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[Code A] Day 7 Season 2 2015 - Page 32

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
Post a Reply
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As of page 39, matchfixing discussion is banned from this thread. Please keep that discussion in the relevant thread:

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/483048-pinnacle-voids-soulkey-vs-creator-bets
maGicc
Profile Joined March 2015
Finland134 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-15 12:27:57
April 15 2015 12:27 GMT
#621
What a good day to matchfix. Espessialy after MKP showing up in the booth yesterday like nothing ever happened and Wolf saying "there was no evidence, lets just ALL FORGET ABOUT IT"

The whole scene is a joke. Matchfixing is almost happening WEEKLY at this point and no one cares, no one does anything.


Enjoy watching the scripted matches.
RaFox17
Profile Joined May 2013
Finland4581 Posts
April 15 2015 12:27 GMT
#622
On April 15 2015 21:26 Swoopae wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2015 21:23 KristofferAG wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:22 Swoopae wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:20 KristofferAG wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:19 OtherWorld wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:18 KristofferAG wrote:
What exactly about that match screams match fixing?

The beauty of match-fixing is that except when very nervous players are involved, it does NOT scream match-fixing. It's easy to lose by making small mistakes.

It just feels like people here are totally okay with just accepting that SK is matchfixing, and it's weird. Fair enough that subtle mistakes can lead to a loss without anyone being able to say it was intentional, but I don't get why he's instantly a matchfixer now.


If he was bet into being an 8-1 underdog in map 1 while being a 3-1 favourite in the bo5 series as a whole... does that set off any alarm bells?

Some, but not enough for me to instantly jump on a fucking hate train on SK's ass.


Sure. So call for an investigation along with the rest of us.

Basically to put this in say tennis terms, this is like Nadal being a 3-1 favouite over Hewitt to win the match but Hewitt is a favourite to win the first set. It makes no sense.

SC2 has maps that have a huge effect on a single game, so it´s really not the same.
KrazyTrumpet
Profile Joined April 2010
United States2520 Posts
April 15 2015 12:27 GMT
#623
Stop throwing around accusations like "Soulkey is matchfixing!:" without actual fucking proof.

No, saying "But the betting patterns were TOTALLY suspicious!" is NOT sufficient proof to outright accuse a player of matchfixing.
www.twitch.tv/krazy Best Stream Quality NA @KClarkSC2
fruity.
Profile Joined April 2012
England1711 Posts
April 15 2015 12:27 GMT
#624
On April 15 2015 21:24 KristofferAG wrote:
This tells me nothing.
I have never bet on anything ever.
Except liquibets.


I never got the whole betting thing either. It seems a pretty insidious drug to those who get addicted.


Ex Zerg learning Terran. A bold move.
Paljas
Profile Joined October 2011
Germany6926 Posts
April 15 2015 12:28 GMT
#625
On April 15 2015 21:26 KristofferAG wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2015 21:24 DBooN wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:23 KristofferAG wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:22 Swoopae wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:20 KristofferAG wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:19 OtherWorld wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:18 KristofferAG wrote:
What exactly about that match screams match fixing?

The beauty of match-fixing is that except when very nervous players are involved, it does NOT scream match-fixing. It's easy to lose by making small mistakes.

It just feels like people here are totally okay with just accepting that SK is matchfixing, and it's weird. Fair enough that subtle mistakes can lead to a loss without anyone being able to say it was intentional, but I don't get why he's instantly a matchfixer now.


If he was bet into being an 8-1 underdog in map 1 while being a 3-1 favourite in the bo5 series as a whole... does that set off any alarm bells?

Some, but not enough for me to instantly jump on a fucking hate train on SK's ass.

The likelyness of something like that happening by chance is probably less than 1%

So?

I'm not gonna damn anyone till there's an official statement following an investigation. It's not my place to decide whether or not the match really was fixed, and who were involved. It's shady as shit, sure, but what if SK wasn't involved?

the problem is that offical statements are not happening.
match fixing in korea is well known to insiders
TL+ Member
DJHelium
Profile Joined December 2010
Sweden13480 Posts
April 15 2015 12:28 GMT
#626
On April 15 2015 21:24 KristofferAG wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2015 21:23 DJHelium wrote:

This tells me nothing.

