, median points from 6,100 to 5,600
Mar 20 to Mar 21 - Maru beat Dream in StarLeague Season 1 finals, Jin Air Maru wins NSSL over SKT T1 Dream - going from 99.9% to 99.99%, AFK Chances from 23.81% to 99.95%, min points from 2,600 to 3,350, median points from 5,600 to 5,850
Mar 25 - NSSL S2 Challenger seeds set, Added Gfinity Spring 1 - going from 99.99% to 100%, min points from 3,350 to 3,650, median points from 5,925 to 5,875
Mar 25 to Mar 26 - NSSL S2 qualifiers - going from 100% to 100%, min points 3,650, median points from 5,875 to 5,750

April 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 3,650 WCS Points to 3,975, 5,975 Median Points to 6,650
(Maru's Blizzcon Chances graph is just a straight line now)
WCS Points April
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Mar 31 to Apr 1 - Code A S2 Day 1, Copenhagen Day 1, Added KeSPA Cup 1 with 6 invites, removed Placeholder #20 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 3,650, median points from 5,725 to 5,975
Apr 8 to Apr 9 - Maru beat Billowy in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48, Code A S2 Day 5 and SSL S2 Challenger Day 3 - going from 99.99% to 100%, min points from 3,650 to 3,750, median points from 6,025 to 6,250
Apr 22 to Apr 23 - Maru beat Hurricane in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16, Maru beat Zest in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16, SSL S2 ro16 Group A, MC and Jaedong invited to Gfinity Spring 2, Gfinity Spring 2 added 5 more invited players - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 3,750 to 4,100, median points from 6,275 to 6,775
Apr 27 to Apr 28 - KeSPA Cup 1 bracket set - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,100 to 3,975, median points from 6,700 to 6,625

May 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 3,975 WCS Points to 4,525, 6,650 Median Points to 6,400
WCS Points May
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Apr 30 to May 1 - Code S S2 ro32 Group C, Gfinity Day 1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 3,975, median points 6,650
May 3 to May 4 - Maru lost to ByuL in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16, KeSPA Cup Day 2, WCS S2 ro32 groups drawn, Added Firecake, Welmu, Starnan, and Dayshi to DH Tours, removed Naniwa, Jaedong, Polt, Violet, and Showtime - going from 100% to 100%, min points 3,975, median points from 6,650 to 6,325
May 8 - Maru beat ByuL in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, Maru beat TY in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, GSL ro32 Group E and DH Tours Group Stage 1, DH Tours ro32, DH Tours ro16 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 3,975 to 4,175, median points from 6,300 to 6,575
May 20 - SSL S2 quarterfinals set - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,175, median points from 6,625 to 6,500
May 20 to May 21 - Maru lost to herO in StarLeague Season 2 quarterfinals, SSL S2 Quarterfinals Day 1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,175, median points from 6,500 to 6,000
May 26 to May 27 - Maru beat Bomber in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, Maru beat MyuNgSiK in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, Code S S2 ro16 Group A - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,175 to 4,525, median points from 6,000 to 6,350

June 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,525 WCS Points to 4,525, 6,400 Median Points to 5,900
WCS Points June
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May 31 to Jun 1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,525, median points 6,400
Jun 11 to Jun 12 - Maru lost to Rain in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals, Code S S2 quarterfinals day 2, GSL S3 qualifiers - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,525, median points from 6,325 to 5,950
Jun 23 to Jun 24 - KeSPA Cup 2 players finalized - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,525 to 4,400, median points from 5,925 to 6,075
Jun 24 - Fixed bug with KeSPA Cup 2 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,400 to 4,525, median points from 6,075 to 6,125
Jun 29 to Jun 30 - Added ASUS Summer with 4 players qualified, added IEM Cologne and MSI, removed 10 Placeholder tournaments, down to 7 Placeholders now, Start of WCS Wars season 3, SSL S3 Challenger matches set - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,525, median points from 6,075 to 5,900

July 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,525 WCS Points to 5,250, 5,900 Median Points to 5,575
WCS Points July
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Jun 30 - WCS S3 AM Qualifier #1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,525, median points 5,900
Jul 1 to Jul 2 - Maru beat Sora in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24, SSL S3 Challenger Day 1, KeSPA Cup 2 bracket set, MSI Korean qualifier, WCS S3 AM Qualifier #2 and LA Qualifier - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,525 to 4,775, median points from 5,875 to 6,150
Jul 8 - GSL S3 Code A Day 1, Fixed bug with KeSPA Cup 1 first round points, WCS S3 EU Qualifier #3, WCS S3 LA Challenger - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,775 to 4,900, median points from 6,125 to 6,250
Jul 10 to Jul 12 - Maru beat Impact in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16, Maru lost to Dream in KeSPA Cup 2 quarterfinals, KeSPA Cup 2 Day 2, WCS EU/AM Challenger matches set, IEM Shenzhen groups set with Stardust replaced by Kelazhur, WCS S3 SEA/OCE Challenger - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,900 to 5,150, median points from 6,200 to 6,175
Jul 22 to Jul 23 - Maru lost to Zest in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16, Maru beat Stats in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16, Maru lost to Zest in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16, SSL S3 Group D, WCS S3 Challenger NA Day 2 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 5,150 to 5,250, median points from 6,075 to 5,750

August 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 5,250 WCS Points to 5,450, 5,550 Median Points to 5,750
WCS Points August
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Jul 31 to Aug 1 - MSI Masters 6 invites and player list locked - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,250, median points from 5,575 to 5,550
Aug 4 to Aug 5 - Maru beat Classic in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, Maru beat Bomber in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, Code S S3 ro32 group b, IEM Gamescom Open Bracket - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 5,250 to 5,450, median points from 5,550 to 5,750

September 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 5,450 WCS Points to 6,050, 5,750 Median Points to 6,050
WCS Points September
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Aug 31 to Sep 1 - Fixes for 50 points from WCS Challenger for uThermal and elfi - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,450, median points 5,750
Sep 3 to Sep 4 - Maru beat herO in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16, Maru beat Classic in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16, Code S S3 Ro16 Group B - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 5,450 to 5,750, median points from 5,750 to 6,050
Sep 17 to Sep 19 - Maru beat Rogue in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals, Code S S3 Quarterfinals Day 2, DH Stockholm player list set, Added ForGG to DreamHack Stockholm - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 5,750 to 6,050, median points 6,050
Sep 24 to Sep 25 - Maru lost to INnoVation in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals, Code S S3 Semfinal 2, Innovation beat Maru, DH Stockholm quarterfinals half completed, DH Stockholm quarterfinals completed, DH Stockholm semifinals completed, Samsung Solar wins DH Stockholm over ROCCAT HyuN - going from 100% to 100%, min points 6,050, median points 6,050

