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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 898

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
Ghostcom
Profile Joined March 2010
Denmark4782 Posts
June 19 2017 13:31 GMT
#17941
The more I learn about French politics, the more confused I get. Thanks for the answers.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
June 19 2017 13:37 GMT
#17942
On June 19 2017 22:31 Ghostcom wrote:
The more I learn about French politics, the more confused I get. Thanks for the answers.

I feel the same way when it comes to UK politics. I saw reports talking about “shadow cabinet/counsels”, which I assumed would be some conspiracy theory bullshit with a name like that. But nope, its real and everyone seems to think its normal. Even though it sounds like it is right out of a bad video game political thriller.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-19 14:14:38
June 19 2017 14:08 GMT
#17943
The shadow cabinet is simply the mock cabinet that would had been formed had the opposition won the election instead of lost. If the party to which the shadow cabinet is connected to win the next election, they would be "rotated" in to the real cabinet. Traditionally they score political points whenever their actual counterpart in power say something. They hold no real power except to criticize, except to show themselves to the British public the alternative if they have won. It is "shadow" as in attached to the body and are just as visible as the cabinet, not shadow as in hiding in the dark. There's no real counterpart in American politics.
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6230 Posts
June 19 2017 14:21 GMT
#17944
On June 19 2017 22:10 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 19 2017 21:48 RvB wrote:
On June 19 2017 04:46 TheDwf wrote:
On June 19 2017 04:35 Nyxisto wrote:
so Macron gets about 61% of the votes? Constitutional changes in France need a 3/5 majority right? So he essentially has as much power as he's going to get even though he fell somewhat below the predictions?

Yes. He will need the Senate too, but the right probably won't try to block. Worst case scenario he can call for a referendum, he'll get an easy win on what he plans to do.

Mélenchon is elected.

Too closed yet to call for Valls... Karma, karma, PLEASE!

Do Constitutional changes also require a referendum? In NL you need a supermajority in parliament, then a referendum and then you get anothet election and parliament has to pass the change with a simply majority.

The referendum isn't required. You just need it approved in two subsequent parliaments (the first with a super majority). The parliamentary election in the middle functions as a de facto referendum, though.

You're right. Nor sure why I thought a referendum is required. It has to pass with a 2/3 majority after the election (so the 2nd vote).
https://www.rijksoverheid.nl/onderwerpen/grondwet-en-statuut/inhoud/herziening-grondwet

I don't know of an equivalent to the shadow cabinet anywhere in else.
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
June 19 2017 14:28 GMT
#17945
On June 19 2017 22:31 Ghostcom wrote:
The more I learn about French politics, the more confused I get. Thanks for the answers.

Keep in mind, too, that Macron isn't backed by any real political party other than his very recent and badly defined "movement". Thus, what he wants to avoid is (1) to have the guys formerly at the PS or LR, who got elected under the LREM tag, revert back to the PS/LR if his presidency goes bad and his policies start being contested Hollande-style and (2) to have all his rookie MPs doing stupid things and looking messy like Grillo's movement during its beginnings. This signed declaration is interesting in the sense that since the LREM Parliamentary group will surely be full of raw opportunists who smelled that being branded LREM meant a free win (we have example of candidate MPs for Macron who held highly racist or homophobic statements, etc), there's no guarantee that they won't keep exercising their opportunistic skills when Macron will be at the other end of the success scale.
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7901 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-19 14:30:53
June 19 2017 14:28 GMT
#17946
On June 19 2017 19:31 TheDwf wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 19 2017 18:54 Big J wrote:
Just read this in Austrian media: Macron has demanded from his MPs a written declaration that they will always​ support and vote for what the government suggests.

Is this true and did they all actually sign such a declaration?

Yes, roughly... Though it's vague and has no legal value (imperative mandates are forbidden by the Constitution).

Do you have a source though, couldn't find this info anywhere.

Edit: thought it was the ministers, misread. That's really weird; the parliament is really not supposed to be obeying blindly the executive branch...
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
June 19 2017 14:29 GMT
#17947
Really? I always thought it was a feature of first past the post democracies and USA was the exception. The more I know...
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
June 19 2017 14:32 GMT
#17948
On June 19 2017 23:08 Dangermousecatdog wrote:
The shadow cabinet is simply the mock cabinet that would had been formed had the opposition won the election instead of lost. If the party to which the shadow cabinet is connected to win the next election, they would be "rotated" in to the real cabinet. Traditionally they score political points whenever their actual counterpart in power say something. They hold no real power except to criticize, except to show themselves to the British public the alternative if they have won. It is "shadow" as in attached to the body and are just as visible as the cabinet, not shadow as in hiding in the dark. There's no real counterpart in American politics.

The entire thing makes perfect sense. Some presidents have had the “kitchen cabinet”, the term we use to refer to unofficial advisers. I just found it comical that the term in the UK is named something out of bad young adult lit.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
June 19 2017 14:38 GMT
#17949
On June 19 2017 22:31 Ghostcom wrote:
The more I learn about French politics, the more confused I get. Thanks for the answers.

