|
Keep debates civil. |
United Kingdom13775 Posts
USAF takes care of a lot of the infrastructural aspects of space. NASA does science projects. Huge oversimplification but that's a good description of it. It's not as much personal interest (NASA money coming my way is just as good and I get plenty of that) as much as it is that the USAF tends to be more coherent in its space plans (whereas NASA is more ambitious). Both kinds are necessary and I don't really like the idea of taking away from one to fund the other. And like the USAF, NASA does a lot of things in a lot of areas; space isn't "what they do" any more than it is for the USAF. Frankly I think you take a bit too emotional an approach to "fuck the MIC do spaaace" without trying to understand who does what.
As for the why Dragon, that's the only pod I know of that we have to shuttle people once they are in orbit. Starliner. Orion. A few other more speculative projects. None are ready yet. Also foreign stuff if you like.
Dragons aren't built for long-duration missions. They're meant to drop off, sit on station power for some time, and then be on their merry way. Changing that requires a substantial rebuild such that "modifying it" is really more like "build a new craft on the template of the earlier craft."
|
On September 21 2017 02:40 LegalLord wrote: Moon water is probably better.
Why? The main point of any venture would be learning how to do more advanced things in space.
Sure you can probably do the same proof of concept mission to the moon but it adds an extra step (landing) and it's probably more complex. You also have to start launching survey drones that can land to the moon and move around which is a considerably more complex and takes more energy. Starting to build survey probes to send at asteroids is something were already entirely capable of doing however.
But more importantly it's only useful if you plan to have a moon base. Which will require a lot of resources to maintain if it's a long term thing and at least in the short term is only useful for the "cool" factor right now.
Capturing useful near earth asteroids and mining them for water (or other things that can be used to create fuel or oxygen) get you the extra benefit that you can store those resources for any future mission you want to undertake.
Next logical step after that might be a moon base but I think especially our robotics and manufacturing tech really needs to pick up before we get there.
|
On September 21 2017 03:37 LegalLord wrote:USAF takes care of a lot of the infrastructural aspects of space. NASA does science projects. Huge oversimplification but that's a good description of it. It's not as much personal interest (NASA money coming my way is just as good and I get plenty of that) as much as it is that the USAF tends to be more coherent in its space plans (whereas NASA is more ambitious). Both kinds are necessary and I don't really like the idea of taking away from one to fund the other. And like the USAF, NASA does a lot of things in a lot of areas; space isn't "what they do" any more than it is for the USAF. Frankly I think you take a bit too emotional an approach to "fuck the MIC do spaaace" without trying to understand who does what. Show nested quote +As for the why Dragon, that's the only pod I know of that we have to shuttle people once they are in orbit. Starliner. Orion. A few other more speculative projects. None are ready yet. Also foreign stuff if you like. Dragons aren't built for long-duration missions. They're meant to drop off, sit on station power for some time, and then be on their merry way. Changing that requires a substantial rebuild such that "modifying it" is really more like "build a new craft on the template of the earlier craft." I'm not saying take money away, I'm saying, like in the US poli thread, do not increase their funding. They don't need it. Use that for other things. So if we decide to increase the MIC, give it to NASA. Make sense?
Emotional and rational responses to this is better than being cold and calculating, imo. If you don't have a passion for something, there is no point in doing it or advocating for it. You have the same approach as I do, wouldn't you say?
I guess I mistook those capsules for the rockets moving them into space. My apologies.
|
United Kingdom13775 Posts
On September 21 2017 03:52 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote:Why? The main point of any venture would be learning how to do more advanced things in space. I mean it's so ubiquitous that it's kind of hard to answer. Why focus on something far away with added logistical difficulties for pretty much no benefit in return? A Moon mission is easier AND more useful and unless you're into spending more money and effort for less gain then there is no reason to do an asteroid. Frankly a lot of the motivation for landing on an asteroid was that Obama had a vendetta against doing more on the Moon, thinking it wasn't interesting when that couldn't have been further from the truth.
On September 21 2017 03:52 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote: Sure you can probably do the same proof of concept mission to the moon but it adds an extra step (landing) and it's probably more complex. Quite the opposite. Both need a landing; you can't just crash into an asteroid, you need to land just the same. At the end of the day they're both dead rocks. But one is closer. Yes it's bigger but not by enough to make it more complex. The Moon is nowhere near as hard as Earth to launch from.