+ Show Spoiler [Matches] +

Dec 25: Maru beat Jim in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32
Jan 21: Maru beat Hack in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32
Jan 21: Maru lost to PartinG in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32
Jan 21: Maru beat First in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32
Jan 29: Maru beat TRUE in IEM Taipei round of 16
Jan 29: Maru lost to PartinG in IEM Taipei round of 16
Jan 29: Maru beat Hydra in IEM Taipei round of 16
Jan 30: Maru beat herO in IEM Taipei quarterfinals
Jan 31: Maru beat Soulkey in IEM Taipei semifinals
Feb 1: Maru lost to Life in IEM Taipei finals
Feb 5: Maru lost to Dream in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16
Feb 5: Maru beat TY in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16
Feb 5: Maru beat Dark in StarLeague Season 1 round of 16
Feb 12: Maru beat Leenock in StarLeague Season 1 quarterfinals
Feb 27: Maru beat PartinG in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16
Feb 27: Maru lost to herO in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16
Feb 27: Maru lost to PartinG in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16
Mar 5: Maru beat Stats in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals
Mar 13: Maru beat Patience in IEM Katowice round of 16
Mar 14: Maru lost to Dark in IEM Katowice quarterfinals
Mar 21: Maru beat Dream in StarLeague Season 1 finals
Apr 9: Maru beat Billowy in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48
Apr 23: Maru beat Hurricane in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16
Apr 23: Maru beat Zest in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16
May 4: Maru lost to ByuL in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16
May 8: Maru beat ByuL in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32
May 8: Maru beat TY in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32
May 21: Maru lost to herO in StarLeague Season 2 quarterfinals
May 27: Maru beat Bomber in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16
May 27: Maru beat MyuNgSiK in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16
Jun 12: Maru lost to Rain in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals
Jul 2: Maru beat Sora in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24
Jul 11: Maru beat Impact in KeSPA Cup 2 round of 16
Jul 11: Maru lost to Dream in KeSPA Cup 2 quarterfinals
Jul 23: Maru lost to Zest in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16
Jul 23: Maru beat Stats in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16
Jul 23: Maru lost to Zest in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16
Aug 5: Maru beat Classic in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32
Aug 5: Maru beat Bomber in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32
Sep 4: Maru beat herO in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16
Sep 4: Maru beat Classic in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16
Sep 18: Maru beat Rogue in GSL Code S Season 3 quarterfinals
Sep 25: Maru lost to INnoVation in GSL Code S Season 3 semifinals


Ultra wide overall chances graph
Ultra wide overall points graph
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17656 Posts
September 29 2015 20:49 GMT
#934
And tomorrow's retrospective will be.... Parting!

September 27th - Maru http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24903237
September 30th - Parting COMING SOON
October 3rd - ????
?????????????
"Expert" mods4ever.com
UberNuB
Profile Joined December 2010
United States365 Posts
September 29 2015 20:59 GMT
#935
You've put in a bunch of work to this, but being hypercritical HyuN and Fanstasy should have 0% with AFK.
the absence of evidence, is not the evidence of absence.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17656 Posts
September 29 2015 21:02 GMT
#936
On September 30 2015 05:59 UberNuB wrote:
You've put in a bunch of work to this, but being hypercritical HyuN and Fanstasy should have 0% with AFK.

Ahahaha yea that's true. AFK Chances are based on not gaining WCS Points, so it doesn't filter on the tie breaker at all for that.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17656 Posts
September 30 2015 17:10 GMT
#937
Parting Retrospective

#3 Seed, 5850 WCS Points. Facing sOs in the WCS Global Finals Round of 16.
WCS match record - Total: 50-18, vsT: 18-6, vsZ: 17-7, vsP: 15-5

Parting was the 4th player to hit 100%, doing so by winning DreamHack Tours over Gumiho on May 9th. Parting passed the 50% mark when he qualified for SSL and never fell below it again, since by the time he lost in SSL he had already qualified for GSL.
In GSL Parting got a 2nd place for 1250 WCS Points, an 8th place for 600 points, and a 16th place for 300 points along with his Parting award for 10 consecutive seasons of top 16 in GSL.
In SSL he got a 32nd place for no points in season 1, a 12th place for 400 points, and he did not qualify for season 3.
For WCS Partner tournaments, Parting got 250 points from 8th place at Hot6ix Cup, 375 from his 4th place at IEM Taipei, 300 from winning Gfinity 1, 300 from winning Copenhagen Games, 750 from winning DreamHack Tours, 300 from winning 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament, 500 from a 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen, 150 from a 4th place in 4Gamers, and 375 from 4th place at MSI Masters.
That's 3300 WCS Points from WCS Partners, and 2550 from GSL/SSL. Even without his 2nd place in GSL he'd still be at 4600 WCS Points, still more than the current #8 seed Innovation (Innovation could go up with his finals match vs Byul). In fact he would've qualified ahead of Fantasy/Hyun even without any points from GSL/SSL, and even if you take away his 250 points from Hot6ix Cup on top of that.

November 2014 - From 43.89% to 47.64%, 0 WCS Points to 250, 1,725 Median Points to 2,250
Parting started up at 43.89%, partly because he was invited into the Hot6ix Cup.
When Parting lost his Hot6ix group to Bbyong and Zest, only beating Terminator, he went from 52.18% down to 43.44%.
Then Rain forfeited his spot, with Parting as his replacement he went back up to 50.47%.

December 2014 - From 37.17% to 58.05%, 250 WCS Points to 400, 1,875 Median Points to 2,875
Parting wasn't able to do much with Rain's spot though, and he lost to his old rival MarineKing in the quarterfinals, falling down to 37.17%.
When he qualified for SSL, with an easy 2-0 rematch over MarineKing, he went up to 58.13%.
And then his GSL qualification, over Rogue and soO, took him up to 77.08%.
In SSL Challenge, Parting lost to Dark and went down to 57.54%.

January 2015 - From 55.73% to 81.3%, 400 WCS Points to 975, 2,800 Median Points to 3,975
Parting was invited to IEM Taipei, going up to 65.82%.
Parting advanced from his GSL ro32 group beating First and Maru, now up to 73.37%.
Then at IEM Taipei, he advanced from the ro16 by beating Hydra and Maru again, up to 77.95%.
In the IEM Taipei quarterfinals, he beat Classic and went up to 81.3%, and then in the semifinals he lost to Life and went back down to 74.82%.
+ Show Spoiler [Parting vs Classic] +



February 2015 - From 74.82% to 77.42%, 975 WCS Points to 1,375, 3,625 Median Points to 3,625
At the end of February, Parting lost to Maru in GSL S1 ro16, but then came back beating MC and Maru, going from 63.96% to 74.86%.

