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UK Politics Mega-thread - Page 450

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In order to ensure that this thread meets TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we ask that everyone please adhere to this mod note.

Posts containing only Tweets or articles adds nothing to the discussions. Therefore, when providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments will be actioned upon.

All in all, please continue to enjoy posting in TL General and partake in discussions as much as you want! But please be respectful when posting or replying to someone. There is a clear difference between constructive criticism/discussion and just plain being rude and insulting.

https://www.registertovote.service.gov.uk
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18216 Posts
December 12 2018 13:00 GMT
#8981
On December 12 2018 20:54 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
I'm confused if she has comfortable confidence in votes to remain PM, how was a no confidence vote called?


Takes 15% to call the vote. Takes 50% + 1 to win it.
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
December 12 2018 13:02 GMT
#8982
On December 12 2018 20:54 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
I'm confused if she has comfortable confidence in votes to remain PM, how was a no confidence vote called?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XOacA3RYrXk


It’s a confidence vote from conservative MPs in her leadership of the party, once 15% have sent a letter of no confidence a vote must take place this is not the same as a parliamentary vote of confidence and 15% is well short of 50%
ahswtini
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Northern Ireland22212 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-12-12 13:20:43
December 12 2018 13:18 GMT
#8983
keep in mind that even if she wins it, if it's only by a slim majority, there will still be much pressure on her to resign. that's what happened to thatcher, she fought off an initial leadership challenge bid, but ended up resigning anyway under pressure from her cabinet. the tory leadership contest system was different back then. however, given how stubborn theresa may as been, i think the only thing that will take her down is a straight up defeat in the vote.
"As I've said, balance isn't about strategies or counters, it's about probability and statistics." - paralleluniverse
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9770 Posts
December 12 2018 13:21 GMT
#8984
On December 12 2018 22:18 ahswtini wrote:
keep in mind that even if she wins it, if it's only by a slim majority, there will still be much pressure on her to resign. that's what happened to thatcher, she fought off an initial leadership challenge bid, but ended up resigning anyway under pressure from her cabinet. the tory leadership contest system was different back then. however, given how stubborn theresa may as been, i think the only thing that will take her down is a straight up defeat in the vote.


She'd probably run off with the mace of queenly magic and hide it in a wheatfield until everyone let her come back and be PM again.
RIP Meatloaf <3
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
December 12 2018 14:28 GMT
#8985
This vote of no confidence seems like the most self indulgent thing the conservatives could do right now. But I guess some of them want to see if the theories that hard Brexit will cause food and drug shortages while everyone figures out the news customs.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43582 Posts
December 12 2018 15:10 GMT
#8986
If May survives she should ask the Queen to publicly request Corbyn to form a national coalition.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11749 Posts
December 12 2018 15:24 GMT
#8987
So the brits apparently want to keep on bickering internally until the brexit deadline? Just to not have to admit that they were living in a fairytale with their ideas on what a brexit would look like? It doesn't seem like there is any way for them to manage to get something working together in the next few months, and instead of working on that, they just fight each other.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
December 12 2018 15:46 GMT
#8988
It sounds like there is a minority within conservatives who want hold the vote of no confidence and more than know voting to support May when the vote happens will make their supporters super angry. As an American, I can sympathize with being held hostage by an unreasonable minority of the population who wants their cake and to eat it too.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
MoonfireSpam
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom1153 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-12-12 16:16:41
December 12 2018 16:10 GMT
#8989
On December 11 2018 16:42 Melliflue wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 11 2018 02:22 KwarK wrote:.
The second referendum supporters piss me off too. If you support a second referendum you’re trying to go against the will of the people, at which point why even bother. You can’t open with “the people got it wrong, I know better, so let’s ask them again, and again, until we decide they gave us the right answer”. Just have the integrity to say “we think the people got it wrong, this is a representative democracy, we work for the people but we don’t have to take policy advice from them”. A total abdication of responsibility from those fucks too, they’re only willing to stand by their beliefs when the people tell them it’s okay to do so first, but they’re not willing to listen to the people.

A few counter points. Firstly "the people" changes over time. Some people die, and others become old enough to vote. The will of the people in 2016 is not necessarily the will of the people in 2019. (The former head of YouGov said demographic changes could give a different referendum result by as early as January 2019.)

Secondly, the official Vote Leave campaign and the unofficial Leave.EU campaign broke campaign laws. Why is it acceptable to let an unfair referendum permanently decide the matter?


I think the biggest problem is "People" voted on an ideology. There is a possibility that now "People" have seen that their ideology is in this case unattanable without having to chow down on a whole load of shit and decided that their pension or job is worth more than their ideological dreams.

