With the conclusion of Group D in the Ro16, the eight participants in the WCS Europe season 2 finals have been determined and drawn into the bracket.
The final eight notably features six Protoss players and NONE of the final eight from season 1. As Europe is hosting this season's combined final (players from each region) at Gamescom later this month, the top six players will receive spots.
The Season II finals sometimes will take place betweenAugust 10th and 11th, starting at 14:00 CEST on the 10th and 12:00 CEST on the 11th. Tickets for live viewing can be purchased on eventbrite.
So many strong players went down to make this Ro8. I want to say its going to be a Naniwa vs MMA/MC final, but Hasu can definitely take out MMA if he can beat Mvp. And MC could lose the PvP to Welmu.
I'm going to take a bit of a risk and predict a HasuObs vs Naniwa final. Naniwa wins that of course because Naniwa is awesome.
I'd bet on Naniwa if I had to, none of these players looked really strong and the competition in WCS EU seems to have become worse than AM to me (and a shadow compared to KR obviously).
Hope Grubby gets far in this, him winning it would be awesome. Would love to see his reaction seeing how emotional he was already for getting in the RO8.
Naniwa has historically had difficulty against Zerg, so I don't see him necessarily getting past Vortix so easily. I would love to see Grubby in the finals though. MMA or MC will likely take WCS Europe.
If Vortix has 28% to win, how come MMA beats him in the finals? I don't get it (I'm dumb, use small words)
it's because vortix is more heavily favored against the other possible finals outcomes than MMA since Vortix's highest rated matchup atm is ZvP. The bracket is just showing the median outcome
Vortix is 65% favored or higher vs any of the protoss that he might face in the finals so Aligulac says if he gets anyone but MMA in the finals he will probably win. MMA should make the finals according to the prediction but there's a chance he could not because of his weaker rated TvP. He's also not as heavily favored against everyone on the other side of the bracket (or even favored at all. someone like Naniwa would be favored vs MMA)
Vortix is winning this thing and I doubt MMA can make it to the finals. He'd have to improve his vs P to get to the finals and I think he is the only one that can stop Vortix.
MMA doesn't stand a chance against all these tosses tbh, given the level of TvP he showed against Naniwa. Unless Innovation flies down and coaches him on TvP or something, I doubt he will get past Hasuobs who has been beastly in the past month AND even got what was imo a clean win vs Mvp. So, not expecting a miraculous comeback from MMA (but I can pray, no?).
Naniwa / Vortix vs Hasuobs final? It seems likely at this juncture. HOWEVER!!! Finale is the duck horse here and he may roll everyone in typical mid-tier Korean fashion.
Also, I just realized Welmu could semi legitamitely win this. So he beats MC (MC looked weak at pvp today and welmu looked really strong.) Hasu Beats MMA (MMA is not the best at TvP and Hasu is awesome at it) Nani wins his side of the bracket (totally feasible)
Then welmu beats Hasu (welmu is a beast at pvp and its hasu's worst MU) and then welmu upsets Naniwa in finals by proxy two gating in game one and putting Nani on tilt and then he wins it.
there we go, this is what is actually gonna happen
On August 09 2013 13:35 RKC wrote: "The final eight notably features six Protoss players and NONE of the final eight from season "
LOL. WCS EU so volatile! WCS EU killing e-sports.
Kidding, of course. Sad that MVP, Stephano and Lucifron is out, but I'm happy we have Naniwa, MMA and MC back in form.
There was a lot of overturn in the top 8 this season. 0/8 repeats in WCS EU 1/8 repeat in WCS AM ( aLive only player with back to back Ro8 appearance) 4/8 repeats in WCS KR ( INnoVation, Bomber, Soulkey, Symbol)
On August 09 2013 13:35 RKC wrote: "The final eight notably features six Protoss players and NONE of the final eight from season "
LOL. WCS EU so volatile! WCS EU killing e-sports.
Kidding, of course. Sad that MVP, Stephano and Lucifron is out, but I'm happy we have Naniwa, MMA and MC back in form.
There was a lot of overturn in the top 8 this season. 0/8 repeats in WCS EU 1/8 repeat in WCS AM ( aLive only player with back to back Ro8 appearance) 4/8 repeats in WCS KR ( INnoVation, Bomber, Soulkey, Symbol)
so 5/24 repeat top 8s
Yeah, honestly, all this volatility talk is BS. The game has stabilised pretty much in Korea, and the WCS results show for it. Like I've said before, I think the game is more stable than it ever has been in SC2 history (though of course, there is more room for improvement to reach to BW stability standards).