On September 21 2017 03:52 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote: You also have to start launching survey drones that can land to the moon and move around which is a considerably more complex and takes more energy. 1. We already do that. 2. You wouldn't launch a mission to an asteroid without first surveying it and seeing if it's actually good for your planned idea anyways. 3. While we're on the subject of wasted energy, you waste a lot more launching to an asteroid than you do to the Moon. And chasing an object that doesn't have the gravitational pull to bring you into its orbit is a royal pain in the ass. It takes four days to get to the moon, but on anything but the most advanced version of the Soyuz in operation for only the last few years it takes two days just to catch the ISS. Asteroids are somewhere in the middle but far, far away. Near-Earth ones are bigger than the ISS, just as hard to catch if not harder, and don't provide much of a gravitational pull; big ones are really tough to reach.
On September 21 2017 03:52 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote: Starting to build survey probes to send at asteroids is something were already entirely capable of doing however. Don't recall off the top of my head but I think it's already being done.
On September 21 2017 03:52 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote: But more importantly it's only useful if you plan to have a moon base. A good idea for any space-based infrastructure. Might be worth noting that NASA, ESA, and Roscosmos are all strongly leaning towards cislunar development right now.
On September 21 2017 03:52 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote: Which will require a lot of resources to maintain if it's a long term thing and at least in the short term is only useful for the "cool" factor right now. 1. Long term infrastructure is worth it. 2. How are asteroids better? It's not exactly easier to make asteroids work.
On September 21 2017 03:52 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote: Capturing useful near earth asteroids and mining them for water (or other things that can be used to create fuel or oxygen) get you the extra benefit that you can store those resources for any future mission you want to undertake. 1. Fuel and oxygen from water. 2. The Moon is more reliable for any such purpose. Asteroids you could mine for water are either small or far away.
On September 21 2017 03:52 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote: Next logical step after that might be a moon base but I think especially our robotics and manufacturing tech really needs to pick up before we get there. You seem to see asteroids as easier than the Moon for the same purpose. But it's not really true; launching to the Moon is easy enough for existing rockets (Atlas, Delta, Ariane, Proton, SLS and Angara in short order) and the robotics and manufacturing are much easier there than on a smaller dead rock. Take it in steps and soon it will look quite viable. And as mentioned, there are a lot of groups that think the Moon is worth it.
|
United Kingdom13775 Posts
On September 21 2017 04:04 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:Show nested quote +On September 21 2017 03:37 LegalLord wrote:USAF takes care of a lot of the infrastructural aspects of space. NASA does science projects. Huge oversimplification but that's a good description of it. It's not as much personal interest (NASA money coming my way is just as good and I get plenty of that) as much as it is that the USAF tends to be more coherent in its space plans (whereas NASA is more ambitious). Both kinds are necessary and I don't really like the idea of taking away from one to fund the other. And like the USAF, NASA does a lot of things in a lot of areas; space isn't "what they do" any more than it is for the USAF. Frankly I think you take a bit too emotional an approach to "fuck the MIC do spaaace" without trying to understand who does what. As for the why Dragon, that's the only pod I know of that we have to shuttle people once they are in orbit. Starliner. Orion. A few other more speculative projects. None are ready yet. Also foreign stuff if you like. Dragons aren't built for long-duration missions. They're meant to drop off, sit on station power for some time, and then be on their merry way. Changing that requires a substantial rebuild such that "modifying it" is really more like "build a new craft on the template of the earlier craft." I'm not saying take money away, I'm saying, like in the US poli thread, do not increase their funding. They don't need it. Use that for other things. So if we decide to increase the MIC, give it to NASA. Make sense? Emotional and rational responses to this is better than being cold and calculating, imo. If you don't have a passion for something, there is no point in doing it or advocating for it. You have the same approach as I do, wouldn't you say? I guess I mistook those capsules for the rockets moving them into space. My apologies. Increasing funding for USAF space, I would not oppose. It's a small but quite effective division that does good work.
