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NASA and the Private Sector - Page 250

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Keep debates civil.
ETisME
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
12623 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-10-16 07:17:00
October 16 2024 07:14 GMT
#4981
On October 16 2024 09:12 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 16 2024 08:49 BlackJack wrote:
On October 16 2024 07:22 ETisME wrote:

The amount of hate against CEO (or Elon in this case) is just confusing to me.



Really? It's pretty easy to figure out where it comes from. Nobody hated Elon 10 years ago when he was just the guy bringing electric cars to the masses to save the planet. There's a perfect correlation between the hate he gets and his turn to right-wing politics.

The weird thing with the world today is that people can't just dislike someone for their politics. Instead they have to dislike everything the person has done because of their politics. If flash came out tomorrow and endorsed Trump there would be a significant amount of people that will say "flash was overrated anyway, boxer/nada/iloveoov are the true terran bonjwas." The perception of reality will change post hoc to resolve the cognitive dissonance of admiring someone's ability while hating what they believe.

This is probably true for a lot of people, but I don't think that holds here in this thread. We criticize Elon solely for his SpaceX work and leave his politics out of it. We give him credit for SpaceX achievements all the time, but we also know that it isn't him per se doing all of the work. The engineers and Shotwell deserve a lot of the honor and credit. Too many times has Elon fucked around with the government because he got told no. And too many times has Shotwell had to bail SpaceX out.

As to criticizing CEOs, what do you expect? They make a lot of money and they need to be kept in check. Blue Origin is a perfect example. Bezos has that company flailing about because he can't find anyone competent enough to run that. If he could find himself a Shotwell, he'd be neck and neck. Electron has a competent CEO and they're doing pretty well. CEOs who can't find the solutions are creating more problems. I'm pulling for BO to succeed so we have backup flights when/as needed. But I'm not holding my breath.

Elon's fight with governments are not necessarily bad, it's politics, sometimes he gets it right, sometimes he gets it wrong.

Look at his massive win in China, and compare how fast Shanghai Gigafactory got the build and expansion compared to Germany one.
And now look at China's success in making the industry happen (with a lot of funding and failed business along the way).

Germany on the other hand had been losing market share for standard automobile, and now they can barely keep up with the gigafactory style of extreme vertical integrated production.

There's no Elon without controversy, and there's no Tesla/space X without Elon the way he is.

If you don't believe me, then take a look at all the Chinese semi conductor chip plants that paid way above market rate to get the taiwanese top engineers, they barely made any progress.
Even with top engineers, and all the backing from the Chinese government, it doesn't lead to success. It takes someone to force it happen at a higher level and doing so screaming if needed.
其疾如风,其徐如林,侵掠如火,不动如山,难知如阴,动如雷震。
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21998 Posts
October 16 2024 08:24 GMT
#4982
On October 16 2024 08:49 BlackJack wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 16 2024 07:22 ETisME wrote:

The amount of hate against CEO (or Elon in this case) is just confusing to me.



Really? It's pretty easy to figure out where it comes from. Nobody hated Elon 10 years ago when he was just the guy bringing electric cars to the masses to save the planet. There's a perfect correlation between the hate he gets and his turn to right-wing politics.

The weird thing with the world today is that people can't just dislike someone for their politics. Instead they have to dislike everything the person has done because of their politics. If flash came out tomorrow and endorsed Trump there would be a significant amount of people that will say "flash was overrated anyway, boxer/nada/iloveoov are the true terran bonjwas." The perception of reality will change post hoc to resolve the cognitive dissonance of admiring someone's ability while hating what they believe.
I 'hate' Elon for the neo-nazi he has shown to be.

But praising the SpaceX engineers instead of Elon isn't because of that but because he has shown not be the visionary he was believed to be. Maybe he used to be and drug abuse has destroyed his brain, maybe he never was. I don't know stuff the Cybertruck and Twitter have shattered Musk's image.The more directly involved he is, the worse the project will do.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany7021 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-10-16 09:14:43
October 16 2024 09:14 GMT
#4983
On October 14 2024 01:50 oBlade wrote:
SpaceX caught the booster from Starship 5 at the launch tower midair with a huge pair of metal chopsticks and splashed down Starship successfully after a full flight. The steel rocket pipe dream might be real.