I have never bet on anything ever.

Except liquibets.


Lets say it like this. Is there any player you think have a huge advantage on a specific map but a big disadvantage in a series (that includes that map)?

It doesn't exist. The only explanation is that somebody bet A LOT of money on Soulkey losing map one.

So why would someone do that? Even if they knew Creator had a super build for the map, it's not that strange to see Soulkey holding it off. After all, he is the favourite.

No, the only sensible reason someone would do it is if they KNEW Soulkey would lose that map.

Only one way to know that
#1 player in the world atm: J-god | Follow me on twitter! @DJHelium
KrazyTrumpet
Profile Joined April 2010
United States2520 Posts
April 15 2015 12:29 GMT
#627
On April 15 2015 21:28 Paljas wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2015 21:26 KristofferAG wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:24 DBooN wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:23 KristofferAG wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:22 Swoopae wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:20 KristofferAG wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:19 OtherWorld wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:18 KristofferAG wrote:
What exactly about that match screams match fixing?

The beauty of match-fixing is that except when very nervous players are involved, it does NOT scream match-fixing. It's easy to lose by making small mistakes.

It just feels like people here are totally okay with just accepting that SK is matchfixing, and it's weird. Fair enough that subtle mistakes can lead to a loss without anyone being able to say it was intentional, but I don't get why he's instantly a matchfixer now.


If he was bet into being an 8-1 underdog in map 1 while being a 3-1 favourite in the bo5 series as a whole... does that set off any alarm bells?

Some, but not enough for me to instantly jump on a fucking hate train on SK's ass.

The likelyness of something like that happening by chance is probably less than 1%

So?

I'm not gonna damn anyone till there's an official statement following an investigation. It's not my place to decide whether or not the match really was fixed, and who were involved. It's shady as shit, sure, but what if SK wasn't involved?

the problem is that offical statements are not happening.
match fixing in korea is well known to insiders

To who? Give me sources, show me the proof.

Repeating stuff you heard on Twitter or saw in a thread somewhere is *NOT* proof.
www.twitch.tv/krazy Best Stream Quality NA @KClarkSC2
Swoopae
Profile Joined January 2015
Australia339 Posts
April 15 2015 12:29 GMT
#628
On April 15 2015 21:24 KristofferAG wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2015 21:23 DJHelium wrote:
https://twitter.com/PinnacleSports/status/588315675661217794

This tells me nothing.

I have never bet on anything ever.

Except liquibets.


The odds suggest

If they played 100 bo5 series, Creator would win approx 31 series and Soulkey would win 69 series

If they played 100 bo1 maps, Creator would win 74 maps and Soulkey would win 26 maps

Does that make any sense that bettors would think that is logical?

How can you be a favourite to win the most series if you aren't a favourite to win the most maps?
DBooN
Profile Joined May 2011
Germany2727 Posts
April 15 2015 12:29 GMT
#629
On April 15 2015 21:27 KrazyTrumpet wrote:
Stop throwing around accusations like "Soulkey is matchfixing!:" without actual fucking proof.

No, saying "But the betting patterns were TOTALLY suspicious!" is NOT sufficient proof to outright accuse a player of matchfixing.

there is no proof that has a much higher chance than 99%
deacon.frost
Profile Joined February 2013
Czech Republic12133 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-15 12:31:40
April 15 2015 12:29 GMT
#630
On April 15 2015 21:27 maGicc wrote:
What a good day to matchfix. Espessialy after MKP showing up in the booth yesterday like nothing ever happened and Wolf saying "there was no evidence, lets just ALL FORGET ABOUT IT"

The whole scene is a joke. Matchfixing is almost happening WEEKLY at this point and no one cares, no one does anything.


Enjoy watching the scripted matches.

Well people are watching wrestling(and I don't mean the Greek-Roman wrestling), right?