Why do people keep saying that MMA is going to beat Hasuobs? MMA said his TvP was really weak right now. Naniwa easily beat him in the Round of 16. Also, Hasuobs is playing some amazing Starcraft right now.
With so many Protoss it looks to me as if the German EPS, which is held in the same studio, has infected WCS with the PvP plague Which means that Hasu has this.
I think MMA stands no chance vs HasuObs. HasuObs is very good in PvT and very defensive. MMA didn't look like how to play TvP vs Naniwa and even with a huge lead he couldn't win. I think Hasu will 3-0.
On August 09 2013 15:51 DarkLordOlli wrote: Honestly, finale winning would be the best storyline ever
I think I've been missing something in the scene. What's up with finale since turning into duckdeok? I'm fascinated. Is he the new Dragon?
Finale is basically becoming a protoss version of hyvaa. He doesn't beat around the bush, he's insanely aggressive in his openings but he's making it work with sick control, forcefields and his followup transitions are really smart. It's kind of a love-hate thing people have with him because of that.
I personally love it. A lot of greedy things are going unpunished in HotS as they did in WoL for a long time until someone like him comes along and just shuts your greed down completely. Best example was game 1 against Lucifron where finale just got rid of him with the simplest 3gate pressure expand
He's like a reality check for people who are spoiled by how dreamy HotS is
On August 09 2013 15:51 DarkLordOlli wrote: Honestly, finale winning would be the best storyline ever
I think I've been missing something in the scene. What's up with finale since turning into duckdeok? I'm fascinated. Is he the new Dragon?
Finale is basically becoming a protoss version of hyvaa. He doesn't beat around the bush, he's insanely aggressive in his openings but he's making it work with sick control, forcefields and his followup transitions are really smart. It's kind of a love-hate thing people have with him because of that.
I personally love it. A lot of greedy things are going unpunished in HotS as they did in WoL for a long time until someone like him comes along and just shuts your greed down completely. Best example was game 1 against Lucifron where finale just got rid of him with the simplest 3gate pressure expand
He's like a reality check for people who are spoiled by how dreamy HotS is
No wonder. He sounds more like a Toss version of Life then, back in his heydays.
But hey, I love hyvaa too. He's so entertaining with his 6pools that I've forgiven him for his BW sins.
looking at this bracket, i have to say this could finally be the first major tournament in hots won by a non-korean player. MC has been quite shaky lately, duckdeok seems to win with a bunch of all-ins and cheeses so I don't know how that's going to work vs players like Naniwa, Grubby/Vortix etc. MMA has been playing pretty well but he would likely have to play all protoss up to the finals which isn't exactly his best matchup right now.
Too bad to have Nani, Vortix & Grubby in the same half of the table. Otherwise I find this Ro8 surprisingly promising, despite its heavy PvP case study aspect.
On August 09 2013 16:54 Seiju wrote: Too bad to have Nani, Vortix & Grubby in the same half of the table. Otherwise I find this Ro8 surprisingly promising, despite its heavy PvP case study aspect.
I know, right?
I thought this was going to be really boring, but seeing the brackets laid out like this, it's very easy to get excited about this!
i feel grubby is too much hype... nice person but not a great player sorry to put it. just blows my mind how mvp lost to him. but then again i understand mvp arrived the night before he was playing soo the jet lag must have made an impact plus his neck was bothering him. a healthy mvp can beat anyone.
On August 09 2013 17:11 Riner1212 wrote: i feel grubby is too much hype... nice person but not a great player sorry to put it. just blows my mind how mvp lost to him. but then again i understand mvp arrived the night before he was playing soo the jet lag must have made an impact plus his neck was bothering him. a healthy mvp can beat anyone.
Pretty sure a protoss will win this one and it's about time to be honest. MMA has terrible TvP, an exemplary game would be g2 vs naniwa in ro8. Vortix just hasn't been on the level he was in wol.
On August 09 2013 17:48 herMan wrote: Pretty sure a protoss will win this one and it's about time to be honest. MMA has terrible TvP, an exemplary game would be g2 vs naniwa in ro8. Vortix just hasn't been on the level he was in wol.
On August 09 2013 17:48 herMan wrote: Pretty sure a protoss will win this one and it's about time to be honest. MMA has terrible TvP, an exemplary game would be g2 vs naniwa in ro8. Vortix just hasn't been on the level he was in wol.