That looked supercool but I'm not sure I get the math behind it:
For that stunt move you need a shitton of fuel left in the tank to control the flight like they did. That may be lighter than the steel legs they initially had but I'm having a hard time believing that it's lighter than a damn parachute + small amount of fuel to do some directional burn?
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21998 Posts
October 16 2024 09:49 GMT
#4984
On October 16 2024 18:14 Harris1st wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 14 2024 01:50 oBlade wrote:
SpaceX caught the booster from Starship 5 at the launch tower midair with a huge pair of metal chopsticks and splashed down Starship successfully after a full flight. The steel rocket pipe dream might be real.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1svfkWHpWNk


That looked supercool but I'm not sure I get the math behind it:
For that stunt move you need a shitton of fuel left in the tank to control the flight like they did. That may be lighter than the steel legs they initially had but I'm having a hard time believing that it's lighter than a damn parachute + small amount of fuel to do some directional burn?
They had a bunch of issues with landing on a pad, including damage to the pad itself from the exhaust as it lands.
And it probably easier and cheaper to scale up the grabbing gantry for bigger rockets then scale up bigger legs that add weight to said rocket.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
ZerOCoolSC2
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
9009 Posts
October 16 2024 13:50 GMT
#4985
On October 16 2024 18:14 Harris1st wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 14 2024 01:50 oBlade wrote:
SpaceX caught the booster from Starship 5 at the launch tower midair with a huge pair of metal chopsticks and splashed down Starship successfully after a full flight. The steel rocket pipe dream might be real.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1svfkWHpWNk


That looked supercool but I'm not sure I get the math behind it:
For that stunt move you need a shitton of fuel left in the tank to control the flight like they did. That may be lighter than the steel legs they initially had but I'm having a hard time believing that it's lighter than a damn parachute + small amount of fuel to do some directional burn?

Maybe this will help explain it a bit?
ZerOCoolSC2
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
9009 Posts
October 16 2024 13:55 GMT
#4986
On October 16 2024 16:14 ETisME wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 16 2024 09:12 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:
On October 16 2024 08:49 BlackJack wrote:
On October 16 2024 07:22 ETisME wrote:

The amount of hate against CEO (or Elon in this case) is just confusing to me.



Really? It's pretty easy to figure out where it comes from. Nobody hated Elon 10 years ago when he was just the guy bringing electric cars to the masses to save the planet. There's a perfect correlation between the hate he gets and his turn to right-wing politics.

The weird thing with the world today is that people can't just dislike someone for their politics. Instead they have to dislike everything the person has done because of their politics. If flash came out tomorrow and endorsed Trump there would be a significant amount of people that will say "flash was overrated anyway, boxer/nada/iloveoov are the true terran bonjwas." The perception of reality will change post hoc to resolve the cognitive dissonance of admiring someone's ability while hating what they believe.

This is probably true for a lot of people, but I don't think that holds here in this thread. We criticize Elon solely for his SpaceX work and leave his politics out of it. We give him credit for SpaceX achievements all the time, but we also know that it isn't him per se doing all of the work. The engineers and Shotwell deserve a lot of the honor and credit. Too many times has Elon fucked around with the government because he got told no. And too many times has Shotwell had to bail SpaceX out.

As to criticizing CEOs, what do you expect? They make a lot of money and they need to be kept in check. Blue Origin is a perfect example. Bezos has that company flailing about because he can't find anyone competent enough to run that. If he could find himself a Shotwell, he'd be neck and neck. Electron has a competent CEO and they're doing pretty well. CEOs who can't find the solutions are creating more problems. I'm pulling for BO to succeed so we have backup flights when/as needed. But I'm not holding my breath.

Elon's fight with governments are not necessarily bad, it's politics, sometimes he gets it right, sometimes he gets it wrong.

Look at his massive win in China, and compare how fast Shanghai Gigafactory got the build and expansion compared to Germany one.
And now look at China's success in making the industry happen (with a lot of funding and failed business along the way).

Germany on the other hand had been losing market share for standard automobile, and now they can barely keep up with the gigafactory style of extreme vertical integrated production.

There's no Elon without controversy, and there's no Tesla/space X without Elon the way he is.

