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Die4Ever
United States17739 Posts
On July 07 2015 00:42 sharkie wrote: Thank youuuu :D Did Aligulac update already or does this only happen in the mornings? I think herO's rating should be updated. It updates every 6 hours. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17739 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 WCS Qualifiers Season 3 Players who would go over 0.01% Blizzcon Chances if they qualify for WCS 6.43% of the time. PtitDrogo gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change PtitDrogo's chances from 0.04% to 0.55% 6.33% of the time. Happy gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Happy's chances from 0.03% to 0.4% 6.54% of the time. uThermal gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change uThermal's chances from 0.02% to 0.31% 6.43% of the time. NaNiwa gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change NaNiwa's chances from 0.02% to 0.29% 6.55% of the time. TargA gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change TargA's chances from 0.02% to 0.28% 6.61% of the time. Serral gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Serral's chances from 0.01% to 0.16% + Show Spoiler [More] + 6.45% of the time. Nerchio gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Nerchio's chances from 0.01% to 0.16% 6.58% of the time. Zanster gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Zanster's chances from 0.01% to 0.09% 1.98% of the time. HuK gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change HuK's chances from 0.01% to 0.09% 6.52% of the time. HeRoMaRinE gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change HeRoMaRinE's chances from 0.01% to 0.08% 1.53% of the time. Scarlett gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Scarlett's chances from 0.01% to 0.08% 6.62% of the time. Verdi gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Verdi's chances from 0.01% to 0.03% 2.09% of the time. puCK gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change puCK's chances from 0.01% to 0.02% 6.59% of the time. Beastyqt gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Beastyqt's chances from 0.01% to 0.02% | ||
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sharkie
Austria18692 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17739 Posts
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sharkie
Austria18692 Posts
 And yeah the Petraeus thing is totally confusing, no idea what happened. | ||
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[PkF] Wire
France24239 Posts
On July 07 2015 06:48 Die4Ever wrote: So this is confusing. Petraeus was in Premier last season, but he qualified through Europe. This season he qualified through SEA, even though he would've been seeded into Challenger as a European for making Premier last season. Idk why he did that, but I guess now it means there's an extra slot open for European qualifiers, and I have to void Petraeus's seed. I think that's a smart move from him, if he doesn't draw iaguz (which happened) his WCS place is guaranteed for eternity. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17739 Posts
  TRUE vs Solar in in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. TRUE and Solar must win this match! TRUE is at 2.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.88%, or 0.64% if they lose. Solar is at 2.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.31% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.86%, or 0.11% if they lose.  Zest vs San in in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. San must win this match! Zest is at 87.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 94.29%, or 70.45% if they lose. San is at 1.7% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.26%, or 0.62% if they lose. WCS Premier Season 3 in ~ ForGG, Jaedong, MarineLorD, StarDust, MaNa, ShoWTimE, FireCake, uThermal, Ret, Harstem, TLO, Kane, TargA, and Serral must win this tournament! Hydra has a 16.54% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.  ForGG has a 8.49% chance to win----going from 12.52% to 97.87% if they get 1st, or 4.6% if they don't. Polt has a 8.26% chance to win----going from 99.31% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.25% if they don't.  Lilbow has a 5.92% chance to win----going from 11.05% to 99.59% if they get 1st, or 5.47% if they don't. Jaedong has a 5.55% chance to win----going from 10.08% to 97.86% if they get 1st, or 4.93% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +  Bunny has a 4.77% chance to win----going from 23.21% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 19.37% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 4.41% chance to win----going from 2.03% to 39.61% if they get 1st, or 0.29% if they don't.  Snute has a 4.36% chance to win----going from 18.11% to 99.52% if they get 1st, or 14.4% if they don't.  Happy has a 3.26% chance to win----going from 0.4% to 11.24% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. StarDust has a 3.13% chance to win----going from 2.45% to 61.12% if they get 1st, or 0.55% if they don't.  MaNa has a 3.03% chance to win----going from 1.36% to 37.01% if they get 1st, or 0.24% if they don't.  MajOr has a 2.66% chance to win----going from 0.25% to 8.63% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.  NaNiwa has a 2.6% chance to win----going from 0.3% to 10.57% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.  ShoWTimE has a 2.35% chance to win----going from 3.15% to 85.59% if they get 1st, or 1.16% if they don't.  Petraeus has a 2.12% chance to win----going from 0.4% to 16.85% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't.  MaSa has a 2.11% chance to win----going from 0.18% to 8.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Nerchio has a 2.09% chance to win----going from 0.16% to 7.