Edit> Not sure how is the "proper" wrestling named in English, since you named "ananas" the Pineapple
I imagine France should be able to take this unless Lilbow is busy practicing for Starcraft III. | KadaverBB is my fairy ban mother.
Heartland
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
Sweden24604 Posts
April 15 2015 12:29 GMT
#631
Did I walk into another pinnacle bet void?
maGicc
Profile Joined March 2015
Finland134 Posts
April 15 2015 12:29 GMT
#632
On April 15 2015 21:27 RaFox17 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2015 21:26 Swoopae wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:23 KristofferAG wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:22 Swoopae wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:20 KristofferAG wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:19 OtherWorld wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:18 KristofferAG wrote:
What exactly about that match screams match fixing?

The beauty of match-fixing is that except when very nervous players are involved, it does NOT scream match-fixing. It's easy to lose by making small mistakes.

It just feels like people here are totally okay with just accepting that SK is matchfixing, and it's weird. Fair enough that subtle mistakes can lead to a loss without anyone being able to say it was intentional, but I don't get why he's instantly a matchfixer now.


If he was bet into being an 8-1 underdog in map 1 while being a 3-1 favourite in the bo5 series as a whole... does that set off any alarm bells?

Some, but not enough for me to instantly jump on a fucking hate train on SK's ass.


Sure. So call for an investigation along with the rest of us.

Basically to put this in say tennis terms, this is like Nadal being a 3-1 favouite over Hewitt to win the match but Hewitt is a favourite to win the first set. It makes no sense.

SC2 has maps that have a huge effect on a single game, so it´s really not the same.


Maps have 5% effect on the game at best, we are talking about a solid favorite turning into 30% (or worse) underdog. If you dont have a clue about the betting you shouldnt post foolish comments.
KristofferAG
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Norway25712 Posts
April 15 2015 12:30 GMT
#633
On April 15 2015 21:28 DJHelium wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2015 21:24 KristofferAG wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:23 DJHelium wrote:
https://twitter.com/PinnacleSports/status/588315675661217794

This tells me nothing.

I have never bet on anything ever.

Except liquibets.


Lets say it like this. Is there any player you think have a huge advantage on a specific map but a big disadvantage in a series (that includes that map)?

It doesn't exist. The only explanation is that somebody bet A LOT of money on Soulkey losing map one.

So why would someone do that? Even if they knew Creator had a super build for the map, it's not that strange to see Soulkey holding it off. After all, he is the favourite.

No, the only sensible reason someone would do it is if they KNEW Soulkey would lose that map.

Only one way to know that

Oh, no, I just didn't get the numbers. I get what they mean sorta, people have said that a couple of times in the thread, I just don't get what the numbers are. Or what a line is.
@KristofferAG | http://vestkyststoy.bandcamp.com | last.fm/user/KristofferAG
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
April 15 2015 12:30 GMT
#634
On April 15 2015 21:29 Heartland wrote:
Did I walk into another pinnacle bet void?

Yup
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
fruity.
Profile Joined April 2012
England1711 Posts
April 15 2015 12:30 GMT
#635
On April 15 2015 21:29 Heartland wrote:
Did I walk into another pinnacle bet void?


yes, game 1 sk / creator
Ex Zerg learning Terran. A bold move.
Paljas
Profile Joined October 2011
Germany6926 Posts
April 15 2015 12:30 GMT
#636
On April 15 2015 21:29 KrazyTrumpet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2015 21:28 Paljas wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:26 KristofferAG wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:24 DBooN wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:23 KristofferAG wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:22 Swoopae wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:20 KristofferAG wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:19 OtherWorld wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:18 KristofferAG wrote:
What exactly about that match screams match fixing?

The beauty of match-fixing is that except when very nervous players are involved, it does NOT scream match-fixing. It's easy to lose by making small mistakes.

It just feels like people here are totally okay with just accepting that SK is matchfixing, and it's weird. Fair enough that subtle mistakes can lead to a loss without anyone being able to say it was intentional, but I don't get why he's instantly a matchfixer now.


