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Newbie Mini Mafia XXII - Page 41

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DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10854 Posts
August 03 2012 03:18 GMT
#801
EBWOP: I strongly encourage everyone to read through GK's filter and notice that mord being a massive focus of debate consistently, he does not mention him when not defending him from day one(impossible to have a cop check) onwards.
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
ObviousOne
Profile Joined April 2012
United States3704 Posts
August 03 2012 03:38 GMT
#802
First we start with an interesting question from Zorkmid:
On July 27 2012 06:43 Zorkmid wrote:
I'm not saying that the "best town play" isn't to lynch scum, I'm just saying that in the absence of that inactivity and liars are the next logical targets.

Warning: Nub question::::We HAVE to lynch someone each day, right?
Okay, so right off the bat here we have a question that puts the conversation in an awkward area. Why would we ever want to discuss a no-lynch on the first day? It's the kind of question that leaves us talking about crazy circumstances and not about who is scummy and who is not. Distraction from scum hunting

The results of this clarification are even less thrilling:
On July 27 2012 06:48 Zorkmid wrote:
I'll have to think about that for a little while, hopefully while I'm gone we'll hear more from the others!
So he's distracting the town with no-lynch talk and then dismissing himself from the conversation to keep the spotlight off. When he finally comes back, we find out how truly newbie he's going to act:
On July 27 2012 08:15 Zorkmid wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 27 2012 08:12 Shady Sands wrote:
From a logic standpoint, it makes sense to always have a lynch target each day, because voting patterns, voting times, and the order in which players vote are some of the most important clues that the town can use.

For example, if the target turns out to be green or blue, then we can backtrack and start seeing who started the bandwagoning and go from there. If the target turns out to be red, we can see who did the last minute voting or tried to swing the balance away from them, and add those to the list.

But if we simply go for a no-lynch, there's no pressure on the scum to actually put their money where their mouth is, so to speak.


This makes perfect sense to me, so how we determine who to target initially?
This is truly a gem: a totally hands off way to let others start the scum hunting without getting his hands dirty at all.

+ Show Spoiler [in which Zorkmid parrots Shady Sands] +
On July 27 2012 22:11 Zorkmid wrote:
Another of these people is Golbat:
So far, Golbat has, in this order:

voted Mordanis
unvoted Mordanis
FoS Mordanis


His unvote seems to coincide with Mordanis's making a case on him. He claims he backed off the vote because:
Show nested quote +
On July 27 2012 18:51 Golbat wrote:
The reason I backed off of Mord is because I felt like I may have been pushing too strongly against him based on his first bad read. I didn't want to appear to be scum myself, so I backed off for the moment. I still have a sneaking suspicion about him that he may be mafia, but I didn't want to lynch myself by pushing too hard on a bad read.

I feel like i've been talking in circles around mord, "He's scum, no he's town, no he might be scum, no he's probably town", so I feel like I need to take a definite stance on the matter, and that is #FoS Mordanis

+ Show Spoiler +
This reminds me of that futurama ambassador from the neutral planet. "All I know is that my guy says maybe."

I'm not sure what this could mean, but I think that it's worth pointing out. It's one of the stranger seeming posts I've read in this game.

Is the deadline today at 17:00 EDT?

I am suspicious of both of these players right now, but there's lots of daylight left.



Earlier in that post he just writes what happened with Mordanis and Keirathi regarding the RB conversation, telling us that his take on Mordanis' back and forth with Keir regarding a RB came away with Mordanis seeming town:
On July 27 2012 22:11 Zorkmid wrote:
I see this as a GIANT leap of reasoning, and I still see Mordanis's case as an attempt (albeit a clumbsy one) to get the ball rolling in XXII.
I don't know if a Zorkmid flip tells us anything about Mordanis but keep this in mind if you're ever thinking about it.




These three posts happen, look at the timestamps, and more specifically the content of the posts, to see the irony:
On July 28 2012 01:14 Zorkmid wrote:
Activity seems woefully slow. I guess that most of you are on different clocks that I am.

On July 29 2012 01:58 Zorkmid wrote:
I'm at wonderland for b'day will be more active tomorrow.

##vote: golbat

On July 30 2012 04:57 Zorkmid wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 29 2012 08:09 Shady Sands wrote:
Another thing to note:

Zorkmid and Obvious both ended up shifting to Golbat with minimal analysis at all. I'd say Zork looks the quietest between the two, but Obvious also strikes me as a little odd too, since he popped into the thread 10 minutes after Golbat's lynch without commenting once in the prior six hours, even though he was trying to get me lynched and people were busy bandwagoning Golbat. Normally, I'd expect someone who was trying to aim for a lynch on someone to at least argue their case before the lynch when the town was heading in the opposite direction.

I have a few hunches on where we should go next, but I'd like everyone to read through the above posts first.


I've been Partying for the last two days, just had a birthday.

I did post ample reasoning for my vote against Golbat, it's here. I made my vote post from a Blue Jays game, (we won 8-3 yea!) but basically nothing of note happened in the thread since that analysis post, so I felt his strange play best merited my vote. (How fucking wrong was I? And 6 others as well. Not a good start).

I'll make another analysis post in a little while.

How long until night?
We have the perfect excuse (it was indeed his birthday, his icon proved it) and on top of it we have a complaint for lack of activity followed by... lack of activity! I see no pro-town actions here.




This one gets sectioned out by itself for all the magic it contains:
+ Show Spoiler [in which we find anger] +

On July 30 2012 09:14 Zorkmid wrote:
Since we've been told that:
Show nested quote +
On July 30 2012 06:04 marvellosity wrote:
Day post is flavour only, there are no clues to night events within it


All that we really know is that we have a roleblocker(medic or otherwise), and that that roleblocker saved a kill. (I don't buy the idea that mafia didn't use a KP, especially not in a newbie game).

From this I can infer that the same person viewed as most dangerous by mafia, was viewed as the most valuable townie by the roleblocker.

I'm too tired to do any analysis. And frankly from the tone about my posting, I don't have much desire to.

I'll answer some questions:
Show nested quote +
On July 29 2012 13:19 Obvious.660 wrote:
Zorkmid's vote comes off to me as a bandwagon vote. Evidence against Golbat was that Golbat finally settled on a decision for his best scum read?
On July 27 2012 22:11 Zorkmid wrote:
Another of these people is Golbat:
So far, Golbat has, in this order:

voted Mordanis
unvoted Mordanis
FoS Mordanis


His unvote seems to coincide with Mordanis's making a case on him. He claims he backed off the vote because:
On July 27 2012 18:51 Golbat wrote:
The reason I backed off of Mord is because I felt like I may have been pushing too strongly against him based on his first bad read. I didn't want to appear to be scum myself, so I backed off for the moment. I still have a sneaking suspicion about him that he may be mafia, but I didn't want to lynch myself by pushing too hard on a bad read.

I feel like i've been talking in circles around mord, "He's scum, no he's town, no he might be scum, no he's probably town", so I feel like I need to take a definite stance on the matter, and that is #FoS Mordanis

I'm not sure what this could mean, but I think that it's worth pointing out. It's one of the stranger seeming posts I've read in this game.
Pretty arbitrary reason to vote for someone. Can you explain what you mean by town vibe in that post? (http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=15625737) I could understand not having a definite scum read from it, but implying the opposite it a bit premature.


It does seem to be a fairly arbitrary reason to vote for Golbat, I agree. I'll be honest that at the time of my vote, I hadn't been following the game very closely, and Golbat was just the player I thought most likely to be scum as of the time of (http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=15625737).

When I said "town vibe" (refering to Mordanis' case) I just believed he was just trying to get a conversation going, and the reasons he gave for it being a weak case rang true to me.


Just saw this question as I was working on my post:
Show nested quote +
On July 30 2012 08:44 Keirathi wrote:

I'm pretty saddened by your lack of participation so far. You've shown the ability to make constructive posts. Therefor, I question your vote onto Golbat without much in the way of explanation. Was it just to avoid a no-lynch, or did you actually think he was scum?

Also, this quote bothers me:
Zorkmid wrote
The reason that my opinion from "lynch all liars and lynch all inactives" to not feeling as strongly about it is just because I was not aware that a non-lynch was possible.

I am curious as to why the possibility of no-lynching makes you feel less certain about lynching liars and lurkers. Not stating a solid stance just because of the possibility of a no-lynch doesn't make much sense to me.

Because why risk killing a townie without a good reason. If we lynch MrMedic (as an example of a lurker) and he flips green, what was the point?

About Golbat, my reasons for voting for him are re-iterated in this post. I feel a little funny defending my vote to lynch a guy to someone who voted the same guy.

Why'd YOU vote for him? Oh right, he played scummy as fuck.

Rantddendum:
Show nested quote +
On July 30 2012 07:58 goodkarma wrote:
Okay. I'm putting together my notes and writing my long-promised suspect list.

Wouldn't usually waste a post stating this, but one-line fluff posts seem to be all the rage.. -_- (MrMedic and Zorkmid...)

Tbh it shouldn't really matter exactly how no one died last night. Now that Golbat has flipped, and day two has begun, let's not waste any time getting our cases put together.


Not so much a fluff post, but I'm sick of being called out for inactivity on a fridaynight/saturday. I was busy, handle it.

Show nested quote +
On July 29 2012 14:39 Shady Sands wrote:
On July 29 2012 13:19 Obvious.660 wrote:
In regards to my activity, should be able to pick it up by Monday if I haven't been decimated. Going for quality over quantity til the wedding stuff (not my wedding) is finished. (double spacing to keep things grouped)


Weird, why didn't he mention he had a wedding to attend in any of his earlier posts in the thread? This seems like a pretty strange after-the-fact excuse for any strange patterns of activity.


Same goes for this shit, stop it. You too Keir. I've heard it from several people already.

I'm busy, SHUT THE (expunged) UP.


On July 30 2012 09:14 Zorkmid wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 29 2012 13:19 Obvious.660 wrote:
Zorkmid's vote comes off to me as a bandwagon vote. Evidence against Golbat was that Golbat finally settled on a decision for his best scum read?
On July 27 2012 22:11 Zorkmid wrote:
Another of these people is Golbat:
So far, Golbat has, in this order:

voted Mordanis
unvoted Mordanis
FoS Mordanis


His unvote seems to coincide with Mordanis's making a case on him. He claims he backed off the vote because:
On July 27 2012 18:51 Golbat wrote:
The reason I backed off of Mord is because I felt like I may have been pushing too strongly against him based on his first bad read. I didn't want to appear to be scum myself, so I backed off for the moment. I still have a sneaking suspicion about him that he may be mafia, but I didn't want to lynch myself by pushing too hard on a bad read.

I feel like i've been talking in circles around mord, "He's scum, no he's town, no he might be scum, no he's probably town", so I feel like I need to take a definite stance on the matter, and that is #FoS Mordanis

I'm not sure what this could mean, but I think that it's worth pointing out. It's one of the stranger seeming posts I've read in this game.
Pretty arbitrary reason to vote for someone. Can you explain what you mean by town vibe in that post? (http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=15625737) I could understand not having a definite scum read from it, but implying the opposite it a bit premature.


It does seem to be a fairly arbitrary reason to vote for Golbat, I agree. I'll be honest that at the time of my vote, I hadn't been following the game very closely, and Golbat was just the player I thought most likely to be scum as of the time of (http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=15625737).

When I said "town vibe" (refering to Mordanis' case) I just believed he was just trying to get a conversation going, and the reasons he gave for it being a weak case rang true to me.
Are we setting up Mordanis as town here in case of the eventual fall? What does Zorkmid know about Mordanis that we don't? Or am I just going to far with these questions and Zorkmid is once again stating the obvious about Mordanis, as any town member is capable of? I'm inclined to believe this statement isn't indicative of alignment, but I want to emphasize it because once again we have Zorkmid coming to the defense of Mordanis.



On July 30 2012 23:50 Zorkmid wrote:
After reading the last 50 or 60 posts in this thread, one of the things that jumped out at me was this:
Show nested quote +
On July 30 2012 11:21 Keirathi wrote:
On July 30 2012 10:44 Promethelax wrote:
I wanted to know why it was those two mosre than the other three. That is why you feel that your cases against them are better than the ones against Me, Mord and Zork.

goodkarma - I just can't imagine a townie reasoning for his disrupting discussions and bringing us back to talking about lurkers repeatedly. Add in to that the case that you made, and for now I feel the strongest about him.


Let's have a look at GK!

Goodkarma says that he was hesistant to "join the Mordanis lynch bandwagon" early on in the game, a statement in keeping with his lurker policy. At this point he voted for aRyuujin, while averring his suspicions of MrMedic and Promethelax for the same reasons.

He then changed his vote from aRyuujin to Golbat, at that time it was the 5th vote on Golbat. GK explains why he didn't vote for shady " he has provided some meaningful discussion for the town, and hasn't jumped on every bandwaggon he sees...".

I'm curious as to why after dropping his vote on aRyujin, he leapt to Golbat next, and not those he was originally suspicious of: Myself, Obvious and MrMedic. I know I voted for the same guy, but I'm just a bit surprised at your choice to vote for Golbat given your "call to action".

GK, would you have been likely to change your vote a second time, had Golbat done a better job of defending himself?

Zorkmid seems perfectly happy to get eyes on the semi-active (at the time) goodkarma, who indeed was talking of lurkers instead of active players and in general not showing his hand. He later remedies this and has since opened up quite a bit more and currently has a FOS/case on.. Zorkmid!




In general, Zorkmid seems to have a pretty good handle on the ROLES of the game but not on the RULES. Why would Zorkmid know/share this information if he's been establishing himself as a complete newbie the whole game?
On August 01 2012 04:37 Zorkmid wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2012 04:33 Ange777 wrote:
On August 01 2012 04:28 Keirathi wrote:
Also, I just want to add that I am curious about Prom's pseudo-claim. We know we have another blue role (Medic or Roleblocker) or that mafia held their KP to fake claim medic (which despite aRyuujin and Zorkmid's pessimism, I DO feel like is a possibility in a newbie game).


In my first game ever I rolled scum and I would have never thought of that possibility. What would they gain by faking a medic?


Later on the game they could say:

"I am a medic

On day 1, I saved player X."

Might be done to save a mafioso under pressure, or to try and draw out any blues.





Finally Zorkmid decides his stance on a no-lynch: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=15691175
On August 02 2012 11:21 Zorkmid wrote:
About Golbat, I did find his play scummy, especially his on again-off again Mordanis suspicions. I didn't vote for him to avoid a no-lynch, I actually have no problem whatsoever with a no-lynch that early in the game. I believe that now we're getting to the point in the game where a no-lynch hurts more than it did earlier in the game, Scum is getting closer to a win. Barring a lucky save, we're going to lose 2 more townies in the next two nights.

That said, another mis-lynch is even worse.

About why the possibility of no-lynching appealed to me early game, was that it would give us more time to make a better informed lynch, reducing the chance of a mis-lynch of a town lurker on day 2. We all what happened there. However, at this critical juncture in the game, I think it more likely that a lurker would flip red than a lurker earlier in the game.
Scum know it's dangerous to lurk after the first day. We even had a bunch of conversation talking about policy lynching lurkers to get everyone to participate. This implies that Zorkmid is OKAY with having lurkers around: he was willing to go for a no-lynch until he had more information by way a process in which lurkers flourish.




The scumslip that Ange777 picked up:
On August 03 2012 00:17 Zorkmid wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2012 00:00 DarthPunk wrote:
@ ange777.

The zork scumslip combined with his lurky posting habits are certainly cause for suspicion. I don't like his explanation for the statement. He is saying that he looks at certain posts through different roles but does not actually explain the slip at all. What was he trying to say there? It was WIFOM pure and simple. He has not answered the case on him adequately and he has not provided much in the way of cases.


