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[wow] Warlords of Draenor - Page 470

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Add yourself to the player list
bo1b
Profile Blog Joined August 2012
Australia12814 Posts
April 09 2015 13:27 GMT
#9381
I hope they have something which scans what faction your characters are on, then doubles the cost for each alliance toon you have.
Noocta
Profile Joined June 2010
France12578 Posts
April 09 2015 15:04 GMT
#9382
I fear Europe isn't gonna get that price dive like US had. I want 21k tokens
" I'm not gonna fight you. I'm gonna kick your ass ! "
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21919 Posts
April 09 2015 15:19 GMT
#9383
I see no reason why the US and EU prices should vary wildly. If anything it will increase supply during the first day because of people wanting to cash in before the crash.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Drazerk
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom31255 Posts
April 09 2015 15:24 GMT
#9384
On April 10 2015 00:19 Gorsameth wrote:
I see no reason why the US and EU prices should vary wildly. If anything it will increase supply during the first day because of people wanting to cash in before the crash.

Well knowing Blizzard the EU wow token will cost more in comparison to the US wow token to buy with real money meaning the gold price will also be much higher.
Cyro
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United Kingdom20318 Posts
April 09 2015 15:28 GMT
#9385
On April 10 2015 00:19 Gorsameth wrote:
I see no reason why the US and EU prices should vary wildly. If anything it will increase supply during the first day because of people wanting to cash in before the crash.


Which would make it crash way harder :D
"oh my god my overclock... I got a single WHEA error on the 23rd hour, 9 minutes" -Belial88
Seuss
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States10536 Posts
April 09 2015 15:47 GMT
#9386
On April 10 2015 00:04 Noocta wrote:
I fear Europe isn't gonna get that price dive like US had. I want 21k tokens


It's extremely likely you'll actually see an even greater price dive.

If you look at wowtoken.info the price started dropping once people started getting home from work/school. The price initially dipped a bit at 5 PM EDT, before beginning freefall at 7 PM EDT. It's clear that during this period a lot of tokens were being bought.

It wasn't until last night that the value began to rebound, but not before dipping as low as 20,350g. However, there have been consistent reports from players that it's almost completely impossible to buy any tokens, there simply aren't people selling them. This indicates that the price dropped well below what the vast majority of prospective sellers consider reasonable.

When you put these facts together it becomes clear that players rushing to sell tokens when they got home created a vast reserve, causing the initial price plummet and carrying it all the way down to 21k, well past what they'd actually be willing to sell the tokens for. Now that the supply is gone and isn't being adequately restocked the price is bouncing back.

These factors are only going to be exacerbated when tokens reach EU servers. EU players looking to sell tokens will rush doubly hard to lock in the higher price after seeing how quickly the price plummeted in the US. Meanwhile, EU players looking to buy will hold out for the lower price. As a result there will likely be an even greater excess of supply couple with less initial demand.

Basically you're essentially guaranteed a sharp price drop.
"I am not able to carry all this people alone, for they are too heavy for me." -Moses (Numbers 11:14)
Cyro
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United Kingdom20318 Posts
April 09 2015 15:55 GMT
#9387
Yea i made a post saying much of the same and then didn't actually post it i think^ Because of the way the blizzard system works and the limited + solid price information, if you wanted to sell you'd be very silly do anything but lock in at 30k IMMEDIATELY and if you wanted to buy, you'd be very silly to do anything but watch the plunge and wait for it to start to level off.

There was a time period where it was still dropping (too high supply) but started to drop slower. That's the time to grab your tokens.
"oh my god my overclock... I got a single WHEA error on the 23rd hour, 9 minutes" -Belial88
Teoita
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Italy12246 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-09 16:00:34
April 09 2015 15:59 GMT
#9388
Fingers crossed for a few months of gametime at hilarious discount, paid for with ingame currency i get just by half arsing their facebook game...
ModeratorProtoss all-ins are like a wok. You can throw whatever you want in there and it will turn out alright.
Cyro
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United Kingdom20318 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-09 17:00:45
April 09 2015 16:46 GMT
#9389
The point where it leveled off and started to drop slowly was @25k. I'd guess it's heading back up there now. When it levels off like that it's probably way harder to buy tokens, but previous stock will still bleed off until they're all gone.

