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Russo-Ukrainian War Thread - Page 338

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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
January 05 2023 22:31 GMT
#6741
Now the UK is pondering sending armor to Ukraine...

+ Show Spoiler +
do they have any... being serious.


"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9299 Posts
January 05 2023 23:18 GMT
#6742
Wikipedia says UK has 386 delivered and 227 operational Challengers. Even 30 would be a big help though it would be better if Ukraine received hundreds of tanks belonging to the same type. Leopards and Abramses are probably the only models that could fulfil that dream.
You're now breathing manually
Ardias
Profile Joined January 2014
Russian Federation618 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-01-05 23:28:52
January 05 2023 23:25 GMT
#6743
On January 06 2023 08:18 Sent. wrote:
Wikipedia says UK has 386 delivered and 227 operational Challengers. Even 30 would be a big help though it would be better if Ukraine received hundreds of tanks belonging to the same type. Leopards and Abramses are probably the only models that could fulfil that dream.

Latter one not seem to happen though.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/01/04/ukraine-bradley-fighting-vehicle/
"The administration continues to rule out sending even larger Abrams battle tanks, which weigh 55 tons and rely on a turbine engine that guzzles fuel at a drastic rate, said a second senior administration official. They are also prone to breakdowns and require extensive maintenance expertise."

Also I don't know if it's a journalist mistake, or a hint on a M1 variant which could be supplied, but modern M1A2 weights around 65 metric tons (I'm not sure which ones were refered to in the article, since it is, well, US newspaper). 54 metric tons is a basic M1 variant (these probably do not exist at the moment), and 57 t - M1A1 Cold War era ones.
On January 06 2023 06:13 maybenexttime wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 06 2023 02:14 Sent. wrote:
Correct me if I'm wrong, but celebrating on the 25th seems to be a new and optional thing in Ukraine. Ukrainians, especially those who prefer the old calendar, might support the idea of christmas ceasefire in January.

Afaik, NYE is much bigger than Christmas in both Russian and Ukraine, and is considered the main holiday. This is just a PR stunt by Putin.

Not sure who is the target of this PR though, I have seen only 4 reactions from Russians as of yet - laugh, hate, confusion or indifference.
Mess with the best or die like the rest.
Deleted User 173346
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
16169 Posts
January 05 2023 23:57 GMT
#6744
--- Nuked ---
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9299 Posts
January 06 2023 00:24 GMT
#6745
I think it's for soldiers and people who watch and believe their state TV. People who are either unable or unwilling to connect the dots and realize the soldiers wouldn't be there in the first place if their government didn't start the war for made up reasons.
You're now breathing manually
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
January 06 2023 01:13 GMT
#6746
These tanks from Germany are a welcome late Christmas present. And Europe's getting a mild January, too. Very fortunate situation all around.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
Copymizer
Profile Joined November 2010
Denmark2107 Posts
January 06 2023 11:31 GMT
#6747
Medvedev is not happy on telegram after USA announced they're sending armored combat vehicles to Ukraine. Lots of name calling and nazi accusations lol
https://t.me/medvedev_telegram/241
~~Yo man ! MBCGame HERO Fighting !! Holy check !
yoshi245
Profile Joined May 2011
United States2972 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-01-06 14:22:03
January 06 2023 14:14 GMT
#6748
On January 06 2023 08:25 Ardias wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 06 2023 08:18 Sent. wrote:
Wikipedia says UK has 386 delivered and 227 operational Challengers. Even 30 would be a big help though it would be better if Ukraine received hundreds of tanks belonging to the same type. Leopards and Abramses are probably the only models that could fulfil that dream.

Latter one not seem to happen though.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/01/04/ukraine-bradley-fighting-vehicle/
"The administration continues to rule out sending even larger Abrams battle tanks, which weigh 55 tons and rely on a turbine engine that guzzles fuel at a drastic rate, said a second senior administration official. They are also prone to breakdowns and require extensive maintenance expertise."

