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NASA and the Private Sector - Page 140

Forum Index > General Forum
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Keep debates civil.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
September 29 2017 05:22 GMT
#2781
Finally the BFR could be used as a planetary transport.



And it's over.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
September 29 2017 11:57 GMT
#2782
Presentation video.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
September 29 2017 17:25 GMT
#2783
On September 29 2017 14:22 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Finally the BFR could be used as a planetary transport.

https://twitter.com/NASAWatch/status/913634939102523392

And it's over.

What a joke.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
September 29 2017 21:49 GMT
#2784


"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
thePunGun
Profile Blog Joined January 2016
598 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-30 01:12:35
September 30 2017 00:48 GMT
#2785
Who needs planes, when you can get from New York to Shanghai in 30 minutes by BFR!
[image loading]
Time to up your game Boeing & Airbus.
"You cannot teach a man anything, you can only help him find it within himself."
Sn0_Man
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
Tebellong44238 Posts
September 30 2017 02:45 GMT
#2786
On September 30 2017 09:48 thePunGun wrote:
Who needs planes, when you can get from New York to Shanghai in 30 minutes by BFR!
[image loading]
Time to up your game Boeing & Airbus.

As neat as the concept is, it's hard to imagine there being less than a million dollars in marginal cost per flight.

Even cramming 200 people in leaves you at a $5,000 trip and that's wildly optimistic (like, an order of magnitude in a few different places). Realistically, the cost of a ticket on a flight like that is exceedingly unlikely to fall below $50,000 when you factor in the level of luxury expected, profit margins, a more realistic cost-per-flight estimate, cost of those seaports, etc.

As interesting as the concept is (and as neat as doing it for space tourism purposes would be), it's simply not going to be financially reasonable for a long ass time.
LiquidDota StaffSCIENTISTS BAFFLED | 3275929302
ShoCkeyy
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
7815 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-30 03:06:11
September 30 2017 03:05 GMT
#2787
On September 30 2017 11:45 Sn0_Man wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 30 2017 09:48 thePunGun wrote:
Who needs planes, when you can get from New York to Shanghai in 30 minutes by BFR!
[image loading]
Time to up your game Boeing & Airbus.

As neat as the concept is, it's hard to imagine there being less than a million dollars in marginal cost per flight.

Even cramming 200 people in leaves you at a $5,000 trip and that's wildly optimistic (like, an order of magnitude in a few different places). Realistically, the cost of a ticket on a flight like that is exceedingly unlikely to fall below $50,000 when you factor in the level of luxury expected, profit margins, a more realistic cost-per-flight estimate, cost of those seaports, etc.

As interesting as the concept is (and as neat as doing it for space tourism purposes would be), it's simply not going to be financially reasonable for a long ass time.


I'm willing to pay $5k to fly from Miami to Shanghai in 40mins. Shit $3-5k is first class in most airlines.
Life?
Sn0_Man
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
Tebellong44238 Posts
September 30 2017 03:25 GMT
#2788
again, the actual figure is "never below 50K" and even 50k is actually hilariously optimistic
LiquidDota StaffSCIENTISTS BAFFLED | 3275929302
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
September 30 2017 03:40 GMT
#2789
Hell, even Concorde was financially unviable, much less Musk bullshitting up a storm about how he's going to revolutionize everything.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
thePunGun
Profile Blog Joined January 2016
598 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-30 03:51:52
September 30 2017 03:48 GMT
#2790
On September 30 2017 11:45 Sn0_Man wrote:
As neat as the concept is, it's hard to imagine there being less than a million dollars in marginal cost per flight.

Even cramming 200 people in leaves you at a $5,000 trip and that's wildly optimistic (like, an order of magnitude in a few different places).

According to Musk's IAC presentation the payload volume is 825 cubic metres (bigger than an AB380) and the Mars transit configuration has 40 cabins already.
The Airbus A380 passenger capacity is about 540 people, a Falcon 9 launch costs are currently $62.000.000,- per launch that'd be $114.814,81 per seat ( witout any revenue or tax ofc) for a 39 minute flight from NYC to Shanghai, almost a bargain.
"You cannot teach a man anything, you can only help him find it within himself."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
September 30 2017 03:49 GMT
#2791
I'd rather teleport, really. Would be faster.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Sn0_Man
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
Tebellong44238 Posts
September 30 2017 04:00 GMT
#2792
Keep in mind, the seating for a rocket launch isn't exactly comparable to the seating for an airline

and a plane also has way better shape for passenger density

and people forking over for this trip won't be willing to accept economy type seating and density either.
LiquidDota StaffSCIENTISTS BAFFLED | 3275929302
thePunGun
Profile Blog Joined January 2016
598 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-30 04:18:48
September 30 2017 04:02 GMT
#2793
On September 30 2017 12:49 LegalLord wrote:
I'd rather teleport, really. Would be faster.

Considering I'd have to die and a copy of me'd be reassembled at the traveling destination...in my place...
...39 minutes are about a GoT episode, so I guess I'd rather spend 39 minutes watching someone else getting killed off, than experiencing it myself.

edit:
Keep in mind, the seating for a rocket launch isn't exactly comparable to the seating for an airline

and a plane also has way better shape for passenger density

and people forking over for this trip won't be willing to accept economy type seating and density either.