Maybe the WoW system overcompensates for huge supply - if everyone lists at 30k, it might think "supply is higher than demand, drop price!" and drop to 25k even if nobody lists them for less than 28k. I'm not sure what they've done here.

The EVE market system is nice, you just have a huge list with buy orders and sell orders plus a tax of ~5% which creates a gap between them. Also contracts and direct trades with zero tax. The blizzard system is kinda player-friendly - but it makes me worry a lot more they could be rigging the system very easily and nobody would know.

There's rumor of Wildstar developers seeding tokens onto their auction house to essentially allow for free to play. There are other incentives for fuckery with token price, too.
"oh my god my overclock... I got a single WHEA error on the 23rd hour, 9 minutes" -Belial88
ViperPL
Profile Joined March 2011
Poland1775 Posts
April 10 2015 05:46 GMT
#9390
Finally my guild managed to kill Blackhand hc. It was getting really annoying, since people were leaving the game or becoming inactive without a single word and we couldn't find replacements regularly enough. Luckily group finder tool provided us with some good enough pugs to do it. I have to say, the fight has terrible scaling, the more people you have the easier it gets, especially phase 2.
A dota player and lol player walk into a bar. The dota player says: "lol sucks". Lol player couldn't deny. http://i.imgur.com/FpLeTf1.gif
Cyro
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United Kingdom20318 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-10 06:03:07
April 10 2015 06:01 GMT
#9391
gz :D

That seems to be a constant theme. I wouldn't consider raiding with less than ~13, but the guys running 25 seem to have it easier. Not only do they have the scaling advantage, but you have a strong resilience to losing large fractions of your raid team for no reason as long as people have offspecs.

The transition from heroic to mythic is rather harsh and i don't think i'l be looking for a guild progressing into mythic in the near future. Clearing everything eventually on HC with some expeditions to the easier mythic bosses sounds like fun though
"oh my god my overclock... I got a single WHEA error on the 23rd hour, 9 minutes" -Belial88
Cyro
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United Kingdom20318 Posts
April 10 2015 21:38 GMT
#9392
tokens leveling out at the lower half of 20k's in US

it looks like the adjustment rate could be too slow and that might cause oscillation as the price being higher than market balance creates a surge of people selling and then lower than market balance creates a surge of people buying
"oh my god my overclock... I got a single WHEA error on the 23rd hour, 9 minutes" -Belial88
Teoita
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Italy12246 Posts
April 10 2015 21:51 GMT
#9393
Eh lots of fluctuations are to be expected early on
ModeratorProtoss all-ins are like a wok. You can throw whatever you want in there and it will turn out alright.
Cyro
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United Kingdom20318 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-10 22:08:50
April 10 2015 22:04 GMT
#9394
Yea, but it's only swinging up or down for like 10 hours straight, never up then down then up again
"oh my god my overclock... I got a single WHEA error on the 23rd hour, 9 minutes" -Belial88
Mysticesper
Profile Joined January 2011
United States1183 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-10 22:22:46
April 10 2015 22:21 GMT
#9395
On April 10 2015 15:01 Cyro wrote:
gz :D

That seems to be a constant theme. I wouldn't consider raiding with less than ~13, but the guys running 25 seem to have it easier. Not only do they have the scaling advantage, but you have a strong resilience to losing large fractions of your raid team for no reason as long as people have offspecs.

The transition from heroic to mythic is rather harsh and i don't think i'l be looking for a guild progressing into mythic in the near future. Clearing everything eventually on HC with some expeditions to the easier mythic bosses sounds like fun though


We run between 16 and 22 for the most part, depends on who shows up.
Works quite well. Slightly over 20 is great cause of the chance for 3 tier items, which is a definite bonus.