Also I don't know if it's a journalist mistake, or a hint on a M1 variant which could be supplied, but modern M1A2 weights around 65 metric tons (I'm not sure which ones were refered to in the article, since it is, well, US newspaper). 54 metric tons is a basic M1 variant (these probably do not exist at the moment), and 57 t - M1A1 Cold War era ones.
Show nested quote +
On January 06 2023 06:13 maybenexttime wrote:
On January 06 2023 02:14 Sent. wrote:
Correct me if I'm wrong, but celebrating on the 25th seems to be a new and optional thing in Ukraine. Ukrainians, especially those who prefer the old calendar, might support the idea of christmas ceasefire in January.

Afaik, NYE is much bigger than Christmas in both Russian and Ukraine, and is considered the main holiday. This is just a PR stunt by Putin.

Not sure who is the target of this PR though, I have seen only 4 reactions from Russians as of yet - laugh, hate, confusion or indifference.


It varies which version of the M1 is sent. Obviously there's lots of versions from the old M1A1's all the way to M1A2 SEP V3 or V4. I doubt the US is going to send their latest and best tanks even if they finally decided to do it in the future. Most likely M1A1 or M1A2 non-SEP versions.

Just to state anecdotal experience of how many M1's do exist. There's clearly thousands of them in the country. But I used to live in Southern California and would go to Las Vegas driving many times over the past several years before moving to Vegas. During the drive at basically the halfway point of the trip being the city of Barstow. Easily visible while driving on the freeway I've seen dozens of M2 Bradleys and M1 Abrams sitting out in the desert collecting dust. They may be being put for transport as there's a railroad nearby.

It appears the M1's at Barstow are gone though as I haven't seen them in the past few years, and this post does confirm it.
https://www.marines.mil/News/News-Display/Article/2293758/railops-transports-divested-tanks-and-other-heavy-equipment-from-usmc-to-army/

Seeing as they're Marines tanks being sent to Army depots, they're more or less being retired. I wouldn't be surprised if one day Biden does decide to send M1A1's to Ukraine, he'd probably send these. Still, the logistics issue of sending accompanying fuel and other supplies with the M1's overseas to Ukraine is fairly tough. It's considerably easier to send a Leopard 2 but they're not in exactly a good state either. Would be interesting to see if the UK would send over a couple of Challenger 2 MBTs.
"Numbers speak about the past, not the present." -Thorzain
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
January 06 2023 14:16 GMT
#6749
More Patriot systems coming to Ukraine via Germany.



"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Deleted User 173346
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
16169 Posts
January 06 2023 14:28 GMT
#6750
--- Nuked ---
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
January 06 2023 14:42 GMT
#6751
@CCSB: It is still exactly the same Patriot system as reported yesterday (and you even posted the tweet about it here).

@plasmidghost: Why do they have to hold it? It has been reduced to a wasteland full of ruins, where nobody can live anyway. The only military value of Bakhmut at this point is, that the Russians are obviously accepting terrible loss ratios when trying to assault it. So holding the spear up for them to impale themselves makes sense.
When the battle turns and Ukraine doesn't feel like they can inflict those loss ratios any more, there is no reason to hang around there for longer.
Otherwise, they would just be making the same mistake as the Russians in pointlessly throwing away bodies into a meat grinder over no military gain. At least at the moment, those losses serve in purpose because each takes multiple Russians with him.
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
January 06 2023 14:58 GMT
#6752
Bakhmut is not irrelevant to Ukraine at all. Russia isn't investing all of this into a city of little value. We can only say that they could pick better targets other than Bakhmut.
There's something specific to be gained from capturing Bakhmut. To put it simply, the value of the city lies in the option to use it as an outpost to continue pushing in various directions.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14127 Posts
January 06 2023 15:00 GMT
#6753
Bakhmut lost any value in holding it long ago. While the battle for it has gone on Ukraine eliminated the other side of the envelopmemt it was suppose to form by being taken. Ukraine has been making even further gains to flank the forces attacking and cut off major sources of supply for it. The purpose in defending it was fixing so many Russian units and bleeding them as much as possible. Both have been great successes.