There's a difference between having dreams for the future and taking a "feels over reals" approach to space. Emotions won't get the rockets in the sky, it will just get you some explosions. Passion is a loser's game if it isn't tempered by a significant sense of pragmatism. And as far as rockets go, you do need that seasoned veteran who will slap your hand when you do something stupid and tell you to knock it off. Doesn't mean you do nothing and stagnate, which is also bad, but goddamn, just because it sounds fancy doesn't mean it's somehow good.
|
On September 21 2017 04:28 LegalLord wrote:Show nested quote +On September 21 2017 03:52 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote:On September 21 2017 02:40 LegalLord wrote: Moon water is probably better. Why? The main point of any venture would be learning how to do more advanced things in space. I mean it's so ubiquitous that it's kind of hard to answer. Why focus on something far away with added logistical difficulties for pretty much no benefit in return? A Moon mission is easier AND more useful and unless you're into spending more money and effort for less gain then there is no reason to do an asteroid. Frankly a lot of the motivation for landing on an asteroid was that Obama had a vendetta against doing more on the Moon, thinking it wasn't interesting when that couldn't have been further from the truth. Show nested quote +On September 21 2017 03:52 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote: Sure you can probably do the same proof of concept mission to the moon but it adds an extra step (landing) and it's probably more complex. Quite the opposite. Both need a landing; you can't just crash into an asteroid, you need to land just the same. At the end of the day they're both dead rocks. But one is closer. Yes it's bigger but not by enough to make it more complex. The Moon is nowhere near as hard as Earth to launch from. Show nested quote +On September 21 2017 03:52 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote: You also have to start launching survey drones that can land to the moon and move around which is a considerably more complex and takes more energy. 1. We already do that. 2. You wouldn't launch a mission to an asteroid without first surveying it and seeing if it's actually good for your planned idea anyways. 3. While we're on the subject of wasted energy, you waste a lot more launching to an asteroid than you do to the Moon. And chasing an object that doesn't have the gravitational pull to bring you into its orbit is a royal pain in the ass. It takes four days to get to the moon, but on anything but the most advanced version of the Soyuz in operation for only the last few years it takes two days just to catch the ISS. Asteroids are somewhere in the middle but far, far away. Near-Earth ones are bigger than the ISS, just as hard to catch if not harder, and don't provide much of a gravitational pull; big ones are really tough to reach. Show nested quote +On September 21 2017 03:52 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote: Starting to build survey probes to send at asteroids is something were already entirely capable of doing however. Don't recall off the top of my head but I think it's already being done. Show nested quote +On September 21 2017 03:52 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote: But more importantly it's only useful if you plan to have a moon base. A good idea for any space-based infrastructure. Might be worth noting that NASA, ESA, and Roscosmos are all strongly leaning towards cislunar development right now. Show nested quote +On September 21 2017 03:52 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote: Which will require a lot of resources to maintain if it's a long term thing and at least in the short term is only useful for the "cool" factor right now. 1. Long term infrastructure is worth it. 2. How are asteroids better? It's not exactly easier to make asteroids work. Show nested quote +On September 21 2017 03:52 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote: Capturing useful near earth asteroids and mining them for water (or other things that can be used to create fuel or oxygen) get you the extra benefit that you can store those resources for any future mission you want to undertake. 1. Fuel and oxygen from water.2. The Moon is more reliable for any such purpose. Asteroids you could mine for water are either small or far away. Show nested quote +On September 21 2017 03:52 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote: Next logical step after that might be a moon base but I think especially our robotics and manufacturing tech really needs to pick up before we get there. You seem to see asteroids as easier than the Moon for the same purpose. But it's not really true; launching to the Moon is easy enough for existing rockets (Atlas, Delta, Ariane, Proton, SLS and Angara in short order) and the robotics and manufacturing are much easier there than on a smaller dead rock. Take it in steps and soon it will look quite viable. And as mentioned, there are a lot of groups that think the Moon is worth it.
NEOs require less energy to get to than the moon even if you dont count getting of the moon. Initial probes dont need to have a delivery stage, a landing stage and a movable exploration stage. Mining in space doesnt have to require landing on an asteroid either and water extraction can be done with some simple techniques. I think plantery resources makes a compelling point for going for NEOs first. I do think a moon base might be good before trying to do large scale economically viable mining in the future.
|
United Kingdom13775 Posts
I'll just post this here which I hope you would agree is the same concept. The large gravity well of the Moon is actually very helpful and reduces the precision necessary to make the mission succeed. It's a much easier mission.
As I mentioned, we already have everything we need to land stuff on the Moon. Just pick a rocket of the proper size and you can send some decent payloads there.
|
United States24637 Posts
ZerOCoolSC2 I'm having trouble understanding your position on space funding.
On September 21 2017 04:04 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote: I'm not saying take money away, I'm saying, like in the US poli thread, do not increase their funding. They don't need it. Use that for other things.
