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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9269 Posts
December 03 2022 19:44 GMT
#6361
Macron says new security architecture should give guarantees for Russia (so she can safely continue being an expansionist mafia state)

PARIS, Dec 3 (Reuters) - The West should consider how to address Russia's need for security guarantees if President Vladimir Putin agrees to negotiations about ending the war in Ukraine, French President Emmanuel Macron said in remarks broadcast on Saturday.

In an interview with French TV station TF1 recorded during his state visit to the United States last week, Macron said Europe needs to prepare its future security architecture.

"This means that one of the essential points we must address - as President Putin has always said - is the fear that NATO comes right up to its doors, and the deployment of weapons that could threaten Russia," Macron said.

"That topic will be part of the topics for peace, so we need to prepare what we are ready to do, how we protect our allies and member states, and how to give guarantees to Russia the day it returns to the negotiating table," Macron said.

Russia and the United States have both said this week they are open to talks in principle, though U.S. President Joe Biden said he would only talk to Putin if the Kremlin chief showed he was interested in ending the war. Ukraine says negotiations are possible only if Russia stops attacking and pulls out its troops.

Many in Ukraine and the West are strongly opposed to any negotiation with Putin that would reward him with concessions after nearly 10 months of war, especially as Ukraine has driven back Russian forces from large areas in the past three months.

But Macron's remarks suggested he was sympathetic to Moscow's need for security guarantees - a demand that was the focus of intense but failed diplomacy in the run-up to the war.

On Feb. 8, just weeks before Russia's invasion, Putin said at a joint news conference with Macron in Moscow that Russia would keep trying to obtain answers from the West to its main three security demands: no more NATO enlargement; no missile deployments near its borders; and a scaling back of NATO's military infrastructure in Europe to 1997 levels.

The United States said at the time that the Russian demands were "non-starters".

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/macron-says-new-security-architecture-should-give-guarantees-russia-2022-12-03/


Britain, we need you back in the EU asap.
You're now breathing manually
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-12-03 19:55:14
December 03 2022 19:54 GMT
#6362
On December 04 2022 04:44 Sent. wrote:
Macron says new security architecture should give guarantees for Russia (so she can safely continue being an expansionist mafia state)

Show nested quote +
PARIS, Dec 3 (Reuters) - The West should consider how to address Russia's need for security guarantees if President Vladimir Putin agrees to negotiations about ending the war in Ukraine, French President Emmanuel Macron said in remarks broadcast on Saturday.

In an interview with French TV station TF1 recorded during his state visit to the United States last week, Macron said Europe needs to prepare its future security architecture.

"This means that one of the essential points we must address - as President Putin has always said - is the fear that NATO comes right up to its doors, and the deployment of weapons that could threaten Russia," Macron said.

"That topic will be part of the topics for peace, so we need to prepare what we are ready to do, how we protect our allies and member states, and how to give guarantees to Russia the day it returns to the negotiating table," Macron said.

Russia and the United States have both said this week they are open to talks in principle, though U.S. President Joe Biden said he would only talk to Putin if the Kremlin chief showed he was interested in ending the war. Ukraine says negotiations are possible only if Russia stops attacking and pulls out its troops.

Many in Ukraine and the West are strongly opposed to any negotiation with Putin that would reward him with concessions after nearly 10 months of war, especially as Ukraine has driven back Russian forces from large areas in the past three months.

But Macron's remarks suggested he was sympathetic to Moscow's need for security guarantees - a demand that was the focus of intense but failed diplomacy in the run-up to the war.

On Feb. 8, just weeks before Russia's invasion, Putin said at a joint news conference with Macron in Moscow that Russia would keep trying to obtain answers from the West to its main three security demands: no more NATO enlargement; no missile deployments near its borders; and a scaling back of NATO's military infrastructure in Europe to 1997 levels.

The United States said at the time that the Russian demands were "non-starters".

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/macron-says-new-security-architecture-should-give-guarantees-russia-2022-12-03/


Britain, we need you back in the EU asap.

Macron you fucker, I hope he doesn't follow through on this
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5740 Posts
December 03 2022 19:58 GMT
#6363
The only guarantees we need to give to Russia is that we will fuck them up if they invade Europe again.
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
December 03 2022 19:59 GMT
#6364
On December 04 2022 03:26 JimmiC wrote:
From what I read wagner gets a huge financial bonus for taking the city and since they do not care about the people at all they just keep throwing them at it.

https://www.google.ca/amp/s/www.cbc.ca/amp/1.6670438

Jesus, they better lose that fight then
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22060 Posts
December 03 2022 20:03 GMT
#6365
Macron is either bought and payed for by Russia or an utterly clueless and naïve idiot.