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. viOLet has a 2.05% chance to win----going from 0.41% to 17.45% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't.  elfi has a 1.36% chance to win----going from 0.12% to 8.35% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.33% chance to win----going from 0.84% to 52.56% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Welmu has a 1.27% chance to win----going from 0.29% to 19.77% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.19% chance to win----going from 0.18% to 13.99% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.  uThermal has a 1.11% chance to win----going from 0.3% to 23.38% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Ret has a 0.86% chance to win----going from 0.2% to 20.3% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.  Jim has a 0.85% chance to win----going from 0.05% to 5.87% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 0.82% chance to win----going from 0.51% to 49.24% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't.  Sen has a 0.75% chance to win----going from 0.12% to 14.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.7% chance to win----going from 0.08% to 10.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.  Bails has a 0.67% chance to win----going from 0.02% to 3.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.65% chance to win----going from 1.2% to 95.7% if they get 1st, or 0.58% if they don't.  iaguz has a 0.65% chance to win----going from 0.14% to 19.91% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 0.56% chance to win----going from 0.23% to 35.19% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.  Bly has a 0.56% chance to win----going from 0.02% to 4.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. SortOf has a 0.33% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.81% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.  Kelazhur has a 0.32% chance to win----going from 0.02% to 5.65% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. qxc has a 0.31% chance to win----going from 0.02% to 4.85% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.29% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 3.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.27% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 3.35% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Has has a 0.22% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 11.59% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.16% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 4.94% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.  Blysk has a 0.11% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.49% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. neeb has a 0.1% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.92% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. NXZ has a 0.1% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ReasoN has a 0.08% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.83% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shana has a 0.07% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. JonSnow has a 0.07% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. PtitDrogo has a 0.05% chance to win----going from 0.02% to 19.4% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 0.04% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 5.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TargA has a 0.03% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 20.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 0.02% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 9.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Scarlett has a 0.02% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 4.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Verdi has a 0.02% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 3.83% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Serral has a 0.02% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 23.52% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kas has a 0.02% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 2.31% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.  Beastyqt has a 0.01% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 3.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ian has a 0.01% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.93% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HuK has a 0.01% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 10.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Dayshi has a 0.01% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.72% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.  Boombox has a 0.01% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.28% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.  Ourk has a 0.01% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.77% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. You can see it everywhere that shows a match or tournament prediction. Here are some example pages - http://sc2.4ever.tv/#upcoming-section http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournaments http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=27 http://sc2.4ever.tv/?pid=55 Also I just added the Must Win Players page, this shows the matches and tournaments that have "must win" text, and for tournaments it only shows those players that must win the tournament. http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=must_wins I tried to keep the criteria simple. The criteria for being "must win" for matches is it needs to put them at least at 1% Blizzcon Chances if they win, and their chances if they win need to be at least 5 times higher than if they lose. The criteria for a must win tournament is that winning needs to them at least at 20% Blizzcon Chances if they win, and their chances if they win need to be at least 20 times higher than if they don't win. And I made the red side borders on important matches dynamically sized according to how impactful they are. For example on the Must Win Players page you can see that TRUE vs Solar does not have as thick borders as Zest vs San. Make sure to check out the list of pages in case you don't know about some of them http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=pages | ||