Then what did this mean?
On September 21 2017 01:54 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote: We could do that if we borrowed some money from the military and gave it to NASA, don't you think?
As an aside, keeping funding constant for any agency is pinching them given the general upward trend on budgets due to inflation and other factors. Even if you decide to account for inflation and just limit the defense budget to this year's budget plus inflation, it's hard to give the additional 'extra' to another agency such as NASA because, what is the additional extra? Until the extra is actually authorized for the department of defense, you don't know how much it will be to redirect towards NASA. If you enter into a year of budget planning with the assumption that what would have gone to significant increases in military spending will instead go to NASA, then suddenly there won't have been any significant increases planned in the first place.
I'm not saying increasing funding for space exploration, and doing it partially at the expense of other parts of the budget is necessary a bad idea, but your suggestion just isn't actionable.
|
On September 21 2017 07:21 micronesia wrote:ZerOCoolSC2 I'm having trouble understanding your position on space funding. Show nested quote +On September 21 2017 04:04 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote: I'm not saying take money away, I'm saying, like in the US poli thread, do not increase their funding. They don't need it. Use that for other things. Then what did this mean? Show nested quote +On September 21 2017 01:54 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote: We could do that if we borrowed some money from the military and gave it to NASA, don't you think? As an aside, keeping funding constant for any agency is pinching them given the general upward trend on budgets due to inflation and other factors. Even if you decide to account for inflation and just limit the defense budget to this year's budget plus inflation, it's hard to give the additional 'extra' to another agency such as NASA because, what is the additional extra? Until the extra is actually authorized for the department of defense, you don't know how much it will be to redirect towards NASA. If you enter into a year of budget planning with the assumption that what would have gone to significant increases in military spending will instead go to NASA, then suddenly there won't have been any significant increases planned in the first place. I'm not saying increasing funding for space exploration, and doing it partially at the expense of other parts of the budget is necessary a bad idea, but your suggestion just isn't actionable. So, for the military, they were given $80bn they didn't ask for. We argued over what the money could have been used for instead. I'm kicking education and UHC to the side in this thread and talking specifically about giving that $80bn to NASA. They've been needed an upgrade for a long time and $80bn would be a great boost. I'm not taking money from the military at that point. If we don't factor in the additional money given to the military, then we could still borrow that money from the military. Announce a reduction of $50bn next year and that money could go to NASA. If things work out, then that money could be given back next budget year.
Does that clear it up a bit more? I'm talking in generalities and not CBO numbers because, frankly, I suck at it. I'm just tossing ideas out.
|
United States24637 Posts
On September 21 2017 07:45 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:Show nested quote +On September 21 2017 07:21 micronesia wrote:ZerOCoolSC2 I'm having trouble understanding your position on space funding. On September 21 2017 04:04 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote: I'm not saying take money away, I'm saying, like in the US poli thread, do not increase their funding. They don't need it. Use that for other things. Then what did this mean? On September 21 2017 01:54 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote: We could do that if we borrowed some money from the military and gave it to NASA, don't you think? As an aside, keeping funding constant for any agency is pinching them given the general upward trend on budgets due to inflation and other factors. Even if you decide to account for inflation and just limit the defense budget to this year's budget plus inflation, it's hard to give the additional 'extra' to another agency such as NASA because, what is the additional extra? Until the extra is actually authorized for the department of defense, you don't know how much it will be to redirect towards NASA. If you enter into a year of budget planning with the assumption that what would have gone to significant increases in military spending will instead go to NASA, then suddenly there won't have been any significant increases planned in the first place. I'm not saying increasing funding for space exploration, and doing it partially at the expense of other parts of the budget is necessary a bad idea, but your suggestion just isn't actionable. So, for the military, they were given $80bn they didn't ask for. We argued over what the money could have been used for instead. I'm kicking education and UHC to the side in this thread and talking specifically about giving that $80bn to NASA. They've been needed an upgrade for a long time and $80bn would be a great boost. I'm not taking money from the military at that point. If we don't factor in the additional money given to the military, then we could still borrow that money from the military. Announce a reduction of $50bn next year and that money could go to NASA. If things work out, then that money could be given back next budget year. Does that clear it up a bit more? I'm talking in generalities and not CBO numbers because, frankly, I suck at it. I'm just tossing ideas out. The Pentagon requested a budget of $639.1 billion for FY2018. The Senate just approved a bill providing $700 billion. The difference there is ~$60 billion, not $80 billion. Part of that increase is due to a perceived increased nuclear-tipped missile thread from North Korea. In other words, if the Pentagon were to redo their budget request just a few days ago, the request probably would have been greater than $639.1 billion.