March 2015 - From 77.43% to 99.35%, 1,375 WCS Points to 2,375, 3,625 Median Points to 5,425
In the GSL quarterfinals, Parting beat Solar 3-2, going up to 89.73%.
Then Parting beat the surprise semifinalist, MMA, 4-1, bringing Parting to 95.18% Blizzcon Chances.
Parting lost in a tense finals against Life 3-4, going back down to 92.51%.
On the 26th, Parting qualified for SSL S2, bringing him up to 96.32%.
At Gfinity Spring, Parting won the tournament while going undefeated, beating TRUE, Snute, Soulkey, Rain, and Hydra, with a 13-4 map score total. This brought him up to 98.91%.

April 2015 - From 99.75% to 99.95%, 2,325 WCS Points to 3,225, 5,750 Median Points to 5,450
Parting's seeding into KeSPA Cup 1 brought him up to 99.75%.
In Copenhagen Spring, Parting won another tournament going undefeated. This time with a 17-1 map score beating PappiJoe, Ryung, Targa, SuperNova, elfi, Ryung again, and then Fantasy in the finals, with the only map dropped being to Ryung in the semifinals. This makes another trophy and another 300 WCS Points in less than a week since he won Gfinity, and brought him up to 99.87% Blizzcon Chances.
For Parting's SSL S2 "Challenge" match, he beat MacSed 3-0, going up to 99.95%.
As before in the Maru retrospective, on April 28th I introducted the bug with KeSPA Cup 1 that subtracted extra WCS Points from the first round losers. Parting's chances were high enough that this did not have a huge effect on him, bringing him down to 99.83%.
In his GSL ro32 group, Parting beat Ragnarok, lost to Myungsik, then beat Dark. This brought him up to 99.97% and 3225 WCS Points (showed as 3000 due to the KeSPA Cup bug).
+ Show Spoiler [Parting losing crazy game to Myungsik] +


In SSL Parting lost his ro16 PvP group, losing to herO, beating Dear, and then losing to herO again. This brought him down to 99.95% and 3225 WCS Points.

May 2015 - From 99.94% to 100%, 3,225 WCS Points to 4,475, 5,450 Median Points to 6,775
Parting lost to Soulkey in the first round of KeSPA Cup 1 2-3. Due to a bug that mixed up Gfinity Spring 1 and 2, Parting went up to 99.99% and 3400 WCS Points, when it should've been 3225 WCS Points.
At DreamHack Tours, Parting again went undefeated beating White-Ra, uThermal, Zanster, Mana, Rain, Hyun, and then Gumiho in the finals, for a total 17-3 map score. This brought Parting up to 100% and 3975 WCS Points.
+ Show Spoiler [Parting at DreamHack Tours] +




Back in GSL for the ro16, Parting beat Gumiho and Rogue, bringing him up to 4400 WCS Points.
In the 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament, Parting beat cheetos in the ro16, and Bistork in the quarterfinals, going up to 4475 WCS Points.

June 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,475 WCS Points to 4,625, 6,775 Median Points to 5,675
In the GSL S2 quarterfinals, Parting lost a close 2-3 to Byul, staying at 4475 WCS Points.
Then in the 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament, Parting beat San in the semifinals and Leenock in the finals, going up to 4625 WCS Points.

July 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,625 WCS Points to 5,125, 5,675 Median Points to 5,625
Early in July I fixed the bugs with KeSPA Cup 1 and Gfinity, putting Parting back at his proper 4625 WCS Points.
At IEM Shenzhen Parting Kelazhur, XY, uThermal, and TY, then lost to Classic in the finals. This put Parting at 5125 WCS Points.

August 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 5,125 WCS Points to 5,850, 5,925 Median Points to 6,225
At 4Gamers Parting beat Nado in the ro16 and Has in the quarterfinals, now up to 5275 WCS Points.
In GSL S3 ro32 he lost to sKyHigh, but then came back beating MMA and sKyHigh to advance, going up to 5475 WCS Points.
At MSI Masters, Parting beat Ian and FireCake in the ro16, then beat Hydra in the quarterfinals, and lost to Solar in the semifinals, ending up to 5850 WCS Points.

September 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 5,850 WCS Points to 5,850, 6,225 Median Points to 5,850
In the 4Gamers semifinals, Parting lost to Hyun. Then in his GSL ro16 group he lost to Gumiho and Flash, ending the year at 5850 WCS Points.

+ Show Spoiler [Stats Dump] +

November 2014 - From 43.89% to 47.64%, 0 WCS Points to 250, 1,725 Median Points to 2,250
Chances November
[image loading]
WCS Points November (the blue line is Parting's WCS Points, the black line is his median points)
[image loading]
Nov 17 - 43.89% - WCS 2015 started with Hot6ix Cup
Nov 18 - going from 45.63% to 51.86%, min points 0, median points from 1,750 to 2,050
Nov 20 to Nov 21 - PartinG lost to Bbyong in Hot6ix Cup round of 16, PartinG beat Terminator in Hot6ix Cup round of 16, PartinG lost to Zest in Hot6ix Cup round of 16, Hot6ix Cup Quarterfinals set - going from 52.18% to 43.44%, min points 0, median points from 2,050 to 1,750
Nov 22 to Nov 25 - WCS 2015 points distribution announced, Parting replacing Rain in Hot6ix Cup, Added IEM San Jose - going from 41.32% to 50.47%, min points from 0 to 250, median points from 1,700 to 2,350

December 2014 - From 37.17% to 58.05%, 250 WCS Points to 400, 1,875 Median Points to 2,875
Chances December
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WCS Points December
[image loading]
Nov 30 to Dec 2 - PartinG lost to MarineKing in Hot6ix Cup quarterfinals, Hot6ix Cup Quarterfinals Day 1, Swapped Hot6ix Cup bracket around - going from 47.64% to 37.17%, min points 250, median points from 2,250 to 1,875
Dec 9 to Dec 11 - SSL Season 1 Ro32 matches set, SSL qualifiers now have a large Korean bias - going from 37.89% to 58.13%, min points 250, median points from 1,975 to 2,850
Dec 12 to Dec 15 - GSL Season 1 Qualifiers - going from 59.73% to 77.08%, min points from 250 to 400, median points from 2,925 to 3,850
Dec 17 to Dec 18 - SSL S1 Challenge Day 2 - going from 75.12% to 77.59%, min points 400, median points from 3,750 to 3,925
Dec 19 to Dec 21 - going from 77.65% to 82.61%, min points 400, median points from 3,925 to 4,325
Dec 21 to Dec 23 - going from 82.61% to 79.96%, min points 400, median points from 4,325 to 4,100
Dec 23 to Dec 24 - S2SL S1 Challenge Day 3, GSL S1 Ro32 Groups Drawn - going from 79.96% to 82.9%, min points 400, median points from 4,100 to 4,375
Dec 24 to Dec 25 - PartinG lost to Dark in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32, S2SL Challenge Day 4 - going from 82.9% to 57.54%, min points 400, median points from 4,375 to 2,850

