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Kheve
323 Posts
Duckdeok, Scarlet (based on her making it to season3 finals easily) are the 2 shoo in for 2 spots. Any anyone of the season 3 finals (Soo, Dear, Vortix, Hyun). MVP shld be pretty safe as I cant see Soo Dear Vortix in the top2/top4 of season 3 finals. Maybe 1 of them but not more. Hyun ughhh never strong, hes only in contention thx to all the non wcs placing ( Hes the only guy who attended every single event) | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
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vthree
Hong Kong8039 Posts
On October 13 2013 02:23 Kheve wrote: Revival never had a chance in the first place lol. His only hope was a win in IEM (same as Naniwa). MVP is at the cutoff point at 15/6/17. Anyone who cant overtake/reach MVP has no chance. Duckdeok, Scarlet (based on her making it to season3 finals easily) are the 2 shoo in for 2 spots. Any anyone of the season 3 finals (Soo, Dear, Vortix, Hyun). MVP shld be pretty safe as I cant see Soo Dear Vortix in the top2/top4 of season 3 finals. Maybe 1 of them but not more. Hyun ughhh never strong, hes only in contention thx to all the non wcs placing ( Hes the only guy who attended every single event) Not sure if Duckdeok's is a shoo in. It really depends who he draws at the global finals. He will be one of the weaker players there. | ||
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slowbacontron
United States7722 Posts
On October 13 2013 02:23 Kheve wrote: Revival never had a chance in the first place lol. His only hope was a win in IEM (same as Naniwa). MVP is at the cutoff point at 15/6/17. Anyone who cant overtake/reach MVP has no chance. Duckdeok, Scarlet (based on her making it to season3 finals easily) are the 2 shoo in for 2 spots. Any anyone of the season 3 finals (Soo, Dear, Vortix, Hyun). MVP shld be pretty safe as I cant see Soo Dear Vortix in the top2/top4 of season 3 finals. Maybe 1 of them but not more. Hyun ughhh never strong, hes only in contention thx to all the non wcs placing ( Hes the only guy who attended every single event) Hyun never strong? Are you for real? WCS points are so heavily stacked in favor of WCS events that the fact that Hyun has somehow gotten to Blizzcon through non-WCS events means he's done | ||
Darkhorse
United States23455 Posts
On October 13 2013 06:01 slowbacontron wrote: Hyun never strong? Are you for real? WCS points are so heavily stacked in favor of WCS events that the fact that Hyun has somehow gotten to Blizzcon through non-WCS events means he's done Agreed. I really hope we see him at Blizzcon  Really depends mostly on WCS AM/Season finals. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
Keep in mind that this event -------------------------------------------HyuN gets 4th place in IEM -------------------------------------------NaNiwa gets 1st place in IEM This happens 22.475% of the time. When it does, it increases NaNiwa's chances to 69.253%. is identical to Naniwa winning IEM by itself, since Hyun will always get 4th place when Naniwa wins IEM. | ||
Adebisi
Canada1637 Posts
On October 13 2013 07:34 Die4Ever wrote: New update posted with IEM semifinals set. Keep in mind that this event -------------------------------------------HyuN gets 4th place in IEM -------------------------------------------NaNiwa gets 1st place in IEM This happens 22.475% of the time. When it does, it increases NaNiwa's chances to 69.253%. is identical to Naniwa winning IEM by itself, since Hyun will always get 4th place when Naniwa wins IEM. you're a god. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
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Salient
United States876 Posts
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Dodgin
Canada39254 Posts
On October 13 2013 09:54 Salient wrote: So Naniwa and Hyun basically play for the right to attend Blizzcon tomorrow? WCS AM is infinitely more important for hyun, even if he wins this tournament if he loses in ro16 he's out of blizzcon. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
On October 13 2013 10:04 Dodgin wrote: WCS AM is infinitely more important for hyun, even if he wins this tournament if he loses in ro16 he's out of blizzcon. yea, I had to actually increase the weight of IEM events for displaying them just to get it to show the probabilities if Hyun wins IEM, since the program knew WCS AM was way more important for him. | ||
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slowbacontron
United States7722 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
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Phantom_Sky
Hong Kong512 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
On October 13 2013 11:13 Phantom_Sky wrote: can show the chance of at least one foreigner qualified ? (making it Naniwa, Scarlett or Vortex qualified?) Coming right up | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
On October 13 2013 11:13 Phantom_Sky wrote: can show the chance of at least one foreigner qualified ? (making it Naniwa, Scarlett or Vortex qualified?) ....do we count China and Taiwan? lol | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
+ Show Spoiler [foreigner hope rating] + Chance of Blizzcon having a foreigner is 71.6%, 716/1000 Scarlett from Canada has a 30.5% chance. The chance that Scarlett is the only foreigner is 21.8%, 218/1000 NaNiwa from Sweden has a 23.9% chance. The chance that NaNiwa is the only foreigner is 17%, 170/1000 VortiX from Spain has a 16.8% chance. The chance that VortiX is the only foreigner is 9.2%, 92/1000 HuK from Canada has a 6.9% chance. The chance that HuK is the only foreigner is 3.7%, 37/1000 MacSed from China has a 5.6% chance. The chance that MacSed is the only foreigner is 3.7%, 37/1000 Sen from Taiwan has a 3.2% chance. The chance that Sen is the only foreigner is 1.4%, 14/1000 | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
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slowbacontron
United States7722 Posts
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Gatesleeper
Canada300 Posts
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