Not a protoss, THE PROTOSS
the Duck Lord FINALE
I don't think duckdeok as a contender since he obviously has nerve issues. More often than not we saw him make chobo mistakes, such as making double tech structures.
On August 09 2013 17:48 herMan wrote: Pretty sure a protoss will win this one and it's about time to be honest. MMA has terrible TvP, an exemplary game would be g2 vs naniwa in ro8. Vortix just hasn't been on the level he was in wol.
Not a protoss, THE PROTOSS
the Duck Lord FINALE
I don't think duckdeok as a contender since he obviously has nerve issues. More often than not we saw him make chobo mistakes, such as making double tech structures.
Those were mindgames to make his opponents think he's got nerve issues when they study his games for later rounds. Obviously.
On August 09 2013 17:48 herMan wrote: Pretty sure a protoss will win this one and it's about time to be honest. MMA has terrible TvP, an exemplary game would be g2 vs naniwa in ro8. Vortix just hasn't been on the level he was in wol.
We don't have the same definition of terrible TvP. MMA loses this game on one single hazardous split and thanks to Nani's insane ability to contain a constant pressure, otherwise he has to win it 9 times out of 10. Obviously it's not the best time to pick Hasu I'll give you that, but I don't see MMA letting it go so easily. 50/50 I'd say, with a high boost of confidence if he goes through,
Vortix just extracted 4-0 from a group with 3 Protosses in a tournament where all Zergs got crushed one after another by their P opponents. His ZvP looks fit to say the least.
Wow I really don't know who to root for in the Grubby vs Vortix match like I play Zerg and he is the last one so I should be following him but I really wanted Grubby to win the entire thing just because he is Grubby.
It's sad that even today, there are hardly any protoss ever in the latter stages of major tournaments. Guess the warp prism buff didn't work, they need something else and more powerful.
The "random" draw was pretty funny, because the rules in place don't actually leave a lot of degrees of freedom, even though drawing from 4 and then 4 names seems naively to give you 576 different outcomes. First, you put the 4 second placers - the only thing that matters is who is on the same side of bracket and that gives you only 3 options that are truly different (as order doesn't matter inside the pairs, nor between pairs). Then, because the first place finisher from a group has to be in the other side of the bracket than the secind place finsihers, you just have to draw twice from two, giving you 4 options. Together, there are only 12 ways the matchups may have gone.
On August 09 2013 19:29 opisska wrote: The "random" draw was pretty funny, because the rules in place don't actually leave a lot of degrees of freedom, even though drawing from 4 and then 4 names seems naively to give you 576 different outcomes. First, you put the 4 second placers - the only thing that matters is who is on the same side of bracket and that gives you only 3 options that are truly different (as order doesn't matter inside the pairs, nor between pairs). Then, because the first place finisher from a group has to be in the other side of the bracket than the secind place finsihers, you just have to draw twice from two, giving you 4 options. Together, there are only 12 ways the matchups may have gone.
What is your point? It was completely random within a few set parameters to reward those that finished top of their group by getting a lower seeded player, and to stop a rematch happening before the grand final.
On August 09 2013 19:29 opisska wrote: The "random" draw was pretty funny, because the rules in place don't actually leave a lot of degrees of freedom, even though drawing from 4 and then 4 names seems naively to give you 576 different outcomes. First, you put the 4 second placers - the only thing that matters is who is on the same side of bracket and that gives you only 3 options that are truly different (as order doesn't matter inside the pairs, nor between pairs). Then, because the first place finisher from a group has to be in the other side of the bracket than the secind place finsihers, you just have to draw twice from two, giving you 4 options. Together, there are only 12 ways the matchups may have gone.
What is your point? It was completely random within a few set parameters to reward those that finished top of their group by getting a lower seeded player, and to stop a rematch happening before the grand final.
His point is that flipping a coin with two heads is random as well within a few set parameters.
On August 09 2013 19:29 opisska wrote: The "random" draw was pretty funny, because the rules in place don't actually leave a lot of degrees of freedom, even though drawing from 4 and then 4 names seems naively to give you 576 different outcomes. First, you put the 4 second placers - the only thing that matters is who is on the same side of bracket and that gives you only 3 options that are truly different (as order doesn't matter inside the pairs, nor between pairs). Then, because the first place finisher from a group has to be in the other side of the bracket than the secind place finsihers, you just have to draw twice from two, giving you 4 options. Together, there are only 12 ways the matchups may have gone.