Haha, yeah... The French regime is certainly something.

On June 19 2017 23:28 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 19 2017 19:31 TheDwf wrote:
On June 19 2017 18:54 Big J wrote:
Just read this in Austrian media: Macron has demanded from his MPs a written declaration that they will always​ support and vote for what the government suggests.

Is this true and did they all actually sign such a declaration?

Yes, roughly... Though it's vague and has no legal value (imperative mandates are forbidden by the Constitution).

Do you have a source though, couldn't find this info anywhere.

Edit: thought it was the ministers, misread. That's really weird; the parliament is really not supposed to be obeying blindly the executive branch...

Here.
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6230 Posts
June 19 2017 15:23 GMT
#17950
On June 19 2017 23:29 Dangermousecatdog wrote:
Really? I always thought it was a feature of first past the post democracies and USA was the exception. The more I know...

According to wiki there are more. Not all of the countries have fptp though. I never knew...

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shadow_Cabinet
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-19 17:33:07
June 19 2017 17:32 GMT
#17951
Another day confirming the theorem of securitarian stupidity:

1. A small attack happens, with no or limited casualities.
2. A triumphant minister of Interior leaps onto the scene and roars: See! This is proof that we need the state of emergency to prevent attacks!
3. State of emergency is maintained/prolonged despite having just proven its radical uselessness.

(Some guy apparently just failed an attack on gendarmes in Paris.)
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
June 20 2017 10:05 GMT
#17952
On June 20 2017 02:32 TheDwf wrote:
Another day confirming the theorem of securitarian stupidity:

1. A small attack happens, with no or limited casualities.
2. A triumphant minister of Interior leaps onto the scene and roars: See! This is proof that we need the state of emergency to prevent attacks!
3. State of emergency is maintained/prolonged despite having just proven its radical uselessness.

(Some guy apparently just failed an attack on gendarmes in Paris.)


I think you way understate this (failed) attack. That car was filled with gas bottles, meaning it was quite literally a driving bomb with some major boom - and more importantly you seem to miss the fact that he had multiple firearms in the car, including a kalashnikov(!).

That was a small attack because he either was retarded, or the cops reacted brilliantly. That could've been easily 30+ dead with a big car bomb and a full automatic assault rifle. So no, that wasn't a "small attack", it was a "failed attack" that could've potentially killed dozens.

More importantly, yet again someone who was on the watchlist.
On track to MA1950A.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-20 16:18:14
June 20 2017 16:12 GMT
#17953
how do these people in France have access to such heavy weapons? All of the last few terrorists seemed to have unusual access to arms.
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
June 20 2017 16:19 GMT
#17954
I am guessing that the Russian invasion of Ukraine may had inadvertedly opened up a weapon smuggling route. Or perhaps the Syrian conflict.
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
June 20 2017 16:31 GMT
#17955
At least for the last couple of years most of these weapons were traced back to the Yugoslavia conflict.

Can't say how it was in this pecific case or if something maorly changed recently though.
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6230 Posts
June 20 2017 16:32 GMT
#17956
Guns are easy to get if you really want them. It doesn't have a lot to do with France in particular.
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9211 Posts
June 20 2017 16:32 GMT
#17957
Ukraine isn't in the Schengen area. I think most of those weapons come from former Yugoslavia, as it's much easier to smuggle something to EU from there than from the Middle East.
You're now breathing manually
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-20 17:11:47
June 20 2017 17:08 GMT
#17958
On June 21 2017 01:32 RvB wrote:
Guns are easy to get if you really want them. It doesn't have a lot to do with France in particular.


I don't know what your definition of easy is but I have no idea how to get an illegal AK and I would be surprised if this wouldn't cost a good deal of money. Also it doesn't really seem to be that easy for terrorists in several other countries where they've largely resorted to knifes or car attacks.
Dav1oN
Profile Joined January 2012
Ukraine3164 Posts
June 20 2017 17:45 GMT
#17959
On June 21 2017 01:19 Dangermousecatdog wrote:
I am guessing that the Russian invasion of Ukraine may had inadvertedly opened up a weapon smuggling route. Or perhaps the Syrian conflict.


I'd say only locally, without touching EU
In memory of Geoff "iNcontroL" Robinson 11.09.1985 - 21.07.2019 A tribute to incredible man, embodiment of joy, esports titan, starcraft community pillar all in one. You will always be remembered!
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6230 Posts
June 20 2017 18:08 GMT
#17960
On June 21 2017 02:08 Nyxisto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 21 2017 01:32 RvB wrote:
Guns are easy to get if you really want them. It doesn't have a lot to do with France in particular.


I don't know what your definition of easy is but I have no idea how to get an illegal AK and I would be surprised if this wouldn't cost a good deal of money. Also it doesn't really seem to be that easy for terrorists in several other countries where they've largely resorted to knifes or car attacks.

Easy enough that I'm able to get some if I wanted. In addition there's the deep web which made getting illegal things like this a lot easier. Sure it costs a great deal of cash but that hardly matters when you're suiciding anyway.
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