Putting aside the fact that you almost stole over $20 billion from parts of the military that weren't necessarily even going to get additional funds for CY2018 (things like that cost lives you know), how have you even drawn the conclusion that stagnant levels of defense spending are acceptable and more is not needed? I could totally understand an argument that the scope of the military mission needs to be reduced, and that that would reign in costs (we could have a very detailed discussion about that). However, your suggestion to take money away from military spending (a portion of which doesn't seem to actually exist) and even to imply it would be fine to just agree to reduce the budget by $50 billion next year, with no understanding of what the effects of that would actually be, is worrisome.
What you suggested is not really any different than me randomly saying we should cut $10 billion from the department of education budget and give it to NASA because I really want NASA to be funded better (and who wants DeVos to control government money anyway?), and after all I just suck at this so I'm talking in generalities.
|
On September 21 2017 09:26 micronesia wrote:Show nested quote +On September 21 2017 07:45 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:On September 21 2017 07:21 micronesia wrote:ZerOCoolSC2 I'm having trouble understanding your position on space funding. On September 21 2017 04:04 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote: I'm not saying take money away, I'm saying, like in the US poli thread, do not increase their funding. They don't need it. Use that for other things. Then what did this mean? On September 21 2017 01:54 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote: We could do that if we borrowed some money from the military and gave it to NASA, don't you think? As an aside, keeping funding constant for any agency is pinching them given the general upward trend on budgets due to inflation and other factors. Even if you decide to account for inflation and just limit the defense budget to this year's budget plus inflation, it's hard to give the additional 'extra' to another agency such as NASA because, what is the additional extra? Until the extra is actually authorized for the department of defense, you don't know how much it will be to redirect towards NASA. If you enter into a year of budget planning with the assumption that what would have gone to significant increases in military spending will instead go to NASA, then suddenly there won't have been any significant increases planned in the first place. I'm not saying increasing funding for space exploration, and doing it partially at the expense of other parts of the budget is necessary a bad idea, but your suggestion just isn't actionable. So, for the military, they were given $80bn they didn't ask for. We argued over what the money could have been used for instead. I'm kicking education and UHC to the side in this thread and talking specifically about giving that $80bn to NASA. They've been needed an upgrade for a long time and $80bn would be a great boost. I'm not taking money from the military at that point. If we don't factor in the additional money given to the military, then we could still borrow that money from the military. Announce a reduction of $50bn next year and that money could go to NASA. If things work out, then that money could be given back next budget year. Does that clear it up a bit more? I'm talking in generalities and not CBO numbers because, frankly, I suck at it. I'm just tossing ideas out. The Pentagon requested a budget of $639.1 billion for FY2018. The Senate just approved a bill providing $700 billion. The difference there is ~$60 billion, not $80 billion. Part of that increase is due to a perceived increased nuclear-tipped missile thread from North Korea. In other words, if the Pentagon were to redo their budget request just a few days ago, the request probably would have been greater than $639.1 billion. Putting aside the fact that you almost stole over $20 billion from parts of the military that weren't necessarily even going to get additional funds for CY2018 (things like that cost lives you know), how have you even drawn the conclusion that stagnant levels of defense spending are acceptable and more is not needed? I could totally understand an argument that the scope of the military mission needs to be reduced, and that that would reign in costs (we could have a very detailed discussion about that). However, your suggestion to take money away from military spending (a portion of which doesn't seem to actually exist) and even to imply it would be fine to just agree to reduce the budget by $50 billion next year, with no understanding of what the effects of that would actually be, is worrisome. What you suggested is not really any different than me randomly saying we should cut $10 billion from the department of education budget and give it to NASA because I really want NASA to be funded better (and who wants DeVos to control government money anyway?), and after all I just suck at this so I'm talking in generalities. I got the figure of $80bn from the poli thread. If you want to take umbrage with that, then be my guest. If you also want to discuss that because of recent NK actions warrants the additional resources, then be my guest. I doubt we couldn't find a way to make the requested budget work without increasing their budget for FY18.
