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[October] TLPD Race Winrate Graphs - Page 18

Forum Index > SC2 General
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Zlarp
Profile Joined August 2011
Switzerland9 Posts
November 07 2011 06:51 GMT
#341
The worst liars are statisticians.

That's about all I have to say about this. As for my own experience, I win 80% of my ZvTs, 60% of my ZvZs and 30% of my ZvPs. If I wanted the game to be balanced to a 50/50 win rate at my level, things would turn out really, really weird.
Gold league random player who likes talking about Starcraft
canikizu
Profile Joined September 2010
4860 Posts
November 07 2011 06:51 GMT
#342
On November 07 2011 15:24 MilesTeg wrote:
As far as I know Protoss already dominates the ladder, right? And most Zergs I know have a lot of problems in ZvP. The MU seems unwinnable at times.

I think the problem with Protoss maybe the skill ceiling. They feel overwhelmingly powerful at my level, but maybe they lack the flexibility of the other races for the pros. Their timings feel much more powerful than what any other races can do, but when people learn to deal with them it seems there is nothing else.

Now, the question needs to be asked, is it really that there is no solid way to play Protoss without relying on these pushes, or is it that the players were so used to get free wins with 4G/6G/deathball that they don't know another way to play?

I think that they're not experimenting enough yet.

For example, one problem with HT is that they can easily be sniped off by cloaked ghosts. You can detect cloaked ghost by observers, but they can be killed off easily by a scan. The solution? Proxy pylon cannon. I saw some protoss putting cannon in the middle of the road, battlefields. It can detect ghosts, ghosts can't snipe it, and if the terran tries to kill it off with stim marauders, a stationed HT, which can't be killed by ghosts, can just storm them away like when the old time when terrran drop vs KAed HT. That's a style I want to see protoss to do more.

VPVash
Profile Joined August 2011
United States139 Posts
November 07 2011 06:58 GMT
#343
On November 07 2011 04:27 Piledriver wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2011 04:22 Nemireck wrote:
I don't understand why Protoss is so low. I lose to toss all the time



Because toss is good/balanced at lower levels (even imba at bronze/silver/gold where people don't have enough multitasking or timing skills to punish tosses). At tournament level though, people clearly know the toss weaknesses and also have the required skill to execute the appropriate counters consistently.

But that excuse is incorrect....it doesn't even make sense. Toss do well in "EVERY" tournament other then GSL Code S. The reason there's lots of Terran is because it was almost impossible to drop out of Code S and sadly toss players have been victims only because to begin with not many made it in Code S and it's extremely hard to get into Code S.

Overall Terran isn't imba, toss is a good race, zerg is a good race. Game is pretty balance and I think once the ghost nerf comes it will be pretty solid for all races. Look at Zerg, they have been winning everything other then MLG. Nestea was owning Code S recently and now Terrans are dropping out with the new format. Soon everyone will realise that the game is pretty even at the top level. SeleCT almost lost to Elfi at the ASUS Invitational and he was on like 6 base to 2-3 the whole game. Protoss is pretty strong late game and I think that's been shown lately.

Also another argument would be that Terrans don't win tournaments other then Code S. MLG doesn't really count since recently the best 3 Korean Terrans won it...and HuK just won so I'm starting to think Protoss is finally adapted in a way to take advantage of there late game strength and that's why there winning. But overall Terrans ghosts are a slight problem which is getting nerfed so we will see when the time comes if it helps tons with the Toss QQ'ers.

There's probably tons of stuff I left out that I forgot to type but keep fighting brohans!!!!
"This is the strangest life I've ever known."
Amui
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Canada10567 Posts
November 07 2011 07:04 GMT
#344
On November 07 2011 15:48 zanmat0 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2011 12:59 thedirtyleg wrote:
What's up with the low sample size for this month compared to past months?


Who knows, but we can clearly conclude that it makes this month's % inaccurate.

If there was a larger sample size, I'm sure we can all agree that PvT would be 50/50, maybe Protoss even being a bit OP.


I would agree with the first statement that this months statistics are potentially inaccurate due to insufficient sample size.

How you get that the first statement makes the second a fact doesn't make sense to me. That's a possibility, but it could just as easily be 40-60 in favour of terran.
Porouscloud - NA LoL
okum
Profile Blog Joined February 2009
France5778 Posts
November 07 2011 07:06 GMT
#345
On November 07 2011 14:40 Highways wrote:
Poor Protoss

To the idiots complaining about the scale of the axis, THERE IS NOTHING WRONG WITH IT.

1. The purpose of zooming in is to show the trends of the matchups, on a relative level and not an absolute one.
2. All the matchups use the exact same scale so you can compare the trends across.

Axes of Evil
Flash fan before it was cool | Coiner of "jangbang"
Champi
Profile Joined March 2010
1422 Posts
November 07 2011 07:09 GMT
#346
so depressing to look at lol.

chin up slugga's, our time will come
Techno
Profile Joined June 2010
1900 Posts
November 07 2011 07:13 GMT
#347
On November 07 2011 16:09 Champi wrote:
so depressing to look at lol.

chin up slugga's, our time will come

Pretty sure its more depressing for Terrans and Zergs. Protosses are probably like "Fuck yea! Were doing bad in Code S again so maybe well get buffed".
Hell, its awesome to LOSE to nukes!
KAmaKAsa
Profile Joined July 2011
Finland210 Posts
November 07 2011 07:15 GMT
#348
where are these stats from? and what level? alot of people go ahead and decide that terran is imba just based off this... at different levels different races do better/worse than others... just the way it goes
Sayer
Profile Joined August 2009
United States403 Posts
November 07 2011 07:17 GMT
#349
damn poor protoss. I will tear in joy one day Terran is below 50% lol
SniXSniPe
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States1938 Posts
November 07 2011 07:25 GMT
#350
On November 07 2011 16:17 Sayer wrote:
damn poor protoss. I will tear in joy one day Terran is below 50% lol


T was slightly under 50% in TvP last month for September.