NATO is not a threat if your not interested in invading other countries. Russia is threatened by it because that is the only language they know.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11721 Posts
December 03 2022 20:05 GMT
#6366
Doesn't Nato already have shitloads of weapons in place that could threaten Russia? Especially considering that Russia is apparently massively failing in what was considered one of their major strengths, ground war in europe?

Nato could absolutely agree to guarantee that they are not invading Russia, considering Nato has zero interest in doing that. That should be all the "security guarantees" that Russia gets. Russian security gets guaranteed.

Nato should not agree to not help Russias neighbours defend themselves, should they want that. Russia does not get a guaranteed right to fuck over their neighbours. In fact, Nato should say that they are willing to help any country neighbouring Russia in the same way they are currently helping Ukraine.

Nato should not give any credence to the Russian claim that countries willingly joining Nato to no longer be bullied by Russia is somehow a security threat to Russia. It would be an absolute nonissue if Russia wouldn't insist on bullying its neighbours.

Russia doesn't want its security guaranteed. Nukes do that quite well. Russia wants its ability to bully its neighbours guaranteed.

I have no clue why Macron say that nonsense right now.
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5740 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-12-03 20:16:55
December 03 2022 20:13 GMT
#6367
Russia literally withdrew its troops from Kaliningrad and borders with Finland and the Baltics. They even moved their air defences from St Petersburg area to Ukraine. That's how threatened by NATO they actually feel. Macron is a moron for playing along with Russia's charade.
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
December 03 2022 20:25 GMT
#6368
On December 04 2022 05:03 Gorsameth wrote:
Macron is either bought and payed for by Russia or an utterly clueless and naïve idiot.

NATO is not a threat if your not interested in invading other countries. Russia is threatened by it because that is the only language they know.

Obviously I don't live in France, but I do think Macron isn't a Russian asset but extremely naïve. Lots of people like him thought they could appease Russia and look where it got us. He's just too stupid to realize that his way of thinking will not work under any circumstances
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9269 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-12-03 20:31:26
December 03 2022 20:29 GMT
#6369
I don't think he's that naive, I think he wants to promote himself as a peacemaker and an independent player instead of a weaker party of American led NATO (or the West in general). He's counting on Putin's willingess to admit limited defeat and wants to build a productive long term relationship with him. This is still naive, but also very egoistic.
You're now breathing manually
CuddlyCuteKitten
Profile Joined January 2004
Sweden2706 Posts
December 03 2022 21:00 GMT
#6370
Even if Ukraine recaptures the whole country you still need a negotiated peace. Words are cheap. All you need is for Ukraine to join nato and they are safe. You can give a lot of bullshit guarantees with that to allow Russia to save face.
waaaaaaaaaaaooooow - Felicia, SPF2:T
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5740 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-12-03 22:05:35
December 03 2022 22:05 GMT
#6371
On December 04 2022 06:00 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote:
Even if Ukraine recaptures the whole country you still need a negotiated peace. Words are cheap. All you need is for Ukraine to join nato and they are safe. You can give a lot of bullshit guarantees with that to allow Russia to save face.

What Russia means by security guarantees is Ukraine not getting security guarantees/joining NATO. They even go as far as to demand countries like Poland or the Baltics get kicked out of NATO. Russia's demands are incompatible with conditions for lasting peace. The only way to secure lasting peace is through a decisive Russian defeat.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14076 Posts
December 04 2022 01:31 GMT
#6372
Its called china. China says that NATO can't invade Russia or its at war with China. That ends the threat to Russia. NATO wasn't in Ukraine before he invaded it, Demanding that Ukraine stay out of NATO is demanding the status quo ante Bellum.

Chinese peacekeepers in the Donbass and Kharkiv wouldn't be a radical concept. Crimea and the donbass was Austria and Czekia, Anything more is poland. I didn't think that France would have forgotten what history has done to the "peace in our time" dude.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22060 Posts
December 04 2022 09:22 GMT
#6373
On December 04 2022 10:31 Sermokala wrote:
Its called china. China says that NATO can't invade Russia or its at war with China. That ends the threat to Russia. NATO wasn't in Ukraine before he invaded it, Demanding that Ukraine stay out of NATO is demanding the status quo ante Bellum.