Putting aside the price differential from what was requested, actually given, and the numbers provided in another thread, the fact remains that the increase could have been used somewhere else. Of course, we are all talking hypotheticals here for something that probably won't come to fruition. Furthermore, stagnant levels of defense spending, when we outspend most of the developed world combined, is a non starter. As we would still be outspending them no matter what. Unless we drastically dropped spending, increased capabilities (personnel and materiel), then the level we are spending now is fine. There's a lot of waste in the military and a lot of the money doesn't go to what we need it to go to, namely the people on the ground fighting. I was there, I saw the hand-me-downs.
Next, to suggest that taking money from education is akin to taking money from the military, when we both know that money would be better spent on education, makes this argument silly. An informed populace would be better than soldiers and the tools necessary to create a society, in the US, where diplomacy is better than empty military threats, is somewhat more ideal. I may not know the intricacies of what is spent on what, and I never professed to, but I can see where not increasing the budget $60bn on military spending and sending it to NASA seems like a better option to me.
As to not clutter this thread, we can move to PM if you'd like and I would welcome learning more from you on the areas I lack understanding.
|
United States42367 Posts
(things like that cost lives you know) Micronesia, did you just go with "if the military budget drops below $640b people will die!" Doesn't that seem a little hyperbolic?
I am also very skeptical about whether the additional $80b will significantly increase the US ability to defend vs NK ICBMs. If I may be cynical, the amount of money the military requests is simply going to be the amount they think will get approved if they ask for it, and nothing more. There isn't a scenario in which they are given so much money that they turn around and say "we can't make you any safer by spending the last few billion so take them back". There is no bottom to the money pit, rather there is a diminishing return curve which approaches but never reaches zero increase in national security for each additional dollar. So, in response to your claim that the NK escalation meant they needed more, I find that extremely far fetched. What I will absolutely believe is that the NK escalation made them think they could get more.
|
United States24637 Posts
On September 21 2017 10:26 KwarK wrote:Micronesia, did you just go with " if the military budget drops below $640b people will die!" Doesn't that seem a little hyperbolic? That wasn't really the claim. I was responding to the fact that it was recommended to suddenly cut funding to defense without a real plan, and unreliable or unexpectedly reduced defense funding literally costs lives because mission objectives don't wax and wane quite as arbitrarily. In fact, the Senate used the recent lethal ship collisions as an example of what happens when you overburden a system that is trying to do too much with too little. Does that mean there is no waste? Of course not. But eliminating waste is a lot like closing all the tax loopholes... a good objective but you won't do it overnight.
A good counterpoint is that a few billion dollars to other programs can save way more lives than a few dozen lost service members due to accidents etc.... but that's opening a can of worms and even further from the topic at hand.
I am also very skeptical about whether the additional $80b will significantly increase the US ability to defend vs NK ICBMs. Perhaps, but it seems like a gut feeling you are going off of. I trust your gut feeling on many things, but sensitive military technology and its uncertain capabilities is probably not one of them lol
If I may be cynical, the amount of money the military requests is simply going to be the amount they think will get approved if they ask for it, and nothing more. There isn't a scenario in which they are given so much money that they turn around and say "we can't make you any safer by spending the last few billion so take them back". There is no bottom to the money pit, rather there is a diminishing return curve which approaches but never reaches zero increase in national security for each additional dollar. So, in response to your claim that the NK escalation meant they needed more, I find that extremely far fetched. What I will absolutely believe is that the NK escalation made them think they could get more. Again, the point was slightly different in that a shift in priorities means if funding stays the same, money will be pulled from other programs to fund the presumably more urgent missile defense objective. I admit this particular example is partly speculation on my behalf but was pointing out a likely aspect of the equation that Zero had not considered.
A steady budget to NASA would also pay dividends in the long run compared to uncertain funding each year. That's how this all works. If funding is going to be reduced from a government organization, it should be planned well ahead of time (I do note that Zero suggested a 1 year lead time on informing the military of an upcoming cut which is preferable to last minute cuts) and accompany a change of mission that allows expenses to be reduced in a logical manner.
|
NATIONAL HARBOR, Md. — A long-awaited solicitation for industry bids on future space launch services will be out “soon,” said Air Force procurement chief Lt. Gen. Arnold Bunch.
Much is at stake for the space industry in how the Air Force proceeds with a “launch services agreement” that has been in the works for months. Bidders already have commented on an earlier draft request for proposals and are now awaiting the final RFP.