January 2015 - From 55.73% to 81.3%, 400 WCS Points to 975, 2,800 Median Points to 3,975
Chances January
[image loading]
WCS Points January
[image loading]
Dec 31 to Jan 4 - Added IEM Taipei - going from 58.05% to 55.73%, min points 400, median points from 2,875 to 2,800
Jan 10 to Jan 11 - Added 3 wildcards for IEM Taipei, WCS S1 SEA/OCE Qualifier - going from 54.62% to 65.82%, min points 400, median points from 2,850 to 3,300
Jan 20 to Jan 21 - PartinG beat First in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, PartinG beat Maru in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32, Code S S1 ro32 group E, Harstem replacing Kas at IEM Taipei - going from 62.89% to 73.37%, min points from 400 to 600, median points from 3,150 to 3,575
Jan 29 to Jan 30 - PartinG beat Hydra in IEM Taipei round of 16, PartinG beat Maru in IEM Taipei round of 16, IEM Taipei Day 3 with ro16 completed, GSL S1 ro32 group D with ro32 completed - going from 70.76% to 77.95%, min points from 600 to 850, median points from 3,475 to 3,800
Jan 30 to Jan 31 - PartinG beat Classic in IEM Taipei quarterfinals, IEM Taipei Day 4 with quarterfinals completed - going from 77.95% to 81.3%, min points from 850 to 975, median points from 3,800 to 3,975

February 2015 - From 74.82% to 77.42%, 975 WCS Points to 1,375, 3,625 Median Points to 3,625
Chances February
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WCS Points February
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Jan 31 to Feb 1 - PartinG lost to Life in IEM Taipei semifinals, IEM Taipei semifinals, StarTale Life wins IEM Taipei over Jinair Maru - going from 81.3% to 74.82%, min points 975, median points from 3,975 to 3,625
Feb 23 to Feb 25 - IEM Katowice Qualifiers, Code S S1 ro16 Group C - going from 68.6% to 63.47%, min points 975, median points from 3,325 to 3,175
Feb 26 to Feb 27 - PartinG lost to Maru in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16, PartinG beat MC in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16, PartinG beat Maru in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16, Code S S1 ro16 Group D, WCS Premier S1 ro32 Group G - going from 63.96% to 74.86%, min points from 975 to 1,375, median points from 3,175 to 3,500
Feb 27 to Feb 28 - going from 74.86% to 77.42%, min points 1,375, median points from 3,500 to 3,625

March 2015 - From 77.43% to 99.35%, 1,375 WCS Points to 2,375, 3,625 Median Points to 5,425
Chances March
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WCS Points March
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Feb 28 to Mar 1 - WCS S1 Premier ro32 Group H - going from 77.42% to 77.43%, min points 1,375, median points 3,625
Mar 3 to Mar 4 - PartinG beat Solar in GSL Code S Season 1 quarterfinals, GSL S2 Qualifiers and Code S S1 Quarterfinals Day 1 - going from 78.84% to 89.73%, min points from 1,375 to 1,675, median points from 3,725 to 4,175
Mar 10 to Mar 11 - PartinG beat MMA in GSL Code S Season 1 semifinals, After Code S S1 Semifinals Day 1 - going from 89.85% to 95.18%, min points from 1,675 to 2,025, median points from 4,175 to 4,425
Mar 21 to Mar 22 - PartinG lost to Life in GSL Code S Season 1 finals, KT Life wins Code S S1 over Yoe Parting, Added 7 more notable participants for Copenhagen Spring - going from 94.72% to 92.51%, min points 2,025, median points from 4,425 to 4,175
Mar 25 - NSSL S2 Challenger seeds set, Added Gfinity Spring 1 - going from 92.39% to 92.65%, min points 2,025, median points from 4,175 to 4,100
Mar 25 to Mar 26 - NSSL S2 qualifiers - going from 92.65% to 96.32%, min points from 2,025 to 2,075, median points from 4,100 to 4,650
Mar 26 to Mar 27 - going from 96.32% to 96.83%, min points 2,075, median points from 4,650 to 4,775
Mar 27 to Mar 28 - PartinG beat TRUE in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16, PartinG beat Snute in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16, Gfinity Spring 1 Day 1 - going from 96.83% to 96.82%, min points 2,075, median points from 4,775 to 4,750
Mar 28 to Mar 29 - Gfinity Spring 1 Day 2 - going from 96.82% to 97.75%, min points from 2,075 to 2,175, median points from 4,750 to 4,950
Mar 29 - PartinG beat Soulkey in Gfinity Spring 1 quarterfinals, PartinG beat Rain in Gfinity Spring 1 semifinals, PartinG beat Hydra in Gfinity Spring 1 finals, Yoe Parting wins Gfinity Spring 1 over ROOT Hydra - going from 97.75% to 98.91%, AFK Chances from 0% to 1.39%, min points from 2,175 to 2,375, median points from 4,950 to 5,225
Mar 30 - NSSL S2 Challenger matches set - going from 98.91% to 99.32%, min points 2,375, median points from 5,225 to 5,425