Chinese peacekeepers in the Donbass and Kharkiv wouldn't be a radical concept. Crimea and the donbass was Austria and Czekia, Anything more is poland. I didn't think that France would have forgotten what history has done to the "peace in our time" dude.
What would China saying they will defend Russia do exactly that Russia on its own can not? The threat is still the exact same in both cases.
Nukes.

Russia wants to be able to bully its neighbours to force them to stay in its sphere of influence because it has no other way of doing so. It can't entice them with prospects of wealth and prosperity like the West because Russia has no wealth and prosperity outside of the select elite.
That is the reason for this war so any peace deal that stops Russia from bullying Ukraine in the future to prevent them from aligning with the West is unacceptable to Russia.

If Chinese peacekeepers in Donbass prevent Russia from bullying Ukraine then they are unacceptable to Russia.


It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17613 Posts
December 04 2022 12:16 GMT
#6374
China has enough problems on their own turf to get involved anywhere else really.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-12-04 15:27:56
December 04 2022 15:15 GMT
#6375
I'm watching this update on Ukrainian forces from Bakhmut. The city looks like a nightmare. There's intense fighting for the tallest hill in the city. Some Chechens are fighting for Ukraine. A few civilians are still trying to live a normal life there



Other updates from the war:

Ka-52 shot down. I think that brings the total to 21.





Georgian volunteer fighters suffered heavy losses in Bakhmut.

https://twitter.com/WarMonitor3/status/1599394022984134656

The Shahed drones are now greatly reduced in usage because they can't handle the freezing conditions in Ukraine.



And finally, something that could have huge ramifications for the Middle East. The US may interfere with Iranian weapons supplies to Russia, and I would assume with covert Israeli involvement.



Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
December 04 2022 17:08 GMT
#6376
Guess this has more to do with morale, as well as spooking the Russians on the other side of the river. Unless this unit was tasked with killing someone in said port. Who knows.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
December 05 2022 09:54 GMT
#6377
The observed flight time of Russian fighter jets has strongly declined.

https://kyivindependent.com/news-feed/uk-defense-ministry-russian-air-force-conducts-substantially-less-attacks-in-ukraine

I've also read that the kamikaze drones are a lot less operable in the cold weather. Haven't been able to confirm that though.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
0x64
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Finland4601 Posts
December 05 2022 10:42 GMT
#6378
On December 05 2022 18:54 Magic Powers wrote:
The observed flight time of Russian fighter jets has strongly declined.

https://kyivindependent.com/news-feed/uk-defense-ministry-russian-air-force-conducts-substantially-less-attacks-in-ukraine

I've also read that the kamikaze drones are a lot less operable in the cold weather. Haven't been able to confirm that though.


They seem to wait that infrastructure is restored before striking again, they are running low on ressources but should still be able to be a pain in the ass for as long as they think is necessary. Which by looking at history, seems to be between 4-6 years. After that the war economy crumble totally the country beyond the point of denial.

4-6 years is a long time, and usually during that time, escalation becomes necessary because tactics get more and more dirty, and country helping Ukraine starts to become the new target.

Sadly, all this is autoprofecies. The chances of this happening will force it to happen. Surprise Putin death would change the deal, but new faces won't solve the underlying issue.
Dump of assembler code from 0xffffffec to 0x64: End of assembler dump.
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-12-05 13:14:58
December 05 2022 13:13 GMT
#6379
On December 05 2022 18:54 Magic Powers wrote:
The observed flight time of Russian fighter jets has strongly declined.

https://kyivindependent.com/news-feed/uk-defense-ministry-russian-air-force-conducts-substantially-less-attacks-in-ukraine

I've also read that the kamikaze drones are a lot less operable in the cold weather. Haven't been able to confirm that though.

On the note of Russian fighter jets, it appears that the Engels air force base in Russia has been bombed. It is located about 450 miles from the Ukrainian border and the current assumption is that it was drone bombed. While not a base for the fighter jets, I think I can safely assume that attacks like these are playing a role in deterring fighter jet usage

Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-12-05 14:00:47
December 05 2022 13:53 GMT
#6380
Fucking hell, Russia's fired a terrifying number of missiles into Ukraine in retaliation for the Engels AFB bombing. Following along with some of the war reporting accounts and it's highly worrying







Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
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