If he was bet into being an 8-1 underdog in map 1 while being a 3-1 favourite in the bo5 series as a whole... does that set off any alarm bells?

Some, but not enough for me to instantly jump on a fucking hate train on SK's ass.

The likelyness of something like that happening by chance is probably less than 1%

So?

I'm not gonna damn anyone till there's an official statement following an investigation. It's not my place to decide whether or not the match really was fixed, and who were involved. It's shady as shit, sure, but what if SK wasn't involved?

the problem is that offical statements are not happening.
match fixing in korea is well known to insiders

To who? Give me sources, show me the proof.

Repeating stuff you heard on Twitter or saw in a thread somewhere is *NOT* proof.

to guys like rekrul or inuh
there is no 100% proof because investigations are not happening
TL+ Member
RaFox17
Profile Joined May 2013
Finland4581 Posts
April 15 2015 12:30 GMT
#637
On April 15 2015 21:29 maGicc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2015 21:27 RaFox17 wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:26 Swoopae wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:23 KristofferAG wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:22 Swoopae wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:20 KristofferAG wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:19 OtherWorld wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:18 KristofferAG wrote:
What exactly about that match screams match fixing?

The beauty of match-fixing is that except when very nervous players are involved, it does NOT scream match-fixing. It's easy to lose by making small mistakes.

It just feels like people here are totally okay with just accepting that SK is matchfixing, and it's weird. Fair enough that subtle mistakes can lead to a loss without anyone being able to say it was intentional, but I don't get why he's instantly a matchfixer now.


If he was bet into being an 8-1 underdog in map 1 while being a 3-1 favourite in the bo5 series as a whole... does that set off any alarm bells?

Some, but not enough for me to instantly jump on a fucking hate train on SK's ass.


Sure. So call for an investigation along with the rest of us.

Basically to put this in say tennis terms, this is like Nadal being a 3-1 favouite over Hewitt to win the match but Hewitt is a favourite to win the first set. It makes no sense.

SC2 has maps that have a huge effect on a single game, so it´s really not the same.


Maps have 5% effect on the game at best, we are talking about a solid favorite turning into 30% (or worse) underdog. If you dont have a clue about the betting you shouldnt post foolish comments.

Can you show me your source on the 5% effect?
Penev
Profile Joined October 2012
28536 Posts
April 15 2015 12:30 GMT
#638
On April 15 2015 21:29 Heartland wrote:
Did I walk into another pinnacle bet void?

Yep
I Protoss winner, could it be?
Heartland
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
Sweden24604 Posts
April 15 2015 12:31 GMT
#639
On April 15 2015 21:30 fruity. wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2015 21:29 Heartland wrote:
Did I walk into another pinnacle bet void?


yes, game 1 sk / creator


Did something weird happen as well?
DJHelium
Profile Joined December 2010
Sweden13480 Posts
April 15 2015 12:31 GMT
#640
On April 15 2015 21:30 KristofferAG wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2015 21:28 DJHelium wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:24 KristofferAG wrote:
On April 15 2015 21:23 DJHelium wrote:
https://twitter.com/PinnacleSports/status/588315675661217794

This tells me nothing.

I have never bet on anything ever.

Except liquibets.


Lets say it like this. Is there any player you think have a huge advantage on a specific map but a big disadvantage in a series (that includes that map)?

It doesn't exist. The only explanation is that somebody bet A LOT of money on Soulkey losing map one.

So why would someone do that? Even if they knew Creator had a super build for the map, it's not that strange to see Soulkey holding it off. After all, he is the favourite.

No, the only sensible reason someone would do it is if they KNEW Soulkey would lose that map.

Only one way to know that

Oh, no, I just didn't get the numbers. I get what they mean sorta, people have said that a couple of times in the thread, I just don't get what the numbers are. Or what a line is.



Ah ok! Say Creator is a 3 to 1 favourite. If you bet 100 dollars on Soulkey, you get 300 dollars back if he wins. If you bet 100 dollars on Creator, you get 100/3=~33 dollars back if he wins.
#1 player in the world atm: J-god | Follow me on twitter! @DJHelium
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