April 2015 - From 99.75% to 99.95%, 2,375 WCS Points to 3,100, 5,750 Median Points to 5,450
Chances April
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WCS Points April
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Mar 31 to Apr 1 - Code A S2 Day 1, Copenhagen Day 1, Added KeSPA Cup 1 with 6 invites, removed Placeholder #20 - going from 99.35% to 99.75%, min points 2,375, median points from 5,425 to 5,750
Apr 1 to Apr 2 - PartinG beat PappiJoe in Copenhagen Spring round of 32, PartinG beat Ryung in Copenhagen Spring round of 32, Code A S2 Day 2, SSL Challenger S2 Day 1 - going from 99.75% to 99.77%, min points 2,375, median points 5,750
Apr 2 - PartinG beat TargA in Copenhagen Spring round of 16, PartinG beat SuperNova in Copenhagen Spring round of 16, Copenhagen Spring Day 2 - going from 99.77% to 99.84%, AFK Chances from 1.86% to 4.54%, min points from 2,375 to 2,475, median points from 5,750 to 5,925
Apr 2 to Apr 3 - PartinG beat elfi in Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals, Code A S2 Day 3, SSL S2 Challenger Day 2 - going from 99.84% to 99.83%, min points 2,475, median points 5,925
Apr 3 - Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals - going from 99.83% to 99.87%, min points from 2,475 to 2,525, median points from 5,925 to 5,950
Apr 3 - PartinG beat Ryung in Copenhagen Spring semifinals, PartinG beat FanTaSy in Copenhagen Spring finals, WCS S1 ro16 Day 1 and Yoe Parting wins Copenhagen Spring over dPix Fantasy, Fixed points distribution for WCS, WCS Champion seeded into Premier - going from 99.87% to 99.87%, AFK Chances from 7.87% to 21.33%, min points from 2,525 to 2,675, median points from 5,950 to 6,075
Apr 5 to Apr 6 - Added 3 Gfinity tournaments, set WCS S2 China qualified players, Added Placeholder #20, Start of WCS Wars Season 2 - going from 99.83% to 99.82%, AFK Chances from 18.72% to 11.68%, min points 2,675, median points from 6,000 to 6,100
Apr 7 to Apr 8 - Code A S2 Day 4, First 4 qualified players for Gfinity Spring 2 - going from 99.81% to 99.76%, min points 2,675, median points from 6,100 to 5,850
Apr 9 to Apr 10 - PartinG beat MacSed in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24, SSL S2 Challenger Day 4 and Code A S2 Day 6, DreamHack Tours first 84 players, KeSPA Cup 1 EU qualifiers, Jaedong moved to NA region, KeSPA Cup 1 AM qualifier - going from 99.73% to 99.95%, AFK Chances from 11.83% to 45%, min points from 2,675 to 2,925, median points from 5,800 to 6,225
Apr 27 to Apr 28 - KeSPA Cup 1 bracket set - going from 99.91% to 99.83%, AFK Chances from 45.34% to 18.93%, min points from 2,925 to 2,800, median points from 5,950 to 5,900
Apr 29 - PartinG beat RagnaroK in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, PartinG lost to MyuNgSiK in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, PartinG beat Dark in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32, Code S S2 ro32 Group B, Gfinity Spring 2 groups set, WCS S2 EU Challenger Day 2, WCS S2 LA Challenger - going from 99.82% to 99.97%, AFK Chances from 23.35% to 63.43%, min points from 2,800 to 3,000, median points from 5,900 to 6,175
Apr 29 to Apr 30 - PartinG lost to herO in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16, PartinG beat Dear in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16, PartinG lost to herO in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16, SSL S2 ro16 Group D, WCS S2 EU Challenger Day 3, New simulator - going from 99.97% to 99.95%, AFK Chances from 63.43% to 82.48%, min points from 3,000 to 3,100, median points from 6,175 to 5,450

May 2015 - From 99.94% to 100%, 3,100 WCS Points to 4,575, 5,450 Median Points to 6,775
Chances May
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WCS Points May
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Apr 30 to May 1 - Code S S2 ro32 Group C, Gfinity Day 1 - going from 99.95% to 99.94%, min points 3,100, median points 5,450
May 2 to May 3 - PartinG lost to Soulkey in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16, KeSPA Cup Day 1 and Gfinity Spring 2 completed - going from 99.94% to 99.99%, min points from 3,100 to 3,400, median points from 5,450 to 5,375
May 8 - PartinG beat White-Ra in DreamHack Tours round of 64, PartinG beat uThermal in DreamHack Tours round of 64, GSL ro32 Group E and DH Tours Group Stage 1 - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points 3,400, median points 5,425
May 8 - PartinG beat Zanster in DreamHack Tours round of 32, DH Tours ro32 - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points from 3,400 to 3,525, median points from 5,425 to 5,500
May 8 to May 9 - PartinG beat MaNa in DreamHack Tours round of 16, DH Tours ro16 - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points from 3,525 to 3,650, median points from 5,500 to 5,600
May 9 - PartinG beat Rain in DreamHack Tours quarterfinals - going from 99.99% to 99.99%, min points from 3,650 to 3,775, median points from 5,600 to 5,750
May 9 to May 10 - PartinG beat HyuN in DreamHack Tours semifinals, PartinG beat GuMiho in DreamHack Tours finals - going from 99.99% to 100%, min points from 3,775 to 4,150, median points from 5,750 to 6,025
May 18 - Added first 5 players for Gfinity Summer 1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,150 to 4,075, median points from 6,000 to 6,100
May 25 to May 26 - Added 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament, removed Placeholder Tournament #20 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,075 to 4,150, median points from 6,125 to 6,300
May 28 to May 29 - PartinG beat GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, PartinG beat Rogue in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16, Code S S2 Ro16 Group D, WCS Premier S2 Ro32 Group F - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,150 to 4,500, median points from 6,325 to 6,775
May 30 to May 31 - PartinG beat cheetos in 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament round of 16, PartinG beat Bistork in 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament quarterfinals, 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament Quarterfinals, WCS S2 Premier Ro32 Group H, WCS Premier S2 Ro16 Groups Drawn - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,500 to 4,575, median points 6,775

June 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,575 WCS Points to 4,725, 6,775 Median Points to 5,675
(Parting's Blizzcon Chances is just a straight line at 100% now)
WCS Points June
[image loading]
May 31 to Jun 1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,575, median points 6,775
Jun 9 to Jun 10 - PartinG lost to ByuL in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals, Code S S2 quarterfinals day 1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,575, median points from 6,750 to 6,125
Jun 12 to Jun 13 - PartinG beat San in 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament semifinals, PartinG beat Leenock in 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament finals, Yoe Parting wins HK Esports Tournament 3 over Yoe Leenock - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,575 to 4,725, median points from 6,125 to 6,175
Jun 24 to Jun 25 - SSL S3 qualifiers and seeds - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,725, median points from 6,125 to 5,900
Jun 29 to Jun 30 - Added ASUS Summer with 4 players qualified, added IEM Cologne and MSI, removed 10 Placeholder tournaments, down to 7 Placeholders now, Start of WCS Wars season 3, SSL S3 Challenger matches set - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,725, median points from 5,900 to 5,675