What is your point? It was completely random within a few set parameters to reward those that finished top of their group by getting a lower seeded player, and to stop a rematch happening before the grand final.
My point is just the interesting comparison between the apparent and actual level of freedom in the draw. Also, I endeavored to slightly nib at the fact that the way it was presented did not refelct the fact and that the casters were sometimes exctied about information that was either guaranteed or inconsequential. But this was not meant as a critique of the system, the system is aboslutely wonderful in my opinion - and also not really as a critique of the casters, as they are really good at SC2 and thus I don't require them to be equally skilled in combimatorics. So, all in all, just a curious observation.
On August 09 2013 20:26 TheBloodyDwarf wrote: Duckdeok wont win this. Welmu showed us how bad duckdeoks PvP is. It is (like all matchups by him) only all ins.
Actually finale would've beaten Welmu if he didn't get caught by that one timewarp. And while that's a classic PvP mistake, it doesn't really say anything about his overall PvP. Finale was a Code S protoss. He knows how to macro.
On August 09 2013 20:26 TheBloodyDwarf wrote: Duckdeok wont win this. Welmu showed us how bad duckdeoks PvP is. It is (like all matchups by him) only all ins.
Actually finale would've beaten Welmu if he didn't get caught by that one timewarp. And while that's a classic PvP mistake, it doesn't really say anything about his overall PvP. Finale was a Code S protoss. He knows how to macro.
Its not impossible that all koreans will drop out in first round. MMA and MC arent that good anymore, i mean they dont have top korean level anymore. Duckdeok is quite good, but Naniwa can be able to beat him.
On August 10 2013 02:40 azzih wrote: Its not impossible that all koreans will drop out in first round. MMA and MC arent that good anymore, i mean they dont have top korean level anymore. Duckdeok is quite good, but Naniwa can be able to beat him.
All of them qualified second in their group, so yeah it is certainly possible.
Also I like Europe to hold, and looking at the rage there was when Grubby took out MVP, I am really looking forward to all the people going full retard when all Koreans are taken out.
Yeah thats the good thing in Europe: You got some strong players who are able to beat koreans time to time. In American Qualifier you got the koreans and Scarlett and after this there is a huge skill gap.
On August 09 2013 21:28 Raketen wrote: If there's a TvZ final we will never hear the end of it from the Protoss players! >.<
That would be hilarious.
Funny thing is: This is exactly what will happen.
Everybody is getting their hopes up, that the underdogs with the worst race might win something....just so MMA wins it and everybody is swearing it's the last WCS they watched!
I would say MMA vs hasu 2-3 (mma tvp is just too weak)
welmu vs mc 3-1. (welmus PvP is is something close to 80% win rate i think)
vortix grubby 3-2.( this could go pretty much go either way, but i think vortix will be the winner.)
naniwa vs duck 3-1. (duck just does not impress me)
hasu 2-3 welmu. (these 2 are pretty mcuh best pvp you could ask for whitout koreans.) could go either way
vortix vs naniwa 2-3 (ok i don´t care who wins, but this needs to happen :D, but seriusly this could go either way since neither player is really consistant.)
welmu 4-2 nani.(this bradget makes welmu as happy as he can be whit all this pvp) also sweden vs finland finals would be awesomeness.) this could also go either way.
other mentions: if vortix wins nani he would crush welmu. mc and mma still know how to win so even if ods are agaist them here they can still do it.
I've been looking for the song that WCS EU always plays between breaks or when the cast ends. It's the one with what I think is dolfin sounds in it, but not sure!
On August 10 2013 16:34 Tepiz wrote: I would say MMA vs hasu 2-3 (mma tvp is just too weak)
welmu vs mc 3-1. (welmus PvP is is something close to 80% win rate i think)
vortix grubby 3-2.( this could go pretty much go either way, but i think vortix will be the winner.)
naniwa vs duck 3-1. (duck just does not impress me)
hasu 2-3 welmu. (these 2 are pretty mcuh best pvp you could ask for whitout koreans.) could go either way
vortix vs naniwa 2-3 (ok i don´t care who wins, but this needs to happen :D, but seriusly this could go either way since neither player is really consistant.)
welmu 4-2 nani.(this bradget makes welmu as happy as he can be whit all this pvp) also sweden vs finland finals would be awesomeness.) this could also go either way.
other mentions: if vortix wins nani he would crush welmu. mc and mma still know how to win so even if ods are agaist them here they can still do it.