If Russia continues the attack through the hole in the line it has punched over months it will be flanked and cut off very easily.

I do think that abrums will be unreasonable for this war. However the depth of Bradley reserves is deep and will be enough maybe to last through the war. I think this is another rung on the escalation ladder for arms being delivered. France has the best all terrain military in the world and those stocks of abrums I still think can be used in trade for other soviet stock in the world.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-01-06 15:18:42
January 06 2023 15:17 GMT
#6754
On January 06 2023 23:58 Magic Powers wrote:
Bakhmut is not irrelevant to Ukraine at all. Russia isn't investing all of this into a city of little value. We can only say that they could pick better targets other than Bakhmut.
There's something specific to be gained from capturing Bakhmut. To put it simply, the value of the city lies in the option to use it as an outpost to continue pushing in various directions.


Yeah and it being the home of Europe's largest salt mine. That is a major reason why Bakhmut is so vital, and perhaps why Wagner wants it.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
January 06 2023 15:29 GMT
#6755
On January 07 2023 00:17 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 06 2023 23:58 Magic Powers wrote:
Bakhmut is not irrelevant to Ukraine at all. Russia isn't investing all of this into a city of little value. We can only say that they could pick better targets other than Bakhmut.
There's something specific to be gained from capturing Bakhmut. To put it simply, the value of the city lies in the option to use it as an outpost to continue pushing in various directions.


Yeah and it being the home of Europe's largest salt mine. That is a major reason why Bakhmut is so vital, and perhaps why Wagner wants it.


Because the moment they control it, they get +7 salt every turn!
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22367 Posts
January 06 2023 15:33 GMT
#6756
Wagner wants it because it was their part of the line and they want to boost that they are better then the rest of the Russian army.

Its a lot more about domestic Russian dickwaving then it is about real strategic value. And as others have said Ukraine is just there to oblige the Russian desire to kill themselves. If they can no longer hold the ground they will pull back to another defensive line and repeat the process until Russian are exhausted and pushed back again.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Deleted User 173346
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
16169 Posts
January 06 2023 16:32 GMT
#6757
--- Nuked ---
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22367 Posts
January 06 2023 16:44 GMT
#6758
On January 07 2023 01:32 plasmidghost wrote:
My big worry about Bakhmut as things get more dire for Ukraine there is that should it collapse and Wagner seize the salt and gypsum mines there, they can use that to finance a ton of their operations and I don't know what price Ukraine is willing to pay to prevent that
If that were to be an actual issue I would expect it to be disabled before they have to pull back.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
12087 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-01-06 16:56:50
January 06 2023 16:56 GMT
#6759
On January 07 2023 01:32 plasmidghost wrote:
My big worry about Bakhmut as things get more dire for Ukraine there is that should it collapse and Wagner seize the salt and gypsum mines there, they can use that to finance a ton of their operations and I don't know what price Ukraine is willing to pay to prevent that


How would they build up the required infrastructure again? They are easily within HIMARS range and at constant risk of Ukraine doing a push that brings normal artillery back in range.

Only if they get a lot of ground outside the city as well would it ever become relevant.
Oleo
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands280 Posts
January 06 2023 17:00 GMT
#6760
On January 06 2023 23:28 plasmidghost wrote:
Bakhmut situation is getting worse. Where does Ukraine go from here? What can they do to hold the city?



Worsened? He is talking about Bakhmutske which is a small town(?) northeast of Bakhmut thats already in the redzone on liveuamap. This getting worse doesnt really seem to be much of a big deal to the overall picture around Bakhmut itself. Maybe they locally got pushed from one defense line to the next or something at whatever it cost the Russians. Ukraine just keeps doing what they have been doing for a while, kill more fascist pigs.

Black circle is Bakhmutske, green circle is the Knauf plant.

[image loading]
Managing Siegetanks is like raising a superhero - Artosis.
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