July 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 4,725 WCS Points to 5,125, 5,675 Median Points to 5,625
WCS Points July
[image loading]
Jun 30 - WCS S3 AM Qualifier #1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,725, median points 5,675
Jul 8 - GSL S3 Code A Day 1, Fixed bug with KeSPA Cup 1 first round points, WCS S3 EU Qualifier #3, WCS S3 LA Challenger - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,725 to 4,850, median points from 5,600 to 5,725
Jul 9 to Jul 10 - MSI EU Qualifier, MSI reduced to 16 players and Gfinity 1+2 bug fixes, ASUS Qualifier #4, more bug fixes, removed WCS Points given to seeded players who lose in SSL Challenger, WCS S3 AM Qualifier #4, SSL S3 Challenge Day 4, Code A S3 Day 3 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,850 to 4,625, median points from 5,725 to 5,425
Jul 11 to Jul 12 - WCS EU/AM Challenger matches set, IEM Shenzhen groups set with Stardust replaced by Kelazhur, WCS S3 SEA/OCE Challenger, KeSPA Cup 2 semifinals, SKT T1 soO wins KeSPA Cup 2 over SKT T1 Dark - going from 100% to 100%, min points 4,625, median points from 5,425 to 5,800
Jul 17 to Jul 18 - PartinG beat Kelazhur in IEM Shenzhen round of 16, PartinG beat XY in IEM Shenzhen round of 16, IEM Shenzhen Day 3 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,625 to 4,875, median points from 5,750 to 5,800
Jul 18 - PartinG beat uThermal in IEM Shenzhen quarterfinals, IEM Shenzhen quarterfinals - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 4,875 to 5,000, median points from 5,800 to 5,900
Jul 18 to Jul 19 - PartinG beat TY in IEM Shenzhen semifinals, IEM Shenzhen semifinals - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 5,000 to 5,125, median points from 5,900 to 5,975
Jul 19 - PartinG lost to Classic in IEM Shenzhen finals, SKT T1 Classic wins IEM Shenzhen over Yoe PartinG, WCS S3 TW Qualifier, WCS S3 TW Challenger - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,125, median points from 5,975 to 5,850
Jul 21 - Gfinity Summer 1 no longer giving WCS Points - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,125, median points from 5,850 to 5,675

August 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 5,125 WCS Points to 5,850, 5,925 Median Points to 6,225
WCS Points August
[image loading]
Jul 31 to Aug 1 - MSI Masters 6 invites and player list locked - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,125, median points from 5,625 to 5,925
Aug 7 - PartinG beat Nado in 4Gamers round of 16, Code S S3 ro32 Group C, IEM Gamescom Day 3 and quarterfinals bracket set - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,125, median points 5,875
Aug 7 to Aug 8 - Added 4Gamers tournament, removed Placeholder #4, IEM Gamescom Day 4, 4Gamers ro16 Day 2 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 5,125 to 5,225, median points from 5,875 to 6,025
Aug 9 - PartinG beat Has in 4Gamers quarterfinals, IEM Gamescom semifinals, SKT T1 INnoVation wins IEM Gamescom over SKT T1 soO, 4Gamers quarterfinals - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 5,225 to 5,275, median points from 6,025 to 6,050
Aug 20 to Aug 22 - PartinG lost to sKyHigh in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, PartinG beat MMA in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, PartinG beat sKyHigh in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32, Code S S3 Ro32 Group G - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 5,275 to 5,475, median points from 6,000 to 6,125
Aug 29 to Aug 30 - PartinG beat Ian in MSI Masters round of 16, PartinG beat FireCake in MSI Masters round of 16, PartinG beat Hydra in MSI Masters quarterfinals, MSI Masters Day 1 - going from 100% to 100%, min points from 5,475 to 5,850, median points from 6,150 to 6,375
Aug 30 to Aug 31 - PartinG lost to Solar in MSI Masters semifinals, MSI Masters semifinals, Jin Air sOs wins MSI Masters over Samsung Solar - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,850, median points from 6,375 to 6,225

September 2015 - From 100% to 100%, 5,850 WCS Points to 5,850, 6,225 Median Points to 5,850
WCS Points September
[image loading]
Aug 31 to Sep 1 - Fixes for 50 points from WCS Challenger for uThermal and elfi - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,850, median points 6,225
Sep 4 to Sep 5 - PartinG lost to HyuN in 4Gamers semifinals, ROCCAT HyuN wins 4Gamers over SBENU Bomber, Elazer replacing Hitman in WCS S3 Ro16, Removed all Placeholder tournaments - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,850, median points from 6,200 to 6,150
Sep 10 to Sep 11 - PartinG lost to GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16, PartinG lost to Flash in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16, Code S S3 Ro16 Group D - going from 100% to 100%, min points 5,850, median points from 6,150 to 5,850

+ Show Spoiler [Matches] +

Nov 21: PartinG lost to Bbyong in Hot6ix Cup round of 16
Nov 21: PartinG beat Terminator in Hot6ix Cup round of 16
Nov 21: PartinG lost to Zest in Hot6ix Cup round of 16
Dec 2: PartinG lost to MarineKing in Hot6ix Cup quarterfinals
Dec 25: PartinG lost to Dark in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32
Jan 21: PartinG beat First in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32
Jan 21: PartinG beat Maru in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32
Jan 29: PartinG beat Hydra in IEM Taipei round of 16
Jan 29: PartinG beat Maru in IEM Taipei round of 16
Jan 30: PartinG beat Classic in IEM Taipei quarterfinals
Jan 31: PartinG lost to Life in IEM Taipei semifinals
Feb 27: PartinG lost to Maru in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16
Feb 27: PartinG beat MC in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16
Feb 27: PartinG beat Maru in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 16
Mar 4: PartinG beat Solar in GSL Code S Season 1 quarterfinals
Mar 11: PartinG beat MMA in GSL Code S Season 1 semifinals
Mar 22: PartinG lost to Life in GSL Code S Season 1 finals
Mar 27: PartinG beat TRUE in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16
Mar 27: PartinG beat Snute in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16
Mar 29: PartinG beat Soulkey in Gfinity Spring 1 quarterfinals
Mar 29: PartinG beat Rain in Gfinity Spring 1 semifinals
Mar 29: PartinG beat Hydra in Gfinity Spring 1 finals
Apr 2: PartinG beat PappiJoe in Copenhagen Spring round of 32
Apr 2: PartinG beat Ryung in Copenhagen Spring round of 32
Apr 2: PartinG beat TargA in Copenhagen Spring round of 16
Apr 2: PartinG beat SuperNova in Copenhagen Spring round of 16
Apr 3: PartinG beat elfi in Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals
Apr 3: PartinG beat Ryung in Copenhagen Spring semifinals
Apr 3: PartinG beat FanTaSy in Copenhagen Spring finals
Apr 10: PartinG beat MacSed in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24
Apr 29: PartinG beat RagnaroK in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32
Apr 29: PartinG lost to MyuNgSiK in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32
Apr 29: PartinG beat Dark in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32
Apr 30: PartinG lost to herO in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16
Apr 30: PartinG beat Dear in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16
Apr 30: PartinG lost to herO in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16
May 3: PartinG lost to Soulkey in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16
May 8: PartinG beat White-Ra in DreamHack Tours round of 64
May 8: PartinG beat uThermal in DreamHack Tours round of 64
May 8: PartinG beat Zanster in DreamHack Tours round of 32
May 8: PartinG beat MaNa in DreamHack Tours round of 16
May 9: PartinG beat Rain in DreamHack Tours quarterfinals
May 9: PartinG beat HyuN in DreamHack Tours semifinals
May 9: PartinG beat GuMiho in DreamHack Tours finals
May 29: PartinG beat GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16
May 29: PartinG beat Rogue in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 16
May 31: PartinG beat cheetos in 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament round of 16
May 31: PartinG beat Bistork in 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament quarterfinals
Jun 10: PartinG lost to ByuL in GSL Code S Season 2 quarterfinals
Jun 13: PartinG beat San in 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament semifinals
Jun 13: PartinG beat Leenock in 3rd Hong Kong Esports Tournament finals
Jul 17: PartinG beat Kelazhur in IEM Shenzhen round of 16
Jul 17: PartinG beat XY in IEM Shenzhen round of 16
Jul 18: PartinG beat uThermal in IEM Shenzhen quarterfinals
Jul 19: PartinG beat TY in IEM Shenzhen semifinals
Jul 19: PartinG lost to Classic in IEM Shenzhen finals
Aug 7: PartinG beat Nado in 4Gamers round of 16
Aug 9: PartinG beat Has in 4Gamers quarterfinals
Aug 21: PartinG lost to sKyHigh in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32
Aug 21: PartinG beat MMA in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32
Aug 21: PartinG beat sKyHigh in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32
Aug 30: PartinG beat Ian in MSI Masters round of 16
Aug 30: PartinG beat FireCake in MSI Masters round of 16
Aug 30: PartinG beat Hydra in MSI Masters quarterfinals
Aug 31: PartinG lost to Solar in MSI Masters semifinals
Sep 5: PartinG lost to HyuN in 4Gamers semifinals
Sep 11: PartinG lost to GuMiho in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16
Sep 11: PartinG lost to Flash in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16