The_Templar
your Country52798 Posts
On July 07 2015 12:46 Die4Ever wrote: ForGG, Jaedong, MarineLorD, StarDust, MaNa, ShoWTimE, FireCake, uThermal, Ret, Harstem, TLO, Kane, TargA, and Serral must win this tournament! I have some bad news. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17739 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 WCS Qualifiers Season 3 Updated after EU Qualifier 2, before AM Qualifier 3 Players who would go over 0.01% Blizzcon Chances if they qualify for WCS 2.37% of the time. PtitDrogo gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change PtitDrogo's chances from 0.02% to 0.51% 2.64% of the time. TargA gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change TargA's chances from 0.01% to 0.28% 2.94% of the time. Serral gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Serral's chances from 0.01% to 0.18% 1.96% of the time. HuK gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change HuK's chances from 0.01% to 0.11% 2.86% of the time. Zanster gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Zanster's chances from 0.01% to 0.09% + Show Spoiler [More] + 2.55% of the time. HeRoMaRinE gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change HeRoMaRinE's chances from 0.01% to 0.09% 1.53% of the time. Scarlett gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Scarlett's chances from 0.01% to 0.09% 2.07% of the time. puCK gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change puCK's chances from 0.01% to 0.03% 3.12% of the time. Kas gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Kas's chances from 0.01% to 0.02% 3.12% of the time. Verdi gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3 This would change Verdi's chances from 0.01% to 0.02% | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17739 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 GSL Code A Season 3 Creator vs Pigbaby in in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Creator is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0.01% if they lose. Pigbaby is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0.01% if they lose. TRUE vs Solar in in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. TRUE and Solar must win this match! TRUE is at 2.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.98% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.75%, or 0.6% if they lose. Solar is at 1.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.84%, or 0.07% if they lose. TY vs Losira in in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. TY is at 13.31% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.67%, or 7.71% if they lose. Losira is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [Code A Winning Chances] + Zest has a 73.62% chance to win----going from 86.81% to 90.18% if they get 1st, or 77.42% if they don't. Classic has a 71.48% chance to win----going from 99.98% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.95% if they don't. INnoVation has a 69.78% chance to win----going from 44.31% to 50.71% if they get 1st, or 29.52% if they don't. Dark has a 69.49% chance to win----going from 73.91% to 79.91% if they get 1st, or 60.24% if they don't. Dear has a 66.32% chance to win----going from 16.24% to 20.22% if they get 1st, or 8.41% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + herO has a 65.75% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 63.85% chance to win----going from 2.41% to 3.69% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Hurricane has a 60.75% chance to win----going from 0.19% to 0.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bbyong has a 60.28% chance to win----going from 4.42% to 6.9% if they get 1st, or 0.65% if they don't. MMA has a 59.18% chance to win----going from 0.71% to 1.16% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Trap has a 58.65% chance to win----going from 20.18% to 27.01% if they get 1st, or 10.48% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 58.01% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 57.19% chance to win----going from 34.49% to 44.4% if they get 1st, or 21.26% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 56.43% chance to win----going from 0.05% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Dream has a 55.43% chance to win----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Solar has a 55.02% chance to win----going from 1.6% to 2.84% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. HyuN has a 51.9% chance to win----going from 15.86% to 22.07% if they get 1st, or 9.17% if they don't. Cure has a 51.36% chance to win----going from 0.17% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TY has a 51.12% chance to win----going from 13.31% to 18.67% if they get 1st, or 7.71% if they don't. Panic has a 50.67% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 50.47% chance to win----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. jjakji has a 50.43% chance to win----going from 0.07% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Impact has a 50.36% chance to win----going from 0.07% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 50.27% chance to win----going from 0.68% to 1.3% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. First has a 49.73% chance to win----going from 0.08% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Flash has a 49.64% chance to win----going from 0.46% to 0.91% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Trust has a 49.57% chance to win----going from 0.04% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. YoDa has a 49.53% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 49.33% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Losira has a 48.88% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sacsri has a 48.64% chance to win----going