It's Z that is ruining PvX currently.
LoneWolf.Alpha-
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
123 Posts
November 07 2011 07:34 GMT
#351
On November 07 2011 13:43 MyLastSerenade wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2011 10:57 Lewan72 wrote:
Guys its cuz terran players are just better.


one of the few true posts here.... didnt david kim said in an interview that the problem isnt really the balance, it is that so many really skilled players play terran, and not p or z?


wow... if he really said this, then that makes me rage...
Trsjnica
Profile Joined April 2011
United States477 Posts
November 07 2011 07:35 GMT
#352
Pretty insane that ZvT has *always* been Terran-favored, every single month since the game's release.
Treva
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States533 Posts
November 07 2011 07:39 GMT
#353
lol PvT was toss favored last month and now it's Terran favored this month without a major patch hit since September..it's like meta game shifts actually happen!!!
Live it up.
ElusoryX
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Singapore2047 Posts
November 07 2011 07:41 GMT
#354
i actually thought that protoss is improving o.o turns out the opposite.
xd
kofman
Profile Joined August 2011
Andorra698 Posts
November 07 2011 07:41 GMT
#355
On November 07 2011 16:35 Trsjnica wrote:
Pretty insane that ZvT has *always* been Terran-favored, every single month since the game's release.

Yea its crazy, especially since terran has been nerfed the most out of all the races. The idea that terran players are just better might have some truth to it.
SniXSniPe
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States1938 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-11-07 07:42:39
November 07 2011 07:42 GMT
#356
On November 07 2011 16:34 LoneWolf.Alpha- wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2011 13:43 MyLastSerenade wrote:
On November 07 2011 10:57 Lewan72 wrote:
Guys its cuz terran players are just better.


one of the few true posts here.... didnt david kim said in an interview that the problem isnt really the balance, it is that so many really skilled players play terran, and not p or z?


wow... if he really said this, then that makes me rage...


Name the BW pros that switched over as P.
Name the ones that are playing Z.
Name the ones that are playing T.

You'll see a much larger difference in numbers, as well as which race has the most successful players to switch over (in BW).

So it's kind of true in a way.
LimeNade
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States2125 Posts
November 07 2011 07:42 GMT
#357
On November 07 2011 16:41 kofman wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2011 16:35 Trsjnica wrote:
Pretty insane that ZvT has *always* been Terran-favored, every single month since the game's release.

Yea its crazy, especially since terran has been nerfed the most out of all the races. The idea that terran players are just better might have some truth to it.


or these units called marines that when split correctly can kill anything in the game when fully upgraded O_O could be that too...... :D
JD, need I say more? :D
tomatriedes
Profile Blog Joined January 2007
New Zealand5356 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-11-07 07:53:12
November 07 2011 07:50 GMT
#358
On November 07 2011 15:58 VPVash wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2011 04:27 Piledriver wrote:
On November 07 2011 04:22 Nemireck wrote:
I don't understand why Protoss is so low. I lose to toss all the time



Because toss is good/balanced at lower levels (even imba at bronze/silver/gold where people don't have enough multitasking or timing skills to punish tosses). At tournament level though, people clearly know the toss weaknesses and also have the required skill to execute the appropriate counters consistently.

But that excuse is incorrect....it doesn't even make sense. Toss do well in "EVERY" tournament other then GSL Code S


I'm sorry but that's just complete nonsense. The OP uses data from every major tournament worldwide, so it obviously isn't true that toss do well in EVERY other tournament than code S. A few more recent examples- no protoss made it to the quarterfinals of WCG Korea (it was 6 terrans and 2 zergs) and only one toss made it to the quarterfinals of the latest AOL.
karlkarlson
Profile Joined April 2010
26 Posts
November 07 2011 07:50 GMT
#359
On November 07 2011 16:41 kofman wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2011 16:35 Trsjnica wrote:
Pretty insane that ZvT has *always* been Terran-favored, every single month since the game's release.

Yea its crazy, especially since terran has been nerfed the most out of all the races. The idea that terran players are just better might have some truth to it.


this is straight up nonsense. the people with the best sense of game balance AND the most accurate statistics, (blizzard) CONTINUE to feel terran is overpowered. one day they'll fire David Kim ( who plays T ) and hire an unbiased lead balance architect...

karlkarlson
Profile Joined April 2010
26 Posts
November 07 2011 07:51 GMT
#360
On November 07 2011 16:50 tomatriedes wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2011 15:58 VPVash wrote:
On November 07 2011 04:27 Piledriver wrote:
On November 07 2011 04:22 Nemireck wrote:
I don't understand why Protoss is so low. I lose to toss all the time



Because toss is good/balanced at lower levels (even imba at bronze/silver/gold where people don't have enough multitasking or timing skills to punish tosses). At tournament level though, people clearly know the toss weaknesses and also have the required skill to execute the appropriate counters consistently.

But that excuse is incorrect....it doesn't even make sense. Toss do well in "EVERY" tournament other then GSL Code S


I'm sorry but that's just complete nonsense. The OP uses data from every major tournament worldwide, so it obviously isn't true that toss do well in EVERY other tournament than code S. A few more examples- no protoss made it to the quarterfinals of WCG Korea (it was 6 terrans and 2 zergs) and only one toss made it to the quarterfinals of the latest AOL.


you're completely correct, and it's worth pointing out that in WCG, those 2 zergs lost 0-2 to Terrans. The game isn't balanced yet, people. this should come as a surprise to NO ONE.
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