Ultra wide overall chances graph
Ultra wide overall points graph
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17656 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-10-01 18:02:18
October 01 2015 17:26 GMT
#938
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The Biggest Surprises of WCS 2015
Thursday, Oct 01 5:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4857)


(This is a cross post of my article on Blizzard's WCS Website)


If you didn't read my previous articles, these stats are calculated by WCS Predictor, which simulates every match in every tournament that gives WCS Points millions of times. Blizzcon Chances are the chances to qualify in the top 16 for Blizzcon, as rated by WCS Predictor.

Tied at DreamHack

At DreamHack Stockholm, in the round of 16, we had Fantasy vs Hyun. Both players flew to the event to pick up their last WCS Points and secure their Blizzcon Chances.
If Fantasy lost then he would be knocked down to just 36.09% Blizzcon Chances; if Fantasy lost and Dark had won his match, then Fantasy would've been down to 0%. If Hyun lost then he'd have been knocked down to 0% as he needed at least a 2nd place. Hyun getting a 2nd place would tie him with Fantasy, but Dark could still pass them, and a 1st place would've put Hyun at 100%.
People have been counting out Hyun all year long, saying he only made it previously by competing in the easier WCS America. He made the SSL round of 16 twice this year, but still most of his points came from strong performances in international tournaments.
Then Hyun defeated Fantasy 2-0, showing how much he wanted to make to Blizzcon. Dark lost to Leenock, and sOs beat Harstem, meaning only Fantasy and Hyun had uncertain Blizzcon Chances.
Against Rain, again people counted out Hyun, until he won 3-1. Hyun was facing Reality in the semifinals. Fantasy knew that Hyun would tie him with a 2nd place, and knock him out of the WCS Global Finals if he got 1st place. Hyun again won 3-1.
Hyun's killing spree was ended in the finals by Solar with a 3-1 score.
Now both Hyun and Fantasy can only practice as hype builds for their tie breaker match to determine who goes to the WCS Global Finals and who watches from home.

WCS Global Finals Bracket

Here is how the bracket looks showing all the possible players for each slot.
[image loading]
The winner of the Hyun vs Fantasy tie breaker will face herO.

The GSL finals between Innovation and Byul determines the rest.
If Byul beats Innovation, then Byul faces Lilbow, Innovation faces Classic, and Life faces Zest.
If Innovation beats Byul, then Byul faces Classic, Innovation faces Zest, and Life faces Lilbow.

Innovation is currently 27-14 in WCS matches this year; 9-3 vs Zerg, 7-4 vs Terran, and 11-7 vs Protoss; making his vs Zerg his strongest matchup as usual.
Byul is currently 24-9 in WCS matches this year; with an incredible 8-1 vs Terran, 4-2 vs Zerg, and 12-6 vs Protoss; making his vs Terran his strongest matchup.
This is also a rematch from the SSL quarterfinals on August 20th where Byul kept his composure to barely win 3-2 over Innovation's mech on Terraform.

WCS Year Recap

Biggest surprise qualifications of this WCS year
#1 Dream started the WCS year at 3.06%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.7% on December 9th. His lowest point in season 2 was 78.44% on April 7th. He hit 100% in season 2 after he made his second consecutive SSL finals by beating herO in the semifinals on June 4th.

#2 Hydra started at 9.25%. His lowest point in season 1 was 7.32% on December 8th. In season 2 it was 64.11% on April 14th. He hit 100% in season 2 when he baat Lilbow in the WCS finals on June 28th.

#3 Byul started at 10.64%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.09% on January 30th. In season 2 it was 8.69% on April 9th. In season iy was 80.86% on June 29th. Byul hit 100% when he beat TY in the SSL Season 3 semifinals on September 3rd.

#4 Lilbow started at 11.52%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.1% on April 5th. In season 2 it was 0.32% on April 14th just before qualifying for WCS. In season 3 it was 9.23% on July 11th. Lilbow hit 100% after he beat Mana in the WCS Season 3 finals on September 13th and Rogue and Gumiho were defeated in GSL.

#5 Rogue started at 14.81%. His lowest point in season 1 was 11.84% on November 30th. In season 2 it was 42.67% on April 11th. In season 3 it was 62.21% on August 2nd. Rogue hit 100% on September 24th after Byul beat Dear in the GSL semifinals and the DreamHack Stockholm bracket was drawn.

#6 Classic started at 20.70%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.60% on March 15th. In season 2 it was 7.60% on April 7th. In season 3 it was 99.69% on July 3rd. Classic hit 100% after he beat Parting in the IEM Shenzhen finals on July 19th.

#7 Maru started at 21.27%. His lowest point in season 1 was 19.42% on December 9th. Maru hit 100% after he beat Dream in the SSL Season 1 finals on March 21st.

#8 Life started at 27.60%. His lowest point in season 1 was 27.60% on November 17th. Life hit 100% after he beat Parting in the GSL Season 1 finals on March 22nd.

#9 Polt started at 30.95%. His lowest point in season 1 was 13.76% on January 14th. In season 2 it was 89.59% on June 25th. In season 3 it was 97.39% on July 17th. Polt hit 100% after he advanced from the WCS Season 3 round of 16.

#10 sOs started at 31.86%. His lowest point in season 1 was 15.37% on March 3rd. In season 2 it was 17.32% on May 19th. In season 3 it was 20.99% on August 1st. sOs hit 100% after he advanced to the DreamHack Stockholm round of 16 and Fantasy was eliminated on September 24th.