from 0.4% to 0.8% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. GuMiho has a 48.1% chance to win----going from 8.19% to 13.71% if they get 1st, or 3.07% if they don't. TRUE has a 44.98% chance to win----going from 2.47% to 4.75% if they get 1st, or 0.6% if they don't. Hack has a 44.57% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Creator has a 43.57% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. San has a 42.81% chance to win----going from 1.67% to 3.01% if they get 1st, or 0.68% if they don't. Stork has a 41.99% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Life has a 41.35% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. YongHwa has a 40.82% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Super has a 39.72% chance to win----going from 0.59% to 1.41% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Symbol has a 39.25% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Leenock has a 36.15% chance to win----going from 0.75% to 1.92% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Armani has a 34.25% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sorry has a 33.68% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. aLive has a 30.51% chance to win----going from 0.07% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. KeeN has a 30.22% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. HerO has a 28.52% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 26.38% chance to win----going from 0.18% to 0.62% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [Code S Winning Chances] + soO, Solar, Bbyong, Curious, Flash, Sacsri, TRUE, Bomber, San, MMA, Super, Leenock, and Patience must win this tournament! Rain has a 11.14% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 9.41% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 7.5% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 5.31% chance to win----going from 99.98% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.98% if they don't. sOs has a 5.1% chance to win----going from 52.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 50.47% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Trap has a 4.46% chance to win----going from 20.18% to 99.26% if they get 1st, or 16.48% if they don't. Dark has a 4.3% chance to win----going from 73.91% to 100% if they get 1st, or 72.74% if they don't. Zest has a 4.16% chance to win----going from 86.81% to 100% if they get 1st, or 86.24% if they don't. INnoVation has a 3.76% chance to win----going from 44.31% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 42.13% if they don't. ByuL has a 3.52% chance to win----going from 96.44% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.31% if they don't. herO has a 3.07% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.79% chance to win----going from 76.33% to 100% if they get 1st, or 75.65% if they don't. soO has a 2.74% chance to win----going from 2.41% to 59.69% if they get 1st, or 0.8% if they don't. Dear has a 2.48% chance to win----going from 16.24% to 99.82% if they get 1st, or 14.11% if they don't. Life has a 2.29% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Solar has a 2.28% chance to win----going from 1.6% to 52.03% if they get 1st, or 0.42% if they don't. Bbyong has a 2.1% chance to win----going from 4.42% to 97.01% if they get 1st, or 2.43% if they don't. Dream has a 1.98% chance to win----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 1.9% chance to win----going from 34.49% to 100% if they get 1st, or 33.22% if they don't. HyuN has a 1.71% chance to win----going from 15.86% to 98.93% if they get 1st, or 14.42% if they don't. Curious has a 1.63% chance to win----going from 2.98% to 89.13% if they get 1st, or 1.55% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.38% chance to win----going from 8.19% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 6.9% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.27% chance to win----going from 14.89% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 13.8% if they don't. TY has a 1.22% chance to win----going from 13.31% to 99.74% if they get 1st, or 12.24% if they don't. Flash has a 1.08% chance to win----going from 0.46% to 31.3% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. Sacsri has a 1.01% chance to win----going from 0.4% to 29.39% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.9% chance to win----going from 0.19% to 17.31% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. TRUE has a 0.88% chance to win----going from 2.47% to 92.19% if they get 1st, or 1.67% if they don't. Cure has a 0.8% chance to win----going from 0.17% to 17.03% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Bomber has a 0.68% chance to win----going from 0.68% to 64.06% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. San has a 0.66% chance to win----going from 1.67% to 68.43% if they get 1st, or 1.23% if they don't. MMA has a 0.52% chance to win----going from 0.71% to 78.65% if they get 1st, or 0.3% if they don't. Impact has a 0.52% chance to win----going from 0.07% to 10.82% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Super has a 0.49% chance to win----going from 0.59% to 76.38% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Trust has a 0.49% chance to win----going from 0.04% to 6.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Leenock has a 0.47% chance to win----going from 0.75% to 88.41% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't. First has a 0.45% chance to win----going from 0.08% to 15.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. jjakji has a 0.43% chance to win----going from 0.07% to 12.67% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.42% chance to win----going from 0.05% to 10.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Losira has a 0.29% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 2.23% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Armani has a 0.28% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 3.