What are you talking about?

I honestly can't see how one person, let alone two people would see this as a slip.

Let me walk you through what I assumed to be pretty straight forward logic.

I believe that no smart green or blue would have made the post that Prom did....but he did, hence I thought that he may be red. I'm speculating on the meaning of Prom's actions based on what I would do, nothing more, nothing less.

I think that most people followed this logic just fine, as it contributed to Prom's mis-lynch.

Show nested quote +
On August 03 2012 00:00 DarthPunk wrote:The problem with both Zorkmid and aRyuujin is that there is so little to actually make a read from.


I don't post as often as many players, but at least what I do post has some thought behind it.
Regarding the red/blue portion, it really was too emphasized. I'd give BOTD if there wasn't a whole pile of evidence against Zorkmid, but this post exists so it's on the pile now. We've already established he's been playing newbie from the early game, so how does he know what a blue/green would or wouldn't say? Especially if that thing was said to draw a reaction, which for much of this game has been a necessary tactic to use.

Zorkmid's dismissal:
On August 03 2012 01:38 Zorkmid wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2012 01:08 Ange777 wrote:
On August 03 2012 01:02 Zorkmid wrote:
On August 03 2012 00:59 Ange777 wrote:
@Zorkmid

On July 31 2012 22:46 Zorkmid wrote:
I also think that your "relief post" is strange. It's sort of WIFOM, but I don't think that as a green or blue I would ever post something like that. It's just yelling out "I'm A TOWNIE huehuehue". I wouldn't post it because it reeks of redness


Zork says he doesn't think that as a green or blue he would ever post that. Why does he need to say "as a green or blue"? This already proves that he does not think of himself as green or blue! Because when he sees the "relief post", he sees it from scum's perspective thinking it would be such a scummy statement for himself to say due to confirmation bias.


I'm going to let someone else explain to you why this is stupid. Volunteers?


Giving up? Not even trying to defend your blatant lie anymore?


By what logic does my saying "as a green or blue" prove that I'm red?

If someone said, "if I were a cop, I'd check player X" would that prove they're not cops?

Why are you tunnelling me with NOTHING?
Take it for what you will.




And finally, in lieu of making a case of his own, Zorkmid has elected to go with the confirmed-town's suspicions and place his vote on GoodKarma through a summary of their thoughts and a vote from himself.
+ Show Spoiler [spoiler all the things] +

On August 03 2012 02:39 Zorkmid wrote:
@Goodkarma

I'm looking at your post about voting records. On day 2, both Keirathi and Prom voted for you. I want to examine their cases on you, since they were made by 2 confirmed townies, as well as Shady's.

From Prom:
+ Show Spoiler +
I know it is obscenely long don't worry. It is easy to simplify. There are three points.
1 the use of 'a' instead of 'my'
2 I told him not to do something that is actually against the rules
3 my overuse of the word town
and
4 OMGUSOMGUSOMGUS

seriously that is the entirety of his case against me. The only point which might be valid is the third but it was a joke (one I now regret obviously) since saying I was pro-town without being pro-town was how Kier had caught me in XIX. I honestly thought the use of town beers and a town line instead of town circle made it really obvious it was a joke. I should have known there were secret Romanians on TL Mafia.

So karma: out of those three points one is pants-on-head, one is semantics and one is me being dumb enough to joke around. Where is this case you don't think I can respond to. You have talked about my posting habits as a possible fourth point but I can't do anything about that. I'm here while I am home and awake and that will continue until town wins or I am lynched/nk'd

He follows all of this up with a decent case against the same lurker he wanted to lynch d1. Cases against semi-lurkers are the easiest to make as mafia and tunneling one player gives you an easy out when you are wrong about anything else. This play continues to read as scum to me and, therefore,
## Vote: Karma


At the time, it seemed like a big part of his case on you was him just trying to turn the focus back onto you, which can indicate scumminess, but he wasn't. He believed your tunnelling, and accusations on "semi-lurkers" reads as scum behavior. I agree with him to the extent that those are the easier targets. You yourself are one of the least active posters so far (in a game fraught with inactivity).

From Keir:
+ Show Spoiler +

It doesn't make any sense for a townie to claim that he has reads and not share them before the night ends. If you had died, you never would have gotten to post them, and you would have completely wasted your time and hurt the thread overall. Were you completely unafraid of dying?

Also, you said you would post them before the night ended in your previous post - Hide Spoiler -
On July 29 2012 07:57 goodkarma wrote:
With the day passed, and our first flip, I plan on making a rather lengthy analysis thread on top suspects. I promise to have it before night ends, but don't expect to see it for several hours.
. I don't particularly like that you promised something and didn't deliver.
After reading through the thread again, I still feel the strongest about GK and Obvious. However, I admit I am still super wary of Promethelax, but I don't know if he deserves a lynch yet. My real concern though is that if he is town, Mafia has very, very little reason to NK him at this point even if he doesn't get lynched. In our last game together, the fact that he was so obviously "pro-town" and still alive by the 4th day was really suspicious. I'm pretty torn about what to do regarding him, because if he IS town, mislynching him would hurt us fairly badly.

I will say that his cases in this game, compared to his cases in XIX where he was scum, are 100% better. To use his own terms from the end of XIX: "I liked my pants-on-head retarded connection theories."

There is one similarity from XIX and this game that I will mention that I haven't before. In day 1 on XIX, he pushed a case on another townie really hard, and then after day 1 he virtually quit mentioning it for no reason. Or rather, mentioned it a few times but without any real conviction or pressure. It kind of feels like the same thing he's done to Shady in this game.


I think that the most salient point that Keir brought up in his case against you was your not sharing your reads before the night was over. You responded that:
Show nested quote +

It clearly states in the thread that I was following Alan's advice. I was afraid that by posting something wrong and dieing, I would be leading the town into another mislynch. Alan has since then brought up the point that it wasn't that impressions were posted, but rather that the people in his game who were night-killed had tunnel vision and were only pursuing single suspects.

In other words, yes. Not posting my impressions at night was a mistake, and I realize that now.


If I were a town player, + Show Spoiler +
(shut up Ange)
I'd feel more worried about getting NKed if I posted something right, not wrong.

From Keir's will:
+ Show Spoiler +
Regarding goodkarma, this is what I had to say and I want it remembered in my absence: I find repeatedly pushing to have lurkers lynched is an anti-town trait. Our goal is to lynch scum. You claim it's impossible to make solid reads on day 1, but without people making reads, our ability to get successful lynches later in the game diminishes. Repeatedly trying to sheep us back onto lurkers and away from active cases is suspicious.

Just another re-iteration of Prom's point that lurkers are easier to form cases about, and the risk of a scum slip is lower as a result. I agree.

From Shady:
Shady never FoS'ed or Voted for you, but he has talked about you.

+ Show Spoiler +
Here's my read on GK:

I'm not really sure why he would zero in on aRyuujin like that. Basically GK's rationale for lynching people is:

Filter people who "appear active" --> Find those who are active but who are light on the content --> Start analyzing and prepping for lynch.

So he filtered 3 people out who appear active:
aRyu
MrMedic
Promethelax

Then he says hmmm aRyu is contributing the least... and then seems to forget about the other two and keep digging on aRyu.

Now aRyu obviously doesn't do town any favors by making his defense consist of haikus, but the shift by GK to just focusing on aRyu was a little off to me.

His shift Golbat was well-timed and well-explained, so nothing can be really inferred from that.

I'm not suspicious of GK right now, but I am a little puzzled by why he would drop MrMedic and Promethelax so quickly from his list of suspicious inactives, given that MrMedic hasn't voted and Promethelax seems to space his posts 14 hours apart and ignored the giant debate on Mordanis/Golbat entirely.


This a third player who suspects that GK's play is essentially focused on the easy targets, as well as continuing to tunnel them after they have defended themselves.


@GoodKarma
Your posts are big on encouraging others to post cases and contribute, but your filter is lacking in both regards.

Prove me wrong!

##Vote GoodKarma


So I finish this with an
##UNVOTE
and a
##VOTE Zorkmid
Fear is the only darkness. ~Destiny Fan Club operator~
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10854 Posts
August 03 2012 03:57 GMT
#803
on zorkmid

There is a case on Zork. I just feel like it is weaker than the case on Mordanis. Add that to the fact that mord is once again ad hearing to his Modus Operandi.
On August 02 2012 15:04 Shady Sands wrote:
He's set up a rhythm here: find a weakness that isn't directly related to being scummy (newbieness and past play), second an accusation, then sit back and watch the fireworks, and possibly set up a (mis)lynch for the next day if possible. All this smacks of a very aggressive scum play.

That once again it seems like he is getting out of a lynch despite the mountain of evidence against him and without even addressing the cases against him. (which he has never done) and the fact that GK seems to be colluding to defend him, to me, without a doubt, mord is [r]scum[/r].
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
ObviousOne
Profile Joined April 2012
United States3704 Posts
August 03 2012 04:28 GMT
#804
On August 03 2012 11:32 Obvious.660 wrote:
It's too late into the game to have votes all over the place. Majority is now 5!

Almost clicked edit, shit.
This is incorrect. 13 people total. 3 dead. 10 people = majority of 6. My apologies for the misinformation.
Fear is the only darkness. ~Destiny Fan Club operator~
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
August 03 2012 05:21 GMT
#805
On August 03 2012 11:57 DarthPunk wrote:

Show nested quote +
On August 03 2012 09:56 goodkarma wrote:
What I'm trying to get at here is: There's so much suspicion on him he looks less suspicious to me. It's a bit WIFOM, but I'm going to make the assumption (and it's a big one) that up until this point no scum has mounted a strong attack against one of his buddies. To this end, I don't think Mordanis is mafia, but rather a town that's played poorly. I understand how long it can take to post cases of the length that Mordanis likes to, and can genuinely understand his claim that he was busy day 2, which would explain his inactivity. His sometimes wishy-washy stances definitely are not very pro-town, but right now I'm willing to give him the benefit of the doubt.


Besides the fact this makes Mord more suspicious (he has been under suspicion since day one and yet has survived two lynches) you both seem very coordinated in defending one another. You seem to be defending him on what you admit is assumptions and WIFOM. This is doing nothing but casting doubt on the very good cases against Mordanis which still have not been answered and are BEING IGNORED like the day one cases on him were. This is really weak and I don't see a Town motivation for you to use WIFOM and assumptions to cast doubt on strong cases that have not been answered once again.


So what you're saying here, in other words, is: "I really like my case and anyone who doesn't agree with me is therefore against me. It's time I throw you under a bus..."

I NEVER said that Mords's actions weren't suspicious, or that his play couldn't fit the play of a scum. However, I just don't see this compelling, damning evidence you seem to that shows that Mord is guilty. And as best I can see, the only way to truly "answer a case" is to lynch the guy. Mord is suspicious, but I feel that he is not the best candidate. And we don't have the luxury of another mislynch.

In my opinion aRyuujin and Zork are better candidates right now. I have already conceded there might be some WIFOM in my Mord argument, so I can't see why you take such an aggressive stance. Especially since town's role is to get to the truth, not to persecute someone until lynch. My arguement brings more to the table to consider in the Mord case, and more information is always better than less. That being said: I don't expect that mafia in a noobie game are going to make really sophisticated plays, like trying to bus each other, and that's why I still feel my new analysis on Mord. is relevant. Sorry if you can't see it that way.

So what's your next point?:

On August 03 2012 12:09 DarthPunk wrote:
To add to my previous case.
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2012 11:13 goodkarma wrote:
As I've already highlighted, I do not believe Mordanis is the best lynch choice. In my opinion, the two best candidates right now are: aRyuujin and Zorkmid.


Show nested quote +
On August 03 2012 11:13 goodkarma wrote:
I know that Shady has voted Mordanis, but I'm giving him time to reaffirm or change his vote before I commit to changing mine


So After Mord has roughly 4 votes you concoct a gambit to make everyone vote for who shady votes for regardless of what they want. Then you heavily imply that he should change his vote on mord.



It was 3 votes by the way. And considering I already said that 6/7 town are needed to get majority vote this round to have any shot at lynching a scum, why is it you think mafia would feel any need whatsoever to try to sway the vote? If you haven't noticed, everyone is heavily divided in their lynch choices atm. If he is really mafia, your chances of lynching Mord are very low. I proposed to have Shady as the leader to unite all town together so that majority is easier to secure. With mafia so close to winning this game, telling town to unite under one (confirmed town) leader would be really scary for them. Your "gambit"-arguement is pretty absurd.

On August 03 2012 12:03 DarthPunk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2012 11:13 goodkarma wrote:
Shady Sands is now confirmed town. He is the only person right now that everyone can trust without suspicion of alterior motives. To secure the majority and lynch a scum today, he needs to step up and tell everyone clearly who he plans to vote for and why.

And everyone needs to vote for that person, regardless of if that's the "strongest read" they have or not.

This is the only way we can guarantee a town majority that can lynch scum at this point.


OK What the Fuck? So if we mislynch we have no information whatsoever because everyone just votes for one person regardless of their read.
This is Fucking Retarded. This is trying to limit discussion 16 hours out from vote.



By no means am I trying to limit discussion. By all means, everyone shoud present their arguements, but Shady should make the final call. That's the only way I see town getting the majority they need to lynch a scum, especially with individuals like yourself with multiple scum reads but the determination to only try your own special candidate.
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
August 03 2012 05:50 GMT
#806
On August 03 2012 12:57 DarthPunk wrote:
on zorkmid

There is a case on Zork. I just feel like it is weaker than the case on Mordanis. Add that to the fact that mord is once again ad hearing to his Modus Operandi.
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2012 15:04 Shady Sands wrote:
He's set up a rhythm here: find a weakness that isn't directly related to being scummy (newbieness and past play), second an accusation, then sit back and watch the fireworks, and possibly set up a (mis)lynch for the next day if possible. All this smacks of a very aggressive scum play.

That once again it seems like he is getting out of a lynch despite the mountain of evidence against him and without even addressing the cases against him. (which he has never done) and the fact that GK seems to be colluding to defend him, to me, without a doubt, mord is [r]scum[/r].



There is a case on Zorkmid... At least we can agree with me on that. Your out-of-nowhere conspiracy theory, though, to use Prox's words, is "Pants-on-Head Retarded."

I give the town a winning strategy: Get behind a (confirmed town!) leader so we can come to a consensus and lynch a scum. This is something that no intelligent scum would do when without leadership all they need to do to win right now is sit in one spot and lurk around.


Your strategy, on the other hand, seems to be: Mord. way, or the highway + Show Spoiler +
(clever, huh? )
. That you completely disregard the merits of my strategy, and then tunnel vision on your target when there are multiple scum reads right now (even by your estimation) is something I find suspicious. Mafia only needs one more mislynch to secure LYLO for town the rest of the game. As scum, even if you're open about lynching Mord., and next turn are caught for it, town has to be right three consecutive times. This is even harder if at any step of the way Shady gets picked off. Your accusations are coming on way too strong, way too fast to fit as a concerned town. Add to that your tunnel vision towards Mord, and the fact mafia pretty much wins this with one more mislynch:

#FoS DarthPunk


All I hope is that Shady can rally everyone behind a candidate in time. And if he doesn't contribute any new discussion soon, I will be changing my vote to Mord to coincide with his. Even though I don't feel he's the strongest scum candidate, he definitely has done some scummy things, and to catch a scum at this time town needs to unite together. I recommend everyone to follow Shady's vote, as he's the only person right now town can trust. You may call it sheeping, but what's even worse is town sticks with their own scum reads on 2+ people, mafia lols, and no scum get lynched.


TL;DR:
United we stand. Divided we fall...

DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10854 Posts
August 03 2012 06:02 GMT
#807
On August 03 2012 14:21 goodkarma wrote:So what you're saying here, in other words, is: "I really like my case and anyone who doesn't agree with me is therefore against me. It's time I throw you under a bus..."