Regarding the "Vote of no Confidence" it's just a bunch of blowhards without ideas or real ambition kicking up a fuss. Prime example being: "But does he want the top job? Asked immediately after saying he had submitted his letter to depose May, Rees-Mogg said he would not be putting himself forward for the job. " Source + Show Spoiler +
ahswtini
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Northern Ireland22212 Posts
December 12 2018 16:45 GMT
#8990
there is a certain amount of irony in the tories voting for a new leader 2 years ago, and now deciding that they dont like her so much and so want to have a second vote on their leader
"As I've said, balance isn't about strategies or counters, it's about probability and statistics." - paralleluniverse
Garrl
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Scotland1975 Posts
December 12 2018 20:47 GMT
#8991
justbbcthings only interviewing OAPs people who love the PM.
ahswtini
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Northern Ireland22212 Posts
December 12 2018 21:02 GMT
#8992
hmm, 117 out of 317 of her MPs voted against her, pretty significant
"As I've said, balance isn't about strategies or counters, it's about probability and statistics." - paralleluniverse
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
December 12 2018 21:04 GMT
#8993
36% of her own MPs dont want her even after saying she wont stay for the next election, worst kind of result for everyone.
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-12-12 21:14:23
December 12 2018 21:06 GMT
#8994
Jacob Rees Mogg calling for her to resign saying 117 out of 170 backbench MPs dont support her, mostly only the government payroll vote supporting her.

edit:


Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
December 12 2018 21:14 GMT
#8995
On December 13 2018 06:04 Zaros wrote:
36% of her own MPs dont want her even after saying she wont stay for the next election, worst kind of result for everyone.

Worst result for everyone is Brexit. Who is PM at the time is irrelevant to that.
iamthedave
Profile Joined February 2011
England2814 Posts
December 12 2018 21:24 GMT
#8996
On December 13 2018 00:46 Plansix wrote:
It sounds like there is a minority within conservatives who want hold the vote of no confidence and more than know voting to support May when the vote happens will make their supporters super angry. As an American, I can sympathize with being held hostage by an unreasonable minority of the population who wants their cake and to eat it too.


The Tories have gone full Tea Party over Brexit. There's a bunch of them who have no fucking idea what they're talking about but are absolutely convinced that clapping their hands hard enough and making believe will bring the shiny future they convinced themselves existed by reading the Daily Mail long enough.

Mogg calling for May to resign is typical stupidity from that wing of the party. Like, what the fuck do they think is going to happen if May resigns, leaving us with no PM for several months leading directly into Brexit?

But right now it's scalp, scalp, scalp so 'someone' is taking responsibility for it all.

I think the problem is they're used to shooting the leader to redeem the sins of the party, but right now the public want the party to sort its shit out and get this done, so they're taking collective blame.
I'm not bad at Starcraft; I just think winning's rude.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22094 Posts
December 12 2018 21:27 GMT
#8997
On December 13 2018 06:24 iamthedave wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 13 2018 00:46 Plansix wrote:
It sounds like there is a minority within conservatives who want hold the vote of no confidence and more than know voting to support May when the vote happens will make their supporters super angry. As an American, I can sympathize with being held hostage by an unreasonable minority of the population who wants their cake and to eat it too.


The Tories have gone full Tea Party over Brexit. There's a bunch of them who have no fucking idea what they're talking about but are absolutely convinced that clapping their hands hard enough and making believe will bring the shiny future they convinced themselves existed by reading the Daily Mail long enough.

Mogg calling for May to resign is typical stupidity from that wing of the party. Like, what the fuck do they think is going to happen if May resigns, leaving us with no PM for several months leading directly into Brexit?
The Brexit they want to happen (hard exit) happens and yet they can still shove away all guilt by claiming they would have done it differently.

It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
December 12 2018 23:51 GMT
#8998
Mogg calling for May to resign is typical stupidity from that wing of the party. Like, what the fuck do they think is going to happen if May resigns, leaving us with no PM for several months leading directly into Brexit?


Basically exactly what they want, is gonna happen.
On track to MA1950A.
MoonfireSpam
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom1153 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-12-12 23:58:40
December 12 2018 23:55 GMT
#8999
May won with a majority far in excess that the Brexit vote won with. For the anti May party to not get in line is hypocrisy (not an unexpected trait in a politician but still...).

Now lets get back to burning our own economy down.
Razyda
Profile Joined March 2013
901 Posts
December 13 2018 00:40 GMT
#9000
On December 13 2018 06:06 Zaros wrote:
Jacob Rees Mogg calling for her to resign saying 117 out of 170 backbench MPs dont support her, mostly only the government payroll vote supporting her.

edit:

https://twitter.com/HughRBennett/status/1072961705326641162


So 64% to 36% win is not enough to keep status quo, but 52% to 48% is enough to change it .
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