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 0.24% chance to win----going from 0.18% to 46.81% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 0.22% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 3.58% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Creator has a 0.21% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 4.79% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. aLive has a 0.21% chance to win----going from 0.07% to 12.57% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. YoDa has a 0.2% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 13.31% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.16% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 13.27% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.15% chance to win----going from 0.02% to 11.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.14% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 4.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HerO has a 0.13% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 6.41% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sorry has a 0.12% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 4.81% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. YongHwa has a 0.11% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 4.64% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Panic has a 0.09% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 5.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Stork has a 0.07% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.06% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.79% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. KeeN has a 0.05% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 2.43% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. | ||
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sharkie
Austria18692 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17739 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 GSL Code A Season 3 Day 2 Dear vs Sorry in in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Dear is at 18.88% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.39%, or 10.01% if they lose. Sorry is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. YoDa vs sKyHigh in in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. YoDa is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose. sKyHigh is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.45% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose. RagnaroK vs Stork in in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. RagnaroK is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. Stork is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [Code A Winning Chances] + Zest has a 73.63% chance to win----going from 91.09% to 93.64% if they get 1st, or 83.96% if they don't. Classic has a 71.51% chance to win----going from 99.97% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.93% if they don't. INnoVation has a 69.81% chance to win----going from 43.46% to 49.82% if they get 1st, or 28.76% if they don't. Dark has a 69.49% chance to win----going from 73.01% to 79.09% if they get 1st, or 59.17% if they don't. Dear has a 66.33% chance to win----going from 18.88% to 23.39% if they get 1st, or 10.01% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + herO has a 65.76% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 63.84% chance to win----going from 2.31% to 3.53% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Hurricane has a 60.78% chance to win----going from 0.17% to 0.28% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bbyong has a 60.27% chance to win----going from 4.35% to 6.82% if they get 1st, or 0.61% if they don't. MMA has a 59.23% chance to win----going from 0.69% to 1.12% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Trap has a 58.68% chance to win----going from 19.81% to 26.6% if they get 1st, or 10.19% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 58.01% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 57.17% chance to win----going from 33.5% to 43.33% if they get 1st, or 20.37% if they don't. Dream has a 55.43% chance to win----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. HyuN has a 51.86% chance to win----going from 15.33% to 21.39% if they get 1st, or 8.81% if they don't. Cure has a 51.4% chance to win----going from 0.17% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Panic has a 50.66% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 50.45% chance to win----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. jjakji has a 50.39% chance to win----going from 0.07% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Impact has a 50.36% chance to win----going from 0.06% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 50.21% chance to win----going from 0.65% to 1.24% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. First has a 49.79% chance to win----going from 0.07% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Flash has a 49.64% chance to win----going from 0.44% to 0.86% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Trust has a 49.61% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. YoDa has a 49.55% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 49.34% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sacsri has a 48.6% chance to win----going from 0.38% to 0.77% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. GuMiho has a 48.14% chance to win----going from 7.93% to 13.35% if they get 1st, or 2.9% if they don't. Hack has a 44.57% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. San has a 42.83% chance to win----going from 1.58% to 2.86% if they get 1st, or 0.63% if they don't. Stork has a 41.99% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Life has a 41.32% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. YongHwa has a 40.77% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Super has a 39.73% chance to win----going from 0.56% to 