#11 INnoVation started at 38.12%. His lowest point in season 1 was 38.12% on November 17th. In season 2 it was 21.64% on June 24th. In season 3 it was 31.73% on July 1st. Innovation hit 100% after he advanced from the GSL Season 3 round of 16 on September 11th.

#12 Zest started at 39.82%. His lowest point in season 1 was 8.28% on March 9th. In season 2 it was 65.78% on April 6th. In season 3 it was 74.66% on June 29th. Zest hit 100% after several players were eliminated in the WCS Season 3 round of 16 on September 10th.

#13 Rain started at 41.37%. His lowest point in season 1 was 35.47% on March 26th. In season 2 it was 43.74% on April 8th. Rain hit 100% after he beat Byul in the GSL Season 2 finals on June 28th.

#14 PartinG started at 43.89%. His lowest point in season 1 was 36.79% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 99.73% on April 9th. Parting hit 100% after he beat Gumiho in the DreamHack Tours finals on May 9th.

#15 herO started at 44.24%. His lowest point in season 1 was 40.71% on November 18th. In season 2 it was 99.95% on April 28th. herO hit 100% after he beat Dear in the KeSPA Cup round of 16 on May 3rd.

Fantasy started the WCS year at 2.92%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.47% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 25.27% on April 9th. In season 3 it was 23.45% on September 25th, just before Hyun lost the DreamHack Stockholm final to Solar.
Hyun started at 19.48%. His lowest point in season 1 was 3.48% on March 25th. In season 2 it was 5.32% on June 10th. In season 3 it was 2% on September 7th, just before he was confirmed going to DreamHack Stockholm.


Biggest surprise failures of this WCS year
#1 Flash started at 42.79%. His highest point in season 1 was 50.06% on November 19th. In season 2 it was 4.42% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 0.66% on July 25th.

#2 TaeJa started at 37.98%. His highest point in season 1 was 72.12% on December 15th. In season 2 it was 1.61% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.01% on July 1st.

#3 Solar started at 31.96%. His highest point in season 1 was 57.35% on December 17th. In season 2 it was 16.76% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 13.84% on August 5th.

#4 Stats started at 29.76%. His highest point in season 1 was 70.26% on February 26th. In season 2 it was 82.65% on June 2nd. In season 3 it was 43.67% on June 29th.

#5 MajOr started at 28.88%. His highest point in season 1 was 35.81% on December 3rd. In season 2 it was 6.96% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.45% on June 30th.

#6 soO started at 27.30%. His highest point in season 1 was 29.79% on November 18th. In season 2 it was 24.69% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 19.58% on August 9th.

#7 Scarlett started at 24.43%. Her highest point in season 1 was 31.71% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 0.21% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 0.02% on June 30th.

#8 Bbyong started at 23.38%. His highest point in season 1 was 50.02% on April 2nd. In season 2 it was 47.88% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 6.31% on August 7th.

#9 MMA started at 23.23%. His highest point in season 1 was 46.91% on March 4th. In season 2 it was 22.31% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 1.13% on August 9th.

#10 Cure started at 22.86%. His highest point in season 1 was 32.42% on December 12th. In season 2 it was 4.46% on April 6th. In season 3 it was 0.25% on June 30th.

#11 TY started at 22.77%. His highest point in season 1 was 70.05% on December 19th. In season 2 it was 25.89% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 32.60% on August 20th.

#12 Bomber started at 21.82%. His highest point in season 1 was 40.82% on December 15th. In season 2 it was 12.33% on May 7th. In season 3 it was 1.01% on June 30th.

#13 Jim started at 21.41%. His highest point in season 1 was 21.41% on November 17th. In season 2 it was 0.69% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.11% on July 11th.

#14 ForGG started at 20.91%. His highest point in season 1 was 81.26% on January 7th. In season 2 it was 62.73% on May 7th. In season 3 it was 34.50% on September 12th.

#15 San started at 19.33%. His highest point in season 1 was 40.64% on December 17th. In season 2 it was 4.38% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 4.15% on June 29th.

#16 GuMiho started at 19.16%. His highest point in season 1 was 79.76% on December 24th. In season 2 it was 42.19% on May 20th. In season 3 it was 16.84% on September 11th.

#17 Sacsri started at 18.84%. His highest point in season 1 was 20.68% on November 30th. In season 2 it was 6.83% on May 2nd. In season 3 it was 0.48% on July 16th.

#18 YoDa started at 18.72%. His highest point in season 1 was 25.97% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 4.59% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.05% on June 30th.

#19 Soulkey started at 18.41%. His highest point in season 1 was 55.28% on April 3rd. In season 2 it was 61.80% on April 13th. In season 3 it was 4.50% on June 30th.

#20 viOLet started at 18.00%. His highest point in season 1 was 18.39% on December 3rd. In season 2 it was 6.74% on April 29th. In season 3 it was 0.57% on July 1st.

In addition to these 20 I'd like to highlight some that didn't start with the highest chances, but built up to high chances and then failed to qualify.

#22 Dear started at 17.46%. His highest point in season 1 was 64.09% on December 31st. In season 2 it was 34.47% on April 15th. In season 3 it was 23.81% on July 9th.

#27 Bunny started at 12.91%. His highest point in season 1 was 40.84% on April 5th. In season 2 it was 42.82% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 29.16% on July 2nd.

#30 Jaedong started at 12.14%. His highest point in season 1 was 22.93% on December 7th. In season 2 it was 28.78% on June 23rd. In season 3 it was 14.47% on August 23rd.

#35 Leenock started at 9.79%. His highest point in season 1 was 31.24% on January 16th. In season 2 it was 10.40% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 1.36% on June 30th.

#37 Dark started at 9.61%. His highest point in season 1 was 61.29% on March 27th. In season 2 it was 67.26% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 79.44% on August 22nd.

#38 Snute started at 9.51%. His highest point in season 1 was 42.62% on March 11th. In season 2 it was 28.50% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 28.36% on June 29th.

#40 Trap started at 8.77%. His highest point in season 1 was 57.50% on March 27th. In season 2 it was 48.99% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 25.83% on June 29th.

Be sure to check the website for very frequent updates, the FAQ, and the fantasy league WCS Wars! WCS Predictor 2015
Also check out my post on Blizzard's own WCS website!
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
"Expert" mods4ever.com
EvilsPresley
Profile Joined December 2014
France132 Posts
October 01 2015 17:59 GMT
#939
Great! You might want to use "Her" instead of "His" for Scarlett :-)
Rogue | Maru
rotta
Profile Joined December 2011
5585 Posts
October 01 2015 17:59 GMT
#940
When will Fanta - HyuN be played?
don't wall off against random
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