No. That is not what I am saying. I am saying that your reasoning behind defending Mord was, by your own admission, assumption and WIFOM. None of the cases on Mord have actually been answered. And your reasoning in your defense of him was essentially that he was too suspicious. I don't think is need to explain to you how null that argument is.
On August 03 2012 14:21 goodkarma wrote:
I NEVER said that Mords's actions weren't suspicious, or that his play couldn't fit the play of a scum. However, I just don't see this compelling, damning evidence you seem to that shows that Mord is guilty. And as best I can see, the only way to truly "answer a case" is to lynch the guy. Mord is suspicious, but I feel that he is not the best candidate. And we don't have the luxury of another mislynch.

No, but you have never said anything specific to the case against Mord beside defending him twice immediately after he accumulated more than 1 vote. Otherwise you have ignored him. Completely. Despite the large amount of discussion around him.
I am not going to bother arguing with you on the evidence against Mord as you seem to be dead set on defending him. There are several cases against him. none of them have been answered. Read them.
On August 03 2012 14:21 goodkarma wrote:
I have already conceded there might be some WIFOM in my Mord argument, so I can't see why you take such an aggressive stance. Especially since town's role is to get to the truth, not to persecute someone until lynch. My arguement brings more to the table to consider in the Mord case, and more information is always better than less.


You have added no new information but WIFOM and speculation. your only posts on mord have been defending him since day 1 without any reasoning behind the defense, apart from that there are better candidates right now. Yet instead of posting cases on those you consider to have better cases you have only talked policy lynching lurkers. Your cases have continued to be on lurkers, and any posts not on lynching lurkers was defending mordanis really aggressively.
On August 03 2012 14:21 goodkarma wrote:
That being said: I don't expect that mafia in a noobie game are going to make really sophisticated plays, like trying to bus each other, and that's why I still feel my new analysis on Mord. is relevant. Sorry if you can't see it that way.


Since when was WIFOM and speculation 'analysis'? You yourself admit that mord seems scummy and could be scummy yet you are defending him and quite vigorously without addressing the cases against him at all or saying anything but: He seems scummy and could be scum but he is too suspicious. and then proceed to chainsaw defend him.

TLDR
You have Ignored Mordanis entirely unless defending him. your entire defense consists of WIFOM and Speculation.


"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
ObviousOne
Profile Joined April 2012
United States3704 Posts
August 03 2012 06:10 GMT
#808
I'm willing to get behind the Mordanis vote (Shady Sands' vote candidate) to secure a lynch, as I'm hoping he's not going to change it at this point. Probably should switch now, tomorrow is 12 hours on my feet in the heat and I'm out the door as soon as I wake up and get ready. I'll try to check in to see what's up in 8 hours or so but honestly, probably won't get the chance until ~24 hours from now. Good luck, friends.

##UNVOTE
##VOTE Mordanis
Fear is the only darkness. ~Destiny Fan Club operator~
Mordanis
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States893 Posts
August 03 2012 06:23 GMT
#809
Hey DP, let's skip several hours of bullshit. You're hiding behind vague cases that don't say anything, and calling it "fairly obvious". Ok then, I get to interpret it in the most obvious way I see. You think my play is scummy because you say so. My response to your case is that I say it isn't scummy. It's my pithy way of saying that you'll just say that whatever I post doesn't address the cases, referring to the vague multitude of 3-4 things where people have posted bits of my posts and said they're scummy because ... well they don't explain. So now its your turn to either admit that you're biased and don't really give a shit about my play and you've wanted me dead the entire game, or give me something to actually argue against. Except that you're probably afraid to argue against me. Does this sound like a fair deal? I'll even include what I mean by analyzing your "case" against me. kthxbai!


+ Show Spoiler +
On August 02 2012 10:49 DarthPunk wrote:
Hey guys. Just woke up and am going to dive into some Mafia!

First of all I am all but convinced that Shady Sands is Mason. The slip is there, and he would have had to fabricate that day 1 with almost nothing to go off. So 99% certain that SS is green. I am going to go back through each of Keirathi and SS filters and see if they were onto anything. I do know however, that both have been suspicious of Obvious. I already had my eye on him and I am going to look through his filter very closely.

@goodkarma, There is a post in my filter that addresses my position on Mordanis.
Show nested quote +
On July 31 2012 00:26 DarthPunk wrote:
I still find mordanis suspiscious and i feel as if my case against him was never really answered satisfactorily and just sort of got drowned out in the noise. His posting and reasoning has improved INCREDIBLY (thanks BTW) and lots of people seem to be having small town reads on him. That being said if anyone wants to know my thoughts on him at a later date let me know. I will be watching him closely.

"With the momentum solidly going towards a Golbat lynch when I revoted him"

-Mordanis. I mean i don't get why this guys doesn't start alarm bells ringing for you guys like he does for me.


At the point I posted that many people had stated they had small town reads on him and no one was contributing or commenting on my case against him. Whilst I did (and still do) have a scum read on mordanis the fact that my case was generating zero discussion and a fear that I was victim of confirmation bias. I felt that I was being unproductive by focusing on him too much.

That being said, I have been following mordanis closely and there continue to be unresolved questions around him.
Off the Top of my head I will state a few things that are wrong with mordanis.

Day one he lead 3 cases against 3 now confirmed townies. He pursued them very aggresively but none of his cases had much merit. The first one he admitted to being dishonest with (didn't really believe there was a case on keir) and was based purely on WIFOM.

+ Show Spoiler +
On July 28 2012 10:46 DarthPunk wrote:
Good morning Everyone.

First up some thoughts.

Golbat

I spent the majority of last night reading their filters trying to make sense of it. And it was seriously a mess. From the OMGUS accusations onward. Golbat flip-flops like it is going out of style. And Mordanis still uses a large amount of WIFOM to justify his arguments which just make it more difficult to understand what he is actually saying.
One of mordanis' key arguments (claimed scumslip) against golbat was this
Show nested quote +
On July 27 2012 11:31 Golbat wrote:I think that lynching a lurker day one is only a good idea if we have no reads on people who might be scum. As far as that goes for me, I already have an idea of who might be scum, so I won't get behind lynching a lurker today.
While it is true that this may be used to hop on whatever bandwagon he wants without fear of reprisal. in the context of the conversation and a simple search through his filter says otherwise.
Show nested quote +
On July 27 2012 09:15 Golbat wrote:
As far as the game goes, Mordanis' post about Keir's post where he was "virtually claiming town RB" seems to be a pretty scummy thing to do. It didn't seem to me to be a secret claim of any sort, just a rules clarification. Even if it was a super-secret claim that he could use later, I wouldn't believe him if that was the only evidence he had.

From what I've read elsewhere, that type of posting is classic scum behavior. Look like you're helping the town and trying to hunt scum, when in reality you're just blowing a townie's mistakes clear out of proportion to sow confusion and doubt.

Not everyone has posted, so I don't yet want to commit to a vote, but I've got my eye on you Mordanis.


Go read the thread. He was THE FIRST to cast suspicion onto Mord. Mordanis case is built upon the fact that he had insurance to jump on any bandwagon he wanted without fear of reprisal and then jumps on a bandwagon on him. Golbat almost immediately casts suspicion onto Mordanis, then states he may already have an idea of who may be scum. Yep, it seems like he was just backing up his previous claim of mordanis' scumminess.

Mordanis

Show nested quote +
On July 28 2012 02:40 Mordanis wrote:
+ Show Spoiler [Joking at Hosts] +
On July 27 2012 22:23 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 27 2012 22:11 Zorkmid wrote:

Is the deadline today at 17:00 EDT?



No, 1 day 7.5 hours roughly

Edited to use ALL THE BLUE


On July 27 2012 22:24 ghost_403 wrote:
There's still over 24 hours until the voting deadline.

OP says the deadline is at 22:00 GMT (+00:00) but I've used 21:00 GMT (+00:00) a few times, and I think that would work better for me. I'm going to change the deadline to 21:00 GMT (+00:00), unless you guys have any objections (if you do, PM them to me).

I can see the next History Channel TV hit: Host Wars! Or maybe Semi-Truck-Driving-Host Wars! just to give it some originality :D


On July 27 2012 18:44 Golbat wrote:
I can understand why you would read my actions so far in the game as scum, but they're honestly just the actions of a bad player who thought he had a dead on scum read and was most likely very, very wrong. From now on i'll be more careful with who I vote for, because while I DID indeed redact my vote, I really really dislike when that happens on the whole. I got a little carried away and luckily it happened this early on and not in a situation where I might have cause a loss for town.

Basically, I'm NOT scum, and anything scummy I have said or done so far can be explained by my inexperience.

After reading Prom's post (especially the bit regarding self-imposed posting limits), I feel like it's time for me to take a break, especially after spewing so much bullshit and bad play all over the thread. See you in about 6-12 hours.

On July 27 2012 18:51 Golbat wrote:
On July 27 2012 18:42 alan133 wrote:
I have read and re-read the filters but couldn't find anything other than Mordanis' "meh" case on Kei and subsequent cases against Mordanis for that.

I was kinda thrown off when Golbat decides to unvote Mordanis because he started off having high confidence that he is scum. His "I am a newbie post" also contributes to my suspicions on him. I quickly dismissed them because I still have my FOS on Mordanis and he did a case on Golbat too.

Now that Ange777 has mentioned it, I would like to ask Golbat, what makes you think that Mordanis is not scum anymore? To me, his only "townie points" is that he is the first player who built a case, but that's about it. Is there some "obvious" reason that I missed? Every time I re-read Mordanis's posts I am more convinced that he is scum.


The reason I backed off of Mord is because I felt like I may have been pushing too strongly against him based on his first bad read. I didn't want to appear to be scum myself, so I backed off for the moment. I still have a sneaking suspicion about him that he may be mafia, but I didn't want to lynch myself by pushing too hard on a bad read.

I feel like i've been talking in circles around mord, "He's scum, no he's town, no he might be scum, no he's probably town", so I feel like I need to take a definite stance on the matter, and that is

##FoS Mordanis

It's not the flat-out vote that it was before, but I still don't trust you. I've heard several times to trust my reads, and so this is my position. We'll see what happens between now and lynch time.

+ Show Spoiler +
but for real now, I need to step away from the thread for a few hours

Basically, in the space of 7 minutes, Golbat made excuses for his play, gives himself an excuse to lurk for over a quarter of the day cycle, flip-flops completely from thinking he was "very very wrong" about me to ostensibly implying that I'm the best target for a lynch. But if you add these posts to what he posted earlier, you see that Golbat hasn't really contributed anything. He talked policy, and then prepared to jump on a bandwagon. On seeing that it was incredibly early to jump on the bandwagon, he then jumps to save his townie cred. This is classic scum-play, posting a decent amount of stuff that people agree with, without contributing and having excuses to stall discussion about him. On the other hand, the whole thing where he flips about me about 29.4 times could be construed as indicative of terrified newbie play. I don't really buy this because there is really no contribution from him. All he's done is voiced opinions that others have already mentioned. There is no analysis, save one post where he points out that I over committed to talking about Keir. He even says that he's not the first to come to this conclusion. + Show Spoiler +
On July 27 2012 13:06 Golbat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 27 2012 12:53 Mordanis wrote:
The reason I am talking about blues is because Keir seems to be trying to make people who are looking for blues beeline to him, but his play doesn't resonate with that of a true blue. If he's green, then he's trying to secretly manipulate the scum (trying to secretly "dig a yard under to make your enemy hoist to his own petard" is very dangerous), potentially harming town as a whole. The alternative is that he's red and trying to force the real blues to claim, and possibly being able to get out of a lynch by claiming Town RB. I have no idea which is more likely, but I think he is more likely scum than anyone else at this moment. That said, I need to eat and then read through more carefully before I can go any further.


You are REALLY fixated on asserting that Keir is trying to make others think he is. It seems to be that a lot of us disagree with you. For the life of me I can't understand why you're trying to get him lynched for attempting to teach whoever the Town RB is (if there even is one) how to play the role. It's an important thing to know, and might have prevented the Town RB from accidentally blocking the cop from using his power on one of the most important night phases of the game.

This IS a newbie mafia after all, would you be doing the same thing if he told the vigilante not to shoot someone on night one?

No contribution to scumhunting is probably the best indicator of scumminess, and combined with what I believe are some "slips" (see my earlier case), I think he is probably the best scum-read.


Mordanis goes from pushing golbats case and 'scumslip' heavily, to voting shady in the space of a post. We would assume that this sudden change of heart would come with some clear and strong arguements right?

Wrong

Show nested quote +
On July 28 2012 06:36 Mordanis wrote:
I'm starting to get a really bad feeling about Shady. Remember his post that said that no game in 20 lynched scum D1? + Show Spoiler +
On July 27 2012 09:02 Shady Sands wrote:
So pretty much, I looked through about 20 mafia games and found not a single night one lynch resulting in a red kill. This suggests one thing:

Day 1 scumhunting actually has a lower success rate than a random day 1 lynch. If the lynches had been truly random, then maybe 20-30% of the games should have had day 1 lynches turn up red, but none of them did.



Here are the D1 lynches from several games:
NMM XXI: blue
NMM XX: red
NMM XIX: blue
NMM XVIII: green
NMM XVII: red
NMM XVI: blue
(I couldn't find XV or XIV, so I chose to go to the SNMMs)
SNMM XI: red
SNMM X: green
SNMM IX: green
So we have 3 blues lynched, 3 VT lynched, and 3 scum lynched. So it would appear that in Newbie mini mafia games, there is about a 1/3 chance of lynching scum D1. With 3/13 chance a random lynch would hit scum (~24%), and historically a 1/3 chance of hitting scum through hunting, the choice is clear. This is for future reference really, as we're already hunting. But this brings up the fact that Shady almost certainly lied. Now there is sometimes a reason for a townie to lie. If it opens up an avenue for them to discover scum, or take one for the team, or accomplishes another goal it can be a boon to lie to the town. On the other hand, by suggesting that scum hunting D1 is useless, Shady is 1) discouraging discussion (why discuss when it only lowers the probability of hitting scum?), 2) stalling the game (mafia wants to stall as long as possible. they use their kp regardless of where our lynch ends up), and 3) trying to influence newbies' thinking (if analysis/scum hunt isn't the main priority, then mafia get off free for mistakes while being able to penalize some other player. This goes with stalling). In short, Shady lied in a pretty baldfaced manner, and the lie only serves the interest of mafia. Also, after reading through Obvious's filter last game, I saw that his behavior was almost identical to Golbat's. Golbat, you need to contribute, because if you don't, you're going to be looking even scummier. But I have seen almost identical play from a townie (Obvious was lynched D1 though), so for now I am going to switch my vote.
##Unvote
##Vote: Shady_Sands

Now this is the post where he flips from golbat onto shady. The first half of his post is meaningless and doesn't actually provide any information or a good reason to flip from someone he had been pursuing whom he believed had scumslipped. Shady could have read Mafia games elsewhere, not just TL. So the whole lie scenario is a stretch and to me doesn't mean anything. He then goes on to speculate on a reason town would lie. This is also meaningless and fails to add anything to the Shady case. the only part of Mordanis' post which gives any clue whatsoever as to why he flipped from his scum read to shady.
Show nested quote +
On July 28 2012 06:36 Mordanis wrote:
Also, after reading through Obvious's filter last game, I saw that his behavior was almost identical to Golbat's. Golbat, you need to contribute, because if you don't, you're going to be looking even scummier. But I have seen almost identical play from a townie (Obvious was lynched D1 though), so for now I am going to switch my vote.

He meta reads. But not golbats previous game. Obvious.660's.
No mention of the strong arguments brought forward about shady by prom and subsequently ange777, no analysis of shady that actually adds anything.