1.35% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Symbol has a 39.22% chance to win----going from 0.02% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Leenock has a 36.16% chance to win----going from 0.72% to 1.85% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Armani has a 34.24% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sorry has a 33.67% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. aLive has a 30.51% chance to win----going from 0.07% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. KeeN has a 30.19% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HerO has a 28.49% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 26.37% chance to win----going from 0.16% to 0.57% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [Code S Winning Chances] + Solar, soO, Bbyong, Curious, Flash, Sacsri, Bomber, San, MMA, Super, Leenock, and Patience must win this tournament! Rain has a 11.01% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 9.25% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 7.5% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 5.29% chance to win----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't. sOs has a 5.03% chance to win----going from 51.89% to 100% if they get 1st, or 49.34% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Trap has a 4.49% chance to win----going from 19.82% to 99.15% if they get 1st, or 16.09% if they don't. Solar has a 4.33% chance to win----going from 2.85% to 50.19% if they get 1st, or 0.71% if they don't. Dark has a 4.29% chance to win----going from 73.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 71.8% if they don't. Zest has a 4.15% chance to win----going from 91.08% to 100% if they get 1st, or 90.7% if they don't. INnoVation has a 3.8% chance to win----going from 43.46% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 41.23% if they don't. ByuL has a 3.45% chance to win----going from 96.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 95.86% if they don't. herO has a 3.02% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 2.74% chance to win----going from 2.31% to 57.71% if they get 1st, or 0.75% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.73% chance to win----going from 83.76% to 100% if they get 1st, or 83.3% if they don't. Dear has a 2.45% chance to win----going from 18.88% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 16.84% if they don't. Life has a 2.29% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Bbyong has a 2.15% chance to win----going from 4.35% to 96.37% if they get 1st, or 2.33% if they don't. Dream has a 2.01% chance to win----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 1.93% chance to win----going from 33.5% to 100% if they get 1st, or 32.19% if they don't. HyuN has a 1.68% chance to win----going from 15.33% to 98.78% if they get 1st, or 13.91% if they don't. Curious has a 1.61% chance to win----going from 2.85% to 87.65% if they get 1st, or 1.46% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.41% chance to win----going from 7.93% to 99.9% if they get 1st, or 6.62% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.26% chance to win----going from 14.32% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 13.23% if they don't. Flash has a 1.08% chance to win----going from 0.44% to 29.74% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. Sacsri has a 0.99% chance to win----going from 0.38% to 28.74% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.89% chance to win----going from 0.17% to 16.19% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.85% chance to win----going from 0.1% to 9.88% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Cure has a 0.82% chance to win----going from 0.17% to 16.34% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Bomber has a 0.68% chance to win----going from 0.65% to 61.77% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. San has a 0.66% chance to win----going from 1.58% to 66.86% if they get 1st, or 1.15% if they don't. Losira has a 0.6% chance to win----going from 0.02% to 3.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MMA has a 0.53% chance to win----going from 0.69% to 76.76% if they get 1st, or 0.28% if they don't. Impact has a 0.52% chance to win----going from 0.06% to 10.44% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Super has a 0.49% chance to win----going from 0.56% to 74.19% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. Trust has a 0.48% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 6.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Leenock has a 0.46% chance to win----going from 0.72% to 86.91% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. First has a 0.45% chance to win----going from 0.07% to 13.79% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. jjakji has a 0.44% chance to win----going from 0.07% to 12.24% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Armani has a 0.28% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 3.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 0.23% chance to win----going from 0.16% to 45.18% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 0.22% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 3.53% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. aLive has a 0.21% chance to win----going from 0.07% to 11.63% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. YoDa has a 0.2% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 12.71% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.16% chance to win----going from 0.02% to 12.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.15% chance to win----going from 0.02% to 10.87% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.14% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 4.59% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HerO has a 0.13% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 5.54% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sorry has a 0.12% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 4.81% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. YongHwa has a 0.11% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 4.