“We want to get the real RFP out to industry,” Bunch told reporters Tuesday at the Air Force Association’s Air Space Cyber conference.
Officials have said the plan is to award up to three contracts to develop prototypes of next-generation launch vehicles. The Air Force insists it needs at least two different vehicles to assure access to space.
Bunch said it has not yet been decided whether two or three vehicles will be selected.
The Air Force has come under huge political pressure to strike a favorable deal with suppliers at a time when commercial providers like SpaceX are shaking up the market and dramatically lowering launch costs.
“We have had a lot of dialogue with industry,” Bunch said. “There are still some final things we need to do. We hope to get the RFP out soon.”
With space launch in the spotlight on Capitol Hill, the Air Force also wants to make sure lawmakers are on board with the new contracting strategy. “We need to do more dialogue with the Hill,” Bunch said. “I would hope we get that done within the next month.”
One sticking point in the debate has been Congress’ insistence that the Air Force’s top supplier United Launch Alliance stop buying Russian RD-180 engines for its Atlas 5 rocket. ULA is in the process of developing and testing domestically produced engines for an Atlas 5 follow-on dubbed Vulcan but may need to continue using RD-180s for a few more years.
Bunch insisted there are no plans to ask Congress for approval to buy more Russian engines beyond the 18 that were already agreed to. “We are still marching to the limits that we were given by the Hill,” said Bunch.
Bunch would not discuss ULA’s progress in selecting a new engine, but said the priority for the Air Force is to ensure it can put military satellites into orbit. “We need assured access to space,” he said. “Part of the launch services agreement strategy is having domestically produced engines capable of all national security space missions.”
The upcoming launch services competition will feature a mix of military-focused and commercial companies. Challenging ULA will be Orbital ATK, which is developing a “next generation launch” vehicle, and SpaceX.
Air Force space officials touted SpaceX during a panel discussion at the conference. They praised SpaceX for having disrupted the market and forcing everyone to do business differently, in a more commercial fashion.
Also adding pressure on the Air Force to move forward is the military’s increased focus on space as a future battlefront. Brig. Gen. Wayne Monteith, commander of the 45th Space Wing at Patrick Air Force Base, Florida, said space warriors are busier than they have been in decades. “This fiscal year we have launched 21 space missions,” he said. “That is one-fourth of all space missions in the world,” he noted.
“We have launched more than Russia and more than China.”
Source
NATIONAL HARBOR, Md. — The emergence of Elon Musk’s SpaceX as a legitimate and competitive player in the space-launch arena has prompted the U.S. Air Force to re-evaluate the way it perceives launch operations, said Brig. Gen. Wayne Monteith, commander, 45th Space Wing.
“SpaceX does not launch on schedule,” Monteith said Sept. 20 during a space warfighting panel at the annual Air Force Association Air Space Cyber Conference. “They launch on readiness.”
This launch-when-we’re-ready-to-go attitude has had an impact on SpaceX operational needs and costs, said Monteith, who also is director of the Air Force Eastern Range, Patrick Air Force Base, Florida.
“They have forced us — and I mean forced us — to get better, infinitely better, at what we do,” he said. “We are adopting commercial business practices and becom[ing] more efficient and more affordable.
“Working with them, we have been able to reduce our main launch footprint by 60 percent and reduce the cost of a single launch by over 50 percent,” he said. “Based on the autonomous flight safety system they developed with us they will help us get to 48 launches a year.”
That number includes launches for all Air Force facilities and right now, he said, the service is conducting about half that launch total annually.
The autonomous flight safety system replaces the ground-based mission flight control personnel and equipment with on-board positioning, navigation and timing sources and decision logic, the Air Force notes. The system is meant to reduce range spacelift cost, increase schedule predictability and availability, operational flexibility, and launch-slot flexibility.
The autonomous system is already fully installed at Vandenberg Air Force Base, officials said, and they want to expand.
“My goal is to make all ranges autonomous,” Gen John “Jay” Raymond, commander, Air Force Space Command, said Sept. 20 at another conference media roundtable briefing on space operations.
SpaceX simply does things differently, Monteith said. “And that’s good. We should not be the barrier between them and success.”
While SpaceX may be the commercial company having the biggest impact on how the Air Force approaches the way it does business, it is not the only company that is making the service look in the mirror.
“We are seeing other companies out there doing the same thing,” Col. Michael Hough, commander, 30th Space Wing and Western Range, Vandenberg Air Force Base, California, said during the panel discussion.