Next post after voting shady. what does he decide to do he makes another list in a similar vein as above
Show nested quote +
On July 28 2012 07:26 Mordanis wrote:
OK, if you want to look at other games too,

Bureaucracy: blue
DBZ: red
I can't believe its...: green
TLM LVI: green
SSB 64: ???
Movie star: green
Bastard: No clue
Igrok's: green
TLM LV: green
MTG 1: green
Wheel of fortune: None
TLM LIII: VE blue
C9++: red

So if you look at full games (30ish players), the rate of hitting scum is really bad. As it should be, since 6 people working together are pretty strong when no one knows anything else. In the more exposed mini set ups though, there seems to be much more incidence of hitting red D1. So I have to retract my statement about the bald-faced lie, it is possible to have looked up several large games and seen no scum hit with D1 lynch. I still do stand by my statement that the post I quoted earlier is misleading at best (for mini games) and works against town. My apologies everyone for not researching fully prior to this. So allow me to reread through to see things with fresh eyes.


He talks a big game. Lied and drew heat on himself so we could start scumhunting. I don't buy it. He is not following through. He is not contributing anything of substance. He is flipflopping whilst accusing others of the same. He is not doing the scumhunting he so desperately wanted to start.



The case on golbat was a reaction to him casting a vote on mordanis, and he pushed that case throughout the majority of day. But then he jumped on shady sands with an explanation for leaving his previous 'Best scum read' as reading Obvious' filter from the previous game. So he jumped onto another case after leading a mislynch hard throughout day one. contributed very little to it. Tried to manufacture a scenario in which Shady 'lied' and spent several posts muddling the conversation with his case about shady's day 1 lynch scenario, that I personally felt was retarded.
Show nested quote +
On July 28 2012 19:45 DarthPunk wrote:
@Mordanis

Shady said that he looked through 20 games without seeing any mafia lynched D1. I referenced 20 games with 5 scum lynched D1.


This is Irrelevant. Claiming it is a lie is a stretch and nothing you stated does anything to further the case against Shady Sands nor do I believe it to be a legitimate reason to flip from golbat (who to you has scumslipped etc. and whom you had been pushing on for the majority of your previous posts) to Shady Sands.

Darth: Where did I lie? I want one expression that is a bald-faced lie.


You have admitted to pursuing a case against keirathi that you didn't believe was true.

You're right, I didn't really believe the case, but there isn't any real pressure generated by "Hey i dont believe wat im sayin, but i think X is scum" The reason I left the case on Keir is because there wasn't really a case.


So you still haven't given a legitimate reason to dropping your case on golbat, had nothing to add to the sandy shades case you jumped onto. and then, when questioned:
To keep myself honest, I'll go ahead and ## unvote.


How many times did you claim Golbat to be flip flopping his vote around?

I want to point out that I think several people are going about scum-hunting the wrong way. Play that hurts town but benefits scum is indicative of scumminess. Illogical posting is not necessarily scummy though.


This is a tautology. Illogical posting does hurt town. It obscures the crux of you arguement and makes it more difficult to read through and analyze your positions.

The point is I don't believe you to be guilty of illogical arguments and nothing more. The 1st case you pursued you didn't believe. The second case you pursue, and the only one in which you post anything of substance, is dropped out of nowhere with no real explanation.The third case you move onto because you meta read golbat with obvious' previous play then drop the case against him. You jump on the shady sands case yet you add nothing to the case against that person and when questioned drop that vote immediately. Then move back to Golbat.

You are also guilty of basing entire arguments on WIFOM, wishy-washy-ness, appearing to but not actually contributing to cases, saying things whilst saying nothing etc.

I am going to a party and should be back before Deadline which i may stay up for 7am my time. However in case something goes wrong, i am putting my vote with mordanis.

##Vote: Mordanis



So after I pressure him on jumping the ship he built and keirathi somewhat defends shady, he jumps back on to the mislynch he created. The net effect of this play? leads a mislynch whilst sufficiently distancing himself from it through his SS tangent.
He then accuses Ange777 of doing something extremely similar.

After day 1 his posting whilst improving in clarity and making cases based on something other than WIFOM, have dramatically altered in style and frequency, yet still contain the internal contradictions I first took issue with.

His case on prom
+ Show Spoiler +
On July 31 2012 19:10 Mordanis wrote:
I'm really confused by Promethelax's play. He just admonished me for fluff posts. His entire first page of his filter is fluff. He comments on my opening case being really bad, regardless of my alignment. Look at his first FOS: + Show Spoiler +
On July 27 2012 18:55 Promethelax wrote:
I'd like to bring some attention to Zorkmid:

He starts with policy talk, as we all did.
Show nested quote +
On July 27 2012 06:29 Zorkmid wrote:
On July 27 2012 05:52 Promethelax wrote:
Hello all and welcome to Newbie 22! I'm excited to finally be in this game.

I have, much to my delight, rolled town for the first time in a normal mini. I hope to be able to prove to you that I am as innocent as most of you and much more innocent than our scum friends lead by Marv who, shockingly, rolled scum for the millionth time.

On policy: I don't like policy lynches. I feel that town can do better than that and we should lynch scum not liars or lurkers. It is always possible to build cases and to try to lynch scum instead of basing our attacks on a black and white policy.

Keir is right about the town RB though, you should hold your power until d2 at least since blocking a blue role can throw us off immensely. Do not RB until you are sure that someone is scum! If you have a perfect read d1 go ahead but I doubt you do.

Also Keir: I promise to spell your name right this time.

aRyuujin: since you are here would you be kind enough to bless us with one of your Haiku to start some discussion, no need to be silent just because you feel there is nothing to talk about.


About the bolded part, I think that early on in a game, there really isn't that much to go on in order to choose who to vote for. I also think that which an inactive player isn't necessarily scum, they aren't very helpful to town.

Same goes for liars.

That's my two cents.


Follows it up with an immediate about face when he learns about the no-lynch option
Show nested quote +
On July 27 2012 06:46 Zorkmid wrote:
Well in that case, I don't feel as strongly about lynching all liars and inactives.


He leaves hoping for more from others
Show nested quote +
On July 27 2012 06:48 Zorkmid wrote:
I'll have to think about that for a little while, hopefully while I'm gone we'll hear more from the others!

and after that comes back with a question and than dissapears
Show nested quote +
On July 27 2012 08:15 Zorkmid wrote:
On July 27 2012 08:12 Shady Sands wrote:
From a logic standpoint, it makes sense to always have a lynch target each day, because voting patterns, voting times, and the order in which players vote are some of the most important clues that the town can use.

For example, if the target turns out to be green or blue, then we can backtrack and start seeing who started the bandwagoning and go from there. If the target turns out to be red, we can see who did the last minute voting or tried to swing the balance away from them, and add those to the list.

But if we simply go for a no-lynch, there's no pressure on the scum to actually put their money where their mouth is, so to speak.


This makes perfect sense to me, so how we determine who to target initially?


That was over ten hours ago, I don't get it. Where did you go Zork?
I don't like his play so far and, thus, a FoS is declared.

. The reasoning seems to be that Zork isn't an expert yet. I don't see why not knowing the setup in the first hour and a half is scummy. This case makes my own seem sophisticated. His second case is reasonably sound, but when Darth says that my case about Angie is ironic, it pales in comparison to his own. Having only posted the one case, ask for others' opinions, and posted fluff + Show Spoiler [No, Really] +
On July 27 2012 07:18 Promethelax wrote:
Okay Ghost, will do.

On July 27 2012 07:26 Promethelax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 27 2012 07:19 aRyuujin wrote:
On July 27 2012 07:04 Promethelax wrote:
On July 27 2012 06:58 Keirathi wrote:
On July 27 2012 06:53 Promethelax wrote:
On July 27 2012 06:48 Keirathi wrote:
On July 27 2012 06:45 Promethelax wrote:
On July 27 2012 06:43 Zorkmid wrote:
I'm not saying that the "best town play" isn't to lynch scum, I'm just saying that in the absence of that inactivity and liars are the next logical targets.

Warning: Nub question::::We HAVE to lynch someone each day, right?


No, we do not. We can no-lynch by making sure that no single candidate has a majority on them.


Correct. We can engineer a no-lynch, but everyone HAS to vote. If we are able to ##Vote No-Lynch is up to the hosts discretion, but in a previous game with ghost as the host, we weren't able to, so to no-lynch we had to spread our votes out.


I've only seen that as a possibility in a plurality lynch while we are playing a majority lynch. Different mechanics.

So Keir: any thoughts yet? Shall we lynch Obvious for being obviously scum? and keep the pattern going, shall we attack Zork for being unable to answer my vague questions or try to lynch one of the two of us for being too active?

All of the above. Lynch EVERYTHING!

Nah, I just hope more people show up so we can get the ball rolling.


Well while we're waiting let's breadcrumb secrets to each other. Victory, I'm sure, will be ours if we strive for it. Ghost must be being really nice to us because I already have a town read on all the players in this game, he must want us all to live happily ever after and not have to kill each other.

Okay, so that isn't actually true but I hope a host does that eventually just to be a dick.


its quite clear that he
is breadcrumbing that his role
is that of a dick


You win for my favourite response ever. If you are ever in my neck of the woods hit me up and I'll buy you a drink just for that.

On July 27 2012 07:37 Promethelax wrote:
Unrelated to the discussion so far after reading Shady Sands' Op here http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=355847 I expect awesome posts from him/her.

Slim Shady: you've got some awesome to live up to.

Since we haven't been productive so far I would like us to turn our attention to pressure: I for one am concerned that MrMedic may not be a medic and is lying about his role in his name. Okay, what I'm actually concerned about is that all he posted is that he is here. I want more.

On July 27 2012 07:38 Promethelax wrote:
EBWOP: I'm also concerned that his post was edited. Watch yourself my man or Ghost will smite you with his mighty powers.

On July 27 2012 08:27 Promethelax wrote:
My girlfriend got home so I don't have time to read one last time before going to work. I'll see you in 10-12 hours. Good luck town.

, some people (DP + Ange) post others whom they perceive to be relatively inactive. Neither DarthPunk nor Ange mention him though. Then he makes his second case on Golbat + Show Spoiler +
On July 27 2012 21:49 Promethelax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 27 2012 20:04 Ange777 wrote:
Obvious
MrMedic
aRyuujin
Zork


All have posted next to nothing of content.

On to Shady:

His filter is a lot of policy talking and then the case against Mordanis. I am unsure about him.

On July 27 2012 13:29 Shady Sands wrote:
Mordanis' response pretty much sealed the deal for me. I think it is clear that Mordanis is a red. Let's parse through his response.

When you look at all that, and the weak logic against Keir, then what you see is the following pattern:

Mordanis first claims that Keir is the likeliest candidate for lynching because he a likely candidate to be red. Then he backs off and claims that Keir could go red or green. Then he argues that we should lynch controversial candidates first. The point is, lynching controversial candidates would be fine, if it were not for the fact that Mordanis is the only one stirring up controversy about Keir. This totally smacks of a Red finding out his original tactic for generating a bandwagon has failed, acknowledging that he is the only one arguing for a lynch, and then stating that because he is the only one arguing for a lynch, the person is "controversial" and should be lynched.


The thing is, if Mordanis was convinced of the controversy of Keir's play than Mordanis' play is not scummy. I don't like Shady's case.

I have to head out now. I'll try give a better read on Shady when I come back.



Alright, I'll look into their filters and see if anything is popping there.

What I found, and still find weird about shady is this:
+ Show Spoiler +
On July 27 2012 08:38 Shady Sands wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 27 2012 07:43 Mordanis wrote:
Rather than sitting in a circle and deciding whom to lynch based on who sing "Kum ba yah, My Lord" the most off key (what kind of villainous scum would do such a thing?), I think its time to begin the scumhunt. Anyways, I apologize in advance if this seems somewhat rushed. I want to get the hunt going as early as possible, and I feel we've wasted the first hour and a half. So without further ado, here comes (hopefully) the first case of the game:

      Mordanis's's case on Keirathi
K (for some reason your name is really hard for me to type) began this game by virtually claiming Town RB. + Show Spoiler +
On July 27 2012 05:41 Keirathi wrote:
First things first:

If we have a town roleblocker, I think its best not to use your role early. You generally have as much chance of hurting a teamate as you do a scum. I'm not saying to NEVER use it, but think carefully and only use it if you are reasonably sure that you are blocking a scum.

Some policy discussion:

Lynch All Liars - I'm of the opinion that there are very, very few cases where lying as a townie is beneficial to town. With that said, there ARE cases where it is a realistic option, so I think blanket policy lynching is a fairly bad thing. Case-by-case basis.

Lynch All Lurkers - As much as lurking hurts town, I feel like at least in newbie games, lurking is almost guaranteed. I encourage everyone to try as hard as they can to avoid lurking sot hat we won't have to discuss this later. Lurking as a townie hurts town. Please don't do it. Again, case-by-case basis.

Are all roleblocks notified, or only people with power roles?
I've seen games where it works both ways, so best to clarify early.

. Now this may have been a case of extreme newbiness, which would be understandable, but Mr. K has played in at least 2 other games, so I believe he knew how this post would be interpreted. This brings up 3 possibilities:

1: Mr. K is VT, and he is trying to "take one for the team". He knows that the scum will see this post and read him blue, and he'll die tonight instead of a real blue. If this were to happen, he'd have helped town. If he gets lynched today, it'll be bad for town, but it will be deal-with-able.

2: Mr. K is actually townie RB. Perhaps he is trying to make his "claim" so obvious the scum will think option 1 is happening. Trying to hide out in the open. If he is killed during the night, we're in pretty bad shape. But if this option is the case and he's lynched today, we're in even worse shape, because he won't have used his power even once. That said, he implied that he wouldn't want to use it N1 anyway, so the options are virtually the same.

3: Mr. K is scum, and is trying to use this as means to get himself out of trouble. If he ever gets some heat brought to him, he just says "Dude, I basically claimed town RB, I don't think its a good idea to lynch me" The claim also puts pressure on any real blues to claim, and when everyone claims, a claim isn't worth anything. Basically, this post seems mildly non-protown, and it gives him a way to defend himself. Destabilizing town and giving yourself an extra cycle seems very scummy to me. If we lynch him today, we're off to a great start. And if this option is the case, scum aren't killing him tonight.

Of these three, option 2 seems by far the least probable. So that being said, I think that right now Keirathi is the best candidate for lynching. Still, its pretty early so I don't think it would be wise in any way to commit right now. Last thing: I have to go to work now, and I'll be back in probably 5 hours (rakin in the cash makin pizza), just FYI.


I'm not sure how Keir telling RB not to use their powers equals Keir roleclaiming as RB. Of course Day 1 roleclaiming is suspicious but this post doesn't fit the bill. But if a clear consensus emerges that he's suspicious, I'd volunteer myself to watch his posting behavior.

That said, I do think Day 1 scumhunting could work--but only after everyone (or nearly everyone) has posted. I'm going to go down the list of posters now and do a quick tally.

Ange777 - No posts yet
Keirathi - Six posts
Promethelax - More than 10 posts
alan133 - 1 "GLHF" post
Mordanis - Three posts
Obvious.660 - 2 posts
MrMedic - 1 post, edited
aRyuujin - 2 posts, both haiku
DarthPunk - No posts yet
goodkarma - No posts yet
Golbat - No posts yet
Shady Sands - 2 posts so far
Zorkmid - 5 posts

Players in order of activity:
Promethelax
Keirathi
Zorkmid
Mordanis
Obvious.660
aRyuujin
Shady Sands
alan133
MrMedic
-- Lurkers --
Ange777
Darthpunk
goodkarma
Golbat

Once the remaining few lurkers have posted, then we can start scumhunting.