But yeah, lots more room for error in a 10 man, since 1 person is 10% of your raid dead, and more than likely 20% of your DPS if you run 2 tanks, 3 healers, 5 dps, and not really increasing to a fourth healer until ~15 people.
Alventenie
Profile Joined July 2007
United States2147 Posts
April 10 2015 22:34 GMT
#9396
I can say that 10 man is much harder than higher numbers (my opinion of course). As stated if you have anyone die you are more likely to not meet the requirements of the fight whether it be not enough healing or not enough dps without outgearing the fight.

I was doing heroic kromog last night and if anyone died we had to battle rez them or we would run out of steam somewhere below 30%. We eventually killed him with 11 instead of 10, but even then both our tanks died at the end around 5% and 2% but at that point we just dpsed him down to 0% before he killed everyone.

Week before last we did it on saturday and we had 17 people and we one shot him without any issue at all.

I think the lower amount just magnifies the issue of if someone is not pulling their weight properly. You have to have a really clean 10 man to accomplish what a 15 man can do who may only have 12-13 good people and 2-3 people slightly under par.

Drazerk
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom31255 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-11 01:45:21
April 11 2015 01:42 GMT
#9397
so for those in mythic guilds / heroic guilds that can't progress to mythic -

Does anyone feel disappointment in the current loot system? Unless warforged drops which is rare enough most bosses really don't give loot or anything worth while. We have people who don't want to do the first 6 mythic bosses because no one needs loot from them. At least with the valor system you got something from farm bosses while these days you just wait with 10 seals in your bag because you're stuck with progression

And yeah Flex is pretty broken in terms of scaling its kind of a huge flaw
nikj
Profile Joined July 2010
Canada669 Posts
April 11 2015 03:55 GMT
#9398
On April 11 2015 10:42 Drazerk wrote:
so for those in mythic guilds / heroic guilds that can't progress to mythic -

Does anyone feel disappointment in the current loot system? Unless warforged drops which is rare enough most bosses really don't give loot or anything worth while. We have people who don't want to do the first 6 mythic bosses because no one needs loot from them. At least with the valor system you got something from farm bosses while these days you just wait with 10 seals in your bag because you're stuck with progression

And yeah Flex is pretty broken in terms of scaling its kind of a huge flaw


Yea I've been stuck in guilds with <15 people so mythic isn't an option for me yet. I was pretty much geared out of Heroic BRF in the first month, now just waiting for the rest of my tier or maybe a lucky warforged drop.

I feel like it would be nice if they would open up cross realm mythic, because I'm running out of reasons to do Heroic every week, and minus a server transfer likely won't see mythic any time soon. I guess eventually I'll be all decked out in gear from caches but it feels kind of lame.
Y'know sometimes people ask me y'know like "What's your religion and stuff?" And I'm like "y' know it's like RTS." Uh, and they're like, "What's that?" And I'm like, "Y'know it's kinda like, kinda like Buddism."
Cyro
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United Kingdom20318 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-11 08:40:40
April 11 2015 08:29 GMT
#9399
On April 11 2015 06:51 Teoita wrote:
Eh lots of fluctuations are to be expected early on


On April 11 2015 07:04 Cyro wrote:
Yea, but it's only swinging up or down for like 10 hours straight, never up then down then up again


Looks to be ~23k stable enough~


31.6k to 20.4k took a ~26 hour downward swing (with fast adjustment time? or just really hard crash, hard to say)

20.4k to 27k was 28 hours going up (more steadily)

27k to 21.4k was only 23 hours

they're taking longer to sell when the price is getting towards 25k


I noticed earlier (yesterday?) that blizzard is actually charging some very high GBP to euro exchange rates. For example, WoW costs £10 but 15 euros.

The mid-market rate listed on xe.com/ucc is 1.38, but it peaked at ~1.42
"oh my god my overclock... I got a single WHEA error on the 23rd hour, 9 minutes" -Belial88
Cyro
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United Kingdom20318 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-11 08:40:46
April 11 2015 08:35 GMT
#9400
derp double post
"oh my god my overclock... I got a single WHEA error on the 23rd hour, 9 minutes" -Belial88
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