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Panic has a 0.09% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 4.55% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Stork has a 0.06% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.06% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. KeeN has a 0.05% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 2.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. WCS Predictor 2015 StarLeague Season 3 Challenger Day 3 San vs Zest in in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. San must win this match! San is at 1.58% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.96%, or 0.59% if they lose. Zest is at 91.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 96.73%, or 77.59% if they lose. HyuN vs Dark in in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. HyuN is at 15.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.22% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 26.42%, or 7.23% if they lose. Dark is at 73.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 86.64%, or 54.36% if they lose. Trap vs TY in in StarLeague Season 3 round of 24. TY must win this match! Trap is at 19.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 28.75%, or 8.44% if they lose. TY is at 6.91% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.85%, or 1.45% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [SSL Winning Chances] + San must win this tournament! Rain has a 11.54% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 9.82% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 9.28% chance to win----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't. Dream has a 6.3% chance to win----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. sOs has a 6.16% chance to win----going from 51.89% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 48.73% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + herO has a 5.74% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 5.6% chance to win----going from 91.08% to 100% if they get 1st, or 90.56% if they don't. Stats has a 5.44% chance to win----going from 42.79% to 100% if they get 1st, or 39.5% if they don't. Dear has a 5.03% chance to win----going from 18.88% to 98.8% if they get 1st, or 14.65% if they don't. Trap has a 4.97% chance to win----going from 19.82% to 99.14% if they get 1st, or 15.67% if they don't. INnoVation has a 4.9% chance to win----going from 43.46% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 40.55% if they don't. ByuL has a 4.65% chance to win----going from 96.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 95.81% if they don't. Life has a 4.47% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dark has a 4.32% chance to win----going from 73.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 71.79% if they don't. Rogue has a 3.68% chance to win----going from 83.76% to 100% if they get 1st, or 83.13% if they don't. HyuN has a 1.93% chance to win----going from 15.33% to 99.02% if they get 1st, or 13.69% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.85% chance to win----going from 14.32% to 99.7% if they get 1st, or 12.72% if they don't. TY has a 1.64% chance to win----going from 6.91% to 99.52% if they get 1st, or 5.36% if they don't. Snute has a 1.48% chance to win----going from 16.22% to 99.68% if they get 1st, or 14.97% if they don't. San has a 0.69% chance to win----going from 1.58% to 65.31% if they get 1st, or 1.14% if they don't. aLive has a 0.51% chance to win----going from 0.07% to 7.08% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. | ||
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sharkie
Austria18692 Posts
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sharkie
Austria18692 Posts
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2015_MSI_Masters_Gaming_Arena | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17739 Posts
On July 10 2015 04:33 sharkie wrote: I think you missed this tournament: http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2015_MSI_Masters_Gaming_Arena nope http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=61 I just didn't put the qualifiers as upcoming. Gonna update the player list for this and ASUS once both the qualifiers are done. | ||
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sharkie
Austria18692 Posts
On July 10 2015 04:36 Die4Ever wrote: nope http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=61 I just didn't put the qualifiers as upcoming. Gonna update the player list for this and ASUS once both the qualifiers are done. Oh ok, I just thought it because your Zest is missing 125 points compared to Liquipedia's. And somehow your Parting has loads more WCS points? :o | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17739 Posts
On July 10 2015 05:35 sharkie wrote: Oh ok, I just thought it because your Zest is missing 125 points compared to Liquipedia's. And somehow your Parting has loads more WCS points? :o I didn't realize MSI is only a 16 player tournament, that's why Zest is missing those points. I'm checking on Parting now. | ||
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sharkie
Austria18692 Posts
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chipmonklord17
United States11944 Posts
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Circumstance
United States11403 Posts
On July 10 2015 06:25 chipmonklord17 wrote: Does Toodming (or snute for that matter) get points for SSL? If Snute loses to innovation then neither toodming nor snute will have advanced a round in the tournament which used to be the qualifier for getting WCS points at an event. Correct, so Snute does not get any points if he loses, just as Jim, MacSed, and Scarlett did not get points after losing their SSL Challenger matches. | ||
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