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On October 10 2013 05:33 chipmonklord17 wrote:
is there any scenario with scarlett vortix and naniwa all go to blizcon?
-Naniwa wins IEM
-Scarlett wins WCS NA
-Vortix wins WCS Season Finals or gets 2nd
-Duckdeok gets 13-16th at WCS Season Finals
-Hyun loses in WCS NA Ro16
-soO does not get top 4 at WCS Season Finals
-Dear does not get top 4 at WCS Season Finals
-Trap does not win at WCS Season Finals
-Revival gets 4-16th at IEM.
-None of the other WCS NA stragglers (Oz, Nestea, Hack, etc.) win WCS Season Finals
That would do it 
The biggest issue there is Vortix, whose likelihood of getting top 2 at Season Finals is pretty unlikely.
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wow sick work OP much respect
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Got something extra coming for you guys soon.
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On October 08 2013 18:43 Die4Ever wrote:
Ok update is posted. With GSL placement matches results, many details showed for players with close to 100% or 0% chances, and some formatting changes.
Thanks for the addition of the ranking numbers!
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On October 10 2013 15:37 Ketch wrote:Show nested quote +On October 08 2013 18:43 Die4Ever wrote:
Ok update is posted. With GSL placement matches results, many details showed for players with close to 100% or 0% chances, and some formatting changes. Thanks for the addition of the ranking numbers!
It was a good idea! Almost done with this next update...
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Ok new update is posted with the IEM replacements. Also I did a lot of optimizing, reduced the memory usage by a huge amount, and threaded it, so now I can do 3 million simulations instead of 300,000.
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Ty Die4Ever for this great thread and your hard work.
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1001 YEARS KESPAJAIL22272 Posts
Noooooooooooo so many scenarios with Mvp not at Blizzcon T_T
(Yes I know its unlikely but the suspense is fun)
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Hey, nice thread! One question i want to know. Which program do you use to simulate that stuff? Or which coding language do you use?
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On October 10 2013 16:24 5c0rp10n wrote:
Hey, nice thread! One question i want to know. Which program do you use to simulate that stuff? Or which coding language do you use?
I wrote it all myself (it uses the help of aligulac ratings) in C++
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On October 10 2013 06:28 Dragoonstorm7 wrote:Show nested quote +On October 10 2013 05:33 chipmonklord17 wrote:
is there any scenario with scarlett vortix and naniwa all go to blizcon? -Naniwa wins IEM -Scarlett wins WCS NA -Vortix wins WCS Season Finals or gets 2nd -Duckdeok gets 13-16th at WCS Season Finals -Hyun loses in WCS NA Ro16 -soO does not get top 4 at WCS Season Finals -Dear does not get top 4 at WCS Season Finals -Trap does not win at WCS Season Finals -Revival gets 4-16th at IEM. -None of the other WCS NA stragglers (Oz, Nestea, Hack, etc.) win WCS Season Finals That would do it The biggest issue there is Vortix, whose likelihood of getting top 2 at Season Finals is pretty unlikely.
This is cool stuff  Do you have more of "contrived scenarios that make something amazing happen"?
This thread is what makes WCS real fun!
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I just want Mvp to make it because this is my first time watching Blizzcon
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United States23455 Posts
On October 10 2013 06:28 Dragoonstorm7 wrote:Show nested quote +On October 10 2013 05:33 chipmonklord17 wrote:
is there any scenario with scarlett vortix and naniwa all go to blizcon? -Naniwa wins IEM -Scarlett wins WCS NA -Vortix wins WCS Season Finals or gets 2nd -Duckdeok gets 13-16th at WCS Season Finals -Hyun loses in WCS NA Ro16 -soO does not get top 4 at WCS Season Finals -Dear does not get top 4 at WCS Season Finals -Trap does not win at WCS Season Finals -Revival gets 4-16th at IEM. -None of the other WCS NA stragglers (Oz, Nestea, Hack, etc.) win WCS Season Finals That would do it The biggest issue there is Vortix, whose likelihood of getting top 2 at Season Finals is pretty unlikely.
I see Scarlett as the only one who makes it sadly  Most likely this list won't all come to pass.
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On October 10 2013 16:27 Die4Ever wrote:
I wrote it all myself (it uses the help of aligulac ratings) in C++
You my friend are a hero and a genius. Thank you.
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Maybe add a link to the liquipedia Blizzcon page?
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Updated with IEM ro16 groups. Although not much changed lol.
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United States97277 Posts
Oh no! Maru has dropped to 11/300k not qualifying instead of 1/300k! He's doomed!
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EPT