If you don't believe me, then take a look at all the Chinese semi conductor chip plants that paid way above market rate to get the taiwanese top engineers, they barely made any progress.
Even with top engineers, and all the backing from the Chinese government, it doesn't lead to success. It takes someone to force it happen at a higher level and doing so screaming if needed.

China wanted the Tesla money that everyone was fighting to get in China, but not a single EV maker there could figure it out. Dunno why honestly. And I'm pretty sure regulations in China is way more lax when compared to Germany and US, as they have a few agencies that they need to get through and prove that it's "safe" to operate. Sure it slows down progress some, but I'd rather have safe workers and working conditions.

China can throw money at problems and it doesn't matter if it works or not. Who's going to hold that government accountable? The German and US population have more say in how their governments are ran, supposedly.

I don't think the argument you made in favor of Elon is as strong as you'd like, as it just shows more corruption is allowed in China than any other place. I'd say Elon does a good job of getting the ball rolling, but he's not the genius or force people make him out to be. As has been stated, after he gets something up and running, the less he's involved, the better.

Look at Boring company and Hyperloop. That isn't working too hot, now is it?
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5784 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-10-16 14:09:45
October 16 2024 14:06 GMT
#4987
On October 16 2024 18:14 Harris1st wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 14 2024 01:50 oBlade wrote:
SpaceX caught the booster from Starship 5 at the launch tower midair with a huge pair of metal chopsticks and splashed down Starship successfully after a full flight. The steel rocket pipe dream might be real.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1svfkWHpWNk


That looked supercool but I'm not sure I get the math behind it:
For that stunt move you need a shitton of fuel left in the tank to control the flight like they did. That may be lighter than the steel legs they initially had but I'm having a hard time believing that it's lighter than a damn parachute + small amount of fuel to do some directional burn?

Most of the fuel is in canceling a speed of 1.4 km/s, reversing, then returning to the site whether it's a pad or a tower, and slowing from an altitude of 70km. The less fuel you have, the less weight you have, when a rocket's weight is mostly fuel, then steering a mostly empty rocket takes comparatively marginal amounts of fuel. The little jink to line up with the tower is nothing extra compared to landing flat on a pad.

You'd need at least like 10 tons worth of parachutes just to pathetically fall into the water which gives you something you have to recover and maybe try your best to reuse. There have been designs for, and are, rockets that launch from the sea, but the reverse isn't as efficient if you want to reuse your thing and not go on a lengthy process of refurbishing.

Put it this way, why would you add parachutes to a Lear Jet so you can fall into the ocean and get picked up by the coastguard, saving a minute amount of fuel, rather than flying the extra way to your actual destination airport and not the ocean near it.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10574 Posts
October 16 2024 19:27 GMT
#4988
On October 16 2024 17:24 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 16 2024 08:49 BlackJack wrote:
On October 16 2024 07:22 ETisME wrote:

The amount of hate against CEO (or Elon in this case) is just confusing to me.



Really? It's pretty easy to figure out where it comes from. Nobody hated Elon 10 years ago when he was just the guy bringing electric cars to the masses to save the planet. There's a perfect correlation between the hate he gets and his turn to right-wing politics.

The weird thing with the world today is that people can't just dislike someone for their politics. Instead they have to dislike everything the person has done because of their politics. If flash came out tomorrow and endorsed Trump there would be a significant amount of people that will say "flash was overrated anyway, boxer/nada/iloveoov are the true terran bonjwas." The perception of reality will change post hoc to resolve the cognitive dissonance of admiring someone's ability while hating what they believe.
I 'hate' Elon for the neo-nazi he has shown to be.

But praising the SpaceX engineers instead of Elon isn't because of that but because he has shown not be the visionary he was believed to be.


Like I said previously, it’s a very weird take considering catching the booster was Elon’s vision and most of the engineers opposed it
CuddlyCuteKitten
Profile Joined January 2004
Sweden2674 Posts
October 17 2024 05:32 GMT
#4989
He also pulled the plug on carbon fiber. Sure it wasn't his idea but people approached him on the subject, he examined the data, there were internal debates. And in the end they scrapped some really expensive equipment and changed sites.

At the time stainless steel was considered as wild as catching the rocket with a tower.

He might not do the work himself but having a CEO that is technical enough in rocket science to evaluate ideas that are completely crazy in a competent way is very impressive.
waaaaaaaaaaaooooow - Felicia, SPF2:T
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