The next task is to read through past mafia games and find those with successful Day 1 scumhunts--and see what common lessons can be drawn from them. I'm going to compile a list of those right now.


Where he puts a lot of bull shit into the thread and nothing real. He literally used post counts to increase the size of his filter.

the other thing in here I want to focus on is his lets wait attitude. for example:
Show nested quote +

Once the remaining few lurkers have posted, then we can start scumhunting.

from the above post and others
He also says that
Show nested quote +
Day 1 scumhunting actually has a lower success rate than a random day 1 lynch. If the lynches had been truly random, then maybe 20-30% of the games should have had day 1 lynches turn up red, but none of them did.

both of these things push town away from hunting for scum, attempting to prevent scum hunting is a huge scum trait. On top of this he misrepresents the facts in newbie 21 (I think) Hopeless1der was lynched d1 as scum so scum hunting has shown to be effective recently.

He also replys to my advice by saying
Show nested quote +
On July 27 2012 09:11 Shady Sands wrote:
On July 27 2012 06:41 Promethelax wrote:
On July 27 2012 06:29 Zorkmid wrote:
On July 27 2012 05:52 Promethelax wrote:
Hello all and welcome to Newbie 22! I'm excited to finally be in this game.

I have, much to my delight, rolled town for the first time in a normal mini. I hope to be able to prove to you that I am as innocent as most of you and much more innocent than our scum friends lead by Marv who, shockingly, rolled scum for the millionth time.

On policy: I don't like policy lynches. I feel that town can do better than that and we should lynch scum not liars or lurkers. It is always possible to build cases and to try to lynch scum instead of basing our attacks on a black and white policy.

Keir is right about the town RB though, you should hold your power until d2 at least since blocking a blue role can throw us off immensely. Do not RB until you are sure that someone is scum! If you have a perfect read d1 go ahead but I doubt you do.

Also Keir: I promise to spell your name right this time.

aRyuujin: since you are here would you be kind enough to bless us with one of your Haiku to start some discussion, no need to be silent just because you feel there is nothing to talk about.


About the bolded part, I think that early on in a game, there really isn't that much to go on in order to choose who to vote for. I also think that which an inactive player isn't necessarily scum, they aren't very helpful to town.

Same goes for liars.

That's my two cents.


Day 1 is like any other day, we don't have all the information we want to have but we should use what information we do have to lynch a guy who looks scummy. Not a guy who looks like bad town.

Marv said it best in the QT for I can't believe its not themed mini mafia: "best town play is to lynch scum" post 101 if you are curious. It was in reply to something dumb I said.

While I'm not saying we will hit scum without fail we should try to. We can eliminate shitty players later with Vigi shots or scum will shoot them. A lurky scum team will have no ability to control where we look, if me and my boys had lurked in XIX we would have been crushed in LYLO but because 2/3 of us were active we managed a perfect victory despite Keirathi replacing in and figuring out all three of us at just the wrong time.

aR: you make me happy with your Haiku
Obvious: your limerick is excellent as well


There are a couple points here that are bad advice:

1) Scum will not shoot bad town players. It just makes no sense
2) Do not, I repeat, do not, waste vigi shots on bad town players. Indeed, vigi shots are the single most critical resource the town has.


scum will blue snipe, they will kill players who won't vote for the right mislynch or who are tunneling scum. There are a million reasons for scum to shoot a bad town player so his first point is wrong and his second point again pushes us away from scum hunting since he insists that vigi shots are our most powerful tool. No they aren't. We are the most powerful town asset and scum hunting is the most powerful town tool.

His next post tells us to wait for more people to post until we make cases and the one after that is a case...

Show nested quote +
I'd say he's our best option for a day 1 lynch at this point, but to be extra sure, we should wait until Ange777 has had a chance to post as well, and Mordanis gets back from making pizzas and has had a chance to defend himself.

Even if he flips green (which is likely, let's not get our hopes up here), his lynch will tell us a lot about who we should go after next, since people seem to have had strong reactions to both his proposal to go after Keir, his own lynching, and his arguments against policy lynching.


Sands tells us that we should still hold off even though this guy is the best lynch target. He also tells us that he will likely flip green based on (I assume) the statistics which seems, to me, to be a way to distance himself from a Mord town flip.

What originally felt scummy to me in Sands' filter was this post where he says:
Show nested quote +
The reason I think it's likely he'll flip green right now is because we haven't been able to see his response to these accusations. If he responds in the way in which I think he will (or chooses not to respond at all) then I think he's a clear red.

Re-read that. Do yourself a favour and beat your face against a hard surface. He think that Mord will flip green unless he replys in the way that he (Sands) expects him to in which case he is red...alrighty than.

I also hate this post:
Show nested quote +
On July 27 2012 21:22 Shady Sands wrote:
On July 27 2012 20:33 Shady Sands wrote:
On July 27 2012 15:36 Mordanis wrote:
... *Sigh*
I'll begin by saying this: If the people jumping on my bandwagon 1/6th of the way through the first day are town, they are really doing a good job of muddling up the conversation. Look through the thread so far, and see that the only discussion before I posted my case was policy, and that very lenient. There was a lot of "Oop, don't want to attract attention, guess I'll say that we shouldn't policy lynch any lurkers". I admit that I rushed my two main posts, and they may have been suboptimal, but compare that to the entire rest of the populace. We've managed 2 cases so far, and I was one of them. The other is a direct response to mine. I really don't understand why the people who are tunnelling me are doing so: attacking the only person who has posted anything of substance (that isn't within the same bandwagon as you) seems anti-discussion. So while I certainly made a mistake in talking too much about Keir and potential blue roles, the biggest reason that I seem to be "in danger" is that I've been willing to say what I believe. Regardless, I see the bandwagon as being very interesting.

There are 3 people who have had an overwhelming share in the activity against me.

DarthPunk:
He seems to have a hard time with my line of thought. I apologize, my last game ended with me and another player (Release <3) in a duel that had a lot secrecy and enigmatic reasoning. I came to this game expecting the same. If you take people at the face value of their words (In which case, I'm town so don't lynch me :D), then you tend to miss a lot of good reads. The way to catch scum is not to find the first invalid argument, but rather to find the players who are playing in an anti-town way. This includes delaying to reduce the amount of analysis, making the atmosphere bad for town, and muddling with plans. By posting my case on the first thing that I saw, I went in the direction of an atmosphere that welcomes content posting, started the scumhunt before it would have started had I not posted, and laid a fairly straightforward path for the town without explicitly discussing policy. We lynch the player with the scummiest play. So while my read may not have been perfect, my post should have helped town. On the other hand, creating a mass bandwagon on the one person who has posted anything of substance (besides the counter substance) seems to accomplish the goals of scum. Still, he seems more to have an issue following my logic than to be following a plan, as well as being the first to place suspicion on me. I give him a solid "mEh" on the scum-scale

Shady:
The most brazen of my accusers. Doesn't seem to be following the fine points of the game very closely. Still doesn't appear to get that the day cycle is 48 hours and not 12. Has a great time posting out perceived errors in my logic and then votes for me on said perceptions, without seeming to notice that one of his main points + Show Spoiler +
if it were not for the fact that Mordanis is the only one stirring up controversy about Keir.
makes no sense. Why would scum draw attention to himself on a case this early? Why especially would the scum stick to his guns rather than move on to greener pastures? Seems like really dumb play for scum, although perhaps he thinks I am that dumb. I am pretty sure I'm more intelligent than a garbage can though... Anyways, despite my annoyance with him, his play seems more uniformed than scummy. So to you Shady I say: Read through the OP again, and preferably some of the guides. Your play so far has been far from inspiring. And compared to this group, that's saying something.

Golbat:
The entire time so far he seems to have been itching to get on my bandwagon. His first post with more than 1 line says: + Show Spoiler +
On July 27 2012 09:15 Golbat wrote:
Howdy guys! This will be my first game of mafia ever that wasn't an sc2 UMS, and those I could never quite get the hang of (mostly due to nobody else having a clue what was going on either). Hopefully, I'll be able to make more sense of the game in a format like this.

As far as the game goes, Mordanis' post about Keir's post where he was "virtually claiming town RB" seems to be a pretty scummy thing to do. It didn't seem to me to be a secret claim of any sort, just a rules clarification. Even if it was a super-secret claim that he could use later, I wouldn't believe him if that was the only evidence he had.

From what I've read elsewhere, that type of posting is classic scum behavior. Look like you're helping the town and trying to hunt scum, when in reality you're just blowing a townie's mistakes clear out of proportion to sow confusion and doubt.

Not everyone has posted, so I don't yet want to commit to a vote, but I've got my eye on you Mordanis.

First he makes an excuse for potential scumslips (First time in a non UMS, take it easy on me), and then proceeds to quietly second the position of DarthPunk. He seems to be trying to avoid attention while being able to make excuses later on, with the added bonus of being able to hop onto a bandwagon on me without much thought from other players. His second post + Show Spoiler +
On July 27 2012 11:31 Golbat wrote:
I think that lynching a lurker day one is only a good idea if we have no reads on people who might be scum. As far as that goes for me, I already have an idea of who might be scum, so I won't get behind lynching a lurker today.

Also, there's not so many people playing that we can afford to kill people off just because they aren't contributing enough. I mean, if you don't post at least once per day, you get modkilled anyways, so it's not lurkers we should watch out for, it's multiple contentless posts (i'm looking at you MrMedic).

is more of the same: he is trying to come off as pro-town without having to commit to anything as of yet. Particularly of importance is the phrase "I already have an idea of who might be scum". Almost brilliant, as it gives him the ability to jump on any bandwagon that forms. He could just say "Yep, just as I thought" and hop right on. Sure, it works better if the bandwagon was me, but if it ended on anyone else no one could say that he had flip-flopped. Finally, he posts this + Show Spoiler +
On July 27 2012 13:36 Golbat wrote:
I mean honestly, it's gone on long enough.

##Vote Mordanis

If you're red, try to be less obvious next time.
If you're green, try to be less scummy next time.
I certainly hope you're not a blue.


Awesome, he jumps on the bandwagon in 2nd/3rd position, early enough that he seems to be "leading", but late enough that he can avoid later suspicion by saying "Shady was in front of me!". He even tries to end the discussion by agreeing that the case on me is open and shut. Vague Pro-town comments + early excuse + bandwagon-ing + anti-discussion = quadruple scummy. So for right now at least: ##Vote: Golbat

+ Show Spoiler [nonsense about Keir] +
I'm really getting bored with the stuff about this. Read my second post about his "claim" + Show Spoiler [spoilered for you convenience] +
On July 27 2012 12:44 Mordanis wrote:
Soo apparently everyone has decided that scumhunting is a bad idea D1? The point of this game is to analyze things. Context does matter, but some of the things that have been suggested so far are sort of ridiculous. If someone went to bed right before the game began and had to go straight to work, and maybe forgets they could easily go almost a full 24 hours before posting. It doesn't make them scum, it just makes them busy. On the other hand, if you delay posting content until other people post content, then the scum hunt is never going to get going. I admit, my case again Keir was somewhat rushed, but if we don't start posting analysis, we lose any information that could have been gained, and basically start fresh D2, just down 1 or 2 townies (rando-lynch vs. no-lynch). Another thing: Mislynching D1 is sort of to be expected. Unless the scum choose to bus one of their own, the scum have allies and are therefore less likely to be lynched. You have to use the information that is gained from discussion to figure out who is scum most of the time. From Ver's Town Guide:
Show nested quote +
The most useless kind of lynch is a last minute switch that is really easy and safe to hop on the bandwagon for. If there's a highly polarized lynch, the dead information + voting lists can provide a lot, even if the people accused are all innocent (then you can see who's manipulating just out of site).
In other words, if we have a constructive D1 but mislynch, town is in much better position than if a random lynch happens to hit scum.

Anyways, apparently people want me to respond to the FOS put on me. Darth seems to have misunderstood me. The 3 situations I posed were the 3 possible roles that Keir could be. I ran through what the outcome would be for each hypothetical. I would think it was obvious that I didn't believe that Keir was simultaneously red, green, and blue, but ... Aside from what appear to be a misunderstanding, there doesn't seem to be anything else. The reason that I think that Keir isn't blue is because blues tend to be somewhat lurky but do contribute to the scumhunt.Keir has been fairly active, though no scum-hunting (yet!), but brought attention to himself by trying to seem like a blue. From Ver's Town Guide:
Show nested quote +
To keep this simple and save time, let's look at some heuristics to find potential targets, then go through their post history to get the best ones. Here are some common heuristics I use of blue indicators:

-Tries to contribute but doesn't stick their neck out
-Shows fear/wants to instinctively hide
-Drastically lower post quantity compared to games when they are green but still tries to contribute.
-Focuses most of their posts on blue roles or ignores them entirely.
-To figure out which role specifically, they will focus unnatural amounts of attention on that role, know the rules for that role thoroughly, or ignore it entirely while mentioning other blue roles. Figuring out the specific is difficult to ascertain and not always applicable, but these heuristics will hold up more often than not.
Look at the post I indicated in my case, it fits those last two heuristics to a tee, but the other two are off(policy is sort of a gray-zone, sort of pro-town and sort of "safe play" but everyone does it + Show Spoiler +
way too much!!!!
). That's why I feel Keir isn't blue, because he seems to be trying to seem blue but some of his actions are the opposite. And there was the public question: when I was vigi, I asked several questions about my role, but to try to hide my role I never posted them publically, I PMd them. His play screams to me a somewhat experienced player trying to fake blue.

I hate doing this, but I feel there are some points that people should not miss.
TLDR:Scumhunt should begin the moment content is posted, and Keir is almost certainly green or red.

, and find for me one place where I explicitly say that we should lynch Keir. All I said was that he isn't blue. Which leaves the two possibilities of him being scum or VT, which everyone seemed to interpret as pushing for a lynch. I over committed to defending what I still believe to be a good read for being 2 pages in, but I didn't try to start a bandwagon on him. If you really want to make a big deal out of a mistake and end the discussion before the day cycle is 1/4 of the way done, by all means just vote for me and agree that its obvious. If you don't feel that way, do your own analysis and point fingers. Town doesn't win by singing Kum Ba Yah, My Lord.


I think this is pretty important to parse through, because it makes me want to refrain from lynching Mordanis until day 2 or 3. I'm going to state that I share Mordanis' and Keir's concerns that Golbat may be scum. This is especially true if Mordanis flips green or blue--then Golbat is very clearly red, and vice versa.

That being said, however, I'm still pretty suspicious of Mordanis' desire to start scumhunting an hour and a half into the game, when only half of the players had even posted. This was exacerbated by the fact that his case against Keir was extremely poor, almost intentionally so--as if Mordanis wanted more heat than light to be shed on the situation.

One of the main things I'd like to point out here is that scum do not necessarily have to play quietly. It's easier for the scum to play that way, but playing loudly is also a valid scum tactic for sowing discord and division within the town--which is what I thought Mord's post was trying to do.

Now that the Keir case is closed, however, and Mord+Keir have both identified Golbat's behavior as pretty odd in and of itself, then I think it would be worthwhile to take a look at Golbat. (I'm still a suspicious of Mord, but mainly because his behavior has created so much uncertainty as to what he really could be--and Golbat can clear up a lot of that.)

Besides being the first one to "formally" vote for Mordanis, Golbat was also the first one to accuse Mord of faulty analysis. Granted, Golbat's claims were valid--but his more recent posts have made me pretty suspicious.

First, let's ignore the list for a bit--we'll circle back to it, but one general thing to note about Golbat's posting: he seems to spend more time trying to make himself look like a townie than trying to figure out who is scum. This is the kicker that shifted my focus from Mord to him.