I'm guessing launch costs will be way cheaper in the mid 2020s, when this might actually become reality and it'll definitely only be feasible for 1% fat cat CEOs and such at first. But in the end it's plausible this could actually replace airplanes, Boeing had a similar concept in the mid 2000s (an airplane leaving earth's atmosphere) but dropped it due to costs and it turned into the Boeing Nasa collab project: CST-100 Starliner
"You cannot teach a man anything, you can only help him find it within himself."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
September 30 2017 04:11 GMT
#2794
On September 30 2017 13:02 thePunGun wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 30 2017 12:49 LegalLord wrote:
I'd rather teleport, really. Would be faster.

Considering I'd have to die and a copy of me'd be reassembled at the traveling destination...in my place...
...39 minutes are about a GoT episode, so I guess I'd rather spend 39 minutes watching someone else getting killed off, than experiencing it myself.

You say that, but then see what you say when you're running late for a meeting in Shanghai in 30 minutes.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
thePunGun
Profile Blog Joined January 2016
598 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-30 04:59:21
September 30 2017 04:36 GMT
#2795
Nah, I've watched too much Star Trek to ever trust a 'transporter'. I'd rather miss a meeting than dealing with freak accidents like Tuvix the 'humanoid fusion', Riker's Transporter Twin or traveling to a Mirror Univerese.
"You cannot teach a man anything, you can only help him find it within himself."
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11820 Posts
September 30 2017 07:25 GMT
#2796
On September 30 2017 13:36 thePunGun wrote:
Nah, I've watched too much Star Trek to ever trust a 'transporter'. I'd rather miss a meeting than dealing with freak accidents like Tuvix the 'humanoid fusion', Riker's Transporter Twin or traveling to a Mirror Univerese.


And all throughout Star Trek they laugh at people who don't want to use the transporters, because they are "incredibly safe"

Regarding the "rocket to travel" concept, i don't think i am entirely happy with that. Rockets are way worse enviromentally than a plane, so just using that so rich people can get quicker from a to b seems like a waste to me.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
September 30 2017 07:36 GMT
#2797
Well yeah of course the concept is complete and utter crap when you get down to trying to implement it into a meaningful means of transportation. But it makes for a good story, and that's all that matters.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22308 Posts
September 30 2017 10:52 GMT
#2798
On September 30 2017 16:25 Simberto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 30 2017 13:36 thePunGun wrote:
Nah, I've watched too much Star Trek to ever trust a 'transporter'. I'd rather miss a meeting than dealing with freak accidents like Tuvix the 'humanoid fusion', Riker's Transporter Twin or traveling to a Mirror Univerese.


And all throughout Star Trek they laugh at people who don't want to use the transporters, because they are "incredibly safe"

Regarding the "rocket to travel" concept, i don't think i am entirely happy with that. Rockets are way worse enviromentally than a plane, so just using that so rich people can get quicker from a to b seems like a waste to me.

Now consider the billions of transports being done every day and the % of times it goes wrong and they are indeed incredibly safe.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
thePunGun
Profile Blog Joined January 2016
598 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-30 13:55:22
September 30 2017 11:32 GMT
#2799
Transporters are like Futurama's suicide booths with a built in clone feature.
"You cannot teach a man anything, you can only help him find it within himself."
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11820 Posts
September 30 2017 12:30 GMT
#2800
On September 30 2017 19:52 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 30 2017 16:25 Simberto wrote:
On September 30 2017 13:36 thePunGun wrote:
Nah, I've watched too much Star Trek to ever trust a 'transporter'. I'd rather miss a meeting than dealing with freak accidents like Tuvix the 'humanoid fusion', Riker's Transporter Twin or traveling to a Mirror Univerese.


And all throughout Star Trek they laugh at people who don't want to use the transporters, because they are "incredibly safe"

Regarding the "rocket to travel" concept, i don't think i am entirely happy with that. Rockets are way worse enviromentally than a plane, so just using that so rich people can get quicker from a to b seems like a waste to me.

Now consider the billions of transports being done every day and the % of times it goes wrong and they are indeed incredibly safe.


Dunno, we do not know how many of the billions of other transports don't go wrong, we only know how many of the Enterprise/Voyager transports do go wrong. I haven't done the maths, but i'd guess it is at least one percent of the transports that we see that go wrong. Even if it were only a promille, that would mean that if you transport to your work and back, and maybe to one other place each day, you will end up with one transporter clone/mixed up with other dude/mirror universe incident per person per year on average. My guess is that Star Trek people simply think that that is normal, just how we think that traffic jams and car accidents are normal.

Add to that all the times when the transporter mysteriously doesn't work due to weird radiation in the upper atmosphere, ionic turbulences, or other narrativum incidents, and you have a less than reliable way of transportation.

Of course, many of the series situations are not standard life situations, maybe the transporter works better in standard situation than in edge cases.

I think we digress from the topic of this thread, however.
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