“They are out in front of us and we’re catching up,” he said. “We’re listening to them.”
Source
|
|
Hey ZeroCool you know we wouldn't have Microwaves or AC if it weren't for NASA's huge funding during the 50's. Giving them more money may create new industries and technology that can help progress humans, rather than keep them back another 100 years. But obviously they need a plan first on how to spend said money, but that option has never been put on the table for them.
|
On September 27 2017 02:39 ShoCkeyy wrote: Hey ZeroCool you know we wouldn't have Microwaves or AC if it weren't for NASA's huge funding during the 50's. Giving them more money may create new industries and technology that can help progress humans, rather than keep them back another 100 years. But obviously they need a plan first on how to spend said money, but that option has never been put on the table for them. Yeah, I know that. I really enjoy history so when something like that came up in grade school, I looked into it more and read up on it. I'm not saying we take money from them or anything of that sort. I'm advocating to give them more money. The reason they don't have a plan for a lot of things beyond concepts is that they have resigned themselves to not having an increase in budget. They more than likely view that it is a waste of effort and time to develop things any further without knowing that they will get money to take things to the next level. If we increase their budget or tell them "Hey, give me some really solid ideas and a general figure of what it will cost, I'll get the money to you," I am sure they would litter a museum with concepts and solid math.
We just need to get them some kind of promissory note that they can rely on to develop some of their ideas.
|
McALLEN, RGV – Eduardo A. Campirano, port director and CEO of the Port of Brownsville, says he would not be surprised to see Elon Musk announce even bigger plans for SpaceX’s rocket-launching site at Boca Chica.
Campirano was asked to give an update on SpaceX’s plans for Boca Chica when chairing a Rio South Texas Economic Council meeting earlier this week.
“I know Elon Musk is expected to speak on the 29th and everyone holds their breath to see what he says. I think he has made some indications that there may be some bigger plans for Boca Chica than initially anticipated,” Campirano said, in response to a question from Mike Willis on the South Texas Manufacturers Association.
“If you recall, at one of them, everyone kind of said he was crazy when he talked about launching rockets to Mars and he will be sending people. I would not be surprised to hear at one of his upcoming forums where he will just say when it is going to occur.”
Campirano hastened to add that is not official. “I don’t know (what he is going to say). He (Musk) is going to be a speaker at a conference on the 29th. It will be interesting to see what he says.”
Musk, founder of SpaceX, is expected to give highly anticipated updates next week about SpaceX’s plans to take humans to Mars. Musk will speak Sept. 29 at the International Astronautical Congress (IAC) in Adelaide, Australia, the same forum where he first revealed SpaceX’s plans for a Martian conquest.
SpaceX will likely be launching rockets from its facility on Boca Chica beach near Brownsville in late 2018, according to Cameron County Judge Eddie Treviño. Interviewed by the Rio Grande Guardian about SpaceX after the RSTEC meeting had wrapped up, Campirano said: `
“They are moving forward with plans for Boca Chica. They have been working on their launch pad, that is going to happen. We have been told they have pushed the rocket launches back a year. So, instead of 2017 it is 2018. It seems to be on schedule. If there are any changes to that it will be potentially be because something else is going on. We are excited to see that (the International Astronautical Congress) going on. And then, of course, the university (UTRGV) is starting to do some of the preliminary work on Stargate (at Boca Chica). All that stuff goes hand in hand.”
Source
|
|
United Kingdom13775 Posts
In news more relevant than SpaceX worship...
Russia and the United States have agreed to cooperate on a Nasa-led programme to build the first lunar space station, part of a long-term project to send humans to Mars.
The US space agency said earlier this year that it was exploring a programme called the Deep Space Gateway, a multi-stage project to push further into the solar system.
The project envisages building a crew-tended spaceport in lunar orbit that would serve as a “gateway to deep space and the lunar surface,” Nasa has said.
Nasa has been far from coy in its ambitions to send humans to orbit Mars by the 2030s, and subsequent plans to colonise of the red planet. But plans to return to the moon have waxed and waned with the US administration.
While George W Bush was keen to see humans on the moon again by 2020, Barack Obama ditched the plan and focused on plans to visit Mars, including a mission to test the necessary technology by capturing a boulder from the surface of an asteroid and bringing it into lunar orbit. www.theguardian.com
Obama gone for a few months and we instantly start getting real results. Thank god.
|
|
|
|