Look at this train of posts below:
+ Show Spoiler [Golbat's posts since the "…] +

On July 27 2012 16:21 Golbat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 27 2012 16:14 Keirathi wrote:
On July 27 2012 16:07 Golbat wrote:
Keir He hasn't even called out his accuser as being scummy at all.


On July 27 2012 16:07 Golbat wrote:
Mord I really like the OMGUS! vote though, <3.


So you call Mord out for OMGUS'ing you, but want me to OMGUS him?

That's not what I said. I said that you didn't call him out at all, not that you didn't vote for him. I wouldn't expect you to vote for someone just because they voted for you. But saying "hey bro, cool your jets" at least would have been something. Until page 12 I'm pretty sure you didn't even respond to his accusations, but I might have missed a post. What Mord did was go "Oh so you're gonna vote for me? WELL I'M GONNA VOTE FOR YOU, TAKE THAT! Completely different.


And then this post:


On July 27 2012 16:49 Golbat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 27 2012 16:26 Keirathi wrote:
@Goldbat: I responded to both of his posts regarding me with pretty strong dismissals for being a bad case.

My apologies. I completely forgot about those two posts. Maybe i'm being too hasty with my accusing Mord of being scum from one bad read early in the game. It just seems really fishy that he stuck with it for so long. For the time being mord, I'm not convinced you're not scum, but i'm being convinced less and less that you are the more I think about it. So for the time being,

##unvote

I just really want to win my first game, and I want to do it while playing well, which is what got me excited to get a slam-dunk mafia kill on day one. I know for a fact that i'm not scum, and that's all I really know at this point. Right now, besides Mord, I think that our best bet is to see who isn't contributing anything to the discusssion and then get rid of them. I admit that all of my reads so far could be wrong 100%. However, i don't think posting my day1 reads about all of the people is the same thing as making a town list, because I didn't even give an opinion on half of the people. I could also do without your "oh look at how good I am, you guys are bad" attitude. This is a newbie game, and calling people bad accomplishes nothing except potentially driving people away.

P.S. I know I said "i'm not one to throw votes around yadda yadda yadda, but + Show Spoiler +
That was me trying to be all internet tough
. I'll try to tone down my accusatory-ness, but that's just me being new to the game.


And this:


On July 27 2012 18:51 Golbat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 27 2012 18:42 alan133 wrote:
I have read and re-read the filters but couldn't find anything other than Mordanis' "meh" case on Kei and subsequent cases against Mordanis for that.

I was kinda thrown off when Golbat decides to unvote Mordanis because he started off having high confidence that he is scum. His "I am a newbie post" also contributes to my suspicions on him. I quickly dismissed them because I still have my FOS on Mordanis and he did a case on Golbat too.

Now that Ange777 has mentioned it, I would like to ask Golbat, what makes you think that Mordanis is not scum anymore? To me, his only "townie points" is that he is the first player who built a case, but that's about it. Is there some "obvious" reason that I missed? Every time I re-read Mordanis's posts I am more convinced that he is scum.


The reason I backed off of Mord is because I felt like I may have been pushing too strongly against him based on his first bad read. I didn't want to appear to be scum myself, so I backed off for the moment. I still have a sneaking suspicion about him that he may be mafia, but I didn't want to lynch myself by pushing too hard on a bad read.

I feel like i've been talking in circles around mord, "He's scum, no he's town, no he might be scum, no he's probably town", so I feel like I need to take a definite stance on the matter, and that is

##FoS Mordanis

It's not the flat-out vote that it was before, but I still don't trust you. I've heard several times to trust my reads, and so this is my position. We'll see what happens between now and lynch time.

+ Show Spoiler +
but for real now, I need to step away from the thread for a few hours


And this:


On July 27 2012 18:44 Golbat wrote:
I can understand why you would read my actions so far in the game as scum, but they're honestly just the actions of a bad player who thought he had a dead on scum read and was most likely very, very wrong. From now on i'll be more careful with who I vote for, because while I DID indeed redact my vote, I really really dislike when that happens on the whole. I got a little carried away and luckily it happened this early on and not in a situation where I might have cause a loss for town.

Basically, I'm NOT scum, and anything scummy I have said or done so far can be explained by my inexperience.

After reading Prom's post (especially the bit regarding self-imposed posting limits), I feel like it's time for me to take a break, especially after spewing so much bullshit and bad play all over the thread. See you in about 6-12 hours.


As soon as people start pressuring him, Golbat says that he's not scum in 4 different ways. He emphasizes his newbieness, he says he's just eager to win, then he self-consciously makes a post to make himself not seem like a flip-flopper. Then, when he finally realizes he's digging himself into a hole, he decides to pull the Ostrich maneuver and stick his head into said hole for 6-12 hours. Undoubtedly, if he is red, he is now sending a clear signal to his buddies to bail him out and hopefully shift the discussion to someone else by the time he is out of said hole.

Next post will be about Golbat's "list post".


EBWOP:

Just realized I forgot to slot in why Mord's post makes me want to hold off to Day2/3--Mord highlights "drawing attention to himself" and a willingness to stand up for his beliefs as keystones of his in-game habits. The thing with this playstyle is that playing as a "noisy scum" is very hard to keep up over 2 or 3 in-game days, because in a game as small as this, the analysis will very quickly start to shift in the right direction and noisy attempts to derail become more and more risky as the posts pile on--inevitably a fairly major scumslip will be made.

By committing publicly to this sort of strategy, we can judge Mord the following way: if Mord continues to play loud and does not get quiet over the next few days, then Mord will either burn out quickly and scumslip or prove that he is not scum. If Mord quiets down after Day 1, then his above post basically consigns him to becoming an easy lynch--especially if Golbat flips blue/green.


the bolded part at the end is essentially saying that we should lynch Golbat and if he is green lynch Mord. That seems to be setting us up for two mislynches and, if Sands ever flips red these two are pretty much confirmed town.

So based on Sands' play I think that he is scum. He has earned my FoS and as of this moment he would be my vote if nothing changed between now and lynch. I'll be keeping my eye on him because, as he said,
Show nested quote +
By committing publicly to this sort of strategy, we can judge Mord the following way: if Mord continues to play loud and does not get quiet over the next few days, then Mord will either burn out quickly and scumslip or prove that he is not scum. If Mord quiets down after Day 1, then his above post basically consigns him to becoming an easy lynch
just replace Mord with Sands and you see the truth of the statement. He has to keep going and, as Keir well knows, loud scum are easy to find.


, which contains the nugget: "Where he puts a lot of bull shit into the thread and nothing real. He literally used post counts to increase the size of his filter." I'd like to know how you, Promethelax, can try to moderate for inane/useless posts when you've been at least as bad as anyone else.

The other thing that confuses me is the petulance with which Promethelax is trying to become the "town mayor". Here are a few examples: + Show Spoiler +
On July 31 2012 17:33 Promethelax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 31 2012 17:29 Mordanis wrote:
On July 31 2012 17:16 DarthPunk wrote:
On July 31 2012 17:14 Mordanis wrote:
Just for clarity, is there definitely 3 scum or is the number ambiguous? Same for other roles, i.e. could there be multiple vigis or medics etc.?

This has been answered previously http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=C9++ we are loosely based on this setup.
so multiple blue roles and no confirmed number of reds or blues.

C9++ also allows for SK, which is why I wanted to make sure this is indeed the case. How loose is loosely?


If you have set up questions ask the host otherwise you are just wasting thread space and padding your filter while adding nothing to the thread.

On July 30 2012 18:14 Promethelax wrote:
Sorry I'm on my way to bed and I figured I would quickly reply to Karma before falling asleep. I am sure I'll miss some points but the basic one of why is my play so different now than it was is that I work Tuesday-Saturday. I play better on my days off.

As to the town leader thing: I just spent like ten minutes looking for the quote but couldn't find it. I think it was Marv who said (and I'm paraphrasing) "town needs two things, a good annalist and a good leader; they don't have to be the same person they just both have to exist" I'm not saying I should be a town leader or a town analyst, I am saying that town is following my analysis and that I am taking things said by players whom I greatly respect and trying to forge my town play around that. If the two things that town needs are a good leader and someone with good analysis I will try to provide both.
I think you and I don't see eye to eye on what a town leader is. I'm not saying we should elect a mayor, I'm saying having someone who is clearly pro-town trying to create a pro-town environment is a necessity for town. By town leader I mean someone who is creating an environment where town flourishes even if the person creating that environment has their head up their ass on every single one of their reads.

. Now I am familiar with how some things in this game just don't function the way you'd expect them to, but why town would need a leader is beyond me. People who disrupt scum-hunting should be noticed, but I don't know why having a judiciary saying "Thou shalt not do X" helps, especially when scum tend to try to gain that position quite often. And why town only needs one analyst is also beyond me, as it seems that the more the merrier. I think scum would be the ones wanting people following one of 2 people at all times, not town.

Essentially, from what I've read about XIX Promethelax kind of mauled town by getting into the "town circle", and controlling the game from there. I don't think a smart person could try the same strategy against people its already been used on and expect to win again. For that reason, Promethelax's inconsistent/illogical/ seems to be a mild indicator of scumminess. Also, being relatively inactive during one day reduces the amount of stuff any player needs to defend himself later.

Edit before having to double post (EBHTDP)
I am still confused by large parts of his play. For instance the part about lynching semi-lurkers seems sort of like what he's doing. GK hasn't posted nearly as many times as Prom himself, myself, Keir, Ange, Obvious, or Shady. 6 players of 12 left have 3 or more pages in their filter, the other 6 have 2. GK has spent a lot of his time defending himself, so if you take that away he's pretty lurky. But the caffeine is wearing off now, see y'all in the morning. Still, I like the content he generated with that post on GK, so I'll be watching Prom closely. I seriously need to pass out now though :/




He states many reasons why he thinks prom is scummy, yet the conclusion of the post doesn't really say anything and is incredibly wishy-washy.

His next post

+ Show Spoiler +
On August 01 2012 03:54 Mordanis wrote:
My opinion on whom to lynch will be heavily influenced by what Prom and SS post. I will be able to vote (don't have anything to take me away) and if neither post in like 20 minutes, I'll just go ahead without their posts.



He doesn't want to commit to anyone without having as much information as possible. To me this is very scummy.


+ Show Spoiler +
On August 01 2012 04:50 Mordanis wrote:
TT
Was hoping I wouldn't have to do this, but here goes. I do not understand Promethelax's play. It has been at times hypocritical, illogical, and bad. I see very little scum motivation for the way he's been playing, assuming he's a competent player. I don't see any town motivation either, so I would prefer to wait to see if he continues to play the way he has. I haven't been able to look into GK's play much, and Promethelax's case on him isn't very strong, so I can't in good conscience vote for him unless I see another good case on him. Shady is in a similar position to Prom where he's had lurky play one day and weird play the other. Still, I can't seem to pin his play in this cycle as scummy. I don't know why people are suspicious of Zork.

In other words, we have kind of a lousy set of cases today, for which I hold myself partly responsible. All in all though, I feel that Promethelax is the best target. His play could be described as a way to disrupt the scum-hunt, to get into a position of town-trust, to buddy up with players to make them feel bad for voting for him. I actually feel bad voting for him at this point, but he is my strongest read.

##Vote: Promethelax



The half of the post in which he actually votes for someone Is actually spent being wishy-washy and distancing himself from a mis-lynch.
Show nested quote +
Was hoping I wouldn't have to do this, but here goes.


Show nested quote +
I haven't been able to look into GK's play much, and Promethelax's case on him isn't very strong, so I can't in good conscience vote for him unless I see another good case on him. Shady is in a similar position to Prom where he's had lurky play one day and weird play the other. Still, I can't seem to pin his play in this cycle as scummy. I don't know why people are suspicious of Zork.


Show nested quote +
In other words, we have kind of a lousy set of cases today

He doesn't give any good reasons for jumping on the promethelax vote at the last minute. Doesn't state why he feels like it is a bad choice. doesn't really say anything. His play from the Golbat lynch onwards has been like night and day, there is a Dramatic shift in style and he is spending a lot of time trying to lay low, make wishy-washy conclusions mitigate damage etc.
I have always found Mordanis to be suspicious. I continue to find him suspicious. I have watched him and will continue to watch him.


So your claim to have been watching me the entire time. You jumped on my bandwagon before the cycle I was even lynched. Sweet. And yet you completely ignored me for the entirety of D2 while pushing your case on Prom. A case which was really weak. Why would you ignore someone you thought was scum for an entire 2 cycles (N2 also). Strange.

I have no fucking clue what you mean about the case about my play D1. You say I lead the lynch hard and call that scummy but also call my suspicion of SS and my "lack of contribution" scummy. WTF does this mean. Then you call me retarded. Right.

My case on Shady and what was apparently a blatant lie: Somehow not tunneling one player is scummy? Thinking about what things mean rather than being biased is scummy? I think changing opinions on who is the scummiest D1 is pretty aligned with town; the amount of information available to town changes very quickly that early in the game, whereas for scum they don't get much more than they started with. And how I distanced myself from the case when I wrote this + Show Spoiler +
On July 29 2012 04:39 Mordanis wrote:
Right now, I'm just going to post what my reads are to this point, regarding what has been posted in the last several hours.

Shady:
This post: + Show Spoiler +
On July 28 2012 22:23 Shady Sands wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 28 2012 21:30 Promethelax wrote:
On July 28 2012 21:00 Shady Sands wrote:
On July 28 2012 20:36 Promethelax wrote:
Hi all! Back from work late and I'm blasted to bare with me if I'm not making sense, I'll clarify after I sleep and wake up if anything is obfuscated by my mental sate right now.

Well, a few things have changed since I was away, I see.

aR: I actually found your Haiku to be pretty easy to read. I'm glad you stopped with them since one or two took some time for me to work out but in general I don't feel that they obscured your ideas too much.

Unless I'm shit-house retarded this
Reading through the thread. Lots of material to work with, nice job town.

was posted two hours ago by SS and he never said anything else. I'll be voting for him based on my earlier case and his lurky response to it, if there was a case on me I'd do my damndest to explain my behaviour to town and make sure that people hunt scum instead of me.

So, Shady seems really suspicious to me and I will be voting for him, I hope you all will join me and lynch this scum bastard today. I'll be up for a while more and may pop back in to the thread before going to sleep. I probably won't post again after sleeping until 24 hours from now when I get out of work tomorrow.

For now:
##Vote: ShadySands


Have a more substantive post on the front burner, but I think this post is something we need to note. Look through Promethelax's filter: he makes an accusation against me, then signs off, sees no response to his accusations and says I'm lurking, then calls for a lynch because someone hasn't responded to his accusations yet.

His reasoning in going from FoS Shady Sands to Vote Shady Sands is a single two-hour old post that says I'm reading through the thread.

I think we have better candidates to lynch, but this behavior strikes me as fairly scummy.


ah, no. You're wrong there. We're getting close to deadline for me (because I'll be asleep for a while) and no one has shown me anything that makes me think anyone is scummier than you or that you are town and therefore less scummy than someone else.

I didn't place my vote early because I don't like to vote really early. I Placed my vote when the thread had time to do its thing and make other cases or defenses, I like to be informed before I make my decisions.

I would have voted for you even without your most recent post. I just thought I would mention it since I had a chase against you and more post was, once again, scummy.

tl;dr I was going to vote you unless 1) you had posted a convincing defense of yourself or 2)someone had made a case that made me think someone was scummier than you. Neither of those things happened while I was at work. I voted for you.


Ah, ok. I just found it a little wierd that you wouldn't mention at all the huge debate surrounding golbat or mordanis, instead only talking about aRyujin's haikus and my one-liner post.

I'm going to write a defense post now--hope it addresses your concerns (and the concerns of anyone else who shares your line of thinking.)

makes me think he is town. Even though he's under pressure, he's still looking for scum. Then his whole Golbat/me conspiracy thing: + Show Spoiler +
On July 29 2012 03:23 Shady Sands wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 29 2012 03:07 Ange777 wrote:
On July 29 2012 02:54 Shady Sands wrote:
On July 29 2012 02:31 Ange777 wrote:
@Shady:

On July 29 2012 01:00 Shady Sands wrote:
First, because, as I've stated before, Golbat is the player which I think is most likely to be scum based on his D1 posts and behavior, and second, because Mordanis is a very active player, which means that if Golbat flips blue/green Mordanis will need to make a lot of explanatory posting under quite a bit of pressure (since he was the first one to FoS Golbat). Either way, Golbat brings a lot of clarity to the town. I never said that we should auto-lynch Mordanis if Golbat flips green/blue--rather that since it will be easy for town to put pressure on Mordanis if Golbat flips non-scum, and that Mordanis is an active poster, then it will be easy to make him crack if he is scum.


So if we are not supposed to auto-lynch Mordanis if Golbat flips green/blue, how are we to interpret your following statement?

On July 27 2012 20:33 Shady Sands wrote:
I'm going to state that I share Mordanis' and Keir's concerns that Golbat may be scum. This is especially true if Mordanis flips green or blue--then Golbat is very clearly red, and vice versa.




That if Mordanis flips red, Golbat is green/blue, and if Mordanis flips green/blue, Golbat is red.


Do you mind elaborating how you came up with this conclusion???


This was part of a discussion on whether or not to lynch Mordanis and whether or not to lynch Golbat. From my POV, it looked unlikely that scum would be bussing their own members on Day 1, given that Day 1 lynch rates tended to mislynches anyhow. Therefore, the first half of the statement--that if Mord flips red, Golbat (his main accuser) should be green/blue. I did not state this in the thread because I thought this was apparent.

The second half of the statement--that if Mord flips green/blue, Golbat should be red--is because Golbat was, as Mord noted, the first person to start hinting at lynching Mord (before other people had even made up their minds about it) and also made that extremely suspicious "end all discussion, vote Mord" post. This smelled to me like either extremely bad town play (which I, as a general rule, try not to believe in--I think that most players will behave fairly intelligently) or a clear attempt by a red to push for a mislynch. So if Mord was innocent, then the likeliest red would be Golbat.

Then, after writing that, I started reading through Golbat's posts themselves, and they suggested an added layer of guilt--especially his flip-flopping and multiple backtracking to defend himself. Then Golbat tried defending himself some more, and looked even more scummy, etc. etc.
seems to be exactly what I mean when I talk about an idea put forward by someone else that I don't agree with/find logical. I disagree with his assessment, but I don't know what scum would gain by posting it.

Golbat:
His latest post: + Show Spoiler +
On July 28 2012 13:46 Golbat wrote:
I'll probably be able to read the thread before I have to go to work tomorrow morning, but in case I don't get that chance,

##Vote aRyujin

This is why I am voting for him: His haiku style makes it easy for him to fill up his posts with a shit load of waffle and some nearly baseless accusations and almost get away with it. I hope in between now and deadline the eye of suspicion takes a long, hard look at him, because his confusing waffle is nothing short of a full-on impediment to real discussion.

I would also consider voting for Shady Sands, depending on the consensus of the town for these reasons : His direct swap from "I agree with golbat, let's lynch Mord" after Mord drew such attention to himself to "Let's lynch Golbat and then Mord, because one of them HAS to be scum" after people started questioning me is something that I don't think anybody else agreed with. The way he seemed so concrete about who we should lynch for multiple days is really suspicious. We should be picking lynches on a day by day basis as more discussion takes place, not queue up our votes for several days straight.

Right now these two seem to me to be the most scummy. Of course, if someone else decides to act scummy as all get out, i'd be happy to vote for them as well, but at the moment these two seem the most suspicious.

Hopefully i'll be able to get back and read/contribute more in the morning, as i'll be at work when the deadline hits and won't be home for three or four hours after that.

strikes me as very scummy. The purpose: to delay the vote against himself by posting a red-herring case against someone else. It is the weakest reasoning I've seen for a vote, and it strikes me as mafia-goal-motivated. It wouldn't give us much information regardless of how Aryuujin flipped, and also discourages discussion. Then he says he'd vote for Shady basically just because Shady went from agreeing with him to disagreeing.

For now, I'll be going to vote for Golbat, but I want to make it clear that I think that a no-lynch at this point would be disastrous, so I would change to keep this from happening.

##Vote: Golbat

Can we get another vote count? Plz!

seems like you'd have to be chewing lead-paint-chip bubble gum to believe. Or biased. Or scum. I said SS was much more town-motivated, while Golbat was scum-motivated.

DP again misreads my post on Prom. I said I was confused by his play, I did not say it was scummy.

DP then goes on to say that my not wanting to vote without information is scummy. Why? Scum know the flip, and with their handy-dandy knowledge of who's who its a lot easier to understand peoples' play. Who is killed doesn't matter as much to scum either because as long as it furthers their goal of remaining undetected, they are happy with the result. They keep their kp. Town, on the other hand, gets only one vote for one lynch per day. With very limited information, trying to get information before voting seems rather more suited towards town play than scum.

Again DP completely ignores what he just posted on me to build his nonsensical case on me. The previous thing that he called me out for being wishy-washy is my reason for thinking the lynch on Prom was a bad choice. Prom's play was confusing, but it didn't help scum really. He called me out for thinking it was a weak case but ignores my explanation for why and then calls me out for not explaining why I thought it was a weak case. Wow, that logic seemed pretty circular.

Long story short, the few things in this case that might seem weird have no justification for why they are scummy, and the rest is DP citing one short period of time and calling me out for doing one thing and the opposite of that thing. DP is either too busy eating glue to think, too biased to think critically, or scum.



A final note to DP: I really don't hate you. But your play has been incredibly obnoxious (Really, you've been focused only on me except for a brief interlude pushing a case on Prom) to me and your refusal to even clarify your argument and your ignoring of what I have posted in defence and calling it weak without explaining is at best rude, at worst rude and incredibly arrogant. Hopefully you'll stop acting to this way, and if not then I guess I'll just have to avoid you, because I don't like people who are mean for the sake of being mean. Please read the part in the OP where it says "This means you play your best to help your team win while you are alive and in the game. However, this does not mean that you should try to win by being a jerk to the other players so they all want to quit playing."

Edit before having to double post:

On August 03 2012 15:10 Obvious.660 wrote:
I'm willing to get behind the Mordanis vote (Shady Sands' vote candidate) to secure a lynch, as I'm hoping he's not going to change it at this point. Probably should switch now, tomorrow is 12 hours on my feet in the heat and I'm out the door as soon as I wake up and get ready. I'll try to check in to see what's up in 8 hours or so but honestly, probably won't get the chance until ~24 hours from now. Good luck, friends.

##UNVOTE
##VOTE Mordanis

So you're jumping on a bandwagon and leaving, along with Aryuu, and hoping that I'm going to be lynched over anyone else. This is seriously the dumbest vote I've ever seen. Seriously, does everyone just hate me with a passion?
I love the smell of napalm in the morning... it smells like... victory. -_^ Favorite SC2 match ->Liquid`HerO vs. SlayerS CranK g.1 @MLG Summer Championship
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10854 Posts
August 03 2012 06:32 GMT
#810
On August 03 2012 14:50 goodkarma wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2012 12:57 DarthPunk wrote:
on zorkmid

There is a case on Zork. I just feel like it is weaker than the case on Mordanis. Add that to the fact that mord is once again ad hearing to his Modus Operandi.
On August 02 2012 15:04 Shady Sands wrote:
He's set up a rhythm here: find a weakness that isn't directly related to being scummy (newbieness and past play), second an accusation, then sit back and watch the fireworks, and possibly set up a (mis)lynch for the next day if possible. All this smacks of a very aggressive scum play.

That once again it seems like he is getting out of a lynch despite the mountain of evidence against him and without even addressing the cases against him. (which he has never done) and the fact that GK seems to be colluding to defend him, to me, without a doubt, mord is [r]scum[/r].



There is a case on Zorkmid... At least we can agree with me on that. Your out-of-nowhere conspiracy theory, though, to use Prox's words, is "Pants-on-Head Retarded."

I give the town a winning strategy: Get behind a (confirmed town!) leader so we can come to a consensus and lynch a scum. This is something that no intelligent scum would do when without leadership all they need to do to win right now is sit in one spot and lurk around.


Your strategy, on the other hand, seems to be: Mord. way, or the highway + Show Spoiler +
(clever, huh? )
. That you completely disregard the merits of my strategy, and then tunnel vision on your target when there are multiple scum reads right now (even by your estimation) is something I find suspicious. Mafia only needs one more mislynch to secure LYLO for town the rest of the game. As scum, even if you're open about lynching Mord., and next turn are caught for it, town has to be right three consecutive times. This is even harder if at any step of the way Shady gets picked off. Your accusations are coming on way too strong, way too fast to fit as a concerned town. Add to that your tunnel vision towards Mord, and the fact mafia pretty much wins this with one more mislynch:

#FoS DarthPunk


All I hope is that Shady can rally everyone behind a candidate in time. And if he doesn't contribute any new discussion soon, I will be changing my vote to Mord to coincide with his. Even though I don't feel he's the strongest scum candidate, he definitely has done some scummy things, and to catch a scum at this time town needs to unite together. I recommend everyone to follow Shady's vote, as he's the only person right now town can trust. You may call it sheeping, but what's even worse is town sticks with their own scum reads on 2+ people, mafia lols, and no scum get lynched.


TL;DR:
United we stand. Divided we fall...




Let me Illustrate why I disagree with your 'plan' of everyone vote who shady votes. I feel that this is MORE LIKELY to lead to a mislynch. You are taking away the power of our votes. you a reducing the robustness of the town by removing their tools (read their Vote) to find scum. It is a lot easier for scum if they know the outcome of a vote by reading one players position. It is a lot easier for scum to manipulate the vote of one player. A robust discussion with the ability to vote for your strongest read is to my mind a lot more valuable than a plan for the entire town to sheep one player. This sort of plan reeks of anti town play.

On August 03 2012 14:50 goodkarma wrote:
I give the town a winning strategy: Get behind a (confirmed town!) leader so we can come to a consensus and lynch a scum. This is something that no intelligent scum would do when without leadership all they need to do to win right now is sit in one spot and lurk around.


It is great to have a confirmed town. and certainly you should give weight to his opinions. But I hardly call your plan a 'town winning strategy' blindly sheeping Shady Sands will reduce discussion because what point is there in making cases if we just blindly sheep one player?

The main arguement you seem to be making is that because the town is divided [b]Right now[/b] we need to sheep shady. None of us are stupid. i have stated before and have stated again. If it comes down to a situation in which i am required to alter my vote in order to prevent a no lynch I will do that. So will everyone else here.

The rest of your case against me seems to be OMGUS. I am pursuing Mord as he is by far my strongest read. The cases against him have not been answered and his quietly sitting behind the zorkmid case that ange777 made and "watching the fireworks" as shady put it.
On August 03 2012 14:50 goodkarma wrote:
Your strategy, on the other hand, seems to be: Mord. way, or the highway + Show Spoiler +
(clever, huh? )
. That you completely disregard the merits of my strategy, and then tunnel vision on your target when there are multiple scum reads right now (even by your estimation) is something I find suspicious.

Do you want me to cast suspicion on the entire town? It seems you have a vested interest in me discontinuing my case against mord. As I have said before I will alter my vote to prevent a no lynch or if i feel another case is stronger than the case on mord. I will not however, apologise for going after my strongest scum read and continuing to do so when he has not contributed an adequate defense.

If you want to bring any real cases against me or anyone else I will be happy to read them and respond. That would be preferable to your posting today which has contained a chainsaw defense of mordanis, OMGUS, WIFOM and your 'town saving' let's sheep shady sands initiative.
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10854 Posts
August 03 2012 06:50 GMT
#811
On August 03 2012 15:23 Mordanis wrote:
A final note to DP: I really don't hate you. But your play has been incredibly obnoxious (Really, you've been focused only on me except for a brief interlude pushing a case on Prom) to me and your refusal to even clarify your argument and your ignoring of what I have posted in defence and calling it weak without explaining is at best rude, at worst rude and incredibly arrogant. Hopefully you'll stop acting to this way, and if not then I guess I'll just have to avoid you, because I don't like people who are mean for the sake of being mean. Please read the part in the OP where it says "This means you play your best to help your team win while you are alive and in the game. However, this does not mean that you should try to win by being a jerk to the other players so they all want to quit playing."


Before I address your post I wanted to respond to this, because I feel really bad about it. To Mord and anyone else that may be offended by my posting I apologise. To me this is a game and when I attack peoples posts I am just attacking their posts in the game, not them personally. I don't hate anyone here at all. Far from it. I am trying my best to play the game. Follow my reads etc. I really do not want to upset or offend anyone. And I especially do not want to make the game so unfun for people that they wish to stop playing. If whilst I pursue scum and make cases and counter cases etc. I come across that way, I once again apologise. Perhaps this is not the game for me.

I will continue playing this game out. I am a friendly guy in real life but if this is a consistent feeling amongst all the players here then I do not like making others feel bad and therefore this will probably be my last game.

Nonetheless. I am going to read your post and respond.
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
goodkarma
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States1067 Posts
August 03 2012 06:56 GMT
#812
@DarthPunk:

I read Mord.'s terrible Keir arguement during the opening of the game, and I have seen his wishy-washy, noncommital arguements against people such as Prox. I agree with the cases brought against him. His actions certainly have made him look scummy, but I feel they are being taken into consideration without considering if he could play the same way as town. Look at where "scum reads" have gotten us days one and two.

Golbat and Prox., in my opinion, played town terribly. But just as much as it was their responsibility to prove their innocence, it was ours to determine if their motivations could fit those of a townie playing badly. While I agree that Mord. could very well be scum, from what I've seen he could also be a town that isn't playing very well. Since that perspective hasn't been contributed by others, that is what I've brought to the "Mord. case." And as for my statistics: feel free to call it speculation, but if I'm right there are scum that have also contributed to the case against him and want him lynched.

As for pursuing lurky-type persons? There are about three "lurkers," all of which have acted suspiciously (aRyuujin, Zork, JingleHell), and three mafia. There is no reason to assume that all mafia this game couldn't be "lurkers." Feel free to call me biased toward only lurkers, but remember I've also made a case against Prox who definitely wasn't a lurker in day 2.

On the other hand, you are definitely biased toward only finding "loud scum." And there's no guarantee scum in the "loud" category even exist this game. The bottom line: scum is scum, no matter where they come from. My strongest reads happen to come from the "lurker" category right now. I have made what I feel to be a strong case against aRyuujin, and have added to the case against Zork. I encourage you to read what I've written on them, and tell me exactly why it is my case is weaker than your Mord. case.

And I am 100% certain that aRyuujin, specifically, will not contribute any more than he already has. Everything about his play screams scum to me, perhaps just as much as everything about Mord. seems to scream scum to you. And unlike everyone else here, no further evidence is going to come up to convince others that hasn't shown already since he has become methodical with his "rehash arguement, make FoS, later make vote" routine. I feel justified in pushing my case for his lynch today, because I know that if he is scum (and I'm quite sure he is), and it gets to LYLO he will get a free pass thanks to people like you, and will be able to passively win the game.
ObviousOne
Profile Joined April 2012
United States3704 Posts
August 03 2012 07:15 GMT
#813
On August 03 2012 15:10 Obvious.660 wrote:
I'm willing to get behind the Mordanis vote (Shady Sands' vote candidate) to secure a lynch, as I'm hoping he's not going to change it at this point. Probably should switch now, tomorrow is 12 hours on my feet in the heat and I'm out the door as soon as I wake up and get ready. I'll try to check in to see what's up in 8 hours or so but honestly, probably won't get the chance until ~24 hours from now. Good luck, friends.

##UNVOTE
##VOTE Mordanis


Okay. Here it is. I can't in good conscience trust Shady Sands implicitly. He's been wrong about 1-Golbat. 2-Promethelax and quite possibly he's now wrong about 3-Mordanis (maybe 4th will be Obvious?).

We also can't trust GoodKarma at his word for voting with Shady Sands. If we could have, he would have switched already.

So, fuck it. I'm going back on this vote I just posted and putting it to Zorkmid. I didn't spend 2 hours on my post only to piss it away because some clown told me otherwise.

I broke my own rule.

WE VOTE FOR SCUM HERE.

I've got to put my vote back on Zorkmid or I won't sleep tonight.

##UNVOTE
##VOTE Zorkmid
Fear is the only darkness. ~Destiny Fan Club operator~
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 03 2012 07:23 GMT
#814
Ok, I just got up and quickly skimmed through and I really can't believe that people are not voting for Zork .... I can only urge you to go back and read my case against him and his defense against it!
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
ObviousOne
Profile Joined April 2012
United States3704 Posts
August 03 2012 07:25 GMT
#815
On August 03 2012 16:23 Ange777 wrote:
Ok, I just got up and quickly skimmed through and I really can't believe that people are not voting for Zork .... I can only urge you to go back and read my case against him and his defense against it!

I don't trust you, either.
Fear is the only darkness. ~Destiny Fan Club operator~
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 03 2012 07:26 GMT
#816
On August 03 2012 16:25 Obvious.660 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2012 16:23 Ange777 wrote:
Ok, I just got up and quickly skimmed through and I really can't believe that people are not voting for Zork .... I can only urge you to go back and read my case against him and his defense against it!

I don't trust you, either.


You have suspicions against me? Fire away.
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Mordanis
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States893 Posts
August 03 2012 07:29 GMT
#817
On August 03 2012 15:50 DarthPunk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2012 15:23 Mordanis wrote:
A final note to DP: I really don't hate you. But your play has been incredibly obnoxious (Really, you've been focused only on me except for a brief interlude pushing a case on Prom) to me and your refusal to even clarify your argument and your ignoring of what I have posted in defence and calling it weak without explaining is at best rude, at worst rude and incredibly arrogant. Hopefully you'll stop acting to this way, and if not then I guess I'll just have to avoid you, because I don't like people who are mean for the sake of being mean. Please read the part in the OP where it says "This means you play your best to help your team win while you are alive and in the game. However, this does not mean that you should try to win by being a jerk to the other players so they all want to quit playing."


Before I address your post I wanted to respond to this, because I feel really bad about it. To Mord and anyone else that may be offended by my posting I apologise. To me this is a game and when I attack peoples posts I am just attacking their posts in the game, not them personally. I don't hate anyone here at all. Far from it. I am trying my best to play the game. Follow my reads etc. I really do not want to upset or offend anyone. And I especially do not want to make the game so unfun for people that they wish to stop playing. If whilst I pursue scum and make cases and counter cases etc. I come across that way, I once again apologise. Perhaps this is not the game for me.

I will continue playing this game out. I am a friendly guy in real life but if this is a consistent feeling amongst all the players here then I do not like making others feel bad and therefore this will probably be my last game.

Nonetheless. I am going to read your post and respond.

It's not that you're using impolite language or arguing purely ad hominem, its just that you're tunneling me in what seems to be a very biased fashion. You refuse to clarify arguments because you're so convinced of them, but won't even respond to defense other than saying it wasn't satisfactory. It's one thing to hunt for scum, another to just push a case regardless of what the person you've been working on posts or does. Really, you tunneled me D1 and N1, and you're back at it harder N2, and you won't even dignify my attempts to absolve myself with thought. Had you actually gone through the trouble of arguing a case, rather than posting a case and then ignoring everything I've posted, I'd be totally cool with it. You don't have to quit playing, in fact I'd say you should play much more, but it sucks to be tunneled and ignored for basically the entire game. If you are able to make argue case that is so convincing I can't dig my way out of it, I'll be happy to die a good townie death (our two previous townies' lynchings have sort of been duds, no defense, not posting good cases but instead just sort of disagreeing on principle) and see if I can't nail some scum in my dying hours. I am not afraid of dying, I am afraid of dying for no reason.

Anyways, I'm done defending myself, because at this point compiling analyses is infinitely preferable to defending myself ad nauseam, regardless of whether I am lynched or not. The scum hunt must never be stopped! I'll be back ~4 hours before the deadline, and I'll start reading through at that point. See you all in the morning!
I love the smell of napalm in the morning... it smells like... victory. -_^ Favorite SC2 match ->Liquid`HerO vs. SlayerS CranK g.1 @MLG Summer Championship
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10854 Posts
August 03 2012 07:50 GMT
#818
On August 03 2012 15:23 Mordanis wrote:
So your claim to have been watching me the entire time. You jumped on my bandwagon before the cycle I was even lynched. Sweet. And yet you completely ignored me for the entirety of D2 while pushing your case on Prom. A case which was really weak. Why would you ignore someone you thought was scum for an entire 2 cycles (N2 also). Strange.


Although this doesn't address the cases against you I will respond. I posted about you several times during day 2. They are contained within the case you quoted. I don't like to post much during night cycles as all it does is give mafia additional information upon which they can make a night kill. We can't lynch at night so I don't see the point in showing your hand.

On August 03 2012 15:23 Mordanis wrote:
I have no fucking clue what you mean about the case about my play D1. You say I lead the lynch hard and call that scummy but also call my suspicion of SS and my "lack of contribution" scummy. WTF does this mean. Then you call me retarded. Right.


This has all been stated previously. But you seem to want me to state it all gain so here goes.

The thing scummy with your day one play is that you lead the mislynch of Golbat for pretty much the entire day.
After the bandwagon had started rolling you said that you read obvious' filter from the previous game and that convinced you enough that Golbat was townie that you unvoted him. You then second the position of others and voted Shady Sands without basing it on reasoning or adding anything to the case.

The reason I believe this is scummy You lead a mislynch then once the ball was rolling you switched voted onto someone elses case. I believe you did that in order to distance you self from the mislynch and to set up a potential mis-lynch day 2. After receiving pressure from this turn of events from myself and Keirathi. you revert to your original position on Golbat. You were still one of the last to vote for golbat, despite leading his mislynch and amidst the confusion i believe you achieved your goal. To lead a mislynch on golbat whilst attempting to distance yourself from it, and potentially set up a mislynch on shady sands for the following cycle. I Have stated this a few times. I apologise if it was not clear enough to understand.
On August 03 2012 15:23 Mordanis wrote:
DP again misreads my post on Prom. I said I was confused by his play, I did not say it was scummy.
You posted a case on him and stated he was mildly scummy. Furthermore you were incredibly wishy-washy in your conclusion. Which is the main thing that is scummy because it was a dramatic shift in style from your day 1 play and allowed you to follow the position of others without sticking your neck out.

On July 31 2012 19:10 Mordanis wrote:
Essentially, from what I've read about XIX Promethelax kind of mauled town by getting into the "town circle", and controlling the game from there. I don't think a smart person could try the same strategy against people its already been used on and expect to win again. For that reason, Promethelax's inconsistent/illogical/ seems to be a mild indicator of scumminess. Also, being relatively inactive during one day reduces the amount of stuff any player needs to defend himself later.


Edit before having to double post (EBHTDP)
I am still confused by large parts of his play. For instance the part about lynching semi-lurkers seems sort of like what he's doing. GK hasn't posted nearly as many times as Prom himself, myself, Keir, Ange, Obvious, or Shady. 6 players of 12 left have 3 or more pages in their filter, the other 6 have 2. GK has spent a lot of his time defending himself, so if you take that away he's pretty lurky. But the caffeine is wearing off now, see y'all in the morning. Still, I like the content he generated with that post on GK, so I'll be watching Prom closely. I seriously need to pass out now though :/[/QUOTE]

On August 03 2012 15:23 Mordanis wrote:
DP then goes on to say that my not wanting to vote without information is scummy. Why? Scum know the flip, and with their handy-dandy knowledge of who's who its a lot easier to understand peoples' play. Who is killed doesn't matter as much to scum either because as long as it furthers their goal of remaining undetected, they are happy with the result. They keep their kp. Town, on the other hand, gets only one vote for one lynch per day. With very limited information, trying to get information before voting seems rather more suited towards town play than scum.


I disagree. You had all day to review the thread, filters and to post cases. Yet the posts you made were very wishy-washy. etc and non-committal. Waiting to see who others will vote for is scummy behaviour because it allows you to just join the most popular bandwagon in order to seem less conspicuous. Which is Exactly what you did in the end. During your vote you were wishy-washy and it seemed you were distancing yourself from the mislynch. I feel like what i have already posted on this topic makes sense. If you didn't think prox was scum why did you vote for him? If you did why were you so wishywashy and attempt to distance yourself from the lynch before he flipped the elegant solution is that you knew he was going to flip green and wanted to distance yourself from the mislynch but still ensure it happened. Therefore I feel it is scummy.
On August 03 2012 15:23 Mordanis wrote:
Again DP completely ignores what he just posted on me to build his nonsensical case on me. The previous thing that he called me out for being wishy-washy is my reason for thinking the lynch on Prom was a bad choice. Prom's play was confusing, but it didn't help scum really. He called me out for thinking it was a weak case but ignores my explanation for why and then calls me out for not explaining why I thought it was a weak case. Wow, that logic seemed pretty circular.

Long story short, the few things in this case that might seem weird have no justification for why they are scummy, and the rest is DP citing one short period of time and calling me out for doing one thing and the opposite of that thing. DP is either too busy eating glue to think, too biased to think critically, or scum.

I really don't understand this argument at all really. This is not true at all. I thought the cases on you were quite clear and I didn't feel the need to repeat the cases against you again. Your explanations I feel have not been adequate and seem to confirm you are scum because your defense of the case against you has been a mess. Others can understand the points and cases against you. I just assumed you would too.

(as I said previously I am sorry if you feel I have been/am being rude and obnoxious towards you. I am just arguing my case it is not personal)
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10854 Posts
August 03 2012 07:53 GMT
#819
ugh. formatting error again. ignore that.
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10854 Posts
August 03 2012 07:54 GMT
#820
EBWOP - Formatting

On August 03 2012 16:50 DarthPunk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2012 15:23 Mordanis wrote:
So your claim to have been watching me the entire time. You jumped on my bandwagon before the cycle I was even lynched. Sweet. And yet you completely ignored me for the entirety of D2 while pushing your case on Prom. A case which was really weak. Why would you ignore someone you thought was scum for an entire 2 cycles (N2 also). Strange.


Although this doesn't address the cases against you I will respond. I posted about you several times during day 2. They are contained within the case you quoted. I don't like to post much during night cycles as all it does is give mafia additional information upon which they can make a night kill. We can't lynch at night so I don't see the point in showing your hand.

Show nested quote +
On August 03 2012 15:23 Mordanis wrote:
I have no fucking clue what you mean about the case about my play D1. You say I lead the lynch hard and call that scummy but also call my suspicion of SS and my "lack of contribution" scummy. WTF does this mean. Then you call me retarded. Right.


This has all been stated previously. But you seem to want me to state it all gain so here goes.

The thing scummy with your day one play is that you lead the mislynch of Golbat for pretty much the entire day.
After the bandwagon had started rolling you said that you read obvious' filter from the previous game and that convinced you enough that Golbat was townie that you unvoted him. You then second the position of others and voted Shady Sands without basing it on reasoning or adding anything to the case.

The reason I believe this is scummy You lead a mislynch then once the ball was rolling you switched voted onto someone elses case. I believe you did that in order to distance you self from the mislynch and to set up a potential mis-lynch day 2. After receiving pressure from this turn of events from myself and Keirathi. you revert to your original position on Golbat. You were still one of the last to vote for golbat, despite leading his mislynch and amidst the confusion i believe you achieved your goal. To lead a mislynch on golbat whilst attempting to distance yourself from it, and potentially set up a mislynch on shady sands for the following cycle. I Have stated this a few times. I apologise if it was not clear enough to understand.
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2012 15:23 Mordanis wrote:
DP again misreads my post on Prom. I said I was confused by his play, I did not say it was scummy.
You posted a case on him and stated he was mildly scummy. Furthermore you were incredibly wishy-washy in your conclusion. Which is the main thing that is scummy because it was a dramatic shift in style from your day 1 play and allowed you to follow the position of others without sticking your neck out.

Show nested quote +
On July 31 2012 19:10 Mordanis wrote:
Essentially, from what I've read about XIX Promethelax kind of mauled town by getting into the "town circle", and controlling the game from there. I don't think a smart person could try the same strategy against people its already been used on and expect to win again. For that reason, Promethelax's inconsistent/illogical/ seems to be a mild indicator of scumminess. Also, being relatively inactive during one day reduces the amount of stuff any player needs to defend himself later.

Edit before having to double post (EBHTDP)
I am still confused by large parts of his play. For instance the part about lynching semi-lurkers seems sort of like what he's doing. GK hasn't posted nearly as many times as Prom himself, myself, Keir, Ange, Obvious, or Shady. 6 players of 12 left have 3 or more pages in their filter, the other 6 have 2. GK has spent a lot of his time defending himself, so if you take that away he's pretty lurky. But the caffeine is wearing off now, see y'all in the morning. Still, I like the content he generated with that post on GK, so I'll be watching Prom closely. I seriously need to pass out now though :/


Show nested quote +
On August 03 2012 15:23 Mordanis wrote:
DP then goes on to say that my not wanting to vote without information is scummy. Why? Scum know the flip, and with their handy-dandy knowledge of who's who its a lot easier to understand peoples' play. Who is killed doesn't matter as much to scum either because as long as it furthers their goal of remaining undetected, they are happy with the result. They keep their kp. Town, on the other hand, gets only one vote for one lynch per day. With very limited information, trying to get information before voting seems rather more suited towards town play than scum.


I disagree. You had all day to review the thread, filters and to post cases. Yet the posts you made were very wishy-washy. etc and non-committal. Waiting to see who others will vote for is scummy behaviour because it allows you to just join the most popular bandwagon in order to seem less conspicuous. Which is Exactly what you did in the end. During your vote you were wishy-washy and it seemed you were distancing yourself from the mislynch. I feel like what i have already posted on this topic makes sense. If you didn't think prox was scum why did you vote for him? If you did why were you so wishywashy and attempt to distance yourself from the lynch before he flipped the elegant solution is that you knew he was going to flip green and wanted to distance yourself from the mislynch but still ensure it happened. Therefore I feel it is scummy.
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2012 15:23 Mordanis wrote:
Again DP completely ignores what he just posted on me to build his nonsensical case on me. The previous thing that he called me out for being wishy-washy is my reason for thinking the lynch on Prom was a bad choice. Prom's play was confusing, but it didn't help scum really. He called me out for thinking it was a weak case but ignores my explanation for why and then calls me out for not explaining why I thought it was a weak case. Wow, that logic seemed pretty circular.

Long story short, the few things in this case that might seem weird have no justification for why they are scummy, and the rest is DP citing one short period of time and calling me out for doing one thing and the opposite of that thing. DP is either too busy eating glue to think, too biased to think critically, or scum.

I really don't understand this argument at all really. This is not true at all. I thought the cases on you were quite clear and I didn't feel the need to repeat the cases against you again. Your explanations I feel have not been adequate and seem to confirm you are scum because your defense of the case against you has been a mess. Others can understand the points and cases against you. I just assumed you would too.

(as I said previously I am sorry if you feel I have been/am being rude and obnoxious towards you. I am just arguing my case it is not personal)

"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
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